OPTIONDAN personal page - To The Moon

OPTIONDAN

OPTIONDAN

Option bit by bit

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2022-09-20

In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅

2022-04-10

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Free lifetime commission will decrease their revenue. CPA priorities now. Growth momentum.

2022-08-14

$X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares Fund(ASHR)$Geo Political factors on the table. Retracement too on the table.

2022-04-16

$Twitter(TWTR)$Elon should just build a new app and get it listed but time frame about 36months. So it make sense to just acquire Twitter now. More drama next week

2023-03-02

$New Oriental Education & Technology(EDU)$ Good push

2022-11-30

Corporate governance handled by a bunch of kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.

"Who Can Turn off the Websites?": Inside Bankman-Fried’s Chaotic Final Days in Charge of FTX

2022-04-11

$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$is it better value than Tiger?

2022-09-21

Thanks for sharing

Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms

2021-12-31

$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$under price before HK new listing

2022-08-19

Plus 19Aug2022 options expiry date too. Pressure too strong.

Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 280 Points; Bed Bath & Beyond Plunged 42.7%

2022-06-25

Ya

What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?

2022-04-15

Inspiring!

Buffett Interview: Talk About Apple, Musk, Berkshire Hathaway, His Work and Life

2022-11-06

$TAL Education Group(TAL)$

2022-08-17

SEC busy again. Haha 😂

Elon Musk Says He's Buying Manchester United -- Is It a Real Idea Or a Joke?

2021-08-27

Just an update

Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns

2022-12-02

Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.

Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-08-19

Catch me if you can type of rebound. Tonight will be over faster than we even notice it. #summerrebound #midtermelection

A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls

2022-08-14

Thanks for sharing your view point.

Alibaba Stock: Follow Masayoshi Son, Not Charlie Munger

2022-09-05

Time to transfer asset

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-18

Better perform S&P500 hands down

Is Apple "The Perfect Stock To Own In An Economic Downturn"?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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and Feb SPX report (re-share)","listText":"Jan and Feb SPX report (re-share)","text":"Jan and Feb SPX report (re-share)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940419390","repostId":"9940295392","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9940295392,"gmtCreate":1677921036918,"gmtModify":1677921525509,"author":{"id":"4112162097902942","authorId":"4112162097902942","name":"DoTrading","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b836687d88c2c5ee60f65e3d53461ef7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112162097902942","authorIdStr":"4112162097902942"},"themes":[],"title":"SPX-February Flop...and Now","htmlText":"WEEK SUMMARY The 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors increased on Friday while the main indices ended their recent sequences of weekly defeats. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> increased by 1.6 %, 1.9 % in weekly, breaking a three -week skid. The lowest sector in the S&amp;P 500 of the day was basic consumption, which increased less than 0.2 %. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> increased by almost 2% to advance by 2.6% over the week. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> increased by 1.2%, and 1.8% over the week. The latter ended a sequence of four consecutive defeats. This recovery would have already announced the day before ... Indeed, after a half-day overthrow, the main clues closed in solid increase on Thursday, delivering t","listText":"WEEK SUMMARY The 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors increased on Friday while the main indices ended their recent sequences of weekly defeats. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> increased by 1.6 %, 1.9 % in weekly, breaking a three -week skid. The lowest sector in the S&amp;P 500 of the day was basic consumption, which increased less than 0.2 %. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> increased by almost 2% to advance by 2.6% over the week. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> increased by 1.2%, and 1.8% over the week. The latter ended a sequence of four consecutive defeats. This recovery would have already announced the day before ... Indeed, after a half-day overthrow, the main clues closed in solid increase on Thursday, delivering t","text":"WEEK SUMMARY The 11 S&P 500 sectors increased on Friday while the main indices ended their recent sequences of weekly defeats. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ increased by 1.6 %, 1.9 % in weekly, breaking a three -week skid. The lowest sector in the S&P 500 of the day was basic consumption, which increased less than 0.2 %. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ increased by almost 2% to advance by 2.6% over the week. $DJIA(.DJI)$ increased by 1.2%, and 1.8% over the week. The latter ended a sequence of four consecutive defeats. This recovery would have already announced the day before ... Indeed, after a half-day overthrow, the main clues closed in solid increase on Thursday, delivering t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ba9195587d43f951c984e7bdef3a40fe","width":"784","height":"272"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8e75c43f41287549bff8a2429157c14","width":"560","height":"240"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3443e1f7e48afaa8ca68c5f8d8f4c0d1","width":"1167","height":"924"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940295392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940419916,"gmtCreate":1678106090235,"gmtModify":1678106093766,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Top 10 Stocks for trading option (re-share)","listText":"Top 10 Stocks for trading option (re-share)","text":"Top 10 Stocks for trading option (re-share)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940419916","repostId":"9940158354","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9940158354,"gmtCreate":1677766523678,"gmtModify":1678869317579,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667670880462","authorIdStr":"3527667670880462"},"themes":[],"title":"Top 10 Stocks for Trading Options in the Financial Report Season","htmlText":"The 2022 Q4 earnings season is drawing to a close amid expectations of a soft landing for the US economy. Profit margins for S&amp;P 500 companies have fallen for the sixth straight quarter since peaking at 13% in 2021, and inflation is taking a real bite out of profits across industries.But by the end of February the S&amp;P 500 was up 3%! The stock trend has been positive against pessimistic expectations. Tiger Community compiled a list of the top 10 stocks by options trading volume to see what kind of options trading characteristics they had during earnings season.1.&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Tesla was arguably the hottest stock option trade of Q1 earnings season. Through February, Tesla shares closed at $205.71, up more than 73%","listText":"The 2022 Q4 earnings season is drawing to a close amid expectations of a soft landing for the US economy. Profit margins for S&amp;P 500 companies have fallen for the sixth straight quarter since peaking at 13% in 2021, and inflation is taking a real bite out of profits across industries.But by the end of February the S&amp;P 500 was up 3%! The stock trend has been positive against pessimistic expectations. Tiger Community compiled a list of the top 10 stocks by options trading volume to see what kind of options trading characteristics they had during earnings season.1.&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Tesla was arguably the hottest stock option trade of Q1 earnings season. Through February, Tesla shares closed at $205.71, up more than 73%","text":"The 2022 Q4 earnings season is drawing to a close amid expectations of a soft landing for the US economy. Profit margins for S&P 500 companies have fallen for the sixth straight quarter since peaking at 13% in 2021, and inflation is taking a real bite out of profits across industries.But by the end of February the S&P 500 was up 3%! The stock trend has been positive against pessimistic expectations. Tiger Community compiled a list of the top 10 stocks by options trading volume to see what kind of options trading characteristics they had during earnings season.1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Tesla was arguably the hottest stock option trade of Q1 earnings season. Through February, Tesla shares closed at $205.71, up more than 73%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5478470af48de18f50d582a4ebbb9080","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffa99b3ae348cae9cd7f98a26dc6d726","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/21b850de9a330695f09006759c2068ad","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940158354","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940419006,"gmtCreate":1678106014006,"gmtModify":1678106017645,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"22 Mar FOMC 25bps?&nbsp;","listText":"22 Mar FOMC 25bps?&nbsp;","text":"22 Mar FOMC 25bps?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940419006","repostId":"9940874985","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9940874985,"gmtCreate":1677841912248,"gmtModify":1677847458038,"author":{"id":"3501196737273098","authorId":"3501196737273098","name":"Tiger_comments","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/227887b200e9925968650d5db4a8bfb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3501196737273098","authorIdStr":"3501196737273098"},"themes":[],"title":"1Y Anniversary of Rate Hike - When Will Fed Stop and Pivot?","htmlText":"It was a year ago this month that the Fed launched its&nbsp;rate&nbsp;hike&nbsp;to&nbsp;combat&nbsp;inflation.At first, policymakers only take 25 basis points to tackle price surges.&nbsp;Subsequent months saw much larger hikes, enough to raise the Fed’s benchmark borrowing rate by 4.5 percentage points to its highest level since 2007.At&nbsp;this&nbsp;1&nbsp;year&nbsp;anniversary,&nbsp;we&nbsp;can&nbsp;review&nbsp;these&nbsp;questions:what's&nbsp;the&nbsp;end&nbsp;of&nbsp;the&nbsp;rate&nbsp;hike&nbsp;cycle?when&nbsp;will&nbsp;Fed&nbsp;stop&nbsp;rate&nbsp;hikes&nbsp;and&nbsp;turn&nbsp;to&nbsp;rate&nbsp;cuts?what's&nbsp;the&nbsp;target&nbsp;rate&nbsp;for&nbsp;March?1.&nbsp;What’s the end of this rate hike cycle?&nbsp;-&nbsp;5.5%&nbsp;is&nbsp;a&nbsp;consensusThe benchmark rate&nbsp;currently","listText":"It was a year ago this month that the Fed launched its&nbsp;rate&nbsp;hike&nbsp;to&nbsp;combat&nbsp;inflation.At first, policymakers only take 25 basis points to tackle price surges.&nbsp;Subsequent months saw much larger hikes, enough to raise the Fed’s benchmark borrowing rate by 4.5 percentage points to its highest level since 2007.At&nbsp;this&nbsp;1&nbsp;year&nbsp;anniversary,&nbsp;we&nbsp;can&nbsp;review&nbsp;these&nbsp;questions:what's&nbsp;the&nbsp;end&nbsp;of&nbsp;the&nbsp;rate&nbsp;hike&nbsp;cycle?when&nbsp;will&nbsp;Fed&nbsp;stop&nbsp;rate&nbsp;hikes&nbsp;and&nbsp;turn&nbsp;to&nbsp;rate&nbsp;cuts?what's&nbsp;the&nbsp;target&nbsp;rate&nbsp;for&nbsp;March?1.&nbsp;What’s the end of this rate hike cycle?&nbsp;-&nbsp;5.5%&nbsp;is&nbsp;a&nbsp;consensusThe benchmark rate&nbsp;currently","text":"It was a year ago this month that the Fed launched its rate hike to combat inflation.At first, policymakers only take 25 basis points to tackle price surges. Subsequent months saw much larger hikes, enough to raise the Fed’s benchmark borrowing rate by 4.5 percentage points to its highest level since 2007.At this 1 year anniversary, we can review these questions:what's the end of the rate hike cycle?when will Fed stop rate hikes and turn to rate cuts?what's the target rate for March?1. What’s the end of this rate hike cycle? - 5.5% is a consensusThe benchmark rate currently","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26374cf809dab6c80d656e55579515b3","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/12b9df83080fc94280b1be158454afe3","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/abbac06c5bb37d5ef4d4db1cf2335cc9","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940874985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940150676,"gmtCreate":1677764851796,"gmtModify":1677764855873,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/EDU\">$New Oriental Education &amp; Technology(EDU)$&nbsp;</a>Good push&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/EDU\">$New Oriental Education &amp; Technology(EDU)$&nbsp;</a>Good push&nbsp;","text":"$New Oriental Education & Technology(EDU)$ Good push","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/781fdcff0f5f54dbb3954ec680a7a1cb","width":"1125","height":"2187"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940150676","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965246622,"gmtCreate":1669969486966,"gmtModify":1676538280341,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.&nbsp;","listText":"Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.&nbsp;","text":"Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965246622","repostId":"1178901626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178901626","pubTimestamp":1669971477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178901626?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-02 16:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178901626","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>One of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.</li><li>This seems absurd on its face, but the cause is that traders are valuing Fed-driven liquidity more than growth.</li><li>This logic is somewhat reasonable over the short term, but it falls apart over longer periods of time because fundamentally unprofitable businesses have built their business models around loose money.</li><li>Despite high-profile tech layoffs by companies like Meta/Facebook, employers collectively are expected to have added 200,000 jobs in November.</li><li>Ironically, a decent nonfarm payroll report for stocks and inflation coming in as expected would be the worst thing for stocks in the short run.</li></ul><h3>When Good News Is Bad News</h3><p>A few times this year, strong employment reports have been met by panic selling from traders fearing more Fed hikes. This phenomenon is known to traders as &#34;good news is bad news.&#34; If it sounds like it&#39;s an unsound way to invest your money - it&#39;s because it is. But in a QE-addicted world post-pandemic, liquidity has taken the reins from economic growth as the most important driver of stock returns. This mirrors the trade in early 2021 when virus cases would jump and traders would go buy all the work-from-home stocks like Zoom (ZM), and sell oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM). In the end, the fundamentals won out, and despite Zoom briefly being valued for more than Exxon during the pandemic, they&#39;re no longer in the same ballpark. Profitable companies are almost all up from pre-pandemic levels, and many money-furnace work-from-home stocks are now down 80% or more. These weird trading patterns have now returned. With the end of QE and the start of QT as the Fed vacuums money out of the system, speculative junk gets a big bid anytime someone says the word &#34;pivot&#34; on television!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b18e24cd3c3a98ca912b5b75d5f8d21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>To this point, it probably hasn&#39;t mattered much to your performance in 2022 whether you found great businesses to invest in. Almost everything is down substantially because most starting valuations were irrationally high, and the Fed is now hiking rates to try to bring inflation down. Analysts for Morgan Stanley have estimated that the liquidity drain will pull stocks down another 8% by year-end and 15% by March. Bank of America analysts have pegged the liquidity drain as dropping stocks by 7%. And then, of course, you have people like Dr. Michael Burry from The Big Short, who recently tweeted &#34;you have no idea how short I am.&#34; I don&#39;t work for Morgan Stanley, and the closest I&#39;ve ever come to setting foot on Wall Street is going to some Lower East Side dive bars. But Burry and the bears undeniably have a point here. Anyone objectively looking at these weird day-to-day correlation trades and the idea of &#34;bad news is actually good news&#34; can see right through it.</p><p>This takes us to the nonfarm payroll report at 8:30 Eastern Time on Friday, which is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in November. That&#39;s a lot of jobs, and it&#39;s well in excess of US population growth. If the economy does indeed add 200,000 jobs in November, there will be about 153.5 million employees on payroll in the US, exceeding the high of 152.5 million employees pre-pandemic. Interestingly though, labor force participation is down below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that a lot of the &#34;job growth&#34; may be from self-employed people taking corporate jobs or people taking second jobs (to this point, I&#39;ve always wondered how common it was for people to take two full-time work-from-home jobs at the same time). How can the economy continue to add over twice as many jobs as the population growth would imply is sustainable? It can&#39;t, and it implies employment churn and inflation rather than actual economic growth. However, the fact that this has gone on as long as it has probably says something about whether the Fed can declare victory on inflation yet.</p><p>In some ways, the resilience of the labor market is a great thing. If somebody is a software engineer who was laid off after working 20 hours per week building the Metaverse (META) and gets hired by General Motors (GM) or Ford (F) to help with their electric car division, then the Fed is winning. Similarly, if restaurants are able to get staffing now because the balance between people who want to eat and people who are willing to cook has been restored with the end of free money, then that&#39;s part of the healing process after paying people $800 per week to not work. But in other ways, having two open jobs for every unemployed worker is a signal that inflation is not yet under control and probably won&#39;t be without the economy experiencing a hard landing. My feeling is that this jobs report actually won&#39;t be that bad because so much labor talent was being wasted in places like SPACs/altcoins/NFTs/metaverse that the real economy can easily absorb the first wave of layoffs. The recession is still very much coming, and we might already be in it from a technical perspective, but it won&#39;t come from tech workers getting laid off from Meta and getting hired by automakers or other big tech companies.</p><h3>A Critical Juncture For Stocks</h3><p>For QE-addicted stock markets, the worst thing that can happen Friday might be if the payroll report shows the economy added 250,000-plus jobs for the month. That would mean that the Fed is satisfied with the growth in the real economy and will have no issue tightening policy more and dropping the hammer on thousands of money-losing businesses that built their entire business models on zero-interest rates and QE. This would drive valuations down for stocks and force investor emphasis back to growth and profitability, where it belongs. But those who have built their business models around easy Fed policy are all likely praying for a weak nonfarm payroll report. These are the usual suspects, from thousands of money-losing businesses funded by Silicon Valley and meme stocks-to real estate speculators and builders that overpaid for land based on 3% mortgage rates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d647e22bd6745775d50b1736e035ee4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>After surging the so-so October CPI release, stocks had been eerily flat for about three weeks before the latest pivot mania post-Powell rally. Critical tests for bulls are ahead, with a slew of data about to come in.</p><ul><li>The nonfarm payroll report on Friday.</li><li>November Core CPI released Dec. 13. Watch out for this one. June core CPI fueled a huge rally in stocks when it came in better than expected, but then inflation shot right back up. July core CPI was a huge shock to stocks. PCE comes out also this week, so these will be placed in context. For core CPI, econometric models expect 0.51% inflation for November, which I think is about right given the dive in the dollar and the rally in risk assets.</li><li>The FOMC Meeting, Dec. 13 and 14. The Fed is expected to hike by 50 bps, but hot numbers for jobs and inflation may force their hand to hike by 75 bps. I did some modeling on what the Fed funds rate should be based on the Taylor Rule and best estimates of how much inflation is driven by supply and how much is driven by demand (by the way, it&#39;s about half and half). The prescribed Fed funds rate is about 5% at current numbers but will easily top 5.5% if we get a bad inflation print, especially from the PCE figures.</li></ul><p>I&#39;ve written that I like Treasury bills better than stocks here, and I continue to believe that T-bills will be your best hedge against both inflation and recession as the Fed&#39;s battle against inflation rages on. There are buyable stocks here, but paying nearly 19x earnings for the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) going into a probable stop-and-go recession is a very risky bet.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>All of these are individual data points, but the question you need to ask is how solid the economy really is underneath the hood. In some ways, the economy is healing from the pandemic. Bubbles are unwinding in housing and used cars, and people are getting back into the workforce. But in other ways, the economy is in a lot of trouble, with living standards falling month after month and inflation continuing to be far above target. Restoring price stability is crucially important for the Fed, but doing so is likely to pop asset bubbles, drain liquidity, and expose all of the fraud and waste that has built up in the economy over the last 10 years. If you&#39;re thinking about your portfolio for the long term here, then the good news is good news as long as you&#39;re invested in companies that turn a profit and have reasonable valuations. If your holdings are mostly speculative in nature like SPACs (SPAK), AMC Entertainment (AMC), or Beyond Meat (BYND), or have super high valuations like Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), or Nvidia (NVDA), then you&#39;re going to live and die by the sword of liquidity. Many stocks fall in between trash and treasure, but my guess is that there will be good opportunities to pick up shares in high-quality blue chips in the coming months as liquidity continues to drain. Of these, some of my favorites in the large-cap space are Microsoft (MSFT) around $210, Google (GOOGL) anywhere below $95, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) below $300.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-02 16:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.This seems ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1178901626","content_text":"SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.This seems absurd on its face, but the cause is that traders are valuing Fed-driven liquidity more than growth.This logic is somewhat reasonable over the short term, but it falls apart over longer periods of time because fundamentally unprofitable businesses have built their business models around loose money.Despite high-profile tech layoffs by companies like Meta/Facebook, employers collectively are expected to have added 200,000 jobs in November.Ironically, a decent nonfarm payroll report for stocks and inflation coming in as expected would be the worst thing for stocks in the short run.When Good News Is Bad NewsA few times this year, strong employment reports have been met by panic selling from traders fearing more Fed hikes. This phenomenon is known to traders as \"good news is bad news.\" If it sounds like it's an unsound way to invest your money - it's because it is. But in a QE-addicted world post-pandemic, liquidity has taken the reins from economic growth as the most important driver of stock returns. This mirrors the trade in early 2021 when virus cases would jump and traders would go buy all the work-from-home stocks like Zoom (ZM), and sell oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM). In the end, the fundamentals won out, and despite Zoom briefly being valued for more than Exxon during the pandemic, they're no longer in the same ballpark. Profitable companies are almost all up from pre-pandemic levels, and many money-furnace work-from-home stocks are now down 80% or more. These weird trading patterns have now returned. With the end of QE and the start of QT as the Fed vacuums money out of the system, speculative junk gets a big bid anytime someone says the word \"pivot\" on television!To this point, it probably hasn't mattered much to your performance in 2022 whether you found great businesses to invest in. Almost everything is down substantially because most starting valuations were irrationally high, and the Fed is now hiking rates to try to bring inflation down. Analysts for Morgan Stanley have estimated that the liquidity drain will pull stocks down another 8% by year-end and 15% by March. Bank of America analysts have pegged the liquidity drain as dropping stocks by 7%. And then, of course, you have people like Dr. Michael Burry from The Big Short, who recently tweeted \"you have no idea how short I am.\" I don't work for Morgan Stanley, and the closest I've ever come to setting foot on Wall Street is going to some Lower East Side dive bars. But Burry and the bears undeniably have a point here. Anyone objectively looking at these weird day-to-day correlation trades and the idea of \"bad news is actually good news\" can see right through it.This takes us to the nonfarm payroll report at 8:30 Eastern Time on Friday, which is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in November. That's a lot of jobs, and it's well in excess of US population growth. If the economy does indeed add 200,000 jobs in November, there will be about 153.5 million employees on payroll in the US, exceeding the high of 152.5 million employees pre-pandemic. Interestingly though, labor force participation is down below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that a lot of the \"job growth\" may be from self-employed people taking corporate jobs or people taking second jobs (to this point, I've always wondered how common it was for people to take two full-time work-from-home jobs at the same time). How can the economy continue to add over twice as many jobs as the population growth would imply is sustainable? It can't, and it implies employment churn and inflation rather than actual economic growth. However, the fact that this has gone on as long as it has probably says something about whether the Fed can declare victory on inflation yet.In some ways, the resilience of the labor market is a great thing. If somebody is a software engineer who was laid off after working 20 hours per week building the Metaverse (META) and gets hired by General Motors (GM) or Ford (F) to help with their electric car division, then the Fed is winning. Similarly, if restaurants are able to get staffing now because the balance between people who want to eat and people who are willing to cook has been restored with the end of free money, then that's part of the healing process after paying people $800 per week to not work. But in other ways, having two open jobs for every unemployed worker is a signal that inflation is not yet under control and probably won't be without the economy experiencing a hard landing. My feeling is that this jobs report actually won't be that bad because so much labor talent was being wasted in places like SPACs/altcoins/NFTs/metaverse that the real economy can easily absorb the first wave of layoffs. The recession is still very much coming, and we might already be in it from a technical perspective, but it won't come from tech workers getting laid off from Meta and getting hired by automakers or other big tech companies.A Critical Juncture For StocksFor QE-addicted stock markets, the worst thing that can happen Friday might be if the payroll report shows the economy added 250,000-plus jobs for the month. That would mean that the Fed is satisfied with the growth in the real economy and will have no issue tightening policy more and dropping the hammer on thousands of money-losing businesses that built their entire business models on zero-interest rates and QE. This would drive valuations down for stocks and force investor emphasis back to growth and profitability, where it belongs. But those who have built their business models around easy Fed policy are all likely praying for a weak nonfarm payroll report. These are the usual suspects, from thousands of money-losing businesses funded by Silicon Valley and meme stocks-to real estate speculators and builders that overpaid for land based on 3% mortgage rates.After surging the so-so October CPI release, stocks had been eerily flat for about three weeks before the latest pivot mania post-Powell rally. Critical tests for bulls are ahead, with a slew of data about to come in.The nonfarm payroll report on Friday.November Core CPI released Dec. 13. Watch out for this one. June core CPI fueled a huge rally in stocks when it came in better than expected, but then inflation shot right back up. July core CPI was a huge shock to stocks. PCE comes out also this week, so these will be placed in context. For core CPI, econometric models expect 0.51% inflation for November, which I think is about right given the dive in the dollar and the rally in risk assets.The FOMC Meeting, Dec. 13 and 14. The Fed is expected to hike by 50 bps, but hot numbers for jobs and inflation may force their hand to hike by 75 bps. I did some modeling on what the Fed funds rate should be based on the Taylor Rule and best estimates of how much inflation is driven by supply and how much is driven by demand (by the way, it's about half and half). The prescribed Fed funds rate is about 5% at current numbers but will easily top 5.5% if we get a bad inflation print, especially from the PCE figures.I've written that I like Treasury bills better than stocks here, and I continue to believe that T-bills will be your best hedge against both inflation and recession as the Fed's battle against inflation rages on. There are buyable stocks here, but paying nearly 19x earnings for the S&P 500 (SPY) going into a probable stop-and-go recession is a very risky bet.ConclusionAll of these are individual data points, but the question you need to ask is how solid the economy really is underneath the hood. In some ways, the economy is healing from the pandemic. Bubbles are unwinding in housing and used cars, and people are getting back into the workforce. But in other ways, the economy is in a lot of trouble, with living standards falling month after month and inflation continuing to be far above target. Restoring price stability is crucially important for the Fed, but doing so is likely to pop asset bubbles, drain liquidity, and expose all of the fraud and waste that has built up in the economy over the last 10 years. If you're thinking about your portfolio for the long term here, then the good news is good news as long as you're invested in companies that turn a profit and have reasonable valuations. If your holdings are mostly speculative in nature like SPACs (SPAK), AMC Entertainment (AMC), or Beyond Meat (BYND), or have super high valuations like Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), or Nvidia (NVDA), then you're going to live and die by the sword of liquidity. Many stocks fall in between trash and treasure, but my guess is that there will be good opportunities to pick up shares in high-quality blue chips in the coming months as liquidity continues to drain. Of these, some of my favorites in the large-cap space are Microsoft (MSFT) around $210, Google (GOOGL) anywhere below $95, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) below $300.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962211852,"gmtCreate":1669780530377,"gmtModify":1676538242138,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Corporate governance handled by a bunch of&nbsp;kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor&nbsp;are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Corporate governance handled by a bunch of&nbsp;kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor&nbsp;are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Corporate governance handled by a bunch of kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962211852","repostId":"2287859746","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984713876,"gmtCreate":1667740307095,"gmtModify":1676537957616,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAL\">$TAL Education Group(TAL)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAL\">$TAL Education Group(TAL)$</a>","text":"$TAL Education Group(TAL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6933d7cc261aad02de588204345174fe","width":"1125","height":"2079"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984713876","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989778498,"gmtCreate":1666100645714,"gmtModify":1676537705926,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing 😊","listText":"Thanks for sharing 😊","text":"Thanks for sharing 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989778498","repostId":"9989738417","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9989738417,"gmtCreate":1666080154439,"gmtModify":1676537702715,"author":{"id":"3448793367875557","authorId":"3448793367875557","name":"TechnicalHunter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20616c062c392e47ee8fc9107f46437d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3448793367875557","authorIdStr":"3448793367875557"},"themes":[],"title":"Not A One-day Rebound? 3 Reasons & Key Levels Discussion: $USD $VIX $SPX $IXIC $DJIA","htmlText":"Feels like wild moves on&nbsp;the stock&nbsp;market?&nbsp;Correct!Said&nbsp;by&nbsp;ThinkMarkets analyst&nbsp;Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes,&nbsp;we've&nbsp;seen&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;thursday. Then&nbsp;On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On&nbsp;monday&nbsp;session,The major&nbsp;index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> ,","listText":"Feels like wild moves on&nbsp;the stock&nbsp;market?&nbsp;Correct!Said&nbsp;by&nbsp;ThinkMarkets analyst&nbsp;Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes,&nbsp;we've&nbsp;seen&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;thursday. Then&nbsp;On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On&nbsp;monday&nbsp;session,The major&nbsp;index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> ,","text":"Feels like wild moves on the stock market? Correct!Said by ThinkMarkets analyst Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes, we've seen the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows on last thursday. Then On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On monday session,The major index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.$DJIA(.DJI)$ ,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bcd7a401f36a60173214c9d9d83d2b6d","width":"2206","height":"1220"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/845a8e751c29b269acc03f8eaf2d02aa","width":"1316","height":"745"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad77fb465d60051558e707383f31df5e","width":"1835","height":"899"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989738417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912441120,"gmtCreate":1664890933660,"gmtModify":1676537524099,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thanks for sharing 😊","listText":"thanks for sharing 😊","text":"thanks for sharing 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912441120","repostId":"9912199252","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9912199252,"gmtCreate":1664765499776,"gmtModify":1676537504796,"author":{"id":"4115527649974162","authorId":"4115527649974162","name":"FattyBull","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/373415101d06ff7417c1853d1330e794","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4115527649974162","authorIdStr":"4115527649974162"},"themes":[],"title":"Bear Market 2022: The Ultimate Guide for Investors","htmlText":"What does a bear market mean in 2022? Lower share prices, but still an opportunity to profit. During 2022, the two most popular terms among investors were \"inflation\" and \"recession\". However, most of the attention given to these indicators of economic turmoil seems to revolve around one common theme: the bear market. Generally considered to be a harbinger of bad economic conditions, a bear market tends to scare most investors. And while a bear market often means a significant drop in stock prices, it doesn't necessarily mean a recession is imminent. In this guide, we'll break down exactly what a bear market is, what it means for the markets, and what investors can do to protect their portfolios right now. We'll also cover the types of investments that often hold up best when a bear market","listText":"What does a bear market mean in 2022? Lower share prices, but still an opportunity to profit. During 2022, the two most popular terms among investors were \"inflation\" and \"recession\". However, most of the attention given to these indicators of economic turmoil seems to revolve around one common theme: the bear market. Generally considered to be a harbinger of bad economic conditions, a bear market tends to scare most investors. And while a bear market often means a significant drop in stock prices, it doesn't necessarily mean a recession is imminent. In this guide, we'll break down exactly what a bear market is, what it means for the markets, and what investors can do to protect their portfolios right now. We'll also cover the types of investments that often hold up best when a bear market","text":"What does a bear market mean in 2022? Lower share prices, but still an opportunity to profit. During 2022, the two most popular terms among investors were \"inflation\" and \"recession\". However, most of the attention given to these indicators of economic turmoil seems to revolve around one common theme: the bear market. Generally considered to be a harbinger of bad economic conditions, a bear market tends to scare most investors. And while a bear market often means a significant drop in stock prices, it doesn't necessarily mean a recession is imminent. In this guide, we'll break down exactly what a bear market is, what it means for the markets, and what investors can do to protect their portfolios right now. We'll also cover the types of investments that often hold up best when a bear market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912199252","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918065140,"gmtCreate":1664286987089,"gmtModify":1676537425821,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's wait till the next quarterly earnings report","listText":"Let's wait till the next quarterly earnings report","text":"Let's wait till the next quarterly earnings report","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918065140","repostId":"1105568803","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105568803","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664285769,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105568803?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-27 21:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Stock Jumps 4% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105568803","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab Expects 2026 Breakeven for Digital Bank Operations, Losses to Peak in 2023","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tech group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a> is targeting for its digital bank operations to turn profitable in 2026, chief operating officer Alex Hungate said in an investor presentation on Tuesday (Sep 27).</p><p>Grab Stock Jumps 4% in Morning Trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4868ce18b26045ee655c43dd623dc108\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"671\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The company recently launched its Singapore digital bank, GXS Bank, in a joint venture with Singtel. Grab has also clinched a digital banking licence in Malaysia, and over in Indonesia, owns a stake in Bank Fama.</p><p>The Malaysian and Indonesian digital banks are set to launch in 2023, Hungate said in his Tuesday presentation. With this, losses are expected to peak next year.</p><p>“In 2023, we will spend more than we spent this year on digital bank build. But that will be the peak of the losses (for) investment of the digital bank. And thereafter this strategy will allow us, after the peak losses in 2023, to move to a breakeven position by 2026,” Hungate said.</p><p>Growth will largely be driven by the growth of lending products with improved margins, he added.</p><p>Nasdaq-listed Grab ended Monday at US$2.81, up 2.2 per cent.</p><p></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Stock Jumps 4% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Stock Jumps 4% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-27 21:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Tech group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a> is targeting for its digital bank operations to turn profitable in 2026, chief operating officer Alex Hungate said in an investor presentation on Tuesday (Sep 27).</p><p>Grab Stock Jumps 4% in Morning Trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4868ce18b26045ee655c43dd623dc108\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"671\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The company recently launched its Singapore digital bank, GXS Bank, in a joint venture with Singtel. Grab has also clinched a digital banking licence in Malaysia, and over in Indonesia, owns a stake in Bank Fama.</p><p>The Malaysian and Indonesian digital banks are set to launch in 2023, Hungate said in his Tuesday presentation. With this, losses are expected to peak next year.</p><p>“In 2023, we will spend more than we spent this year on digital bank build. But that will be the peak of the losses (for) investment of the digital bank. And thereafter this strategy will allow us, after the peak losses in 2023, to move to a breakeven position by 2026,” Hungate said.</p><p>Growth will largely be driven by the growth of lending products with improved margins, he added.</p><p>Nasdaq-listed Grab ended Monday at US$2.81, up 2.2 per cent.</p><p></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105568803","content_text":"Tech group Grab is targeting for its digital bank operations to turn profitable in 2026, chief operating officer Alex Hungate said in an investor presentation on Tuesday (Sep 27).Grab Stock Jumps 4% in Morning Trading.The company recently launched its Singapore digital bank, GXS Bank, in a joint venture with Singtel. Grab has also clinched a digital banking licence in Malaysia, and over in Indonesia, owns a stake in Bank Fama.The Malaysian and Indonesian digital banks are set to launch in 2023, Hungate said in his Tuesday presentation. With this, losses are expected to peak next year.“In 2023, we will spend more than we spent this year on digital bank build. But that will be the peak of the losses (for) investment of the digital bank. And thereafter this strategy will allow us, after the peak losses in 2023, to move to a breakeven position by 2026,” Hungate said.Growth will largely be driven by the growth of lending products with improved margins, he added.Nasdaq-listed Grab ended Monday at US$2.81, up 2.2 per cent.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918062705,"gmtCreate":1664286917607,"gmtModify":1676537425813,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thanks for sharing my opinion we are in the capitulation phase","listText":"thanks for sharing my opinion we are in the capitulation phase","text":"thanks for sharing my opinion we are in the capitulation phase","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918062705","repostId":"9911827957","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9911827957,"gmtCreate":1664178028479,"gmtModify":1676537403675,"author":{"id":"3501196737273098","authorId":"3501196737273098","name":"Tiger_comments","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/227887b200e9925968650d5db4a8bfb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3501196737273098","authorIdStr":"3501196737273098"},"themes":[],"title":"Stocks Tumbling, Put Options Volumn Surges, Will You Go Short?","htmlText":"The Federal Reserve unleashed its most aggressive interest-rate increase strategy in decades and signaled more hikes to come as it battles stubbornly high inflation.At Wednesday's FOMC meeting, the Fed raised its target range for the federal funds rate by a third consecutive 75 basis points, from 2.25-2.5% to 3-3.25%, the highest level since early 2008, and the latest interest rate plot also showed a hawk tone.Global capital markets experienced Black Friday on FridayThe<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> fell 1.6% to close at 29,590.4, a June low and the lowest since November 2020. The <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> fell 1.72% to 3,693.23, down 4.65% for the week and 23% for the year. The","listText":"The Federal Reserve unleashed its most aggressive interest-rate increase strategy in decades and signaled more hikes to come as it battles stubbornly high inflation.At Wednesday's FOMC meeting, the Fed raised its target range for the federal funds rate by a third consecutive 75 basis points, from 2.25-2.5% to 3-3.25%, the highest level since early 2008, and the latest interest rate plot also showed a hawk tone.Global capital markets experienced Black Friday on FridayThe<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> fell 1.6% to close at 29,590.4, a June low and the lowest since November 2020. The <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> fell 1.72% to 3,693.23, down 4.65% for the week and 23% for the year. The","text":"The Federal Reserve unleashed its most aggressive interest-rate increase strategy in decades and signaled more hikes to come as it battles stubbornly high inflation.At Wednesday's FOMC meeting, the Fed raised its target range for the federal funds rate by a third consecutive 75 basis points, from 2.25-2.5% to 3-3.25%, the highest level since early 2008, and the latest interest rate plot also showed a hawk tone.Global capital markets experienced Black Friday on FridayThe$DJIA(.DJI)$ fell 1.6% to close at 29,590.4, a June low and the lowest since November 2020. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 1.72% to 3,693.23, down 4.65% for the week and 23% for the year. The","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24cae9e9ece9d7ac98213564e7c6be91","width":"840","height":"470"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b305f9585d4de293385e755ecbf94396","width":"554","height":"311"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911827957","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913946582,"gmtCreate":1663900564546,"gmtModify":1676537359893,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Once a darling in the glove industry now is in a riding the storm phase. In this high inflationary environment, only the strongest company in terms of having ample cash flow will ride through the storm.No dividend. No 3rd listing in Hong Kong in the near future.","listText":"Once a darling in the glove industry now is in a riding the storm phase. In this high inflationary environment, only the strongest company in terms of having ample cash flow will ride through the storm.No dividend. No 3rd listing in Hong Kong in the near future.","text":"Once a darling in the glove industry now is in a riding the storm phase. In this high inflationary environment, only the strongest company in terms of having ample cash flow will ride through the storm.No dividend. No 3rd listing in Hong Kong in the near future.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913946582","repostId":"1115274880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115274880","pubTimestamp":1663897000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115274880?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 09:36","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Top Glove Reported its First-Ever Quarterly Loss: Can Its Share Price Recover?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115274880","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"Top Glove Corporation Berhad (SGX: BVA) continues to face a host of problems even as its share price","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Top Glove Corporation Berhad (SGX: BVA) continues to face a host of problems even as its share price slides to a six-year low of S$0.20.</p><p>The glove maker released its fourth quarter (4Q2022) and full fiscal 2022 (FY2022) earnings this week.</p><p>Disappointingly, the company logged its very-first quarterly loss and warned that tough conditions look set to continue.</p><p>Here are some highlights from the glove manufacturer’s latest earnings.</p><h3>A write-off and quarterly loss</h3><p>With glove demand normalising as the effects of the pandemic wear off, Top Glove saw revenue for 4Q2022 fall sharply by more than half from RM 2.1 billion to RM 990 million.</p><p>Operating expenses, however, only fell by 28.4% year on year to RM 1.1 billion.</p><p>As a result, Top Glove booked an operating loss of RM 41 million and its maiden quarterly net loss of RM 52.6 million.</p><p>The loss occurred after the glove maker wrote down the value of its inventory due to the sharp plunge in average selling prices (ASPs).</p><p>For context, 4Q2022 saw a RM 56 million hit while FY2022 witnessed a RM 229 million one-off expense hitting the bottom line.</p><p>Excluding this write-off, Top Glove would have been marginally profitable with a RM 3.4 million net profit.</p><p>For FY2022, revenue fell 66% year on year to RM 5.6 billion while net profit plunged 96% year on year to RM 236 million.</p><h3>Sales volume and ASPs on the decline</h3><p>Top Glove is facing a long list of problems.</p><p>Overall ASP declined by 5.4% quarter on quarter, with the fall continuing for both nitrile gloves and natural rubber gloves (NR gloves).</p><p>Nitrile and NR glove ASPs were down 10% and 6% quarter on quarter, respectively.</p><p>While the previous quarter saw a 6% quarter on quarter rise in sales volume, 4Q2022 more than erased this good performance with a sharp 35% quarter on quarter fall.</p><p>The fall in both sales volume and ASP was due to aggressive expansion by new and existing players along with customers stockpiling excess inventory.</p><h3>Squeezed by higher costs</h3><p>To make matters worse, production costs are also rising for Top Glove due to high inflation and disrupted supply chains arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Natural gas tariffs have risen close to 60% in FY2022 and were up 10% quarter on quarter.</p><p>Malaysia also implemented a higher minimum wage of RM 1,500 in May 2022 (up 25% from RM 1,200) saw its full impact felt in 4Q2022.</p><p>Packaging materials and chemicals also rose due to inflation, and lower factory utilisation rates meant overall higher unit costs due to operating leverage working against the company.</p><p>While Top Glove has traditionally been able to pass on these higher costs to customers, the company was unable to do so due to the oversupply situation.</p><h3>Sharply curtailed expansion plans</h3><p>The glove manufacturer has further curtailed its expansion plans due to the persistent oversupply situation.</p><p>It now intends to defer its expansion plans in both 2024 and 2025 to end 2025 with just 115 billion pieces per year in production capacity.</p><h3>A sliver of hope</h3><p>It’s not all bad news for the company.</p><p>Executive chairman Lim Wee Chai has announced that Top Glove is raising its ASP by 5% in October to offset some of the cost increases.</p><p>The company is leading the way in raising prices and hopes that its competitors follow suit, but admitted that some customers resisted this price increase.</p><p>It remains to be seen if Top Glove can successfully raise prices, or if predatory pricing from its competitors may erode this advantage.</p><h3>Get Smart: No light at the end of the tunnel yet</h3><p>Management at Top Glove has been candid about the company’s problems.</p><p>The persistent decline in ASP and weak sales volume may persist for several quarters more.</p><p>The shake-up of the industry continues as weaker players exit but predatory pricing is still keeping ASPs low.</p><p>Top Glove has refrained from paying out a final dividend as it seeks to conserve cash to navigate the stormy seas.</p><p>There seems to be no light at the end of the tunnel yet for the world’s largest glove manufacturer.</p><p>Investors should continue to monitor the company for updates as it grapples with a perfect storm of problems.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602567310727","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top Glove Reported its First-Ever Quarterly Loss: Can Its Share Price Recover?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop Glove Reported its First-Ever Quarterly Loss: Can Its Share Price Recover?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 09:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/top-glove-reported-its-first-ever-quarterly-loss-can-its-share-price-recover/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Top Glove Corporation Berhad (SGX: BVA) continues to face a host of problems even as its share price slides to a six-year low of S$0.20.The glove maker released its fourth quarter (4Q2022) and full ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/top-glove-reported-its-first-ever-quarterly-loss-can-its-share-price-recover/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BVA.SI":"顶级手套有限公司"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/top-glove-reported-its-first-ever-quarterly-loss-can-its-share-price-recover/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115274880","content_text":"Top Glove Corporation Berhad (SGX: BVA) continues to face a host of problems even as its share price slides to a six-year low of S$0.20.The glove maker released its fourth quarter (4Q2022) and full fiscal 2022 (FY2022) earnings this week.Disappointingly, the company logged its very-first quarterly loss and warned that tough conditions look set to continue.Here are some highlights from the glove manufacturer’s latest earnings.A write-off and quarterly lossWith glove demand normalising as the effects of the pandemic wear off, Top Glove saw revenue for 4Q2022 fall sharply by more than half from RM 2.1 billion to RM 990 million.Operating expenses, however, only fell by 28.4% year on year to RM 1.1 billion.As a result, Top Glove booked an operating loss of RM 41 million and its maiden quarterly net loss of RM 52.6 million.The loss occurred after the glove maker wrote down the value of its inventory due to the sharp plunge in average selling prices (ASPs).For context, 4Q2022 saw a RM 56 million hit while FY2022 witnessed a RM 229 million one-off expense hitting the bottom line.Excluding this write-off, Top Glove would have been marginally profitable with a RM 3.4 million net profit.For FY2022, revenue fell 66% year on year to RM 5.6 billion while net profit plunged 96% year on year to RM 236 million.Sales volume and ASPs on the declineTop Glove is facing a long list of problems.Overall ASP declined by 5.4% quarter on quarter, with the fall continuing for both nitrile gloves and natural rubber gloves (NR gloves).Nitrile and NR glove ASPs were down 10% and 6% quarter on quarter, respectively.While the previous quarter saw a 6% quarter on quarter rise in sales volume, 4Q2022 more than erased this good performance with a sharp 35% quarter on quarter fall.The fall in both sales volume and ASP was due to aggressive expansion by new and existing players along with customers stockpiling excess inventory.Squeezed by higher costsTo make matters worse, production costs are also rising for Top Glove due to high inflation and disrupted supply chains arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.Natural gas tariffs have risen close to 60% in FY2022 and were up 10% quarter on quarter.Malaysia also implemented a higher minimum wage of RM 1,500 in May 2022 (up 25% from RM 1,200) saw its full impact felt in 4Q2022.Packaging materials and chemicals also rose due to inflation, and lower factory utilisation rates meant overall higher unit costs due to operating leverage working against the company.While Top Glove has traditionally been able to pass on these higher costs to customers, the company was unable to do so due to the oversupply situation.Sharply curtailed expansion plansThe glove manufacturer has further curtailed its expansion plans due to the persistent oversupply situation.It now intends to defer its expansion plans in both 2024 and 2025 to end 2025 with just 115 billion pieces per year in production capacity.A sliver of hopeIt’s not all bad news for the company.Executive chairman Lim Wee Chai has announced that Top Glove is raising its ASP by 5% in October to offset some of the cost increases.The company is leading the way in raising prices and hopes that its competitors follow suit, but admitted that some customers resisted this price increase.It remains to be seen if Top Glove can successfully raise prices, or if predatory pricing from its competitors may erode this advantage.Get Smart: No light at the end of the tunnel yetManagement at Top Glove has been candid about the company’s problems.The persistent decline in ASP and weak sales volume may persist for several quarters more.The shake-up of the industry continues as weaker players exit but predatory pricing is still keeping ASPs low.Top Glove has refrained from paying out a final dividend as it seeks to conserve cash to navigate the stormy seas.There seems to be no light at the end of the tunnel yet for the world’s largest glove manufacturer.Investors should continue to monitor the company for updates as it grapples with a perfect storm of problems.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919306081,"gmtCreate":1663724985844,"gmtModify":1676537323704,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919306081","repostId":"1157331684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157331684","pubTimestamp":1663717564,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157331684?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157331684","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market st","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a week</li><li>Focus turned to short term as market stuck in range trading</li></ul><p>Betting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on where stocks are headed in the months ahead as news bombs hit the tape? You’re far from alone.</p><p>Stocks retreated Tuesday, with the S&amp;P 500 sinking more than 1% on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Wild daily market moves have been so common of late that options traders are loading up on short-term bets at a pace unseen in the post-lockdown era.</p><p>Over the past month, the average daily volume in derivatives contracts linked to the biggest ETF tracking the S&amp;P 500 (ticker SPY) with a maturity within one week spiked to the highest level since at least the start of 2020, data complied by Susquehanna International Group. By contrast, trading in long-dated contracts mostly slowed or stagnated.</p><p>Whether they’re directional wagers or intended as a hedge, it’s hard to tell. But the intense focus on the here and now may reflect a lack of conviction to trade options with longer maturities at a time when the market is stuck in a range. Add on top all the market-moving developments such as last week’s shocking inflation data, and it’s a recipe for traders to shorten their time horizon.</p><p>“There is clearly an enhanced focus on macro events like CPI and the FOMC,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna. “Macro events are driving markets and narratives appear to be turning on a dime. In this kind of an environment, it might make sense to use near-term options to express opinions.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ab5ab34a7a36f3393fa2ee712c60df\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"630\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Susquehanna Source: Susquehanna</span></p><p>To stock investors, the cluster of near-dated options means the cash market is more likely held hostage to the derivatives market. While a controversial narrative, Friday’s $3.2 trillion options expiration, for instance, was viewed in some circles as one catalyst worsening the equity selloff that’s sparked by the hotter-than-expected reading on the consumer price index.</p><p>This year has been a dangerous one for bulls and even bears with all the twists and turns. While the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points Wednesday, any damage from monetary tightening has yet to show up in broad corporate earnings. Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible.</p><p>One standout constant, however, is the market’s propensity to swing wildly around key economic data or policy events. Take Fed day, for instance. The S&amp;P 500 has moved an average 1.9% this year on the day when the central bank announced its policy decision. That’s about double an average for all Fed days in the previous three years.</p><p>Right now, the benchmark index was implied to move about 2% Wednesday, based on an at-the-money straddle strategy that buys an equal number of calls and puts with the same strike price and expiration date.</p><p>Forecasting 2022’s market has been a futile exercise for even professional prognosticators. While many strategists were forced to cut their year-end targets during the S&amp;P 500’s worst first half in five decades, the index has since largely been trapped in a range between 3,600 and 4,300.</p><p>With uncertainty lingering over the Fed’s monetary policy and its impact on the economy, strategists tracked by Bloomberg have shown divergent views on the stock market on a scale rarely seen in history.</p><p>While the long-term outlook remains murky, equities have become a one big trade where the obsession with economic data or Fed speech overwhelms company fundamentals. That backdrop, along with relatively inexpensive options, has contributed to the frenzy of bets on what’s coming in the days ahead, according to Brian Donlin, an equity derivatives strategist at Stifel Nicolaus &amp; Co.</p><p>“Option premiums are cheap relative to the moves we are seeing,” he said. “And we have clear consistent macro data points as catalysts more than ever.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market stuck in range tradingBetting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157331684","content_text":"Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market stuck in range tradingBetting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on where stocks are headed in the months ahead as news bombs hit the tape? You’re far from alone.Stocks retreated Tuesday, with the S&P 500 sinking more than 1% on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Wild daily market moves have been so common of late that options traders are loading up on short-term bets at a pace unseen in the post-lockdown era.Over the past month, the average daily volume in derivatives contracts linked to the biggest ETF tracking the S&P 500 (ticker SPY) with a maturity within one week spiked to the highest level since at least the start of 2020, data complied by Susquehanna International Group. By contrast, trading in long-dated contracts mostly slowed or stagnated.Whether they’re directional wagers or intended as a hedge, it’s hard to tell. But the intense focus on the here and now may reflect a lack of conviction to trade options with longer maturities at a time when the market is stuck in a range. Add on top all the market-moving developments such as last week’s shocking inflation data, and it’s a recipe for traders to shorten their time horizon.“There is clearly an enhanced focus on macro events like CPI and the FOMC,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna. “Macro events are driving markets and narratives appear to be turning on a dime. In this kind of an environment, it might make sense to use near-term options to express opinions.”Source: Susquehanna Source: SusquehannaTo stock investors, the cluster of near-dated options means the cash market is more likely held hostage to the derivatives market. While a controversial narrative, Friday’s $3.2 trillion options expiration, for instance, was viewed in some circles as one catalyst worsening the equity selloff that’s sparked by the hotter-than-expected reading on the consumer price index.This year has been a dangerous one for bulls and even bears with all the twists and turns. While the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points Wednesday, any damage from monetary tightening has yet to show up in broad corporate earnings. Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible.One standout constant, however, is the market’s propensity to swing wildly around key economic data or policy events. Take Fed day, for instance. The S&P 500 has moved an average 1.9% this year on the day when the central bank announced its policy decision. That’s about double an average for all Fed days in the previous three years.Right now, the benchmark index was implied to move about 2% Wednesday, based on an at-the-money straddle strategy that buys an equal number of calls and puts with the same strike price and expiration date.Forecasting 2022’s market has been a futile exercise for even professional prognosticators. While many strategists were forced to cut their year-end targets during the S&P 500’s worst first half in five decades, the index has since largely been trapped in a range between 3,600 and 4,300.With uncertainty lingering over the Fed’s monetary policy and its impact on the economy, strategists tracked by Bloomberg have shown divergent views on the stock market on a scale rarely seen in history.While the long-term outlook remains murky, equities have become a one big trade where the obsession with economic data or Fed speech overwhelms company fundamentals. That backdrop, along with relatively inexpensive options, has contributed to the frenzy of bets on what’s coming in the days ahead, according to Brian Donlin, an equity derivatives strategist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co.“Option premiums are cheap relative to the moves we are seeing,” he said. “And we have clear consistent macro data points as catalysts more than ever.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910719996,"gmtCreate":1663682161415,"gmtModify":1676537314752,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅","listText":"In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅","text":"In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910719996","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937907888,"gmtCreate":1663336489144,"gmtModify":1676537254719,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Capitulation phase again and again. Take note so can magnify away.","listText":"Capitulation phase again and again. Take note so can magnify away.","text":"Capitulation phase again and again. Take note so can magnify away.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937907888","repostId":"1142186136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142186136","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663335158,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142186136?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-16 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Drops 300 Points as Traders Fret over FedEx Warning, Wall Street Heads for Big Weekly Loss","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142186136","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street headed toward a big losing week, and traders absorbed an ugly earn","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street headed toward a big losing week, and traders absorbed an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 335 points, or 1.1%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid 1.2% and 1.4%, respectively.</p><p>Shares of FedEx plunged 23% after the shipments companywithdrew its full-year guidanceand said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as the global economy “significantly worsened.” Transport stocks are typically seen as a leading economic indicator, so FedEx’s announcement could contribute to broader declines on Friday.</p><p>“It very much is a bellwether, certainly traditionally,” Robert Teeter of Silvercrest Asset Management said on CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange.” ”[But] I think one of the things we’ve seen in this pandemic and post-pandemic economy is that different sectors are having different cycles.”</p><p>“No doubt the news the was not positive, and it certainly is a tell on the importance of margins going forward, which we think is a company by company issue,” Teeter added.</p><p>The three major averages were on pace to notch their fourth losing week in five as a comeback rally looks increasingly like a bear market bounce. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined 4.9% this week, while the S&amp;P 500 is 5.3% lower. The Nasdaq Composite is down 6.1%, headed toward its worst weekly loss since June.</p><p>The bulk of the losses came on Tuesday following a surprisingly hot reading in August’s consumer price index report, with the Dow losing 1,200 points in its worst decline in two years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Drops 300 Points as Traders Fret over FedEx Warning, Wall Street Heads for Big Weekly Loss</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Drops 300 Points as Traders Fret over FedEx Warning, Wall Street Heads for Big Weekly Loss\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-16 21:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street headed toward a big losing week, and traders absorbed an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 335 points, or 1.1%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid 1.2% and 1.4%, respectively.</p><p>Shares of FedEx plunged 23% after the shipments companywithdrew its full-year guidanceand said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as the global economy “significantly worsened.” Transport stocks are typically seen as a leading economic indicator, so FedEx’s announcement could contribute to broader declines on Friday.</p><p>“It very much is a bellwether, certainly traditionally,” Robert Teeter of Silvercrest Asset Management said on CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange.” ”[But] I think one of the things we’ve seen in this pandemic and post-pandemic economy is that different sectors are having different cycles.”</p><p>“No doubt the news the was not positive, and it certainly is a tell on the importance of margins going forward, which we think is a company by company issue,” Teeter added.</p><p>The three major averages were on pace to notch their fourth losing week in five as a comeback rally looks increasingly like a bear market bounce. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined 4.9% this week, while the S&amp;P 500 is 5.3% lower. The Nasdaq Composite is down 6.1%, headed toward its worst weekly loss since June.</p><p>The bulk of the losses came on Tuesday following a surprisingly hot reading in August’s consumer price index report, with the Dow losing 1,200 points in its worst decline in two years.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142186136","content_text":"Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street headed toward a big losing week, and traders absorbed an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 335 points, or 1.1%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid 1.2% and 1.4%, respectively.Shares of FedEx plunged 23% after the shipments companywithdrew its full-year guidanceand said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as the global economy “significantly worsened.” Transport stocks are typically seen as a leading economic indicator, so FedEx’s announcement could contribute to broader declines on Friday.“It very much is a bellwether, certainly traditionally,” Robert Teeter of Silvercrest Asset Management said on CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange.” ”[But] I think one of the things we’ve seen in this pandemic and post-pandemic economy is that different sectors are having different cycles.”“No doubt the news the was not positive, and it certainly is a tell on the importance of margins going forward, which we think is a company by company issue,” Teeter added.The three major averages were on pace to notch their fourth losing week in five as a comeback rally looks increasingly like a bear market bounce. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined 4.9% this week, while the S&P 500 is 5.3% lower. The Nasdaq Composite is down 6.1%, headed toward its worst weekly loss since June.The bulk of the losses came on Tuesday following a surprisingly hot reading in August’s consumer price index report, with the Dow losing 1,200 points in its worst decline in two years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938334360,"gmtCreate":1662558336850,"gmtModify":1676537087495,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMTD\">$AMTD International(AMTD)$</a>topping phase back to earth.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMTD\">$AMTD International(AMTD)$</a>topping phase back to earth.","text":"$AMTD International(AMTD)$topping phase back to earth.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63fd8fbb5d4a17594c12ee3109c6de19","width":"1080","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938334360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931273335,"gmtCreate":1662473573827,"gmtModify":1676537068240,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I like the news feed. Keep this up. Any Linux desktop version ?&nbsp;","listText":"I like the news feed. Keep this up. Any Linux desktop version ?&nbsp;","text":"I like the news feed. Keep this up. Any Linux desktop version ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931273335","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931026266,"gmtCreate":1662364496955,"gmtModify":1676537046216,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to transfer asset&nbsp;","listText":"Time to transfer asset&nbsp;","text":"Time to transfer asset","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931026266","repostId":"1139304288","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139304288","pubTimestamp":1662361363,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139304288?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 15:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: How To Play Market Fears Of A \"Superbubble\" Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139304288","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryGMO co-founder joins the chorus of market doomsday voices.The recent stock market rally has h","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>GMO co-founder joins the chorus of market doomsday voices.</li><li>The recent stock market rally has hit a roadblock.</li><li>What are the implications for stocks in a bubble unwind?</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1abc10e12f15de0153baa69fa845f20b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jess Bray/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>In my last (NYSEARCA:SPY) article, I said that we had set the low for a sharp rally in stocks. The market did rally and has now hit resistance, so I will discuss the next pathand the recent talk of bubbles.</p><p><b>Jeremy Grantham joins the list of market Cassandras</b></p><p>In a recent investment note, GMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham was very bearish on markets. The veteran investor talked of an epic finale to a &#39;superbubble&#39; across the financial sector.</p><blockquote>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time. But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: between COVID in China, the war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January. Longer term, a broad and permanent food, and resource shortage is threatening, all made worse by accelerating climate damage.&#34;</blockquote><p>I recently wrote a book called The Stock Market is Easy, and therein lies a chapter on &#34;Phase Transitions&#34; in markets. Grantham notes that phenomenon when he discusses the recent bull market:</p><blockquote>&#34;It is as if there is a phase change in investor behavior. After a long economic upswing and a long bull market, when the financial and economic systems look nearly perfect, especially with low inflation and high-profit margins, as does the friendliness of the authorities, especially toward cheap leverage, there gets to be a flashpoint, like that summer evening when every last flying ant takes off simultaneously. This effect luckily creates measurable events in the market. So you can see the explosion of confidence and speculation and crazy wishful thinking regardless of value however you wish to define it.&#34;</blockquote><p>However, as he summarizes<i>:</i>&#34;These superbubbles, as well as ordinary 2 sigma bubbles, have always - in developed equity markets - broken back to trend. The higher they go, therefore, the further they have to fall.&#34;</p><p>Grantham states that the first leg down from the bull market excess can be &#34;explained&#34; by inflation. He suggests that complacency over inflationary effects on earnings, and overconfidence in central banks may have created a lag from higher inflation to the January 2021 high in stocks.</p><p>He adds:</p><blockquote>&#34;The next leg (down) for the model is likely to be driven by falling margins. Our best guess is that the level of explained P/E will fall toward 15x, compared to the current level of explained P/E of just under 20x, while the actual P/E just rose from 30x to 34x in mid-August in what was probably a bear market rally. Of course, if the model is indeed driven by falling margins in the near future, then the E will fall as well as the P/E… this would imply a substantially lower market than even we have suggested!&#34;</blockquote><p>GMO uses its &#34;explaining P/E&#34; model to highlight overvaluation based on inputs of ROE, inflation volatility, and GDP volatility.</p><p><b>The stock market rally has hit a wall</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edad58c69b6678fbce7a10944d48de06\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY (W) (TradingView)</span></p><p>The stock market rallied around 9% from my last bullish article and hit resistance at $430. Looking at the SPY weekly chart, we can see that it was a perfect rejection from the downtrend resistance created by the January highs. The SPY has also closed on a bearish tone starting for September, and the question is: Where do we go now?</p><p>In GMO&#39;s research, Jeremy Grantham said of two recent papers that he wrote:</p><blockquote>&#34;…in the U.S., the three near-perfect markets with crazy investor behavior and 2.5+ sigma overvaluation <b>have always been followed by big market declines of 50%</b>.&#34;</blockquote><p>If we look at the monthly chart using Fibonacci levels, we can see that a 50% decline would bring the SPY back to the 273 level. The market would first look for support at the 322 level, and that would be the target if the market breaches the recent lows near 380 in September.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9ec90aabe1dfce169792d507465bad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY (M) (TradingView)</span></p><p>Despite the doom and gloom predictions of many in the market, it is not the end of the world if stocks correct by 50% during a time of economic upheaval. However, investors need more than the current attention-seeking headlines and require a real plan for dealing with skewed valuations in different market sectors.</p><p>What are the implications for stocks in a bubble unwind?</p><blockquote><i>As far as you are concerned, the stock market does not exist. Ignore it.</i>- Warren Buffett</blockquote><p>If the stock markets really were to lose 50% of their value from the January highs, then investors have an opportunity to rebalance their portfolios and move to a cautious footing. The reason for doing so would be to capture the bargains that will exist at the lows.</p><p>As the quote from Warren Buffett states, no two sectors are the same, and investors should not get too caught up in the idea of the stock market. That is the real flaw when we continually hear of market bubbles and impending crashes. Investors need to know how to position for potential problems and where to look for investments in a downturn.</p><p>To consider the implications for different sectors, we can go back to GMO&#39;s research, where they highlight their near-term problems:</p><ul><li>Food/energy/fertilizer problems, exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, are even worse in the emerging world (especially Africa). Russia and Belarus account for 40% of global exports of potash, a key fertilizer, driving wheat/corn/soybean prices to records earlier this year. Increased food and energy prices are causing acute trade imbalances and civil disorder in the most vulnerable countries, as seen for example in the extremely rapid virtual collapse of the Sri Lankan economy. The energy shock is now all but guaranteed to tip Europe into recession; while the U.S. market has a long history of ignoring foreign problems and interactions, global growth is assuredly coming down.</li><li>In China, which has carried by far the biggest load of global growth for the last 30 years, too many things are going wrong at the same time. The COVID pandemic continues, massively affecting its economy. Simultaneously, the Chinese property complex - key to Chinese economic growth - is now under dire stress.</li><li>We are coming off one of the greatest fiscal tightenings in history as governments withdraw COVID stimulus, both in the U.S. and globally. Historically, there has been a strong relationship between fiscal tightening and subsequent decline in margins.</li></ul><p>The near-term problems highlighted above serve to warn investors about the current economic outlook and the risks to their portfolios. First, European stocks are at risk from an acute energy crisis.</p><p>I warned subscribers to my weekly marketplace newsletter back in June that Dutch gas futures were turning higher again. The price recently surged to new highs and has led to European government intervention. But the kicker here is that we have only exited the month of August. Temperatures have not even dropped in the European countries, and European citizens are already facing eyewatering energy bills. Investors holding European stocks, or those with big exposure to European markets should make adjustments. Likewise, investors should reconsider stocks with high levels of food/energy inputs. As GMO also mentions, countries such as Sri Lanka have seen political and economic turmoil, and this leaves emerging markets vulnerable. Finally, stocks with big China exposure or a business plan that relies on Chinese expansion are also at risk.</p><p>The real estate turmoil in China is one that is starting to filter outward into other countries. As Grantham says:</p><blockquote>&#34;This real estate weakness is mirrored around the world, with U.S. homebuilding for example now declining rapidly to well below average levels, as perhaps it should given the record unaffordability of new mortgages. The situation looks even worse in those countries where mortgages are typically floating rates. Historically, real estate has been the most important asset class for economic stability.&#34;</blockquote><p>In summary: The recent market rally has stalled and is retreating back to the lows of June and July. This is a time to be defensive, but it is also a chance to exit stocks that could languish at the lows longer than others. What the market Cassandras fail to mention is that the right stocks will be going at bargain prices in another market drop. Domestic U.S. stocks that have little foreign currency exposure, can benefit from higher commodity prices and have higher operating margins and cash to provide a cushion are a good starting point.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>GMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham has said that we are at the end of a Superbubble in financial markets, and he predicts an &#39;epic finale&#39;. This can affect stocks with up to a 50% washout possible, but that would be an opportunity for investors. The January highs and the subsequent downturn have already cleared the excesses from company valuations, and any further losses in the market would create bargain entry points for companies that can weather the current economic turmoil.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: How To Play Market Fears Of A \"Superbubble\" Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: How To Play Market Fears Of A \"Superbubble\" Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 15:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538472-spy-how-to-play-market-fears-of-a-superbubble-burst><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGMO co-founder joins the chorus of market doomsday voices.The recent stock market rally has hit a roadblock.What are the implications for stocks in a bubble unwind?Jess Bray/iStock via Getty ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538472-spy-how-to-play-market-fears-of-a-superbubble-burst\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538472-spy-how-to-play-market-fears-of-a-superbubble-burst","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139304288","content_text":"SummaryGMO co-founder joins the chorus of market doomsday voices.The recent stock market rally has hit a roadblock.What are the implications for stocks in a bubble unwind?Jess Bray/iStock via Getty ImagesIn my last (NYSEARCA:SPY) article, I said that we had set the low for a sharp rally in stocks. The market did rally and has now hit resistance, so I will discuss the next pathand the recent talk of bubbles.Jeremy Grantham joins the list of market CassandrasIn a recent investment note, GMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham was very bearish on markets. The veteran investor talked of an epic finale to a 'superbubble' across the financial sector.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time. But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: between COVID in China, the war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January. Longer term, a broad and permanent food, and resource shortage is threatening, all made worse by accelerating climate damage.\"I recently wrote a book called The Stock Market is Easy, and therein lies a chapter on \"Phase Transitions\" in markets. Grantham notes that phenomenon when he discusses the recent bull market:\"It is as if there is a phase change in investor behavior. After a long economic upswing and a long bull market, when the financial and economic systems look nearly perfect, especially with low inflation and high-profit margins, as does the friendliness of the authorities, especially toward cheap leverage, there gets to be a flashpoint, like that summer evening when every last flying ant takes off simultaneously. This effect luckily creates measurable events in the market. So you can see the explosion of confidence and speculation and crazy wishful thinking regardless of value however you wish to define it.\"However, as he summarizes:\"These superbubbles, as well as ordinary 2 sigma bubbles, have always - in developed equity markets - broken back to trend. The higher they go, therefore, the further they have to fall.\"Grantham states that the first leg down from the bull market excess can be \"explained\" by inflation. He suggests that complacency over inflationary effects on earnings, and overconfidence in central banks may have created a lag from higher inflation to the January 2021 high in stocks.He adds:\"The next leg (down) for the model is likely to be driven by falling margins. Our best guess is that the level of explained P/E will fall toward 15x, compared to the current level of explained P/E of just under 20x, while the actual P/E just rose from 30x to 34x in mid-August in what was probably a bear market rally. Of course, if the model is indeed driven by falling margins in the near future, then the E will fall as well as the P/E… this would imply a substantially lower market than even we have suggested!\"GMO uses its \"explaining P/E\" model to highlight overvaluation based on inputs of ROE, inflation volatility, and GDP volatility.The stock market rally has hit a wallSPY (W) (TradingView)The stock market rallied around 9% from my last bullish article and hit resistance at $430. Looking at the SPY weekly chart, we can see that it was a perfect rejection from the downtrend resistance created by the January highs. The SPY has also closed on a bearish tone starting for September, and the question is: Where do we go now?In GMO's research, Jeremy Grantham said of two recent papers that he wrote:\"…in the U.S., the three near-perfect markets with crazy investor behavior and 2.5+ sigma overvaluation have always been followed by big market declines of 50%.\"If we look at the monthly chart using Fibonacci levels, we can see that a 50% decline would bring the SPY back to the 273 level. The market would first look for support at the 322 level, and that would be the target if the market breaches the recent lows near 380 in September.SPY (M) (TradingView)Despite the doom and gloom predictions of many in the market, it is not the end of the world if stocks correct by 50% during a time of economic upheaval. However, investors need more than the current attention-seeking headlines and require a real plan for dealing with skewed valuations in different market sectors.What are the implications for stocks in a bubble unwind?As far as you are concerned, the stock market does not exist. Ignore it.- Warren BuffettIf the stock markets really were to lose 50% of their value from the January highs, then investors have an opportunity to rebalance their portfolios and move to a cautious footing. The reason for doing so would be to capture the bargains that will exist at the lows.As the quote from Warren Buffett states, no two sectors are the same, and investors should not get too caught up in the idea of the stock market. That is the real flaw when we continually hear of market bubbles and impending crashes. Investors need to know how to position for potential problems and where to look for investments in a downturn.To consider the implications for different sectors, we can go back to GMO's research, where they highlight their near-term problems:Food/energy/fertilizer problems, exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, are even worse in the emerging world (especially Africa). Russia and Belarus account for 40% of global exports of potash, a key fertilizer, driving wheat/corn/soybean prices to records earlier this year. Increased food and energy prices are causing acute trade imbalances and civil disorder in the most vulnerable countries, as seen for example in the extremely rapid virtual collapse of the Sri Lankan economy. The energy shock is now all but guaranteed to tip Europe into recession; while the U.S. market has a long history of ignoring foreign problems and interactions, global growth is assuredly coming down.In China, which has carried by far the biggest load of global growth for the last 30 years, too many things are going wrong at the same time. The COVID pandemic continues, massively affecting its economy. Simultaneously, the Chinese property complex - key to Chinese economic growth - is now under dire stress.We are coming off one of the greatest fiscal tightenings in history as governments withdraw COVID stimulus, both in the U.S. and globally. Historically, there has been a strong relationship between fiscal tightening and subsequent decline in margins.The near-term problems highlighted above serve to warn investors about the current economic outlook and the risks to their portfolios. First, European stocks are at risk from an acute energy crisis.I warned subscribers to my weekly marketplace newsletter back in June that Dutch gas futures were turning higher again. The price recently surged to new highs and has led to European government intervention. But the kicker here is that we have only exited the month of August. Temperatures have not even dropped in the European countries, and European citizens are already facing eyewatering energy bills. Investors holding European stocks, or those with big exposure to European markets should make adjustments. Likewise, investors should reconsider stocks with high levels of food/energy inputs. As GMO also mentions, countries such as Sri Lanka have seen political and economic turmoil, and this leaves emerging markets vulnerable. Finally, stocks with big China exposure or a business plan that relies on Chinese expansion are also at risk.The real estate turmoil in China is one that is starting to filter outward into other countries. As Grantham says:\"This real estate weakness is mirrored around the world, with U.S. homebuilding for example now declining rapidly to well below average levels, as perhaps it should given the record unaffordability of new mortgages. The situation looks even worse in those countries where mortgages are typically floating rates. Historically, real estate has been the most important asset class for economic stability.\"In summary: The recent market rally has stalled and is retreating back to the lows of June and July. This is a time to be defensive, but it is also a chance to exit stocks that could languish at the lows longer than others. What the market Cassandras fail to mention is that the right stocks will be going at bargain prices in another market drop. Domestic U.S. stocks that have little foreign currency exposure, can benefit from higher commodity prices and have higher operating margins and cash to provide a cushion are a good starting point.ConclusionGMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham has said that we are at the end of a Superbubble in financial markets, and he predicts an 'epic finale'. This can affect stocks with up to a 50% washout possible, but that would be an opportunity for investors. The January highs and the subsequent downturn have already cleared the excesses from company valuations, and any further losses in the market would create bargain entry points for companies that can weather the current economic turmoil.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939203465,"gmtCreate":1662107745257,"gmtModify":1676536999443,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for the reminder.&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for the reminder.&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for the reminder. [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939203465","repostId":"1119664964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119664964","pubTimestamp":1662083655,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119664964?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 09:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Mistakes to Avoid When Trading Options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119664964","media":"Bankrate","summary":"Trading options can be appealing for many reasons.Optionscan serve as a hedge against falling stock ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Trading options can be appealing for many reasons.Optionscan serve as a hedge against falling stock prices or give traders the magnifying power of leverage, making options useful in the right situation.</p><p>But traders can also misuse options, and may make common mistakes that derail their strategy. Trading options is generally more complicated than trading stocks, so there are some things you should know before diving in. If you want to trade options, be sure to avoid these common mistakes.</p><h2>1. Not having a trading strategy</h2><p>Trading options has its benefits, but diving in without any sort of trading strategy is not a recipe for success. For example, how will you identify potential trading opportunities? What criteria will you use to determine whether a potential trade is worth pursuing? How much are you willing to lose on a trade that doesn’t go according to plan? These are important questions to answer.</p><p>If you don’t have a clearly defined trading plan, you might end up making random decisions based on emotion or what you heard in the news. When you have a trading plan, your decisions are based simply on whether an opportunity fits within the framework you have created.</p><p>In addition, inexperienced traders sometimes don’t have an exit strategy, which can be a problem. Options can make big moves in either direction. You should know not only how large of a move should trigger action on your part, but also how long you’ll wait before taking action.</p><h2>2. Lack of diversification</h2><p>One of the most common problems when trading options is a lack of diversification. When buying equities, diversification usually means purchasing stock in many different companies. When thinking about options, it means something a little different.</p><p>With options, you have more possibilities than buying promising stocks and selling the losers. You’ll want to deal with both calls and puts, for example. You also have many trading strategies and tactics, such as covered calls, married puts, and bear put spreads. Using multiple options strategies can help you succeed even if one particular strategy is unsuccessful.</p><h2>3. Lack of discipline</h2><p>Options trading requires an acute sense of discipline and self-control. While it can provide wins more quickly than investing in index funds, that isn’t to say it will always produce immediate results. If you want to do well, you must be willing to stick to your strategy.</p><p>For example, options traders can be too quick to sell a winner while holding on to a loser for too long. Or perhaps they wait too long to buy back short options. Options require you to be smart with how you trade if you want to be successful in the long run.</p><h2>4. Using margin to buy options</h2><p>Using a margin loan can be tempting when trading options since it might allow you to make a nice profit without putting up much capital. The problem is that while a margin loan can amplify the wins, it does the same with losses. Buying on margin is risky, whether or not you use it to trade options. Margin calls are also a concern when trading with leverage.</p><p>It’s important that you don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose, but trading options increase the likelihood of that happening. Because of the heavy risk associated with buying on margin, it is usually best left to advanced investors.</p><h2>5. Focusing on illiquid options</h2><p>Liquidity is the ease with which something can be converted into cash. Shares of stock are often quite liquid since they can easily be sold for cash whenever the market is open. But trading options isn’t as simple as selling shares at a given market price.</p><p>Options traders are at the mercy of the bid-ask spread, the difference between what sellers are asking for an asset and what buyers are willing to pay (bid). If there is a big difference between those two prices, you have an illiquid option. That means you might have trouble finding a buyer when needed, which can be a problem, given the occasionally rapid price swings with options.</p><h2>6. Failing to understand technical indicators</h2><p>When trading options, traders must understand the dynamics of option pricing and how they work. For instance, indicators such as the delta, gamma, vega and theta of an option should be second nature to you. If you aren’t familiar with these, it’s best to understand them before getting started.</p><p>For example, delta represents how much the option price is expected to move based on a $1 change in the underlying security. In other words, it tells you the price sensitivity of the option. Similarly, theta explains the effect of time on the option. An effective options trading strategy requires that you know how to read charts and understand the various indicators they show.</p><h2>7. Not accounting for volatility</h2><p>As noted earlier, the options market can be volatile. However, savvy options traders can use this to their advantage. The expected volatility of a stock influences the option’s premium, or the price the options trader pays for the contract. Because of this, understanding volatility will help you determine whether an option is cheap. Your trading strategy should account for volatility so you know whether a contract is worth buying.</p><h2>Bottom line</h2><p>Options allow traders to magnify their gains, but they can be risky if you don’t have the necessary knowledge beforehand. A lack of knowledge could result in key mistakes, such as not having a trading plan, a lack of diversification, or relying too heavily on margin. Like most things, there is a learning curve with options trading that requires learning by doing. But keeping these common mistakes in mind can help make your learning experience a less costly one.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1662083481883","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Mistakes to Avoid When Trading Options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Mistakes to Avoid When Trading Options\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-02 09:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bankrate.com/investing/mistakes-to-avoid-when-trading-options/><strong>Bankrate</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Trading options can be appealing for many reasons.Optionscan serve as a hedge against falling stock prices or give traders the magnifying power of leverage, making options useful in the right ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bankrate.com/investing/mistakes-to-avoid-when-trading-options/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bankrate.com/investing/mistakes-to-avoid-when-trading-options/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119664964","content_text":"Trading options can be appealing for many reasons.Optionscan serve as a hedge against falling stock prices or give traders the magnifying power of leverage, making options useful in the right situation.But traders can also misuse options, and may make common mistakes that derail their strategy. Trading options is generally more complicated than trading stocks, so there are some things you should know before diving in. If you want to trade options, be sure to avoid these common mistakes.1. Not having a trading strategyTrading options has its benefits, but diving in without any sort of trading strategy is not a recipe for success. For example, how will you identify potential trading opportunities? What criteria will you use to determine whether a potential trade is worth pursuing? How much are you willing to lose on a trade that doesn’t go according to plan? These are important questions to answer.If you don’t have a clearly defined trading plan, you might end up making random decisions based on emotion or what you heard in the news. When you have a trading plan, your decisions are based simply on whether an opportunity fits within the framework you have created.In addition, inexperienced traders sometimes don’t have an exit strategy, which can be a problem. Options can make big moves in either direction. You should know not only how large of a move should trigger action on your part, but also how long you’ll wait before taking action.2. Lack of diversificationOne of the most common problems when trading options is a lack of diversification. When buying equities, diversification usually means purchasing stock in many different companies. When thinking about options, it means something a little different.With options, you have more possibilities than buying promising stocks and selling the losers. You’ll want to deal with both calls and puts, for example. You also have many trading strategies and tactics, such as covered calls, married puts, and bear put spreads. Using multiple options strategies can help you succeed even if one particular strategy is unsuccessful.3. Lack of disciplineOptions trading requires an acute sense of discipline and self-control. While it can provide wins more quickly than investing in index funds, that isn’t to say it will always produce immediate results. If you want to do well, you must be willing to stick to your strategy.For example, options traders can be too quick to sell a winner while holding on to a loser for too long. Or perhaps they wait too long to buy back short options. Options require you to be smart with how you trade if you want to be successful in the long run.4. Using margin to buy optionsUsing a margin loan can be tempting when trading options since it might allow you to make a nice profit without putting up much capital. The problem is that while a margin loan can amplify the wins, it does the same with losses. Buying on margin is risky, whether or not you use it to trade options. Margin calls are also a concern when trading with leverage.It’s important that you don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose, but trading options increase the likelihood of that happening. Because of the heavy risk associated with buying on margin, it is usually best left to advanced investors.5. Focusing on illiquid optionsLiquidity is the ease with which something can be converted into cash. Shares of stock are often quite liquid since they can easily be sold for cash whenever the market is open. But trading options isn’t as simple as selling shares at a given market price.Options traders are at the mercy of the bid-ask spread, the difference between what sellers are asking for an asset and what buyers are willing to pay (bid). If there is a big difference between those two prices, you have an illiquid option. That means you might have trouble finding a buyer when needed, which can be a problem, given the occasionally rapid price swings with options.6. Failing to understand technical indicatorsWhen trading options, traders must understand the dynamics of option pricing and how they work. For instance, indicators such as the delta, gamma, vega and theta of an option should be second nature to you. If you aren’t familiar with these, it’s best to understand them before getting started.For example, delta represents how much the option price is expected to move based on a $1 change in the underlying security. In other words, it tells you the price sensitivity of the option. Similarly, theta explains the effect of time on the option. An effective options trading strategy requires that you know how to read charts and understand the various indicators they show.7. Not accounting for volatilityAs noted earlier, the options market can be volatile. However, savvy options traders can use this to their advantage. The expected volatility of a stock influences the option’s premium, or the price the options trader pays for the contract. Because of this, understanding volatility will help you determine whether an option is cheap. Your trading strategy should account for volatility so you know whether a contract is worth buying.Bottom lineOptions allow traders to magnify their gains, but they can be risky if you don’t have the necessary knowledge beforehand. A lack of knowledge could result in key mistakes, such as not having a trading plan, a lack of diversification, or relying too heavily on margin. Like most things, there is a learning curve with options trading that requires learning by doing. But keeping these common mistakes in mind can help make your learning experience a less costly one.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997780000,"gmtCreate":1661855162704,"gmtModify":1676536591221,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another better than expected income statement for second quarter ending 30June2022. Yesterday was Pinduoduo.&nbsp;But be wary of traditional September mid term election negative reaction to the overall stock market&nbsp;","listText":"Another better than expected income statement for second quarter ending 30June2022. Yesterday was Pinduoduo.&nbsp;But be wary of traditional September mid term election negative reaction to the overall stock market&nbsp;","text":"Another better than expected income statement for second quarter ending 30June2022. Yesterday was Pinduoduo. But be wary of traditional September mid term election negative reaction to the overall stock market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997780000","repostId":"1127914996","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127914996","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661850606,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127914996?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IQIYI Reports Q2 Membership Services Revenue Increasing 7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127914996","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"iQIYI, Inc.(Nasdaq: IQ), an innovative market-leading online entertainment service inChina, today an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>iQIYI, Inc.(Nasdaq: IQ), an innovative market-leading online entertainment service inChina, today announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2022.</p><p><b>Second</b><b>Q</b><b>uarter 2022 Highlights</b></p><ul><li>Total revenues were RMB6.7 billion (US$993.8 million1), decreasing 13% year over year.</li><li>Membership services revenue was RMB4.3 billion (US$639.7 million), increasing 7% year over year.</li><li>Operating income was RMB125.8 million (US$18.8 million) and operating income margin was 2%, compared to operating loss ofRMB1.1 billionand operating loss margin of 15% in the same period in 2021.</li><li>Non-GAAP operating income was RMB343.8 million (US$51.3 million) and non-GAAP operating income margin was 5%, compared to non-GAAP operating loss of RMB779.4 million and non-GAAP operating loss margin of 10% in the same period in 2021.</li><li>Net loss attributable to iQIYI was RMB214.0 million (US$31.9 million), compared to net loss attributable to iQIYI of RMB1.4 billion in the same period in 2021.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income attributable to iQIYI was RMB78.3 million (US$11.7 million), compared to non-GAAP net loss attributable to iQIYI of RMB1.1 billion in the same period in 2021.</li></ul><p>&#34;We fought against the gravity of macro downturn throughout the second quarter of 2022 and booked operating profit growth. The process was extremely challenging, but the result was absolutely remarkable.&#34; commented Mr.Yu Gong, Founder, Director, and Chief Executive Officer of iQIYI.&#34;In the third quarter, we built important partnership with Douyin and PAG.This together with the positive momentum of a series of blockbuster new releases makes us more confident than ever that we will be able to deliver greater profit growth in the future.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Our gross margin expanded in the last three consecutive quarters, reflecting ongoing gains in the ROI of our content business. Meanwhile, we kept our spending disciplined and stabilized total operating expenses in the second quarter.&#34; commented Mr.Jun Wang, Chief Financial Officer of iQIYI. &#34;We are committed to building a healthy and sustainable business that generates long-term value for our stakeholders.&#34;</p><p>iQIYI shares gained nearly 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fd3934e918cfec87bc2c285caf7c23e\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>iQIYI Announces US$500 Million Private Placement of Convertible Notes with PAG</b></p><p>iQIYI, Inc. (Nasdaq: IQ) today announced that the Company has entered into a definitive agreement with PAG Asia, PAG Pegasus and/or their affiliates (collectively, the &#34;Investors&#34;), a leading investment firm inAsia, pursuant to which the Investors will subscribe for an aggregate amount of US$500 millionconvertible notes (the &#34;Notes&#34;) to be issued by the Company. The Company has granted the Investors an option, exercisable within two months from the closing date of the transaction, to subscribe for an additional amount of up toUS$50 millionof the Notes, under the same terms and conditions. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2022, subject to closing conditions.</p><p>The Notes will bear an interest rate of 6% per annum and will mature on the fifth anniversary of the issuance date. The Notes may be convertible into the Company&#39;s American depositary shares, each currently representing seven Class A ordinary shares of the Company, at the holder&#39;s option and subject to the terms of the Notes, at a conversion premium of 20% above the volume weighted average price of the 20 trading days prior to, and including,August 29, 2022. Holders of the Notes have the right to require the Company to repurchase for cash all or part of their Notes, at a repurchase price equal to 120% and 130% of the principal amount of the Notes on or shortly after the third anniversary of the issuance date and the fifth anniversary of the issuance date, respectively. Holders also have the right to require the Company to repurchase for cash all or part of their Notes in the event of certain fundamental changes. Upon closing of the transaction and satisfaction of certain condition, PAG Asia shall be entitled to appoint one member to the board of directors of the Company.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IQIYI Reports Q2 Membership Services Revenue Increasing 7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIQIYI Reports Q2 Membership Services Revenue Increasing 7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-30 17:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>iQIYI, Inc.(Nasdaq: IQ), an innovative market-leading online entertainment service inChina, today announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2022.</p><p><b>Second</b><b>Q</b><b>uarter 2022 Highlights</b></p><ul><li>Total revenues were RMB6.7 billion (US$993.8 million1), decreasing 13% year over year.</li><li>Membership services revenue was RMB4.3 billion (US$639.7 million), increasing 7% year over year.</li><li>Operating income was RMB125.8 million (US$18.8 million) and operating income margin was 2%, compared to operating loss ofRMB1.1 billionand operating loss margin of 15% in the same period in 2021.</li><li>Non-GAAP operating income was RMB343.8 million (US$51.3 million) and non-GAAP operating income margin was 5%, compared to non-GAAP operating loss of RMB779.4 million and non-GAAP operating loss margin of 10% in the same period in 2021.</li><li>Net loss attributable to iQIYI was RMB214.0 million (US$31.9 million), compared to net loss attributable to iQIYI of RMB1.4 billion in the same period in 2021.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income attributable to iQIYI was RMB78.3 million (US$11.7 million), compared to non-GAAP net loss attributable to iQIYI of RMB1.1 billion in the same period in 2021.</li></ul><p>&#34;We fought against the gravity of macro downturn throughout the second quarter of 2022 and booked operating profit growth. The process was extremely challenging, but the result was absolutely remarkable.&#34; commented Mr.Yu Gong, Founder, Director, and Chief Executive Officer of iQIYI.&#34;In the third quarter, we built important partnership with Douyin and PAG.This together with the positive momentum of a series of blockbuster new releases makes us more confident than ever that we will be able to deliver greater profit growth in the future.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Our gross margin expanded in the last three consecutive quarters, reflecting ongoing gains in the ROI of our content business. Meanwhile, we kept our spending disciplined and stabilized total operating expenses in the second quarter.&#34; commented Mr.Jun Wang, Chief Financial Officer of iQIYI. &#34;We are committed to building a healthy and sustainable business that generates long-term value for our stakeholders.&#34;</p><p>iQIYI shares gained nearly 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fd3934e918cfec87bc2c285caf7c23e\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>iQIYI Announces US$500 Million Private Placement of Convertible Notes with PAG</b></p><p>iQIYI, Inc. (Nasdaq: IQ) today announced that the Company has entered into a definitive agreement with PAG Asia, PAG Pegasus and/or their affiliates (collectively, the &#34;Investors&#34;), a leading investment firm inAsia, pursuant to which the Investors will subscribe for an aggregate amount of US$500 millionconvertible notes (the &#34;Notes&#34;) to be issued by the Company. The Company has granted the Investors an option, exercisable within two months from the closing date of the transaction, to subscribe for an additional amount of up toUS$50 millionof the Notes, under the same terms and conditions. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2022, subject to closing conditions.</p><p>The Notes will bear an interest rate of 6% per annum and will mature on the fifth anniversary of the issuance date. The Notes may be convertible into the Company&#39;s American depositary shares, each currently representing seven Class A ordinary shares of the Company, at the holder&#39;s option and subject to the terms of the Notes, at a conversion premium of 20% above the volume weighted average price of the 20 trading days prior to, and including,August 29, 2022. Holders of the Notes have the right to require the Company to repurchase for cash all or part of their Notes, at a repurchase price equal to 120% and 130% of the principal amount of the Notes on or shortly after the third anniversary of the issuance date and the fifth anniversary of the issuance date, respectively. Holders also have the right to require the Company to repurchase for cash all or part of their Notes in the event of certain fundamental changes. Upon closing of the transaction and satisfaction of certain condition, PAG Asia shall be entitled to appoint one member to the board of directors of the Company.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IQ":"爱奇艺"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127914996","content_text":"iQIYI, Inc.(Nasdaq: IQ), an innovative market-leading online entertainment service inChina, today announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2022.SecondQuarter 2022 HighlightsTotal revenues were RMB6.7 billion (US$993.8 million1), decreasing 13% year over year.Membership services revenue was RMB4.3 billion (US$639.7 million), increasing 7% year over year.Operating income was RMB125.8 million (US$18.8 million) and operating income margin was 2%, compared to operating loss ofRMB1.1 billionand operating loss margin of 15% in the same period in 2021.Non-GAAP operating income was RMB343.8 million (US$51.3 million) and non-GAAP operating income margin was 5%, compared to non-GAAP operating loss of RMB779.4 million and non-GAAP operating loss margin of 10% in the same period in 2021.Net loss attributable to iQIYI was RMB214.0 million (US$31.9 million), compared to net loss attributable to iQIYI of RMB1.4 billion in the same period in 2021.Non-GAAP net income attributable to iQIYI was RMB78.3 million (US$11.7 million), compared to non-GAAP net loss attributable to iQIYI of RMB1.1 billion in the same period in 2021.\"We fought against the gravity of macro downturn throughout the second quarter of 2022 and booked operating profit growth. The process was extremely challenging, but the result was absolutely remarkable.\" commented Mr.Yu Gong, Founder, Director, and Chief Executive Officer of iQIYI.\"In the third quarter, we built important partnership with Douyin and PAG.This together with the positive momentum of a series of blockbuster new releases makes us more confident than ever that we will be able to deliver greater profit growth in the future.\"\"Our gross margin expanded in the last three consecutive quarters, reflecting ongoing gains in the ROI of our content business. Meanwhile, we kept our spending disciplined and stabilized total operating expenses in the second quarter.\" commented Mr.Jun Wang, Chief Financial Officer of iQIYI. \"We are committed to building a healthy and sustainable business that generates long-term value for our stakeholders.\"iQIYI shares gained nearly 4% in premarket trading.iQIYI Announces US$500 Million Private Placement of Convertible Notes with PAGiQIYI, Inc. (Nasdaq: IQ) today announced that the Company has entered into a definitive agreement with PAG Asia, PAG Pegasus and/or their affiliates (collectively, the \"Investors\"), a leading investment firm inAsia, pursuant to which the Investors will subscribe for an aggregate amount of US$500 millionconvertible notes (the \"Notes\") to be issued by the Company. The Company has granted the Investors an option, exercisable within two months from the closing date of the transaction, to subscribe for an additional amount of up toUS$50 millionof the Notes, under the same terms and conditions. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2022, subject to closing conditions.The Notes will bear an interest rate of 6% per annum and will mature on the fifth anniversary of the issuance date. The Notes may be convertible into the Company's American depositary shares, each currently representing seven Class A ordinary shares of the Company, at the holder's option and subject to the terms of the Notes, at a conversion premium of 20% above the volume weighted average price of the 20 trading days prior to, and including,August 29, 2022. Holders of the Notes have the right to require the Company to repurchase for cash all or part of their Notes, at a repurchase price equal to 120% and 130% of the principal amount of the Notes on or shortly after the third anniversary of the issuance date and the fifth anniversary of the issuance date, respectively. Holders also have the right to require the Company to repurchase for cash all or part of their Notes in the event of certain fundamental changes. Upon closing of the transaction and satisfaction of certain condition, PAG Asia shall be entitled to appoint one member to the board of directors of the Company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9910719996,"gmtCreate":1663682161415,"gmtModify":1676537314752,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅","listText":"In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅","text":"In Singapore, using Tiger Broker to fund the account can be as seamless as it can be.Same name as account holder to tackle AML and KYC requirements.Segregation of broker account for direct deposit such as Fast transfer. Perhaps can include PAYNOW facilities.Keep up the good work Tiger Broker 👏🇸🇬🐅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910719996","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9014337034,"gmtCreate":1649602642048,"gmtModify":1676534536506,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Free lifetime commission will decrease their revenue. CPA priorities now. Growth momentum.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Free lifetime commission will decrease their revenue. CPA priorities now. Growth momentum.","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Free lifetime commission will decrease their revenue. CPA priorities now. Growth momentum.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a535c1dd5501f9ebb7dfc8196841954","width":"1080","height":"3328"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9014337034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3584407285056666","authorId":"3584407285056666","name":"prestomanik","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/291a6fc2eda70ba0370b0b9146e01fa6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584407285056666","authorIdStr":"3584407285056666"},"content":"hang on tight!!! competition is strong but you stand out too :D","text":"hang on tight!!! competition is strong but you stand out too :D","html":"hang on tight!!! competition is strong but you stand out too :D"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999135967,"gmtCreate":1660487066561,"gmtModify":1676533478741,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ASHR\">$X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares Fund(ASHR)$</a>Geo Political factors on the table. Retracement too on the table.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ASHR\">$X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares Fund(ASHR)$</a>Geo Political factors on the table. Retracement too on the table.&nbsp;","text":"$X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares Fund(ASHR)$Geo Political factors on the table. Retracement too on the table.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/357f23da0616d39893f8db5ec8bc3175","width":"1080","height":"2190"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999135967","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9083295481,"gmtCreate":1650120691153,"gmtModify":1676534651196,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>Elon should just build a new app and get it listed&nbsp; but time frame about 36months. So it make sense to just acquire Twitter now. More drama next week&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>Elon should just build a new app and get it listed&nbsp; but time frame about 36months. So it make sense to just acquire Twitter now. More drama next week&nbsp;","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$Elon should just build a new app and get it listed but time frame about 36months. So it make sense to just acquire Twitter now. More drama next week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5dcca446488ca0387e7ec183e3d62dc4","width":"1080","height":"3215"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083295481","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940150676,"gmtCreate":1677764851796,"gmtModify":1677764855873,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/EDU\">$New Oriental Education &amp; Technology(EDU)$&nbsp;</a>Good push&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/EDU\">$New Oriental Education &amp; Technology(EDU)$&nbsp;</a>Good push&nbsp;","text":"$New Oriental Education & Technology(EDU)$ Good push","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/781fdcff0f5f54dbb3954ec680a7a1cb","width":"1125","height":"2187"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940150676","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962211852,"gmtCreate":1669780530377,"gmtModify":1676538242138,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Corporate governance handled by a bunch of&nbsp;kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor&nbsp;are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Corporate governance handled by a bunch of&nbsp;kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor&nbsp;are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Corporate governance handled by a bunch of kids. No accountabilities, zero transparency. The user funds and major investor are as good as a dust. Even major investor like Temasek, Softbank did not see this coming. All types of investment inherit certain risk.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962211852","repostId":"2287859746","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2287859746","pubTimestamp":1669768217,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2287859746?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-30 08:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Who Can Turn off the Websites?\": Inside Bankman-Fried’s Chaotic Final Days in Charge of FTX","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287859746","media":"The Sydney Morning Herald","summary":"When the cryptocurrency exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 11, the company’s founder, Sam","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>When the cryptocurrency exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 11, the company’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, announced the news in a contrite message on Twitter.</p><p>But his attempt to calm the situation belied what had just taken place within the company. As the crisis unfolded, a group of FTX lawyers and executives moved to strip authority from Bankman-Fried and urged the company’s top leaders to prepare for bankruptcy. For days, Bankman-Fried ignored their warnings and clung to power, seemingly convinced that he could save the firm, despite mounting evidence to the contrary.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7817164bdd32445ac4f1e4197abf2ee9\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Before his empire fell, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried had agreed to several deals that are now in limbo, including the purchase of Voyager.Credit:Bloomberg</p><p>“The exchanges must be halted immediately,” Ryne Miller, a top FTX lawyer, wrote in an email to Bankman-Fried and other staff November 10. “The founding team is not currently in a cooperative posture.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried eventually relented, stepping down as FTX’s chief executive and authorising the company to file for bankruptcy. Dozens of pages of internal company emails and texts obtained by <i>The New York Times</i> offer a detailed look at those chaotic final days, as messages flew back and forth among FTX officials who seemed to be growing increasingly irritated with the 30-year-old founder.</p><p>Throughout, Bankman-Fried appeared deluded about FTX’s prospects, insisting that he could find a way to keep the company running, the documents show. A day before the bankruptcy filing, he told employees that he was trying to raise new funding, and as recently as last week he said he regretted authorising the bankruptcy.</p><p>The messages reviewed by <i>The Times</i> and interviews with insiders show how a small group of lawyers and executives struggled to get through to Bankman-Fried, even appealing to his father as they pressed their case. While Bankman-Fried was scrambling to line up investors, Miller sent a text to top staff describing the prospect of a fundraise as “0% likelihood.”</p><p>The push and pull continued into the early hours of November 11, when Miller sent a series of messages urging Bankman-Fried to sign papers so the company could file for bankruptcy.</p><p>“Please can you sign the document,” he wrote at 2:29 a.m.</p><p>FTX’s implosion has set off one of the worst upheavals in the history of crypto. Until this month, Bankman-Fried was regarded as one of the few trustworthy figures in a freewheeling, loosely regulated industry. He built a business empire, invested in smaller crypto firms and lobbied aggressively in Washington.</p><p>Now his actions are devastating the industry. Hundreds of thousands of customers stored their funds on FTX, which provided a marketplace for people to buy and sell digital coins; the exchange owes its creditors an estimated $US8 billion ($12 billion). And since the implosion, several major crypto firms with close ties to FTX have come under mounting financial pressure, as fears grow that the collapse could cause other companies to fail. On Monday, the crypto lender BlockFi filed for bankruptcy, citing the fallout from FTX’s disintegration.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f2132b7d404efd1ddccd3bc0e6eb7d\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The FTX saga has left the entire industry crypto industry rattled. Credit:Getty</p><p>The legal ramifications are only beginning to take shape. Justice Department prosecutors are investigating FTX’s downfall, focusing on whether the exchange broke the law by lending its customers’ funds to the hedge fund Alameda Research, which Bankman-Fried also founded and owned. In bankruptcy court, FTX’s new chief executive has harshly criticised Bankman-Fried’s management of the company, calling it a “complete failure of corporate control.”</p><p>Reached by phone Sunday night, Bankman-Fried declined to address the messages that top executives exchanged leading up to the bankruptcy filing. But he said that even after FTX’s collapse, he had found “numerous parties” willing to invest funds. He declined to name any of the possible investors.</p><p>Miller and an FTX spokesman declined to comment.</p><p>The crisis began November 8, when Bankman-Fried announced that a run on deposits at FTX had forced him to sell the company to one of its bitterest rivals, Binance. For about a day, the deal raised the prospect that FTX could survive as part of a giant exchange run by Binance. But after reviewing FTX’s financial records, Binance pulled out of the agreement, citing issues with “corporate due diligence.”</p><p>“Sam, I’m sorry,” Binance’s founder, Changpeng Zhao, wrote in a text message to Bankman-Fried. “But we won’t be able to continue this deal. Way too many issues. CZ.”</p><p>With FTX swiftly unravelling, Miller tried to seize control of the situation. A former lawyer for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Miller had served as general counsel of FTX’s U.S. arm since August 2021. While he never belonged to Bankman-Fried’s main circle of advisers in the Bahamas, where FTX was based, he had accompanied the young executive in meetings with regulators in Washington.</p><p>Early in the crisis, Caroline Ellison, the chief executive of Alameda, wrote in a group chat with Miller that she was “kinda worried that everyone is gonna quit/take time off,” adding an emoticon of a sweating face. Miller responded November 9 that FTX needed “a professional manager vested with decision-making authority.”</p><p>That afternoon, Miller asked Bankman-Fried and two other executives to shut down trading on FTX’s platforms</p><p>“Who can turn off the websites?” he asked in a group chat at 4:41 p.m.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> minutes later, he got a response from Constance Wang, FTX’s chief operating officer and one of Bankman-Fried’s top lieutenants.</p><p>“Ryne, I love you,” she wrote, “but I don’t want to stop trying yet.”</p><p>Miller and other FTX executives also urged Bankman-Fried to give up some control of his business empire. At one point, Zach Dexter, an executive who worked on FTX’s American business, asked Bankman-Fried to delegate authority over US operations to him and Miller. In an exchange on the messaging system Slack, Bankman-Fried at first appeared to dodge Dexter’s question. Instead, he responded with proposed language for a banner on FTX’s US website.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/116265319d5567b7160bed4ca533e339\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since the implosion, several major crypto firms with close ties to FTX have come under mounting financial pressure,Credit:AP</p><p>Soon other FTX officials joined in, urging Bankman-Fried to forgo some control.</p><p>But Bankman-Fried seemed convinced he could save FTX. In a message to employees November 10, he announced that he was hoping to secure new financing from crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun. FTX had “a lot theoretically in and/or potentially for the raise,” he wrote.</p><p>Behind the scenes, pressure was growing to appoint a new executive to lead the exchange. On the night of November 9, Andrew Dietderich, a lawyer at Sullivan &amp; Cromwell, sent FTX executives the resume of John Jay Ray III, a corporate turnaround expert who had led the unwinding of Enron after the energy company’s collapse in an accounting scandal in 2001.</p><p>“Sam this is an excellent pick and I wholeheartedly hope you sign this tonight,” Dexter wrote in an email on the evening of November 10. “The faster John is in place, the faster the company can resolve issues that require urgent progress.”</p><p>A flurry of emails followed. In a message at 3:38 a.m. on November 11, Miller asked for an update on Bankman-Fried’s decision.</p><p>“I am chatting with Sam,” responded Ken Ziman, a lawyer at the firm Paul Weiss who was representing Bankman-Fried.</p><p>Ten minutes later, Ziman confirmed that Bankman-Fried had signed the document, authorising Ray to take over FTX. The company filed for bankruptcy a few hours later.</p><p>Bankman-Fried was also frustrated. Despite giving up control of FTX, he continued contacting possible investors about new funding for the exchange. In a letter to former colleagues last week, he said he regretted filing for bankruptcy, claiming that “potential interest in billions of dollars of funding came in roughly eight minutes after I signed the Chapter 11 docs.”</p><p>He presented no evidence for that claim, and in any case, FTX was no longer his company to run. On the morning of November 11, Miller moved quickly to make that clear, requesting the deletion of information about the firm’s old leadership from its website.</p><p>“Who can go to FTX.com and FTX US and remove the pictures and bios of the people under ‘about,’” he asked in a group chat with other executives.</p></body></html>","source":"smh_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Who Can Turn off the Websites?\": Inside Bankman-Fried’s Chaotic Final Days in Charge of FTX</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Who Can Turn off the Websites?\": Inside Bankman-Fried’s Chaotic Final Days in Charge of FTX\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-30 08:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/who-can-turn-off-the-websites-inside-bankman-fried-s-chaotic-final-days-in-charge-of-ftx-20221130-p5c2ct.html><strong>The Sydney Morning Herald</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When the cryptocurrency exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 11, the company’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, announced the news in a contrite message on Twitter.But his attempt to calm the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/who-can-turn-off-the-websites-inside-bankman-fried-s-chaotic-final-days-in-charge-of-ftx-20221130-p5c2ct.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/who-can-turn-off-the-websites-inside-bankman-fried-s-chaotic-final-days-in-charge-of-ftx-20221130-p5c2ct.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2287859746","content_text":"When the cryptocurrency exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 11, the company’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, announced the news in a contrite message on Twitter.But his attempt to calm the situation belied what had just taken place within the company. As the crisis unfolded, a group of FTX lawyers and executives moved to strip authority from Bankman-Fried and urged the company’s top leaders to prepare for bankruptcy. For days, Bankman-Fried ignored their warnings and clung to power, seemingly convinced that he could save the firm, despite mounting evidence to the contrary.Before his empire fell, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried had agreed to several deals that are now in limbo, including the purchase of Voyager.Credit:Bloomberg“The exchanges must be halted immediately,” Ryne Miller, a top FTX lawyer, wrote in an email to Bankman-Fried and other staff November 10. “The founding team is not currently in a cooperative posture.”Bankman-Fried eventually relented, stepping down as FTX’s chief executive and authorising the company to file for bankruptcy. Dozens of pages of internal company emails and texts obtained by The New York Times offer a detailed look at those chaotic final days, as messages flew back and forth among FTX officials who seemed to be growing increasingly irritated with the 30-year-old founder.Throughout, Bankman-Fried appeared deluded about FTX’s prospects, insisting that he could find a way to keep the company running, the documents show. A day before the bankruptcy filing, he told employees that he was trying to raise new funding, and as recently as last week he said he regretted authorising the bankruptcy.The messages reviewed by The Times and interviews with insiders show how a small group of lawyers and executives struggled to get through to Bankman-Fried, even appealing to his father as they pressed their case. While Bankman-Fried was scrambling to line up investors, Miller sent a text to top staff describing the prospect of a fundraise as “0% likelihood.”The push and pull continued into the early hours of November 11, when Miller sent a series of messages urging Bankman-Fried to sign papers so the company could file for bankruptcy.“Please can you sign the document,” he wrote at 2:29 a.m.FTX’s implosion has set off one of the worst upheavals in the history of crypto. Until this month, Bankman-Fried was regarded as one of the few trustworthy figures in a freewheeling, loosely regulated industry. He built a business empire, invested in smaller crypto firms and lobbied aggressively in Washington.Now his actions are devastating the industry. Hundreds of thousands of customers stored their funds on FTX, which provided a marketplace for people to buy and sell digital coins; the exchange owes its creditors an estimated $US8 billion ($12 billion). And since the implosion, several major crypto firms with close ties to FTX have come under mounting financial pressure, as fears grow that the collapse could cause other companies to fail. On Monday, the crypto lender BlockFi filed for bankruptcy, citing the fallout from FTX’s disintegration.The FTX saga has left the entire industry crypto industry rattled. Credit:GettyThe legal ramifications are only beginning to take shape. Justice Department prosecutors are investigating FTX’s downfall, focusing on whether the exchange broke the law by lending its customers’ funds to the hedge fund Alameda Research, which Bankman-Fried also founded and owned. In bankruptcy court, FTX’s new chief executive has harshly criticised Bankman-Fried’s management of the company, calling it a “complete failure of corporate control.”Reached by phone Sunday night, Bankman-Fried declined to address the messages that top executives exchanged leading up to the bankruptcy filing. But he said that even after FTX’s collapse, he had found “numerous parties” willing to invest funds. He declined to name any of the possible investors.Miller and an FTX spokesman declined to comment.The crisis began November 8, when Bankman-Fried announced that a run on deposits at FTX had forced him to sell the company to one of its bitterest rivals, Binance. For about a day, the deal raised the prospect that FTX could survive as part of a giant exchange run by Binance. But after reviewing FTX’s financial records, Binance pulled out of the agreement, citing issues with “corporate due diligence.”“Sam, I’m sorry,” Binance’s founder, Changpeng Zhao, wrote in a text message to Bankman-Fried. “But we won’t be able to continue this deal. Way too many issues. CZ.”With FTX swiftly unravelling, Miller tried to seize control of the situation. A former lawyer for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Miller had served as general counsel of FTX’s U.S. arm since August 2021. While he never belonged to Bankman-Fried’s main circle of advisers in the Bahamas, where FTX was based, he had accompanied the young executive in meetings with regulators in Washington.Early in the crisis, Caroline Ellison, the chief executive of Alameda, wrote in a group chat with Miller that she was “kinda worried that everyone is gonna quit/take time off,” adding an emoticon of a sweating face. Miller responded November 9 that FTX needed “a professional manager vested with decision-making authority.”That afternoon, Miller asked Bankman-Fried and two other executives to shut down trading on FTX’s platforms“Who can turn off the websites?” he asked in a group chat at 4:41 p.m.Two minutes later, he got a response from Constance Wang, FTX’s chief operating officer and one of Bankman-Fried’s top lieutenants.“Ryne, I love you,” she wrote, “but I don’t want to stop trying yet.”Miller and other FTX executives also urged Bankman-Fried to give up some control of his business empire. At one point, Zach Dexter, an executive who worked on FTX’s American business, asked Bankman-Fried to delegate authority over US operations to him and Miller. In an exchange on the messaging system Slack, Bankman-Fried at first appeared to dodge Dexter’s question. Instead, he responded with proposed language for a banner on FTX’s US website.Since the implosion, several major crypto firms with close ties to FTX have come under mounting financial pressure,Credit:APSoon other FTX officials joined in, urging Bankman-Fried to forgo some control.But Bankman-Fried seemed convinced he could save FTX. In a message to employees November 10, he announced that he was hoping to secure new financing from crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun. FTX had “a lot theoretically in and/or potentially for the raise,” he wrote.Behind the scenes, pressure was growing to appoint a new executive to lead the exchange. On the night of November 9, Andrew Dietderich, a lawyer at Sullivan & Cromwell, sent FTX executives the resume of John Jay Ray III, a corporate turnaround expert who had led the unwinding of Enron after the energy company’s collapse in an accounting scandal in 2001.“Sam this is an excellent pick and I wholeheartedly hope you sign this tonight,” Dexter wrote in an email on the evening of November 10. “The faster John is in place, the faster the company can resolve issues that require urgent progress.”A flurry of emails followed. In a message at 3:38 a.m. on November 11, Miller asked for an update on Bankman-Fried’s decision.“I am chatting with Sam,” responded Ken Ziman, a lawyer at the firm Paul Weiss who was representing Bankman-Fried.Ten minutes later, Ziman confirmed that Bankman-Fried had signed the document, authorising Ray to take over FTX. The company filed for bankruptcy a few hours later.Bankman-Fried was also frustrated. Despite giving up control of FTX, he continued contacting possible investors about new funding for the exchange. In a letter to former colleagues last week, he said he regretted filing for bankruptcy, claiming that “potential interest in billions of dollars of funding came in roughly eight minutes after I signed the Chapter 11 docs.”He presented no evidence for that claim, and in any case, FTX was no longer his company to run. On the morning of November 11, Miller moved quickly to make that clear, requesting the deletion of information about the firm’s old leadership from its website.“Who can go to FTX.com and FTX US and remove the pictures and bios of the people under ‘about,’” he asked in a group chat with other executives.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9014570185,"gmtCreate":1649688260536,"gmtModify":1676534551584,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>is it better value than Tiger?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>is it better value than Tiger?","text":"$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$is it better value than Tiger?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3322964bd3539613c8b143844fc005b9","width":"1080","height":"3237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9014570185","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4096093486770560","authorId":"4096093486770560","name":"highhand","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/200574f2d0554f4c05c65c156ddc6e73","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4096093486770560","authorIdStr":"4096093486770560"},"content":"but surely the \"Tiger\" will eat up the \"Moo Moo Cow\"right?","text":"but surely the \"Tiger\" will eat up the \"Moo Moo Cow\"right?","html":"but surely the \"Tiger\" will eat up the \"Moo Moo Cow\"right?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919306081,"gmtCreate":1663724985844,"gmtModify":1676537323704,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919306081","repostId":"1157331684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157331684","pubTimestamp":1663717564,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157331684?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157331684","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market st","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a week</li><li>Focus turned to short term as market stuck in range trading</li></ul><p>Betting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on where stocks are headed in the months ahead as news bombs hit the tape? You’re far from alone.</p><p>Stocks retreated Tuesday, with the S&amp;P 500 sinking more than 1% on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Wild daily market moves have been so common of late that options traders are loading up on short-term bets at a pace unseen in the post-lockdown era.</p><p>Over the past month, the average daily volume in derivatives contracts linked to the biggest ETF tracking the S&amp;P 500 (ticker SPY) with a maturity within one week spiked to the highest level since at least the start of 2020, data complied by Susquehanna International Group. By contrast, trading in long-dated contracts mostly slowed or stagnated.</p><p>Whether they’re directional wagers or intended as a hedge, it’s hard to tell. But the intense focus on the here and now may reflect a lack of conviction to trade options with longer maturities at a time when the market is stuck in a range. Add on top all the market-moving developments such as last week’s shocking inflation data, and it’s a recipe for traders to shorten their time horizon.</p><p>“There is clearly an enhanced focus on macro events like CPI and the FOMC,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna. “Macro events are driving markets and narratives appear to be turning on a dime. In this kind of an environment, it might make sense to use near-term options to express opinions.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ab5ab34a7a36f3393fa2ee712c60df\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"630\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Susquehanna Source: Susquehanna</span></p><p>To stock investors, the cluster of near-dated options means the cash market is more likely held hostage to the derivatives market. While a controversial narrative, Friday’s $3.2 trillion options expiration, for instance, was viewed in some circles as one catalyst worsening the equity selloff that’s sparked by the hotter-than-expected reading on the consumer price index.</p><p>This year has been a dangerous one for bulls and even bears with all the twists and turns. While the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points Wednesday, any damage from monetary tightening has yet to show up in broad corporate earnings. Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible.</p><p>One standout constant, however, is the market’s propensity to swing wildly around key economic data or policy events. Take Fed day, for instance. The S&amp;P 500 has moved an average 1.9% this year on the day when the central bank announced its policy decision. That’s about double an average for all Fed days in the previous three years.</p><p>Right now, the benchmark index was implied to move about 2% Wednesday, based on an at-the-money straddle strategy that buys an equal number of calls and puts with the same strike price and expiration date.</p><p>Forecasting 2022’s market has been a futile exercise for even professional prognosticators. While many strategists were forced to cut their year-end targets during the S&amp;P 500’s worst first half in five decades, the index has since largely been trapped in a range between 3,600 and 4,300.</p><p>With uncertainty lingering over the Fed’s monetary policy and its impact on the economy, strategists tracked by Bloomberg have shown divergent views on the stock market on a scale rarely seen in history.</p><p>While the long-term outlook remains murky, equities have become a one big trade where the obsession with economic data or Fed speech overwhelms company fundamentals. That backdrop, along with relatively inexpensive options, has contributed to the frenzy of bets on what’s coming in the days ahead, according to Brian Donlin, an equity derivatives strategist at Stifel Nicolaus &amp; Co.</p><p>“Option premiums are cheap relative to the moves we are seeing,” he said. “And we have clear consistent macro data points as catalysts more than ever.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market stuck in range tradingBetting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157331684","content_text":"Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market stuck in range tradingBetting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on where stocks are headed in the months ahead as news bombs hit the tape? You’re far from alone.Stocks retreated Tuesday, with the S&P 500 sinking more than 1% on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Wild daily market moves have been so common of late that options traders are loading up on short-term bets at a pace unseen in the post-lockdown era.Over the past month, the average daily volume in derivatives contracts linked to the biggest ETF tracking the S&P 500 (ticker SPY) with a maturity within one week spiked to the highest level since at least the start of 2020, data complied by Susquehanna International Group. By contrast, trading in long-dated contracts mostly slowed or stagnated.Whether they’re directional wagers or intended as a hedge, it’s hard to tell. But the intense focus on the here and now may reflect a lack of conviction to trade options with longer maturities at a time when the market is stuck in a range. Add on top all the market-moving developments such as last week’s shocking inflation data, and it’s a recipe for traders to shorten their time horizon.“There is clearly an enhanced focus on macro events like CPI and the FOMC,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna. “Macro events are driving markets and narratives appear to be turning on a dime. In this kind of an environment, it might make sense to use near-term options to express opinions.”Source: Susquehanna Source: SusquehannaTo stock investors, the cluster of near-dated options means the cash market is more likely held hostage to the derivatives market. While a controversial narrative, Friday’s $3.2 trillion options expiration, for instance, was viewed in some circles as one catalyst worsening the equity selloff that’s sparked by the hotter-than-expected reading on the consumer price index.This year has been a dangerous one for bulls and even bears with all the twists and turns. While the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points Wednesday, any damage from monetary tightening has yet to show up in broad corporate earnings. Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible.One standout constant, however, is the market’s propensity to swing wildly around key economic data or policy events. Take Fed day, for instance. The S&P 500 has moved an average 1.9% this year on the day when the central bank announced its policy decision. That’s about double an average for all Fed days in the previous three years.Right now, the benchmark index was implied to move about 2% Wednesday, based on an at-the-money straddle strategy that buys an equal number of calls and puts with the same strike price and expiration date.Forecasting 2022’s market has been a futile exercise for even professional prognosticators. While many strategists were forced to cut their year-end targets during the S&P 500’s worst first half in five decades, the index has since largely been trapped in a range between 3,600 and 4,300.With uncertainty lingering over the Fed’s monetary policy and its impact on the economy, strategists tracked by Bloomberg have shown divergent views on the stock market on a scale rarely seen in history.While the long-term outlook remains murky, equities have become a one big trade where the obsession with economic data or Fed speech overwhelms company fundamentals. That backdrop, along with relatively inexpensive options, has contributed to the frenzy of bets on what’s coming in the days ahead, according to Brian Donlin, an equity derivatives strategist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co.“Option premiums are cheap relative to the moves we are seeing,” he said. “And we have clear consistent macro data points as catalysts more than ever.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9003683634,"gmtCreate":1640961694621,"gmtModify":1676533558838,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIDI\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$</a>under price before HK new listing&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIDI\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$</a>under price before HK new listing&nbsp;","text":"$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$under price before HK new listing","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/17ab645e0cf1ffba56f2b8da5938dcee","width":"1080","height":"3415"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9003683634","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998074841,"gmtCreate":1660911245985,"gmtModify":1676536422086,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Plus 19Aug2022 options expiry date too. Pressure too strong.","listText":"Plus 19Aug2022 options expiry date too. Pressure too strong.","text":"Plus 19Aug2022 options expiry date too. Pressure too strong.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998074841","repostId":"1156913631","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156913631","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660910126,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156913631?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-19 19:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 280 Points; Bed Bath & Beyond Plunged 42.7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156913631","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday after Federal Reserve officials said the central bank needs ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday after Federal Reserve officials said the central bank needs to keep raising interest rates to rein in inflation, while deliberating on how fast and how high to lift them.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:54 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 287 points, or 0.84%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 44 points, or 1.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 156 points, or 1.15%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1528f9205014e3891697d8ee403e3a28\" tg-width=\"444\" tg-height=\"181\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p>Deere(DE) – Deere slid 5.2% in premarket trading after the heavy equipment maker missed quarterly earnings estimates despite higher-than-expected sales. Deere earned $6.16 per share, below the consensus estimate of $6.69, as it successfully implemented price hikes but also faced higher costs. The company also cut its full-year forecast.</p><p>Foot Locker(FL) – Foot Locker surged 17.4% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel retailer’s quarterly earnings beat analyst forecasts, and the company also announced aCEO transition. FormerUlta Beauty(ULTA) CEO Mary Dillon will replace Richard Johnson as CEO on Sept. 1.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) – Bed Bath &amp; Beyond plunged 42.7% in premarket tradingfollowing newsthat investor Ryan Cohen had sold his entire stake in the housewares retailer, garnering a profit of more than $58 million.</p><p>Ross Stores(ROST) – Ross Stores reported better-than-expected earnings for its latest quarter, but its revenue was below Wall Street forecasts, and the company issued a weaker than expected full-year outlook. The company said its results were impacted by higher costs as well as increased promotional activity. The stock fell 1% in premarket action.</p><p>Applied Materials(AMAT) – Applied Materials beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly profit of $1.94 per share, and the maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment saw revenue top forecasts as well. It also gave an upbeat current quarter revenue forecast as chipmakers increase production.</p><p>Coinbase(COIN) – The crypto exchange operator’s stock slid 8.6% in premarket trading, falling in sympathy with the sudden overnight drop in bitcoin prices.Microstrategy(MSTR), the business analytics company with extensive bitcoin holdings, saw its stock fall 9.3%.</p><p>Home Depot(HD) – Home Depot announced a new $15 billion share repurchase program, replacing a prior authorization. The home improvement retailer also announced that CEO Ted Decker will replace former CEO Craig Menear as chairman, effective October 1.</p><p>Madison Square Garden Entertainment(MSGE) – Madison Square Garden Entertainment rallied 7.3% in the premarket following news that its board ismulling a spin-offthat would contain the company’s live entertainment and MSG Networks businesses.</p><p>Bill.com(BILL) – Bill.com surged 18.5% in premarket trading after the financial back-office software provider reported better-than-expected quarterly results and issued upbeat guidance.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><h3>Foot Locker Appoints Mary Dillon as CEO</h3><p>Foot Locker Inc said on Friday it had appointed former Ulta Beauty head Mary Dillon as its chief executive officer, effective Sept. 1.</p><p>Dillon, who replace Richard Johnson, will also serve as a member of the Foot Locker board.</p><h3>Deere Quarterly Profit Rises on Strong Equipment Demand, Pricing</h3><p>Deere &amp; Co reported a rise in quarterly profit on Friday as higher equipment demand coupled with a robust pricing environment helped the world&#39;s largest farm equipment maker to offset inflationary cost pressures.</p><p>Gaps between the supply and demand for grains increased amid the Ukraine crisis while growing consumer demand spiked prices, putting pressure on farmers to produce more and upgrade their aging fleet.</p><h3>Bitcoin Follows Stocks Lower and Sinks to Below $22,000</h3><p>Bitcoin sank to below $22,000 on Friday, following global stocks lower amid uncertainty over how aggressive the Federal Reserve would be in its effort to cool inflation with interest-rate hikes.</p><p>Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has declined 7.4% to $21,726 over the past 24 hours, according to CoinDesk. The selloff came after Bitcoin briefly crossed $25,000 over the weekend for the first time since mid-June. The crypto had received a boost from a slowing of U.S. inflation. Traders felt that took some pressure off the Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates to tame rising prices.</p><h3>Xiaomi Q2 Revenue Drops as Covid Restrictions Hit China Sales</h3><p>Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp(1810.HK)posted a 20% drop in second quarter revenue on Friday, as the world&#39;s biggest smartphone market shrank, hit by strict COVID restrictions.</p><p>Xiaomi reported 70.17 billion yuan ($10.31 billion) in revenue for the quarter ended on June 30, down from 87.8 billion a year earlier but slightly below the 70.59 billion expected by analysts.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 280 Points; Bed Bath & Beyond Plunged 42.7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 280 Points; Bed Bath & Beyond Plunged 42.7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-19 19:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday after Federal Reserve officials said the central bank needs to keep raising interest rates to rein in inflation, while deliberating on how fast and how high to lift them.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:54 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 287 points, or 0.84%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 44 points, or 1.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 156 points, or 1.15%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1528f9205014e3891697d8ee403e3a28\" tg-width=\"444\" tg-height=\"181\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p>Deere(DE) – Deere slid 5.2% in premarket trading after the heavy equipment maker missed quarterly earnings estimates despite higher-than-expected sales. Deere earned $6.16 per share, below the consensus estimate of $6.69, as it successfully implemented price hikes but also faced higher costs. The company also cut its full-year forecast.</p><p>Foot Locker(FL) – Foot Locker surged 17.4% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel retailer’s quarterly earnings beat analyst forecasts, and the company also announced aCEO transition. FormerUlta Beauty(ULTA) CEO Mary Dillon will replace Richard Johnson as CEO on Sept. 1.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) – Bed Bath &amp; Beyond plunged 42.7% in premarket tradingfollowing newsthat investor Ryan Cohen had sold his entire stake in the housewares retailer, garnering a profit of more than $58 million.</p><p>Ross Stores(ROST) – Ross Stores reported better-than-expected earnings for its latest quarter, but its revenue was below Wall Street forecasts, and the company issued a weaker than expected full-year outlook. The company said its results were impacted by higher costs as well as increased promotional activity. The stock fell 1% in premarket action.</p><p>Applied Materials(AMAT) – Applied Materials beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly profit of $1.94 per share, and the maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment saw revenue top forecasts as well. It also gave an upbeat current quarter revenue forecast as chipmakers increase production.</p><p>Coinbase(COIN) – The crypto exchange operator’s stock slid 8.6% in premarket trading, falling in sympathy with the sudden overnight drop in bitcoin prices.Microstrategy(MSTR), the business analytics company with extensive bitcoin holdings, saw its stock fall 9.3%.</p><p>Home Depot(HD) – Home Depot announced a new $15 billion share repurchase program, replacing a prior authorization. The home improvement retailer also announced that CEO Ted Decker will replace former CEO Craig Menear as chairman, effective October 1.</p><p>Madison Square Garden Entertainment(MSGE) – Madison Square Garden Entertainment rallied 7.3% in the premarket following news that its board ismulling a spin-offthat would contain the company’s live entertainment and MSG Networks businesses.</p><p>Bill.com(BILL) – Bill.com surged 18.5% in premarket trading after the financial back-office software provider reported better-than-expected quarterly results and issued upbeat guidance.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><h3>Foot Locker Appoints Mary Dillon as CEO</h3><p>Foot Locker Inc said on Friday it had appointed former Ulta Beauty head Mary Dillon as its chief executive officer, effective Sept. 1.</p><p>Dillon, who replace Richard Johnson, will also serve as a member of the Foot Locker board.</p><h3>Deere Quarterly Profit Rises on Strong Equipment Demand, Pricing</h3><p>Deere &amp; Co reported a rise in quarterly profit on Friday as higher equipment demand coupled with a robust pricing environment helped the world&#39;s largest farm equipment maker to offset inflationary cost pressures.</p><p>Gaps between the supply and demand for grains increased amid the Ukraine crisis while growing consumer demand spiked prices, putting pressure on farmers to produce more and upgrade their aging fleet.</p><h3>Bitcoin Follows Stocks Lower and Sinks to Below $22,000</h3><p>Bitcoin sank to below $22,000 on Friday, following global stocks lower amid uncertainty over how aggressive the Federal Reserve would be in its effort to cool inflation with interest-rate hikes.</p><p>Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has declined 7.4% to $21,726 over the past 24 hours, according to CoinDesk. The selloff came after Bitcoin briefly crossed $25,000 over the weekend for the first time since mid-June. The crypto had received a boost from a slowing of U.S. inflation. Traders felt that took some pressure off the Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates to tame rising prices.</p><h3>Xiaomi Q2 Revenue Drops as Covid Restrictions Hit China Sales</h3><p>Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp(1810.HK)posted a 20% drop in second quarter revenue on Friday, as the world&#39;s biggest smartphone market shrank, hit by strict COVID restrictions.</p><p>Xiaomi reported 70.17 billion yuan ($10.31 billion) in revenue for the quarter ended on June 30, down from 87.8 billion a year earlier but slightly below the 70.59 billion expected by analysts.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156913631","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday after Federal Reserve officials said the central bank needs to keep raising interest rates to rein in inflation, while deliberating on how fast and how high to lift them.Market SnapshotAt 7:54 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 287 points, or 0.84%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 44 points, or 1.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 156 points, or 1.15%.Pre-Market MoversDeere(DE) – Deere slid 5.2% in premarket trading after the heavy equipment maker missed quarterly earnings estimates despite higher-than-expected sales. Deere earned $6.16 per share, below the consensus estimate of $6.69, as it successfully implemented price hikes but also faced higher costs. The company also cut its full-year forecast.Foot Locker(FL) – Foot Locker surged 17.4% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel retailer’s quarterly earnings beat analyst forecasts, and the company also announced aCEO transition. FormerUlta Beauty(ULTA) CEO Mary Dillon will replace Richard Johnson as CEO on Sept. 1.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) – Bed Bath & Beyond plunged 42.7% in premarket tradingfollowing newsthat investor Ryan Cohen had sold his entire stake in the housewares retailer, garnering a profit of more than $58 million.Ross Stores(ROST) – Ross Stores reported better-than-expected earnings for its latest quarter, but its revenue was below Wall Street forecasts, and the company issued a weaker than expected full-year outlook. The company said its results were impacted by higher costs as well as increased promotional activity. The stock fell 1% in premarket action.Applied Materials(AMAT) – Applied Materials beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly profit of $1.94 per share, and the maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment saw revenue top forecasts as well. It also gave an upbeat current quarter revenue forecast as chipmakers increase production.Coinbase(COIN) – The crypto exchange operator’s stock slid 8.6% in premarket trading, falling in sympathy with the sudden overnight drop in bitcoin prices.Microstrategy(MSTR), the business analytics company with extensive bitcoin holdings, saw its stock fall 9.3%.Home Depot(HD) – Home Depot announced a new $15 billion share repurchase program, replacing a prior authorization. The home improvement retailer also announced that CEO Ted Decker will replace former CEO Craig Menear as chairman, effective October 1.Madison Square Garden Entertainment(MSGE) – Madison Square Garden Entertainment rallied 7.3% in the premarket following news that its board ismulling a spin-offthat would contain the company’s live entertainment and MSG Networks businesses.Bill.com(BILL) – Bill.com surged 18.5% in premarket trading after the financial back-office software provider reported better-than-expected quarterly results and issued upbeat guidance.Market NewsFoot Locker Appoints Mary Dillon as CEOFoot Locker Inc said on Friday it had appointed former Ulta Beauty head Mary Dillon as its chief executive officer, effective Sept. 1.Dillon, who replace Richard Johnson, will also serve as a member of the Foot Locker board.Deere Quarterly Profit Rises on Strong Equipment Demand, PricingDeere & Co reported a rise in quarterly profit on Friday as higher equipment demand coupled with a robust pricing environment helped the world's largest farm equipment maker to offset inflationary cost pressures.Gaps between the supply and demand for grains increased amid the Ukraine crisis while growing consumer demand spiked prices, putting pressure on farmers to produce more and upgrade their aging fleet.Bitcoin Follows Stocks Lower and Sinks to Below $22,000Bitcoin sank to below $22,000 on Friday, following global stocks lower amid uncertainty over how aggressive the Federal Reserve would be in its effort to cool inflation with interest-rate hikes.Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has declined 7.4% to $21,726 over the past 24 hours, according to CoinDesk. The selloff came after Bitcoin briefly crossed $25,000 over the weekend for the first time since mid-June. The crypto had received a boost from a slowing of U.S. inflation. Traders felt that took some pressure off the Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates to tame rising prices.Xiaomi Q2 Revenue Drops as Covid Restrictions Hit China SalesChinese smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp(1810.HK)posted a 20% drop in second quarter revenue on Friday, as the world's biggest smartphone market shrank, hit by strict COVID restrictions.Xiaomi reported 70.17 billion yuan ($10.31 billion) in revenue for the quarter ended on June 30, down from 87.8 billion a year earlier but slightly below the 70.59 billion expected by analysts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048132090,"gmtCreate":1656159643410,"gmtModify":1676535777867,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048132090","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C":"花旗","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BCS":"巴克莱银行","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4207":"综合性银行","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4521":"英国银行股","UBS":"瑞银","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9089519527,"gmtCreate":1650002864869,"gmtModify":1676534627710,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inspiring!","listText":"Inspiring!","text":"Inspiring!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9089519527","repostId":"1199010965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199010965","pubTimestamp":1649987726,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199010965?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-15 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett Interview: Talk About Apple, Musk, Berkshire Hathaway, His Work and Life","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199010965","media":"Barrons","summary":"Warren Buffett says he is in excellent health and has no plans to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hath","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett says he is in excellent health and has no plans to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway as he eagerly anticipates what could be a record turnout at the company’s annual meeting on April 30.</p><p>The 91-year-old Buffett, in an interview running an hour and 14 minutes with Charlie Rose released Thursday, said that he “couldn’t be in better health.” Asked about a successor, Buffett said there is one in place—an apparent reference to Berkshire Hathaway (ticker BRK.A and BRK.B) executive Greg Abel—and said: “He’s not warming up. I’m still in overtime, but I’m out there.”</p><p>Buffett said there could be 40,000 attendees at Berkshire’s annual meeting later this month, noting it “could be the largest group coming to Omaha ever.”</p><p>The meeting is the first in-person Berkshire gathering, what Buffett calls a “Woodstock for Capitalists,” since 2019 and many Berkshire shareholders are eager to see Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, 98, at what could be one of their last annual meetings together.</p><p>Wearing a blue blazer, gray slacks and a red tie, and taking sips of a Coke, Buffett said he loves his job, calling it the “most interesting job in the world” for him. Buffett said he gets up before 7 a.m., each morning, watches the news and CNBC and arrives at Berkshire’s headquarters in Omaha before the stock market opens at 8:30 local time. Even when he’s not at the office, Berkshire is on his mind, saying   “I’m always on the clock” for Berkshire.</p><p>He said that a Berkshire trader who sits near him at the office can execute billions of dollars of trades in a day and that the company regularly buys $5 billion of Treasury bills a week, making it potentially the largest regular buyer of them. Berkshire holds the bulk of its nearly $150 billion in cash in ultrasafe T-bills because Buffett takes no chances with the company’s huge liquidity pool.</p><p>Buffett acknowledged that age is taking some toll on him, saying he “forgets names and can’t read as fast” as he once did. He called himself a “decaying machine” but said he still “feels wonderful.” The Berkshire CEO remains extraordinarily sharp with a remarkable memory.</p><p>He praised Apple CEO Tim Cook as a “great manager and human being,” and noted that Apple (AAPL) produces only about 25% in the world’s smartphones. “But Apple produces the one that is most useful to people—the most aspirational product.” Apple is the largest equity holding at Berkshire. Buffett joked about his own technology limitations saying “I literally don’t know how to send an email.”</p><p>Buffett also marveled at Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, noting that he took on General Motors (GM), Ford Motor (F), and the rest of the auto industry with “an idea and he’s winning.”</p><p>“That’s America. You can’t dream it up.”</p><p>Buffett acknowledged that he can’t earn the kind of returns now at Berkshire, with its $760 billion market value, than he could when he started the Buffett investment partnership in 1956 with $105,100. “If I do something brilliant with $5 billion, it’s 1% of the net worth” of Berkshire, which has about $500 billion of shareholder equity.</p><p>Buffett recounted his first equity purchase, made on March 11, 1942 at age 11, when he bought three shares of Cities Services preferred stock for $114.75. Before then, Buffett had prepared for the investment. “I had read every book in the Omaha public library about the stock market” by age 11. “I read books on technical analysis—I read everything.” That investment proved to be a winner—the start of many more.</p><p>It wasn’t until he was 18 or 19 and discovered the writings of his mentor Benjamin Graham that he realized he was focused on the wrong thing. He had been buying stocks, rather than pieces of businesses.</p><p>‘Since March 11, 1942, I’ve never had less than 80% of my money in American business,” Buffett said.</p><p>Buffett told Rose that he had just seen the musical <i>The Music Man</i> on Broadway with his longtime friend Carol Loomis, 92, a former Fortune writer who has long edited his annual shareholder letter.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett Interview: Talk About Apple, Musk, Berkshire Hathaway, His Work and Life</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett Interview: Talk About Apple, Musk, Berkshire Hathaway, His Work and Life\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-15 09:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/warren-buffett-says-he-is-in-great-health-with-no-plans-to-step-down-as-berkshire-ceo-51649972734><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett says he is in excellent health and has no plans to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway as he eagerly anticipates what could be a record turnout at the company’s annual meeting on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/warren-buffett-says-he-is-in-great-health-with-no-plans-to-step-down-as-berkshire-ceo-51649972734\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","TSLA":"特斯拉","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/warren-buffett-says-he-is-in-great-health-with-no-plans-to-step-down-as-berkshire-ceo-51649972734","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199010965","content_text":"Warren Buffett says he is in excellent health and has no plans to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway as he eagerly anticipates what could be a record turnout at the company’s annual meeting on April 30.The 91-year-old Buffett, in an interview running an hour and 14 minutes with Charlie Rose released Thursday, said that he “couldn’t be in better health.” Asked about a successor, Buffett said there is one in place—an apparent reference to Berkshire Hathaway (ticker BRK.A and BRK.B) executive Greg Abel—and said: “He’s not warming up. I’m still in overtime, but I’m out there.”Buffett said there could be 40,000 attendees at Berkshire’s annual meeting later this month, noting it “could be the largest group coming to Omaha ever.”The meeting is the first in-person Berkshire gathering, what Buffett calls a “Woodstock for Capitalists,” since 2019 and many Berkshire shareholders are eager to see Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, 98, at what could be one of their last annual meetings together.Wearing a blue blazer, gray slacks and a red tie, and taking sips of a Coke, Buffett said he loves his job, calling it the “most interesting job in the world” for him. Buffett said he gets up before 7 a.m., each morning, watches the news and CNBC and arrives at Berkshire’s headquarters in Omaha before the stock market opens at 8:30 local time. Even when he’s not at the office, Berkshire is on his mind, saying   “I’m always on the clock” for Berkshire.He said that a Berkshire trader who sits near him at the office can execute billions of dollars of trades in a day and that the company regularly buys $5 billion of Treasury bills a week, making it potentially the largest regular buyer of them. Berkshire holds the bulk of its nearly $150 billion in cash in ultrasafe T-bills because Buffett takes no chances with the company’s huge liquidity pool.Buffett acknowledged that age is taking some toll on him, saying he “forgets names and can’t read as fast” as he once did. He called himself a “decaying machine” but said he still “feels wonderful.” The Berkshire CEO remains extraordinarily sharp with a remarkable memory.He praised Apple CEO Tim Cook as a “great manager and human being,” and noted that Apple (AAPL) produces only about 25% in the world’s smartphones. “But Apple produces the one that is most useful to people—the most aspirational product.” Apple is the largest equity holding at Berkshire. Buffett joked about his own technology limitations saying “I literally don’t know how to send an email.”Buffett also marveled at Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, noting that he took on General Motors (GM), Ford Motor (F), and the rest of the auto industry with “an idea and he’s winning.”“That’s America. You can’t dream it up.”Buffett acknowledged that he can’t earn the kind of returns now at Berkshire, with its $760 billion market value, than he could when he started the Buffett investment partnership in 1956 with $105,100. “If I do something brilliant with $5 billion, it’s 1% of the net worth” of Berkshire, which has about $500 billion of shareholder equity.Buffett recounted his first equity purchase, made on March 11, 1942 at age 11, when he bought three shares of Cities Services preferred stock for $114.75. Before then, Buffett had prepared for the investment. “I had read every book in the Omaha public library about the stock market” by age 11. “I read books on technical analysis—I read everything.” That investment proved to be a winner—the start of many more.It wasn’t until he was 18 or 19 and discovered the writings of his mentor Benjamin Graham that he realized he was focused on the wrong thing. He had been buying stocks, rather than pieces of businesses.‘Since March 11, 1942, I’ve never had less than 80% of my money in American business,” Buffett said.Buffett told Rose that he had just seen the musical The Music Man on Broadway with his longtime friend Carol Loomis, 92, a former Fortune writer who has long edited his annual shareholder letter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984713876,"gmtCreate":1667740307095,"gmtModify":1676537957616,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAL\">$TAL Education Group(TAL)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAL\">$TAL Education Group(TAL)$</a>","text":"$TAL Education Group(TAL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6933d7cc261aad02de588204345174fe","width":"1125","height":"2079"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984713876","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993405878,"gmtCreate":1660709241796,"gmtModify":1676536384654,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"SEC busy again. Haha 😂","listText":"SEC busy again. Haha 😂","text":"SEC busy again. Haha 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993405878","repostId":"2260864221","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2260864221","pubTimestamp":1660708694,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260864221?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-17 11:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Says He's Buying Manchester United -- Is It a Real Idea Or a Joke?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260864221","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Elon Musk is either getting into international soccer or else may have scored an own goal and teed u","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Elon Musk is either getting into international soccer or else may have scored an own goal and teed up more trouble from the SEC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1be7ab20a1d49828488008e8a4a383e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United looks dejected after a goal by Brentford on Saturday.</span></p><p>Ina tweet late Tuesday, the Tesla Inc. chief executive said: “Also, I’m buying Manchester United ur welcome,” referring to the iconic English soccer club that may be up for sale.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ebdbe9670ae00702ee07d8cb39dcb90\" tg-width=\"777\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It was unclear if Musk was serious, as he’s well-known for tweeting jokes and frivolous statements.</p><p>Neither Manchester United nor the SEC immediately replied to requests for further information.</p><p>But if it was a joke, it may not be funny to the Securities and Exchange Commission, since Manchester United is a publicly traded company. Musk’s tweet came at 8:01 p.m., just after the end of after-hours trading, so Man U’s stock was unaffected.</p><p>Musk is no stranger to tweets coming back to bite him. His 2018 tweet that he had “funding secured” to consider taking Tesla private at $420 a share became the subject of regulatory action by the SEC, ultimately resulting in $20 million fines each against Musk and Tesla.</p><p>Musk has sparred with the SEC on a number of other occasions over the years. He’s also embroiled in a bitter legal battle as he’s trying to pull out of a $44 billion dealto buy Twitter Inc.</p><p>On the other hand, if the tweet is true, it would be a seismic deal for one of the most valuable sports brands on the planet. Manchester United’s current owners, the Glazer family, have been under pressure to sell the team after years of underperformance, mismanagement and a revolt by some fans. The team is currently in last place in the English Premier League, after their second straight loss to start the season, an embarrassing 4-0 defeat to Brentford on Saturday.</p><p>Last week, reports said British businessman Michael Knight on planned a formal bid to buy the team.The club has an estimated value of $4.6 billion, according to Forbes.</p><p>That price tag would be doable for Musk, who is the world’s wealthiest individual, with a fortune estimated around $267 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.</p><p>Manchester United went public in a 2012 IPO on the New York Stock Exchange. Its shares are down 10% year to date, in line with the S&amp;P 500’s 10% loss this year.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Says He's Buying Manchester United -- Is It a Real Idea Or a Joke?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Says He's Buying Manchester United -- Is It a Real Idea Or a Joke?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-17 11:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/elon-musk-says-hes-buying-manchester-united-but-if-its-a-joke-the-sec-is-unlikely-to-laugh-11660698588?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk is either getting into international soccer or else may have scored an own goal and teed up more trouble from the SEC.Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United looks dejected after a goal by ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/elon-musk-says-hes-buying-manchester-united-but-if-its-a-joke-the-sec-is-unlikely-to-laugh-11660698588?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","MANU":"曼联"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/elon-musk-says-hes-buying-manchester-united-but-if-its-a-joke-the-sec-is-unlikely-to-laugh-11660698588?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260864221","content_text":"Elon Musk is either getting into international soccer or else may have scored an own goal and teed up more trouble from the SEC.Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United looks dejected after a goal by Brentford on Saturday.Ina tweet late Tuesday, the Tesla Inc. chief executive said: “Also, I’m buying Manchester United ur welcome,” referring to the iconic English soccer club that may be up for sale.It was unclear if Musk was serious, as he’s well-known for tweeting jokes and frivolous statements.Neither Manchester United nor the SEC immediately replied to requests for further information.But if it was a joke, it may not be funny to the Securities and Exchange Commission, since Manchester United is a publicly traded company. Musk’s tweet came at 8:01 p.m., just after the end of after-hours trading, so Man U’s stock was unaffected.Musk is no stranger to tweets coming back to bite him. His 2018 tweet that he had “funding secured” to consider taking Tesla private at $420 a share became the subject of regulatory action by the SEC, ultimately resulting in $20 million fines each against Musk and Tesla.Musk has sparred with the SEC on a number of other occasions over the years. He’s also embroiled in a bitter legal battle as he’s trying to pull out of a $44 billion dealto buy Twitter Inc.On the other hand, if the tweet is true, it would be a seismic deal for one of the most valuable sports brands on the planet. Manchester United’s current owners, the Glazer family, have been under pressure to sell the team after years of underperformance, mismanagement and a revolt by some fans. The team is currently in last place in the English Premier League, after their second straight loss to start the season, an embarrassing 4-0 defeat to Brentford on Saturday.Last week, reports said British businessman Michael Knight on planned a formal bid to buy the team.The club has an estimated value of $4.6 billion, according to Forbes.That price tag would be doable for Musk, who is the world’s wealthiest individual, with a fortune estimated around $267 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Manchester United went public in a 2012 IPO on the New York Stock Exchange. Its shares are down 10% year to date, in line with the S&P 500’s 10% loss this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819377829,"gmtCreate":1630039525961,"gmtModify":1676530207975,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just an update","listText":"Just an update","text":"Just an update","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/819377829","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2162847016","pubTimestamp":1630008724,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2162847016?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-27 04:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162847016","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closi","content":"<p>NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy prompted a broad but shallow sell-off the day before the Jackson Hole Symposium.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in the red, with the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq notching their first down day in six.</p>\n<p>The sell-off firmed after hawkish commentary from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and a blast outside the Kabul airport in Afghanistan helped strengthen the risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>Kaplan, who is not currently a voting member of the Federal Open Markets Committee, said he believes the progress of economic recovery warrants tapering of the Fed's asset purchases to commence in October or shortly thereafter.</p>\n<p>Kaplan's remarks followed earlier comments from the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said that the central bank is \"coalescing\" around a plan to begin tapering process.</p>\n<p>\"(Kaplan’s statements) caused a little confusion about the taper timeline, but in my opinion the equity markets are focused on geopolitical issues,\" said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. \"There’s a flight to safety during geopolitical tensions.\"</p>\n<p>\"I am surprised the market the market hasn’t fallen more, given the fear that it could take focus away from (U.S. President Joe Biden's) domestic agenda,\" Horneman added.</p>\n<p>The economy grew at a slightly faster pace than originally reported in the second quarter, fully recovering its losses from the most abrupt downturn in U.S. history, according to the Commerce Department. But jobless claims, though still on a downward trajectory, ticked higher last week.</p>\n<p>The data did little to move the needle with respect to expectations that the Fed is unlikely tip its hand regarding the taper timeline when Chairman Jerome Powell unmutes and delivers his speech at Friday's virtual Jackson Hole Symposium.</p>\n<p>\"We’re going to see a lot of market participants analyze every word (Powell) uses, but at the end of the day, they will begin tapering,\" Horneman said. \"I’m more concerned about the speed at which they taper. What are they going to start with? That will give us a clearer indication as whether they’re getting more hawkish.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 192.38 points, or 0.54%, to 35,213.12, the S&amp;P 500 lost 26.19 points, or 0.58%, to 4,470 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.05 points, or 0.64%, to 14,945.81.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but real estate ended the session lower, with energy stocks suffering the steepest percentage loss.</p>\n<p>Discount retailers Dollar General Corp and Dollar Tree Inc slid 3.8% and 12.1%, respectively, after warning higher transportation costs will hurt their bottom lines.</p>\n<p>Coty Inc jumped 14.7% after the cosmetics firm said it expects to post full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.</p>\n<p>Salesforce.com Inc hiked its earnings forecast as the shift to a hybrid work model is expected to fuel strong demand. Its shares advanced 2.7%.</p>\n<p>NetApp Inc jumped 4.7% as brokerages raised their price targets in the wake of the cloud computing firm's better-than-expected 2022 earnings outlook.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.99-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.83-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 39 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.27 billion shares, compared with the 8.96 billion average over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-27 04:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","COMP":"Compass, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2162847016","content_text":"NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy prompted a broad but shallow sell-off the day before the Jackson Hole Symposium.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in the red, with the S&P and the Nasdaq notching their first down day in six.\nThe sell-off firmed after hawkish commentary from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and a blast outside the Kabul airport in Afghanistan helped strengthen the risk-off sentiment.\nKaplan, who is not currently a voting member of the Federal Open Markets Committee, said he believes the progress of economic recovery warrants tapering of the Fed's asset purchases to commence in October or shortly thereafter.\nKaplan's remarks followed earlier comments from the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said that the central bank is \"coalescing\" around a plan to begin tapering process.\n\"(Kaplan’s statements) caused a little confusion about the taper timeline, but in my opinion the equity markets are focused on geopolitical issues,\" said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. \"There’s a flight to safety during geopolitical tensions.\"\n\"I am surprised the market the market hasn’t fallen more, given the fear that it could take focus away from (U.S. President Joe Biden's) domestic agenda,\" Horneman added.\nThe economy grew at a slightly faster pace than originally reported in the second quarter, fully recovering its losses from the most abrupt downturn in U.S. history, according to the Commerce Department. But jobless claims, though still on a downward trajectory, ticked higher last week.\nThe data did little to move the needle with respect to expectations that the Fed is unlikely tip its hand regarding the taper timeline when Chairman Jerome Powell unmutes and delivers his speech at Friday's virtual Jackson Hole Symposium.\n\"We’re going to see a lot of market participants analyze every word (Powell) uses, but at the end of the day, they will begin tapering,\" Horneman said. \"I’m more concerned about the speed at which they taper. What are they going to start with? That will give us a clearer indication as whether they’re getting more hawkish.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 192.38 points, or 0.54%, to 35,213.12, the S&P 500 lost 26.19 points, or 0.58%, to 4,470 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.05 points, or 0.64%, to 14,945.81.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but real estate ended the session lower, with energy stocks suffering the steepest percentage loss.\nDiscount retailers Dollar General Corp and Dollar Tree Inc slid 3.8% and 12.1%, respectively, after warning higher transportation costs will hurt their bottom lines.\nCoty Inc jumped 14.7% after the cosmetics firm said it expects to post full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.\nSalesforce.com Inc hiked its earnings forecast as the shift to a hybrid work model is expected to fuel strong demand. Its shares advanced 2.7%.\nNetApp Inc jumped 4.7% as brokerages raised their price targets in the wake of the cloud computing firm's better-than-expected 2022 earnings outlook.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.99-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.83-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 39 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 8.27 billion shares, compared with the 8.96 billion average over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Marguerita Choy)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965246622,"gmtCreate":1669969486966,"gmtModify":1676538280341,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.&nbsp;","listText":"Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.&nbsp;","text":"Market will interpret either way. Is herd mentality now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965246622","repostId":"1178901626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178901626","pubTimestamp":1669971477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178901626?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-02 16:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178901626","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>One of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.</li><li>This seems absurd on its face, but the cause is that traders are valuing Fed-driven liquidity more than growth.</li><li>This logic is somewhat reasonable over the short term, but it falls apart over longer periods of time because fundamentally unprofitable businesses have built their business models around loose money.</li><li>Despite high-profile tech layoffs by companies like Meta/Facebook, employers collectively are expected to have added 200,000 jobs in November.</li><li>Ironically, a decent nonfarm payroll report for stocks and inflation coming in as expected would be the worst thing for stocks in the short run.</li></ul><h3>When Good News Is Bad News</h3><p>A few times this year, strong employment reports have been met by panic selling from traders fearing more Fed hikes. This phenomenon is known to traders as &#34;good news is bad news.&#34; If it sounds like it&#39;s an unsound way to invest your money - it&#39;s because it is. But in a QE-addicted world post-pandemic, liquidity has taken the reins from economic growth as the most important driver of stock returns. This mirrors the trade in early 2021 when virus cases would jump and traders would go buy all the work-from-home stocks like Zoom (ZM), and sell oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM). In the end, the fundamentals won out, and despite Zoom briefly being valued for more than Exxon during the pandemic, they&#39;re no longer in the same ballpark. Profitable companies are almost all up from pre-pandemic levels, and many money-furnace work-from-home stocks are now down 80% or more. These weird trading patterns have now returned. With the end of QE and the start of QT as the Fed vacuums money out of the system, speculative junk gets a big bid anytime someone says the word &#34;pivot&#34; on television!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b18e24cd3c3a98ca912b5b75d5f8d21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>To this point, it probably hasn&#39;t mattered much to your performance in 2022 whether you found great businesses to invest in. Almost everything is down substantially because most starting valuations were irrationally high, and the Fed is now hiking rates to try to bring inflation down. Analysts for Morgan Stanley have estimated that the liquidity drain will pull stocks down another 8% by year-end and 15% by March. Bank of America analysts have pegged the liquidity drain as dropping stocks by 7%. And then, of course, you have people like Dr. Michael Burry from The Big Short, who recently tweeted &#34;you have no idea how short I am.&#34; I don&#39;t work for Morgan Stanley, and the closest I&#39;ve ever come to setting foot on Wall Street is going to some Lower East Side dive bars. But Burry and the bears undeniably have a point here. Anyone objectively looking at these weird day-to-day correlation trades and the idea of &#34;bad news is actually good news&#34; can see right through it.</p><p>This takes us to the nonfarm payroll report at 8:30 Eastern Time on Friday, which is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in November. That&#39;s a lot of jobs, and it&#39;s well in excess of US population growth. If the economy does indeed add 200,000 jobs in November, there will be about 153.5 million employees on payroll in the US, exceeding the high of 152.5 million employees pre-pandemic. Interestingly though, labor force participation is down below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that a lot of the &#34;job growth&#34; may be from self-employed people taking corporate jobs or people taking second jobs (to this point, I&#39;ve always wondered how common it was for people to take two full-time work-from-home jobs at the same time). How can the economy continue to add over twice as many jobs as the population growth would imply is sustainable? It can&#39;t, and it implies employment churn and inflation rather than actual economic growth. However, the fact that this has gone on as long as it has probably says something about whether the Fed can declare victory on inflation yet.</p><p>In some ways, the resilience of the labor market is a great thing. If somebody is a software engineer who was laid off after working 20 hours per week building the Metaverse (META) and gets hired by General Motors (GM) or Ford (F) to help with their electric car division, then the Fed is winning. Similarly, if restaurants are able to get staffing now because the balance between people who want to eat and people who are willing to cook has been restored with the end of free money, then that&#39;s part of the healing process after paying people $800 per week to not work. But in other ways, having two open jobs for every unemployed worker is a signal that inflation is not yet under control and probably won&#39;t be without the economy experiencing a hard landing. My feeling is that this jobs report actually won&#39;t be that bad because so much labor talent was being wasted in places like SPACs/altcoins/NFTs/metaverse that the real economy can easily absorb the first wave of layoffs. The recession is still very much coming, and we might already be in it from a technical perspective, but it won&#39;t come from tech workers getting laid off from Meta and getting hired by automakers or other big tech companies.</p><h3>A Critical Juncture For Stocks</h3><p>For QE-addicted stock markets, the worst thing that can happen Friday might be if the payroll report shows the economy added 250,000-plus jobs for the month. That would mean that the Fed is satisfied with the growth in the real economy and will have no issue tightening policy more and dropping the hammer on thousands of money-losing businesses that built their entire business models on zero-interest rates and QE. This would drive valuations down for stocks and force investor emphasis back to growth and profitability, where it belongs. But those who have built their business models around easy Fed policy are all likely praying for a weak nonfarm payroll report. These are the usual suspects, from thousands of money-losing businesses funded by Silicon Valley and meme stocks-to real estate speculators and builders that overpaid for land based on 3% mortgage rates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d647e22bd6745775d50b1736e035ee4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>After surging the so-so October CPI release, stocks had been eerily flat for about three weeks before the latest pivot mania post-Powell rally. Critical tests for bulls are ahead, with a slew of data about to come in.</p><ul><li>The nonfarm payroll report on Friday.</li><li>November Core CPI released Dec. 13. Watch out for this one. June core CPI fueled a huge rally in stocks when it came in better than expected, but then inflation shot right back up. July core CPI was a huge shock to stocks. PCE comes out also this week, so these will be placed in context. For core CPI, econometric models expect 0.51% inflation for November, which I think is about right given the dive in the dollar and the rally in risk assets.</li><li>The FOMC Meeting, Dec. 13 and 14. The Fed is expected to hike by 50 bps, but hot numbers for jobs and inflation may force their hand to hike by 75 bps. I did some modeling on what the Fed funds rate should be based on the Taylor Rule and best estimates of how much inflation is driven by supply and how much is driven by demand (by the way, it&#39;s about half and half). The prescribed Fed funds rate is about 5% at current numbers but will easily top 5.5% if we get a bad inflation print, especially from the PCE figures.</li></ul><p>I&#39;ve written that I like Treasury bills better than stocks here, and I continue to believe that T-bills will be your best hedge against both inflation and recession as the Fed&#39;s battle against inflation rages on. There are buyable stocks here, but paying nearly 19x earnings for the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) going into a probable stop-and-go recession is a very risky bet.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>All of these are individual data points, but the question you need to ask is how solid the economy really is underneath the hood. In some ways, the economy is healing from the pandemic. Bubbles are unwinding in housing and used cars, and people are getting back into the workforce. But in other ways, the economy is in a lot of trouble, with living standards falling month after month and inflation continuing to be far above target. Restoring price stability is crucially important for the Fed, but doing so is likely to pop asset bubbles, drain liquidity, and expose all of the fraud and waste that has built up in the economy over the last 10 years. If you&#39;re thinking about your portfolio for the long term here, then the good news is good news as long as you&#39;re invested in companies that turn a profit and have reasonable valuations. If your holdings are mostly speculative in nature like SPACs (SPAK), AMC Entertainment (AMC), or Beyond Meat (BYND), or have super high valuations like Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), or Nvidia (NVDA), then you&#39;re going to live and die by the sword of liquidity. Many stocks fall in between trash and treasure, but my guess is that there will be good opportunities to pick up shares in high-quality blue chips in the coming months as liquidity continues to drain. Of these, some of my favorites in the large-cap space are Microsoft (MSFT) around $210, Google (GOOGL) anywhere below $95, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) below $300.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-02 16:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.This seems ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1178901626","content_text":"SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.This seems absurd on its face, but the cause is that traders are valuing Fed-driven liquidity more than growth.This logic is somewhat reasonable over the short term, but it falls apart over longer periods of time because fundamentally unprofitable businesses have built their business models around loose money.Despite high-profile tech layoffs by companies like Meta/Facebook, employers collectively are expected to have added 200,000 jobs in November.Ironically, a decent nonfarm payroll report for stocks and inflation coming in as expected would be the worst thing for stocks in the short run.When Good News Is Bad NewsA few times this year, strong employment reports have been met by panic selling from traders fearing more Fed hikes. This phenomenon is known to traders as \"good news is bad news.\" If it sounds like it's an unsound way to invest your money - it's because it is. But in a QE-addicted world post-pandemic, liquidity has taken the reins from economic growth as the most important driver of stock returns. This mirrors the trade in early 2021 when virus cases would jump and traders would go buy all the work-from-home stocks like Zoom (ZM), and sell oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM). In the end, the fundamentals won out, and despite Zoom briefly being valued for more than Exxon during the pandemic, they're no longer in the same ballpark. Profitable companies are almost all up from pre-pandemic levels, and many money-furnace work-from-home stocks are now down 80% or more. These weird trading patterns have now returned. With the end of QE and the start of QT as the Fed vacuums money out of the system, speculative junk gets a big bid anytime someone says the word \"pivot\" on television!To this point, it probably hasn't mattered much to your performance in 2022 whether you found great businesses to invest in. Almost everything is down substantially because most starting valuations were irrationally high, and the Fed is now hiking rates to try to bring inflation down. Analysts for Morgan Stanley have estimated that the liquidity drain will pull stocks down another 8% by year-end and 15% by March. Bank of America analysts have pegged the liquidity drain as dropping stocks by 7%. And then, of course, you have people like Dr. Michael Burry from The Big Short, who recently tweeted \"you have no idea how short I am.\" I don't work for Morgan Stanley, and the closest I've ever come to setting foot on Wall Street is going to some Lower East Side dive bars. But Burry and the bears undeniably have a point here. Anyone objectively looking at these weird day-to-day correlation trades and the idea of \"bad news is actually good news\" can see right through it.This takes us to the nonfarm payroll report at 8:30 Eastern Time on Friday, which is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in November. That's a lot of jobs, and it's well in excess of US population growth. If the economy does indeed add 200,000 jobs in November, there will be about 153.5 million employees on payroll in the US, exceeding the high of 152.5 million employees pre-pandemic. Interestingly though, labor force participation is down below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that a lot of the \"job growth\" may be from self-employed people taking corporate jobs or people taking second jobs (to this point, I've always wondered how common it was for people to take two full-time work-from-home jobs at the same time). How can the economy continue to add over twice as many jobs as the population growth would imply is sustainable? It can't, and it implies employment churn and inflation rather than actual economic growth. However, the fact that this has gone on as long as it has probably says something about whether the Fed can declare victory on inflation yet.In some ways, the resilience of the labor market is a great thing. If somebody is a software engineer who was laid off after working 20 hours per week building the Metaverse (META) and gets hired by General Motors (GM) or Ford (F) to help with their electric car division, then the Fed is winning. Similarly, if restaurants are able to get staffing now because the balance between people who want to eat and people who are willing to cook has been restored with the end of free money, then that's part of the healing process after paying people $800 per week to not work. But in other ways, having two open jobs for every unemployed worker is a signal that inflation is not yet under control and probably won't be without the economy experiencing a hard landing. My feeling is that this jobs report actually won't be that bad because so much labor talent was being wasted in places like SPACs/altcoins/NFTs/metaverse that the real economy can easily absorb the first wave of layoffs. The recession is still very much coming, and we might already be in it from a technical perspective, but it won't come from tech workers getting laid off from Meta and getting hired by automakers or other big tech companies.A Critical Juncture For StocksFor QE-addicted stock markets, the worst thing that can happen Friday might be if the payroll report shows the economy added 250,000-plus jobs for the month. That would mean that the Fed is satisfied with the growth in the real economy and will have no issue tightening policy more and dropping the hammer on thousands of money-losing businesses that built their entire business models on zero-interest rates and QE. This would drive valuations down for stocks and force investor emphasis back to growth and profitability, where it belongs. But those who have built their business models around easy Fed policy are all likely praying for a weak nonfarm payroll report. These are the usual suspects, from thousands of money-losing businesses funded by Silicon Valley and meme stocks-to real estate speculators and builders that overpaid for land based on 3% mortgage rates.After surging the so-so October CPI release, stocks had been eerily flat for about three weeks before the latest pivot mania post-Powell rally. Critical tests for bulls are ahead, with a slew of data about to come in.The nonfarm payroll report on Friday.November Core CPI released Dec. 13. Watch out for this one. June core CPI fueled a huge rally in stocks when it came in better than expected, but then inflation shot right back up. July core CPI was a huge shock to stocks. PCE comes out also this week, so these will be placed in context. For core CPI, econometric models expect 0.51% inflation for November, which I think is about right given the dive in the dollar and the rally in risk assets.The FOMC Meeting, Dec. 13 and 14. The Fed is expected to hike by 50 bps, but hot numbers for jobs and inflation may force their hand to hike by 75 bps. I did some modeling on what the Fed funds rate should be based on the Taylor Rule and best estimates of how much inflation is driven by supply and how much is driven by demand (by the way, it's about half and half). The prescribed Fed funds rate is about 5% at current numbers but will easily top 5.5% if we get a bad inflation print, especially from the PCE figures.I've written that I like Treasury bills better than stocks here, and I continue to believe that T-bills will be your best hedge against both inflation and recession as the Fed's battle against inflation rages on. There are buyable stocks here, but paying nearly 19x earnings for the S&P 500 (SPY) going into a probable stop-and-go recession is a very risky bet.ConclusionAll of these are individual data points, but the question you need to ask is how solid the economy really is underneath the hood. In some ways, the economy is healing from the pandemic. Bubbles are unwinding in housing and used cars, and people are getting back into the workforce. But in other ways, the economy is in a lot of trouble, with living standards falling month after month and inflation continuing to be far above target. Restoring price stability is crucially important for the Fed, but doing so is likely to pop asset bubbles, drain liquidity, and expose all of the fraud and waste that has built up in the economy over the last 10 years. If you're thinking about your portfolio for the long term here, then the good news is good news as long as you're invested in companies that turn a profit and have reasonable valuations. If your holdings are mostly speculative in nature like SPACs (SPAK), AMC Entertainment (AMC), or Beyond Meat (BYND), or have super high valuations like Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), or Nvidia (NVDA), then you're going to live and die by the sword of liquidity. Many stocks fall in between trash and treasure, but my guess is that there will be good opportunities to pick up shares in high-quality blue chips in the coming months as liquidity continues to drain. Of these, some of my favorites in the large-cap space are Microsoft (MSFT) around $210, Google (GOOGL) anywhere below $95, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) below $300.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998019184,"gmtCreate":1660894394851,"gmtModify":1676536420201,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Catch me if you can type of rebound. Tonight will be over faster than we even notice it. #summerrebound #midtermelection","listText":"Catch me if you can type of rebound. Tonight will be over faster than we even notice it. #summerrebound #midtermelection","text":"Catch me if you can type of rebound. Tonight will be over faster than we even notice it. #summerrebound #midtermelection","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998019184","repostId":"1102999640","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1102999640","pubTimestamp":1660865795,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102999640?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-19 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102999640","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatility</li><li>Brace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategist</li></ul><p>With August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders are closely watching Friday’s $2 trillion options expiration for hints whether the tranquility will last.</p><p>At issue is the belief that derivatives markets have somehow played a key role in suppressing volatility, thereby compelling rules-basedquant tradersto buy shares and in turn luring a broader group of investors back into the market in order tochase gains.</p><p>After likely spurring an equity rebound during the summer lull, some strategists warn that this benign activity in the options market -- typically fueled by Wall Street dealers -- could disappear at a critical time.</p><p>From central bankers’ annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to pending data on inflation and employment, and theFederal Reserve’s policy announcement, the next few weeks are full of potential catalysts for market chaos.</p><p>“There are some technical reasons why as we go into the expiration this Friday, volatility could stay dampened and you could continue to see the market relatively supported,” Amy Wu Silverman, an equity derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Bloomberg TV. “As people return back from vacation with eyes on the ball, you can see what the real volumes are telling you about the volatility pickup.”</p><p>About $2 trillion of options are set to expire, obliging holders to either roll over existing positions or start new ones. The monthly event includes $975 billion of S&amp;P 500-linked contracts and $430 billion of derivatives across single stocks scheduled to run out, according to estimates by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Rocky Fishman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d7ed781d0bf50152207dcbc89ae0db3\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"528\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Stocks have restored roughly $7 trillion in values since mid-June, as what began as a short squeeze cascaded into a buying spree by those who exited equities during the first-half carnage amid fears that the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign could tip the economy into a recession. Shares have since recovered as data showed a robust labor market and cooler-than-expected inflation.</p><p>Along the way, traders flocked to call options to catch up with the surprising rebound. In balancing their books, options dealers were stuck in “long gamma” positions that left them needing to go against the prevailing equity trend to maintain a neutral market exposure. Thanks in part to the process, peace returned in the market. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, has averaged 21 in August, on course for its lowest level since November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a72b5ee48aed2efd4d309073c4ef802\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Broadly speaking, bullish contracts have been changing hands faster than bearish ones. The Cboe equity put-call ratio’s 10-day average hovered near a four-month low, a sign of growing interest in upside wagers.</p><p>Traders will try to push the S&amp;P 500 toward 4,300 in order to get their options contracts to pay off, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of analytic service SpotGamma. Any failure to hit this threshold would suggest the latest rally is losing momentum, potentially inviting sellers. The index added 0.2% to close at 4,283.74 Thursday.</p><p>“Everyone is on the ‘call side’ of the boat,” said Kochuba.</p><p>Charlie McElligott, a cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities International, expects Friday’s OpEx to open the door for bigger price swings after the buffer from dealer hedging is reduced. He sees potential for the market to move in either direction.</p><p>Should inflation come in hotter than expected and Fed policy makers ratchet up their hawkish rhetoric, that’d trigger turmoil across assets, he says. On the other hand, barring any negative macro shocks, money managers are under pressure to keep chasing the rally given their relatively low equity positioning.</p><p>“My daily communications with clients continues to ‘hate’ this rally who remain wrong-sided and a source of ‘buyers higher,’” he wrote in a note Wednesday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-19 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102999640","content_text":"Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders are closely watching Friday’s $2 trillion options expiration for hints whether the tranquility will last.At issue is the belief that derivatives markets have somehow played a key role in suppressing volatility, thereby compelling rules-basedquant tradersto buy shares and in turn luring a broader group of investors back into the market in order tochase gains.After likely spurring an equity rebound during the summer lull, some strategists warn that this benign activity in the options market -- typically fueled by Wall Street dealers -- could disappear at a critical time.From central bankers’ annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to pending data on inflation and employment, and theFederal Reserve’s policy announcement, the next few weeks are full of potential catalysts for market chaos.“There are some technical reasons why as we go into the expiration this Friday, volatility could stay dampened and you could continue to see the market relatively supported,” Amy Wu Silverman, an equity derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Bloomberg TV. “As people return back from vacation with eyes on the ball, you can see what the real volumes are telling you about the volatility pickup.”About $2 trillion of options are set to expire, obliging holders to either roll over existing positions or start new ones. The monthly event includes $975 billion of S&P 500-linked contracts and $430 billion of derivatives across single stocks scheduled to run out, according to estimates by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Rocky Fishman.Stocks have restored roughly $7 trillion in values since mid-June, as what began as a short squeeze cascaded into a buying spree by those who exited equities during the first-half carnage amid fears that the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign could tip the economy into a recession. Shares have since recovered as data showed a robust labor market and cooler-than-expected inflation.Along the way, traders flocked to call options to catch up with the surprising rebound. In balancing their books, options dealers were stuck in “long gamma” positions that left them needing to go against the prevailing equity trend to maintain a neutral market exposure. Thanks in part to the process, peace returned in the market. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, has averaged 21 in August, on course for its lowest level since November.Broadly speaking, bullish contracts have been changing hands faster than bearish ones. The Cboe equity put-call ratio’s 10-day average hovered near a four-month low, a sign of growing interest in upside wagers.Traders will try to push the S&P 500 toward 4,300 in order to get their options contracts to pay off, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of analytic service SpotGamma. Any failure to hit this threshold would suggest the latest rally is losing momentum, potentially inviting sellers. The index added 0.2% to close at 4,283.74 Thursday.“Everyone is on the ‘call side’ of the boat,” said Kochuba.Charlie McElligott, a cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities International, expects Friday’s OpEx to open the door for bigger price swings after the buffer from dealer hedging is reduced. He sees potential for the market to move in either direction.Should inflation come in hotter than expected and Fed policy makers ratchet up their hawkish rhetoric, that’d trigger turmoil across assets, he says. On the other hand, barring any negative macro shocks, money managers are under pressure to keep chasing the rally given their relatively low equity positioning.“My daily communications with clients continues to ‘hate’ this rally who remain wrong-sided and a source of ‘buyers higher,’” he wrote in a note Wednesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999133321,"gmtCreate":1660485987266,"gmtModify":1676533478607,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing your view point.&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing your view point.&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing your view point.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999133321","repostId":"1110057750","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110057750","pubTimestamp":1660446286,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110057750?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-14 11:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: Follow Masayoshi Son, Not Charlie Munger","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110057750","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryI explain why investors should not repeat the mistakes of Charlie Munger - it is better to fo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>I explain why investors should not repeat the mistakes of Charlie Munger - it is better to follow Softbank&#39;s CEO, Masayoshi Son.</li><li>Mr. Son has decided to reduce his stake in Alibaba from 23.7% to 14.6% - in my opinion, this may create headwinds for BABA in the medium term.</li><li>Investors shouldn&#39;t be fooled by Alibaba&#39;s &#34;low multiples&#34; but to take a broader look at this company and consider all the risks involved.</li><li>Based on a fairly optimistic DCF model, there is a downside of 14% for Alibaba stock.</li><li>The desire to follow the example of Masayoshi Son rather than Charlie Munger seems more logical to me.</li></ul><p>Introduction &amp; Thesis</p><p>On March 24, 2020, Bloomberg wrote about Softbank CEO Masayoshi Son&#39;s plans to sell $14 billion worth of Alibaba shares (NYSE:BABA) to shore up the bank&#39;s businesses, which had been battered by the coronavirus pandemic. This was not the first news of attempts by Masayoshi Son, who was one of the first investors in BABA in 2000, to get rid of the company&#39;s shares - according to a press release from the bank, derivative tradeshave been made since 2016. However, $14 billion in 2020 was quite a large amount, and in the medium term, BABA shares began to correct more than the main benchmarks:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96b0ceefb3d3bed3af27a07fdd9d3a81\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Now we see that Softbank faced the problem of deflating the bubble in high-growth companies after the Corona crisis, and will now further reduce its stake in Alibaba stock (from the current 23.7% to 14.6% after settling $34 billion in prepaid forward contracts).</p><p>As from the very beginning of my coverage of Alibaba stock here on Seeking Alpha, I still believe that investors should not follow on the heels of Charlie Munger - there are too many risks in buying this stock, both geopolitical (U.S.-China tensions, Taiwan) and economic (China&#39;s GDP growth slowdown and housing crisis). The pressure on BABA&#39;s quotes is likely to continue due to these two factors, and Softbank&#39;s sale of forward contracts for such a large amount may add to the headwinds for shareholders.</p><p>Masayoshi Son vs. Charlie Munger</p><p>One of the most frequently cited arguments for buying BABA after its phenomenal &gt;50% off high dip is the fact that one of the most famous Western investors, Charlie Munger, bought and held the stock. According to the 13-F filings by his Daily Journal Corp, the 98-year-old investor began buying BABA in the first quarter of 2021 and gradually increased his position throughout 2021 (from 165,320 shares in the first quarter to 602,060 shares in the fourth quarter) until he decided to sell half of the position in the first quarter of 2022 and has not touched BABA since (which is interpreted by some as a bullish sign).</p><p>In my subjective opinion, a 50% reduction of BABA&#39;s position in Daily Journal Corp. in the first quarter is already a sign of Mr. Munger&#39;s capitulation, as this act is not typical of his position in BofA (BAC) or Wells Fargo (WFC) - compare the position size as of the last reporting date [link above] with the portfolio at the end of 2013 to see for yourself.</p><p>Concerning the unchanged amount of BABA shares in the last reporting quarter, it should be noted that other positions have also remained unchanged - Munger has simply decided not to buy or sell anything. The great investor of the 20th century will likely continue to get rid of his position in Alibaba stock, in my view, if the risks in China escalate. Remember what he said about Russian stocks many years ago (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>When asked about Russia, Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s partner at Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B), harrumphed: &#34;<i>We don’t invest in kleptocracies.</i>&#34; One investor famously declared after the market’s meltdown in 1998: &#34;I’d rather eat nuclear waste than invest in Russia.&#34;</blockquote><blockquote>[Source]</blockquote><p>If you have been buying BABA solely on Munger&#39;s moves, then I must warn you: if you look at the performance of his Daily Journal Corp [based on Fintel data from 13-Fs], he has not been able to boast of excessive returns for many years:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f172b8f0ac1e4673cf5741f21754470d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Important note:</b>the reported value (RV) above should not be used as a substitute for Assets Under Management (AUM), as it does not include cash held in accounts.However, RV depletion is also an important criterion to consider.</p><p>I think the risks of investing in the Chinese market are becoming more evident every year. While the country&#39;s GDP grew 6-10% annually from the early 1990s until the pandemic began, these risks were ignored by many Western investors. We saw it even more positively when the Chinese GDP began to recover sharply after the 2020 lockdowns. Now, however, the prospects for similar growth rates are vague, as the real estate market, which has largely allowed China to report huge GDP growth rates in the past, is highly leveraged and in crisis, and the country&#39;s overall population is likely to start shrinking due to the low birth rate (which largely precludes the growth of the economy extensively).</p><blockquote>As recently as 2019 the China Academy of Social Sciences expected the population to peak in 2029, at 1.44 billion. The 2019 United Nations Population Prospects report expected the peak later still, in 2031-32, at 1.46 billion.</blockquote><blockquote>The Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences team predicts an annual average decline of 1.1% after 2021, pushing China&#39;s population down to 587 million in 2100, less than half of what it is today.</blockquote><blockquote>[Source]</blockquote><p>The accumulated problems of the Chinese regime drive Xi to continue trying to expand his sole power, because at first glance it seems more reliable to keep everything in one hand. Given the level of corruption in the country, we are dealing with a kleptocratic state - the reason why Munger avoided investing in Russia after 1998.</p><p>Aside from Masayoshi Son being forced to sell his shares in Alibaba, I think Softbank would have dumped its high stake in the company anyway, feeling the pressure from the Communist Party.</p><p>Exactly one year ago, Nikkei Asia published an article citing Son as to how he sees the pressure on China&#39;s tech sector.</p><blockquote>&#34;I strongly believe that China&#39;s AI technology and business model will continue to innovate,&#34; Son said in a news conference. &#34;However, in investment activities, various new regulations have begun, so I want to wait and see what kind of regulations are implemented and what kind of impact they have on the stock market.&#34;</blockquote><blockquote>[Source]</blockquote><p>A year later, he waited, looked around, and decided to reduce his stake in Alibaba from 23.7% to 14.6%.</p><p>This is a smart move that is not about flooding the market with shares all at once - under the terms of the forward contract, Mr. Son will have the right to buy back his BABA shares. However, it is unlikely that he will do so - in any case, we have not seen this happen since 2016. So, in the coming months, there will be a greater supply of Alibaba shares on the market, which will put additional pressure on prices against the backdrop of geopolitical and macroeconomic risks specific to China.</p><p>The company&#39;s financial profile doesn&#39;t help</p><p>The low multiples that made BABA&#39;s stock seem undervalued compared to U.S. tech giants have gotten even lower over the past six months - in line with the stock price:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a100fa0a41ade258d26db19f27c2313b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>However, it turned out that this underestimation was evidence of the value trap - the slowdown in economic growth and regulatory problems were making themselves felt. Margins continued their downward trend, and the ratio of EBITDA to sales did not return to the level seen before COVID.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceb0944814657934f262b18db7db4ec2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Sales and earnings growth did not improve as investors expected, so the denominators for most valuation metrics became smaller than the numerators - Seeking Alpha&#39;s factor grade system changed the valuation metric in a negative direction for the company:</p><p>Readers will rightly wonder why the &#34;Profitability&#34; criterion is still rated &#34;A+&#34; against a backdrop of declining business margins and less than stellar ROE / ROA / ROIC indicators. The answer to this question lies in the elements of this criterion - the company&#39;s cash flow from operations (CFO) is the only reason for this superiority over the rest of the sector:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0ad942e9b19cfbee3de08d1b1b2009\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98d0b575ede1cd3f09a1e124dd313777\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Indeed, in the Internet and direct marketing retail industry, of which Alibaba is a part, only 58.62% of companies have a positive CFO. Such companies have a CFO to TTM ratio of 7% (median), while BABA has a similar ratio of 17%, making it a true cash cow. However, for a cash cow, the margin of safety of BABA is highly controversial in terms of DCF modeling:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e33ef5864117b63096db2166e004e764\" tg-width=\"594\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Even with a fairly optimistic discount rate (10% is low given the risks for the Chinese tech giant) and a very generous assumption of a 15% growth rate over the next 10 years (which is already not the case), there is a downside of 14%, even when adding the tangible book value to the final share price.</p><p>Of course, I could be wrong and the listing of BABA&#39;s shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will create additional demand from investors in mainland China, but it&#39;s not entirely clear what U.S. investors with their ADRs will actually get out of it.</p><p>From this, I conclude that investors shouldn&#39;t be fooled by Alibaba&#39;s &#34;low multiples&#34; but to take a broader look at this company and consider all the risks involved. Then, the desire to follow the example of Masayoshi Son rather than Charlie Munger seems more logical to me.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: Follow Masayoshi Son, Not Charlie Munger</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: Follow Masayoshi Son, Not Charlie Munger\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-14 11:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533003-alibaba-stock-follow-masayoshi-son-not-charlie-munger?source=apple_sign_in&source=apple_sign_in><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryI explain why investors should not repeat the mistakes of Charlie Munger - it is better to follow Softbank's CEO, Masayoshi Son.Mr. Son has decided to reduce his stake in Alibaba from 23.7% to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533003-alibaba-stock-follow-masayoshi-son-not-charlie-munger?source=apple_sign_in&source=apple_sign_in\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533003-alibaba-stock-follow-masayoshi-son-not-charlie-munger?source=apple_sign_in&source=apple_sign_in","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1110057750","content_text":"SummaryI explain why investors should not repeat the mistakes of Charlie Munger - it is better to follow Softbank's CEO, Masayoshi Son.Mr. Son has decided to reduce his stake in Alibaba from 23.7% to 14.6% - in my opinion, this may create headwinds for BABA in the medium term.Investors shouldn't be fooled by Alibaba's \"low multiples\" but to take a broader look at this company and consider all the risks involved.Based on a fairly optimistic DCF model, there is a downside of 14% for Alibaba stock.The desire to follow the example of Masayoshi Son rather than Charlie Munger seems more logical to me.Introduction & ThesisOn March 24, 2020, Bloomberg wrote about Softbank CEO Masayoshi Son's plans to sell $14 billion worth of Alibaba shares (NYSE:BABA) to shore up the bank's businesses, which had been battered by the coronavirus pandemic. This was not the first news of attempts by Masayoshi Son, who was one of the first investors in BABA in 2000, to get rid of the company's shares - according to a press release from the bank, derivative tradeshave been made since 2016. However, $14 billion in 2020 was quite a large amount, and in the medium term, BABA shares began to correct more than the main benchmarks:Now we see that Softbank faced the problem of deflating the bubble in high-growth companies after the Corona crisis, and will now further reduce its stake in Alibaba stock (from the current 23.7% to 14.6% after settling $34 billion in prepaid forward contracts).As from the very beginning of my coverage of Alibaba stock here on Seeking Alpha, I still believe that investors should not follow on the heels of Charlie Munger - there are too many risks in buying this stock, both geopolitical (U.S.-China tensions, Taiwan) and economic (China's GDP growth slowdown and housing crisis). The pressure on BABA's quotes is likely to continue due to these two factors, and Softbank's sale of forward contracts for such a large amount may add to the headwinds for shareholders.Masayoshi Son vs. Charlie MungerOne of the most frequently cited arguments for buying BABA after its phenomenal >50% off high dip is the fact that one of the most famous Western investors, Charlie Munger, bought and held the stock. According to the 13-F filings by his Daily Journal Corp, the 98-year-old investor began buying BABA in the first quarter of 2021 and gradually increased his position throughout 2021 (from 165,320 shares in the first quarter to 602,060 shares in the fourth quarter) until he decided to sell half of the position in the first quarter of 2022 and has not touched BABA since (which is interpreted by some as a bullish sign).In my subjective opinion, a 50% reduction of BABA's position in Daily Journal Corp. in the first quarter is already a sign of Mr. Munger's capitulation, as this act is not typical of his position in BofA (BAC) or Wells Fargo (WFC) - compare the position size as of the last reporting date [link above] with the portfolio at the end of 2013 to see for yourself.Concerning the unchanged amount of BABA shares in the last reporting quarter, it should be noted that other positions have also remained unchanged - Munger has simply decided not to buy or sell anything. The great investor of the 20th century will likely continue to get rid of his position in Alibaba stock, in my view, if the risks in China escalate. Remember what he said about Russian stocks many years ago (emphasis added):When asked about Russia, Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s partner at Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B), harrumphed: \"We don’t invest in kleptocracies.\" One investor famously declared after the market’s meltdown in 1998: \"I’d rather eat nuclear waste than invest in Russia.\"[Source]If you have been buying BABA solely on Munger's moves, then I must warn you: if you look at the performance of his Daily Journal Corp [based on Fintel data from 13-Fs], he has not been able to boast of excessive returns for many years:Important note:the reported value (RV) above should not be used as a substitute for Assets Under Management (AUM), as it does not include cash held in accounts.However, RV depletion is also an important criterion to consider.I think the risks of investing in the Chinese market are becoming more evident every year. While the country's GDP grew 6-10% annually from the early 1990s until the pandemic began, these risks were ignored by many Western investors. We saw it even more positively when the Chinese GDP began to recover sharply after the 2020 lockdowns. Now, however, the prospects for similar growth rates are vague, as the real estate market, which has largely allowed China to report huge GDP growth rates in the past, is highly leveraged and in crisis, and the country's overall population is likely to start shrinking due to the low birth rate (which largely precludes the growth of the economy extensively).As recently as 2019 the China Academy of Social Sciences expected the population to peak in 2029, at 1.44 billion. The 2019 United Nations Population Prospects report expected the peak later still, in 2031-32, at 1.46 billion.The Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences team predicts an annual average decline of 1.1% after 2021, pushing China's population down to 587 million in 2100, less than half of what it is today.[Source]The accumulated problems of the Chinese regime drive Xi to continue trying to expand his sole power, because at first glance it seems more reliable to keep everything in one hand. Given the level of corruption in the country, we are dealing with a kleptocratic state - the reason why Munger avoided investing in Russia after 1998.Aside from Masayoshi Son being forced to sell his shares in Alibaba, I think Softbank would have dumped its high stake in the company anyway, feeling the pressure from the Communist Party.Exactly one year ago, Nikkei Asia published an article citing Son as to how he sees the pressure on China's tech sector.\"I strongly believe that China's AI technology and business model will continue to innovate,\" Son said in a news conference. \"However, in investment activities, various new regulations have begun, so I want to wait and see what kind of regulations are implemented and what kind of impact they have on the stock market.\"[Source]A year later, he waited, looked around, and decided to reduce his stake in Alibaba from 23.7% to 14.6%.This is a smart move that is not about flooding the market with shares all at once - under the terms of the forward contract, Mr. Son will have the right to buy back his BABA shares. However, it is unlikely that he will do so - in any case, we have not seen this happen since 2016. So, in the coming months, there will be a greater supply of Alibaba shares on the market, which will put additional pressure on prices against the backdrop of geopolitical and macroeconomic risks specific to China.The company's financial profile doesn't helpThe low multiples that made BABA's stock seem undervalued compared to U.S. tech giants have gotten even lower over the past six months - in line with the stock price:However, it turned out that this underestimation was evidence of the value trap - the slowdown in economic growth and regulatory problems were making themselves felt. Margins continued their downward trend, and the ratio of EBITDA to sales did not return to the level seen before COVID.Sales and earnings growth did not improve as investors expected, so the denominators for most valuation metrics became smaller than the numerators - Seeking Alpha's factor grade system changed the valuation metric in a negative direction for the company:Readers will rightly wonder why the \"Profitability\" criterion is still rated \"A+\" against a backdrop of declining business margins and less than stellar ROE / ROA / ROIC indicators. The answer to this question lies in the elements of this criterion - the company's cash flow from operations (CFO) is the only reason for this superiority over the rest of the sector:Indeed, in the Internet and direct marketing retail industry, of which Alibaba is a part, only 58.62% of companies have a positive CFO. Such companies have a CFO to TTM ratio of 7% (median), while BABA has a similar ratio of 17%, making it a true cash cow. However, for a cash cow, the margin of safety of BABA is highly controversial in terms of DCF modeling:Even with a fairly optimistic discount rate (10% is low given the risks for the Chinese tech giant) and a very generous assumption of a 15% growth rate over the next 10 years (which is already not the case), there is a downside of 14%, even when adding the tangible book value to the final share price.Of course, I could be wrong and the listing of BABA's shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will create additional demand from investors in mainland China, but it's not entirely clear what U.S. investors with their ADRs will actually get out of it.From this, I conclude that investors shouldn't be fooled by Alibaba's \"low multiples\" but to take a broader look at this company and consider all the risks involved. Then, the desire to follow the example of Masayoshi Son rather than Charlie Munger seems more logical to me.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931026266,"gmtCreate":1662364496955,"gmtModify":1676537046216,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to transfer asset&nbsp;","listText":"Time to transfer asset&nbsp;","text":"Time to transfer asset","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931026266","repostId":"1139304288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991888688,"gmtCreate":1660805806548,"gmtModify":1676536403174,"author":{"id":"4092628139629950","authorId":"4092628139629950","name":"OPTIONDAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f8d53f8a4da907143dfc7e83e321f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092628139629950","authorIdStr":"4092628139629950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Better perform S&amp;P500 hands down&nbsp;","listText":"Better perform S&amp;P500 hands down&nbsp;","text":"Better perform S&P500 hands down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991888688","repostId":"1139363176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139363176","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1660804222,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139363176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-18 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple \"The Perfect Stock To Own In An Economic Downturn\"?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139363176","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER KEY POINTSJoe Terranova says Apple's financial metrics set it up for success amid current mar","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>ZINGER KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Joe Terranova says Apple&#39;s financial metrics set it up for success amid current market conditions.</li><li>&#34;It&#39;s an unbelievable company. Oh, and by the way, they&#39;re buying back their shares,&#34; Terranova says.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815df67692da99c4a64b6fb3705b12a4\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"575\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Photo: courtesy of Apple.</span></p><p><b>Apple Inc</b> shares are on the move Wednesday following a pair of upgrades from analysts who see strong demand trends in the hardware side of the business.</p><p>Virtus Investment Partners&#39; <b>Joe Terranova</b> backed up the bullish analyst calls Wednesday on CNBC&#39;s &#34;Fast Money Halftime Report.&#34;</p><p>He might have even one-upped the analysts when he said Apple is &#34;the perfect stock to own in an economic downturn.&#34;</p><p><b>What To Know:</b> Apple began the year trading at $177.57, Terranova said.</p><p>&#34;That&#39;s where Apple is going to trade above in the next several weeks, if not the next several days,&#34; he said.</p><p>He suggested that Apple stock will be able to hold its gains through the end of the year — and those who remain long the name will be rewarded.</p><p>&#34;It will be higher on the year because all of the financial metrics of this company align itself with the environment in which the economic contraction that is unfolding allows for resiliency and allows for investors to be rewarded staying patient and invested in this name,&#34; he said.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s an unbelievable company. Oh, and by the way, they&#39;re buying back their shares.&#34;</p><p>During the company&#39;s March quarter, Apple announced that its board authorized an increase of $90 billion to its existing share repurchase program. At that time, the company reported $43.11 billion in buybacks through the second quarter of its fiscal year.</p><p>In the company&#39;s most recent earnings report from the end of July, Apple reported total fiscal year buybacks of $64.97 billion, which shows that Apple repurchased $21.865 billion of its stock last quarter.</p><p><b>AAPL Price Action:</b> Apple has a 52-week high of $182.94 and a 52-week low of $129.04.</p><p>The stock gained 0.88% Wednesday, closing at $174.55, according to Benzinga Pro.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple \"The Perfect Stock To Own In An Economic Downturn\"? </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple \"The Perfect Stock To Own In An Economic Downturn\"? \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-18 14:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>ZINGER KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Joe Terranova says Apple&#39;s financial metrics set it up for success amid current market conditions.</li><li>&#34;It&#39;s an unbelievable company. Oh, and by the way, they&#39;re buying back their shares,&#34; Terranova says.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815df67692da99c4a64b6fb3705b12a4\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"575\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Photo: courtesy of Apple.</span></p><p><b>Apple Inc</b> shares are on the move Wednesday following a pair of upgrades from analysts who see strong demand trends in the hardware side of the business.</p><p>Virtus Investment Partners&#39; <b>Joe Terranova</b> backed up the bullish analyst calls Wednesday on CNBC&#39;s &#34;Fast Money Halftime Report.&#34;</p><p>He might have even one-upped the analysts when he said Apple is &#34;the perfect stock to own in an economic downturn.&#34;</p><p><b>What To Know:</b> Apple began the year trading at $177.57, Terranova said.</p><p>&#34;That&#39;s where Apple is going to trade above in the next several weeks, if not the next several days,&#34; he said.</p><p>He suggested that Apple stock will be able to hold its gains through the end of the year — and those who remain long the name will be rewarded.</p><p>&#34;It will be higher on the year because all of the financial metrics of this company align itself with the environment in which the economic contraction that is unfolding allows for resiliency and allows for investors to be rewarded staying patient and invested in this name,&#34; he said.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s an unbelievable company. Oh, and by the way, they&#39;re buying back their shares.&#34;</p><p>During the company&#39;s March quarter, Apple announced that its board authorized an increase of $90 billion to its existing share repurchase program. At that time, the company reported $43.11 billion in buybacks through the second quarter of its fiscal year.</p><p>In the company&#39;s most recent earnings report from the end of July, Apple reported total fiscal year buybacks of $64.97 billion, which shows that Apple repurchased $21.865 billion of its stock last quarter.</p><p><b>AAPL Price Action:</b> Apple has a 52-week high of $182.94 and a 52-week low of $129.04.</p><p>The stock gained 0.88% Wednesday, closing at $174.55, according to Benzinga Pro.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139363176","content_text":"ZINGER KEY POINTSJoe Terranova says Apple's financial metrics set it up for success amid current market conditions.\"It's an unbelievable company. Oh, and by the way, they're buying back their shares,\" Terranova says.Photo: courtesy of Apple.Apple Inc shares are on the move Wednesday following a pair of upgrades from analysts who see strong demand trends in the hardware side of the business.Virtus Investment Partners' Joe Terranova backed up the bullish analyst calls Wednesday on CNBC's \"Fast Money Halftime Report.\"He might have even one-upped the analysts when he said Apple is \"the perfect stock to own in an economic downturn.\"What To Know: Apple began the year trading at $177.57, Terranova said.\"That's where Apple is going to trade above in the next several weeks, if not the next several days,\" he said.He suggested that Apple stock will be able to hold its gains through the end of the year — and those who remain long the name will be rewarded.\"It will be higher on the year because all of the financial metrics of this company align itself with the environment in which the economic contraction that is unfolding allows for resiliency and allows for investors to be rewarded staying patient and invested in this name,\" he said.\"It's an unbelievable company. Oh, and by the way, they're buying back their shares.\"During the company's March quarter, Apple announced that its board authorized an increase of $90 billion to its existing share repurchase program. At that time, the company reported $43.11 billion in buybacks through the second quarter of its fiscal year.In the company's most recent earnings report from the end of July, Apple reported total fiscal year buybacks of $64.97 billion, which shows that Apple repurchased $21.865 billion of its stock last quarter.AAPL Price Action: Apple has a 52-week high of $182.94 and a 52-week low of $129.04.The stock gained 0.88% Wednesday, closing at $174.55, according to Benzinga Pro.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}