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Tiger mass
2022-10-30
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2023-01-24
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Tesla Turned Down in Premarket Trading After Its U.S. Model Y Rose $500 to $53490
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2022-11-01
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2023-01-25
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2022-10-31
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news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952151014","repostId":"1193195512","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985304182,"gmtCreate":1667308564146,"gmtModify":1676537895364,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985304182","repostId":"2280399120","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2280399120","pubTimestamp":1667307319,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280399120?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-01 20:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple, Bank of America, and Chevron Earnings Show the Warren Buffett Way Still Works","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280399120","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Buffett's three biggest positions continue to perform exceptionally well.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett once quipped, "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked." The adage certainly seems applicable in the current market environment. Most investors perform well when the market is rising. But when the market is down, it's more readily apparent which investors have the best approaches.</p><p>We've seen some large, well-known companies deliver disappointing quarterly results in recent weeks. However, there are some noticeable exceptions that make Buffett look quite astute. You might even say that the latest earnings reports from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America </a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron </a> show that the Warren Buffett way still works.</p><h2>What is the Warren Buffett way?</h2><p>Buffett focuses on businesses instead of stocks. The legendary investor adamantly insisted in his annual letter to <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (BRK.A) (BRK.B) shareholders earlier this year that he and his longtime business associate Charlie Munger "are <i>not</i> stock-pickers; we are business-pickers."</p><p>He especially likes businesses that are well-run and that have sustainable competitive advantages. Buffett prefers to invest in companies that have moats -- distinct competitive advantages that enable them to flourish over the long term.</p><p>If you want examples of these kinds of businesses, just look at the top holdings in Buffett's portfolio. Apple is by far the biggest position. It's followed by Bank of America. Chevron now ranks as Berkshire's third-largest holding (including the shares owned by its New England Asset Management subsidiary).</p><p>Buffett refers to Apple as one of Berkshire's "four giants" -- and it's the only one of those giants that isn't a Berkshire subsidiary. He's been a longtime fan of bank stocks, with Bank of America clearly his favorite. The multibillionaire also foresaw that energy stocks would perform well after they were hammered during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Buffett loaded up on Chevron to profit from the predicted rebound.</p><h2>Three for three</h2><p>The "Oracle of Omaha" has gone three for three with his top holdings in the latest earnings season. Apple, Bank of America, and Chevron delivered better-than-expected results.</p><p>Apple reported its highest fiscal Q4 revenue ($90.1 billion) in company history. Importantly, this milestone was achieved despite stiff currency headwinds. The tech giant also posted its highest fiscal Q4 gross profit margin ever.</p><p>Bank of America easily topped Wall Street revenue and earnings estimates with its Q3 results. Rising interest rates hurt some businesses, but they helped BofA. The company's net interest income jumped $1.4 billion from the previous quarter -- well above management's previous guidance of $1 billion.</p><p>Chevron stock hit an all-time high after the giant oil and gas producer reported outstanding Q3 results. The company's profit nearly doubled year over year to $11.2 billion. Chevron generated record-high cash flow from operations of $15.3 billion. This strong performance was driven by higher oil prices.</p><h2>Not just one quarter</h2><p>Buffett would probably be the first person to tell you not to focus too heavily on one quarter. However, the solid results for Apple, Bank of America, and Chevron reflect underlying business strengths that aren't just temporary.</p><p>CEO Tim Cook said in Apple's quarterly conference call, "There's no other company that fuses best-in-class hardware with cutting-edge software and services to create a truly integrated and seamless experience." Buffett would almost certainly agree with that statement. And Apple's continued success arguably validates it.</p><p>Bank of America has led the financial services industry in adopting technology. This innovation has enabled the company to grow while operating with fewer employees than it had seven years ago. Around 80% of BofA's customers actively use its digital platform.</p><p>Chevron is taking advantage of the current favorable industry dynamics in several ways. The company has paid down debt for six consecutive quarters. It's investing in new energy sources, including renewable energy as well as carbon capture and storage.</p><p>Well-run businesses with competitive advantages tend to win over the long term. Buffett knows that as well as anyone on the planet. It's not surprising at all that his three biggest positions are beating expectations during a period of economic uncertainty. That's just the Warren Buffett way at work.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple, Bank of America, and Chevron Earnings Show the Warren Buffett Way Still Works</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple, Bank of America, and Chevron Earnings Show the Warren Buffett Way Still Works\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-01 20:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/01/apple-bank-of-america-and-chevron-warren-buffett/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett once quipped, \"Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked.\" The adage certainly seems applicable in the current market environment. Most investors perform ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/01/apple-bank-of-america-and-chevron-warren-buffett/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CVX":"雪佛龙","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/01/apple-bank-of-america-and-chevron-warren-buffett/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280399120","content_text":"Warren Buffett once quipped, \"Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked.\" The adage certainly seems applicable in the current market environment. Most investors perform well when the market is rising. But when the market is down, it's more readily apparent which investors have the best approaches.We've seen some large, well-known companies deliver disappointing quarterly results in recent weeks. However, there are some noticeable exceptions that make Buffett look quite astute. You might even say that the latest earnings reports from Apple , Bank of America , and Chevron show that the Warren Buffett way still works.What is the Warren Buffett way?Buffett focuses on businesses instead of stocks. The legendary investor adamantly insisted in his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) shareholders earlier this year that he and his longtime business associate Charlie Munger \"are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.\"He especially likes businesses that are well-run and that have sustainable competitive advantages. Buffett prefers to invest in companies that have moats -- distinct competitive advantages that enable them to flourish over the long term.If you want examples of these kinds of businesses, just look at the top holdings in Buffett's portfolio. Apple is by far the biggest position. It's followed by Bank of America. Chevron now ranks as Berkshire's third-largest holding (including the shares owned by its New England Asset Management subsidiary).Buffett refers to Apple as one of Berkshire's \"four giants\" -- and it's the only one of those giants that isn't a Berkshire subsidiary. He's been a longtime fan of bank stocks, with Bank of America clearly his favorite. The multibillionaire also foresaw that energy stocks would perform well after they were hammered during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Buffett loaded up on Chevron to profit from the predicted rebound.Three for threeThe \"Oracle of Omaha\" has gone three for three with his top holdings in the latest earnings season. Apple, Bank of America, and Chevron delivered better-than-expected results.Apple reported its highest fiscal Q4 revenue ($90.1 billion) in company history. Importantly, this milestone was achieved despite stiff currency headwinds. The tech giant also posted its highest fiscal Q4 gross profit margin ever.Bank of America easily topped Wall Street revenue and earnings estimates with its Q3 results. Rising interest rates hurt some businesses, but they helped BofA. The company's net interest income jumped $1.4 billion from the previous quarter -- well above management's previous guidance of $1 billion.Chevron stock hit an all-time high after the giant oil and gas producer reported outstanding Q3 results. The company's profit nearly doubled year over year to $11.2 billion. Chevron generated record-high cash flow from operations of $15.3 billion. This strong performance was driven by higher oil prices.Not just one quarterBuffett would probably be the first person to tell you not to focus too heavily on one quarter. However, the solid results for Apple, Bank of America, and Chevron reflect underlying business strengths that aren't just temporary.CEO Tim Cook said in Apple's quarterly conference call, \"There's no other company that fuses best-in-class hardware with cutting-edge software and services to create a truly integrated and seamless experience.\" Buffett would almost certainly agree with that statement. And Apple's continued success arguably validates it.Bank of America has led the financial services industry in adopting technology. This innovation has enabled the company to grow while operating with fewer employees than it had seven years ago. Around 80% of BofA's customers actively use its digital platform.Chevron is taking advantage of the current favorable industry dynamics in several ways. The company has paid down debt for six consecutive quarters. It's investing in new energy sources, including renewable energy as well as carbon capture and storage.Well-run businesses with competitive advantages tend to win over the long term. Buffett knows that as well as anyone on the planet. It's not surprising at all that his three biggest positions are beating expectations during a period of economic uncertainty. That's just the Warren Buffett way at work.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982293894,"gmtCreate":1667181298119,"gmtModify":1676537872009,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982293894","repostId":"2279592866","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982146889,"gmtCreate":1667130761742,"gmtModify":1676537865063,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really ","listText":"Really ","text":"Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982146889","repostId":"2279592866","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2279592866","pubTimestamp":1667093046,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2279592866?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-30 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investing in the Stock Market Could Turn Your $10,000 Into $300,000. Here's How","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2279592866","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If you give the stock market time to work, it will likely reward you in the long run.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It has been a brutal year for the stock market, but downturns like the current one are often the best time to invest. In theory, because valuations are depressed, investors have the opportunity to buy shares of quality companies at a bargain and watch their positions grow.</p><p>Of course, the hard part is finding the right stocks. But a simple way to dip your toe into a volatile market in a still uncertain economy is to invest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). ETFs allow you to invest in a broad portfolio of stocks based on an index as opposed to building your own portfolio of individual companies. It's a relatively easy way to invest without taking on excess risk, particularly for those who aren't sure where to begin.</p><p>Here's how one investment of $10,000 in a diversified ETF could grow to well over $300,000 given enough time.</p><h2>A look back to 2002</h2><p>We can't know for sure what the market will do over the next 10 or 20 years, but we can look back for some guidance on how things tend to play out. As the disclaimer goes, past results are no guarantee of future returns, but they can provide valuable perspective.</p><p>If you go back 20 years, the economy and markets were in a similar state as they are now. The dot-come bubble had burst in 2000, and investors were still feeling the pain with the <b>S&P 500</b> down 23% in 2002, while the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> was off 32% that year. Sound familiar? Also, the economy was not in a recession, but it had been for most of 2001 and was growing slowly in 2002.</p><p>In many ways, investors navigating the markets in Oct. 2002 were facing a very similar situation to what investors are grappling with in Oct. 2022. With that in mind, let's examine how much a $10,000 investment in the bear market of 20 years ago would have grown to by this time.</p><h2>The 20-year performance of the Invesco QQQ</h2><p>In this example, let's look at an ETF from the technology sector, the biggest loser of the dot-com bubble and this year as well. Specifically, we'll use the <b>Invesco QQQ ETF</b>, since it's one of the oldest technology ETFs and the largest with some $150 billion in assets.</p><p>The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF launched on March 10, 1999, and it tracks the performance of the <b>Nasdaq 100</b> index, the 100 largest stocks in the Nasdaq, excluding those in the financial sector. It is heavily weighted toward technology stocks, which currently represent about 49.5% of the index. The three largest holdings are <b>Apple</b>, <b>Microsoft</b>, and <b>Amazon</b>.</p><p>Over the past 20 years, the QQQ has posted an average annualized return of 13% (from Oct. 25, 2002 to Oct. 25, 2022) -- including its 28% decline over the past 12 months.</p><p>If you invested $10,000 in the QQQ back on Oct. 25, 2002, you would have over $115,000 in your portfolio right now. But if you contributed an additional $100 every month to the ETF over that period, your total investment of $34,000 would be worth just under $220,000.</p><p>That may not be enough to retire on alone, but when you add in other sources of income like Social Security or contributions to an employer-sponsored retirement plan and other retirement accounts, it can be a big boost to your nest egg.</p><h2>And if you have a 30-year horizon ...</h2><p>It's worth pointing out how much faster your returns will further accumulate if you keep your money invested even longer. If you instead had a 30-year window to invest that $10,000 (with the monthly contribution of $100), your portfolio would grow to nearly $670,000 based on the 12.4% annual return of the Nasdaq 100 index over that period. Even with no monthly investment, it would grow to about $333,000.</p><p>As previously stated, we can't predict what the next 20 or 30 years in the market will hold, but we do know the price-to-earnings ratio of the Nasdaq 100 has come down from about 35 this time last year to 23 as of this writing -- and it's expected to fall further to 21 a year from now. Valuations are indeed lower, and growth stocks such as those in the Nasdaq 100 offer the best long-term returns. Despite the uncertainty, now is a good time to consider establishing long-term positions in quality investments like the QQQ.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investing in the Stock Market Could Turn Your $10,000 Into $300,000. Here's How</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvesting in the Stock Market Could Turn Your $10,000 Into $300,000. Here's How\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-30 09:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/29/investing-in-stocks-could-turn-100k-300k-heres-how/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a brutal year for the stock market, but downturns like the current one are often the best time to invest. In theory, because valuations are depressed, investors have the opportunity to buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/29/investing-in-stocks-could-turn-100k-300k-heres-how/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/29/investing-in-stocks-could-turn-100k-300k-heres-how/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2279592866","content_text":"It has been a brutal year for the stock market, but downturns like the current one are often the best time to invest. In theory, because valuations are depressed, investors have the opportunity to buy shares of quality companies at a bargain and watch their positions grow.Of course, the hard part is finding the right stocks. But a simple way to dip your toe into a volatile market in a still uncertain economy is to invest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). ETFs allow you to invest in a broad portfolio of stocks based on an index as opposed to building your own portfolio of individual companies. It's a relatively easy way to invest without taking on excess risk, particularly for those who aren't sure where to begin.Here's how one investment of $10,000 in a diversified ETF could grow to well over $300,000 given enough time.A look back to 2002We can't know for sure what the market will do over the next 10 or 20 years, but we can look back for some guidance on how things tend to play out. As the disclaimer goes, past results are no guarantee of future returns, but they can provide valuable perspective.If you go back 20 years, the economy and markets were in a similar state as they are now. The dot-come bubble had burst in 2000, and investors were still feeling the pain with the S&P 500 down 23% in 2002, while the Nasdaq Composite was off 32% that year. Sound familiar? Also, the economy was not in a recession, but it had been for most of 2001 and was growing slowly in 2002.In many ways, investors navigating the markets in Oct. 2002 were facing a very similar situation to what investors are grappling with in Oct. 2022. With that in mind, let's examine how much a $10,000 investment in the bear market of 20 years ago would have grown to by this time.The 20-year performance of the Invesco QQQIn this example, let's look at an ETF from the technology sector, the biggest loser of the dot-com bubble and this year as well. Specifically, we'll use the Invesco QQQ ETF, since it's one of the oldest technology ETFs and the largest with some $150 billion in assets.The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF launched on March 10, 1999, and it tracks the performance of the Nasdaq 100 index, the 100 largest stocks in the Nasdaq, excluding those in the financial sector. It is heavily weighted toward technology stocks, which currently represent about 49.5% of the index. The three largest holdings are Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon.Over the past 20 years, the QQQ has posted an average annualized return of 13% (from Oct. 25, 2002 to Oct. 25, 2022) -- including its 28% decline over the past 12 months.If you invested $10,000 in the QQQ back on Oct. 25, 2002, you would have over $115,000 in your portfolio right now. But if you contributed an additional $100 every month to the ETF over that period, your total investment of $34,000 would be worth just under $220,000.That may not be enough to retire on alone, but when you add in other sources of income like Social Security or contributions to an employer-sponsored retirement plan and other retirement accounts, it can be a big boost to your nest egg.And if you have a 30-year horizon ...It's worth pointing out how much faster your returns will further accumulate if you keep your money invested even longer. If you instead had a 30-year window to invest that $10,000 (with the monthly contribution of $100), your portfolio would grow to nearly $670,000 based on the 12.4% annual return of the Nasdaq 100 index over that period. Even with no monthly investment, it would grow to about $333,000.As previously stated, we can't predict what the next 20 or 30 years in the market will hold, but we do know the price-to-earnings ratio of the Nasdaq 100 has come down from about 35 this time last year to 23 as of this writing -- and it's expected to fall further to 21 a year from now. Valuations are indeed lower, and growth stocks such as those in the Nasdaq 100 offer the best long-term returns. Despite the uncertainty, now is a good time to consider establishing long-term positions in quality investments like the QQQ.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9982146889,"gmtCreate":1667130761742,"gmtModify":1676537865063,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really ","listText":"Really ","text":"Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982146889","repostId":"2279592866","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952151014,"gmtCreate":1674553295239,"gmtModify":1676538946245,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952151014","repostId":"1193195512","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1193195512","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1674553159,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193195512?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-24 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Turned Down in Premarket Trading After Its U.S. Model Y Rose $500 to $53490","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193195512","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla Motors turned down in premarket trading after its U.S. Model Y rose $500 to $53490.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> turned down in premarket trading after its U.S. Model Y rose $500 to $53490.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/387256fdc7e02ed435f2eec60a87cba2\" tg-width=\"657\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Turned Down in Premarket Trading After Its U.S. Model Y Rose $500 to $53490</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Turned Down in Premarket Trading After Its U.S. Model Y Rose $500 to $53490\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-24 17:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> turned down in premarket trading after its U.S. Model Y rose $500 to $53490.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/387256fdc7e02ed435f2eec60a87cba2\" tg-width=\"657\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193195512","content_text":"Tesla Motors turned down in premarket trading after its U.S. Model Y rose $500 to $53490.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985304182,"gmtCreate":1667308564146,"gmtModify":1676537895364,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985304182","repostId":"2280399120","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952858846,"gmtCreate":1674632932785,"gmtModify":1676538949911,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952858846","repostId":"2306125710","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2306125710","pubTimestamp":1674615999,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2306125710?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-25 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO: Tesla Gift","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2306125710","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNIO Inc. hasn't rallied much since the Chinese covid reopening due to the Tesla EV price cuts","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>NIO Inc. hasn't rallied much since the Chinese covid reopening due to the Tesla EV price cuts.</li><li>The Chinese EV manufacturer recently launched a Model 3 rival in the ET5, possibly leading to the weak sales by Tesla.</li><li>NIO had record monthly deliveries in December while Tesla deliveries plunged.</li><li>NIO stock would already have rallied to $16 to $17 based on the covid reopening bounce in China, if not for Tesla.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dbb31fc9e0fd2f2fbc291482fcfba3a\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Michael Vi</span></p><p>The China reopening should've been a huge boon to electric vehicle ("EV") auto manufacturers. <b>NIO Inc.</b> (NYSE:NIO) has hardly rallied in the last 3 months despite a huge rally in other Chinese stocks due primarily to<b>Tesla, Inc.</b> (TSLA) announcing price cuts on EVs in the country. Myinvestment thesis is Bullish on NIO due to likely temporary price cuts by the EV giant hitting the stock for now.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e8a3d2ffbce32bf6841cea425e46fa\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>FinViz</span></p><h2>Tesla Price Cuts</h2><p>Back on January 6, Tesla announced price cuts for the Tesla 3 and Model Y produced at the Shanghai Gigafactory. The EV giant again cut prices of the vehicles in China, leading to a 13% to 24% total reduction in prices from September levels, according to <i>Reuters</i>.</p><p>For January, Tesla slashed the Model 3 and Model Y prices from 6.0% to 13.5%, in part due to rising interest rates and the end of a subsidy program in China. The moves were expected to make the EVs more affordable to consumers.</p><p>The issue is that Tesla had horrible deliveries for December, with only 55,796 EVs delivered in China. Other Chinese EV manufacturers saw a huge rebound in December deliveries, while Tesla saw a 44% drop from November in a major question regarding demand as competition rebounded to the end of the year.</p><p>Tesla faces a scenario where Chinese automakers from NIO to <b>Li Auto</b> (LI) are pressuring the company for vehicle sales. Total EV sales for 2022 show Tesla's market share dipping in the Chinese market, with nearly 6.5 million EV sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7546e447252706528c87f129cd95938d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>TechNode</span></p><p>According to Dan Niles, an informal survey conducted by Wedbush Securities of over 500 prospective EV buyers in China showed they were now more likely to consider a Tesla. In total, the survey suggested 76% of participants find a Tesla EV more compelling versus BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) or even NIO. The survey is very limited and conducted by a historical Tesla bull.</p><p>NIO recently launched the ET5 electric sedan to compete directly with the Model 3 from Tesla, with an original starting price of $46,100. Ironically, the company planned to sell 10,000 monthly units of the ET5 right before Tesla started making price cuts. NIO only sold a total of 8,973 premium smart electric sedans, including 1,379 ET7s and 7,594 ET5s, during December.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/497c70fdfc10927a6ec3750f328327e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>NIO</span></p><p>The company has innovative battery swap technology, with 1,315 Power Swap stations in the county allowing for a quick 3-minute swap of the battery versus a lengthy charge. In addition, the new smart SUV has a battery capable of holding a charge far beyond the 358 miles listed by the Model 3.</p><h2>The Gift</h2><p>The multiple EV price cuts by Tesla in China have held NIO back from rallying in the last 3 months on signs of a Chinese reopen from covid lockdowns. Over the course of this period, Chinese tech stocks like <b>Alibaba Group</b> (BABA) and <b>Baidu</b> (BIDU) are up 50%. During this period, NIO is only up a meager 7% due to concerns about a price war, with other Chinese EV manufacturers cutting EV prices as well.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4aaa9cf7d0809f43e032bc990e3a66a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>NIO did jump 9% on Monday to erase a loss entering the week for this 3-month period. A similar rally to the tech giants would have the stock trading in the $16 to $17 range.</p><p>Investors can now buy NIO knowing the stock hasn't fully factored in the covid reopen that has already occurred. The biggest risk is that Tesla presses margins to a point where NIO needs to use growth in 2023 to generate a big improvement to the large ongoing losses.</p><p>Consensus analyst estimates have NIO producing losses for the next 2 years before - only 3 analysts are listed with estimates for a 2025 profit. In essence, most analysts aren't even providing Wall St. with positive EPS estimates for the stock.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1772639c96b6f0ec8bc259cb05adc29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"119\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>NIO reported record revenues of $1.8 billion in Q3'22, and sales reached a record of 15,815 deliveries in December setting up a big quarter ahead. After several weak monthly delivery totals, the Chinese EV manufacturer ended the year with November and December combining for nearly 30K deliveries to almost match the 31,607 vehicle number from all of Q3'22.</p><p>The company is forecast to produce massive sales growth in 2023 following some very weak monthly sales during the 2022 covid lockdowns. NIO was still forecast to produce a large $0.71 loss this year and a pricing war, even temporarily, isn't going to help the profit view.</p><p>Even the much improved sales on the Q3 earnings report included a larger adjusted operating loss of $458 million due to a lower margin from sales not matching production goals. The forecasts for vastly smaller losses by Q1 change the equation of NIO burning out of control amounts.</p><p>A scenario where these price cuts lead to ongoing $400+ million quarterly losses with no end in sight could stall any delayed reopening rally in the stock. NIO has a $7.2 billion cash balance to fund investments for growth, but investors don't want to see the company burn all of this cash on ongoing losses.</p><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>The key investor takeaway is that NIO Inc. remains a trading stock and not necessarily a long-term investment, considering the competitive EV market in China. The lack of a rally due to the EV price cuts in China by Tesla gives investors a chance to buy a beaten-down Chinese stock with the covid reopening now de-risked.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Stone Fox Capital</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: Tesla Gift</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: Tesla Gift\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-25 11:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4572065-nio-tesla-gift><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNIO Inc. hasn't rallied much since the Chinese covid reopening due to the Tesla EV price cuts.The Chinese EV manufacturer recently launched a Model 3 rival in the ET5, possibly leading to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4572065-nio-tesla-gift\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","NIO.SI":"蔚来","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","BK4531":"中概回港概念","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4509":"腾讯概念","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4526":"热门中概股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4504":"桥水持仓","NIO":"蔚来","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","09866":"蔚来-SW","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4572065-nio-tesla-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2306125710","content_text":"SummaryNIO Inc. hasn't rallied much since the Chinese covid reopening due to the Tesla EV price cuts.The Chinese EV manufacturer recently launched a Model 3 rival in the ET5, possibly leading to the weak sales by Tesla.NIO had record monthly deliveries in December while Tesla deliveries plunged.NIO stock would already have rallied to $16 to $17 based on the covid reopening bounce in China, if not for Tesla.Michael ViThe China reopening should've been a huge boon to electric vehicle (\"EV\") auto manufacturers. NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) has hardly rallied in the last 3 months despite a huge rally in other Chinese stocks due primarily toTesla, Inc. (TSLA) announcing price cuts on EVs in the country. Myinvestment thesis is Bullish on NIO due to likely temporary price cuts by the EV giant hitting the stock for now.FinVizTesla Price CutsBack on January 6, Tesla announced price cuts for the Tesla 3 and Model Y produced at the Shanghai Gigafactory. The EV giant again cut prices of the vehicles in China, leading to a 13% to 24% total reduction in prices from September levels, according to Reuters.For January, Tesla slashed the Model 3 and Model Y prices from 6.0% to 13.5%, in part due to rising interest rates and the end of a subsidy program in China. The moves were expected to make the EVs more affordable to consumers.The issue is that Tesla had horrible deliveries for December, with only 55,796 EVs delivered in China. Other Chinese EV manufacturers saw a huge rebound in December deliveries, while Tesla saw a 44% drop from November in a major question regarding demand as competition rebounded to the end of the year.Tesla faces a scenario where Chinese automakers from NIO to Li Auto (LI) are pressuring the company for vehicle sales. Total EV sales for 2022 show Tesla's market share dipping in the Chinese market, with nearly 6.5 million EV sales.TechNodeAccording to Dan Niles, an informal survey conducted by Wedbush Securities of over 500 prospective EV buyers in China showed they were now more likely to consider a Tesla. In total, the survey suggested 76% of participants find a Tesla EV more compelling versus BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) or even NIO. The survey is very limited and conducted by a historical Tesla bull.NIO recently launched the ET5 electric sedan to compete directly with the Model 3 from Tesla, with an original starting price of $46,100. Ironically, the company planned to sell 10,000 monthly units of the ET5 right before Tesla started making price cuts. NIO only sold a total of 8,973 premium smart electric sedans, including 1,379 ET7s and 7,594 ET5s, during December.NIOThe company has innovative battery swap technology, with 1,315 Power Swap stations in the county allowing for a quick 3-minute swap of the battery versus a lengthy charge. In addition, the new smart SUV has a battery capable of holding a charge far beyond the 358 miles listed by the Model 3.The GiftThe multiple EV price cuts by Tesla in China have held NIO back from rallying in the last 3 months on signs of a Chinese reopen from covid lockdowns. Over the course of this period, Chinese tech stocks like Alibaba Group (BABA) and Baidu (BIDU) are up 50%. During this period, NIO is only up a meager 7% due to concerns about a price war, with other Chinese EV manufacturers cutting EV prices as well.Data by YChartsNIO did jump 9% on Monday to erase a loss entering the week for this 3-month period. A similar rally to the tech giants would have the stock trading in the $16 to $17 range.Investors can now buy NIO knowing the stock hasn't fully factored in the covid reopen that has already occurred. The biggest risk is that Tesla presses margins to a point where NIO needs to use growth in 2023 to generate a big improvement to the large ongoing losses.Consensus analyst estimates have NIO producing losses for the next 2 years before - only 3 analysts are listed with estimates for a 2025 profit. In essence, most analysts aren't even providing Wall St. with positive EPS estimates for the stock.Seeking AlphaNIO reported record revenues of $1.8 billion in Q3'22, and sales reached a record of 15,815 deliveries in December setting up a big quarter ahead. After several weak monthly delivery totals, the Chinese EV manufacturer ended the year with November and December combining for nearly 30K deliveries to almost match the 31,607 vehicle number from all of Q3'22.The company is forecast to produce massive sales growth in 2023 following some very weak monthly sales during the 2022 covid lockdowns. NIO was still forecast to produce a large $0.71 loss this year and a pricing war, even temporarily, isn't going to help the profit view.Even the much improved sales on the Q3 earnings report included a larger adjusted operating loss of $458 million due to a lower margin from sales not matching production goals. The forecasts for vastly smaller losses by Q1 change the equation of NIO burning out of control amounts.A scenario where these price cuts lead to ongoing $400+ million quarterly losses with no end in sight could stall any delayed reopening rally in the stock. NIO has a $7.2 billion cash balance to fund investments for growth, but investors don't want to see the company burn all of this cash on ongoing losses.TakeawayThe key investor takeaway is that NIO Inc. remains a trading stock and not necessarily a long-term investment, considering the competitive EV market in China. The lack of a rally due to the EV price cuts in China by Tesla gives investors a chance to buy a beaten-down Chinese stock with the covid reopening now de-risked.This article is written by Stone Fox Capital for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982293894,"gmtCreate":1667181298119,"gmtModify":1676537872009,"author":{"id":"4092653299636830","authorId":"4092653299636830","name":"Tiger mass","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092653299636830","idStr":"4092653299636830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982293894","repostId":"2279592866","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}