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asr68

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2023-10-26

War only good for weapon manufacturer. Another one energy sector. Emmmm

2023-09-07

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TigerOptions:S&P 500 Futures Continues Bearish Trend

2023-06-16

Read

@The Finance Hydra: 🔥 TESLA STOCK | Destroying All Bearish Patterns!

2022-11-29

Tx

@AmitKukreja: BREAKING: Elon Musk Is Bringing Twitter Usage To An All Time HighDo you think Elon is able to completely turn this around? I have a startup that's trying to build a whole new way for audio creators ... From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooJ7zUWN4t4

2022-11-27

Tx

Starbucks Will Perk Up Its Revenue Within 4 Years (Technical Analysis)

2022-09-01

Then therw is abad news, it is an opportunity, when things being said good things, it is time to bail out. Which one are we?

"Prepare for an Epic Finale": Jeremy Grantham Warns "Tragedy" Looms as "Superbubble" May Burst

2022-08-16

Something to ponder

SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning

2022-08-12

Tks

Rocket Lab Doubles Loss, but Revenue Surges

2022-07-21

Sign of recovery or just a bear rally?

US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Higher Boosted By Tech Stocks Gains on Upbeat Earnings

2022-07-19

Interesting but expected

Apple (AAPL) to Slow Hiring and Spending in 2023 Reports Bloomberg

2022-07-15

Tks

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-07-13

Tks

White House Expects "Elevated" but "Out of Date" Inflation Numbers for June

2022-07-12

I am slowly accumulating and then disposing some of grab shares. Been lowering the cost and now it stood at a very low price tag. Meant for longer term view and even at the current low price, i am making some profit even if i want to dispose it. What a wonderful strategy i learned from some of the sifus here and I thank you them for that. Next will be looking up another stock to use same strategy under this wonderful and blessful bearish and volatile market.

2022-07-12

Tks

Tesla: The Last Bubble Standing

2022-07-11

Tks

Reminder: SGX Market Will be Closed on July 11 for Hari Raya Haji

2022-07-11

Tks

Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week

2022-07-10

Tks

NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback

2022-07-05

Yes more bad news, indicating the vultures are picking up the lows,me follow

US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says

2022-07-02

Tks

S&P 500 Bear Market: Warren Buffett's 2008 Advice Still Holds True

2022-07-01

Tks

The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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only good for weapon manufacturer. Another one energy sector. Emmmm","listText":"War only good for weapon manufacturer. Another one energy sector. Emmmm","text":"War only good for weapon manufacturer. Another one energy sector. Emmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234507729821816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":217384024371448,"gmtCreate":1694096349512,"gmtModify":1694096353063,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/217384024371448","repostId":"216994423042112","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":216994423042112,"gmtCreate":1693984877424,"gmtModify":1693984975937,"author":{"id":"3572212908677301","authorId":"3572212908677301","name":"TigerOptions","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20925853481806adc78dcdfe25f2fe89","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"S&P 500 Futures Continues Bearish Trend","htmlText":"In today's update, we continue to witness a bearish bias in the price action of the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2309(ESmain)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>. As we discussed in the previous analysis, the market encountered a breakout from the uptrend channel. This signals the potential emergence of a bearish trend. 1 Hour Chart Key Levels to Watch The price action currently stands at 4496.25, emphasizing the bearish sentiment observed recently. It's crucial to monitor this critical support level closely, as it plays a pivotal role in shaping the market's future direction. In the event of a breach below 4496.25, the next support zone to keep a close eye on is the range between 4477.50 and 4485.50. This range represents a significant support area, and","listText":"In today's update, we continue to witness a bearish bias in the price action of the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2309(ESmain)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>. As we discussed in the previous analysis, the market encountered a breakout from the uptrend channel. This signals the potential emergence of a bearish trend. 1 Hour Chart Key Levels to Watch The price action currently stands at 4496.25, emphasizing the bearish sentiment observed recently. It's crucial to monitor this critical support level closely, as it plays a pivotal role in shaping the market's future direction. In the event of a breach below 4496.25, the next support zone to keep a close eye on is the range between 4477.50 and 4485.50. This range represents a significant support area, and","text":"In today's update, we continue to witness a bearish bias in the price action of the $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2309(ESmain)$. As we discussed in the previous analysis, the market encountered a breakout from the uptrend channel. This signals the potential emergence of a bearish trend. 1 Hour Chart Key Levels to Watch The price action currently stands at 4496.25, emphasizing the bearish sentiment observed recently. It's crucial to monitor this critical support level closely, as it plays a pivotal role in shaping the market's future direction. In the event of a breach below 4496.25, the next support zone to keep a close eye on is the range between 4477.50 and 4485.50. This range represents a significant support area, and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/720d52a4e49e4677eaede1a091be6d7f","width":"1413","height":"487"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/216994423042112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187885998067976,"gmtCreate":1686898232255,"gmtModify":1686898235803,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187885998067976","repostId":"187297475121168","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":187297475121168,"gmtCreate":1686754530897,"gmtModify":1686755614125,"author":{"id":"3479274819487659","authorId":"3479274819487659","name":"The Finance Hydra","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a242a9be28de8ea5e320d9cee36651ca","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n  🔥 TESLA STOCK | Destroying All Bearish Patterns!\n \n","listText":"🔥 TESLA STOCK | Destroying All Bearish Patterns!","text":"🔥 TESLA STOCK | Destroying All Bearish Patterns!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187297475121168","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"fd1df2c70517452d9d17a65c4b2f08e8","tweetId":"187297475121168","title":"🔥 TESLA STOCK | Destroying All Bearish Patterns!","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168675452616554d727e9011ae20912cee09aa478cab6.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75265328defb3bff683efec3bfe5e66e","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168675452616554d727e9011ae20912cee09aa478cab6.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962990502,"gmtCreate":1669687977506,"gmtModify":1676538223444,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tx","listText":"Tx","text":"Tx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962990502","repostId":"9962091735","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9962091735,"gmtCreate":1669676688128,"gmtModify":1676538220449,"author":{"id":"9000000000000610","authorId":"9000000000000610","name":"AmitKukreja","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/36eba9d34c280ca1d64636bcc710c5bf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n  BREAKING: Elon Musk Is Bringing Twitter Usage To An All Time HighDo you think Elon is able to completely turn this around? I have a startup that's trying to build a whole new way for audio creators ... From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooJ7zUWN4t4\n \n","listText":"BREAKING: Elon Musk Is Bringing Twitter Usage To An All Time HighDo you think Elon is able to completely turn this around? I have a startup that's trying to build a whole new way for audio creators ... From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooJ7zUWN4t4","text":"BREAKING: Elon Musk Is Bringing Twitter Usage To An All Time HighDo you think Elon is able to completely turn this around? I have a startup that's trying to build a whole new way for audio creators ... From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooJ7zUWN4t4","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962091735","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"724516d81c6d4ea3936a8daeaf9abb41","tweetId":"9962091735","title":"BREAKING: Elon Musk Is Bringing Twitter Usage To An All Time High","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1669676681189feb2b58848f57e5204fc54023108595f.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e220ea52e7bcc91de28bef05f6f4161","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1669676681189feb2b58848f57e5204fc54023108595f.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966205000,"gmtCreate":1669536972400,"gmtModify":1676538205850,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tx","listText":"Tx","text":"Tx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966205000","repostId":"2286317799","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2286317799","pubTimestamp":1669522462,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2286317799?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks Will Perk Up Its Revenue Within 4 Years (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286317799","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a large high-end coffee retailer based out of Seattle, Washington. This ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a large high-end coffee retailer based out of Seattle, Washington. This company has shown some flat growth via fundamentals analysis, with the stock price nearly doubling in four years. Simple moving average periods have demonstrated relative positive strength over the last 200 working days. As a result, the stock price has accelerated by 15% in the previous month.</p><p>It seems wise to look at this company for your portfolio for both short-term return and long-term growth.</p><h2>Fundamentals Show Revenue will Double in 4 Years</h2><p><i>Ratios</i></p><p>The current ratio was most substantial in 2018, and Starbucks&#39; current ratio has been lower in the last five years. The quick ratio, as well as the cash ratio, have similar patterns to the current ratio.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Metric</p></td><td><p>2018</p></td><td><p>2019</p></td><td><p>2020</p></td><td><p>2021</p></td><td><p>2022</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Period</p></td><td><p>F.Y.</p></td><td><p>F.Y.</p></td><td><p>F.Y.</p></td><td><p>F.Y.</p></td><td><p>FY</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Current ratio</p></td><td><p>2.198</p></td><td><p>0.917</p></td><td><p>1.063</p></td><td><p>1.197</p></td><td><p>0.767</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Quick ratio</p></td><td><p>1.862</p></td><td><p>0.612</p></td><td><p>0.820</p></td><td><p>0.951</p></td><td><p>0.476</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Cash ratio</p></td><td><p>1.540</p></td><td><p>0.436</p></td><td><p>0.592</p></td><td><p>0.792</p></td><td><p>0.308</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Days of sales outstanding</p></td><td><p>24.341</p></td><td><p>14.049</p></td><td><p>21.657</p></td><td><p>14.232</p></td><td><p>13.304</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Click to enlarge</p><p><i>Data</i></p><p>This current year has been a solid year for Starbucks, with its simple moving average of over 200 days has been relatively strong. Additionally, as the U.S. stock market appears to be bottoming, the latest 20 days simple moving report strength has also been very robust.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Metric</p></td><td><p>Values</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>SMA20</p></td><td><p>8.18%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>SMA50</p></td><td><p>10.33%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>SMA200</p></td><td><p>16.72%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: FinViz</p><p><i>Enterprise</i></p><p>Despite weaker fundamental ratios, the stock price has accelerated from 2018 to nearly double up to 2021. This year shows a more inadequate market cap and stock price performance, but Starbucks may fully recover its 2021 levels with the most recent returns.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Metric</p></td><td><p>2018</p></td><td><p>2019</p></td><td><p>2020</p></td><td><p>2021</p></td><td><p>2022</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Symbol</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Stock price</p></td><td><p>58.590</p></td><td><p>84.130</p></td><td><p>90.050</p></td><td><p>111.450</p></td><td><p>87.100</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Number of shares</p></td><td><p>1.309 B</p></td><td><p>1.185 B</p></td><td><p>1.173 B</p></td><td><p>1.180 B</p></td><td><p>1.153 B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Market capitalization</p></td><td><p>76.700 B</p></td><td><p>99.660 B</p></td><td><p>105.656 B</p></td><td><p>131.511 B</p></td><td><p>100.452 B</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Financial Modelling Prep</p><p><i>Estimate</i></p><p>With current revenue growth underway, if the USA stock market can sustain its momentum, Starbucks may be able to live up to its forecasted numbers with some relative strength into 2026. There will be some decent growth with a strong stock dividend yield and solid performance, a rare feature for any American stock. Also, Starbucks&#39; net profit should grow by 50% as projected into 2026.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>YEARLY ESTIMATES</p></td><td><p>2022</p></td><td><p>2023</p></td><td><p>2024</p></td><td><p>2025</p></td><td><p>2026</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>32,158</p></td><td><p>35,841</p></td><td><p>39,756</p></td><td><p>43,774</p></td><td><p>47,618</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Dividend</p></td><td><p>1.97</p></td><td><p>2.16</p></td><td><p>2.32</p></td><td><p>2.46</p></td><td><p>3.18</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Dividend Yield (in %)</p></td><td><p>2.01 %</p></td><td><p>2.20 %</p></td><td><p>2.37 %</p></td><td><p>2.51 %</p></td><td><p>3.25 %</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EPS</p></td><td><p>2.87</p></td><td><p>3.40</p></td><td><p>4.00</p></td><td><p>4.71</p></td><td><p>5.35</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>P/E Ratio</p></td><td><p>34.14</p></td><td><p>28.81</p></td><td><p>24.50</p></td><td><p>20.82</p></td><td><p>18.31</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBITDA</p></td><td><p>6,101</p></td><td><p>7,006</p></td><td><p>7,951</p></td><td><p>9,030</p></td><td><p>-</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Net Profit</p></td><td><p>3,320</p></td><td><p>3,891</p></td><td><p>4,489</p></td><td><p>5,178</p></td><td><p>5,573</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: BusinessInsider</p><h2>Technical Analysis Shows Optimal Time for Market Orders</h2><p><i>Fibonacci</i></p><p>If one was to look at the Fibonacci levels based on the most recent Starbucks price action, the timing is near perfect for taking market entries to get quick returns. It might take a while for the Starbucks Fibonacci trendline to update itself on the recent stock price. It is hard to optimize when to take market entries, but sometimes you can use the 382 Fibonacci level to mark potential entries. You want to take advantage of potential profitable returns as you wait for the stock price to cross the trend line.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84f2a85a2289836f1dca662a8c916e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>fibonacci sbux (custom platform )</p><p><i>Bollinger Bonds</i></p><p>As one can see with the Bollinger upper band, as Starbucks&#39; stock price quickly moves up, the upper band tries to keep up to date with its solid momentum. The real concerns about this momentum are how long this upswing will last.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ec84fd37f70d7cbf179dae87dc00c64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>bollinger sbux (custom platform)</p><p><i>RSI</i></p><p>As the stock price of Starbucks has very high momentum, it has nearly reached the RSI overbought condition. It is common to see stock prices pull back from this to allow new rates to come into the market to adjust the RSI on the latest stock price moves.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5dc8cf6f97bcded06fcb7583be5a5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>sbux rsi (custom platform)</p><p>Prediction via AI</p><p><i>Monte Carlo</i></p><p>This Monte Carlo simulation reveals some extreme upward-moving prediction paths confirming that the stock price of Starbucks should be reasonably sustainable over the short term. Also, the accompanying normalized distribution shows more significant estimates on the right side of the latest value in stock price.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d1fb5479e0da645ef6eb7add78cfbd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>monte carlo sbux (custom platform)</p><p><i>Regression</i></p><p>Another way to verify sustainable stock price moves is using the forecasted 30-day red regression line using artificial intelligence. Here you can see how the Starbucks stock price continues to increase, which is not flat. So, the stock price momentum will moderate slower but should outperform the overall S &amp; P 500 stock index.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab51f196b74b2b0e6b13a1e642a87909\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>regression sbux (custom platform)</p><h2>Risk is Lower for Higher Price Returns</h2><p><i>Price vs. Short Volume</i></p><p>It is very encouraging to see the acceleration of Starbucks&#39; stock price shorting volume against the total volume drop. The CEO and founder have repurchased Starbucks, which confirms investors&#39; confidence in the performance of the stock price of Starbucks as it continues to accelerate up. If there were a further concern about the stock price to be questioned, you would see the shorting volume be over 50% of the total amount traded.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17b43f08a527b3a3d674aadf558eab96\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>short sbux (custom platform)</p><p>Source: StockGrid</p><p><i>Recommendation</i></p><p>As one can see, many market analysts can see the strong buy signals from Starbucks. Therefore, based on the most recent data, they put out a solid buy. As one can surmise, the strong buy should percolate over weekly and maybe even monthly intervals.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Interval</p></td><td><p>RECOMMENDATION</p></td><td><p>BUY</p></td><td><p>SELL</p></td><td><p>NEUTRAL</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>One month</p></td><td><p>BUY</p></td><td><p>10</p></td><td><p>6</p></td><td><p>10</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>One week</p></td><td><p>BUY</p></td><td><p>15</p></td><td><p>3</p></td><td><p>8</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>One day</p></td><td><p>STRONG_BUY</p></td><td><p>16</p></td><td><p>1</p></td><td><p>9</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Trading View</p><p><i>Sustainability</i></p><p>As we know, Starbucks is a relatively high-profile social justice company. Still, when its sustainability or ESG rating is only average performance, the company should focus on its product with its market messaging instead.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Metric</p></td><td><p>Value</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Social score</p></td><td><p>14.5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Peer count</p></td><td><p>44</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Governance score</p></td><td><p>4.21</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Total esg</p></td><td><p>24.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Highest controversy</p></td><td><p>3</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>ESG performance</p></td><td><p>AVG_PERF</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Peer group</p></td><td><p>Consumer Services</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Environment score</p></td><td><p>6.11</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Yahoo Finance</p><h3>Due Diligence</h3><p><i>Price Target</i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/11/23/1069318-16691886796571503.jpeg\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>target sbux (custom platform )</p><p>Source: BusinessInsider</p><h2>Insider</h2><p>Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz also purchased a high volume of Starbucks shares in September, showing extra confidence in the company. It also says other executives feel the same way, reflecting upon Starbucks&#39;s future as a fast-growing company.</p><p><i>Insider Stats</i></p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Metric</p></td><td><p>X</p></td><td><p>Filing Date</p></td><td><p>Trading Date</p></td><td><p>Ticker</p></td><td><p>Insider</p></td><td><p>Title</p></td><td><p>Trade Type</p></td><td><p>Price</p></td><td><p>Quantity</p></td><td><p>Owned</p></td><td><p>Delta Own</p></td><td><p>Value</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>0</p></td><td><p>nan</p></td><td><p>2022-09-16 18:01:39</p></td><td><p>2022-09-15</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>Hobson Mellody L</p></td><td><p>Dir</p></td><td><p>P - Purchase</p></td><td><p>$92.58</p></td><td><p>+54,750</p></td><td><p>716,400</p></td><td><p>+8%</p></td><td><p>+$5,068,536</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1</p></td><td><p>D</p></td><td><p>2022-09-16 17:59:52</p></td><td><p>2022-09-15</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>Jenkins Zabrina</p></td><td><p>acting evp, G.C.</p></td><td><p>S - Sale+OE</p></td><td><p>$93.00</p></td><td><p>-4,020</p></td><td><p>36,337</p></td><td><p>-10%</p></td><td><p>-$373,860</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2</p></td><td><p>nan</p></td><td><p>2022-09-16 17:56:45</p></td><td><p>2022-09-15</p></td><td><p>SBUX</p></td><td><p>Allison Richard E Jr</p></td><td><p>Dir</p></td><td><p>P - Purchase</p></td><td><p>$92.53</p></td><td><p>+10,000</p></td><td><p>23,658</p></td><td><p>+73%</p></td><td><p>+$925,320</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Open Insider</p><p><i>Insider Activity</i></p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Date</p></td><td><p>Shares Traded</p></td><td><p>Shares Held</p></td><td><p>Price</p></td><td><p>Type</p></td><td><p>Option</p></td><td><p>Insider</p></td><td><p>Trade</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-09-14</p></td><td><p>54,750.00</p></td><td><p>433,254.03</p></td><td><p>92.58</p></td><td><p>Buy</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>SCHULTZ HOWARD D</p></td><td><p>54750.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-09-30</p></td><td><p>43,912.00</p></td><td><p>43,912.00</p></td><td><p>nan</p></td><td><p>Buy</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>SCHULTZ HOWARD D</p></td><td><p>43912.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-09</p></td><td><p>56.00</p></td><td><p>36,369.21</p></td><td><p>96.26</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>SCHULTZ HOWARD D</p></td><td><p>-56.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-09</p></td><td><p>990.00</p></td><td><p>39,527.00</p></td><td><p>96.26</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>Jenkins Zabrina</p></td><td><p>-990.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-09</p></td><td><p>1,599.00</p></td><td><p>52,366.42</p></td><td><p>96.26</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>Jenkins Zabrina</p></td><td><p>-1599.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-10</p></td><td><p>234.00</p></td><td><p>39,293.00</p></td><td><p>97.38</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>TERUEL JAVIER G</p></td><td><p>-234.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-10</p></td><td><p>67.00</p></td><td><p>36,302.21</p></td><td><p>97.38</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>Ramo Joshua Cooper</p></td><td><p>-67.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-10</p></td><td><p>1,507.00</p></td><td><p>50,859.42</p></td><td><p>97.38</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>Campion Andrew</p></td><td><p>-1507.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-13</p></td><td><p>241.00</p></td><td><p>36,061.21</p></td><td><p>97.42</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG</p></td><td><p>-241.0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-11-13</p></td><td><p>3,311.00</p></td><td><p>47,548.42</p></td><td><p>97.42</p></td><td><p>Sell</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>Shih Clara</p></td><td><p>-3311.0</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: BusinessInsider</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Starbucks is entering an exciting time with the recent acceleration in its stock price. When you have the CEO and founder buying stock, take note to do the same. The same case can be said for market analysts&#39; recommendations, which follow a strong buy most recently. Forward guidance also indicates a potential increase of 40+% within four years. Based on where the current stock price is at the optimal time to make trades as it reaches a Fibonacci level of 0.382 level. As a result, the result makes sense on the timing for entries and potential short terms with long-term include with 40+% revenue increase.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks Will Perk Up Its Revenue Within 4 Years (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks Will Perk Up Its Revenue Within 4 Years (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560524-starbucks-will-perk-up-it-revenue-within-4-years><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a large high-end coffee retailer based out of Seattle, Washington. This company has shown some flat growth via fundamentals analysis, with the stock price nearly doubling ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560524-starbucks-will-perk-up-it-revenue-within-4-years\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560524-starbucks-will-perk-up-it-revenue-within-4-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286317799","content_text":"Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a large high-end coffee retailer based out of Seattle, Washington. This company has shown some flat growth via fundamentals analysis, with the stock price nearly doubling in four years. Simple moving average periods have demonstrated relative positive strength over the last 200 working days. As a result, the stock price has accelerated by 15% in the previous month.It seems wise to look at this company for your portfolio for both short-term return and long-term growth.Fundamentals Show Revenue will Double in 4 YearsRatiosThe current ratio was most substantial in 2018, and Starbucks' current ratio has been lower in the last five years. The quick ratio, as well as the cash ratio, have similar patterns to the current ratio.Metric20182019202020212022PeriodF.Y.F.Y.F.Y.F.Y.FYCurrent ratio2.1980.9171.0631.1970.767Quick ratio1.8620.6120.8200.9510.476Cash ratio1.5400.4360.5920.7920.308Days of sales outstanding24.34114.04921.65714.23213.304Click to enlargeDataThis current year has been a solid year for Starbucks, with its simple moving average of over 200 days has been relatively strong. Additionally, as the U.S. stock market appears to be bottoming, the latest 20 days simple moving report strength has also been very robust.MetricValuesSMA208.18%SMA5010.33%SMA20016.72%Source: FinVizEnterpriseDespite weaker fundamental ratios, the stock price has accelerated from 2018 to nearly double up to 2021. This year shows a more inadequate market cap and stock price performance, but Starbucks may fully recover its 2021 levels with the most recent returns.Metric20182019202020212022SymbolSBUXSBUXSBUXSBUXSBUXStock price58.59084.13090.050111.45087.100Number of shares1.309 B1.185 B1.173 B1.180 B1.153 BMarket capitalization76.700 B99.660 B105.656 B131.511 B100.452 BSource: Financial Modelling PrepEstimateWith current revenue growth underway, if the USA stock market can sustain its momentum, Starbucks may be able to live up to its forecasted numbers with some relative strength into 2026. There will be some decent growth with a strong stock dividend yield and solid performance, a rare feature for any American stock. Also, Starbucks' net profit should grow by 50% as projected into 2026.YEARLY ESTIMATES20222023202420252026Revenue32,15835,84139,75643,77447,618Dividend1.972.162.322.463.18Dividend Yield (in %)2.01 %2.20 %2.37 %2.51 %3.25 %EPS2.873.404.004.715.35P/E Ratio34.1428.8124.5020.8218.31EBITDA6,1017,0067,9519,030-Net Profit3,3203,8914,4895,1785,573Source: BusinessInsiderTechnical Analysis Shows Optimal Time for Market OrdersFibonacciIf one was to look at the Fibonacci levels based on the most recent Starbucks price action, the timing is near perfect for taking market entries to get quick returns. It might take a while for the Starbucks Fibonacci trendline to update itself on the recent stock price. It is hard to optimize when to take market entries, but sometimes you can use the 382 Fibonacci level to mark potential entries. You want to take advantage of potential profitable returns as you wait for the stock price to cross the trend line.fibonacci sbux (custom platform )Bollinger BondsAs one can see with the Bollinger upper band, as Starbucks' stock price quickly moves up, the upper band tries to keep up to date with its solid momentum. The real concerns about this momentum are how long this upswing will last.bollinger sbux (custom platform)RSIAs the stock price of Starbucks has very high momentum, it has nearly reached the RSI overbought condition. It is common to see stock prices pull back from this to allow new rates to come into the market to adjust the RSI on the latest stock price moves.sbux rsi (custom platform)Prediction via AIMonte CarloThis Monte Carlo simulation reveals some extreme upward-moving prediction paths confirming that the stock price of Starbucks should be reasonably sustainable over the short term. Also, the accompanying normalized distribution shows more significant estimates on the right side of the latest value in stock price.monte carlo sbux (custom platform)RegressionAnother way to verify sustainable stock price moves is using the forecasted 30-day red regression line using artificial intelligence. Here you can see how the Starbucks stock price continues to increase, which is not flat. So, the stock price momentum will moderate slower but should outperform the overall S & P 500 stock index.regression sbux (custom platform)Risk is Lower for Higher Price ReturnsPrice vs. Short VolumeIt is very encouraging to see the acceleration of Starbucks' stock price shorting volume against the total volume drop. The CEO and founder have repurchased Starbucks, which confirms investors' confidence in the performance of the stock price of Starbucks as it continues to accelerate up. If there were a further concern about the stock price to be questioned, you would see the shorting volume be over 50% of the total amount traded.short sbux (custom platform)Source: StockGridRecommendationAs one can see, many market analysts can see the strong buy signals from Starbucks. Therefore, based on the most recent data, they put out a solid buy. As one can surmise, the strong buy should percolate over weekly and maybe even monthly intervals.IntervalRECOMMENDATIONBUYSELLNEUTRALOne monthBUY10610One weekBUY1538One daySTRONG_BUY1619Source: Trading ViewSustainabilityAs we know, Starbucks is a relatively high-profile social justice company. Still, when its sustainability or ESG rating is only average performance, the company should focus on its product with its market messaging instead.MetricValueSocial score14.5Peer count44Governance score4.21Total esg24.83Highest controversy3ESG performanceAVG_PERFPeer groupConsumer ServicesEnvironment score6.11Source: Yahoo FinanceDue DiligencePrice Targettarget sbux (custom platform )Source: BusinessInsiderInsiderStarbucks CEO Howard Schultz also purchased a high volume of Starbucks shares in September, showing extra confidence in the company. It also says other executives feel the same way, reflecting upon Starbucks's future as a fast-growing company.Insider StatsMetricXFiling DateTrading DateTickerInsiderTitleTrade TypePriceQuantityOwnedDelta OwnValue0nan2022-09-16 18:01:392022-09-15SBUXHobson Mellody LDirP - Purchase$92.58+54,750716,400+8%+$5,068,5361D2022-09-16 17:59:522022-09-15SBUXJenkins Zabrinaacting evp, G.C.S - Sale+OE$93.00-4,02036,337-10%-$373,8602nan2022-09-16 17:56:452022-09-15SBUXAllison Richard E JrDirP - Purchase$92.53+10,00023,658+73%+$925,320Source: Open InsiderInsider ActivityDateShares TradedShares HeldPriceTypeOptionInsiderTrade2022-09-1454,750.00433,254.0392.58BuyNoSCHULTZ HOWARD D54750.02022-09-3043,912.0043,912.00nanBuyNoSCHULTZ HOWARD D43912.02022-11-0956.0036,369.2196.26SellNoSCHULTZ HOWARD D-56.02022-11-09990.0039,527.0096.26SellNoJenkins Zabrina-990.02022-11-091,599.0052,366.4296.26SellNoJenkins Zabrina-1599.02022-11-10234.0039,293.0097.38SellNoTERUEL JAVIER G-234.02022-11-1067.0036,302.2197.38SellNoRamo Joshua Cooper-67.02022-11-101,507.0050,859.4297.38SellNoCampion Andrew-1507.02022-11-13241.0036,061.2197.42SellNoKNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG-241.02022-11-133,311.0047,548.4297.42SellNoShih Clara-3311.0Source: BusinessInsiderConclusionStarbucks is entering an exciting time with the recent acceleration in its stock price. When you have the CEO and founder buying stock, take note to do the same. The same case can be said for market analysts' recommendations, which follow a strong buy most recently. Forward guidance also indicates a potential increase of 40+% within four years. Based on where the current stock price is at the optimal time to make trades as it reaches a Fibonacci level of 0.382 level. As a result, the result makes sense on the timing for entries and potential short terms with long-term include with 40+% revenue increase.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930720819,"gmtCreate":1662006548833,"gmtModify":1676536624149,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Then therw is abad news, it is an opportunity, when things being said good things, it is time to bail out. Which one are we?","listText":"Then therw is abad news, it is an opportunity, when things being said good things, it is time to bail out. Which one are we?","text":"Then therw is abad news, it is an opportunity, when things being said good things, it is time to bail out. Which one are we?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930720819","repostId":"2264232068","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2264232068","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661990277,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2264232068?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-01 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264232068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264232068","content_text":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.A \"superbubble\" appears dangerously near its \"final act\" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential \"tragedy,\" according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that \"superbubbles are events unlike any others\" and share some common features.\"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,\" said Grantham. \"This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.\"The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,\" Grantham said. \"But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.\"Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a \"superbubble\" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said \"the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.\"The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.First the bubble forms and then a \"setback\" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize \"perfection\" won't last, he said. \"Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,\" before finally \"fundamentals deteriorate\" and the market drops to a low.\"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,\" he said. \"Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.\"At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was \"eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.\"For example, \"from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,\" he said.He also highlighted  the \"speed and scale\" of other bear-market rallies.\"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high,\" he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that \"the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.\"U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.\"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,\" said Grantham. \"To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.\"\"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,\" he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have \"paused between the third and final act,\" according to Grantham.\"Prepare for an epic finale,\" he said. \"If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993339848,"gmtCreate":1660621913187,"gmtModify":1676536367773,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Something to ponder","listText":"Something to ponder","text":"Something to ponder","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993339848","repostId":"2259709390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259709390","pubTimestamp":1660625893,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259709390?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-16 12:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259709390","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but decl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Stocks have retraced a little over half of this year&#39;s decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.</li><li>However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks were nearly 15% cheaper. Prices are increasingly disconnected from fundamentals.</li><li>Common sense strategies to protect your portfolio when stocks are overvalued.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb16b223a109633d0598125e71850484\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"739\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TonyBaggett/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has rallied sharply since mid-June, driven by better-than-feared earnings and the price of gasoline falling. Market bulls like BMO&#39;s Brian Belski have called for stocks to surge to all-time highs, while bears like Michael Burry and Jamie Dimon have sounded the alarm to expect a futile bear market rally. Interestingly, the stock market and the bond market are in increasing disagreement over the path of the economy. Stocks have rallied sharply, indicating investor optimism in the economy, while Treasury yields have plunged as massive bets come in on a deepening U.S. and global recession. And bad news has been good news as weak economic data has the market betting that the Fed will be forced to cut rates and do more QE in an attempt to jack up stock prices. So is it time to go on offense or to use the current rally to find shelter?</p><p>In the long run, it&#39;s a bull&#39;s world. If you look at how wealth is created, by and large, people who get rich do so from owning businesses or getting hefty stock grants in public companies. Nobody is buying $5-$10 million beachfront homes by investing in CDs! But history also shows that simply sitting and buying index funds has failed in a lot of countries&#39; stock markets over the last 25 years. There are clear warning signs in the economy right now that suggest that buy-and-hold regardless of price, may not be a very effective strategy going forward.</p><p><b>Structural Problems With The U.S. Economy</b></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has rallied sharply over the past five years while growth has slowed below trend and wage growth has stalled. Wages are actually trailing inflation by about 3.6% annually over the last year. Despite a bit of month-over-month improvement, this is a red flag for index earnings going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b0543002164941d875dcfa71f132c03\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY data by YCharts</span></p><p>How could this be? Tax cuts, stimulus, and QE have more than made up the difference for consumers facing stagnant wages. But the problem is that none of this is sustainable. During this time, government debt went from a little unsustainable for the US to a major problem, with debt now around 125% of GDP. Borrowing more is showing that will result in the classic economic problems of &#34;crowding out,&#34; while trying to monetize the debt by forcing the Fed to buy it causes runaway inflation. It&#39;s a lose-lose.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d9865a046c2bfebf7f0722c6cb8cb6\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Budget Deficit (Wikipedia)</span></p><p>To this point, the government debt situation is actually even worse than it looks because they&#39;re on the hook for a massive amount of underfunded entitlement spending that&#39;s tied to inflation. Birth rates have continued their grinding downtrend–and as America rapidly ages, it&#39;s going to be really hard to avoid ending up in the same boat as Japan and Europe, which have seen 20 years of sideways stock markets. In any case, taxes need to go up and spending needs to go down, taking away the secret sauce from index fund investors.</p><p>If you have a great business, your tax rate going from say, 30% to 50% will slow you down, but won&#39;t block your path to getting rich. However, debt and demographics are going to be a huge headwind for the overall market trading at a high valuation. If stocks are going to go up, they&#39;re going to have to do it the old-fashioned way-by increasing productivity. Technology does continue to improve, allowing us to do more with fewer workers. The stock market boom was driven by stimulus, QE, and tax cuts, all of which are dead and gone. On the other hand, increasing productivity is actually a very incremental process with no shortcuts, but it creates sustainable growth. In the long run, I think things will be okay. But all of this points to stock returns being much lower over the next 10 years than they were over the last 10. And while Europe and Japan still face this same demographic/debt problem, the difference between their markets and ours is that ours is a lot more expensive!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f63b573d3d9c7983ae258907103d65f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Vs. World Valuation (Yardeni Research)</span></p><p>A quick glance at the top 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 reveals just how expensive mega caps are. Paying huge multiples on earnings for tech companies has never really worked before-not in the Go-Go 1960s, nor in thedot-com boomin the late 1990s. Will the third time be the charm, or is this yet another widely ignored warning sign? Of these stocks, the only ones trading close to fair value in my opinion are Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are discounting rates of return that have historically been impossible for large companies, and Apple (AAPL) is trading for nearly triple the multiple it did 5-7 years ago.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16b8d00ddaac26cb964ff7f263285137\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY PE Ratios (E-Trade)</span></p><p>My hope here is that investors can see that nothing that has happened since June has structurally fixed the long-term economic problems that we face, and mega-cap stocks remain very expensive on a historical basis. With rising taxes and higher rates, they&#39;re not going to be able to grow their after-tax earnings nearly as fast as exuberant investors believe. Therefore, my base case is very low returns over the next decade unless stocks fall to levels where you&#39;re getting a more reasonable compensation for your risk (roughly a ~20-25% lower price on the S&amp;P 500). Otherwise, you&#39;re almost taking this long-term risk for free, because if tax cuts and stimulus can&#39;t drive the market anymore, the price is not anywhere near where the fundamentals need it to be.</p><p><b>Will The Fed Bail Out Stocks?</b></p><p>Markets have rallied sharply since June. There are two main reasons that this is so. One reason is earnings being a bit better than feared, but the main reason is that investors have begun to price a more friendly Fed.</p><p>This graph from Bridgewater shows the situation through Mid-June- roughly when markets bottomed.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28c01ee451b82575665b882f22ca23f6\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Earnings Vs. Multiples (Bridgewater)</span></p><p>Nearly all of the move down in stocks was driven by a decrease in the multiple of the S&amp;P 500, and not by earnings estimates being revised down. The market generally leads earnings estimates down, but it&#39;s really rare for there to be as big of a gap between what analysts think businesses are capable of earning and the price the market assigns to stocks. Similarly, there&#39;s a huge gap in what the bond market sees (big recession bets) and what stocks see (nirvana). For what it&#39;s worth, I don&#39;t think earnings will hold up with the underlying fuel of stimulus removed, and the realization that earnings aren&#39;t invincible will push multiples lower as well. Far more of consumers&#39; incomes in 2021 was stimulus than is commonly appreciated. Cutting spending to adjust to what they actually earn is going to be an issue. This doesn&#39;t really jibe with earnings estimates for this Christmas expected to top last year, which crushed 2019&#39;s record. Wages are trailing inflation. Without stimulus, it&#39;s not clear where people will get the money to make this the strongest holiday season ever as Wall Street is betting on.</p><p>The Fed has repeatedly said that it&#39;s not willing to cut rates to bail out stocks. On a near-daily basis, someone from the Fed will be on TV saying they want financial conditions to tighten. However, since June, financial conditions have done nothing but loosen. The markets insist on fighting the Fed, emboldened by the 2010s experience of the Fed rescuing the market every time it stubbed a toe. The trouble for the Fed is that financial conditions are how they steer the economy. The more the market bets on rate cuts and bids up stock prices, the less likely the Fed is to actually do it. The Fed is likely going to have to call the market&#39;s bluff. There&#39;s no evidence that the Biden administration is going to pressure the Fed to cut rates, and the entire country is pretty much in agreement that money needs to be tighter. Yet the bets continue to pour in on steep rate cuts that no one wants the Fed to do. Crazy!</p><p>July CPI wasn&#39;t as bad as feared, but a large part of why it wasn&#39;t was because the market actually was taking the Fed seriously in June, and financial conditions had tightened. Higher mortgage rates, higher credit spreads, and lower stock prices all worked in concert to help bring inflation down. Now with the market defying the Fed, the Fed has to find a way to get financial conditions to tighten again, and none of this points to a bailout of stocks, a resumption of QE, or cutting rates back to zero.</p><p>In the 1970s, the Fed cut rates as soon as the data got a bit better, and every time they did, inflation roared back stronger than before. Getting inflation down this time is not going to take two months, and people betting on the Fed to pivot need to realize that if they&#39;re right, the recession will be deep enough that their stocks will be far lower than the prices they&#39;re paying now.</p><p><b>How To Invest When Stocks Are Overvalued</b></p><p>I&#39;ve recently written that US stocks are 20-25% overvalued at current prices and that the bottom likely isn&#39;t in. However, scaring you isn&#39;t useful unless you can actually do something productive with it. Instead, I&#39;d like to give you strategies that you can use in a falling market so you&#39;re staking everything on US stocks bucking the trend of structural weakness seen in Europe and Japan after their debt gets big and their population starts to get old.</p><p><b>1. Take inventory of other asset classes and see what could be undervalued.</b></p><p>After taking inventory, you have a roadmap to diversify across asset classes and tilt towards what you think offers better compensation. During the dot-com bubble, bonds were severely undervalued, and cash offered nearly the same return as stocks. Moreover, small caps and non-tech stocks had better valuations than the stupid prices that mega-cap tech had at the time. In 2007, bonds and cash saved the day again. Late 2021 was a little trickier because stocks and bonds were both objectively overvalued, and cash paid zero. Similarly, real estate was at its most overvalued level ever early this year and is now starting to correct.</p><p>To take a basic inventory here, the S&amp;P 500 is 20-25% overvalued, but small caps (IJR) areabout at fair value. Similarly, most real estate markets in the US areovervalued by 10% to 40%. Treasury bonds (TLT) are overvalued by about 15% (without the Fed manipulating it,the fair yieldon the 30-year should be about 4%, or ~2% real yield and 2% long-term inflation compensation for Treasuries broadly). Preferred stocks (PFFD) are roughly at fair value. International stocks (VEA) might be a tad below their fair value with heightened uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. How I&#39;m getting these numbers is a topic for another article, but I&#39;m basing stock valuations on earnings yields and guessing profit growth numbers, and basing bond yields on inflation and credit risk. The main point here is to get the heck away from concentrating all of your money on mega-cap tech names. Not a lot is undervalued at the moment, but some areas of the market are priced rather fairly, while others are badly overpriced.</p><p><b>2. Consider whether holding cash is worth it for you.</b></p><p>3-month T-bills are now paying 2.6% with rock-solid liquidity. You can buy them through your broker. And in three months, you can roll into more T-bills at a higher rate. I think they&#39;ll be paying 4% with no risk by year-end as the Fed tries to slow down the party. Given the structural problems present with the US economy, I&#39;d think about taking this until valuations make more sense. The Fed is only going to keep hiking until inflation is under control. For reference, stocks are priced to return maybe 8.5% annually, so getting half the return for none of the risk with the upside of getting even more if the Fed is forced to slam on the brakes appeals to me. I bonds can fill in here too, if you&#39;re married you can toss $20,000 in for the year and get a 9.62% risk-free return. TINA was the theme of 2021, but now TINA has been replaced by TIA. There is an alternative, and anyone who thinks the market is dicey can cash all or part of their stash in and be earning around 2.6% annualized now and likely 4% annualized by year-end. This isn&#39;t all or nothing- taking 25-35% of your portfolio and investing in cash equivalents if it&#39;s going to be paying 4% seems like a no-brainer to me.</p><p><b>3. Consider using options to bet against overvalued companies.</b></p><p>Being long only severely limits the opportunities you can take, and leaves you dependent on the economy growing over time. Short selling outright can get you short squeezed and doesn&#39;t work very well unless you have institutional access (short interest rebate, etc), but buying puts can give you a lot of bang for your buck. The upshot of higher interest rates is that it makes buying puts cheaper and calls more expensive. You can take advantage of this by selling overpriced calls on companies you own through index funds and buying puts cheaply to hedge your downside. For example, you might use this strategy to sell calls on Apple and Tesla, and then use the money to buy puts against weak companies like Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). Done right, this can allow you to reduce your concentration to expensive mega-cap names and bet against the companies most vulnerable to recession. So many companies are running on business models where they are completely reliant on the Fed having rates at zero to stay in business. Dozens of companies that have more liabilities than assets and negative earnings will likely be gone by 2024. I&#39;ll likely offer a few plays soon for my readers.</p><p>A sample allocation to this strategy might be to spend 50-100 bps of your portfolio annually betting against junk stocks, depending on how bearish you are. You can largely finance this by selling calls on big index holdings if you think they&#39;re overvalued.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>Stocks have rallied to erase most of the year&#39;s decline, but as long as the structural issues facing stocks remain, the rally is likely to break down and fail in the end.</li><li>History shows that the US is in a similar position now to countries with stock markets that have had negative returns for decades due to debt and changing demographics. At the very least, this will drag down future returns.</li><li>Fortunately, investors are far from helpless against the stock market being overvalued.</li><li>Good strategies available to you include tilting away from mega-caps into profitable small caps (IJR), profitable mid-caps (IJH), and international stocks (VEA), investing in T-Bills, and I Bonds, and using options to bet against weak companies.</li><li>Don&#39;t stress about the stock market keeping up the blistering pace of returns of the past 5-10 years. One way or another, it&#39;s not going to happen. Instead, expand your horizons and focus on what you can do to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. This will reduce your stress over uncontrollable trends and increase your long-run chances of reaching your goals.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Logan Kane.</i> <i>This article is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 12:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2259709390","content_text":"SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks were nearly 15% cheaper. Prices are increasingly disconnected from fundamentals.Common sense strategies to protect your portfolio when stocks are overvalued.TonyBaggett/iStock via Getty ImagesThe S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has rallied sharply since mid-June, driven by better-than-feared earnings and the price of gasoline falling. Market bulls like BMO's Brian Belski have called for stocks to surge to all-time highs, while bears like Michael Burry and Jamie Dimon have sounded the alarm to expect a futile bear market rally. Interestingly, the stock market and the bond market are in increasing disagreement over the path of the economy. Stocks have rallied sharply, indicating investor optimism in the economy, while Treasury yields have plunged as massive bets come in on a deepening U.S. and global recession. And bad news has been good news as weak economic data has the market betting that the Fed will be forced to cut rates and do more QE in an attempt to jack up stock prices. So is it time to go on offense or to use the current rally to find shelter?In the long run, it's a bull's world. If you look at how wealth is created, by and large, people who get rich do so from owning businesses or getting hefty stock grants in public companies. Nobody is buying $5-$10 million beachfront homes by investing in CDs! But history also shows that simply sitting and buying index funds has failed in a lot of countries' stock markets over the last 25 years. There are clear warning signs in the economy right now that suggest that buy-and-hold regardless of price, may not be a very effective strategy going forward.Structural Problems With The U.S. EconomyThe S&P 500 has rallied sharply over the past five years while growth has slowed below trend and wage growth has stalled. Wages are actually trailing inflation by about 3.6% annually over the last year. Despite a bit of month-over-month improvement, this is a red flag for index earnings going forward.SPY data by YChartsHow could this be? Tax cuts, stimulus, and QE have more than made up the difference for consumers facing stagnant wages. But the problem is that none of this is sustainable. During this time, government debt went from a little unsustainable for the US to a major problem, with debt now around 125% of GDP. Borrowing more is showing that will result in the classic economic problems of \"crowding out,\" while trying to monetize the debt by forcing the Fed to buy it causes runaway inflation. It's a lose-lose.US Budget Deficit (Wikipedia)To this point, the government debt situation is actually even worse than it looks because they're on the hook for a massive amount of underfunded entitlement spending that's tied to inflation. Birth rates have continued their grinding downtrend–and as America rapidly ages, it's going to be really hard to avoid ending up in the same boat as Japan and Europe, which have seen 20 years of sideways stock markets. In any case, taxes need to go up and spending needs to go down, taking away the secret sauce from index fund investors.If you have a great business, your tax rate going from say, 30% to 50% will slow you down, but won't block your path to getting rich. However, debt and demographics are going to be a huge headwind for the overall market trading at a high valuation. If stocks are going to go up, they're going to have to do it the old-fashioned way-by increasing productivity. Technology does continue to improve, allowing us to do more with fewer workers. The stock market boom was driven by stimulus, QE, and tax cuts, all of which are dead and gone. On the other hand, increasing productivity is actually a very incremental process with no shortcuts, but it creates sustainable growth. In the long run, I think things will be okay. But all of this points to stock returns being much lower over the next 10 years than they were over the last 10. And while Europe and Japan still face this same demographic/debt problem, the difference between their markets and ours is that ours is a lot more expensive!US Vs. World Valuation (Yardeni Research)A quick glance at the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 reveals just how expensive mega caps are. Paying huge multiples on earnings for tech companies has never really worked before-not in the Go-Go 1960s, nor in thedot-com boomin the late 1990s. Will the third time be the charm, or is this yet another widely ignored warning sign? Of these stocks, the only ones trading close to fair value in my opinion are Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are discounting rates of return that have historically been impossible for large companies, and Apple (AAPL) is trading for nearly triple the multiple it did 5-7 years ago.SPY PE Ratios (E-Trade)My hope here is that investors can see that nothing that has happened since June has structurally fixed the long-term economic problems that we face, and mega-cap stocks remain very expensive on a historical basis. With rising taxes and higher rates, they're not going to be able to grow their after-tax earnings nearly as fast as exuberant investors believe. Therefore, my base case is very low returns over the next decade unless stocks fall to levels where you're getting a more reasonable compensation for your risk (roughly a ~20-25% lower price on the S&P 500). Otherwise, you're almost taking this long-term risk for free, because if tax cuts and stimulus can't drive the market anymore, the price is not anywhere near where the fundamentals need it to be.Will The Fed Bail Out Stocks?Markets have rallied sharply since June. There are two main reasons that this is so. One reason is earnings being a bit better than feared, but the main reason is that investors have begun to price a more friendly Fed.This graph from Bridgewater shows the situation through Mid-June- roughly when markets bottomed.Earnings Vs. Multiples (Bridgewater)Nearly all of the move down in stocks was driven by a decrease in the multiple of the S&P 500, and not by earnings estimates being revised down. The market generally leads earnings estimates down, but it's really rare for there to be as big of a gap between what analysts think businesses are capable of earning and the price the market assigns to stocks. Similarly, there's a huge gap in what the bond market sees (big recession bets) and what stocks see (nirvana). For what it's worth, I don't think earnings will hold up with the underlying fuel of stimulus removed, and the realization that earnings aren't invincible will push multiples lower as well. Far more of consumers' incomes in 2021 was stimulus than is commonly appreciated. Cutting spending to adjust to what they actually earn is going to be an issue. This doesn't really jibe with earnings estimates for this Christmas expected to top last year, which crushed 2019's record. Wages are trailing inflation. Without stimulus, it's not clear where people will get the money to make this the strongest holiday season ever as Wall Street is betting on.The Fed has repeatedly said that it's not willing to cut rates to bail out stocks. On a near-daily basis, someone from the Fed will be on TV saying they want financial conditions to tighten. However, since June, financial conditions have done nothing but loosen. The markets insist on fighting the Fed, emboldened by the 2010s experience of the Fed rescuing the market every time it stubbed a toe. The trouble for the Fed is that financial conditions are how they steer the economy. The more the market bets on rate cuts and bids up stock prices, the less likely the Fed is to actually do it. The Fed is likely going to have to call the market's bluff. There's no evidence that the Biden administration is going to pressure the Fed to cut rates, and the entire country is pretty much in agreement that money needs to be tighter. Yet the bets continue to pour in on steep rate cuts that no one wants the Fed to do. Crazy!July CPI wasn't as bad as feared, but a large part of why it wasn't was because the market actually was taking the Fed seriously in June, and financial conditions had tightened. Higher mortgage rates, higher credit spreads, and lower stock prices all worked in concert to help bring inflation down. Now with the market defying the Fed, the Fed has to find a way to get financial conditions to tighten again, and none of this points to a bailout of stocks, a resumption of QE, or cutting rates back to zero.In the 1970s, the Fed cut rates as soon as the data got a bit better, and every time they did, inflation roared back stronger than before. Getting inflation down this time is not going to take two months, and people betting on the Fed to pivot need to realize that if they're right, the recession will be deep enough that their stocks will be far lower than the prices they're paying now.How To Invest When Stocks Are OvervaluedI've recently written that US stocks are 20-25% overvalued at current prices and that the bottom likely isn't in. However, scaring you isn't useful unless you can actually do something productive with it. Instead, I'd like to give you strategies that you can use in a falling market so you're staking everything on US stocks bucking the trend of structural weakness seen in Europe and Japan after their debt gets big and their population starts to get old.1. Take inventory of other asset classes and see what could be undervalued.After taking inventory, you have a roadmap to diversify across asset classes and tilt towards what you think offers better compensation. During the dot-com bubble, bonds were severely undervalued, and cash offered nearly the same return as stocks. Moreover, small caps and non-tech stocks had better valuations than the stupid prices that mega-cap tech had at the time. In 2007, bonds and cash saved the day again. Late 2021 was a little trickier because stocks and bonds were both objectively overvalued, and cash paid zero. Similarly, real estate was at its most overvalued level ever early this year and is now starting to correct.To take a basic inventory here, the S&P 500 is 20-25% overvalued, but small caps (IJR) areabout at fair value. Similarly, most real estate markets in the US areovervalued by 10% to 40%. Treasury bonds (TLT) are overvalued by about 15% (without the Fed manipulating it,the fair yieldon the 30-year should be about 4%, or ~2% real yield and 2% long-term inflation compensation for Treasuries broadly). Preferred stocks (PFFD) are roughly at fair value. International stocks (VEA) might be a tad below their fair value with heightened uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. How I'm getting these numbers is a topic for another article, but I'm basing stock valuations on earnings yields and guessing profit growth numbers, and basing bond yields on inflation and credit risk. The main point here is to get the heck away from concentrating all of your money on mega-cap tech names. Not a lot is undervalued at the moment, but some areas of the market are priced rather fairly, while others are badly overpriced.2. Consider whether holding cash is worth it for you.3-month T-bills are now paying 2.6% with rock-solid liquidity. You can buy them through your broker. And in three months, you can roll into more T-bills at a higher rate. I think they'll be paying 4% with no risk by year-end as the Fed tries to slow down the party. Given the structural problems present with the US economy, I'd think about taking this until valuations make more sense. The Fed is only going to keep hiking until inflation is under control. For reference, stocks are priced to return maybe 8.5% annually, so getting half the return for none of the risk with the upside of getting even more if the Fed is forced to slam on the brakes appeals to me. I bonds can fill in here too, if you're married you can toss $20,000 in for the year and get a 9.62% risk-free return. TINA was the theme of 2021, but now TINA has been replaced by TIA. There is an alternative, and anyone who thinks the market is dicey can cash all or part of their stash in and be earning around 2.6% annualized now and likely 4% annualized by year-end. This isn't all or nothing- taking 25-35% of your portfolio and investing in cash equivalents if it's going to be paying 4% seems like a no-brainer to me.3. Consider using options to bet against overvalued companies.Being long only severely limits the opportunities you can take, and leaves you dependent on the economy growing over time. Short selling outright can get you short squeezed and doesn't work very well unless you have institutional access (short interest rebate, etc), but buying puts can give you a lot of bang for your buck. The upshot of higher interest rates is that it makes buying puts cheaper and calls more expensive. You can take advantage of this by selling overpriced calls on companies you own through index funds and buying puts cheaply to hedge your downside. For example, you might use this strategy to sell calls on Apple and Tesla, and then use the money to buy puts against weak companies like Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). Done right, this can allow you to reduce your concentration to expensive mega-cap names and bet against the companies most vulnerable to recession. So many companies are running on business models where they are completely reliant on the Fed having rates at zero to stay in business. Dozens of companies that have more liabilities than assets and negative earnings will likely be gone by 2024. I'll likely offer a few plays soon for my readers.A sample allocation to this strategy might be to spend 50-100 bps of your portfolio annually betting against junk stocks, depending on how bearish you are. You can largely finance this by selling calls on big index holdings if you think they're overvalued.Key TakeawaysStocks have rallied to erase most of the year's decline, but as long as the structural issues facing stocks remain, the rally is likely to break down and fail in the end.History shows that the US is in a similar position now to countries with stock markets that have had negative returns for decades due to debt and changing demographics. At the very least, this will drag down future returns.Fortunately, investors are far from helpless against the stock market being overvalued.Good strategies available to you include tilting away from mega-caps into profitable small caps (IJR), profitable mid-caps (IJH), and international stocks (VEA), investing in T-Bills, and I Bonds, and using options to bet against weak companies.Don't stress about the stock market keeping up the blistering pace of returns of the past 5-10 years. One way or another, it's not going to happen. Instead, expand your horizons and focus on what you can do to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. This will reduce your stress over uncontrollable trends and increase your long-run chances of reaching your goals.This article was written by Logan Kane. This article is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990089604,"gmtCreate":1660264020110,"gmtModify":1676532467577,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990089604","repostId":"2258754955","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2258754955","pubTimestamp":1660261459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2258754955?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-12 07:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rocket Lab Doubles Loss, but Revenue Surges","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2258754955","media":"NZ Herald","summary":"Won't be a long, long time til new satellite-making facility opens Beck says.","content":"<div>\n<p>Rocket Lab reported a net loss of US$37.4 million for the three months to June 30, more than double the US$16.7m it lost for the same period last year.But the Kiwi-American firm also reported revenue ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/rocket-lab-doubles-loss-but-revenue-surges/75SKQALY4LGJQVEDYT6HWKWRZE/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1660261372864","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rocket Lab Doubles Loss, but Revenue Surges</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRocket Lab Doubles Loss, but Revenue Surges\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-12 07:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/rocket-lab-doubles-loss-but-revenue-surges/75SKQALY4LGJQVEDYT6HWKWRZE/><strong>NZ Herald</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Rocket Lab reported a net loss of US$37.4 million for the three months to June 30, more than double the US$16.7m it lost for the same period last year.But the Kiwi-American firm also reported revenue ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/rocket-lab-doubles-loss-but-revenue-surges/75SKQALY4LGJQVEDYT6HWKWRZE/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RKLB":"Rocket Lab USA, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/rocket-lab-doubles-loss-but-revenue-surges/75SKQALY4LGJQVEDYT6HWKWRZE/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2258754955","content_text":"Rocket Lab reported a net loss of US$37.4 million for the three months to June 30, more than double the US$16.7m it lost for the same period last year.But the Kiwi-American firm also reported revenue that surged to US$55.5m, or five times the amount of its Covid-hit second quarter in 2021, and a third above its first quarter of this year.It forecast third-quarter revenue would grow to between US$60m and US$63m, and said its adjusted earnings loss would be between US$8m and US$12m (from US$8.5m in the second quarter).Rocket Lab finished the quarter with US$543m cash from the year-ago US$691m.\"We are encouraged by broad-based momentum that continued across our space systems business which comprised 66 per cent of our revenue in the second quarter,\" founder and CEO Peter Beck said.Shares closed up 1.21 per cent to US$5.86 in regular Nasdaq trading, for a market cap of US$4.72 billion and a 14 per cent gain on the week.The stock rose 0.3 per cent in after-hours trading after posting its result.The June quarter saw Rocket Lab launch its first Capstone moon mission for Nasa, and begin construction on its Neutron production complex in the US state of Virginia.Beck said his firm was also close to completing a new satellite constellation production facility in Long Beach, California.The new complex would be used to make satellites for a range of customers, including \"17 500kg spacecraft buses for [satellite phone and broadband operator] Globalstar as part of a US$143m subcontract awarded to Rocket Lab in the first quarter of this year\".Beck emphasised earlier this month that Rocket Lab has also expanded its operations in Auckland and Mahia, and is on a recruiting drive to add another 110 staff to its local operation (which currently numbers 600; including its North American staff, Rocket Lab now employs 1400).Its current quarter has seen Rocket Lab launch back-to-back missions for US military intelligence agency the National Reconnaissance Office, and land a contract to supply components for an upgrade to the US military's missile defence system.Rocket Lab reverse-listed at US$10.00 per share last August, and surged as high as US$18.69 before getting caught in the tech wreck downdraft.The firm got a shot in the arm earlier this week with a positive write-up in the Wall Street Journal's influential \"Heard on the Street\" column.The paper praised Rocket Lab's logistical and financial performance and said it should benefit further from a rise in US defence and aerospace spending with Russia's Soyuz off the table (Rocket Lab is now weighing the possibility of building three Neutron rockets in 2024 rather than one).It said Rocket Lab revenue rose 124 per cent to US$41m in the first-quarter (with a pipeline of US$550m of orders) and says its \"responsive launch\" capability was genuine.\"Shortly after Ukraine war, satellite-intelligence firm BlackSky asked Rocket Lab for an orbit change just days before it was due to launch, in order to place its satellites more directly over the conflict zone. While changing such missions has traditionally taken months, Rocket Lab pulled it off in 45 days,\" the Journal says.So why have Rocket Lab's shares been languishing? Today the stock closed flat at US$5.44 for a US$2.5b market cap. It listed in August last year at US$10.00.The Journal said people looked down their noses at firms that went public via a special purpose acquisition corporation (a vehicle for reverse-listing).It saw the Kiwi-American firm being unfairly lumped in with other aerospace companies that went public through SPACs, most of which were essentially pre-revenue.\"When investors finally come around to discriminating between former SPACs, they may realise that Rocket Lab has long achieved escape velocity.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074682924,"gmtCreate":1658359036668,"gmtModify":1676536144685,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sign of recovery or just a bear rally?","listText":"Sign of recovery or just a bear rally?","text":"Sign of recovery or just a bear rally?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074682924","repostId":"2253765504","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2253765504","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1658359107,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2253765504?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-21 07:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Higher Boosted By Tech Stocks Gains on Upbeat Earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253765504","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq booking a 1.6 % gain on positive ea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq booking a 1.6 % gain on positive earnings signals with a wary eye on inflation and more interest rate hikes by the Fed.</p><p>Netflix Inc&#39;s shares added 7.4% after the company predicted it would return to customer growth during the third quarter, while posting a smaller-than-expected 1 million drop in subscribers in the second quarter.</p><p>Other high-growth stocks extended gains following the forecast from the streaming service provider. Shares of Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc rose between 1% and 4.2%.</p><p>Electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc rose 2% in extended trading after reporting a rise in quarterly profit after the bell.</p><p>“Equity prices are trending in a roller coaster fashion, currently being at the mercy of inflation, interest rates and earnings,” said Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.</p><p>“We&#39;re going to need another series of reporting cycles to confirm whether or not inflation indeed is getting under control.”</p><p>Analysts expect aggregate year-on-year S&amp;P 500 profit to grow 5.9% in this reporting season, down from the 6.8% estimate at the start of the quarter, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Runaway inflation initially led markets to price in a full 100-basis-point hike in interest rates at the Fed&#39;s upcoming meeting next week, until some policymakers signaled a 75-basis-point increase.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 47.79 points, or 0.15%, to 31,874.84, the S&amp;P 500    gained 23.21 points, or 0.59%, to 3,959.9 and the Nasdaq Composite added 184.50 points, or 1.58%, to 11,897.65.</p><p>Seven of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 gained ground, with consumer discretionary and information technology posting the biggest gains.</p><p>Trading remained volatile in thin volumes, with the CBOE Volatility index closed at 23.79 points to its lowest in nearly three months.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.51 billion shares, compared with the 11.43 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>&#34;Low volumes accentuate market moves historically and even though we&#39;ve wiped off $10 or $15 trillion from global equities this year, there&#39;s still a lot of excess liquidity. So low volume on excess liquidity can still accentuate moves,&#34; John Lynch, chief investment officer for Comerica Wealth Management, said.</p><p>Baker Hughes Co tumbled 8.3% as the largest S&amp;P percentage loser, as the oilfield services provider reported a bigger second-quarter loss, while its adjusted profit also missed estimates.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.94-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.28-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new 52-week high and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 38 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Higher Boosted By Tech Stocks Gains on Upbeat Earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Higher Boosted By Tech Stocks Gains on Upbeat Earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-21 07:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq booking a 1.6 % gain on positive earnings signals with a wary eye on inflation and more interest rate hikes by the Fed.</p><p>Netflix Inc&#39;s shares added 7.4% after the company predicted it would return to customer growth during the third quarter, while posting a smaller-than-expected 1 million drop in subscribers in the second quarter.</p><p>Other high-growth stocks extended gains following the forecast from the streaming service provider. Shares of Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc rose between 1% and 4.2%.</p><p>Electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc rose 2% in extended trading after reporting a rise in quarterly profit after the bell.</p><p>“Equity prices are trending in a roller coaster fashion, currently being at the mercy of inflation, interest rates and earnings,” said Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.</p><p>“We&#39;re going to need another series of reporting cycles to confirm whether or not inflation indeed is getting under control.”</p><p>Analysts expect aggregate year-on-year S&amp;P 500 profit to grow 5.9% in this reporting season, down from the 6.8% estimate at the start of the quarter, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Runaway inflation initially led markets to price in a full 100-basis-point hike in interest rates at the Fed&#39;s upcoming meeting next week, until some policymakers signaled a 75-basis-point increase.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 47.79 points, or 0.15%, to 31,874.84, the S&amp;P 500    gained 23.21 points, or 0.59%, to 3,959.9 and the Nasdaq Composite added 184.50 points, or 1.58%, to 11,897.65.</p><p>Seven of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 gained ground, with consumer discretionary and information technology posting the biggest gains.</p><p>Trading remained volatile in thin volumes, with the CBOE Volatility index closed at 23.79 points to its lowest in nearly three months.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.51 billion shares, compared with the 11.43 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>&#34;Low volumes accentuate market moves historically and even though we&#39;ve wiped off $10 or $15 trillion from global equities this year, there&#39;s still a lot of excess liquidity. So low volume on excess liquidity can still accentuate moves,&#34; John Lynch, chief investment officer for Comerica Wealth Management, said.</p><p>Baker Hughes Co tumbled 8.3% as the largest S&amp;P percentage loser, as the oilfield services provider reported a bigger second-quarter loss, while its adjusted profit also missed estimates.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.94-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.28-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new 52-week high and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 38 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253765504","content_text":"U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq booking a 1.6 % gain on positive earnings signals with a wary eye on inflation and more interest rate hikes by the Fed.Netflix Inc's shares added 7.4% after the company predicted it would return to customer growth during the third quarter, while posting a smaller-than-expected 1 million drop in subscribers in the second quarter.Other high-growth stocks extended gains following the forecast from the streaming service provider. Shares of Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Meta Platforms Inc rose between 1% and 4.2%.Electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc rose 2% in extended trading after reporting a rise in quarterly profit after the bell.“Equity prices are trending in a roller coaster fashion, currently being at the mercy of inflation, interest rates and earnings,” said Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.“We're going to need another series of reporting cycles to confirm whether or not inflation indeed is getting under control.”Analysts expect aggregate year-on-year S&P 500 profit to grow 5.9% in this reporting season, down from the 6.8% estimate at the start of the quarter, according to Refinitiv data.Runaway inflation initially led markets to price in a full 100-basis-point hike in interest rates at the Fed's upcoming meeting next week, until some policymakers signaled a 75-basis-point increase.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 47.79 points, or 0.15%, to 31,874.84, the S&P 500    gained 23.21 points, or 0.59%, to 3,959.9 and the Nasdaq Composite added 184.50 points, or 1.58%, to 11,897.65.Seven of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 gained ground, with consumer discretionary and information technology posting the biggest gains.Trading remained volatile in thin volumes, with the CBOE Volatility index closed at 23.79 points to its lowest in nearly three months.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.51 billion shares, compared with the 11.43 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\"Low volumes accentuate market moves historically and even though we've wiped off $10 or $15 trillion from global equities this year, there's still a lot of excess liquidity. So low volume on excess liquidity can still accentuate moves,\" John Lynch, chief investment officer for Comerica Wealth Management, said.Baker Hughes Co tumbled 8.3% as the largest S&P percentage loser, as the oilfield services provider reported a bigger second-quarter loss, while its adjusted profit also missed estimates.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.94-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.28-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 38 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075868209,"gmtCreate":1658187267301,"gmtModify":1676536117449,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting but expected","listText":"Interesting but expected","text":"Interesting but expected","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075868209","repostId":"2252509512","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2252509512","pubTimestamp":1658186125,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2252509512?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-19 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple (AAPL) to Slow Hiring and Spending in 2023 Reports Bloomberg","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2252509512","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) intends to slow its hiring and spending growth in some divisions next year to m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) intends to slow its hiring and spending growth in some divisions next year to manage the current economic climate, Bloomberg reported Monday.</p><p>Citing sources with knowledge of the matter, Bloomberg&#39;s Mark Gurman said the decision comes as a result of the tech giant attempting to be more careful during periods of economic uncertainty. However, Gurman added that it is not a company-wide policy, and the decision won&#39;t impact all teams with Apple planning an &#34;aggressive product launch schedule in 2023.&#34;</p><p>The news comes despite the company topping Wall Street expectations during the pandemic and remaining resilient during past economic downturns.</p><p>However, Apple isn&#39;t the only major tech company to turn more frugal recently, with Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, and others working to reduce spending.</p><p>Apple is said to be giving each of its teams a lower-than-expected budget in 2023, with some divisions not increasing headcount during the year, while some teams won&#39;t be able to fill the vacancies left by departing employees.</p><p>Apple has historically invested vast sums in research and development and hiring. However, soaring inflation and supply chain challenges are expected to impact the company&#39;s latest quarter.</p><p>Apple shares have dipped over 2% following the Bloomberg report.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple (AAPL) to Slow Hiring and Spending in 2023 Reports Bloomberg</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple (AAPL) to Slow Hiring and Spending in 2023 Reports Bloomberg\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 07:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20336325><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) intends to slow its hiring and spending growth in some divisions next year to manage the current economic climate, Bloomberg reported Monday.Citing sources with knowledge of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20336325\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20336325","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2252509512","content_text":"Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) intends to slow its hiring and spending growth in some divisions next year to manage the current economic climate, Bloomberg reported Monday.Citing sources with knowledge of the matter, Bloomberg's Mark Gurman said the decision comes as a result of the tech giant attempting to be more careful during periods of economic uncertainty. However, Gurman added that it is not a company-wide policy, and the decision won't impact all teams with Apple planning an \"aggressive product launch schedule in 2023.\"The news comes despite the company topping Wall Street expectations during the pandemic and remaining resilient during past economic downturns.However, Apple isn't the only major tech company to turn more frugal recently, with Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, and others working to reduce spending.Apple is said to be giving each of its teams a lower-than-expected budget in 2023, with some divisions not increasing headcount during the year, while some teams won't be able to fill the vacancies left by departing employees.Apple has historically invested vast sums in research and development and hiring. However, soaring inflation and supply chain challenges are expected to impact the company's latest quarter.Apple shares have dipped over 2% following the Bloomberg report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9076200463,"gmtCreate":1657847733152,"gmtModify":1676536071626,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9076200463","repostId":"2251106144","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078810814,"gmtCreate":1657669889438,"gmtModify":1676536041955,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078810814","repostId":"1167819236","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167819236","pubTimestamp":1657667207,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167819236?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-13 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"White House Expects \"Elevated\" but \"Out of Date\" Inflation Numbers for June","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167819236","media":"The Hill","summary":"The White House is bracing for “highly elevated” inflation numbers when the Labor Department on Wedn","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The White House is bracing for “highly elevated” inflation numbers when the Labor Department on Wednesday releases its consumer price index, a key gauge of inflation for the month of June. But the administration argued the data will not reflect recent progress that has brought down down gas prices.</p><p>“We expect the headline number, which includes gas and food, to be highly elevated mainly because gas prices were so elevated in June,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters. “Gas and food prices continue to be heavily impacted by the war in Ukraine, and there are a few important points to keep in mind when we get this backwards-looking data.”</p><p>Jean-Pierre argued the numbers will already be “out of date” because gas prices have already come down and are expected to fall more in the coming days. Gas prices have fallen for 27 consecutive days, according to data from GasBuddy, which tracks fuel prices.</p><p>Jean-Pierre reiterated that fighting inflation is President Biden’s top economic priority.</p><p>The costs of food and energy in particular have been an issue for the American public, with record high prices over the last several months causing headaches among the general public. The price of gas topped $5 per gallon last month.</p><p>The White House has attributed rising costs to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and a resulting blockade of grain exports that have rattled food supply chains. Russia is also a major exporter of oil, increasing the global price of fuel.</p><p>Biden is slated to visit Saudi Arabia this week, and while officials have downplayed the significance of oil prices in that visit, the president may argue that nations in the Middle East should pump more oil to meet global demand.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1657606627878","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>White House Expects \"Elevated\" but \"Out of Date\" Inflation Numbers for June</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhite House Expects \"Elevated\" but \"Out of Date\" Inflation Numbers for June\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3553803-white-house-expects-elevated-but-out-of-date-inflation-numbers-for-june/><strong>The Hill</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The White House is bracing for “highly elevated” inflation numbers when the Labor Department on Wednesday releases its consumer price index, a key gauge of inflation for the month of June. But the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3553803-white-house-expects-elevated-but-out-of-date-inflation-numbers-for-june/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3553803-white-house-expects-elevated-but-out-of-date-inflation-numbers-for-june/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167819236","content_text":"The White House is bracing for “highly elevated” inflation numbers when the Labor Department on Wednesday releases its consumer price index, a key gauge of inflation for the month of June. But the administration argued the data will not reflect recent progress that has brought down down gas prices.“We expect the headline number, which includes gas and food, to be highly elevated mainly because gas prices were so elevated in June,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters. “Gas and food prices continue to be heavily impacted by the war in Ukraine, and there are a few important points to keep in mind when we get this backwards-looking data.”Jean-Pierre argued the numbers will already be “out of date” because gas prices have already come down and are expected to fall more in the coming days. Gas prices have fallen for 27 consecutive days, according to data from GasBuddy, which tracks fuel prices.Jean-Pierre reiterated that fighting inflation is President Biden’s top economic priority.The costs of food and energy in particular have been an issue for the American public, with record high prices over the last several months causing headaches among the general public. The price of gas topped $5 per gallon last month.The White House has attributed rising costs to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and a resulting blockade of grain exports that have rattled food supply chains. Russia is also a major exporter of oil, increasing the global price of fuel.Biden is slated to visit Saudi Arabia this week, and while officials have downplayed the significance of oil prices in that visit, the president may argue that nations in the Middle East should pump more oil to meet global demand.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078957351,"gmtCreate":1657624231273,"gmtModify":1676536035682,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am slowly accumulating and then disposing some of grab shares. Been lowering the cost and now it stood at a very low price tag. Meant for longer term view and even at the current low price, i am making some profit even if i want to dispose it.&nbsp; What a wonderful strategy i learned from some of the sifus here and I thank you them for that. Next will be looking up another stock to use same strategy under this wonderful and blessful bearish and volatile market.","listText":"I am slowly accumulating and then disposing some of grab shares. Been lowering the cost and now it stood at a very low price tag. Meant for longer term view and even at the current low price, i am making some profit even if i want to dispose it.&nbsp; What a wonderful strategy i learned from some of the sifus here and I thank you them for that. Next will be looking up another stock to use same strategy under this wonderful and blessful bearish and volatile market.","text":"I am slowly accumulating and then disposing some of grab shares. Been lowering the cost and now it stood at a very low price tag. Meant for longer term view and even at the current low price, i am making some profit even if i want to dispose it. What a wonderful strategy i learned from some of the sifus here and I thank you them for that. Next will be looking up another stock to use same strategy under this wonderful and blessful bearish and volatile market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078957351","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071439483,"gmtCreate":1657579452842,"gmtModify":1676536026669,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071439483","repostId":"1164092479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164092479","pubTimestamp":1657553305,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164092479?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-11 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The Last Bubble Standing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164092479","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAs the market crumbles around it, the enthusiasm for Tesla is unwavering. With a 1% earnings ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>As the market crumbles around it, the enthusiasm for Tesla is unwavering. With a 1% earnings yield, Tesla is the last bubble standing.</li><li>Elon Musk’s diverted focus is not good news for AI and autonomous drive. He’s been selling stock hand-over-fist.</li><li>In the next recession, Tesla&#39;s earnings will likely decline, and the bubble will go &#34;pop.&#34; We&#39;ll dig into why we see a lost decade ahead for TSLA.</li></ul><p><b>The Thesis</b></p><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has captured the minds of investors the world over. The company has become more of a gambling machine than an investment; in 2021, TSLA was the most traded stock among retail investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e3d4b7cda76da9b0147473895a518c9\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1088\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Most Traded Stocks (Degiro)</p><p>So why is Tesla not crumbling entirely in the face of this bear market? Well, autos are still riding an all-time hot wave of sales, and investors aren&#39;t pricing in the cyclicality of earnings. In a deep recession, Tesla&#39;s earnings can and likely will decline, along with all other automakers. At which time, the air will come out of Tesla&#39;s stock.</p><p><b>Autos vs. Recession</b></p><p>Recessions get nasty for auto manufacturers. History has shown that it doesn&#39;t matter who you are, when big recessions hit, auto earnings not only decline but usually go negative in this capital-intensive industry. In 2009, auto manufacturers got absolutely crushed, reporting negative net income across the board:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/178b4e4d53d206f47912083db8e6b7ea\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>You may ask, &#34;What about the recession of 2020?&#34; Well, 2020 was unlike any recession in the past. The government sent out so many stimulus checks, that consumers&#39; bank accounts actually ballooned. Combined with the lowest interest rates in 5000 years, buying a $50,000 car became more affordable than ever.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dea3cc478a3fb47133524908183cc64\" tg-width=\"786\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Cash Balances of American Consumers (RSM)</p><p><b>Disconnected Management</b></p><p>As the bubble booms on, Elon Musk has beensellingTesla shares hand-over-fist, with excuses like this:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3740aa3afe71aa226eca83a1d035e273\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"546\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Elon Musk Tweet (Bloomberg)</p><p>This is not what we like to see from our CEO. To be fair to Musk, he did tweet this back in 2020, when the stock was at $140 per share:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a940e22f55a558f3d8e8d882e91469a\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Elon Musk Tweet (Quora)</p><p>TSLA currently has a 1% earnings yield on what is likely an industry peak. It appears to us that Elon&#39;s getting out.</p><p>With the proceeds, Musk is attempting to buy Twitter (TWTR) outright. Keep in mind that Musk is not only focusing his time and attention on this, but to SpaceX, which is arguably a more promising business. The space industry is projected to reach $1 trillion in revenue by 2040.</p><p><b>A Fundamental Look At Tesla&#39;s Growth</b></p><p>Tesla is going global and getting closer to its customer base, with new factories in Shanghai, China, as well as Berlin, Germany. You would think this move would expand Tesla&#39;s market share. But from 2020 to 2021, Tesla&#39;s global market share actually shrank from17%to just under14%.</p><p>Competition is coming from everywhere. With a 14% market share, Tesla is more likely to lose share than to gain it. Companies like Honda (HMC) (OTCPK:HNDAF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Ford (F), GM (GM), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF), Jaguar, Kia (OTCPK:KIMTF), Mazda (OTCPK:MZDAY) (OTCPK:MZDAF), Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF) (OTCPK:DMLRY), Mitsubishi, Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) (OTCPK:NSANF), Stellantis (STLA), Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) (OTCPK:FUJHF), Toyota (TM) (OTCPK:TOYOF), Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) (OTCPK:VLKAF) (OTCPK:VWAPY), and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF) (OTCPK:VLVLY) (OTCPK:VOLVF) are all adding EVs to their lineups. Many of these companies have strong and entrenched brands and are partnering with EV titans like BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF). On top of that, they&#39;re producing EVs that are more affordable for the average consumer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78163ed4a8e14f033b94ab5f7ab5ba04\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"701\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global EV Market Share (Statista)</p><p>Tesla&#39;s margins could also decrease. A cooler economy, increased competition, and used EVs coming online means the price of buying an EV could actually fall over time. Tesla&#39;s benefited from government credits, but these credits could dissipate now that EV companies like Tesla are profitable and highly valued.</p><p>To understand where Tesla is going, we need to understand where the industry is going. The number of electric vehicles sold globally is projected to grow at 17.5% per annum through to 2030. Tesla&#39;s energy business has grown revenue at21% per annum over the past 3 years.</p><p>95% of Tesla&#39;s revenue still comes from the automotive arm:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27d7141d89fbc6299c4d310ef0e3a6d2\" tg-width=\"1268\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla&#39;s Revenue Breakdown (2021 Annual Report)</p><p>Given the market share, margins, and industry risks, we estimate Tesla will simply match the growth of global EV sales, growing 17.5% per annum. The energy business should continue to grow and become profitable, which will partially make up for the issues cited above.</p><p><b>The Valuation</b></p><p>Our 2032 price target for TSLA is $683 per share, indicating a return of 0% per annum, with no dividends.</p><ul><li>Tesla has earnings of $7.78 per share, giving it a PE of nearly 100. If Tesla&#39;s EPS should grow at 17.5% per annum, we get 2032 earnings of $39 per share. While the typical car company trades at just 10x normalized earnings, Tesla continues to benefit from the transition to EVs, and should have a more prominent footprint in clean energy generation and storage in 2032. We&#39;ve applied a terminal multiple of 17.5x earnings, which is a 75% premium to the average car company. Remember, the auto business is cyclical, competitive, and prone to bankruptcy. It&#39;s difficult to justify a higher multiple unless our risks to the thesis play out.</li></ul><p><b>Risks To The Thesis</b></p><p>Tesla&#39;s future is very up in the air. Elon Musk has all sorts of stories for investors revolving around autonomous drive, robotics, ride-sharing, and artificial intelligence. However, we do not yet have substantial revenues from Musk&#39;s many grand ideas. When those revenues do materialize, the businesses are likely to be loss-making, much like TSLA&#39;s energy business thus far. Competition will be strong in these fields. Autonomous drive, for instance, has attracted competition from Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), Uber (UBER), General Motors, Nvidia (NVDA), Baidu (BIDU), Ford, Aptiv (APTV), and Luminar Technologies (LAZR).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee253b2e571ef4520e73af17cb9e1ee6\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1280\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla Bot (Wired)</p><p>If Elon Musk&#39;s focus doesn&#39;t stray too much, the company could win in one or more of these fields, which would be a boon for long-term profits and Tesla&#39;s terminal multiple.</p><p>For more on the Tesla bull thesis, readers can review claims by Cathie Wood, who says the stock will quintuple in a few years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The Last Bubble Standing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The Last Bubble Standing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 23:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522405-tesla-stock-the-last-bubble-standing?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A23><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAs the market crumbles around it, the enthusiasm for Tesla is unwavering. With a 1% earnings yield, Tesla is the last bubble standing.Elon Musk’s diverted focus is not good news for AI and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522405-tesla-stock-the-last-bubble-standing?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A23\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522405-tesla-stock-the-last-bubble-standing?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A23","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164092479","content_text":"SummaryAs the market crumbles around it, the enthusiasm for Tesla is unwavering. With a 1% earnings yield, Tesla is the last bubble standing.Elon Musk’s diverted focus is not good news for AI and autonomous drive. He’s been selling stock hand-over-fist.In the next recession, Tesla's earnings will likely decline, and the bubble will go \"pop.\" We'll dig into why we see a lost decade ahead for TSLA.The ThesisTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has captured the minds of investors the world over. The company has become more of a gambling machine than an investment; in 2021, TSLA was the most traded stock among retail investors.Most Traded Stocks (Degiro)So why is Tesla not crumbling entirely in the face of this bear market? Well, autos are still riding an all-time hot wave of sales, and investors aren't pricing in the cyclicality of earnings. In a deep recession, Tesla's earnings can and likely will decline, along with all other automakers. At which time, the air will come out of Tesla's stock.Autos vs. RecessionRecessions get nasty for auto manufacturers. History has shown that it doesn't matter who you are, when big recessions hit, auto earnings not only decline but usually go negative in this capital-intensive industry. In 2009, auto manufacturers got absolutely crushed, reporting negative net income across the board:Data by YChartsYou may ask, \"What about the recession of 2020?\" Well, 2020 was unlike any recession in the past. The government sent out so many stimulus checks, that consumers' bank accounts actually ballooned. Combined with the lowest interest rates in 5000 years, buying a $50,000 car became more affordable than ever.Cash Balances of American Consumers (RSM)Disconnected ManagementAs the bubble booms on, Elon Musk has beensellingTesla shares hand-over-fist, with excuses like this:Elon Musk Tweet (Bloomberg)This is not what we like to see from our CEO. To be fair to Musk, he did tweet this back in 2020, when the stock was at $140 per share:Elon Musk Tweet (Quora)TSLA currently has a 1% earnings yield on what is likely an industry peak. It appears to us that Elon's getting out.With the proceeds, Musk is attempting to buy Twitter (TWTR) outright. Keep in mind that Musk is not only focusing his time and attention on this, but to SpaceX, which is arguably a more promising business. The space industry is projected to reach $1 trillion in revenue by 2040.A Fundamental Look At Tesla's GrowthTesla is going global and getting closer to its customer base, with new factories in Shanghai, China, as well as Berlin, Germany. You would think this move would expand Tesla's market share. But from 2020 to 2021, Tesla's global market share actually shrank from17%to just under14%.Competition is coming from everywhere. With a 14% market share, Tesla is more likely to lose share than to gain it. Companies like Honda (HMC) (OTCPK:HNDAF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Ford (F), GM (GM), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF), Jaguar, Kia (OTCPK:KIMTF), Mazda (OTCPK:MZDAY) (OTCPK:MZDAF), Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF) (OTCPK:DMLRY), Mitsubishi, Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) (OTCPK:NSANF), Stellantis (STLA), Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) (OTCPK:FUJHF), Toyota (TM) (OTCPK:TOYOF), Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) (OTCPK:VLKAF) (OTCPK:VWAPY), and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF) (OTCPK:VLVLY) (OTCPK:VOLVF) are all adding EVs to their lineups. Many of these companies have strong and entrenched brands and are partnering with EV titans like BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF). On top of that, they're producing EVs that are more affordable for the average consumer.Global EV Market Share (Statista)Tesla's margins could also decrease. A cooler economy, increased competition, and used EVs coming online means the price of buying an EV could actually fall over time. Tesla's benefited from government credits, but these credits could dissipate now that EV companies like Tesla are profitable and highly valued.To understand where Tesla is going, we need to understand where the industry is going. The number of electric vehicles sold globally is projected to grow at 17.5% per annum through to 2030. Tesla's energy business has grown revenue at21% per annum over the past 3 years.95% of Tesla's revenue still comes from the automotive arm:Tesla's Revenue Breakdown (2021 Annual Report)Given the market share, margins, and industry risks, we estimate Tesla will simply match the growth of global EV sales, growing 17.5% per annum. The energy business should continue to grow and become profitable, which will partially make up for the issues cited above.The ValuationOur 2032 price target for TSLA is $683 per share, indicating a return of 0% per annum, with no dividends.Tesla has earnings of $7.78 per share, giving it a PE of nearly 100. If Tesla's EPS should grow at 17.5% per annum, we get 2032 earnings of $39 per share. While the typical car company trades at just 10x normalized earnings, Tesla continues to benefit from the transition to EVs, and should have a more prominent footprint in clean energy generation and storage in 2032. We've applied a terminal multiple of 17.5x earnings, which is a 75% premium to the average car company. Remember, the auto business is cyclical, competitive, and prone to bankruptcy. It's difficult to justify a higher multiple unless our risks to the thesis play out.Risks To The ThesisTesla's future is very up in the air. Elon Musk has all sorts of stories for investors revolving around autonomous drive, robotics, ride-sharing, and artificial intelligence. However, we do not yet have substantial revenues from Musk's many grand ideas. When those revenues do materialize, the businesses are likely to be loss-making, much like TSLA's energy business thus far. Competition will be strong in these fields. Autonomous drive, for instance, has attracted competition from Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), Uber (UBER), General Motors, Nvidia (NVDA), Baidu (BIDU), Ford, Aptiv (APTV), and Luminar Technologies (LAZR).Tesla Bot (Wired)If Elon Musk's focus doesn't stray too much, the company could win in one or more of these fields, which would be a boon for long-term profits and Tesla's terminal multiple.For more on the Tesla bull thesis, readers can review claims by Cathie Wood, who says the stock will quintuple in a few years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071342360,"gmtCreate":1657496297250,"gmtModify":1676536012810,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071342360","repostId":"1121190134","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121190134","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657267168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121190134?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-08 15:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: SGX Market Will be Closed on July 11 for Hari Raya Haji","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121190134","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hari Raya Haji is around the corner. The Singapore market will be closed on Monday, 11 July 2022. Pl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hari Raya Haji is around the corner. The Singapore market will be closed on Monday, 11 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/008ff7c0d3215916b694fa720d59302d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: SGX Market Will be Closed on July 11 for Hari Raya Haji</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: SGX Market Will be Closed on July 11 for Hari Raya Haji\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-08 15:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hari Raya Haji is around the corner. The Singapore market will be closed on Monday, 11 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/008ff7c0d3215916b694fa720d59302d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121190134","content_text":"Hari Raya Haji is around the corner. The Singapore market will be closed on Monday, 11 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071346788,"gmtCreate":1657496278344,"gmtModify":1676536012790,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071346788","repostId":"2250672431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250672431","pubTimestamp":1657494031,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2250672431?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-11 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250672431","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week wil","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.</p><p>The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.</p><p>Friday&#39;s June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.</p><p>&#34;The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,&#34; said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.</p><p>Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning&#39;s inflation data for more clarity on this issue.</p><p>Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.</p><p>This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.</p><p>Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.</p><p>Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is &#34;beside the point.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the &#39;recession&#39; question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,&#34; Harris wrote.</p><p>And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.</p><p>The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.</p><p>JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reuters</p><p>Investors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.</p><p>Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.</p><p>Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.</p><p>The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)</p><p>Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, &#34;technically, markets look to be at resistance.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,&#34; Newton wrote. &#34;While I remain a buyer on weakness, it&#39;s hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.&#34;</p><h3>Economic Calendar</h3><p><b>Monday: </b></p><p><b>Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June </b>(93.2 previously)</p><p><b>Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY </b>(+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, YoY </b>(+5.8% expected, +6% previously); <b>CPI, June, MoM </b>(+1.1% expected, +1% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, MoM </b>(+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); <b>Federal Reserve Beige Book</b></p><p><b>Thursday: Initial jobless claims </b>(235,000 previously)</p><p><b>Friday: Retail sales, June </b>(+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously);<b> Retail sales, control group, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Empire State manufacturing index, July </b>(-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously);<b> Producer price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); <b>Import price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously);<b> Industrial production, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Capacity utilization, June </b>(80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); <b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July </b>(49 expected, 50 previously)</p><h3>Earnings Calendar</h3><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/232bb95cad2c6ce3dda94e126cbae636\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1194\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h3><h3>Monday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.</p><p>After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.</p><h3>Tuesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>PepsiCo</b> (PEP)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report. </i></p><h3>Wednesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Fastenal</b> (FAST); <b>Delta Air Lines</b> (DAL)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p><h3>Thursday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>JPMorgan Chase</b> (JPM); <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a></b> (MS); <b>Conagra</b> (CAG), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a></b> (FRC); <b>Cintas</b> (CTAS)</p><p>After Market Close: <b>American Outdoor Brands</b> (AOUT)</p><h3>Friday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Wells Fargo</b> (WFC); <b>BlackRock</b> (BLK); <b>Citigroup</b> (C); <b>BNY Mellon</b> (BK); <b>UnitedHealth</b> (UNH); <b>Progressive</b> (PGR); <b>US Bancorp</b> (USB); <b>State Street</b> (STT); <b>PNC Financial</b> (PNC)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","PEP":"百事可乐","JPM":"摩根大通","DAL":"达美航空"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250672431","content_text":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.Friday's June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.\"The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,\" said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning's inflation data for more clarity on this issue.Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is \"beside the point.\"\"While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the 'recession' question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,\" Harris wrote.And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reutersInvestors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, \"technically, markets look to be at resistance.\"\"While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,\" Newton wrote. \"While I remain a buyer on weakness, it's hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.\"Economic CalendarMonday: Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June (93.2 previously)Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY (+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously); Core CPI, June, YoY (+5.8% expected, +6% previously); CPI, June, MoM (+1.1% expected, +1% previously); Core CPI, June, MoM (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); Federal Reserve Beige BookThursday: Initial jobless claims (235,000 previously)Friday: Retail sales, June (+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously); Retail sales, control group, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Empire State manufacturing index, July (-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously); Producer price index, June, MoM (+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); Import price index, June, MoM (+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously); Industrial production, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Capacity utilization, June (80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July (49 expected, 50 previously)Earnings CalendarMonday:Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Tuesday:Before Market Open: PepsiCo (PEP)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report. Wednesday:Before Market Open: Fastenal (FAST); Delta Air Lines (DAL)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Thursday:Before Market Open: JPMorgan Chase (JPM); Morgan Stanley (MS); Conagra (CAG), First Republic Bank (FRC); Cintas (CTAS)After Market Close: American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)Friday:Before Market Open: Wells Fargo (WFC); BlackRock (BLK); Citigroup (C); BNY Mellon (BK); UnitedHealth (UNH); Progressive (PGR); US Bancorp (USB); State Street (STT); PNC Financial (PNC)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073769199,"gmtCreate":1657418698611,"gmtModify":1676536004925,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073769199","repostId":"1106697268","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106697268","pubTimestamp":1657337354,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106697268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-09 11:29","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106697268","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>After months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.</li><li>ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO&#39;s product deliveries.</li><li>ET5 and ET7 production are set to exceed volume production of the ES6 this year.</li></ul><p>NIO&#39;s (NYSE:NIO) first-quarter production and delivery performance was greatly impacted by a variety of factors, including Chinese holidays and COVID-related shutdowns that limited factory output levels. In June, however, NIO experienced a surge in deliveries due to factories coming back online and accelerating demand for NIO’s first sedan product, the ET7. While COVID-19 shutdowns remain a significant risk factor going forward, a recovery in delivery volumes could drive an upwards revaluation of NIO’s shares.</p><p><b>Why NIO’s growth will be determined by sedan production going forward</b></p><p>NIO submitted its delivery card for June last week which revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer delivered 12,961 electric vehicles, showing 60.3% year-over-year growth. On a month-over-month basis, NIO’s deliveries increased a massive 84.5% which was the fastest growth rate when compared against rival companies XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI). XPeng&#39;s month-over-month delivery growth rate was 51.1% while Li Auto saw 13.3% month-over-month growth.</p><p>XPeng, which currently has the fastest year-over-year delivery growth of the Top Three electric vehicle manufacturers delivered the most EVs last month: 15,295, showing 133% growth. Li Auto delivered 13,024 Li ONE sport utility vehicles in June, showing 68.9% year-over-year growth.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Deliveries</p></td><td><p>April</p></td><td><p>April Y/Y Growth</p></td><td><p>May</p></td><td><p>May Y/Y Growth</p></td><td><p>June</p></td><td><p>June Y/Y Growth</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>NIO</p></td><td><p>5,074</p></td><td><p>-28.6%</p></td><td><p>7,024</p></td><td><p>4.7%</p></td><td><p>12,961</p></td><td><p>60.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>XPEV</p></td><td><p>9,002</p></td><td><p>75.0%</p></td><td><p>10,125</p></td><td><p>78.0%</p></td><td><p>15,295</p></td><td><p>133.0%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LI</p></td><td><p>4,167</p></td><td><p>-24.8%</p></td><td><p>11,496</p></td><td><p>165.9%</p></td><td><p>13,024</p></td><td><p>68.9%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>(Source: Author)</p><p>NIO’s delivery card for June contained further evidence that sedan products are going to be NIO’s future. The electric vehicle company delivered 5,100 ES6s, 1,828 EC6s and 1,684 ES8s which are all sport utility vehicles. Additionally, NIO delivered a massive 4,349 ET7s, the firm’s first sedan product that started to sell in China only in March.</p><p>NIO’s delivery growth in June has been driven by two models especially: The ET7 which has seen month-over-month delivery growth of a massive 154.8% and the ES6 which saw a delivery increase of 73.7% on a monthly basis. NIO’s ES6 model still has the largest delivery share (currently 39.3%) and NIO produces by far the largest number of SUVs in the ES6 product line. But because of the surge in demand for electric vehicle sedans, going forward, the ET7 is set to replace NIO’s ES6 as the most important vehicle in NIO’s product portfolio. With NIO’s ET5 deliveries expected to start in September, the electric vehicle start-up could generate about half of its deliveries and sales from sedans, not SUVs, by year-end.</p><p>The share of ET7 deliveries has consistently increased throughout the second-quarter as well: in April, May and June, the delivery shares of the ET7 were 13.7%, 24.3% and 33.6%. Considering that NIO will add sedan volume through the ET5, especially in the fourth quarter, sedan deliveries are likely going to be the biggest driver for NIO’s delivery growth in the second half of 2022 and beyond.</p><p><b>NIO has long-term potential, but short-term setbacks should be expected</b></p><p>NIO’s valuation today is much cheaper than a year ago. During the pandemic, shares of NIO traded as high as $65. But investors appear to have stopped caring much about NIO’s delivery growth prospects lately which is understandable considering that EV deliveries have slowed down industry-wide in the first quarter. While short-term setbacks have to be expected, especially regarding new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, NIO’s growth prospects are attractive in the long term.</p><p>NIO is expected to grow revenues 60% this year to $9.07B, indicating a price-to-sales ratio of 3.8X. The forward P-S ratio, based on expected sales of $15.96B, implies a P-S ratio of 2.2X and revenue growth of 76%... so the market even expects an acceleration in revenue growth in FY 2023.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f8783ef7161e7a0ff94ffa153c81a2a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>Risks with NIO</b></p><p>The biggest risk for NIO, as I see it, is a volatile short-term delivery pattern that makes it hard for the market to predict NIO’s delivery potential with any kind of accuracy. COVID-19 shutdowns are still a threat to electric vehicle manufacturers as well because they could impact manufacturing hubs that produce electric vehicles or dampen demand for NIO’s products. Xi’an, a city of 13M, was partially shut down on Wednesday after a few cases of a new COVID-19 variant have been detected. China’s heavy-handed approach to mitigating the spread of COVID-19 and its variants is a big risk for NIO’s delivery potential as well as the stock in the short term. What would change my mind about NIO is if delivery growth slowed down and the firm&#39;s sedan ramp started to disappoint.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>NIO’s June ramp in production and deliveries was surprisingly good. The surge in ET7 deliveries is the key take-away for investors, because deliveries started only three months ago and sedans now already account for a third of NIO’s delivery volume. Considering that ET5 deliveries are set to start in September, I believe NIO’s long-term delivery potential, especially in the sedan market, is underrated. However, since NIO faces uncertain short-term delivery prospects due to new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, I have a neutral opinion on NIO.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-09 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106697268","content_text":"SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 and ET7 production are set to exceed volume production of the ES6 this year.NIO's (NYSE:NIO) first-quarter production and delivery performance was greatly impacted by a variety of factors, including Chinese holidays and COVID-related shutdowns that limited factory output levels. In June, however, NIO experienced a surge in deliveries due to factories coming back online and accelerating demand for NIO’s first sedan product, the ET7. While COVID-19 shutdowns remain a significant risk factor going forward, a recovery in delivery volumes could drive an upwards revaluation of NIO’s shares.Why NIO’s growth will be determined by sedan production going forwardNIO submitted its delivery card for June last week which revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer delivered 12,961 electric vehicles, showing 60.3% year-over-year growth. On a month-over-month basis, NIO’s deliveries increased a massive 84.5% which was the fastest growth rate when compared against rival companies XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI). XPeng's month-over-month delivery growth rate was 51.1% while Li Auto saw 13.3% month-over-month growth.XPeng, which currently has the fastest year-over-year delivery growth of the Top Three electric vehicle manufacturers delivered the most EVs last month: 15,295, showing 133% growth. Li Auto delivered 13,024 Li ONE sport utility vehicles in June, showing 68.9% year-over-year growth.DeliveriesAprilApril Y/Y GrowthMayMay Y/Y GrowthJuneJune Y/Y GrowthNIO5,074-28.6%7,0244.7%12,96160.3%XPEV9,00275.0%10,12578.0%15,295133.0%LI4,167-24.8%11,496165.9%13,02468.9%(Source: Author)NIO’s delivery card for June contained further evidence that sedan products are going to be NIO’s future. The electric vehicle company delivered 5,100 ES6s, 1,828 EC6s and 1,684 ES8s which are all sport utility vehicles. Additionally, NIO delivered a massive 4,349 ET7s, the firm’s first sedan product that started to sell in China only in March.NIO’s delivery growth in June has been driven by two models especially: The ET7 which has seen month-over-month delivery growth of a massive 154.8% and the ES6 which saw a delivery increase of 73.7% on a monthly basis. NIO’s ES6 model still has the largest delivery share (currently 39.3%) and NIO produces by far the largest number of SUVs in the ES6 product line. But because of the surge in demand for electric vehicle sedans, going forward, the ET7 is set to replace NIO’s ES6 as the most important vehicle in NIO’s product portfolio. With NIO’s ET5 deliveries expected to start in September, the electric vehicle start-up could generate about half of its deliveries and sales from sedans, not SUVs, by year-end.The share of ET7 deliveries has consistently increased throughout the second-quarter as well: in April, May and June, the delivery shares of the ET7 were 13.7%, 24.3% and 33.6%. Considering that NIO will add sedan volume through the ET5, especially in the fourth quarter, sedan deliveries are likely going to be the biggest driver for NIO’s delivery growth in the second half of 2022 and beyond.NIO has long-term potential, but short-term setbacks should be expectedNIO’s valuation today is much cheaper than a year ago. During the pandemic, shares of NIO traded as high as $65. But investors appear to have stopped caring much about NIO’s delivery growth prospects lately which is understandable considering that EV deliveries have slowed down industry-wide in the first quarter. While short-term setbacks have to be expected, especially regarding new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, NIO’s growth prospects are attractive in the long term.NIO is expected to grow revenues 60% this year to $9.07B, indicating a price-to-sales ratio of 3.8X. The forward P-S ratio, based on expected sales of $15.96B, implies a P-S ratio of 2.2X and revenue growth of 76%... so the market even expects an acceleration in revenue growth in FY 2023.Data by YChartsRisks with NIOThe biggest risk for NIO, as I see it, is a volatile short-term delivery pattern that makes it hard for the market to predict NIO’s delivery potential with any kind of accuracy. COVID-19 shutdowns are still a threat to electric vehicle manufacturers as well because they could impact manufacturing hubs that produce electric vehicles or dampen demand for NIO’s products. Xi’an, a city of 13M, was partially shut down on Wednesday after a few cases of a new COVID-19 variant have been detected. China’s heavy-handed approach to mitigating the spread of COVID-19 and its variants is a big risk for NIO’s delivery potential as well as the stock in the short term. What would change my mind about NIO is if delivery growth slowed down and the firm's sedan ramp started to disappoint.Final thoughtsNIO’s June ramp in production and deliveries was surprisingly good. The surge in ET7 deliveries is the key take-away for investors, because deliveries started only three months ago and sedans now already account for a third of NIO’s delivery volume. Considering that ET5 deliveries are set to start in September, I believe NIO’s long-term delivery potential, especially in the sedan market, is underrated. However, since NIO faces uncertain short-term delivery prospects due to new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, I have a neutral opinion on NIO.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070155342,"gmtCreate":1657032793486,"gmtModify":1676535935643,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes more bad news, indicating the vultures are picking up the lows,me follow","listText":"Yes more bad news, indicating the vultures are picking up the lows,me follow","text":"Yes more bad news, indicating the vultures are picking up the lows,me follow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070155342","repostId":"1170895202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1170895202","pubTimestamp":1657034675,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170895202?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170895202","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6f92918aa47680d8463b6a5b5f285\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"243\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. That’s up from around 0% just a few months before.</p><p>“The risk of a self-fulfilling recession—and one that can happen as soon as early next year—is higher than before,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Even though household and business balance sheets are strong, worries about the future could cause consumers to pull back, which in turn would lead businesses to hire and invest less.”</p><p>“The risk of a recession in early 2023 has risen substantially,” Wong said.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in June by 75 basis points, the most since 1994, and signaled further increases—potentially of a similar size—in the months ahead. That came on the heels of a 50 basis-point hike in the prior month and cemented a decisively aggressive pivot by the central bank.</p><p>The rapid run-up in borrowing costs, paired with tightening financial conditions and decades-high inflation, has heightened concerns that the Fed—in its attempt to cool the economy and therefore inflation—will ultimately tip the US economy into recession.</p><p><b>Recession Odds Rise</b></p><p>Probability of a US recession within 12 months</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddc6a7bef2b883774c8ff201099e3c9d\" tg-width=\"743\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The rise in recession odds in the latest month can largely be traced to two factors: a moderation in the corporate profit outlook and a significant deterioration in consumer sentiment.</p><p><b>Changing Picture</b></p><p>Selected key indicators from recession probability model</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f579e4b1edabeed518b309e502161669\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Note: ‘Expected change in business conditions’ is an index based to 100. ‘Conference board expectations’ shows the spread between the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index, both where 1985=100.</span></p><p>Financial conditions have tightened considerably in recent months, and corporate profit margins, while still robust, are set to soften somewhat in the second quarter of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. In the wake of steep rate hikes by the Fed, businesses are contending with rising cost of capital.</p><p>Secondly, Americans’ views of future business conditions sharply deteriorated in June. Each month the University of Michigan releases a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment. The June report not only showed a collapse in consumer sentiment to a record low but also a big decline in a gauge of the expected change in business conditions in a year. At 76, that figure is now at one of its lowest readings in records back to 1978.</p><p>Decades-high inflation has particularly weighed on consumer confidence. Americans are facing near-record prices at the pump and ballooning bills at the grocery store. Adjusted for inflation, average hourly earnings have fallen for eight straight months, eroding Americans’ purchasing power and souring their views on the economy. The savings rate is near its lowest level since 2009, and more than half of Americans believe the US is already in recession.</p><p>A recession is certainly not inevitable, but the path to a so-called soft landing—a cooling in economic activity that doesn’t lead to a recession—is becoming increasingly narrow. That may require price growth to slow sharply and would likely be accompanied by a slight rise in unemployment. The Fed is hopeful of such a result, but Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged achieving it will be “very challenging.”</p><p>Should a downturn begin in the next year or two, the pandemic recovery—which began in May 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research—would be the shortest US expansion since the one in 1981-1982, which lasted just 12 months.</p><p>Bloomberg Economics’ year-ahead recession probability model will be updated monthly.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-05 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170895202","content_text":"The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. That’s up from around 0% just a few months before.“The risk of a self-fulfilling recession—and one that can happen as soon as early next year—is higher than before,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Even though household and business balance sheets are strong, worries about the future could cause consumers to pull back, which in turn would lead businesses to hire and invest less.”“The risk of a recession in early 2023 has risen substantially,” Wong said.The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in June by 75 basis points, the most since 1994, and signaled further increases—potentially of a similar size—in the months ahead. That came on the heels of a 50 basis-point hike in the prior month and cemented a decisively aggressive pivot by the central bank.The rapid run-up in borrowing costs, paired with tightening financial conditions and decades-high inflation, has heightened concerns that the Fed—in its attempt to cool the economy and therefore inflation—will ultimately tip the US economy into recession.Recession Odds RiseProbability of a US recession within 12 monthsThe rise in recession odds in the latest month can largely be traced to two factors: a moderation in the corporate profit outlook and a significant deterioration in consumer sentiment.Changing PictureSelected key indicators from recession probability modelNote: ‘Expected change in business conditions’ is an index based to 100. ‘Conference board expectations’ shows the spread between the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index, both where 1985=100.Financial conditions have tightened considerably in recent months, and corporate profit margins, while still robust, are set to soften somewhat in the second quarter of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. In the wake of steep rate hikes by the Fed, businesses are contending with rising cost of capital.Secondly, Americans’ views of future business conditions sharply deteriorated in June. Each month the University of Michigan releases a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment. The June report not only showed a collapse in consumer sentiment to a record low but also a big decline in a gauge of the expected change in business conditions in a year. At 76, that figure is now at one of its lowest readings in records back to 1978.Decades-high inflation has particularly weighed on consumer confidence. Americans are facing near-record prices at the pump and ballooning bills at the grocery store. Adjusted for inflation, average hourly earnings have fallen for eight straight months, eroding Americans’ purchasing power and souring their views on the economy. The savings rate is near its lowest level since 2009, and more than half of Americans believe the US is already in recession.A recession is certainly not inevitable, but the path to a so-called soft landing—a cooling in economic activity that doesn’t lead to a recession—is becoming increasingly narrow. That may require price growth to slow sharply and would likely be accompanied by a slight rise in unemployment. The Fed is hopeful of such a result, but Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged achieving it will be “very challenging.”Should a downturn begin in the next year or two, the pandemic recovery—which began in May 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research—would be the shortest US expansion since the one in 1981-1982, which lasted just 12 months.Bloomberg Economics’ year-ahead recession probability model will be updated monthly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044312002,"gmtCreate":1656716028006,"gmtModify":1676535880316,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044312002","repostId":"2247888600","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2247888600","pubTimestamp":1656687794,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2247888600?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-01 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 Bear Market: Warren Buffett's 2008 Advice Still Holds True","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2247888600","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here's what history can teach us about the current market downturn.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>No two bear markets are identical, but they are similar in many ways.</li><li>Warren Buffett&#39;s advice from 2008 can provide insight into the current market slump.</li><li>The right strategy can protect your money as much as possible.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s not an easy time to be an investor right now. Stock prices have plummeted over the last six months, and many Americans are worried that a recession could be looming. Nobody knows when the market will bottom out or how long it might take to recover, which only adds to many investors&#39; concerns.</p><p>Sometimes, though, looking back on previous downturns can make it easier to get through the current one. Back in 2008, at the height of the Great Recession, Warren Buffett wrote an opinion piece for <i>TheNew York Times.</i> His advice is just as relevant today, and it could help make this downturn more bearable.</p><p><b>Bear markets are buying opportunities</b></p><p>It may seem counterintuitive to invest when stock prices are at their lowest. But Buffett has long encouraged investors to buy during downturns to take advantage of the inevitable upswing. In the 2008 <i>New York Times</i> piece, he said, &#34;In short, bad news is an investor&#39;s best friend. It lets you buy a slice of America&#39;s future at a marked-down price.&#34;</p><p>Back in 2008, nobody knew what would happen with the market. The country was experiencing one of the worst economic downturns in history, and it was tough for investors to stay optimistic.</p><p>However, after stock prices hit rock bottom in March 2009, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> saw returns of nearly 70% over just the following year. The best way to earn those types of returns is to invest when the market is at its worst and simply wait it out.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00b476677a78f440603962e0b2becb65\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"410\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>^SPX data by YCharts</span></p><p>Of course, every bear market is different, and there are no guarantees that the S&amp;P 500 will see similar gains after this slump. But the market will recover eventually, and by investing now, you can take advantage of the inevitable rebound.</p><p><b>Keeping a long-term outlook</b></p><p>Investing when prices are low is only one part of the equation. It&#39;s also critical to hold those investments for at least several years as the market recovers.</p><p>Back in 2008, Buffett emphasized that while he couldn&#39;t say how the market would perform over the short term, he was confident stock prices would rebound. And when they did, those who stayed in the market saw the biggest payoffs. He said at the time: &#34;[B]usinesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records five, 10 and 20 years from now.&#34;</p><p>Again, the current bear market is different from the Great Recession in many ways, so the recovery may look different than it did a decade ago. But historically, every single bear market has eventually given way to a bull market, and long-term investors have reaped the rewards.</p><p><b>Patience pays off</b></p><p>It&#39;s not easy to invest right now, and this downturn has shaken even experienced investors. But if previous sell-offs have taught us anything, it&#39;s that the market can recover from just about anything. That means those with the most patience will be rewarded over time.</p><p>Every market downturn will be different, but the overall lessons are the same. If you can afford it, continuing to invest right now will pay off down the road. And by maintaining a long-term outlook and investing in strong companies, you&#39;ll be on your way to building lifelong wealth in the stock market.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 Bear Market: Warren Buffett's 2008 Advice Still Holds True</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 Bear Market: Warren Buffett's 2008 Advice Still Holds True\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/30/sp-500-bear-market-warren-buffetts-2008-advice-sti/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSNo two bear markets are identical, but they are similar in many ways.Warren Buffett's advice from 2008 can provide insight into the current market slump.The right strategy can protect your ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/30/sp-500-bear-market-warren-buffetts-2008-advice-sti/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/30/sp-500-bear-market-warren-buffetts-2008-advice-sti/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2247888600","content_text":"KEY POINTSNo two bear markets are identical, but they are similar in many ways.Warren Buffett's advice from 2008 can provide insight into the current market slump.The right strategy can protect your money as much as possible.It's not an easy time to be an investor right now. Stock prices have plummeted over the last six months, and many Americans are worried that a recession could be looming. Nobody knows when the market will bottom out or how long it might take to recover, which only adds to many investors' concerns.Sometimes, though, looking back on previous downturns can make it easier to get through the current one. Back in 2008, at the height of the Great Recession, Warren Buffett wrote an opinion piece for TheNew York Times. His advice is just as relevant today, and it could help make this downturn more bearable.Bear markets are buying opportunitiesIt may seem counterintuitive to invest when stock prices are at their lowest. But Buffett has long encouraged investors to buy during downturns to take advantage of the inevitable upswing. In the 2008 New York Times piece, he said, \"In short, bad news is an investor's best friend. It lets you buy a slice of America's future at a marked-down price.\"Back in 2008, nobody knew what would happen with the market. The country was experiencing one of the worst economic downturns in history, and it was tough for investors to stay optimistic.However, after stock prices hit rock bottom in March 2009, the S&P 500 saw returns of nearly 70% over just the following year. The best way to earn those types of returns is to invest when the market is at its worst and simply wait it out.^SPX data by YChartsOf course, every bear market is different, and there are no guarantees that the S&P 500 will see similar gains after this slump. But the market will recover eventually, and by investing now, you can take advantage of the inevitable rebound.Keeping a long-term outlookInvesting when prices are low is only one part of the equation. It's also critical to hold those investments for at least several years as the market recovers.Back in 2008, Buffett emphasized that while he couldn't say how the market would perform over the short term, he was confident stock prices would rebound. And when they did, those who stayed in the market saw the biggest payoffs. He said at the time: \"[B]usinesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records five, 10 and 20 years from now.\"Again, the current bear market is different from the Great Recession in many ways, so the recovery may look different than it did a decade ago. But historically, every single bear market has eventually given way to a bull market, and long-term investors have reaped the rewards.Patience pays offIt's not easy to invest right now, and this downturn has shaken even experienced investors. But if previous sell-offs have taught us anything, it's that the market can recover from just about anything. That means those with the most patience will be rewarded over time.Every market downturn will be different, but the overall lessons are the same. If you can afford it, continuing to invest right now will pay off down the road. And by maintaining a long-term outlook and investing in strong companies, you'll be on your way to building lifelong wealth in the stock market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045597790,"gmtCreate":1656634013910,"gmtModify":1676535866678,"author":{"id":"4093062418763840","authorId":"4093062418763840","name":"asr68","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0e56f102b3b45e4640046df52637852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045597790","repostId":"2248856462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248856462","pubTimestamp":1656630900,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2248856462?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-01 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248856462","media":"Barrons","summary":"The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many inv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.</p><p>In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap index has tumbled 20.6% amid expectations of high inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve, whose rate-hike plans could push the U.S. economy into recession. The last time the S&amp;P 500 fell this much in the first half was in 1970, according to Dow Jones markets data.</p><p>Investor sentiment has tumbled along with stock prices, and many market analysts expect the S&amp;P 500 to slide some more.The 12 bear markets since World War II—not including the current one—lasted an average of 10 months from market peak to trough, with an average drop of 34%.If the current bear market were to follow this pattern, it wouldn’t hit bottom until October.</p><p>Even so, a rebound, when it comes, could be dramatic. Markets tend to perform the best when investors are the gloomiest.</p><p>With its 20.6% loss year to date, the S&amp;P 500 posted its fourth-worst first-half performance on record, only behind 1932, 1962, and 1970, when it lost 45.4%, 23.5%, and 21.0%, respectively.</p><p>Other corners of the stock market are suffering even more. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 indexis down 24% year to date, its worst first half since inception in 1984. That is a much larger drop than the previous records—the 14% fall in the first half of 2020 due to the pandemic shock and the 10% loss in the first half of 2008 amid the global financial crisis.</p><p>Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has plunged 29.5% year to date, also the worst first half of a year on record since its inception in 1971. The sharp fall has outpaced the 25% drop in the first half of 2002 at the height of the dot-com bubble burst, and the 24% loss in the first half of 1973 after the U.S. stopped exchanging dollars for gold and saw a prolonged period of inflation.</p><p>Tech companies are experiencing a particularly steep dive, but there is hardly any corner of refuge in the stock market. The recession fear has pushed 10 out of 11 sectors into the red territory, led by consumer discretionary and communication services—things people often cut first when they need to tighten the belt. Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&amp;P 500 have fallen 33%, while communications services are down 30%.</p><p>Energy stocks were the only ones that posted gains in the first half on the back of soaring oil prices, but even that sector has lost its momentum since June. Although energy companies are still pocketing record profits today, traders are quite aware that a recession would drag down demand, curb oil prices, and cut into their earnings. The S&amp;P 500’s energy sector has tumbled 22% in the past three weeks, but still trades 28% higher than where it was at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4e2b054b20b2cf34312e2f14d032869\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Although the overall market has performed better in the past two weeks, many are worried that things could take a worse turn in the second half of the year.</p><p>As of last week, 59% of investors were bearish about where the market is heading in the next six months, only 18% were bullish, according to a weekly sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors. The bearish reading was the sixth highest since the survey started in 1987. At the beginning of June, just 37% were bearish while 32% remained bullish.</p><p>The fear of a lower market is largely due to anticipations of weaker earnings in the coming months. According to Bank of America’s global fund manager survey in June, 72% of investors expect global profits to worsen over the next 12 months, up 6 percentage points from May and the highest level since September 2008. Investors are telling companies to “play it safe” and strengthen their balance sheets, rather than increase capital expenditure or deliver share buybacks.</p><p>“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” wrote Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson last week. A full-fledged recession could push the S&amp;P 500 to bottom near 2900, or more than 23% below its current level, according to Wilson.</p><p>Other Wall Street giants have similar expectations. Goldman Sachs strategists said stocks are only pricing in a modest recession, leaving them open to a further worsening in expectations. Bank of America said the S&amp;P 500 could bottom as low as 3000 in a worst-case scenario.</p><p>If there is any silver lining to these dim expectations, it’s worth noting that investor sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. Historically, unusually bearish sentiment—a sign of fearand cautious behaviors—tends to be followed by above-average market returns, while overly bullish sentiment—a sign of greed and risk taking—is often followed by below-average returns.</p><p>Indeed, during previous years when the S&amp;P 500 was down at least 15% at the midway point of the year, the index has finished higher in the final six months every single time, with an average return of nearly 24%. “Although most investors probably don’t feel like that is possible in 2022, just remember history says a surprise bullish move is possible,” wrote LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick last week.</p><p>Citianalysts, for one, believe the second half of the year could bring “low double digit upside” gains in the S&amp;P 500. The market has mostly priced in the Fed’s planned rate hikes and their effects on stock valuations, wrote the analysts in a research note last week. Any signs of economic slowdown could help alleviate concerns about inflation and more hawkish Fed moves.</p><p>Meanwhile, they believe that companies should have enough pricing power to pass the rising costs to consumers, which means margins might hold up better than expected. “Better-than-feared earnings and signs of peaking rates, combined with bearish investor positioning, support a positive [second half] risk/reward set up,” they wrote.</p><p>Although Citi has lowered its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 4200 from 4700, it’s still much higher than many of its peers. The index finished at 3785.38 points after Thursday’s close.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 07:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248856462","content_text":"The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap index has tumbled 20.6% amid expectations of high inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve, whose rate-hike plans could push the U.S. economy into recession. The last time the S&P 500 fell this much in the first half was in 1970, according to Dow Jones markets data.Investor sentiment has tumbled along with stock prices, and many market analysts expect the S&P 500 to slide some more.The 12 bear markets since World War II—not including the current one—lasted an average of 10 months from market peak to trough, with an average drop of 34%.If the current bear market were to follow this pattern, it wouldn’t hit bottom until October.Even so, a rebound, when it comes, could be dramatic. Markets tend to perform the best when investors are the gloomiest.With its 20.6% loss year to date, the S&P 500 posted its fourth-worst first-half performance on record, only behind 1932, 1962, and 1970, when it lost 45.4%, 23.5%, and 21.0%, respectively.Other corners of the stock market are suffering even more. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 indexis down 24% year to date, its worst first half since inception in 1984. That is a much larger drop than the previous records—the 14% fall in the first half of 2020 due to the pandemic shock and the 10% loss in the first half of 2008 amid the global financial crisis.Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has plunged 29.5% year to date, also the worst first half of a year on record since its inception in 1971. The sharp fall has outpaced the 25% drop in the first half of 2002 at the height of the dot-com bubble burst, and the 24% loss in the first half of 1973 after the U.S. stopped exchanging dollars for gold and saw a prolonged period of inflation.Tech companies are experiencing a particularly steep dive, but there is hardly any corner of refuge in the stock market. The recession fear has pushed 10 out of 11 sectors into the red territory, led by consumer discretionary and communication services—things people often cut first when they need to tighten the belt. Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&P 500 have fallen 33%, while communications services are down 30%.Energy stocks were the only ones that posted gains in the first half on the back of soaring oil prices, but even that sector has lost its momentum since June. Although energy companies are still pocketing record profits today, traders are quite aware that a recession would drag down demand, curb oil prices, and cut into their earnings. The S&P 500’s energy sector has tumbled 22% in the past three weeks, but still trades 28% higher than where it was at the beginning of the year.Although the overall market has performed better in the past two weeks, many are worried that things could take a worse turn in the second half of the year.As of last week, 59% of investors were bearish about where the market is heading in the next six months, only 18% were bullish, according to a weekly sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors. The bearish reading was the sixth highest since the survey started in 1987. At the beginning of June, just 37% were bearish while 32% remained bullish.The fear of a lower market is largely due to anticipations of weaker earnings in the coming months. According to Bank of America’s global fund manager survey in June, 72% of investors expect global profits to worsen over the next 12 months, up 6 percentage points from May and the highest level since September 2008. Investors are telling companies to “play it safe” and strengthen their balance sheets, rather than increase capital expenditure or deliver share buybacks.“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” wrote Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson last week. A full-fledged recession could push the S&P 500 to bottom near 2900, or more than 23% below its current level, according to Wilson.Other Wall Street giants have similar expectations. Goldman Sachs strategists said stocks are only pricing in a modest recession, leaving them open to a further worsening in expectations. Bank of America said the S&P 500 could bottom as low as 3000 in a worst-case scenario.If there is any silver lining to these dim expectations, it’s worth noting that investor sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. Historically, unusually bearish sentiment—a sign of fearand cautious behaviors—tends to be followed by above-average market returns, while overly bullish sentiment—a sign of greed and risk taking—is often followed by below-average returns.Indeed, during previous years when the S&P 500 was down at least 15% at the midway point of the year, the index has finished higher in the final six months every single time, with an average return of nearly 24%. “Although most investors probably don’t feel like that is possible in 2022, just remember history says a surprise bullish move is possible,” wrote LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick last week.Citianalysts, for one, believe the second half of the year could bring “low double digit upside” gains in the S&P 500. The market has mostly priced in the Fed’s planned rate hikes and their effects on stock valuations, wrote the analysts in a research note last week. Any signs of economic slowdown could help alleviate concerns about inflation and more hawkish Fed moves.Meanwhile, they believe that companies should have enough pricing power to pass the rising costs to consumers, which means margins might hold up better than expected. “Better-than-feared earnings and signs of peaking rates, combined with bearish investor positioning, support a positive [second half] risk/reward set up,” they wrote.Although Citi has lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 4200 from 4700, it’s still much higher than many of its peers. The index finished at 3785.38 points after Thursday’s close.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[],"lives":[]}