多鱼先生
多鱼先生
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What does bond know?

This graph displays the relationship between two economic indicators over time: 1. US 10s Yield (white line) - This represents the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds, shown on the right axis. 2. Citi Economic Surprise Index - USA (orange line) - This index measures how economic data releases compare to economists' expectations. It's shown on the left axis. Key observations: 1. The US 10s Yield has been fluctuating, with recent trends showing a decrease. This suggests falling interest rates on long-term U.S. government bonds. 2. The Citi Economic Surprise Index for the USA has been volatile but is currently in negative territory (below 0). This indicates that recent economic data releases have been worse than economists' expectations. 3. There appears to be some correlation between the tw
What does bond know?
Unemployment rate last recorded at 4.0, beat expectations of 3.9 and going uptrend. The thing is, according to historical patterns, unemployment rate is a heavily delayed data, it means once it goes up it will accelerate going uptrend. Interesting election period we have, let's see if the administration able to skew or suppress the upcoming rates. Buckle up.
The first 15 days of July have been the best two-week trading period for the S&P since 1928.

2024 Presidential Race Betting Odds: Implications for Financial Markets

Image The latest RealClearPolitics betting average for the 2024 U.S. presidential race shows significant shifts that could impact various market sectors. Here's what we should consider: Trump's Surge: With a 52.2% betting average, Trump has gained 18.5 points, now leading Biden by a substantial margin. This trend could benefit sectors that typically perform well under Republican administrations, such as energy, defense, and financial services. Biden's Decline: Biden's odds have fallen to 33.7%, potentially signaling decreased confidence in current economic policies. Traders might consider hedging against potential policy shifts in clean energy, healthcare, and infrastructure sectors. Other Candidates: While trailing significantly, candidates like Newsom (3.8%) and Kennedy (2.2%) repres
2024 Presidential Race Betting Odds: Implications for Financial Markets
avatar多鱼先生
2023-12-14
avatar多鱼先生
2023-12-15
Cutting rates would ease thise cash flow hungry companies, small cap techs like $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ , also aviation sector $U.S. Global Jets ETF(JETS)$ and cruise sector that heavily hammered by covid previously $嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$ $皇家加勒比邮轮(RCL)$, housing related would be great too, definitely regional banks ..
@ETF唔係ET虎:【🎁ETF掘金】小盤股與半導體ETF悄悄崛起中,明年係小盤股之年?
avatar多鱼先生
2023-12-13
I am kinda proud my portfolio managed to outperform$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  both bear and bull period, making it 71% better than it and with a fairly low volatility rate. I am still fine tuning my algorithm, adding/removing economic factors and their weights, hopefully to maintain and achieve better sharpe ratio.[Yummy]   I have recently accepted the invitation by tiger to share my trading details. I would share more on the what and how when there are more followers. ;)
Super core CPI is NEGATIVE!  This has provided for whatever Janet and Jerome want to do next.
avatar多鱼先生
2023-10-25
Well Microsoft is very good at B2B especially when come to large corporate and government. It has very well established partner network worldwide.  On the other hand, Google B2B is infamous. Poorly managed and poorly organized, much worst than many companies, and definitely worst than Salesforce. Therefore not suprising its cloud business is falling behind.
avatar多鱼先生
2022-07-06
avatar多鱼先生
2022-07-06
avatar多鱼先生
2022-01-04
@Daily_Discussion:🔥[Jan.4]Share your transactions today with others >>
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 14.8% in May. slightly above$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   since greed and fear gauge is still at around fear, probably June will be minimally positive? Not sure. Hmm.
avatar多鱼先生
2023-12-02
avatar多鱼先生
2022-04-10
What do u think ?

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