$Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ This is a hidden gem, top mover of the year. Grab this back when the market was dumping due to recession fear. $140 by end of year? Good stock to position for both AI and War. When AI is up, this is up. When war/oil is up, this is also up. Double the upward trend.
$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ Profit Taking Routine Based on the volatility indicators of QCOM and the inverse relationship with NVDA and AMD, most investors are taking profits to position for cheap AMD recovery and to position for NVDA’s earning calls. With the strong guidance ahead beating estimates, we think that QCOM will continue to rise after the initial profit taking session for today is over. Upside potential of 185-190 is clear given that the certainty of the current quarter is established, we anticipate traders to rotate back later next week. With such a strong results and currently cheap price relative to historical price, QCOM is still a good stock to hold. Similarly, AMD suffers an even crazier drop after earnings b
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Is AMD less promising than Intel? With the kind of YoY growth AMD is having for AI datacenters, investors need to make up their minds and be rationale that AMD’s earnings really aren’t as bad as what they think. More optimism is needed for AMD. The unbelievable growth that SMCI used to promise, we all can see how it all plunges down now. Intel is akin to ford, there is just no comeback in this race. 2nd place symptoms: - In search, Only Google. There is no 2nd company. - In consumer phone, Only Apple in US. There is no 2nd place within US. - In E-commerce marketplace, only Amazon in US. There is no 2nd place within US. - In EV, only Tesla, There is no 2nd place within US. Rivian an
$Crocs(CROX)$ The innovator's dilemma: have they failed yet? Known for its daring design that makes an impact on Gen Z redefining shoes designs for a whole generation, Crocs have been the innovator in this space and have shown past successes in innovation (Jibbitz, Echo Clogs, Platform Clogs). We have seen several successful iterations of their ideas across different shoes types. From the perspective that Crocs aren't cheap and in this environment where consumers are holding back, where Coca Cola and McDonald facing consumers changes in preferences and Nike facing innovation issues, Crocs still continue on their strong position despite all these obstacles. The focus on HeyDude which is a small segment of Crocs does
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Weak Forecast or Realistic Forecast without inflating prices? Deciphering the recent semiconductor surge and dumps before AMD earnings. As geopolitical tensions, fed cuts uncertainties, and election uncertainties looms, we saw several companies (Eli Lilly, AMD, Chipotle, etc) keeping a more conservative outlook for the next quarter just to keep things realistic. We see this as a good sign that prevents further escalation of inflation which is aligned with the Fed Reserve's focus of reviving job market without causing inflation again. A lot of investors are still not coming to terms with that and trying to make sense out of this earning season hence the dumping starts. If thos
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Unrealistic Earrnings Expectations Present Strong Buy Opportunity We are presented yet again with another quarter of unrealistic growth expectations that will reward realistic traders in the long term. With the results of Q3 presented in the charts below, we can see that AMD had a whopping 17% growth this quarter with Data Center Revenue soaring 122% YoY. With such a strong growth in their AI development, we are surprised by the lack of enthusiasm from AI-focused investors. And AMD's improved AI growth forecast in 2025, steadiness wins the race in an uncertain environment. With consumer sectors showing a slow in growth in quarter, this presents a strong buying opportunity for
$Lam Research(LRCX)$ $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ False Alarm Triggered Today: Single Data Point Dip With Stop-Losses Triggered The market dips today as investors take in the House Sales Numbers for September, making the same mistake as they did previously when they overreact to single data point again, hence triggering stop-losses for multiple hedge funds portfolio. Looking at the start of the earnings quarter, the report is mixed across companies and unlikely to see consistent performance in a sector other than banking sector. The over
$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ Attack on Qualcomm AI potential With ARM’s latest deal to provide Apple with next-generation V9 chip design, Qualcomm’s latest push to bring Nuvia’s design to Snapdragon chips for smartphones threatens ARM’s potential market share. We view the latest cancellation threat as a competitive move to slow down Qualcomm’s expansions into AI. However, these disputes with regards to Nuvia’s work started in 2021 with Qualcomm’s acquisition of Nuvia. Qualcomm is a M&Q expert that have tried to make bold acquisition moves in the past, including Broadcom, and we saw a few of their successful acquisitions that pushes the company’s growth over the years. Due to this strategy, Qualcomm has a balanced portfolio
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Punish the 1st runner-up AMD has always been a tough and resilent stock over the years. When compared to NVDA, AMD seems less appealing and Wall street has the tendency to punish the 2nd best. However, when compared to Intel, which used to be the leader in semi, AMD would be considered a great success. The rotation from AMD to NVDA is only temporary and is a great opportunity to buy the dip. This dip is caused by the strong push in NVDA and investors being cautious before earring calls. In the long run, we see 2 winners championing different AI customer segments. We expect AMD to do well again this earnings just like TSMC as AI demand is still strong. We support the 2 winners perspe
$Bank of America(BAC)$ Did Buffet make a big mistake? Weekly Forecast for 14-18 Oct We previously anticipated a less positive week for the previous week as inflation data and Middle-East were primarily the key bearish factors. However, even with a less than impressive inflation data, we still saw a very strong positive week with some bullish signals: Fear&Greed Index now at Greed(74) edging very close to extreme Greed, and the Vix futures at below 20. The rallies last week could also be driven by the shift back from Chinese Market as the Chinese Government did not introduce any additional stimulus. With bank and TSM earnings this week, can BAC do a miracle call like JPM? With lower interest income
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Weekly Forecast for 7-12 Oct: we have correctly forecast the previous week movement. For this week, the market will start the week with bears selling due to fresh attacks by Israel over this weekend. A few key points this week are: Continued tensions in middle-east, inflation data, banks earning calls. When it comes to the perspective of Israel-Iran conflict, we expect continued uncertainties this week to continue to drag the market down. Oil/energy stocks will continue to rally this week, while Macron's arms embargo view might see some minor pullback for defense sector. But we don't think an actual arms embargo will happen between US-Israel right now. With the strong job report last week, we ant
$Nike(NKE)$ Nike investors need to be more patient with the upcoming changes. We still recommend Nike in the long term as we see the commitment that the CEO is undertaking to improve innovation and bottom line. Overfocusing on revenue alone will hurt the progress and work that is needed for Nike's CEO to overhaul the company. There are some fundamental issues that need to be solved and it won't happen in just one quarter. It is admirable for the new CEO to let go of short-term Wall Street approvals and stay focused on long-term goals. For now, we think Nike is on the right track. Follow us for more up-to-date perspectives
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Currently don't really see any of these short-term issues affecting the long-term of NVDA and broader market. Based on our past experiences, this is a good entry for those who missed the Micron Rally earlier. The concerns of the pending job reports, war in Middle-East, and China rallies are overdone. The war in middle-east has been ongoing for awhile now, and we see that Israel is getting closer to their objectives. Even though Gaza was the trigger point, Iran is actually the real culprit behind this. A direct confrontation might not be able to avoid, but we don't expect other middle-eastern countries getting involved other than Iran. Chinese rallies are strong but the underlying issu
$JD.com(JD)$ Will this hit $60? Cost is less than zero, when is the next entry coming soon? [Miser] [Miser] One month back when Walmart exited JD, JD was the only Chinese e-commerce with improved margins. It was strange that traders were dumping this, and I manage to scoop up some of these when it was 20+ only. Follow us for more of our perspectives
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Will China's guidance on avoiding Nvidia Chips be an issue during the Chinese Stocks Rally? First Week of Oct would be a volatile week, but we anticipate gains at the end of week. Ahead of major job data coming out, we don't anticipate much deviations from previous data as the effect of the rate cut won't be immediate. We do anticipate a market sell-off at the start of the week due to uncertainties, sector rotation, and investors' demand for 50bps cut next meeting. But the bearish sentiments and narratives wouldn't hold up long against the dip-buying momentum if such opportunities arise. China is said to have given guidance to reduce the reliance of Nvidia chips. We don't anticipate any nea
$JD.com(JD)$ Glad to enter early in 2023, enter and exit a few times based on good timing. The current optimism is too high, expect it to slowdown a little later. Waiting for it to reach $50 and slow down for the next entry. [Cool] [Cool]
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Micron's rally loses steam as Improved Economic Data for this week triggered market rotation out of Nasdaq into Chinese ADR, Russell2000 and Dow Jones at the end of week
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ SMCI's complications affects NVDA's momentum, should you be worried? With the support at $120, moving in the range of $120-$127, we see this recent dip from overbought too fast situation as a good buying opportunity. There are some speculations around SMCI being one of NVDA's biggest clients. However we find it not to be true, it in latest and past FS clearly defines what is the definition of direct customers: We refer to customers who purchase products directly from NVIDIA as direct customers, such as add-in board manufacturers, distributors, original device manufacturers, or ODMs, original equipment manufacturers, or OEMs, and system integrators. We have certain customers that may purchase pro
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Semiconductors stocks halt its Early Morning rally due to US Justice Deparment probes into SMCI, causing a halt in SMCI trading after a 13% dip. SMCI will continue to be very violatile and very worse after its stock split. We advise to not trade SMCI until its investigations are cleared. We anticipate the stock split might even be canceled if the stock price continues to fall.