$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Drop 1.7% pre-market, what's now? Blackwell problem, supply chain breakdown? Feds not giving 50bps cut? or Growth is not 200%? What the babies need again this time? [Happy]  [Happy]  

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Still below post-earning resistance price ($120) but expect it to break through and stay above resistance by next week. Starting to see stronger support between 117-118. But need a stronger support at 119. Market is concerned about its valuation and not too convinced about its next earnings call. We do believe the concerns are overweighted at this point, and rally will build up more in October. We expect to see better earnings calls next quarter due to the improved economic conditions which will create more optimistism. TSM, AMD, AVGO, and AMAT have more robust support at this point. Due to their lower prices, investors focused more on those stocks as they believe NVDA is currently Overhyped. We

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Thanks for the big discount. People are getting nervous just because CEO is selling stocks. Market getting emotional like Jensen is leaving Nvidia. Founded in 1993, Jensen has been working for 31 years and now he is collecting his due payment for his vision and hard work. Believe in him to continue guiding Nvidia for the next 30years. Market reacting like Nvidia is losing leadership [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [LOL]  this is nothing when compared to Elon's 3Billion sales in 2022.  2T market cap for the CEO and cofounder to get 400mil. Compared to Elon's 60billion pay package??!! [Facepalm]  [LOL]  [Silence] If Jensen Huang doesn't believe in the growth of Nvid

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Consumer Confidence Index fell in September to 98.7, largest decline since August 2021. This triggers the abrupt swing from gains in the day to losses, which quickly switch to bull market again. Bear's perspective: labor market is weakening Bull's perspective: The sentiment is not as bad and not indicative of recession. Post rate cut will see an improvement in Oct. Plus the news of end of Jensen Huang's stock sales. What is Consumer Confidence Index and is it important?  Conducted by Nielsen, it is basically a monthly market research that comprises of 5 questions about present situation and expectations 6 months from now. What's the current sentiments? Current assessment of business conditions turned negative,

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Persistent big big swings between bulls and bears in the day. Bears are still selling the perspective that the rate cut is late and it is too late to save the labor market. This week's Fed talks might help to alleviate some of those concerns.  We are seeing strong spike in oil and gas due to energy required by AI data centers, and also triggered by the escalation in Israeli air strikes on Lebanon. Energy stocks maintain red strong going into the election, and valuable for the bears' perspective of a looming recession. S&P500 has hit all-time high, but Nasdaq is still below it's all-time high in July. We are also seeing a broader market gain in stocks like Nike, Walmart, Alibaba, AirBnB.

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  Punish the 1st runner-up AMD has always been a tough and resilent stock over the years. When compared to NVDA, AMD seems less appealing and Wall street has the tendency to punish the 2nd best. However, when compared to Intel, which used to be the leader in semi, AMD would be considered a great success. The rotation from AMD to NVDA is only temporary and is a great opportunity to buy the dip. This dip is caused by the strong push in NVDA and investors being cautious before earring calls. In the long run, we see 2 winners championing different AI customer segments. We expect AMD to do well again this earnings just like TSMC as AI demand is still strong. We support the 2 winners perspe

$Nike(NKE)$  Nike investors need to be more patient with the upcoming changes. We still recommend Nike in the long term as we see the commitment that the CEO is undertaking to improve innovation and bottom line. Overfocusing on revenue alone will hurt the progress and work that is needed for Nike's CEO to overhaul the company. There are some fundamental issues that need to be solved and it won't happen in just one quarter. It is admirable for the new CEO to let go of short-term Wall Street approvals and stay focused on long-term goals. For now, we think Nike is on the right track. Follow us for more up-to-date perspectives 

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  SMCI's complications affects NVDA's momentum, should you be worried? With the support at $120, moving in the range of $120-$127, we see this recent dip from overbought too fast situation as a good buying opportunity. There are some speculations around SMCI being one of NVDA's biggest clients. However we find it not to be true, it in latest and past FS clearly defines what is the definition of direct customers: We refer to customers who purchase products directly from NVIDIA as direct customers, such as add-in board manufacturers, distributors, original device manufacturers, or ODMs, original equipment manufacturers, or OEMs, and system integrators. We have certain customers that may purchase pro

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  very clear PUMP AND DUMP pattern has been spotted in the past few days for Nvidia shares. It is not recommend to enter until we see the price closes above 120, where bigger players start to come in. Speculators are pumping the flunctuations between 115-119, and we think this will continue. [Anger]  [Anger]   NVIDIA still has a lot of upside to $130, but the support for it is very weak now as there is a lack of bull volume.The pump is possibly manipulated by whales to create FOMO. This is because there are a lot of expectations for it to reach 130 and they are making use of it to pump and dump. The other semiconductor stocks also have flunctuations but it is not as apparent as

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Dipping into heavily discounted territory due to unjustified cyclical self-fulfilling fears In September. Testing faith of long term investors in the company, we have seen that some of the strongest rally comes after Sept irrational fears. These are the past record/reward after September dips: 2023: 40.98 => 47.59 = 16.12% 2022: 10.80 => 18.779 = 73% 2021: 19.52 => 34.58 = 77% We have seen in the past 3 years and beyond that investors regretted selling too much in September due to irrationality, then it create a strong forward rally later due to FOMO of overselling. For example in 2023, the previous low in mid Sept(21 Sept) was followed by a strong rally to 47.59(12 Oct). This rally cont

$JD.com(JD)$  Glad to enter early in 2023, enter and exit a few times based on good timing. The current optimism is too high, expect it to slowdown a little later. Waiting for it to reach $50 and slow down for the next entry. [Cool]  [Cool]  

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  GROWTH! Growth is still growth in this limited growth economy. As the gamblers leave the center stage to bet on small caps and big caps, JP Morgan studies have shown that growth stocks still have better returns 12 months after the first rate cut.  Given the current outlook of a soft landing, Nvidia would have even more cash-flow for debt financing once rate is lowered which deepens their competitive edge and product offerings even more. The market is demanding too much growth that is not sensible at all. Which other growth companies have this much growth during high rate period as NVDA?  A better metrics for investment would be to measure its long term growth consistency in the industr

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  RSI readings for Semiconductor sector as NVDA stays above $120 support. As we have correctly anticipated investors' return to NVDA stocks last week with a support at $120 (please see our pinned post), we anticipate continued rally next week as Oct will welcome back those who have exited during September's exodus. So far the data (new home sales) has been looking good, we expect to see a less stellar jobless claim report today at 8.30pm SGT. The tag of war between bulls and bears will continue until late Oct as businesses and consumers will slowly take in the effect of the latest 50BPS cut. More violatility would be expected if job data didn't stabilize by late Oct. With that in mind, the market is gradually pricing in the

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$  Profit Taking Routine Based on the volatility indicators of QCOM and the inverse relationship with NVDA and AMD, most investors are taking profits to position for cheap AMD recovery and to position for NVDA’s earning calls. With the strong guidance ahead beating estimates, we think that QCOM will continue to rise after the initial profit taking session for today is over. Upside potential of 185-190 is clear given that the certainty of the current quarter is established, we anticipate traders to rotate back later next week. With such a strong results and currently cheap price relative to historical price, QCOM is still a good stock to hold. Similarly, AMD suffers an even crazier drop after earnings b

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  High-tech Companies like Nvidia are recession-proof. They sell to businesses not consumers, and those businesses like Meta all have cashflow like banks. Plus they are market leaders and won't be overtaken so soon. Google kept growing back in 2008 during the previous recession.[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]  

$Crocs(CROX)$  The innovator's dilemma: have they failed yet? Known for its daring design that makes an impact on Gen Z redefining shoes designs for a whole generation, Crocs have been the innovator in this space and have shown past successes in innovation (Jibbitz, Echo Clogs, Platform Clogs). We have seen several successful iterations of their ideas across different shoes types. From the perspective that Crocs aren't cheap and in this environment where consumers are holding back, where Coca Cola and McDonald facing consumers changes in preferences and Nike facing innovation issues, Crocs still continue on their strong position despite all these obstacles. The focus on HeyDude which is a small segment of Crocs does

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Quick Update: pumping by market manipulators is starting again. Beware that the Fed decision could cause a 1-2% change in market on either up or downside. 

$Crocs(CROX)$  Knowing when to enter, exit and re-enter. Not just time in market but also timing the market. Most of the stocks were picked up during the dip when Nike and Footlocker affected the consumer/shoes sector, where we saw the opportunity to grab the dip. Nike was on a trail of decline in customer engagement and innovation. We will periodically update our perspective on market dynamics. Follow us [Cool]