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04-27 11:45

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!

03-22

$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ Finally 😎

2022-11-04

$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Management team should be sacked!!

2022-10-14

$Metaverse & AR(BK4554)$

2022-10-13

$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$This stock is not going down and down

2022-10-13

$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔

2022-10-06

$Walt Disney(DIS)$View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish

2022-09-30

$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!

2022-09-30

$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!

2022-09-30

Good

Here’s What $10,000 Can Buy For You in The Straits Times Index

2022-09-06

Like

Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue

2022-08-31

Thank you!

US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry

2022-08-25

Let's wait.

Nvidia: Disaster Guidance

2022-08-23

Thanks

3 Stocks to Avoid This Week

2022-08-16

Thanks for sharing 👍

Disney Has a Long Way to Go to Catch Up to Netflix

2022-07-21

$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299704678760496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":286977676492960,"gmtCreate":1711085341784,"gmtModify":1711085347005,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a> Finally 😎","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a> Finally 😎","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ Finally 😎","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/dd41588490af040db63c54a72269b789","width":"618","height":"1066"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/286977676492960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984330761,"gmtCreate":1667529675153,"gmtModify":1676537932694,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Management team should be sacked!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Management team should be sacked!!","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Management team should be sacked!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984330761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980831434,"gmtCreate":1665703023328,"gmtModify":1676537650315,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BK4554\">$Metaverse &amp; AR(BK4554)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BK4554\">$Metaverse &amp; AR(BK4554)$</a>","text":"$Metaverse & AR(BK4554)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980831434","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980310810,"gmtCreate":1665648163430,"gmtModify":1676537642506,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>This stock is not going down and down&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>This stock is not going down and down&nbsp;","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$This stock is not going down and down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980310810","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980337953,"gmtCreate":1665647909672,"gmtModify":1676537642448,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980337953","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915854966,"gmtCreate":1665014745355,"gmtModify":1676537543507,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915854966","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916359006,"gmtCreate":1664515898006,"gmtModify":1676537470143,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916359006","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916324889,"gmtCreate":1664515506142,"gmtModify":1676537470022,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916324889","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916388491,"gmtCreate":1664510701813,"gmtModify":1676537469094,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916388491","repostId":"1113143952","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113143952","pubTimestamp":1656299199,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113143952?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-27 11:06","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Here’s What $10,000 Can Buy For You in The Straits Times Index","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113143952","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"If you are looking to invest in reliable, established businesses, look no further than blue-chip sto","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If you are looking to invest in reliable, established businesses, look no further than blue-chip stocks.</p><p>These companies have proven their resilience through different economic cycles and are able to provide investors with a steady rate of return.</p><p>In Singapore, the <b>Straits Times Index</b>(SGX: ^STI), or STI, contains the top 30 blue-chips listed on the <b>Singapore Exchange</b>(SGX: S68).</p><p>You can invest in the STI by buying ETFs such as the <b>SPDR STI ETF</b>(SGX: ES3).</p><p>This ETF mimics the components of the STI, and currently offers a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 2.9%.</p><p>In this article, we take a look at what a S$10,000 investment in the STI will buy you.</p><p><i>(all figures are accurate as of 23 June 2022)</i></p><p><b>S$1,856 of DBS Group (SGX: D05)</b></p><p>DBS is Southeast Asia’s largest bank by assets, and one of the “Big Three” local banks in Singapore.</p><p>The lender recently reported an exceptional set of earnings.</p><p>In its fiscal 2022 first quarter (1Q2022) report, DBS posted a net profit of S$1.8 billion, the second-highest in its history.</p><p>The excellent results come on the back of a record-breaking year in FY2021, where the bank delivered record-breaking profits of S$6.8 billion.</p><p><b>S$1,353 of OCBC Ltd (SGX: O39)</b></p><p>OCBC is Singapore’s longest-established bank, and the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia by assets.</p><p>The bank’s 1Q2022 earnings report was a mixed bag.</p><p>During the quarter, OCBC’s net income fell by 9% year on year to S$2.64 billion, with non-interest income falling year on year across all categories.</p><p>Despite the results, the bank’s healthy capital position leave it well poised to capture growth from Asia’s economic recovery.</p><p><b>S$684 of Singtel (SGX: Z74)</b></p><p>Singtel is a leading communications technology company in Asia, serving more than 764 million mobile customers in 21 countries.</p><p>Last year, the telco announced a strategic review to reinvigorate its core businesses and capitalise on new growth trends such as 5G and other digital services.</p><p>While the plan sounds promising, it will take time to pay off.</p><p>In the company’s latest earnings report for the nine months ended 31 December 2021, operating revenue dipped 0.8% year on year to S$11.6 billion, although underlying net profit rose 10.8% year on year to S$1.46 billion.</p><p><b>S$304 of Ascendas REIT (SGX: A17U)</b></p><p>Ascendas REIT, or A-REIT, is one of Singapore’s largest industrial REITs.</p><p>The REIT manages a property portfolio worth S$16.4 billion across Singapore, Australia, US, the UK, and Europe as of 31 March 2022.</p><p>A-REIT has long been a popular investment choice for many new investors because of its well diversified portfolio.</p><p>With a customer base of over 1,620 tenants spread across a multitude of industries, the REIT’s portfolio remained resilient despite the challenges brought by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><b>S$319 of Capitaland Investment Ltd (SGX: 9CI)</b></p><p>CapitaLand Investment, or CLI, is a global real estate investment manager (REIM) with assets under management (AUM) of S$38.7 billion and funds under management (FUM) of S$86 billion as of 31 March 2022.</p><p>CLI has its hands in a wide range of property types, including integrated developments, retail, office, lodging, industrial, logistics, business parks and data centres.</p><p>The REIM aims to grow by expanding its fund and lodging management business while maintaining prudent capital management.</p><p><b>S$150 of Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U)</b></p><p>Mapletree Industrial Trust or MIT, is an industrial REIT that manages 143 properties worth S$8.8 billion across Singapore and North America as of 31 March 2022.</p><p>MIT is favoured by investors who want greater exposure to data centres.</p><p>54.1% of the REIT’s property portfolio by AUM comprises of data centres, with the bulk of them in the US and Canada.</p><p>The REIT also recently released its earnings report for its fiscal year ended 31 March 2022.</p><p>During the year, MIT’s gross revenue grew 36.4% year on year to S$610 million, while net property income (NPI) rose 34.5% year on year to S$472 million.</p><p>In line with the good results, the REIT also raised total distribution per unit (DPU) for the year to S$0.138, 10% higher than the year before.</p><p><b>S$83 of Keppel DC REIT (SGX: AJBU)</b></p><p>Keppel DC REIT is the first pure-play data centre REIT to list in Asia when it was listed on the Singapore Exchange in December 2014.</p><p>Data centres have become a booming asset class in recent years due to rapid digitalization brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>The REIT recently provided its business update for 1Q2022.</p><p>Gross revenue slightly decreased by 0.9% year on year to S$66.1 million, and NPI also fell 1.4% year on year to S$60.1 million.</p><p>However, the REIT managed to raise DPU by 0.2% year on year, paying out S$0.02466 for the quarter.</p><p><b>S$201 of Singapore Technologies Engineering (SGX: S63)</b></p><p>Singapore Technologies Engineering, better known as ST Engineering or STE, is a conglomerate with a wide range of business interests.</p><p>Some of its segments include aerospace, smart city solutions, marine and defence engineering, public security and cybersecurity.</p><p>STE continues to deliver healthy growth across all segments.</p><p>In its business update for 1Q22, STE posted revenue of S$2.0 billion, 13% higher year on year and in line with pre-COVID levels.</p><p>The company also reported a strong order book of S$21.3 million as of 31 March 2022.</p><p><b>S$217 of Singapore Airlines Ltd (SGX: C6L)</b></p><p>Singapore Airlines, or SIA, needs no introduction as Singapore’s national carrier.</p><p>The airline is currently benefiting from higher passenger numbers due to pent-up travel demand as borders around the world continue to reopen.</p><p>In its latest operating report, the group reported that it carried a total of 1.45 million passengers in April 2022, 62.7% higher than the previous month and over 13 times higher than April 2021.</p><p>SIA expects that passenger capacity will continue to increase as it works to meet pent up demand for travel.</p><p><b>S$91 of SATS Ltd (SGX: S58)</b></p><p>SATS provides gateway and food services in Asia and is the chief ground-handling and in-flight catering service provider at Changi Airport.</p><p>The group operates in 55 locations across 14 countries, with over 12,000 employees.</p><p>Similar to SIA, SATS’ business outlook has improved with the wider resumption of air travel.</p><p>In addition, the company has also taken steps during the pandemic to improve its capabilities, including developing ventures for non-travel businesses, and building a central kitchen and innovation centre in India.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602567310727","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What $10,000 Can Buy For You in The Straits Times Index</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What $10,000 Can Buy For You in The Straits Times Index\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-27 11:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/heres-what-10000-can-buy-for-you-in-the-straits-times-index/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are looking to invest in reliable, established businesses, look no further than blue-chip stocks.These companies have proven their resilience through different economic cycles and are able to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/heres-what-10000-can-buy-for-you-in-the-straits-times-index/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AJBU.SI":"吉宝数据中心房地产信托","Z74.SI":"新电信","D05.SI":"星展集团控股","S63.SI":"新科工程","C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司","9CI.SI":"凯德投资","S58.SI":"新翔集团有限公司","O39.SI":"华侨银行","A17U.SI":"凯德腾飞房产信托","ME8U.SI":"丰树工业信托"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/heres-what-10000-can-buy-for-you-in-the-straits-times-index/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113143952","content_text":"If you are looking to invest in reliable, established businesses, look no further than blue-chip stocks.These companies have proven their resilience through different economic cycles and are able to provide investors with a steady rate of return.In Singapore, the Straits Times Index(SGX: ^STI), or STI, contains the top 30 blue-chips listed on the Singapore Exchange(SGX: S68).You can invest in the STI by buying ETFs such as the SPDR STI ETF(SGX: ES3).This ETF mimics the components of the STI, and currently offers a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 2.9%.In this article, we take a look at what a S$10,000 investment in the STI will buy you.(all figures are accurate as of 23 June 2022)S$1,856 of DBS Group (SGX: D05)DBS is Southeast Asia’s largest bank by assets, and one of the “Big Three” local banks in Singapore.The lender recently reported an exceptional set of earnings.In its fiscal 2022 first quarter (1Q2022) report, DBS posted a net profit of S$1.8 billion, the second-highest in its history.The excellent results come on the back of a record-breaking year in FY2021, where the bank delivered record-breaking profits of S$6.8 billion.S$1,353 of OCBC Ltd (SGX: O39)OCBC is Singapore’s longest-established bank, and the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia by assets.The bank’s 1Q2022 earnings report was a mixed bag.During the quarter, OCBC’s net income fell by 9% year on year to S$2.64 billion, with non-interest income falling year on year across all categories.Despite the results, the bank’s healthy capital position leave it well poised to capture growth from Asia’s economic recovery.S$684 of Singtel (SGX: Z74)Singtel is a leading communications technology company in Asia, serving more than 764 million mobile customers in 21 countries.Last year, the telco announced a strategic review to reinvigorate its core businesses and capitalise on new growth trends such as 5G and other digital services.While the plan sounds promising, it will take time to pay off.In the company’s latest earnings report for the nine months ended 31 December 2021, operating revenue dipped 0.8% year on year to S$11.6 billion, although underlying net profit rose 10.8% year on year to S$1.46 billion.S$304 of Ascendas REIT (SGX: A17U)Ascendas REIT, or A-REIT, is one of Singapore’s largest industrial REITs.The REIT manages a property portfolio worth S$16.4 billion across Singapore, Australia, US, the UK, and Europe as of 31 March 2022.A-REIT has long been a popular investment choice for many new investors because of its well diversified portfolio.With a customer base of over 1,620 tenants spread across a multitude of industries, the REIT’s portfolio remained resilient despite the challenges brought by the COVID-19 pandemic.S$319 of Capitaland Investment Ltd (SGX: 9CI)CapitaLand Investment, or CLI, is a global real estate investment manager (REIM) with assets under management (AUM) of S$38.7 billion and funds under management (FUM) of S$86 billion as of 31 March 2022.CLI has its hands in a wide range of property types, including integrated developments, retail, office, lodging, industrial, logistics, business parks and data centres.The REIM aims to grow by expanding its fund and lodging management business while maintaining prudent capital management.S$150 of Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U)Mapletree Industrial Trust or MIT, is an industrial REIT that manages 143 properties worth S$8.8 billion across Singapore and North America as of 31 March 2022.MIT is favoured by investors who want greater exposure to data centres.54.1% of the REIT’s property portfolio by AUM comprises of data centres, with the bulk of them in the US and Canada.The REIT also recently released its earnings report for its fiscal year ended 31 March 2022.During the year, MIT’s gross revenue grew 36.4% year on year to S$610 million, while net property income (NPI) rose 34.5% year on year to S$472 million.In line with the good results, the REIT also raised total distribution per unit (DPU) for the year to S$0.138, 10% higher than the year before.S$83 of Keppel DC REIT (SGX: AJBU)Keppel DC REIT is the first pure-play data centre REIT to list in Asia when it was listed on the Singapore Exchange in December 2014.Data centres have become a booming asset class in recent years due to rapid digitalization brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic.The REIT recently provided its business update for 1Q2022.Gross revenue slightly decreased by 0.9% year on year to S$66.1 million, and NPI also fell 1.4% year on year to S$60.1 million.However, the REIT managed to raise DPU by 0.2% year on year, paying out S$0.02466 for the quarter.S$201 of Singapore Technologies Engineering (SGX: S63)Singapore Technologies Engineering, better known as ST Engineering or STE, is a conglomerate with a wide range of business interests.Some of its segments include aerospace, smart city solutions, marine and defence engineering, public security and cybersecurity.STE continues to deliver healthy growth across all segments.In its business update for 1Q22, STE posted revenue of S$2.0 billion, 13% higher year on year and in line with pre-COVID levels.The company also reported a strong order book of S$21.3 million as of 31 March 2022.S$217 of Singapore Airlines Ltd (SGX: C6L)Singapore Airlines, or SIA, needs no introduction as Singapore’s national carrier.The airline is currently benefiting from higher passenger numbers due to pent-up travel demand as borders around the world continue to reopen.In its latest operating report, the group reported that it carried a total of 1.45 million passengers in April 2022, 62.7% higher than the previous month and over 13 times higher than April 2021.SIA expects that passenger capacity will continue to increase as it works to meet pent up demand for travel.S$91 of SATS Ltd (SGX: S58)SATS provides gateway and food services in Asia and is the chief ground-handling and in-flight catering service provider at Changi Airport.The group operates in 55 locations across 14 countries, with over 12,000 employees.Similar to SIA, SATS’ business outlook has improved with the wider resumption of air travel.In addition, the company has also taken steps during the pandemic to improve its capabilities, including developing ventures for non-travel businesses, and building a central kitchen and innovation centre in India.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931801710,"gmtCreate":1662427143830,"gmtModify":1676537057124,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931801710","repostId":"2264710715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264710715","pubTimestamp":1662421459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2264710715?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-06 07:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264710715","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Two indicators with a successful history of calling bottoms provide a range of where the S&P 500 could eventually bounce.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>You probably don&#39;t need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b>, which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.</p><p>With two of Wall Street&#39;s big three indexes falling into bear market territory -- the timeless <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> maxed out at a peak decline of 19% -- and testing the resolve of investors, the critical question has become: &#34;Where will the bear market bottom?&#34;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698954%2Fstock-market-crash-plunge-dollar-newspaper-invest-dow-sp-500-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>While the official answer is that we don&#39;t know with any certainty, history offers a number of very clear clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 could trough. In particular, two indicators provide a range of where we can expect the bear market to bottom.</p><h2>Valuation plays a key role during bear markets</h2><p>Whereas Wall Street is willing to tolerate higher valuations when the U.S. and global economy are firing on all cylinders, analysts and investors become much more critical of stock valuations when corrections and bear markets arise. That&#39;s why the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio can come in handy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward P/E divides the aggregate point value of the S&amp;P 500 Index into the consensus earnings-per-share forecast for Wall Street in the upcoming year (in this instance, 2023).</p><p>With two exceptions -- the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, where valuations were truly depressed given the uncertain state of the U.S. financial system, and the double-digit percentage pullback for the broader market in 2011 -- the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward P/E has accurately predicted the bottom of every other notable decline since the mid-1990s. Specifically, we&#39;ve witnessed the benchmark index&#39;s forward-year P/E bottom between 13 and 14. This is where the S&amp;P 500 found its bottom following the dot-com bubble in 2002, during the nearly 20% pullback in the fourth quarter of 2018, and following the coronavirus crash.</p><p>As of Aug. 31, the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward-year P/E stood at 16.8. Based on the noted range of 13 to 14, this would imply further downside to the S&amp;P 500 of 16.7% to 22.6%. In other words, as long as the earnings component of the benchmark index doesn&#39;t drastically change, this indicator would imply a bear-market bottom between 3,061 and 3,296.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698954%2Fmoney-under-chain-and-lock-debt-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Margin debt tells a grimmer story</h2><p>While the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward-year P/E ratio provides an upper bound of where history would suggest the bear market is headed, outstanding margin debt tells a more worrisome story.</p><p>&#34;Margin debt&#34; describes the amount of money being borrowed, with interest, by investors to purchase or short-sell securities. Although it&#39;s perfectly normal for margin debt to increase over time as the value of U.S. equities grows, it&#39;s anything but normal to see margin debt rise significantly, on a percentage basis, over a short period.</p><p>Since 1995, there have only been three instances where margin debt increased by 60% or more on a trailing-12-month basis. It occurred immediately prior to the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, just months prior to the financial crisis taking shape in 2007, and once more in 2021. Following the previous two instances where margin debt skyrocketed in excess of 60% in the trailing-12-month period, the S&amp;P 500 lost 49% and 57% of its respective value before finding a bottom.</p><p>If we simplify this to a general loss of 50% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s value, the bottom range for the index, based on what margin debt history tells us, is 2,409 (half of the 4,818 intra-day high).</p><p>In other words, two leading indicators with a history of successfully calling a number of bear-market bottoms suggest the S&amp;P 500 could fall to 2,409 in a worst-case scenario, or bounce up to 3,296 if corporate earnings hold up better than expected.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f32133e82b0cc864931cf2557b7c93cd\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>^SPX data by YCharts.</span></p><h2>The one figure more powerful than any bear-market-bottom indicator</h2><p>Obviously, these indicators could be wrong, and the June 2022 bear-market low of 3,636 could hold firm for the S&amp;P 500. If there were indicators that were right 100% of the time, every Wall Street professional and retail investor would be using them by now.</p><p>Regardless of whether the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones industrial Average have already found their respective bottoms or still have additional downside, one figure does offer a practical guarantee -- and all it requires is your patience.</p><p>Every year, stock-market analytics provider Crestmont Research publishes data highlighting the 20-year rolling total returns (which include dividends paid) for the S&amp;P 500 since 1919. In other words, Crestmont is looking at the average annual total return investors would have made by buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 tracking index for 20 years over each of the past 103 end years (1919-2021).</p><p>The result? Investors made money 103 out of 103 times if they purchased an S&amp;P 500 tracking index and held it for 20 years. What&#39;s more, approximately 40% of these 103 end years produced an average annual total return of at least 10.9%. Investors weren&#39;t just scraping by holding an S&amp;P 500 index. They were doubling their money about every seven years in roughly 40% of all rolling 20-year periods.</p><p>That means that investors shouldn&#39;t be afraid to put money to work on Wall Street either now or in the future. If you&#39;re a long-term investor, time is a far more powerful ally than any bear-market bottom indicator.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 07:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264710715","content_text":"You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark S&P 500, which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent Nasdaq Composite fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.With two of Wall Street's big three indexes falling into bear market territory -- the timeless Dow Jones Industrial Average maxed out at a peak decline of 19% -- and testing the resolve of investors, the critical question has become: \"Where will the bear market bottom?\"Image source: Getty Images.While the official answer is that we don't know with any certainty, history offers a number of very clear clues as to where the S&P 500 could trough. In particular, two indicators provide a range of where we can expect the bear market to bottom.Valuation plays a key role during bear marketsWhereas Wall Street is willing to tolerate higher valuations when the U.S. and global economy are firing on all cylinders, analysts and investors become much more critical of stock valuations when corrections and bear markets arise. That's why the S&P 500's forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio can come in handy.The S&P 500's forward P/E divides the aggregate point value of the S&P 500 Index into the consensus earnings-per-share forecast for Wall Street in the upcoming year (in this instance, 2023).With two exceptions -- the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, where valuations were truly depressed given the uncertain state of the U.S. financial system, and the double-digit percentage pullback for the broader market in 2011 -- the S&P 500's forward P/E has accurately predicted the bottom of every other notable decline since the mid-1990s. Specifically, we've witnessed the benchmark index's forward-year P/E bottom between 13 and 14. This is where the S&P 500 found its bottom following the dot-com bubble in 2002, during the nearly 20% pullback in the fourth quarter of 2018, and following the coronavirus crash.As of Aug. 31, the S&P 500's forward-year P/E stood at 16.8. Based on the noted range of 13 to 14, this would imply further downside to the S&P 500 of 16.7% to 22.6%. In other words, as long as the earnings component of the benchmark index doesn't drastically change, this indicator would imply a bear-market bottom between 3,061 and 3,296.Image source: Getty Images.Margin debt tells a grimmer storyWhile the S&P 500's forward-year P/E ratio provides an upper bound of where history would suggest the bear market is headed, outstanding margin debt tells a more worrisome story.\"Margin debt\" describes the amount of money being borrowed, with interest, by investors to purchase or short-sell securities. Although it's perfectly normal for margin debt to increase over time as the value of U.S. equities grows, it's anything but normal to see margin debt rise significantly, on a percentage basis, over a short period.Since 1995, there have only been three instances where margin debt increased by 60% or more on a trailing-12-month basis. It occurred immediately prior to the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, just months prior to the financial crisis taking shape in 2007, and once more in 2021. Following the previous two instances where margin debt skyrocketed in excess of 60% in the trailing-12-month period, the S&P 500 lost 49% and 57% of its respective value before finding a bottom.If we simplify this to a general loss of 50% of the S&P 500's value, the bottom range for the index, based on what margin debt history tells us, is 2,409 (half of the 4,818 intra-day high).In other words, two leading indicators with a history of successfully calling a number of bear-market bottoms suggest the S&P 500 could fall to 2,409 in a worst-case scenario, or bounce up to 3,296 if corporate earnings hold up better than expected.^SPX data by YCharts.The one figure more powerful than any bear-market-bottom indicatorObviously, these indicators could be wrong, and the June 2022 bear-market low of 3,636 could hold firm for the S&P 500. If there were indicators that were right 100% of the time, every Wall Street professional and retail investor would be using them by now.Regardless of whether the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones industrial Average have already found their respective bottoms or still have additional downside, one figure does offer a practical guarantee -- and all it requires is your patience.Every year, stock-market analytics provider Crestmont Research publishes data highlighting the 20-year rolling total returns (which include dividends paid) for the S&P 500 since 1919. In other words, Crestmont is looking at the average annual total return investors would have made by buying and holding an S&P 500 tracking index for 20 years over each of the past 103 end years (1919-2021).The result? Investors made money 103 out of 103 times if they purchased an S&P 500 tracking index and held it for 20 years. What's more, approximately 40% of these 103 end years produced an average annual total return of at least 10.9%. Investors weren't just scraping by holding an S&P 500 index. They were doubling their money about every seven years in roughly 40% of all rolling 20-year periods.That means that investors shouldn't be afraid to put money to work on Wall Street either now or in the future. If you're a long-term investor, time is a far more powerful ally than any bear-market bottom indicator.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930326078,"gmtCreate":1661906322996,"gmtModify":1676536600588,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank you!","listText":"Thank you!","text":"Thank you!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930326078","repostId":"2263410145","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263410145","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1661900592,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2263410145?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-31 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263410145","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand</p><p>* Jobs openings in July rise sharply</p><p>* All 11 S&amp;P sectors lower</p><p>* Dow down 0.96%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank&#39;s determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.</p><p>Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.</p><p>&#34;They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,&#34; said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.</p><p>&#34;It locks them in even further.&#34;</p><p>The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&amp;P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.</p><p>New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.</p><p>However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could &#34;dial back&#34; from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is &#34;clearly&#34; slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed&#39;s pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed&#39;s September meeting.</p><p>Each of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.</p><p>Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.</p><p>Both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&amp;P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.</p><p>Adding to worries, Taiwan&#39;s military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.</p><p>Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&amp;P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-31 07:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand</p><p>* Jobs openings in July rise sharply</p><p>* All 11 S&amp;P sectors lower</p><p>* Dow down 0.96%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank&#39;s determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.</p><p>Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.</p><p>&#34;They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,&#34; said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.</p><p>&#34;It locks them in even further.&#34;</p><p>The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&amp;P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.</p><p>New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.</p><p>However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could &#34;dial back&#34; from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is &#34;clearly&#34; slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed&#39;s pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed&#39;s September meeting.</p><p>Each of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.</p><p>Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.</p><p>Both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&amp;P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.</p><p>Adding to worries, Taiwan&#39;s military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.</p><p>Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&amp;P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","BK4076":"电脑与电子产品零售","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","BBY":"百思买",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263410145","content_text":"* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11 S&P sectors lower* Dow down 0.96%, S&P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.The benchmark S&P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank's determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.\"They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,\" said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.\"It locks them in even further.\"The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could \"dial back\" from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is \"clearly\" slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed's pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting.Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.Adding to worries, Taiwan's military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995982924,"gmtCreate":1661394000270,"gmtModify":1676536511028,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's wait.","listText":"Let's wait.","text":"Let's wait.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995982924","repostId":"1172569376","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172569376","pubTimestamp":1661399948,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172569376?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-25 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Disaster Guidance","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172569376","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.</li><li>Nvidia&#39;s Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.</li><li>Nvidia is a quality company and well-positioned in the long run. But near-term issues and a too-high valuation make me stay away for now.</li></ul><p><b>Article Thesis</b></p><p>Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has just reported its most recent quarterly results. Profits were below expectations, but overall, results were more or less in line with what the market had anticipated, as Nvidia had pre-announced some of its results not too long ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s guidance for the current quarter is much worse than expected, however. Nvidia is clearly feeling hefty pressure from the current crypto winter, and it seems questionable to pay $170 or more per share of Nvidia in the current environment.</p><p><b>Q2 Was Worse Than Expected</b></p><p>Nvidia had pre-announced its revenue results for the second quarter earlier, thus there was no major surprise there - analysts adjusted their models accordingly, and Nvidia met the consensus estimate:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c716ed40d45d1089f6ca834756f1e12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"123\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>But the company nevertheless missed estimates, as margin compression was worse than expected. In fact, Nvidia saw its gross margin drop massively, showcased by the following table:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7f7f877afef390846c2b1ff5b54cef9\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>The company&#39;s gross margin dropped from a very attractive 67% to a much less attractive 46% over the last year, almost being cut in half. A 46% gross margin isn&#39;t disastrous in absolute terms, but the hefty margin drop naturally has a huge impact on Nvidia&#39;s profitability.</p><p>Nvidia was widely regarded as a high-end semiconductor company that was able to generate very strong margins due to its excellent product quality. But at least for now, that has apparently ended, as its gross margin is far lower than what we have gotten used to in recent years.</p><p>At the same time, Nvidia also saw its operating expenses explode upwards. This includes research and development, sales, but also administrative costs. WhileNvidia was able to grow its revenue by 3% year over year, operating expenses somehow rose by almost 40% - or around<i>13x as much</i> as the company&#39;s revenue. That is pretty bad, and it is not clear why that happened. Higher R&amp;D expenses aren&#39;t bad per se, at least if those result in strong products that improve the longer-term growth outlook.</p><p>But for a growth company like Nvidia, investors generally want to see operating leverage, meaning operating expenses grow less than revenue and gross profit, as this allows a company to grow its profits faster than its sales. The complete opposite of that happened here, as gross margins dropped severely while operating costs rose much more than Nvidia&#39;s sales and gross profit. The steep profit decline of more than 50% is the logical consequence of that ill-timed increase in Nvidia&#39;s operating expenses.</p><p>With earnings per share at $0.50 for the quarter, Nvidia&#39;s EPS is running at a $2 annual rate. That will most likely drop even further in Q3, as indicated by the pretty weak forward guidance (more on that later). Profits are now back at the level seen in early 2020 when earnings per share were in the $0.50 range as well. It&#39;s important to note that Nvidia was trading at as low as $50 back then, whereas Nvidia is trading at $170 right here -- or more than 80x the Q2 earnings run rate.</p><p>These areNvidia&#39;s non-GAAP results, where items such as share-based compensation are already backed out. GAAP profitability was even worse, as GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.26 -- or around $1 annualized, for a 170x earnings multiple. That&#39;s quite expensive for a company with a 3% top-line growth rate.</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s Forward Guidance Is Horrendous</b></p><p>I want to note first that I do believe that Nvidia is a quality company with a positive long-term outlook, thanks to its strong position in growth markets such as AI, autonomous driving, etc. I also want to note that I have been a bull on Nvidia in the past, and shares are up since my last bullish article. But when the facts change and the underlying performance is much worse than previously thought, then it makes sense to reflect one&#39;s formerly bullish stance.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s guidance for the current quarter, Q3, was very bad. The company is forecasting revenues of $5.9 billion for the period, which is not only $1 billion or 15% below the current consensus estimate, but which also indicates a revenue decline of 16.9% versus last year&#39;s Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion. That is comparable to Intel&#39;s (INTC) revenue decline during the most recent quarter, as Intel reported a drop of 17.3% in its top line for the period. In other words, Nvidia is forecasting a revenue drop that is comparable to the one Intel has just reported -- the huge difference is that Intel trades at 2.1x forward sales, whereas Nvidia trades at 15x forward sales, which is a 600% premium relative to how Intel is valued.</p><p>There are good arguments for Nvidia to trade at a premium versus Intel, such as its stronger position in the fast-growing data center market, where Nvidia saw its revenue rise by 60% in Q2, while Intel&#39;s data center dropped. But whether it makes sense for Nvidia to trade at a 600% premium on a sales basis, relative to Intel, while both are seeing their revenues drop, is highly questionable, I believe.</p><p>What&#39;s the explanation for the hefty revenue decline that Nvidia forecasts for the current quarter? It&#39;s not the overall semiconductor market, that&#39;s pretty clear, as the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, or WSTS, has just announced that overall semiconductor revenues would climb 14% in 2022. WhenNvidia&#39;s revenues are falling by double-digits, while the broad semiconductor industry is growing by double-digits, then there must be other factors at work. In Nvidia&#39;s case, that&#39;s the current crypto winter. WhileNvidia&#39;s chips were useless for Bitcoin mining, they were excellent for Ethereum mining due to the algorithm Ethereum uses, which is very GPU-friendly. With crypto prices plunging in 2022, Nvidia is feeling pressure due to two reasons.</p><p>First, the company can sell fewer chips to crypto miners, as Ethereum mining has become less profitable, which is why demand dropped. At the same time, less demand by crypto miners results in a looser supply-demand picture, which leads to price declines for GPUs. This is further accelerated by the fact that some crypto miners are selling the GPUs they own on secondary markets, which further pressures pricing for new GPUs.</p><p>Due to the current crypto winter, Nvidia is thus feeling a double hit from lower sales volumes and lower average margins. That&#39;s luckily partially made up by the strong performance in other areas, such as data centers. But as the weak guidance for the current quarter shows, Nvidia is not able to fully offset the headwinds from the weak crypto environment. It thus looks like investors have to come to terms with the fact that Nvidia&#39;s strong underlying performance was at least partially driven by crypto enthusiasm. Now that crypto has been in a downtrend for some time, that former tailwind is turning into a headwind.</p><p><b>What&#39;s The Outlook?</b></p><p>In the very long term, Nvidia will still be a solid growth company, I believe. Data center demand will continue to grow. Autonomous driving is a long-term megatrend that will lead to rising demand for Nvidia&#39;s Hyperion platform and similar products. But in the near term, the outlook is far from great.</p><p>SinceNvidia is trading at a pretty high valuation of 46x forward earnings, even before those earnings estimates have declined due to the weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance, I do not believe that Nvidia is a great investment at current prices. There are other semiconductor companies with way better near-term growth outlooks that trade at less than halfNvidia&#39;s earnings multiple, such as AMD (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and so on. With those picks being available today, I do not see a great reason to buy Nvidia right now. The long-term outlook is positive, but the near-term issues and too-high valuation make me stay away for now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Disaster Guidance</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Disaster Guidance\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-25 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.Nvidia is a quality company and well-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172569376","content_text":"SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.Nvidia is a quality company and well-positioned in the long run. But near-term issues and a too-high valuation make me stay away for now.Article ThesisNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has just reported its most recent quarterly results. Profits were below expectations, but overall, results were more or less in line with what the market had anticipated, as Nvidia had pre-announced some of its results not too long ago.The company's guidance for the current quarter is much worse than expected, however. Nvidia is clearly feeling hefty pressure from the current crypto winter, and it seems questionable to pay $170 or more per share of Nvidia in the current environment.Q2 Was Worse Than ExpectedNvidia had pre-announced its revenue results for the second quarter earlier, thus there was no major surprise there - analysts adjusted their models accordingly, and Nvidia met the consensus estimate:Seeking AlphaBut the company nevertheless missed estimates, as margin compression was worse than expected. In fact, Nvidia saw its gross margin drop massively, showcased by the following table:Seeking AlphaThe company's gross margin dropped from a very attractive 67% to a much less attractive 46% over the last year, almost being cut in half. A 46% gross margin isn't disastrous in absolute terms, but the hefty margin drop naturally has a huge impact on Nvidia's profitability.Nvidia was widely regarded as a high-end semiconductor company that was able to generate very strong margins due to its excellent product quality. But at least for now, that has apparently ended, as its gross margin is far lower than what we have gotten used to in recent years.At the same time, Nvidia also saw its operating expenses explode upwards. This includes research and development, sales, but also administrative costs. WhileNvidia was able to grow its revenue by 3% year over year, operating expenses somehow rose by almost 40% - or around13x as much as the company's revenue. That is pretty bad, and it is not clear why that happened. Higher R&D expenses aren't bad per se, at least if those result in strong products that improve the longer-term growth outlook.But for a growth company like Nvidia, investors generally want to see operating leverage, meaning operating expenses grow less than revenue and gross profit, as this allows a company to grow its profits faster than its sales. The complete opposite of that happened here, as gross margins dropped severely while operating costs rose much more than Nvidia's sales and gross profit. The steep profit decline of more than 50% is the logical consequence of that ill-timed increase in Nvidia's operating expenses.With earnings per share at $0.50 for the quarter, Nvidia's EPS is running at a $2 annual rate. That will most likely drop even further in Q3, as indicated by the pretty weak forward guidance (more on that later). Profits are now back at the level seen in early 2020 when earnings per share were in the $0.50 range as well. It's important to note that Nvidia was trading at as low as $50 back then, whereas Nvidia is trading at $170 right here -- or more than 80x the Q2 earnings run rate.These areNvidia's non-GAAP results, where items such as share-based compensation are already backed out. GAAP profitability was even worse, as GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.26 -- or around $1 annualized, for a 170x earnings multiple. That's quite expensive for a company with a 3% top-line growth rate.Nvidia's Forward Guidance Is HorrendousI want to note first that I do believe that Nvidia is a quality company with a positive long-term outlook, thanks to its strong position in growth markets such as AI, autonomous driving, etc. I also want to note that I have been a bull on Nvidia in the past, and shares are up since my last bullish article. But when the facts change and the underlying performance is much worse than previously thought, then it makes sense to reflect one's formerly bullish stance.Nvidia's guidance for the current quarter, Q3, was very bad. The company is forecasting revenues of $5.9 billion for the period, which is not only $1 billion or 15% below the current consensus estimate, but which also indicates a revenue decline of 16.9% versus last year's Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion. That is comparable to Intel's (INTC) revenue decline during the most recent quarter, as Intel reported a drop of 17.3% in its top line for the period. In other words, Nvidia is forecasting a revenue drop that is comparable to the one Intel has just reported -- the huge difference is that Intel trades at 2.1x forward sales, whereas Nvidia trades at 15x forward sales, which is a 600% premium relative to how Intel is valued.There are good arguments for Nvidia to trade at a premium versus Intel, such as its stronger position in the fast-growing data center market, where Nvidia saw its revenue rise by 60% in Q2, while Intel's data center dropped. But whether it makes sense for Nvidia to trade at a 600% premium on a sales basis, relative to Intel, while both are seeing their revenues drop, is highly questionable, I believe.What's the explanation for the hefty revenue decline that Nvidia forecasts for the current quarter? It's not the overall semiconductor market, that's pretty clear, as the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, or WSTS, has just announced that overall semiconductor revenues would climb 14% in 2022. WhenNvidia's revenues are falling by double-digits, while the broad semiconductor industry is growing by double-digits, then there must be other factors at work. In Nvidia's case, that's the current crypto winter. WhileNvidia's chips were useless for Bitcoin mining, they were excellent for Ethereum mining due to the algorithm Ethereum uses, which is very GPU-friendly. With crypto prices plunging in 2022, Nvidia is feeling pressure due to two reasons.First, the company can sell fewer chips to crypto miners, as Ethereum mining has become less profitable, which is why demand dropped. At the same time, less demand by crypto miners results in a looser supply-demand picture, which leads to price declines for GPUs. This is further accelerated by the fact that some crypto miners are selling the GPUs they own on secondary markets, which further pressures pricing for new GPUs.Due to the current crypto winter, Nvidia is thus feeling a double hit from lower sales volumes and lower average margins. That's luckily partially made up by the strong performance in other areas, such as data centers. But as the weak guidance for the current quarter shows, Nvidia is not able to fully offset the headwinds from the weak crypto environment. It thus looks like investors have to come to terms with the fact that Nvidia's strong underlying performance was at least partially driven by crypto enthusiasm. Now that crypto has been in a downtrend for some time, that former tailwind is turning into a headwind.What's The Outlook?In the very long term, Nvidia will still be a solid growth company, I believe. Data center demand will continue to grow. Autonomous driving is a long-term megatrend that will lead to rising demand for Nvidia's Hyperion platform and similar products. But in the near term, the outlook is far from great.SinceNvidia is trading at a pretty high valuation of 46x forward earnings, even before those earnings estimates have declined due to the weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance, I do not believe that Nvidia is a great investment at current prices. There are other semiconductor companies with way better near-term growth outlooks that trade at less than halfNvidia's earnings multiple, such as AMD (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and so on. With those picks being available today, I do not see a great reason to buy Nvidia right now. The long-term outlook is positive, but the near-term issues and too-high valuation make me stay away for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992046346,"gmtCreate":1661231855087,"gmtModify":1676536480210,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992046346","repostId":"2261542259","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261542259","pubTimestamp":1661227323,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2261542259?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-23 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261542259","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Things turned out pretty well for my &#34;three stocks to avoid&#34; column last week. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- <b>Tesla Motors</b>, <b>Bath &amp; Body Works</b>, and <b>AMTD Digital</b> -- fell 1%, 3%, and 11%, respectively, averaging out to a 5% decline.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> experienced a 1.2% move lower. I was right. I have now been correct in 29 of the past 44 weeks, or nearly two-thirds of the time.</p><p>Now let&#39;s look at the week ahead. I see <b>Baozun</b>, <b>La-Z-Boy</b>, and <b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b> as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let&#39;s go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.</p><h2><b>1. Baozun</b></h2><p>Providing e-commerce solutions in China for global brands isn&#39;t as juicy a business model for Baozun as it seemed a few years ago. China&#39;s been making enemies overseas, and the economy itself in the world&#39;s most populous nation is slowing. It reports fresh financials on Tuesday morning, and it&#39;s OK to be concerned.</p><p>Analysts see Baozun&#39;s revenue clocking in 19% lower for this week&#39;s second quarter than it did a year earlier. It sees a 71% plunge in earnings per share. Momentum hasn&#39;t been kind, as Baozun has fallen short of analyst expectations in two of the last three quarters. The stock did shoot higher last time out, but that was with just a 2% decline in revenue. The market was hopeful that Baozun&#39;s business shifting from first-party sales to higher-margin services and third-party sales would help improve its margins, but we&#39;re clearly seeing the bottom line going the wrong way.</p><h2><b>2. La-Z-Boy</b></h2><p>It&#39;s not just La-Z-Boy&#39;s signature chair that&#39;s reclining these days. The furniture maker is another company likely to see its business decline later this year. La-Z-Boy is expected to post its fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit percentage growth on the top line later this week, but analysts see the trend reversing as the fiscal year plays out.</p><p>We&#39;ve already seen manufacturers and retailers of home furnishings stumble this earnings season. Folks that loaded up on making their homes more comfortable in 2020 and 2021 have moved on in this inflationary environment. They were spending money on experiences outside of the home, and now they&#39;re just earmarking more money to pay for food. La-Z-Boy can&#39;t party like it&#39;s 2021 anymore.</p><h2><b>3. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b></h2><p>Shares of the home goods retailer plummeted 40% on Friday after a prolific meme stock investor cashed out of his position. With a major backer gone, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond is going to have to rest on its fundamentals -- and that&#39;s not very encouraging.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond has rattled off four consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue declines of at least 20%. This will be its fifth straight year of losses. This is not a sustainable business without the hype that Ryan Cohen brought to the table setting, and even after a 40% haircut, the shares are highly problematic at this point.</p><p>It&#39;s going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you&#39;re looking for safe stocks, you aren&#39;t likely to find them in Baozun, La-Z-Boy, and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond this week.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 12:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Things turned out pretty well for my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Tesla Motors, Bath & Body Works, and AMTD ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","LZB":"La-Z-Boy家具","BZUN":"宝尊电商"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261542259","content_text":"Things turned out pretty well for my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Tesla Motors, Bath & Body Works, and AMTD Digital -- fell 1%, 3%, and 11%, respectively, averaging out to a 5% decline.The S&P 500 experienced a 1.2% move lower. I was right. I have now been correct in 29 of the past 44 weeks, or nearly two-thirds of the time.Now let's look at the week ahead. I see Baozun, La-Z-Boy, and Bed Bath & Beyond as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.1. BaozunProviding e-commerce solutions in China for global brands isn't as juicy a business model for Baozun as it seemed a few years ago. China's been making enemies overseas, and the economy itself in the world's most populous nation is slowing. It reports fresh financials on Tuesday morning, and it's OK to be concerned.Analysts see Baozun's revenue clocking in 19% lower for this week's second quarter than it did a year earlier. It sees a 71% plunge in earnings per share. Momentum hasn't been kind, as Baozun has fallen short of analyst expectations in two of the last three quarters. The stock did shoot higher last time out, but that was with just a 2% decline in revenue. The market was hopeful that Baozun's business shifting from first-party sales to higher-margin services and third-party sales would help improve its margins, but we're clearly seeing the bottom line going the wrong way.2. La-Z-BoyIt's not just La-Z-Boy's signature chair that's reclining these days. The furniture maker is another company likely to see its business decline later this year. La-Z-Boy is expected to post its fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit percentage growth on the top line later this week, but analysts see the trend reversing as the fiscal year plays out.We've already seen manufacturers and retailers of home furnishings stumble this earnings season. Folks that loaded up on making their homes more comfortable in 2020 and 2021 have moved on in this inflationary environment. They were spending money on experiences outside of the home, and now they're just earmarking more money to pay for food. La-Z-Boy can't party like it's 2021 anymore.3. Bed Bath & BeyondShares of the home goods retailer plummeted 40% on Friday after a prolific meme stock investor cashed out of his position. With a major backer gone, Bed Bath & Beyond is going to have to rest on its fundamentals -- and that's not very encouraging.Bed Bath & Beyond has rattled off four consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue declines of at least 20%. This will be its fifth straight year of losses. This is not a sustainable business without the hype that Ryan Cohen brought to the table setting, and even after a 40% haircut, the shares are highly problematic at this point.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Baozun, La-Z-Boy, and Bed Bath & Beyond this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999794310,"gmtCreate":1660584620334,"gmtModify":1676536224786,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing 👍","listText":"Thanks for sharing 👍","text":"Thanks for sharing 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999794310","repostId":"2259049047","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259049047","pubTimestamp":1660572768,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259049047?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-15 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney Has a Long Way to Go to Catch Up to Netflix","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259049047","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Disney may have overtaken Netflix in terms of total premium streaming subscribers, but it's lagging in just about every category that truly matters.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Disney closed out its fiscal third quarter with 221.1 million subscribers, surpassing Netflix at 220.7 million paid streaming members.</li><li>Disney&#39;s streaming segment grew twice as fast as Netflix over the past year, but it&#39;s still well behind in revenue, operating profit, and other important categories.</li><li>Netflix has been slipping lately, but Disney could face growing pains as it jacks up its plan prices between now and the end of this year.</li></ul><p>There were a lot of juicy takeaways following <b>Disney</b>&#39;s blowout quarterly report last week, but there&#39;s one deceptive metric echoing in the world of streaming media stocks. Did Disney really overtake <b>Netflix</b> in the subscriber race between premium on-demand video platforms?</p><p>It may seem that way at first glance. Disney&#39;s three owned or majority-owned premium offerings combined for 221.1 million subscribers at the end of June. Netflix dipped sequentially during the three-month period, retreating to 220.7 million members worldwide at the midpoint of 2022. They may be passing ships right now, but there&#39;s more to this important milestone than you probably think.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c5eb3870c33363e368f2547b4ff9c26\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2>Netflix and shill</h2><p>Where were you the moment that Disney passed Netflix in terms of raw subscriber counts? Wednesday afternoon was important as a plot point, but it wasn&#39;t exactly a plot twist. We need to frame things properly before handing Mickey Mouse the keys to the kingdom. For starters, Disney+ didn&#39;t flash its high beams, zoom past Netflix, and see the streaming pioneer shrink in the rearview mirror.</p><p>Disney&#39;s flagship service accounts for 152.1 million of the media giant&#39;s total streaming accounts. It&#39;s a ridiculously impressive feat for a platform that wasn&#39;t even around three years ago, but it&#39;s not up to Netflix&#39;s haul over the years. The numbers include 22.8 million on ESPN+ and another 46.2 million on Hulu, two longer-running offerings that Disney does not fully own but does have a controlling stake in.</p><p>It&#39;s also important to point out that Disney&#39;s been aggressively pushing its bundle that offers all three services at a discounted price. There may be a small number of Netflix users with more than one account, but there&#39;s a lot of overlap with Disney&#39;s 220.7 million, where every bundle customer counts as three different subscribers.</p><p>Let&#39;s also talk about revenue. The most popular midtier plan at Netflix costs $15.49 a month. Disney+ right now goes for a little more than half that at a monthly rate of $7.99. It doesn&#39;t end there. More than a third of of those subscribers are in India, paying a monthly average of $1.20 a month for Disney+ Hotstar, a platform that the House of Mouse acquired three years ago. Back that out and the average subscriber is paying $6.29 a month, less than $7.99 since the service offers discounted annual plans and some members are still taking advantage of a three-year pre-paid plan at a deeply discounted rate that was available at the platform&#39;s launch in November 2019. Throw Disney+ Hotstar back into the mix, and the average monthly revenue that Disney is collecting from its 152.1 million users is just $4.35.</p><p>ESPN+ is setting viewers back an average of $4.55 a month despite its current monthly rate of $6.99 that will bump up to $9.99 next week. Hulu costs more -- and the 4 million cord-cutters on Hulu + Live TV are shelling out <i>a lot</i> more -- but it all adds up to nearly $5.1 billion in revenue for all services combined, an impressive 19% year-over-year increase on the top line.</p><p>In the other corner, we have Netflix with a commanding $8 billion in revenue for the same three-month period, as well as a more modest 9% increase when pitted against last year&#39;s second quarter. Disney also isn&#39;t even close as we work our way down the income statement. Disney doesn&#39;t expect to turn a profit with its direct-to-consumer business until fiscal 2024, clocking in with a nearly $1.1 billion operating loss for the segment. Netflix reported a $1.6 billion operating <i>profit</i>.</p><p>Is the torch, relay race baton, or crown really going from Netflix to Disney? Momentum is going in that direction, but these ships haven&#39;t passed each other just yet. Disney is in the process of dramatically increasing its cover charges. It&#39;s not just ESPN+ going up. There will be churn from folks flinching at the 38% increase for ad-free Disney+. There should also be some turnover in November when the folks that pre-paid for three years of Disney+ have to renew at roughly three times what they paid in late 2019. There&#39;s no denying that Disney has become a major player in the streaming space, and a hearty chunk of that growth has been organic. However, in just about every way -- revenue, operating profit, customer engagement, and the actual number of unique subscribers -- Netflix is still the lion king of the hill.</p><p>Better luck next quarter, Mufasa.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney Has a Long Way to Go to Catch Up to Netflix</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney Has a Long Way to Go to Catch Up to Netflix\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-15 22:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/15/disney-has-a-long-way-to-go-to-catch-up-to-netflix/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSDisney closed out its fiscal third quarter with 221.1 million subscribers, surpassing Netflix at 220.7 million paid streaming members.Disney's streaming segment grew twice as fast as Netflix...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/15/disney-has-a-long-way-to-go-to-catch-up-to-netflix/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4566":"资本集团","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","NFLX":"奈飞","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/15/disney-has-a-long-way-to-go-to-catch-up-to-netflix/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259049047","content_text":"KEY POINTSDisney closed out its fiscal third quarter with 221.1 million subscribers, surpassing Netflix at 220.7 million paid streaming members.Disney's streaming segment grew twice as fast as Netflix over the past year, but it's still well behind in revenue, operating profit, and other important categories.Netflix has been slipping lately, but Disney could face growing pains as it jacks up its plan prices between now and the end of this year.There were a lot of juicy takeaways following Disney's blowout quarterly report last week, but there's one deceptive metric echoing in the world of streaming media stocks. Did Disney really overtake Netflix in the subscriber race between premium on-demand video platforms?It may seem that way at first glance. Disney's three owned or majority-owned premium offerings combined for 221.1 million subscribers at the end of June. Netflix dipped sequentially during the three-month period, retreating to 220.7 million members worldwide at the midpoint of 2022. They may be passing ships right now, but there's more to this important milestone than you probably think.Image source: Getty Images.Netflix and shillWhere were you the moment that Disney passed Netflix in terms of raw subscriber counts? Wednesday afternoon was important as a plot point, but it wasn't exactly a plot twist. We need to frame things properly before handing Mickey Mouse the keys to the kingdom. For starters, Disney+ didn't flash its high beams, zoom past Netflix, and see the streaming pioneer shrink in the rearview mirror.Disney's flagship service accounts for 152.1 million of the media giant's total streaming accounts. It's a ridiculously impressive feat for a platform that wasn't even around three years ago, but it's not up to Netflix's haul over the years. The numbers include 22.8 million on ESPN+ and another 46.2 million on Hulu, two longer-running offerings that Disney does not fully own but does have a controlling stake in.It's also important to point out that Disney's been aggressively pushing its bundle that offers all three services at a discounted price. There may be a small number of Netflix users with more than one account, but there's a lot of overlap with Disney's 220.7 million, where every bundle customer counts as three different subscribers.Let's also talk about revenue. The most popular midtier plan at Netflix costs $15.49 a month. Disney+ right now goes for a little more than half that at a monthly rate of $7.99. It doesn't end there. More than a third of of those subscribers are in India, paying a monthly average of $1.20 a month for Disney+ Hotstar, a platform that the House of Mouse acquired three years ago. Back that out and the average subscriber is paying $6.29 a month, less than $7.99 since the service offers discounted annual plans and some members are still taking advantage of a three-year pre-paid plan at a deeply discounted rate that was available at the platform's launch in November 2019. Throw Disney+ Hotstar back into the mix, and the average monthly revenue that Disney is collecting from its 152.1 million users is just $4.35.ESPN+ is setting viewers back an average of $4.55 a month despite its current monthly rate of $6.99 that will bump up to $9.99 next week. Hulu costs more -- and the 4 million cord-cutters on Hulu + Live TV are shelling out a lot more -- but it all adds up to nearly $5.1 billion in revenue for all services combined, an impressive 19% year-over-year increase on the top line.In the other corner, we have Netflix with a commanding $8 billion in revenue for the same three-month period, as well as a more modest 9% increase when pitted against last year's second quarter. Disney also isn't even close as we work our way down the income statement. Disney doesn't expect to turn a profit with its direct-to-consumer business until fiscal 2024, clocking in with a nearly $1.1 billion operating loss for the segment. Netflix reported a $1.6 billion operating profit.Is the torch, relay race baton, or crown really going from Netflix to Disney? Momentum is going in that direction, but these ships haven't passed each other just yet. Disney is in the process of dramatically increasing its cover charges. It's not just ESPN+ going up. There will be churn from folks flinching at the 38% increase for ad-free Disney+. There should also be some turnover in November when the folks that pre-paid for three years of Disney+ have to renew at roughly three times what they paid in late 2019. There's no denying that Disney has become a major player in the streaming space, and a hearty chunk of that growth has been organic. However, in just about every way -- revenue, operating profit, customer engagement, and the actual number of unique subscribers -- Netflix is still the lion king of the hill.Better luck next quarter, Mufasa.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074533274,"gmtCreate":1658370359998,"gmtModify":1676536149135,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074533274","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":299704678760496,"gmtCreate":1714189506613,"gmtModify":1714189510667,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla has no concrete results to show, price will drop again!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299704678760496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074533274,"gmtCreate":1658370359998,"gmtModify":1676536149135,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$View on DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)BullishBearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074533274","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931801710,"gmtCreate":1662427143830,"gmtModify":1676537057124,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931801710","repostId":"2264710715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264710715","pubTimestamp":1662421459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2264710715?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-06 07:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264710715","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Two indicators with a successful history of calling bottoms provide a range of where the S&P 500 could eventually bounce.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>You probably don&#39;t need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b>, which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.</p><p>With two of Wall Street&#39;s big three indexes falling into bear market territory -- the timeless <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> maxed out at a peak decline of 19% -- and testing the resolve of investors, the critical question has become: &#34;Where will the bear market bottom?&#34;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698954%2Fstock-market-crash-plunge-dollar-newspaper-invest-dow-sp-500-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>While the official answer is that we don&#39;t know with any certainty, history offers a number of very clear clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 could trough. In particular, two indicators provide a range of where we can expect the bear market to bottom.</p><h2>Valuation plays a key role during bear markets</h2><p>Whereas Wall Street is willing to tolerate higher valuations when the U.S. and global economy are firing on all cylinders, analysts and investors become much more critical of stock valuations when corrections and bear markets arise. That&#39;s why the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio can come in handy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward P/E divides the aggregate point value of the S&amp;P 500 Index into the consensus earnings-per-share forecast for Wall Street in the upcoming year (in this instance, 2023).</p><p>With two exceptions -- the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, where valuations were truly depressed given the uncertain state of the U.S. financial system, and the double-digit percentage pullback for the broader market in 2011 -- the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward P/E has accurately predicted the bottom of every other notable decline since the mid-1990s. Specifically, we&#39;ve witnessed the benchmark index&#39;s forward-year P/E bottom between 13 and 14. This is where the S&amp;P 500 found its bottom following the dot-com bubble in 2002, during the nearly 20% pullback in the fourth quarter of 2018, and following the coronavirus crash.</p><p>As of Aug. 31, the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward-year P/E stood at 16.8. Based on the noted range of 13 to 14, this would imply further downside to the S&amp;P 500 of 16.7% to 22.6%. In other words, as long as the earnings component of the benchmark index doesn&#39;t drastically change, this indicator would imply a bear-market bottom between 3,061 and 3,296.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698954%2Fmoney-under-chain-and-lock-debt-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Margin debt tells a grimmer story</h2><p>While the S&amp;P 500&#39;s forward-year P/E ratio provides an upper bound of where history would suggest the bear market is headed, outstanding margin debt tells a more worrisome story.</p><p>&#34;Margin debt&#34; describes the amount of money being borrowed, with interest, by investors to purchase or short-sell securities. Although it&#39;s perfectly normal for margin debt to increase over time as the value of U.S. equities grows, it&#39;s anything but normal to see margin debt rise significantly, on a percentage basis, over a short period.</p><p>Since 1995, there have only been three instances where margin debt increased by 60% or more on a trailing-12-month basis. It occurred immediately prior to the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, just months prior to the financial crisis taking shape in 2007, and once more in 2021. Following the previous two instances where margin debt skyrocketed in excess of 60% in the trailing-12-month period, the S&amp;P 500 lost 49% and 57% of its respective value before finding a bottom.</p><p>If we simplify this to a general loss of 50% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s value, the bottom range for the index, based on what margin debt history tells us, is 2,409 (half of the 4,818 intra-day high).</p><p>In other words, two leading indicators with a history of successfully calling a number of bear-market bottoms suggest the S&amp;P 500 could fall to 2,409 in a worst-case scenario, or bounce up to 3,296 if corporate earnings hold up better than expected.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f32133e82b0cc864931cf2557b7c93cd\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>^SPX data by YCharts.</span></p><h2>The one figure more powerful than any bear-market-bottom indicator</h2><p>Obviously, these indicators could be wrong, and the June 2022 bear-market low of 3,636 could hold firm for the S&amp;P 500. If there were indicators that were right 100% of the time, every Wall Street professional and retail investor would be using them by now.</p><p>Regardless of whether the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones industrial Average have already found their respective bottoms or still have additional downside, one figure does offer a practical guarantee -- and all it requires is your patience.</p><p>Every year, stock-market analytics provider Crestmont Research publishes data highlighting the 20-year rolling total returns (which include dividends paid) for the S&amp;P 500 since 1919. In other words, Crestmont is looking at the average annual total return investors would have made by buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 tracking index for 20 years over each of the past 103 end years (1919-2021).</p><p>The result? Investors made money 103 out of 103 times if they purchased an S&amp;P 500 tracking index and held it for 20 years. What&#39;s more, approximately 40% of these 103 end years produced an average annual total return of at least 10.9%. Investors weren&#39;t just scraping by holding an S&amp;P 500 index. They were doubling their money about every seven years in roughly 40% of all rolling 20-year periods.</p><p>That means that investors shouldn&#39;t be afraid to put money to work on Wall Street either now or in the future. If you&#39;re a long-term investor, time is a far more powerful ally than any bear-market bottom indicator.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 07:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264710715","content_text":"You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark S&P 500, which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent Nasdaq Composite fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.With two of Wall Street's big three indexes falling into bear market territory -- the timeless Dow Jones Industrial Average maxed out at a peak decline of 19% -- and testing the resolve of investors, the critical question has become: \"Where will the bear market bottom?\"Image source: Getty Images.While the official answer is that we don't know with any certainty, history offers a number of very clear clues as to where the S&P 500 could trough. In particular, two indicators provide a range of where we can expect the bear market to bottom.Valuation plays a key role during bear marketsWhereas Wall Street is willing to tolerate higher valuations when the U.S. and global economy are firing on all cylinders, analysts and investors become much more critical of stock valuations when corrections and bear markets arise. That's why the S&P 500's forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio can come in handy.The S&P 500's forward P/E divides the aggregate point value of the S&P 500 Index into the consensus earnings-per-share forecast for Wall Street in the upcoming year (in this instance, 2023).With two exceptions -- the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, where valuations were truly depressed given the uncertain state of the U.S. financial system, and the double-digit percentage pullback for the broader market in 2011 -- the S&P 500's forward P/E has accurately predicted the bottom of every other notable decline since the mid-1990s. Specifically, we've witnessed the benchmark index's forward-year P/E bottom between 13 and 14. This is where the S&P 500 found its bottom following the dot-com bubble in 2002, during the nearly 20% pullback in the fourth quarter of 2018, and following the coronavirus crash.As of Aug. 31, the S&P 500's forward-year P/E stood at 16.8. Based on the noted range of 13 to 14, this would imply further downside to the S&P 500 of 16.7% to 22.6%. In other words, as long as the earnings component of the benchmark index doesn't drastically change, this indicator would imply a bear-market bottom between 3,061 and 3,296.Image source: Getty Images.Margin debt tells a grimmer storyWhile the S&P 500's forward-year P/E ratio provides an upper bound of where history would suggest the bear market is headed, outstanding margin debt tells a more worrisome story.\"Margin debt\" describes the amount of money being borrowed, with interest, by investors to purchase or short-sell securities. Although it's perfectly normal for margin debt to increase over time as the value of U.S. equities grows, it's anything but normal to see margin debt rise significantly, on a percentage basis, over a short period.Since 1995, there have only been three instances where margin debt increased by 60% or more on a trailing-12-month basis. It occurred immediately prior to the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, just months prior to the financial crisis taking shape in 2007, and once more in 2021. Following the previous two instances where margin debt skyrocketed in excess of 60% in the trailing-12-month period, the S&P 500 lost 49% and 57% of its respective value before finding a bottom.If we simplify this to a general loss of 50% of the S&P 500's value, the bottom range for the index, based on what margin debt history tells us, is 2,409 (half of the 4,818 intra-day high).In other words, two leading indicators with a history of successfully calling a number of bear-market bottoms suggest the S&P 500 could fall to 2,409 in a worst-case scenario, or bounce up to 3,296 if corporate earnings hold up better than expected.^SPX data by YCharts.The one figure more powerful than any bear-market-bottom indicatorObviously, these indicators could be wrong, and the June 2022 bear-market low of 3,636 could hold firm for the S&P 500. If there were indicators that were right 100% of the time, every Wall Street professional and retail investor would be using them by now.Regardless of whether the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones industrial Average have already found their respective bottoms or still have additional downside, one figure does offer a practical guarantee -- and all it requires is your patience.Every year, stock-market analytics provider Crestmont Research publishes data highlighting the 20-year rolling total returns (which include dividends paid) for the S&P 500 since 1919. In other words, Crestmont is looking at the average annual total return investors would have made by buying and holding an S&P 500 tracking index for 20 years over each of the past 103 end years (1919-2021).The result? Investors made money 103 out of 103 times if they purchased an S&P 500 tracking index and held it for 20 years. What's more, approximately 40% of these 103 end years produced an average annual total return of at least 10.9%. Investors weren't just scraping by holding an S&P 500 index. They were doubling their money about every seven years in roughly 40% of all rolling 20-year periods.That means that investors shouldn't be afraid to put money to work on Wall Street either now or in the future. If you're a long-term investor, time is a far more powerful ally than any bear-market bottom indicator.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995982924,"gmtCreate":1661394000270,"gmtModify":1676536511028,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's wait.","listText":"Let's wait.","text":"Let's wait.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995982924","repostId":"1172569376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":286977676492960,"gmtCreate":1711085341784,"gmtModify":1711085347005,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a> Finally 😎","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a> Finally 😎","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ Finally 😎","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/dd41588490af040db63c54a72269b789","width":"618","height":"1066"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/286977676492960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984330761,"gmtCreate":1667529675153,"gmtModify":1676537932694,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Management team should be sacked!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Management team should be sacked!!","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Management team should be sacked!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984330761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980310810,"gmtCreate":1665648163430,"gmtModify":1676537642506,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>This stock is not going down and down&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>This stock is not going down and down&nbsp;","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$This stock is not going down and down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980310810","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999794310,"gmtCreate":1660584620334,"gmtModify":1676536224786,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing 👍","listText":"Thanks for sharing 👍","text":"Thanks for sharing 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999794310","repostId":"2259049047","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916359006,"gmtCreate":1664515898006,"gmtModify":1676537470143,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Epic drop , the graph shows a down cliff, so painfully beautiful!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916359006","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980337953,"gmtCreate":1665647909672,"gmtModify":1676537642448,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Shzz just hit the ceiling fan😔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980337953","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916324889,"gmtCreate":1664515506142,"gmtModify":1676537470022,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S58.SI\">$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$</a>Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!","text":"$SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$Bad timing,are they getting a good deal? Disastrous!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916324889","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930326078,"gmtCreate":1661906322996,"gmtModify":1676536600588,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank you!","listText":"Thank you!","text":"Thank you!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930326078","repostId":"2263410145","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980831434,"gmtCreate":1665703023328,"gmtModify":1676537650315,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BK4554\">$Metaverse &amp; AR(BK4554)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BK4554\">$Metaverse &amp; AR(BK4554)$</a>","text":"$Metaverse & AR(BK4554)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980831434","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915854966,"gmtCreate":1665014745355,"gmtModify":1676537543507,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$View on Walt Disney(DIS)BullishBearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915854966","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916388491,"gmtCreate":1664510701813,"gmtModify":1676537469094,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916388491","repostId":"1113143952","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992046346,"gmtCreate":1661231855087,"gmtModify":1676536480210,"author":{"id":"4097298626104070","authorId":"4097298626104070","name":"DJingjing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca17b681282a969538f348323f9438a0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992046346","repostId":"2261542259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}