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2022-10-14

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2022-10-03

A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.

Global Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience

2022-09-19

Good insights. Thanks for sharing.

The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood

2022-09-08

Ok

Initial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week

2022-08-04

Ok

Wall Street's "Fear Gauge" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks

2022-08-02

Ok

Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve

2022-06-23

$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$Any idea when is the Next Dividend payout date for Takeda?

2022-06-21

Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.

Warren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?

2022-06-17

Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.

Wall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do

2022-06-16

Interesting and Insightful

Soccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight

2022-06-16

Ok

Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.","listText":"A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.","text":"A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912189928","repostId":"2272569015","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2272569015","pubTimestamp":1664774782,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272569015?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 13:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272569015","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Some bad news is already priced in heading into results seasonExtreme investor pessimism could also ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Some bad news is already priced in heading into results season</li><li>Extreme investor pessimism could also spark a contrarian rally</li></ul><p>Investors are primed for any bit of good news to help them forget a brutal quarter for stocks that took this year’s value destruction to $24 trillion. A resilient corporate earnings season might give them that.</p><p>The MSCI All-Country World Index just wrapped up its third straight quarter of declines, the first time that’s happened since the global financial crisis in 2008.</p><p>The 7% drop came as investors grappled with persistently high inflation, a surging dollar and jumbo interest-rate hikes across the world that threaten to choke economic growth. Alongside that, analysts have slashed profit estimates, and a chorus of US and European companies -- including car giant Ford Motor Co. -- has issued early warnings about third-quarter results.</p><p>But one view is that this could set firms a lower bar to clear, and fuel a much-needed recovery in stocks that are currently at levels last seen nearly two years ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dc27d896dfbdd6ddf03104eaff2e691\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“Investors have to ask themselves how much of the bad news has already been priced in,” said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments LLC. “Given extreme pessimism combined with reasonable valuations, the fourth quarter could give investors an opportunity to claw back some of their losses.”</p><p>History is an imperfect guide, but past stock performance bodes well for the quarter. The S&amp;P 500 gained an average 4.1% in the final quarter during the past 20 years, while the MSCI has posted a fourth-quarter decline only three times over that period.</p><p>That’s not to say companies will get through the season with glowing report cards. There’s still plenty of hurdles that could cement 2022’s reputation as a year to forget.</p><p>For one, the era of higher costs is making it difficult to defend profitability. Firms also face tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and others as central banks keep a laser focus on taming inflation. On top of that, there’s the war in Ukraine, a severe energy crisis in Europe, and economically damaging Covid restrictions in China.</p><p>Dollar Effect</p><p>US companies with a large international exposure are at risk from a stronger dollar, as underscored by Nike Inc.’s disappointing earnings report on Thursday.</p><p>European and UK importers, on the other hand, are dealing with much weaker currencies. UK conglomerate Associated British Foods Plc and Swedish fashion retailer Hennes &amp; Mauritz AB both blamed the greenback for a bleaker profit outlook.</p><p>But the scale of recent analyst downgrades, as well as the market reaction to the early announcers, suggest that “some disappointments are already expected and possibly even priced in to some extent,” said Esty Dwek, chief investment officer at Flowbank SA.</p><p>FedEx Corp.’s withdrawal of its full-year guidance last month sparked the biggest selloff in its shares in more than four decades. Used-car dealer CarMax Inc. sank 25% after a glum quarterly report.</p><p>A Citigroup Inc. index shows US earnings downgrades have consistently outnumbered upgrades since early June, while global 12-month forward earnings have been revised down every month in the last quarter. Both the S&amp;P 500 and Stoxx 600 are in bear markets -- defined as a drop of 20% or more from recent highs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a26a873f70b1f88972810e33e3c24d\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The big question in the lead-up to the next earnings season is whether this will be enough. Strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc. have warned that estimates are still too high and that “we’re going to see pretty substantial reductions for 2023.”</p><p>Yet, others see reason to believe earnings can hold up for a while longer.</p><p>“Just looking at the resilience of the US economy, there’s little to suggest that earnings would be struggling at this stage,” said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. “We’re looking out for the guidance, mentions of margin concerns, wage costs, etc. but we wouldn’t expect that to show through at least until about the first quarter of next year.”</p><p>Bloomberg Intelligence analysts expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to have risen 2.9% in the quarter, helped mainly by the energy sector. Gina Martin Adams, BI chief equity strategist, said the absence of “economic excesses” -- such as the indebtedness seen before the 2008 recession -- could insulate US demand from a severe decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c15f14f70c8ec2cf41e50532849ae8\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And while European importers are smarting from a weaker euro, exporters are benefiting. French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi said it expects a positive currency impact of about 10% in the quarter.</p><p>“Health care is the best sector in Europe when the dollar is rising,” said Manish Kabra, head of US equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. “A very simple trade but it always works.”</p><p>Even Morgan Stanley’s Michael J. Wilson -- a stalwart equity bear -- said US stocks are in the “final stages” of a bear market and could stage a rally near term. True to form, however, he expects the selloff to resume thereafter.</p><p>The decidedly negative investor mood could also prove to be a contrarian indicator of a short-term bounce for stocks.</p><p>Sanford C. Bernstein strategists say their custom sentiment gauge has triggered a buy signal, meaning a “bear market rally is very possible.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fec909da0108831a62562e40a240e7ef\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Some technical levels suggest markets are lining up for a recovery into the end of the year. The relative strength indexes for the S&amp;P 500 and the Stoxx 600 are at “oversold” levels. That’s marked a short-term bottom in the past.</p><p>“We have historically terrible sentiment, stocks are looking notably cheap, the VIX is spiking and the market is being indiscriminately sold,” said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs. Combined with seasonal tailwinds, all those factors “could lead to a year-end rally,” she said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 13:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-02/global-stocks-pin-hopes-of-year-end-rally-on-earnings-resilience><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Some bad news is already priced in heading into results seasonExtreme investor pessimism could also spark a contrarian rallyInvestors are primed for any bit of good news to help them forget a brutal ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-02/global-stocks-pin-hopes-of-year-end-rally-on-earnings-resilience\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-02/global-stocks-pin-hopes-of-year-end-rally-on-earnings-resilience","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272569015","content_text":"Some bad news is already priced in heading into results seasonExtreme investor pessimism could also spark a contrarian rallyInvestors are primed for any bit of good news to help them forget a brutal quarter for stocks that took this year’s value destruction to $24 trillion. A resilient corporate earnings season might give them that.The MSCI All-Country World Index just wrapped up its third straight quarter of declines, the first time that’s happened since the global financial crisis in 2008.The 7% drop came as investors grappled with persistently high inflation, a surging dollar and jumbo interest-rate hikes across the world that threaten to choke economic growth. Alongside that, analysts have slashed profit estimates, and a chorus of US and European companies -- including car giant Ford Motor Co. -- has issued early warnings about third-quarter results.But one view is that this could set firms a lower bar to clear, and fuel a much-needed recovery in stocks that are currently at levels last seen nearly two years ago.“Investors have to ask themselves how much of the bad news has already been priced in,” said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments LLC. “Given extreme pessimism combined with reasonable valuations, the fourth quarter could give investors an opportunity to claw back some of their losses.”History is an imperfect guide, but past stock performance bodes well for the quarter. The S&P 500 gained an average 4.1% in the final quarter during the past 20 years, while the MSCI has posted a fourth-quarter decline only three times over that period.That’s not to say companies will get through the season with glowing report cards. There’s still plenty of hurdles that could cement 2022’s reputation as a year to forget.For one, the era of higher costs is making it difficult to defend profitability. Firms also face tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and others as central banks keep a laser focus on taming inflation. On top of that, there’s the war in Ukraine, a severe energy crisis in Europe, and economically damaging Covid restrictions in China.Dollar EffectUS companies with a large international exposure are at risk from a stronger dollar, as underscored by Nike Inc.’s disappointing earnings report on Thursday.European and UK importers, on the other hand, are dealing with much weaker currencies. UK conglomerate Associated British Foods Plc and Swedish fashion retailer Hennes & Mauritz AB both blamed the greenback for a bleaker profit outlook.But the scale of recent analyst downgrades, as well as the market reaction to the early announcers, suggest that “some disappointments are already expected and possibly even priced in to some extent,” said Esty Dwek, chief investment officer at Flowbank SA.FedEx Corp.’s withdrawal of its full-year guidance last month sparked the biggest selloff in its shares in more than four decades. Used-car dealer CarMax Inc. sank 25% after a glum quarterly report.A Citigroup Inc. index shows US earnings downgrades have consistently outnumbered upgrades since early June, while global 12-month forward earnings have been revised down every month in the last quarter. Both the S&P 500 and Stoxx 600 are in bear markets -- defined as a drop of 20% or more from recent highs.The big question in the lead-up to the next earnings season is whether this will be enough. Strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc. have warned that estimates are still too high and that “we’re going to see pretty substantial reductions for 2023.”Yet, others see reason to believe earnings can hold up for a while longer.“Just looking at the resilience of the US economy, there’s little to suggest that earnings would be struggling at this stage,” said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. “We’re looking out for the guidance, mentions of margin concerns, wage costs, etc. but we wouldn’t expect that to show through at least until about the first quarter of next year.”Bloomberg Intelligence analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to have risen 2.9% in the quarter, helped mainly by the energy sector. Gina Martin Adams, BI chief equity strategist, said the absence of “economic excesses” -- such as the indebtedness seen before the 2008 recession -- could insulate US demand from a severe decline.And while European importers are smarting from a weaker euro, exporters are benefiting. French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi said it expects a positive currency impact of about 10% in the quarter.“Health care is the best sector in Europe when the dollar is rising,” said Manish Kabra, head of US equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. “A very simple trade but it always works.”Even Morgan Stanley’s Michael J. Wilson -- a stalwart equity bear -- said US stocks are in the “final stages” of a bear market and could stage a rally near term. True to form, however, he expects the selloff to resume thereafter.The decidedly negative investor mood could also prove to be a contrarian indicator of a short-term bounce for stocks.Sanford C. Bernstein strategists say their custom sentiment gauge has triggered a buy signal, meaning a “bear market rally is very possible.”Some technical levels suggest markets are lining up for a recovery into the end of the year. The relative strength indexes for the S&P 500 and the Stoxx 600 are at “oversold” levels. That’s marked a short-term bottom in the past.“We have historically terrible sentiment, stocks are looking notably cheap, the VIX is spiking and the market is being indiscriminately sold,” said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs. Combined with seasonal tailwinds, all those factors “could lead to a year-end rally,” she said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910132338,"gmtCreate":1663572740325,"gmtModify":1676537293298,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good insights. Thanks for sharing.","listText":"Good insights. Thanks for sharing.","text":"Good insights. Thanks for sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910132338","repostId":"1177047620","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177047620","pubTimestamp":1663570508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177047620?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177047620","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.</li><li>Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.</li><li>Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed likely has to do much more tightening.</li><li>Many stocks are still expensive, and valuations remain relatively high.</li><li>The ultimate bottom for the S&amp;P 500 may come at 3,000 or lower. I am hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500/SPX (SP500) hit a low of around 3,640 in mid-June, roughly a 25% drop from the top. Then, we saw a significant counter-trend rally into mid-August. However, despite the late summer stock market optimism, it&#39;s doubtful that the bear market is over. Recent inflation numbers illustrate that the economic climate remains highly challenging, and the Fed needs to do more. Unfortunately, interest rates are moving higher, and stocks will probably continue dropping.</p><p>Moreover, we haven&#39;t seen many of the hallmark signs of a long-term bottom. There should be more blood in the streets, and the ultimate bear market bottom could arrive at around 3,000 in the S&amp;P 500 in a base case outcome. I&#39;m capitalizing on the volatility by hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.</p><p>The Technical Image - Very Bearish Now</p><p><b>SPX 1-Year Chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a0e3641f8acc8cb2a23a7d95ff08fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPX(StockCharts.com )</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s bear market began right around the start of 2022. Since the bearish trend began, we&#39;ve seen a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent high occurred in mid-August when I put out a near-term top alert. Now, things are becoming more bearish. After the recent high, the market attempted to rebound but got smacked down by Jerome Powell&#39;s Jackson Hole remarks. More recently, the market tried to muster another rally, but the higher-than-anticipated inflation numbers brought a quick end to that attempt.</p><p>Now, we&#39;re looking at an increasingly bearish technical image as the SPX is putting in a pessimistic head and shoulders pattern and is on the verge of busting through critical 3,900 support. Once below this level, the S&amp;P 500 should at least retest the prior low around 3,700-3,600. However, a likelier scenario is that the S&amp;P will make a lower low, dropping the SPX down into the 3,400-3,000 range next.</p><h2>What Do Jackson Hole And Inflation Have In Common?</h2><p>At Jackson Hole, we learned just how intent the Fed is on battling inflation and how bearish this phenomenon is for the stock market. I wrote about the Fed&#39;s bearish symposium several weeks ago. The key takeaway from Chair Powell&#39;s speech is that inflation is much more persistent and challenging to deal with than previously expected. The Fed must do much more to lower inflation. The dynamic of high-interest rates, slower growth, and a worsening labor market will bring substantial pain to households and businesses.</p><p>Now, Let&#39;s Look At Inflation</p><p><b>CPI Inflation</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e415ae81767865727859c61ace2822d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"313\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CPI inflation(TradingEconomics.com )</p><p>While inflation has decreased from the 9.1% reading, it remains remarkably high. Inflation is running hotter than we&#39;ve seen in about 40 years now. The primary issue is that the Fed has been raising interest rates and implementing other tightening measures like QT, but we&#39;re seeing a minimal effect on inflation. Therefore, the Fed needs to do more. However, more tightening will further constrict economic growth and decrease consumer confidence. Additionally, higher inflation, lower growth, and worsening spending negatively impact corporate profits and should lead to more pain as we advance.</p><h2>Don&#39;t Fight The Fed</h2><p>Wise people have told me, &#34;you don&#39;t fight the Fed.&#34; You don&#39;t want to fight the Fed when the central bank is easing. We saw ultra-loose monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, and stocks did great for much of that time. However, we are in a completely different economic environment now. As the Fed pulls liquidity out of markets, the cost of borrowing increases, growth slows, sentiment worsens, and risk assets deflate. Furthermore, we&#39;ve underestimated the severity of the inflation problem and the Fed&#39;s commitment to making it &#34;go away.&#34;</p><p><b>Rate Probabilities</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e5b344a6418c8597ba3e52b0570b80\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Fed Watch(CMEGroup.com )</p><p>Just one month ago, the market expected a 50 basis point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting. There is about a 25% probability that we may see a 100 basis point move. Whether we see a 75 basis point hike or a full 1% increase next week is not that relevant. The fact is that the Fed is intent on increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. Unfortunately, the benchmark will be above 3% after next week&#39;s meeting. With rates at such elevated levels, economic growth will weaken further, and there is no telling when the inflation problem may end.</p><h2>Uncertainty Ahead For Stocks</h2><p>There is increased uncertainty surrounding inflation, growth, Fed tightening, the consumer, recession, corporate earnings, and much more. Typically, I would say that the stock market will climb the wall of worry, but this wall of worry may be too high to climb.</p><p>One of the most troubling factors is that we don&#39;t know how deep the downturn will cut into corporate results. We already see declining revenues, worsening margins, and fewer profits at major corporations. However, these declines could continue, and future downward earnings revisions could persist. Additionally, valuations remain relatively high, and this dynamic could mean lower stock prices before this bear market gets sorted out.</p><h2>The Valuation Dynamic</h2><p><b>The Shiller P/E Ratio</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d6272d7dbe21608d8468cf653f5ad0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shiller P/E ratio(multpl.com)</p><p>We see the Shiller P/E coming down lately, but the drop has just begun. We can see that once the Shiller P/E drops, it rarely stops until a relatively low has been achieved. We should see the CAPE P/E ratio decline as the economy weakens, earnings decrease, and valuations come down. A reasonably conservative target could be a Shiller P/E ratio of approximately 20. While the historical mean is only 17, the market has become accustomed to higher P/E ratio valuations in recent years. Therefore, we may see increased buy interest around the 20 level, if the SPX doesn&#39;t overshoot to the downside. A decline to a 20 Shiller P/E ratio would equate to an approximately 28% drop from current levels, roughly coinciding with the 2,800 level in the S&amp;P 500. Therefore, my ultimate bottom in the S&amp;P 500 target remains at 3,000. However, the market may overshoot lower into the 2,800-2,400 range in a bearish case outcome.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500: There Will Be Blood\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177047620","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed likely has to do much more tightening.Many stocks are still expensive, and valuations remain relatively high.The ultimate bottom for the S&P 500 may come at 3,000 or lower. I am hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.The S&P 500/SPX (SP500) hit a low of around 3,640 in mid-June, roughly a 25% drop from the top. Then, we saw a significant counter-trend rally into mid-August. However, despite the late summer stock market optimism, it's doubtful that the bear market is over. Recent inflation numbers illustrate that the economic climate remains highly challenging, and the Fed needs to do more. Unfortunately, interest rates are moving higher, and stocks will probably continue dropping.Moreover, we haven't seen many of the hallmark signs of a long-term bottom. There should be more blood in the streets, and the ultimate bear market bottom could arrive at around 3,000 in the S&P 500 in a base case outcome. I'm capitalizing on the volatility by hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.The Technical Image - Very Bearish NowSPX 1-Year ChartSPX(StockCharts.com )The S&P 500's bear market began right around the start of 2022. Since the bearish trend began, we've seen a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent high occurred in mid-August when I put out a near-term top alert. Now, things are becoming more bearish. After the recent high, the market attempted to rebound but got smacked down by Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole remarks. More recently, the market tried to muster another rally, but the higher-than-anticipated inflation numbers brought a quick end to that attempt.Now, we're looking at an increasingly bearish technical image as the SPX is putting in a pessimistic head and shoulders pattern and is on the verge of busting through critical 3,900 support. Once below this level, the S&P 500 should at least retest the prior low around 3,700-3,600. However, a likelier scenario is that the S&P will make a lower low, dropping the SPX down into the 3,400-3,000 range next.What Do Jackson Hole And Inflation Have In Common?At Jackson Hole, we learned just how intent the Fed is on battling inflation and how bearish this phenomenon is for the stock market. I wrote about the Fed's bearish symposium several weeks ago. The key takeaway from Chair Powell's speech is that inflation is much more persistent and challenging to deal with than previously expected. The Fed must do much more to lower inflation. The dynamic of high-interest rates, slower growth, and a worsening labor market will bring substantial pain to households and businesses.Now, Let's Look At InflationCPI InflationCPI inflation(TradingEconomics.com )While inflation has decreased from the 9.1% reading, it remains remarkably high. Inflation is running hotter than we've seen in about 40 years now. The primary issue is that the Fed has been raising interest rates and implementing other tightening measures like QT, but we're seeing a minimal effect on inflation. Therefore, the Fed needs to do more. However, more tightening will further constrict economic growth and decrease consumer confidence. Additionally, higher inflation, lower growth, and worsening spending negatively impact corporate profits and should lead to more pain as we advance.Don't Fight The FedWise people have told me, \"you don't fight the Fed.\" You don't want to fight the Fed when the central bank is easing. We saw ultra-loose monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, and stocks did great for much of that time. However, we are in a completely different economic environment now. As the Fed pulls liquidity out of markets, the cost of borrowing increases, growth slows, sentiment worsens, and risk assets deflate. Furthermore, we've underestimated the severity of the inflation problem and the Fed's commitment to making it \"go away.\"Rate ProbabilitiesFed Watch(CMEGroup.com )Just one month ago, the market expected a 50 basis point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting. There is about a 25% probability that we may see a 100 basis point move. Whether we see a 75 basis point hike or a full 1% increase next week is not that relevant. The fact is that the Fed is intent on increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. Unfortunately, the benchmark will be above 3% after next week's meeting. With rates at such elevated levels, economic growth will weaken further, and there is no telling when the inflation problem may end.Uncertainty Ahead For StocksThere is increased uncertainty surrounding inflation, growth, Fed tightening, the consumer, recession, corporate earnings, and much more. Typically, I would say that the stock market will climb the wall of worry, but this wall of worry may be too high to climb.One of the most troubling factors is that we don't know how deep the downturn will cut into corporate results. We already see declining revenues, worsening margins, and fewer profits at major corporations. However, these declines could continue, and future downward earnings revisions could persist. Additionally, valuations remain relatively high, and this dynamic could mean lower stock prices before this bear market gets sorted out.The Valuation DynamicThe Shiller P/E RatioShiller P/E ratio(multpl.com)We see the Shiller P/E coming down lately, but the drop has just begun. We can see that once the Shiller P/E drops, it rarely stops until a relatively low has been achieved. We should see the CAPE P/E ratio decline as the economy weakens, earnings decrease, and valuations come down. A reasonably conservative target could be a Shiller P/E ratio of approximately 20. While the historical mean is only 17, the market has become accustomed to higher P/E ratio valuations in recent years. Therefore, we may see increased buy interest around the 20 level, if the SPX doesn't overshoot to the downside. A decline to a 20 Shiller P/E ratio would equate to an approximately 28% drop from current levels, roughly coinciding with the 2,800 level in the S&P 500. Therefore, my ultimate bottom in the S&P 500 target remains at 3,000. However, the market may overshoot lower into the 2,800-2,400 range in a bearish case outcome.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938551775,"gmtCreate":1662640345097,"gmtModify":1676537107122,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938551775","repostId":"1135827542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135827542","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662640254,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135827542?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-08 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Initial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135827542","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Initial Jobless Claims: -6K to 222K vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).4-week movi","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Initial Jobless Claims: <b>-6K to 222K</b> vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).</li><li>4-week moving average of 233,000 down from 240,500 in the previous week.</li><li>The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0% for the week ended Aug. 27, unchanged from the previous week&#39;s unrevised rate.</li><li>The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 175,842 in the week ended Sept. 3, a decrease of 1,978 (or 1.1%) from the previous week.</li><li>The seasonal factors had expected an increase of 7,073 (or 4.1%) from the prior week. And there were 285,950 initial claims in the comparable week in 2021.</li><li>Continuing jobless claims of <b>1.473M</b> vs. 1.435M consensus and 1.437M prior</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Initial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInitial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-08 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Initial Jobless Claims: <b>-6K to 222K</b> vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).</li><li>4-week moving average of 233,000 down from 240,500 in the previous week.</li><li>The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0% for the week ended Aug. 27, unchanged from the previous week&#39;s unrevised rate.</li><li>The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 175,842 in the week ended Sept. 3, a decrease of 1,978 (or 1.1%) from the previous week.</li><li>The seasonal factors had expected an increase of 7,073 (or 4.1%) from the prior week. And there were 285,950 initial claims in the comparable week in 2021.</li><li>Continuing jobless claims of <b>1.473M</b> vs. 1.435M consensus and 1.437M prior</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135827542","content_text":"Initial Jobless Claims: -6K to 222K vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).4-week moving average of 233,000 down from 240,500 in the previous week.The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0% for the week ended Aug. 27, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate.The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 175,842 in the week ended Sept. 3, a decrease of 1,978 (or 1.1%) from the previous week.The seasonal factors had expected an increase of 7,073 (or 4.1%) from the prior week. And there were 285,950 initial claims in the comparable week in 2021.Continuing jobless claims of 1.473M vs. 1.435M consensus and 1.437M prior","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902934066,"gmtCreate":1659624741857,"gmtModify":1705996326185,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902934066","repostId":"2256993259","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2256993259","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1659627509,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2256993259?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 23:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2256993259","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy trading ahead despite a recent snapback in U.S. stocks, though institutional investors&#39; low exposure to equities may help curb gyrations.</p><p>The Cboe Volatility Index, an options-based indicator that reflects demand for protection against drops in the stock market, recently stood at 23, following a sharp rally in stocks that has taken the S&amp;P 500 index up 12% from its mid-June low on expectations that the Federal Reserve may be less hawkish than anticipated in its fight against inflation.</p><p>VIX readings above 20 are generally associated with an elevated sense of investor anxiety about the near-term outlook for stocks, while readings north of 30 or 35 point to acute fear.</p><p>The VIX is well above its long-term median of 17.7, signaling continued unease about the longer-term outlook for stocks. Still, it is down from its year high of almost 40 and has oscillated between 20 and 30 for six weeks, its longest time within that 10-point range in a year-and-a-half.</p><p>Meanwhile, the VVIX index - a gauge of expected swings in the fear index, slumped to a three-year low earlier this week, signaling investors do not expect sharp swings in either direction from the VIX.</p><p>&#34;There is just less of a concern of an outlier kind of move in the market,&#34; said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group.</p><p>The lowered expectations for extreme volatility come as investors assess whether stocks can sustain a rally in which the S&amp;P 500 in July notched its best one-month percentage gain since November 2020. The July rally followed stocks&#39; worst first half of the year since 1970.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly on Tuesday pushed back on expectations of a so-called dovish pivot from the Fed, saying that the central bank’s fight against inflation was &#34;nowhere near&#34; done, and data on U.S. employment on Friday and consumer prices next week could bolster the case for Fed hawkishness.</p><p>Meanwhile, several Wall Street banks have cast a skeptical eye on the recent rebound in stocks and warned of more downside ahead.</p><p>&#34;We view this as a bear market rally,&#34; wrote Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at BofA Global Research in a report, noting that such rebounds have occurred an average of 1.5 times per bear market since 1929. The bank has a year-end target of 3,600 on the S&amp;P 500, about 14% below current levels.</p><h3>LOW EXPOSURE</h3><p>One factor that could help dampen market volatility in coming months is limited exposure to stocks among institutional investors, who earlier this year raced to cut their stock allocations as the Fed ramped up expectations that it will fight inflation with market-bruising interest rate hikes.</p><p>Despite the recent bounce, big investors&#39; exposure to stocks remains low. Equity positioning for both discretionary and systematic investors remains in the 12th percentile of its range since January 2010, according to a July 29 note by Deutsche Bank analysts.</p><p>&#34;Institutional positioning in equities is at the low end of its historical range,&#34; said Anand Omprakash, head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at Elevation Securities. &#34;You have a situation where the catalyst for an explosive equity crash is not as prevalent as it might have been in the past.&#34;</p><p>Lighter positioning means investors are not exhibiting the same rush to load up on options insurance against a downside move in stocks, a factor that can moderate the VIX&#39;s rise even if stocks come in for another bout of weakness.</p><p>The 10-day average daily trading volume in VIX options has slipped to about 360,000 contracts, the lowest since early January, according to a Reuters analysis.</p><p>Lighter allocations to equities may also take the edge off potential selloffs, said Max Grinacoff, U.S. equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. His firm has a year-end target of 4,400 on the S&amp;P 500 - some 7% above current levels.</p><p>&#34;Because of how clean positioning has become through the year ... you are not having the impact from everyone running for the exit at once,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-04 23:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy trading ahead despite a recent snapback in U.S. stocks, though institutional investors&#39; low exposure to equities may help curb gyrations.</p><p>The Cboe Volatility Index, an options-based indicator that reflects demand for protection against drops in the stock market, recently stood at 23, following a sharp rally in stocks that has taken the S&amp;P 500 index up 12% from its mid-June low on expectations that the Federal Reserve may be less hawkish than anticipated in its fight against inflation.</p><p>VIX readings above 20 are generally associated with an elevated sense of investor anxiety about the near-term outlook for stocks, while readings north of 30 or 35 point to acute fear.</p><p>The VIX is well above its long-term median of 17.7, signaling continued unease about the longer-term outlook for stocks. Still, it is down from its year high of almost 40 and has oscillated between 20 and 30 for six weeks, its longest time within that 10-point range in a year-and-a-half.</p><p>Meanwhile, the VVIX index - a gauge of expected swings in the fear index, slumped to a three-year low earlier this week, signaling investors do not expect sharp swings in either direction from the VIX.</p><p>&#34;There is just less of a concern of an outlier kind of move in the market,&#34; said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group.</p><p>The lowered expectations for extreme volatility come as investors assess whether stocks can sustain a rally in which the S&amp;P 500 in July notched its best one-month percentage gain since November 2020. The July rally followed stocks&#39; worst first half of the year since 1970.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly on Tuesday pushed back on expectations of a so-called dovish pivot from the Fed, saying that the central bank’s fight against inflation was &#34;nowhere near&#34; done, and data on U.S. employment on Friday and consumer prices next week could bolster the case for Fed hawkishness.</p><p>Meanwhile, several Wall Street banks have cast a skeptical eye on the recent rebound in stocks and warned of more downside ahead.</p><p>&#34;We view this as a bear market rally,&#34; wrote Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at BofA Global Research in a report, noting that such rebounds have occurred an average of 1.5 times per bear market since 1929. The bank has a year-end target of 3,600 on the S&amp;P 500, about 14% below current levels.</p><h3>LOW EXPOSURE</h3><p>One factor that could help dampen market volatility in coming months is limited exposure to stocks among institutional investors, who earlier this year raced to cut their stock allocations as the Fed ramped up expectations that it will fight inflation with market-bruising interest rate hikes.</p><p>Despite the recent bounce, big investors&#39; exposure to stocks remains low. Equity positioning for both discretionary and systematic investors remains in the 12th percentile of its range since January 2010, according to a July 29 note by Deutsche Bank analysts.</p><p>&#34;Institutional positioning in equities is at the low end of its historical range,&#34; said Anand Omprakash, head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at Elevation Securities. &#34;You have a situation where the catalyst for an explosive equity crash is not as prevalent as it might have been in the past.&#34;</p><p>Lighter positioning means investors are not exhibiting the same rush to load up on options insurance against a downside move in stocks, a factor that can moderate the VIX&#39;s rise even if stocks come in for another bout of weakness.</p><p>The 10-day average daily trading volume in VIX options has slipped to about 360,000 contracts, the lowest since early January, according to a Reuters analysis.</p><p>Lighter allocations to equities may also take the edge off potential selloffs, said Max Grinacoff, U.S. equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. His firm has a year-end target of 4,400 on the S&amp;P 500 - some 7% above current levels.</p><p>&#34;Because of how clean positioning has become through the year ... you are not having the impact from everyone running for the exit at once,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2256993259","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy trading ahead despite a recent snapback in U.S. stocks, though institutional investors' low exposure to equities may help curb gyrations.The Cboe Volatility Index, an options-based indicator that reflects demand for protection against drops in the stock market, recently stood at 23, following a sharp rally in stocks that has taken the S&P 500 index up 12% from its mid-June low on expectations that the Federal Reserve may be less hawkish than anticipated in its fight against inflation.VIX readings above 20 are generally associated with an elevated sense of investor anxiety about the near-term outlook for stocks, while readings north of 30 or 35 point to acute fear.The VIX is well above its long-term median of 17.7, signaling continued unease about the longer-term outlook for stocks. Still, it is down from its year high of almost 40 and has oscillated between 20 and 30 for six weeks, its longest time within that 10-point range in a year-and-a-half.Meanwhile, the VVIX index - a gauge of expected swings in the fear index, slumped to a three-year low earlier this week, signaling investors do not expect sharp swings in either direction from the VIX.\"There is just less of a concern of an outlier kind of move in the market,\" said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group.The lowered expectations for extreme volatility come as investors assess whether stocks can sustain a rally in which the S&P 500 in July notched its best one-month percentage gain since November 2020. The July rally followed stocks' worst first half of the year since 1970.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly on Tuesday pushed back on expectations of a so-called dovish pivot from the Fed, saying that the central bank’s fight against inflation was \"nowhere near\" done, and data on U.S. employment on Friday and consumer prices next week could bolster the case for Fed hawkishness.Meanwhile, several Wall Street banks have cast a skeptical eye on the recent rebound in stocks and warned of more downside ahead.\"We view this as a bear market rally,\" wrote Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at BofA Global Research in a report, noting that such rebounds have occurred an average of 1.5 times per bear market since 1929. The bank has a year-end target of 3,600 on the S&P 500, about 14% below current levels.LOW EXPOSUREOne factor that could help dampen market volatility in coming months is limited exposure to stocks among institutional investors, who earlier this year raced to cut their stock allocations as the Fed ramped up expectations that it will fight inflation with market-bruising interest rate hikes.Despite the recent bounce, big investors' exposure to stocks remains low. Equity positioning for both discretionary and systematic investors remains in the 12th percentile of its range since January 2010, according to a July 29 note by Deutsche Bank analysts.\"Institutional positioning in equities is at the low end of its historical range,\" said Anand Omprakash, head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at Elevation Securities. \"You have a situation where the catalyst for an explosive equity crash is not as prevalent as it might have been in the past.\"Lighter positioning means investors are not exhibiting the same rush to load up on options insurance against a downside move in stocks, a factor that can moderate the VIX's rise even if stocks come in for another bout of weakness.The 10-day average daily trading volume in VIX options has slipped to about 360,000 contracts, the lowest since early January, according to a Reuters analysis.Lighter allocations to equities may also take the edge off potential selloffs, said Max Grinacoff, U.S. equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. His firm has a year-end target of 4,400 on the S&P 500 - some 7% above current levels.\"Because of how clean positioning has become through the year ... you are not having the impact from everyone running for the exit at once,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908573699,"gmtCreate":1659407939711,"gmtModify":1705980053219,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908573699","repostId":"1142849270","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142849270","pubTimestamp":1659367195,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142849270?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142849270","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatility</li><li>Fed pivot optimism fuels S&amp;P 500 to best month since Nov 2020</li></ul><p>Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for steady income streams as risk appetite runs hot and cold this year.</p><p>In the $6.6 trillion exchange-traded fund arena, three dividend-focused ETFs rank among the top 10 in terms of equity inflows, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The leader, the $36.5 billion Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (ticker SCHD), has only posted five outflows this year.</p><p>In the bond market, a mix of dip-buying behavior and growth concerns has sparked a fierce rally in Treasuries after benchmark yields hit multiyear highs last month. Billions have been funneled into corporate debt, with the S&amp;P 500’s earnings yield holding the slimmest advantage to the average yield on blue-chip bonds in over a decade.</p><p>The demand for coupon-clipping and reliable payouts casts a cautious light on the biggest two-day rally on record following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday raised the potential for smaller rate hikes in the future, skeptics warn that still-high inflation will prevent a pivot and send the economy into a recession. Against that backdrop, it makes sense to play it safe, according to AlphaTrAI’s Max Gokhman.</p><p>“The common denominator is defense,” said Gokhman, the firm’s chief investment officer. “High-quality corporate debt and buying stocks of companies with resilient balance sheets that can afford to pay a consistent dividend without worrying about excess leverage or margin pressure makes sense.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e85bc40de18118437b82218c7aeb3032\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>While the S&amp;P 500 has soared 9% in July, on track for its biggest month of gains since November 2020, the index is still down 13% this year. Strong earnings have recently reassured traders, but uncertainty around a US recession and the path of the Fed’s rate hikes has kept traders on their toes.</p><p>The back-and-forth nature of stocks has made bonds more appealing to some investors. The average yield on investment-grade bonds is currently 4.35% while the S&amp;P 500 “pays out” about 4.8% in earnings. That’s close to the smallest gap since 2010.</p><p>“Really where we’re starting to see opportunity is credit markets,” Russ Koesterich, portfolio manager of BlackRock’s global allocation fund, said on Bloomberg Television. “If we’re going to be in an environment where equity is going to be choppy over the next few months, one of the things you can do in your portfolio is you can add carry. You can add income.”</p><p>Relatively high yields on investment-grade bonds means unlike much of the past decade, investors don’t even have to “dive down” in quality for worthwhile returns, according to Karissa McDonough of Community Bank Trust Services. That’s an attractive proposition with recession fears on high alert.</p><p>“In corporate bonds, especially high-quality corporates, we’re seeing over 5% yields in some of those areas, which we haven’t seen in a long time,” McDonough, a fixed-income strategist, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “That’s real money, real income and a good opportunity as long as you’re selective.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daa38c68313f0bc1c0866bde4a87bc3b\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Similarly, a volatile stock market this year has pushed investors toward ETFs that somewhat guarantee a stable income. SCHD, which has garnered nearly $8.3 billion this year, is on track to surpass 2021’s record $9.8 billion haul. And more than $6.3 billion has flowed into the $11.5 billion JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) year-to-date, while the $46.1 billion Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) has taken in $6 billion in 2022 -- a record.</p><p>ETF issuers have also been quick to try and capitalize on the trend. Launches and applications for income-oriented funds have multiplied this year, with strategies ranging from buying stocks of dividend-paying companies to selling call options on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>But the hunt for income isn’t as simple as chasing the stocks with the highest payouts, according to Richard Bernstein Advisors’s Dan Suzuki, whose firm has been adding high-quality dividend stocks and long-duration bonds in recent weeks.</p><p>“High-dividend payers are like high-yield bonds -- there’s a risk priced in that the dividend gets cut,” said Suzuki, the firm’s deputy chief investment officer. But longer-dated Treasuries and higher-quality dividend stocks are “both an attractive way to get defensive in the portfolio.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIncome Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-01 23:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best month since Nov 2020Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SCHD":"Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142849270","content_text":"Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best month since Nov 2020Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for steady income streams as risk appetite runs hot and cold this year.In the $6.6 trillion exchange-traded fund arena, three dividend-focused ETFs rank among the top 10 in terms of equity inflows, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The leader, the $36.5 billion Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (ticker SCHD), has only posted five outflows this year.In the bond market, a mix of dip-buying behavior and growth concerns has sparked a fierce rally in Treasuries after benchmark yields hit multiyear highs last month. Billions have been funneled into corporate debt, with the S&P 500’s earnings yield holding the slimmest advantage to the average yield on blue-chip bonds in over a decade.The demand for coupon-clipping and reliable payouts casts a cautious light on the biggest two-day rally on record following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday raised the potential for smaller rate hikes in the future, skeptics warn that still-high inflation will prevent a pivot and send the economy into a recession. Against that backdrop, it makes sense to play it safe, according to AlphaTrAI’s Max Gokhman.“The common denominator is defense,” said Gokhman, the firm’s chief investment officer. “High-quality corporate debt and buying stocks of companies with resilient balance sheets that can afford to pay a consistent dividend without worrying about excess leverage or margin pressure makes sense.”While the S&P 500 has soared 9% in July, on track for its biggest month of gains since November 2020, the index is still down 13% this year. Strong earnings have recently reassured traders, but uncertainty around a US recession and the path of the Fed’s rate hikes has kept traders on their toes.The back-and-forth nature of stocks has made bonds more appealing to some investors. The average yield on investment-grade bonds is currently 4.35% while the S&P 500 “pays out” about 4.8% in earnings. That’s close to the smallest gap since 2010.“Really where we’re starting to see opportunity is credit markets,” Russ Koesterich, portfolio manager of BlackRock’s global allocation fund, said on Bloomberg Television. “If we’re going to be in an environment where equity is going to be choppy over the next few months, one of the things you can do in your portfolio is you can add carry. You can add income.”Relatively high yields on investment-grade bonds means unlike much of the past decade, investors don’t even have to “dive down” in quality for worthwhile returns, according to Karissa McDonough of Community Bank Trust Services. That’s an attractive proposition with recession fears on high alert.“In corporate bonds, especially high-quality corporates, we’re seeing over 5% yields in some of those areas, which we haven’t seen in a long time,” McDonough, a fixed-income strategist, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “That’s real money, real income and a good opportunity as long as you’re selective.”Similarly, a volatile stock market this year has pushed investors toward ETFs that somewhat guarantee a stable income. SCHD, which has garnered nearly $8.3 billion this year, is on track to surpass 2021’s record $9.8 billion haul. And more than $6.3 billion has flowed into the $11.5 billion JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) year-to-date, while the $46.1 billion Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) has taken in $6 billion in 2022 -- a record.ETF issuers have also been quick to try and capitalize on the trend. Launches and applications for income-oriented funds have multiplied this year, with strategies ranging from buying stocks of dividend-paying companies to selling call options on the S&P 500.But the hunt for income isn’t as simple as chasing the stocks with the highest payouts, according to Richard Bernstein Advisors’s Dan Suzuki, whose firm has been adding high-quality dividend stocks and long-duration bonds in recent weeks.“High-dividend payers are like high-yield bonds -- there’s a risk priced in that the dividend gets cut,” said Suzuki, the firm’s deputy chief investment officer. But longer-dated Treasuries and higher-quality dividend stocks are “both an attractive way to get defensive in the portfolio.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041019440,"gmtCreate":1655978495480,"gmtModify":1676535744178,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAK\">$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$</a>Any idea when is the Next&nbsp;Dividend payout date for Takeda?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAK\">$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$</a>Any idea when is the Next&nbsp;Dividend payout date for Takeda?&nbsp;","text":"$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$Any idea when is the Next Dividend payout date for Takeda?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041019440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049543563,"gmtCreate":1655820541652,"gmtModify":1676535711347,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.","listText":"Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.","text":"Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049543563","repostId":"2244310166","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2244310166","pubTimestamp":1655601203,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244310166?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-19 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244310166","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has de","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.</p><p>According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has deployed roughly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of his cash into new investments during the first three months of the year.</p><p>As always, Buffett’s biggest swings are noteworthy. However, his decision to sell most bank stocks while adding Citigroup (C) to Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK) portfolio is puzzling Wall Street.</p><p>Here’s why this contradiction has caught so much attention.</p><h2>Buffett loves banks</h2><p>Buffett is deeply familiar with banking and financial services. He believes the business is relatively straightforward and can be extremely lucrative if managed well.</p><p>“If you can just stay away from following the fads, and really making a lot of bad loans, banking has been a remarkably good business in this country,” he told Berkshire Hathaway investors in 2003.</p><p>What about the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Buffett went on a shopping spree during that time, picking up stakes in JP Morgan (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS).</p><p>For several years, major banks have been the biggest holdings in the Berkshire portfolio. In 2009, he even said Wells Fargo (WFC) was his highest-conviction investment.</p><p>“If I had to put all my net worth in one stock, that would’ve been the stock,” he told Berkshire shareholders.</p><h2>Catching Buffett on the rebound</h2><p>This year, Buffett has completely exited all these investments. Only a few banks remain in the portfolio.</p><p>That doesn’t mean the love affair with financial services is over.</p><p>In fact, Buffett added a new bank to his collection this year: Citigroup. During the first quarter of 2022, he added 55 million shares of Citigroup to the Berkshire portfolio.</p><p>The stake is now worth $2.5 billion, making it the 16th largest holding in the basket.</p><p>The bet seems to be predicated on a turnaround story.</p><h2>Citigroup’s transformation</h2><p>Citigroup has lagged behind its peers. Over the past five years, the stock is down over 28%.</p><p>Compare that to Bank of America’s 37% return over the same period. Even the SPDR S&amp;P Bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> (KBE) is up 1.9%.</p><p>The company is now attempting a turnaround to catch up. Last year, Citigroup’s board appointed Jane Fraser as the new CEO — making her the first female leader of a major U.S. bank.</p><p>Fraser&#39;s strategy involves focusing on the more profitable segments of the business. Citigroup is selling or shutting down operations in Mexico, Australia, Philippines, South Korea and elsewhere.</p><p>Citi stock hasn’t fully reflected this new strategy.</p><h2>An undervalued opportunity?</h2><p>Citigroup stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.52. That’s significantly lower than the industry average of 9.45 and 1.12 respectively.</p><p>Put simply, the stock is cheap.</p><p>If the new management team can streamline operations and boost profitability, the bank’s valuation could catch up with peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, a rising interest rate environment should provide another tailwind.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-19 09:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-broke-most-beloved-130000046.html><strong>MoneyWise</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has deployed roughly one-third of his cash into new investments during the first three months of the year....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-broke-most-beloved-130000046.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","WFC":"富国银行","BK4176":"多领域控股","GS":"高盛","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","ZION":"齐昂银行","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4207":"综合性银行","C":"花旗","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-broke-most-beloved-130000046.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2244310166","content_text":"The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has deployed roughly one-third of his cash into new investments during the first three months of the year.As always, Buffett’s biggest swings are noteworthy. However, his decision to sell most bank stocks while adding Citigroup (C) to Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK) portfolio is puzzling Wall Street.Here’s why this contradiction has caught so much attention.Buffett loves banksBuffett is deeply familiar with banking and financial services. He believes the business is relatively straightforward and can be extremely lucrative if managed well.“If you can just stay away from following the fads, and really making a lot of bad loans, banking has been a remarkably good business in this country,” he told Berkshire Hathaway investors in 2003.What about the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Buffett went on a shopping spree during that time, picking up stakes in JP Morgan (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS).For several years, major banks have been the biggest holdings in the Berkshire portfolio. In 2009, he even said Wells Fargo (WFC) was his highest-conviction investment.“If I had to put all my net worth in one stock, that would’ve been the stock,” he told Berkshire shareholders.Catching Buffett on the reboundThis year, Buffett has completely exited all these investments. Only a few banks remain in the portfolio.That doesn’t mean the love affair with financial services is over.In fact, Buffett added a new bank to his collection this year: Citigroup. During the first quarter of 2022, he added 55 million shares of Citigroup to the Berkshire portfolio.The stake is now worth $2.5 billion, making it the 16th largest holding in the basket.The bet seems to be predicated on a turnaround story.Citigroup’s transformationCitigroup has lagged behind its peers. Over the past five years, the stock is down over 28%.Compare that to Bank of America’s 37% return over the same period. Even the SPDR S&P Bank Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF (KBE) is up 1.9%.The company is now attempting a turnaround to catch up. Last year, Citigroup’s board appointed Jane Fraser as the new CEO — making her the first female leader of a major U.S. bank.Fraser's strategy involves focusing on the more profitable segments of the business. Citigroup is selling or shutting down operations in Mexico, Australia, Philippines, South Korea and elsewhere.Citi stock hasn’t fully reflected this new strategy.An undervalued opportunity?Citigroup stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.52. That’s significantly lower than the industry average of 9.45 and 1.12 respectively.Put simply, the stock is cheap.If the new management team can streamline operations and boost profitability, the bank’s valuation could catch up with peers.Meanwhile, a rising interest rate environment should provide another tailwind.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057087984,"gmtCreate":1655436570848,"gmtModify":1676535639731,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.&nbsp;","listText":"Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.&nbsp;","text":"Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057087984","repostId":"2244153409","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2244153409","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1655431986,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244153409?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-17 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244153409","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.The S&P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 year","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&amp;P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve&#39;s 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 years.</p><p>Fears that drastic rate hikes may trigger the recession sometime in the next year are hanging over markets, analysts say.</p><h2>What should investors do?</h2><p>Strategists said the current market decline is likely far from over.</p><p>According to George Ball, chairman of the investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, bear markets bring an average 38% decline in stocks from peak to trough, which suggests that there may be further downside risk ahead. Through Thursday&#39;s close, the S&amp;P 500 was down 23.6% from its Jan. 3 peak finish.</p><p>&#34;Any upward moves we may see in the near-term are merely relief rallies,&#34; Ball wrote in an email to MarketWatch on Tuesday. &#34;Chasing rallies in this bear market environment should be avoided.&#34;</p><p>In addition, Ball emphasized the importance of having a cash cushion and emergency reserve for the turbulence. &#34;Smart investors will have 10% to 20% in cash for the time being,&#34; Ball wrote.</p><p>Contrary to the day trader whose hot money has mostly evaporated, long-term and retirement-oriented investors may have the chance to minimize risks and see their portfolios perform well.</p><p>Investors should be careful not to go all in on a particular investment strategy, said Don Calcagni, chief investment officer at Mercer Advisors. &#34;Stay diversified, and tilt the portfolio towards value stocks,&#34; he said in a phone interview on Wednesday.</p><p>Following Wednesday&#39;s decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the door was open for another 75 or 50 basis-point increase in July, but that 75 basis point moves weren&#39;t likely to become the norm. Analysts are becoming worried that the Fed is going to overshoot.</p><p>&#34;My concern is that the Fed has already unleashed a lot of firepower to try to tame inflation, but we really haven&#39;t seen that manifest itself yet,&#34; said Calcagni. &#34;We haven&#39;t given it enough time to really play out.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-17 10:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&amp;P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve&#39;s 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 years.</p><p>Fears that drastic rate hikes may trigger the recession sometime in the next year are hanging over markets, analysts say.</p><h2>What should investors do?</h2><p>Strategists said the current market decline is likely far from over.</p><p>According to George Ball, chairman of the investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, bear markets bring an average 38% decline in stocks from peak to trough, which suggests that there may be further downside risk ahead. Through Thursday&#39;s close, the S&amp;P 500 was down 23.6% from its Jan. 3 peak finish.</p><p>&#34;Any upward moves we may see in the near-term are merely relief rallies,&#34; Ball wrote in an email to MarketWatch on Tuesday. &#34;Chasing rallies in this bear market environment should be avoided.&#34;</p><p>In addition, Ball emphasized the importance of having a cash cushion and emergency reserve for the turbulence. &#34;Smart investors will have 10% to 20% in cash for the time being,&#34; Ball wrote.</p><p>Contrary to the day trader whose hot money has mostly evaporated, long-term and retirement-oriented investors may have the chance to minimize risks and see their portfolios perform well.</p><p>Investors should be careful not to go all in on a particular investment strategy, said Don Calcagni, chief investment officer at Mercer Advisors. &#34;Stay diversified, and tilt the portfolio towards value stocks,&#34; he said in a phone interview on Wednesday.</p><p>Following Wednesday&#39;s decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the door was open for another 75 or 50 basis-point increase in July, but that 75 basis point moves weren&#39;t likely to become the norm. Analysts are becoming worried that the Fed is going to overshoot.</p><p>&#34;My concern is that the Fed has already unleashed a lot of firepower to try to tame inflation, but we really haven&#39;t seen that manifest itself yet,&#34; said Calcagni. &#34;We haven&#39;t given it enough time to really play out.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244153409","content_text":"The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.The S&P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 years.Fears that drastic rate hikes may trigger the recession sometime in the next year are hanging over markets, analysts say.What should investors do?Strategists said the current market decline is likely far from over.According to George Ball, chairman of the investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, bear markets bring an average 38% decline in stocks from peak to trough, which suggests that there may be further downside risk ahead. Through Thursday's close, the S&P 500 was down 23.6% from its Jan. 3 peak finish.\"Any upward moves we may see in the near-term are merely relief rallies,\" Ball wrote in an email to MarketWatch on Tuesday. \"Chasing rallies in this bear market environment should be avoided.\"In addition, Ball emphasized the importance of having a cash cushion and emergency reserve for the turbulence. \"Smart investors will have 10% to 20% in cash for the time being,\" Ball wrote.Contrary to the day trader whose hot money has mostly evaporated, long-term and retirement-oriented investors may have the chance to minimize risks and see their portfolios perform well.Investors should be careful not to go all in on a particular investment strategy, said Don Calcagni, chief investment officer at Mercer Advisors. \"Stay diversified, and tilt the portfolio towards value stocks,\" he said in a phone interview on Wednesday.Following Wednesday's decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the door was open for another 75 or 50 basis-point increase in July, but that 75 basis point moves weren't likely to become the norm. Analysts are becoming worried that the Fed is going to overshoot.\"My concern is that the Fed has already unleashed a lot of firepower to try to tame inflation, but we really haven't seen that manifest itself yet,\" said Calcagni. \"We haven't given it enough time to really play out.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054106341,"gmtCreate":1655348718683,"gmtModify":1676535620245,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting and Insightful","listText":"Interesting and Insightful","text":"Interesting and Insightful","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054106341","repostId":"2243491159","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2243491159","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1655304900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243491159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 22:55","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Soccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243491159","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n\n\n \n\n\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League Soccer and cricket's Indian Premier League are a strong signal that sports are prized weapons in the streaming wars. The scramble for sports programming to attract streaming subscribers is likely to boost global listed sports assets, while potentially increasing costs for streaming services in future auctions. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Soccer clubs Manchester United Ltd., Juventus Football Club SpA, Borussia Dortmund GmbH, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFCJF\">AFC Ajax NV</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OQLGF\">Olympique Lyonnais Groupe</a> are all publicly listed, though the extent to which each individual club benefits from higher streaming fees will depend on the distribution set by the leagues. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSXMR\">Liberty Media Corp</a>. has separate tracking stocks for its interests in Formula One Group and the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club. Private-equity firms including Bridgepoint Group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a> has sports investments as well. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Meanwhile, streaming services, broadcasters and telecommunications groups could face an inflationary spiral to acquire or retain rights to air sporting events. Walt Disney Co. lost streaming rights to IPL cricket for the 2023-2027 period to rival Viacom18, a joint venture between <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> and Reliance Industries Ltd. Disney's Star India television network will pay the equivalent of $3 billion to retain the TV rights, more than it paid for the combined broadcast and streaming package in the last auction in 2017, but was outbid by Viacom18 for the digital rights The auction generated $6.2 billion in total for the league's organizers, three times the amount reached in 2017. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Higher prices raise the bar for bidders to generate returns on their investment. BT Group PLC last month said its deal with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> Inc. to form a sports JV in the U.K. and Ireland was partly aimed at reducing its exposure to rights costs. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Market Insights are commentary that is independent of the news coverage by reporters at The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Write to Adrià Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 15, 2022 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Soccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 22:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League Soccer and cricket's Indian Premier League are a strong signal that sports are prized weapons in the streaming wars. The scramble for sports programming to attract streaming subscribers is likely to boost global listed sports assets, while potentially increasing costs for streaming services in future auctions. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Soccer clubs Manchester United Ltd., Juventus Football Club SpA, Borussia Dortmund GmbH, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFCJF\">AFC Ajax NV</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OQLGF\">Olympique Lyonnais Groupe</a> are all publicly listed, though the extent to which each individual club benefits from higher streaming fees will depend on the distribution set by the leagues. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSXMR\">Liberty Media Corp</a>. has separate tracking stocks for its interests in Formula One Group and the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club. Private-equity firms including Bridgepoint Group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a> has sports investments as well. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Meanwhile, streaming services, broadcasters and telecommunications groups could face an inflationary spiral to acquire or retain rights to air sporting events. Walt Disney Co. lost streaming rights to IPL cricket for the 2023-2027 period to rival Viacom18, a joint venture between <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> and Reliance Industries Ltd. Disney's Star India television network will pay the equivalent of $3 billion to retain the TV rights, more than it paid for the combined broadcast and streaming package in the last auction in 2017, but was outbid by Viacom18 for the digital rights The auction generated $6.2 billion in total for the league's organizers, three times the amount reached in 2017. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Higher prices raise the bar for bidders to generate returns on their investment. BT Group PLC last month said its deal with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> Inc. to form a sports JV in the U.K. and Ireland was partly aimed at reducing its exposure to rights costs. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Market Insights are commentary that is independent of the news coverage by reporters at The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Write to Adrià Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 15, 2022 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LSXMA":"Liberty Media Corporation Series A","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BATRA":"Atlanta Braves-A","BK4125":"广播","MANU":"曼联","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","PARAA":"Paramount Global","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","FWONA":"Liberty Media Corporation Series A","PARA":"Paramount Global","WBD":"Warner Bros. Discovery","BK4100":"有线和卫星","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243491159","content_text":"Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n\n\n \n\n\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League Soccer and cricket's Indian Premier League are a strong signal that sports are prized weapons in the streaming wars. The scramble for sports programming to attract streaming subscribers is likely to boost global listed sports assets, while potentially increasing costs for streaming services in future auctions. \n\n\n  Soccer clubs Manchester United Ltd., Juventus Football Club SpA, Borussia Dortmund GmbH, AFC Ajax NV and Olympique Lyonnais Groupe are all publicly listed, though the extent to which each individual club benefits from higher streaming fees will depend on the distribution set by the leagues. Liberty Media Corp. has separate tracking stocks for its interests in Formula One Group and the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club. Private-equity firms including Bridgepoint Group PLC has sports investments as well. \n\n\n  Meanwhile, streaming services, broadcasters and telecommunications groups could face an inflationary spiral to acquire or retain rights to air sporting events. Walt Disney Co. lost streaming rights to IPL cricket for the 2023-2027 period to rival Viacom18, a joint venture between Paramount Global and Reliance Industries Ltd. Disney's Star India television network will pay the equivalent of $3 billion to retain the TV rights, more than it paid for the combined broadcast and streaming package in the last auction in 2017, but was outbid by Viacom18 for the digital rights The auction generated $6.2 billion in total for the league's organizers, three times the amount reached in 2017. \n\n\n  Higher prices raise the bar for bidders to generate returns on their investment. BT Group PLC last month said its deal with Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. to form a sports JV in the U.K. and Ireland was partly aimed at reducing its exposure to rights costs. \n\n\n \n\n\n  Market Insights are commentary that is independent of the news coverage by reporters at The Wall Street Journal. \n\n\n \n\n\n  Write to Adrià Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com \n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 15, 2022 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054344407,"gmtCreate":1655347102109,"gmtModify":1676535619675,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098160558341800","authorIdStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054344407","repostId":"1176174206","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176174206","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655316335,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176174206?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 02:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176174206","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising bench","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.</p><p>Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.</p><p>Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.</p><p>According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.</p><p>Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.</p><p>The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.</p><p>The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.</p><p>“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“</p><p>Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.</p><p>Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.</p><p>The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.</p><p>Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.</p><p>The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.</p><p>The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.</p><p>However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.</p><p>The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.</p><p>First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.</p><p>Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.</p><p>For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.</p><p>However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.</p><p>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.</p><p>The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.</p><p>The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.</p><p>All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 02:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.</p><p>Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.</p><p>Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.</p><p>According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.</p><p>Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.</p><p>The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.</p><p>The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.</p><p>“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“</p><p>Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.</p><p>Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.</p><p>The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.</p><p>Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.</p><p>The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.</p><p>The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.</p><p>However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.</p><p>The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.</p><p>First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.</p><p>Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.</p><p>For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.</p><p>However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.</p><p>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.</p><p>The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.</p><p>The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.</p><p>All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176174206","content_text":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9902934066,"gmtCreate":1659624741857,"gmtModify":1705996326185,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902934066","repostId":"2256993259","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2256993259","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1659627509,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2256993259?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 23:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2256993259","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy trading ahead despite a recent snapback in U.S. stocks, though institutional investors&#39; low exposure to equities may help curb gyrations.</p><p>The Cboe Volatility Index, an options-based indicator that reflects demand for protection against drops in the stock market, recently stood at 23, following a sharp rally in stocks that has taken the S&amp;P 500 index up 12% from its mid-June low on expectations that the Federal Reserve may be less hawkish than anticipated in its fight against inflation.</p><p>VIX readings above 20 are generally associated with an elevated sense of investor anxiety about the near-term outlook for stocks, while readings north of 30 or 35 point to acute fear.</p><p>The VIX is well above its long-term median of 17.7, signaling continued unease about the longer-term outlook for stocks. Still, it is down from its year high of almost 40 and has oscillated between 20 and 30 for six weeks, its longest time within that 10-point range in a year-and-a-half.</p><p>Meanwhile, the VVIX index - a gauge of expected swings in the fear index, slumped to a three-year low earlier this week, signaling investors do not expect sharp swings in either direction from the VIX.</p><p>&#34;There is just less of a concern of an outlier kind of move in the market,&#34; said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group.</p><p>The lowered expectations for extreme volatility come as investors assess whether stocks can sustain a rally in which the S&amp;P 500 in July notched its best one-month percentage gain since November 2020. The July rally followed stocks&#39; worst first half of the year since 1970.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly on Tuesday pushed back on expectations of a so-called dovish pivot from the Fed, saying that the central bank’s fight against inflation was &#34;nowhere near&#34; done, and data on U.S. employment on Friday and consumer prices next week could bolster the case for Fed hawkishness.</p><p>Meanwhile, several Wall Street banks have cast a skeptical eye on the recent rebound in stocks and warned of more downside ahead.</p><p>&#34;We view this as a bear market rally,&#34; wrote Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at BofA Global Research in a report, noting that such rebounds have occurred an average of 1.5 times per bear market since 1929. The bank has a year-end target of 3,600 on the S&amp;P 500, about 14% below current levels.</p><h3>LOW EXPOSURE</h3><p>One factor that could help dampen market volatility in coming months is limited exposure to stocks among institutional investors, who earlier this year raced to cut their stock allocations as the Fed ramped up expectations that it will fight inflation with market-bruising interest rate hikes.</p><p>Despite the recent bounce, big investors&#39; exposure to stocks remains low. Equity positioning for both discretionary and systematic investors remains in the 12th percentile of its range since January 2010, according to a July 29 note by Deutsche Bank analysts.</p><p>&#34;Institutional positioning in equities is at the low end of its historical range,&#34; said Anand Omprakash, head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at Elevation Securities. &#34;You have a situation where the catalyst for an explosive equity crash is not as prevalent as it might have been in the past.&#34;</p><p>Lighter positioning means investors are not exhibiting the same rush to load up on options insurance against a downside move in stocks, a factor that can moderate the VIX&#39;s rise even if stocks come in for another bout of weakness.</p><p>The 10-day average daily trading volume in VIX options has slipped to about 360,000 contracts, the lowest since early January, according to a Reuters analysis.</p><p>Lighter allocations to equities may also take the edge off potential selloffs, said Max Grinacoff, U.S. equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. His firm has a year-end target of 4,400 on the S&amp;P 500 - some 7% above current levels.</p><p>&#34;Because of how clean positioning has become through the year ... you are not having the impact from everyone running for the exit at once,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" in Limbo As Big Investors Keep Shunning Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-04 23:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy trading ahead despite a recent snapback in U.S. stocks, though institutional investors&#39; low exposure to equities may help curb gyrations.</p><p>The Cboe Volatility Index, an options-based indicator that reflects demand for protection against drops in the stock market, recently stood at 23, following a sharp rally in stocks that has taken the S&amp;P 500 index up 12% from its mid-June low on expectations that the Federal Reserve may be less hawkish than anticipated in its fight against inflation.</p><p>VIX readings above 20 are generally associated with an elevated sense of investor anxiety about the near-term outlook for stocks, while readings north of 30 or 35 point to acute fear.</p><p>The VIX is well above its long-term median of 17.7, signaling continued unease about the longer-term outlook for stocks. Still, it is down from its year high of almost 40 and has oscillated between 20 and 30 for six weeks, its longest time within that 10-point range in a year-and-a-half.</p><p>Meanwhile, the VVIX index - a gauge of expected swings in the fear index, slumped to a three-year low earlier this week, signaling investors do not expect sharp swings in either direction from the VIX.</p><p>&#34;There is just less of a concern of an outlier kind of move in the market,&#34; said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group.</p><p>The lowered expectations for extreme volatility come as investors assess whether stocks can sustain a rally in which the S&amp;P 500 in July notched its best one-month percentage gain since November 2020. The July rally followed stocks&#39; worst first half of the year since 1970.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly on Tuesday pushed back on expectations of a so-called dovish pivot from the Fed, saying that the central bank’s fight against inflation was &#34;nowhere near&#34; done, and data on U.S. employment on Friday and consumer prices next week could bolster the case for Fed hawkishness.</p><p>Meanwhile, several Wall Street banks have cast a skeptical eye on the recent rebound in stocks and warned of more downside ahead.</p><p>&#34;We view this as a bear market rally,&#34; wrote Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at BofA Global Research in a report, noting that such rebounds have occurred an average of 1.5 times per bear market since 1929. The bank has a year-end target of 3,600 on the S&amp;P 500, about 14% below current levels.</p><h3>LOW EXPOSURE</h3><p>One factor that could help dampen market volatility in coming months is limited exposure to stocks among institutional investors, who earlier this year raced to cut their stock allocations as the Fed ramped up expectations that it will fight inflation with market-bruising interest rate hikes.</p><p>Despite the recent bounce, big investors&#39; exposure to stocks remains low. Equity positioning for both discretionary and systematic investors remains in the 12th percentile of its range since January 2010, according to a July 29 note by Deutsche Bank analysts.</p><p>&#34;Institutional positioning in equities is at the low end of its historical range,&#34; said Anand Omprakash, head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at Elevation Securities. &#34;You have a situation where the catalyst for an explosive equity crash is not as prevalent as it might have been in the past.&#34;</p><p>Lighter positioning means investors are not exhibiting the same rush to load up on options insurance against a downside move in stocks, a factor that can moderate the VIX&#39;s rise even if stocks come in for another bout of weakness.</p><p>The 10-day average daily trading volume in VIX options has slipped to about 360,000 contracts, the lowest since early January, according to a Reuters analysis.</p><p>Lighter allocations to equities may also take the edge off potential selloffs, said Max Grinacoff, U.S. equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. His firm has a year-end target of 4,400 on the S&amp;P 500 - some 7% above current levels.</p><p>&#34;Because of how clean positioning has become through the year ... you are not having the impact from everyone running for the exit at once,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2256993259","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street’s most closely watched gauge of market anxiety shows expectations of choppy trading ahead despite a recent snapback in U.S. stocks, though institutional investors' low exposure to equities may help curb gyrations.The Cboe Volatility Index, an options-based indicator that reflects demand for protection against drops in the stock market, recently stood at 23, following a sharp rally in stocks that has taken the S&P 500 index up 12% from its mid-June low on expectations that the Federal Reserve may be less hawkish than anticipated in its fight against inflation.VIX readings above 20 are generally associated with an elevated sense of investor anxiety about the near-term outlook for stocks, while readings north of 30 or 35 point to acute fear.The VIX is well above its long-term median of 17.7, signaling continued unease about the longer-term outlook for stocks. Still, it is down from its year high of almost 40 and has oscillated between 20 and 30 for six weeks, its longest time within that 10-point range in a year-and-a-half.Meanwhile, the VVIX index - a gauge of expected swings in the fear index, slumped to a three-year low earlier this week, signaling investors do not expect sharp swings in either direction from the VIX.\"There is just less of a concern of an outlier kind of move in the market,\" said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group.The lowered expectations for extreme volatility come as investors assess whether stocks can sustain a rally in which the S&P 500 in July notched its best one-month percentage gain since November 2020. The July rally followed stocks' worst first half of the year since 1970.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly on Tuesday pushed back on expectations of a so-called dovish pivot from the Fed, saying that the central bank’s fight against inflation was \"nowhere near\" done, and data on U.S. employment on Friday and consumer prices next week could bolster the case for Fed hawkishness.Meanwhile, several Wall Street banks have cast a skeptical eye on the recent rebound in stocks and warned of more downside ahead.\"We view this as a bear market rally,\" wrote Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at BofA Global Research in a report, noting that such rebounds have occurred an average of 1.5 times per bear market since 1929. The bank has a year-end target of 3,600 on the S&P 500, about 14% below current levels.LOW EXPOSUREOne factor that could help dampen market volatility in coming months is limited exposure to stocks among institutional investors, who earlier this year raced to cut their stock allocations as the Fed ramped up expectations that it will fight inflation with market-bruising interest rate hikes.Despite the recent bounce, big investors' exposure to stocks remains low. Equity positioning for both discretionary and systematic investors remains in the 12th percentile of its range since January 2010, according to a July 29 note by Deutsche Bank analysts.\"Institutional positioning in equities is at the low end of its historical range,\" said Anand Omprakash, head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at Elevation Securities. \"You have a situation where the catalyst for an explosive equity crash is not as prevalent as it might have been in the past.\"Lighter positioning means investors are not exhibiting the same rush to load up on options insurance against a downside move in stocks, a factor that can moderate the VIX's rise even if stocks come in for another bout of weakness.The 10-day average daily trading volume in VIX options has slipped to about 360,000 contracts, the lowest since early January, according to a Reuters analysis.Lighter allocations to equities may also take the edge off potential selloffs, said Max Grinacoff, U.S. equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. His firm has a year-end target of 4,400 on the S&P 500 - some 7% above current levels.\"Because of how clean positioning has become through the year ... you are not having the impact from everyone running for the exit at once,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041019440,"gmtCreate":1655978495480,"gmtModify":1676535744178,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAK\">$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$</a>Any idea when is the Next&nbsp;Dividend payout date for Takeda?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TAK\">$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$</a>Any idea when is the Next&nbsp;Dividend payout date for Takeda?&nbsp;","text":"$Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK)$Any idea when is the Next Dividend payout date for Takeda?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041019440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054344407,"gmtCreate":1655347102109,"gmtModify":1676535619675,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054344407","repostId":"1176174206","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176174206","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655316335,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176174206?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 02:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176174206","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising bench","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.</p><p>Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.</p><p>Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.</p><p>According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.</p><p>Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.</p><p>The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.</p><p>The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.</p><p>“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“</p><p>Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.</p><p>Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.</p><p>The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.</p><p>Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.</p><p>The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.</p><p>The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.</p><p>However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.</p><p>The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.</p><p>First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.</p><p>Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.</p><p>For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.</p><p>However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.</p><p>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.</p><p>The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.</p><p>The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.</p><p>All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 02:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.</p><p>Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.</p><p>Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.</p><p>According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.</p><p>Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.</p><p>The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.</p><p>The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.</p><p>“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“</p><p>Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.</p><p>Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.</p><p>The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.</p><p>Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.</p><p>The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.</p><p>The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.</p><p>However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.</p><p>The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.</p><p>First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.</p><p>Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.</p><p>For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.</p><p>However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.</p><p>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.</p><p>The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.</p><p>The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.</p><p>All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176174206","content_text":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938551775,"gmtCreate":1662640345097,"gmtModify":1676537107122,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938551775","repostId":"1135827542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135827542","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662640254,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135827542?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-08 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Initial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135827542","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Initial Jobless Claims: -6K to 222K vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).4-week movi","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Initial Jobless Claims: <b>-6K to 222K</b> vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).</li><li>4-week moving average of 233,000 down from 240,500 in the previous week.</li><li>The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0% for the week ended Aug. 27, unchanged from the previous week&#39;s unrevised rate.</li><li>The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 175,842 in the week ended Sept. 3, a decrease of 1,978 (or 1.1%) from the previous week.</li><li>The seasonal factors had expected an increase of 7,073 (or 4.1%) from the prior week. And there were 285,950 initial claims in the comparable week in 2021.</li><li>Continuing jobless claims of <b>1.473M</b> vs. 1.435M consensus and 1.437M prior</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Initial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInitial Jobless Claims Fall 6K to 222K in the Latest Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-08 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Initial Jobless Claims: <b>-6K to 222K</b> vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).</li><li>4-week moving average of 233,000 down from 240,500 in the previous week.</li><li>The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0% for the week ended Aug. 27, unchanged from the previous week&#39;s unrevised rate.</li><li>The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 175,842 in the week ended Sept. 3, a decrease of 1,978 (or 1.1%) from the previous week.</li><li>The seasonal factors had expected an increase of 7,073 (or 4.1%) from the prior week. And there were 285,950 initial claims in the comparable week in 2021.</li><li>Continuing jobless claims of <b>1.473M</b> vs. 1.435M consensus and 1.437M prior</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135827542","content_text":"Initial Jobless Claims: -6K to 222K vs. 240K expected and 228K prior (revised from 232K).4-week moving average of 233,000 down from 240,500 in the previous week.The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0% for the week ended Aug. 27, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate.The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 175,842 in the week ended Sept. 3, a decrease of 1,978 (or 1.1%) from the previous week.The seasonal factors had expected an increase of 7,073 (or 4.1%) from the prior week. And there were 285,950 initial claims in the comparable week in 2021.Continuing jobless claims of 1.473M vs. 1.435M consensus and 1.437M prior","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910132338,"gmtCreate":1663572740325,"gmtModify":1676537293298,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good insights. Thanks for sharing.","listText":"Good insights. Thanks for sharing.","text":"Good insights. Thanks for sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910132338","repostId":"1177047620","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177047620","pubTimestamp":1663570508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177047620?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177047620","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.</li><li>Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.</li><li>Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed likely has to do much more tightening.</li><li>Many stocks are still expensive, and valuations remain relatively high.</li><li>The ultimate bottom for the S&amp;P 500 may come at 3,000 or lower. I am hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500/SPX (SP500) hit a low of around 3,640 in mid-June, roughly a 25% drop from the top. Then, we saw a significant counter-trend rally into mid-August. However, despite the late summer stock market optimism, it&#39;s doubtful that the bear market is over. Recent inflation numbers illustrate that the economic climate remains highly challenging, and the Fed needs to do more. Unfortunately, interest rates are moving higher, and stocks will probably continue dropping.</p><p>Moreover, we haven&#39;t seen many of the hallmark signs of a long-term bottom. There should be more blood in the streets, and the ultimate bear market bottom could arrive at around 3,000 in the S&amp;P 500 in a base case outcome. I&#39;m capitalizing on the volatility by hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.</p><p>The Technical Image - Very Bearish Now</p><p><b>SPX 1-Year Chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a0e3641f8acc8cb2a23a7d95ff08fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPX(StockCharts.com )</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s bear market began right around the start of 2022. Since the bearish trend began, we&#39;ve seen a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent high occurred in mid-August when I put out a near-term top alert. Now, things are becoming more bearish. After the recent high, the market attempted to rebound but got smacked down by Jerome Powell&#39;s Jackson Hole remarks. More recently, the market tried to muster another rally, but the higher-than-anticipated inflation numbers brought a quick end to that attempt.</p><p>Now, we&#39;re looking at an increasingly bearish technical image as the SPX is putting in a pessimistic head and shoulders pattern and is on the verge of busting through critical 3,900 support. Once below this level, the S&amp;P 500 should at least retest the prior low around 3,700-3,600. However, a likelier scenario is that the S&amp;P will make a lower low, dropping the SPX down into the 3,400-3,000 range next.</p><h2>What Do Jackson Hole And Inflation Have In Common?</h2><p>At Jackson Hole, we learned just how intent the Fed is on battling inflation and how bearish this phenomenon is for the stock market. I wrote about the Fed&#39;s bearish symposium several weeks ago. The key takeaway from Chair Powell&#39;s speech is that inflation is much more persistent and challenging to deal with than previously expected. The Fed must do much more to lower inflation. The dynamic of high-interest rates, slower growth, and a worsening labor market will bring substantial pain to households and businesses.</p><p>Now, Let&#39;s Look At Inflation</p><p><b>CPI Inflation</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e415ae81767865727859c61ace2822d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"313\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CPI inflation(TradingEconomics.com )</p><p>While inflation has decreased from the 9.1% reading, it remains remarkably high. Inflation is running hotter than we&#39;ve seen in about 40 years now. The primary issue is that the Fed has been raising interest rates and implementing other tightening measures like QT, but we&#39;re seeing a minimal effect on inflation. Therefore, the Fed needs to do more. However, more tightening will further constrict economic growth and decrease consumer confidence. Additionally, higher inflation, lower growth, and worsening spending negatively impact corporate profits and should lead to more pain as we advance.</p><h2>Don&#39;t Fight The Fed</h2><p>Wise people have told me, &#34;you don&#39;t fight the Fed.&#34; You don&#39;t want to fight the Fed when the central bank is easing. We saw ultra-loose monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, and stocks did great for much of that time. However, we are in a completely different economic environment now. As the Fed pulls liquidity out of markets, the cost of borrowing increases, growth slows, sentiment worsens, and risk assets deflate. Furthermore, we&#39;ve underestimated the severity of the inflation problem and the Fed&#39;s commitment to making it &#34;go away.&#34;</p><p><b>Rate Probabilities</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e5b344a6418c8597ba3e52b0570b80\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Fed Watch(CMEGroup.com )</p><p>Just one month ago, the market expected a 50 basis point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting. There is about a 25% probability that we may see a 100 basis point move. Whether we see a 75 basis point hike or a full 1% increase next week is not that relevant. The fact is that the Fed is intent on increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. Unfortunately, the benchmark will be above 3% after next week&#39;s meeting. With rates at such elevated levels, economic growth will weaken further, and there is no telling when the inflation problem may end.</p><h2>Uncertainty Ahead For Stocks</h2><p>There is increased uncertainty surrounding inflation, growth, Fed tightening, the consumer, recession, corporate earnings, and much more. Typically, I would say that the stock market will climb the wall of worry, but this wall of worry may be too high to climb.</p><p>One of the most troubling factors is that we don&#39;t know how deep the downturn will cut into corporate results. We already see declining revenues, worsening margins, and fewer profits at major corporations. However, these declines could continue, and future downward earnings revisions could persist. Additionally, valuations remain relatively high, and this dynamic could mean lower stock prices before this bear market gets sorted out.</p><h2>The Valuation Dynamic</h2><p><b>The Shiller P/E Ratio</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d6272d7dbe21608d8468cf653f5ad0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shiller P/E ratio(multpl.com)</p><p>We see the Shiller P/E coming down lately, but the drop has just begun. We can see that once the Shiller P/E drops, it rarely stops until a relatively low has been achieved. We should see the CAPE P/E ratio decline as the economy weakens, earnings decrease, and valuations come down. A reasonably conservative target could be a Shiller P/E ratio of approximately 20. While the historical mean is only 17, the market has become accustomed to higher P/E ratio valuations in recent years. Therefore, we may see increased buy interest around the 20 level, if the SPX doesn&#39;t overshoot to the downside. A decline to a 20 Shiller P/E ratio would equate to an approximately 28% drop from current levels, roughly coinciding with the 2,800 level in the S&amp;P 500. Therefore, my ultimate bottom in the S&amp;P 500 target remains at 3,000. However, the market may overshoot lower into the 2,800-2,400 range in a bearish case outcome.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500: There Will Be Blood\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177047620","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed likely has to do much more tightening.Many stocks are still expensive, and valuations remain relatively high.The ultimate bottom for the S&P 500 may come at 3,000 or lower. I am hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.The S&P 500/SPX (SP500) hit a low of around 3,640 in mid-June, roughly a 25% drop from the top. Then, we saw a significant counter-trend rally into mid-August. However, despite the late summer stock market optimism, it's doubtful that the bear market is over. Recent inflation numbers illustrate that the economic climate remains highly challenging, and the Fed needs to do more. Unfortunately, interest rates are moving higher, and stocks will probably continue dropping.Moreover, we haven't seen many of the hallmark signs of a long-term bottom. There should be more blood in the streets, and the ultimate bear market bottom could arrive at around 3,000 in the S&P 500 in a base case outcome. I'm capitalizing on the volatility by hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.The Technical Image - Very Bearish NowSPX 1-Year ChartSPX(StockCharts.com )The S&P 500's bear market began right around the start of 2022. Since the bearish trend began, we've seen a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent high occurred in mid-August when I put out a near-term top alert. Now, things are becoming more bearish. After the recent high, the market attempted to rebound but got smacked down by Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole remarks. More recently, the market tried to muster another rally, but the higher-than-anticipated inflation numbers brought a quick end to that attempt.Now, we're looking at an increasingly bearish technical image as the SPX is putting in a pessimistic head and shoulders pattern and is on the verge of busting through critical 3,900 support. Once below this level, the S&P 500 should at least retest the prior low around 3,700-3,600. However, a likelier scenario is that the S&P will make a lower low, dropping the SPX down into the 3,400-3,000 range next.What Do Jackson Hole And Inflation Have In Common?At Jackson Hole, we learned just how intent the Fed is on battling inflation and how bearish this phenomenon is for the stock market. I wrote about the Fed's bearish symposium several weeks ago. The key takeaway from Chair Powell's speech is that inflation is much more persistent and challenging to deal with than previously expected. The Fed must do much more to lower inflation. The dynamic of high-interest rates, slower growth, and a worsening labor market will bring substantial pain to households and businesses.Now, Let's Look At InflationCPI InflationCPI inflation(TradingEconomics.com )While inflation has decreased from the 9.1% reading, it remains remarkably high. Inflation is running hotter than we've seen in about 40 years now. The primary issue is that the Fed has been raising interest rates and implementing other tightening measures like QT, but we're seeing a minimal effect on inflation. Therefore, the Fed needs to do more. However, more tightening will further constrict economic growth and decrease consumer confidence. Additionally, higher inflation, lower growth, and worsening spending negatively impact corporate profits and should lead to more pain as we advance.Don't Fight The FedWise people have told me, \"you don't fight the Fed.\" You don't want to fight the Fed when the central bank is easing. We saw ultra-loose monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, and stocks did great for much of that time. However, we are in a completely different economic environment now. As the Fed pulls liquidity out of markets, the cost of borrowing increases, growth slows, sentiment worsens, and risk assets deflate. Furthermore, we've underestimated the severity of the inflation problem and the Fed's commitment to making it \"go away.\"Rate ProbabilitiesFed Watch(CMEGroup.com )Just one month ago, the market expected a 50 basis point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting. There is about a 25% probability that we may see a 100 basis point move. Whether we see a 75 basis point hike or a full 1% increase next week is not that relevant. The fact is that the Fed is intent on increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. Unfortunately, the benchmark will be above 3% after next week's meeting. With rates at such elevated levels, economic growth will weaken further, and there is no telling when the inflation problem may end.Uncertainty Ahead For StocksThere is increased uncertainty surrounding inflation, growth, Fed tightening, the consumer, recession, corporate earnings, and much more. Typically, I would say that the stock market will climb the wall of worry, but this wall of worry may be too high to climb.One of the most troubling factors is that we don't know how deep the downturn will cut into corporate results. We already see declining revenues, worsening margins, and fewer profits at major corporations. However, these declines could continue, and future downward earnings revisions could persist. Additionally, valuations remain relatively high, and this dynamic could mean lower stock prices before this bear market gets sorted out.The Valuation DynamicThe Shiller P/E RatioShiller P/E ratio(multpl.com)We see the Shiller P/E coming down lately, but the drop has just begun. We can see that once the Shiller P/E drops, it rarely stops until a relatively low has been achieved. We should see the CAPE P/E ratio decline as the economy weakens, earnings decrease, and valuations come down. A reasonably conservative target could be a Shiller P/E ratio of approximately 20. While the historical mean is only 17, the market has become accustomed to higher P/E ratio valuations in recent years. Therefore, we may see increased buy interest around the 20 level, if the SPX doesn't overshoot to the downside. A decline to a 20 Shiller P/E ratio would equate to an approximately 28% drop from current levels, roughly coinciding with the 2,800 level in the S&P 500. Therefore, my ultimate bottom in the S&P 500 target remains at 3,000. However, the market may overshoot lower into the 2,800-2,400 range in a bearish case outcome.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980698341,"gmtCreate":1665711163983,"gmtModify":1676537653004,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980698341","repostId":"1167309755","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1167309755","pubTimestamp":1665699849,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167309755?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-14 06:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Did the U.S. Stock Market Move Higher?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167309755","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>What&#39;s driving the market&#39;s move higher? It&#39;s a puzzle.</p><p>A hot inflation report would normally push up long-term interest rates and pull down stocks. That&#39;s exactly what happened this morning. But by midday stocks were powering higher, which continued into the afternoon.</p><p>Some ideas:</p><ul><li><b>Stocks have been down a lot recently; maybe it was too much.</b> The S&amp;P 500 fell six consecutive trading days through Wednesday. If the index fell again today, it would have logged its longest losing streak since February 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. CappThesis&#39; Frank Cappelleri notes that the market&#39;s six-day losing streak in July was the precursor to stocks&#39; big summer rally. Collectively, traders may have decided positioning against the markets had gone too far.</li><li><b>Enough bad news could be good news?</b> Interest rates are the Federal Reserve&#39;s tool for changing the course of the economy, but it&#39;s a crude tool. Inflation was high, but no one was expecting it to be low. If inflation causes the Fed to tighten monetary policy too much, it would correct course by loosening monetary policy again. That would, in theory, be good news for stocks. (Although these interventions aren&#39;t necessarily straightforward or easy to pull off, as the Bank of England&#39;s recent interventions in British markets show.)</li><li><b>Rent inflation may not be as bad as the CPI report showed.</b> Rents are factored into the CPI on a lagging basis, Edward Jones senior investment strategist Mona Mahajan pointed out. That means the trend for shelter inflation might actually look better than it did in today&#39;s report, since rent prices are moderating in real time. &#34;The trends for inflation are moving in the right direction. There&#39;s a bit of sentiment that we&#39;re perhaps at peak inflation,&#34; Ms. Mahajan said.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"wsj_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Did the U.S. Stock Market Move Higher?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Did the U.S. Stock Market Move Higher?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-14 06:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up long-term interest rates and pull down stocks. That's exactly what happened this morning. But by ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167309755","content_text":"What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up long-term interest rates and pull down stocks. That's exactly what happened this morning. But by midday stocks were powering higher, which continued into the afternoon.Some ideas:Stocks have been down a lot recently; maybe it was too much. The S&P 500 fell six consecutive trading days through Wednesday. If the index fell again today, it would have logged its longest losing streak since February 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. CappThesis' Frank Cappelleri notes that the market's six-day losing streak in July was the precursor to stocks' big summer rally. Collectively, traders may have decided positioning against the markets had gone too far.Enough bad news could be good news? Interest rates are the Federal Reserve's tool for changing the course of the economy, but it's a crude tool. Inflation was high, but no one was expecting it to be low. If inflation causes the Fed to tighten monetary policy too much, it would correct course by loosening monetary policy again. That would, in theory, be good news for stocks. (Although these interventions aren't necessarily straightforward or easy to pull off, as the Bank of England's recent interventions in British markets show.)Rent inflation may not be as bad as the CPI report showed. Rents are factored into the CPI on a lagging basis, Edward Jones senior investment strategist Mona Mahajan pointed out. That means the trend for shelter inflation might actually look better than it did in today's report, since rent prices are moderating in real time. \"The trends for inflation are moving in the right direction. There's a bit of sentiment that we're perhaps at peak inflation,\" Ms. Mahajan said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912189928,"gmtCreate":1664770435764,"gmtModify":1676537505818,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.","listText":"A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.","text":"A strong US dollar, could prove very negative for earning of Companies (even though currently lot of negative sentiment is perceived to be priced in the market). So may need to further downgrade earnings estimate.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912189928","repostId":"2272569015","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2272569015","pubTimestamp":1664774782,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272569015?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 13:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272569015","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Some bad news is already priced in heading into results seasonExtreme investor pessimism could also ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Some bad news is already priced in heading into results season</li><li>Extreme investor pessimism could also spark a contrarian rally</li></ul><p>Investors are primed for any bit of good news to help them forget a brutal quarter for stocks that took this year’s value destruction to $24 trillion. A resilient corporate earnings season might give them that.</p><p>The MSCI All-Country World Index just wrapped up its third straight quarter of declines, the first time that’s happened since the global financial crisis in 2008.</p><p>The 7% drop came as investors grappled with persistently high inflation, a surging dollar and jumbo interest-rate hikes across the world that threaten to choke economic growth. Alongside that, analysts have slashed profit estimates, and a chorus of US and European companies -- including car giant Ford Motor Co. -- has issued early warnings about third-quarter results.</p><p>But one view is that this could set firms a lower bar to clear, and fuel a much-needed recovery in stocks that are currently at levels last seen nearly two years ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dc27d896dfbdd6ddf03104eaff2e691\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“Investors have to ask themselves how much of the bad news has already been priced in,” said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments LLC. “Given extreme pessimism combined with reasonable valuations, the fourth quarter could give investors an opportunity to claw back some of their losses.”</p><p>History is an imperfect guide, but past stock performance bodes well for the quarter. The S&amp;P 500 gained an average 4.1% in the final quarter during the past 20 years, while the MSCI has posted a fourth-quarter decline only three times over that period.</p><p>That’s not to say companies will get through the season with glowing report cards. There’s still plenty of hurdles that could cement 2022’s reputation as a year to forget.</p><p>For one, the era of higher costs is making it difficult to defend profitability. Firms also face tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and others as central banks keep a laser focus on taming inflation. On top of that, there’s the war in Ukraine, a severe energy crisis in Europe, and economically damaging Covid restrictions in China.</p><p>Dollar Effect</p><p>US companies with a large international exposure are at risk from a stronger dollar, as underscored by Nike Inc.’s disappointing earnings report on Thursday.</p><p>European and UK importers, on the other hand, are dealing with much weaker currencies. UK conglomerate Associated British Foods Plc and Swedish fashion retailer Hennes &amp; Mauritz AB both blamed the greenback for a bleaker profit outlook.</p><p>But the scale of recent analyst downgrades, as well as the market reaction to the early announcers, suggest that “some disappointments are already expected and possibly even priced in to some extent,” said Esty Dwek, chief investment officer at Flowbank SA.</p><p>FedEx Corp.’s withdrawal of its full-year guidance last month sparked the biggest selloff in its shares in more than four decades. Used-car dealer CarMax Inc. sank 25% after a glum quarterly report.</p><p>A Citigroup Inc. index shows US earnings downgrades have consistently outnumbered upgrades since early June, while global 12-month forward earnings have been revised down every month in the last quarter. Both the S&amp;P 500 and Stoxx 600 are in bear markets -- defined as a drop of 20% or more from recent highs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a26a873f70b1f88972810e33e3c24d\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The big question in the lead-up to the next earnings season is whether this will be enough. Strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc. have warned that estimates are still too high and that “we’re going to see pretty substantial reductions for 2023.”</p><p>Yet, others see reason to believe earnings can hold up for a while longer.</p><p>“Just looking at the resilience of the US economy, there’s little to suggest that earnings would be struggling at this stage,” said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. “We’re looking out for the guidance, mentions of margin concerns, wage costs, etc. but we wouldn’t expect that to show through at least until about the first quarter of next year.”</p><p>Bloomberg Intelligence analysts expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to have risen 2.9% in the quarter, helped mainly by the energy sector. Gina Martin Adams, BI chief equity strategist, said the absence of “economic excesses” -- such as the indebtedness seen before the 2008 recession -- could insulate US demand from a severe decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c15f14f70c8ec2cf41e50532849ae8\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And while European importers are smarting from a weaker euro, exporters are benefiting. French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi said it expects a positive currency impact of about 10% in the quarter.</p><p>“Health care is the best sector in Europe when the dollar is rising,” said Manish Kabra, head of US equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. “A very simple trade but it always works.”</p><p>Even Morgan Stanley’s Michael J. Wilson -- a stalwart equity bear -- said US stocks are in the “final stages” of a bear market and could stage a rally near term. True to form, however, he expects the selloff to resume thereafter.</p><p>The decidedly negative investor mood could also prove to be a contrarian indicator of a short-term bounce for stocks.</p><p>Sanford C. Bernstein strategists say their custom sentiment gauge has triggered a buy signal, meaning a “bear market rally is very possible.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fec909da0108831a62562e40a240e7ef\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Some technical levels suggest markets are lining up for a recovery into the end of the year. The relative strength indexes for the S&amp;P 500 and the Stoxx 600 are at “oversold” levels. That’s marked a short-term bottom in the past.</p><p>“We have historically terrible sentiment, stocks are looking notably cheap, the VIX is spiking and the market is being indiscriminately sold,” said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs. Combined with seasonal tailwinds, all those factors “could lead to a year-end rally,” she said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal Stocks Pin Hopes of Year-End Rally on Earnings Resilience\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 13:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-02/global-stocks-pin-hopes-of-year-end-rally-on-earnings-resilience><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Some bad news is already priced in heading into results seasonExtreme investor pessimism could also spark a contrarian rallyInvestors are primed for any bit of good news to help them forget a brutal ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-02/global-stocks-pin-hopes-of-year-end-rally-on-earnings-resilience\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-02/global-stocks-pin-hopes-of-year-end-rally-on-earnings-resilience","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272569015","content_text":"Some bad news is already priced in heading into results seasonExtreme investor pessimism could also spark a contrarian rallyInvestors are primed for any bit of good news to help them forget a brutal quarter for stocks that took this year’s value destruction to $24 trillion. A resilient corporate earnings season might give them that.The MSCI All-Country World Index just wrapped up its third straight quarter of declines, the first time that’s happened since the global financial crisis in 2008.The 7% drop came as investors grappled with persistently high inflation, a surging dollar and jumbo interest-rate hikes across the world that threaten to choke economic growth. Alongside that, analysts have slashed profit estimates, and a chorus of US and European companies -- including car giant Ford Motor Co. -- has issued early warnings about third-quarter results.But one view is that this could set firms a lower bar to clear, and fuel a much-needed recovery in stocks that are currently at levels last seen nearly two years ago.“Investors have to ask themselves how much of the bad news has already been priced in,” said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments LLC. “Given extreme pessimism combined with reasonable valuations, the fourth quarter could give investors an opportunity to claw back some of their losses.”History is an imperfect guide, but past stock performance bodes well for the quarter. The S&P 500 gained an average 4.1% in the final quarter during the past 20 years, while the MSCI has posted a fourth-quarter decline only three times over that period.That’s not to say companies will get through the season with glowing report cards. There’s still plenty of hurdles that could cement 2022’s reputation as a year to forget.For one, the era of higher costs is making it difficult to defend profitability. Firms also face tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and others as central banks keep a laser focus on taming inflation. On top of that, there’s the war in Ukraine, a severe energy crisis in Europe, and economically damaging Covid restrictions in China.Dollar EffectUS companies with a large international exposure are at risk from a stronger dollar, as underscored by Nike Inc.’s disappointing earnings report on Thursday.European and UK importers, on the other hand, are dealing with much weaker currencies. UK conglomerate Associated British Foods Plc and Swedish fashion retailer Hennes & Mauritz AB both blamed the greenback for a bleaker profit outlook.But the scale of recent analyst downgrades, as well as the market reaction to the early announcers, suggest that “some disappointments are already expected and possibly even priced in to some extent,” said Esty Dwek, chief investment officer at Flowbank SA.FedEx Corp.’s withdrawal of its full-year guidance last month sparked the biggest selloff in its shares in more than four decades. Used-car dealer CarMax Inc. sank 25% after a glum quarterly report.A Citigroup Inc. index shows US earnings downgrades have consistently outnumbered upgrades since early June, while global 12-month forward earnings have been revised down every month in the last quarter. Both the S&P 500 and Stoxx 600 are in bear markets -- defined as a drop of 20% or more from recent highs.The big question in the lead-up to the next earnings season is whether this will be enough. Strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc. have warned that estimates are still too high and that “we’re going to see pretty substantial reductions for 2023.”Yet, others see reason to believe earnings can hold up for a while longer.“Just looking at the resilience of the US economy, there’s little to suggest that earnings would be struggling at this stage,” said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. “We’re looking out for the guidance, mentions of margin concerns, wage costs, etc. but we wouldn’t expect that to show through at least until about the first quarter of next year.”Bloomberg Intelligence analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to have risen 2.9% in the quarter, helped mainly by the energy sector. Gina Martin Adams, BI chief equity strategist, said the absence of “economic excesses” -- such as the indebtedness seen before the 2008 recession -- could insulate US demand from a severe decline.And while European importers are smarting from a weaker euro, exporters are benefiting. French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi said it expects a positive currency impact of about 10% in the quarter.“Health care is the best sector in Europe when the dollar is rising,” said Manish Kabra, head of US equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. “A very simple trade but it always works.”Even Morgan Stanley’s Michael J. Wilson -- a stalwart equity bear -- said US stocks are in the “final stages” of a bear market and could stage a rally near term. True to form, however, he expects the selloff to resume thereafter.The decidedly negative investor mood could also prove to be a contrarian indicator of a short-term bounce for stocks.Sanford C. Bernstein strategists say their custom sentiment gauge has triggered a buy signal, meaning a “bear market rally is very possible.”Some technical levels suggest markets are lining up for a recovery into the end of the year. The relative strength indexes for the S&P 500 and the Stoxx 600 are at “oversold” levels. That’s marked a short-term bottom in the past.“We have historically terrible sentiment, stocks are looking notably cheap, the VIX is spiking and the market is being indiscriminately sold,” said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs. Combined with seasonal tailwinds, all those factors “could lead to a year-end rally,” she said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049543563,"gmtCreate":1655820541652,"gmtModify":1676535711347,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.","listText":"Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.","text":"Extremely undervalued with even tangible book value of around 0.67.Hoping the new strategy comes through in due courseDividend of close over 3-4% can help till then.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049543563","repostId":"2244310166","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2244310166","pubTimestamp":1655601203,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244310166?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-19 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244310166","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has de","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.</p><p>According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has deployed roughly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of his cash into new investments during the first three months of the year.</p><p>As always, Buffett’s biggest swings are noteworthy. However, his decision to sell most bank stocks while adding Citigroup (C) to Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK) portfolio is puzzling Wall Street.</p><p>Here’s why this contradiction has caught so much attention.</p><h2>Buffett loves banks</h2><p>Buffett is deeply familiar with banking and financial services. He believes the business is relatively straightforward and can be extremely lucrative if managed well.</p><p>“If you can just stay away from following the fads, and really making a lot of bad loans, banking has been a remarkably good business in this country,” he told Berkshire Hathaway investors in 2003.</p><p>What about the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Buffett went on a shopping spree during that time, picking up stakes in JP Morgan (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS).</p><p>For several years, major banks have been the biggest holdings in the Berkshire portfolio. In 2009, he even said Wells Fargo (WFC) was his highest-conviction investment.</p><p>“If I had to put all my net worth in one stock, that would’ve been the stock,” he told Berkshire shareholders.</p><h2>Catching Buffett on the rebound</h2><p>This year, Buffett has completely exited all these investments. Only a few banks remain in the portfolio.</p><p>That doesn’t mean the love affair with financial services is over.</p><p>In fact, Buffett added a new bank to his collection this year: Citigroup. During the first quarter of 2022, he added 55 million shares of Citigroup to the Berkshire portfolio.</p><p>The stake is now worth $2.5 billion, making it the 16th largest holding in the basket.</p><p>The bet seems to be predicated on a turnaround story.</p><h2>Citigroup’s transformation</h2><p>Citigroup has lagged behind its peers. Over the past five years, the stock is down over 28%.</p><p>Compare that to Bank of America’s 37% return over the same period. Even the SPDR S&amp;P Bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> (KBE) is up 1.9%.</p><p>The company is now attempting a turnaround to catch up. Last year, Citigroup’s board appointed Jane Fraser as the new CEO — making her the first female leader of a major U.S. bank.</p><p>Fraser&#39;s strategy involves focusing on the more profitable segments of the business. Citigroup is selling or shutting down operations in Mexico, Australia, Philippines, South Korea and elsewhere.</p><p>Citi stock hasn’t fully reflected this new strategy.</p><h2>An undervalued opportunity?</h2><p>Citigroup stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.52. That’s significantly lower than the industry average of 9.45 and 1.12 respectively.</p><p>Put simply, the stock is cheap.</p><p>If the new management team can streamline operations and boost profitability, the bank’s valuation could catch up with peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, a rising interest rate environment should provide another tailwind.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Broke up with Most of His Beloved Banks — Why Is He Still Swooning over This One?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-19 09:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-broke-most-beloved-130000046.html><strong>MoneyWise</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has deployed roughly one-third of his cash into new investments during the first three months of the year....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-broke-most-beloved-130000046.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","WFC":"富国银行","BK4176":"多领域控股","GS":"高盛","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","ZION":"齐昂银行","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4207":"综合性银行","C":"花旗","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-broke-most-beloved-130000046.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2244310166","content_text":"The Oracle of Omaha has had a busy quarter.According to his latest 13F filing, Warren Buffett has deployed roughly one-third of his cash into new investments during the first three months of the year.As always, Buffett’s biggest swings are noteworthy. However, his decision to sell most bank stocks while adding Citigroup (C) to Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK) portfolio is puzzling Wall Street.Here’s why this contradiction has caught so much attention.Buffett loves banksBuffett is deeply familiar with banking and financial services. He believes the business is relatively straightforward and can be extremely lucrative if managed well.“If you can just stay away from following the fads, and really making a lot of bad loans, banking has been a remarkably good business in this country,” he told Berkshire Hathaway investors in 2003.What about the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Buffett went on a shopping spree during that time, picking up stakes in JP Morgan (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS).For several years, major banks have been the biggest holdings in the Berkshire portfolio. In 2009, he even said Wells Fargo (WFC) was his highest-conviction investment.“If I had to put all my net worth in one stock, that would’ve been the stock,” he told Berkshire shareholders.Catching Buffett on the reboundThis year, Buffett has completely exited all these investments. Only a few banks remain in the portfolio.That doesn’t mean the love affair with financial services is over.In fact, Buffett added a new bank to his collection this year: Citigroup. During the first quarter of 2022, he added 55 million shares of Citigroup to the Berkshire portfolio.The stake is now worth $2.5 billion, making it the 16th largest holding in the basket.The bet seems to be predicated on a turnaround story.Citigroup’s transformationCitigroup has lagged behind its peers. Over the past five years, the stock is down over 28%.Compare that to Bank of America’s 37% return over the same period. Even the SPDR S&P Bank Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF (KBE) is up 1.9%.The company is now attempting a turnaround to catch up. Last year, Citigroup’s board appointed Jane Fraser as the new CEO — making her the first female leader of a major U.S. bank.Fraser's strategy involves focusing on the more profitable segments of the business. Citigroup is selling or shutting down operations in Mexico, Australia, Philippines, South Korea and elsewhere.Citi stock hasn’t fully reflected this new strategy.An undervalued opportunity?Citigroup stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.52. That’s significantly lower than the industry average of 9.45 and 1.12 respectively.Put simply, the stock is cheap.If the new management team can streamline operations and boost profitability, the bank’s valuation could catch up with peers.Meanwhile, a rising interest rate environment should provide another tailwind.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057087984,"gmtCreate":1655436570848,"gmtModify":1676535639731,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.&nbsp;","listText":"Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.&nbsp;","text":"Dollar cost average on beaten down value stocks on the way down. More pain in store though.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057087984","repostId":"2244153409","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2244153409","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1655431986,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244153409?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-17 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244153409","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.The S&P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 year","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&amp;P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve&#39;s 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 years.</p><p>Fears that drastic rate hikes may trigger the recession sometime in the next year are hanging over markets, analysts say.</p><h2>What should investors do?</h2><p>Strategists said the current market decline is likely far from over.</p><p>According to George Ball, chairman of the investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, bear markets bring an average 38% decline in stocks from peak to trough, which suggests that there may be further downside risk ahead. Through Thursday&#39;s close, the S&amp;P 500 was down 23.6% from its Jan. 3 peak finish.</p><p>&#34;Any upward moves we may see in the near-term are merely relief rallies,&#34; Ball wrote in an email to MarketWatch on Tuesday. &#34;Chasing rallies in this bear market environment should be avoided.&#34;</p><p>In addition, Ball emphasized the importance of having a cash cushion and emergency reserve for the turbulence. &#34;Smart investors will have 10% to 20% in cash for the time being,&#34; Ball wrote.</p><p>Contrary to the day trader whose hot money has mostly evaporated, long-term and retirement-oriented investors may have the chance to minimize risks and see their portfolios perform well.</p><p>Investors should be careful not to go all in on a particular investment strategy, said Don Calcagni, chief investment officer at Mercer Advisors. &#34;Stay diversified, and tilt the portfolio towards value stocks,&#34; he said in a phone interview on Wednesday.</p><p>Following Wednesday&#39;s decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the door was open for another 75 or 50 basis-point increase in July, but that 75 basis point moves weren&#39;t likely to become the norm. Analysts are becoming worried that the Fed is going to overshoot.</p><p>&#34;My concern is that the Fed has already unleashed a lot of firepower to try to tame inflation, but we really haven&#39;t seen that manifest itself yet,&#34; said Calcagni. &#34;We haven&#39;t given it enough time to really play out.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Is Officially in a Bear Market -- What Strategists Say Investors Should Do\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-17 10:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&amp;P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve&#39;s 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 years.</p><p>Fears that drastic rate hikes may trigger the recession sometime in the next year are hanging over markets, analysts say.</p><h2>What should investors do?</h2><p>Strategists said the current market decline is likely far from over.</p><p>According to George Ball, chairman of the investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, bear markets bring an average 38% decline in stocks from peak to trough, which suggests that there may be further downside risk ahead. Through Thursday&#39;s close, the S&amp;P 500 was down 23.6% from its Jan. 3 peak finish.</p><p>&#34;Any upward moves we may see in the near-term are merely relief rallies,&#34; Ball wrote in an email to MarketWatch on Tuesday. &#34;Chasing rallies in this bear market environment should be avoided.&#34;</p><p>In addition, Ball emphasized the importance of having a cash cushion and emergency reserve for the turbulence. &#34;Smart investors will have 10% to 20% in cash for the time being,&#34; Ball wrote.</p><p>Contrary to the day trader whose hot money has mostly evaporated, long-term and retirement-oriented investors may have the chance to minimize risks and see their portfolios perform well.</p><p>Investors should be careful not to go all in on a particular investment strategy, said Don Calcagni, chief investment officer at Mercer Advisors. &#34;Stay diversified, and tilt the portfolio towards value stocks,&#34; he said in a phone interview on Wednesday.</p><p>Following Wednesday&#39;s decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the door was open for another 75 or 50 basis-point increase in July, but that 75 basis point moves weren&#39;t likely to become the norm. Analysts are becoming worried that the Fed is going to overshoot.</p><p>&#34;My concern is that the Fed has already unleashed a lot of firepower to try to tame inflation, but we really haven&#39;t seen that manifest itself yet,&#34; said Calcagni. &#34;We haven&#39;t given it enough time to really play out.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244153409","content_text":"The U.S. stock market met popular criteria for a bear market this week a decline by the S&P 500 taking the U.S. large-cap benchmark down by more than 20% from its record close in January. Investors, no doubt, are wondering how far stocks might fall from here, and what to do next.The S&P 500  met the bear-market threshold on Monday and has largely remained under pressure this week aside from a Wednesday bounce following the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate hike, its largest in nearly 28 years.Fears that drastic rate hikes may trigger the recession sometime in the next year are hanging over markets, analysts say.What should investors do?Strategists said the current market decline is likely far from over.According to George Ball, chairman of the investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, bear markets bring an average 38% decline in stocks from peak to trough, which suggests that there may be further downside risk ahead. Through Thursday's close, the S&P 500 was down 23.6% from its Jan. 3 peak finish.\"Any upward moves we may see in the near-term are merely relief rallies,\" Ball wrote in an email to MarketWatch on Tuesday. \"Chasing rallies in this bear market environment should be avoided.\"In addition, Ball emphasized the importance of having a cash cushion and emergency reserve for the turbulence. \"Smart investors will have 10% to 20% in cash for the time being,\" Ball wrote.Contrary to the day trader whose hot money has mostly evaporated, long-term and retirement-oriented investors may have the chance to minimize risks and see their portfolios perform well.Investors should be careful not to go all in on a particular investment strategy, said Don Calcagni, chief investment officer at Mercer Advisors. \"Stay diversified, and tilt the portfolio towards value stocks,\" he said in a phone interview on Wednesday.Following Wednesday's decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the door was open for another 75 or 50 basis-point increase in July, but that 75 basis point moves weren't likely to become the norm. Analysts are becoming worried that the Fed is going to overshoot.\"My concern is that the Fed has already unleashed a lot of firepower to try to tame inflation, but we really haven't seen that manifest itself yet,\" said Calcagni. \"We haven't given it enough time to really play out.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054106341,"gmtCreate":1655348718683,"gmtModify":1676535620245,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting and Insightful","listText":"Interesting and Insightful","text":"Interesting and Insightful","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054106341","repostId":"2243491159","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2243491159","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1655304900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243491159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 22:55","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Soccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243491159","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n\n\n \n\n\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League Soccer and cricket's Indian Premier League are a strong signal that sports are prized weapons in the streaming wars. The scramble for sports programming to attract streaming subscribers is likely to boost global listed sports assets, while potentially increasing costs for streaming services in future auctions. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Soccer clubs Manchester United Ltd., Juventus Football Club SpA, Borussia Dortmund GmbH, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFCJF\">AFC Ajax NV</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OQLGF\">Olympique Lyonnais Groupe</a> are all publicly listed, though the extent to which each individual club benefits from higher streaming fees will depend on the distribution set by the leagues. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSXMR\">Liberty Media Corp</a>. has separate tracking stocks for its interests in Formula One Group and the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club. Private-equity firms including Bridgepoint Group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a> has sports investments as well. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Meanwhile, streaming services, broadcasters and telecommunications groups could face an inflationary spiral to acquire or retain rights to air sporting events. Walt Disney Co. lost streaming rights to IPL cricket for the 2023-2027 period to rival Viacom18, a joint venture between <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> and Reliance Industries Ltd. Disney's Star India television network will pay the equivalent of $3 billion to retain the TV rights, more than it paid for the combined broadcast and streaming package in the last auction in 2017, but was outbid by Viacom18 for the digital rights The auction generated $6.2 billion in total for the league's organizers, three times the amount reached in 2017. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Higher prices raise the bar for bidders to generate returns on their investment. BT Group PLC last month said its deal with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> Inc. to form a sports JV in the U.K. and Ireland was partly aimed at reducing its exposure to rights costs. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Market Insights are commentary that is independent of the news coverage by reporters at The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Write to Adrià Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 15, 2022 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Soccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoccer, Cricket Streaming Deals Bode Well for Sports Assets -- Market Insight\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 22:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League Soccer and cricket's Indian Premier League are a strong signal that sports are prized weapons in the streaming wars. The scramble for sports programming to attract streaming subscribers is likely to boost global listed sports assets, while potentially increasing costs for streaming services in future auctions. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Soccer clubs Manchester United Ltd., Juventus Football Club SpA, Borussia Dortmund GmbH, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFCJF\">AFC Ajax NV</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OQLGF\">Olympique Lyonnais Groupe</a> are all publicly listed, though the extent to which each individual club benefits from higher streaming fees will depend on the distribution set by the leagues. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSXMR\">Liberty Media Corp</a>. has separate tracking stocks for its interests in Formula One Group and the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club. Private-equity firms including Bridgepoint Group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a> has sports investments as well. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Meanwhile, streaming services, broadcasters and telecommunications groups could face an inflationary spiral to acquire or retain rights to air sporting events. Walt Disney Co. lost streaming rights to IPL cricket for the 2023-2027 period to rival Viacom18, a joint venture between <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> and Reliance Industries Ltd. Disney's Star India television network will pay the equivalent of $3 billion to retain the TV rights, more than it paid for the combined broadcast and streaming package in the last auction in 2017, but was outbid by Viacom18 for the digital rights The auction generated $6.2 billion in total for the league's organizers, three times the amount reached in 2017. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Higher prices raise the bar for bidders to generate returns on their investment. BT Group PLC last month said its deal with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> Inc. to form a sports JV in the U.K. and Ireland was partly aimed at reducing its exposure to rights costs. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Market Insights are commentary that is independent of the news coverage by reporters at The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Write to Adrià Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 15, 2022 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LSXMA":"Liberty Media Corporation Series A","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BATRA":"Atlanta Braves-A","BK4125":"广播","MANU":"曼联","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","PARAA":"Paramount Global","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","FWONA":"Liberty Media Corporation Series A","PARA":"Paramount Global","WBD":"Warner Bros. Discovery","BK4100":"有线和卫星","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243491159","content_text":"Commentary by Adrià Calatayud \n\n\n \n\n\n  Separate deals for the rights to stream the U.S. Major League Soccer and cricket's Indian Premier League are a strong signal that sports are prized weapons in the streaming wars. The scramble for sports programming to attract streaming subscribers is likely to boost global listed sports assets, while potentially increasing costs for streaming services in future auctions. \n\n\n  Soccer clubs Manchester United Ltd., Juventus Football Club SpA, Borussia Dortmund GmbH, AFC Ajax NV and Olympique Lyonnais Groupe are all publicly listed, though the extent to which each individual club benefits from higher streaming fees will depend on the distribution set by the leagues. Liberty Media Corp. has separate tracking stocks for its interests in Formula One Group and the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club. Private-equity firms including Bridgepoint Group PLC has sports investments as well. \n\n\n  Meanwhile, streaming services, broadcasters and telecommunications groups could face an inflationary spiral to acquire or retain rights to air sporting events. Walt Disney Co. lost streaming rights to IPL cricket for the 2023-2027 period to rival Viacom18, a joint venture between Paramount Global and Reliance Industries Ltd. Disney's Star India television network will pay the equivalent of $3 billion to retain the TV rights, more than it paid for the combined broadcast and streaming package in the last auction in 2017, but was outbid by Viacom18 for the digital rights The auction generated $6.2 billion in total for the league's organizers, three times the amount reached in 2017. \n\n\n  Higher prices raise the bar for bidders to generate returns on their investment. BT Group PLC last month said its deal with Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. to form a sports JV in the U.K. and Ireland was partly aimed at reducing its exposure to rights costs. \n\n\n \n\n\n  Market Insights are commentary that is independent of the news coverage by reporters at The Wall Street Journal. \n\n\n \n\n\n  Write to Adrià Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com \n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 15, 2022 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908573699,"gmtCreate":1659407939711,"gmtModify":1705980053219,"author":{"id":"4098160558341800","authorId":"4098160558341800","name":"SP Sharma","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098160558341800","idStr":"4098160558341800"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908573699","repostId":"1142849270","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142849270","pubTimestamp":1659367195,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142849270?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142849270","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatility</li><li>Fed pivot optimism fuels S&amp;P 500 to best month since Nov 2020</li></ul><p>Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for steady income streams as risk appetite runs hot and cold this year.</p><p>In the $6.6 trillion exchange-traded fund arena, three dividend-focused ETFs rank among the top 10 in terms of equity inflows, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The leader, the $36.5 billion Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (ticker SCHD), has only posted five outflows this year.</p><p>In the bond market, a mix of dip-buying behavior and growth concerns has sparked a fierce rally in Treasuries after benchmark yields hit multiyear highs last month. Billions have been funneled into corporate debt, with the S&amp;P 500’s earnings yield holding the slimmest advantage to the average yield on blue-chip bonds in over a decade.</p><p>The demand for coupon-clipping and reliable payouts casts a cautious light on the biggest two-day rally on record following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday raised the potential for smaller rate hikes in the future, skeptics warn that still-high inflation will prevent a pivot and send the economy into a recession. Against that backdrop, it makes sense to play it safe, according to AlphaTrAI’s Max Gokhman.</p><p>“The common denominator is defense,” said Gokhman, the firm’s chief investment officer. “High-quality corporate debt and buying stocks of companies with resilient balance sheets that can afford to pay a consistent dividend without worrying about excess leverage or margin pressure makes sense.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e85bc40de18118437b82218c7aeb3032\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>While the S&amp;P 500 has soared 9% in July, on track for its biggest month of gains since November 2020, the index is still down 13% this year. Strong earnings have recently reassured traders, but uncertainty around a US recession and the path of the Fed’s rate hikes has kept traders on their toes.</p><p>The back-and-forth nature of stocks has made bonds more appealing to some investors. The average yield on investment-grade bonds is currently 4.35% while the S&amp;P 500 “pays out” about 4.8% in earnings. That’s close to the smallest gap since 2010.</p><p>“Really where we’re starting to see opportunity is credit markets,” Russ Koesterich, portfolio manager of BlackRock’s global allocation fund, said on Bloomberg Television. “If we’re going to be in an environment where equity is going to be choppy over the next few months, one of the things you can do in your portfolio is you can add carry. You can add income.”</p><p>Relatively high yields on investment-grade bonds means unlike much of the past decade, investors don’t even have to “dive down” in quality for worthwhile returns, according to Karissa McDonough of Community Bank Trust Services. That’s an attractive proposition with recession fears on high alert.</p><p>“In corporate bonds, especially high-quality corporates, we’re seeing over 5% yields in some of those areas, which we haven’t seen in a long time,” McDonough, a fixed-income strategist, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “That’s real money, real income and a good opportunity as long as you’re selective.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daa38c68313f0bc1c0866bde4a87bc3b\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Similarly, a volatile stock market this year has pushed investors toward ETFs that somewhat guarantee a stable income. SCHD, which has garnered nearly $8.3 billion this year, is on track to surpass 2021’s record $9.8 billion haul. And more than $6.3 billion has flowed into the $11.5 billion JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) year-to-date, while the $46.1 billion Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) has taken in $6 billion in 2022 -- a record.</p><p>ETF issuers have also been quick to try and capitalize on the trend. Launches and applications for income-oriented funds have multiplied this year, with strategies ranging from buying stocks of dividend-paying companies to selling call options on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>But the hunt for income isn’t as simple as chasing the stocks with the highest payouts, according to Richard Bernstein Advisors’s Dan Suzuki, whose firm has been adding high-quality dividend stocks and long-duration bonds in recent weeks.</p><p>“High-dividend payers are like high-yield bonds -- there’s a risk priced in that the dividend gets cut,” said Suzuki, the firm’s deputy chief investment officer. But longer-dated Treasuries and higher-quality dividend stocks are “both an attractive way to get defensive in the portfolio.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIncome Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-01 23:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best month since Nov 2020Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SCHD":"Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142849270","content_text":"Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best month since Nov 2020Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for steady income streams as risk appetite runs hot and cold this year.In the $6.6 trillion exchange-traded fund arena, three dividend-focused ETFs rank among the top 10 in terms of equity inflows, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The leader, the $36.5 billion Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (ticker SCHD), has only posted five outflows this year.In the bond market, a mix of dip-buying behavior and growth concerns has sparked a fierce rally in Treasuries after benchmark yields hit multiyear highs last month. Billions have been funneled into corporate debt, with the S&P 500’s earnings yield holding the slimmest advantage to the average yield on blue-chip bonds in over a decade.The demand for coupon-clipping and reliable payouts casts a cautious light on the biggest two-day rally on record following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday raised the potential for smaller rate hikes in the future, skeptics warn that still-high inflation will prevent a pivot and send the economy into a recession. Against that backdrop, it makes sense to play it safe, according to AlphaTrAI’s Max Gokhman.“The common denominator is defense,” said Gokhman, the firm’s chief investment officer. “High-quality corporate debt and buying stocks of companies with resilient balance sheets that can afford to pay a consistent dividend without worrying about excess leverage or margin pressure makes sense.”While the S&P 500 has soared 9% in July, on track for its biggest month of gains since November 2020, the index is still down 13% this year. Strong earnings have recently reassured traders, but uncertainty around a US recession and the path of the Fed’s rate hikes has kept traders on their toes.The back-and-forth nature of stocks has made bonds more appealing to some investors. The average yield on investment-grade bonds is currently 4.35% while the S&P 500 “pays out” about 4.8% in earnings. That’s close to the smallest gap since 2010.“Really where we’re starting to see opportunity is credit markets,” Russ Koesterich, portfolio manager of BlackRock’s global allocation fund, said on Bloomberg Television. “If we’re going to be in an environment where equity is going to be choppy over the next few months, one of the things you can do in your portfolio is you can add carry. You can add income.”Relatively high yields on investment-grade bonds means unlike much of the past decade, investors don’t even have to “dive down” in quality for worthwhile returns, according to Karissa McDonough of Community Bank Trust Services. That’s an attractive proposition with recession fears on high alert.“In corporate bonds, especially high-quality corporates, we’re seeing over 5% yields in some of those areas, which we haven’t seen in a long time,” McDonough, a fixed-income strategist, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “That’s real money, real income and a good opportunity as long as you’re selective.”Similarly, a volatile stock market this year has pushed investors toward ETFs that somewhat guarantee a stable income. SCHD, which has garnered nearly $8.3 billion this year, is on track to surpass 2021’s record $9.8 billion haul. And more than $6.3 billion has flowed into the $11.5 billion JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) year-to-date, while the $46.1 billion Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) has taken in $6 billion in 2022 -- a record.ETF issuers have also been quick to try and capitalize on the trend. Launches and applications for income-oriented funds have multiplied this year, with strategies ranging from buying stocks of dividend-paying companies to selling call options on the S&P 500.But the hunt for income isn’t as simple as chasing the stocks with the highest payouts, according to Richard Bernstein Advisors’s Dan Suzuki, whose firm has been adding high-quality dividend stocks and long-duration bonds in recent weeks.“High-dividend payers are like high-yield bonds -- there’s a risk priced in that the dividend gets cut,” said Suzuki, the firm’s deputy chief investment officer. But longer-dated Treasuries and higher-quality dividend stocks are “both an attractive way to get defensive in the portfolio.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}