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01-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-12-23

Buy

Tesla: Buy The Panic - Disregard The Noise

2022-12-12

Both

NIO And XPeng: Buy The Balance Sheet And Autonomous Capability - Time To Spend Money

2022-11-29

Great

2 Stock-Split Shares That Could Soar in 2023

2022-11-28

Great

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-17

Good

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2022-10-17

👍🏻

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2022-10-11

👍🏻

Tesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events

2022-09-13

Good

3 EV Stocks to Buy With Superior Fundamentals

2022-08-18

good info

Tesla Stock Split: 5 Things to Know About the Upcoming Split

2022-08-10

Good write up

Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst

2022-07-27

Good news

PayPal Shares Jumped 6% in Premarket Trading

2022-07-19

Good

Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon

2022-07-18

Hope is a good news

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-07-11

Great

NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback

2022-07-07

Good

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2022-06-28

👍🏻

NIO: A Volatile But Very Profitable Road Ahead

2022-06-21

Great

NIO Surges Over 9% in Hong Kong, Market Cap Back to HK$300 Billion

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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The share price has crashed nearly 70% since its high-flying days in 2021. Nevertheless, Tesla is in a prime position to continue dominating its segment and should grow revenues significantly while expanding profitability simultaneously. Transitory factors such as Elon Musk buying Twitter and other noise should not impact Tesla&#39;s expansion and long-term profitability potential. Tesla has a delivery report coming up, and the company could surprise to the upside, leading to a more profitable-than-expected Q4.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla is becoming cheap on a P/E and even on a P/S basis. Disregard the noise! Tesla is a buy in the $120-$140 range, and the stock becomes a conviction strong buy if it gets down to about the $100-$110 level in this bear market.</p><h2>How Cheap Would Tesla be at $100?</h2><p>For starters, $100 is 76% below Tesla&#39;s ATH in 2021. At $100, Tesla would trade at 24 times this year&#39;s EPS estimates and just 18 times next year&#39;s consensus analysts&#39; figures. Ok, so the stock is not at $100, but the closer it gets, the more interesting it becomes. At $134, Tesla is trading at about 22 times forward EPS estimates. This valuation is inexpensive for a dominant, rapidly expanding, market-leading company like Tesla. Therefore, the lower it goes, the better, because it will provide an excellent long-term buying opportunity. The stock is a buy in the $120-$140 range here. Below $120, Tesla becomes a strong buy, and it&#39;s a gift if it ever comes down to $100.</p><p><b>Technically Speaking: Tesla - 30-Month Chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6be10396acac9530d4202ca5cd346dda\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA (StockCharts.com)</p><p>Tesla&#39;s given up significant gains over the last year. The stock is down by nearly 70% in this bear market, and it may even worsen. However, was this spectacular decline a big surprise to people? All the tech giants went through significant downturns, and Tesla&#39;s stock is still dealing with the heat. Nevertheless, the RSI is below 25 here, illustrating that the stock is significantly oversold. The full stochastic is only 3.05, implying a possible short-term shift to more positive momentum. The problem with Tesla&#39;s stock is that it is still in a downtrend. Therefore, a near-term bounce may be temporary, and the stock could ultimately bottom lower, around the $110-$120 range.</p><h2>The Upcoming Deliveries Report</h2><p>Tesla should announce its Q4 deliveries soon, and the market expects 450-465K vehicle deliveries for the fourth quarter. However, Tesla could surprise higher, delivering 475K or more vehicles in the final quarter of 2022. 475K or more car deliveries should surprise the market, reflecting positively on Tesla&#39;s stock. Despite the transitory global slowdown, demand remains high for Tesla vehicles, and the company plans to unveil its fifth gigafactory in Mexico soon.</p><h2>Disregard the Twitter Drama</h2><p>There is a great deal of focus on what is happening at Twitter, which is not helping Tesla&#39;s stock. The &#34;Twitter Drama&#34; continues weighing on the sentiment surrounding Tesla and the company&#39;s stock price. Do investors think Elon Musk will forget about Tesla and focus most of his attention on Twitter instead? I don&#39;t think so. First, Elon Musk is accustomed to optimizing multiple companies simultaneously. Mr. Musk has experience running SpaceX, Tesla, and other corporations. Also, Musk is looking for the right CEO to take over the helm at the struggling social media giant. Nevertheless, the Twitter drama shouldn&#39;t spill over and impact Tesla&#39;s long-term operations.</p><h2>Ramping Up Revenues</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ec9afbf09cbec15c251e2e735c4296\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)</p><p>Tesla&#39;s consensus estimated revenue growth is 55% this year and 39% in 2023. Moreover, the company should experience robust double-digit growth for several years, offering a high probability of surpassing current depressed estimate figures. Therefore, we should see 15-25% revenue growth continuing beyond 2025.</p><h2>EPS Growth to Expand</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6981582ddd151f3a0e87af9a1b9c436e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>EPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )</p><p>The consensus EPS estimates for 2023 are for $5.64, but the company can earn $6-$7 next year. Therefore, Tesla&#39;s current forward P/E ratio is around 19-22. Moreover, Tesla could make close to its higher-end estimates in 2024 and 2025. Thus, the company&#39;s EPS could run up to approximately $10 and $14 in the coming years. Provided that Tesla earns around $14 in 2025, its current valuation is less than ten times the 2025 EPS potential.</p><h2><b>Where Tesla&#39;s Stock Could be in A Few Years </b></h2><table><tbody><tr><td>Year</td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025</td><td>2026</td><td>2027</td><td>2028</td><td>2029</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue Bs</td><td>$85</td><td>$132</td><td>$185</td><td>$250</td><td>$330</td><td>$429</td><td>$550</td><td>$686</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>57%</td><td>55%</td><td>40%</td><td>35%</td><td>32%</td><td>30%</td><td>28%</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>EPS</td><td>$4.50</td><td>$7</td><td>$10</td><td>$14</td><td>$19</td><td>$25</td><td>$32</td><td>$40</td></tr><tr><td>EPS growth</td><td>99%</td><td>56%</td><td>43%</td><td>40%</td><td>36%</td><td>32%</td><td>29%</td><td>26%</td></tr><tr><td>Forward P/E</td><td>19.6</td><td>22</td><td>23</td><td>24</td><td>25</td><td>23</td><td>22</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>Price</td><td>$137</td><td>$220</td><td>$322</td><td>$456</td><td>$625</td><td>$736</td><td>$880</td><td>$950</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Click to enlarge</p><p>Source: The Financial Prophet</p><h2>Tesla Risks</h2><p><b>Risks exist for Tesla</b> - The company may miss earnings and revenue estimates. Furthermore, a slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, issues with regulators and foreign governments, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to move higher. Serious concerns could cause Tesla&#39;s valuation to lose altitude, and the company&#39;s share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider these and other risks before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Buy The Panic - Disregard The Noise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Buy The Panic - Disregard The Noise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-23 12:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566022-tesla-buy-the-panic-disregard-the-noise><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gone in reverse, dropping to its lowest level in more than two years. The share price has crashed nearly 70% since its high-flying days in 2021. Nevertheless, Tesla is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566022-tesla-buy-the-panic-disregard-the-noise\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566022-tesla-buy-the-panic-disregard-the-noise","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2293532324","content_text":"Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gone in reverse, dropping to its lowest level in more than two years. The share price has crashed nearly 70% since its high-flying days in 2021. Nevertheless, Tesla is in a prime position to continue dominating its segment and should grow revenues significantly while expanding profitability simultaneously. Transitory factors such as Elon Musk buying Twitter and other noise should not impact Tesla's expansion and long-term profitability potential. Tesla has a delivery report coming up, and the company could surprise to the upside, leading to a more profitable-than-expected Q4.Moreover, Tesla is becoming cheap on a P/E and even on a P/S basis. Disregard the noise! Tesla is a buy in the $120-$140 range, and the stock becomes a conviction strong buy if it gets down to about the $100-$110 level in this bear market.How Cheap Would Tesla be at $100?For starters, $100 is 76% below Tesla's ATH in 2021. At $100, Tesla would trade at 24 times this year's EPS estimates and just 18 times next year's consensus analysts' figures. Ok, so the stock is not at $100, but the closer it gets, the more interesting it becomes. At $134, Tesla is trading at about 22 times forward EPS estimates. This valuation is inexpensive for a dominant, rapidly expanding, market-leading company like Tesla. Therefore, the lower it goes, the better, because it will provide an excellent long-term buying opportunity. The stock is a buy in the $120-$140 range here. Below $120, Tesla becomes a strong buy, and it's a gift if it ever comes down to $100.Technically Speaking: Tesla - 30-Month ChartTSLA (StockCharts.com)Tesla's given up significant gains over the last year. The stock is down by nearly 70% in this bear market, and it may even worsen. However, was this spectacular decline a big surprise to people? All the tech giants went through significant downturns, and Tesla's stock is still dealing with the heat. Nevertheless, the RSI is below 25 here, illustrating that the stock is significantly oversold. The full stochastic is only 3.05, implying a possible short-term shift to more positive momentum. The problem with Tesla's stock is that it is still in a downtrend. Therefore, a near-term bounce may be temporary, and the stock could ultimately bottom lower, around the $110-$120 range.The Upcoming Deliveries ReportTesla should announce its Q4 deliveries soon, and the market expects 450-465K vehicle deliveries for the fourth quarter. However, Tesla could surprise higher, delivering 475K or more vehicles in the final quarter of 2022. 475K or more car deliveries should surprise the market, reflecting positively on Tesla's stock. Despite the transitory global slowdown, demand remains high for Tesla vehicles, and the company plans to unveil its fifth gigafactory in Mexico soon.Disregard the Twitter DramaThere is a great deal of focus on what is happening at Twitter, which is not helping Tesla's stock. The \"Twitter Drama\" continues weighing on the sentiment surrounding Tesla and the company's stock price. Do investors think Elon Musk will forget about Tesla and focus most of his attention on Twitter instead? I don't think so. First, Elon Musk is accustomed to optimizing multiple companies simultaneously. Mr. Musk has experience running SpaceX, Tesla, and other corporations. Also, Musk is looking for the right CEO to take over the helm at the struggling social media giant. Nevertheless, the Twitter drama shouldn't spill over and impact Tesla's long-term operations.Ramping Up RevenuesRevenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)Tesla's consensus estimated revenue growth is 55% this year and 39% in 2023. Moreover, the company should experience robust double-digit growth for several years, offering a high probability of surpassing current depressed estimate figures. Therefore, we should see 15-25% revenue growth continuing beyond 2025.EPS Growth to ExpandEPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )The consensus EPS estimates for 2023 are for $5.64, but the company can earn $6-$7 next year. Therefore, Tesla's current forward P/E ratio is around 19-22. Moreover, Tesla could make close to its higher-end estimates in 2024 and 2025. Thus, the company's EPS could run up to approximately $10 and $14 in the coming years. Provided that Tesla earns around $14 in 2025, its current valuation is less than ten times the 2025 EPS potential.Where Tesla's Stock Could be in A Few Years Year20222023202420252026202720282029Revenue Bs$85$132$185$250$330$429$550$686Revenue growth57%55%40%35%32%30%28%25%EPS$4.50$7$10$14$19$25$32$40EPS growth99%56%43%40%36%32%29%26%Forward P/E19.622232425232220Price$137$220$322$456$625$736$880$950Click to enlargeSource: The Financial ProphetTesla RisksRisks exist for Tesla - The company may miss earnings and revenue estimates. Furthermore, a slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, issues with regulators and foreign governments, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to move higher. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider these and other risks before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923624560,"gmtCreate":1670853392050,"gmtModify":1676538446237,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Both","listText":"Both","text":"Both","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923624560","repostId":"1120497347","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120497347","pubTimestamp":1670833546,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120497347?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-12 16:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"NIO And XPeng: Buy The Balance Sheet And Autonomous Capability - Time To Spend Money","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120497347","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryChina has finally reopened, with market analysts projecting an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 20","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>China has finally reopened, with market analysts projecting an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023 against 6% in 2019, attributed to its 300B Yuan stimulus package.</li><li>NIO boasts a more robust balance sheet with 44.8B Yuan in liquidity and improved EV delivery numbers of 14.17K in November, +30.3% Y/Y and +40.9% M/M.</li><li>XPEV may potentially outperform at a price target of $62.75, based on FY2026 EPS of $2.51 and P/E of 25x, significantly boosted by its promising autonomous progress.</li><li>Why not spend some money to buy both, given the remarkably attractive risk/ reward ratio?</li><li>Geopolitical risks won&#39;t last forever, and macroeconomics will normalize by 2024, so don&#39;t miss these dirt-cheap valuations.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis - Dirt Cheap Valuations With Sky-High ProspectsNIO &amp; XPEV YTD Stock Price</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8509fd4b20df0047fe491f0fb4c07e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Despite the highly anticipated reopening cadence in China, it is apparent that Mr. Market is still wary about the potential turnabout, due to theminimal stock recovery thus far. XPeng Inc (NYSE:XPEV) continues to be butchered with a -78.12% plunge YTD, while NIO Inc (NYSE:NIO) fared slightly better at -62.41% against BYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF) (OTCPK:BYDDY) at -26.54%, and the S&amp;P 500 Index at -17.98% at the same time. Despite so, consensus estimates remain bullish about NIO &amp; XPEV&#39;s prospects, due to their price target of $21.05/$17.67 and the 58.99%/51.15% upside from current prices.</p><p>Why wouldn&#39;t they, given NIO&#39;s highly promising entry to the EU market, where the government is aggressively expanding the number ofEVs on the road by 21-fold to 30M through 2030? The management has already planned to install20 power swap stations in the EUby the end of 2022 and another 100 by 2023. While those numbers may seem insignificant compared to its existing facilities in China at 1.21K swap and 2.05K charging stations, it is important to note that the company only unveiled its products recently in October 2022. Thereby, signifying its long runway for growth and adoption in the region.</p><p>In the meantime, XPEV has alsoaccepted reservations in the EUsince Q1&#39;22, withsales already successfully recorded in Norwayand new models planned for 2023. Combined with its newly launched XNGP (the equivalent of Tesla&#39;s Autopilot), it is not hard to see why the company continues to be touted as the next Tesla (TSLA). Its semi-autonomous driving system is already approved for beta testing onGuangzhou&#39;s public roads since October 2022, with further rollouts planned in several dozen cities by Q3&#39;23.</p><p>Naturally, XPEV&#39;s Advanced Driver Assistance [ADAS] product is based on dual-LiDAR/ camera systems, whereas TSLA champions apure-vision approachinstead. However, with Ford (F) preferring to take a$2.7B impairment on the Argo AI driving technology and General Motors (GM) winningthe first robotaxi permit in San Francisco with Cruise, it still remains to be seen which company would emerge as the ultimate winner, given the very nascency of autonomous application. Furthermore, theUS DOJis supposedly investigating TSLA&#39;s claims of autopilot capabilities, due to the&#34;notorious&#34; record its systemhas accumulated thus far.</p><p>Nonetheless, while it may seem farfetched to compare NIO&#39;s NTM P/E valuations of -20.78x and XPEV&#39;s -12.40x against TSLA&#39;s 32.98x and BYD&#39;s 33.49x at the same time, we do not think that it is overly ambitious in projecting that both companies boast the potential to similarly reach those levels. Naturally, it is contingent on the successful restructuring of both companies&#39; operations, AI/ADAS/model offerings, the ramp-up in their production output, and the eventual profitability. Only time will tell.</p><p><b>NIO &amp; XPEV Are Still In Growth At All Costs Stage - Profitability Remains A Dream</b></p><p><b>NIO &amp; XPEV Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, and EPS</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36ae1b70f89fb67830a30152591682a7\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>It is apparent by the latest quarter, that NIO has outperformed XPEV by a large distance, despite the minimal difference in their FQ3&#39;22 delivery of 31.6K and 29.57K vehicles, respectively. The former has boasted a 32.6% YoY revenue growth, while the latter lag behind with 19.3% instead. Nonetheless, both companies have demonstrated great gross margins of ~13%, despite the rising inflationary pressures, though still notably paling in comparison against BYD at 19% and TSLA at 25.1% at the same time.</p><p>In the meantime, both NIO and XPEV have also demonstrated great ambitions, especially the former, due to the aggressive 247.05% YoY increase in R&amp;D expenses compared to the latter at 18.25%. While the % of revenue spent may seem somewhat similar at ~22%, we must also highlight NIO&#39;s higher R&amp;D expenses of 2.94B Yuan compared to XPEV&#39;s 1.49B Yuan at the same time. With NIO spending611.9M Yuanon Stock-Based Compensation [SBC] expenses by the latest quarter, we can infer how important talents are to the company, compared toXPEV&#39;s 152.6M Yuanat the same time.</p><p><b>NIO &amp; XPEV Balance Sheet (in billion Yuan)</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c17d13df46e2aff4568186d0180b6a6\" tg-width=\"408\" tg-height=\"190\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Furthermore, NIO continues to boast a more robust balance sheet, with 44.8B Yuan in immediate liquidity, despite the increased reliance on debts at 12.54B Yuan at the same time. With both companies reporting elevated inventory levels of 6.67B Yuan and 4.38B Yuan at the same time, demand seems to be slowing at that time, due to the lagging economic growth from the relentless Zero Covid Policy. Even Tesla has had to offer approximately 10% discount, while alsoclosing its flagship showroomin China and supposedly cutting production output in its Shanghai factory.</p><p>However, with the government suddenly shifting gears awayfrom the Zero Covid Policy post-nationwide-riots, we expect to see a slow but steady return in China&#39;s economic activity, significantly boosted by the300B Yuan stimulus package. Some analysts have already gone as far as to project an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023against 6% in 2019, pointing to the possibility that the worst is already over. Combined with the extension ofEV subsidies through 2023, we expect deliveries to naturally rebound by H1&#39;23, if not earlier, by Q4&#39;22.</p><p><b>NIO &amp; XPEV Projected Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, EPS, FCF %, and Debt</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b444ffaae1fd18150c07623b6044fa83\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Over the next few years, NIO &amp; XPEV will naturally remain unprofitable, due to their growth at all-cost strategies. However, we are not overly concerned, since the land grab is more important for now as China reopens. Furthermore, TSLA notably took fifteen years to report positive cash from operations and another two years to reach net income profitability. Therefore, we are not in a rush at all, since both companies may also hit positive FCF generation by 2024, despite the uncertain global economic events. Not too bad, indeed.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on Chinese EV stocks, which would help you better understand their position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>XPeng: Execution Fiasco&#39;s The Last Nail In Coffin - Speculative Buy Now</li><li>NIO: Geo-Political Risk Pays Off Only For The Lead-Lined Stomachs</li><li>BYD: The Silliest Geopolitical Risk - Mr. Market&#39;s Gift To The Brave</li></ul><p><b>So, Are NIO &amp; XPEV Stocks Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p><b>NIO &amp; XPEV YTD EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18d7885d94af47f3ebb51f5b9a78e3de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"231\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Despite the recent reopening cadence, both NIO &amp; XPEV continues to trade below their YTD EV/Revenue and P/E means thus far. Thereby, pointing to the stocks&#39; undervaluation indeed. Given the bullish projection of NIO&#39;s FY2026 EPS of $0.73 and a moderate P/E valuation of 25x, we could potentially reach an ambitious price target of $18.25. In the meantime, XPEV may also outperform at $62.75, based on the FY2026 EPS of $2.51.</p><p>As with projections, it remains to be seen if Mr. Market will eventually look past geopolitical issues, while rewarding these two stocks with the premium valuations. Especially since BYD continues to trade with a massive -87.15% discount at $24.7, despite the supposed 6M output by 2024, promising EPS of $5.74, and NTM P/E valuations of 33.49x.</p><p>However, we continue to rate both NIO &amp; XPEV stocks as Buys due to their high risk/reward ratios, as geopolitical risks do not last forever and macroeconomics are expected to normalize by 2024. If we are really forced to choose one, XPEV would be the obvious choice. This is due to the massive progress demonstrated by its autonomous system, though we remain highly invested in NIO&#39;s potential success in the EU as well. Good luck, all.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO And XPeng: Buy The Balance Sheet And Autonomous Capability - Time To Spend Money</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO And XPeng: Buy The Balance Sheet And Autonomous Capability - Time To Spend Money\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-12 16:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563150-nio-xpeng-stocks-buy-balance-sheet-autonomous-capability><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryChina has finally reopened, with market analysts projecting an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023 against 6% in 2019, attributed to its 300B Yuan stimulus package.NIO boasts a more robust balance...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563150-nio-xpeng-stocks-buy-balance-sheet-autonomous-capability\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","09868":"小鹏汽车-W","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563150-nio-xpeng-stocks-buy-balance-sheet-autonomous-capability","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120497347","content_text":"SummaryChina has finally reopened, with market analysts projecting an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023 against 6% in 2019, attributed to its 300B Yuan stimulus package.NIO boasts a more robust balance sheet with 44.8B Yuan in liquidity and improved EV delivery numbers of 14.17K in November, +30.3% Y/Y and +40.9% M/M.XPEV may potentially outperform at a price target of $62.75, based on FY2026 EPS of $2.51 and P/E of 25x, significantly boosted by its promising autonomous progress.Why not spend some money to buy both, given the remarkably attractive risk/ reward ratio?Geopolitical risks won't last forever, and macroeconomics will normalize by 2024, so don't miss these dirt-cheap valuations.Investment Thesis - Dirt Cheap Valuations With Sky-High ProspectsNIO & XPEV YTD Stock PriceSeeking AlphaDespite the highly anticipated reopening cadence in China, it is apparent that Mr. Market is still wary about the potential turnabout, due to theminimal stock recovery thus far. XPeng Inc (NYSE:XPEV) continues to be butchered with a -78.12% plunge YTD, while NIO Inc (NYSE:NIO) fared slightly better at -62.41% against BYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF) (OTCPK:BYDDY) at -26.54%, and the S&P 500 Index at -17.98% at the same time. Despite so, consensus estimates remain bullish about NIO & XPEV's prospects, due to their price target of $21.05/$17.67 and the 58.99%/51.15% upside from current prices.Why wouldn't they, given NIO's highly promising entry to the EU market, where the government is aggressively expanding the number ofEVs on the road by 21-fold to 30M through 2030? The management has already planned to install20 power swap stations in the EUby the end of 2022 and another 100 by 2023. While those numbers may seem insignificant compared to its existing facilities in China at 1.21K swap and 2.05K charging stations, it is important to note that the company only unveiled its products recently in October 2022. Thereby, signifying its long runway for growth and adoption in the region.In the meantime, XPEV has alsoaccepted reservations in the EUsince Q1'22, withsales already successfully recorded in Norwayand new models planned for 2023. Combined with its newly launched XNGP (the equivalent of Tesla's Autopilot), it is not hard to see why the company continues to be touted as the next Tesla (TSLA). Its semi-autonomous driving system is already approved for beta testing onGuangzhou's public roads since October 2022, with further rollouts planned in several dozen cities by Q3'23.Naturally, XPEV's Advanced Driver Assistance [ADAS] product is based on dual-LiDAR/ camera systems, whereas TSLA champions apure-vision approachinstead. However, with Ford (F) preferring to take a$2.7B impairment on the Argo AI driving technology and General Motors (GM) winningthe first robotaxi permit in San Francisco with Cruise, it still remains to be seen which company would emerge as the ultimate winner, given the very nascency of autonomous application. Furthermore, theUS DOJis supposedly investigating TSLA's claims of autopilot capabilities, due to the\"notorious\" record its systemhas accumulated thus far.Nonetheless, while it may seem farfetched to compare NIO's NTM P/E valuations of -20.78x and XPEV's -12.40x against TSLA's 32.98x and BYD's 33.49x at the same time, we do not think that it is overly ambitious in projecting that both companies boast the potential to similarly reach those levels. Naturally, it is contingent on the successful restructuring of both companies' operations, AI/ADAS/model offerings, the ramp-up in their production output, and the eventual profitability. Only time will tell.NIO & XPEV Are Still In Growth At All Costs Stage - Profitability Remains A DreamNIO & XPEV Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, and EPSS&P Capital IQIt is apparent by the latest quarter, that NIO has outperformed XPEV by a large distance, despite the minimal difference in their FQ3'22 delivery of 31.6K and 29.57K vehicles, respectively. The former has boasted a 32.6% YoY revenue growth, while the latter lag behind with 19.3% instead. Nonetheless, both companies have demonstrated great gross margins of ~13%, despite the rising inflationary pressures, though still notably paling in comparison against BYD at 19% and TSLA at 25.1% at the same time.In the meantime, both NIO and XPEV have also demonstrated great ambitions, especially the former, due to the aggressive 247.05% YoY increase in R&D expenses compared to the latter at 18.25%. While the % of revenue spent may seem somewhat similar at ~22%, we must also highlight NIO's higher R&D expenses of 2.94B Yuan compared to XPEV's 1.49B Yuan at the same time. With NIO spending611.9M Yuanon Stock-Based Compensation [SBC] expenses by the latest quarter, we can infer how important talents are to the company, compared toXPEV's 152.6M Yuanat the same time.NIO & XPEV Balance Sheet (in billion Yuan)S&P Capital IQFurthermore, NIO continues to boast a more robust balance sheet, with 44.8B Yuan in immediate liquidity, despite the increased reliance on debts at 12.54B Yuan at the same time. With both companies reporting elevated inventory levels of 6.67B Yuan and 4.38B Yuan at the same time, demand seems to be slowing at that time, due to the lagging economic growth from the relentless Zero Covid Policy. Even Tesla has had to offer approximately 10% discount, while alsoclosing its flagship showroomin China and supposedly cutting production output in its Shanghai factory.However, with the government suddenly shifting gears awayfrom the Zero Covid Policy post-nationwide-riots, we expect to see a slow but steady return in China's economic activity, significantly boosted by the300B Yuan stimulus package. Some analysts have already gone as far as to project an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023against 6% in 2019, pointing to the possibility that the worst is already over. Combined with the extension ofEV subsidies through 2023, we expect deliveries to naturally rebound by H1'23, if not earlier, by Q4'22.NIO & XPEV Projected Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, EPS, FCF %, and DebtS&P Capital IQOver the next few years, NIO & XPEV will naturally remain unprofitable, due to their growth at all-cost strategies. However, we are not overly concerned, since the land grab is more important for now as China reopens. Furthermore, TSLA notably took fifteen years to report positive cash from operations and another two years to reach net income profitability. Therefore, we are not in a rush at all, since both companies may also hit positive FCF generation by 2024, despite the uncertain global economic events. Not too bad, indeed.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on Chinese EV stocks, which would help you better understand their position and market opportunities.XPeng: Execution Fiasco's The Last Nail In Coffin - Speculative Buy NowNIO: Geo-Political Risk Pays Off Only For The Lead-Lined StomachsBYD: The Silliest Geopolitical Risk - Mr. Market's Gift To The BraveSo, Are NIO & XPEV Stocks Buy, Sell, or Hold?NIO & XPEV YTD EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQDespite the recent reopening cadence, both NIO & XPEV continues to trade below their YTD EV/Revenue and P/E means thus far. Thereby, pointing to the stocks' undervaluation indeed. Given the bullish projection of NIO's FY2026 EPS of $0.73 and a moderate P/E valuation of 25x, we could potentially reach an ambitious price target of $18.25. In the meantime, XPEV may also outperform at $62.75, based on the FY2026 EPS of $2.51.As with projections, it remains to be seen if Mr. Market will eventually look past geopolitical issues, while rewarding these two stocks with the premium valuations. Especially since BYD continues to trade with a massive -87.15% discount at $24.7, despite the supposed 6M output by 2024, promising EPS of $5.74, and NTM P/E valuations of 33.49x.However, we continue to rate both NIO & XPEV stocks as Buys due to their high risk/reward ratios, as geopolitical risks do not last forever and macroeconomics are expected to normalize by 2024. If we are really forced to choose one, XPEV would be the obvious choice. This is due to the massive progress demonstrated by its autonomous system, though we remain highly invested in NIO's potential success in the EU as well. Good luck, all.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962328825,"gmtCreate":1669726512568,"gmtModify":1676538230143,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962328825","repostId":"2286859887","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286859887","pubTimestamp":1669735416,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286859887?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Stock-Split Shares That Could Soar in 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286859887","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These past winners have what it takes to win again.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>This year, some of the most talked-about companies completed stock splits. These operations offer existing shareholders more shares -- but the value of their investment and the market value of the company remain the same. The result is a lower price for each individual share. And that opens up the stock to a broader range of investors.</p><p>Good news, right? Yes. But these operations don&#39;t necessarily boost a stock. In fact, two of this year&#39;s big stock split stocks are heading for more than a 40% annual loss. I&#39;m talking about <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>. These difficult times are temporary, though. And Amazon and Tesla each look ripe for major gains. They may even soar in 2023. Let&#39;s take a closer look.</p><h2>The Amazon story</h2><p>Amazon shares climbed in recent years, reaching a high of more than $3,600 late last year. The e-commerce giant completed its 20-for-1 stock split back in June. But one main thing may have discouraged investors to pile in at the lower per-share price. And that&#39;s the impact today&#39;s economic woes have had on Amazon&#39;s earnings.</p><p>Higher inflation has weighed on Amazon&#39;s costs and on shoppers&#39; buying power. And Amazon has recorded quarter after quarter of decreasing operating income and operating cash flow. Return on invested capital also has dropped.</p><p>Why should we expect a rebound? For a few reasons. First, Amazon is a leader in two markets growing in the double digits: e-commerce and cloud computing. In fact, Amazon&#39;s cloud computing business still is growing revenue and operating income in the double digits.</p><p>The business, Amazon Web Services (AWS), not only generates billions of dollars in revenue but it also is high margin. With operating margins averaging about 30%, AWS profits a great deal from every dollar sold.</p><p>As for e-commerce, Amazon continues to grow revenue and members in its Prime subscription program. These members are spending more and more. All of this means e-commerce is likely to take off once today&#39;s economic troubles ease.</p><p>Today, Amazon is trading at its cheapest in relation to sales since 2015. At the same time, revenue still is on the rise and is at its highest level ever. Together, all of these elements give Amazon plenty of reason to soar -- in 2023 or down the road.</p><h2>Tesla powers up its engine</h2><p>Tesla completed its 3-for-1 stock split in August. That&#39;s after the shares climbed past $1,000 late last year. But the stock hasn&#39;t yet started a new phase of gains. Why? Electric vehicle (EV) stocks in general have fallen. Investors worried about the impact of higher inflation and supply chain issues on their businesses.</p><p>As for Tesla, investors didn&#39;t like the fact that CEO Elon Musk sold 19.5 million shares of Tesla around the time of his Twitter acquisition. And they feared his involvement in Twitter could leave Tesla on the back burner.</p><p>But there are plenty of reasons to like Tesla -- and be confident about the company&#39;s future prospects. In the third quarter, Tesla faced its share of challenges. For example, higher prices of raw materials and a strengthening U.S. dollar (that lowers the value of sales made outside of the U.S.).</p><p>Even in this context, Tesla reported record revenue and operating profit. The EV giant also reached an operating margin of 17.2%.</p><p>Return on invested capital and free cash flow both are on the rise at Tesla.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c57a836e208c3e930a920dc04c9f4b6d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA Free Cash Flow data by YCharts</p><p>Vehicle deliveries climbed 42% to more than 343,000. And the company reiterated its goal for 50% average annual growth in deliveries.</p><p>Tesla also has the cash to power its growth over the coming years. The company has increased its cash levels from quarter to quarter. And in the third quarter, cash rose 31% to more than $21 billion year over year.</p><p>Tesla shares trade at 44 times forward earnings estimates. That&#39;s down from more than 70 just a couple of months ago. Considering Tesla&#39;s earnings momentum, the stock is a buy at today&#39;s level. And this growth could result in a major increase for the shares next year and beyond.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Stock-Split Shares That Could Soar in 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Stock-Split Shares That Could Soar in 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-29 23:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/28/2-stock-split-stocks-that-could-soar-in-2023/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This year, some of the most talked-about companies completed stock splits. These operations offer existing shareholders more shares -- but the value of their investment and the market value of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/28/2-stock-split-stocks-that-could-soar-in-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/28/2-stock-split-stocks-that-could-soar-in-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286859887","content_text":"This year, some of the most talked-about companies completed stock splits. These operations offer existing shareholders more shares -- but the value of their investment and the market value of the company remain the same. The result is a lower price for each individual share. And that opens up the stock to a broader range of investors.Good news, right? Yes. But these operations don't necessarily boost a stock. In fact, two of this year's big stock split stocks are heading for more than a 40% annual loss. I'm talking about Amazon and Tesla. These difficult times are temporary, though. And Amazon and Tesla each look ripe for major gains. They may even soar in 2023. Let's take a closer look.The Amazon storyAmazon shares climbed in recent years, reaching a high of more than $3,600 late last year. The e-commerce giant completed its 20-for-1 stock split back in June. But one main thing may have discouraged investors to pile in at the lower per-share price. And that's the impact today's economic woes have had on Amazon's earnings.Higher inflation has weighed on Amazon's costs and on shoppers' buying power. And Amazon has recorded quarter after quarter of decreasing operating income and operating cash flow. Return on invested capital also has dropped.Why should we expect a rebound? For a few reasons. First, Amazon is a leader in two markets growing in the double digits: e-commerce and cloud computing. In fact, Amazon's cloud computing business still is growing revenue and operating income in the double digits.The business, Amazon Web Services (AWS), not only generates billions of dollars in revenue but it also is high margin. With operating margins averaging about 30%, AWS profits a great deal from every dollar sold.As for e-commerce, Amazon continues to grow revenue and members in its Prime subscription program. These members are spending more and more. All of this means e-commerce is likely to take off once today's economic troubles ease.Today, Amazon is trading at its cheapest in relation to sales since 2015. At the same time, revenue still is on the rise and is at its highest level ever. Together, all of these elements give Amazon plenty of reason to soar -- in 2023 or down the road.Tesla powers up its engineTesla completed its 3-for-1 stock split in August. That's after the shares climbed past $1,000 late last year. But the stock hasn't yet started a new phase of gains. Why? Electric vehicle (EV) stocks in general have fallen. Investors worried about the impact of higher inflation and supply chain issues on their businesses.As for Tesla, investors didn't like the fact that CEO Elon Musk sold 19.5 million shares of Tesla around the time of his Twitter acquisition. And they feared his involvement in Twitter could leave Tesla on the back burner.But there are plenty of reasons to like Tesla -- and be confident about the company's future prospects. In the third quarter, Tesla faced its share of challenges. For example, higher prices of raw materials and a strengthening U.S. dollar (that lowers the value of sales made outside of the U.S.).Even in this context, Tesla reported record revenue and operating profit. The EV giant also reached an operating margin of 17.2%.Return on invested capital and free cash flow both are on the rise at Tesla.TSLA Free Cash Flow data by YChartsVehicle deliveries climbed 42% to more than 343,000. And the company reiterated its goal for 50% average annual growth in deliveries.Tesla also has the cash to power its growth over the coming years. The company has increased its cash levels from quarter to quarter. And in the third quarter, cash rose 31% to more than $21 billion year over year.Tesla shares trade at 44 times forward earnings estimates. That's down from more than 70 just a couple of months ago. Considering Tesla's earnings momentum, the stock is a buy at today's level. And this growth could result in a major increase for the shares next year and beyond.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966786498,"gmtCreate":1669646439715,"gmtModify":1676538218059,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966786498","repostId":"2286599841","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963678999,"gmtCreate":1668677115412,"gmtModify":1676538095618,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963678999","repostId":"1159349040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989212748,"gmtCreate":1666015125284,"gmtModify":1676537692460,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989212748","repostId":"2276507182","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917871679,"gmtCreate":1665489243692,"gmtModify":1676537615079,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917871679","repostId":"1126298657","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126298657","pubTimestamp":1665501481,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126298657?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-11 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126298657","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, despit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.</li><li>Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, despite the fact that the stock suffered one of its heaviest losses in recent years.</li><li>We judge that the automotive component of Tesla&#39;s business should be able to outperform broad benchmarks, allowing the stock to achieve double-digit annual returns.</li><li>Tesla is expanding across most major emerging industries, presumably including energy, transportation, computing, manufacturing, robotics and more.</li></ul><p>Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) introduced its highly anticipated Optimus/ Bumble C robot this week atAI Day. There were also a slew of news announcements from Tesla and others that had very positive implications for the future. Nevertheless, Tesla shares this week seem headed for their longest losing streak since March 2021.</p><p>We think that Tesla&#39;s new humanoid robot, in addition to developments in their real world AI, computing and other Tesla products currently represent a very attractive buying opportunity for long-term holders of the stock, and we expect it to outperform broad benchmarks even in times of macroeconomic distress.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194dff43d71f26606d51256c830a4945\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Bumble C</p><p>As Tesla&#39;s Humanoid Robot is still under development, they were able to show their prototype &#34;Bumble C,&#34; which is to become a low-cost and mass-producible Optimus robot.</p><p>The initial release and demonstration of the product was followed by a variety ofreactions from expertsin the robotics industry and the investment community. Interestingly, Tesla received high praise from experts from the robotics industry, while there were many skeptics from the investment community.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d0c0a5d8694dfa2f56d1cf75ee8831\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>We want to highlight the key differences between what makes Tesla&#39;s bot so different from competitors such as Boston Dynamics, Honda and others:</p><ul><li>Optimus is intended for mass production (i.e., thousands or millions of units).</li><li>Project progress was made in just 6 to 8 months, compared with decades at competitors.</li><li>The robot is expected to be affordable, costing only US$20K to manufacture, or &#34;significantly less expensive than an EV.&#34;</li><li>Tesla has a formidable AI advantage in the real world thanks to data collection efforts such as their FSD beta.</li><li>It is built for efficiency, and optimized for defined tasks rather than optimized for aesthetics.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48961fc406e0289960175b055105f015\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>Critics who compared the Optimus prototype to Boston Dynamics, for example, should note that Boston Dynamics has been aroundfor 30 years, and their humanoid robot Atlas has been in development for nearly 10 years, rather than 6 to 8 months. Boston Dynamics has also shown no intention of mass-producing their Atlas Robot, or at what price. However, their smaller robot dog, Spot, is currently available at a price ofabout US$75,000. At a price of US$20,000, not only small businesses but also households should be able to afford an Optimus robot.</p><p>The same goes for other concepts, such asHonda&#39;s Asimorobot, a humanoid robot that has been in development since the 1980s and was officially created in the year 2000. Although initially intended for mass development, Honda stopped producing Asimo robots to &#34;focus on more practical applications.&#34; None were actually sold, but Hondagave a pseudo quote of as much as $2.5 million per robot.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s robot may not have the same dexterity and human-like character because it is not primarily intended to perform tasks such as parkour or dancing. We also believe that Tesla, thanks to its real-world data collection, for example with FSD Beta, and its fleet ofmore than 3 million cars, has a head start on developing a functional AI-driven humanoid robot.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5780d19805b143394d1cccb72a98ac6d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>It is also important to note that this event was not aimed at investors, as thesole purpose was to recruit the best possible talent for Tesla and their Optimus project. We believe that recruiting the most talented engineers and employees at Tesla is a huge advantage for innovation within the company and to stay ahead of the competition.</p><p>For example, a recent survey of 49,197 American studentsby Universum, which specializes in employer branding, found that Tesla and SpaceX were named as their ideal employers. The combination of the ability to attract the best team of engineers, expertise in scaling and mass production, combined with a strong lead in data collection and years of expertise in real-world AI development, leads us to consider that Tesla is poised to become the leading company in humanoid robotics.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fbe300b4c6989fade2f3522cfee49eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>The Cost Savings</p><p>One of the main reasons Tesla is likely to make robots for a price tag of only US$20K is probably their ability to scale, vertically integrate and simplify concepts by leveraging their advances in automotive technology. Remember, Tesla specializes in &#34;building the machine that builds the machine,&#34; like their Gigafactories.</p><p>For example,in their Q2 report, they showed that the number of robots in their gigafactory body shop could be reduced by 70% compared to their first Model 3 body shop through large castings and parts consolidation. They are still on a quest for simplification with each new product and factory. Another example could be Tesla, which reportedlyremoved the ultrasonic sensorson Model 3 and Model Y vehicles because they are more confident in their AI and full self-driving capabilities.</p><p>Vertical integration in innovation is always an important concept because the unit price of certain components can drop significantly as a result ofWright&#39;s Law. For example, according to Wright&#39;s law, the cost of batteries drops 28% for every cumulative doubling of the number of units produced. That concept could be accelerated, as some of the robots&#39; components have similarities to what is used in EVs, and could be vertically integrated. The Optimus robots could also be used in Tesla&#39;s own production chain, producing more cars and robots.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb9b7b69eca0bcc3d547dcee35162406\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>There is still some debate whether Tesla will sell the robots at a fixed price, lease them, or possibly require an annual subscription for the robot and its software. If the Optimus could be produced for US$20K, it could represent a significant cost savings for employers that completely exceeds the output and productivity of an average worker. Tesla&#39;s FSD Beta software alone currently costs US$15K, and sells very well.</p><p>Compared to the average US work week, which is about 38.7 hours, Optimus can stay connected 24/7 when working in a factory, bringing the total work week to 168 hours. That&#39;s a 4x increase in output. Let&#39;s say the robot can replace 4 full-time factory or warehouse workers performing boring and repetitive tasks, employers could save up to$29,250 per employeeper year.</p><p>That makes $117,000 per robot per year, since its output is more than 4 times that of an employee. If the average lifetime of a robot is 8 years, this means a value of $936,000 per robot over its lifetime. This does not include the cost of employing workers, elimination of personnel costs, worker training and productivity loss due to illness or injury. Each year, approximately 2.3 million people worldwide suffer a work-related injury.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7e5dc767ae2f36f0f5ba809cf7b9637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>With a value of US$936,000 and a COGS of US$20,000 in mass production, each unit produced could generate US$916,000 in value. Suppose Tesla takes a 30% gross margin on the value of this robot, just as they dowith their cars, that leaves another US$274,800 in gross profit per unit produced, or US$274.8BN per million units produced.</p><p>The big difference in why Tesla could succeed in building a truly intelligent robot capable of performing realistic tasks lies in itsdata advantageand its unique ability to collect data in real time. Even as we speak, thousands of cars worldwide on FSD Beta are collecting data to train Tesla&#39;s AI. It has been collecting such data since 2014, has a dataset of 4.8 million clips and has trained 75,778 models.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee780b98aa96a00300a696e280cf786\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>Tesla also showed that it is serious about AI, by giving us a big update on their Dojo supercomputer they are building, and what plans they have for it. Tesla currently still uses a lot of Nvidia (NVDA) GPUs, but plans to increase its own capabilities for training its neural net.</p><p>It should also significantly reduce costs, and help Tesla maintain a data advantage. As Tesla&#39;s fleet grows exponentially with increased production and therollout of FSD betato more users, the amount of data Tesla and FSD beta collect in real-world applications also scales exponentially. Currently, Tesla has already driven over 35 million miles with its FSD beta cumulatively. Currently, they appear to be adding 10 million miles per quarter and expanding exponentially.</p><p>Tesla currently claims that it can replace 6 GPU boxes with just 1Dojo tile, which they also claim costs less than 1 GPU box itself, further significantly improving their cost efficiency and form factor in building out their AI systems.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f969773a012764dc54e04de9cedeaa0e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>The Automotive Side</p><p>Tesla has ventured into many areas, including batteries, solar, AI, self-driving, computers, robotics and more. While all of these ventures are promising and show great potential, we believe Tesla&#39;s auto side itself can generate better returns than broad benchmarks such as the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p>In the transition to EVs, we believe that with Wright&#39;s Law in place,EVs will be on parin price with ICE vehicles by next year 2024, and it will be a no-brainer to buy an EV. Especially as US oil prices remain high.OPEC+, for example, announced this week a production cut of 2 million barrels per day. Not only will it become cheaper to buy an EV, including tax breaks, but it will also likely cost less to maintain and refuel, increasing the adoption rate exponentially.</p><p>In 2021, the EV adoption rate was 6.6%, and we believe that by 2030 about 60% of car sales will be EVs, as EVs continue to fall below the same price as ICE vehicles as explained in our previous model. Under our assumptions, Tesla&#39;s market share in EVs will remain stagnant at 20% as competition enters the market. If both criteria are met, Tesla is expected to sell 10.8 million vehicles per year by 2030.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98543a4dc086e1db225ea538cc5c71f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla IR</p><p>This is also in line withElon Musk&#39;s expectationto have a fleet of more than 100 million cars in 10 years. Tesla has set a goal of producing more than double our estimate of 20 million units by 2030. However, we believe Tesla&#39;s average selling price will drop from US$50,450 in 2021 to US$42,000 in 2030 as a result of a new smaller sedan, with a target price closer to US$25,000-US$35,0000, in addition to a price cut to keep up with competitive pressures.</p><p>For a more in-depth explanation of our parameters for our valuation, please read our previous valuation modelpublished here on Seeking Alpha. We expect Tesla to generate approximately US$172.37BN in gross automotive revenue by 2030, with a gross margin of up to 38%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fa7a1659836da3ee6ab572806224152\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"131\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p>OpEx is also likely to improve significantly over time, as Elon Musk himself alluded that &#34;OpEx. is embarrassingly high.&#34; Tesla&#39;s adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.6% in 2021, which we predict could reach 32% over the next 8 years. These improvements include cost reductions, historical margin improvement, expansion of software-based revenues and low fixed costs.</p><p>This would lead us to a final adjusted EBITDA of US$145.15 billion for the automotive section. If 5% annualshare dilutionis also taken into account, that would lead to adjusted EBITDA of US$31.42 per share by 2030. At a reasonable multiple of 16x, we expect Tesla&#39;s auto section to propel Tesla to $502.67 per share, or a CAGR of 10.7% that exceeds the historical average return of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd7f2dced45f19caff10798400d7a8bf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla IR</p><p>We used the mean of theS&amp;P 500 multiplier, but Tesla could be trading higher at that point because it could also be valued as a software company trading atmuch higher multiples. Also note that the S&amp;P 500 is more likely to trade below its historical average return because economic growth is currently stalling.</p><p>Developments, Macroeconomics &amp; Risks</p><p>While many critics expect Tesla to have a demand-side problem, we believe the opposite is true. Tesla historically and still has a huge order backlog, and has recently had toraise pricesagain to ensure that the customer experience does not suffer from immense wait times.</p><p>According toTeslike, which tracks Tesla data, the company still has a backlog of 317,000 vehicles despite price increases. This continuous backlog of orders could also serve as a great buffer if we are heading for anearnings recessionby the end of this year, as we and many economists expect.</p><p>In contrast, looking at economic indicators, we see an environment of rising yields, which are expected to rise to 4.5-4.75% by next year, making it more expensive for Tesla to expand operations, raise additional capital to build new Gigafactories and ramp up production as previously planned in a 0 interest rate environment, they face macroeconomic headwinds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0104878c08973b5c44e0881be20c144d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>On the other hand, OPEC+ announced this week its intention to cut production by2 million barrels per day as the group seeks to keep crude above $90 per barrel. This would also boost demand and accelerate the use of EVs as they reach the same price as ICE vehicles. Another big risk for Tesla is the production, or scaling up of its batteries,specifically 4680s in the future.</p><p>Tesla also announced this week itsdeliveries for Q22022: 365,923 vehicles were produced and 343,830 delivered, which was less than the deliveries expected by Wall Street. While some investors thought it was due to a &#34;demand-side problem,&#34; Tesla mentioned that it was actually due to the fact that it is &#34;increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity, and at a reasonable cost during peak logistics weeks.&#34; We think Tesla made the right decision, saving capital for investors rather than placing hasty orders toward the end of the quarter to meet Wall Street&#39;s expectations.</p><p>Tesla also recently received aninvestment graderating for its bonds for the first time, meaning they are rated BBB by S&amp;P global and are no longer &#34;junk bonds.&#34; Even more good news came this week, as Elon Musk also hinted that Tesla will start production onDecember 1stand deliver its first Semitruck to customer Pepsi. This means that Tesla could be sending us a positive signal about its 4680s battery production and is ready to disrupt a new segment of the auto industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7faae7db7817551fd0be2c8bcc40fe0c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"378\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla IR</p><p>The Bottom Line</p><p>Optimus could give Tesla a huge boost in cash flow, if it manages to solve and integrate true AI into its Optimus robot and can mass produce it at very low cost. According to our assumptions, Tesla looks like an attractive investment, as the company is expected to outperform historical average benchmarks such as the S&amp;P 500 with its automotive operations alone.</p><p>Other complementary activities that generate cash flow, such as solar, batteries, Optimus, AI, computer applications and others, have great potential and could push the company&#39;s valuation beyond the $502.67 per share target, giving investors additional alpha if the projects succeed and are widely implemented. We believe Tesla&#39;s expertise in &#34;building the machines that make the machines&#34; puts them in pole position to dominate the innovative sectors in which Tesla operates.</p><p>In essence, we fully support Elon Musk&#39;s view at AI Day that Tesla is essentially a succession of tech start-ups trying to solve some of the most difficult problems. All the recent positive news, amid one of Tesla&#39;s biggest one-week declines, makes Tesla stock all the more attractive to buy at this time, in our opinion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-11 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545812-tesla-stock-bargain-with-optimus-and-recent-events><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545812-tesla-stock-bargain-with-optimus-and-recent-events\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545812-tesla-stock-bargain-with-optimus-and-recent-events","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126298657","content_text":"SummaryTesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, despite the fact that the stock suffered one of its heaviest losses in recent years.We judge that the automotive component of Tesla's business should be able to outperform broad benchmarks, allowing the stock to achieve double-digit annual returns.Tesla is expanding across most major emerging industries, presumably including energy, transportation, computing, manufacturing, robotics and more.Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) introduced its highly anticipated Optimus/ Bumble C robot this week atAI Day. There were also a slew of news announcements from Tesla and others that had very positive implications for the future. Nevertheless, Tesla shares this week seem headed for their longest losing streak since March 2021.We think that Tesla's new humanoid robot, in addition to developments in their real world AI, computing and other Tesla products currently represent a very attractive buying opportunity for long-term holders of the stock, and we expect it to outperform broad benchmarks even in times of macroeconomic distress.Bumble CAs Tesla's Humanoid Robot is still under development, they were able to show their prototype \"Bumble C,\" which is to become a low-cost and mass-producible Optimus robot.The initial release and demonstration of the product was followed by a variety ofreactions from expertsin the robotics industry and the investment community. Interestingly, Tesla received high praise from experts from the robotics industry, while there were many skeptics from the investment community.Tesla AI DayWe want to highlight the key differences between what makes Tesla's bot so different from competitors such as Boston Dynamics, Honda and others:Optimus is intended for mass production (i.e., thousands or millions of units).Project progress was made in just 6 to 8 months, compared with decades at competitors.The robot is expected to be affordable, costing only US$20K to manufacture, or \"significantly less expensive than an EV.\"Tesla has a formidable AI advantage in the real world thanks to data collection efforts such as their FSD beta.It is built for efficiency, and optimized for defined tasks rather than optimized for aesthetics.Tesla AI DayCritics who compared the Optimus prototype to Boston Dynamics, for example, should note that Boston Dynamics has been aroundfor 30 years, and their humanoid robot Atlas has been in development for nearly 10 years, rather than 6 to 8 months. Boston Dynamics has also shown no intention of mass-producing their Atlas Robot, or at what price. However, their smaller robot dog, Spot, is currently available at a price ofabout US$75,000. At a price of US$20,000, not only small businesses but also households should be able to afford an Optimus robot.The same goes for other concepts, such asHonda's Asimorobot, a humanoid robot that has been in development since the 1980s and was officially created in the year 2000. Although initially intended for mass development, Honda stopped producing Asimo robots to \"focus on more practical applications.\" None were actually sold, but Hondagave a pseudo quote of as much as $2.5 million per robot.Tesla's robot may not have the same dexterity and human-like character because it is not primarily intended to perform tasks such as parkour or dancing. We also believe that Tesla, thanks to its real-world data collection, for example with FSD Beta, and its fleet ofmore than 3 million cars, has a head start on developing a functional AI-driven humanoid robot.Tesla AI DayIt is also important to note that this event was not aimed at investors, as thesole purpose was to recruit the best possible talent for Tesla and their Optimus project. We believe that recruiting the most talented engineers and employees at Tesla is a huge advantage for innovation within the company and to stay ahead of the competition.For example, a recent survey of 49,197 American studentsby Universum, which specializes in employer branding, found that Tesla and SpaceX were named as their ideal employers. The combination of the ability to attract the best team of engineers, expertise in scaling and mass production, combined with a strong lead in data collection and years of expertise in real-world AI development, leads us to consider that Tesla is poised to become the leading company in humanoid robotics.Tesla AI DayThe Cost SavingsOne of the main reasons Tesla is likely to make robots for a price tag of only US$20K is probably their ability to scale, vertically integrate and simplify concepts by leveraging their advances in automotive technology. Remember, Tesla specializes in \"building the machine that builds the machine,\" like their Gigafactories.For example,in their Q2 report, they showed that the number of robots in their gigafactory body shop could be reduced by 70% compared to their first Model 3 body shop through large castings and parts consolidation. They are still on a quest for simplification with each new product and factory. Another example could be Tesla, which reportedlyremoved the ultrasonic sensorson Model 3 and Model Y vehicles because they are more confident in their AI and full self-driving capabilities.Vertical integration in innovation is always an important concept because the unit price of certain components can drop significantly as a result ofWright's Law. For example, according to Wright's law, the cost of batteries drops 28% for every cumulative doubling of the number of units produced. That concept could be accelerated, as some of the robots' components have similarities to what is used in EVs, and could be vertically integrated. The Optimus robots could also be used in Tesla's own production chain, producing more cars and robots.Tesla AI DayThere is still some debate whether Tesla will sell the robots at a fixed price, lease them, or possibly require an annual subscription for the robot and its software. If the Optimus could be produced for US$20K, it could represent a significant cost savings for employers that completely exceeds the output and productivity of an average worker. Tesla's FSD Beta software alone currently costs US$15K, and sells very well.Compared to the average US work week, which is about 38.7 hours, Optimus can stay connected 24/7 when working in a factory, bringing the total work week to 168 hours. That's a 4x increase in output. Let's say the robot can replace 4 full-time factory or warehouse workers performing boring and repetitive tasks, employers could save up to$29,250 per employeeper year.That makes $117,000 per robot per year, since its output is more than 4 times that of an employee. If the average lifetime of a robot is 8 years, this means a value of $936,000 per robot over its lifetime. This does not include the cost of employing workers, elimination of personnel costs, worker training and productivity loss due to illness or injury. Each year, approximately 2.3 million people worldwide suffer a work-related injury.Tesla AI DayWith a value of US$936,000 and a COGS of US$20,000 in mass production, each unit produced could generate US$916,000 in value. Suppose Tesla takes a 30% gross margin on the value of this robot, just as they dowith their cars, that leaves another US$274,800 in gross profit per unit produced, or US$274.8BN per million units produced.The big difference in why Tesla could succeed in building a truly intelligent robot capable of performing realistic tasks lies in itsdata advantageand its unique ability to collect data in real time. Even as we speak, thousands of cars worldwide on FSD Beta are collecting data to train Tesla's AI. It has been collecting such data since 2014, has a dataset of 4.8 million clips and has trained 75,778 models.Tesla AI DayTesla also showed that it is serious about AI, by giving us a big update on their Dojo supercomputer they are building, and what plans they have for it. Tesla currently still uses a lot of Nvidia (NVDA) GPUs, but plans to increase its own capabilities for training its neural net.It should also significantly reduce costs, and help Tesla maintain a data advantage. As Tesla's fleet grows exponentially with increased production and therollout of FSD betato more users, the amount of data Tesla and FSD beta collect in real-world applications also scales exponentially. Currently, Tesla has already driven over 35 million miles with its FSD beta cumulatively. Currently, they appear to be adding 10 million miles per quarter and expanding exponentially.Tesla currently claims that it can replace 6 GPU boxes with just 1Dojo tile, which they also claim costs less than 1 GPU box itself, further significantly improving their cost efficiency and form factor in building out their AI systems.Tesla AI DayThe Automotive SideTesla has ventured into many areas, including batteries, solar, AI, self-driving, computers, robotics and more. While all of these ventures are promising and show great potential, we believe Tesla's auto side itself can generate better returns than broad benchmarks such as the S&P 500 (SPY).In the transition to EVs, we believe that with Wright's Law in place,EVs will be on parin price with ICE vehicles by next year 2024, and it will be a no-brainer to buy an EV. Especially as US oil prices remain high.OPEC+, for example, announced this week a production cut of 2 million barrels per day. Not only will it become cheaper to buy an EV, including tax breaks, but it will also likely cost less to maintain and refuel, increasing the adoption rate exponentially.In 2021, the EV adoption rate was 6.6%, and we believe that by 2030 about 60% of car sales will be EVs, as EVs continue to fall below the same price as ICE vehicles as explained in our previous model. Under our assumptions, Tesla's market share in EVs will remain stagnant at 20% as competition enters the market. If both criteria are met, Tesla is expected to sell 10.8 million vehicles per year by 2030.Tesla IRThis is also in line withElon Musk's expectationto have a fleet of more than 100 million cars in 10 years. Tesla has set a goal of producing more than double our estimate of 20 million units by 2030. However, we believe Tesla's average selling price will drop from US$50,450 in 2021 to US$42,000 in 2030 as a result of a new smaller sedan, with a target price closer to US$25,000-US$35,0000, in addition to a price cut to keep up with competitive pressures.For a more in-depth explanation of our parameters for our valuation, please read our previous valuation modelpublished here on Seeking Alpha. We expect Tesla to generate approximately US$172.37BN in gross automotive revenue by 2030, with a gross margin of up to 38%.Author's CalculationsOpEx is also likely to improve significantly over time, as Elon Musk himself alluded that \"OpEx. is embarrassingly high.\" Tesla's adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.6% in 2021, which we predict could reach 32% over the next 8 years. These improvements include cost reductions, historical margin improvement, expansion of software-based revenues and low fixed costs.This would lead us to a final adjusted EBITDA of US$145.15 billion for the automotive section. If 5% annualshare dilutionis also taken into account, that would lead to adjusted EBITDA of US$31.42 per share by 2030. At a reasonable multiple of 16x, we expect Tesla's auto section to propel Tesla to $502.67 per share, or a CAGR of 10.7% that exceeds the historical average return of the S&P 500.Tesla IRWe used the mean of theS&P 500 multiplier, but Tesla could be trading higher at that point because it could also be valued as a software company trading atmuch higher multiples. Also note that the S&P 500 is more likely to trade below its historical average return because economic growth is currently stalling.Developments, Macroeconomics & RisksWhile many critics expect Tesla to have a demand-side problem, we believe the opposite is true. Tesla historically and still has a huge order backlog, and has recently had toraise pricesagain to ensure that the customer experience does not suffer from immense wait times.According toTeslike, which tracks Tesla data, the company still has a backlog of 317,000 vehicles despite price increases. This continuous backlog of orders could also serve as a great buffer if we are heading for anearnings recessionby the end of this year, as we and many economists expect.In contrast, looking at economic indicators, we see an environment of rising yields, which are expected to rise to 4.5-4.75% by next year, making it more expensive for Tesla to expand operations, raise additional capital to build new Gigafactories and ramp up production as previously planned in a 0 interest rate environment, they face macroeconomic headwinds.Data by YChartsOn the other hand, OPEC+ announced this week its intention to cut production by2 million barrels per day as the group seeks to keep crude above $90 per barrel. This would also boost demand and accelerate the use of EVs as they reach the same price as ICE vehicles. Another big risk for Tesla is the production, or scaling up of its batteries,specifically 4680s in the future.Tesla also announced this week itsdeliveries for Q22022: 365,923 vehicles were produced and 343,830 delivered, which was less than the deliveries expected by Wall Street. While some investors thought it was due to a \"demand-side problem,\" Tesla mentioned that it was actually due to the fact that it is \"increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity, and at a reasonable cost during peak logistics weeks.\" We think Tesla made the right decision, saving capital for investors rather than placing hasty orders toward the end of the quarter to meet Wall Street's expectations.Tesla also recently received aninvestment graderating for its bonds for the first time, meaning they are rated BBB by S&P global and are no longer \"junk bonds.\" Even more good news came this week, as Elon Musk also hinted that Tesla will start production onDecember 1stand deliver its first Semitruck to customer Pepsi. This means that Tesla could be sending us a positive signal about its 4680s battery production and is ready to disrupt a new segment of the auto industry.Tesla IRThe Bottom LineOptimus could give Tesla a huge boost in cash flow, if it manages to solve and integrate true AI into its Optimus robot and can mass produce it at very low cost. According to our assumptions, Tesla looks like an attractive investment, as the company is expected to outperform historical average benchmarks such as the S&P 500 with its automotive operations alone.Other complementary activities that generate cash flow, such as solar, batteries, Optimus, AI, computer applications and others, have great potential and could push the company's valuation beyond the $502.67 per share target, giving investors additional alpha if the projects succeed and are widely implemented. We believe Tesla's expertise in \"building the machines that make the machines\" puts them in pole position to dominate the innovative sectors in which Tesla operates.In essence, we fully support Elon Musk's view at AI Day that Tesla is essentially a succession of tech start-ups trying to solve some of the most difficult problems. All the recent positive news, amid one of Tesla's biggest one-week declines, makes Tesla stock all the more attractive to buy at this time, in our opinion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935807974,"gmtCreate":1663058874499,"gmtModify":1676537193676,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935807974","repostId":"2266347360","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266347360","pubTimestamp":1663041008,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266347360?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-13 11:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 EV Stocks to Buy With Superior Fundamentals","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266347360","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"When looking for the best electric vehicle stocks, your investment considerations must include a com","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>When looking for the best electric vehicle stocks, your investment considerations must include a company&#39;s fundamentals.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla </a>: Up more than 1,000% in the last five years, the company has plans to ramp up production even further.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO </a>: NIO has plans to expand its business into autonomous driving, ride-hailing and other areas.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford </a>: The financial results Ford has just released show that things look good as it looks to build its EV infrastructure.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c1461a67de3cc6b94c7cc5a914e162b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: Blue Planet Studio / Shutterstock</p><p>When discussing the best EV stocks to buy, there are a few things to remember. First, the EV market is still in its early stages, so there is a lot of growth potential. Second, EV stocks tend to be volatile, so it’s important to research and choose a stock you’re comfortable with. Third, EV stocks are often expensive, so it’s important to have a solid investment plan.</p><p>As always,  you must distinguish between companies with strong fundamentals and upstarts with limited prospects.</p><p>The electric vehicle industry has taken off, and EV stocks have been some of the best performers over the past few years. This year has been tough for EV stocks as the overall stock market has sold off, though, and macroeconomic conditions have turned negative.</p><p>While a few EV stocks are still up from where they were a year ago, they have underperformed in the market in recent months. There are a few reasons for this. First, interest rates have risen, which has put pressure on all stocks, especially growth stocks like EV stocks. Second, inflation is a major factor in declining EV sales.</p><p>While there are several EV stocks to buy, these three are some of the best positioned to capitalize on the EV boom and weather the current economic downturn:</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla </a></h2><p><b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) is never far from the conversation when discussing the best EV stocks to buy.</p><p>The company’s vehicles are some of the most popular and iconic EVs on the market, and Tesla as a company has been at the forefront of innovation in the space.</p><p>Tesla’s share price has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent years, but overall, it has trended upward. Tesla is a great long-term investment, and will only become more valuable with the continued growth of the EV market.</p><p>Initially, the company relied on debt to fuel its expansion. However, the debt level is not growing as much as before. The company racked up 7% more debt in 2020-2021 which is much slower than before.</p><p>Meanwhile, the EV giant is doing very well in terms of its financials. It consistently beat analyst estimates throughout 2021 and turned retained earnings positive to the tune of $331 million.</p><p>These numbers are a testament to Tesla’s strong growth story. Although there are several challengers, Tesla consistently ranks as one of the top EV stocks to buy.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford </a></h2><p>Some investors believe electric vehicle companies might overtake <b>Ford</b> (NYSE:<b><u>F</u></b>) in the coming years.</p><p>While it is true that Ford has not always been at the forefront of EV technology, the company is now making a heavy investment in the sector.</p><p>Ford has already released many successful EV models, including the Mustang Mach-E. With its rich history and a strong commitment to the EV sector, Ford is poised to continue its reign as one of America’s most iconic brands.</p><p>From a fundamentals perspective, Ford is firing on all cylinders. Ford tripled its operating income from the year-ago period in the second quarter. Automotive revenue is also outstanding for the quarter, at $37.91 billion versus $24.13 billion last year.</p><p>In the U.S., Ford’s sales rose by 1.8% in the second quarter, and it said shipments to Europe increased by around 22%. This is because of supply chain improvements and demand for its commercial vehicles.</p><p>Ford said it would reinstate its quarterly dividend at the same level as before the Covid-19 pandemic, as the automaker reported strong profits for the first quarter.</p><p>The company has been under pressure to increase its dividend in recent quarters, and it delivered. Ford also reiterated its guidance for the full year and said it would continue to invest in new products and technologies.</p><p>Ford is amidst a historic transformation, which will help it pivot more towards the electric vehicle sector, an area where Ford is spending $50 billion. Under this transformation, a new unit, Ford Model e, will focus on this sector. With a shrewd strategy and robust financials, it is no wonder Ford is among the best EV stocks to buy.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO </a></h2><p><b>Nio</b> (NYSE:<b><u>NIO</u></b>) is the biggest Chinese EV company and is expanding into several European markets.</p><p>Nio’s products include the ES8, a seven-passenger all-electric SUV; the ES6, a five-passenger all-electric SUV; and the EP9 sports car. Nio has already delivered more than 200,000 units in China, clearly demonstrating its popularity and staying power.</p><p>The stock is down by double digits this year for several reasons. For example, China has instituted a zero-Covid strategy as and when applicable throughout the country. It is causing production delays throughout the country, and Nio is also suffering. Additionally, trade tensions between the U.S. and China are a persistent headwind for EV stocks like NIO.</p><p>Nio is doing everything it can to stop the decline. It launched three new models this year, including ES8, ES6 and EC6, based on its NT 2.0 Platform.</p><p>Nio’s stock is down significantly from its 52-week high, but this sell-off presents a great opportunity to purchase an EV play at a very attractive discount.</p><p>Nio has a strong brand and a differentiated product lineup. It is well-positioned to capitalize on the continued growth of the Chinese EV market. While NIO stock may not be immune to further downside in the near term, the long-term outlook for the company remains very positive.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 EV Stocks to Buy With Superior Fundamentals</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 EV Stocks to Buy With Superior Fundamentals\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-13 11:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/3-ev-stocks-to-buy-with-superior-fundamentals-tsla-f-nio/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When looking for the best electric vehicle stocks, your investment considerations must include a company's fundamentals.Tesla : Up more than 1,000% in the last five years, the company has plans to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/3-ev-stocks-to-buy-with-superior-fundamentals-tsla-f-nio/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/3-ev-stocks-to-buy-with-superior-fundamentals-tsla-f-nio/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266347360","content_text":"When looking for the best electric vehicle stocks, your investment considerations must include a company's fundamentals.Tesla : Up more than 1,000% in the last five years, the company has plans to ramp up production even further.NIO : NIO has plans to expand its business into autonomous driving, ride-hailing and other areas.Ford : The financial results Ford has just released show that things look good as it looks to build its EV infrastructure.Source: Blue Planet Studio / ShutterstockWhen discussing the best EV stocks to buy, there are a few things to remember. First, the EV market is still in its early stages, so there is a lot of growth potential. Second, EV stocks tend to be volatile, so it’s important to research and choose a stock you’re comfortable with. Third, EV stocks are often expensive, so it’s important to have a solid investment plan.As always,  you must distinguish between companies with strong fundamentals and upstarts with limited prospects.The electric vehicle industry has taken off, and EV stocks have been some of the best performers over the past few years. This year has been tough for EV stocks as the overall stock market has sold off, though, and macroeconomic conditions have turned negative.While a few EV stocks are still up from where they were a year ago, they have underperformed in the market in recent months. There are a few reasons for this. First, interest rates have risen, which has put pressure on all stocks, especially growth stocks like EV stocks. Second, inflation is a major factor in declining EV sales.While there are several EV stocks to buy, these three are some of the best positioned to capitalize on the EV boom and weather the current economic downturn:Tesla Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is never far from the conversation when discussing the best EV stocks to buy.The company’s vehicles are some of the most popular and iconic EVs on the market, and Tesla as a company has been at the forefront of innovation in the space.Tesla’s share price has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent years, but overall, it has trended upward. Tesla is a great long-term investment, and will only become more valuable with the continued growth of the EV market.Initially, the company relied on debt to fuel its expansion. However, the debt level is not growing as much as before. The company racked up 7% more debt in 2020-2021 which is much slower than before.Meanwhile, the EV giant is doing very well in terms of its financials. It consistently beat analyst estimates throughout 2021 and turned retained earnings positive to the tune of $331 million.These numbers are a testament to Tesla’s strong growth story. Although there are several challengers, Tesla consistently ranks as one of the top EV stocks to buy.Ford Some investors believe electric vehicle companies might overtake Ford (NYSE:F) in the coming years.While it is true that Ford has not always been at the forefront of EV technology, the company is now making a heavy investment in the sector.Ford has already released many successful EV models, including the Mustang Mach-E. With its rich history and a strong commitment to the EV sector, Ford is poised to continue its reign as one of America’s most iconic brands.From a fundamentals perspective, Ford is firing on all cylinders. Ford tripled its operating income from the year-ago period in the second quarter. Automotive revenue is also outstanding for the quarter, at $37.91 billion versus $24.13 billion last year.In the U.S., Ford’s sales rose by 1.8% in the second quarter, and it said shipments to Europe increased by around 22%. This is because of supply chain improvements and demand for its commercial vehicles.Ford said it would reinstate its quarterly dividend at the same level as before the Covid-19 pandemic, as the automaker reported strong profits for the first quarter.The company has been under pressure to increase its dividend in recent quarters, and it delivered. Ford also reiterated its guidance for the full year and said it would continue to invest in new products and technologies.Ford is amidst a historic transformation, which will help it pivot more towards the electric vehicle sector, an area where Ford is spending $50 billion. Under this transformation, a new unit, Ford Model e, will focus on this sector. With a shrewd strategy and robust financials, it is no wonder Ford is among the best EV stocks to buy.NIO Nio (NYSE:NIO) is the biggest Chinese EV company and is expanding into several European markets.Nio’s products include the ES8, a seven-passenger all-electric SUV; the ES6, a five-passenger all-electric SUV; and the EP9 sports car. Nio has already delivered more than 200,000 units in China, clearly demonstrating its popularity and staying power.The stock is down by double digits this year for several reasons. For example, China has instituted a zero-Covid strategy as and when applicable throughout the country. It is causing production delays throughout the country, and Nio is also suffering. Additionally, trade tensions between the U.S. and China are a persistent headwind for EV stocks like NIO.Nio is doing everything it can to stop the decline. It launched three new models this year, including ES8, ES6 and EC6, based on its NT 2.0 Platform.Nio’s stock is down significantly from its 52-week high, but this sell-off presents a great opportunity to purchase an EV play at a very attractive discount.Nio has a strong brand and a differentiated product lineup. It is well-positioned to capitalize on the continued growth of the Chinese EV market. While NIO stock may not be immune to further downside in the near term, the long-term outlook for the company remains very positive.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991298611,"gmtCreate":1660835776035,"gmtModify":1676536408145,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good info","listText":"good info","text":"good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991298611","repostId":"2260389489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260389489","pubTimestamp":1660822415,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260389489?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-18 19:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Split: 5 Things to Know About the Upcoming Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260389489","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The largest automaker in the world by market cap is imminently conducting a stock split. Here's the 411 on what you need to know.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street and the investing community have been dealt a difficult hand in 2022. Since the beginning of the year, the benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b> and tech-centric <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> both entered bear market territory, the U.S. inflation rate skyrocketed to a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, and the U.S. economy delivered back-to-back quarters of gross domestic product declines, signaling a &#34;technical recession.&#34;</p><p>Yet amid this chaos, investors have gravitated to what&#39;s arguably the one silver lining this year: stock splits. A stock split allows a publicly traded company the ability to alter its share price and outstanding share count without impacting its market cap or operations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a93398133c5685f08211f1bc0c4840f9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><p>According to data from Fidelity, 212 public companies have announced and/or enacted stock splits since the beginning of the year. This includes one of the largest and most-popular stocks on the entire planet, electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturer <b>Tesla</b> (TSLA -0.84%). With Tesla&#39;s stock split rapidly approaching, here are five things investors should know.</p><h2>1. When the Tesla stock split will take place</h2><p>Perhaps the most pertinent piece of data for investors to know is when, exactly, Tesla&#39;s stock split will take place. The answer is exactly one week from today, on August 25, 2022 prior to the market open.</p><p>Keep in mind that it can sometimes take stock quote providers and online brokerages a few hours to a full day to recognize that a stock split has taken place. If you wake up and suddenly find that your investment portfolio has lost significant value overnight, or that Tesla&#39;s shares are being quoted down 60% or more on Aug. 25, there&#39;s a <i>very</i> good chance you can overlook this as a reporting error that&#39;ll quickly be remedied by the provider.</p><h2>2. The magnitude of the Tesla stock split</h2><p>The second important tidbit of information Tesla&#39;s current and prospective investors should know is the magnitude of the forward stock split.</p><p>In June, Tesla proposed enacting a 3-for-1 forward split. Effectively, this would reduce the company&#39;s share price to a third of its current value while increasing the company&#39;s outstanding share count by a factor of three. At the August 4 shareholder meeting, Tesla&#39;s shareholders voted to approve the company&#39;s proposed split.</p><p>Based on Tesla&#39;s closing price of $919.69 on August 16, a 3-for-1 stock split would reduce its share price to around $306.56 a share.</p><h2>3. The real winner of the upcoming Tesla split</h2><p>The third key point about Tesla&#39;s upcoming split is that it&#39;s a boon for everyday investors.</p><p>As noted, forward stock splits don&#39;t affect a company&#39;s market cap. In Tesla&#39;s case, its share price will fall to a third of its current value, while its outstanding share count will triple. But for retail investors without access to fractional-share purchases through their online broker, reducing the share price from almost $920 to just over $306 will be a big deal. It&#39;s a lot easier for everyday investors to set aside around $300 to buy a single share of Tesla than it would be to gather $900 for one share, as of the time of this writing.</p><p>There&#39;s no question that retail investors, who&#39;ve played a big role in pushing Tesla&#39;s valuation to nearly $1 trillion, are the biggest winners of the company&#39;s pending stock split.</p><h2>4. It won&#39;t affect Tesla&#39;s competitive advantages</h2><p>The fourth thing to know about Tesla&#39;s Aug. 25 stock split is that it&#39;ll have absolutely no impact on the company&#39;s day-to-day operations. That means it won&#39;t impact the competitive advantages Tesla has ridden to one of the largest corporate valuations in the world.</p><p>Aside from the fact that no other auto company built itself from the ground up to mass production in over five decades, Tesla could reach an important psychological milestone this year. Even with COVID-19 lockdowns hurting production at the Shanghai gigafactory, the company looks to be well on its way to reaching 1 million EVs produced and delivered in 2022.</p><p>In addition to production advantages, Tesla&#39;s batteries continue to be a bright spot in an increasingly crowded industry. Compared to most other EV offerings, the power, range, and capacity offered by Tesla&#39;s batteries are superior. This is what&#39;s helped create such incredible demand for the company&#39;s EV lineup.</p><p>There&#39;s also CEO Elon Musk, who the retail investor community has largely come to embrace as a visionary. Musk has overseen the introduction of four currently sold EV models, and has helped diversify his company to include energy storage products and solar panel installation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b77e18ca8474442b6d19e436ce17b0b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A Tesla Model S charging. Image source: Tesla.</p><h2>5. It also won&#39;t hide the company&#39;s longer-term risks</h2><p>The fifth and final thing to know about Tesla&#39;s impending stock split next week is that it&#39;s also not going to sweep the company&#39;s longer-term risks under the rug.</p><p>Although Tesla share price has been on fire for more than a decade, there are a number of red flags that suggest this amazing run-up isn&#39;t sustainable. For example, auto stocks are traditionally valued at a single-digit or very low double-digit forward-year price-to-earnings ratio. As for Tesla, investors are having to pay an aggressive multiple of 58 times Wall Street&#39;s forecast earnings for 2023. Even with Tesla being somewhat diversified, this is a lofty multiple for a company that predominantly makes a commoditized product.</p><p>Another big concern for Tesla shareholders is Elon Musk. While he might be considered a visionary by many, he&#39;s also become a major liability. Putting aside the circus that&#39;s accompanied his prospective takeover of social media stock <b>Twitter</b>, Musk has a terrible habit of failing to deliver on his promises. As I&#39;ve previously highlighted, Musk&#39;s promises to put 1 million robotaxis on the road, deliver higher-level full self-driving, and bring the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi into production, have all been pushed back one or more years.</p><p>Lastly, Tesla&#39;s competitive advantages already look to be waning. While the company does offer a sizable EV production advantage, both new and legacy auto stocks are catching up to Tesla when it comes to battery range. With legacy automakers spending tens of billions on EV research and product development, it&#39;s probably going to take more than short-term stock-split euphoria to hold shares at such a premium valuation.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Split: 5 Things to Know About the Upcoming Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Split: 5 Things to Know About the Upcoming Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-18 19:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/18/tesla-stock-split-5-things-to-know-about-the-split/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street and the investing community have been dealt a difficult hand in 2022. Since the beginning of the year, the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-centric Nasdaq Composite both entered bear market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/18/tesla-stock-split-5-things-to-know-about-the-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/18/tesla-stock-split-5-things-to-know-about-the-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260389489","content_text":"Wall Street and the investing community have been dealt a difficult hand in 2022. Since the beginning of the year, the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-centric Nasdaq Composite both entered bear market territory, the U.S. inflation rate skyrocketed to a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, and the U.S. economy delivered back-to-back quarters of gross domestic product declines, signaling a \"technical recession.\"Yet amid this chaos, investors have gravitated to what's arguably the one silver lining this year: stock splits. A stock split allows a publicly traded company the ability to alter its share price and outstanding share count without impacting its market cap or operations.Image source: Getty Images.According to data from Fidelity, 212 public companies have announced and/or enacted stock splits since the beginning of the year. This includes one of the largest and most-popular stocks on the entire planet, electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturer Tesla (TSLA -0.84%). With Tesla's stock split rapidly approaching, here are five things investors should know.1. When the Tesla stock split will take placePerhaps the most pertinent piece of data for investors to know is when, exactly, Tesla's stock split will take place. The answer is exactly one week from today, on August 25, 2022 prior to the market open.Keep in mind that it can sometimes take stock quote providers and online brokerages a few hours to a full day to recognize that a stock split has taken place. If you wake up and suddenly find that your investment portfolio has lost significant value overnight, or that Tesla's shares are being quoted down 60% or more on Aug. 25, there's a very good chance you can overlook this as a reporting error that'll quickly be remedied by the provider.2. The magnitude of the Tesla stock splitThe second important tidbit of information Tesla's current and prospective investors should know is the magnitude of the forward stock split.In June, Tesla proposed enacting a 3-for-1 forward split. Effectively, this would reduce the company's share price to a third of its current value while increasing the company's outstanding share count by a factor of three. At the August 4 shareholder meeting, Tesla's shareholders voted to approve the company's proposed split.Based on Tesla's closing price of $919.69 on August 16, a 3-for-1 stock split would reduce its share price to around $306.56 a share.3. The real winner of the upcoming Tesla splitThe third key point about Tesla's upcoming split is that it's a boon for everyday investors.As noted, forward stock splits don't affect a company's market cap. In Tesla's case, its share price will fall to a third of its current value, while its outstanding share count will triple. But for retail investors without access to fractional-share purchases through their online broker, reducing the share price from almost $920 to just over $306 will be a big deal. It's a lot easier for everyday investors to set aside around $300 to buy a single share of Tesla than it would be to gather $900 for one share, as of the time of this writing.There's no question that retail investors, who've played a big role in pushing Tesla's valuation to nearly $1 trillion, are the biggest winners of the company's pending stock split.4. It won't affect Tesla's competitive advantagesThe fourth thing to know about Tesla's Aug. 25 stock split is that it'll have absolutely no impact on the company's day-to-day operations. That means it won't impact the competitive advantages Tesla has ridden to one of the largest corporate valuations in the world.Aside from the fact that no other auto company built itself from the ground up to mass production in over five decades, Tesla could reach an important psychological milestone this year. Even with COVID-19 lockdowns hurting production at the Shanghai gigafactory, the company looks to be well on its way to reaching 1 million EVs produced and delivered in 2022.In addition to production advantages, Tesla's batteries continue to be a bright spot in an increasingly crowded industry. Compared to most other EV offerings, the power, range, and capacity offered by Tesla's batteries are superior. This is what's helped create such incredible demand for the company's EV lineup.There's also CEO Elon Musk, who the retail investor community has largely come to embrace as a visionary. Musk has overseen the introduction of four currently sold EV models, and has helped diversify his company to include energy storage products and solar panel installation.A Tesla Model S charging. Image source: Tesla.5. It also won't hide the company's longer-term risksThe fifth and final thing to know about Tesla's impending stock split next week is that it's also not going to sweep the company's longer-term risks under the rug.Although Tesla share price has been on fire for more than a decade, there are a number of red flags that suggest this amazing run-up isn't sustainable. For example, auto stocks are traditionally valued at a single-digit or very low double-digit forward-year price-to-earnings ratio. As for Tesla, investors are having to pay an aggressive multiple of 58 times Wall Street's forecast earnings for 2023. Even with Tesla being somewhat diversified, this is a lofty multiple for a company that predominantly makes a commoditized product.Another big concern for Tesla shareholders is Elon Musk. While he might be considered a visionary by many, he's also become a major liability. Putting aside the circus that's accompanied his prospective takeover of social media stock Twitter, Musk has a terrible habit of failing to deliver on his promises. As I've previously highlighted, Musk's promises to put 1 million robotaxis on the road, deliver higher-level full self-driving, and bring the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi into production, have all been pushed back one or more years.Lastly, Tesla's competitive advantages already look to be waning. While the company does offer a sizable EV production advantage, both new and legacy auto stocks are catching up to Tesla when it comes to battery range. With legacy automakers spending tens of billions on EV research and product development, it's probably going to take more than short-term stock-split euphoria to hold shares at such a premium valuation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907919216,"gmtCreate":1660124839337,"gmtModify":1703478163905,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good write up","listText":"Good write up","text":"Good write up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907919216","repostId":"1157330995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157330995","pubTimestamp":1660145407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157330995?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-10 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157330995","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Recently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.</li><li>The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle &#34;EV&#34; tax credits.</li><li>The act still has to be passed by the House of Representatives to become law.</li><li>If it passes, it will be a huge catalyst for Tesla, which will once again be eligible for Federal tax credits.</li><li>Many Tesla models meet the Act&#39;s strict U.S. sourcing requirements; most competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t.</li></ul><p>This past Sunday, the U.S. Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, a spending bill containing a variety of climate change related measures. Among the most discussed measures in the bill is a change to the electric vehicle (“EV”)tax credit. Under previous rules, a company would lose its eligibility for EV credits after selling its 200,000th car. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) crossed the 200,000 car threshold in 2018, and its tax credits were phased out over three years. By early 2022, Teslas were no longer eligible for the tax credit.</p><p>With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, that has changed. The current version of the act, which will be debated by the House of Representatives this week, removes the 200,000 car limit for credit eligibility. Now, buyers of some Tesla models can enjoy the full $7,500 credit toward the purchase of their vehicles. There are some limits to this – the credit applies to sedans up to $55,000 and SUVs up to $80,000– but many Teslas will be eligible. The EV tax credit notably requires that the vehicle&#39;s battery be40% sourced from the U.S. or allies- Tesla&#39;s Model S meets this standard, most competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4475ae62d8d2254828c81b2e64dc19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla Model 3 meets the standard, most don&#39;t(roadandtrack.com)</p><p>This is great news for a company that some say was built on government subsidies. Many of Elon Musk’s critics allege that Tesla has been taking enormous amounts of government assistance over the years. When we dig into the details, we see that Tesla did benefit from the EV tax credit in its early days. Furthermore, it benefits from similar credits in other countries today. The point about Tesla’s reliance on tax breaks can be overstated, but there’s no doubt that when a consumer gets a tax break for buying an EV, they’re more likely to buy one.</p><p>Given that Tesla has the most brand awareness of all the major EV companies, it benefits from consumers being incentivized to buy EVs. According to a 2018 Energy Policy article, every $1,000 in EV credits leads to a 2.6% increase in EV sales. With Tesla having a large share of the U.S. EV market, it’s likely to gain revenue from the revamped tax credit. This credit could therefore serve as a catalyst improving Tesla’s business performance in the second half. However, as I’ll demonstrate shortly, this catalyst alone doesn’t automatically make the stock a great value.</p><p><b>How the EV Tax Credit Works</b></p><p>To understand how the revamped EV tax credit helps Tesla, we need to know how the credit works. The EV tax credit has been around in some form since 2009, having been announced in 2008’s Energy Improvement and Extension Act. The way credit works has changed since it was first introduced.</p><p>The way the credit originally worked was like this:</p><p>Every electric vehicle got a base credit of $2,500. A person buying any EV would get $2,500 plus an extra $417 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity. For passenger cars, this increase in credits continued up until $7,500 worth of tax credits were earned. Any American who bought an EV would get to claim this credit on their taxes and deduct the appropriate percentage of $7,500 from their income.</p><p>The EV tax credit also had a cap on how many cars a manufacturer could sell and still be eligible for the credit. Once a manufacturer surpassed 200,000 cars sold in the United States, their tax credits would be phased out over three years. Tesla hit the 200,000 car milestone in 2008. Its tax credits were phased out on the schedule shown below:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61a30d4a86130928bc8262cb7df92850\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla&#39;s EV credit phase out(Tesla)</p><p>As the table above shows, all of the credits on Tesla models S, X and 3 were phased out by the end of 2019. This was where things stood for most of the last two years: Teslas weren’t eligible for the credit. Technically, this is still the case, but the Inflation Reduction Act looks quite likely to pass. The Act passed 51-50 in the Senate, and is heading to the House of Representatives for review this week. If it passes, then Teslas will be eligible for the EV tax credit once more. The version of the Act that passed in the Senate puts no cap on how many EVs a manufacturer can sell, so not only will Tesla buyers get the credit again, they’ll continue to get it indefinitely. To top it off: there are Tesla models that meet the act&#39;s strict sourcing requirements, while many competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t make the grade.</p><p><b>Business Implications</b></p><p>Tesla regaining the EV tax credit has important business implications. Academic research suggests that every $1,000 worth of EV tax credits drives a2.6% increase in EV sales. As an example, if we have a country where 100,000 EVs are being sold per year, then adding a $1,000 credit increases sales to 102,600. The higher the dollar value of the credit, the more the sales increase. The research I’m citing doesn’t say whether the effect increases linearly or compounds with the size of the credit. If the effect is linear, then a $7,500 credit would increase the number of vehicles sold by 19,500. If it compounds, then it adds 21,228 extra sales. Either way, we should see a significant boost in sales from a $7,500 tax credit.</p><p>Furthermore, we would expect Tesla to gain from this disproportionately. Many of Tesla’s competitors haven’t shipped 200,000 cars yet, but Tesla has.<b>Lucid</b>(LCID) is aiming for14,000 cumulative deliveries by year’s end, <b>Ford</b>(F) has sold 37,000 or so, <b>Rivian</b>(RIVN) has only delivered a handful of cars to employees. None of these companies are anywhere near the 200,000 deliveries threshold, so they’re getting the credit already. Tesla, on the other hand, passed the threshold in 2018, so it will be eligible for the credit again. Therefore, we’d expect the Inflation Reduction Act to boost Tesla’s sales while leaving its competitors’ sales unchanged.</p><p><b>Tesla’s Valuation</b></p><p>Valuing a company like Tesla is always tough. The company has historically had high growth, which makes estimating its future cash flows difficult. Nevertheless, we can safely assume that, with its tax credits back, Tesla will grow faster than it would have without them. So, we can start by making a projection of Tesla’s revenue and build a discounted cash flow model from there.</p><p>According to Seeking Alpha Quant, Tesla’s five year CAGR revenue growth rate is 46%. The rate in the most recent quarter was 43%. We have indications that the growth rate will slow down. First, the most recent quarterly growth rate is lower than the five year rate. Second, the five year growth rate is only half the 10 year growth rate. It wouldn’t be conservative to assume that TSLA can keep up 43% growth forever. So, I’ll use Valuates Report’s 18.2% CAGR EV industry forecast as my revenue growth estimate. However, to account for the bullish impact of the EV tax credits Tesla is about to get, I’ll add an extra 19.5% on to the first year’s growth. So the first year will see 41.2% growth (1.182 times 1.195), followed by 18.2% growth thereafter. Tesla’s revenue for the trailing 12 month period is $67.1 billion, so we get:</p><ul><li><p>Base year: $67.1B.</p></li><li><p>Year 1: $94.74B.</p></li><li><p>Year 2: $112B.</p></li><li><p>Year 3: $132B.</p></li><li><p>Year 4: $156B.</p></li><li><p>Year 5: $185B.</p></li></ul><p>This gives us an overall CAGR growth rate of 22%. With that established, we can look at costs. Tesla had $48 billion in cost of goods sold (“COGS”) in the last 12 months. COGS scales up directly with revenue so I’ll assume that this portion of costs rises at 22%. Tesla’s operating costs have risen at 20% CAGR over the last five years, so I’ll assume they continue growing at that rate. Tesla’s tax rate in the trailing 12 month period was 10%, but I’ll up that to 15% to account for the new minimum tax included in the Inflation Reduction Act. Finally, I’ll add in non-cash costs at 6% of revenue (the percentage in the trailing 12 month period) to get a model that approximates cash from operations (“CFO”).</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Year 1</p></td><td><p>Year 2</p></td><td><p>Year 3</p></td><td><p>Year 4</p></td><td><p>Year 5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$94.74B</p></td><td><p>$112B</p></td><td><p>$132B</p></td><td><p>$156B</p></td><td><p>$185B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>COGS</p></td><td><p>$69B</p></td><td><p>$81.6B</p></td><td><p>$96.5B</p></td><td><p>$114B</p></td><td><p>$135B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Operating costs</p></td><td><p>$8.76B</p></td><td><p>$10.5B</p></td><td><p>$12.6B</p></td><td><p>$15B</p></td><td><p>$18B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBIT</p></td><td><p>$16.98</p></td><td><p>$19.9B</p></td><td><p>$22.9B</p></td><td><p>$27B</p></td><td><p>$32B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>After tax</p></td><td><p>$14.43B</p></td><td><p>$16.9B</p></td><td><p>$19.46B</p></td><td><p>$22.95B</p></td><td><p>$27.2B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Non-cash costs (added back in)</p></td><td><p>$5.7B</p></td><td><p>$6.72B</p></td><td><p>$7.9B</p></td><td><p>$9.36B</p></td><td><p>$11.1B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>CFO</p></td><td><p>$20.13B</p></td><td><p>$23.62B</p></td><td><p>$27.36B</p></td><td><p>$32.31B</p></td><td><p>$38.3B</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Tesla has 1.155 billion shares outstanding, so these CFO figures on a per share basis add up to:</p><ul><li><p>TTM: $12.18.</p></li><li><p>Year 1: $17.42.</p></li><li><p>Year 2: $20.45</p></li><li><p>Year 3: $23.68.</p></li><li><p>Year 4: $27.97.</p></li><li><p>Year 5: $33.16.</p></li></ul><p>So, we get a 22% growth rate in cash flows per share. Using 8% as the discount rate and assuming a 5% perpetual growth rate after five years, we get a fair value of $879. This is only a 3.4% upside to the price at the time of writing ($850), so I conclude that Tesla is fully valued.</p><p><b>The Big Risk to Watch Out For</b></p><p>As I’ve shown in this article, Tesla’s EV tax credit could create a sales spike in the year ahead that gives the stock slight upside to today’s price. Without the sales spike caused by tax credits, my model would have yielded about $825, suggesting slight overvaluation. This stock is trading very close to conservative estimates of fair value, even when you account for the EV tax credit causing sales to spike. The credit is a catalyst, but not a big one, adding only a very slight amount of upside.</p><p>For this reason, Tesla investors are going to want to be on the lookout for one big risk:</p><p><i>Revenue deceleration.</i></p><p>Most industry forecasts have EVs growing at 18 to 22% for the next five years. If Tesla simply grows at that rate then its stock is not worth what it trades for today. You have to assume at least one more year of 40%+ growth to get an intrinsic value estimate for this stock that exceeds its current value. It’s so expensive already that if it grows at 18% for the next five years–a fantastic growth rate in absolute terms–it’s overvalued. The EV tax credit, or a similar catalyst, is needed for the stock to have just a little upside.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-10 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle \"EV\" tax credits.The act still has to be passed by the House of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157330995","content_text":"SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle \"EV\" tax credits.The act still has to be passed by the House of Representatives to become law.If it passes, it will be a huge catalyst for Tesla, which will once again be eligible for Federal tax credits.Many Tesla models meet the Act's strict U.S. sourcing requirements; most competitors' offerings don't.This past Sunday, the U.S. Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, a spending bill containing a variety of climate change related measures. Among the most discussed measures in the bill is a change to the electric vehicle (“EV”)tax credit. Under previous rules, a company would lose its eligibility for EV credits after selling its 200,000th car. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) crossed the 200,000 car threshold in 2018, and its tax credits were phased out over three years. By early 2022, Teslas were no longer eligible for the tax credit.With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, that has changed. The current version of the act, which will be debated by the House of Representatives this week, removes the 200,000 car limit for credit eligibility. Now, buyers of some Tesla models can enjoy the full $7,500 credit toward the purchase of their vehicles. There are some limits to this – the credit applies to sedans up to $55,000 and SUVs up to $80,000– but many Teslas will be eligible. The EV tax credit notably requires that the vehicle's battery be40% sourced from the U.S. or allies- Tesla's Model S meets this standard, most competitors' offerings don't.Tesla Model 3 meets the standard, most don't(roadandtrack.com)This is great news for a company that some say was built on government subsidies. Many of Elon Musk’s critics allege that Tesla has been taking enormous amounts of government assistance over the years. When we dig into the details, we see that Tesla did benefit from the EV tax credit in its early days. Furthermore, it benefits from similar credits in other countries today. The point about Tesla’s reliance on tax breaks can be overstated, but there’s no doubt that when a consumer gets a tax break for buying an EV, they’re more likely to buy one.Given that Tesla has the most brand awareness of all the major EV companies, it benefits from consumers being incentivized to buy EVs. According to a 2018 Energy Policy article, every $1,000 in EV credits leads to a 2.6% increase in EV sales. With Tesla having a large share of the U.S. EV market, it’s likely to gain revenue from the revamped tax credit. This credit could therefore serve as a catalyst improving Tesla’s business performance in the second half. However, as I’ll demonstrate shortly, this catalyst alone doesn’t automatically make the stock a great value.How the EV Tax Credit WorksTo understand how the revamped EV tax credit helps Tesla, we need to know how the credit works. The EV tax credit has been around in some form since 2009, having been announced in 2008’s Energy Improvement and Extension Act. The way credit works has changed since it was first introduced.The way the credit originally worked was like this:Every electric vehicle got a base credit of $2,500. A person buying any EV would get $2,500 plus an extra $417 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity. For passenger cars, this increase in credits continued up until $7,500 worth of tax credits were earned. Any American who bought an EV would get to claim this credit on their taxes and deduct the appropriate percentage of $7,500 from their income.The EV tax credit also had a cap on how many cars a manufacturer could sell and still be eligible for the credit. Once a manufacturer surpassed 200,000 cars sold in the United States, their tax credits would be phased out over three years. Tesla hit the 200,000 car milestone in 2008. Its tax credits were phased out on the schedule shown below:Tesla's EV credit phase out(Tesla)As the table above shows, all of the credits on Tesla models S, X and 3 were phased out by the end of 2019. This was where things stood for most of the last two years: Teslas weren’t eligible for the credit. Technically, this is still the case, but the Inflation Reduction Act looks quite likely to pass. The Act passed 51-50 in the Senate, and is heading to the House of Representatives for review this week. If it passes, then Teslas will be eligible for the EV tax credit once more. The version of the Act that passed in the Senate puts no cap on how many EVs a manufacturer can sell, so not only will Tesla buyers get the credit again, they’ll continue to get it indefinitely. To top it off: there are Tesla models that meet the act's strict sourcing requirements, while many competitors' offerings don't make the grade.Business ImplicationsTesla regaining the EV tax credit has important business implications. Academic research suggests that every $1,000 worth of EV tax credits drives a2.6% increase in EV sales. As an example, if we have a country where 100,000 EVs are being sold per year, then adding a $1,000 credit increases sales to 102,600. The higher the dollar value of the credit, the more the sales increase. The research I’m citing doesn’t say whether the effect increases linearly or compounds with the size of the credit. If the effect is linear, then a $7,500 credit would increase the number of vehicles sold by 19,500. If it compounds, then it adds 21,228 extra sales. Either way, we should see a significant boost in sales from a $7,500 tax credit.Furthermore, we would expect Tesla to gain from this disproportionately. Many of Tesla’s competitors haven’t shipped 200,000 cars yet, but Tesla has.Lucid(LCID) is aiming for14,000 cumulative deliveries by year’s end, Ford(F) has sold 37,000 or so, Rivian(RIVN) has only delivered a handful of cars to employees. None of these companies are anywhere near the 200,000 deliveries threshold, so they’re getting the credit already. Tesla, on the other hand, passed the threshold in 2018, so it will be eligible for the credit again. Therefore, we’d expect the Inflation Reduction Act to boost Tesla’s sales while leaving its competitors’ sales unchanged.Tesla’s ValuationValuing a company like Tesla is always tough. The company has historically had high growth, which makes estimating its future cash flows difficult. Nevertheless, we can safely assume that, with its tax credits back, Tesla will grow faster than it would have without them. So, we can start by making a projection of Tesla’s revenue and build a discounted cash flow model from there.According to Seeking Alpha Quant, Tesla’s five year CAGR revenue growth rate is 46%. The rate in the most recent quarter was 43%. We have indications that the growth rate will slow down. First, the most recent quarterly growth rate is lower than the five year rate. Second, the five year growth rate is only half the 10 year growth rate. It wouldn’t be conservative to assume that TSLA can keep up 43% growth forever. So, I’ll use Valuates Report’s 18.2% CAGR EV industry forecast as my revenue growth estimate. However, to account for the bullish impact of the EV tax credits Tesla is about to get, I’ll add an extra 19.5% on to the first year’s growth. So the first year will see 41.2% growth (1.182 times 1.195), followed by 18.2% growth thereafter. Tesla’s revenue for the trailing 12 month period is $67.1 billion, so we get:Base year: $67.1B.Year 1: $94.74B.Year 2: $112B.Year 3: $132B.Year 4: $156B.Year 5: $185B.This gives us an overall CAGR growth rate of 22%. With that established, we can look at costs. Tesla had $48 billion in cost of goods sold (“COGS”) in the last 12 months. COGS scales up directly with revenue so I’ll assume that this portion of costs rises at 22%. Tesla’s operating costs have risen at 20% CAGR over the last five years, so I’ll assume they continue growing at that rate. Tesla’s tax rate in the trailing 12 month period was 10%, but I’ll up that to 15% to account for the new minimum tax included in the Inflation Reduction Act. Finally, I’ll add in non-cash costs at 6% of revenue (the percentage in the trailing 12 month period) to get a model that approximates cash from operations (“CFO”).Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Revenue$94.74B$112B$132B$156B$185BCOGS$69B$81.6B$96.5B$114B$135BOperating costs$8.76B$10.5B$12.6B$15B$18BEBIT$16.98$19.9B$22.9B$27B$32BAfter tax$14.43B$16.9B$19.46B$22.95B$27.2BNon-cash costs (added back in)$5.7B$6.72B$7.9B$9.36B$11.1BCFO$20.13B$23.62B$27.36B$32.31B$38.3BTesla has 1.155 billion shares outstanding, so these CFO figures on a per share basis add up to:TTM: $12.18.Year 1: $17.42.Year 2: $20.45Year 3: $23.68.Year 4: $27.97.Year 5: $33.16.So, we get a 22% growth rate in cash flows per share. Using 8% as the discount rate and assuming a 5% perpetual growth rate after five years, we get a fair value of $879. This is only a 3.4% upside to the price at the time of writing ($850), so I conclude that Tesla is fully valued.The Big Risk to Watch Out ForAs I’ve shown in this article, Tesla’s EV tax credit could create a sales spike in the year ahead that gives the stock slight upside to today’s price. Without the sales spike caused by tax credits, my model would have yielded about $825, suggesting slight overvaluation. This stock is trading very close to conservative estimates of fair value, even when you account for the EV tax credit causing sales to spike. The credit is a catalyst, but not a big one, adding only a very slight amount of upside.For this reason, Tesla investors are going to want to be on the lookout for one big risk:Revenue deceleration.Most industry forecasts have EVs growing at 18 to 22% for the next five years. If Tesla simply grows at that rate then its stock is not worth what it trades for today. You have to assume at least one more year of 40%+ growth to get an intrinsic value estimate for this stock that exceeds its current value. It’s so expensive already that if it grows at 18% for the next five years–a fantastic growth rate in absolute terms–it’s overvalued. The EV tax credit, or a similar catalyst, is needed for the stock to have just a little upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909784799,"gmtCreate":1658928218411,"gmtModify":1676536229772,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909784799","repostId":"1110753141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110753141","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658908891,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110753141?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-27 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal Shares Jumped 6% in Premarket Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110753141","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PayPal shares jumped 6% in premarket trading as activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a sta","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>PayPal shares jumped 6% in premarket trading as activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a stake in PayPal.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19746ed2b25d57e8f1f57e88bc685841\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal Shares Jumped 6% in Premarket Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal Shares Jumped 6% in Premarket Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-27 16:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>PayPal shares jumped 6% in premarket trading as activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a stake in PayPal.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19746ed2b25d57e8f1f57e88bc685841\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110753141","content_text":"PayPal shares jumped 6% in premarket trading as activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a stake in PayPal.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075555487,"gmtCreate":1658232502849,"gmtModify":1676536125486,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075555487","repostId":"1128013391","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128013391","pubTimestamp":1658240028,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128013391?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 22:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128013391","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.</li><li>After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.</li><li>However, Alibaba&#39;s e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.</li><li>Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.</li><li>Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China&#39;s e-Commerce market.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b887b51b51f300ef64a42a227dcdff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Andrew Burton</span></p><p>It is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.</p><p>I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.</p><p><b>New round of fines for large Chinese tech companies</b></p><p>Last week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.</p><p>After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf26bb44feeb3e1ae51093c8b212e44\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.</p><p>Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9859ed387dc93ce5ea3521788e84f556\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>Why Alibaba&#39;s Commerce performance may be set to improve</b></p><p>China’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.</p><p>I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.</p><p>While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China&#39;s retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de51cc71edd3017cc209bc885f2f57d7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>eMarketer</span></p><p>E-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba&#39;s growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba&#39;s domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b75138e34865e1c34f0238048d5fb3\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p>But even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc81d5802b7f195078bf311072f6f7d0\" tg-width=\"937\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s valuation got another discount last week</b></p><p>It is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.</p><p>Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838ad34a6ddef0058d83ea7f46ee35ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risks with Alibaba</b></p><p>The real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China&#39;s anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.</p><p>Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba&#39;s recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>The Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.</p><p>But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1128013391","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.However, Alibaba's e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China's e-Commerce market.Andrew BurtonIt is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.New round of fines for large Chinese tech companiesLast week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.Seeking AlphaWhy Alibaba's Commerce performance may be set to improveChina’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China's retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.eMarketerE-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba's growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba's domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.AlibabaBut even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.AlibabaAlibaba's valuation got another discount last weekIt is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.Risks with AlibabaThe real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China's anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba's recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.Final thoughtsThe Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075378519,"gmtCreate":1658154833731,"gmtModify":1676536113649,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope is a good news&nbsp;","listText":"Hope is a good news&nbsp;","text":"Hope is a good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075378519","repostId":"1165817190","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071346295,"gmtCreate":1657496252817,"gmtModify":1676536012783,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071346295","repostId":"1106697268","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106697268","pubTimestamp":1657337354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106697268?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-09 11:29","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106697268","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>After months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.</li><li>ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO&#39;s product deliveries.</li><li>ET5 and ET7 production are set to exceed volume production of the ES6 this year.</li></ul><p>NIO&#39;s (NYSE:NIO) first-quarter production and delivery performance was greatly impacted by a variety of factors, including Chinese holidays and COVID-related shutdowns that limited factory output levels. In June, however, NIO experienced a surge in deliveries due to factories coming back online and accelerating demand for NIO’s first sedan product, the ET7. While COVID-19 shutdowns remain a significant risk factor going forward, a recovery in delivery volumes could drive an upwards revaluation of NIO’s shares.</p><p><b>Why NIO’s growth will be determined by sedan production going forward</b></p><p>NIO submitted its delivery card for June last week which revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer delivered 12,961 electric vehicles, showing 60.3% year-over-year growth. On a month-over-month basis, NIO’s deliveries increased a massive 84.5% which was the fastest growth rate when compared against rival companies XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI). XPeng&#39;s month-over-month delivery growth rate was 51.1% while Li Auto saw 13.3% month-over-month growth.</p><p>XPeng, which currently has the fastest year-over-year delivery growth of the Top Three electric vehicle manufacturers delivered the most EVs last month: 15,295, showing 133% growth. Li Auto delivered 13,024 Li ONE sport utility vehicles in June, showing 68.9% year-over-year growth.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Deliveries</p></td><td><p>April</p></td><td><p>April Y/Y Growth</p></td><td><p>May</p></td><td><p>May Y/Y Growth</p></td><td><p>June</p></td><td><p>June Y/Y Growth</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>NIO</p></td><td><p>5,074</p></td><td><p>-28.6%</p></td><td><p>7,024</p></td><td><p>4.7%</p></td><td><p>12,961</p></td><td><p>60.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>XPEV</p></td><td><p>9,002</p></td><td><p>75.0%</p></td><td><p>10,125</p></td><td><p>78.0%</p></td><td><p>15,295</p></td><td><p>133.0%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LI</p></td><td><p>4,167</p></td><td><p>-24.8%</p></td><td><p>11,496</p></td><td><p>165.9%</p></td><td><p>13,024</p></td><td><p>68.9%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>(Source: Author)</p><p>NIO’s delivery card for June contained further evidence that sedan products are going to be NIO’s future. The electric vehicle company delivered 5,100 ES6s, 1,828 EC6s and 1,684 ES8s which are all sport utility vehicles. Additionally, NIO delivered a massive 4,349 ET7s, the firm’s first sedan product that started to sell in China only in March.</p><p>NIO’s delivery growth in June has been driven by two models especially: The ET7 which has seen month-over-month delivery growth of a massive 154.8% and the ES6 which saw a delivery increase of 73.7% on a monthly basis. NIO’s ES6 model still has the largest delivery share (currently 39.3%) and NIO produces by far the largest number of SUVs in the ES6 product line. But because of the surge in demand for electric vehicle sedans, going forward, the ET7 is set to replace NIO’s ES6 as the most important vehicle in NIO’s product portfolio. With NIO’s ET5 deliveries expected to start in September, the electric vehicle start-up could generate about half of its deliveries and sales from sedans, not SUVs, by year-end.</p><p>The share of ET7 deliveries has consistently increased throughout the second-quarter as well: in April, May and June, the delivery shares of the ET7 were 13.7%, 24.3% and 33.6%. Considering that NIO will add sedan volume through the ET5, especially in the fourth quarter, sedan deliveries are likely going to be the biggest driver for NIO’s delivery growth in the second half of 2022 and beyond.</p><p><b>NIO has long-term potential, but short-term setbacks should be expected</b></p><p>NIO’s valuation today is much cheaper than a year ago. During the pandemic, shares of NIO traded as high as $65. But investors appear to have stopped caring much about NIO’s delivery growth prospects lately which is understandable considering that EV deliveries have slowed down industry-wide in the first quarter. While short-term setbacks have to be expected, especially regarding new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, NIO’s growth prospects are attractive in the long term.</p><p>NIO is expected to grow revenues 60% this year to $9.07B, indicating a price-to-sales ratio of 3.8X. The forward P-S ratio, based on expected sales of $15.96B, implies a P-S ratio of 2.2X and revenue growth of 76%... so the market even expects an acceleration in revenue growth in FY 2023.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f8783ef7161e7a0ff94ffa153c81a2a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>Risks with NIO</b></p><p>The biggest risk for NIO, as I see it, is a volatile short-term delivery pattern that makes it hard for the market to predict NIO’s delivery potential with any kind of accuracy. COVID-19 shutdowns are still a threat to electric vehicle manufacturers as well because they could impact manufacturing hubs that produce electric vehicles or dampen demand for NIO’s products. Xi’an, a city of 13M, was partially shut down on Wednesday after a few cases of a new COVID-19 variant have been detected. China’s heavy-handed approach to mitigating the spread of COVID-19 and its variants is a big risk for NIO’s delivery potential as well as the stock in the short term. What would change my mind about NIO is if delivery growth slowed down and the firm&#39;s sedan ramp started to disappoint.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>NIO’s June ramp in production and deliveries was surprisingly good. The surge in ET7 deliveries is the key take-away for investors, because deliveries started only three months ago and sedans now already account for a third of NIO’s delivery volume. Considering that ET5 deliveries are set to start in September, I believe NIO’s long-term delivery potential, especially in the sedan market, is underrated. However, since NIO faces uncertain short-term delivery prospects due to new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, I have a neutral opinion on NIO.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-09 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106697268","content_text":"SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 and ET7 production are set to exceed volume production of the ES6 this year.NIO's (NYSE:NIO) first-quarter production and delivery performance was greatly impacted by a variety of factors, including Chinese holidays and COVID-related shutdowns that limited factory output levels. In June, however, NIO experienced a surge in deliveries due to factories coming back online and accelerating demand for NIO’s first sedan product, the ET7. While COVID-19 shutdowns remain a significant risk factor going forward, a recovery in delivery volumes could drive an upwards revaluation of NIO’s shares.Why NIO’s growth will be determined by sedan production going forwardNIO submitted its delivery card for June last week which revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer delivered 12,961 electric vehicles, showing 60.3% year-over-year growth. On a month-over-month basis, NIO’s deliveries increased a massive 84.5% which was the fastest growth rate when compared against rival companies XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI). XPeng's month-over-month delivery growth rate was 51.1% while Li Auto saw 13.3% month-over-month growth.XPeng, which currently has the fastest year-over-year delivery growth of the Top Three electric vehicle manufacturers delivered the most EVs last month: 15,295, showing 133% growth. Li Auto delivered 13,024 Li ONE sport utility vehicles in June, showing 68.9% year-over-year growth.DeliveriesAprilApril Y/Y GrowthMayMay Y/Y GrowthJuneJune Y/Y GrowthNIO5,074-28.6%7,0244.7%12,96160.3%XPEV9,00275.0%10,12578.0%15,295133.0%LI4,167-24.8%11,496165.9%13,02468.9%(Source: Author)NIO’s delivery card for June contained further evidence that sedan products are going to be NIO’s future. The electric vehicle company delivered 5,100 ES6s, 1,828 EC6s and 1,684 ES8s which are all sport utility vehicles. Additionally, NIO delivered a massive 4,349 ET7s, the firm’s first sedan product that started to sell in China only in March.NIO’s delivery growth in June has been driven by two models especially: The ET7 which has seen month-over-month delivery growth of a massive 154.8% and the ES6 which saw a delivery increase of 73.7% on a monthly basis. NIO’s ES6 model still has the largest delivery share (currently 39.3%) and NIO produces by far the largest number of SUVs in the ES6 product line. But because of the surge in demand for electric vehicle sedans, going forward, the ET7 is set to replace NIO’s ES6 as the most important vehicle in NIO’s product portfolio. With NIO’s ET5 deliveries expected to start in September, the electric vehicle start-up could generate about half of its deliveries and sales from sedans, not SUVs, by year-end.The share of ET7 deliveries has consistently increased throughout the second-quarter as well: in April, May and June, the delivery shares of the ET7 were 13.7%, 24.3% and 33.6%. Considering that NIO will add sedan volume through the ET5, especially in the fourth quarter, sedan deliveries are likely going to be the biggest driver for NIO’s delivery growth in the second half of 2022 and beyond.NIO has long-term potential, but short-term setbacks should be expectedNIO’s valuation today is much cheaper than a year ago. During the pandemic, shares of NIO traded as high as $65. But investors appear to have stopped caring much about NIO’s delivery growth prospects lately which is understandable considering that EV deliveries have slowed down industry-wide in the first quarter. While short-term setbacks have to be expected, especially regarding new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, NIO’s growth prospects are attractive in the long term.NIO is expected to grow revenues 60% this year to $9.07B, indicating a price-to-sales ratio of 3.8X. The forward P-S ratio, based on expected sales of $15.96B, implies a P-S ratio of 2.2X and revenue growth of 76%... so the market even expects an acceleration in revenue growth in FY 2023.Data by YChartsRisks with NIOThe biggest risk for NIO, as I see it, is a volatile short-term delivery pattern that makes it hard for the market to predict NIO’s delivery potential with any kind of accuracy. COVID-19 shutdowns are still a threat to electric vehicle manufacturers as well because they could impact manufacturing hubs that produce electric vehicles or dampen demand for NIO’s products. Xi’an, a city of 13M, was partially shut down on Wednesday after a few cases of a new COVID-19 variant have been detected. China’s heavy-handed approach to mitigating the spread of COVID-19 and its variants is a big risk for NIO’s delivery potential as well as the stock in the short term. What would change my mind about NIO is if delivery growth slowed down and the firm's sedan ramp started to disappoint.Final thoughtsNIO’s June ramp in production and deliveries was surprisingly good. The surge in ET7 deliveries is the key take-away for investors, because deliveries started only three months ago and sedans now already account for a third of NIO’s delivery volume. Considering that ET5 deliveries are set to start in September, I believe NIO’s long-term delivery potential, especially in the sedan market, is underrated. However, since NIO faces uncertain short-term delivery prospects due to new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, I have a neutral opinion on NIO.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079234513,"gmtCreate":1657202559533,"gmtModify":1676535968510,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079234513","repostId":"1121519092","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042306820,"gmtCreate":1656428500660,"gmtModify":1676535826393,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042306820","repostId":"2246206338","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246206338","pubTimestamp":1656399806,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246206338?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-28 15:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO: A Volatile But Very Profitable Road Ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246206338","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"There's a lot to like concerning NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) after it got hammered in the face of several ne","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There&#39;s a lot to like concerning NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) after it got hammered in the face of several negative catalysts that drove the price down to as low as $11.67 on May 12. Since then, it has doubled as I write, making it a terrific performer for those that got in near the low.</p><p>The quick jump in price does make me believe there will be an eventual sell-off as investors take some profits off the table, which could further drop if temporary bad news hits the stock near the time of a sell-off; the most likely being another shutdown in Shanghai.</p><p>But even in that worst-case scenario, the downward pressure on the price of NIO would only be temporary because the narrative surrounding the company has been consistently improving over the last month or so.</p><p>I believe the worst is behind NIO because the negative catalysts have already been baked into its share price. For that reason, it should enjoy steady and consistent growth going forward, although it will likely be a bumpy ride. Patient investors should generate some solid returns over the next couple of years and further out if there are no macro-economic or significant geopolitical events that impact the global economy and the EV sector.</p><h2>How to view the temporary macro challenges NIO faces</h2><p>I always ask myself two questions when looking at a company that appears to have been oversold like NIO, and they&#39;re these: has anything changed in the fundamentals of the sector, or has anything changed in the fundamentals of the company? The answer to both of these questions for NIO is no.</p><p>The EV sector is on a long-term growth trajectory, and NIO has positioned itself, through the increase of its production capacity and the introduction of new models, to take advantage of the EV trend.</p><p>Even with chips shortages, government shutdowns in China, temporary negative sentiment concerning China-based companies in general, the weakening global economy, delisting concerns in the U.S., and some inflationary pressure on commodities and chips, NIO is still managing to work its way out of short-term delivery challenges as demand for its vehicles continue to remain high.</p><p>Concerning things it has control over, it is raising prices and boosting production in order to mitigate increasing prices for commodities and chips. It has also listed on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange to assuage concerns over possibly being delisted in the U.S.</p><p>It also continues to enlarge its charging and swapping network. At the end of the first quarter, it had over 960 battery swapping stations installed in 197 cities. It has &#34;829 supercharging stations and 1,140 destination chargers.&#34;</p><p>As for chip shortages, management stated in its latest earnings report that the chip shortage in June is related less to previous chip supply constraints and more to the boost in production capacity; for that reason the company believes chip supplies can be managed.</p><h2>Positive catalysts for NIO</h2><p>Among the positive catalysts for the company are the attractive valuation as a result of being oversold, increasing deliveries, expanding model portfolio, its boost in production, and the growth of its battery swap stations.</p><p>Initial response to the company&#39;s latest earnings report was a sell-off, as investors reacted to contracting margins coming from higher commodity and chip prices. But once the market absorbed the overall report and more numbers have come in, investors started looking at deliveries and the expected increase in production going forward.</p><p>For example, in May NIO boosted deliveries to 7,024, bring its total for the year to 37,866, up almost 12 percent year-over-year. Revenue jumped to $1.56 billion, a gain of 24 percent from 1Q 2021.</p><p>The point here is investors are starting to look at revenue and deliveries more than the past negative catalysts, as I mentioned earlier, have been already baked into the share price of NIO.</p><p>Other positive catalysts include the recent launch of its highly anticipated ES7. Deliveries for the crossover are scheduled for August 28th. China&#39;s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) stated in a symposium that it is researching ways to boost its manufacturing sector as a result of the impact from COVID-19 restrictions. It is believed the EV sector in China will be a beneficiary of the new policies.</p><p>Last, China&#39;s State Council is expected to retain tax breaks already in place in order to stimulate demand for EV sales. Council members believe the tax cuts would generate $29.8 billion in consumer spending on the sector.</p><p>All of these things are tailwinds for NIO as it continues growth momentum.</p><h2>Probable taking of profits from NIO stock</h2><p>If we see any negative catalyst that spooks NIO shareholders, I believe we&#39;ll see a fairly quick sell-off in shares in order to protect profits. To get an idea of the type of numbers we&#39;re looking at in a sell-off, we&#39;ll look at the last couple of months when the share price of NIO corrected.</p><p>On May 4 traded at a little over $18.00 per share as a high, and by May 12 dropped to a 52-week low of $11.67. On May 20 it traded at a high of around $17.50, and by May 25 fell to $14.00 per share. More recently, on June 8 it traded at close to $20.45, and on June 13 dropped to a little under $16.00 per share. Since it dropped to about $16.00 per share on June 13, the price has soared to over $23.00 per share on June 23. Since May 12 the share price of NIO has about doubled.</p><p>My thought here is anything that causes the market to produce fear will result in some quick offloading of shares in NIO. If there is a negative catalyst combined with taking profits, the share price will take a significant hit, but I don&#39;t see it lingering for long. I believe NIO has turned the corner and any negative news will only have a temporal effect on the company. As mentioned above, everything negative has already been priced into the share price of NIO, and the only thing that will potentially disrupt its momentum is another prolonged shutdown of Shanghai in response to a COVID outbreak. But again, this does nothing to change the fundamentals of the EV market, neither the fundamentals of NIO as a company.</p><p>I&#39;m bringing this up because shareholders shouldn&#39;t be too concerned about this in any way. My point of view is NIO is in no danger in the short or long term, and the only thing that negative catalysts can do is extend the time it takes for the company to resume extraordinary growth.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Since I see NIO&#39;s share price being disproportionately punished in response to macroeconomic and geopolitical events and concerns, it is very likely to outperform its peers in the near term as it moves back into alignment with its strong fundamentals.</p><p>Further out, it is wisely building out production capacity as it introduces new models, positioning itself for a strong growth spurt as consumers start to spend again.</p><p>With supply chains improving and the company boosting the price of its models in response to increase in the price of commodities and chips, it is improving its margins and bottom line under difficult circumstances. That said, some of its pre-orders in the past will take a hit until the company works through its inventory and fills those orders.</p><p>My thesis is it&#39;s not a matter of if, but when NIO starts to regain strong growth momentum as it increases deliveries from strong consumer demand and larger production capacity.</p><p>As we&#39;ve seen after it hit its 52-week low on May 12, it has already doubled from that level. Once market sentiment improves even more, it&#39;s going to go a lot higher in the long haul.</p><p>The key to me is to ignore the volatility in the EV sector and NIO&#39;s share price, focusing rather on the way the company has positioned itself to grow long into the future.</p><p>There is no doubt in my mind that patient investors are going to be handsomely rewarded.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: A Volatile But Very Profitable Road Ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: A Volatile But Very Profitable Road Ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-28 15:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520117-nio-volatile-profitable-road-ahead><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There's a lot to like concerning NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) after it got hammered in the face of several negative catalysts that drove the price down to as low as $11.67 on May 12. Since then, it has doubled...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520117-nio-volatile-profitable-road-ahead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520117-nio-volatile-profitable-road-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246206338","content_text":"There's a lot to like concerning NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) after it got hammered in the face of several negative catalysts that drove the price down to as low as $11.67 on May 12. Since then, it has doubled as I write, making it a terrific performer for those that got in near the low.The quick jump in price does make me believe there will be an eventual sell-off as investors take some profits off the table, which could further drop if temporary bad news hits the stock near the time of a sell-off; the most likely being another shutdown in Shanghai.But even in that worst-case scenario, the downward pressure on the price of NIO would only be temporary because the narrative surrounding the company has been consistently improving over the last month or so.I believe the worst is behind NIO because the negative catalysts have already been baked into its share price. For that reason, it should enjoy steady and consistent growth going forward, although it will likely be a bumpy ride. Patient investors should generate some solid returns over the next couple of years and further out if there are no macro-economic or significant geopolitical events that impact the global economy and the EV sector.How to view the temporary macro challenges NIO facesI always ask myself two questions when looking at a company that appears to have been oversold like NIO, and they're these: has anything changed in the fundamentals of the sector, or has anything changed in the fundamentals of the company? The answer to both of these questions for NIO is no.The EV sector is on a long-term growth trajectory, and NIO has positioned itself, through the increase of its production capacity and the introduction of new models, to take advantage of the EV trend.Even with chips shortages, government shutdowns in China, temporary negative sentiment concerning China-based companies in general, the weakening global economy, delisting concerns in the U.S., and some inflationary pressure on commodities and chips, NIO is still managing to work its way out of short-term delivery challenges as demand for its vehicles continue to remain high.Concerning things it has control over, it is raising prices and boosting production in order to mitigate increasing prices for commodities and chips. It has also listed on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange to assuage concerns over possibly being delisted in the U.S.It also continues to enlarge its charging and swapping network. At the end of the first quarter, it had over 960 battery swapping stations installed in 197 cities. It has \"829 supercharging stations and 1,140 destination chargers.\"As for chip shortages, management stated in its latest earnings report that the chip shortage in June is related less to previous chip supply constraints and more to the boost in production capacity; for that reason the company believes chip supplies can be managed.Positive catalysts for NIOAmong the positive catalysts for the company are the attractive valuation as a result of being oversold, increasing deliveries, expanding model portfolio, its boost in production, and the growth of its battery swap stations.Initial response to the company's latest earnings report was a sell-off, as investors reacted to contracting margins coming from higher commodity and chip prices. But once the market absorbed the overall report and more numbers have come in, investors started looking at deliveries and the expected increase in production going forward.For example, in May NIO boosted deliveries to 7,024, bring its total for the year to 37,866, up almost 12 percent year-over-year. Revenue jumped to $1.56 billion, a gain of 24 percent from 1Q 2021.The point here is investors are starting to look at revenue and deliveries more than the past negative catalysts, as I mentioned earlier, have been already baked into the share price of NIO.Other positive catalysts include the recent launch of its highly anticipated ES7. Deliveries for the crossover are scheduled for August 28th. China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) stated in a symposium that it is researching ways to boost its manufacturing sector as a result of the impact from COVID-19 restrictions. It is believed the EV sector in China will be a beneficiary of the new policies.Last, China's State Council is expected to retain tax breaks already in place in order to stimulate demand for EV sales. Council members believe the tax cuts would generate $29.8 billion in consumer spending on the sector.All of these things are tailwinds for NIO as it continues growth momentum.Probable taking of profits from NIO stockIf we see any negative catalyst that spooks NIO shareholders, I believe we'll see a fairly quick sell-off in shares in order to protect profits. To get an idea of the type of numbers we're looking at in a sell-off, we'll look at the last couple of months when the share price of NIO corrected.On May 4 traded at a little over $18.00 per share as a high, and by May 12 dropped to a 52-week low of $11.67. On May 20 it traded at a high of around $17.50, and by May 25 fell to $14.00 per share. More recently, on June 8 it traded at close to $20.45, and on June 13 dropped to a little under $16.00 per share. Since it dropped to about $16.00 per share on June 13, the price has soared to over $23.00 per share on June 23. Since May 12 the share price of NIO has about doubled.My thought here is anything that causes the market to produce fear will result in some quick offloading of shares in NIO. If there is a negative catalyst combined with taking profits, the share price will take a significant hit, but I don't see it lingering for long. I believe NIO has turned the corner and any negative news will only have a temporal effect on the company. As mentioned above, everything negative has already been priced into the share price of NIO, and the only thing that will potentially disrupt its momentum is another prolonged shutdown of Shanghai in response to a COVID outbreak. But again, this does nothing to change the fundamentals of the EV market, neither the fundamentals of NIO as a company.I'm bringing this up because shareholders shouldn't be too concerned about this in any way. My point of view is NIO is in no danger in the short or long term, and the only thing that negative catalysts can do is extend the time it takes for the company to resume extraordinary growth.ConclusionSince I see NIO's share price being disproportionately punished in response to macroeconomic and geopolitical events and concerns, it is very likely to outperform its peers in the near term as it moves back into alignment with its strong fundamentals.Further out, it is wisely building out production capacity as it introduces new models, positioning itself for a strong growth spurt as consumers start to spend again.With supply chains improving and the company boosting the price of its models in response to increase in the price of commodities and chips, it is improving its margins and bottom line under difficult circumstances. That said, some of its pre-orders in the past will take a hit until the company works through its inventory and fills those orders.My thesis is it's not a matter of if, but when NIO starts to regain strong growth momentum as it increases deliveries from strong consumer demand and larger production capacity.As we've seen after it hit its 52-week low on May 12, it has already doubled from that level. Once market sentiment improves even more, it's going to go a lot higher in the long haul.The key to me is to ignore the volatility in the EV sector and NIO's share price, focusing rather on the way the company has positioned itself to grow long into the future.There is no doubt in my mind that patient investors are going to be handsomely rewarded.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049552200,"gmtCreate":1655820106200,"gmtModify":1676535711208,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098882746619960","authorIdStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049552200","repostId":"1162477566","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162477566","pubTimestamp":1655709453,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162477566?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-20 15:17","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"NIO Surges Over 9% in Hong Kong, Market Cap Back to HK$300 Billion","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162477566","media":"CnEVPost","summary":"NIO's stores in Shanghai have returned to pre-Covid lockdown traffic levels, and top Chinese investm","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>NIO&#39;s stores in Shanghai have returned to pre-Covid lockdown traffic levels, and top Chinese investment bank CICC has issued a bullish research note on NIO.</li></ul><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">NIO</a> traded in Hong Kong surged to a near three-month high on Monday, along with a general rise in electric vehicle (EV) stocks.</p><p>At press time, NIO was up 9.16 percent in Hong Kong, hitting a new high since April 6 and putting its market capitalization back above HK$300 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ccdd5c623e0778ecf52b1544d60076\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>NIO&#39;s local peer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">XPeng Motors</a> was up 14.67 percent and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">Li Auto</a> was up 3.76 percent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09d028c8ab7b841e5140301177c11698\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Hong Kong stocks were lukewarm, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.26 percent.</p><p>As of writing, NIO&#39;s shares traded in Singapore also rose 10.24 percent to a new high since its May 20 listing there.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb01e96eb430f58fa4d503ffd35cad0b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>NIO launched the ES7, the first SUV based on its NT 2.0 platform, and the 2022 ES6, EC6, and ES8 models on June 15. CICC, a top Chinese investment bank, sees about a 30 percent upside for NIO in a research note on Friday, bullish on the growth momentum of the company&#39;s NT 2.0 platform models.</p><p>CICC initiated coverage of NIO&#39;s Hong Kong-traded shares with an Outperform rating and a HK$196 price target, implying a 26.2 upside from the company&#39;s closing price of HK$155.3 last Thursday.</p><p>The investment bank also raised its price target on NIO&#39;s shares traded in the US by 8.7 percent to $25, implying an upside of 30.3 percent.</p><p>It is also worth noting that NIO stores in Shanghai have seen traffic return to pre-Covid lockdown levels, with travel restrictions in the city lifted earlier this month, according to a local media report.</p><p>NIO&#39;s 27 stores in Shanghai have seen all staff return to their posts, and traffic at those stores has returned to levels seen before this round of Covid outbreak, Shanghai Securities News reported in a report yesterday evening.</p><p>The report included a picture with a caption mentioning that NIO&#39;s store in the busy West Nanjing Road in Shanghai saw lots of customers, many of them with their families, on the evening of June 18 to see the show cars.</p><p>On June 18, NIO added a battery swap station in Shanghai, the first this month. The company also added a new NIO House, which is its comprehensive facility with showroom functions and advanced services for users, in Beijing on the same day.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Surges Over 9% in Hong Kong, Market Cap Back to HK$300 Billion</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Surges Over 9% in Hong Kong, Market Cap Back to HK$300 Billion\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-20 15:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://cnevpost.com/2022/06/20/nio-surges-over-11-in-hong-kong-market-cap-back-to-hk300-billion/><strong>CnEVPost</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NIO's stores in Shanghai have returned to pre-Covid lockdown traffic levels, and top Chinese investment bank CICC has issued a bullish research note on NIO.Shares of NIO traded in Hong Kong surged to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://cnevpost.com/2022/06/20/nio-surges-over-11-in-hong-kong-market-cap-back-to-hk300-billion/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02015":"理想汽车-W","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","09868":"小鹏汽车-W","NIO.SI":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://cnevpost.com/2022/06/20/nio-surges-over-11-in-hong-kong-market-cap-back-to-hk300-billion/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162477566","content_text":"NIO's stores in Shanghai have returned to pre-Covid lockdown traffic levels, and top Chinese investment bank CICC has issued a bullish research note on NIO.Shares of NIO traded in Hong Kong surged to a near three-month high on Monday, along with a general rise in electric vehicle (EV) stocks.At press time, NIO was up 9.16 percent in Hong Kong, hitting a new high since April 6 and putting its market capitalization back above HK$300 billion.NIO's local peer XPeng Motors was up 14.67 percent and Li Auto was up 3.76 percent.Hong Kong stocks were lukewarm, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.26 percent.As of writing, NIO's shares traded in Singapore also rose 10.24 percent to a new high since its May 20 listing there.NIO launched the ES7, the first SUV based on its NT 2.0 platform, and the 2022 ES6, EC6, and ES8 models on June 15. CICC, a top Chinese investment bank, sees about a 30 percent upside for NIO in a research note on Friday, bullish on the growth momentum of the company's NT 2.0 platform models.CICC initiated coverage of NIO's Hong Kong-traded shares with an Outperform rating and a HK$196 price target, implying a 26.2 upside from the company's closing price of HK$155.3 last Thursday.The investment bank also raised its price target on NIO's shares traded in the US by 8.7 percent to $25, implying an upside of 30.3 percent.It is also worth noting that NIO stores in Shanghai have seen traffic return to pre-Covid lockdown levels, with travel restrictions in the city lifted earlier this month, according to a local media report.NIO's 27 stores in Shanghai have seen all staff return to their posts, and traffic at those stores has returned to levels seen before this round of Covid outbreak, Shanghai Securities News reported in a report yesterday evening.The report included a picture with a caption mentioning that NIO's store in the busy West Nanjing Road in Shanghai saw lots of customers, many of them with their families, on the evening of June 18 to see the show cars.On June 18, NIO added a battery swap station in Shanghai, the first this month. The company also added a new NIO House, which is its comprehensive facility with showroom functions and advanced services for users, in Beijing on the same day.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9075555487,"gmtCreate":1658232502849,"gmtModify":1676536125486,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075555487","repostId":"1128013391","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128013391","pubTimestamp":1658240028,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128013391?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 22:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128013391","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.</li><li>After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.</li><li>However, Alibaba&#39;s e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.</li><li>Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.</li><li>Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China&#39;s e-Commerce market.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b887b51b51f300ef64a42a227dcdff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Andrew Burton</span></p><p>It is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.</p><p>I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.</p><p><b>New round of fines for large Chinese tech companies</b></p><p>Last week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.</p><p>After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf26bb44feeb3e1ae51093c8b212e44\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.</p><p>Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9859ed387dc93ce5ea3521788e84f556\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>Why Alibaba&#39;s Commerce performance may be set to improve</b></p><p>China’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.</p><p>I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.</p><p>While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China&#39;s retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de51cc71edd3017cc209bc885f2f57d7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>eMarketer</span></p><p>E-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba&#39;s growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba&#39;s domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b75138e34865e1c34f0238048d5fb3\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p>But even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc81d5802b7f195078bf311072f6f7d0\" tg-width=\"937\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s valuation got another discount last week</b></p><p>It is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.</p><p>Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838ad34a6ddef0058d83ea7f46ee35ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risks with Alibaba</b></p><p>The real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China&#39;s anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.</p><p>Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba&#39;s recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>The Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.</p><p>But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1128013391","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.However, Alibaba's e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China's e-Commerce market.Andrew BurtonIt is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.New round of fines for large Chinese tech companiesLast week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.Seeking AlphaWhy Alibaba's Commerce performance may be set to improveChina’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China's retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.eMarketerE-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba's growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba's domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.AlibabaBut even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.AlibabaAlibaba's valuation got another discount last weekIt is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.Risks with AlibabaThe real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China's anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba's recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.Final thoughtsThe Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966786498,"gmtCreate":1669646439715,"gmtModify":1676538218059,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966786498","repostId":"2286599841","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286599841","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1669644491,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286599841?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-28 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Readies Revamped Model 3 With Project \"Highland\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286599841","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Tesla is developing a revamped version of Model 3, according to four people with knowled","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Tesla is developing a revamped version of Model 3, according to four people with knowledge of the effort, as the top EV maker aims to cut production costs and boost the appeal of the five-year-old electric sedan.</p><p>One focus of the redesign codenamed &#34;Highland&#34; is to reduce the number of components and complexity in the interior of the Model 3 while focusing on features that Tesla buyers value, including the display, according to the people, who asked not to be named because the revamp has not been announced.</p><p>The previously unreported redesign comes as the electric sedan faces increased competition from models from the likes of China&#39;s BYD, Hyundai and coming releases from other major automakers.</p><p>The revamp of the battery-powered sedan, which could also include some changes to the Model 3’s exterior and powertrain performance, will go into production at Tesla’s factory in Shanghai and the company’s Fremont, California plant, two of the people said. Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory will put the redesigned Model 3 into production in the third quarter of 2023, they said.</p><p>It was not clear when production would start at the Fremont plant or how large a cost savings Tesla would achieve from the redesign as it works with suppliers.</p><p>The effort spotlights an approach to vehicle development pioneered by Tesla and now being copied by other automakers, including Toyota Motor, that removes complexity – and cost – in production.</p><p>It is also an example of a key project at Tesla that has rolled ahead even as Chief Executive Elon Musk has focused on his troubled acquisition of Twitter in recent months, an area of concern for Tesla investors.</p><p>Tesla did not respond to a written request for comment from Reuters.</p><p>CHANGE YOU CAN SEE</p><p>The redesign for the Model 3 builds on the revamp of the Model S — Tesla’s premium EV sedan — that was released last year. That redesign added an airplane-style yoke in place of a traditional steering wheel and removed buttons and traditional air vents as part of a minimalist interior where the centerpiece is a 17-inch electronic display.</p><p>The Model 3, Tesla’s cheapest EV starting at just under $47,000 in the United States, had been the automaker’s best-seller but is being overtaken by the Model Y crossover. With only four models in production, styling changes to any part of Tesla’s lineup carry an outsized importance compared to established automakers.</p><p>Ed Kim, president of AutoPacific Group, which tracks market trends and production, said the current Model 3 has already been updated from the version that first went on sale in 2017 because of the way Tesla updates battery performance, information and entertainment options through software, even if it still looks the same.</p><p>“Having said that, consumers still tend to equate visual changes with newness,” he said. “Tesla knows visually tangible changes are in order.”</p><p>“The upcoming changes that potential customers can see and feel will be very important in ensuring that EV customers still have Tesla at the top of their minds as truly excellent alternatives to Tesla are starting to flood the market,” he said.</p><p>KEEP IT SIMPLE</p><p>Musk has pushed a simplified approach to design and production at Tesla that the Highland project extends, said the people with knowledge of the development.</p><p>Tesla has pioneered the use of massive casting machines known as Giga Press and built by IDRA Group in Italy to make single, larger pieces of a vehicle in assembly, reducing cost and speeding production. It has also designed a structural battery pack that does away with more expensive modules.</p><p>Musk has said Tesla is looking to drive costs down through simplification and working on a small-car platform that would be half the cost of the Model 3.</p><p>&#34;Over and over, we found parts that are not needed. They were put in there just in case or by mistake. We eliminated so many parts from a car that did nothing,&#34; Musk said in an interview at a Baron Funds conference earlier in the month.</p><p>The approach is part of what has made Tesla the most profitable electric vehicle maker while many rivals are still running at a loss. In the third quarter, Tesla made a profit of just over $9,500 for every car sold, compared to roughly $1,300 for Toyota, according to disclosures by both companies.</p><p>The revamp of the Model 3 comes at a time when sales in China, its second-largest market after the United States, are under pressure. Sales for the Model 3 in China fell 9% in the first ten months from a year earlier, while BYD&#39;s Qin and Han electric sedans outsold the Model 3, according to China Passenger Car Association.</p><p>To boost sales, Tesla cut prices for Model 3 and Model Y in China by as much as 9% in October and offered an additional rebate for buyers who took immediate delivery.</p><p>Sam Fiorani, who tracks Tesla and industry-wide production at Auto Forecast Solutions, said the upcoming changes to the Model 3, which he understood were coming, showed the power of Tesla’s approach in taking out complexity.</p><p>“They are always looking for ways to make EVs profitable, and more profitable,” he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Readies Revamped Model 3 With Project \"Highland\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Readies Revamped Model 3 With Project \"Highland\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-28 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Tesla is developing a revamped version of Model 3, according to four people with knowledge of the effort, as the top EV maker aims to cut production costs and boost the appeal of the five-year-old electric sedan.</p><p>One focus of the redesign codenamed &#34;Highland&#34; is to reduce the number of components and complexity in the interior of the Model 3 while focusing on features that Tesla buyers value, including the display, according to the people, who asked not to be named because the revamp has not been announced.</p><p>The previously unreported redesign comes as the electric sedan faces increased competition from models from the likes of China&#39;s BYD, Hyundai and coming releases from other major automakers.</p><p>The revamp of the battery-powered sedan, which could also include some changes to the Model 3’s exterior and powertrain performance, will go into production at Tesla’s factory in Shanghai and the company’s Fremont, California plant, two of the people said. Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory will put the redesigned Model 3 into production in the third quarter of 2023, they said.</p><p>It was not clear when production would start at the Fremont plant or how large a cost savings Tesla would achieve from the redesign as it works with suppliers.</p><p>The effort spotlights an approach to vehicle development pioneered by Tesla and now being copied by other automakers, including Toyota Motor, that removes complexity – and cost – in production.</p><p>It is also an example of a key project at Tesla that has rolled ahead even as Chief Executive Elon Musk has focused on his troubled acquisition of Twitter in recent months, an area of concern for Tesla investors.</p><p>Tesla did not respond to a written request for comment from Reuters.</p><p>CHANGE YOU CAN SEE</p><p>The redesign for the Model 3 builds on the revamp of the Model S — Tesla’s premium EV sedan — that was released last year. That redesign added an airplane-style yoke in place of a traditional steering wheel and removed buttons and traditional air vents as part of a minimalist interior where the centerpiece is a 17-inch electronic display.</p><p>The Model 3, Tesla’s cheapest EV starting at just under $47,000 in the United States, had been the automaker’s best-seller but is being overtaken by the Model Y crossover. With only four models in production, styling changes to any part of Tesla’s lineup carry an outsized importance compared to established automakers.</p><p>Ed Kim, president of AutoPacific Group, which tracks market trends and production, said the current Model 3 has already been updated from the version that first went on sale in 2017 because of the way Tesla updates battery performance, information and entertainment options through software, even if it still looks the same.</p><p>“Having said that, consumers still tend to equate visual changes with newness,” he said. “Tesla knows visually tangible changes are in order.”</p><p>“The upcoming changes that potential customers can see and feel will be very important in ensuring that EV customers still have Tesla at the top of their minds as truly excellent alternatives to Tesla are starting to flood the market,” he said.</p><p>KEEP IT SIMPLE</p><p>Musk has pushed a simplified approach to design and production at Tesla that the Highland project extends, said the people with knowledge of the development.</p><p>Tesla has pioneered the use of massive casting machines known as Giga Press and built by IDRA Group in Italy to make single, larger pieces of a vehicle in assembly, reducing cost and speeding production. It has also designed a structural battery pack that does away with more expensive modules.</p><p>Musk has said Tesla is looking to drive costs down through simplification and working on a small-car platform that would be half the cost of the Model 3.</p><p>&#34;Over and over, we found parts that are not needed. They were put in there just in case or by mistake. We eliminated so many parts from a car that did nothing,&#34; Musk said in an interview at a Baron Funds conference earlier in the month.</p><p>The approach is part of what has made Tesla the most profitable electric vehicle maker while many rivals are still running at a loss. In the third quarter, Tesla made a profit of just over $9,500 for every car sold, compared to roughly $1,300 for Toyota, according to disclosures by both companies.</p><p>The revamp of the Model 3 comes at a time when sales in China, its second-largest market after the United States, are under pressure. Sales for the Model 3 in China fell 9% in the first ten months from a year earlier, while BYD&#39;s Qin and Han electric sedans outsold the Model 3, according to China Passenger Car Association.</p><p>To boost sales, Tesla cut prices for Model 3 and Model Y in China by as much as 9% in October and offered an additional rebate for buyers who took immediate delivery.</p><p>Sam Fiorani, who tracks Tesla and industry-wide production at Auto Forecast Solutions, said the upcoming changes to the Model 3, which he understood were coming, showed the power of Tesla’s approach in taking out complexity.</p><p>“They are always looking for ways to make EVs profitable, and more profitable,” he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286599841","content_text":"(Reuters) - Tesla is developing a revamped version of Model 3, according to four people with knowledge of the effort, as the top EV maker aims to cut production costs and boost the appeal of the five-year-old electric sedan.One focus of the redesign codenamed \"Highland\" is to reduce the number of components and complexity in the interior of the Model 3 while focusing on features that Tesla buyers value, including the display, according to the people, who asked not to be named because the revamp has not been announced.The previously unreported redesign comes as the electric sedan faces increased competition from models from the likes of China's BYD, Hyundai and coming releases from other major automakers.The revamp of the battery-powered sedan, which could also include some changes to the Model 3’s exterior and powertrain performance, will go into production at Tesla’s factory in Shanghai and the company’s Fremont, California plant, two of the people said. Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory will put the redesigned Model 3 into production in the third quarter of 2023, they said.It was not clear when production would start at the Fremont plant or how large a cost savings Tesla would achieve from the redesign as it works with suppliers.The effort spotlights an approach to vehicle development pioneered by Tesla and now being copied by other automakers, including Toyota Motor, that removes complexity – and cost – in production.It is also an example of a key project at Tesla that has rolled ahead even as Chief Executive Elon Musk has focused on his troubled acquisition of Twitter in recent months, an area of concern for Tesla investors.Tesla did not respond to a written request for comment from Reuters.CHANGE YOU CAN SEEThe redesign for the Model 3 builds on the revamp of the Model S — Tesla’s premium EV sedan — that was released last year. That redesign added an airplane-style yoke in place of a traditional steering wheel and removed buttons and traditional air vents as part of a minimalist interior where the centerpiece is a 17-inch electronic display.The Model 3, Tesla’s cheapest EV starting at just under $47,000 in the United States, had been the automaker’s best-seller but is being overtaken by the Model Y crossover. With only four models in production, styling changes to any part of Tesla’s lineup carry an outsized importance compared to established automakers.Ed Kim, president of AutoPacific Group, which tracks market trends and production, said the current Model 3 has already been updated from the version that first went on sale in 2017 because of the way Tesla updates battery performance, information and entertainment options through software, even if it still looks the same.“Having said that, consumers still tend to equate visual changes with newness,” he said. “Tesla knows visually tangible changes are in order.”“The upcoming changes that potential customers can see and feel will be very important in ensuring that EV customers still have Tesla at the top of their minds as truly excellent alternatives to Tesla are starting to flood the market,” he said.KEEP IT SIMPLEMusk has pushed a simplified approach to design and production at Tesla that the Highland project extends, said the people with knowledge of the development.Tesla has pioneered the use of massive casting machines known as Giga Press and built by IDRA Group in Italy to make single, larger pieces of a vehicle in assembly, reducing cost and speeding production. It has also designed a structural battery pack that does away with more expensive modules.Musk has said Tesla is looking to drive costs down through simplification and working on a small-car platform that would be half the cost of the Model 3.\"Over and over, we found parts that are not needed. They were put in there just in case or by mistake. We eliminated so many parts from a car that did nothing,\" Musk said in an interview at a Baron Funds conference earlier in the month.The approach is part of what has made Tesla the most profitable electric vehicle maker while many rivals are still running at a loss. In the third quarter, Tesla made a profit of just over $9,500 for every car sold, compared to roughly $1,300 for Toyota, according to disclosures by both companies.The revamp of the Model 3 comes at a time when sales in China, its second-largest market after the United States, are under pressure. Sales for the Model 3 in China fell 9% in the first ten months from a year earlier, while BYD's Qin and Han electric sedans outsold the Model 3, according to China Passenger Car Association.To boost sales, Tesla cut prices for Model 3 and Model Y in China by as much as 9% in October and offered an additional rebate for buyers who took immediate delivery.Sam Fiorani, who tracks Tesla and industry-wide production at Auto Forecast Solutions, said the upcoming changes to the Model 3, which he understood were coming, showed the power of Tesla’s approach in taking out complexity.“They are always looking for ways to make EVs profitable, and more profitable,” he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922254186,"gmtCreate":1671783068145,"gmtModify":1676538592889,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922254186","repostId":"2293532324","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2293532324","pubTimestamp":1671768153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2293532324?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-23 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Buy The Panic - Disregard The Noise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2293532324","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gone in reverse, dropping to its lowest level in more than two years","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gone in reverse, dropping to its lowest level in more than two years. The share price has crashed nearly 70% since its high-flying days in 2021. Nevertheless, Tesla is in a prime position to continue dominating its segment and should grow revenues significantly while expanding profitability simultaneously. Transitory factors such as Elon Musk buying Twitter and other noise should not impact Tesla&#39;s expansion and long-term profitability potential. Tesla has a delivery report coming up, and the company could surprise to the upside, leading to a more profitable-than-expected Q4.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla is becoming cheap on a P/E and even on a P/S basis. Disregard the noise! Tesla is a buy in the $120-$140 range, and the stock becomes a conviction strong buy if it gets down to about the $100-$110 level in this bear market.</p><h2>How Cheap Would Tesla be at $100?</h2><p>For starters, $100 is 76% below Tesla&#39;s ATH in 2021. At $100, Tesla would trade at 24 times this year&#39;s EPS estimates and just 18 times next year&#39;s consensus analysts&#39; figures. Ok, so the stock is not at $100, but the closer it gets, the more interesting it becomes. At $134, Tesla is trading at about 22 times forward EPS estimates. This valuation is inexpensive for a dominant, rapidly expanding, market-leading company like Tesla. Therefore, the lower it goes, the better, because it will provide an excellent long-term buying opportunity. The stock is a buy in the $120-$140 range here. Below $120, Tesla becomes a strong buy, and it&#39;s a gift if it ever comes down to $100.</p><p><b>Technically Speaking: Tesla - 30-Month Chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6be10396acac9530d4202ca5cd346dda\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA (StockCharts.com)</p><p>Tesla&#39;s given up significant gains over the last year. The stock is down by nearly 70% in this bear market, and it may even worsen. However, was this spectacular decline a big surprise to people? All the tech giants went through significant downturns, and Tesla&#39;s stock is still dealing with the heat. Nevertheless, the RSI is below 25 here, illustrating that the stock is significantly oversold. The full stochastic is only 3.05, implying a possible short-term shift to more positive momentum. The problem with Tesla&#39;s stock is that it is still in a downtrend. Therefore, a near-term bounce may be temporary, and the stock could ultimately bottom lower, around the $110-$120 range.</p><h2>The Upcoming Deliveries Report</h2><p>Tesla should announce its Q4 deliveries soon, and the market expects 450-465K vehicle deliveries for the fourth quarter. However, Tesla could surprise higher, delivering 475K or more vehicles in the final quarter of 2022. 475K or more car deliveries should surprise the market, reflecting positively on Tesla&#39;s stock. Despite the transitory global slowdown, demand remains high for Tesla vehicles, and the company plans to unveil its fifth gigafactory in Mexico soon.</p><h2>Disregard the Twitter Drama</h2><p>There is a great deal of focus on what is happening at Twitter, which is not helping Tesla&#39;s stock. The &#34;Twitter Drama&#34; continues weighing on the sentiment surrounding Tesla and the company&#39;s stock price. Do investors think Elon Musk will forget about Tesla and focus most of his attention on Twitter instead? I don&#39;t think so. First, Elon Musk is accustomed to optimizing multiple companies simultaneously. Mr. Musk has experience running SpaceX, Tesla, and other corporations. Also, Musk is looking for the right CEO to take over the helm at the struggling social media giant. Nevertheless, the Twitter drama shouldn&#39;t spill over and impact Tesla&#39;s long-term operations.</p><h2>Ramping Up Revenues</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ec9afbf09cbec15c251e2e735c4296\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)</p><p>Tesla&#39;s consensus estimated revenue growth is 55% this year and 39% in 2023. Moreover, the company should experience robust double-digit growth for several years, offering a high probability of surpassing current depressed estimate figures. Therefore, we should see 15-25% revenue growth continuing beyond 2025.</p><h2>EPS Growth to Expand</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6981582ddd151f3a0e87af9a1b9c436e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>EPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )</p><p>The consensus EPS estimates for 2023 are for $5.64, but the company can earn $6-$7 next year. Therefore, Tesla&#39;s current forward P/E ratio is around 19-22. Moreover, Tesla could make close to its higher-end estimates in 2024 and 2025. Thus, the company&#39;s EPS could run up to approximately $10 and $14 in the coming years. Provided that Tesla earns around $14 in 2025, its current valuation is less than ten times the 2025 EPS potential.</p><h2><b>Where Tesla&#39;s Stock Could be in A Few Years </b></h2><table><tbody><tr><td>Year</td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025</td><td>2026</td><td>2027</td><td>2028</td><td>2029</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue Bs</td><td>$85</td><td>$132</td><td>$185</td><td>$250</td><td>$330</td><td>$429</td><td>$550</td><td>$686</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>57%</td><td>55%</td><td>40%</td><td>35%</td><td>32%</td><td>30%</td><td>28%</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>EPS</td><td>$4.50</td><td>$7</td><td>$10</td><td>$14</td><td>$19</td><td>$25</td><td>$32</td><td>$40</td></tr><tr><td>EPS growth</td><td>99%</td><td>56%</td><td>43%</td><td>40%</td><td>36%</td><td>32%</td><td>29%</td><td>26%</td></tr><tr><td>Forward P/E</td><td>19.6</td><td>22</td><td>23</td><td>24</td><td>25</td><td>23</td><td>22</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>Price</td><td>$137</td><td>$220</td><td>$322</td><td>$456</td><td>$625</td><td>$736</td><td>$880</td><td>$950</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Click to enlarge</p><p>Source: The Financial Prophet</p><h2>Tesla Risks</h2><p><b>Risks exist for Tesla</b> - The company may miss earnings and revenue estimates. Furthermore, a slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, issues with regulators and foreign governments, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to move higher. Serious concerns could cause Tesla&#39;s valuation to lose altitude, and the company&#39;s share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider these and other risks before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Buy The Panic - Disregard The Noise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Buy The Panic - Disregard The Noise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-23 12:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566022-tesla-buy-the-panic-disregard-the-noise><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gone in reverse, dropping to its lowest level in more than two years. The share price has crashed nearly 70% since its high-flying days in 2021. Nevertheless, Tesla is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566022-tesla-buy-the-panic-disregard-the-noise\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566022-tesla-buy-the-panic-disregard-the-noise","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2293532324","content_text":"Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gone in reverse, dropping to its lowest level in more than two years. The share price has crashed nearly 70% since its high-flying days in 2021. Nevertheless, Tesla is in a prime position to continue dominating its segment and should grow revenues significantly while expanding profitability simultaneously. Transitory factors such as Elon Musk buying Twitter and other noise should not impact Tesla's expansion and long-term profitability potential. Tesla has a delivery report coming up, and the company could surprise to the upside, leading to a more profitable-than-expected Q4.Moreover, Tesla is becoming cheap on a P/E and even on a P/S basis. Disregard the noise! Tesla is a buy in the $120-$140 range, and the stock becomes a conviction strong buy if it gets down to about the $100-$110 level in this bear market.How Cheap Would Tesla be at $100?For starters, $100 is 76% below Tesla's ATH in 2021. At $100, Tesla would trade at 24 times this year's EPS estimates and just 18 times next year's consensus analysts' figures. Ok, so the stock is not at $100, but the closer it gets, the more interesting it becomes. At $134, Tesla is trading at about 22 times forward EPS estimates. This valuation is inexpensive for a dominant, rapidly expanding, market-leading company like Tesla. Therefore, the lower it goes, the better, because it will provide an excellent long-term buying opportunity. The stock is a buy in the $120-$140 range here. Below $120, Tesla becomes a strong buy, and it's a gift if it ever comes down to $100.Technically Speaking: Tesla - 30-Month ChartTSLA (StockCharts.com)Tesla's given up significant gains over the last year. The stock is down by nearly 70% in this bear market, and it may even worsen. However, was this spectacular decline a big surprise to people? All the tech giants went through significant downturns, and Tesla's stock is still dealing with the heat. Nevertheless, the RSI is below 25 here, illustrating that the stock is significantly oversold. The full stochastic is only 3.05, implying a possible short-term shift to more positive momentum. The problem with Tesla's stock is that it is still in a downtrend. Therefore, a near-term bounce may be temporary, and the stock could ultimately bottom lower, around the $110-$120 range.The Upcoming Deliveries ReportTesla should announce its Q4 deliveries soon, and the market expects 450-465K vehicle deliveries for the fourth quarter. However, Tesla could surprise higher, delivering 475K or more vehicles in the final quarter of 2022. 475K or more car deliveries should surprise the market, reflecting positively on Tesla's stock. Despite the transitory global slowdown, demand remains high for Tesla vehicles, and the company plans to unveil its fifth gigafactory in Mexico soon.Disregard the Twitter DramaThere is a great deal of focus on what is happening at Twitter, which is not helping Tesla's stock. The \"Twitter Drama\" continues weighing on the sentiment surrounding Tesla and the company's stock price. Do investors think Elon Musk will forget about Tesla and focus most of his attention on Twitter instead? I don't think so. First, Elon Musk is accustomed to optimizing multiple companies simultaneously. Mr. Musk has experience running SpaceX, Tesla, and other corporations. Also, Musk is looking for the right CEO to take over the helm at the struggling social media giant. Nevertheless, the Twitter drama shouldn't spill over and impact Tesla's long-term operations.Ramping Up RevenuesRevenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com)Tesla's consensus estimated revenue growth is 55% this year and 39% in 2023. Moreover, the company should experience robust double-digit growth for several years, offering a high probability of surpassing current depressed estimate figures. Therefore, we should see 15-25% revenue growth continuing beyond 2025.EPS Growth to ExpandEPS estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )The consensus EPS estimates for 2023 are for $5.64, but the company can earn $6-$7 next year. Therefore, Tesla's current forward P/E ratio is around 19-22. Moreover, Tesla could make close to its higher-end estimates in 2024 and 2025. Thus, the company's EPS could run up to approximately $10 and $14 in the coming years. Provided that Tesla earns around $14 in 2025, its current valuation is less than ten times the 2025 EPS potential.Where Tesla's Stock Could be in A Few Years Year20222023202420252026202720282029Revenue Bs$85$132$185$250$330$429$550$686Revenue growth57%55%40%35%32%30%28%25%EPS$4.50$7$10$14$19$25$32$40EPS growth99%56%43%40%36%32%29%26%Forward P/E19.622232425232220Price$137$220$322$456$625$736$880$950Click to enlargeSource: The Financial ProphetTesla RisksRisks exist for Tesla - The company may miss earnings and revenue estimates. Furthermore, a slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, issues with regulators and foreign governments, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to move higher. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider these and other risks before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989212748,"gmtCreate":1666015125284,"gmtModify":1676537692460,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989212748","repostId":"2276507182","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276507182","pubTimestamp":1666010393,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276507182?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-17 20:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's the FAANG Stock Wall Street Thinks Will Soar the Most Over the Next 12 Months","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276507182","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If this company's big bet pays off, it could generate explosive gains over the long term.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It&#39;s been a rough year for many of the highest-flying stocks of the recent past. The list even includes quite a few of the biggest and most well-known names in the stock market.</p><p>All of the FAANG stocks have dropped significantly so far in 2022. But don&#39;t write them off yet. Analysts expect that four of the five stocks in the group will deliver strong gains in the not-too-distant future. Here&#39;s the FAANG stock that Wall Street thinks will soar the most over the next 12 months.</p><h2>Eliminating the contenders</h2><p>The five FAANG stocks are:</p><ul><li>Facebook, which is now <b>Meta Platforms</b></li><li><b>Amazon</b></li><li><b>Apple</b></li><li><b>Netflix</b> </li><li><b>Alphabet</b></li></ul><p>We can quickly scratch one of these stocks from the list of potentially big winners. The consensus Wall Street 12-month price target for Netflix is only 5% above the current share price.</p><p>Sure, there are plenty of investors who think that the TV streaming stock could be on the verge of a massive spike. However, even with Netflix&#39;s share price down more than 60% year to date, that sentiment apparently isn&#39;t shared uniformly across the analyst community.</p><p>Wall Street does appear to expect a strong performance over the next 12 months for Apple. The average analyst price target reflects an upside potential of nearly 31%. That&#39;s only enough to rank Apple in fourth place among the FAANG stocks for which Wall Street is most bullish, though.</p><p>Analysts continue to like Alphabet and Amazon as well. The consensus 12-month price targets for the two stocks are 45% and 54% above the current share prices, respectively.</p><h2>Crowning the (potential) champion</h2><p>The process of logical elimination allows us to crown Meta Platforms as the champion of Wall Street among the FAANG stocks. The average analyst 12-month price target for Meta reflects an upside potential of nearly 72%.</p><p>What do analysts like about this stock? A couple of things especially stand out.</p><p>First, Meta is currently the most beaten-down of the group this year (although it&#39;s running neck-and-neck with Netflix for the dubious distinction). Shares of the social media giant and metaverse pioneer have plunged more than 60%.</p><p>Second, Meta&#39;s valuation metrics look more attractive overall than the other FAANG stocks. Its shares trade at only 10.7 times expected earnings. This number is well below the forward earnings multiples of the other stocks. Meta&#39;s price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is around 1.5. That&#39;s second only to Alphabet&#39;s PEG ratio of 1.2.</p><h2>Is Wall Street right?</h2><p>We&#39;ll have to wait a while to find out whether or not Wall Street&#39;s optimism about Meta is warranted. The company certainly faces significant challenges.</p><p>Apple&#39;s privacy update for iOS continues to negatively affect Meta&#39;s advertising business. TikTok appears to be winning some teens away from Instagram. Meanwhile, Meta is investing billions of dollars each year in a metaverse bet that may or may not pay off.</p><p>However, some analysts see better days ahead. <b>Oppenheimer</b>&#39;s Jason Helfstein recently pointed out that Apple&#39;s forthcoming update of its ad software could provide a big tailwind for Meta. Apple is adding back some features that it previously took away.</p><p>Another analyst, Ronald Josey with <b>Citigroup</b>, likes the prospects for Reels -- a short-form video feature available on Facebook and Instagram. Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated in the company&#39;s Q2 conference call that user engagement with Reels continues to increase sharply.</p><p>The biggest wild card for Meta is whether or not the metaverse takes off as the company expects it will. There&#39;s some reason for skepticism right now, especially considering that Meta&#39;s own employees don&#39;t seem all that excited about the metaverse.</p><p>But Meta just picked up a major vote of confidence in its metaverse vision from <b>Microsoft</b>. The software giant plans to integrate its workplace apps with Meta&#39;s Quest devices.</p><p>It&#39;s going to take more than 12 months to find out whether Meta&#39;s huge bet on the metaverse was a mistake or a brilliant move. If it&#39;s the latter, this FAANG stock will soar a lot more than what Wall Street is predicting for the near term.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's the FAANG Stock Wall Street Thinks Will Soar the Most Over the Next 12 Months</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's the FAANG Stock Wall Street Thinks Will Soar the Most Over the Next 12 Months\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-17 20:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/17/heres-the-faang-stock-wall-street-thinks-will-soar/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's been a rough year for many of the highest-flying stocks of the recent past. The list even includes quite a few of the biggest and most well-known names in the stock market.All of the FAANG stocks...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/17/heres-the-faang-stock-wall-street-thinks-will-soar/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","NFLX":"奈飞","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0289961442.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (SGD) ACC","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4514":"搜索引擎","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","SGXZ31699556.SGD":"UGDP UNITED GLOBAL QUALITY GROWTH \"C\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU0882574139.USD":"富达环球消费行业基金A ACC","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus","LU0528227936.USD":"富达环球人口趋势基金A-ACC","BK4576":"AR","SG9999018865.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Dist SGD-H","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","AAPL":"苹果","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4525":"远程办公概念","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4577":"网络游戏","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA SGD-H","BK4579":"人工智能","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc USD","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU1046421795.USD":"富达环球科技A-ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1489326972.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AHS-MD SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/17/heres-the-faang-stock-wall-street-thinks-will-soar/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276507182","content_text":"It's been a rough year for many of the highest-flying stocks of the recent past. The list even includes quite a few of the biggest and most well-known names in the stock market.All of the FAANG stocks have dropped significantly so far in 2022. But don't write them off yet. Analysts expect that four of the five stocks in the group will deliver strong gains in the not-too-distant future. Here's the FAANG stock that Wall Street thinks will soar the most over the next 12 months.Eliminating the contendersThe five FAANG stocks are:Facebook, which is now Meta PlatformsAmazonAppleNetflix AlphabetWe can quickly scratch one of these stocks from the list of potentially big winners. The consensus Wall Street 12-month price target for Netflix is only 5% above the current share price.Sure, there are plenty of investors who think that the TV streaming stock could be on the verge of a massive spike. However, even with Netflix's share price down more than 60% year to date, that sentiment apparently isn't shared uniformly across the analyst community.Wall Street does appear to expect a strong performance over the next 12 months for Apple. The average analyst price target reflects an upside potential of nearly 31%. That's only enough to rank Apple in fourth place among the FAANG stocks for which Wall Street is most bullish, though.Analysts continue to like Alphabet and Amazon as well. The consensus 12-month price targets for the two stocks are 45% and 54% above the current share prices, respectively.Crowning the (potential) championThe process of logical elimination allows us to crown Meta Platforms as the champion of Wall Street among the FAANG stocks. The average analyst 12-month price target for Meta reflects an upside potential of nearly 72%.What do analysts like about this stock? A couple of things especially stand out.First, Meta is currently the most beaten-down of the group this year (although it's running neck-and-neck with Netflix for the dubious distinction). Shares of the social media giant and metaverse pioneer have plunged more than 60%.Second, Meta's valuation metrics look more attractive overall than the other FAANG stocks. Its shares trade at only 10.7 times expected earnings. This number is well below the forward earnings multiples of the other stocks. Meta's price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is around 1.5. That's second only to Alphabet's PEG ratio of 1.2.Is Wall Street right?We'll have to wait a while to find out whether or not Wall Street's optimism about Meta is warranted. The company certainly faces significant challenges.Apple's privacy update for iOS continues to negatively affect Meta's advertising business. TikTok appears to be winning some teens away from Instagram. Meanwhile, Meta is investing billions of dollars each year in a metaverse bet that may or may not pay off.However, some analysts see better days ahead. Oppenheimer's Jason Helfstein recently pointed out that Apple's forthcoming update of its ad software could provide a big tailwind for Meta. Apple is adding back some features that it previously took away.Another analyst, Ronald Josey with Citigroup, likes the prospects for Reels -- a short-form video feature available on Facebook and Instagram. Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated in the company's Q2 conference call that user engagement with Reels continues to increase sharply.The biggest wild card for Meta is whether or not the metaverse takes off as the company expects it will. There's some reason for skepticism right now, especially considering that Meta's own employees don't seem all that excited about the metaverse.But Meta just picked up a major vote of confidence in its metaverse vision from Microsoft. The software giant plans to integrate its workplace apps with Meta's Quest devices.It's going to take more than 12 months to find out whether Meta's huge bet on the metaverse was a mistake or a brilliant move. If it's the latter, this FAANG stock will soar a lot more than what Wall Street is predicting for the near term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917871679,"gmtCreate":1665489243692,"gmtModify":1676537615079,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917871679","repostId":"1126298657","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126298657","pubTimestamp":1665501481,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126298657?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-11 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126298657","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, despit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.</li><li>Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, despite the fact that the stock suffered one of its heaviest losses in recent years.</li><li>We judge that the automotive component of Tesla&#39;s business should be able to outperform broad benchmarks, allowing the stock to achieve double-digit annual returns.</li><li>Tesla is expanding across most major emerging industries, presumably including energy, transportation, computing, manufacturing, robotics and more.</li></ul><p>Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) introduced its highly anticipated Optimus/ Bumble C robot this week atAI Day. There were also a slew of news announcements from Tesla and others that had very positive implications for the future. Nevertheless, Tesla shares this week seem headed for their longest losing streak since March 2021.</p><p>We think that Tesla&#39;s new humanoid robot, in addition to developments in their real world AI, computing and other Tesla products currently represent a very attractive buying opportunity for long-term holders of the stock, and we expect it to outperform broad benchmarks even in times of macroeconomic distress.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194dff43d71f26606d51256c830a4945\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Bumble C</p><p>As Tesla&#39;s Humanoid Robot is still under development, they were able to show their prototype &#34;Bumble C,&#34; which is to become a low-cost and mass-producible Optimus robot.</p><p>The initial release and demonstration of the product was followed by a variety ofreactions from expertsin the robotics industry and the investment community. Interestingly, Tesla received high praise from experts from the robotics industry, while there were many skeptics from the investment community.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d0c0a5d8694dfa2f56d1cf75ee8831\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>We want to highlight the key differences between what makes Tesla&#39;s bot so different from competitors such as Boston Dynamics, Honda and others:</p><ul><li>Optimus is intended for mass production (i.e., thousands or millions of units).</li><li>Project progress was made in just 6 to 8 months, compared with decades at competitors.</li><li>The robot is expected to be affordable, costing only US$20K to manufacture, or &#34;significantly less expensive than an EV.&#34;</li><li>Tesla has a formidable AI advantage in the real world thanks to data collection efforts such as their FSD beta.</li><li>It is built for efficiency, and optimized for defined tasks rather than optimized for aesthetics.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48961fc406e0289960175b055105f015\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>Critics who compared the Optimus prototype to Boston Dynamics, for example, should note that Boston Dynamics has been aroundfor 30 years, and their humanoid robot Atlas has been in development for nearly 10 years, rather than 6 to 8 months. Boston Dynamics has also shown no intention of mass-producing their Atlas Robot, or at what price. However, their smaller robot dog, Spot, is currently available at a price ofabout US$75,000. At a price of US$20,000, not only small businesses but also households should be able to afford an Optimus robot.</p><p>The same goes for other concepts, such asHonda&#39;s Asimorobot, a humanoid robot that has been in development since the 1980s and was officially created in the year 2000. Although initially intended for mass development, Honda stopped producing Asimo robots to &#34;focus on more practical applications.&#34; None were actually sold, but Hondagave a pseudo quote of as much as $2.5 million per robot.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s robot may not have the same dexterity and human-like character because it is not primarily intended to perform tasks such as parkour or dancing. We also believe that Tesla, thanks to its real-world data collection, for example with FSD Beta, and its fleet ofmore than 3 million cars, has a head start on developing a functional AI-driven humanoid robot.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5780d19805b143394d1cccb72a98ac6d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>It is also important to note that this event was not aimed at investors, as thesole purpose was to recruit the best possible talent for Tesla and their Optimus project. We believe that recruiting the most talented engineers and employees at Tesla is a huge advantage for innovation within the company and to stay ahead of the competition.</p><p>For example, a recent survey of 49,197 American studentsby Universum, which specializes in employer branding, found that Tesla and SpaceX were named as their ideal employers. The combination of the ability to attract the best team of engineers, expertise in scaling and mass production, combined with a strong lead in data collection and years of expertise in real-world AI development, leads us to consider that Tesla is poised to become the leading company in humanoid robotics.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fbe300b4c6989fade2f3522cfee49eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>The Cost Savings</p><p>One of the main reasons Tesla is likely to make robots for a price tag of only US$20K is probably their ability to scale, vertically integrate and simplify concepts by leveraging their advances in automotive technology. Remember, Tesla specializes in &#34;building the machine that builds the machine,&#34; like their Gigafactories.</p><p>For example,in their Q2 report, they showed that the number of robots in their gigafactory body shop could be reduced by 70% compared to their first Model 3 body shop through large castings and parts consolidation. They are still on a quest for simplification with each new product and factory. Another example could be Tesla, which reportedlyremoved the ultrasonic sensorson Model 3 and Model Y vehicles because they are more confident in their AI and full self-driving capabilities.</p><p>Vertical integration in innovation is always an important concept because the unit price of certain components can drop significantly as a result ofWright&#39;s Law. For example, according to Wright&#39;s law, the cost of batteries drops 28% for every cumulative doubling of the number of units produced. That concept could be accelerated, as some of the robots&#39; components have similarities to what is used in EVs, and could be vertically integrated. The Optimus robots could also be used in Tesla&#39;s own production chain, producing more cars and robots.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb9b7b69eca0bcc3d547dcee35162406\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>There is still some debate whether Tesla will sell the robots at a fixed price, lease them, or possibly require an annual subscription for the robot and its software. If the Optimus could be produced for US$20K, it could represent a significant cost savings for employers that completely exceeds the output and productivity of an average worker. Tesla&#39;s FSD Beta software alone currently costs US$15K, and sells very well.</p><p>Compared to the average US work week, which is about 38.7 hours, Optimus can stay connected 24/7 when working in a factory, bringing the total work week to 168 hours. That&#39;s a 4x increase in output. Let&#39;s say the robot can replace 4 full-time factory or warehouse workers performing boring and repetitive tasks, employers could save up to$29,250 per employeeper year.</p><p>That makes $117,000 per robot per year, since its output is more than 4 times that of an employee. If the average lifetime of a robot is 8 years, this means a value of $936,000 per robot over its lifetime. This does not include the cost of employing workers, elimination of personnel costs, worker training and productivity loss due to illness or injury. Each year, approximately 2.3 million people worldwide suffer a work-related injury.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7e5dc767ae2f36f0f5ba809cf7b9637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>With a value of US$936,000 and a COGS of US$20,000 in mass production, each unit produced could generate US$916,000 in value. Suppose Tesla takes a 30% gross margin on the value of this robot, just as they dowith their cars, that leaves another US$274,800 in gross profit per unit produced, or US$274.8BN per million units produced.</p><p>The big difference in why Tesla could succeed in building a truly intelligent robot capable of performing realistic tasks lies in itsdata advantageand its unique ability to collect data in real time. Even as we speak, thousands of cars worldwide on FSD Beta are collecting data to train Tesla&#39;s AI. It has been collecting such data since 2014, has a dataset of 4.8 million clips and has trained 75,778 models.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ee780b98aa96a00300a696e280cf786\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>Tesla also showed that it is serious about AI, by giving us a big update on their Dojo supercomputer they are building, and what plans they have for it. Tesla currently still uses a lot of Nvidia (NVDA) GPUs, but plans to increase its own capabilities for training its neural net.</p><p>It should also significantly reduce costs, and help Tesla maintain a data advantage. As Tesla&#39;s fleet grows exponentially with increased production and therollout of FSD betato more users, the amount of data Tesla and FSD beta collect in real-world applications also scales exponentially. Currently, Tesla has already driven over 35 million miles with its FSD beta cumulatively. Currently, they appear to be adding 10 million miles per quarter and expanding exponentially.</p><p>Tesla currently claims that it can replace 6 GPU boxes with just 1Dojo tile, which they also claim costs less than 1 GPU box itself, further significantly improving their cost efficiency and form factor in building out their AI systems.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f969773a012764dc54e04de9cedeaa0e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla AI Day</p><p>The Automotive Side</p><p>Tesla has ventured into many areas, including batteries, solar, AI, self-driving, computers, robotics and more. While all of these ventures are promising and show great potential, we believe Tesla&#39;s auto side itself can generate better returns than broad benchmarks such as the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p>In the transition to EVs, we believe that with Wright&#39;s Law in place,EVs will be on parin price with ICE vehicles by next year 2024, and it will be a no-brainer to buy an EV. Especially as US oil prices remain high.OPEC+, for example, announced this week a production cut of 2 million barrels per day. Not only will it become cheaper to buy an EV, including tax breaks, but it will also likely cost less to maintain and refuel, increasing the adoption rate exponentially.</p><p>In 2021, the EV adoption rate was 6.6%, and we believe that by 2030 about 60% of car sales will be EVs, as EVs continue to fall below the same price as ICE vehicles as explained in our previous model. Under our assumptions, Tesla&#39;s market share in EVs will remain stagnant at 20% as competition enters the market. If both criteria are met, Tesla is expected to sell 10.8 million vehicles per year by 2030.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98543a4dc086e1db225ea538cc5c71f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla IR</p><p>This is also in line withElon Musk&#39;s expectationto have a fleet of more than 100 million cars in 10 years. Tesla has set a goal of producing more than double our estimate of 20 million units by 2030. However, we believe Tesla&#39;s average selling price will drop from US$50,450 in 2021 to US$42,000 in 2030 as a result of a new smaller sedan, with a target price closer to US$25,000-US$35,0000, in addition to a price cut to keep up with competitive pressures.</p><p>For a more in-depth explanation of our parameters for our valuation, please read our previous valuation modelpublished here on Seeking Alpha. We expect Tesla to generate approximately US$172.37BN in gross automotive revenue by 2030, with a gross margin of up to 38%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fa7a1659836da3ee6ab572806224152\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"131\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Calculations</p><p>OpEx is also likely to improve significantly over time, as Elon Musk himself alluded that &#34;OpEx. is embarrassingly high.&#34; Tesla&#39;s adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.6% in 2021, which we predict could reach 32% over the next 8 years. These improvements include cost reductions, historical margin improvement, expansion of software-based revenues and low fixed costs.</p><p>This would lead us to a final adjusted EBITDA of US$145.15 billion for the automotive section. If 5% annualshare dilutionis also taken into account, that would lead to adjusted EBITDA of US$31.42 per share by 2030. At a reasonable multiple of 16x, we expect Tesla&#39;s auto section to propel Tesla to $502.67 per share, or a CAGR of 10.7% that exceeds the historical average return of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd7f2dced45f19caff10798400d7a8bf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla IR</p><p>We used the mean of theS&amp;P 500 multiplier, but Tesla could be trading higher at that point because it could also be valued as a software company trading atmuch higher multiples. Also note that the S&amp;P 500 is more likely to trade below its historical average return because economic growth is currently stalling.</p><p>Developments, Macroeconomics &amp; Risks</p><p>While many critics expect Tesla to have a demand-side problem, we believe the opposite is true. Tesla historically and still has a huge order backlog, and has recently had toraise pricesagain to ensure that the customer experience does not suffer from immense wait times.</p><p>According toTeslike, which tracks Tesla data, the company still has a backlog of 317,000 vehicles despite price increases. This continuous backlog of orders could also serve as a great buffer if we are heading for anearnings recessionby the end of this year, as we and many economists expect.</p><p>In contrast, looking at economic indicators, we see an environment of rising yields, which are expected to rise to 4.5-4.75% by next year, making it more expensive for Tesla to expand operations, raise additional capital to build new Gigafactories and ramp up production as previously planned in a 0 interest rate environment, they face macroeconomic headwinds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0104878c08973b5c44e0881be20c144d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>On the other hand, OPEC+ announced this week its intention to cut production by2 million barrels per day as the group seeks to keep crude above $90 per barrel. This would also boost demand and accelerate the use of EVs as they reach the same price as ICE vehicles. Another big risk for Tesla is the production, or scaling up of its batteries,specifically 4680s in the future.</p><p>Tesla also announced this week itsdeliveries for Q22022: 365,923 vehicles were produced and 343,830 delivered, which was less than the deliveries expected by Wall Street. While some investors thought it was due to a &#34;demand-side problem,&#34; Tesla mentioned that it was actually due to the fact that it is &#34;increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity, and at a reasonable cost during peak logistics weeks.&#34; We think Tesla made the right decision, saving capital for investors rather than placing hasty orders toward the end of the quarter to meet Wall Street&#39;s expectations.</p><p>Tesla also recently received aninvestment graderating for its bonds for the first time, meaning they are rated BBB by S&amp;P global and are no longer &#34;junk bonds.&#34; Even more good news came this week, as Elon Musk also hinted that Tesla will start production onDecember 1stand deliver its first Semitruck to customer Pepsi. This means that Tesla could be sending us a positive signal about its 4680s battery production and is ready to disrupt a new segment of the auto industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7faae7db7817551fd0be2c8bcc40fe0c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"378\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla IR</p><p>The Bottom Line</p><p>Optimus could give Tesla a huge boost in cash flow, if it manages to solve and integrate true AI into its Optimus robot and can mass produce it at very low cost. According to our assumptions, Tesla looks like an attractive investment, as the company is expected to outperform historical average benchmarks such as the S&amp;P 500 with its automotive operations alone.</p><p>Other complementary activities that generate cash flow, such as solar, batteries, Optimus, AI, computer applications and others, have great potential and could push the company&#39;s valuation beyond the $502.67 per share target, giving investors additional alpha if the projects succeed and are widely implemented. We believe Tesla&#39;s expertise in &#34;building the machines that make the machines&#34; puts them in pole position to dominate the innovative sectors in which Tesla operates.</p><p>In essence, we fully support Elon Musk&#39;s view at AI Day that Tesla is essentially a succession of tech start-ups trying to solve some of the most difficult problems. All the recent positive news, amid one of Tesla&#39;s biggest one-week declines, makes Tesla stock all the more attractive to buy at this time, in our opinion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Is A Bargain With Optimus And Recent Events\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-11 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545812-tesla-stock-bargain-with-optimus-and-recent-events><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545812-tesla-stock-bargain-with-optimus-and-recent-events\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545812-tesla-stock-bargain-with-optimus-and-recent-events","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126298657","content_text":"SummaryTesla has significantly improved its Optimus robot in a very short time, and could generate huge cash flow in these cases.Many positive catalysts have materialized around Tesla recently, despite the fact that the stock suffered one of its heaviest losses in recent years.We judge that the automotive component of Tesla's business should be able to outperform broad benchmarks, allowing the stock to achieve double-digit annual returns.Tesla is expanding across most major emerging industries, presumably including energy, transportation, computing, manufacturing, robotics and more.Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) introduced its highly anticipated Optimus/ Bumble C robot this week atAI Day. There were also a slew of news announcements from Tesla and others that had very positive implications for the future. Nevertheless, Tesla shares this week seem headed for their longest losing streak since March 2021.We think that Tesla's new humanoid robot, in addition to developments in their real world AI, computing and other Tesla products currently represent a very attractive buying opportunity for long-term holders of the stock, and we expect it to outperform broad benchmarks even in times of macroeconomic distress.Bumble CAs Tesla's Humanoid Robot is still under development, they were able to show their prototype \"Bumble C,\" which is to become a low-cost and mass-producible Optimus robot.The initial release and demonstration of the product was followed by a variety ofreactions from expertsin the robotics industry and the investment community. Interestingly, Tesla received high praise from experts from the robotics industry, while there were many skeptics from the investment community.Tesla AI DayWe want to highlight the key differences between what makes Tesla's bot so different from competitors such as Boston Dynamics, Honda and others:Optimus is intended for mass production (i.e., thousands or millions of units).Project progress was made in just 6 to 8 months, compared with decades at competitors.The robot is expected to be affordable, costing only US$20K to manufacture, or \"significantly less expensive than an EV.\"Tesla has a formidable AI advantage in the real world thanks to data collection efforts such as their FSD beta.It is built for efficiency, and optimized for defined tasks rather than optimized for aesthetics.Tesla AI DayCritics who compared the Optimus prototype to Boston Dynamics, for example, should note that Boston Dynamics has been aroundfor 30 years, and their humanoid robot Atlas has been in development for nearly 10 years, rather than 6 to 8 months. Boston Dynamics has also shown no intention of mass-producing their Atlas Robot, or at what price. However, their smaller robot dog, Spot, is currently available at a price ofabout US$75,000. At a price of US$20,000, not only small businesses but also households should be able to afford an Optimus robot.The same goes for other concepts, such asHonda's Asimorobot, a humanoid robot that has been in development since the 1980s and was officially created in the year 2000. Although initially intended for mass development, Honda stopped producing Asimo robots to \"focus on more practical applications.\" None were actually sold, but Hondagave a pseudo quote of as much as $2.5 million per robot.Tesla's robot may not have the same dexterity and human-like character because it is not primarily intended to perform tasks such as parkour or dancing. We also believe that Tesla, thanks to its real-world data collection, for example with FSD Beta, and its fleet ofmore than 3 million cars, has a head start on developing a functional AI-driven humanoid robot.Tesla AI DayIt is also important to note that this event was not aimed at investors, as thesole purpose was to recruit the best possible talent for Tesla and their Optimus project. We believe that recruiting the most talented engineers and employees at Tesla is a huge advantage for innovation within the company and to stay ahead of the competition.For example, a recent survey of 49,197 American studentsby Universum, which specializes in employer branding, found that Tesla and SpaceX were named as their ideal employers. The combination of the ability to attract the best team of engineers, expertise in scaling and mass production, combined with a strong lead in data collection and years of expertise in real-world AI development, leads us to consider that Tesla is poised to become the leading company in humanoid robotics.Tesla AI DayThe Cost SavingsOne of the main reasons Tesla is likely to make robots for a price tag of only US$20K is probably their ability to scale, vertically integrate and simplify concepts by leveraging their advances in automotive technology. Remember, Tesla specializes in \"building the machine that builds the machine,\" like their Gigafactories.For example,in their Q2 report, they showed that the number of robots in their gigafactory body shop could be reduced by 70% compared to their first Model 3 body shop through large castings and parts consolidation. They are still on a quest for simplification with each new product and factory. Another example could be Tesla, which reportedlyremoved the ultrasonic sensorson Model 3 and Model Y vehicles because they are more confident in their AI and full self-driving capabilities.Vertical integration in innovation is always an important concept because the unit price of certain components can drop significantly as a result ofWright's Law. For example, according to Wright's law, the cost of batteries drops 28% for every cumulative doubling of the number of units produced. That concept could be accelerated, as some of the robots' components have similarities to what is used in EVs, and could be vertically integrated. The Optimus robots could also be used in Tesla's own production chain, producing more cars and robots.Tesla AI DayThere is still some debate whether Tesla will sell the robots at a fixed price, lease them, or possibly require an annual subscription for the robot and its software. If the Optimus could be produced for US$20K, it could represent a significant cost savings for employers that completely exceeds the output and productivity of an average worker. Tesla's FSD Beta software alone currently costs US$15K, and sells very well.Compared to the average US work week, which is about 38.7 hours, Optimus can stay connected 24/7 when working in a factory, bringing the total work week to 168 hours. That's a 4x increase in output. Let's say the robot can replace 4 full-time factory or warehouse workers performing boring and repetitive tasks, employers could save up to$29,250 per employeeper year.That makes $117,000 per robot per year, since its output is more than 4 times that of an employee. If the average lifetime of a robot is 8 years, this means a value of $936,000 per robot over its lifetime. This does not include the cost of employing workers, elimination of personnel costs, worker training and productivity loss due to illness or injury. Each year, approximately 2.3 million people worldwide suffer a work-related injury.Tesla AI DayWith a value of US$936,000 and a COGS of US$20,000 in mass production, each unit produced could generate US$916,000 in value. Suppose Tesla takes a 30% gross margin on the value of this robot, just as they dowith their cars, that leaves another US$274,800 in gross profit per unit produced, or US$274.8BN per million units produced.The big difference in why Tesla could succeed in building a truly intelligent robot capable of performing realistic tasks lies in itsdata advantageand its unique ability to collect data in real time. Even as we speak, thousands of cars worldwide on FSD Beta are collecting data to train Tesla's AI. It has been collecting such data since 2014, has a dataset of 4.8 million clips and has trained 75,778 models.Tesla AI DayTesla also showed that it is serious about AI, by giving us a big update on their Dojo supercomputer they are building, and what plans they have for it. Tesla currently still uses a lot of Nvidia (NVDA) GPUs, but plans to increase its own capabilities for training its neural net.It should also significantly reduce costs, and help Tesla maintain a data advantage. As Tesla's fleet grows exponentially with increased production and therollout of FSD betato more users, the amount of data Tesla and FSD beta collect in real-world applications also scales exponentially. Currently, Tesla has already driven over 35 million miles with its FSD beta cumulatively. Currently, they appear to be adding 10 million miles per quarter and expanding exponentially.Tesla currently claims that it can replace 6 GPU boxes with just 1Dojo tile, which they also claim costs less than 1 GPU box itself, further significantly improving their cost efficiency and form factor in building out their AI systems.Tesla AI DayThe Automotive SideTesla has ventured into many areas, including batteries, solar, AI, self-driving, computers, robotics and more. While all of these ventures are promising and show great potential, we believe Tesla's auto side itself can generate better returns than broad benchmarks such as the S&P 500 (SPY).In the transition to EVs, we believe that with Wright's Law in place,EVs will be on parin price with ICE vehicles by next year 2024, and it will be a no-brainer to buy an EV. Especially as US oil prices remain high.OPEC+, for example, announced this week a production cut of 2 million barrels per day. Not only will it become cheaper to buy an EV, including tax breaks, but it will also likely cost less to maintain and refuel, increasing the adoption rate exponentially.In 2021, the EV adoption rate was 6.6%, and we believe that by 2030 about 60% of car sales will be EVs, as EVs continue to fall below the same price as ICE vehicles as explained in our previous model. Under our assumptions, Tesla's market share in EVs will remain stagnant at 20% as competition enters the market. If both criteria are met, Tesla is expected to sell 10.8 million vehicles per year by 2030.Tesla IRThis is also in line withElon Musk's expectationto have a fleet of more than 100 million cars in 10 years. Tesla has set a goal of producing more than double our estimate of 20 million units by 2030. However, we believe Tesla's average selling price will drop from US$50,450 in 2021 to US$42,000 in 2030 as a result of a new smaller sedan, with a target price closer to US$25,000-US$35,0000, in addition to a price cut to keep up with competitive pressures.For a more in-depth explanation of our parameters for our valuation, please read our previous valuation modelpublished here on Seeking Alpha. We expect Tesla to generate approximately US$172.37BN in gross automotive revenue by 2030, with a gross margin of up to 38%.Author's CalculationsOpEx is also likely to improve significantly over time, as Elon Musk himself alluded that \"OpEx. is embarrassingly high.\" Tesla's adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.6% in 2021, which we predict could reach 32% over the next 8 years. These improvements include cost reductions, historical margin improvement, expansion of software-based revenues and low fixed costs.This would lead us to a final adjusted EBITDA of US$145.15 billion for the automotive section. If 5% annualshare dilutionis also taken into account, that would lead to adjusted EBITDA of US$31.42 per share by 2030. At a reasonable multiple of 16x, we expect Tesla's auto section to propel Tesla to $502.67 per share, or a CAGR of 10.7% that exceeds the historical average return of the S&P 500.Tesla IRWe used the mean of theS&P 500 multiplier, but Tesla could be trading higher at that point because it could also be valued as a software company trading atmuch higher multiples. Also note that the S&P 500 is more likely to trade below its historical average return because economic growth is currently stalling.Developments, Macroeconomics & RisksWhile many critics expect Tesla to have a demand-side problem, we believe the opposite is true. Tesla historically and still has a huge order backlog, and has recently had toraise pricesagain to ensure that the customer experience does not suffer from immense wait times.According toTeslike, which tracks Tesla data, the company still has a backlog of 317,000 vehicles despite price increases. This continuous backlog of orders could also serve as a great buffer if we are heading for anearnings recessionby the end of this year, as we and many economists expect.In contrast, looking at economic indicators, we see an environment of rising yields, which are expected to rise to 4.5-4.75% by next year, making it more expensive for Tesla to expand operations, raise additional capital to build new Gigafactories and ramp up production as previously planned in a 0 interest rate environment, they face macroeconomic headwinds.Data by YChartsOn the other hand, OPEC+ announced this week its intention to cut production by2 million barrels per day as the group seeks to keep crude above $90 per barrel. This would also boost demand and accelerate the use of EVs as they reach the same price as ICE vehicles. Another big risk for Tesla is the production, or scaling up of its batteries,specifically 4680s in the future.Tesla also announced this week itsdeliveries for Q22022: 365,923 vehicles were produced and 343,830 delivered, which was less than the deliveries expected by Wall Street. While some investors thought it was due to a \"demand-side problem,\" Tesla mentioned that it was actually due to the fact that it is \"increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity, and at a reasonable cost during peak logistics weeks.\" We think Tesla made the right decision, saving capital for investors rather than placing hasty orders toward the end of the quarter to meet Wall Street's expectations.Tesla also recently received aninvestment graderating for its bonds for the first time, meaning they are rated BBB by S&P global and are no longer \"junk bonds.\" Even more good news came this week, as Elon Musk also hinted that Tesla will start production onDecember 1stand deliver its first Semitruck to customer Pepsi. This means that Tesla could be sending us a positive signal about its 4680s battery production and is ready to disrupt a new segment of the auto industry.Tesla IRThe Bottom LineOptimus could give Tesla a huge boost in cash flow, if it manages to solve and integrate true AI into its Optimus robot and can mass produce it at very low cost. According to our assumptions, Tesla looks like an attractive investment, as the company is expected to outperform historical average benchmarks such as the S&P 500 with its automotive operations alone.Other complementary activities that generate cash flow, such as solar, batteries, Optimus, AI, computer applications and others, have great potential and could push the company's valuation beyond the $502.67 per share target, giving investors additional alpha if the projects succeed and are widely implemented. We believe Tesla's expertise in \"building the machines that make the machines\" puts them in pole position to dominate the innovative sectors in which Tesla operates.In essence, we fully support Elon Musk's view at AI Day that Tesla is essentially a succession of tech start-ups trying to solve some of the most difficult problems. All the recent positive news, amid one of Tesla's biggest one-week declines, makes Tesla stock all the more attractive to buy at this time, in our opinion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963678999,"gmtCreate":1668677115412,"gmtModify":1676538095618,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963678999","repostId":"1159349040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159349040","pubTimestamp":1668666631,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159349040?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-17 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited Q3 Earnings: Game Changing Quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159349040","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySea Limited comes clean and states a clear goal to reach profitability.Founder and CEO Forres","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Sea Limited comes clean and states a clear goal to reach profitability.</li><li>Founder and CEO Forrest Li states the Shopee will reach EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2023.</li><li>Sea&#39;s management team won&#39;t get any cash compensation until the business reaches breakeven.</li></ul><h3>Investment Thesis</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Limited</a> is a Southeast Asia consumer business, made up of its highly profitable gaming business, plus its growing e-commerce business.</p><p>Going into Q3 results there was an 8% short against the stock. Not too high, by any stretch, but it could be said that the short position become crowded as the shorts overstayed their position.</p><p>And it made sense, the unprofitable winners from 2020-2021 have nearly all been grounded. And with many of those names going into earnings many stocks were getting hit by a further 15% to 20% on the downside.</p><p>However, Sea Limited came out with a concrete plan that flummoxed the short argument. Sea Limited has a path to profitability by the end of 2023.</p><p>This is a game-changer moment.</p><h3>What&#39;s Happening Right Now?</h3><p>Investors are mostly focused on one thing only. The Fed slowing down its rate hike. Investors believe that if rate increases start to slow down, somehow, companies that are not profitable will be able to see their multiples stop compressing.</p><p>So, herein lies the question that I&#39;m attempting to grapple with, what&#39;s a business that can&#39;t produce GAAP earnings worth? Put another way, is SBC a real cost? Or is the market willing to look to SBC as a necessary evil?</p><p>ARK Innovation ETF price</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc712659da5501f883124ba95f9a2111\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In the past week, the ARK ETF (ARKK) is up more than 14%. It&#39;s made more than 1-years normalized return in a week. What the market is saying is that unprofitable businesses have been hit too much, and are worth more than they presently trade for.</p><p>With all this in mind, let&#39;s turn our focus to Sea Limited.</p><h3>Sea Limited&#39;s Q3 Revenue Growth Rates Impress</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9a118d79c4b64cc42ee912e191b2696\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Against a very tough comparison with last year, Sea was still able to deliver some growth. What immediately becomes apparent is that if SE can deliver some growth against Q3 of last year, the next few quarters become progressively easier to compare against.</p><p>Consequently, it could be argued that the worst is over.</p><p>Within Sea&#39;s business, what was once its crown jewel, its highly profitable gaming business, Digital Entertainment, reported a second consecutive quarter of negative y/y revenue growth rate. More specifically, Digital Entertainment saw revenues fall by 19% y/y.</p><p>Now, let&#39;s discuss what really got bulls excited.</p><h3>All Eyes on a Path to Profitability</h3><p>This is what Sea&#39;s founder and CEO Forrest Li said on the call,</p><blockquote>I announced in mid-September that the management team will stop receiving cash compensation until we achieve self-sufficiency.</blockquote><p>This hasn&#39;t stopped stock-based compensation from increasing 59% y/y, growing materially faster than revenue growth rates, which grew 17% y/y, but it does mean that management is directly aligned with shareholders on seeing the path to profitability being achieved.</p><p>Meanwhile, keep in mind that Sea&#39;s balance sheet is in a strong position.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed814fc86e7aca096e6e8d1c381d7ce2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Above we see that Sea holds $7.3 billion of cash. Even if we account for the $3.5 billion of convertibles, Sea&#39;s balance clearly provides it with ample flexibility.</p><p>Nevertheless, Li&#39;s commentary throughout the earnings call was one that reflected financial discipline going forward.</p><p>Furthermore, Li contended that Shoppe, Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce business would reach adjusted breakeven by the end of 2023.</p><h3>SE Stock Valuation - 3x Sales</h3><p>The graph that follows is a reminder of how far Sea&#39;s multiple has come in the past year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e00b1737e9b203dcd2b76ffe1266e85\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Even though the company continues to grow, as is abundantly clear, its multiple has become fully compressed.</p><p>If Sea was able to reach adjusted EBITDA by some point in H2 2022, what we&#39;d have is a self-sufficient company, with multinational e-commerce exposure priced at approximately 3x next year&#39;s revenues.</p><p>This strikes me as a positive risk-reward.</p><h3>The Bottom Line</h3><p>This is the one-line takeaway, Sea Limited has seen its valuation crushed to a pulp. There&#39;s very little hope priced in.</p><p>The expanded takeaway is that Sea Limited is upfront in recognizing how much shareholders have suffered this past year and they are attempting to carve out a path to profitability in the coming twelve months.</p><p>Simply put, I don&#39;t believe that it makes any sense to be short the stock at this point.</p><p>The time to have been short the stock was at any point much earlier in 2022. At this point, with management clearly on board with the &#39;&#39;message&#39;&#39; that they must prioritize profitability, I believe that Sea&#39;s valuation is the best it&#39;s been for a long time.</p><p>Remember, its gaming business was never the problem. It was its e-commerce business that was struggling to be profitable. And this business is now guided to reach profitability within approximately 12 months.</p><p>I believe there&#39;s an attractive investment opportunity here.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited Q3 Earnings: Game Changing Quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited Q3 Earnings: Game Changing Quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-17 14:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558345-sea-limited-q3-earnings-game-changing-quarter><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySea Limited comes clean and states a clear goal to reach profitability.Founder and CEO Forrest Li states the Shopee will reach EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2023.Sea's management team won't ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558345-sea-limited-q3-earnings-game-changing-quarter\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558345-sea-limited-q3-earnings-game-changing-quarter","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159349040","content_text":"SummarySea Limited comes clean and states a clear goal to reach profitability.Founder and CEO Forrest Li states the Shopee will reach EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2023.Sea's management team won't get any cash compensation until the business reaches breakeven.Investment ThesisSea Limited is a Southeast Asia consumer business, made up of its highly profitable gaming business, plus its growing e-commerce business.Going into Q3 results there was an 8% short against the stock. Not too high, by any stretch, but it could be said that the short position become crowded as the shorts overstayed their position.And it made sense, the unprofitable winners from 2020-2021 have nearly all been grounded. And with many of those names going into earnings many stocks were getting hit by a further 15% to 20% on the downside.However, Sea Limited came out with a concrete plan that flummoxed the short argument. Sea Limited has a path to profitability by the end of 2023.This is a game-changer moment.What's Happening Right Now?Investors are mostly focused on one thing only. The Fed slowing down its rate hike. Investors believe that if rate increases start to slow down, somehow, companies that are not profitable will be able to see their multiples stop compressing.So, herein lies the question that I'm attempting to grapple with, what's a business that can't produce GAAP earnings worth? Put another way, is SBC a real cost? Or is the market willing to look to SBC as a necessary evil?ARK Innovation ETF priceIn the past week, the ARK ETF (ARKK) is up more than 14%. It's made more than 1-years normalized return in a week. What the market is saying is that unprofitable businesses have been hit too much, and are worth more than they presently trade for.With all this in mind, let's turn our focus to Sea Limited.Sea Limited's Q3 Revenue Growth Rates ImpressAgainst a very tough comparison with last year, Sea was still able to deliver some growth. What immediately becomes apparent is that if SE can deliver some growth against Q3 of last year, the next few quarters become progressively easier to compare against.Consequently, it could be argued that the worst is over.Within Sea's business, what was once its crown jewel, its highly profitable gaming business, Digital Entertainment, reported a second consecutive quarter of negative y/y revenue growth rate. More specifically, Digital Entertainment saw revenues fall by 19% y/y.Now, let's discuss what really got bulls excited.All Eyes on a Path to ProfitabilityThis is what Sea's founder and CEO Forrest Li said on the call,I announced in mid-September that the management team will stop receiving cash compensation until we achieve self-sufficiency.This hasn't stopped stock-based compensation from increasing 59% y/y, growing materially faster than revenue growth rates, which grew 17% y/y, but it does mean that management is directly aligned with shareholders on seeing the path to profitability being achieved.Meanwhile, keep in mind that Sea's balance sheet is in a strong position.Above we see that Sea holds $7.3 billion of cash. Even if we account for the $3.5 billion of convertibles, Sea's balance clearly provides it with ample flexibility.Nevertheless, Li's commentary throughout the earnings call was one that reflected financial discipline going forward.Furthermore, Li contended that Shoppe, Sea Limited's e-commerce business would reach adjusted breakeven by the end of 2023.SE Stock Valuation - 3x SalesThe graph that follows is a reminder of how far Sea's multiple has come in the past year.Even though the company continues to grow, as is abundantly clear, its multiple has become fully compressed.If Sea was able to reach adjusted EBITDA by some point in H2 2022, what we'd have is a self-sufficient company, with multinational e-commerce exposure priced at approximately 3x next year's revenues.This strikes me as a positive risk-reward.The Bottom LineThis is the one-line takeaway, Sea Limited has seen its valuation crushed to a pulp. There's very little hope priced in.The expanded takeaway is that Sea Limited is upfront in recognizing how much shareholders have suffered this past year and they are attempting to carve out a path to profitability in the coming twelve months.Simply put, I don't believe that it makes any sense to be short the stock at this point.The time to have been short the stock was at any point much earlier in 2022. At this point, with management clearly on board with the ''message'' that they must prioritize profitability, I believe that Sea's valuation is the best it's been for a long time.Remember, its gaming business was never the problem. It was its e-commerce business that was struggling to be profitable. And this business is now guided to reach profitability within approximately 12 months.I believe there's an attractive investment opportunity here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907919216,"gmtCreate":1660124839337,"gmtModify":1703478163905,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good write up","listText":"Good write up","text":"Good write up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907919216","repostId":"1157330995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157330995","pubTimestamp":1660145407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157330995?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-10 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157330995","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Recently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.</li><li>The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle &#34;EV&#34; tax credits.</li><li>The act still has to be passed by the House of Representatives to become law.</li><li>If it passes, it will be a huge catalyst for Tesla, which will once again be eligible for Federal tax credits.</li><li>Many Tesla models meet the Act&#39;s strict U.S. sourcing requirements; most competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t.</li></ul><p>This past Sunday, the U.S. Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, a spending bill containing a variety of climate change related measures. Among the most discussed measures in the bill is a change to the electric vehicle (“EV”)tax credit. Under previous rules, a company would lose its eligibility for EV credits after selling its 200,000th car. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) crossed the 200,000 car threshold in 2018, and its tax credits were phased out over three years. By early 2022, Teslas were no longer eligible for the tax credit.</p><p>With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, that has changed. The current version of the act, which will be debated by the House of Representatives this week, removes the 200,000 car limit for credit eligibility. Now, buyers of some Tesla models can enjoy the full $7,500 credit toward the purchase of their vehicles. There are some limits to this – the credit applies to sedans up to $55,000 and SUVs up to $80,000– but many Teslas will be eligible. The EV tax credit notably requires that the vehicle&#39;s battery be40% sourced from the U.S. or allies- Tesla&#39;s Model S meets this standard, most competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4475ae62d8d2254828c81b2e64dc19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla Model 3 meets the standard, most don&#39;t(roadandtrack.com)</p><p>This is great news for a company that some say was built on government subsidies. Many of Elon Musk’s critics allege that Tesla has been taking enormous amounts of government assistance over the years. When we dig into the details, we see that Tesla did benefit from the EV tax credit in its early days. Furthermore, it benefits from similar credits in other countries today. The point about Tesla’s reliance on tax breaks can be overstated, but there’s no doubt that when a consumer gets a tax break for buying an EV, they’re more likely to buy one.</p><p>Given that Tesla has the most brand awareness of all the major EV companies, it benefits from consumers being incentivized to buy EVs. According to a 2018 Energy Policy article, every $1,000 in EV credits leads to a 2.6% increase in EV sales. With Tesla having a large share of the U.S. EV market, it’s likely to gain revenue from the revamped tax credit. This credit could therefore serve as a catalyst improving Tesla’s business performance in the second half. However, as I’ll demonstrate shortly, this catalyst alone doesn’t automatically make the stock a great value.</p><p><b>How the EV Tax Credit Works</b></p><p>To understand how the revamped EV tax credit helps Tesla, we need to know how the credit works. The EV tax credit has been around in some form since 2009, having been announced in 2008’s Energy Improvement and Extension Act. The way credit works has changed since it was first introduced.</p><p>The way the credit originally worked was like this:</p><p>Every electric vehicle got a base credit of $2,500. A person buying any EV would get $2,500 plus an extra $417 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity. For passenger cars, this increase in credits continued up until $7,500 worth of tax credits were earned. Any American who bought an EV would get to claim this credit on their taxes and deduct the appropriate percentage of $7,500 from their income.</p><p>The EV tax credit also had a cap on how many cars a manufacturer could sell and still be eligible for the credit. Once a manufacturer surpassed 200,000 cars sold in the United States, their tax credits would be phased out over three years. Tesla hit the 200,000 car milestone in 2008. Its tax credits were phased out on the schedule shown below:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61a30d4a86130928bc8262cb7df92850\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla&#39;s EV credit phase out(Tesla)</p><p>As the table above shows, all of the credits on Tesla models S, X and 3 were phased out by the end of 2019. This was where things stood for most of the last two years: Teslas weren’t eligible for the credit. Technically, this is still the case, but the Inflation Reduction Act looks quite likely to pass. The Act passed 51-50 in the Senate, and is heading to the House of Representatives for review this week. If it passes, then Teslas will be eligible for the EV tax credit once more. The version of the Act that passed in the Senate puts no cap on how many EVs a manufacturer can sell, so not only will Tesla buyers get the credit again, they’ll continue to get it indefinitely. To top it off: there are Tesla models that meet the act&#39;s strict sourcing requirements, while many competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t make the grade.</p><p><b>Business Implications</b></p><p>Tesla regaining the EV tax credit has important business implications. Academic research suggests that every $1,000 worth of EV tax credits drives a2.6% increase in EV sales. As an example, if we have a country where 100,000 EVs are being sold per year, then adding a $1,000 credit increases sales to 102,600. The higher the dollar value of the credit, the more the sales increase. The research I’m citing doesn’t say whether the effect increases linearly or compounds with the size of the credit. If the effect is linear, then a $7,500 credit would increase the number of vehicles sold by 19,500. If it compounds, then it adds 21,228 extra sales. Either way, we should see a significant boost in sales from a $7,500 tax credit.</p><p>Furthermore, we would expect Tesla to gain from this disproportionately. Many of Tesla’s competitors haven’t shipped 200,000 cars yet, but Tesla has.<b>Lucid</b>(LCID) is aiming for14,000 cumulative deliveries by year’s end, <b>Ford</b>(F) has sold 37,000 or so, <b>Rivian</b>(RIVN) has only delivered a handful of cars to employees. None of these companies are anywhere near the 200,000 deliveries threshold, so they’re getting the credit already. Tesla, on the other hand, passed the threshold in 2018, so it will be eligible for the credit again. Therefore, we’d expect the Inflation Reduction Act to boost Tesla’s sales while leaving its competitors’ sales unchanged.</p><p><b>Tesla’s Valuation</b></p><p>Valuing a company like Tesla is always tough. The company has historically had high growth, which makes estimating its future cash flows difficult. Nevertheless, we can safely assume that, with its tax credits back, Tesla will grow faster than it would have without them. So, we can start by making a projection of Tesla’s revenue and build a discounted cash flow model from there.</p><p>According to Seeking Alpha Quant, Tesla’s five year CAGR revenue growth rate is 46%. The rate in the most recent quarter was 43%. We have indications that the growth rate will slow down. First, the most recent quarterly growth rate is lower than the five year rate. Second, the five year growth rate is only half the 10 year growth rate. It wouldn’t be conservative to assume that TSLA can keep up 43% growth forever. So, I’ll use Valuates Report’s 18.2% CAGR EV industry forecast as my revenue growth estimate. However, to account for the bullish impact of the EV tax credits Tesla is about to get, I’ll add an extra 19.5% on to the first year’s growth. So the first year will see 41.2% growth (1.182 times 1.195), followed by 18.2% growth thereafter. Tesla’s revenue for the trailing 12 month period is $67.1 billion, so we get:</p><ul><li><p>Base year: $67.1B.</p></li><li><p>Year 1: $94.74B.</p></li><li><p>Year 2: $112B.</p></li><li><p>Year 3: $132B.</p></li><li><p>Year 4: $156B.</p></li><li><p>Year 5: $185B.</p></li></ul><p>This gives us an overall CAGR growth rate of 22%. With that established, we can look at costs. Tesla had $48 billion in cost of goods sold (“COGS”) in the last 12 months. COGS scales up directly with revenue so I’ll assume that this portion of costs rises at 22%. Tesla’s operating costs have risen at 20% CAGR over the last five years, so I’ll assume they continue growing at that rate. Tesla’s tax rate in the trailing 12 month period was 10%, but I’ll up that to 15% to account for the new minimum tax included in the Inflation Reduction Act. Finally, I’ll add in non-cash costs at 6% of revenue (the percentage in the trailing 12 month period) to get a model that approximates cash from operations (“CFO”).</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Year 1</p></td><td><p>Year 2</p></td><td><p>Year 3</p></td><td><p>Year 4</p></td><td><p>Year 5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$94.74B</p></td><td><p>$112B</p></td><td><p>$132B</p></td><td><p>$156B</p></td><td><p>$185B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>COGS</p></td><td><p>$69B</p></td><td><p>$81.6B</p></td><td><p>$96.5B</p></td><td><p>$114B</p></td><td><p>$135B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Operating costs</p></td><td><p>$8.76B</p></td><td><p>$10.5B</p></td><td><p>$12.6B</p></td><td><p>$15B</p></td><td><p>$18B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBIT</p></td><td><p>$16.98</p></td><td><p>$19.9B</p></td><td><p>$22.9B</p></td><td><p>$27B</p></td><td><p>$32B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>After tax</p></td><td><p>$14.43B</p></td><td><p>$16.9B</p></td><td><p>$19.46B</p></td><td><p>$22.95B</p></td><td><p>$27.2B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Non-cash costs (added back in)</p></td><td><p>$5.7B</p></td><td><p>$6.72B</p></td><td><p>$7.9B</p></td><td><p>$9.36B</p></td><td><p>$11.1B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>CFO</p></td><td><p>$20.13B</p></td><td><p>$23.62B</p></td><td><p>$27.36B</p></td><td><p>$32.31B</p></td><td><p>$38.3B</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Tesla has 1.155 billion shares outstanding, so these CFO figures on a per share basis add up to:</p><ul><li><p>TTM: $12.18.</p></li><li><p>Year 1: $17.42.</p></li><li><p>Year 2: $20.45</p></li><li><p>Year 3: $23.68.</p></li><li><p>Year 4: $27.97.</p></li><li><p>Year 5: $33.16.</p></li></ul><p>So, we get a 22% growth rate in cash flows per share. Using 8% as the discount rate and assuming a 5% perpetual growth rate after five years, we get a fair value of $879. This is only a 3.4% upside to the price at the time of writing ($850), so I conclude that Tesla is fully valued.</p><p><b>The Big Risk to Watch Out For</b></p><p>As I’ve shown in this article, Tesla’s EV tax credit could create a sales spike in the year ahead that gives the stock slight upside to today’s price. Without the sales spike caused by tax credits, my model would have yielded about $825, suggesting slight overvaluation. This stock is trading very close to conservative estimates of fair value, even when you account for the EV tax credit causing sales to spike. The credit is a catalyst, but not a big one, adding only a very slight amount of upside.</p><p>For this reason, Tesla investors are going to want to be on the lookout for one big risk:</p><p><i>Revenue deceleration.</i></p><p>Most industry forecasts have EVs growing at 18 to 22% for the next five years. If Tesla simply grows at that rate then its stock is not worth what it trades for today. You have to assume at least one more year of 40%+ growth to get an intrinsic value estimate for this stock that exceeds its current value. It’s so expensive already that if it grows at 18% for the next five years–a fantastic growth rate in absolute terms–it’s overvalued. The EV tax credit, or a similar catalyst, is needed for the stock to have just a little upside.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-10 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle \"EV\" tax credits.The act still has to be passed by the House of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157330995","content_text":"SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle \"EV\" tax credits.The act still has to be passed by the House of Representatives to become law.If it passes, it will be a huge catalyst for Tesla, which will once again be eligible for Federal tax credits.Many Tesla models meet the Act's strict U.S. sourcing requirements; most competitors' offerings don't.This past Sunday, the U.S. Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, a spending bill containing a variety of climate change related measures. Among the most discussed measures in the bill is a change to the electric vehicle (“EV”)tax credit. Under previous rules, a company would lose its eligibility for EV credits after selling its 200,000th car. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) crossed the 200,000 car threshold in 2018, and its tax credits were phased out over three years. By early 2022, Teslas were no longer eligible for the tax credit.With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, that has changed. The current version of the act, which will be debated by the House of Representatives this week, removes the 200,000 car limit for credit eligibility. Now, buyers of some Tesla models can enjoy the full $7,500 credit toward the purchase of their vehicles. There are some limits to this – the credit applies to sedans up to $55,000 and SUVs up to $80,000– but many Teslas will be eligible. The EV tax credit notably requires that the vehicle's battery be40% sourced from the U.S. or allies- Tesla's Model S meets this standard, most competitors' offerings don't.Tesla Model 3 meets the standard, most don't(roadandtrack.com)This is great news for a company that some say was built on government subsidies. Many of Elon Musk’s critics allege that Tesla has been taking enormous amounts of government assistance over the years. When we dig into the details, we see that Tesla did benefit from the EV tax credit in its early days. Furthermore, it benefits from similar credits in other countries today. The point about Tesla’s reliance on tax breaks can be overstated, but there’s no doubt that when a consumer gets a tax break for buying an EV, they’re more likely to buy one.Given that Tesla has the most brand awareness of all the major EV companies, it benefits from consumers being incentivized to buy EVs. According to a 2018 Energy Policy article, every $1,000 in EV credits leads to a 2.6% increase in EV sales. With Tesla having a large share of the U.S. EV market, it’s likely to gain revenue from the revamped tax credit. This credit could therefore serve as a catalyst improving Tesla’s business performance in the second half. However, as I’ll demonstrate shortly, this catalyst alone doesn’t automatically make the stock a great value.How the EV Tax Credit WorksTo understand how the revamped EV tax credit helps Tesla, we need to know how the credit works. The EV tax credit has been around in some form since 2009, having been announced in 2008’s Energy Improvement and Extension Act. The way credit works has changed since it was first introduced.The way the credit originally worked was like this:Every electric vehicle got a base credit of $2,500. A person buying any EV would get $2,500 plus an extra $417 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity. For passenger cars, this increase in credits continued up until $7,500 worth of tax credits were earned. Any American who bought an EV would get to claim this credit on their taxes and deduct the appropriate percentage of $7,500 from their income.The EV tax credit also had a cap on how many cars a manufacturer could sell and still be eligible for the credit. Once a manufacturer surpassed 200,000 cars sold in the United States, their tax credits would be phased out over three years. Tesla hit the 200,000 car milestone in 2008. Its tax credits were phased out on the schedule shown below:Tesla's EV credit phase out(Tesla)As the table above shows, all of the credits on Tesla models S, X and 3 were phased out by the end of 2019. This was where things stood for most of the last two years: Teslas weren’t eligible for the credit. Technically, this is still the case, but the Inflation Reduction Act looks quite likely to pass. The Act passed 51-50 in the Senate, and is heading to the House of Representatives for review this week. If it passes, then Teslas will be eligible for the EV tax credit once more. The version of the Act that passed in the Senate puts no cap on how many EVs a manufacturer can sell, so not only will Tesla buyers get the credit again, they’ll continue to get it indefinitely. To top it off: there are Tesla models that meet the act's strict sourcing requirements, while many competitors' offerings don't make the grade.Business ImplicationsTesla regaining the EV tax credit has important business implications. Academic research suggests that every $1,000 worth of EV tax credits drives a2.6% increase in EV sales. As an example, if we have a country where 100,000 EVs are being sold per year, then adding a $1,000 credit increases sales to 102,600. The higher the dollar value of the credit, the more the sales increase. The research I’m citing doesn’t say whether the effect increases linearly or compounds with the size of the credit. If the effect is linear, then a $7,500 credit would increase the number of vehicles sold by 19,500. If it compounds, then it adds 21,228 extra sales. Either way, we should see a significant boost in sales from a $7,500 tax credit.Furthermore, we would expect Tesla to gain from this disproportionately. Many of Tesla’s competitors haven’t shipped 200,000 cars yet, but Tesla has.Lucid(LCID) is aiming for14,000 cumulative deliveries by year’s end, Ford(F) has sold 37,000 or so, Rivian(RIVN) has only delivered a handful of cars to employees. None of these companies are anywhere near the 200,000 deliveries threshold, so they’re getting the credit already. Tesla, on the other hand, passed the threshold in 2018, so it will be eligible for the credit again. Therefore, we’d expect the Inflation Reduction Act to boost Tesla’s sales while leaving its competitors’ sales unchanged.Tesla’s ValuationValuing a company like Tesla is always tough. The company has historically had high growth, which makes estimating its future cash flows difficult. Nevertheless, we can safely assume that, with its tax credits back, Tesla will grow faster than it would have without them. So, we can start by making a projection of Tesla’s revenue and build a discounted cash flow model from there.According to Seeking Alpha Quant, Tesla’s five year CAGR revenue growth rate is 46%. The rate in the most recent quarter was 43%. We have indications that the growth rate will slow down. First, the most recent quarterly growth rate is lower than the five year rate. Second, the five year growth rate is only half the 10 year growth rate. It wouldn’t be conservative to assume that TSLA can keep up 43% growth forever. So, I’ll use Valuates Report’s 18.2% CAGR EV industry forecast as my revenue growth estimate. However, to account for the bullish impact of the EV tax credits Tesla is about to get, I’ll add an extra 19.5% on to the first year’s growth. So the first year will see 41.2% growth (1.182 times 1.195), followed by 18.2% growth thereafter. Tesla’s revenue for the trailing 12 month period is $67.1 billion, so we get:Base year: $67.1B.Year 1: $94.74B.Year 2: $112B.Year 3: $132B.Year 4: $156B.Year 5: $185B.This gives us an overall CAGR growth rate of 22%. With that established, we can look at costs. Tesla had $48 billion in cost of goods sold (“COGS”) in the last 12 months. COGS scales up directly with revenue so I’ll assume that this portion of costs rises at 22%. Tesla’s operating costs have risen at 20% CAGR over the last five years, so I’ll assume they continue growing at that rate. Tesla’s tax rate in the trailing 12 month period was 10%, but I’ll up that to 15% to account for the new minimum tax included in the Inflation Reduction Act. Finally, I’ll add in non-cash costs at 6% of revenue (the percentage in the trailing 12 month period) to get a model that approximates cash from operations (“CFO”).Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Revenue$94.74B$112B$132B$156B$185BCOGS$69B$81.6B$96.5B$114B$135BOperating costs$8.76B$10.5B$12.6B$15B$18BEBIT$16.98$19.9B$22.9B$27B$32BAfter tax$14.43B$16.9B$19.46B$22.95B$27.2BNon-cash costs (added back in)$5.7B$6.72B$7.9B$9.36B$11.1BCFO$20.13B$23.62B$27.36B$32.31B$38.3BTesla has 1.155 billion shares outstanding, so these CFO figures on a per share basis add up to:TTM: $12.18.Year 1: $17.42.Year 2: $20.45Year 3: $23.68.Year 4: $27.97.Year 5: $33.16.So, we get a 22% growth rate in cash flows per share. Using 8% as the discount rate and assuming a 5% perpetual growth rate after five years, we get a fair value of $879. This is only a 3.4% upside to the price at the time of writing ($850), so I conclude that Tesla is fully valued.The Big Risk to Watch Out ForAs I’ve shown in this article, Tesla’s EV tax credit could create a sales spike in the year ahead that gives the stock slight upside to today’s price. Without the sales spike caused by tax credits, my model would have yielded about $825, suggesting slight overvaluation. This stock is trading very close to conservative estimates of fair value, even when you account for the EV tax credit causing sales to spike. The credit is a catalyst, but not a big one, adding only a very slight amount of upside.For this reason, Tesla investors are going to want to be on the lookout for one big risk:Revenue deceleration.Most industry forecasts have EVs growing at 18 to 22% for the next five years. If Tesla simply grows at that rate then its stock is not worth what it trades for today. You have to assume at least one more year of 40%+ growth to get an intrinsic value estimate for this stock that exceeds its current value. It’s so expensive already that if it grows at 18% for the next five years–a fantastic growth rate in absolute terms–it’s overvalued. The EV tax credit, or a similar catalyst, is needed for the stock to have just a little upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075378519,"gmtCreate":1658154833731,"gmtModify":1676536113649,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope is a good news&nbsp;","listText":"Hope is a good news&nbsp;","text":"Hope is a good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075378519","repostId":"1165817190","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1165817190","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658153734,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165817190?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-18 22:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Shares Jumped 10% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165817190","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holding","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holdings to Overweight from Neutral with a $3 price target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d18e5315f88e0fee548e9af571cb956d\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Shares Jumped 10% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Shares Jumped 10% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-18 22:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holdings to Overweight from Neutral with a $3 price target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d18e5315f88e0fee548e9af571cb956d\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165817190","content_text":"Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holdings to Overweight from Neutral with a $3 price target.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923624560,"gmtCreate":1670853392050,"gmtModify":1676538446237,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Both","listText":"Both","text":"Both","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923624560","repostId":"1120497347","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962328825,"gmtCreate":1669726512568,"gmtModify":1676538230143,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962328825","repostId":"2286859887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991298611,"gmtCreate":1660835776035,"gmtModify":1676536408145,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/265892709507360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935807974,"gmtCreate":1663058874499,"gmtModify":1676537193676,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935807974","repostId":"2266347360","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909784799,"gmtCreate":1658928218411,"gmtModify":1676536229772,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909784799","repostId":"1110753141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071346295,"gmtCreate":1657496252817,"gmtModify":1676536012783,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071346295","repostId":"1106697268","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106697268","pubTimestamp":1657337354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106697268?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-09 11:29","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106697268","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>After months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.</li><li>ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO&#39;s product deliveries.</li><li>ET5 and ET7 production are set to exceed volume production of the ES6 this year.</li></ul><p>NIO&#39;s (NYSE:NIO) first-quarter production and delivery performance was greatly impacted by a variety of factors, including Chinese holidays and COVID-related shutdowns that limited factory output levels. In June, however, NIO experienced a surge in deliveries due to factories coming back online and accelerating demand for NIO’s first sedan product, the ET7. While COVID-19 shutdowns remain a significant risk factor going forward, a recovery in delivery volumes could drive an upwards revaluation of NIO’s shares.</p><p><b>Why NIO’s growth will be determined by sedan production going forward</b></p><p>NIO submitted its delivery card for June last week which revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer delivered 12,961 electric vehicles, showing 60.3% year-over-year growth. On a month-over-month basis, NIO’s deliveries increased a massive 84.5% which was the fastest growth rate when compared against rival companies XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI). XPeng&#39;s month-over-month delivery growth rate was 51.1% while Li Auto saw 13.3% month-over-month growth.</p><p>XPeng, which currently has the fastest year-over-year delivery growth of the Top Three electric vehicle manufacturers delivered the most EVs last month: 15,295, showing 133% growth. Li Auto delivered 13,024 Li ONE sport utility vehicles in June, showing 68.9% year-over-year growth.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Deliveries</p></td><td><p>April</p></td><td><p>April Y/Y Growth</p></td><td><p>May</p></td><td><p>May Y/Y Growth</p></td><td><p>June</p></td><td><p>June Y/Y Growth</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>NIO</p></td><td><p>5,074</p></td><td><p>-28.6%</p></td><td><p>7,024</p></td><td><p>4.7%</p></td><td><p>12,961</p></td><td><p>60.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>XPEV</p></td><td><p>9,002</p></td><td><p>75.0%</p></td><td><p>10,125</p></td><td><p>78.0%</p></td><td><p>15,295</p></td><td><p>133.0%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LI</p></td><td><p>4,167</p></td><td><p>-24.8%</p></td><td><p>11,496</p></td><td><p>165.9%</p></td><td><p>13,024</p></td><td><p>68.9%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>(Source: Author)</p><p>NIO’s delivery card for June contained further evidence that sedan products are going to be NIO’s future. The electric vehicle company delivered 5,100 ES6s, 1,828 EC6s and 1,684 ES8s which are all sport utility vehicles. Additionally, NIO delivered a massive 4,349 ET7s, the firm’s first sedan product that started to sell in China only in March.</p><p>NIO’s delivery growth in June has been driven by two models especially: The ET7 which has seen month-over-month delivery growth of a massive 154.8% and the ES6 which saw a delivery increase of 73.7% on a monthly basis. NIO’s ES6 model still has the largest delivery share (currently 39.3%) and NIO produces by far the largest number of SUVs in the ES6 product line. But because of the surge in demand for electric vehicle sedans, going forward, the ET7 is set to replace NIO’s ES6 as the most important vehicle in NIO’s product portfolio. With NIO’s ET5 deliveries expected to start in September, the electric vehicle start-up could generate about half of its deliveries and sales from sedans, not SUVs, by year-end.</p><p>The share of ET7 deliveries has consistently increased throughout the second-quarter as well: in April, May and June, the delivery shares of the ET7 were 13.7%, 24.3% and 33.6%. Considering that NIO will add sedan volume through the ET5, especially in the fourth quarter, sedan deliveries are likely going to be the biggest driver for NIO’s delivery growth in the second half of 2022 and beyond.</p><p><b>NIO has long-term potential, but short-term setbacks should be expected</b></p><p>NIO’s valuation today is much cheaper than a year ago. During the pandemic, shares of NIO traded as high as $65. But investors appear to have stopped caring much about NIO’s delivery growth prospects lately which is understandable considering that EV deliveries have slowed down industry-wide in the first quarter. While short-term setbacks have to be expected, especially regarding new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, NIO’s growth prospects are attractive in the long term.</p><p>NIO is expected to grow revenues 60% this year to $9.07B, indicating a price-to-sales ratio of 3.8X. The forward P-S ratio, based on expected sales of $15.96B, implies a P-S ratio of 2.2X and revenue growth of 76%... so the market even expects an acceleration in revenue growth in FY 2023.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f8783ef7161e7a0ff94ffa153c81a2a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>Risks with NIO</b></p><p>The biggest risk for NIO, as I see it, is a volatile short-term delivery pattern that makes it hard for the market to predict NIO’s delivery potential with any kind of accuracy. COVID-19 shutdowns are still a threat to electric vehicle manufacturers as well because they could impact manufacturing hubs that produce electric vehicles or dampen demand for NIO’s products. Xi’an, a city of 13M, was partially shut down on Wednesday after a few cases of a new COVID-19 variant have been detected. China’s heavy-handed approach to mitigating the spread of COVID-19 and its variants is a big risk for NIO’s delivery potential as well as the stock in the short term. What would change my mind about NIO is if delivery growth slowed down and the firm&#39;s sedan ramp started to disappoint.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>NIO’s June ramp in production and deliveries was surprisingly good. The surge in ET7 deliveries is the key take-away for investors, because deliveries started only three months ago and sedans now already account for a third of NIO’s delivery volume. Considering that ET5 deliveries are set to start in September, I believe NIO’s long-term delivery potential, especially in the sedan market, is underrated. However, since NIO faces uncertain short-term delivery prospects due to new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, I have a neutral opinion on NIO.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: June Deliveries Show Growth Making A Comeback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-09 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522180-nio-growth-is-making-a-comeback?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A58","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106697268","content_text":"SummaryAfter months of weakness, NIO’s deliveries soared back strongly in June.ET7 sedan deliveries increased 155.7% month over month and now represent a third of all of NIO's product deliveries.ET5 and ET7 production are set to exceed volume production of the ES6 this year.NIO's (NYSE:NIO) first-quarter production and delivery performance was greatly impacted by a variety of factors, including Chinese holidays and COVID-related shutdowns that limited factory output levels. In June, however, NIO experienced a surge in deliveries due to factories coming back online and accelerating demand for NIO’s first sedan product, the ET7. While COVID-19 shutdowns remain a significant risk factor going forward, a recovery in delivery volumes could drive an upwards revaluation of NIO’s shares.Why NIO’s growth will be determined by sedan production going forwardNIO submitted its delivery card for June last week which revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer delivered 12,961 electric vehicles, showing 60.3% year-over-year growth. On a month-over-month basis, NIO’s deliveries increased a massive 84.5% which was the fastest growth rate when compared against rival companies XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI). XPeng's month-over-month delivery growth rate was 51.1% while Li Auto saw 13.3% month-over-month growth.XPeng, which currently has the fastest year-over-year delivery growth of the Top Three electric vehicle manufacturers delivered the most EVs last month: 15,295, showing 133% growth. Li Auto delivered 13,024 Li ONE sport utility vehicles in June, showing 68.9% year-over-year growth.DeliveriesAprilApril Y/Y GrowthMayMay Y/Y GrowthJuneJune Y/Y GrowthNIO5,074-28.6%7,0244.7%12,96160.3%XPEV9,00275.0%10,12578.0%15,295133.0%LI4,167-24.8%11,496165.9%13,02468.9%(Source: Author)NIO’s delivery card for June contained further evidence that sedan products are going to be NIO’s future. The electric vehicle company delivered 5,100 ES6s, 1,828 EC6s and 1,684 ES8s which are all sport utility vehicles. Additionally, NIO delivered a massive 4,349 ET7s, the firm’s first sedan product that started to sell in China only in March.NIO’s delivery growth in June has been driven by two models especially: The ET7 which has seen month-over-month delivery growth of a massive 154.8% and the ES6 which saw a delivery increase of 73.7% on a monthly basis. NIO’s ES6 model still has the largest delivery share (currently 39.3%) and NIO produces by far the largest number of SUVs in the ES6 product line. But because of the surge in demand for electric vehicle sedans, going forward, the ET7 is set to replace NIO’s ES6 as the most important vehicle in NIO’s product portfolio. With NIO’s ET5 deliveries expected to start in September, the electric vehicle start-up could generate about half of its deliveries and sales from sedans, not SUVs, by year-end.The share of ET7 deliveries has consistently increased throughout the second-quarter as well: in April, May and June, the delivery shares of the ET7 were 13.7%, 24.3% and 33.6%. Considering that NIO will add sedan volume through the ET5, especially in the fourth quarter, sedan deliveries are likely going to be the biggest driver for NIO’s delivery growth in the second half of 2022 and beyond.NIO has long-term potential, but short-term setbacks should be expectedNIO’s valuation today is much cheaper than a year ago. During the pandemic, shares of NIO traded as high as $65. But investors appear to have stopped caring much about NIO’s delivery growth prospects lately which is understandable considering that EV deliveries have slowed down industry-wide in the first quarter. While short-term setbacks have to be expected, especially regarding new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, NIO’s growth prospects are attractive in the long term.NIO is expected to grow revenues 60% this year to $9.07B, indicating a price-to-sales ratio of 3.8X. The forward P-S ratio, based on expected sales of $15.96B, implies a P-S ratio of 2.2X and revenue growth of 76%... so the market even expects an acceleration in revenue growth in FY 2023.Data by YChartsRisks with NIOThe biggest risk for NIO, as I see it, is a volatile short-term delivery pattern that makes it hard for the market to predict NIO’s delivery potential with any kind of accuracy. COVID-19 shutdowns are still a threat to electric vehicle manufacturers as well because they could impact manufacturing hubs that produce electric vehicles or dampen demand for NIO’s products. Xi’an, a city of 13M, was partially shut down on Wednesday after a few cases of a new COVID-19 variant have been detected. China’s heavy-handed approach to mitigating the spread of COVID-19 and its variants is a big risk for NIO’s delivery potential as well as the stock in the short term. What would change my mind about NIO is if delivery growth slowed down and the firm's sedan ramp started to disappoint.Final thoughtsNIO’s June ramp in production and deliveries was surprisingly good. The surge in ET7 deliveries is the key take-away for investors, because deliveries started only three months ago and sedans now already account for a third of NIO’s delivery volume. Considering that ET5 deliveries are set to start in September, I believe NIO’s long-term delivery potential, especially in the sedan market, is underrated. However, since NIO faces uncertain short-term delivery prospects due to new COVID-19 outbreaks in China, I have a neutral opinion on NIO.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079234513,"gmtCreate":1657202559533,"gmtModify":1676535968510,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079234513","repostId":"1121519092","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1121519092","pubTimestamp":1657089394,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121519092?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-06 14:36","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why NIO Stock is Well-Positioned to Rally Further","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121519092","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsNIO stock has already surged 88% from recent lows. The rally is potentially sustaina","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsNIO stock has already surged 88% from recent lows. The rally is potentially sustainable – at least in the long term – as Nio is pursuing aggressive growth plans despite market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/nio-stock-is-well-positioned-to-rally-further/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NIO Stock is Well-Positioned to Rally Further</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NIO Stock is Well-Positioned to Rally Further\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-06 14:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/nio-stock-is-well-positioned-to-rally-further/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsNIO stock has already surged 88% from recent lows. The rally is potentially sustainable – at least in the long term – as Nio is pursuing aggressive growth plans despite market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/nio-stock-is-well-positioned-to-rally-further/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/nio-stock-is-well-positioned-to-rally-further/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121519092","content_text":"Story HighlightsNIO stock has already surged 88% from recent lows. The rally is potentially sustainable – at least in the long term – as Nio is pursuing aggressive growth plans despite market headwinds.The electric vehicle industry has faced multiple headwinds in the last 12 months. Be it chip shortage or broader supply chain issues, industry growth has been impacted. Raw material inflation also threatens to impact sales as electric vehicle (EV) companies increase their selling prices.However, beyond these temporary headwinds, the EV industry is poised for growth over the next decade. The correction in EV stocks, therefore, provides a potentially-attractive entry opportunity.Nio (NIO) stock is one name from the Chinese electric vehicle industry that looks attractive. In the recent market meltdown, Nio stock corrected to lows of $11.67. In less than two months, the stock has surged 88% to current levels of $22.1.I am bullish on NIO stock, and I believe the rally will likely sustain. Let’s discuss the industry and company-specific catalysts that will support growth.In terms of favorable policies, there are two factors to note. China’s exemption of the 10% EV-purchase tax will conclude at the end of this year. The policymakers are, however, considering an extension of the exemptions. Also, China is considering an extension of EV subsidies into 2023.It’s very likely that the tax cuts and EV subsidies will be extended. With weak growth in China, favorable policies are needed to boost consumption. Nio is positioned to benefit from these potential extensions.Nio’s Smart Score RatingWorth noting, on TipRanks, NIO receives a Smart Score rating of 8 out of 10, indicating a solid chance for the stock to outperform the broader market.New Models to Boost Delivery GrowthFor the second quarter of 2022, Nio reported a 14.4% delivery growth on a year-over-year basis to 25,059 vehicles. Deliveries growth was impacted due to the renewed surge in COVID-19 cases. However, Nio is positioned for continued acceleration in deliveries once temporary headwinds wane.A key reason to be bullish is the continued launch of new models. Nio commenced delivery of ET7, a premium smart electric sedan, in March 2022. Further, ES7, a mid-large five-seater smart electric SUV, is expected to commence delivery in August 2022. ET5 delivery is also expected to begin in September 2022.Clearly, there is an attractive line-up of new vehicles, and this will boost delivery growth in 2023 and potentially in 2024.Another point to note is that Nio has aggressive international expansion plans. The company already has a presence in Norway. For the current year, Nio plans on expanding in Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nio is also targeting a presence in 25 countries by 2025.Therefore, delivery growth over the next few years will be supported by international expansion. Nio reported cash and short-term investments of $7.8 billion as of March 2022. Therefore, the company has substantial financial flexibility for aggressive growth.Nio is already ramping up its manufacturing capabilities. Last year, Nio announced that it would work on doubling the capacity in its China assembly plant to 240,000 vehicles annually. There are also speculations that Nio is planning a manufacturing facility in the United States. This will help the company avoid a 25% import duty on cars.With ambitious growth plans, Nio stock looks attractive after a correction of 56% in the last 12 months.Vehicle Margins Can ImproveFor context, in the first quarter of 2022, Tesla (TSLA) reported $4 billion in operating cash flows. As electric vehicle companies scale up in terms of deliveries, there is the potential to generate robust cash flows.For Q1 2022, Nio reported a vehicle margin of 18.1% compared to 21.2% in Q1 2021. The margin was impacted in the near term due to higher investments and inflationary factors.However, in the next few years, the vehicle margin is likely to expand as delivery growth sustains. Also, if Nio plans factories in multiple locations (similar to Tesla), logistics costs should decline. Overall, Nio is positioned for strong cash flows in the next few years.On the flip-side, Nio is expanding aggressively into multiple countries. This will translate into higher marketing expenses. Cash burn is likely to sustain in the coming quarters.Having said that, the markets are likely to focus on delivery growth. With operating leverage, its EBITDA margin should also improve.Wall Street’s Take on NIO StockTurning to Wall Street, Nio has a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 10 Buy ratings assigned in the past three months. The average NIO stock price forecast of $33.66 implies 52.1% upside potential.Concluding Views – An Attractive EV StockThe global adoption of EVs is still at an early stage. However, as Europe looks to reduce dependence on Russia for energy, EV adoption is likely to accelerate.Nio will be positioned to benefit as it aggressively expands in Europe. Nio also has robust financial flexibility, and further equity dilution seems unlikely, even with aggressive growth plans.In terms of risks, a global recession can impact growth in 2023. However, it seems that this factor is largely discounted in the stock. Intensifying competition is also a potential risk.It’s worth noting that Nio reported a research and development expense of $277.9 million for Q1 2022. On a year-over-year basis, R&D expenses increased 156.6%. With a focus on innovation, Nio can gain market share even as competition intensifies.Overall, Nio stock looks attractive among EV stocks. Even after the recent rally, the stock is worth considering from a long-term perspective.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049552200,"gmtCreate":1655820106200,"gmtModify":1676535711208,"author":{"id":"4098882746619960","authorId":"4098882746619960","name":"Elmo.ek","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098882746619960","idStr":"4098882746619960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049552200","repostId":"1162477566","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}