发财 Bobby personal page - To The Moon

发财 Bobby

发财 Bobby

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01-31

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$

01-14

Tiger tycoon lets huat togetherness

01-14

Play more win more. Huat

01-14

Time of the day again

01-13

Time of the day again

01-12

Time of the day to play dice

01-12

Time of the day again

01-11

1 more try to roll dice

01-10

Time of the day again

01-09

Time of the day again

01-07

Time of the day again

01-06

Time of the day again

01-05

Lets go more points. In it to win it

01-04

Time of the day again

01-03

In it to win it. Play more win more

01-02

Time of the day to roll dice

01-01

Happy new year everyone!! Hiat big big

2023-12-31

Lai lai lai roll dice

2023-12-30

Time of the day to win it

2023-12-29

Time of the day to huat big big!

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Hiat big big","listText":"Happy new year everyone!! Hiat big big","text":"Happy new year everyone!! Hiat big big","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258072465137728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257713347784768,"gmtCreate":1703952182494,"gmtModify":1703952186438,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lai lai lai roll dice","listText":"Lai lai lai roll dice","text":"Lai lai lai roll 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again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945039326","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097622179,"gmtCreate":1645449260066,"gmtModify":1676534028791,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>All in one day","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>All in one day","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$All in one day","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/2c1a3944adfedfea2b53e3a23d0550dd","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097622179","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904723815,"gmtCreate":1660097344440,"gmtModify":1703477888443,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AAL 20220812 15.0 CALL\">$AAL 20220812 15.0 CALL$</a>Updates. To openanother call option for next week?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AAL 20220812 15.0 CALL\">$AAL 20220812 15.0 CALL$</a>Updates. To openanother call option for next week?","text":"$AAL 20220812 15.0 CALL$Updates. To openanother call option for next week?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7705f2cc51dcbcde96669e77bb672896","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904723815","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575197281936888","authorId":"3575197281936888","name":"Wei_118","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ba87fc9c0b7e4dd09ea9e2b561b741e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"premium like too low.. u would have gain more if u sell AAL at tonight's high $15.30 or should it go up further..just an observation","text":"premium like too low.. u would have gain more if u sell AAL at tonight's high $15.30 or should it go up further..just an observation","html":"premium like too low.. u would have gain more if u sell AAL at tonight's high $15.30 or should it go up further..just an observation"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":248866971123840,"gmtCreate":1701790475876,"gmtModify":1701790480368,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going to the moon","listText":"Going to the moon","text":"Going to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248866971123840","repostId":"2389765591","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2389765591","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1701777600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2389765591?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-12-05 20:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Why Bitcoin and Gold Are Both in Rally Mode Approaching Year-End","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2389765591","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Bitcoin and gold both rallied during the weekend, pushing up the yellow metal on Sunday to its highest intraday high on record, before pulling back, and lifting the digital asset on Monday up to its h","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bitcoin and gold both rallied during the weekend, pushing up the yellow metal on Sunday to its highest intraday high on record, before pulling back, and lifting the digital asset on Monday up to its highest level since April, 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76e7d54df045096d4a674df336f5b45f\" alt=\"Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.\" title=\"Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"616\"/><span>Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Both assets rallied on optimism that the Federal Reserve is done with its rate hikes and may start cutting its key policy rate as early as in March next year, according to Mark Connors, director of research at digital asset-management company 3iQ.</p><p>Fed-fund futures traders are pricing in an over 50% likelihood that the U.S. central bank will cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its March meeting, according to CME FedWatch tool. That is up from 21.5% a week ago. </p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield has declined significantly over the past month, down 39 basis points, despite a rise on Monday, according to FactSet data. </p><p>Lower Treasury rates are bullish for both gold and bitcoin, said Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata. As neither gold or bitcoin is interest-bearing, high Treasury yields will make such assets less attractive. </p><p>This year, gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem, including, for example, after the U.S. banking mini-crisis in March and after the Israel–Hamas war broke out in October, Magadini said. </p><p>Still, David Tawil, president and co-founder at digital asset fund ProChain Capital, said it could just be a coincidence that bitcoin and gold rallied at around the same time.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bitcoin’s rally is mostly driven by optimism that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission could soon approve an exchange trade fund investing directly in the crypto, instead of macroeconomic factors, according to Tawil. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">He expects the crypto to continue its rally through the end of year and reach as high as $47,000 by the time when a bitcoin ETF is approved. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For gold, it’s important to watch the U.S. jobs report on Friday, noted James Harte, analyst at Tickmill Group. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If the report comes in weaker than expected, it could put further pressure on the U.S. dollar and allow gold to trade higher near-term, and vice versa, Harte noted.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Front month gold futures lost $46.90 per troy ounce, or 2.3% to $2024.10 on Monday, according to Dow Jones market data. Bitcoin rose 5.5% over the past 24 hours to slightly below $41,900, according to CoinDesk data.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA down 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500 SPX declined 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite COMP fell 0.8%, according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why Bitcoin and Gold Are Both in Rally Mode Approaching Year-End</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why Bitcoin and Gold Are Both in Rally Mode Approaching Year-End\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-12-05 20:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bitcoin and gold both rallied during the weekend, pushing up the yellow metal on Sunday to its highest intraday high on record, before pulling back, and lifting the digital asset on Monday up to its highest level since April, 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76e7d54df045096d4a674df336f5b45f\" alt=\"Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.\" title=\"Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"616\"/><span>Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Both assets rallied on optimism that the Federal Reserve is done with its rate hikes and may start cutting its key policy rate as early as in March next year, according to Mark Connors, director of research at digital asset-management company 3iQ.</p><p>Fed-fund futures traders are pricing in an over 50% likelihood that the U.S. central bank will cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its March meeting, according to CME FedWatch tool. That is up from 21.5% a week ago. </p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield has declined significantly over the past month, down 39 basis points, despite a rise on Monday, according to FactSet data. </p><p>Lower Treasury rates are bullish for both gold and bitcoin, said Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata. As neither gold or bitcoin is interest-bearing, high Treasury yields will make such assets less attractive. </p><p>This year, gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem, including, for example, after the U.S. banking mini-crisis in March and after the Israel–Hamas war broke out in October, Magadini said. </p><p>Still, David Tawil, president and co-founder at digital asset fund ProChain Capital, said it could just be a coincidence that bitcoin and gold rallied at around the same time.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bitcoin’s rally is mostly driven by optimism that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission could soon approve an exchange trade fund investing directly in the crypto, instead of macroeconomic factors, according to Tawil. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">He expects the crypto to continue its rally through the end of year and reach as high as $47,000 by the time when a bitcoin ETF is approved. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For gold, it’s important to watch the U.S. jobs report on Friday, noted James Harte, analyst at Tickmill Group. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If the report comes in weaker than expected, it could put further pressure on the U.S. dollar and allow gold to trade higher near-term, and vice versa, Harte noted.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Front month gold futures lost $46.90 per troy ounce, or 2.3% to $2024.10 on Monday, according to Dow Jones market data. Bitcoin rose 5.5% over the past 24 hours to slightly below $41,900, according to CoinDesk data.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA down 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500 SPX declined 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite COMP fell 0.8%, according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4023":"应用软件","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2389765591","content_text":"Bitcoin and gold both rallied during the weekend, pushing up the yellow metal on Sunday to its highest intraday high on record, before pulling back, and lifting the digital asset on Monday up to its highest level since April, 2022.Gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem this year, analysts said.Both assets rallied on optimism that the Federal Reserve is done with its rate hikes and may start cutting its key policy rate as early as in March next year, according to Mark Connors, director of research at digital asset-management company 3iQ.Fed-fund futures traders are pricing in an over 50% likelihood that the U.S. central bank will cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its March meeting, according to CME FedWatch tool. That is up from 21.5% a week ago. The 10-year Treasury yield has declined significantly over the past month, down 39 basis points, despite a rise on Monday, according to FactSet data. Lower Treasury rates are bullish for both gold and bitcoin, said Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata. As neither gold or bitcoin is interest-bearing, high Treasury yields will make such assets less attractive. This year, gold and bitcoin have often traded in tandem, including, for example, after the U.S. banking mini-crisis in March and after the Israel–Hamas war broke out in October, Magadini said. Still, David Tawil, president and co-founder at digital asset fund ProChain Capital, said it could just be a coincidence that bitcoin and gold rallied at around the same time.Bitcoin’s rally is mostly driven by optimism that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission could soon approve an exchange trade fund investing directly in the crypto, instead of macroeconomic factors, according to Tawil. He expects the crypto to continue its rally through the end of year and reach as high as $47,000 by the time when a bitcoin ETF is approved. For gold, it’s important to watch the U.S. jobs report on Friday, noted James Harte, analyst at Tickmill Group. If the report comes in weaker than expected, it could put further pressure on the U.S. dollar and allow gold to trade higher near-term, and vice versa, Harte noted.Front month gold futures lost $46.90 per troy ounce, or 2.3% to $2024.10 on Monday, according to Dow Jones market data. Bitcoin rose 5.5% over the past 24 hours to slightly below $41,900, according to CoinDesk data.U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA down 0.1%. The S&P 500 SPX declined 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite COMP fell 0.8%, according to FactSet data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932737623,"gmtCreate":1662990955662,"gmtModify":1676537177582,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/XPEV 20220930 18.0 CALL\">$XPEV 20220930 18.0 CALL$</a>New position","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/XPEV 20220930 18.0 CALL\">$XPEV 20220930 18.0 CALL$</a>New position","text":"$XPEV 20220930 18.0 CALL$New position","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/618a464abf23ba0e3c9eefde838675fd","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932737623","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930506206,"gmtCreate":1661986381507,"gmtModify":1676536615590,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Iphone 14","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Iphone 14","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Iphone 14","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930506206","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077678656,"gmtCreate":1658529271876,"gmtModify":1676536170575,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20220722 25.0 CALL\">$NIO 20220722 25.0 CALL$</a>closed","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20220722 25.0 CALL\">$NIO 20220722 25.0 CALL$</a>closed","text":"$NIO 20220722 25.0 CALL$closed","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7f0b0274ddf992a84715bf3371844e39","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077678656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":90,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070811473,"gmtCreate":1657039176592,"gmtModify":1676535937178,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"62% no recession?","listText":"62% no recession?","text":"62% no recession?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070811473","repostId":"1170895202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170895202","pubTimestamp":1657034675,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170895202?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170895202","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6f92918aa47680d8463b6a5b5f285\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"243\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. That’s up from around 0% just a few months before.</p><p>“The risk of a self-fulfilling recession—and one that can happen as soon as early next year—is higher than before,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Even though household and business balance sheets are strong, worries about the future could cause consumers to pull back, which in turn would lead businesses to hire and invest less.”</p><p>“The risk of a recession in early 2023 has risen substantially,” Wong said.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in June by 75 basis points, the most since 1994, and signaled further increases—potentially of a similar size—in the months ahead. That came on the heels of a 50 basis-point hike in the prior month and cemented a decisively aggressive pivot by the central bank.</p><p>The rapid run-up in borrowing costs, paired with tightening financial conditions and decades-high inflation, has heightened concerns that the Fed—in its attempt to cool the economy and therefore inflation—will ultimately tip the US economy into recession.</p><p><b>Recession Odds Rise</b></p><p>Probability of a US recession within 12 months</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddc6a7bef2b883774c8ff201099e3c9d\" tg-width=\"743\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The rise in recession odds in the latest month can largely be traced to two factors: a moderation in the corporate profit outlook and a significant deterioration in consumer sentiment.</p><p><b>Changing Picture</b></p><p>Selected key indicators from recession probability model</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f579e4b1edabeed518b309e502161669\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Note: ‘Expected change in business conditions’ is an index based to 100. ‘Conference board expectations’ shows the spread between the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index, both where 1985=100.</span></p><p>Financial conditions have tightened considerably in recent months, and corporate profit margins, while still robust, are set to soften somewhat in the second quarter of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. In the wake of steep rate hikes by the Fed, businesses are contending with rising cost of capital.</p><p>Secondly, Americans’ views of future business conditions sharply deteriorated in June. Each month the University of Michigan releases a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment. The June report not only showed a collapse in consumer sentiment to a record low but also a big decline in a gauge of the expected change in business conditions in a year. At 76, that figure is now at one of its lowest readings in records back to 1978.</p><p>Decades-high inflation has particularly weighed on consumer confidence. Americans are facing near-record prices at the pump and ballooning bills at the grocery store. Adjusted for inflation, average hourly earnings have fallen for eight straight months, eroding Americans’ purchasing power and souring their views on the economy. The savings rate is near its lowest level since 2009, and more than half of Americans believe the US is already in recession.</p><p>A recession is certainly not inevitable, but the path to a so-called soft landing—a cooling in economic activity that doesn’t lead to a recession—is becoming increasingly narrow. That may require price growth to slow sharply and would likely be accompanied by a slight rise in unemployment. The Fed is hopeful of such a result, but Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged achieving it will be “very challenging.”</p><p>Should a downturn begin in the next year or two, the pandemic recovery—which began in May 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research—would be the shortest US expansion since the one in 1981-1982, which lasted just 12 months.</p><p>Bloomberg Economics’ year-ahead recession probability model will be updated monthly.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-05 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170895202","content_text":"The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. That’s up from around 0% just a few months before.“The risk of a self-fulfilling recession—and one that can happen as soon as early next year—is higher than before,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Even though household and business balance sheets are strong, worries about the future could cause consumers to pull back, which in turn would lead businesses to hire and invest less.”“The risk of a recession in early 2023 has risen substantially,” Wong said.The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in June by 75 basis points, the most since 1994, and signaled further increases—potentially of a similar size—in the months ahead. That came on the heels of a 50 basis-point hike in the prior month and cemented a decisively aggressive pivot by the central bank.The rapid run-up in borrowing costs, paired with tightening financial conditions and decades-high inflation, has heightened concerns that the Fed—in its attempt to cool the economy and therefore inflation—will ultimately tip the US economy into recession.Recession Odds RiseProbability of a US recession within 12 monthsThe rise in recession odds in the latest month can largely be traced to two factors: a moderation in the corporate profit outlook and a significant deterioration in consumer sentiment.Changing PictureSelected key indicators from recession probability modelNote: ‘Expected change in business conditions’ is an index based to 100. ‘Conference board expectations’ shows the spread between the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index, both where 1985=100.Financial conditions have tightened considerably in recent months, and corporate profit margins, while still robust, are set to soften somewhat in the second quarter of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. In the wake of steep rate hikes by the Fed, businesses are contending with rising cost of capital.Secondly, Americans’ views of future business conditions sharply deteriorated in June. Each month the University of Michigan releases a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment. The June report not only showed a collapse in consumer sentiment to a record low but also a big decline in a gauge of the expected change in business conditions in a year. At 76, that figure is now at one of its lowest readings in records back to 1978.Decades-high inflation has particularly weighed on consumer confidence. Americans are facing near-record prices at the pump and ballooning bills at the grocery store. Adjusted for inflation, average hourly earnings have fallen for eight straight months, eroding Americans’ purchasing power and souring their views on the economy. The savings rate is near its lowest level since 2009, and more than half of Americans believe the US is already in recession.A recession is certainly not inevitable, but the path to a so-called soft landing—a cooling in economic activity that doesn’t lead to a recession—is becoming increasingly narrow. That may require price growth to slow sharply and would likely be accompanied by a slight rise in unemployment. The Fed is hopeful of such a result, but Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged achieving it will be “very challenging.”Should a downturn begin in the next year or two, the pandemic recovery—which began in May 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research—would be the shortest US expansion since the one in 1981-1982, which lasted just 12 months.Bloomberg Economics’ year-ahead recession probability model will be updated monthly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962107597,"gmtCreate":1669732182219,"gmtModify":1676538231718,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great game to connect with tiger users!!&nbsp;","listText":"Great game to connect with tiger users!!&nbsp;","text":"Great game to connect with tiger users!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962107597","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908695280,"gmtCreate":1659368600140,"gmtModify":1705979604892,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/XPEV 20220805 23.0 PUT\">$XPEV 20220805 23.0 PUT$</a>this week position","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/XPEV 20220805 23.0 PUT\">$XPEV 20220805 23.0 PUT$</a>this week position","text":"$XPEV 20220805 23.0 PUT$this week position","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/784281b1f92149e92b5e8db76f13307c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908695280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041445347,"gmtCreate":1656092789489,"gmtModify":1676535766526,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20220701 23.0 CALL\">$NIO 20220701 23.0 CALL$</a>thinking of a good plan","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20220701 23.0 CALL\">$NIO 20220701 23.0 CALL$</a>thinking of a good plan","text":"$NIO 20220701 23.0 CALL$thinking of a good plan","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0a6eb7637e776895cecefb90fc6cf809","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041445347","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237536547557408,"gmtCreate":1699028003199,"gmtModify":1699028006699,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tough to get rewards","listText":"Tough to get rewards","text":"Tough to get rewards","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237536547557408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958583404,"gmtCreate":1673774464108,"gmtModify":1676538884129,"author":{"id":"4100748689150980","authorId":"4100748689150980","name":"发财 Bobby","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3412df83be6afbfde9cd76fc621791ed","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Road to claim 3rd voucher","listText":"Road to claim 3rd voucher","text":"Road to claim 3rd 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