a1g2r personal page - To The Moon

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2023-04-05

nice sharing 🤗

@TechConversations: STOCKS, STOCK MARKET & WAR | STOCK MARKET SHORT

2022-12-13

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Happy]

2022-12-12

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-12-09

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-12-08

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-12-07

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-12-05

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-12-04

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Happy]

2022-12-01

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-11-29

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ [Duh]

2022-11-28

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-11-26

$Apple(AAPL)$ [Duh]

2022-11-25

2022-11-24

2022-11-23

$Apple(AAPL)$ [Duh]

2022-11-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-11-21

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ [Duh]

2022-11-20

$Apple(AAPL)$ [Duh]

2022-11-19

$PayPal(PYPL)$ [Duh]

2022-11-18

$Apple(AAPL)$ [Duh]

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[Duh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961236754","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":70,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961807617,"gmtCreate":1668905983639,"gmtModify":1676538125865,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>[Duh]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>[Duh]&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ [Duh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961807617","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961059734,"gmtCreate":1668807525128,"gmtModify":1676538115164,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>[Duh]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>[Duh]&nbsp;","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$ [Duh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961059734","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963598149,"gmtCreate":1668721540981,"gmtModify":1676538100877,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>[Duh]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>[Duh]&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ [Duh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963598149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9996390336,"gmtCreate":1661123658328,"gmtModify":1676536454647,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>dip still","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>dip still","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$dip still","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/57eefd60f6db8f1e4b6ba8a2870c11b2","width":"1080","height":"2387"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996390336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077524835,"gmtCreate":1658544103027,"gmtModify":1676536174791,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077524835","repostId":"2253658190","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253658190","pubTimestamp":1658535269,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2253658190?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-23 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Is Going on With Alphabet Stock Friday?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253658190","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Alphabet dropped more than 5% today as investors priced in poor earnings from other ad-related compa","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Alphabet dropped more than 5% today as investors priced in poor earnings from other ad-related companies.</li><li>Additionally, concerns around the potential for fines out of the U.K. have investors on edge.</li><li>With the company&#39;s stock split officially in the rearview mirror, investors are finding few catalysts on the horizon.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdb45c167e367ede602e740013e84dde\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For investors in Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), it’s been a trying year. Yes, there have been some flurries of hope for this mega-cap online tech player. However, GOOG stock has underperformed the expectations of many investors, now down more than 25% on a year-to-date basis.</p><p>Today, GOOG stock is down another 7% as investors price in a flurry of catalysts.</p><p>The first is a lackluster earnings report from social media company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap</a>. The parent company of Snapchat reported some rather dismal numbers, missing estimates and posting a wider-than-expected free cash flow loss. Accordingly, concerns around digital ad spending are growing. This is a pertinent issue for companies such as Alphabet, whose Google division provides the lion’s share of revenues and cash flows.</p><p>Other key drivers that appear to be in play today are concerns around compensation for fraud victims in the U.K., as well as the potential that post-stock split, GOOG stock doesn’t really have much in the way of positive catalysts to take this stock higher.</p><p>Let’s dive into what to make of today’s impressive move in Alphabet.</p><h2>Is GOOG Stock a Buy on Today’s Impressive Decline?</h2><p>Seeing a mega-cap stock like Alphabet lose more than 7% of its value in a single day is indeed a big move. With billions of dollars of valuation wiped out, investors may consider this stock a great buy. After all, the company now trades around 18 times earnings following this decline.</p><p>However, there are plenty of headwinds investors are factoring in right now. Earnings for other digital ad-oriented companies are getting hit hard. And while Google’s underlying business model is fundamentally different from Snap’s, it’s clear that investors are taking a cautious approach to this sector right now.</p><p>Accordingly, while it is interesting to see GOOG stock trade around the $107 mark (at the time of writing), the fact that this stock split has officially happened takes away one of the key non-fundamental drivers Alphabet had. In the absence of other catalysts, investors appear to have lost interest. In this market, that can mean significant near-term downside pressure, such as what we’re seeing today.</p><p>While I think GOOG stock is a great long-term bet, it may be a bumpy few months ahead. Until we get an indication of where this economy is heading, it’s likely going to be turbulent for all stocks. Indeed, seeing Alphabet drop as it has today should be an indication of this for investors.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Is Going on With Alphabet Stock Friday?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Is Going on With Alphabet Stock Friday?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-23 08:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/07/what-is-going-on-with-alphabet-goog-stock-today/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alphabet dropped more than 5% today as investors priced in poor earnings from other ad-related companies.Additionally, concerns around the potential for fines out of the U.K. have investors on edge....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/what-is-going-on-with-alphabet-goog-stock-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/what-is-going-on-with-alphabet-goog-stock-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253658190","content_text":"Alphabet dropped more than 5% today as investors priced in poor earnings from other ad-related companies.Additionally, concerns around the potential for fines out of the U.K. have investors on edge.With the company's stock split officially in the rearview mirror, investors are finding few catalysts on the horizon.For investors in Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), it’s been a trying year. Yes, there have been some flurries of hope for this mega-cap online tech player. However, GOOG stock has underperformed the expectations of many investors, now down more than 25% on a year-to-date basis.Today, GOOG stock is down another 7% as investors price in a flurry of catalysts.The first is a lackluster earnings report from social media company Snap. The parent company of Snapchat reported some rather dismal numbers, missing estimates and posting a wider-than-expected free cash flow loss. Accordingly, concerns around digital ad spending are growing. This is a pertinent issue for companies such as Alphabet, whose Google division provides the lion’s share of revenues and cash flows.Other key drivers that appear to be in play today are concerns around compensation for fraud victims in the U.K., as well as the potential that post-stock split, GOOG stock doesn’t really have much in the way of positive catalysts to take this stock higher.Let’s dive into what to make of today’s impressive move in Alphabet.Is GOOG Stock a Buy on Today’s Impressive Decline?Seeing a mega-cap stock like Alphabet lose more than 7% of its value in a single day is indeed a big move. With billions of dollars of valuation wiped out, investors may consider this stock a great buy. After all, the company now trades around 18 times earnings following this decline.However, there are plenty of headwinds investors are factoring in right now. Earnings for other digital ad-oriented companies are getting hit hard. And while Google’s underlying business model is fundamentally different from Snap’s, it’s clear that investors are taking a cautious approach to this sector right now.Accordingly, while it is interesting to see GOOG stock trade around the $107 mark (at the time of writing), the fact that this stock split has officially happened takes away one of the key non-fundamental drivers Alphabet had. In the absence of other catalysts, investors appear to have lost interest. In this market, that can mean significant near-term downside pressure, such as what we’re seeing today.While I think GOOG stock is a great long-term bet, it may be a bumpy few months ahead. Until we get an indication of where this economy is heading, it’s likely going to be turbulent for all stocks. Indeed, seeing Alphabet drop as it has today should be an indication of this for investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919743755,"gmtCreate":1663883527477,"gmtModify":1676537353574,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919743755","repostId":"1152785107","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152785107","pubTimestamp":1663860360,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152785107?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-22 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152785107","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>While fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.</li><li>We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.</li><li>Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.</li></ul><p><i>DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer</i> <i>to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note&#39;s date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.</i></p><p>It&#39;s Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn&#39;t.</p><p>As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&amp;P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day&#39;s work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!</p><p>This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it&#39;s not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.</p><p><b>Let&#39;s Talk About SPY</b></p><p>OK folks, let&#39;s just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like this</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca80a46b6ff8f158873974f116b4ad7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.</p><p>Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.</p><p>Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.</p><p>And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they&#39;ll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.</p><p>So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.</p><p>Yes, we&#39;re saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded <i>so</i> well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.</p><p>But don&#39;t take our word for it. Let&#39;s zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.</p><p>And is it ever. Today&#39;s close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that&#39;s thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65bfa539e75474ecde04800d17b63585\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p><b>What The Fed Is Going On Then?</b></p><p>Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.</p><p>Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...<i>up</i>? Huh?</p><p>We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about <i>manipulation</i> and so forth. Because that&#39;s just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don&#39;t doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that&#39;s rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.</p><p>You see in the index ETFs there&#39;s a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it&#39;s to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1de0c0082c1ca0ce7a2e248d7d64ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It&#39;s no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it&#39;s a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we&#39;ll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn&#39;t. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they&#39;re not.</p><p>So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You&#39;ll know soon enough if we&#39;re right or wrong. If right, SPY won&#39;t spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.</p><p>For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-22 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152785107","content_text":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.It's Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn't.As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day's work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it's not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.Let's Talk About SPYOK folks, let's just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like thisSPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they'll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.Yes, we're saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded so well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.But don't take our word for it. Let's zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.And is it ever. Today's close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that's thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)What The Fed Is Going On Then?Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...up? Huh?We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about manipulation and so forth. Because that's just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don't doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that's rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.You see in the index ETFs there's a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it's to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.S&P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It's no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it's a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we'll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn't. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they're not.So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You'll know soon enough if we're right or wrong. If right, SPY won't spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999763336,"gmtCreate":1660601285027,"gmtModify":1676536360058,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999763336","repostId":"2259501651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2259501651","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1660555800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259501651?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-15 17:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto Is Taking a Few Small Banks on a Wild Ride","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259501651","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"When big banks steered clear of cryptocurrency companies, a handful of small lenders eagerly courted","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>When big banks steered clear of cryptocurrency companies, a handful of small lenders eagerly courted the booming businesses. Now, they are dealing with the bust.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital</a> Corp., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNYW\">Signature Bank</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CUBI\">Customers Bancorp Inc.</a> have snapped up billions of dollars in deposits from crypto businesses -- the exchanges, investment firms and stablecoin issuers that grew rapidly alongside the market for digital currencies.</p><p>The plunge in crypto prices this year has taken the banks on a wild ride. At Silvergate, deposits swung by $5 billion in the second quarter, a nearly unheard of move for a bank of its size, before ending basically flat at $13.5 billion. Signature posted its second quarterly decline in deposits in the last decade, and a major crypto customer filed for bankruptcy.</p><p>Volatility also has seeped into the banks&#39; stocks, which now trade more like crypto firms than their staid banking peers. The shares of Silvergate and Signature both doubled last year when the market was booming, while Customers stock more than tripled. Silvergate is down nearly 30% this year, while Signature and Customers are off almost 40%. The broad Nasdaq Bank index has fallen 8%.</p><p>Big banks have been snatching market share from small banks for years, especially when it comes to deposits. That has left smaller banks looking for growth in places where the big banks aren&#39;t. With crypto, the difficulty of the strategy is evident.</p><p>Banks typically want sticky deposits -- stable, low-cost funding that allows them to make more long-term loans. In the most extreme scenario, an unstable deposit base can make banks more prone to runs where customers ask for their money back faster than the bank can deliver it. A plunging stock price can make it harder for a bank to raise the money it needs to operate.</p><p>The crypto-focused banks aren&#39;t holding digital currencies. Instead, they provide corporate bank accounts for crypto companies. They also operate special payments networks: A hedge fund buying bitcoin through exchange Coinbase Global Inc., for instance, could use dollars from the fund&#39;s Silvergate checking account to almost instantly cover the purchase.</p><p>More deposits usually allow a bank to increase lending. But these banks aren&#39;t growing their loan books as fast as they are building deposits, opting instead to keep a bigger cushion to account for unexpected outflows. Silvergate and Signature posted record profits in the second quarter, despite the dramatic moves in the crypto market.</p><p>&#34;This is all just par for the course,&#34; said Silvergate Chief Executive Alan Lane. &#34;We&#39;ve set things up to essentially thrive during these times of market dislocation.&#34;</p><p>In 2013, Silvergate was a commercial real estate lender with a handful of branches in the San Diego area in search of deposits. The bank opened to crypto companies the next year, and its deposits have since grown 30-fold, with 99% of them coming from the digital-currency world. The bank has sold off most of its traditional banking business to concentrate on crypto companies and institutional investors, banking well-known exchanges such as FTX, Coinbase and Kraken.</p><p>Early in the year, a decline in cryptocurrency trading volumes meant clients needed fewer deposits. The May collapse of TerraUSD, a stablecoin pegged to the dollar, sent losses rippling through crypto exchanges and brokers, causing prices to plunge and kicking off a trading frenzy. Silvergate&#39;s deposits went as high as $17.6 billion and down to $12.6 billion in the second quarter.</p><p>The bank said it hasn&#39;t lost any money on its $1.4 billion portfolio of loans backed by bitcoin, though the digital currency&#39;s value has halved this year. Silvergate requires collateral far above the value of the borrowings.</p><p>In 2018, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a> hired bankers specializing in crypto, part of an effort to branch out beyond commercial real estate.</p><p>Since the bank unveiled its own payments system for crypto companies, total deposits have nearly tripled to $104 billion. Crypto-linked deposits made up 26% of the tally at the end of the second quarter.</p><p>One of Signature&#39;s customers, crypto lender Celsius Network LLC, filed for bankruptcy in July. In court papers, Celsius said it had $130 million in cash on hand and nearly all of its bank accounts were at Signature. Signature has experience working with clients in bankruptcy, and Celsius accounts for a small part of its deposits, Chairman Scott Shay said in an interview.</p><p>A $2.4 billion decline in digital-asset deposits in the second quarter dragged down total deposits.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re banking a lot of companies, and it&#39;s not our job to pick the winners and losers,&#34; Mr. Shay said.</p><p>Pennsylvania-based Customers Bank started pursuing crypto-company deposits less than a year ago. Its payments system has attracted more than $2 billion so far, a sizable sum for a bank with $17 billion in deposits.</p><p>Crypto clients withdrew hundreds of millions of dollars on some days in the second quarter, often to meet customer redemptions, said Christopher Smalley, the bank&#39;s head of digital banking. Still, crypto-linked deposits grew, albeit more slowly.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s worth us taking the risk that there will be negative news events or additional regulatory scrutiny to get these very large deposits,&#34; Mr. Smalley said. &#34;We&#39;re prepared for an extinction-level event where bitcoin would go to zero.&#34;</p><p>The bank, he said, has also beefed up its anti-money-laundering team. It is rolling out loans backed by customers&#39; crypto. Co-branded credit cards with exchanges and other projects could be next, Mr. Smalley said.</p><p>New York-based Metropolitan Commercial Bank held deposits for customers at exchanges and partnered with exchange Crypto.com to issue a prepaid debit card backed by investors&#39; crypto holdings. Metropolitan holds $270 million in customer deposits for exchange Voyager Ltd., which went bankrupt last month. It now could lose the whole chunk, about 4% of its total deposits, when those customers are paid back.</p><p>Metropolitan said it is pivoting away from crypto, looking to bank financial-technology companies instead.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Is Taking a Few Small Banks on a Wild Ride</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Is Taking a Few Small Banks on a Wild Ride\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-15 17:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>When big banks steered clear of cryptocurrency companies, a handful of small lenders eagerly courted the booming businesses. Now, they are dealing with the bust.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital</a> Corp., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNYW\">Signature Bank</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CUBI\">Customers Bancorp Inc.</a> have snapped up billions of dollars in deposits from crypto businesses -- the exchanges, investment firms and stablecoin issuers that grew rapidly alongside the market for digital currencies.</p><p>The plunge in crypto prices this year has taken the banks on a wild ride. At Silvergate, deposits swung by $5 billion in the second quarter, a nearly unheard of move for a bank of its size, before ending basically flat at $13.5 billion. Signature posted its second quarterly decline in deposits in the last decade, and a major crypto customer filed for bankruptcy.</p><p>Volatility also has seeped into the banks&#39; stocks, which now trade more like crypto firms than their staid banking peers. The shares of Silvergate and Signature both doubled last year when the market was booming, while Customers stock more than tripled. Silvergate is down nearly 30% this year, while Signature and Customers are off almost 40%. The broad Nasdaq Bank index has fallen 8%.</p><p>Big banks have been snatching market share from small banks for years, especially when it comes to deposits. That has left smaller banks looking for growth in places where the big banks aren&#39;t. With crypto, the difficulty of the strategy is evident.</p><p>Banks typically want sticky deposits -- stable, low-cost funding that allows them to make more long-term loans. In the most extreme scenario, an unstable deposit base can make banks more prone to runs where customers ask for their money back faster than the bank can deliver it. A plunging stock price can make it harder for a bank to raise the money it needs to operate.</p><p>The crypto-focused banks aren&#39;t holding digital currencies. Instead, they provide corporate bank accounts for crypto companies. They also operate special payments networks: A hedge fund buying bitcoin through exchange Coinbase Global Inc., for instance, could use dollars from the fund&#39;s Silvergate checking account to almost instantly cover the purchase.</p><p>More deposits usually allow a bank to increase lending. But these banks aren&#39;t growing their loan books as fast as they are building deposits, opting instead to keep a bigger cushion to account for unexpected outflows. Silvergate and Signature posted record profits in the second quarter, despite the dramatic moves in the crypto market.</p><p>&#34;This is all just par for the course,&#34; said Silvergate Chief Executive Alan Lane. &#34;We&#39;ve set things up to essentially thrive during these times of market dislocation.&#34;</p><p>In 2013, Silvergate was a commercial real estate lender with a handful of branches in the San Diego area in search of deposits. The bank opened to crypto companies the next year, and its deposits have since grown 30-fold, with 99% of them coming from the digital-currency world. The bank has sold off most of its traditional banking business to concentrate on crypto companies and institutional investors, banking well-known exchanges such as FTX, Coinbase and Kraken.</p><p>Early in the year, a decline in cryptocurrency trading volumes meant clients needed fewer deposits. The May collapse of TerraUSD, a stablecoin pegged to the dollar, sent losses rippling through crypto exchanges and brokers, causing prices to plunge and kicking off a trading frenzy. Silvergate&#39;s deposits went as high as $17.6 billion and down to $12.6 billion in the second quarter.</p><p>The bank said it hasn&#39;t lost any money on its $1.4 billion portfolio of loans backed by bitcoin, though the digital currency&#39;s value has halved this year. Silvergate requires collateral far above the value of the borrowings.</p><p>In 2018, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a> hired bankers specializing in crypto, part of an effort to branch out beyond commercial real estate.</p><p>Since the bank unveiled its own payments system for crypto companies, total deposits have nearly tripled to $104 billion. Crypto-linked deposits made up 26% of the tally at the end of the second quarter.</p><p>One of Signature&#39;s customers, crypto lender Celsius Network LLC, filed for bankruptcy in July. In court papers, Celsius said it had $130 million in cash on hand and nearly all of its bank accounts were at Signature. Signature has experience working with clients in bankruptcy, and Celsius accounts for a small part of its deposits, Chairman Scott Shay said in an interview.</p><p>A $2.4 billion decline in digital-asset deposits in the second quarter dragged down total deposits.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re banking a lot of companies, and it&#39;s not our job to pick the winners and losers,&#34; Mr. Shay said.</p><p>Pennsylvania-based Customers Bank started pursuing crypto-company deposits less than a year ago. Its payments system has attracted more than $2 billion so far, a sizable sum for a bank with $17 billion in deposits.</p><p>Crypto clients withdrew hundreds of millions of dollars on some days in the second quarter, often to meet customer redemptions, said Christopher Smalley, the bank&#39;s head of digital banking. Still, crypto-linked deposits grew, albeit more slowly.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s worth us taking the risk that there will be negative news events or additional regulatory scrutiny to get these very large deposits,&#34; Mr. Smalley said. &#34;We&#39;re prepared for an extinction-level event where bitcoin would go to zero.&#34;</p><p>The bank, he said, has also beefed up its anti-money-laundering team. It is rolling out loans backed by customers&#39; crypto. Co-branded credit cards with exchanges and other projects could be next, Mr. Smalley said.</p><p>New York-based Metropolitan Commercial Bank held deposits for customers at exchanges and partnered with exchange Crypto.com to issue a prepaid debit card backed by investors&#39; crypto holdings. Metropolitan holds $270 million in customer deposits for exchange Voyager Ltd., which went bankrupt last month. It now could lose the whole chunk, about 4% of its total deposits, when those customers are paid back.</p><p>Metropolitan said it is pivoting away from crypto, looking to bank financial-technology companies instead.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4211":"区域性银行","MCB":"Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp.","SBNY":"签字银行","CUBI":"Customers Bancorp Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259501651","content_text":"When big banks steered clear of cryptocurrency companies, a handful of small lenders eagerly courted the booming businesses. Now, they are dealing with the bust.Silvergate Capital Corp., Signature Bank and Customers Bancorp Inc. have snapped up billions of dollars in deposits from crypto businesses -- the exchanges, investment firms and stablecoin issuers that grew rapidly alongside the market for digital currencies.The plunge in crypto prices this year has taken the banks on a wild ride. At Silvergate, deposits swung by $5 billion in the second quarter, a nearly unheard of move for a bank of its size, before ending basically flat at $13.5 billion. Signature posted its second quarterly decline in deposits in the last decade, and a major crypto customer filed for bankruptcy.Volatility also has seeped into the banks' stocks, which now trade more like crypto firms than their staid banking peers. The shares of Silvergate and Signature both doubled last year when the market was booming, while Customers stock more than tripled. Silvergate is down nearly 30% this year, while Signature and Customers are off almost 40%. The broad Nasdaq Bank index has fallen 8%.Big banks have been snatching market share from small banks for years, especially when it comes to deposits. That has left smaller banks looking for growth in places where the big banks aren't. With crypto, the difficulty of the strategy is evident.Banks typically want sticky deposits -- stable, low-cost funding that allows them to make more long-term loans. In the most extreme scenario, an unstable deposit base can make banks more prone to runs where customers ask for their money back faster than the bank can deliver it. A plunging stock price can make it harder for a bank to raise the money it needs to operate.The crypto-focused banks aren't holding digital currencies. Instead, they provide corporate bank accounts for crypto companies. They also operate special payments networks: A hedge fund buying bitcoin through exchange Coinbase Global Inc., for instance, could use dollars from the fund's Silvergate checking account to almost instantly cover the purchase.More deposits usually allow a bank to increase lending. But these banks aren't growing their loan books as fast as they are building deposits, opting instead to keep a bigger cushion to account for unexpected outflows. Silvergate and Signature posted record profits in the second quarter, despite the dramatic moves in the crypto market.\"This is all just par for the course,\" said Silvergate Chief Executive Alan Lane. \"We've set things up to essentially thrive during these times of market dislocation.\"In 2013, Silvergate was a commercial real estate lender with a handful of branches in the San Diego area in search of deposits. The bank opened to crypto companies the next year, and its deposits have since grown 30-fold, with 99% of them coming from the digital-currency world. The bank has sold off most of its traditional banking business to concentrate on crypto companies and institutional investors, banking well-known exchanges such as FTX, Coinbase and Kraken.Early in the year, a decline in cryptocurrency trading volumes meant clients needed fewer deposits. The May collapse of TerraUSD, a stablecoin pegged to the dollar, sent losses rippling through crypto exchanges and brokers, causing prices to plunge and kicking off a trading frenzy. Silvergate's deposits went as high as $17.6 billion and down to $12.6 billion in the second quarter.The bank said it hasn't lost any money on its $1.4 billion portfolio of loans backed by bitcoin, though the digital currency's value has halved this year. Silvergate requires collateral far above the value of the borrowings.In 2018, Signature Bank hired bankers specializing in crypto, part of an effort to branch out beyond commercial real estate.Since the bank unveiled its own payments system for crypto companies, total deposits have nearly tripled to $104 billion. Crypto-linked deposits made up 26% of the tally at the end of the second quarter.One of Signature's customers, crypto lender Celsius Network LLC, filed for bankruptcy in July. In court papers, Celsius said it had $130 million in cash on hand and nearly all of its bank accounts were at Signature. Signature has experience working with clients in bankruptcy, and Celsius accounts for a small part of its deposits, Chairman Scott Shay said in an interview.A $2.4 billion decline in digital-asset deposits in the second quarter dragged down total deposits.\"We're banking a lot of companies, and it's not our job to pick the winners and losers,\" Mr. Shay said.Pennsylvania-based Customers Bank started pursuing crypto-company deposits less than a year ago. Its payments system has attracted more than $2 billion so far, a sizable sum for a bank with $17 billion in deposits.Crypto clients withdrew hundreds of millions of dollars on some days in the second quarter, often to meet customer redemptions, said Christopher Smalley, the bank's head of digital banking. Still, crypto-linked deposits grew, albeit more slowly.\"It's worth us taking the risk that there will be negative news events or additional regulatory scrutiny to get these very large deposits,\" Mr. Smalley said. \"We're prepared for an extinction-level event where bitcoin would go to zero.\"The bank, he said, has also beefed up its anti-money-laundering team. It is rolling out loans backed by customers' crypto. Co-branded credit cards with exchanges and other projects could be next, Mr. Smalley said.New York-based Metropolitan Commercial Bank held deposits for customers at exchanges and partnered with exchange Crypto.com to issue a prepaid debit card backed by investors' crypto holdings. Metropolitan holds $270 million in customer deposits for exchange Voyager Ltd., which went bankrupt last month. It now could lose the whole chunk, about 4% of its total deposits, when those customers are paid back.Metropolitan said it is pivoting away from crypto, looking to bank financial-technology companies instead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933518802,"gmtCreate":1662328988507,"gmtModify":1676537035162,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$[Spurting]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53f409e5f37598647ffa714b0550f10a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933518802","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993694503,"gmtCreate":1660687228104,"gmtModify":1676536376353,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993694503","repostId":"2259800058","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2259800058","pubTimestamp":1660658491,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259800058?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-16 22:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea’s Loss Wider Than Expected as Asian Consumer Spending Tanks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259800058","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The Singaporean company is bracing for slower online retailOnline retailers are struggling with glob","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>The Singaporean company is bracing for slower online retail</li><li>Online retailers are struggling with global economic malaise</li></ul><p>Sea Ltd. posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</p><p>The Singapore-based company posted an adjusted loss before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $506.3 million in the June quarter, surpassing the average projection for $482.3 million. Its shares slid more than 9% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84aeb7e617c8f89d7b218f9aca1bd15\" tg-width=\"819\" tg-height=\"819\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The downbeat result came after Sea cut its full-year e-commerce revenue outlook in May, to a low of $8.5 billion versus $8.9 billion previously. Shoppers emerging from pandemic lockdowns are cutting back on online purchases, shifting toward essentials during a potential recession.</p><p>Sea, which counts Tencent Holdings Ltd. as its biggest investor, has suffered a run of setbacks this year, including a sudden ban of its most popular mobile game in India and the subsequent closure of its e-commerce operations there. Its shares have fallen about 75% since peaking in October.</p><p>The company has been trying to boost profitability as topline growth plateaus. Second-quarter sales rose 29% to $2.9 billion, the slowest growth in almost five years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42b19d2519fe967a1ec60a363a59597c\" tg-width=\"667\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2>Key Insights</h2><ul><li>Sea’s net loss more than doubled to over $931 million</li><li>Second-quarter revenue from Shopee, Sea’s e-commerce unit, gained 51% to about $1.7 billion versus estimates of $1.9 billion.</li><li>Revenue from gaming arm Garena fell to $900.3 million, slightly ahead of estimates for $827.6 million, as hit mobile game Free Fire matures. The company said in March it expected Garena to post $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion in bookings in 2022, set to be its first decline ever.</li><li>Revenue from SeaMoney, Sea’s digital financial services unit, rose to $279 million.</li></ul><h2>Get More</h2><ul><li>Sea has been reducing its overseas footprint and slashing jobs in peripheral businesses as competition takes a toll and as it focuses more on profitability, a stark shift from its previous stance of spending for global expansion.</li><li>Shopee’s gross merchandise value, the sum of transactions flowing through its platform, rose 27% to $19 billion.</li><li>Some investors are reducing their exposure to Sea. Tiger Global Management LLC sold $473.8 million of Sea shares, cutting its holdings after six quarters of buying, according to SEC filings. Altimeter Capital Management LP, a shareholder of Singapore-based <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab Holdings</a> Ltd., exited Sea’s Class A-ADRs, according to an analysis of its filings by Bloomberg News.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea’s Loss Wider Than Expected as Asian Consumer Spending Tanks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea’s Loss Wider Than Expected as Asian Consumer Spending Tanks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 22:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sea-loss-wider-expected-asian-105820432.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singaporean company is bracing for slower online retailOnline retailers are struggling with global economic malaiseSea Ltd. posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sea-loss-wider-expected-asian-105820432.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","GRAB":"Grab Holdings","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","SE":"Sea Ltd","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","GRABW":"Grab Holdings WTS 2026/01/12 11.5C","C":"花旗","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sea-loss-wider-expected-asian-105820432.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2259800058","content_text":"The Singaporean company is bracing for slower online retailOnline retailers are struggling with global economic malaiseSea Ltd. posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.The Singapore-based company posted an adjusted loss before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $506.3 million in the June quarter, surpassing the average projection for $482.3 million. Its shares slid more than 9% in morning trading.The downbeat result came after Sea cut its full-year e-commerce revenue outlook in May, to a low of $8.5 billion versus $8.9 billion previously. Shoppers emerging from pandemic lockdowns are cutting back on online purchases, shifting toward essentials during a potential recession.Sea, which counts Tencent Holdings Ltd. as its biggest investor, has suffered a run of setbacks this year, including a sudden ban of its most popular mobile game in India and the subsequent closure of its e-commerce operations there. Its shares have fallen about 75% since peaking in October.The company has been trying to boost profitability as topline growth plateaus. Second-quarter sales rose 29% to $2.9 billion, the slowest growth in almost five years.Key InsightsSea’s net loss more than doubled to over $931 millionSecond-quarter revenue from Shopee, Sea’s e-commerce unit, gained 51% to about $1.7 billion versus estimates of $1.9 billion.Revenue from gaming arm Garena fell to $900.3 million, slightly ahead of estimates for $827.6 million, as hit mobile game Free Fire matures. The company said in March it expected Garena to post $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion in bookings in 2022, set to be its first decline ever.Revenue from SeaMoney, Sea’s digital financial services unit, rose to $279 million.Get MoreSea has been reducing its overseas footprint and slashing jobs in peripheral businesses as competition takes a toll and as it focuses more on profitability, a stark shift from its previous stance of spending for global expansion.Shopee’s gross merchandise value, the sum of transactions flowing through its platform, rose 27% to $19 billion.Some investors are reducing their exposure to Sea. Tiger Global Management LLC sold $473.8 million of Sea shares, cutting its holdings after six quarters of buying, according to SEC filings. Altimeter Capital Management LP, a shareholder of Singapore-based Grab Holdings Ltd., exited Sea’s Class A-ADRs, according to an analysis of its filings by Bloomberg News.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999690192,"gmtCreate":1660522599618,"gmtModify":1676533484432,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999690192","repostId":"1190520604","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190520604","pubTimestamp":1660550029,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190520604?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-15 15:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Market Rebound Draws Wary Eye From Some Investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190520604","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Stocks reached another milestone in their comeback last week, with the Nasdaq Composite rising more ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks reached another milestone in their comeback last week, with the Nasdaq Composite rising more than 20% from its mid-June low to end its longest bear market since 2008.</p><p>The rally has stirred a familiar debate: Will the rebound continue?</p><p>Some investors are starting to believe the worst of this year’s rout might be behind them. Data last week showed gauges of both consumer and producer prices falling in July, offering some hope that inflation might be at or close to a peak.</p><p>The labor market also remains robust. Employers added more than half a million jobs in July, while the unemployment rate ticked down to close to a half-century low—hardly things investors would expect to see if the economy were in or on the brink of a recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a9a8d2b0f531fdd62e661d3c33d436b\" tg-width=\"845\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On the flip side, the Federal Reserve isn’t done raising interest rates, leaving richly valued parts of the market vulnerable.</p><p>Much of what has surged the past several weeks is precisely what led the market lower during its punishing selloff in the first half of the year. Meme stocks such as AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc. have climbed 107% and 111%, respectively, since markets bottomed for the year on June 16. Shares of cryptocurrency-related companies such as Coinbase Global Inc. and triple-leveraged exchange-traded funds tracking the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index have also soared.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is up 17% over the same period but remains down 10% for the year.</p><p>With inflation remaining near multiyear highs, some investors worry parts of the market are in for another punishing selloff, especially if the Fed has to raise interest rates for longer than expected. When interest rates were at historic lows, investors got big returns from piling into shares of richly valued, often unprofitable companies. The fact that bond yields were so low made even the riskiest stocks—as well as other investments, like cryptocurrencies—look like an attractive proposition for many investors. Rising rates reverse that dynamic.</p><p>“I can’t argue that this pace [of market gains] is going to continue,” said Nancy Tengler, chief investment officer of Laffer Tengler Investments. “Whether we are in recession now or are going to be in one in the third or fourth quarter, you know economic growth is going to slow.”</p><p>That means it is prudent to be even more selective about what types of companies the firm is putting money into, she said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f851214d93db89d4b56bd502f9981850\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>One factor that has clouded investors’ outlook is debate over how far into the future the Fed will have to keep raising interest rates.</p><p>Since the Fed’s July policy meeting, some investors have bet the central bank will pivot from raising interest rates to lowering them next year to boost economic activity again. That has helped spark a rebound in not just stock but also bond prices. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which falls as bond prices rise, fell to 2.848% Friday, down from its mid-June peak of 3.482%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995cb42840b965a3a7dd93b573d9a02c\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Skeptics, however, warn that it might be too early to assume that the Fed will change tacks in 2023. July’s CPI and PPI readings were good news for the markets. And they certainly gave wind to the idea that the Fed will raise interest rates by half a point at its September meeting, instead of three-quarters of a point as initially expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1733782d24e80ed8d6a664db5142a233\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>But just one or two lower inflation readings won’t suffice in convincing the Fed that inflation is dissipating, said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research.</p><p>Some factors driving inflation higher have also yet to ease. Last week’s CPI report showed grocery prices rose 13.1% in July from a year ago, the fastest pace since 1979. Housing prices also increased.</p><p>Given the way the Fed typically likes to see multiple consecutive economic readings before changing tack on policy, markets might be running ahead of themselves, Mr. Colas said.</p><p>Many investors are skeptical the recent rebound in more speculative investments will shake out differently this time.</p><p>“When something goes down 80% and then comes back up 20%, it still doesn’t get you much,” said Rick Lear, chief investment officer of Lear Investment Management. “It’s just bouncing off its lows.</p><p>Rather than arguing semantics—whether the S&amp;P 500 is about to break out into a bull market or is stuck in a bear market rally, or whether the economy is in a recession now or will be later—Mr. Lear says he is choosing to focus on picking companies that can weather a tough economic environment.</p><p>He is also steering clear of many of the stocks that have surged the most during the market’s comeback, wary of the possibility of being burned by stocks that appear to be trading mostly off momentum, instead of their earnings.</p><p>“This could be a real reset of the bull market,” Mr. Lear said. “But we don’t know. And it really doesn’t matter to us.”</p></body></html>","source":"wsj_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Market Rebound Draws Wary Eye From Some Investors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarket Rebound Draws Wary Eye From Some Investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-15 15:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/market-rebound-draws-wary-eye-from-some-investors-11660469378?mod=hp_lead_pos1><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks reached another milestone in their comeback last week, with the Nasdaq Composite rising more than 20% from its mid-June low to end its longest bear market since 2008.The rally has stirred a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/market-rebound-draws-wary-eye-from-some-investors-11660469378?mod=hp_lead_pos1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/market-rebound-draws-wary-eye-from-some-investors-11660469378?mod=hp_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190520604","content_text":"Stocks reached another milestone in their comeback last week, with the Nasdaq Composite rising more than 20% from its mid-June low to end its longest bear market since 2008.The rally has stirred a familiar debate: Will the rebound continue?Some investors are starting to believe the worst of this year’s rout might be behind them. Data last week showed gauges of both consumer and producer prices falling in July, offering some hope that inflation might be at or close to a peak.The labor market also remains robust. Employers added more than half a million jobs in July, while the unemployment rate ticked down to close to a half-century low—hardly things investors would expect to see if the economy were in or on the brink of a recession.On the flip side, the Federal Reserve isn’t done raising interest rates, leaving richly valued parts of the market vulnerable.Much of what has surged the past several weeks is precisely what led the market lower during its punishing selloff in the first half of the year. Meme stocks such as AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. and Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. have climbed 107% and 111%, respectively, since markets bottomed for the year on June 16. Shares of cryptocurrency-related companies such as Coinbase Global Inc. and triple-leveraged exchange-traded funds tracking the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index have also soared.The S&P 500 is up 17% over the same period but remains down 10% for the year.With inflation remaining near multiyear highs, some investors worry parts of the market are in for another punishing selloff, especially if the Fed has to raise interest rates for longer than expected. When interest rates were at historic lows, investors got big returns from piling into shares of richly valued, often unprofitable companies. The fact that bond yields were so low made even the riskiest stocks—as well as other investments, like cryptocurrencies—look like an attractive proposition for many investors. Rising rates reverse that dynamic.“I can’t argue that this pace [of market gains] is going to continue,” said Nancy Tengler, chief investment officer of Laffer Tengler Investments. “Whether we are in recession now or are going to be in one in the third or fourth quarter, you know economic growth is going to slow.”That means it is prudent to be even more selective about what types of companies the firm is putting money into, she said.One factor that has clouded investors’ outlook is debate over how far into the future the Fed will have to keep raising interest rates.Since the Fed’s July policy meeting, some investors have bet the central bank will pivot from raising interest rates to lowering them next year to boost economic activity again. That has helped spark a rebound in not just stock but also bond prices. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which falls as bond prices rise, fell to 2.848% Friday, down from its mid-June peak of 3.482%.Skeptics, however, warn that it might be too early to assume that the Fed will change tacks in 2023. July’s CPI and PPI readings were good news for the markets. And they certainly gave wind to the idea that the Fed will raise interest rates by half a point at its September meeting, instead of three-quarters of a point as initially expected.But just one or two lower inflation readings won’t suffice in convincing the Fed that inflation is dissipating, said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research.Some factors driving inflation higher have also yet to ease. Last week’s CPI report showed grocery prices rose 13.1% in July from a year ago, the fastest pace since 1979. Housing prices also increased.Given the way the Fed typically likes to see multiple consecutive economic readings before changing tack on policy, markets might be running ahead of themselves, Mr. Colas said.Many investors are skeptical the recent rebound in more speculative investments will shake out differently this time.“When something goes down 80% and then comes back up 20%, it still doesn’t get you much,” said Rick Lear, chief investment officer of Lear Investment Management. “It’s just bouncing off its lows.Rather than arguing semantics—whether the S&P 500 is about to break out into a bull market or is stuck in a bear market rally, or whether the economy is in a recession now or will be later—Mr. Lear says he is choosing to focus on picking companies that can weather a tough economic environment.He is also steering clear of many of the stocks that have surged the most during the market’s comeback, wary of the possibility of being burned by stocks that appear to be trading mostly off momentum, instead of their earnings.“This could be a real reset of the bull market,” Mr. Lear said. “But we don’t know. And it really doesn’t matter to us.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077526623,"gmtCreate":1658543860362,"gmtModify":1676536174720,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077526623","repostId":"2253065181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253065181","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1658522173,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2253065181?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-23 04:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Lower As Ad Tech, Social Media Stocks Drop","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253065181","media":"Reuters","summary":"Snap Inc shares plunge on slowing growthCommunication services stocks lead sectoral declinesAmEx rai","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> shares plunge on slowing growth</li><li>Communication services stocks lead sectoral declines</li><li>AmEx raises revenue forecast on resilient card spending</li><li>Indexes down: Dow 0.43%, S&amp;P 500 0.93%, Nasdaq 1.87%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended lower on Friday as disappointing earnings from Snap spooked investors and shares in social media and ad tech firms dropped, offsetting gains from card issuer American Express following an upbeat forecast.</p><p>Still, all three major indexes posted weekly gains despite Friday&#39;s losses with the tech heavy Nasdaq closing out the week 3.3% higher. The S&amp;P 500 advanced 2.4%, and the Dow gained 2%.</p><p>Snapchat owner posted its weakest-ever quarterly sales growth as a public company, sending Snap Inc&#39;s shares down nearly 40%, while Twitter Inc reversed earlier losses to add 0.8% following a surprise fall in revenue.</p><p>Other online companies that depend heavily on ads, such as tech giants <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc and Alphabet Inc tumbled 7.6% and 5.6%, respectively, weighing on the Nasdaq.</p><p>Meta and Alphabet are set to post their earnings next week, along with mega-cap peers, including Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 communication services and information technology tumbled 4.3% and 1.4%, respectively, leading declines among the index&#39;s 11 sectors.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 137.61 points, or 0.43%, to 31,899.29, the S&amp;P 500 lost 37.32 points, or 0.93%, to 3,961.63 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.50 points, or 1.87%, to 11,834.11.</p><p>&#34;Earnings are coming in less bad than feared, but they&#39;re deteriorating from what we got used to and accustomed to over the last several quarters,&#34; said Bob Doll, CIO at Crossmark Global Investments.</p><p>With 106 of the S&amp;P 500 companies having reported earnings through Friday morning, 75.5% have topped analyst expectations, below the 81% beat rate over the past four quarters, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>All eyes are on the Federal Reserve&#39;s meeting and second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product data next week. While the U.S. central bank is expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points to curb runaway inflation, the GDP data is likely to be negative again.</p><p>Meanwhile, a survey on Friday showed that U.S. business activity contracted for the first time in nearly two years in July, deepening concerns about an economy stunted by high inflation, rising interest rates and dwindling consumer confidence.</p><p>“Economic data is coming in weaker.. kind of confirming the fact that a recession is highly likely over the next 12 months. And the markets is trying to figure out what that looks like with economic growth slowing significantly the Fed in the midst of pretty aggressive tightening fiscal,” said Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland.</p><p>Verizon Communications Inc tumbled 6.8% after announcing it cut its annual adjusted profit forecast as inflation weighs. American Express Co rose 1.9% on strong earnings and an increased revenue forecast.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.38 billion shares, compared with the 11.53 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.43-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.49-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 31 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 32 new highs and 74 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Lower As Ad Tech, Social Media Stocks Drop</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Lower As Ad Tech, Social Media Stocks Drop\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-23 04:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> shares plunge on slowing growth</li><li>Communication services stocks lead sectoral declines</li><li>AmEx raises revenue forecast on resilient card spending</li><li>Indexes down: Dow 0.43%, S&amp;P 500 0.93%, Nasdaq 1.87%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended lower on Friday as disappointing earnings from Snap spooked investors and shares in social media and ad tech firms dropped, offsetting gains from card issuer American Express following an upbeat forecast.</p><p>Still, all three major indexes posted weekly gains despite Friday&#39;s losses with the tech heavy Nasdaq closing out the week 3.3% higher. The S&amp;P 500 advanced 2.4%, and the Dow gained 2%.</p><p>Snapchat owner posted its weakest-ever quarterly sales growth as a public company, sending Snap Inc&#39;s shares down nearly 40%, while Twitter Inc reversed earlier losses to add 0.8% following a surprise fall in revenue.</p><p>Other online companies that depend heavily on ads, such as tech giants <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc and Alphabet Inc tumbled 7.6% and 5.6%, respectively, weighing on the Nasdaq.</p><p>Meta and Alphabet are set to post their earnings next week, along with mega-cap peers, including Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 communication services and information technology tumbled 4.3% and 1.4%, respectively, leading declines among the index&#39;s 11 sectors.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 137.61 points, or 0.43%, to 31,899.29, the S&amp;P 500 lost 37.32 points, or 0.93%, to 3,961.63 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.50 points, or 1.87%, to 11,834.11.</p><p>&#34;Earnings are coming in less bad than feared, but they&#39;re deteriorating from what we got used to and accustomed to over the last several quarters,&#34; said Bob Doll, CIO at Crossmark Global Investments.</p><p>With 106 of the S&amp;P 500 companies having reported earnings through Friday morning, 75.5% have topped analyst expectations, below the 81% beat rate over the past four quarters, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>All eyes are on the Federal Reserve&#39;s meeting and second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product data next week. While the U.S. central bank is expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points to curb runaway inflation, the GDP data is likely to be negative again.</p><p>Meanwhile, a survey on Friday showed that U.S. business activity contracted for the first time in nearly two years in July, deepening concerns about an economy stunted by high inflation, rising interest rates and dwindling consumer confidence.</p><p>“Economic data is coming in weaker.. kind of confirming the fact that a recession is highly likely over the next 12 months. And the markets is trying to figure out what that looks like with economic growth slowing significantly the Fed in the midst of pretty aggressive tightening fiscal,” said Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland.</p><p>Verizon Communications Inc tumbled 6.8% after announcing it cut its annual adjusted profit forecast as inflation weighs. American Express Co rose 1.9% on strong earnings and an increased revenue forecast.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.38 billion shares, compared with the 11.53 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.43-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.49-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 31 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 32 new highs and 74 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253065181","content_text":"Snap Inc shares plunge on slowing growthCommunication services stocks lead sectoral declinesAmEx raises revenue forecast on resilient card spendingIndexes down: Dow 0.43%, S&P 500 0.93%, Nasdaq 1.87%(Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended lower on Friday as disappointing earnings from Snap spooked investors and shares in social media and ad tech firms dropped, offsetting gains from card issuer American Express following an upbeat forecast.Still, all three major indexes posted weekly gains despite Friday's losses with the tech heavy Nasdaq closing out the week 3.3% higher. The S&P 500 advanced 2.4%, and the Dow gained 2%.Snapchat owner posted its weakest-ever quarterly sales growth as a public company, sending Snap Inc's shares down nearly 40%, while Twitter Inc reversed earlier losses to add 0.8% following a surprise fall in revenue.Other online companies that depend heavily on ads, such as tech giants Meta Platforms Inc and Alphabet Inc tumbled 7.6% and 5.6%, respectively, weighing on the Nasdaq.Meta and Alphabet are set to post their earnings next week, along with mega-cap peers, including Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc.The S&P 500 communication services and information technology tumbled 4.3% and 1.4%, respectively, leading declines among the index's 11 sectors.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 137.61 points, or 0.43%, to 31,899.29, the S&P 500 lost 37.32 points, or 0.93%, to 3,961.63 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.50 points, or 1.87%, to 11,834.11.\"Earnings are coming in less bad than feared, but they're deteriorating from what we got used to and accustomed to over the last several quarters,\" said Bob Doll, CIO at Crossmark Global Investments.With 106 of the S&P 500 companies having reported earnings through Friday morning, 75.5% have topped analyst expectations, below the 81% beat rate over the past four quarters, according to Refinitiv data.All eyes are on the Federal Reserve's meeting and second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product data next week. While the U.S. central bank is expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points to curb runaway inflation, the GDP data is likely to be negative again.Meanwhile, a survey on Friday showed that U.S. business activity contracted for the first time in nearly two years in July, deepening concerns about an economy stunted by high inflation, rising interest rates and dwindling consumer confidence.“Economic data is coming in weaker.. kind of confirming the fact that a recession is highly likely over the next 12 months. And the markets is trying to figure out what that looks like with economic growth slowing significantly the Fed in the midst of pretty aggressive tightening fiscal,” said Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland.Verizon Communications Inc tumbled 6.8% after announcing it cut its annual adjusted profit forecast as inflation weighs. American Express Co rose 1.9% on strong earnings and an increased revenue forecast.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.38 billion shares, compared with the 11.53 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.43-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.49-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 31 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 32 new highs and 74 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903228892,"gmtCreate":1659048393216,"gmtModify":1676536247723,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903228892","repostId":"2255309371","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903223790,"gmtCreate":1659048302610,"gmtModify":1676536247691,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903223790","repostId":"2255309371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2255309371","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1659047924,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2255309371?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-29 06:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Forecasts Faster Sales Growth, Strong IPhone Demand Despite Glum Economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2255309371","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 28 (Reuters) - Apple Incon Thursday said parts shortages are easing and that demand for iPhones is unceasing despite consumers tightening other spending, helping it top Wall Street expectations a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 28 (Reuters) - Apple Inc on Thursday said parts shortages are easing and that demand for iPhones is unceasing despite consumers tightening other spending, helping it top Wall Street expectations and forecast faster sales growth ahead.</p><p>The Silicon Valley giant&#39;s shares rose 3.5% after hours following the release of the results. Apple said it was not providing specific revenue guidance due to economic uncertainty.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/957bf23c71c3987a2ad6bcd6a5c1b224\" tg-width=\"854\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Though macroeconomic indicators around the world are turning negative, Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri told Reuters there had been no slowdown in demand for iPhones. The iPhone maker&#39;s loyal and relatively affluent customer base has enabled it to weather dips better than other consumer brands in the past, and the results for Apple&#39;s fiscal third quarter suggest a similar pattern emerging.</p><p>Canalys Research analyst Runar Bjorhovde said, &#34;Apple in that sense has a certain robustness that will allow it to be impacted less than a lot of its competitors.&#34;</p><p>The slumping economy is hurting sales of advertising, accessories and home products, though, Apple&#39;s Maestri said in an interview, calling the units &#34;pockets of weakness.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Fortunately, we have a very broad portfolio, so we know we&#39;re going to be able to navigate that,&#34; he added.</p><p>Parts shortages will continue to limit Mac and iPad sales, Maestri said, though the impact has been easing. They cost Apple under $4 billion in sales in the quarter ended June 25, less than it had forecast. Maestri said the company expects the hit to diminish further in the current quarter.</p><p>Sales compared to a year ago should rise faster in the current quarter than 2% growth it posted in the just-ended quarter, Maestri said.</p><p>Overall, Apple said quarterly sales and profit were $83.0 billion and $1.20 per share, above estimates of $82.8 billion and $1.16 per share, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>While sales of iPhones and iPads topped expectations, revenue from services, Mac computers and accessories missed Wall Street targets and sales in the crucial China market fell 1%.</p><p>The rising U.S. dollar has hit many companies such as Apple that generate substantial foreign revenue and are getting less cash back when they convert it. Apple said currency fluctuations would slash sales by 6% in the current quarter.</p><p>The most recent economic woes include supply chain disruptions that have hit production of some Apple products such as iPads and Macs whose assembly locations were clustered near regions of China that went into COVID lockdowns.</p><p>Apple, like many of its tech industry peers, is reportedly slowing hiring and cutting costs given the tough economic climate.</p><p>Apple shares closed Thursday down about 11% so far this year, slightly less than the broader S&amp;P 500 index and also less than other consumer hardware makers such as Sonos Inc and Samsung Electronics Co.</p><p>Apple said iPhone sales were $40.7 billion, up about 3% from a year earlier and well ahead of the overall global smartphone market, which fell 9% during the just-ended quarter, according to Canalys data.</p><p>Growth in the company&#39;s services business, which has provided a boost to sales and profits in recent years, was 12%, below the previous year&#39;s 33% rate and resulting in $19.6 billion in revenue, below estimates of $19.7 billion.</p><p>Apple said it now has 860 million paying subscribers on either its paid services or to paid software in its App Store, up from the previous quarter&#39;s 825 million.</p><p>Sales of iPads and Macs were $7.2 billion and $7.4 billion, compared with estimates of $6.9 billion and $8.7 billion. Mac sales represented a 10% contraction, after record sales since 2020, first from a work-from-home boost and then from Apple&#39;s new proprietary processor chips.</p><p>In its most recent fiscal year, nearly a fifth of Apple&#39;s sales came from its Greater China region after two years of struggling sales there. But now Apple is confronting slow overall economic growth in China, where its fiscal third-quarter sales were $14.6 billion, down 1%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Forecasts Faster Sales Growth, Strong IPhone Demand Despite Glum Economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Forecasts Faster Sales Growth, Strong IPhone Demand Despite Glum Economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-29 06:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 28 (Reuters) - Apple Inc on Thursday said parts shortages are easing and that demand for iPhones is unceasing despite consumers tightening other spending, helping it top Wall Street expectations and forecast faster sales growth ahead.</p><p>The Silicon Valley giant&#39;s shares rose 3.5% after hours following the release of the results. Apple said it was not providing specific revenue guidance due to economic uncertainty.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/957bf23c71c3987a2ad6bcd6a5c1b224\" tg-width=\"854\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Though macroeconomic indicators around the world are turning negative, Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri told Reuters there had been no slowdown in demand for iPhones. The iPhone maker&#39;s loyal and relatively affluent customer base has enabled it to weather dips better than other consumer brands in the past, and the results for Apple&#39;s fiscal third quarter suggest a similar pattern emerging.</p><p>Canalys Research analyst Runar Bjorhovde said, &#34;Apple in that sense has a certain robustness that will allow it to be impacted less than a lot of its competitors.&#34;</p><p>The slumping economy is hurting sales of advertising, accessories and home products, though, Apple&#39;s Maestri said in an interview, calling the units &#34;pockets of weakness.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Fortunately, we have a very broad portfolio, so we know we&#39;re going to be able to navigate that,&#34; he added.</p><p>Parts shortages will continue to limit Mac and iPad sales, Maestri said, though the impact has been easing. They cost Apple under $4 billion in sales in the quarter ended June 25, less than it had forecast. Maestri said the company expects the hit to diminish further in the current quarter.</p><p>Sales compared to a year ago should rise faster in the current quarter than 2% growth it posted in the just-ended quarter, Maestri said.</p><p>Overall, Apple said quarterly sales and profit were $83.0 billion and $1.20 per share, above estimates of $82.8 billion and $1.16 per share, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>While sales of iPhones and iPads topped expectations, revenue from services, Mac computers and accessories missed Wall Street targets and sales in the crucial China market fell 1%.</p><p>The rising U.S. dollar has hit many companies such as Apple that generate substantial foreign revenue and are getting less cash back when they convert it. Apple said currency fluctuations would slash sales by 6% in the current quarter.</p><p>The most recent economic woes include supply chain disruptions that have hit production of some Apple products such as iPads and Macs whose assembly locations were clustered near regions of China that went into COVID lockdowns.</p><p>Apple, like many of its tech industry peers, is reportedly slowing hiring and cutting costs given the tough economic climate.</p><p>Apple shares closed Thursday down about 11% so far this year, slightly less than the broader S&amp;P 500 index and also less than other consumer hardware makers such as Sonos Inc and Samsung Electronics Co.</p><p>Apple said iPhone sales were $40.7 billion, up about 3% from a year earlier and well ahead of the overall global smartphone market, which fell 9% during the just-ended quarter, according to Canalys data.</p><p>Growth in the company&#39;s services business, which has provided a boost to sales and profits in recent years, was 12%, below the previous year&#39;s 33% rate and resulting in $19.6 billion in revenue, below estimates of $19.7 billion.</p><p>Apple said it now has 860 million paying subscribers on either its paid services or to paid software in its App Store, up from the previous quarter&#39;s 825 million.</p><p>Sales of iPads and Macs were $7.2 billion and $7.4 billion, compared with estimates of $6.9 billion and $8.7 billion. Mac sales represented a 10% contraction, after record sales since 2020, first from a work-from-home boost and then from Apple&#39;s new proprietary processor chips.</p><p>In its most recent fiscal year, nearly a fifth of Apple&#39;s sales came from its Greater China region after two years of struggling sales there. But now Apple is confronting slow overall economic growth in China, where its fiscal third-quarter sales were $14.6 billion, down 1%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2255309371","content_text":"July 28 (Reuters) - Apple Inc on Thursday said parts shortages are easing and that demand for iPhones is unceasing despite consumers tightening other spending, helping it top Wall Street expectations and forecast faster sales growth ahead.The Silicon Valley giant's shares rose 3.5% after hours following the release of the results. Apple said it was not providing specific revenue guidance due to economic uncertainty.Though macroeconomic indicators around the world are turning negative, Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri told Reuters there had been no slowdown in demand for iPhones. The iPhone maker's loyal and relatively affluent customer base has enabled it to weather dips better than other consumer brands in the past, and the results for Apple's fiscal third quarter suggest a similar pattern emerging.Canalys Research analyst Runar Bjorhovde said, \"Apple in that sense has a certain robustness that will allow it to be impacted less than a lot of its competitors.\"The slumping economy is hurting sales of advertising, accessories and home products, though, Apple's Maestri said in an interview, calling the units \"pockets of weakness.\"\"Fortunately, we have a very broad portfolio, so we know we're going to be able to navigate that,\" he added.Parts shortages will continue to limit Mac and iPad sales, Maestri said, though the impact has been easing. They cost Apple under $4 billion in sales in the quarter ended June 25, less than it had forecast. Maestri said the company expects the hit to diminish further in the current quarter.Sales compared to a year ago should rise faster in the current quarter than 2% growth it posted in the just-ended quarter, Maestri said.Overall, Apple said quarterly sales and profit were $83.0 billion and $1.20 per share, above estimates of $82.8 billion and $1.16 per share, according to Refinitiv data.While sales of iPhones and iPads topped expectations, revenue from services, Mac computers and accessories missed Wall Street targets and sales in the crucial China market fell 1%.The rising U.S. dollar has hit many companies such as Apple that generate substantial foreign revenue and are getting less cash back when they convert it. Apple said currency fluctuations would slash sales by 6% in the current quarter.The most recent economic woes include supply chain disruptions that have hit production of some Apple products such as iPads and Macs whose assembly locations were clustered near regions of China that went into COVID lockdowns.Apple, like many of its tech industry peers, is reportedly slowing hiring and cutting costs given the tough economic climate.Apple shares closed Thursday down about 11% so far this year, slightly less than the broader S&P 500 index and also less than other consumer hardware makers such as Sonos Inc and Samsung Electronics Co.Apple said iPhone sales were $40.7 billion, up about 3% from a year earlier and well ahead of the overall global smartphone market, which fell 9% during the just-ended quarter, according to Canalys data.Growth in the company's services business, which has provided a boost to sales and profits in recent years, was 12%, below the previous year's 33% rate and resulting in $19.6 billion in revenue, below estimates of $19.7 billion.Apple said it now has 860 million paying subscribers on either its paid services or to paid software in its App Store, up from the previous quarter's 825 million.Sales of iPads and Macs were $7.2 billion and $7.4 billion, compared with estimates of $6.9 billion and $8.7 billion. Mac sales represented a 10% contraction, after record sales since 2020, first from a work-from-home boost and then from Apple's new proprietary processor chips.In its most recent fiscal year, nearly a fifth of Apple's sales came from its Greater China region after two years of struggling sales there. But now Apple is confronting slow overall economic growth in China, where its fiscal third-quarter sales were $14.6 billion, down 1%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900307727,"gmtCreate":1658635085670,"gmtModify":1676536185590,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900307727","repostId":"2253013189","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253013189","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1658620957,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2253013189?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-24 08:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will the Federal Reserve Kill the Stock-Market Bounce?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253013189","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"A summer rebound is stirring hopes the bear market in U.S. stocks has seen its lows, but a meeting o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A summer rebound is stirring hopes the bear market in U.S. stocks has seen its lows, but a meeting of Federal Reserve policy makers this coming week might test the nerves of would-be bulls.</p><p>&#34;I expect we will continue to see market volatility until investors have seen more convincing evidence that this period of Fed hawkishness is behind us, and I do not expect that to be the message&#34; when central bankers conclude a two-day meeting on July 27, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, in a phone interview.</p><p>Disappointing results from social-media platform <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>. (SNAP) trimmed a weekly rise in stocks on Friday, but the benchmark indexes still saw healthy gains. The S&amp;P 500  rose 2.6% in the past week to end near 3,962 after pushing above the 4,000 threshold early Friday for the first time since June 9. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  logged a weekly gain of 2%, while the Nasdaq Composite  advanced 3.3%.</p><p>The bounce this week lifted the indexes off 2022 lows after the S&amp;P 500 sank to a finish of 3,666.67 on June 16.</p><p>The rebound has been fueled in part by a dynamic that&#39;s seen investors treat bad news on the economic front as good news for stocks, said James Reilly, an economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday note.</p><p>That may sound strange, but it likely reflects, in part, a view among investors that weaker economic data will lead the Fed to raise interest rates less than previously thought, Reilly wrote. There&#39;s evidence for that in market-based expectations for rate increases, which have been pared back lately (see chart below),  a development that has provided support for equity valuations, he said.</p><p>Market expectations are for the Fed to deliver a 75 basis point interest rate increase on Wednesday, matching the increase seen in June, which was the largest since 2002.</p><p>Meanwhile, the past week delivered plenty of evidence of slowing economic activity.</p><p>The U.S. services purchasing managers index fell to a 26-month low of 47 in July from 51.6 in the prior month, based on a &#34;flash&#34; survey from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. A reading of less than 50 signals a contraction in activity.</p><p>On Thursday, weekly jobless claims rose to the highest level since November but remained historically low, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index unexpectedly fell deeper into negative territory, and the Conference Board said its leading economic index shows that a U.S. recession around the end of the year and early next is now likely.</p><p>U.S. economic data due next week include a first estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product, that&#39;s expected to show a second straight contraction. While such an outcome is often described as a technical recession, a still strong labor market and other factors are seen making it unlikely the National Bureau of Economic Research, the official arbiter of the business cycle, will declare one.</p><p>Reilly said he doubts slowing activity will slow the Fed&#39;s roll.</p><p>&#34;Our central forecast is that U.S. economic growth will remain weak, but not so weak as to deter the Fed from hiking aggressively over the rest of this year. Such an outcome would probably mean rising discount rates and disappointing growth in corporate profits, which would be a fairly toxic combination for equity prices,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>Many Fed watchers, including some ex-policy makers, see a Fed intent on convincing market participants of its desire to snuff out inflation.</p><p>Former Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker on Friday said policy makers would need to keep raising interest rates even if there is a recession. &#34;To let your foot up off the brake before inflation has come down&#34; is just a &#34;recipe for another recession down the road,&#34; Lacker said, in an interview on Bloomberg Television</p><p>Even if the economy slowed fast enough to cause Fed policy makers to back off, it probably wouldn&#39;t be great news for equities, Reilly argued. That&#39;s because corporate earnings would weaken further than the firm already expects, he said. It&#39;s also unlikely that the support equities have seen as expectations for the fed-funds rate have moderated would continue in a severe slowdown, with history showing that valuations have tended to fall during such periods as appetite for risk deteriorated.</p><p>Goodwin, however, said there&#39;s more to the stock market&#39;s recent resilience.</p><p>&#34;The market, on average, was anticipating a tougher earnings season than what we&#39;re seeing so far,&#34; while guidance has also been more upbeat, she said, acknowledging that it&#39;s still early days.</p><p>Through Friday morning, 75.5% of the S&amp;P 500 companies that had reported have beaten consensus analyst projections for earnings per share. The average was by about 4.7%, according to I/B/E/S data provided by Refinitiv. That compares with 66% of companies beating EPS estimates in a typical quarter since 1994, and an average beat margin of 9.5% for the prior four quarters.</p><p>On revenue, 68.9% of the companies have topped forecasts by an average of about 1.3%, compared with 62% of companies beating in a typical quarter since 2002 and an average beat rate of 3.4% for the prior four quarters.</p><p>Earnings Watch:Here are 5 things we&#39;ve learned so far from earnings season</p><p>Markets have been dominated by worries over red-hot inflation and the threat of recession, so a &#34;somewhat more sanguine&#34; read from companies so far was a dose of good news, Goodwin said.</p><p>Indeed, investors have seemed to cycle between fears over inflation and recession, market watchers said. Red-hot inflation was the dominant worry as stocks tumbled and Treasury yields soared in the first half of 2022. More recently, market action indicates investors have focused more on the prospect of recession as the Fed aggressively tightens policy.</p><p>So what should investors do as the focus shifts from inflation toward recession ?</p><p>Goodwin said inflation will remain a primary consideration when it comes to portfolio positioning because recession-resilient assets, such as cash, Treasurys and high-grade corporate bonds that worked in the last cycle can create a significant drag on wealth creation.</p><p>To deal with expected volatility, New York Life is moving up in quality within asset classes. For example, it&#39;s strongly overweight high-yield debt in its portfolios on expectations the corporate environment will remain pretty robust, she said, but is moving up in quality within high yield.</p><p>Keeping rising consumer prices in mind, it also means looking at equity and fixed-income securities that have cash flows linked to inflation, she said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will the Federal Reserve Kill the Stock-Market Bounce?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill the Federal Reserve Kill the Stock-Market Bounce?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-24 08:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>A summer rebound is stirring hopes the bear market in U.S. stocks has seen its lows, but a meeting of Federal Reserve policy makers this coming week might test the nerves of would-be bulls.</p><p>&#34;I expect we will continue to see market volatility until investors have seen more convincing evidence that this period of Fed hawkishness is behind us, and I do not expect that to be the message&#34; when central bankers conclude a two-day meeting on July 27, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, in a phone interview.</p><p>Disappointing results from social-media platform <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>. (SNAP) trimmed a weekly rise in stocks on Friday, but the benchmark indexes still saw healthy gains. The S&amp;P 500  rose 2.6% in the past week to end near 3,962 after pushing above the 4,000 threshold early Friday for the first time since June 9. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  logged a weekly gain of 2%, while the Nasdaq Composite  advanced 3.3%.</p><p>The bounce this week lifted the indexes off 2022 lows after the S&amp;P 500 sank to a finish of 3,666.67 on June 16.</p><p>The rebound has been fueled in part by a dynamic that&#39;s seen investors treat bad news on the economic front as good news for stocks, said James Reilly, an economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday note.</p><p>That may sound strange, but it likely reflects, in part, a view among investors that weaker economic data will lead the Fed to raise interest rates less than previously thought, Reilly wrote. There&#39;s evidence for that in market-based expectations for rate increases, which have been pared back lately (see chart below),  a development that has provided support for equity valuations, he said.</p><p>Market expectations are for the Fed to deliver a 75 basis point interest rate increase on Wednesday, matching the increase seen in June, which was the largest since 2002.</p><p>Meanwhile, the past week delivered plenty of evidence of slowing economic activity.</p><p>The U.S. services purchasing managers index fell to a 26-month low of 47 in July from 51.6 in the prior month, based on a &#34;flash&#34; survey from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. A reading of less than 50 signals a contraction in activity.</p><p>On Thursday, weekly jobless claims rose to the highest level since November but remained historically low, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index unexpectedly fell deeper into negative territory, and the Conference Board said its leading economic index shows that a U.S. recession around the end of the year and early next is now likely.</p><p>U.S. economic data due next week include a first estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product, that&#39;s expected to show a second straight contraction. While such an outcome is often described as a technical recession, a still strong labor market and other factors are seen making it unlikely the National Bureau of Economic Research, the official arbiter of the business cycle, will declare one.</p><p>Reilly said he doubts slowing activity will slow the Fed&#39;s roll.</p><p>&#34;Our central forecast is that U.S. economic growth will remain weak, but not so weak as to deter the Fed from hiking aggressively over the rest of this year. Such an outcome would probably mean rising discount rates and disappointing growth in corporate profits, which would be a fairly toxic combination for equity prices,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>Many Fed watchers, including some ex-policy makers, see a Fed intent on convincing market participants of its desire to snuff out inflation.</p><p>Former Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker on Friday said policy makers would need to keep raising interest rates even if there is a recession. &#34;To let your foot up off the brake before inflation has come down&#34; is just a &#34;recipe for another recession down the road,&#34; Lacker said, in an interview on Bloomberg Television</p><p>Even if the economy slowed fast enough to cause Fed policy makers to back off, it probably wouldn&#39;t be great news for equities, Reilly argued. That&#39;s because corporate earnings would weaken further than the firm already expects, he said. It&#39;s also unlikely that the support equities have seen as expectations for the fed-funds rate have moderated would continue in a severe slowdown, with history showing that valuations have tended to fall during such periods as appetite for risk deteriorated.</p><p>Goodwin, however, said there&#39;s more to the stock market&#39;s recent resilience.</p><p>&#34;The market, on average, was anticipating a tougher earnings season than what we&#39;re seeing so far,&#34; while guidance has also been more upbeat, she said, acknowledging that it&#39;s still early days.</p><p>Through Friday morning, 75.5% of the S&amp;P 500 companies that had reported have beaten consensus analyst projections for earnings per share. The average was by about 4.7%, according to I/B/E/S data provided by Refinitiv. That compares with 66% of companies beating EPS estimates in a typical quarter since 1994, and an average beat margin of 9.5% for the prior four quarters.</p><p>On revenue, 68.9% of the companies have topped forecasts by an average of about 1.3%, compared with 62% of companies beating in a typical quarter since 2002 and an average beat rate of 3.4% for the prior four quarters.</p><p>Earnings Watch:Here are 5 things we&#39;ve learned so far from earnings season</p><p>Markets have been dominated by worries over red-hot inflation and the threat of recession, so a &#34;somewhat more sanguine&#34; read from companies so far was a dose of good news, Goodwin said.</p><p>Indeed, investors have seemed to cycle between fears over inflation and recession, market watchers said. Red-hot inflation was the dominant worry as stocks tumbled and Treasury yields soared in the first half of 2022. More recently, market action indicates investors have focused more on the prospect of recession as the Fed aggressively tightens policy.</p><p>So what should investors do as the focus shifts from inflation toward recession ?</p><p>Goodwin said inflation will remain a primary consideration when it comes to portfolio positioning because recession-resilient assets, such as cash, Treasurys and high-grade corporate bonds that worked in the last cycle can create a significant drag on wealth creation.</p><p>To deal with expected volatility, New York Life is moving up in quality within asset classes. For example, it&#39;s strongly overweight high-yield debt in its portfolios on expectations the corporate environment will remain pretty robust, she said, but is moving up in quality within high yield.</p><p>Keeping rising consumer prices in mind, it also means looking at equity and fixed-income securities that have cash flows linked to inflation, she said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253013189","content_text":"A summer rebound is stirring hopes the bear market in U.S. stocks has seen its lows, but a meeting of Federal Reserve policy makers this coming week might test the nerves of would-be bulls.\"I expect we will continue to see market volatility until investors have seen more convincing evidence that this period of Fed hawkishness is behind us, and I do not expect that to be the message\" when central bankers conclude a two-day meeting on July 27, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments, in a phone interview.Disappointing results from social-media platform Snap Inc. (SNAP) trimmed a weekly rise in stocks on Friday, but the benchmark indexes still saw healthy gains. The S&P 500  rose 2.6% in the past week to end near 3,962 after pushing above the 4,000 threshold early Friday for the first time since June 9. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  logged a weekly gain of 2%, while the Nasdaq Composite  advanced 3.3%.The bounce this week lifted the indexes off 2022 lows after the S&P 500 sank to a finish of 3,666.67 on June 16.The rebound has been fueled in part by a dynamic that's seen investors treat bad news on the economic front as good news for stocks, said James Reilly, an economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday note.That may sound strange, but it likely reflects, in part, a view among investors that weaker economic data will lead the Fed to raise interest rates less than previously thought, Reilly wrote. There's evidence for that in market-based expectations for rate increases, which have been pared back lately (see chart below),  a development that has provided support for equity valuations, he said.Market expectations are for the Fed to deliver a 75 basis point interest rate increase on Wednesday, matching the increase seen in June, which was the largest since 2002.Meanwhile, the past week delivered plenty of evidence of slowing economic activity.The U.S. services purchasing managers index fell to a 26-month low of 47 in July from 51.6 in the prior month, based on a \"flash\" survey from S&P Global Market Intelligence. A reading of less than 50 signals a contraction in activity.On Thursday, weekly jobless claims rose to the highest level since November but remained historically low, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index unexpectedly fell deeper into negative territory, and the Conference Board said its leading economic index shows that a U.S. recession around the end of the year and early next is now likely.U.S. economic data due next week include a first estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product, that's expected to show a second straight contraction. While such an outcome is often described as a technical recession, a still strong labor market and other factors are seen making it unlikely the National Bureau of Economic Research, the official arbiter of the business cycle, will declare one.Reilly said he doubts slowing activity will slow the Fed's roll.\"Our central forecast is that U.S. economic growth will remain weak, but not so weak as to deter the Fed from hiking aggressively over the rest of this year. Such an outcome would probably mean rising discount rates and disappointing growth in corporate profits, which would be a fairly toxic combination for equity prices,\" he wrote.Many Fed watchers, including some ex-policy makers, see a Fed intent on convincing market participants of its desire to snuff out inflation.Former Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker on Friday said policy makers would need to keep raising interest rates even if there is a recession. \"To let your foot up off the brake before inflation has come down\" is just a \"recipe for another recession down the road,\" Lacker said, in an interview on Bloomberg TelevisionEven if the economy slowed fast enough to cause Fed policy makers to back off, it probably wouldn't be great news for equities, Reilly argued. That's because corporate earnings would weaken further than the firm already expects, he said. It's also unlikely that the support equities have seen as expectations for the fed-funds rate have moderated would continue in a severe slowdown, with history showing that valuations have tended to fall during such periods as appetite for risk deteriorated.Goodwin, however, said there's more to the stock market's recent resilience.\"The market, on average, was anticipating a tougher earnings season than what we're seeing so far,\" while guidance has also been more upbeat, she said, acknowledging that it's still early days.Through Friday morning, 75.5% of the S&P 500 companies that had reported have beaten consensus analyst projections for earnings per share. The average was by about 4.7%, according to I/B/E/S data provided by Refinitiv. That compares with 66% of companies beating EPS estimates in a typical quarter since 1994, and an average beat margin of 9.5% for the prior four quarters.On revenue, 68.9% of the companies have topped forecasts by an average of about 1.3%, compared with 62% of companies beating in a typical quarter since 2002 and an average beat rate of 3.4% for the prior four quarters.Earnings Watch:Here are 5 things we've learned so far from earnings seasonMarkets have been dominated by worries over red-hot inflation and the threat of recession, so a \"somewhat more sanguine\" read from companies so far was a dose of good news, Goodwin said.Indeed, investors have seemed to cycle between fears over inflation and recession, market watchers said. Red-hot inflation was the dominant worry as stocks tumbled and Treasury yields soared in the first half of 2022. More recently, market action indicates investors have focused more on the prospect of recession as the Fed aggressively tightens policy.So what should investors do as the focus shifts from inflation toward recession ?Goodwin said inflation will remain a primary consideration when it comes to portfolio positioning because recession-resilient assets, such as cash, Treasurys and high-grade corporate bonds that worked in the last cycle can create a significant drag on wealth creation.To deal with expected volatility, New York Life is moving up in quality within asset classes. For example, it's strongly overweight high-yield debt in its portfolios on expectations the corporate environment will remain pretty robust, she said, but is moving up in quality within high yield.Keeping rising consumer prices in mind, it also means looking at equity and fixed-income securities that have cash flows linked to inflation, she said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074541288,"gmtCreate":1658378833944,"gmtModify":1676536150548,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074541288","repostId":"1165364438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165364438","pubTimestamp":1658375442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165364438?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-21 11:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Prepare For War","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165364438","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir's Q1 earnings left something to be desired, though commercial expansion has been a s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir&#39;s Q1 earnings left something to be desired, though commercial expansion has been a strong positive.</li><li>There are many global risks that could spike demand from governments.</li><li>Palantir will report Q2 earnings in a few weeks, and our expectations have grown a bit more conservative, though the bottom looks in.</li><li>We anticipate a lot of debate on the results and bulls vs. bears prepare to battle.</li><li>Understanding how the current economic climate is impacting the business will be paramount.</li></ul><p>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) is a battleground stock. Over the last year returns (rather losses) have been absolutely brutal. Frankly, it has been a total disaster for longs, and shorts have succeeded. About a month ago, we hypothesized that the bottom was in. So far, we think that the bottom was recognized. The coming earnings (scheduled for August 8) will undoubtedly be a catalyst to send the stock moving in either direction on massive volumes.</p><p>To be clear, we are expecting a major move. Investors should prepare for a bull/bear war, and traders should be able to leverage the volatility in the short-term for some easy swing trade gains. That said, we still view Palantir as a long-term investment, and so long as management does not dilute shareholders into oblivion, we believe the stock will provide returns from the single-digit levels. We understand that there are still a lot of retail &#34;bag-holders&#34; out there who piled into the stock in the high teens or 20&#39;s.</p><p>The stock has more than made a round trip from its direct public offering price. We had been very bullish even in the 20s on the prospects for the company and the stock. Of course, the bear market of 2022 has had an iron grip on investors, and frankly just about every no-earnings or low-earnings tech stock has been obliterated from highs. It is not uncommon to see some of these down 60-70, even 80%. But the stock has emerged from the depths, and is quietly up 50% off lows.</p><p>Still, most investors are underwater. Traders have made money long and short. While we are traders week to week, we are also very long-term investors. And we hate to see investors lose money, and we know it can be painful. The question is, what can we expect going forward? The stock will be held back until it can reliably grow and slow down dilution. Further, in this column we look back to performance, and discuss the Q2 view that was provided by management. We also believe that the reported results may come in ahead of expectations on some areas (such as new customers and backlog), but below expectation in other areas, such as earnings per share.</p><p><b>The biggest short-term issues holding back shares</b></p><p>The stock has been beaten and then relatively pinned down due to being a high revenue growth, innovative tech stock. Palantir, and stocks of companies that are similar to it, are indeed often extremely expensive in the early stages of being public. They usually lose money and fight to grow sales, then eventually work toward breakeven, positive cash flow, and eventually, EPS positive. The thing is that you really cannot value these stock on an earnings basis because there are no or very little earnings. So, valuation woes are an issue. Even in the high single-digits the stock is expensive on most valuation measures. Prepare to hear that in the coming war between bulls and bears. It is coming. Overvalued vs. growth at a somewhat reasonable price. That will be one of the debates you see in the comment sections of articles discussing earnings.</p><p>The second issue, which has been discussed before, still remains a huge issue. Palantir has a massive dilution problem, which means consistent positive EPS gets kicked further down the road. We continue to think Palantir has a lot of potential, but this market is beyond unforgiving to those companies that do not make money or have sky high valuations. So by issuing stock based compensation, EPS gets lower and lower even if net income is positive or grows. For years, Palantir may lose money or breakeven. Of course, the theory goes that companies like this will lose money as they spend to attract customers and build their moat. They invest heavily in their growth while seeing revenues increase dramatically. And as we know, Palantir is seeing revenues grow tremendously. Stock based compensation, many would argue, is an investment to attract, acquire, and retain top talent in the tech field. There is a lot of merit to this argument. But in the first quarter of 2022, stock based compensation was still $149 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09be53dda6f898b0ed8fa77c8b310cfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1 presentation</p><p>So, this makes increasing EPS all the more difficult. This is another area bears have ammunition in the war against bulls. It has merits. The larger subsequent risk could be that Palantir&#39;s growth fades some or new competitors could emerge, and income generation stalls. The added dilution could continue so long that positive EPS becomes out of reach without future buybacks. It is an issue, even though management acknowledged on the Q1 call that this is a problem.</p><p><b>Operational strengths and weaknesses: perceived or actual war is potentially profitable</b></p><p>You have all heard of the military industrial complex. Palantir has a role in it as governments pay a lot of money for defense (or offense). As we move into the 21st century data is becoming its own weapon. Knowledge is power. Decision making through algorithmic calculation is a gamechanger. Many governments (and businesses) believe the investment in data analytics to power decision-making is worth every cent. In Palantir&#39;s10-Q, it indicates it does not do business with those who seek to do harm to the U.S. or go against western democracy, but the many nations that are democratic need the data analysis. We think that government growth is a big future source of growth. For now, commercial growth has been the main driver.</p><p><b>Palantir&#39;s commercial segment strong</b></p><p>In the first quarter,performance was strong on the top line and ahead of consensus estimates. That is great. Again, this is mostly a revenue growth company that is close to breaking even consistently, with some losing and some winning quarters. Total revenue grew 31% year-over-year to $446 million, beating estimates by almost $3 million. However, its profitability was lower than expected by $0.02. Now, that said, Palantir has both government and commercial segments. The commercial revenue stream continues to grow rapidly, while government contracts have grown more moderately.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b540fc9ad93f28b10c2186261e94e45d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1 presentation</p><p>The company added 37 customers on the commercial side. They also have expanded commercial revenue growth significantly, with commercial revenue rising 54% in Q1. We think we see some normalization in Q2, with 30-40% revenue growth. But war is good for business. And not just for government contracts. Businesses want to know how it may impact them too. Global peace is a hidden headwind to the company in our opinion.</p><p><b>Government segment growing, but slower</b></p><p>Palantir has expanded its sales team and they have been working to secure new orders. However, the Government revenues have slowed their growth somewhat, to just 16% from last year, 3 new customers on the government side. Revenue growth is trending in the wrong direction, for now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0d116d2e2c0c1c490310366eb99d8c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1 presentation</p><p>While revenue per customer is up, the revenue growth has clearly decelerated. We do believe that the government segment will see increased demand as global risks increase. We are closely watching for progress on this front when Q2 is reported. We do know of a few recent contracts, including the Army&#39;s Titan program,as well as the U.S. Space Systems.</p><p><b>Palantir is slightly profitable, for now</b></p><p>Make no mistake, Palantir is seeing very positive momentum in its margins, which is important in a software company. Adjusted gross margin was 81%. Contribution margin was 57%. First quarter adjusted income from operations, excluding stock-based compensation and related employer payroll taxes was $117 million, representing an adjusted operating margin of 26%, ahead of management&#39;s prior guidance of 23%. This is positive.</p><p>However the Q2 expectations are not as bullish.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/654d2b5ca7394c529bb854e40ed3a6b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1 presentation</p><p>The biggest concern right now is not valuation. It is not dilution. It is not the &#34;overall market.&#34; The largest issue is a slowdown in performance and the Q2 guidance suggests a slowdown. Management guided to a base case of $470 million in revenue. This was below consensus of $484 million. Now some new contracts may indeed help this revenue figure. However, in the release management noted that &#34;there is a wide range of potential upside [for this] guidance.&#34; Palantir continues to see 30% annual revenue growth through 2025. But where our concerns are here is a lower guide on margins to just 20%. Labor is becoming more expensive. The company had been hiring in Q1 and likely in Q2. Costs of operations are rising thanks to inflation like utilities. These are things many investors do not consider. But every expense matters.</p><p>The company lost $39 million in the quarter operationally, but adjusted income from operations was $117 million. The company is still free cash flow positive. Adjusted free cash flow was $30 million for the quarter. That said, the company was profitable at a $0.02 adjusted EPS bottom line figure. We are concerned that if margins come in even lighter than expected, the company will lose on EPS. Frankly, we expect $0.02-$0.03 in EPS on 20% margins, with revenue of $475-$480 million. It is difficult to pinpoint however, as revenue recognition from contracts is never straightforward.</p><p>While war is a positive catalyst in many regards, the threat of a recession could be a catalyst in either direction. On one hand, companies will want to save money. If they get a big return on investment in Palantir&#39;s software, they may up their spend here collectively. Alternatively, inflation is putting a lot of pressure on consumers, and while Palantir&#39;s technology should help businesses operate more efficiently, and therefore more profitably, we could see reduced spending on services like this. If tax rolls are impacted, government spending could also go either way.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>We think the Q2 results are going to move Palantir stock heavily. We love that the company operates with no debt and has nice positive free cash flow. Big data, analytics, and algorithmic decision making to improve operations can benefit both businesses and governments alike.</p><p>War seems to be a real catalyst, while recession could be either a negative or positive catalyst. The customer growth is impressive as is the revenue growth on the commercial side, but there remains a strong opportunity to start expanding revenue growth on the government side. We are closely watching margins in Q2, as they could be a driver for stock movement.</p><p>While the stock remains expensive on most valuation approaches, we also want to see a reduction in stock based compensation to limit dilution. Most importantly, understanding how the current economic climate is impact the business will be paramount.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Prepare For War</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Prepare For War\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-21 11:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524472-palantir-prepare-for-war><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir's Q1 earnings left something to be desired, though commercial expansion has been a strong positive.There are many global risks that could spike demand from governments.Palantir will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524472-palantir-prepare-for-war\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524472-palantir-prepare-for-war","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165364438","content_text":"SummaryPalantir's Q1 earnings left something to be desired, though commercial expansion has been a strong positive.There are many global risks that could spike demand from governments.Palantir will report Q2 earnings in a few weeks, and our expectations have grown a bit more conservative, though the bottom looks in.We anticipate a lot of debate on the results and bulls vs. bears prepare to battle.Understanding how the current economic climate is impacting the business will be paramount.Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) is a battleground stock. Over the last year returns (rather losses) have been absolutely brutal. Frankly, it has been a total disaster for longs, and shorts have succeeded. About a month ago, we hypothesized that the bottom was in. So far, we think that the bottom was recognized. The coming earnings (scheduled for August 8) will undoubtedly be a catalyst to send the stock moving in either direction on massive volumes.To be clear, we are expecting a major move. Investors should prepare for a bull/bear war, and traders should be able to leverage the volatility in the short-term for some easy swing trade gains. That said, we still view Palantir as a long-term investment, and so long as management does not dilute shareholders into oblivion, we believe the stock will provide returns from the single-digit levels. We understand that there are still a lot of retail \"bag-holders\" out there who piled into the stock in the high teens or 20's.The stock has more than made a round trip from its direct public offering price. We had been very bullish even in the 20s on the prospects for the company and the stock. Of course, the bear market of 2022 has had an iron grip on investors, and frankly just about every no-earnings or low-earnings tech stock has been obliterated from highs. It is not uncommon to see some of these down 60-70, even 80%. But the stock has emerged from the depths, and is quietly up 50% off lows.Still, most investors are underwater. Traders have made money long and short. While we are traders week to week, we are also very long-term investors. And we hate to see investors lose money, and we know it can be painful. The question is, what can we expect going forward? The stock will be held back until it can reliably grow and slow down dilution. Further, in this column we look back to performance, and discuss the Q2 view that was provided by management. We also believe that the reported results may come in ahead of expectations on some areas (such as new customers and backlog), but below expectation in other areas, such as earnings per share.The biggest short-term issues holding back sharesThe stock has been beaten and then relatively pinned down due to being a high revenue growth, innovative tech stock. Palantir, and stocks of companies that are similar to it, are indeed often extremely expensive in the early stages of being public. They usually lose money and fight to grow sales, then eventually work toward breakeven, positive cash flow, and eventually, EPS positive. The thing is that you really cannot value these stock on an earnings basis because there are no or very little earnings. So, valuation woes are an issue. Even in the high single-digits the stock is expensive on most valuation measures. Prepare to hear that in the coming war between bulls and bears. It is coming. Overvalued vs. growth at a somewhat reasonable price. That will be one of the debates you see in the comment sections of articles discussing earnings.The second issue, which has been discussed before, still remains a huge issue. Palantir has a massive dilution problem, which means consistent positive EPS gets kicked further down the road. We continue to think Palantir has a lot of potential, but this market is beyond unforgiving to those companies that do not make money or have sky high valuations. So by issuing stock based compensation, EPS gets lower and lower even if net income is positive or grows. For years, Palantir may lose money or breakeven. Of course, the theory goes that companies like this will lose money as they spend to attract customers and build their moat. They invest heavily in their growth while seeing revenues increase dramatically. And as we know, Palantir is seeing revenues grow tremendously. Stock based compensation, many would argue, is an investment to attract, acquire, and retain top talent in the tech field. There is a lot of merit to this argument. But in the first quarter of 2022, stock based compensation was still $149 million.Palantir Q1 presentationSo, this makes increasing EPS all the more difficult. This is another area bears have ammunition in the war against bulls. It has merits. The larger subsequent risk could be that Palantir's growth fades some or new competitors could emerge, and income generation stalls. The added dilution could continue so long that positive EPS becomes out of reach without future buybacks. It is an issue, even though management acknowledged on the Q1 call that this is a problem.Operational strengths and weaknesses: perceived or actual war is potentially profitableYou have all heard of the military industrial complex. Palantir has a role in it as governments pay a lot of money for defense (or offense). As we move into the 21st century data is becoming its own weapon. Knowledge is power. Decision making through algorithmic calculation is a gamechanger. Many governments (and businesses) believe the investment in data analytics to power decision-making is worth every cent. In Palantir's10-Q, it indicates it does not do business with those who seek to do harm to the U.S. or go against western democracy, but the many nations that are democratic need the data analysis. We think that government growth is a big future source of growth. For now, commercial growth has been the main driver.Palantir's commercial segment strongIn the first quarter,performance was strong on the top line and ahead of consensus estimates. That is great. Again, this is mostly a revenue growth company that is close to breaking even consistently, with some losing and some winning quarters. Total revenue grew 31% year-over-year to $446 million, beating estimates by almost $3 million. However, its profitability was lower than expected by $0.02. Now, that said, Palantir has both government and commercial segments. The commercial revenue stream continues to grow rapidly, while government contracts have grown more moderately.Palantir Q1 presentationThe company added 37 customers on the commercial side. They also have expanded commercial revenue growth significantly, with commercial revenue rising 54% in Q1. We think we see some normalization in Q2, with 30-40% revenue growth. But war is good for business. And not just for government contracts. Businesses want to know how it may impact them too. Global peace is a hidden headwind to the company in our opinion.Government segment growing, but slowerPalantir has expanded its sales team and they have been working to secure new orders. However, the Government revenues have slowed their growth somewhat, to just 16% from last year, 3 new customers on the government side. Revenue growth is trending in the wrong direction, for now.Palantir Q1 presentationWhile revenue per customer is up, the revenue growth has clearly decelerated. We do believe that the government segment will see increased demand as global risks increase. We are closely watching for progress on this front when Q2 is reported. We do know of a few recent contracts, including the Army's Titan program,as well as the U.S. Space Systems.Palantir is slightly profitable, for nowMake no mistake, Palantir is seeing very positive momentum in its margins, which is important in a software company. Adjusted gross margin was 81%. Contribution margin was 57%. First quarter adjusted income from operations, excluding stock-based compensation and related employer payroll taxes was $117 million, representing an adjusted operating margin of 26%, ahead of management's prior guidance of 23%. This is positive.However the Q2 expectations are not as bullish.Palantir Q1 presentationThe biggest concern right now is not valuation. It is not dilution. It is not the \"overall market.\" The largest issue is a slowdown in performance and the Q2 guidance suggests a slowdown. Management guided to a base case of $470 million in revenue. This was below consensus of $484 million. Now some new contracts may indeed help this revenue figure. However, in the release management noted that \"there is a wide range of potential upside [for this] guidance.\" Palantir continues to see 30% annual revenue growth through 2025. But where our concerns are here is a lower guide on margins to just 20%. Labor is becoming more expensive. The company had been hiring in Q1 and likely in Q2. Costs of operations are rising thanks to inflation like utilities. These are things many investors do not consider. But every expense matters.The company lost $39 million in the quarter operationally, but adjusted income from operations was $117 million. The company is still free cash flow positive. Adjusted free cash flow was $30 million for the quarter. That said, the company was profitable at a $0.02 adjusted EPS bottom line figure. We are concerned that if margins come in even lighter than expected, the company will lose on EPS. Frankly, we expect $0.02-$0.03 in EPS on 20% margins, with revenue of $475-$480 million. It is difficult to pinpoint however, as revenue recognition from contracts is never straightforward.While war is a positive catalyst in many regards, the threat of a recession could be a catalyst in either direction. On one hand, companies will want to save money. If they get a big return on investment in Palantir's software, they may up their spend here collectively. Alternatively, inflation is putting a lot of pressure on consumers, and while Palantir's technology should help businesses operate more efficiently, and therefore more profitably, we could see reduced spending on services like this. If tax rolls are impacted, government spending could also go either way.Final thoughtsWe think the Q2 results are going to move Palantir stock heavily. We love that the company operates with no debt and has nice positive free cash flow. Big data, analytics, and algorithmic decision making to improve operations can benefit both businesses and governments alike.War seems to be a real catalyst, while recession could be either a negative or positive catalyst. The customer growth is impressive as is the revenue growth on the commercial side, but there remains a strong opportunity to start expanding revenue growth on the government side. We are closely watching margins in Q2, as they could be a driver for stock movement.While the stock remains expensive on most valuation approaches, we also want to see a reduction in stock based compensation to limit dilution. Most importantly, understanding how the current economic climate is impact the business will be paramount.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905560590,"gmtCreate":1659917970813,"gmtModify":1703475885551,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905560590","repostId":"1137571531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137571531","pubTimestamp":1659915156,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137571531?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-08 07:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Believers Are Back to Watching Stocks After Crypto Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137571531","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Equities now hold the key for risk assets, BI’s McGlone saysIs it a relief rally or bear-market boun","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Equities now hold the key for risk assets, BI’s McGlone says</li><li>Is it a relief rally or bear-market bounce, asks Glassnode</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f355de7b75ac1ea7fadf7c47e1b12e9d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"658\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>A cryptocurrency exchange kiosk in Istanbul.Photographer: Erhan Demirtas/Bloomberg</span></p><p>After a gut-wrenching bout of turbulence and existential angst, digital-asset investors are back to focusing on the mood of the US stock market as a gauge of whether the worst might be over.</p><p>Stocks are mostly up over the last few weeks and so is Bitcoin, which has added 15% over the past month. The 90-day correlation coefficient of Bitcoin and the S&amp;P 500, after weakening slightly in June, now stands around 0.65 once again, among the highest such readings in Bloomberg data going back to 2010. A coefficient of 1 means the assets are moving in lockstep, while minus-1 would show they’re moving in opposite directions.</p><p>Cryptocurrencies are poised for outperformance “if equities have bottomed,” said Mike McGlone, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. “There are few more powerful forces in markets than when the stock market drops at high velocity as in the first half. Cryptos are part of that ebbing tide.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685b8fdc4bf64e961d1bd412eece19a9\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>That’s been the refrain all year, with both stocks and crypto moving in similar fashion. The background is a hawkish Federal Reserve that’s bent on tamping down four-decade-high inflation, something that’s been the source of volatility for all manner of assets in 2022.</p><p>But whether equities and crypto have reached their lows is a question no one can call with any real certainty -- bottoms are only perceptible after the fact, and it’s possible both revisit their lows later this year or even early next year.</p><p>Bitcoin active addresses are firmly within “a well-defined downtrend channel,” according to analysts at Glassnode, a crypto researcher. They added that network activity “suggests that there remains little influx of new demand as yet.” But at the same time, transactional demand has traded sideways or lower in recent weeks, suggesting that “only the stable base of higher conviction traders and investors remain.” And on-chain transaction fees are in bear-market territory -- seeing an uptick there could be a signal of recovery, once it happens.</p><p>“The 2022 bear market has been historically negative for the digital asset space,” the analysts wrote in a note. “However, after such a sustained period of risk-off sentiment, attention turns to whether it is a bear market relief rally, or the start of a sustained bullish impulse.”</p><p>July was a great period for Bitcoin, Ether and others. Bitcoin rose 27% for the month, the most since October, while the No. 2 token added 70% in its best monthly performance since January 2021. Also during the month, total volumes of the Tether stablecoin for Bitcoin and Ether rose, according to CryptoCompare, suggesting investors were looking at them as safer places within the crypto universe.</p><p>To be sure, though crypto has rallied in recent weeks, it’s still well off its highs reached toward the end of last year. Bitcoin has been hovering around $23,000, down from nearly $69,000 in November. And not even eye-catching developments, including Coinbase’s new partnership with BlackRock, have been able to shake the coin from its stupor and catapult it higher.</p><p>“Crypto has more volatility so therein is riskier, and it would make sense that investors need to rebuild confidence after the downdraft they’ve suffered through,” said Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a research firm focused on technical analysis. Still, she added that crypto investors are taking cues from equities, but that the relationship works both ways. “It seems reasonable because both are risk assets.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Believers Are Back to Watching Stocks After Crypto Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Believers Are Back to Watching Stocks After Crypto Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 07:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-07/bitcoin-believers-are-back-to-watching-stocks-after-crypto-crash?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Equities now hold the key for risk assets, BI’s McGlone saysIs it a relief rally or bear-market bounce, asks GlassnodeA cryptocurrency exchange kiosk in Istanbul.Photographer: Erhan Demirtas/...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-07/bitcoin-believers-are-back-to-watching-stocks-after-crypto-crash?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-07/bitcoin-believers-are-back-to-watching-stocks-after-crypto-crash?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137571531","content_text":"Equities now hold the key for risk assets, BI’s McGlone saysIs it a relief rally or bear-market bounce, asks GlassnodeA cryptocurrency exchange kiosk in Istanbul.Photographer: Erhan Demirtas/BloombergAfter a gut-wrenching bout of turbulence and existential angst, digital-asset investors are back to focusing on the mood of the US stock market as a gauge of whether the worst might be over.Stocks are mostly up over the last few weeks and so is Bitcoin, which has added 15% over the past month. The 90-day correlation coefficient of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, after weakening slightly in June, now stands around 0.65 once again, among the highest such readings in Bloomberg data going back to 2010. A coefficient of 1 means the assets are moving in lockstep, while minus-1 would show they’re moving in opposite directions.Cryptocurrencies are poised for outperformance “if equities have bottomed,” said Mike McGlone, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. “There are few more powerful forces in markets than when the stock market drops at high velocity as in the first half. Cryptos are part of that ebbing tide.”That’s been the refrain all year, with both stocks and crypto moving in similar fashion. The background is a hawkish Federal Reserve that’s bent on tamping down four-decade-high inflation, something that’s been the source of volatility for all manner of assets in 2022.But whether equities and crypto have reached their lows is a question no one can call with any real certainty -- bottoms are only perceptible after the fact, and it’s possible both revisit their lows later this year or even early next year.Bitcoin active addresses are firmly within “a well-defined downtrend channel,” according to analysts at Glassnode, a crypto researcher. They added that network activity “suggests that there remains little influx of new demand as yet.” But at the same time, transactional demand has traded sideways or lower in recent weeks, suggesting that “only the stable base of higher conviction traders and investors remain.” And on-chain transaction fees are in bear-market territory -- seeing an uptick there could be a signal of recovery, once it happens.“The 2022 bear market has been historically negative for the digital asset space,” the analysts wrote in a note. “However, after such a sustained period of risk-off sentiment, attention turns to whether it is a bear market relief rally, or the start of a sustained bullish impulse.”July was a great period for Bitcoin, Ether and others. Bitcoin rose 27% for the month, the most since October, while the No. 2 token added 70% in its best monthly performance since January 2021. Also during the month, total volumes of the Tether stablecoin for Bitcoin and Ether rose, according to CryptoCompare, suggesting investors were looking at them as safer places within the crypto universe.To be sure, though crypto has rallied in recent weeks, it’s still well off its highs reached toward the end of last year. Bitcoin has been hovering around $23,000, down from nearly $69,000 in November. And not even eye-catching developments, including Coinbase’s new partnership with BlackRock, have been able to shake the coin from its stupor and catapult it higher.“Crypto has more volatility so therein is riskier, and it would make sense that investors need to rebuild confidence after the downdraft they’ve suffered through,” said Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a research firm focused on technical analysis. Still, she added that crypto investors are taking cues from equities, but that the relationship works both ways. “It seems reasonable because both are risk assets.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077526424,"gmtCreate":1658543876068,"gmtModify":1676536174727,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077526424","repostId":"2253066929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253066929","pubTimestamp":1658542584,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2253066929?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-23 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 2 Safest Energy Dividends Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253066929","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These passive income stalwarts will let investors rest easy no matter what the market is doing.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The energy industry had some of the hottest stocks on the market over the past two years, but with fears of a recession potentially dampening demand for oil and gas, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> <b>Energy</b> index is down 25% since its peak last month.</p><p>The cost of a barrel of oil is down to around $100 per barrel, and gasoline at the pumps has broken from its record high last month of $5 a gallon. But upstream, midstream, and downstream energy stocks are still taking a beating.</p><p>That makes it a critical time to consider where you&#39;ve been putting your money to work and whether you should be investing in dividend stocks to protect your downside. History shows income-generating stocks outperform non-dividend stocks even in the worst of times, so if we&#39;re heading into a new period of market turbulence, it may be the right time to find companies that pay a safe dividend and can pad your pockets during this uncertainty.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners</a> offer two of the most dependable dividends in the energy sector right now.</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron </a></h3><p>As one of the biggest integrated energy companies, Chevron stands to benefit from the global need for fossil fuels that will last for years, decades even. Despite alternative fuel sources filling an increasing percentage of our energy needs, there isn&#39;t the capacity available for wind, solar, or biofuels to displace oil and gas as our primary providers.</p><p>Even though oil&#39;s price has dropped from its highs, it remains elevated and will likely stay elevated for some time to come. Chevron has told investors that even if oil drops to $50 a barrel -- what it deems its break-even price -- it would be able to maintain its record-setting stock buyback rate of $10 billion annually plus finance its dividend without worry, while a price of $75 a barrel would allow for further increases in both.</p><p>It also noted that during the depths of the pandemic lockdown with oil averaging $30 a barrel (there was a point where the price even went negative), Chevron maintained its payout while still investing in its business even as many of its rivals suspended their dividends.</p><p>The oil giant has a record of increasing its dividend for 35 consecutive years, most recently in January when it hiked the quarterly payout 6% to $1.42 per share, or $5.68 annually. With a healthy yield of 4.1% annually, Chevron is a Dividend Aristocrat, and its payout remains one of the industry&#39;s safest.</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners</a></h3><p>Unlike Chevron having its hand in all aspects of the oil and gas supply chain, Enterprise Products Partners specializes in the midstream channel, owning one of the largest pipeline networks in the U.S. with over 50,000 miles of pipeline, 14 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage, and 260 million barrels of storage capacity for natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined products, and petrochemicals. It also has 21 NGL processing plants.</p><p>Enterprise Products Partners is also one of the largest publicly traded partnerships in the country. As the middleman in the process, it thrives because it has a stable stream of revenue and predictable cash flows. Much of its revenue is derived from long-term, fixed-fee, or take-or-pay contracts that mean it gets paid whether its customers accept delivery of the product or not.</p><p>Although the midstream player doesn&#39;t yet have the same longevity as Chevron in raising its dividend, at 23 consecutive years and counting, it is fast closing in on the 25-year threshold needed to become a Dividend Aristocrat.</p><p>It&#39;s also a very safe dividend as its distribution-coverage ratio, or the amount of cash flow available for distribution compared to what the company disburses to its shareholders, of 1.8. The ratio should not fall below 1 as that implies the payout is unsustainable. But even during the pandemic, Enterprise&#39;s distribution-coverage ratio never got close to 1 and ended the year at 1.6.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 2 Safest Energy Dividends Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 2 Safest Energy Dividends Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-23 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/22/the-2-safest-energy-dividends-right-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The energy industry had some of the hottest stocks on the market over the past two years, but with fears of a recession potentially dampening demand for oil and gas, the S&P 500 Energy index is down ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/22/the-2-safest-energy-dividends-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EPD":"Enterprise Products Partners L.P","CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/22/the-2-safest-energy-dividends-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253066929","content_text":"The energy industry had some of the hottest stocks on the market over the past two years, but with fears of a recession potentially dampening demand for oil and gas, the S&P 500 Energy index is down 25% since its peak last month.The cost of a barrel of oil is down to around $100 per barrel, and gasoline at the pumps has broken from its record high last month of $5 a gallon. But upstream, midstream, and downstream energy stocks are still taking a beating.That makes it a critical time to consider where you've been putting your money to work and whether you should be investing in dividend stocks to protect your downside. History shows income-generating stocks outperform non-dividend stocks even in the worst of times, so if we're heading into a new period of market turbulence, it may be the right time to find companies that pay a safe dividend and can pad your pockets during this uncertainty.Chevron  and Enterprise Products Partners offer two of the most dependable dividends in the energy sector right now.Chevron As one of the biggest integrated energy companies, Chevron stands to benefit from the global need for fossil fuels that will last for years, decades even. Despite alternative fuel sources filling an increasing percentage of our energy needs, there isn't the capacity available for wind, solar, or biofuels to displace oil and gas as our primary providers.Even though oil's price has dropped from its highs, it remains elevated and will likely stay elevated for some time to come. Chevron has told investors that even if oil drops to $50 a barrel -- what it deems its break-even price -- it would be able to maintain its record-setting stock buyback rate of $10 billion annually plus finance its dividend without worry, while a price of $75 a barrel would allow for further increases in both.It also noted that during the depths of the pandemic lockdown with oil averaging $30 a barrel (there was a point where the price even went negative), Chevron maintained its payout while still investing in its business even as many of its rivals suspended their dividends.The oil giant has a record of increasing its dividend for 35 consecutive years, most recently in January when it hiked the quarterly payout 6% to $1.42 per share, or $5.68 annually. With a healthy yield of 4.1% annually, Chevron is a Dividend Aristocrat, and its payout remains one of the industry's safest.Enterprise Products PartnersUnlike Chevron having its hand in all aspects of the oil and gas supply chain, Enterprise Products Partners specializes in the midstream channel, owning one of the largest pipeline networks in the U.S. with over 50,000 miles of pipeline, 14 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage, and 260 million barrels of storage capacity for natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined products, and petrochemicals. It also has 21 NGL processing plants.Enterprise Products Partners is also one of the largest publicly traded partnerships in the country. As the middleman in the process, it thrives because it has a stable stream of revenue and predictable cash flows. Much of its revenue is derived from long-term, fixed-fee, or take-or-pay contracts that mean it gets paid whether its customers accept delivery of the product or not.Although the midstream player doesn't yet have the same longevity as Chevron in raising its dividend, at 23 consecutive years and counting, it is fast closing in on the 25-year threshold needed to become a Dividend Aristocrat.It's also a very safe dividend as its distribution-coverage ratio, or the amount of cash flow available for distribution compared to what the company disburses to its shareholders, of 1.8. The ratio should not fall below 1 as that implies the payout is unsustainable. But even during the pandemic, Enterprise's distribution-coverage ratio never got close to 1 and ended the year at 1.6.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999883930,"gmtCreate":1660519454923,"gmtModify":1676533482261,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999883930","repostId":"1195722111","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195722111","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1660518290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195722111?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-15 07:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Retail Sales, Fed Minutes, and a Summer Market Rally: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195722111","media":"Reuters","summary":"News out of the retail sector could be the latest data to drive markets higher in the week ahead.Aft","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>News out of the retail sector could be the latest data to drive markets higher in the week ahead.</p><p>After a series of better-than-expected economic prints helped stoke renewed optimism on Wall Street, investors will get key earnings reports from retailers and the July retail sales report from the Commerce Department this week.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> are all set to release quarterly results, and July&#39;s retail sales report is set for release Wednesday morning.</p><p>Also on Wednesday, investors will comb through the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting meeting last month.</p><p>On Friday, U.S. stocks capped their longest winning weekly streak since November 2021. The S&amp;P 500 closed higher for a fourth straight week, officially retracing 50% of losses since plunging from its all-time January high.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 3.8% from Monday to Friday to close above 13,000 for the first time since April 25, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2.9% for the week.</p><p>Nearly 90% of stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are now above their 50-day moving average, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick pointed out in an interview with Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p>“It’s extremely rare to go right back down to make new lows when you have that much breadth,” Detrick said. “The messaging of the market has been very strong, and to see that much breadth is a really good thing, probably for a continuation of this summer rally.”</p><p>The Commerce Department is set to release its monthly retail sales report for July on Wednesday, with economists expecting headline sales rose 0.1%, a modest increase after climbing 1.0% in June. Sales excluding auto and gas likely rose 0.3%, according to Bloomberg estimates.</p><p>Bank of America projects core control sales, which net out autos, gas, building materials and restaurants, climbed by a “hefty” 0.9%.</p><p>“Combined with softer-than-expected inflation, this should imply solid gains in real consumer spending in July,” BofA economists said in a note. “If our forecast for July retail sales proves accurate, it would suggest that household spending is off to a fast start in Q3 and pose upside risk to our forecast for another modest decline in real GDP in the quarter.”</p><p>On the earnings front,retail heavyweights are set to report second-quarter results, beginning with Walmart on Tuesday. The megastore’s latest financials will come just weeks after the company slashed its forecast and announced plans for corporate layoffs and restructuring. Target, Home Depot, and a bevy of other retailers will follow suit later in the week.</p><p>Target also ignited worries about the retail sector in June with aafter announcing plansto liquidate massive amounts of slow-moving inventory and take a more cautious view on near-term profits,preparing Wall Street for a worrisome earnings season for retailers.</p><p>Investors expect results may reflect continued pressure from inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain disruptions. Warnings from Walmart and Target last quarter about a pullback in consumer spending sent shares tumbling and rattled the retail sector and markets at large.</p><p>&#34;There is this pivot happening from discretionary and general merchandise into necessities,&#34; Jefferies AnalystStephanie Wissink told Yahoo Finance Livelast month. &#34;The household is having to make discriminate decisions every single week about funding that inflation.&#34;</p><p>Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said in late Julyincreasing levels of food and fuel inflation were pressuring consumer spending and apparel required more markdown dollars, but the company was “encouraged” by the start on spending for school supplies in its U.S. stores.</p><p>Back-to-school spending will be a closely watched metric as retails report, with internal data from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> suggesting consumers started back-to-school shopping earlier this year, which could help boost retail earnings.</p><p>“Despite weakening demand for goods and worries around the resilience of consumer spending, back-to-school season kicked off on a strong footing,” economists at Bank of America said in a report last week. “An earlier back-to-school season could be positive for consumer spending in July though it put downward pressure to spending in August as spending may have been pulled forward.”</p><p>Elsewhere in the week ahead, minutes from the Fed’s July meeting out Wednesday may give investors a better picture of where policymakers see interest rates this fall and whether the U.S. central bank reached peak hawkishness when it hiked rates by 75 basis points for a second consecutive time last month.</p><p>Key data on the housing market is also due out Tuesday and Thursday, with the release of housing starts and existing home sales data.</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:</b> Empire Manufacturing, August (5.0 expected, 11.1 during prior month), NAHB Housing Market Index, August (55 expected, 55 during prior month), Net Long-Term TIC Outflows, June ($155.3 billion during prior month), Total Net TIC Outflows, June (182.5 billion during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Building permits, July (1.645 million expected, 1.685 million during prior month, upwardly revised to 1.696 million), Building permits, month-over-month, July (-3.0% expected, 0.6% during prior month, downwardly revised to 0.1%), Housing Starts, July (1.532 million expected, 1.559 during prior month), Housing Starts, month-over-month, July (-1.7% expected, -2.0% during prior month), Industrial Production, month-over-month, July (0.3% expected, -0.2% during prior month), Capacity Utilization, July (80.2% expected, 80% during prior month), Manufacturing (SIC) Production, July (0.2% expected, -0.5% during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 12 (0.2% during prior week), Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, July (0.1% expected, 1.0% during prior month), Retail Sales excluding autos, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, 1.0% during prior month), Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.7% during prior month), Retail Sales Control Group, July (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month), Business Inventories, June (1.4% expected, 1.4% during prior month), FOMC Meeting Minutes</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> Initial jobless claims, week ended August 13 (265,000 expected, 262,000 during prior week), Continuing claims, week ended August 6 (1.428 during prior week), Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, August (-4.5 expected, -12.3 during prior month), Existing Home Sales, July (4.85 million expected, 5.12 million during prior month), Existing Home Sales, month-over-month, July (-5.3% expected, -5.4% during prior month), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">Leading</a> Index, July (-0.5% expected, -0.8% in during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><h2>Earnings Calendar</h2><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e1dfc3e30dbce05d18d873f509790e\" tg-width=\"2046\" tg-height=\"1443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><p><b>Monday:</b> Blend Labs (BLND), Compass (COMP), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FN\">Fabrinet</a> (FN), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a> (TME), Weber (WEBR), World Wrestling (WWE), ZipRecruiter (ZIP)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LITE\">Lumentum</a> (LITE), Sea Limited (SE)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> Lowe’s (LOW), Amcor (AMCR), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADI\">Analog Devices</a> (ADI), Bath &amp; Body Works (BBWI), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">Cisco</a> Systems (CSCO), Krispy Kreme (DNUT), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFGC\">Performance Food</a> Group (PFGC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a> (SNPS), Target (TGT), The Children&#39;s Place (PLCE), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TJX\">TJX Companies</a> (TJX), Wolfspeed (WOLF)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> BJ&#39;s Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> (AMAT), Bilibili (BILI), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EL\">Estee Lauder</a> (EL), Kohl&#39;s (KSS), Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO), Nio (NIO), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> Stores (ROST), Tapestry (TPR)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> (BKE), Deere (DE), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> (FL)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Retail Sales, Fed Minutes, and a Summer Market Rally: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRetail Sales, Fed Minutes, and a Summer Market Rally: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-15 07:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>News out of the retail sector could be the latest data to drive markets higher in the week ahead.</p><p>After a series of better-than-expected economic prints helped stoke renewed optimism on Wall Street, investors will get key earnings reports from retailers and the July retail sales report from the Commerce Department this week.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> are all set to release quarterly results, and July&#39;s retail sales report is set for release Wednesday morning.</p><p>Also on Wednesday, investors will comb through the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting meeting last month.</p><p>On Friday, U.S. stocks capped their longest winning weekly streak since November 2021. The S&amp;P 500 closed higher for a fourth straight week, officially retracing 50% of losses since plunging from its all-time January high.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 3.8% from Monday to Friday to close above 13,000 for the first time since April 25, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2.9% for the week.</p><p>Nearly 90% of stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are now above their 50-day moving average, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick pointed out in an interview with Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p>“It’s extremely rare to go right back down to make new lows when you have that much breadth,” Detrick said. “The messaging of the market has been very strong, and to see that much breadth is a really good thing, probably for a continuation of this summer rally.”</p><p>The Commerce Department is set to release its monthly retail sales report for July on Wednesday, with economists expecting headline sales rose 0.1%, a modest increase after climbing 1.0% in June. Sales excluding auto and gas likely rose 0.3%, according to Bloomberg estimates.</p><p>Bank of America projects core control sales, which net out autos, gas, building materials and restaurants, climbed by a “hefty” 0.9%.</p><p>“Combined with softer-than-expected inflation, this should imply solid gains in real consumer spending in July,” BofA economists said in a note. “If our forecast for July retail sales proves accurate, it would suggest that household spending is off to a fast start in Q3 and pose upside risk to our forecast for another modest decline in real GDP in the quarter.”</p><p>On the earnings front,retail heavyweights are set to report second-quarter results, beginning with Walmart on Tuesday. The megastore’s latest financials will come just weeks after the company slashed its forecast and announced plans for corporate layoffs and restructuring. Target, Home Depot, and a bevy of other retailers will follow suit later in the week.</p><p>Target also ignited worries about the retail sector in June with aafter announcing plansto liquidate massive amounts of slow-moving inventory and take a more cautious view on near-term profits,preparing Wall Street for a worrisome earnings season for retailers.</p><p>Investors expect results may reflect continued pressure from inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain disruptions. Warnings from Walmart and Target last quarter about a pullback in consumer spending sent shares tumbling and rattled the retail sector and markets at large.</p><p>&#34;There is this pivot happening from discretionary and general merchandise into necessities,&#34; Jefferies AnalystStephanie Wissink told Yahoo Finance Livelast month. &#34;The household is having to make discriminate decisions every single week about funding that inflation.&#34;</p><p>Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said in late Julyincreasing levels of food and fuel inflation were pressuring consumer spending and apparel required more markdown dollars, but the company was “encouraged” by the start on spending for school supplies in its U.S. stores.</p><p>Back-to-school spending will be a closely watched metric as retails report, with internal data from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> suggesting consumers started back-to-school shopping earlier this year, which could help boost retail earnings.</p><p>“Despite weakening demand for goods and worries around the resilience of consumer spending, back-to-school season kicked off on a strong footing,” economists at Bank of America said in a report last week. “An earlier back-to-school season could be positive for consumer spending in July though it put downward pressure to spending in August as spending may have been pulled forward.”</p><p>Elsewhere in the week ahead, minutes from the Fed’s July meeting out Wednesday may give investors a better picture of where policymakers see interest rates this fall and whether the U.S. central bank reached peak hawkishness when it hiked rates by 75 basis points for a second consecutive time last month.</p><p>Key data on the housing market is also due out Tuesday and Thursday, with the release of housing starts and existing home sales data.</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:</b> Empire Manufacturing, August (5.0 expected, 11.1 during prior month), NAHB Housing Market Index, August (55 expected, 55 during prior month), Net Long-Term TIC Outflows, June ($155.3 billion during prior month), Total Net TIC Outflows, June (182.5 billion during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Building permits, July (1.645 million expected, 1.685 million during prior month, upwardly revised to 1.696 million), Building permits, month-over-month, July (-3.0% expected, 0.6% during prior month, downwardly revised to 0.1%), Housing Starts, July (1.532 million expected, 1.559 during prior month), Housing Starts, month-over-month, July (-1.7% expected, -2.0% during prior month), Industrial Production, month-over-month, July (0.3% expected, -0.2% during prior month), Capacity Utilization, July (80.2% expected, 80% during prior month), Manufacturing (SIC) Production, July (0.2% expected, -0.5% during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 12 (0.2% during prior week), Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, July (0.1% expected, 1.0% during prior month), Retail Sales excluding autos, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, 1.0% during prior month), Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.7% during prior month), Retail Sales Control Group, July (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month), Business Inventories, June (1.4% expected, 1.4% during prior month), FOMC Meeting Minutes</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> Initial jobless claims, week ended August 13 (265,000 expected, 262,000 during prior week), Continuing claims, week ended August 6 (1.428 during prior week), Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, August (-4.5 expected, -12.3 during prior month), Existing Home Sales, July (4.85 million expected, 5.12 million during prior month), Existing Home Sales, month-over-month, July (-5.3% expected, -5.4% during prior month), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">Leading</a> Index, July (-0.5% expected, -0.8% in during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><h2>Earnings Calendar</h2><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e1dfc3e30dbce05d18d873f509790e\" tg-width=\"2046\" tg-height=\"1443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><p><b>Monday:</b> Blend Labs (BLND), Compass (COMP), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FN\">Fabrinet</a> (FN), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a> (TME), Weber (WEBR), World Wrestling (WWE), ZipRecruiter (ZIP)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LITE\">Lumentum</a> (LITE), Sea Limited (SE)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> Lowe’s (LOW), Amcor (AMCR), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADI\">Analog Devices</a> (ADI), Bath &amp; Body Works (BBWI), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">Cisco</a> Systems (CSCO), Krispy Kreme (DNUT), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFGC\">Performance Food</a> Group (PFGC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a> (SNPS), Target (TGT), The Children&#39;s Place (PLCE), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TJX\">TJX Companies</a> (TJX), Wolfspeed (WOLF)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> BJ&#39;s Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> (AMAT), Bilibili (BILI), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EL\">Estee Lauder</a> (EL), Kohl&#39;s (KSS), Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO), Nio (NIO), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> Stores (ROST), Tapestry (TPR)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> (BKE), Deere (DE), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> (FL)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195722111","content_text":"News out of the retail sector could be the latest data to drive markets higher in the week ahead.After a series of better-than-expected economic prints helped stoke renewed optimism on Wall Street, investors will get key earnings reports from retailers and the July retail sales report from the Commerce Department this week.Walmart , Target, and the Home Depot are all set to release quarterly results, and July's retail sales report is set for release Wednesday morning.Also on Wednesday, investors will comb through the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting meeting last month.On Friday, U.S. stocks capped their longest winning weekly streak since November 2021. The S&P 500 closed higher for a fourth straight week, officially retracing 50% of losses since plunging from its all-time January high.The Nasdaq gained 3.8% from Monday to Friday to close above 13,000 for the first time since April 25, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2.9% for the week.Nearly 90% of stocks in the S&P 500 are now above their 50-day moving average, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick pointed out in an interview with Yahoo Finance Live.“It’s extremely rare to go right back down to make new lows when you have that much breadth,” Detrick said. “The messaging of the market has been very strong, and to see that much breadth is a really good thing, probably for a continuation of this summer rally.”The Commerce Department is set to release its monthly retail sales report for July on Wednesday, with economists expecting headline sales rose 0.1%, a modest increase after climbing 1.0% in June. Sales excluding auto and gas likely rose 0.3%, according to Bloomberg estimates.Bank of America projects core control sales, which net out autos, gas, building materials and restaurants, climbed by a “hefty” 0.9%.“Combined with softer-than-expected inflation, this should imply solid gains in real consumer spending in July,” BofA economists said in a note. “If our forecast for July retail sales proves accurate, it would suggest that household spending is off to a fast start in Q3 and pose upside risk to our forecast for another modest decline in real GDP in the quarter.”On the earnings front,retail heavyweights are set to report second-quarter results, beginning with Walmart on Tuesday. The megastore’s latest financials will come just weeks after the company slashed its forecast and announced plans for corporate layoffs and restructuring. Target, Home Depot, and a bevy of other retailers will follow suit later in the week.Target also ignited worries about the retail sector in June with aafter announcing plansto liquidate massive amounts of slow-moving inventory and take a more cautious view on near-term profits,preparing Wall Street for a worrisome earnings season for retailers.Investors expect results may reflect continued pressure from inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain disruptions. Warnings from Walmart and Target last quarter about a pullback in consumer spending sent shares tumbling and rattled the retail sector and markets at large.\"There is this pivot happening from discretionary and general merchandise into necessities,\" Jefferies AnalystStephanie Wissink told Yahoo Finance Livelast month. \"The household is having to make discriminate decisions every single week about funding that inflation.\"Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said in late Julyincreasing levels of food and fuel inflation were pressuring consumer spending and apparel required more markdown dollars, but the company was “encouraged” by the start on spending for school supplies in its U.S. stores.Back-to-school spending will be a closely watched metric as retails report, with internal data from Bank of America suggesting consumers started back-to-school shopping earlier this year, which could help boost retail earnings.“Despite weakening demand for goods and worries around the resilience of consumer spending, back-to-school season kicked off on a strong footing,” economists at Bank of America said in a report last week. “An earlier back-to-school season could be positive for consumer spending in July though it put downward pressure to spending in August as spending may have been pulled forward.”Elsewhere in the week ahead, minutes from the Fed’s July meeting out Wednesday may give investors a better picture of where policymakers see interest rates this fall and whether the U.S. central bank reached peak hawkishness when it hiked rates by 75 basis points for a second consecutive time last month.Key data on the housing market is also due out Tuesday and Thursday, with the release of housing starts and existing home sales data.Economic CalendarMonday: Empire Manufacturing, August (5.0 expected, 11.1 during prior month), NAHB Housing Market Index, August (55 expected, 55 during prior month), Net Long-Term TIC Outflows, June ($155.3 billion during prior month), Total Net TIC Outflows, June (182.5 billion during prior month)Tuesday: Building permits, July (1.645 million expected, 1.685 million during prior month, upwardly revised to 1.696 million), Building permits, month-over-month, July (-3.0% expected, 0.6% during prior month, downwardly revised to 0.1%), Housing Starts, July (1.532 million expected, 1.559 during prior month), Housing Starts, month-over-month, July (-1.7% expected, -2.0% during prior month), Industrial Production, month-over-month, July (0.3% expected, -0.2% during prior month), Capacity Utilization, July (80.2% expected, 80% during prior month), Manufacturing (SIC) Production, July (0.2% expected, -0.5% during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 12 (0.2% during prior week), Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, July (0.1% expected, 1.0% during prior month), Retail Sales excluding autos, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, 1.0% during prior month), Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.7% during prior month), Retail Sales Control Group, July (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month), Business Inventories, June (1.4% expected, 1.4% during prior month), FOMC Meeting MinutesThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended August 13 (265,000 expected, 262,000 during prior week), Continuing claims, week ended August 6 (1.428 during prior week), Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, August (-4.5 expected, -12.3 during prior month), Existing Home Sales, July (4.85 million expected, 5.12 million during prior month), Existing Home Sales, month-over-month, July (-5.3% expected, -5.4% during prior month), Leading Index, July (-0.5% expected, -0.8% in during prior month)Friday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Earnings CalendarMonday: Blend Labs (BLND), Compass (COMP), Fabrinet (FN), Tencent Music (TME), Weber (WEBR), World Wrestling (WWE), ZipRecruiter (ZIP)Tuesday: Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), Lumentum (LITE), Sea Limited (SE)Wednesday: Lowe’s (LOW), Amcor (AMCR), Analog Devices (ADI), Bath & Body Works (BBWI), Cisco Systems (CSCO), Krispy Kreme (DNUT), Performance Food Group (PFGC), Synopsys (SNPS), Target (TGT), The Children's Place (PLCE), TJX Companies (TJX), Wolfspeed (WOLF)Thursday: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ), Applied Materials (AMAT), Bilibili (BILI), Estee Lauder (EL), Kohl's (KSS), Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO), Nio (NIO), Ross Stores (ROST), Tapestry (TPR)Friday: Buckle (BKE), Deere (DE), Foot Locker (FL)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990862963,"gmtCreate":1660340288455,"gmtModify":1676533451912,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990862963","repostId":"1164969868","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164969868","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660317942,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164969868?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-12 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164969868","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&amp;P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68625f63d63d5cc6fbbc9a17a1d26290\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-12 23:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&amp;P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68625f63d63d5cc6fbbc9a17a1d26290\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164969868","content_text":"U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990866070,"gmtCreate":1660340060992,"gmtModify":1676533451881,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990866070","repostId":"1157910275","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157910275","pubTimestamp":1660318322,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157910275?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-12 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Is Past Its Sell-By Date!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157910275","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryElon Musk recently repeated his claims that Tesla could be making 20 million cars per year by 2030. That would give Tesla 75% of the entire world EV market!To achieve that requires several more huge factories to be built that are not yet past the initial planning stages nor even a decision made where they will be located!","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Elon Musk recently repeated his claims that Tesla could be making 20 million cars per year by 2030. That would give Tesla 75% of the entire world EV market!</li><li>To achieve that requires several more huge factories to be built that are not yet past the initial planning stages nor even a decision made where they will be located!</li><li>They will require vast sums of money as might many existing problems that remain unresolved with new ones still emerging.</li><li>My share price target is around $100 by year-end. Some are more optimistic, with Citi giving Tesla a sell-rated forecast of $375 → $424. JP Morgan suggests $385. The price, as I write, is $864.</li><li>Some have suggested a price of $1580, which should frighten any cautious investor away.</li></ul><p><b>Those wing doors will not get that Tesla off the ground,</b> and new action against Elon Musk&#39;s autopilot claims might even stop them being driven manually by man - including Musk - in some places. An earlier action against Musk by the SEC resulted in him giving up his driving position as both Chairman and CEO.</p><p>In my first article on Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) on 16 November, 2021, titled Tesla&#39;s Ticking Time Bomb, I strongly advised selling Tesla. The price then was $1,054.73, so it is down 18%, somewhat more than the S&amp;P500&#39;s 12% decline. On the first of that same month, the price was $1,209.</p><p>TSLA hit a low of $626 on 24 May, 2022, suggesting many are having doubts, with the recent bounce perhaps being caused by believers in that sky-high $1580 forecast. To those I would recommend they check the past and see that the price had never gone above $100 until the beginning of last year, the price level I believe it will return to. It is down 27% YTD en route to that price.</p><p>This shall probably be my last article on Tesla, as I prefer to write on companies that will gain from world developments, and those do not benefit Tesla in the way they did in the past. That should have a significant negative effect on Tesla&#39;s future performance in both the car and stock markets, and I hope this article will be of value to those holding or considering buying into Tesla now. I would emphasize here that I am not a short seller or a trader. Tesla may well suit those that are, but it does not suit me. I am an investor and I write with only that in mind.</p><p>I will first touch on Tesla the car (and solar panel) maker and expand on the challenges it faces later.</p><p><b>Tesla The Car Maker</b></p><p>Tesla was founded by a visionary named Elon Musk. He saw an opportunity in electric cars, EVs, when other carmakers - and especially the U.S. and German manufacturers - were mostly focused on traditional internal combustion engines, ICEs.</p><p>He gained an almost cult-like following among retail investors and used the resultant share price explosion to raise over $13 billion in four stock offerings. Car-making is a capital-intensive industry, and such low capital costs gave it an advantage to get off the ground and into the big league.</p><p>Tesla also had <i>good profit margins</i>. Being a newcomer to car manufacturing, Tesla did not have legacy car maker problems such as restrictive unions and large company bureaucracies to add cost, plus EVs require many fewer components than ICEs. That makes Tesla&#39;s profit margins better - gross margins were 23% in fiscal 2020, compared with Ford&#39;s (F) 10%. <i>That gap is closing.</i> Tesla&#39;s superior margins over other carmakers are used by many believers to justify its high valuation, but - while they are good compared with many - they are not sufficiently better than the world&#39;s largest carmaker Toyota (TM,OTCPK:TOYOF) to do make the difference so extreme.</p><p><b>Toyota&#39;s P/E is 10.9. Tesla&#39;s P/E is 103.77 - nearly 10 times Toyota&#39;s!</b></p><p><b>Toyota&#39;s market cap $260bn. Tesla&#39;s $967bn - nearly 4 times Toyota&#39;s!</b></p><p>The latest gross margin (&#34;GM&#34;) figures show this:</p><p>Tesla&#39;s GM: 28%. Net: 10.5%. Ops: 14.6%</p><p>Toyota&#39;s GM: 18%. Net: 8.5%. Ops: 8%</p><p>That GM gap will close when Toyota (and other ICE makers) build more EVs because of the hugely lower amount of materials needed to build EV motors than ICEs, so either TM&#39;s P/E should shoot up or TSLA&#39;s crash down.</p><p>The latest results from Tesla&#39;s website were good, but the Gross Margin is declining.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d5fce89f9eada41780cfacd8d123c95\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed17678a34727ef88451b33fd78453a\" tg-width=\"599\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e9b6e7adf9f631f7442c6692bd0a231\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Source: Tesla.</p><p>If more financial information is required, it can be found here onTesla&#39;s website.</p><p><b>Cash and cash equivalents</b> are good, but billions will be needed to build the additional giant factories required, as might the many existing problems that remain unresolved with new ones still emerging.</p><p>I will now move on to those...</p><p>Problems - Internal <b>Self-Inflicted</b></p><p><b>There are many self-inflicted problems,</b> and many have yet to be resolved. The latest are claims by California&#39;s DMV that Tesla overstated its autopilot capabilities. ThisReutersarticle tells more about that. California is Tesla&#39;s largest U.S. market. The company sold 121,000 vehicles there in 2021, out of an estimated 352,000 sold nationwide. The DMV is seeking remedies that could include <b>suspending Tesla&#39;s license to sell vehicles in California</b> and requiring the company to make restitution to drivers.</p><p>Wikipedia has this list of <b>lawsuits</b> against Tesla.I know of no other reputable company that has stirred up so much controversy. The &#34;autopilot&#34; - the word used by Elon Musk to describe Tesla&#39;s driver assistance technology - fatality case could prove to be fatal or near-fatal for the whole company. Autoblog tells us more on that.</p><p>Currently, in a car accident in the U.S., the driver of one car sues the driver of the other car. It is only very seldom the car manufacturer is sued. For self-driving cars, however, things are likely to be different. There aren&#39;t other drivers to sue. There is just the car - and the company that made it. It won&#39;t take long for plaintiffs&#39; lawyers to start filing big lawsuits, even class actions, against the car and technology companies that made the cars and designed the self-driving technology. And, as we have seen in other such situations, <b>there could soon be billion-dollar judgments against Tesla.</b></p><p><b>Recall and Warranty costs.</b> In 2021, Tesla recalled 475,000 vehicles for safety issues in the U.S. alone. Barron&#39;s recently reported that, since January, 2022, Tesla has issued four recalls for almost 1.5 million vehicles worldwide, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. That&#39;s roughly four times the 360,000 cars that Tesla delivered in the U.S. in 2021, and a half-million more, at least, than the 936,000 delivered worldwide. Global deliveries rose about 87%, compared with 2020. Those problems have to be fixed free of charge, plus many other problems require fixing under warranty.</p><p>They all require the vehicle to be returned to a dealer to be fixed. They <b>are a nuisance for the owners and costly for Tesla shareholders.</b></p><p><b>Musk&#39;s Antics.</b> I borrowed the word antic from Al Jazeera&#39;s report headed &#34;Musk&#39;s antics turn Tesla owners, new buyers against it.&#34;</p><p>Another antic was buying into <b>solar panels</b>. This is a U.S.-only market for Tesla. He got into solar by buying a troubled company founded by his cousins and on whose board he sat. That was paid for with Tesla shareholders&#39; money and led to a failed lawsuit by them, according to this Business Insider report. Its policy has been to offer <b>lowest price guarantees, which is suicidal</b> in such a commodity product market sector and - to reduce costs in the U.S. further - President Biden has waived tariffs on solar panels imported from Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam. A CNET report also claims that &#34;Tesla is skimping on customer service.&#34;This activity will be a constant drain on Tesla profits until closed!</p><p><b>Share sales.</b> <b>Musk&#39;s latest antic is to sell more Tesla shares</b> purportedly to prepare any payment he may have to pay for his Twitter bid. One has to question why did he sell now if he has confidence the stock price will be higher when the outcome of that case against him is known?! This SA News report headed &#34;Elon Musk backtracks on stock pledge&#34; tells more, including &#34;he now owns just under 15% of Tesla.&#34; One day he may be a total high-price dropout!</p><p><b>Musk&#39;s Aims.</b> As a visionary, he has achieved near miracles to get Tesla where it is today. However, it will need another miracle in the near future if 20 million cars are to be made, and even aiming for them could put Tesla into reverse gear financially. At Tesla&#39;s recent Cyber Round Up in Austin, Texas, Musk said the company would &#34;end up building at least 10 or 12 Gigafactories.&#34; Those <b>Gigafactories cost Gigabucks to build.</b> They also require years to build, and he needs them soon if he is to make <b>20 million cars per year by2030.</b> That means completion before the end of 2029 - just over 7 years away. None have been started, nor even have locations been announced!</p><p>In the unlikely event Tesla achieved that number, it would require another miracle to sell that many cars, because gaining 16.4% of the entire world car market - including ICEs - is probably impossible for any car maker.GlobeNewswiremade the 2030 estimate of total car market size in 2030 of 122.83 million units that I used to calculate that market share percentage. It makes worthwhile reading.</p><p>It also looks rather stupid ifS&amp;P Global&#39;s estimate of 26.8 million EV sales by 2030 proves correct. That would mean <b>Tesla has to achieve 75% EV market share!</b></p><p>Toyota is the world&#39;s largest carmaker and manufactures around 10 million cars per year. It has around 10% of the world market. It makes ICEs, hybrids, plug-in hybrids, battery EVs, and hydrogen cars. Tesla only makes battery EVs.</p><p>It therefore takes a bit of a stretch of the imagination to see Tesla selling 20 million cars per year by 2030... if it can make them!</p><p><b>Problems - External</b></p><p><b>Lithium supplies.</b> The Financial Times recently published this article headed &#34;Electric-car makers warned lithium supply crunch is set to last until 2030.&#34;</p><p><b>Political and economic.</b> The new <b>Inflation Reduction Act</b> could have a perverse and unintended negative result for Tesla. The $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit will be renewed in January of 2023 and last until the end of 2032. A striking new requirement is that qualifying cars must be assembled in North America and that materials and critical minerals in the battery must come from the U.S. or a country with a free trade agreement with the U.S. That means some electric vehicles sold in the U.S. will be ineligible as soon as the bill takes effect. Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (&#34;CATL&#34;), who make some batteries for Tesla, has dropped plans to make them in the U.S.</p><p><b>Political backlashes.</b> Elon Musk has probably made some <b>enemies</b> at the political top<b>in California</b>due to his personal move, and Tesla&#39;s HQ, from there to Texas. They may encourage a harsh judgement in DMV&#39;s autopilot case against Tesla that I mentioned above.</p><p>Tesla may yet face other challenges due to his behavior <b>in Germany.</b> That country is full of bureaucracies, some of which wanted to prevent the car and battery factory near Berlin from being built in the first place. Also, local residents and environmentalists - including Green party politicians - did not want their environmentally and visually valuable forest torn down, as this report shows. Elon Musk apparently barged through those bureaucratic regulations and local and environmental objections and started building without proper approvals. The battery factory has still not been started. Their unanswered environmental problems remain. This CNBC article tells more.</p><p><b>The UK is in or near recession,</b> as are several EU continues. They include important German, UK, French, and Italian car makers, all of which have poured billions into making EVs.</p><p>That brings me to another major problem for Tesla...</p><p><b>Competition</b></p><p>-<b>Loss of a previously exclusive big Tesla buyer.</b> EV subscription company <b>Autonomy has placed an order for 23,000 EVs</b> with 17 global automakers to expand and diversify its subscription fleet beyond just Tesla vehicles. Autonomy currently has 1,000 cars, all of which are Tesla models. The fleet order valued at $1.2B includes EVs from BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Canoo (GOEV), Fisker (FSR), Ford (F), General Motors (GM), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF), Lucid Group (LCID), Mercedes-Benz (OTCPK:DDAIF), Polestar (PSNY), Rivian (RIVN), Stellantis (STLA), Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY), Tesla (TSLA), Toyota Motor, VinFast, Volvo Car (OTCPK:VLVOF), and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAF).</p><p>-<b>Others lead the autopilot race.</b> Tesla&#39;s autopilot faces costly attacks and is anyway losing the race to others, as this chart shows</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28c1c01bae4366c47e659b1d8e789f69\" tg-width=\"349\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>inverse.com</p><p>Waymo leads with Baidu not far behind...</p><p>-<b>Chinese tech giant, Baidu</b>(BIDU) has securedthe first permits in China to offer commercial <b>fully driverless</b> robotaxi services to the public on open roads.</p><p>Wei Dong, vice president and chief safety operation officer of Baidu&#39;s Intelligent Driving Group, said in a statement:</p><blockquote>&#34;We believe these permits are a key milestone on the path to the inflection point when the industry can finally roll out fully autonomous driving services at scale.&#34;</blockquote><p>Baidu will sell its technology to other car makers helping those leapfrog over Tesla.</p><p>It will also make cars having unveiled the Apollo RT6 - photo above - an EV ready for production with aninitial starting price of $37,000. Jidu Auto, which is a joint venture between Baidu and Geely Automobile Holdings (OTCPK:GELYY) is looking at raising between $300M and $400M as it seeks to launch its first commercial vehicle in 2023.</p><p>- Apple (AAPL) may have this fully autonomous EVon the road by 2025. Rumors suggest it will be made by Hyundai. If so, maybe their worldwide dealer network will sell and service it.</p><p>Apple reportedly poacheda top executive from Italian luxury carmaker Lamborghini for its car project.</p><p>- China&#39;s <b>BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF,OTCPK:BYDDY) sold 641,350</b> EVs in the first six months of 2022, representing a 315% increase from the same period last year. Tesla, on the other hand, delivered a total of 564,743 vehicles in H1.</p><p>- Century-old car makers are determined to be around for another century! Every major maker is spending billions on EVs. A JV between Stellantis (STLA) and Samsung (OTCPK:SSNLF) is building a $2.5 billion battery factory in Indiana. General Motors is spending $7bn to convert an existing factory to make EVs. That shows <b>another advantage traditional car makers have overTesla.</b>It costs less to convert an existing plant to make EVs than to build a new one from scratch, plus they have an established workforce and customer base.</p><p>A report on SA tells us that GM&#39;s all-electric Hummer draws rave review from Barron&#39;s.</p><p>Ford is spending $11 billion on plants in Tennessee and Kentucky, and plans to build 600,000 EVs by the end of next year.</p><p>European companies are likewise spending huge sums at home and in the U.S. to build EVs and battery factories.</p><p>Putting all those above points into one big picture and I conclude that...</p><p><b>Tesla Is Beyond Its Sell-By Date</b></p><p>I mentioned Elon Musk&#39;s sales above. He is not the only insider to have been selling; Robyn Denholm - Chairman of the Board - was a huge seller in May and June this year. From the Financial Times, the last time I could find news of insiders buying - including a tiny buy by Elon Musk - was in February 2020:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bcb151636a2cf9f820f10fcff805c44\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Source: Financial Times</p><p><b>If Insiders are big sellers - and none buy - why should outsiders do otherwise?!</b></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Is Past Its Sell-By Date!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Is Past Its Sell-By Date!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-12 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533191-tesla-is-past-its-sell-by-date><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryElon Musk recently repeated his claims that Tesla could be making 20 million cars per year by 2030. That would give Tesla 75% of the entire world EV market!To achieve that requires several more...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533191-tesla-is-past-its-sell-by-date\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533191-tesla-is-past-its-sell-by-date","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157910275","content_text":"SummaryElon Musk recently repeated his claims that Tesla could be making 20 million cars per year by 2030. That would give Tesla 75% of the entire world EV market!To achieve that requires several more huge factories to be built that are not yet past the initial planning stages nor even a decision made where they will be located!They will require vast sums of money as might many existing problems that remain unresolved with new ones still emerging.My share price target is around $100 by year-end. Some are more optimistic, with Citi giving Tesla a sell-rated forecast of $375 → $424. JP Morgan suggests $385. The price, as I write, is $864.Some have suggested a price of $1580, which should frighten any cautious investor away.Those wing doors will not get that Tesla off the ground, and new action against Elon Musk's autopilot claims might even stop them being driven manually by man - including Musk - in some places. An earlier action against Musk by the SEC resulted in him giving up his driving position as both Chairman and CEO.In my first article on Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) on 16 November, 2021, titled Tesla's Ticking Time Bomb, I strongly advised selling Tesla. The price then was $1,054.73, so it is down 18%, somewhat more than the S&P500's 12% decline. On the first of that same month, the price was $1,209.TSLA hit a low of $626 on 24 May, 2022, suggesting many are having doubts, with the recent bounce perhaps being caused by believers in that sky-high $1580 forecast. To those I would recommend they check the past and see that the price had never gone above $100 until the beginning of last year, the price level I believe it will return to. It is down 27% YTD en route to that price.This shall probably be my last article on Tesla, as I prefer to write on companies that will gain from world developments, and those do not benefit Tesla in the way they did in the past. That should have a significant negative effect on Tesla's future performance in both the car and stock markets, and I hope this article will be of value to those holding or considering buying into Tesla now. I would emphasize here that I am not a short seller or a trader. Tesla may well suit those that are, but it does not suit me. I am an investor and I write with only that in mind.I will first touch on Tesla the car (and solar panel) maker and expand on the challenges it faces later.Tesla The Car MakerTesla was founded by a visionary named Elon Musk. He saw an opportunity in electric cars, EVs, when other carmakers - and especially the U.S. and German manufacturers - were mostly focused on traditional internal combustion engines, ICEs.He gained an almost cult-like following among retail investors and used the resultant share price explosion to raise over $13 billion in four stock offerings. Car-making is a capital-intensive industry, and such low capital costs gave it an advantage to get off the ground and into the big league.Tesla also had good profit margins. Being a newcomer to car manufacturing, Tesla did not have legacy car maker problems such as restrictive unions and large company bureaucracies to add cost, plus EVs require many fewer components than ICEs. That makes Tesla's profit margins better - gross margins were 23% in fiscal 2020, compared with Ford's (F) 10%. That gap is closing. Tesla's superior margins over other carmakers are used by many believers to justify its high valuation, but - while they are good compared with many - they are not sufficiently better than the world's largest carmaker Toyota (TM,OTCPK:TOYOF) to do make the difference so extreme.Toyota's P/E is 10.9. Tesla's P/E is 103.77 - nearly 10 times Toyota's!Toyota's market cap $260bn. Tesla's $967bn - nearly 4 times Toyota's!The latest gross margin (\"GM\") figures show this:Tesla's GM: 28%. Net: 10.5%. Ops: 14.6%Toyota's GM: 18%. Net: 8.5%. Ops: 8%That GM gap will close when Toyota (and other ICE makers) build more EVs because of the hugely lower amount of materials needed to build EV motors than ICEs, so either TM's P/E should shoot up or TSLA's crash down.The latest results from Tesla's website were good, but the Gross Margin is declining.Source: Tesla.If more financial information is required, it can be found here onTesla's website.Cash and cash equivalents are good, but billions will be needed to build the additional giant factories required, as might the many existing problems that remain unresolved with new ones still emerging.I will now move on to those...Problems - Internal Self-InflictedThere are many self-inflicted problems, and many have yet to be resolved. The latest are claims by California's DMV that Tesla overstated its autopilot capabilities. ThisReutersarticle tells more about that. California is Tesla's largest U.S. market. The company sold 121,000 vehicles there in 2021, out of an estimated 352,000 sold nationwide. The DMV is seeking remedies that could include suspending Tesla's license to sell vehicles in California and requiring the company to make restitution to drivers.Wikipedia has this list of lawsuits against Tesla.I know of no other reputable company that has stirred up so much controversy. The \"autopilot\" - the word used by Elon Musk to describe Tesla's driver assistance technology - fatality case could prove to be fatal or near-fatal for the whole company. Autoblog tells us more on that.Currently, in a car accident in the U.S., the driver of one car sues the driver of the other car. It is only very seldom the car manufacturer is sued. For self-driving cars, however, things are likely to be different. There aren't other drivers to sue. There is just the car - and the company that made it. It won't take long for plaintiffs' lawyers to start filing big lawsuits, even class actions, against the car and technology companies that made the cars and designed the self-driving technology. And, as we have seen in other such situations, there could soon be billion-dollar judgments against Tesla.Recall and Warranty costs. In 2021, Tesla recalled 475,000 vehicles for safety issues in the U.S. alone. Barron's recently reported that, since January, 2022, Tesla has issued four recalls for almost 1.5 million vehicles worldwide, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. That's roughly four times the 360,000 cars that Tesla delivered in the U.S. in 2021, and a half-million more, at least, than the 936,000 delivered worldwide. Global deliveries rose about 87%, compared with 2020. Those problems have to be fixed free of charge, plus many other problems require fixing under warranty.They all require the vehicle to be returned to a dealer to be fixed. They are a nuisance for the owners and costly for Tesla shareholders.Musk's Antics. I borrowed the word antic from Al Jazeera's report headed \"Musk's antics turn Tesla owners, new buyers against it.\"Another antic was buying into solar panels. This is a U.S.-only market for Tesla. He got into solar by buying a troubled company founded by his cousins and on whose board he sat. That was paid for with Tesla shareholders' money and led to a failed lawsuit by them, according to this Business Insider report. Its policy has been to offer lowest price guarantees, which is suicidal in such a commodity product market sector and - to reduce costs in the U.S. further - President Biden has waived tariffs on solar panels imported from Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam. A CNET report also claims that \"Tesla is skimping on customer service.\"This activity will be a constant drain on Tesla profits until closed!Share sales. Musk's latest antic is to sell more Tesla shares purportedly to prepare any payment he may have to pay for his Twitter bid. One has to question why did he sell now if he has confidence the stock price will be higher when the outcome of that case against him is known?! This SA News report headed \"Elon Musk backtracks on stock pledge\" tells more, including \"he now owns just under 15% of Tesla.\" One day he may be a total high-price dropout!Musk's Aims. As a visionary, he has achieved near miracles to get Tesla where it is today. However, it will need another miracle in the near future if 20 million cars are to be made, and even aiming for them could put Tesla into reverse gear financially. At Tesla's recent Cyber Round Up in Austin, Texas, Musk said the company would \"end up building at least 10 or 12 Gigafactories.\" Those Gigafactories cost Gigabucks to build. They also require years to build, and he needs them soon if he is to make 20 million cars per year by2030. That means completion before the end of 2029 - just over 7 years away. None have been started, nor even have locations been announced!In the unlikely event Tesla achieved that number, it would require another miracle to sell that many cars, because gaining 16.4% of the entire world car market - including ICEs - is probably impossible for any car maker.GlobeNewswiremade the 2030 estimate of total car market size in 2030 of 122.83 million units that I used to calculate that market share percentage. It makes worthwhile reading.It also looks rather stupid ifS&P Global's estimate of 26.8 million EV sales by 2030 proves correct. That would mean Tesla has to achieve 75% EV market share!Toyota is the world's largest carmaker and manufactures around 10 million cars per year. It has around 10% of the world market. It makes ICEs, hybrids, plug-in hybrids, battery EVs, and hydrogen cars. Tesla only makes battery EVs.It therefore takes a bit of a stretch of the imagination to see Tesla selling 20 million cars per year by 2030... if it can make them!Problems - ExternalLithium supplies. The Financial Times recently published this article headed \"Electric-car makers warned lithium supply crunch is set to last until 2030.\"Political and economic. The new Inflation Reduction Act could have a perverse and unintended negative result for Tesla. The $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit will be renewed in January of 2023 and last until the end of 2032. A striking new requirement is that qualifying cars must be assembled in North America and that materials and critical minerals in the battery must come from the U.S. or a country with a free trade agreement with the U.S. That means some electric vehicles sold in the U.S. will be ineligible as soon as the bill takes effect. Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (\"CATL\"), who make some batteries for Tesla, has dropped plans to make them in the U.S.Political backlashes. Elon Musk has probably made some enemies at the political topin Californiadue to his personal move, and Tesla's HQ, from there to Texas. They may encourage a harsh judgement in DMV's autopilot case against Tesla that I mentioned above.Tesla may yet face other challenges due to his behavior in Germany. That country is full of bureaucracies, some of which wanted to prevent the car and battery factory near Berlin from being built in the first place. Also, local residents and environmentalists - including Green party politicians - did not want their environmentally and visually valuable forest torn down, as this report shows. Elon Musk apparently barged through those bureaucratic regulations and local and environmental objections and started building without proper approvals. The battery factory has still not been started. Their unanswered environmental problems remain. This CNBC article tells more.The UK is in or near recession, as are several EU continues. They include important German, UK, French, and Italian car makers, all of which have poured billions into making EVs.That brings me to another major problem for Tesla...Competition-Loss of a previously exclusive big Tesla buyer. EV subscription company Autonomy has placed an order for 23,000 EVs with 17 global automakers to expand and diversify its subscription fleet beyond just Tesla vehicles. Autonomy currently has 1,000 cars, all of which are Tesla models. The fleet order valued at $1.2B includes EVs from BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Canoo (GOEV), Fisker (FSR), Ford (F), General Motors (GM), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF), Lucid Group (LCID), Mercedes-Benz (OTCPK:DDAIF), Polestar (PSNY), Rivian (RIVN), Stellantis (STLA), Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY), Tesla (TSLA), Toyota Motor, VinFast, Volvo Car (OTCPK:VLVOF), and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAF).-Others lead the autopilot race. Tesla's autopilot faces costly attacks and is anyway losing the race to others, as this chart showsinverse.comWaymo leads with Baidu not far behind...-Chinese tech giant, Baidu(BIDU) has securedthe first permits in China to offer commercial fully driverless robotaxi services to the public on open roads.Wei Dong, vice president and chief safety operation officer of Baidu's Intelligent Driving Group, said in a statement:\"We believe these permits are a key milestone on the path to the inflection point when the industry can finally roll out fully autonomous driving services at scale.\"Baidu will sell its technology to other car makers helping those leapfrog over Tesla.It will also make cars having unveiled the Apollo RT6 - photo above - an EV ready for production with aninitial starting price of $37,000. Jidu Auto, which is a joint venture between Baidu and Geely Automobile Holdings (OTCPK:GELYY) is looking at raising between $300M and $400M as it seeks to launch its first commercial vehicle in 2023.- Apple (AAPL) may have this fully autonomous EVon the road by 2025. Rumors suggest it will be made by Hyundai. If so, maybe their worldwide dealer network will sell and service it.Apple reportedly poacheda top executive from Italian luxury carmaker Lamborghini for its car project.- China's BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF,OTCPK:BYDDY) sold 641,350 EVs in the first six months of 2022, representing a 315% increase from the same period last year. Tesla, on the other hand, delivered a total of 564,743 vehicles in H1.- Century-old car makers are determined to be around for another century! Every major maker is spending billions on EVs. A JV between Stellantis (STLA) and Samsung (OTCPK:SSNLF) is building a $2.5 billion battery factory in Indiana. General Motors is spending $7bn to convert an existing factory to make EVs. That shows another advantage traditional car makers have overTesla.It costs less to convert an existing plant to make EVs than to build a new one from scratch, plus they have an established workforce and customer base.A report on SA tells us that GM's all-electric Hummer draws rave review from Barron's.Ford is spending $11 billion on plants in Tennessee and Kentucky, and plans to build 600,000 EVs by the end of next year.European companies are likewise spending huge sums at home and in the U.S. to build EVs and battery factories.Putting all those above points into one big picture and I conclude that...Tesla Is Beyond Its Sell-By DateI mentioned Elon Musk's sales above. He is not the only insider to have been selling; Robyn Denholm - Chairman of the Board - was a huge seller in May and June this year. From the Financial Times, the last time I could find news of insiders buying - including a tiny buy by Elon Musk - was in February 2020:Source: Financial TimesIf Insiders are big sellers - and none buy - why should outsiders do otherwise?!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":27,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904519649,"gmtCreate":1660081316083,"gmtModify":1703477511615,"author":{"id":"4100826296170720","authorId":"4100826296170720","name":"a1g2r","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f59a9110e7f894cf1b74d669b579c9eb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PUBM\">$PubMatic, Inc.(PUBM)$</a>rrocket","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PUBM\">$PubMatic, Inc.(PUBM)$</a>rrocket","text":"$PubMatic, Inc.(PUBM)$rrocket","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1560ab713def3868fadcb6d12b2f541","width":"1080","height":"2387"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904519649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}