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2024-08-31

Over valuation is probably what someone who'd missed the lows who'd say in an attempt to snap it up again. Anyone who used Palantir's software would know that once integrated into a corporate system, would be difficult to exit let alone employees who are unwilling to give it up.

Palantir Is a Top AI Stock. Is This Its Achilles' Heel?

2024-11-13

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ You can't find another like Palantir!

2024-11-05

"Hold" for more to come

Palantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs

2024-11-06

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..

2022-01-18

In order for us to show that we believe in yourcompany, your price needs to go down first 🤭

Microsoft to acquire Activision Blizzard in all-cash deal valued at $68.7 bln

2022-09-22

Alright

S&P 500 Opens Flat Following Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rout

2023-09-03

Alright

4 Preeminent Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying in the Wake of the Nasdaq Bear Market Dip

2023-04-23

Ok

Amazon Earnings Preview: Will Job Cuts Improve the Balance Sheets?

2024-12-08

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Christmas Comes Once a Year, But Sheer Joy Shall Last Forever! May the year end with a bang but let 2024 be the catalyst of a raging Bull that's to come by! Thank you $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ & Seasons Greetings 🎄

2022-06-25

Just be patient 😉

Palantir: A Strong Recession Play

2022-05-12

It's profiting but some people are upset about slight off benchmark... 🤦🏻

SoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading

2022-01-23

What a time for IPO！

US IPO Week Ahead: Connectivity Solutions and Micro-caps in a 5 IPO week

2024-12-11

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Those sellers are giving whales the opportunity to enter. They are just waiting...

2024-11-08

I'm all for Long.

Palantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)

2024-10-09

Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.

Will Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?

2024-09-21

Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...

Palantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point

2024-06-28

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Too much hype for Nvidia... Putting aside its business, from a political stand point Nvidia is in a terrible position when it's stuck between 2 major country/market. Wouldn't put too much hope in them until there's peace.

2022-05-29

Wooo

$250 Billion in "Rebalancing" Inflows Could Rescue Stocks By the End of June, JPMorgan Says

2022-02-26

👍

Berkshire Hathaway Buys Back $6.9B of Stock in Q4; Operating Earnings Rise 45%

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Thank you $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ & Seasons Greetings 🎄","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3548bb578677bfd2e91999deb4811d0","width":"860","height":"573"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fade0ef6897d1889937b2fb66069d63b","width":"1024","height":"768"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33e657cb62753905500a4968b23dd699","width":"860","height":"573"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379446739435704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3501196737273098","authorId":"3501196737273098","name":"Tiger_comments","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/227887b200e9925968650d5db4a8bfb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3501196737273098","authorIdStr":"3501196737273098"},"content":"It’s soooooo beautiful!!! Thanks for sharing~~~","text":"It’s soooooo beautiful!!! Thanks for sharing~~~","html":"It’s soooooo beautiful!!! Thanks for sharing~~~"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374077719253104,"gmtCreate":1732337007319,"gmtModify":1732337011384,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It will fall lower until the case is finalized.&nbsp;","listText":"It will fall lower until the case is finalized.&nbsp;","text":"It will fall lower until the case is finalized.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374077719253104","repostId":"2485040093","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2485040093","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1732261389,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2485040093?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-22 15:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Google Will Survive AI and Break-up Calls. Why Alphabet Stock Could Gain 50%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2485040093","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Google is under attack. Alphabet stock will still emerge a winner.Alphabet shareholders have every right to be worried. This past week, the U.S. government hit Google -- and hit it hard -- when it put forward remedies to break Google's hold on search, which included selling its Chrome browser and monitoring data, causing the stock to fall 4.7%, to $167.63, on Thursday. The action comes as investors were already fretting about the rise of generative artificial intelligence -- computers capable of answering complex questions in, mostly, plain language -- which have created an opening for competitors like ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Microsoft in a way that Yahoo!and DuckDuckGo never could. Not only can they siphon users away from Google, but the search for answers instead of links also could be devastating for its advertising business. Without search and the ad dollars it produces, the mighty Alphabet collapses -- and so does its stock.Then, ChatGPT launched in November 2022. Generative AI, ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Google is under attack. <strong>GOOGL </strong>stock will still emerge a winner. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Alphabet shareholders have every right to be worried. This past week, the U.S. government hit Google—and hit it hard—when it put forward remedies to break Google’s hold on search, which included selling its Chrome browser and monitoring data, causing the stock to fall 4.7%, to $167.63, on Thursday. The action comes as investors were already fretting about the rise of generative artificial intelligence—computers capable of answering complex questions in, mostly, plain language—which have created an opening for competitors like ChatGPT, Perplexity, and <strong>MSFT </strong>in a way that Yahoo! and DuckDuckGo never could. Not only can they siphon users away from Google, but the search for answers instead of links also could be devastating for its advertising business. Without search and the ad dollars it produces, the mighty Alphabet collapses—and so does its stock. </p><p>Alphabet, however, is more than up to the task of defending itself. Since going public in 2004—at a split-adjusted $2.13 a share—Google has navigated the shifting terrain of the internet, including the transition from desktops to mobile phones, with relative ease. While the future will be more complicated, generative AI has the potential to add revenue, as Gemini, Google’s AI tool, ramps up and becomes more powerful. While the government’s attempt to break Alphabet apart could be an overhang, it appears to be reflected in the stock, which is the cheapest of the Magnificent Seven and even cheaper than the S&amp;P 500 index. Even as that future unfolds, the company’s search business remains dominant—and cash-generating—and that is unlikely to change, even as the way people find information does.</p><p>“I don’t see betting against Google,” says Jason Browne, president of Texas-based investment advisory firm Alexis Investment Partners.</p><p>For two decades now, Alphabet has been a winner. Its advertising business generates more than $250 billion annually, while Android has become the world’s most popular mobile operating system, easily surpassing <strong>AAPL </strong>’s iPhone in users. Following the lead of <strong>AMZN </strong>and Microsoft, Alphabet moved into the cloud, which is expected to generate $58 billion in revenue for the company next year. At the same time, though less talked about than TikTok, YouTube has become the planet’s No. 1 content delivery platform, with viewers watching more than a billion hours daily.</p><p>The rivers of cash generated from all of its units—some $435 billion over the past decade—have allowed Google to indulge in what it calls its “other bets,” including Waymo’s self-driving car initiatives and Google Fiber broadband internet, money-losing businesses that investors simply ignore. And it’s all tied together by Google’s search engine, creating an aura of invincibility and inevitability.</p><p>Then, ChatGPT launched in November 2022. Generative AI, with the ability to scrub the net and provide easy, if sometimes dubious, answers, opens up a new possibility for accessing data—and a new threat to Alphabet’s dominance. Users no longer have to type questions into Google’s search bar and scroll through links. Now they can type in a question and get an answer. ChatGPT was mind-blowing when it arrived—and an immediate success. “It was the fastest [growing], most exciting app that has ever hit the market,” says Futurum Group CEO and technology researcher Daniel Newman, who noted that it reached 100 million active users just two months after its launch. </p><p>Perplexity, launched a month after ChatGPT, has grown to 15 million monthly active users and recently launched a shopping assistant, allowing users to type in a question, get an answer, and execute a transaction. Dmitry Shevelenko, Perplexity’s chief business officer, calls the company’s tool an “answer machine,” one that gives users the information they need versus just giving them links. Perplexity answered about 425 million questions over the past 30 days, up from 500 million in all of 2023. Ultimately, the company hopes to create an all-in-one app, where users can act on what they have learned and never have to leave. </p><p>These changes seem ominous for Google. Follow them to their logical conclusion and it isn’t hard to imagine traditional search fading away and the market fragmenting, with consumers one day communicating with their devices via an AI-generated custom interface. In February, technology research firm Gartner projected that total search engine volume would drop 25% by 2026. There’s only one problem with those dire predictions—the data don’t back them up. Microsoft was the first mover, putting ChatGPT into Bing, while boldly claiming that taking 1% of search market share would translate to $2 billion in incremental revenue. “Microsoft took no share,” says Futurum’s Newman. </p><p>What’s more, Alphabet’s October earnings report showed no signs of a search slowdown. It easily topped earnings and sales forecasts, while revenue from its cloud business gained 35%. But it was search that was perhaps the most surprising. Anyone who visited Google recently noticed that the service often provides an AI-generated summary of the findings, as well as a list of links. Investors had worried that would mean fewer links and ads, but management appeared optimistic about its ability to make money from those searches.</p><p>“We still have no idea how they’ll really monetize AI or other innovations, but the perceived ‘threats’ (OpenAI, Meta AI, Perplexity, and upcoming Meta and OpenAI search) will have to wait, as Google Search growth of 12% beat estimates modestly,” writes Melius analyst Ben Reitzes. </p><p>Alphabet has something going for it that OpenAI, which has a partnership with <strong>NWSA </strong>, the owner of <em>Barron’s</em> parent Dow Jones, and Perplexity don’t—it’s a moneymaking business. The two start-ups are still in the early stages of their business development and aren’t profitable. How they ultimately monetize their businesses—and whether they can successfully do it—remains to be seen. Perplexity is also being sued for not paying for the content it feeds into its large-language models, or LLMs, something that could ultimately force it to change how it operates. (Dow Jones is one of the companies suing Perplexity.)</p><p>While the upstarts try to figure things out, search should keep growing. Media investment and data-services provider GroupM projects that search advertising revenue will grow more than 6% in 2025, up from about 5% in 2024, with about 5% average annual growth through the decade’s end. It isn’t that people like to click through a list of links produced from a query, but that AI-assisted search will produce better results, leading to more questions and further searches. Rather than being a paradigm shift like the switch from desktop to mobile, AI search may be a new format for answers, says New Street Research analyst Dan Salmon. “[It’s] more akin to the integration of images, maps, and other forms of content beyond the original text links,” he explains. Salmon rates Alphabet stock a Buy with a $213 price target.     </p><p>The advent of AI is also likely to create new types of search and novel ways to earn money from sifting through information. There is the traditional ad-supported version—now with AI summaries—that Google dominates, and premium tools are available by subscription. There are even tools being created for individual companies, such as <strong>GE </strong>’s</p><p>ChatGPT-powered Wingmate, which uses LLMs to provide relevant answers to the questions from the company’s engineers based on design and operating manuals. Now, imagine every company in the S&amp;P 500 doing the same thing. “Search behavior already moved to a dual revenue stream: subscriptions and ads,” Salmon says.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/dbb663d732217d6d4f55b5a9d696adfd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"770\" tg-height=\"513\"/></p><p>Alphabet is playing in both pools. Google One has over 100 million subscribers, and its premium version includes Alphabet’s highest-level AI functionality for $20 a month. ChatGPT’s premium product has about 10 million subscribers, Salmon estimates. Alphabet also has the advantage of experience, including years of work with its Google Brain and DeepMind AI projects and its internally developed Tensor AI hardware. And it recently purchased character.ai for $2.7 billion to help with these efforts. It has the advantage of $154 billion in operating cash it is expected to earn in 2025 as it gets ready to spend $59 billion on its AI future, similar to what Microsoft spends a year. </p><p>That spending should pay off. Salmon estimates that generative AI overviews and subscriptions keep Alphabet’s Google business growing at about 10% a year on average through 2027. “New AI features in search are resulting in better engagement and higher levels of user satisfaction,” says Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives, adding that structural risks to Google’s search dominance are overblown. Wedbush rates Alphabet shares a Buy and has a $210 price target.  </p><p>AI might not be able to slow Google down, but the antitrust risk is real, as this past week’s decline demonstrates. In August, U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, saying that Google illegally monopolized search. This past week, the DOJ proposed a list of remedies that include selling the Chrome browser, prohibiting the ownership and control of anything that creates a preference for Google, and “restoring competition through syndication and data access”—essentially requiring the company to provide its core search index to anyone who wants it to label as their own free of cost.</p><p>“We view many of the DOJ’s recommendations to restrict Google Search (and other products) as unlikely to be approved by the court, or to survive an appeals process,” writes Baird analyst Colin Sebastian, who rates the stock a Buy with a $205 price target. “Beyond the reasonable ask to prohibit search distribution agreements, the DOJ remedies are, in our view, a wish-list of restrictions on Google that stray well beyond the court’s ruling.”</p><p>Alphabet is fighting the ruling, but other cases loom, including one the U.S. has brought against the company over its advertising business. Appeals are likely to delay any action until 2027 at the earliest. In October, President-elect Donald Trump came out against a Google breakup in favor of making it more fair.</p><p>Some changes will be offset. An end to Alphabet paying companies like Apple to make Google the default search engine could mean a loss of market share. But the company spends billions annually on search acquisition costs, including some $20 billion to Apple in 2022, according to court filings. The impact of lower revenue and expenses could, in theory, result in a near-negligible hit to earnings per share, according to Wolfe Research analyst Shweta Khajuria.</p><p>Alphabet stock appears to reflect these antitrust concerns. It trades for 19.4 times earnings, below the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 22 times and Meta Platforms&#39; 22.9 times. &#34;The stock is already reflecting that risk,&#34; says Putnam Investments&#39; Ellen Hazen, who comments that her firm would consider adding to its existing position if it falls back to about $170.</p><p>Oakmarket Select portfolio manager Bill Nygren goes even further. He argues that Alphabet, with a market value of $2.1 trillion including cash and debt, is worth more than the sum of its parts. &#34;Forcing investors to recognize the value of each [business] would probably make the stock go up,&#34; he says.</p><p>An analysis of those individual parts bears that out. Alphabet&#39;s cloud business, which could generate roughly $20 billion in 2025 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, would be worth $325 billion at a 16 times multiple, similar to what Amazon and Microsoft fetch. YouTube would be worth up to $800 billion if it traded at 22 times Ebitda, the average of what Meta and Netflix change hands for.</p><p>Waymo is a little harder to value. Uber Technologies is valued at $150 billion, while Wall Street valuations for Tesla&#39;s self-driving business range from $100 billion to trillions, even though the company has yet to complete a single fully autonomous ride. Alphabet&#39;s Waymo completes 150,000 self-driving cab rides each week, making it a real self-driving player. It is reasonable to value it at about $300 billion, though some bulls think it&#39;s worth far more than that: Deepwater Asset Management&#39;s Gene Munster put Waymo&#39;s valuation at $350 billion to $850 billion by 2030 and expects a spinoff in the next two to four years.</p><p>That leaves Alphabet&#39;s search business worth roughly $550 billion, adjusted for its $117 billion in net cash and investments, or about five times Ebitda. Nygren, who doesn&#39;t include Waymo, calculates that Google Search trades at about 11 times earnings. That is enough of a margin of safety for him, given what Alphabet is facing.</p><p>As for upside, it&#39;s easy to justify a $260 stock price for the company based on the sum of its parts, up 55% from Thursday&#39;s close. Or Alphabet could be recognized as one of the world&#39;s dominant tech companies. Getting back to its historical premium relative to the market implies that Alphabet shares would trade for about 26 times earnings and be worth about $234 a share, up 40%. &#34;We think of it as a high-multiple tech stock that isn&#39;t [priced] like one,&#34; says Nygren.</p><p>For Alphabet, AI isn&#39;t the end of the line -- it&#39;s the next step to a brighter future.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google Will Survive AI and Break-up Calls. Why Alphabet Stock Could Gain 50%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle Will Survive AI and Break-up Calls. Why Alphabet Stock Could Gain 50%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-22 15:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Google is under attack. <strong>GOOGL </strong>stock will still emerge a winner. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Alphabet shareholders have every right to be worried. This past week, the U.S. government hit Google—and hit it hard—when it put forward remedies to break Google’s hold on search, which included selling its Chrome browser and monitoring data, causing the stock to fall 4.7%, to $167.63, on Thursday. The action comes as investors were already fretting about the rise of generative artificial intelligence—computers capable of answering complex questions in, mostly, plain language—which have created an opening for competitors like ChatGPT, Perplexity, and <strong>MSFT </strong>in a way that Yahoo! and DuckDuckGo never could. Not only can they siphon users away from Google, but the search for answers instead of links also could be devastating for its advertising business. Without search and the ad dollars it produces, the mighty Alphabet collapses—and so does its stock. </p><p>Alphabet, however, is more than up to the task of defending itself. Since going public in 2004—at a split-adjusted $2.13 a share—Google has navigated the shifting terrain of the internet, including the transition from desktops to mobile phones, with relative ease. While the future will be more complicated, generative AI has the potential to add revenue, as Gemini, Google’s AI tool, ramps up and becomes more powerful. While the government’s attempt to break Alphabet apart could be an overhang, it appears to be reflected in the stock, which is the cheapest of the Magnificent Seven and even cheaper than the S&amp;P 500 index. Even as that future unfolds, the company’s search business remains dominant—and cash-generating—and that is unlikely to change, even as the way people find information does.</p><p>“I don’t see betting against Google,” says Jason Browne, president of Texas-based investment advisory firm Alexis Investment Partners.</p><p>For two decades now, Alphabet has been a winner. Its advertising business generates more than $250 billion annually, while Android has become the world’s most popular mobile operating system, easily surpassing <strong>AAPL </strong>’s iPhone in users. Following the lead of <strong>AMZN </strong>and Microsoft, Alphabet moved into the cloud, which is expected to generate $58 billion in revenue for the company next year. At the same time, though less talked about than TikTok, YouTube has become the planet’s No. 1 content delivery platform, with viewers watching more than a billion hours daily.</p><p>The rivers of cash generated from all of its units—some $435 billion over the past decade—have allowed Google to indulge in what it calls its “other bets,” including Waymo’s self-driving car initiatives and Google Fiber broadband internet, money-losing businesses that investors simply ignore. And it’s all tied together by Google’s search engine, creating an aura of invincibility and inevitability.</p><p>Then, ChatGPT launched in November 2022. Generative AI, with the ability to scrub the net and provide easy, if sometimes dubious, answers, opens up a new possibility for accessing data—and a new threat to Alphabet’s dominance. Users no longer have to type questions into Google’s search bar and scroll through links. Now they can type in a question and get an answer. ChatGPT was mind-blowing when it arrived—and an immediate success. “It was the fastest [growing], most exciting app that has ever hit the market,” says Futurum Group CEO and technology researcher Daniel Newman, who noted that it reached 100 million active users just two months after its launch. </p><p>Perplexity, launched a month after ChatGPT, has grown to 15 million monthly active users and recently launched a shopping assistant, allowing users to type in a question, get an answer, and execute a transaction. Dmitry Shevelenko, Perplexity’s chief business officer, calls the company’s tool an “answer machine,” one that gives users the information they need versus just giving them links. Perplexity answered about 425 million questions over the past 30 days, up from 500 million in all of 2023. Ultimately, the company hopes to create an all-in-one app, where users can act on what they have learned and never have to leave. </p><p>These changes seem ominous for Google. Follow them to their logical conclusion and it isn’t hard to imagine traditional search fading away and the market fragmenting, with consumers one day communicating with their devices via an AI-generated custom interface. In February, technology research firm Gartner projected that total search engine volume would drop 25% by 2026. There’s only one problem with those dire predictions—the data don’t back them up. Microsoft was the first mover, putting ChatGPT into Bing, while boldly claiming that taking 1% of search market share would translate to $2 billion in incremental revenue. “Microsoft took no share,” says Futurum’s Newman. </p><p>What’s more, Alphabet’s October earnings report showed no signs of a search slowdown. It easily topped earnings and sales forecasts, while revenue from its cloud business gained 35%. But it was search that was perhaps the most surprising. Anyone who visited Google recently noticed that the service often provides an AI-generated summary of the findings, as well as a list of links. Investors had worried that would mean fewer links and ads, but management appeared optimistic about its ability to make money from those searches.</p><p>“We still have no idea how they’ll really monetize AI or other innovations, but the perceived ‘threats’ (OpenAI, Meta AI, Perplexity, and upcoming Meta and OpenAI search) will have to wait, as Google Search growth of 12% beat estimates modestly,” writes Melius analyst Ben Reitzes. </p><p>Alphabet has something going for it that OpenAI, which has a partnership with <strong>NWSA </strong>, the owner of <em>Barron’s</em> parent Dow Jones, and Perplexity don’t—it’s a moneymaking business. The two start-ups are still in the early stages of their business development and aren’t profitable. How they ultimately monetize their businesses—and whether they can successfully do it—remains to be seen. Perplexity is also being sued for not paying for the content it feeds into its large-language models, or LLMs, something that could ultimately force it to change how it operates. (Dow Jones is one of the companies suing Perplexity.)</p><p>While the upstarts try to figure things out, search should keep growing. Media investment and data-services provider GroupM projects that search advertising revenue will grow more than 6% in 2025, up from about 5% in 2024, with about 5% average annual growth through the decade’s end. It isn’t that people like to click through a list of links produced from a query, but that AI-assisted search will produce better results, leading to more questions and further searches. Rather than being a paradigm shift like the switch from desktop to mobile, AI search may be a new format for answers, says New Street Research analyst Dan Salmon. “[It’s] more akin to the integration of images, maps, and other forms of content beyond the original text links,” he explains. Salmon rates Alphabet stock a Buy with a $213 price target.     </p><p>The advent of AI is also likely to create new types of search and novel ways to earn money from sifting through information. There is the traditional ad-supported version—now with AI summaries—that Google dominates, and premium tools are available by subscription. There are even tools being created for individual companies, such as <strong>GE </strong>’s</p><p>ChatGPT-powered Wingmate, which uses LLMs to provide relevant answers to the questions from the company’s engineers based on design and operating manuals. Now, imagine every company in the S&amp;P 500 doing the same thing. “Search behavior already moved to a dual revenue stream: subscriptions and ads,” Salmon says.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/dbb663d732217d6d4f55b5a9d696adfd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"770\" tg-height=\"513\"/></p><p>Alphabet is playing in both pools. Google One has over 100 million subscribers, and its premium version includes Alphabet’s highest-level AI functionality for $20 a month. ChatGPT’s premium product has about 10 million subscribers, Salmon estimates. Alphabet also has the advantage of experience, including years of work with its Google Brain and DeepMind AI projects and its internally developed Tensor AI hardware. And it recently purchased character.ai for $2.7 billion to help with these efforts. It has the advantage of $154 billion in operating cash it is expected to earn in 2025 as it gets ready to spend $59 billion on its AI future, similar to what Microsoft spends a year. </p><p>That spending should pay off. Salmon estimates that generative AI overviews and subscriptions keep Alphabet’s Google business growing at about 10% a year on average through 2027. “New AI features in search are resulting in better engagement and higher levels of user satisfaction,” says Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives, adding that structural risks to Google’s search dominance are overblown. Wedbush rates Alphabet shares a Buy and has a $210 price target.  </p><p>AI might not be able to slow Google down, but the antitrust risk is real, as this past week’s decline demonstrates. In August, U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, saying that Google illegally monopolized search. This past week, the DOJ proposed a list of remedies that include selling the Chrome browser, prohibiting the ownership and control of anything that creates a preference for Google, and “restoring competition through syndication and data access”—essentially requiring the company to provide its core search index to anyone who wants it to label as their own free of cost.</p><p>“We view many of the DOJ’s recommendations to restrict Google Search (and other products) as unlikely to be approved by the court, or to survive an appeals process,” writes Baird analyst Colin Sebastian, who rates the stock a Buy with a $205 price target. “Beyond the reasonable ask to prohibit search distribution agreements, the DOJ remedies are, in our view, a wish-list of restrictions on Google that stray well beyond the court’s ruling.”</p><p>Alphabet is fighting the ruling, but other cases loom, including one the U.S. has brought against the company over its advertising business. Appeals are likely to delay any action until 2027 at the earliest. In October, President-elect Donald Trump came out against a Google breakup in favor of making it more fair.</p><p>Some changes will be offset. An end to Alphabet paying companies like Apple to make Google the default search engine could mean a loss of market share. But the company spends billions annually on search acquisition costs, including some $20 billion to Apple in 2022, according to court filings. The impact of lower revenue and expenses could, in theory, result in a near-negligible hit to earnings per share, according to Wolfe Research analyst Shweta Khajuria.</p><p>Alphabet stock appears to reflect these antitrust concerns. It trades for 19.4 times earnings, below the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 22 times and Meta Platforms&#39; 22.9 times. &#34;The stock is already reflecting that risk,&#34; says Putnam Investments&#39; Ellen Hazen, who comments that her firm would consider adding to its existing position if it falls back to about $170.</p><p>Oakmarket Select portfolio manager Bill Nygren goes even further. He argues that Alphabet, with a market value of $2.1 trillion including cash and debt, is worth more than the sum of its parts. &#34;Forcing investors to recognize the value of each [business] would probably make the stock go up,&#34; he says.</p><p>An analysis of those individual parts bears that out. Alphabet&#39;s cloud business, which could generate roughly $20 billion in 2025 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, would be worth $325 billion at a 16 times multiple, similar to what Amazon and Microsoft fetch. YouTube would be worth up to $800 billion if it traded at 22 times Ebitda, the average of what Meta and Netflix change hands for.</p><p>Waymo is a little harder to value. Uber Technologies is valued at $150 billion, while Wall Street valuations for Tesla&#39;s self-driving business range from $100 billion to trillions, even though the company has yet to complete a single fully autonomous ride. Alphabet&#39;s Waymo completes 150,000 self-driving cab rides each week, making it a real self-driving player. It is reasonable to value it at about $300 billion, though some bulls think it&#39;s worth far more than that: Deepwater Asset Management&#39;s Gene Munster put Waymo&#39;s valuation at $350 billion to $850 billion by 2030 and expects a spinoff in the next two to four years.</p><p>That leaves Alphabet&#39;s search business worth roughly $550 billion, adjusted for its $117 billion in net cash and investments, or about five times Ebitda. Nygren, who doesn&#39;t include Waymo, calculates that Google Search trades at about 11 times earnings. That is enough of a margin of safety for him, given what Alphabet is facing.</p><p>As for upside, it&#39;s easy to justify a $260 stock price for the company based on the sum of its parts, up 55% from Thursday&#39;s close. Or Alphabet could be recognized as one of the world&#39;s dominant tech companies. Getting back to its historical premium relative to the market implies that Alphabet shares would trade for about 26 times earnings and be worth about $234 a share, up 40%. &#34;We think of it as a high-multiple tech stock that isn&#39;t [priced] like one,&#34; says Nygren.</p><p>For Alphabet, AI isn&#39;t the end of the line -- it&#39;s the next step to a brighter future.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1301847155.USD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND \"A4G\" (USD) INC","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","LU2083900584.USD":"HSBC GIF US INCOME FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU1188199696.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Multi-Asset Income A Dis SGD","LU1582987324.SGD":"M&G (LUX) INCOME ALLOCATION \"A-H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2237957811.SGD":"NIKKO AM GLOBAL EQUITY \"F\" (SGD) ACC","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU1582987597.SGD":"M&G (LUX) INCOME ALLOCATION \"A-H\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2361044865.SGD":"WELLINGTON US QUALITY GROWTH \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0158827948.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IE000ITXATA3.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (USD) ACC","LU0157215616.USD":"FIDELITY GLOBAL FOCUS \"A\" INC","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU1181866309.USD":"摩根大通环球策略总报酬基金A (acc)","LU1718418525.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Select Equity A (acc) SGD","LU1564329032.USD":"BGF DYNAMIC HIGH INCOME \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU0960925559.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Multi-Asset Income A Acc SGD","LU1951200564.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A SGD","IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","GOOGL":"谷歌A","LU0528227936.USD":"富达环球人口趋势基金A-ACC","LU1334329650.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Macro Opportunities A (acc) SGD-H","GOOG":"谷歌","LU2430703095.HKD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (HKD) INC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU2271345857.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0187121727.USD":"FIDELITY SUSTAINABLE US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2065171402.SGD":"M&G (LUX) GLOBAL MAXIMA \"A\" (SGD) INC","IE00BN29S564.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A3\" (USD) INC","BK4567":"ESG概念","LU1983260115.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Sustainable Equity A2 SGD-H","LU2461242641.AUD":"WELLINGTON US QUALITY GROWTH \"A\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU1732800096.USD":"摩根大通环球收益基金A (irc)","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU1670710588.SGD":"M&G (LUX) GLOBAL DIVIDEND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443465.HKD":"abrdn SICAV I -  GLOBAL DYNAMIC DIVIDEND \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc USD","LU2089284900.SGD":"Allianz Global Sustainability Cl AM Dis H2-SGD","LU2028103732.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2362540622.SGD":"WELLINGTON NEXT GENERATION GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2485040093","content_text":"Google is under attack. GOOGL stock will still emerge a winner. Alphabet shareholders have every right to be worried. This past week, the U.S. government hit Google—and hit it hard—when it put forward remedies to break Google’s hold on search, which included selling its Chrome browser and monitoring data, causing the stock to fall 4.7%, to $167.63, on Thursday. The action comes as investors were already fretting about the rise of generative artificial intelligence—computers capable of answering complex questions in, mostly, plain language—which have created an opening for competitors like ChatGPT, Perplexity, and MSFT in a way that Yahoo! and DuckDuckGo never could. Not only can they siphon users away from Google, but the search for answers instead of links also could be devastating for its advertising business. Without search and the ad dollars it produces, the mighty Alphabet collapses—and so does its stock. Alphabet, however, is more than up to the task of defending itself. Since going public in 2004—at a split-adjusted $2.13 a share—Google has navigated the shifting terrain of the internet, including the transition from desktops to mobile phones, with relative ease. While the future will be more complicated, generative AI has the potential to add revenue, as Gemini, Google’s AI tool, ramps up and becomes more powerful. While the government’s attempt to break Alphabet apart could be an overhang, it appears to be reflected in the stock, which is the cheapest of the Magnificent Seven and even cheaper than the S&P 500 index. Even as that future unfolds, the company’s search business remains dominant—and cash-generating—and that is unlikely to change, even as the way people find information does.“I don’t see betting against Google,” says Jason Browne, president of Texas-based investment advisory firm Alexis Investment Partners.For two decades now, Alphabet has been a winner. Its advertising business generates more than $250 billion annually, while Android has become the world’s most popular mobile operating system, easily surpassing AAPL ’s iPhone in users. Following the lead of AMZN and Microsoft, Alphabet moved into the cloud, which is expected to generate $58 billion in revenue for the company next year. At the same time, though less talked about than TikTok, YouTube has become the planet’s No. 1 content delivery platform, with viewers watching more than a billion hours daily.The rivers of cash generated from all of its units—some $435 billion over the past decade—have allowed Google to indulge in what it calls its “other bets,” including Waymo’s self-driving car initiatives and Google Fiber broadband internet, money-losing businesses that investors simply ignore. And it’s all tied together by Google’s search engine, creating an aura of invincibility and inevitability.Then, ChatGPT launched in November 2022. Generative AI, with the ability to scrub the net and provide easy, if sometimes dubious, answers, opens up a new possibility for accessing data—and a new threat to Alphabet’s dominance. Users no longer have to type questions into Google’s search bar and scroll through links. Now they can type in a question and get an answer. ChatGPT was mind-blowing when it arrived—and an immediate success. “It was the fastest [growing], most exciting app that has ever hit the market,” says Futurum Group CEO and technology researcher Daniel Newman, who noted that it reached 100 million active users just two months after its launch. Perplexity, launched a month after ChatGPT, has grown to 15 million monthly active users and recently launched a shopping assistant, allowing users to type in a question, get an answer, and execute a transaction. Dmitry Shevelenko, Perplexity’s chief business officer, calls the company’s tool an “answer machine,” one that gives users the information they need versus just giving them links. Perplexity answered about 425 million questions over the past 30 days, up from 500 million in all of 2023. Ultimately, the company hopes to create an all-in-one app, where users can act on what they have learned and never have to leave. These changes seem ominous for Google. Follow them to their logical conclusion and it isn’t hard to imagine traditional search fading away and the market fragmenting, with consumers one day communicating with their devices via an AI-generated custom interface. In February, technology research firm Gartner projected that total search engine volume would drop 25% by 2026. There’s only one problem with those dire predictions—the data don’t back them up. Microsoft was the first mover, putting ChatGPT into Bing, while boldly claiming that taking 1% of search market share would translate to $2 billion in incremental revenue. “Microsoft took no share,” says Futurum’s Newman. What’s more, Alphabet’s October earnings report showed no signs of a search slowdown. It easily topped earnings and sales forecasts, while revenue from its cloud business gained 35%. But it was search that was perhaps the most surprising. Anyone who visited Google recently noticed that the service often provides an AI-generated summary of the findings, as well as a list of links. Investors had worried that would mean fewer links and ads, but management appeared optimistic about its ability to make money from those searches.“We still have no idea how they’ll really monetize AI or other innovations, but the perceived ‘threats’ (OpenAI, Meta AI, Perplexity, and upcoming Meta and OpenAI search) will have to wait, as Google Search growth of 12% beat estimates modestly,” writes Melius analyst Ben Reitzes. Alphabet has something going for it that OpenAI, which has a partnership with NWSA , the owner of Barron’s parent Dow Jones, and Perplexity don’t—it’s a moneymaking business. The two start-ups are still in the early stages of their business development and aren’t profitable. How they ultimately monetize their businesses—and whether they can successfully do it—remains to be seen. Perplexity is also being sued for not paying for the content it feeds into its large-language models, or LLMs, something that could ultimately force it to change how it operates. (Dow Jones is one of the companies suing Perplexity.)While the upstarts try to figure things out, search should keep growing. Media investment and data-services provider GroupM projects that search advertising revenue will grow more than 6% in 2025, up from about 5% in 2024, with about 5% average annual growth through the decade’s end. It isn’t that people like to click through a list of links produced from a query, but that AI-assisted search will produce better results, leading to more questions and further searches. Rather than being a paradigm shift like the switch from desktop to mobile, AI search may be a new format for answers, says New Street Research analyst Dan Salmon. “[It’s] more akin to the integration of images, maps, and other forms of content beyond the original text links,” he explains. Salmon rates Alphabet stock a Buy with a $213 price target.     The advent of AI is also likely to create new types of search and novel ways to earn money from sifting through information. There is the traditional ad-supported version—now with AI summaries—that Google dominates, and premium tools are available by subscription. There are even tools being created for individual companies, such as GE ’sChatGPT-powered Wingmate, which uses LLMs to provide relevant answers to the questions from the company’s engineers based on design and operating manuals. Now, imagine every company in the S&P 500 doing the same thing. “Search behavior already moved to a dual revenue stream: subscriptions and ads,” Salmon says.Alphabet is playing in both pools. Google One has over 100 million subscribers, and its premium version includes Alphabet’s highest-level AI functionality for $20 a month. ChatGPT’s premium product has about 10 million subscribers, Salmon estimates. Alphabet also has the advantage of experience, including years of work with its Google Brain and DeepMind AI projects and its internally developed Tensor AI hardware. And it recently purchased character.ai for $2.7 billion to help with these efforts. It has the advantage of $154 billion in operating cash it is expected to earn in 2025 as it gets ready to spend $59 billion on its AI future, similar to what Microsoft spends a year. That spending should pay off. Salmon estimates that generative AI overviews and subscriptions keep Alphabet’s Google business growing at about 10% a year on average through 2027. “New AI features in search are resulting in better engagement and higher levels of user satisfaction,” says Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives, adding that structural risks to Google’s search dominance are overblown. Wedbush rates Alphabet shares a Buy and has a $210 price target.  AI might not be able to slow Google down, but the antitrust risk is real, as this past week’s decline demonstrates. In August, U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, saying that Google illegally monopolized search. This past week, the DOJ proposed a list of remedies that include selling the Chrome browser, prohibiting the ownership and control of anything that creates a preference for Google, and “restoring competition through syndication and data access”—essentially requiring the company to provide its core search index to anyone who wants it to label as their own free of cost.“We view many of the DOJ’s recommendations to restrict Google Search (and other products) as unlikely to be approved by the court, or to survive an appeals process,” writes Baird analyst Colin Sebastian, who rates the stock a Buy with a $205 price target. “Beyond the reasonable ask to prohibit search distribution agreements, the DOJ remedies are, in our view, a wish-list of restrictions on Google that stray well beyond the court’s ruling.”Alphabet is fighting the ruling, but other cases loom, including one the U.S. has brought against the company over its advertising business. Appeals are likely to delay any action until 2027 at the earliest. In October, President-elect Donald Trump came out against a Google breakup in favor of making it more fair.Some changes will be offset. An end to Alphabet paying companies like Apple to make Google the default search engine could mean a loss of market share. But the company spends billions annually on search acquisition costs, including some $20 billion to Apple in 2022, according to court filings. The impact of lower revenue and expenses could, in theory, result in a near-negligible hit to earnings per share, according to Wolfe Research analyst Shweta Khajuria.Alphabet stock appears to reflect these antitrust concerns. It trades for 19.4 times earnings, below the S&P 500's 22 times and Meta Platforms' 22.9 times. \"The stock is already reflecting that risk,\" says Putnam Investments' Ellen Hazen, who comments that her firm would consider adding to its existing position if it falls back to about $170.Oakmarket Select portfolio manager Bill Nygren goes even further. He argues that Alphabet, with a market value of $2.1 trillion including cash and debt, is worth more than the sum of its parts. \"Forcing investors to recognize the value of each [business] would probably make the stock go up,\" he says.An analysis of those individual parts bears that out. Alphabet's cloud business, which could generate roughly $20 billion in 2025 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, would be worth $325 billion at a 16 times multiple, similar to what Amazon and Microsoft fetch. YouTube would be worth up to $800 billion if it traded at 22 times Ebitda, the average of what Meta and Netflix change hands for.Waymo is a little harder to value. Uber Technologies is valued at $150 billion, while Wall Street valuations for Tesla's self-driving business range from $100 billion to trillions, even though the company has yet to complete a single fully autonomous ride. Alphabet's Waymo completes 150,000 self-driving cab rides each week, making it a real self-driving player. It is reasonable to value it at about $300 billion, though some bulls think it's worth far more than that: Deepwater Asset Management's Gene Munster put Waymo's valuation at $350 billion to $850 billion by 2030 and expects a spinoff in the next two to four years.That leaves Alphabet's search business worth roughly $550 billion, adjusted for its $117 billion in net cash and investments, or about five times Ebitda. Nygren, who doesn't include Waymo, calculates that Google Search trades at about 11 times earnings. That is enough of a margin of safety for him, given what Alphabet is facing.As for upside, it's easy to justify a $260 stock price for the company based on the sum of its parts, up 55% from Thursday's close. Or Alphabet could be recognized as one of the world's dominant tech companies. Getting back to its historical premium relative to the market implies that Alphabet shares would trade for about 26 times earnings and be worth about $234 a share, up 40%. \"We think of it as a high-multiple tech stock that isn't [priced] like one,\" says Nygren.For Alphabet, AI isn't the end of the line -- it's the next step to a brighter future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371441863221448,"gmtCreate":1731693246793,"gmtModify":1731693252015,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A company which is a pioneer in A.I with great track records. No debts and most importantly, cash rich. I mean.. where can you find another like Palantir?","listText":"A company which is a pioneer in A.I with great track records. No debts and most importantly, cash rich. I mean.. where can you find another like Palantir?","text":"A company which is a pioneer in A.I with great track records. No debts and most importantly, cash rich. I mean.. where can you find another like Palantir?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371441863221448","repostId":"1137558649","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137558649","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1731686155,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137558649?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-15 23:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Hits The Gas On Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137558649","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir reported a strong Q3'24 with 30% revenue growth and a significant adjusted operating margin expansion to 38%, achieving a \"Rule Of\" 68%.Management raised FY24 guidance to $2.805-2.809 ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_160762951\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir reported a strong Q3&#39;24 with 30% revenue growth and a significant adjusted operating margin expansion to 38%, achieving a &#34;Rule Of&#34; 68%.</p></li><li><p>Management raised FY24 guidance to $2.805-2.809 billion in revenue and $1.054-1.058 billion in adjusted operating margin, with a 38% margin at the midpoint.</p></li><li><p>Palantir continues to drive large deals through its AIP bootcamps, closing 104 deals each valued over $1mm in q3&#39;24.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48a351679d18331f68a62e65aaba0ebd\" alt=\"Air Force Day. Aircraft silhouettes on background of sunset.\" title=\"Air Force Day. Aircraft silhouettes on background of sunset.\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>Air Force Day. Aircraft silhouettes on background of sunset.</span></p><p></p><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) reported a strong beat-and-raise with revenue growing by 30% in q3’24 paired with a significant adjusted operating margin expansion to 38%, resulting in a “Rule Of” 68%, up from 46% on q3’23. Management increased its guidance to $2.805-2.809b in net revenue for eFY24 with an adjusted operating margin of $1.054-1.058b, up from the previous quarter’s guidance of $2.742-2.750b in revenue and adjusted operating margin of $966-974mm. At the midpoint, the new guidance calls for an improved margin of 38%, up from 35%. Management also guided to the higher end of the range for adjusted free cash flow to $1b for eFY24. Given the improved guidance and the potential for accelerated growth going into eFY25, I am maintaining my STRONG BUY rating with an increased price target of $73.70/share at 39.39x eFY26 price/sales.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5bfa91bebf6b660b3b70d7ede622909\" alt=\"Corporate Reports\" title=\"Corporate Reports\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"/><span>Corporate Reports</span></p><p></p><h3 id=\"id_1978091599\">Palantir Operations</h3><p>It is clear that Palantir’s AI platform is becoming a major player for enterprise software as adoption continues to accelerate through its impressive 30% sales growth in q3’24. This is primarily achieved through its live data use cases during the AIP bootcamps that are being translated to production-ready models for enterprises to implement and leverage for cost-savings/money-making initiatives. Management believes that their platform will go beyond just making/saving money to acceleration through its AI models.</p><p>To support this growth, management remains focused on expanding its operations through hiring technical talent and investments in AIP. As discussed in my previous reports covering Palantir, I believe much of the firm’s success can be attributed to its direct engagement with its potential customers through the bootcamps. Rather than running the typical sales pitch with a software demonstration and a proof of concept, Palantir uses live company data to prove how the product works for the potential customer. This factor, along with the firm’s growth acceleration, gives me reason to remain bullish on the name.</p><p>Along with this, customers are expanding their existing contracts with AIP, significantly differentiating Palantir from the “have nots.” Management noted their drive to make AIP the go-to developer platform for AI applications, competing with the likes of Cloudflare (NET) and its developer platform in its secured network ecosystem. Along with custom development features, AIP offers customers a library of pre-built AI applications and builder starter packs, creating a baseline for new customers to quickly ramp up their productivity.</p><p>In addition to this, Palantir’s platform is also succeeding with defense technology startups as a secure ecosystem that can allow for the firms to contract with the US government. I believe that this feature is significantly beneficial for companies of all sizes as it allows for easier access to gaining FedRAMP authorization.</p><p>Another factor that significantly differentiates Palantir from competing platform companies like C3.ai (AI) is the diversity of industries. C3.ai made its claim to fame through its partnership with Baker Hughes (BKR) and has since expanded into other industries. The challenge faced is that C3.ai didn’t create a universal platform from the get-go and has since played catch-up to developing a catch-all platform. This has resulted in C3.ai significantly lagging in terms of growth, adoption, and profitability when compared to Palantir.</p><p>In q3’24, Palantir closed 104 deals valued over $1mm. The firm is realizing an improved deal cycle by taking customers from prototype to production driven by its AIP platform, resulting in both new customer acquisitions and existing customer expansions. Revenue from Palantir’s top 20 customers grew by 12% on a year-over-year basis to $60mm per customer. Total commercial contract value grew by 52% on a year-over-year basis to $612mm with a grand total value of $1.1b.</p><p>One example management provided was reducing the time it takes for an insurance company to underwrite policies from 2 weeks to 3 hours through the automation of the underwriting workflows. This was done through the deployment of 78 AI agents. I believe that this will reduce the insurance company’s operational and administrative costs, resulting in major cost savings as well as a positioning of the firm with a shorter sales cycle. Palantir also referred to helping Trinity Rail develop a functional workflow that helped improve the company’s bottom line by $30mm.</p><p>On the domestic front, Palantir grew its US commercial business by 54% on a year-over-year basis as well as a 40% year-over-year growth rate for its US government business. Palantir fully ramped up its Titan program in q3’24 as part of its DoD contract. In addition to this, Palantir is finding success with its Maven program that automates the targeting and firing process, resulting in a 99% reduction in necessary staff to manage the system.</p><h3 id=\"id_4234014975\">Palantir Financial Position</h3><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74b6ae5d41401383b30d6ef6b003f3d1\" alt=\"Corporate Reports\" title=\"Corporate Reports\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"74\"/><span>Corporate Reports</span></p><p></p><p>Palantir’s top-line growth began accelerating in q2’23 and has since reached 30% in q3’24 as enterprises and sovereign governments accelerate their AI adoption. I believe Palantir may continue realizing accelerated growth in the coming years as enterprises seek to better manage margins and growth through operational automation and optimization. For this reason, I’m forecasting Palantir to report $2.8b in net revenue and an adjusted EPS of $0.37/share for eFY24. I’m forecasting the top-line to grow by 28% in eFY25 to $2.8b and taper down to 27% growth in eFY26 to $3.6b.</p><p>I’m also forecasting Palantir to continue expanding its adjusted operating margin as the firm realizes economies of scale through further customer adoption. I’m forecasting Palantir’s “Rule Of” to expand to 64% for eFY24 and grow to 66% in eFY25. For reference, Palantir calculates its “Rule Of” by adding top-line growth and adjusted operating margin.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ac1fc8b14b4235193f8d586f549a427b\" alt=\"Corporate Reports\" title=\"Corporate Reports\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"55\"/><span>Corporate Reports</span></p><p></p><p>One headwind that may hinder some growth is the power constraint as it pertains to the growing data center footprint. As discussed in my report covering Microsoft (MSFT) the data center footprint is forecast to grow at a 23% CAGR through 2030 driven by AI training and inferencing. One major factor that may impede this growth is sourcing baseload capacity. I have reason to believe that the grid is being incrementally stretched thin for additional data center capacity, resulting in the hyperscalers seeking additional power sources, including dedicated baseload capacity through partnerships with the utilities. Given the substantial interest in nuclear power, specifically small modular reactors [SMRs], much of the capacity will not likely be built out until 2030-2035 as the technology has yet to be proven. Given Palantir’s low profile, this may not be a substantial impact to the firm’s growth trajectory.</p><h3 id=\"id_776350031\">Risks Related To Palantir</h3><h4 id=\"id_952875477\">Bull Case</h4><p>Palantir is driving adoption across both its commercial and government businesses, leading to an acceleration in its top-line growth rate. The firm has proven that its high level of growth doesn’t have to sacrifice margins, resulting in a “Rule Of” 68% in q3’24. I believe that Palantir may also benefit from the recent administration change in the US, as government efficiency will be a primary initiative. Given Elon Musk’s interest in AI development, I believe that Palantir may be well-positioned to expand its roots across various governmental departments to help reduce overhead and administrative costs while boosting performance efficiency.</p><p>As it relates to its share price performance, Palantir was added to the S&amp;P 500 on September 23, 2024, resulting in an increased shareholder base through passive investors buying into the index. I believe that this may in part be the cause of the stock’s significant valuation expansion in the last few months.</p><h4 id=\"id_155419711\">Bear Case</h4><p>Palantir’s valuation is at its all-time high at 54x trailing twelve-month sales. This may result in investor hesitancy as shares are significantly more expensive when compared to a year ago when shares were trading below 20x sales.</p><p>Palantir is currently expanding its headcount to support the growth of the business. If growth were to stall out or not continue to accelerate at the current rate, the firm may realize margin compression, and in turn, a decline in its “Rule Of”.</p><p>The stock performance may also trigger the firm to accelerate its stock-based compensation program if certain market-based vesting criteria are met, resulting in further dilution of the share count. In addition to this, insiders have been consistently selling shares, potentially signaling a more bearish sentiment to investors. To offset stock-based compensation, Palantir repurchased 1.8mm shares in q3’24 with $954mm remaining in its share repurchase program.</p><h3 id=\"id_3544140228\">Valuation &amp; Shareholder Value</h3><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb407839215b73a4b568671f43ff0b3f\" alt=\"Corporate Reports\" title=\"Corporate Reports\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"99\"/><span>Corporate Reports</span></p><p></p><p>PLTR shares have reached their all-time high in terms of price and valuation, commanding a market cap of $146b at 55x price/sales. PLTR shares are currently trading at a significant premium over its competitors, holding an enterprise-value weighted average price/sales multiple of 13.87x. The purpose of weighting the competitors’ multiples based on enterprise value is to control for size and how much of the market shares command. Despite this high multiple, I believe PLTR’s valuation is justified by its accelerated growth trajectory and its strong profitability.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0374615b8408d10bdd3d29357c2fd05d\" alt=\"Seeking Alpha\" title=\"Seeking Alpha\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"45\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p></p><p>Given the steep run-up in price, I have reason to believe that shares may retrace in the near-term to $54/share before returning to growth.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d378b8d571314b1a3bf5d6b21205539\" alt=\"TradingView\" title=\"TradingView\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\"/><span>TradingView</span></p><p></p><p>I believe that the ultimate questions investors must ask is whether the high valuation is justified by the firm’s growth and margins, and whether shares can be sustained at these levels. I believe that with the new shareholder base being included in the S&amp;P 500, PLTR shares have a certain level of baseline growth implied through the growth of the broader market, driven by index investors. Though only accounting for 0.24% of the index, I anticipate that growth in the index will positively impact PLTR shares.</p><p>Using an internal valuation model based on my growth forecast and the firm’s historical valuation range, I believe PLTR shares have outpaced its eFY25 levels, suggesting a HOLD rating.</p><p>Looking further out to eFY26, I believe PLTR shares may have some gas left in the tank to appreciate by 20% to $73.70/share at 39.39x eFY26 price/sales. Despite the averages used in the model, I believe shares may run as far as $80.46/share at 54.61x eFY25 price/sales if the company continues to outpace expectations in terms of growth and margin expansion.</p><p>Given the risks involved, I am maintaining my STRONG BUY rating with a price target of $73.70/share at 39.39x eFY26 price/sales.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7cab3cecd23beffcb52051943753ac59\" alt=\"Corporate Reports\" title=\"Corporate Reports\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"115\"/><span>Corporate Reports</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Hits The Gas On Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Hits The Gas On Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-15 23:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4737274-palantir-hits-the-gas-on-growth><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir reported a strong Q3'24 with 30% revenue growth and a significant adjusted operating margin expansion to 38%, achieving a \"Rule Of\" 68%.Management raised FY24 guidance to $2.805-2.809 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4737274-palantir-hits-the-gas-on-growth\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4737274-palantir-hits-the-gas-on-growth","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137558649","content_text":"SummaryPalantir reported a strong Q3'24 with 30% revenue growth and a significant adjusted operating margin expansion to 38%, achieving a \"Rule Of\" 68%.Management raised FY24 guidance to $2.805-2.809 billion in revenue and $1.054-1.058 billion in adjusted operating margin, with a 38% margin at the midpoint.Palantir continues to drive large deals through its AIP bootcamps, closing 104 deals each valued over $1mm in q3'24.Air Force Day. Aircraft silhouettes on background of sunset.Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) reported a strong beat-and-raise with revenue growing by 30% in q3’24 paired with a significant adjusted operating margin expansion to 38%, resulting in a “Rule Of” 68%, up from 46% on q3’23. Management increased its guidance to $2.805-2.809b in net revenue for eFY24 with an adjusted operating margin of $1.054-1.058b, up from the previous quarter’s guidance of $2.742-2.750b in revenue and adjusted operating margin of $966-974mm. At the midpoint, the new guidance calls for an improved margin of 38%, up from 35%. Management also guided to the higher end of the range for adjusted free cash flow to $1b for eFY24. Given the improved guidance and the potential for accelerated growth going into eFY25, I am maintaining my STRONG BUY rating with an increased price target of $73.70/share at 39.39x eFY26 price/sales.Corporate ReportsPalantir OperationsIt is clear that Palantir’s AI platform is becoming a major player for enterprise software as adoption continues to accelerate through its impressive 30% sales growth in q3’24. This is primarily achieved through its live data use cases during the AIP bootcamps that are being translated to production-ready models for enterprises to implement and leverage for cost-savings/money-making initiatives. Management believes that their platform will go beyond just making/saving money to acceleration through its AI models.To support this growth, management remains focused on expanding its operations through hiring technical talent and investments in AIP. As discussed in my previous reports covering Palantir, I believe much of the firm’s success can be attributed to its direct engagement with its potential customers through the bootcamps. Rather than running the typical sales pitch with a software demonstration and a proof of concept, Palantir uses live company data to prove how the product works for the potential customer. This factor, along with the firm’s growth acceleration, gives me reason to remain bullish on the name.Along with this, customers are expanding their existing contracts with AIP, significantly differentiating Palantir from the “have nots.” Management noted their drive to make AIP the go-to developer platform for AI applications, competing with the likes of Cloudflare (NET) and its developer platform in its secured network ecosystem. Along with custom development features, AIP offers customers a library of pre-built AI applications and builder starter packs, creating a baseline for new customers to quickly ramp up their productivity.In addition to this, Palantir’s platform is also succeeding with defense technology startups as a secure ecosystem that can allow for the firms to contract with the US government. I believe that this feature is significantly beneficial for companies of all sizes as it allows for easier access to gaining FedRAMP authorization.Another factor that significantly differentiates Palantir from competing platform companies like C3.ai (AI) is the diversity of industries. C3.ai made its claim to fame through its partnership with Baker Hughes (BKR) and has since expanded into other industries. The challenge faced is that C3.ai didn’t create a universal platform from the get-go and has since played catch-up to developing a catch-all platform. This has resulted in C3.ai significantly lagging in terms of growth, adoption, and profitability when compared to Palantir.In q3’24, Palantir closed 104 deals valued over $1mm. The firm is realizing an improved deal cycle by taking customers from prototype to production driven by its AIP platform, resulting in both new customer acquisitions and existing customer expansions. Revenue from Palantir’s top 20 customers grew by 12% on a year-over-year basis to $60mm per customer. Total commercial contract value grew by 52% on a year-over-year basis to $612mm with a grand total value of $1.1b.One example management provided was reducing the time it takes for an insurance company to underwrite policies from 2 weeks to 3 hours through the automation of the underwriting workflows. This was done through the deployment of 78 AI agents. I believe that this will reduce the insurance company’s operational and administrative costs, resulting in major cost savings as well as a positioning of the firm with a shorter sales cycle. Palantir also referred to helping Trinity Rail develop a functional workflow that helped improve the company’s bottom line by $30mm.On the domestic front, Palantir grew its US commercial business by 54% on a year-over-year basis as well as a 40% year-over-year growth rate for its US government business. Palantir fully ramped up its Titan program in q3’24 as part of its DoD contract. In addition to this, Palantir is finding success with its Maven program that automates the targeting and firing process, resulting in a 99% reduction in necessary staff to manage the system.Palantir Financial PositionCorporate ReportsPalantir’s top-line growth began accelerating in q2’23 and has since reached 30% in q3’24 as enterprises and sovereign governments accelerate their AI adoption. I believe Palantir may continue realizing accelerated growth in the coming years as enterprises seek to better manage margins and growth through operational automation and optimization. For this reason, I’m forecasting Palantir to report $2.8b in net revenue and an adjusted EPS of $0.37/share for eFY24. I’m forecasting the top-line to grow by 28% in eFY25 to $2.8b and taper down to 27% growth in eFY26 to $3.6b.I’m also forecasting Palantir to continue expanding its adjusted operating margin as the firm realizes economies of scale through further customer adoption. I’m forecasting Palantir’s “Rule Of” to expand to 64% for eFY24 and grow to 66% in eFY25. For reference, Palantir calculates its “Rule Of” by adding top-line growth and adjusted operating margin.Corporate ReportsOne headwind that may hinder some growth is the power constraint as it pertains to the growing data center footprint. As discussed in my report covering Microsoft (MSFT) the data center footprint is forecast to grow at a 23% CAGR through 2030 driven by AI training and inferencing. One major factor that may impede this growth is sourcing baseload capacity. I have reason to believe that the grid is being incrementally stretched thin for additional data center capacity, resulting in the hyperscalers seeking additional power sources, including dedicated baseload capacity through partnerships with the utilities. Given the substantial interest in nuclear power, specifically small modular reactors [SMRs], much of the capacity will not likely be built out until 2030-2035 as the technology has yet to be proven. Given Palantir’s low profile, this may not be a substantial impact to the firm’s growth trajectory.Risks Related To PalantirBull CasePalantir is driving adoption across both its commercial and government businesses, leading to an acceleration in its top-line growth rate. The firm has proven that its high level of growth doesn’t have to sacrifice margins, resulting in a “Rule Of” 68% in q3’24. I believe that Palantir may also benefit from the recent administration change in the US, as government efficiency will be a primary initiative. Given Elon Musk’s interest in AI development, I believe that Palantir may be well-positioned to expand its roots across various governmental departments to help reduce overhead and administrative costs while boosting performance efficiency.As it relates to its share price performance, Palantir was added to the S&P 500 on September 23, 2024, resulting in an increased shareholder base through passive investors buying into the index. I believe that this may in part be the cause of the stock’s significant valuation expansion in the last few months.Bear CasePalantir’s valuation is at its all-time high at 54x trailing twelve-month sales. This may result in investor hesitancy as shares are significantly more expensive when compared to a year ago when shares were trading below 20x sales.Palantir is currently expanding its headcount to support the growth of the business. If growth were to stall out or not continue to accelerate at the current rate, the firm may realize margin compression, and in turn, a decline in its “Rule Of”.The stock performance may also trigger the firm to accelerate its stock-based compensation program if certain market-based vesting criteria are met, resulting in further dilution of the share count. In addition to this, insiders have been consistently selling shares, potentially signaling a more bearish sentiment to investors. To offset stock-based compensation, Palantir repurchased 1.8mm shares in q3’24 with $954mm remaining in its share repurchase program.Valuation & Shareholder ValueCorporate ReportsPLTR shares have reached their all-time high in terms of price and valuation, commanding a market cap of $146b at 55x price/sales. PLTR shares are currently trading at a significant premium over its competitors, holding an enterprise-value weighted average price/sales multiple of 13.87x. The purpose of weighting the competitors’ multiples based on enterprise value is to control for size and how much of the market shares command. Despite this high multiple, I believe PLTR’s valuation is justified by its accelerated growth trajectory and its strong profitability.Seeking AlphaGiven the steep run-up in price, I have reason to believe that shares may retrace in the near-term to $54/share before returning to growth.TradingViewI believe that the ultimate questions investors must ask is whether the high valuation is justified by the firm’s growth and margins, and whether shares can be sustained at these levels. I believe that with the new shareholder base being included in the S&P 500, PLTR shares have a certain level of baseline growth implied through the growth of the broader market, driven by index investors. Though only accounting for 0.24% of the index, I anticipate that growth in the index will positively impact PLTR shares.Using an internal valuation model based on my growth forecast and the firm’s historical valuation range, I believe PLTR shares have outpaced its eFY25 levels, suggesting a HOLD rating.Looking further out to eFY26, I believe PLTR shares may have some gas left in the tank to appreciate by 20% to $73.70/share at 39.39x eFY26 price/sales. Despite the averages used in the model, I believe shares may run as far as $80.46/share at 54.61x eFY25 price/sales if the company continues to outpace expectations in terms of growth and margin expansion.Given the risks involved, I am maintaining my STRONG BUY rating with a price target of $73.70/share at 39.39x eFY26 price/sales.Corporate Reports","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370568248566104,"gmtCreate":1731509891110,"gmtModify":1731554103067,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; You can't find another like Palantir!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; You can't find another like Palantir!","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ You can't find another like Palantir!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/183335447ed81b55d37451ff305f93f3","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370568248566104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010968","authorId":"10000000000010968","name":"Tiger_CashBoostAccount","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae2d4002ef9664aba005cb3020f416f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010968","authorIdStr":"10000000000010968"},"content":"Your portfolio's growth is impressive! Your ability to identify undervalued companies is truly a skill. Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","text":"Your portfolio's growth is impressive! Your ability to identify undervalued companies is truly a skill. Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","html":"Your portfolio's growth is impressive! Your ability to identify undervalued companies is truly a skill. Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370285171015792,"gmtCreate":1731429882357,"gmtModify":1731429886637,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As usual all the negativity from this community which couldn't accept that reality differs from their theory books..","listText":"As usual all the negativity from this community which couldn't accept that reality differs from their theory books..","text":"As usual all the negativity from this community which couldn't accept that reality differs from their theory books..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370285171015792","repostId":"1135175736","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135175736","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1731426796,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135175736?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-12 23:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Take Profits Before It's Too Late","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135175736","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir’s current valuation is unsustainable, with a forward P/E of 158x and EV/Sales multiple of 46x, well above sector averages, driven largely by AI hype.While Q3 results showed strong grow","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_3777394302\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir’s current valuation is unsustainable, with a forward P/E of 158x and EV/Sales multiple of 46x, well above sector averages, driven largely by AI hype.</p></li><li><p>While Q3 results showed strong growth and improved profitability, the stock&#39;s current price assumes flawless future execution, creating an unfavorable risk-reward scenario.</p></li><li><p>Recent insider sales, including $1.2 billion by the CEO, and a retail-heavy shareholder base increase vulnerability to market shifts and volatility.</p></li><li><p>Given the stretched valuation and risks, investors with gains should consider trimming positions, as current levels may not justify the stock’s elevated price.</p></li></ul><p>After Q3 2024 Earnings of Palantir Technologies&#39; (NYSE:PLTR) I am taking a contrarian stance and initiating a Sell rating with a fair value estimate of $38.50. Because of overvaluation at its current market valuation of $60 per share, even when factoring in the substantial momentum in its artificial intelligence initiatives.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2cc3c3ff5b7d1c443e5ebeb2d048a9b3\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The journey of Palantir&#39;s stock has been nothing short of remarkable, surging 687% from its May 2023 lows. While this appreciation was initially grounded in legitimate fundamental improvements, I believe the rally has now entered dangerous territory driven more by market euphoria around AI adoption than by rational valuation metrics. The current forward Non-GAAP P/E ratio of 158x and EV/Sales multiple of 46x represent premiums that are difficult to justify under any reasonable growth assumptions.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Looking at Palantir&#39;s recent operational performance the company has undeniably executed well on its growth strategy. The third quarter of 2024 marked a significant milestone with revenue reaching $725.5 million exceeding analyst estimates by $22 million. This represented a 30% YoY growth rate, notably accelerating from previous quarters. What&#39;s particularly impressive is the composition of this growth: U.S. commercial revenue surged 54% YoY while the traditionally stable government segment grew by a robust 40%.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The company&#39;s transformation in profitability metrics has been even more remarkable. Free cash flow generation reached $434.5 million in Q3 representing a staggering 208% YoY increase. More importantly, free cash flow margins expanded to 60%, compared to 25% in the year-ago period, demonstrating operational leverage in the business model. This improvement in cash generation efficiency suggests that Palantir has successfully transitioned from its previous cash burning growth phase to a more sustainable financial model.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The addition of new U.S. commercial customers in Q3 alone, bringing the total commercial customer base to 498 (representing 51% YoY growth), indicates strong market acceptance of Palantir&#39;s expanded product portfolio, particularly its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). The growth in commercial customers is especially significant, as it reduces the company&#39;s historical dependence on government contracts and validates its ability to compete in the broader enterprise market.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">However, this is where I diverge from the bullish narrative. While these operational improvements are impressive, I believe the current valuation has overshot what these fundamentals can reasonably support. The market is effectively pricing in not just continued excellence but perfect execution for years to come. Based on Wall Street&#39;s earnings estimates, which project 17% earnings growth over the next twelve months, the forward P/E ratio of 158x is dramatically overdone. For context, this gives Palantir a PEG ratio of 6, nearly three times higher than the 2.0 level typically considered expensive.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What&#39;s particularly concerning is the sharp disconnect between Palantir&#39;s valuation and both its historical averages and peers. Even among high-growth software peers like Snowflake and CrowdStrike, which trade at rich valuations themselves, Palantir&#39;s multiples stand out as extreme.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The core issue isn&#39;t whether Palantir is a good company - it clearly is - but whether it&#39;s a good investment at current price. The market has pushed the stock well beyond what even the most optimistic growth scenarios can justify creating a precarious situation where any slight disappointment in execution could trigger significant multiple compression. This sets up an unfavorable risk-reward dynamic that investors should carefully consider especially given the stock&#39;s spectacular YTD appreciation.</p><h2 id=\"id_1507115959\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Severe Overvaluation</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The reason why I am making an argument for taking profits is mainly because of its currently inflated valuation metrics which have reached levels that are difficult to justify even under the most optimistic growth scenarios. Palantir&#39;s current valuation ratios reveal a concerning image of the company&#39;s fundamental value and its market price even when accounting for its impressive AI-driven growth trajectory and strong government relationships.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a996a424f4c3c2f0cf0c0f39208cbec\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 158x, representing a staggering 500% premium to the sector median of 25.67x. This premium becomes even more pronounced when examining other key metrics. The company&#39;s EV/Sales (FWD) multiple of 46x stands at an astronomical 1,365% above the sector median of 3.15x, while its EV/EBITDA (FWD) ratio of 118x commands a 667% premium to the sector median of just 15.5x.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/429e4771aa892796b95e9f6dd596c772\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"721\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">When comparing Palantir to its closest peers in the enterprise software and AI space, typically high-growth software companies typically command premium valuations, but Palantir&#39;s multiples stand out as extreme even in this context. Looking at forward P/E ratios, established players like Synopsys (SNPS) and Cadence (CDNS) trade at 37.2x and 50.13x respectively, while even high-growth cybersecurity leader CrowdStrike trades at a lower multiple of 91.9x. Only Snowflake (SNOW), at 203x, trades at a higher forward P/E, though notably, its EV/Sales multiple of 10.56x is substantially lower than Palantir&#39;s 46x.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The bull case for maintaining these premium valuations rests heavily on Palantir&#39;s Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) and its entrenched position within government agencies. However, this argument has its own flaws. First, the company&#39;s current 30% revenue growth rate (YoY) is impressive. The margin expansion is also impressive but faces natural limitations. Palantir has successfully transitioned from being a cash burning growth company to achieving a net income margin of nearly 20%, with free cash flow margins expanding to 60% from 25% a year ago. However, maintaining this pace of improvement will become increasingly difficult as the company scales.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Competition in the commercial space poses another significant challenge to Palantir&#39;s premium valuation. While the company&#39;s government relationships provide a strong moat for that segment of the business, the commercial space is highly competitive. Palantir faces formidable competition from established players like IBM, CrowdStrike (CRWD), SentinelOne (S), Oracle (ORCL) and Microsoft (MSFT) with deep pockets and strong AI capabilities.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">My price target for (PLTR), incorporating both growth prospects and market conditions, points to a fair value estimate of $38.50 per share. This target reflects a comprehensive assessment of Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory and earnings potential, while acknowledging the premium multiply the market has historically awarded to the company.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Using a growth adjusted valuation framework, Wall Street&#39;s median price target of $28 per share appears plausible, implying a potential downside of 47% from current levels. Even if we use more optimistic assumptions - a 25% annual EPS growth rate and a premium forward P/E multiple of 55x - my analysis suggests a fair value of $38.50.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What makes this valuation situation particularly precarious is the high concentration of retail investors in Palantir&#39;s shareholder base, with approximately 50% of shares held by retail investors. This ownership structure could amplify volatility in both directions, potentially leading to rapid multiple compression if market sentiment shifts or if the company faces any execution challenges in maintaining its current growth trajectory.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">My methodology behind this price target, I projected Palantir&#39;s earnings growth over the next three years, factoring in the company&#39;s improving profitability metrics and market expansion opportunities. l assume a 25% annual EPS growth rate through 2027, which is aggressive but also aligns with the company&#39;s transition from a growth-at-all-costs model to one focused on profitability. This growth rate factors in Wall Street&#39;s expectations for the AI platform market, which IDC estimates will grow at 41% annually through 2028, but Palantir&#39;s scale will make maintaining hypergrowth increasingly challenging.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Applying this growth rate to current earnings projections yields an estimated FY 2027 EPS of $0.70 per share. The target multiple of 55x forward earnings, while rich by broad market standards but because of Palantir&#39;s historical premium position within the enterprise software sector. Even this generous multiple represents a significant compression from current levels.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The downside risk scenario deserves particular attention, especially given current market conditions. In a broader market downturn or during periods of multiple compression, Palantir&#39;s stock could face substantially more pressure than my base case. During market stress periods, high multiple software stocks often see their valuations compress to levels that would imply a price below $20 per share for Palantir. This risk is amplified by the company&#39;s shareholder composition, as I mentioned earlier 50% of shares held by retail investors potentially leading to more volatile trading during market distress.</p><h2 id=\"id_3062713452\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Insider Sales</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The recent pattern of insider selling at Palantir is a significant red flag that investors cannot afford to ignore. According to Jefferies&#39; analysis,</p><blockquote><p>Palantir&#39;s CEO having sold more than $1.2 billion of stock in the past three months, representing approximately 14% of his stake.</p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b85c39dba9b6b238fae8955569751f8b\" alt=\"TrendSpider\" title=\"TrendSpider\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"654\"/><span>TrendSpider</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While it&#39;s common for executives to maintain pre-planned selling programs through 10b5-1 plans, both the magnitude and timing of these sales warrant careful scrutiny. The uptick in insider sales becomes particularly noteworthy when viewed against the backdrop of Palantir&#39;s broader risk/reward profile, which has shifted dramatically following the stock&#39;s 687% surge from its May 2023 lows.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Looking at near term catalysts, Palantir faces several challenges that could trigger multiple compression. The company&#39;s government business, while strong at 40% YoY growth, may face growth constraints due to budget limitations. As noted in their recent 10-Q filing, Palantir acknowledges that</p><blockquote><p>Until recent quarters, we had a history of incurring net losses, and we anticipate our operating expenses will continue to increase and we may not be able to achieve or maintain profitability in the future - PLTR Q3 10-Q Filing</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">This caution from management stands in stark contrast to the market&#39;s current optimistic pricing. While Palantir&#39;s AIP platform shows promise, the commercial market&#39;s higher churn risk and more competitive dynamics could pressure growth rates. These risk factors, combined with the current valuation premiums and accelerating insider sales, create an asymmetric risk/reward profile that tilts heavily toward risk at current price levels. While the stock could certainly continue its momentum-driven rally in the near term, the fundamental support for current valuations appears increasingly tenuous, suggesting investors should seriously consider taking profits and reducing exposure to more reasonable levels.</p><h2 id=\"id_3996692481\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Time to Take Profits</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While I am impressed by Palantir&#39;s execution and long-term potential, the risk/reward profile at current levels is simply unattractive. The combination of:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Extreme valuation premiums across all metrics</p></li><li><p>Increasing insider sales</p></li><li><p>High retail investor concentration (about 50% of float)</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Creates a potentially volatile situation where any slight disappointment could trigger significant multiple compression.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For investors sitting on substantial gains, I believe now is an opportune time to at least trim positions and lock in profits. The stock&#39;s momentum could certainly continue in the near term, but the downside risks now outweigh the potential for further upside. In my view, waiting for a better entry point would be the prudent strategy for those looking to initiate or add to positions.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1642056764450","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Take Profits Before It's Too Late</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Take Profits Before It's Too Late\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-12 23:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4736156-palantir-take-profits-before-its-too-late><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir’s current valuation is unsustainable, with a forward P/E of 158x and EV/Sales multiple of 46x, well above sector averages, driven largely by AI hype.While Q3 results showed strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4736156-palantir-take-profits-before-its-too-late\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4736156-palantir-take-profits-before-its-too-late","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135175736","content_text":"SummaryPalantir’s current valuation is unsustainable, with a forward P/E of 158x and EV/Sales multiple of 46x, well above sector averages, driven largely by AI hype.While Q3 results showed strong growth and improved profitability, the stock's current price assumes flawless future execution, creating an unfavorable risk-reward scenario.Recent insider sales, including $1.2 billion by the CEO, and a retail-heavy shareholder base increase vulnerability to market shifts and volatility.Given the stretched valuation and risks, investors with gains should consider trimming positions, as current levels may not justify the stock’s elevated price.After Q3 2024 Earnings of Palantir Technologies' (NYSE:PLTR) I am taking a contrarian stance and initiating a Sell rating with a fair value estimate of $38.50. Because of overvaluation at its current market valuation of $60 per share, even when factoring in the substantial momentum in its artificial intelligence initiatives.Data by YChartsThe journey of Palantir's stock has been nothing short of remarkable, surging 687% from its May 2023 lows. While this appreciation was initially grounded in legitimate fundamental improvements, I believe the rally has now entered dangerous territory driven more by market euphoria around AI adoption than by rational valuation metrics. The current forward Non-GAAP P/E ratio of 158x and EV/Sales multiple of 46x represent premiums that are difficult to justify under any reasonable growth assumptions.Looking at Palantir's recent operational performance the company has undeniably executed well on its growth strategy. The third quarter of 2024 marked a significant milestone with revenue reaching $725.5 million exceeding analyst estimates by $22 million. This represented a 30% YoY growth rate, notably accelerating from previous quarters. What's particularly impressive is the composition of this growth: U.S. commercial revenue surged 54% YoY while the traditionally stable government segment grew by a robust 40%.The company's transformation in profitability metrics has been even more remarkable. Free cash flow generation reached $434.5 million in Q3 representing a staggering 208% YoY increase. More importantly, free cash flow margins expanded to 60%, compared to 25% in the year-ago period, demonstrating operational leverage in the business model. This improvement in cash generation efficiency suggests that Palantir has successfully transitioned from its previous cash burning growth phase to a more sustainable financial model.The addition of new U.S. commercial customers in Q3 alone, bringing the total commercial customer base to 498 (representing 51% YoY growth), indicates strong market acceptance of Palantir's expanded product portfolio, particularly its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). The growth in commercial customers is especially significant, as it reduces the company's historical dependence on government contracts and validates its ability to compete in the broader enterprise market.However, this is where I diverge from the bullish narrative. While these operational improvements are impressive, I believe the current valuation has overshot what these fundamentals can reasonably support. The market is effectively pricing in not just continued excellence but perfect execution for years to come. Based on Wall Street's earnings estimates, which project 17% earnings growth over the next twelve months, the forward P/E ratio of 158x is dramatically overdone. For context, this gives Palantir a PEG ratio of 6, nearly three times higher than the 2.0 level typically considered expensive.What's particularly concerning is the sharp disconnect between Palantir's valuation and both its historical averages and peers. Even among high-growth software peers like Snowflake and CrowdStrike, which trade at rich valuations themselves, Palantir's multiples stand out as extreme.The core issue isn't whether Palantir is a good company - it clearly is - but whether it's a good investment at current price. The market has pushed the stock well beyond what even the most optimistic growth scenarios can justify creating a precarious situation where any slight disappointment in execution could trigger significant multiple compression. This sets up an unfavorable risk-reward dynamic that investors should carefully consider especially given the stock's spectacular YTD appreciation.Severe OvervaluationThe reason why I am making an argument for taking profits is mainly because of its currently inflated valuation metrics which have reached levels that are difficult to justify even under the most optimistic growth scenarios. Palantir's current valuation ratios reveal a concerning image of the company's fundamental value and its market price even when accounting for its impressive AI-driven growth trajectory and strong government relationships.Data by YChartsPalantir currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 158x, representing a staggering 500% premium to the sector median of 25.67x. This premium becomes even more pronounced when examining other key metrics. The company's EV/Sales (FWD) multiple of 46x stands at an astronomical 1,365% above the sector median of 3.15x, while its EV/EBITDA (FWD) ratio of 118x commands a 667% premium to the sector median of just 15.5x.Data by YChartsWhen comparing Palantir to its closest peers in the enterprise software and AI space, typically high-growth software companies typically command premium valuations, but Palantir's multiples stand out as extreme even in this context. Looking at forward P/E ratios, established players like Synopsys (SNPS) and Cadence (CDNS) trade at 37.2x and 50.13x respectively, while even high-growth cybersecurity leader CrowdStrike trades at a lower multiple of 91.9x. Only Snowflake (SNOW), at 203x, trades at a higher forward P/E, though notably, its EV/Sales multiple of 10.56x is substantially lower than Palantir's 46x.The bull case for maintaining these premium valuations rests heavily on Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) and its entrenched position within government agencies. However, this argument has its own flaws. First, the company's current 30% revenue growth rate (YoY) is impressive. The margin expansion is also impressive but faces natural limitations. Palantir has successfully transitioned from being a cash burning growth company to achieving a net income margin of nearly 20%, with free cash flow margins expanding to 60% from 25% a year ago. However, maintaining this pace of improvement will become increasingly difficult as the company scales.Competition in the commercial space poses another significant challenge to Palantir's premium valuation. While the company's government relationships provide a strong moat for that segment of the business, the commercial space is highly competitive. Palantir faces formidable competition from established players like IBM, CrowdStrike (CRWD), SentinelOne (S), Oracle (ORCL) and Microsoft (MSFT) with deep pockets and strong AI capabilities.My price target for (PLTR), incorporating both growth prospects and market conditions, points to a fair value estimate of $38.50 per share. This target reflects a comprehensive assessment of Palantir's growth trajectory and earnings potential, while acknowledging the premium multiply the market has historically awarded to the company.Using a growth adjusted valuation framework, Wall Street's median price target of $28 per share appears plausible, implying a potential downside of 47% from current levels. Even if we use more optimistic assumptions - a 25% annual EPS growth rate and a premium forward P/E multiple of 55x - my analysis suggests a fair value of $38.50.What makes this valuation situation particularly precarious is the high concentration of retail investors in Palantir's shareholder base, with approximately 50% of shares held by retail investors. This ownership structure could amplify volatility in both directions, potentially leading to rapid multiple compression if market sentiment shifts or if the company faces any execution challenges in maintaining its current growth trajectory.My methodology behind this price target, I projected Palantir's earnings growth over the next three years, factoring in the company's improving profitability metrics and market expansion opportunities. l assume a 25% annual EPS growth rate through 2027, which is aggressive but also aligns with the company's transition from a growth-at-all-costs model to one focused on profitability. This growth rate factors in Wall Street's expectations for the AI platform market, which IDC estimates will grow at 41% annually through 2028, but Palantir's scale will make maintaining hypergrowth increasingly challenging.Applying this growth rate to current earnings projections yields an estimated FY 2027 EPS of $0.70 per share. The target multiple of 55x forward earnings, while rich by broad market standards but because of Palantir's historical premium position within the enterprise software sector. Even this generous multiple represents a significant compression from current levels.The downside risk scenario deserves particular attention, especially given current market conditions. In a broader market downturn or during periods of multiple compression, Palantir's stock could face substantially more pressure than my base case. During market stress periods, high multiple software stocks often see their valuations compress to levels that would imply a price below $20 per share for Palantir. This risk is amplified by the company's shareholder composition, as I mentioned earlier 50% of shares held by retail investors potentially leading to more volatile trading during market distress.Insider SalesThe recent pattern of insider selling at Palantir is a significant red flag that investors cannot afford to ignore. According to Jefferies' analysis,Palantir's CEO having sold more than $1.2 billion of stock in the past three months, representing approximately 14% of his stake.TrendSpiderWhile it's common for executives to maintain pre-planned selling programs through 10b5-1 plans, both the magnitude and timing of these sales warrant careful scrutiny. The uptick in insider sales becomes particularly noteworthy when viewed against the backdrop of Palantir's broader risk/reward profile, which has shifted dramatically following the stock's 687% surge from its May 2023 lows.Looking at near term catalysts, Palantir faces several challenges that could trigger multiple compression. The company's government business, while strong at 40% YoY growth, may face growth constraints due to budget limitations. As noted in their recent 10-Q filing, Palantir acknowledges thatUntil recent quarters, we had a history of incurring net losses, and we anticipate our operating expenses will continue to increase and we may not be able to achieve or maintain profitability in the future - PLTR Q3 10-Q FilingThis caution from management stands in stark contrast to the market's current optimistic pricing. While Palantir's AIP platform shows promise, the commercial market's higher churn risk and more competitive dynamics could pressure growth rates. These risk factors, combined with the current valuation premiums and accelerating insider sales, create an asymmetric risk/reward profile that tilts heavily toward risk at current price levels. While the stock could certainly continue its momentum-driven rally in the near term, the fundamental support for current valuations appears increasingly tenuous, suggesting investors should seriously consider taking profits and reducing exposure to more reasonable levels.Time to Take ProfitsWhile I am impressed by Palantir's execution and long-term potential, the risk/reward profile at current levels is simply unattractive. The combination of:Extreme valuation premiums across all metricsIncreasing insider salesHigh retail investor concentration (about 50% of float)Creates a potentially volatile situation where any slight disappointment could trigger significant multiple compression.For investors sitting on substantial gains, I believe now is an opportune time to at least trim positions and lock in profits. The stock's momentum could certainly continue in the near term, but the downside risks now outweigh the potential for further upside. In my view, waiting for a better entry point would be the prudent strategy for those looking to initiate or add to positions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368477669101800,"gmtCreate":1731001911634,"gmtModify":1731001915472,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm all for Long.","listText":"I'm all for Long.","text":"I'm all for Long.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/368477669101800","repostId":"1141256860","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1141256860","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1730978681,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141256860?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-07 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141256860","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.I argue that this is not good news, it's great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1890305707\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.</p></li><li><p>I argue that this is not good news, it&#39;s great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown us is possible.</p></li><li><p>This article covers the Q3 earnings report, and takes a pulse on Palantir.</p></li><li><p>I am issuing an upgrade to strong buy on continued surprise strength, strong treasury, no debt, and continued profitability.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/554bfffe59edb9acf6bf12d15a231da8\" alt=\"Palantir Technologies\" title=\"Palantir Technologies\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>Palantir Technologies</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3449696349\">Introduction</h2><p>I first recommended Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) back in June with a buy rating, when I wrote <em>Don&#39;t Underestimate Palantir&#39;s B2B Prowess.</em> Since then, the stock has more than doubled.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/624e1a42c17afbebccd92f5647532e59\" alt=\"Author&#39;s past article\" title=\"Author&#39;s past article\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"176\"/><span>Author&#39;s past article</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>I am personally long Palantir; I bought in shortly after the article was published, and am also up over 100% since then. However, I&#39;m not necessarily here to gloat, but to cover Palantir&#39;s Q3 earnings report, which was released this week, and resulted in a resounding approval from the market.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/131ddcee125056a19844c4564a23756c\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>That single day jump was close to 15%, which was an exciting day. Palantir has now eclipsed its former heights and reached a new one.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7d42975966f9428ed63e84427acacb5c\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_3453436128\">Short History</h2><p>&#34;Data analytics&#34; is a rather vague term, and much of Palantir&#39;s business is obfuscated through that kind of hand-waving jargon. For example, here is Palantir&#39;s explanation of what they do, from their website,</p><blockquote><p>We build software that empowers organizations to effectively integrate their data, decisions, and operations.</p></blockquote><p>The best way I can put it for the majority of readers to understand: Palantir develops software that is designed to be the backbone of a corporation. All of their data is fed into this software (which I&#39;m going to call an &#34;operating system&#34; or &#34;OS&#34; from here on out), and then the software analyzes that data using AI models and proprietary algorithms to find deficiencies, misallocated resources, and inefficient processes. The OS then enables &#34;operators&#34; (from businesses to governments to NGOs) to resolve these issues and streamline their operations from top to bottom.</p><p>The primary &#34;skill&#34; being employed by the software is pattern recognition. The Palantir platforms can pour through millions of data points and &#34;find the needle in the haystack&#34; so to speak; that is, some pattern in the data that human operators missed or didn&#39;t have the resources or time to manual pour over. In our world, the pool of data on individuals and in the world climbs every day.</p><p>They&#39;ve got a few big accomplishments under their belt from their 20-year tenure in the data business:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>An early investment from the CIA&#39;s venture capital fund, In-Q-Tel</p></li><li><p>Uncovered &#34;GhostNet,&#34; a Chinese-based spy ring of nearly 1,300 infected computers that had infiltrated the Dalai Lama&#39;s office, a NATO system, and national embassies</p></li><li><p>Deployed across the Medicare and Medicaid networks to find fraud</p></li><li><p>Assisted in the location of Al-Qaeda leader and 9/11 orchestrator, Osama bin Laden</p></li><li><p>Its software was used to source records for Bernie Madoff&#39;s conviction</p></li><li><p>Current and former clients include the CIA, the Department of Homeland Security, the NSA, the FBI, the CDC, US Marine Corps, Air Force, and Special Operations Command; the FDA, Los Angeles PD, US ICE, the English NHS, and more</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_3495455647\">Welcome to the S&amp;P 500</h2><p>The announcement of the firm&#39;s inclusion into the S&amp;P 500 was a big one, as it lends more legitimacy to the company as well as provides a boost to the share price since funds that track the index will need to buy PLTR shares at their next rebalance (depending on the fund).</p><p>This kind of announcement hype is not always long-lived, so I am cautious of it, but for now, it is a boon to PLTR.</p><h2 id=\"id_3958142955\">Palantir Q3 Earnings</h2><p>Our third quarter results for PLTR were interesting, mostly because of the headline 30% boost to revenue.</p><p>Here&#39;s a quick overview of where the money came from and went to.</p><p><em>I really appreciate the author of this particular series, App Economy Insights on Threads.</em></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2044862224b3e0ba774debabcdc2ab82\" alt=\"Palantir revenue breakdown\" title=\"Palantir revenue breakdown\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/><span>Palantir revenue breakdown</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>App Economy Insights</strong></p><p></p><p>Other notable performance metrics that management noted aside from the broad increase in business more generally are:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Domestic revenue grew 44% YoY</p></li><li><p>Closed 104 deals over $1M in Q3</p></li><li><p>Rule of 40 score of 68% (a new high)</p></li><li><p>Partnership with Ukrainian government to work on de-mining operations</p></li><li><p>Expansion of Maven program with continued US funding</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_3151768832\">Financials</h3><p>Palantir continued to expand its commercial operations, one of the facets of PLTR that I am most bullish on, and expanded their revenue 13% QoQ, and 54% YoY. This was coupled with a 77% YoY increase in customer count, further diversifying their base and revenue streams. This assuages some customer concentration risk PLTR has with its US military business.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3143d4bdfc322a0f060a8d504770b6aa\" alt=\"PAlantir commercial stats\" title=\"PAlantir commercial stats\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"296\"/><span>PAlantir commercial stats</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>Most importantly, we can see that the total value of the current commercial contracts has increased at a faster rate than customer count, showing us that these new customers are, on average, higher paying customers than existing ones. If all customers paid the same tabs, we should expect a linear relationship between these metrics.</p><p>I am also impressed with how much commercial revenue has grown, as it used to make up such a small piece of PLTR&#39;s overall, with the government contracts formally dominating their portfolio. Now, these two figures are almost neck-and-neck.</p><p>GAAP net income was up to $143M, up 100% YoY. GAAP EPS was at $0.06. This was great news, as profitability continues and strengthens. A doubling of GAAP earnings is a very positive sign for any company, and can justify a price movement of similar stature.</p><p>Alongside this, margins grew to 16%, from a several-year-low of nearly (40%). The turn-around time was quick, but we can see the trend slowing as we begin to approach diminishing returns on margin growth.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/717541253e65bd75a50b0f6717f87571\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>This money, and the new heights in profit margins, is paid invested &#34;aggressively,&#34; as management put it in the earnings presentation. They say that this has brought their operating margin up to 38%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/01a4af53b04947a673e70a2a6d26defb\" alt=\"PLTR operating margins\" title=\"PLTR operating margins\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"678\"/><span>PLTR operating margins</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>They ended Q3 with a ton of cash sitting on hand, and no debt to speak of. This is a great place for a business to be operating at, as it means that their solvency is without question. They ended the quarter with $4.6B in cash and equivalents.</p><p><em>For context, there are 25 countries with less cash in their foreign reserves.</em></p><h3 id=\"id_3480698685\">Expectations</h3><p>For the next quarter, PLTR is expecting a 5-6% QoQ increase in revenue, and a similar change in operating income. This would keep them on the right growth trajectory to continue justifying their valuation.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/03bd2c1fedfab6b24473e11c37e6ea26\" alt=\"PLTR expectations for Q4 revenue\" title=\"PLTR expectations for Q4 revenue\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\"/><span>PLTR expectations for Q4 revenue</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>For FY 2024, they are projecting a 50% growth in commercial revenue, and FCF of $1B+, something they have yet to reach. Q4 will need to impress to keep these numbers up.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8817471bba2c735ff9932d3eafcd26fa\" alt=\"FY 2024 expectations for PLTR\" title=\"FY 2024 expectations for PLTR\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"635\"/><span>FY 2024 expectations for PLTR</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>Other metrics to include is the total RPO, or remaining performance obligation, the amount they can expect to earn from, unfulfilled contracts. As they have added on more customers and more contracts, closing those 100+ deals, this figure has increased. Locking in contract value is a boon for PLTR, as it means they can project some level of forward earnings from these.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/96d97ec499888bb1d6670ad107e5c7ec\" alt=\"Palantir RPO\" title=\"Palantir RPO\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"187\"/><span>Palantir RPO</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_232847602\">Valuation</h2><p>Here is the elephant in the room. When stocks run up like PLTR has, they can let their valuations get away from them. Compared to its competitors, PLTR carries a high PE ratio.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b41369972a9166fb55ebc907cc9f742a\" alt=\"PLTR competitors\" title=\"PLTR competitors\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"174\"/><span>PLTR competitors</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>To be fair, SA Quant rates all of them poorly from a valuation standpoint.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca310fde605fd272a8a006954546f21b\" alt=\"SA Quant grades for peers\" title=\"SA Quant grades for peers\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"154\"/><span>SA Quant grades for peers</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>When we look at forward PE, we see a better side of the story, but still, one that shows PLTR as very overvalued compared to its peers. One would need to set this aside to be comfortable owning this stock.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/306e726f82099806f818c34da3ae97ad\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"507\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>The biggest risk to PLTR is that it stands to fall much farther than its peers in the SaaS space because of this heightened pricing. If we enter a recession and PLTR&#39;s business slows, it may be hammered far worse than some competitors.</p><p>I believe that would only be a buy signal, however, as I am very bullish on PLTR and believe in its continued justification of its high valuation. With the kind of growth that it is projecting, it makes sense to value it above other, slower enterprises.</p><h2 id=\"id_1053050360\">Conclusion</h2><p>PLTR is a stock that has run up tremendously, but risks remain in its valuation. Q3 earnings were very impressive, with many of the &#34;must watch&#34; metrics like customer counts and contract value up over previous expectations. The headline 30% revenue growth shook markets and propelled PLTR to new heights. Whether it can maintain these heights is yet to be seen, but for now, it seems to justify its insanely high valuation.</p><p>Commercial customer growth, further integration into the armed forces, and heightened revenue are all very bullish factors for PLTR that have led me to give it an upgrade to a strong buy, as I believe that it will eventually justify its valuation and come back to Earth, but that it still has more room to run. The company has just joined the S&amp;P 500 and shows tremendous promise.</p><p>Just remember that risks still remain, especially with companies that have run up as much as PLTR has. It has a lot of room to potentially fall.</p><p>Thanks for reading.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-07 19:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4733557-palantir-is-still-full-of-potential-rating-upgrade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.I argue that this is not good news, it's great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4733557-palantir-is-still-full-of-potential-rating-upgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4733557-palantir-is-still-full-of-potential-rating-upgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1141256860","content_text":"SummaryPalantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.I argue that this is not good news, it's great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown us is possible.This article covers the Q3 earnings report, and takes a pulse on Palantir.I am issuing an upgrade to strong buy on continued surprise strength, strong treasury, no debt, and continued profitability.Palantir TechnologiesIntroductionI first recommended Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) back in June with a buy rating, when I wrote Don't Underestimate Palantir's B2B Prowess. Since then, the stock has more than doubled.Author's past articleSeeking AlphaI am personally long Palantir; I bought in shortly after the article was published, and am also up over 100% since then. However, I'm not necessarily here to gloat, but to cover Palantir's Q3 earnings report, which was released this week, and resulted in a resounding approval from the market.ChartData by YChartsThat single day jump was close to 15%, which was an exciting day. Palantir has now eclipsed its former heights and reached a new one.ChartData by YChartsShort History\"Data analytics\" is a rather vague term, and much of Palantir's business is obfuscated through that kind of hand-waving jargon. For example, here is Palantir's explanation of what they do, from their website,We build software that empowers organizations to effectively integrate their data, decisions, and operations.The best way I can put it for the majority of readers to understand: Palantir develops software that is designed to be the backbone of a corporation. All of their data is fed into this software (which I'm going to call an \"operating system\" or \"OS\" from here on out), and then the software analyzes that data using AI models and proprietary algorithms to find deficiencies, misallocated resources, and inefficient processes. The OS then enables \"operators\" (from businesses to governments to NGOs) to resolve these issues and streamline their operations from top to bottom.The primary \"skill\" being employed by the software is pattern recognition. The Palantir platforms can pour through millions of data points and \"find the needle in the haystack\" so to speak; that is, some pattern in the data that human operators missed or didn't have the resources or time to manual pour over. In our world, the pool of data on individuals and in the world climbs every day.They've got a few big accomplishments under their belt from their 20-year tenure in the data business:An early investment from the CIA's venture capital fund, In-Q-TelUncovered \"GhostNet,\" a Chinese-based spy ring of nearly 1,300 infected computers that had infiltrated the Dalai Lama's office, a NATO system, and national embassiesDeployed across the Medicare and Medicaid networks to find fraudAssisted in the location of Al-Qaeda leader and 9/11 orchestrator, Osama bin LadenIts software was used to source records for Bernie Madoff's convictionCurrent and former clients include the CIA, the Department of Homeland Security, the NSA, the FBI, the CDC, US Marine Corps, Air Force, and Special Operations Command; the FDA, Los Angeles PD, US ICE, the English NHS, and moreWelcome to the S&P 500The announcement of the firm's inclusion into the S&P 500 was a big one, as it lends more legitimacy to the company as well as provides a boost to the share price since funds that track the index will need to buy PLTR shares at their next rebalance (depending on the fund).This kind of announcement hype is not always long-lived, so I am cautious of it, but for now, it is a boon to PLTR.Palantir Q3 EarningsOur third quarter results for PLTR were interesting, mostly because of the headline 30% boost to revenue.Here's a quick overview of where the money came from and went to.I really appreciate the author of this particular series, App Economy Insights on Threads.Palantir revenue breakdownApp Economy InsightsOther notable performance metrics that management noted aside from the broad increase in business more generally are:Domestic revenue grew 44% YoYClosed 104 deals over $1M in Q3Rule of 40 score of 68% (a new high)Partnership with Ukrainian government to work on de-mining operationsExpansion of Maven program with continued US fundingFinancialsPalantir continued to expand its commercial operations, one of the facets of PLTR that I am most bullish on, and expanded their revenue 13% QoQ, and 54% YoY. This was coupled with a 77% YoY increase in customer count, further diversifying their base and revenue streams. This assuages some customer concentration risk PLTR has with its US military business.PAlantir commercial statsPalantirMost importantly, we can see that the total value of the current commercial contracts has increased at a faster rate than customer count, showing us that these new customers are, on average, higher paying customers than existing ones. If all customers paid the same tabs, we should expect a linear relationship between these metrics.I am also impressed with how much commercial revenue has grown, as it used to make up such a small piece of PLTR's overall, with the government contracts formally dominating their portfolio. Now, these two figures are almost neck-and-neck.GAAP net income was up to $143M, up 100% YoY. GAAP EPS was at $0.06. This was great news, as profitability continues and strengthens. A doubling of GAAP earnings is a very positive sign for any company, and can justify a price movement of similar stature.Alongside this, margins grew to 16%, from a several-year-low of nearly (40%). The turn-around time was quick, but we can see the trend slowing as we begin to approach diminishing returns on margin growth.ChartData by YChartsThis money, and the new heights in profit margins, is paid invested \"aggressively,\" as management put it in the earnings presentation. They say that this has brought their operating margin up to 38%.PLTR operating marginsPalantirThey ended Q3 with a ton of cash sitting on hand, and no debt to speak of. This is a great place for a business to be operating at, as it means that their solvency is without question. They ended the quarter with $4.6B in cash and equivalents.For context, there are 25 countries with less cash in their foreign reserves.ExpectationsFor the next quarter, PLTR is expecting a 5-6% QoQ increase in revenue, and a similar change in operating income. This would keep them on the right growth trajectory to continue justifying their valuation.PLTR expectations for Q4 revenuePalantirFor FY 2024, they are projecting a 50% growth in commercial revenue, and FCF of $1B+, something they have yet to reach. Q4 will need to impress to keep these numbers up.FY 2024 expectations for PLTRPalantirOther metrics to include is the total RPO, or remaining performance obligation, the amount they can expect to earn from, unfulfilled contracts. As they have added on more customers and more contracts, closing those 100+ deals, this figure has increased. Locking in contract value is a boon for PLTR, as it means they can project some level of forward earnings from these.Palantir RPOPalantirValuationHere is the elephant in the room. When stocks run up like PLTR has, they can let their valuations get away from them. Compared to its competitors, PLTR carries a high PE ratio.PLTR competitorsSeeking AlphaTo be fair, SA Quant rates all of them poorly from a valuation standpoint.SA Quant grades for peersSeeking AlphaWhen we look at forward PE, we see a better side of the story, but still, one that shows PLTR as very overvalued compared to its peers. One would need to set this aside to be comfortable owning this stock.ChartData by YChartsThe biggest risk to PLTR is that it stands to fall much farther than its peers in the SaaS space because of this heightened pricing. If we enter a recession and PLTR's business slows, it may be hammered far worse than some competitors.I believe that would only be a buy signal, however, as I am very bullish on PLTR and believe in its continued justification of its high valuation. With the kind of growth that it is projecting, it makes sense to value it above other, slower enterprises.ConclusionPLTR is a stock that has run up tremendously, but risks remain in its valuation. Q3 earnings were very impressive, with many of the \"must watch\" metrics like customer counts and contract value up over previous expectations. The headline 30% revenue growth shook markets and propelled PLTR to new heights. Whether it can maintain these heights is yet to be seen, but for now, it seems to justify its insanely high valuation.Commercial customer growth, further integration into the armed forces, and heightened revenue are all very bullish factors for PLTR that have led me to give it an upgrade to a strong buy, as I believe that it will eventually justify its valuation and come back to Earth, but that it still has more room to run. The company has just joined the S&P 500 and shows tremendous promise.Just remember that risks still remain, especially with companies that have run up as much as PLTR has. It has a lot of room to potentially fall.Thanks for reading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367845603479776,"gmtCreate":1730823894603,"gmtModify":1730823898556,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367845603479776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"content":"We’re closing in again to the next price everyone 😉","text":"We’re closing in again to the next price everyone 😉","html":"We’re closing in again to the next price everyone 😉"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367742221537608,"gmtCreate":1730821383153,"gmtModify":1730821387504,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\"Hold\" for more to come","listText":"\"Hold\" for more to come","text":"\"Hold\" for more to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367742221537608","repostId":"2481507222","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2481507222","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1730817329,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2481507222?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-05 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481507222","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) shares are making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by &#34;unrelenting&#34; AI demand. ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong> (NYSE:PLTR) shares soared 16% in morning trading, making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by “unrelenting” AI demand.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3703f4db5ea0ef75deadabe6d959f551\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"836\"/></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 Revenue:</strong> $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million</p></li></ul><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 EPS:</strong> 6 cents, versus estimates of 4 cents</p></li></ul><p>Palantir reported 30% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter propelled by continued strength in the U.S. The company said U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year as U.S. Commercial revenue jumped 54% and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.</p><p>The company beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fifth consecutive quarter as margins expanded for the eighth straight quarter, and the company guided for continued GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter this year.</p><p>Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The company said it closed 104 deals worth over $1 million during the quarter.</p><p>“The growth of our business is accelerating, and our financial performance is exceeding expectations as we meet an unwavering demand for the most advanced artificial intelligence technologies from our U.S. government and commercial customers,&#34; <strong>Alex Karp</strong>, co-founder and CEO of Palantir, said in a letter to shareholders.</p><p><strong>Guidance:</strong> Palantir sees fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $767 million to $771 million, versus estimates of $741.44 million. The company also raised full-year guidance across its key metrics.</p><p>Palantir now expects full-year revenue in the range of $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion versus estimates of $2.759 billion, and full-year U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $687 million, representing growth of at least 50%. The company now expects adjusted free cash flow to be in excess of $1 billion for the year.</p><p>&#34;We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won&#39;t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,&#34; Karp said.</p><p>Following the print, Wedbush analyst <strong>Dan Ives</strong> maintained an Outperform rating on the stock noting that Palantir delivered “another robust quarter featuring beats across the board.”</p><p>&#34;Despite the skeptics honing in on valuation for the past year, this was a major quarter to prove that PLTR’s partner ecosystem expansion and AIP bootcamps hit another gear,&#34; Ives said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-05 22:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong> (NYSE:PLTR) shares soared 16% in morning trading, making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by “unrelenting” AI demand.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3703f4db5ea0ef75deadabe6d959f551\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"836\"/></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 Revenue:</strong> $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million</p></li></ul><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 EPS:</strong> 6 cents, versus estimates of 4 cents</p></li></ul><p>Palantir reported 30% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter propelled by continued strength in the U.S. The company said U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year as U.S. Commercial revenue jumped 54% and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.</p><p>The company beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fifth consecutive quarter as margins expanded for the eighth straight quarter, and the company guided for continued GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter this year.</p><p>Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The company said it closed 104 deals worth over $1 million during the quarter.</p><p>“The growth of our business is accelerating, and our financial performance is exceeding expectations as we meet an unwavering demand for the most advanced artificial intelligence technologies from our U.S. government and commercial customers,&#34; <strong>Alex Karp</strong>, co-founder and CEO of Palantir, said in a letter to shareholders.</p><p><strong>Guidance:</strong> Palantir sees fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $767 million to $771 million, versus estimates of $741.44 million. The company also raised full-year guidance across its key metrics.</p><p>Palantir now expects full-year revenue in the range of $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion versus estimates of $2.759 billion, and full-year U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $687 million, representing growth of at least 50%. The company now expects adjusted free cash flow to be in excess of $1 billion for the year.</p><p>&#34;We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won&#39;t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,&#34; Karp said.</p><p>Following the print, Wedbush analyst <strong>Dan Ives</strong> maintained an Outperform rating on the stock noting that Palantir delivered “another robust quarter featuring beats across the board.”</p><p>&#34;Despite the skeptics honing in on valuation for the past year, this was a major quarter to prove that PLTR’s partner ecosystem expansion and AIP bootcamps hit another gear,&#34; Ives said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4543":"AI","BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/41746288/palantir-stock-is-hitting-new-highs-whats-going-on","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2481507222","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) shares soared 16% in morning trading, making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by “unrelenting” AI demand.Q3 Revenue: $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 millionQ3 EPS: 6 cents, versus estimates of 4 centsPalantir reported 30% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter propelled by continued strength in the U.S. The company said U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year as U.S. Commercial revenue jumped 54% and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.The company beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fifth consecutive quarter as margins expanded for the eighth straight quarter, and the company guided for continued GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter this year.Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The company said it closed 104 deals worth over $1 million during the quarter.“The growth of our business is accelerating, and our financial performance is exceeding expectations as we meet an unwavering demand for the most advanced artificial intelligence technologies from our U.S. government and commercial customers,\" Alex Karp, co-founder and CEO of Palantir, said in a letter to shareholders.Guidance: Palantir sees fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $767 million to $771 million, versus estimates of $741.44 million. The company also raised full-year guidance across its key metrics.Palantir now expects full-year revenue in the range of $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion versus estimates of $2.759 billion, and full-year U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $687 million, representing growth of at least 50%. The company now expects adjusted free cash flow to be in excess of $1 billion for the year.\"We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won't slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,\" Karp said.Following the print, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives maintained an Outperform rating on the stock noting that Palantir delivered “another robust quarter featuring beats across the board.”\"Despite the skeptics honing in on valuation for the past year, this was a major quarter to prove that PLTR’s partner ecosystem expansion and AIP bootcamps hit another gear,\" Ives said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367834902409456,"gmtCreate":1730821285595,"gmtModify":1730821290050,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Posts recommending \"sell\" had been circulated again and again. So the question is do investors follow this theory or follow their optimism?","listText":"Posts recommending \"sell\" had been circulated again and again. So the question is do investors follow this theory or follow their optimism?","text":"Posts recommending \"sell\" had been circulated again and again. So the question is do investors follow this theory or follow their optimism?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367834902409456","repostId":"2481592108","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2481592108","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1730772744,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2481592108?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-05 10:12","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Valuation Looks Detached From Business Realities, A Tactical 'Sell'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481592108","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Amid unrelenting AI demand, Palantir delivered strong numbers for Q3 2024 and lifted full-year guidance.In response, PLTR stock has popped by another 12% to ~46 per share in the after-hours session.At","content":"<html><body><ul><li>Amid unrelenting AI demand, Palantir delivered strong numbers for Q3 2024 and lifted full-year guidance.</li><li>In response, PLTR stock has popped by another 12% to ~46 per share in the after-hours session.</li><li>At ~40x P/S, Palantir stock looks worse than dead money despite assuming above consensus future revenue growth and margins.</li><li>Like it or not, PLTR stock is bubblicious. And its latest ER pop is another opportunity for shareholders to book some gains. Read on to learn more.</li></ul><p><figure><picture><img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"4000px\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 36px), (max-width: 1024px) calc(100vw - 132px), (max-width: 1200px) calc(66.6vw - 72px), 600px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"6000px\"/></picture><figcaption><p>Michael Vi</p></figcaption></figure></p> <div></div> <h2>Brief Review Of Palantir's Q3 2024 Report</h2> <p>In the immediate aftermath of its Q3 2024 report, Palantir Technologies, Inc. (<span>NYSE:PLTR</span>) is popping up by ~12% to ~$46.4 per share in after-hours trading, with the emerging enterprise software giant soaring past top<span> and bottom-line estimates:</span></p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307605204003682.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Seeking Alpha</p></figcaption></figure> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307602605126424.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Palantir Investor Relations</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>With Q3 2024 revenues and normalized EPS coming in at $725.5M [+30% y/y, +7% q/q] and $0.10 per share, Palantir continued exhibiting strong business momentum, driven largely by robust growth in its domestic market, i.e., the United States. Furthermore, powered by accelerating top-line growth and operational efficiencies, Palantir generated $435M in adj. free cash flow (\"FCF\") at a margin of 60% - boosting its cash &amp; short-term investments from $4B in Q2 2024 to $4.6B in Q3 2024.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-1730760938170848.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Palantir Investor Relations</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Now, in Q3, Palantir's US Government revenue rose +40% y/y to $320M and US Commercial grew +54% y/y to $179M. And Palantir's leadership attributed the strength in US to an ongoing AI [artificial intelligence] revolution:</p> <blockquote> <p><em>We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by <strong>unrelenting AI demand that won't slow down</strong>. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners</em></p> <p>- Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and CEO of Palantir</p> </blockquote> <p>During Q3, Palantir closed 104 deals of &gt;$1M, with AIP gaining greater adoption among enterprise customers. Now, despite seeing a sequential deceleration, Palantir's customer base continues growing at a healthy clip:</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-1730761602190353.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Palantir Investor Relations</p></figcaption></figure> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307616482668135.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Palantir Investor Relations</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Emboldened by their stronger-than-expected financial performance and robust customer count growth (deal momentum), Palantir's management once again lifted their guidance for 2024 - with total revenues now expected to come in at $2.805-2.809B (+26% y/y growth at the midpoint of the guidance range) above pre-earnings consensus street estimates of $2.76B.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307623191523294.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Palantir Investor Relations</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>While Q3 revenue outperformance is playing its part here, Palantir's Q4 sales guidance of $767-771M is also well ahead of pre-earnings consensus estimate of $744M for Q4. Furthermore, Palantir is projected to deliver adj. FCF of &gt;$1B in 2024.</p> <p>From a number's standpoint, Palantir's business momentum is incredible. However, at ~40x sales, PLTR stock is essentially priced like Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) were priced at the peak of the dot com bubble:</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/saupload_4f8d41b2237789d473380b02438ac761.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>Is Palantir the next Microsoft? A lot of PLTR bulls would say \"YES\". However, in order to underwrite PLTR at $46 per share, one would need to be able to see a very high growth rate for a very, very long period of time.</p> <h2>Palantir's Fair Value And Expected Returns</h2> <p>For today's valuation exercise, I am modeling PLTR with a 2024E revenue base of $2.81B. Furthermore, I am lifting my 5-year sales CAGR growth and optimized free cash flow margin assumptions to 30% [well above consensus street estimates] and 40% [significantly higher than current margins], respectively. This upgrade rewards Palantir's deal momentum and strong operating leverage.</p> <p>All other assumptions are straightforward and self-explanatory, but if you have any questions, please share them in the comments section below.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307633137906458.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>From an absolute valuation standpoint, Palantir is significantly overvalued, with PLTR stock having a potential downside of -55% to our updated fair value estimate of $21 per share [or $52B in market cap].</p> <p>Now, I wouldn't dismiss the idea of investing in Palantir solely due to its premium valuation, as history shows that winning stocks can be overvalued for long periods [e.g., Amazon.com, Inc., Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), etc.]. Let's take a look at Palantir's long-term risk/reward to make an informed decision:</p> <p>Assuming an aggressive exit multiple of 25x P/FCF, I see Palantir stock declining from $46.7 in 2024 to $45.1 per share in 2029 at a -0.7% CAGR.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307635175009005.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Despite modeling Palantir with aggressive assumptions for future revenue growth and margins, PLTR expected 5-year CAGR return falls short of risk-free treasury yields of 4-4.5%, average long-term S&amp;P 500 (SP500) return of 8-10% per year, and TQI's investment hurdle rate of 15%. In fact, Palantir's 5-year expected CAGR return is negative, i.e., PLTR stock is worse than dead money right now!</p> <h2>Concluding Thoughts</h2> <p>As of Q3, Palantir is showing robust business momentum, with the AI/data enterprise software company delivering a solid mix of revenue growth and profitability, with a rule of 40 score of \"68\".</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307639099996047.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>Palantir Investor Relations</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>As a PLTR shareholder, I am happy with the business progress being made by Karp &amp; Co. However, with PLTR's valuation looking completely detached from its business realities, I continue to view Palantir stock as a tactical \"Sell\".</p> <p>At my investing group, we own a 2.7% position in PLTR stock within TQI's Moonshot Growth strategy - despite trimming at multiple occasions this year:</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" height=\"180\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-17307644464583287.png\" width=\"640\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>The Quantamental Investor</p></figcaption></figure> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/11/4/51572009-1730764269172196.png\"/></span></picture><figcaption><p>The Quantamental Investor</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>After trimming ~10% of our PLTR position post Q2 ER and another ~10% in September 2024, I view today's double-digit earnings pop as another trimming opportunity for Palantir shareholders.</p> <p><strong>Key Takeaway:</strong> Due to unfavorable long-term risk/reward, I continue to rate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> stock a tactical \"Sell\" at $46.7 per share.</p> <div></div> <p>Thanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Valuation Looks Detached From Business Realities, A Tactical 'Sell'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Valuation Looks Detached From Business Realities, A Tactical 'Sell'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-05 10:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4732924-palantir-stock-q3-valuation-looks-detached-from-business-realties-tactical-sell><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amid unrelenting AI demand, Palantir delivered strong numbers for Q3 2024 and lifted full-year guidance.In response, PLTR stock has popped by another 12% to ~46 per share in the after-hours session.At...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4732924-palantir-stock-q3-valuation-looks-detached-from-business-realties-tactical-sell\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313497440/image_1313497440.jpg","relate_stocks":{"LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4543":"AI","BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4732924-palantir-stock-q3-valuation-looks-detached-from-business-realties-tactical-sell","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2481592108","content_text":"Amid unrelenting AI demand, Palantir delivered strong numbers for Q3 2024 and lifted full-year guidance.In response, PLTR stock has popped by another 12% to ~46 per share in the after-hours session.At ~40x P/S, Palantir stock looks worse than dead money despite assuming above consensus future revenue growth and margins.Like it or not, PLTR stock is bubblicious. And its latest ER pop is another opportunity for shareholders to book some gains. Read on to learn more.Michael Vi  Brief Review Of Palantir's Q3 2024 Report In the immediate aftermath of its Q3 2024 report, Palantir Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) is popping up by ~12% to ~$46.4 per share in after-hours trading, with the emerging enterprise software giant soaring past top and bottom-line estimates: Seeking Alpha Palantir Investor Relations With Q3 2024 revenues and normalized EPS coming in at $725.5M [+30% y/y, +7% q/q] and $0.10 per share, Palantir continued exhibiting strong business momentum, driven largely by robust growth in its domestic market, i.e., the United States. Furthermore, powered by accelerating top-line growth and operational efficiencies, Palantir generated $435M in adj. free cash flow (\"FCF\") at a margin of 60% - boosting its cash & short-term investments from $4B in Q2 2024 to $4.6B in Q3 2024. Palantir Investor Relations Now, in Q3, Palantir's US Government revenue rose +40% y/y to $320M and US Commercial grew +54% y/y to $179M. And Palantir's leadership attributed the strength in US to an ongoing AI [artificial intelligence] revolution:  We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won't slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners - Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and CEO of Palantir  During Q3, Palantir closed 104 deals of >$1M, with AIP gaining greater adoption among enterprise customers. Now, despite seeing a sequential deceleration, Palantir's customer base continues growing at a healthy clip: Palantir Investor Relations Palantir Investor Relations Emboldened by their stronger-than-expected financial performance and robust customer count growth (deal momentum), Palantir's management once again lifted their guidance for 2024 - with total revenues now expected to come in at $2.805-2.809B (+26% y/y growth at the midpoint of the guidance range) above pre-earnings consensus street estimates of $2.76B. Palantir Investor Relations While Q3 revenue outperformance is playing its part here, Palantir's Q4 sales guidance of $767-771M is also well ahead of pre-earnings consensus estimate of $744M for Q4. Furthermore, Palantir is projected to deliver adj. FCF of >$1B in 2024. From a number's standpoint, Palantir's business momentum is incredible. However, at ~40x sales, PLTR stock is essentially priced like Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) were priced at the peak of the dot com bubble: Data by YCharts Is Palantir the next Microsoft? A lot of PLTR bulls would say \"YES\". However, in order to underwrite PLTR at $46 per share, one would need to be able to see a very high growth rate for a very, very long period of time. Palantir's Fair Value And Expected Returns For today's valuation exercise, I am modeling PLTR with a 2024E revenue base of $2.81B. Furthermore, I am lifting my 5-year sales CAGR growth and optimized free cash flow margin assumptions to 30% [well above consensus street estimates] and 40% [significantly higher than current margins], respectively. This upgrade rewards Palantir's deal momentum and strong operating leverage. All other assumptions are straightforward and self-explanatory, but if you have any questions, please share them in the comments section below. TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org) From an absolute valuation standpoint, Palantir is significantly overvalued, with PLTR stock having a potential downside of -55% to our updated fair value estimate of $21 per share [or $52B in market cap]. Now, I wouldn't dismiss the idea of investing in Palantir solely due to its premium valuation, as history shows that winning stocks can be overvalued for long periods [e.g., Amazon.com, Inc., Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), etc.]. Let's take a look at Palantir's long-term risk/reward to make an informed decision: Assuming an aggressive exit multiple of 25x P/FCF, I see Palantir stock declining from $46.7 in 2024 to $45.1 per share in 2029 at a -0.7% CAGR. TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org) Despite modeling Palantir with aggressive assumptions for future revenue growth and margins, PLTR expected 5-year CAGR return falls short of risk-free treasury yields of 4-4.5%, average long-term S&P 500 (SP500) return of 8-10% per year, and TQI's investment hurdle rate of 15%. In fact, Palantir's 5-year expected CAGR return is negative, i.e., PLTR stock is worse than dead money right now! Concluding Thoughts As of Q3, Palantir is showing robust business momentum, with the AI/data enterprise software company delivering a solid mix of revenue growth and profitability, with a rule of 40 score of \"68\". Palantir Investor Relations As a PLTR shareholder, I am happy with the business progress being made by Karp & Co. However, with PLTR's valuation looking completely detached from its business realities, I continue to view Palantir stock as a tactical \"Sell\". At my investing group, we own a 2.7% position in PLTR stock within TQI's Moonshot Growth strategy - despite trimming at multiple occasions this year: The Quantamental Investor The Quantamental Investor After trimming ~10% of our PLTR position post Q2 ER and another ~10% in September 2024, I view today's double-digit earnings pop as another trimming opportunity for Palantir shareholders. Key Takeaway: Due to unfavorable long-term risk/reward, I continue to rate Palantir Technologies Inc. stock a tactical \"Sell\" at $46.7 per share.  Thanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367466843472176,"gmtCreate":1730728690728,"gmtModify":1730728780003,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A win for Trump would propel majority of investors. We had enough of high interest rates and inflatory prices. US Companies enjoy low tax and higher profit margin - stakeholders happy. Trump winning would definitely help calm the current disputes and war happening in the Middle East. The last thing we want is a 3rd war most probably in the South China Sea. I can't imagine the states struggling to deal with 3 wars going on concurrently in this world.&nbsp;","listText":"A win for Trump would propel majority of investors. We had enough of high interest rates and inflatory prices. US Companies enjoy low tax and higher profit margin - stakeholders happy. Trump winning would definitely help calm the current disputes and war happening in the Middle East. The last thing we want is a 3rd war most probably in the South China Sea. I can't imagine the states struggling to deal with 3 wars going on concurrently in this world.&nbsp;","text":"A win for Trump would propel majority of investors. We had enough of high interest rates and inflatory prices. US Companies enjoy low tax and higher profit margin - stakeholders happy. Trump winning would definitely help calm the current disputes and war happening in the Middle East. The last thing we want is a 3rd war most probably in the South China Sea. I can't imagine the states struggling to deal with 3 wars going on concurrently in this world.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367466843472176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361066757029896,"gmtCreate":1729186750820,"gmtModify":1729186754711,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm holding... good try though! Hope you don't regret again :)","listText":"I'm holding... good try though! Hope you don't regret again :)","text":"I'm holding... good try though! Hope you don't regret again :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361066757029896","repostId":"1173195967","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1173195967","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1729137443,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173195967?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-17 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Time To Cash Out","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173195967","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir Technologies Inc.'s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&P 500.The company benefits from government ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_2336349692\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir Technologies Inc.&#39;s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&amp;P 500.</p></li><li><p>The company benefits from government contracts and is expanding its commercial segment, which is critical for future growth.</p></li><li><p>Despite strong growth and improved profitability, Palantir&#39;s valuation poses risks, requiring significant future earnings growth to justify current stock prices.</p></li><li><p>Investors should be cautious of Palantir&#39;s valuation, as sky-high expectations could lead to capital loss if growth doesn&#39;t meet projections.</p></li><li><p>I recommend investors to cash out their significant gains with the objective to buy back around $20-25/share.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/554bfffe59edb9acf6bf12d15a231da8\" alt=\"Palantir Technologies\" title=\"Palantir Technologies\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>Palantir Technologies</span></p><p>Palantir Technologies Inc. officially joined the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) in September this year. This finally opened the door for institutional investors, mutual funds, and analysts to purchase the stock and increase the coverage, with the stock set to benefit from higher popularity and demand.</p><p>The data analytics software company has been red-hot this year, with its value increasing 2.86x from $15/share a year ago to $43/share today.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0667ad40c0a5aff56cd17c5943103bfa\" alt=\"Price\" title=\"Price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"/><span>Price</span></p><p>On a year-to-date basis, Palantir&#39;s stock is up 153% alone and ranks third among the best-performing stocks in the S&amp;P 500:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Vistra Corp.</strong> (VST): 225.3% YTD Return</p></li><li><p><strong>NVIDIA Corp.</strong> (NVDA): 172.2% YTD Return</p></li><li><p><strong>Palantir Technologies</strong>: 153.4% YTD Return.</p></li></ul><p>Although this is my first coverage of the stock on Seeking Alpha, I&#39;ve followed Palantir since its IPO in 2020. Even though I currently do not have any exposure to the stock, I am keeping a close eye on the company, hoping to add its shares to a portfolio on a weakness, around $20-25/share.</p><p>With Palantir&#39;s stock on fire this year and its Q3 earnings just around the corner on November 4, let&#39;s take a closer look at whether it&#39;s still a good buy heading into the earnings. Bulls generally argue Palantir&#39;s improving profitability could drive more gains in the stock price. In contrast, bears point out potential revenue deceleration, particularly as Palantir&#39;s stock trades at 29x its estimated 2025 revenue, making it one of the most expensive stocks in the S&amp;P 500.</p><h2 id=\"id_4120428033\">Palantir&#39;s Business Keeps Benefiting From AI Integration</h2><p>As a first step, let&#39;s take a look at Palantir&#39;s business, given the business is relatively complex and much of its software&#39;s details are undisclosed due to the secrecy of dealing with government.</p><p>In fact, 60% of Palantir&#39;s revenue comes from government agencies, whereas the remaining 40% comes from the commercial sector, an area where the company aims to expand its operations further to drive growth.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s core business is based on three main segments:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Gotham</strong>: Designed for government and defense agencies, providing intelligence and data analysis tools for national security.</p></li><li><p><strong>Foundry</strong>: A data integration and analytics platform that helps manage, analyze, and visualize data. Commercial clients generally use Foundry across a wide range of industries.</p></li><li><p><strong>Apollo</strong>: A scalable platform for developers to build customer applications on top of Palantir&#39;s software.</p></li></ul><p>Palantir generates revenue through two main avenues. Like most other software businesses, it generates revenue via licensing, charging subscription, or usage-based fees for its Gotham and Foundry platforms. In addition to licenses, the company offers consulting services, helping clients implement and optimize the software to address their custom requirements.</p><p>The business model is based on a three-phase approach: Acquire, Expand and Scale its business. In the acquisition phase, Palantir targets new customers by offering initial implementations at a very low cost or no cost at all. During the second phase, Palantir aims to hook the customer by addressing the customer&#39;s specific pain points. In the last phase, Palantir fully implements and configures solutions, allowing customers to create a symbiotic environment by adding their own software atop Palantir&#39;s platform.</p><p>Like most other software businesses, Palantir has been introducing AI into its product mix via the Artificial Intelligence Platform (“AIP”) in the last quarters, harnessing the power of large language models (“LLM”) for decision-making.</p><p>The first few used cases for Palantir are the integration of AI for its government customers, particularly aimed at intelligence gathering, counterterrorism, and military operations. However, the company is now aiming to leverage generative AI to drive growth in the commercial part of its business.</p><p>In my view, Palantir might be one of the key potential beneficiaries of generative AI. Its core strength lies in its ability to integrate and analyze large volumes of data to train models and decision-making, aligning perfectly with AI&#39;s need for high-quality, well-structured data for efficient model training.</p><p>To showcase a few successes, Palantir announced the extension of the government contract Maven Smart System for an additional five years. Palantir was an early contractor for the project launched in 2017, which aimed to bring AI to the battlefield. The estimated contract value is for it to be worth around $90M annually, or roughly 3.6% of Palantir&#39;s trailing-twelve-month revenue.</p><p>Likewise, Palantir was awarded a Department of Defense contract through the Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office valued at up to $480M over the next five years and a $178M contract for project TITAN, a battlefield AI system.</p><p>From what we can see so far, Palantir&#39;s AI strategy is paying off, as it has won over major defense contracts. However, the key to unlocking future growth will be a successful execution in the more significant commercial segment.</p><p>We can see a few of such successes with customers such as Aramark, Mount Sinai, and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. These showcase how Palantir&#39;s AI has helped to improve supply chain management, operational efficiency, and patient care in healthcare, as presented during the AIPCon 5 back in September.</p><p>Yet, more will need to come to justify its ballooning valuation.</p><h2 id=\"id_4290965249\">Commercial Segment Gaining Momentum</h2><p>As we are just three weeks away from Palantir reporting its Q3 2024 earnings, let&#39;s just briefly look under the hood of Q2.</p><p>In the second-quarter earnings report, Palantir exceeded Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines and issued better-than-expected Q3 guidance, with the strong performance responsible for the red-hot year-to-date price performance.</p><p>For Q2, Palantir reported GAAP earnings of $0.09/share, roughly an 80% YoY increase. Revenue rose 27% to $678M, beating analysts&#39; estimates of $0.08 per share and $653M in revenue.</p><p>Both the government and commercial businesses performed very well during the quarter. The government business generated $371M in revenue, up 23% from the analyst&#39;s estimates of $349M. Its commercial business has delivered even better performance, with 33% revenue growth and revenue at $307M, ahead of the forecast by $1M.</p><p>Commercial revenue was significantly helped by a substantial 55% growth in US Commercial revenue, which reached $159M.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s future depends on its success in growing its commercial segment, which is gaining momentum as the company strengthens its expansion into financial, healthcare, and energy, moving away from a government-dependent revenue structure.</p><p>Even though government-based contracts are more guaranteed and less cyclical, most of the money is to be made in the commercial segment.</p><p>In fact, CEO Alex Karp, in a letter to shareholders, highlighted that Palantir&#39;s US commercial customer base increased 83% year over year, from 161 customers in Q2 2023 to 295 as of Q2 2024, now making up half of the company&#39;s total customer base.</p><h2 id=\"id_3456821639\">Top &amp; Bottom-Line Growth Do Not Disappoint</h2><p>Looking forward, Palantir appears to be on a solid footing to continue delivering, with the firm&#39;s billing and remaining performance obligations (“RPO”) increasing 19% and 42% YoY, respectively.</p><p>These two metrics serve for us as evidence of the strong demand for the underlying Palantir&#39;s software solutions. This is particularly as Palantir is facing higher demand than it can immediately serve, with customers very likely to stick around given Palantir&#39;s software&#39;s high switching costs.</p><p>Thanks to the strong demand, Palantir&#39;s management has raised its outlook for FY24 with estimated 2024 sales of $2.75B and $970M in operating income, an increase from the previous expectations of $2.68B of revenue and $874M of operating income.</p><p>Compared to full-FY23 revenue of $2.23B, this would represent a revenue growth of 23.3% with operating income expected to expand as much as 8x.</p><p>Nonetheless, given the strong tailwinds the business is experiencing, particularly in the US commercial segment, I expect the company to beat even its revised guidance by the end of this year. I further expect another 20-23% annual revenue growth on tap in the subsequent years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4658355aff9e91d5e54888531dde5455\" alt=\"Revenue Growth Expectations\" title=\"Revenue Growth Expectations\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"103\"/><span>Revenue Growth Expectations</span></p><p>Even as many growth companies prioritize revenue growth, leaving profitability in the back seat or straight out failing to convert revenue into earnings, that&#39;s undoubtedly not Palantir&#39;s case.</p><p>From what we can see below, Palantir&#39;s business became profitable on the operating level only in 2023, but operating income has continuously expanded, driven by higher revenue and margins.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27cc1c87366fd09a88cad60da4721051\" alt=\"Revenue &amp; Operating Income\" title=\"Revenue &amp; Operating Income\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"446\"/><span>Revenue &amp; Operating Income</span></p><p>Palantir&#39;s operating margins have been continuously improving. Thanks to the attractive unit economics the business can generate from the existing user base by upselling new products, I see margin expansion as the likely path for the company as it grows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ceac961d317d73a4dbda867285409e6a\" alt=\"Operating Margin\" title=\"Operating Margin\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"436\"/><span>Operating Margin</span></p><h2 id=\"id_1073175068\">Valuation Might Act As An Anchor On Future Returns</h2><p>The issue with Palantir&#39;s business is not the business itself, but the valuation—an issue we face as investors with most other high-quality companies.</p><p><strong>Let&#39;s first take a look at Palantir&#39;s Price-to-Sales valuation:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir&#39;s management expects the FY24 sales to land at $2.75B, which would imply a P/S ratio of 35x, given the $97B market cap.</p></li><li><p>Analysts are expecting forward FY25 sales to land at $3.32B, a YoY growth of 22%, implying a 14-month forward P/S valuation of 29x.</p></li></ul><p>Now, the rich valuation, even for large-cap stock such as Palantir, would be justifiable if the company exhibited massive EPS expansion over the coming years.</p><p>As per FactSet, analysts are forecasting Palantir&#39;s EPS to grow at the following rate:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>FY24 EPS:</strong> $0.35E, YoY growth: 42%</p></li><li><p><strong>FY25 EPS:</strong> $0.42E, YoY growth: 19%</p></li><li><p><strong>FY26 EPS:</strong> $0.51E, YoY growth: 21%.</p></li></ul><p>The growth we see above indeed categorizes Palantir&#39;s stock as a genuine growth company. Still, the 20% EPS growth expectations beyond FY24 are, from my perspective, not enough to justify the exuberant valuation the stock carries.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at the following scenarios. How much does Palantir&#39;s bottom-line need to expand for the remainder of the decade to justify buying the shares at today&#39;s prices?</p><p>In Scenario 1, if we assume the projected FY24, FY25, and FY26 growth materializes as expected by the analysts and the company grows its EPS at 30% annually for the remainder of the decade, Palantir would need to trade at least at 40x its P/E by the end of 2029 to just break-even on your money or negative real return, if adjusted per inflation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/be6e6618a303fdac09973c9f5ec5ed4e\" alt=\"Scenario 1\" title=\"Scenario 1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\"/><span>Scenario 1</span></p><p>Given the non-existent margin of safety and uncertain future growth, I would aim for at least 20% ROR to justify buying Palantir&#39;s shares at today&#39;s valuation. If we stick to the same growth assumptions as above, Palantir&#39;s shares would need to trade at 100x its earnings by the end of 2029 if I required the stock to deliver at 20% annualized ROR.</p><p>I am not saying Scenario 2 is impossible to materialize, but hoping for a 100x P/E valuation in 5.5 years is inherently uncertain and risky, and I do not like to bet allocate my heard-earned cash into uncertain promises.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/96b437c2ac27681308df66efd9578a5c\" alt=\"Scenario 2\" title=\"Scenario 2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\"/><span>Scenario 2</span></p><p>Naturally, it&#39;s possible that Palantir will beat expectations and grow its bottom line much quicker than expected. In Scenario 3, I am assuming 40% EPS growth between today and the end of 2029, a truly hyper-scaler if this growth materializes. However, even in that case, we would need to see the stock trading at around 50x its earnings if we aimed to achieve at least 16% annualized ROR.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0281c7b32de55039a645f1148aa7918e\" alt=\"Scenario 3\" title=\"Scenario 3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\"/><span>Scenario 3</span></p><p>This indicates that it is critical to consider the perspective from which we examine Palantir&#39;s growth and valuation before making an investment decision.</p><p>Forecasting Palantir&#39;s future growth is inherently uncertain, given its relatively short life as a public company.</p><p>That&#39;s perhaps one reason why analysts&#39; opinions on a short-term price target differ widely. However, the average price target is $27.7/share, implying a more than 30% downside from today&#39;s share price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2686ef7fab1d3f7ed87c985fc7492d1\" alt=\"Price Target\" title=\"Price Target\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"218\"/><span>Price Target</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3079454860\">Investor&#39;s Takeaway</h2><p>I believe Palantir is well-positioned for long-term success in the software industry, particularly in establishing itself as a leader in AI platforms. Its access to enterprise data is an excellent start for efficient AI data model learning, eventually building a competitive advantage.</p><p>The company is helping government and commercial companies worldwide convert data into decisions, and Palantir is set to materially benefit from organizations&#39; thirst for data-driven decision-making.</p><p>I also expect Palantir&#39;s consumer footprint to materially increase over the coming years while the business benefits from unit economics, upselling its new product offerings to existing customers and improving profitability.</p><p>Nevertheless, investors should be cautious about Palantir&#39;s valuation. The sky-high expectations are exposing investors to significant risks of permanent capital loss if the growth does not pan out as expected.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Time To Cash Out</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Time To Cash Out\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-17 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726961-palantir-time-to-cash-out><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir Technologies Inc.'s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&P 500.The company benefits from government ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726961-palantir-time-to-cash-out\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726961-palantir-time-to-cash-out","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1173195967","content_text":"SummaryPalantir Technologies Inc.'s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&P 500.The company benefits from government contracts and is expanding its commercial segment, which is critical for future growth.Despite strong growth and improved profitability, Palantir's valuation poses risks, requiring significant future earnings growth to justify current stock prices.Investors should be cautious of Palantir's valuation, as sky-high expectations could lead to capital loss if growth doesn't meet projections.I recommend investors to cash out their significant gains with the objective to buy back around $20-25/share.Palantir TechnologiesPalantir Technologies Inc. officially joined the S&P 500 (SP500) in September this year. This finally opened the door for institutional investors, mutual funds, and analysts to purchase the stock and increase the coverage, with the stock set to benefit from higher popularity and demand.The data analytics software company has been red-hot this year, with its value increasing 2.86x from $15/share a year ago to $43/share today.PriceOn a year-to-date basis, Palantir's stock is up 153% alone and ranks third among the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500:Vistra Corp. (VST): 225.3% YTD ReturnNVIDIA Corp. (NVDA): 172.2% YTD ReturnPalantir Technologies: 153.4% YTD Return.Although this is my first coverage of the stock on Seeking Alpha, I've followed Palantir since its IPO in 2020. Even though I currently do not have any exposure to the stock, I am keeping a close eye on the company, hoping to add its shares to a portfolio on a weakness, around $20-25/share.With Palantir's stock on fire this year and its Q3 earnings just around the corner on November 4, let's take a closer look at whether it's still a good buy heading into the earnings. Bulls generally argue Palantir's improving profitability could drive more gains in the stock price. In contrast, bears point out potential revenue deceleration, particularly as Palantir's stock trades at 29x its estimated 2025 revenue, making it one of the most expensive stocks in the S&P 500.Palantir's Business Keeps Benefiting From AI IntegrationAs a first step, let's take a look at Palantir's business, given the business is relatively complex and much of its software's details are undisclosed due to the secrecy of dealing with government.In fact, 60% of Palantir's revenue comes from government agencies, whereas the remaining 40% comes from the commercial sector, an area where the company aims to expand its operations further to drive growth.Palantir's core business is based on three main segments:Gotham: Designed for government and defense agencies, providing intelligence and data analysis tools for national security.Foundry: A data integration and analytics platform that helps manage, analyze, and visualize data. Commercial clients generally use Foundry across a wide range of industries.Apollo: A scalable platform for developers to build customer applications on top of Palantir's software.Palantir generates revenue through two main avenues. Like most other software businesses, it generates revenue via licensing, charging subscription, or usage-based fees for its Gotham and Foundry platforms. In addition to licenses, the company offers consulting services, helping clients implement and optimize the software to address their custom requirements.The business model is based on a three-phase approach: Acquire, Expand and Scale its business. In the acquisition phase, Palantir targets new customers by offering initial implementations at a very low cost or no cost at all. During the second phase, Palantir aims to hook the customer by addressing the customer's specific pain points. In the last phase, Palantir fully implements and configures solutions, allowing customers to create a symbiotic environment by adding their own software atop Palantir's platform.Like most other software businesses, Palantir has been introducing AI into its product mix via the Artificial Intelligence Platform (“AIP”) in the last quarters, harnessing the power of large language models (“LLM”) for decision-making.The first few used cases for Palantir are the integration of AI for its government customers, particularly aimed at intelligence gathering, counterterrorism, and military operations. However, the company is now aiming to leverage generative AI to drive growth in the commercial part of its business.In my view, Palantir might be one of the key potential beneficiaries of generative AI. Its core strength lies in its ability to integrate and analyze large volumes of data to train models and decision-making, aligning perfectly with AI's need for high-quality, well-structured data for efficient model training.To showcase a few successes, Palantir announced the extension of the government contract Maven Smart System for an additional five years. Palantir was an early contractor for the project launched in 2017, which aimed to bring AI to the battlefield. The estimated contract value is for it to be worth around $90M annually, or roughly 3.6% of Palantir's trailing-twelve-month revenue.Likewise, Palantir was awarded a Department of Defense contract through the Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office valued at up to $480M over the next five years and a $178M contract for project TITAN, a battlefield AI system.From what we can see so far, Palantir's AI strategy is paying off, as it has won over major defense contracts. However, the key to unlocking future growth will be a successful execution in the more significant commercial segment.We can see a few of such successes with customers such as Aramark, Mount Sinai, and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. These showcase how Palantir's AI has helped to improve supply chain management, operational efficiency, and patient care in healthcare, as presented during the AIPCon 5 back in September.Yet, more will need to come to justify its ballooning valuation.Commercial Segment Gaining MomentumAs we are just three weeks away from Palantir reporting its Q3 2024 earnings, let's just briefly look under the hood of Q2.In the second-quarter earnings report, Palantir exceeded Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines and issued better-than-expected Q3 guidance, with the strong performance responsible for the red-hot year-to-date price performance.For Q2, Palantir reported GAAP earnings of $0.09/share, roughly an 80% YoY increase. Revenue rose 27% to $678M, beating analysts' estimates of $0.08 per share and $653M in revenue.Both the government and commercial businesses performed very well during the quarter. The government business generated $371M in revenue, up 23% from the analyst's estimates of $349M. Its commercial business has delivered even better performance, with 33% revenue growth and revenue at $307M, ahead of the forecast by $1M.Commercial revenue was significantly helped by a substantial 55% growth in US Commercial revenue, which reached $159M.Palantir's future depends on its success in growing its commercial segment, which is gaining momentum as the company strengthens its expansion into financial, healthcare, and energy, moving away from a government-dependent revenue structure.Even though government-based contracts are more guaranteed and less cyclical, most of the money is to be made in the commercial segment.In fact, CEO Alex Karp, in a letter to shareholders, highlighted that Palantir's US commercial customer base increased 83% year over year, from 161 customers in Q2 2023 to 295 as of Q2 2024, now making up half of the company's total customer base.Top & Bottom-Line Growth Do Not DisappointLooking forward, Palantir appears to be on a solid footing to continue delivering, with the firm's billing and remaining performance obligations (“RPO”) increasing 19% and 42% YoY, respectively.These two metrics serve for us as evidence of the strong demand for the underlying Palantir's software solutions. This is particularly as Palantir is facing higher demand than it can immediately serve, with customers very likely to stick around given Palantir's software's high switching costs.Thanks to the strong demand, Palantir's management has raised its outlook for FY24 with estimated 2024 sales of $2.75B and $970M in operating income, an increase from the previous expectations of $2.68B of revenue and $874M of operating income.Compared to full-FY23 revenue of $2.23B, this would represent a revenue growth of 23.3% with operating income expected to expand as much as 8x.Nonetheless, given the strong tailwinds the business is experiencing, particularly in the US commercial segment, I expect the company to beat even its revised guidance by the end of this year. I further expect another 20-23% annual revenue growth on tap in the subsequent years.Revenue Growth ExpectationsEven as many growth companies prioritize revenue growth, leaving profitability in the back seat or straight out failing to convert revenue into earnings, that's undoubtedly not Palantir's case.From what we can see below, Palantir's business became profitable on the operating level only in 2023, but operating income has continuously expanded, driven by higher revenue and margins.Revenue & Operating IncomePalantir's operating margins have been continuously improving. Thanks to the attractive unit economics the business can generate from the existing user base by upselling new products, I see margin expansion as the likely path for the company as it grows.Operating MarginValuation Might Act As An Anchor On Future ReturnsThe issue with Palantir's business is not the business itself, but the valuation—an issue we face as investors with most other high-quality companies.Let's first take a look at Palantir's Price-to-Sales valuation:Palantir's management expects the FY24 sales to land at $2.75B, which would imply a P/S ratio of 35x, given the $97B market cap.Analysts are expecting forward FY25 sales to land at $3.32B, a YoY growth of 22%, implying a 14-month forward P/S valuation of 29x.Now, the rich valuation, even for large-cap stock such as Palantir, would be justifiable if the company exhibited massive EPS expansion over the coming years.As per FactSet, analysts are forecasting Palantir's EPS to grow at the following rate:FY24 EPS: $0.35E, YoY growth: 42%FY25 EPS: $0.42E, YoY growth: 19%FY26 EPS: $0.51E, YoY growth: 21%.The growth we see above indeed categorizes Palantir's stock as a genuine growth company. Still, the 20% EPS growth expectations beyond FY24 are, from my perspective, not enough to justify the exuberant valuation the stock carries.Let's look at the following scenarios. How much does Palantir's bottom-line need to expand for the remainder of the decade to justify buying the shares at today's prices?In Scenario 1, if we assume the projected FY24, FY25, and FY26 growth materializes as expected by the analysts and the company grows its EPS at 30% annually for the remainder of the decade, Palantir would need to trade at least at 40x its P/E by the end of 2029 to just break-even on your money or negative real return, if adjusted per inflation.Scenario 1Given the non-existent margin of safety and uncertain future growth, I would aim for at least 20% ROR to justify buying Palantir's shares at today's valuation. If we stick to the same growth assumptions as above, Palantir's shares would need to trade at 100x its earnings by the end of 2029 if I required the stock to deliver at 20% annualized ROR.I am not saying Scenario 2 is impossible to materialize, but hoping for a 100x P/E valuation in 5.5 years is inherently uncertain and risky, and I do not like to bet allocate my heard-earned cash into uncertain promises.Scenario 2Naturally, it's possible that Palantir will beat expectations and grow its bottom line much quicker than expected. In Scenario 3, I am assuming 40% EPS growth between today and the end of 2029, a truly hyper-scaler if this growth materializes. However, even in that case, we would need to see the stock trading at around 50x its earnings if we aimed to achieve at least 16% annualized ROR.Scenario 3This indicates that it is critical to consider the perspective from which we examine Palantir's growth and valuation before making an investment decision.Forecasting Palantir's future growth is inherently uncertain, given its relatively short life as a public company.That's perhaps one reason why analysts' opinions on a short-term price target differ widely. However, the average price target is $27.7/share, implying a more than 30% downside from today's share price.Price TargetInvestor's TakeawayI believe Palantir is well-positioned for long-term success in the software industry, particularly in establishing itself as a leader in AI platforms. Its access to enterprise data is an excellent start for efficient AI data model learning, eventually building a competitive advantage.The company is helping government and commercial companies worldwide convert data into decisions, and Palantir is set to materially benefit from organizations' thirst for data-driven decision-making.I also expect Palantir's consumer footprint to materially increase over the coming years while the business benefits from unit economics, upselling its new product offerings to existing customers and improving profitability.Nevertheless, investors should be cautious about Palantir's valuation. The sky-high expectations are exposing investors to significant risks of permanent capital loss if the growth does not pan out as expected.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358112810098800,"gmtCreate":1728450206470,"gmtModify":1728450211573,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.","listText":"Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.","text":"Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/358112810098800","repostId":"1121241119","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121241119","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1728446400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121241119?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-09 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121241119","media":"Barchart","summary":"Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering astellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&P 500 Index's gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric rise","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering a stellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&amp;P 500 Index&#39;s gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric rise is largely fueled by soaring demand for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP).</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition to solid demand for its products, Palantir’s recent entry in the S&amp;P 500 provided another boost to its stock price.  </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5829831573ce1281091d469af518587c\" tg-width=\"841\" tg-height=\"586\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Although Palantir stock has already gained substantially year-to-date, at least one Wall Street analyst expects the enterprise software company’s stock to reach $50, the Street-high price target. Let’s explore why. </p><h3 id=\"id_848876551\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s Solid Growth Could Boost Stock</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir has been firing on all cylinders with solid momentum in its U.S. commercial and government businesses. With stellar sales growth and strong unit economics, which are expanding its operating margin, Palantir stock could rise further. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In the second quarter of 2024, the company’s top line jumped 27% year-over-year and 7% sequentially. What stands out is that Palantir’s revenue growth has been accelerating steadily over the past several quarters, driven by the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in the enterprise software market. Further, the company delivered this tremendous top-line growth while expanding its adjusted operating margin to 37%, highlighting its solid underlying unit economics.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A key contributor to this growth is Palantir’s AIP, which has been instrumental in securing large contracts. In Q2 2024 alone, the company landed 27 deals valued at $10 million or more, resulting in a total contract value (TCV) of nearly $1 billion. Notably, a significant portion of these contracts are from existing customers, which shows its ability to drive customer retention and higher average revenue per customer. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Customer numbers also continue to grow. Palantir’s customer base increased by 41% year-over-year, reaching 593 by the end of the second quarter. Revenue from its top 20 customers grew 9% from the previous year, generating an average of $57 million per customer.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By segments, the U.S. commercial business has been a significant driver of Palantir’s growth. In Q2 2024, the company’s U.S. commercial revenue soared by 33% compared to last year&#39;s quarter. Additionally, this segment&#39;s annual contract value (ACV) grew by 44% year-over-year. The high demand for Palantir’s AIP solutions from new and existing clients sets the stage for future growth.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s government segment is also thriving. Government-related revenue increased by 23% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. The rising demand for Palantir’s government software offerings suggests further growth potential in this area.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Overall, Palantir’s solid momentum across its U.S. commercial and government segments, strong unit economics, higher adoption of AIP, and notable increases in contract value and customer count will likely support the uptrend in the stock.</p><h3 id=\"id_21246882\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s Key Metrics Remain Strong </h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir is demonstrating solid growth, with key performance indicators pointing to continued strength. By the end of Q2 2024, the company’s total remaining deal value reached $4.3 billion, a 26% increase year-over-year. Moreover, its remaining performance obligations, an indicator of future revenue, surged by 41% to $1.4 billion.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s net dollar retention rate also improved by 300 basis points to 114%, highlighting its ability to maintain revenue from existing customers.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Looking ahead, Palantir&#39;s focus on AI and the growing AI-driven enterprise market presents significant growth opportunities. The recent launch of Warp Speed, a modern manufacturing operating system, is expected to further accelerate its growth.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">With strong operating metrics, a growing customer base, and new product launches, Palantir is well-positioned to deliver solid growth in the upcoming quarters.</p><h3 id=\"id_3158193439\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Can PLTR Stock Hit $50 Per Share?</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">PLTR’s performance in 2024 has been impressive, and the company shows no signs of slowing down. With its AI platform continuing to attract new customers and larger deals from existing ones, Palantir is positioned for further growth. Its strong unit economics, increasing contract value, and expanding customer base all point to continued momentum in the stock.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, for PLTR stock to hit the $50 mark, it would need to rise by another 20.6% from its current price. While the company&#39;s growth story is compelling, much of the optimism is already baked into the stock price. Palantir&#39;s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio currently stands at an eye-popping 31.58, significantly higher than its historical average and the sector median of 2.9. This lofty valuation is a primary reason why most analysts don’t foresee the stock reaching $50 anytime soon.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/554aa6f7a38cb96d9bb1bba7236d4a13\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"742\"/></p><p>Palantir stock has a “Moderate Sell” consensus rating among analysts, and Wall Street&#39;s average price target is $25.87. This suggests a potential downside of about 37.6% from current levels.</p></body></html>","source":"barchart_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-09 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barchart.com/story/news/28946043/will-palantir-stock-hit-the-50-mark><strong>Barchart</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering a stellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&P 500 Index's gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/28946043/will-palantir-stock-hit-the-50-mark\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/28946043/will-palantir-stock-hit-the-50-mark","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121241119","content_text":"Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering a stellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&P 500 Index's gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric rise is largely fueled by soaring demand for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP).In addition to solid demand for its products, Palantir’s recent entry in the S&P 500 provided another boost to its stock price.  Although Palantir stock has already gained substantially year-to-date, at least one Wall Street analyst expects the enterprise software company’s stock to reach $50, the Street-high price target. Let’s explore why. Palantir’s Solid Growth Could Boost StockPalantir has been firing on all cylinders with solid momentum in its U.S. commercial and government businesses. With stellar sales growth and strong unit economics, which are expanding its operating margin, Palantir stock could rise further. In the second quarter of 2024, the company’s top line jumped 27% year-over-year and 7% sequentially. What stands out is that Palantir’s revenue growth has been accelerating steadily over the past several quarters, driven by the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in the enterprise software market. Further, the company delivered this tremendous top-line growth while expanding its adjusted operating margin to 37%, highlighting its solid underlying unit economics.A key contributor to this growth is Palantir’s AIP, which has been instrumental in securing large contracts. In Q2 2024 alone, the company landed 27 deals valued at $10 million or more, resulting in a total contract value (TCV) of nearly $1 billion. Notably, a significant portion of these contracts are from existing customers, which shows its ability to drive customer retention and higher average revenue per customer. Customer numbers also continue to grow. Palantir’s customer base increased by 41% year-over-year, reaching 593 by the end of the second quarter. Revenue from its top 20 customers grew 9% from the previous year, generating an average of $57 million per customer.By segments, the U.S. commercial business has been a significant driver of Palantir’s growth. In Q2 2024, the company’s U.S. commercial revenue soared by 33% compared to last year's quarter. Additionally, this segment's annual contract value (ACV) grew by 44% year-over-year. The high demand for Palantir’s AIP solutions from new and existing clients sets the stage for future growth.Palantir’s government segment is also thriving. Government-related revenue increased by 23% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. The rising demand for Palantir’s government software offerings suggests further growth potential in this area.Overall, Palantir’s solid momentum across its U.S. commercial and government segments, strong unit economics, higher adoption of AIP, and notable increases in contract value and customer count will likely support the uptrend in the stock.Palantir’s Key Metrics Remain Strong Palantir is demonstrating solid growth, with key performance indicators pointing to continued strength. By the end of Q2 2024, the company’s total remaining deal value reached $4.3 billion, a 26% increase year-over-year. Moreover, its remaining performance obligations, an indicator of future revenue, surged by 41% to $1.4 billion.Palantir’s net dollar retention rate also improved by 300 basis points to 114%, highlighting its ability to maintain revenue from existing customers.Looking ahead, Palantir's focus on AI and the growing AI-driven enterprise market presents significant growth opportunities. The recent launch of Warp Speed, a modern manufacturing operating system, is expected to further accelerate its growth.With strong operating metrics, a growing customer base, and new product launches, Palantir is well-positioned to deliver solid growth in the upcoming quarters.Can PLTR Stock Hit $50 Per Share?PLTR’s performance in 2024 has been impressive, and the company shows no signs of slowing down. With its AI platform continuing to attract new customers and larger deals from existing ones, Palantir is positioned for further growth. Its strong unit economics, increasing contract value, and expanding customer base all point to continued momentum in the stock.However, for PLTR stock to hit the $50 mark, it would need to rise by another 20.6% from its current price. While the company's growth story is compelling, much of the optimism is already baked into the stock price. Palantir's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio currently stands at an eye-popping 31.58, significantly higher than its historical average and the sector median of 2.9. This lofty valuation is a primary reason why most analysts don’t foresee the stock reaching $50 anytime soon.Palantir stock has a “Moderate Sell” consensus rating among analysts, and Wall Street's average price target is $25.87. This suggests a potential downside of about 37.6% from current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353239563001944,"gmtCreate":1727247287648,"gmtModify":1727247291329,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We know you missed the boat.. Don't have to sell, try shorting if you're confident.","listText":"We know you missed the boat.. Don't have to sell, try shorting if you're confident.","text":"We know you missed the boat.. Don't have to sell, try shorting if you're confident.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353239563001944","repostId":"1150917086","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150917086","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1727236526,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150917086?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-25 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Insiders Are Selling, And So Am I","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150917086","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySince my last report on PLTR, Palantir's stock has surged by ~35% to $37 per share, catalyzed by multiple partnership announcements, AIPCon event, and inclusion into the S&P 500.Despite Palantir's robust business momentum, its valuation is detached from financial realities, as seen through a reverse DCF model in this note.Insiders are selling aggressively, and I am trimming again. Read on to learn why!Looking for a helping hand in the market?While swathes of investors are chomping at the ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_3740539871\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Since my last report on PLTR, Palantir&#39;s stock has surged by ~35% to $37 per share, catalyzed by multiple partnership announcements, AIPCon event, and inclusion into the S&amp;P 500.</p></li><li><p>Despite Palantir&#39;s robust business momentum, its valuation is detached from financial realities, as seen through a reverse DCF model in this note.</p></li><li><p>Insiders are selling aggressively, and I am trimming again. Read on to learn why!</p></li><li><p>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Quantamental Investor get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_1790837128\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Introduction</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In early August, I downgraded Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) to a tactical &#34;Sell&#34; rating after yet another post-ER pop:</p><blockquote><p><em>As of Q2, Palantir&#39;s business momentum is robust, with the AI/data enterprise software company delivering a solid mix of revenue growth and profitability. While I am impressed with Palantir&#39;s quarterly business performance and management&#39;s forward outlook, PLTR&#39;s valuation is detached from the financial realities of the business. Based on its 5-year expected CAGR return, Palantir stock is virtually dead money.</em></p><p><strong><em>Key Takeaway:</em></strong><em> Due to unfavorable long-term risk/reward, I am downgrading Palantir Technologies Inc. stock to a tactical &#34;Sell&#34; at $27.7 per share.</em></p></blockquote><p>Since the publication of this report, Palantir stock has shot up by ~35% to $37 per share, with bidding up PLTR stock from ~25x P/S to ~36x P/S on the back of exciting partnership announcements [like Microsoft, BP], Palantir&#39;s AIPCon event, and yesterday&#39;s inclusion to the S&amp;P 500 (SPX)(SPY).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/da2dc88b6b3cb0f57f42e146e39d76c1\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"439\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Given Palantir&#39;s bullish price action, trimming in the $20s looks like a mistake. However, at TQI, we invest and divest based on long-term risk/reward and do so in a staggered manner.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0f4e6824a674543bde8f28ee2223fb94\" alt=\"Palantir Trade Activity (TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth Portfolio)\" title=\"Palantir Trade Activity (TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth Portfolio)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\"/><span>Palantir Trade Activity (TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth Portfolio)</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf020a08ccfe438cab68f623d042112a\" alt=\"Current Palantir Position (TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth Portfolio)\" title=\"Current Palantir Position (TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth Portfolio)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"143\"/><span>Current Palantir Position (TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth Portfolio)</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2454cd980c7c997c386b9353acb1544d\" alt=\"TQI Chats\" title=\"TQI Chats\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"189\"/><span>TQI Chats</span></p><p>After trimming Palantir on three separate occasions this year, we have divested our principal investment in PLTR stock. While I have stuck with our plan of letting the house money ride since our last sale in early August, Palantir&#39;s current weight [2.84%] in our Moonshot Growth portfolio is well above our target allocation of 2%. And so, in light of PLTR&#39;s explosive run-up over the past month or so, I think it is time for a re-evaluation!</p><h2 id=\"id_2266121478\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Is Palantir&#39;s Trading Multiple Expansion Justified?</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While swathes of investors are chomping at the bit to buy PLTR stock right now at an exorbitant ~36x P/S multiple, it wasn&#39;t long ago that PLTR was trading at just ~5-6x P/S, and at the time, few buyers were to be found.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a7f5e52aa8d154a702a23bd415a4c3b\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"439\"/><span>Chart</span></p><h3 id=\"id_736216749\" style=\"text-align: left;\">So, what&#39;s changed?</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Well, for starters, Palantir has re-accelerated top-line growth in recent quarters [driven by Palantir AIP-led hypergrowth in US Commercial revenues] and turned into a free cash flow generating machine!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/97754c076efca04b6521a4e311642600\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>And, with Palantir AIP [artificial intelligence platform] rapidly gaining traction among large enterprise customers, consensus revenue and earnings expectations for Palantir have been climbing higher, as evidenced by these broadly positive quarterly revision trends.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d8cafc46e7f49f03a9412e84722a1e09\" alt=\"Palantir&#39;s Quarterly Earnings Forecasts\" title=\"Palantir&#39;s Quarterly Earnings Forecasts\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"433\"/><span>Palantir&#39;s Quarterly Earnings Forecasts</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ded52d7271912c011ecadd08cea44556\" alt=\"Palantir&#39;s Quarterly Revenue Forecasts\" title=\"Palantir&#39;s Quarterly Revenue Forecasts\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\"/><span>Palantir&#39;s Quarterly Revenue Forecasts</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As I shared in my Q2 review, Palantir is showing robust momentum from a business standpoint. Today, Palantir is one of the few recognizable early winners in the AI era. As such, investors are willing to pay 36x sales for the data/AI/ML company. However, valuations are inherently subjective. While financial metrics like revenue, profit, and growth rates provide objective data, their interpretation and weight in determining a company&#39;s worth vary significantly. Factors such as market trends, industry competition, potential future earnings, and even investors&#39; personal preferences can influence how a company is valued at any given point in time.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In my view, the efficient market hypothesis is a fallacy, as stocks could easily get detached from their intrinsic values and stay at elevated or depressed levels for long periods of time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/972037d82629b842a156b8e15ddcdb3a\" alt=\"Palantir&#39;s Annual Revenue Forecasts\" title=\"Palantir&#39;s Annual Revenue Forecasts\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"342\"/><span>Palantir&#39;s Annual Revenue Forecasts</span></p><p>Despite Palantir&#39;s robust margin profile, its trading multiple is out of whack with forward growth estimates [5-year expected CAGR sales growth: ~20%]. Let&#39;s visualize this through a reverse DCF model.</p><h2 id=\"id_3381752563\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir Reverse DCF Model</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For this exercise, I modeled PLTR with a 2024E revenue base of $2.76B [up from $2.75B] and assumed an optimized FCF margin of 35% [significantly higher than current margins]. All other assumptions are straightforward and self-explanatory, but if you have any questions, please share them in the comments section below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c8441e739850be681d71391f4c23ec14\" alt=\"TQI Valuation Model TQI Valuation Model\" title=\"TQI Valuation Model TQI Valuation Model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"573\"/><span>TQI Valuation Model TQI Valuation Model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">According to this reverse DCF model result, the market is currently pricing a 5-year CAGR sales growth rate of 50.68% into Palantir&#39;s stock!</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">With consensus analyst estimates suggesting a 5-year CAGR sales growth rate of ~20%, there&#39;s a spectacular mismatch between business realities (as measured by several Wall Street analysts) and market pricing of PLTR stock.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Now, can all analysts be wrong? Sure, forward analyst estimates can be wrong for Palantir or any stock out there. However, a 36x P/S and 126x P/FCF multiple is rare, and Palantir isn&#39;t quite delivering hypergrowth [growing at ~27% y/y] to justify such outrageous valuation multiples.</p><h2 id=\"id_3873715439\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Insiders Get It And Are Selling Aggressively</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir&#39;s dynamic CEO, Alex Karp, seemingly never fails to hype up Palantir&#39;s business prospects during media appearances and earnings conference calls. However, he just sold ~8.7M PLTR shares worth over $300M under a 10b5-1 trading plan soon after exercising stock options.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a3ebc2141740da0fe5ab4c41be5e196\" alt=\"Palantir Insider selling\" title=\"Palantir Insider selling\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"551\"/><span>Palantir Insider selling</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">And Karp isn&#39;t alone. Palantir&#39;s co-founder and legendary tech investor - Peter Thiel - recently filed a new 10b5-1 trading plan to sell up to 28.5M PLTR shares (worth up to ~$1B) in the near future!</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">But, AI, AI, AI?</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Look, Palantir is a great company, and its AI potential is real. However, current market pricing for PLTR stock is irrationally exuberant. Palantir insiders understand this reality and are selling aggressively.</p><h2 id=\"id_3839645096\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Concluding Thoughts</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Recent S&amp;P 500 index inclusions like Uber (UBER) have showcased active investors&#39; affinity to front-run passive index investors - boosting stock prices (and consequently, valuation multiples) ahead of index inclusion dates and then selling into forced buying from rules-based indexers.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In my view, a good chunk of Palantir&#39;s latest leg up is a result of this dynamic!</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9d8859609fe3a8959adadbe3f38c7cad\" alt=\"Author, TrendSpider\" title=\"Author, TrendSpider\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\"/><span>Author, TrendSpider</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">From a technical standpoint, Palantir is enjoying strong price momentum right now; however, with weekly RSI in overbought territory (&gt;70) and PLTR&#39;s price diverging from RSI, a corrective pullback could be just around the corner, especially now that Palantir&#39;s inclusion into the S&amp;P 500 index is completed.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Based on reasonable assumptions for future growth [5-year CAGR sales growth: 25%] and margins [FCF margin: 35%], TQI&#39;s fair value estimate for Palantir stands at $15.33 per share.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25671b630b966bd6c10d93685badec5e\" alt=\"TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)\" title=\"TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"575\"/><span>TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Given its recent run-up from $27 to $37 per share, Palantir&#39;s potential downside to our fair value estimate has increased from -45% at our previous assessment to -59%!</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Now, as I have said in the past, we shouldn&#39;t dismiss the idea of investing in Palantir solely due to its premium valuation, as history shows that winning stocks can be overvalued for long periods [e.g., Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), etc.]. So, let&#39;s take a look at Palantir&#39;s long-term risk/reward to formulate an informed decision:</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Assuming an aggressive exit multiple of 25x P/FCF, I see Palantir stock declining from $37 to $32.5 per share at a CAGR rate of -2.7% by 2029.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95857aa50ede9e240b66004f8f560556\" alt=\"TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)\" title=\"TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\"/><span>TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Despite modeling Palantir with above-consensus assumptions, the expected 5-year CAGR return for PLTR stock is abysmal. In fact, with a negative expected 5-year CAGR return, Palantir looks worse than dead money.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As we saw in this note, Palantir insiders are selling right now, and I think it is for a good reason. While I am open to continuously re-evaluating Palantir over coming months and quarters as new financial information comes to light, at this point, I continue to view PLTR stock as a tactical &#34;Sell&#34; and we will trim our PLTR long position again at TQI over the next few days.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Key Takeaway:</strong> Due to unfavorable long-term risk/reward, I continue to rate Palantir Technologies Inc. stock a tactical &#34;Sell&#34; at $37 per share.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Insiders Are Selling, And So Am I</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Insiders Are Selling, And So Am I\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-25 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722770-palantir-insiders-are-selling-and-so-am-i><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySince my last report on PLTR, Palantir's stock has surged by ~35% to $37 per share, catalyzed by multiple partnership announcements, AIPCon event, and inclusion into the S&P 500.Despite ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722770-palantir-insiders-are-selling-and-so-am-i\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722770-palantir-insiders-are-selling-and-so-am-i","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1150917086","content_text":"SummarySince my last report on PLTR, Palantir's stock has surged by ~35% to $37 per share, catalyzed by multiple partnership announcements, AIPCon event, and inclusion into the S&P 500.Despite Palantir's robust business momentum, its valuation is detached from financial realities, as seen through a reverse DCF model in this note.Insiders are selling aggressively, and I am trimming again. Read on to learn why!Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Quantamental Investor get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.IntroductionIn early August, I downgraded Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) to a tactical \"Sell\" rating after yet another post-ER pop:As of Q2, Palantir's business momentum is robust, with the AI/data enterprise software company delivering a solid mix of revenue growth and profitability. While I am impressed with Palantir's quarterly business performance and management's forward outlook, PLTR's valuation is detached from the financial realities of the business. Based on its 5-year expected CAGR return, Palantir stock is virtually dead money.Key Takeaway: Due to unfavorable long-term risk/reward, I am downgrading Palantir Technologies Inc. stock to a tactical \"Sell\" at $27.7 per share.Since the publication of this report, Palantir stock has shot up by ~35% to $37 per share, with bidding up PLTR stock from ~25x P/S to ~36x P/S on the back of exciting partnership announcements [like Microsoft, BP], Palantir's AIPCon event, and yesterday's inclusion to the S&P 500 (SPX)(SPY).ChartGiven Palantir's bullish price action, trimming in the $20s looks like a mistake. However, at TQI, we invest and divest based on long-term risk/reward and do so in a staggered manner.Palantir Trade Activity (TQI's Moonshot Growth Portfolio)Current Palantir Position (TQI's Moonshot Growth Portfolio)TQI ChatsAfter trimming Palantir on three separate occasions this year, we have divested our principal investment in PLTR stock. While I have stuck with our plan of letting the house money ride since our last sale in early August, Palantir's current weight [2.84%] in our Moonshot Growth portfolio is well above our target allocation of 2%. And so, in light of PLTR's explosive run-up over the past month or so, I think it is time for a re-evaluation!Is Palantir's Trading Multiple Expansion Justified?While swathes of investors are chomping at the bit to buy PLTR stock right now at an exorbitant ~36x P/S multiple, it wasn't long ago that PLTR was trading at just ~5-6x P/S, and at the time, few buyers were to be found.ChartSo, what's changed?Well, for starters, Palantir has re-accelerated top-line growth in recent quarters [driven by Palantir AIP-led hypergrowth in US Commercial revenues] and turned into a free cash flow generating machine!ChartAnd, with Palantir AIP [artificial intelligence platform] rapidly gaining traction among large enterprise customers, consensus revenue and earnings expectations for Palantir have been climbing higher, as evidenced by these broadly positive quarterly revision trends.Palantir's Quarterly Earnings ForecastsPalantir's Quarterly Revenue ForecastsAs I shared in my Q2 review, Palantir is showing robust momentum from a business standpoint. Today, Palantir is one of the few recognizable early winners in the AI era. As such, investors are willing to pay 36x sales for the data/AI/ML company. However, valuations are inherently subjective. While financial metrics like revenue, profit, and growth rates provide objective data, their interpretation and weight in determining a company's worth vary significantly. Factors such as market trends, industry competition, potential future earnings, and even investors' personal preferences can influence how a company is valued at any given point in time.In my view, the efficient market hypothesis is a fallacy, as stocks could easily get detached from their intrinsic values and stay at elevated or depressed levels for long periods of time.Palantir's Annual Revenue ForecastsDespite Palantir's robust margin profile, its trading multiple is out of whack with forward growth estimates [5-year expected CAGR sales growth: ~20%]. Let's visualize this through a reverse DCF model.Palantir Reverse DCF ModelFor this exercise, I modeled PLTR with a 2024E revenue base of $2.76B [up from $2.75B] and assumed an optimized FCF margin of 35% [significantly higher than current margins]. All other assumptions are straightforward and self-explanatory, but if you have any questions, please share them in the comments section below.TQI Valuation Model TQI Valuation ModelAccording to this reverse DCF model result, the market is currently pricing a 5-year CAGR sales growth rate of 50.68% into Palantir's stock!With consensus analyst estimates suggesting a 5-year CAGR sales growth rate of ~20%, there's a spectacular mismatch between business realities (as measured by several Wall Street analysts) and market pricing of PLTR stock.Now, can all analysts be wrong? Sure, forward analyst estimates can be wrong for Palantir or any stock out there. However, a 36x P/S and 126x P/FCF multiple is rare, and Palantir isn't quite delivering hypergrowth [growing at ~27% y/y] to justify such outrageous valuation multiples.Insiders Get It And Are Selling AggressivelyPalantir's dynamic CEO, Alex Karp, seemingly never fails to hype up Palantir's business prospects during media appearances and earnings conference calls. However, he just sold ~8.7M PLTR shares worth over $300M under a 10b5-1 trading plan soon after exercising stock options.Palantir Insider sellingAnd Karp isn't alone. Palantir's co-founder and legendary tech investor - Peter Thiel - recently filed a new 10b5-1 trading plan to sell up to 28.5M PLTR shares (worth up to ~$1B) in the near future!But, AI, AI, AI?Look, Palantir is a great company, and its AI potential is real. However, current market pricing for PLTR stock is irrationally exuberant. Palantir insiders understand this reality and are selling aggressively.Concluding ThoughtsRecent S&P 500 index inclusions like Uber (UBER) have showcased active investors' affinity to front-run passive index investors - boosting stock prices (and consequently, valuation multiples) ahead of index inclusion dates and then selling into forced buying from rules-based indexers.In my view, a good chunk of Palantir's latest leg up is a result of this dynamic!Author, TrendSpiderFrom a technical standpoint, Palantir is enjoying strong price momentum right now; however, with weekly RSI in overbought territory (>70) and PLTR's price diverging from RSI, a corrective pullback could be just around the corner, especially now that Palantir's inclusion into the S&P 500 index is completed.Based on reasonable assumptions for future growth [5-year CAGR sales growth: 25%] and margins [FCF margin: 35%], TQI's fair value estimate for Palantir stands at $15.33 per share.TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)Given its recent run-up from $27 to $37 per share, Palantir's potential downside to our fair value estimate has increased from -45% at our previous assessment to -59%!Now, as I have said in the past, we shouldn't dismiss the idea of investing in Palantir solely due to its premium valuation, as history shows that winning stocks can be overvalued for long periods [e.g., Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), etc.]. So, let's take a look at Palantir's long-term risk/reward to formulate an informed decision:Assuming an aggressive exit multiple of 25x P/FCF, I see Palantir stock declining from $37 to $32.5 per share at a CAGR rate of -2.7% by 2029.TQI Valuation Model (Free to use at TQIG.org)Despite modeling Palantir with above-consensus assumptions, the expected 5-year CAGR return for PLTR stock is abysmal. In fact, with a negative expected 5-year CAGR return, Palantir looks worse than dead money.As we saw in this note, Palantir insiders are selling right now, and I think it is for a good reason. While I am open to continuously re-evaluating Palantir over coming months and quarters as new financial information comes to light, at this point, I continue to view PLTR stock as a tactical \"Sell\" and we will trim our PLTR long position again at TQI over the next few days.Key Takeaway: Due to unfavorable long-term risk/reward, I continue to rate Palantir Technologies Inc. stock a tactical \"Sell\" at $37 per share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353035905929256,"gmtCreate":1727199594462,"gmtModify":1727199599533,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nvidia is going nowhere.. Jensen knew the future is foggy with political rivals and challenges. Better be safe than sorry","listText":"Nvidia is going nowhere.. Jensen knew the future is foggy with political rivals and challenges. Better be safe than sorry","text":"Nvidia is going nowhere.. Jensen knew the future is foggy with political rivals and challenges. Better be safe than sorry","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353035905929256","repostId":"1189014748","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189014748","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1727190900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189014748?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-24 23:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Sold $713 Million of Stock. He’s Done—for Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189014748","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang just wrapped up the sale of six million shares of the chip maker, completing a trading plan he adopted earlier in the year—and grossing more than $700 million.Nvidia didn’t mak","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang just wrapped up the sale of six million shares of the chip maker, completing a trading plan he adopted earlier in the year—and grossing more than $700 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec8363e2e5e728896c1f9881cf1c5865\" alt=\"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang\" title=\"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang\" tg-width=\"932\" tg-height=\"639\"/><span>Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nvidia didn’t make Huang available for comment, and the company also declined to comment.</p><p>Huang sold shares from June 14 through Sept. 13, in transactions for as few as 70 shares and as many as 75,300, and at prices as low as $91.72 on Aug. 5 and as high as $140.24 on June 20.</p><p>In all, he grossed $713 million through stock sales executed by his Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, an average price of $118.83 each. The plan was set to be effective through March 2025, but it sold all of the allotted shares six months before expiration.</p><p>Huang’s plan sold shares from a personal account that now owns 75.4 million Nvidia shares, according to a form he filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. He also owns 786 million company shares through trusts and partnerships.</p><p>Huang is the largest individual owner of Nvidia stock, according to Nvidia’s latest proxy statement, owning a 3.8% stake as of the end of March, before his 2024 stock sales.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In Tuesday trading, Nvidia stock was about flat at $116.10.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nvidia’s share price has been volatile, as reflected in Huang’s sale prices, but they continue to sport a 135% gain for the year to date, crushing the 20% rise in the index.</p><p>Trading plans automatically execute stock trades when preset conditions, such as price and volume, are met. They are intended to remove any advantage an insider may have from knowledge of material nonpublic information.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Huang could adopt another plan to sell even more shares, but his 2024 transactions already dwarf what he sold last year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In 2023, he sold 237,500 Nvidia shares, all in the month of September, for $110 million, an average price of $463.95 each. That share count and price was before a 10-for-one stock split that was effective in early June. The 2023 sales were also planned transactions, ones that involved acquiring stock through the use of options.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Sold $713 Million of Stock. He’s Done—for Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia CEO Jensen Huang Sold $713 Million of Stock. He’s Done—for Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-09-24 23:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang just wrapped up the sale of six million shares of the chip maker, completing a trading plan he adopted earlier in the year—and grossing more than $700 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec8363e2e5e728896c1f9881cf1c5865\" alt=\"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang\" title=\"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang\" tg-width=\"932\" tg-height=\"639\"/><span>Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nvidia didn’t make Huang available for comment, and the company also declined to comment.</p><p>Huang sold shares from June 14 through Sept. 13, in transactions for as few as 70 shares and as many as 75,300, and at prices as low as $91.72 on Aug. 5 and as high as $140.24 on June 20.</p><p>In all, he grossed $713 million through stock sales executed by his Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, an average price of $118.83 each. The plan was set to be effective through March 2025, but it sold all of the allotted shares six months before expiration.</p><p>Huang’s plan sold shares from a personal account that now owns 75.4 million Nvidia shares, according to a form he filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. He also owns 786 million company shares through trusts and partnerships.</p><p>Huang is the largest individual owner of Nvidia stock, according to Nvidia’s latest proxy statement, owning a 3.8% stake as of the end of March, before his 2024 stock sales.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In Tuesday trading, Nvidia stock was about flat at $116.10.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nvidia’s share price has been volatile, as reflected in Huang’s sale prices, but they continue to sport a 135% gain for the year to date, crushing the 20% rise in the index.</p><p>Trading plans automatically execute stock trades when preset conditions, such as price and volume, are met. They are intended to remove any advantage an insider may have from knowledge of material nonpublic information.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Huang could adopt another plan to sell even more shares, but his 2024 transactions already dwarf what he sold last year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In 2023, he sold 237,500 Nvidia shares, all in the month of September, for $110 million, an average price of $463.95 each. That share count and price was before a 10-for-one stock split that was effective in early June. The 2023 sales were also planned transactions, ones that involved acquiring stock through the use of options.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189014748","content_text":"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang just wrapped up the sale of six million shares of the chip maker, completing a trading plan he adopted earlier in the year—and grossing more than $700 million.Nvidia CEO Jensen HuangNvidia didn’t make Huang available for comment, and the company also declined to comment.Huang sold shares from June 14 through Sept. 13, in transactions for as few as 70 shares and as many as 75,300, and at prices as low as $91.72 on Aug. 5 and as high as $140.24 on June 20.In all, he grossed $713 million through stock sales executed by his Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, an average price of $118.83 each. The plan was set to be effective through March 2025, but it sold all of the allotted shares six months before expiration.Huang’s plan sold shares from a personal account that now owns 75.4 million Nvidia shares, according to a form he filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. He also owns 786 million company shares through trusts and partnerships.Huang is the largest individual owner of Nvidia stock, according to Nvidia’s latest proxy statement, owning a 3.8% stake as of the end of March, before his 2024 stock sales.In Tuesday trading, Nvidia stock was about flat at $116.10.Nvidia’s share price has been volatile, as reflected in Huang’s sale prices, but they continue to sport a 135% gain for the year to date, crushing the 20% rise in the index.Trading plans automatically execute stock trades when preset conditions, such as price and volume, are met. They are intended to remove any advantage an insider may have from knowledge of material nonpublic information.Huang could adopt another plan to sell even more shares, but his 2024 transactions already dwarf what he sold last year.In 2023, he sold 237,500 Nvidia shares, all in the month of September, for $110 million, an average price of $463.95 each. That share count and price was before a 10-for-one stock split that was effective in early June. The 2023 sales were also planned transactions, ones that involved acquiring stock through the use of options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351491626324072,"gmtCreate":1726852044290,"gmtModify":1726852048363,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...","listText":"Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...","text":"Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351491626324072","repostId":"2468521616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2468521616","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726845666,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2468521616?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-20 23:21","market":"nz","language":"en","title":"Palantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468521616","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More Investment ThesisPalantir  is today a crowd favorite. It has amassed an amazing army of devoted investors.And yet, its captain has just unloaded about 10% of his holding. Does this inspire belief in the company?In time the stock moved higher and higher, but its path was so volatile, that it ensured that nearly nobody would have held on to PLTR. Indeed, I recognize that the majority of investors onl","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_2026190940\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Inflection investing is challenging and often involves making unpopular decisions that others may not understand.</p></li><li><p>Recommending a stock can be unpopular because it involves seeing potential others can&#39;t.</p></li><li><p>Alex Karp selling 10% of his stake raises concerns for me; when the captain jumps ship, it often signals rough waters ahead.</p></li><li><p>At 54x forward free cash flow, Palantir is no longer undervalued, and my strategy demands I rotate capital into more favorable opportunities.</p></li><li><p>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_891944106\">Investment Thesis</h2><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is today a crowd favorite. It has amassed an amazing army of devoted investors.</p><p>And yet, its captain has just unloaded about 10% of his holding. Does this inspire belief in the company? Or does it further nuance to what was already a highly contentious stock?</p><p>Having previously been a strong proponent of PLTR, I explain why Deep Value Returns recently sold out of PLTR, as I believed that paying more than 50x next year&#39;s free cash flow didn&#39;t make enough sense to me.</p><h2 id=\"id_3596142902\">Rapid Recap</h2><p>I recommended Palantir to subscribers of Deep Value Returns at $10 per share.</p><p>I also subsequently posted this on SA, in November 2023:</p><blockquote><p><em>For detractors of the stock, they&#39;ll be quick to remark that stock-based compensation, or SBC, continues to be excessive. However, I don&#39;t believe investors at this point mind. Why?</em></p><p><em>Not only is this element already priced in, but the fact that Palantir is already GAAP profitable largely does away with this bearish concern.</em></p><p><em>Altogether, I continue to declare that I believe this is a good time to buy Palantir, as the stock continues to demonstrate clear end-customer diversification as well as meaningful growth opportunities.</em></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b10ba20aa66b2cd7ca6f341d4c016951\" alt=\"Author&#39;s work on PLTR\" title=\"Author&#39;s work on PLTR\" tg-width=\"324\" tg-height=\"415\"/><span>Author&#39;s work on PLTR</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Author&#39;s work on PLTR</strong></p></blockquote><p>Allow me to explain, <em>Inflection investing</em> is a lonely road. You are always making unpopular decisions.</p><p><em>You are unpopular when you recommend the stock because you see what others can&#39;t. You are unpopular when you sell the stock because you can&#39;t see what others do.</em></p><p>The return is made in the middle because hero investors end up as zero investors.</p><p>The moment I recommended PLTR, it fell from $10 to $7 per share. Naturally, my timing sucked. It was such an unpopular recommendation!</p><p>In time the stock moved higher and higher, but its path was so volatile, that it ensured that nearly nobody would have held on to PLTR. Indeed, I recognize that the majority of investors only invest with stop losses, and since PLTR was so volatile, I do not believe that anyone managed to make even 50% of what I made here.</p><p>But this makes sense, investing is difficult. Here&#39;s the thing, inflection investing succeeds best when I&#39;m making unpopular decisions.</p><h2 id=\"id_559688580\">Latest Development; Captain Starts To Sail Off</h2><p>SA reports there&#39;s a 10 million block sale by an unnamed person. Meanwhile, from my understanding, I can only see 9 million shares being sold from Alex Karp and a substantially smaller figure from Lauren Friedman.</p><p>Not quite sure where that 1 million shares came from that SA reports, but I don&#39;t believe that matters all that much at this point, for our discussion.</p><p>Meanwhile, in the interest of balance, I want to remark something that many investors will have forgotten.</p><p>If you zoom in on the table below, you&#39;ll see that Alex Karp has somewhere around 90 million shares. Hence, this sale is for around <em>10% of his holding</em>.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cba14728922433bdc14e698ff48b39ec\" alt=\"SEC filing; proxy statement\" title=\"SEC filing; proxy statement\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/><span>SEC filing; proxy statement</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>SEC filing; proxy statement</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Consequently, I wouldn&#39;t be too quick to read into the headlines that everything has changed from management&#39;s perspective, despite a couple of insiders selling out of PLTR.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Nevertheless, I wish to explain why I sold my ownership of PLTR.</p><h2 id=\"id_4058245110\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Why I Sold Palantir</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir&#39;s Q2 2024 did not increase its free cash flow guidance beyond the midpoint of $900 million. However, given that its topline is now expected to increase so significantly compared with its earlier guidance, I now believe it <em>makes more sense to embrace Palantir&#39;s high end of its free cash flow guidance.</em> Hence, we should expect approximately $1 billion of free cash flow from Palantir in 2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Moreover, as we look out to 2025, given Palantir&#39;s increased scale, together with its strong growth rates, I believe that Palantir&#39;s free cash flow could reach $1.5 billion in 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">This means that Palantir is being priced at approximately 54x next year&#39;s free cash flow. This doesn&#39;t strike me as all that expensive, for what it offers. Indeed, I could quite easily make the argument that there&#39;s still more upside potential here.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">But at the same time, I don&#39;t want to be complacent. I know that the market is brutal. And it&#39;s very important to stick with my inflection investing strategy. As such, you can never rest on your laurels. You have to always be moving capital around, keeping only names that are extremely undervalued in the portfolio.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For those interested, I deployed my capital into Peloton (PTON). And you may contend that PTON has nothing in common with the almighty PLTR. Did I simply misspell PLTR? Jesting aside, I believe that Palantir&#39;s risk-reward isn&#39;t all that compelling right now.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Yes, it&#39;s not completely shocking to pay 54x forward free cash flow for Palantir. I continue to believe that its prospects are very interesting over the long term. But as an Inflection investor, I must always be thinking about investing as a game of odds. Of risk versus reward. Am I being sufficiently compensated for the potential reward? And I don&#39;t believe I am.</p><h2 id=\"id_2665484222\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The Bottom Line</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As an inflection investor, my strategy revolves around making difficult, often contrarian, decisions at key moments of change in a company&#39;s narrative.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">I make moves when others are either overly enthusiastic or too pessimistic, always seeking value where it is hidden.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir has been an exciting journey, but the fact that its CEO, Alex Karp, sold 10% of his stake should raise questions from its shareholders.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While some might view this sale as insignificant, it signals to me that even the captain may not be fully confident in the ship&#39;s future course. Combined with the high valuation and the uncertainties ahead, this diminishes the investment&#39;s appeal.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In investing, it&#39;s important to know when to hold &#39;em and when to fold &#39;em - and right now, the odds for Palantir just aren&#39;t stacked in my favor. In short, I&#39;d rather be ahead of the curve than left behind on a sinking ship!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-20 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722246-palantir-stock-ceo-unloads-telling-inflection-point-downgrade-sell><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryInflection investing is challenging and often involves making unpopular decisions that others may not understand.Recommending a stock can be unpopular because it involves seeing potential ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722246-palantir-stock-ceo-unloads-telling-inflection-point-downgrade-sell\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4543":"AI","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4588":"碎股","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4023":"应用软件"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722246-palantir-stock-ceo-unloads-telling-inflection-point-downgrade-sell","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2468521616","content_text":"SummaryInflection investing is challenging and often involves making unpopular decisions that others may not understand.Recommending a stock can be unpopular because it involves seeing potential others can't.Alex Karp selling 10% of his stake raises concerns for me; when the captain jumps ship, it often signals rough waters ahead.At 54x forward free cash flow, Palantir is no longer undervalued, and my strategy demands I rotate capital into more favorable opportunities.Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »Investment ThesisPalantir (NYSE:PLTR) is today a crowd favorite. It has amassed an amazing army of devoted investors.And yet, its captain has just unloaded about 10% of his holding. Does this inspire belief in the company? Or does it further nuance to what was already a highly contentious stock?Having previously been a strong proponent of PLTR, I explain why Deep Value Returns recently sold out of PLTR, as I believed that paying more than 50x next year's free cash flow didn't make enough sense to me.Rapid RecapI recommended Palantir to subscribers of Deep Value Returns at $10 per share.I also subsequently posted this on SA, in November 2023:For detractors of the stock, they'll be quick to remark that stock-based compensation, or SBC, continues to be excessive. However, I don't believe investors at this point mind. Why?Not only is this element already priced in, but the fact that Palantir is already GAAP profitable largely does away with this bearish concern.Altogether, I continue to declare that I believe this is a good time to buy Palantir, as the stock continues to demonstrate clear end-customer diversification as well as meaningful growth opportunities.Author's work on PLTRAuthor's work on PLTRAllow me to explain, Inflection investing is a lonely road. You are always making unpopular decisions.You are unpopular when you recommend the stock because you see what others can't. You are unpopular when you sell the stock because you can't see what others do.The return is made in the middle because hero investors end up as zero investors.The moment I recommended PLTR, it fell from $10 to $7 per share. Naturally, my timing sucked. It was such an unpopular recommendation!In time the stock moved higher and higher, but its path was so volatile, that it ensured that nearly nobody would have held on to PLTR. Indeed, I recognize that the majority of investors only invest with stop losses, and since PLTR was so volatile, I do not believe that anyone managed to make even 50% of what I made here.But this makes sense, investing is difficult. Here's the thing, inflection investing succeeds best when I'm making unpopular decisions.Latest Development; Captain Starts To Sail OffSA reports there's a 10 million block sale by an unnamed person. Meanwhile, from my understanding, I can only see 9 million shares being sold from Alex Karp and a substantially smaller figure from Lauren Friedman.Not quite sure where that 1 million shares came from that SA reports, but I don't believe that matters all that much at this point, for our discussion.Meanwhile, in the interest of balance, I want to remark something that many investors will have forgotten.If you zoom in on the table below, you'll see that Alex Karp has somewhere around 90 million shares. Hence, this sale is for around 10% of his holding.SEC filing; proxy statementSEC filing; proxy statementConsequently, I wouldn't be too quick to read into the headlines that everything has changed from management's perspective, despite a couple of insiders selling out of PLTR.Nevertheless, I wish to explain why I sold my ownership of PLTR.Why I Sold PalantirPalantir's Q2 2024 did not increase its free cash flow guidance beyond the midpoint of $900 million. However, given that its topline is now expected to increase so significantly compared with its earlier guidance, I now believe it makes more sense to embrace Palantir's high end of its free cash flow guidance. Hence, we should expect approximately $1 billion of free cash flow from Palantir in 2024.Moreover, as we look out to 2025, given Palantir's increased scale, together with its strong growth rates, I believe that Palantir's free cash flow could reach $1.5 billion in 2025.This means that Palantir is being priced at approximately 54x next year's free cash flow. This doesn't strike me as all that expensive, for what it offers. Indeed, I could quite easily make the argument that there's still more upside potential here.But at the same time, I don't want to be complacent. I know that the market is brutal. And it's very important to stick with my inflection investing strategy. As such, you can never rest on your laurels. You have to always be moving capital around, keeping only names that are extremely undervalued in the portfolio.For those interested, I deployed my capital into Peloton (PTON). And you may contend that PTON has nothing in common with the almighty PLTR. Did I simply misspell PLTR? Jesting aside, I believe that Palantir's risk-reward isn't all that compelling right now.Yes, it's not completely shocking to pay 54x forward free cash flow for Palantir. I continue to believe that its prospects are very interesting over the long term. But as an Inflection investor, I must always be thinking about investing as a game of odds. Of risk versus reward. Am I being sufficiently compensated for the potential reward? And I don't believe I am.The Bottom LineAs an inflection investor, my strategy revolves around making difficult, often contrarian, decisions at key moments of change in a company's narrative.I make moves when others are either overly enthusiastic or too pessimistic, always seeking value where it is hidden.Palantir has been an exciting journey, but the fact that its CEO, Alex Karp, sold 10% of his stake should raise questions from its shareholders.While some might view this sale as insignificant, it signals to me that even the captain may not be fully confident in the ship's future course. Combined with the high valuation and the uncertainties ahead, this diminishes the investment's appeal.In investing, it's important to know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em - and right now, the odds for Palantir just aren't stacked in my favor. In short, I'd rather be ahead of the curve than left behind on a sinking ship!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351066685906952,"gmtCreate":1726720648355,"gmtModify":1726720652803,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"You can't see AI in your playbook though... Enough of those analysts predictions, how many had already burnt themselves for shorting this stock..","listText":"You can't see AI in your playbook though... Enough of those analysts predictions, how many had already burnt themselves for shorting this stock..","text":"You can't see AI in your playbook though... Enough of those analysts predictions, how many had already burnt themselves for shorting this stock..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351066685906952","repostId":"1160051846","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1160051846","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1726648321,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160051846?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-18 16:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: 200 Times Earnings Is Too Much!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160051846","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir is reporting great quarterly results and growth rates are accelerating.Palantir might profit from the world getting more chaotic, but commercial revenue might see lower growth rates du","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1272912556\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir is reporting great quarterly results and growth rates are accelerating.</p></li><li><p>Palantir might profit from the world getting more chaotic, but commercial revenue might see lower growth rates due to the looming recession in the United States.</p></li><li><p>But even when being optimistic about Palantir growing with a high pace, the current stock price is not justified in any way making it not a good investment.</p></li></ul><p>If you want to criticize me – and you certainly can as not every investing decision or analysis is right (but it doesn’t have to be to make money) – you can point out that I have been constantly wrong about Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) as an investment in the last two years. And I certainly must admit that my “Hold” rating in the last articles was not the way to make money. If you invested in Palantir anyway at the point when my articles were published, these trades would have been very profitable. And not only would you have made money, but also clearly outperformed the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p>Especially my article in November 2022, in which I argued that I am still not willing to gamble, did not age well. Since then, the stock increased almost 400% in less than two years, and it would have been a great investment. And we could leave it at that: I was wrong about Palantir and did not get the business and did not understand what a great investment the stock was.</p><h2 id=\"id_1966644570\">How the Stock Market Works</h2><p>However, we all know how the stock market and investing works. And we all know the fundamental distinction between investors and traders. Very seldom stocks are trading for a price we can see as the fair value of a stock. In most cases, the stock is either over- or undervalued and sentiment surrounding stocks is either too bullish or too bearish (it is seldom neutral). And of course, what a fair value for a stock should be, is very subjective, but the stock price in the short term has nothing to do with the performance of the business. Over the long run (several decades), the stock price is tracking the fundamental performance of a business closely. And while traders might profit from short-to-mid-term fluctuations of sentiment, long-term investors should rather be focused on the fundamentals of a business.</p><p>And Palantir is in my opinion one of the stocks where the stock price is not matching the fundamentals of the business. The short-term performance of the last few quarters – driven by bullish sentiment – drove the stock price higher and made this a good trade, but I don’t think the current stock price makes Palantir a good long-term investment. In one or two years we are looking back at the stock price and wonder how the stock could trade at this price (at least in my opinion).</p><h2 id=\"id_1014141444\">Quarterly Results</h2><p>And to get a fundamental picture of Palantir we can start by looking at the last quarterly results. On August 05, 2024, Palantir reported second quarter results, and the company did beat earnings per share as well as revenue estimates. Revenue increased from $533.3 million in Q2/23 to $678.1 million in Q2/24 – resulting in 27.2% top line year-over-year growth. Income from operations jumped from $10.1 million in the same quarter last year to $105.3 million in this quarter – resulting in a growth rate of 943%. And diluted net earnings per share increased 500% from $0.01 in Q2/23 to $0.06 in Q2/24.</p><p>We can also look at (adjusted) free cash flow, which is one of the most important metrics. And while free cash flow also grew, growth rates were a little lower than for earnings per share and compared to $96.0 million in Q2/23, free cash flow was $148.7 million in Q2/24 – resulting in 54.9% year-over-year growth. Adjusted free cash flow margin increased from 18% in the same quarter last year to 22% this quarter.</p><h2 id=\"id_3169081322\">Business Improving</h2><p>I already stated above that I am rather bearish on Palantir, and I don’t think the stock price is justified (we will get to this later). Nevertheless, we must point out that the business is improving, and top line growth is accelerating. Top line growth accelerated for the fourth quarter in a row and while revenue increased “only” 12.75% in Q2/23, it increased 27.15% in Q2/24.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5f840c06fe70c3df32b789a78ff769bc\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>Aside from revenue growth accelerating in the last few quarters, Palantir also made huge steps towards becoming more profitable. Looking at net income in the last few quarters, we see high year-over-year and also quarter-over-quarter growth rates and Palantir is now profitable for the seventh quarter in a row.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89535c951a48c02ff8578c3899bef08f\" alt=\"Palantir is now reporting its seventh consecutive quarter of profitabililty\" title=\"Palantir is now reporting its seventh consecutive quarter of profitabililty\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/><span>Palantir is now reporting its seventh consecutive quarter of profitabililty</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir Q2/24 Presentation</strong></p><p>Additionally, the number of new deals closed is also improving. In the last five quarters, the number of deals closed with a volume of at least $1 billion is seeing an upward trend (despite the number being higher in Q4/23), it is especially the deals with at least $10 million that is accelerating. While Palantir closed 18 deals in the same quarter last year and only 12 deals in Q3/23, it was 27 deals in the last quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5eeac7814da1abfce0ad07879d730528\" tg-width=\"418\" tg-height=\"180\"/></p><p>Another important aspect is the world getting more unstable and it seems like we are shifting more and more towards internal and external conflicts. I already wrote about this extensively in a previous article about Palantir. In this article I wrote:</p><blockquote><p>And it seems like Palantir is well positioned for an irrational world – that seems to get more irrational from year to year. This is actually a rather bullish argument for Palantir as revenue generated in the next few years could increase as the world seems to get more chaotic and complex and governments (and companies) are searching for help and guidance to navigate in such a complicated world.</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While the number of deaths in state-based conflicts was lower again than in the previous year, I don’t think anybody would argue the world got safer or more stable in 2024 than in 2023 or 2022. And when looking at the number of deaths in sate-based conflicts over the last few decades, the numbers in the last three years were the three highest since the 1990s.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/83ecbd306d6423bfe8025f4e3c366a25\" alt=\"Deaths in state-based conflicts by region\" title=\"Deaths in state-based conflicts by region\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"577\"/><span>Deaths in state-based conflicts by region</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Our World in Data</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">We can also see that the military spendings are increasing and we can assume that Palantir will benefit from increased military spending as fighting wars is not only about soldiers and tanks and bombs but also about digital warfare and AI.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2fec30784a7536a9dc7d9a470649acd1\" alt=\"Military Spending of selected countries\" title=\"Military Spending of selected countries\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\"/><span>Military Spending of selected countries</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Our World in Data</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_4062032415\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir During a Recession?</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">And while the question of peace and war might be important for Palantir, we should not ignore that the United Sates seem to be headed into a recession and the signs are getting clearer. I have mentioned these arguments in several articles in the last few weeks as this information is important for almost every business and every sector.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In the following section I will give another short overview of the important metrics that are in my opinion hinting towards a recession in the United States. We can start by looking at the number of bankruptcies in the United States and see the number constantly crawling higher. And the United States seems to be headed for the highest number of bankruptcies since 2010.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e4572e958339898165293a318ffd6fd1\" alt=\"Bankruptcies continue to increase\" title=\"Bankruptcies continue to increase\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"850\"/><span>Bankruptcies continue to increase</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>S&amp;P Global</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Another metric we can look at is the FED pivot. At this point it almost seems certain that the FED will lower interest rates in September (probably by 50 basis points) and market participants are also rather certain additional rate cuts are coming. And as we can see in the chart below, the FED pivot (the central bankers switching from increasing interest rates to lowering interest rates again) often preceded a recession.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9bce201ab2be95d0f18507fa20f56098\" alt=\"Federal Funds Effective Rate\" title=\"Federal Funds Effective Rate\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"/><span>Federal Funds Effective Rate</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Another clear warning sign is the inversion of the yield curve (early warning sign) and the re-inversion of the yield curve (later warning sign). And now the 10-year vs. 2-year treasury yield is above zero again with the 10-year vs. 3-month yield most likely following in the coming months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/130a7ad0a99332d08eaeff82e90c4891\" alt=\"Yield Curve inverting and re-inverting again\" title=\"Yield Curve inverting and re-inverting again\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"/><span>Yield Curve inverting and re-inverting again</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">We can also look at the Sahm Rule, another rather precise recession indicator, which has been sending a clear warning sign in the recent past that a recession is upon us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13d1c3fd8e364578d0b32667f32dc6f5\" alt=\"Sahm Rule\" title=\"Sahm Rule\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"/><span>Sahm Rule</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">When looking at the two different segments, we can start by the government revenue (which is still responsible for more than 50% of total revenue). And not only will existing contracts last during recessions, but especially governments might also renew contracts and even close new contracts with Palantir.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">And while we can argue that government revenue might be rather stable – even during a recession – the situation might be different for commercial. In the last few quarters, it was especially commercial revenue growing with a high pace. In the second quarter of fiscal 2024, commercial revenue was $307.4 million (45.3% of total revenue). And in the second quarter, the commercial revenue was growing 33% year-over-year (with the commercial revenue in the United States growing even 55%).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae39c870b7e1d01d991ff8c43adc0011\" alt=\"Commercial revenue is driving growth for Palantir\" title=\"Commercial revenue is driving growth for Palantir\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"/><span>Commercial revenue is driving growth for Palantir</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir Q2/24 Presentation</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">When looking at the number of U.S. commercial customers, Palantir reported 295 in the second quarter of fiscal 2024. In the same quarter last year, the number was only 161 and we can see growth accelerating here in the last few quarters.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a00889c1f95eb1f563d2b70abefdd1b\" alt=\"Number of U.S. Commercial Customers constantly increased\" title=\"Number of U.S. Commercial Customers constantly increased\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\"/><span>Number of U.S. Commercial Customers constantly increased</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir Q2/24 Letter from Karp</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">And we don’t have much data how Palantir will perform during a recession, but I really don’t think Palantir will keep up the high growth rates during a recession. And Palantir needs high growth rates to justify the current stock price – a point we will get to in the next section.</p><h2 id=\"id_3423624240\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Simply Overvalued</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">On the one hand, we have a business that seems to be improving and accelerating growth and might profit from a world getting more divided and “chaotic”. On the other hand, the United States are also headed for a recession, which can be a problem for businesses. But the biggest problem for the company and especially the stock as an investment is the extremely high stock price.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 119 times earnings and 205 times free cash flow. And while we can make the argument that Palantir is trading below the average price-free-cash-flow ratio and the average price-earnings ratio of the past, this argument is rather weak. First, we are rather looking at short timeframes and second, these are extremely high valuation multiples and especially the short timeframe is making is likely that the stock can be overvalued almost the entire time of its existence (making average numbers rather useless).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/84c787c8262cbd750901eb644eeab749\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"439\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Additionally, we must consider that free cash flow conversion is already extremely high. Right now, the company is generating 28.1% of revenue as free cash flow – a metric that is limiting the upside potential and growth most likely must come from top line growth and not margin improvement.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">But in the end, we are once again using a discount cash flow calculation to get more accurate numbers and make a more reasonable decision if the stock is under- or overvalued. As always, we are calculating with the last reported number of diluted shares outstanding (2,415 million) and a 10% discount rate. As basis we can use the upper end of the company’s free cash flow guidance of $1 billion.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In the past, I often calculated with 6% growth until perpetuity (and I still think it is possible to justify these higher terminal growth rates for high-quality businesses). Nevertheless, it also seems reasonable to be a little more cautious and follow the recommendations of the CFI (and others) and use a lower terminal growth rate. Nevertheless, I would still argue that Palantir will be able to generate a wide economic moat around its business, making 4% growth for perpetuity a reasonable assumption. When calculating with these assumptions, Palantir must grow 29% in the next 10 years to be fairly valued.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">One might argue that 29% growth is reasonable – especially as Palantir was growing with a much higher pace in the last few quarters. But we must put these numbers a little into context. First, we must point out that Palantir is continuing to increase the number of outstanding shares. In the second quarter of fiscal 2023, the company reported 2,278 million diluted shares outstanding and in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, the company reported 2,415 million diluted shares outstanding – 6.0% year-over-year growth. When taking this into account, Palantir must grow 35% in the next ten years to offset the dilution (assuming it will remain at this level).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1e2963bcba849c4490c8d1f0bed60401\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Second, growth probably must come from the top line. As pointed out above, 28% of revenue is already ending up as free cash flow, and I have my doubts Palantir can increase this margin. Therefore, 35% growth has to come from the top line and at least since early 2022, the company did not grow its top line at such a pace, and I don’t think the company will be able to grow at such a pace in the next 10 years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/84732a23f6251fffbacbfeead3401cfc\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"486\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><h2 id=\"id_3820783546\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Conclusion</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">I might have been wrong about Palantir – at least in the short term. And considering the unstable world that seems to be headed more towards war and chaos than towards peace and stability is certainly a tailwind for Palantir. On the other hand, the looming recession in the United States will most likely have a negative impact on the commercial revenue (the driver of growth in the last few quarters).</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">But in the end, the argument why I am bearish about Palantir is very simple: the stock price is too high and not justified in any way. I assume it is rather unlikely that investors will generate a reasonable profit by investing in Palantir in the next few years. The stock price is more than priced for perfection.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">When talking about valuations – especially in times where bullish sentiment is close to its peak – we are often confronted with an argument similar to a line Alexander C. Karp wrote in the opening statement of his last letter:</p><blockquote><p>The playbooks of the past are no longer working. And even the people who had believed in them now know this.</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Times are certainly changing. Companies must adapt and playbooks of the past (including investing strategies of the past) might not work so well anymore. But this does not apply to valuation, which is a timeless concept. It will always matter what price we are paying and when overpaying for an asset the investment will be less profitable or not profitable at all.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: 200 Times Earnings Is Too Much!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: 200 Times Earnings Is Too Much!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-18 16:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721563-palantir-200-times-earnings-is-too-much><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir is reporting great quarterly results and growth rates are accelerating.Palantir might profit from the world getting more chaotic, but commercial revenue might see lower growth rates ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721563-palantir-200-times-earnings-is-too-much\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721563-palantir-200-times-earnings-is-too-much","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1160051846","content_text":"SummaryPalantir is reporting great quarterly results and growth rates are accelerating.Palantir might profit from the world getting more chaotic, but commercial revenue might see lower growth rates due to the looming recession in the United States.But even when being optimistic about Palantir growing with a high pace, the current stock price is not justified in any way making it not a good investment.If you want to criticize me – and you certainly can as not every investing decision or analysis is right (but it doesn’t have to be to make money) – you can point out that I have been constantly wrong about Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) as an investment in the last two years. And I certainly must admit that my “Hold” rating in the last articles was not the way to make money. If you invested in Palantir anyway at the point when my articles were published, these trades would have been very profitable. And not only would you have made money, but also clearly outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY).Especially my article in November 2022, in which I argued that I am still not willing to gamble, did not age well. Since then, the stock increased almost 400% in less than two years, and it would have been a great investment. And we could leave it at that: I was wrong about Palantir and did not get the business and did not understand what a great investment the stock was.How the Stock Market WorksHowever, we all know how the stock market and investing works. And we all know the fundamental distinction between investors and traders. Very seldom stocks are trading for a price we can see as the fair value of a stock. In most cases, the stock is either over- or undervalued and sentiment surrounding stocks is either too bullish or too bearish (it is seldom neutral). And of course, what a fair value for a stock should be, is very subjective, but the stock price in the short term has nothing to do with the performance of the business. Over the long run (several decades), the stock price is tracking the fundamental performance of a business closely. And while traders might profit from short-to-mid-term fluctuations of sentiment, long-term investors should rather be focused on the fundamentals of a business.And Palantir is in my opinion one of the stocks where the stock price is not matching the fundamentals of the business. The short-term performance of the last few quarters – driven by bullish sentiment – drove the stock price higher and made this a good trade, but I don’t think the current stock price makes Palantir a good long-term investment. In one or two years we are looking back at the stock price and wonder how the stock could trade at this price (at least in my opinion).Quarterly ResultsAnd to get a fundamental picture of Palantir we can start by looking at the last quarterly results. On August 05, 2024, Palantir reported second quarter results, and the company did beat earnings per share as well as revenue estimates. Revenue increased from $533.3 million in Q2/23 to $678.1 million in Q2/24 – resulting in 27.2% top line year-over-year growth. Income from operations jumped from $10.1 million in the same quarter last year to $105.3 million in this quarter – resulting in a growth rate of 943%. And diluted net earnings per share increased 500% from $0.01 in Q2/23 to $0.06 in Q2/24.We can also look at (adjusted) free cash flow, which is one of the most important metrics. And while free cash flow also grew, growth rates were a little lower than for earnings per share and compared to $96.0 million in Q2/23, free cash flow was $148.7 million in Q2/24 – resulting in 54.9% year-over-year growth. Adjusted free cash flow margin increased from 18% in the same quarter last year to 22% this quarter.Business ImprovingI already stated above that I am rather bearish on Palantir, and I don’t think the stock price is justified (we will get to this later). Nevertheless, we must point out that the business is improving, and top line growth is accelerating. Top line growth accelerated for the fourth quarter in a row and while revenue increased “only” 12.75% in Q2/23, it increased 27.15% in Q2/24.ChartData by YChartsAside from revenue growth accelerating in the last few quarters, Palantir also made huge steps towards becoming more profitable. Looking at net income in the last few quarters, we see high year-over-year and also quarter-over-quarter growth rates and Palantir is now profitable for the seventh quarter in a row.Palantir is now reporting its seventh consecutive quarter of profitabililtyPalantir Q2/24 PresentationAdditionally, the number of new deals closed is also improving. In the last five quarters, the number of deals closed with a volume of at least $1 billion is seeing an upward trend (despite the number being higher in Q4/23), it is especially the deals with at least $10 million that is accelerating. While Palantir closed 18 deals in the same quarter last year and only 12 deals in Q3/23, it was 27 deals in the last quarter.Another important aspect is the world getting more unstable and it seems like we are shifting more and more towards internal and external conflicts. I already wrote about this extensively in a previous article about Palantir. In this article I wrote:And it seems like Palantir is well positioned for an irrational world – that seems to get more irrational from year to year. This is actually a rather bullish argument for Palantir as revenue generated in the next few years could increase as the world seems to get more chaotic and complex and governments (and companies) are searching for help and guidance to navigate in such a complicated world.While the number of deaths in state-based conflicts was lower again than in the previous year, I don’t think anybody would argue the world got safer or more stable in 2024 than in 2023 or 2022. And when looking at the number of deaths in sate-based conflicts over the last few decades, the numbers in the last three years were the three highest since the 1990s.Deaths in state-based conflicts by regionOur World in DataWe can also see that the military spendings are increasing and we can assume that Palantir will benefit from increased military spending as fighting wars is not only about soldiers and tanks and bombs but also about digital warfare and AI.Military Spending of selected countriesOur World in DataPalantir During a Recession?And while the question of peace and war might be important for Palantir, we should not ignore that the United Sates seem to be headed into a recession and the signs are getting clearer. I have mentioned these arguments in several articles in the last few weeks as this information is important for almost every business and every sector.In the following section I will give another short overview of the important metrics that are in my opinion hinting towards a recession in the United States. We can start by looking at the number of bankruptcies in the United States and see the number constantly crawling higher. And the United States seems to be headed for the highest number of bankruptcies since 2010.Bankruptcies continue to increaseS&P GlobalAnother metric we can look at is the FED pivot. At this point it almost seems certain that the FED will lower interest rates in September (probably by 50 basis points) and market participants are also rather certain additional rate cuts are coming. And as we can see in the chart below, the FED pivot (the central bankers switching from increasing interest rates to lowering interest rates again) often preceded a recession.Federal Funds Effective RateAnother clear warning sign is the inversion of the yield curve (early warning sign) and the re-inversion of the yield curve (later warning sign). And now the 10-year vs. 2-year treasury yield is above zero again with the 10-year vs. 3-month yield most likely following in the coming months.Yield Curve inverting and re-inverting againWe can also look at the Sahm Rule, another rather precise recession indicator, which has been sending a clear warning sign in the recent past that a recession is upon us.Sahm RuleWhen looking at the two different segments, we can start by the government revenue (which is still responsible for more than 50% of total revenue). And not only will existing contracts last during recessions, but especially governments might also renew contracts and even close new contracts with Palantir.And while we can argue that government revenue might be rather stable – even during a recession – the situation might be different for commercial. In the last few quarters, it was especially commercial revenue growing with a high pace. In the second quarter of fiscal 2024, commercial revenue was $307.4 million (45.3% of total revenue). And in the second quarter, the commercial revenue was growing 33% year-over-year (with the commercial revenue in the United States growing even 55%).Commercial revenue is driving growth for PalantirPalantir Q2/24 PresentationWhen looking at the number of U.S. commercial customers, Palantir reported 295 in the second quarter of fiscal 2024. In the same quarter last year, the number was only 161 and we can see growth accelerating here in the last few quarters.Number of U.S. Commercial Customers constantly increasedPalantir Q2/24 Letter from KarpAnd we don’t have much data how Palantir will perform during a recession, but I really don’t think Palantir will keep up the high growth rates during a recession. And Palantir needs high growth rates to justify the current stock price – a point we will get to in the next section.Simply OvervaluedOn the one hand, we have a business that seems to be improving and accelerating growth and might profit from a world getting more divided and “chaotic”. On the other hand, the United States are also headed for a recession, which can be a problem for businesses. But the biggest problem for the company and especially the stock as an investment is the extremely high stock price.At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 119 times earnings and 205 times free cash flow. And while we can make the argument that Palantir is trading below the average price-free-cash-flow ratio and the average price-earnings ratio of the past, this argument is rather weak. First, we are rather looking at short timeframes and second, these are extremely high valuation multiples and especially the short timeframe is making is likely that the stock can be overvalued almost the entire time of its existence (making average numbers rather useless).ChartData by YChartsAdditionally, we must consider that free cash flow conversion is already extremely high. Right now, the company is generating 28.1% of revenue as free cash flow – a metric that is limiting the upside potential and growth most likely must come from top line growth and not margin improvement.But in the end, we are once again using a discount cash flow calculation to get more accurate numbers and make a more reasonable decision if the stock is under- or overvalued. As always, we are calculating with the last reported number of diluted shares outstanding (2,415 million) and a 10% discount rate. As basis we can use the upper end of the company’s free cash flow guidance of $1 billion.In the past, I often calculated with 6% growth until perpetuity (and I still think it is possible to justify these higher terminal growth rates for high-quality businesses). Nevertheless, it also seems reasonable to be a little more cautious and follow the recommendations of the CFI (and others) and use a lower terminal growth rate. Nevertheless, I would still argue that Palantir will be able to generate a wide economic moat around its business, making 4% growth for perpetuity a reasonable assumption. When calculating with these assumptions, Palantir must grow 29% in the next 10 years to be fairly valued.One might argue that 29% growth is reasonable – especially as Palantir was growing with a much higher pace in the last few quarters. But we must put these numbers a little into context. First, we must point out that Palantir is continuing to increase the number of outstanding shares. In the second quarter of fiscal 2023, the company reported 2,278 million diluted shares outstanding and in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, the company reported 2,415 million diluted shares outstanding – 6.0% year-over-year growth. When taking this into account, Palantir must grow 35% in the next ten years to offset the dilution (assuming it will remain at this level).ChartData by YChartsSecond, growth probably must come from the top line. As pointed out above, 28% of revenue is already ending up as free cash flow, and I have my doubts Palantir can increase this margin. Therefore, 35% growth has to come from the top line and at least since early 2022, the company did not grow its top line at such a pace, and I don’t think the company will be able to grow at such a pace in the next 10 years.ChartData by YChartsConclusionI might have been wrong about Palantir – at least in the short term. And considering the unstable world that seems to be headed more towards war and chaos than towards peace and stability is certainly a tailwind for Palantir. On the other hand, the looming recession in the United States will most likely have a negative impact on the commercial revenue (the driver of growth in the last few quarters).But in the end, the argument why I am bearish about Palantir is very simple: the stock price is too high and not justified in any way. I assume it is rather unlikely that investors will generate a reasonable profit by investing in Palantir in the next few years. The stock price is more than priced for perfection.When talking about valuations – especially in times where bullish sentiment is close to its peak – we are often confronted with an argument similar to a line Alexander C. Karp wrote in the opening statement of his last letter:The playbooks of the past are no longer working. And even the people who had believed in them now know this.Times are certainly changing. Companies must adapt and playbooks of the past (including investing strategies of the past) might not work so well anymore. But this does not apply to valuation, which is a timeless concept. It will always matter what price we are paying and when overpaying for an asset the investment will be less profitable or not profitable at all.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350283565195472,"gmtCreate":1726546357760,"gmtModify":1726546363505,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Last quarter of 2024 Palantir will hit $50. 2 weeks left, there is the chance that it would hit $40 but looking at the momentum it might be just slightly under before month end","listText":"Last quarter of 2024 Palantir will hit $50. 2 weeks left, there is the chance that it would hit $40 but looking at the momentum it might be just slightly under before month end","text":"Last quarter of 2024 Palantir will hit $50. 2 weeks left, there is the chance that it would hit $40 but looking at the momentum it might be just slightly under before month end","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350283565195472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348969077883032,"gmtCreate":1726218331973,"gmtModify":1726218335541,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"About time","listText":"About time","text":"About time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/348969077883032","repostId":"2467734479","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2467734479","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726171607,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2467734479?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-13 04:06","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"SoFi Technologies: Poised To Thrive From The Fed's Pivot","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2467734479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SoFi's strong revenue growth and efficient marketing strategies position it well as a financial one-stop-shop, benefiting from the shift towards digital banking.The expected monetary easing from the F","content":"<html><body><ul><li>SoFi's strong revenue growth and efficient marketing strategies position it well as a financial one-stop-shop, benefiting from the shift towards digital banking.</li><li>The expected monetary easing from the Fed and decreasing inflation are bullish catalysts for SoFi, likely spurring loan demand and accelerating growth.</li><li>SoFi's valuation appears attractive compared to peers like Revolut and traditional banks, suggesting significant upside potential given its disruptive fintech model.</li><li>Despite intense competition and stock volatility, SoFi's rapid profitability improvement and compelling business model justify a 'Strong buy' rating.</li></ul><figure><picture> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"1024px\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 36px), (max-width: 1024px) calc(100vw - 132px), (max-width: 1200px) calc(66.6vw - 72px), 600px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/> </picture><figcaption> <p>Khomkrid Khamsankhod/iStock via Getty Images</p></figcaption></figure><h2>Introduction</h2> <p>I published a 'Strong Buy' thesis for SoFi Technologies (<span>NASDAQ:SOFI</span>) in June. I am moderately happy because the stock price increased by 4.4% since my recommendation was published.</p> <p>The number of physical bank branches in the U.S. is poised to<span> continue deteriorating because customers' preferences are changing as modern technologies allow them to complete routine tasks with smartphone apps. SoFi's strong revenue growth during the unfavorable monetary environment of the last couple of years supports the opinion that customers are seeking </span><span>a fi</span><span>nancial one-stop-shop in their smartphones. The expected monetary easing from the Fed will likely spur the demand for loans, which is a strong bullish catalyst for SoFi as a company that has gained a solid footprint in lending. The company's $7.5 billion valuation looks ridiculous compared to some other fintech companies. Based on the above information, I think that maintaining a 'Strong<span> buy' for SOFI is reasonable.</span></span></p> <h2>Fundamental analysis</h2> <p>Really good news was released yesterday, informing us that the U.S. inflation eased to 2.5% in August. Decreasing inflation in the U.S. is highly likely a robust reason for the Fed to start its monetary policy softening soon. This is a very bullish sign for SoFi investors.</p> <p>According to the Fed's July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices, lending standards remain tight relative to historical ranges. This factor is a headwind that weighs on the demand for loans. Therefore, the expected three interest rates cuts by the end of 2024 will soften lending standards and positively affect the demand for loans.</p> <p>SoFi's lending products demonstrated growth even during a challenging environment, and positive trends in monetary policy will likely help in accelerating growth.</p> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/9/12/59768804-17261225640031831.png\"/></span> </picture><figcaption><p><span>SoFi's Q2 2024 presentation</span></p></figcaption></figure><p>The stock reacted to the information about easing inflation with big optimism, as the stock gained 3.7% in one day. Overall, the market's sentiment around SOFI has improved significantly over the last month, while the stock gained around 12%.</p> <p>For growth stocks with rapidly growing revenue, there is always a risk that the management will not be able to keep costs under control. As a financial services company, SoFi needs to consistently expand its customer base. This requires substantial marketing costs, and I believe that the market's cautious stance about SoFi was mostly explained by the uncertainty regarding the ability to deliver profitable growth. I think that SoFi addressed these fears with robust FY 2024 guidance, expecting a massive bottom-line improvement compared to FY 2023. With that being said, I think that SoFi's marketing strategies are quite efficient.</p> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/9/12/59768804-17261239258537655.png\"/></span> </picture><figcaption><p><span>SoFi's Q2 2024 presentation</span></p></figcaption></figure><p>Efficient marketing is crucial for SoFi because the business approach itself is compelling for users. Visiting physical bank branches is very time and energy consuming. In the modern world, where many people do not need to leave home to earn money, it is highly likely that they will be eager to spend time on completing routine tasks. The rapid rise of services like groceries and food delivery from restaurants allowed people to spend almost no time on completing their chores. Therefore, the practice of people visiting physical bank branches is also already outdated.</p> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/9/12/59768804-17261245469733279.png\"/></span> </picture><figcaption><p><span>Statista</span></p></figcaption></figure><p>My assertion is backed by statistics. The number of bank branches in the U.S. peaked during the 2007-2008 banking frenzy. However, the number has been shrinking since then. It is currently at the same level as it was twenty years ago. Over the same period, the U.S. GDP has more than doubled. I do not have exact information about how far the total number of banking operations increased over the last 20 years. But I think it is safe to assume that the U.S. economy's doubling over the last two decades has inevitably led to much higher demand for banking services.</p> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/9/12/59768804-17261247697507007.png\"/></span> </picture><figcaption><p><span>macrotrends.net</span></p></figcaption></figure><p>The deteriorating number of branches is unsurprising, and I expect it to continue shrinking. Like any business, banks are looking for better cost efficiency to boost profitability. Maintaining physical branches is costly because they require the bank to own or lease the location itself and incur a myriad of costs, starting from paying salaries to branch employees, ending with paying for cleaning. Maintaining an IT infrastructure that enables it to deliver financial services via an app is also not free of charge, but this business model appears to be much more flexible and easier to manage. For example, Bank of America (BAC) has almost 4,000 branches. Just imagine how many employees are required just to ensure that internal controls are in place in each branch?</p> <p>As a disruptor that has no physical branches, SoFi is apparently poised to benefit from these big changes in the way the financial services industry works. Trying to be a disruptor alone does not give any advantages, but SoFi's rapidly improving profitability suggests that the company is quite an efficient disruptor.</p> <h2>Valuation analysis</h2> <p>Before I share my valuation calculations, I want to share a peer comparison. In my previous article, I have demonstrated the example of a British fintech Revolut. In mid-August, Revolut has been valued at $45 billion. SOFI's market cap is currently below $7.5 billion, six times lower than the U.K.-based \"neobank\". Revolut's financial performance is impressive, and this company is already profitable, but key metrics are not multiple times higher than SoFi's.</p> <p>Looking at the price-to-book (P/B) ratio compared to other banks is also useful to understand SOFI's valuation. Benchmark banks are JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America, the two U.S. banking industry leaders. To be conservative, I am using tangible book value ('TBV') per share. SoFi's Price/TBV ratio is in line with benchmark banks.</p> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/9/12/59768804-1726126294662986.png\"/> </picture><figcaption><p><span>Calculated by the author</span></p></figcaption></figure><p>Having in line Price/TBV figures with BAC and JPM suggests that SOFI is undervalued. I signal undervaluation here because SoFi is a disruptive fintech company at early stages of its development with vast potential, while the earnings of the largest banks have stagnated because the industry is extremely old.</p> <figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/9/12/59768804-17261263647072957.png\"/></span> </picture><figcaption><p><span>SA</span></p></figcaption></figure> <h2>Mitigating factors</h2> <p>The company competes with giant legacy banks like JPM and BAC, which possess vast resources and boast significantly larger customer bases. Additionally, there are more than 4,000 commercial banks in the U.S., meaning that SoFi is up against thousands of well-established financial services institutions. Intense competition presents significant risks for SoFi because capturing market share in a saturated industry is challenging.</p> <p>SOFI's last 52-week range is notably wide, spanning from $6 to $10.5. This substantial range indicates that the stock is vulnerable to sharp short-term price fluctuations and is significantly influenced by market sentiment. Such volatility means investors must be prepared for rapid changes in the stock's price.</p> <h2>Conclusion</h2> <div></div> <p>SoFi is in a robust position to benefit from sharp changes in the behavior of banking customers due to the evolving technological landscape. Revenue growth is impressive, and rapid profitability improvement suggests high efficiency of SoFi's marketing efforts. The valuation is very attractive as well.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi Technologies: Poised To Thrive From The Fed's Pivot</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi Technologies: Poised To Thrive From The Fed's Pivot\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-13 04:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4720796-sofi-technologies-poised-to-thrive-from-the-feds-pivot><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SoFi's strong revenue growth and efficient marketing strategies position it well as a financial one-stop-shop, benefiting from the shift towards digital banking.The expected monetary easing from the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4720796-sofi-technologies-poised-to-thrive-from-the-feds-pivot\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2161935865/image_2161935865.jpg","relate_stocks":{"LU1267930227.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"AS\" (SGD) ACC A","SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc.","LU0321505868.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0321505439.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Acc SGD","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","THAC":"Thrive Acquisition Corp","LU0477156797.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES GLOBAL EQUITY \"RE\" (USD) ACC","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0976567544.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Income A Mdis SGD-H1","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU1496350171.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED BALANCED \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU":"陆金所","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","LU0306807586.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL DIVIDEND MAXIMISER \"A\" (USD) INC QF","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU0052756011.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4720796-sofi-technologies-poised-to-thrive-from-the-feds-pivot","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2467734479","content_text":"SoFi's strong revenue growth and efficient marketing strategies position it well as a financial one-stop-shop, benefiting from the shift towards digital banking.The expected monetary easing from the Fed and decreasing inflation are bullish catalysts for SoFi, likely spurring loan demand and accelerating growth.SoFi's valuation appears attractive compared to peers like Revolut and traditional banks, suggesting significant upside potential given its disruptive fintech model.Despite intense competition and stock volatility, SoFi's rapid profitability improvement and compelling business model justify a 'Strong buy' rating.   Khomkrid Khamsankhod/iStock via Getty ImagesIntroduction I published a 'Strong Buy' thesis for SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) in June. I am moderately happy because the stock price increased by 4.4% since my recommendation was published. The number of physical bank branches in the U.S. is poised to continue deteriorating because customers' preferences are changing as modern technologies allow them to complete routine tasks with smartphone apps. SoFi's strong revenue growth during the unfavorable monetary environment of the last couple of years supports the opinion that customers are seeking a financial one-stop-shop in their smartphones. The expected monetary easing from the Fed will likely spur the demand for loans, which is a strong bullish catalyst for SoFi as a company that has gained a solid footprint in lending. The company's $7.5 billion valuation looks ridiculous compared to some other fintech companies. Based on the above information, I think that maintaining a 'Strong buy' for SOFI is reasonable. Fundamental analysis Really good news was released yesterday, informing us that the U.S. inflation eased to 2.5% in August. Decreasing inflation in the U.S. is highly likely a robust reason for the Fed to start its monetary policy softening soon. This is a very bullish sign for SoFi investors. According to the Fed's July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices, lending standards remain tight relative to historical ranges. This factor is a headwind that weighs on the demand for loans. Therefore, the expected three interest rates cuts by the end of 2024 will soften lending standards and positively affect the demand for loans. SoFi's lending products demonstrated growth even during a challenging environment, and positive trends in monetary policy will likely help in accelerating growth.   SoFi's Q2 2024 presentationThe stock reacted to the information about easing inflation with big optimism, as the stock gained 3.7% in one day. Overall, the market's sentiment around SOFI has improved significantly over the last month, while the stock gained around 12%. For growth stocks with rapidly growing revenue, there is always a risk that the management will not be able to keep costs under control. As a financial services company, SoFi needs to consistently expand its customer base. This requires substantial marketing costs, and I believe that the market's cautious stance about SoFi was mostly explained by the uncertainty regarding the ability to deliver profitable growth. I think that SoFi addressed these fears with robust FY 2024 guidance, expecting a massive bottom-line improvement compared to FY 2023. With that being said, I think that SoFi's marketing strategies are quite efficient.   SoFi's Q2 2024 presentationEfficient marketing is crucial for SoFi because the business approach itself is compelling for users. Visiting physical bank branches is very time and energy consuming. In the modern world, where many people do not need to leave home to earn money, it is highly likely that they will be eager to spend time on completing routine tasks. The rapid rise of services like groceries and food delivery from restaurants allowed people to spend almost no time on completing their chores. Therefore, the practice of people visiting physical bank branches is also already outdated.   StatistaMy assertion is backed by statistics. The number of bank branches in the U.S. peaked during the 2007-2008 banking frenzy. However, the number has been shrinking since then. It is currently at the same level as it was twenty years ago. Over the same period, the U.S. GDP has more than doubled. I do not have exact information about how far the total number of banking operations increased over the last 20 years. But I think it is safe to assume that the U.S. economy's doubling over the last two decades has inevitably led to much higher demand for banking services.   macrotrends.netThe deteriorating number of branches is unsurprising, and I expect it to continue shrinking. Like any business, banks are looking for better cost efficiency to boost profitability. Maintaining physical branches is costly because they require the bank to own or lease the location itself and incur a myriad of costs, starting from paying salaries to branch employees, ending with paying for cleaning. Maintaining an IT infrastructure that enables it to deliver financial services via an app is also not free of charge, but this business model appears to be much more flexible and easier to manage. For example, Bank of America (BAC) has almost 4,000 branches. Just imagine how many employees are required just to ensure that internal controls are in place in each branch? As a disruptor that has no physical branches, SoFi is apparently poised to benefit from these big changes in the way the financial services industry works. Trying to be a disruptor alone does not give any advantages, but SoFi's rapidly improving profitability suggests that the company is quite an efficient disruptor. Valuation analysis Before I share my valuation calculations, I want to share a peer comparison. In my previous article, I have demonstrated the example of a British fintech Revolut. In mid-August, Revolut has been valued at $45 billion. SOFI's market cap is currently below $7.5 billion, six times lower than the U.K.-based \"neobank\". Revolut's financial performance is impressive, and this company is already profitable, but key metrics are not multiple times higher than SoFi's. Looking at the price-to-book (P/B) ratio compared to other banks is also useful to understand SOFI's valuation. Benchmark banks are JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America, the two U.S. banking industry leaders. To be conservative, I am using tangible book value ('TBV') per share. SoFi's Price/TBV ratio is in line with benchmark banks.   Calculated by the authorHaving in line Price/TBV figures with BAC and JPM suggests that SOFI is undervalued. I signal undervaluation here because SoFi is a disruptive fintech company at early stages of its development with vast potential, while the earnings of the largest banks have stagnated because the industry is extremely old.   SA Mitigating factors The company competes with giant legacy banks like JPM and BAC, which possess vast resources and boast significantly larger customer bases. Additionally, there are more than 4,000 commercial banks in the U.S., meaning that SoFi is up against thousands of well-established financial services institutions. Intense competition presents significant risks for SoFi because capturing market share in a saturated industry is challenging. SOFI's last 52-week range is notably wide, spanning from $6 to $10.5. This substantial range indicates that the stock is vulnerable to sharp short-term price fluctuations and is significantly influenced by market sentiment. Such volatility means investors must be prepared for rapid changes in the stock's price. Conclusion  SoFi is in a robust position to benefit from sharp changes in the behavior of banking customers due to the evolving technological landscape. Revenue growth is impressive, and rapid profitability improvement suggests high efficiency of SoFi's marketing efforts. The valuation is very attractive as well.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348295025021128,"gmtCreate":1726039098156,"gmtModify":1726039103524,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cathie Wood's investment strategy had been sending doubts in recent years... She clearly missed a couple of potential earnings","listText":"Cathie Wood's investment strategy had been sending doubts in recent years... She clearly missed a couple of potential earnings","text":"Cathie Wood's investment strategy had been sending doubts in recent years... She clearly missed a couple of potential earnings","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/348295025021128","repostId":"1186964755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186964755","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1726038900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186964755?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-11 15:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Sells $4.3M In Palantir Shares Amid S&P 500 Buzz, Buys $6.8M Of AMD Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186964755","media":"Benzinga","summary":"On Tuesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, with AMD and Palantir Technologies Inc being the most prominent.The AMD TradeArk Invest purchased 47,717 shares of AMD. The trade was ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>On Tuesday, <strong>Cathie Wood</strong>-led <strong>Ark Invest</strong> made significant trades, with AMD and <strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong> being the most prominent.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The AMD Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest purchased 47,717 shares of AMD. The trade was made by the <strong>ARK Innovation ETF</strong> (ARKK) fund and represents 0.1251% of the ETF. Based on the closing price of AMD at $142.84 on the same day, the value of the trade is approximately $6.8 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The purchase comes in the wake of AMD’s announcement of its upcoming “Advancing AI 2024” event, scheduled for October 10, 2024. The event will showcase the next-generation AMD Instinct accelerators and 5th Gen AMD EPYC server processors, as well as the company’s Networking and AI PC updates. The company’s growing AI solutions ecosystem will also be highlighted.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">AMD is shifting its strategy to focus on mainstream and mid-range gaming GPUs to capture 40%-50% of the market, rather than competing directly with Nvidia&#39;s high-end offerings. Despite Nvidia holding 88% of the discrete GPU market, AMD has made moves like hiring key Nvidia talent and planning a $4.9 billion acquisition of AI server company ZT Systems to build scale. Both AMD and Nvidia stocks have faced recent selloffs despite strong performance.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The PLTR Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest sold 124,626 shares of <strong>Palantir</strong>. The trade was made by the ARKK fund and represents 0.0812% of the ETF. Based on the closing price of PLTR at $34.76 on the same day, the value of the trade is approximately $4.3 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The sale comes after Palantir’s stock soared by 14.08% following the announcement that the stock will join the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir shares surged over 12% since Friday, driven by the company&#39;s inclusion in the S&amp;P 500 and a new enterprise agreement with BP to enhance AI capabilities. CEO <strong>Alex Karp</strong> celebrated the S&amp;P 500 milestone, and analysts like <strong>Dan Ives</strong> and <strong>Mariana Perez</strong> see it as a validation for Palantir&#39;s future profitability. However, price predictions for Palantir vary widely, with a 1-year average target of $27.79, reflecting potential downside, while top estimates go as high as $50.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Other Key Trades:</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Ark Invest sold shares of <strong>Unity Software Inc</strong> (U) from the ARKK fund. Ark Invest bought shares of Draftkings Inc (DKNG) for the ARKK fund.</p></li><li><p>Ark Invest bought shares of Rubrik Inc (RBRK) for the ARKW fund. Ark Invest sold shares of Vuzix Corp (VUZI) from the ARKW fund.</p></li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Sells $4.3M In Palantir Shares Amid S&P 500 Buzz, Buys $6.8M Of AMD Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood's Ark Invest Sells $4.3M In Palantir Shares Amid S&P 500 Buzz, Buys $6.8M Of AMD Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-09-11 15:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>On Tuesday, <strong>Cathie Wood</strong>-led <strong>Ark Invest</strong> made significant trades, with AMD and <strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong> being the most prominent.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The AMD Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest purchased 47,717 shares of AMD. The trade was made by the <strong>ARK Innovation ETF</strong> (ARKK) fund and represents 0.1251% of the ETF. Based on the closing price of AMD at $142.84 on the same day, the value of the trade is approximately $6.8 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The purchase comes in the wake of AMD’s announcement of its upcoming “Advancing AI 2024” event, scheduled for October 10, 2024. The event will showcase the next-generation AMD Instinct accelerators and 5th Gen AMD EPYC server processors, as well as the company’s Networking and AI PC updates. The company’s growing AI solutions ecosystem will also be highlighted.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">AMD is shifting its strategy to focus on mainstream and mid-range gaming GPUs to capture 40%-50% of the market, rather than competing directly with Nvidia&#39;s high-end offerings. Despite Nvidia holding 88% of the discrete GPU market, AMD has made moves like hiring key Nvidia talent and planning a $4.9 billion acquisition of AI server company ZT Systems to build scale. Both AMD and Nvidia stocks have faced recent selloffs despite strong performance.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The PLTR Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest sold 124,626 shares of <strong>Palantir</strong>. The trade was made by the ARKK fund and represents 0.0812% of the ETF. Based on the closing price of PLTR at $34.76 on the same day, the value of the trade is approximately $4.3 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The sale comes after Palantir’s stock soared by 14.08% following the announcement that the stock will join the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir shares surged over 12% since Friday, driven by the company&#39;s inclusion in the S&amp;P 500 and a new enterprise agreement with BP to enhance AI capabilities. CEO <strong>Alex Karp</strong> celebrated the S&amp;P 500 milestone, and analysts like <strong>Dan Ives</strong> and <strong>Mariana Perez</strong> see it as a validation for Palantir&#39;s future profitability. However, price predictions for Palantir vary widely, with a 1-year average target of $27.79, reflecting potential downside, while top estimates go as high as $50.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Other Key Trades:</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Ark Invest sold shares of <strong>Unity Software Inc</strong> (U) from the ARKK fund. Ark Invest bought shares of Draftkings Inc (DKNG) for the ARKK fund.</p></li><li><p>Ark Invest bought shares of Rubrik Inc (RBRK) for the ARKW fund. Ark Invest sold shares of Vuzix Corp (VUZI) from the ARKW fund.</p></li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186964755","content_text":"On Tuesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, with AMD and Palantir Technologies Inc being the most prominent.The AMD TradeArk Invest purchased 47,717 shares of AMD. The trade was made by the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) fund and represents 0.1251% of the ETF. Based on the closing price of AMD at $142.84 on the same day, the value of the trade is approximately $6.8 million.The purchase comes in the wake of AMD’s announcement of its upcoming “Advancing AI 2024” event, scheduled for October 10, 2024. The event will showcase the next-generation AMD Instinct accelerators and 5th Gen AMD EPYC server processors, as well as the company’s Networking and AI PC updates. The company’s growing AI solutions ecosystem will also be highlighted.AMD is shifting its strategy to focus on mainstream and mid-range gaming GPUs to capture 40%-50% of the market, rather than competing directly with Nvidia's high-end offerings. Despite Nvidia holding 88% of the discrete GPU market, AMD has made moves like hiring key Nvidia talent and planning a $4.9 billion acquisition of AI server company ZT Systems to build scale. Both AMD and Nvidia stocks have faced recent selloffs despite strong performance.The PLTR TradeArk Invest sold 124,626 shares of Palantir. The trade was made by the ARKK fund and represents 0.0812% of the ETF. Based on the closing price of PLTR at $34.76 on the same day, the value of the trade is approximately $4.3 million.The sale comes after Palantir’s stock soared by 14.08% following the announcement that the stock will join the S&P 500 index.Palantir shares surged over 12% since Friday, driven by the company's inclusion in the S&P 500 and a new enterprise agreement with BP to enhance AI capabilities. CEO Alex Karp celebrated the S&P 500 milestone, and analysts like Dan Ives and Mariana Perez see it as a validation for Palantir's future profitability. However, price predictions for Palantir vary widely, with a 1-year average target of $27.79, reflecting potential downside, while top estimates go as high as $50.Other Key Trades:Ark Invest sold shares of Unity Software Inc (U) from the ARKK fund. Ark Invest bought shares of Draftkings Inc (DKNG) for the ARKK fund.Ark Invest bought shares of Rubrik Inc (RBRK) for the ARKW fund. Ark Invest sold shares of Vuzix Corp (VUZI) from the ARKW fund.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":344429415919960,"gmtCreate":1725081990355,"gmtModify":1725277670433,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Over valuation is probably what someone who'd missed the lows who'd say in an attempt to snap it up again. Anyone who used Palantir's software would know that once integrated into a corporate system, would be difficult to exit let alone employees who are unwilling to give it up.","listText":"Over valuation is probably what someone who'd missed the lows who'd say in an attempt to snap it up again. Anyone who used Palantir's software would know that once integrated into a corporate system, would be difficult to exit let alone employees who are unwilling to give it up.","text":"Over valuation is probably what someone who'd missed the lows who'd say in an attempt to snap it up again. Anyone who used Palantir's software would know that once integrated into a corporate system, would be difficult to exit let alone employees who are unwilling to give it up.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344429415919960","repostId":"2463723624","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2463723624","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1725030000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2463723624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-08-30 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is a Top AI Stock. Is This Its Achilles' Heel?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2463723624","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Palantir's growth has been accelerating due to high demand.","content":"<h2 id=\"id_3117841175\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir is a dominant force in the AI software market.</p></li><li><p>Demand for its latest product has been unprecedented.</p></li><li><p>The growth expectations baked into the stock are likely unrealistic.</p></li></ul><p>By any reasonable measure, Palantir is succeeding. The company has one of the best artificial intelligence (AI) software application platforms out there and is a top pick for integrating AI models within a business to drive decisions. This dominance has caused its revenue growth to accelerate each quarter, making the stock popular among AI investors.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But there is one factor -- Palantir's steep valuation -- that some investors fail to consider. And investors should weigh that valuation very closely, particularly when considering a new investment in this dynamic company.</p><h2 id=\"id_2438208537\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir's business is knocking it out of the park</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir has been in the AI software market for longer than much of its competition, which is likely why it's succeeding. Originally, Palantir's software was for government use and was deployed to intelligence agencies as well as battlefield command to ensure that those making decisions had the best information in front of them.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Eventually, management saw a use for this software outside of government, so it expanded to the civilian side. While government revenue still makes up over half of Palantir's total, the commercial side is growing quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/daa7c1dd41a93299f07a7730e6029be0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"811\"></p><p>The growth from the commercial side centers around the \"unprecedented demand\" (management's words) for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). AIP allows its customers to integrate AI (including large language models) throughout a business, giving them the ability to automate processes like never before, incorporating human approval if necessary.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The possibilities of AIP are truly endless, and the growth has been impressive, especially in the U.S. In the second quarter, U.S. commercial revenue was Palantir's fastest-growing segment, up 55% year over year to $159 million. Still, Palantir's other segments didn't do too badly, with overall commercial revenue increasing 33% year over year and government sales rising 23%. Overall, this led to a growth rate of 27%, which continues the trend of accelerating revenue growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3eb25a13587ff9c17047506198a7dee8\" title=\"PLTR REVENUE (QUARTERLY YOY GROWTH) DATA BY YCHARTS\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>PLTR REVENUE (QUARTERLY YOY GROWTH) DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Revenue growth is great, but accelerating revenue growth is better. Another plus for Palantir is that it's a profitable company. In Q2, it delivered a profit margin of 20% -- a company record .</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir is doing everything necessary to be a successful company and then some, so it's no wonder that many investors are excited about it.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, the stock has an Achilles' heel that everyone should know about.</p><h2 id=\"id_778245105\" style=\"text-align: start;\">The expectations attached to the stock are extreme</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Everything I wrote about above is well known in the market. As a result, the stock has gotten incredibly expensive.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8f01c71122d3499d0ea3737094b5aa2\" title=\"PLTR PE RATIO (FORWARD) DATA BY YCHARTS\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"><span>PLTR PE RATIO (FORWARD) DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ninety times forward earnings and 31 times sales are incredibly high valuations. While Palantir is growing fast, these kinds of prices are usually reserved for companies that double or triple their revenue quarter after quarter. Palantir isn't doing that, which concerns me.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Let's say Palantir's growth rate accelerates even more to 30% year-over-year growth and maintains that figure for five years. That would give Palantir $9.2 billion in annual revenue by 2029. If its profit margins improve to 25%, that would equate to $2.3 billion in profits.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Dividing that figure by Palantir's current market cap would yield its price-to-2029-earnings ratio, which is 31 times forward earnings.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">So for Palantir to return to a valuation level similar to that of other established software companies, it must improve its margins to 25% and grow at a sustained 30% pace. That's a very tall task, and I don't think Palantir can live up to it.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As a result, I think the price is far too high for the stock, so I'm going to avoid it. Palantir will continue to succeed as a business, but the growth expectations baked into the stock are too much for my taste.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is a Top AI Stock. Is This Its Achilles' Heel?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is a Top AI Stock. Is This Its Achilles' Heel?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-08-30 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/08/29/palantir-is-a-top-artificial-intelligence-ai-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSPalantir is a dominant force in the AI software market.Demand for its latest product has been unprecedented.The growth expectations baked into the stock are likely unrealistic.By any ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/08/29/palantir-is-a-top-artificial-intelligence-ai-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4097":"系统软件","BK4528":"SaaS概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4588":"碎股","BK4543":"AI","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4547":"WSB热门概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/08/29/palantir-is-a-top-artificial-intelligence-ai-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2463723624","content_text":"KEY POINTSPalantir is a dominant force in the AI software market.Demand for its latest product has been unprecedented.The growth expectations baked into the stock are likely unrealistic.By any reasonable measure, Palantir is succeeding. The company has one of the best artificial intelligence (AI) software application platforms out there and is a top pick for integrating AI models within a business to drive decisions. This dominance has caused its revenue growth to accelerate each quarter, making the stock popular among AI investors.But there is one factor -- Palantir's steep valuation -- that some investors fail to consider. And investors should weigh that valuation very closely, particularly when considering a new investment in this dynamic company.Palantir's business is knocking it out of the parkPalantir has been in the AI software market for longer than much of its competition, which is likely why it's succeeding. Originally, Palantir's software was for government use and was deployed to intelligence agencies as well as battlefield command to ensure that those making decisions had the best information in front of them.Eventually, management saw a use for this software outside of government, so it expanded to the civilian side. While government revenue still makes up over half of Palantir's total, the commercial side is growing quickly.The growth from the commercial side centers around the \"unprecedented demand\" (management's words) for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). AIP allows its customers to integrate AI (including large language models) throughout a business, giving them the ability to automate processes like never before, incorporating human approval if necessary.The possibilities of AIP are truly endless, and the growth has been impressive, especially in the U.S. In the second quarter, U.S. commercial revenue was Palantir's fastest-growing segment, up 55% year over year to $159 million. Still, Palantir's other segments didn't do too badly, with overall commercial revenue increasing 33% year over year and government sales rising 23%. Overall, this led to a growth rate of 27%, which continues the trend of accelerating revenue growth.PLTR REVENUE (QUARTERLY YOY GROWTH) DATA BY YCHARTSRevenue growth is great, but accelerating revenue growth is better. Another plus for Palantir is that it's a profitable company. In Q2, it delivered a profit margin of 20% -- a company record .Palantir is doing everything necessary to be a successful company and then some, so it's no wonder that many investors are excited about it.However, the stock has an Achilles' heel that everyone should know about.The expectations attached to the stock are extremeEverything I wrote about above is well known in the market. As a result, the stock has gotten incredibly expensive.PLTR PE RATIO (FORWARD) DATA BY YCHARTSNinety times forward earnings and 31 times sales are incredibly high valuations. While Palantir is growing fast, these kinds of prices are usually reserved for companies that double or triple their revenue quarter after quarter. Palantir isn't doing that, which concerns me.Let's say Palantir's growth rate accelerates even more to 30% year-over-year growth and maintains that figure for five years. That would give Palantir $9.2 billion in annual revenue by 2029. If its profit margins improve to 25%, that would equate to $2.3 billion in profits.Dividing that figure by Palantir's current market cap would yield its price-to-2029-earnings ratio, which is 31 times forward earnings.So for Palantir to return to a valuation level similar to that of other established software companies, it must improve its margins to 25% and grow at a sustained 30% pace. That's a very tall task, and I don't think Palantir can live up to it.As a result, I think the price is far too high for the stock, so I'm going to avoid it. Palantir will continue to succeed as a business, but the growth expectations baked into the stock are too much for my taste.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370568248566104,"gmtCreate":1731509891110,"gmtModify":1731554103067,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; You can't find another like Palantir!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; You can't find another like Palantir!","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ You can't find another like Palantir!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/183335447ed81b55d37451ff305f93f3","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370568248566104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010968","authorId":"10000000000010968","name":"Tiger_CashBoostAccount","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae2d4002ef9664aba005cb3020f416f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010968","authorIdStr":"10000000000010968"},"content":"Your portfolio's growth is impressive! Your ability to identify undervalued companies is truly a skill. Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","text":"Your portfolio's growth is impressive! Your ability to identify undervalued companies is truly a skill. Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","html":"Your portfolio's growth is impressive! Your ability to identify undervalued companies is truly a skill. Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367742221537608,"gmtCreate":1730821383153,"gmtModify":1730821387504,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\"Hold\" for more to come","listText":"\"Hold\" for more to come","text":"\"Hold\" for more to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367742221537608","repostId":"2481507222","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2481507222","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1730817329,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2481507222?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-05 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481507222","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) shares are making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by &#34;unrelenting&#34; AI demand. ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong> (NYSE:PLTR) shares soared 16% in morning trading, making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by “unrelenting” AI demand.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3703f4db5ea0ef75deadabe6d959f551\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"836\"/></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 Revenue:</strong> $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million</p></li></ul><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 EPS:</strong> 6 cents, versus estimates of 4 cents</p></li></ul><p>Palantir reported 30% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter propelled by continued strength in the U.S. The company said U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year as U.S. Commercial revenue jumped 54% and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.</p><p>The company beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fifth consecutive quarter as margins expanded for the eighth straight quarter, and the company guided for continued GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter this year.</p><p>Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The company said it closed 104 deals worth over $1 million during the quarter.</p><p>“The growth of our business is accelerating, and our financial performance is exceeding expectations as we meet an unwavering demand for the most advanced artificial intelligence technologies from our U.S. government and commercial customers,&#34; <strong>Alex Karp</strong>, co-founder and CEO of Palantir, said in a letter to shareholders.</p><p><strong>Guidance:</strong> Palantir sees fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $767 million to $771 million, versus estimates of $741.44 million. The company also raised full-year guidance across its key metrics.</p><p>Palantir now expects full-year revenue in the range of $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion versus estimates of $2.759 billion, and full-year U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $687 million, representing growth of at least 50%. The company now expects adjusted free cash flow to be in excess of $1 billion for the year.</p><p>&#34;We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won&#39;t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,&#34; Karp said.</p><p>Following the print, Wedbush analyst <strong>Dan Ives</strong> maintained an Outperform rating on the stock noting that Palantir delivered “another robust quarter featuring beats across the board.”</p><p>&#34;Despite the skeptics honing in on valuation for the past year, this was a major quarter to prove that PLTR’s partner ecosystem expansion and AIP bootcamps hit another gear,&#34; Ives said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock Soared on Results, Hitting New Highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-05 22:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong> (NYSE:PLTR) shares soared 16% in morning trading, making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by “unrelenting” AI demand.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3703f4db5ea0ef75deadabe6d959f551\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"836\"/></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 Revenue:</strong> $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million</p></li></ul><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Q3 EPS:</strong> 6 cents, versus estimates of 4 cents</p></li></ul><p>Palantir reported 30% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter propelled by continued strength in the U.S. The company said U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year as U.S. Commercial revenue jumped 54% and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.</p><p>The company beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fifth consecutive quarter as margins expanded for the eighth straight quarter, and the company guided for continued GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter this year.</p><p>Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The company said it closed 104 deals worth over $1 million during the quarter.</p><p>“The growth of our business is accelerating, and our financial performance is exceeding expectations as we meet an unwavering demand for the most advanced artificial intelligence technologies from our U.S. government and commercial customers,&#34; <strong>Alex Karp</strong>, co-founder and CEO of Palantir, said in a letter to shareholders.</p><p><strong>Guidance:</strong> Palantir sees fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $767 million to $771 million, versus estimates of $741.44 million. The company also raised full-year guidance across its key metrics.</p><p>Palantir now expects full-year revenue in the range of $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion versus estimates of $2.759 billion, and full-year U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $687 million, representing growth of at least 50%. The company now expects adjusted free cash flow to be in excess of $1 billion for the year.</p><p>&#34;We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won&#39;t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,&#34; Karp said.</p><p>Following the print, Wedbush analyst <strong>Dan Ives</strong> maintained an Outperform rating on the stock noting that Palantir delivered “another robust quarter featuring beats across the board.”</p><p>&#34;Despite the skeptics honing in on valuation for the past year, this was a major quarter to prove that PLTR’s partner ecosystem expansion and AIP bootcamps hit another gear,&#34; Ives said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4543":"AI","BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/41746288/palantir-stock-is-hitting-new-highs-whats-going-on","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2481507222","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) shares soared 16% in morning trading, making new highs on Tuesday after the company reported strong quarterly results driven by “unrelenting” AI demand.Q3 Revenue: $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 millionQ3 EPS: 6 cents, versus estimates of 4 centsPalantir reported 30% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter propelled by continued strength in the U.S. The company said U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year as U.S. Commercial revenue jumped 54% and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.The company beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fifth consecutive quarter as margins expanded for the eighth straight quarter, and the company guided for continued GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter this year.Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The company said it closed 104 deals worth over $1 million during the quarter.“The growth of our business is accelerating, and our financial performance is exceeding expectations as we meet an unwavering demand for the most advanced artificial intelligence technologies from our U.S. government and commercial customers,\" Alex Karp, co-founder and CEO of Palantir, said in a letter to shareholders.Guidance: Palantir sees fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $767 million to $771 million, versus estimates of $741.44 million. The company also raised full-year guidance across its key metrics.Palantir now expects full-year revenue in the range of $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion versus estimates of $2.759 billion, and full-year U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $687 million, representing growth of at least 50%. The company now expects adjusted free cash flow to be in excess of $1 billion for the year.\"We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won't slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,\" Karp said.Following the print, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives maintained an Outperform rating on the stock noting that Palantir delivered “another robust quarter featuring beats across the board.”\"Despite the skeptics honing in on valuation for the past year, this was a major quarter to prove that PLTR’s partner ecosystem expansion and AIP bootcamps hit another gear,\" Ives said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367845603479776,"gmtCreate":1730823894603,"gmtModify":1730823898556,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Next price would be $55. So much potential for this stock. For those sellers in the early 40 range, they probably regretted following theories..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367845603479776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"content":"We’re closing in again to the next price everyone 😉","text":"We’re closing in again to the next price everyone 😉","html":"We’re closing in again to the next price everyone 😉"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004103521,"gmtCreate":1642519295185,"gmtModify":1676533718320,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In&nbsp;order for us to show that we&nbsp;believe in yourcompany, your price needs to go down first 🤭","listText":"In&nbsp;order for us to show that we&nbsp;believe in yourcompany, your price needs to go down first 🤭","text":"In order for us to show that we believe in yourcompany, your price needs to go down first 🤭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004103521","repostId":"1149966362","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149966362","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642512559,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149966362?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-18 21:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft to acquire Activision Blizzard in all-cash deal valued at $68.7 bln","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149966362","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Today, Microsoft Corp. announced plans to acquire Activision Blizzard Inc., a leader in game develop","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Today, Microsoft Corp. announced plans to acquire Activision Blizzard Inc., a leader in game development and interactive entertainment content publisher. This acquisition will accelerate the growth in Microsoft’s gaming business across mobile, PC, console and cloud and will provide building blocks for the metaverse.</p><p>Microsoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95.00 per share, in an all-cash transaction valued at $68.7 billion, inclusive of Activision Blizzard’s net cash. When the transaction closes, Microsoft will become the world’s third-largest gaming company by revenue, behind Tencent and Sony. The planned acquisition includes iconic franchises from the Activision, Blizzard and King studios like “Warcraft,” “Diablo,” “Overwatch,” “Call of Duty” and “Candy Crush,” in addition to global eSports activities through Major League Gaming. The company has studios around the word with nearly 10,000 employees.</p><p>Bobby Kotick will continue to serve as CEO of Activision Blizzard, and he and his team will maintain their focus on driving efforts to further strengthen the company’s culture and accelerate business growth. Once the deal closes, the Activision Blizzard business will report to Phil Spencer, CEO, Microsoft Gaming.</p><p>The acquisition also bolsters Microsoft’s Game Pass portfolio with plans to launch Activision Blizzard games into Game Pass, which has reached a new milestone of over 25 million subscribers. With Activision Blizzard’s nearly 400 million monthly active players in 190 countries and three billion-dollar franchises, this acquisition will make Game Pass one of the most compelling and diverse lineups of gaming content in the industry. Upon close, Microsoft will have 30 internal game development studios, along with additional publishing and esports production capabilities.</p><p>The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and completion of regulatory review and Activision Blizzard’s shareholder approval. The deal is expected to close in fiscal year 2023 and will be accretive to non-GAAP earnings per share upon close. The transaction has been approved by the boards of directors of both Microsoft and Activision Blizzard.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft to acquire Activision Blizzard in all-cash deal valued at $68.7 bln</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft to acquire Activision Blizzard in all-cash deal valued at $68.7 bln\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-18 21:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Today, Microsoft Corp. announced plans to acquire Activision Blizzard Inc., a leader in game development and interactive entertainment content publisher. This acquisition will accelerate the growth in Microsoft’s gaming business across mobile, PC, console and cloud and will provide building blocks for the metaverse.</p><p>Microsoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95.00 per share, in an all-cash transaction valued at $68.7 billion, inclusive of Activision Blizzard’s net cash. When the transaction closes, Microsoft will become the world’s third-largest gaming company by revenue, behind Tencent and Sony. The planned acquisition includes iconic franchises from the Activision, Blizzard and King studios like “Warcraft,” “Diablo,” “Overwatch,” “Call of Duty” and “Candy Crush,” in addition to global eSports activities through Major League Gaming. The company has studios around the word with nearly 10,000 employees.</p><p>Bobby Kotick will continue to serve as CEO of Activision Blizzard, and he and his team will maintain their focus on driving efforts to further strengthen the company’s culture and accelerate business growth. Once the deal closes, the Activision Blizzard business will report to Phil Spencer, CEO, Microsoft Gaming.</p><p>The acquisition also bolsters Microsoft’s Game Pass portfolio with plans to launch Activision Blizzard games into Game Pass, which has reached a new milestone of over 25 million subscribers. With Activision Blizzard’s nearly 400 million monthly active players in 190 countries and three billion-dollar franchises, this acquisition will make Game Pass one of the most compelling and diverse lineups of gaming content in the industry. Upon close, Microsoft will have 30 internal game development studios, along with additional publishing and esports production capabilities.</p><p>The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and completion of regulatory review and Activision Blizzard’s shareholder approval. The deal is expected to close in fiscal year 2023 and will be accretive to non-GAAP earnings per share upon close. The transaction has been approved by the boards of directors of both Microsoft and Activision Blizzard.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","ATVI":"动视暴雪"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149966362","content_text":"Today, Microsoft Corp. announced plans to acquire Activision Blizzard Inc., a leader in game development and interactive entertainment content publisher. This acquisition will accelerate the growth in Microsoft’s gaming business across mobile, PC, console and cloud and will provide building blocks for the metaverse.Microsoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95.00 per share, in an all-cash transaction valued at $68.7 billion, inclusive of Activision Blizzard’s net cash. When the transaction closes, Microsoft will become the world’s third-largest gaming company by revenue, behind Tencent and Sony. The planned acquisition includes iconic franchises from the Activision, Blizzard and King studios like “Warcraft,” “Diablo,” “Overwatch,” “Call of Duty” and “Candy Crush,” in addition to global eSports activities through Major League Gaming. The company has studios around the word with nearly 10,000 employees.Bobby Kotick will continue to serve as CEO of Activision Blizzard, and he and his team will maintain their focus on driving efforts to further strengthen the company’s culture and accelerate business growth. Once the deal closes, the Activision Blizzard business will report to Phil Spencer, CEO, Microsoft Gaming.The acquisition also bolsters Microsoft’s Game Pass portfolio with plans to launch Activision Blizzard games into Game Pass, which has reached a new milestone of over 25 million subscribers. With Activision Blizzard’s nearly 400 million monthly active players in 190 countries and three billion-dollar franchises, this acquisition will make Game Pass one of the most compelling and diverse lineups of gaming content in the industry. Upon close, Microsoft will have 30 internal game development studios, along with additional publishing and esports production capabilities.The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and completion of regulatory review and Activision Blizzard’s shareholder approval. The deal is expected to close in fiscal year 2023 and will be accretive to non-GAAP earnings per share upon close. The transaction has been approved by the boards of directors of both Microsoft and Activision Blizzard.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919472961,"gmtCreate":1663855144153,"gmtModify":1676537350274,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919472961","repostId":"1195007969","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195007969","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663853730,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195007969?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-22 21:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 Opens Flat Following Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rout","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195007969","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The S&P 500 opened flat on Thursday after the major averages came off a day of steep losses followin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 opened flat on Thursday after the major averages came off a day of steep losses following another large rate hike from the Federal Reserve.</p><p>Stocks were mostly lower in early morning trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average last down 30 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500 traded 0.1% lower. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.2%.</p><p>Stocks closed lower on Wednesday, continuing the recent sell-off trend as investors evaluated the Fed’s latest comments. The Dow slumped 522 points. Both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shedding more than 1.7% each, putting both averages at their lowest levels since June 30 and July 1, respectively. The big drop in equities came in a volatile period after the Fed’s third consecutive 0.75 percentage point rate increase.</p><p>“Yesterday’s FOMC meeting was a tough pill for markets to swallow and I think this likely continues for three reasons that came out of the Fed,” said Saira Malik, Nuveen’s chief investment officer, citing higher interest rates, inflation, and unemployment.</p><p>Policymakers on Wednesday pledged to continue raising rates as high as 4.6% in 2023 before pulling back in the fight against inflation, spurring fears on Wall Street that the economy could tip into a recession as the central bank aims to slow economic growth.</p><p>The Fed expects to raise its year-end rate to 4.4% in 2022, continuing aggressive action against rising prices through the remainder of the year.</p><p>DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime” that the Fed needs to slow its rapid pace of tightening.</p><p>“Monetary policy has lags that are long and variable, but we’ve been tightening now for a while,” he said, noting that the impact of the tightening could lead to a recession. Shares of Robinhood jumped in the premarket amid a report that the SEC won’t ban payment for order flow.</p><p>On the economic front, the latest data on weekly jobless claims came in slightly better than expectations.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 Opens Flat Following Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rout</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 Opens Flat Following Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rout\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-22 21:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 opened flat on Thursday after the major averages came off a day of steep losses following another large rate hike from the Federal Reserve.</p><p>Stocks were mostly lower in early morning trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average last down 30 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500 traded 0.1% lower. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.2%.</p><p>Stocks closed lower on Wednesday, continuing the recent sell-off trend as investors evaluated the Fed’s latest comments. The Dow slumped 522 points. Both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shedding more than 1.7% each, putting both averages at their lowest levels since June 30 and July 1, respectively. The big drop in equities came in a volatile period after the Fed’s third consecutive 0.75 percentage point rate increase.</p><p>“Yesterday’s FOMC meeting was a tough pill for markets to swallow and I think this likely continues for three reasons that came out of the Fed,” said Saira Malik, Nuveen’s chief investment officer, citing higher interest rates, inflation, and unemployment.</p><p>Policymakers on Wednesday pledged to continue raising rates as high as 4.6% in 2023 before pulling back in the fight against inflation, spurring fears on Wall Street that the economy could tip into a recession as the central bank aims to slow economic growth.</p><p>The Fed expects to raise its year-end rate to 4.4% in 2022, continuing aggressive action against rising prices through the remainder of the year.</p><p>DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime” that the Fed needs to slow its rapid pace of tightening.</p><p>“Monetary policy has lags that are long and variable, but we’ve been tightening now for a while,” he said, noting that the impact of the tightening could lead to a recession. Shares of Robinhood jumped in the premarket amid a report that the SEC won’t ban payment for order flow.</p><p>On the economic front, the latest data on weekly jobless claims came in slightly better than expectations.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195007969","content_text":"The S&P 500 opened flat on Thursday after the major averages came off a day of steep losses following another large rate hike from the Federal Reserve.Stocks were mostly lower in early morning trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average last down 30 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 traded 0.1% lower. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.2%.Stocks closed lower on Wednesday, continuing the recent sell-off trend as investors evaluated the Fed’s latest comments. The Dow slumped 522 points. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shedding more than 1.7% each, putting both averages at their lowest levels since June 30 and July 1, respectively. The big drop in equities came in a volatile period after the Fed’s third consecutive 0.75 percentage point rate increase.“Yesterday’s FOMC meeting was a tough pill for markets to swallow and I think this likely continues for three reasons that came out of the Fed,” said Saira Malik, Nuveen’s chief investment officer, citing higher interest rates, inflation, and unemployment.Policymakers on Wednesday pledged to continue raising rates as high as 4.6% in 2023 before pulling back in the fight against inflation, spurring fears on Wall Street that the economy could tip into a recession as the central bank aims to slow economic growth.The Fed expects to raise its year-end rate to 4.4% in 2022, continuing aggressive action against rising prices through the remainder of the year.DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime” that the Fed needs to slow its rapid pace of tightening.“Monetary policy has lags that are long and variable, but we’ve been tightening now for a while,” he said, noting that the impact of the tightening could lead to a recession. Shares of Robinhood jumped in the premarket amid a report that the SEC won’t ban payment for order flow.On the economic front, the latest data on weekly jobless claims came in slightly better than expectations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":216047738073256,"gmtCreate":1693746029574,"gmtModify":1693746033981,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright&nbsp;","listText":"Alright&nbsp;","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/216047738073256","repostId":"2364730365","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2364730365","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1693726994,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2364730365?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-09-03 15:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Preeminent Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying in the Wake of the Nasdaq Bear Market Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2364730365","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The innovation-fueled Nasdaq Composite remains 13% below its all-time high, which means bargains can still be found.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>From time to time, Wall Street is known to test the resolve of investors. This occurred during the quickest bear market decline in history (the COVID-19 crash), as well as in 2022, which saw the growth-focused <strong>Nasdaq Composite</strong> lose 33% of its value.</p><p>However, time has a way of healing all wounds on Wall Street -- at least when it comes to the major stock indexes. Thus far in 2023, the Nasdaq Composite has rallied 33%, as of the closing bell on Aug. 29. Yet even with this stellar rally, the Nasdaq remains 13% below its November 2021 record-closing high.</p><p>Whereas some investors would view this 13% decline over the past 21 months and change as a disappointment, long-term investors see it as an opportunity to pounce on game-changing growth stocks at a discount.</p><p>What follows are four preeminent growth stocks you&#39;ll regret not buying in the wake of the Nasdaq bear market dip.</p><h2 id=\"id_4026335959\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</h2><p>The first top-tier growth stock that you&#39;ll be kicking yourself for not buying following the Nasdaq bear market swoon is fintech leader <strong>PayPal Holdings</strong>. Although investors appear concerned with PayPal&#39;s modestly lower gross margin and near-term lack of active user growth, the puzzle pieces are in place for the industry&#39;s leading digital payment player to thrive over the long run.</p><p>For example, the deck has been stacked against PayPal for much of the past year. A historically high inflation rate in 2022, which carried into 2023, has threatened to reduce discretionary spending for low-earning workers. Yet, in spite of this challenge, PayPal managed 11% growth in total payment volume (TPV) in the second quarter on a currency-neutral basis. If PayPal can deliver double-digit TPV growth when times are tough, imagine how quickly its business will bounce back when the U.S. economy is once again firing on all cylinders?</p><p>What&#39;s particularly intriguing about PayPal is the growing engagement it has with its 431 million active users. As of the end of June 2023, the average active account completed 54.7 transactions over the trailing-12-month (TTM) period. That&#39;s up from an average of 53.1 transactions over the TTM in the sequential first quarter, and 40.9 transactions over the TTM period to close out 2020. This steadily rising engagement is imperative for a fee-driven operating model like PayPal.</p><p>Another reason for shareholders to be optimistic is management&#39;s capital-return program. The company&#39;s board approved up to $15 billion in share repurchases last year. Further, the company is targeting $1.3 billion in aggregate cost cuts in 2023. Together, these actions should help sustain double-digit growth in earnings per share.</p><p>A forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11 is criminally cheap for a fintech leader like PayPal.</p><h2 id=\"id_2371510594\">Fastly</h2><p>A second preeminent growth stock you&#39;ll regret not scooping up with the Nasdaq still well below its all-time high is edge computing company <strong>Fastly</strong>. Though Fastly is effectively at a 52-week high, a multitude of catalysts stand ready to push its shares even higher.</p><p>The biggest knock against Fastly has long been its ongoing losses. The 2022 bear market was unforgiving to growth companies that were nowhere near profitability and had insufficient plans to control their spending. However, the hiring of Todd Nightingale as CEO changed everything.</p><p>Nightingale had been the executive vice president of <strong>Cisco Systems</strong>&#39; Enterprise Networking and Cloud division before taking the reins at Fastly. In short, he knows where to tighten the belt and when to depress the accelerator. Fastly&#39;s forward-looking outlook has continually improved since Nightingale took over one year ago. If things continue to improve, Fastly may be able to eke out a full-year profit next year.</p><p>Beyond the addition of a tried-and-true leader in Nightingale, Fastly&#39;s biggest catalyst looks to be the rise of artificial intelligence (AI). Fastly is best known for its services as a content delivery network, with its goal to get information to end users as quickly and securely as possible. With more businesses shifting their data and operations into the cloud, and demand for information from end users continuing to grow, Fastly&#39;s usage-driven operating model is set to thrive.</p><p>Despite losing money, many of Fastly&#39;s key performance indicators are headed in the right direction. Average enterprise customer spend has, with few exceptions, been slowly moving higher, while its dollar-based net expansion rate has consistently hovered between 118% and 123% for the past eight quarters. In simpler terms, existing customers are spending anywhere from 18% to 23% more on a year-over-year basis with Fastly. That&#39;s a recipe for success.</p><h2 id=\"id_3008441251\">BioMarin Pharmaceutical</h2><p>The third magnificent growth stock you&#39;ll regret not buying following the Nasdaq bear market drop is biotech company <strong>BioMarin Pharmaceutical</strong>. Even though healthcare stocks have been largely left in the dust by megacap tech through the first eight months of 2023, select winners in the healthcare space, like BioMarin, have the tools and intangibles to reward patient investors.</p><p>Before diving into company specifics, it&#39;s worth noting that healthcare stocks are quite defensive. No matter what the U.S. economy or stock market throws at drug companies, demand for their products isn&#39;t going to change. Patients who need lifesaving/improving therapies yesterday are going to need them in the future, no matter how well or poorly the U.S. economy is performing. This leads to highly predictable operating cash flow for companies like BioMarin.</p><p>The key drug that makes BioMarin tick is Voxzogo. This is a U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved therapy designed to increase linear growth in children aged 5 and older with achondroplasia. Sales are up 273% through the first six months of 2023, with label expansion opportunities giving Voxzogo a chance at more than $1 billion in eventual peak annual sales. </p><p>There&#39;s also plenty of excitement about Roctavian, which was approved by the FDA as a severe hemophilia A treatment in June 2023. BioMarin is prepping for its U.S. launch and working with public insurance funds in Europe to secure access to its new therapy throughout Europe.</p><p>The icing on the cake for investors is that BioMarin strictly deals with ultra-rare diseases. Although there are clear risks in targeting a very small pool of patients, there are also rewards for approved therapies. Ultra-rare disease drugs approved by the FDA don&#39;t usually face pushback from insurers on pricing, and they often contend with little or no competition. This should preserve BioMarin&#39;s cash flow for a long time to come.</p><h2 id=\"id_2306342766\">Palo Alto Networks</h2><p>A fourth preeminent growth stock you&#39;ll regret not buying in the wake of the Nasdaq bear market dip is cybersecurity stock <strong>Palo Alto Networks</strong>. Despite having a premium valuation in an uncertain economic environment, Palo Alto has continually demonstrated that it&#39;s worth every penny of its premium.</p><p>Similar to BioMarin, what investors get with Palo Alto is cash-flow consistency. With businesses accelerating the pace at which they&#39;re moving data online and into the cloud following the COVID-19 pandemic, demand for third-party protection from the likes of Palo Alto have only increased. Regardless of what happens with U.S. economic growth, hackers don&#39;t take time off.</p><p>On a more company-specific basis, Palo Alto&#39;s roughly five-year (and counting) shift toward a software-as-a-service (SaaS) subscription model has really paid off. Although it&#39;s still providing physical firewall products, 77% of the company&#39;s $6.89 billion in full-year sales in fiscal 2023 (ended July 31)  were derived from SaaS subscriptions. That&#39;s up from just shy of 62% in fiscal 2018. </p><p>Focusing on SaaS subscriptions comes with a number of clear-cut advantages for Palo Alto. For starters, subscriptions retain customers far better than physical security solutions do. Secondly, the margins associated with subscriptions are higher than physical products, and the quarterly revenue recognition tends to be less lumpy. Third, and perhaps most important, an SaaS cybersecurity model that&#39;s cloud-based and reliant on AI will be more efficient at recognizing and responding to potential threats than on-premises security solutions.</p><p>Lastly, Palo Alto Networks is having incredible success landing the big fish. In fiscal 2023, deals worth at least $10 million and $20 million jumped by 37% and 43%, respectively, from the prior-year period.  Though a steady stream of bolt-on acquisitions is helping Palo Alto reach new small- and medium-sized businesses, it&#39;s these larger deals that are really making a difference.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Preeminent Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying in the Wake of the Nasdaq Bear Market Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Preeminent Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying in the Wake of the Nasdaq Bear Market Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-03 15:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/02/nasdaq-bear-market-4-growth-stocks-regret-not-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>From time to time, Wall Street is known to test the resolve of investors. This occurred during the quickest bear market decline in history (the COVID-19 crash), as well as in 2022, which saw the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/02/nasdaq-bear-market-4-growth-stocks-regret-not-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","PYPL":"PayPal",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TTM":"塔塔汽车","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/02/nasdaq-bear-market-4-growth-stocks-regret-not-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2364730365","content_text":"From time to time, Wall Street is known to test the resolve of investors. This occurred during the quickest bear market decline in history (the COVID-19 crash), as well as in 2022, which saw the growth-focused Nasdaq Composite lose 33% of its value.However, time has a way of healing all wounds on Wall Street -- at least when it comes to the major stock indexes. Thus far in 2023, the Nasdaq Composite has rallied 33%, as of the closing bell on Aug. 29. Yet even with this stellar rally, the Nasdaq remains 13% below its November 2021 record-closing high.Whereas some investors would view this 13% decline over the past 21 months and change as a disappointment, long-term investors see it as an opportunity to pounce on game-changing growth stocks at a discount.What follows are four preeminent growth stocks you'll regret not buying in the wake of the Nasdaq bear market dip.PayPal HoldingsThe first top-tier growth stock that you'll be kicking yourself for not buying following the Nasdaq bear market swoon is fintech leader PayPal Holdings. Although investors appear concerned with PayPal's modestly lower gross margin and near-term lack of active user growth, the puzzle pieces are in place for the industry's leading digital payment player to thrive over the long run.For example, the deck has been stacked against PayPal for much of the past year. A historically high inflation rate in 2022, which carried into 2023, has threatened to reduce discretionary spending for low-earning workers. Yet, in spite of this challenge, PayPal managed 11% growth in total payment volume (TPV) in the second quarter on a currency-neutral basis. If PayPal can deliver double-digit TPV growth when times are tough, imagine how quickly its business will bounce back when the U.S. economy is once again firing on all cylinders?What's particularly intriguing about PayPal is the growing engagement it has with its 431 million active users. As of the end of June 2023, the average active account completed 54.7 transactions over the trailing-12-month (TTM) period. That's up from an average of 53.1 transactions over the TTM in the sequential first quarter, and 40.9 transactions over the TTM period to close out 2020. This steadily rising engagement is imperative for a fee-driven operating model like PayPal.Another reason for shareholders to be optimistic is management's capital-return program. The company's board approved up to $15 billion in share repurchases last year. Further, the company is targeting $1.3 billion in aggregate cost cuts in 2023. Together, these actions should help sustain double-digit growth in earnings per share.A forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11 is criminally cheap for a fintech leader like PayPal.FastlyA second preeminent growth stock you'll regret not scooping up with the Nasdaq still well below its all-time high is edge computing company Fastly. Though Fastly is effectively at a 52-week high, a multitude of catalysts stand ready to push its shares even higher.The biggest knock against Fastly has long been its ongoing losses. The 2022 bear market was unforgiving to growth companies that were nowhere near profitability and had insufficient plans to control their spending. However, the hiring of Todd Nightingale as CEO changed everything.Nightingale had been the executive vice president of Cisco Systems' Enterprise Networking and Cloud division before taking the reins at Fastly. In short, he knows where to tighten the belt and when to depress the accelerator. Fastly's forward-looking outlook has continually improved since Nightingale took over one year ago. If things continue to improve, Fastly may be able to eke out a full-year profit next year.Beyond the addition of a tried-and-true leader in Nightingale, Fastly's biggest catalyst looks to be the rise of artificial intelligence (AI). Fastly is best known for its services as a content delivery network, with its goal to get information to end users as quickly and securely as possible. With more businesses shifting their data and operations into the cloud, and demand for information from end users continuing to grow, Fastly's usage-driven operating model is set to thrive.Despite losing money, many of Fastly's key performance indicators are headed in the right direction. Average enterprise customer spend has, with few exceptions, been slowly moving higher, while its dollar-based net expansion rate has consistently hovered between 118% and 123% for the past eight quarters. In simpler terms, existing customers are spending anywhere from 18% to 23% more on a year-over-year basis with Fastly. That's a recipe for success.BioMarin PharmaceuticalThe third magnificent growth stock you'll regret not buying following the Nasdaq bear market drop is biotech company BioMarin Pharmaceutical. Even though healthcare stocks have been largely left in the dust by megacap tech through the first eight months of 2023, select winners in the healthcare space, like BioMarin, have the tools and intangibles to reward patient investors.Before diving into company specifics, it's worth noting that healthcare stocks are quite defensive. No matter what the U.S. economy or stock market throws at drug companies, demand for their products isn't going to change. Patients who need lifesaving/improving therapies yesterday are going to need them in the future, no matter how well or poorly the U.S. economy is performing. This leads to highly predictable operating cash flow for companies like BioMarin.The key drug that makes BioMarin tick is Voxzogo. This is a U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved therapy designed to increase linear growth in children aged 5 and older with achondroplasia. Sales are up 273% through the first six months of 2023, with label expansion opportunities giving Voxzogo a chance at more than $1 billion in eventual peak annual sales. There's also plenty of excitement about Roctavian, which was approved by the FDA as a severe hemophilia A treatment in June 2023. BioMarin is prepping for its U.S. launch and working with public insurance funds in Europe to secure access to its new therapy throughout Europe.The icing on the cake for investors is that BioMarin strictly deals with ultra-rare diseases. Although there are clear risks in targeting a very small pool of patients, there are also rewards for approved therapies. Ultra-rare disease drugs approved by the FDA don't usually face pushback from insurers on pricing, and they often contend with little or no competition. This should preserve BioMarin's cash flow for a long time to come.Palo Alto NetworksA fourth preeminent growth stock you'll regret not buying in the wake of the Nasdaq bear market dip is cybersecurity stock Palo Alto Networks. Despite having a premium valuation in an uncertain economic environment, Palo Alto has continually demonstrated that it's worth every penny of its premium.Similar to BioMarin, what investors get with Palo Alto is cash-flow consistency. With businesses accelerating the pace at which they're moving data online and into the cloud following the COVID-19 pandemic, demand for third-party protection from the likes of Palo Alto have only increased. Regardless of what happens with U.S. economic growth, hackers don't take time off.On a more company-specific basis, Palo Alto's roughly five-year (and counting) shift toward a software-as-a-service (SaaS) subscription model has really paid off. Although it's still providing physical firewall products, 77% of the company's $6.89 billion in full-year sales in fiscal 2023 (ended July 31)  were derived from SaaS subscriptions. That's up from just shy of 62% in fiscal 2018. Focusing on SaaS subscriptions comes with a number of clear-cut advantages for Palo Alto. For starters, subscriptions retain customers far better than physical security solutions do. Secondly, the margins associated with subscriptions are higher than physical products, and the quarterly revenue recognition tends to be less lumpy. Third, and perhaps most important, an SaaS cybersecurity model that's cloud-based and reliant on AI will be more efficient at recognizing and responding to potential threats than on-premises security solutions.Lastly, Palo Alto Networks is having incredible success landing the big fish. In fiscal 2023, deals worth at least $10 million and $20 million jumped by 37% and 43%, respectively, from the prior-year period.  Though a steady stream of bolt-on acquisitions is helping Palo Alto reach new small- and medium-sized businesses, it's these larger deals that are really making a difference.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944750203,"gmtCreate":1682225897202,"gmtModify":1682225901377,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944750203","repostId":"1183683729","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183683729","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681816188,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183683729?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-18 19:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Earnings Preview:  Will Job Cuts Improve the Balance Sheets?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183683729","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Amazon Web Services' top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4'22. The market should ready itself for a fu","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>Amazon Web Services&#39; top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4&#39;22. The market should ready itself for a further slowdown in growth in Q1&#39;23 as the macro picture did not improve and the financial crisis may have further added uncertainty to an already weakening economy.</blockquote><p>Amazon, the global e-commerce and web services company, will report Q1 FY23 earnings on Thursday, April 27 after the market closes.</p><p>Analysts expect Amazon to post revenue of $124.63 billion, Adjusted net profit of $6.03 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.438 for the quarter, according to Bloomberg consensus.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39ea29643a1c039983dbff702ced2c04\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"337\"/></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Latest Results</h2><p>Amazon Q4 reported a holiday profit of $278 million, or 3 cents a share, down from $1.39 a share a year ago. Revenue increased to $149.2 billion from $137.41 billion a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting earnings of 17 cents a share on sales of $145.71 billion, according to FactSet.</p><p>In the fourth quarter, AWS produced operating income of $5.21 billion on revenue of $21.38 billion. Analysts on average were expecting profit of $5.73 billion on sales of $21.85 billion, according to FactSet.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">A Heightened Focus On Cost Savings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After the second round of job cuts, Arun Sundaram, senior equity analyst at CFRA, maintained a buy rating on Amazon stock.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;While some may view these job cuts as a sign of a gloomier macro outlook, especially as it relates to cloud computing and digital advertising, we believe investors will appreciate Amazon&#39;s heightened focus on cost savings and free cash flow,&#34; Sundaram wrote in a note to clients.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The most recent layoff announcements, in March, came after Amazon announced fourth-quarter results on Feb. 2. The company beat on revenue but missed on earnings, as its typically strong cloud computing unit failed to rescue the e-commerce giant.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The cloud unit showed that revenue decelerated. AWS sales jumped 20% to $21.4 billion, but that was below expectations and a deceleration from 27% growth in the prior quarter</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein said more cost-cutting efforts are needed. &#34;We believe more layoffs are necessary for e-commerce to become meaningfully profitable,&#34; he said in his note to clients.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">2 Key Metrics：Amazon Web Services &amp; Free Cash Flow</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The first metric is Amazon Web Services&#39; top line growth and the second metric is Amazon&#39;s free cash flow.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">If there is a way for Amazon to surprise regarding Q1&#39;23 earnings it would likely relate to Amazon Web Services which is Amazon&#39;s growth engine. The company has seen a serious ramp in revenues in the last two years, with growth accelerating during the pandemic. But the segment&#39;s top line growth has started to slow down in the second half of FY 2022 as companies have become more careful about spending money in a high-inflation world.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Amazon Web Services&#39; top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4&#39;22, down from 40% in the year-earlier period. While 20% is still a great growth rate, the market should ready itself for a further slowdown in growth in Q1&#39;23 as the macro picture did not improve and the financial crisis may have further added uncertainty to an already weakening economy. </p><p>Turning to free cash flow.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Since Amazon still suffers from a slowdown in the e-Commerce economy following a major pandemic boom, the e-Commerce is likely to report yet another quarter of negative free cash flow. Like its operating income trend, Amazon has taken a free cash flow hit in FY 2022 as the company has seen weakening operating cash flow growth and continues to invest aggressively in new products and services. The result has been a steep decline in free cash flow which declined 28% year over year in Q4&#39;22. With that said, should Amazon surprise, against all odds, with strong free cash flow, shares of Amazon may revalue higher post-earnings.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Amazon Jumps Into Artificial Intelligence</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On April 13, Amazon jumped into the booming field of generative artificial intelligence<strong>,</strong> the technology behind ChatGPT. Amazon stock climbed on the news, as did other AI companies.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Alphabet and Microsoft (MSFT) previously announced plans to bring ChatGPT to the public. Meanwhile, Amazon&#39;s cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services, plans to target corporate customers.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">AWS will also expand access to custom-made chips. They say the chips can run AI software more efficiently and cheaper than competitors can.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;Machine learning has been a technology with high promise for several decades. But it&#39;s only been the last five to 10 years that it&#39;s started to be used more pervasively by companies,&#34; Chief Executive Andy Jassy said in his letter to shareholders.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Machine learning is a form of artificial intelligence.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Jassy went on to say: &#34;We will continue to invest substantially in these models across all of our consumer, seller, brand and creator experience.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Earnings Preview:  Will Job Cuts Improve the Balance Sheets?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Earnings Preview:  Will Job Cuts Improve the Balance Sheets?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-04-18 19:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>Amazon Web Services&#39; top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4&#39;22. The market should ready itself for a further slowdown in growth in Q1&#39;23 as the macro picture did not improve and the financial crisis may have further added uncertainty to an already weakening economy.</blockquote><p>Amazon, the global e-commerce and web services company, will report Q1 FY23 earnings on Thursday, April 27 after the market closes.</p><p>Analysts expect Amazon to post revenue of $124.63 billion, Adjusted net profit of $6.03 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.438 for the quarter, according to Bloomberg consensus.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39ea29643a1c039983dbff702ced2c04\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"337\"/></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Latest Results</h2><p>Amazon Q4 reported a holiday profit of $278 million, or 3 cents a share, down from $1.39 a share a year ago. Revenue increased to $149.2 billion from $137.41 billion a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting earnings of 17 cents a share on sales of $145.71 billion, according to FactSet.</p><p>In the fourth quarter, AWS produced operating income of $5.21 billion on revenue of $21.38 billion. Analysts on average were expecting profit of $5.73 billion on sales of $21.85 billion, according to FactSet.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">A Heightened Focus On Cost Savings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After the second round of job cuts, Arun Sundaram, senior equity analyst at CFRA, maintained a buy rating on Amazon stock.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;While some may view these job cuts as a sign of a gloomier macro outlook, especially as it relates to cloud computing and digital advertising, we believe investors will appreciate Amazon&#39;s heightened focus on cost savings and free cash flow,&#34; Sundaram wrote in a note to clients.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The most recent layoff announcements, in March, came after Amazon announced fourth-quarter results on Feb. 2. The company beat on revenue but missed on earnings, as its typically strong cloud computing unit failed to rescue the e-commerce giant.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The cloud unit showed that revenue decelerated. AWS sales jumped 20% to $21.4 billion, but that was below expectations and a deceleration from 27% growth in the prior quarter</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein said more cost-cutting efforts are needed. &#34;We believe more layoffs are necessary for e-commerce to become meaningfully profitable,&#34; he said in his note to clients.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">2 Key Metrics：Amazon Web Services &amp; Free Cash Flow</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The first metric is Amazon Web Services&#39; top line growth and the second metric is Amazon&#39;s free cash flow.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">If there is a way for Amazon to surprise regarding Q1&#39;23 earnings it would likely relate to Amazon Web Services which is Amazon&#39;s growth engine. The company has seen a serious ramp in revenues in the last two years, with growth accelerating during the pandemic. But the segment&#39;s top line growth has started to slow down in the second half of FY 2022 as companies have become more careful about spending money in a high-inflation world.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Amazon Web Services&#39; top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4&#39;22, down from 40% in the year-earlier period. While 20% is still a great growth rate, the market should ready itself for a further slowdown in growth in Q1&#39;23 as the macro picture did not improve and the financial crisis may have further added uncertainty to an already weakening economy. </p><p>Turning to free cash flow.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Since Amazon still suffers from a slowdown in the e-Commerce economy following a major pandemic boom, the e-Commerce is likely to report yet another quarter of negative free cash flow. Like its operating income trend, Amazon has taken a free cash flow hit in FY 2022 as the company has seen weakening operating cash flow growth and continues to invest aggressively in new products and services. The result has been a steep decline in free cash flow which declined 28% year over year in Q4&#39;22. With that said, should Amazon surprise, against all odds, with strong free cash flow, shares of Amazon may revalue higher post-earnings.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Amazon Jumps Into Artificial Intelligence</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On April 13, Amazon jumped into the booming field of generative artificial intelligence<strong>,</strong> the technology behind ChatGPT. Amazon stock climbed on the news, as did other AI companies.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Alphabet and Microsoft (MSFT) previously announced plans to bring ChatGPT to the public. Meanwhile, Amazon&#39;s cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services, plans to target corporate customers.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">AWS will also expand access to custom-made chips. They say the chips can run AI software more efficiently and cheaper than competitors can.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;Machine learning has been a technology with high promise for several decades. But it&#39;s only been the last five to 10 years that it&#39;s started to be used more pervasively by companies,&#34; Chief Executive Andy Jassy said in his letter to shareholders.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Machine learning is a form of artificial intelligence.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Jassy went on to say: &#34;We will continue to invest substantially in these models across all of our consumer, seller, brand and creator experience.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183683729","content_text":"Amazon Web Services' top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4'22. The market should ready itself for a further slowdown in growth in Q1'23 as the macro picture did not improve and the financial crisis may have further added uncertainty to an already weakening economy.Amazon, the global e-commerce and web services company, will report Q1 FY23 earnings on Thursday, April 27 after the market closes.Analysts expect Amazon to post revenue of $124.63 billion, Adjusted net profit of $6.03 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.438 for the quarter, according to Bloomberg consensus.Latest ResultsAmazon Q4 reported a holiday profit of $278 million, or 3 cents a share, down from $1.39 a share a year ago. Revenue increased to $149.2 billion from $137.41 billion a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting earnings of 17 cents a share on sales of $145.71 billion, according to FactSet.In the fourth quarter, AWS produced operating income of $5.21 billion on revenue of $21.38 billion. Analysts on average were expecting profit of $5.73 billion on sales of $21.85 billion, according to FactSet.A Heightened Focus On Cost SavingsAfter the second round of job cuts, Arun Sundaram, senior equity analyst at CFRA, maintained a buy rating on Amazon stock.\"While some may view these job cuts as a sign of a gloomier macro outlook, especially as it relates to cloud computing and digital advertising, we believe investors will appreciate Amazon's heightened focus on cost savings and free cash flow,\" Sundaram wrote in a note to clients.The most recent layoff announcements, in March, came after Amazon announced fourth-quarter results on Feb. 2. The company beat on revenue but missed on earnings, as its typically strong cloud computing unit failed to rescue the e-commerce giant.The cloud unit showed that revenue decelerated. AWS sales jumped 20% to $21.4 billion, but that was below expectations and a deceleration from 27% growth in the prior quarterOppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein said more cost-cutting efforts are needed. \"We believe more layoffs are necessary for e-commerce to become meaningfully profitable,\" he said in his note to clients.2 Key Metrics：Amazon Web Services & Free Cash FlowThe first metric is Amazon Web Services' top line growth and the second metric is Amazon's free cash flow.If there is a way for Amazon to surprise regarding Q1'23 earnings it would likely relate to Amazon Web Services which is Amazon's growth engine. The company has seen a serious ramp in revenues in the last two years, with growth accelerating during the pandemic. But the segment's top line growth has started to slow down in the second half of FY 2022 as companies have become more careful about spending money in a high-inflation world.Amazon Web Services' top line growth slowed to 20% in Q4'22, down from 40% in the year-earlier period. While 20% is still a great growth rate, the market should ready itself for a further slowdown in growth in Q1'23 as the macro picture did not improve and the financial crisis may have further added uncertainty to an already weakening economy. Turning to free cash flow.Since Amazon still suffers from a slowdown in the e-Commerce economy following a major pandemic boom, the e-Commerce is likely to report yet another quarter of negative free cash flow. Like its operating income trend, Amazon has taken a free cash flow hit in FY 2022 as the company has seen weakening operating cash flow growth and continues to invest aggressively in new products and services. The result has been a steep decline in free cash flow which declined 28% year over year in Q4'22. With that said, should Amazon surprise, against all odds, with strong free cash flow, shares of Amazon may revalue higher post-earnings.Amazon Jumps Into Artificial IntelligenceOn April 13, Amazon jumped into the booming field of generative artificial intelligence, the technology behind ChatGPT. Amazon stock climbed on the news, as did other AI companies.Alphabet and Microsoft (MSFT) previously announced plans to bring ChatGPT to the public. Meanwhile, Amazon's cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services, plans to target corporate customers.AWS will also expand access to custom-made chips. They say the chips can run AI software more efficiently and cheaper than competitors can.\"Machine learning has been a technology with high promise for several decades. But it's only been the last five to 10 years that it's started to be used more pervasively by companies,\" Chief Executive Andy Jassy said in his letter to shareholders.Machine learning is a form of artificial intelligence.Jassy went on to say: \"We will continue to invest substantially in these models across all of our consumer, seller, brand and creator experience.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379446739435704,"gmtCreate":1733663914084,"gmtModify":1733663921425,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp; Christmas Comes Once a Year, But Sheer Joy Shall Last Forever!&nbsp; May the year end with a bang but let 2024 be the catalyst of a raging Bull that's to come by! Thank you $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ &amp; Seasons Greetings 🎄","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp; Christmas Comes Once a Year, But Sheer Joy Shall Last Forever!&nbsp; May the year end with a bang but let 2024 be the catalyst of a raging Bull that's to come by! Thank you $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ &amp; Seasons Greetings 🎄","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Christmas Comes Once a Year, But Sheer Joy Shall Last Forever! May the year end with a bang but let 2024 be the catalyst of a raging Bull that's to come by! Thank you $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ & Seasons Greetings 🎄","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3548bb578677bfd2e91999deb4811d0","width":"860","height":"573"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fade0ef6897d1889937b2fb66069d63b","width":"1024","height":"768"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33e657cb62753905500a4968b23dd699","width":"860","height":"573"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379446739435704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3501196737273098","authorId":"3501196737273098","name":"Tiger_comments","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/227887b200e9925968650d5db4a8bfb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3501196737273098","authorIdStr":"3501196737273098"},"content":"It’s soooooo beautiful!!! Thanks for sharing~~~","text":"It’s soooooo beautiful!!! Thanks for sharing~~~","html":"It’s soooooo beautiful!!! Thanks for sharing~~~"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041473772,"gmtCreate":1656095649896,"gmtModify":1676535766632,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just be patient 😉","listText":"Just be patient 😉","text":"Just be patient 😉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041473772","repostId":"2245227500","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2245227500","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656062886,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2245227500?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-24 17:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: A Strong Recession Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2245227500","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir’s shares have been trampled upon this year.The firm's government segment and recent ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir’s shares have been trampled upon this year.</li><li>The firm&#39;s government segment and recent contract win should stabilize Palantir as the economy likely heads into a recession.</li><li>Palantir is cashed up and has no financial debt.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23d0f121f38325521c0b8ebbb42b26b3\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p>Shares of software analytics company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:PLTR) have so far lost 50% of their value year to date. This is despite Palantir making significant progress regarding customer acquisition and improving monetization. The market may currently not favor Palantir, but the company represents compelling value for investors in a recession: Palantir has a stable government business with predictable revenues and a very promising commercial business that is seeing accelerating momentum. I believe shares are too cheap given the firm’s potential in the big data niche, and the risk profile around $9 is highly favorable!</p><p><b>Palantir: Down But Not Out</b></p><p>Shares of Palantir have cratered this year as investors swapped growth stocks for value stocks. Inflation is soaring, higher interest rates are starting to create headwinds for stocks, and the Ukraine-Russia conflict has amplified supply chain disruptions. However, I believe Palantir’s government business offers stability and predictable revenue growth during more uncertain and volatile times, while the commercial business provides upside potential.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/980790d9b734c82ef3a21d3baba26516\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Its Government Business Stabilizes Palantir In A Recession</b></p><p>Palantir’s reliance on government contracts is a key asset for the software analytics company, especially if a recession makes it harder for companies to earn a dollar. Palantir’s government business generated $241.8M in revenues in the first-quarter, showing an increase of 16% year over year. Commercial revenues increased at a rate three times faster, as more companies adopt Palantir&#39;s Foundry platforms. Government revenues accounted for 54% of Palantir’s revenues in Q1’22. Going forward, the U.S. government is going to remain Palantir&#39;s largest and most important client.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a46c00ed600f7a80926b31087eb09124\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"145\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>In the first week of June, Palantir announced that the U.S. Space Systems Command awarded the company a $53.8M contract increase related to deployment of Palantir’s Data-as-a-Service platform. The total deal value has since risen to $175.4M.</p><p>The deal with the U.S. Space Systems Command is only one deal the company has struck lately, and Palantir has been exceptionally successful in growing its combined deal value over time. Palantir ended the first-quarter with a total remaining deal value of $3.5B, showing 26% year-over-year growth. The number of new deals closed soared 157% in Q1’22 to 208, while billings increased 35% year over year to $490M.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d1f3ce19dccc864789948657271d33\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"553\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>As the company onboards more clients this year, especially in the commercial business -- which is where Palantir’s acquisition momentum is -- the firm has a real chance of growing its operating margins and achieve profitability. Palantir generates adjusted operating margins of around 30% right now, but could achieve margins between 35-40% longer term as customer monetization improves.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f50d239dc63888e8345c1929345de3d0\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"368\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p><b>Recession-Proof Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Besides a strong government business, Palantir has a fortress balance sheet that protects the firm against recession-induced downside. The big data company had $2.3B in cash on its balance sheet at the end of the first-quarter, and the company did not have any financial liabilities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fc937ac14192176064c185ca124af26\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"692\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p><b>Palantir’s Growth Is Discounted</b></p><p>There is no denying it: the market doesn’t value growth stocks very much right now… and this is why shares of Palantir have revalued to just $9. However, I believe Palantir represents deep value at this price and valuation level, in large part because the firm will continue to grow its top line at impressive rates. Management recently reaffirmed its outlook for 30% annual revenue growth until FY 2025, and I believe this is a very achievable goal.</p><p>Palantir is just on the cusp of being profitable, too. Estimates call for $0.16 per-share in profits in FY 2022 and $0.24 per-share in FY 2023. Based off of FY 2023 estimates, Palantir has a price-to-earnings ratio of 38X... which is not a high ratio for a company that expects 30% annual revenue growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a023e3bc055503b924109cea29812007\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Risks With Palantir</b></p><p>A major risk for Palantir would be if the U.S. government, which is responsible for the majority of Palantir’s revenues, decided to reduce its spending on the firm’s products and services during a recession. Another risk is that the company is diluting shareholders... for which Palantir’s management has been rightfully criticized. I would change my mind about Palantir if the company were to scrap its long term guidance of 30% annual revenue growth or if customer acquisition rates deteriorated.</p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Palantir may be down big at the moment, but the long term outlook for revenue growth is unchanged. Palantir has a very profitable government segment that should help stabilize the firm in a recession, and the balance sheet looks very robust as well.</p><p>At the same time, the commercial segment has upside potential through incremental customer acquisition and stronger monetization. Recent contracts wins and Palantir’s massive order backlog all but guarantee steady cash flow for Palantir in the coming years. Shares of Palantir have become way too cheap, and the risk profile remains heavily skewed to the upside!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: A Strong Recession Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: A Strong Recession Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-24 17:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519977-palantir-a-strong-recession-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir’s shares have been trampled upon this year.The firm's government segment and recent contract win should stabilize Palantir as the economy likely heads into a recession.Palantir is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519977-palantir-a-strong-recession-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519977-palantir-a-strong-recession-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2245227500","content_text":"SummaryPalantir’s shares have been trampled upon this year.The firm's government segment and recent contract win should stabilize Palantir as the economy likely heads into a recession.Palantir is cashed up and has no financial debt.Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesShares of software analytics company Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) have so far lost 50% of their value year to date. This is despite Palantir making significant progress regarding customer acquisition and improving monetization. The market may currently not favor Palantir, but the company represents compelling value for investors in a recession: Palantir has a stable government business with predictable revenues and a very promising commercial business that is seeing accelerating momentum. I believe shares are too cheap given the firm’s potential in the big data niche, and the risk profile around $9 is highly favorable!Palantir: Down But Not OutShares of Palantir have cratered this year as investors swapped growth stocks for value stocks. Inflation is soaring, higher interest rates are starting to create headwinds for stocks, and the Ukraine-Russia conflict has amplified supply chain disruptions. However, I believe Palantir’s government business offers stability and predictable revenue growth during more uncertain and volatile times, while the commercial business provides upside potential.Its Government Business Stabilizes Palantir In A RecessionPalantir’s reliance on government contracts is a key asset for the software analytics company, especially if a recession makes it harder for companies to earn a dollar. Palantir’s government business generated $241.8M in revenues in the first-quarter, showing an increase of 16% year over year. Commercial revenues increased at a rate three times faster, as more companies adopt Palantir's Foundry platforms. Government revenues accounted for 54% of Palantir’s revenues in Q1’22. Going forward, the U.S. government is going to remain Palantir's largest and most important client.PalantirIn the first week of June, Palantir announced that the U.S. Space Systems Command awarded the company a $53.8M contract increase related to deployment of Palantir’s Data-as-a-Service platform. The total deal value has since risen to $175.4M.The deal with the U.S. Space Systems Command is only one deal the company has struck lately, and Palantir has been exceptionally successful in growing its combined deal value over time. Palantir ended the first-quarter with a total remaining deal value of $3.5B, showing 26% year-over-year growth. The number of new deals closed soared 157% in Q1’22 to 208, while billings increased 35% year over year to $490M.PalantirAs the company onboards more clients this year, especially in the commercial business -- which is where Palantir’s acquisition momentum is -- the firm has a real chance of growing its operating margins and achieve profitability. Palantir generates adjusted operating margins of around 30% right now, but could achieve margins between 35-40% longer term as customer monetization improves.PalantirRecession-Proof Balance SheetBesides a strong government business, Palantir has a fortress balance sheet that protects the firm against recession-induced downside. The big data company had $2.3B in cash on its balance sheet at the end of the first-quarter, and the company did not have any financial liabilities.PalantirPalantir’s Growth Is DiscountedThere is no denying it: the market doesn’t value growth stocks very much right now… and this is why shares of Palantir have revalued to just $9. However, I believe Palantir represents deep value at this price and valuation level, in large part because the firm will continue to grow its top line at impressive rates. Management recently reaffirmed its outlook for 30% annual revenue growth until FY 2025, and I believe this is a very achievable goal.Palantir is just on the cusp of being profitable, too. Estimates call for $0.16 per-share in profits in FY 2022 and $0.24 per-share in FY 2023. Based off of FY 2023 estimates, Palantir has a price-to-earnings ratio of 38X... which is not a high ratio for a company that expects 30% annual revenue growth.Risks With PalantirA major risk for Palantir would be if the U.S. government, which is responsible for the majority of Palantir’s revenues, decided to reduce its spending on the firm’s products and services during a recession. Another risk is that the company is diluting shareholders... for which Palantir’s management has been rightfully criticized. I would change my mind about Palantir if the company were to scrap its long term guidance of 30% annual revenue growth or if customer acquisition rates deteriorated.Final ThoughtsPalantir may be down big at the moment, but the long term outlook for revenue growth is unchanged. Palantir has a very profitable government segment that should help stabilize the firm in a recession, and the balance sheet looks very robust as well.At the same time, the commercial segment has upside potential through incremental customer acquisition and stronger monetization. Recent contracts wins and Palantir’s massive order backlog all but guarantee steady cash flow for Palantir in the coming years. Shares of Palantir have become way too cheap, and the risk profile remains heavily skewed to the upside!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064136174,"gmtCreate":1652291257998,"gmtModify":1676535069946,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It's profiting but some people are upset about slight off benchmark... 🤦🏻","listText":"It's profiting but some people are upset about slight off benchmark... 🤦🏻","text":"It's profiting but some people are upset about slight off benchmark... 🤦🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064136174","repostId":"1165010582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165010582","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1652279798,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165010582?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-11 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165010582","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"SoFi Technologies topped expectations with its latest results but delivered a mixed forecast","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d3ee8ad9cf20b1bc9b12145fe620905\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"665\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast in an earnings report that came out several hours before it was officially expected.</p><p>The financial services and loans company posted a net loss of $110.4 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a loss of $177.6 million, or $1.61 a share, in the year-prior period. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting 13 cents a share in net earnings.</p><p>The company also logged adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of $8.7 million, up from $4.1 million a year before, whereas analysts were modeling $5 million.</p><p>SoFi&#39;s total revenue climbed to $330.3 million from $196.0 million. The FactSet consensus was for $282 million.</p><p>&#34;These strong results, which we achieved despite volatile markets and the changing political, fiscal and economic landscape, demonstrate how our strategy of building a full suite of differentiated products and services has created a uniquely diversified business that can not only endure, but outperform across market cycles,&#34; Chief Executive Anthony Noto said in a release.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-11 22:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>SoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d3ee8ad9cf20b1bc9b12145fe620905\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"665\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast in an earnings report that came out several hours before it was officially expected.</p><p>The financial services and loans company posted a net loss of $110.4 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a loss of $177.6 million, or $1.61 a share, in the year-prior period. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting 13 cents a share in net earnings.</p><p>The company also logged adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of $8.7 million, up from $4.1 million a year before, whereas analysts were modeling $5 million.</p><p>SoFi&#39;s total revenue climbed to $330.3 million from $196.0 million. The FactSet consensus was for $282 million.</p><p>&#34;These strong results, which we achieved despite volatile markets and the changing political, fiscal and economic landscape, demonstrate how our strategy of building a full suite of differentiated products and services has created a uniquely diversified business that can not only endure, but outperform across market cycles,&#34; Chief Executive Anthony Noto said in a release.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165010582","content_text":"SoFi Stock Climbed 5% in Morning Trading.SoFi Technologies Inc. topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast.SoFi Technologies Inc. topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast in an earnings report that came out several hours before it was officially expected.The financial services and loans company posted a net loss of $110.4 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a loss of $177.6 million, or $1.61 a share, in the year-prior period. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting 13 cents a share in net earnings.The company also logged adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of $8.7 million, up from $4.1 million a year before, whereas analysts were modeling $5 million.SoFi's total revenue climbed to $330.3 million from $196.0 million. The FactSet consensus was for $282 million.\"These strong results, which we achieved despite volatile markets and the changing political, fiscal and economic landscape, demonstrate how our strategy of building a full suite of differentiated products and services has created a uniquely diversified business that can not only endure, but outperform across market cycles,\" Chief Executive Anthony Noto said in a release.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3578468158955348","authorId":"3578468158955348","name":"Kel9670ong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd86c42e207fbd94e7f8877a29457d71","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578468158955348","authorIdStr":"3578468158955348"},"content":"every investor has their own trading motives","text":"every investor has their own trading motives","html":"every investor has their own trading motives"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007534224,"gmtCreate":1642940519288,"gmtModify":1676533758693,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What a time for IPO！","listText":"What a time for IPO！","text":"What a time for IPO！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007534224","repostId":"1177633565","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177633565","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642897739,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177633565?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-23 08:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Connectivity Solutions and Micro-caps in a 5 IPO week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177633565","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Following a week of postponements and pricing delays, two tech IPOs and three holdovers are schedule","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Following a week of postponements and pricing delays, two tech IPOs and three holdovers are scheduled to raise $412 million in the week ahead.</p><p>Connectivity solutions provider Credo Technology Group (CRDO) plans to raise $275 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Credo’s solutions are optimized for optical and electrical ethernet applications, and its product families include Integrated Circuits, Active Electrical Cables, and SerDes Chiplets. Unprofitable with accelerating growth in the 1H FY21, the company is relatively small and competes with much larger players. New investors have indicated on $120 million of the IPO (44% of the deal).</p><p>AdTech platform Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) plans to raise $32 million at a $123 million market cap. Direct Digital is an end-to-end, full-service programmatic advertising platform focused on both buy- and sell-side digital advertising. The company is profitable, and while it has delivered explosive growth, it has mostly been fueled by acquisitions.</p><p>Three holdovers from the past week are scheduled to debut: Australian green energy company Verdant Earth Technologies (VDNT) plans to raise $50 million at a $201 million market cap; OTC-listed Modular Medical (MODD) plans to raise $30 million at a $130 million market cap; and medical device maker Samsara Vision (SMSA) plans to raise $25 million at a $153 million market cap.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86582e3564e0e81ff68668b2556d5ac9\" tg-width=\"1417\" tg-height=\"695\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Connectivity Solutions and Micro-caps in a 5 IPO week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Connectivity Solutions and Micro-caps in a 5 IPO week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-23 08:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/90382/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Connectivity-solutions-and-micro-caps-in-a-5-IPO-week><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Following a week of postponements and pricing delays, two tech IPOs and three holdovers are scheduled to raise $412 million in the week ahead.Connectivity solutions provider Credo Technology Group (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/90382/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Connectivity-solutions-and-micro-caps-in-a-5-IPO-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MODD":"Modular Medical, Inc.","DRCT":"Direct Digital Holdings, Inc.","CRDO":"Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/90382/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Connectivity-solutions-and-micro-caps-in-a-5-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177633565","content_text":"Following a week of postponements and pricing delays, two tech IPOs and three holdovers are scheduled to raise $412 million in the week ahead.Connectivity solutions provider Credo Technology Group (CRDO) plans to raise $275 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Credo’s solutions are optimized for optical and electrical ethernet applications, and its product families include Integrated Circuits, Active Electrical Cables, and SerDes Chiplets. Unprofitable with accelerating growth in the 1H FY21, the company is relatively small and competes with much larger players. New investors have indicated on $120 million of the IPO (44% of the deal).AdTech platform Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) plans to raise $32 million at a $123 million market cap. Direct Digital is an end-to-end, full-service programmatic advertising platform focused on both buy- and sell-side digital advertising. The company is profitable, and while it has delivered explosive growth, it has mostly been fueled by acquisitions.Three holdovers from the past week are scheduled to debut: Australian green energy company Verdant Earth Technologies (VDNT) plans to raise $50 million at a $201 million market cap; OTC-listed Modular Medical (MODD) plans to raise $30 million at a $130 million market cap; and medical device maker Samsara Vision (SMSA) plans to raise $25 million at a $153 million market cap.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380521486016568,"gmtCreate":1733928525940,"gmtModify":1733928528975,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a> Those sellers are giving whales the opportunity to enter. They are just waiting...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a> Those sellers are giving whales the opportunity to enter. They are just waiting...","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Those sellers are giving whales the opportunity to enter. They are just waiting...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/380521486016568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368477669101800,"gmtCreate":1731001911634,"gmtModify":1731001915472,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm all for Long.","listText":"I'm all for Long.","text":"I'm all for Long.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/368477669101800","repostId":"1141256860","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1141256860","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1730978681,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141256860?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-07 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141256860","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.I argue that this is not good news, it's great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1890305707\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.</p></li><li><p>I argue that this is not good news, it&#39;s great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown us is possible.</p></li><li><p>This article covers the Q3 earnings report, and takes a pulse on Palantir.</p></li><li><p>I am issuing an upgrade to strong buy on continued surprise strength, strong treasury, no debt, and continued profitability.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/554bfffe59edb9acf6bf12d15a231da8\" alt=\"Palantir Technologies\" title=\"Palantir Technologies\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>Palantir Technologies</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3449696349\">Introduction</h2><p>I first recommended Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) back in June with a buy rating, when I wrote <em>Don&#39;t Underestimate Palantir&#39;s B2B Prowess.</em> Since then, the stock has more than doubled.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/624e1a42c17afbebccd92f5647532e59\" alt=\"Author&#39;s past article\" title=\"Author&#39;s past article\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"176\"/><span>Author&#39;s past article</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>I am personally long Palantir; I bought in shortly after the article was published, and am also up over 100% since then. However, I&#39;m not necessarily here to gloat, but to cover Palantir&#39;s Q3 earnings report, which was released this week, and resulted in a resounding approval from the market.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/131ddcee125056a19844c4564a23756c\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>That single day jump was close to 15%, which was an exciting day. Palantir has now eclipsed its former heights and reached a new one.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7d42975966f9428ed63e84427acacb5c\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_3453436128\">Short History</h2><p>&#34;Data analytics&#34; is a rather vague term, and much of Palantir&#39;s business is obfuscated through that kind of hand-waving jargon. For example, here is Palantir&#39;s explanation of what they do, from their website,</p><blockquote><p>We build software that empowers organizations to effectively integrate their data, decisions, and operations.</p></blockquote><p>The best way I can put it for the majority of readers to understand: Palantir develops software that is designed to be the backbone of a corporation. All of their data is fed into this software (which I&#39;m going to call an &#34;operating system&#34; or &#34;OS&#34; from here on out), and then the software analyzes that data using AI models and proprietary algorithms to find deficiencies, misallocated resources, and inefficient processes. The OS then enables &#34;operators&#34; (from businesses to governments to NGOs) to resolve these issues and streamline their operations from top to bottom.</p><p>The primary &#34;skill&#34; being employed by the software is pattern recognition. The Palantir platforms can pour through millions of data points and &#34;find the needle in the haystack&#34; so to speak; that is, some pattern in the data that human operators missed or didn&#39;t have the resources or time to manual pour over. In our world, the pool of data on individuals and in the world climbs every day.</p><p>They&#39;ve got a few big accomplishments under their belt from their 20-year tenure in the data business:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>An early investment from the CIA&#39;s venture capital fund, In-Q-Tel</p></li><li><p>Uncovered &#34;GhostNet,&#34; a Chinese-based spy ring of nearly 1,300 infected computers that had infiltrated the Dalai Lama&#39;s office, a NATO system, and national embassies</p></li><li><p>Deployed across the Medicare and Medicaid networks to find fraud</p></li><li><p>Assisted in the location of Al-Qaeda leader and 9/11 orchestrator, Osama bin Laden</p></li><li><p>Its software was used to source records for Bernie Madoff&#39;s conviction</p></li><li><p>Current and former clients include the CIA, the Department of Homeland Security, the NSA, the FBI, the CDC, US Marine Corps, Air Force, and Special Operations Command; the FDA, Los Angeles PD, US ICE, the English NHS, and more</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_3495455647\">Welcome to the S&amp;P 500</h2><p>The announcement of the firm&#39;s inclusion into the S&amp;P 500 was a big one, as it lends more legitimacy to the company as well as provides a boost to the share price since funds that track the index will need to buy PLTR shares at their next rebalance (depending on the fund).</p><p>This kind of announcement hype is not always long-lived, so I am cautious of it, but for now, it is a boon to PLTR.</p><h2 id=\"id_3958142955\">Palantir Q3 Earnings</h2><p>Our third quarter results for PLTR were interesting, mostly because of the headline 30% boost to revenue.</p><p>Here&#39;s a quick overview of where the money came from and went to.</p><p><em>I really appreciate the author of this particular series, App Economy Insights on Threads.</em></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2044862224b3e0ba774debabcdc2ab82\" alt=\"Palantir revenue breakdown\" title=\"Palantir revenue breakdown\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/><span>Palantir revenue breakdown</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>App Economy Insights</strong></p><p></p><p>Other notable performance metrics that management noted aside from the broad increase in business more generally are:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Domestic revenue grew 44% YoY</p></li><li><p>Closed 104 deals over $1M in Q3</p></li><li><p>Rule of 40 score of 68% (a new high)</p></li><li><p>Partnership with Ukrainian government to work on de-mining operations</p></li><li><p>Expansion of Maven program with continued US funding</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_3151768832\">Financials</h3><p>Palantir continued to expand its commercial operations, one of the facets of PLTR that I am most bullish on, and expanded their revenue 13% QoQ, and 54% YoY. This was coupled with a 77% YoY increase in customer count, further diversifying their base and revenue streams. This assuages some customer concentration risk PLTR has with its US military business.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3143d4bdfc322a0f060a8d504770b6aa\" alt=\"PAlantir commercial stats\" title=\"PAlantir commercial stats\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"296\"/><span>PAlantir commercial stats</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>Most importantly, we can see that the total value of the current commercial contracts has increased at a faster rate than customer count, showing us that these new customers are, on average, higher paying customers than existing ones. If all customers paid the same tabs, we should expect a linear relationship between these metrics.</p><p>I am also impressed with how much commercial revenue has grown, as it used to make up such a small piece of PLTR&#39;s overall, with the government contracts formally dominating their portfolio. Now, these two figures are almost neck-and-neck.</p><p>GAAP net income was up to $143M, up 100% YoY. GAAP EPS was at $0.06. This was great news, as profitability continues and strengthens. A doubling of GAAP earnings is a very positive sign for any company, and can justify a price movement of similar stature.</p><p>Alongside this, margins grew to 16%, from a several-year-low of nearly (40%). The turn-around time was quick, but we can see the trend slowing as we begin to approach diminishing returns on margin growth.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/717541253e65bd75a50b0f6717f87571\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>This money, and the new heights in profit margins, is paid invested &#34;aggressively,&#34; as management put it in the earnings presentation. They say that this has brought their operating margin up to 38%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/01a4af53b04947a673e70a2a6d26defb\" alt=\"PLTR operating margins\" title=\"PLTR operating margins\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"678\"/><span>PLTR operating margins</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>They ended Q3 with a ton of cash sitting on hand, and no debt to speak of. This is a great place for a business to be operating at, as it means that their solvency is without question. They ended the quarter with $4.6B in cash and equivalents.</p><p><em>For context, there are 25 countries with less cash in their foreign reserves.</em></p><h3 id=\"id_3480698685\">Expectations</h3><p>For the next quarter, PLTR is expecting a 5-6% QoQ increase in revenue, and a similar change in operating income. This would keep them on the right growth trajectory to continue justifying their valuation.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/03bd2c1fedfab6b24473e11c37e6ea26\" alt=\"PLTR expectations for Q4 revenue\" title=\"PLTR expectations for Q4 revenue\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\"/><span>PLTR expectations for Q4 revenue</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>For FY 2024, they are projecting a 50% growth in commercial revenue, and FCF of $1B+, something they have yet to reach. Q4 will need to impress to keep these numbers up.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8817471bba2c735ff9932d3eafcd26fa\" alt=\"FY 2024 expectations for PLTR\" title=\"FY 2024 expectations for PLTR\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"635\"/><span>FY 2024 expectations for PLTR</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><p>Other metrics to include is the total RPO, or remaining performance obligation, the amount they can expect to earn from, unfulfilled contracts. As they have added on more customers and more contracts, closing those 100+ deals, this figure has increased. Locking in contract value is a boon for PLTR, as it means they can project some level of forward earnings from these.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/96d97ec499888bb1d6670ad107e5c7ec\" alt=\"Palantir RPO\" title=\"Palantir RPO\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"187\"/><span>Palantir RPO</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_232847602\">Valuation</h2><p>Here is the elephant in the room. When stocks run up like PLTR has, they can let their valuations get away from them. Compared to its competitors, PLTR carries a high PE ratio.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b41369972a9166fb55ebc907cc9f742a\" alt=\"PLTR competitors\" title=\"PLTR competitors\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"174\"/><span>PLTR competitors</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>To be fair, SA Quant rates all of them poorly from a valuation standpoint.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca310fde605fd272a8a006954546f21b\" alt=\"SA Quant grades for peers\" title=\"SA Quant grades for peers\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"154\"/><span>SA Quant grades for peers</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>When we look at forward PE, we see a better side of the story, but still, one that shows PLTR as very overvalued compared to its peers. One would need to set this aside to be comfortable owning this stock.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/306e726f82099806f818c34da3ae97ad\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"507\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>The biggest risk to PLTR is that it stands to fall much farther than its peers in the SaaS space because of this heightened pricing. If we enter a recession and PLTR&#39;s business slows, it may be hammered far worse than some competitors.</p><p>I believe that would only be a buy signal, however, as I am very bullish on PLTR and believe in its continued justification of its high valuation. With the kind of growth that it is projecting, it makes sense to value it above other, slower enterprises.</p><h2 id=\"id_1053050360\">Conclusion</h2><p>PLTR is a stock that has run up tremendously, but risks remain in its valuation. Q3 earnings were very impressive, with many of the &#34;must watch&#34; metrics like customer counts and contract value up over previous expectations. The headline 30% revenue growth shook markets and propelled PLTR to new heights. Whether it can maintain these heights is yet to be seen, but for now, it seems to justify its insanely high valuation.</p><p>Commercial customer growth, further integration into the armed forces, and heightened revenue are all very bullish factors for PLTR that have led me to give it an upgrade to a strong buy, as I believe that it will eventually justify its valuation and come back to Earth, but that it still has more room to run. The company has just joined the S&amp;P 500 and shows tremendous promise.</p><p>Just remember that risks still remain, especially with companies that have run up as much as PLTR has. It has a lot of room to potentially fall.</p><p>Thanks for reading.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is Still Full Of Potential (Rating Upgrade)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-07 19:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4733557-palantir-is-still-full-of-potential-rating-upgrade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.I argue that this is not good news, it's great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4733557-palantir-is-still-full-of-potential-rating-upgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4733557-palantir-is-still-full-of-potential-rating-upgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1141256860","content_text":"SummaryPalantir surprised the market with a 30% YoY revenue growth.I argue that this is not good news, it's great news. I expect this kind of growth to be sustainable, given what management has shown us is possible.This article covers the Q3 earnings report, and takes a pulse on Palantir.I am issuing an upgrade to strong buy on continued surprise strength, strong treasury, no debt, and continued profitability.Palantir TechnologiesIntroductionI first recommended Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) back in June with a buy rating, when I wrote Don't Underestimate Palantir's B2B Prowess. Since then, the stock has more than doubled.Author's past articleSeeking AlphaI am personally long Palantir; I bought in shortly after the article was published, and am also up over 100% since then. However, I'm not necessarily here to gloat, but to cover Palantir's Q3 earnings report, which was released this week, and resulted in a resounding approval from the market.ChartData by YChartsThat single day jump was close to 15%, which was an exciting day. Palantir has now eclipsed its former heights and reached a new one.ChartData by YChartsShort History\"Data analytics\" is a rather vague term, and much of Palantir's business is obfuscated through that kind of hand-waving jargon. For example, here is Palantir's explanation of what they do, from their website,We build software that empowers organizations to effectively integrate their data, decisions, and operations.The best way I can put it for the majority of readers to understand: Palantir develops software that is designed to be the backbone of a corporation. All of their data is fed into this software (which I'm going to call an \"operating system\" or \"OS\" from here on out), and then the software analyzes that data using AI models and proprietary algorithms to find deficiencies, misallocated resources, and inefficient processes. The OS then enables \"operators\" (from businesses to governments to NGOs) to resolve these issues and streamline their operations from top to bottom.The primary \"skill\" being employed by the software is pattern recognition. The Palantir platforms can pour through millions of data points and \"find the needle in the haystack\" so to speak; that is, some pattern in the data that human operators missed or didn't have the resources or time to manual pour over. In our world, the pool of data on individuals and in the world climbs every day.They've got a few big accomplishments under their belt from their 20-year tenure in the data business:An early investment from the CIA's venture capital fund, In-Q-TelUncovered \"GhostNet,\" a Chinese-based spy ring of nearly 1,300 infected computers that had infiltrated the Dalai Lama's office, a NATO system, and national embassiesDeployed across the Medicare and Medicaid networks to find fraudAssisted in the location of Al-Qaeda leader and 9/11 orchestrator, Osama bin LadenIts software was used to source records for Bernie Madoff's convictionCurrent and former clients include the CIA, the Department of Homeland Security, the NSA, the FBI, the CDC, US Marine Corps, Air Force, and Special Operations Command; the FDA, Los Angeles PD, US ICE, the English NHS, and moreWelcome to the S&P 500The announcement of the firm's inclusion into the S&P 500 was a big one, as it lends more legitimacy to the company as well as provides a boost to the share price since funds that track the index will need to buy PLTR shares at their next rebalance (depending on the fund).This kind of announcement hype is not always long-lived, so I am cautious of it, but for now, it is a boon to PLTR.Palantir Q3 EarningsOur third quarter results for PLTR were interesting, mostly because of the headline 30% boost to revenue.Here's a quick overview of where the money came from and went to.I really appreciate the author of this particular series, App Economy Insights on Threads.Palantir revenue breakdownApp Economy InsightsOther notable performance metrics that management noted aside from the broad increase in business more generally are:Domestic revenue grew 44% YoYClosed 104 deals over $1M in Q3Rule of 40 score of 68% (a new high)Partnership with Ukrainian government to work on de-mining operationsExpansion of Maven program with continued US fundingFinancialsPalantir continued to expand its commercial operations, one of the facets of PLTR that I am most bullish on, and expanded their revenue 13% QoQ, and 54% YoY. This was coupled with a 77% YoY increase in customer count, further diversifying their base and revenue streams. This assuages some customer concentration risk PLTR has with its US military business.PAlantir commercial statsPalantirMost importantly, we can see that the total value of the current commercial contracts has increased at a faster rate than customer count, showing us that these new customers are, on average, higher paying customers than existing ones. If all customers paid the same tabs, we should expect a linear relationship between these metrics.I am also impressed with how much commercial revenue has grown, as it used to make up such a small piece of PLTR's overall, with the government contracts formally dominating their portfolio. Now, these two figures are almost neck-and-neck.GAAP net income was up to $143M, up 100% YoY. GAAP EPS was at $0.06. This was great news, as profitability continues and strengthens. A doubling of GAAP earnings is a very positive sign for any company, and can justify a price movement of similar stature.Alongside this, margins grew to 16%, from a several-year-low of nearly (40%). The turn-around time was quick, but we can see the trend slowing as we begin to approach diminishing returns on margin growth.ChartData by YChartsThis money, and the new heights in profit margins, is paid invested \"aggressively,\" as management put it in the earnings presentation. They say that this has brought their operating margin up to 38%.PLTR operating marginsPalantirThey ended Q3 with a ton of cash sitting on hand, and no debt to speak of. This is a great place for a business to be operating at, as it means that their solvency is without question. They ended the quarter with $4.6B in cash and equivalents.For context, there are 25 countries with less cash in their foreign reserves.ExpectationsFor the next quarter, PLTR is expecting a 5-6% QoQ increase in revenue, and a similar change in operating income. This would keep them on the right growth trajectory to continue justifying their valuation.PLTR expectations for Q4 revenuePalantirFor FY 2024, they are projecting a 50% growth in commercial revenue, and FCF of $1B+, something they have yet to reach. Q4 will need to impress to keep these numbers up.FY 2024 expectations for PLTRPalantirOther metrics to include is the total RPO, or remaining performance obligation, the amount they can expect to earn from, unfulfilled contracts. As they have added on more customers and more contracts, closing those 100+ deals, this figure has increased. Locking in contract value is a boon for PLTR, as it means they can project some level of forward earnings from these.Palantir RPOPalantirValuationHere is the elephant in the room. When stocks run up like PLTR has, they can let their valuations get away from them. Compared to its competitors, PLTR carries a high PE ratio.PLTR competitorsSeeking AlphaTo be fair, SA Quant rates all of them poorly from a valuation standpoint.SA Quant grades for peersSeeking AlphaWhen we look at forward PE, we see a better side of the story, but still, one that shows PLTR as very overvalued compared to its peers. One would need to set this aside to be comfortable owning this stock.ChartData by YChartsThe biggest risk to PLTR is that it stands to fall much farther than its peers in the SaaS space because of this heightened pricing. If we enter a recession and PLTR's business slows, it may be hammered far worse than some competitors.I believe that would only be a buy signal, however, as I am very bullish on PLTR and believe in its continued justification of its high valuation. With the kind of growth that it is projecting, it makes sense to value it above other, slower enterprises.ConclusionPLTR is a stock that has run up tremendously, but risks remain in its valuation. Q3 earnings were very impressive, with many of the \"must watch\" metrics like customer counts and contract value up over previous expectations. The headline 30% revenue growth shook markets and propelled PLTR to new heights. Whether it can maintain these heights is yet to be seen, but for now, it seems to justify its insanely high valuation.Commercial customer growth, further integration into the armed forces, and heightened revenue are all very bullish factors for PLTR that have led me to give it an upgrade to a strong buy, as I believe that it will eventually justify its valuation and come back to Earth, but that it still has more room to run. The company has just joined the S&P 500 and shows tremendous promise.Just remember that risks still remain, especially with companies that have run up as much as PLTR has. It has a lot of room to potentially fall.Thanks for reading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358112810098800,"gmtCreate":1728450206470,"gmtModify":1728450211573,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.","listText":"Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.","text":"Palantir will definitely hit $45 and even cross that mark in the last quarter. Try shorting it if you're confident it's gonna slide 30%.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/358112810098800","repostId":"1121241119","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121241119","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1728446400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121241119?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-09 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121241119","media":"Barchart","summary":"Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering astellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&P 500 Index's gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric rise","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering a stellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&amp;P 500 Index&#39;s gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric rise is largely fueled by soaring demand for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP).</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition to solid demand for its products, Palantir’s recent entry in the S&amp;P 500 provided another boost to its stock price.  </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5829831573ce1281091d469af518587c\" tg-width=\"841\" tg-height=\"586\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Although Palantir stock has already gained substantially year-to-date, at least one Wall Street analyst expects the enterprise software company’s stock to reach $50, the Street-high price target. Let’s explore why. </p><h3 id=\"id_848876551\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s Solid Growth Could Boost Stock</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir has been firing on all cylinders with solid momentum in its U.S. commercial and government businesses. With stellar sales growth and strong unit economics, which are expanding its operating margin, Palantir stock could rise further. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In the second quarter of 2024, the company’s top line jumped 27% year-over-year and 7% sequentially. What stands out is that Palantir’s revenue growth has been accelerating steadily over the past several quarters, driven by the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in the enterprise software market. Further, the company delivered this tremendous top-line growth while expanding its adjusted operating margin to 37%, highlighting its solid underlying unit economics.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A key contributor to this growth is Palantir’s AIP, which has been instrumental in securing large contracts. In Q2 2024 alone, the company landed 27 deals valued at $10 million or more, resulting in a total contract value (TCV) of nearly $1 billion. Notably, a significant portion of these contracts are from existing customers, which shows its ability to drive customer retention and higher average revenue per customer. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Customer numbers also continue to grow. Palantir’s customer base increased by 41% year-over-year, reaching 593 by the end of the second quarter. Revenue from its top 20 customers grew 9% from the previous year, generating an average of $57 million per customer.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By segments, the U.S. commercial business has been a significant driver of Palantir’s growth. In Q2 2024, the company’s U.S. commercial revenue soared by 33% compared to last year&#39;s quarter. Additionally, this segment&#39;s annual contract value (ACV) grew by 44% year-over-year. The high demand for Palantir’s AIP solutions from new and existing clients sets the stage for future growth.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s government segment is also thriving. Government-related revenue increased by 23% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. The rising demand for Palantir’s government software offerings suggests further growth potential in this area.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Overall, Palantir’s solid momentum across its U.S. commercial and government segments, strong unit economics, higher adoption of AIP, and notable increases in contract value and customer count will likely support the uptrend in the stock.</p><h3 id=\"id_21246882\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s Key Metrics Remain Strong </h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir is demonstrating solid growth, with key performance indicators pointing to continued strength. By the end of Q2 2024, the company’s total remaining deal value reached $4.3 billion, a 26% increase year-over-year. Moreover, its remaining performance obligations, an indicator of future revenue, surged by 41% to $1.4 billion.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Palantir’s net dollar retention rate also improved by 300 basis points to 114%, highlighting its ability to maintain revenue from existing customers.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Looking ahead, Palantir&#39;s focus on AI and the growing AI-driven enterprise market presents significant growth opportunities. The recent launch of Warp Speed, a modern manufacturing operating system, is expected to further accelerate its growth.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">With strong operating metrics, a growing customer base, and new product launches, Palantir is well-positioned to deliver solid growth in the upcoming quarters.</p><h3 id=\"id_3158193439\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Can PLTR Stock Hit $50 Per Share?</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">PLTR’s performance in 2024 has been impressive, and the company shows no signs of slowing down. With its AI platform continuing to attract new customers and larger deals from existing ones, Palantir is positioned for further growth. Its strong unit economics, increasing contract value, and expanding customer base all point to continued momentum in the stock.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, for PLTR stock to hit the $50 mark, it would need to rise by another 20.6% from its current price. While the company&#39;s growth story is compelling, much of the optimism is already baked into the stock price. Palantir&#39;s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio currently stands at an eye-popping 31.58, significantly higher than its historical average and the sector median of 2.9. This lofty valuation is a primary reason why most analysts don’t foresee the stock reaching $50 anytime soon.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/554aa6f7a38cb96d9bb1bba7236d4a13\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"742\"/></p><p>Palantir stock has a “Moderate Sell” consensus rating among analysts, and Wall Street&#39;s average price target is $25.87. This suggests a potential downside of about 37.6% from current levels.</p></body></html>","source":"barchart_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Palantir Stock Hit the $50 Mark?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-09 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barchart.com/story/news/28946043/will-palantir-stock-hit-the-50-mark><strong>Barchart</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering a stellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&P 500 Index's gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/28946043/will-palantir-stock-hit-the-50-mark\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/28946043/will-palantir-stock-hit-the-50-mark","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121241119","content_text":"Palantir has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in 2024, registering a stellar gain of about 141.1% year-to-date, far exceeding the S&P 500 Index's gain of 20.6%. Palantir’s meteoric rise is largely fueled by soaring demand for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP).In addition to solid demand for its products, Palantir’s recent entry in the S&P 500 provided another boost to its stock price.  Although Palantir stock has already gained substantially year-to-date, at least one Wall Street analyst expects the enterprise software company’s stock to reach $50, the Street-high price target. Let’s explore why. Palantir’s Solid Growth Could Boost StockPalantir has been firing on all cylinders with solid momentum in its U.S. commercial and government businesses. With stellar sales growth and strong unit economics, which are expanding its operating margin, Palantir stock could rise further. In the second quarter of 2024, the company’s top line jumped 27% year-over-year and 7% sequentially. What stands out is that Palantir’s revenue growth has been accelerating steadily over the past several quarters, driven by the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in the enterprise software market. Further, the company delivered this tremendous top-line growth while expanding its adjusted operating margin to 37%, highlighting its solid underlying unit economics.A key contributor to this growth is Palantir’s AIP, which has been instrumental in securing large contracts. In Q2 2024 alone, the company landed 27 deals valued at $10 million or more, resulting in a total contract value (TCV) of nearly $1 billion. Notably, a significant portion of these contracts are from existing customers, which shows its ability to drive customer retention and higher average revenue per customer. Customer numbers also continue to grow. Palantir’s customer base increased by 41% year-over-year, reaching 593 by the end of the second quarter. Revenue from its top 20 customers grew 9% from the previous year, generating an average of $57 million per customer.By segments, the U.S. commercial business has been a significant driver of Palantir’s growth. In Q2 2024, the company’s U.S. commercial revenue soared by 33% compared to last year's quarter. Additionally, this segment's annual contract value (ACV) grew by 44% year-over-year. The high demand for Palantir’s AIP solutions from new and existing clients sets the stage for future growth.Palantir’s government segment is also thriving. Government-related revenue increased by 23% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. The rising demand for Palantir’s government software offerings suggests further growth potential in this area.Overall, Palantir’s solid momentum across its U.S. commercial and government segments, strong unit economics, higher adoption of AIP, and notable increases in contract value and customer count will likely support the uptrend in the stock.Palantir’s Key Metrics Remain Strong Palantir is demonstrating solid growth, with key performance indicators pointing to continued strength. By the end of Q2 2024, the company’s total remaining deal value reached $4.3 billion, a 26% increase year-over-year. Moreover, its remaining performance obligations, an indicator of future revenue, surged by 41% to $1.4 billion.Palantir’s net dollar retention rate also improved by 300 basis points to 114%, highlighting its ability to maintain revenue from existing customers.Looking ahead, Palantir's focus on AI and the growing AI-driven enterprise market presents significant growth opportunities. The recent launch of Warp Speed, a modern manufacturing operating system, is expected to further accelerate its growth.With strong operating metrics, a growing customer base, and new product launches, Palantir is well-positioned to deliver solid growth in the upcoming quarters.Can PLTR Stock Hit $50 Per Share?PLTR’s performance in 2024 has been impressive, and the company shows no signs of slowing down. With its AI platform continuing to attract new customers and larger deals from existing ones, Palantir is positioned for further growth. Its strong unit economics, increasing contract value, and expanding customer base all point to continued momentum in the stock.However, for PLTR stock to hit the $50 mark, it would need to rise by another 20.6% from its current price. While the company's growth story is compelling, much of the optimism is already baked into the stock price. Palantir's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio currently stands at an eye-popping 31.58, significantly higher than its historical average and the sector median of 2.9. This lofty valuation is a primary reason why most analysts don’t foresee the stock reaching $50 anytime soon.Palantir stock has a “Moderate Sell” consensus rating among analysts, and Wall Street's average price target is $25.87. This suggests a potential downside of about 37.6% from current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351491626324072,"gmtCreate":1726852044290,"gmtModify":1726852048363,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...","listText":"Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...","text":"Well... investors continue to pour in to NVIDIA even after Jensen dumped his shares isn't it 🤣... Missed the boat and now trying ter Create another opportunity I see...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351491626324072","repostId":"2468521616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2468521616","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726845666,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2468521616?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-20 23:21","market":"nz","language":"en","title":"Palantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468521616","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More Investment ThesisPalantir  is today a crowd favorite. It has amassed an amazing army of devoted investors.And yet, its captain has just unloaded about 10% of his holding. Does this inspire belief in the company?In time the stock moved higher and higher, but its path was so volatile, that it ensured that nearly nobody would have held on to PLTR. Indeed, I recognize that the majority of investors onl","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_2026190940\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Inflection investing is challenging and often involves making unpopular decisions that others may not understand.</p></li><li><p>Recommending a stock can be unpopular because it involves seeing potential others can&#39;t.</p></li><li><p>Alex Karp selling 10% of his stake raises concerns for me; when the captain jumps ship, it often signals rough waters ahead.</p></li><li><p>At 54x forward free cash flow, Palantir is no longer undervalued, and my strategy demands I rotate capital into more favorable opportunities.</p></li><li><p>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_891944106\">Investment Thesis</h2><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is today a crowd favorite. It has amassed an amazing army of devoted investors.</p><p>And yet, its captain has just unloaded about 10% of his holding. Does this inspire belief in the company? Or does it further nuance to what was already a highly contentious stock?</p><p>Having previously been a strong proponent of PLTR, I explain why Deep Value Returns recently sold out of PLTR, as I believed that paying more than 50x next year&#39;s free cash flow didn&#39;t make enough sense to me.</p><h2 id=\"id_3596142902\">Rapid Recap</h2><p>I recommended Palantir to subscribers of Deep Value Returns at $10 per share.</p><p>I also subsequently posted this on SA, in November 2023:</p><blockquote><p><em>For detractors of the stock, they&#39;ll be quick to remark that stock-based compensation, or SBC, continues to be excessive. However, I don&#39;t believe investors at this point mind. Why?</em></p><p><em>Not only is this element already priced in, but the fact that Palantir is already GAAP profitable largely does away with this bearish concern.</em></p><p><em>Altogether, I continue to declare that I believe this is a good time to buy Palantir, as the stock continues to demonstrate clear end-customer diversification as well as meaningful growth opportunities.</em></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b10ba20aa66b2cd7ca6f341d4c016951\" alt=\"Author&#39;s work on PLTR\" title=\"Author&#39;s work on PLTR\" tg-width=\"324\" tg-height=\"415\"/><span>Author&#39;s work on PLTR</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Author&#39;s work on PLTR</strong></p></blockquote><p>Allow me to explain, <em>Inflection investing</em> is a lonely road. You are always making unpopular decisions.</p><p><em>You are unpopular when you recommend the stock because you see what others can&#39;t. You are unpopular when you sell the stock because you can&#39;t see what others do.</em></p><p>The return is made in the middle because hero investors end up as zero investors.</p><p>The moment I recommended PLTR, it fell from $10 to $7 per share. Naturally, my timing sucked. It was such an unpopular recommendation!</p><p>In time the stock moved higher and higher, but its path was so volatile, that it ensured that nearly nobody would have held on to PLTR. Indeed, I recognize that the majority of investors only invest with stop losses, and since PLTR was so volatile, I do not believe that anyone managed to make even 50% of what I made here.</p><p>But this makes sense, investing is difficult. Here&#39;s the thing, inflection investing succeeds best when I&#39;m making unpopular decisions.</p><h2 id=\"id_559688580\">Latest Development; Captain Starts To Sail Off</h2><p>SA reports there&#39;s a 10 million block sale by an unnamed person. Meanwhile, from my understanding, I can only see 9 million shares being sold from Alex Karp and a substantially smaller figure from Lauren Friedman.</p><p>Not quite sure where that 1 million shares came from that SA reports, but I don&#39;t believe that matters all that much at this point, for our discussion.</p><p>Meanwhile, in the interest of balance, I want to remark something that many investors will have forgotten.</p><p>If you zoom in on the table below, you&#39;ll see that Alex Karp has somewhere around 90 million shares. Hence, this sale is for around <em>10% of his holding</em>.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cba14728922433bdc14e698ff48b39ec\" alt=\"SEC filing; proxy statement\" title=\"SEC filing; proxy statement\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/><span>SEC filing; proxy statement</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>SEC filing; proxy statement</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Consequently, I wouldn&#39;t be too quick to read into the headlines that everything has changed from management&#39;s perspective, despite a couple of insiders selling out of PLTR.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Nevertheless, I wish to explain why I sold my ownership of PLTR.</p><h2 id=\"id_4058245110\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Why I Sold Palantir</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir&#39;s Q2 2024 did not increase its free cash flow guidance beyond the midpoint of $900 million. However, given that its topline is now expected to increase so significantly compared with its earlier guidance, I now believe it <em>makes more sense to embrace Palantir&#39;s high end of its free cash flow guidance.</em> Hence, we should expect approximately $1 billion of free cash flow from Palantir in 2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Moreover, as we look out to 2025, given Palantir&#39;s increased scale, together with its strong growth rates, I believe that Palantir&#39;s free cash flow could reach $1.5 billion in 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">This means that Palantir is being priced at approximately 54x next year&#39;s free cash flow. This doesn&#39;t strike me as all that expensive, for what it offers. Indeed, I could quite easily make the argument that there&#39;s still more upside potential here.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">But at the same time, I don&#39;t want to be complacent. I know that the market is brutal. And it&#39;s very important to stick with my inflection investing strategy. As such, you can never rest on your laurels. You have to always be moving capital around, keeping only names that are extremely undervalued in the portfolio.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For those interested, I deployed my capital into Peloton (PTON). And you may contend that PTON has nothing in common with the almighty PLTR. Did I simply misspell PLTR? Jesting aside, I believe that Palantir&#39;s risk-reward isn&#39;t all that compelling right now.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Yes, it&#39;s not completely shocking to pay 54x forward free cash flow for Palantir. I continue to believe that its prospects are very interesting over the long term. But as an Inflection investor, I must always be thinking about investing as a game of odds. Of risk versus reward. Am I being sufficiently compensated for the potential reward? And I don&#39;t believe I am.</p><h2 id=\"id_2665484222\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The Bottom Line</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As an inflection investor, my strategy revolves around making difficult, often contrarian, decisions at key moments of change in a company&#39;s narrative.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">I make moves when others are either overly enthusiastic or too pessimistic, always seeking value where it is hidden.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Palantir has been an exciting journey, but the fact that its CEO, Alex Karp, sold 10% of his stake should raise questions from its shareholders.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While some might view this sale as insignificant, it signals to me that even the captain may not be fully confident in the ship&#39;s future course. Combined with the high valuation and the uncertainties ahead, this diminishes the investment&#39;s appeal.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">In investing, it&#39;s important to know when to hold &#39;em and when to fold &#39;em - and right now, the odds for Palantir just aren&#39;t stacked in my favor. In short, I&#39;d rather be ahead of the curve than left behind on a sinking ship!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir's CEO Unloads Shares: A Telling Inflection Point\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-20 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722246-palantir-stock-ceo-unloads-telling-inflection-point-downgrade-sell><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryInflection investing is challenging and often involves making unpopular decisions that others may not understand.Recommending a stock can be unpopular because it involves seeing potential ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722246-palantir-stock-ceo-unloads-telling-inflection-point-downgrade-sell\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4543":"AI","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4588":"碎股","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4023":"应用软件"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722246-palantir-stock-ceo-unloads-telling-inflection-point-downgrade-sell","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2468521616","content_text":"SummaryInflection investing is challenging and often involves making unpopular decisions that others may not understand.Recommending a stock can be unpopular because it involves seeing potential others can't.Alex Karp selling 10% of his stake raises concerns for me; when the captain jumps ship, it often signals rough waters ahead.At 54x forward free cash flow, Palantir is no longer undervalued, and my strategy demands I rotate capital into more favorable opportunities.Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »Investment ThesisPalantir (NYSE:PLTR) is today a crowd favorite. It has amassed an amazing army of devoted investors.And yet, its captain has just unloaded about 10% of his holding. Does this inspire belief in the company? Or does it further nuance to what was already a highly contentious stock?Having previously been a strong proponent of PLTR, I explain why Deep Value Returns recently sold out of PLTR, as I believed that paying more than 50x next year's free cash flow didn't make enough sense to me.Rapid RecapI recommended Palantir to subscribers of Deep Value Returns at $10 per share.I also subsequently posted this on SA, in November 2023:For detractors of the stock, they'll be quick to remark that stock-based compensation, or SBC, continues to be excessive. However, I don't believe investors at this point mind. Why?Not only is this element already priced in, but the fact that Palantir is already GAAP profitable largely does away with this bearish concern.Altogether, I continue to declare that I believe this is a good time to buy Palantir, as the stock continues to demonstrate clear end-customer diversification as well as meaningful growth opportunities.Author's work on PLTRAuthor's work on PLTRAllow me to explain, Inflection investing is a lonely road. You are always making unpopular decisions.You are unpopular when you recommend the stock because you see what others can't. You are unpopular when you sell the stock because you can't see what others do.The return is made in the middle because hero investors end up as zero investors.The moment I recommended PLTR, it fell from $10 to $7 per share. Naturally, my timing sucked. It was such an unpopular recommendation!In time the stock moved higher and higher, but its path was so volatile, that it ensured that nearly nobody would have held on to PLTR. Indeed, I recognize that the majority of investors only invest with stop losses, and since PLTR was so volatile, I do not believe that anyone managed to make even 50% of what I made here.But this makes sense, investing is difficult. Here's the thing, inflection investing succeeds best when I'm making unpopular decisions.Latest Development; Captain Starts To Sail OffSA reports there's a 10 million block sale by an unnamed person. Meanwhile, from my understanding, I can only see 9 million shares being sold from Alex Karp and a substantially smaller figure from Lauren Friedman.Not quite sure where that 1 million shares came from that SA reports, but I don't believe that matters all that much at this point, for our discussion.Meanwhile, in the interest of balance, I want to remark something that many investors will have forgotten.If you zoom in on the table below, you'll see that Alex Karp has somewhere around 90 million shares. Hence, this sale is for around 10% of his holding.SEC filing; proxy statementSEC filing; proxy statementConsequently, I wouldn't be too quick to read into the headlines that everything has changed from management's perspective, despite a couple of insiders selling out of PLTR.Nevertheless, I wish to explain why I sold my ownership of PLTR.Why I Sold PalantirPalantir's Q2 2024 did not increase its free cash flow guidance beyond the midpoint of $900 million. However, given that its topline is now expected to increase so significantly compared with its earlier guidance, I now believe it makes more sense to embrace Palantir's high end of its free cash flow guidance. Hence, we should expect approximately $1 billion of free cash flow from Palantir in 2024.Moreover, as we look out to 2025, given Palantir's increased scale, together with its strong growth rates, I believe that Palantir's free cash flow could reach $1.5 billion in 2025.This means that Palantir is being priced at approximately 54x next year's free cash flow. This doesn't strike me as all that expensive, for what it offers. Indeed, I could quite easily make the argument that there's still more upside potential here.But at the same time, I don't want to be complacent. I know that the market is brutal. And it's very important to stick with my inflection investing strategy. As such, you can never rest on your laurels. You have to always be moving capital around, keeping only names that are extremely undervalued in the portfolio.For those interested, I deployed my capital into Peloton (PTON). And you may contend that PTON has nothing in common with the almighty PLTR. Did I simply misspell PLTR? Jesting aside, I believe that Palantir's risk-reward isn't all that compelling right now.Yes, it's not completely shocking to pay 54x forward free cash flow for Palantir. I continue to believe that its prospects are very interesting over the long term. But as an Inflection investor, I must always be thinking about investing as a game of odds. Of risk versus reward. Am I being sufficiently compensated for the potential reward? And I don't believe I am.The Bottom LineAs an inflection investor, my strategy revolves around making difficult, often contrarian, decisions at key moments of change in a company's narrative.I make moves when others are either overly enthusiastic or too pessimistic, always seeking value where it is hidden.Palantir has been an exciting journey, but the fact that its CEO, Alex Karp, sold 10% of his stake should raise questions from its shareholders.While some might view this sale as insignificant, it signals to me that even the captain may not be fully confident in the ship's future course. Combined with the high valuation and the uncertainties ahead, this diminishes the investment's appeal.In investing, it's important to know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em - and right now, the odds for Palantir just aren't stacked in my favor. In short, I'd rather be ahead of the curve than left behind on a sinking ship!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321651809960080,"gmtCreate":1719558900491,"gmtModify":1719558905355,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> Too much hype for Nvidia... Putting aside its business, from a political stand point Nvidia is in a terrible position when it's stuck between 2 major country/market. Wouldn't put too much hope in them until there's peace.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> Too much hype for Nvidia... Putting aside its business, from a political stand point Nvidia is in a terrible position when it's stuck between 2 major country/market. Wouldn't put too much hope in them until there's peace.","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Too much hype for Nvidia... Putting aside its business, from a political stand point Nvidia is in a terrible position when it's stuck between 2 major country/market. Wouldn't put too much hope in them until there's peace.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321651809960080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4115942724488802","authorId":"4115942724488802","name":"中蓝的中榕","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08d497b0dc9c6ea2bbc5fbad09b071f9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4115942724488802","authorIdStr":"4115942724488802"},"content":"Nvidia's position between two major countries/markets presents challenges, but also opportunities for growth as demand for their technology remains high in both regions. The political situation is complex, and while peace would be ideal, it's not the only factor determining Nvidia's success.","text":"Nvidia's position between two major countries/markets presents challenges, but also opportunities for growth as demand for their technology remains high in both regions. The political situation is complex, and while peace would be ideal, it's not the only factor determining Nvidia's success.","html":"Nvidia's position between two major countries/markets presents challenges, but also opportunities for growth as demand for their technology remains high in both regions. The political situation is complex, and while peace would be ideal, it's not the only factor determining Nvidia's success."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024392207,"gmtCreate":1653796121309,"gmtModify":1676535343192,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wooo","listText":"Wooo","text":"Wooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024392207","repostId":"2238585689","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2238585689","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1653785130,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238585689?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-29 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$250 Billion in \"Rebalancing\" Inflows Could Rescue Stocks By the End of June, JPMorgan Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238585689","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"While stock-market strategists at Bank of America and Morgan Stanley grow increasingly bearish, JPMo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While stock-market strategists at Bank of America and Morgan Stanley grow increasingly bearish, JPMorgan&#39;s equity-research department has churned up yet another bullish note for the bank&#39;s clients, advising them about the potential for massive month- and quarter-end rebalancing flows that could trigger a sustained rebound in stocks, putting even more distance between the U.S. benchmarks and the bear-market territory with which the S&amp;P 500 index was flirting late last week.</p><p>The team of JPMorgan equity quants, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, told the bank&#39;s clients that potentially more than $250 billion could flow into stocks by the end of June as American mutual funds and pension funds, along with foreign pensions and sovereign-wealth funds, &#34;rebalance&#34; by buying stocks and selling bonds to compensate for the latest drop in stocks.</p><p>In their latest report on equity flows and liquidity, the team said it expects between $34 billion and $56 billion of buying by &#34;balanced&#34; mutual funds (that is, funds that aim to maintain a 60/40 weighting of stocks to bonds in accordance with the principles of Modern Portfolio Theory).</p><p>But even larger than the mutual-fund universe is the world of defined-benefit pension funds, which Panigirtzoglou and his team believe could dump as much as $167 billion into U.S. stocks by the end of June.</p><p>These funds have an aggregate $7.5 trillion in assets under management, according to JPMorgan, and although pension funds tend to rebalance more slowly than mutual funds, the JPMorgan team suspects that they might be behind the eight-ball on rebalancing for April, leaving more room for buying as we head into the summer months.</p><p>Finally, the JPMorgan analysts expect an additional $40 billion of inflows from major foreign buyers like the Norges Bank (which controls Norway&#39;s massive sovereign-wealth fund), the Swiss National Bank (which maintains a large portfolio of U.S. equities) and Japanese pension funds.</p><p>All told, that&#39;s potentially more than $250 billion in inflows that could bolster Wall Street stocks. Since algorithmic traders like Commodity Trading Advisors often trade based on momentum, the initial move higher in equities caused by these inflows could potentially trigger a virtuous feedback loop that could see stocks erase more than half of their year-to-date losses -- at least, according to JPMorgan.</p><p>To be sure, the JPMorgan team had expected a significant bump in equity prices due to rebalancing back in March, a call that didn&#39;t quite come to pass, although global equities did stage a brief rally, registering a modest gain for the month, their only monthly gain so far this year.</p><p>JPMorgan&#39;s strategists, particularly Panigirtzoglou and his colleague Marko Kolanovic, have been some of the most stridently bullish voices on Wall Street so far this year. But as noted above, other Wall Street strategists are much more bearish: for example, Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in a note to clients published Monday that downward earnings revisions could cause stocks to shed another 5% to 10% of their value.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$250 Billion in \"Rebalancing\" Inflows Could Rescue Stocks By the End of June, JPMorgan Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$250 Billion in \"Rebalancing\" Inflows Could Rescue Stocks By the End of June, JPMorgan Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-29 08:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>While stock-market strategists at Bank of America and Morgan Stanley grow increasingly bearish, JPMorgan&#39;s equity-research department has churned up yet another bullish note for the bank&#39;s clients, advising them about the potential for massive month- and quarter-end rebalancing flows that could trigger a sustained rebound in stocks, putting even more distance between the U.S. benchmarks and the bear-market territory with which the S&amp;P 500 index was flirting late last week.</p><p>The team of JPMorgan equity quants, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, told the bank&#39;s clients that potentially more than $250 billion could flow into stocks by the end of June as American mutual funds and pension funds, along with foreign pensions and sovereign-wealth funds, &#34;rebalance&#34; by buying stocks and selling bonds to compensate for the latest drop in stocks.</p><p>In their latest report on equity flows and liquidity, the team said it expects between $34 billion and $56 billion of buying by &#34;balanced&#34; mutual funds (that is, funds that aim to maintain a 60/40 weighting of stocks to bonds in accordance with the principles of Modern Portfolio Theory).</p><p>But even larger than the mutual-fund universe is the world of defined-benefit pension funds, which Panigirtzoglou and his team believe could dump as much as $167 billion into U.S. stocks by the end of June.</p><p>These funds have an aggregate $7.5 trillion in assets under management, according to JPMorgan, and although pension funds tend to rebalance more slowly than mutual funds, the JPMorgan team suspects that they might be behind the eight-ball on rebalancing for April, leaving more room for buying as we head into the summer months.</p><p>Finally, the JPMorgan analysts expect an additional $40 billion of inflows from major foreign buyers like the Norges Bank (which controls Norway&#39;s massive sovereign-wealth fund), the Swiss National Bank (which maintains a large portfolio of U.S. equities) and Japanese pension funds.</p><p>All told, that&#39;s potentially more than $250 billion in inflows that could bolster Wall Street stocks. Since algorithmic traders like Commodity Trading Advisors often trade based on momentum, the initial move higher in equities caused by these inflows could potentially trigger a virtuous feedback loop that could see stocks erase more than half of their year-to-date losses -- at least, according to JPMorgan.</p><p>To be sure, the JPMorgan team had expected a significant bump in equity prices due to rebalancing back in March, a call that didn&#39;t quite come to pass, although global equities did stage a brief rally, registering a modest gain for the month, their only monthly gain so far this year.</p><p>JPMorgan&#39;s strategists, particularly Panigirtzoglou and his colleague Marko Kolanovic, have been some of the most stridently bullish voices on Wall Street so far this year. But as noted above, other Wall Street strategists are much more bearish: for example, Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in a note to clients published Monday that downward earnings revisions could cause stocks to shed another 5% to 10% of their value.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238585689","content_text":"While stock-market strategists at Bank of America and Morgan Stanley grow increasingly bearish, JPMorgan's equity-research department has churned up yet another bullish note for the bank's clients, advising them about the potential for massive month- and quarter-end rebalancing flows that could trigger a sustained rebound in stocks, putting even more distance between the U.S. benchmarks and the bear-market territory with which the S&P 500 index was flirting late last week.The team of JPMorgan equity quants, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, told the bank's clients that potentially more than $250 billion could flow into stocks by the end of June as American mutual funds and pension funds, along with foreign pensions and sovereign-wealth funds, \"rebalance\" by buying stocks and selling bonds to compensate for the latest drop in stocks.In their latest report on equity flows and liquidity, the team said it expects between $34 billion and $56 billion of buying by \"balanced\" mutual funds (that is, funds that aim to maintain a 60/40 weighting of stocks to bonds in accordance with the principles of Modern Portfolio Theory).But even larger than the mutual-fund universe is the world of defined-benefit pension funds, which Panigirtzoglou and his team believe could dump as much as $167 billion into U.S. stocks by the end of June.These funds have an aggregate $7.5 trillion in assets under management, according to JPMorgan, and although pension funds tend to rebalance more slowly than mutual funds, the JPMorgan team suspects that they might be behind the eight-ball on rebalancing for April, leaving more room for buying as we head into the summer months.Finally, the JPMorgan analysts expect an additional $40 billion of inflows from major foreign buyers like the Norges Bank (which controls Norway's massive sovereign-wealth fund), the Swiss National Bank (which maintains a large portfolio of U.S. equities) and Japanese pension funds.All told, that's potentially more than $250 billion in inflows that could bolster Wall Street stocks. Since algorithmic traders like Commodity Trading Advisors often trade based on momentum, the initial move higher in equities caused by these inflows could potentially trigger a virtuous feedback loop that could see stocks erase more than half of their year-to-date losses -- at least, according to JPMorgan.To be sure, the JPMorgan team had expected a significant bump in equity prices due to rebalancing back in March, a call that didn't quite come to pass, although global equities did stage a brief rally, registering a modest gain for the month, their only monthly gain so far this year.JPMorgan's strategists, particularly Panigirtzoglou and his colleague Marko Kolanovic, have been some of the most stridently bullish voices on Wall Street so far this year. But as noted above, other Wall Street strategists are much more bearish: for example, Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in a note to clients published Monday that downward earnings revisions could cause stocks to shed another 5% to 10% of their value.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039980161,"gmtCreate":1645882320302,"gmtModify":1676534072267,"author":{"id":"4101299314304390","authorId":"4101299314304390","name":"Avenite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb9f66c2dfcd97ff88a4cdff7fe2ed","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101299314304390","authorIdStr":"4101299314304390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039980161","repostId":"1113266874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113266874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1645881465,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113266874?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-26 21:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire Hathaway Buys Back $6.9B of Stock in Q4; Operating Earnings Rise 45%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113266874","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A) bought back $6.9B of its shares in Q4 2021. All told, B","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A) bought back $6.9B of its shares in Q4 2021. All told, Berkshire (BRK.B) bought back $27B of its own shares in 2021, up from the $24.7B it repurchased in 2020.</p><p>Q4 operating earnings of $7.29B vs. $6.47B in Q3 and $5.02B in Q4, a 45% Y/Y jump as insurance underwriting reversed from a year-ago loss. Railroad, energy, and utilities earnings also contributed to the gain as well as a healthy increase in &#34;other businesses.&#34;</p><p>Insurance float was ~$147B at Dec. 31, 2021 vs. ~$145B at Sept. 30.</p><p>Operating earnings by segment:</p><p>Insurance underwriting — $372M vs. -$299M a year ago.</p><p>Insurance - investment income — $1.22B vs. $1.27B</p><p>Railroad, utilities, and energy —$2.24B vs. $2.00B.</p><p>Other businesses — $2.79B vs. $2.47B</p><p>Other — $662M vs. -$412M</p><p>Q4 net earnings, which includes investment and derivatives gains or losses (most of which is unrealized), were $39.6B, or $17.79 per class B share. That compares with $10.3B or $4.59 per class B share, in Q3 and $35.8B, or $15.34 per share, in Q4 2020.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire Hathaway Buys Back $6.9B of Stock in Q4; Operating Earnings Rise 45%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire Hathaway Buys Back $6.9B of Stock in Q4; Operating Earnings Rise 45%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-26 21:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3806245-berkshire-hathaway-buys-back-69b-of-stock-in-q4-operating-earnings-rise-45><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A) bought back $6.9B of its shares in Q4 2021. All told, Berkshire (BRK.B) bought back $27B of its own shares in 2021, up from the $24.7B it repurchased in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3806245-berkshire-hathaway-buys-back-69b-of-stock-in-q4-operating-earnings-rise-45\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3806245-berkshire-hathaway-buys-back-69b-of-stock-in-q4-operating-earnings-rise-45","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113266874","content_text":"Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A) bought back $6.9B of its shares in Q4 2021. All told, Berkshire (BRK.B) bought back $27B of its own shares in 2021, up from the $24.7B it repurchased in 2020.Q4 operating earnings of $7.29B vs. $6.47B in Q3 and $5.02B in Q4, a 45% Y/Y jump as insurance underwriting reversed from a year-ago loss. Railroad, energy, and utilities earnings also contributed to the gain as well as a healthy increase in \"other businesses.\"Insurance float was ~$147B at Dec. 31, 2021 vs. ~$145B at Sept. 30.Operating earnings by segment:Insurance underwriting — $372M vs. -$299M a year ago.Insurance - investment income — $1.22B vs. $1.27BRailroad, utilities, and energy —$2.24B vs. $2.00B.Other businesses — $2.79B vs. $2.47BOther — $662M vs. -$412MQ4 net earnings, which includes investment and derivatives gains or losses (most of which is unrealized), were $39.6B, or $17.79 per class B share. That compares with $10.3B or $4.59 per class B share, in Q3 and $35.8B, or $15.34 per share, in Q4 2020.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}