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2022-03-08

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2022-03-27

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Alphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy

2022-03-03

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2022-03-15

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2022-03-10

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Precious metals and fertilizer names slide in broader market rally

2022-03-09

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2022-03-07

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09:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2221071429","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are fa","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8682b68644fb0e700ccf73bfd598736\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty Images</p><p></p><p>Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years.</p><p><b> Alphabet And Meta Returns Since 2013</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7de1c1120c62c3dad9c49e5d4e5a134\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"112\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>In fact, both have crushed even the red hot Nasdaq during <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the hottest tech bull runs in US history, delivering Buffett-like 25% returns that resulted in an 8X return.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad549342543f2ced891f57b6c43bb4fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p></p><p>While the market is currently in a correction, and growth stocks have been especially hard hit, Meta has been crushed, falling into a 50% bear market.</p><p>I&#39;ve bought both growth legends in this correction, but one is a core growth name in my correction plan, and the other is a non-core holding.</p><p>So let me explain why both Meta and Alphabet are great companies, worth owning, and even buying more of right now.</p><p>However, a careful examination of both of their fundamentals makes it clear that Alphabet is the global king of digital marketing, and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future.</p><h2>The Challenge Facing Digital Marketers Right Now</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a556ac1fd6482c83da2db4af6d5b7540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>eMarketer</p><p></p><p>GOOG, FB, and Amazon (AMZN) have a triopoly on US digital marketing, commanding an estimated 65% of the market.</p><p>Both GOOG and FB are losing market share to AMZN because Amazon&#39;s ads are 3X as effective at converting to actual sales.</p><p>That&#39;s because Amazon has spent decades gathering customer sales data and knows what its customers want better than anyone on earth.</p><p>Apple&#39;s (AAPL) recent privacy shift in iOS, makes it much easier to opt out of data tracking, and 62% of iPhone users have indeed opted out.</p><p>This has proven a hammer blow to FB, which management says could cost it $10 billion in 2022 alone.</p><p>GOOG is less at risk since it still has the search data it can use to optimize for targeted ads.</p><p>AMZN is the least at risk since it relies far less on cookie tracking than its rivals.</p><p>This kind of business model disruption is part of FB and GOOG&#39;s risk profile, which brings us to our first point of comparison.</p><h2>Long-Term Risk Management: Winner Alphabet</h2><p>How do we quantify, monitor, and track such a complex risk profile? By doing what big institutions do.</p><h2>Material Financial ESG Risk Analysis: How Large Institutions Measure Total Risk</h2><ul><li>4 Things You Need To Know To Profit From ESG Investing</li><li>What Investors Need To Know About Company Long-Term Risk Management (Video)</li></ul><p>Here is a special report that outlines the most important aspects of understanding long-term ESG financial risks for your investments.</p><ul><li>ESG is NOT &#34;political or personal ethics based investing&#34;</li><li>it&#39;s total long-term risk management analysis</li></ul><blockquote><i><b>ESG is just normal risk by another name.</b></i><i>&#34; Simon MacMahon, head of ESG and corporate governance research, Sustainalytics&#34; - Morningstar</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>ESG factors are taken into consideration, alongside all other credit factors, when we consider they are relevant to and have or may have a material influence on creditworthiness.&#34; - S&amp;P</i></blockquote><p>ESG is a measure of risk, not of ethics, political correctness, or personal opinion.</p><p>S&amp;P, Fitch, Moody&#39;s, DBRS (Canadian rating agency), AMBest (insurance rating agency), R&amp;I Credit Rating (Japanese rating agency), and the Japan Credit Rating Agency <b>have been using ESG models in their credit ratings for decades.</b></p><ul><li><b>every credit rating for the last 30 years has included these risk models, you just weren&#39;t aware of it </b></li><li>credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model</li><li>dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality model</li></ul><p>Every major financial institution also tracks long-term risk management and considers it essential to sound long-term investing including,</p><ul><li>BlackRock</li><li>MSCI</li><li>JPMorgan</li><li>Wells Fargo</li><li>Bank of America</li><li>Deutsche Bank</li><li>virtually every major financial institution in the world</li></ul><p>We use six rating agencies to get a consensus risk management percentile, comparing how well a company manages its risk relative to its peers.</p><p>For context:</p><ul><li>master list average: 62nd percentile</li><li>dividend kings: 63rd percentile</li><li>dividend aristocrats: 67th percentile</li><li>Ultra SWANs: 71st percentile</li></ul><p>The better a company&#39;s risk management consensus the more likely it will be able to adapt to challenges to its business model, as we&#39;re seeing now with GOOG and FB.</p><h4>Meta Long-Term Risk-Management Consensus</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating Agency</b></td><td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td><td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>MSCI 37 Metric Model</td><td>26.0%</td><td><p>B Industry Laggard, Negative Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model</td><td>0.7%</td><td><p>32.4/100 High-Risk</p></td></tr><tr><td>Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model</td><td>88.9%</td><td>Good</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 1,000+ Metric Model</td><td>18.0%</td><td><p>Very Poor- Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital 19 Metric Model</td><td>50.0%</td><td>Average</td></tr><tr><td>FactSet</td><td>30.0%</td><td><p>Below-Average Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar Global Percentile</td><td>30.6%</td><td>Below-Average</td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital Global Percentile</td><td>25.4%</td><td>Poor</td></tr><tr><td><b>Consensus</b></td><td><b>33.7%</b></td><td><p><b>Below-Average (verging on poor) - medium risk</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters&#39;, Just Capital, S&amp;P, FactSet Research)</i></p><p>The rating agency consensus is that FB is below-average at managing its risk, verging on poor.</p><p>Now contrast that with GOOG.</p><h4>Alphabet Long-Term Risk-Management Consensus</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating Agency</b></td><td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td><td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>MSCI 37 Metric Model</td><td>53.0%</td><td><p>BBB Average, Negative Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model</td><td>39.7%</td><td><p>24.3/100 Medium-Risk</p></td></tr><tr><td>Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model</td><td>85.88%</td><td>Good</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 1,000+ Metric Model</td><td>47.0%</td><td><p>Average- Positive Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital 19 Metric Model</td><td>100.00%</td><td><p>#1 Industry Leader</p></td></tr><tr><td>FactSet</td><td>30.0%</td><td><p>Below-Average Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar Global Percentile</td><td>60.88</td><td>Above-Average</td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital Global Percentile</td><td>100%</td><td><p>#1 Industry Leader, #1 Company In America</p></td></tr><tr><td><b>Consensus</b></td><td><b>64.6%</b></td><td><b>Above-Average - low risk </b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters&#39;, Just Capital, S&amp;P, FactSet Research)</i></p><p>GOOG doesn&#39;t just manage its long-term risk better than FB, it&#39;s beating FB by 31%.</p><ul><li>far more likely to successfully deal with privacy policy shifts, regulators, and every other major risk to its business model</li></ul><p>And risk-management isn&#39;t the only factor in which GOOG outshines FB by a wide margin.</p><h2>Overall Quality: Winner, Alphabet</h2><p>The Dividend King&#39;s overall quality scores are based on a 241 point model that includes:</p><ul><li><p>dividend safety</p></li><li><p>balance sheet strength</p></li><li><p>credit ratings</p></li><li><p>credit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk data</p></li><li><p>short and long-term bankruptcy risk</p></li><li><p>accounting and corporate fraud risk</p></li><li><p>profitability and business model</p></li><li><p>growth consensus estimates</p></li><li><p>management growth guidance</p></li><li><p>historical earnings growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical cash flow growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical dividend growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical sales growth rates</p></li><li><p>cost of capital</p></li><li><p>long-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&amp;P, Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv, and Just Capital</p></li><li><p>management quality</p></li><li><p>dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability</p></li><li><p>long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)</p></li><li><p>analyst consensus long-term return potential</p></li></ul><p>It actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.</p><ul><li><p>credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model</p></li><li><p>dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality model</p></li></ul><p>How do we know that our safety and quality model works well?</p><p>During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.</p><p>That&#39;s because we don&#39;t miss anything important about a company&#39;s fundamental safety and quality.</p><p>So how do GOOG and FB stack up on one of the world&#39;s most comprehensive and accurate safety and quality models?</p><h2>Meta: A Speculative 11/19 Quality Blue-Chip</h2><p><b>Meta Balance Sheet Safety</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating</b></td><td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)</b></td><td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td><td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>1 - unsafe</td><td>0% to 20%</td><td>over 4%</td><td>16+%</td></tr><tr><td>2- below average</td><td>21% to 40%</td><td>over 2%</td><td>8% to 16%</td></tr><tr><td>3 - average</td><td>41% to 60%</td><td>2%</td><td>4% to 8%</td></tr><tr><td>4 - safe</td><td>61% to 80%</td><td>1%</td><td>2% to 4%</td></tr><tr><td>5- very safe</td><td>81% to 100%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1% to 2%</td></tr><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>100%</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>Medium Risk (34th industry percentile risk-management consensus)</td><td>Effective AAA stable outlook credit rating 0.07% 30-year bankruptcy risk</td><td>2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation - speculative, turnaround stock</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td><td><b>Interpretation</b></td><td><b>Points</b></td></tr><tr><td>Non-Dependable Companies</td><td>21% or below</td><td>Poor Dependability</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>Low Dependability Companies</td><td>22% to 60%</td><td>Below-Average Dependability</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td><td>61% (58% to 70% range)</td><td>Average Dependability</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Above-Average</td><td>71% to 80%</td><td>Very Dependable</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Very Good</td><td>81% or higher</td><td>Exceptional Dependability</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>67%</b></td><td><b>Average Dependability</b></td><td><b>3</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Overall Quality</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>Final Score</b></td><td><b>Rating</b></td></tr><tr><td>Safety</td><td>100%</td><td>5/5 very safe</td></tr><tr><td>Business Model</td><td>100%</td><td>3/3 wide moat</td></tr><tr><td>Dependability</td><td>67%</td><td>3/5 average dependability</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total</b></td><td><b>84%</b></td><td><b>11/13 Speculative Blue-Chip</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td><p>2/3 Medium Risk</p></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec - speculative, turnaround stock</td><td><p>20% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good Buy</p></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table><p>And here&#39;s GOOG.</p><h2>Alphabet: A 13/13 Quality Ultra SWAN</h2><p><b>Alphabet Balance Sheet Safety</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating</b></td><td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)</b></td><td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td><td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>1 - unsafe</td><td>0% to 20%</td><td>over 4%</td><td>16+%</td></tr><tr><td>2- below average</td><td>21% to 40%</td><td>over 2%</td><td>8% to 16%</td></tr><tr><td>3 - average</td><td>41% to 60%</td><td>2%</td><td>4% to 8%</td></tr><tr><td>4 - safe</td><td>61% to 80%</td><td>1%</td><td>2% to 4%</td></tr><tr><td>5- very safe</td><td>81% to 100%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1% to 2%</td></tr><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>100%</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>Low Risk (65th industry percentile risk-management consensus)</td><td>AA+ stable outlook credit rating 0.29% 30-year bankruptcy risk</td><td>20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td><td><b>Interpretation</b></td><td><b>Points</b></td></tr><tr><td>Non-Dependable Companies</td><td>21% or below</td><td>Poor Dependability</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>Low Dependability Companies</td><td>22% to 60%</td><td>Below-Average Dependability</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td><td>61% (58% to 70% range)</td><td>Average Dependability</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Above-Average</td><td>71% to 80%</td><td>Very Dependable</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Very Good</td><td>81% or higher</td><td>Exceptional Dependability</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>89%</b></td><td><b>Exceptional Dependability</b></td><td><b>5</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Overall Quality</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>Final Score</b></td><td><b>Rating</b></td></tr><tr><td>Safety</td><td>100%</td><td>5/5 very safe</td></tr><tr><td>Business Model</td><td>100%</td><td>3/3 wide moat</td></tr><tr><td>Dependability</td><td>89%</td><td>5/5 exceptional</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total</b></td><td><b>95%</b></td><td><b>13/13 Ultra SWAN</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>3/3 Low Risk</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec</td><td><p>5% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good Buy</p></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table><ul><li>Meta: 114th highest quality company on the Masterlist: 78th percentile</li><li>Alphabet: 39th highest quality: 92nd percentile</li></ul><p>Both companies are exceptionally high quality given that our company database is one of the best in the world.</p><p>The DK 500 Master List includes the world&#39;s highest quality companies including:</p><ul><li><p>All dividend champions</p></li><li><p>All dividend aristocrats</p></li><li><p>All dividend kings</p></li><li><p>All global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)</p></li><li><p>All 13/13 Ultra Swans (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street)</p></li><li>48 of the world&#39;s best growth stocks (on its way to 100)</li></ul><p>But when it comes to overall quality, factoring in over 1,000 fundamental metrics, the winner is clearly once more Alphabet.</p><p>Why is GOOG the hands-down winner in this quality fight with FB?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Quality Rating (out Of 13)</b></td><td><b>Quality Score (Out Of 100)</b></td><td><b>Dividend/Balance Sheet Safety Rating (out of 5)</b></td><td><b>Safety Score (Out Of 100)</b></td><td><b>Dependability Rating (Out Of 5)</b></td><td><b>Dependability Score (out Of 100)</b></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></td><td>11 Speculative Blue-Chip</td><td>84%</td><td>5 Very Safe</td><td>100%</td><td>3 average</td><td>67%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>13 Ultra SWAN</td><td>95%</td><td>5 Very Safe</td><td>100%</td><td>5 exceptional</td><td>89%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal)</i></p><p>Both FB and Meta have exceptionally strong balance sheets, making the risk of bankruptcy as close to zero as you can find on Wall Street.</p><h4>Alphabet&#39;s Balance Sheet: AA+ Rated By S&amp;P</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13f13c309fa748452dfea0afb27ebdf\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>GuruFocus Premium</p><p></p><p>GOOG has $140 billion in cash and just $13 billion in debt.</p><p>Its advanced accounting metrics (F, Z, and M-score) are exceptional.</p><ul><li>F-score is a measure of short-term bankruptcy risk</li><li>4+ is safe, 7+ very safe and GOOG&#39;s is 8</li><li>M-score is 84% to 92% accurate at forecasting long-term bankruptcies</li><li>1.81+ is safe, 3+ is very safe and GOOG&#39;s is 13.04</li><li>M-score is 76% accurate at catching accounting fraud, and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting</li><li>-1.78 or lower is safe and GOOG&#39;s is -2.48</li></ul><h4>Meta&#39;s Balance Sheet: Effectively AAA</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68209d14c736c8328e46572200e82060\" tg-width=\"487\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>GuruFocus Premium</p><p></p><p>The only &#34;debt&#34; Meta has is receivables, it actually carries no long-term debt.</p><p>That is why it&#39;s the largest company on earth that doesn&#39;t pay the $500K per year for a credit rating.</p><p>However, given its current and historical advanced credit metrics, as well as its exceptionally strong solvency ratios (current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratios), I&#39;m highly confident that it would be AAA-rated.</p><ul><li>because it&#39;s literally not possible for FB to default on debt it doesn&#39;t have</li></ul><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Credit Rating</b></td><td><b>30-Year Bankruptcy Probability</b></td></tr><tr><td>AAA (Meta)</td><td>0.07%</td></tr><tr><td>AA+ (Alphabet)</td><td>0.29%</td></tr><tr><td>AA</td><td>0.51%</td></tr><tr><td>AA-</td><td>0.55%</td></tr><tr><td>A+</td><td>0.60%</td></tr><tr><td>A</td><td>0.66%</td></tr><tr><td>A-</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB+</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB</td><td>7.5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB-</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>BB+</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>BB-</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>B+</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>B</td><td>37%</td></tr><tr><td>B-</td><td>45%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC+</td><td>52%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC</td><td>59%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC-</td><td>65%</td></tr><tr><td>CC</td><td>70%</td></tr><tr><td>C</td><td>80%</td></tr><tr><td>D</td><td>100%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: S&amp;P, University of St. Petersberg)</i></p><p>This means the fundamental risk of losing all your money over the next 30 years buying FB or GOOG today is approximately</p><ul><li>1 in 1,429 for FB</li><li>1 in 345 for GOOG</li></ul><p>And both companies&#39; balance sheets are expected to keep getting stronger over time.</p><p><b>Alphabet: Consensus $441 Billion In Net Cash By 2027 </b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c3a6843c329c2b16d3839e0e124674\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p><b>Meta: Consensus $71 Billion In Net Cash By 2027</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec44680d5d8318ba8ed74d4b40ae28e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>Now let&#39;s consider profitability, Wall Street&#39;s favorite quality proxy.</p><h2>Profitability: Winner, Meta By A Small Amount</h2><p><b>Meta Profitability Vs Peers</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e2b501a3cd5bb6da5299422362bed67\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Gurufocus Premium</p><p></p><p><b>Alphabet Profitability Vs Peers</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/926a2ab456d218b3ef8cd49552df5565\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Gurufocus Premium</p><p></p><p>Both companies are profit-minting machines.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/673b7f04eadaf433b4fe704dda171180\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p></p><p>These are two of the most profitable companies on earth, and their industry-leading profitability has been stable or improving for over a decade, confirming a wide and stable moat.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a1b491d8a76dd73ddc3b2ea13e999c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"187\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>FB&#39;s free cash flow is expected to keep growing and reach $77 billion in 2027.</p><p>This is expected to result in impressive buybacks in the coming years.</p><ul><li>$219 billion in consensus buybacks through 2027</li><li>38% of shares at current valuations</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f9e72220887060384ea19dc975503c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>GOOG&#39;s annual free cash flow is expected to grow to $139 billion in 2027, allowing it to undertake even more impressive buybacks.</p><ul><li>$380 billion in consensus buybacks through 2027</li><li>21% of shares at current valuations</li></ul><p>Now let&#39;s consider one important profitability metric in particular.</p><p>Return on capital or ROC is Joel Greenblatt&#39;s gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.</p><p>ROC = pre-tax profit/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business).</p><ul><li>S&amp;P 500&#39;s average in 2021 was 14.6% (average investment pays for itself in 7 years)</li></ul><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>ROC (Greenblatt)</b></td><td><b>ROC Industry Percentile</b></td><td><b>13-Year Median ROC</b></td><td><b>5-Year ROC Trend (OTC:CAGR)</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>74%</td><td>65%</td><td>95%</td><td>-16%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>87%</td><td>67%</td><td>74%</td><td>-7%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>In the past year, GOOG&#39;s return on capital was higher than FB&#39;s and it&#39;s also above its 13-year median indicating a more stable moat.</p><p>In other words, when it comes to profitability, FB edges out GOOG by a small amount, except in terms of return on capital, where it&#39;s once more the winner.</p><h2>Valuation: Winner, Meta</h2><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Average Fair Value</b></td><td><b>Current Price</b></td><td><b>Discount To Fair Value</b></td><td><b>DK Rating</b></td><td><b>PE 2022</b></td><td><b>PEG 2022</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>$265.75</td><td>$214.35</td><td>19.6%</td><td>Potentially Reasonable Buy</td><td>17.19</td><td>1.49</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>$3,161.89</td><td>$2,771.92</td><td>12.3%</td><td>Potentially Good Buy</td><td>23.51</td><td>1.67</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>FB is trading at a slightly lower valuation and a higher margin of safety, though not quite high enough for me to consider it a good buy.</p><ul><li>20% discount is needed to make FB a potentially good buy given its lower quality and risk profile</li></ul><p>If we back out cash we see that FB is once more the more undervalued company.</p><ul><li>FB EV/EBITDA: 9.5</li><li>GOOG EV/EBITDA: 14.5</li></ul><p>However, both companies are trading at highly attractive valuations.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>12-Month Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>12-Month Fundamentally Justified Upside Total Return Potential</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>48.47%</td><td>23.98%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>25.77%</td><td>14.11%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>This is why analysts expect both to deliver very strong returns, though FB potentially much more than GOOG.</p><p>Of course, what happens in the next year doesn&#39;t matter as much as the kind of returns both companies can deliver over the long-term.</p><h2>Long-Term Total Return Potential: Winner, Alphabet</h2><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Yield</b></td><td><b>FactSet Long-Term Consensus Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>0.00%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>0.00%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>GOOG is expected to grow significantly faster than FB over time, resulting in far better long-term returns.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Investment Strategy</b></td><td><b>Yield</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Growth</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</b></td><td><b>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</b></td><td><b>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</b></td><td><p><b>10 Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Return</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>Europe</td><td>2.6%</td><td>12.8%</td><td>15.4%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>8.6%</td><td>8.4</td><td>2.27</td></tr><tr><td>Value</td><td>2.1%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.7%</td><td>9.3</td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td><b>Alphabet</b></td><td><b>0.0%</b></td><td><b>14.1%</b></td><td><b>14.1%</b></td><td><b>9.9%</b></td><td><b>7.7%</b></td><td><b>9.4</b></td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td>High-Yield</td><td>2.8%</td><td>11.3%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.7%</td><td>9.4</td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td>High-Yield + Growth</td><td>1.7%</td><td>11.0%</td><td>12.7%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>6.7%</td><td>10.8</td><td>1.91</td></tr><tr><td>Safe Midstream + Growth</td><td>3.3%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>8.3%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.80</td></tr><tr><td><b>Meta</b></td><td><b>0.0%</b></td><td><b>11.50%</b></td><td><b>11.5%</b></td><td><b>8.1%</b></td><td><b>5.9%</b></td><td><b>12.3</b></td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq (Growth)</td><td>0.8%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td><td>5.9%</td><td>12.3</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Safe Midstream</td><td>5.5%</td><td>6.0%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td><td>5.9%</td><td>12.3</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.2%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.6%</td><td>12.9</td><td>1.72</td></tr><tr><td>REITs + Growth</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>10.6%</td><td>7.4%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>13.7</td><td>1.67</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.4%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.0%</td><td>4.8%</td><td>15.1</td><td>1.59</td></tr><tr><td>Realty Income</td><td>4.6%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>9.8%</td><td>6.9%</td><td>4.7%</td><td>15.4</td><td>1.58</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Growth</td><td>1.6%</td><td>8.0%</td><td>9.6%</td><td>6.7%</td><td>4.5%</td><td>15.9</td><td>1.56</td></tr><tr><td>REITs</td><td>2.9%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>9.4%</td><td>6.6%</td><td>4.4%</td><td>16.4</td><td>1.54</td></tr><tr><td>60/40 Retirement Portfolio</td><td>2.1%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>2.9%</td><td>24.9</td><td>1.33</td></tr><tr><td>10-Year US Treasury</td><td>2.3%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-0.5%</td><td>-131.1</td><td>0.95</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Both companies are expected to beat the S&amp;P 500 over time, though FB merely to match the Nasdaq while GOOG is expected to run circles around big tech.</p><p>What kind of difference does 2.6% per year in potential extra returns actually mean for your life?</p><h4>Inflation-Adjusted Consensus Return Forecast: $1,000 Initial Investment</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td><td><b>7.7% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted S&amp;P Consensus</b></td><td><b>11.9% Inflation-Adjusted GOOG Consensus</b></td><td><b>9.3% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted FB Consensus</b></td><td><b>Difference Between Inflation Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus Returns</b></td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>$1,449.03</td><td>$1,756.06</td><td>$1,561.34</td><td>$194.71</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>$2,099.70</td><td>$3,083.73</td><td>$2,437.79</td><td>$645.95</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>$3,042.53</td><td>$5,415.21</td><td>$3,806.22</td><td>$1,608.99</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>$4,408.74</td><td>$9,509.42</td><td>$5,942.82</td><td>$3,566.60</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>$6,388.41</td><td>$16,699.08</td><td>$9,278.77</td><td>$7,420.31</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>$9,257.02</td><td>$29,324.53</td><td>$14,487.34</td><td>$14,837.19</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Both FB and GOOG are likely to generate good returns but GOOG could turn a modest investment today into a potentially small fortune in the coming decades.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td><td><b>Ratio Inflation-Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus</b></td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>1.12</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>1.26</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>1.42</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>1.60</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>1.80</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>2.02</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>In fact, GOOG could potentially double FB&#39;s 30-year returns if both companies grow as analysts currently expect.</p><h2>Short &amp; Medium-Term Total Return Potential: Tie</h2><p><b>Meta 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f903c32f63dbb4cfa5efa19492b8a0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>FB growing at 11.5% is worth about 20.5X earnings based on the company&#39;s historical PEG ratio.</p><ul><li>analyst 12-month consensus forecast is for 21.9 PE</li></ul><p>This means that if FB grows as expected through 2024 it could deliver about 18% annular returns, far more than the 17% overvalued S&amp;P 500 is likely to generate.</p><p>What about the next five years?</p><h4>S&amp;P 500 2027 Consensus Return Potential</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Year</b></td><td><b>Upside Potential By End of That Year</b></td><td><b>Consensus CAGR Return Potential By End of That Year</b></td><td><b>Probability-Weighted Return (Annualized)</b></td><td><p><b>Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>2027</td><td>34.75%</td><td>6.15%</td><td>4.61%</td><td>1.27%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK S&amp;P 500 Valuation And Total Return Tool)</i></p><p>For context, analysts expect 35% returns from the S&amp;P 500, which adjusted for inflation and risk is 1% compared to the market&#39;s historical 6% to 7% real return.</p><h4><b>Meta 2027 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66d31fef78452199e2961d8d89d65454\" tg-width=\"275\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>FB could more than double your money if it grows as analysts expect over the next five years.</p><ul><li>3.2X the S&amp;P 500 consensus</li></ul><h2><b>GOOG 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc664bb22e0ba08e06de0e9bbed286c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>GOOG could deliver 13% annual returns through 2024 if it grows as expected.</p><p>In the past GOOG has grown as slowly as 11% and billions of investors still paid 25.7X earnings, meaning that its historical market-fair value multiple of 25 to 26X earnings should still be valid.</p><h4><b>GOOG 2027 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d07a6169cb075678d6646bca01679\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>Thanks to GOOG&#39;s faster growth rate analysts expect both companies to potentially deliver identical returns.</p><ul><li>about 14% annually over the next five years</li><li>also 3.2X better than the S&amp;P 500</li></ul><h2>Bottom Line: Both Are Great Companies But In The Battle Of Meta And Alphabet There Is One Clear Winner</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dea4bc19b8951f30e1b2bea40e989b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/507426f09d401e866c66a1f1dd597e4f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p></p><p>Both Alphabet and Meta are wonderful companies, and as close to perfect growth blue-chip opportunities as you can find on Wall Street right now.</p><ul><li>far superior valuation</li><li>superior quality</li><li>superior long-term return potential to the S&amp;P 500</li></ul><p>However, when we examine both companies in their entirety one fact is clear.</p><ul><li>GOOG is a higher quality company</li><li>GOOG is a faster-growing company (<i>with potentially 2X better long-term return potential than FB</i>)</li><li>GOOG has far better long-term risk management (to deal with the disruption the digital advertising industry is currently facing)</li><li>GOOG has superior return on capital and a more stable moat</li></ul><p>While FB offers superior valuation and potentially double the short-term return potential, it&#39;s a speculative blue-chip currently going through the largest business pivot in the company&#39;s history.</p><p>In contrast, GOOG is a faster-growing Ultra SWAN that is expected to buy back almost $400 billion worth of stock in the next five years, double that of FB.</p><p>Simply put, if you can only buy one of these growth legends today, I recommend Alphabet, and that&#39;s why I have it as a core growth position in my correction plan.</p><p>Not just for the next few weeks, but all of 2022 and beyond.</p><p>Because at the end of the day, when you focus on safety and quality first, and prudent valuation and sound risk-management always, you never have to pray for luck on Wall Street, you make your own.</p><blockquote>Luck is what happens when preparation meets, opportunity.&#34; - Roman philosopher Seneca the younger</blockquote></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-27 09:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years. Alphabet And Meta Returns Since ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2221071429","content_text":"FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years. Alphabet And Meta Returns Since 2013Portfolio Visualizer PremiumIn fact, both have crushed even the red hot Nasdaq during one of the hottest tech bull runs in US history, delivering Buffett-like 25% returns that resulted in an 8X return.YchartsWhile the market is currently in a correction, and growth stocks have been especially hard hit, Meta has been crushed, falling into a 50% bear market.I've bought both growth legends in this correction, but one is a core growth name in my correction plan, and the other is a non-core holding.So let me explain why both Meta and Alphabet are great companies, worth owning, and even buying more of right now.However, a careful examination of both of their fundamentals makes it clear that Alphabet is the global king of digital marketing, and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future.The Challenge Facing Digital Marketers Right NoweMarketerGOOG, FB, and Amazon (AMZN) have a triopoly on US digital marketing, commanding an estimated 65% of the market.Both GOOG and FB are losing market share to AMZN because Amazon's ads are 3X as effective at converting to actual sales.That's because Amazon has spent decades gathering customer sales data and knows what its customers want better than anyone on earth.Apple's (AAPL) recent privacy shift in iOS, makes it much easier to opt out of data tracking, and 62% of iPhone users have indeed opted out.This has proven a hammer blow to FB, which management says could cost it $10 billion in 2022 alone.GOOG is less at risk since it still has the search data it can use to optimize for targeted ads.AMZN is the least at risk since it relies far less on cookie tracking than its rivals.This kind of business model disruption is part of FB and GOOG's risk profile, which brings us to our first point of comparison.Long-Term Risk Management: Winner AlphabetHow do we quantify, monitor, and track such a complex risk profile? By doing what big institutions do.Material Financial ESG Risk Analysis: How Large Institutions Measure Total Risk4 Things You Need To Know To Profit From ESG InvestingWhat Investors Need To Know About Company Long-Term Risk Management (Video)Here is a special report that outlines the most important aspects of understanding long-term ESG financial risks for your investments.ESG is NOT \"political or personal ethics based investing\"it's total long-term risk management analysisESG is just normal risk by another name.\" Simon MacMahon, head of ESG and corporate governance research, Sustainalytics\" - MorningstarESG factors are taken into consideration, alongside all other credit factors, when we consider they are relevant to and have or may have a material influence on creditworthiness.\" - S&PESG is a measure of risk, not of ethics, political correctness, or personal opinion.S&P, Fitch, Moody's, DBRS (Canadian rating agency), AMBest (insurance rating agency), R&I Credit Rating (Japanese rating agency), and the Japan Credit Rating Agency have been using ESG models in their credit ratings for decades.every credit rating for the last 30 years has included these risk models, you just weren't aware of it credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality modeldividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality modelEvery major financial institution also tracks long-term risk management and considers it essential to sound long-term investing including,BlackRockMSCIJPMorganWells FargoBank of AmericaDeutsche Bankvirtually every major financial institution in the worldWe use six rating agencies to get a consensus risk management percentile, comparing how well a company manages its risk relative to its peers.For context:master list average: 62nd percentiledividend kings: 63rd percentiledividend aristocrats: 67th percentileUltra SWANs: 71st percentileThe better a company's risk management consensus the more likely it will be able to adapt to challenges to its business model, as we're seeing now with GOOG and FB.Meta Long-Term Risk-Management ConsensusRating AgencyIndustry PercentileRating Agency ClassificationMSCI 37 Metric Model26.0%B Industry Laggard, Negative TrendMorningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model0.7%32.4/100 High-RiskReuters'/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model88.9%GoodS&P 1,000+ Metric Model18.0%Very Poor- Stable TrendJust Capital 19 Metric Model50.0%AverageFactSet30.0%Below-Average Stable TrendMorningstar Global Percentile30.6%Below-AverageJust Capital Global Percentile25.4%PoorConsensus33.7%Below-Average (verging on poor) - medium risk(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters', Just Capital, S&P, FactSet Research)The rating agency consensus is that FB is below-average at managing its risk, verging on poor.Now contrast that with GOOG.Alphabet Long-Term Risk-Management ConsensusRating AgencyIndustry PercentileRating Agency ClassificationMSCI 37 Metric Model53.0%BBB Average, Negative TrendMorningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model39.7%24.3/100 Medium-RiskReuters'/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model85.88%GoodS&P 1,000+ Metric Model47.0%Average- Positive TrendJust Capital 19 Metric Model100.00%#1 Industry LeaderFactSet30.0%Below-Average Stable TrendMorningstar Global Percentile60.88Above-AverageJust Capital Global Percentile100%#1 Industry Leader, #1 Company In AmericaConsensus64.6%Above-Average - low risk (Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters', Just Capital, S&P, FactSet Research)GOOG doesn't just manage its long-term risk better than FB, it's beating FB by 31%.far more likely to successfully deal with privacy policy shifts, regulators, and every other major risk to its business modelAnd risk-management isn't the only factor in which GOOG outshines FB by a wide margin.Overall Quality: Winner, AlphabetThe Dividend King's overall quality scores are based on a 241 point model that includes:dividend safetybalance sheet strengthcredit ratingscredit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk datashort and long-term bankruptcy riskaccounting and corporate fraud riskprofitability and business modelgrowth consensus estimatesmanagement growth guidancehistorical earnings growth rateshistorical cash flow growth rateshistorical dividend growth rateshistorical sales growth ratescost of capitallong-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&P, Reuters'/Refinitiv, and Just Capitalmanagement qualitydividend friendly corporate culture/income dependabilitylong-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)analyst consensus long-term return potentialIt actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality modeldividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality modelHow do we know that our safety and quality model works well?During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.That's because we don't miss anything important about a company's fundamental safety and quality.So how do GOOG and FB stack up on one of the world's most comprehensive and accurate safety and quality models?Meta: A Speculative 11/19 Quality Blue-ChipMeta Balance Sheet SafetyRatingDividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession1 - unsafe0% to 20%over 4%16+%2- below average21% to 40%over 2%8% to 16%3 - average41% to 60%2%4% to 8%4 - safe61% to 80%1%2% to 4%5- very safe81% to 100%0.5%1% to 2%FB100%NANARisk RatingMedium Risk (34th industry percentile risk-management consensus)Effective AAA stable outlook credit rating 0.07% 30-year bankruptcy risk2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation - speculative, turnaround stockLong-Term DependabilityCompanyDK Long-Term Dependability ScoreInterpretationPointsNon-Dependable Companies21% or belowPoor Dependability1Low Dependability Companies22% to 60%Below-Average Dependability2S&P 500/Industry Average61% (58% to 70% range)Average Dependability3Above-Average71% to 80%Very Dependable4Very Good81% or higherExceptional Dependability5FB67%Average Dependability3Overall QualityFBFinal ScoreRatingSafety100%5/5 very safeBusiness Model100%3/3 wide moatDependability67%3/5 average dependabilityTotal84%11/13 Speculative Blue-ChipRisk Rating2/3 Medium Risk2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec - speculative, turnaround stock20% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good BuyAnd here's GOOG.Alphabet: A 13/13 Quality Ultra SWANAlphabet Balance Sheet SafetyRatingDividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession1 - unsafe0% to 20%over 4%16+%2- below average21% to 40%over 2%8% to 16%3 - average41% to 60%2%4% to 8%4 - safe61% to 80%1%2% to 4%5- very safe81% to 100%0.5%1% to 2%GOOG100%NANARisk RatingLow Risk (65th industry percentile risk-management consensus)AA+ stable outlook credit rating 0.29% 30-year bankruptcy risk20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap RecommendationLong-Term DependabilityCompanyDK Long-Term Dependability ScoreInterpretationPointsNon-Dependable Companies21% or belowPoor Dependability1Low Dependability Companies22% to 60%Below-Average Dependability2S&P 500/Industry Average61% (58% to 70% range)Average Dependability3Above-Average71% to 80%Very Dependable4Very Good81% or higherExceptional Dependability5GOOG89%Exceptional Dependability5Overall QualityGOOGFinal ScoreRatingSafety100%5/5 very safeBusiness Model100%3/3 wide moatDependability89%5/5 exceptionalTotal95%13/13 Ultra SWANRisk Rating3/3 Low Risk20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec5% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good BuyMeta: 114th highest quality company on the Masterlist: 78th percentileAlphabet: 39th highest quality: 92nd percentileBoth companies are exceptionally high quality given that our company database is one of the best in the world.The DK 500 Master List includes the world's highest quality companies including:All dividend championsAll dividend aristocratsAll dividend kingsAll global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)All 13/13 Ultra Swans (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street)48 of the world's best growth stocks (on its way to 100)But when it comes to overall quality, factoring in over 1,000 fundamental metrics, the winner is clearly once more Alphabet.Why is GOOG the hands-down winner in this quality fight with FB?CompanyQuality Rating (out Of 13)Quality Score (Out Of 100)Dividend/Balance Sheet Safety Rating (out of 5)Safety Score (Out Of 100)Dependability Rating (Out Of 5)Dependability Score (out Of 100)Meta Platforms11 Speculative Blue-Chip84%5 Very Safe100%3 average67%Alphabet13 Ultra SWAN95%5 Very Safe100%5 exceptional89%(Source: DK Research Terminal)Both FB and Meta have exceptionally strong balance sheets, making the risk of bankruptcy as close to zero as you can find on Wall Street.Alphabet's Balance Sheet: AA+ Rated By S&PGuruFocus PremiumGOOG has $140 billion in cash and just $13 billion in debt.Its advanced accounting metrics (F, Z, and M-score) are exceptional.F-score is a measure of short-term bankruptcy risk4+ is safe, 7+ very safe and GOOG's is 8M-score is 84% to 92% accurate at forecasting long-term bankruptcies1.81+ is safe, 3+ is very safe and GOOG's is 13.04M-score is 76% accurate at catching accounting fraud, and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting-1.78 or lower is safe and GOOG's is -2.48Meta's Balance Sheet: Effectively AAAGuruFocus PremiumThe only \"debt\" Meta has is receivables, it actually carries no long-term debt.That is why it's the largest company on earth that doesn't pay the $500K per year for a credit rating.However, given its current and historical advanced credit metrics, as well as its exceptionally strong solvency ratios (current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratios), I'm highly confident that it would be AAA-rated.because it's literally not possible for FB to default on debt it doesn't haveCredit Rating30-Year Bankruptcy ProbabilityAAA (Meta)0.07%AA+ (Alphabet)0.29%AA0.51%AA-0.55%A+0.60%A0.66%A-2.5%BBB+5%BBB7.5%BBB-11%BB+14%BB17%BB-21%B+25%B37%B-45%CCC+52%CCC59%CCC-65%CC70%C80%D100%(Sources: S&P, University of St. Petersberg)This means the fundamental risk of losing all your money over the next 30 years buying FB or GOOG today is approximately1 in 1,429 for FB1 in 345 for GOOGAnd both companies' balance sheets are expected to keep getting stronger over time.Alphabet: Consensus $441 Billion In Net Cash By 2027 FactSet Research TerminalMeta: Consensus $71 Billion In Net Cash By 2027FactSet Research TerminalNow let's consider profitability, Wall Street's favorite quality proxy.Profitability: Winner, Meta By A Small AmountMeta Profitability Vs PeersGurufocus PremiumAlphabet Profitability Vs PeersGurufocus PremiumBoth companies are profit-minting machines.YchartsThese are two of the most profitable companies on earth, and their industry-leading profitability has been stable or improving for over a decade, confirming a wide and stable moat.FactSet Research TerminalFB's free cash flow is expected to keep growing and reach $77 billion in 2027.This is expected to result in impressive buybacks in the coming years.$219 billion in consensus buybacks through 202738% of shares at current valuationsFactSet Research TerminalGOOG's annual free cash flow is expected to grow to $139 billion in 2027, allowing it to undertake even more impressive buybacks.$380 billion in consensus buybacks through 202721% of shares at current valuationsNow let's consider one important profitability metric in particular.Return on capital or ROC is Joel Greenblatt's gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.ROC = pre-tax profit/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business).S&P 500's average in 2021 was 14.6% (average investment pays for itself in 7 years)CompanyROC (Greenblatt)ROC Industry Percentile13-Year Median ROC5-Year ROC Trend (OTC:CAGR)Meta Platforms74%65%95%-16%Alphabet87%67%74%-7%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)In the past year, GOOG's return on capital was higher than FB's and it's also above its 13-year median indicating a more stable moat.In other words, when it comes to profitability, FB edges out GOOG by a small amount, except in terms of return on capital, where it's once more the winner.Valuation: Winner, MetaCompanyAverage Fair ValueCurrent PriceDiscount To Fair ValueDK RatingPE 2022PEG 2022Meta Platforms$265.75$214.3519.6%Potentially Reasonable Buy17.191.49Alphabet$3,161.89$2,771.9212.3%Potentially Good Buy23.511.67(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)FB is trading at a slightly lower valuation and a higher margin of safety, though not quite high enough for me to consider it a good buy.20% discount is needed to make FB a potentially good buy given its lower quality and risk profileIf we back out cash we see that FB is once more the more undervalued company.FB EV/EBITDA: 9.5GOOG EV/EBITDA: 14.5However, both companies are trading at highly attractive valuations.Company12-Month Consensus Total Return Potential12-Month Fundamentally Justified Upside Total Return PotentialMeta Platforms48.47%23.98%Alphabet25.77%14.11%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)This is why analysts expect both to deliver very strong returns, though FB potentially much more than GOOG.Of course, what happens in the next year doesn't matter as much as the kind of returns both companies can deliver over the long-term.Long-Term Total Return Potential: Winner, AlphabetCompanyYieldFactSet Long-Term Consensus Growth RateLT Consensus Total Return PotentialRisk-Adjusted Expected ReturnMeta Platforms0.00%11.5%11.5%8.1%Alphabet0.00%14.1%14.1%9.9%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)GOOG is expected to grow significantly faster than FB over time, resulting in far better long-term returns.Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10 Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted ReturnEurope2.6%12.8%15.4%10.7%8.6%8.42.27Value2.1%12.1%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.32.10Alphabet0.0%14.1%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.42.10High-Yield2.8%11.3%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.42.10High-Yield + Growth1.7%11.0%12.7%8.9%6.7%10.81.91Safe Midstream + Growth3.3%8.5%11.8%8.3%6.1%11.81.80Meta0.0%11.50%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Nasdaq (Growth)0.8%10.7%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Safe Midstream5.5%6.0%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Dividend Aristocrats2.2%8.9%11.1%7.8%5.6%12.91.72REITs + Growth1.8%8.9%10.6%7.4%5.2%13.71.67S&P 5001.4%8.5%9.9%7.0%4.8%15.11.59Realty Income4.6%5.2%9.8%6.9%4.7%15.41.58Dividend Growth1.6%8.0%9.6%6.7%4.5%15.91.56REITs2.9%6.5%9.4%6.6%4.4%16.41.5460/40 Retirement Portfolio2.1%5.1%7.2%5.1%2.9%24.91.3310-Year US Treasury2.3%0.0%2.3%1.6%-0.5%-131.10.95(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)Both companies are expected to beat the S&P 500 over time, though FB merely to match the Nasdaq while GOOG is expected to run circles around big tech.What kind of difference does 2.6% per year in potential extra returns actually mean for your life?Inflation-Adjusted Consensus Return Forecast: $1,000 Initial InvestmentTime Frame (Years)7.7% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted S&P Consensus11.9% Inflation-Adjusted GOOG Consensus9.3% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted FB ConsensusDifference Between Inflation Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus Returns5$1,449.03$1,756.06$1,561.34$194.7110$2,099.70$3,083.73$2,437.79$645.9515$3,042.53$5,415.21$3,806.22$1,608.9920$4,408.74$9,509.42$5,942.82$3,566.6025$6,388.41$16,699.08$9,278.77$7,420.3130$9,257.02$29,324.53$14,487.34$14,837.19(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)Both FB and GOOG are likely to generate good returns but GOOG could turn a modest investment today into a potentially small fortune in the coming decades.Time Frame (Years)Ratio Inflation-Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus51.12101.26151.42201.60251.80302.02(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)In fact, GOOG could potentially double FB's 30-year returns if both companies grow as analysts currently expect.Short & Medium-Term Total Return Potential: TieMeta 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchFB growing at 11.5% is worth about 20.5X earnings based on the company's historical PEG ratio.analyst 12-month consensus forecast is for 21.9 PEThis means that if FB grows as expected through 2024 it could deliver about 18% annular returns, far more than the 17% overvalued S&P 500 is likely to generate.What about the next five years?S&P 500 2027 Consensus Return PotentialYearUpside Potential By End of That YearConsensus CAGR Return Potential By End of That YearProbability-Weighted Return (Annualized)Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns202734.75%6.15%4.61%1.27%(Source: DK S&P 500 Valuation And Total Return Tool)For context, analysts expect 35% returns from the S&P 500, which adjusted for inflation and risk is 1% compared to the market's historical 6% to 7% real return.Meta 2027 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchFB could more than double your money if it grows as analysts expect over the next five years.3.2X the S&P 500 consensusGOOG 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchGOOG could deliver 13% annual returns through 2024 if it grows as expected.In the past GOOG has grown as slowly as 11% and billions of investors still paid 25.7X earnings, meaning that its historical market-fair value multiple of 25 to 26X earnings should still be valid.GOOG 2027 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchThanks to GOOG's faster growth rate analysts expect both companies to potentially deliver identical returns.about 14% annually over the next five yearsalso 3.2X better than the S&P 500Bottom Line: Both Are Great Companies But In The Battle Of Meta And Alphabet There Is One Clear WinnerDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolBoth Alphabet and Meta are wonderful companies, and as close to perfect growth blue-chip opportunities as you can find on Wall Street right now.far superior valuationsuperior qualitysuperior long-term return potential to the S&P 500However, when we examine both companies in their entirety one fact is clear.GOOG is a higher quality companyGOOG is a faster-growing company (with potentially 2X better long-term return potential than FB)GOOG has far better long-term risk management (to deal with the disruption the digital advertising industry is currently facing)GOOG has superior return on capital and a more stable moatWhile FB offers superior valuation and potentially double the short-term return potential, it's a speculative blue-chip currently going through the largest business pivot in the company's history.In contrast, GOOG is a faster-growing Ultra SWAN that is expected to buy back almost $400 billion worth of stock in the next five years, double that of FB.Simply put, if you can only buy one of these growth legends today, I recommend Alphabet, and that's why I have it as a core growth position in my correction plan.Not just for the next few weeks, but all of 2022 and beyond.Because at the end of the day, when you focus on safety and quality first, and prudent valuation and sound risk-management always, you never have to pray for luck on Wall Street, you make your own.Luck is what happens when preparation meets, opportunity.\" - Roman philosopher Seneca the younger","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032819432,"gmtCreate":1647325141734,"gmtModify":1676534216792,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101385200335300","idStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032819432","repostId":"2219835797","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2219835797","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1647322773,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2219835797?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-15 13:39","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Yum China, BYD say China's COVID curbs have impacted operations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2219835797","media":"Reuters","summary":"SHANGHAI, March 15 (Reuters) - Chinese businesses from automaker BYD    to KFC operator Yum China   ","content":"<html><body><p>SHANGHAI, March 15 (Reuters) - Chinese businesses from automaker BYD    to KFC operator Yum China    say their operations have already been hit by the country's latest COVID-19 curbs, with more disruption expected as case numbers rise.</p><p>   The impact on companies comes as China battles its worst outbreak since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in early 2020. It posted a steep jump in daily COVID infections on Tuesday, with new cases more than doubling from a day earlier to a two-year high.  </p><p>   Yum, the operator of KFC and Pizza Hut restaurants in China, said late on Monday during a regular earnings briefing that its operations had been significantly impacted by the latest outbreaks, and same-store sales fell 20% year-on-year in the first two weeks of March. </p><p>   BYD, headquartered in Shenzhen where most companies have been told to ask staff to work from home, said that there had been some impact on production at its site in the city. </p><p>   \"We are actively coordinating a response and carrying out epidemic prevention and control as required by the government,\" the company said.</p><p>   Many provinces and cities across the country have been carrying out mass testing, with some shutting down public transport and cordoning off apartment blocks and office buildings. </p><p>   Other companies that have reported disruptions include Chinese flash storage company Netac Technology   . It said some shipments would be delayed as it had to suspend work at its Shenzhen facility. Meanwhile Apple    supplier Lens Technology    said its unit in Dongguan city had stopped production. </p><p>   iPhone assembler Foxconn   , Toyota    and Volkswagen    also said on Monday that they have had to shut factories.  </p><p> (Reporting by Brenda Goh; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell)</p><p>((brenda.goh@thomsonreuters.com; +86 (0) 21 2083 0088; Reuters Messaging: brenda.goh.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yum China, BYD say China's COVID curbs have impacted operations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYum China, BYD say China's COVID curbs have impacted operations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-15 13:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>SHANGHAI, March 15 (Reuters) - Chinese businesses from automaker BYD    to KFC operator Yum China    say their operations have already been hit by the country's latest COVID-19 curbs, with more disruption expected as case numbers rise.</p><p>   The impact on companies comes as China battles its worst outbreak since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in early 2020. It posted a steep jump in daily COVID infections on Tuesday, with new cases more than doubling from a day earlier to a two-year high.  </p><p>   Yum, the operator of KFC and Pizza Hut restaurants in China, said late on Monday during a regular earnings briefing that its operations had been significantly impacted by the latest outbreaks, and same-store sales fell 20% year-on-year in the first two weeks of March. </p><p>   BYD, headquartered in Shenzhen where most companies have been told to ask staff to work from home, said that there had been some impact on production at its site in the city. </p><p>   \"We are actively coordinating a response and carrying out epidemic prevention and control as required by the government,\" the company said.</p><p>   Many provinces and cities across the country have been carrying out mass testing, with some shutting down public transport and cordoning off apartment blocks and office buildings. </p><p>   Other companies that have reported disruptions include Chinese flash storage company Netac Technology   . It said some shipments would be delayed as it had to suspend work at its Shenzhen facility. Meanwhile Apple    supplier Lens Technology    said its unit in Dongguan city had stopped production. </p><p>   iPhone assembler Foxconn   , Toyota    and Volkswagen    also said on Monday that they have had to shut factories.  </p><p> (Reporting by Brenda Goh; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell)</p><p>((brenda.goh@thomsonreuters.com; +86 (0) 21 2083 0088; Reuters Messaging: brenda.goh.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4150":"赌场与赌博","09987":"百胜中国","YUMC":"百胜中国","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BYD":"博伊德赌场","AAPL":"苹果","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4209":"餐馆"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2219835797","content_text":"SHANGHAI, March 15 (Reuters) - Chinese businesses from automaker BYD    to KFC operator Yum China    say their operations have already been hit by the country's latest COVID-19 curbs, with more disruption expected as case numbers rise.   The impact on companies comes as China battles its worst outbreak since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in early 2020. It posted a steep jump in daily COVID infections on Tuesday, with new cases more than doubling from a day earlier to a two-year high.     Yum, the operator of KFC and Pizza Hut restaurants in China, said late on Monday during a regular earnings briefing that its operations had been significantly impacted by the latest outbreaks, and same-store sales fell 20% year-on-year in the first two weeks of March.    BYD, headquartered in Shenzhen where most companies have been told to ask staff to work from home, said that there had been some impact on production at its site in the city.    \"We are actively coordinating a response and carrying out epidemic prevention and control as required by the government,\" the company said.   Many provinces and cities across the country have been carrying out mass testing, with some shutting down public transport and cordoning off apartment blocks and office buildings.    Other companies that have reported disruptions include Chinese flash storage company Netac Technology   . It said some shipments would be delayed as it had to suspend work at its Shenzhen facility. Meanwhile Apple    supplier Lens Technology    said its unit in Dongguan city had stopped production.    iPhone assembler Foxconn   , Toyota    and Volkswagen    also said on Monday that they have had to shut factories.   (Reporting by Brenda Goh; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell)((brenda.goh@thomsonreuters.com; +86 (0) 21 2083 0088; Reuters Messaging: brenda.goh.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038513851,"gmtCreate":1646869175579,"gmtModify":1676534170859,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101385200335300","idStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038513851","repostId":"2218523894","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038828050,"gmtCreate":1646792817216,"gmtModify":1676534163174,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101385200335300","idStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038828050","repostId":"2218406201","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2218406201","pubTimestamp":1646780447,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2218406201?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-09 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"My Portfolio February Update - 8 Buys And 2 Sells","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2218406201","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"franckreporter/iStock via Getty Images Another month has passed and it has been a rough one. The sto","content":"<html><body><p><figure><picture> <img height=\"1037px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1310618429/image_1310618429.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/> </picture><figcaption> <p>franckreporter/iStock via Getty Images</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Another month has passed and it has been a rough <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>. The stock market has mostly ended in the red and one topic continued to catch new headlines. Unfortunately, it looks like this topic will remain in the headlines for the foreseeable future given the invasion of Russia into Ukraine at the end of February. As for my portfolio, I had a total of 8 buys and 2 sells.</p><div></div> <p>For the people that have not read my previous articles: I am a 24-year-old investor from the Netherlands who is trying to start early so that I will have the option to retire early or at least earlier (the current retirement age is 67 in NL and is trending upwards). If you are interested in previous updates on my portfolio, you can find them here:</p> <ul> <li><p>My Portfolio November Update - Repositioning For The New Year</p></li> <li><p>My Portfolio December And EOY Update - Dividends Increased But Total Return Is Subpar</p></li> <li>My Portfolio January Update - 10 Buys, 3 Sells</li> </ul> <h2>February update</h2> <p>February has been a very volatile month and after dealing with Covid-19 we now have a potential world war. Unless you have been living under a rock, you will be aware of the war in Ukraine. A lot of sanctions have been imposed on Russia in order to force them to stop, unfortunately, to no avail. Since the start of the war and the first announcement of sanctions, markets have been very volatile. This can be of good use for investors that add to their portfolio, but the reason remains sad.</p> <p>There was also good news (at least for me personally) this month as my investment group has taken over the first place this month. The investment competition is based on risk-adjusted returns and also takes into account volatility, the so-called M². At the moment of writing, we have an M² of approximately 11% and the number 2 has an M² of approximately 1%. Our portfolio consists mainly of commodities and low-volatility stocks. So far this seems to work this year.</p> <p>As for my own portfolio, I made a total of 10 transactions and I decided to finally part ways with Altria (MO). The reason for this is that I expect the future to be a lot harder for the company. It also does not fit my investment criteria as the industry is slowly dying. Thus, I decided to sell out of the position. The other sale I made this month was Aspire Global <span>(OTCPK:ASPGF)</span>, which is being acquired by Neogames and thus the share price will be range-bound.</p> <h2>Transactions</h2> <p><strong>Rules</strong></p> <span><table> <colgroup> <col/> <col/> <col/> <col/> </colgroup> <tr> <td> </td> <td><p><strong>Core</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Value</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Small-cap growth</strong></p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p><strong>Buy</strong></p></td> <td><ul> <li><p>Strong companies with revenue CAGR of +5% over the last 10 years</p></li> <li><p>EPS CAGR of +5% over last 5 years</p></li> <li><p>ROE above industry average or above 10 (at least 3 out of 5 years)</p></li> <li><p>DGI stock dividend growth</p></li> <li><p>ND/EBITDA below sector average or D/E below 1.</p></li> <li><p>Buy when undervalued div yield theory + DCF (or what I think fits)</p></li> <li><p>Dividend stocks: Chowder rule above 12 for normal, 8 for high yield</p></li> </ul></td> <td><ul> <li><p>Sold off, without valid reasons</p></li> <li><p>Undervalued compared to the broader industry</p></li> <li><p>Margin of safety 25%+</p></li> </ul></td> <td><ul> <li><p>MC below $6b</p></li> <li><p>Revenue growth of 20%+</p></li> <li><p>Undervalued based on FCF/EV revenue or other valuation methods deemed appropriate</p></li> <li><p>Growing industry</p></li> <li><p>reasonable debt levels</p></li> <li><p>Net income positive within 3 years</p></li> <li><p>Decent insider ownership</p></li> </ul></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p><strong>Reconsider</strong></p></td> <td><ul> <li><p>20% overvalued</p></li> <li><p>dividend freeze</p></li> </ul></td> <td><ul><li><p>No progress is being made on goals set by management</p></li></ul></td> <td><ul> <li><p>Though environment</p></li> <li><p>High insider sell-off</p></li> </ul></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p><strong>Sell</strong></p></td> <td><ul> <li><p>Deteriorating industry</p></li> <li><p>Rapid increase in debt (longer period of time)</p></li> <li><p>Dividend cut dividend growth stocks(DGRO)</p></li> <li><p>Loss of IG rating</p></li> <li><p>Overvalued by 40%</p></li> </ul></td> <td><ul> <li><p>back at reasonable valuation</p></li> <li><p>Lose confidence in the ability of the company</p></li> </ul></td> <td><ul> <li><p>Deteriorating fundamentals</p></li> <li><p>Management proves itself to be untrustworthy</p></li> </ul></td> </tr> </table></span> <p><strong>1st-3rd of February</strong></p> <p><strong>CBOE Global (CBOE) - Bought 2 shares for $119.00 each</strong></p> <p>This month I decided to add to CBOE Global again. The company has been a good performer in my portfolio and its fundamentals are only getting better. The company is also well-run by long-term CEO Edward Tilly (CEO since 2013), and in my opinion, they are making moves in the right direction. Last month I wrote:</p><div></div> <blockquote><p>The company is making good strategic moves such as the acquisition of ErisX (crypto spot and derivatives market) and the acquisition of BIDS (off-exchange market). Additionally, the increase in options trading works in the company's favor.</p></blockquote> <p>I elaborated these 3 reasons in an article that you can find here. In addition to these 3 reasons the company is trading at an attractive valuation and has been increasing its dividends at a rate of 10%+ for the past few years. The company’s share price has fallen a bit since last month but that gives you the option to buy the stock at a better price.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466871429503736.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>CBOE price chart past 5 years <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Aspire Global - Sold 48 shares for 107.80 SEK each</strong></p> <p>As I mentioned before I sold my shares in Aspire Global this month, due to the pending takeover by Neogames. I am not as interested in Neogames as I was in Aspire Global and the stock is basically range-bound until the transaction goes through. The difference between selling the stock now and keeping it for another 3-4 months was approximately $16. Therefore, I decided to sell out.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466872506614885.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Price Aspire Global past 3 months <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Linkfire - Bought 650 shares for 6.10 SEK each</strong></p> <p>Linkfire is a stock that I have been regularly writing about in my portfolio updates. The company is active in the SmartLink industry and at the end of the year, the company bought its largest competitor. The company's fundamentals have improved significantly since going public, although this is not yet reflected in the share price. I expect the company to do well in the future as it is the clear market leader and expects to become EBITDA profitable in 2023. My current price target for the company is 16 SEK, which is approximately 10 SEK ($1.04, or almost triple its current share price) higher than its current share price. Thus, I decided to add to my shares at bargain-basement prices.</p><div></div> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-1646687312923003.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Linkfire EBITDA expectations <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>CoreCard (CCRD) - Bought 10 shares for $34.56 each</strong></p> <p>CoreCard is another smallcap that I think has a very bright future. The company is the issuer processor of the Goldman Sachs <span>(NYSE:GS)</span> Apple (AAPL) Creditcard and was chosen for its high-quality software. The company currently spends the bare minimum on marketing and most of its business comes from companies finding them on search engines or word-of-mouth marketing. The company’s focus is on the quality of its products as it is aiming for sustainable growth of 20%-25%. Technically, it could grow faster, but the company thinks that this would negatively influence the quality of its services.</p> <p>Over the past years, the company has been heavily investing in its infrastructure and it should have enough capacity to add another large client. Unfortunately, no new large clients are expected until at least 2023. In the meantime, the company might launch some customers that have the potential to be big by the end of 2022 (such as NEO banks and crypto companies), but there is no certainty about this yet. The price of CoreCard has taken a beating this year but I remain confident based on the above thesis. My price target is currently $48.94 based on a discounted cash flow analysis.</p> <p><figure><span><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466874380168734.png\"/></span><figcaption><p>Overview of CAPEX of CoreCard <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p><div></div> <p><strong>10th of February</strong></p> <p><strong>Altria (MO) - Sold 21 shares for $50.84 each</strong></p> <p>I mentioned the sale of my stake in Altria before. The company is still growing its net income and is paying a growing dividend. However, the company’s main business, cigarettes, have been on the decline for a long time now. The company has been able to offset this by raising the prices. However, I expect this to end in the future as people will not be able to afford it anymore. Additionally, the road to replacements to healthier initiatives has been hard and recently took a hit with the import ban of the IQOS device. As I think that the future will be a lot harder for the company, I decided to sell out.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"247\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466878000368156.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>CPI of tobacco over the past 10 years <span>(Federal Reserve St. Louis)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Netstreit (NTST) - Bought 22.4 shares for $22.07 each</strong></p> <p>As I wanted to soften the impact of the sale of MO on my dividends I decided to look at my REITs. Netstreit is a smaller REIT and I see potential for both capital appreciation and dividend increases. The company is still growing rapidly and it has acquired over $500 million in properties since going public. Their tenant roster is also very strong as over 70% of their tenants are investment grade and over 80% have an investment-grade profile. A more in-depth article about the company can be found here. As for the company’s valuation, I still see upside based on P/AFFO and discounted AFFO, these methods combined with my estimated value of the company’s NAV give me a price target of $27.06.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466878749078138.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Netstreit P/AFFO <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p><div></div> <p><strong>VICI Properties (VICI) - Bought 19.77 shares for $28.88 each</strong></p> <p>VICI Properties is another REIT that I decided to put money into. The company has been performing well and has been diversifying its tenant roster since spinning off from Caesars (CZR). During the past month, the company closed its acquisition of the Venetian, and later this year it is expected to close the merger with MGP. According to all the large credit rating agencies, this sets them up for an increase to investment grade. Combine this with a likely inclusion in the S&amp;P 500 (the company will be the largest REIT that is not included in the S&amp; P500) and the company becomes very attractive. As for the valuation, my estimated fair value is $37.35 based on a discounted AFFO, estimated NAV, and comparable company NTM P/AFFO.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466879741179667.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Overview of VICI's P/AFFO past 3 years <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>21st of February</strong></p> <p><strong>Ahold Delhaize (OTCQX:ADRNY) - Bought 7 shares for €26.61 each</strong></p> <p>Ahold Delhaize is a company that I also added to last month. The company has been performing very well during 2021. This was mainly driven by the fact that some regions still had Covid measures, leading to more disposable income that can be spent at the local grocery store. Additionally, the company’s online platform in the Benelux, Bol.com, also profited due to lockdowns throughout the year including a lockdown around Christmas in the Netherlands. After its earnings, the company did sell-off, as guidance was below expectations. Management of Ahold tends to do this more often as they did the same thing last year.</p> <blockquote><p>2022 outlook: underlying operating margin to be at least 4%; underlying EPS to decline by low- to mid-single-digits vs. 2021; free cash flow of approximately €1.7 billion; net capital expenditures of €2.5 billion.</p></blockquote> <p><strong>Prosus (OTCPK:PROSY) - Bought 3 shares for €61.74 each</strong></p><div></div> <p>Prosus is a South African venture capitalist that has its main listing in Amsterdam. The company is one of the largest shareholders of Tencent with a stake just shy of 30%. The value of its underlying assets exceeds the company’s market cap as its discount to Tencent is already over 30%. The reason it has been an underperformer this year is that it also owns some major stakes in Russian companies such as Mail.Ru and VK. Since the invasion of the Russians into Ukraine, the Russian stock market has tanked and I do not expect this to change anytime soon. However, at the current discount to NAV, I am happy to buy more.</p> <p><figure><picture> <img height=\"237\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466884320340133.png\" width=\"457\"/> </picture><figcaption><p>Prosus intrinsic value calculation <span>(IEX (Kassa!))</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Interactive Brokers (IBKR) - Received 0.2753 shares</strong></p> <p>As I mentioned in previous updates, I switched to Interactive Brokers through a referral link. This means that I receive free shares whenever I put money in my account. I have to hold these for a certain time but I am not planning to add money to this position at the moment.</p> <span><table> <tr> <td>Company</td> <td>Shares</td> <td>Total price</td> <td>Effects on dividend pre-tax</td> </tr> <tr> <td>CBOE</td> <td>2</td> <td>$238</td> <td>$1.92</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Aspire Global</td> <td>-48</td> <td>-5174.40 SEK ($520.22)</td> <td>$0</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Linkfire</td> <td>650</td> <td>3965 SEK ($398.63)</td> <td>$0</td> </tr> <tr> <td>CoreCard</td> <td>10</td> <td>$345.60</td> <td>$0</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Altria</td> <td>-21</td> <td>-$1067.64</td> <td>-$75.60</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Netstreit</td> <td>22.4</td> <td>$494.37</td> <td>$17.92</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VICI\">Vici Properties</a></td> <td>19.77</td> <td>$570.96</td> <td>$28.47</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Ahold Delhaize</td> <td>7</td> <td>€186.27 ($203.10)</td> <td>€6.65 ($7.25)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Prosus</td> <td>3</td> <td>€185.22 ($201.95)</td> <td>€0.42 ($0.46)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Interactive Brokers</td> <td>0.2753</td> <td>$0</td> <td>$0.11</td> </tr> </table></span> <h2>Dividends</h2> <p>February is usually the worst month when it comes to dividend income for my portfolio and this year was no different. In total, I received $28.05 in dividends pre-tax, compared to $11.48 last year. The main reason for the increase is the addition of more AbbVie <span>(NYSE:ABBV)</span> shares, as well as a minor increase in CVS’s dividend.</p> <span><table> <colgroup> <col/> <col/> <col/> <col/> </colgroup> <tr> <td><p><strong>Company</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Dividend pre-tax 2021</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Dividend pre-tax 2022</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Difference</strong></p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Jerash Holdings</p></td> <td><p>$3.90</p></td> <td><p>$0</p></td> <td><p>-$3.90</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>AT&amp;T</p></td> <td><p>$2.08</p></td> <td><p>$0</p></td> <td><p>-$2.08</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>CVS Health</p></td> <td><p>$5.50</p></td> <td><p>$6.05</p></td> <td><p>$0.55</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>AbbVie</p></td> <td><p>$0</p></td> <td><p>$22.00</p></td> <td><p>$22.00</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p><strong>Total</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>$11.48</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>$28.05</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>$16.57</strong></p></td> </tr> </table></span> <p><figure><picture> <img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466604362908938.png\"/> </picture><figcaption><p>Overview dividends <span>(Author)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>With the sale of my stake in MO, my forward dividend yield took a hit. However, by replacing it with some of my REITs the blow was softened. Additionally, many companies decided to raise their dividends and the USD appreciated in value against the Euro. in the end my dividend was up by approximately €10 after-tax, but down $13 due to FX. My total forward dividend yield is now €811.25 ($900.04).</p> <span><table> <colgroup> <col/> <col/> <col/> <col/> </colgroup> <tr> <td><p><strong>Company</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Increase in dividend quarterly</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Dividend per share pre-raise</strong></p></td> <td><p><strong>Dividend per share post-raise</strong></p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Prudential Financial (PRU)</p></td> <td><p>$0.05</p></td> <td><p>$1.15</p></td> <td><p>$1.20</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>L3Harris (LHX)</p></td> <td><p>$0.10</p></td> <td><p>$1.02</p></td> <td><p>$1.12</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>TJ Maxx (TJX)</p></td> <td><p>$0.035</p></td> <td><p>$0.26</p></td> <td><p>$0.295</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Brookfield Asset Management (BAM)</p></td> <td><p>$0.01</p></td> <td><p>$0.13</p></td> <td><p>$0.14</p></td> </tr> </table></span> <h2>Sector overview</h2> <p><figure><span><img height=\"246\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466869720870948.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Overview of holdings per sector <span>(Author)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>As can be seen in the pie charts provided, I increased my exposure to real estate even further during February. The reason is threefold, first of all, real estate is less volatile than most other equities and thus it kept most of its value. Secondly, I work in real estate and therefore I feel like I have an advantage over other investors that do not have a background in real estate. Last but not least, real estate tends to do well during times of high inflation. For these reasons, I will continue to add to my real estate holdings.</p> <p>One of the sectors that I decreased significantly compared to last month is consumer staples. I have read multiple articles about the effect of war on the stock market, the most convincing one you can find here. The article I referred to has looked into the effect of previous wars on the US stock market and the main decreases are in consumer staples (which most articles agreed on), IT, and airlines. Because of this reason, I decided to take some precautions and lower my position in this sector.</p> <h2><span>Current holdings</span></h2> <span><table> <colgroup> <col/> <col span=\"2\"/> </colgroup> <tr> <td>Company</td> <td>Qty Held</td> <td>Portfolio %</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Enbridge (ENB)</td> <td>55</td> <td>6.47%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>AbbVie</td> <td>16</td> <td>6.25%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Vici Properties</td> <td>73</td> <td>5.57%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>L3harris</td> <td>8</td> <td>5.35%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Vonovia (OTCPK:VONOY)</td> <td>39</td> <td>5.27%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>CBOE Global</td> <td>16</td> <td>4.88%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGA\">Reinsurance Group of America</a> (RGA)</td> <td>15</td> <td>4.26%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Ahold-Delhaize</td> <td>53</td> <td>4.25%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Netstreit</td> <td>65</td> <td>3.90%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> (V)</td> <td>7</td> <td>3.86%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Aroundtown (OTCPK:AANNF)</td> <td>251</td> <td>3.82%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Prudential Financial</td> <td>13</td> <td>3.73%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>CVS Health</td> <td>13</td> <td>3.70%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>DIC Asset AG (OTCPK:DDCCF)</td> <td>78</td> <td>3.33%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom (AVGO)</td> <td>2</td> <td>3.08%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Fresenius &amp; Co. KGAA (OTCPK:FSNUF)</td> <td>33</td> <td>2.88%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>TJ Maxx</td> <td>16</td> <td>2.80%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Armada Hoffler (AHH)</td> <td>70</td> <td>2.76%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PW\">Power REIT</a> (PW)</td> <td>21</td> <td>2.73%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Associated British Foods (OTCPK:ASBFY)</td> <td>43</td> <td>2.67%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intel Corporation (INTC)</td> <td>20</td> <td>2.59%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Brookfield Asset Management</td> <td>17</td> <td>2.44%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Ping An Insurance (OTCPK:PNGAY)</td> <td>59</td> <td>2.35%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Prosus</td> <td>13</td> <td>1.99%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>CoreCard</td> <td>22</td> <td>1.90%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Linkfire</td> <td>1121</td> <td>1.73%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>CareCloud (MTBC)</td> <td>86</td> <td>1.20%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alibaba (BABA)</td> <td>4</td> <td>1.09%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STNE\">StoneCo</a> (STNE)</td> <td>35</td> <td>0.99%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>The Hut Group (OTCPK:THGHY)</td> <td>189</td> <td>0.60%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Interactive Brokers</td> <td>3</td> <td>0.50%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tezos (XTZ-USD)</td> <td>50</td> <td>0.45%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR-USD)</td> <td>680</td> <td>0.40%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bitcoin (BTC-USD)</td> <td>0</td> <td>0.17%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Binance (BNB-USD)</td> <td>0</td> <td>0.03%</td> </tr> </table></span> <h2>Going forward</h2> <p>In the coming month, I do not expect to sell any of my stocks unless it goes way above my estimated fair value. If this happens I will most likely look for a replacement as I am currently happy with the number of holdings. As for new capital, I am looking at the following stocks:</p> <p><strong>Reinsurance Group of America</strong></p> <p>Reinsurance Group of America is a stock that I have been holding for over a year now. The company is still dealing with the aftershock of the pandemic. I do not expect the company to see any large effects from the war between Ukraine and Russia as the company only gets a small percentage of revenue from Europe. It might have a few smaller insurances linked to that region but that shouldn’t have a large effect on the company’s results. The company’s current valuation is also very attractive as I estimate the company’s fair value to be around $143.13 based on book value per share and the dividend yield theory. Leaving an upside of over 30% at the current price.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466608921347344.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Reinsurance Group of America dividend yield <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Alibaba</strong></p> <p>Alibaba is a company that has been heavily influenced by the political situation in China, as it has been one of the main targets of the crackdown by the Chinese government. Lately, the government has slowed down new rules and regulations. This does not mean that Alibaba is safe yet and the company’s Q3 results fell short of expectations. A positive note from the company’s Q3 was that it did grow in the areas it can control.</p> <p>As for the valuation, the company's share price has fallen by 2/3rds since its all-time high and over 55% over the past year. If I take into account the company’s growth prospects and the size of the Chinese market I still think that the company has a bright future, only time will tell if this is right. As for the valuation I estimate a fair value of $212.64 based on a DCF analysis and PEG, which is approximately double the current share price.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466609595575793.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>NTM P/E of Alibaba over the past 5 years <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>TJ Maxx</strong></p> <p>TJ Maxx is one of my smaller positions as the company has been trading above its fair value for quite some time now. After the announcement of the Q4 results, the company’s share price finally came down to my estimated fair value. If the price continues to be in this range I will add as I still view TJ Maxx as a very strong company. I currently do not think that this will change any time soon, as high inflation will lead to less disposable income and I view this as a positive for TJX. My estimated fair value is $61.21 based on a DCF and the dividend yield theory. If I am able to buy more shares around this price I will gladly add to my holdings.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/7/50049735-16466610749253912.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>TJX dividend yield <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Fresenius</strong></p> <p>Fresenius is a company that has been heavily influenced by the pandemic. The company could not operate the majority of its normal business and had to delay most of its operations that bring in the majority of the money. The company was compensated to an extent by the German government but this has had a huge effect on the company's revenue-generating ability. During the conference call, the company provided guidance that fell short of expectations and shares have fallen to a PE of 7.95, which is similar to the PE the company had during the heights of the corona market crash. Based on a DCF analysis and the dividend yield theory I have a price target of approximately €54, which is around double the company’s current share price.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/8/50049735-164677220821969.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>Fresenius NTM P/E <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <p><strong>Power REIT</strong></p> <p>Power REIT is a REIT that focuses on greenhouse cultivation properties used in the cannabis industry. The company has been on a buying spree since switching its strategy and if all acquisitions are operational the company will trade at a P/FFO of 12.7 (FFO run rate is estimated to be $3.68). However, it is possible that there will be more competition in the future, if and when the federal banking laws are passed, banks will be allowed to grant loans to cannabis properties. Additionally, if Cannabis becomes a legal substance the company’s rents will be revised to a rent capitalization rate of 9%, which means that rents will be adjusted between 2-8%.</p> <p><figure><span><img height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/3/8/50049735-1646772278947089.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>PW NTM P/FFO <span>(Tikr.com)</span></p></figcaption></figure></p> <h2>Conclusion</h2> <p>This month has been a tough month for equity markets due to the invasion of Russia into Ukraine. This will have a prolonged effect on equity markets as most companies will quit their businesses in Russia (and if sanctions remain in place, will have to in the foreseeable future). However, volatile markets bring opportunities and I will continue to add to my portfolio every 2 to 3 weeks.</p> <p>Dividends this month were a mere $28.05, but this was up $16.57 compared to last year. The main reason was the addition of new capital. Furthermore, 4 companies raised their dividends, and together with the addition of new capital, my forward dividend yield is now €811.25 ($900.04).</p> <p>I hope you enjoyed the update about my progress, and I would love to hear your thoughts on my portfolio and what you would like to see in future updates.</p>\n</body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>My Portfolio February Update - 8 Buys And 2 Sells</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy Portfolio February Update - 8 Buys And 2 Sells\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-09 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4493866-my-portfolio-february-update-8-buys-and-2-sells><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>franckreporter/iStock via Getty Images Another month has passed and it has been a rough one. The stock market has mostly ended in the red and one topic continued to catch new headlines. Unfortunately,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4493866-my-portfolio-february-update-8-buys-and-2-sells\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4565":"NFT概念","PRU":"保德信金融","BK4212":"包装食品与肉类","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","BK1517":"云办公","BK4023":"应用软件","BK1608":"元宇宙概念","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK1575":"同股不同权","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK1584":"蚂蚁金服概念","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4160":"多样化房地产投资信托v","CBOE":"芝加哥期权交易所","TJX":"The TJX Companies Inc.","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","AVGO":"博通","BK4193":"多样化房地产活动","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4075":"烟草","DGRO":"iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","ASBFY":"Associated British Foods plc","BK4196":"保健护理服务","BAM":"布鲁克菲尔德资产管理","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","FSNUF":"Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA","PW":"Power REIT","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","AHH":"Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","VONOY":"VONOVIA SE","BK1586":"云计算","CCRD":"CoreCard","BABA":"阿里巴巴","AAPL":"苹果","PROSY":"Prosus NV","BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK1142":"互联网与直销零售"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4493866-my-portfolio-february-update-8-buys-and-2-sells","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2218406201","content_text":"franckreporter/iStock via Getty Images Another month has passed and it has been a rough one. The stock market has mostly ended in the red and one topic continued to catch new headlines. Unfortunately, it looks like this topic will remain in the headlines for the foreseeable future given the invasion of Russia into Ukraine at the end of February. As for my portfolio, I had a total of 8 buys and 2 sells. For the people that have not read my previous articles: I am a 24-year-old investor from the Netherlands who is trying to start early so that I will have the option to retire early or at least earlier (the current retirement age is 67 in NL and is trending upwards). If you are interested in previous updates on my portfolio, you can find them here:  My Portfolio November Update - Repositioning For The New Year My Portfolio December And EOY Update - Dividends Increased But Total Return Is Subpar My Portfolio January Update - 10 Buys, 3 Sells  February update February has been a very volatile month and after dealing with Covid-19 we now have a potential world war. Unless you have been living under a rock, you will be aware of the war in Ukraine. A lot of sanctions have been imposed on Russia in order to force them to stop, unfortunately, to no avail. Since the start of the war and the first announcement of sanctions, markets have been very volatile. This can be of good use for investors that add to their portfolio, but the reason remains sad. There was also good news (at least for me personally) this month as my investment group has taken over the first place this month. The investment competition is based on risk-adjusted returns and also takes into account volatility, the so-called M². At the moment of writing, we have an M² of approximately 11% and the number 2 has an M² of approximately 1%. Our portfolio consists mainly of commodities and low-volatility stocks. So far this seems to work this year. As for my own portfolio, I made a total of 10 transactions and I decided to finally part ways with Altria (MO). The reason for this is that I expect the future to be a lot harder for the company. It also does not fit my investment criteria as the industry is slowly dying. Thus, I decided to sell out of the position. The other sale I made this month was Aspire Global (OTCPK:ASPGF), which is being acquired by Neogames and thus the share price will be range-bound. Transactions Rules           Core Value Small-cap growth   Buy  Strong companies with revenue CAGR of +5% over the last 10 years EPS CAGR of +5% over last 5 years ROE above industry average or above 10 (at least 3 out of 5 years) DGI stock dividend growth ND/EBITDA below sector average or D/E below 1. Buy when undervalued div yield theory + DCF (or what I think fits) Dividend stocks: Chowder rule above 12 for normal, 8 for high yield   Sold off, without valid reasons Undervalued compared to the broader industry Margin of safety 25%+   MC below $6b Revenue growth of 20%+ Undervalued based on FCF/EV revenue or other valuation methods deemed appropriate Growing industry reasonable debt levels Net income positive within 3 years Decent insider ownership    Reconsider  20% overvalued dividend freeze  No progress is being made on goals set by management  Though environment High insider sell-off    Sell  Deteriorating industry Rapid increase in debt (longer period of time) Dividend cut dividend growth stocks(DGRO) Loss of IG rating Overvalued by 40%   back at reasonable valuation Lose confidence in the ability of the company   Deteriorating fundamentals Management proves itself to be untrustworthy    1st-3rd of February CBOE Global (CBOE) - Bought 2 shares for $119.00 each This month I decided to add to CBOE Global again. The company has been a good performer in my portfolio and its fundamentals are only getting better. The company is also well-run by long-term CEO Edward Tilly (CEO since 2013), and in my opinion, they are making moves in the right direction. Last month I wrote: The company is making good strategic moves such as the acquisition of ErisX (crypto spot and derivatives market) and the acquisition of BIDS (off-exchange market). Additionally, the increase in options trading works in the company's favor. I elaborated these 3 reasons in an article that you can find here. In addition to these 3 reasons the company is trading at an attractive valuation and has been increasing its dividends at a rate of 10%+ for the past few years. The company’s share price has fallen a bit since last month but that gives you the option to buy the stock at a better price. CBOE price chart past 5 years (Tikr.com) Aspire Global - Sold 48 shares for 107.80 SEK each As I mentioned before I sold my shares in Aspire Global this month, due to the pending takeover by Neogames. I am not as interested in Neogames as I was in Aspire Global and the stock is basically range-bound until the transaction goes through. The difference between selling the stock now and keeping it for another 3-4 months was approximately $16. Therefore, I decided to sell out. Price Aspire Global past 3 months (Tikr.com) Linkfire - Bought 650 shares for 6.10 SEK each Linkfire is a stock that I have been regularly writing about in my portfolio updates. The company is active in the SmartLink industry and at the end of the year, the company bought its largest competitor. The company's fundamentals have improved significantly since going public, although this is not yet reflected in the share price. I expect the company to do well in the future as it is the clear market leader and expects to become EBITDA profitable in 2023. My current price target for the company is 16 SEK, which is approximately 10 SEK ($1.04, or almost triple its current share price) higher than its current share price. Thus, I decided to add to my shares at bargain-basement prices. Linkfire EBITDA expectations (Tikr.com) CoreCard (CCRD) - Bought 10 shares for $34.56 each CoreCard is another smallcap that I think has a very bright future. The company is the issuer processor of the Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) Apple (AAPL) Creditcard and was chosen for its high-quality software. The company currently spends the bare minimum on marketing and most of its business comes from companies finding them on search engines or word-of-mouth marketing. The company’s focus is on the quality of its products as it is aiming for sustainable growth of 20%-25%. Technically, it could grow faster, but the company thinks that this would negatively influence the quality of its services. Over the past years, the company has been heavily investing in its infrastructure and it should have enough capacity to add another large client. Unfortunately, no new large clients are expected until at least 2023. In the meantime, the company might launch some customers that have the potential to be big by the end of 2022 (such as NEO banks and crypto companies), but there is no certainty about this yet. The price of CoreCard has taken a beating this year but I remain confident based on the above thesis. My price target is currently $48.94 based on a discounted cash flow analysis. Overview of CAPEX of CoreCard (Tikr.com) 10th of February Altria (MO) - Sold 21 shares for $50.84 each I mentioned the sale of my stake in Altria before. The company is still growing its net income and is paying a growing dividend. However, the company’s main business, cigarettes, have been on the decline for a long time now. The company has been able to offset this by raising the prices. However, I expect this to end in the future as people will not be able to afford it anymore. Additionally, the road to replacements to healthier initiatives has been hard and recently took a hit with the import ban of the IQOS device. As I think that the future will be a lot harder for the company, I decided to sell out. CPI of tobacco over the past 10 years (Federal Reserve St. Louis) Netstreit (NTST) - Bought 22.4 shares for $22.07 each As I wanted to soften the impact of the sale of MO on my dividends I decided to look at my REITs. Netstreit is a smaller REIT and I see potential for both capital appreciation and dividend increases. The company is still growing rapidly and it has acquired over $500 million in properties since going public. Their tenant roster is also very strong as over 70% of their tenants are investment grade and over 80% have an investment-grade profile. A more in-depth article about the company can be found here. As for the company’s valuation, I still see upside based on P/AFFO and discounted AFFO, these methods combined with my estimated value of the company’s NAV give me a price target of $27.06. Netstreit P/AFFO (Tikr.com) VICI Properties (VICI) - Bought 19.77 shares for $28.88 each VICI Properties is another REIT that I decided to put money into. The company has been performing well and has been diversifying its tenant roster since spinning off from Caesars (CZR). During the past month, the company closed its acquisition of the Venetian, and later this year it is expected to close the merger with MGP. According to all the large credit rating agencies, this sets them up for an increase to investment grade. Combine this with a likely inclusion in the S&P 500 (the company will be the largest REIT that is not included in the S& P500) and the company becomes very attractive. As for the valuation, my estimated fair value is $37.35 based on a discounted AFFO, estimated NAV, and comparable company NTM P/AFFO. Overview of VICI's P/AFFO past 3 years (Tikr.com) 21st of February Ahold Delhaize (OTCQX:ADRNY) - Bought 7 shares for €26.61 each Ahold Delhaize is a company that I also added to last month. The company has been performing very well during 2021. This was mainly driven by the fact that some regions still had Covid measures, leading to more disposable income that can be spent at the local grocery store. Additionally, the company’s online platform in the Benelux, Bol.com, also profited due to lockdowns throughout the year including a lockdown around Christmas in the Netherlands. After its earnings, the company did sell-off, as guidance was below expectations. Management of Ahold tends to do this more often as they did the same thing last year. 2022 outlook: underlying operating margin to be at least 4%; underlying EPS to decline by low- to mid-single-digits vs. 2021; free cash flow of approximately €1.7 billion; net capital expenditures of €2.5 billion. Prosus (OTCPK:PROSY) - Bought 3 shares for €61.74 each Prosus is a South African venture capitalist that has its main listing in Amsterdam. The company is one of the largest shareholders of Tencent with a stake just shy of 30%. The value of its underlying assets exceeds the company’s market cap as its discount to Tencent is already over 30%. The reason it has been an underperformer this year is that it also owns some major stakes in Russian companies such as Mail.Ru and VK. Since the invasion of the Russians into Ukraine, the Russian stock market has tanked and I do not expect this to change anytime soon. However, at the current discount to NAV, I am happy to buy more.   Prosus intrinsic value calculation (IEX (Kassa!)) Interactive Brokers (IBKR) - Received 0.2753 shares As I mentioned in previous updates, I switched to Interactive Brokers through a referral link. This means that I receive free shares whenever I put money in my account. I have to hold these for a certain time but I am not planning to add money to this position at the moment.   Company Shares Total price Effects on dividend pre-tax   CBOE 2 $238 $1.92   Aspire Global -48 -5174.40 SEK ($520.22) $0   Linkfire 650 3965 SEK ($398.63) $0   CoreCard 10 $345.60 $0   Altria -21 -$1067.64 -$75.60   Netstreit 22.4 $494.37 $17.92   Vici Properties 19.77 $570.96 $28.47   Ahold Delhaize 7 €186.27 ($203.10) €6.65 ($7.25)   Prosus 3 €185.22 ($201.95) €0.42 ($0.46)   Interactive Brokers 0.2753 $0 $0.11   Dividends February is usually the worst month when it comes to dividend income for my portfolio and this year was no different. In total, I received $28.05 in dividends pre-tax, compared to $11.48 last year. The main reason for the increase is the addition of more AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) shares, as well as a minor increase in CVS’s dividend.         Company Dividend pre-tax 2021 Dividend pre-tax 2022 Difference   Jerash Holdings $3.90 $0 -$3.90   AT&T $2.08 $0 -$2.08   CVS Health $5.50 $6.05 $0.55   AbbVie $0 $22.00 $22.00   Total $11.48 $28.05 $16.57     Overview dividends (Author) With the sale of my stake in MO, my forward dividend yield took a hit. However, by replacing it with some of my REITs the blow was softened. Additionally, many companies decided to raise their dividends and the USD appreciated in value against the Euro. in the end my dividend was up by approximately €10 after-tax, but down $13 due to FX. My total forward dividend yield is now €811.25 ($900.04).         Company Increase in dividend quarterly Dividend per share pre-raise Dividend per share post-raise   Prudential Financial (PRU) $0.05 $1.15 $1.20   L3Harris (LHX) $0.10 $1.02 $1.12   TJ Maxx (TJX) $0.035 $0.26 $0.295   Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) $0.01 $0.13 $0.14   Sector overview Overview of holdings per sector (Author) As can be seen in the pie charts provided, I increased my exposure to real estate even further during February. The reason is threefold, first of all, real estate is less volatile than most other equities and thus it kept most of its value. Secondly, I work in real estate and therefore I feel like I have an advantage over other investors that do not have a background in real estate. Last but not least, real estate tends to do well during times of high inflation. For these reasons, I will continue to add to my real estate holdings. One of the sectors that I decreased significantly compared to last month is consumer staples. I have read multiple articles about the effect of war on the stock market, the most convincing one you can find here. The article I referred to has looked into the effect of previous wars on the US stock market and the main decreases are in consumer staples (which most articles agreed on), IT, and airlines. Because of this reason, I decided to take some precautions and lower my position in this sector. Current holdings       Company Qty Held Portfolio %   Enbridge (ENB) 55 6.47%   AbbVie 16 6.25%   Vici Properties 73 5.57%   L3harris 8 5.35%   Vonovia (OTCPK:VONOY) 39 5.27%   CBOE Global 16 4.88%   Reinsurance Group of America (RGA) 15 4.26%   Ahold-Delhaize 53 4.25%   Netstreit 65 3.90%   Visa (V) 7 3.86%   Aroundtown (OTCPK:AANNF) 251 3.82%   Prudential Financial 13 3.73%   CVS Health 13 3.70%   DIC Asset AG (OTCPK:DDCCF) 78 3.33%   Broadcom (AVGO) 2 3.08%   Fresenius & Co. KGAA (OTCPK:FSNUF) 33 2.88%   TJ Maxx 16 2.80%   Armada Hoffler (AHH) 70 2.76%   Power REIT (PW) 21 2.73%   Associated British Foods (OTCPK:ASBFY) 43 2.67%   Intel Corporation (INTC) 20 2.59%   Brookfield Asset Management 17 2.44%   Ping An Insurance (OTCPK:PNGAY) 59 2.35%   Prosus 13 1.99%   CoreCard 22 1.90%   Linkfire 1121 1.73%   CareCloud (MTBC) 86 1.20%   Alibaba (BABA) 4 1.09%   StoneCo (STNE) 35 0.99%   The Hut Group (OTCPK:THGHY) 189 0.60%   Interactive Brokers 3 0.50%   Tezos (XTZ-USD) 50 0.45%   Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR-USD) 680 0.40%   Bitcoin (BTC-USD) 0 0.17%   Binance (BNB-USD) 0 0.03%   Going forward In the coming month, I do not expect to sell any of my stocks unless it goes way above my estimated fair value. If this happens I will most likely look for a replacement as I am currently happy with the number of holdings. As for new capital, I am looking at the following stocks: Reinsurance Group of America Reinsurance Group of America is a stock that I have been holding for over a year now. The company is still dealing with the aftershock of the pandemic. I do not expect the company to see any large effects from the war between Ukraine and Russia as the company only gets a small percentage of revenue from Europe. It might have a few smaller insurances linked to that region but that shouldn’t have a large effect on the company’s results. The company’s current valuation is also very attractive as I estimate the company’s fair value to be around $143.13 based on book value per share and the dividend yield theory. Leaving an upside of over 30% at the current price. Reinsurance Group of America dividend yield (Tikr.com) Alibaba Alibaba is a company that has been heavily influenced by the political situation in China, as it has been one of the main targets of the crackdown by the Chinese government. Lately, the government has slowed down new rules and regulations. This does not mean that Alibaba is safe yet and the company’s Q3 results fell short of expectations. A positive note from the company’s Q3 was that it did grow in the areas it can control. As for the valuation, the company's share price has fallen by 2/3rds since its all-time high and over 55% over the past year. If I take into account the company’s growth prospects and the size of the Chinese market I still think that the company has a bright future, only time will tell if this is right. As for the valuation I estimate a fair value of $212.64 based on a DCF analysis and PEG, which is approximately double the current share price. NTM P/E of Alibaba over the past 5 years (Tikr.com) TJ Maxx TJ Maxx is one of my smaller positions as the company has been trading above its fair value for quite some time now. After the announcement of the Q4 results, the company’s share price finally came down to my estimated fair value. If the price continues to be in this range I will add as I still view TJ Maxx as a very strong company. I currently do not think that this will change any time soon, as high inflation will lead to less disposable income and I view this as a positive for TJX. My estimated fair value is $61.21 based on a DCF and the dividend yield theory. If I am able to buy more shares around this price I will gladly add to my holdings. TJX dividend yield (Tikr.com) Fresenius Fresenius is a company that has been heavily influenced by the pandemic. The company could not operate the majority of its normal business and had to delay most of its operations that bring in the majority of the money. The company was compensated to an extent by the German government but this has had a huge effect on the company's revenue-generating ability. During the conference call, the company provided guidance that fell short of expectations and shares have fallen to a PE of 7.95, which is similar to the PE the company had during the heights of the corona market crash. Based on a DCF analysis and the dividend yield theory I have a price target of approximately €54, which is around double the company’s current share price. Fresenius NTM P/E (Tikr.com) Power REIT Power REIT is a REIT that focuses on greenhouse cultivation properties used in the cannabis industry. The company has been on a buying spree since switching its strategy and if all acquisitions are operational the company will trade at a P/FFO of 12.7 (FFO run rate is estimated to be $3.68). However, it is possible that there will be more competition in the future, if and when the federal banking laws are passed, banks will be allowed to grant loans to cannabis properties. Additionally, if Cannabis becomes a legal substance the company’s rents will be revised to a rent capitalization rate of 9%, which means that rents will be adjusted between 2-8%. PW NTM P/FFO (Tikr.com) Conclusion This month has been a tough month for equity markets due to the invasion of Russia into Ukraine. This will have a prolonged effect on equity markets as most companies will quit their businesses in Russia (and if sanctions remain in place, will have to in the foreseeable future). However, volatile markets bring opportunities and I will continue to add to my portfolio every 2 to 3 weeks. Dividends this month were a mere $28.05, but this was up $16.57 compared to last year. The main reason was the addition of new capital. Furthermore, 4 companies raised their dividends, and together with the addition of new capital, my forward dividend yield is now €811.25 ($900.04). I hope you enjoyed the update about my progress, and I would love to hear your thoughts on my portfolio and what you would like to see in future updates.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038056692,"gmtCreate":1646701326398,"gmtModify":1676534152273,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101385200335300","idStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038056692","repostId":"1150798369","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1150798369","pubTimestamp":1646699470,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150798369?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-08 08:31","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stocks to Watch: Keppel Reit, Singtel, SPH, Q&M Dental","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150798369","media":"businesstimes","summary":"THE following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Tuesday ","content":"<div>\n<p>THE following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Tuesday (Mar 8):Keppel Reit: (K71U) Its manager said it has received, from RBC Investor Services Trust ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/stocks-to-watch-keppel-reit-singtel-sph-qm-dental\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1607307803821","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stocks to Watch: Keppel Reit, Singtel, SPH, Q&M Dental</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stocks to Watch: Keppel Reit, Singtel, SPH, Q&M Dental\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-08 08:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/stocks-to-watch-keppel-reit-singtel-sph-qm-dental><strong>businesstimes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>THE following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Tuesday (Mar 8):Keppel Reit: (K71U) Its manager said it has received, from RBC Investor Services Trust ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/stocks-to-watch-keppel-reit-singtel-sph-qm-dental\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QC7.SI":"全民","STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数","K71U.SI":"吉宝房地产信托","Z74.SI":"新电信"},"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/stocks-to-watch-keppel-reit-singtel-sph-qm-dental","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150798369","content_text":"THE following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Tuesday (Mar 8):Keppel Reit: (K71U) Its manager said it has received, from RBC Investor Services Trust Singapore, a letter of intention to retire as trustee of the real estate investment trust on Tuesday. RBC is intending to cease provision of trustee services for all authorised collective investment schemes in Singapore. Units of Keppel Reit closed at S$1.16 on Monday, down S$0.02 or 1.7 percent.Singapore Telecommunications (Singtel): (Z74) Its technology services arm NCS is acquiring Australian IT services company The Dialog Group for A$325 million (S$328 million). In its bourse filing of the acquisition on Monday, Singtel noted that Dialog's net asset value as at Jun 30, 2021 was A$43 million. Singtel shares closed flat at S$2.51 on Monday, after the announcement was made.Singapore Press Holdings (SPH): (T39) The company is \"unable to comment\" on whether it will declare a special dividend in relation to the divestment of sgCarMart to Toyota. This was in response to shareholder queries in a Monday bourse filing ahead of a virtual Investors' Day on Tuesday relating to the proposed acquisition of SPH by consortium Cuscaden Peak. Shares of SPH closed unchanged at S$2.34 on Monday, before the announcement.Q&M Dental Group: (QC7) The dental service provider's chief executive officer Dr Ng Chin Siau entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement on Monday to take a 29 percent stake in restaurant operator No Signboard Holdings for a total consideration of S$1. As a condition, Dr Ng will extend an interest-free unsecured loan of S$2.6 million to the company. Q&M closed S$0.025 or 4.6 percent lower at S$0.52 on Monday, before the announcement, while shares of Catalist-listed No Signboard are suspended.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031488356,"gmtCreate":1646644180981,"gmtModify":1676534146183,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101385200335300","idStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031488356","repostId":"2217416315","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2217416315","pubTimestamp":1646640000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2217416315?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-07 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CASETiFY Releases Fourth Annual Her Impact Matters Collection for International Women's Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2217416315","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"HONG KONG and LOS ANGELES, March 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Global lifestyle brand CASETiFY is proud to","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG and LOS ANGELES, March 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Global lifestyle brand CASETiFY is proud to release a special collection of tech accessories in honor of International Women's Day (Mar 8). The collection joins the brand's running initiative, CASETiFY Cares, which pairs product launches with charitable causes. Shoppable all month-long, customers can shop tech accessories in support of the nonprofit organization, Equality Now—moving forward its vision to create a just world for women and girls.</p>\n<div><p><img src=\"https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/1760086/Image1.jpg\" title=\"The global lifestyle brand celebrates women all over the world with a charitable collection giving back to Equality Now, available to shop throughout the month of March.\"/></p>\n</div><p>For its fourth annual <b>Her Impact Matters</b> collection, CASETiFY spotlights a collective of all-female artists, introducing new designs and fan-favorite artwork to its signature accessories. Customers can shop a lineup of Impact Cases featuring bold colorways and power phrases, with additional in-house designs paying tribute to Equality Now's key messaging and aspirational statements, such as \"Women Creating Change\" and \"Misogyny Bores Me.\" Designs in the collection uphold both CASETiFY and Equality Now's mission of inclusivity and the right to self-expression, while also providing inspiration for the campaign's creative direction. Artists from CASETiFY's platform joining the collection include: Quotes by Christie, Gemma Correll, Black Lamb Studio, Mel Stringer, Huyen Dinh, Top Girl Studio, Camila and Minerva.</p>\n<p>\"Equality Now are delighted to partner with CASETiFY again this year to celebrate the work of this wonderfully talented collective of female creatives that are committed to gender equality,\" said Emma Thompson, Global Director of Marketing and Communications at Equality Now. \"We'd like to say a huge thank you to CASETiFY for their dedication to women and girls rights and for all of the work they have put into the Her Impact Matters collection. Not only does their support underline the need for change to millions of their customers, it raises the vital funds to make that change happen.\"</p>\n<p>Throughout Women's History Month, CASETiFY will donate 10% of every sale from the collection to the nonprofit Equality Now, supporting their mission to achieve legal and systemic change that addresses violence and discrimination against women and girls around the world. Customers can show their support by shopping the Her Impact Matters collection, finding a range of accessories that extend to iPhone, Samsung, AirPods, iPads, AirTags, wireless charging pads, Apple Watch Bands, and the CASETiFY water bottle retailing for $35 USD+.</p>\n<p>\"The right to express yourself through creativity is not spread equally among our communities, and we want to do our part as a global brand to make a safe space for self-expression,\" said Evelyn Lee, CASETiFY Art Director. \"Partnering with Equality Now for the second year in a row allows us to be a part of that systemic change and advocate for inclusivity and equality at every level.\"</p>\n<p>The Her Impact Matters collection is available to shop today on www.casetify.com, with products shipping to supporters worldwide. To join the movement and show your support, follow along the hashtag #HerImpactMatters and visit CASETiFY on Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>.</p>\n<p><b>About CASETiFY</b> </p>\n<p>CASETiFY is the global lifestyle brand and home to the first and largest platform for customized tech accessories. Created with the highest-quality materials and most cutting-edge designs, CASETiFY's products turn your personal electronics into stylishly slim, drop-proof accessories. Known for tapping top artists and creatives for its Co-Lab program, CASETiFY gives brands and individuals the opportunity to share their unique visions with the world. For more information on CASETiFY, its stores, partners and products, please visit www.CASETiFY.com.</p>\n<p><b><b>About Equality Now</b></b></p>\n<p>Equality Now is an international women's rights organization working to ensure the equality of women and girls. Since 1992, our team of experts and lawyers have worked with grassroots organizations and governments around the world to achieve legal and systemic change that addresses violence and discrimination against women and girls. Equality Now campaigns to end: child marriage, sexual violence and exploitation, female genital mutilation (FGM) and for women's legal equality. The organization has offices in New York City, London, Nairobi, and Beirut. </p>\n<div>\n<p>\n<img src=\"https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/1760141/NEW_CASETIFY_LOGO.jpg\" title=\"CASETiFY Logo (PRNewsfoto/CASETiFY)\"/>\n</p>\n</div>\n<p><img height=\"12\" src=\"https://c212.net/c/img/favicon.png?sn=HK82387&amp;sd=2022-03-07\" title=\"Cision\" width=\"12\"/> View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/casetify-releases-fourth-annual-her-impact-matters-collection-for-international-womens-day-301496128.html</p>\n<p>SOURCE  CASETiFY</p>\n</div> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CASETiFY Releases Fourth Annual Her Impact Matters Collection for International Women's Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCASETiFY Releases Fourth Annual Her Impact Matters Collection for International Women's Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-07 16:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19733457><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG and LOS ANGELES, March 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Global lifestyle brand CASETiFY is proud to release a special collection of tech accessories in honor of International Women's Day (Mar 8). The...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19733457\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","FGM":"First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fun","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19733457","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2217416315","content_text":"HONG KONG and LOS ANGELES, March 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Global lifestyle brand CASETiFY is proud to release a special collection of tech accessories in honor of International Women's Day (Mar 8). The collection joins the brand's running initiative, CASETiFY Cares, which pairs product launches with charitable causes. Shoppable all month-long, customers can shop tech accessories in support of the nonprofit organization, Equality Now—moving forward its vision to create a just world for women and girls.\n\nFor its fourth annual Her Impact Matters collection, CASETiFY spotlights a collective of all-female artists, introducing new designs and fan-favorite artwork to its signature accessories. Customers can shop a lineup of Impact Cases featuring bold colorways and power phrases, with additional in-house designs paying tribute to Equality Now's key messaging and aspirational statements, such as \"Women Creating Change\" and \"Misogyny Bores Me.\" Designs in the collection uphold both CASETiFY and Equality Now's mission of inclusivity and the right to self-expression, while also providing inspiration for the campaign's creative direction. Artists from CASETiFY's platform joining the collection include: Quotes by Christie, Gemma Correll, Black Lamb Studio, Mel Stringer, Huyen Dinh, Top Girl Studio, Camila and Minerva.\n\"Equality Now are delighted to partner with CASETiFY again this year to celebrate the work of this wonderfully talented collective of female creatives that are committed to gender equality,\" said Emma Thompson, Global Director of Marketing and Communications at Equality Now. \"We'd like to say a huge thank you to CASETiFY for their dedication to women and girls rights and for all of the work they have put into the Her Impact Matters collection. Not only does their support underline the need for change to millions of their customers, it raises the vital funds to make that change happen.\"\nThroughout Women's History Month, CASETiFY will donate 10% of every sale from the collection to the nonprofit Equality Now, supporting their mission to achieve legal and systemic change that addresses violence and discrimination against women and girls around the world. Customers can show their support by shopping the Her Impact Matters collection, finding a range of accessories that extend to iPhone, Samsung, AirPods, iPads, AirTags, wireless charging pads, Apple Watch Bands, and the CASETiFY water bottle retailing for $35 USD+.\n\"The right to express yourself through creativity is not spread equally among our communities, and we want to do our part as a global brand to make a safe space for self-expression,\" said Evelyn Lee, CASETiFY Art Director. \"Partnering with Equality Now for the second year in a row allows us to be a part of that systemic change and advocate for inclusivity and equality at every level.\"\nThe Her Impact Matters collection is available to shop today on www.casetify.com, with products shipping to supporters worldwide. To join the movement and show your support, follow along the hashtag #HerImpactMatters and visit CASETiFY on Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and Twitter.\nAbout CASETiFY \nCASETiFY is the global lifestyle brand and home to the first and largest platform for customized tech accessories. Created with the highest-quality materials and most cutting-edge designs, CASETiFY's products turn your personal electronics into stylishly slim, drop-proof accessories. Known for tapping top artists and creatives for its Co-Lab program, CASETiFY gives brands and individuals the opportunity to share their unique visions with the world. For more information on CASETiFY, its stores, partners and products, please visit www.CASETiFY.com.\nAbout Equality Now\nEquality Now is an international women's rights organization working to ensure the equality of women and girls. Since 1992, our team of experts and lawyers have worked with grassroots organizations and governments around the world to achieve legal and systemic change that addresses violence and discrimination against women and girls. Equality Now campaigns to end: child marriage, sexual violence and exploitation, female genital mutilation (FGM) and for women's legal equality. The organization has offices in New York City, London, Nairobi, and Beirut. \n\n\n\n\n\n View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/casetify-releases-fourth-annual-her-impact-matters-collection-for-international-womens-day-301496128.html\nSOURCE  CASETiFY","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9033641747,"gmtCreate":1646271724155,"gmtModify":1676534111195,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101385200335300","idStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9033641747","repostId":"2216062411","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2216062411","pubTimestamp":1646293038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2216062411?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-03 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Long-Term Opportunity Remains, Says Top Analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2216062411","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine is already having ramifications for the current world order and wil","content":"<div>\n<p>Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine is already having ramifications for the current world order and will resonate far beyond the region. Apart from the geopolitical implications - finance, trade and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-the-long-term-opportunity-remains-says-top-analyst/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Long-Term Opportunity Remains, Says Top Analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Long-Term Opportunity Remains, Says Top Analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-03 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-the-long-term-opportunity-remains-says-top-analyst/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine is already having ramifications for the current world order and will resonate far beyond the region. Apart from the geopolitical implications - finance, trade and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-the-long-term-opportunity-remains-says-top-analyst/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK1142":"互联网与直销零售","BK1591":"就地过年概念","BK4565":"NFT概念","BK1502":"双十一","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK1608":"元宇宙概念","BK1517":"云办公","BK1584":"蚂蚁金服概念","BK1575":"同股不同权","BK1501":"阿里概念股","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4558":"双十一","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK1588":"回港中概股","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BABA":"阿里巴巴","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4502":"阿里概念","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1586":"云计算","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-the-long-term-opportunity-remains-says-top-analyst/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2216062411","content_text":"Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine is already having ramifications for the current world order and will resonate far beyond the region. Apart from the geopolitical implications - finance, trade and commerce will all feel the impact.Will Alibaba (BABA) feel it too? After all, Russia is Alibaba's AliExpress segment’s largest market.Maybe so, but given business conducted on AliExpress Russia does not get consolidated in Alibaba’s results, Baird's Colin Sebastian thinks exposure to Russia/Ukraine is “quite modest.” “We assume there is risk to valuation of this joint venture,” the 5-star analyst went on to say, “Although still a relatively minor investment for the company.”In any case, Sebastian thinks the Chinese ecommerce giant has other issues to contend with. The recent F3Q results “reflected the slowing macro/retail backdrop and intense competition impacting core retail growth.” Along with pandemic headwinds, these have resulted in slower retail and e-commerce sales in China.Considering the impact of subsidies and fee waivers given to merchants, despite positive GMV growth, CMR (customer management revenue) fell by ~1% from the same period last year, while slower growth in apparel and general merchandise categories also played a part in the downbeat performance. Furthermore, the company is seeing competition intensify in both established markets and more rural areas.To counter these developments, monetization has been put “on the back burner,” with the company focused on “growing the customer base as well as increasing engagement.”At the same time, international segment order growth has stayed robust (up 18%), the company is making inroads with local services (22% order growth) and, importantly, says Sebastian, Alibaba is “showing more progress with community buying and Taobao Deals, which help to counter competing platforms.”And there’s enough evidence to show the company can meet the current challenges. “The biggest takeaway is that Alibaba remains focused on long-term growth despite the near-term macro and competitive headwinds,” summed up Sebastian, “And we continue to see significant value in the company's technology-oriented e-commerce and cloud services platform.”Therefore, the analyst maintains an Outperform (i.e., Buy) rating, although the price target is reduced from $180 to $160, implying shares have room for ~52% growth over the coming year. Overall, 23 analysts have posted BABA reviews over the past 3 months, of which 21 say Buy while 2 recommend to Hold, all coalescing to a Strong Buy consensus rating. The average price target stands at $178.53, and should it be met, investors are looking at 12-month returns of 69%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9038056692,"gmtCreate":1646701326398,"gmtModify":1676534152273,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038056692","repostId":"1150798369","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010281727,"gmtCreate":1648395297832,"gmtModify":1676534333638,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010281727","repostId":"2221071429","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2221071429","pubTimestamp":1648343569,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2221071429?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-27 09:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2221071429","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are fa","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8682b68644fb0e700ccf73bfd598736\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty Images</p><p></p><p>Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years.</p><p><b> Alphabet And Meta Returns Since 2013</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7de1c1120c62c3dad9c49e5d4e5a134\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"112\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>In fact, both have crushed even the red hot Nasdaq during <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the hottest tech bull runs in US history, delivering Buffett-like 25% returns that resulted in an 8X return.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad549342543f2ced891f57b6c43bb4fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p></p><p>While the market is currently in a correction, and growth stocks have been especially hard hit, Meta has been crushed, falling into a 50% bear market.</p><p>I&#39;ve bought both growth legends in this correction, but one is a core growth name in my correction plan, and the other is a non-core holding.</p><p>So let me explain why both Meta and Alphabet are great companies, worth owning, and even buying more of right now.</p><p>However, a careful examination of both of their fundamentals makes it clear that Alphabet is the global king of digital marketing, and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future.</p><h2>The Challenge Facing Digital Marketers Right Now</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a556ac1fd6482c83da2db4af6d5b7540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>eMarketer</p><p></p><p>GOOG, FB, and Amazon (AMZN) have a triopoly on US digital marketing, commanding an estimated 65% of the market.</p><p>Both GOOG and FB are losing market share to AMZN because Amazon&#39;s ads are 3X as effective at converting to actual sales.</p><p>That&#39;s because Amazon has spent decades gathering customer sales data and knows what its customers want better than anyone on earth.</p><p>Apple&#39;s (AAPL) recent privacy shift in iOS, makes it much easier to opt out of data tracking, and 62% of iPhone users have indeed opted out.</p><p>This has proven a hammer blow to FB, which management says could cost it $10 billion in 2022 alone.</p><p>GOOG is less at risk since it still has the search data it can use to optimize for targeted ads.</p><p>AMZN is the least at risk since it relies far less on cookie tracking than its rivals.</p><p>This kind of business model disruption is part of FB and GOOG&#39;s risk profile, which brings us to our first point of comparison.</p><h2>Long-Term Risk Management: Winner Alphabet</h2><p>How do we quantify, monitor, and track such a complex risk profile? By doing what big institutions do.</p><h2>Material Financial ESG Risk Analysis: How Large Institutions Measure Total Risk</h2><ul><li>4 Things You Need To Know To Profit From ESG Investing</li><li>What Investors Need To Know About Company Long-Term Risk Management (Video)</li></ul><p>Here is a special report that outlines the most important aspects of understanding long-term ESG financial risks for your investments.</p><ul><li>ESG is NOT &#34;political or personal ethics based investing&#34;</li><li>it&#39;s total long-term risk management analysis</li></ul><blockquote><i><b>ESG is just normal risk by another name.</b></i><i>&#34; Simon MacMahon, head of ESG and corporate governance research, Sustainalytics&#34; - Morningstar</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>ESG factors are taken into consideration, alongside all other credit factors, when we consider they are relevant to and have or may have a material influence on creditworthiness.&#34; - S&amp;P</i></blockquote><p>ESG is a measure of risk, not of ethics, political correctness, or personal opinion.</p><p>S&amp;P, Fitch, Moody&#39;s, DBRS (Canadian rating agency), AMBest (insurance rating agency), R&amp;I Credit Rating (Japanese rating agency), and the Japan Credit Rating Agency <b>have been using ESG models in their credit ratings for decades.</b></p><ul><li><b>every credit rating for the last 30 years has included these risk models, you just weren&#39;t aware of it </b></li><li>credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model</li><li>dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality model</li></ul><p>Every major financial institution also tracks long-term risk management and considers it essential to sound long-term investing including,</p><ul><li>BlackRock</li><li>MSCI</li><li>JPMorgan</li><li>Wells Fargo</li><li>Bank of America</li><li>Deutsche Bank</li><li>virtually every major financial institution in the world</li></ul><p>We use six rating agencies to get a consensus risk management percentile, comparing how well a company manages its risk relative to its peers.</p><p>For context:</p><ul><li>master list average: 62nd percentile</li><li>dividend kings: 63rd percentile</li><li>dividend aristocrats: 67th percentile</li><li>Ultra SWANs: 71st percentile</li></ul><p>The better a company&#39;s risk management consensus the more likely it will be able to adapt to challenges to its business model, as we&#39;re seeing now with GOOG and FB.</p><h4>Meta Long-Term Risk-Management Consensus</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating Agency</b></td><td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td><td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>MSCI 37 Metric Model</td><td>26.0%</td><td><p>B Industry Laggard, Negative Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model</td><td>0.7%</td><td><p>32.4/100 High-Risk</p></td></tr><tr><td>Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model</td><td>88.9%</td><td>Good</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 1,000+ Metric Model</td><td>18.0%</td><td><p>Very Poor- Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital 19 Metric Model</td><td>50.0%</td><td>Average</td></tr><tr><td>FactSet</td><td>30.0%</td><td><p>Below-Average Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar Global Percentile</td><td>30.6%</td><td>Below-Average</td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital Global Percentile</td><td>25.4%</td><td>Poor</td></tr><tr><td><b>Consensus</b></td><td><b>33.7%</b></td><td><p><b>Below-Average (verging on poor) - medium risk</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters&#39;, Just Capital, S&amp;P, FactSet Research)</i></p><p>The rating agency consensus is that FB is below-average at managing its risk, verging on poor.</p><p>Now contrast that with GOOG.</p><h4>Alphabet Long-Term Risk-Management Consensus</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating Agency</b></td><td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td><td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>MSCI 37 Metric Model</td><td>53.0%</td><td><p>BBB Average, Negative Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model</td><td>39.7%</td><td><p>24.3/100 Medium-Risk</p></td></tr><tr><td>Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model</td><td>85.88%</td><td>Good</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 1,000+ Metric Model</td><td>47.0%</td><td><p>Average- Positive Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital 19 Metric Model</td><td>100.00%</td><td><p>#1 Industry Leader</p></td></tr><tr><td>FactSet</td><td>30.0%</td><td><p>Below-Average Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar Global Percentile</td><td>60.88</td><td>Above-Average</td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital Global Percentile</td><td>100%</td><td><p>#1 Industry Leader, #1 Company In America</p></td></tr><tr><td><b>Consensus</b></td><td><b>64.6%</b></td><td><b>Above-Average - low risk </b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters&#39;, Just Capital, S&amp;P, FactSet Research)</i></p><p>GOOG doesn&#39;t just manage its long-term risk better than FB, it&#39;s beating FB by 31%.</p><ul><li>far more likely to successfully deal with privacy policy shifts, regulators, and every other major risk to its business model</li></ul><p>And risk-management isn&#39;t the only factor in which GOOG outshines FB by a wide margin.</p><h2>Overall Quality: Winner, Alphabet</h2><p>The Dividend King&#39;s overall quality scores are based on a 241 point model that includes:</p><ul><li><p>dividend safety</p></li><li><p>balance sheet strength</p></li><li><p>credit ratings</p></li><li><p>credit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk data</p></li><li><p>short and long-term bankruptcy risk</p></li><li><p>accounting and corporate fraud risk</p></li><li><p>profitability and business model</p></li><li><p>growth consensus estimates</p></li><li><p>management growth guidance</p></li><li><p>historical earnings growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical cash flow growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical dividend growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical sales growth rates</p></li><li><p>cost of capital</p></li><li><p>long-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&amp;P, Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv, and Just Capital</p></li><li><p>management quality</p></li><li><p>dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability</p></li><li><p>long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)</p></li><li><p>analyst consensus long-term return potential</p></li></ul><p>It actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.</p><ul><li><p>credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model</p></li><li><p>dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality model</p></li></ul><p>How do we know that our safety and quality model works well?</p><p>During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.</p><p>That&#39;s because we don&#39;t miss anything important about a company&#39;s fundamental safety and quality.</p><p>So how do GOOG and FB stack up on one of the world&#39;s most comprehensive and accurate safety and quality models?</p><h2>Meta: A Speculative 11/19 Quality Blue-Chip</h2><p><b>Meta Balance Sheet Safety</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating</b></td><td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)</b></td><td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td><td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>1 - unsafe</td><td>0% to 20%</td><td>over 4%</td><td>16+%</td></tr><tr><td>2- below average</td><td>21% to 40%</td><td>over 2%</td><td>8% to 16%</td></tr><tr><td>3 - average</td><td>41% to 60%</td><td>2%</td><td>4% to 8%</td></tr><tr><td>4 - safe</td><td>61% to 80%</td><td>1%</td><td>2% to 4%</td></tr><tr><td>5- very safe</td><td>81% to 100%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1% to 2%</td></tr><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>100%</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>Medium Risk (34th industry percentile risk-management consensus)</td><td>Effective AAA stable outlook credit rating 0.07% 30-year bankruptcy risk</td><td>2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation - speculative, turnaround stock</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td><td><b>Interpretation</b></td><td><b>Points</b></td></tr><tr><td>Non-Dependable Companies</td><td>21% or below</td><td>Poor Dependability</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>Low Dependability Companies</td><td>22% to 60%</td><td>Below-Average Dependability</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td><td>61% (58% to 70% range)</td><td>Average Dependability</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Above-Average</td><td>71% to 80%</td><td>Very Dependable</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Very Good</td><td>81% or higher</td><td>Exceptional Dependability</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>67%</b></td><td><b>Average Dependability</b></td><td><b>3</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Overall Quality</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>Final Score</b></td><td><b>Rating</b></td></tr><tr><td>Safety</td><td>100%</td><td>5/5 very safe</td></tr><tr><td>Business Model</td><td>100%</td><td>3/3 wide moat</td></tr><tr><td>Dependability</td><td>67%</td><td>3/5 average dependability</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total</b></td><td><b>84%</b></td><td><b>11/13 Speculative Blue-Chip</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td><p>2/3 Medium Risk</p></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec - speculative, turnaround stock</td><td><p>20% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good Buy</p></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table><p>And here&#39;s GOOG.</p><h2>Alphabet: A 13/13 Quality Ultra SWAN</h2><p><b>Alphabet Balance Sheet Safety</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating</b></td><td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)</b></td><td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td><td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>1 - unsafe</td><td>0% to 20%</td><td>over 4%</td><td>16+%</td></tr><tr><td>2- below average</td><td>21% to 40%</td><td>over 2%</td><td>8% to 16%</td></tr><tr><td>3 - average</td><td>41% to 60%</td><td>2%</td><td>4% to 8%</td></tr><tr><td>4 - safe</td><td>61% to 80%</td><td>1%</td><td>2% to 4%</td></tr><tr><td>5- very safe</td><td>81% to 100%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1% to 2%</td></tr><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>100%</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>Low Risk (65th industry percentile risk-management consensus)</td><td>AA+ stable outlook credit rating 0.29% 30-year bankruptcy risk</td><td>20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td><td><b>Interpretation</b></td><td><b>Points</b></td></tr><tr><td>Non-Dependable Companies</td><td>21% or below</td><td>Poor Dependability</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>Low Dependability Companies</td><td>22% to 60%</td><td>Below-Average Dependability</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td><td>61% (58% to 70% range)</td><td>Average Dependability</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Above-Average</td><td>71% to 80%</td><td>Very Dependable</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Very Good</td><td>81% or higher</td><td>Exceptional Dependability</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>89%</b></td><td><b>Exceptional Dependability</b></td><td><b>5</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Overall Quality</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>Final Score</b></td><td><b>Rating</b></td></tr><tr><td>Safety</td><td>100%</td><td>5/5 very safe</td></tr><tr><td>Business Model</td><td>100%</td><td>3/3 wide moat</td></tr><tr><td>Dependability</td><td>89%</td><td>5/5 exceptional</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total</b></td><td><b>95%</b></td><td><b>13/13 Ultra SWAN</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>3/3 Low Risk</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec</td><td><p>5% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good Buy</p></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table><ul><li>Meta: 114th highest quality company on the Masterlist: 78th percentile</li><li>Alphabet: 39th highest quality: 92nd percentile</li></ul><p>Both companies are exceptionally high quality given that our company database is one of the best in the world.</p><p>The DK 500 Master List includes the world&#39;s highest quality companies including:</p><ul><li><p>All dividend champions</p></li><li><p>All dividend aristocrats</p></li><li><p>All dividend kings</p></li><li><p>All global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)</p></li><li><p>All 13/13 Ultra Swans (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street)</p></li><li>48 of the world&#39;s best growth stocks (on its way to 100)</li></ul><p>But when it comes to overall quality, factoring in over 1,000 fundamental metrics, the winner is clearly once more Alphabet.</p><p>Why is GOOG the hands-down winner in this quality fight with FB?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Quality Rating (out Of 13)</b></td><td><b>Quality Score (Out Of 100)</b></td><td><b>Dividend/Balance Sheet Safety Rating (out of 5)</b></td><td><b>Safety Score (Out Of 100)</b></td><td><b>Dependability Rating (Out Of 5)</b></td><td><b>Dependability Score (out Of 100)</b></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></td><td>11 Speculative Blue-Chip</td><td>84%</td><td>5 Very Safe</td><td>100%</td><td>3 average</td><td>67%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>13 Ultra SWAN</td><td>95%</td><td>5 Very Safe</td><td>100%</td><td>5 exceptional</td><td>89%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal)</i></p><p>Both FB and Meta have exceptionally strong balance sheets, making the risk of bankruptcy as close to zero as you can find on Wall Street.</p><h4>Alphabet&#39;s Balance Sheet: AA+ Rated By S&amp;P</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13f13c309fa748452dfea0afb27ebdf\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>GuruFocus Premium</p><p></p><p>GOOG has $140 billion in cash and just $13 billion in debt.</p><p>Its advanced accounting metrics (F, Z, and M-score) are exceptional.</p><ul><li>F-score is a measure of short-term bankruptcy risk</li><li>4+ is safe, 7+ very safe and GOOG&#39;s is 8</li><li>M-score is 84% to 92% accurate at forecasting long-term bankruptcies</li><li>1.81+ is safe, 3+ is very safe and GOOG&#39;s is 13.04</li><li>M-score is 76% accurate at catching accounting fraud, and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting</li><li>-1.78 or lower is safe and GOOG&#39;s is -2.48</li></ul><h4>Meta&#39;s Balance Sheet: Effectively AAA</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68209d14c736c8328e46572200e82060\" tg-width=\"487\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>GuruFocus Premium</p><p></p><p>The only &#34;debt&#34; Meta has is receivables, it actually carries no long-term debt.</p><p>That is why it&#39;s the largest company on earth that doesn&#39;t pay the $500K per year for a credit rating.</p><p>However, given its current and historical advanced credit metrics, as well as its exceptionally strong solvency ratios (current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratios), I&#39;m highly confident that it would be AAA-rated.</p><ul><li>because it&#39;s literally not possible for FB to default on debt it doesn&#39;t have</li></ul><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Credit Rating</b></td><td><b>30-Year Bankruptcy Probability</b></td></tr><tr><td>AAA (Meta)</td><td>0.07%</td></tr><tr><td>AA+ (Alphabet)</td><td>0.29%</td></tr><tr><td>AA</td><td>0.51%</td></tr><tr><td>AA-</td><td>0.55%</td></tr><tr><td>A+</td><td>0.60%</td></tr><tr><td>A</td><td>0.66%</td></tr><tr><td>A-</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB+</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB</td><td>7.5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB-</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>BB+</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>BB-</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>B+</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>B</td><td>37%</td></tr><tr><td>B-</td><td>45%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC+</td><td>52%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC</td><td>59%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC-</td><td>65%</td></tr><tr><td>CC</td><td>70%</td></tr><tr><td>C</td><td>80%</td></tr><tr><td>D</td><td>100%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: S&amp;P, University of St. Petersberg)</i></p><p>This means the fundamental risk of losing all your money over the next 30 years buying FB or GOOG today is approximately</p><ul><li>1 in 1,429 for FB</li><li>1 in 345 for GOOG</li></ul><p>And both companies&#39; balance sheets are expected to keep getting stronger over time.</p><p><b>Alphabet: Consensus $441 Billion In Net Cash By 2027 </b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c3a6843c329c2b16d3839e0e124674\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p><b>Meta: Consensus $71 Billion In Net Cash By 2027</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec44680d5d8318ba8ed74d4b40ae28e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>Now let&#39;s consider profitability, Wall Street&#39;s favorite quality proxy.</p><h2>Profitability: Winner, Meta By A Small Amount</h2><p><b>Meta Profitability Vs Peers</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e2b501a3cd5bb6da5299422362bed67\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Gurufocus Premium</p><p></p><p><b>Alphabet Profitability Vs Peers</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/926a2ab456d218b3ef8cd49552df5565\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Gurufocus Premium</p><p></p><p>Both companies are profit-minting machines.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/673b7f04eadaf433b4fe704dda171180\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p></p><p>These are two of the most profitable companies on earth, and their industry-leading profitability has been stable or improving for over a decade, confirming a wide and stable moat.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a1b491d8a76dd73ddc3b2ea13e999c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"187\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>FB&#39;s free cash flow is expected to keep growing and reach $77 billion in 2027.</p><p>This is expected to result in impressive buybacks in the coming years.</p><ul><li>$219 billion in consensus buybacks through 2027</li><li>38% of shares at current valuations</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f9e72220887060384ea19dc975503c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>GOOG&#39;s annual free cash flow is expected to grow to $139 billion in 2027, allowing it to undertake even more impressive buybacks.</p><ul><li>$380 billion in consensus buybacks through 2027</li><li>21% of shares at current valuations</li></ul><p>Now let&#39;s consider one important profitability metric in particular.</p><p>Return on capital or ROC is Joel Greenblatt&#39;s gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.</p><p>ROC = pre-tax profit/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business).</p><ul><li>S&amp;P 500&#39;s average in 2021 was 14.6% (average investment pays for itself in 7 years)</li></ul><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>ROC (Greenblatt)</b></td><td><b>ROC Industry Percentile</b></td><td><b>13-Year Median ROC</b></td><td><b>5-Year ROC Trend (OTC:CAGR)</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>74%</td><td>65%</td><td>95%</td><td>-16%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>87%</td><td>67%</td><td>74%</td><td>-7%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>In the past year, GOOG&#39;s return on capital was higher than FB&#39;s and it&#39;s also above its 13-year median indicating a more stable moat.</p><p>In other words, when it comes to profitability, FB edges out GOOG by a small amount, except in terms of return on capital, where it&#39;s once more the winner.</p><h2>Valuation: Winner, Meta</h2><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Average Fair Value</b></td><td><b>Current Price</b></td><td><b>Discount To Fair Value</b></td><td><b>DK Rating</b></td><td><b>PE 2022</b></td><td><b>PEG 2022</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>$265.75</td><td>$214.35</td><td>19.6%</td><td>Potentially Reasonable Buy</td><td>17.19</td><td>1.49</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>$3,161.89</td><td>$2,771.92</td><td>12.3%</td><td>Potentially Good Buy</td><td>23.51</td><td>1.67</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>FB is trading at a slightly lower valuation and a higher margin of safety, though not quite high enough for me to consider it a good buy.</p><ul><li>20% discount is needed to make FB a potentially good buy given its lower quality and risk profile</li></ul><p>If we back out cash we see that FB is once more the more undervalued company.</p><ul><li>FB EV/EBITDA: 9.5</li><li>GOOG EV/EBITDA: 14.5</li></ul><p>However, both companies are trading at highly attractive valuations.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>12-Month Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>12-Month Fundamentally Justified Upside Total Return Potential</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>48.47%</td><td>23.98%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>25.77%</td><td>14.11%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>This is why analysts expect both to deliver very strong returns, though FB potentially much more than GOOG.</p><p>Of course, what happens in the next year doesn&#39;t matter as much as the kind of returns both companies can deliver over the long-term.</p><h2>Long-Term Total Return Potential: Winner, Alphabet</h2><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Yield</b></td><td><b>FactSet Long-Term Consensus Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>0.00%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>0.00%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>GOOG is expected to grow significantly faster than FB over time, resulting in far better long-term returns.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Investment Strategy</b></td><td><b>Yield</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Growth</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</b></td><td><b>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</b></td><td><b>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</b></td><td><p><b>10 Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Return</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>Europe</td><td>2.6%</td><td>12.8%</td><td>15.4%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>8.6%</td><td>8.4</td><td>2.27</td></tr><tr><td>Value</td><td>2.1%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.7%</td><td>9.3</td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td><b>Alphabet</b></td><td><b>0.0%</b></td><td><b>14.1%</b></td><td><b>14.1%</b></td><td><b>9.9%</b></td><td><b>7.7%</b></td><td><b>9.4</b></td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td>High-Yield</td><td>2.8%</td><td>11.3%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.7%</td><td>9.4</td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td>High-Yield + Growth</td><td>1.7%</td><td>11.0%</td><td>12.7%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>6.7%</td><td>10.8</td><td>1.91</td></tr><tr><td>Safe Midstream + Growth</td><td>3.3%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>8.3%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.80</td></tr><tr><td><b>Meta</b></td><td><b>0.0%</b></td><td><b>11.50%</b></td><td><b>11.5%</b></td><td><b>8.1%</b></td><td><b>5.9%</b></td><td><b>12.3</b></td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq (Growth)</td><td>0.8%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td><td>5.9%</td><td>12.3</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Safe Midstream</td><td>5.5%</td><td>6.0%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td><td>5.9%</td><td>12.3</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.2%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.6%</td><td>12.9</td><td>1.72</td></tr><tr><td>REITs + Growth</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>10.6%</td><td>7.4%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>13.7</td><td>1.67</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.4%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.0%</td><td>4.8%</td><td>15.1</td><td>1.59</td></tr><tr><td>Realty Income</td><td>4.6%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>9.8%</td><td>6.9%</td><td>4.7%</td><td>15.4</td><td>1.58</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Growth</td><td>1.6%</td><td>8.0%</td><td>9.6%</td><td>6.7%</td><td>4.5%</td><td>15.9</td><td>1.56</td></tr><tr><td>REITs</td><td>2.9%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>9.4%</td><td>6.6%</td><td>4.4%</td><td>16.4</td><td>1.54</td></tr><tr><td>60/40 Retirement Portfolio</td><td>2.1%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>2.9%</td><td>24.9</td><td>1.33</td></tr><tr><td>10-Year US Treasury</td><td>2.3%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-0.5%</td><td>-131.1</td><td>0.95</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Both companies are expected to beat the S&amp;P 500 over time, though FB merely to match the Nasdaq while GOOG is expected to run circles around big tech.</p><p>What kind of difference does 2.6% per year in potential extra returns actually mean for your life?</p><h4>Inflation-Adjusted Consensus Return Forecast: $1,000 Initial Investment</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td><td><b>7.7% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted S&amp;P Consensus</b></td><td><b>11.9% Inflation-Adjusted GOOG Consensus</b></td><td><b>9.3% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted FB Consensus</b></td><td><b>Difference Between Inflation Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus Returns</b></td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>$1,449.03</td><td>$1,756.06</td><td>$1,561.34</td><td>$194.71</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>$2,099.70</td><td>$3,083.73</td><td>$2,437.79</td><td>$645.95</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>$3,042.53</td><td>$5,415.21</td><td>$3,806.22</td><td>$1,608.99</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>$4,408.74</td><td>$9,509.42</td><td>$5,942.82</td><td>$3,566.60</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>$6,388.41</td><td>$16,699.08</td><td>$9,278.77</td><td>$7,420.31</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>$9,257.02</td><td>$29,324.53</td><td>$14,487.34</td><td>$14,837.19</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Both FB and GOOG are likely to generate good returns but GOOG could turn a modest investment today into a potentially small fortune in the coming decades.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td><td><b>Ratio Inflation-Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus</b></td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>1.12</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>1.26</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>1.42</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>1.60</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>1.80</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>2.02</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>In fact, GOOG could potentially double FB&#39;s 30-year returns if both companies grow as analysts currently expect.</p><h2>Short &amp; Medium-Term Total Return Potential: Tie</h2><p><b>Meta 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f903c32f63dbb4cfa5efa19492b8a0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>FB growing at 11.5% is worth about 20.5X earnings based on the company&#39;s historical PEG ratio.</p><ul><li>analyst 12-month consensus forecast is for 21.9 PE</li></ul><p>This means that if FB grows as expected through 2024 it could deliver about 18% annular returns, far more than the 17% overvalued S&amp;P 500 is likely to generate.</p><p>What about the next five years?</p><h4>S&amp;P 500 2027 Consensus Return Potential</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Year</b></td><td><b>Upside Potential By End of That Year</b></td><td><b>Consensus CAGR Return Potential By End of That Year</b></td><td><b>Probability-Weighted Return (Annualized)</b></td><td><p><b>Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>2027</td><td>34.75%</td><td>6.15%</td><td>4.61%</td><td>1.27%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK S&amp;P 500 Valuation And Total Return Tool)</i></p><p>For context, analysts expect 35% returns from the S&amp;P 500, which adjusted for inflation and risk is 1% compared to the market&#39;s historical 6% to 7% real return.</p><h4><b>Meta 2027 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66d31fef78452199e2961d8d89d65454\" tg-width=\"275\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>FB could more than double your money if it grows as analysts expect over the next five years.</p><ul><li>3.2X the S&amp;P 500 consensus</li></ul><h2><b>GOOG 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc664bb22e0ba08e06de0e9bbed286c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>GOOG could deliver 13% annual returns through 2024 if it grows as expected.</p><p>In the past GOOG has grown as slowly as 11% and billions of investors still paid 25.7X earnings, meaning that its historical market-fair value multiple of 25 to 26X earnings should still be valid.</p><h4><b>GOOG 2027 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d07a6169cb075678d6646bca01679\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>Thanks to GOOG&#39;s faster growth rate analysts expect both companies to potentially deliver identical returns.</p><ul><li>about 14% annually over the next five years</li><li>also 3.2X better than the S&amp;P 500</li></ul><h2>Bottom Line: Both Are Great Companies But In The Battle Of Meta And Alphabet There Is One Clear Winner</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dea4bc19b8951f30e1b2bea40e989b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/507426f09d401e866c66a1f1dd597e4f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p></p><p>Both Alphabet and Meta are wonderful companies, and as close to perfect growth blue-chip opportunities as you can find on Wall Street right now.</p><ul><li>far superior valuation</li><li>superior quality</li><li>superior long-term return potential to the S&amp;P 500</li></ul><p>However, when we examine both companies in their entirety one fact is clear.</p><ul><li>GOOG is a higher quality company</li><li>GOOG is a faster-growing company (<i>with potentially 2X better long-term return potential than FB</i>)</li><li>GOOG has far better long-term risk management (to deal with the disruption the digital advertising industry is currently facing)</li><li>GOOG has superior return on capital and a more stable moat</li></ul><p>While FB offers superior valuation and potentially double the short-term return potential, it&#39;s a speculative blue-chip currently going through the largest business pivot in the company&#39;s history.</p><p>In contrast, GOOG is a faster-growing Ultra SWAN that is expected to buy back almost $400 billion worth of stock in the next five years, double that of FB.</p><p>Simply put, if you can only buy one of these growth legends today, I recommend Alphabet, and that&#39;s why I have it as a core growth position in my correction plan.</p><p>Not just for the next few weeks, but all of 2022 and beyond.</p><p>Because at the end of the day, when you focus on safety and quality first, and prudent valuation and sound risk-management always, you never have to pray for luck on Wall Street, you make your own.</p><blockquote>Luck is what happens when preparation meets, opportunity.&#34; - Roman philosopher Seneca the younger</blockquote></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-27 09:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years. Alphabet And Meta Returns Since ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2221071429","content_text":"FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years. Alphabet And Meta Returns Since 2013Portfolio Visualizer PremiumIn fact, both have crushed even the red hot Nasdaq during one of the hottest tech bull runs in US history, delivering Buffett-like 25% returns that resulted in an 8X return.YchartsWhile the market is currently in a correction, and growth stocks have been especially hard hit, Meta has been crushed, falling into a 50% bear market.I've bought both growth legends in this correction, but one is a core growth name in my correction plan, and the other is a non-core holding.So let me explain why both Meta and Alphabet are great companies, worth owning, and even buying more of right now.However, a careful examination of both of their fundamentals makes it clear that Alphabet is the global king of digital marketing, and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future.The Challenge Facing Digital Marketers Right NoweMarketerGOOG, FB, and Amazon (AMZN) have a triopoly on US digital marketing, commanding an estimated 65% of the market.Both GOOG and FB are losing market share to AMZN because Amazon's ads are 3X as effective at converting to actual sales.That's because Amazon has spent decades gathering customer sales data and knows what its customers want better than anyone on earth.Apple's (AAPL) recent privacy shift in iOS, makes it much easier to opt out of data tracking, and 62% of iPhone users have indeed opted out.This has proven a hammer blow to FB, which management says could cost it $10 billion in 2022 alone.GOOG is less at risk since it still has the search data it can use to optimize for targeted ads.AMZN is the least at risk since it relies far less on cookie tracking than its rivals.This kind of business model disruption is part of FB and GOOG's risk profile, which brings us to our first point of comparison.Long-Term Risk Management: Winner AlphabetHow do we quantify, monitor, and track such a complex risk profile? By doing what big institutions do.Material Financial ESG Risk Analysis: How Large Institutions Measure Total Risk4 Things You Need To Know To Profit From ESG InvestingWhat Investors Need To Know About Company Long-Term Risk Management (Video)Here is a special report that outlines the most important aspects of understanding long-term ESG financial risks for your investments.ESG is NOT \"political or personal ethics based investing\"it's total long-term risk management analysisESG is just normal risk by another name.\" Simon MacMahon, head of ESG and corporate governance research, Sustainalytics\" - MorningstarESG factors are taken into consideration, alongside all other credit factors, when we consider they are relevant to and have or may have a material influence on creditworthiness.\" - S&PESG is a measure of risk, not of ethics, political correctness, or personal opinion.S&P, Fitch, Moody's, DBRS (Canadian rating agency), AMBest (insurance rating agency), R&I Credit Rating (Japanese rating agency), and the Japan Credit Rating Agency have been using ESG models in their credit ratings for decades.every credit rating for the last 30 years has included these risk models, you just weren't aware of it credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality modeldividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality modelEvery major financial institution also tracks long-term risk management and considers it essential to sound long-term investing including,BlackRockMSCIJPMorganWells FargoBank of AmericaDeutsche Bankvirtually every major financial institution in the worldWe use six rating agencies to get a consensus risk management percentile, comparing how well a company manages its risk relative to its peers.For context:master list average: 62nd percentiledividend kings: 63rd percentiledividend aristocrats: 67th percentileUltra SWANs: 71st percentileThe better a company's risk management consensus the more likely it will be able to adapt to challenges to its business model, as we're seeing now with GOOG and FB.Meta Long-Term Risk-Management ConsensusRating AgencyIndustry PercentileRating Agency ClassificationMSCI 37 Metric Model26.0%B Industry Laggard, Negative TrendMorningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model0.7%32.4/100 High-RiskReuters'/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model88.9%GoodS&P 1,000+ Metric Model18.0%Very Poor- Stable TrendJust Capital 19 Metric Model50.0%AverageFactSet30.0%Below-Average Stable TrendMorningstar Global Percentile30.6%Below-AverageJust Capital Global Percentile25.4%PoorConsensus33.7%Below-Average (verging on poor) - medium risk(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters', Just Capital, S&P, FactSet Research)The rating agency consensus is that FB is below-average at managing its risk, verging on poor.Now contrast that with GOOG.Alphabet Long-Term Risk-Management ConsensusRating AgencyIndustry PercentileRating Agency ClassificationMSCI 37 Metric Model53.0%BBB Average, Negative TrendMorningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model39.7%24.3/100 Medium-RiskReuters'/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model85.88%GoodS&P 1,000+ Metric Model47.0%Average- Positive TrendJust Capital 19 Metric Model100.00%#1 Industry LeaderFactSet30.0%Below-Average Stable TrendMorningstar Global Percentile60.88Above-AverageJust Capital Global Percentile100%#1 Industry Leader, #1 Company In AmericaConsensus64.6%Above-Average - low risk (Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters', Just Capital, S&P, FactSet Research)GOOG doesn't just manage its long-term risk better than FB, it's beating FB by 31%.far more likely to successfully deal with privacy policy shifts, regulators, and every other major risk to its business modelAnd risk-management isn't the only factor in which GOOG outshines FB by a wide margin.Overall Quality: Winner, AlphabetThe Dividend King's overall quality scores are based on a 241 point model that includes:dividend safetybalance sheet strengthcredit ratingscredit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk datashort and long-term bankruptcy riskaccounting and corporate fraud riskprofitability and business modelgrowth consensus estimatesmanagement growth guidancehistorical earnings growth rateshistorical cash flow growth rateshistorical dividend growth rateshistorical sales growth ratescost of capitallong-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&P, Reuters'/Refinitiv, and Just Capitalmanagement qualitydividend friendly corporate culture/income dependabilitylong-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)analyst consensus long-term return potentialIt actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality modeldividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality modelHow do we know that our safety and quality model works well?During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.That's because we don't miss anything important about a company's fundamental safety and quality.So how do GOOG and FB stack up on one of the world's most comprehensive and accurate safety and quality models?Meta: A Speculative 11/19 Quality Blue-ChipMeta Balance Sheet SafetyRatingDividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession1 - unsafe0% to 20%over 4%16+%2- below average21% to 40%over 2%8% to 16%3 - average41% to 60%2%4% to 8%4 - safe61% to 80%1%2% to 4%5- very safe81% to 100%0.5%1% to 2%FB100%NANARisk RatingMedium Risk (34th industry percentile risk-management consensus)Effective AAA stable outlook credit rating 0.07% 30-year bankruptcy risk2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation - speculative, turnaround stockLong-Term DependabilityCompanyDK Long-Term Dependability ScoreInterpretationPointsNon-Dependable Companies21% or belowPoor Dependability1Low Dependability Companies22% to 60%Below-Average Dependability2S&P 500/Industry Average61% (58% to 70% range)Average Dependability3Above-Average71% to 80%Very Dependable4Very Good81% or higherExceptional Dependability5FB67%Average Dependability3Overall QualityFBFinal ScoreRatingSafety100%5/5 very safeBusiness Model100%3/3 wide moatDependability67%3/5 average dependabilityTotal84%11/13 Speculative Blue-ChipRisk Rating2/3 Medium Risk2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec - speculative, turnaround stock20% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good BuyAnd here's GOOG.Alphabet: A 13/13 Quality Ultra SWANAlphabet Balance Sheet SafetyRatingDividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession1 - unsafe0% to 20%over 4%16+%2- below average21% to 40%over 2%8% to 16%3 - average41% to 60%2%4% to 8%4 - safe61% to 80%1%2% to 4%5- very safe81% to 100%0.5%1% to 2%GOOG100%NANARisk RatingLow Risk (65th industry percentile risk-management consensus)AA+ stable outlook credit rating 0.29% 30-year bankruptcy risk20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap RecommendationLong-Term DependabilityCompanyDK Long-Term Dependability ScoreInterpretationPointsNon-Dependable Companies21% or belowPoor Dependability1Low Dependability Companies22% to 60%Below-Average Dependability2S&P 500/Industry Average61% (58% to 70% range)Average Dependability3Above-Average71% to 80%Very Dependable4Very Good81% or higherExceptional Dependability5GOOG89%Exceptional Dependability5Overall QualityGOOGFinal ScoreRatingSafety100%5/5 very safeBusiness Model100%3/3 wide moatDependability89%5/5 exceptionalTotal95%13/13 Ultra SWANRisk Rating3/3 Low Risk20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec5% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good BuyMeta: 114th highest quality company on the Masterlist: 78th percentileAlphabet: 39th highest quality: 92nd percentileBoth companies are exceptionally high quality given that our company database is one of the best in the world.The DK 500 Master List includes the world's highest quality companies including:All dividend championsAll dividend aristocratsAll dividend kingsAll global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)All 13/13 Ultra Swans (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street)48 of the world's best growth stocks (on its way to 100)But when it comes to overall quality, factoring in over 1,000 fundamental metrics, the winner is clearly once more Alphabet.Why is GOOG the hands-down winner in this quality fight with FB?CompanyQuality Rating (out Of 13)Quality Score (Out Of 100)Dividend/Balance Sheet Safety Rating (out of 5)Safety Score (Out Of 100)Dependability Rating (Out Of 5)Dependability Score (out Of 100)Meta Platforms11 Speculative Blue-Chip84%5 Very Safe100%3 average67%Alphabet13 Ultra SWAN95%5 Very Safe100%5 exceptional89%(Source: DK Research Terminal)Both FB and Meta have exceptionally strong balance sheets, making the risk of bankruptcy as close to zero as you can find on Wall Street.Alphabet's Balance Sheet: AA+ Rated By S&PGuruFocus PremiumGOOG has $140 billion in cash and just $13 billion in debt.Its advanced accounting metrics (F, Z, and M-score) are exceptional.F-score is a measure of short-term bankruptcy risk4+ is safe, 7+ very safe and GOOG's is 8M-score is 84% to 92% accurate at forecasting long-term bankruptcies1.81+ is safe, 3+ is very safe and GOOG's is 13.04M-score is 76% accurate at catching accounting fraud, and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting-1.78 or lower is safe and GOOG's is -2.48Meta's Balance Sheet: Effectively AAAGuruFocus PremiumThe only \"debt\" Meta has is receivables, it actually carries no long-term debt.That is why it's the largest company on earth that doesn't pay the $500K per year for a credit rating.However, given its current and historical advanced credit metrics, as well as its exceptionally strong solvency ratios (current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratios), I'm highly confident that it would be AAA-rated.because it's literally not possible for FB to default on debt it doesn't haveCredit Rating30-Year Bankruptcy ProbabilityAAA (Meta)0.07%AA+ (Alphabet)0.29%AA0.51%AA-0.55%A+0.60%A0.66%A-2.5%BBB+5%BBB7.5%BBB-11%BB+14%BB17%BB-21%B+25%B37%B-45%CCC+52%CCC59%CCC-65%CC70%C80%D100%(Sources: S&P, University of St. Petersberg)This means the fundamental risk of losing all your money over the next 30 years buying FB or GOOG today is approximately1 in 1,429 for FB1 in 345 for GOOGAnd both companies' balance sheets are expected to keep getting stronger over time.Alphabet: Consensus $441 Billion In Net Cash By 2027 FactSet Research TerminalMeta: Consensus $71 Billion In Net Cash By 2027FactSet Research TerminalNow let's consider profitability, Wall Street's favorite quality proxy.Profitability: Winner, Meta By A Small AmountMeta Profitability Vs PeersGurufocus PremiumAlphabet Profitability Vs PeersGurufocus PremiumBoth companies are profit-minting machines.YchartsThese are two of the most profitable companies on earth, and their industry-leading profitability has been stable or improving for over a decade, confirming a wide and stable moat.FactSet Research TerminalFB's free cash flow is expected to keep growing and reach $77 billion in 2027.This is expected to result in impressive buybacks in the coming years.$219 billion in consensus buybacks through 202738% of shares at current valuationsFactSet Research TerminalGOOG's annual free cash flow is expected to grow to $139 billion in 2027, allowing it to undertake even more impressive buybacks.$380 billion in consensus buybacks through 202721% of shares at current valuationsNow let's consider one important profitability metric in particular.Return on capital or ROC is Joel Greenblatt's gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.ROC = pre-tax profit/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business).S&P 500's average in 2021 was 14.6% (average investment pays for itself in 7 years)CompanyROC (Greenblatt)ROC Industry Percentile13-Year Median ROC5-Year ROC Trend (OTC:CAGR)Meta Platforms74%65%95%-16%Alphabet87%67%74%-7%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)In the past year, GOOG's return on capital was higher than FB's and it's also above its 13-year median indicating a more stable moat.In other words, when it comes to profitability, FB edges out GOOG by a small amount, except in terms of return on capital, where it's once more the winner.Valuation: Winner, MetaCompanyAverage Fair ValueCurrent PriceDiscount To Fair ValueDK RatingPE 2022PEG 2022Meta Platforms$265.75$214.3519.6%Potentially Reasonable Buy17.191.49Alphabet$3,161.89$2,771.9212.3%Potentially Good Buy23.511.67(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)FB is trading at a slightly lower valuation and a higher margin of safety, though not quite high enough for me to consider it a good buy.20% discount is needed to make FB a potentially good buy given its lower quality and risk profileIf we back out cash we see that FB is once more the more undervalued company.FB EV/EBITDA: 9.5GOOG EV/EBITDA: 14.5However, both companies are trading at highly attractive valuations.Company12-Month Consensus Total Return Potential12-Month Fundamentally Justified Upside Total Return PotentialMeta Platforms48.47%23.98%Alphabet25.77%14.11%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)This is why analysts expect both to deliver very strong returns, though FB potentially much more than GOOG.Of course, what happens in the next year doesn't matter as much as the kind of returns both companies can deliver over the long-term.Long-Term Total Return Potential: Winner, AlphabetCompanyYieldFactSet Long-Term Consensus Growth RateLT Consensus Total Return PotentialRisk-Adjusted Expected ReturnMeta Platforms0.00%11.5%11.5%8.1%Alphabet0.00%14.1%14.1%9.9%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)GOOG is expected to grow significantly faster than FB over time, resulting in far better long-term returns.Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10 Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted ReturnEurope2.6%12.8%15.4%10.7%8.6%8.42.27Value2.1%12.1%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.32.10Alphabet0.0%14.1%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.42.10High-Yield2.8%11.3%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.42.10High-Yield + Growth1.7%11.0%12.7%8.9%6.7%10.81.91Safe Midstream + Growth3.3%8.5%11.8%8.3%6.1%11.81.80Meta0.0%11.50%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Nasdaq (Growth)0.8%10.7%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Safe Midstream5.5%6.0%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Dividend Aristocrats2.2%8.9%11.1%7.8%5.6%12.91.72REITs + Growth1.8%8.9%10.6%7.4%5.2%13.71.67S&P 5001.4%8.5%9.9%7.0%4.8%15.11.59Realty Income4.6%5.2%9.8%6.9%4.7%15.41.58Dividend Growth1.6%8.0%9.6%6.7%4.5%15.91.56REITs2.9%6.5%9.4%6.6%4.4%16.41.5460/40 Retirement Portfolio2.1%5.1%7.2%5.1%2.9%24.91.3310-Year US Treasury2.3%0.0%2.3%1.6%-0.5%-131.10.95(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)Both companies are expected to beat the S&P 500 over time, though FB merely to match the Nasdaq while GOOG is expected to run circles around big tech.What kind of difference does 2.6% per year in potential extra returns actually mean for your life?Inflation-Adjusted Consensus Return Forecast: $1,000 Initial InvestmentTime Frame (Years)7.7% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted S&P Consensus11.9% Inflation-Adjusted GOOG Consensus9.3% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted FB ConsensusDifference Between Inflation Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus Returns5$1,449.03$1,756.06$1,561.34$194.7110$2,099.70$3,083.73$2,437.79$645.9515$3,042.53$5,415.21$3,806.22$1,608.9920$4,408.74$9,509.42$5,942.82$3,566.6025$6,388.41$16,699.08$9,278.77$7,420.3130$9,257.02$29,324.53$14,487.34$14,837.19(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)Both FB and GOOG are likely to generate good returns but GOOG could turn a modest investment today into a potentially small fortune in the coming decades.Time Frame (Years)Ratio Inflation-Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus51.12101.26151.42201.60251.80302.02(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)In fact, GOOG could potentially double FB's 30-year returns if both companies grow as analysts currently expect.Short & Medium-Term Total Return Potential: TieMeta 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchFB growing at 11.5% is worth about 20.5X earnings based on the company's historical PEG ratio.analyst 12-month consensus forecast is for 21.9 PEThis means that if FB grows as expected through 2024 it could deliver about 18% annular returns, far more than the 17% overvalued S&P 500 is likely to generate.What about the next five years?S&P 500 2027 Consensus Return PotentialYearUpside Potential By End of That YearConsensus CAGR Return Potential By End of That YearProbability-Weighted Return (Annualized)Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns202734.75%6.15%4.61%1.27%(Source: DK S&P 500 Valuation And Total Return Tool)For context, analysts expect 35% returns from the S&P 500, which adjusted for inflation and risk is 1% compared to the market's historical 6% to 7% real return.Meta 2027 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchFB could more than double your money if it grows as analysts expect over the next five years.3.2X the S&P 500 consensusGOOG 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchGOOG could deliver 13% annual returns through 2024 if it grows as expected.In the past GOOG has grown as slowly as 11% and billions of investors still paid 25.7X earnings, meaning that its historical market-fair value multiple of 25 to 26X earnings should still be valid.GOOG 2027 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchThanks to GOOG's faster growth rate analysts expect both companies to potentially deliver identical returns.about 14% annually over the next five yearsalso 3.2X better than the S&P 500Bottom Line: Both Are Great Companies But In The Battle Of Meta And Alphabet There Is One Clear WinnerDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolBoth Alphabet and Meta are wonderful companies, and as close to perfect growth blue-chip opportunities as you can find on Wall Street right now.far superior valuationsuperior qualitysuperior long-term return potential to the S&P 500However, when we examine both companies in their entirety one fact is clear.GOOG is a higher quality companyGOOG is a faster-growing company (with potentially 2X better long-term return potential than FB)GOOG has far better long-term risk management (to deal with the disruption the digital advertising industry is currently facing)GOOG has superior return on capital and a more stable moatWhile FB offers superior valuation and potentially double the short-term return potential, it's a speculative blue-chip currently going through the largest business pivot in the company's history.In contrast, GOOG is a faster-growing Ultra SWAN that is expected to buy back almost $400 billion worth of stock in the next five years, double that of FB.Simply put, if you can only buy one of these growth legends today, I recommend Alphabet, and that's why I have it as a core growth position in my correction plan.Not just for the next few weeks, but all of 2022 and beyond.Because at the end of the day, when you focus on safety and quality first, and prudent valuation and sound risk-management always, you never have to pray for luck on Wall Street, you make your own.Luck is what happens when preparation meets, opportunity.\" - Roman philosopher Seneca the younger","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9033641747,"gmtCreate":1646271724155,"gmtModify":1676534111195,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9033641747","repostId":"2216062411","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032819432,"gmtCreate":1647325141734,"gmtModify":1676534216792,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032819432","repostId":"2219835797","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038513851,"gmtCreate":1646869175579,"gmtModify":1676534170859,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038513851","repostId":"2218523894","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2218523894","pubTimestamp":1646840321,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2218523894?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-09 23:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Precious metals and fertilizer names slide in broader market rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2218523894","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"hernan4429/iStock via Getty Images  Shares of precious metals miners and fertilizer producers, which","content":"<html><body><p><figure> <picture> <img height=\"1024px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1222279154/image_1222279154.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/> </picture> <figcaption><p>hernan4429/iStock via Getty Images</p></figcaption> </figure></p> <p>Shares of precious metals miners and fertilizer producers, which have surged to multiyear highs following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, fall sharply in<span> early trading while other sectors rise in a broad market rally.</span></p> <p>As April Comex gold <span>(XAUUSD:CUR)</span> slides 2.3% at $1,996.30/oz, following Tuesday's push to as high as $2,060/oz before settling at a 19-month high, precious metals shares post broad declines: HMY <span>-5.6%</span>, AU <span>-5.3%</span>, GOLD <span>-5.1%</span>, GORO <span>-4.9%</span>, NEM <span>-4%</span>, GFI <span>-3.4%</span>, AG <span>-3.2%</span>, FSM <span>-3.2%</span>, AUY <span>-3%</span>, EXK <span>-3%</span>.</p> <p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> of the biggest losers in early trading on the S&amp;P 500 are fertilizer names CF Industries <span>(CF <span>-8.3%</span>)</span> and Mosaic <span>(MOS <span>-6.2%</span>)</span>, while Nutrien <span>(NTR <span>-3.0%</span>)</span> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPI\">Intrepid Potash</a> <span>(IPI <span>-3.5%</span>)</span> also sink into the red.</p> <p>CF Industries CEO Tony Will recently warned that global fertilizer inventories will be \"as low as we've ever seen\" heading into the Northern Hemisphere summer season.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrecious metals and fertilizer names slide in broader market rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-09 23:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3811175-precious-metals-and-fertilizer-names-slide-in-broader-market-rally><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>hernan4429/iStock via Getty Images  Shares of precious metals miners and fertilizer producers, which have surged to multiyear highs following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, fall sharply in early ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3811175-precious-metals-and-fertilizer-names-slide-in-broader-market-rally\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK1608":"元宇宙概念","BK1517":"云办公","BK1502":"双十一","BK1531":"手游股","BK1526":"科网股","00700":"腾讯控股","BK1516":"腾讯概念","BK1589":"北水核心资产","BK1591":"就地过年概念","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1586":"云计算","BK1095":"互动媒体与服务"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3811175-precious-metals-and-fertilizer-names-slide-in-broader-market-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2218523894","content_text":"hernan4429/iStock via Getty Images  Shares of precious metals miners and fertilizer producers, which have surged to multiyear highs following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, fall sharply in early trading while other sectors rise in a broad market rally. As April Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) slides 2.3% at $1,996.30/oz, following Tuesday's push to as high as $2,060/oz before settling at a 19-month high, precious metals shares post broad declines: HMY -5.6%, AU -5.3%, GOLD -5.1%, GORO -4.9%, NEM -4%, GFI -3.4%, AG -3.2%, FSM -3.2%, AUY -3%, EXK -3%. Two of the biggest losers in early trading on the S&P 500 are fertilizer names CF Industries (CF -8.3%) and Mosaic (MOS -6.2%), while Nutrien (NTR -3.0%) and Intrepid Potash (IPI -3.5%) also sink into the red. CF Industries CEO Tony Will recently warned that global fertilizer inventories will be \"as low as we've ever seen\" heading into the Northern Hemisphere summer season.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038828050,"gmtCreate":1646792817216,"gmtModify":1676534163174,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038828050","repostId":"2218406201","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031488356,"gmtCreate":1646644180981,"gmtModify":1676534146183,"author":{"id":"4101385200335300","authorId":"4101385200335300","name":"kenfoo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101385200335300","authorIdStr":"4101385200335300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031488356","repostId":"2217416315","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}