fullofissues personal page - To The Moon

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2022-05-05

okc

Tesla's Risk Calculus

2022-03-30

yes like please

US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies on Hopes Russia, Ukraine Can Resolve Conflict

03-13

yesjejejejwjwjaj hahahahahaha

2022-05-09

$Sea Ltd(SE)$vvery angry rn

2022-05-09

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ffking bleeding

2022-05-12

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$tthis is shit

2022-05-06

$YANGZIJIANG SHIPBLDG HLDGS LTD(BS6.SI)$lletsgo

2022-05-12

$Apple(AAPL)$wwhat thr

2022-05-08

$Twitter(TWTR)$tthink itll drop?

2022-05-04

lol $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2022-04-01

buyyyy

Should You Buy Tesla Now or Wait Until After the Stock Split?

2023-03-08

$Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)$ sighh

2022-07-06

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$wwiating

2022-07-06

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ssave me

2022-07-03

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$sstonkd

2022-06-20

$JARDINE MATHESON HLDGS LTD(J36.SI)$thinkthink its good?

2022-06-20

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$dded

2022-05-05

$Alibaba(BABA)$tto the moon

2022-05-05

good

Is Nvidia Stock a Buy Ahead of Earnings? Morgan Stanley Weighs In

04-01

$Solventum(SOLV)$ how to trade?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Corp(NVDA)$ddashit","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7928f8150a536e44b981fb249313af0e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9043663347","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049458396,"gmtCreate":1655830310415,"gmtModify":1676535713711,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"cmon&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>","listText":"cmon&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>","text":"cmon $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6d8784de0a82c3673a854b0152f90ac","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049458396","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049906312,"gmtCreate":1655731496836,"gmtModify":1676535694096,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/J36.SI\">$JARDINE MATHESON HLDGS LTD(J36.SI)$</a>thinkthink its good?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/J36.SI\">$JARDINE MATHESON HLDGS LTD(J36.SI)$</a>thinkthink its good?","text":"$JARDINE MATHESON HLDGS LTD(J36.SI)$thinkthink its good?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6cda1ef2aa4a3eddaf47186fb7751e14","width":"1080","height":"3032"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049906312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049906908,"gmtCreate":1655731432304,"gmtModify":1676535694095,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049906908","repostId":"2244308344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244308344","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655717944,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244308344?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-20 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy if They Take a Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244308344","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These businesses continue to perform well in an uncertain economic environment.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has had a rough 2022 so far, down 23% as of this writing. While many high-growth, high-tech stocks have been particularly hard hit along with the market rout and might be selling at bargain prices, there are still some businesses out there that look expensive. </p><p>Here are three stocks that, despite all being down year to date, investors will want to seriously consider buying if their prices fall further. Let&#39;s take a closer look. </p><h2>Chipotle Mexican Grill </h2><p>While many restaurants struggled just to survive as the coronavirus pandemic took hold of the economy, <b>Chipotle Mexican Grill</b> thrived. The popular Tex-Mex chain boosted its store count by 14.3% from Q1 2020 to Q1 2022. And even as the business goes up against tough comparisons from the year-ago period, revenue and earnings per share rose 16% and 25.6%, respectively, in the first quarter of this year. </p><p>Chipotle performed so well throughout the pandemic thanks to its robust digital foundation. The company&#39;s popular drive-through option, known as a Chipotlane, increases accessibility and convenience for hungry customers. And the burgeoning rewards program, now with 28 million members, helps Chipotle drive repeat business. </p><p>And the company doesn&#39;t appear to be slowing down anytime soon. The management team, led by CEO Brian Niccol, believes that North America can <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> day have more than 7,000 locations. Not only is this more than double the current footprint, but that target is higher than the 6,000 locations previously projected. </p><p>With Chipotle shares up 174% over the past five years, the stock currently trades for a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 51. That&#39;s far more expensive than other restaurant stocks like <b>McDonald&#39;s</b>, <b>Domino&#39;s Pizza</b>, and <b>Starbucks</b>. Its shares appear priced for perfection, so investors should wait for a pullback from current levels. </p><h2>Costco Wholesale </h2><p>The superb quality of <b>Costco</b>&#39;s business model has been on full display over the past couple of years, as consumers flocked to one of the company&#39;s 832 warehouse clubs to complete their entire shopping trips in one stop. Fiscal 2021 revenue of $196 billion was 17.5% higher than the prior year. And the momentum is still strong as same-store sales in May jumped 15.5% year over year. </p><p>Costco&#39;s overarching objective is to keep prices for merchandise -- ranging from groceries to electronics -- as low as possible. Because of its enormous scale, the company is able to flex its bargaining power with suppliers to negotiate favorable terms. Items are only marked up 11%, on average, lower than at other large retailers. And thanks to Costco&#39;s lucrative membership model, it is able to drive incredible customer loyalty. At the end of fiscal 2022&#39;s third quarter, the U.S. and Canada renewal rate was a stellar 92.3%. </p><p>Unsurprisingly, the major growth strategy for Costco is to open more warehouses. the business plans to open 10 new warehouses in the fourth quarter with most coming in the U.S. And in China, where Costco only has two locations today, management sees a massive opportunity. </p><p>As of this writing, the shares trade at a P/E multiple of 35, significantly more expensive than rivals <b>Walmart</b> and <b>BJ&#39;s Wholesale Club</b>. Given the stock&#39;s 168% rise over the past five years, the premium valuation isn&#39;t shocking. Costco is a wonderful business, and it trades as such. Put this one on your watch list for now. </p><h2>Lululemon Athletica</h2><p>Rounding out this list is booming athletic apparel maker <b>Lululemon Athletica</b>. With stores closed during the pandemic restrictions, the company was able to rely on its direct-to-consumer business. In the three months ended May 1, online sales represented 45% of its overall business. This has helped to strengthen the brand, as Lululemon&#39;s exceptional 53.9% gross margin demonstrates. </p><p>The maker of popular women&#39;s yoga pants now has a fast-growing men&#39;s business. This segment increased revenue at a compound annual growth rate of 30% over the past three years, outpacing the women&#39;s segment&#39;s 24% rate. On the new product front, footwear -- which management says is showing incredible interest from consumers -- should also help boost sales. </p><p>During Q1 2022, North America generated 83% of the company&#39;s total revenue. Therefore, looking ahead, Lululemon has a huge opportunity internationally. Unsurprisingly, China will likely be a major growth driver in the years ahead. In its most recent fiscal quarter, markets outside North America accounted for 62% of <b>Nike</b>&#39;s overall sales. If this is any indication of where Lululemon can go, then there is still a long growth runway ahead. </p><p>Lululemon has been a great stock to own, rising 426% over the past five years. But despite falling 29% this year, its shares still sell at a P/E of 35, which is pricier than competitors&#39; shares. This company is certainly finding great success in the sports apparel industry, but investors should practice some patience before buying the stock. </p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy if They Take a Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy if They Take a Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-20 17:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/19/3-stocks-to-buy-if-they-take-a-dip/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 has had a rough 2022 so far, down 23% as of this writing. While many high-growth, high-tech stocks have been particularly hard hit along with the market rout and might be selling at ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/19/3-stocks-to-buy-if-they-take-a-dip/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LULU":"lululemon athletica","COST":"好市多","CMG":"墨式烧烤"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/19/3-stocks-to-buy-if-they-take-a-dip/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244308344","content_text":"The S&P 500 has had a rough 2022 so far, down 23% as of this writing. While many high-growth, high-tech stocks have been particularly hard hit along with the market rout and might be selling at bargain prices, there are still some businesses out there that look expensive. Here are three stocks that, despite all being down year to date, investors will want to seriously consider buying if their prices fall further. Let's take a closer look. Chipotle Mexican Grill While many restaurants struggled just to survive as the coronavirus pandemic took hold of the economy, Chipotle Mexican Grill thrived. The popular Tex-Mex chain boosted its store count by 14.3% from Q1 2020 to Q1 2022. And even as the business goes up against tough comparisons from the year-ago period, revenue and earnings per share rose 16% and 25.6%, respectively, in the first quarter of this year. Chipotle performed so well throughout the pandemic thanks to its robust digital foundation. The company's popular drive-through option, known as a Chipotlane, increases accessibility and convenience for hungry customers. And the burgeoning rewards program, now with 28 million members, helps Chipotle drive repeat business. And the company doesn't appear to be slowing down anytime soon. The management team, led by CEO Brian Niccol, believes that North America can one day have more than 7,000 locations. Not only is this more than double the current footprint, but that target is higher than the 6,000 locations previously projected. With Chipotle shares up 174% over the past five years, the stock currently trades for a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 51. That's far more expensive than other restaurant stocks like McDonald's, Domino's Pizza, and Starbucks. Its shares appear priced for perfection, so investors should wait for a pullback from current levels. Costco Wholesale The superb quality of Costco's business model has been on full display over the past couple of years, as consumers flocked to one of the company's 832 warehouse clubs to complete their entire shopping trips in one stop. Fiscal 2021 revenue of $196 billion was 17.5% higher than the prior year. And the momentum is still strong as same-store sales in May jumped 15.5% year over year. Costco's overarching objective is to keep prices for merchandise -- ranging from groceries to electronics -- as low as possible. Because of its enormous scale, the company is able to flex its bargaining power with suppliers to negotiate favorable terms. Items are only marked up 11%, on average, lower than at other large retailers. And thanks to Costco's lucrative membership model, it is able to drive incredible customer loyalty. At the end of fiscal 2022's third quarter, the U.S. and Canada renewal rate was a stellar 92.3%. Unsurprisingly, the major growth strategy for Costco is to open more warehouses. the business plans to open 10 new warehouses in the fourth quarter with most coming in the U.S. And in China, where Costco only has two locations today, management sees a massive opportunity. As of this writing, the shares trade at a P/E multiple of 35, significantly more expensive than rivals Walmart and BJ's Wholesale Club. Given the stock's 168% rise over the past five years, the premium valuation isn't shocking. Costco is a wonderful business, and it trades as such. Put this one on your watch list for now. Lululemon AthleticaRounding out this list is booming athletic apparel maker Lululemon Athletica. With stores closed during the pandemic restrictions, the company was able to rely on its direct-to-consumer business. In the three months ended May 1, online sales represented 45% of its overall business. This has helped to strengthen the brand, as Lululemon's exceptional 53.9% gross margin demonstrates. The maker of popular women's yoga pants now has a fast-growing men's business. This segment increased revenue at a compound annual growth rate of 30% over the past three years, outpacing the women's segment's 24% rate. On the new product front, footwear -- which management says is showing incredible interest from consumers -- should also help boost sales. During Q1 2022, North America generated 83% of the company's total revenue. Therefore, looking ahead, Lululemon has a huge opportunity internationally. Unsurprisingly, China will likely be a major growth driver in the years ahead. In its most recent fiscal quarter, markets outside North America accounted for 62% of Nike's overall sales. If this is any indication of where Lululemon can go, then there is still a long growth runway ahead. Lululemon has been a great stock to own, rising 426% over the past five years. But despite falling 29% this year, its shares still sell at a P/E of 35, which is pricier than competitors' shares. This company is certainly finding great success in the sports apparel industry, but investors should practice some patience before buying the stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9068362832,"gmtCreate":1651720503640,"gmtModify":1676534956751,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okc","listText":"okc","text":"okc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068362832","repostId":"2233004021","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2233004021","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651719928,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233004021?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-05 11:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Risk Calculus","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233004021","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"ThesisTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) investors have been on a roller coaster recently. On the positive side, it","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) investors have been on a roller coaster recently. On the positive side, its 2022 Q1 was another record-setting quarter. It delivered better-than-expected results pretty much across the board.</p><p>It delivered 310,000 vehicles despite market concerns over supply chain challenges and factory shutdowns in Shanghai. Both topline and bottom line also showed healthy growth and the operating margin expanded to a record 19%. After reporting such up beating numbers, the stock price rallied by more than 10% the next trading day on April 21 to almost $1,100.</p><p>However, on the other side, a few negative developments sent the stock price back to the $850 level. Note that the price information was taken during the trading session on Monday, May 2. With the large market volatilities these days, the prices may have changed a bit when you read this article. First, the overall market sentiment had been dominated by fear last week after TSLA’s earnings release. With major institutions like Bank of America trimming S&amp;P 500 targets and forecasting an increased possibility of a recession ahead, all major indices suffered a large correction, and the S&amp;P 500 lost a whopping 3.6% in a single day last Friday. Second, Elon Musk unloaded about $8B worth of his shares in lots priced between $870 to $1,000 according to filings released on April 29, adding more fuel to the fire. Unfortunately, such events have happened before and very likely will happen again. Another recent example involved polling his 62.5 million <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> followers whether he should reduce his holdings or not. And we all know what transpired next – the stock price fell by more than 17% to the $1,000 level during that week.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/971cf85239ad980dea02fd27c1849c44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"287\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yahoo Finance</p><p>Looking forward, we see both some additional uncertainties ahead and also some catalysts to support its production ramping up and profitability growth. Overall, we see the investment feature a positive return profile despite large variance. Specifically,</p><ul><li>Looking past the above short-term price dramas, there are a few additional key uncertainties ahead for TSLA investors. Both the Texas and Berlin factories are in earlier ramp up phase, and their production goals may be delayed due to variable uncertainties (supply chain issues, labor shortage, material shortage, et al). Its Shanghai factory is operating on partial capacity and its status hinges on the COVID situation in the city. Also, as a key port city, Shanghai can also interrupt TSLA’s overall supply chain in China.</li><li>But at the same time, we also see positive catalysts that support a favorable risk/return profile. The investment would feature breakeven odds return even assuming a relatively small probability (about 16%) for management to deliver their growth expectations of about 50% CAGR.</li><li>More importantly, TSLA achieved an important milestone for future capacity growth in the last quarter: the inhouse production of 4680 battery cells. In April 2022, TSLA delivered the first Model Y with 4680 in-house made cells, single-piece front body castings and structural battery packs. Ultimately, Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg will be able to produce Model Ys using both structural packs with 4680 cells as well as non-structural packs with 2170 cells. Inhouse battery production is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the bottleneck issues for TSLA’s production growth. It is a key piece in TSLA’s overall strategy of vertical integration. Going forward, the successful 4680 inhouse production and structural battery packs give the company better control of its supply chain and a leg up over other automakers.</li></ul><h2>TSLA Q1 Highlights</h2><p>The most important highlights to me in the earnings were the production and delivery updates. As seen below, TSLA delivered more than 310k vehicles in Q1 2022 and produced more than 305k. Despite market concerns over supply chain challenges and factory shutdowns in Shanghai, TSLA was able to grow both its production and its delivery above the previous quarter. On a year-over-year basis, its deliveries and predictions grow spectacularly by almost 70%.</p><p>Looking forward, production and deliveries started from the Berlin Gigafactory in March 2022, and from the Texas Gigafactory in April 2022. And I have no doubt that these new Gigafactories will further boost growth in vehicle production and deliveries.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faa33a317a5314d897f0593060a9e26e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA earnings report</p><p>Given the healthy growth in deliveries and production, its profits also improved. It raked in a record $18.8B of total revenues and a total of $3.6B in GAAP operating income. Both were at record levels and represented spectacular growth both compared to the previous quarter and also YoY. In terms of margins, it managed to reduce costs (COGS costs) per vehicle despite inflationary pressures. The operating margin expanded to a record 19.2% in Q1, and GAAP Automotive&#39;s gross margin also expanded to a record 32.9%.</p><p>However, there are a few not-so-rosy numbers too. Operating cash decreased by about $500M to about $4B compared to the previous quarter. As a result, the operating cash flow less CAPEX (i.e., free cash flow) dropped to $2.2B in Q1, lower than the previous quarter’s 2.7 billion by about $500M. More than fundamentals, there are also some uncertainties in future production and growth, as detailed next.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/471d7369904b53af4bc3a3ec7ee96306\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA earnings report</p><h2>Production Uncertainties And Modeling</h2><p>Now on to the production risks and uncertainty. In Q1 2022, management reported a continuation of the global supply chain, transportation, labor, and other manufacturing challenges. These issues have limited the ability of the factories at full capacity.</p><p>Looking forward, some of these issues are going to persist. Both Berlin and Texas factories are in their earlier ramp-up phase. One of the key pieces for TSLA capacity growth involves Gigafactory Texas to be able to produce Model Ys using both structural packs with 4680 cells as well as non-structural packs with 2170 cells. This goal may be delayed due to supply chain issues and throttle production. In China, a spike in COVID-19 cases in Shanghai has led to the lockdown of the city and the shutdown of the factory. As a key port city, Shanghai can also interrupt TSLA’s supply chain. Although limited production has recently restarted, the situation is very fluid and could reverse.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4f4d674a58f20c4fbacab08a736c8fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA earnings report</p><p>The margin of uncertainties widens as we look further out. TSLA’s management&#39;s target is at 20 million by 2030, translating to about 25x of 2021 volume and a growth rate of about 50% CAGR per year. Management’s optimism is certainly shared among the investment community. For example, some analysts believe TSLA can comfortably grow production by 50% every year through 2025 and possibly 2030. While ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood is even more optimistic, predicting Tesla to sell 20m vehicles a year by 2025. On the other hand, there is no lack of skepticism either. For example, Morning Star analysis assumes Tesla only delivers around 5.7 million vehicles by 2030, well below management’s target.</p><p>Given such uncertainties, it makes sense to explore a couple of scenarios to form a more comprehensive and objective view. This next table summarizes three scenarios of 20%, 30%, and 50% annual growth rates for TSLA considering its fixed cost and variable cost of production. The analyses of its production cost have been detailed in my earlier article and here I will just summarize the key points for the ease of reference:</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>It has passed the pivot point of critical scale (with a break-even point that occurred somewhere around 100k vehicles), recouped the fixed cost, and now began to harvest the benefit of the scale of production and expanding margin. Its variable cost is estimated to be about $40k per vehicle.</i></li><li><i>I also assumed that the operating expenses to be 13% of total sales and the average vehicle price tag to be $58,000, which is consistent with its current levels. Note these assumptions also make my analysis more on the conservative side, because operation costs would also be diluted on a per-vehicle basis as Tesla sells more units.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>As seen, depending on the growth rates, the return scenarios can be drastically different. Right now, there is no doubt that the business is expensively valued even after the recent corrections. At about 16x of sales and 83x EV/EBITDA, it is expensively valued both in relative terms and absolute terms (the overall market is valued at about 3x sales and 16x EV/EBITDA). However, if it indeed grows its production at a 50% annual rate, it could outgrow its current valuation quickly. By 2025, the price to sales ratio would be 3.2x and EV/EBITDA multiple by about 17.6x - not too different from the market at its current price. However, if growth slows to 20%, then it would be still trading at an expensive premium for years to come.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ce6946c15364a8fafd81c7e38c9efd8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><h2>Kelly Bet Analysis</h2><p>So it is indeed a high uncertainty investment. Both large gains and losses are possible as summarized in the following table. In this table, I considered the above three growth scenarios and assumed that:</p><ul><li>The base scenario with 30% production growth would enjoy an EV/EBITDA multiple of 25.7x, a 50% premium over the overall market.</li><li>The bearish scenario with 20% production growth would be valued at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 20.5x, a 20% premium over the overall market (because a 20% growth rate still deserves a valuation premium).</li><li>The bullish scenario with 50% as expressed by management would be valued at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 24.2x, a 100% premium over the overall market.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d9277760bdef1b7376d8001c78304a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"179\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Usually, the discussion from here would turn into a subjective debate between the bulls and bears as aforementioned. This article will take a different approach and gauge the risk/reward profile in a more objective way using the Kelly bet size analysis. More details of the analysis can be found in my earlier article on Altria (another high uncertain stock), and only a brief summary is provided below to facilitate the remainder of the discussion.</p><blockquote><i>The Kelly method helps to turn such subjective debate into more action-oriented decision-making. The Kelly bet analysis</i> <i>is a way to determine bet sizing as a percentage of bankroll that leads to optimal growth in the long run (i.e., if you place a large number of the same bet over and again). Another reason I use it is that it not only considers the expected return, but also the variance among the outcomes, which is equally important, or more important in my view. </i></blockquote><p>With the above background, a Kelly bet analysis is shown below for the TSLA investment for the scenarios analyzed above. As seen, the Kelly analysis allows you to assign different odds – based on your judgment of the situation - and shows what your bet size should be.</p><p>For me, my assessment of the most likely odds is 50% for the base case (30% production growth), 25% for the bearish case, and 25% for the bullish case. Under these odds, the expected return is a positive 3.9% - note here the 3.9% means the expected return is 3.9% each time I place such a bet with these odds. And the bet size is 66% of the bankroll.</p><p>As another example, let’s imagine someone who holds a more doomed view for TSLA with the following odds (the so-called break-even odds) – i.e., the odds that make the expected return zero so it is not worth betting on anymore. As seen, the breakeven odds are the following: 50% odds for the base case, 34% for the bearish case, and 16% for the bullish case. In this case, the expected return is almost zero and the Kelly bet size is also almost zero too (3% of bankroll only). In other words, if your view of the odds for things to unfold is close to (or worse than) these breakeven odds, then you should not invest in TSLA.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/807bd565fb2332f6bc5a7dae82a82c65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><h2>Conclusions And Other Risks</h2><p>The recent developments of TSLA represent a textbook example of an investment opportunity with high uncertainties. TSLA stock prices are dominated by market sentiment and also the fundamental uncertainties of its production ramping up. And you should really consider your risk appetite before engaging.</p><p>A Kelly assessment shows an overall positive return profile based on quite conservative assumptions. Even assuming a 16% probability for the bullish case and a 34x EV/EBITDA multiple, the investment would have breakeven odds. And also note the 34x EV/EBITDA multiple is conservative in the bullish case. To put things under perspective, the fair valuation implied in the analyses from several leading institutions (such as Bank of America) under ~50% growth rate is in the range from 60x to 100x EV/EBITDA.</p><p>At the same time, TSLA achieved a key milestone last quarter, the inhouse production of 4680 battery cells, which will serve as a key catalyst for future capacity growth. It is a key piece in TSLA’s overall strategy of vertical integration. Going forward, the successful 4680 cell inhouse production and structural battery packs give the company better control of its supply chain and a leg up over other automakers.</p><p>And finally, a few words about some other risks and the limitation of the Kelly analysis itself:</p><ul><li>Specific to TSLA, in the near term, its production continues to be hobbled by the global shortage of semiconductor chips, congestion at shipping ports, and the rising cost and/or shortage of raw materials (especially nickel and lithium which are crucial for EV production).</li><li>In the longer term, the competition in the EV space is also heating up. TSLA’s market share in some of the major markets is under a lot of pressure not only from established car manufacturers but also from EV companies in the US and abroad. Especially in China, its key EV market, it faces competition from NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, et al. The future of EVs also depends sensitively on government policies and incentives, which may not always be in TSLA’s favor.</li><li>Finally, the Kelly analysis itself cannot – nothing can – turn investment decisions into a completely scientific and objective process. If uncertainties/risks can be quantified, then they are not uncertainties/risks to start with. In the end, some degree of subjective judgment is always required based on each person&#39;s risk tolerance. For me, the Kelly analysis maps out the bounds and limits of the risks, so I can judge if I am comfortable with those limits.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Risk Calculus</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Risk Calculus\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-05 11:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4506801-teslas-risk-calculus><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ThesisTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) investors have been on a roller coaster recently. On the positive side, its 2022 Q1 was another record-setting quarter. It delivered better-than-expected results pretty much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4506801-teslas-risk-calculus\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4099":"汽车制造商","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4574":"无人驾驶"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4506801-teslas-risk-calculus","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2233004021","content_text":"ThesisTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) investors have been on a roller coaster recently. On the positive side, its 2022 Q1 was another record-setting quarter. It delivered better-than-expected results pretty much across the board.It delivered 310,000 vehicles despite market concerns over supply chain challenges and factory shutdowns in Shanghai. Both topline and bottom line also showed healthy growth and the operating margin expanded to a record 19%. After reporting such up beating numbers, the stock price rallied by more than 10% the next trading day on April 21 to almost $1,100.However, on the other side, a few negative developments sent the stock price back to the $850 level. Note that the price information was taken during the trading session on Monday, May 2. With the large market volatilities these days, the prices may have changed a bit when you read this article. First, the overall market sentiment had been dominated by fear last week after TSLA’s earnings release. With major institutions like Bank of America trimming S&P 500 targets and forecasting an increased possibility of a recession ahead, all major indices suffered a large correction, and the S&P 500 lost a whopping 3.6% in a single day last Friday. Second, Elon Musk unloaded about $8B worth of his shares in lots priced between $870 to $1,000 according to filings released on April 29, adding more fuel to the fire. Unfortunately, such events have happened before and very likely will happen again. Another recent example involved polling his 62.5 million Twitter followers whether he should reduce his holdings or not. And we all know what transpired next – the stock price fell by more than 17% to the $1,000 level during that week.Yahoo FinanceLooking forward, we see both some additional uncertainties ahead and also some catalysts to support its production ramping up and profitability growth. Overall, we see the investment feature a positive return profile despite large variance. Specifically,Looking past the above short-term price dramas, there are a few additional key uncertainties ahead for TSLA investors. Both the Texas and Berlin factories are in earlier ramp up phase, and their production goals may be delayed due to variable uncertainties (supply chain issues, labor shortage, material shortage, et al). Its Shanghai factory is operating on partial capacity and its status hinges on the COVID situation in the city. Also, as a key port city, Shanghai can also interrupt TSLA’s overall supply chain in China.But at the same time, we also see positive catalysts that support a favorable risk/return profile. The investment would feature breakeven odds return even assuming a relatively small probability (about 16%) for management to deliver their growth expectations of about 50% CAGR.More importantly, TSLA achieved an important milestone for future capacity growth in the last quarter: the inhouse production of 4680 battery cells. In April 2022, TSLA delivered the first Model Y with 4680 in-house made cells, single-piece front body castings and structural battery packs. Ultimately, Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg will be able to produce Model Ys using both structural packs with 4680 cells as well as non-structural packs with 2170 cells. Inhouse battery production is one of the bottleneck issues for TSLA’s production growth. It is a key piece in TSLA’s overall strategy of vertical integration. Going forward, the successful 4680 inhouse production and structural battery packs give the company better control of its supply chain and a leg up over other automakers.TSLA Q1 HighlightsThe most important highlights to me in the earnings were the production and delivery updates. As seen below, TSLA delivered more than 310k vehicles in Q1 2022 and produced more than 305k. Despite market concerns over supply chain challenges and factory shutdowns in Shanghai, TSLA was able to grow both its production and its delivery above the previous quarter. On a year-over-year basis, its deliveries and predictions grow spectacularly by almost 70%.Looking forward, production and deliveries started from the Berlin Gigafactory in March 2022, and from the Texas Gigafactory in April 2022. And I have no doubt that these new Gigafactories will further boost growth in vehicle production and deliveries.TSLA earnings reportGiven the healthy growth in deliveries and production, its profits also improved. It raked in a record $18.8B of total revenues and a total of $3.6B in GAAP operating income. Both were at record levels and represented spectacular growth both compared to the previous quarter and also YoY. In terms of margins, it managed to reduce costs (COGS costs) per vehicle despite inflationary pressures. The operating margin expanded to a record 19.2% in Q1, and GAAP Automotive's gross margin also expanded to a record 32.9%.However, there are a few not-so-rosy numbers too. Operating cash decreased by about $500M to about $4B compared to the previous quarter. As a result, the operating cash flow less CAPEX (i.e., free cash flow) dropped to $2.2B in Q1, lower than the previous quarter’s 2.7 billion by about $500M. More than fundamentals, there are also some uncertainties in future production and growth, as detailed next.TSLA earnings reportProduction Uncertainties And ModelingNow on to the production risks and uncertainty. In Q1 2022, management reported a continuation of the global supply chain, transportation, labor, and other manufacturing challenges. These issues have limited the ability of the factories at full capacity.Looking forward, some of these issues are going to persist. Both Berlin and Texas factories are in their earlier ramp-up phase. One of the key pieces for TSLA capacity growth involves Gigafactory Texas to be able to produce Model Ys using both structural packs with 4680 cells as well as non-structural packs with 2170 cells. This goal may be delayed due to supply chain issues and throttle production. In China, a spike in COVID-19 cases in Shanghai has led to the lockdown of the city and the shutdown of the factory. As a key port city, Shanghai can also interrupt TSLA’s supply chain. Although limited production has recently restarted, the situation is very fluid and could reverse.TSLA earnings reportThe margin of uncertainties widens as we look further out. TSLA’s management's target is at 20 million by 2030, translating to about 25x of 2021 volume and a growth rate of about 50% CAGR per year. Management’s optimism is certainly shared among the investment community. For example, some analysts believe TSLA can comfortably grow production by 50% every year through 2025 and possibly 2030. While ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood is even more optimistic, predicting Tesla to sell 20m vehicles a year by 2025. On the other hand, there is no lack of skepticism either. For example, Morning Star analysis assumes Tesla only delivers around 5.7 million vehicles by 2030, well below management’s target.Given such uncertainties, it makes sense to explore a couple of scenarios to form a more comprehensive and objective view. This next table summarizes three scenarios of 20%, 30%, and 50% annual growth rates for TSLA considering its fixed cost and variable cost of production. The analyses of its production cost have been detailed in my earlier article and here I will just summarize the key points for the ease of reference:It has passed the pivot point of critical scale (with a break-even point that occurred somewhere around 100k vehicles), recouped the fixed cost, and now began to harvest the benefit of the scale of production and expanding margin. Its variable cost is estimated to be about $40k per vehicle.I also assumed that the operating expenses to be 13% of total sales and the average vehicle price tag to be $58,000, which is consistent with its current levels. Note these assumptions also make my analysis more on the conservative side, because operation costs would also be diluted on a per-vehicle basis as Tesla sells more units.As seen, depending on the growth rates, the return scenarios can be drastically different. Right now, there is no doubt that the business is expensively valued even after the recent corrections. At about 16x of sales and 83x EV/EBITDA, it is expensively valued both in relative terms and absolute terms (the overall market is valued at about 3x sales and 16x EV/EBITDA). However, if it indeed grows its production at a 50% annual rate, it could outgrow its current valuation quickly. By 2025, the price to sales ratio would be 3.2x and EV/EBITDA multiple by about 17.6x - not too different from the market at its current price. However, if growth slows to 20%, then it would be still trading at an expensive premium for years to come.AuthorKelly Bet AnalysisSo it is indeed a high uncertainty investment. Both large gains and losses are possible as summarized in the following table. In this table, I considered the above three growth scenarios and assumed that:The base scenario with 30% production growth would enjoy an EV/EBITDA multiple of 25.7x, a 50% premium over the overall market.The bearish scenario with 20% production growth would be valued at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 20.5x, a 20% premium over the overall market (because a 20% growth rate still deserves a valuation premium).The bullish scenario with 50% as expressed by management would be valued at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 24.2x, a 100% premium over the overall market.AuthorUsually, the discussion from here would turn into a subjective debate between the bulls and bears as aforementioned. This article will take a different approach and gauge the risk/reward profile in a more objective way using the Kelly bet size analysis. More details of the analysis can be found in my earlier article on Altria (another high uncertain stock), and only a brief summary is provided below to facilitate the remainder of the discussion.The Kelly method helps to turn such subjective debate into more action-oriented decision-making. The Kelly bet analysis is a way to determine bet sizing as a percentage of bankroll that leads to optimal growth in the long run (i.e., if you place a large number of the same bet over and again). Another reason I use it is that it not only considers the expected return, but also the variance among the outcomes, which is equally important, or more important in my view. With the above background, a Kelly bet analysis is shown below for the TSLA investment for the scenarios analyzed above. As seen, the Kelly analysis allows you to assign different odds – based on your judgment of the situation - and shows what your bet size should be.For me, my assessment of the most likely odds is 50% for the base case (30% production growth), 25% for the bearish case, and 25% for the bullish case. Under these odds, the expected return is a positive 3.9% - note here the 3.9% means the expected return is 3.9% each time I place such a bet with these odds. And the bet size is 66% of the bankroll.As another example, let’s imagine someone who holds a more doomed view for TSLA with the following odds (the so-called break-even odds) – i.e., the odds that make the expected return zero so it is not worth betting on anymore. As seen, the breakeven odds are the following: 50% odds for the base case, 34% for the bearish case, and 16% for the bullish case. In this case, the expected return is almost zero and the Kelly bet size is also almost zero too (3% of bankroll only). In other words, if your view of the odds for things to unfold is close to (or worse than) these breakeven odds, then you should not invest in TSLA.AuthorConclusions And Other RisksThe recent developments of TSLA represent a textbook example of an investment opportunity with high uncertainties. TSLA stock prices are dominated by market sentiment and also the fundamental uncertainties of its production ramping up. And you should really consider your risk appetite before engaging.A Kelly assessment shows an overall positive return profile based on quite conservative assumptions. Even assuming a 16% probability for the bullish case and a 34x EV/EBITDA multiple, the investment would have breakeven odds. And also note the 34x EV/EBITDA multiple is conservative in the bullish case. To put things under perspective, the fair valuation implied in the analyses from several leading institutions (such as Bank of America) under ~50% growth rate is in the range from 60x to 100x EV/EBITDA.At the same time, TSLA achieved a key milestone last quarter, the inhouse production of 4680 battery cells, which will serve as a key catalyst for future capacity growth. It is a key piece in TSLA’s overall strategy of vertical integration. Going forward, the successful 4680 cell inhouse production and structural battery packs give the company better control of its supply chain and a leg up over other automakers.And finally, a few words about some other risks and the limitation of the Kelly analysis itself:Specific to TSLA, in the near term, its production continues to be hobbled by the global shortage of semiconductor chips, congestion at shipping ports, and the rising cost and/or shortage of raw materials (especially nickel and lithium which are crucial for EV production).In the longer term, the competition in the EV space is also heating up. TSLA’s market share in some of the major markets is under a lot of pressure not only from established car manufacturers but also from EV companies in the US and abroad. Especially in China, its key EV market, it faces competition from NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, et al. The future of EVs also depends sensitively on government policies and incentives, which may not always be in TSLA’s favor.Finally, the Kelly analysis itself cannot – nothing can – turn investment decisions into a completely scientific and objective process. If uncertainties/risks can be quantified, then they are not uncertainties/risks to start with. In the end, some degree of subjective judgment is always required based on each person's risk tolerance. For me, the Kelly analysis maps out the bounds and limits of the risks, so I can judge if I am comfortable with those limits.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9019276585,"gmtCreate":1648604541886,"gmtModify":1676534363172,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes like please","listText":"yes like please","text":"yes like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9019276585","repostId":"2223587811","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2223587811","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1648594673,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2223587811?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-30 06:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies on Hopes Russia, Ukraine Can Resolve Conflict","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2223587811","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. 2-yr/10-yr Treasury yield curve invertsUkraine-Russia meeting ends with some progressDow up 0.9","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. 2-yr/10-yr Treasury yield curve inverts</li><li>Ukraine-Russia meeting ends with some progress</li><li>Dow up 0.97%, S&amp;P 500 up 1.23%, Nasdaq up 1.84%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Dow and S&amp;P notching their fourth straight session of gains, on optimism some progress was being made toward a deal to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.</p><p>Prices eased for oil and other commodities, helping calm concerns about rising inflation and the path of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, which has started hiking interest rates to combat rising prices.</p><p>&#34;If you look over the course of the month this war has been going on, the market has priced in much more bad news than good news,&#34; said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities in New York.</p><p>&#34;It certainly shows the market has a natural coiled spring that will be a reaction function to any good news and we saw a bit of that this morning, but everything will have to be taken with a grain of salt and we will have to see things actually play out versus being actually talked about.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 338.3 points, or 0.97%, to 35,294.19, the S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) gained 56.08 points, or 1.23%, to 4,631.6 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 264.73 points, or 1.84%, to 14,619.64.</p><p>After a dismal start to the year for stocks that saw the S&amp;P 500 fall into a correction, commonly referred to as a drop of more than 10% from its most recent high, the benchmark index is now down less than 3% on the year.</p><p>Still, there were signs of market nervousness that the Fed could make a policy mistake that leads to a slowdown, or possibly a recession, in the economy as the widely tracked U.S. 2-year/10-year Treasury inverted for the first time since September 2019.</p><p>&#34;While I think the ultimate result of an aggressive Fed tightening cycle is a recession, I do not expect it to occur quickly. Historically speaking, all recessions are preceded by 2s10s inversions, but not all inversions result in recessions,&#34; said Ellis Phifer, managing director, fixed income research, at Raymond James in Memphis, Tennessee.</p><p>After slumping more than 2% on Monday, the S&amp;P energy index (.SPNY) was the only declining sector as crude prices fell more than 1%.</p><p>As the conflict in Ukraine has escalated in recent weeks, already rising prices saw more upward pressure on commodities such as wheat, energy and metals.</p><p>But even with the recent surge in inflation, data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence rebounded from a one-year low in March, while the current labor environment favors workers.</p><p>Real estate (.SPLRCR), up nearly 3% on the session, was the best performing sector, which indicates some investors may see inflation remaining but no recession on the horizon. It was the biggest one-day percentage gain for the group since Jan. 28.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx Corp </a> gained 3.70% after the global delivery conglomerate named operating chief Raj Subramaniam as its top boss. read more</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.22 billion shares, compared with the 14 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.20-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 51 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 71 new highs and 38 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies on Hopes Russia, Ukraine Can Resolve Conflict</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies on Hopes Russia, Ukraine Can Resolve Conflict\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-30 06:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. 2-yr/10-yr Treasury yield curve inverts</li><li>Ukraine-Russia meeting ends with some progress</li><li>Dow up 0.97%, S&amp;P 500 up 1.23%, Nasdaq up 1.84%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Dow and S&amp;P notching their fourth straight session of gains, on optimism some progress was being made toward a deal to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.</p><p>Prices eased for oil and other commodities, helping calm concerns about rising inflation and the path of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, which has started hiking interest rates to combat rising prices.</p><p>&#34;If you look over the course of the month this war has been going on, the market has priced in much more bad news than good news,&#34; said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities in New York.</p><p>&#34;It certainly shows the market has a natural coiled spring that will be a reaction function to any good news and we saw a bit of that this morning, but everything will have to be taken with a grain of salt and we will have to see things actually play out versus being actually talked about.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 338.3 points, or 0.97%, to 35,294.19, the S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) gained 56.08 points, or 1.23%, to 4,631.6 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 264.73 points, or 1.84%, to 14,619.64.</p><p>After a dismal start to the year for stocks that saw the S&amp;P 500 fall into a correction, commonly referred to as a drop of more than 10% from its most recent high, the benchmark index is now down less than 3% on the year.</p><p>Still, there were signs of market nervousness that the Fed could make a policy mistake that leads to a slowdown, or possibly a recession, in the economy as the widely tracked U.S. 2-year/10-year Treasury inverted for the first time since September 2019.</p><p>&#34;While I think the ultimate result of an aggressive Fed tightening cycle is a recession, I do not expect it to occur quickly. Historically speaking, all recessions are preceded by 2s10s inversions, but not all inversions result in recessions,&#34; said Ellis Phifer, managing director, fixed income research, at Raymond James in Memphis, Tennessee.</p><p>After slumping more than 2% on Monday, the S&amp;P energy index (.SPNY) was the only declining sector as crude prices fell more than 1%.</p><p>As the conflict in Ukraine has escalated in recent weeks, already rising prices saw more upward pressure on commodities such as wheat, energy and metals.</p><p>But even with the recent surge in inflation, data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence rebounded from a one-year low in March, while the current labor environment favors workers.</p><p>Real estate (.SPLRCR), up nearly 3% on the session, was the best performing sector, which indicates some investors may see inflation remaining but no recession on the horizon. It was the biggest one-day percentage gain for the group since Jan. 28.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx Corp </a> gained 3.70% after the global delivery conglomerate named operating chief Raj Subramaniam as its top boss. read more</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.22 billion shares, compared with the 14 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.20-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 51 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 71 new highs and 38 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","RJF":"瑞杰金融","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","FDX":"联邦快递","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4131":"航空货运与物流","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2223587811","content_text":"U.S. 2-yr/10-yr Treasury yield curve invertsUkraine-Russia meeting ends with some progressDow up 0.97%, S&P 500 up 1.23%, Nasdaq up 1.84%(Reuters) - U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Dow and S&P notching their fourth straight session of gains, on optimism some progress was being made toward a deal to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.Prices eased for oil and other commodities, helping calm concerns about rising inflation and the path of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, which has started hiking interest rates to combat rising prices.\"If you look over the course of the month this war has been going on, the market has priced in much more bad news than good news,\" said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities in New York.\"It certainly shows the market has a natural coiled spring that will be a reaction function to any good news and we saw a bit of that this morning, but everything will have to be taken with a grain of salt and we will have to see things actually play out versus being actually talked about.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 338.3 points, or 0.97%, to 35,294.19, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 56.08 points, or 1.23%, to 4,631.6 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 264.73 points, or 1.84%, to 14,619.64.After a dismal start to the year for stocks that saw the S&P 500 fall into a correction, commonly referred to as a drop of more than 10% from its most recent high, the benchmark index is now down less than 3% on the year.Still, there were signs of market nervousness that the Fed could make a policy mistake that leads to a slowdown, or possibly a recession, in the economy as the widely tracked U.S. 2-year/10-year Treasury inverted for the first time since September 2019.\"While I think the ultimate result of an aggressive Fed tightening cycle is a recession, I do not expect it to occur quickly. Historically speaking, all recessions are preceded by 2s10s inversions, but not all inversions result in recessions,\" said Ellis Phifer, managing director, fixed income research, at Raymond James in Memphis, Tennessee.After slumping more than 2% on Monday, the S&P energy index (.SPNY) was the only declining sector as crude prices fell more than 1%.As the conflict in Ukraine has escalated in recent weeks, already rising prices saw more upward pressure on commodities such as wheat, energy and metals.But even with the recent surge in inflation, data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence rebounded from a one-year low in March, while the current labor environment favors workers.Real estate (.SPLRCR), up nearly 3% on the session, was the best performing sector, which indicates some investors may see inflation remaining but no recession on the horizon. It was the biggest one-day percentage gain for the group since Jan. 28.FedEx Corp  gained 3.70% after the global delivery conglomerate named operating chief Raj Subramaniam as its top boss. read moreVolume on U.S. exchanges was 13.22 billion shares, compared with the 14 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.20-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 51 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 71 new highs and 38 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":283958572359864,"gmtCreate":1710341751221,"gmtModify":1710341754951,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yesjejejejwjwjaj hahahahahaha","listText":"yesjejejejwjwjaj hahahahahaha","text":"yesjejejejwjwjaj hahahahahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/283958572359864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062784213,"gmtCreate":1652108180832,"gmtModify":1676535031096,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>vvery angry rn","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>vvery angry rn","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$vvery angry rn","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66beeaf3ce31da232f54b0a3e3172bcb","width":"1080","height":"3139"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062784213","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062787732,"gmtCreate":1652108282926,"gmtModify":1676535031122,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>ffking bleeding","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>ffking bleeding","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ffking 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drop?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2b6dc36a1921166ab27015c3b6849e3","width":"1080","height":"3123"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062106166","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061426364,"gmtCreate":1651669637322,"gmtModify":1676534945196,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lol&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>","listText":"lol&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>","text":"lol $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/716fe45102991e8722aad171770caef7","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9061426364","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9011389524,"gmtCreate":1648818318645,"gmtModify":1676534403999,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buyyyy","listText":"buyyyy","text":"buyyyy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9011389524","repostId":"2224343469","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2224343469","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1648815715,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2224343469?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-01 20:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy Tesla Now or Wait Until After the Stock Split?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2224343469","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"This latest announcement by the electric vehicle pioneer has investors taking a fresh look.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b> is one of the most highly publicized and widely followed companies on Wall Street. Most investors have an opinion regarding the company and its enigmatic CEO Elon Musk, ranging from blisteringly harsh to wildly enthusiastic -- and everything in between. There&#39;s no arguing, however, that Tesla has changed the way the public at large views electric vehicles (EVs), becoming the industry leader in the process.</p><p>The company isn&#39;t known for being a wallflower, attracting attention to its achievements and frequently making headlines. So it shouldn&#39;t come as a surprise to investors that Tesla is breaking with convention and considering <i>another</i> stock split, less than two years after the company&#39;s first splitting of its shares.</p><p>Investors considering buying Tesla stock or adding to an existing position are faced with an interesting conundrum: Should they buy shares now, or wait until after the stock split?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F672565%2Ftesla-model-s-01.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2>Buy now, or wait for the split?</h2><p>Tesla last split its shares in 2020, recently enough to provide insight into whether investors should buy the stock now or wait until after the split. A pattern has emerged in recent years that seems particularly pronounced with well-known and highly followed stocks, as noted by my friend and Motley Fool colleague Dan Caplinger:</p><ul><li>From the time of the announcement until split-adjusted trading began, the stock price tended to surge, outpacing the overall market.</li><li>Immediately following and several days after the stock split there <i>could</i> be additional stock price gains.</li><li>Shortly after the split, the stock tended to continue the trajectory it was on before the announcement of the stock split.</li></ul><p>Tesla varied somewhat from that pattern. From the time of its stock split announcement to its completion, shares surged 81%. However, during the eight days <i>following</i> the split, Tesla shares slumped more than 30%, before rebounding and beginning a relentless climb higher.</p><p>In fact, from the date of the stock split announcement in early August through the end of 2020 -- a period of about five months -- Tesla shares gained nearly 157% overall. It wasn&#39;t all wine and roses, however. Investor enthusiasm didn&#39;t insulate the stock from the occasional downturn, as shares have fallen by 25% <i>or more</i> on five separate occasions since the stock split was announced. The lesson here is that investor psychology alone isn&#39;t enough to propel a stock higher over the long term.</p><p>What&#39;s different this time is that Tesla has telegraphed to investors its intent to initiate another stock split. At this point, we don&#39;t yet know the timing of the split or what the ratio for the split will be. That information will likely be available as soon as Tesla releases a proxy statement in advance of its annual meeting, since the move to increase the share count will require shareholder approval.</p><p>That means investors still have time to get a jump on the stock in advance of the full announcement -- but should they?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e13dc6ff15526c1e6e0770e498eaee0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>It depends</h2><p>As with so many things, the answer to this question is &#34;it depends.&#34; If you aren&#39;t interested in being a Tesla shareholder, the mere announcement of a pending stock split shouldn&#39;t be a reason for you to invest.</p><p>If you <i>are</i> interested in becoming a Tesla shareholder, the decision is largely dictated by your personal circumstances and the limitations set by your broker. Tesla shares are currently priced at roughly $1,100 per share (as of this writing). If you have sufficient capital to lay out for one or more full shares of Tesla stock, there&#39;s no reason not to add to a position or start a new one now.</p><p>For those who don&#39;t have that much cash to invest, some brokers permit the purchase of fractional shares, buying some portion of a full share depending on how much money you have to invest. If your broker doesn&#39;t have a provision for trading fractional shares, you can simply wait until after the stock split in the hopes that the split-adjusted price is more in line with your budget.</p><h2>Reasons to be bullish</h2><p>Investors need only review Tesla&#39;s recent results for evidence that the stock is a buy. The company announced record deliveries in the fourth quarter, with 308,600 vehicles, which vastly outperformed analysts&#39; consensus estimates of 267,000. The full-year numbers were equally impressive, with 936,172 deliveries, well ahead of expectations of 897,000.</p><p>Robust production and deliveries sparked sterling financial results, as fourth-quarter revenue of $17.7 billion surged 65% year over year. At the same time, operating expenses grew just 50%, dropping more profit to the bottom line and driving adjusted net income to $2.88 billion, up 219%. Expanding profit margins are a clear indication that Tesla has achieved scale.</p><p>Recent developments suggest this could be just the beginning. Last year, Tesla said it expects to achieve 50% annual growth in vehicle deliveries &#34;over a multi-year horizon,&#34; a forecast it reiterated in its most recent quarter. With both the Berlin Gigafactory and the Texas Gigafactory coming online, Tesla has the production capacity to make that outlook a reality.</p><p>Given the ongoing demand for its industry-leading EVs, its increasing manufacturing capability, and its robust financial results, it doesn&#39;t really matter whether you buy Tesla stock now or wait until after the split. Just as long as you buy it.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy Tesla Now or Wait Until After the Stock Split?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy Tesla Now or Wait Until After the Stock Split?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-01 20:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/01/should-buy-tesla-now-wait-until-after-stock-split/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is one of the most highly publicized and widely followed companies on Wall Street. Most investors have an opinion regarding the company and its enigmatic CEO Elon Musk, ranging from blisteringly...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/01/should-buy-tesla-now-wait-until-after-stock-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/01/should-buy-tesla-now-wait-until-after-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2224343469","content_text":"Tesla is one of the most highly publicized and widely followed companies on Wall Street. Most investors have an opinion regarding the company and its enigmatic CEO Elon Musk, ranging from blisteringly harsh to wildly enthusiastic -- and everything in between. There's no arguing, however, that Tesla has changed the way the public at large views electric vehicles (EVs), becoming the industry leader in the process.The company isn't known for being a wallflower, attracting attention to its achievements and frequently making headlines. So it shouldn't come as a surprise to investors that Tesla is breaking with convention and considering another stock split, less than two years after the company's first splitting of its shares.Investors considering buying Tesla stock or adding to an existing position are faced with an interesting conundrum: Should they buy shares now, or wait until after the stock split?Image source: Tesla.Buy now, or wait for the split?Tesla last split its shares in 2020, recently enough to provide insight into whether investors should buy the stock now or wait until after the split. A pattern has emerged in recent years that seems particularly pronounced with well-known and highly followed stocks, as noted by my friend and Motley Fool colleague Dan Caplinger:From the time of the announcement until split-adjusted trading began, the stock price tended to surge, outpacing the overall market.Immediately following and several days after the stock split there could be additional stock price gains.Shortly after the split, the stock tended to continue the trajectory it was on before the announcement of the stock split.Tesla varied somewhat from that pattern. From the time of its stock split announcement to its completion, shares surged 81%. However, during the eight days following the split, Tesla shares slumped more than 30%, before rebounding and beginning a relentless climb higher.In fact, from the date of the stock split announcement in early August through the end of 2020 -- a period of about five months -- Tesla shares gained nearly 157% overall. It wasn't all wine and roses, however. Investor enthusiasm didn't insulate the stock from the occasional downturn, as shares have fallen by 25% or more on five separate occasions since the stock split was announced. The lesson here is that investor psychology alone isn't enough to propel a stock higher over the long term.What's different this time is that Tesla has telegraphed to investors its intent to initiate another stock split. At this point, we don't yet know the timing of the split or what the ratio for the split will be. That information will likely be available as soon as Tesla releases a proxy statement in advance of its annual meeting, since the move to increase the share count will require shareholder approval.That means investors still have time to get a jump on the stock in advance of the full announcement -- but should they?Image source: Getty Images.It dependsAs with so many things, the answer to this question is \"it depends.\" If you aren't interested in being a Tesla shareholder, the mere announcement of a pending stock split shouldn't be a reason for you to invest.If you are interested in becoming a Tesla shareholder, the decision is largely dictated by your personal circumstances and the limitations set by your broker. Tesla shares are currently priced at roughly $1,100 per share (as of this writing). If you have sufficient capital to lay out for one or more full shares of Tesla stock, there's no reason not to add to a position or start a new one now.For those who don't have that much cash to invest, some brokers permit the purchase of fractional shares, buying some portion of a full share depending on how much money you have to invest. If your broker doesn't have a provision for trading fractional shares, you can simply wait until after the stock split in the hopes that the split-adjusted price is more in line with your budget.Reasons to be bullishInvestors need only review Tesla's recent results for evidence that the stock is a buy. The company announced record deliveries in the fourth quarter, with 308,600 vehicles, which vastly outperformed analysts' consensus estimates of 267,000. The full-year numbers were equally impressive, with 936,172 deliveries, well ahead of expectations of 897,000.Robust production and deliveries sparked sterling financial results, as fourth-quarter revenue of $17.7 billion surged 65% year over year. At the same time, operating expenses grew just 50%, dropping more profit to the bottom line and driving adjusted net income to $2.88 billion, up 219%. Expanding profit margins are a clear indication that Tesla has achieved scale.Recent developments suggest this could be just the beginning. Last year, Tesla said it expects to achieve 50% annual growth in vehicle deliveries \"over a multi-year horizon,\" a forecast it reiterated in its most recent quarter. With both the Berlin Gigafactory and the Texas Gigafactory coming online, Tesla has the production capacity to make that outlook a reality.Given the ongoing demand for its industry-leading EVs, its increasing manufacturing capability, and its robust financial results, it doesn't really matter whether you buy Tesla stock now or wait until after the split. Just as long as you buy it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949041969,"gmtCreate":1678261820852,"gmtModify":1678261824441,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JNJ\">$Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ)$ &nbsp;</a>sighh","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JNJ\">$Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ)$ &nbsp;</a>sighh","text":"$Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)$ 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11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Nvidia Stock a Buy Ahead of Earnings? Morgan Stanley Weighs In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155346032","media":"TipRanks","summary":"In just a little over three weeks, Nvidia (NVDA) is due to report its Q1 2022 earnings. Perhaps in p","content":"<div>\n<p>In just a little over three weeks, Nvidia (NVDA) is due to report its Q1 2022 earnings. Perhaps in preparation for that big event, investment bank Morgan Stanley announced it is resuming coverage of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-nvidia-stock-a-buy-ahead-of-earnings-morgan-stanley-weighs-in/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Nvidia Stock a Buy Ahead of Earnings? Morgan Stanley Weighs In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Nvidia Stock a Buy Ahead of Earnings? Morgan Stanley Weighs In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-05 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-nvidia-stock-a-buy-ahead-of-earnings-morgan-stanley-weighs-in/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In just a little over three weeks, Nvidia (NVDA) is due to report its Q1 2022 earnings. Perhaps in preparation for that big event, investment bank Morgan Stanley announced it is resuming coverage of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-nvidia-stock-a-buy-ahead-of-earnings-morgan-stanley-weighs-in/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-nvidia-stock-a-buy-ahead-of-earnings-morgan-stanley-weighs-in/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155346032","content_text":"In just a little over three weeks, Nvidia (NVDA) is due to report its Q1 2022 earnings. Perhaps in preparation for that big event, investment bank Morgan Stanley announced it is resuming coverage of the semiconductors giant — and provided a few thoughts on the company ahead of earnings.“Nvidia,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore, “remains one of the best growth names in the semis space [and] is a core holding.” For this reason, the analyst says Morgan Stanley’s approach will be “to at least maintain a market weighting in the stock, and look for spots for an overweight.” In other words, Moore appears to be saying here that under no circumstances would Morgan Stanley consider rating Nvidia a Sell.Moore notes that Nvidia has built “a strong, differentiated cloud [artificial intelligence / machine learning] business and leading position in gaming.” That being said, the gaming business does pose some concerns.Near term gaming numbers look “solid,” says Moore, and over the long term as well, the analyst says he’s bullish on Nvidia’s “prospects and market positioning.” However, he does predict a deceleration in gaming revenues “that should result in a modestly challenging 2023” — helped only partially by Nvidia’s strength in selling server chips to data centers.So much for the business. Now let’s consider the stock price. Nvidia continues to grow both sales and earnings for now, but even so, “earnings growth will likely be partially offset by multiple compression,” especially as inflation and interest rates rise and investors become less willing to pay large price tags for earnings far in the future. This could prove a problem for Nvidia stock, which sells for “a meaningful premium to everything else.”By Moore’s calculation, Nvidia stock sells for 38 times current year earnings and 32 times forecasts for earnings in 2023. (Valued on trailing earnings, the stock has an even higher P/E of 48). Even the most generous measurement of earnings, therefore, would require Nvidia to achieve and maintain 32% long-term earnings growth to maintain a PEG ratio of 1.0 — and 32% long-term growth could be problematic.In part it’s because these multiples are already so high that “the stock has traded sideways since the broader high-growth tech selloff that we saw to start the year.” But a second reason for Nvidia’s failure to outperform of late is because the gaming business is expected to decelerate this year.As the pandemic winds down, government handouts dry up, and Americans head back to the office to work, there’s going to be less time, and less money available to spend on gaming and on gaming hardware, depressing sales of the GPUs that have always been Nvidia’s forte. Additionally, recent weakness in crypto prices is hurting demand for Nvidia GPUs that have been repurposed for cryptocurrency mining, putting at risk “about $800 mm per quarter [in sales of graphics chips] across the industry.”With these concerns in mind, Moore assigns Nvidia an equal-weight (i.e. Hold) rating for now, and a $217 price target. By the analyst’s own admission, however, “equal-weight” is about as low a rating as Morgan Stanley is prepared to ever assign Nvidia. (To watch Moore’s track record, click here)The rest of the Street is more optimistic than Morgan Stanley. 21 Buys and 6 Holds have been issued in the last three months, making NVDA a Strong Buy. At $331.14, the average price target brings the upside potential to ~68%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":290645150834896,"gmtCreate":1711984206358,"gmtModify":1711984214011,"author":{"id":"4101630129410260","authorId":"4101630129410260","name":"fullofissues","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101630129410260","authorIdStr":"4101630129410260"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOLV\">$Solventum(SOLV)$ </a> how to trade?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOLV\">$Solventum(SOLV)$ </a> how to trade?","text":"$Solventum(SOLV)$ how to trade?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/290645150834896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}