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2022-06-19

Noted

Reminder: U.S. Market Will Be Closed on June 20 for Juneteenth

2022-06-05

[Like]

Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?

2022-05-21

Where is the bottom?

Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off

2022-05-21

Where is the bottom?

Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off

2022-05-20

[OK]

Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside

2022-05-20

[OK]

Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside

2022-05-19

👍 ok

Tesla: Timing Is Everything

2022-05-19

[OK] ok

Tesla: Timing Is Everything

2022-05-15

No

Should You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?

2022-05-15

No

Should You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?

2022-05-12

Ok

Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip

2022-05-12

Ok

Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip

2022-05-10

Ok

Ford and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.

2022-05-10

Ok

Ford and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.

2022-05-08

Oh no

Ford and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares

2022-05-08

Oh no

Ford and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares

2022-05-03

Noted

Down 70% From Its High, Is PayPal Stock a Buy Now?

2022-05-02

[OK]

3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022

2022-04-28

Noted

Palantir Technologies Stock: Bear vs. Bull

2022-04-24

Noted

Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why

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The U.S. market will be closed on Monday,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Juneteenth National Independence Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 20 June 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4989a261ddb67ec705ca36de413a2f98\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>What is Juneteenth and why is it a holiday?</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf04d06d6904956a7564f3d1ccafe6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>People gather at a Juneteenth rally in 2020 in Brooklyn, N.Y.</span></p><p>Juneteenth, a portmanteau of June 19, is a holiday that honors the last enslaved Black people in Texas learning they were free.</p><p>On June 19, 1865, federal troops marched on Galveston, Texas, to take control of the state. Even though the Civil War had been over for two months, slavery remained in Texas.</p><p>Union General Gordon Granger arrived in Texas and famously read General Orders No. 3, which stated, “The people of Texas are informed that, in accordance with a proclamation from the Executive of the United States, all slaves are free.”</p><p>That day came two and a half years after President Abraham Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation on Jan. 1, 1863. Not all states immediately ended slavery when Lincoln signed the order during the Civil War.</p><p>While other dates — such as the Confederate Army’s surrender in the Civil War, the ratification of the 13th Amendment abolishing slavery, or the day Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation — could similarly be viewed as the “end” of slavery in the U.S., Juneteenth is the day most people associate with its conclusion.</p><p>Congress moved to establish Juneteenth as a federal holiday in June 2021, and the holiday went into effect immediately. The bill, signed into law by President Biden, designated the date as Juneteenth National Independence Day.</p><p>June 19 this year falls on a Sunday, so most federal employees will get Monday, June 20 off. Some private companies last year also made Juneteenth a paid holiday for employees.</p><p>Congress had not added a federal holiday since Martin Luther King Day in 1983.</p><p>Juneteenth celebrations may include religious services, educational events, family gatherings and festivals. Some areas of the country, including Kansas and Texas, have had parades on Juneteenth.</p><p>Despite the U.S. recognizing Juneteenth as a federal holiday last year, many Americans still didn’t know the meaning of the observance. In a 2021 Gallup survey, 28% of U.S. adults said they knew “nothing at all” about Juneteenth.</p><p>Awareness of the date’s significance also broke along party lines. The survey found that 16% of Democrats knew “nothing at all” about Juneteenth, compared with 45% of Republicans.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: U.S. Market Will Be Closed on June 20 for Juneteenth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: U.S. Market Will Be Closed on June 20 for Juneteenth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 11:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Juneteenth National Independence Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 20 June 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4989a261ddb67ec705ca36de413a2f98\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>What is Juneteenth and why is it a holiday?</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf04d06d6904956a7564f3d1ccafe6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>People gather at a Juneteenth rally in 2020 in Brooklyn, N.Y.</span></p><p>Juneteenth, a portmanteau of June 19, is a holiday that honors the last enslaved Black people in Texas learning they were free.</p><p>On June 19, 1865, federal troops marched on Galveston, Texas, to take control of the state. Even though the Civil War had been over for two months, slavery remained in Texas.</p><p>Union General Gordon Granger arrived in Texas and famously read General Orders No. 3, which stated, “The people of Texas are informed that, in accordance with a proclamation from the Executive of the United States, all slaves are free.”</p><p>That day came two and a half years after President Abraham Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation on Jan. 1, 1863. Not all states immediately ended slavery when Lincoln signed the order during the Civil War.</p><p>While other dates — such as the Confederate Army’s surrender in the Civil War, the ratification of the 13th Amendment abolishing slavery, or the day Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation — could similarly be viewed as the “end” of slavery in the U.S., Juneteenth is the day most people associate with its conclusion.</p><p>Congress moved to establish Juneteenth as a federal holiday in June 2021, and the holiday went into effect immediately. The bill, signed into law by President Biden, designated the date as Juneteenth National Independence Day.</p><p>June 19 this year falls on a Sunday, so most federal employees will get Monday, June 20 off. Some private companies last year also made Juneteenth a paid holiday for employees.</p><p>Congress had not added a federal holiday since Martin Luther King Day in 1983.</p><p>Juneteenth celebrations may include religious services, educational events, family gatherings and festivals. Some areas of the country, including Kansas and Texas, have had parades on Juneteenth.</p><p>Despite the U.S. recognizing Juneteenth as a federal holiday last year, many Americans still didn’t know the meaning of the observance. In a 2021 Gallup survey, 28% of U.S. adults said they knew “nothing at all” about Juneteenth.</p><p>Awareness of the date’s significance also broke along party lines. The survey found that 16% of Democrats knew “nothing at all” about Juneteenth, compared with 45% of Republicans.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145347873","content_text":"Juneteenth National Independence Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 20 June 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.What is Juneteenth and why is it a holiday?People gather at a Juneteenth rally in 2020 in Brooklyn, N.Y.Juneteenth, a portmanteau of June 19, is a holiday that honors the last enslaved Black people in Texas learning they were free.On June 19, 1865, federal troops marched on Galveston, Texas, to take control of the state. Even though the Civil War had been over for two months, slavery remained in Texas.Union General Gordon Granger arrived in Texas and famously read General Orders No. 3, which stated, “The people of Texas are informed that, in accordance with a proclamation from the Executive of the United States, all slaves are free.”That day came two and a half years after President Abraham Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation on Jan. 1, 1863. Not all states immediately ended slavery when Lincoln signed the order during the Civil War.While other dates — such as the Confederate Army’s surrender in the Civil War, the ratification of the 13th Amendment abolishing slavery, or the day Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation — could similarly be viewed as the “end” of slavery in the U.S., Juneteenth is the day most people associate with its conclusion.Congress moved to establish Juneteenth as a federal holiday in June 2021, and the holiday went into effect immediately. The bill, signed into law by President Biden, designated the date as Juneteenth National Independence Day.June 19 this year falls on a Sunday, so most federal employees will get Monday, June 20 off. Some private companies last year also made Juneteenth a paid holiday for employees.Congress had not added a federal holiday since Martin Luther King Day in 1983.Juneteenth celebrations may include religious services, educational events, family gatherings and festivals. Some areas of the country, including Kansas and Texas, have had parades on Juneteenth.Despite the U.S. recognizing Juneteenth as a federal holiday last year, many Americans still didn’t know the meaning of the observance. In a 2021 Gallup survey, 28% of U.S. adults said they knew “nothing at all” about Juneteenth.Awareness of the date’s significance also broke along party lines. The survey found that 16% of Democrats knew “nothing at all” about Juneteenth, compared with 45% of Republicans.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9059730648,"gmtCreate":1654427093384,"gmtModify":1676535446250,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9059730648","repostId":"2240259878","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2240259878","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654404523,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2240259878?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-05 12:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2240259878","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWe discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.We discuss the valuation picture ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.</li><li>We discuss the valuation picture and risks.</li><li>We conclude with some thoughts on the price action.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a61b40581aeb66fd5c5fc1e9dd4f8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"675\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jian Fan/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Company Snapshot</b></p><p>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is a semiconductor firm noted for its high-performance computing products and technology. AMD’s expertise primarily lies in the fields of CPUs, APUs, discrete and integrated GPUs, data center graphics, chipsets, server and embedded processors, game console-related technology, and semi-custom SOCproducts. The company currently reports under two broad divisions- a) Computer and Graphics and b) Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-custom.</p><p><b>Is AMD A Good Stock To Buy For the Long-Term?</b></p><p>I believe AMD has all the hallmarks to serve as a fine portfolio stock as it possesses a diversified set of merits that are hard to come by.</p><p>Firstly let’s consider the growth profile of AMD; over the last three years, whilst other semiconductor peers have only been able to deliver 12% CAGR revenue growth, AMD has been able to grow at almost 4x this pace, reporting 45% CAGR growth over the same period. Traditionally, the semi-space is known for its strong earnings potential, and this is reflected in the 3-year net income CAGR average of 57% for the entire industry; if you thought that was impressive, then how about AMD&#39;s corresponding 3-year of 132%? Under ordinary circumstances, when you have such a high base, you would expect things to slow dramatically, but looking at estimates for FY22, one can expect another year of strong growth both on the top line and bottom line (expected revenue growth of 60% and expected EPS growth of 57%).</p><p>I also want to touch on AMD&#39;s growing FCF prowess; around four years back, AMD was unable to generate any positive annual FCF, but this has improved significantly over the years (from -$142m in FY18 to $3139m in FY21); in fact in the recently concluded Q1, the company generated a record quarterly number of $924m, which was up both sequentially (25%), and annually (11%). Basically, at the current share price, you&#39;re getting a very handy FCF yield of ~2.6%, something that was not even a part of the AMD narrative until 2020.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dff4bf810d23e146f36753e4d3d4ba3c\" tg-width=\"1257\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p>The improving FCF position also means that the company can afford to be a lot more generous with its distributions; as of now, dividends are not on the cards, but do consider that last year they spent an impressive $1.8bn in cash on repurchase activities (in the three years preceding 2021, they spent less than $100min aggregate). Interestingly, in Q1-22 alone, they’ve already spent $1.9bn, which is more than last year’s entire figure; investors can continue to be enthused about further buyback support, as the company still has $8.3bn of funds available to be deployed as part of their existing repurchase program!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b600cf0222dbe393ed01e87148dcf487\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"669\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMD Corporate Presentation</span></p><p>Given its wide reach across the broad high-performance computing universe, there&#39;s a lot to like about AMD&#39;s product and tech offerings, but I believe the most exciting developments are currently taking place in the data-center business. Amongst all its addressable markets (which total $135bn in aggregate), AMD believes, this business offers the biggest opportunity accounting for ~37% of the total TAM.</p><p>This data-center business has witnessed a doubling of revenues across various quarters for well over a year now, and much of this is down to the popularity of its EPYC processors and the growing prevalence of HPC (hyper-scale cloud) customers who are expanding their internal infrastructure deployments. I also believe the addressable market is becoming a lot broader now with a larger chunk of enterprise customers showing a greater appetite for the company&#39;s processors than before (AMD’s win rate with enterprise customers improved even further in Q1).</p><p>Whilst it is questionable if AMD can continue to double this business, its intention to deepen its presence in the EPYC space with its new portfolio of products should continue to find plenty of takers and aid the topline; In Q1-22 it launched the Milan-X chipsets (3-D stacked) which are poised to increase technical computer workloads by 66% versus the old generation of products. In H2-22, you will see the introduction of the 96-core Genoa EPYC 7004s which is poised to become the highest performance general-purpose server CPU. Then in H1-23, you will also see another product- the 128-core Bergamo which is meant for high-end hyperscalers.</p><p>Besides the core data-center business, one also ought to commend AMD for its recent acquisitions, particularly that of Xilinx (wrapped up in Feb for an acquisition fee of $49bn) which brings a whole host of benefits. Firstly, one ought to consider the quality of IP that AMD is getting through this acquisition; Xilinx is perceived to be an industry authority when it comes to inculcating FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) programmable logic and is exposed to certain industries where AMD has gaps. AMD will now also have access to Xilinx IP blocks which could not only enhance their overall offering but also bring down costs (potentially reduced dependence on costly IP blocks that were previously licensed from other third parties). Xilinx is also a very high growth business, having witnessed four consecutive quarters of over 20% growth; incidentally, on a proforma basis in Q1-22, the company delivered $1.04bn of sales, so you’re looking at a base case topline uplift of at least $4bn annually for AMD. This is also a high margin business that should help enhance AMD&#39;s own margins; just for some context in Q1-22; the gross margin variance for AMD with and without the Xilinx business was 200bps. Finally, whilst AMD will have to absorb Xilinx’s outstanding debt obligations of $1.8bn, also consider that it will receive $4bn worth of cash and liquid investments, which have consequently boosted AMD’s own cash and investment position to an impressive $6.5bn as of Q1-22 (from $3.6bn in Q4-21).</p><p><b>What Are Some Of The Risks Associated With AMD?</b></p><p>AMD’s computer and graphics segment has been witnessing declining trends for a while now. Last year, shipments were down by 8% and this has continued into Q1-22 where shipments were down by 7%. Within this, AMD has had to scale down its previous expectations of the PC market which is currently witnessing some softness; prior to the Q1 results they had stated that they expect a flattish performance for PCs in 2022, but now, this has been scaled down even further to a high-single-digit percentage range. In the desktop PC space, AMD has actually seen its market share decline by 1% to 18.3%,even as Intel’s Alder Lake gains traction.</p><p>In the high-end discrete GPU space, AMD already faces tough competition from NVIDIA, but this is only going to get worse; after an absence of over two decades, we’ve even seen Intel enter the market this year, with its gaming-focused ARC franchise, which will give AMD&#39;s portfolio a run for its money.</p><p>Besides all that, AMD also remains vulnerable to the volatility seen in the cryptocurrency mining space as its GPU products are very popular in this space.</p><p>Then, in a high inflationary environment, AMD’s margin progression of late has been rather compelling, but you do wonder if they can keep this up for too long, particularly as recent reports suggest that one of the company’s prominent foundry partners- TSMC is looking to hike prices by 5-8% next year.</p><p><b>Is AMD A Fair Valuation?</b></p><p>I believe AMD is currently rather attractively valued and you won’t find too many opportunities to own such an exemplary growth stock where it is trading at a discount to both its long-term average, as well as its peer set average. Here are some key metrics to consider.</p><p>Consensus estimates currently point to an FY22 EPS figure of$4.393, this would imply a forward P/E of a little over 23x, which represents a 33% discount to the stock’s long-term average of 34.3x. It’s also worth noting that AMD&#39;s stock also trades at an 8% discount to the average forward P/E multiple (25.11x) of Seeking Alpha’s entire semiconductor coverage, which currently comprises around 64 stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84a701a349b6d5415465ca629d8d2b75\" tg-width=\"1263\" tg-height=\"406\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p>In an era where investors are viewing growth stocks with more exacting standards, there may be some hesitancy to shed out multiples of over 20x, but even if that’s the case, I’d urge you to then consider the growth potential on offer. AMD’s FY22 EPS estimate of $4.393 represents an earnings growth potential of 58%; in light of that figure, you’re then looking at an incredibly low forward price to earnings growth ratio (PEG) of less than 0.4x! Just for some context, over the last five years, AMD’s forward PEG multiple has averaged more than1x, whilst the company’s peers from the semiconductor space are currently trading at an average forward PEG of 1.49x!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd3c6bb77a2e1c92a5d7158765ec8e5b\" tg-width=\"1267\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p><b>Closing Thoughts - Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>From the last week of November 2021 when it was trading at all-time highs, to the second week of May 2022, the AMD stock had lost almost half its value; after this brutal drawdown, one can now spot certain encouraging developments in the technical imprints of the stock.</p><p>If one looks at the price action on the weekly chart, we can see that after a prolonged bout of selling - where it could not break past the descending trendline - the stock has now reached a congestion zone (area highlighted in green), where it spent a lot of time building a base during August 2020- July 2021. You would think this terrain could once again serve as a platform for base building which represents a good zone to accumulate the stock. In the last week of May, we also saw a full-bodied green candle (with no wicks), which broke past the trendline, although I wouldn’t necessarily get overly carried away by this trigger.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885ba9c5d5d93b2ebdcdaa08a0562794\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"604\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Trading View</span></p><p>Then if I switch over to the smaller time frame- daily chart, one can see rather clear imprints of a typical rounding bottom pattern, which implies that a floor has probably been made.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fb81aeafbfe1c624424915f4237448d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investing</span></p><p>Finally, also consider that AMD still appears to offer good value against its peers in the semiconductor space, as represented by the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX). The relative strength ratio is still below its long-term average of 0.375, and it is also quite a bit away from the upper boundary of the ascending wedge.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff03bb594b30ea44394a2cdac1e3d9b\" tg-width=\"1144\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Stockcharts</span></p><p>To conclude, I rate AMD stock as a BUY.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-05 12:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4516011-amd-stock-buy-sell-hold><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.We discuss the valuation picture and risks.We conclude with some thoughts on the price action.Jian Fan/iStock via Getty ImagesCompany...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4516011-amd-stock-buy-sell-hold\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4516011-amd-stock-buy-sell-hold","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2240259878","content_text":"SummaryWe discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.We discuss the valuation picture and risks.We conclude with some thoughts on the price action.Jian Fan/iStock via Getty ImagesCompany SnapshotAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is a semiconductor firm noted for its high-performance computing products and technology. AMD’s expertise primarily lies in the fields of CPUs, APUs, discrete and integrated GPUs, data center graphics, chipsets, server and embedded processors, game console-related technology, and semi-custom SOCproducts. The company currently reports under two broad divisions- a) Computer and Graphics and b) Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-custom.Is AMD A Good Stock To Buy For the Long-Term?I believe AMD has all the hallmarks to serve as a fine portfolio stock as it possesses a diversified set of merits that are hard to come by.Firstly let’s consider the growth profile of AMD; over the last three years, whilst other semiconductor peers have only been able to deliver 12% CAGR revenue growth, AMD has been able to grow at almost 4x this pace, reporting 45% CAGR growth over the same period. Traditionally, the semi-space is known for its strong earnings potential, and this is reflected in the 3-year net income CAGR average of 57% for the entire industry; if you thought that was impressive, then how about AMD's corresponding 3-year of 132%? Under ordinary circumstances, when you have such a high base, you would expect things to slow dramatically, but looking at estimates for FY22, one can expect another year of strong growth both on the top line and bottom line (expected revenue growth of 60% and expected EPS growth of 57%).I also want to touch on AMD's growing FCF prowess; around four years back, AMD was unable to generate any positive annual FCF, but this has improved significantly over the years (from -$142m in FY18 to $3139m in FY21); in fact in the recently concluded Q1, the company generated a record quarterly number of $924m, which was up both sequentially (25%), and annually (11%). Basically, at the current share price, you're getting a very handy FCF yield of ~2.6%, something that was not even a part of the AMD narrative until 2020.YChartsThe improving FCF position also means that the company can afford to be a lot more generous with its distributions; as of now, dividends are not on the cards, but do consider that last year they spent an impressive $1.8bn in cash on repurchase activities (in the three years preceding 2021, they spent less than $100min aggregate). Interestingly, in Q1-22 alone, they’ve already spent $1.9bn, which is more than last year’s entire figure; investors can continue to be enthused about further buyback support, as the company still has $8.3bn of funds available to be deployed as part of their existing repurchase program!AMD Corporate PresentationGiven its wide reach across the broad high-performance computing universe, there's a lot to like about AMD's product and tech offerings, but I believe the most exciting developments are currently taking place in the data-center business. Amongst all its addressable markets (which total $135bn in aggregate), AMD believes, this business offers the biggest opportunity accounting for ~37% of the total TAM.This data-center business has witnessed a doubling of revenues across various quarters for well over a year now, and much of this is down to the popularity of its EPYC processors and the growing prevalence of HPC (hyper-scale cloud) customers who are expanding their internal infrastructure deployments. I also believe the addressable market is becoming a lot broader now with a larger chunk of enterprise customers showing a greater appetite for the company's processors than before (AMD’s win rate with enterprise customers improved even further in Q1).Whilst it is questionable if AMD can continue to double this business, its intention to deepen its presence in the EPYC space with its new portfolio of products should continue to find plenty of takers and aid the topline; In Q1-22 it launched the Milan-X chipsets (3-D stacked) which are poised to increase technical computer workloads by 66% versus the old generation of products. In H2-22, you will see the introduction of the 96-core Genoa EPYC 7004s which is poised to become the highest performance general-purpose server CPU. Then in H1-23, you will also see another product- the 128-core Bergamo which is meant for high-end hyperscalers.Besides the core data-center business, one also ought to commend AMD for its recent acquisitions, particularly that of Xilinx (wrapped up in Feb for an acquisition fee of $49bn) which brings a whole host of benefits. Firstly, one ought to consider the quality of IP that AMD is getting through this acquisition; Xilinx is perceived to be an industry authority when it comes to inculcating FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) programmable logic and is exposed to certain industries where AMD has gaps. AMD will now also have access to Xilinx IP blocks which could not only enhance their overall offering but also bring down costs (potentially reduced dependence on costly IP blocks that were previously licensed from other third parties). Xilinx is also a very high growth business, having witnessed four consecutive quarters of over 20% growth; incidentally, on a proforma basis in Q1-22, the company delivered $1.04bn of sales, so you’re looking at a base case topline uplift of at least $4bn annually for AMD. This is also a high margin business that should help enhance AMD's own margins; just for some context in Q1-22; the gross margin variance for AMD with and without the Xilinx business was 200bps. Finally, whilst AMD will have to absorb Xilinx’s outstanding debt obligations of $1.8bn, also consider that it will receive $4bn worth of cash and liquid investments, which have consequently boosted AMD’s own cash and investment position to an impressive $6.5bn as of Q1-22 (from $3.6bn in Q4-21).What Are Some Of The Risks Associated With AMD?AMD’s computer and graphics segment has been witnessing declining trends for a while now. Last year, shipments were down by 8% and this has continued into Q1-22 where shipments were down by 7%. Within this, AMD has had to scale down its previous expectations of the PC market which is currently witnessing some softness; prior to the Q1 results they had stated that they expect a flattish performance for PCs in 2022, but now, this has been scaled down even further to a high-single-digit percentage range. In the desktop PC space, AMD has actually seen its market share decline by 1% to 18.3%,even as Intel’s Alder Lake gains traction.In the high-end discrete GPU space, AMD already faces tough competition from NVIDIA, but this is only going to get worse; after an absence of over two decades, we’ve even seen Intel enter the market this year, with its gaming-focused ARC franchise, which will give AMD's portfolio a run for its money.Besides all that, AMD also remains vulnerable to the volatility seen in the cryptocurrency mining space as its GPU products are very popular in this space.Then, in a high inflationary environment, AMD’s margin progression of late has been rather compelling, but you do wonder if they can keep this up for too long, particularly as recent reports suggest that one of the company’s prominent foundry partners- TSMC is looking to hike prices by 5-8% next year.Is AMD A Fair Valuation?I believe AMD is currently rather attractively valued and you won’t find too many opportunities to own such an exemplary growth stock where it is trading at a discount to both its long-term average, as well as its peer set average. Here are some key metrics to consider.Consensus estimates currently point to an FY22 EPS figure of$4.393, this would imply a forward P/E of a little over 23x, which represents a 33% discount to the stock’s long-term average of 34.3x. It’s also worth noting that AMD's stock also trades at an 8% discount to the average forward P/E multiple (25.11x) of Seeking Alpha’s entire semiconductor coverage, which currently comprises around 64 stocks.YChartsIn an era where investors are viewing growth stocks with more exacting standards, there may be some hesitancy to shed out multiples of over 20x, but even if that’s the case, I’d urge you to then consider the growth potential on offer. AMD’s FY22 EPS estimate of $4.393 represents an earnings growth potential of 58%; in light of that figure, you’re then looking at an incredibly low forward price to earnings growth ratio (PEG) of less than 0.4x! Just for some context, over the last five years, AMD’s forward PEG multiple has averaged more than1x, whilst the company’s peers from the semiconductor space are currently trading at an average forward PEG of 1.49x!YChartsClosing Thoughts - Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?From the last week of November 2021 when it was trading at all-time highs, to the second week of May 2022, the AMD stock had lost almost half its value; after this brutal drawdown, one can now spot certain encouraging developments in the technical imprints of the stock.If one looks at the price action on the weekly chart, we can see that after a prolonged bout of selling - where it could not break past the descending trendline - the stock has now reached a congestion zone (area highlighted in green), where it spent a lot of time building a base during August 2020- July 2021. You would think this terrain could once again serve as a platform for base building which represents a good zone to accumulate the stock. In the last week of May, we also saw a full-bodied green candle (with no wicks), which broke past the trendline, although I wouldn’t necessarily get overly carried away by this trigger.Trading ViewThen if I switch over to the smaller time frame- daily chart, one can see rather clear imprints of a typical rounding bottom pattern, which implies that a floor has probably been made.InvestingFinally, also consider that AMD still appears to offer good value against its peers in the semiconductor space, as represented by the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX). The relative strength ratio is still below its long-term average of 0.375, and it is also quite a bit away from the upper boundary of the ascending wedge.StockchartsTo conclude, I rate AMD stock as a BUY.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021752637,"gmtCreate":1653105988529,"gmtModify":1676535225932,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is the bottom?","listText":"Where is the bottom?","text":"Where is the bottom?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021752637","repostId":"2236015712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236015712","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653088476,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236015712?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-21 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236015712","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here's why Apple is a golden investment amid the ongoing tech sell-off.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed&#39;s decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> and <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.</p><p>Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies <b>Netflix </b>and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b> posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn&#39;t mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58efc5f5899a865afd71defde8137f91\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies,<b> Apple</b>, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today&#39;s market environment. And since it&#39;s down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.</p><h2>A resilient business</h2><p>In the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street&#39;s revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company&#39;s services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.</p><p>For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple&#39;s top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company&#39;s services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.</p><p>Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company&#39;s elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company&#39;s robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.</p><h2>A normalized valuation</h2><p>The recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff26f227883e6475edef412754fe00f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL PE Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><p>The tech company&#39;s current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.</p><h2>Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market today</h2><p>Apple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you&#39;re searching for a durable stock to combat the market&#39;s volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-21 07:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236015712","content_text":"The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies Netflix and Meta Platforms posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn't mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.Image source: Getty Images.In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies, Apple, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today's market environment. And since it's down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.A resilient businessIn the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street's revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company's services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple's top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company's services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company's elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company's robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.A normalized valuationThe recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.AAPL PE Ratio data by YChartsThe tech company's current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market todayApple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you're searching for a durable stock to combat the market's volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021756497,"gmtCreate":1653105921919,"gmtModify":1676535225774,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is the bottom?","listText":"Where is the bottom?","text":"Where is the bottom?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021756497","repostId":"2236015712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236015712","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653088476,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236015712?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-21 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236015712","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here's why Apple is a golden investment amid the ongoing tech sell-off.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed&#39;s decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> and <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.</p><p>Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies <b>Netflix </b>and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b> posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn&#39;t mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58efc5f5899a865afd71defde8137f91\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies,<b> Apple</b>, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today&#39;s market environment. And since it&#39;s down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.</p><h2>A resilient business</h2><p>In the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street&#39;s revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company&#39;s services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.</p><p>For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple&#39;s top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company&#39;s services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.</p><p>Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company&#39;s elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company&#39;s robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.</p><h2>A normalized valuation</h2><p>The recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff26f227883e6475edef412754fe00f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL PE Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><p>The tech company&#39;s current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.</p><h2>Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market today</h2><p>Apple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you&#39;re searching for a durable stock to combat the market&#39;s volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-21 07:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236015712","content_text":"The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies Netflix and Meta Platforms posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn't mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.Image source: Getty Images.In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies, Apple, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today's market environment. And since it's down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.A resilient businessIn the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street's revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company's services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple's top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company's services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company's elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company's robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.A normalized valuationThe recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.AAPL PE Ratio data by YChartsThe tech company's current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market todayApple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you're searching for a durable stock to combat the market's volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021144620,"gmtCreate":1653018001260,"gmtModify":1676535209518,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021144620","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir&#39;s current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir&#39;s stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir&#39;s share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: &#34;What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.&#34;</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir&#39;s future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon&#39;s (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir&#39;s current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir&#39;s stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management&#39;s 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir&#39;s growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir&#39;s segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir&#39;s sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir&#39;s growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management&#39;s discussion of Palantir&#39;s near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>&#34;We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir&#39;s share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir&#39;s revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir&#39;s growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir&#39;s total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir&#39;s total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir&#39;s rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir&#39;s capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: &#34;The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.&#34;</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir&#39;s products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world&#39;s governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: &#34;Literally every function of every business is breaking.&#34;</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company&#39;s deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir&#39;s collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company&#39;s various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir&#39;s profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company&#39;s adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir&#39;s GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir&#39;s cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir&#39;s Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir&#39;s investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir&#39;s declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir&#39;s business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&amp;D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir&#39;s 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir&#39;s stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir&#39;s potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird&#39;s eye view of Palantir&#39;s upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir&#39;s IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir&#39;s 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir&#39;s growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir&#39;s risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: &#34;We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021144102,"gmtCreate":1653017976306,"gmtModify":1676535209517,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021144102","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir&#39;s current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir&#39;s stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir&#39;s share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: &#34;What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.&#34;</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir&#39;s future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon&#39;s (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir&#39;s current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir&#39;s stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management&#39;s 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir&#39;s growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir&#39;s segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir&#39;s sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir&#39;s growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management&#39;s discussion of Palantir&#39;s near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>&#34;We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir&#39;s share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir&#39;s revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir&#39;s growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir&#39;s total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir&#39;s total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir&#39;s rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir&#39;s capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: &#34;The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.&#34;</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir&#39;s products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world&#39;s governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: &#34;Literally every function of every business is breaking.&#34;</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company&#39;s deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir&#39;s collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company&#39;s various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir&#39;s profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company&#39;s adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir&#39;s GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir&#39;s cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir&#39;s Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir&#39;s investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir&#39;s declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir&#39;s business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&amp;D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir&#39;s 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir&#39;s stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir&#39;s potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird&#39;s eye view of Palantir&#39;s upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir&#39;s IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir&#39;s 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir&#39;s growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir&#39;s risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: &#34;We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9023522903,"gmtCreate":1652933750202,"gmtModify":1676535192272,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 ok","listText":"👍 ok","text":"👍 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9023522903","repostId":"2236797581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236797581","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652932286,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236797581?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-19 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Timing Is Everything","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236797581","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>You hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.</li><li>“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.</li><li>You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.</li><li>Even so, I do agree, &#34;time in&#34; the market, not &#34;timing&#34; the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.</li><li>In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a1229b9c7f7f78df1d901d2fde69ea\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Why now is an ideal time to buy Tesla</b></p><p>Yes, yes I know you can&#39;t time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.</p><p><b>First things first</b></p><p>I would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.</p><p>The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla is not a “car” stock</b></p><p>I submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration &#34;story&#34; stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They&#39;re commonly referred to as &#34;long-duration assets.&#34;</p><p>Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it&#39;s more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie &#34;The Outsiders&#34; than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here&#39;s why.</p><p><b>Tesla revenue 5 year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab99bfe7748553a39961171fad2fc738\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year revenue growth (YCharts)</span></p><p><b>Tesla gross profit 5-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ac0c43a94e2f8a570de132e416f31d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)</span></p><p>Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.</p><p><b>Lots of new competition, yes but…</b></p><p>There&#39;s a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There&#39;s no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.</p><p><b>Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructure</b></p><p>My friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.</p><p><b>Tesla Super charging station map</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8250ffd495c652144b8dce9d70a2fc2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)</span></p><p>With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.</p><p>The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year return on investment</b></p><p>I made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c6f4a069c5d0a8d1c46387167c52d8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&amp;P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I&#39;m 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I&#39;m transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.</p><p>Even so, I&#39;m not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla technical analysis</b></p><p>Tesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.</p><p><b>Tesla current chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792ea9bbefed3d777ecfcc34810ab1eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"199\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Current Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.</p><p><b>The Wrap Up</b></p><p>I believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That&#39;s a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there&#39;s plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.</p><p>The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.</p><p><b>Final Note</b></p><p>The stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There&#39;s a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.</p><p>My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Timing Is Everything</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Timing Is Everything\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-19 11:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236797581","content_text":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.Even so, I do agree, \"time in\" the market, not \"timing\" the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesWhy now is an ideal time to buy TeslaYes, yes I know you can't time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.First things firstI would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.Tesla is not a “car” stockI submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration \"story\" stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They're commonly referred to as \"long-duration assets.\"Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it's more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie \"The Outsiders\" than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here's why.Tesla revenue 5 year chart5-year revenue growth (YCharts)Tesla gross profit 5-year chart5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.Lots of new competition, yes but…There's a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There's no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary one is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructureMy friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.Tesla Super charging station mapTesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.Tesla 10-year return on investmentI made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.Tesla 10-year chartTesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I'm 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I'm transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.Even so, I'm not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.Tesla technical analysisTesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.Tesla current chartTesla Current Chart (Finviz)I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s Twitter (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.The Wrap UpI believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That's a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there's plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.Final NoteThe stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There's a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9023522059,"gmtCreate":1652933721171,"gmtModify":1676535192272,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;ok","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;ok","text":"[OK] ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9023522059","repostId":"2236797581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236797581","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652932286,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236797581?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-19 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Timing Is Everything","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236797581","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>You hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.</li><li>“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.</li><li>You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.</li><li>Even so, I do agree, &#34;time in&#34; the market, not &#34;timing&#34; the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.</li><li>In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a1229b9c7f7f78df1d901d2fde69ea\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Why now is an ideal time to buy Tesla</b></p><p>Yes, yes I know you can&#39;t time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.</p><p><b>First things first</b></p><p>I would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.</p><p>The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla is not a “car” stock</b></p><p>I submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration &#34;story&#34; stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They&#39;re commonly referred to as &#34;long-duration assets.&#34;</p><p>Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it&#39;s more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie &#34;The Outsiders&#34; than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here&#39;s why.</p><p><b>Tesla revenue 5 year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab99bfe7748553a39961171fad2fc738\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year revenue growth (YCharts)</span></p><p><b>Tesla gross profit 5-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ac0c43a94e2f8a570de132e416f31d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)</span></p><p>Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.</p><p><b>Lots of new competition, yes but…</b></p><p>There&#39;s a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There&#39;s no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.</p><p><b>Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructure</b></p><p>My friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.</p><p><b>Tesla Super charging station map</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8250ffd495c652144b8dce9d70a2fc2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)</span></p><p>With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.</p><p>The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year return on investment</b></p><p>I made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c6f4a069c5d0a8d1c46387167c52d8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&amp;P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I&#39;m 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I&#39;m transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.</p><p>Even so, I&#39;m not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla technical analysis</b></p><p>Tesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.</p><p><b>Tesla current chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792ea9bbefed3d777ecfcc34810ab1eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"199\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Current Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.</p><p><b>The Wrap Up</b></p><p>I believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That&#39;s a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there&#39;s plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.</p><p>The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.</p><p><b>Final Note</b></p><p>The stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There&#39;s a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.</p><p>My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Timing Is Everything</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Timing Is Everything\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-19 11:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236797581","content_text":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.Even so, I do agree, \"time in\" the market, not \"timing\" the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesWhy now is an ideal time to buy TeslaYes, yes I know you can't time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.First things firstI would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.Tesla is not a “car” stockI submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration \"story\" stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They're commonly referred to as \"long-duration assets.\"Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it's more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie \"The Outsiders\" than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here's why.Tesla revenue 5 year chart5-year revenue growth (YCharts)Tesla gross profit 5-year chart5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.Lots of new competition, yes but…There's a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There's no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary one is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructureMy friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.Tesla Super charging station mapTesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.Tesla 10-year return on investmentI made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.Tesla 10-year chartTesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I'm 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I'm transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.Even so, I'm not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.Tesla technical analysisTesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.Tesla current chartTesla Current Chart (Finviz)I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s Twitter (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.The Wrap UpI believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That's a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there's plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.Final NoteThe stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There's a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020174501,"gmtCreate":1652594777103,"gmtModify":1676535126930,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No","listText":"No","text":"No","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020174501","repostId":"2235748594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235748594","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652578501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235748594?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-15 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235748594","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The sellers seem to have overshot their targets with certain stocks, pricing in a scenario that's unlikely to happen.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If you&#39;re a bargain-shopping kind of investor, there are certainly plenty of stocks on sale here. The<b> S&amp;P 500</b> (^GSPC 2.39%) is down nearly 19% year to date, while many of its constituents are dramatically deeper in the red.</p><p>Beaten-down prices alone aren&#39;t enough of a reason to start scooping up stocks though, no matter how big their pullbacks might be. A company still has to be a name worth owning for the long haul, regardless of its price.</p><p>And, that&#39;s a tough thing to figure out for the S&amp;P 500&#39;s four worst performers for 2022 so far.</p><h2>What went wrong</h2><p>If you&#39;re wondering, the biggest losers among the S&amp;P 500&#39;s tickers so far this year are <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> (PYPL 6.11%), <b>Align Technology</b> (ALGN 6.16%), <b>Etsy</b> (ETSY 4.80%), and <b>Netflix</b> (NFLX 7.65%), down 63%, 64%, 70%, and 75%, respectively, since the end of 2021. Ouch!</p><p>At first blush, there&#39;s not a common thread. Netflix was crushed because, for the first time in its history, it lost subscribers. Align Technology (the name behind Invisalign dental braces) is struggling with the lingering impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. E-commerce platform Etsy is still trying to figure out what it is in a marketplace that includes competitors like <b>Amazon</b>, as well as empowering, DIY e-commerce platforms like those offered by <b>Shopify</b>. And PayPal? Despite continued revenue growth, investors still believe alternative payment options will chip away at its market share.</p><p>There&#39;s more commonality to these setbacks, however, than there seems on the surface. With the exception of Align, investors were genuinely surprised these companies&#39; smashing successes seen in 2020 and into 2021 -- in the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic -- didn&#39;t persist into 2022.</p><p>In other words, the wrong kind of surprise can wreak havoc on a stock.</p><p>As for Align, while it never really thrived or suffered due to the coronavirus contagion (aside from logistical challenges linked to lockdowns), it&#39;s still dealing with the pandemic&#39;s fallout that&#39;s lasting far longer than anyone initially feared it might. Now the specter of an economic recession is prompting some consumers to rethink the immediate need for straighter teeth. Even so, it&#39;s an unexpected headwind that&#39;s rattling investors, turning them into sellers.</p><h2>Overzealous</h2><p>On the surface, it seems somewhat irrelevant. While the market may not have seen these struggles brewing, the sell-offs these tickers have dished out still just reflect how these companies are performing right now.</p><p>Except, that may not quite be the case.</p><p>Yes, the direction these stocks have been moving jibes with the turn these companies&#39; businesses have taken. The depth to which investors respond to lackluster results, however, can vary depending on expectations. If the market knows that so-so earnings are in the cards, the revelation of lackluster numbers doesn&#39;t send investors into a panic...when the selling really ramps up. If investors know to brace for bad news, then stocks are typically eased into a more appropriate price to reflect that reality.</p><p><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F679670%2Fbuy-hold-sell.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><p>The alternative? Shock takes an exaggerated toll on a stock&#39;s price. That&#39;s largely what&#39;s happened here with these four names.</p><p>Shock also distracts people from looking at the future rather than the past, when they should be doing just that.</p><p>Perhaps most problematic, however, is that these sell-offs have reached extreme proportions only because stocks tend to move in a herd. Once the selling stampede starts, it&#39;s tough to stop it, even when lower prices may not be merited for most of them.</p><h2>Think bigger-picture</h2><p>The question remains, however: Should you buy the S&amp;P 500&#39;s four worst-performing stocks of 2022 so far?</p><p>This isn&#39;t always the case, but right now, yes -- these stocks are too sold-off for long-term, buy-and-hold investors interested in them to simply pass them up.</p><p>While the pullbacks made enough sense, fear and panic have arguably taken more of a toll than they should have. Investors, as a crowd, are starting to think a little more level-headed though. While they know 2022 could be tough, they&#39;re also starting to see these aforementioned companies have viable plans to deal with it.</p><p>Netflix, for instance, could launch an ad-supported version of its streaming service as early as this year, appealing to value-minded senses that will be heightened if the economy is weak. While PayPal may be facing a kind of competition it&#39;s never faced before, it&#39;s also innovating new ways to keep its place as the world&#39;s biggest digital payment middleman. Just last month, it unveiled a cash-back credit card, and late last year allowed e-commerce sites built by <b>Wix</b> to offer buy-now, pay-later loans to their customers. Align and Etsy are adjusting, too.</p><p>Yet, none of these stocks&#39; already-overblown sell-offs reflect these initiatives.</p><p>And it&#39;s not just these four companies. A bunch of great stocks have been dragged lower than they deserve to be, for all the wrong reasons.</p><p>That&#39;s not to suggest any of these names have hit their absolute bottom, mind you. They may still lose more ground. It is to say, however, now that the dust of the knee-jerk selling is starting to settle as we push past the hysteria, the market&#39;s starting to realize that at least with some stocks, the selling was more than a little overboard. That makes many of these names great buys now, even if we&#39;re not all the way through the turbulence just yet. Better to be a little too early than a lot too late.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-15 09:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/14/should-you-buy-the-sp-500s-4-worst-performing-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you're a bargain-shopping kind of investor, there are certainly plenty of stocks on sale here. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 2.39%) is down nearly 19% year to date, while many of its constituents are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/14/should-you-buy-the-sp-500s-4-worst-performing-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/14/should-you-buy-the-sp-500s-4-worst-performing-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235748594","content_text":"If you're a bargain-shopping kind of investor, there are certainly plenty of stocks on sale here. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 2.39%) is down nearly 19% year to date, while many of its constituents are dramatically deeper in the red.Beaten-down prices alone aren't enough of a reason to start scooping up stocks though, no matter how big their pullbacks might be. A company still has to be a name worth owning for the long haul, regardless of its price.And, that's a tough thing to figure out for the S&P 500's four worst performers for 2022 so far.What went wrongIf you're wondering, the biggest losers among the S&P 500's tickers so far this year are PayPal (PYPL 6.11%), Align Technology (ALGN 6.16%), Etsy (ETSY 4.80%), and Netflix (NFLX 7.65%), down 63%, 64%, 70%, and 75%, respectively, since the end of 2021. Ouch!At first blush, there's not a common thread. Netflix was crushed because, for the first time in its history, it lost subscribers. Align Technology (the name behind Invisalign dental braces) is struggling with the lingering impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. E-commerce platform Etsy is still trying to figure out what it is in a marketplace that includes competitors like Amazon, as well as empowering, DIY e-commerce platforms like those offered by Shopify. And PayPal? Despite continued revenue growth, investors still believe alternative payment options will chip away at its market share.There's more commonality to these setbacks, however, than there seems on the surface. With the exception of Align, investors were genuinely surprised these companies' smashing successes seen in 2020 and into 2021 -- in the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic -- didn't persist into 2022.In other words, the wrong kind of surprise can wreak havoc on a stock.As for Align, while it never really thrived or suffered due to the coronavirus contagion (aside from logistical challenges linked to lockdowns), it's still dealing with the pandemic's fallout that's lasting far longer than anyone initially feared it might. Now the specter of an economic recession is prompting some consumers to rethink the immediate need for straighter teeth. Even so, it's an unexpected headwind that's rattling investors, turning them into sellers.OverzealousOn the surface, it seems somewhat irrelevant. While the market may not have seen these struggles brewing, the sell-offs these tickers have dished out still just reflect how these companies are performing right now.Except, that may not quite be the case.Yes, the direction these stocks have been moving jibes with the turn these companies' businesses have taken. The depth to which investors respond to lackluster results, however, can vary depending on expectations. If the market knows that so-so earnings are in the cards, the revelation of lackluster numbers doesn't send investors into a panic...when the selling really ramps up. If investors know to brace for bad news, then stocks are typically eased into a more appropriate price to reflect that reality.Image source: Getty Images.The alternative? Shock takes an exaggerated toll on a stock's price. That's largely what's happened here with these four names.Shock also distracts people from looking at the future rather than the past, when they should be doing just that.Perhaps most problematic, however, is that these sell-offs have reached extreme proportions only because stocks tend to move in a herd. Once the selling stampede starts, it's tough to stop it, even when lower prices may not be merited for most of them.Think bigger-pictureThe question remains, however: Should you buy the S&P 500's four worst-performing stocks of 2022 so far?This isn't always the case, but right now, yes -- these stocks are too sold-off for long-term, buy-and-hold investors interested in them to simply pass them up.While the pullbacks made enough sense, fear and panic have arguably taken more of a toll than they should have. Investors, as a crowd, are starting to think a little more level-headed though. While they know 2022 could be tough, they're also starting to see these aforementioned companies have viable plans to deal with it.Netflix, for instance, could launch an ad-supported version of its streaming service as early as this year, appealing to value-minded senses that will be heightened if the economy is weak. While PayPal may be facing a kind of competition it's never faced before, it's also innovating new ways to keep its place as the world's biggest digital payment middleman. Just last month, it unveiled a cash-back credit card, and late last year allowed e-commerce sites built by Wix to offer buy-now, pay-later loans to their customers. Align and Etsy are adjusting, too.Yet, none of these stocks' already-overblown sell-offs reflect these initiatives.And it's not just these four companies. A bunch of great stocks have been dragged lower than they deserve to be, for all the wrong reasons.That's not to suggest any of these names have hit their absolute bottom, mind you. They may still lose more ground. It is to say, however, now that the dust of the knee-jerk selling is starting to settle as we push past the hysteria, the market's starting to realize that at least with some stocks, the selling was more than a little overboard. That makes many of these names great buys now, even if we're not all the way through the turbulence just yet. Better to be a little too early than a lot too late.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020174367,"gmtCreate":1652594718659,"gmtModify":1676535126923,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No","listText":"No","text":"No","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020174367","repostId":"2235748594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235748594","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652578501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235748594?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-15 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235748594","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The sellers seem to have overshot their targets with certain stocks, pricing in a scenario that's unlikely to happen.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If you&#39;re a bargain-shopping kind of investor, there are certainly plenty of stocks on sale here. The<b> S&amp;P 500</b> (^GSPC 2.39%) is down nearly 19% year to date, while many of its constituents are dramatically deeper in the red.</p><p>Beaten-down prices alone aren&#39;t enough of a reason to start scooping up stocks though, no matter how big their pullbacks might be. A company still has to be a name worth owning for the long haul, regardless of its price.</p><p>And, that&#39;s a tough thing to figure out for the S&amp;P 500&#39;s four worst performers for 2022 so far.</p><h2>What went wrong</h2><p>If you&#39;re wondering, the biggest losers among the S&amp;P 500&#39;s tickers so far this year are <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> (PYPL 6.11%), <b>Align Technology</b> (ALGN 6.16%), <b>Etsy</b> (ETSY 4.80%), and <b>Netflix</b> (NFLX 7.65%), down 63%, 64%, 70%, and 75%, respectively, since the end of 2021. Ouch!</p><p>At first blush, there&#39;s not a common thread. Netflix was crushed because, for the first time in its history, it lost subscribers. Align Technology (the name behind Invisalign dental braces) is struggling with the lingering impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. E-commerce platform Etsy is still trying to figure out what it is in a marketplace that includes competitors like <b>Amazon</b>, as well as empowering, DIY e-commerce platforms like those offered by <b>Shopify</b>. And PayPal? Despite continued revenue growth, investors still believe alternative payment options will chip away at its market share.</p><p>There&#39;s more commonality to these setbacks, however, than there seems on the surface. With the exception of Align, investors were genuinely surprised these companies&#39; smashing successes seen in 2020 and into 2021 -- in the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic -- didn&#39;t persist into 2022.</p><p>In other words, the wrong kind of surprise can wreak havoc on a stock.</p><p>As for Align, while it never really thrived or suffered due to the coronavirus contagion (aside from logistical challenges linked to lockdowns), it&#39;s still dealing with the pandemic&#39;s fallout that&#39;s lasting far longer than anyone initially feared it might. Now the specter of an economic recession is prompting some consumers to rethink the immediate need for straighter teeth. Even so, it&#39;s an unexpected headwind that&#39;s rattling investors, turning them into sellers.</p><h2>Overzealous</h2><p>On the surface, it seems somewhat irrelevant. While the market may not have seen these struggles brewing, the sell-offs these tickers have dished out still just reflect how these companies are performing right now.</p><p>Except, that may not quite be the case.</p><p>Yes, the direction these stocks have been moving jibes with the turn these companies&#39; businesses have taken. The depth to which investors respond to lackluster results, however, can vary depending on expectations. If the market knows that so-so earnings are in the cards, the revelation of lackluster numbers doesn&#39;t send investors into a panic...when the selling really ramps up. If investors know to brace for bad news, then stocks are typically eased into a more appropriate price to reflect that reality.</p><p><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F679670%2Fbuy-hold-sell.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><p>The alternative? Shock takes an exaggerated toll on a stock&#39;s price. That&#39;s largely what&#39;s happened here with these four names.</p><p>Shock also distracts people from looking at the future rather than the past, when they should be doing just that.</p><p>Perhaps most problematic, however, is that these sell-offs have reached extreme proportions only because stocks tend to move in a herd. Once the selling stampede starts, it&#39;s tough to stop it, even when lower prices may not be merited for most of them.</p><h2>Think bigger-picture</h2><p>The question remains, however: Should you buy the S&amp;P 500&#39;s four worst-performing stocks of 2022 so far?</p><p>This isn&#39;t always the case, but right now, yes -- these stocks are too sold-off for long-term, buy-and-hold investors interested in them to simply pass them up.</p><p>While the pullbacks made enough sense, fear and panic have arguably taken more of a toll than they should have. Investors, as a crowd, are starting to think a little more level-headed though. While they know 2022 could be tough, they&#39;re also starting to see these aforementioned companies have viable plans to deal with it.</p><p>Netflix, for instance, could launch an ad-supported version of its streaming service as early as this year, appealing to value-minded senses that will be heightened if the economy is weak. While PayPal may be facing a kind of competition it&#39;s never faced before, it&#39;s also innovating new ways to keep its place as the world&#39;s biggest digital payment middleman. Just last month, it unveiled a cash-back credit card, and late last year allowed e-commerce sites built by <b>Wix</b> to offer buy-now, pay-later loans to their customers. Align and Etsy are adjusting, too.</p><p>Yet, none of these stocks&#39; already-overblown sell-offs reflect these initiatives.</p><p>And it&#39;s not just these four companies. A bunch of great stocks have been dragged lower than they deserve to be, for all the wrong reasons.</p><p>That&#39;s not to suggest any of these names have hit their absolute bottom, mind you. They may still lose more ground. It is to say, however, now that the dust of the knee-jerk selling is starting to settle as we push past the hysteria, the market&#39;s starting to realize that at least with some stocks, the selling was more than a little overboard. That makes many of these names great buys now, even if we&#39;re not all the way through the turbulence just yet. Better to be a little too early than a lot too late.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy the S&P 500's 4 Worst-Performing 2022 Stocks?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-15 09:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/14/should-you-buy-the-sp-500s-4-worst-performing-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you're a bargain-shopping kind of investor, there are certainly plenty of stocks on sale here. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 2.39%) is down nearly 19% year to date, while many of its constituents are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/14/should-you-buy-the-sp-500s-4-worst-performing-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/14/should-you-buy-the-sp-500s-4-worst-performing-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235748594","content_text":"If you're a bargain-shopping kind of investor, there are certainly plenty of stocks on sale here. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 2.39%) is down nearly 19% year to date, while many of its constituents are dramatically deeper in the red.Beaten-down prices alone aren't enough of a reason to start scooping up stocks though, no matter how big their pullbacks might be. A company still has to be a name worth owning for the long haul, regardless of its price.And, that's a tough thing to figure out for the S&P 500's four worst performers for 2022 so far.What went wrongIf you're wondering, the biggest losers among the S&P 500's tickers so far this year are PayPal (PYPL 6.11%), Align Technology (ALGN 6.16%), Etsy (ETSY 4.80%), and Netflix (NFLX 7.65%), down 63%, 64%, 70%, and 75%, respectively, since the end of 2021. Ouch!At first blush, there's not a common thread. Netflix was crushed because, for the first time in its history, it lost subscribers. Align Technology (the name behind Invisalign dental braces) is struggling with the lingering impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. E-commerce platform Etsy is still trying to figure out what it is in a marketplace that includes competitors like Amazon, as well as empowering, DIY e-commerce platforms like those offered by Shopify. And PayPal? Despite continued revenue growth, investors still believe alternative payment options will chip away at its market share.There's more commonality to these setbacks, however, than there seems on the surface. With the exception of Align, investors were genuinely surprised these companies' smashing successes seen in 2020 and into 2021 -- in the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic -- didn't persist into 2022.In other words, the wrong kind of surprise can wreak havoc on a stock.As for Align, while it never really thrived or suffered due to the coronavirus contagion (aside from logistical challenges linked to lockdowns), it's still dealing with the pandemic's fallout that's lasting far longer than anyone initially feared it might. Now the specter of an economic recession is prompting some consumers to rethink the immediate need for straighter teeth. Even so, it's an unexpected headwind that's rattling investors, turning them into sellers.OverzealousOn the surface, it seems somewhat irrelevant. While the market may not have seen these struggles brewing, the sell-offs these tickers have dished out still just reflect how these companies are performing right now.Except, that may not quite be the case.Yes, the direction these stocks have been moving jibes with the turn these companies' businesses have taken. The depth to which investors respond to lackluster results, however, can vary depending on expectations. If the market knows that so-so earnings are in the cards, the revelation of lackluster numbers doesn't send investors into a panic...when the selling really ramps up. If investors know to brace for bad news, then stocks are typically eased into a more appropriate price to reflect that reality.Image source: Getty Images.The alternative? Shock takes an exaggerated toll on a stock's price. That's largely what's happened here with these four names.Shock also distracts people from looking at the future rather than the past, when they should be doing just that.Perhaps most problematic, however, is that these sell-offs have reached extreme proportions only because stocks tend to move in a herd. Once the selling stampede starts, it's tough to stop it, even when lower prices may not be merited for most of them.Think bigger-pictureThe question remains, however: Should you buy the S&P 500's four worst-performing stocks of 2022 so far?This isn't always the case, but right now, yes -- these stocks are too sold-off for long-term, buy-and-hold investors interested in them to simply pass them up.While the pullbacks made enough sense, fear and panic have arguably taken more of a toll than they should have. Investors, as a crowd, are starting to think a little more level-headed though. While they know 2022 could be tough, they're also starting to see these aforementioned companies have viable plans to deal with it.Netflix, for instance, could launch an ad-supported version of its streaming service as early as this year, appealing to value-minded senses that will be heightened if the economy is weak. While PayPal may be facing a kind of competition it's never faced before, it's also innovating new ways to keep its place as the world's biggest digital payment middleman. Just last month, it unveiled a cash-back credit card, and late last year allowed e-commerce sites built by Wix to offer buy-now, pay-later loans to their customers. Align and Etsy are adjusting, too.Yet, none of these stocks' already-overblown sell-offs reflect these initiatives.And it's not just these four companies. A bunch of great stocks have been dragged lower than they deserve to be, for all the wrong reasons.That's not to suggest any of these names have hit their absolute bottom, mind you. They may still lose more ground. It is to say, however, now that the dust of the knee-jerk selling is starting to settle as we push past the hysteria, the market's starting to realize that at least with some stocks, the selling was more than a little overboard. That makes many of these names great buys now, even if we're not all the way through the turbulence just yet. Better to be a little too early than a lot too late.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064246825,"gmtCreate":1652333115867,"gmtModify":1676535080487,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064246825","repostId":"1114386824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114386824","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652324539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114386824?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-12 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114386824","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.</p><p><b>Apple</b> stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.</p><p>It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.</p><p>Below, I list a couple of them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd834b5930cc8484f73b322c50b95c91\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip</span></p><p><b>#1. Apple’s business remains robust</b></p><p>One thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.</p><p>From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.</p><p>Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.</p><p>The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.</p><p>Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.</p><p><b>#2. The more AAPL sinks, the better</b></p><p>Let’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?</p><p>This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.</p><p>If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.</p><p>I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caa4cc4334f85dcaf5477bab7e65223f\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by Strategy</span></p><p>Here is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.</p><p>Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-12 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114386824","content_text":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.Below, I list a couple of them.Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip#1. Apple’s business remains robustOne thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.#2. The more AAPL sinks, the betterLet’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by StrategyHere is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064246001,"gmtCreate":1652333097403,"gmtModify":1676535080463,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064246001","repostId":"1114386824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114386824","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652324539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114386824?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-12 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114386824","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.</p><p><b>Apple</b> stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.</p><p>It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.</p><p>Below, I list a couple of them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd834b5930cc8484f73b322c50b95c91\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip</span></p><p><b>#1. Apple’s business remains robust</b></p><p>One thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.</p><p>From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.</p><p>Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.</p><p>The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.</p><p>Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.</p><p><b>#2. The more AAPL sinks, the better</b></p><p>Let’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?</p><p>This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.</p><p>If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.</p><p>I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caa4cc4334f85dcaf5477bab7e65223f\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by Strategy</span></p><p>Here is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.</p><p>Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-12 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114386824","content_text":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.Below, I list a couple of them.Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip#1. Apple’s business remains robustOne thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.#2. The more AAPL sinks, the betterLet’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by StrategyHere is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065114644,"gmtCreate":1652153273488,"gmtModify":1676535042144,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065114644","repostId":"1103387176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103387176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652150141,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103387176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 10:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103387176","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Shares ofRivian(NASDAQ:RIVN) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expirationfor early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <b>Rivian</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>RIVN</u></b>) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expiration for early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is the typical period after which early investors and insiders can sell their shares. Roughly 800 million shares of RIVN stock will be affected by the lockup expiration. However, this doesn’t mean all 800 million shares will be sold.</p><p>Last Friday, Rivian closed below $30 for the first time since its IPO. Over the weekend, <i>CNBC</i> also reported that <b>Ford</b>(NYSE:<b><u>F</u></b>) planned on selling8 million shares. These shares are being sold through <b>Goldman Sachs</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GS</u></b>) and are priced at $26.90 per share.</p><p>Before the sale, the legacy automaker owned 102 million shares, or12% of all shares. During its earnings last month, Ford reported a $3.1 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian investment.</p><p>Ford and Amazon May Be Selling RIVN Stock</p><p>On top of the Ford sale, <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) may also be selling some of its Rivian stake as well, although this has not been confirmed. Reportedly, <b>JPMorgan</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JPM</u></b>) isselling13 million to 15 million shares priced at $26.90 as well. As a result, investors are speculating the seller may be Amazon; the e-commerce giant owns about 158 million shares, or 18%. During earnings, Amazon disclosed a $7.6 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian stake.</p><p>Just after its IPO, Rivian’s valuation peaked at over $100 billion, making it more valuable than Ford for a short period of time. However, it has all been downhill since then. Today, the electric vehicle(EV) company carries a market capitalization of about $21 billion. In recent months, rising interest rates and supply-chain disruptions have caused investors to focus more on valuation than future potential.</p><p>Other early investors of Rivian include Philippe Laffont’s <b>Coatue Management</b> and Dan Loeb’s <b>Third Point</b>. Both hedge funds invested privately into the EV company before its IPO. However, it is still unknown if these two funds sold their shares following the lockup expiration. As of the fourth quarter, Coatue had a $3.65 billion stake and Third Point had a $419 million stake.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-10 10:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/ford-and-amazon-may-be-selling-rivian-rivn-stock-heres-why/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Rivian(NASDAQ:RIVN) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expiration for early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/ford-and-amazon-may-be-selling-rivian-rivn-stock-heres-why/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","F":"福特汽车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/ford-and-amazon-may-be-selling-rivian-rivn-stock-heres-why/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103387176","content_text":"Shares of Rivian(NASDAQ:RIVN) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expiration for early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is the typical period after which early investors and insiders can sell their shares. Roughly 800 million shares of RIVN stock will be affected by the lockup expiration. However, this doesn’t mean all 800 million shares will be sold.Last Friday, Rivian closed below $30 for the first time since its IPO. Over the weekend, CNBC also reported that Ford(NYSE:F) planned on selling8 million shares. These shares are being sold through Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS) and are priced at $26.90 per share.Before the sale, the legacy automaker owned 102 million shares, or12% of all shares. During its earnings last month, Ford reported a $3.1 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian investment.Ford and Amazon May Be Selling RIVN StockOn top of the Ford sale, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) may also be selling some of its Rivian stake as well, although this has not been confirmed. Reportedly, JPMorgan(NYSE:JPM) isselling13 million to 15 million shares priced at $26.90 as well. As a result, investors are speculating the seller may be Amazon; the e-commerce giant owns about 158 million shares, or 18%. During earnings, Amazon disclosed a $7.6 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian stake.Just after its IPO, Rivian’s valuation peaked at over $100 billion, making it more valuable than Ford for a short period of time. However, it has all been downhill since then. Today, the electric vehicle(EV) company carries a market capitalization of about $21 billion. In recent months, rising interest rates and supply-chain disruptions have caused investors to focus more on valuation than future potential.Other early investors of Rivian include Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management and Dan Loeb’s Third Point. Both hedge funds invested privately into the EV company before its IPO. However, it is still unknown if these two funds sold their shares following the lockup expiration. As of the fourth quarter, Coatue had a $3.65 billion stake and Third Point had a $419 million stake.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065114337,"gmtCreate":1652153237229,"gmtModify":1676535042152,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065114337","repostId":"1103387176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103387176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652150141,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103387176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 10:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103387176","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Shares ofRivian(NASDAQ:RIVN) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expirationfor early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <b>Rivian</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>RIVN</u></b>) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expiration for early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is the typical period after which early investors and insiders can sell their shares. Roughly 800 million shares of RIVN stock will be affected by the lockup expiration. However, this doesn’t mean all 800 million shares will be sold.</p><p>Last Friday, Rivian closed below $30 for the first time since its IPO. Over the weekend, <i>CNBC</i> also reported that <b>Ford</b>(NYSE:<b><u>F</u></b>) planned on selling8 million shares. These shares are being sold through <b>Goldman Sachs</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GS</u></b>) and are priced at $26.90 per share.</p><p>Before the sale, the legacy automaker owned 102 million shares, or12% of all shares. During its earnings last month, Ford reported a $3.1 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian investment.</p><p>Ford and Amazon May Be Selling RIVN Stock</p><p>On top of the Ford sale, <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) may also be selling some of its Rivian stake as well, although this has not been confirmed. Reportedly, <b>JPMorgan</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JPM</u></b>) isselling13 million to 15 million shares priced at $26.90 as well. As a result, investors are speculating the seller may be Amazon; the e-commerce giant owns about 158 million shares, or 18%. During earnings, Amazon disclosed a $7.6 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian stake.</p><p>Just after its IPO, Rivian’s valuation peaked at over $100 billion, making it more valuable than Ford for a short period of time. However, it has all been downhill since then. Today, the electric vehicle(EV) company carries a market capitalization of about $21 billion. In recent months, rising interest rates and supply-chain disruptions have caused investors to focus more on valuation than future potential.</p><p>Other early investors of Rivian include Philippe Laffont’s <b>Coatue Management</b> and Dan Loeb’s <b>Third Point</b>. Both hedge funds invested privately into the EV company before its IPO. However, it is still unknown if these two funds sold their shares following the lockup expiration. As of the fourth quarter, Coatue had a $3.65 billion stake and Third Point had a $419 million stake.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord and Amazon May Be Selling Rivian (RIVN) Stock. Here’s Why.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-10 10:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/ford-and-amazon-may-be-selling-rivian-rivn-stock-heres-why/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Rivian(NASDAQ:RIVN) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expiration for early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/ford-and-amazon-may-be-selling-rivian-rivn-stock-heres-why/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","F":"福特汽车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/ford-and-amazon-may-be-selling-rivian-rivn-stock-heres-why/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103387176","content_text":"Shares of Rivian(NASDAQ:RIVN) stock are down more than 20% today due to its initial public offering (IPO)lockup expiration for early shareholders. Today marks 180 days after Rivian’s IPO; 180 days is the typical period after which early investors and insiders can sell their shares. Roughly 800 million shares of RIVN stock will be affected by the lockup expiration. However, this doesn’t mean all 800 million shares will be sold.Last Friday, Rivian closed below $30 for the first time since its IPO. Over the weekend, CNBC also reported that Ford(NYSE:F) planned on selling8 million shares. These shares are being sold through Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS) and are priced at $26.90 per share.Before the sale, the legacy automaker owned 102 million shares, or12% of all shares. During its earnings last month, Ford reported a $3.1 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian investment.Ford and Amazon May Be Selling RIVN StockOn top of the Ford sale, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) may also be selling some of its Rivian stake as well, although this has not been confirmed. Reportedly, JPMorgan(NYSE:JPM) isselling13 million to 15 million shares priced at $26.90 as well. As a result, investors are speculating the seller may be Amazon; the e-commerce giant owns about 158 million shares, or 18%. During earnings, Amazon disclosed a $7.6 billion net loss attributable to its Rivian stake.Just after its IPO, Rivian’s valuation peaked at over $100 billion, making it more valuable than Ford for a short period of time. However, it has all been downhill since then. Today, the electric vehicle(EV) company carries a market capitalization of about $21 billion. In recent months, rising interest rates and supply-chain disruptions have caused investors to focus more on valuation than future potential.Other early investors of Rivian include Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management and Dan Loeb’s Third Point. Both hedge funds invested privately into the EV company before its IPO. However, it is still unknown if these two funds sold their shares following the lockup expiration. As of the fourth quarter, Coatue had a $3.65 billion stake and Third Point had a $419 million stake.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062922637,"gmtCreate":1651990042529,"gmtModify":1676535010375,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062922637","repostId":"2233979582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2233979582","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651980487,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233979582?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233979582","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Ford Motor  reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive  once the struggling EV maker's post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.CNBC quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that the automaker intends to sell the stock through Goldman Sachs at a time when RIVN's share price has tanked since staging a hot initial public offering last November.Rivian went public on Nov. 10 at $78 a share – valuing the firm at some $66.5M – and shot up to as high as $179.47 intraday just","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Ford Motor (NYSE:F) reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) once the struggling EV maker&#39;s post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.</p><p>CNBC quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that the automaker intends to sell the stock through Goldman Sachs at a time when RIVN&#39;s share price has tanked since staging a hot initial public offering last November.</p><p>Rivian went public on Nov. 10 at $78 a share – valuing the firm at some $66.5M – and shot up to as high as $179.47 intraday just a few sessions later. However, the stock has run out of juice since then, closing Friday at $28.79 – down 6.3% for the session and 84% from its Nov. 16 post-IPO peak.</p><p>CNBC also cited unnamed sources as saying that another unnamed investor has hired JPMorgan Chase to sell 13M to 15M RIVN shares once the lockup period ends.</p><p>The network said both sales will likely carry a $26.90-a-share asking price, or 6.6% below where Rivian (RIVN) closed on Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3834721-ford-and-other-unnamed-investor-to-sell-up-to-23-million-rivian-shares><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ford Motor (NYSE:F) reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) once the struggling EV maker's post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.CNBC quoted unnamed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3834721-ford-and-other-unnamed-investor-to-sell-up-to-23-million-rivian-shares\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3834721-ford-and-other-unnamed-investor-to-sell-up-to-23-million-rivian-shares","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2233979582","content_text":"Ford Motor (NYSE:F) reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) once the struggling EV maker's post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.CNBC quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that the automaker intends to sell the stock through Goldman Sachs at a time when RIVN's share price has tanked since staging a hot initial public offering last November.Rivian went public on Nov. 10 at $78 a share – valuing the firm at some $66.5M – and shot up to as high as $179.47 intraday just a few sessions later. However, the stock has run out of juice since then, closing Friday at $28.79 – down 6.3% for the session and 84% from its Nov. 16 post-IPO peak.CNBC also cited unnamed sources as saying that another unnamed investor has hired JPMorgan Chase to sell 13M to 15M RIVN shares once the lockup period ends.The network said both sales will likely carry a $26.90-a-share asking price, or 6.6% below where Rivian (RIVN) closed on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062922364,"gmtCreate":1651990011258,"gmtModify":1676535010359,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062922364","repostId":"2233979582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2233979582","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651980487,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233979582?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233979582","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Ford Motor  reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive  once the struggling EV maker's post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.CNBC quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that the automaker intends to sell the stock through Goldman Sachs at a time when RIVN's share price has tanked since staging a hot initial public offering last November.Rivian went public on Nov. 10 at $78 a share – valuing the firm at some $66.5M – and shot up to as high as $179.47 intraday just","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Ford Motor (NYSE:F) reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) once the struggling EV maker&#39;s post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.</p><p>CNBC quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that the automaker intends to sell the stock through Goldman Sachs at a time when RIVN&#39;s share price has tanked since staging a hot initial public offering last November.</p><p>Rivian went public on Nov. 10 at $78 a share – valuing the firm at some $66.5M – and shot up to as high as $179.47 intraday just a few sessions later. However, the stock has run out of juice since then, closing Friday at $28.79 – down 6.3% for the session and 84% from its Nov. 16 post-IPO peak.</p><p>CNBC also cited unnamed sources as saying that another unnamed investor has hired JPMorgan Chase to sell 13M to 15M RIVN shares once the lockup period ends.</p><p>The network said both sales will likely carry a $26.90-a-share asking price, or 6.6% below where Rivian (RIVN) closed on Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord and Another Unnamed Investor Reportedly Plan to Dump up to 23M Rivian Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3834721-ford-and-other-unnamed-investor-to-sell-up-to-23-million-rivian-shares><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ford Motor (NYSE:F) reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) once the struggling EV maker's post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.CNBC quoted unnamed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3834721-ford-and-other-unnamed-investor-to-sell-up-to-23-million-rivian-shares\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3834721-ford-and-other-unnamed-investor-to-sell-up-to-23-million-rivian-shares","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2233979582","content_text":"Ford Motor (NYSE:F) reportedly plans to dump 8M of its 102M-share stake in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) once the struggling EV maker's post-IPO lockup period expires Sunday.CNBC quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that the automaker intends to sell the stock through Goldman Sachs at a time when RIVN's share price has tanked since staging a hot initial public offering last November.Rivian went public on Nov. 10 at $78 a share – valuing the firm at some $66.5M – and shot up to as high as $179.47 intraday just a few sessions later. However, the stock has run out of juice since then, closing Friday at $28.79 – down 6.3% for the session and 84% from its Nov. 16 post-IPO peak.CNBC also cited unnamed sources as saying that another unnamed investor has hired JPMorgan Chase to sell 13M to 15M RIVN shares once the lockup period ends.The network said both sales will likely carry a $26.90-a-share asking price, or 6.6% below where Rivian (RIVN) closed on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061137454,"gmtCreate":1651584639914,"gmtModify":1676534930805,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9061137454","repostId":"2232059034","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2232059034","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1651580804,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2232059034?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-03 20:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 70% From Its High, Is PayPal Stock a Buy Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2232059034","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"This fintech company is battling a tough macroeconomic environment.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b> recently announced first-quarter earnings. The results were roughly in line with expectations, but growth is slowing and management lowered full-year guidance. The deteriorating macroeconomic environment and the loss of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a></b>&#39;s business continue to weigh heavily on the fintech company, and the stock has fallen over 70% from its all-time high.</p><p>Does that make PayPal a bargain? Let&#39;s dive in.</p><h2>Dominant market position</h2><p>PayPal operates <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the largest payments networks in the world, connecting 394 million consumers with 35 million merchants. Its portfolio comprises a wide range of financial products, including digital wallets and shopping tools for individual consumers, and payment processing, fraud prevention, and financing services for businesses. The company also provides point-of-sale hardware and software to help merchants manage stores across physical and digital channels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a023694ce4b4e40463c6f0f2f29037f0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><p>Collectively, PayPal&#39;s scale and breadth have made its brand synonymous with digital payments, helping it become the most accepted digital wallet in North America and Europe. Management puts its addressable market at $110 trillion. For context, PayPal handled about $1.3 trillion in total payment volume in the past year, or just over 1% of its market opportunity.</p><h2>Disappointing financial results</h2><p>PayPal&#39;s financial performance has been underwhelming lately. In the first quarter, revenue rose just 7% to $6.5 billion, and non-GAAP earnings dropped 28% to $0.88 per diluted share. During the earnings call, management noted that supply chain disruptions and high inflation were a drag on the top and bottom lines, but PayPal is also struggling with the loss of a big customer.</p><p>In 2018, eBay began to migrate away from PayPal, partnering instead with payment processor <b>Adyen</b>. That transition has taken place more quickly than management anticipated, and it has been a significant headwind for the business. Case in point: Excluding eBay, PayPal grew revenue by 15% in Q1 2022 and non-GAAP earnings fell just 11%. It&#39;s also worth noting that non-GAAP earnings rose 84% in Q1 2021, meaning the company faced a very tough year-over-year comparison.</p><p>Fortunately, PayPal will lap the worst of the eBay impact this quarter, meaning it won&#39;t be a significant headwind in the second half of 2022. But management still lowered full-year guidance, the midpoint of which now calls for a 12% increase in revenue and a 16% drop in non-GAAP earnings. But once PayPal gets over that hump, top- and bottom-line growth could reaccelerate in 2023. To help make that happen, the company is working to expand its ecosystem of products and services.</p><h2>Strong growth strategy</h2><p>Last September, PayPal introduced its redesigned digital wallet, which now supports crypto trading, in-store QR code payments, and shopping rewards, as well as &#34;buy now, pay later&#34; and bill pay features. During the Q1 earnings call, management provided upbeat insight, noting that &#34;users are engaging with more features and driving incremental average revenue per account.&#34; To reinforce that trend, PayPal is currently adding a high-yield savings product to the digital wallet, and it plans to introduce additional financial services and commerce features in the coming quarters. That&#39;s particularly timely, because the number of consumers using a digital wallet is expected to double between 2021 and 2025, according to Juniper Research.</p><p>PayPal is also taking steps to monetize Venmo (its other consumer-facing digital wallet) more effectively. In the last two years, it has debuted the Venmo credit card, enabled in-store QR code payments, and launched crypto trading on the platform. Additionally, consumers can now use Venmo to make purchases from a growing number of online retailers, including <b>DoorDash</b> and <b>Revolve</b>, and Venmo payments are coming to <b>Amazon</b> later this year.</p><h2>Is PayPal stock a buy?</h2><p>PayPal isn&#39;t out of the woods yet, but the future looks brighter. The growing popularity of digital payments and online shopping should be a tailwind for its business, and despite a string of disappointing financial results, the company still benefits from a strong competitive position in a massive market. From that perspective, with the stock trading at four times sales -- its cheapest valuation since going public in 2015 -- PayPal does indeed look like a bargain buy right now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 70% From Its High, Is PayPal Stock a Buy Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 70% From Its High, Is PayPal Stock a Buy Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-03 20:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/03/down-70-from-its-high-is-paypal-stock-a-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>PayPal Holdings recently announced first-quarter earnings. The results were roughly in line with expectations, but growth is slowing and management lowered full-year guidance. The deteriorating ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/03/down-70-from-its-high-is-paypal-stock-a-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PYPL":"PayPal","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/03/down-70-from-its-high-is-paypal-stock-a-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2232059034","content_text":"PayPal Holdings recently announced first-quarter earnings. The results were roughly in line with expectations, but growth is slowing and management lowered full-year guidance. The deteriorating macroeconomic environment and the loss of eBay's business continue to weigh heavily on the fintech company, and the stock has fallen over 70% from its all-time high.Does that make PayPal a bargain? Let's dive in.Dominant market positionPayPal operates one of the largest payments networks in the world, connecting 394 million consumers with 35 million merchants. Its portfolio comprises a wide range of financial products, including digital wallets and shopping tools for individual consumers, and payment processing, fraud prevention, and financing services for businesses. The company also provides point-of-sale hardware and software to help merchants manage stores across physical and digital channels.Image source: Getty Images.Collectively, PayPal's scale and breadth have made its brand synonymous with digital payments, helping it become the most accepted digital wallet in North America and Europe. Management puts its addressable market at $110 trillion. For context, PayPal handled about $1.3 trillion in total payment volume in the past year, or just over 1% of its market opportunity.Disappointing financial resultsPayPal's financial performance has been underwhelming lately. In the first quarter, revenue rose just 7% to $6.5 billion, and non-GAAP earnings dropped 28% to $0.88 per diluted share. During the earnings call, management noted that supply chain disruptions and high inflation were a drag on the top and bottom lines, but PayPal is also struggling with the loss of a big customer.In 2018, eBay began to migrate away from PayPal, partnering instead with payment processor Adyen. That transition has taken place more quickly than management anticipated, and it has been a significant headwind for the business. Case in point: Excluding eBay, PayPal grew revenue by 15% in Q1 2022 and non-GAAP earnings fell just 11%. It's also worth noting that non-GAAP earnings rose 84% in Q1 2021, meaning the company faced a very tough year-over-year comparison.Fortunately, PayPal will lap the worst of the eBay impact this quarter, meaning it won't be a significant headwind in the second half of 2022. But management still lowered full-year guidance, the midpoint of which now calls for a 12% increase in revenue and a 16% drop in non-GAAP earnings. But once PayPal gets over that hump, top- and bottom-line growth could reaccelerate in 2023. To help make that happen, the company is working to expand its ecosystem of products and services.Strong growth strategyLast September, PayPal introduced its redesigned digital wallet, which now supports crypto trading, in-store QR code payments, and shopping rewards, as well as \"buy now, pay later\" and bill pay features. During the Q1 earnings call, management provided upbeat insight, noting that \"users are engaging with more features and driving incremental average revenue per account.\" To reinforce that trend, PayPal is currently adding a high-yield savings product to the digital wallet, and it plans to introduce additional financial services and commerce features in the coming quarters. That's particularly timely, because the number of consumers using a digital wallet is expected to double between 2021 and 2025, according to Juniper Research.PayPal is also taking steps to monetize Venmo (its other consumer-facing digital wallet) more effectively. In the last two years, it has debuted the Venmo credit card, enabled in-store QR code payments, and launched crypto trading on the platform. Additionally, consumers can now use Venmo to make purchases from a growing number of online retailers, including DoorDash and Revolve, and Venmo payments are coming to Amazon later this year.Is PayPal stock a buy?PayPal isn't out of the woods yet, but the future looks brighter. The growing popularity of digital payments and online shopping should be a tailwind for its business, and despite a string of disappointing financial results, the company still benefits from a strong competitive position in a massive market. From that perspective, with the stock trading at four times sales -- its cheapest valuation since going public in 2015 -- PayPal does indeed look like a bargain buy right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063207159,"gmtCreate":1651468246257,"gmtModify":1676534912141,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063207159","repostId":"1115089008","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115089008","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651461673,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115089008?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-02 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115089008","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Beaten-down semiconductor stocks could be in for a rebound, thanks to strong growth forecast for the industry","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>These semiconductor stocks to buy all offer valuable upsides to investors.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b> (<b><u>NVDA</u></b>): Diversified products and end markets, strong execution and swelling market opportunity position the stock for growth.</li><li><b>Micron</b> (<b><u>MU</u></b>): A dominant market positioning and improving markets point to strong growth in the near term.</li><li><b>AMD</b> (<b><u>AMD</u></b>): Market share gains and lengthening semiconductor cycle bode well for the chipmaker.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e810948f0a5faa54c81c885d37234b6\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"900\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Shutterstock</span></p><p>Semiconductor stocks have retreated sharply in the year-to-date period. The <b>iShares Semiconductor ETF</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>SOXX</u></b>), considered a proxy of the industry, has shed 25% year-to-period. This is steeper than the 20% drop for the <b>Invesco QQQ Trust</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>QQQ</u></b>) and 12% decline for the <b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b> (NYSE:<b><u>SPY</u></b>).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9a503520de775704f0c3cfac4318d70\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Charts By TradingView</span></p><p>What’s ailing semiconductor stocks? The macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have dented consumer confidence and their willingness to purchase. U.S. consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index,fell to the lowest level in over 10 years in March before recovering slightly in April.</p><p>This is weighing down on the demand outlook for chip industry’s consumer-facing end markets such as smartphones.</p><p>On the supply side, companies are pressured by component shortages that have disrupted production plans. Then there is the input cost inflation these firms have to contend with.</p><p>But analysts are optimistic. As recently as this week, market research firm Gartner upwardly revised its semiconductor industry revenue forecast for 2022 by $37 billion to $676 billion. This represented a 13.6% year-over-year increase, coming on top of the 26.3% growth in 2021.</p><p>Much of the improvement is expected to come from higher average selling prices, according to Alan Priestley, research vice p resident at Gartner:</p><blockquote>“The semiconductor average selling price (ASP) hike from the chip shortage continues to be a key driver for growth in the global semiconductor market in 2022, but overall semiconductor component supply constraints are expected to gradually ease through 2022 and prices will stabilize with the improving inventory situation.”</blockquote><p>I used the following criteria to zero in on semiconductor stocks that offer huge upside potential:</p><ul><li>Market capitalization above $300 million</li><li>Average volume &amp; current volume greater than 500,000</li><li>Analyst recommendation of buy or better</li><li>Average analysts’ price target of 50% above current price</li><li>EPS growth of more than 15% next year</li><li>Average sales growth of more than 15% over the past five years</li></ul><p>The firm expects memory market and migration to 5G to fuel growth in the chip sector in 2022. These three stocks will benefit from that trend.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b><u>NVDA</u></b></td><td>Nvidia</td><td>$190.07</td></tr><tr><td><b><u>MU</u></b></td><td>Micron</td><td>$69.20</td></tr><tr><td><b><u>AMD</u></b></td><td>AMD</td><td>$87.37</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p><b>Nvidia’s</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>) valuation could be a deterrent for those picking stocks purely based on valuation. The stock is trading at a pricier price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of nearly 50 on a trailing twelve months, notably higher than the industry average of under 20. Does that mean one should shun the stock? Probably not.</p><p>Team Green has its hands in many pies. Nvidia’s revenue stream diversification came to the fore at its GTC 2022 developer conference held in late March. The company increased its long-term addressable market estimate to $1 trillion, with contributions from silicon and software. About $300 billion of this would come from artificial intelligence and omniverse enterprise software.</p><p>Nvidia is one of its kind and it has consistently grown its revenues at a stellar pace over the quarter, while also maintaining a strong margin profile.</p><p>As I recommended in late March, it isn’t too late to partake in the Nvidia party. As an added incentive, we now have an attractive entry point, thanks to the 35% plunge in the stock in the year-to-date period (YTD). The average analysts’ price target for Nvidia stock, according to TipRanks, is $336.57,suggesting roughly 76% upside potential.</p><p><b>Micron (MU)</b></p><p><b>Micron</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>MU</u></b>) will likely benefit from strong demand for memory chips, which are integrated circuits that can store data. These are used in a variety of applications. The company sells a variety of memory and storage solutions.</p><p>Micron’s second-quarter results, released in late March, underline the fundamental soundness of the company. Both top- and bottom-line comfortably beat expectations. On the earnings call, chief financial officer David Zinsner said DRAM prices have begun to strengthen and the NAND market is stabilizing. That said, the executive expects supply constraints to limit the company’s ability to serve potential upside to demand.</p><p>All the same, the company said improving market conditions and its significantly strong competitive position have set it up for stellar financial results in the second half of the calendar year 2022.</p><p>The average analysts’ price target of $115.94 for Micron stock suggests there is scope for about 67% upside.</p><p><b>AMD (AMD)</b></p><p><b>AMD</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>AMD</u></b>) has preserved its reputation as a growth stock ever since the Santa Clara, California-based company began a turnaround in 2017 with the launch of its Ryzen lineup of processors. The stock has not been immune to the tech sell-off seen since the start of the year. AMD stock has lost about 39% YTD.</p><p>Analysts attribute some of the weakness to investor fears of a cyclical slowdown or correction anticipated for the semiconductor sector.</p><p>AMD’s first-quarter results, due May 5, are widely expected to show 78% earnings per share (EPS) growth and 62% increase in revenue.</p><p>Earlier this week, Raymond James analyst Chris Caso upgraded AMD stock to a strong buy, premised o nmarket share gains in the data center segment. Tight supply conditions are prompting customers to commit to purchases from AMD, he added.</p><p>The company is expected to chip away at rival <b>Intel’s</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>INTC</u></b>) share in the PC processor market in the coming years, while also solidifying its position in the server processor market.</p><p>AMD stock offers roughly 65% upside potential; the average analysts’ price target is at $143.94.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-02 11:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/https-investorplace-com-p2223938previewtrue/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These semiconductor stocks to buy all offer valuable upsides to investors.Nvidia (NVDA): Diversified products and end markets, strong execution and swelling market opportunity position the stock for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/https-investorplace-com-p2223938previewtrue/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/https-investorplace-com-p2223938previewtrue/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115089008","content_text":"These semiconductor stocks to buy all offer valuable upsides to investors.Nvidia (NVDA): Diversified products and end markets, strong execution and swelling market opportunity position the stock for growth.Micron (MU): A dominant market positioning and improving markets point to strong growth in the near term.AMD (AMD): Market share gains and lengthening semiconductor cycle bode well for the chipmaker.Source: ShutterstockSemiconductor stocks have retreated sharply in the year-to-date period. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX), considered a proxy of the industry, has shed 25% year-to-period. This is steeper than the 20% drop for the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) and 12% decline for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY).Source: Charts By TradingViewWhat’s ailing semiconductor stocks? The macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have dented consumer confidence and their willingness to purchase. U.S. consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index,fell to the lowest level in over 10 years in March before recovering slightly in April.This is weighing down on the demand outlook for chip industry’s consumer-facing end markets such as smartphones.On the supply side, companies are pressured by component shortages that have disrupted production plans. Then there is the input cost inflation these firms have to contend with.But analysts are optimistic. As recently as this week, market research firm Gartner upwardly revised its semiconductor industry revenue forecast for 2022 by $37 billion to $676 billion. This represented a 13.6% year-over-year increase, coming on top of the 26.3% growth in 2021.Much of the improvement is expected to come from higher average selling prices, according to Alan Priestley, research vice p resident at Gartner:“The semiconductor average selling price (ASP) hike from the chip shortage continues to be a key driver for growth in the global semiconductor market in 2022, but overall semiconductor component supply constraints are expected to gradually ease through 2022 and prices will stabilize with the improving inventory situation.”I used the following criteria to zero in on semiconductor stocks that offer huge upside potential:Market capitalization above $300 millionAverage volume & current volume greater than 500,000Analyst recommendation of buy or betterAverage analysts’ price target of 50% above current priceEPS growth of more than 15% next yearAverage sales growth of more than 15% over the past five yearsThe firm expects memory market and migration to 5G to fuel growth in the chip sector in 2022. These three stocks will benefit from that trend.NVDANvidia$190.07MUMicron$69.20AMDAMD$87.37Nvidia (NVDA)Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) valuation could be a deterrent for those picking stocks purely based on valuation. The stock is trading at a pricier price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of nearly 50 on a trailing twelve months, notably higher than the industry average of under 20. Does that mean one should shun the stock? Probably not.Team Green has its hands in many pies. Nvidia’s revenue stream diversification came to the fore at its GTC 2022 developer conference held in late March. The company increased its long-term addressable market estimate to $1 trillion, with contributions from silicon and software. About $300 billion of this would come from artificial intelligence and omniverse enterprise software.Nvidia is one of its kind and it has consistently grown its revenues at a stellar pace over the quarter, while also maintaining a strong margin profile.As I recommended in late March, it isn’t too late to partake in the Nvidia party. As an added incentive, we now have an attractive entry point, thanks to the 35% plunge in the stock in the year-to-date period (YTD). The average analysts’ price target for Nvidia stock, according to TipRanks, is $336.57,suggesting roughly 76% upside potential.Micron (MU)Micron (NASDAQ:MU) will likely benefit from strong demand for memory chips, which are integrated circuits that can store data. These are used in a variety of applications. The company sells a variety of memory and storage solutions.Micron’s second-quarter results, released in late March, underline the fundamental soundness of the company. Both top- and bottom-line comfortably beat expectations. On the earnings call, chief financial officer David Zinsner said DRAM prices have begun to strengthen and the NAND market is stabilizing. That said, the executive expects supply constraints to limit the company’s ability to serve potential upside to demand.All the same, the company said improving market conditions and its significantly strong competitive position have set it up for stellar financial results in the second half of the calendar year 2022.The average analysts’ price target of $115.94 for Micron stock suggests there is scope for about 67% upside.AMD (AMD)AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) has preserved its reputation as a growth stock ever since the Santa Clara, California-based company began a turnaround in 2017 with the launch of its Ryzen lineup of processors. The stock has not been immune to the tech sell-off seen since the start of the year. AMD stock has lost about 39% YTD.Analysts attribute some of the weakness to investor fears of a cyclical slowdown or correction anticipated for the semiconductor sector.AMD’s first-quarter results, due May 5, are widely expected to show 78% earnings per share (EPS) growth and 62% increase in revenue.Earlier this week, Raymond James analyst Chris Caso upgraded AMD stock to a strong buy, premised o nmarket share gains in the data center segment. Tight supply conditions are prompting customers to commit to purchases from AMD, he added.The company is expected to chip away at rival Intel’s (NASDAQ:INTC) share in the PC processor market in the coming years, while also solidifying its position in the server processor market.AMD stock offers roughly 65% upside potential; the average analysts’ price target is at $143.94.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060594718,"gmtCreate":1651161515275,"gmtModify":1676534861972,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060594718","repostId":"2230454741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230454741","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1651132673,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230454741?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-28 15:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Technologies Stock: Bear vs. Bull","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230454741","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The data-mining firm is still a polarizing investment.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Palantir Technologies&#39;</b> stock took investors on a wild ride after it went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data-mining firm&#39;s shares started trading at $10, closed at an all-time high of $39 last January, but subsequently tumbled all the way back to about $12 a share.</p><p>Does that pullback represent a good buying opportunity for patient investors? Let&#39;s review the bull and bear cases to decide.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a745be90180fb00049b4e1dd3a5ed89\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>What does Palantir do?</h2><p>Palantir operates two main software platforms: Gotham, which serves government clients; and Foundry, which serves large enterprises and private organizations. A third platform, Apollo, provides automatic software updates for both platforms as a cloud-based service.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s software aggregates data from disparate sources and then analyzes it with artificial intelligence algorithms to help organizations make informed decisions. For example, the U.S. Army uses Gotham to collect intel from various government agencies and local sources to plan missions. Large companies can also use its algorithms to streamline their operations.</p><h2>Why do the bulls love Palantir?</h2><p>The bulls love Palantir because it has firm ties to the U.S. government, it generates robust growth, and its gross margins are expanding.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s revenue rose 47% in 2020, then grew 41% to $1.54 billion in 2021. It ended 2021 with a high dollar-based net retention rate of 131%, and it expects its revenue to grow by at least 30% annually through 2025.</p><p>Its government revenue in 2021 rose 34% to $645 million, but it still decelerated from its 77% growth in 2020. However, its commercial revenue in 2021 increased 47% to $897 million, which accelerated from its 22% growth in 2020.</p><p>The acceleration of its commercial business silenced the bears who initially claimed Palantir would struggle against similar data-mining companies like <b>C3.ai</b>, <b>Alteryx</b>, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a></b> in the crowded enterprise analytics market.</p><p>The bulls also believe its government slowdown is temporary since it still secured plenty of new deals over the past year. In addition, Ukraine war could generate fresh tailwinds for Gotham as more government agencies upgrade their analytics systems to counter the threat of new cyberattacks and military aggression across Europe.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s adjusted gross margin rose from 71% in 2019 to 81% in 2020, then increased to 82% in 2021. That ongoing expansion indicates it still has plenty of pricing power in the data mining and analytics market.</p><h2>Why do the bears hate Palantir?</h2><p>The bears dislike Palantir because it faces a hidden competitor within the U.S. government, it&#39;s unprofitable, and its stock still isn&#39;t cheap.</p><p>Palantir has a controversial reputation because its co-founder Peter Thiel was a vocal supporter of former President Donald Trump. Immigration and Customs Enforcement&#39;s (ICE) usage of Gotham to deport undocumented immigrants also sparked internal protests and resignations across the company.</p><p>Those controversies, along with long-term cost concerns, have reportedly driven ICE to develop its own internal replacement for Gotham called RAVEn. If other U.S. government agencies follow ICE&#39;s lead, Palantir&#39;s dream of becoming the &#34;default operating system for data across the U.S. government&#34; (which it boldly set in its S-1 filing) could quickly end.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s net loss widened from $580 million in 2019 to $1.17 billion in 2020, partly due to the costs of its direct listing, and narrowed to $520 million in 2021. That red ink makes Palantir a risky stock to own as interest rates rise.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s stock has nearly taken a round trip back to its initial opening price, but it still isn&#39;t undervalued at 12 times this year&#39;s sales. By comparison, <b>Twilio </b>(TWLO -6.26%) -- the cloud-based communications company which expects to generate at least 30% organic revenue growth over the next few years -- trades at just six times this year&#39;s sales.</p><p>To make matter worse, Palantir continues to dilute its shares with its generous stock-based compensation (50% of its revenue in 2021) as its insiders cash out. On a weighted-average basis, Palantir&#39;s outstanding shares nearly doubled in 2021. Yet over the past three months, its insiders sold more than twice as many shares as they purchased.</p><h2>The bears still have the upper hand</h2><p>Palantir&#39;s business should continue to grow at an impressive clip this year, but its ongoing losses, dilution, and insider sales indicate its stock could still drop even further in this challenging market. Therefore, I believe investors should avoid Palantir until its price-to-sales ratio drops to the single digits.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Technologies Stock: Bear vs. Bull</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Technologies Stock: Bear vs. Bull\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-28 15:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/27/palantir-technologies-stock-bear-vs-bull/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies' stock took investors on a wild ride after it went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data-mining firm's shares started trading at $10, closed at an all-time high...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/27/palantir-technologies-stock-bear-vs-bull/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/27/palantir-technologies-stock-bear-vs-bull/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230454741","content_text":"Palantir Technologies' stock took investors on a wild ride after it went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data-mining firm's shares started trading at $10, closed at an all-time high of $39 last January, but subsequently tumbled all the way back to about $12 a share.Does that pullback represent a good buying opportunity for patient investors? Let's review the bull and bear cases to decide.Image source: Getty Images.What does Palantir do?Palantir operates two main software platforms: Gotham, which serves government clients; and Foundry, which serves large enterprises and private organizations. A third platform, Apollo, provides automatic software updates for both platforms as a cloud-based service.Palantir's software aggregates data from disparate sources and then analyzes it with artificial intelligence algorithms to help organizations make informed decisions. For example, the U.S. Army uses Gotham to collect intel from various government agencies and local sources to plan missions. Large companies can also use its algorithms to streamline their operations.Why do the bulls love Palantir?The bulls love Palantir because it has firm ties to the U.S. government, it generates robust growth, and its gross margins are expanding.Palantir's revenue rose 47% in 2020, then grew 41% to $1.54 billion in 2021. It ended 2021 with a high dollar-based net retention rate of 131%, and it expects its revenue to grow by at least 30% annually through 2025.Its government revenue in 2021 rose 34% to $645 million, but it still decelerated from its 77% growth in 2020. However, its commercial revenue in 2021 increased 47% to $897 million, which accelerated from its 22% growth in 2020.The acceleration of its commercial business silenced the bears who initially claimed Palantir would struggle against similar data-mining companies like C3.ai, Alteryx, and Salesforce in the crowded enterprise analytics market.The bulls also believe its government slowdown is temporary since it still secured plenty of new deals over the past year. In addition, Ukraine war could generate fresh tailwinds for Gotham as more government agencies upgrade their analytics systems to counter the threat of new cyberattacks and military aggression across Europe.Palantir's adjusted gross margin rose from 71% in 2019 to 81% in 2020, then increased to 82% in 2021. That ongoing expansion indicates it still has plenty of pricing power in the data mining and analytics market.Why do the bears hate Palantir?The bears dislike Palantir because it faces a hidden competitor within the U.S. government, it's unprofitable, and its stock still isn't cheap.Palantir has a controversial reputation because its co-founder Peter Thiel was a vocal supporter of former President Donald Trump. Immigration and Customs Enforcement's (ICE) usage of Gotham to deport undocumented immigrants also sparked internal protests and resignations across the company.Those controversies, along with long-term cost concerns, have reportedly driven ICE to develop its own internal replacement for Gotham called RAVEn. If other U.S. government agencies follow ICE's lead, Palantir's dream of becoming the \"default operating system for data across the U.S. government\" (which it boldly set in its S-1 filing) could quickly end.Palantir's net loss widened from $580 million in 2019 to $1.17 billion in 2020, partly due to the costs of its direct listing, and narrowed to $520 million in 2021. That red ink makes Palantir a risky stock to own as interest rates rise.Palantir's stock has nearly taken a round trip back to its initial opening price, but it still isn't undervalued at 12 times this year's sales. By comparison, Twilio (TWLO -6.26%) -- the cloud-based communications company which expects to generate at least 30% organic revenue growth over the next few years -- trades at just six times this year's sales.To make matter worse, Palantir continues to dilute its shares with its generous stock-based compensation (50% of its revenue in 2021) as its insiders cash out. On a weighted-average basis, Palantir's outstanding shares nearly doubled in 2021. Yet over the past three months, its insiders sold more than twice as many shares as they purchased.The bears still have the upper handPalantir's business should continue to grow at an impressive clip this year, but its ongoing losses, dilution, and insider sales indicate its stock could still drop even further in this challenging market. Therefore, I believe investors should avoid Palantir until its price-to-sales ratio drops to the single digits.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084325277,"gmtCreate":1650814681079,"gmtModify":1676534797493,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084325277","repostId":"2229815110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229815110","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650681404,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229815110?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-23 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229815110","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Wall Street is bullish on Palantir because it see catalysts for the company's long-term growth. But the software company's stock price has been cratering.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising adoption of crypto, investors have witnessed peaks and valleys in growth stocks since the outset of the pandemic.</p><p>Data analytics provider <b>Palantir Technologies</b> often finds its name in the headlines because both the public and private sectors are increasingly using the company&#39;s robust software platform. However, over the last 12 months, the company&#39;s stock has cratered by 45%. But as investor enthusiasm has waned, Wall Street has identified some catalysts that could serve as long-term growth drivers for the stock.</p><h2>What is Wall Street saying?</h2><p>Over the last month, Wall Street banks <b>Piper Sandler</b> and Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Company have initiated coverage of Palantir stock and assigned a buy or buy-equivalent rating. Piper Sandler&#39;s current price target is $15 per share, while Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Company arrived at $20 per share, which implies a 67% upside from where the stock trades today.</p><p>Alongside Palantir&#39;s 2021 earnings results, management issued guidance with expectations of at least 30% revenue growth year over year through 2025. Both banks believe that this target is achievable, given Palantir&#39;s most recent operating results, and highlighted increased sales and marketing hiring, as well as continued geographic penetration, as top tailwinds that could propel the company forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F674957%2Fgettyimages-1294781573.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"410\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Are these points valid?</h2><p>In 2021, Palantir generated $1.5 billion in revenue, up 41% year over year. What&#39;s most impressive about this growth is the company&#39;s penetration of both the public and private sectors. In its early days, Palantir primarily focused on selling software products to the U.S. Government. However, its 2021 results showcased how the company is beginning to gain traction in the commercial atmosphere. Given Palantir&#39;s ability to expand beyond its core end market of government agencies and win large deals in the private sector, Wall Street believes that Palantir should be able to reach its future revenue commitment of at least 30%.</p><p>In 2021, Palantir grew revenue in its commercial segment by 34% year over year. Moreover, commercial-sector customers <i>tripled </i>in 2021 to 147 total clients.</p><p>Perhaps the most encouraging indicator of Palantir&#39;s capabilities is its net dollar retention, which measures how much a company&#39;s recurring revenue has increased or decreased over some time by accounting for expansions, as well as churn. Net dollar retention was 113% in the commercial sector, while Palantir&#39;s government business reported 146%.  The impressive net dollar retention has contributed nicely to Palantir&#39;s profitability profile. For the year ended Dec. 31, 2021, Palantir&#39;s operating cash flow was $334 million. To reach its long-term revenue goal, Palantir has stated its intent to aggressively invest in sales efforts.</p><p>For reference, the company began 2021 with only 12 members of its U.S. commercial sales force. But by year&#39;s end, Palantir had grown this to a team of 80. Throughout the year, it signed several impressive customers in the commercial realm such as <b>The Merck Group</b> and Korean shipbuilder <b>Hyundai Heavy Industries</b>. To nurture these customers and augment growth in other areas around the globe, Palantir will parallel its U.S. commercial-sector hiring strategy and target additional sales representatives throughout western Europe in countries like France, Germany, and Italy, as well as in South Korea and the Middle East.</p><p>Another key focus that made Wall Street perk up is Palantir&#39;s ongoing investment in digital transformation. Although areas such as customer relationship management (CRM) or financial reporting analytics have their own specific tools, Palantir differentiates itself because its platforms mesh together software, artificial intelligence, and data analytics into one cohesive solution. As data becomes more integral for decision-makers inside corporations, Palantir could benefit from its all-in-one platform.</p><h2>Keep an eye on valuation</h2><p>Palantir stock is down over 30% since early January and over 40% during the last 12 months. Currently, the company is trading at 15 times its trailing-12-month sales. By comparison, Palantir was trading at 21 times trailing-12-month sales around the same time in 2021.</p><p>Despite Palantir&#39;s sell-off, Wall Street has highlighted several interesting growth drivers for the company. Moreover, the catalysts identified are meant to serve long-term growth rather than short-term momentum. The company is trading at a significant discount compared to its prior highs and has created a roadmap to generate and sustain long-term growth. As a result, now might be the optimal time to take a look at Palantir for your own portfolio.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-23 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229815110","content_text":"Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising adoption of crypto, investors have witnessed peaks and valleys in growth stocks since the outset of the pandemic.Data analytics provider Palantir Technologies often finds its name in the headlines because both the public and private sectors are increasingly using the company's robust software platform. However, over the last 12 months, the company's stock has cratered by 45%. But as investor enthusiasm has waned, Wall Street has identified some catalysts that could serve as long-term growth drivers for the stock.What is Wall Street saying?Over the last month, Wall Street banks Piper Sandler and Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Company have initiated coverage of Palantir stock and assigned a buy or buy-equivalent rating. Piper Sandler's current price target is $15 per share, while Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Company arrived at $20 per share, which implies a 67% upside from where the stock trades today.Alongside Palantir's 2021 earnings results, management issued guidance with expectations of at least 30% revenue growth year over year through 2025. Both banks believe that this target is achievable, given Palantir's most recent operating results, and highlighted increased sales and marketing hiring, as well as continued geographic penetration, as top tailwinds that could propel the company forward.Image source: Getty Images.Are these points valid?In 2021, Palantir generated $1.5 billion in revenue, up 41% year over year. What's most impressive about this growth is the company's penetration of both the public and private sectors. In its early days, Palantir primarily focused on selling software products to the U.S. Government. However, its 2021 results showcased how the company is beginning to gain traction in the commercial atmosphere. Given Palantir's ability to expand beyond its core end market of government agencies and win large deals in the private sector, Wall Street believes that Palantir should be able to reach its future revenue commitment of at least 30%.In 2021, Palantir grew revenue in its commercial segment by 34% year over year. Moreover, commercial-sector customers tripled in 2021 to 147 total clients.Perhaps the most encouraging indicator of Palantir's capabilities is its net dollar retention, which measures how much a company's recurring revenue has increased or decreased over some time by accounting for expansions, as well as churn. Net dollar retention was 113% in the commercial sector, while Palantir's government business reported 146%.  The impressive net dollar retention has contributed nicely to Palantir's profitability profile. For the year ended Dec. 31, 2021, Palantir's operating cash flow was $334 million. To reach its long-term revenue goal, Palantir has stated its intent to aggressively invest in sales efforts.For reference, the company began 2021 with only 12 members of its U.S. commercial sales force. But by year's end, Palantir had grown this to a team of 80. Throughout the year, it signed several impressive customers in the commercial realm such as The Merck Group and Korean shipbuilder Hyundai Heavy Industries. To nurture these customers and augment growth in other areas around the globe, Palantir will parallel its U.S. commercial-sector hiring strategy and target additional sales representatives throughout western Europe in countries like France, Germany, and Italy, as well as in South Korea and the Middle East.Another key focus that made Wall Street perk up is Palantir's ongoing investment in digital transformation. Although areas such as customer relationship management (CRM) or financial reporting analytics have their own specific tools, Palantir differentiates itself because its platforms mesh together software, artificial intelligence, and data analytics into one cohesive solution. As data becomes more integral for decision-makers inside corporations, Palantir could benefit from its all-in-one platform.Keep an eye on valuationPalantir stock is down over 30% since early January and over 40% during the last 12 months. Currently, the company is trading at 15 times its trailing-12-month sales. By comparison, Palantir was trading at 21 times trailing-12-month sales around the same time in 2021.Despite Palantir's sell-off, Wall Street has highlighted several interesting growth drivers for the company. Moreover, the catalysts identified are meant to serve long-term growth rather than short-term momentum. The company is trading at a significant discount compared to its prior highs and has created a roadmap to generate and sustain long-term growth. As a result, now might be the optimal time to take a look at Palantir for your own portfolio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9034171148,"gmtCreate":1647837624449,"gmtModify":1676534270534,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news&nbsp;","listText":"Good news&nbsp;","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034171148","repostId":"1173921394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173921394","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647819269,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173921394?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-21 07:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Poised to Open Slightly Higher on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173921394","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures we","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&amp;P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures were flat.</p><p>West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude oil benchmark, rose 0.5%, to around $105.25 a barrel.</p><p>Diplomacy is in focus this week as President Joe Biden heads to Brussels for a two-day meeting with allies from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and European nations. They will talk about the West’s response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>In addition, this week, the Senate Judiciary Committee will start its hearings on the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court.</p><p>This week’s earnings include: Nike on Monday; Adobe on Tuesday; Cintas, General Mills, KB Home on Wednesday; and Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO on Thursday.</p><p>This week’s notable economic events include: On Wednesday, the Census Bureau releases new-home sales data for February. On Thursday, the Census Bureau will release February’s durable goods report—often seen as a proxy for business investment, and the Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ended March 19. On Friday, the National Association of Realtors will release the Pending Home Sales Index for February.</p><h2>Nvidia, Moderna, Nike, Adobe, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</h2><p>Earnings highlights this week include Nike on Monday, Adobe on Tuesday, General Mills on Wednesday, and Darden Restaurants on Thursday. Nvidia will hold an investor day on Tuesday and Moderna will host an event Thursday to discuss its vaccine pipeline.</p><p>Economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s new-home sales data for February on Wednesday, followed by the National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index for February on Friday.</p><p>The Census Bureau will also release the durable goods report for February on Thursday—often seen as a proxy for business investment. Total new orders are expected to decline 0.5% from January, but when excluding transportation, they are seen rising 0.5%.</p><p>Geopolitics will also be in focus this week. U.S. President Joe Biden will travel to Brussels for a two-day meeting with NATO and EU leaders. The focus will be Western allies’ response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.</p><h2>Monday 3/21</h2><p>Nike reports third-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for February. Economists forecast a 0.55 reading, slightly lower than the January data. The index has had four consecutive positive monthly readings, which is associated with the economy growing faster than historical trends.</p><h2>Tuesday 3/22</h2><p>Adobe announces first-quarter fiscal-2022 earnings.</p><p>NetApp and Nvidia hold their 2022 investor days.</p><h2>Wednesday 3/23</h2><p>Cintas and General Mills report quarterly results.</p><p>Occidental Petroleum holds an investor meeting to discuss its low-carbon strategy. Shares of the upstream oil-and-gas company are up 94% this year, making it the best performer in the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new-home sales data for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 810,000 new single-family houses sold, roughly even with the January figure. The average selling price for a new home was a record $496,900 in January, while the median price was $422,300.</p><h2>Thursday 3/24</h2><p>President Biden meets with NATO and EU leaders to discuss Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The two-day summit will be held at NATO headquarters in Brussels.</p><p>Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>Moderna hosts its third annual Vaccines Day virtually. The mRNA-therapeutics pioneer will discuss the progress of its vaccines pipeline.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for February. New orders for manufactured durable goods are expected to decline 0.5% month over month to $277 billion. Excluding transportation, orders for durable goods are seen rising 0.5%, after increasing 0.7% in January.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on March 19. Claims have averaged 223,000 for the past four weeks and have normalized to roughly prepandemic levels. Continuing claims—the number of people receiving benefits under regular state unemployment-insurance programs—totaled 1.42 million as of March 5. That is the lowest figure in more than five decades, underscoring the tight labor market as job openings continue to outpace job seekers.</p><h2>Friday 3/25</h2><p>The National Association of Realtors reports its Pending Home Sales Index for February. Economists forecast a 1% increase in pending home sales, after a 5.7% drop in January.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Poised to Open Slightly Higher on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Poised to Open Slightly Higher on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-21 07:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-stocks-poised-to-open-slightly-higher-on-monday-51647816432?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-stocks-poised-to-open-slightly-higher-on-monday-51647816432?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","ADBE":"Adobe","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-stocks-poised-to-open-slightly-higher-on-monday-51647816432?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173921394","content_text":"U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures were flat.West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude oil benchmark, rose 0.5%, to around $105.25 a barrel.Diplomacy is in focus this week as President Joe Biden heads to Brussels for a two-day meeting with allies from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and European nations. They will talk about the West’s response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.In addition, this week, the Senate Judiciary Committee will start its hearings on the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court.This week’s earnings include: Nike on Monday; Adobe on Tuesday; Cintas, General Mills, KB Home on Wednesday; and Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO on Thursday.This week’s notable economic events include: On Wednesday, the Census Bureau releases new-home sales data for February. On Thursday, the Census Bureau will release February’s durable goods report—often seen as a proxy for business investment, and the Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ended March 19. On Friday, the National Association of Realtors will release the Pending Home Sales Index for February.Nvidia, Moderna, Nike, Adobe, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This WeekEarnings highlights this week include Nike on Monday, Adobe on Tuesday, General Mills on Wednesday, and Darden Restaurants on Thursday. Nvidia will hold an investor day on Tuesday and Moderna will host an event Thursday to discuss its vaccine pipeline.Economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s new-home sales data for February on Wednesday, followed by the National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index for February on Friday.The Census Bureau will also release the durable goods report for February on Thursday—often seen as a proxy for business investment. Total new orders are expected to decline 0.5% from January, but when excluding transportation, they are seen rising 0.5%.Geopolitics will also be in focus this week. U.S. President Joe Biden will travel to Brussels for a two-day meeting with NATO and EU leaders. The focus will be Western allies’ response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.Monday 3/21Nike reports third-quarter fiscal-2022 results.The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for February. Economists forecast a 0.55 reading, slightly lower than the January data. The index has had four consecutive positive monthly readings, which is associated with the economy growing faster than historical trends.Tuesday 3/22Adobe announces first-quarter fiscal-2022 earnings.NetApp and Nvidia hold their 2022 investor days.Wednesday 3/23Cintas and General Mills report quarterly results.Occidental Petroleum holds an investor meeting to discuss its low-carbon strategy. Shares of the upstream oil-and-gas company are up 94% this year, making it the best performer in the S&P 500 index.The Census Bureau reports new-home sales data for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 810,000 new single-family houses sold, roughly even with the January figure. The average selling price for a new home was a record $496,900 in January, while the median price was $422,300.Thursday 3/24President Biden meets with NATO and EU leaders to discuss Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The two-day summit will be held at NATO headquarters in Brussels.Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.Moderna hosts its third annual Vaccines Day virtually. The mRNA-therapeutics pioneer will discuss the progress of its vaccines pipeline.The Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for February. New orders for manufactured durable goods are expected to decline 0.5% month over month to $277 billion. Excluding transportation, orders for durable goods are seen rising 0.5%, after increasing 0.7% in January.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on March 19. Claims have averaged 223,000 for the past four weeks and have normalized to roughly prepandemic levels. Continuing claims—the number of people receiving benefits under regular state unemployment-insurance programs—totaled 1.42 million as of March 5. That is the lowest figure in more than five decades, underscoring the tight labor market as job openings continue to outpace job seekers.Friday 3/25The National Association of Realtors reports its Pending Home Sales Index for February. Economists forecast a 1% increase in pending home sales, after a 5.7% drop in January.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9003573847,"gmtCreate":1641023202832,"gmtModify":1676533566016,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Possible&nbsp;","listText":"Possible&nbsp;","text":"Possible","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9003573847","repostId":"2195448557","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2195448557","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1640964603,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2195448557?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-12-31 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Could Apple's Market Cap Hit $4 Trillion in 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2195448557","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"As the Street wonders when Apple can break through the $3 trillion mark, investors should look even further ahead: Is a $4 trillion market cap on the horizon?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of technology giant <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL) soared in 2021. As of Dec. 30, the stock had gained 34% in 2021. This put the market cap at more than $2.9 trillion.</p><p>While many recent headlines about the company have focused on its market capitalization approaching $3 trillion, investors might be wise to consider an even more bullish target: $4 trillion. Indeed, a close look at the stock suggests that a $4 trillion market cap could be within reach for the tech company in the near future -- possibly even within 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759ce68147322ebcd7995f48e3873e6e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>The path to $4 trillion</h2><p>A close look at Apple stock&#39;s conservative valuation and the company&#39;s broad-based momentum makes a good case for shares being undervalued today, setting the stage for a potential $4 trillion market capitalization in 2022.</p><p>The first way Apple stock could gain is simply through expansion in its valuation multiple. Some megacap stocks trade at substantially higher multiples relative to their free cash flow (FCF) than Apple does. If Apple can close the gap and command a similar premium, multiple expansion alone could help the stock rise substantially.</p><p>Consider that <b>Microsoft</b> (NASDAQ:MSFT) trades at 42 times its free cash flow. Apple, meanwhile, trades at only 31 times its FCF. Apple&#39;s stock price would have to rise 35% for its FCF valuation multiple to match Microsoft&#39;s. This alone would put the company&#39;s market capitalization at about $4 trillion.</p><p>There is actually a good case for Apple stock&#39;s valuation to see multiple expansion in the coming years: The tech giant&#39;s services business, which is a more reliable revenue source than its products, is growing as a percentage of Apple&#39;s total business. With a more predictable and reliable revenue source (that appears to still have lots of upside) increasingly driving Apple&#39;s growth, investors may start rewarding the stock with higher valuation multiples. In fiscal 2021, Apple&#39;s services revenue was 19% of revenue, up from less than 18% of revenue two years ago and 15% three years ago.</p><p>But even without this much multiple expansion, strong fundamentals could lift Apple shares meaningfully in 2022 and beyond. Consider that the company is seeing strong double-digit revenue growth recently, with record fiscal fourth-quarter revenue across every geographic and product segment. Specifically, Apple&#39;s fiscal fourth-quarter revenue came in at $83.4 billion, up from $64.7 billion in the year-ago quarter. But management estimates that revenue for the period would have been $6 billion higher if it weren&#39;t for supply constraints during the period.</p><p>Suffice to say, Apple&#39;s business is firing on all cylinders. With momentum in every geographic and product segment, it wouldn&#39;t be surprising to see double-digit growth rates in the company&#39;s revenue and free cash flow in fiscal 2022, providing solid substance for more share gains.</p><h2>Expect a bumpy ride</h2><p>While it is possible that Apple&#39;s market capitalization swells to $4 trillion before the end of 2022, there are no guarantees in investing. Even if everything goes well for Apple as a business, the stock itself could do poorly in the near term. Sometimes, for one reason or another, stocks fall in and out of favor. So even though shares appear undervalued today, the stock could fall before it rises.</p><p>And there&#39;s always a chance that Apple sees multiple <i>compression</i> instead of multiple expansion. While Apple&#39;s business fundamentals appear worthy of a Microsoft-like premium, the company&#39;s shares have usually traded at a discount to Microsoft&#39;s in terms of valuation multiples because Microsoft&#39;s business model is considered to be more sustainable and less dependent on blockbuster product hits like new iPhones. Apple notably also makes more than half of its sales from a single product: the iPhone. Its heavy reliance on a single product segment generally makes Wall Street view the stock as risker than Microsoft, which has a business primarily made up of recurring revenue from various software and services sources.</p><p>But given Apple&#39;s long history of pricing power, loyal customers, and an ability to bring to market products in entirely new categories every now and then, the tech company will likely keep succeeding -- and its market cap could march toward $4 trillion.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Could Apple's Market Cap Hit $4 Trillion in 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCould Apple's Market Cap Hit $4 Trillion in 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-31 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/31/could-apples-market-cap-hit-4-trillion-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of technology giant Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) soared in 2021. As of Dec. 30, the stock had gained 34% in 2021. This put the market cap at more than $2.9 trillion.While many recent headlines about the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/31/could-apples-market-cap-hit-4-trillion-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4211":"区域性银行","FCF":"第一联邦金融","AAPL":"苹果","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4538":"云计算","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","MSFT":"微软","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/31/could-apples-market-cap-hit-4-trillion-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2195448557","content_text":"Shares of technology giant Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) soared in 2021. As of Dec. 30, the stock had gained 34% in 2021. This put the market cap at more than $2.9 trillion.While many recent headlines about the company have focused on its market capitalization approaching $3 trillion, investors might be wise to consider an even more bullish target: $4 trillion. Indeed, a close look at the stock suggests that a $4 trillion market cap could be within reach for the tech company in the near future -- possibly even within 2022.Image source: Getty Images.The path to $4 trillionA close look at Apple stock's conservative valuation and the company's broad-based momentum makes a good case for shares being undervalued today, setting the stage for a potential $4 trillion market capitalization in 2022.The first way Apple stock could gain is simply through expansion in its valuation multiple. Some megacap stocks trade at substantially higher multiples relative to their free cash flow (FCF) than Apple does. If Apple can close the gap and command a similar premium, multiple expansion alone could help the stock rise substantially.Consider that Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) trades at 42 times its free cash flow. Apple, meanwhile, trades at only 31 times its FCF. Apple's stock price would have to rise 35% for its FCF valuation multiple to match Microsoft's. This alone would put the company's market capitalization at about $4 trillion.There is actually a good case for Apple stock's valuation to see multiple expansion in the coming years: The tech giant's services business, which is a more reliable revenue source than its products, is growing as a percentage of Apple's total business. With a more predictable and reliable revenue source (that appears to still have lots of upside) increasingly driving Apple's growth, investors may start rewarding the stock with higher valuation multiples. In fiscal 2021, Apple's services revenue was 19% of revenue, up from less than 18% of revenue two years ago and 15% three years ago.But even without this much multiple expansion, strong fundamentals could lift Apple shares meaningfully in 2022 and beyond. Consider that the company is seeing strong double-digit revenue growth recently, with record fiscal fourth-quarter revenue across every geographic and product segment. Specifically, Apple's fiscal fourth-quarter revenue came in at $83.4 billion, up from $64.7 billion in the year-ago quarter. But management estimates that revenue for the period would have been $6 billion higher if it weren't for supply constraints during the period.Suffice to say, Apple's business is firing on all cylinders. With momentum in every geographic and product segment, it wouldn't be surprising to see double-digit growth rates in the company's revenue and free cash flow in fiscal 2022, providing solid substance for more share gains.Expect a bumpy rideWhile it is possible that Apple's market capitalization swells to $4 trillion before the end of 2022, there are no guarantees in investing. Even if everything goes well for Apple as a business, the stock itself could do poorly in the near term. Sometimes, for one reason or another, stocks fall in and out of favor. So even though shares appear undervalued today, the stock could fall before it rises.And there's always a chance that Apple sees multiple compression instead of multiple expansion. While Apple's business fundamentals appear worthy of a Microsoft-like premium, the company's shares have usually traded at a discount to Microsoft's in terms of valuation multiples because Microsoft's business model is considered to be more sustainable and less dependent on blockbuster product hits like new iPhones. Apple notably also makes more than half of its sales from a single product: the iPhone. Its heavy reliance on a single product segment generally makes Wall Street view the stock as risker than Microsoft, which has a business primarily made up of recurring revenue from various software and services sources.But given Apple's long history of pricing power, loyal customers, and an ability to bring to market products in entirely new categories every now and then, the tech company will likely keep succeeding -- and its market cap could march toward $4 trillion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084325954,"gmtCreate":1650814631531,"gmtModify":1676534797476,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084325954","repostId":"2229599011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229599011","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650691800,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229599011?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-23 13:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Nvidia Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2025?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229599011","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The chipmaker nearly joined the twelve-zero club last year, but it could be awhile before it gets back there.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Nvidia</b>&#39;s stock closed at an all-time high of $333.76 on Nov. 29, 2021, which gave the chipmaker a market cap of $834 billion. At the time, Nvidia seemed destined to become a trillion-dollar company.</p><p>But after hitting its all-time high, Nvidia&#39;s stock shed over a third of its value and its market cap dropped to less than $550 billion. The bulls fled amid concerns about a post-COVID-lockdown slowdown in PC sales, while rising interest rates exacerbated that pain by sparking a sell-off in higher-growth stocks.</p><p>Can Nvidia regain its momentum and finally join the twelve-zero club by 2025? Let&#39;s examine its upcoming catalysts and challenges to find out.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675321%2Frtx-platform-diagram.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Nvidia.</span></p><h2>Nvidia could face a cyclical slowdown</h2><p>Nvidia&#39;s stock hit an all-time high last year as its gaming and data center GPU business generated dazzling growth throughout the pandemic.</p><p>In the 2022 fiscal year, which ended this January, Nvidia&#39;s revenue surged 61% to $26.91 billion as its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew 78%. Its adjusted operating margin jumped 640 basis points to 47.2%. It attributed most of that growth to its robust sales of gaming and data center GPUs.</p><p>But over the next three fiscal years, analysts expect Nvidia&#39;s revenue growth to decelerate as that upgrade cycle cools off. On the bright side, they expect its adjusted operating margin to consistently rise as it benefits from improved scale and pricing power in the GPU market.</p><table border=\"1\" width=\"598\"><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr valign=\"TOP\"><th width=\"239\"><p>Metric</p></th><th width=\"104\"><p>FY 2023 Estimate</p></th><th width=\"94\"><p>FY 2024 Estimate</p></th><th width=\"103\"><p>FY 2025 Estimate</p></th></tr><tr valign=\"TOP\"><td width=\"239\"><p><b>Revenue Growth</b></p></td><td width=\"104\"><p>29%</p></td><td width=\"94\"><p>17%</p></td><td width=\"103\"><p>12%</p></td></tr><tr valign=\"TOP\"><td width=\"239\"><p><b>Adjusted operating margin</b></p></td><td width=\"104\"><p>48.3%</p></td><td width=\"94\"><p>49.4%</p></td><td width=\"103\"><p>51%</p></td></tr><tr valign=\"TOP\"><td width=\"239\"><p><b>Adjusted EPS growth </b></p></td><td width=\"104\"><p>15%</p></td><td width=\"94\"><p>34%</p></td><td width=\"103\"><p>11%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence.</p><p>If those expectations are met, Nvidia would generate $45.64 billion in revenue with an adjusted EPS of $6.59 in fiscal 2025.</p><p>Nvidia currently trades at 16 times its revenue and about 50 times its EPS estimate for fiscal 2023. If Nvidia still trades at those forward valuations at the end of fiscal 2024 and hits the estimates, it would have a market cap of about $730 billion.</p><p>However, those valuations would still be too rich for a company that&#39;s growing its revenue and earnings in the low teens. Therefore, I think Nvidia&#39;s market cap might stay between $500 billion and $700 billion over the next three years as it grapples with a cyclical slowdown in the GPU market.</p><h2>The near-term headwinds</h2><p>Investors should take analysts&#39; estimates with a grain of salt, but Nvidia stock likely needs to take a breather after its big growth spurt over the past few years.</p><p>In <b>HP</b>&#39;s (NYSE: HPQ) latest earnings report, it said its sales of consumer PCs fell 1% year-over-year as it faced tough comparisons to the boost it got from remote work and gaming upgrades during the pandemic. That slowdown doesn&#39;t bode well for Nvidia and other PC chipmakers.</p><p>Meanwhile, data center operators might buy fewer Nvidia GPUs for AI tasks as the usage of cloud-based services decelerates in a post-lockdown market. Waning interest in cryptocurrencies, many of which have lost value this year as investors have rotated out of riskier assets, will also curb sales of its gaming GPUs and dedicated mining chips.</p><p>To make matters worse, <b>Intel</b> (NASDAQ: INTC) plans to disrupt Nvidia and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a></b>&#39;s (NASDAQ: AMD) duopoly in discrete GPUs with its own chips. These new GPUs, which Intel is bundling with its own CPUs, could cause more headaches for Nvidia and AMD as the broader gaming market slows down.</p><h2>The long-term tailwinds</h2><p>Those challenges seem daunting, but Nvidia has weathered plenty of cyclical downturns and competitive threats since its public debut in 1999. It also remains the dominant discrete GPU maker with an 81% market share, according to JPR&#39;s fourth-quarter numbers, compared to AMD&#39;s 19% share.</p><p>The gaming and data center markets should also keep expanding over the next few years. The gaming PC market could expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.9% between 2021 and 2027, according to Report Ocean, while Research and Markets expects the data center accelerator market to grow at a CAGR of 36.7% between 2021 and 2026.</p><p>If Nvidia continues to dominate both of those growing markets, its cyclical slowdown could end a lot sooner than expected. Its oft-overlooked automotive chip business -- which generated just 2% of revenue in its latest quarter -- could also gain more traction as the automotive sector gradually recovers and develops new connected and autonomous vehicles.</p><h2>Look beyond Nvidia&#39;s market cap</h2><p>Nvidia probably won&#39;t become a trillion-dollar company by 2025, and investors who were spoiled by its 380% rally over the past three years might be a bit disappointed. However, it&#39;s arguably better for Nvidia&#39;s stock to cool off now and reset the market&#39;s expectations instead of flying off the rails with runaway valuations.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s stock might generate much lower returns over the next three years, but investors shouldn&#39;t abandon the chipmaker yet. Long-term secular tailwinds could still propel its stock to new all-time highs.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Nvidia Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Nvidia Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-23 13:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/will-nvidia-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia's stock closed at an all-time high of $333.76 on Nov. 29, 2021, which gave the chipmaker a market cap of $834 billion. At the time, Nvidia seemed destined to become a trillion-dollar company....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/will-nvidia-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4503":"景林资产持仓","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4543":"AI","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4549":"软银资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/will-nvidia-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229599011","content_text":"Nvidia's stock closed at an all-time high of $333.76 on Nov. 29, 2021, which gave the chipmaker a market cap of $834 billion. At the time, Nvidia seemed destined to become a trillion-dollar company.But after hitting its all-time high, Nvidia's stock shed over a third of its value and its market cap dropped to less than $550 billion. The bulls fled amid concerns about a post-COVID-lockdown slowdown in PC sales, while rising interest rates exacerbated that pain by sparking a sell-off in higher-growth stocks.Can Nvidia regain its momentum and finally join the twelve-zero club by 2025? Let's examine its upcoming catalysts and challenges to find out.Image source: Nvidia.Nvidia could face a cyclical slowdownNvidia's stock hit an all-time high last year as its gaming and data center GPU business generated dazzling growth throughout the pandemic.In the 2022 fiscal year, which ended this January, Nvidia's revenue surged 61% to $26.91 billion as its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew 78%. Its adjusted operating margin jumped 640 basis points to 47.2%. It attributed most of that growth to its robust sales of gaming and data center GPUs.But over the next three fiscal years, analysts expect Nvidia's revenue growth to decelerate as that upgrade cycle cools off. On the bright side, they expect its adjusted operating margin to consistently rise as it benefits from improved scale and pricing power in the GPU market.MetricFY 2023 EstimateFY 2024 EstimateFY 2025 EstimateRevenue Growth29%17%12%Adjusted operating margin48.3%49.4%51%Adjusted EPS growth 15%34%11%Data source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.If those expectations are met, Nvidia would generate $45.64 billion in revenue with an adjusted EPS of $6.59 in fiscal 2025.Nvidia currently trades at 16 times its revenue and about 50 times its EPS estimate for fiscal 2023. If Nvidia still trades at those forward valuations at the end of fiscal 2024 and hits the estimates, it would have a market cap of about $730 billion.However, those valuations would still be too rich for a company that's growing its revenue and earnings in the low teens. Therefore, I think Nvidia's market cap might stay between $500 billion and $700 billion over the next three years as it grapples with a cyclical slowdown in the GPU market.The near-term headwindsInvestors should take analysts' estimates with a grain of salt, but Nvidia stock likely needs to take a breather after its big growth spurt over the past few years.In HP's (NYSE: HPQ) latest earnings report, it said its sales of consumer PCs fell 1% year-over-year as it faced tough comparisons to the boost it got from remote work and gaming upgrades during the pandemic. That slowdown doesn't bode well for Nvidia and other PC chipmakers.Meanwhile, data center operators might buy fewer Nvidia GPUs for AI tasks as the usage of cloud-based services decelerates in a post-lockdown market. Waning interest in cryptocurrencies, many of which have lost value this year as investors have rotated out of riskier assets, will also curb sales of its gaming GPUs and dedicated mining chips.To make matters worse, Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) plans to disrupt Nvidia and AMD's (NASDAQ: AMD) duopoly in discrete GPUs with its own chips. These new GPUs, which Intel is bundling with its own CPUs, could cause more headaches for Nvidia and AMD as the broader gaming market slows down.The long-term tailwindsThose challenges seem daunting, but Nvidia has weathered plenty of cyclical downturns and competitive threats since its public debut in 1999. It also remains the dominant discrete GPU maker with an 81% market share, according to JPR's fourth-quarter numbers, compared to AMD's 19% share.The gaming and data center markets should also keep expanding over the next few years. The gaming PC market could expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.9% between 2021 and 2027, according to Report Ocean, while Research and Markets expects the data center accelerator market to grow at a CAGR of 36.7% between 2021 and 2026.If Nvidia continues to dominate both of those growing markets, its cyclical slowdown could end a lot sooner than expected. Its oft-overlooked automotive chip business -- which generated just 2% of revenue in its latest quarter -- could also gain more traction as the automotive sector gradually recovers and develops new connected and autonomous vehicles.Look beyond Nvidia's market capNvidia probably won't become a trillion-dollar company by 2025, and investors who were spoiled by its 380% rally over the past three years might be a bit disappointed. However, it's arguably better for Nvidia's stock to cool off now and reset the market's expectations instead of flying off the rails with runaway valuations.Nvidia's stock might generate much lower returns over the next three years, but investors shouldn't abandon the chipmaker yet. Long-term secular tailwinds could still propel its stock to new all-time highs.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007291242,"gmtCreate":1642901488427,"gmtModify":1676533755762,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[Like] [OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007291242","repostId":"2205248240","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2205248240","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1642898373,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2205248240?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-23 08:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Why SoFi's Long-Awaited Bank Charter Will Make the Business Better","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205248240","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Regulators have granted SoFi conditional approval on its application to become a bank.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After a difficult few months for the stock, <b>SoFi</b> (NASDAQ:SOFI) shareholders got some welcome news recently when regulators approved the company&#39;s application to become a bank. Now, SoFi will be able to complete its previously announced acquisition of <b>Golden Pacific Bancorp</b> and become a bank holding company.</p><p>SoFi plans to capitalize the bank with $750 million, and the bank will have $5.3 billion of assets once the deal with Golden Pacific closes, which is expected to happen in February. Following the news of the bank charter, SoFi&#39;s stock shot up.</p><p>Here&#39;s why SoFi&#39;s long-awaited bank charter will improve the company&#39;s operations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b043430dd6fd8a492604fcb1cb4193d3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2>Streamlining operations</h2><p>Despite competing in the banking space, many fintech companies start as tech companies and do not have a formal banking license -- they are not easy to obtain. So, most fintechs tend to partner with licensed banks to do things like hold the deposits they gather from their members (unlicensed banks can&#39;t hold deposits on their balance sheet) and originate loans for them in some cases. This typically involves some kind of revenue share. Additionally, because banks can&#39;t use deposits to fund loan originations, they have to use higher-cost funding.</p><p>One of the main benefits of the bank charter will be enabling SoFi to lower its interest expense, which is the interest SoFi pays on the debt it uses to fund assets such as loans. According to its recent regulatory filing, the company&#39;s current funding sources for originations include securitization debt and funding from warehouse facilities. SoFi pays interest on this funding of nearly 4% and 1.6%, respectively. This funding is also not as reliable in certain market conditions. Currently, most savings and checking accounts pay out very little interest, and even a lot of high-yield savings accounts pay much less interest than these higher-cost sources.</p><p>With the bank charter, SoFi will be able to transfer all of the deposits in its cash management SoFi Money product that it currently sends to a partner bank back into SoFi to hold. SoFi Money accounts topped 1.16 million at the end of the third quarter, so they should offer a decent source of funding that will also grow in the future. This will significantly lower SoFi&#39;s cost of funding loan originations, or it can maintain both sources if it needs them to grow.</p><p>Additionally, having a bank charter will make it easier for SoFi to hold loans on its balance sheet, whether that means holding loans for longer periods or to completion. Most fintech consumer lenders sell loans they originate right away to an investor or bank for a fee. But when you hold a loan on the balance sheet, you can collect interest payments every month, and that loan ends up being more profitable over its life, as long as it doesn&#39;t go into default.</p><p>With a bank charter, SoFi will have more clarity from a regulatory perspective on its operations. It is also another signal to investors that SoFi is a trustworthy lender. While the company has a good reputation, given that it has been originating loans for several years now, I think investors see it as a good sign that a fintech company is willing to take some risk on its balance sheet, although I am not yet sure how long SoFi plans to hold its loans.</p><p>In its first presentation, management showed the impact of the bank charter on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). While the numbers have likely changed, as this presentation is now roughly a year old, I think this is illustrative of how helpful the bank charter can be.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ca5ac4bdc2ba7427f2b507f42aeb914\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"642\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SoFi January 2021 investor presentation.</p><h2>Hitting a key milestone</h2><p>While the bank charter has been long anticipated, there was some question over it, given some of the regulatory uncertainty in the banking arena in Washington over the past few months. It is also no easy feat for any fintech to obtain a bank charter. The charter will make the deposits that SoFi gathers much more valuable and greatly help the unit economics in its lending division. Ultimately, expect revenue and EBITDA to be higher this year and going forward with the bank charter now secured.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why SoFi's Long-Awaited Bank Charter Will Make the Business Better</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why SoFi's Long-Awaited Bank Charter Will Make the Business Better\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-23 08:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/why-sofi-bank-charter-makes-business-better/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a difficult few months for the stock, SoFi (NASDAQ:SOFI) shareholders got some welcome news recently when regulators approved the company's application to become a bank. Now, SoFi will be able ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/why-sofi-bank-charter-makes-business-better/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4549":"软银资本持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc.","BK4166":"消费信贷"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/why-sofi-bank-charter-makes-business-better/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2205248240","content_text":"After a difficult few months for the stock, SoFi (NASDAQ:SOFI) shareholders got some welcome news recently when regulators approved the company's application to become a bank. Now, SoFi will be able to complete its previously announced acquisition of Golden Pacific Bancorp and become a bank holding company.SoFi plans to capitalize the bank with $750 million, and the bank will have $5.3 billion of assets once the deal with Golden Pacific closes, which is expected to happen in February. Following the news of the bank charter, SoFi's stock shot up.Here's why SoFi's long-awaited bank charter will improve the company's operations.Image source: Getty Images.Streamlining operationsDespite competing in the banking space, many fintech companies start as tech companies and do not have a formal banking license -- they are not easy to obtain. So, most fintechs tend to partner with licensed banks to do things like hold the deposits they gather from their members (unlicensed banks can't hold deposits on their balance sheet) and originate loans for them in some cases. This typically involves some kind of revenue share. Additionally, because banks can't use deposits to fund loan originations, they have to use higher-cost funding.One of the main benefits of the bank charter will be enabling SoFi to lower its interest expense, which is the interest SoFi pays on the debt it uses to fund assets such as loans. According to its recent regulatory filing, the company's current funding sources for originations include securitization debt and funding from warehouse facilities. SoFi pays interest on this funding of nearly 4% and 1.6%, respectively. This funding is also not as reliable in certain market conditions. Currently, most savings and checking accounts pay out very little interest, and even a lot of high-yield savings accounts pay much less interest than these higher-cost sources.With the bank charter, SoFi will be able to transfer all of the deposits in its cash management SoFi Money product that it currently sends to a partner bank back into SoFi to hold. SoFi Money accounts topped 1.16 million at the end of the third quarter, so they should offer a decent source of funding that will also grow in the future. This will significantly lower SoFi's cost of funding loan originations, or it can maintain both sources if it needs them to grow.Additionally, having a bank charter will make it easier for SoFi to hold loans on its balance sheet, whether that means holding loans for longer periods or to completion. Most fintech consumer lenders sell loans they originate right away to an investor or bank for a fee. But when you hold a loan on the balance sheet, you can collect interest payments every month, and that loan ends up being more profitable over its life, as long as it doesn't go into default.With a bank charter, SoFi will have more clarity from a regulatory perspective on its operations. It is also another signal to investors that SoFi is a trustworthy lender. While the company has a good reputation, given that it has been originating loans for several years now, I think investors see it as a good sign that a fintech company is willing to take some risk on its balance sheet, although I am not yet sure how long SoFi plans to hold its loans.In its first presentation, management showed the impact of the bank charter on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). While the numbers have likely changed, as this presentation is now roughly a year old, I think this is illustrative of how helpful the bank charter can be.SoFi January 2021 investor presentation.Hitting a key milestoneWhile the bank charter has been long anticipated, there was some question over it, given some of the regulatory uncertainty in the banking arena in Washington over the past few months. It is also no easy feat for any fintech to obtain a bank charter. The charter will make the deposits that SoFi gathers much more valuable and greatly help the unit economics in its lending division. Ultimately, expect revenue and EBITDA to be higher this year and going forward with the bank charter now secured.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008777491,"gmtCreate":1641541160845,"gmtModify":1676533627272,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good to know&nbsp;","listText":"Good to know&nbsp;","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008777491","repostId":"2201260039","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2201260039","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1641533791,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2201260039?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-07 13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This 'cash cow' value-stock strategy can fatten your portfolio even if you fear the Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2201260039","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"A rising-rate environment spells risk for overvalued stocks. Companies with high cash flows can give","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A rising-rate environment spells risk for overvalued stocks. Companies with high cash flows can give investors some protection.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa675051bed7b1de03d0fe2990231ede\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Cash cows might be best for stock investors in a rising-interest-rate environment.</span></p><p>Value stocks have been outperforming growth stocks over the past six months, in part, because a change in Federal Reserve policy is signaling an extended period of rising interest rates. Within the value world, investors might be best-served by focusing on cash flow.</p><p>In the low-interest-rate environment through most of the coronavirus pandemic, growth strategies have worked best. But check out this six-month chart showing the total return of the $1.3 billion Pacer U.S. Cash Cows ETF compared with those of the Russell 1000 Growth and Value indexes and the benchmark S&amp;P 500 Index:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81a15f4cae6befe944066c2cb702c6b9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"572\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>FactSet</span></p><p>COWZ has beaten all three of the indexes over the past six months, and this action might continue, as stocks trading at high price-to-earnings valuations -- including the high-flying tech companies that have led the long bull market -- may continue to be more sensitive to rising interest rates than value stocks.</p><p>COWZ is rebalanced quarterly to hold the 100 stocks among the Russell 1000 that have the highest free cash flow yields for a rolling 12-month period. The stocks are equally weighted when the portfolio is rebalanced.</p><p>Pacer defines a company&#39;s free cash flow as its cash flow from operations after capital expenditures, which include expenses, interest, taxes and long-term investments. That figure for the past 12 months is divided by current market capitalizations each quarter when the exchange traded fund&#39;s portfolio is rebalanced. That means recent high-flyers are likely to be dropped from the portfolio.</p><p><b>Screening the cash cows</b></p><p>The COWZ strategy might appeal to investors who wish to diversify beyond the cap-weighted indexes that are most commonly tracked by index funds. For example, the top five companies held by the $456 billion SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust  -- Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp., Amazon.com Inc., Alphabet Inc. and Tesla Inc. -- make up 23% of the portfolio.</p><p>But some investors want to look at individual stocks. Here are three screens of the 100-stock COWZ portfolio. Each list includes market capitalization (in billions of dollars), dividend yields and a summary of opinions among analysts polled by FactSet:</p><p><b>Fattest cash cows</b></p><p>Here are the 10 largest stocks held in the COWZ portfolio, by market capitalization:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26707329f863a3a576d0cd1ccc613aa3\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"613\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Then read Tomi Kilgore&#39;s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.</p><p><b>Highest-yielding cash cows</b></p><p>Here are the 10 stocks in the COWZ portfolio with the highest dividend yields as of the close on Jan. 5:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da99eb8c82f22edf4d8c2122e7a2e04\" tg-width=\"1027\" tg-height=\"674\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Wall Street&#39;s favorite cash cows</b></p><p>Finally, here are the 12 stocks in the COWZ portfolio with the highest percentage of &#34;buy&#34; or equivalent ratings among analysts polled by FactSet. This group includes a dozen stocks, not 10, because three were tied with 82% &#34;buy&#34; ratings:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead369bb66cf15dd5f1f258d91ea3185\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"751\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This 'cash cow' value-stock strategy can fatten your portfolio even if you fear the Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis 'cash cow' value-stock strategy can fatten your portfolio even if you fear the Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-07 13:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-cash-cow-value-stock-strategy-can-fatten-your-portfolio-even-if-you-fear-the-fed-11641492520?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A rising-rate environment spells risk for overvalued stocks. Companies with high cash flows can give investors some protection.Cash cows might be best for stock investors in a rising-interest-rate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-cash-cow-value-stock-strategy-can-fatten-your-portfolio-even-if-you-fear-the-fed-11641492520?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4191":"家用电器",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4209":"餐馆","INTC":"英特尔","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4538":"云计算",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","HCTI":"Healthcare Triangle, Inc.","MSFT":"微软","BK4539":"次新股","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","COWZ":"Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","OLPX":"Olaplex Holdings, Inc.","BK4183":"个人用品","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4167":"医疗保健技术","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","XOM":"埃克森美孚","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BMY":"施贵宝","BK4555":"新能源车","TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-cash-cow-value-stock-strategy-can-fatten-your-portfolio-even-if-you-fear-the-fed-11641492520?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2201260039","content_text":"A rising-rate environment spells risk for overvalued stocks. Companies with high cash flows can give investors some protection.Cash cows might be best for stock investors in a rising-interest-rate environment.Value stocks have been outperforming growth stocks over the past six months, in part, because a change in Federal Reserve policy is signaling an extended period of rising interest rates. Within the value world, investors might be best-served by focusing on cash flow.In the low-interest-rate environment through most of the coronavirus pandemic, growth strategies have worked best. But check out this six-month chart showing the total return of the $1.3 billion Pacer U.S. Cash Cows ETF compared with those of the Russell 1000 Growth and Value indexes and the benchmark S&P 500 Index:FactSetCOWZ has beaten all three of the indexes over the past six months, and this action might continue, as stocks trading at high price-to-earnings valuations -- including the high-flying tech companies that have led the long bull market -- may continue to be more sensitive to rising interest rates than value stocks.COWZ is rebalanced quarterly to hold the 100 stocks among the Russell 1000 that have the highest free cash flow yields for a rolling 12-month period. The stocks are equally weighted when the portfolio is rebalanced.Pacer defines a company's free cash flow as its cash flow from operations after capital expenditures, which include expenses, interest, taxes and long-term investments. That figure for the past 12 months is divided by current market capitalizations each quarter when the exchange traded fund's portfolio is rebalanced. That means recent high-flyers are likely to be dropped from the portfolio.Screening the cash cowsThe COWZ strategy might appeal to investors who wish to diversify beyond the cap-weighted indexes that are most commonly tracked by index funds. For example, the top five companies held by the $456 billion SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust  -- Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp., Amazon.com Inc., Alphabet Inc. and Tesla Inc. -- make up 23% of the portfolio.But some investors want to look at individual stocks. Here are three screens of the 100-stock COWZ portfolio. Each list includes market capitalization (in billions of dollars), dividend yields and a summary of opinions among analysts polled by FactSet:Fattest cash cowsHere are the 10 largest stocks held in the COWZ portfolio, by market capitalization:Then read Tomi Kilgore's detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.Highest-yielding cash cowsHere are the 10 stocks in the COWZ portfolio with the highest dividend yields as of the close on Jan. 5:Wall Street's favorite cash cowsFinally, here are the 12 stocks in the COWZ portfolio with the highest percentage of \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among analysts polled by FactSet. This group includes a dozen stocks, not 10, because three were tied with 82% \"buy\" ratings:","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021144102,"gmtCreate":1653017976306,"gmtModify":1676535209517,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021144102","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir&#39;s current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir&#39;s stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir&#39;s share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: &#34;What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.&#34;</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir&#39;s future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon&#39;s (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir&#39;s current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir&#39;s stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management&#39;s 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir&#39;s growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir&#39;s segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir&#39;s sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir&#39;s growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management&#39;s discussion of Palantir&#39;s near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>&#34;We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir&#39;s share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir&#39;s revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir&#39;s growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir&#39;s total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir&#39;s total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir&#39;s rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir&#39;s capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: &#34;The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.&#34;</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir&#39;s products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world&#39;s governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: &#34;Literally every function of every business is breaking.&#34;</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company&#39;s deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir&#39;s collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company&#39;s various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir&#39;s profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company&#39;s adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir&#39;s GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir&#39;s cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir&#39;s Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir&#39;s investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir&#39;s declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir&#39;s business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&amp;D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir&#39;s 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir&#39;s stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir&#39;s potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird&#39;s eye view of Palantir&#39;s upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir&#39;s IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir&#39;s 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir&#39;s growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir&#39;s risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: &#34;We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031624258,"gmtCreate":1646549998101,"gmtModify":1676534138825,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031624258","repostId":"2217746440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2217746440","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1646435363,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2217746440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-05 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends down as Ukraine Fears Eclipse Solid Jobs Data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2217746440","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street ended lower on Friday as the war in Ukraine overshadowed an acceleration in U.S. jobs growth last month that pointed to strength in the economy.Most of the 11 major S&P sector indexes decl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended lower on Friday as the war in Ukraine overshadowed an acceleration in U.S. jobs growth last month that pointed to strength in the economy.</p><p>Most of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes declined, with financials leading the way with a 2% drop as investors worried about how the West&#39;s sanctions against Moscow may affect the international financial system.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 banks index fell 3.35%, bringing its loss for the week to nearly 9%, its worst weekly decline since June 2020.</p><p>Equities globally were weaker, with safe-haven assets in demand after Russian forces seized Europe&#39;s biggest nuclear power plant in what Washington called a reckless assault that risked catastrophe.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s closely watched employment report showed jobs grew by a more than expected 678,000 last month and that the unemployment rate fell to 3.8%, the lowest since February 2020.</p><p>&#34;Three or four weeks ago, we would have thought that this is an incredibly important number. But given the backdrop and the overall events that are happening in Europe, it&#39;s just not,&#34; said Zachary Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>&#34;The potential for escalation in the hot war, the potential for a growth impact in Europe and more broadly, and knock-on effects on the commodity channel and inflation are taking up all of investors&#39; time and energy,&#34; Hill said.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc , Apple Inc, Google owner-Alphabet Inc and Microsoft Corp all lost more than 1%.</p><p>The crisis in Ukraine boosted energy stocks as crude prices and other commodities rallied on the back of sanctions against Russia, a major oil producer. The S&amp;P 500 energy sector jumped 2.85% and gained about 9% for the week.</p><p>Richly valued growth stocks have faced the brunt of the recent selloff, with the S&amp;P 500 growth index    down 1.3% on Friday. The value index    declined 0.3%.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53% to end at 33,614.8 points, while the S&amp;P 500    lost 0.79% to 4,328.87.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.66% to 13,313.44.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 and Dow both fell 1.3%, while the Nasdaq gave up 2.8%.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said this week he would support a 25-basis-point interest rate increase at the central bank&#39;s March 15-16 policy meeting and would be &#34;prepared to move more aggressively&#34; later if inflation does not abate as fast as expected.</p><p>Soaring commodity prices have raised fears of even greater inflation, which could prompt the Fed to hike interest rates more aggressively.</p><p>Shares of WW International, formerly Weight Watchers, dropped over 8% after the Federal Trade Commission said the company &#34;illegally&#34; collected personal information from children without parental permission.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.70-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 406 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.9 billion shares, compared to a 20-day average of 12.6 billion, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends down as Ukraine Fears Eclipse Solid Jobs Data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends down as Ukraine Fears Eclipse Solid Jobs Data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-05 07:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended lower on Friday as the war in Ukraine overshadowed an acceleration in U.S. jobs growth last month that pointed to strength in the economy.</p><p>Most of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes declined, with financials leading the way with a 2% drop as investors worried about how the West&#39;s sanctions against Moscow may affect the international financial system.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 banks index fell 3.35%, bringing its loss for the week to nearly 9%, its worst weekly decline since June 2020.</p><p>Equities globally were weaker, with safe-haven assets in demand after Russian forces seized Europe&#39;s biggest nuclear power plant in what Washington called a reckless assault that risked catastrophe.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s closely watched employment report showed jobs grew by a more than expected 678,000 last month and that the unemployment rate fell to 3.8%, the lowest since February 2020.</p><p>&#34;Three or four weeks ago, we would have thought that this is an incredibly important number. But given the backdrop and the overall events that are happening in Europe, it&#39;s just not,&#34; said Zachary Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>&#34;The potential for escalation in the hot war, the potential for a growth impact in Europe and more broadly, and knock-on effects on the commodity channel and inflation are taking up all of investors&#39; time and energy,&#34; Hill said.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc , Apple Inc, Google owner-Alphabet Inc and Microsoft Corp all lost more than 1%.</p><p>The crisis in Ukraine boosted energy stocks as crude prices and other commodities rallied on the back of sanctions against Russia, a major oil producer. The S&amp;P 500 energy sector jumped 2.85% and gained about 9% for the week.</p><p>Richly valued growth stocks have faced the brunt of the recent selloff, with the S&amp;P 500 growth index    down 1.3% on Friday. The value index    declined 0.3%.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53% to end at 33,614.8 points, while the S&amp;P 500    lost 0.79% to 4,328.87.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.66% to 13,313.44.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 and Dow both fell 1.3%, while the Nasdaq gave up 2.8%.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said this week he would support a 25-basis-point interest rate increase at the central bank&#39;s March 15-16 policy meeting and would be &#34;prepared to move more aggressively&#34; later if inflation does not abate as fast as expected.</p><p>Soaring commodity prices have raised fears of even greater inflation, which could prompt the Fed to hike interest rates more aggressively.</p><p>Shares of WW International, formerly Weight Watchers, dropped over 8% after the Federal Trade Commission said the company &#34;illegally&#34; collected personal information from children without parental permission.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.70-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 406 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.9 billion shares, compared to a 20-day average of 12.6 billion, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4566":"资本集团","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4007":"制药","BK4196":"保健护理服务","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4082":"医疗保健设备","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4538":"云计算","BK4527":"明星科技股","DOG":"道指反向ETF","BK4579":"人工智能","CGEM":"Cullinan Therapeutics","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4574":"无人驾驶","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LABP":"Landos Biopharma, Inc.","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SANA":"Sana Biotechnology, Inc.","BK4514":"搜索引擎","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4576":"AR","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4139":"生物科技"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2217746440","content_text":"Wall Street ended lower on Friday as the war in Ukraine overshadowed an acceleration in U.S. jobs growth last month that pointed to strength in the economy.Most of the 11 major S&P sector indexes declined, with financials leading the way with a 2% drop as investors worried about how the West's sanctions against Moscow may affect the international financial system.The S&P 500 banks index fell 3.35%, bringing its loss for the week to nearly 9%, its worst weekly decline since June 2020.Equities globally were weaker, with safe-haven assets in demand after Russian forces seized Europe's biggest nuclear power plant in what Washington called a reckless assault that risked catastrophe.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report showed jobs grew by a more than expected 678,000 last month and that the unemployment rate fell to 3.8%, the lowest since February 2020.\"Three or four weeks ago, we would have thought that this is an incredibly important number. But given the backdrop and the overall events that are happening in Europe, it's just not,\" said Zachary Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.\"The potential for escalation in the hot war, the potential for a growth impact in Europe and more broadly, and knock-on effects on the commodity channel and inflation are taking up all of investors' time and energy,\" Hill said.Amazon.com Inc , Apple Inc, Google owner-Alphabet Inc and Microsoft Corp all lost more than 1%.The crisis in Ukraine boosted energy stocks as crude prices and other commodities rallied on the back of sanctions against Russia, a major oil producer. The S&P 500 energy sector jumped 2.85% and gained about 9% for the week.Richly valued growth stocks have faced the brunt of the recent selloff, with the S&P 500 growth index    down 1.3% on Friday. The value index    declined 0.3%.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53% to end at 33,614.8 points, while the S&P 500    lost 0.79% to 4,328.87.The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.66% to 13,313.44.For the week, the S&P 500 and Dow both fell 1.3%, while the Nasdaq gave up 2.8%.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said this week he would support a 25-basis-point interest rate increase at the central bank's March 15-16 policy meeting and would be \"prepared to move more aggressively\" later if inflation does not abate as fast as expected.Soaring commodity prices have raised fears of even greater inflation, which could prompt the Fed to hike interest rates more aggressively.Shares of WW International, formerly Weight Watchers, dropped over 8% after the Federal Trade Commission said the company \"illegally\" collected personal information from children without parental permission.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.70-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 406 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.9 billion shares, compared to a 20-day average of 12.6 billion, according to Refinitiv data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002642106,"gmtCreate":1642002788948,"gmtModify":1676533670884,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002642106","repostId":"1114732808","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114732808","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641995536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114732808?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-12 21:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114732808","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look strong","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir&#39;s share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look stronger than ever.</li><li>I see improved profitability in the future and a service that competitors will struggle to replicate.</li><li>Macro headwinds are a challenge, but just.</li><li>At worst, Palantir is worth $10, but I&#39;d definitely add at $15. There&#39;s still plenty of room for the company to surprise investors.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis Summary</b></p><p>Palantir’s(NYSE:PLTR)share price has fallen nearly 30% in the last six months amid a broader tech selloff. Bears have come out of the cave, with some going as far as declaring that the company is worth as little as $5 share.</p><p>Granted, the company has its problems, but it is still a pioneering company in a growing sector. Unlike the naysayers, I do believe that Palantir has a moat and I see evidence that it could achieve higher profitability as it scales.</p><p>What is Palantir’s “fair value”? Being conservative, I could go as low as $10/share, but the market won’t take it that low. At $15, this is a screaming buy due to its long-term potential. Growth in the private sector will be the definitive trend to watch for in the next decade.</p><p><b>Palantir does have a moat (for now)</b></p><p>One of the biggest areas of debate surrounding Palantir is the existence or lack of a “moat” around its business. When it comes to technology like AI, it can be hard for investors to understand just how “unique” a certain technology is.</p><p>Palantir offers Foundry for enterprises and Gotham for governments, which is an AI data analytics tool. Used in the right way and by the right people, it can be used to seamlessly sift through data and find patterns or trends that could potentially do anything from stopping a terrorist attack to optimizing supply chains.</p><p>Is this software unique? There are a lot of other companies in the lucrative space of data analytics, but few that have the capabilities of Palantir. Evidence of this, of course, is the large presence the company has achieved in the public sector. However, what is also misunderstood by many is that Palantir has amassed some of the best talent in the industry.</p><p>It is this combination of talent, which comes at the price of stock-based compensation, and a top of line software/AI, which give Palantir its moat.</p><p><b>Economies of scale are happening</b></p><p>The other main issue that people have with Palantir, is profitability. The company is losing cash every year and funding its operations through stock dilution. However, what people fail to see is that Palantir is funding growth and expansion. If the company wanted to, I believe it could indeed turn a profit as soon as next year. After all, the company has a levered FCF margin of around 35%.</p><p>But profitability isn’t what the company wants, as it is trying to grow revenues and expand. Having said that, for those that believe profitability is a pipedream, I found the most encouraging evidence of economies of scale in the latest earnings call presentation.During the Q&amp;A section, a very interesting point was made regarding the different modules that the company has been able to create for Foundry. In short, Palantir has been able to create specialized versions of Foundry which can be used for specific situations/industries. In other words, the company has been able to standardize its work to a degree. The data problems that one company faces, aren’t unique and from what I gather, Palantir can now deploy previously created modules to solve similar problems while decreasing the workload and deployment time.</p><p><b>How much is Palantir worth now and in the future?</b></p><p>With all of the above said, Palantir doesn’t seem to me like bad company. But is the valuation stretched? That depends on what multiples the market assigns, the actual growth rates, and the level of dilution we see moving forward.</p><p>In a previous article, I forecasted the revenue growth of Palantir based on current trends and estimates, and also looked at a possible trajectory for the overall share growth based on financing needs and balance sheet structure.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f751d9a2d6909956f9ca75d692d1eb3\" tg-width=\"717\" tg-height=\"261\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Growth</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d3c17b0966870585d0f4bc51a488ddb\" tg-width=\"728\" tg-height=\"759\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Shares</span></p><p>The projections for 2021 are on the higher side, but the growth fits the overall narrative of the company of going from a 40% growth rate to a stabilized 30% CAGR over the next decade. Also, bear in mind Palantir has typically beaten its revenue forecasts.</p><p>With this revenue and share count, we can easily calculate a target share price, all we need is to assign a P/S multiple.</p><p>In 2021, Palantir has traded at a P/S of around 20 and as high as 30. While I agree that this is on the higher end of the spectrum, it is much more reasonable than assigning a P/S of 5. I would argue the best way to find a reasonable ratio, is to find a comparable company, and I’d say Splunk Inc(NASDAQ:SPLK)is a good start. Splunk, like Palantir, is in the data business, it has similar margins and even a presence in the public sector, making it a close competitor to Palantir.</p><p>Splunk currently has a P/S of around 7.6, but it has also grown revenues at only 10% in the last year, far below Palantir’s 43% growth rate. With this in mind, I could easily justify Palantir having a P/S of 15. Even if you believe both Palantir and Splunk are due for further multiple contractions I think a P/S of 10 for Palantir is as low as the market will go. With that said, I’ll establish a price range using a P/S of 10-15 and using my forecasts for 2022 and 2025.</p><p>Therefore, my price target for 2022 based on P/S would be $11.5-$15.2. By 2025, at the same P/S, the shares would be worth between $24.6-$37. Bear in mind this implies a significant multiple contraction compared to what we have seen in 2021.</p><p><b>Other considerations</b></p><p>I think $10 is a floor that Palantir won’t break. I’d be happy to scoop up those shares at that price, and even at $15. Palantir is well-positioned for long-term growth, and it could pleasantly surprise investors, especially if it can make more inroads in the private sector. For now, indeed, unprofitable companies like Palantir are not fashionable, due to the idea that the Fed will be raising rates “soon”. This is yet to be seen.</p><p>As I’ve mentioned before, inflation will struggle to remain high while money velocity is trending lower. Could we have already seen the highest levels of inflation? Without direct fiscal stimulus (literally sending people money) inflation won’t persist, and without inflation low rates, cheap money and high growth will remain good investments.</p><p><b>Takeaway</b></p><p>Certainly, anything could happen, and it’s important to have a diversified portfolio of companies, but at these prices, Palantir offers limited downside while holding the potential to surprise investors in the next few months and even years.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-12 21:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479204-palantir-stock-worth-10-dollars-buy-at-15><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look stronger than ever.I see improved profitability in the future and a service that competitors will struggle...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479204-palantir-stock-worth-10-dollars-buy-at-15\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479204-palantir-stock-worth-10-dollars-buy-at-15","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1114732808","content_text":"SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look stronger than ever.I see improved profitability in the future and a service that competitors will struggle to replicate.Macro headwinds are a challenge, but just.At worst, Palantir is worth $10, but I'd definitely add at $15. There's still plenty of room for the company to surprise investors.Thesis SummaryPalantir’s(NYSE:PLTR)share price has fallen nearly 30% in the last six months amid a broader tech selloff. Bears have come out of the cave, with some going as far as declaring that the company is worth as little as $5 share.Granted, the company has its problems, but it is still a pioneering company in a growing sector. Unlike the naysayers, I do believe that Palantir has a moat and I see evidence that it could achieve higher profitability as it scales.What is Palantir’s “fair value”? Being conservative, I could go as low as $10/share, but the market won’t take it that low. At $15, this is a screaming buy due to its long-term potential. Growth in the private sector will be the definitive trend to watch for in the next decade.Palantir does have a moat (for now)One of the biggest areas of debate surrounding Palantir is the existence or lack of a “moat” around its business. When it comes to technology like AI, it can be hard for investors to understand just how “unique” a certain technology is.Palantir offers Foundry for enterprises and Gotham for governments, which is an AI data analytics tool. Used in the right way and by the right people, it can be used to seamlessly sift through data and find patterns or trends that could potentially do anything from stopping a terrorist attack to optimizing supply chains.Is this software unique? There are a lot of other companies in the lucrative space of data analytics, but few that have the capabilities of Palantir. Evidence of this, of course, is the large presence the company has achieved in the public sector. However, what is also misunderstood by many is that Palantir has amassed some of the best talent in the industry.It is this combination of talent, which comes at the price of stock-based compensation, and a top of line software/AI, which give Palantir its moat.Economies of scale are happeningThe other main issue that people have with Palantir, is profitability. The company is losing cash every year and funding its operations through stock dilution. However, what people fail to see is that Palantir is funding growth and expansion. If the company wanted to, I believe it could indeed turn a profit as soon as next year. After all, the company has a levered FCF margin of around 35%.But profitability isn’t what the company wants, as it is trying to grow revenues and expand. Having said that, for those that believe profitability is a pipedream, I found the most encouraging evidence of economies of scale in the latest earnings call presentation.During the Q&A section, a very interesting point was made regarding the different modules that the company has been able to create for Foundry. In short, Palantir has been able to create specialized versions of Foundry which can be used for specific situations/industries. In other words, the company has been able to standardize its work to a degree. The data problems that one company faces, aren’t unique and from what I gather, Palantir can now deploy previously created modules to solve similar problems while decreasing the workload and deployment time.How much is Palantir worth now and in the future?With all of the above said, Palantir doesn’t seem to me like bad company. But is the valuation stretched? That depends on what multiples the market assigns, the actual growth rates, and the level of dilution we see moving forward.In a previous article, I forecasted the revenue growth of Palantir based on current trends and estimates, and also looked at a possible trajectory for the overall share growth based on financing needs and balance sheet structure.Palantir GrowthPalantir SharesThe projections for 2021 are on the higher side, but the growth fits the overall narrative of the company of going from a 40% growth rate to a stabilized 30% CAGR over the next decade. Also, bear in mind Palantir has typically beaten its revenue forecasts.With this revenue and share count, we can easily calculate a target share price, all we need is to assign a P/S multiple.In 2021, Palantir has traded at a P/S of around 20 and as high as 30. While I agree that this is on the higher end of the spectrum, it is much more reasonable than assigning a P/S of 5. I would argue the best way to find a reasonable ratio, is to find a comparable company, and I’d say Splunk Inc(NASDAQ:SPLK)is a good start. Splunk, like Palantir, is in the data business, it has similar margins and even a presence in the public sector, making it a close competitor to Palantir.Splunk currently has a P/S of around 7.6, but it has also grown revenues at only 10% in the last year, far below Palantir’s 43% growth rate. With this in mind, I could easily justify Palantir having a P/S of 15. Even if you believe both Palantir and Splunk are due for further multiple contractions I think a P/S of 10 for Palantir is as low as the market will go. With that said, I’ll establish a price range using a P/S of 10-15 and using my forecasts for 2022 and 2025.Therefore, my price target for 2022 based on P/S would be $11.5-$15.2. By 2025, at the same P/S, the shares would be worth between $24.6-$37. Bear in mind this implies a significant multiple contraction compared to what we have seen in 2021.Other considerationsI think $10 is a floor that Palantir won’t break. I’d be happy to scoop up those shares at that price, and even at $15. Palantir is well-positioned for long-term growth, and it could pleasantly surprise investors, especially if it can make more inroads in the private sector. For now, indeed, unprofitable companies like Palantir are not fashionable, due to the idea that the Fed will be raising rates “soon”. This is yet to be seen.As I’ve mentioned before, inflation will struggle to remain high while money velocity is trending lower. Could we have already seen the highest levels of inflation? Without direct fiscal stimulus (literally sending people money) inflation won’t persist, and without inflation low rates, cheap money and high growth will remain good investments.TakeawayCertainly, anything could happen, and it’s important to have a diversified portfolio of companies, but at these prices, Palantir offers limited downside while holding the potential to surprise investors in the next few months and even years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021144620,"gmtCreate":1653018001260,"gmtModify":1676535209518,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021144620","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir&#39;s current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir&#39;s stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir&#39;s share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: &#34;What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.&#34;</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir&#39;s future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon&#39;s (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir&#39;s current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir&#39;s stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management&#39;s 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir&#39;s growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir&#39;s segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir&#39;s sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir&#39;s growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management&#39;s discussion of Palantir&#39;s near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>&#34;We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir&#39;s share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir&#39;s revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir&#39;s growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir&#39;s total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir&#39;s total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir&#39;s rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir&#39;s capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: &#34;The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.&#34;</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir&#39;s products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world&#39;s governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: &#34;Literally every function of every business is breaking.&#34;</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company&#39;s deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir&#39;s collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company&#39;s various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir&#39;s profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company&#39;s adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir&#39;s GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir&#39;s cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir&#39;s Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir&#39;s investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir&#39;s declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir&#39;s business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&amp;D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir&#39;s 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir&#39;s stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir&#39;s potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird&#39;s eye view of Palantir&#39;s upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir&#39;s IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir&#39;s 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir&#39;s growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir&#39;s risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: &#34;We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9023522903,"gmtCreate":1652933750202,"gmtModify":1676535192272,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 ok","listText":"👍 ok","text":"👍 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9023522903","repostId":"2236797581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236797581","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652932286,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236797581?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-19 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Timing Is Everything","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236797581","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>You hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.</li><li>“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.</li><li>You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.</li><li>Even so, I do agree, &#34;time in&#34; the market, not &#34;timing&#34; the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.</li><li>In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a1229b9c7f7f78df1d901d2fde69ea\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Why now is an ideal time to buy Tesla</b></p><p>Yes, yes I know you can&#39;t time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.</p><p><b>First things first</b></p><p>I would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.</p><p>The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla is not a “car” stock</b></p><p>I submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration &#34;story&#34; stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They&#39;re commonly referred to as &#34;long-duration assets.&#34;</p><p>Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it&#39;s more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie &#34;The Outsiders&#34; than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here&#39;s why.</p><p><b>Tesla revenue 5 year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab99bfe7748553a39961171fad2fc738\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year revenue growth (YCharts)</span></p><p><b>Tesla gross profit 5-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ac0c43a94e2f8a570de132e416f31d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)</span></p><p>Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.</p><p><b>Lots of new competition, yes but…</b></p><p>There&#39;s a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There&#39;s no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.</p><p><b>Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructure</b></p><p>My friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.</p><p><b>Tesla Super charging station map</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8250ffd495c652144b8dce9d70a2fc2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)</span></p><p>With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.</p><p>The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year return on investment</b></p><p>I made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c6f4a069c5d0a8d1c46387167c52d8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&amp;P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I&#39;m 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I&#39;m transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.</p><p>Even so, I&#39;m not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla technical analysis</b></p><p>Tesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.</p><p><b>Tesla current chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792ea9bbefed3d777ecfcc34810ab1eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"199\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Current Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.</p><p><b>The Wrap Up</b></p><p>I believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That&#39;s a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there&#39;s plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.</p><p>The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.</p><p><b>Final Note</b></p><p>The stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There&#39;s a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.</p><p>My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Timing Is Everything</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Timing Is Everything\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-19 11:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236797581","content_text":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.Even so, I do agree, \"time in\" the market, not \"timing\" the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesWhy now is an ideal time to buy TeslaYes, yes I know you can't time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.First things firstI would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.Tesla is not a “car” stockI submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration \"story\" stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They're commonly referred to as \"long-duration assets.\"Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it's more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie \"The Outsiders\" than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here's why.Tesla revenue 5 year chart5-year revenue growth (YCharts)Tesla gross profit 5-year chart5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.Lots of new competition, yes but…There's a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There's no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary one is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructureMy friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.Tesla Super charging station mapTesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.Tesla 10-year return on investmentI made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.Tesla 10-year chartTesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I'm 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I'm transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.Even so, I'm not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.Tesla technical analysisTesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.Tesla current chartTesla Current Chart (Finviz)I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s Twitter (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.The Wrap UpI believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That's a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there's plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.Final NoteThe stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There's a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064246001,"gmtCreate":1652333097403,"gmtModify":1676535080463,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064246001","repostId":"1114386824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114386824","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652324539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114386824?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-12 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114386824","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.</p><p><b>Apple</b> stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.</p><p>It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.</p><p>Below, I list a couple of them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd834b5930cc8484f73b322c50b95c91\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip</span></p><p><b>#1. Apple’s business remains robust</b></p><p>One thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.</p><p>From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.</p><p>Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.</p><p>The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.</p><p>Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.</p><p><b>#2. The more AAPL sinks, the better</b></p><p>Let’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?</p><p>This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.</p><p>If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.</p><p>I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caa4cc4334f85dcaf5477bab7e65223f\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by Strategy</span></p><p>Here is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.</p><p>Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-12 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114386824","content_text":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.Below, I list a couple of them.Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip#1. Apple’s business remains robustOne thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.#2. The more AAPL sinks, the betterLet’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by StrategyHere is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9080985744,"gmtCreate":1649832067382,"gmtModify":1676534586251,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9080985744","repostId":"1120265619","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120265619","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649821233,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120265619?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-13 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120265619","media":"TheStreet","summary":"AMC Entertainment keeps surprising its critics. Here are three reasons why AMC stock is a buy.AMC En","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>AMC Entertainment keeps surprising its critics. Here are three reasons why AMC stock is a buy.</p><p>AMC Entertainment had an eventful March. The movie theater company&#39;s stock closed the month with gains over 30%, thanks to news the company had acquired a major stake in a gold mine, along with positive trends in the broader market.</p><p>So far in April, AMC has cooled down. Looking only at its valuation, Wall Street has been skeptical about the future of the stock.</p><p>But we often go against the Wall Street grain. So let&#39;s take a glass-half-full look at AMC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63129b917370dd3533b7cd16f6961799\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"900\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: 3 Reasons to Buy AMC Stock</span></p><p><b>1. AMC&#39;s Financials Are In Great Shape</b></p><p>In March, AMC&#39;s management announced that the company had enjoyed the best quarter of the last two years. And although the nearly 60 million moviegoers who bought tickets represented only 64% of pre-pandemic levels, the fourth quarter indicated it&#39;s only a matter of time before ticket sales are back to normal.</p><p>On a year-over-year basis, revenue increased by 620% in Q4. Drink and food revenue reached 87% of pre-pandemic levels, to an average of $6.38 per patron. That&#39;s quite a bit better than the $4.74 per person AMC made in the fourth quarter of 2019.</p><p>But perhaps the best news was that AMC achieved positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), as well as positive operating cash flow. Thanks to the effect of the COVID pandemic on the movie theater business, AMC&#39;s balance sheet had been a big concern.</p><p>Of course, AMC has a lot to thank its loyal shareholders for. Because of their stock purchases, management was able to raise a little over half a billion dollars in cash to shake off the specter of bankruptcy.</p><p>And now with about $1.8 billion in liquidity and cash flowing in, AMC no longer has to worry about playing defense. Instead, it can think about growth.</p><p><b>2. AMC&#39;s Management Has a Long-Term Growth Plan</b></p><p>CEO Adam Aron has a plan to generate long-term value for AMC and its shareholders. His goal is to match AMC&#39;s high valuation with its company fundamentals.</p><p>The money raised from AMC&#39;s share price appreciation has been and will be used for three main initiatives:</p><ol><li>Investing in the infrastructure of its core business, the movie theaters</li><li>Paying down company debt</li><li>Investing in mergers and acquisitions with a view to the company&#39;s future growth</li></ol><p>AMC has already announced investments in its movie theaters, such as upgrading its IMAX and Dolby Cinema premium screens. The company is also starting up NFT programs and accepting payments via cryptocurrencies — moves that should attract a young, tech-savvy audience.</p><p>As for the second goal, AMC is in the process of discussing refinancing its $5 billion debt with various stakeholders to reduce future interest payments.</p><p>And finally, thinking about future investments, AMC has bold plans to retail its branded popcorn. It also invested in gold and silver mining company Hycroft (HYMC), which CEO Adam Aron sees as a long-term source of profit.</p><p><b>3. AMC Has &#34;Meme Stock&#34; Power</b></p><p>The so-called &#34;smart money&#34; has criticized the meme frenzy that kicked off in early 2021. But more than a year later, this trend still continues and has wreaked havoc on hedge funds that bet against AMC stock.</p><p>Meme stock investing is characterized by retail investors betting on stocks not due to their business fundamentals, but instead to defeat short sellers. AMC has been one of the meme darlings and has remained popular on Reddit&#39;s meme stock-trading threads.</p><p>Thanks to meme investors, AMC stock has returned an incredible 1,060% since the beginning of last year. Their unwavering buy-and-hold optimism and demand for the stock have essentially rendered AMC&#39;s business fundamentals irrelevant.</p><p>Currently, short interest in AMC is rising — more than 20% of the stock&#39;s float, according to the latest data from Yahoo Finance. So there&#39;s a good chance that meme investors could provoke a new short squeeze and send AMC&#39;s stock back to stratospheric levels.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-13 11:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/amc/3-reasons-to-buy-amc-stock><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC Entertainment keeps surprising its critics. Here are three reasons why AMC stock is a buy.AMC Entertainment had an eventful March. The movie theater company's stock closed the month with gains ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/amc/3-reasons-to-buy-amc-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/amc/3-reasons-to-buy-amc-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120265619","content_text":"AMC Entertainment keeps surprising its critics. Here are three reasons why AMC stock is a buy.AMC Entertainment had an eventful March. The movie theater company's stock closed the month with gains over 30%, thanks to news the company had acquired a major stake in a gold mine, along with positive trends in the broader market.So far in April, AMC has cooled down. Looking only at its valuation, Wall Street has been skeptical about the future of the stock.But we often go against the Wall Street grain. So let's take a glass-half-full look at AMC.Figure 1: 3 Reasons to Buy AMC Stock1. AMC's Financials Are In Great ShapeIn March, AMC's management announced that the company had enjoyed the best quarter of the last two years. And although the nearly 60 million moviegoers who bought tickets represented only 64% of pre-pandemic levels, the fourth quarter indicated it's only a matter of time before ticket sales are back to normal.On a year-over-year basis, revenue increased by 620% in Q4. Drink and food revenue reached 87% of pre-pandemic levels, to an average of $6.38 per patron. That's quite a bit better than the $4.74 per person AMC made in the fourth quarter of 2019.But perhaps the best news was that AMC achieved positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), as well as positive operating cash flow. Thanks to the effect of the COVID pandemic on the movie theater business, AMC's balance sheet had been a big concern.Of course, AMC has a lot to thank its loyal shareholders for. Because of their stock purchases, management was able to raise a little over half a billion dollars in cash to shake off the specter of bankruptcy.And now with about $1.8 billion in liquidity and cash flowing in, AMC no longer has to worry about playing defense. Instead, it can think about growth.2. AMC's Management Has a Long-Term Growth PlanCEO Adam Aron has a plan to generate long-term value for AMC and its shareholders. His goal is to match AMC's high valuation with its company fundamentals.The money raised from AMC's share price appreciation has been and will be used for three main initiatives:Investing in the infrastructure of its core business, the movie theatersPaying down company debtInvesting in mergers and acquisitions with a view to the company's future growthAMC has already announced investments in its movie theaters, such as upgrading its IMAX and Dolby Cinema premium screens. The company is also starting up NFT programs and accepting payments via cryptocurrencies — moves that should attract a young, tech-savvy audience.As for the second goal, AMC is in the process of discussing refinancing its $5 billion debt with various stakeholders to reduce future interest payments.And finally, thinking about future investments, AMC has bold plans to retail its branded popcorn. It also invested in gold and silver mining company Hycroft (HYMC), which CEO Adam Aron sees as a long-term source of profit.3. AMC Has \"Meme Stock\" PowerThe so-called \"smart money\" has criticized the meme frenzy that kicked off in early 2021. But more than a year later, this trend still continues and has wreaked havoc on hedge funds that bet against AMC stock.Meme stock investing is characterized by retail investors betting on stocks not due to their business fundamentals, but instead to defeat short sellers. AMC has been one of the meme darlings and has remained popular on Reddit's meme stock-trading threads.Thanks to meme investors, AMC stock has returned an incredible 1,060% since the beginning of last year. Their unwavering buy-and-hold optimism and demand for the stock have essentially rendered AMC's business fundamentals irrelevant.Currently, short interest in AMC is rising — more than 20% of the stock's float, according to the latest data from Yahoo Finance. So there's a good chance that meme investors could provoke a new short squeeze and send AMC's stock back to stratospheric levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9095112162,"gmtCreate":1644850406259,"gmtModify":1676533967828,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree","listText":"Agree","text":"Agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9095112162","repostId":"2211652081","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2211652081","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1644847200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2211652081?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-14 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Reasons Not to Worry About a Stock Market Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2211652081","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Market crashes happen. You can't prevent them, but you can put yourself in a position to emerge stronger once they pass.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market will crash again. It&#39;s not a question of whether, but rather when. Perhaps the biggest near-term risk is that high and still rising inflation might provide the push that causes the next major drop. How? Well, the Federal Reserve&#39;s expedited meeting scheduled for Monday might lead to faster and more aggressive tapering than the market already expects. That could cause a shift out of riskier assets like stocks, leading to a market correction.</p><p>Whether or not that particular scenario comes into play, the reality is that stocks can go down as well as up. If you recognize that and plan for it appropriately, you can make it through a mere market crash -- and emerge on the other side in a great spot to ride any subsequent recovery.</p><p>With that in mind, here are four reasons not to worry about a stock-market crash.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1237784dd4415f4c114f5922023f8e01\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>1. You don&#39;t need to sell your stocks today</h2><p>As a general rule, you should not have money invested in stocks that you expect you&#39;ll need to spend within the next five years. If you have followed that guideline, it becomes much easier to stomach a market crash. It&#39;s still not fun, but you can make it through.</p><p>After all, if you don&#39;t need the money immediately, then you don&#39;t have to sell shares when they&#39;re low just to cover your bills. That gives you the chance to not only hold on through a crash, but also to potentially add more to strong companies while they&#39;re near their cheapest. The ability to buy low -- instead of selling low -- allows you to end up in a better spot once the crash passes.</p><h2>2. You have emergency money stocked away, just in case</h2><p>One of the bigger risks most people face when the market crashes isn&#39;t the crash itself, but rather the fact that a down market is often linked to job losses. Even if you fully intend to hold on to your stocks through a crash, if you find yourself without a paycheck and with no cash buffer, you could wind up needing to sell due to that job loss.</p><p>A three- to six-month emergency fund buys you time to both look for another job and figure out ways to cut costs before you feel forced to sell your shares. It&#39;s a buffer that can come in incredibly handy in a tough environment. It&#39;s also <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of those things that you hope you&#39;ll never have to use -- but if you do, you&#39;ll be incredibly glad it&#39;s there when you need it.</p><h2>3. You own strong companies that still pay their dividends</h2><p>The beauty of a stock&#39;s dividend is that it tends to get paid based on the underlying company&#39;s ability to generate cash, rather than on the stock market&#39;s short-term mood. When companies continue to pay their dividends in a down market, that helps investors in a number of ways.</p><p>First, the cash itself can be used to buy more shares while they&#39;re down -- either of the company that paid the dividend, or of a different one that looks like a compelling value at a low price. That cash becomes available without you having to sell stock or somehow scaring up money from another source, which can be comforting if you&#39;re a bit nervous about the future.</p><p>Second, the fact that companies continue to make their payments from available cash flows can provide a calming effect for investors, even as the market appears to panic around them. After all, there&#39;s nothing quite like cold, hard cash to remind people that there&#39;s a business behind each stock. If a dividend is still supported and getting paid, it means there&#39;s still a successful company there, no matter what the stock price might say at the moment.</p><h2>4. You have a value investor&#39;s mindset</h2><p>Ultimately, a share of stock is an ownership stake in a business. If that business is currently profitable and expected to remain that way, each share is certainly worth <i>something</i>. Value investors recognize that a company&#39;s intrinsic worth is based on its ability to generate cash over time, and not simply on what the market thinks its shares should be priced at today.</p><p>As a result, a market crash can make great companies&#39; shares available at a price below what those value investors believe they&#39;re really worth. That sort of pricing turns value investors into aggressive buyers during a crash, and it&#39;s a key part of the strategy that helped Warren Buffett earn and expand his fortune.</p><p>Especially when combined with the first three reasons not to worry about a stock-market crash, this fourth reason can actually give you an opportunity to profit from one. After all, if you&#39;ve got the cash to ride out the decline <i>and</i> the wherewithal to buy near the lows, you have the opportunity to make some serious coin in any subsequent recovery.</p><h2>Are you ready for the next crash?</h2><p>While these four factors can help you make it through a market crash with much less worry, they all work much better if you have them in place before you need them. So start getting your plan in place today. That way, you&#39;ll be in a much better place the next time the market crashes.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Reasons Not to Worry About a Stock Market Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Reasons Not to Worry About a Stock Market Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-14 22:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/13/4-reasons-not-to-worry-about-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market will crash again. It's not a question of whether, but rather when. Perhaps the biggest near-term risk is that high and still rising inflation might provide the push that causes the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/13/4-reasons-not-to-worry-about-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/13/4-reasons-not-to-worry-about-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2211652081","content_text":"The stock market will crash again. It's not a question of whether, but rather when. Perhaps the biggest near-term risk is that high and still rising inflation might provide the push that causes the next major drop. How? Well, the Federal Reserve's expedited meeting scheduled for Monday might lead to faster and more aggressive tapering than the market already expects. That could cause a shift out of riskier assets like stocks, leading to a market correction.Whether or not that particular scenario comes into play, the reality is that stocks can go down as well as up. If you recognize that and plan for it appropriately, you can make it through a mere market crash -- and emerge on the other side in a great spot to ride any subsequent recovery.With that in mind, here are four reasons not to worry about a stock-market crash.Image source: Getty Images.1. You don't need to sell your stocks todayAs a general rule, you should not have money invested in stocks that you expect you'll need to spend within the next five years. If you have followed that guideline, it becomes much easier to stomach a market crash. It's still not fun, but you can make it through.After all, if you don't need the money immediately, then you don't have to sell shares when they're low just to cover your bills. That gives you the chance to not only hold on through a crash, but also to potentially add more to strong companies while they're near their cheapest. The ability to buy low -- instead of selling low -- allows you to end up in a better spot once the crash passes.2. You have emergency money stocked away, just in caseOne of the bigger risks most people face when the market crashes isn't the crash itself, but rather the fact that a down market is often linked to job losses. Even if you fully intend to hold on to your stocks through a crash, if you find yourself without a paycheck and with no cash buffer, you could wind up needing to sell due to that job loss.A three- to six-month emergency fund buys you time to both look for another job and figure out ways to cut costs before you feel forced to sell your shares. It's a buffer that can come in incredibly handy in a tough environment. It's also one of those things that you hope you'll never have to use -- but if you do, you'll be incredibly glad it's there when you need it.3. You own strong companies that still pay their dividendsThe beauty of a stock's dividend is that it tends to get paid based on the underlying company's ability to generate cash, rather than on the stock market's short-term mood. When companies continue to pay their dividends in a down market, that helps investors in a number of ways.First, the cash itself can be used to buy more shares while they're down -- either of the company that paid the dividend, or of a different one that looks like a compelling value at a low price. That cash becomes available without you having to sell stock or somehow scaring up money from another source, which can be comforting if you're a bit nervous about the future.Second, the fact that companies continue to make their payments from available cash flows can provide a calming effect for investors, even as the market appears to panic around them. After all, there's nothing quite like cold, hard cash to remind people that there's a business behind each stock. If a dividend is still supported and getting paid, it means there's still a successful company there, no matter what the stock price might say at the moment.4. You have a value investor's mindsetUltimately, a share of stock is an ownership stake in a business. If that business is currently profitable and expected to remain that way, each share is certainly worth something. Value investors recognize that a company's intrinsic worth is based on its ability to generate cash over time, and not simply on what the market thinks its shares should be priced at today.As a result, a market crash can make great companies' shares available at a price below what those value investors believe they're really worth. That sort of pricing turns value investors into aggressive buyers during a crash, and it's a key part of the strategy that helped Warren Buffett earn and expand his fortune.Especially when combined with the first three reasons not to worry about a stock-market crash, this fourth reason can actually give you an opportunity to profit from one. After all, if you've got the cash to ride out the decline and the wherewithal to buy near the lows, you have the opportunity to make some serious coin in any subsequent recovery.Are you ready for the next crash?While these four factors can help you make it through a market crash with much less worry, they all work much better if you have them in place before you need them. So start getting your plan in place today. That way, you'll be in a much better place the next time the market crashes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":88,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091286010,"gmtCreate":1643874624622,"gmtModify":1676533866555,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no!","listText":"Oh no!","text":"Oh no!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091286010","repostId":"2208572369","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2208572369","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1643867517,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2208572369?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-03 13:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal, Block, other fintech stocks return to earth after COVID boost","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208572369","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After PayPal Holdings stock dives on weak 2022 guidance and a pivot in customer acquisition strategy","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal Holdings</a> stock dives on weak 2022 guidance and a pivot in customer acquisition strategy, against an overall weak backdrop for fintech stocks.</p><p>Fintech, online lending, and payment stocks turn down, extending a months-long slump in the sector as investors grow risk averse.</p><p>Note that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FINX\">Global X FinTech Thematic ETF</a> has dropped 30% in the past six months. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal </a> fell 52%, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square </a> -58%, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSPD\">Lightspeed Commerce </a> -61%, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies </a> -20%, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings </a> -16% over the same timeframe.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c1cfc4293939d79741a639fded127c6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"581\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In Wednesday trading, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a> drops after completing its acquisition of Afterpay. Other payment names dip as well: Paysafe (PSFE), Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD), Fiserv (FISV), and Global Payment (GPN).</p><p>Online lending names also suffer: Upstart Holdings (UPST), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LC\">LendingClub</a>, Blend Labs (BLND), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RKT\">Rocket Companies</a>, and SoFi Technologies (SOFI). <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TREE\">LendingTree</a> rises after its preliminary Q4 results topped consensus.</p><p>And while investors shy away from PayPal (PYPL) in a big way after the disappointing guidance, Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev sees some notable positives in its Q4 results — incremental total payment volume growth ex-eBay(EBAY)/P2P accelerated in Q4 to $55B from $53B in Q3 and the take rate (also ex-eBay) increased by 5 basis points, &#34;marking a potential change in trend.&#34; He explains PayPal&#39;s recent weakness as a &#34;return to earth&#34; after a &#34;COVID sugar rush&#34; in 2020 and 2021.</p><p>&#34;On balance, despite the understandable knee-jerk negative reaction, we see signs of the COVID hangover coming to an end, opening a new opportunity in PYPL,&#34; Dolev wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Oppenheimer analyst Dominick Gabriele also sees PayPal&#39;s (PYPL) swoon as a buying opportunity. &#34;After our post 3Q21 cautious stance we see significant upside on the kitchen-sink outlook/soured sentiment and we&#39;re going bottom fishing.&#34;</p><p>Raymond James analyst John Davis, though, isn&#39;t convinced. &#34;PYPL is a &#39;show-me&#39; story, and we believe the stock is unlikely to re-rate meaningfully higher before growth reaccelerates and investors gain confidence the 2022 outlook is overly conservative, which isn&#39;t likely to happen before 2H22,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>SA contributor Kirk Spano presents an option selling strategy for PayPal and Block</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal, Block, other fintech stocks return to earth after COVID boost</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal, Block, other fintech stocks return to earth after COVID boost\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-03 13:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3795036-paypal-block-other-fintech-stocks-return-to-earth-after-covid-boost><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After PayPal Holdings stock dives on weak 2022 guidance and a pivot in customer acquisition strategy, against an overall weak backdrop for fintech stocks.Fintech, online lending, and payment stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3795036-paypal-block-other-fintech-stocks-return-to-earth-after-covid-boost\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4566":"资本集团","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","BK4524":"宅经济概念","PYPL":"PayPal","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SQ":"Block","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3795036-paypal-block-other-fintech-stocks-return-to-earth-after-covid-boost","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2208572369","content_text":"After PayPal Holdings stock dives on weak 2022 guidance and a pivot in customer acquisition strategy, against an overall weak backdrop for fintech stocks.Fintech, online lending, and payment stocks turn down, extending a months-long slump in the sector as investors grow risk averse.Note that Global X FinTech Thematic ETF has dropped 30% in the past six months. PayPal  fell 52%, Square  -58%, Lightspeed Commerce  -61%, SoFi Technologies  -20%, and Upstart Holdings  -16% over the same timeframe.In Wednesday trading, Block drops after completing its acquisition of Afterpay. Other payment names dip as well: Paysafe (PSFE), Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD), Fiserv (FISV), and Global Payment (GPN).Online lending names also suffer: Upstart Holdings (UPST), LendingClub, Blend Labs (BLND), Rocket Companies, and SoFi Technologies (SOFI). LendingTree rises after its preliminary Q4 results topped consensus.And while investors shy away from PayPal (PYPL) in a big way after the disappointing guidance, Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev sees some notable positives in its Q4 results — incremental total payment volume growth ex-eBay(EBAY)/P2P accelerated in Q4 to $55B from $53B in Q3 and the take rate (also ex-eBay) increased by 5 basis points, \"marking a potential change in trend.\" He explains PayPal's recent weakness as a \"return to earth\" after a \"COVID sugar rush\" in 2020 and 2021.\"On balance, despite the understandable knee-jerk negative reaction, we see signs of the COVID hangover coming to an end, opening a new opportunity in PYPL,\" Dolev wrote in a note to clients.Oppenheimer analyst Dominick Gabriele also sees PayPal's (PYPL) swoon as a buying opportunity. \"After our post 3Q21 cautious stance we see significant upside on the kitchen-sink outlook/soured sentiment and we're going bottom fishing.\"Raymond James analyst John Davis, though, isn't convinced. \"PYPL is a 'show-me' story, and we believe the stock is unlikely to re-rate meaningfully higher before growth reaccelerates and investors gain confidence the 2022 outlook is overly conservative, which isn't likely to happen before 2H22,\" he wrote.SA contributor Kirk Spano presents an option selling strategy for PayPal and Block","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005333251,"gmtCreate":1642170212200,"gmtModify":1676533688659,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005333251","repostId":"1165442006","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165442006","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642165215,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165442006?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-14 21:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165442006","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Friday as big lenders including JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kic","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Friday as big lenders including JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kicked off the fourth-quarter earnings season with a mixed batch of results, while big technology companies extended declines after a bruising selloff.</p><p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 195 points, or 0.54%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 30.25 points, or 0.65% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 161.5 points, or 1.04%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb595de4e575fc2a7aa0d91e8ce48c2d\" tg-width=\"1033\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co</a> tumbled 3.0% in premarket trading on reporting weaker performance at its trading arm, even as it beat earnings expectations for the fourth quarter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo &amp; Co</a> , on the other hand, gained 1.8% after posting a greater-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.</p><p>Asset manager <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock Inc</a> posted a fourth-quarter profit above estimates. However, its shares fell 0.1%.</p><p>Year-over-year earnings growth from S&amp;P 500 companies was expected to be lower in the fourth quarter compared with the first three quarters but still strong at 22.4%, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>– BlackRock earned an adjusted $10.42 per share for the fourth quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $10.16, although revenue for the asset manager was slightly below forecasts. Assets under management rose above the $10 trillion mark for the first time.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> – JPMorgan beat estimates by 32 cents with quarterly earnings of $3.33 per share, while revenue topped forecasts as well. The bank was helped by strong performance at its investment banking unit, but results at its trading operation slowed. JPMorgan shares fell 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>  – Wells Fargo gained 2.3% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fourth quarter. Wells Fargo earned an adjusted $1.25 per share, 12 cents above estimates. Overall profit was boosted by the release of loan loss provisions and improving loan demand.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHW\">Sherwin-Williams</a> – The paint company’s stock fell 3.3% in premarket action after it cut its full year forecast amid supply chain issues that it expects to persist through the current quarter. Sherwin-Williams did say demand remains strong in most of its end markets.</p><p>Macau casino stocks –<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LVS\">Las Vegas Sands</a> ,,Melco Entertainment(MLCO) andMGM Resorts(MGM) rallied in premarket trading after Macau’s government said it would limit the number of casino licenses to six. These companies are among the six operating in Macau, with their current licenses due to expire this year. Las Vegas Sands rocketed 10.7%, Wynn surged 10%, Melco soared 12.9% and MGM added 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>  – Disney lost 1.6% in premarket trading after Guggenheim downgraded the stock to “neutral” from “buy,” reflecting lowered predictions for Disney’s direct-to-consumer and parks businesses.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAM\">Boston Beer</a>  – Boston Beer tumbled 8% in the premarket after the brewer cut its annual earnings outlook. The company is being hit by supply chain issues as well as waning growth for its Truly hard seltzer brand.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit Holdings Inc.</a>  – Virgin Orbit successfully launched seven small satellites Thursday, the first launch since the company went public last month. Shares gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BJ\">BJ&#39;s Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.</a>  – BJ’s shares lost 3% in premarket action after J.P. Morgan Securities downgraded the warehouse retailer’s stock to “underweight” from “neutral,” reflecting concerns about inflation and a pullback in stimulus measures for consumers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHC\">Bausch Health Companies Inc</a> – Bausch Health rallied 3.2% in the premarket following news that its Bausch + Lomb eyecare unit filed to go public and that the unit reported a jump in sales for the nine months ended in September. Bausch Health will remain a majority owner of Bausch + Lomb.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-14 21:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Friday as big lenders including JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kicked off the fourth-quarter earnings season with a mixed batch of results, while big technology companies extended declines after a bruising selloff.</p><p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 195 points, or 0.54%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 30.25 points, or 0.65% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 161.5 points, or 1.04%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb595de4e575fc2a7aa0d91e8ce48c2d\" tg-width=\"1033\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co</a> tumbled 3.0% in premarket trading on reporting weaker performance at its trading arm, even as it beat earnings expectations for the fourth quarter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo &amp; Co</a> , on the other hand, gained 1.8% after posting a greater-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.</p><p>Asset manager <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock Inc</a> posted a fourth-quarter profit above estimates. However, its shares fell 0.1%.</p><p>Year-over-year earnings growth from S&amp;P 500 companies was expected to be lower in the fourth quarter compared with the first three quarters but still strong at 22.4%, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>– BlackRock earned an adjusted $10.42 per share for the fourth quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $10.16, although revenue for the asset manager was slightly below forecasts. Assets under management rose above the $10 trillion mark for the first time.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> – JPMorgan beat estimates by 32 cents with quarterly earnings of $3.33 per share, while revenue topped forecasts as well. The bank was helped by strong performance at its investment banking unit, but results at its trading operation slowed. JPMorgan shares fell 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>  – Wells Fargo gained 2.3% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fourth quarter. Wells Fargo earned an adjusted $1.25 per share, 12 cents above estimates. Overall profit was boosted by the release of loan loss provisions and improving loan demand.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHW\">Sherwin-Williams</a> – The paint company’s stock fell 3.3% in premarket action after it cut its full year forecast amid supply chain issues that it expects to persist through the current quarter. Sherwin-Williams did say demand remains strong in most of its end markets.</p><p>Macau casino stocks –<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LVS\">Las Vegas Sands</a> ,,Melco Entertainment(MLCO) andMGM Resorts(MGM) rallied in premarket trading after Macau’s government said it would limit the number of casino licenses to six. These companies are among the six operating in Macau, with their current licenses due to expire this year. Las Vegas Sands rocketed 10.7%, Wynn surged 10%, Melco soared 12.9% and MGM added 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>  – Disney lost 1.6% in premarket trading after Guggenheim downgraded the stock to “neutral” from “buy,” reflecting lowered predictions for Disney’s direct-to-consumer and parks businesses.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAM\">Boston Beer</a>  – Boston Beer tumbled 8% in the premarket after the brewer cut its annual earnings outlook. The company is being hit by supply chain issues as well as waning growth for its Truly hard seltzer brand.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit Holdings Inc.</a>  – Virgin Orbit successfully launched seven small satellites Thursday, the first launch since the company went public last month. Shares gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BJ\">BJ&#39;s Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.</a>  – BJ’s shares lost 3% in premarket action after J.P. Morgan Securities downgraded the warehouse retailer’s stock to “underweight” from “neutral,” reflecting concerns about inflation and a pullback in stimulus measures for consumers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHC\">Bausch Health Companies Inc</a> – Bausch Health rallied 3.2% in the premarket following news that its Bausch + Lomb eyecare unit filed to go public and that the unit reported a jump in sales for the nine months ended in September. Bausch Health will remain a majority owner of Bausch + Lomb.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165442006","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Friday as big lenders including JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kicked off the fourth-quarter earnings season with a mixed batch of results, while big technology companies extended declines after a bruising selloff.At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 195 points, or 0.54%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 30.25 points, or 0.65% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 161.5 points, or 1.04%.JPMorgan Chase & Co tumbled 3.0% in premarket trading on reporting weaker performance at its trading arm, even as it beat earnings expectations for the fourth quarter.Wells Fargo & Co , on the other hand, gained 1.8% after posting a greater-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.Asset manager BlackRock Inc posted a fourth-quarter profit above estimates. However, its shares fell 0.1%.Year-over-year earnings growth from S&P 500 companies was expected to be lower in the fourth quarter compared with the first three quarters but still strong at 22.4%, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:BlackRock– BlackRock earned an adjusted $10.42 per share for the fourth quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $10.16, although revenue for the asset manager was slightly below forecasts. Assets under management rose above the $10 trillion mark for the first time.JPMorgan Chase – JPMorgan beat estimates by 32 cents with quarterly earnings of $3.33 per share, while revenue topped forecasts as well. The bank was helped by strong performance at its investment banking unit, but results at its trading operation slowed. JPMorgan shares fell 2.7% in the premarket.Wells Fargo  – Wells Fargo gained 2.3% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fourth quarter. Wells Fargo earned an adjusted $1.25 per share, 12 cents above estimates. Overall profit was boosted by the release of loan loss provisions and improving loan demand.Sherwin-Williams – The paint company’s stock fell 3.3% in premarket action after it cut its full year forecast amid supply chain issues that it expects to persist through the current quarter. Sherwin-Williams did say demand remains strong in most of its end markets.Macau casino stocks –Las Vegas Sands ,,Melco Entertainment(MLCO) andMGM Resorts(MGM) rallied in premarket trading after Macau’s government said it would limit the number of casino licenses to six. These companies are among the six operating in Macau, with their current licenses due to expire this year. Las Vegas Sands rocketed 10.7%, Wynn surged 10%, Melco soared 12.9% and MGM added 4%.Walt Disney  – Disney lost 1.6% in premarket trading after Guggenheim downgraded the stock to “neutral” from “buy,” reflecting lowered predictions for Disney’s direct-to-consumer and parks businesses.Boston Beer  – Boston Beer tumbled 8% in the premarket after the brewer cut its annual earnings outlook. The company is being hit by supply chain issues as well as waning growth for its Truly hard seltzer brand.Virgin Orbit Holdings Inc.  – Virgin Orbit successfully launched seven small satellites Thursday, the first launch since the company went public last month. Shares gained 1.1% in premarket trading.BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.  – BJ’s shares lost 3% in premarket action after J.P. Morgan Securities downgraded the warehouse retailer’s stock to “underweight” from “neutral,” reflecting concerns about inflation and a pullback in stimulus measures for consumers.Bausch Health Companies Inc – Bausch Health rallied 3.2% in the premarket following news that its Bausch + Lomb eyecare unit filed to go public and that the unit reported a jump in sales for the nine months ended in September. Bausch Health will remain a majority owner of Bausch + Lomb.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9059730648,"gmtCreate":1654427093384,"gmtModify":1676535446250,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9059730648","repostId":"2240259878","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2240259878","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654404523,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2240259878?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-05 12:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2240259878","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWe discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.We discuss the valuation picture ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.</li><li>We discuss the valuation picture and risks.</li><li>We conclude with some thoughts on the price action.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a61b40581aeb66fd5c5fc1e9dd4f8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"675\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jian Fan/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Company Snapshot</b></p><p>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is a semiconductor firm noted for its high-performance computing products and technology. AMD’s expertise primarily lies in the fields of CPUs, APUs, discrete and integrated GPUs, data center graphics, chipsets, server and embedded processors, game console-related technology, and semi-custom SOCproducts. The company currently reports under two broad divisions- a) Computer and Graphics and b) Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-custom.</p><p><b>Is AMD A Good Stock To Buy For the Long-Term?</b></p><p>I believe AMD has all the hallmarks to serve as a fine portfolio stock as it possesses a diversified set of merits that are hard to come by.</p><p>Firstly let’s consider the growth profile of AMD; over the last three years, whilst other semiconductor peers have only been able to deliver 12% CAGR revenue growth, AMD has been able to grow at almost 4x this pace, reporting 45% CAGR growth over the same period. Traditionally, the semi-space is known for its strong earnings potential, and this is reflected in the 3-year net income CAGR average of 57% for the entire industry; if you thought that was impressive, then how about AMD&#39;s corresponding 3-year of 132%? Under ordinary circumstances, when you have such a high base, you would expect things to slow dramatically, but looking at estimates for FY22, one can expect another year of strong growth both on the top line and bottom line (expected revenue growth of 60% and expected EPS growth of 57%).</p><p>I also want to touch on AMD&#39;s growing FCF prowess; around four years back, AMD was unable to generate any positive annual FCF, but this has improved significantly over the years (from -$142m in FY18 to $3139m in FY21); in fact in the recently concluded Q1, the company generated a record quarterly number of $924m, which was up both sequentially (25%), and annually (11%). Basically, at the current share price, you&#39;re getting a very handy FCF yield of ~2.6%, something that was not even a part of the AMD narrative until 2020.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dff4bf810d23e146f36753e4d3d4ba3c\" tg-width=\"1257\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p>The improving FCF position also means that the company can afford to be a lot more generous with its distributions; as of now, dividends are not on the cards, but do consider that last year they spent an impressive $1.8bn in cash on repurchase activities (in the three years preceding 2021, they spent less than $100min aggregate). Interestingly, in Q1-22 alone, they’ve already spent $1.9bn, which is more than last year’s entire figure; investors can continue to be enthused about further buyback support, as the company still has $8.3bn of funds available to be deployed as part of their existing repurchase program!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b600cf0222dbe393ed01e87148dcf487\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"669\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMD Corporate Presentation</span></p><p>Given its wide reach across the broad high-performance computing universe, there&#39;s a lot to like about AMD&#39;s product and tech offerings, but I believe the most exciting developments are currently taking place in the data-center business. Amongst all its addressable markets (which total $135bn in aggregate), AMD believes, this business offers the biggest opportunity accounting for ~37% of the total TAM.</p><p>This data-center business has witnessed a doubling of revenues across various quarters for well over a year now, and much of this is down to the popularity of its EPYC processors and the growing prevalence of HPC (hyper-scale cloud) customers who are expanding their internal infrastructure deployments. I also believe the addressable market is becoming a lot broader now with a larger chunk of enterprise customers showing a greater appetite for the company&#39;s processors than before (AMD’s win rate with enterprise customers improved even further in Q1).</p><p>Whilst it is questionable if AMD can continue to double this business, its intention to deepen its presence in the EPYC space with its new portfolio of products should continue to find plenty of takers and aid the topline; In Q1-22 it launched the Milan-X chipsets (3-D stacked) which are poised to increase technical computer workloads by 66% versus the old generation of products. In H2-22, you will see the introduction of the 96-core Genoa EPYC 7004s which is poised to become the highest performance general-purpose server CPU. Then in H1-23, you will also see another product- the 128-core Bergamo which is meant for high-end hyperscalers.</p><p>Besides the core data-center business, one also ought to commend AMD for its recent acquisitions, particularly that of Xilinx (wrapped up in Feb for an acquisition fee of $49bn) which brings a whole host of benefits. Firstly, one ought to consider the quality of IP that AMD is getting through this acquisition; Xilinx is perceived to be an industry authority when it comes to inculcating FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) programmable logic and is exposed to certain industries where AMD has gaps. AMD will now also have access to Xilinx IP blocks which could not only enhance their overall offering but also bring down costs (potentially reduced dependence on costly IP blocks that were previously licensed from other third parties). Xilinx is also a very high growth business, having witnessed four consecutive quarters of over 20% growth; incidentally, on a proforma basis in Q1-22, the company delivered $1.04bn of sales, so you’re looking at a base case topline uplift of at least $4bn annually for AMD. This is also a high margin business that should help enhance AMD&#39;s own margins; just for some context in Q1-22; the gross margin variance for AMD with and without the Xilinx business was 200bps. Finally, whilst AMD will have to absorb Xilinx’s outstanding debt obligations of $1.8bn, also consider that it will receive $4bn worth of cash and liquid investments, which have consequently boosted AMD’s own cash and investment position to an impressive $6.5bn as of Q1-22 (from $3.6bn in Q4-21).</p><p><b>What Are Some Of The Risks Associated With AMD?</b></p><p>AMD’s computer and graphics segment has been witnessing declining trends for a while now. Last year, shipments were down by 8% and this has continued into Q1-22 where shipments were down by 7%. Within this, AMD has had to scale down its previous expectations of the PC market which is currently witnessing some softness; prior to the Q1 results they had stated that they expect a flattish performance for PCs in 2022, but now, this has been scaled down even further to a high-single-digit percentage range. In the desktop PC space, AMD has actually seen its market share decline by 1% to 18.3%,even as Intel’s Alder Lake gains traction.</p><p>In the high-end discrete GPU space, AMD already faces tough competition from NVIDIA, but this is only going to get worse; after an absence of over two decades, we’ve even seen Intel enter the market this year, with its gaming-focused ARC franchise, which will give AMD&#39;s portfolio a run for its money.</p><p>Besides all that, AMD also remains vulnerable to the volatility seen in the cryptocurrency mining space as its GPU products are very popular in this space.</p><p>Then, in a high inflationary environment, AMD’s margin progression of late has been rather compelling, but you do wonder if they can keep this up for too long, particularly as recent reports suggest that one of the company’s prominent foundry partners- TSMC is looking to hike prices by 5-8% next year.</p><p><b>Is AMD A Fair Valuation?</b></p><p>I believe AMD is currently rather attractively valued and you won’t find too many opportunities to own such an exemplary growth stock where it is trading at a discount to both its long-term average, as well as its peer set average. Here are some key metrics to consider.</p><p>Consensus estimates currently point to an FY22 EPS figure of$4.393, this would imply a forward P/E of a little over 23x, which represents a 33% discount to the stock’s long-term average of 34.3x. It’s also worth noting that AMD&#39;s stock also trades at an 8% discount to the average forward P/E multiple (25.11x) of Seeking Alpha’s entire semiconductor coverage, which currently comprises around 64 stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84a701a349b6d5415465ca629d8d2b75\" tg-width=\"1263\" tg-height=\"406\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p>In an era where investors are viewing growth stocks with more exacting standards, there may be some hesitancy to shed out multiples of over 20x, but even if that’s the case, I’d urge you to then consider the growth potential on offer. AMD’s FY22 EPS estimate of $4.393 represents an earnings growth potential of 58%; in light of that figure, you’re then looking at an incredibly low forward price to earnings growth ratio (PEG) of less than 0.4x! Just for some context, over the last five years, AMD’s forward PEG multiple has averaged more than1x, whilst the company’s peers from the semiconductor space are currently trading at an average forward PEG of 1.49x!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd3c6bb77a2e1c92a5d7158765ec8e5b\" tg-width=\"1267\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p><b>Closing Thoughts - Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>From the last week of November 2021 when it was trading at all-time highs, to the second week of May 2022, the AMD stock had lost almost half its value; after this brutal drawdown, one can now spot certain encouraging developments in the technical imprints of the stock.</p><p>If one looks at the price action on the weekly chart, we can see that after a prolonged bout of selling - where it could not break past the descending trendline - the stock has now reached a congestion zone (area highlighted in green), where it spent a lot of time building a base during August 2020- July 2021. You would think this terrain could once again serve as a platform for base building which represents a good zone to accumulate the stock. In the last week of May, we also saw a full-bodied green candle (with no wicks), which broke past the trendline, although I wouldn’t necessarily get overly carried away by this trigger.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885ba9c5d5d93b2ebdcdaa08a0562794\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"604\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Trading View</span></p><p>Then if I switch over to the smaller time frame- daily chart, one can see rather clear imprints of a typical rounding bottom pattern, which implies that a floor has probably been made.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fb81aeafbfe1c624424915f4237448d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investing</span></p><p>Finally, also consider that AMD still appears to offer good value against its peers in the semiconductor space, as represented by the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX). The relative strength ratio is still below its long-term average of 0.375, and it is also quite a bit away from the upper boundary of the ascending wedge.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff03bb594b30ea44394a2cdac1e3d9b\" tg-width=\"1144\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Stockcharts</span></p><p>To conclude, I rate AMD stock as a BUY.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-05 12:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4516011-amd-stock-buy-sell-hold><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.We discuss the valuation picture and risks.We conclude with some thoughts on the price action.Jian Fan/iStock via Getty ImagesCompany...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4516011-amd-stock-buy-sell-hold\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4516011-amd-stock-buy-sell-hold","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2240259878","content_text":"SummaryWe discuss some of AMD’s promising qualities and narratives.We discuss the valuation picture and risks.We conclude with some thoughts on the price action.Jian Fan/iStock via Getty ImagesCompany SnapshotAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) is a semiconductor firm noted for its high-performance computing products and technology. AMD’s expertise primarily lies in the fields of CPUs, APUs, discrete and integrated GPUs, data center graphics, chipsets, server and embedded processors, game console-related technology, and semi-custom SOCproducts. The company currently reports under two broad divisions- a) Computer and Graphics and b) Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-custom.Is AMD A Good Stock To Buy For the Long-Term?I believe AMD has all the hallmarks to serve as a fine portfolio stock as it possesses a diversified set of merits that are hard to come by.Firstly let’s consider the growth profile of AMD; over the last three years, whilst other semiconductor peers have only been able to deliver 12% CAGR revenue growth, AMD has been able to grow at almost 4x this pace, reporting 45% CAGR growth over the same period. Traditionally, the semi-space is known for its strong earnings potential, and this is reflected in the 3-year net income CAGR average of 57% for the entire industry; if you thought that was impressive, then how about AMD's corresponding 3-year of 132%? Under ordinary circumstances, when you have such a high base, you would expect things to slow dramatically, but looking at estimates for FY22, one can expect another year of strong growth both on the top line and bottom line (expected revenue growth of 60% and expected EPS growth of 57%).I also want to touch on AMD's growing FCF prowess; around four years back, AMD was unable to generate any positive annual FCF, but this has improved significantly over the years (from -$142m in FY18 to $3139m in FY21); in fact in the recently concluded Q1, the company generated a record quarterly number of $924m, which was up both sequentially (25%), and annually (11%). Basically, at the current share price, you're getting a very handy FCF yield of ~2.6%, something that was not even a part of the AMD narrative until 2020.YChartsThe improving FCF position also means that the company can afford to be a lot more generous with its distributions; as of now, dividends are not on the cards, but do consider that last year they spent an impressive $1.8bn in cash on repurchase activities (in the three years preceding 2021, they spent less than $100min aggregate). Interestingly, in Q1-22 alone, they’ve already spent $1.9bn, which is more than last year’s entire figure; investors can continue to be enthused about further buyback support, as the company still has $8.3bn of funds available to be deployed as part of their existing repurchase program!AMD Corporate PresentationGiven its wide reach across the broad high-performance computing universe, there's a lot to like about AMD's product and tech offerings, but I believe the most exciting developments are currently taking place in the data-center business. Amongst all its addressable markets (which total $135bn in aggregate), AMD believes, this business offers the biggest opportunity accounting for ~37% of the total TAM.This data-center business has witnessed a doubling of revenues across various quarters for well over a year now, and much of this is down to the popularity of its EPYC processors and the growing prevalence of HPC (hyper-scale cloud) customers who are expanding their internal infrastructure deployments. I also believe the addressable market is becoming a lot broader now with a larger chunk of enterprise customers showing a greater appetite for the company's processors than before (AMD’s win rate with enterprise customers improved even further in Q1).Whilst it is questionable if AMD can continue to double this business, its intention to deepen its presence in the EPYC space with its new portfolio of products should continue to find plenty of takers and aid the topline; In Q1-22 it launched the Milan-X chipsets (3-D stacked) which are poised to increase technical computer workloads by 66% versus the old generation of products. In H2-22, you will see the introduction of the 96-core Genoa EPYC 7004s which is poised to become the highest performance general-purpose server CPU. Then in H1-23, you will also see another product- the 128-core Bergamo which is meant for high-end hyperscalers.Besides the core data-center business, one also ought to commend AMD for its recent acquisitions, particularly that of Xilinx (wrapped up in Feb for an acquisition fee of $49bn) which brings a whole host of benefits. Firstly, one ought to consider the quality of IP that AMD is getting through this acquisition; Xilinx is perceived to be an industry authority when it comes to inculcating FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) programmable logic and is exposed to certain industries where AMD has gaps. AMD will now also have access to Xilinx IP blocks which could not only enhance their overall offering but also bring down costs (potentially reduced dependence on costly IP blocks that were previously licensed from other third parties). Xilinx is also a very high growth business, having witnessed four consecutive quarters of over 20% growth; incidentally, on a proforma basis in Q1-22, the company delivered $1.04bn of sales, so you’re looking at a base case topline uplift of at least $4bn annually for AMD. This is also a high margin business that should help enhance AMD's own margins; just for some context in Q1-22; the gross margin variance for AMD with and without the Xilinx business was 200bps. Finally, whilst AMD will have to absorb Xilinx’s outstanding debt obligations of $1.8bn, also consider that it will receive $4bn worth of cash and liquid investments, which have consequently boosted AMD’s own cash and investment position to an impressive $6.5bn as of Q1-22 (from $3.6bn in Q4-21).What Are Some Of The Risks Associated With AMD?AMD’s computer and graphics segment has been witnessing declining trends for a while now. Last year, shipments were down by 8% and this has continued into Q1-22 where shipments were down by 7%. Within this, AMD has had to scale down its previous expectations of the PC market which is currently witnessing some softness; prior to the Q1 results they had stated that they expect a flattish performance for PCs in 2022, but now, this has been scaled down even further to a high-single-digit percentage range. In the desktop PC space, AMD has actually seen its market share decline by 1% to 18.3%,even as Intel’s Alder Lake gains traction.In the high-end discrete GPU space, AMD already faces tough competition from NVIDIA, but this is only going to get worse; after an absence of over two decades, we’ve even seen Intel enter the market this year, with its gaming-focused ARC franchise, which will give AMD's portfolio a run for its money.Besides all that, AMD also remains vulnerable to the volatility seen in the cryptocurrency mining space as its GPU products are very popular in this space.Then, in a high inflationary environment, AMD’s margin progression of late has been rather compelling, but you do wonder if they can keep this up for too long, particularly as recent reports suggest that one of the company’s prominent foundry partners- TSMC is looking to hike prices by 5-8% next year.Is AMD A Fair Valuation?I believe AMD is currently rather attractively valued and you won’t find too many opportunities to own such an exemplary growth stock where it is trading at a discount to both its long-term average, as well as its peer set average. Here are some key metrics to consider.Consensus estimates currently point to an FY22 EPS figure of$4.393, this would imply a forward P/E of a little over 23x, which represents a 33% discount to the stock’s long-term average of 34.3x. It’s also worth noting that AMD's stock also trades at an 8% discount to the average forward P/E multiple (25.11x) of Seeking Alpha’s entire semiconductor coverage, which currently comprises around 64 stocks.YChartsIn an era where investors are viewing growth stocks with more exacting standards, there may be some hesitancy to shed out multiples of over 20x, but even if that’s the case, I’d urge you to then consider the growth potential on offer. AMD’s FY22 EPS estimate of $4.393 represents an earnings growth potential of 58%; in light of that figure, you’re then looking at an incredibly low forward price to earnings growth ratio (PEG) of less than 0.4x! Just for some context, over the last five years, AMD’s forward PEG multiple has averaged more than1x, whilst the company’s peers from the semiconductor space are currently trading at an average forward PEG of 1.49x!YChartsClosing Thoughts - Is AMD Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?From the last week of November 2021 when it was trading at all-time highs, to the second week of May 2022, the AMD stock had lost almost half its value; after this brutal drawdown, one can now spot certain encouraging developments in the technical imprints of the stock.If one looks at the price action on the weekly chart, we can see that after a prolonged bout of selling - where it could not break past the descending trendline - the stock has now reached a congestion zone (area highlighted in green), where it spent a lot of time building a base during August 2020- July 2021. You would think this terrain could once again serve as a platform for base building which represents a good zone to accumulate the stock. In the last week of May, we also saw a full-bodied green candle (with no wicks), which broke past the trendline, although I wouldn’t necessarily get overly carried away by this trigger.Trading ViewThen if I switch over to the smaller time frame- daily chart, one can see rather clear imprints of a typical rounding bottom pattern, which implies that a floor has probably been made.InvestingFinally, also consider that AMD still appears to offer good value against its peers in the semiconductor space, as represented by the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX). The relative strength ratio is still below its long-term average of 0.375, and it is also quite a bit away from the upper boundary of the ascending wedge.StockchartsTo conclude, I rate AMD stock as a BUY.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021752637,"gmtCreate":1653105988529,"gmtModify":1676535225932,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is the bottom?","listText":"Where is the bottom?","text":"Where is the bottom?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021752637","repostId":"2236015712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236015712","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653088476,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236015712?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-21 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236015712","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here's why Apple is a golden investment amid the ongoing tech sell-off.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed&#39;s decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> and <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.</p><p>Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies <b>Netflix </b>and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b> posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn&#39;t mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58efc5f5899a865afd71defde8137f91\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies,<b> Apple</b>, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today&#39;s market environment. And since it&#39;s down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.</p><h2>A resilient business</h2><p>In the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street&#39;s revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company&#39;s services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.</p><p>For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple&#39;s top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company&#39;s services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.</p><p>Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company&#39;s elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company&#39;s robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.</p><h2>A normalized valuation</h2><p>The recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff26f227883e6475edef412754fe00f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL PE Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><p>The tech company&#39;s current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.</p><h2>Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market today</h2><p>Apple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you&#39;re searching for a durable stock to combat the market&#39;s volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-21 07:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236015712","content_text":"The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies Netflix and Meta Platforms posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn't mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.Image source: Getty Images.In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies, Apple, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today's market environment. And since it's down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.A resilient businessIn the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street's revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company's services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple's top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company's services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company's elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company's robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.A normalized valuationThe recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.AAPL PE Ratio data by YChartsThe tech company's current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market todayApple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you're searching for a durable stock to combat the market's volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9023522059,"gmtCreate":1652933721171,"gmtModify":1676535192272,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;ok","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;ok","text":"[OK] ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9023522059","repostId":"2236797581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236797581","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652932286,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236797581?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-19 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Timing Is Everything","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236797581","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>You hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.</li><li>“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.</li><li>You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.</li><li>Even so, I do agree, &#34;time in&#34; the market, not &#34;timing&#34; the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.</li><li>In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a1229b9c7f7f78df1d901d2fde69ea\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Why now is an ideal time to buy Tesla</b></p><p>Yes, yes I know you can&#39;t time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.</p><p><b>First things first</b></p><p>I would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.</p><p>The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla is not a “car” stock</b></p><p>I submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration &#34;story&#34; stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They&#39;re commonly referred to as &#34;long-duration assets.&#34;</p><p>Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it&#39;s more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie &#34;The Outsiders&#34; than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here&#39;s why.</p><p><b>Tesla revenue 5 year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab99bfe7748553a39961171fad2fc738\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year revenue growth (YCharts)</span></p><p><b>Tesla gross profit 5-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ac0c43a94e2f8a570de132e416f31d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)</span></p><p>Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.</p><p><b>Lots of new competition, yes but…</b></p><p>There&#39;s a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There&#39;s no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.</p><p><b>Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructure</b></p><p>My friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.</p><p><b>Tesla Super charging station map</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8250ffd495c652144b8dce9d70a2fc2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)</span></p><p>With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.</p><p>The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year return on investment</b></p><p>I made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c6f4a069c5d0a8d1c46387167c52d8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&amp;P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I&#39;m 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I&#39;m transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.</p><p>Even so, I&#39;m not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla technical analysis</b></p><p>Tesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.</p><p><b>Tesla current chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792ea9bbefed3d777ecfcc34810ab1eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"199\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Current Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.</p><p><b>The Wrap Up</b></p><p>I believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That&#39;s a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there&#39;s plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.</p><p>The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.</p><p><b>Final Note</b></p><p>The stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There&#39;s a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.</p><p>My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Timing Is Everything</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Timing Is Everything\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-19 11:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236797581","content_text":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.Even so, I do agree, \"time in\" the market, not \"timing\" the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesWhy now is an ideal time to buy TeslaYes, yes I know you can't time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.First things firstI would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.Tesla is not a “car” stockI submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration \"story\" stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They're commonly referred to as \"long-duration assets.\"Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it's more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie \"The Outsiders\" than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here's why.Tesla revenue 5 year chart5-year revenue growth (YCharts)Tesla gross profit 5-year chart5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.Lots of new competition, yes but…There's a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There's no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary one is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructureMy friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.Tesla Super charging station mapTesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.Tesla 10-year return on investmentI made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.Tesla 10-year chartTesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I'm 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I'm transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.Even so, I'm not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.Tesla technical analysisTesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.Tesla current chartTesla Current Chart (Finviz)I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s Twitter (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.The Wrap UpI believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That's a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there's plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.Final NoteThe stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There's a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064246825,"gmtCreate":1652333115867,"gmtModify":1676535080487,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064246825","repostId":"1114386824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114386824","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652324539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114386824?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-12 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114386824","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.</p><p><b>Apple</b> stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.</p><p>It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.</p><p>Below, I list a couple of them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd834b5930cc8484f73b322c50b95c91\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip</span></p><p><b>#1. Apple’s business remains robust</b></p><p>One thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.</p><p>From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.</p><p>Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.</p><p>The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.</p><p>Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.</p><p><b>#2. The more AAPL sinks, the better</b></p><p>Let’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?</p><p>This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.</p><p>If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.</p><p>I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caa4cc4334f85dcaf5477bab7e65223f\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by Strategy</span></p><p>Here is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.</p><p>Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: 2 Reasons to Buy on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-12 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/2-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-on-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114386824","content_text":"Apple stock price has returned to September 2021 levels. While investors may be feeling uneasy about the recent selloff, the decline could also pose an opportunity.Apple stock took another hit on May 11, just like the rest of the market in this turbulent 2022 so far. Shares have just dipped to the low $146s from a peak of $182 reached in early January, down 16% and back to September 2021 levels.It would be overly optimistic to say that Apple has already declined as much as it could. The stock has sold off by 30% or more a few times in the past several years alone. Still, there are reasons to be optimistic about buying AAPL on the dip.Below, I list a couple of them.Figure 1: 2 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock On The Dip#1. Apple’s business remains robustOne thing is the market, which has showcased plenty of weakness lately. Something completely different are the fundamentals of the economy and the performance of individual companies.From a macro perspective, there are enough reasons for investors to worry. Inflation remains high. The interest rate hiking cycle has barely started, and no one (not even the Federal Reserve) knows when it will end. Signs of economic slowdown continue to mount across the globe — more evident in places like China, but still observable in the US.Should macroeconomic factors deteriorate substantially, even Apple could suffer the consequences. However, for now, the Cupertino company has been an oasis of prosperity.The most recent earnings report proved that Apple can still deliver solid growth on top of outstanding results in 2021. Demand remains high for the iPhone, now in its second 5G cycle with the well-received iPhone 13.The Mac is also sizzling hot, as the M1 chip family has helped Apple to stand out among PC-making peers that have instead witnessed declining shipments.Sure, fiscal Q3 will be disrupted by supply chain challenges, which CEO Tim Cook and team believe could shave off up to $8 billion in revenues for the quarter. Still, it is hard to find a tech company that has been “delivering the goods” as Apple has managed to lately.#2. The more AAPL sinks, the betterLet’s do a quick mental exercise: if a time traveler came from the future and gave you winning lottery numbers, but did not tell you exactly when those numbers would be drawn, what would you do? Would you play one ticket each week until you hit the jackpot?This is how I think of the Cupertino giant. Over time — I just can’t pinpoint exactly when — Apple stock should return to all-time highs and then climb much further from there. I believe this to be the case because Apple remains an incredibly relevant tech company. As some might put it, “Apple is not going anywhere”.If I am highly suspicious that the trajectory of Apple shares is up and to the right, although with bumps along the way, then it is better to buy AAPL when the stock is cheaper. That time could be now, between 15% and 20% below all-time highs.I have plugged in the numbers before and presented my findings in my “best strategy” article. The data suggests that buying AAPL on any random date has produced solid annual returns of 34% through 2021. But when bought in a 15%-plus drawdown like the current one, the average gains have been an even better 40% per year.Figure 2: Average One-Year Return on AAPL as of 2021, by StrategyHere is a number to keep in mind: by climbing back to the all-time highs of $182, AAPL stock will produce returns of 20%. This is just the gain associated with a reversal to early January 2022 levels. Not bad for a start.Having said the above, keep in mind that Apple can still dip further before recovering. Equity investing is risky. Shareholders should understand their financial goals and risk tolerance before committing capital to AAPL or any other stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084325277,"gmtCreate":1650814681079,"gmtModify":1676534797493,"author":{"id":"4103114401761660","authorId":"4103114401761660","name":"Bernard1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103114401761660","authorIdStr":"4103114401761660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084325277","repostId":"2229815110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229815110","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650681404,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229815110?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-23 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229815110","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Wall Street is bullish on Palantir because it see catalysts for the company's long-term growth. But the software company's stock price has been cratering.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising adoption of crypto, investors have witnessed peaks and valleys in growth stocks since the outset of the pandemic.</p><p>Data analytics provider <b>Palantir Technologies</b> often finds its name in the headlines because both the public and private sectors are increasingly using the company&#39;s robust software platform. However, over the last 12 months, the company&#39;s stock has cratered by 45%. But as investor enthusiasm has waned, Wall Street has identified some catalysts that could serve as long-term growth drivers for the stock.</p><h2>What is Wall Street saying?</h2><p>Over the last month, Wall Street banks <b>Piper Sandler</b> and Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Company have initiated coverage of Palantir stock and assigned a buy or buy-equivalent rating. Piper Sandler&#39;s current price target is $15 per share, while Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Company arrived at $20 per share, which implies a 67% upside from where the stock trades today.</p><p>Alongside Palantir&#39;s 2021 earnings results, management issued guidance with expectations of at least 30% revenue growth year over year through 2025. Both banks believe that this target is achievable, given Palantir&#39;s most recent operating results, and highlighted increased sales and marketing hiring, as well as continued geographic penetration, as top tailwinds that could propel the company forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F674957%2Fgettyimages-1294781573.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"410\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Are these points valid?</h2><p>In 2021, Palantir generated $1.5 billion in revenue, up 41% year over year. What&#39;s most impressive about this growth is the company&#39;s penetration of both the public and private sectors. In its early days, Palantir primarily focused on selling software products to the U.S. Government. However, its 2021 results showcased how the company is beginning to gain traction in the commercial atmosphere. Given Palantir&#39;s ability to expand beyond its core end market of government agencies and win large deals in the private sector, Wall Street believes that Palantir should be able to reach its future revenue commitment of at least 30%.</p><p>In 2021, Palantir grew revenue in its commercial segment by 34% year over year. Moreover, commercial-sector customers <i>tripled </i>in 2021 to 147 total clients.</p><p>Perhaps the most encouraging indicator of Palantir&#39;s capabilities is its net dollar retention, which measures how much a company&#39;s recurring revenue has increased or decreased over some time by accounting for expansions, as well as churn. Net dollar retention was 113% in the commercial sector, while Palantir&#39;s government business reported 146%.  The impressive net dollar retention has contributed nicely to Palantir&#39;s profitability profile. For the year ended Dec. 31, 2021, Palantir&#39;s operating cash flow was $334 million. To reach its long-term revenue goal, Palantir has stated its intent to aggressively invest in sales efforts.</p><p>For reference, the company began 2021 with only 12 members of its U.S. commercial sales force. But by year&#39;s end, Palantir had grown this to a team of 80. Throughout the year, it signed several impressive customers in the commercial realm such as <b>The Merck Group</b> and Korean shipbuilder <b>Hyundai Heavy Industries</b>. To nurture these customers and augment growth in other areas around the globe, Palantir will parallel its U.S. commercial-sector hiring strategy and target additional sales representatives throughout western Europe in countries like France, Germany, and Italy, as well as in South Korea and the Middle East.</p><p>Another key focus that made Wall Street perk up is Palantir&#39;s ongoing investment in digital transformation. Although areas such as customer relationship management (CRM) or financial reporting analytics have their own specific tools, Palantir differentiates itself because its platforms mesh together software, artificial intelligence, and data analytics into one cohesive solution. As data becomes more integral for decision-makers inside corporations, Palantir could benefit from its all-in-one platform.</p><h2>Keep an eye on valuation</h2><p>Palantir stock is down over 30% since early January and over 40% during the last 12 months. Currently, the company is trading at 15 times its trailing-12-month sales. By comparison, Palantir was trading at 21 times trailing-12-month sales around the same time in 2021.</p><p>Despite Palantir&#39;s sell-off, Wall Street has highlighted several interesting growth drivers for the company. Moreover, the catalysts identified are meant to serve long-term growth rather than short-term momentum. The company is trading at a significant discount compared to its prior highs and has created a roadmap to generate and sustain long-term growth. As a result, now might be the optimal time to take a look at Palantir for your own portfolio.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-23 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229815110","content_text":"Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising adoption of crypto, investors have witnessed peaks and valleys in growth stocks since the outset of the pandemic.Data analytics provider Palantir Technologies often finds its name in the headlines because both the public and private sectors are increasingly using the company's robust software platform. However, over the last 12 months, the company's stock has cratered by 45%. But as investor enthusiasm has waned, Wall Street has identified some catalysts that could serve as long-term growth drivers for the stock.What is Wall Street saying?Over the last month, Wall Street banks Piper Sandler and Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Company have initiated coverage of Palantir stock and assigned a buy or buy-equivalent rating. Piper Sandler's current price target is $15 per share, while Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Company arrived at $20 per share, which implies a 67% upside from where the stock trades today.Alongside Palantir's 2021 earnings results, management issued guidance with expectations of at least 30% revenue growth year over year through 2025. Both banks believe that this target is achievable, given Palantir's most recent operating results, and highlighted increased sales and marketing hiring, as well as continued geographic penetration, as top tailwinds that could propel the company forward.Image source: Getty Images.Are these points valid?In 2021, Palantir generated $1.5 billion in revenue, up 41% year over year. What's most impressive about this growth is the company's penetration of both the public and private sectors. In its early days, Palantir primarily focused on selling software products to the U.S. Government. However, its 2021 results showcased how the company is beginning to gain traction in the commercial atmosphere. Given Palantir's ability to expand beyond its core end market of government agencies and win large deals in the private sector, Wall Street believes that Palantir should be able to reach its future revenue commitment of at least 30%.In 2021, Palantir grew revenue in its commercial segment by 34% year over year. Moreover, commercial-sector customers tripled in 2021 to 147 total clients.Perhaps the most encouraging indicator of Palantir's capabilities is its net dollar retention, which measures how much a company's recurring revenue has increased or decreased over some time by accounting for expansions, as well as churn. Net dollar retention was 113% in the commercial sector, while Palantir's government business reported 146%.  The impressive net dollar retention has contributed nicely to Palantir's profitability profile. For the year ended Dec. 31, 2021, Palantir's operating cash flow was $334 million. To reach its long-term revenue goal, Palantir has stated its intent to aggressively invest in sales efforts.For reference, the company began 2021 with only 12 members of its U.S. commercial sales force. But by year's end, Palantir had grown this to a team of 80. Throughout the year, it signed several impressive customers in the commercial realm such as The Merck Group and Korean shipbuilder Hyundai Heavy Industries. To nurture these customers and augment growth in other areas around the globe, Palantir will parallel its U.S. commercial-sector hiring strategy and target additional sales representatives throughout western Europe in countries like France, Germany, and Italy, as well as in South Korea and the Middle East.Another key focus that made Wall Street perk up is Palantir's ongoing investment in digital transformation. Although areas such as customer relationship management (CRM) or financial reporting analytics have their own specific tools, Palantir differentiates itself because its platforms mesh together software, artificial intelligence, and data analytics into one cohesive solution. As data becomes more integral for decision-makers inside corporations, Palantir could benefit from its all-in-one platform.Keep an eye on valuationPalantir stock is down over 30% since early January and over 40% during the last 12 months. Currently, the company is trading at 15 times its trailing-12-month sales. By comparison, Palantir was trading at 21 times trailing-12-month sales around the same time in 2021.Despite Palantir's sell-off, Wall Street has highlighted several interesting growth drivers for the company. Moreover, the catalysts identified are meant to serve long-term growth rather than short-term momentum. The company is trading at a significant discount compared to its prior highs and has created a roadmap to generate and sustain long-term growth. As a result, now might be the optimal time to take a look at Palantir for your own portfolio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}