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04-03

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $150

04-27

Great article, would you like to share it?

@AyKing:I closed $BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$ ,Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)

2022-10-04

Good article

My Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)

2022-01-20

Great articles

2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030

2022-07-14

👍

Twitter Surged to $52 By Rosenblatt; Netflix Cut to $365 By BMO Capital | Price Target Changes

2022-04-17

[Like]

Is Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?

2022-04-17

[ShakeHands]

2 Charts That Show Why It's Time to Buy the Dip in Meta Platforms' Stock

2022-09-27

Gpods article

Investing in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree

2022-04-27

Thanks

Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price

2022-10-27

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$

2022-11-24

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-11-20

2022-11-07

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

2022-10-24

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2022-10-21

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-10-09

TThanks for sharing

AMD Misses Sales Estimates By a Mile -- Time to Sell the Stock?

2022-09-18

2022-07-09

👍

Nvidia: Time To Buy The King Of Data Centers

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299642872778888","repostId":"299557200294008","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":299557200294008,"gmtCreate":1714153502904,"gmtModify":1714153735707,"author":{"id":"4101503898367960","authorId":"4101503898367960","name":"AyKing","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/744b3317bffa889841738d21afcb9c3e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I closed <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/BABA 20240517 77.0 CALL BUY 1 | BABA 20240517 74.0 CALL SELL 1\">$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$&nbsp;</a> ,Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. 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Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299557200294008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":291249286099176,"gmtCreate":1712131792348,"gmtModify":1712131796142,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> $150","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> $150","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $150","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/291249286099176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":272317169573952,"gmtCreate":1707521615112,"gmtModify":1707521619296,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Salute]","listText":"[Salute]","text":"[Salute]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/272317169573952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":269960331722776,"gmtCreate":1706917231440,"gmtModify":1706917236107,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]","listText":"[Like]","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/269960331722776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":264434268295352,"gmtCreate":1705583382320,"gmtModify":1705583387552,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/065600709a52fb2026ba20bc77637461","width":"882","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/264434268295352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262783621939368,"gmtCreate":1705190360571,"gmtModify":1705190364056,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> up up up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> up up up","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262783621939368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262784219955416,"gmtCreate":1705190334893,"gmtModify":1705190337425,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262784219955416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":255431772106776,"gmtCreate":1703374763977,"gmtModify":1703374766624,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ </a> merry Christmas&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ </a> merry Christmas&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ merry Christmas","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/255431772106776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234420885475576,"gmtCreate":1698272067773,"gmtModify":1698272072506,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article","listText":"Nice article","text":"Nice article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234420885475576","repostId":"234336384118800","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234336384118800,"gmtCreate":1698237120208,"gmtModify":1698292391773,"author":{"id":"3527667671414981","authorId":"3527667671414981","name":"TigerClub","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"🎁Tigers Topic Review (18): I will get all my friends and relatives to raid all the rewards","htmlText":"Hi Tigers🥳🥳,Welcome to Tigers Topic Review“Topic Review” is a new column set to highlight great comments on valuable topics discussed in our Tiger Community.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/231803371884584\">🎁Tigers Topic Review (17): Tiger Emoji Show🤪</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/226883791360152\">🔥Tigers Topic Review (16): I wish My money flower can grow up</a>In last week's Thursday Special \"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/232205940498448\">Risk Tolerance vs. Ambition: How to Maximize Profits?</a>\", Tigers were invited to make a once-in-a-lifetime decision that could make them millionaires or even billionaires, depending on their choice and, of course, their luck. Given one choice, most Tigers would go for the sure-win 1-million option[Miser]. And if 3 choices are availabl","listText":"Hi Tigers🥳🥳,Welcome to Tigers Topic Review“Topic Review” is a new column set to highlight great comments on valuable topics discussed in our Tiger Community.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/231803371884584\">🎁Tigers Topic Review (17): Tiger Emoji Show🤪</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/226883791360152\">🔥Tigers Topic Review (16): I wish My money flower can grow up</a>In last week's Thursday Special \"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/232205940498448\">Risk Tolerance vs. Ambition: How to Maximize Profits?</a>\", Tigers were invited to make a once-in-a-lifetime decision that could make them millionaires or even billionaires, depending on their choice and, of course, their luck. Given one choice, most Tigers would go for the sure-win 1-million option[Miser]. And if 3 choices are availabl","text":"Hi Tigers🥳🥳,Welcome to Tigers Topic Review“Topic Review” is a new column set to highlight great comments on valuable topics discussed in our Tiger Community.🎁Tigers Topic Review (17): Tiger Emoji Show🤪🔥Tigers Topic Review (16): I wish My money flower can grow upIn last week's Thursday Special \"Risk Tolerance vs. Ambition: How to Maximize Profits?\", Tigers were invited to make a once-in-a-lifetime decision that could make them millionaires or even billionaires, depending on their choice and, of course, their luck. Given one choice, most Tigers would go for the sure-win 1-million option[Miser]. And if 3 choices are availabl","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6afcee6b68d85bb01ce9b25fef5eeeb9","width":"640","height":"480"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26260a2c604e462716d1304ba9ef1024","width":"450","height":"459"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad18b9e8a269e8127fb9869fe4cb01e8","width":"700","height":"578"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234336384118800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234374801383688,"gmtCreate":1698229362305,"gmtModify":1698229365451,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234374801383688","repostId":"233470486999104","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":233470486999104,"gmtCreate":1698028206023,"gmtModify":1698044967676,"author":{"id":"3572212908677301","authorId":"3572212908677301","name":"TigerOptions","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20925853481806adc78dcdfe25f2fe89","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"What to Watch Out For As October is Coming to an End","htmlText":"As we approach the end of October, the financial markets are experiencing a risk-off mood that seems likely to persist into the coming week. Investors are concerned about the potential for more interest rate hikes and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which is raising geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, a weaker-than-expected earnings report from <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> last week has added to the somber atmosphere. Tesla's stock has concluded the week on a tumultuous note, posting its most significant drop of the year, shedding a staggering 15% of its value. Wall Street's fear gauge, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a>, recently closed at its highest level in nearly seven months, refle","listText":"As we approach the end of October, the financial markets are experiencing a risk-off mood that seems likely to persist into the coming week. Investors are concerned about the potential for more interest rate hikes and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which is raising geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, a weaker-than-expected earnings report from <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> last week has added to the somber atmosphere. Tesla's stock has concluded the week on a tumultuous note, posting its most significant drop of the year, shedding a staggering 15% of its value. Wall Street's fear gauge, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a>, recently closed at its highest level in nearly seven months, refle","text":"As we approach the end of October, the financial markets are experiencing a risk-off mood that seems likely to persist into the coming week. Investors are concerned about the potential for more interest rate hikes and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which is raising geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, a weaker-than-expected earnings report from $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ last week has added to the somber atmosphere. Tesla's stock has concluded the week on a tumultuous note, posting its most significant drop of the year, shedding a staggering 15% of its value. Wall Street's fear gauge, the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, recently closed at its highest level in nearly seven months, refle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2934cdc7c0d9aa7ab44cc4378522fc18","width":"800","height":"512"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78e24a17a8927b0b9e09b4ae6515b6fe","width":"286","height":"112"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4af3dafe7e706054c5c89ca6bdcb3fbc","width":"1024","height":"680"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/233470486999104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234374959259936,"gmtCreate":1698229287236,"gmtModify":1698229290303,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234374959259936","repostId":"234292489523248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234292489523248,"gmtCreate":1698226516803,"gmtModify":1698226519668,"author":{"id":"9000000000000176","authorId":"9000000000000176","name":"RandyHall","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a2c539bd7eff494d3755975b44673ef","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234292489523248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234375015194624,"gmtCreate":1698229282253,"gmtModify":1698229285587,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234375015194624","repostId":"234292489523248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234292489523248,"gmtCreate":1698226516803,"gmtModify":1698226519668,"author":{"id":"9000000000000176","authorId":"9000000000000176","name":"RandyHall","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a2c539bd7eff494d3755975b44673ef","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234292489523248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234374929457384,"gmtCreate":1698229279065,"gmtModify":1698229282095,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234374929457384","repostId":"234292489523248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234292489523248,"gmtCreate":1698226516803,"gmtModify":1698226519668,"author":{"id":"9000000000000176","authorId":"9000000000000176","name":"RandyHall","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a2c539bd7eff494d3755975b44673ef","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234292489523248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182933968904320,"gmtCreate":1685670854023,"gmtModify":1685670857913,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182933968904320","repostId":"180647052058640","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":180647052058640,"gmtCreate":1685125993921,"gmtModify":1685126016918,"author":{"id":"4102740637684170","authorId":"4102740637684170","name":"OptionsDelta","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ab2017d32f95a165639de659b21cd1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Counterintuitive trading tip: Buy NVDA to hedge market risk","htmlText":"First share options large order, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$</a> bullish range:buy <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20135.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 135.0 CALL$</a>sell <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20145.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 145.0 CALL$</a>The institution bought the spread strategy<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20115.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 115.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20125.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 125.0 CALL$</a> last week and then closed and rolled it before Thursday's close, with the strike price changing to a higher 135-145 and the option expiration pushed back a week, bullish on AMD's follo","listText":"First share options large order, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$</a> bullish range:buy <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20135.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 135.0 CALL$</a>sell <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20145.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 145.0 CALL$</a>The institution bought the spread strategy<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20115.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 115.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20125.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 125.0 CALL$</a> last week and then closed and rolled it before Thursday's close, with the strike price changing to a higher 135-145 and the option expiration pushed back a week, bullish on AMD's follo","text":"First share options large order, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ bullish range:buy $AMD 20230623 135.0 CALL$sell $AMD 20230623 145.0 CALL$The institution bought the spread strategy$AMD 20230616 115.0 CALL$ $AMD 20230616 125.0 CALL$ last week and then closed and rolled it before Thursday's close, with the strike price changing to a higher 135-145 and the option expiration pushed back a week, bullish on AMD's follo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/84e80189f2a0b988b9149384b80a8c45","width":"1366","height":"346"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4513805c92669cedb52ad6cdfe19dc0","width":"1066","height":"1519"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bba6939069d75c57182d372ecc7e1cd","width":"2416","height":"150"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/180647052058640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957560514,"gmtCreate":1677401547638,"gmtModify":1677401551624,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957560514","repostId":"9957281989","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957281989,"gmtCreate":1677286013942,"gmtModify":1677292149640,"author":{"id":"3479274819487659","authorId":"3479274819487659","name":"The Finance Hydra","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a242a9be28de8ea5e320d9cee36651ca","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n  NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.\n \n","listText":"NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.","text":"NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957281989","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"ade38f9bed2547128798be86cb7e9cb7","tweetId":"9957281989","title":"NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1677286008025e12cf9f9e9fd45878f300ecd124736dd.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c01301561ef21717d2dc4273e66dbf","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1677286008025e12cf9f9e9fd45878f300ecd124736dd.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957283648,"gmtCreate":1677285455184,"gmtModify":1677285457102,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957283648","repostId":"9957621467","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957621467,"gmtCreate":1677228338159,"gmtModify":1677228342661,"author":{"id":"9000000000000650","authorId":"9000000000000650","name":"ClarenceNehemiah","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Alibaba earnings:* $35.92 billion in revenue, up 2% (BEAT).* $5.08 billion in operating income, up 379%.* $6.6 billion in net income, up 138%.* $7.2 billion in adjusted net income, up 12%.* $2.60 in GAAP EPS (BEAT).* $2.79 in adjusted EPS (BEAT)* $11.8 BILLION FCF!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Alibaba earnings:* $35.92 billion in revenue, up 2% (BEAT).* $5.08 billion in operating income, up 379%.* $6.6 billion in net income, up 138%.* $7.2 billion in adjusted net income, up 12%.* $2.60 in GAAP EPS (BEAT).* $2.79 in adjusted EPS (BEAT)* $11.8 BILLION FCF!","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ Alibaba earnings:* $35.92 billion in revenue, up 2% (BEAT).* $5.08 billion in operating income, up 379%.* $6.6 billion in net income, up 138%.* $7.2 billion in adjusted net income, up 12%.* $2.60 in GAAP EPS (BEAT).* $2.79 in adjusted EPS (BEAT)* $11.8 BILLION FCF!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fa8f5ed22b3308f2fde8aed2dd10149","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957621467","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923450672,"gmtCreate":1670896230696,"gmtModify":1676538455795,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923450672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929737479,"gmtCreate":1670729562292,"gmtModify":1676538424801,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929737479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929603467,"gmtCreate":1670642499959,"gmtModify":1676538411238,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$DJIA(.DJI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929603467","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920430943,"gmtCreate":1670539884482,"gmtModify":1676538387206,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920430943","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":291249286099176,"gmtCreate":1712131792348,"gmtModify":1712131796142,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> $150","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> $150","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $150","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/291249286099176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":299642872778888,"gmtCreate":1714174420818,"gmtModify":1714174422661,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299642872778888","repostId":"299557200294008","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":299557200294008,"gmtCreate":1714153502904,"gmtModify":1714153735707,"author":{"id":"4101503898367960","authorId":"4101503898367960","name":"AyKing","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/744b3317bffa889841738d21afcb9c3e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I closed <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/BABA 20240517 77.0 CALL BUY 1 | BABA 20240517 74.0 CALL SELL 1\">$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$&nbsp;</a> ,Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","listText":"I closed <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/BABA 20240517 77.0 CALL BUY 1 | BABA 20240517 74.0 CALL SELL 1\">$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$&nbsp;</a> ,Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","text":"I closed $BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$ ,Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299557200294008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912654157,"gmtCreate":1664836882579,"gmtModify":1676537514358,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp; article&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp; article&nbsp;","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912654157","repostId":"1159917391","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159917391","pubTimestamp":1664810401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159917391?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-03 23:20","market":"other","language":"en","title":"My Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159917391","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMy allocation remains the same.June lows have been taken out.Possible demand zone for SPY is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>My allocation remains the same.</li><li>June lows have been taken out.</li><li>Possible demand zone for SPY is identified.</li></ul><p>In this month&#39;s article I outline why I am maintaining my October&#39;s allocation to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) at 40% with the other 60% of my assets in cash. First let me review my pension plan performance in September. The market, as measured by the S&amp;P 500 index, lost 9.34% for the month. As for my pension plan assets, I outperformed the index as my investment allocation only lost 3.53%. My investment objective of preserving my capital was not met as I did not make money. I did meet my second investment objective which is beating the S&amp;P 500 index. These results are the same as last month. Table 1 below shows my returns and allocations for the month of September and Table 2 below shows my returns for the past 12 months.</p><p>I have made changes to Table 2 below after I received a comment from a reader. Table 2 shows new columns to better (more accurately) reflect my investment results. The third column, $100K Hypo, is what my returns would be if I started my account with $100,000 in my first article of this series and followed the allocation recommendations from my articles. The fifth column, $100K SPY, shows the returns of just investing $100,000 and keeping it all allocated to SPY. The percentage returns in the last row show that my strategy returned a negative 8.23% for the last 12 months and simply investing in SPY would have returned a negative 15.49% for the last 12 months. Therefore, I have outperformed SPY for the last 12 months by 7.26%.</p><p>Table 1 - Investment Returns for September</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373c49c0cce6f026380f1818b9831bd0\" tg-width=\"489\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>author</p><p>Table 2 - Investment Returns Last 12 Months</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838dad282bd83095f46d1caa3e8ddedd\" tg-width=\"717\" tg-height=\"475\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>To review the purpose of this series of articles, my retirement account only allows me to buy the following four ETFs: iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), and iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). I can also have my money in cash. The question is how to decide where and when to allocate money to these various ETFs.</p><p>I use my moving average crossover system combined with relative strength charts to determine how to allocate my pension plan assets. My moving average crossover system uses the 6 month and the 10- month exponential moving averages to identify which of the four ETFs are in position to be bought. If the 6-month moving average is above the 10-month moving average, then the ETF is a buy. I call this setup being in bullish alignment. When the 6-month moving average is below the 10-month moving average the setup is referred to as a bearish alignment. When a bearish alignment happens, I don&#39;t want to hold that asset. See Chart 1 below for a long-term look at the S&amp;P 500 index using my moving average crossover system.</p><p>Chart 1 - Monthly SP 500 Index with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7952c779df2062d82c637eb58d33bfba\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>You can see that the moving average crossover system provided some excellent long term buy and sell signals that would have allowed investors to capture long duration moves in the index; while avoiding costly drawdowns. Avoiding these costly drawdowns allows me to meet the objective of capital reservation.</p><p>I employ this strategy because I do not want to experience a large drawdown with my pension assets. During the 2008-2009 market crash many people didn&#39;t even look at their retirement statements because they were afraid of what they would find. I submit that if those people would have used a market strategy like what I outline in this series of articles, they would have been able to avoid much of the decline during the bear market and consequently would have had less emotional stress during that time period.</p><p>The following charts show the current status of the ETFs that I am allowed to buy in my retirement account.</p><p>Chart 2 - Monthly SPY with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db01354ec47cafb30754a83fe2e2220\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 2 shows that SPY declined over 9% in September. It was a tough month for bulls. SPY remains in bearish alignment. Volume did increase which is bearish. The SPY candle is a very bearish one closing at the low of the month. SPY also closed below the June lows. There is nothing bullish about that development. As I look at Chart 2, I see a potential demand zone where bulls could step in, at the 320 level. The demand zone is outlined in blue. Right now, things don&#39;t look good for SPY. We will see where we go from here. For October, I am staying with my allocation of 40% to SPY. I will look to increase my exposure to SPY once SPY closes above its 10-month moving average which is in red.</p><p>Chart 3 - Monthly IWM with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1017d71508cf02631b0556d24fed337\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 3 shows that small cap stocks fell hard losing 9.66% in September. IWM remains in bearish alignment and like SPY in Chart 2, IWM&#39;s candle for the month was bearish. Volume increased which is also bearish. If you&#39;re a bull on IWM, a positive sign is that IWM held the June lows. It&#39;s the only ETF in this article that was able to do so. That green line on the chart has held so far. The longer IWM remains above the green line, the more valid that level of support becomes. The next bullish development would be IWM closing above the blue 6-month moving average.</p><p>Chart 4 - Monthly IWM: SPY Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df4b4c8b3578cf9bc420eee96cbcc7ea\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"577\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 4 still shows that the IWM: SPY ratio is perhaps bottoming. In September the ratio ticked down slightly as IWM underperformed SPY. The low level seems to be holding which is bullish if you are an IWM investor. Despite that bullish feature, the ratio remains in bearish alignment. While the ratio is in bearish alignment the two averages seem to be flattening out and in the case of the blue 6-month moving average, turning higher. That can be seen as a bullish development. Before I consider allocating money to IWM I need to see the ratio get above the red ten-month moving average. This could happen soon.</p><p>Chart 5 - Monthly EFA with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e0595d8a79eafdaec5968ca027ea0ca\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 5 shows that EFA lost 9.22% in September. It was a bearish month with a bearish candle closing just off its lows for the month. Like SPY and IWM, EFA traded on higher volume. EFA remains in bearish alignment. Looking at Chart 5 I don&#39;t see much in the way of support for EFA. EFA could test the COVID lows. As I wrote before, EFA has some work to do before I would consider allocating money to that ETF. I need to see EFA close above the red ten-month moving average.</p><p>Chart 6 - Monthly EFA: SPY Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4285ac4e7a7e0b32e169a216dc240c5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There is nothing new to report for Chart 6. The EFA: SPY ratio ticked up a bit in September. The ratio remains at its lows. When looking at a price chart and you see price move from the upper lefthand side to the lower righthand side of the chart, that is the textbook definition of a downtrend. I need to see this ratio close above the red 10 month moving average before I allocate money to EFA over SPY.</p><p>Chart 7 - Monthly EFA: IWM Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41c9d121f8b625d2540babbd062e5de\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"573\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 7 shows that EFA outperformed IWM in September by 0.49%. The ratio has flipped from being in bullish alignment to now being in bearish alignment. The recent series of higher highs and higher lows has been broken. I will continue to watch this chart to see how events unfold.</p><p>Chart 8 - Monthly AGG with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38c9db5314701a1b59f2f1645dfdc458\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 8 shows that AGG lost 4.14% in September. It was a bad month for AGG investors. AGG remains in bearish alignment, lost the green line of support, and the June lows. AGG is now at levels last seen in 2018. AGG is now down over 16% from its highs in August 2020.</p><p>Chart 9 - Monthly AGG: SPY Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b1d14158921e425b7a38cabe3c1851b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The AGG: SPY ratio in Chart 9 gained 5.62% as AGG outperformed SPY in September. The ratio is on the cusp of being in bullish alignment. Both moving averages are trending higher. The ratio is trying to make a series of higher highs and higher lows. We will see if it succeeds.</p><p>In summary, all the ETFs I covered in this article lost money in September. AGG performed the best by losing the least for the month. All the price charts are in bearish alignment. All the price charts are now below their June lows. I see no reason to change my allocation for October. I am keeping my allocation of 40% in SPY and 60% in cash. That may be too conservative, and I can live with that. It could also be too aggressive. We will see. I wrote last month that &#34;… the bear market may have been made as every ETF remains above the June lows. I don&#39;t know.&#34; Well, that proved to be incorrect. There may be more downside ahead for the markets. If SPY closes above its blue 6-month moving average in October, I will increase my allocation to SPY and reduce my allocation to cash. We are now in the unfavorable months for the stock market; June-October. I just try to follow price and the trend. Right now, the trend for equities and bonds remains down. I will monitor the markets for the month of October and then reallocate, if necessary, at the end of the month.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>My Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 23:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544236-my-current-view-sp500-index-october-2022-edition><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMy allocation remains the same.June lows have been taken out.Possible demand zone for SPY is identified.In this month's article I outline why I am maintaining my October's allocation to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544236-my-current-view-sp500-index-october-2022-edition\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544236-my-current-view-sp500-index-october-2022-edition","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159917391","content_text":"SummaryMy allocation remains the same.June lows have been taken out.Possible demand zone for SPY is identified.In this month's article I outline why I am maintaining my October's allocation to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) at 40% with the other 60% of my assets in cash. First let me review my pension plan performance in September. The market, as measured by the S&P 500 index, lost 9.34% for the month. As for my pension plan assets, I outperformed the index as my investment allocation only lost 3.53%. My investment objective of preserving my capital was not met as I did not make money. I did meet my second investment objective which is beating the S&P 500 index. These results are the same as last month. Table 1 below shows my returns and allocations for the month of September and Table 2 below shows my returns for the past 12 months.I have made changes to Table 2 below after I received a comment from a reader. Table 2 shows new columns to better (more accurately) reflect my investment results. The third column, $100K Hypo, is what my returns would be if I started my account with $100,000 in my first article of this series and followed the allocation recommendations from my articles. The fifth column, $100K SPY, shows the returns of just investing $100,000 and keeping it all allocated to SPY. The percentage returns in the last row show that my strategy returned a negative 8.23% for the last 12 months and simply investing in SPY would have returned a negative 15.49% for the last 12 months. Therefore, I have outperformed SPY for the last 12 months by 7.26%.Table 1 - Investment Returns for SeptemberauthorTable 2 - Investment Returns Last 12 MonthsAuthorTo review the purpose of this series of articles, my retirement account only allows me to buy the following four ETFs: iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), and iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). I can also have my money in cash. The question is how to decide where and when to allocate money to these various ETFs.I use my moving average crossover system combined with relative strength charts to determine how to allocate my pension plan assets. My moving average crossover system uses the 6 month and the 10- month exponential moving averages to identify which of the four ETFs are in position to be bought. If the 6-month moving average is above the 10-month moving average, then the ETF is a buy. I call this setup being in bullish alignment. When the 6-month moving average is below the 10-month moving average the setup is referred to as a bearish alignment. When a bearish alignment happens, I don't want to hold that asset. See Chart 1 below for a long-term look at the S&P 500 index using my moving average crossover system.Chart 1 - Monthly SP 500 Index with 6/10 Moving AveragesYou can see that the moving average crossover system provided some excellent long term buy and sell signals that would have allowed investors to capture long duration moves in the index; while avoiding costly drawdowns. Avoiding these costly drawdowns allows me to meet the objective of capital reservation.I employ this strategy because I do not want to experience a large drawdown with my pension assets. During the 2008-2009 market crash many people didn't even look at their retirement statements because they were afraid of what they would find. I submit that if those people would have used a market strategy like what I outline in this series of articles, they would have been able to avoid much of the decline during the bear market and consequently would have had less emotional stress during that time period.The following charts show the current status of the ETFs that I am allowed to buy in my retirement account.Chart 2 - Monthly SPY with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 2 shows that SPY declined over 9% in September. It was a tough month for bulls. SPY remains in bearish alignment. Volume did increase which is bearish. The SPY candle is a very bearish one closing at the low of the month. SPY also closed below the June lows. There is nothing bullish about that development. As I look at Chart 2, I see a potential demand zone where bulls could step in, at the 320 level. The demand zone is outlined in blue. Right now, things don't look good for SPY. We will see where we go from here. For October, I am staying with my allocation of 40% to SPY. I will look to increase my exposure to SPY once SPY closes above its 10-month moving average which is in red.Chart 3 - Monthly IWM with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 3 shows that small cap stocks fell hard losing 9.66% in September. IWM remains in bearish alignment and like SPY in Chart 2, IWM's candle for the month was bearish. Volume increased which is also bearish. If you're a bull on IWM, a positive sign is that IWM held the June lows. It's the only ETF in this article that was able to do so. That green line on the chart has held so far. The longer IWM remains above the green line, the more valid that level of support becomes. The next bullish development would be IWM closing above the blue 6-month moving average.Chart 4 - Monthly IWM: SPY Relative StrengthChart 4 still shows that the IWM: SPY ratio is perhaps bottoming. In September the ratio ticked down slightly as IWM underperformed SPY. The low level seems to be holding which is bullish if you are an IWM investor. Despite that bullish feature, the ratio remains in bearish alignment. While the ratio is in bearish alignment the two averages seem to be flattening out and in the case of the blue 6-month moving average, turning higher. That can be seen as a bullish development. Before I consider allocating money to IWM I need to see the ratio get above the red ten-month moving average. This could happen soon.Chart 5 - Monthly EFA with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 5 shows that EFA lost 9.22% in September. It was a bearish month with a bearish candle closing just off its lows for the month. Like SPY and IWM, EFA traded on higher volume. EFA remains in bearish alignment. Looking at Chart 5 I don't see much in the way of support for EFA. EFA could test the COVID lows. As I wrote before, EFA has some work to do before I would consider allocating money to that ETF. I need to see EFA close above the red ten-month moving average.Chart 6 - Monthly EFA: SPY Relative StrengthThere is nothing new to report for Chart 6. The EFA: SPY ratio ticked up a bit in September. The ratio remains at its lows. When looking at a price chart and you see price move from the upper lefthand side to the lower righthand side of the chart, that is the textbook definition of a downtrend. I need to see this ratio close above the red 10 month moving average before I allocate money to EFA over SPY.Chart 7 - Monthly EFA: IWM Relative StrengthChart 7 shows that EFA outperformed IWM in September by 0.49%. The ratio has flipped from being in bullish alignment to now being in bearish alignment. The recent series of higher highs and higher lows has been broken. I will continue to watch this chart to see how events unfold.Chart 8 - Monthly AGG with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 8 shows that AGG lost 4.14% in September. It was a bad month for AGG investors. AGG remains in bearish alignment, lost the green line of support, and the June lows. AGG is now at levels last seen in 2018. AGG is now down over 16% from its highs in August 2020.Chart 9 - Monthly AGG: SPY Relative StrengthThe AGG: SPY ratio in Chart 9 gained 5.62% as AGG outperformed SPY in September. The ratio is on the cusp of being in bullish alignment. Both moving averages are trending higher. The ratio is trying to make a series of higher highs and higher lows. We will see if it succeeds.In summary, all the ETFs I covered in this article lost money in September. AGG performed the best by losing the least for the month. All the price charts are in bearish alignment. All the price charts are now below their June lows. I see no reason to change my allocation for October. I am keeping my allocation of 40% in SPY and 60% in cash. That may be too conservative, and I can live with that. It could also be too aggressive. We will see. I wrote last month that \"… the bear market may have been made as every ETF remains above the June lows. I don't know.\" Well, that proved to be incorrect. There may be more downside ahead for the markets. If SPY closes above its blue 6-month moving average in October, I will increase my allocation to SPY and reduce my allocation to cash. We are now in the unfavorable months for the stock market; June-October. I just try to follow price and the trend. Right now, the trend for equities and bonds remains down. I will monitor the markets for the month of October and then reallocate, if necessary, at the end of the month.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004258248,"gmtCreate":1642630973719,"gmtModify":1676533728516,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great articles","listText":"Great articles","text":"Great articles","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004258248","repostId":"2204428037","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2204428037","pubTimestamp":1642595223,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2204428037?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-19 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2204428037","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market isn't the right place for New Year's resolutions. Always focus on the long term for the best results.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The new year has just begun, but the best investment strategy in 2022 won&#39;t differ all that much from the best plan in 2021: Focus on the long term. Recent stock market volatility, especially in technology stocks, can tempt investors to make short-sighted decisions -- but this should be avoided.</p><p>History supports the argument that time in the market is better than timing the market. Buying quality stocks and exercising patience is a recipe for success, especially if the companies have strong earnings and a high growth rate. That&#39;s why these two stocks are prime candidates to deliver fourfold returns by 2030.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F661531%2Fparents-about-to-hug-their-daughter-at-a-car-dealership-after-buying-her-a-car.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"452\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>1. The case for Upstart</h2><p>Artificial intelligence (AI) will be one of the most transformative technologies of our time. It&#39;s being applied in almost every industry in existence, mostly behind the scenes to complete complex tasks that once required thousands of hours of human input. <b>Upstart Holdings</b> (NASDAQ:UPST) is leveraging AI to transform lending, challenging the decades-old FICO credit scoring system used to assess potential borrowers.</p><p>The company&#39;s AI algorithm can assess over 1,000 data points to form a more comprehensive view on a person&#39;s creditworthiness, and 67% of the time it delivers an instant decision. Typically, this would raise concerns about its accuracy, but Upstart-approved borrowers default up to 75% less of the time compared to those assessed the traditional way.</p><p>Upstart earns revenue through fees when it originates a loan for a bank, so it takes no credit risk itself. After building its foundations in unsecured loan originations, it&#39;s now tackling the much larger automotive finance market, partnering with 291 dealerships all over America using its new Upstart Auto Retail sales and lending software. That dealership footprint has grown by 219% in just the last 12 months.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>2019</p></th><th><p>2021 (Estimate)</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$159 million</p></td><td><p>$806 million</p></td><td><p>125%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Earnings (loss) per share</p></td><td><p>($0.03)</p></td><td><p>$1.95</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data sources: Upstart, Yahoo! Finance. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>For Upstart&#39;s stock to turn $200,000 into $1 million by 2030, the company would have to grow its revenue by 23% every single year between now and then. That assumes its current price-to-sales ratio remains the same. As the above table suggests, Upstart is <i>crushing </i>that 23% growth rate right now.</p><p>In 2022, analysts expect the company will cross $1 billion in yearly revenue for the first time. And after Upstart handily beat expectations in 2021, history suggests investors should be very optimistic going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F661531%2Fan-advanced-robot-arm-holding-a-computer-processing-chip.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>2. The case for Advanced Micro Devices</h2><p>Powering artificial intelligence requires highly advanced computer chips. This hardware is manufactured by semiconductor specialists like <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>). While AI is still an emerging segment for the company, AMD produces chips for many of the technologies and devices that have become critical to the average consumer.</p><p>For computers, mobile devices, and even gaming consoles like <b>Microsoft</b>&#39;s Xbox or <b>Sony</b>&#39;s PlayStation, AMD is very often the chipmaker of choice. The company even struck a deal in late 2021 with <b>Tesla</b> to power the infotainment systems in its Model S and Model X electric vehicles.</p><p>But AMD&#39;s next major opportunity might be in the metaverse. Its LiquidVR technology is designed to ensure a smooth graphics experience from its semiconductors used in virtual reality applications, and the company has built versions of these products specifically for the Oculus line of headsets, a brand owned by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b>. This could be a major growth driver in the future, not that AMD&#39;s current performance necessarily needs a boost.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>2019</p></th><th><p>2021 (Estimate)</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$6.7 billion</p></td><td><p>$16.1 billion</p></td><td><p>55%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Earnings per share</p></td><td><p>$0.30</p></td><td><p>$2.63</p></td><td><p>196%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: Advanced Micro Devices, Yahoo! Finance. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Remember, 23% per year is the growth rate needed for a fourfold return in AMD&#39;s stock by 2030, assuming its current price-to-sales and price-to-earnings multiples remain constant. As it stands, if AMD&#39;s revenue growth rate were cut in half, it&#39;d still be above the mark. And on the earnings side, it has even more breathing room.</p><p>But with new and exciting technologies emerging in the metaverse, and with further advancements in artificial intelligence, it&#39;s possible AMD finds even more growth in the future, rather than less.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-19 20:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The new year has just begun, but the best investment strategy in 2022 won't differ all that much from the best plan in 2021: Focus on the long term. Recent stock market volatility, especially in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","AMD":"美国超微公司","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4543":"AI","BK4538":"云计算","BK4166":"消费信贷","BK4527":"明星科技股","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","MSFT":"微软","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","AI":"C3.ai, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2204428037","content_text":"The new year has just begun, but the best investment strategy in 2022 won't differ all that much from the best plan in 2021: Focus on the long term. Recent stock market volatility, especially in technology stocks, can tempt investors to make short-sighted decisions -- but this should be avoided.History supports the argument that time in the market is better than timing the market. Buying quality stocks and exercising patience is a recipe for success, especially if the companies have strong earnings and a high growth rate. That's why these two stocks are prime candidates to deliver fourfold returns by 2030.Image source: Getty Images.1. The case for UpstartArtificial intelligence (AI) will be one of the most transformative technologies of our time. It's being applied in almost every industry in existence, mostly behind the scenes to complete complex tasks that once required thousands of hours of human input. Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ:UPST) is leveraging AI to transform lending, challenging the decades-old FICO credit scoring system used to assess potential borrowers.The company's AI algorithm can assess over 1,000 data points to form a more comprehensive view on a person's creditworthiness, and 67% of the time it delivers an instant decision. Typically, this would raise concerns about its accuracy, but Upstart-approved borrowers default up to 75% less of the time compared to those assessed the traditional way.Upstart earns revenue through fees when it originates a loan for a bank, so it takes no credit risk itself. After building its foundations in unsecured loan originations, it's now tackling the much larger automotive finance market, partnering with 291 dealerships all over America using its new Upstart Auto Retail sales and lending software. That dealership footprint has grown by 219% in just the last 12 months.Metric20192021 (Estimate)CAGRRevenue$159 million$806 million125%Earnings (loss) per share($0.03)$1.95N/AData sources: Upstart, Yahoo! Finance. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.For Upstart's stock to turn $200,000 into $1 million by 2030, the company would have to grow its revenue by 23% every single year between now and then. That assumes its current price-to-sales ratio remains the same. As the above table suggests, Upstart is crushing that 23% growth rate right now.In 2022, analysts expect the company will cross $1 billion in yearly revenue for the first time. And after Upstart handily beat expectations in 2021, history suggests investors should be very optimistic going forward.Image source: Getty Images.2. The case for Advanced Micro DevicesPowering artificial intelligence requires highly advanced computer chips. This hardware is manufactured by semiconductor specialists like Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD). While AI is still an emerging segment for the company, AMD produces chips for many of the technologies and devices that have become critical to the average consumer.For computers, mobile devices, and even gaming consoles like Microsoft's Xbox or Sony's PlayStation, AMD is very often the chipmaker of choice. The company even struck a deal in late 2021 with Tesla to power the infotainment systems in its Model S and Model X electric vehicles.But AMD's next major opportunity might be in the metaverse. Its LiquidVR technology is designed to ensure a smooth graphics experience from its semiconductors used in virtual reality applications, and the company has built versions of these products specifically for the Oculus line of headsets, a brand owned by Meta Platforms. This could be a major growth driver in the future, not that AMD's current performance necessarily needs a boost.Metric20192021 (Estimate)CAGRRevenue$6.7 billion$16.1 billion55%Earnings per share$0.30$2.63196%Data source: Advanced Micro Devices, Yahoo! Finance. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Remember, 23% per year is the growth rate needed for a fourfold return in AMD's stock by 2030, assuming its current price-to-sales and price-to-earnings multiples remain constant. As it stands, if AMD's revenue growth rate were cut in half, it'd still be above the mark. And on the earnings side, it has even more breathing room.But with new and exciting technologies emerging in the metaverse, and with further advancements in artificial intelligence, it's possible AMD finds even more growth in the future, rather than less.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9076343785,"gmtCreate":1657801828947,"gmtModify":1676536063731,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9076343785","repostId":"1161773076","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161773076","pubTimestamp":1657800819,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161773076?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-14 20:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Twitter Surged to $52 By Rosenblatt; Netflix Cut to $365 By BMO Capital | Price Target Changes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161773076","media":"Benzinga","summary":"BMO Capital cut Netflix, Inc. price target from $405 to $365. Netflix shares fell 1.1% to $174.57 in","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>BMO Capital cut <b>Netflix, Inc.</b> price target from $405 to $365. Netflix shares fell 1.1% to $174.57 in pre-market trading.</li><li>Mizuho lowered <b>Coinbase Global, Inc.</b> price target from $45 to $42. Coinbase shares fell 1.2% to $52.44 in pre-market trading.</li><li>Fermium Research cut the price target on <b>Celanese Corporation</b> from $130 to $118. Celanese shares fell 0.7% to $107.50 in pre-market trading.</li><li>Cantor Fitzgerald cut <b>ContraFect Corporation</b> price target from $15 to $1. ContraFect shares fell 76.8% to $0.6588 in pre-market trading.</li><li>JP Morgan reduced <b>TE Connectivity Ltd.</b> price target from $166 to $134. TE Connectivity shares fell 1.1% to $112.23 in pre-market trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Truist Securities lowered price target for <b>Expedia Group, Inc.</b> from $240 to $185. Expedia shares fell 2% to $91.11 in pre-market trading.</li><li>Needham raised the price target on <b>Roblox Corporation</b> from $40 to $45. Roblox shares fell 0.3% to $36.97 in pre-market trading.</li><li>BMO Capital raised <b>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.</b> price target from $100 to $115. AMD shares rose 0.8% to $78.17 in pre-market trading.</li><li>Rosenblatt boosted the price target for <b>Twitter, Inc.</b> from $33 to $52. Twitter shares rose 0.8% to $37.05 in pre-market trading.</li><li>Truist Securities cut the price target on <b>Airbnb, Inc.</b> from $160 to $120. Airbnb shares fell 1.8% to $93.90 in pre-market trading.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twitter Surged to $52 By Rosenblatt; Netflix Cut to $365 By BMO Capital | Price Target Changes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwitter Surged to $52 By Rosenblatt; Netflix Cut to $365 By BMO Capital | Price Target Changes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-14 20:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/07/28062943/twitter-to-52-heres-the-biggest-price-target-changes-for-thursday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>BMO Capital cut Netflix, Inc. price target from $405 to $365. Netflix shares fell 1.1% to $174.57 in pre-market trading.Mizuho lowered Coinbase Global, Inc. price target from $45 to $42. Coinbase ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/07/28062943/twitter-to-52-heres-the-biggest-price-target-changes-for-thursday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","TEL":"泰科电子","CE":"塞拉尼斯","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","NFLX":"奈飞","RBLX":"Roblox Corporation","ABNB":"爱彼迎","TWTR":"Twitter","EXPE":"Expedia"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/07/28062943/twitter-to-52-heres-the-biggest-price-target-changes-for-thursday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161773076","content_text":"BMO Capital cut Netflix, Inc. price target from $405 to $365. Netflix shares fell 1.1% to $174.57 in pre-market trading.Mizuho lowered Coinbase Global, Inc. price target from $45 to $42. Coinbase shares fell 1.2% to $52.44 in pre-market trading.Fermium Research cut the price target on Celanese Corporation from $130 to $118. Celanese shares fell 0.7% to $107.50 in pre-market trading.Cantor Fitzgerald cut ContraFect Corporation price target from $15 to $1. ContraFect shares fell 76.8% to $0.6588 in pre-market trading.JP Morgan reduced TE Connectivity Ltd. price target from $166 to $134. TE Connectivity shares fell 1.1% to $112.23 in pre-market trading.Truist Securities lowered price target for Expedia Group, Inc. from $240 to $185. Expedia shares fell 2% to $91.11 in pre-market trading.Needham raised the price target on Roblox Corporation from $40 to $45. Roblox shares fell 0.3% to $36.97 in pre-market trading.BMO Capital raised Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. price target from $100 to $115. AMD shares rose 0.8% to $78.17 in pre-market trading.Rosenblatt boosted the price target for Twitter, Inc. from $33 to $52. Twitter shares rose 0.8% to $37.05 in pre-market trading.Truist Securities cut the price target on Airbnb, Inc. from $160 to $120. Airbnb shares fell 1.8% to $93.90 in pre-market trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081974100,"gmtCreate":1650189454431,"gmtModify":1676534666063,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081974100","repostId":"2227986491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2227986491","pubTimestamp":1650153489,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2227986491?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-17 07:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2227986491","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla as a company has good prospects, but owning the stock comes with some risks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b> ( TSLA -3.65% ) is a company not easily ignored. Customers seem to love the company&#39;s well-designed electric vehicles (EVs) while the bulls seem quite pleased with the 33% stock price rise in the last 12 months. On the other end, the bears are very skeptical of the sustainability of its outsized stock price run. After all, Tesla stock delivered more than a 15-fold return in the last five years.</p><p>But for potential investors thinking about buying the stock now, it is crucial to consider whether it is safe to invest in Tesla today. While that is not going to be an easy exercise, investors should at least consider these two questions about the company and its stock.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42bdaade247c7cea04b918d57eb73d34\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2><b>1. Is Tesla a durable business?</b></h2><p>Tesla has reported some solid financials lately. After delivering its first profitable year in 2020, Tesla exceeded that performance in 2021. It delivered a record 936,222 EVs to customers, grew revenue and net profit by 73% and 665%, respectively, and expanded free cash flow by 80% to $5 billion.</p><p>But note that the last paragraph started out by using the word &#34;lately.&#34; It&#39;s useful to also be aware that Tesla had never delivered a profitable year until 2020. It has been on the brink of bankruptcy a few times, most recently from 2017 to 2019. But as the worldwide transition from combustion engines into electric engines gained steam, Tesla was favorably positioned to capture the pent-up demand. And it did, as is evident by its solid numbers.</p><p>While the 2021 result was remarkable, it is still an outlier more than a norm. The biggest issue is that two profitable years provide little assurance that Tesla can sustain that in the coming years. As the car industry is highly cyclical, an economic downturn (such as a recession) will cause consumers to tighten their belts. When that happens, average folks tend to delay their purchase of high-value items like a car, which could reduce industry volume. We still do not know how Tesla will perform in such an environment.</p><p>On top of that, the EV race has intensified in recent years. While Tesla is still the dominant player -- with a 21% global market share in 2021, according to Autocar -- incumbents like <b>General Motors</b> and <b>Ford Motor Company</b> have big plans to ramp up their production. Tesla also faces competition from Chinese car companies like <b>BYD</b> and <b>Nio</b>. The former, backed by Warren Buffett, sold 593,745 EVs in 2021. BYD also announced that it would stop producing combustion engine vehicles to focus on EVs and plug-in hybrids.</p><p>In short, Tesla must execute flawlessly in the coming years to maintain its market share and stay profitable. While we do not know whether the company can sustain its strong execution, there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> thing we do know for sure: Gone are the days when Tesla had the whole EV market to itself.</p><h2><b>2. Does Tesla stock offer a margin of safety?</b></h2><p>Ask any investor how to make money in the stock market, and the usual reply will be to buy a stock when the price is low and sell when the price is high. However, this argument is incomplete since an investor should also consider the intrinsic value of the stock. The key is to buy when the stock price is lower than the intrinsic value (and sell when it is above).</p><p>But estimating intrinsic value is not a simple task. Not only are there many methods to calculate the intrinsic value of a company, but every investor will use different variables to compute. It is fair to say that every investor will arrive at a different intrinsic value for the same company.</p><p>Enter: margin of safety. The idea is that when investors buy a stock at a price materially lower than its intrinsic value, they have room for errors in their estimation of its value. Even if they make mistakes, they generally lose little money since they buy the stock cheaply.</p><p>So is Tesla&#39;s stock cheap enough today to offer a margin of safety to investors? Let us consider a few simple metrics. As of writing, Tesla has a price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-book (P/B), and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21, 35, and 209. Comparatively, General Motors&#39; P/S, P/B, and P/E ratios are 0.5, 1, and 5.9, respectively.</p><p>Tesla bulls will immediately cry foul, claiming that Tesla is fundamentally a different company from GM. While I agree with them that Tesla is not an average company, my argument is this: Is it worth 30 to 40 times more than GM? Or put it differently, is one Tesla equivalent to 30 to 40 GMs? To me, the answer is probably not.</p><h2><b>Back to the original question: Is Tesla stock safe to buy?</b></h2><p>There is no doubt that Tesla is a company with promising prospects. It is a leader in the EV industry and has significant investments in potentially major industries like autonomous vehicles, renewable energy, and others.</p><p>Still, I don&#39;t think it&#39;s safe to buy Tesla stock now with your hard-earned money. One reason is the company just turned profitable in 2020. It would need a few more profitable years before investors can safely assume the turnaround is permanent. Besides, its valuation is not cheap, which offers a very little margin of safety for investors.</p><p>So unless investors are looking for some adrenaline rush, they will be better off staying from the stock. And even if they are looking for such excitement, they can consider buying a Tesla car instead.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-17 07:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla ( TSLA -3.65% ) is a company not easily ignored. Customers seem to love the company's well-designed electric vehicles (EVs) while the bulls seem quite pleased with the 33% stock price rise in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2227986491","content_text":"Tesla ( TSLA -3.65% ) is a company not easily ignored. Customers seem to love the company's well-designed electric vehicles (EVs) while the bulls seem quite pleased with the 33% stock price rise in the last 12 months. On the other end, the bears are very skeptical of the sustainability of its outsized stock price run. After all, Tesla stock delivered more than a 15-fold return in the last five years.But for potential investors thinking about buying the stock now, it is crucial to consider whether it is safe to invest in Tesla today. While that is not going to be an easy exercise, investors should at least consider these two questions about the company and its stock.Image source: Getty Images.1. Is Tesla a durable business?Tesla has reported some solid financials lately. After delivering its first profitable year in 2020, Tesla exceeded that performance in 2021. It delivered a record 936,222 EVs to customers, grew revenue and net profit by 73% and 665%, respectively, and expanded free cash flow by 80% to $5 billion.But note that the last paragraph started out by using the word \"lately.\" It's useful to also be aware that Tesla had never delivered a profitable year until 2020. It has been on the brink of bankruptcy a few times, most recently from 2017 to 2019. But as the worldwide transition from combustion engines into electric engines gained steam, Tesla was favorably positioned to capture the pent-up demand. And it did, as is evident by its solid numbers.While the 2021 result was remarkable, it is still an outlier more than a norm. The biggest issue is that two profitable years provide little assurance that Tesla can sustain that in the coming years. As the car industry is highly cyclical, an economic downturn (such as a recession) will cause consumers to tighten their belts. When that happens, average folks tend to delay their purchase of high-value items like a car, which could reduce industry volume. We still do not know how Tesla will perform in such an environment.On top of that, the EV race has intensified in recent years. While Tesla is still the dominant player -- with a 21% global market share in 2021, according to Autocar -- incumbents like General Motors and Ford Motor Company have big plans to ramp up their production. Tesla also faces competition from Chinese car companies like BYD and Nio. The former, backed by Warren Buffett, sold 593,745 EVs in 2021. BYD also announced that it would stop producing combustion engine vehicles to focus on EVs and plug-in hybrids.In short, Tesla must execute flawlessly in the coming years to maintain its market share and stay profitable. While we do not know whether the company can sustain its strong execution, there is one thing we do know for sure: Gone are the days when Tesla had the whole EV market to itself.2. Does Tesla stock offer a margin of safety?Ask any investor how to make money in the stock market, and the usual reply will be to buy a stock when the price is low and sell when the price is high. However, this argument is incomplete since an investor should also consider the intrinsic value of the stock. The key is to buy when the stock price is lower than the intrinsic value (and sell when it is above).But estimating intrinsic value is not a simple task. Not only are there many methods to calculate the intrinsic value of a company, but every investor will use different variables to compute. It is fair to say that every investor will arrive at a different intrinsic value for the same company.Enter: margin of safety. The idea is that when investors buy a stock at a price materially lower than its intrinsic value, they have room for errors in their estimation of its value. Even if they make mistakes, they generally lose little money since they buy the stock cheaply.So is Tesla's stock cheap enough today to offer a margin of safety to investors? Let us consider a few simple metrics. As of writing, Tesla has a price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-book (P/B), and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21, 35, and 209. Comparatively, General Motors' P/S, P/B, and P/E ratios are 0.5, 1, and 5.9, respectively.Tesla bulls will immediately cry foul, claiming that Tesla is fundamentally a different company from GM. While I agree with them that Tesla is not an average company, my argument is this: Is it worth 30 to 40 times more than GM? Or put it differently, is one Tesla equivalent to 30 to 40 GMs? To me, the answer is probably not.Back to the original question: Is Tesla stock safe to buy?There is no doubt that Tesla is a company with promising prospects. It is a leader in the EV industry and has significant investments in potentially major industries like autonomous vehicles, renewable energy, and others.Still, I don't think it's safe to buy Tesla stock now with your hard-earned money. One reason is the company just turned profitable in 2020. It would need a few more profitable years before investors can safely assume the turnaround is permanent. Besides, its valuation is not cheap, which offers a very little margin of safety for investors.So unless investors are looking for some adrenaline rush, they will be better off staying from the stock. And even if they are looking for such excitement, they can consider buying a Tesla car instead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081975549,"gmtCreate":1650189352082,"gmtModify":1676534666054,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[ShakeHands]&nbsp;","listText":"[ShakeHands]&nbsp;","text":"[ShakeHands]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081975549","repostId":"2227986989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2227986989","pubTimestamp":1650153593,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2227986989?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-17 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Charts That Show Why It's Time to Buy the Dip in Meta Platforms' Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2227986989","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Trading at merely 16 times free cash flow, this tech giant is a bargain buy.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Meta Platforms </b>( FB -2.24% ), formerly known as Facebook, has been treated harshly by the stock market lately. Three negative narratives drive this sentiment: Heavy investment in the metaverse, reduced ad spending, and tough competition from TikTok. Because of this, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> stock is trading at an all-time low when valued from a price-to-free cash flow standpoint.</p><p>While these concerns are real, a ratio of 16 times free cash flow is far too low for a high-quality business like this. Investors must understand Meta Platforms&#39; risks and know how these will affect the financials.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/398f53d1e7c68dd8da25b7202c250183\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FB Price to Free Cash Flow data by YCharts</p><h2>It&#39;s getting harder to grow revenue</h2><p>CEO and founder Mark Zuckerberg&#39;s vision for the metaverse won&#39;t be cheap. However, he is committed to bringing about this change through the company&#39;s Reality Labs division, which provides &#34;augmented and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content.&#34; Meta broke out this division for the first time in the fourth quarter, and the results weren&#39;t pretty. In 2021, the division lost $10.2 billion on revenue of $2.3 billion. It&#39;s also not slowing down on expenses. In 2021, Meta spent $71 billion on operating expenses, but management is guiding for $90 billion to $95 billion in 2022.</p><p>Revenue is expected to be negatively affected by recent iOS privacy changes from<b> Apple</b>. This has caused Meta customers to see a lower return on investment (ROI) for their ad campaigns. Meta claimed in the Q4 conference call that the changes disproportionately affect smaller businesses. With less successful advertisements, companies reduce their budgets and focus on other areas.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90028667ee7c0da172cd55cab6dcb759\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><p>Meta is also worried about ByteDance&#39;s TikTok social media app. While Facebook announced Reels to offer a similar product and effectively compete, TikTok is still capturing a large chunk of the social media market share. For the first time ever as a public company, Facebook&#39;s daily active users fell from the previous quarter.</p><p>With rising costs, revenue growth pressures, and a strong competitor, the future looks grim for Meta Platforms.</p><h2>Valuations suggest this stock is a bargain</h2><p>Are these concerns truly valid? After all, Meta Platforms is still the most dominant social media company and is highly profitable. Management also expects revenue growth of 3% to 11% for Q1, and investors will find out on April 27 if Meta hit that guidance.</p><p>If Meta can reach the top end of the revenue guidance and continue with 30% expense growth, the company will still be cheaply valued. In 2021, Meta Platforms produced $38.4 billion in free cash flow (FCF) on revenue of $118 billion, an impressive 33% margin. If sales grow 10% for the year and its FCF margin is affected by the $21.5 billion in increased operating costs, the company could generate $35.2 billion in free cash flow.</p><p>With no stock price appreciation, this would value the stock at 17.2 times 2022 free cash flow. This valuation is still lower than it&#39;s been at any time Meta&#39;s been a public company and is cheap compared to other companies in the market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b9f60c56d84ce72690d3a38faf1606\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FB Price to Free Cash Flow data by YCharts</p><p>To add another factor to Meta&#39;s value proposition, it has been aggressively repurchasing shares. Doing this, it is making each share more valuable by retiring old shares. This catalyst will further decrease its valuation by reducing the number of shares outstanding. With Meta repurchasing more than $44 billion in stock last year, the company could repeat that program in 2022 and lower shares outstanding by about 7%.</p><h2>When is the best time to buy?</h2><p>Meta Platforms may be facing some headwinds, but the company is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most financially powerful in the world, with solid cash flow generation and more than $44 billion in cash with no debt on the balance sheet. The market doesn&#39;t leave bargains around like this very often, and investors should act accordingly. Alternatively, you could also wait until Q1 earnings are reported on April 27, but any positive news will likely send this stock soaring, as it has only experienced negative headlines recently.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Charts That Show Why It's Time to Buy the Dip in Meta Platforms' Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Charts That Show Why It's Time to Buy the Dip in Meta Platforms' Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-17 07:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/why-its-time-to-buy-the-dip-meta-platforms/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meta Platforms ( FB -2.24% ), formerly known as Facebook, has been treated harshly by the stock market lately. Three negative narratives drive this sentiment: Heavy investment in the metaverse, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/why-its-time-to-buy-the-dip-meta-platforms/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/why-its-time-to-buy-the-dip-meta-platforms/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2227986989","content_text":"Meta Platforms ( FB -2.24% ), formerly known as Facebook, has been treated harshly by the stock market lately. Three negative narratives drive this sentiment: Heavy investment in the metaverse, reduced ad spending, and tough competition from TikTok. Because of this, Meta Platforms stock is trading at an all-time low when valued from a price-to-free cash flow standpoint.While these concerns are real, a ratio of 16 times free cash flow is far too low for a high-quality business like this. Investors must understand Meta Platforms' risks and know how these will affect the financials.FB Price to Free Cash Flow data by YChartsIt's getting harder to grow revenueCEO and founder Mark Zuckerberg's vision for the metaverse won't be cheap. However, he is committed to bringing about this change through the company's Reality Labs division, which provides \"augmented and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content.\" Meta broke out this division for the first time in the fourth quarter, and the results weren't pretty. In 2021, the division lost $10.2 billion on revenue of $2.3 billion. It's also not slowing down on expenses. In 2021, Meta spent $71 billion on operating expenses, but management is guiding for $90 billion to $95 billion in 2022.Revenue is expected to be negatively affected by recent iOS privacy changes from Apple. This has caused Meta customers to see a lower return on investment (ROI) for their ad campaigns. Meta claimed in the Q4 conference call that the changes disproportionately affect smaller businesses. With less successful advertisements, companies reduce their budgets and focus on other areas.Image source: Getty Images.Meta is also worried about ByteDance's TikTok social media app. While Facebook announced Reels to offer a similar product and effectively compete, TikTok is still capturing a large chunk of the social media market share. For the first time ever as a public company, Facebook's daily active users fell from the previous quarter.With rising costs, revenue growth pressures, and a strong competitor, the future looks grim for Meta Platforms.Valuations suggest this stock is a bargainAre these concerns truly valid? After all, Meta Platforms is still the most dominant social media company and is highly profitable. Management also expects revenue growth of 3% to 11% for Q1, and investors will find out on April 27 if Meta hit that guidance.If Meta can reach the top end of the revenue guidance and continue with 30% expense growth, the company will still be cheaply valued. In 2021, Meta Platforms produced $38.4 billion in free cash flow (FCF) on revenue of $118 billion, an impressive 33% margin. If sales grow 10% for the year and its FCF margin is affected by the $21.5 billion in increased operating costs, the company could generate $35.2 billion in free cash flow.With no stock price appreciation, this would value the stock at 17.2 times 2022 free cash flow. This valuation is still lower than it's been at any time Meta's been a public company and is cheap compared to other companies in the market.FB Price to Free Cash Flow data by YChartsTo add another factor to Meta's value proposition, it has been aggressively repurchasing shares. Doing this, it is making each share more valuable by retiring old shares. This catalyst will further decrease its valuation by reducing the number of shares outstanding. With Meta repurchasing more than $44 billion in stock last year, the company could repeat that program in 2022 and lower shares outstanding by about 7%.When is the best time to buy?Meta Platforms may be facing some headwinds, but the company is one of the most financially powerful in the world, with solid cash flow generation and more than $44 billion in cash with no debt on the balance sheet. The market doesn't leave bargains around like this very often, and investors should act accordingly. Alternatively, you could also wait until Q1 earnings are reported on April 27, but any positive news will likely send this stock soaring, as it has only experienced negative headlines recently.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911508259,"gmtCreate":1664233094971,"gmtModify":1676537412822,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gpods article&nbsp;","listText":"Gpods article&nbsp;","text":"Gpods article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911508259","repostId":"2270505400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270505400","pubTimestamp":1664205741,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2270505400?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investing in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270505400","media":"MotleyFool","summary":"The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is a low-cost index ETF that attempts to track the S&P 500 index, which is often used as a proxy for the overall US stock market. With itd expense ratio of 0.09%, investors in that ETF can get returns that nearly perfectly match that index, while losing almost nothing to fund management fees.That combination of stock market like returns with very low internal costs makes the SPDR S&P 500 ETF trust a simple, one-stop shop for investors. It's especially potent for invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With the market down substantially from its all-time highs, the benefits of dollar-cost averaging into a low-cost, broad-based stock index fund are becoming quite clear. By making regular investments every payday in this market, each dollar you&#39;re investing buys that many more shares while stocks are down. That may not seem like much benefit now, but it means you&#39;ve got that many more shares available to compound in any recovery that follows.</p><p>It&#39;s with that backdrop that making regular investments in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> starting now could make you a millionaire retiree. It&#39;s a process that takes time no matter what the market is doing, which is a great reason to consider starting those investments now, even if the market continues to fall.</p><h2>Why invest in the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust?</h2><p>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is a low-cost index ETF that attempts to track the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> index, which is often used as a proxy for the overall US stock market. With itd expense ratio of 0.09%, investors in that ETF can get returns that nearly perfectly match that index, while losing almost nothing to fund management fees.</p><p>That combination of stock market like returns with very low internal costs makes the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF trust a simple, one-stop shop for investors. It&#39;s especially potent for investors who don&#39;t want or are otherwise unable to put a lot of time and effort into digging through financial reports to pick individual stocks. When you add the fact that index investing tends to beat funds managed by Wall Street&#39;s best and brightest over time, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust become an even more compelling option.</p><h2>How long will it take to become a millionaire?</h2><p>The path from $0 to $1 million depends heavily on two key factors: how much you&#39;re able to invest every month and what rate of return you earn along the way. The good news is that if you&#39;ve got a long enough time horizon, reaching millionaire status by retirement age is feasible, even for people with modest incomes.</p><p>The following table shows how many years it takes to reach that millionaire status, depending on what you can save each month and what annual rate of return you earn along the way.</p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d66accc5150914ff4292fce34ed09aa\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"408\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data source: author.<table><thead><tr></tr></thead></table><p>The top end of that savings rate -- $2,200 per month -- represents a savings rate that can be contributed to tax-advantaged, retirement-focused accounts for most people. Workers under age 50 can generally contribute up to $20,500 per year in a company-sponsored retirement plan like a 401(k). They can also typically sock away up to $6,000 per year in their own IRA.  (The contribution limits are even higher for workers ages 50 and up. )</p><p>The bottom end of that savings rate -- $300 per month -- works out to around $10 per day. Even at that savings level, as long as you invest consistently throughout the length of a typical working career, you&#39;ve got a decent shot at reaching millionaire status by the time you retire.</p><h2>Get started now</h2><p>Regardless of where you are in your career, you&#39;ll never again have more time before you retire than you do right now. That makes today a great day to get your plan in place. The sooner you get started, the more of the cells in that table will be within your reach, improving your chances of retiring a millionaire.</p></body></html>","source":"motleyfoolau_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investing in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvesting in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/><strong>MotleyFool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With the market down substantially from its all-time highs, the benefits of dollar-cost averaging into a low-cost, broad-based stock index fund are becoming quite clear. By making regular investments ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270505400","content_text":"With the market down substantially from its all-time highs, the benefits of dollar-cost averaging into a low-cost, broad-based stock index fund are becoming quite clear. By making regular investments every payday in this market, each dollar you're investing buys that many more shares while stocks are down. That may not seem like much benefit now, but it means you've got that many more shares available to compound in any recovery that follows.It's with that backdrop that making regular investments in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust starting now could make you a millionaire retiree. It's a process that takes time no matter what the market is doing, which is a great reason to consider starting those investments now, even if the market continues to fall.Why invest in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust?The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is a low-cost index ETF that attempts to track the S&P 500 index, which is often used as a proxy for the overall US stock market. With itd expense ratio of 0.09%, investors in that ETF can get returns that nearly perfectly match that index, while losing almost nothing to fund management fees.That combination of stock market like returns with very low internal costs makes the SPDR S&P 500 ETF trust a simple, one-stop shop for investors. It's especially potent for investors who don't want or are otherwise unable to put a lot of time and effort into digging through financial reports to pick individual stocks. When you add the fact that index investing tends to beat funds managed by Wall Street's best and brightest over time, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust become an even more compelling option.How long will it take to become a millionaire?The path from $0 to $1 million depends heavily on two key factors: how much you're able to invest every month and what rate of return you earn along the way. The good news is that if you've got a long enough time horizon, reaching millionaire status by retirement age is feasible, even for people with modest incomes.The following table shows how many years it takes to reach that millionaire status, depending on what you can save each month and what annual rate of return you earn along the way.Data source: author.The top end of that savings rate -- $2,200 per month -- represents a savings rate that can be contributed to tax-advantaged, retirement-focused accounts for most people. Workers under age 50 can generally contribute up to $20,500 per year in a company-sponsored retirement plan like a 401(k). They can also typically sock away up to $6,000 per year in their own IRA.  (The contribution limits are even higher for workers ages 50 and up. )The bottom end of that savings rate -- $300 per month -- works out to around $10 per day. Even at that savings level, as long as you invest consistently throughout the length of a typical working career, you've got a decent shot at reaching millionaire status by the time you retire.Get started nowRegardless of where you are in your career, you'll never again have more time before you retire than you do right now. That makes today a great day to get your plan in place. The sooner you get started, the more of the cells in that table will be within your reach, improving your chances of retiring a millionaire.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087685681,"gmtCreate":1651012846871,"gmtModify":1676534831004,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087685681","repostId":"1105612207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105612207","pubTimestamp":1650962891,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105612207?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-26 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105612207","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined it","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.</li><li>As it expands outside into China and Europe, we expect its growth to be supported by its expansion with a forecast automotive revenue growth rate of 47.6% in 2022.</li><li>Moreover, we believe its profitability could continue rising with its focus on China and in-house production to reach a net margin of 43% by 2026.</li><li>Despite its leading position, we believe Tesla stock is perfectly priced and already reflecting in its future growth.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12b5e22c9ea18c6aaafddb2ada330f9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the largest EV company in the world with a unit sales market share of 21% in 2021. We analyzed the EV market and Tesla&#39;s market positioning in theEV market in terms of its market share. We also looked into its technological capabilities and compared it against competitors in aspects such as the self-driving capability to determine its competitiveness in the EV market.</p><p>Moreover, we looked into its expansion overseas in Europe and Asia and analyzed the market growth outlook in these geographic regions compared to its home market in the US. Based on its expansions, we projected its automotive production and sales growth.</p><p>Lastly, we examined Tesla&#39;s supply chain and sourcing strategy as it increasingly moves to the in-house production of components. We analyzed its margins and estimated it going forward with the impact of its overseas production and internal production.</p><p><b>Leader In the Fast-Growing EV Industry</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f022e2a9bcb4c4b70c9a9c9fdcd00bf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Company Data, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>In 2021, Toyota (TM) held the title as the market leader of the automaker market with the highest share. This is followed by Volkswagen Group (OTCPK:VWAGY), Stellantis (STLA), General Motors (GM) and SAIC which made the top 5. The top 5 consisted of 2 automakers from the European and Asian geographic regions each with General Motors the only US company in the top 5. This is followed by the remaining 5 largest companies which are Honda (HMC), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Ford (F), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF) and Suzuki (OTCPK:SZKMF). Except for Ford (US-based), the rest of the automakers were based in Asia. Tesla did not break into the top 10 largest automakers in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eedeab2f43c53da019e1a86a7daf3f45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Notwithstanding, according to InsideEVs, Tesla was the market leader in the EV market with a share of 21% of EV unit sales. This is followed by SAIC and Volkswagen which are both the largest in their home markets of China and Europe, respectively, followed by BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) and Hyundai in the top 5 EV automakers worldwide. In the US specifically, Tesla had dominated the US EV market as it retained its title as the market leader over the past 5 years. However, its market share decreased in 2021 with increasing competition from other automakers such as Chevrolet, FIAT, and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), which gained market share. Globally, Tesla is the market leader in 2021 with the highest market share of unit sales.</p><p>To identify Tesla&#39;s market positioning and to compare it against competitors in the EV market, we compared it against competitors based on several factors including the number of EV model variants, range and average base price. According to data from InsideEVs, we compiled a total of 106 EV models from 18 different EV companies and calculated each of their number of EV model variants, average base prices and range. We plotted these data in the bubble chart below with the range and the number of models on both axes and the midpoints of each factor based on the median and the size of each bubble represented by their average base prices where we see the smaller the circle size, the stronger the advantage for the company.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c46432d3ae2f9d42035308a4425a0bd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><i>*Circle size represents average base price</i></p><p>Based on the chart, Tesla is placed in the top right quadrant with a higher number of EV model variants such as the Model 3, S and X, than the midpoint of 4 models. Its average range is also above the midpoint, which is around 260 miles. We believe this highlights Tesla&#39;s strengths with a wide variety and above-average range. Besides Tesla, the companies in the top right quadrant are Lucid (LCID) Air, Kia, Hyundai and Ford. Meanwhile, in the bottom right quadrant, Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Nissan are placed there with a high number of models but poor range. On the left side of the chart, most companies are in the top half (5 out of 9) and represented mostly by European-based automakers (6 out of 10) including Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Polestar, Jaguar, Volvo and Volkswagen.</p><p>Moreover, in terms of pricing, the company with the highest average price in the chart is Lucid Air, which is lifted by its expensive Air DreamEditionbut with one of the highest battery capacities and range. Tesla&#39;s average price is lower than Lucid Air, Mercedes and Porsche, but has a wider variety with a higher number of EV models at 16 which is the second-highest behind Ford. On the other hand, Chevrolet and Mazda both have the lowest average price with a low average battery capacity of 65kWh and 35kWh which are the lowest and below the average of 88 kWh.</p><p>All in all, based on our chart, we believe Tesla is placed as the best in the EV market due to its high number of models, which is only behind Ford. However, Tesla edges out over Ford with a higher average range, thus we place Ford as the second best. Although Lucid Air has a better range than Tesla, we believe its high price is a disadvantage to Tesla and we ranked it as the third-best company. In contrast, we believe Mazda is placed in the worst position with a low number of models and poor range with tough competition at its price point from other competitors.</p><p>While we find that Tesla&#39;s pricing is generally higher than competitors, we also note its technological innovation. The company&#39;s EVs are equipped with its Autopilot technology to provide driverless assist capabilities using vision-based sensors. According to its annual report, it is also developing its full self-driving (&#39;FSD&#39;) capabilities running on neural networks in its vehicles and is currently in beta testing. According to its latest earnings briefing, the company highlighted its FSD program having over 100,000 people and it expects to expand this year.</p><p>However, several of its competitors also provide similar capabilities such as adaptive cruise control and lane-centering steering including Audi, BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Nissan, Polestar, Porsche and Volkswagen. Besides that, Tesla also provides over-the-air updates to improve the vehicle functions of existing Tesla EVs. According to Munster, while other automakers also provide OTA updates, they are focused on infotainment features whereas Tesla extends these software updates for its EVs to improve range, power, braking, safety, and driver-assistance features.</p><p><b>Expansion into Europe and Other Countries</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63321f487202232316b5fc1f4622231e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Tesla&#39;s largest geographic region based on its annual report is the US, which accounts for nearly half of its revenues, while China is its second-largest region with the remaining categorized as its Others segment. The company&#39;s geographic revenue indicates its limited presence beyond these regions as most of the company&#39;s manufacturing bases are located in the US and China as seen in the table below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f2cd223d67e194e78ea166b59a6e8ab\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla</span></p><p>According to Tesla, the majority of its production sites are located in the US with a Gigafactory in Texas announced to be opened by April 2022 with an expected capacity of 500,000 for its Model Y. However, the company had been expanding its production facilities overseas with a Gigafactory in Germany which recentlyopenedwith a capacity of up to 500,000 vehicles. This is its second facility outside of the US besides its Gigafactory in Shanghai which opened in 2019.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bba7fb5c5f89d9b675d56cdf290e293\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"492\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: EV Volumes, Meticulous Research</span></p><p>From the table, the largest geographic regions for the EV market are China and Europe which combined accounted for 85% of total global unit sales in 2021. Meanwhile, North America where Tesla is based and derives 45% of revenue only represented 11% of the total market. Furthermore, both Europe and China have higher market forecast unit volume CAGR than North America and higher than the global average.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d10110c3aabbf8d7bf4bd6a09d8c71cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Based on InsideEVs, Tesla was the third largest EV company in China with a unit sales share of 10% in 2021 behind BYD and the SAIC-GM-Wuling joint venture which sells vehicles under the Wuling and Baojun brands. Besides Tesla and Volkswagen, the largest companies are from China which highlights their home-field advantage. For Volkswagen, its popularity is supported by consumer preference for the European automaker&#39;s vehicles and SUVs according to AutoCar. Also, it is the largest EV automaker in Europe and the second-largest automaker in the world behind Toyota.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f8a9a98c8f9eadce2400f8538bce7c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Furthermore, the largest EV companies by unit sales in Europe were Volkswagen, Stellantis, Daimler, BMW and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. Tesla had a smaller share than all of these competitors. Besides the Renault alliance, all of the companies were based in Europe which we believe highlights their home-field advantage. We believe the company&#39;s expansion overseas in China and Europe could bode well for the company to increase its presence in these regions through its new manufacturing sites to cater to demand and provide tailwinds as the two largest geographic markets for EV.</p><p>To forecast the company&#39;s automotive sales, we first forecasted its vehicle production growth based on its total capacity of 2,050 across its facilities in the US, Shanghai and Berlin. We assumed the company to reach this level by 2023 as it begins operations this year. Beyond 2023, we tapered down its growth to the market forecast volume CAGR of 21.7%. Our projections are close to management&#39;s guidance of more than 50% YoY growth for vehicle deliveries in 2022. Also, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the company&#39;s optimism about achieving this target in 2022 in its latest earnings briefing (Q1 2022).</p><blockquote>We remain confident of a 50% growth in vehicle production in 2022 versus ‘21. - Elon Musk, CEO</blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4bf0b4a36d296803bda9cbbec7410e0\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><b>Reduced Reliance on External Suppliers</b></p><p>According to Visual Capitalist, rechargeable Li-ion cells are the largest contributor to costs representing 77% of the total cost for the battery pack. According to Nikkei Asia, Lithium-ion batteries were estimated to account for 30% of EV costs. Back in 2019, CEO Elon Musk expected its Model 3 line&#39;s cost in China to be 50% lower than its US plants. As it expanded in the country which was ranked 5thin lowest manufacturing cost, it also expanded its local procurement such as through local battery supplier CATL (the largest EV battery maker in China with 48% share). In following its annual report, the company cited the decrease in cost per unit due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China.</p><blockquote>The average Model 3 and Model Y costs per unit have decreased significantly due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China despite rising raw material, commodity, logistics and expedite costs - Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>Based on its annual report, the company depends on a select few suppliers for its lithium-ion battery cells. These include companies such as Panasonic (OTCPK:PCRFY) (14.5%market share) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (31% global market share) which combined account for 45% of the market share. Thus, we believe this implies a risk to the company due to the high bargaining power of suppliers. Though, the company highlighted in its annual report its plan to shift to in-house production for its batteries and reduce its reliance on its suppliers. As the company increases in-house production, we believe this could reduce the risk of the company facing a margin squeeze by its battery suppliers.</p><blockquote>In the long term, we intend to supplement cells from our suppliers with cells manufactured by us, which we believe will be more efficient, manufacturable at greater volumes and more cost-effective than currently available cells. – Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>According to Tesla&#39;s CEO, the company was estimated to produce 100-gigawatt hours of its 4680 battery cells in 2022 which could support 1.3 mln vehicles and aimed to halve its costs. Moreover, the company recently also announced that it will be sourcing battery components such as graphite from Mozambique, the world&#39;s second-largest graphite producer (11%share) after China (59%) through an agreement with Syrah Resources (OTCPK:SYAAF) with plans to purchase 80% of its production from 2025. According to Argus, Syrah Resources&#39; graphite project is the world&#39;s largest integrated natural graphite mining and processing operation. Moreover, graphite price had surged by over 50% last year and Consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) expects the supply shortage for graphite to continue in 2022 with a 20,000-tonne graphite deficit. Thus, we view this move favourably for the company to secure long-term supply amid the industry shortage and potentially mitigate rising cost pressures.</p><p>Overall, we expect Tesla&#39;s shift towards in-house production to benefit the company and increase its bargaining power over suppliers. We projected its gross margins based on its COGS per vehicle as its COGS per vehicle had declined by -5.8% on a 5-year historical average and we expect the company to continue reducing its cost per vehicle as it increases its production in scale. We believe this is appropriate given the company&#39;s multiple drivers, which we highlighted were its expansion in China and in-house production of batteries. Based on its earnings briefing, management stated that their automotive gross margin has reached above 30% for the first time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae9c78f06d0689e9730a6f8c50d013a4\" tg-width=\"1181\" tg-height=\"327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69f8abca3d76a1754ec83f1b47cb4070\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><b>Risk: Product Reliability</b></p><p>The company&#39;s annual report highlighted product risks relating to its Autopilot and FSD features as well as batteries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0ff016b400ad258e513aa12290c46ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"158\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla</span></p><p>Furthermore, the company also stated that product recalls could account for significant costs for the company.</p><blockquote>Such recalls, whether voluntary or involuntary or caused by systems or components engineered or manufactured by us or our suppliers, could result in significant expense, supply chain complications and service burdens, and may harm our brand, business, prospects, financial condition and operating results. – Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>The company incurs warranty expenses and provisioning. In 2021, its accrued warranty balance was $2.1 bln, which represented 3.9% of its total revenue and a decrease from 4.7% in the prior year. We believe that future product recalls could increase its expenses and affect company profitability.</p><p>Tesla had recently announced a product recall for 579,000 vehicles, which we calculated to be around 26% of total Tesla deliveries since 2016 of 2.2 mln vehicles, in the US due to a violation of federal safety standards over its Boombox sound functions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the company shall disable the Boombox function when the vehicle is in drive, reverse or neutral over an over-the-air software update. Thus, we believe this could arise additional expenses for the company. Based on the company&#39;s warranty expense of $0.579 mln in 2021 and its total vehicle deliveries of 2.2 mln since 2016, we estimate the average warranty expense per vehicle to be $137. Assuming this as the expense incurred with the product recall for 579,000 vehicles, we derived an estimated cost impact of $53.8 mln, which is only 0.3% of revenue.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>To value the company, we used a comparable valuation based on the P/S of its automotive competitors. First, we compiled our revenue projections for the company in the table below with the automotive sales forecast summarized as discussed in the previous points above. We forecasted its Services and other as well as the Energy generation and storage segment based on its 4-year historical average growth tapered down by 5% per year as a conservative estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a46f1c3d1edab61af758a6a2ae1902\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"644\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>We derived our average ratios based on a tiered average with each bracket represented by their past 3-year revenue CAGR. However, a significant number of competitors had negative revenue growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0954b8834487ca3129907df195ac5b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352afe0c0e29ca19df3c7ce14111695\" tg-width=\"917\" tg-height=\"237\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Based on our model, we obtained a 12-month price target of $1,081, which is a Hold rating for us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5817cd57ab6f4614dcdf997a37b08cf3\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"494\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Furthermore, the price action of Tesla&#39;s stock seems to support our valuation calculation. Each time the share price reaches around 10% within our price target, the stock price consolidates.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fbfd43419151b961547d23df107da07\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Verdict</b></p><p>To conclude, as the market leader in the EV market with a 21% sales share, we analyzed its market positioning by examining 106 EV models and determined that it had relatively higher pricing in terms of average prices but also a higher number of EV model variants and better battery efficiency as measured by EV range, which places it in the top right quadrant of our EV comparison chart. Besides that, we also highlighted its advantage in terms of its software and self-driving capabilities and features which we believe could provide it with an edge over competitors. As Tesla expands overseas in Europe and China which combined account for over 85% of the EV market, we expect the company&#39;s expansion to support its growth with a projected sales growth of 47.6% in 2022. Additionally, we believe the company&#39;s expansion in China which its CEO previously stated to be 50% lower than the US and shift towards in-house could boost its margins going forward and we projected its gross and net margins to reach 43% and 23.5% respectively, assuming its COGS per vehicle continues to decrease by -5.8% through 2026. However, given the lofty stock price, we rate the company as a<i>Hold</i>with a target price of<i>$1,081.</i></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-26 16:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.As it expands outside into China and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105612207","content_text":"SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.As it expands outside into China and Europe, we expect its growth to be supported by its expansion with a forecast automotive revenue growth rate of 47.6% in 2022.Moreover, we believe its profitability could continue rising with its focus on China and in-house production to reach a net margin of 43% by 2026.Despite its leading position, we believe Tesla stock is perfectly priced and already reflecting in its future growth.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsTesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the largest EV company in the world with a unit sales market share of 21% in 2021. We analyzed the EV market and Tesla's market positioning in theEV market in terms of its market share. We also looked into its technological capabilities and compared it against competitors in aspects such as the self-driving capability to determine its competitiveness in the EV market.Moreover, we looked into its expansion overseas in Europe and Asia and analyzed the market growth outlook in these geographic regions compared to its home market in the US. Based on its expansions, we projected its automotive production and sales growth.Lastly, we examined Tesla's supply chain and sourcing strategy as it increasingly moves to the in-house production of components. We analyzed its margins and estimated it going forward with the impact of its overseas production and internal production.Leader In the Fast-Growing EV IndustryCompany Data, Khaveen InvestmentsIn 2021, Toyota (TM) held the title as the market leader of the automaker market with the highest share. This is followed by Volkswagen Group (OTCPK:VWAGY), Stellantis (STLA), General Motors (GM) and SAIC which made the top 5. The top 5 consisted of 2 automakers from the European and Asian geographic regions each with General Motors the only US company in the top 5. This is followed by the remaining 5 largest companies which are Honda (HMC), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Ford (F), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF) and Suzuki (OTCPK:SZKMF). Except for Ford (US-based), the rest of the automakers were based in Asia. Tesla did not break into the top 10 largest automakers in 2021.InsideEVsNotwithstanding, according to InsideEVs, Tesla was the market leader in the EV market with a share of 21% of EV unit sales. This is followed by SAIC and Volkswagen which are both the largest in their home markets of China and Europe, respectively, followed by BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) and Hyundai in the top 5 EV automakers worldwide. In the US specifically, Tesla had dominated the US EV market as it retained its title as the market leader over the past 5 years. However, its market share decreased in 2021 with increasing competition from other automakers such as Chevrolet, FIAT, and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), which gained market share. Globally, Tesla is the market leader in 2021 with the highest market share of unit sales.To identify Tesla's market positioning and to compare it against competitors in the EV market, we compared it against competitors based on several factors including the number of EV model variants, range and average base price. According to data from InsideEVs, we compiled a total of 106 EV models from 18 different EV companies and calculated each of their number of EV model variants, average base prices and range. We plotted these data in the bubble chart below with the range and the number of models on both axes and the midpoints of each factor based on the median and the size of each bubble represented by their average base prices where we see the smaller the circle size, the stronger the advantage for the company.InsideEVs, Khaveen Investments*Circle size represents average base priceBased on the chart, Tesla is placed in the top right quadrant with a higher number of EV model variants such as the Model 3, S and X, than the midpoint of 4 models. Its average range is also above the midpoint, which is around 260 miles. We believe this highlights Tesla's strengths with a wide variety and above-average range. Besides Tesla, the companies in the top right quadrant are Lucid (LCID) Air, Kia, Hyundai and Ford. Meanwhile, in the bottom right quadrant, Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Nissan are placed there with a high number of models but poor range. On the left side of the chart, most companies are in the top half (5 out of 9) and represented mostly by European-based automakers (6 out of 10) including Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Polestar, Jaguar, Volvo and Volkswagen.Moreover, in terms of pricing, the company with the highest average price in the chart is Lucid Air, which is lifted by its expensive Air DreamEditionbut with one of the highest battery capacities and range. Tesla's average price is lower than Lucid Air, Mercedes and Porsche, but has a wider variety with a higher number of EV models at 16 which is the second-highest behind Ford. On the other hand, Chevrolet and Mazda both have the lowest average price with a low average battery capacity of 65kWh and 35kWh which are the lowest and below the average of 88 kWh.All in all, based on our chart, we believe Tesla is placed as the best in the EV market due to its high number of models, which is only behind Ford. However, Tesla edges out over Ford with a higher average range, thus we place Ford as the second best. Although Lucid Air has a better range than Tesla, we believe its high price is a disadvantage to Tesla and we ranked it as the third-best company. In contrast, we believe Mazda is placed in the worst position with a low number of models and poor range with tough competition at its price point from other competitors.While we find that Tesla's pricing is generally higher than competitors, we also note its technological innovation. The company's EVs are equipped with its Autopilot technology to provide driverless assist capabilities using vision-based sensors. According to its annual report, it is also developing its full self-driving ('FSD') capabilities running on neural networks in its vehicles and is currently in beta testing. According to its latest earnings briefing, the company highlighted its FSD program having over 100,000 people and it expects to expand this year.However, several of its competitors also provide similar capabilities such as adaptive cruise control and lane-centering steering including Audi, BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Nissan, Polestar, Porsche and Volkswagen. Besides that, Tesla also provides over-the-air updates to improve the vehicle functions of existing Tesla EVs. According to Munster, while other automakers also provide OTA updates, they are focused on infotainment features whereas Tesla extends these software updates for its EVs to improve range, power, braking, safety, and driver-assistance features.Expansion into Europe and Other CountriesTesla, Khaveen InvestmentsTesla's largest geographic region based on its annual report is the US, which accounts for nearly half of its revenues, while China is its second-largest region with the remaining categorized as its Others segment. The company's geographic revenue indicates its limited presence beyond these regions as most of the company's manufacturing bases are located in the US and China as seen in the table below.TeslaAccording to Tesla, the majority of its production sites are located in the US with a Gigafactory in Texas announced to be opened by April 2022 with an expected capacity of 500,000 for its Model Y. However, the company had been expanding its production facilities overseas with a Gigafactory in Germany which recentlyopenedwith a capacity of up to 500,000 vehicles. This is its second facility outside of the US besides its Gigafactory in Shanghai which opened in 2019.Source: EV Volumes, Meticulous ResearchFrom the table, the largest geographic regions for the EV market are China and Europe which combined accounted for 85% of total global unit sales in 2021. Meanwhile, North America where Tesla is based and derives 45% of revenue only represented 11% of the total market. Furthermore, both Europe and China have higher market forecast unit volume CAGR than North America and higher than the global average.InsideEVsBased on InsideEVs, Tesla was the third largest EV company in China with a unit sales share of 10% in 2021 behind BYD and the SAIC-GM-Wuling joint venture which sells vehicles under the Wuling and Baojun brands. Besides Tesla and Volkswagen, the largest companies are from China which highlights their home-field advantage. For Volkswagen, its popularity is supported by consumer preference for the European automaker's vehicles and SUVs according to AutoCar. Also, it is the largest EV automaker in Europe and the second-largest automaker in the world behind Toyota.InsideEVsFurthermore, the largest EV companies by unit sales in Europe were Volkswagen, Stellantis, Daimler, BMW and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. Tesla had a smaller share than all of these competitors. Besides the Renault alliance, all of the companies were based in Europe which we believe highlights their home-field advantage. We believe the company's expansion overseas in China and Europe could bode well for the company to increase its presence in these regions through its new manufacturing sites to cater to demand and provide tailwinds as the two largest geographic markets for EV.To forecast the company's automotive sales, we first forecasted its vehicle production growth based on its total capacity of 2,050 across its facilities in the US, Shanghai and Berlin. We assumed the company to reach this level by 2023 as it begins operations this year. Beyond 2023, we tapered down its growth to the market forecast volume CAGR of 21.7%. Our projections are close to management's guidance of more than 50% YoY growth for vehicle deliveries in 2022. Also, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the company's optimism about achieving this target in 2022 in its latest earnings briefing (Q1 2022).We remain confident of a 50% growth in vehicle production in 2022 versus ‘21. - Elon Musk, CEOSource: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsReduced Reliance on External SuppliersAccording to Visual Capitalist, rechargeable Li-ion cells are the largest contributor to costs representing 77% of the total cost for the battery pack. According to Nikkei Asia, Lithium-ion batteries were estimated to account for 30% of EV costs. Back in 2019, CEO Elon Musk expected its Model 3 line's cost in China to be 50% lower than its US plants. As it expanded in the country which was ranked 5thin lowest manufacturing cost, it also expanded its local procurement such as through local battery supplier CATL (the largest EV battery maker in China with 48% share). In following its annual report, the company cited the decrease in cost per unit due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China.The average Model 3 and Model Y costs per unit have decreased significantly due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China despite rising raw material, commodity, logistics and expedite costs - Tesla Annual Report 2021Based on its annual report, the company depends on a select few suppliers for its lithium-ion battery cells. These include companies such as Panasonic (OTCPK:PCRFY) (14.5%market share) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (31% global market share) which combined account for 45% of the market share. Thus, we believe this implies a risk to the company due to the high bargaining power of suppliers. Though, the company highlighted in its annual report its plan to shift to in-house production for its batteries and reduce its reliance on its suppliers. As the company increases in-house production, we believe this could reduce the risk of the company facing a margin squeeze by its battery suppliers.In the long term, we intend to supplement cells from our suppliers with cells manufactured by us, which we believe will be more efficient, manufacturable at greater volumes and more cost-effective than currently available cells. – Tesla Annual Report 2021According to Tesla's CEO, the company was estimated to produce 100-gigawatt hours of its 4680 battery cells in 2022 which could support 1.3 mln vehicles and aimed to halve its costs. Moreover, the company recently also announced that it will be sourcing battery components such as graphite from Mozambique, the world's second-largest graphite producer (11%share) after China (59%) through an agreement with Syrah Resources (OTCPK:SYAAF) with plans to purchase 80% of its production from 2025. According to Argus, Syrah Resources' graphite project is the world's largest integrated natural graphite mining and processing operation. Moreover, graphite price had surged by over 50% last year and Consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) expects the supply shortage for graphite to continue in 2022 with a 20,000-tonne graphite deficit. Thus, we view this move favourably for the company to secure long-term supply amid the industry shortage and potentially mitigate rising cost pressures.Overall, we expect Tesla's shift towards in-house production to benefit the company and increase its bargaining power over suppliers. We projected its gross margins based on its COGS per vehicle as its COGS per vehicle had declined by -5.8% on a 5-year historical average and we expect the company to continue reducing its cost per vehicle as it increases its production in scale. We believe this is appropriate given the company's multiple drivers, which we highlighted were its expansion in China and in-house production of batteries. Based on its earnings briefing, management stated that their automotive gross margin has reached above 30% for the first time.Source: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsTesla, Khaveen InvestmentsRisk: Product ReliabilityThe company's annual report highlighted product risks relating to its Autopilot and FSD features as well as batteries.TeslaFurthermore, the company also stated that product recalls could account for significant costs for the company.Such recalls, whether voluntary or involuntary or caused by systems or components engineered or manufactured by us or our suppliers, could result in significant expense, supply chain complications and service burdens, and may harm our brand, business, prospects, financial condition and operating results. – Tesla Annual Report 2021The company incurs warranty expenses and provisioning. In 2021, its accrued warranty balance was $2.1 bln, which represented 3.9% of its total revenue and a decrease from 4.7% in the prior year. We believe that future product recalls could increase its expenses and affect company profitability.Tesla had recently announced a product recall for 579,000 vehicles, which we calculated to be around 26% of total Tesla deliveries since 2016 of 2.2 mln vehicles, in the US due to a violation of federal safety standards over its Boombox sound functions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the company shall disable the Boombox function when the vehicle is in drive, reverse or neutral over an over-the-air software update. Thus, we believe this could arise additional expenses for the company. Based on the company's warranty expense of $0.579 mln in 2021 and its total vehicle deliveries of 2.2 mln since 2016, we estimate the average warranty expense per vehicle to be $137. Assuming this as the expense incurred with the product recall for 579,000 vehicles, we derived an estimated cost impact of $53.8 mln, which is only 0.3% of revenue.ValuationTo value the company, we used a comparable valuation based on the P/S of its automotive competitors. First, we compiled our revenue projections for the company in the table below with the automotive sales forecast summarized as discussed in the previous points above. We forecasted its Services and other as well as the Energy generation and storage segment based on its 4-year historical average growth tapered down by 5% per year as a conservative estimate.Source: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsWe derived our average ratios based on a tiered average with each bracket represented by their past 3-year revenue CAGR. However, a significant number of competitors had negative revenue growth.Seeking Alpha, Khaveen InvestmentsSource: Seeking Alpha, Khaveen InvestmentsBased on our model, we obtained a 12-month price target of $1,081, which is a Hold rating for us.Source: Khaveen InvestmentsFurthermore, the price action of Tesla's stock seems to support our valuation calculation. Each time the share price reaches around 10% within our price target, the stock price consolidates.Data by YChartsVerdictTo conclude, as the market leader in the EV market with a 21% sales share, we analyzed its market positioning by examining 106 EV models and determined that it had relatively higher pricing in terms of average prices but also a higher number of EV model variants and better battery efficiency as measured by EV range, which places it in the top right quadrant of our EV comparison chart. Besides that, we also highlighted its advantage in terms of its software and self-driving capabilities and features which we believe could provide it with an edge over competitors. As Tesla expands overseas in Europe and China which combined account for over 85% of the EV market, we expect the company's expansion to support its growth with a projected sales growth of 47.6% in 2022. Additionally, we believe the company's expansion in China which its CEO previously stated to be 50% lower than the US and shift towards in-house could boost its margins going forward and we projected its gross and net margins to reach 43% and 23.5% respectively, assuming its COGS per vehicle continues to decrease by -5.8% through 2026. However, given the lofty stock price, we rate the company as aHoldwith a target price of$1,081.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988485691,"gmtCreate":1666823552613,"gmtModify":1676537810107,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>","text":"$Trade Desk 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Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983499837","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914217332,"gmtCreate":1665285723726,"gmtModify":1676537582627,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TThanks for sharing&nbsp;","listText":"TThanks for sharing&nbsp;","text":"TThanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914217332","repostId":"2273361809","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273361809","pubTimestamp":1665187741,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2273361809?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-08 08:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Misses Sales Estimates By a Mile -- Time to Sell the Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273361809","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Third quarter 2022 sales were deeply impacted by a rapid slump in PCs.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>AMD</b> is the latest semiconductor company to report trouble with the PC (personal computer) market. After more than two years of pandemic-fueled spending on work-from-home equipment, the consumer is getting tapped out on desktop and laptop computers. AMD said it will miss its sales guidance for the third quarter of 2022 in dramatic fashion as a result.</p><p>Shares of AMD are in retreat on the news, but not all is hopeless. Think twice before you sell AMD stock now.</p><h2>AMD&#39;s growth is slowing this year</h2><p>AMD said that its Q3 2022 revenue will be about $5.6 billion, a 29% year-over-year increase but a 15% decrease compared to Q2. Management had previously forecasted $6.7 billion in sales for Q3 back in August.</p><p>The company&#39;s data center segment is still sizzling, albeit at a slower pace than before (the segment was up 83% year-over-year in Q2.) But rapidly evaporating PC demand was the culprit for the big miss. Subsequent to the last quarterly report, management said PC sales have fallen, and now the industry is taking &#34;inventory correction actions,&#34; meaning heavy discounting to move inventory surplus.</p><p>It&#39;s a good time to be in the market for a new computer, but for AMD, PC revenue is expected to be down 40% year-over-year in Q3.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p><b>AMD Segments</b></p></th><th><p><b>Q3 2022 Preliminary Revenue</b></p></th><th><p><b>YoY Growth</b></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Data Center</b></p></td><td><p>$1.6 billion</p></td><td><p>Up 45%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Client</b></p></td><td><p>$1.0 billion</p></td><td><p>Down 40%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Gaming</b></p></td><td><p>$1.6 billion</p></td><td><p>Up 14%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Embedded (Xilinx Acquisition in February)</b></p></td><td><p>$1.3 billion</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Total</b></p></td><td><p>$5.6 billion</p></td><td><p>Up 29%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: AMD.</p><p>In addition to sharply lower sales (offset by the addition of Xilinx, which now makes up the bulk of the &#34;embedded&#34; segment), AMD also said adjusted gross margins on product sold will also be lower at just 50%. That still represents a jump from the 48% adjusted gross margin from the same quarter in 2021, but it&#39;s nonetheless far lower than the 54% originally projected a couple of months ago.</p><h2>The market knew this was coming</h2><p>Before you sell AMD stock, bear in mind this isn&#39;t exactly earth-shattering news. Later in August, <b>Nvidia</b> provided a bleak picture of consumer-facing product sales. And in early October, <b>Micron Technology </b>gave the most concrete warning yet when it said PC unit sales are now expected to decline by a mid-teens percentage for full-year 2022. Clearly, the industry has deteriorated since AMD&#39;s rosy outlook from the summer.</p><p>Investors were not caught unawares. AMD stock has been dinged by over 30% since its Aug. 2 Q2 report. Sure, the stock market overall had a rough go of things, but the Nasdaq Composite Index is only down about 10% over that period.</p><p>In other words, now probably isn&#39;t the time to panic sell. The market has already discounted the likelihood AMD would miss its guidance.</p><p>The best thing to do is reassess the long-term prospects for this business. AMD is still firing away in its data center business and is getting a positive lift from its acquisition of highly profitable Xilinx early this year. And with <b>Intel</b> signaling it still has a long uphill battle ahead in its own recovery, AMD can continue to win semiconductor design market share in the coming years. Though there are stormy seas ahead for the chip industry overall -- especially with consumer electronics oversupply -- this is still very much a healthy place to be invested in the tech sector with lots of secular tailwinds blowing in its favor.</p><p>Investors should stay tuned for the company to provide a full quarterly update on Nov. 1.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Misses Sales Estimates By a Mile -- Time to Sell the Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Misses Sales Estimates By a Mile -- Time to Sell the Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-08 08:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/amd-misses-sales-estimates-by-a-mile-time-to-sell/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMD is the latest semiconductor company to report trouble with the PC (personal computer) market. After more than two years of pandemic-fueled spending on work-from-home equipment, the consumer is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/amd-misses-sales-estimates-by-a-mile-time-to-sell/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/amd-misses-sales-estimates-by-a-mile-time-to-sell/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273361809","content_text":"AMD is the latest semiconductor company to report trouble with the PC (personal computer) market. After more than two years of pandemic-fueled spending on work-from-home equipment, the consumer is getting tapped out on desktop and laptop computers. AMD said it will miss its sales guidance for the third quarter of 2022 in dramatic fashion as a result.Shares of AMD are in retreat on the news, but not all is hopeless. Think twice before you sell AMD stock now.AMD's growth is slowing this yearAMD said that its Q3 2022 revenue will be about $5.6 billion, a 29% year-over-year increase but a 15% decrease compared to Q2. Management had previously forecasted $6.7 billion in sales for Q3 back in August.The company's data center segment is still sizzling, albeit at a slower pace than before (the segment was up 83% year-over-year in Q2.) But rapidly evaporating PC demand was the culprit for the big miss. Subsequent to the last quarterly report, management said PC sales have fallen, and now the industry is taking \"inventory correction actions,\" meaning heavy discounting to move inventory surplus.It's a good time to be in the market for a new computer, but for AMD, PC revenue is expected to be down 40% year-over-year in Q3.AMD SegmentsQ3 2022 Preliminary RevenueYoY GrowthData Center$1.6 billionUp 45%Client$1.0 billionDown 40%Gaming$1.6 billionUp 14%Embedded (Xilinx Acquisition in February)$1.3 billionN/ATotal$5.6 billionUp 29%Data source: AMD.In addition to sharply lower sales (offset by the addition of Xilinx, which now makes up the bulk of the \"embedded\" segment), AMD also said adjusted gross margins on product sold will also be lower at just 50%. That still represents a jump from the 48% adjusted gross margin from the same quarter in 2021, but it's nonetheless far lower than the 54% originally projected a couple of months ago.The market knew this was comingBefore you sell AMD stock, bear in mind this isn't exactly earth-shattering news. Later in August, Nvidia provided a bleak picture of consumer-facing product sales. And in early October, Micron Technology gave the most concrete warning yet when it said PC unit sales are now expected to decline by a mid-teens percentage for full-year 2022. Clearly, the industry has deteriorated since AMD's rosy outlook from the summer.Investors were not caught unawares. AMD stock has been dinged by over 30% since its Aug. 2 Q2 report. Sure, the stock market overall had a rough go of things, but the Nasdaq Composite Index is only down about 10% over that period.In other words, now probably isn't the time to panic sell. The market has already discounted the likelihood AMD would miss its guidance.The best thing to do is reassess the long-term prospects for this business. AMD is still firing away in its data center business and is getting a positive lift from its acquisition of highly profitable Xilinx early this year. And with Intel signaling it still has a long uphill battle ahead in its own recovery, AMD can continue to win semiconductor design market share in the coming years. Though there are stormy seas ahead for the chip industry overall -- especially with consumer electronics oversupply -- this is still very much a healthy place to be invested in the tech sector with lots of secular tailwinds blowing in its favor.Investors should stay tuned for the company to provide a full quarterly update on Nov. 1.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937555211,"gmtCreate":1663470840033,"gmtModify":1676537275433,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FDX\">$FedEx(FDX)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FDX\">$FedEx(FDX)$</a>","text":"$FedEx(FDX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937555211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073532118,"gmtCreate":1657371850734,"gmtModify":1676535998563,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073532118","repostId":"2249893579","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249893579","pubTimestamp":1657337337,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2249893579?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-09 11:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Time To Buy The King Of Data Centers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249893579","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Nvidia Corporation's (NASDAQ:NVDA) data center segment has overtaken its Gaming segment to become it","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia Corporation&#39;s (NASDAQ:NVDA) data center segment has overtaken its Gaming segment to become its largest segment, in its Q1 FY2023, growing robustly by 83% YoY. Based on the company’s breakdown of its data center business across 6 data center classes, we examined its product offering that caters to these customers and determined the outlook of its data center business segment as a whole.</p><p>Moreover, we looked into the company’s product offerings of its GPUs and software to offer the full stack for data centers and how it is integrating AI and software functionalities to build on its data center leadership.</p><p>As it recently introduced its Arm CPU products for data centers, we analyzed the Arm CPU market and the players within, and projected its share vs x86 processors. Based on this, we estimated the market opportunity for Nvidia and its revenue growth.</p><h2><b>Dominating Data Centers Across All 6 Classes</b></h2><p>Nvidia’s data center segment has become its largest segment accounting for 45% of revenues in Q1 FY2023 and had the highest growth CAGR of 73.8% in the past 5 years. Its computing platform consists of hardware and software such as GPUs, DPUs, interconnects and systems, CUDA programming model and software libraries. According to Nvidia’s CEO, the company listed 6 types of data center classes: supercomputing centers, enterprise computing data centers, hyperscalers, cloud computing and two new classes which are FactoryAI and edge data centers. In the table below, we compiled the different data center classes by their market sizes, forecast CAGR, location, applications, users, relative compute power and footprint.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Data Center</b></p></td><td><p><b>Market Size ($ bln)</b></p></td><td><p><b>Market Forecast CAGR</b></p></td><td><p><b>Computer Power</b></p></td><td><p><b>Location</b></p></td><td><p><b>Footprint (&#39;size&#39;)</b></p></td><td><p><b>Types of Users/ Operators</b></p></td><td><p><b>Applications</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Supercomputing Data Center</p></td><td><p>6.5</p></td><td><p>16.2%</p></td><td><p>Very High</p></td><td><p>Self-operated</p></td><td><p>Large</p></td><td><p>Governments, aerospace, petroleum, and automotive industries</p></td><td><p>HPC, quantum mechanics, weather forecasting, oil and gas exploration, molecular modeling, physical simulations, aerodynamics, nuclear fusion research</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Hyperscale Data Center</p></td><td><p>32.2</p></td><td><p>14.9%</p></td><td><p>High</p></td><td><p>Self-operated</p></td><td><p>Very Large</p></td><td><p>Large multinational companies, cloud service providers</p></td><td><p>Colocation, cryptography, genome processing, and 3D rendering</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Enterprise Data Center</p></td><td><p>84.2</p></td><td><p>12.0%</p></td><td><p>Low</p></td><td><p>Self-operated</p></td><td><p>Medium</p></td><td><p>Enterprises (Various industries)</p></td><td><p>Company networks and systems (Various industries)</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Cloud Computing Data Center</p></td><td><p>358.8</p></td><td><p>16.4%</p></td><td><p>High</p></td><td><p>Third-party</p></td><td><p>Very Large</p></td><td><p>Cloud service providers</p></td><td><p>Cloud-native application development, storage (IaaS), streaming, data analytics</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Edge Data Center</p></td><td><p>7.9</p></td><td><p>17.0%</p></td><td><p>Medium</p></td><td><p>Third-party</p></td><td><p>Medium</p></td><td><p>Edge Data Center Companies, Telco, Healthcare</p></td><td><p>5G, AV, Telemedicine, data analytics,</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Factory AI Data Center</p></td><td><p>2.3</p></td><td><p>47.9%</p></td><td><p>Medium</p></td><td><p>Self-operated</p></td><td><p>Low</p></td><td><p>Manufacturers</p></td><td><p>Supply Chain Optimization, Predictive Maintenance, Process Control</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Research and Markets, Nvidia, Khaveen Investments</i></p><p>To illustrate the market sizes of each data center class, we compiled the market revenues and forecast CAGR of each data center class based on Research and Markets. Based on the table above, cloud computing is the largest ($359 bln) as it consists of major cloud service providers including AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. this is followed by Enterprise Data Centers. Overall, the combined market size of the 6 data center classes is worth around $491 bln. However, the new data center classes, Factory AI and edge data center, have the highest CAGR of 47.9% and 17% respectively.</p><h3><b>Supercomputing Data Center</b></h3><p>Firstly, supercomputing data centers which are computers with much higher computational capacities supporting intensive applications such as</p><blockquote>HPC, quantum mechanics, weather forecasting, oil and gas exploration, molecular modeling, physical simulations, aerodynamics, nuclear fusion research.</blockquote><p>In 2021, Nvidia claimed that 70% of the TOP500 supercomputers in the world are powered by its accelerators and it&#39;s even higher at 90% for new systems. The company had remarkable growth in this area over the past 10 years from 34% share of the TOP500 systems in 2011. For example, the company’s GPUs power the fastest supercomputers in the U.S. and Europe like the Oak Ridge National Labs’ Summit, the world’s smartest supercomputer. The company has recently introduced its H100 GPUs based on its Hopper architecture which follows its A100 GPUs based on its Ampere architecture. Supercomputers are equipped with a large number of GPUs, previously Nvidia stated that 6 supercomputers used a total of 13,000 A100 GPUs.</p><h3><b>Enterprise Data Center</b></h3><p>Besides supercomputers, the company also targets enterprise systems. According to Cisco, compared to other types of data centers, enterprise data centers are built and operated by companies within their premises and optimized for their users to support their data and storage requirements by companies in various industries such as IT, financial services, and healthcare. However, in comparison, hyperscale data centers have higher compute capacities. Based on Nvidia, its NVIDIA-Certified System</p><blockquote>enable enterprises to confidently deploy hardware solutions that securely and optimally run their modern accelerated workloads.</blockquote><p>The company’s Nvidia-certified data center partners include the top server providers such as Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), Fujitsu (OTCPK:FJTSF), Dell (DELL), Cisco (CSCO), and HPE (HPE), with a combined market share of over 38% of the server market based on the IDC. Also, the company introduced its EGX for enterprise as well as edge computing.</p><h3><b>Hyperscale Data Centers</b></h3><p>Moreover, Nvidia also targets hyperscale data centers which are massive facilities exceeding 5,000 servers and 10,000 square feet according to the IDC. They are “designed to support robust and scalable applications” due to their agility to scale up or down to meet customers’ demands by adding more computing power to their infrastructure. For example, companies which operate these facilities include Yahoo, Facebook (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG, GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN). According to Vertiv, there were more than 600 hyperscale data centers in 2021. Nvidia has “ready-to-use system reference designs” based on its GPUs such as its HGX product for hyperscale and supercomputing data centers.</p><h3><b>Cloud Computing </b></h3><p>Additionally, the company also underline cloud computing data centers, allowing customers and developers to leverage Nvidia’s hardware through the cloud to support applications such as advanced medical imaging, automated customer service, and cinematic-quality gaming. According to Microsoft, cloud computing is the delivery of computing services over the internet with services such as IaaS, PaaS and SaaS with use cases including creating cloud-native applications, streaming and data analytics. Besides that, Nvidia has partnerships with major cloud service providers including Amazon, the market leader in the cloud infrastructure market with a 33% market share in 2021 according to Canalys, trailed by Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud and Alibaba Cloud (BABA, OTCPK:BABAF). These cloud providers are also part of the company’s partner ecosystem.</p><blockquote>And now, with NVIDIA’s GPU-accelerated solutions available through all top cloud platforms, innovators everywhere can access massive computing power on demand and with ease. – Nvidia</blockquote><h3><b>AI Factory </b></h3><p>In addition to these 4 classes of data centers, the company also highlighted the first new data center class which is “AI Factory.” According to CEO Jensen Huang, manufacturers are becoming “intelligence manufacturers” processing and refining data. The company highlighted its GPU-accelerated computing for applications leveraging AI including Supply Chain Optimization, Predictive Maintenance and Process Control for operations optimization improved time-to-insight and lower cost. According to Nvidia’s CEO, the company highlighted 150,000 factories refining data, creating models and becoming intelligence manufacturers. The company has its AGX platform for autonomous machines. For example, one customer of the company is BMW which is using its hardware and software for its robotics and machinery.</p><blockquote>The idea is to equip BMW’s factory with all manner of Nvidia hardware. First, the company will use Nvidia’s DGX and Isaac simulation software to train and test the robots; Nvidia Quadro ray-tracing GPUs will render synthetic machine parts. – Nvidia CEO</blockquote><h3><b>Edge Data Center</b></h3><p>Lastly, the company also highlighted edge data centers which are smaller data centers that are closer to end-users for lower latency and greater speed benefits according to Nlyte Software. Nvidia highlighted that edge data centers span a wide range of applications such as “warehouse, retail stores, cities, public places, cars, robots”. Compared to cloud computing where data is sent from the edge to the cloud, edge computing refers to data computed right at the edge. The company’s EGX for enterprise and edge computing. Based on the company, its NVIDIA EGX and Jetson solutions</p><blockquote>accelerate the most powerful edge computing systems to power diverse applications, including industrial inspection, predictive maintenance, factory robotics, and autonomous machines.</blockquote><p>Furthermore, we updated our revenue projection for Nvidia’s data center segment in the table below from our previous analysis based on its data center revenue share of the total cloud market capex. To derive this, we forecasted the total cloud market capex based on our projection of the total cloud market from data volume growth forecasts.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Volume of Data Worldwide</b></p></td><td><p><b>2017</b></p></td><td><p><b>2018</b></p></td><td><p><b>2019</b></p></td><td><p><b>2020</b></p></td><td><p><b>2021</b></p></td><td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2024F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2025F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2026F</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Cloud Infrastructure Market Revenues ($ bln)</p></td><td><p>46.5</p></td><td><p>69</p></td><td><p>96</p></td><td><p>129.5</p></td><td><p>178.0</p></td><td><p>248.1</p></td><td><p>349.7</p></td><td><p>485.7</p></td><td><p>679.8</p></td><td><p>951.4</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Cloud Infrastructure Market Revenue Growth %</p></td><td><p>45%</p></td><td><p>48%</p></td><td><p>39%</p></td><td><p>35%</p></td><td><p>37%</p></td><td><p>39%</p></td><td><p>41%</p></td><td><p>39%</p></td><td><p>40%</p></td><td><p>40%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Data Volume (ZB)</p></td><td><p>26</p></td><td><p>33</p></td><td><p>41</p></td><td><p>64.2</p></td><td><p>79</p></td><td><p>97</p></td><td><p>120</p></td><td><p>147</p></td><td><p>181</p></td><td><p>222.9</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Data Volume Growth %</p></td><td><p>44%</p></td><td><p>27%</p></td><td><p>24%</p></td><td><p>57%</p></td><td><p>23%</p></td><td><p>23%</p></td><td><p>24%</p></td><td><p>23%</p></td><td><p>23%</p></td><td><p>23%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Total Market Capex (Adjusted)</p></td><td><p>54.3</p></td><td><p>82.8</p></td><td><p>88.0</p></td><td><p>125.7</p></td><td><p>163.9</p></td><td><p>209</p></td><td><p>271</p></td><td><p>344</p></td><td><p>442</p></td><td><p>567</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Total Market Capex Growth %</p></td><td><p>30%</p></td><td><p>52%</p></td><td><p>6%</p></td><td><p>43%</p></td><td><p>30%</p></td><td><p>28%</p></td><td><p>29%</p></td><td><p>27%</p></td><td><p>28%</p></td><td><p>28%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Nvidia Data Center Share of Capex Spend</p></td><td><p>3.6%</p></td><td><p>3.5%</p></td><td><p>3.4%</p></td><td><p>5.3%</p></td><td><p>6.5%</p></td><td><p>6.5%</p></td><td><p>6.5%</p></td><td><p>6.5%</p></td><td><p>6.5%</p></td><td><p>6.5%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Nvidia Data Center Revenues</b></p></td><td><p><b>1.9</b></p></td><td><p><b>2.9</b></p></td><td><p><b>3.0</b></p></td><td><p><b>6.7</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.6</b></p></td><td><p><b>13.6</b></p></td><td><p><b>17.5</b></p></td><td><p><b>22.3</b></p></td><td><p><b>28.6</b></p></td><td><p><b>36.7</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Nvidia Data Center Revenues Growth %</b></p></td><td><p><b>132.5%</b></p></td><td><p><b>51.8%</b></p></td><td><p><b>1.8%</b></p></td><td><p><b>124.5%</b></p></td><td><p><b>58.5%</b></p></td><td><p><b>27.7%</b></p></td><td><p><b>29.2%</b></p></td><td><p><b>27.3%</b></p></td><td><p><b>28.3%</b></p></td><td><p><b>28.3%</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Nvidia, Company Data, Khaveen Investments </i></p><p>Overall, we believe the company’s data center segment outlook is supported by its presence across the 6 types of data centers underlined including supercomputers, enterprise computing, hyperscalers, cloud computing, edge computing and Factory AI. Besides a broad product portfolio catering to each data center class, the company also has partnerships with key customers such as major server vendors and cloud service providers. Based on our revenue projection, we derived an average revenue growth rate of 28.2% for its segment through 2026.</p><h2><b>Integrating Software and AI into Data Centers</b></h2><p>A data center consists of chips including GPU, central processing unit (CPU), and field-programmable gate array (FPGA) which are some of the commonly used data center chips according to imarc. According to the company, it highlighted the greater compute capabilities of GPUs used as accelerators in data centers running tens of thousands of threads compared to CPUs. According to Network World,</p><blockquote>GPUs are better suited than CPUs for handling many of the calculations required by AI and machine learning in enterprise data centers and hyperscaler networks.</blockquote><p>According to Ark Invest, CPUs comprised 83% of data center budgets in 2020 but were forecasted to decline to 40% by 2030 as GPUs become the dominant processor.</p><p>In its annual report, Nvidia claims to have a platform strategy that brings its hardware, software, algorithms and software libraries together. Furthermore, the company highlighted the introduction of its CUDA programming model which enabled its GPUs with parallel processing capabilities for intensive compute workloads such as deep learning and machine learning.</p><blockquote>With our introduction of the CUDA programming model in 2006, we opened the parallel processing capabilities of our GPU for general-purpose computing. This approach significantly accelerates the most demanding high-performance computing, or HPC, applications in fields such as aerospace, bioscience research, mechanical and fluid simulations, and energy exploration. Today, our GPUs and networking accelerate many of the fastest supercomputers across the world. In addition, the massively parallel compute architecture of our GPUs and associated software are well suited for deep learning and machine learning, powering the era of AI. While traditional CPU-based approaches no longer deliver advances on the pace described by Moore’s Law, we deliver GPU performance improvements on a pace ahead of Moore’s Law, giving the industry a path forward. – Nvidia 2022 Annual Report</blockquote><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b967b108b6c19a49afe2a462c51c98b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Nvidia</p><p>In addition, as seen in the chart above, the company claims to provide a full stack of AI solutions. Besides its hardware, Nvidia has a collection of AI software solutions and development kits for customers and software developers including Clara Mionai, Riva, Maxine, Nemo and Merlin. Moreover, according to the company, it has</p><blockquote>over 450 NVIDIA AI libraries and software development kits to serve industries such as gaming, design, quantum computing, AI, 5G/6G, and robotics.</blockquote><p>Furthermore, its products support various AI software frameworks and software such as RAPIDS, TensorFlow and PyTorch. As Nvidia continued to build up its AI stack, the company’s patents had been steadily increasing since 2018 to 1,174 in 2021 based on Global Data. In comparison, AMD’s patents had also been rising since 2017 with a higher number of patents (1,795) while Intel’s patent filings had been declining but have the most number of patents (11,677).</p><p>Additionally, the company had introduced its standalone enterprise software offering including NVIDIA AI Enterprise which is $1,000 per node and has 25,000 enterprises already using its technology for AI. According to the company, it had a server installed base of 50 mln enterprises and a TAM of $150 bln for its Enterprise AI software based on its Investor Day Presentation. To determine the share of TAM we expect Nvidia to derive, we compared it against AMD and Intel in terms of its breadth of products, AI software integrations, GPU and CPU performance and price. We ranked the best company for each category with a weight of 0.5 followed by 0.3 for the second-best and 0.2 for the last company and calculated its average weight as our assumption for each company’s share of the TAM.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Competitive Positioning</b></p></td><td><p><b>Nvidia</b></p></td><td><p><b>Intel</b></p></td><td><p><b>AMD</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Number of products</p></td><td><p>7</p></td><td><p>5</p></td><td><p>4</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Software AI Integrations</p></td><td><p>21</p></td><td><p>18</p></td><td><p>7</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Average Data Center CPU Benchmark</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td><td><p>34,237</p></td><td><p>76,308</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Average Data Center CPU Price</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td><td><p>$ 2,277</p></td><td><p>$ 3,843</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>GPU Performance (TFLOPS)</p></td><td><p>60</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td><td><p>47.9</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>GPU Price</p></td><td><p>$36,405</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td><td><p>$ 14,500</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Competitive Positioning</b></p></td><td><p><b>Nvidia</b></p></td><td><p><b>Intel</b></p></td><td><p><b>AMD</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Number of products</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td><td><p>0.3</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Software AI Integrations</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td><td><p>0.3</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Average Data Center CPU Benchmark</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td><td><p>0.3</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Average Data Center CPU Price</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td><td><p>0.3</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>GPU Performance (TFLOPS)</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td><td><p>0.3</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>GPU Price</p></td><td><p>0.3</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Weights</b></p></td><td><p><b>0.37</b></p></td><td><p><b>0.33</b></p></td><td><p><b>0.30</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Nvidia, Intel, AMD, WFTech, Khaveen Investments </i></p><p>Based on the table, Nvidia has the broadest product breadth between AMD (4) and Intel (5) with 7 products as the company product offerings include GPUs and DPUs as well as reference design systems such as AGX, HGX, EGX and DGX. Also, it is planning to introduce CPUs based on Arm architecture. In comparison, Intel follows behind with its portfolio of ASICs, FPGAs, GPUs, CPUs and Smart NICs while AMD has FPGAs (Xilinx), CPUs, GPUs and DPUs. Furthermore, by referring to these companies’ AI presentation pitch decks and websites, we found that Nvidia has the highest AI software integrations (21) with its broad collection as stated above in addition to its cloud deployment and infrastructure optimization including Nvidia GPU Operator, Network Operator, vGPU, MagnumIO, CUDA-AI and vSphere integration as part of its AI Enterprise package. As Nvidia’s CPU and Intel’s GPU have yet to launch, we ranked it as the lowest with N/A for our calculations.</p><p>In terms of hardware, we compared Intel and AMD data center CPUs from our previous analysis of Intel where we determined AMD’s performance advantage based on its higher benchmark score but with premium pricing compared to Intel. Additionally, we compared Nvidia’s H100 GPU based on its performance as measured by its TFLOPS specs with a higher maximum of 60 TFLOPS compared to AMD’s Instinct M250. Though, Nvidia’s GPU has a higher estimated price compared to AMD.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Nvidia Enterprise AI Software Revenue ($ bln)</b></p></td><td><p><b>2021</b></p></td><td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2024F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2025F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2026F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2027F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2028F</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Market TAM</p></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td><p>150</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Nvidia Enterprise AI Software</p></td><td><p>0.03</p></td><td><p>0.1</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td><td><p>0.7</p></td><td><p>2.0</p></td><td><p>6.1</p></td><td><p>18.3</p></td><td><p>55</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Growth %</p></td><td></td><td><p>200%</p></td><td><p>200%</p></td><td><p>200%</p></td><td><p>200%</p></td><td><p>200%</p></td><td><p>200%</p></td><td><p>200%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Nvidia, Khaveen Investments </i></p><p>Overall, we determined that Nvidia edged out Intel and AMD with the highest competitive positioning with an average weightage for Nvidia at 37% which we used as our assumption for its share of the Enterprise AI software TAM. Based on the company’s $150 bln TAM as highlighted from its Investor Day, we estimated its revenue opportunity to be $55 bln growing at a CAGR of 200% from 2021 (calculated based on its average cost of $1,000 and 25,000 existing customers) which we believe is not unreasonable given the expected rise of AI which could contribute $15.7 tln in economic output by 2030 according to PwC.</p><h2><b>$10 billion Arm CPU Opportunity in Data Centers</b></h2><p>Furthermore, the company had recently introduced its Arm-based Grace CPU for data centers. In terms of specifications, it features 144 CPU cores, 1TB/s LPDDR5X and is connected coherently over NVLink®-C2C. The company also announced that multiple hardware vendors, including ASUS (OTC:AKCPF), Foxconn Industrial Internet, GIGABYTE, QCT, Supermicro and Wiwynn will build Grace-based systems that will start shipping in H1 2023. Additionally, the company had previously secured the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre, which has a budget of around $25 mln (fulfills 8% of forecasted Nvidia CPU revenue in 2023), as a customer for its CPUs and GPUs to provide 20 exaflops of AI performance.</p><p>According to Omdia, 5% of servers shipped had Arm CPUs which is an increase compared to 2.5% in 2020. According to Softbank (OTCPK:SFTBY), the market share of Arm-based CPUs was forecasted to increase to 25% by 2028. We estimated the x86 data center CPU market size based on Intel’s DCG segment had revenues of $22.7 bln with a market share of 94.1% in 2021 based on Passmark. We then estimated the total data center CPU market size based on Arm’s market share of 5% by Omdia to derive the total data center CPU market which we forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.2% by 2028. Assuming the share of Arm CPUs increases to 25% by 2028 based on Softbank’s forecast, we derive the total Arm CPU market size of $12.5 bln in 2028.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Arm CPU Market Projections ($ bln)</b></p></td><td><p><b>2021</b></p></td><td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2024F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2025F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2026F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2027F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2028F</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>x86 Data Center CPU share</p></td><td><p>95%</p></td><td><p>94%</p></td><td><p>92%</p></td><td><p>90%</p></td><td><p>87%</p></td><td><p>84%</p></td><td><p>80%</p></td><td><p>75%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Arm Data Center CPU Share</p></td><td><p>5%</p></td><td><p>6.3%</p></td><td><p>7.9%</p></td><td><p>10.0%</p></td><td><p>12.5%</p></td><td><p>15.8%</p></td><td><p>19.9%</p></td><td><p>25%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Arm Data Center CPU Share CAGR</p></td><td></td><td><p>25.8%</p></td><td><p>25.8%</p></td><td><p>25.8%</p></td><td><p>25.8%</p></td><td><p>25.8%</p></td><td><p>25.8%</p></td><td></td></tr><tr><td><p>x86 Data Center CPU market size</p></td><td><p>24.1</p></td><td><p>26.2</p></td><td><p>28.4</p></td><td><p>30.6</p></td><td><p>32.8</p></td><td><p>34.8</p></td><td><p>36.4</p></td><td><p>37.6</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Growth %</p></td><td></td><td><p>8.7%</p></td><td><p>8.3%</p></td><td><p>7.8%</p></td><td><p>7.0%</p></td><td><p>6.1%</p></td><td><p>4.9%</p></td><td><p>3.1%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Arm Data Center CPU market size</p></td><td><p>1.3</p></td><td><p>1.8</p></td><td><p>2.4</p></td><td><p>3.4</p></td><td><p>4.7</p></td><td><p>6.5</p></td><td><p>9.0</p></td><td><p>12.5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Growth %</p></td><td></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td><td><p>38.7%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Total</b></p></td><td><p><b>25.4</b></p></td><td><p><b>28.0</b></p></td><td><p><b>30.8</b></p></td><td><p><b>34.0</b></p></td><td><p><b>37.4</b></p></td><td><p><b>41.3</b></p></td><td><p><b>45.5</b></p></td><td><p><b>50.1</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Growth %</b></p></td><td></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td><td><p><b>10.20%</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Intel, Omdia, Softbank, BlueWeave Consulting, Khaveen Investments</i></p><p>Companies such as Amazon, Ampere and Huawei had been developing Arm-based CPUs for servers. However, Amazon Graviton processors and Huawei’s Kunpeng chips are used in their own data centers in comparison to Nvidia. Based on a comparison of their specifications against Nvidia, Nvidia’s CPU offer a superior core count (144) compared to Ampere Altra Max (128), Amazon Graviton3 (64) and Huawei Kunpeng 920 (64). In terms of product and software integration, according to Nvidia, the Grace CPU will support its HPC software development kit and a full suite of CUDA libraries.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Nvidia Arm CPU Revenue ($ bln)</b></p></td><td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2024F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2025F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2026F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2027F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2028F</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Share of TAM</p></td><td><p>1%</p></td><td><p>4.8%</p></td><td><p>8.6%</p></td><td><p>12.4%</p></td><td><p>16.2%</p></td><td><p>20%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Nvidia CPU Revenue</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td><td><p>1.63</p></td><td><p>3.22</p></td><td><p>5.12</p></td><td><p>7.37</p></td><td><p>10.02</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Growth %</p></td><td></td><td><p>429.0%</p></td><td><p>97.4%</p></td><td><p>58.9%</p></td><td><p>44.0%</p></td><td><p>36.0%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Khaveen Investments </i></p><p>All in all, we expect Nvidia’s introduction of its Arm CPU to support its data center segment growth as the company had already secured system hardware partners to build Grace CPU-based systems in H1 2023 and supercomputer customers. Additionally, we believe the company could be supported by its performance advantage with its 144 core CPU which is higher than its competitors as well as integrated with its other AI software.</p><p>To project Nvidia’s CPU revenue, we assumed its share to rise 20% of our estimated market size by 2028 from 1% in 2023 assuming it releases its CPU as planned. We based our assumption of a 20% market share as we believe it could be faced with not only competitors such as Ampere but also AMD as its CFO indicated that it could embrace Arm CPUs and already had used Arm cores in other products such as microcontrollers while Intel plans to make Arm-based chips with its foundry for customers. This translates to average revenue growth of 133.1% for the company.</p><h2><b>Risk: Competition from Intel</b></h2><p>In addition to competition from AMD, Nvidia could face greater competition as Intel introduced its data center GPUs. While Intel (INTC) has not established itself in the discrete GPU market despite leading the total GPU market with its integrated GPUs, we believe the company could pose a significant threat to Nvidia. This is because Intel dominated the data center CPU market with a 94% market share in 2021 based on PassMark. We believe this could provide Intel with an opportunity to leverage its relationships with key data center customers with cross-selling opportunities. That said, as covered in our previous analysis, we also expect Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to gain market share against Intel with its performance competitive advantages from its CPU portfolio.</p><h2><b>Valuation</b></h2><p>We summarized our revenue projections for the company’s Data Center segment in the table below. Whereas for its other segments, we retained our projections based on our previous analysis. Compared to our previous analysis, our revised revenue projections have a higher average revenue growth forecast of 28.3% compared to 23.4% in our previous analysis driven by higher revenue growth in its Data Center segment at an average of 33.6% compared to 21.9% previously.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Nvidia Revenue Projections ($ bln)</b></p></td><td><p><b>2021</b></p></td><td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2024F</b></p></td><td><p><b>2025F</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Gaming</p></td><td><p>12,462</p></td><td><p>15,953</p></td><td><p>20,421</p></td><td><p>26,141</p></td><td><p>33,463</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Professional Visualization</p></td><td><p>2,111</p></td><td><p>2,318</p></td><td><p>2,545</p></td><td><p>2,794</p></td><td><p>3,068</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Data Center</p></td><td><p>10,613</p></td><td><p>13,632</p></td><td><p>18,051</p></td><td><p>24,606</p></td><td><p>33,858</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Automotive</p></td><td><p>566</p></td><td><p>691</p></td><td><p>842</p></td><td><p>1,028</p></td><td><p>1,254</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>OEM and Other</p></td><td><p>1,162</p></td><td><p>1,162</p></td><td><p>1,162</p></td><td><p>1,162</p></td><td><p>1,162</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Total</b></p></td><td><p><b>26,914</b></p></td><td><p><b>33,755</b></p></td><td><p><b>43,022</b></p></td><td><p><b>55,731</b></p></td><td><p><b>72,806</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Growth %</b></p></td><td><p><b>61.4%</b></p></td><td><p><b>25.4%</b></p></td><td><p><b>27.5%</b></p></td><td><p><b>29.5%</b></p></td><td><p><b>30.6%</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>Source: Nvidia, Khaveen Investments </i></p><p>We valued the company based on a DCF analysis as we continue to expect it to generate positive FCFs. We updated our terminal value of the average chipmaker EV/EBITDA to 18.44x from 23.9x previously.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e00c22eaa47730a579e234e710016b3b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha, Khaveen Investments</p><p>Based on a discount rate of 13.3% (company’s WACC), our model shows its shares are undervalued by 99.58%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60d370c61b912473ae428c795c9be999\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Khaveen Investments</p><h2><b>Verdict</b></h2><p>To conclude, we expect the company’s data center segment’s segment outlook to be supported by its presence across the 6 data center classes including supercomputers, enterprise computing, hyperscalers, cloud computing, edge computing and Factory AI with its broad hardware solutions and partnerships with key customers. Additionally, with its full stack of AI solutions, we expect the company to leverage its competitiveness to expand with its Enterprise AI software with an estimated revenue opportunity of $55 bln by 2028. Lastly, with the planned launch of its Arm CPU by 2023, we forecasted its revenue opportunity of $10 bln by 2028 based on a 20% market share assumption.</p><p>Overall, we revised our revenue growth projections for the company with a higher average of 28.3% compared to 23.4% previously driven by higher data center segment growth from 21.9% to 33.6%. However, we obtained a lower price target with a lower EV/EBITDA average of 18.44x from 23.4x previously as well as a higher discount rate. Though, Nvidia’s stock price had declined by 51% YTD which we believe presents an attractive upside for the company. Overall, we rate the company as a <i>Strong Buy</i> with a target price of <i>$289.85.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Time To Buy The King Of Data Centers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Time To Buy The King Of Data Centers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-09 11:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522089-nvidia-time-to-buy-the-king-of-data-centers><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia Corporation's (NASDAQ:NVDA) data center segment has overtaken its Gaming segment to become its largest segment, in its Q1 FY2023, growing robustly by 83% YoY. Based on the company’s breakdown ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522089-nvidia-time-to-buy-the-king-of-data-centers\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522089-nvidia-time-to-buy-the-king-of-data-centers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249893579","content_text":"Nvidia Corporation's (NASDAQ:NVDA) data center segment has overtaken its Gaming segment to become its largest segment, in its Q1 FY2023, growing robustly by 83% YoY. Based on the company’s breakdown of its data center business across 6 data center classes, we examined its product offering that caters to these customers and determined the outlook of its data center business segment as a whole.Moreover, we looked into the company’s product offerings of its GPUs and software to offer the full stack for data centers and how it is integrating AI and software functionalities to build on its data center leadership.As it recently introduced its Arm CPU products for data centers, we analyzed the Arm CPU market and the players within, and projected its share vs x86 processors. Based on this, we estimated the market opportunity for Nvidia and its revenue growth.Dominating Data Centers Across All 6 ClassesNvidia’s data center segment has become its largest segment accounting for 45% of revenues in Q1 FY2023 and had the highest growth CAGR of 73.8% in the past 5 years. Its computing platform consists of hardware and software such as GPUs, DPUs, interconnects and systems, CUDA programming model and software libraries. According to Nvidia’s CEO, the company listed 6 types of data center classes: supercomputing centers, enterprise computing data centers, hyperscalers, cloud computing and two new classes which are FactoryAI and edge data centers. In the table below, we compiled the different data center classes by their market sizes, forecast CAGR, location, applications, users, relative compute power and footprint.Data CenterMarket Size ($ bln)Market Forecast CAGRComputer PowerLocationFootprint ('size')Types of Users/ OperatorsApplicationsSupercomputing Data Center6.516.2%Very HighSelf-operatedLargeGovernments, aerospace, petroleum, and automotive industriesHPC, quantum mechanics, weather forecasting, oil and gas exploration, molecular modeling, physical simulations, aerodynamics, nuclear fusion researchHyperscale Data Center32.214.9%HighSelf-operatedVery LargeLarge multinational companies, cloud service providersColocation, cryptography, genome processing, and 3D renderingEnterprise Data Center84.212.0%LowSelf-operatedMediumEnterprises (Various industries)Company networks and systems (Various industries)Cloud Computing Data Center358.816.4%HighThird-partyVery LargeCloud service providersCloud-native application development, storage (IaaS), streaming, data analyticsEdge Data Center7.917.0%MediumThird-partyMediumEdge Data Center Companies, Telco, Healthcare5G, AV, Telemedicine, data analytics,Factory AI Data Center2.347.9%MediumSelf-operatedLowManufacturersSupply Chain Optimization, Predictive Maintenance, Process ControlSource: Research and Markets, Nvidia, Khaveen InvestmentsTo illustrate the market sizes of each data center class, we compiled the market revenues and forecast CAGR of each data center class based on Research and Markets. Based on the table above, cloud computing is the largest ($359 bln) as it consists of major cloud service providers including AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. this is followed by Enterprise Data Centers. Overall, the combined market size of the 6 data center classes is worth around $491 bln. However, the new data center classes, Factory AI and edge data center, have the highest CAGR of 47.9% and 17% respectively.Supercomputing Data CenterFirstly, supercomputing data centers which are computers with much higher computational capacities supporting intensive applications such asHPC, quantum mechanics, weather forecasting, oil and gas exploration, molecular modeling, physical simulations, aerodynamics, nuclear fusion research.In 2021, Nvidia claimed that 70% of the TOP500 supercomputers in the world are powered by its accelerators and it's even higher at 90% for new systems. The company had remarkable growth in this area over the past 10 years from 34% share of the TOP500 systems in 2011. For example, the company’s GPUs power the fastest supercomputers in the U.S. and Europe like the Oak Ridge National Labs’ Summit, the world’s smartest supercomputer. The company has recently introduced its H100 GPUs based on its Hopper architecture which follows its A100 GPUs based on its Ampere architecture. Supercomputers are equipped with a large number of GPUs, previously Nvidia stated that 6 supercomputers used a total of 13,000 A100 GPUs.Enterprise Data CenterBesides supercomputers, the company also targets enterprise systems. According to Cisco, compared to other types of data centers, enterprise data centers are built and operated by companies within their premises and optimized for their users to support their data and storage requirements by companies in various industries such as IT, financial services, and healthcare. However, in comparison, hyperscale data centers have higher compute capacities. Based on Nvidia, its NVIDIA-Certified Systemenable enterprises to confidently deploy hardware solutions that securely and optimally run their modern accelerated workloads.The company’s Nvidia-certified data center partners include the top server providers such as Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), Fujitsu (OTCPK:FJTSF), Dell (DELL), Cisco (CSCO), and HPE (HPE), with a combined market share of over 38% of the server market based on the IDC. Also, the company introduced its EGX for enterprise as well as edge computing.Hyperscale Data CentersMoreover, Nvidia also targets hyperscale data centers which are massive facilities exceeding 5,000 servers and 10,000 square feet according to the IDC. They are “designed to support robust and scalable applications” due to their agility to scale up or down to meet customers’ demands by adding more computing power to their infrastructure. For example, companies which operate these facilities include Yahoo, Facebook (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG, GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN). According to Vertiv, there were more than 600 hyperscale data centers in 2021. Nvidia has “ready-to-use system reference designs” based on its GPUs such as its HGX product for hyperscale and supercomputing data centers.Cloud Computing Additionally, the company also underline cloud computing data centers, allowing customers and developers to leverage Nvidia’s hardware through the cloud to support applications such as advanced medical imaging, automated customer service, and cinematic-quality gaming. According to Microsoft, cloud computing is the delivery of computing services over the internet with services such as IaaS, PaaS and SaaS with use cases including creating cloud-native applications, streaming and data analytics. Besides that, Nvidia has partnerships with major cloud service providers including Amazon, the market leader in the cloud infrastructure market with a 33% market share in 2021 according to Canalys, trailed by Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud and Alibaba Cloud (BABA, OTCPK:BABAF). These cloud providers are also part of the company’s partner ecosystem.And now, with NVIDIA’s GPU-accelerated solutions available through all top cloud platforms, innovators everywhere can access massive computing power on demand and with ease. – NvidiaAI Factory In addition to these 4 classes of data centers, the company also highlighted the first new data center class which is “AI Factory.” According to CEO Jensen Huang, manufacturers are becoming “intelligence manufacturers” processing and refining data. The company highlighted its GPU-accelerated computing for applications leveraging AI including Supply Chain Optimization, Predictive Maintenance and Process Control for operations optimization improved time-to-insight and lower cost. According to Nvidia’s CEO, the company highlighted 150,000 factories refining data, creating models and becoming intelligence manufacturers. The company has its AGX platform for autonomous machines. For example, one customer of the company is BMW which is using its hardware and software for its robotics and machinery.The idea is to equip BMW’s factory with all manner of Nvidia hardware. First, the company will use Nvidia’s DGX and Isaac simulation software to train and test the robots; Nvidia Quadro ray-tracing GPUs will render synthetic machine parts. – Nvidia CEOEdge Data CenterLastly, the company also highlighted edge data centers which are smaller data centers that are closer to end-users for lower latency and greater speed benefits according to Nlyte Software. Nvidia highlighted that edge data centers span a wide range of applications such as “warehouse, retail stores, cities, public places, cars, robots”. Compared to cloud computing where data is sent from the edge to the cloud, edge computing refers to data computed right at the edge. The company’s EGX for enterprise and edge computing. Based on the company, its NVIDIA EGX and Jetson solutionsaccelerate the most powerful edge computing systems to power diverse applications, including industrial inspection, predictive maintenance, factory robotics, and autonomous machines.Furthermore, we updated our revenue projection for Nvidia’s data center segment in the table below from our previous analysis based on its data center revenue share of the total cloud market capex. To derive this, we forecasted the total cloud market capex based on our projection of the total cloud market from data volume growth forecasts.Volume of Data Worldwide201720182019202020212022F2023F2024F2025F2026FCloud Infrastructure Market Revenues ($ bln)46.56996129.5178.0248.1349.7485.7679.8951.4Cloud Infrastructure Market Revenue Growth %45%48%39%35%37%39%41%39%40%40%Data Volume (ZB)26334164.27997120147181222.9Data Volume Growth %44%27%24%57%23%23%24%23%23%23%Total Market Capex (Adjusted)54.382.888.0125.7163.9209271344442567Total Market Capex Growth %30%52%6%43%30%28%29%27%28%28%Nvidia Data Center Share of Capex Spend3.6%3.5%3.4%5.3%6.5%6.5%6.5%6.5%6.5%6.5%Nvidia Data Center Revenues1.92.93.06.710.613.617.522.328.636.7Nvidia Data Center Revenues Growth %132.5%51.8%1.8%124.5%58.5%27.7%29.2%27.3%28.3%28.3%Source: Nvidia, Company Data, Khaveen Investments Overall, we believe the company’s data center segment outlook is supported by its presence across the 6 types of data centers underlined including supercomputers, enterprise computing, hyperscalers, cloud computing, edge computing and Factory AI. Besides a broad product portfolio catering to each data center class, the company also has partnerships with key customers such as major server vendors and cloud service providers. Based on our revenue projection, we derived an average revenue growth rate of 28.2% for its segment through 2026.Integrating Software and AI into Data CentersA data center consists of chips including GPU, central processing unit (CPU), and field-programmable gate array (FPGA) which are some of the commonly used data center chips according to imarc. According to the company, it highlighted the greater compute capabilities of GPUs used as accelerators in data centers running tens of thousands of threads compared to CPUs. According to Network World,GPUs are better suited than CPUs for handling many of the calculations required by AI and machine learning in enterprise data centers and hyperscaler networks.According to Ark Invest, CPUs comprised 83% of data center budgets in 2020 but were forecasted to decline to 40% by 2030 as GPUs become the dominant processor.In its annual report, Nvidia claims to have a platform strategy that brings its hardware, software, algorithms and software libraries together. Furthermore, the company highlighted the introduction of its CUDA programming model which enabled its GPUs with parallel processing capabilities for intensive compute workloads such as deep learning and machine learning.With our introduction of the CUDA programming model in 2006, we opened the parallel processing capabilities of our GPU for general-purpose computing. This approach significantly accelerates the most demanding high-performance computing, or HPC, applications in fields such as aerospace, bioscience research, mechanical and fluid simulations, and energy exploration. Today, our GPUs and networking accelerate many of the fastest supercomputers across the world. In addition, the massively parallel compute architecture of our GPUs and associated software are well suited for deep learning and machine learning, powering the era of AI. While traditional CPU-based approaches no longer deliver advances on the pace described by Moore’s Law, we deliver GPU performance improvements on a pace ahead of Moore’s Law, giving the industry a path forward. – Nvidia 2022 Annual ReportNvidiaIn addition, as seen in the chart above, the company claims to provide a full stack of AI solutions. Besides its hardware, Nvidia has a collection of AI software solutions and development kits for customers and software developers including Clara Mionai, Riva, Maxine, Nemo and Merlin. Moreover, according to the company, it hasover 450 NVIDIA AI libraries and software development kits to serve industries such as gaming, design, quantum computing, AI, 5G/6G, and robotics.Furthermore, its products support various AI software frameworks and software such as RAPIDS, TensorFlow and PyTorch. As Nvidia continued to build up its AI stack, the company’s patents had been steadily increasing since 2018 to 1,174 in 2021 based on Global Data. In comparison, AMD’s patents had also been rising since 2017 with a higher number of patents (1,795) while Intel’s patent filings had been declining but have the most number of patents (11,677).Additionally, the company had introduced its standalone enterprise software offering including NVIDIA AI Enterprise which is $1,000 per node and has 25,000 enterprises already using its technology for AI. According to the company, it had a server installed base of 50 mln enterprises and a TAM of $150 bln for its Enterprise AI software based on its Investor Day Presentation. To determine the share of TAM we expect Nvidia to derive, we compared it against AMD and Intel in terms of its breadth of products, AI software integrations, GPU and CPU performance and price. We ranked the best company for each category with a weight of 0.5 followed by 0.3 for the second-best and 0.2 for the last company and calculated its average weight as our assumption for each company’s share of the TAM.Competitive PositioningNvidiaIntelAMDNumber of products754Software AI Integrations21187Average Data Center CPU BenchmarkN/A34,23776,308Average Data Center CPU PriceN/A$ 2,277$ 3,843GPU Performance (TFLOPS)60N/A47.9GPU Price$36,405N/A$ 14,500Competitive PositioningNvidiaIntelAMDNumber of products0.50.30.2Software AI Integrations0.50.30.2Average Data Center CPU Benchmark0.20.50.3Average Data Center CPU Price0.20.50.3GPU Performance (TFLOPS)0.50.20.3GPU Price0.30.20.5Weights0.370.330.30Source: Nvidia, Intel, AMD, WFTech, Khaveen Investments Based on the table, Nvidia has the broadest product breadth between AMD (4) and Intel (5) with 7 products as the company product offerings include GPUs and DPUs as well as reference design systems such as AGX, HGX, EGX and DGX. Also, it is planning to introduce CPUs based on Arm architecture. In comparison, Intel follows behind with its portfolio of ASICs, FPGAs, GPUs, CPUs and Smart NICs while AMD has FPGAs (Xilinx), CPUs, GPUs and DPUs. Furthermore, by referring to these companies’ AI presentation pitch decks and websites, we found that Nvidia has the highest AI software integrations (21) with its broad collection as stated above in addition to its cloud deployment and infrastructure optimization including Nvidia GPU Operator, Network Operator, vGPU, MagnumIO, CUDA-AI and vSphere integration as part of its AI Enterprise package. As Nvidia’s CPU and Intel’s GPU have yet to launch, we ranked it as the lowest with N/A for our calculations.In terms of hardware, we compared Intel and AMD data center CPUs from our previous analysis of Intel where we determined AMD’s performance advantage based on its higher benchmark score but with premium pricing compared to Intel. Additionally, we compared Nvidia’s H100 GPU based on its performance as measured by its TFLOPS specs with a higher maximum of 60 TFLOPS compared to AMD’s Instinct M250. Though, Nvidia’s GPU has a higher estimated price compared to AMD.Nvidia Enterprise AI Software Revenue ($ bln)20212022F2023F2024F2025F2026F2027F2028FMarket TAM150Nvidia Enterprise AI Software0.030.10.20.72.06.118.355Growth %200%200%200%200%200%200%200%Source: Nvidia, Khaveen Investments Overall, we determined that Nvidia edged out Intel and AMD with the highest competitive positioning with an average weightage for Nvidia at 37% which we used as our assumption for its share of the Enterprise AI software TAM. Based on the company’s $150 bln TAM as highlighted from its Investor Day, we estimated its revenue opportunity to be $55 bln growing at a CAGR of 200% from 2021 (calculated based on its average cost of $1,000 and 25,000 existing customers) which we believe is not unreasonable given the expected rise of AI which could contribute $15.7 tln in economic output by 2030 according to PwC.$10 billion Arm CPU Opportunity in Data CentersFurthermore, the company had recently introduced its Arm-based Grace CPU for data centers. In terms of specifications, it features 144 CPU cores, 1TB/s LPDDR5X and is connected coherently over NVLink®-C2C. The company also announced that multiple hardware vendors, including ASUS (OTC:AKCPF), Foxconn Industrial Internet, GIGABYTE, QCT, Supermicro and Wiwynn will build Grace-based systems that will start shipping in H1 2023. Additionally, the company had previously secured the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre, which has a budget of around $25 mln (fulfills 8% of forecasted Nvidia CPU revenue in 2023), as a customer for its CPUs and GPUs to provide 20 exaflops of AI performance.According to Omdia, 5% of servers shipped had Arm CPUs which is an increase compared to 2.5% in 2020. According to Softbank (OTCPK:SFTBY), the market share of Arm-based CPUs was forecasted to increase to 25% by 2028. We estimated the x86 data center CPU market size based on Intel’s DCG segment had revenues of $22.7 bln with a market share of 94.1% in 2021 based on Passmark. We then estimated the total data center CPU market size based on Arm’s market share of 5% by Omdia to derive the total data center CPU market which we forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.2% by 2028. Assuming the share of Arm CPUs increases to 25% by 2028 based on Softbank’s forecast, we derive the total Arm CPU market size of $12.5 bln in 2028.Arm CPU Market Projections ($ bln)20212022F2023F2024F2025F2026F2027F2028Fx86 Data Center CPU share95%94%92%90%87%84%80%75%Arm Data Center CPU Share5%6.3%7.9%10.0%12.5%15.8%19.9%25%Arm Data Center CPU Share CAGR25.8%25.8%25.8%25.8%25.8%25.8%x86 Data Center CPU market size24.126.228.430.632.834.836.437.6Growth %8.7%8.3%7.8%7.0%6.1%4.9%3.1%Arm Data Center CPU market size1.31.82.43.44.76.59.012.5Growth %38.7%38.7%38.7%38.7%38.7%38.7%38.7%Total25.428.030.834.037.441.345.550.1Growth %10.20%10.20%10.20%10.20%10.20%10.20%10.20%Source: Intel, Omdia, Softbank, BlueWeave Consulting, Khaveen InvestmentsCompanies such as Amazon, Ampere and Huawei had been developing Arm-based CPUs for servers. However, Amazon Graviton processors and Huawei’s Kunpeng chips are used in their own data centers in comparison to Nvidia. Based on a comparison of their specifications against Nvidia, Nvidia’s CPU offer a superior core count (144) compared to Ampere Altra Max (128), Amazon Graviton3 (64) and Huawei Kunpeng 920 (64). In terms of product and software integration, according to Nvidia, the Grace CPU will support its HPC software development kit and a full suite of CUDA libraries.Nvidia Arm CPU Revenue ($ bln)2023F2024F2025F2026F2027F2028FShare of TAM1%4.8%8.6%12.4%16.2%20%Nvidia CPU Revenue0.311.633.225.127.3710.02Growth %429.0%97.4%58.9%44.0%36.0%Source: Khaveen Investments All in all, we expect Nvidia’s introduction of its Arm CPU to support its data center segment growth as the company had already secured system hardware partners to build Grace CPU-based systems in H1 2023 and supercomputer customers. Additionally, we believe the company could be supported by its performance advantage with its 144 core CPU which is higher than its competitors as well as integrated with its other AI software.To project Nvidia’s CPU revenue, we assumed its share to rise 20% of our estimated market size by 2028 from 1% in 2023 assuming it releases its CPU as planned. We based our assumption of a 20% market share as we believe it could be faced with not only competitors such as Ampere but also AMD as its CFO indicated that it could embrace Arm CPUs and already had used Arm cores in other products such as microcontrollers while Intel plans to make Arm-based chips with its foundry for customers. This translates to average revenue growth of 133.1% for the company.Risk: Competition from IntelIn addition to competition from AMD, Nvidia could face greater competition as Intel introduced its data center GPUs. While Intel (INTC) has not established itself in the discrete GPU market despite leading the total GPU market with its integrated GPUs, we believe the company could pose a significant threat to Nvidia. This is because Intel dominated the data center CPU market with a 94% market share in 2021 based on PassMark. We believe this could provide Intel with an opportunity to leverage its relationships with key data center customers with cross-selling opportunities. That said, as covered in our previous analysis, we also expect Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to gain market share against Intel with its performance competitive advantages from its CPU portfolio.ValuationWe summarized our revenue projections for the company’s Data Center segment in the table below. Whereas for its other segments, we retained our projections based on our previous analysis. Compared to our previous analysis, our revised revenue projections have a higher average revenue growth forecast of 28.3% compared to 23.4% in our previous analysis driven by higher revenue growth in its Data Center segment at an average of 33.6% compared to 21.9% previously.Nvidia Revenue Projections ($ bln)20212022F2023F2024F2025FGaming12,46215,95320,42126,14133,463Professional Visualization2,1112,3182,5452,7943,068Data Center10,61313,63218,05124,60633,858Automotive5666918421,0281,254OEM and Other1,1621,1621,1621,1621,162Total26,91433,75543,02255,73172,806Growth %61.4%25.4%27.5%29.5%30.6%Source: Nvidia, Khaveen Investments We valued the company based on a DCF analysis as we continue to expect it to generate positive FCFs. We updated our terminal value of the average chipmaker EV/EBITDA to 18.44x from 23.9x previously.SeekingAlpha, Khaveen InvestmentsBased on a discount rate of 13.3% (company’s WACC), our model shows its shares are undervalued by 99.58%.Khaveen InvestmentsVerdictTo conclude, we expect the company’s data center segment’s segment outlook to be supported by its presence across the 6 data center classes including supercomputers, enterprise computing, hyperscalers, cloud computing, edge computing and Factory AI with its broad hardware solutions and partnerships with key customers. Additionally, with its full stack of AI solutions, we expect the company to leverage its competitiveness to expand with its Enterprise AI software with an estimated revenue opportunity of $55 bln by 2028. Lastly, with the planned launch of its Arm CPU by 2023, we forecasted its revenue opportunity of $10 bln by 2028 based on a 20% market share assumption.Overall, we revised our revenue growth projections for the company with a higher average of 28.3% compared to 23.4% previously driven by higher data center segment growth from 21.9% to 33.6%. However, we obtained a lower price target with a lower EV/EBITDA average of 18.44x from 23.4x previously as well as a higher discount rate. Though, Nvidia’s stock price had declined by 51% YTD which we believe presents an attractive upside for the company. Overall, we rate the company as a Strong Buy with a target price of $289.85.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}