While taking the same lift, my neighbour in his sixties stole a glance at me reviewing charts in Tiger App on my smartphone, and asked if I dabble in stock markets. I reply in affirmative and he invited me over to talk stocks and investment ideas over coffee. Found out he is quite an astute investor, and holds stocks that [might] huat big big! (Singlish for growth stock). But, he asked if I could recommend to him some chiong stocks (momentum stocks) in Singapore Exchange (SGX). Decided to take up his challenge; and as he said “My England not so powderful” (command of English is not very good), I strive to share–with sprinkling of Singlish in italics (and English translation in bracket)–my recommendation with the next door Uncle.I might be a tad lor sor (long-winded), so if where got t
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Zoom: Time of Gloom or Time to Bloom?【Earnings Season】
Zooming in on FundamentalsZoom Video Communications Inc., $Zoom(ZM)$ reports Q1 FY2023 earnings after market close on May 23. Key Metrics ZM. source: Zack'sFor Q1 FY2023, ZM is expected to report EPS estimate of $0.87 (-34.1%) from previous quarter year to year (y.o.y) and this decline contrasted sharply from over +560% in the previous reporting period. Consensus revenue estimate is expected to reach $1.073 Bil (+12.3% y.o.y) a massive slowdown from growth of +191.3% in the previous reporting period.The number of clients with over $100K revenue in TTM is used as a proxy for its ability to grow its corporate business. While it still grows at +49.9% y.o.y, it also represents a slowdown of over +150% in the previous reporting perio
Zoom: Time of Gloom or Time to Bloom?【Earnings Season】
Tesla Alpha and Bananas Split
Is $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ bananas (crazy) to contemplate a stock-split not even two years after the last one in Aug 2020? Let's see...Bananas to Split?Stock-split technically should have no effect on the company value. If one owned a share of TSLA, in a 5-to-1 split, one is issued four additional shares. The total number of TSLA shares outstanding increased by a factor of 5, and market re-set share price at one fifth of its previous level. The exercise left the value of one’s holdings, and market value unchanged. If there is a “pop” in share price, it's likely temporarily and short-lived, there could even be negative returns once the euphoria died down.This seems to be the conventional wisdom in US markets, with companies a
Tesla Alpha and Bananas Split
Home Depot Earnings: Home Run or Singles?
Home Depot, Inc $Home Depot(HD)$ reports Q2 FY2022 earnings before market open on Tue Mar 17, with EPS expected to be $3.65 (–5.4% year-on-year, y-o-y) and revenue estimated to reach $36.47 billion (–2.7% y-o-y).Fundamentals AdvantagesThe world’s largest home-improvement retailer based by revenue (2021 total sales was US$151.2 bil) operates 2,317 warehouse-style stores in US, Canada and Mexico, offering more than 30,000 products in store and 1 million products online. With economies of scale, wide selection of products, brand recognition and good relationship with suppliers, it has managed to keep cost low, and gained customers’ loyalty. Thus, it has a deep and wide economic moat that keep it ahead of its largest competitors, Lowe’s
Home Depot Earnings: Home Run or Singles?
C07 – a Singapore Stock that can ‘Chiong’
C07 – a Singapore Stock that can ‘Chiong’
Musk 3 : 1 Bezos World's Richest Man Match-up
I would like to explore how Elon Musk of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and Jeff Bezos of $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ fame would match-up, if they go head-to-head in four areas I think are key to determine who would be the richest man in the world, come 2023. Here goes….Source: Forbes, illustration by Wesley BedrosianSo our final score in this match-up is 3-to-1 in favour of Elon Musk. Jeff Bezos is certainly a worthy competitor and a very rich man. I really like what he said which I think is applicable to investing and trading as well. “I didn't think I'd regret trying and failing…and I suspe
Musk 3 : 1 Bezos World's Richest Man Match-up
S'pore Airlines - a Great Way to Fly Again?
Is Singapore Airlines (SIA) a great stock to invest in again? Let us see… Fundamentally still a Great Company?I have gravitated towards Technicals (TA) as charts and patterns allow me to visualise and make sense of price action easier. Fundamentals (FA) have me rather overwhelmed by the sheer amount of information to plough through. Luckily, found an FA site (simplywall.st) recently that uses radar charts and other infographics to give quick snapshot of a company investment profile, and I found helpful to decide if I want to delve deeper (not promoting its services, just sharing something novel, at least to me). So, for SIA, their radar chart –called snowflake analysis– showed visually it has: High Future growth prospect in next 1 to 3 years, Stock price is under-Valued Financial
S'pore Airlines - a Great Way to Fly Again?
SPX -What's next after historic drop?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ suffered a huge drop of close to 156 points on Apr 29 close. All in all, it has dropped –13.3% from Jan 4 all-time-high (ATH) closing high of 4793.54, the worst start to the year since 1939 (see table below).source: Compound Capital AdvisorsSo what’s in store for the Index, widely regarded as the barometer of the overall US stock market, this coming week?More VolatilityFirst, I’d expect volatility to remain high ($Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ last closed, 33.4) given more S&P 500 constituent companies reporting Q1 earnings, FOMC Meeting Fed rates decision mid-week, and NFP April jobs numbers to round off a big week.History LessonsHistori
SPX -What's next after historic drop?
Under Armour Earnings, rooting for the Underdog?
Under Armour, Inc. $Under Armour Class A(UAA)$, reports earnings before market open on Fri 6 May. The US sports footwear and apparel used to be much coveted, second only to Nike in US sales, and its stock a darling of analysts and investors. However, it has fallen out of favour on both counts, far below its heydays. Still, it is the fourth largest player in the sector globally (see below):source: alltopeverything Fundamental GameMain reasons for UAA steep decline in revenues and stock price from 2020 are: Affected by stores closure, and having to dispose excess inventory at huge discounts during pandemic, diluting brand value and putting pressure on margins Reluctance to enter the athleisure apparel segment durin
Under Armour Earnings, rooting for the Underdog?
Tesla vs the Tech Giants
TSLA – One-trick Pony? TSLA is essentially an Electric Vehicle (EV) company, albeit a very good one, and market leader. It innovates to control the whole ecosystem, e.g. fully self driving (FSD) software, batteries and charging tech, onboard entertainment, etc., but it is still within the confines of the EV ecosystem. While the sector is projected to have up to 23% CAGR through to 2027, the outlook beyond is murky. What is certain is EVs will be the dominant form of vehicle sometimes in the future, and by that time, TSLA might find itself in a mature, saturated market with limited growth, just as legacy automakers the likes of Toyota, GM or Volkswagen faced today. Further reading: Tesla Stock: 2022 Is The Moment Of Truth
Tesla vs the Tech Giants
Finding GEMs from ROIC
ROIC OnReturn on Invested Capital (ROIC) is a profitability ratio that measures the return that an investment generates for stockholders and investors. The higher the ROIC, the better the company is at turning capital into profits.Warren Buffett famously wrote in its 2007 shareholder letter that "A truly great business must have an enduring 'moat' that protects excellent returns on invested capital."Finding a company with a moat and great return on its invested capital however is tough, even for the Sage of Omaha, and ROIC purportedly is one of his favourite tool to find these gems.His iconic business partner Charlie Munger added that “…we prefer business that can write us a check (give out dividends) at the end of the year.” at 2008 Berkshire Hathaway An
Finding GEMs from ROIC
Sea Earnings –Coming out Swinging or Sinking? [Earnings Season]
Sea Limited, $Sea Ltd(SE)$ the global consumer internet company founded in Singapore reports earnings before market open on May 17. Consensus estimates for Q1 2022 are: Earnings Per Share of -$1.06 vs -$0.620 (-71.0% Year-on-Year, YoY) Total GAAP Revenue of $2.8 billion vs $1.76 billion (+58.8% YoY) SE operates three core businesses: Shopee, the largest mobile-centric E-Commerce (EC) platform in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, offers online shopping with integrated payment, sellers’ virtual shopfront and fulfilment services. It has also gained a strong foothold in selected Latin America countries, but have exited India and France markets. Garena, one of the largest Digital Entertainment (DE) platform provides PC and mobile online games, access to entertainment content, and eSports services
Sea Earnings –Coming out Swinging or Sinking? [Earnings Season]
JOBY –Tesla Meets Uber in the Sky
Joby Aviation, Inc. $Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$ is scheduled to report Q1 2022 earnings after market close on Thur May 12. The consensus EPS estimate is –$0.12 and the Revenue estimate is $0 mil.Wait $0, meaning no revenue?Yes, as the leader in the electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft (eVTOL) maker and operator is still in the pre-commercialisation stage of its development. It’s an intriguing story that might be worth few minutes of one’s time to read more, and one’s investment dollars.JOBY and eVTOLs Commercial StoryJOBY raised $1.6 billion when it went public through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) listing at NYSE in Aug 2021. It was valued at $6.6 billion after merging with SPAC Reinvent Technol
JOBY –Tesla Meets Uber in the Sky
'Sell in May and Go Away' they say...Well, there has been lots of Selling in the Stock Market in May, and my Profits Go, Going, have Gone Away…[Helpless] Maybe we can skip May next year, go from April straight to June [Glance]
Cisco, Steady as she Goes?【Earnings Season】
Cisco Systems, Inc. $Cisco(CSCO)$, the leading maker and seller of routers, switches, software and services for networking reports Q3 FY 2022 results after market close on May 18. It is expected to post consensus estimate EPS of $0.86 (+3.6%) year-on-year. Consensus revenue is expected to be $13.33 billion, (+4.1%) from the year-ago quarter.FundamentalityFrom the analyst estimates and actual results in previous quarter, any revenue and profit growth are expected to be modest in 2022.While there is still strong demand for CSCO networking products and services, with datacentres and upgrade to WiFi 6 compliant hardware cycle growing for the next few years, the upside is limited. This is exacerbated by current high inflation which rais
Cisco, Steady as she Goes?【Earnings Season】
"Yo-yo" Market!
It’s a dog’s life –trading since start of 2022 is not the most pleasant, with many “yo-yo” price actionTo be more accurate, it'd be “reverse yo-yo” as it swung up sharply one day before swinging sharply lower the next day, from May 4 to 5. But then, that’s two words. So, “Yo-yo” Market it is!Using $S&P 500(.SPX)$ as the proxy for the Market (see table below), its: Gain of +124.69 points on May 4, the 9th largest one day points gain on record since the Index started in 1957. Loss of –153.3 points on May 5 (following day), the 6th largest one day points loss on record! SPX largest daily point gains and losses. source: wikipediaMore “yo-yo” price action happened throughout the week of May 2 to 6. Price yo-yo-ed up and down i
"Yo-yo" Market!
Play the Long Game and Win
US Markets sold off last Friday June 10, due to hotter than expected inflation at 8.6% in May, stateside. All four major US indices have now clocked almost consecutive losing weeks, the likes not seen since the Great Depression in the 1930s (see Weekly charts from Tiger Desktop App below): Bellwether $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and tech-heavy $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ clocked 9 losing weeks in the last 11 weeks Dow $DJIA(.DJI)$ fared the worst with 10 losing weeks in 11. Small cap $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2203(RTYmain)$ performed better, but just, with 8 losi
Play the Long Game and Win
Fresh and chilled chicken were flying off the supermarket shelves and market stalls in Singapore, after the announcement that it would be losing supplies from one of its main supplier, her neighbour up north, for at least a-month from June 1.My chicken rice might look like below (1st picture). While the other major source of chicken (likely frozen, but still the same meat) is from Brazil, maybe there is more room to increase supplies from USA, who only made up 8% in 2021. Even in US, price of chicken feed (+14%), affected by the Ukraine-Russia conflict and demand from restaurant dining has soared, leading to highest price in years at $4.10/pound (+34%) according to USDA/Bloomberg (2nd picture), and a windfall for poultry producers. Last Fri May 27, the 3rd largest poultry produce
Microsoft the next Cloud & Gaming Giant?
Microsoft Corporation $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is reporting Q3 2022 earnings after market closed on Tue 26 Apr. Analysts generally expect positive beats on most metrics, but I bet they would be focusing on two particular segments’ forward guidance, cloud and gaming. Why? Read on...Cloud and Gaming SegmentsOver the past few years (see infographic), Azure, its server products and cloud services segment has been fuelling Microsoft growth, driven largely by the digitalisation and then the pandemic induced work-and-study at home economy. It’s now its biggest revenue generator at 31% share, surpassing Office (24%) and Windows (14%) segment. Windows growth would slow further, with PC shipments expected to decreased 5.1% this year,
Microsoft the next Cloud & Gaming Giant?
Taking an Alpha-Bet?
Alphabet, $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google's parent company, the 1.65 trillion market cap behemoth is reporting Q1 2022 earnings next Tue 26 Apr. Is it likely to outperform, generating alpha?Revenue Alpha?Analysts expect Alphabet to report revenue of $55.9 billion, up 22.7% from prior year quarter even if earnings per share is expected to dip to $25.52 (3%). For the full year, projected earnings per share is $116.75 (+4.06%) on revenue of $248.87 (+17.35%) from prior year.While about 80% of Alphabet’s revenue comes from advertising (Google Ads) its earnings are more resilient than say Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$, as it cornered 92% of the online search market from its
Taking an Alpha-Bet?
Join the Community and Discover some Gems…
While Tiger Trade App is available in both Mobile (Android, iOS) and Desktop (Windows, MacOS) platforms, I think the most commendable features are found in the all-in-one ‘super App’ for smartphones.Two features worth mentioning are the Community and Discover buttons, which I briefly explore below.Community Tapping on Community button will bring you to the For You tab where you see Trending or Featured posts. Tapping on other tabs will bring you to posts from fellow investors and traders you Follow, News, Live Events, Videos (pretty self-explanatory).You will have at your fingertips, instant access to latest information on stocks and options in your watchlists, to help you make more informed investing/trading decisions (see screenshot).Community Button in Tiger Trade MobileFeel
Join the Community and Discover some Gems…
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