S.Qing personal page - To The Moon

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2022-09-30

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美国知名商学院教授呼吁美联储——今晚加息100基点！

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👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055794410","repostId":"1112989094","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112989094","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1655298955,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112989094?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 21:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国知名商学院教授呼吁美联储——今晚加息100基点！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112989094","media":"Wind万得","summary":"沃顿商学院的杰里米•西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）呼吁美联储加息100个基点，并表示市场可能已经“接近底部”。这位宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授表示，美联储周三加息100个基点将会是\"遏制通","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>沃顿商学院的杰里米•西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）呼吁美联储加息100个基点，并表示市场可能已经“接近底部”。</p><p>这位宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授表示，美联储周三加息100个基点将会是&#34;遏制通胀的良药&#34;。</p><p>“美联储需要抓住遏制通胀的机会，虽然现在有些太晚了，”西格尔说。他打了个比方，称“现在状况需要吃药才能治好病。如果美联储放任不管，以后就得吃更多的药。”</p><p>随着5月份的年通货膨胀率达到8.6%的40年高点，市场对全球经济衰退的担忧在加大，因为各国央行需要采取更大幅度加息才能遏制通胀。</p><p>西格尔表示，美联储主席鲍威尔可以将7月份预期的50个基点的加息提前，并将其与6月份预期的50个基点结合起来，从而证明这种激进的举措是合理的。</p><p>Siegal表示，如果本周美联储没有采取有力措施，将向市场表明通胀并未得到控制。“如果鲍威尔只加息50个基点，我认为市场将会非常失望。然后投资者就会说，美联储对通胀没有控制权，他们走得不够快。”</p><p>Siegel称如果美联储将通胀问题扼杀在萌芽状态，随着投资者和企业将加息因素考虑在内并开始下调收益预期，市场可能会出现反弹。他称，在加息100个基点后，美联储就可以有时间来观察加息对经济影响。</p><p>他补充说，过度激进举措可能会引发严重的衰退。他补充说，事实上，金融市场已经考虑到2023年将出现温和衰退。</p><p>&#34;我认为市场将出现反弹，虽然很难确定市场底部，但我认为我们已经接近底部，&#34; Siegel说。 “合适的加息节奏将表明美联储正在采取措施阻止通货膨胀。如果我们早点结束这一紧缩周期， 2023年出现衰退的可能性也会降低。”</p><p>Siegel表示，如果美联储周三采取强硬措施，通胀应会在今年年底前降温，如果大宗商品价格开始跟随股市进入熊市，那么美国经济就在控制通胀的道路上。</p><p>西格尔补充说，流动性过剩和需求上升，主要由疫情导致的政府刺激措施推动是推动价格上涨的原因，尽管供应链限制也起到了一定作用。</p><p>在疫情最严重的2020年上半年，美国商业银行的存款账户激增了创纪录的2万亿美元，这反映了美国经济中流动的现金数量。仅在2020年4月，存款就增长了8650亿美元，超过了此前全年的记录。</p><p>他说:“那样的话，如果美联储可以更早地加息，就不会出现我们现在面临的通胀问题。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国知名商学院教授呼吁美联储——今晚加息100基点！</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国知名商学院教授呼吁美联储——今晚加息100基点！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 21:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>沃顿商学院的杰里米•西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）呼吁美联储加息100个基点，并表示市场可能已经“接近底部”。</p><p>这位宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授表示，美联储周三加息100个基点将会是&#34;遏制通胀的良药&#34;。</p><p>“美联储需要抓住遏制通胀的机会，虽然现在有些太晚了，”西格尔说。他打了个比方，称“现在状况需要吃药才能治好病。如果美联储放任不管，以后就得吃更多的药。”</p><p>随着5月份的年通货膨胀率达到8.6%的40年高点，市场对全球经济衰退的担忧在加大，因为各国央行需要采取更大幅度加息才能遏制通胀。</p><p>西格尔表示，美联储主席鲍威尔可以将7月份预期的50个基点的加息提前，并将其与6月份预期的50个基点结合起来，从而证明这种激进的举措是合理的。</p><p>Siegal表示，如果本周美联储没有采取有力措施，将向市场表明通胀并未得到控制。“如果鲍威尔只加息50个基点，我认为市场将会非常失望。然后投资者就会说，美联储对通胀没有控制权，他们走得不够快。”</p><p>Siegel称如果美联储将通胀问题扼杀在萌芽状态，随着投资者和企业将加息因素考虑在内并开始下调收益预期，市场可能会出现反弹。他称，在加息100个基点后，美联储就可以有时间来观察加息对经济影响。</p><p>他补充说，过度激进举措可能会引发严重的衰退。他补充说，事实上，金融市场已经考虑到2023年将出现温和衰退。</p><p>&#34;我认为市场将出现反弹，虽然很难确定市场底部，但我认为我们已经接近底部，&#34; Siegel说。 “合适的加息节奏将表明美联储正在采取措施阻止通货膨胀。如果我们早点结束这一紧缩周期， 2023年出现衰退的可能性也会降低。”</p><p>Siegel表示，如果美联储周三采取强硬措施，通胀应会在今年年底前降温，如果大宗商品价格开始跟随股市进入熊市，那么美国经济就在控制通胀的道路上。</p><p>西格尔补充说，流动性过剩和需求上升，主要由疫情导致的政府刺激措施推动是推动价格上涨的原因，尽管供应链限制也起到了一定作用。</p><p>在疫情最严重的2020年上半年，美国商业银行的存款账户激增了创纪录的2万亿美元，这反映了美国经济中流动的现金数量。仅在2020年4月，存款就增长了8650亿美元，超过了此前全年的记录。</p><p>他说:“那样的话，如果美联储可以更早地加息，就不会出现我们现在面临的通胀问题。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02a85629f2a809e4eabd8677140a5f70","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 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2023年出现衰退的可能性也会降低。”Siegel表示，如果美联储周三采取强硬措施，通胀应会在今年年底前降温，如果大宗商品价格开始跟随股市进入熊市，那么美国经济就在控制通胀的道路上。西格尔补充说，流动性过剩和需求上升，主要由疫情导致的政府刺激措施推动是推动价格上涨的原因，尽管供应链限制也起到了一定作用。在疫情最严重的2020年上半年，美国商业银行的存款账户激增了创纪录的2万亿美元，这反映了美国经济中流动的现金数量。仅在2020年4月，存款就增长了8650亿美元，超过了此前全年的记录。他说:“那样的话，如果美联储可以更早地加息，就不会出现我们现在面临的通胀问题。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984081299,"gmtCreate":1667488966411,"gmtModify":1676537926740,"author":{"id":"4104810307189880","authorId":"4104810307189880","name":"S.Qing","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104810307189880","authorIdStr":"4104810307189880"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02333\">$长城汽车(02333)$</a>","listText":"<a 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