Gaamy personal page - To The Moon

Gaamy

Gaamy

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2023-06-26

So difficult to get points

2023-06-26

Happy 9th Anniversary Tiger

@TigerEvents:Light up your investing with Tiger, play and win prizes worth up to USD 999

2023-04-10

More Disney Share egg please

2023-04-09

Good

@Tadhg 0DTE C:the best ever tiger brokers [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你]

2023-04-09

Good

@Tadhg 0DTE C:the best ever tiger brokers [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你]

2023-04-09

Noted

@Tadhg 0DTE C:the best ever tiger brokers [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你]

2023-04-09

Good

@Tadhg 0DTE C:the best ever tiger brokers [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你]

2023-04-09

Noted

@Tadhg 0DTE C:the best ever tiger brokers [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你]

2023-04-09

Ok

@Tadhg 0DTE C:the best ever tiger brokers [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你] [爱你]

2023-04-09

Awesome game like it

2023-04-08

More redemption chance please

2023-04-07

keeping with tradition

2023-04-07

Great event by tiger

@TigerEvents:【Game】Easter Egg Hunting with Tiger, Win Disney Shares and USD 120 Voucher

2023-03-28

Noted

@ShenGuang:Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis

2023-03-28

Good

@ShenGuang:Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis

2023-03-28

Ok

@ShenGuang:Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis

2023-03-28

Good

@ShenGuang:Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis

2023-03-28

Noted

@ShenGuang:Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis

2023-03-28

Ok

@ShenGuang:Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis

2023-03-26

Ok

@KYHBKO:News and my muse - Banking contagion, narratives, layoffs, RoboTaxi & AI

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Last week investors initially cheered Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s indications ab","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b520443d37f4c7ee717f74f98bf40d9c","width":"1158","height":"652"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941371572","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941101143,"gmtCreate":1680012057782,"gmtModify":1680012060793,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941101143","repostId":"9941371572","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941371572,"gmtCreate":1680009251697,"gmtModify":1680010985388,"author":{"id":"4114848768002772","authorId":"4114848768002772","name":"ShenGuang","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64825bedb4d401c1a1616d1f15c8a241","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114848768002772","authorIdStr":"4114848768002772"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold Rallies Amid Fears of Banking Crisis","htmlText":"After the sudden and rapid collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the Federal Government launched an emergency rescue of the U.S. banking system in an effort to halt the contagion of further collapses. Although the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) can intervene and cover bank losses, the banking sector was hard hit as the FDIC itself can run short of funds if number of banks collapse at once, because the FDIC deposit insurance fund is significantly smaller than the total deposits insured. The key question investors ask is whether the U.S. is willing to back all U.S. bank deposits after the sudden outflows contributed to the collapse of several U.S. regional banks over the past few weeks. Last week investors initially cheered Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s indications ab","listText":"After the sudden and rapid collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the Federal Government launched an emergency rescue of the U.S. banking system in an effort to halt the contagion of further collapses. Although the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) can intervene and cover bank losses, the banking sector was hard hit as the FDIC itself can run short of funds if number of banks collapse at once, because the FDIC deposit insurance fund is significantly smaller than the total deposits insured. The key question investors ask is whether the U.S. is willing to back all U.S. bank deposits after the sudden outflows contributed to the collapse of several U.S. regional banks over the past few weeks. Last week investors initially cheered Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s indications ab","text":"After the sudden and rapid collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the Federal Government launched an emergency rescue of the U.S. banking system in an effort to halt the contagion of further collapses. Although the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) can intervene and cover bank losses, the banking sector was hard hit as the FDIC itself can run short of funds if number of banks collapse at once, because the FDIC deposit insurance fund is significantly smaller than the total deposits insured. The key question investors ask is whether the U.S. is willing to back all U.S. bank deposits after the sudden outflows contributed to the collapse of several U.S. regional banks over the past few weeks. Last week investors initially cheered Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s indications ab","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b520443d37f4c7ee717f74f98bf40d9c","width":"1158","height":"652"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941371572","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941016550,"gmtCreate":1679838158470,"gmtModify":1679838162553,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941016550","repostId":"9941011359","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941011359,"gmtCreate":1679834624672,"gmtModify":1679837845412,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574381076586256","authorIdStr":"3574381076586256"},"themes":[],"title":"News and my muse - Banking contagion, narratives, layoffs, RoboTaxi & AI","htmlText":"News and my muse - Banking contagion, narratives, layoffs, RoboTaxi &amp; AI Avoid venture debt and have multi partners for key functions like banking.&nbsp; &lt;Market Watch&gt; The U.S. banking system’s market value of assets is $2 trillion lower than suggested by their book value of assets, accounting for loan portfolios held to maturity. &lt;CNBC&gt; A coalition of midsize U.S. banks, Mid-Size Bank Coalition of America (MBCA), has asked regulators to extend FDIC insurance to all deposits for the next two years &lt;Reuters&gt; S&amp;P cuts First Republic deeper into junk, says $30 billion infusion may not solve problems There are risks-reward for businesses and innovations. These need to be managed over a timeline, with a plan towards profitability. I prefer to invest after business has","listText":"News and my muse - Banking contagion, narratives, layoffs, RoboTaxi &amp; AI Avoid venture debt and have multi partners for key functions like banking.&nbsp; &lt;Market Watch&gt; The U.S. banking system’s market value of assets is $2 trillion lower than suggested by their book value of assets, accounting for loan portfolios held to maturity. &lt;CNBC&gt; A coalition of midsize U.S. banks, Mid-Size Bank Coalition of America (MBCA), has asked regulators to extend FDIC insurance to all deposits for the next two years &lt;Reuters&gt; S&amp;P cuts First Republic deeper into junk, says $30 billion infusion may not solve problems There are risks-reward for businesses and innovations. These need to be managed over a timeline, with a plan towards profitability. I prefer to invest after business has","text":"News and my muse - Banking contagion, narratives, layoffs, RoboTaxi & AI Avoid venture debt and have multi partners for key functions like banking. <Market Watch> The U.S. banking system’s market value of assets is $2 trillion lower than suggested by their book value of assets, accounting for loan portfolios held to maturity. <CNBC> A coalition of midsize U.S. banks, Mid-Size Bank Coalition of America (MBCA), has asked regulators to extend FDIC insurance to all deposits for the next two years <Reuters> S&P cuts First Republic deeper into junk, says $30 billion infusion may not solve problems There are risks-reward for businesses and innovations. These need to be managed over a timeline, with a plan towards profitability. I prefer to invest after business has","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ecc7aa17fac49ff0d298e5641acad3cc","width":"1456","height":"1090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941011359","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9032629692,"gmtCreate":1647357283078,"gmtModify":1676534220333,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I would go for China Tech Giants <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TCEHY\">$Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$</a>. Tesla have had a good run so far. I think it's a matter of time the frothy valuation comes down. China stocks has the opposite problemalthough it may have not seen the bottom yet. I would go with them on a long position.","listText":"I would go for China Tech Giants <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TCEHY\">$Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$</a>. Tesla have had a good run so far. I think it's a matter of time the frothy valuation comes down. China stocks has the opposite problemalthough it may have not seen the bottom yet. I would go with them on a long position.","text":"I would go for China Tech Giants $Alibaba(BABA)$$Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$. Tesla have had a good run so far. I think it's a matter of time the frothy valuation comes down. China stocks has the opposite problemalthough it may have not seen the bottom yet. I would go with them on a long position.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032629692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569011130326335","authorId":"3569011130326335","name":"超级点金圣手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9f9aa89d127f783f31ffba760ee09c4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569011130326335","authorIdStr":"3569011130326335"},"content":"Chinese stocks dare to buy now","text":"Chinese stocks dare to buy now","html":"Chinese stocks dare to buy now"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919338107,"gmtCreate":1663727004909,"gmtModify":1676537324549,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919338107","repostId":"1157331684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157331684","pubTimestamp":1663717564,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157331684?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157331684","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market st","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a week</li><li>Focus turned to short term as market stuck in range trading</li></ul><p>Betting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on where stocks are headed in the months ahead as news bombs hit the tape? You’re far from alone.</p><p>Stocks retreated Tuesday, with the S&amp;P 500 sinking more than 1% on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Wild daily market moves have been so common of late that options traders are loading up on short-term bets at a pace unseen in the post-lockdown era.</p><p>Over the past month, the average daily volume in derivatives contracts linked to the biggest ETF tracking the S&amp;P 500 (ticker SPY) with a maturity within one week spiked to the highest level since at least the start of 2020, data complied by Susquehanna International Group. By contrast, trading in long-dated contracts mostly slowed or stagnated.</p><p>Whether they’re directional wagers or intended as a hedge, it’s hard to tell. But the intense focus on the here and now may reflect a lack of conviction to trade options with longer maturities at a time when the market is stuck in a range. Add on top all the market-moving developments such as last week’s shocking inflation data, and it’s a recipe for traders to shorten their time horizon.</p><p>“There is clearly an enhanced focus on macro events like CPI and the FOMC,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna. “Macro events are driving markets and narratives appear to be turning on a dime. In this kind of an environment, it might make sense to use near-term options to express opinions.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ab5ab34a7a36f3393fa2ee712c60df\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"630\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Susquehanna Source: Susquehanna</span></p><p>To stock investors, the cluster of near-dated options means the cash market is more likely held hostage to the derivatives market. While a controversial narrative, Friday’s $3.2 trillion options expiration, for instance, was viewed in some circles as one catalyst worsening the equity selloff that’s sparked by the hotter-than-expected reading on the consumer price index.</p><p>This year has been a dangerous one for bulls and even bears with all the twists and turns. While the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points Wednesday, any damage from monetary tightening has yet to show up in broad corporate earnings. Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible.</p><p>One standout constant, however, is the market’s propensity to swing wildly around key economic data or policy events. Take Fed day, for instance. The S&amp;P 500 has moved an average 1.9% this year on the day when the central bank announced its policy decision. That’s about double an average for all Fed days in the previous three years.</p><p>Right now, the benchmark index was implied to move about 2% Wednesday, based on an at-the-money straddle strategy that buys an equal number of calls and puts with the same strike price and expiration date.</p><p>Forecasting 2022’s market has been a futile exercise for even professional prognosticators. While many strategists were forced to cut their year-end targets during the S&amp;P 500’s worst first half in five decades, the index has since largely been trapped in a range between 3,600 and 4,300.</p><p>With uncertainty lingering over the Fed’s monetary policy and its impact on the economy, strategists tracked by Bloomberg have shown divergent views on the stock market on a scale rarely seen in history.</p><p>While the long-term outlook remains murky, equities have become a one big trade where the obsession with economic data or Fed speech overwhelms company fundamentals. That backdrop, along with relatively inexpensive options, has contributed to the frenzy of bets on what’s coming in the days ahead, according to Brian Donlin, an equity derivatives strategist at Stifel Nicolaus &amp; Co.</p><p>“Option premiums are cheap relative to the moves we are seeing,” he said. “And we have clear consistent macro data points as catalysts more than ever.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Traders Gorge on Short-Term Stock Options as Fed Day Looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market stuck in range tradingBetting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/wall-street-traders-gorge-on-short-term-options-as-fed-day-looms?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157331684","content_text":"Trading volume spikes in SPY contracts maturing within a weekFocus turned to short term as market stuck in range tradingBetting on Federal Reserve-spurred market fireworks, but lack conviction on where stocks are headed in the months ahead as news bombs hit the tape? You’re far from alone.Stocks retreated Tuesday, with the S&P 500 sinking more than 1% on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Wild daily market moves have been so common of late that options traders are loading up on short-term bets at a pace unseen in the post-lockdown era.Over the past month, the average daily volume in derivatives contracts linked to the biggest ETF tracking the S&P 500 (ticker SPY) with a maturity within one week spiked to the highest level since at least the start of 2020, data complied by Susquehanna International Group. By contrast, trading in long-dated contracts mostly slowed or stagnated.Whether they’re directional wagers or intended as a hedge, it’s hard to tell. But the intense focus on the here and now may reflect a lack of conviction to trade options with longer maturities at a time when the market is stuck in a range. Add on top all the market-moving developments such as last week’s shocking inflation data, and it’s a recipe for traders to shorten their time horizon.“There is clearly an enhanced focus on macro events like CPI and the FOMC,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna. “Macro events are driving markets and narratives appear to be turning on a dime. In this kind of an environment, it might make sense to use near-term options to express opinions.”Source: Susquehanna Source: SusquehannaTo stock investors, the cluster of near-dated options means the cash market is more likely held hostage to the derivatives market. While a controversial narrative, Friday’s $3.2 trillion options expiration, for instance, was viewed in some circles as one catalyst worsening the equity selloff that’s sparked by the hotter-than-expected reading on the consumer price index.This year has been a dangerous one for bulls and even bears with all the twists and turns. While the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points Wednesday, any damage from monetary tightening has yet to show up in broad corporate earnings. Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible.One standout constant, however, is the market’s propensity to swing wildly around key economic data or policy events. Take Fed day, for instance. The S&P 500 has moved an average 1.9% this year on the day when the central bank announced its policy decision. That’s about double an average for all Fed days in the previous three years.Right now, the benchmark index was implied to move about 2% Wednesday, based on an at-the-money straddle strategy that buys an equal number of calls and puts with the same strike price and expiration date.Forecasting 2022’s market has been a futile exercise for even professional prognosticators. While many strategists were forced to cut their year-end targets during the S&P 500’s worst first half in five decades, the index has since largely been trapped in a range between 3,600 and 4,300.With uncertainty lingering over the Fed’s monetary policy and its impact on the economy, strategists tracked by Bloomberg have shown divergent views on the stock market on a scale rarely seen in history.While the long-term outlook remains murky, equities have become a one big trade where the obsession with economic data or Fed speech overwhelms company fundamentals. That backdrop, along with relatively inexpensive options, has contributed to the frenzy of bets on what’s coming in the days ahead, according to Brian Donlin, an equity derivatives strategist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co.“Option premiums are cheap relative to the moves we are seeing,” he said. “And we have clear consistent macro data points as catalysts more than ever.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9037547843,"gmtCreate":1648160862040,"gmtModify":1676534309849,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I prefer <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIO.AU\">$Rio Tinto Ltd(RIO.AU)$</a>and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BHP.AU\">$BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$</a>. These are twp&nbsp;of the&nbsp;largest mineral resources mining and processing companies in Australia. They&nbsp;offer&nbsp;dividend yield above 9%. Australian banks offerdecent returns too.&nbsp;","listText":"I prefer <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIO.AU\">$Rio Tinto Ltd(RIO.AU)$</a>and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BHP.AU\">$BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$</a>. These are twp&nbsp;of the&nbsp;largest mineral resources mining and processing companies in Australia. They&nbsp;offer&nbsp;dividend yield above 9%. Australian banks offerdecent returns too.&nbsp;","text":"I prefer $Rio Tinto Ltd(RIO.AU)$and $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$. These are twp of the largest mineral resources mining and processing companies in Australia. They offer dividend yield above 9%. Australian banks offerdecent returns too.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9037547843","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000466","authorId":"9000000000000466","name":"MR_Wu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67592890bebcf079461acc4e4e6ba6f6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000466","authorIdStr":"9000000000000466"},"content":"Is it too late to buy mining stocks now?","text":"Is it too late to buy mining stocks now?","html":"Is it too late to buy mining stocks now?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949908930,"gmtCreate":1678279319321,"gmtModify":1678279323867,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4140090365269462\">@a4xrbj1</a>:Imagine what will happen if Buffer or Mumger step down or even die before the step down. Stock price will slide down 20% for sure. Just look what happened when other icons died or stepped out of their company. Tesla is the best bet and will surely hit 1 trillion again sooner or later. Their growth plan is clear with a new factory (the largest in the world) in Mexico which will go after a huge marketsegment where they currently don't operate in.Add in Cybertruck launch this near plus the marketing frenzy it will create. Then a second new factory maybe in Indonesia, announcementof the next gen car towards the end of this year and I bet it's a trillion dollar company in 2023 again. Or go short against it and loose ;-)","listText":"//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4140090365269462\">@a4xrbj1</a>:Imagine what will happen if Buffer or Mumger step down or even die before the step down. Stock price will slide down 20% for sure. Just look what happened when other icons died or stepped out of their company. Tesla is the best bet and will surely hit 1 trillion again sooner or later. Their growth plan is clear with a new factory (the largest in the world) in Mexico which will go after a huge marketsegment where they currently don't operate in.Add in Cybertruck launch this near plus the marketing frenzy it will create. Then a second new factory maybe in Indonesia, announcementof the next gen car towards the end of this year and I bet it's a trillion dollar company in 2023 again. Or go short against it and loose ;-)","text":"//@a4xrbj1:Imagine what will happen if Buffer or Mumger step down or even die before the step down. Stock price will slide down 20% for sure. Just look what happened when other icons died or stepped out of their company. Tesla is the best bet and will surely hit 1 trillion again sooner or later. Their growth plan is clear with a new factory (the largest in the world) in Mexico which will go after a huge marketsegment where they currently don't operate in.Add in Cybertruck launch this near plus the marketing frenzy it will create. Then a second new factory maybe in Indonesia, announcementof the next gen car towards the end of this year and I bet it's a trillion dollar company in 2023 again. Or go short against it and loose ;-)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949908930","repostId":"1109123037","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1109123037","pubTimestamp":1678289407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109123037?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy That Could Be the Next Trillion-Dollar Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109123037","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"What will be the next trillion-dollar company? A few companies jump out on the list.Nvidia(NVDA) nea","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>What will be the next trillion-dollar company? A few companies jump out on the list.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA) neared this mark during the peak of the last cycle and thanks to its positioning in new market trends, will likely get there on the next bull cycle.</li><li><b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) was in the trillion-dollar club once before and can likely get there again.</li><li><b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(<b><u>BRK.B</u></b>, <b><u>BRK.A</u></b>) is the slow-and-steady pick and it’s that far away now, currently commanding a $700 billion valuation.</li></ul><p>The bear market has been punishing for stocks, crushing hopes and dolling out major losses. While many companies have held up okay, others continue to struggle. It makes investors wonder when we’ll see the next trillion-dollar company.</p><p>It wasn’t that long ago that a trillion-dollar market capitalization seemed unreachable. But before long, <b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ: <b>AAPL</b>) grazed a $3 trillion market cap. Then the whole market went south and the bear market really began to growl.</p><p>In any regard, the steep decline has many investors wondering what the next trillion-dollar company is and when we’ll see it.</p><p>There’s no way to know for sure — particularly on the “when” part of the equation — but here are the stocks that seem most likely to get there.</p><p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p><b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ: <b>NVDA</b>) was not all that far away from a $1 trillion market cap. At one point in December 2021, the company had a valuation north of $800 billion. It would have taken about a 20% rally for Nvidia to get there in the prior cycle.</p><p>While the stock went on to lose two-thirds of its value from peak to trough, it’s been on a robust rally since. Shares have rallied more than 100% off the recent low as investors continue to pile in.</p><p>Part of it seems like momentum driving the action, while some of it feels like “FOMO,” as investors fear missing out on the “next big stock” and the AI revolution, which Nvidia is helping to drive.</p><p>Because of its role in current technology, the company should continue to do quite well. The way CEO Jensen Huang positions the company in future technology trends <i>before</i> they become hot is why Nvidia has the potential to be one of the next trillion-dollar companies.</p><p><b>Tesla (TSLA)</b></p><p><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ: <b>TSLA</b>) is an easy and obvious name when looking for the next trillion-dollar company. Tesla should be on everyone’s list for the potential to hit this milestone, given that it has already done so before.</p><p>In 2021, Tesla sported a market cap north of $1.2 trillion. As recently as mid-September, shares were down just 24% from the all-time high. Then things came to an abrupt halt.</p><p>CEO Elon Musk bought Twitter, which only fueled Tesla’s decline as shares fell in five straight months and cratered more than 67% from the August high to the January low. When it finally bottomed near $100, Tesla stock was 75% below its all-time high.</p><p>Should it ever get there again — currently at $414.50 — it will represent a gain of just over 300% from the low.</p><p>While a global recession is the obvious risk, the company’s automotive and energy components continue to drive growth. For example, analysts expect 27% and 31% growth in 2023 and 2024, respectively.</p><p><b>Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B, BRK-A)</b></p><p>Last but not least, we have <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE: <b><u>BRK-A</u></b>, NYSE: <b><u>BRK-B</u></b>). However, there’re two main risks with this pick as the next trillion-dollar company. That are Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger.</p><p>While those two money managers may be the firm’s biggest assets, there are worries that when they are gone, they will turn into Berkshire’s biggest liabilities.</p><p>However, Buffett and Munger have built Berkshire into a powerhouse, as it has amassed a $700 billion market cap. At its highs, it sported a market cap of $800 billion. I believe Buffett &amp; Co. have built a system that will allow Berkshire to continue flourishing long after they have stepped down.</p><p>That goes for Berkshire’s impressive list of portfolio managers, but also for the company’s impressive investments. As the world continues to push forward, so too will Berkshire’s largest positions (and savvy deals) and eventually, that should tip the company into the trillion-dollar club.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy That Could Be the Next Trillion-Dollar Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy That Could Be the Next Trillion-Dollar Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-08 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/03/3-stocks-to-buy-that-could-be-the-next-trillion-dollar-company/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What will be the next trillion-dollar company? A few companies jump out on the list.Nvidia(NVDA) neared this mark during the peak of the last cycle and thanks to its positioning in new market trends, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/03/3-stocks-to-buy-that-could-be-the-next-trillion-dollar-company/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/03/3-stocks-to-buy-that-could-be-the-next-trillion-dollar-company/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109123037","content_text":"What will be the next trillion-dollar company? A few companies jump out on the list.Nvidia(NVDA) neared this mark during the peak of the last cycle and thanks to its positioning in new market trends, will likely get there on the next bull cycle.Tesla(TSLA) was in the trillion-dollar club once before and can likely get there again.Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B, BRK.A) is the slow-and-steady pick and it’s that far away now, currently commanding a $700 billion valuation.The bear market has been punishing for stocks, crushing hopes and dolling out major losses. While many companies have held up okay, others continue to struggle. It makes investors wonder when we’ll see the next trillion-dollar company.It wasn’t that long ago that a trillion-dollar market capitalization seemed unreachable. But before long, Apple(NASDAQ: AAPL) grazed a $3 trillion market cap. Then the whole market went south and the bear market really began to growl.In any regard, the steep decline has many investors wondering what the next trillion-dollar company is and when we’ll see it.There’s no way to know for sure — particularly on the “when” part of the equation — but here are the stocks that seem most likely to get there.Nvidia (NVDA)Nvidia(NASDAQ: NVDA) was not all that far away from a $1 trillion market cap. At one point in December 2021, the company had a valuation north of $800 billion. It would have taken about a 20% rally for Nvidia to get there in the prior cycle.While the stock went on to lose two-thirds of its value from peak to trough, it’s been on a robust rally since. Shares have rallied more than 100% off the recent low as investors continue to pile in.Part of it seems like momentum driving the action, while some of it feels like “FOMO,” as investors fear missing out on the “next big stock” and the AI revolution, which Nvidia is helping to drive.Because of its role in current technology, the company should continue to do quite well. The way CEO Jensen Huang positions the company in future technology trends before they become hot is why Nvidia has the potential to be one of the next trillion-dollar companies.Tesla (TSLA)Tesla(NASDAQ: TSLA) is an easy and obvious name when looking for the next trillion-dollar company. Tesla should be on everyone’s list for the potential to hit this milestone, given that it has already done so before.In 2021, Tesla sported a market cap north of $1.2 trillion. As recently as mid-September, shares were down just 24% from the all-time high. Then things came to an abrupt halt.CEO Elon Musk bought Twitter, which only fueled Tesla’s decline as shares fell in five straight months and cratered more than 67% from the August high to the January low. When it finally bottomed near $100, Tesla stock was 75% below its all-time high.Should it ever get there again — currently at $414.50 — it will represent a gain of just over 300% from the low.While a global recession is the obvious risk, the company’s automotive and energy components continue to drive growth. For example, analysts expect 27% and 31% growth in 2023 and 2024, respectively.Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B, BRK-A)Last but not least, we have Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE: BRK-A, NYSE: BRK-B). However, there’re two main risks with this pick as the next trillion-dollar company. That are Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger.While those two money managers may be the firm’s biggest assets, there are worries that when they are gone, they will turn into Berkshire’s biggest liabilities.However, Buffett and Munger have built Berkshire into a powerhouse, as it has amassed a $700 billion market cap. At its highs, it sported a market cap of $800 billion. I believe Buffett & Co. have built a system that will allow Berkshire to continue flourishing long after they have stepped down.That goes for Berkshire’s impressive list of portfolio managers, but also for the company’s impressive investments. As the world continues to push forward, so too will Berkshire’s largest positions (and savvy deals) and eventually, that should tip the company into the trillion-dollar club.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":88,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086048699,"gmtCreate":1650408334612,"gmtModify":1676534714240,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I agree prolonged lockdown could have negative impact to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>","listText":"I agree prolonged lockdown could have negative impact to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>","text":"I agree prolonged lockdown could have negative impact to $Alibaba(BABA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086048699","repostId":"1134362695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134362695","pubTimestamp":1650382064,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134362695?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-19 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: 3 Reasons To Sell In May And Go Away","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134362695","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations.Charlie Munger sold ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Alibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can&#39;t imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder&#39;s high growth expectations.</li><li>Charlie Munger sold half of his BABA shares, sensing the rough patch ahead.</li><li>BABA&#39;s volatility will sure test the loyalty of Softbank, BABA&#39;s largest shareholder.</li></ul><p>Executive Summary</p><p>This year, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) faces multiple revenue headwinds hampering its growth prospects. Management&#39;s growth initiatives have long-run potential but are too small to make a meaningful difference in the short and medium run. Alibaba&#39;s growth-oriented shareholder base will exacerbate a volatile market reaction over what we see as a disappointing earnings release in May.</p><p>Investment Thesis</p><p>News of Charlie Mungersellingsignificant portions of his Alibaba position doesn&#39;t come as a surprise. My last two articles offered a rebuttal of The Daily Journal (DJCO) mogul&#39;s investment thesis touting Alibaba&#39;s shares on news media, citing competitive advantage, growth, and &#34;value for the dollar invested.&#34; Hearing him, I realized that his investment thesis needed updating and, more importantly, how oblivious Alibaba&#39;s investors are to its new realities.</p><p>Until recently, Alibaba abused its market position to force merchants to sign exclusivity agreements, prohibiting them from marketing products on other platforms. What Charlie Munger thought was &#34;competitive advantage&#34; is, to a large extent, a monopoly that has come to an end after a brutal corruption and regulatory crackdown.</p><p>Munger also mentions a &#34;higher value of a dollar invested&#34; in Alibaba than its US and European counterparts. This hypothesis was true six months ago, but today, there are many western tech companies trading at discounts after the growth-to-value rotation.</p><p>Finally, the growth argument is also no longer helpful because of a maturing core segment and the low revenue base of growth drivers such as Cloud and the international market. The Q3 (December quarter) mediocre revenue growth mirrors these dynamics.</p><p>Revenue Trends</p><p>Alibaba investors should prepare for volatile quarterly results this May. Realizing the rough patch ahead, Munger shrank his position, and you should consider doing the same. As always, be careful using leverage. Contrary to popular opinion, Alibaba is not necessarily at the bottom.</p><p>Last month, growth-hungry shareholders weren&#39;t kind to the ticker after disappointing topline results, pushing shares to multi-year lows. Regardless of how much data and price multiples support your hypothesis, nothing can prevent shares from dipping again. Market prices are determined by supply and demand, and I believe there is a discrepancy between what Alibaba can deliver and what its shareholders expect in terms of growth.</p><p>The company faces three main headwinds:</p><ol><li>Macro-economic challenges</li><li>Maturing Chinese Market</li><li>Rising Competition</li></ol><p>The zero-COVID policy is squeezing China consumers, dragging down consumer confidence. Google &#34;China Lockdown,&#34; and you&#39;ll find chilling videos of desperate Chinese citizens struggling with lockdowns. In this video, Shanghai residents are heard screaming from their balconies in protest of the lockdowns, and they don&#39;t seem in the mood for shopping on Alibaba. Instead, they appear more concerned about increasing prices, lack of income, depleting savings, food shortages, and inadequate food rations. The economic environment is not accommodative for Alibaba to meet Wall Street&#39;s 33% 2022 revenue growth expectations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59845a06664129959a3d7afc696f959b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Revenue Estimates(Seeking Alpha)</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s macroeconomic challenges are the least of its troubles. One might argue that business cycles are temporary, similar to COVID policies, despite their short-term impact on this year&#39;s revenue. This would make a solid contrarian strategy, especially for those with a stomach to sit on losses for long periods of time, if it wasn&#39;t for the fundamental, long-term revenue disruption impacting Alibaba.</p><p>The China e-commerce &#34;CEC&#34; segment constitutes 70% of Alibaba&#39;s revenue. Annual active users now stand at 937 million against a total population of 1.4 billion, with 260 million below the age of 15, pointing to a saturated market. Last quarter, CEC grew 7%, a disappointing figure given it includes inorganic growth from the Sun Art acquisition, mirroring demographic challenges facing its core segment.</p><p>Management is trying to find growth in rural China. However, sales data from its competitor, Pinduoduo Inc. (PDD), which focuses on this market and posts 900 million annual active users, points to a weak purchasing power that is not enough to create meaningful growth.</p><p>The same goes for cloud computing and international markets, which, together with rural China expansion, represent the company&#39;s official growth strategy. The Cloud and International Segment represent 8% and 7% of total revenue. For these segments to compensate for a 10% decrease in core operations, both need to grow by 50% just for revenue to remain constant, still a hard-to-swallow proposition for a growth-hungry shareholder base.</p><p>I don&#39;t believe that those buying the dip had enough time to analyze and study the company&#39;s revenue trends and drivers. Alibaba&#39;s fall was abrupt, accelerated by a brutal anti-monopoly crackdown that permanently changed the IT competitive landscape in favor of smaller peers. While new investors are showing courage in buying the dip, management is terrified, as reflected in merchant subsidies, which dragged net income 74% last quarter in an unsustainable attempt to maintain revenue and users.</p><p>Cash Flow And Share Buybacks</p><p>Fundamentally, Alibaba&#39;s business model is sound, generating lucrative, scalable operating cash flows that encouraged the e-commerce giant to extend a share buyback program last month. Alibaba&#39;s challenges stem from its inability to manage investors&#39; expectations. Historically, Alibaba attracted a growth-oriented shareholder base, and now that its core operations are maturing, management is finding it hard to communicate its transitionary state to shareholders. Investor presentations still market Alibaba as a growth company.</p><p>The problem is that many are falling for it. A few weeks ago, Kevin O&#39;Leary was touting his new Alibaba position, citing the growth potential of Chinese tech. Munger and O&#39;Leary are representative of this growth-hungry shareholder base.</p><p>How Loyal Is Softbank</p><p>SoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) owns about a third of Alibaba&#39;s share, rendering the Japanese financial giant its largest shareholder. Softbank is known for its risk-taking and support for emerging tech companies. However, its participation in early capital-raising cycles means the dollar-average price of its position is far less than ordinary investors. For example, in FQ4 2021, Softbank reported a $558 million gain on selling some Alibaba shares, despite the ticker&#39;s selloff.</p><p>Softbank is facing renewed capitalization issues. The Japanese lender might be forced to sell Alibaba stock, especially if shares tumble further after a potentially disappointing earnings release. One thing is for sure, and the current situation is testing Softbank&#39;s loyalty to Alibaba.</p><p>Summary</p><p>Alibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can&#39;t imagine a scenario where Alibaba delivers on its shareholder&#39;s high growth expectations. The Chinese economy, where Alibaba generates most of its income, struggles with rising COVID cases and rigid lockdown rules. The timing couldn&#39;t be worse for Alibaba, currently toiling with new regulations that stripped it from its &#34;competitive advantage.&#34; The core segment, i.e., China e-commerce, has reached maturity with 973 million users.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: 3 Reasons To Sell In May And Go Away</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: 3 Reasons To Sell In May And Go Away\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-19 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4502007-alibaba-3-reasons-to-sell-in-may-and-go-away><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations.Charlie Munger sold ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4502007-alibaba-3-reasons-to-sell-in-may-and-go-away\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4502007-alibaba-3-reasons-to-sell-in-may-and-go-away","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134362695","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations.Charlie Munger sold half of his BABA shares, sensing the rough patch ahead.BABA's volatility will sure test the loyalty of Softbank, BABA's largest shareholder.Executive SummaryThis year, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) faces multiple revenue headwinds hampering its growth prospects. Management's growth initiatives have long-run potential but are too small to make a meaningful difference in the short and medium run. Alibaba's growth-oriented shareholder base will exacerbate a volatile market reaction over what we see as a disappointing earnings release in May.Investment ThesisNews of Charlie Mungersellingsignificant portions of his Alibaba position doesn't come as a surprise. My last two articles offered a rebuttal of The Daily Journal (DJCO) mogul's investment thesis touting Alibaba's shares on news media, citing competitive advantage, growth, and \"value for the dollar invested.\" Hearing him, I realized that his investment thesis needed updating and, more importantly, how oblivious Alibaba's investors are to its new realities.Until recently, Alibaba abused its market position to force merchants to sign exclusivity agreements, prohibiting them from marketing products on other platforms. What Charlie Munger thought was \"competitive advantage\" is, to a large extent, a monopoly that has come to an end after a brutal corruption and regulatory crackdown.Munger also mentions a \"higher value of a dollar invested\" in Alibaba than its US and European counterparts. This hypothesis was true six months ago, but today, there are many western tech companies trading at discounts after the growth-to-value rotation.Finally, the growth argument is also no longer helpful because of a maturing core segment and the low revenue base of growth drivers such as Cloud and the international market. The Q3 (December quarter) mediocre revenue growth mirrors these dynamics.Revenue TrendsAlibaba investors should prepare for volatile quarterly results this May. Realizing the rough patch ahead, Munger shrank his position, and you should consider doing the same. As always, be careful using leverage. Contrary to popular opinion, Alibaba is not necessarily at the bottom.Last month, growth-hungry shareholders weren't kind to the ticker after disappointing topline results, pushing shares to multi-year lows. Regardless of how much data and price multiples support your hypothesis, nothing can prevent shares from dipping again. Market prices are determined by supply and demand, and I believe there is a discrepancy between what Alibaba can deliver and what its shareholders expect in terms of growth.The company faces three main headwinds:Macro-economic challengesMaturing Chinese MarketRising CompetitionThe zero-COVID policy is squeezing China consumers, dragging down consumer confidence. Google \"China Lockdown,\" and you'll find chilling videos of desperate Chinese citizens struggling with lockdowns. In this video, Shanghai residents are heard screaming from their balconies in protest of the lockdowns, and they don't seem in the mood for shopping on Alibaba. Instead, they appear more concerned about increasing prices, lack of income, depleting savings, food shortages, and inadequate food rations. The economic environment is not accommodative for Alibaba to meet Wall Street's 33% 2022 revenue growth expectations.Alibaba Revenue Estimates(Seeking Alpha)Alibaba's macroeconomic challenges are the least of its troubles. One might argue that business cycles are temporary, similar to COVID policies, despite their short-term impact on this year's revenue. This would make a solid contrarian strategy, especially for those with a stomach to sit on losses for long periods of time, if it wasn't for the fundamental, long-term revenue disruption impacting Alibaba.The China e-commerce \"CEC\" segment constitutes 70% of Alibaba's revenue. Annual active users now stand at 937 million against a total population of 1.4 billion, with 260 million below the age of 15, pointing to a saturated market. Last quarter, CEC grew 7%, a disappointing figure given it includes inorganic growth from the Sun Art acquisition, mirroring demographic challenges facing its core segment.Management is trying to find growth in rural China. However, sales data from its competitor, Pinduoduo Inc. (PDD), which focuses on this market and posts 900 million annual active users, points to a weak purchasing power that is not enough to create meaningful growth.The same goes for cloud computing and international markets, which, together with rural China expansion, represent the company's official growth strategy. The Cloud and International Segment represent 8% and 7% of total revenue. For these segments to compensate for a 10% decrease in core operations, both need to grow by 50% just for revenue to remain constant, still a hard-to-swallow proposition for a growth-hungry shareholder base.I don't believe that those buying the dip had enough time to analyze and study the company's revenue trends and drivers. Alibaba's fall was abrupt, accelerated by a brutal anti-monopoly crackdown that permanently changed the IT competitive landscape in favor of smaller peers. While new investors are showing courage in buying the dip, management is terrified, as reflected in merchant subsidies, which dragged net income 74% last quarter in an unsustainable attempt to maintain revenue and users.Cash Flow And Share BuybacksFundamentally, Alibaba's business model is sound, generating lucrative, scalable operating cash flows that encouraged the e-commerce giant to extend a share buyback program last month. Alibaba's challenges stem from its inability to manage investors' expectations. Historically, Alibaba attracted a growth-oriented shareholder base, and now that its core operations are maturing, management is finding it hard to communicate its transitionary state to shareholders. Investor presentations still market Alibaba as a growth company.The problem is that many are falling for it. A few weeks ago, Kevin O'Leary was touting his new Alibaba position, citing the growth potential of Chinese tech. Munger and O'Leary are representative of this growth-hungry shareholder base.How Loyal Is SoftbankSoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) owns about a third of Alibaba's share, rendering the Japanese financial giant its largest shareholder. Softbank is known for its risk-taking and support for emerging tech companies. However, its participation in early capital-raising cycles means the dollar-average price of its position is far less than ordinary investors. For example, in FQ4 2021, Softbank reported a $558 million gain on selling some Alibaba shares, despite the ticker's selloff.Softbank is facing renewed capitalization issues. The Japanese lender might be forced to sell Alibaba stock, especially if shares tumble further after a potentially disappointing earnings release. One thing is for sure, and the current situation is testing Softbank's loyalty to Alibaba.SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where Alibaba delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations. The Chinese economy, where Alibaba generates most of its income, struggles with rising COVID cases and rigid lockdown rules. The timing couldn't be worse for Alibaba, currently toiling with new regulations that stripped it from its \"competitive advantage.\" The core segment, i.e., China e-commerce, has reached maturity with 973 million users.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568289699694682","authorId":"3568289699694682","name":"CY09","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/255620aa2e5fd3021c4bb2119b0e1625","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568289699694682","authorIdStr":"3568289699694682"},"content":"Too many negatives baked into Chinese stocks","text":"Too many negatives baked into Chinese stocks","html":"Too many negatives baked into Chinese stocks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035058061,"gmtCreate":1647476603090,"gmtModify":1676534234522,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I believe they have bottomed out. It's was ona free fall due to external factors i.e&nbsp;regulatory crackdown, covid, inflation, ukraine&nbsp;war, speculation on sanctions on China etc. they stocks did not have any support level as a result.&nbsp;However, the Chinese government Statement brought back investors confidence that it will do everything in it's power to help&nbsp;its tech companies including the foreign listed ones.&nbsp;","listText":"I believe they have bottomed out. It's was ona free fall due to external factors i.e&nbsp;regulatory crackdown, covid, inflation, ukraine&nbsp;war, speculation on sanctions on China etc. they stocks did not have any support level as a result.&nbsp;However, the Chinese government Statement brought back investors confidence that it will do everything in it's power to help&nbsp;its tech companies including the foreign listed ones.&nbsp;","text":"I believe they have bottomed out. It's was ona free fall due to external factors i.e regulatory crackdown, covid, inflation, ukraine war, speculation on sanctions on China etc. they stocks did not have any support level as a result. However, the Chinese government Statement brought back investors confidence that it will do everything in it's power to help its tech companies including the foreign listed ones.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035058061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000183","authorId":"9000000000000183","name":"tinkie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba8aa4cb116251d941ecb460f20f465b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000183","authorIdStr":"9000000000000183"},"content":"It was really hot last night. Chinese concept stocks rebounded 39 points, which was too strong.","text":"It was really hot last night. Chinese concept stocks rebounded 39 points, which was too strong.","html":"It was really hot last night. Chinese concept stocks rebounded 39 points, which was too strong."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9028192141,"gmtCreate":1653182007083,"gmtModify":1676535235368,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9028192141","repostId":"2237028702","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2237028702","pubTimestamp":1653192000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2237028702?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-22 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Ridiculous Times Indeed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2237028702","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryA friendly reminder that Nvidia will be reporting FQ1'23 earnings on 25 May 2022.In light of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A friendly reminder that Nvidia will be reporting FQ1&#39;23 earnings on 25 May 2022.</li><li>In light of macro issues and the collapse of the cryptocurrency market, we expect short-term pain ahead.</li><li>As a result, we encourage patience for NVDA investors for now, given the recent market consolidation.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d7343c8a58ddc860a09d49a813086a1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Diamond Dogs/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is expected to report earnings for FQ1&#39;23 on 25 May 2022. However, investors should not be rushing to play the earnings game, considering the macro pessimism. Furthermore, given how NVDA had been closely tied to the cryptocurrency mining, we may expect reduced sales moving forward, seeing how the whole market had lost over $1T of combined value in recent days.</p><p>However, we encourage NVDA investors to ignore the noise as the stock remains a solid investment for the next decade. Nonetheless, please do not buy the dip as we expect the stock to retrace in the next few weeks, as the market grapples with the macro pessimism and crypto crash.</p><p><b>Why Did NVDA Fall From Grace?</b></p><p><b>NVDA Revenue, Net Income, and Gross Margin</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c8b7f527622943487f298f58aec0a8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>Pre-pandemic, NVDA had grown its revenue and net income at a steady CAGR of 16.44% and 18.9%. It obviously grew exponentially in the past two years, given the massive demand for personal devices due to the increased remote work/ study/ entertainment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, NVDA grew its revenues at a tremendous CAGR of 57.05%, while its net income rose even faster at a CAGR of 86.94%. The company also steadily improved its gross margins from 58.8% in FY2017 to 64.9% in FY2022.</p><p><b>NVDA 5Y Stock Price</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41f98282f6ea46ae8ad6b84c285f70dc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>As a result, it is evident that NVDA investors had benefited from its stellar growth, given that the stock had risen by 580% in the past two years, before the drastic moderation that occurred in late 2021.</p><p><b>NVDA 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb56f00646af22e85bd8a43914c1b14a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>However, we believe that the market correction is expected, given that NVDA was trading at ridiculous valuations at its peak, with EV/NTM Revenue of 28x and NTM P/E of 72.98x. That is way higher than Intel&#39;s (INTC) valuation of EV/NTM Revenue of 4.19x and NTM P/E of 15.47x in the past three years, and even AMD (AMD) at 10.59x and 65.39x, respectively. In hindsight, it is evident that NVDA has been highly (maybe over) valued, given its exposure to multiple market segments, such as AI technology, autonomous EVs, cloud computing servers, cryptocurrency, and metaverse, amongst others.</p><p>Nonetheless, we may also see a short-term impact, given Meta&#39;s (FB) slowing investments in the Reality Labs ( metaverse),reduced demand for GPUs from the crypto mining, and impacted auto production outputs from China&#39;s Zero Covid Policy. As a result, given the uncertainties, we expect the pain to continue for a while longer as the market consolidates in the next few quarters.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NVDA, which would help you better understand its market opportunities in the AI technology, automotive, and data center industries.</p><p><b>NVDA Is Still Investing In Growth, Though We See Short-Term Impacts</b></p><p><b>NVDA Cash/ Equivalents, FCF, and FCF Margins</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdb6487d84c744bc4e43411a3930b4d1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>Nonetheless, NVDA has been an excellent Free Cash Flow (FCF) generator, while reporting its record-breaking FCF of $8.13B and FCF margins of 30.2% in FY2022. The company also ended the year with a decent $1.99B of cash and equivalents, which will prove helpful for its expanding R&amp;D expenses at an average of 21.5% to its annual revenues in the past five years.</p><p><b>NVDA R&amp;D Expenses and % to Revenue</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2295ab78fcdb724f700193b47538ade\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>Assuming that NVDA continues its reinvestments, we may expect the company to spend up to $7.4B in R&amp;D expenses for FY2023. As an investor myself, I believe that high-growth tech companies, such as NVDA, should build up their future capabilities and product innovations, to keep their advantage in the highly competitive semiconductor industry moving forward. Nonetheless, the risks are also inherent that many companies may slow down their Capex investments in the next few quarters, given the impending recession and rising interest rates. Consequently, NVDA may also reduce its R&amp;D expenses for the short term, given the potential deceleration in revenue growth.</p><p><b>NVDA Projected Revenue and Net Income</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2badc1948a2e2ab65b118973f20c6a4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>Over the next three years, NVDA is expected to report impressive revenue and net income growth at a CAGR of 18.99% and 27.19%, respectively. For FY2023, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $34.77B and a net income of $14.39B, representing remarkable YoY growth of 29.2% and 47.5%, respectively.</p><p>Investors will be looking closely at NVDA&#39;s FQ1&#39;23 performance, in which it had guided for revenues of $8.1B and gross margins of 65.2%. Assuming that the company successfully smashed its own and consensus estimates of $8.09B, we can be sure of a short-term recovery. However, it is also important to note that NVDA is expected to record a one-time write-off worth $1.36B for the quarter, due to the collapse of the ARM acquisition. In addition, given the quarter&#39;s exposure to the prolonged lockdowns in China, NVDA&#39;s revenue may also be impacted negatively. As a result, we expect a mixed FQ1&#39;23 performance, potentially leading to a further decline in its stock performance. We shall see.</p><p><b>So, Is NVDA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</b></p><p>NVDA is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 11.93x, and NTM P/E of 30x, lower than its 5Y mean of 13.34x and 39.91x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $171.24 on 19 May 2022, down 50% from 52 weeks high of $346.47. Given the recent market pessimism, there is a likelihood that the stock may retrace further below its 52 weeks low of $135.43 in the next few days, before recovering upon a positive catalyst, namely its FQ1&#39;23 earnings call on 25 May 2022.</p><p>Even then, the NVDA stock could potentially remain stagnant post-earnings, similar to its peer, AMD. The latter had reported stellar FQ1&#39;22 earnings, while also raising its FY2022 guidance. In response, the stock rose by 9% from $91.13 to $99.42 on 3 May 2022, before drifting sideways for the next two weeks to reach $96.67 on 19 May 2022. We can be sure that if such an upbeat earnings call had occurred during the heights of the pandemic, AMD would have seen a more pronounced growth in valuation and stock price, similar to the 25% growth after FQ3&#39;21 earnings and 15% growth after FQ2&#39;21 earnings. As a result, interested tech investors must be aware that we are in the midst of maximum pain, significantly worsened by the cryptocurrency winter, the ongoing Ukraine war, and China&#39;s Zero Covid Policy.</p><p>Given the uncertainties and reasons listed above, we may expect softer FQ2&#39;23 guidance from NVDA&#39;s management as well. Though the stock may seem an attractive buy at its current &#34;undervaluation,&#34; given its growth potential and promising pipeline, we would encourage prudence for now. We expect a more attractive entry point moving forward, after more clarity from its FQ1&#39;23 earnings call. Patient investors will be awarded.</p><p>Therefore, we <i>rate NVDA stock as a Hold for now.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Ridiculous Times Indeed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Ridiculous Times Indeed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-22 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513449-nvidia-ridiculous-times-indeed><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA friendly reminder that Nvidia will be reporting FQ1'23 earnings on 25 May 2022.In light of macro issues and the collapse of the cryptocurrency market, we expect short-term pain ahead.As a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513449-nvidia-ridiculous-times-indeed\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513449-nvidia-ridiculous-times-indeed","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2237028702","content_text":"SummaryA friendly reminder that Nvidia will be reporting FQ1'23 earnings on 25 May 2022.In light of macro issues and the collapse of the cryptocurrency market, we expect short-term pain ahead.As a result, we encourage patience for NVDA investors for now, given the recent market consolidation.Diamond Dogs/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment ThesisNvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is expected to report earnings for FQ1'23 on 25 May 2022. However, investors should not be rushing to play the earnings game, considering the macro pessimism. Furthermore, given how NVDA had been closely tied to the cryptocurrency mining, we may expect reduced sales moving forward, seeing how the whole market had lost over $1T of combined value in recent days.However, we encourage NVDA investors to ignore the noise as the stock remains a solid investment for the next decade. Nonetheless, please do not buy the dip as we expect the stock to retrace in the next few weeks, as the market grapples with the macro pessimism and crypto crash.Why Did NVDA Fall From Grace?NVDA Revenue, Net Income, and Gross MarginS&P Capital IQPre-pandemic, NVDA had grown its revenue and net income at a steady CAGR of 16.44% and 18.9%. It obviously grew exponentially in the past two years, given the massive demand for personal devices due to the increased remote work/ study/ entertainment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, NVDA grew its revenues at a tremendous CAGR of 57.05%, while its net income rose even faster at a CAGR of 86.94%. The company also steadily improved its gross margins from 58.8% in FY2017 to 64.9% in FY2022.NVDA 5Y Stock PriceSeeking AlphaAs a result, it is evident that NVDA investors had benefited from its stellar growth, given that the stock had risen by 580% in the past two years, before the drastic moderation that occurred in late 2021.NVDA 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQHowever, we believe that the market correction is expected, given that NVDA was trading at ridiculous valuations at its peak, with EV/NTM Revenue of 28x and NTM P/E of 72.98x. That is way higher than Intel's (INTC) valuation of EV/NTM Revenue of 4.19x and NTM P/E of 15.47x in the past three years, and even AMD (AMD) at 10.59x and 65.39x, respectively. In hindsight, it is evident that NVDA has been highly (maybe over) valued, given its exposure to multiple market segments, such as AI technology, autonomous EVs, cloud computing servers, cryptocurrency, and metaverse, amongst others.Nonetheless, we may also see a short-term impact, given Meta's (FB) slowing investments in the Reality Labs ( metaverse),reduced demand for GPUs from the crypto mining, and impacted auto production outputs from China's Zero Covid Policy. As a result, given the uncertainties, we expect the pain to continue for a while longer as the market consolidates in the next few quarters.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NVDA, which would help you better understand its market opportunities in the AI technology, automotive, and data center industries.NVDA Is Still Investing In Growth, Though We See Short-Term ImpactsNVDA Cash/ Equivalents, FCF, and FCF MarginsS&P Capital IQNonetheless, NVDA has been an excellent Free Cash Flow (FCF) generator, while reporting its record-breaking FCF of $8.13B and FCF margins of 30.2% in FY2022. The company also ended the year with a decent $1.99B of cash and equivalents, which will prove helpful for its expanding R&D expenses at an average of 21.5% to its annual revenues in the past five years.NVDA R&D Expenses and % to RevenueS&P Capital IQAssuming that NVDA continues its reinvestments, we may expect the company to spend up to $7.4B in R&D expenses for FY2023. As an investor myself, I believe that high-growth tech companies, such as NVDA, should build up their future capabilities and product innovations, to keep their advantage in the highly competitive semiconductor industry moving forward. Nonetheless, the risks are also inherent that many companies may slow down their Capex investments in the next few quarters, given the impending recession and rising interest rates. Consequently, NVDA may also reduce its R&D expenses for the short term, given the potential deceleration in revenue growth.NVDA Projected Revenue and Net IncomeS&P Capital IQOver the next three years, NVDA is expected to report impressive revenue and net income growth at a CAGR of 18.99% and 27.19%, respectively. For FY2023, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $34.77B and a net income of $14.39B, representing remarkable YoY growth of 29.2% and 47.5%, respectively.Investors will be looking closely at NVDA's FQ1'23 performance, in which it had guided for revenues of $8.1B and gross margins of 65.2%. Assuming that the company successfully smashed its own and consensus estimates of $8.09B, we can be sure of a short-term recovery. However, it is also important to note that NVDA is expected to record a one-time write-off worth $1.36B for the quarter, due to the collapse of the ARM acquisition. In addition, given the quarter's exposure to the prolonged lockdowns in China, NVDA's revenue may also be impacted negatively. As a result, we expect a mixed FQ1'23 performance, potentially leading to a further decline in its stock performance. We shall see.So, Is NVDA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?NVDA is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 11.93x, and NTM P/E of 30x, lower than its 5Y mean of 13.34x and 39.91x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $171.24 on 19 May 2022, down 50% from 52 weeks high of $346.47. Given the recent market pessimism, there is a likelihood that the stock may retrace further below its 52 weeks low of $135.43 in the next few days, before recovering upon a positive catalyst, namely its FQ1'23 earnings call on 25 May 2022.Even then, the NVDA stock could potentially remain stagnant post-earnings, similar to its peer, AMD. The latter had reported stellar FQ1'22 earnings, while also raising its FY2022 guidance. In response, the stock rose by 9% from $91.13 to $99.42 on 3 May 2022, before drifting sideways for the next two weeks to reach $96.67 on 19 May 2022. We can be sure that if such an upbeat earnings call had occurred during the heights of the pandemic, AMD would have seen a more pronounced growth in valuation and stock price, similar to the 25% growth after FQ3'21 earnings and 15% growth after FQ2'21 earnings. As a result, interested tech investors must be aware that we are in the midst of maximum pain, significantly worsened by the cryptocurrency winter, the ongoing Ukraine war, and China's Zero Covid Policy.Given the uncertainties and reasons listed above, we may expect softer FQ2'23 guidance from NVDA's management as well. Though the stock may seem an attractive buy at its current \"undervaluation,\" given its growth potential and promising pipeline, we would encourage prudence for now. We expect a more attractive entry point moving forward, after more clarity from its FQ1'23 earnings call. Patient investors will be awarded.Therefore, we rate NVDA stock as a Hold for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072273750,"gmtCreate":1658049774470,"gmtModify":1676536098805,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for him","listText":"Good for him","text":"Good for him","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072273750","repostId":"2249540083","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249540083","pubTimestamp":1658021139,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249540083?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-17 09:25","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249540083","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda&#39;s giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.</p><p>Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang&#39;s company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.</p><p>But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: &#34;I&#39;m confident that we will overcome this.&#34;</p><p>And he did.</p><p>Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.</p><p>Crucially: the man nicknamed &#39;Big Shot&#39; in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.</p><p>Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.</p><p>&#34;Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,&#34; Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. &#34;It&#39;s just heart warming.&#34;</p><p>This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.</p><h2>Massive short squeeze</h2><p>Mr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan&#39;s production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.</p><p>On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan&#39;s headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn&#39;t leave until early the next morning.</p><p>More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals &#39;visionary&#39; who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fears</p><p>The crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang&#39;s position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.</p><p>The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.</p><p>To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.</p><p>Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he&#39;d built Tsingshan into the world&#39;s largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China&#39;s east coast. Along the way, he&#39;d acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.</p><p>The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn&#39;t pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.</p><p>Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.</p><p>If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What&#39;s more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn&#39;t clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan&#39;s most valuable assets.</p><p>JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.</p><h2>Personal guarantee</h2><p>Mr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.</p><p>Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn&#39;t enough. They wouldn&#39;t be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn&#39;t seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.</p><p>So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn&#39;t pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.</p><p>More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market&#39;s darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continues</p><p>It wasn&#39;t much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.</p><p>When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.</p><p>The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange&#39;s regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME&#39;s decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange&#39;s six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.</p><p>Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.</p><p>It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn&#39;t.</p><p>Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China&#39;s lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.</p><p>By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.</p><p>By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.</p><p>People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan&#39;s losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn&#39;t concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.</p><p>Now &#39;Big Shot&#39; is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.</p><p>And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.</p><p>&#34;A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,&#34; he says. &#34;The market is still functioning, but it&#39;s struggling.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-17 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIC.AU":"Nickel Industries Ltd","NICK.UK":"镍ETF","JJN":"镍ETN-iPath"},"source_url":"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249540083","content_text":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang's company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: \"I'm confident that we will overcome this.\"And he did.Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.Crucially: the man nicknamed 'Big Shot' in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.\"Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,\" Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. \"It's just heart warming.\"This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.Massive short squeezeMr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan's production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia's invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan's headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn't leave until early the next morning.More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals 'visionary' who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fearsThe crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang's position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he'd built Tsingshan into the world's largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China's east coast. Along the way, he'd acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn't pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What's more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn't clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan's most valuable assets.JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.Personal guaranteeMr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn't enough. They wouldn't be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn't seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn't pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market's darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continuesIt wasn't much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange's regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME's decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange's six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn't.Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China's lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan's losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn't concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.Now 'Big Shot' is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.\"A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,\" he says. \"The market is still functioning, but it's struggling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086421126,"gmtCreate":1650493834375,"gmtModify":1676534734768,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for thought&nbsp;","listText":"Good for thought&nbsp;","text":"Good for thought","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086421126","repostId":"1105569285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105569285","pubTimestamp":1650468622,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105569285?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The End Near For Musk And Tesla?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105569285","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.</li><li>While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.</li><li>The hype around Musk’s stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead of Tesla.</li></ul><p>For years, Elon Musk has used hype to prop up Tesla’s stock. It’s worked so well that other companies have followed his lead. But now, we think the world has seen that the emperor has no clothes. The attempted Twitter (TWTR) takeover is yet another example of Musk bullying his way into what he wants and underscores how his super-star status cannot always convince people to overlook his irreverent, reckless, and potentially illegal behavior. As the recent lawsuit againstMusk shows, he is not completely immune from the consequences of his actions. Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.</p><p><b>End of the Road for Musk</b></p><p>Most investors are keenly aware of Musk’s long history of making grand promises that don’t come true – the Roadster, the Semi, the Cybertruck, full-self driving (FSD) etc. – and at times are blatantly unethical, such as tweeting “funding secured” to go private, and pumping Doge coin. But now, we have evidence that he may have acted illegally in the way he reported his purchases of Twitter stock. Given the clear rules about how investors should report large stakes in public companies – like what Musk has in Twitter – this case seems straightforward: Musk broke the rules.</p><p>The next question is how severely he will be punished. If the past is any guide, regulators will not muster more than a slap on the wrist. The real question is how institutional investors will react to signs Musk has pushed the envelope too far.</p><p>Institutional investors own Tesla stock more often because they must, given its influence on their performance, than because they see it as a good investment. Any investor with a rigorous process can see the stock is ridiculously overvalued; so, you own it for the “Musk effect”. Accordingly, the institutional investors’ decision to sell Tesla stock will be based on when Musk’s outsized influence begins to wane.</p><p>We think that moment has come.</p><p><b>Musk Meets His Maker: Twitter</b></p><p>In our view, Musk’s repeated rule-breaking behavior has finally gone too far. Details of the case are still emerging, but Musk’s failure to disclose his more than 5% stake in Twitter arguably hurt investors who sold shares after he crossed that ownership threshold. Instead, Musk kept purchasing shares until reaching a 9% stake in Twitter before disclosing his position. The initial class-action lawsuit and the potential for more have finally gotten the attention of investors, if not regulators.</p><p>The poor reception Twitter’s employees gave the news of Musk’s stake is a very public rejection of his super-star influencer status and provide the first tangible evidence that maybe his star power has limitations. If a hostile takeover prompts a mass exodus of talent, then Musk might end up destroying the company in the process of buying it. That being said, the loudest voices in the company are not necessarily the most valuable.</p><p>As more people join lawsuits against Musk, and Twitter employees continue to express their mistrust of the company’s largest shareholder, institutional investors may seize this moment to quietly unload their shares of overvalued Tesla stock. Now is the time to sell because the price of the stock to this point has been more a reflection of Musk’s ability to draw an audience than any underlying fundamental value in the company.</p><p><b>Live by the Stunt, Die by the Stunt</b></p><p>Ultimately, it appears that as much as Twitter was the launch pad for Musk’s super influence powers, his failure thus far to win the publicity battle could mark the beginning-of-the-end of his super-star status.</p><p>Musk’s Twitter play, which is another in a long series of distractions, could end poorly for Musk. Instead of addressing Tesla’s issues, Musk appears to be attempting to position himself as a defender of free speech. The risk he faces is that instead of looking like a hero he looks more like a bully running an ego-driven takeover with little regard for the rules. While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable (more on this below), a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.</p><p>Tesla’s investors have not been impressed with Musk’s Twitter antics either, as the stock is down 11% since he announced his ownership in the social media giant. Likewise, the “Musk bump” in Twitter shares is likely to fade as investors realize the only value Musk brought was publicity, and not good publicity either. Although Twitter remains a popular platform, it has its own problems and suggestions such as removing a letter from its name can do more harm than good.</p><p><b>Why Haven’t Regulators Done Anything Before Now?</b></p><p>Tesla’s high stock price has, thus far, kept its CEO well beyond an arm’s length of regulators. Other executives in other times likely would have faced consequences for many of the things Musk has said and done. Today, Tesla’s high stock price indicates investors’ collective belief in Musk’s promises and protects Musk. Regulators don’t want to be accused of causing the company’s stock price to fall, thereby destroying the wealth of many investors and, as a result, footing the cost of defending against numerous shareholder lawsuits.</p><p>Furthermore, Musk can claim Tesla’s elevated stock price and the wealth it endows is what he needs to fulfill his outlandish promises over time. However, should Tesla’s stock price ever reflect realistic expectations for the company, authorities may feel emboldened to pursue legal or regulatory action against Musk and/or Tesla. Credible claims can be made for several offenses, including:</p><ul><li>stock and cryptocurrency manipulation</li><li>false advertising of Full Self Driving (FSD)</li><li>ignoring safety authorities</li><li>neglecting to file documentation on time related to his purchase of Twitter’s shares</li><li>and other claims of dubious veracity</li></ul><p><b>What Will Regulators Do When the Bubble Pops?</b></p><p>Musk has positioned himself as a pop-culture icon. Though society loves to build up celebrities, so too does it love tearing them down even more. Once Tesla’s stock price falls from its overly inflated levels, Musk will lose his cover that has protected him from all his unethical and arguably illegal behavior. Regulators are likely to come after Musk with knives out after all the humiliation they had to suffer at his hand.</p><p><b>Trouble on the Horizon</b></p><p>All the hype around Musk’s large stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead for Tesla. Of course, that is likely his goal. Below we discuss the fundamentals of Tesla’s business, which cannot be wished away or made irrelevant with hype.</p><p><b>Incumbents Are Catching Up:</b> Tesla’s first-mover advantage has long been cited as reason enough for investors to pile their money into the company. However, that advantage is gone, and in some cases turning into a lag. Ford (F), Rivian (RIVN), and General Motors (GM) aim to produce EV trucks in 2022, but Tesla will be on the sidelines until at least 2023 before launching its Cybertruck.</p><p>The rising competition from incumbents means the days of Tesla’s rising profitability could be numbered. For starters, 26% of the company’s GAAP earnings in 2021 were from the sale of regulatory credits, not from the underlying economics of making and selling vehicles and other ancillary services.</p><p>Once incumbents increase production of EVs they will need to purchase fewer credits from Elon. That means Tesla needs to actually start <i>selling</i> <i>cars</i>to make money. The catch-22 is that for the company to sell more cars, it first needs to increase its production capacity. If Tesla’s succeeds in selling more cars capital expenditure and working capital are primed to grow along with sales. Tesla needs to build economies of scale before it can benefit from them.</p><p><b>Market Share Losses Continue:</b> Incumbent automakers have entered the EV market with scale and are already taking market share from Tesla. Per Figure 2, Tesla’s share of global EV sales fell from 16% in 2019 to 14% in 2021.</p><p>Tesla’s share of the U.S. EV market fell from 79% in2020to 70% in2021. With light truck sales comprising more than three out of every four vehicles sold in the U.S. in January 2022, Tesla falling behind in truck EVs means its share of the U.S. market could fall further.</p><p><b>Figure 2: Tesla’s Share of the Global EV Sales</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc4dd16dde86e1ab31f85bd8a2af4aee\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"260\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA Market Share Since 2019(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC, EV-volumes.com and Statista</p><p><b>Slow Start to 2022:</b>Though Teslaforecastedan at least 50% YoY rise in deliveries in 2022, the company is feeling the effects of supply chain problems – just like every other automaker. The company delivered 310,000 vehicles in the quarter, while consensus estimates were for 313,000.</p><p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own at Least 57% of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p><p>Despite the increased competition, failure to meet delivery expectations, and diminutive share of the global EV market in 2021, Tesla’s valuation implies the company will own 57% of the global passenger EV market in 2030.</p><p>Even if Tesla increases the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle to $55K vs. ($49K in 2021), Tesla’s stock price at ~$1,100/share implies the firm will sell 15 million vehicles in 2030 versus ~936k in 2021. That figure represents 57% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030 and the implied vehicle sales based on a lower ASP looks even more unrealistic.</p><p>To provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price, we assume Tesla achieves profit margins 1.5x Toyota Motor Corp (TM) and triples its current auto manufacturing efficiency.</p><p>Per Figure 3, an $1,100/share price implies that, in 2030, Tesla will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p><ul><li>15 million vehicles – ASP of $55K (above average U.S. new car price of $47K in 2021)</li><li>7 million vehicles – ASP of $49K (equal to Tesla’s 2021 ASP[1])</li><li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38K (equal to General Motors’ ASP[2] of $38K in 2021)</li></ul><p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 26 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):</p><ul><li>57% for 15 million vehicles</li><li>64% for 17 million vehicles</li><li>83% for 21 million vehicles</li></ul><p>If we assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 47 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p><ul><li>31% for 15 million vehicles</li><li>35% for 17 million vehicles</li><li>45% for 21 million vehicles</li></ul><p><b>Figure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify $1,100/Share</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad84793f241565c81ebb0d29b01242c\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA DCF Implied Vehicle Production(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p><b>Tesla Must Generate More Profits Than Apple For Investors to Make Money</b></p><p>Below are the assumptions we use in our reverse discounted cash flow model to calculate the implied production levels above.</p><p>Bulls should understand what Tesla needs to accomplish to justify ~$1,100/share:</p><ul><li>immediately achieve a 14% NOPAT margin (1.5x Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers we cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 8%) and</li><li>grow revenue by 32% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.</li></ul><p>In this scenario, Tesla generates <i>$811 billion</i> in revenue in 2030, which is 116% of the combined revenues of Toyota, Stellantis (STLA), Ford, General Motors, and Honda (HMC) over the past twelve months. Tesla must replace the U.S. auto industry before 2030 to justify current valuations.</p><p>This scenario also implies Tesla grows net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 2,458% from 2021 to 2030. In this scenario, Tesla generates $112 billion in NOPAT in 2030, or 12% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $100 billion, is the highest of all companies we cover, and 65% higher than Microsoft (MSFT), the second-highest. Those companies have intertwined themselves in the lives of consumers and businesses around the world, which seems an unlikely feat for Tesla at this point.</p><p><b>TSLA Has 46% Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p><p>If we assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $55k, the stock is worth just $542/share. Details:</p><ul><li>NOPAT margin improves to 14% and</li><li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li></ul><p>the stock is worth just $547/share today – a 46% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $62 billion, or nearly 14x its 2021 NOPAT, and just 7% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) 2021 NOPAT.</p><p><b>TSLA Has 80%+ Downside Even with 27% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p><p>If we estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $200/share. Here’s the math:</p><ul><li>NOPAT margin improves to 9% (equal to Toyota’s TTM margin) and</li><li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2022 to 2024 and</li><li>revenue grows 17% a year from 2025 to 2030, then</li></ul><p>the stock is worth just $200/share today – an 80% downside to the current price.</p><p>In this scenario, Tesla sells 7 million cars (27% of the global passenger EV market in 2030) at an ASP of $47K (average new car price in U.S. in 2021) and grows NOPAT by 24% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.</p><p>We also assume a more realistic NOPAT margin of 9% in this scenario, which is 1.3x higher than Toyota’s industry-leading five-year average NOPAT margin of 7%. Given the required capital requirements to fund manufacturing and match increased competition in the EV market, Tesla is unlikely to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 9% from 2022 to 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $200/share.</p><p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied in the above scenarios to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, we show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p><p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e43f865637ac4c84e8199df2b05d061\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA DCF Implied NOPAT(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 49% compounded annually from 2011 to 2021 and 30% compounded annually since 2015.</p><p>An invested capital CAGR of 14% represents 1/3rdthe CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2011 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 3x more efficiently than it has so far.</p><p>In other words, we aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p><p><b>Tesla Won’t Be the Only One to Fall</b></p><p>Other meme stocks have taken pages from the Musk playbook and will likely suffer the same fate we expect Tesla to suffer once the game is up. GameStop (GME) promised to transform itself into an ecommerce powerhouse, yet the company continues to head in the opposite direction and earnings continue to disappoint. GameStop’s Core Earnings fell from -$200 million in fiscal 2021 to -$321 million in fiscal 2022.</p><p>Despite the company’s inability to quickly execute operational change, GameStop’s stock has remained well above a reasonable valuation thanks in part to announcing the launch of a marketplace for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and partnerships with blockchain firms.</p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has also run several Tesla-esque plays to prop up its stock. Indeed, the company’s CEO recently tweeted that the company is “playing on offense again” with its investment in a microcap gold mine. Before gold mines, the company got on the crypto bandwagon in 2021 by accepting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and Litecoin.</p><p>Beyond the repeated attempts at propping up their stocks, the fundamentally weak business models of Tesla, GameStop, and AMC Entertainment in highly competitive industries burn cash and continue to dilute shareholders whenever possible. Per Figure 5, despite combining for more than $1.1 trillion of market cap, Tesla, AMC Entertainment, and GameStop have a combined economic book value, our measure of the no growth value of a stock, of -$52 billion and -$4.3 billion of free cash flow over the past twelve months.</p><p><b>Figure 5: Meme Stock’s Market Cap, Economic Book Value &amp; FCF: TTM</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/add55782c8e6b0e8a891f84c9ec7421f\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"119\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Meme Stocks Market Cap, Economic Book Value, FCF(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p><i>This article originally published on April 14, 2022.</i></p><p><i>Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, style, or theme.</i></p><p>[1] Tesla’s ASP = (total automotive revenues – regulatory credits) / deliveries</p><p>[2] General Motors’ ASP = Vehicle, parts and accessories / wholesale vehicle sales</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The End Near For Musk And Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-20 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105569285","content_text":"SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.The hype around Musk’s stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead of Tesla.For years, Elon Musk has used hype to prop up Tesla’s stock. It’s worked so well that other companies have followed his lead. But now, we think the world has seen that the emperor has no clothes. The attempted Twitter (TWTR) takeover is yet another example of Musk bullying his way into what he wants and underscores how his super-star status cannot always convince people to overlook his irreverent, reckless, and potentially illegal behavior. As the recent lawsuit againstMusk shows, he is not completely immune from the consequences of his actions. Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.End of the Road for MuskMost investors are keenly aware of Musk’s long history of making grand promises that don’t come true – the Roadster, the Semi, the Cybertruck, full-self driving (FSD) etc. – and at times are blatantly unethical, such as tweeting “funding secured” to go private, and pumping Doge coin. But now, we have evidence that he may have acted illegally in the way he reported his purchases of Twitter stock. Given the clear rules about how investors should report large stakes in public companies – like what Musk has in Twitter – this case seems straightforward: Musk broke the rules.The next question is how severely he will be punished. If the past is any guide, regulators will not muster more than a slap on the wrist. The real question is how institutional investors will react to signs Musk has pushed the envelope too far.Institutional investors own Tesla stock more often because they must, given its influence on their performance, than because they see it as a good investment. Any investor with a rigorous process can see the stock is ridiculously overvalued; so, you own it for the “Musk effect”. Accordingly, the institutional investors’ decision to sell Tesla stock will be based on when Musk’s outsized influence begins to wane.We think that moment has come.Musk Meets His Maker: TwitterIn our view, Musk’s repeated rule-breaking behavior has finally gone too far. Details of the case are still emerging, but Musk’s failure to disclose his more than 5% stake in Twitter arguably hurt investors who sold shares after he crossed that ownership threshold. Instead, Musk kept purchasing shares until reaching a 9% stake in Twitter before disclosing his position. The initial class-action lawsuit and the potential for more have finally gotten the attention of investors, if not regulators.The poor reception Twitter’s employees gave the news of Musk’s stake is a very public rejection of his super-star influencer status and provide the first tangible evidence that maybe his star power has limitations. If a hostile takeover prompts a mass exodus of talent, then Musk might end up destroying the company in the process of buying it. That being said, the loudest voices in the company are not necessarily the most valuable.As more people join lawsuits against Musk, and Twitter employees continue to express their mistrust of the company’s largest shareholder, institutional investors may seize this moment to quietly unload their shares of overvalued Tesla stock. Now is the time to sell because the price of the stock to this point has been more a reflection of Musk’s ability to draw an audience than any underlying fundamental value in the company.Live by the Stunt, Die by the StuntUltimately, it appears that as much as Twitter was the launch pad for Musk’s super influence powers, his failure thus far to win the publicity battle could mark the beginning-of-the-end of his super-star status.Musk’s Twitter play, which is another in a long series of distractions, could end poorly for Musk. Instead of addressing Tesla’s issues, Musk appears to be attempting to position himself as a defender of free speech. The risk he faces is that instead of looking like a hero he looks more like a bully running an ego-driven takeover with little regard for the rules. While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable (more on this below), a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.Tesla’s investors have not been impressed with Musk’s Twitter antics either, as the stock is down 11% since he announced his ownership in the social media giant. Likewise, the “Musk bump” in Twitter shares is likely to fade as investors realize the only value Musk brought was publicity, and not good publicity either. Although Twitter remains a popular platform, it has its own problems and suggestions such as removing a letter from its name can do more harm than good.Why Haven’t Regulators Done Anything Before Now?Tesla’s high stock price has, thus far, kept its CEO well beyond an arm’s length of regulators. Other executives in other times likely would have faced consequences for many of the things Musk has said and done. Today, Tesla’s high stock price indicates investors’ collective belief in Musk’s promises and protects Musk. Regulators don’t want to be accused of causing the company’s stock price to fall, thereby destroying the wealth of many investors and, as a result, footing the cost of defending against numerous shareholder lawsuits.Furthermore, Musk can claim Tesla’s elevated stock price and the wealth it endows is what he needs to fulfill his outlandish promises over time. However, should Tesla’s stock price ever reflect realistic expectations for the company, authorities may feel emboldened to pursue legal or regulatory action against Musk and/or Tesla. Credible claims can be made for several offenses, including:stock and cryptocurrency manipulationfalse advertising of Full Self Driving (FSD)ignoring safety authoritiesneglecting to file documentation on time related to his purchase of Twitter’s sharesand other claims of dubious veracityWhat Will Regulators Do When the Bubble Pops?Musk has positioned himself as a pop-culture icon. Though society loves to build up celebrities, so too does it love tearing them down even more. Once Tesla’s stock price falls from its overly inflated levels, Musk will lose his cover that has protected him from all his unethical and arguably illegal behavior. Regulators are likely to come after Musk with knives out after all the humiliation they had to suffer at his hand.Trouble on the HorizonAll the hype around Musk’s large stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead for Tesla. Of course, that is likely his goal. Below we discuss the fundamentals of Tesla’s business, which cannot be wished away or made irrelevant with hype.Incumbents Are Catching Up: Tesla’s first-mover advantage has long been cited as reason enough for investors to pile their money into the company. However, that advantage is gone, and in some cases turning into a lag. Ford (F), Rivian (RIVN), and General Motors (GM) aim to produce EV trucks in 2022, but Tesla will be on the sidelines until at least 2023 before launching its Cybertruck.The rising competition from incumbents means the days of Tesla’s rising profitability could be numbered. For starters, 26% of the company’s GAAP earnings in 2021 were from the sale of regulatory credits, not from the underlying economics of making and selling vehicles and other ancillary services.Once incumbents increase production of EVs they will need to purchase fewer credits from Elon. That means Tesla needs to actually start selling carsto make money. The catch-22 is that for the company to sell more cars, it first needs to increase its production capacity. If Tesla’s succeeds in selling more cars capital expenditure and working capital are primed to grow along with sales. Tesla needs to build economies of scale before it can benefit from them.Market Share Losses Continue: Incumbent automakers have entered the EV market with scale and are already taking market share from Tesla. Per Figure 2, Tesla’s share of global EV sales fell from 16% in 2019 to 14% in 2021.Tesla’s share of the U.S. EV market fell from 79% in2020to 70% in2021. With light truck sales comprising more than three out of every four vehicles sold in the U.S. in January 2022, Tesla falling behind in truck EVs means its share of the U.S. market could fall further.Figure 2: Tesla’s Share of the Global EV SalesTSLA Market Share Since 2019(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC, EV-volumes.com and StatistaSlow Start to 2022:Though Teslaforecastedan at least 50% YoY rise in deliveries in 2022, the company is feeling the effects of supply chain problems – just like every other automaker. The company delivered 310,000 vehicles in the quarter, while consensus estimates were for 313,000.Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own at Least 57% of the Global Passenger EV MarketDespite the increased competition, failure to meet delivery expectations, and diminutive share of the global EV market in 2021, Tesla’s valuation implies the company will own 57% of the global passenger EV market in 2030.Even if Tesla increases the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle to $55K vs. ($49K in 2021), Tesla’s stock price at ~$1,100/share implies the firm will sell 15 million vehicles in 2030 versus ~936k in 2021. That figure represents 57% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030 and the implied vehicle sales based on a lower ASP looks even more unrealistic.To provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price, we assume Tesla achieves profit margins 1.5x Toyota Motor Corp (TM) and triples its current auto manufacturing efficiency.Per Figure 3, an $1,100/share price implies that, in 2030, Tesla will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:15 million vehicles – ASP of $55K (above average U.S. new car price of $47K in 2021)7 million vehicles – ASP of $49K (equal to Tesla’s 2021 ASP[1])21 million vehicles – ASP of $38K (equal to General Motors’ ASP[2] of $38K in 2021)If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 26 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):57% for 15 million vehicles64% for 17 million vehicles83% for 21 million vehiclesIf we assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 47 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:31% for 15 million vehicles35% for 17 million vehicles45% for 21 million vehiclesFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify $1,100/ShareTSLA DCF Implied Vehicle Production(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsTesla Must Generate More Profits Than Apple For Investors to Make MoneyBelow are the assumptions we use in our reverse discounted cash flow model to calculate the implied production levels above.Bulls should understand what Tesla needs to accomplish to justify ~$1,100/share:immediately achieve a 14% NOPAT margin (1.5x Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers we cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 8%) andgrow revenue by 32% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.In this scenario, Tesla generates $811 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 116% of the combined revenues of Toyota, Stellantis (STLA), Ford, General Motors, and Honda (HMC) over the past twelve months. Tesla must replace the U.S. auto industry before 2030 to justify current valuations.This scenario also implies Tesla grows net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 2,458% from 2021 to 2030. In this scenario, Tesla generates $112 billion in NOPAT in 2030, or 12% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $100 billion, is the highest of all companies we cover, and 65% higher than Microsoft (MSFT), the second-highest. Those companies have intertwined themselves in the lives of consumers and businesses around the world, which seems an unlikely feat for Tesla at this point.TSLA Has 46% Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About SalesIf we assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $55k, the stock is worth just $542/share. Details:NOPAT margin improves to 14% andrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, thenthe stock is worth just $547/share today – a 46% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $62 billion, or nearly 14x its 2021 NOPAT, and just 7% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) 2021 NOPAT.TSLA Has 80%+ Downside Even with 27% Market Share and Realistic MarginsIf we estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $200/share. Here’s the math:NOPAT margin improves to 9% (equal to Toyota’s TTM margin) andrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2022 to 2024 andrevenue grows 17% a year from 2025 to 2030, thenthe stock is worth just $200/share today – an 80% downside to the current price.In this scenario, Tesla sells 7 million cars (27% of the global passenger EV market in 2030) at an ASP of $47K (average new car price in U.S. in 2021) and grows NOPAT by 24% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.We also assume a more realistic NOPAT margin of 9% in this scenario, which is 1.3x higher than Toyota’s industry-leading five-year average NOPAT margin of 7%. Given the required capital requirements to fund manufacturing and match increased competition in the EV market, Tesla is unlikely to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 9% from 2022 to 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $200/share.Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied in the above scenarios to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, we show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation ScenariosTSLA DCF Implied NOPAT(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 49% compounded annually from 2011 to 2021 and 30% compounded annually since 2015.An invested capital CAGR of 14% represents 1/3rdthe CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2011 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 3x more efficiently than it has so far.In other words, we aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.Tesla Won’t Be the Only One to FallOther meme stocks have taken pages from the Musk playbook and will likely suffer the same fate we expect Tesla to suffer once the game is up. GameStop (GME) promised to transform itself into an ecommerce powerhouse, yet the company continues to head in the opposite direction and earnings continue to disappoint. GameStop’s Core Earnings fell from -$200 million in fiscal 2021 to -$321 million in fiscal 2022.Despite the company’s inability to quickly execute operational change, GameStop’s stock has remained well above a reasonable valuation thanks in part to announcing the launch of a marketplace for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and partnerships with blockchain firms.AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has also run several Tesla-esque plays to prop up its stock. Indeed, the company’s CEO recently tweeted that the company is “playing on offense again” with its investment in a microcap gold mine. Before gold mines, the company got on the crypto bandwagon in 2021 by accepting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and Litecoin.Beyond the repeated attempts at propping up their stocks, the fundamentally weak business models of Tesla, GameStop, and AMC Entertainment in highly competitive industries burn cash and continue to dilute shareholders whenever possible. Per Figure 5, despite combining for more than $1.1 trillion of market cap, Tesla, AMC Entertainment, and GameStop have a combined economic book value, our measure of the no growth value of a stock, of -$52 billion and -$4.3 billion of free cash flow over the past twelve months.Figure 5: Meme Stock’s Market Cap, Economic Book Value & FCF: TTMMeme Stocks Market Cap, Economic Book Value, FCF(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsThis article originally published on April 14, 2022.Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, style, or theme.[1] Tesla’s ASP = (total automotive revenues – regulatory credits) / deliveries[2] General Motors’ ASP = Vehicle, parts and accessories / wholesale vehicle sales","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016670863,"gmtCreate":1649198111443,"gmtModify":1676534466022,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good to know&nbsp;","listText":"Good to know&nbsp;","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016670863","repostId":"2225582301","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225582301","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1649170985,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225582301?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-05 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Slides over 1% after Hawkish Comments from Fed's Brainard","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225582301","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. stock indexes hit session lows on Tuesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq falling more than 1% afte","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock indexes hit session lows on Tuesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq falling more than 1% after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard sparked worries about aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>Brainard said she expects methodical interest rate increases and rapid reductions to the Fed&#39;s balance sheet to bring U.S. monetary policy to a &#34;more neutral position&#34; later this year.</p><p>At 11:59 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.02%, at 34,915.88, the S&amp;P 500 was down 0.36%, at 4,566.04, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.30%, at 14,342.93.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080415d740cc932cb11fb1374839c264\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"225\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Slides over 1% after Hawkish Comments from Fed's Brainard</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Slides over 1% after Hawkish Comments from Fed's Brainard\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-05 23:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock indexes hit session lows on Tuesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq falling more than 1% after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard sparked worries about aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>Brainard said she expects methodical interest rate increases and rapid reductions to the Fed&#39;s balance sheet to bring U.S. monetary policy to a &#34;more neutral position&#34; later this year.</p><p>At 11:59 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.02%, at 34,915.88, the S&amp;P 500 was down 0.36%, at 4,566.04, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.30%, at 14,342.93.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080415d740cc932cb11fb1374839c264\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"225\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2225582301","content_text":"U.S. stock indexes hit session lows on Tuesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq falling more than 1% after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard sparked worries about aggressive monetary policy tightening.Brainard said she expects methodical interest rate increases and rapid reductions to the Fed's balance sheet to bring U.S. monetary policy to a \"more neutral position\" later this year.At 11:59 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.02%, at 34,915.88, the S&P 500 was down 0.36%, at 4,566.04, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.30%, at 14,342.93.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913208268,"gmtCreate":1663986086155,"gmtModify":1676537375537,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure","listText":"Sure","text":"Sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913208268","repostId":"2269657466","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269657466","pubTimestamp":1663980236,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269657466?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-24 08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269657466","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the li","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A lot of scary words have been floating around with &#34;recession&#34; and &#34;inflation&#34; at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily raises interest rates. That, in theory, acts as a check on inflation, but mostly makes money more expensive which impacts mortgage rates, credit card interest, and really any money people borrow going forward.</p><p>That has driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average steadily downward. The index fell by nearly 500 points on Sept. 23 sending it to a low for 2022. In a broad sense. it&#39;s not just the Dow as the Nasdaq has steadily fallen as well.</p><p>We all know the story and understand the fears, but market fears about what might happen don&#39;t actually track with what&#39;s actually happening in the U.S. economy.</p><h2>The U.S. Economy Has Been Strong</h2><p>Obviously, inflation has hit many lower-income Americans hard. But the employment market remains strong with the unemployment rate sitting at 3.7%. That&#39;s not quite a historical low, but it&#39;s in that range. In addition, there&#39;s exactly one-half of an available job seeker for every available job opening, That actually is a historical low since the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking that data.</p><p>Job openings, however, don&#39;t always mean good jobs, but wages have also been rising in the service industry and even fast food jobs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUM\">Yum! Brands</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a>, and a number of other retailers have embraced a $15 minimum wage.</p><p>And, while the employment market remains strong, the flip side of that is rising housing costs coupled with higher mortgage rates. That&#39;s not great news for people buying a house (even if history suggests they still should) but it has a flip side. If you own a house, it has become a fast-rising asset that increases your net worth.</p><p>The economy is, of course, personal. If you can&#39;t find a job or afford to live where you want to, that&#39;s very real. Broadly, however, there are a lot of signs that the economy remains strong and that many of the issues we&#39;re having relate to what might be called a pandemic hangover.</p><h2>Market Drops Are the Best Times to Invest</h2><p>Many of my favorite companies have dropped by 30% or more. I don&#39;t stop believing in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>, or <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>  (just to name a few) because their share prices have fallen. In fact, I look at all three of these companies and how they handled the pandemic and prepared for the future and feel better about them.</p><p>Stock price does not always equate to performance in the short term. Disney, for example, has the best intellectual property (IP) of any entertainment company and has endless pricing power. In fact, if you were offered &#34;every other companies&#39; IP&#34; or Disney&#39;s, you can make  a case to take Disney.</p><p>Costco just delivered one of its highest renewal rates ever (over 92%) and continues to add members, Microsoft has only gotten stronger as it pivots more fully to a software as a service model, yet all three of those companies have seen double digit stock drops this year.</p><p>In a bad market, I cling to the mantra &#34;time in the market beats timing the market.&#34; Now is the time to add to your holdings in really strong companies. Consider that good companies are now on sale, really big sales in some cases, and add strategically to your long-term holdings.</p><p>After you do that, remember that long-term means years. Check in on the companies you own to make sure they have stayed on course, but don&#39;t check your portfolio everyday. A market drop feels bad, but historically, it means nothing. Good companies will recover and investing in them, plus time (maybe a lot of time) is what makes investors rich.</p><p>BY DANIEL KLINE</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-24 08:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4136":"纸材料包装","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4155":"大卖场与超市","BK4504":"桥水持仓","YUM":"百胜餐饮集团","BK4209":"餐馆","SBUX":"星巴克","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","MSFT":"微软","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","WMT":"沃尔玛","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4114":"综合货品商店","COST":"好市多","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TGT":"塔吉特","BK4503":"景林资产持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269657466","content_text":"A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily raises interest rates. That, in theory, acts as a check on inflation, but mostly makes money more expensive which impacts mortgage rates, credit card interest, and really any money people borrow going forward.That has driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average steadily downward. The index fell by nearly 500 points on Sept. 23 sending it to a low for 2022. In a broad sense. it's not just the Dow as the Nasdaq has steadily fallen as well.We all know the story and understand the fears, but market fears about what might happen don't actually track with what's actually happening in the U.S. economy.The U.S. Economy Has Been StrongObviously, inflation has hit many lower-income Americans hard. But the employment market remains strong with the unemployment rate sitting at 3.7%. That's not quite a historical low, but it's in that range. In addition, there's exactly one-half of an available job seeker for every available job opening, That actually is a historical low since the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking that data.Job openings, however, don't always mean good jobs, but wages have also been rising in the service industry and even fast food jobs. Walmart, Target, Yum! Brands, Starbucks, and a number of other retailers have embraced a $15 minimum wage.And, while the employment market remains strong, the flip side of that is rising housing costs coupled with higher mortgage rates. That's not great news for people buying a house (even if history suggests they still should) but it has a flip side. If you own a house, it has become a fast-rising asset that increases your net worth.The economy is, of course, personal. If you can't find a job or afford to live where you want to, that's very real. Broadly, however, there are a lot of signs that the economy remains strong and that many of the issues we're having relate to what might be called a pandemic hangover.Market Drops Are the Best Times to InvestMany of my favorite companies have dropped by 30% or more. I don't stop believing in Costco, Walt Disney, or Microsoft  (just to name a few) because their share prices have fallen. In fact, I look at all three of these companies and how they handled the pandemic and prepared for the future and feel better about them.Stock price does not always equate to performance in the short term. Disney, for example, has the best intellectual property (IP) of any entertainment company and has endless pricing power. In fact, if you were offered \"every other companies' IP\" or Disney's, you can make  a case to take Disney.Costco just delivered one of its highest renewal rates ever (over 92%) and continues to add members, Microsoft has only gotten stronger as it pivots more fully to a software as a service model, yet all three of those companies have seen double digit stock drops this year.In a bad market, I cling to the mantra \"time in the market beats timing the market.\" Now is the time to add to your holdings in really strong companies. Consider that good companies are now on sale, really big sales in some cases, and add strategically to your long-term holdings.After you do that, remember that long-term means years. Check in on the companies you own to make sure they have stayed on course, but don't check your portfolio everyday. A market drop feels bad, but historically, it means nothing. Good companies will recover and investing in them, plus time (maybe a lot of time) is what makes investors rich.BY DANIEL KLINE","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911034047,"gmtCreate":1664083642289,"gmtModify":1676537388668,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911034047","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910684638,"gmtCreate":1663626583224,"gmtModify":1676537301425,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910684638","repostId":"1158905038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158905038","pubTimestamp":1663591588,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158905038?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"QQQ: Summer Glory To Fade Off In Fall Obscurity?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158905038","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIn this note, we will discuss recent price action in Invesco's QQQ ETF, along with the factor","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>In this note, we will discuss recent price action in Invesco&#39;s QQQ ETF, along with the factors driving this action.</li><li>Furthermore, I share a fresh outlook for the QQQ now that my call for a retest of June lows is looking nailed on to materialize.</li><li>I rate QQQ &#39;Neutral&#39; at $290.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53444cd062deb64dcc2310c4eee26ce0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Dilok Klaisataporn</span></p><p>Introduction: Where Do We Stand?</p><p>Invesco&#39;s QQQ (NASDAQ:QQQ) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index. After a scintillating summer rally off of June lows, tech stocks and equity markets, in general, have resumed their downtrend. The lasttime I wrote on QQQ was back in early June, and here&#39;s what I said at the time:</p><blockquote>In the near term, I see QQQ running up to the $320-330 range, but over the medium term, we are likely to decline to $250-260. These targets are based on fundamental, quantitative, and technical analysis shared in today&#39;s note. With a near-term upside of 3-8% and a medium-term downside of ~20-25%, I&#39;m not too fond of QQQ&#39;s risk/reward here. Therefore, I am neutral on QQQ at current levels.</blockquote><blockquote><i>Source:Is QQQ A Buy Or Sell During The Dip? It&#39;s Complicated</i></blockquote><p>After initially dipping to ~$270 by mid-June, the QQQ went on a smashing rally to reach the $335 level by mid-August. On 15th August 2022, I wrote the following in my newsletter:</p><blockquote>A series of higher highs and higher lows seem to reflect a strong bullish reversal; however, below-average trading volumes are unnerving. We are close to a resistance zone in the $335-345 range, and on the weekly chart, QQQ is testing the top end of the falling wedge pattern we have traded in for the last nine months. A rejection from this zone could quite easily trigger a retest of June lows.</blockquote><blockquote><i>Source:TQI Weekly - Issue #5: A New Bull Market Or Just Another Bear Market Rally</i></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159a6c2ed14077cf70319e8af4b8ccfb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>QQQ&#39;s chart as of mid-August (WeBull Desktop)</span></p><p>Now, I am not sharing this history to showcase some extraordinary ability to predict the stock market. Instead, I strongly believe that nobody knows where the market is going in the near term. All we can do is analyze the fundamental, quantitative, and technical data to get a better understanding of what could happen in the market. And then orient our investing operations to benefit from this probabilistic understanding of the market environment.</p><p>Sticky inflation, rising interest rates, hawkish monetary policy, and slowing economic activity do not portend strong equity market returns for the foreseeable future. On Tuesday, the CPI inflation print came in hotter-than-expected at 8.3%, surprising market participants betting on a drop off in inflation. However, on the ground, inflation is slowing down [e.g., prices at the gas station are down significantly in recent weeks, home prices are declining, used auto prices are way off their peak, and there are many other instances]. Now, the lagging rents data (~30-40% of CPI) is set to make the headline inflation numbers look bad for some time to come.</p><p>While renowned investors like Ray Dalio and Jeff Gundlach called out the rising probability of a recession during this week (and predicted another 20-25% decline in S&amp;P500), the Fed seems to be focusing on countering inflation - moving full steam ahead with its quantitative tightening program. The expectations for the Fed&#39;s September meeting (on 21st and 22nd) are now pointing toward a 75-100 bps hike in the federal funds rate, and the bond market seems to be pricing in more hawkishness from Fed chair Jay Powell, as treasury rates continue to shift up rapidly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6d4fb12a3da252cd53a6b5e96f4a380\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p>Legendary investor Warren Buffett&#39;s quote comes to mind:</p><blockquote>Interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to the apple. When there are low interest rates, there is a very low gravitational pull on asset prices. The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates.</blockquote><p>As interest rates have shot up in 2022, equities have been getting re-rated lower, and after a 28% YTD decline, the P/E ratio for Invesco&#39;s QQQ ETF (QQQ) [an ETF tracking Nasdaq-100 index] has come down to ~22-23x. Looking at historical data from the past ten years, the QQQ seems like a no-brainer buy at around 20x earnings.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a4da36ad357f2be93d1e18fbcb5edbc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>GuruFocus</span></p><p>However, persistently-high inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing economic activity (amidst waning consumer confidence) are significant threats to corporate earnings and the valuation multiples attached to these earnings. Honestly, earnings may be the next shoe to drop in this market cycle, and Q3 &amp; Q4 could bring a lot more volatility to the equity markets.</p><p>A Look At Some Recent Market Action</p><p>Broad market indices [S&amp;P500 (SPX), Nasdaq-100 (NDX), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA)] got off to a strong start in September; however, volatility returned to Wall Street last week. On Tuesday, stocks took a tumble (SPY down ~4%, QQQ down ~5%) as inflation data came in hotter-than-expected - raising expectations of a 75-100 bps rate hike by the Fed at its September meeting and even more hawkishness from the Fed. After a couple of benign days on Wednesday and Thursday, the sell-off resumed on Friday, with all major indices closing in the red. With the Fed tightening into a slowing economy, the fears of an economic recession are growing.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0576618c7710bd346a4a0f9d24e86a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>YCharts</span></p><p>At my recently launched marketplace service, The Quantamental Investor, we saw our GARP &amp; Buyback-Dividend portfolios experience a negative ROIC of -1.42% and -1.54% over the last two weeks, with a big chunk of weakness coming from a sell-off in large to mega-cap tech stocks. Interestingly, the performance of small to mid-cap (higher growth) companies was superior to that of their larger counterparts. As of the close on Friday, TQI&#39;s Moonshot Growth portfolio had an ROIC of +3.76%, which was better than iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF&#39;s (IWF) return of -1.86%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8806662e5af57a7b54a1a3e62a249693\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>At TQI, our playbook for this bear market is -</p><blockquote>Build long positions slowly and manage risk proactively.</blockquote><p>If equity prices continue to fall over the coming weeks and months, then our dollar cost averaging plan will prove to be an effective risk management strategy. At TQI, we started our core portfolios with a 50% cash position, which we intend to deploy in a staggered way over the next ten months.</p><p>Where Is The Market Headed Next?</p><p>I don&#39;t know where the market will be a week, a month, or a quarter from now. However, considering valuations and technical charts, I think a retest of QQQ&#39;s June lows of ~$270 is very likely in the near term.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a46914a4f61975720b899626da4c4047\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"478\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>WeBull Desktop</span></p><p>If we fail to hold these levels, QQQ may be in for a decline to the $215-235 range. And I say this because the tech generals (largest components) in QQQ - Apple and Microsoft - have a potential downside of ~30-40% each. Read my latest articles on this subject to understand my reasoning for this call:</p><ul><li>Microsoft: Insider Selling, Frothy Valuation, Worsening Fundamentals, And More [September 15th, 2022]</li><li>Apple Vs. Microsoft Vs. Treasury Bonds: The Battle Of Safe Havens Round-2 [August 25th, 2022]</li><li>Apple Vs. Microsoft Vs. Treasury Bonds: The Battle Of Safe Havens [April 20th, 2022]</li></ul><p>We are getting closer to the Q3 (fall) earnings season, and that&#39;s when we could see a resolution on either side of the ~$270 level. With rising interest rates, the P/E trading multiples on QQQ are unlikely to expand in the foreseeable future (unless the earnings drop off, in which case the price will likely follow). Overall, I am not too fond of QQQ&#39;s medium-term risk-reward from current levels.</p><p>Final Thoughts</p><p>The Fed is hawkish as ever, and its balance sheet roll-off has just started. At some point, the Fed will break something in the economy, and then we will see yet another pivot. However, investors may have to undergo a lot more pain in equity markets before this happens. As the old adage goes -</p><blockquote><b>Don&#39;t Fight The Fed.</b></blockquote><p>And we are abiding by this rule in all of TQI&#39;s core portfolios by running our investing operations with ~50% in cash and deploying this cash slowly in a staggered fashion over a long period of time.</p><p>Over the near term, the QQQ is likely headed to June lows of ~$270, which is a downside of -7%. With the near and medium-term risk/reward being unattractive, I continue to rate QQQ &#39;Neutral&#39; at ~$290.</p><p>While broad market [QQQ] is not enticing, there are loads of individual stocks offering asymmetric risk/reward opportunities. Being selective, contrarian, and right could yield spectacular returns for investors buying during periods of heightened volatility like the one we are experiencing today. I&#39;ll leave you with this thought - &#34;Invest actively and manage risk proactively.&#34;</p><p><b>Key Takeaway:</b> I am neutral on QQQ at current levels.</p><p>Thank you for reading, and happy investing. Please feel free to share any questions, thoughts, or concerns in the comments section below.</p><p><i>This article was written by Ahan Vashi, </i><i>for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ: Summer Glory To Fade Off In Fall Obscurity?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ: Summer Glory To Fade Off In Fall Obscurity?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541722-qqq-summer-glory-fade-off-fall-obscurity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIn this note, we will discuss recent price action in Invesco's QQQ ETF, along with the factors driving this action.Furthermore, I share a fresh outlook for the QQQ now that my call for a retest...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541722-qqq-summer-glory-fade-off-fall-obscurity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541722-qqq-summer-glory-fade-off-fall-obscurity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158905038","content_text":"SummaryIn this note, we will discuss recent price action in Invesco's QQQ ETF, along with the factors driving this action.Furthermore, I share a fresh outlook for the QQQ now that my call for a retest of June lows is looking nailed on to materialize.I rate QQQ 'Neutral' at $290.Dilok KlaisatapornIntroduction: Where Do We Stand?Invesco's QQQ (NASDAQ:QQQ) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index. After a scintillating summer rally off of June lows, tech stocks and equity markets, in general, have resumed their downtrend. The lasttime I wrote on QQQ was back in early June, and here's what I said at the time:In the near term, I see QQQ running up to the $320-330 range, but over the medium term, we are likely to decline to $250-260. These targets are based on fundamental, quantitative, and technical analysis shared in today's note. With a near-term upside of 3-8% and a medium-term downside of ~20-25%, I'm not too fond of QQQ's risk/reward here. Therefore, I am neutral on QQQ at current levels.Source:Is QQQ A Buy Or Sell During The Dip? It's ComplicatedAfter initially dipping to ~$270 by mid-June, the QQQ went on a smashing rally to reach the $335 level by mid-August. On 15th August 2022, I wrote the following in my newsletter:A series of higher highs and higher lows seem to reflect a strong bullish reversal; however, below-average trading volumes are unnerving. We are close to a resistance zone in the $335-345 range, and on the weekly chart, QQQ is testing the top end of the falling wedge pattern we have traded in for the last nine months. A rejection from this zone could quite easily trigger a retest of June lows.Source:TQI Weekly - Issue #5: A New Bull Market Or Just Another Bear Market RallyQQQ's chart as of mid-August (WeBull Desktop)Now, I am not sharing this history to showcase some extraordinary ability to predict the stock market. Instead, I strongly believe that nobody knows where the market is going in the near term. All we can do is analyze the fundamental, quantitative, and technical data to get a better understanding of what could happen in the market. And then orient our investing operations to benefit from this probabilistic understanding of the market environment.Sticky inflation, rising interest rates, hawkish monetary policy, and slowing economic activity do not portend strong equity market returns for the foreseeable future. On Tuesday, the CPI inflation print came in hotter-than-expected at 8.3%, surprising market participants betting on a drop off in inflation. However, on the ground, inflation is slowing down [e.g., prices at the gas station are down significantly in recent weeks, home prices are declining, used auto prices are way off their peak, and there are many other instances]. Now, the lagging rents data (~30-40% of CPI) is set to make the headline inflation numbers look bad for some time to come.While renowned investors like Ray Dalio and Jeff Gundlach called out the rising probability of a recession during this week (and predicted another 20-25% decline in S&P500), the Fed seems to be focusing on countering inflation - moving full steam ahead with its quantitative tightening program. The expectations for the Fed's September meeting (on 21st and 22nd) are now pointing toward a 75-100 bps hike in the federal funds rate, and the bond market seems to be pricing in more hawkishness from Fed chair Jay Powell, as treasury rates continue to shift up rapidly.YChartsLegendary investor Warren Buffett's quote comes to mind:Interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to the apple. When there are low interest rates, there is a very low gravitational pull on asset prices. The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates.As interest rates have shot up in 2022, equities have been getting re-rated lower, and after a 28% YTD decline, the P/E ratio for Invesco's QQQ ETF (QQQ) [an ETF tracking Nasdaq-100 index] has come down to ~22-23x. Looking at historical data from the past ten years, the QQQ seems like a no-brainer buy at around 20x earnings.GuruFocusHowever, persistently-high inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing economic activity (amidst waning consumer confidence) are significant threats to corporate earnings and the valuation multiples attached to these earnings. Honestly, earnings may be the next shoe to drop in this market cycle, and Q3 & Q4 could bring a lot more volatility to the equity markets.A Look At Some Recent Market ActionBroad market indices [S&P500 (SPX), Nasdaq-100 (NDX), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA)] got off to a strong start in September; however, volatility returned to Wall Street last week. On Tuesday, stocks took a tumble (SPY down ~4%, QQQ down ~5%) as inflation data came in hotter-than-expected - raising expectations of a 75-100 bps rate hike by the Fed at its September meeting and even more hawkishness from the Fed. After a couple of benign days on Wednesday and Thursday, the sell-off resumed on Friday, with all major indices closing in the red. With the Fed tightening into a slowing economy, the fears of an economic recession are growing.YChartsAt my recently launched marketplace service, The Quantamental Investor, we saw our GARP & Buyback-Dividend portfolios experience a negative ROIC of -1.42% and -1.54% over the last two weeks, with a big chunk of weakness coming from a sell-off in large to mega-cap tech stocks. Interestingly, the performance of small to mid-cap (higher growth) companies was superior to that of their larger counterparts. As of the close on Friday, TQI's Moonshot Growth portfolio had an ROIC of +3.76%, which was better than iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF's (IWF) return of -1.86%.At TQI, our playbook for this bear market is -Build long positions slowly and manage risk proactively.If equity prices continue to fall over the coming weeks and months, then our dollar cost averaging plan will prove to be an effective risk management strategy. At TQI, we started our core portfolios with a 50% cash position, which we intend to deploy in a staggered way over the next ten months.Where Is The Market Headed Next?I don't know where the market will be a week, a month, or a quarter from now. However, considering valuations and technical charts, I think a retest of QQQ's June lows of ~$270 is very likely in the near term.WeBull DesktopIf we fail to hold these levels, QQQ may be in for a decline to the $215-235 range. And I say this because the tech generals (largest components) in QQQ - Apple and Microsoft - have a potential downside of ~30-40% each. Read my latest articles on this subject to understand my reasoning for this call:Microsoft: Insider Selling, Frothy Valuation, Worsening Fundamentals, And More [September 15th, 2022]Apple Vs. Microsoft Vs. Treasury Bonds: The Battle Of Safe Havens Round-2 [August 25th, 2022]Apple Vs. Microsoft Vs. Treasury Bonds: The Battle Of Safe Havens [April 20th, 2022]We are getting closer to the Q3 (fall) earnings season, and that's when we could see a resolution on either side of the ~$270 level. With rising interest rates, the P/E trading multiples on QQQ are unlikely to expand in the foreseeable future (unless the earnings drop off, in which case the price will likely follow). Overall, I am not too fond of QQQ's medium-term risk-reward from current levels.Final ThoughtsThe Fed is hawkish as ever, and its balance sheet roll-off has just started. At some point, the Fed will break something in the economy, and then we will see yet another pivot. However, investors may have to undergo a lot more pain in equity markets before this happens. As the old adage goes -Don't Fight The Fed.And we are abiding by this rule in all of TQI's core portfolios by running our investing operations with ~50% in cash and deploying this cash slowly in a staggered fashion over a long period of time.Over the near term, the QQQ is likely headed to June lows of ~$270, which is a downside of -7%. With the near and medium-term risk/reward being unattractive, I continue to rate QQQ 'Neutral' at ~$290.While broad market [QQQ] is not enticing, there are loads of individual stocks offering asymmetric risk/reward opportunities. Being selective, contrarian, and right could yield spectacular returns for investors buying during periods of heightened volatility like the one we are experiencing today. I'll leave you with this thought - \"Invest actively and manage risk proactively.\"Key Takeaway: I am neutral on QQQ at current levels.Thank you for reading, and happy investing. Please feel free to share any questions, thoughts, or concerns in the comments section below.This article was written by Ahan Vashi, for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035024218,"gmtCreate":1647476106545,"gmtModify":1676534234390,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seems like market has priced in the rate hikes","listText":"Seems like market has priced in the rate hikes","text":"Seems like market has priced in the rate hikes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035024218","repostId":"2220169793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220169793","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1647471128,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220169793?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 06:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Pares Gains after Fed Hikes Rates, Signals More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220169793","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022* S&P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%March 16 (Reuters) - The S&P 500closed up ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022</p><p>* S&amp;P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%</p><p>* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&amp;P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%</p><p>March 16 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed up more than 2% while the Nasdaq rallied almost 4% on Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era&#39;s easy monetary policy.</p><p>The central bank announced a quarter-percentage-point increase in its benchmark overnight rate as was widely expected but the projection that its rate would hit between 1.75% and 2% by year&#39;s end was more hawkish than some investors said they had expected.</p><p>While the Fed flagged the massive uncertainty the economy faces from the war between Russia and Ukraine and the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, it said &#34;ongoing increases&#34; in the target federal funds rate &#34;will be appropriate&#34; to curb the highest inflation the country has witnessed in 40 years.</p><p>While the major indexes pared earlier gains sharply and the S&amp;P and the Dow both dipped into the red briefly after the Fed statement, the indexes steadied as Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at a press conference.</p><p>Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis said investors may be relieved the Fed is taking action against surging inflation.</p><p>&#34;Hearing the Fed finally &#39;say and act&#39; to tackle inflation is somewhat calming for the investment community, and for Main Street struggling with higher inflation,&#34; he said.</p><p>But other market analysts were concerned the aggressive rate hike projected could cause the economy to skid.</p><p>&#34;This looks like a Fed that is intending on causing recession in order to stamp out the inflation problem and that is as short sighted as calling inflation transitory a year ago,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer, Horizon Investments, Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p>Joseph LaVorgna, Americas chief economist at Natixis in New York was also skeptical.</p><p>“They’re going to try to be aggressive here in raising rates. I wish Jay Powell and company all the best of luck because they&#39;re not going to get anywhere near as they think, unless they’re willing to throw a lot of people out of jobs, because that&#39;s what&#39;s going to happen.  Because we&#39;re going to have a recession. This is a recession forecast,&#34; he said.</p><p>&#34;I just don&#39;t see the Fed being able to engineer this kind of tightening for what right now is inflationary demand destruction.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 518.76 points, or 1.55%, to 34,063.1, the S&amp;P 500 gained 95.41 points, or 2.24%, to 4,357.86 and the Nasdaq Composite added 487.93 points, or 3.77%, to 13,436.55.</p><p>Of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, the biggest gainers were sectors that had fallen sharply in a recent sell off with consumer discretionary and technology</p><p>both finishing up more than 3% while communications services and financials added almost 3%.</p><p>Only two of the sectors ended the day in the red with energy falling 0.4% and utilities losing 0.2%.</p><p>Historical data suggests tighter monetary policy has often been accompanied by solid gains in stocks. The S&amp;P 500 has returned an average 7.7% in the first year the Fed raises rates, according to a Deutsche Bank study of 13 hiking cycles since 1955.</p><p>Ahead of the Fed statement stocks had been rallying as talk of compromise from both Moscow and Kyiv on a status for Ukraine outside of NATO lifted hope on Wednesday for a potential breakthrough after three weeks of war.</p><p>The global mood had also been lifted earlier by China&#39;s promise to roll out more stimulus for the economy and keep markets stable.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 93 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 15.82 billion shares changed hands compared with the 14.04 billion 20-day moving average.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Pares Gains after Fed Hikes Rates, Signals More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Pares Gains after Fed Hikes Rates, Signals More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-17 06:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022</p><p>* S&amp;P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%</p><p>* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&amp;P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%</p><p>March 16 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed up more than 2% while the Nasdaq rallied almost 4% on Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era&#39;s easy monetary policy.</p><p>The central bank announced a quarter-percentage-point increase in its benchmark overnight rate as was widely expected but the projection that its rate would hit between 1.75% and 2% by year&#39;s end was more hawkish than some investors said they had expected.</p><p>While the Fed flagged the massive uncertainty the economy faces from the war between Russia and Ukraine and the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, it said &#34;ongoing increases&#34; in the target federal funds rate &#34;will be appropriate&#34; to curb the highest inflation the country has witnessed in 40 years.</p><p>While the major indexes pared earlier gains sharply and the S&amp;P and the Dow both dipped into the red briefly after the Fed statement, the indexes steadied as Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at a press conference.</p><p>Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis said investors may be relieved the Fed is taking action against surging inflation.</p><p>&#34;Hearing the Fed finally &#39;say and act&#39; to tackle inflation is somewhat calming for the investment community, and for Main Street struggling with higher inflation,&#34; he said.</p><p>But other market analysts were concerned the aggressive rate hike projected could cause the economy to skid.</p><p>&#34;This looks like a Fed that is intending on causing recession in order to stamp out the inflation problem and that is as short sighted as calling inflation transitory a year ago,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer, Horizon Investments, Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p>Joseph LaVorgna, Americas chief economist at Natixis in New York was also skeptical.</p><p>“They’re going to try to be aggressive here in raising rates. I wish Jay Powell and company all the best of luck because they&#39;re not going to get anywhere near as they think, unless they’re willing to throw a lot of people out of jobs, because that&#39;s what&#39;s going to happen.  Because we&#39;re going to have a recession. This is a recession forecast,&#34; he said.</p><p>&#34;I just don&#39;t see the Fed being able to engineer this kind of tightening for what right now is inflationary demand destruction.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 518.76 points, or 1.55%, to 34,063.1, the S&amp;P 500 gained 95.41 points, or 2.24%, to 4,357.86 and the Nasdaq Composite added 487.93 points, or 3.77%, to 13,436.55.</p><p>Of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, the biggest gainers were sectors that had fallen sharply in a recent sell off with consumer discretionary and technology</p><p>both finishing up more than 3% while communications services and financials added almost 3%.</p><p>Only two of the sectors ended the day in the red with energy falling 0.4% and utilities losing 0.2%.</p><p>Historical data suggests tighter monetary policy has often been accompanied by solid gains in stocks. The S&amp;P 500 has returned an average 7.7% in the first year the Fed raises rates, according to a Deutsche Bank study of 13 hiking cycles since 1955.</p><p>Ahead of the Fed statement stocks had been rallying as talk of compromise from both Moscow and Kyiv on a status for Ukraine outside of NATO lifted hope on Wednesday for a potential breakthrough after three weeks of war.</p><p>The global mood had also been lifted earlier by China&#39;s promise to roll out more stimulus for the economy and keep markets stable.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 93 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 15.82 billion shares changed hands compared with the 14.04 billion 20-day moving average.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2220169793","content_text":"* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022* S&P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%March 16 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed up more than 2% while the Nasdaq rallied almost 4% on Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era's easy monetary policy.The central bank announced a quarter-percentage-point increase in its benchmark overnight rate as was widely expected but the projection that its rate would hit between 1.75% and 2% by year's end was more hawkish than some investors said they had expected.While the Fed flagged the massive uncertainty the economy faces from the war between Russia and Ukraine and the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, it said \"ongoing increases\" in the target federal funds rate \"will be appropriate\" to curb the highest inflation the country has witnessed in 40 years.While the major indexes pared earlier gains sharply and the S&P and the Dow both dipped into the red briefly after the Fed statement, the indexes steadied as Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at a press conference.Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis said investors may be relieved the Fed is taking action against surging inflation.\"Hearing the Fed finally 'say and act' to tackle inflation is somewhat calming for the investment community, and for Main Street struggling with higher inflation,\" he said.But other market analysts were concerned the aggressive rate hike projected could cause the economy to skid.\"This looks like a Fed that is intending on causing recession in order to stamp out the inflation problem and that is as short sighted as calling inflation transitory a year ago,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer, Horizon Investments, Charlotte, North Carolina.Joseph LaVorgna, Americas chief economist at Natixis in New York was also skeptical.“They’re going to try to be aggressive here in raising rates. I wish Jay Powell and company all the best of luck because they're not going to get anywhere near as they think, unless they’re willing to throw a lot of people out of jobs, because that's what's going to happen.  Because we're going to have a recession. This is a recession forecast,\" he said.\"I just don't see the Fed being able to engineer this kind of tightening for what right now is inflationary demand destruction.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 518.76 points, or 1.55%, to 34,063.1, the S&P 500 gained 95.41 points, or 2.24%, to 4,357.86 and the Nasdaq Composite added 487.93 points, or 3.77%, to 13,436.55.Of the S&P 500's 11 major industry sectors, the biggest gainers were sectors that had fallen sharply in a recent sell off with consumer discretionary and technologyboth finishing up more than 3% while communications services and financials added almost 3%.Only two of the sectors ended the day in the red with energy falling 0.4% and utilities losing 0.2%.Historical data suggests tighter monetary policy has often been accompanied by solid gains in stocks. The S&P 500 has returned an average 7.7% in the first year the Fed raises rates, according to a Deutsche Bank study of 13 hiking cycles since 1955.Ahead of the Fed statement stocks had been rallying as talk of compromise from both Moscow and Kyiv on a status for Ukraine outside of NATO lifted hope on Wednesday for a potential breakthrough after three weeks of war.The global mood had also been lifted earlier by China's promise to roll out more stimulus for the economy and keep markets stable.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 93 new lows.On U.S. exchanges 15.82 billion shares changed hands compared with the 14.04 billion 20-day moving average.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032128261,"gmtCreate":1647308614569,"gmtModify":1676534215023,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032128261","repostId":"2219209972","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2219209972","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1647297540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2219209972?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-15 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech, Growth Stocks Lead Wall Street to Lower Close as Investors Focus on Interest Rates","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2219209972","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Financial shares higher* Energy shares slip as Brent falls* All eyes on Fed policy meeting* Indexe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Financial shares higher</p><p>* Energy shares slip as Brent falls</p><p>* All eyes on Fed policy meeting</p><p>* Indexes: Dow flat, S&amp;P 500 down 0.7%, Nasdaq down 2%</p><p>NEW YORK, March 14 (Reuters) - Major U.S. stock indexes closed mostly lower on Monday, led by a more than 2% drop in Nasdaq, as investors sold tech and big growth names ahead of this week&#39;s Federal Reserve meeting and an expected hike in interest rates.</p><p>The Dow ended flat, with financial and healthcare shares giving the index some support.</p><p>Developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict added to investor caution as Russian and Ukrainian delegations held a fourth round of talks on Monday, but no progress was announced, while Russian forces allowed a first convoy of cars to escape Ukraine&#39;s besieged port of Mariupol.</p><p>Apple Inc shares fell 2.7% and weighed the most on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq after its supplier Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, known as Foxconn, suspended operations in China&#39;s Shenzhen amid rising COVID-19 cases.</p><p>The Fed is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in three years Wednesday in an effort to combat rising inflation.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re seeing that rotation into value and away from growth, and a lot of that is tied to what&#39;s happening to interest rates,&#34; said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Investment Management in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;Equity markets are going to be challenged going forward, and today is yet another example of that.&#34;</p><p>The technology sector and consumer discretionary were the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500. Higher interest rates are a negative for tech and growth stocks because their valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.05 points to 32,945.24, the S&amp;P 500 lost 31.2 points, or 0.74%, to 4,173.11 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 262.59 points, or 2.04%, to 12,581.22.</p><p>The Russell 2000 index of small capitalization stocks fell 1.9% and was down more than 20% from its November record closing high. The Cboe volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose.</p><p>The S&amp;P financial index rose 1.3% as U.S. Treasury yields jumped to 2-1/2-year highs. The healthcare sector advanced 0.7%, with UnitedHealth Group up 1%.</p><p>Energy slid 2.9%, as Brent crude fell below $110 a barrel, a week after it rose as high as $139 due to the Ukraine crisis.</p><p>Oil and other commodity prices have shot up following tough Western sanctions against Russia.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.05-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.97-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and 32 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 26 new highs and 615 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.26 billion shares, compared with the 13.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech, Growth Stocks Lead Wall Street to Lower Close as Investors Focus on Interest Rates</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech, Growth Stocks Lead Wall Street to Lower Close as Investors Focus on Interest Rates\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-15 06:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Financial shares higher</p><p>* Energy shares slip as Brent falls</p><p>* All eyes on Fed policy meeting</p><p>* Indexes: Dow flat, S&amp;P 500 down 0.7%, Nasdaq down 2%</p><p>NEW YORK, March 14 (Reuters) - Major U.S. stock indexes closed mostly lower on Monday, led by a more than 2% drop in Nasdaq, as investors sold tech and big growth names ahead of this week&#39;s Federal Reserve meeting and an expected hike in interest rates.</p><p>The Dow ended flat, with financial and healthcare shares giving the index some support.</p><p>Developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict added to investor caution as Russian and Ukrainian delegations held a fourth round of talks on Monday, but no progress was announced, while Russian forces allowed a first convoy of cars to escape Ukraine&#39;s besieged port of Mariupol.</p><p>Apple Inc shares fell 2.7% and weighed the most on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq after its supplier Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, known as Foxconn, suspended operations in China&#39;s Shenzhen amid rising COVID-19 cases.</p><p>The Fed is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in three years Wednesday in an effort to combat rising inflation.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re seeing that rotation into value and away from growth, and a lot of that is tied to what&#39;s happening to interest rates,&#34; said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Investment Management in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;Equity markets are going to be challenged going forward, and today is yet another example of that.&#34;</p><p>The technology sector and consumer discretionary were the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500. Higher interest rates are a negative for tech and growth stocks because their valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.05 points to 32,945.24, the S&amp;P 500 lost 31.2 points, or 0.74%, to 4,173.11 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 262.59 points, or 2.04%, to 12,581.22.</p><p>The Russell 2000 index of small capitalization stocks fell 1.9% and was down more than 20% from its November record closing high. The Cboe volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose.</p><p>The S&amp;P financial index rose 1.3% as U.S. Treasury yields jumped to 2-1/2-year highs. The healthcare sector advanced 0.7%, with UnitedHealth Group up 1%.</p><p>Energy slid 2.9%, as Brent crude fell below $110 a barrel, a week after it rose as high as $139 due to the Ukraine crisis.</p><p>Oil and other commodity prices have shot up following tough Western sanctions against Russia.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.05-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.97-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and 32 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 26 new highs and 615 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.26 billion shares, compared with the 13.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4079":"房地产服务","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4539":"次新股","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2219209972","content_text":"* Financial shares higher* Energy shares slip as Brent falls* All eyes on Fed policy meeting* Indexes: Dow flat, S&P 500 down 0.7%, Nasdaq down 2%NEW YORK, March 14 (Reuters) - Major U.S. stock indexes closed mostly lower on Monday, led by a more than 2% drop in Nasdaq, as investors sold tech and big growth names ahead of this week's Federal Reserve meeting and an expected hike in interest rates.The Dow ended flat, with financial and healthcare shares giving the index some support.Developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict added to investor caution as Russian and Ukrainian delegations held a fourth round of talks on Monday, but no progress was announced, while Russian forces allowed a first convoy of cars to escape Ukraine's besieged port of Mariupol.Apple Inc shares fell 2.7% and weighed the most on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after its supplier Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, known as Foxconn, suspended operations in China's Shenzhen amid rising COVID-19 cases.The Fed is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in three years Wednesday in an effort to combat rising inflation.\"We're seeing that rotation into value and away from growth, and a lot of that is tied to what's happening to interest rates,\" said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Investment Management in Chicago.\"Equity markets are going to be challenged going forward, and today is yet another example of that.\"The technology sector and consumer discretionary were the biggest drags on the S&P 500. Higher interest rates are a negative for tech and growth stocks because their valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.05 points to 32,945.24, the S&P 500 lost 31.2 points, or 0.74%, to 4,173.11 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 262.59 points, or 2.04%, to 12,581.22.The Russell 2000 index of small capitalization stocks fell 1.9% and was down more than 20% from its November record closing high. The Cboe volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose.The S&P financial index rose 1.3% as U.S. Treasury yields jumped to 2-1/2-year highs. The healthcare sector advanced 0.7%, with UnitedHealth Group up 1%.Energy slid 2.9%, as Brent crude fell below $110 a barrel, a week after it rose as high as $139 due to the Ukraine crisis.Oil and other commodity prices have shot up following tough Western sanctions against Russia.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.05-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.97-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and 32 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 26 new highs and 615 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.26 billion shares, compared with the 13.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044836416,"gmtCreate":1656729035235,"gmtModify":1676535885429,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure","listText":"Sure","text":"Sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044836416","repostId":"2248897596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248897596","pubTimestamp":1656718142,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248897596?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-02 07:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in July","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248897596","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Riding the Oracle of Omaha's coattails is a proven moneymaking strategy.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Few investors have a nose for making money quite like billionaire Warren Buffett. Since becoming CEO of conglomerate <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> in 1965, the Oracle of Omaha, as he&#39;s come to be known, has created more than $610 billion in value for shareholders and delivered an aggregate return on his company&#39;s Class A shares (BRK.A) of 3,641,613%, through Dec. 31, 2021.</p><p>Even though Buffett isn&#39;t infallible, riding his coattails has been a proven recipe to outperform the benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b> for more than a half-century.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e92116e97f06291ec28eda85974acb1b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p><p>As we push into the second half of what&#39;s been an exceptionally volatile and challenging year for investors, several Berkshire Hathaway holdings stand out as amazing values. The following three Warren Buffett stocks can all be confidently bought hand over fist in July.</p><h2>Bank of America</h2><p>The first Buffett stock that&#39;s begging to be bought in July is money-center giant <b>Bank of America</b>.</p><p>Usually, bank stocks are an industry to avoid when the broader market is mired in a double-digit decline. However, this time is different. It&#39;s the first time ever that the U.S.&#39;s central bank has aggressively raised interest rates into a plunging stock market.</p><p>Under normal circumstances, we&#39;d expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in order to spur lending and support the U.S. economy and stock market. Doing so lowers the net-interest-income-earning potential for bank stocks like BofA. But with the Fed increasing its fed funds target rate by 150 basis points in just the past three meetings, bank stocks are poised to benefit from a significant uptick in net-interest income.</p><p>Among big-bank stocks, none is more interest-sensitive than Bank of America. In April, when the company reported its first-quarter operating results, BofA noted it would generate an estimated $5.4 billion in added net-interest income with a 100-basis-point parallel shift in the interest rate yield curve. By 2022&#39;s end, we could see a 300-basis-point (or higher) jump in the fed funds rate.</p><p>Bank of America has also benefited from its consistent investments in technology and digitization. Over a three-year stretch, the number of active digital users has grown by 5 million to 42 million. More importantly, 53% of all first-quarter loan sales were completed online or via mobile app, which is up from 30% in the comparable quarter in 2019. Digital sales are considerably cheaper for the company than in-person or phone-based interactions. It&#39;s this digital push that&#39;s allowed BofA to consolidate some of its branches to lower its noninterest expenses.</p><p>If you need one more good reason to sink your teeth into Bank of America, take a closer look at its valuation. Whereas most companies are likely to endure a near-term earnings decline, BofA&#39;s earnings per share could grow by close to 20% in 2023. With shares trading close to book value and roughly eight times Wall Street&#39;s forecast earnings for the upcoming year, Bank of America just might be the best deal in Buffett&#39;s entire portfolio.</p><h2>Activision Blizzard</h2><p>A second Warren Buffett stock investors can confidently scoop up in July is gaming giant <b>Activision Blizzard</b>.</p><p>Like most tech stocks, Activision has a cloud of uncertainty following it. However, it has its own unique set of concerns beyond just historically high inflation, the rising prospect of a domestic recession, and rising interest rates closing off access to historically cheap capital. In Activision&#39;s case, it&#39;s faced multiple lawsuits covering allegations of discrimination and sexual harassment in the workplace.</p><p>To make matters worse, the company delayed the release of a number of key games expected to drive new users into its ecosystem. First-person shooter game <i>Overwatch 2</i> and action role-playing game <i>Diablo IV </i>had their respective release dates pushed back to the fourth quarter of 2022 and sometime in 2023.</p><p>However, these snafus have arguably rolled out the red carpet for opportunistic investors. For instance, the company&#39;s litigation should be resolved soon.</p><p>Activision ended March with 372 million monthly active users (MAUs). Although down from the year-ago period, MAUs tied to its King subsidiary, the home of <i>Candy Crush</i>, have held up particularly well. The upcoming releases of key games in the second half of 2022 and into 2023 should reignite MAU growth in the Activision segment.</p><p>Even more important is the fact that <b>Microsoft</b> has made a $68.7 billion all-cash offer to acquire Activision Blizzard at $95 a share. Aside from becoming even more influential in the gaming space with this deal, Microsoft plans to use Activision as a launching point to further its metaverse ambitions. The metaverse is the next iteration of the internet, which allows connected users to interact with each other and their surroundings in 3D virtual worlds.</p><p>Thus far, it doesn&#39;t appear that Activision and Microsoft have run into snags with U.S. regulators regarding the deal. This is noteworthy given that Activision Blizzard&#39;s stock ended last week below $78 a share. If Microsoft closes this deal in 2022, as anticipated, Activision shareholders could nab a quick 22% arbitrage opportunity. This is precisely why Warren Buffett&#39;s company purchased a roughly 9.5% stake in Activision.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfef5e9062efb34674bebd076d991a15\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>The Wuling Hong Guang Mini Cabrio EV. Image source: General Motors.</span></p><h2>General Motors</h2><p>A third and final Warren Buffett stock to buy hand over fist in July is automaker <b>General Motors</b>.</p><p>You could say that what can go wrong <i>has</i> gone wrong for the auto industry in 2022. Semiconductor chip shortages and COVID-19 lockdowns in select international markets, such as China, have disrupted supply chains. Historically high inflation on the materials used to make vehicles is eating into auto margins. Yet in spite of these headwinds, GM has the drive to make long-term investors richer.</p><p>After many years of waiting on the next big organic growth opportunity for auto stocks, it&#39;s finally arrived. The electrification of automobiles should result in consumers and businesses changing or upgrading vehicles for decades to come.</p><p>For its part, General Motors has spared no expense. The company anticipates spending an aggregate of $35 billion through 2025 on electric vehicles (EVs), autonomous vehicles, and batteries. It expects to have two fully dedicated battery plants up and running by the end of next year, with a goal of producing at least 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025. In total, 30 new EVs are expected to be launched globally by the end of 2025.</p><p>Initial figures suggest there&#39;s a lot of interest in GM&#39;s EV products. When GM released its first-quarter operating results on April 26, CEO Mary Barra noted in her letter to shareholders that approximately 140,000 retail reservations for the Chevy Silverado EV had already been placed. The Silverado EV was only introduced by Barra in January 2022.</p><p>General Motors also has a real shot to become a key player in China&#39;s EV market. China is the largest auto market in the world. Aside from the fact that GM has an established presence in China -- it delivered 2.9 million vehicles in both 2020 and 2021 -- it and its joint venture partners already have the best-selling EV in the country, the Wuling Hong Guang Mini EV.</p><p>With an extensive growth opportunity on its doorstep, General Motors is an incredible deal at only five times Wall Street&#39;s forecast earnings for 2022 and 2023.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in July</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in July\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-02 07:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/01/3-warren-buffett-stocks-buy-hand-over-fist-in-july/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Few investors have a nose for making money quite like billionaire Warren Buffett. Since becoming CEO of conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway in 1965, the Oracle of Omaha, as he's come to be known, has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/01/3-warren-buffett-stocks-buy-hand-over-fist-in-july/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","BAC":"美国银行","ATVI":"动视暴雪"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/01/3-warren-buffett-stocks-buy-hand-over-fist-in-july/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248897596","content_text":"Few investors have a nose for making money quite like billionaire Warren Buffett. Since becoming CEO of conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway in 1965, the Oracle of Omaha, as he's come to be known, has created more than $610 billion in value for shareholders and delivered an aggregate return on his company's Class A shares (BRK.A) of 3,641,613%, through Dec. 31, 2021.Even though Buffett isn't infallible, riding his coattails has been a proven recipe to outperform the benchmark S&P 500 for more than a half-century.Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.As we push into the second half of what's been an exceptionally volatile and challenging year for investors, several Berkshire Hathaway holdings stand out as amazing values. The following three Warren Buffett stocks can all be confidently bought hand over fist in July.Bank of AmericaThe first Buffett stock that's begging to be bought in July is money-center giant Bank of America.Usually, bank stocks are an industry to avoid when the broader market is mired in a double-digit decline. However, this time is different. It's the first time ever that the U.S.'s central bank has aggressively raised interest rates into a plunging stock market.Under normal circumstances, we'd expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in order to spur lending and support the U.S. economy and stock market. Doing so lowers the net-interest-income-earning potential for bank stocks like BofA. But with the Fed increasing its fed funds target rate by 150 basis points in just the past three meetings, bank stocks are poised to benefit from a significant uptick in net-interest income.Among big-bank stocks, none is more interest-sensitive than Bank of America. In April, when the company reported its first-quarter operating results, BofA noted it would generate an estimated $5.4 billion in added net-interest income with a 100-basis-point parallel shift in the interest rate yield curve. By 2022's end, we could see a 300-basis-point (or higher) jump in the fed funds rate.Bank of America has also benefited from its consistent investments in technology and digitization. Over a three-year stretch, the number of active digital users has grown by 5 million to 42 million. More importantly, 53% of all first-quarter loan sales were completed online or via mobile app, which is up from 30% in the comparable quarter in 2019. Digital sales are considerably cheaper for the company than in-person or phone-based interactions. It's this digital push that's allowed BofA to consolidate some of its branches to lower its noninterest expenses.If you need one more good reason to sink your teeth into Bank of America, take a closer look at its valuation. Whereas most companies are likely to endure a near-term earnings decline, BofA's earnings per share could grow by close to 20% in 2023. With shares trading close to book value and roughly eight times Wall Street's forecast earnings for the upcoming year, Bank of America just might be the best deal in Buffett's entire portfolio.Activision BlizzardA second Warren Buffett stock investors can confidently scoop up in July is gaming giant Activision Blizzard.Like most tech stocks, Activision has a cloud of uncertainty following it. However, it has its own unique set of concerns beyond just historically high inflation, the rising prospect of a domestic recession, and rising interest rates closing off access to historically cheap capital. In Activision's case, it's faced multiple lawsuits covering allegations of discrimination and sexual harassment in the workplace.To make matters worse, the company delayed the release of a number of key games expected to drive new users into its ecosystem. First-person shooter game Overwatch 2 and action role-playing game Diablo IV had their respective release dates pushed back to the fourth quarter of 2022 and sometime in 2023.However, these snafus have arguably rolled out the red carpet for opportunistic investors. For instance, the company's litigation should be resolved soon.Activision ended March with 372 million monthly active users (MAUs). Although down from the year-ago period, MAUs tied to its King subsidiary, the home of Candy Crush, have held up particularly well. The upcoming releases of key games in the second half of 2022 and into 2023 should reignite MAU growth in the Activision segment.Even more important is the fact that Microsoft has made a $68.7 billion all-cash offer to acquire Activision Blizzard at $95 a share. Aside from becoming even more influential in the gaming space with this deal, Microsoft plans to use Activision as a launching point to further its metaverse ambitions. The metaverse is the next iteration of the internet, which allows connected users to interact with each other and their surroundings in 3D virtual worlds.Thus far, it doesn't appear that Activision and Microsoft have run into snags with U.S. regulators regarding the deal. This is noteworthy given that Activision Blizzard's stock ended last week below $78 a share. If Microsoft closes this deal in 2022, as anticipated, Activision shareholders could nab a quick 22% arbitrage opportunity. This is precisely why Warren Buffett's company purchased a roughly 9.5% stake in Activision.The Wuling Hong Guang Mini Cabrio EV. Image source: General Motors.General MotorsA third and final Warren Buffett stock to buy hand over fist in July is automaker General Motors.You could say that what can go wrong has gone wrong for the auto industry in 2022. Semiconductor chip shortages and COVID-19 lockdowns in select international markets, such as China, have disrupted supply chains. Historically high inflation on the materials used to make vehicles is eating into auto margins. Yet in spite of these headwinds, GM has the drive to make long-term investors richer.After many years of waiting on the next big organic growth opportunity for auto stocks, it's finally arrived. The electrification of automobiles should result in consumers and businesses changing or upgrading vehicles for decades to come.For its part, General Motors has spared no expense. The company anticipates spending an aggregate of $35 billion through 2025 on electric vehicles (EVs), autonomous vehicles, and batteries. It expects to have two fully dedicated battery plants up and running by the end of next year, with a goal of producing at least 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025. In total, 30 new EVs are expected to be launched globally by the end of 2025.Initial figures suggest there's a lot of interest in GM's EV products. When GM released its first-quarter operating results on April 26, CEO Mary Barra noted in her letter to shareholders that approximately 140,000 retail reservations for the Chevy Silverado EV had already been placed. The Silverado EV was only introduced by Barra in January 2022.General Motors also has a real shot to become a key player in China's EV market. China is the largest auto market in the world. Aside from the fact that GM has an established presence in China -- it delivered 2.9 million vehicles in both 2020 and 2021 -- it and its joint venture partners already have the best-selling EV in the country, the Wuling Hong Guang Mini EV.With an extensive growth opportunity on its doorstep, General Motors is an incredible deal at only five times Wall Street's forecast earnings for 2022 and 2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046279264,"gmtCreate":1656369668158,"gmtModify":1676535812809,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure","listText":"Sure","text":"Sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9046279264","repostId":"2246790640","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246790640","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656342785,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246790640?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-27 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Supreme Court Won't Hear Apple's Bid to Revive Qualcomm Patent Challenges","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246790640","media":"Reuters","summary":"The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday declined to hear Apple Inc's    bid to revive an effort to cancel t","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday declined to hear Apple Inc&#39;s    bid to revive an effort to cancel two Qualcomm Inc    smartphone patents despite the global settlement of the underlying dispute between the two tech giants.</p><p>The justices turned away Apple&#39;s appeal of a lower court&#39;s ruling that the Cupertino, California-based company lacked standing to pursue the matter because of the settlement. Apple had argued that it should be allowed to appeal because San Diego-based Qualcomm could sue again after the settlement ends.</p><p>Qualcomm sued Apple in San Diego federal court in 2017, arguing that its iPhones, iPads and Apple Watches infringed a variety of Qualcomm mobile-technology patents. That case was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> element of a broader dispute between the rivals.</p><p>Apple challenged the validity of the two patents at issue at the Patent and Trademark Office&#39;s Patent Trial and Appeal Board.</p><p>The parties settled their litigation in 2019, signing an agreement worth billions of dollars that allowed Apple to continue using Qualcomm chips in iPhones. The settlement also featured a license to tens of thousands of Qualcomm patents, including the two at issue, but allowed the patent board case to continue.</p><p>The board ruled in favor of Qualcomm. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, which specializes in patent law, dismissed Apple&#39;s appeal last year based on the settlement. The Federal Circuit rejected Apple&#39;s contention that its royalty payments and risk of being sued again justified hearing the case on the merits.</p><p>Apple told the Supreme Court that it still faced the risk of litigation after the agreement expires in 2025, or in 2027 if the settlement term is extended. Qualcomm already sued once, has &#34;not disclaimed its intention to do so again,&#34; and has a &#34;history of aggressively enforcing its patents,&#34; Apple said.</p><p>Qualcomm asked the justices to reject the appeal, arguing Apple had not shown any concrete injury that would give it proper legal standing.</p><p>President Joe Biden&#39;s administration urged the Supreme Court to reject the appeal in a brief in May.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Supreme Court Won't Hear Apple's Bid to Revive Qualcomm Patent Challenges</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Supreme Court Won't Hear Apple's Bid to Revive Qualcomm Patent Challenges\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-27 23:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday declined to hear Apple Inc&#39;s    bid to revive an effort to cancel two Qualcomm Inc    smartphone patents despite the global settlement of the underlying dispute between the two tech giants.</p><p>The justices turned away Apple&#39;s appeal of a lower court&#39;s ruling that the Cupertino, California-based company lacked standing to pursue the matter because of the settlement. Apple had argued that it should be allowed to appeal because San Diego-based Qualcomm could sue again after the settlement ends.</p><p>Qualcomm sued Apple in San Diego federal court in 2017, arguing that its iPhones, iPads and Apple Watches infringed a variety of Qualcomm mobile-technology patents. That case was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> element of a broader dispute between the rivals.</p><p>Apple challenged the validity of the two patents at issue at the Patent and Trademark Office&#39;s Patent Trial and Appeal Board.</p><p>The parties settled their litigation in 2019, signing an agreement worth billions of dollars that allowed Apple to continue using Qualcomm chips in iPhones. The settlement also featured a license to tens of thousands of Qualcomm patents, including the two at issue, but allowed the patent board case to continue.</p><p>The board ruled in favor of Qualcomm. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, which specializes in patent law, dismissed Apple&#39;s appeal last year based on the settlement. The Federal Circuit rejected Apple&#39;s contention that its royalty payments and risk of being sued again justified hearing the case on the merits.</p><p>Apple told the Supreme Court that it still faced the risk of litigation after the agreement expires in 2025, or in 2027 if the settlement term is extended. Qualcomm already sued once, has &#34;not disclaimed its intention to do so again,&#34; and has a &#34;history of aggressively enforcing its patents,&#34; Apple said.</p><p>Qualcomm asked the justices to reject the appeal, arguing Apple had not shown any concrete injury that would give it proper legal standing.</p><p>President Joe Biden&#39;s administration urged the Supreme Court to reject the appeal in a brief in May.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","AAPL":"苹果","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4574":"无人驾驶"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246790640","content_text":"The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday declined to hear Apple Inc's    bid to revive an effort to cancel two Qualcomm Inc    smartphone patents despite the global settlement of the underlying dispute between the two tech giants.The justices turned away Apple's appeal of a lower court's ruling that the Cupertino, California-based company lacked standing to pursue the matter because of the settlement. Apple had argued that it should be allowed to appeal because San Diego-based Qualcomm could sue again after the settlement ends.Qualcomm sued Apple in San Diego federal court in 2017, arguing that its iPhones, iPads and Apple Watches infringed a variety of Qualcomm mobile-technology patents. That case was one element of a broader dispute between the rivals.Apple challenged the validity of the two patents at issue at the Patent and Trademark Office's Patent Trial and Appeal Board.The parties settled their litigation in 2019, signing an agreement worth billions of dollars that allowed Apple to continue using Qualcomm chips in iPhones. The settlement also featured a license to tens of thousands of Qualcomm patents, including the two at issue, but allowed the patent board case to continue.The board ruled in favor of Qualcomm. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, which specializes in patent law, dismissed Apple's appeal last year based on the settlement. The Federal Circuit rejected Apple's contention that its royalty payments and risk of being sued again justified hearing the case on the merits.Apple told the Supreme Court that it still faced the risk of litigation after the agreement expires in 2025, or in 2027 if the settlement term is extended. Qualcomm already sued once, has \"not disclaimed its intention to do so again,\" and has a \"history of aggressively enforcing its patents,\" Apple said.Qualcomm asked the justices to reject the appeal, arguing Apple had not shown any concrete injury that would give it proper legal standing.President Joe Biden's administration urged the Supreme Court to reject the appeal in a brief in May.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020317944,"gmtCreate":1652578526288,"gmtModify":1676535122857,"author":{"id":"4105782264507090","authorId":"4105782264507090","name":"Gaamy","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/fe28ae1bba6f1013b666ffc592db0768","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105782264507090","authorIdStr":"4105782264507090"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good advice&nbsp;","listText":"Good advice&nbsp;","text":"Good advice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020317944","repostId":"2235891744","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235891744","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1652575892,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235891744?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-15 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Are Stocks on the Verge of a Bear Market? Stagflation, the Fed and What Investors Need to Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235891744","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will take more than Friday's big  bounce to put to rest the fear of a bear market in stocks as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's ability to get a grip on inflation without sinking the economy","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will take more than Friday&#39;s big  bounce to put to rest the fear of a bear market in stocks as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve&#39;s ability to get a grip on inflation without sinking the economy stokes fears of stagflation -- a pernicious combination of slow economic growth and persistent inflation.</p><p>Stagflation is &#34;an awful environment&#34; for investors, usually resulting in stocks and bonds losing value simultaneously and playing havoc with traditional portfolios divided 60% to stocks and 40% to bonds, said Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management.</p><p>That&#39;s already been the case in 2022. Bond markets have lost ground as Treasury yields, which move opposite to prices, soared in reaction to inflation running at the highest in more than forty years along with expectations for aggressive monetary tightening by the Fed. Since the S&amp;P 500 index&#39;s record close on Jan. 3 this year stocks have been on a slide that&#39;s left the large-capitalization benchmark on the verge of formally entering bear market territory.</p><p>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> Core U.S. Aggregate Bond <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGG\">$(AGG)$</a> is down more than 10% year to date through Friday. It tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, which includes Treasurys, corporate bonds, munis, mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities. The S&amp;P 500  is down 15.6% over the same stretch.</p><p>The situation leaves &#34;practically nowhere to hide,&#34; wrote analysts at Montreal-based PGM Global, in a note this past week.</p><p>&#34;Not only are long-term Treasuries and Investment Grade credit moving nearly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-for-one, but selloffs in long-term Treasuries are also coinciding more frequently with down days in the S&amp;P 500,&#34; they said.</p><p>Investors looking for solace were disappointed on Wednesday. The eagerly awaited U.S. April consumer price index showed the annual pace of inflation slowed to 8.3% from a more than four decade high of 8.5% in March, but economists had been looking for a more pronounced slowing, and the core reading, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, showed an unexpected monthly uptick.</p><p>That&#39;s underlined stagflation fears.</p><p>Davis is also portfolio manager of the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Exchange-Traded Fund <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVOL\">$(IVOL)$</a>, with roughly $1.65 billion in assets, which aims to serve as a hedge against rising fixed-income volatility. The fund holds inflation-protected securities and has exposure to the differential between short- and long-term interest rates, she said.</p><p>The rates market at present is &#34;very complacent,&#34; she said, in a phone interview, signaling expectations that Fed interest rate hikes are &#34;going to create a disinflationary environment,&#34; when tightening is unlikely to do anything to resolve the supply-side problems that are plaguing the economy in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p>Meanwhile, analysts and traders were debating whether the stock market&#39;s Friday bounce heralded the start of a bottoming process or was merely a bounce from oversold conditions. Skepticism of a bottom ran high.</p><p>&#34;Following a week of heavy selling, but with inflationary pressures easing just at the margin, and the Fed still seemingly wedded to 50 basis point hikes for each of the next two [rate-setting] meetings, the market was poised for the kind of strong rally endemic to bear market rallies,&#34; said Quincy Krosby, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial.</p><p>Mark Hulbert:The beginning of the end of the stock market&#39;s correction could be near</p><p>&#34;Friday&#39;s bounce managed to cut this week&#39;s losses nearly in half, but despite the massive upside volume, overall volume was sub-par and more will be needed to think even minor lows are at hand,&#34; said Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat.</p><p>It was quite a bounce. The Nasdaq Composite , which slipped into a bear market earlier this year and fell to a nearly 2 1/2-year low in the past week, jumped 3.8% Friday for its biggest one-day percentage gain since Nov. 4, 2020. That trimmed its weekly fall to a still hefty 2.8%.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 bounced 2.4%, nearly halving its weekly decline. That left the large-cap U.S. benchmark down  down 16.1% from its record close in early January, after ending Thursday just shy of the 20% pullback that would meet the technical definition of a bear market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  rose 466.36, or 1.7%, leaving it with a weekly decline of 2.1%.</p><p>And all three major indexes are sporting long, weekly losing streaks, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq each down for six straight weeks, the longest stretch since 2011 and 2012, respectively, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow booked its seventh consecutive losing week -- its longest streak since 2001.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has yet to formally enter a bear market, but analysts see no shortage of ursine behavior.</p><p>As Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, observed on Wednesday, correlations between stocks were running in the 90th to 100th decile, meaning lockstep performance that suggested equities were largely trading in unison -- &#34;one of the defining characteristics of a bear market.&#34;</p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 has moved &#34;uncomfortably close&#34; to a bear market, it&#39;s important to keep in mind that big stock-market pullbacks are normal and occur with frequency, analysts said. Barron&#39;s noted that the stock market has seen 10 bear-market pullbacks since 1950, and numerous other corrections and other significant pullbacks.</p><p>But the speed and scope of the recent rally may understandably be leaving investors rattled, particularly those who haven&#39;t experienced a volatile downturn, said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, in a phone interview.</p><p>The rally had seen &#34;every single sector of the market going up,&#34; he noted. &#34;That&#39;s not a normal market&#34; and now the worm has turned as monetary and fiscal policy tightens up in reaction to hot inflation.</p><p>The appropriate response, he said, is to follow the same tried-and-true but &#34;boring&#34; advice usually offered during volatile markets: stay diversified, hold many asset classes and don&#39;t panic or make wholesale changes to portfolios.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s not fun right now,&#34; he said, but &#34;this is how real markets work.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Are Stocks on the Verge of a Bear Market? Stagflation, the Fed and What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Are Stocks on the Verge of a Bear Market? Stagflation, the Fed and What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-15 08:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will take more than Friday&#39;s big  bounce to put to rest the fear of a bear market in stocks as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve&#39;s ability to get a grip on inflation without sinking the economy stokes fears of stagflation -- a pernicious combination of slow economic growth and persistent inflation.</p><p>Stagflation is &#34;an awful environment&#34; for investors, usually resulting in stocks and bonds losing value simultaneously and playing havoc with traditional portfolios divided 60% to stocks and 40% to bonds, said Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management.</p><p>That&#39;s already been the case in 2022. Bond markets have lost ground as Treasury yields, which move opposite to prices, soared in reaction to inflation running at the highest in more than forty years along with expectations for aggressive monetary tightening by the Fed. Since the S&amp;P 500 index&#39;s record close on Jan. 3 this year stocks have been on a slide that&#39;s left the large-capitalization benchmark on the verge of formally entering bear market territory.</p><p>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> Core U.S. Aggregate Bond <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGG\">$(AGG)$</a> is down more than 10% year to date through Friday. It tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, which includes Treasurys, corporate bonds, munis, mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities. The S&amp;P 500  is down 15.6% over the same stretch.</p><p>The situation leaves &#34;practically nowhere to hide,&#34; wrote analysts at Montreal-based PGM Global, in a note this past week.</p><p>&#34;Not only are long-term Treasuries and Investment Grade credit moving nearly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-for-one, but selloffs in long-term Treasuries are also coinciding more frequently with down days in the S&amp;P 500,&#34; they said.</p><p>Investors looking for solace were disappointed on Wednesday. The eagerly awaited U.S. April consumer price index showed the annual pace of inflation slowed to 8.3% from a more than four decade high of 8.5% in March, but economists had been looking for a more pronounced slowing, and the core reading, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, showed an unexpected monthly uptick.</p><p>That&#39;s underlined stagflation fears.</p><p>Davis is also portfolio manager of the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Exchange-Traded Fund <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVOL\">$(IVOL)$</a>, with roughly $1.65 billion in assets, which aims to serve as a hedge against rising fixed-income volatility. The fund holds inflation-protected securities and has exposure to the differential between short- and long-term interest rates, she said.</p><p>The rates market at present is &#34;very complacent,&#34; she said, in a phone interview, signaling expectations that Fed interest rate hikes are &#34;going to create a disinflationary environment,&#34; when tightening is unlikely to do anything to resolve the supply-side problems that are plaguing the economy in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p>Meanwhile, analysts and traders were debating whether the stock market&#39;s Friday bounce heralded the start of a bottoming process or was merely a bounce from oversold conditions. Skepticism of a bottom ran high.</p><p>&#34;Following a week of heavy selling, but with inflationary pressures easing just at the margin, and the Fed still seemingly wedded to 50 basis point hikes for each of the next two [rate-setting] meetings, the market was poised for the kind of strong rally endemic to bear market rallies,&#34; said Quincy Krosby, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial.</p><p>Mark Hulbert:The beginning of the end of the stock market&#39;s correction could be near</p><p>&#34;Friday&#39;s bounce managed to cut this week&#39;s losses nearly in half, but despite the massive upside volume, overall volume was sub-par and more will be needed to think even minor lows are at hand,&#34; said Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat.</p><p>It was quite a bounce. The Nasdaq Composite , which slipped into a bear market earlier this year and fell to a nearly 2 1/2-year low in the past week, jumped 3.8% Friday for its biggest one-day percentage gain since Nov. 4, 2020. That trimmed its weekly fall to a still hefty 2.8%.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 bounced 2.4%, nearly halving its weekly decline. That left the large-cap U.S. benchmark down  down 16.1% from its record close in early January, after ending Thursday just shy of the 20% pullback that would meet the technical definition of a bear market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  rose 466.36, or 1.7%, leaving it with a weekly decline of 2.1%.</p><p>And all three major indexes are sporting long, weekly losing streaks, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq each down for six straight weeks, the longest stretch since 2011 and 2012, respectively, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow booked its seventh consecutive losing week -- its longest streak since 2001.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has yet to formally enter a bear market, but analysts see no shortage of ursine behavior.</p><p>As Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, observed on Wednesday, correlations between stocks were running in the 90th to 100th decile, meaning lockstep performance that suggested equities were largely trading in unison -- &#34;one of the defining characteristics of a bear market.&#34;</p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 has moved &#34;uncomfortably close&#34; to a bear market, it&#39;s important to keep in mind that big stock-market pullbacks are normal and occur with frequency, analysts said. Barron&#39;s noted that the stock market has seen 10 bear-market pullbacks since 1950, and numerous other corrections and other significant pullbacks.</p><p>But the speed and scope of the recent rally may understandably be leaving investors rattled, particularly those who haven&#39;t experienced a volatile downturn, said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, in a phone interview.</p><p>The rally had seen &#34;every single sector of the market going up,&#34; he noted. &#34;That&#39;s not a normal market&#34; and now the worm has turned as monetary and fiscal policy tightens up in reaction to hot inflation.</p><p>The appropriate response, he said, is to follow the same tried-and-true but &#34;boring&#34; advice usually offered during volatile markets: stay diversified, hold many asset classes and don&#39;t panic or make wholesale changes to portfolios.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s not fun right now,&#34; he said, but &#34;this is how real markets work.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVOL":"Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235891744","content_text":"It will take more than Friday's big  bounce to put to rest the fear of a bear market in stocks as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's ability to get a grip on inflation without sinking the economy stokes fears of stagflation -- a pernicious combination of slow economic growth and persistent inflation.Stagflation is \"an awful environment\" for investors, usually resulting in stocks and bonds losing value simultaneously and playing havoc with traditional portfolios divided 60% to stocks and 40% to bonds, said Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management.That's already been the case in 2022. Bond markets have lost ground as Treasury yields, which move opposite to prices, soared in reaction to inflation running at the highest in more than forty years along with expectations for aggressive monetary tightening by the Fed. Since the S&P 500 index's record close on Jan. 3 this year stocks have been on a slide that's left the large-capitalization benchmark on the verge of formally entering bear market territory.The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF $(AGG)$ is down more than 10% year to date through Friday. It tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, which includes Treasurys, corporate bonds, munis, mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities. The S&P 500  is down 15.6% over the same stretch.The situation leaves \"practically nowhere to hide,\" wrote analysts at Montreal-based PGM Global, in a note this past week.\"Not only are long-term Treasuries and Investment Grade credit moving nearly one-for-one, but selloffs in long-term Treasuries are also coinciding more frequently with down days in the S&P 500,\" they said.Investors looking for solace were disappointed on Wednesday. The eagerly awaited U.S. April consumer price index showed the annual pace of inflation slowed to 8.3% from a more than four decade high of 8.5% in March, but economists had been looking for a more pronounced slowing, and the core reading, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, showed an unexpected monthly uptick.That's underlined stagflation fears.Davis is also portfolio manager of the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Exchange-Traded Fund $(IVOL)$, with roughly $1.65 billion in assets, which aims to serve as a hedge against rising fixed-income volatility. The fund holds inflation-protected securities and has exposure to the differential between short- and long-term interest rates, she said.The rates market at present is \"very complacent,\" she said, in a phone interview, signaling expectations that Fed interest rate hikes are \"going to create a disinflationary environment,\" when tightening is unlikely to do anything to resolve the supply-side problems that are plaguing the economy in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic.Meanwhile, analysts and traders were debating whether the stock market's Friday bounce heralded the start of a bottoming process or was merely a bounce from oversold conditions. Skepticism of a bottom ran high.\"Following a week of heavy selling, but with inflationary pressures easing just at the margin, and the Fed still seemingly wedded to 50 basis point hikes for each of the next two [rate-setting] meetings, the market was poised for the kind of strong rally endemic to bear market rallies,\" said Quincy Krosby, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial.Mark Hulbert:The beginning of the end of the stock market's correction could be near\"Friday's bounce managed to cut this week's losses nearly in half, but despite the massive upside volume, overall volume was sub-par and more will be needed to think even minor lows are at hand,\" said Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat.It was quite a bounce. The Nasdaq Composite , which slipped into a bear market earlier this year and fell to a nearly 2 1/2-year low in the past week, jumped 3.8% Friday for its biggest one-day percentage gain since Nov. 4, 2020. That trimmed its weekly fall to a still hefty 2.8%.The S&P 500 bounced 2.4%, nearly halving its weekly decline. That left the large-cap U.S. benchmark down  down 16.1% from its record close in early January, after ending Thursday just shy of the 20% pullback that would meet the technical definition of a bear market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  rose 466.36, or 1.7%, leaving it with a weekly decline of 2.1%.And all three major indexes are sporting long, weekly losing streaks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each down for six straight weeks, the longest stretch since 2011 and 2012, respectively, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow booked its seventh consecutive losing week -- its longest streak since 2001.The S&P 500 has yet to formally enter a bear market, but analysts see no shortage of ursine behavior.As Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, observed on Wednesday, correlations between stocks were running in the 90th to 100th decile, meaning lockstep performance that suggested equities were largely trading in unison -- \"one of the defining characteristics of a bear market.\"While the S&P 500 has moved \"uncomfortably close\" to a bear market, it's important to keep in mind that big stock-market pullbacks are normal and occur with frequency, analysts said. Barron's noted that the stock market has seen 10 bear-market pullbacks since 1950, and numerous other corrections and other significant pullbacks.But the speed and scope of the recent rally may understandably be leaving investors rattled, particularly those who haven't experienced a volatile downturn, said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, in a phone interview.The rally had seen \"every single sector of the market going up,\" he noted. \"That's not a normal market\" and now the worm has turned as monetary and fiscal policy tightens up in reaction to hot inflation.The appropriate response, he said, is to follow the same tried-and-true but \"boring\" advice usually offered during volatile markets: stay diversified, hold many asset classes and don't panic or make wholesale changes to portfolios.\"It's not fun right now,\" he said, but \"this is how real markets work.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}