Rocknroll personal page - To The Moon

Rocknroll

Rocknroll

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2022-07-30

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Happy]

2022-07-28

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Happy]

2022-07-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Happy]

2022-07-20

$Fiverr International Ltd.(FVRR)$[Happy]

2022-07-19

$Twitter(TWTR)$[Great]

2022-07-15

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Happy]

2022-07-13

$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$[smile]

2022-07-12

$The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC)$Yeah

2022-07-09

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Happy]

2022-07-08

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$up up up

2022-07-06

$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$[Happy]

2022-07-04

$The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC)$up up up

2022-06-26

$GameStop(GME)$To the moon[Grin]

2022-06-26

$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$[smile]

2022-06-26

Great

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-06-24

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Miser]

2022-06-24

Great

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-06-24

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Miser]

2022-06-24

Ok

Roku Could Gain From Netflix’s Ad-Supported Tier, Says Analyst

2022-06-24

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Great]

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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16:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roku Could Gain From Netflix’s Ad-Supported Tier, Says Analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173280919","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsRoku, a major player in the connected TV space, is expected to gain significantly wh","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsRoku, a major player in the connected TV space, is expected to gain significantly when Netflix introduces an ad-supported tier. Let us look at how Roku could benefit from this ad-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/roku-could-gain-from-netflixs-ad-supported-tier-says-analyst/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roku Could Gain From Netflix’s Ad-Supported Tier, Says Analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoku Could Gain From Netflix’s Ad-Supported Tier, Says Analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-24 16:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/roku-could-gain-from-netflixs-ad-supported-tier-says-analyst/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsRoku, a major player in the connected TV space, is expected to gain significantly when Netflix introduces an ad-supported tier. Let us look at how Roku could benefit from this ad-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/roku-could-gain-from-netflixs-ad-supported-tier-says-analyst/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/roku-could-gain-from-netflixs-ad-supported-tier-says-analyst/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173280919","content_text":"Story HighlightsRoku, a major player in the connected TV space, is expected to gain significantly when Netflix introduces an ad-supported tier. Let us look at how Roku could benefit from this ad-supported tier.Shares of Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU) have jumped 22.5% in the past five days, buoyed by the buzz that Netflix (NFLX) could be interested in snapping up the connected-TV (CTV) player. These rumors were further fueled by Netflix’s plans to explore an ad-supported tier for its service.Roku connects consumers with streaming services through its platform and takes a share of the advertising revenues generated from it. The company also has its own free app, which offers ad-supported movies and shows.Recently, Needham analyst Laura Martin outlined the reasons why Roku could stand to benefit if Netflix adds an ad-supported tier to its service.The analyst is of the view that the “streaming wars will be won by ad-driven business models” because “free” streaming always has the largest total addressable market (TAM). In such a scenario, Martin added that in the European Union (EU) and the United States, customers who “opt-in” for personalized ads will be the most valuable customers.Moreover, Martin pointed out that the U.S. streaming market is at a mature stage, which means that reducing churn is extremely important for content streaming services. In order to minimize this churn, the analyst believes that “AdTech [advertising technology] is converging with streaming,” making advertising technology as important as content.In such a scenario, the analyst believes that Roku, with its streaming driven 100% by ads and an “active installed base of >60mm US homes (ie, 50% of total US homes), with 100% opt-in [when it comes to targeted ads] from consumers,” the company “maximizes ad innovation.”Martin is of the opinion that Roku is at an advantage in the streaming space with its focus on software leading to “first-to-market innovations.”The analyst expects Roku to introduce “dynamic ad insertion for linear TV formats” in 2023 which would allow Roku “to serve more targeted ads for higher CPMs [cost per thousand] in real time (ie, scatter).”Martin reiterated a bullish stance on the stock with a Buy rating and a price target of $205, implying an upside potential of 124.8% to current levels.The analyst pointed out that as of March 30, Roku devices were installed in 60 million homes, reaching around 150 million consumers in the U.S. making the connected-TV player “the largest premium long-form film and TV content platform for CTV ads.”Other analysts on the Street, however, are cautiously optimistic about the stock with a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 17 Buys, five Holds, and one Sell. The average ROKU price target of $152.26 implies an upside potential of 66.8% at current levels.Bottom LineRoku seems all set to benefit from Netflix’s decision to go for an ad-supported tier. While Martin cited data from eMarketer that expects the CTV industry to grow at 40% in 2022, the analyst expects that this growth “should be faster for ROKU with its best-in-class data, and rev [revenue] upside from ad innovations, eCommerce and performance advters [advertisers].”The stock also scores a 9 out of 10 on the TipRanks Smart Score system, which indicates that the stock is highly likely to outperform the market. The TipRanks Smart Score system is a data-driven, quantitative scoring system that analyses stocks on eight major parameters and comes up with a Smart Score ranging from 1 to 10. The higher the score, the more likely is the stock to outperform the market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041252120,"gmtCreate":1656062082360,"gmtModify":1676535761052,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4107258823901050","authorIdStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[Great]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[Great]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Great]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6932af17e43c2cb129314c6db5c5f4f1","width":"1080","height":"3631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041252120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9056384018,"gmtCreate":1654946313534,"gmtModify":1676535538206,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy 8th anniversary Tiger! Tiger shares up up up!- I was recommended by VI college to open&nbsp;a&nbsp;Tiger brokerage account. I find the&nbsp;Tiger's brokerage&nbsp;app&nbsp;is user-friendly and easy to navigate with the features compared to other brokerage app.&nbsp;- My first post was about the news of Tesla share announcement.- My first traded stock was TSLA.","listText":"Happy 8th anniversary Tiger! Tiger shares up up up!- I was recommended by VI college to open&nbsp;a&nbsp;Tiger brokerage account. I find the&nbsp;Tiger's brokerage&nbsp;app&nbsp;is user-friendly and easy to navigate with the features compared to other brokerage app.&nbsp;- My first post was about the news of Tesla share announcement.- My first traded stock was TSLA.","text":"Happy 8th anniversary Tiger! Tiger shares up up up!- I was recommended by VI college to open a Tiger brokerage account. I find the Tiger's brokerage app is user-friendly and easy to navigate with the features compared to other brokerage app. - My first post was about the news of Tesla share announcement.- My first traded stock was TSLA.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056384018","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3587020790873268","authorId":"3587020790873268","name":"meurasian77","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/029ef04cb8ec6291c3e5d53eb5cfac4b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3587020790873268","idStr":"3587020790873268"},"content":"kudos for the heads up","text":"kudos for the heads up","html":"kudos for the heads 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07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Battery May Create A Winner-Take-All Situation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134066941","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryInvesting in nonlinear stocks like Tesla is all about anticipating nonlinear effects.And an e","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Investing in nonlinear stocks like Tesla is all about anticipating nonlinear effects.</li><li>And an effective way involves drawing analogies from other nonlinear situations, especially situations with a wide range and variety.</li><li>The thesis, therefore, is to analyze the similarities between the current EV battery situation and the QWERTY keyboards in the typewriter industry.</li><li>The lack of standardization and the convolution of many non-technical factors can potentially create a winner-take-all situation.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>Investing in nonlinear stocks like Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is all about anticipating nonlinear effects. Investors not only need to have the ability to see around the corner but also need to do so before most people. However, to say this is hard is simply a truism. And a &#34;trick&#34; I find effective in analyzing nonlinear situations is to draw analogies from another nonlinear situation. I, of course, did not invent this trick. Others have discussed it in length, and books have been written about it. A recent one that I found very readable is David Epstein&#39;s bestseller entitled<i>&#34;Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World&#34;</i>. Highly recommended.</p><p>Now, the art of drawing analogies lies in the <i>range</i>(hence the title of Epstein&#39;s book). Drawing analogies from similar situations does not help too much. We need to draw analogies from situations with <i>range</i>. Citing an example from his book, if you try to analyze the new competing landscape amid M&amp;As in a dynamic market, analyzing &#34;similar&#34; M&amp;As won&#39;t be too helpful. Most likely, there are no &#34;similar&#34; prior examples. It is more helpful to draw analogies from a completely different domain, for example, the power struggle of countries during a dynamic time (say Europe during the 1500s and 1600s).</p><p>Now, back to TSLA. The thesis is to analyze the current situation between its battery production and the QWERTY keyboards. Despite (or thanks to) the wide range of these two examples, you will see the central argument is that due to the lack of standardization, the battery issue potentially creates a winner-take-all situation in EV space, just like the QWERTY keyboard did in the keyboard space. Note that the thesis is not to argue if such potential is good or bad. Whether the dominance of the QWERTY keyboard is good or bad depends on your perspective and historical context. The thesis is just that there is such a potential and TSLA is one of the main contenders, thus creating an investment opportunity with enormous upside.</p><p><b>QWERTY Keyboard and EV Battery</b></p><p>A bit of background on the QWERTY keyboard first - in the off chance that some readers never paid attention to its history. The QWERTY design was designed for typewriters and became popular in 1878. It has remained in ubiquitous use since then. Before it became popular, there was a multitude of contemporary alternatives. But once it did, it dominated and became the <i>only</i> one left.</p><p>Now, back again to TSLA and batteries. A few key similarities here. First, the battery issue now, just like the keyboard design in the 1870s, lacks standardization and there is a multitude of alternative designs. TSLA itself has used and is still using multiple cell designs (18650, 2170, and more recently 4680), and it is unlikely that the EV industry will reach a standardization agreement anytime soon.</p><p>Second, the battery issue is crucial to the EV industry, just like the keyboard design is to the typewriter industry. We will elaborate more on the importance later.</p><p>Third, the winner does not have to be the &#34;best&#34; design, just like in the typewriter case. Many readers try to analyze the technical superiority of battery design A vs B. But the matter of fact is that in a highly nonlinear and dynamic market, many factors besides technical superiority contribute and convolute. Furthermore, once dominance is established, it sticks. The QWERTY keyboard in a sense is the least efficient design for modern computers, but this does not stop it from being <i>the</i> standard keyboard today when jamming the keys is a concern at all.</p><p><b>TSLA&#39;s Battery Plan</b></p><p>Let&#39;s discuss the crucial role of the battery issue in the EV industry. Simply put, it is <i>the</i> bottleneck issue. In my view, our EV problem equals a battery problem. TSLA (and other EV players too) recognized the issue a long time ago. For example, back in its 2020 Battery Day presentation, TSLA announced a battery plan to improve design, build its own cells, and better integrate the cells into the vehicle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff981e3a652331155c7f5886da20e486\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TSLA Investor Presentation</p><p>Fast-forward to 2022, TSLA celebrated its one-millionth 4680 cell production earlier in the year, as you can see from the following Twitter message sent out by Elon Musk. It&#39;s a baby step, admittedly. Each Model Y needs about 1k of these cells. So 1 million 4680 cells are only enough for about 1,000 Model Ys. But it is a good start. Because the next steps can be so nonlinear that a small step can create far-fetching ripple effects, as discussed next.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94210d04b6183bf77eef16f988b8f857\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TSLA Official Twitter</p><p><b>Nonlinear Effects of Battery</b></p><p>First, some technical background. Compared to the earlier 2170 cells, each 4680 cell is about 5x large in volume and can, therefore, hold about 5x the energy of each 2170 cell. Regarding the 4680 cells, a common comment from readers to my other battery article involves a zero-sum counter-argument. Since each 4680 cell is 5x larger than 2170 cells in volume and only delivers 5x more energy, are they not the same? In terms of material cost, manufacturing cost, weight, et al?</p><p>My answer is no because of the second-order effects. Not all the components scale equally. For example, the weight of the steel casings is less in the 4680 which would allow greater amounts of active components (it has to do with the surface area/volume ratio, a detail best left for the comment section). Furthermore, 5x more energy means 5x fewer <i>numbers</i> of cells used per vehicle. When the number of cells decreases, the use of connectors, assemble difficulty, and logistics all decrease. In the end, the 4680 cells can deliver 6x the power (the distinction between energy and power is again best left for the comments) and boost the driving range by 16%.</p><p>Then there are even higher-order effects and non-technical effects (well, maybe still technical, just beyond the range of battery technicalities). For example, the in-house production of 4680 cells can lead to more streamlined battery-vehicle integration. Further down the road, battery-software integration would be the next logical step toward driving range optimization and even autonomous driving.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b141b337b16ad62a5734d606f84b89\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TSLA Investor Presentation</p><p><b>Final Thoughts and Risks</b></p><p>In my view, our EV problem is a battery problem. And the battery problem has the potential to create a win-take-all situation in the EV space, just like the QWERTY keyboard did for typewriters. These two situations share many similarities: notably the lack of standardization and the convolution of many non-technical factors. TSLA&#39;s in-house production of the 4680 cells is admittedly a small step on the battery front. But it creates the potential to trigger other high-order effects. I view it as a bullish catalyst, and it puts TSLA in a more advantageous position as a contender.</p><p>TSLA faces many risks, both in terms of its batteries and beyond.</p><p>It is currently facing supply chain constraints and rising costs (especially on raw materials and electronics for batteries). As a result, it has just announced significant increases of the prices of EVs with some models going up by as much as $6,000. Whether these price increases can work out successfully or not remains to be seen.</p><p>Economies-of-scale is a limiting factor to reduce battery costs, and TSLA&#39;s 4680 cells have not reached this critical scale yet (far away from it). The earlier 18650 cells, for example, have taken billions of units produced to make them economically attractive to a wide range of producers and end-users.</p><p>TSLA&#39;s vertical integration plan in the battery space also faces uncertainties and competition. On its 2020 Battery Day, TSLA announced its planned entry into lithium mining. The plan was to start with buying lithium claims on 10,000 acres in Nevada. But nothing has really happened so far (while other players including Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) have been actively developing lithium extraction techniques and facilities). AndMusk Twittedrecently about &#34;actually&#34; getting on with this (the emphases were added by me):</p><blockquote>&#34;Price of lithium has gone to insane levels! Tesla<b>might actually have to</b>get into the mining and refining directly at scale, unless costs improve. There is no shortage of the element itself, as lithium is almost everywhere on Earth, but pace of extraction/refinement is slow.&#34;</blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Battery May Create A Winner-Take-All Situation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Battery May Create A Winner-Take-All Situation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-21 07:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519360-tesla-tsla-battery-may-create-winner-take-all-situation?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryInvesting in nonlinear stocks like Tesla is all about anticipating nonlinear effects.And an effective way involves drawing analogies from other nonlinear situations, especially situations with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519360-tesla-tsla-battery-may-create-winner-take-all-situation?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519360-tesla-tsla-battery-may-create-winner-take-all-situation?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134066941","content_text":"SummaryInvesting in nonlinear stocks like Tesla is all about anticipating nonlinear effects.And an effective way involves drawing analogies from other nonlinear situations, especially situations with a wide range and variety.The thesis, therefore, is to analyze the similarities between the current EV battery situation and the QWERTY keyboards in the typewriter industry.The lack of standardization and the convolution of many non-technical factors can potentially create a winner-take-all situation.ThesisInvesting in nonlinear stocks like Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is all about anticipating nonlinear effects. Investors not only need to have the ability to see around the corner but also need to do so before most people. However, to say this is hard is simply a truism. And a \"trick\" I find effective in analyzing nonlinear situations is to draw analogies from another nonlinear situation. I, of course, did not invent this trick. Others have discussed it in length, and books have been written about it. A recent one that I found very readable is David Epstein's bestseller entitled\"Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World\". Highly recommended.Now, the art of drawing analogies lies in the range(hence the title of Epstein's book). Drawing analogies from similar situations does not help too much. We need to draw analogies from situations with range. Citing an example from his book, if you try to analyze the new competing landscape amid M&As in a dynamic market, analyzing \"similar\" M&As won't be too helpful. Most likely, there are no \"similar\" prior examples. It is more helpful to draw analogies from a completely different domain, for example, the power struggle of countries during a dynamic time (say Europe during the 1500s and 1600s).Now, back to TSLA. The thesis is to analyze the current situation between its battery production and the QWERTY keyboards. Despite (or thanks to) the wide range of these two examples, you will see the central argument is that due to the lack of standardization, the battery issue potentially creates a winner-take-all situation in EV space, just like the QWERTY keyboard did in the keyboard space. Note that the thesis is not to argue if such potential is good or bad. Whether the dominance of the QWERTY keyboard is good or bad depends on your perspective and historical context. The thesis is just that there is such a potential and TSLA is one of the main contenders, thus creating an investment opportunity with enormous upside.QWERTY Keyboard and EV BatteryA bit of background on the QWERTY keyboard first - in the off chance that some readers never paid attention to its history. The QWERTY design was designed for typewriters and became popular in 1878. It has remained in ubiquitous use since then. Before it became popular, there was a multitude of contemporary alternatives. But once it did, it dominated and became the only one left.Now, back again to TSLA and batteries. A few key similarities here. First, the battery issue now, just like the keyboard design in the 1870s, lacks standardization and there is a multitude of alternative designs. TSLA itself has used and is still using multiple cell designs (18650, 2170, and more recently 4680), and it is unlikely that the EV industry will reach a standardization agreement anytime soon.Second, the battery issue is crucial to the EV industry, just like the keyboard design is to the typewriter industry. We will elaborate more on the importance later.Third, the winner does not have to be the \"best\" design, just like in the typewriter case. Many readers try to analyze the technical superiority of battery design A vs B. But the matter of fact is that in a highly nonlinear and dynamic market, many factors besides technical superiority contribute and convolute. Furthermore, once dominance is established, it sticks. The QWERTY keyboard in a sense is the least efficient design for modern computers, but this does not stop it from being the standard keyboard today when jamming the keys is a concern at all.TSLA's Battery PlanLet's discuss the crucial role of the battery issue in the EV industry. Simply put, it is the bottleneck issue. In my view, our EV problem equals a battery problem. TSLA (and other EV players too) recognized the issue a long time ago. For example, back in its 2020 Battery Day presentation, TSLA announced a battery plan to improve design, build its own cells, and better integrate the cells into the vehicle.TSLA Investor PresentationFast-forward to 2022, TSLA celebrated its one-millionth 4680 cell production earlier in the year, as you can see from the following Twitter message sent out by Elon Musk. It's a baby step, admittedly. Each Model Y needs about 1k of these cells. So 1 million 4680 cells are only enough for about 1,000 Model Ys. But it is a good start. Because the next steps can be so nonlinear that a small step can create far-fetching ripple effects, as discussed next.TSLA Official TwitterNonlinear Effects of BatteryFirst, some technical background. Compared to the earlier 2170 cells, each 4680 cell is about 5x large in volume and can, therefore, hold about 5x the energy of each 2170 cell. Regarding the 4680 cells, a common comment from readers to my other battery article involves a zero-sum counter-argument. Since each 4680 cell is 5x larger than 2170 cells in volume and only delivers 5x more energy, are they not the same? In terms of material cost, manufacturing cost, weight, et al?My answer is no because of the second-order effects. Not all the components scale equally. For example, the weight of the steel casings is less in the 4680 which would allow greater amounts of active components (it has to do with the surface area/volume ratio, a detail best left for the comment section). Furthermore, 5x more energy means 5x fewer numbers of cells used per vehicle. When the number of cells decreases, the use of connectors, assemble difficulty, and logistics all decrease. In the end, the 4680 cells can deliver 6x the power (the distinction between energy and power is again best left for the comments) and boost the driving range by 16%.Then there are even higher-order effects and non-technical effects (well, maybe still technical, just beyond the range of battery technicalities). For example, the in-house production of 4680 cells can lead to more streamlined battery-vehicle integration. Further down the road, battery-software integration would be the next logical step toward driving range optimization and even autonomous driving.TSLA Investor PresentationFinal Thoughts and RisksIn my view, our EV problem is a battery problem. And the battery problem has the potential to create a win-take-all situation in the EV space, just like the QWERTY keyboard did for typewriters. These two situations share many similarities: notably the lack of standardization and the convolution of many non-technical factors. TSLA's in-house production of the 4680 cells is admittedly a small step on the battery front. But it creates the potential to trigger other high-order effects. I view it as a bullish catalyst, and it puts TSLA in a more advantageous position as a contender.TSLA faces many risks, both in terms of its batteries and beyond.It is currently facing supply chain constraints and rising costs (especially on raw materials and electronics for batteries). As a result, it has just announced significant increases of the prices of EVs with some models going up by as much as $6,000. Whether these price increases can work out successfully or not remains to be seen.Economies-of-scale is a limiting factor to reduce battery costs, and TSLA's 4680 cells have not reached this critical scale yet (far away from it). The earlier 18650 cells, for example, have taken billions of units produced to make them economically attractive to a wide range of producers and end-users.TSLA's vertical integration plan in the battery space also faces uncertainties and competition. On its 2020 Battery Day, TSLA announced its planned entry into lithium mining. The plan was to start with buying lithium claims on 10,000 acres in Nevada. But nothing has really happened so far (while other players including Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) have been actively developing lithium extraction techniques and facilities). AndMusk Twittedrecently about \"actually\" getting on with this (the emphases were added by me):\"Price of lithium has gone to insane levels! Teslamight actually have toget into the mining and refining directly at scale, unless costs improve. There is no shortage of the element itself, as lithium is almost everywhere on Earth, but pace of extraction/refinement is slow.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058382891,"gmtCreate":1654787591813,"gmtModify":1676535511098,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IMPP\">$Imperial Petroleum Inc(IMPP)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IMPP\">$Imperial Petroleum Inc(IMPP)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"$Imperial Petroleum Inc(IMPP)$[Happy]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ce701bf511e6ec956bb945cc19342fcf","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058382891","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048830728,"gmtCreate":1656175674364,"gmtModify":1676535780346,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>To the moon[Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>To the moon[Grin]&nbsp;","text":"$GameStop(GME)$To the moon[Grin]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8fa7b8062b5d160a66c69b7e1a4eaa9d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048830728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048830972,"gmtCreate":1656175556296,"gmtModify":1676535780314,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048830972","repostId":"1151818496","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151818496","pubTimestamp":1656160129,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151818496?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 20:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ready to Get Rich in the Stock Market? 5 Investments You Can't Go Wrong With","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151818496","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"KEY POINTSLook for companies that can do well regardless of the economic environment.Also seek out o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>KEY POINTS</p><ul><li>Look for companies that can do well regardless of the economic environment.</li><li>Also seek out organizations with strong potential for recurring, renewable revenue.</li><li>Whatever the company&#39;s prospects and business model, it&#39;s always better to step into the stock after a dip rather than at a high.</li></ul><p>After seeing the market carnage since the start of the year, it would be easy to throw in the towel on stocks. Already down more than 20% from its highs, each of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s recent rebound efforts so far seems to have faded pretty fast. We could see more downside before all is said and done, particularly given that summer and early fall are tepid times for stocks anyway.</p><p>As veteran investors can attest, though, the time to buy is on the dips. And yet trying to perfectly time any entries often hurts more than it helps. As 17th-century scholar Robert Burton put it, we shouldn&#39;t be &#34;penny wise and pound foolish&#34; by holding out for the exact bottom we may not actually recognize as the bottom at the time.</p><p>With that as the backdrop, if you&#39;re looking to score some major long-term-gain stocks, here are five you can&#39;t go wrong with while they&#39;re down.</p><p>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a></p><p>It may be a bit obvious and overused as a suggested investment, but Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has earned the &#34;can&#39;t go wrong&#34; accolade for all the right reasons. Year-over-year revenue has only slumped in two quarters during the past 10 years, and one of those was linked to COVID-19&#39;s arrival in the United States back in 2020.</p><p>The headwind was overcome by the next quarter.</p><p>You know Alphabet is the parent of search engine behemoth Google. You may or may not know that it&#39;s also the owner of the online video platform YouTube, and you likely don&#39;t realize it&#39;s also the name behind the mobile operating system Android. Android and Google are (by far) the dominant names in their respective arenas, according to data from GlobalStats. While YouTube is in a category mostly by itself, it&#39;s still a clear powerhouse when it comes to keeping people entertained. Market research outfit eMarketer estimates more than 130 million consumers in the United States alone will watch YouTube videos on a true television set this year, pitting it against more traditional streaming names like Netflix as well as traditional cable TV services.</p><p>The point is, wherever Alphabet goes, it tends to dominate.</p><p>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></p><p>You may not be familiar with a company called ServiceNow (SNOW 5.88%), but there&#39;s a good chance you&#39;re a customer of a company that relies on the software it provides. As of its most recent tally, about 7,400 organizations are ServiceNow clients, collectively contributing more than $1.7 billion worth of revenue during the first quarter of this year alone. That&#39;s 29% better than ServiceNow&#39;s top line from the same quarter a year earlier, underscoring the growth potential of the no-code workflow software market.</p><p>In the simplest terms, workflow software provides a way for workers to build their own computer programs even if they don&#39;t actually have any coding experience or training. By empowering employees with these tools, efficiency goes up, and costs go down. ServiceNow offers custom-built workflow solutions for clients ranging from human resources departments to risk-management teams to a company&#39;s customers themselves.</p><p>The industry is still in its infancy too. Fortune Business Insights estimates the workflow software market is on pace to grow by an average of more than 30% per year between 2020 and 2028, boding well for ServiceNow and its shareholders.</p><p>3. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">Merck</a></p><p>Merck was never one of the top contenders in the race to create a COVID-19 vaccine, nor in the effort to find an effective treatment for those who had been infected by the virus. That&#39;s the biggest reason this stock didn&#39;t perform as well as many other drugmakers&#39; stocks did in 2020 and 2021.</p><p>In retrospect, though, perhaps Merck&#39;s unwillingness to pull out all the stops to address COVID-19 was a brilliant decision. Key coronavirus players like Moderna and Pfizer are now watching their stocks struggle because there&#39;s no proverbial second act to ending a pandemic. Or, perhaps just as problematic, the COVID-19 virus is evolving faster than the drugs and vaccines specifically designed for it are. The newest sub-variant of the omicron strain of the virus is surprisingly resistant to most of the approved vaccines aimed at the disease.</p><p>Rather than being bogged down by a short-lived, highly competitive coronavirus opportunity, Merck has continued to develop its flagship drug, cancer-fighting Keytruda. While most investors were eyeing the pandemic and what&#39;s happening in Washington, D.C., for the past couple of years, Keytruda was approved for several more uses that helped drive its sales higher by more than 50% during the first quarter of the year.</p><p>Sometimes staying focused is the smart-money move.</p><p>4. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCSA\">Comcast</a></p><p>It&#39;s easy to dismiss Comcast as an investment prospect. It&#39;s parent to cable television provider Xfinity, after all, and the cable television business is slowly dying thanks to the continued cord-cutting movement.</p><p>What the assumption overlooks, however, is that cable television is only a small part of what Comcast does, and everything else Comcast does is capable of offsetting cable&#39;s headwind.</p><p>Some simple numbers flesh out the idea. For the company&#39;s first quarter of the year, less than 18% of its top line came from cable TV. Nearly a fifth of its revenue was produced by broadband services that are causing so many cable customers to cancel their cable subscriptions. Around a third of its top line came from its NBCUniversal arm, which monetizes TV and movie theaters in a way that sidesteps the headwind upending the cable television business itself. The NBCUniversal unit even operates its own streaming platform in Peacock, and also owns a few theme parks. The UK&#39;s Sky TV brand rounds out Comcast&#39;s revenue mix.</p><p>It&#39;s never going to be a high-growth outfit. The stock&#39;s 36% sell-off since September, however, doesn&#39;t make sense given how many reliable profit centers this company is actually working. Newcomers will be stepping in while the well-supported dividend is a healthy 2.8% of the stock&#39;s price.</p><p>5. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway</a></p><p>Finally, add Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) to your list of stocks to buy that you really can&#39;t go wrong with.</p><p>In some ways, it&#39;s a chicken&#39;s way out of actually selecting stocks, punting those stock-picking duties to Warren Buffett and his team. It&#39;s also a move that sometimes leaves Berkshire shareholders second-guessing their decisions. Buffett and Berkshire were both heavily criticized in 2020 and 2021 when his value-oriented fund consistently lagged the performance of the S&amp;P 500; not everyone was a fan of the fact that Berkshire would rather sit on idle cash that at least takes a swing on new positions. Some of those naysayers even suggested that Buffett&#39;s cautious, patient approach -- and the idea of value investing itself -- was dead and that growth was the only metric worth considering going forward.</p><p>Simply put, though, the critics are wrong. Give Berkshire and Buffett&#39;s acolytes enough time, and you&#39;ll be glad you did. It takes tough times to remind the market that value stocks have their place in your portfolio. We may be on the cusp of such tough times.</p><p>Those criticisms also overlook the fact that while Berkshire owns a lot of familiar stocks like Apple and Occidental Petroleum, the company also owns a huge number of privately held, cash-generating corporations like Fruit of the Loom, Lubrizol, Clayton Homes, and Duracell, just to name a few. Sometimes it&#39;s smart to own a piece of companies that aren&#39;t so beholden to stock-price concerns.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ready to Get Rich in the Stock Market? 5 Investments You Can't Go Wrong With</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReady to Get Rich in the Stock Market? 5 Investments You Can't Go Wrong With\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-25 20:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/24/ready-to-get-rich-in-the-stock-market-5-investment/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSLook for companies that can do well regardless of the economic environment.Also seek out organizations with strong potential for recurring, renewable revenue.Whatever the company's prospects...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/24/ready-to-get-rich-in-the-stock-market-5-investment/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NOW":"ServiceNow","GOOGL":"谷歌A","CMCSA":"康卡斯特","GOOG":"谷歌","MRK":"默沙东"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/24/ready-to-get-rich-in-the-stock-market-5-investment/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151818496","content_text":"KEY POINTSLook for companies that can do well regardless of the economic environment.Also seek out organizations with strong potential for recurring, renewable revenue.Whatever the company's prospects and business model, it's always better to step into the stock after a dip rather than at a high.After seeing the market carnage since the start of the year, it would be easy to throw in the towel on stocks. Already down more than 20% from its highs, each of the S&P 500's recent rebound efforts so far seems to have faded pretty fast. We could see more downside before all is said and done, particularly given that summer and early fall are tepid times for stocks anyway.As veteran investors can attest, though, the time to buy is on the dips. And yet trying to perfectly time any entries often hurts more than it helps. As 17th-century scholar Robert Burton put it, we shouldn't be \"penny wise and pound foolish\" by holding out for the exact bottom we may not actually recognize as the bottom at the time.With that as the backdrop, if you're looking to score some major long-term-gain stocks, here are five you can't go wrong with while they're down.1. AlphabetIt may be a bit obvious and overused as a suggested investment, but Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has earned the \"can't go wrong\" accolade for all the right reasons. Year-over-year revenue has only slumped in two quarters during the past 10 years, and one of those was linked to COVID-19's arrival in the United States back in 2020.The headwind was overcome by the next quarter.You know Alphabet is the parent of search engine behemoth Google. You may or may not know that it's also the owner of the online video platform YouTube, and you likely don't realize it's also the name behind the mobile operating system Android. Android and Google are (by far) the dominant names in their respective arenas, according to data from GlobalStats. While YouTube is in a category mostly by itself, it's still a clear powerhouse when it comes to keeping people entertained. Market research outfit eMarketer estimates more than 130 million consumers in the United States alone will watch YouTube videos on a true television set this year, pitting it against more traditional streaming names like Netflix as well as traditional cable TV services.The point is, wherever Alphabet goes, it tends to dominate.2. ServiceNowYou may not be familiar with a company called ServiceNow (SNOW 5.88%), but there's a good chance you're a customer of a company that relies on the software it provides. As of its most recent tally, about 7,400 organizations are ServiceNow clients, collectively contributing more than $1.7 billion worth of revenue during the first quarter of this year alone. That's 29% better than ServiceNow's top line from the same quarter a year earlier, underscoring the growth potential of the no-code workflow software market.In the simplest terms, workflow software provides a way for workers to build their own computer programs even if they don't actually have any coding experience or training. By empowering employees with these tools, efficiency goes up, and costs go down. ServiceNow offers custom-built workflow solutions for clients ranging from human resources departments to risk-management teams to a company's customers themselves.The industry is still in its infancy too. Fortune Business Insights estimates the workflow software market is on pace to grow by an average of more than 30% per year between 2020 and 2028, boding well for ServiceNow and its shareholders.3. MerckMerck was never one of the top contenders in the race to create a COVID-19 vaccine, nor in the effort to find an effective treatment for those who had been infected by the virus. That's the biggest reason this stock didn't perform as well as many other drugmakers' stocks did in 2020 and 2021.In retrospect, though, perhaps Merck's unwillingness to pull out all the stops to address COVID-19 was a brilliant decision. Key coronavirus players like Moderna and Pfizer are now watching their stocks struggle because there's no proverbial second act to ending a pandemic. Or, perhaps just as problematic, the COVID-19 virus is evolving faster than the drugs and vaccines specifically designed for it are. The newest sub-variant of the omicron strain of the virus is surprisingly resistant to most of the approved vaccines aimed at the disease.Rather than being bogged down by a short-lived, highly competitive coronavirus opportunity, Merck has continued to develop its flagship drug, cancer-fighting Keytruda. While most investors were eyeing the pandemic and what's happening in Washington, D.C., for the past couple of years, Keytruda was approved for several more uses that helped drive its sales higher by more than 50% during the first quarter of the year.Sometimes staying focused is the smart-money move.4. ComcastIt's easy to dismiss Comcast as an investment prospect. It's parent to cable television provider Xfinity, after all, and the cable television business is slowly dying thanks to the continued cord-cutting movement.What the assumption overlooks, however, is that cable television is only a small part of what Comcast does, and everything else Comcast does is capable of offsetting cable's headwind.Some simple numbers flesh out the idea. For the company's first quarter of the year, less than 18% of its top line came from cable TV. Nearly a fifth of its revenue was produced by broadband services that are causing so many cable customers to cancel their cable subscriptions. Around a third of its top line came from its NBCUniversal arm, which monetizes TV and movie theaters in a way that sidesteps the headwind upending the cable television business itself. The NBCUniversal unit even operates its own streaming platform in Peacock, and also owns a few theme parks. The UK's Sky TV brand rounds out Comcast's revenue mix.It's never going to be a high-growth outfit. The stock's 36% sell-off since September, however, doesn't make sense given how many reliable profit centers this company is actually working. Newcomers will be stepping in while the well-supported dividend is a healthy 2.8% of the stock's price.5. Berkshire HathawayFinally, add Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) to your list of stocks to buy that you really can't go wrong with.In some ways, it's a chicken's way out of actually selecting stocks, punting those stock-picking duties to Warren Buffett and his team. It's also a move that sometimes leaves Berkshire shareholders second-guessing their decisions. Buffett and Berkshire were both heavily criticized in 2020 and 2021 when his value-oriented fund consistently lagged the performance of the S&P 500; not everyone was a fan of the fact that Berkshire would rather sit on idle cash that at least takes a swing on new positions. Some of those naysayers even suggested that Buffett's cautious, patient approach -- and the idea of value investing itself -- was dead and that growth was the only metric worth considering going forward.Simply put, though, the critics are wrong. Give Berkshire and Buffett's acolytes enough time, and you'll be glad you did. It takes tough times to remind the market that value stocks have their place in your portfolio. We may be on the cusp of such tough times.Those criticisms also overlook the fact that while Berkshire owns a lot of familiar stocks like Apple and Occidental Petroleum, the company also owns a huge number of privately held, cash-generating corporations like Fruit of the Loom, Lubrizol, Clayton Homes, and Duracell, just to name a few. Sometimes it's smart to own a piece of companies that aren't so beholden to stock-price concerns.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049455288,"gmtCreate":1655831070744,"gmtModify":1676535713767,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Up up up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Up up up","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Up up up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/65b885d90ecbea1ac9429ffd783b587f","width":"1080","height":"3039"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049455288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057225001,"gmtCreate":1655519265903,"gmtModify":1676535656045,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Observation]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/209bb58d80930e2f3545fb252b9788fc","width":"1080","height":"2191"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057225001","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054243282,"gmtCreate":1655396973546,"gmtModify":1676535630455,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$[Happy]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf368411e2963742115c53c34d34fec1","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054243282","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055783604,"gmtCreate":1655310451808,"gmtModify":1676535610624,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055783604","repostId":"1154443995","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154443995","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655306328,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154443995?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Index Jumped Over 1% While Dow Jones, S&P 500 Rose Less than 1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154443995","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading. Nasdaq Index jumped 1.43%; Dow Jones rose 0.4% while S","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading. Nasdaq Index jumped 1.43%; Dow Jones rose 0.4% while S&amp;P 500 rose 0.77%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23cffa6136684b9163e953d538d76172\" tg-width=\"524\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Index Jumped Over 1% While Dow Jones, S&P 500 Rose Less than 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Index Jumped Over 1% While Dow Jones, S&P 500 Rose Less than 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 23:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading. Nasdaq Index jumped 1.43%; Dow Jones rose 0.4% while S&amp;P 500 rose 0.77%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23cffa6136684b9163e953d538d76172\" tg-width=\"524\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154443995","content_text":"U.S. Stocks Remained High in Morning Trading. Nasdaq Index jumped 1.43%; Dow Jones rose 0.4% while S&P 500 rose 0.77%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053208642,"gmtCreate":1654553718786,"gmtModify":1676535465079,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[What]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[What]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[What]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6502bf3b0b1d433d8b080c7dbce8c4bc","width":"1080","height":"2636"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053208642","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9029628384,"gmtCreate":1652772517348,"gmtModify":1676535158879,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>[Sad]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>[Sad]&nbsp;","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$[Sad]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/551b772c41cfb8943cafc239c27b7db0","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9029628384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":70,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064684441,"gmtCreate":1652317063584,"gmtModify":1676535076590,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Duh]&nbsp;","listText":"[Duh]&nbsp;","text":"[Duh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064684441","repostId":"1162615578","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162615578","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1652311699,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162615578?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-12 07:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Is No Longer the World’s Most Valuable Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162615578","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Oil giant Saudi Aramco on Wednesday surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable firm.Aramco’s marke","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Oil giant Saudi Aramco on Wednesday surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable firm.</p><p>Aramco’s market valuation was just under $2.43 trillion on Wednesday, according to FactSet, which converted its market cap to dollars. Apple, which fell more than 5% during trading in the U.S. on Wednesday, is now worth $2.37 trillion.</p><p>Energy stocks and prices have been rising as investors sell off equities in several industries, including technology, on fears of a deteriorating economic environment. Apple has fallen nearly 20% since its $182.94 peak on Jan. 4.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d8a745efe85d6f1fefc52bbee7a7bac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The move is mostly symbolic, but it shows how markets are shifting as the global economy grapples with rising interest rates, inflation, and supply chain problems.</p><p>Aramco stock is up over 27% so far in 2022. In March, the oil giant reported that its full-year profit last year more than doubled due to soaring oil prices.</p><p>Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company in 2020.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Is No Longer the World’s Most Valuable Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Is No Longer the World’s Most Valuable Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-12 07:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Oil giant Saudi Aramco on Wednesday surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable firm.</p><p>Aramco’s market valuation was just under $2.43 trillion on Wednesday, according to FactSet, which converted its market cap to dollars. Apple, which fell more than 5% during trading in the U.S. on Wednesday, is now worth $2.37 trillion.</p><p>Energy stocks and prices have been rising as investors sell off equities in several industries, including technology, on fears of a deteriorating economic environment. Apple has fallen nearly 20% since its $182.94 peak on Jan. 4.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d8a745efe85d6f1fefc52bbee7a7bac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The move is mostly symbolic, but it shows how markets are shifting as the global economy grapples with rising interest rates, inflation, and supply chain problems.</p><p>Aramco stock is up over 27% so far in 2022. In March, the oil giant reported that its full-year profit last year more than doubled due to soaring oil prices.</p><p>Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company in 2020.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162615578","content_text":"Oil giant Saudi Aramco on Wednesday surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable firm.Aramco’s market valuation was just under $2.43 trillion on Wednesday, according to FactSet, which converted its market cap to dollars. Apple, which fell more than 5% during trading in the U.S. on Wednesday, is now worth $2.37 trillion.Energy stocks and prices have been rising as investors sell off equities in several industries, including technology, on fears of a deteriorating economic environment. Apple has fallen nearly 20% since its $182.94 peak on Jan. 4.The move is mostly symbolic, but it shows how markets are shifting as the global economy grapples with rising interest rates, inflation, and supply chain problems.Aramco stock is up over 27% so far in 2022. In March, the oil giant reported that its full-year profit last year more than doubled due to soaring oil prices.Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company in 2020.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077856375,"gmtCreate":1658496263497,"gmtModify":1676536167754,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[Happy]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78d449c67379e33b806fab46023671aa","width":"1080","height":"3631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077856375","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079596298,"gmtCreate":1657212284114,"gmtModify":1676535970725,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>up up up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>up up up","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$up up up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f6dc0860aee41832379140ea4ef47b04","width":"1080","height":"2545"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079596298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041256467,"gmtCreate":1656061984959,"gmtModify":1676535761036,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041256467","repostId":"2245311224","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2245311224","pubTimestamp":1656058978,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2245311224?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-24 16:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now A Good Time To Buy Apple Stock As It Dips?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2245311224","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryApple's shares have lost a quarter of their value year-to-date in 2022, and AAPL now trades a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple&#39;s shares have lost a quarter of their value year-to-date in 2022, and AAPL now trades at 22.0 times forward P/E, which is close to its five-year historical average.</li><li>A key share price driver for AAPL in the near term will be supply-side headwinds turning out to be less severe than feared, as seen with reduced product lead times.</li><li>Apple is a Buy now, as the stock should command higher valuation multiples with an improvement in profitability over time driven by higher services revenue contribution.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40f69d8740cc2bafe8656b09f1d0bcff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Ivan-balvan/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Elevator Pitch</b></p><p>My investment rating for Apple Inc.&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) shares is a Buy. I did a comparison of Apple and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) in my previous April 6, 2022, article, and determined that AAPL was the better buy. In this latest update for AAPL, I analyze whether a buying opportunity for Apple has emerged as a result of the pullback in the company&#39;s share price year-to-date in 2022.</p><p>This is a good time to buy Apple&#39;s stock, as the dip in its share price year-to-date has made its valuations more attractive with its forward P/E multiple reverting close to its five-year historical mean. There is room for AAPL&#39;s valuation multiples to expand in tandem with higher profit margins resulting from a superior sales mix tilted towards services.</p><p>AAPL Stock Basics</p><p>Prior to touching on AAPL&#39;s stock price correction, valuations, and outlook, it is relevant to revisit the basics for Apple. In other words, I will be discussing the company&#39;s business model and the investment thesis for the stock in the current section of this article.</p><p>Apple&#39;s business model is to continue expanding the installed base for its flagship hardware device, the iPhone, and cross-sell other hardware products and services to its iPhone users.</p><p>At the company&#39;s earnings call for the first quarter of fiscal 2022 (YE September 30) on January 27, 2022, Apple disclosed that its &#34;installed base of active devices&#34; has set &#34;a new all-time record of 1.8 billion devices.&#34; AAPL updated investors at its Q2 FY 2022 results briefing on April 28, 2022, that the company&#39;s &#34;installed base (of active devices) has continued to grow&#34;, while noting that &#34;the iPhone active installed base reached &#34;a new all-time high.&#34; According to the Business of Apps website&#39;s compilation of data on AAPL, the number of active iPhones (excluding other hardware devices such as iPads) on a worldwide basis had already crossed the 1.2 billion mark by the end of last year.</p><p>The investment thesis for AAPL is closely linked to its business model. Revenue for Apple&#39;s services like the App Store is expected to grow over time in tandem with the increase in the installed base for AAPL&#39;s iPhones and other hardware devices. This should translate into higher profit margins and faster earnings growth for Apple in the medium to long term, as AAPL benefits from a more favorable revenue mix with a rising proportion of sales contribution from higher-margin services.</p><p>The gross profit margin for Apple&#39;s services segment was 72.6% in Q2 FY 2022, which was twice that of the products segment&#39;s gross margin of 36.4% in the same quarter as highlighted at its most recent quarterly investor call. Also, AAPL only derived approximately 20% of its total Q2 FY 2022 revenue from services as per its quarterly earnings press release, so there is room for the company to further optimize its sales mix with a bias towards growing revenue contribution from services at a faster pace.</p><p>In the next section, I focus on Apple&#39;s stock price decline thus far this year.</p><p><b>Why Did Apple Stock Drop?</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s stock price dropped by -25.6% in 2022 thus far, and it underperformed the S&amp;P 500 which was down by -21.0% during the same period.</p><p><b>AAPL&#39;s 2022 Year-to-date Share Price Chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39057828144a7f0bc9c470f048173d9e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>AAPL&#39;s share price weakness is partly attributed to the correction in the broader stock market and technology stocks as a result of investors&#39; worries over higher-than-expected inflation and a potential recession. But there are also company-specific factors that have driven a decline in Apple&#39;s stock price.</p><p>In the past three months, the Q3 FY 2022 consensus earnings per share estimate for Apple has been reduced by -7.5%. Specifically, 25 of the 44 Wall Street analysts covering AAPL&#39;s shares lowered their third-quarter EPS forecasts for the company in the last three months. This is consistent with Apple&#39;s forward-looking management guidance.</p><p>At its Q2 FY 2022 earnings briefing, AAPL had guided for a $4-$8 billion hit to its third-quarter revenue resulting from &#34;COVID-related disruptions (more specifically lockdowns in China) and industry-wide silicon shortages.&#34; The company also highlighted that it expects unfavorable exchange rate fluctuations and the suspension of sales in Russia to impact the YoY growth for its Q3 FY 2022 top line by -3.0 percentage points and -1.5 percentage points, respectively.</p><p>In the next section I touch on whether Apple&#39;s valuations have become more attractive after the year-to-date pull-back in its share price.</p><p><b>Is Apple Stock A Good Value Now?</b></p><p>Following the -25% decline in its stock price thus far this year, Apple&#39;s consensus forward next twelve months&#39; normalized P/E multiple has compressed from its 2022 year-to-date peak of 31.9 times as of January 3, 2022, to 22.0 times as of June 22, as per<i>S&amp;P Capital IQ</i>.</p><p>AAPL is currently trading at 22.0 times forward P/E, which is roughly on par with its five-year mean forward P/E multiple of 21.4 times. When the short-term headwinds (as discussed in the preceding section) eventually ease and the company manages to achieve a more optimal sales mix biased towards higher-margin services in the future, Apple should be able to trade at the high end of its five-year forward P/E valuation range (AAPL&#39;s peak forward P/E multiple in the last five years was 36.6 times) again.</p><p>In conclusion, I think Apple&#39;s stock is good value now, considering its historical valuations and future profitability outlook.</p><p><b>Is Apple Expected To Rise Again?</b></p><p>I am of the opinion that Apple&#39;s stock price is expected to rise again in the short term.</p><p>According to JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) &#34;Global Product Availability Lead Time Tracker&#34; research report (not publicly available) published on June 19, 2022, the worldwide &#34;lead times in general moderated for Mac and iPads&#34; for the week ended June 17, 2022, which the JPM analysts highlight is &#34;in line with the reopening in China.&#34; Also, JPM&#39;s recent research work found that the current lead times for AAPL&#39;s other products such as the iPhone stayed low at below a week.</p><p>This is consistent with the findings from another bank&#39;s research team. Morgan Stanley (MS) published its North American IT hardware &#34;Monthly Data Tracker&#34; report (not publicly available) on June 22, 2022, which noted that the lead time for the iPad decreased from 15 days as of June 9, 2022, to 14 days as of June 16, 2022. Similarly, the MS analysts&#39; research work suggests that the lead time for the MacBook Pro M1 declined from 62 days to 56 days over the same period.</p><p>In my view, an easing of supply chain constraints as evidenced by the improvement in lead times mentioned above should be a positive re-rating catalyst for Apple in the short term.</p><p><b>What Is The Long-Term Prediction For Apple Stock?</b></p><p>The key aspect of any long-term financial predictions for Apple is the potential improvement in the company&#39;s profitability. As I discussed earlier in this article, a growing percentage of sales derived from higher-margin services should result in an expansion of Apple&#39;s profit margins in the long run. Based on financial projections sourced from<i>S&amp;P Capital IQ</i>, AAPL&#39;s gross profit margin is forecasted to increase from 41.8% in fiscal 2021 to 43.5% by FY 2026.</p><p>The market&#39;s expectations of increased services revenue contribution and improved profitability are reasonable. Apple has been putting in a huge amount of effort to make it easier for the company to cross-sell additional hardware devices and services to its iPhone users as seen with its recent press release.</p><p>On June 6, 2022, Apple revealed the features of its new operating system for the iPhone (iOS16), and also disclosed the introduction of two new laptops.</p><p>In this announcement, AAPL explained that certain &#34;new features for Apple&#39;s Macs and iPads are designed to make it easier to sync with the iPhone.&#34; As an example, the iPhone can be utilized as &#34;a webcam&#34; for &#34;video calls&#34; on Macs going forward, as highlighted in an article published by The Verge on the same day of Apple&#39;s announcement.</p><p>Separately, Apple&#39;s new MacBook Air and MacBook Pro devices will come with Apple&#39;s M2 chip. The company noted in the June 6, 2022, announcement that this is aligned with its goal of &#34;helping people toggle from one Apple device to another.&#34;</p><p>In summary, AAPL is moving in the right direction with new initiatives to enhance integration across the company&#39;s various hardware products, which will increase user switching costs and boost cross-selling efforts (for other hardware devices and services). I predict that this should eventually lead to higher profit margins (consensus FY 2026 gross margin of 43.5%) and an expansion of valuation multiples (current forward P/E multiple of 22.0 times versus five-year P/E of 36.6 times) for Apple.</p><p><b>Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>AAPL stock is a Buy. Apple&#39;s current P/E valuations are undemanding, and there are both short-term catalysts (easing of supply chain constraints) and long-term drivers (profitability improvement) for the company&#39;s shares.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now A Good Time To Buy Apple Stock As It Dips?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now A Good Time To Buy Apple Stock As It Dips?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-24 16:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519942-is-now-good-time-buy-apple-stock?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Atrending_articles%7Cline%3A12><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple's shares have lost a quarter of their value year-to-date in 2022, and AAPL now trades at 22.0 times forward P/E, which is close to its five-year historical average.A key share price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519942-is-now-good-time-buy-apple-stock?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Atrending_articles%7Cline%3A12\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519942-is-now-good-time-buy-apple-stock?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Atrending_articles%7Cline%3A12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2245311224","content_text":"SummaryApple's shares have lost a quarter of their value year-to-date in 2022, and AAPL now trades at 22.0 times forward P/E, which is close to its five-year historical average.A key share price driver for AAPL in the near term will be supply-side headwinds turning out to be less severe than feared, as seen with reduced product lead times.Apple is a Buy now, as the stock should command higher valuation multiples with an improvement in profitability over time driven by higher services revenue contribution.Ivan-balvan/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesElevator PitchMy investment rating for Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAPL) shares is a Buy. I did a comparison of Apple and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) in my previous April 6, 2022, article, and determined that AAPL was the better buy. In this latest update for AAPL, I analyze whether a buying opportunity for Apple has emerged as a result of the pullback in the company's share price year-to-date in 2022.This is a good time to buy Apple's stock, as the dip in its share price year-to-date has made its valuations more attractive with its forward P/E multiple reverting close to its five-year historical mean. There is room for AAPL's valuation multiples to expand in tandem with higher profit margins resulting from a superior sales mix tilted towards services.AAPL Stock BasicsPrior to touching on AAPL's stock price correction, valuations, and outlook, it is relevant to revisit the basics for Apple. In other words, I will be discussing the company's business model and the investment thesis for the stock in the current section of this article.Apple's business model is to continue expanding the installed base for its flagship hardware device, the iPhone, and cross-sell other hardware products and services to its iPhone users.At the company's earnings call for the first quarter of fiscal 2022 (YE September 30) on January 27, 2022, Apple disclosed that its \"installed base of active devices\" has set \"a new all-time record of 1.8 billion devices.\" AAPL updated investors at its Q2 FY 2022 results briefing on April 28, 2022, that the company's \"installed base (of active devices) has continued to grow\", while noting that \"the iPhone active installed base reached \"a new all-time high.\" According to the Business of Apps website's compilation of data on AAPL, the number of active iPhones (excluding other hardware devices such as iPads) on a worldwide basis had already crossed the 1.2 billion mark by the end of last year.The investment thesis for AAPL is closely linked to its business model. Revenue for Apple's services like the App Store is expected to grow over time in tandem with the increase in the installed base for AAPL's iPhones and other hardware devices. This should translate into higher profit margins and faster earnings growth for Apple in the medium to long term, as AAPL benefits from a more favorable revenue mix with a rising proportion of sales contribution from higher-margin services.The gross profit margin for Apple's services segment was 72.6% in Q2 FY 2022, which was twice that of the products segment's gross margin of 36.4% in the same quarter as highlighted at its most recent quarterly investor call. Also, AAPL only derived approximately 20% of its total Q2 FY 2022 revenue from services as per its quarterly earnings press release, so there is room for the company to further optimize its sales mix with a bias towards growing revenue contribution from services at a faster pace.In the next section, I focus on Apple's stock price decline thus far this year.Why Did Apple Stock Drop?Apple's stock price dropped by -25.6% in 2022 thus far, and it underperformed the S&P 500 which was down by -21.0% during the same period.AAPL's 2022 Year-to-date Share Price ChartSeeking AlphaAAPL's share price weakness is partly attributed to the correction in the broader stock market and technology stocks as a result of investors' worries over higher-than-expected inflation and a potential recession. But there are also company-specific factors that have driven a decline in Apple's stock price.In the past three months, the Q3 FY 2022 consensus earnings per share estimate for Apple has been reduced by -7.5%. Specifically, 25 of the 44 Wall Street analysts covering AAPL's shares lowered their third-quarter EPS forecasts for the company in the last three months. This is consistent with Apple's forward-looking management guidance.At its Q2 FY 2022 earnings briefing, AAPL had guided for a $4-$8 billion hit to its third-quarter revenue resulting from \"COVID-related disruptions (more specifically lockdowns in China) and industry-wide silicon shortages.\" The company also highlighted that it expects unfavorable exchange rate fluctuations and the suspension of sales in Russia to impact the YoY growth for its Q3 FY 2022 top line by -3.0 percentage points and -1.5 percentage points, respectively.In the next section I touch on whether Apple's valuations have become more attractive after the year-to-date pull-back in its share price.Is Apple Stock A Good Value Now?Following the -25% decline in its stock price thus far this year, Apple's consensus forward next twelve months' normalized P/E multiple has compressed from its 2022 year-to-date peak of 31.9 times as of January 3, 2022, to 22.0 times as of June 22, as perS&P Capital IQ.AAPL is currently trading at 22.0 times forward P/E, which is roughly on par with its five-year mean forward P/E multiple of 21.4 times. When the short-term headwinds (as discussed in the preceding section) eventually ease and the company manages to achieve a more optimal sales mix biased towards higher-margin services in the future, Apple should be able to trade at the high end of its five-year forward P/E valuation range (AAPL's peak forward P/E multiple in the last five years was 36.6 times) again.In conclusion, I think Apple's stock is good value now, considering its historical valuations and future profitability outlook.Is Apple Expected To Rise Again?I am of the opinion that Apple's stock price is expected to rise again in the short term.According to JPMorgan's (JPM) \"Global Product Availability Lead Time Tracker\" research report (not publicly available) published on June 19, 2022, the worldwide \"lead times in general moderated for Mac and iPads\" for the week ended June 17, 2022, which the JPM analysts highlight is \"in line with the reopening in China.\" Also, JPM's recent research work found that the current lead times for AAPL's other products such as the iPhone stayed low at below a week.This is consistent with the findings from another bank's research team. Morgan Stanley (MS) published its North American IT hardware \"Monthly Data Tracker\" report (not publicly available) on June 22, 2022, which noted that the lead time for the iPad decreased from 15 days as of June 9, 2022, to 14 days as of June 16, 2022. Similarly, the MS analysts' research work suggests that the lead time for the MacBook Pro M1 declined from 62 days to 56 days over the same period.In my view, an easing of supply chain constraints as evidenced by the improvement in lead times mentioned above should be a positive re-rating catalyst for Apple in the short term.What Is The Long-Term Prediction For Apple Stock?The key aspect of any long-term financial predictions for Apple is the potential improvement in the company's profitability. As I discussed earlier in this article, a growing percentage of sales derived from higher-margin services should result in an expansion of Apple's profit margins in the long run. Based on financial projections sourced fromS&P Capital IQ, AAPL's gross profit margin is forecasted to increase from 41.8% in fiscal 2021 to 43.5% by FY 2026.The market's expectations of increased services revenue contribution and improved profitability are reasonable. Apple has been putting in a huge amount of effort to make it easier for the company to cross-sell additional hardware devices and services to its iPhone users as seen with its recent press release.On June 6, 2022, Apple revealed the features of its new operating system for the iPhone (iOS16), and also disclosed the introduction of two new laptops.In this announcement, AAPL explained that certain \"new features for Apple's Macs and iPads are designed to make it easier to sync with the iPhone.\" As an example, the iPhone can be utilized as \"a webcam\" for \"video calls\" on Macs going forward, as highlighted in an article published by The Verge on the same day of Apple's announcement.Separately, Apple's new MacBook Air and MacBook Pro devices will come with Apple's M2 chip. The company noted in the June 6, 2022, announcement that this is aligned with its goal of \"helping people toggle from one Apple device to another.\"In summary, AAPL is moving in the right direction with new initiatives to enhance integration across the company's various hardware products, which will increase user switching costs and boost cross-selling efforts (for other hardware devices and services). I predict that this should eventually lead to higher profit margins (consensus FY 2026 gross margin of 43.5%) and an expansion of valuation multiples (current forward P/E multiple of 22.0 times versus five-year P/E of 36.6 times) for Apple.Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?AAPL stock is a Buy. Apple's current P/E valuations are undemanding, and there are both short-term catalysts (easing of supply chain constraints) and long-term drivers (profitability improvement) for the company's shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041268309,"gmtCreate":1656058166801,"gmtModify":1676535760553,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>160","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>160","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$160","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041268309","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049653258,"gmtCreate":1655787991775,"gmtModify":1676535705869,"author":{"id":"4107258823901050","authorId":"4107258823901050","name":"Rocknroll","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d339f96462e2d38409ffa1ebe47d4582","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4107258823901050","idStr":"4107258823901050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049653258","repostId":"2244800443","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244800443","pubTimestamp":1655769621,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244800443?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-21 08:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244800443","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>My &#34;three stocks to avoid&#34; column last week was a dud. The three stocks I thought were going to move lower for the week -- <b>Oracle</b>, <b>Beyond Air</b>, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLNK\">Blink Charging</a></b> -- finished up 1%, up 5%, and flat, respectively, averaging out to a 2% gain.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> experienced a 5.8% drop, and the investments I figured would fare worse did a lot better. I was wrong, but I have still been correct in 24 of the past 35 weeks.</p><p>Where do I go to next? I see <b>Rite Aid</b>, <b>MicroStrategy</b>, and <b>CVR Energy</b> as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let&#39;s go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.</p><h2><b>Rite Aid</b></h2><p>Time hasn&#39;t been kind to Rite Aid since it rejected a buyout proposal to take the drugstore operator private at $14.60 a share three months ago. The stock begins this holiday-shortened trading week at $6.20.</p><p>It doesn&#39;t help that Rite Aid also posted a much larger quarterly loss than analysts were expecting in April. Adding fuel to the fire sale, the drugstore chain reports fresh financials on Thursday morning.</p><p>There&#39;s always hope that Rite Aid eventually finds a suitable exit strategy. It never truly recovered from when shareholders shot down a proposed pairing with Walgreens a few years ago. It also has assets it may be able to unlock. <b>Deutsche Bank</b> stunned the market when it slashed its price target on Rite Aid from $16 to $1 three months ago. Deutsche Bank analyst George Hill has since boosted that price goal to $2, and then $4 on the potential for Rite Aid to raise money by selling its pharmacy benefits manager business, but he&#39;s sticking to his bearish sell rating. The upside is there if Rite Aid can ever get beyond its arrogance, but for now it has a pending quarterly earnings update, and that didn&#39;t go well last time.</p><h2><b>MicroStrategy</b></h2><p>There&#39;s been something wrong with the crypto market in recent months, and the chaos is only intensifying. We&#39;ve even seen a stablecoin and a decentralized finance platform slam on the brakes in the past couple of weeks. The market&#39;s confidence in digital currencies has been rattled, possibly to the point where it&#39;s irreversible. Where does that leave MicroStrategy?</p><p>CEO Michael Saylor has gone all in on <b>Bitcoin</b> (BTC 6.58%). It&#39;s a decision that seemed brilliant when he invested billions in the top crypto as it was rising. But it&#39;s been disastrous on the way down. More to the point, the enterprise software company that Sailor should be focusing on was never exciting. We&#39;re talking about declining annual revenue in six of the past seven years. Bitcoin&#39;s crash is showing us that the emperor has no clothes, but it&#39;s not as if MicroStrategy itself was a snappy dresser before the costly infatuation with the imploding crypto market.</p><h2><b>CVR Energy</b></h2><p>After back-to-back weeks of greater-than 5% slides, I want my third pick to be hopeful for a general market rebound. This means betting against an investment that&#39;s been rising as general markets are falling. One of the largest companies to have more than doubled in 2022 is CVR Energy.</p><p>The petroleum refiner and maker of nitrogen fertilizer is booming alongside most oil and gas stocks this year. With petroleum prices soaring, it&#39;s easy to see why the stock is up 105% year to date. However, the good times aren&#39;t expected to last. Revenue and earnings are skyrocketing this year, but analysts see an 8% revenue decline come 2023, with earnings cut nearly in half. Looking back, it has also posted a larger-than-expected adjusted loss in two of the past three quarters. If the overall market starts to recover, there will be some rotation out of this red-hot sector. CVR Energy is doing a lot of things right, but even winners need to take a breather now and then.</p><p>It&#39;s going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you&#39;re looking for safe stocks, you aren&#39;t likely to find them in Rite Aid, MicroStrategy, or CVR Energy this week.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-21 08:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/20/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>My \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week was a dud. The three stocks I thought were going to move lower for the week -- Oracle, Beyond Air, and Blink Charging -- finished up 1%, up 5%, and flat, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/20/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"MicroStrategy","CVI":"CVR能源","RAD":"来德爱"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/20/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244800443","content_text":"My \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week was a dud. The three stocks I thought were going to move lower for the week -- Oracle, Beyond Air, and Blink Charging -- finished up 1%, up 5%, and flat, respectively, averaging out to a 2% gain.The S&P 500 experienced a 5.8% drop, and the investments I figured would fare worse did a lot better. I was wrong, but I have still been correct in 24 of the past 35 weeks.Where do I go to next? I see Rite Aid, MicroStrategy, and CVR Energy as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.Rite AidTime hasn't been kind to Rite Aid since it rejected a buyout proposal to take the drugstore operator private at $14.60 a share three months ago. The stock begins this holiday-shortened trading week at $6.20.It doesn't help that Rite Aid also posted a much larger quarterly loss than analysts were expecting in April. Adding fuel to the fire sale, the drugstore chain reports fresh financials on Thursday morning.There's always hope that Rite Aid eventually finds a suitable exit strategy. It never truly recovered from when shareholders shot down a proposed pairing with Walgreens a few years ago. It also has assets it may be able to unlock. Deutsche Bank stunned the market when it slashed its price target on Rite Aid from $16 to $1 three months ago. Deutsche Bank analyst George Hill has since boosted that price goal to $2, and then $4 on the potential for Rite Aid to raise money by selling its pharmacy benefits manager business, but he's sticking to his bearish sell rating. The upside is there if Rite Aid can ever get beyond its arrogance, but for now it has a pending quarterly earnings update, and that didn't go well last time.MicroStrategyThere's been something wrong with the crypto market in recent months, and the chaos is only intensifying. We've even seen a stablecoin and a decentralized finance platform slam on the brakes in the past couple of weeks. The market's confidence in digital currencies has been rattled, possibly to the point where it's irreversible. Where does that leave MicroStrategy?CEO Michael Saylor has gone all in on Bitcoin (BTC 6.58%). It's a decision that seemed brilliant when he invested billions in the top crypto as it was rising. But it's been disastrous on the way down. More to the point, the enterprise software company that Sailor should be focusing on was never exciting. We're talking about declining annual revenue in six of the past seven years. Bitcoin's crash is showing us that the emperor has no clothes, but it's not as if MicroStrategy itself was a snappy dresser before the costly infatuation with the imploding crypto market.CVR EnergyAfter back-to-back weeks of greater-than 5% slides, I want my third pick to be hopeful for a general market rebound. This means betting against an investment that's been rising as general markets are falling. One of the largest companies to have more than doubled in 2022 is CVR Energy.The petroleum refiner and maker of nitrogen fertilizer is booming alongside most oil and gas stocks this year. With petroleum prices soaring, it's easy to see why the stock is up 105% year to date. However, the good times aren't expected to last. Revenue and earnings are skyrocketing this year, but analysts see an 8% revenue decline come 2023, with earnings cut nearly in half. Looking back, it has also posted a larger-than-expected adjusted loss in two of the past three quarters. If the overall market starts to recover, there will be some rotation out of this red-hot sector. CVR Energy is doing a lot of things right, but even winners need to take a breather now and then.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Rite Aid, MicroStrategy, or CVR Energy this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}