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2022-06-17

Stay on the sideline

Palantir: Much Ado About Nothing

2022-06-17

Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.

JPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession

2022-06-16

$GameStop(GME)$Check This Counter

2022-06-16

Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road

US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement

2022-06-15

Hope for some bounce after the announcement

Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?

2022-06-15

It is still not over. More dip to come

Bitcoin Rout Hits "Darkest" Phase With Entire Market Underwater

2022-04-03

dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be in this volatile time

Is Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?

2022-04-01

Accumulate

Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading

2022-03-23

Way to go BABA

Alibaba Stock: Tremendous Upside Potential

2022-03-22

Way to go

Nasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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While this is a logical assessment for growth stocks in general, it’s resulted in an aggravated selloff in Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) in recent weeks even though it’s not overly susceptible to these risk factors. In this article, I’ll attempt to explain why this bear case for Palantir is exaggerated and why the stock makes for a good buying opportunity at current levels. Let’s take a closer look to gain a better understanding of it all.</p><p><b>The Interest Rate Risk</b></p><p>There’s no denying that rising interest rates will result in increased interest payments for individuals and companies alike. Firms that are profitable and/or cash flow positive would be positioned well to absorb these added expenses. However, companies that are loss-making and/or haven’t figured out their path to profitability, may have to dilute their shareholders and maybe even raise debt to meet their interest payments.</p><p>A broad swath of technology stocks falls into the latter category, faced with uncertain prospects and some with even the bankruptcy risk, so a sharp selloff in their shares is understandable and justified. However, Palantir doesn’t quite fit the latter criteria and its operating activities should more or less remain unfazed in a rising interest rate environment. Notice I used the term “operating activities” instead of talking about the company overall.</p><p>Fact of the matter is that Palantir is debt-free. Although it has a revolving credit line, it was undrawn at the end of the last quarter. This essentially means that the company won’t be negatively affected by rising interest rates, at least not directly. On the contrary, Palantir’s interest income grew by $171,000 last quarter in lieu of rising interest rates. This is a miniscule figure when compared to its top line, but it corroborates our assessment that rising interest rates won’t weigh down on the company’s operating results.</p><p>From Palantir’slast 10-Q filing:</p><blockquote>As of March 31, 2022, no borrowings were outstanding under our revolving credit facility…Interest income increased by $0.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the same period in 2021 primarily due to an increase in U.S. interest rates on interest earned from our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash.</blockquote><p>From Palantir&#39;s lastearnings call:</p><blockquote>At the end of Q1, we had a very strong war chest, $2.3 billion in cash and no debt.</blockquote><p>Now I’m not trying to portray that Palantir is immune from interest rate hikes. The company has invested in some arguably speculative stocks that have sold off in recent weeks and are likely to sell further with more rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c3f46ab34d65de2467e56cb23b9509\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"67\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir&#39;s 10Q filing</p><p>But the silver lining here is that these losses on marketable securities will be non-recurring in nature and Palantir’s operating results, at least, won’t be impaired by rising interest rates.</p><p><b>Sustainability Concerns</b></p><p>The next point of contention is that Palantir isn’t profitable yet and that it will be forced to raise capital in order to sustain its operations. This, inevitably, will create an interest expense burden on the company. But that’s not necessarily the case.</p><p>It’s worth noting that Palantir is free cash flow positive and that it’s grown at a significant pace over the last one year alone. Let’s look at the table below to put things in perspective. Per our database at Business Quant, Palantir’s free cash flow as a percentage of revenue is higher than 56% of other stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Also, Palantir’s free cash flow growth is higher than 81% of the other companies present in our study group.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34145ecaa3bb3c9e801a9e5d3d6f3b4c\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"900\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>This suggests that Palantir has ample cash flow cushioning, and its free cash flow growth is also high enough, to alleviate any sustainability-related concerns in a recessionary environment. This isn’t a one-off event. Palantir has tactfully undertaken several initiatives over the last year – such as adopting flexible payment plans, expanding sales team, focusing on securing commercial clients, and offering free trials – to boost customer growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005b7819ec392c3a38b89e535ebf7338\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>These customer additions have surely boosted Palantir’s revenue growth in recent quarters. However, I contend that the new customers added in the last year would be in the process of integrating Palantir’s platforms in their workflows, training their personnel around them, and preparing to switch from their legacy analytical tools. They’re likely to increase spending on Palantir’s platforms only once they pass this critical stage and are ready for full-fledged deployments. So, I anticipate Palantir’s revenue growth to continue on in subsequent quarters as well.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3e5751609b54200751d8073d840330d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"549\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p><b>Attractive Valuations</b></p><p>Next, Palantir is often criticized for its bloated valuation. The stock is trading at over 10 times its trailing twelve-month sales and investors are wondering if the price premium is justified.</p><p>The chart below should put things in perspective. The Y-axis plots the free cash flow growth for 90 US-listed stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Note how Palantir is vertically positioned higher on the plot, indicating that the company’s free cash flow growth is higher than a broad swath of its peers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cbff90ad6d0504ca56ea8e33dbee6f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>Now let’s shift attention to the X-axis, which plots the price-to-sales (or P/S) multiples for the same set of companies. Note how Palantir is horizontally positioned towards the right, confirming that its shares are, in fact, trading at a premium compared to its peers.</p><p>The collective takeaway from both the axes here is that Palantir’s shares are trading at relatively higher trading multiples but that’s because of its higher-than-average pace of growth. This, in essence, justifies Palantir’s price premium. There are just 10 other stocks in the industry that are growing faster than Palantir but trading at lower P/S multiples. So, I find Palantir&#39;s shares to be attractively valued at current levels, when factoring in its growth momentum.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Much Ado About Nothing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Much Ado About Nothing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-17 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518676-palantir-pltr-stock-much-ado-about-nothing><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIn this article, we'll see how Palantir stands to be affected by rising interest rates from a financial standpoint.Although the macroeconomic outlook is gloomy, Palantir's revenue growth may ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518676-palantir-pltr-stock-much-ado-about-nothing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518676-palantir-pltr-stock-much-ado-about-nothing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102691867","content_text":"SummaryIn this article, we'll see how Palantir stands to be affected by rising interest rates from a financial standpoint.Although the macroeconomic outlook is gloomy, Palantir's revenue growth may continue on in the foreseeable future at least.The stock is trading at attractive valuations when compared to 90 other software infrastructure stocks.A great deal of emphasis is being laid on how rising interest rates and the slowing down economy are going to hurt growth stocks, especially the unprofitable ones, in the quarters ahead. While this is a logical assessment for growth stocks in general, it’s resulted in an aggravated selloff in Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) in recent weeks even though it’s not overly susceptible to these risk factors. In this article, I’ll attempt to explain why this bear case for Palantir is exaggerated and why the stock makes for a good buying opportunity at current levels. Let’s take a closer look to gain a better understanding of it all.The Interest Rate RiskThere’s no denying that rising interest rates will result in increased interest payments for individuals and companies alike. Firms that are profitable and/or cash flow positive would be positioned well to absorb these added expenses. However, companies that are loss-making and/or haven’t figured out their path to profitability, may have to dilute their shareholders and maybe even raise debt to meet their interest payments.A broad swath of technology stocks falls into the latter category, faced with uncertain prospects and some with even the bankruptcy risk, so a sharp selloff in their shares is understandable and justified. However, Palantir doesn’t quite fit the latter criteria and its operating activities should more or less remain unfazed in a rising interest rate environment. Notice I used the term “operating activities” instead of talking about the company overall.Fact of the matter is that Palantir is debt-free. Although it has a revolving credit line, it was undrawn at the end of the last quarter. This essentially means that the company won’t be negatively affected by rising interest rates, at least not directly. On the contrary, Palantir’s interest income grew by $171,000 last quarter in lieu of rising interest rates. This is a miniscule figure when compared to its top line, but it corroborates our assessment that rising interest rates won’t weigh down on the company’s operating results.From Palantir’slast 10-Q filing:As of March 31, 2022, no borrowings were outstanding under our revolving credit facility…Interest income increased by $0.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the same period in 2021 primarily due to an increase in U.S. interest rates on interest earned from our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash.From Palantir's lastearnings call:At the end of Q1, we had a very strong war chest, $2.3 billion in cash and no debt.Now I’m not trying to portray that Palantir is immune from interest rate hikes. The company has invested in some arguably speculative stocks that have sold off in recent weeks and are likely to sell further with more rate hikes.Palantir's 10Q filingBut the silver lining here is that these losses on marketable securities will be non-recurring in nature and Palantir’s operating results, at least, won’t be impaired by rising interest rates.Sustainability ConcernsThe next point of contention is that Palantir isn’t profitable yet and that it will be forced to raise capital in order to sustain its operations. This, inevitably, will create an interest expense burden on the company. But that’s not necessarily the case.It’s worth noting that Palantir is free cash flow positive and that it’s grown at a significant pace over the last one year alone. Let’s look at the table below to put things in perspective. Per our database at Business Quant, Palantir’s free cash flow as a percentage of revenue is higher than 56% of other stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Also, Palantir’s free cash flow growth is higher than 81% of the other companies present in our study group.BusinessQuant.comThis suggests that Palantir has ample cash flow cushioning, and its free cash flow growth is also high enough, to alleviate any sustainability-related concerns in a recessionary environment. This isn’t a one-off event. Palantir has tactfully undertaken several initiatives over the last year – such as adopting flexible payment plans, expanding sales team, focusing on securing commercial clients, and offering free trials – to boost customer growth.BusinessQuant.comThese customer additions have surely boosted Palantir’s revenue growth in recent quarters. However, I contend that the new customers added in the last year would be in the process of integrating Palantir’s platforms in their workflows, training their personnel around them, and preparing to switch from their legacy analytical tools. They’re likely to increase spending on Palantir’s platforms only once they pass this critical stage and are ready for full-fledged deployments. So, I anticipate Palantir’s revenue growth to continue on in subsequent quarters as well.BusinessQuant.comAttractive ValuationsNext, Palantir is often criticized for its bloated valuation. The stock is trading at over 10 times its trailing twelve-month sales and investors are wondering if the price premium is justified.The chart below should put things in perspective. The Y-axis plots the free cash flow growth for 90 US-listed stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Note how Palantir is vertically positioned higher on the plot, indicating that the company’s free cash flow growth is higher than a broad swath of its peers.BusinessQuant.comNow let’s shift attention to the X-axis, which plots the price-to-sales (or P/S) multiples for the same set of companies. Note how Palantir is horizontally positioned towards the right, confirming that its shares are, in fact, trading at a premium compared to its peers.The collective takeaway from both the axes here is that Palantir’s shares are trading at relatively higher trading multiples but that’s because of its higher-than-average pace of growth. This, in essence, justifies Palantir’s price premium. There are just 10 other stocks in the industry that are growing faster than Palantir but trading at lower P/S multiples. So, I find Palantir's shares to be attractively valued at current levels, when factoring in its growth momentum.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057999744,"gmtCreate":1655444648388,"gmtModify":1676535641517,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.","listText":"Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.","text":"Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057999744","repostId":"1176430235","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176430235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655445408,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176430235?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-17 13:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176430235","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPMStrategists see stocks pricing 80% chan","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPM</li><li>Strategists see stocks pricing 80% chance of Europe recession</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500 now implies an 85% chance of a US recession amid fears of a policy error by the Federal Reserve, according to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. strategists.</p><p>The warning from quant and derivatives strategists is based on the average 26% decline for the S&amp;P 500 during the past 11 recessions and follows the US benchmark’s collapse into a bear market amid concerns about surging inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>“In all, there appear to be heightened concerns over recession risk among market participants and economic agents, which could become self-fulfilling if they persist prompting them to change behavior, e.g. by cutting investment or spending,” the strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a note. “Market concerns of a risk of policy error and subsequent reversal have increased.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/628c11b512dfc77084ff5a94ae8675aa\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US stocks rallied on Wednesday after the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points, in line with expectations, but the positive mood quickly evaporated. Investor attention turned to the risks to growth as Chair Jerome Powell effectively admitted that a downturn waspossible.</p><p>In Europe, equities are implying an 80% chance of recession, JPMorgan strategists said. The Bank of England raised interest rates for a fifth straight meeting today, while the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly increased interest rates for the first time since 2007.</p><p>“The aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and the Bank of England have made a recession in both countries now virtually certain,” Liberum Capital strategists Joachim Klement and Susana Cruz wrote in a note. “The good news is that while the recession may come as soon as the end of this year, it is likely to be a regular cyclical slowdown lasting six months or so and this means that while investors need to focus more and more on defensive stocks for now, the end of the recession and another bull market will be coming in 2023.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-17 13:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/jpmorgan-strategists-say-stocks-imply-85-chance-of-us-recession?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPMStrategists see stocks pricing 80% chance of Europe recessionThe S&P 500 now implies an 85% chance of a US recession amid fears of a policy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/jpmorgan-strategists-say-stocks-imply-85-chance-of-us-recession?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/jpmorgan-strategists-say-stocks-imply-85-chance-of-us-recession?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176430235","content_text":"Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPMStrategists see stocks pricing 80% chance of Europe recessionThe S&P 500 now implies an 85% chance of a US recession amid fears of a policy error by the Federal Reserve, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists.The warning from quant and derivatives strategists is based on the average 26% decline for the S&P 500 during the past 11 recessions and follows the US benchmark’s collapse into a bear market amid concerns about surging inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes.“In all, there appear to be heightened concerns over recession risk among market participants and economic agents, which could become self-fulfilling if they persist prompting them to change behavior, e.g. by cutting investment or spending,” the strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a note. “Market concerns of a risk of policy error and subsequent reversal have increased.”US stocks rallied on Wednesday after the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points, in line with expectations, but the positive mood quickly evaporated. Investor attention turned to the risks to growth as Chair Jerome Powell effectively admitted that a downturn waspossible.In Europe, equities are implying an 80% chance of recession, JPMorgan strategists said. The Bank of England raised interest rates for a fifth straight meeting today, while the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly increased interest rates for the first time since 2007.“The aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and the Bank of England have made a recession in both countries now virtually certain,” Liberum Capital strategists Joachim Klement and Susana Cruz wrote in a note. “The good news is that while the recession may come as soon as the end of this year, it is likely to be a regular cyclical slowdown lasting six months or so and this means that while investors need to focus more and more on defensive stocks for now, the end of the recession and another bull market will be coming in 2023.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054042158,"gmtCreate":1655335436374,"gmtModify":1676535614319,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>Check This Counter","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>Check This Counter","text":"$GameStop(GME)$Check This Counter","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6aff960c8b9a6d4d35e6809569ac271","width":"1125","height":"2325"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054042158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054053908,"gmtCreate":1655334673904,"gmtModify":1676535614009,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road","listText":"Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road","text":"Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054053908","repostId":"2243941466","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243941466","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1655324396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243941466?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 04:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243941466","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy annou","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates to market expectations as the central bank seeks to fight rising inflation without sparking a recession.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its biggest rate hike since 1994, and projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.</p><p>Equities were volatile after the announcement, before decidedly turning higher after Chair Jerome Powell said in his press conference that either 50 basis points or 75 basis points were most likely at the next meeting in July but that he did not expect hikes of 75 basis points to be common.</p><p>&#34;Once the Fed chairman said that there could be a similar 75 basis point increase at the next meeting, that&#39;s when the market rose,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>&#34;It is sort of a vote of confidence that the Fed is finally awake to the inflation problem and is willing to take a more aggressive stance.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 303.7 points, or 1%, to 30,668.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 54.51 points, or 1.46%, to 3,789.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 270.81 points, or 2.5%, to 11,099.16.</p><p>The five-session losing streak for the S&amp;P 500 was its longest since early January.</p><p>Investors had quickly raised their expectations that the central bank would hike rates by 75 basis points (bps) over the past several days following a stronger than expected reading of consumer prices on Friday. It had previously been widely anticipated the Fed would announce a raise of 50 bps, a rapid swing in expectations that has triggered a violent selloff across world markets.</p><p>Fueling the expectation for a larger hike were forecasts changes by analysts at major banks, including those at JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, which both projected a 75 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investors have since rushed to reprice their bets.</p><p>Growing worries about surging inflation, higher borrowing costs, slowing economic growth and corporate earnings have kept equities under pressure for most of the year.</p><p>On Monday, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 marked a more than 20% decline from its most recent record closing high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.</p><p>Earlier economic data on Wednesday showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid shortages and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, well short of expectations calling for a 0.2% rise.</p><p>&#34;Most of the incremental data points have been negative, even this morning the retail sales numbers were soft so just in the last four business days you’ve had a number of negative economic numbers,&#34; said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist, F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.</p><p>Among individual stocks, Citigroup rose 3.52% as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best performers on the S&amp;P 500 banks index which gained 1.60%. Nucor Corp advanced 2.41% after it forecast upbeat current-quarter profit on strong steel demand.</p><p>Boeing Co surged 9.46% after China Southern Airlines Co Ltd conducted test flights with a 737 MAX plane for the first time since March, in a sign the jet&#39;s return in China could be nearing as demand rebounds.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.40 billion shares, compared with the 11.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 41 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 12 new highs and 258 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 04:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates to market expectations as the central bank seeks to fight rising inflation without sparking a recession.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its biggest rate hike since 1994, and projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.</p><p>Equities were volatile after the announcement, before decidedly turning higher after Chair Jerome Powell said in his press conference that either 50 basis points or 75 basis points were most likely at the next meeting in July but that he did not expect hikes of 75 basis points to be common.</p><p>&#34;Once the Fed chairman said that there could be a similar 75 basis point increase at the next meeting, that&#39;s when the market rose,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>&#34;It is sort of a vote of confidence that the Fed is finally awake to the inflation problem and is willing to take a more aggressive stance.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 303.7 points, or 1%, to 30,668.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 54.51 points, or 1.46%, to 3,789.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 270.81 points, or 2.5%, to 11,099.16.</p><p>The five-session losing streak for the S&amp;P 500 was its longest since early January.</p><p>Investors had quickly raised their expectations that the central bank would hike rates by 75 basis points (bps) over the past several days following a stronger than expected reading of consumer prices on Friday. It had previously been widely anticipated the Fed would announce a raise of 50 bps, a rapid swing in expectations that has triggered a violent selloff across world markets.</p><p>Fueling the expectation for a larger hike were forecasts changes by analysts at major banks, including those at JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, which both projected a 75 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investors have since rushed to reprice their bets.</p><p>Growing worries about surging inflation, higher borrowing costs, slowing economic growth and corporate earnings have kept equities under pressure for most of the year.</p><p>On Monday, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 marked a more than 20% decline from its most recent record closing high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.</p><p>Earlier economic data on Wednesday showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid shortages and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, well short of expectations calling for a 0.2% rise.</p><p>&#34;Most of the incremental data points have been negative, even this morning the retail sales numbers were soft so just in the last four business days you’ve had a number of negative economic numbers,&#34; said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist, F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.</p><p>Among individual stocks, Citigroup rose 3.52% as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best performers on the S&amp;P 500 banks index which gained 1.60%. Nucor Corp advanced 2.41% after it forecast upbeat current-quarter profit on strong steel demand.</p><p>Boeing Co surged 9.46% after China Southern Airlines Co Ltd conducted test flights with a 737 MAX plane for the first time since March, in a sign the jet&#39;s return in China could be nearing as demand rebounds.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.40 billion shares, compared with the 11.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 41 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 12 new highs and 258 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243941466","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates to market expectations as the central bank seeks to fight rising inflation without sparking a recession.The Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its biggest rate hike since 1994, and projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.Equities were volatile after the announcement, before decidedly turning higher after Chair Jerome Powell said in his press conference that either 50 basis points or 75 basis points were most likely at the next meeting in July but that he did not expect hikes of 75 basis points to be common.\"Once the Fed chairman said that there could be a similar 75 basis point increase at the next meeting, that's when the market rose,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.\"It is sort of a vote of confidence that the Fed is finally awake to the inflation problem and is willing to take a more aggressive stance.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 303.7 points, or 1%, to 30,668.53, the S&P 500 gained 54.51 points, or 1.46%, to 3,789.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 270.81 points, or 2.5%, to 11,099.16.The five-session losing streak for the S&P 500 was its longest since early January.Investors had quickly raised their expectations that the central bank would hike rates by 75 basis points (bps) over the past several days following a stronger than expected reading of consumer prices on Friday. It had previously been widely anticipated the Fed would announce a raise of 50 bps, a rapid swing in expectations that has triggered a violent selloff across world markets.Fueling the expectation for a larger hike were forecasts changes by analysts at major banks, including those at JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, which both projected a 75 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investors have since rushed to reprice their bets.Growing worries about surging inflation, higher borrowing costs, slowing economic growth and corporate earnings have kept equities under pressure for most of the year.On Monday, the benchmark S&P 500 marked a more than 20% decline from its most recent record closing high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.Earlier economic data on Wednesday showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid shortages and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, well short of expectations calling for a 0.2% rise.\"Most of the incremental data points have been negative, even this morning the retail sales numbers were soft so just in the last four business days you’ve had a number of negative economic numbers,\" said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist, F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.Among individual stocks, Citigroup rose 3.52% as one of the best performers on the S&P 500 banks index which gained 1.60%. Nucor Corp advanced 2.41% after it forecast upbeat current-quarter profit on strong steel demand.Boeing Co surged 9.46% after China Southern Airlines Co Ltd conducted test flights with a 737 MAX plane for the first time since March, in a sign the jet's return in China could be nearing as demand rebounds.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.40 billion shares, compared with the 11.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 41 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 12 new highs and 258 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055275630,"gmtCreate":1655284896720,"gmtModify":1676535604324,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope for some bounce after the announcement&nbsp;","listText":"Hope for some bounce after the announcement&nbsp;","text":"Hope for some bounce after the announcement","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055275630","repostId":"2243881989","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2243881989","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655251550,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243881989?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243881989","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they'r","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve&#39;s Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they&#39;re on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.</p><p>Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.</p><p>And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, &#34;I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn&#39;t work for anybody without price stability.&#34;</p><p><b>Inflation gauge</b>: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.</p><p>And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation goal.</p><p>Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn&#39;t preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees &#34;an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline,&#34; he wrote in a note dated June 13.</p><p>Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the <i>Wall Street Journal&#39;</i>s Michael Derby reported.</p><p>&#34;Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions,&#34; said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.</p><p><b>Good reason to surprise</b>: Barclays&#39;s Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. &#34;We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June,&#34; he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays&#39; forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.</p><p>Goldman Sachs&#39; Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would &#34;quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC&#39;s median estimate of the neutral rate,&#34; he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.</p><p>Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then &#34;downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023,&#34; he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.</p><p><b>Economic projection update</b>: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.</p><p>In the March SEP, Fed members&#39; median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDecision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2243881989","content_text":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, \"I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn't work for anybody without price stability.\"Inflation gauge: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed's 2% inflation goal.Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn't preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees \"an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13.Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the Wall Street Journal's Michael Derby reported.\"Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions,\" said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.Good reason to surprise: Barclays's Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. \"We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June,\" he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays' forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would \"quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC's median estimate of the neutral rate,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then \"downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023,\" he wrote in a note to clients.Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.Economic projection update: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.In the March SEP, Fed members' median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055275050,"gmtCreate":1655284797670,"gmtModify":1676535604309,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is still not over. More dip to come","listText":"It is still not over. More dip to come","text":"It is still not over. More dip to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055275050","repostId":"1115916389","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1115916389","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655252237,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115916389?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 08:17","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Rout Hits \"Darkest\" Phase With Entire Market Underwater","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115916389","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: GlassnodeBitcoin trades like a penny stock, says ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: Glassnode</li><li>Bitcoin trades like a penny stock, says Nuveen’s Brian Nick</li></ul><p>The bear market for Bitcoin has entered its “deepest and darkest” phase, with even long-term holders who had toughed it out until now coming under extreme pressure.</p><p>That’s according to strategists at Glassnode, which tracks an indicator known as realized price, the average purchase price of all Bitcoins in circulation. The cryptocurrency is currently trading roughly $1,000 below the coin’s current realized price of $23,430, according to the firm. Bitcoin price was around $22,150 late Tuesday afternoon in New York.</p><p>“The current bear market is now entering a phase aligned with the deepest and darkest phases of previous bears,” the strategists wrote in a note. “The market, on average, is barely above its cost basis, and even long-term holders are now being purged from the holder base.”<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257f987cc5ebbbb5ed75dbb7e5ec2155\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Market watchers have become preoccupied with figuring out which cohorts of investors are getting hurt the most during the current crypto winter. With Bitcoin now hovering around December 2020 lows, many newer entrants are now underwater. Meanwhile, UBS strategists are monitoring Bitcoin miners -- whose businesses have been under pressure due to high energy costs and capex commitments -- for potential signs of capitulation, which could also have an impact on prices.</p><p>Digital-asset investors have been partially spooked by crypto lender Celsius Network Ltd. pausing withdrawals, swaps and transfers, though the broader market remains under duress after a key inflation print came in hotter than expected last week, meaning that the Federal Reserve will have to be aggressive in its attempts to cool rising prices.</p><p>Lori Calvasina, head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Markets, said she’d like to see Bitcoin stabilize. “It has become another helpful indicator of sentiment and risk assets generally,” she said on a podcast.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Rout Hits \"Darkest\" Phase With Entire Market Underwater</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Rout Hits \"Darkest\" Phase With Entire Market Underwater\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/bitcoin-rout-hits-darkest-phase-with-entire-market-underwater?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: GlassnodeBitcoin trades like a penny stock, says Nuveen’s Brian NickThe bear market for Bitcoin has entered its “deepest and darkest” phase, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/bitcoin-rout-hits-darkest-phase-with-entire-market-underwater?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/bitcoin-rout-hits-darkest-phase-with-entire-market-underwater?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115916389","content_text":"Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: GlassnodeBitcoin trades like a penny stock, says Nuveen’s Brian NickThe bear market for Bitcoin has entered its “deepest and darkest” phase, with even long-term holders who had toughed it out until now coming under extreme pressure.That’s according to strategists at Glassnode, which tracks an indicator known as realized price, the average purchase price of all Bitcoins in circulation. The cryptocurrency is currently trading roughly $1,000 below the coin’s current realized price of $23,430, according to the firm. Bitcoin price was around $22,150 late Tuesday afternoon in New York.“The current bear market is now entering a phase aligned with the deepest and darkest phases of previous bears,” the strategists wrote in a note. “The market, on average, is barely above its cost basis, and even long-term holders are now being purged from the holder base.”Market watchers have become preoccupied with figuring out which cohorts of investors are getting hurt the most during the current crypto winter. With Bitcoin now hovering around December 2020 lows, many newer entrants are now underwater. Meanwhile, UBS strategists are monitoring Bitcoin miners -- whose businesses have been under pressure due to high energy costs and capex commitments -- for potential signs of capitulation, which could also have an impact on prices.Digital-asset investors have been partially spooked by crypto lender Celsius Network Ltd. pausing withdrawals, swaps and transfers, though the broader market remains under duress after a key inflation print came in hotter than expected last week, meaning that the Federal Reserve will have to be aggressive in its attempts to cool rising prices.Lori Calvasina, head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Markets, said she’d like to see Bitcoin stabilize. “It has become another helpful indicator of sentiment and risk assets generally,” she said on a podcast.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9018132199,"gmtCreate":1648993522990,"gmtModify":1676534432975,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be&nbsp;in this volatile time","listText":"dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be&nbsp;in this volatile time","text":"dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be in this volatile time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9018132199","repostId":"2224324017","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2224324017","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1648947540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2224324017?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-03 08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2224324017","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The sell-off has led to a slew of buying opportunities in top growth stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has staged an epic rally in the last week or so. After briefly being down over 20% year to date (YTD), the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> is now down less than 10% YTD. Similarly, the <b>S&amp;P</b> <b>500</b> and the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> are both down less than 5% YTD and are officially out of correction territory.</p><p>With the market processing rising interest rates, the prospect of lower inflation, and improving geopolitical risks, is now the time to go all-in on the stock market? Or is there a better alternative?</p><h2>Be greedy when others are fearful</h2><p>Warren Buffett, the CEO of <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> ( BRK.A, BRK.B), is known for his long-term track record of beating the stock market. But he&#39;s also known for one of the most famous quotes in investing, which is &#34;to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.&#34; It&#39;s a strategy that tends to keep investors out of trouble, both in recognizing when a stock is overvalued and pouncing on buying opportunities.</p><p>In the past four years, there have been three major sell-offs. In late 2018, a brief bear market happened almost entirely in the last three months of the year. But it proved to be an amazing buying opportunity, as the S&amp;P 500 proceeded to produce big gains in 2019.</p><p>The next big sell-off was the spring 2020 COVID-19-induced crash, which also proved to be a buying opportunity that led to massive gains during the rest of that year and through most of 2021. The third sell-off is the one we are still in now. And if history continues to repeat itself, it too will probably prove to be a fantastic long-term buying opportunity.</p><h2>Expect the unexpected</h2><p>You may be asking yourself: If now is a good time to buy, why not just go all-in on the U.S. stock market? Well, that&#39;s a bad idea for a number of reasons.</p><p>For starters, it&#39;s important to have an emergency fund in case unexpected medical expenses or unforeseen crises emerge. Although the stock market has been a great vehicle for fueling wealth creation over time, no one knows how it could perform in the short term. The market has staged an epic rebound, but it could give up all of those gains for a number of reasons, such as more aggressive monetary policy, a worsening geopolitical situation, or an infinite number of unknowns.</p><p>Going hard into the stock market without reserve dry powder leaves you overly exposed to short-term volatility. By putting money to work in the stock market that you don&#39;t need anytime soon, you can take the pressure off of short-term gyrations and keep a level head in case the market sell-off resumes.</p><h2>A better approach</h2><p>Yes, it sounds boring. But the best approach to investing is to simply dollar-cost average a portion of your income into stocks over time. That&#39;s the classic advice, anyway. Of course, an investor can operate with a little more wiggle room by keeping a set amount of cash on the sidelines that they only wait to deploy if there&#39;s a truly juicy buying opportunity. In that scenario, it would make sense to begin considering some of the many stocks that are on sale now.</p><p>Selectively buying great companies that go on sale is a worthwhile strategy to pair with dollar-cost averaging. In this vein, an investor can harness a sort of hybrid passive/active approach that leaves room for discipline and creativity.</p><h2>Navigating volatility</h2><p>Even if the market doesn&#39;t retest its lows and keeps surging in 2022, it is likely to suffer more corrections and bear markets in the years to come. Timing the market is difficult, and short-term price movements can be random, confusing, and grounded in nothing that has to do with the fundamental business.</p><p>Understanding that the market can do crazy, unpredictable things can help keep emotions in check during a stock market sell-off, as well as quell the urge to go all-in, even when it may be tempting to do so.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-03 08:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-the-stock-market/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has staged an epic rally in the last week or so. After briefly being down over 20% year to date (YTD), the Nasdaq Composite is now down less than 10% YTD. Similarly, the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-the-stock-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-the-stock-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2224324017","content_text":"The stock market has staged an epic rally in the last week or so. After briefly being down over 20% year to date (YTD), the Nasdaq Composite is now down less than 10% YTD. Similarly, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are both down less than 5% YTD and are officially out of correction territory.With the market processing rising interest rates, the prospect of lower inflation, and improving geopolitical risks, is now the time to go all-in on the stock market? Or is there a better alternative?Be greedy when others are fearfulWarren Buffett, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway ( BRK.A, BRK.B), is known for his long-term track record of beating the stock market. But he's also known for one of the most famous quotes in investing, which is \"to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.\" It's a strategy that tends to keep investors out of trouble, both in recognizing when a stock is overvalued and pouncing on buying opportunities.In the past four years, there have been three major sell-offs. In late 2018, a brief bear market happened almost entirely in the last three months of the year. But it proved to be an amazing buying opportunity, as the S&P 500 proceeded to produce big gains in 2019.The next big sell-off was the spring 2020 COVID-19-induced crash, which also proved to be a buying opportunity that led to massive gains during the rest of that year and through most of 2021. The third sell-off is the one we are still in now. And if history continues to repeat itself, it too will probably prove to be a fantastic long-term buying opportunity.Expect the unexpectedYou may be asking yourself: If now is a good time to buy, why not just go all-in on the U.S. stock market? Well, that's a bad idea for a number of reasons.For starters, it's important to have an emergency fund in case unexpected medical expenses or unforeseen crises emerge. Although the stock market has been a great vehicle for fueling wealth creation over time, no one knows how it could perform in the short term. The market has staged an epic rebound, but it could give up all of those gains for a number of reasons, such as more aggressive monetary policy, a worsening geopolitical situation, or an infinite number of unknowns.Going hard into the stock market without reserve dry powder leaves you overly exposed to short-term volatility. By putting money to work in the stock market that you don't need anytime soon, you can take the pressure off of short-term gyrations and keep a level head in case the market sell-off resumes.A better approachYes, it sounds boring. But the best approach to investing is to simply dollar-cost average a portion of your income into stocks over time. That's the classic advice, anyway. Of course, an investor can operate with a little more wiggle room by keeping a set amount of cash on the sidelines that they only wait to deploy if there's a truly juicy buying opportunity. In that scenario, it would make sense to begin considering some of the many stocks that are on sale now.Selectively buying great companies that go on sale is a worthwhile strategy to pair with dollar-cost averaging. In this vein, an investor can harness a sort of hybrid passive/active approach that leaves room for discipline and creativity.Navigating volatilityEven if the market doesn't retest its lows and keeps surging in 2022, it is likely to suffer more corrections and bear markets in the years to come. Timing the market is difficult, and short-term price movements can be random, confusing, and grounded in nothing that has to do with the fundamental business.Understanding that the market can do crazy, unpredictable things can help keep emotions in check during a stock market sell-off, as well as quell the urge to go all-in, even when it may be tempting to do so.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9011902030,"gmtCreate":1648797366626,"gmtModify":1676534400126,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Accumulate","listText":"Accumulate","text":"Accumulate","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9011902030","repostId":"1176336602","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176336602","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648735211,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176336602?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176336602","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiD","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiDi Global, Nio, Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb889d7bfe4da4e03fac7f9cfec2ac6\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-31 22:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiDi Global, Nio, Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb889d7bfe4da4e03fac7f9cfec2ac6\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IQ":"爱奇艺","JD":"京东","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BIDU":"百度","BEKE":"贝壳","NIO":"蔚来","BABA":"阿里巴巴","PDD":"拼多多","NTES":"网易","ZTO":"中通快递","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176336602","content_text":"Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiDi Global, Nio, Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9037925139,"gmtCreate":1648009843751,"gmtModify":1676534292673,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Way to go BABA","listText":"Way to go BABA","text":"Way to go BABA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9037925139","repostId":"2221979490","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2221979490","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648007579,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2221979490?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-23 11:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: Tremendous Upside Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2221979490","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWith the Chinese government announcing its plans to stabilize markets, Alibaba stock has seen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>With the Chinese government announcing its plans to stabilize markets, Alibaba stock has seen a nice recovery.</li><li>I believe that despite the possible risks, the stock has tremendous upside given the company&#39;s financial track record and future earning potential.</li><li>I initiate coverage on Alibaba using a 10-year EPS forecast model, and give the stock a &#39;Strong Buy&#39; rating at its current valuation.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c7e5ba4a836568115de5c2d8498356e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>David Becker/Getty Images News</span></p><p>After the Chinese government promised to stabilize markets and ease crackdowns, Chinese equities saw a huge recovery. Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR (NYSE:NYSE:BABA) rose from the depths of the low 70s to over $110 a share. I believe that the company still has tremendous upside from its current valuation due to its impressive financial track record over the years, and its ability to stay on track in the years to come. Despite an increase of over 50% from its recent low, the company is still undervalued.</p><p><b>The crash and the recovery</b></p><p>Shares of Alibaba Group sank to a terrifying low of $73.28 a share early last week, after the SEC announced its plans to delist five Chinese companies due to a lack of compliance with auditing requirements. Investors fled from Chinese equities, resulting in a massive plunge in their share prices. Alibaba was no exception, and its stock, which had already taken a beating over the past few weeks, sank to lows that haven&#39;t been seen in years. Yet, just when all hope seemed to be lost, the Chinese government stepped in to reassure investors that they would stabilize these turbulent markets, and potentially ease regulations so that Chinese companies can remain listed in overseas markets. The positive news which came mid last week triggered a near-vertical recovery in Chinese equities, whose share prices soared by double digits over the next few days. We now see Alibaba stock trading at over $110 a share, and I believe there&#39;s more upside to come.</p><p><b>Impressive financials</b></p><p>To understand how well Alibaba has been doing, let&#39;s go over a few financial metrics.</p><p><b>Revenue growth</b></p><p>Alibaba&#39;s revenue growth has remained in the double digits for the past few years. The company earned $182.51 billion HKD in revenue in 2017, and this number has grown to $820.2 billion HKD as of last year&#39;s annual report. This represents a net growth in revenue of almost 350% over those 5 years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c02fbb86072d4364834fb5dff4c85880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"476\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Alibaba&#39;s e-commerce revenue growth (Statista)</span></p><p>A quick look at their e-commerce revenue growth in domestic and international markets show that there has been a sustained uptrend in both departments over the past decade, and there is good reason to believe that revenue prospects for the company will remain strong in the years to come.</p><p><b>Share buyback</b></p><p>Alibaba has announced a massive $25 billion share buyback program, which came shortly after the Chinese government restored investors&#39; faith in Chinese equities. The value of the buyback is almost 10% of the company&#39;s current market capitalization, which stands at about $280 billion. This is extremely significant, and represents a substantial growth in stake ownership for the company&#39;s shareholders. The fact that the company is financially able to buy back such a large amount of shares is also a good reflection of its ability to generate free cash flows.</p><p><b>Earnings per share</b></p><p>Alibaba&#39;s diluted EPS has grown from 2.45 in 2017 to 7.82 in 2021, representing an approximate 219% increase over those 5 years. This is a good indication that the company has been greatly profitable over the years. As a result, it is able to distribute more of these profits to its shareholders.</p><p><b>Free cash flow growth</b></p><p>Alibaba has seen a massive increase in free cash flow, from $72.39 billion HKD in 2017 to $215.66 billion HKD in 2021, representing a near 200% growth over 5 years. This is a good sign that the company is managing its operating expenses and capital expenditures well. In addition, the free cash flow-to-long term debt ratio sits at 1.11 as of 2021, which shows that the company is more than able to pay off its financial obligations. These are very promising signs that the company is in very good financial health, and is at no risk whatsoever of going under.</p><p><b>China&#39;s growing affluence</b></p><p>Another important point is that Alibaba thrives in an increasingly affluent market. China&#39;s middle class has grown from about 3% of the population in 2000 to over 50% today, and the trend shows no clear signs of pulling back. Projections show that by 2030, most of China&#39;s urban households will be in the middle income bracket and above. With an increasingly affluent market to tap into, Alibaba is likely to see a significant and sustained increase in demand for its products. This would hugely benefit the company&#39;s financials and help it stay on its impressive trajectory.</p><p><b>Potential risks</b></p><p>While there&#39;s a lot to be positive about, there are some undeniable risks that need to be mentioned.</p><p><b>Losing market share</b></p><p>While Alibaba remains largely dominant in the Chinese market, its market share in the e-commerce industry is starting to fall due to changing consumption habits and a rise in competition. One such competitor is Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD), which has proven to be formidable in the e-commerce business with its innovative methods to appeal to commerce communities. This could present a challenge for Alibaba, and it is not certain whether the company is still able to retain its large market share in the years to come.</p><p><b>Regulatory risks</b></p><p>While the Chinese government has shown signs of regulatory easing, we should never get too comfortable. Regulations concerning Chinese companies are always unpredictable, and the future of Chinese equities still bears a great deal of uncertainty. In addition, the SEC is starting to clamp down harder on foreign companies which are not compliant with any of their auditing requirements. The risks which arise from both sides still exist, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> can never be too careful, especially in today&#39;s regulatory climate.</p><p><b>Alibaba stock valuation</b></p><p>I will be using an EPS forecast model to determine a fair valuation of Alibaba stock. The model will be applied over 10 years, starting from 2021&#39;s EPS of 7.82. Before I do this, let me go over some of the metrics I will be using in my calculations.</p><p><b>Metrics</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee8ef6644c09c16436ffe9b15b5d329\" tg-width=\"350\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Assumptions used for EPS forecast model (Prepared by author)</span></p><p><b>Projected annual change in shares outstanding</b></p><p>I&#39;ve projected an average annual decrease of 1% in shares outstanding over the next 10 years. This is a reasonably conservative estimate, considering the magnitude of the share buyback program.</p><p><b>Projected annual growth rate</b></p><p>I&#39;ve projected an average annual growth rate of 15%, which seems to be a fairly conservative estimate considering the company&#39;s long-term earning potential.</p><p><b>Minimum annual rate of return</b></p><p>I&#39;ve gone for a desired annual return of 12.5%, which beats the returns of a good <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> by a decent margin.</p><p><b>Margin of safety</b></p><p>While Alibaba is a Chinese company that is generally exposed to more regulatory risk, I do believe that my previous assumptions are conservative enough and a 20% margin of safety is sufficient for this calculation.</p><p><b>Projected P/E</b></p><p>I&#39;ll be assuming a projected P/E of 20, which is, again, a fairly low value compared to the company&#39;s P/E over the years. We could very likely see a much higher P/E than this in the future, but once again, let&#39;s be conservative. For some reference, Alibaba&#39;s current P/E (at the time of writing) is about 28.</p><p><b>Price target</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e60a2da9b185d8fe76a2b6a8e23a6704\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>EPS Forecast for Alibaba Stock (Prepared by author)</span></p><p>Based on our relatively conservative assumptions, we&#39;ve arrived at a price target of $172.36. This means that if I were to invest in Alibaba at $172.36 a share, I would be getting an average annual return of 12.5% over 10 years. The current price of Alibaba stock sits at just above $110, and this shows that there is tremendous upside based on our current assumptions, which are already on the conservative side.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>While Alibaba may face challenges in the future, I do believe that the company is on a great financial trajectory, and has tremendous upside in terms of its valuation. I conclude my analysis with a price target of $172.36, and a &#39;Strong Buy&#39; rating at today&#39;s valuation.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: Tremendous Upside Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR (NYSE:NYSE:BABA) rose from the depths of the low 70s to over $110 a share. I believe that the company still has tremendous upside from its current valuation due to its impressive financial track record over the years, and its ability to stay on track in the years to come. Despite an increase of over 50% from its recent low, the company is still undervalued.The crash and the recoveryShares of Alibaba Group sank to a terrifying low of $73.28 a share early last week, after the SEC announced its plans to delist five Chinese companies due to a lack of compliance with auditing requirements. Investors fled from Chinese equities, resulting in a massive plunge in their share prices. Alibaba was no exception, and its stock, which had already taken a beating over the past few weeks, sank to lows that haven't been seen in years. Yet, just when all hope seemed to be lost, the Chinese government stepped in to reassure investors that they would stabilize these turbulent markets, and potentially ease regulations so that Chinese companies can remain listed in overseas markets. The positive news which came mid last week triggered a near-vertical recovery in Chinese equities, whose share prices soared by double digits over the next few days. We now see Alibaba stock trading at over $110 a share, and I believe there's more upside to come.Impressive financialsTo understand how well Alibaba has been doing, let's go over a few financial metrics.Revenue growthAlibaba's revenue growth has remained in the double digits for the past few years. The company earned $182.51 billion HKD in revenue in 2017, and this number has grown to $820.2 billion HKD as of last year's annual report. This represents a net growth in revenue of almost 350% over those 5 years.Alibaba's e-commerce revenue growth (Statista)A quick look at their e-commerce revenue growth in domestic and international markets show that there has been a sustained uptrend in both departments over the past decade, and there is good reason to believe that revenue prospects for the company will remain strong in the years to come.Share buybackAlibaba has announced a massive $25 billion share buyback program, which came shortly after the Chinese government restored investors' faith in Chinese equities. The value of the buyback is almost 10% of the company's current market capitalization, which stands at about $280 billion. This is extremely significant, and represents a substantial growth in stake ownership for the company's shareholders. The fact that the company is financially able to buy back such a large amount of shares is also a good reflection of its ability to generate free cash flows.Earnings per shareAlibaba's diluted EPS has grown from 2.45 in 2017 to 7.82 in 2021, representing an approximate 219% increase over those 5 years. This is a good indication that the company has been greatly profitable over the years. As a result, it is able to distribute more of these profits to its shareholders.Free cash flow growthAlibaba has seen a massive increase in free cash flow, from $72.39 billion HKD in 2017 to $215.66 billion HKD in 2021, representing a near 200% growth over 5 years. This is a good sign that the company is managing its operating expenses and capital expenditures well. In addition, the free cash flow-to-long term debt ratio sits at 1.11 as of 2021, which shows that the company is more than able to pay off its financial obligations. These are very promising signs that the company is in very good financial health, and is at no risk whatsoever of going under.China's growing affluenceAnother important point is that Alibaba thrives in an increasingly affluent market. China's middle class has grown from about 3% of the population in 2000 to over 50% today, and the trend shows no clear signs of pulling back. Projections show that by 2030, most of China's urban households will be in the middle income bracket and above. With an increasingly affluent market to tap into, Alibaba is likely to see a significant and sustained increase in demand for its products. This would hugely benefit the company's financials and help it stay on its impressive trajectory.Potential risksWhile there's a lot to be positive about, there are some undeniable risks that need to be mentioned.Losing market shareWhile Alibaba remains largely dominant in the Chinese market, its market share in the e-commerce industry is starting to fall due to changing consumption habits and a rise in competition. One such competitor is Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD), which has proven to be formidable in the e-commerce business with its innovative methods to appeal to commerce communities. This could present a challenge for Alibaba, and it is not certain whether the company is still able to retain its large market share in the years to come.Regulatory risksWhile the Chinese government has shown signs of regulatory easing, we should never get too comfortable. Regulations concerning Chinese companies are always unpredictable, and the future of Chinese equities still bears a great deal of uncertainty. In addition, the SEC is starting to clamp down harder on foreign companies which are not compliant with any of their auditing requirements. The risks which arise from both sides still exist, and one can never be too careful, especially in today's regulatory climate.Alibaba stock valuationI will be using an EPS forecast model to determine a fair valuation of Alibaba stock. The model will be applied over 10 years, starting from 2021's EPS of 7.82. Before I do this, let me go over some of the metrics I will be using in my calculations.MetricsAssumptions used for EPS forecast model (Prepared by author)Projected annual change in shares outstandingI've projected an average annual decrease of 1% in shares outstanding over the next 10 years. This is a reasonably conservative estimate, considering the magnitude of the share buyback program.Projected annual growth rateI've projected an average annual growth rate of 15%, which seems to be a fairly conservative estimate considering the company's long-term earning potential.Minimum annual rate of returnI've gone for a desired annual return of 12.5%, which beats the returns of a good Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF by a decent margin.Margin of safetyWhile Alibaba is a Chinese company that is generally exposed to more regulatory risk, I do believe that my previous assumptions are conservative enough and a 20% margin of safety is sufficient for this calculation.Projected P/EI'll be assuming a projected P/E of 20, which is, again, a fairly low value compared to the company's P/E over the years. We could very likely see a much higher P/E than this in the future, but once again, let's be conservative. For some reference, Alibaba's current P/E (at the time of writing) is about 28.Price targetEPS Forecast for Alibaba Stock (Prepared by author)Based on our relatively conservative assumptions, we've arrived at a price target of $172.36. This means that if I were to invest in Alibaba at $172.36 a share, I would be getting an average annual return of 12.5% over 10 years. The current price of Alibaba stock sits at just above $110, and this shows that there is tremendous upside based on our current assumptions, which are already on the conservative side.ConclusionWhile Alibaba may face challenges in the future, I do believe that the company is on a great financial trajectory, and has tremendous upside in terms of its valuation. I conclude my analysis with a price target of $172.36, and a 'Strong Buy' rating at today's valuation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034736799,"gmtCreate":1647961569352,"gmtModify":1676534285561,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Way to go","listText":"Way to go","text":"Way to go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034736799","repostId":"1111440361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111440361","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647957835,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111440361?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-22 22:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111440361","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 rose around 0.8%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 rose around 0.8%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e7585f44234c66966c5327da82a372a\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"137\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-22 22:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 rose around 0.8%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e7585f44234c66966c5327da82a372a\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"137\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111440361","content_text":"Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 rose around 0.8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9018132199,"gmtCreate":1648993522990,"gmtModify":1676534432975,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be&nbsp;in this volatile time","listText":"dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be&nbsp;in this volatile time","text":"dollar-cost averaging is a great way to be in this volatile time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9018132199","repostId":"2224324017","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2224324017","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1648947540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2224324017?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-03 08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2224324017","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The sell-off has led to a slew of buying opportunities in top growth stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has staged an epic rally in the last week or so. After briefly being down over 20% year to date (YTD), the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> is now down less than 10% YTD. Similarly, the <b>S&amp;P</b> <b>500</b> and the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> are both down less than 5% YTD and are officially out of correction territory.</p><p>With the market processing rising interest rates, the prospect of lower inflation, and improving geopolitical risks, is now the time to go all-in on the stock market? Or is there a better alternative?</p><h2>Be greedy when others are fearful</h2><p>Warren Buffett, the CEO of <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> ( BRK.A, BRK.B), is known for his long-term track record of beating the stock market. But he&#39;s also known for one of the most famous quotes in investing, which is &#34;to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.&#34; It&#39;s a strategy that tends to keep investors out of trouble, both in recognizing when a stock is overvalued and pouncing on buying opportunities.</p><p>In the past four years, there have been three major sell-offs. In late 2018, a brief bear market happened almost entirely in the last three months of the year. But it proved to be an amazing buying opportunity, as the S&amp;P 500 proceeded to produce big gains in 2019.</p><p>The next big sell-off was the spring 2020 COVID-19-induced crash, which also proved to be a buying opportunity that led to massive gains during the rest of that year and through most of 2021. The third sell-off is the one we are still in now. And if history continues to repeat itself, it too will probably prove to be a fantastic long-term buying opportunity.</p><h2>Expect the unexpected</h2><p>You may be asking yourself: If now is a good time to buy, why not just go all-in on the U.S. stock market? Well, that&#39;s a bad idea for a number of reasons.</p><p>For starters, it&#39;s important to have an emergency fund in case unexpected medical expenses or unforeseen crises emerge. Although the stock market has been a great vehicle for fueling wealth creation over time, no one knows how it could perform in the short term. The market has staged an epic rebound, but it could give up all of those gains for a number of reasons, such as more aggressive monetary policy, a worsening geopolitical situation, or an infinite number of unknowns.</p><p>Going hard into the stock market without reserve dry powder leaves you overly exposed to short-term volatility. By putting money to work in the stock market that you don&#39;t need anytime soon, you can take the pressure off of short-term gyrations and keep a level head in case the market sell-off resumes.</p><h2>A better approach</h2><p>Yes, it sounds boring. But the best approach to investing is to simply dollar-cost average a portion of your income into stocks over time. That&#39;s the classic advice, anyway. Of course, an investor can operate with a little more wiggle room by keeping a set amount of cash on the sidelines that they only wait to deploy if there&#39;s a truly juicy buying opportunity. In that scenario, it would make sense to begin considering some of the many stocks that are on sale now.</p><p>Selectively buying great companies that go on sale is a worthwhile strategy to pair with dollar-cost averaging. In this vein, an investor can harness a sort of hybrid passive/active approach that leaves room for discipline and creativity.</p><h2>Navigating volatility</h2><p>Even if the market doesn&#39;t retest its lows and keeps surging in 2022, it is likely to suffer more corrections and bear markets in the years to come. Timing the market is difficult, and short-term price movements can be random, confusing, and grounded in nothing that has to do with the fundamental business.</p><p>Understanding that the market can do crazy, unpredictable things can help keep emotions in check during a stock market sell-off, as well as quell the urge to go all-in, even when it may be tempting to do so.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now the Time to Go All-In on the Stock Market?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-03 08:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-the-stock-market/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has staged an epic rally in the last week or so. After briefly being down over 20% year to date (YTD), the Nasdaq Composite is now down less than 10% YTD. Similarly, the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-the-stock-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/02/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-the-stock-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2224324017","content_text":"The stock market has staged an epic rally in the last week or so. After briefly being down over 20% year to date (YTD), the Nasdaq Composite is now down less than 10% YTD. Similarly, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are both down less than 5% YTD and are officially out of correction territory.With the market processing rising interest rates, the prospect of lower inflation, and improving geopolitical risks, is now the time to go all-in on the stock market? Or is there a better alternative?Be greedy when others are fearfulWarren Buffett, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway ( BRK.A, BRK.B), is known for his long-term track record of beating the stock market. But he's also known for one of the most famous quotes in investing, which is \"to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.\" It's a strategy that tends to keep investors out of trouble, both in recognizing when a stock is overvalued and pouncing on buying opportunities.In the past four years, there have been three major sell-offs. In late 2018, a brief bear market happened almost entirely in the last three months of the year. But it proved to be an amazing buying opportunity, as the S&P 500 proceeded to produce big gains in 2019.The next big sell-off was the spring 2020 COVID-19-induced crash, which also proved to be a buying opportunity that led to massive gains during the rest of that year and through most of 2021. The third sell-off is the one we are still in now. And if history continues to repeat itself, it too will probably prove to be a fantastic long-term buying opportunity.Expect the unexpectedYou may be asking yourself: If now is a good time to buy, why not just go all-in on the U.S. stock market? Well, that's a bad idea for a number of reasons.For starters, it's important to have an emergency fund in case unexpected medical expenses or unforeseen crises emerge. Although the stock market has been a great vehicle for fueling wealth creation over time, no one knows how it could perform in the short term. The market has staged an epic rebound, but it could give up all of those gains for a number of reasons, such as more aggressive monetary policy, a worsening geopolitical situation, or an infinite number of unknowns.Going hard into the stock market without reserve dry powder leaves you overly exposed to short-term volatility. By putting money to work in the stock market that you don't need anytime soon, you can take the pressure off of short-term gyrations and keep a level head in case the market sell-off resumes.A better approachYes, it sounds boring. But the best approach to investing is to simply dollar-cost average a portion of your income into stocks over time. That's the classic advice, anyway. Of course, an investor can operate with a little more wiggle room by keeping a set amount of cash on the sidelines that they only wait to deploy if there's a truly juicy buying opportunity. In that scenario, it would make sense to begin considering some of the many stocks that are on sale now.Selectively buying great companies that go on sale is a worthwhile strategy to pair with dollar-cost averaging. In this vein, an investor can harness a sort of hybrid passive/active approach that leaves room for discipline and creativity.Navigating volatilityEven if the market doesn't retest its lows and keeps surging in 2022, it is likely to suffer more corrections and bear markets in the years to come. Timing the market is difficult, and short-term price movements can be random, confusing, and grounded in nothing that has to do with the fundamental business.Understanding that the market can do crazy, unpredictable things can help keep emotions in check during a stock market sell-off, as well as quell the urge to go all-in, even when it may be tempting to do so.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054053908,"gmtCreate":1655334673904,"gmtModify":1676535614009,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road","listText":"Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road","text":"Now till the next meeting, be cautious as I won't be surprised, it's going to be a bumpy road","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054053908","repostId":"2243941466","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243941466","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1655324396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243941466?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 04:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243941466","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy annou","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates to market expectations as the central bank seeks to fight rising inflation without sparking a recession.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its biggest rate hike since 1994, and projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.</p><p>Equities were volatile after the announcement, before decidedly turning higher after Chair Jerome Powell said in his press conference that either 50 basis points or 75 basis points were most likely at the next meeting in July but that he did not expect hikes of 75 basis points to be common.</p><p>&#34;Once the Fed chairman said that there could be a similar 75 basis point increase at the next meeting, that&#39;s when the market rose,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>&#34;It is sort of a vote of confidence that the Fed is finally awake to the inflation problem and is willing to take a more aggressive stance.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 303.7 points, or 1%, to 30,668.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 54.51 points, or 1.46%, to 3,789.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 270.81 points, or 2.5%, to 11,099.16.</p><p>The five-session losing streak for the S&amp;P 500 was its longest since early January.</p><p>Investors had quickly raised their expectations that the central bank would hike rates by 75 basis points (bps) over the past several days following a stronger than expected reading of consumer prices on Friday. It had previously been widely anticipated the Fed would announce a raise of 50 bps, a rapid swing in expectations that has triggered a violent selloff across world markets.</p><p>Fueling the expectation for a larger hike were forecasts changes by analysts at major banks, including those at JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, which both projected a 75 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investors have since rushed to reprice their bets.</p><p>Growing worries about surging inflation, higher borrowing costs, slowing economic growth and corporate earnings have kept equities under pressure for most of the year.</p><p>On Monday, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 marked a more than 20% decline from its most recent record closing high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.</p><p>Earlier economic data on Wednesday showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid shortages and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, well short of expectations calling for a 0.2% rise.</p><p>&#34;Most of the incremental data points have been negative, even this morning the retail sales numbers were soft so just in the last four business days you’ve had a number of negative economic numbers,&#34; said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist, F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.</p><p>Among individual stocks, Citigroup rose 3.52% as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best performers on the S&amp;P 500 banks index which gained 1.60%. Nucor Corp advanced 2.41% after it forecast upbeat current-quarter profit on strong steel demand.</p><p>Boeing Co surged 9.46% after China Southern Airlines Co Ltd conducted test flights with a 737 MAX plane for the first time since March, in a sign the jet&#39;s return in China could be nearing as demand rebounds.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.40 billion shares, compared with the 11.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 41 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 12 new highs and 258 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies to Close Higher After Fed Statement\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 04:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates to market expectations as the central bank seeks to fight rising inflation without sparking a recession.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its biggest rate hike since 1994, and projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.</p><p>Equities were volatile after the announcement, before decidedly turning higher after Chair Jerome Powell said in his press conference that either 50 basis points or 75 basis points were most likely at the next meeting in July but that he did not expect hikes of 75 basis points to be common.</p><p>&#34;Once the Fed chairman said that there could be a similar 75 basis point increase at the next meeting, that&#39;s when the market rose,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>&#34;It is sort of a vote of confidence that the Fed is finally awake to the inflation problem and is willing to take a more aggressive stance.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 303.7 points, or 1%, to 30,668.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 54.51 points, or 1.46%, to 3,789.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 270.81 points, or 2.5%, to 11,099.16.</p><p>The five-session losing streak for the S&amp;P 500 was its longest since early January.</p><p>Investors had quickly raised their expectations that the central bank would hike rates by 75 basis points (bps) over the past several days following a stronger than expected reading of consumer prices on Friday. It had previously been widely anticipated the Fed would announce a raise of 50 bps, a rapid swing in expectations that has triggered a violent selloff across world markets.</p><p>Fueling the expectation for a larger hike were forecasts changes by analysts at major banks, including those at JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, which both projected a 75 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investors have since rushed to reprice their bets.</p><p>Growing worries about surging inflation, higher borrowing costs, slowing economic growth and corporate earnings have kept equities under pressure for most of the year.</p><p>On Monday, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 marked a more than 20% decline from its most recent record closing high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.</p><p>Earlier economic data on Wednesday showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid shortages and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, well short of expectations calling for a 0.2% rise.</p><p>&#34;Most of the incremental data points have been negative, even this morning the retail sales numbers were soft so just in the last four business days you’ve had a number of negative economic numbers,&#34; said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist, F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.</p><p>Among individual stocks, Citigroup rose 3.52% as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best performers on the S&amp;P 500 banks index which gained 1.60%. Nucor Corp advanced 2.41% after it forecast upbeat current-quarter profit on strong steel demand.</p><p>Boeing Co surged 9.46% after China Southern Airlines Co Ltd conducted test flights with a 737 MAX plane for the first time since March, in a sign the jet&#39;s return in China could be nearing as demand rebounds.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.40 billion shares, compared with the 11.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 41 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 12 new highs and 258 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243941466","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 rallied on Wednesday to snap a five-session losing skid after a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates to market expectations as the central bank seeks to fight rising inflation without sparking a recession.The Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its biggest rate hike since 1994, and projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the months to come.Equities were volatile after the announcement, before decidedly turning higher after Chair Jerome Powell said in his press conference that either 50 basis points or 75 basis points were most likely at the next meeting in July but that he did not expect hikes of 75 basis points to be common.\"Once the Fed chairman said that there could be a similar 75 basis point increase at the next meeting, that's when the market rose,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.\"It is sort of a vote of confidence that the Fed is finally awake to the inflation problem and is willing to take a more aggressive stance.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 303.7 points, or 1%, to 30,668.53, the S&P 500 gained 54.51 points, or 1.46%, to 3,789.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 270.81 points, or 2.5%, to 11,099.16.The five-session losing streak for the S&P 500 was its longest since early January.Investors had quickly raised their expectations that the central bank would hike rates by 75 basis points (bps) over the past several days following a stronger than expected reading of consumer prices on Friday. It had previously been widely anticipated the Fed would announce a raise of 50 bps, a rapid swing in expectations that has triggered a violent selloff across world markets.Fueling the expectation for a larger hike were forecasts changes by analysts at major banks, including those at JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, which both projected a 75 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investors have since rushed to reprice their bets.Growing worries about surging inflation, higher borrowing costs, slowing economic growth and corporate earnings have kept equities under pressure for most of the year.On Monday, the benchmark S&P 500 marked a more than 20% decline from its most recent record closing high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.Earlier economic data on Wednesday showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in May as motor vehicle purchases declined amid shortages and record high gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, well short of expectations calling for a 0.2% rise.\"Most of the incremental data points have been negative, even this morning the retail sales numbers were soft so just in the last four business days you’ve had a number of negative economic numbers,\" said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist, F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.Among individual stocks, Citigroup rose 3.52% as one of the best performers on the S&P 500 banks index which gained 1.60%. Nucor Corp advanced 2.41% after it forecast upbeat current-quarter profit on strong steel demand.Boeing Co surged 9.46% after China Southern Airlines Co Ltd conducted test flights with a 737 MAX plane for the first time since March, in a sign the jet's return in China could be nearing as demand rebounds.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.40 billion shares, compared with the 11.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 41 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 12 new highs and 258 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055275630,"gmtCreate":1655284896720,"gmtModify":1676535604324,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope for some bounce after the announcement&nbsp;","listText":"Hope for some bounce after the announcement&nbsp;","text":"Hope for some bounce after the announcement","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055275630","repostId":"2243881989","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2243881989","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655251550,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243881989?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243881989","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they'r","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve&#39;s Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they&#39;re on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.</p><p>Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.</p><p>And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, &#34;I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn&#39;t work for anybody without price stability.&#34;</p><p><b>Inflation gauge</b>: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.</p><p>And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation goal.</p><p>Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn&#39;t preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees &#34;an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline,&#34; he wrote in a note dated June 13.</p><p>Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the <i>Wall Street Journal&#39;</i>s Michael Derby reported.</p><p>&#34;Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions,&#34; said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.</p><p><b>Good reason to surprise</b>: Barclays&#39;s Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. &#34;We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June,&#34; he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays&#39; forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.</p><p>Goldman Sachs&#39; Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would &#34;quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC&#39;s median estimate of the neutral rate,&#34; he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.</p><p>Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then &#34;downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023,&#34; he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.</p><p><b>Economic projection update</b>: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.</p><p>In the March SEP, Fed members&#39; median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDecision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2243881989","content_text":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, \"I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn't work for anybody without price stability.\"Inflation gauge: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed's 2% inflation goal.Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn't preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees \"an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13.Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the Wall Street Journal's Michael Derby reported.\"Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions,\" said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.Good reason to surprise: Barclays's Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. \"We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June,\" he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays' forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would \"quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC's median estimate of the neutral rate,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then \"downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023,\" he wrote in a note to clients.Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.Economic projection update: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.In the March SEP, Fed members' median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054042158,"gmtCreate":1655335436374,"gmtModify":1676535614319,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>Check This Counter","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>Check This Counter","text":"$GameStop(GME)$Check This Counter","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6aff960c8b9a6d4d35e6809569ac271","width":"1125","height":"2325"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054042158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9037925139,"gmtCreate":1648009843751,"gmtModify":1676534292673,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Way to go BABA","listText":"Way to go BABA","text":"Way to go BABA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9037925139","repostId":"2221979490","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2221979490","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648007579,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2221979490?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-23 11:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: Tremendous Upside Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2221979490","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWith the Chinese government announcing its plans to stabilize markets, Alibaba stock has seen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>With the Chinese government announcing its plans to stabilize markets, Alibaba stock has seen a nice recovery.</li><li>I believe that despite the possible risks, the stock has tremendous upside given the company&#39;s financial track record and future earning potential.</li><li>I initiate coverage on Alibaba using a 10-year EPS forecast model, and give the stock a &#39;Strong Buy&#39; rating at its current valuation.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c7e5ba4a836568115de5c2d8498356e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>David Becker/Getty Images News</span></p><p>After the Chinese government promised to stabilize markets and ease crackdowns, Chinese equities saw a huge recovery. Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR (NYSE:NYSE:BABA) rose from the depths of the low 70s to over $110 a share. I believe that the company still has tremendous upside from its current valuation due to its impressive financial track record over the years, and its ability to stay on track in the years to come. Despite an increase of over 50% from its recent low, the company is still undervalued.</p><p><b>The crash and the recovery</b></p><p>Shares of Alibaba Group sank to a terrifying low of $73.28 a share early last week, after the SEC announced its plans to delist five Chinese companies due to a lack of compliance with auditing requirements. Investors fled from Chinese equities, resulting in a massive plunge in their share prices. Alibaba was no exception, and its stock, which had already taken a beating over the past few weeks, sank to lows that haven&#39;t been seen in years. Yet, just when all hope seemed to be lost, the Chinese government stepped in to reassure investors that they would stabilize these turbulent markets, and potentially ease regulations so that Chinese companies can remain listed in overseas markets. The positive news which came mid last week triggered a near-vertical recovery in Chinese equities, whose share prices soared by double digits over the next few days. We now see Alibaba stock trading at over $110 a share, and I believe there&#39;s more upside to come.</p><p><b>Impressive financials</b></p><p>To understand how well Alibaba has been doing, let&#39;s go over a few financial metrics.</p><p><b>Revenue growth</b></p><p>Alibaba&#39;s revenue growth has remained in the double digits for the past few years. The company earned $182.51 billion HKD in revenue in 2017, and this number has grown to $820.2 billion HKD as of last year&#39;s annual report. This represents a net growth in revenue of almost 350% over those 5 years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c02fbb86072d4364834fb5dff4c85880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"476\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Alibaba&#39;s e-commerce revenue growth (Statista)</span></p><p>A quick look at their e-commerce revenue growth in domestic and international markets show that there has been a sustained uptrend in both departments over the past decade, and there is good reason to believe that revenue prospects for the company will remain strong in the years to come.</p><p><b>Share buyback</b></p><p>Alibaba has announced a massive $25 billion share buyback program, which came shortly after the Chinese government restored investors&#39; faith in Chinese equities. The value of the buyback is almost 10% of the company&#39;s current market capitalization, which stands at about $280 billion. This is extremely significant, and represents a substantial growth in stake ownership for the company&#39;s shareholders. The fact that the company is financially able to buy back such a large amount of shares is also a good reflection of its ability to generate free cash flows.</p><p><b>Earnings per share</b></p><p>Alibaba&#39;s diluted EPS has grown from 2.45 in 2017 to 7.82 in 2021, representing an approximate 219% increase over those 5 years. This is a good indication that the company has been greatly profitable over the years. As a result, it is able to distribute more of these profits to its shareholders.</p><p><b>Free cash flow growth</b></p><p>Alibaba has seen a massive increase in free cash flow, from $72.39 billion HKD in 2017 to $215.66 billion HKD in 2021, representing a near 200% growth over 5 years. This is a good sign that the company is managing its operating expenses and capital expenditures well. In addition, the free cash flow-to-long term debt ratio sits at 1.11 as of 2021, which shows that the company is more than able to pay off its financial obligations. These are very promising signs that the company is in very good financial health, and is at no risk whatsoever of going under.</p><p><b>China&#39;s growing affluence</b></p><p>Another important point is that Alibaba thrives in an increasingly affluent market. China&#39;s middle class has grown from about 3% of the population in 2000 to over 50% today, and the trend shows no clear signs of pulling back. Projections show that by 2030, most of China&#39;s urban households will be in the middle income bracket and above. With an increasingly affluent market to tap into, Alibaba is likely to see a significant and sustained increase in demand for its products. This would hugely benefit the company&#39;s financials and help it stay on its impressive trajectory.</p><p><b>Potential risks</b></p><p>While there&#39;s a lot to be positive about, there are some undeniable risks that need to be mentioned.</p><p><b>Losing market share</b></p><p>While Alibaba remains largely dominant in the Chinese market, its market share in the e-commerce industry is starting to fall due to changing consumption habits and a rise in competition. One such competitor is Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD), which has proven to be formidable in the e-commerce business with its innovative methods to appeal to commerce communities. This could present a challenge for Alibaba, and it is not certain whether the company is still able to retain its large market share in the years to come.</p><p><b>Regulatory risks</b></p><p>While the Chinese government has shown signs of regulatory easing, we should never get too comfortable. Regulations concerning Chinese companies are always unpredictable, and the future of Chinese equities still bears a great deal of uncertainty. In addition, the SEC is starting to clamp down harder on foreign companies which are not compliant with any of their auditing requirements. The risks which arise from both sides still exist, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> can never be too careful, especially in today&#39;s regulatory climate.</p><p><b>Alibaba stock valuation</b></p><p>I will be using an EPS forecast model to determine a fair valuation of Alibaba stock. The model will be applied over 10 years, starting from 2021&#39;s EPS of 7.82. Before I do this, let me go over some of the metrics I will be using in my calculations.</p><p><b>Metrics</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee8ef6644c09c16436ffe9b15b5d329\" tg-width=\"350\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Assumptions used for EPS forecast model (Prepared by author)</span></p><p><b>Projected annual change in shares outstanding</b></p><p>I&#39;ve projected an average annual decrease of 1% in shares outstanding over the next 10 years. This is a reasonably conservative estimate, considering the magnitude of the share buyback program.</p><p><b>Projected annual growth rate</b></p><p>I&#39;ve projected an average annual growth rate of 15%, which seems to be a fairly conservative estimate considering the company&#39;s long-term earning potential.</p><p><b>Minimum annual rate of return</b></p><p>I&#39;ve gone for a desired annual return of 12.5%, which beats the returns of a good <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> by a decent margin.</p><p><b>Margin of safety</b></p><p>While Alibaba is a Chinese company that is generally exposed to more regulatory risk, I do believe that my previous assumptions are conservative enough and a 20% margin of safety is sufficient for this calculation.</p><p><b>Projected P/E</b></p><p>I&#39;ll be assuming a projected P/E of 20, which is, again, a fairly low value compared to the company&#39;s P/E over the years. We could very likely see a much higher P/E than this in the future, but once again, let&#39;s be conservative. For some reference, Alibaba&#39;s current P/E (at the time of writing) is about 28.</p><p><b>Price target</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e60a2da9b185d8fe76a2b6a8e23a6704\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>EPS Forecast for Alibaba Stock (Prepared by author)</span></p><p>Based on our relatively conservative assumptions, we&#39;ve arrived at a price target of $172.36. This means that if I were to invest in Alibaba at $172.36 a share, I would be getting an average annual return of 12.5% over 10 years. The current price of Alibaba stock sits at just above $110, and this shows that there is tremendous upside based on our current assumptions, which are already on the conservative side.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>While Alibaba may face challenges in the future, I do believe that the company is on a great financial trajectory, and has tremendous upside in terms of its valuation. I conclude my analysis with a price target of $172.36, and a &#39;Strong Buy&#39; rating at today&#39;s valuation.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: Tremendous Upside Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR (NYSE:NYSE:BABA) rose from the depths of the low 70s to over $110 a share. I believe that the company still has tremendous upside from its current valuation due to its impressive financial track record over the years, and its ability to stay on track in the years to come. Despite an increase of over 50% from its recent low, the company is still undervalued.The crash and the recoveryShares of Alibaba Group sank to a terrifying low of $73.28 a share early last week, after the SEC announced its plans to delist five Chinese companies due to a lack of compliance with auditing requirements. Investors fled from Chinese equities, resulting in a massive plunge in their share prices. Alibaba was no exception, and its stock, which had already taken a beating over the past few weeks, sank to lows that haven't been seen in years. Yet, just when all hope seemed to be lost, the Chinese government stepped in to reassure investors that they would stabilize these turbulent markets, and potentially ease regulations so that Chinese companies can remain listed in overseas markets. The positive news which came mid last week triggered a near-vertical recovery in Chinese equities, whose share prices soared by double digits over the next few days. We now see Alibaba stock trading at over $110 a share, and I believe there's more upside to come.Impressive financialsTo understand how well Alibaba has been doing, let's go over a few financial metrics.Revenue growthAlibaba's revenue growth has remained in the double digits for the past few years. The company earned $182.51 billion HKD in revenue in 2017, and this number has grown to $820.2 billion HKD as of last year's annual report. This represents a net growth in revenue of almost 350% over those 5 years.Alibaba's e-commerce revenue growth (Statista)A quick look at their e-commerce revenue growth in domestic and international markets show that there has been a sustained uptrend in both departments over the past decade, and there is good reason to believe that revenue prospects for the company will remain strong in the years to come.Share buybackAlibaba has announced a massive $25 billion share buyback program, which came shortly after the Chinese government restored investors' faith in Chinese equities. The value of the buyback is almost 10% of the company's current market capitalization, which stands at about $280 billion. This is extremely significant, and represents a substantial growth in stake ownership for the company's shareholders. The fact that the company is financially able to buy back such a large amount of shares is also a good reflection of its ability to generate free cash flows.Earnings per shareAlibaba's diluted EPS has grown from 2.45 in 2017 to 7.82 in 2021, representing an approximate 219% increase over those 5 years. This is a good indication that the company has been greatly profitable over the years. As a result, it is able to distribute more of these profits to its shareholders.Free cash flow growthAlibaba has seen a massive increase in free cash flow, from $72.39 billion HKD in 2017 to $215.66 billion HKD in 2021, representing a near 200% growth over 5 years. This is a good sign that the company is managing its operating expenses and capital expenditures well. In addition, the free cash flow-to-long term debt ratio sits at 1.11 as of 2021, which shows that the company is more than able to pay off its financial obligations. These are very promising signs that the company is in very good financial health, and is at no risk whatsoever of going under.China's growing affluenceAnother important point is that Alibaba thrives in an increasingly affluent market. China's middle class has grown from about 3% of the population in 2000 to over 50% today, and the trend shows no clear signs of pulling back. Projections show that by 2030, most of China's urban households will be in the middle income bracket and above. With an increasingly affluent market to tap into, Alibaba is likely to see a significant and sustained increase in demand for its products. This would hugely benefit the company's financials and help it stay on its impressive trajectory.Potential risksWhile there's a lot to be positive about, there are some undeniable risks that need to be mentioned.Losing market shareWhile Alibaba remains largely dominant in the Chinese market, its market share in the e-commerce industry is starting to fall due to changing consumption habits and a rise in competition. One such competitor is Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD), which has proven to be formidable in the e-commerce business with its innovative methods to appeal to commerce communities. This could present a challenge for Alibaba, and it is not certain whether the company is still able to retain its large market share in the years to come.Regulatory risksWhile the Chinese government has shown signs of regulatory easing, we should never get too comfortable. Regulations concerning Chinese companies are always unpredictable, and the future of Chinese equities still bears a great deal of uncertainty. In addition, the SEC is starting to clamp down harder on foreign companies which are not compliant with any of their auditing requirements. The risks which arise from both sides still exist, and one can never be too careful, especially in today's regulatory climate.Alibaba stock valuationI will be using an EPS forecast model to determine a fair valuation of Alibaba stock. The model will be applied over 10 years, starting from 2021's EPS of 7.82. Before I do this, let me go over some of the metrics I will be using in my calculations.MetricsAssumptions used for EPS forecast model (Prepared by author)Projected annual change in shares outstandingI've projected an average annual decrease of 1% in shares outstanding over the next 10 years. This is a reasonably conservative estimate, considering the magnitude of the share buyback program.Projected annual growth rateI've projected an average annual growth rate of 15%, which seems to be a fairly conservative estimate considering the company's long-term earning potential.Minimum annual rate of returnI've gone for a desired annual return of 12.5%, which beats the returns of a good Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF by a decent margin.Margin of safetyWhile Alibaba is a Chinese company that is generally exposed to more regulatory risk, I do believe that my previous assumptions are conservative enough and a 20% margin of safety is sufficient for this calculation.Projected P/EI'll be assuming a projected P/E of 20, which is, again, a fairly low value compared to the company's P/E over the years. We could very likely see a much higher P/E than this in the future, but once again, let's be conservative. For some reference, Alibaba's current P/E (at the time of writing) is about 28.Price targetEPS Forecast for Alibaba Stock (Prepared by author)Based on our relatively conservative assumptions, we've arrived at a price target of $172.36. This means that if I were to invest in Alibaba at $172.36 a share, I would be getting an average annual return of 12.5% over 10 years. The current price of Alibaba stock sits at just above $110, and this shows that there is tremendous upside based on our current assumptions, which are already on the conservative side.ConclusionWhile Alibaba may face challenges in the future, I do believe that the company is on a great financial trajectory, and has tremendous upside in terms of its valuation. I conclude my analysis with a price target of $172.36, and a 'Strong Buy' rating at today's valuation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034736799,"gmtCreate":1647961569352,"gmtModify":1676534285561,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Way to go","listText":"Way to go","text":"Way to go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034736799","repostId":"1111440361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111440361","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647957835,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111440361?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-22 22:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111440361","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 rose around 0.8%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 rose around 0.8%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e7585f44234c66966c5327da82a372a\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"137\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Index Rose Over 1% in Morning Trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 Rose Around 0.8%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-22 22:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 rose around 0.8%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e7585f44234c66966c5327da82a372a\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"137\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111440361","content_text":"Nasdaq Index rose over 1% in morning trading while Dow Jones and S&P 500 rose around 0.8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057999744,"gmtCreate":1655444648388,"gmtModify":1676535641517,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.","listText":"Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.","text":"Please DYODD. Don't feel good, don't enter,relax 1 corner 1st.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057999744","repostId":"1176430235","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176430235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655445408,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176430235?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-17 13:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176430235","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPMStrategists see stocks pricing 80% chan","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPM</li><li>Strategists see stocks pricing 80% chance of Europe recession</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500 now implies an 85% chance of a US recession amid fears of a policy error by the Federal Reserve, according to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. strategists.</p><p>The warning from quant and derivatives strategists is based on the average 26% decline for the S&amp;P 500 during the past 11 recessions and follows the US benchmark’s collapse into a bear market amid concerns about surging inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>“In all, there appear to be heightened concerns over recession risk among market participants and economic agents, which could become self-fulfilling if they persist prompting them to change behavior, e.g. by cutting investment or spending,” the strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a note. “Market concerns of a risk of policy error and subsequent reversal have increased.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/628c11b512dfc77084ff5a94ae8675aa\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US stocks rallied on Wednesday after the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points, in line with expectations, but the positive mood quickly evaporated. Investor attention turned to the risks to growth as Chair Jerome Powell effectively admitted that a downturn waspossible.</p><p>In Europe, equities are implying an 80% chance of recession, JPMorgan strategists said. The Bank of England raised interest rates for a fifth straight meeting today, while the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly increased interest rates for the first time since 2007.</p><p>“The aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and the Bank of England have made a recession in both countries now virtually certain,” Liberum Capital strategists Joachim Klement and Susana Cruz wrote in a note. “The good news is that while the recession may come as soon as the end of this year, it is likely to be a regular cyclical slowdown lasting six months or so and this means that while investors need to focus more and more on defensive stocks for now, the end of the recession and another bull market will be coming in 2023.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Strategists Say Stocks Imply 85% Chance of US Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-17 13:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/jpmorgan-strategists-say-stocks-imply-85-chance-of-us-recession?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPMStrategists see stocks pricing 80% chance of Europe recessionThe S&P 500 now implies an 85% chance of a US recession amid fears of a policy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/jpmorgan-strategists-say-stocks-imply-85-chance-of-us-recession?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/jpmorgan-strategists-say-stocks-imply-85-chance-of-us-recession?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176430235","content_text":"Concerns of policy error, subsequent reversal have grown: JPMStrategists see stocks pricing 80% chance of Europe recessionThe S&P 500 now implies an 85% chance of a US recession amid fears of a policy error by the Federal Reserve, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists.The warning from quant and derivatives strategists is based on the average 26% decline for the S&P 500 during the past 11 recessions and follows the US benchmark’s collapse into a bear market amid concerns about surging inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes.“In all, there appear to be heightened concerns over recession risk among market participants and economic agents, which could become self-fulfilling if they persist prompting them to change behavior, e.g. by cutting investment or spending,” the strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a note. “Market concerns of a risk of policy error and subsequent reversal have increased.”US stocks rallied on Wednesday after the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points, in line with expectations, but the positive mood quickly evaporated. Investor attention turned to the risks to growth as Chair Jerome Powell effectively admitted that a downturn waspossible.In Europe, equities are implying an 80% chance of recession, JPMorgan strategists said. The Bank of England raised interest rates for a fifth straight meeting today, while the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly increased interest rates for the first time since 2007.“The aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and the Bank of England have made a recession in both countries now virtually certain,” Liberum Capital strategists Joachim Klement and Susana Cruz wrote in a note. “The good news is that while the recession may come as soon as the end of this year, it is likely to be a regular cyclical slowdown lasting six months or so and this means that while investors need to focus more and more on defensive stocks for now, the end of the recession and another bull market will be coming in 2023.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057121415,"gmtCreate":1655480643137,"gmtModify":1676535648309,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay on the sideline","listText":"Stay on the sideline","text":"Stay on the sideline","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057121415","repostId":"1102691867","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1102691867","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655478013,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102691867?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-17 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Much Ado About Nothing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102691867","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIn this article, we'll see how Palantir stands to be affected by rising interest rates from a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>In this article, we&#39;ll see how Palantir stands to be affected by rising interest rates from a financial standpoint.</li><li>Although the macroeconomic outlook is gloomy, Palantir&#39;s revenue growth may continue on in the foreseeable future at least.</li><li>The stock is trading at attractive valuations when compared to 90 other software infrastructure stocks.</li></ul><p>A great deal of emphasis is being laid on how rising interest rates and the slowing down economy are going to hurt growth stocks, especially the unprofitable ones, in the quarters ahead. While this is a logical assessment for growth stocks in general, it’s resulted in an aggravated selloff in Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) in recent weeks even though it’s not overly susceptible to these risk factors. In this article, I’ll attempt to explain why this bear case for Palantir is exaggerated and why the stock makes for a good buying opportunity at current levels. Let’s take a closer look to gain a better understanding of it all.</p><p><b>The Interest Rate Risk</b></p><p>There’s no denying that rising interest rates will result in increased interest payments for individuals and companies alike. Firms that are profitable and/or cash flow positive would be positioned well to absorb these added expenses. However, companies that are loss-making and/or haven’t figured out their path to profitability, may have to dilute their shareholders and maybe even raise debt to meet their interest payments.</p><p>A broad swath of technology stocks falls into the latter category, faced with uncertain prospects and some with even the bankruptcy risk, so a sharp selloff in their shares is understandable and justified. However, Palantir doesn’t quite fit the latter criteria and its operating activities should more or less remain unfazed in a rising interest rate environment. Notice I used the term “operating activities” instead of talking about the company overall.</p><p>Fact of the matter is that Palantir is debt-free. Although it has a revolving credit line, it was undrawn at the end of the last quarter. This essentially means that the company won’t be negatively affected by rising interest rates, at least not directly. On the contrary, Palantir’s interest income grew by $171,000 last quarter in lieu of rising interest rates. This is a miniscule figure when compared to its top line, but it corroborates our assessment that rising interest rates won’t weigh down on the company’s operating results.</p><p>From Palantir’slast 10-Q filing:</p><blockquote>As of March 31, 2022, no borrowings were outstanding under our revolving credit facility…Interest income increased by $0.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the same period in 2021 primarily due to an increase in U.S. interest rates on interest earned from our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash.</blockquote><p>From Palantir&#39;s lastearnings call:</p><blockquote>At the end of Q1, we had a very strong war chest, $2.3 billion in cash and no debt.</blockquote><p>Now I’m not trying to portray that Palantir is immune from interest rate hikes. The company has invested in some arguably speculative stocks that have sold off in recent weeks and are likely to sell further with more rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c3f46ab34d65de2467e56cb23b9509\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"67\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir&#39;s 10Q filing</p><p>But the silver lining here is that these losses on marketable securities will be non-recurring in nature and Palantir’s operating results, at least, won’t be impaired by rising interest rates.</p><p><b>Sustainability Concerns</b></p><p>The next point of contention is that Palantir isn’t profitable yet and that it will be forced to raise capital in order to sustain its operations. This, inevitably, will create an interest expense burden on the company. But that’s not necessarily the case.</p><p>It’s worth noting that Palantir is free cash flow positive and that it’s grown at a significant pace over the last one year alone. Let’s look at the table below to put things in perspective. Per our database at Business Quant, Palantir’s free cash flow as a percentage of revenue is higher than 56% of other stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Also, Palantir’s free cash flow growth is higher than 81% of the other companies present in our study group.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34145ecaa3bb3c9e801a9e5d3d6f3b4c\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"900\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>This suggests that Palantir has ample cash flow cushioning, and its free cash flow growth is also high enough, to alleviate any sustainability-related concerns in a recessionary environment. This isn’t a one-off event. Palantir has tactfully undertaken several initiatives over the last year – such as adopting flexible payment plans, expanding sales team, focusing on securing commercial clients, and offering free trials – to boost customer growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005b7819ec392c3a38b89e535ebf7338\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>These customer additions have surely boosted Palantir’s revenue growth in recent quarters. However, I contend that the new customers added in the last year would be in the process of integrating Palantir’s platforms in their workflows, training their personnel around them, and preparing to switch from their legacy analytical tools. They’re likely to increase spending on Palantir’s platforms only once they pass this critical stage and are ready for full-fledged deployments. So, I anticipate Palantir’s revenue growth to continue on in subsequent quarters as well.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3e5751609b54200751d8073d840330d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"549\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p><b>Attractive Valuations</b></p><p>Next, Palantir is often criticized for its bloated valuation. The stock is trading at over 10 times its trailing twelve-month sales and investors are wondering if the price premium is justified.</p><p>The chart below should put things in perspective. The Y-axis plots the free cash flow growth for 90 US-listed stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Note how Palantir is vertically positioned higher on the plot, indicating that the company’s free cash flow growth is higher than a broad swath of its peers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cbff90ad6d0504ca56ea8e33dbee6f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>Now let’s shift attention to the X-axis, which plots the price-to-sales (or P/S) multiples for the same set of companies. Note how Palantir is horizontally positioned towards the right, confirming that its shares are, in fact, trading at a premium compared to its peers.</p><p>The collective takeaway from both the axes here is that Palantir’s shares are trading at relatively higher trading multiples but that’s because of its higher-than-average pace of growth. This, in essence, justifies Palantir’s price premium. There are just 10 other stocks in the industry that are growing faster than Palantir but trading at lower P/S multiples. So, I find Palantir&#39;s shares to be attractively valued at current levels, when factoring in its growth momentum.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Much Ado About Nothing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Much Ado About Nothing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-17 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518676-palantir-pltr-stock-much-ado-about-nothing><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIn this article, we'll see how Palantir stands to be affected by rising interest rates from a financial standpoint.Although the macroeconomic outlook is gloomy, Palantir's revenue growth may ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518676-palantir-pltr-stock-much-ado-about-nothing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518676-palantir-pltr-stock-much-ado-about-nothing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102691867","content_text":"SummaryIn this article, we'll see how Palantir stands to be affected by rising interest rates from a financial standpoint.Although the macroeconomic outlook is gloomy, Palantir's revenue growth may continue on in the foreseeable future at least.The stock is trading at attractive valuations when compared to 90 other software infrastructure stocks.A great deal of emphasis is being laid on how rising interest rates and the slowing down economy are going to hurt growth stocks, especially the unprofitable ones, in the quarters ahead. While this is a logical assessment for growth stocks in general, it’s resulted in an aggravated selloff in Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) in recent weeks even though it’s not overly susceptible to these risk factors. In this article, I’ll attempt to explain why this bear case for Palantir is exaggerated and why the stock makes for a good buying opportunity at current levels. Let’s take a closer look to gain a better understanding of it all.The Interest Rate RiskThere’s no denying that rising interest rates will result in increased interest payments for individuals and companies alike. Firms that are profitable and/or cash flow positive would be positioned well to absorb these added expenses. However, companies that are loss-making and/or haven’t figured out their path to profitability, may have to dilute their shareholders and maybe even raise debt to meet their interest payments.A broad swath of technology stocks falls into the latter category, faced with uncertain prospects and some with even the bankruptcy risk, so a sharp selloff in their shares is understandable and justified. However, Palantir doesn’t quite fit the latter criteria and its operating activities should more or less remain unfazed in a rising interest rate environment. Notice I used the term “operating activities” instead of talking about the company overall.Fact of the matter is that Palantir is debt-free. Although it has a revolving credit line, it was undrawn at the end of the last quarter. This essentially means that the company won’t be negatively affected by rising interest rates, at least not directly. On the contrary, Palantir’s interest income grew by $171,000 last quarter in lieu of rising interest rates. This is a miniscule figure when compared to its top line, but it corroborates our assessment that rising interest rates won’t weigh down on the company’s operating results.From Palantir’slast 10-Q filing:As of March 31, 2022, no borrowings were outstanding under our revolving credit facility…Interest income increased by $0.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the same period in 2021 primarily due to an increase in U.S. interest rates on interest earned from our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash.From Palantir's lastearnings call:At the end of Q1, we had a very strong war chest, $2.3 billion in cash and no debt.Now I’m not trying to portray that Palantir is immune from interest rate hikes. The company has invested in some arguably speculative stocks that have sold off in recent weeks and are likely to sell further with more rate hikes.Palantir's 10Q filingBut the silver lining here is that these losses on marketable securities will be non-recurring in nature and Palantir’s operating results, at least, won’t be impaired by rising interest rates.Sustainability ConcernsThe next point of contention is that Palantir isn’t profitable yet and that it will be forced to raise capital in order to sustain its operations. This, inevitably, will create an interest expense burden on the company. But that’s not necessarily the case.It’s worth noting that Palantir is free cash flow positive and that it’s grown at a significant pace over the last one year alone. Let’s look at the table below to put things in perspective. Per our database at Business Quant, Palantir’s free cash flow as a percentage of revenue is higher than 56% of other stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Also, Palantir’s free cash flow growth is higher than 81% of the other companies present in our study group.BusinessQuant.comThis suggests that Palantir has ample cash flow cushioning, and its free cash flow growth is also high enough, to alleviate any sustainability-related concerns in a recessionary environment. This isn’t a one-off event. Palantir has tactfully undertaken several initiatives over the last year – such as adopting flexible payment plans, expanding sales team, focusing on securing commercial clients, and offering free trials – to boost customer growth.BusinessQuant.comThese customer additions have surely boosted Palantir’s revenue growth in recent quarters. However, I contend that the new customers added in the last year would be in the process of integrating Palantir’s platforms in their workflows, training their personnel around them, and preparing to switch from their legacy analytical tools. They’re likely to increase spending on Palantir’s platforms only once they pass this critical stage and are ready for full-fledged deployments. So, I anticipate Palantir’s revenue growth to continue on in subsequent quarters as well.BusinessQuant.comAttractive ValuationsNext, Palantir is often criticized for its bloated valuation. The stock is trading at over 10 times its trailing twelve-month sales and investors are wondering if the price premium is justified.The chart below should put things in perspective. The Y-axis plots the free cash flow growth for 90 US-listed stocks belonging to the software infrastructure industry. Note how Palantir is vertically positioned higher on the plot, indicating that the company’s free cash flow growth is higher than a broad swath of its peers.BusinessQuant.comNow let’s shift attention to the X-axis, which plots the price-to-sales (or P/S) multiples for the same set of companies. Note how Palantir is horizontally positioned towards the right, confirming that its shares are, in fact, trading at a premium compared to its peers.The collective takeaway from both the axes here is that Palantir’s shares are trading at relatively higher trading multiples but that’s because of its higher-than-average pace of growth. This, in essence, justifies Palantir’s price premium. There are just 10 other stocks in the industry that are growing faster than Palantir but trading at lower P/S multiples. So, I find Palantir's shares to be attractively valued at current levels, when factoring in its growth momentum.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055275050,"gmtCreate":1655284797670,"gmtModify":1676535604309,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is still not over. More dip to come","listText":"It is still not over. More dip to come","text":"It is still not over. More dip to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055275050","repostId":"1115916389","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1115916389","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655252237,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115916389?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 08:17","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Rout Hits \"Darkest\" Phase With Entire Market Underwater","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115916389","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: GlassnodeBitcoin trades like a penny stock, says ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: Glassnode</li><li>Bitcoin trades like a penny stock, says Nuveen’s Brian Nick</li></ul><p>The bear market for Bitcoin has entered its “deepest and darkest” phase, with even long-term holders who had toughed it out until now coming under extreme pressure.</p><p>That’s according to strategists at Glassnode, which tracks an indicator known as realized price, the average purchase price of all Bitcoins in circulation. The cryptocurrency is currently trading roughly $1,000 below the coin’s current realized price of $23,430, according to the firm. Bitcoin price was around $22,150 late Tuesday afternoon in New York.</p><p>“The current bear market is now entering a phase aligned with the deepest and darkest phases of previous bears,” the strategists wrote in a note. “The market, on average, is barely above its cost basis, and even long-term holders are now being purged from the holder base.”<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257f987cc5ebbbb5ed75dbb7e5ec2155\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Market watchers have become preoccupied with figuring out which cohorts of investors are getting hurt the most during the current crypto winter. With Bitcoin now hovering around December 2020 lows, many newer entrants are now underwater. Meanwhile, UBS strategists are monitoring Bitcoin miners -- whose businesses have been under pressure due to high energy costs and capex commitments -- for potential signs of capitulation, which could also have an impact on prices.</p><p>Digital-asset investors have been partially spooked by crypto lender Celsius Network Ltd. pausing withdrawals, swaps and transfers, though the broader market remains under duress after a key inflation print came in hotter than expected last week, meaning that the Federal Reserve will have to be aggressive in its attempts to cool rising prices.</p><p>Lori Calvasina, head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Markets, said she’d like to see Bitcoin stabilize. “It has become another helpful indicator of sentiment and risk assets generally,” she said on a podcast.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Rout Hits \"Darkest\" Phase With Entire Market Underwater</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Rout Hits \"Darkest\" Phase With Entire Market Underwater\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/bitcoin-rout-hits-darkest-phase-with-entire-market-underwater?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: GlassnodeBitcoin trades like a penny stock, says Nuveen’s Brian NickThe bear market for Bitcoin has entered its “deepest and darkest” phase, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/bitcoin-rout-hits-darkest-phase-with-entire-market-underwater?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/bitcoin-rout-hits-darkest-phase-with-entire-market-underwater?srnd=markets-vp#xj4y7vzkg","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115916389","content_text":"Market decline means it’s barely above cost basis: GlassnodeBitcoin trades like a penny stock, says Nuveen’s Brian NickThe bear market for Bitcoin has entered its “deepest and darkest” phase, with even long-term holders who had toughed it out until now coming under extreme pressure.That’s according to strategists at Glassnode, which tracks an indicator known as realized price, the average purchase price of all Bitcoins in circulation. The cryptocurrency is currently trading roughly $1,000 below the coin’s current realized price of $23,430, according to the firm. Bitcoin price was around $22,150 late Tuesday afternoon in New York.“The current bear market is now entering a phase aligned with the deepest and darkest phases of previous bears,” the strategists wrote in a note. “The market, on average, is barely above its cost basis, and even long-term holders are now being purged from the holder base.”Market watchers have become preoccupied with figuring out which cohorts of investors are getting hurt the most during the current crypto winter. With Bitcoin now hovering around December 2020 lows, many newer entrants are now underwater. Meanwhile, UBS strategists are monitoring Bitcoin miners -- whose businesses have been under pressure due to high energy costs and capex commitments -- for potential signs of capitulation, which could also have an impact on prices.Digital-asset investors have been partially spooked by crypto lender Celsius Network Ltd. pausing withdrawals, swaps and transfers, though the broader market remains under duress after a key inflation print came in hotter than expected last week, meaning that the Federal Reserve will have to be aggressive in its attempts to cool rising prices.Lori Calvasina, head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Markets, said she’d like to see Bitcoin stabilize. “It has become another helpful indicator of sentiment and risk assets generally,” she said on a podcast.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9011902030,"gmtCreate":1648797366626,"gmtModify":1676534400126,"author":{"id":"4108433501136320","authorId":"4108433501136320","name":"Zed Ihsan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9000a9fac74fd15f51660f80d847f75f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108433501136320","authorIdStr":"4108433501136320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Accumulate","listText":"Accumulate","text":"Accumulate","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9011902030","repostId":"1176336602","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176336602","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648735211,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176336602?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176336602","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiD","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiDi Global, Nio, Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb889d7bfe4da4e03fac7f9cfec2ac6\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Slid in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-31 22:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiDi Global, Nio, Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb889d7bfe4da4e03fac7f9cfec2ac6\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IQ":"爱奇艺","JD":"京东","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BIDU":"百度","BEKE":"贝壳","NIO":"蔚来","BABA":"阿里巴巴","PDD":"拼多多","NTES":"网易","ZTO":"中通快递","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176336602","content_text":"Hot chinese ADRs slid in morning trading. Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, Baidu, iQIYI, KE Holdings, DiDi Global, Nio, Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}