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2022-12-29
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
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2022-12-27
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2022-12-26
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2022-12-25
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2022-12-24
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2022-12-23
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
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2022-12-22
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2022-12-21
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2022-12-20
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2022-12-19
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2022-12-18
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2022-12-17
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2022-12-16
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2022-12-15
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2022-12-14
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2022-12-13
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2022-12-12
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2022-12-11
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2022-12-09
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2022-12-08
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Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920181204","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9963519783,"gmtCreate":1668725018642,"gmtModify":1676538101365,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963519783","repostId":"1126670970","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126670970","pubTimestamp":1668672381,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126670970?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-17 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"They Pulled Money Out of FTX at Last Minute Before Its Bankruptcy: \"Thank God I Dodged It Twice\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126670970","media":"Market Watch","summary":"As the FTX debacle started to unravel last week, a 26-year-old customer of FTX.US who lived in the N","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a966a253714b930845560afaac3d77de\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As the FTX debacle started to unravel last week, a 26-year-old customer of FTX.US who lived in the New York City area faced a thorny dilemma. While he was concerned about the situation that was unfolding, he was hesitant to withdraw his $20,000 worth of holdings from the cryptocurrency platform because he knew it would cost him money.</p><p>The customer had some outstanding bitcoin BTCUSD, +0.46% derivatives contracts on FTX.US and to withdraw his money the investor had to put in another $400 to cover some short options he had sold. But as the situation around FTX appeared to worsen, the New York area customer finally made up his mind. He paid the money and put in a withdrawal request last Thursday evening, and received his crypto an hour later.</p><p>The next morning, FTX and about 130 related entities, including FTX.US and trading firm Alameda Research, filed for bankruptcy protection in U.S. federal court.</p><p>“Thank God,” the New York-based crypto investor said. “I was lucky. I dodged it twice.” All FTX customers MarketWatch spoke to for this article requested to remain anonymous, citing fears of repercussions. The customers did share screenshots of their FTX transfers, which MarketWatch was able to review.</p><p>For the trader MarketWatch spoke with in New York, the FTX collapse was part of a pattern that had become familiar. Not too long ago, the investor pulled his money out of the Singapore-based crypto lending platform, Hodlnaut, three weeks before it froze withdrawals in August citing “market conditions”. Hodlnaut also reportedly held about SGD 18.3 million, or about $13.4 million worth of crypto, on FTX as of Oct. 28. A representative at Hodlnaut didn’t respond to a request seeking comment for this article.</p><p>Before its collapse, FTX was the third-largest crypto exchange by trading volume. Celebrities like Tom Brady, Gisele Bundchen, and Steph Curry endorsed the platform. The Miami Heat’s home basketball arena was named after it. FTX’s co-founder and former chief executive, Sam Bankman-Fried, graced the cover of Fortune Magazine, which wondered if he was the next Warren Buffett.</p><p>Now, there is little chance that customers who were enticed to use the platform will be able to recover their assets, analysts said. Based on a balance sheet shared with investors one day before FTX’s bankruptcy filing, the exchange had almost $9 billion in liabilities and $900 million in liquid assets, $5.5 billion in “less liquid” assets, and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” assets, according to a Bloomberg article citing anonymous sources. What’s worse, one day after the bankruptcy filing, John J. Ray III, FTX’s new chief executive, said in a statement that “unauthorized access to certain assets has occurred,” while crypto research firm Elliptic said $477 million is suspected to have been stolen from FTX. Representatives at FTX didn’t respond to a request seeking comment.</p><p>Several FTX customers and crypto industry participants described FTX’s collapse as “shocking,” even though the industry already saw the collapses of several key players this year, such as blockchain Terra, lender Celsius, and hedge fund Three Arrows Capital.</p><p>“For FTX to go down, it is pretty nuts,” said the New York-based crypto investor who managed to get his money out at the last minute. “Sam Bankman-Fried really seemed like he was going to be the one to bring on regulation and make the industry have more legitimacy,” the investor said.</p><p>Nevertheless, many retail investors have become conditioned this year to flee from any crypto platform that shows any hint of trouble, a dynamic that has hurt confidence in crypto-institutions, slowed down crypto adoption, and could increase the volatility around digital assets trading in the days and months ahead, analysts said.</p><p>In the case of FTX, some retail investors had become so “traumatized” by the crypto events that had taken place this year that they started moving their money out of the platform as soon as the ominous signs appeared.</p><p>There have been some “recurring themes” in crypto that led to customers’ losses, noted David Tawil, president and co-founder of digital asset fund ProChain Capital. “I think people that have either been hit by or have been close to a previous blow up, are figuring, why? Why wait? What’s the benefit of waiting?” Tawil said. “Once they hear anything, any sort of rumor or any sort of warning, they run to go ahead and take their money out.”</p><h2>Last call before the fall</h2><p>Last week, as Bankman-Fried took to Twitter to say, “FTX is fine. Assets are fine,” a 26-year-old Colorado-based customer of FTX.US withdrew about $10,000 in U.S. dollars from the exchange. The next day Binance, a rival exchange, signed a letter of intent to acquire FTX’s non-US assets. But the Colorado customer, who works for a private equity fund, tried to take out his remaining $1,200 from FTX.US., regardless. He was unable to retrieve those remaining funds.</p><p>A day later, Binance abandoned its deal for FTX, citing due diligence and reports about mishandled customer funds, and FTX soon filed for bankruptcy.</p><p>“With everything going on, it’s looking less and less likely that the money will ever get to my bank account,” the Colorado customer said about his $1,200 that remain stuck on FTX.US.</p><p>“Crypto has made me a bit of a pessimist,” the Colorado-based customer added. Though he didn’t expect FTX to collapse, “as soon as I saw anything potentially negative about FTX, I thought that’s more than enough to prompt me to withdraw my funds.”</p><p>That pessimism came in part from his previous experience of having about $50,000 stuck on Solana-based stablecoin protocol Cashio, which in March was hacked, causing a loss of some $52 million. Though the Colorado investor was able to recover most of his funds weeks later, the experience has kept his guard up. “I’ve been through this situation of not being able to withdraw money that I have,” he said.</p><p>The Colorado trader was also lucky enough to avoid a hack in October targeting decentralized crypto exchange Mango Markets, where he once also had an account. In May, he said he persuaded his fiancé to take out her $10,000 from Celsius after reading some criticism about the platform on Twitter. “I said, hey, we already had gone through enough with crypto, I think you should take your money out,” the investor told her girlfriend. It turned out to be the right choice – four weeks later, the lender froze all withdrawals and later filed for bankruptcy.</p><p>The Colorado-based investor, who mostly trades non-fungible tokens, said he chose to tap in the digital asset space for the potentially fruitful rewards, despite huge risks. Still, things such as FTX’s collapse “makes even people like me lose a lot of trust in the system,” he said.</p><p>A 22-year-old engineer, who is based in Australia, said he also pulled his $7,000 out of FTX last week, five hours after Bankman-Fried’s tweet that FTX was fine. “My first train of thought was if FTX becomes bankrupt or something, the Americans might save themselves,” the investor said. FTX.US was only available to U.S. customers, while FTX.com targeted customers in other areas of the world, including Australia. Bankman-Fried and many top FTX executives are American citizens.</p><p>“The Americans, they might save themselves. I’m going to be absolutely destroyed,” the Australia-based investor said.</p><p>FTX first froze withdrawals for most of its international customers, while some investors were able to take out their money from FTX.US for a few more days. In fact, one day before FTX and FTX.US filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried tweeted that FTX.US “was not financially impacted by this shitshow. It’s 100% liquid.”</p><p>For his part, the Colorado-based customer said he felt lied to. “I guess I sort of understand where he (Bankman-Fried) is in this tough situation, and I feel bad for him,” the investor said. “But just to say FTX.US is completely liquid, not affected at all and then to lump them into a Chapter 11 bankruptcy, is mind boggling. I just don’t know how you can flat out lie like that,” he said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried didn’t respond to a request seeking comment.</p><p>Despite keeping most of his money intact, the Australian investor felt gloomy about the crypto space after FTX’s fall. “Imagine if the London Stock Exchange just shut down, and said yeah, we’re not gonna do any trading anymore, people will not be able to get their money out. How insane would that be?” the investor said. “Because that’s how this is. I don’t think anyone’s gonna have any faith anymore. It takes a lot of time to build that faith again.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>They Pulled Money Out of FTX at Last Minute Before Its Bankruptcy: \"Thank God I Dodged It Twice\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThey Pulled Money Out of FTX at Last Minute Before Its Bankruptcy: \"Thank God I Dodged It Twice\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-17 16:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/they-pulled-money-out-of-ftx-at-last-minute-before-its-bankruptcy-thank-god-i-dodged-it-twice-11668613287?mod=home-page><strong>Market Watch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As the FTX debacle started to unravel last week, a 26-year-old customer of FTX.US who lived in the New York City area faced a thorny dilemma. While he was concerned about the situation that was ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/they-pulled-money-out-of-ftx-at-last-minute-before-its-bankruptcy-thank-god-i-dodged-it-twice-11668613287?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/they-pulled-money-out-of-ftx-at-last-minute-before-its-bankruptcy-thank-god-i-dodged-it-twice-11668613287?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126670970","content_text":"As the FTX debacle started to unravel last week, a 26-year-old customer of FTX.US who lived in the New York City area faced a thorny dilemma. While he was concerned about the situation that was unfolding, he was hesitant to withdraw his $20,000 worth of holdings from the cryptocurrency platform because he knew it would cost him money.The customer had some outstanding bitcoin BTCUSD, +0.46% derivatives contracts on FTX.US and to withdraw his money the investor had to put in another $400 to cover some short options he had sold. But as the situation around FTX appeared to worsen, the New York area customer finally made up his mind. He paid the money and put in a withdrawal request last Thursday evening, and received his crypto an hour later.The next morning, FTX and about 130 related entities, including FTX.US and trading firm Alameda Research, filed for bankruptcy protection in U.S. federal court.“Thank God,” the New York-based crypto investor said. “I was lucky. I dodged it twice.” All FTX customers MarketWatch spoke to for this article requested to remain anonymous, citing fears of repercussions. The customers did share screenshots of their FTX transfers, which MarketWatch was able to review.For the trader MarketWatch spoke with in New York, the FTX collapse was part of a pattern that had become familiar. Not too long ago, the investor pulled his money out of the Singapore-based crypto lending platform, Hodlnaut, three weeks before it froze withdrawals in August citing “market conditions”. Hodlnaut also reportedly held about SGD 18.3 million, or about $13.4 million worth of crypto, on FTX as of Oct. 28. A representative at Hodlnaut didn’t respond to a request seeking comment for this article.Before its collapse, FTX was the third-largest crypto exchange by trading volume. Celebrities like Tom Brady, Gisele Bundchen, and Steph Curry endorsed the platform. The Miami Heat’s home basketball arena was named after it. FTX’s co-founder and former chief executive, Sam Bankman-Fried, graced the cover of Fortune Magazine, which wondered if he was the next Warren Buffett.Now, there is little chance that customers who were enticed to use the platform will be able to recover their assets, analysts said. Based on a balance sheet shared with investors one day before FTX’s bankruptcy filing, the exchange had almost $9 billion in liabilities and $900 million in liquid assets, $5.5 billion in “less liquid” assets, and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” assets, according to a Bloomberg article citing anonymous sources. What’s worse, one day after the bankruptcy filing, John J. Ray III, FTX’s new chief executive, said in a statement that “unauthorized access to certain assets has occurred,” while crypto research firm Elliptic said $477 million is suspected to have been stolen from FTX. Representatives at FTX didn’t respond to a request seeking comment.Several FTX customers and crypto industry participants described FTX’s collapse as “shocking,” even though the industry already saw the collapses of several key players this year, such as blockchain Terra, lender Celsius, and hedge fund Three Arrows Capital.“For FTX to go down, it is pretty nuts,” said the New York-based crypto investor who managed to get his money out at the last minute. “Sam Bankman-Fried really seemed like he was going to be the one to bring on regulation and make the industry have more legitimacy,” the investor said.Nevertheless, many retail investors have become conditioned this year to flee from any crypto platform that shows any hint of trouble, a dynamic that has hurt confidence in crypto-institutions, slowed down crypto adoption, and could increase the volatility around digital assets trading in the days and months ahead, analysts said.In the case of FTX, some retail investors had become so “traumatized” by the crypto events that had taken place this year that they started moving their money out of the platform as soon as the ominous signs appeared.There have been some “recurring themes” in crypto that led to customers’ losses, noted David Tawil, president and co-founder of digital asset fund ProChain Capital. “I think people that have either been hit by or have been close to a previous blow up, are figuring, why? Why wait? What’s the benefit of waiting?” Tawil said. “Once they hear anything, any sort of rumor or any sort of warning, they run to go ahead and take their money out.”Last call before the fallLast week, as Bankman-Fried took to Twitter to say, “FTX is fine. Assets are fine,” a 26-year-old Colorado-based customer of FTX.US withdrew about $10,000 in U.S. dollars from the exchange. The next day Binance, a rival exchange, signed a letter of intent to acquire FTX’s non-US assets. But the Colorado customer, who works for a private equity fund, tried to take out his remaining $1,200 from FTX.US., regardless. He was unable to retrieve those remaining funds.A day later, Binance abandoned its deal for FTX, citing due diligence and reports about mishandled customer funds, and FTX soon filed for bankruptcy.“With everything going on, it’s looking less and less likely that the money will ever get to my bank account,” the Colorado customer said about his $1,200 that remain stuck on FTX.US.“Crypto has made me a bit of a pessimist,” the Colorado-based customer added. Though he didn’t expect FTX to collapse, “as soon as I saw anything potentially negative about FTX, I thought that’s more than enough to prompt me to withdraw my funds.”That pessimism came in part from his previous experience of having about $50,000 stuck on Solana-based stablecoin protocol Cashio, which in March was hacked, causing a loss of some $52 million. Though the Colorado investor was able to recover most of his funds weeks later, the experience has kept his guard up. “I’ve been through this situation of not being able to withdraw money that I have,” he said.The Colorado trader was also lucky enough to avoid a hack in October targeting decentralized crypto exchange Mango Markets, where he once also had an account. In May, he said he persuaded his fiancé to take out her $10,000 from Celsius after reading some criticism about the platform on Twitter. “I said, hey, we already had gone through enough with crypto, I think you should take your money out,” the investor told her girlfriend. It turned out to be the right choice – four weeks later, the lender froze all withdrawals and later filed for bankruptcy.The Colorado-based investor, who mostly trades non-fungible tokens, said he chose to tap in the digital asset space for the potentially fruitful rewards, despite huge risks. Still, things such as FTX’s collapse “makes even people like me lose a lot of trust in the system,” he said.A 22-year-old engineer, who is based in Australia, said he also pulled his $7,000 out of FTX last week, five hours after Bankman-Fried’s tweet that FTX was fine. “My first train of thought was if FTX becomes bankrupt or something, the Americans might save themselves,” the investor said. FTX.US was only available to U.S. customers, while FTX.com targeted customers in other areas of the world, including Australia. Bankman-Fried and many top FTX executives are American citizens.“The Americans, they might save themselves. I’m going to be absolutely destroyed,” the Australia-based investor said.FTX first froze withdrawals for most of its international customers, while some investors were able to take out their money from FTX.US for a few more days. In fact, one day before FTX and FTX.US filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried tweeted that FTX.US “was not financially impacted by this shitshow. It’s 100% liquid.”For his part, the Colorado-based customer said he felt lied to. “I guess I sort of understand where he (Bankman-Fried) is in this tough situation, and I feel bad for him,” the investor said. “But just to say FTX.US is completely liquid, not affected at all and then to lump them into a Chapter 11 bankruptcy, is mind boggling. I just don’t know how you can flat out lie like that,” he said.Bankman-Fried didn’t respond to a request seeking comment.Despite keeping most of his money intact, the Australian investor felt gloomy about the crypto space after FTX’s fall. “Imagine if the London Stock Exchange just shut down, and said yeah, we’re not gonna do any trading anymore, people will not be able to get their money out. How insane would that be?” the investor said. “Because that’s how this is. I don’t think anyone’s gonna have any faith anymore. It takes a lot of time to build that faith again.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962712209,"gmtCreate":1669849041702,"gmtModify":1676538254297,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962712209","repostId":"1106229901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106229901","pubTimestamp":1669821685,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106229901?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-30 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SQQQ, TQQQ: Leveraged ETFs Can Be A (Short-Term) Home Run Or A (Long-Term) Loaded Gun","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106229901","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLeveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a b","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Leveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a big boost ('home run') or to cause severe damage ('loaded gun').</li><li>'Home run' allows the batter (investor) to make a complete circuit (whole), and score a big r(et)u(r)n (as well as hedging) for the team (portfolio).</li><li>'Loaded gun' refers to something dangerous, an accident waiting to happen. Playing (investing) with something (leverage) that shouldn't be messed with.</li><li>In this article, we try to cover all the bases you may find within the leveraged ETFs pitch, particularly 3x-leveraged NASDAQ-100 and Semiconductor ETFs.</li></ul><h3>Prologue</h3><p>Nearly two weeks ago we wrote about 'hedging through shorting', while presenting our short positions in two 3x-leveraged ETFs: ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:TQQQ) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bull Shares ETF (SOXL).</p><p>In this article, we wish to remain within the same theme (hedging through shorting) and elaborate on this topic, particularly touching upon two very important aspects that are (not only related but) crucial to the theme:</p><p>1) Leveraged ETFs (in general): Buy vs. Sell, Pros and Cons, Risk and Reward.</p><p>2) Live demonstration of how leveraged ETFs' mechanics work (or don't work...): Specific examples using two pairs of growth/tech leveraged ETFs:</p><ul><li>Big Tech: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (NASDAQ:SQQQ)</li><li>Semiconductors: Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS)</li></ul><h3>Leveraged ETFs - Key Features</h3><p><b>Buy vs Sell</b></p><p>This is likely the most important aspect to keep in mind.</p><p>Since leveraged ETFs use options/derivatives to achieve the magnifying element (leveraging) - any leveraged ETF, by definition, suffers from time decay, aka "Theta".</p><blockquote>Time decay is a measure of the rate of decline in the value of an options contract due to the passage of time. Time decay accelerates as an option's time to expiration draws closer since there's less time to realize a profit from the trade. - [Source]</blockquote><p>What you need to know:</p><p>1. The closer an option is to its expiry date - the more rapidly it's losing money (to time decay).</p><p>2. An "At The Money" ("ATM") option will receive the biggest premium at the start, but will lose the most, at an accelerating pace, towards the end.</p><p>3. An "In The Money" ("ITM") option will receive the smallest premium at the start, and it will lose that premium, at a fairly steady pace, along its life.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/368ed5a08b21ab35157fd2dafd062adb\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>From a pure Theta perspective, it's categorically better to sell a leveraged ETF than to buy one, because the (loss of) time decay is working in the investor's favor.</p><h3>Pros and Cons</h3><p>Leveraged ETFs are risky instruments.</p><p>Therefore, there are certain features one must be aware of, and there are certain rules one would be better off adhering to.</p><ul><li>Leverage (of a benchmark)</li></ul><p>Principally, all leveraged ETFs are aiming to amplify the return of a non-leveraged instrument, usually an index. For example:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150dbfc8472af659f2d4d0944b5e98c5\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aacda8b59c69aea79e6571fb0afcdde\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>It's important to remain within one's comfort zone, and to ensure that the use of a leveraged ETF fits the investor's profile, needs, and risk aversion.</p><ul><li>Volatility</li></ul><p>Looking at the 30-Day Rolling Volatility, you can see that the leverage is amplifying not only the return, but also the volatility. A 3x-leveraged ETF is 3x as volatile as the benchmark it's looking to copy.</p><p>Semis:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d915744f2a6776e745da15b2cecab4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfac9d30f417c667d74397fc29f1dcdd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><ul><li><b>Daily performance</b></li></ul><p>This is one of the features many investors miss or fail to understand.</p><p>Leveraged ETFs are trying to mimic the daily performance of a certain benchmark. As such, when you look at the daily (or short-term for that matter) performance - the leveraged ETF is likely to show a very/fairly close return to the leverage it offers (be it a long or a short mechanism). For example:</p><p>Semis' 1-day price change: Daily returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of SOXX.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08ca1f40fcd06f5ad9537f02af6ffe76\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech's 1-day price change: Daily returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of QQQ.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a55a842f81460cba9dc1a6938d472d92\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nonetheless, if we move to a longer period, say 2022, the math isn't as straight as it's when we look at the short-term.</p><p>Semis' YTD price change: YTD returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +2.65x and -0.07x, respectively, the YTD return of SOXX.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92d1ddfcba6984ae9d30559901dfc14c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech's YTD price change: YTD returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +2.61x and -2.87x [=(52.59+28.13)/-28.13], respectively, the daily return of QQQ.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/411ddaf98aa8aa072f20f9953bac8e26\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Over time, and assuming the benchmark/index doesn't move in a (fairly) straight line - the performance of a leveraged ETF may differ significantly from the performance of the underlying benchmark.</p><h3>Risk and Reward</h3><ul><li>Phenomenal/Horrendous Total Returns</li></ul><p>First and foremost, as you may well understand, the main risk is the (quite reasonable) scenario of losing a lot of money, quickly.</p><p>Of course, there's always the flip-side of that coin, and leveraged ETFs may also deliver significant returns (during short periods).</p><p>If "Timing is Everything", generally speaking, it's even more crucial when it comes to buying leveraged ETFs. One must have a high conviction, a near-perfect timing, a short-term trading view/mentality, and an exit (including stop loss) strategy. [We elaborate on these elements at the end of this article.]</p><p>Below you can see the total returns of the leveraged ETFs we focus on during two very different periods.</p><p>1) Bear Market: Total Return since Dec. 27, 2021</p><p>Semis:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6894a55ca17620f94b6c167ef6402e40\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1101bbe95e105d513c3e3ea4558a48fd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Clearly, there's a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bear market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have lost ~30%, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost over 3/4 of their value, and the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have actually gained.</p><p>Pay attention to the divergence between SOXS (a gain of only 4.5%) and SQQQ (a gain of 59.3%), a result of the recent speedy recovery of Semis (relative to Tech) in recent weeks.</p><p>2) Bull Market: Total Return from Mar. 23, 2020 to Dec. 27, 2021</p><p>Semis:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92b8f1a0c1b82b3cb1e5ad23e4896cd7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b74788301b08e6b05cb21c07a2bf633e\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Clearly, there's a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bull market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have gained low triple-digit %, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have delivered stunning returns. At the same time, the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have practically vanished, leaving investors with (nearly) nothing out of their initial investments.</p><ul><li>The Longer the Tenure - the Higher the Risk of Losing Big</li></ul><p>Secondly, and regardless of the (bull or bear) type of market we're in and/or the total return over a certain period, leveraged ETFs are guaranteed to lose value over time. Putting it differently, the longer you stick to these instruments - the higher the odds of a significant drawdown.</p><p>Below you can see how deep is the decline that leveraged ETFs have (thus may) suffered from (% off-high) over different tenures.</p><ul><li>3 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6e0590652f7807dac6b79902906e56\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>10 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06cfda7540359bd9cc38adb53f3c0ce5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Although the past decade can definitely be described as a bull market (overall), leveraged ETFs have been hammered, no matter whether they were long or short the underlying benchmarks.</p><p>This, once again, proves that these instruments can't be held (long position) over the long run. You can be long, but not for too long.</p><ul><li>"The Road is Long With Many a Winding Turn" [Source]</li></ul><p>Finally, it's important to understand that both time and slope play a major role in determining the return, therefore worthiness, of trading a leveraged ETF.</p><p>It's very unlikely, almost impossible, for your long (short) leveraged ETF position to deliver a return equal to the (inverse) return of the underlying, non-leveraged, benchmark.</p><p>To explain this, let's use the S&P 500 and its +/-1/2/3 leveraged versions.</p><p>Naturally, the 2x- (SSO, SDS) and 3x- (SPXL, SPXU) leveraged versions are 2x and 3x as volatile as the non-leveraged versions (SPY, SH).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad8a8d33cac5ca5325d1e87252fcc57\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>But does the extra volatility usually/automatically translate into higher returns? Not necessarily.</p><p>YTD: While the returns of the long versions (SPY, SSO, SPXL) make sense (from a leverage/volatility perspective), those of the short versions (SH, SDS, SPXS) don't.</p><p>As a matter of fact, the 2x-leveraged SDS and the 3x-leveraged SPXS have delivered nearly the same total returns. If so, why would one pick the more risky SPXS over the less risky SDS!?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c1d7bf3df268038e733ac481808cfd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>3-Year: The 2x-leveraged SSO has returned twice as much as the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the non-leveraged SPY is only ~4.4% short of SSO's total return.</p><p>In both cases, the extra risk (volatility) hasn't resulted in a better performance; quite the contrary.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fb13320549920cff3809ee8726cb761\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>5-Year: Once again, the 2x-leveraged SSO has returned more than the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the 2x-leveraged SDS hasn't performed a lot better than the 3x-leveraged SPXS.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdad0968ee275882b1bde91148e5adc6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>10-Year: The short ETFs, whether leveraged or not, got battered. The long ETFs, however, are looking as good as how you wish a leveraged ETF (that you buy) to be.</p><p>SPXL and SSO have returned more than 4x and ~2.5x, respectively, what SPY has.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1fa1010c919a4c479c723f41feca151\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Macro Trading Factory - Trading Alerts</h3><p>Here is some of the information that we posted when we issued the most recent trading alerts ("TAs") to our subscribers.</p><p>We are happy to share this information here, as we believe it's relevant and allows for a better understanding of the topic.</p><p><b>TA dated Nov. 14, 2022:</b></p><p>These TAs were discussed and explained in the piece that we've published Nov. 14.</p><p>The main message: With the SPX reaching the 4000 mark, we wish to employ some anti-tech/growth hedging again, and by doing so we're (once again) reducing our net long exposure (back to the low 60s% area).</p><p>Recall that there are two pairs we're referring to:</p><ul><li>Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs. Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS) >>> We're shorting SOXL, but one may buy SOXS for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.</li><li>ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ) >>> We're shorting TQQQ, but one may buy SQQQ for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.</li></ul><p>Key points to keep in mind:</p><p><b>Total Assets Under Management:</b></p><p>The 3x-bullish ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) are attracting a lot more money than their 3x-bearish counterparts (SOXS, SQQQ).</p><p>Having said that, last week no less than $658M was funneled into SQQQ. Per Bloomberg, that’s the largest-ever inflow for a product that aims to deliver 3x the opposite performance of the US benchmark for major technology companies.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9724d5357aacd21faca67fa41303f501\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When looking at the Daily Price Change the movements are fairly close in absolute terms, i.e. SOXL is moving like SOXS and TQQQ is moving like SQQQ.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c47be4c766220c701899bf0d6a101de\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nevertheless, things are changing over time.</p><p>The longer the period - the greater the (potential) divergence.</p><p>It's not guaranteed, but shorting the 3x-bullish ETFs is likely to deliver a better return than buying the 3x-bearish ETFs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd04a6dd22233fa049980c445da8fe1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>TA dated Nov. 15, 2022:</b></p><p>Nothing to add to what we wrote Nov. 14, but still - we would like to show you how even the technical analysis supports the fundamentals and risk aversion mode we see ahead.</p><p>Recall that it's not advisable to do technical analysis using leveraged instruments. Leverage is just a "wrapper" not the base "package" which is the non-leveraged instrument.</p><p>Having that in mind, here are the two, relevant, non-leveraged instruments on which we conduct some technical analysis. [Note that they're very similar in terms of nature and the message they deliver.]</p><p>SOXX is currently hitting (or just about to hit) three resistance levels:</p><ul><li>200-DMA</li><li>Long-term down-trending red line</li><li>Short-term (horizontal) green line</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6eee7104e4db90857447d7d121ae952\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>QQQ is coming close to hit three resistance levels:</p><ul><li>200-DMA</li><li>Long-term down-trending red line</li><li>Short-term (horizontal) green line</li></ul><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e598be9ef4639bb84d081b6c7683223a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Epilogue</h3><p>A leveraged ETF can be your best friend when you get the direction and timing right, but it can be your worst nightmare when you get the direction and timing wrong.</p><p>We hope that through this article, we've managed to assist you with better understanding the Dr. Jekyll ('Home Run') and Mr. Hyde ('Loaded Gun') natures (characteristics) of these instruments.</p><p>As we mentioned above, when buying a leveraged ETF, it's very important to keep the pros and cons, risk and reward, in mind but it's not enough. In addition to all these attributes, one musts also have the following:</p><p><b>1) High Conviction</b>: Buying a leveraged ETF requires a higher-than-usual conviction, in line with the significantly higher volatility. "Feeling good" about the upside potential of an investing idea isn't enough and an in-depth analysis regarding the downside risk is key.</p><p>If we believe the downside risk of the underlying (non-leveraged) to be significant (usually 20%), we're less likely to move in, even if the upside is way more significant.</p><p>Unlike a non-leveraged security that we may buy (if the risk/reward is very attractive) even if the downside risk is significant, when it comes to a leveraged ETF downside risk rules (overcoming the risk/reward profile, no matter how attractive the latter is).</p><p><b>2) Near-perfect timing</b>: It's very hard to find the "right moment", surely the "perfect timing". The latter is based on pure luck and only retrospectively we are in position to know whether our timing was good or not.</p><p>Therefore, when we say "near perfect timing" we actually refer to maximum hesitation and patience. Take your time, don't rush, and let the stabilization, consolidation, and/or capitulation periods show their pretty, and more important: less risky, face.</p><p>In line with that, it's strongly advisable to build a position involving a leveraged ETF over time. Indeed, it's likely going to be a relatively short time, in order to match the "hit the iron while it's hot" concept. Still, it's better to 'hit' a leveraged 'iron' several times rather than only once or twice.</p><p><b>3) Short-term trading view/mentality</b>: We believe that investors mustn't "get married" with any position, surely not with a leveraged ETF.</p><p>Any position has a (stretched) valuation where it warrants a sale, and when it comes to leveraged ETFs - quick "love affairs" is the name of the game.</p><p>Leveraged ETFs aren't the type of instrument you wish to get older with. They are only suitable for certain times and there's no reason to extend their hospitality for too long.</p><p>Best is to pre-set levels and targets, and once those get fulfilled - kiss the leveraged ETF goodbye. No hard feelings, and no need to shed tears.</p><p><b>4) An exit (including stop loss) strategy</b>:</p><p>Not every encounter we have in life results in a pleasant experience. Some encounters are very enjoyable/profitable, some less, and a few may suck big time.</p><p>The idea is to minimize the latter type and to avoid stretching the former type.</p><p>If it works out quickly - say goodbye quickly.</p><p>If you still wish to examine the relationship - let it be, as long as the examining period doesn't come at the expense of other, possibly better, encounters.</p><p>But if it looks as if there's no future here - there's really no reason to stick around. Cut your losses and move on.</p><p>Obviously, easier said (or written) than done, but here's an example of all the trades we suggested involving SOXL, one of the leveraged ETF we were active with this year on both LONG and SHORT fronts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0fceeac15e08c937192dbffd184eb9a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>I don't think we had perfect timing, but we did have pretty good timing.</p><p>More importantly, we had a high conviction [Note: different times = different directions!], we surely had/have a short-term trading view/mentality, and we certainly didn't/don't fall in love with the position - be it a LONG or a SHORT one.</p><p>Last but not least, keep in mind that we use leveraged ETFs as part of our HEDGING strategy, which means that there are LONG positions (we wish to protect) against the SHORT positions (if and when we open such positions).</p><p>This isn't something we suggest the average investor do without having the necessary ingredients (knowledge, experience, guts/risk aversion) and tools (risk analysis, portfolio management, modeling) to support such an activity.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SQQQ, TQQQ: Leveraged ETFs Can Be A (Short-Term) Home Run Or A (Long-Term) Loaded Gun</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSQQQ, TQQQ: Leveraged ETFs Can Be A (Short-Term) Home Run Or A (Long-Term) Loaded Gun\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-30 23:21 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561075-sqqq-tqqq-leveraged-etfs-home-run-or-loaded-gun><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLeveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a big boost ('home run') or to cause severe damage ('loaded gun').'Home run' allows the batter (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561075-sqqq-tqqq-leveraged-etfs-home-run-or-loaded-gun\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561075-sqqq-tqqq-leveraged-etfs-home-run-or-loaded-gun","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1106229901","content_text":"SummaryLeveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a big boost ('home run') or to cause severe damage ('loaded gun').'Home run' allows the batter (investor) to make a complete circuit (whole), and score a big r(et)u(r)n (as well as hedging) for the team (portfolio).'Loaded gun' refers to something dangerous, an accident waiting to happen. Playing (investing) with something (leverage) that shouldn't be messed with.In this article, we try to cover all the bases you may find within the leveraged ETFs pitch, particularly 3x-leveraged NASDAQ-100 and Semiconductor ETFs.PrologueNearly two weeks ago we wrote about 'hedging through shorting', while presenting our short positions in two 3x-leveraged ETFs: ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:TQQQ) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bull Shares ETF (SOXL).In this article, we wish to remain within the same theme (hedging through shorting) and elaborate on this topic, particularly touching upon two very important aspects that are (not only related but) crucial to the theme:1) Leveraged ETFs (in general): Buy vs. Sell, Pros and Cons, Risk and Reward.2) Live demonstration of how leveraged ETFs' mechanics work (or don't work...): Specific examples using two pairs of growth/tech leveraged ETFs:Big Tech: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (NASDAQ:SQQQ)Semiconductors: Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS)Leveraged ETFs - Key FeaturesBuy vs SellThis is likely the most important aspect to keep in mind.Since leveraged ETFs use options/derivatives to achieve the magnifying element (leveraging) - any leveraged ETF, by definition, suffers from time decay, aka \"Theta\".Time decay is a measure of the rate of decline in the value of an options contract due to the passage of time. Time decay accelerates as an option's time to expiration draws closer since there's less time to realize a profit from the trade. - [Source]What you need to know:1. The closer an option is to its expiry date - the more rapidly it's losing money (to time decay).2. An \"At The Money\" (\"ATM\") option will receive the biggest premium at the start, but will lose the most, at an accelerating pace, towards the end.3. An \"In The Money\" (\"ITM\") option will receive the smallest premium at the start, and it will lose that premium, at a fairly steady pace, along its life.From a pure Theta perspective, it's categorically better to sell a leveraged ETF than to buy one, because the (loss of) time decay is working in the investor's favor.Pros and ConsLeveraged ETFs are risky instruments.Therefore, there are certain features one must be aware of, and there are certain rules one would be better off adhering to.Leverage (of a benchmark)Principally, all leveraged ETFs are aiming to amplify the return of a non-leveraged instrument, usually an index. For example:It's important to remain within one's comfort zone, and to ensure that the use of a leveraged ETF fits the investor's profile, needs, and risk aversion.VolatilityLooking at the 30-Day Rolling Volatility, you can see that the leverage is amplifying not only the return, but also the volatility. A 3x-leveraged ETF is 3x as volatile as the benchmark it's looking to copy.Semis:Tech:Daily performanceThis is one of the features many investors miss or fail to understand.Leveraged ETFs are trying to mimic the daily performance of a certain benchmark. As such, when you look at the daily (or short-term for that matter) performance - the leveraged ETF is likely to show a very/fairly close return to the leverage it offers (be it a long or a short mechanism). For example:Semis' 1-day price change: Daily returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of SOXX.Tech's 1-day price change: Daily returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of QQQ.Nonetheless, if we move to a longer period, say 2022, the math isn't as straight as it's when we look at the short-term.Semis' YTD price change: YTD returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +2.65x and -0.07x, respectively, the YTD return of SOXX.Tech's YTD price change: YTD returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +2.61x and -2.87x [=(52.59+28.13)/-28.13], respectively, the daily return of QQQ.Over time, and assuming the benchmark/index doesn't move in a (fairly) straight line - the performance of a leveraged ETF may differ significantly from the performance of the underlying benchmark.Risk and RewardPhenomenal/Horrendous Total ReturnsFirst and foremost, as you may well understand, the main risk is the (quite reasonable) scenario of losing a lot of money, quickly.Of course, there's always the flip-side of that coin, and leveraged ETFs may also deliver significant returns (during short periods).If \"Timing is Everything\", generally speaking, it's even more crucial when it comes to buying leveraged ETFs. One must have a high conviction, a near-perfect timing, a short-term trading view/mentality, and an exit (including stop loss) strategy. [We elaborate on these elements at the end of this article.]Below you can see the total returns of the leveraged ETFs we focus on during two very different periods.1) Bear Market: Total Return since Dec. 27, 2021Semis:Tech:Clearly, there's a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bear market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have lost ~30%, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost over 3/4 of their value, and the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have actually gained.Pay attention to the divergence between SOXS (a gain of only 4.5%) and SQQQ (a gain of 59.3%), a result of the recent speedy recovery of Semis (relative to Tech) in recent weeks.2) Bull Market: Total Return from Mar. 23, 2020 to Dec. 27, 2021Semis:Tech:Clearly, there's a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bull market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have gained low triple-digit %, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have delivered stunning returns. At the same time, the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have practically vanished, leaving investors with (nearly) nothing out of their initial investments.The Longer the Tenure - the Higher the Risk of Losing BigSecondly, and regardless of the (bull or bear) type of market we're in and/or the total return over a certain period, leveraged ETFs are guaranteed to lose value over time. Putting it differently, the longer you stick to these instruments - the higher the odds of a significant drawdown.Below you can see how deep is the decline that leveraged ETFs have (thus may) suffered from (% off-high) over different tenures.3 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.10 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.Although the past decade can definitely be described as a bull market (overall), leveraged ETFs have been hammered, no matter whether they were long or short the underlying benchmarks.This, once again, proves that these instruments can't be held (long position) over the long run. You can be long, but not for too long.\"The Road is Long With Many a Winding Turn\" [Source]Finally, it's important to understand that both time and slope play a major role in determining the return, therefore worthiness, of trading a leveraged ETF.It's very unlikely, almost impossible, for your long (short) leveraged ETF position to deliver a return equal to the (inverse) return of the underlying, non-leveraged, benchmark.To explain this, let's use the S&P 500 and its +/-1/2/3 leveraged versions.Naturally, the 2x- (SSO, SDS) and 3x- (SPXL, SPXU) leveraged versions are 2x and 3x as volatile as the non-leveraged versions (SPY, SH).But does the extra volatility usually/automatically translate into higher returns? Not necessarily.YTD: While the returns of the long versions (SPY, SSO, SPXL) make sense (from a leverage/volatility perspective), those of the short versions (SH, SDS, SPXS) don't.As a matter of fact, the 2x-leveraged SDS and the 3x-leveraged SPXS have delivered nearly the same total returns. If so, why would one pick the more risky SPXS over the less risky SDS!?3-Year: The 2x-leveraged SSO has returned twice as much as the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the non-leveraged SPY is only ~4.4% short of SSO's total return.In both cases, the extra risk (volatility) hasn't resulted in a better performance; quite the contrary.5-Year: Once again, the 2x-leveraged SSO has returned more than the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the 2x-leveraged SDS hasn't performed a lot better than the 3x-leveraged SPXS.10-Year: The short ETFs, whether leveraged or not, got battered. The long ETFs, however, are looking as good as how you wish a leveraged ETF (that you buy) to be.SPXL and SSO have returned more than 4x and ~2.5x, respectively, what SPY has.Macro Trading Factory - Trading AlertsHere is some of the information that we posted when we issued the most recent trading alerts (\"TAs\") to our subscribers.We are happy to share this information here, as we believe it's relevant and allows for a better understanding of the topic.TA dated Nov. 14, 2022:These TAs were discussed and explained in the piece that we've published Nov. 14.The main message: With the SPX reaching the 4000 mark, we wish to employ some anti-tech/growth hedging again, and by doing so we're (once again) reducing our net long exposure (back to the low 60s% area).Recall that there are two pairs we're referring to:Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs. Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS) >>> We're shorting SOXL, but one may buy SOXS for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ) >>> We're shorting TQQQ, but one may buy SQQQ for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.Key points to keep in mind:Total Assets Under Management:The 3x-bullish ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) are attracting a lot more money than their 3x-bearish counterparts (SOXS, SQQQ).Having said that, last week no less than $658M was funneled into SQQQ. Per Bloomberg, that’s the largest-ever inflow for a product that aims to deliver 3x the opposite performance of the US benchmark for major technology companies.When looking at the Daily Price Change the movements are fairly close in absolute terms, i.e. SOXL is moving like SOXS and TQQQ is moving like SQQQ.Nevertheless, things are changing over time.The longer the period - the greater the (potential) divergence.It's not guaranteed, but shorting the 3x-bullish ETFs is likely to deliver a better return than buying the 3x-bearish ETFs.TA dated Nov. 15, 2022:Nothing to add to what we wrote Nov. 14, but still - we would like to show you how even the technical analysis supports the fundamentals and risk aversion mode we see ahead.Recall that it's not advisable to do technical analysis using leveraged instruments. Leverage is just a \"wrapper\" not the base \"package\" which is the non-leveraged instrument.Having that in mind, here are the two, relevant, non-leveraged instruments on which we conduct some technical analysis. [Note that they're very similar in terms of nature and the message they deliver.]SOXX is currently hitting (or just about to hit) three resistance levels:200-DMALong-term down-trending red lineShort-term (horizontal) green lineQQQ is coming close to hit three resistance levels:200-DMALong-term down-trending red lineShort-term (horizontal) green lineEpilogueA leveraged ETF can be your best friend when you get the direction and timing right, but it can be your worst nightmare when you get the direction and timing wrong.We hope that through this article, we've managed to assist you with better understanding the Dr. Jekyll ('Home Run') and Mr. Hyde ('Loaded Gun') natures (characteristics) of these instruments.As we mentioned above, when buying a leveraged ETF, it's very important to keep the pros and cons, risk and reward, in mind but it's not enough. In addition to all these attributes, one musts also have the following:1) High Conviction: Buying a leveraged ETF requires a higher-than-usual conviction, in line with the significantly higher volatility. \"Feeling good\" about the upside potential of an investing idea isn't enough and an in-depth analysis regarding the downside risk is key.If we believe the downside risk of the underlying (non-leveraged) to be significant (usually 20%), we're less likely to move in, even if the upside is way more significant.Unlike a non-leveraged security that we may buy (if the risk/reward is very attractive) even if the downside risk is significant, when it comes to a leveraged ETF downside risk rules (overcoming the risk/reward profile, no matter how attractive the latter is).2) Near-perfect timing: It's very hard to find the \"right moment\", surely the \"perfect timing\". The latter is based on pure luck and only retrospectively we are in position to know whether our timing was good or not.Therefore, when we say \"near perfect timing\" we actually refer to maximum hesitation and patience. Take your time, don't rush, and let the stabilization, consolidation, and/or capitulation periods show their pretty, and more important: less risky, face.In line with that, it's strongly advisable to build a position involving a leveraged ETF over time. Indeed, it's likely going to be a relatively short time, in order to match the \"hit the iron while it's hot\" concept. Still, it's better to 'hit' a leveraged 'iron' several times rather than only once or twice.3) Short-term trading view/mentality: We believe that investors mustn't \"get married\" with any position, surely not with a leveraged ETF.Any position has a (stretched) valuation where it warrants a sale, and when it comes to leveraged ETFs - quick \"love affairs\" is the name of the game.Leveraged ETFs aren't the type of instrument you wish to get older with. They are only suitable for certain times and there's no reason to extend their hospitality for too long.Best is to pre-set levels and targets, and once those get fulfilled - kiss the leveraged ETF goodbye. No hard feelings, and no need to shed tears.4) An exit (including stop loss) strategy:Not every encounter we have in life results in a pleasant experience. Some encounters are very enjoyable/profitable, some less, and a few may suck big time.The idea is to minimize the latter type and to avoid stretching the former type.If it works out quickly - say goodbye quickly.If you still wish to examine the relationship - let it be, as long as the examining period doesn't come at the expense of other, possibly better, encounters.But if it looks as if there's no future here - there's really no reason to stick around. Cut your losses and move on.Obviously, easier said (or written) than done, but here's an example of all the trades we suggested involving SOXL, one of the leveraged ETF we were active with this year on both LONG and SHORT fronts.I don't think we had perfect timing, but we did have pretty good timing.More importantly, we had a high conviction [Note: different times = different directions!], we surely had/have a short-term trading view/mentality, and we certainly didn't/don't fall in love with the position - be it a LONG or a SHORT one.Last but not least, keep in mind that we use leveraged ETFs as part of our HEDGING strategy, which means that there are LONG positions (we wish to protect) against the SHORT positions (if and when we open such positions).This isn't something we suggest the average investor do without having the necessary ingredients (knowledge, experience, guts/risk aversion) and tools (risk analysis, portfolio management, modeling) to support such an activity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964692415,"gmtCreate":1670127899738,"gmtModify":1676538307770,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964692415","repostId":"2288925832","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288925832","pubTimestamp":1670121245,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2288925832?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-04 10:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO And XPeng: Don't Choose The One Getting Squeezed Out","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288925832","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"ThesisLeading Chinese pure-play EV makers NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) and XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) enjoyed a solid recovery in November. XPEV posted a 1M total return of 55.5% as the market forced bearish inves","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0148afb1415d9966a462d316514fd0e2\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Leading Chinese pure-play EV makers NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) and XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) enjoyed a solid recovery in November. XPEV posted a 1M total return of 55.5% as the market forced bearish investors/weak holders to flee at its October lows. In contrast, NIO posted a 1M total return of 24.5%, as buying sentiments returned strongly to China's embattled pure-play BEV makers.</p><p>Notwithstanding, Chinese EV bears will point out that both stocks remain well below their starting point in 2022. Accordingly, XPEV's YTD total return of -80% suggests buyers have been decimated, while NIO posted a better YTD performance of -62%.</p><p>Hence, we believe it's opportune to update investors on whether the buying opportunity on the recent rally still has legs, as China seems to be progressively easing its COVID restrictions.</p><p>Our assessment indicates that one company has executed much better as China's economy worsened in 2022. China's stringent COVID restrictions and harsh property cooling measures have weakened its GDP growth significantly. Accordingly, China's manufacturing PMI also came below consensus estimates, behooving China to accelerate its reopening moves.</p><p>Coupled with heightened competition, higher input costs, supply chain disruptions, and a weaker economy, NIO has proved its mettle against XPeng. However, both companies remain unprofitable. With a narrowed route toward external financing, given the current market conditions, we believe investors will likely focus on the company that has executed better, with clearer visibility toward reaching profitability.</p><p>We believe the competitive landscape would likely intensify further. Legacy OEMs such as General Motors (GM), Ford (F), and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) have telegraphed ambitious plans to assume EV leadership by 2025/26. In addition, China's NEV leader BYD Company (OTCPK:BYDDY) has continued to penetrate the EV market further, consolidating its position as the global NEV leader (including hybrids) in Q3'22, ahead of Tesla (TSLA).</p><p>Therefore, we urge investors to consider the business models and execution prowess of NIO and XPeng carefully as they take on profitable leading auto behemoths as they chart their path to profitability.</p><p>We discuss why we continue to put our bet in NIO as a potential multi-bagger speculative opportunity ahead of XPEV.</p><p>Maintain Speculative Buy on NIO and Hold on XPEV.</p><h2>Competition In China Has Intensified</h2><p>China's economic malaise has battered its consumer discretionary spending, including automobiles. Yet, China's leading NEV makers have made robust progress in 2022.</p><p>For instance, BYD delivered more than 230K of NEV in November, notching another monthly record, up nearly 153% YoY. Notably, BYD has continued to post consistent MoM gains since April 2022, corroborating the resilience of its highly vertically-integrated operating model.</p><p>Moreover, Volkswagen has continued to invest heavily in its prized Chinese market. General Motors have also stepped up on its endeavor, looking to introduce 15 EV models for the Chinese market by 2025.</p><p>Hence, we postulate that the competitive landscape in China could indicate that some unprofitable/less profitable upstarts could be squeezed out of the leading pack subsequently. With NIO and XPeng continuing to struggle for profitability, it's vital to assess which company could emerge as the stronger competitor to take on these behemoths.</p><p>Furthermore, China's NEV subsidies are due to be eliminated by 2023, even though Chinese media reported that there could be some revisions. Notwithstanding, it could neutralize/lessen a constructive tailwind that has driven sales over the past few years.</p><p>Therefore the market outlook remains uncertain while competition has intensified. As such, nothing short of excellent execution is required to navigate these challenges. And it's one that XPeng has fallen short in 2022.</p><h2>XPeng Restructures</h2><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61e462b6ef38ba6c0893c716ae23dcdc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>XPeng Vehicle margins % (Company filings)</span></p><p>Given XPeng's low vehicle margins operating model, it's imperative for the company to continue posting robust production and deliveries growth to benefit significantly from fixed costs leverage.</p><p>However, XPeng's massive Q3 deliveries disappointment highlighted the execution weakness in a challenging macro and supply chain environment, in which leaders BYD and NIO performed admirably.</p><p>With a vehicle margin of just 11.6% in Q3 (up from Q2's 9.1%), XPeng's profitability has improved QoQ.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e172d47aa15683ff6c89cf5c9e8dbd2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>XPeng Deliveries (Company filings)</span></p><p>However, the company posted deliveries growth of just 15% in FQ3; a massive downshift from FQ2's 98%. As such, we believe it triggered a rethinking of its strategies, leading the company to announce an organizational restructuring, as CEO He Xiaoping emphasized:</p><blockquote>Frankly, we're going through a very challenging period in pursuing our long-term goals. In response, we recently conducted an in-depth strategic review and implemented organizational restructure. As market competition intensifies, we'll sharpen our marketing to highlight the great value in our industry-leading smart and electrification technologies and further enhance our branding, sales, and service capabilities. (XPeng FQ3'22 earnings call)</blockquote><p>Hence, we believe there's little doubt that the increasingly competitive landscape hammered XPeng's execution. Therefore, moving forward, we think it's better to watch the action from the sidelines unless you have a very high conviction in XPeng's management.</p><p>XPeng announced October and November deliveries of 5.1K and 5.81K, respectively. As such, the company needs to deliver about 9.59K of NEV (midpoint) in Q4, predicated on the ramp of its G9. XPeng emphasized: "The Company expects that deliveries will significantly increase in December 2022 as G9's production ramp-up accelerates under normalized operating conditions."</p><p>We believe that XPEV's battering toward its October lows has likely reflected significant pessimism. But, we don't think the recent rally is sustainable, as its price action suggests a massive covering rally.</p><p>As such, we urge investors thinking of cutting exposure to leverage on the recent recovery to take some risks off the table and rotate.</p><h2>Rotate To NIO<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b388563a2b413a07256e586ffbaa59a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>NIO Deliveries (Company filings)</span></p></h2><p>NIO posted 14.18K in NEV deliveries for November, up nearly 41% MoM. As such, NIO demonstrated that its premium EV strategy is working well, despite China's economic malaise.</p><p>While China's COVID restrictions have impacted its production cadence, we believe it could be less material moving forward as China progressively eases.</p><p>Hence, NIO should be able to focus primarily on its execution as it looks to deliver its Q4 guidance of 45.5K NEVs (midpoint). The company appears confident in its recent deliveries outlook as NIO emphasized: "NIO will further accelerate the production and delivery in December 2022."</p><p>NIO CEO William Li also telegraphed recently why it's critical for NIO to remain deeply entrenched as one of China's leading NEV leaders, given intensifying competition. Li accentuated:</p><blockquote>If a company is squeezed into the second tier in the final round [of competition in 2024/25], it is basically impossible for it to catch up to the first tier if it wants to. You can only be a second-tier languishing, barely alive person. - CnEVPost</blockquote><p>Therefore, we believe it's no surprise that the timeline aligns well with the milestones indicated by the legacy OEMs makers as they transform into EV companies.</p><p>Don't assume these OEM makers are "dead" yet, as they invest profits from their ICE segments to take on unprofitable EV makers. The battle is far from over, and we believe only the fittest EV makers could survive the increasingly competitive landscape.</p><h2>Is NIO Or XPEV Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h2><p><i>Maintain Speculative Buy on NIO and Hold on XPEV.</i></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbee3aba450db5a7c84dee25b0094d59\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>XPEV price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>The market had gotten XPEV spot on, knowing that it could face significant competitive pressures that could impact its operating model considerably.</p><p>As such, the market's battering from its June highs has likely reflected its positioning. Hence, the recent sharp rally from its October lows resembled a covering move from bearish investors taking profit and cutting exposure.</p><p>As such, we urge investors not to join this rally but consider taking the opportunity to take some risks off the table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/315a624b01e18068ea47037b78f4f8b6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>NIO price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>NIO's price action looks much more robust than XPEV, with no clear signs of a massive covering rally. Therefore, buyers are likely accumulating, trapping bearish investors at its long-term support and holding that defense line constructively.</p><p>Hence, we believe the opportunity for a mean-reversion rally for NIO is still attractive at these levels. XPEV investors who decide to cut exposure can consider rotating some exposure to NIO to take them toward the next stage of the competition in China's increasingly competitive EV market.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO And XPeng: Don't Choose The One Getting Squeezed Out</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO And XPeng: Don't Choose The One Getting Squeezed Out\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-04 10:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562162-nio-vs-xpeng-dont-choose-one-getting-squeezed-out><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ThesisLeading Chinese pure-play EV makers NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) and XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) enjoyed a solid recovery in November. XPEV posted a 1M total return of 55.5% as the market forced bearish ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562162-nio-vs-xpeng-dont-choose-one-getting-squeezed-out\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","09866":"蔚来-SW","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF-NikkoAM","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4509":"腾讯概念","NIO":"蔚来","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4574":"无人驾驶"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562162-nio-vs-xpeng-dont-choose-one-getting-squeezed-out","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2288925832","content_text":"ThesisLeading Chinese pure-play EV makers NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) and XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) enjoyed a solid recovery in November. XPEV posted a 1M total return of 55.5% as the market forced bearish investors/weak holders to flee at its October lows. In contrast, NIO posted a 1M total return of 24.5%, as buying sentiments returned strongly to China's embattled pure-play BEV makers.Notwithstanding, Chinese EV bears will point out that both stocks remain well below their starting point in 2022. Accordingly, XPEV's YTD total return of -80% suggests buyers have been decimated, while NIO posted a better YTD performance of -62%.Hence, we believe it's opportune to update investors on whether the buying opportunity on the recent rally still has legs, as China seems to be progressively easing its COVID restrictions.Our assessment indicates that one company has executed much better as China's economy worsened in 2022. China's stringent COVID restrictions and harsh property cooling measures have weakened its GDP growth significantly. Accordingly, China's manufacturing PMI also came below consensus estimates, behooving China to accelerate its reopening moves.Coupled with heightened competition, higher input costs, supply chain disruptions, and a weaker economy, NIO has proved its mettle against XPeng. However, both companies remain unprofitable. With a narrowed route toward external financing, given the current market conditions, we believe investors will likely focus on the company that has executed better, with clearer visibility toward reaching profitability.We believe the competitive landscape would likely intensify further. Legacy OEMs such as General Motors (GM), Ford (F), and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) have telegraphed ambitious plans to assume EV leadership by 2025/26. In addition, China's NEV leader BYD Company (OTCPK:BYDDY) has continued to penetrate the EV market further, consolidating its position as the global NEV leader (including hybrids) in Q3'22, ahead of Tesla (TSLA).Therefore, we urge investors to consider the business models and execution prowess of NIO and XPeng carefully as they take on profitable leading auto behemoths as they chart their path to profitability.We discuss why we continue to put our bet in NIO as a potential multi-bagger speculative opportunity ahead of XPEV.Maintain Speculative Buy on NIO and Hold on XPEV.Competition In China Has IntensifiedChina's economic malaise has battered its consumer discretionary spending, including automobiles. Yet, China's leading NEV makers have made robust progress in 2022.For instance, BYD delivered more than 230K of NEV in November, notching another monthly record, up nearly 153% YoY. Notably, BYD has continued to post consistent MoM gains since April 2022, corroborating the resilience of its highly vertically-integrated operating model.Moreover, Volkswagen has continued to invest heavily in its prized Chinese market. General Motors have also stepped up on its endeavor, looking to introduce 15 EV models for the Chinese market by 2025.Hence, we postulate that the competitive landscape in China could indicate that some unprofitable/less profitable upstarts could be squeezed out of the leading pack subsequently. With NIO and XPeng continuing to struggle for profitability, it's vital to assess which company could emerge as the stronger competitor to take on these behemoths.Furthermore, China's NEV subsidies are due to be eliminated by 2023, even though Chinese media reported that there could be some revisions. Notwithstanding, it could neutralize/lessen a constructive tailwind that has driven sales over the past few years.Therefore the market outlook remains uncertain while competition has intensified. As such, nothing short of excellent execution is required to navigate these challenges. And it's one that XPeng has fallen short in 2022.XPeng RestructuresXPeng Vehicle margins % (Company filings)Given XPeng's low vehicle margins operating model, it's imperative for the company to continue posting robust production and deliveries growth to benefit significantly from fixed costs leverage.However, XPeng's massive Q3 deliveries disappointment highlighted the execution weakness in a challenging macro and supply chain environment, in which leaders BYD and NIO performed admirably.With a vehicle margin of just 11.6% in Q3 (up from Q2's 9.1%), XPeng's profitability has improved QoQ.XPeng Deliveries (Company filings)However, the company posted deliveries growth of just 15% in FQ3; a massive downshift from FQ2's 98%. As such, we believe it triggered a rethinking of its strategies, leading the company to announce an organizational restructuring, as CEO He Xiaoping emphasized:Frankly, we're going through a very challenging period in pursuing our long-term goals. In response, we recently conducted an in-depth strategic review and implemented organizational restructure. As market competition intensifies, we'll sharpen our marketing to highlight the great value in our industry-leading smart and electrification technologies and further enhance our branding, sales, and service capabilities. (XPeng FQ3'22 earnings call)Hence, we believe there's little doubt that the increasingly competitive landscape hammered XPeng's execution. Therefore, moving forward, we think it's better to watch the action from the sidelines unless you have a very high conviction in XPeng's management.XPeng announced October and November deliveries of 5.1K and 5.81K, respectively. As such, the company needs to deliver about 9.59K of NEV (midpoint) in Q4, predicated on the ramp of its G9. XPeng emphasized: \"The Company expects that deliveries will significantly increase in December 2022 as G9's production ramp-up accelerates under normalized operating conditions.\"We believe that XPEV's battering toward its October lows has likely reflected significant pessimism. But, we don't think the recent rally is sustainable, as its price action suggests a massive covering rally.As such, we urge investors thinking of cutting exposure to leverage on the recent recovery to take some risks off the table and rotate.Rotate To NIONIO Deliveries (Company filings)NIO posted 14.18K in NEV deliveries for November, up nearly 41% MoM. As such, NIO demonstrated that its premium EV strategy is working well, despite China's economic malaise.While China's COVID restrictions have impacted its production cadence, we believe it could be less material moving forward as China progressively eases.Hence, NIO should be able to focus primarily on its execution as it looks to deliver its Q4 guidance of 45.5K NEVs (midpoint). The company appears confident in its recent deliveries outlook as NIO emphasized: \"NIO will further accelerate the production and delivery in December 2022.\"NIO CEO William Li also telegraphed recently why it's critical for NIO to remain deeply entrenched as one of China's leading NEV leaders, given intensifying competition. Li accentuated:If a company is squeezed into the second tier in the final round [of competition in 2024/25], it is basically impossible for it to catch up to the first tier if it wants to. You can only be a second-tier languishing, barely alive person. - CnEVPostTherefore, we believe it's no surprise that the timeline aligns well with the milestones indicated by the legacy OEMs makers as they transform into EV companies.Don't assume these OEM makers are \"dead\" yet, as they invest profits from their ICE segments to take on unprofitable EV makers. The battle is far from over, and we believe only the fittest EV makers could survive the increasingly competitive landscape.Is NIO Or XPEV Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?Maintain Speculative Buy on NIO and Hold on XPEV.XPEV price chart (weekly) (TradingView)The market had gotten XPEV spot on, knowing that it could face significant competitive pressures that could impact its operating model considerably.As such, the market's battering from its June highs has likely reflected its positioning. Hence, the recent sharp rally from its October lows resembled a covering move from bearish investors taking profit and cutting exposure.As such, we urge investors not to join this rally but consider taking the opportunity to take some risks off the table.NIO price chart (weekly) (TradingView)NIO's price action looks much more robust than XPEV, with no clear signs of a massive covering rally. Therefore, buyers are likely accumulating, trapping bearish investors at its long-term support and holding that defense line constructively.Hence, we believe the opportunity for a mean-reversion rally for NIO is still attractive at these levels. XPEV investors who decide to cut exposure can consider rotating some exposure to NIO to take them toward the next stage of the competition in China's increasingly competitive EV market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917211785,"gmtCreate":1665530084047,"gmtModify":1676537620260,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917211785","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961379063,"gmtCreate":1668859582253,"gmtModify":1676538122354,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961379063","repostId":"2284770337","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284770337","pubTimestamp":1668823624,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2284770337?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-19 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284770337","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency exchange is sinking again after another analyst chimed in about its potential downsides.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>What happened</h2><p>Amid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator <b>Coinbase</b> will perform from here. This week has been a mixed bag. Coinbase stock initially surged on the expectation that the bankruptcy of a key competitor could lead to the U.S.-focused crypto exchange gaining market share. But over the course of Wednesday and Thursday, the company's shares sank by more than 12%. The declines continued Friday morning, with Coinbase stock plunging by another 7.1% as of 11:58 a.m. ET.</p><p>Friday's decline appears to have been spurred by a bearish analyst note from <b>Bank of America</b>. Analyst Jason Kupferberg slashed the price target on Coinbase from $77 per share to $50 per share, and cut its rating from buy to neutral. Last week, <b>Goldman Sachs</b> slashed its price target on Coinbase to $41 per share from $49 per share, and maintained its sell rating.</p><h2>So what</h2><p>It's clear that analysts have reason to be bearish about Coinbase. While it's one of the most prominent centralized crypto exchanges, contagion fears have put investors and analysts in a difficult position. On the one hand, FTX's implosion offers the potential for Coinbase to capture more market share and trading volume. On the other, declining aggregate trading activity and systemic risks may lead to further valuation compression, at least in the near term.</p><p>Interestingly, neither the Bank of America nor the Goldman Sachs analysts are worried that Coinbase will be the next FTX, and they generally took the view that it's relatively well-insulated from the FTX fallout. However, the Bank of America note succinctly summarized three risks for those holding Coinbase stock right now: "Dampened trading activity thanks to weaker confidence in crypto, delayed regulatory clarity and the possibility that contagion leads to an even wider fallout for the industry."</p><h2>Now what</h2><p>Coinbase's stock price has been under pressure throughout the year due primarily to its underwhelming earnings results and concerns around potential margin degradation. In that sense, the fallout from the FTX collapse could be seen as a net positive, as that exchange was among the lowest-fee options for traders, and therefore put downward pressure on its peers' trading fees.</p><p>That said, this year's underperformance has led Coinbase management to undertake multiple rounds of layoffs. It has cut more than 18% of its workforce so far. Like many other tech companies, Coinbase appears to have built an infrastructure that's too big for the current market. With crypto valuations remaining on a bearish trajectory, it's unclear whether trading volumes will eventually recover, or whether they will remain permanently stunted.</p><p>In this market, investors appear to be taking a similar view to Wall Street analysts. Trading at roughly $46 per share, Coinbase is now within spitting distance of its all-time low.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-19 10:07 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happenedAmid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator Coinbase will perform from here. This week has been a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284770337","content_text":"What happenedAmid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator Coinbase will perform from here. This week has been a mixed bag. Coinbase stock initially surged on the expectation that the bankruptcy of a key competitor could lead to the U.S.-focused crypto exchange gaining market share. But over the course of Wednesday and Thursday, the company's shares sank by more than 12%. The declines continued Friday morning, with Coinbase stock plunging by another 7.1% as of 11:58 a.m. ET.Friday's decline appears to have been spurred by a bearish analyst note from Bank of America. Analyst Jason Kupferberg slashed the price target on Coinbase from $77 per share to $50 per share, and cut its rating from buy to neutral. Last week, Goldman Sachs slashed its price target on Coinbase to $41 per share from $49 per share, and maintained its sell rating.So whatIt's clear that analysts have reason to be bearish about Coinbase. While it's one of the most prominent centralized crypto exchanges, contagion fears have put investors and analysts in a difficult position. On the one hand, FTX's implosion offers the potential for Coinbase to capture more market share and trading volume. On the other, declining aggregate trading activity and systemic risks may lead to further valuation compression, at least in the near term.Interestingly, neither the Bank of America nor the Goldman Sachs analysts are worried that Coinbase will be the next FTX, and they generally took the view that it's relatively well-insulated from the FTX fallout. However, the Bank of America note succinctly summarized three risks for those holding Coinbase stock right now: \"Dampened trading activity thanks to weaker confidence in crypto, delayed regulatory clarity and the possibility that contagion leads to an even wider fallout for the industry.\"Now whatCoinbase's stock price has been under pressure throughout the year due primarily to its underwhelming earnings results and concerns around potential margin degradation. In that sense, the fallout from the FTX collapse could be seen as a net positive, as that exchange was among the lowest-fee options for traders, and therefore put downward pressure on its peers' trading fees.That said, this year's underperformance has led Coinbase management to undertake multiple rounds of layoffs. It has cut more than 18% of its workforce so far. Like many other tech companies, Coinbase appears to have built an infrastructure that's too big for the current market. With crypto valuations remaining on a bearish trajectory, it's unclear whether trading volumes will eventually recover, or whether they will remain permanently stunted.In this market, investors appear to be taking a similar view to Wall Street analysts. Trading at roughly $46 per share, Coinbase is now within spitting distance of its all-time low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984907661,"gmtCreate":1667516735053,"gmtModify":1676537928983,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984907661","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072630686,"gmtCreate":1658023354945,"gmtModify":1676536094642,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072630686","repostId":"2249540083","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249540083","pubTimestamp":1658021139,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2249540083?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-17 09:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249540083","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.</p><p>Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang's company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.</p><p>But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: "I'm confident that we will overcome this."</p><p>And he did.</p><p>Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.</p><p>Crucially: the man nicknamed 'Big Shot' in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.</p><p>Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.</p><p>"Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches," Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. "It's just heart warming."</p><p>This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.</p><h2>Massive short squeeze</h2><p>Mr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan's production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia's invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.</p><p>On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan's headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn't leave until early the next morning.</p><p>More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals 'visionary' who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fears</p><p>The crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang's position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.</p><p>The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.</p><p>To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.</p><p>Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he'd built Tsingshan into the world's largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China's east coast. Along the way, he'd acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.</p><p>The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn't pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.</p><p>Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.</p><p>If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What's more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn't clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan's most valuable assets.</p><p>JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.</p><h2>Personal guarantee</h2><p>Mr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.</p><p>Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn't enough. They wouldn't be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn't seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.</p><p>So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn't pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.</p><p>More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market's darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continues</p><p>It wasn't much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.</p><p>When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.</p><p>The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange's regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME's decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange's six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.</p><p>Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.</p><p>It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn't.</p><p>Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China's lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.</p><p>By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.</p><p>By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.</p><p>People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan's losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn't concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.</p><p>Now 'Big Shot' is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.</p><p>And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.</p><p>"A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME," he says. "The market is still functioning, but it's struggling."</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-17 09:25 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NICK.UK":"镍ETF","JJN":"镍ETN-iPath","NIC.AU":"Nickel Industries Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249540083","content_text":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang's company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: \"I'm confident that we will overcome this.\"And he did.Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.Crucially: the man nicknamed 'Big Shot' in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.\"Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,\" Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. \"It's just heart warming.\"This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.Massive short squeezeMr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan's production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia's invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan's headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn't leave until early the next morning.More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals 'visionary' who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fearsThe crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang's position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he'd built Tsingshan into the world's largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China's east coast. Along the way, he'd acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn't pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What's more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn't clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan's most valuable assets.JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.Personal guaranteeMr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn't enough. They wouldn't be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn't seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn't pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market's darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continuesIt wasn't much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange's regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME's decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange's six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn't.Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China's lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan's losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn't concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.Now 'Big Shot' is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.\"A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,\" he says. \"The market is still functioning, but it's struggling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032528444,"gmtCreate":1647404165192,"gmtModify":1676534225865,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032528444","repostId":"1199437637","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199437637","pubTimestamp":1647393861,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199437637?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-16 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Sell-Off: 2 Growth Stocks to Buy, and 1 to Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199437637","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Not all technology stocks are created equal, so investors should be selective during the current sell-off.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Uncertainty is running high in the stock market right now. Inflation is hurting consumers, interest rates are about to tick higher, and geopolitical tensions in Europe are keeping investors on the sidelines.</p><p>That combination of factors has plunged the tech-centric <b>Nasdaq 100</b> index into bear market territory, losing more than 20% of its value since November 2021. Many individual technology stocks have fallen even more sharply, and while it can be tempting to buy growth stocks at a discount, cheap doesn't always equal good value.</p><p>Investors with a long-term time horizon should turn their focus to quality companies. Here are two worth considering, and one that should be avoided.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65bfc4709eece92733829ffb2415b00a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><b>Why Microsoft is a buy</b></p><p>In a difficult market, it can be beneficial to seek safety in one of the world's largest companies. <b>Microsoft</b> has a $2.1 trillion valuation, and a multi-decade track record of outperforming the Nasdaq 100 index. The company has built a suite of diverse businesses, so when some segments struggle during tough economic times, others tend to pick up the slack.</p><p>Microsoft is best known for its software products, including the Windows operating system and Office 365, used by billions of customers globally, and that tends to be consistent across different economic environments. But the company also has a booming hardware business, consisting of the Xbox gaming console and Surface line of tablets and notebook computers. Both of these have become billion-dollar brands in their own right.</p><p>But an entirely different business is driving Microsoft's growth at the moment. It's the intelligentcloudsegment, led by the Azure cloud services platform, which does everything from helping customers migrate to the cloud to providing complex artificial intelligence tools. It's used by 95% of Fortune 500 companies, and the cloud segment generated $67 billion in revenue for Microsoft alone over the last 12 months, making up the lion's share of its total sales.</p><p>Microsoft is also a highly profitable company, making it a great asset in a volatile market. Analysts expect it will deliver $9.35 in earnings per share in the current fiscal 2022 year, and with a current dividend yield of 0.87%, it will also return some of those profits to investors. That sets Microsoft apart from many other tech stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c91312d6ff1ee02ead81760f9f7d949\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><b>Why Bill.com is a buy</b></p><p>When it comes to making long-term bets on the American economy,<b>Bill.com Holdings</b> should be a top candidate for investors. It serves small to mid-sized businesses through a growing portfolio of software products and it has generated staggering growth over the last few years.</p><p>The company's flagship platform features a cloud-based digital inbox designed to help businesses aggregate invoices, to solve the often messy accounts payable workflow. Small enterprises can upload or receive invoices directly to their inbox, pay them with a single click, and thanks to integrations with core accounting software providers, Bill.com also books the transactions automatically.</p><p>But in 2021, the company expanded beyond its core offering through two key acquisitions. It purchased Divvy, a business budgeting and expense management software, and Invoice2go, an invoice generator to help with the accounts receivable process. Bill.com is now a very well-rounded service for businesses, and its popularity is soaring.</p><p>As of the recent fiscal 2022 second quarter, the company served over 373,000 business customers. And in that quarter, those customers generated $56 billion in transaction volume. Fees on those transactions is how Bill.com earns the majority of its revenue, and that revenue segment soared 313% year over year.</p><p>But Bill.com sees an enormous market opportunity on the horizon that includes 6 million business customers in the U.S., and over $25 trillion in yearly transaction volume on its platform. It means the company could have multiple years' worth of growth ahead, and since its stock price has declined 46% amid the tech sell-off, this could be a great buying opportunity for investors.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0090911f51a06343148e95cef6ded3b5\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Peloton.</span></p><p><b>Why Peloton is a sell</b></p><p>There's no doubt about it: At-home exercise powerhouse <b>Peloton Interactive</b> is in the midst of a crisis. Its stock price is down 87% from its all-time high, as the company has struggled to perform after riding high on the pandemic-driven stay-at-home economy. A new CEO is at the helm and is already making promising changes, but Peloton is having difficulties in some key areas that might be completely out of management's control.</p><p>While the company sells hardware in the form of exercise equipment, it also has a recurring subscription business where users pay for digital workout lessons viewable on their Peloton product. The good news is that Peloton is still attracting a growing subscriber base, albeit at a slowing rate, but the bad news is customer engagement has fallen off a cliff. In the recent fiscal second quarter, the average subscriber completed 15.5 workouts per month, a 40% drop from the 2021 peak of 26.</p><p>It's a symptom of the fact that society has reopened, and people are spending far less time at home than they did during the worst of the pandemic. And unfortunately for Peloton, the result could be a shrinking business on a revenue basis.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e7d9024c08c54ca28940e5da6e6fda2\" tg-width=\"1205\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data source: Peloton Interactive.</span></p><p>But the company's losses are of greater concern. Despite a record-high revenue result in fiscal 2021, Peloton couldn't convert that to the bottom line, losing $189 million for the year. And in just the first six months of fiscal 2022, that loss has ballooned to $815 million.</p><p>But with that said, the company has begun to cut expenses by laying off 20% of its workforce, and Peloton's new CEO plans to revamp the cost structure to reduce net losses. At the same time, the way consumers pay for their Pelotons could dramatically change, with a greater focus on subscription-style revenue.</p><p>For now, this stock carries a little too much risk. The company will need to prove it can overcome the external factors and shift back to full-year growth -- until then, it's a sell.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Sell-Off: 2 Growth Stocks to Buy, and 1 to Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Sell-Off: 2 Growth Stocks to Buy, and 1 to Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-16 09:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/15/tech-sell-off-2-growth-stocks-to-buy-and-1-to-sell/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Uncertainty is running high in the stock market right now. Inflation is hurting consumers, interest rates are about to tick higher, and geopolitical tensions in Europe are keeping investors on the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/15/tech-sell-off-2-growth-stocks-to-buy-and-1-to-sell/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","BILL":"BILL HOLDINGS INC"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/15/tech-sell-off-2-growth-stocks-to-buy-and-1-to-sell/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199437637","content_text":"Uncertainty is running high in the stock market right now. Inflation is hurting consumers, interest rates are about to tick higher, and geopolitical tensions in Europe are keeping investors on the sidelines.That combination of factors has plunged the tech-centric Nasdaq 100 index into bear market territory, losing more than 20% of its value since November 2021. Many individual technology stocks have fallen even more sharply, and while it can be tempting to buy growth stocks at a discount, cheap doesn't always equal good value.Investors with a long-term time horizon should turn their focus to quality companies. Here are two worth considering, and one that should be avoided.Image source: Getty Images.Why Microsoft is a buyIn a difficult market, it can be beneficial to seek safety in one of the world's largest companies. Microsoft has a $2.1 trillion valuation, and a multi-decade track record of outperforming the Nasdaq 100 index. The company has built a suite of diverse businesses, so when some segments struggle during tough economic times, others tend to pick up the slack.Microsoft is best known for its software products, including the Windows operating system and Office 365, used by billions of customers globally, and that tends to be consistent across different economic environments. But the company also has a booming hardware business, consisting of the Xbox gaming console and Surface line of tablets and notebook computers. Both of these have become billion-dollar brands in their own right.But an entirely different business is driving Microsoft's growth at the moment. It's the intelligentcloudsegment, led by the Azure cloud services platform, which does everything from helping customers migrate to the cloud to providing complex artificial intelligence tools. It's used by 95% of Fortune 500 companies, and the cloud segment generated $67 billion in revenue for Microsoft alone over the last 12 months, making up the lion's share of its total sales.Microsoft is also a highly profitable company, making it a great asset in a volatile market. Analysts expect it will deliver $9.35 in earnings per share in the current fiscal 2022 year, and with a current dividend yield of 0.87%, it will also return some of those profits to investors. That sets Microsoft apart from many other tech stocks.Image source: Getty Images.Why Bill.com is a buyWhen it comes to making long-term bets on the American economy,Bill.com Holdings should be a top candidate for investors. It serves small to mid-sized businesses through a growing portfolio of software products and it has generated staggering growth over the last few years.The company's flagship platform features a cloud-based digital inbox designed to help businesses aggregate invoices, to solve the often messy accounts payable workflow. Small enterprises can upload or receive invoices directly to their inbox, pay them with a single click, and thanks to integrations with core accounting software providers, Bill.com also books the transactions automatically.But in 2021, the company expanded beyond its core offering through two key acquisitions. It purchased Divvy, a business budgeting and expense management software, and Invoice2go, an invoice generator to help with the accounts receivable process. Bill.com is now a very well-rounded service for businesses, and its popularity is soaring.As of the recent fiscal 2022 second quarter, the company served over 373,000 business customers. And in that quarter, those customers generated $56 billion in transaction volume. Fees on those transactions is how Bill.com earns the majority of its revenue, and that revenue segment soared 313% year over year.But Bill.com sees an enormous market opportunity on the horizon that includes 6 million business customers in the U.S., and over $25 trillion in yearly transaction volume on its platform. It means the company could have multiple years' worth of growth ahead, and since its stock price has declined 46% amid the tech sell-off, this could be a great buying opportunity for investors.Image source: Peloton.Why Peloton is a sellThere's no doubt about it: At-home exercise powerhouse Peloton Interactive is in the midst of a crisis. Its stock price is down 87% from its all-time high, as the company has struggled to perform after riding high on the pandemic-driven stay-at-home economy. A new CEO is at the helm and is already making promising changes, but Peloton is having difficulties in some key areas that might be completely out of management's control.While the company sells hardware in the form of exercise equipment, it also has a recurring subscription business where users pay for digital workout lessons viewable on their Peloton product. The good news is that Peloton is still attracting a growing subscriber base, albeit at a slowing rate, but the bad news is customer engagement has fallen off a cliff. In the recent fiscal second quarter, the average subscriber completed 15.5 workouts per month, a 40% drop from the 2021 peak of 26.It's a symptom of the fact that society has reopened, and people are spending far less time at home than they did during the worst of the pandemic. And unfortunately for Peloton, the result could be a shrinking business on a revenue basis.Data source: Peloton Interactive.But the company's losses are of greater concern. Despite a record-high revenue result in fiscal 2021, Peloton couldn't convert that to the bottom line, losing $189 million for the year. And in just the first six months of fiscal 2022, that loss has ballooned to $815 million.But with that said, the company has begun to cut expenses by laying off 20% of its workforce, and Peloton's new CEO plans to revamp the cost structure to reduce net losses. At the same time, the way consumers pay for their Pelotons could dramatically change, with a greater focus on subscription-style revenue.For now, this stock carries a little too much risk. The company will need to prove it can overcome the external factors and shift back to full-year growth -- until then, it's a sell.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9023550078,"gmtCreate":1652934198394,"gmtModify":1676535192372,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9023550078","repostId":"2236797581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236797581","pubTimestamp":1652932286,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2236797581?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-19 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Timing Is Everything","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236797581","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>You hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.</li><li>“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.</li><li>You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.</li><li>Even so, I do agree, "time in" the market, not "timing" the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.</li><li>In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a1229b9c7f7f78df1d901d2fde69ea\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Why now is an ideal time to buy Tesla</b></p><p>Yes, yes I know you can't time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.</p><p><b>First things first</b></p><p>I would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.</p><p>The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla is not a “car” stock</b></p><p>I submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration "story" stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They're commonly referred to as "long-duration assets."</p><p>Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it's more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie "The Outsiders" than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here's why.</p><p><b>Tesla revenue 5 year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab99bfe7748553a39961171fad2fc738\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year revenue growth (YCharts)</span></p><p><b>Tesla gross profit 5-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ac0c43a94e2f8a570de132e416f31d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)</span></p><p>Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.</p><p><b>Lots of new competition, yes but…</b></p><p>There's a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There's no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.</p><p><b>Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructure</b></p><p>My friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.</p><p><b>Tesla Super charging station map</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8250ffd495c652144b8dce9d70a2fc2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)</span></p><p>With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.</p><p>The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year return on investment</b></p><p>I made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.</p><p><b>Tesla 10-year chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c6f4a069c5d0a8d1c46387167c52d8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I'm 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I'm transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.</p><p>Even so, I'm not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.</p><p><b>Tesla technical analysis</b></p><p>Tesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.</p><p><b>Tesla current chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792ea9bbefed3d777ecfcc34810ab1eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"199\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Current Chart (Finviz)</span></p><p>I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.</p><p><b>The Wrap Up</b></p><p>I believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That's a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there's plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.</p><p>The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.</p><p><b>Final Note</b></p><p>The stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There's a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.</p><p>My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Timing Is Everything</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Timing Is Everything\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-19 11:51 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4512969-tesla-timing-is-everything","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236797581","content_text":"SummaryYou hear a lot about timing when it comes to the stock market.“You can’t time the market” is one of the most often used maxims I’m sure many of you have heard, and even more adhere to. Nonetheless, I beg to differ.You can time the market, albeit not perfectly. That being said, I have just bought back into Tesla after selling based on the recent 25% pullback.Even so, I do agree, \"time in\" the market, not \"timing\" the market, creates true wealth, as my father would say.In the following piece, I will expound on my thoughts regarding market timing and explain why I bought back into Tesla.Sjo/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesWhy now is an ideal time to buy TeslaYes, yes I know you can't time the markets. Yet, you can make an educated determination as to when the best time to buy or sell a position in a stock may be. How else would you be able to buy low and sell high, as they say? Like my father always said, “At some point you have to take profits to make profits.” Meaning, it’s all unrealized paper gains until you actually sell. Now let’s get down to business. The following are the primary reasons I sold Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) in the first place and then bought it back recently after a 25% pullback.First things firstI would like to set the stage regarding what “kind” of stock I believe Tesla is. I see a lot articles and pundits arguing Tesla is a “car” stock. The car stock cadre are always the uber bears. They list off several of Tesla’s incredible, or incredulous (depending on your viewpoint), fundamental statistics. The fact Tesla’s market cap of $764 billion is greater than all the other car company’s stocks combined, the forward P/E ratio of 48.20, P/S ratio of 13, P/B ratio of 23, and last but not least, the P/FCF ratio of 53. I must admit those fundamental statistics appear extremely outlandish.The problem is, Tesla is not a car stock, so the entire argument is futile. Furthermore, these statistics are based on present metrics. Tesla’s stock trades on future projected results. Let me explain.Tesla is not a “car” stockI submit Tesla is not a car stock. It’s a long duration \"story\" stock. These types of stock’s occur throughout all sectors. Moreover, their valuations are based in large part on potential cash flows expected in the distant future. They're commonly referred to as \"long-duration assets.\"Tesla’s stock definitely fits the bill of a long-duration asset “story” stock. In fact, I surmise it has reached “cult” stock status based on the reverence its shareholders display. When the bulls and bears begin debating the sky-high valuation of Tesla, it's more akin to the rumble between the Greasers and the Socs in the movie \"The Outsiders\" than anything else. What’s more, the Tesla bulls do have some ammunition when it come to their lofty projections. Here's why.Tesla revenue 5 year chart5-year revenue growth (YCharts)Tesla gross profit 5-year chart5-year Gross profit Growth (YCharts)Tesla’s revenue and gross profits are increasing by leaps and bounds. On top of this, Tesla’s sales for the recent quarter were up 80% and EPS up a whopping 640% quarter over quarter. Additionally, EPS had growth at a 50% clip for the past five years and is expected to grow by 40% for the next five years. So, as you can see there is a case to be made Tesla deserves an elevated valuation. Now let’s tackle the competition aspect of the equation.Lots of new competition, yes but…There's a lot of new EV competitors in the space. There's no disputing this. My second choice is Ford (F) which just introduced the new EV Ford F150 Lightning. Yet, Tesla does have several first mover advantages over the competition. The primary one is Tesla’s charging infrastructure.Tesla’s vastly superior charging infrastructureMy friend and fellow CNBC compatriot Brian “Sully” Sullivan recently performed a very enlightening experiment where he went on a long-distance road trip across California in a non-Tesla EV. You can watch the short video of the results of the trip here. Needless to say, it was an eye-opener. The bottom line is, the other EV car companies have a long way to go to catch up with Tesla in regards to charging stations. See graphic of Tesla super-charging stations across North America.Tesla Super charging station mapTesla North American Supercharging Station Map (Tesla.com)With 30,000+ Superchargers, Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world. The charging stations are located on major routes and near convenient amenities. Furthermore, based on Sully’s experiment, the competition is woefully behind the curve. Nonetheless, the Biden administration has allocated billions to get EV charging infrastructure in place. Even so, based on past experience, I don’t have a lot of faith in the government’s execution. Government projects rarely come in on time and almost always over budget. So, I see Tesla’s lead in charging stations as a major competitive advantage.The bottom line is, Tesla doesn’t trade on fundamentals or valuation at all. It’s a story stock as I stated earlier. Furthermore, I have held the stock for the past 10 years in a tax advantaged account with substantial unrealized gains in the position. As my father instilled in me, I believe it’s “time in” the market, not “timing” the market, that creates true wealth. At this point in time, I have well over a million-dollar net worth based on this fact.Tesla 10-year return on investmentI made my initial investment in Tesla back in 2012 and have held through the many highs and lows over the last 10 years.Tesla 10-year chartTesla Long-term Chart (Finviz)A $1,000 investment in Tesla in 2012 would be worth over $150,000 now, that’s more than a 18,000% return. A similar investment in the S&P 500 would have given you an approximate 350% return. One of the primary reasons I sold was the fact I'm 10 years older now. At nearly, 60, my priorities have changed. I'm transitioning from a primarily growth portfolio to an income and dividend retirement portfolio.Even so, I'm not dead yet and saw an opportunity to jump back in to Tesla after a 25% drawdown. What’s more, I posit Tesla’s stock trades on the technical, not fundamental status. In fact, the stock just bounced off major support. Let me explain.Tesla technical analysisTesla’s stock fallen 25% since I took profits on my long-term position.Tesla current chartTesla Current Chart (Finviz)I sold for several reasons as I have already stated. Yet, none were related to the fact I felt Tesla didn’t still have a solid growth story going forward. The primary reason was I saw Musk’s Twitter (TWTR) buy causing a major pullback in the stock. Well, turns out I made the correct call on that. After owning a stock long term you begin to become attuned to what may or may not cause gyrations in the name. Yet, after a 25% drop and subsequent bounce off support which created a double bottom trend reversal signal, I decided to jump back in at 25% of my initial position. This is basically betting with the houses’ money for me at this point. If I hadn’t sold, I would be down 25% on the investment. It’s basically a freeroll on Tesla, that is hard to pass up. Now let’s wrap this up.The Wrap UpI believe Tesla’s first mover advantage will continue to provide a large margin of safety for investors. The massive head start regarding super charging infrastructure will be a key catalyst for the company going forward. Sure, substantial competition is on the way. That's a major reason why I took a portion of my Tesla gains and added to my position in Ford (F), which I have owned for over ten years as well. The fact of the matter is there's plenty of room for some competition with the expansive total addressable EV market.The cherry on top for me is Elon Musk. I truly believe he may be one of the smartest men alive (if not the smartest). How can he not be? Musk made the savvy move of transitioning Tesla and SpaceX headquarters to my home sate of Texas from California which will definitely improve profit margins. I could go more into detail as to why the move to Texas was extremely shrewd, but I don’t want to upset the California Tesla shareholders anymore than they already are.Final NoteThe stock market is under pressure again as I wrap up this piece. There's a fine art to catching falling knives. It entails layering into new positions over time to reduce risk. I have only bought back one quarter of my original position, for example. In extremely volatile times such as these, you will want to have plenty of dry powder if the stock continues lower.My overriding US Army 10th Mountain Winter Warrior investing motto is “patience equals profits.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031645384,"gmtCreate":1646558272650,"gmtModify":1676534139542,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031645384","repostId":"1173257697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173257697","pubTimestamp":1646530597,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173257697?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-06 09:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sony and Honda EV News: 7 Things to Know About the New Duo Making Electric Vehicles","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173257697","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Today, Sony(NYSE:SONY) and Honda(NYSE:HMC) are making some big waves in the market. Headline news th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Today, <b>Sony</b>(NYSE:<b><u>SONY</u></b>) and <b>Honda</b>(NYSE:<b><u>HMC</u></b>) are making some big waves in the market. Headline news that a Sony and Hondaelectric vehicle (EV) partnership could bring a new EV competitor to market in short order is somewhat of a surprise. Both Sony and Honda traded down today along with the broader market, despite this news.</p><p>This joint venture between the two iconic companies appears to be an interesting match. After all, Sony revealed its prototype EV, the Sony Vision S, way back in 2020. However, many investors had major questions, such as: Which company will actually be behind the manufacturing of this vehicle?</p><p>Honda, a global powerhouse in producing passenger vehicles, is certainly a compelling choice. This top auto manufacturer already has production arrangements with <b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GM</u></b>) to produce a number of EVs. However, Honda’s focus on developing its own EV production may get a boost from this partnership.</p><p>Sony’s creative focus, and ability to build products consumers like, certainly bring a lot to the table. Reportedly, the joint venture will be behind the development and sales of these EVs. Having a partner in this process appears to be something Honda was looking for to accelerate its transition to EVs.</p><p>With all that said, let’s dive into a few interesting things investors may want to know about this partnership.</p><p>What to Know About the Sony and Honda EV Partnership</p><ul><li>Both companies will be involved in the development and sales process with these “value-added electric vehicles.”</li><li>Where these EVs will be released to market remains uncertain, though there’s speculation that Europe, the U.S. and China could be on the table, in addition to Japan.</li><li>It’s expected the first vehicles will be ready for sale by 2025.</li><li>This rather fast turnaround is based on projections of success for this joint venture.</li><li>Sony brings its leadership in digital sensors and imaging technology to the table.</li><li>Additionally, Honda’s manufacturing expertise and capacity is of utmost importance to this joint venture.</li><li>This EV partnership gives investors two more competitors to consider in this fast-growing space.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sony and Honda EV News: 7 Things to Know About the New Duo Making Electric Vehicles</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSony and Honda EV News: 7 Things to Know About the New Duo Making Electric Vehicles\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-06 09:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/03/sony-and-honda-ev-news-7-things-to-know-about-the-new-duo-making-electric-vehicles/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Today, Sony(NYSE:SONY) and Honda(NYSE:HMC) are making some big waves in the market. Headline news that a Sony and Hondaelectric vehicle (EV) partnership could bring a new EV competitor to market in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/sony-and-honda-ev-news-7-things-to-know-about-the-new-duo-making-electric-vehicles/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SONY":"索尼"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/sony-and-honda-ev-news-7-things-to-know-about-the-new-duo-making-electric-vehicles/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173257697","content_text":"Today, Sony(NYSE:SONY) and Honda(NYSE:HMC) are making some big waves in the market. Headline news that a Sony and Hondaelectric vehicle (EV) partnership could bring a new EV competitor to market in short order is somewhat of a surprise. Both Sony and Honda traded down today along with the broader market, despite this news.This joint venture between the two iconic companies appears to be an interesting match. After all, Sony revealed its prototype EV, the Sony Vision S, way back in 2020. However, many investors had major questions, such as: Which company will actually be behind the manufacturing of this vehicle?Honda, a global powerhouse in producing passenger vehicles, is certainly a compelling choice. This top auto manufacturer already has production arrangements with General Motors(NYSE:GM) to produce a number of EVs. However, Honda’s focus on developing its own EV production may get a boost from this partnership.Sony’s creative focus, and ability to build products consumers like, certainly bring a lot to the table. Reportedly, the joint venture will be behind the development and sales of these EVs. Having a partner in this process appears to be something Honda was looking for to accelerate its transition to EVs.With all that said, let’s dive into a few interesting things investors may want to know about this partnership.What to Know About the Sony and Honda EV PartnershipBoth companies will be involved in the development and sales process with these “value-added electric vehicles.”Where these EVs will be released to market remains uncertain, though there’s speculation that Europe, the U.S. and China could be on the table, in addition to Japan.It’s expected the first vehicles will be ready for sale by 2025.This rather fast turnaround is based on projections of success for this joint venture.Sony brings its leadership in digital sensors and imaging technology to the table.Additionally, Honda’s manufacturing expertise and capacity is of utmost importance to this joint venture.This EV partnership gives investors two more competitors to consider in this fast-growing space.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928839798,"gmtCreate":1671237807515,"gmtModify":1676538513235,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928839798","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981575953,"gmtCreate":1666575461773,"gmtModify":1676537769692,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981575953","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913844531,"gmtCreate":1663975662323,"gmtModify":1676537371891,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913844531","repostId":"2269636494","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269636494","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663965613,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269636494?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-24 04:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Slumps As Investors Fret on Rate Hikes and Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269636494","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish rate policy to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish rate policy to curb inflation will push the American economy into recession.</p><p>The Dow narrowly avoided ending more than 20% lower than its Jan. 4 record all-time closing peak of 36,799.64 points, meaning the blue-chip index did not attain a bear market label, according to a widely used definition.</p><p>The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are already in a bear market.</p><p>However, all three indexes suffered heavy weekly declines. The Nasdaq dropped 5.03% - its second straight week falling by more than 5% - with the S&P down 4.77% and the Dow 4% lower.</p><p>After enjoying hefty gains for last two years, Wall Street has been rocked in 2022 by worries about a host of issues including the Ukraine conflict, the energy crisis in Europe, China's COVID-19 flare ups, and tightening financial conditions across the globe.</p><p>A half dozen central banks, including in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway, delivered rate hikes this week to fight inflation, but it was the Fed's signal that it expects high U.S. rates to last through 2023 that caught markets off guard.</p><p>"There had been some optimists out there saying that inflation may be coming under control but the Fed effectively told them to sit down and shut up," said David Russell, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VP..UK\">VP</a> of market intelligence at TradeStation Group.</p><p>"The Fed is trying to rip the band-aid off, trying to kill inflation while the jobs market is still strong."</p><p>Dire outlooks from a handful of companies have also added to woes in a seasonally weak period for markets. Having withdrawn its earnings forecast last week, FedEx Corp outlined on Thursday cost cuts of up to $2.7 billion after falling demand hammered first-quarter profits.</p><p>The delivery giant's stock slumped 3.4% to its lowest close since June 30, 2020.</p><p>The S&P 500's estimated earnings growth for the third quarter is at 4.6% down from 5% last week, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Goldman Sachs cut its year-end target for the benchmark S&P 500 index by about 16% to 3,600 points.</p><p>"We're having everyone reassess exactly how far the Fed will go, and that's troubling for the economy," said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p>"It's becoming the base case scenario that this economy is going to have a hard landing, and that is a terrible environment for U.S. stocks."</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41, the S&P 500 lost 64.76 points, or 1.72%, to 3,693.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to 10,867.93.</p><p>All the 11 major S&P sectors declined, led by a 6.8% slide in energy shares. Oil and gas-related stocks were pummeled by the decline in crude prices, which fell in response to concerns about demand in a recessionary environment and the strong U.S. dollar.</p><p>Oilfield services were particularly hit, with Helmerich and Payne Inc down 11.2% and Schlumberger dropping 8.4%. Halliburton Co declined 8.7%, to record its lowest finish since Jan. 3.</p><p>Rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks dropped with Alphabet Inc, Apple Inc, Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Tesla Inc all fell between 1.3% and 4.6%.</p><p>Shares of Costco Wholesale Corp dropped 4.3% after the big-box retailer reported a fall in its fourth-quarter profit margins.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a three-month high of 29.92.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.29 billion shares, compared with the 11.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 151 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 10 new highs and 823 new lows. (Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Devik Jain in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Slumps As Investors Fret on Rate Hikes and Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Slumps As Investors Fret on Rate Hikes and Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-24 04:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish rate policy to curb inflation will push the American economy into recession.</p><p>The Dow narrowly avoided ending more than 20% lower than its Jan. 4 record all-time closing peak of 36,799.64 points, meaning the blue-chip index did not attain a bear market label, according to a widely used definition.</p><p>The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are already in a bear market.</p><p>However, all three indexes suffered heavy weekly declines. The Nasdaq dropped 5.03% - its second straight week falling by more than 5% - with the S&P down 4.77% and the Dow 4% lower.</p><p>After enjoying hefty gains for last two years, Wall Street has been rocked in 2022 by worries about a host of issues including the Ukraine conflict, the energy crisis in Europe, China's COVID-19 flare ups, and tightening financial conditions across the globe.</p><p>A half dozen central banks, including in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway, delivered rate hikes this week to fight inflation, but it was the Fed's signal that it expects high U.S. rates to last through 2023 that caught markets off guard.</p><p>"There had been some optimists out there saying that inflation may be coming under control but the Fed effectively told them to sit down and shut up," said David Russell, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VP..UK\">VP</a> of market intelligence at TradeStation Group.</p><p>"The Fed is trying to rip the band-aid off, trying to kill inflation while the jobs market is still strong."</p><p>Dire outlooks from a handful of companies have also added to woes in a seasonally weak period for markets. Having withdrawn its earnings forecast last week, FedEx Corp outlined on Thursday cost cuts of up to $2.7 billion after falling demand hammered first-quarter profits.</p><p>The delivery giant's stock slumped 3.4% to its lowest close since June 30, 2020.</p><p>The S&P 500's estimated earnings growth for the third quarter is at 4.6% down from 5% last week, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Goldman Sachs cut its year-end target for the benchmark S&P 500 index by about 16% to 3,600 points.</p><p>"We're having everyone reassess exactly how far the Fed will go, and that's troubling for the economy," said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p>"It's becoming the base case scenario that this economy is going to have a hard landing, and that is a terrible environment for U.S. stocks."</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41, the S&P 500 lost 64.76 points, or 1.72%, to 3,693.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to 10,867.93.</p><p>All the 11 major S&P sectors declined, led by a 6.8% slide in energy shares. Oil and gas-related stocks were pummeled by the decline in crude prices, which fell in response to concerns about demand in a recessionary environment and the strong U.S. dollar.</p><p>Oilfield services were particularly hit, with Helmerich and Payne Inc down 11.2% and Schlumberger dropping 8.4%. Halliburton Co declined 8.7%, to record its lowest finish since Jan. 3.</p><p>Rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks dropped with Alphabet Inc, Apple Inc, Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Tesla Inc all fell between 1.3% and 4.6%.</p><p>Shares of Costco Wholesale Corp dropped 4.3% after the big-box retailer reported a fall in its fourth-quarter profit margins.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a three-month high of 29.92.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.29 billion shares, compared with the 11.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 151 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 10 new highs and 823 new lows. (Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Devik Jain in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269636494","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish rate policy to curb inflation will push the American economy into recession.The Dow narrowly avoided ending more than 20% lower than its Jan. 4 record all-time closing peak of 36,799.64 points, meaning the blue-chip index did not attain a bear market label, according to a widely used definition.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are already in a bear market.However, all three indexes suffered heavy weekly declines. The Nasdaq dropped 5.03% - its second straight week falling by more than 5% - with the S&P down 4.77% and the Dow 4% lower.After enjoying hefty gains for last two years, Wall Street has been rocked in 2022 by worries about a host of issues including the Ukraine conflict, the energy crisis in Europe, China's COVID-19 flare ups, and tightening financial conditions across the globe.A half dozen central banks, including in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway, delivered rate hikes this week to fight inflation, but it was the Fed's signal that it expects high U.S. rates to last through 2023 that caught markets off guard.\"There had been some optimists out there saying that inflation may be coming under control but the Fed effectively told them to sit down and shut up,\" said David Russell, VP of market intelligence at TradeStation Group.\"The Fed is trying to rip the band-aid off, trying to kill inflation while the jobs market is still strong.\"Dire outlooks from a handful of companies have also added to woes in a seasonally weak period for markets. Having withdrawn its earnings forecast last week, FedEx Corp outlined on Thursday cost cuts of up to $2.7 billion after falling demand hammered first-quarter profits.The delivery giant's stock slumped 3.4% to its lowest close since June 30, 2020.The S&P 500's estimated earnings growth for the third quarter is at 4.6% down from 5% last week, according to Refinitiv data.Goldman Sachs cut its year-end target for the benchmark S&P 500 index by about 16% to 3,600 points.\"We're having everyone reassess exactly how far the Fed will go, and that's troubling for the economy,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.\"It's becoming the base case scenario that this economy is going to have a hard landing, and that is a terrible environment for U.S. stocks.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41, the S&P 500 lost 64.76 points, or 1.72%, to 3,693.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to 10,867.93.All the 11 major S&P sectors declined, led by a 6.8% slide in energy shares. Oil and gas-related stocks were pummeled by the decline in crude prices, which fell in response to concerns about demand in a recessionary environment and the strong U.S. dollar.Oilfield services were particularly hit, with Helmerich and Payne Inc down 11.2% and Schlumberger dropping 8.4%. Halliburton Co declined 8.7%, to record its lowest finish since Jan. 3.Rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks dropped with Alphabet Inc, Apple Inc, Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Tesla Inc all fell between 1.3% and 4.6%.Shares of Costco Wholesale Corp dropped 4.3% after the big-box retailer reported a fall in its fourth-quarter profit margins.The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a three-month high of 29.92.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.29 billion shares, compared with the 11.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 151 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 10 new highs and 823 new lows. (Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Devik Jain in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Marguerita Choy)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921979991,"gmtCreate":1670973255613,"gmtModify":1676538468017,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921979991","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968769108,"gmtCreate":1669333605104,"gmtModify":1676538183467,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968769108","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961289961,"gmtCreate":1668985097154,"gmtModify":1676538133355,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961289961","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987594995,"gmtCreate":1667948255917,"gmtModify":1676537987251,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987594995","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984821575,"gmtCreate":1667607015098,"gmtModify":1676537942794,"author":{"id":"4109375873372020","authorId":"4109375873372020","name":"JozzoL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1ed791605b33fd9efedb18b85db99e4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984821575","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}