Tyk23 personal page - To The Moon

Tyk23

Tyk23

No personal profile

1Follow

0Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2022-08-13

I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.

The Market Is Acting Like Peak Inflation Is Over. Not So Fast

01-18

$Alibaba(BABA)$ when can i see the light?

2022-12-12

$Alibaba(BABA)$

2022-10-30

$Alibaba(BABA)$will BABA recover???

2022-10-30

$Alibaba(BABA)$

2022-10-29

$Alibaba(BABA)$

2022-10-29

Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha

3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November

2022-10-13

Tonight sea of red. No eye see

September CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High

2022-10-07

Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify another 75 basis points.Good luck all.

U.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop

2022-10-06

Yeah... green green tonight

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive

2022-10-06

Ok

Singapore Shares Edge 0.1% Lower, Focus May Be on U.S. Jobs Report

2022-10-06

Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.

Here’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut

2022-10-05

Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.

QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now

2022-10-05

[Spurting] [Spurting] [Spurting] [Spurting] [Spurting]

U.S. Stocks Open Low on Wednesday; Big Tech Stocks Fall

2022-09-26

Wah jialat.... Amzn is top 10 bearish.

Option Movers｜Volume of SPY, QQQ Rose Over 55% and 30% Separately; Bears Target Energy and Mega-Cap Stocks Like Netflix

2022-09-25

Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?

If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”

2022-09-23

Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.

The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200

2022-09-21

Fed likely will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.

Fed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row

2022-09-21

Hope so. In the red now.

The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?

2022-09-19

Ok

This is Why Nio Stock Might be in Trouble

2022-09-16

Ok

Uber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4109553842414360","uuid":"4109553842414360","gmtCreate":1646450772659,"gmtModify":1670860819371,"name":"Tyk23","pinyin":"tyk23","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":1,"tweetSize":45,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"init","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 300","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.10.09","exceedPercentage":"93.53%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"3e5a625780d3411098f7e72115f69f0a-1","templateUuid":"3e5a625780d3411098f7e72115f69f0a","name":"Total trades","description":"Cumulative for 100 trades","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f6040a65e0c6e125e4dcfe0101de45ee","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f803dba33fef1aa87b64be09f4f064ee","grayImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5dfa45d4a1e98a2d8c2e1b4253ddd916","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.08.05","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5100},{"badgeId":"4e86300037264823b9bb00ff44fc0f19-4","templateUuid":"4e86300037264823b9bb00ff44fc0f19","name":"Live trading challenger","description":"for 8 months","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e3c2981d338af1955c5a7587297c7538","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/11bbd9850f6167705ec224d6cdf66df2","grayImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c641e842de95b902f6af107359ee244","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.08.03","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5600},{"badgeId":"23f878ed27704312ae41c7f17e73b319-2","templateUuid":"23f878ed27704312ae41c7f17e73b319","name":"Annualised return","description":"Top 30%","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/50461c8139b6ca50fe2dae19aa769b25","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c8eef504853d5a517c50d7a88fa5c1e1","grayImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5273727845028b8d9b65556bdcb217b9","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.08","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5300},{"badgeId":"f00de38e20574ad1abf55a15966547c8-3","templateUuid":"f00de38e20574ad1abf55a15966547c8","name":"Average winning trade","description":"Top 20%","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1941f6be974173f1730be2ac51aabb7","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/df2d04ef8434cb0d3a8571ada46fffd0","grayImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b231d6c35e6f28d4132f36c047c50ea0","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5200},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-1","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Debut Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.73%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.04.06","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":9,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":9990591656,"gmtCreate":1660363185177,"gmtModify":1676533459854,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.","listText":"I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.","text":"I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.","images":[],"top":2,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990591656","repostId":"2259720034","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259720034","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1660351621,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259720034?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-13 08:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Market Is Acting Like Peak Inflation Is Over. Not So Fast","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259720034","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Wall Street got a dose of good news this week. It also got a little ahead of itself.Inflation slowed","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street got a dose of good news this week. It also got a little ahead of itself.</p><p>Inflation slowed in July, according to Department of Labor data released on Wednesday. The consumer price index rose 8.5% in July from a year ago. That was lower than both the 8.7% increase in prices forecast by economists and the 9.1% reading in June.</p><p>That news sent the S&amp;P 500 index up 2.1% that day and tipped the tech-weighted Nasdaq Composite into a bull market. The S&amp;P closed the week up 3.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq gained 2.9% and 3.1%, respectively.</p><p>It makes sense that investors would celebrate the easing of prices. But it may be too early to pop the Champagne -- inflation standing at 8.5% is still a long way from the Federal Reserve&#39;s target of 2%, and the Fed is likely to continue tightening until it is under control.</p><p>Even if inflation has peaked, it&#39;s likely to remain stubbornly high. &#34;One good print isn&#39;t going to change the Fed&#39;s modus operandi,&#34; Richard Bernstein, CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisors, told Barron&#39;s. &#34;The last thing they want to do is take the foot off the brake and have inflation come ripping back.&#34;</p><p>There are several reasons to believe that inflation will continue to be sticky -- even if it stays below multidecade highs. That means investors may be in for more market volatility through the end of the year. Wednesday&#39;s rally was seen largely in tech names and other more speculative assets like cryptocurrencies -- not what one would expect in a tightening cycle.</p><p>&#34;The more you think tech is going to run, the more you have to think the Fed is going to have to tighten,&#34; says Bernstein, as it indicates a speculative mind-set not consistent with a cooling economy -- one that&#39;s also seen in other economic data.</p><p>July&#39;s jobs report blew past economists&#39; expectations and showed that the demand for labor remains robust, which also means that businesses will probably have to continue to pay up to retain and attract workers. No one minds a raise until they realize the inflationary effects of wage increases leave them roughly where they started.</p><p>There&#39;s the fact that some of this apparent cooling comes as several cities in China are under Covid lockdown, meaning that there is less demand coming from the second-largest economy in the world.</p><p>It&#39;s tough to declare victory on commodity inflation with China still implementing its Covid-zero policy, Bernstein warns. &#34;If China&#39;s economy is at six or eight cylinders and commodities are lagging, we&#39;ve got something,&#34; he says. &#34;We&#39;re at one or two cylinders.&#34; Indeed, commodity prices ticked up this past week: Brent crude flirted with $100 a barrel this past week, and copper prices have been marching higher.</p><p>Given the market&#39;s tendency to pull back after rallies in volatile markets, the risk-reward for getting excited about equities now is poor, points out BTIG Chief Market Technician Jonathan Krinsky.</p><p>With markets likely to be volatile for some time as the effect of interest-rate hikes and inflation works its way through the system, bet on two things: The Fed will continue to be aggressive, and profits will decelerate. Speculative names may be tempting following any dose of good news, but investors will be better off sticking with defensive sectors that offer stable growth, such as consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare.</p><p>Those sectors may also see volatility, but demand won&#39;t dwindle dramatically in a downturn.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Market Is Acting Like Peak Inflation Is Over. Not So Fast</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Market Is Acting Like Peak Inflation Is Over. Not So Fast\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-13 08:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street got a dose of good news this week. It also got a little ahead of itself.</p><p>Inflation slowed in July, according to Department of Labor data released on Wednesday. The consumer price index rose 8.5% in July from a year ago. That was lower than both the 8.7% increase in prices forecast by economists and the 9.1% reading in June.</p><p>That news sent the S&amp;P 500 index up 2.1% that day and tipped the tech-weighted Nasdaq Composite into a bull market. The S&amp;P closed the week up 3.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq gained 2.9% and 3.1%, respectively.</p><p>It makes sense that investors would celebrate the easing of prices. But it may be too early to pop the Champagne -- inflation standing at 8.5% is still a long way from the Federal Reserve&#39;s target of 2%, and the Fed is likely to continue tightening until it is under control.</p><p>Even if inflation has peaked, it&#39;s likely to remain stubbornly high. &#34;One good print isn&#39;t going to change the Fed&#39;s modus operandi,&#34; Richard Bernstein, CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisors, told Barron&#39;s. &#34;The last thing they want to do is take the foot off the brake and have inflation come ripping back.&#34;</p><p>There are several reasons to believe that inflation will continue to be sticky -- even if it stays below multidecade highs. That means investors may be in for more market volatility through the end of the year. Wednesday&#39;s rally was seen largely in tech names and other more speculative assets like cryptocurrencies -- not what one would expect in a tightening cycle.</p><p>&#34;The more you think tech is going to run, the more you have to think the Fed is going to have to tighten,&#34; says Bernstein, as it indicates a speculative mind-set not consistent with a cooling economy -- one that&#39;s also seen in other economic data.</p><p>July&#39;s jobs report blew past economists&#39; expectations and showed that the demand for labor remains robust, which also means that businesses will probably have to continue to pay up to retain and attract workers. No one minds a raise until they realize the inflationary effects of wage increases leave them roughly where they started.</p><p>There&#39;s the fact that some of this apparent cooling comes as several cities in China are under Covid lockdown, meaning that there is less demand coming from the second-largest economy in the world.</p><p>It&#39;s tough to declare victory on commodity inflation with China still implementing its Covid-zero policy, Bernstein warns. &#34;If China&#39;s economy is at six or eight cylinders and commodities are lagging, we&#39;ve got something,&#34; he says. &#34;We&#39;re at one or two cylinders.&#34; Indeed, commodity prices ticked up this past week: Brent crude flirted with $100 a barrel this past week, and copper prices have been marching higher.</p><p>Given the market&#39;s tendency to pull back after rallies in volatile markets, the risk-reward for getting excited about equities now is poor, points out BTIG Chief Market Technician Jonathan Krinsky.</p><p>With markets likely to be volatile for some time as the effect of interest-rate hikes and inflation works its way through the system, bet on two things: The Fed will continue to be aggressive, and profits will decelerate. Speculative names may be tempting following any dose of good news, but investors will be better off sticking with defensive sectors that offer stable growth, such as consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare.</p><p>Those sectors may also see volatility, but demand won&#39;t dwindle dramatically in a downturn.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FAST":"快扣","SKIS":"Peak Resorts, Inc.","BK4104":"贸易公司与经销商","BK4567":"ESG概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259720034","content_text":"Wall Street got a dose of good news this week. It also got a little ahead of itself.Inflation slowed in July, according to Department of Labor data released on Wednesday. The consumer price index rose 8.5% in July from a year ago. That was lower than both the 8.7% increase in prices forecast by economists and the 9.1% reading in June.That news sent the S&P 500 index up 2.1% that day and tipped the tech-weighted Nasdaq Composite into a bull market. The S&P closed the week up 3.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq gained 2.9% and 3.1%, respectively.It makes sense that investors would celebrate the easing of prices. But it may be too early to pop the Champagne -- inflation standing at 8.5% is still a long way from the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, and the Fed is likely to continue tightening until it is under control.Even if inflation has peaked, it's likely to remain stubbornly high. \"One good print isn't going to change the Fed's modus operandi,\" Richard Bernstein, CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisors, told Barron's. \"The last thing they want to do is take the foot off the brake and have inflation come ripping back.\"There are several reasons to believe that inflation will continue to be sticky -- even if it stays below multidecade highs. That means investors may be in for more market volatility through the end of the year. Wednesday's rally was seen largely in tech names and other more speculative assets like cryptocurrencies -- not what one would expect in a tightening cycle.\"The more you think tech is going to run, the more you have to think the Fed is going to have to tighten,\" says Bernstein, as it indicates a speculative mind-set not consistent with a cooling economy -- one that's also seen in other economic data.July's jobs report blew past economists' expectations and showed that the demand for labor remains robust, which also means that businesses will probably have to continue to pay up to retain and attract workers. No one minds a raise until they realize the inflationary effects of wage increases leave them roughly where they started.There's the fact that some of this apparent cooling comes as several cities in China are under Covid lockdown, meaning that there is less demand coming from the second-largest economy in the world.It's tough to declare victory on commodity inflation with China still implementing its Covid-zero policy, Bernstein warns. \"If China's economy is at six or eight cylinders and commodities are lagging, we've got something,\" he says. \"We're at one or two cylinders.\" Indeed, commodity prices ticked up this past week: Brent crude flirted with $100 a barrel this past week, and copper prices have been marching higher.Given the market's tendency to pull back after rallies in volatile markets, the risk-reward for getting excited about equities now is poor, points out BTIG Chief Market Technician Jonathan Krinsky.With markets likely to be volatile for some time as the effect of interest-rate hikes and inflation works its way through the system, bet on two things: The Fed will continue to be aggressive, and profits will decelerate. Speculative names may be tempting following any dose of good news, but investors will be better off sticking with defensive sectors that offer stable growth, such as consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare.Those sectors may also see volatility, but demand won't dwindle dramatically in a downturn.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":264350473613488,"gmtCreate":1705557976991,"gmtModify":1705557981728,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$ </a> when can i see the light?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$ </a> when can i see the light?&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ when can i see the light?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f95432ba48b84be394d31fae71748ca","width":"894","height":"1508"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/264350473613488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923205851,"gmtCreate":1670858774274,"gmtModify":1676538447561,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923205851","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982371074,"gmtCreate":1667103407899,"gmtModify":1676537861831,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>will BABA recover???&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>will BABA recover???&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$will BABA recover???","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63ff787195a248c798afc138822c30df","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982371074","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982379584,"gmtCreate":1667103330848,"gmtModify":1676537861788,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982379584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982003791,"gmtCreate":1667030756813,"gmtModify":1676537852380,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982003791","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982003582,"gmtCreate":1667030665846,"gmtModify":1676537852379,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha","listText":"Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha","text":"Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982003582","repostId":"2278507483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2278507483","pubTimestamp":1667005734,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278507483?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-29 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278507483","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The Oracle of Omaha's methodology is passing the test of time after all.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett&#39;s value-based approach to picking stocks somewhat fell out of favor back in mid-2020, when growth stocks led the market out of its pandemic-prompted pullback. The market environment is more than a little rocky this year, though, and Buffett&#39;s philosophy is proving itself once again. Whereas the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has been rather deep in the red over the past year of trading, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> stock is basically breaking even.</p><p>Translation: Given enough time, the all-weather Warren Buffett way still works.</p><p>Let&#39;s take a look at three Berkshire holdings you may want to scoop up for yourself, and soon. They&#39;re mostly underperforming for now. But these stocks tend to be recession-resilient, and they could end up outperforming the broad market in the foreseeable future.</p><h2>1. Bank of America</h2><p>At first glance, there are some troubling indicators surrounding banks right now. Rising interest rates could crimp demand for loans, while a weakening economy dents borrowers&#39; ability to make loan payments. Such an environment also sours the stock market, undermining the banking industry&#39;s investment-related businesses.</p><p>But investors may be pricing in far more downside than is merited for banks at the same time they&#39;re overlooking the upsides of this situation. That&#39;s arguably what&#39;s happening with <b>Bank of America</b> shares anyway.</p><p>Yes, last quarter&#39;s results showed a sizable uptick in provisions for losses on loans that may be in the cards, and per-share earnings fell from $0.85 to only $0.81 per share. That&#39;s quite possibly the worst trouble the bank&#39;s facing though. Even the company&#39;s investment management operation more or less matched this year&#39;s second-quarter results as well as the year-ago Q3 results during the third quarter of this year despite the broader market&#39;s poor performance.</p><p>Indeed, things may even be looking up very soon for Buffett&#39;s beaten-down $133 billion Bank of America position, which accounts for more than a tenth of his total stock holdings.</p><p>Although Bank of America is likely to make far fewer loans within the next few months than it has during the past few months, the net profitability of those loans should be much greater than the bank&#39;s current loan portfolio. In a recent interview with Yahoo! Finance, CEO Brian Moynihan pointed out that continued increases in interest rates could add another billion dollars worth of profitability to the company&#39;s current bottom line. That would bolster net interest income that was already up 24% year over year last quarter.</p><p>It&#39;s a possibility, however, that&#39;s only recent begun to be reflected in the stock&#39;s rebound effort from a sell-off that dragged it 40% below February&#39;s peak price. Still down 20% year to date though, the bounce since October&#39;s low may be a sign that the market is finally starting to right-price this ticker headed into November.</p><h2>2. Coca-Cola</h2><p>The recession-related risk of losing a job may prompt some people to cancel a vacation or postpone the purchase of a new car. Economic weakness and burgeoning inflation, however, typically don&#39;t cause consumers to stop buying their favorite beverages.</p><p>Enter<b> Coca-Cola</b>, which is doing just fine at a time when most companies aren&#39;t. Last quarter&#39;s organic revenue was up 16% on a 4% increase in unit volume, meaning the beverage giant is successfully passing along its higher costs to its customers. The company also managed to gain market share in a very crowded drinks market. And, given all that its management knows right now, Coca-Cola is still looking for solid single-digit revenue and earnings growth for the upcoming year despite broad economic headwinds.</p><p>This loyalty makes sense. Coca-Cola is one of the world&#39;s most recognized and beloved brand names, and being in business for 136 years means it&#39;s had plenty of time to become a fixture of the global culture. Christmas ornaments, clothing, toys, and home decor are just some of non-beverage goods that regularly borrow the Coca-Cola logo and colors, reflecting the planet&#39;s affinity for the brand outside of beverages.</p><p>Of course, The Coca-Cola Company isn&#39;t just its namesake cola anymore. The company reaches plenty of non-soda drinkers as well; it also owns Dasani water, Gold Peak tea, and Minute Maid juices, just to name a few.</p><p>Perhaps the real upside to new investors, however, is the nuance that Buffett likes most about this particular Berkshire holding. That&#39;s the dividend -- and its reliable growth -- that keeps on coming even in lousy environments. The quarterly payout has not only been paid like clockwork for decades now, but the annual dividend payment has been upped every year for the past 60 years.  Thanks to the stock&#39;s relative weakness this year, you can step into this stock right now while its yield is an above-average 3%.</p><h2>3. American Express</h2><p>Finally, add <b>American Express</b> to your list of Buffett stocks to buy sooner than later, while you can still buy it 26% below February&#39;s peak.</p><p>On the surface, it&#39;s just another credit company. Dig deeper, though, and it&#39;s much more. Whereas competitors like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></b> and <b>Mastercard</b> provide a payments processing platform for card issuers, American Express builds and operates its own robust charge-card ecosystem. The bulk of the company&#39;s personal and business charge cards impose an annual fee, but it&#39;s a fee its customers gladly pay in exchange for incredible perks. The Platinum Card, for instance, offers access to select airport lounges, while the Gold Card offers outright credits for <b>Uber Technology</b>&#39;s ride-hailing services.</p><p>And this ecosystem of benefits is no small matter.</p><p>The company earns interest income like any other lender and collects the usual transaction fees for facilitating the purchase of goods and services. But it also generates a great deal of service and card-fee income. Roughly 10% of last quarter&#39;s top line came from cardholders&#39; payments just for the privilege of holding an American Express charge card.</p><p>Of course, the economic turbulence could rattle consumers&#39; spending and prompt some to cancel credit cards that incur an annual fee. But that&#39;s not as likely as you might suspect.</p><p>Aside from the fact that American Express cardholders really, <i>really</i> love their rewards programs -- in August, J.D. Power ranked American Express highest for customer satisfaction for a third year in a row -- credit cards aren&#39;t just for splurging anymore. They&#39;re increasingly being used as an alternative to cash to buy everyday goods. In this vein, American Express has collected nearly $38.7 billion in net revenue through the first three quarters of this year, up 30% from where it was at this time of year in pre-pandemic 2019. Analysts are calling for top-line growth of 11% next year, too, despite the brewing economic headwind. That&#39;s more than many other companies will be able to produce.</p><p>You won&#39;t want to tarry if you agree with the bigger-picture bullish premise either. While the stock&#39;s deep in the red for the year, American Express and now both Mastercard and Visa all agreed in their most recent earnings reports that consumer spending is remaining surprisingly firm. The market hasn&#39;t been pricing these stocks accordingly, but may well do that beginning in November now that all three players are singing the same chorus.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-29 09:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/3-warren-buffett-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist-in-n/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett's value-based approach to picking stocks somewhat fell out of favor back in mid-2020, when growth stocks led the market out of its pandemic-prompted pullback. The market environment is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/3-warren-buffett-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist-in-n/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","KO":"可口可乐","AXP":"美国运通"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/3-warren-buffett-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist-in-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278507483","content_text":"Warren Buffett's value-based approach to picking stocks somewhat fell out of favor back in mid-2020, when growth stocks led the market out of its pandemic-prompted pullback. The market environment is more than a little rocky this year, though, and Buffett's philosophy is proving itself once again. Whereas the S&P 500 has been rather deep in the red over the past year of trading, Berkshire Hathaway stock is basically breaking even.Translation: Given enough time, the all-weather Warren Buffett way still works.Let's take a look at three Berkshire holdings you may want to scoop up for yourself, and soon. They're mostly underperforming for now. But these stocks tend to be recession-resilient, and they could end up outperforming the broad market in the foreseeable future.1. Bank of AmericaAt first glance, there are some troubling indicators surrounding banks right now. Rising interest rates could crimp demand for loans, while a weakening economy dents borrowers' ability to make loan payments. Such an environment also sours the stock market, undermining the banking industry's investment-related businesses.But investors may be pricing in far more downside than is merited for banks at the same time they're overlooking the upsides of this situation. That's arguably what's happening with Bank of America shares anyway.Yes, last quarter's results showed a sizable uptick in provisions for losses on loans that may be in the cards, and per-share earnings fell from $0.85 to only $0.81 per share. That's quite possibly the worst trouble the bank's facing though. Even the company's investment management operation more or less matched this year's second-quarter results as well as the year-ago Q3 results during the third quarter of this year despite the broader market's poor performance.Indeed, things may even be looking up very soon for Buffett's beaten-down $133 billion Bank of America position, which accounts for more than a tenth of his total stock holdings.Although Bank of America is likely to make far fewer loans within the next few months than it has during the past few months, the net profitability of those loans should be much greater than the bank's current loan portfolio. In a recent interview with Yahoo! Finance, CEO Brian Moynihan pointed out that continued increases in interest rates could add another billion dollars worth of profitability to the company's current bottom line. That would bolster net interest income that was already up 24% year over year last quarter.It's a possibility, however, that's only recent begun to be reflected in the stock's rebound effort from a sell-off that dragged it 40% below February's peak price. Still down 20% year to date though, the bounce since October's low may be a sign that the market is finally starting to right-price this ticker headed into November.2. Coca-ColaThe recession-related risk of losing a job may prompt some people to cancel a vacation or postpone the purchase of a new car. Economic weakness and burgeoning inflation, however, typically don't cause consumers to stop buying their favorite beverages.Enter Coca-Cola, which is doing just fine at a time when most companies aren't. Last quarter's organic revenue was up 16% on a 4% increase in unit volume, meaning the beverage giant is successfully passing along its higher costs to its customers. The company also managed to gain market share in a very crowded drinks market. And, given all that its management knows right now, Coca-Cola is still looking for solid single-digit revenue and earnings growth for the upcoming year despite broad economic headwinds.This loyalty makes sense. Coca-Cola is one of the world's most recognized and beloved brand names, and being in business for 136 years means it's had plenty of time to become a fixture of the global culture. Christmas ornaments, clothing, toys, and home decor are just some of non-beverage goods that regularly borrow the Coca-Cola logo and colors, reflecting the planet's affinity for the brand outside of beverages.Of course, The Coca-Cola Company isn't just its namesake cola anymore. The company reaches plenty of non-soda drinkers as well; it also owns Dasani water, Gold Peak tea, and Minute Maid juices, just to name a few.Perhaps the real upside to new investors, however, is the nuance that Buffett likes most about this particular Berkshire holding. That's the dividend -- and its reliable growth -- that keeps on coming even in lousy environments. The quarterly payout has not only been paid like clockwork for decades now, but the annual dividend payment has been upped every year for the past 60 years.  Thanks to the stock's relative weakness this year, you can step into this stock right now while its yield is an above-average 3%.3. American ExpressFinally, add American Express to your list of Buffett stocks to buy sooner than later, while you can still buy it 26% below February's peak.On the surface, it's just another credit company. Dig deeper, though, and it's much more. Whereas competitors like Visa and Mastercard provide a payments processing platform for card issuers, American Express builds and operates its own robust charge-card ecosystem. The bulk of the company's personal and business charge cards impose an annual fee, but it's a fee its customers gladly pay in exchange for incredible perks. The Platinum Card, for instance, offers access to select airport lounges, while the Gold Card offers outright credits for Uber Technology's ride-hailing services.And this ecosystem of benefits is no small matter.The company earns interest income like any other lender and collects the usual transaction fees for facilitating the purchase of goods and services. But it also generates a great deal of service and card-fee income. Roughly 10% of last quarter's top line came from cardholders' payments just for the privilege of holding an American Express charge card.Of course, the economic turbulence could rattle consumers' spending and prompt some to cancel credit cards that incur an annual fee. But that's not as likely as you might suspect.Aside from the fact that American Express cardholders really, really love their rewards programs -- in August, J.D. Power ranked American Express highest for customer satisfaction for a third year in a row -- credit cards aren't just for splurging anymore. They're increasingly being used as an alternative to cash to buy everyday goods. In this vein, American Express has collected nearly $38.7 billion in net revenue through the first three quarters of this year, up 30% from where it was at this time of year in pre-pandemic 2019. Analysts are calling for top-line growth of 11% next year, too, despite the brewing economic headwind. That's more than many other companies will be able to produce.You won't want to tarry if you agree with the bigger-picture bullish premise either. While the stock's deep in the red for the year, American Express and now both Mastercard and Visa all agreed in their most recent earnings reports that consumer spending is remaining surprisingly firm. The market hasn't been pricing these stocks accordingly, but may well do that beginning in November now that all three players are singing the same chorus.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980348455,"gmtCreate":1665664580678,"gmtModify":1676537644977,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tonight sea of red. No eye see","listText":"Tonight sea of red. No eye see","text":"Tonight sea of red. No eye see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980348455","repostId":"1174256425","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1174256425","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1665674838,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174256425?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-13 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174256425","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year highThe numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in Septembe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year high</p><p>The numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in September and pointed to high inflation persisting through the end of the year, reinforcing the view the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates aggressively to try to curb rampant price increases.</p><p>Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase.</p><p>The yearly rate of inflation slipped to 8.2 from 8.3%. Inflation peaked at a nearly 41-year high of 9.1% in June.</p><p>In another worrisome sign, the so-called core rate of inflation that omits food and energy prices jumped a sharp 0.6%. Wall Street had forecast a 0.4% gain.</p><p>The increase in the core rate over the past year climbed to a new peak of 6.6% from 6.3%, marking the biggest gain in 40 years.</p><p>The Fed views the core rate as a more accurate measure of future inflation trends.</p><p>The cost of staples such as food, rent, medical care and new cars all rose last month.</p><p>Inflation rose an average of less than 2% a year in the decade preceding the pandemic.</p><p>Still, the higher cost of borrowing is expected to weaken the economy over the next year and pull inflation lower. Prices tend to fall when consumers spend less and demand for goods and services dry up.</p><p>The Fed may have to raise rates so high to beat back inflation, however, that it could tip the economy into recession. The annual rate of inflation is more than quadruple the pre-pandemic levels of less than 2%.</p><p>Top officials signaled they will do what it takes to beat down inflation -- even at the cost of recession -- at the Fed&#39;s last big meeting in September.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-13 23:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year high</p><p>The numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in September and pointed to high inflation persisting through the end of the year, reinforcing the view the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates aggressively to try to curb rampant price increases.</p><p>Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase.</p><p>The yearly rate of inflation slipped to 8.2 from 8.3%. Inflation peaked at a nearly 41-year high of 9.1% in June.</p><p>In another worrisome sign, the so-called core rate of inflation that omits food and energy prices jumped a sharp 0.6%. Wall Street had forecast a 0.4% gain.</p><p>The increase in the core rate over the past year climbed to a new peak of 6.6% from 6.3%, marking the biggest gain in 40 years.</p><p>The Fed views the core rate as a more accurate measure of future inflation trends.</p><p>The cost of staples such as food, rent, medical care and new cars all rose last month.</p><p>Inflation rose an average of less than 2% a year in the decade preceding the pandemic.</p><p>Still, the higher cost of borrowing is expected to weaken the economy over the next year and pull inflation lower. Prices tend to fall when consumers spend less and demand for goods and services dry up.</p><p>The Fed may have to raise rates so high to beat back inflation, however, that it could tip the economy into recession. The annual rate of inflation is more than quadruple the pre-pandemic levels of less than 2%.</p><p>Top officials signaled they will do what it takes to beat down inflation -- even at the cost of recession -- at the Fed&#39;s last big meeting in September.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174256425","content_text":"Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year highThe numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in September and pointed to high inflation persisting through the end of the year, reinforcing the view the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates aggressively to try to curb rampant price increases.Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase.The yearly rate of inflation slipped to 8.2 from 8.3%. Inflation peaked at a nearly 41-year high of 9.1% in June.In another worrisome sign, the so-called core rate of inflation that omits food and energy prices jumped a sharp 0.6%. Wall Street had forecast a 0.4% gain.The increase in the core rate over the past year climbed to a new peak of 6.6% from 6.3%, marking the biggest gain in 40 years.The Fed views the core rate as a more accurate measure of future inflation trends.The cost of staples such as food, rent, medical care and new cars all rose last month.Inflation rose an average of less than 2% a year in the decade preceding the pandemic.Still, the higher cost of borrowing is expected to weaken the economy over the next year and pull inflation lower. Prices tend to fall when consumers spend less and demand for goods and services dry up.The Fed may have to raise rates so high to beat back inflation, however, that it could tip the economy into recession. The annual rate of inflation is more than quadruple the pre-pandemic levels of less than 2%.Top officials signaled they will do what it takes to beat down inflation -- even at the cost of recession -- at the Fed's last big meeting in September.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914045343,"gmtCreate":1665146993182,"gmtModify":1676537564086,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify&nbsp;another 75 basis points.Good luck all.","listText":"Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify&nbsp;another 75 basis points.Good luck all.","text":"Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify another 75 basis points.Good luck all.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914045343","repostId":"1123258066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123258066","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665147116,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123258066?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123258066","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, pointing to a tight labor market which keeps the Federal Reserve on its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign for a while.</p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Data for August was unrevised to show 315,000 jobs added as previously reported.</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 250,000 job gains, with estimates ranging from as low as 127,000 to as high as 375,000.</p><p>The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in August.</p><p>With the labor market still tight, wage gains remained solid. Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% after a similar rise in August. That lowered the annual increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.2% in August. The Atlanta Fed&#39;s wage tracker, which controls for compositional effects like skill level, occupation and geography, is running above 6%.</p><p>The labor market has largely been resilient to the higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions, with economists saying businesses are reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>While government data this week showed job openings dropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August, there are still 4 million more vacancies than there are unemployed Americans. An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday also showed several services industries reporting labor shortages in September.</p><p>But with the headwinds from higher borrowing costs and slowing demand rising, economists expect companies will significantly pull back on hiring, with negative payrolls likely next year. Economists say businesses have been backfilling open positions as they struggled to expand headcount to match increased demand for their products, driving up job gains.</p><p>The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>September&#39;s consumer price report next Thursday will also help policymakers to assess their progress in the battle against inflation ahead of their Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Financial markets have almost priced-in a fourth 75-basis points rate increase at that meeting, according to according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Friday, as data showed bigger-than-expected job additions last month and a drop in the unemployment rate, giving more room for the Federal Reserve to stick to aggressive interest-rate hikes.</p><p>At 08:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 320 points, or 1.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 52.25 points, or 1.39%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 214.75 points, or 1.86%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-07 20:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, pointing to a tight labor market which keeps the Federal Reserve on its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign for a while.</p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Data for August was unrevised to show 315,000 jobs added as previously reported.</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 250,000 job gains, with estimates ranging from as low as 127,000 to as high as 375,000.</p><p>The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in August.</p><p>With the labor market still tight, wage gains remained solid. Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% after a similar rise in August. That lowered the annual increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.2% in August. The Atlanta Fed&#39;s wage tracker, which controls for compositional effects like skill level, occupation and geography, is running above 6%.</p><p>The labor market has largely been resilient to the higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions, with economists saying businesses are reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>While government data this week showed job openings dropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August, there are still 4 million more vacancies than there are unemployed Americans. An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday also showed several services industries reporting labor shortages in September.</p><p>But with the headwinds from higher borrowing costs and slowing demand rising, economists expect companies will significantly pull back on hiring, with negative payrolls likely next year. Economists say businesses have been backfilling open positions as they struggled to expand headcount to match increased demand for their products, driving up job gains.</p><p>The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>September&#39;s consumer price report next Thursday will also help policymakers to assess their progress in the battle against inflation ahead of their Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Financial markets have almost priced-in a fourth 75-basis points rate increase at that meeting, according to according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Friday, as data showed bigger-than-expected job additions last month and a drop in the unemployment rate, giving more room for the Federal Reserve to stick to aggressive interest-rate hikes.</p><p>At 08:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 320 points, or 1.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 52.25 points, or 1.39%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 214.75 points, or 1.86%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123258066","content_text":"WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, pointing to a tight labor market which keeps the Federal Reserve on its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign for a while.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Data for August was unrevised to show 315,000 jobs added as previously reported.Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 250,000 job gains, with estimates ranging from as low as 127,000 to as high as 375,000.The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in August.With the labor market still tight, wage gains remained solid. Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% after a similar rise in August. That lowered the annual increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.2% in August. The Atlanta Fed's wage tracker, which controls for compositional effects like skill level, occupation and geography, is running above 6%.The labor market has largely been resilient to the higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions, with economists saying businesses are reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.While government data this week showed job openings dropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August, there are still 4 million more vacancies than there are unemployed Americans. An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday also showed several services industries reporting labor shortages in September.But with the headwinds from higher borrowing costs and slowing demand rising, economists expect companies will significantly pull back on hiring, with negative payrolls likely next year. Economists say businesses have been backfilling open positions as they struggled to expand headcount to match increased demand for their products, driving up job gains.The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.September's consumer price report next Thursday will also help policymakers to assess their progress in the battle against inflation ahead of their Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.Financial markets have almost priced-in a fourth 75-basis points rate increase at that meeting, according to according to CME's FedWatch Tool.U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Friday, as data showed bigger-than-expected job additions last month and a drop in the unemployment rate, giving more room for the Federal Reserve to stick to aggressive interest-rate hikes.At 08:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 320 points, or 1.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 52.25 points, or 1.39%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 214.75 points, or 1.86%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915244767,"gmtCreate":1665059701260,"gmtModify":1676537550696,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah... green green tonight","listText":"Yeah... green green tonight","text":"Yeah... green green tonight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915244767","repostId":"1126820922","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126820922","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665059591,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126820922?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 20:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126820922","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, but the labor market remains tight even as demand for labor is cooling amid higher interest rates.</p><p>Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended Oct. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 3,000 fewer applications filed than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 203,000 applications for the latest week.</p><p>The labor market has been largely resilient, though some cracks are emerging as the Federal Reserve ramps up its monetary policy tightening campaign. The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>A separate report on Thursday from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 job cuts in September, a 46.4% jump from August. Job cuts, which were led by retailers, were up 67.6% from a year ago. But layoffs so far this year are down 21% compared to the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Employers also announced plans to hire 380,014 workers last month, the smallest September total since 2011.</p><p>The government reported on Tuesday thatjob openingsdropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August. But economists do not expect widespread layoffs, saying companies were wary of releasing their workers after difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday showed a measure of services sector employment surged in September, with several industries reporting labor shortages.</p><p>Claims data could become volatile in the coming weeks in the aftermath of hurricane Ian, which cut a swath of destruction across Florida and the Carolinas at the end of September.</p><p>The claims report showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 15,000 to 1.361 million in the week ending Sept. 24.</p><p>The claims report has no bearing on September&#39;s employment report, scheduled for release on Friday, as it falls outside the survey period. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls increased by 250,000 jobs in September. The economy created 315,000 jobs in August.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures tracking the Nasdaq index turned positive on Thursday, after data showed an increase in weekly jobless claims, in a sign that could suggest the Federal Reserve may need to ease its aggressive monetary tightening cycle.</p><p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved lower following the report, supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks including Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc.</p><p>At 8:33 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 1 points, or 0%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.3%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-06 20:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, but the labor market remains tight even as demand for labor is cooling amid higher interest rates.</p><p>Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended Oct. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 3,000 fewer applications filed than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 203,000 applications for the latest week.</p><p>The labor market has been largely resilient, though some cracks are emerging as the Federal Reserve ramps up its monetary policy tightening campaign. The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>A separate report on Thursday from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 job cuts in September, a 46.4% jump from August. Job cuts, which were led by retailers, were up 67.6% from a year ago. But layoffs so far this year are down 21% compared to the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Employers also announced plans to hire 380,014 workers last month, the smallest September total since 2011.</p><p>The government reported on Tuesday thatjob openingsdropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August. But economists do not expect widespread layoffs, saying companies were wary of releasing their workers after difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday showed a measure of services sector employment surged in September, with several industries reporting labor shortages.</p><p>Claims data could become volatile in the coming weeks in the aftermath of hurricane Ian, which cut a swath of destruction across Florida and the Carolinas at the end of September.</p><p>The claims report showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 15,000 to 1.361 million in the week ending Sept. 24.</p><p>The claims report has no bearing on September&#39;s employment report, scheduled for release on Friday, as it falls outside the survey period. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls increased by 250,000 jobs in September. The economy created 315,000 jobs in August.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures tracking the Nasdaq index turned positive on Thursday, after data showed an increase in weekly jobless claims, in a sign that could suggest the Federal Reserve may need to ease its aggressive monetary tightening cycle.</p><p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved lower following the report, supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks including Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc.</p><p>At 8:33 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 1 points, or 0%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.3%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126820922","content_text":"WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, but the labor market remains tight even as demand for labor is cooling amid higher interest rates.Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended Oct. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 3,000 fewer applications filed than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 203,000 applications for the latest week.The labor market has been largely resilient, though some cracks are emerging as the Federal Reserve ramps up its monetary policy tightening campaign. The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.A separate report on Thursday from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 job cuts in September, a 46.4% jump from August. Job cuts, which were led by retailers, were up 67.6% from a year ago. But layoffs so far this year are down 21% compared to the first nine months of 2021.Employers also announced plans to hire 380,014 workers last month, the smallest September total since 2011.The government reported on Tuesday thatjob openingsdropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August. But economists do not expect widespread layoffs, saying companies were wary of releasing their workers after difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday showed a measure of services sector employment surged in September, with several industries reporting labor shortages.Claims data could become volatile in the coming weeks in the aftermath of hurricane Ian, which cut a swath of destruction across Florida and the Carolinas at the end of September.The claims report showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 15,000 to 1.361 million in the week ending Sept. 24.The claims report has no bearing on September's employment report, scheduled for release on Friday, as it falls outside the survey period. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls increased by 250,000 jobs in September. The economy created 315,000 jobs in August.U.S. stock index futures tracking the Nasdaq index turned positive on Thursday, after data showed an increase in weekly jobless claims, in a sign that could suggest the Federal Reserve may need to ease its aggressive monetary tightening cycle.The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved lower following the report, supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks including Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc.At 8:33 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 1 points, or 0%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915251838,"gmtCreate":1665055397624,"gmtModify":1676537550051,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915251838","repostId":"2273387010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273387010","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1665050693,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273387010?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 18:04","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Shares Edge 0.1% Lower, Focus May Be on U.S. Jobs Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273387010","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Singapore's FTSE Straits Times Index closed 0.1% lower at 3151.56, following weakness in U.S. shares","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Singapore&#39;s FTSE Straits Times Index closed 0.1% lower at 3151.56, following weakness in U.S. shares overnight. Asian markets will likely focus on the release of the U.S. jobs report Friday amid mixed cues from U.S. stock futures, says IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong in a research report. </p><p>Decliners included CapitaLand Investment, which was down 1.7%; UOL Group, which fell 1.4%; SingTel, which closed 1.2% lower and Nio, which fell 5.8%. </p><p>Gainers included Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, which added 5.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f691ac1b89b4ec0baed1877a67dcaa3a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"729\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Shares Edge 0.1% Lower, Focus May Be on U.S. Jobs Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Shares Edge 0.1% Lower, Focus May Be on U.S. Jobs Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-06 18:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Singapore&#39;s FTSE Straits Times Index closed 0.1% lower at 3151.56, following weakness in U.S. shares overnight. Asian markets will likely focus on the release of the U.S. jobs report Friday amid mixed cues from U.S. stock futures, says IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong in a research report. </p><p>Decliners included CapitaLand Investment, which was down 1.7%; UOL Group, which fell 1.4%; SingTel, which closed 1.2% lower and Nio, which fell 5.8%. </p><p>Gainers included Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, which added 5.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f691ac1b89b4ec0baed1877a67dcaa3a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"729\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273387010","content_text":"Singapore's FTSE Straits Times Index closed 0.1% lower at 3151.56, following weakness in U.S. shares overnight. Asian markets will likely focus on the release of the U.S. jobs report Friday amid mixed cues from U.S. stock futures, says IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong in a research report. Decliners included CapitaLand Investment, which was down 1.7%; UOL Group, which fell 1.4%; SingTel, which closed 1.2% lower and Nio, which fell 5.8%. Gainers included Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, which added 5.8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915268607,"gmtCreate":1665049589709,"gmtModify":1676537549395,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.","listText":"Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.","text":"Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915268607","repostId":"2273878036","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273878036","pubTimestamp":1665048117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273878036?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273878036","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100RBC says actual reduction likely to be a","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100</li><li>RBC says actual reduction likely to be about 1 million barrels</li></ul><p>The OPEC+ alliance agreed to its biggest production cut since the start of the pandemic in Vienna on Wednesday, a move that drew a swift rebuke from the US and prompted Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to increase its price forecast for global benchmark Brent crude this quarter.</p><p>Here’s what leading analysts have to say about the oil market after the group pledged to slash daily output by 2 million barrels from November:</p><h2>Morgan Stanley</h2><p>“Brent will find its way to $100 a barrel quicker than we estimated before” after OPEC+’s move, Morgan Stanley analysts including Martijn Rats said in a note. The reduction risks tightening markets significantly, although much depends on how Russian oil output fares once the European Union’s embargo comes into force, they said. The bank increased its Brent forecast $5 to $100 for the first three months of 2023, while keeping its outlook unchanged for the next three quarters.</p><h2>Goldman Sachs</h2><p>“All the developments we have seen on the supply side at this point very much sets the stage for what we believe will be higher prices into the end of this year,” Damien Courvalin, head of energy research, told Bloomberg TV. The bank increased its fourth-quarter estimate for Brent by $10 to $110 a barrel.</p><h2>UBS Group AG</h2><p>The oil market is expected to tighten further and Brent will advance above $100 over the coming quarters, analysts including Giovanni Staunovo said in a note. The OPEC+ cut will combine with the European ban on Russian crude imports, the likely end of OECD releases of strategic oil reserves, and higher demand from gas-to-oil switching this winter to squeeze the market.</p><h2>ING Groep NV</h2><p>The move is enough to dramatically change the balance for next year, pushing the market into a deficit for the whole of 2023, Warren Patterson, Singapore-based head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV, said in an interview. There is clear upside to the bank’s Brent forecast of $97 a barrel for next year, he said. However, further releases from US strategic reserves are seen as possible, although they would probably have only limited impact.</p><h2>Citigroup Inc.</h2><p>While the reduction is large on paper, the effective cut will be much smaller because the group is already failing to reach their quotas, analysts including Francesco Martoccia and Ed Morse said in a note. The move could backfire on OPEC+ if it hits economic activity and oil demand further, they added.</p><h2>RBC Capital Markets</h2><p>The actual cut will likely be about 1 million barrels a day, with Saudi Arabia accounting for more than half, analysts including Helima Croft said in a note. While the White House signaled there could be further releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, there’s unlikely to be another blockbuster release in the near term, they said.</p><h2>SPI Asset Management</h2><p>“The oil complex is busy gauging the complexities of the actual cut while factoring in the misalignments between the production and quota,” Managing Partner Stephen Innes said in a note. Brent crude could push back above $100 in the next few quarters, he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 17:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/here-s-what-goldman-to-ubs-say-about-oil-after-big-opec-cut?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100RBC says actual reduction likely to be about 1 million barrelsThe OPEC+ alliance agreed to its biggest production cut since the start of the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/here-s-what-goldman-to-ubs-say-about-oil-after-big-opec-cut?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/here-s-what-goldman-to-ubs-say-about-oil-after-big-opec-cut?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273878036","content_text":"Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100RBC says actual reduction likely to be about 1 million barrelsThe OPEC+ alliance agreed to its biggest production cut since the start of the pandemic in Vienna on Wednesday, a move that drew a swift rebuke from the US and prompted Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to increase its price forecast for global benchmark Brent crude this quarter.Here’s what leading analysts have to say about the oil market after the group pledged to slash daily output by 2 million barrels from November:Morgan Stanley“Brent will find its way to $100 a barrel quicker than we estimated before” after OPEC+’s move, Morgan Stanley analysts including Martijn Rats said in a note. The reduction risks tightening markets significantly, although much depends on how Russian oil output fares once the European Union’s embargo comes into force, they said. The bank increased its Brent forecast $5 to $100 for the first three months of 2023, while keeping its outlook unchanged for the next three quarters.Goldman Sachs“All the developments we have seen on the supply side at this point very much sets the stage for what we believe will be higher prices into the end of this year,” Damien Courvalin, head of energy research, told Bloomberg TV. The bank increased its fourth-quarter estimate for Brent by $10 to $110 a barrel.UBS Group AGThe oil market is expected to tighten further and Brent will advance above $100 over the coming quarters, analysts including Giovanni Staunovo said in a note. The OPEC+ cut will combine with the European ban on Russian crude imports, the likely end of OECD releases of strategic oil reserves, and higher demand from gas-to-oil switching this winter to squeeze the market.ING Groep NVThe move is enough to dramatically change the balance for next year, pushing the market into a deficit for the whole of 2023, Warren Patterson, Singapore-based head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV, said in an interview. There is clear upside to the bank’s Brent forecast of $97 a barrel for next year, he said. However, further releases from US strategic reserves are seen as possible, although they would probably have only limited impact.Citigroup Inc.While the reduction is large on paper, the effective cut will be much smaller because the group is already failing to reach their quotas, analysts including Francesco Martoccia and Ed Morse said in a note. The move could backfire on OPEC+ if it hits economic activity and oil demand further, they added.RBC Capital MarketsThe actual cut will likely be about 1 million barrels a day, with Saudi Arabia accounting for more than half, analysts including Helima Croft said in a note. While the White House signaled there could be further releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, there’s unlikely to be another blockbuster release in the near term, they said.SPI Asset Management“The oil complex is busy gauging the complexities of the actual cut while factoring in the misalignments between the production and quota,” Managing Partner Stephen Innes said in a note. Brent crude could push back above $100 in the next few quarters, he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915117082,"gmtCreate":1664982161746,"gmtModify":1676537539179,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.&nbsp;","listText":"Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.&nbsp;","text":"Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915117082","repostId":"1137334453","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137334453","pubTimestamp":1664982019,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137334453?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137334453","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>The market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.</li><li>Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media&#39;s bearish calls.</li><li>We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.</li><li>We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.</li><li>This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac443e0ce1bd43b0a4d2729fe65b6d7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>24K-Production</span></p><p>Thesis</p><p>This is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.</p><p>Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June&#39;s lows, creating massive panic.</p><p>As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week&#39;s re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.</p><p>Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.</p><p>While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.</p><p>We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.</p><p>Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their Conviction</p><p>In our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:</p><blockquote>[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it&#39;s even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It&#39;s incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)</blockquote><p>Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been &#34;a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market&#39;s more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can&#39;t ignore.&#34; He highlighted:</p><blockquote>Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - Insider</blockquote><p>Even market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a &#34;rolling/growth recession&#34; instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been &#34;too optimistic.&#34; He articulated:</p><blockquote>The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn&#39;t currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&amp;P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)</blockquote><p>The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it&#39;s necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.</p><p>Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be Forming</p><p>Investors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.</p><p>But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don&#39;t think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let&#39;s see.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35c4858ac6a8891490febd96e54cbbd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.</p><p>We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May&#39;s highs. As a result, it created a &#34;higher-high&#34; structure, giving these investors&#39; confidence that June&#39;s bottom could have marked the market&#39;s ultimate lows.</p><p>Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20ea4352b6cd926d55d0a59dbcf6ad4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.</p><p>Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers&#39; resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.</p><p>Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.</p><p>However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.</p><p>Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate Bottom</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cafca6b8573804703e65bdffc2141e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market&#39;s bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet&#39;s famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:</p><blockquote>What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYT</blockquote><p>Actually, Buffett&#39;s timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/012ad6c1d1f14aef4b8fc52f68592736\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August&#39;s bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.</p><p>Takeaway</p><p>We have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.</p><p>Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.</p><p>The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.</p><p>We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we <i>reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.</i></p><p><i>This article was written by JR Research.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137334453","content_text":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media's bearish calls.We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.24K-ProductionThesisThis is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June's lows, creating massive panic.As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week's re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their ConvictionIn our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it's even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It's incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan's (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been \"a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market's more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can't ignore.\" He highlighted:Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - InsiderEven market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a \"rolling/growth recession\" instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been \"too optimistic.\" He articulated:The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn't currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it's necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be FormingInvestors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don't think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let's see.QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May's highs. As a result, it created a \"higher-high\" structure, giving these investors' confidence that June's bottom could have marked the market's ultimate lows.Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers' resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate BottomSPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market's bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet's famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYTActually, Buffett's timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August's bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.TakeawayWe have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.This article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915114586,"gmtCreate":1664982042046,"gmtModify":1676537539170,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"[Spurting] [Spurting] [Spurting] [Spurting] [Spurting]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915114586","repostId":"1162542830","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162542830","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664976608,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162542830?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Open Low on Wednesday; Big Tech Stocks Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162542830","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, putting Wall Street on track to give back some of its sharp gains fro","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, putting Wall Street on track to give back some of its sharp gains from the last two sessions.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 332 points, or 1.1%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dipped 1.1% and 1.3%, respectively.</p><p>Treasury yields rebounded Wednesday, weighing on stocks. The 10-year rate traded 10 basis points higher at 3.713% after briefly dipping below 3.6% in the previous session.</p><p>Payroll services firm ADP issued its jobs report, which showed the addition of 208,000 jobs in September, which is better than expected by Dow Jones estimates. Traders are still looking ahead to Friday&#39;s release of the nonfarm payrolls report.</p><p> Big tech stocks fall in morning trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b1550c8524a5d21f07b8af08faf348\" tg-width=\"454\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Open Low on Wednesday; Big Tech Stocks Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Open Low on Wednesday; Big Tech Stocks Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-05 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, putting Wall Street on track to give back some of its sharp gains from the last two sessions.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 332 points, or 1.1%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dipped 1.1% and 1.3%, respectively.</p><p>Treasury yields rebounded Wednesday, weighing on stocks. The 10-year rate traded 10 basis points higher at 3.713% after briefly dipping below 3.6% in the previous session.</p><p>Payroll services firm ADP issued its jobs report, which showed the addition of 208,000 jobs in September, which is better than expected by Dow Jones estimates. Traders are still looking ahead to Friday&#39;s release of the nonfarm payrolls report.</p><p> Big tech stocks fall in morning trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b1550c8524a5d21f07b8af08faf348\" tg-width=\"454\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162542830","content_text":"U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, putting Wall Street on track to give back some of its sharp gains from the last two sessions.The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 332 points, or 1.1%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dipped 1.1% and 1.3%, respectively.Treasury yields rebounded Wednesday, weighing on stocks. The 10-year rate traded 10 basis points higher at 3.713% after briefly dipping below 3.6% in the previous session.Payroll services firm ADP issued its jobs report, which showed the addition of 208,000 jobs in September, which is better than expected by Dow Jones estimates. Traders are still looking ahead to Friday's release of the nonfarm payrolls report. Big tech stocks fall in morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911844356,"gmtCreate":1664181599876,"gmtModify":1676537404610,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wah jialat.... Amzn is top 10 bearish.&nbsp;","listText":"Wah jialat.... Amzn is top 10 bearish.&nbsp;","text":"Wah jialat.... Amzn is top 10 bearish.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911844356","repostId":"1191644853","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1191644853","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664179671,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191644853?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Volume of SPY, QQQ Rose Over 55% and 30% Separately; Bears Target Energy and Mega-Cap Stocks Like Netflix","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191644853","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41. The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.72% to 3,693.23, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.8% to 10,867.93.</p><h2>Options Broad View</h2><p>A total volume of 54,312,173 contracts were traded last Friday, up 32.85% from the previous day. Call options account for 45% of total options trades.</p><p>There are 13.24 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF Trust</a></b> options traded last Friday. Call options account for 38% in overall option trades.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p><b>Top 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL,AMZN, VIX, HYG, NVDA, XLE</b></p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 3.68 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading last Friday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> surged 59.52% and 30.96%, respectively, from the previous day.</p><p>Netflix slid 4.49% last Friday, its principal accounting officer Ken Barker has submitted his resignation effective Oct. 7, and it named Chief Financial Officer Spencer Neumann as principal accounting officer while it conducts a search for a replacement for Barker. Moreover, it is changing up the compensation for comedy specials on its streaming platform, moving to a licensing model as it seeks to cut costs and put more of the onus on the comedians themselves.</p><p>There are 341,200 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for50% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $235 strike call option expiring September 23, with 21,730 contracts trading last Friday.</p><p>Other Mega-cap stocks like Tesla and Amazon tumbled 4.59% and 3.01% respectively.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07126c7c3f02a5e1c32f05b682e6e368\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"931\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade APP</span></p>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22dd8cd8b7089481efd346015c05c4f8\" tg-width=\"1016\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLE\">Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund</a></b> crashed 6.9% last Friday, funds dropped their long and short positions in energy stocks, bonds and futures in the week ending Sept. 16 &#34;more than any other time in recent months&#34;, and more than any other sector of the economy in the last 20 days, according to notes by Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan respectively.</p><p>There are 675,600 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for23% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $70 strike put option expiring September 30, with 47,786 contracts trading last Friday.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCU\">Docusign</a></b> slid 2.98% last Friday, it named Allan Thygesen as its new CEO effective October 10. Thygesen had been president of Google&#39;s Americas &amp; Global Partners, where he led the company&#39;s $100B advertising business across North and South America.</p><p>Thygesen replaces Mary Wilderotter, who has been serving as DocuSign&#39;s interim CEO since Dan Springer resigned from the job in June following a weaker-than-expected quarterly report and outlook. Wilderotter will remain as chairman of DocuSign&#39;s board of directors.</p><p>There are 41,360 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for 38% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $53 strike put option expiring September 23, with 930 contracts trading last Friday.</p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p><b>Top 10 bullish stocks: SPY, IWM, QQQ, FXI, AAL, F, NKLA, AAPL, VOD, CHPT</b></p><p><b>Top 10 bearish stocks: HYG, TSLA, XLF, MPW, MPW, MSFT, EWC, UVXY, AMZN, ARCC, BAC</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409fd6cfaee26ce497eab5023b3f087e\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Volume of SPY, QQQ Rose Over 55% and 30% Separately; Bears Target Energy and Mega-Cap Stocks Like Netflix</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Volume of SPY, QQQ Rose Over 55% and 30% Separately; Bears Target Energy and Mega-Cap Stocks Like Netflix\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-26 16:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41. The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.72% to 3,693.23, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.8% to 10,867.93.</p><h2>Options Broad View</h2><p>A total volume of 54,312,173 contracts were traded last Friday, up 32.85% from the previous day. Call options account for 45% of total options trades.</p><p>There are 13.24 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF Trust</a></b> options traded last Friday. Call options account for 38% in overall option trades.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p><b>Top 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL,AMZN, VIX, HYG, NVDA, XLE</b></p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 3.68 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading last Friday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> surged 59.52% and 30.96%, respectively, from the previous day.</p><p>Netflix slid 4.49% last Friday, its principal accounting officer Ken Barker has submitted his resignation effective Oct. 7, and it named Chief Financial Officer Spencer Neumann as principal accounting officer while it conducts a search for a replacement for Barker. Moreover, it is changing up the compensation for comedy specials on its streaming platform, moving to a licensing model as it seeks to cut costs and put more of the onus on the comedians themselves.</p><p>There are 341,200 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for50% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $235 strike call option expiring September 23, with 21,730 contracts trading last Friday.</p><p>Other Mega-cap stocks like Tesla and Amazon tumbled 4.59% and 3.01% respectively.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07126c7c3f02a5e1c32f05b682e6e368\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"931\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade APP</span></p>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22dd8cd8b7089481efd346015c05c4f8\" tg-width=\"1016\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLE\">Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund</a></b> crashed 6.9% last Friday, funds dropped their long and short positions in energy stocks, bonds and futures in the week ending Sept. 16 &#34;more than any other time in recent months&#34;, and more than any other sector of the economy in the last 20 days, according to notes by Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan respectively.</p><p>There are 675,600 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for23% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $70 strike put option expiring September 30, with 47,786 contracts trading last Friday.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCU\">Docusign</a></b> slid 2.98% last Friday, it named Allan Thygesen as its new CEO effective October 10. Thygesen had been president of Google&#39;s Americas &amp; Global Partners, where he led the company&#39;s $100B advertising business across North and South America.</p><p>Thygesen replaces Mary Wilderotter, who has been serving as DocuSign&#39;s interim CEO since Dan Springer resigned from the job in June following a weaker-than-expected quarterly report and outlook. Wilderotter will remain as chairman of DocuSign&#39;s board of directors.</p><p>There are 41,360 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for 38% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $53 strike put option expiring September 23, with 930 contracts trading last Friday.</p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p><b>Top 10 bullish stocks: SPY, IWM, QQQ, FXI, AAL, F, NKLA, AAPL, VOD, CHPT</b></p><p><b>Top 10 bearish stocks: HYG, TSLA, XLF, MPW, MPW, MSFT, EWC, UVXY, AMZN, ARCC, BAC</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409fd6cfaee26ce497eab5023b3f087e\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XLE":"SPDR能源指数ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","NFLX":"奈飞","DOCU":"Docusign","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191644853","content_text":"U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41. The S&P 500 slid 1.72% to 3,693.23, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.8% to 10,867.93.Options Broad ViewA total volume of 54,312,173 contracts were traded last Friday, up 32.85% from the previous day. Call options account for 45% of total options trades.There are 13.24 million SPDR S&P500 ETF Trust options traded last Friday. Call options account for 38% in overall option trades.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL,AMZN, VIX, HYG, NVDA, XLEOptions related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 3.68 million Invesco QQQ Trust options contracts trading last Friday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust and Invesco QQQ Trust surged 59.52% and 30.96%, respectively, from the previous day.Netflix slid 4.49% last Friday, its principal accounting officer Ken Barker has submitted his resignation effective Oct. 7, and it named Chief Financial Officer Spencer Neumann as principal accounting officer while it conducts a search for a replacement for Barker. Moreover, it is changing up the compensation for comedy specials on its streaming platform, moving to a licensing model as it seeks to cut costs and put more of the onus on the comedians themselves.There are 341,200 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for50% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $235 strike call option expiring September 23, with 21,730 contracts trading last Friday.Other Mega-cap stocks like Tesla and Amazon tumbled 4.59% and 3.01% respectively.Source: Tiger Trade APPUnusual Options ActivitySource: Market ChameleonEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fund crashed 6.9% last Friday, funds dropped their long and short positions in energy stocks, bonds and futures in the week ending Sept. 16 \"more than any other time in recent months\", and more than any other sector of the economy in the last 20 days, according to notes by Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan respectively.There are 675,600 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for23% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $70 strike put option expiring September 30, with 47,786 contracts trading last Friday.Docusign slid 2.98% last Friday, it named Allan Thygesen as its new CEO effective October 10. Thygesen had been president of Google's Americas & Global Partners, where he led the company's $100B advertising business across North and South America.Thygesen replaces Mary Wilderotter, who has been serving as DocuSign's interim CEO since Dan Springer resigned from the job in June following a weaker-than-expected quarterly report and outlook. Wilderotter will remain as chairman of DocuSign's board of directors.There are 41,360 option contracts traded last Friday. Call options account for 38% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $53 strike put option expiring September 23, with 930 contracts trading last Friday.TOP Bullish & Bearish Single StocksThis report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.Top 10 bullish stocks: SPY, IWM, QQQ, FXI, AAL, F, NKLA, AAPL, VOD, CHPTTop 10 bearish stocks: HYG, TSLA, XLF, MPW, MPW, MSFT, EWC, UVXY, AMZN, ARCC, BACSource: Market Chameleon","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911060959,"gmtCreate":1664088185972,"gmtModify":1676537389349,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?","listText":"Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?","text":"Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911060959","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913807853,"gmtCreate":1663947301073,"gmtModify":1676537369125,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.&nbsp;","listText":"Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.&nbsp;","text":"Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913807853","repostId":"1177261377","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177261377","pubTimestamp":1663946501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177261377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177261377","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is bas","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.</li><li>This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.</li><li>While history doesn&#39;t repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it &#34;rhyme&#34; with the past.</li><li>The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.</li><li>There&#39;s always a chance for a &#34;save&#34; - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.</li></ul><p>Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&amp;P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this &#34;new era&#34; of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&amp;P 500&#39;s ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.</p><p><b>Current Evidence</b></p><p>In this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I&#39;ve seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here&#39;s one to explain it to you.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea920e21231810c68359aaca3af08d36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>What you don&#39;t want to see if you are looking for &#34;the bottom&#34; (TC2000)</p><p>This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&amp;P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we&#39;ve come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.</p><p>What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a &#34;quick fix&#34; to the current stock market malaise.</p><p><b>That Stubborn Trendline</b></p><p>Since Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&amp;P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That&#39;s the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, &#34;failure.&#34; The S&amp;P 500&#39;s price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.</p><p>Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&amp;P 500&#39;s all-time high level around 4,800.</p><p><b>Those Darn Red Arrows</b></p><p>A more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we&#39;ve had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that &#34;the bottom was in.&#34;</p><p>Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That&#39;s a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&amp;P 500 is down - a lot.</p><p><b>Watch Out for the Cross</b></p><p>I&#39;ll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I&#39;ve seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market &#34;truth teller.&#34;</p><p>What the PPO on the S&amp;P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com Era</b></p><p>At this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&amp;P 500 in this bear cycle: &#34;No way - really?!&#34; Here&#39;s some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here&#39;s what that looked like.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dc0e2b19c0fdb9c7a513fddf091eff0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)</p><p>However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% &#34;flash crash.&#34; It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn&#39;t last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.</p><p>Here&#39;s what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&amp;P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn&#39;t really matter. Price rules.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e5b1c78e195588102f84a74a3bee661\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&amp;P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&amp;P 500&#39;s most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: Global Financial Crisis</b></p><p>If you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.</p><p>And then, it happened again. Here&#39;s the S&amp;P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dbb9483c84007e214ce0d1b40345d24\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)</p><p>Once again, there was the initial drop, the &#34;it&#39;s only a flesh wound&#34; (with apologies to &#34;Monty Python&#34;) phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78eee7337e28dd849990a96ddc9e04a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&amp;P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&amp;P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn&#39;t seem so unlikely.</p><p><b>Observations and Conclusions</b></p><p>Stock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.</p><p>Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.</p><p><b>The Good News for Bulls (for Now)</b></p><p>That doesn&#39;t mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed&#39;s magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&amp;P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.</p><p>But if you are &#34;counting&#34; on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&amp;P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.</p><p>Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&amp;P 500&#39;s chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.</p><p><b>What to Do if I&#39;m Right</b></p><p>As my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor&#39;s top priority.</p><p><b>The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in Portfolios</b></p><p>I truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don&#39;t know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds&#39; value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177261377","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While history doesn't repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it \"rhyme\" with the past.The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.There's always a chance for a \"save\" - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this \"new era\" of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&P 500's ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.Current EvidenceIn this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I've seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here's one to explain it to you.What you don't want to see if you are looking for \"the bottom\" (TC2000)This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we've come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a \"quick fix\" to the current stock market malaise.That Stubborn TrendlineSince Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That's the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, \"failure.\" The S&P 500's price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&P 500's all-time high level around 4,800.Those Darn Red ArrowsA more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we've had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that \"the bottom was in.\"Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That's a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&P 500 is down - a lot.Watch Out for the CrossI'll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I've seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market \"truth teller.\"What the PPO on the S&P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com EraAt this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&P 500 in this bear cycle: \"No way - really?!\" Here's some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.The S&P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here's what that looked like.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% \"flash crash.\" It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn't last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.Here's what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn't really matter. Price rules.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&P 500's most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.Historical Evidence: Global Financial CrisisIf you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.And then, it happened again. Here's the S&P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.S&P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)Once again, there was the initial drop, the \"it's only a flesh wound\" (with apologies to \"Monty Python\") phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.S&P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn't seem so unlikely.Observations and ConclusionsStock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.The Good News for Bulls (for Now)That doesn't mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed's magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.But if you are \"counting\" on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&P 500's chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.What to Do if I'm RightAs my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor's top priority.The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in PortfoliosI truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don't know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds' value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919124281,"gmtCreate":1663758267943,"gmtModify":1676537330491,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fed likely&nbsp;will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.","listText":"Fed likely&nbsp;will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.","text":"Fed likely will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919124281","repostId":"1189488149","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1189488149","pubTimestamp":1663773184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189488149?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189488149","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this afternoon as the central bank continues to try to tame multi-decade highs in inflation.</p><p>That would put the federal funds rate — the central bank’s benchmark borrowing rate — between 3.0% to 3.25%, up from the current range of 2.25% to 2.5%. This would bring the fed funds rate to its highest level since 2008.</p><p>Three 75-basis-point rate hikes in a row would be unprecedented in the era of the Fed explicitly targeting the federal funds rate to conduct monetary policy since the late 1980s. Before then, the Fed used a different mechanism for conducting monetary policy.</p><p>The Fed’s expected decision comes as inflation continues to surprise to the upside. A hot inflation report earlier this month showed consumer prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, increased in August from July even as the overall pace of inflation year-over-year slowed slightly. Overall, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 8.3% in August from the same month a year ago, down from 8.5% in July and from 9.1% in June, which was the highest level of inflation in 40 years.</p><p>The longer this period of high inflation continues, the greater the chances that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched, making it more difficult for the Fed to achieve price stability.</p><p>&#34;I think the August inflation report served as a wake-up call to investors that core inflation is not going to come down rapidly. It&#39;s going to be sticky for a while,&#34; Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citi U.S. Wealth Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. &#34;But I think the bigger question for investors right now is what is the terminal Fed funds rate? What is the rate at which they will go on pause?&#34;</p><p>The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.</p><p>Investors will be looking for clarity on a few key questions, including: How far and how quickly does the Fed intend to continue raising rates to quell inflation? How long does the Fed intend to keep rates at relatively high levels? And given that Fed Chair Powell has expressed that bringing down inflation would require some economic “pain,” how much pain is the Fed prepared to withstand — particularly if tightened financial conditions tilt the U.S. economy into a recession?</p><p>The market is still pricing in significant odds of rate cuts in 2023 despite Powell&#39;s remarks that history cautions against prematurely loosening policy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-meeting-rates-093718367.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this afternoon as the central bank continues to try to tame multi-decade highs in inflation.That would ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-meeting-rates-093718367.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-meeting-rates-093718367.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189488149","content_text":"The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this afternoon as the central bank continues to try to tame multi-decade highs in inflation.That would put the federal funds rate — the central bank’s benchmark borrowing rate — between 3.0% to 3.25%, up from the current range of 2.25% to 2.5%. This would bring the fed funds rate to its highest level since 2008.Three 75-basis-point rate hikes in a row would be unprecedented in the era of the Fed explicitly targeting the federal funds rate to conduct monetary policy since the late 1980s. Before then, the Fed used a different mechanism for conducting monetary policy.The Fed’s expected decision comes as inflation continues to surprise to the upside. A hot inflation report earlier this month showed consumer prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, increased in August from July even as the overall pace of inflation year-over-year slowed slightly. Overall, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 8.3% in August from the same month a year ago, down from 8.5% in July and from 9.1% in June, which was the highest level of inflation in 40 years.The longer this period of high inflation continues, the greater the chances that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched, making it more difficult for the Fed to achieve price stability.\"I think the August inflation report served as a wake-up call to investors that core inflation is not going to come down rapidly. It's going to be sticky for a while,\" Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citi U.S. Wealth Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. \"But I think the bigger question for investors right now is what is the terminal Fed funds rate? What is the rate at which they will go on pause?\"The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.Investors will be looking for clarity on a few key questions, including: How far and how quickly does the Fed intend to continue raising rates to quell inflation? How long does the Fed intend to keep rates at relatively high levels? And given that Fed Chair Powell has expressed that bringing down inflation would require some economic “pain,” how much pain is the Fed prepared to withstand — particularly if tightened financial conditions tilt the U.S. economy into a recession?The market is still pricing in significant odds of rate cuts in 2023 despite Powell's remarks that history cautions against prematurely loosening policy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4101545765383330","authorId":"4101545765383330","name":"Azerone.Kee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d39387dc5f4bc64e4716bd64e398a9e2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4101545765383330","authorIdStr":"4101545765383330"},"content":"as long as the conflicts among the nations still exist, the world trade will still be in trouble, and the economy problem surely will not disappear.","text":"as long as the conflicts among the nations still exist, the world trade will still be in trouble, and the economy problem surely will not disappear.","html":"as long as the conflicts among the nations still exist, the world trade will still be in trouble, and the economy problem surely will not disappear."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919356323,"gmtCreate":1663737214162,"gmtModify":1676537326651,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope so. In the red now.","listText":"Hope so. In the red now.","text":"Hope so. In the red now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919356323","repostId":"2269909745","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2269909745","pubTimestamp":1663717151,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269909745?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269909745","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the F","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decision</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac59bb2b41ad9f787574330ce399463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>STEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>With the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are expected to announce a 0.75 percentage point rate hike, the Fed decision on Wednesday may once again be followed by stock-market gains, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.</p><p>According to Dow Jones Market Data, the previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 — March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 — the S&amp;P 500 rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, respectively.</p><p>“Wednesdays of Fed meeting weeks this year show the highest daily S&amp;P returns of 1.8 percent on average for the 5-day period, and the best win rate as well,” the Wall Street veteran wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p>“No guarantees that this will happen again this Wednesday, of course, but we would not be surprised to see traders front-run this fact tomorrow,” Colas noted.</p><p>Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&amp;P 500 mired in a bear market and down more than 19% for the year to date. Indeed, the Fed’s aggressive tightening pace as it attempts to rein in stubborn inflation gets much of the blame for the market’s 2022 downturn.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5339984a27d1eb5cdaf1c7f000c78dc6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SOURCE: RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p>U.S. stocks started the week higher with the S&amp;P 500 closing up by 0.7% on Monday. However, stocks came under pressure on Tuesday as investors held firm on expectation of another aggressive rate hike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 313 points lower, or 1%. The S&amp;P 500 shed 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.9%.</p><p>According to Colas, the phenomenon of a “Fed Drift”, which sees that equities have tended to rally into and through FOMC meetings and hold their gains the day after, no longer works.</p><p>The New York Federal Reserve Bank studied data from 1994 to 2011, which showed the S&amp;P 500 index normally rose 24 hours before the scheduled FOMC announcements. It then drifted sharply higher in the morning of the announcement, and was on average flat, both in the hours immediately after the decision and on the following day.</p><p>Markets are pricing in a hike of 75 basis points, with futures showing a 16% chance of a full percentage point increase, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Investors expect the Fed will not only set a new Fed funds rate but will give them a glimpse to how high it will go in the future.</p><p>According to Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, the company foresees an additional 75 basis points before year-end, which will be combined at the November and December meetings and bring the policy rate to 4%.</p><p>“First, the action taken thus far has already impacted the more interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy, especially the housing market,” Adam wrote in a client note dated Sept.16. “Second, although the easing of inflation has been more stubborn than expected, there are a number of real-time indicators that suggest it will cool further in the months ahead (e.g., promotional activity, declining ocean freight rates, lower commodity prices).”</p><p>That is why Adam contends that the worst of this bear market is “likely being behind us” as inflation will moderate over the next year, but the path is “unlikely to be quick or smooth”.</p><p>“Over the coming weeks, the bear market will likely take time to digest the inflationary data flow with back-and-forth trading,” Adam wrote. “With this in mind, we recommend not chasing rallies and using pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate favored stocks for the next bull market.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269909745","content_text":"Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are expected to announce a 0.75 percentage point rate hike, the Fed decision on Wednesday may once again be followed by stock-market gains, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.According to Dow Jones Market Data, the previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 — March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 — the S&P 500 rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, respectively.“Wednesdays of Fed meeting weeks this year show the highest daily S&P returns of 1.8 percent on average for the 5-day period, and the best win rate as well,” the Wall Street veteran wrote in a Tuesday note.“No guarantees that this will happen again this Wednesday, of course, but we would not be surprised to see traders front-run this fact tomorrow,” Colas noted.Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&P 500 mired in a bear market and down more than 19% for the year to date. Indeed, the Fed’s aggressive tightening pace as it attempts to rein in stubborn inflation gets much of the blame for the market’s 2022 downturn.SOURCE: RAYMOND JAMESU.S. stocks started the week higher with the S&P 500 closing up by 0.7% on Monday. However, stocks came under pressure on Tuesday as investors held firm on expectation of another aggressive rate hike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 313 points lower, or 1%. The S&P 500 shed 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.9%.According to Colas, the phenomenon of a “Fed Drift”, which sees that equities have tended to rally into and through FOMC meetings and hold their gains the day after, no longer works.The New York Federal Reserve Bank studied data from 1994 to 2011, which showed the S&P 500 index normally rose 24 hours before the scheduled FOMC announcements. It then drifted sharply higher in the morning of the announcement, and was on average flat, both in the hours immediately after the decision and on the following day.Markets are pricing in a hike of 75 basis points, with futures showing a 16% chance of a full percentage point increase, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Investors expect the Fed will not only set a new Fed funds rate but will give them a glimpse to how high it will go in the future.According to Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, the company foresees an additional 75 basis points before year-end, which will be combined at the November and December meetings and bring the policy rate to 4%.“First, the action taken thus far has already impacted the more interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy, especially the housing market,” Adam wrote in a client note dated Sept.16. “Second, although the easing of inflation has been more stubborn than expected, there are a number of real-time indicators that suggest it will cool further in the months ahead (e.g., promotional activity, declining ocean freight rates, lower commodity prices).”That is why Adam contends that the worst of this bear market is “likely being behind us” as inflation will moderate over the next year, but the path is “unlikely to be quick or smooth”.“Over the coming weeks, the bear market will likely take time to digest the inflationary data flow with back-and-forth trading,” Adam wrote. “With this in mind, we recommend not chasing rallies and using pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate favored stocks for the next bull market.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3553658931361428","authorId":"3553658931361428","name":"yaozong7","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db82c58fe151c6056334e54bf8ceeee","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553658931361428","authorIdStr":"3553658931361428"},"content":"don't fight the fed!","text":"don't fight the fed!","html":"don't fight the fed!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910943311,"gmtCreate":1663550612933,"gmtModify":1676537287970,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910943311","repostId":"1175857733","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175857733","pubTimestamp":1663546305,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175857733?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 08:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This is Why Nio Stock Might be in Trouble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175857733","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsWhile electric vehicles were all the rage, the sector recently came under fire, main","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile electric vehicles were all the rage, the sector recently came under fire, mainly due to economic reasons. However, for Chinese EV upstart Nio, consumer cultural factors could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/cream-not-rising-to-top-for-ev-maker-nio-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This is Why Nio Stock Might be in Trouble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis is Why Nio Stock Might be in Trouble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 08:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/cream-not-rising-to-top-for-ev-maker-nio-stock><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile electric vehicles were all the rage, the sector recently came under fire, mainly due to economic reasons. However, for Chinese EV upstart Nio, consumer cultural factors could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/cream-not-rising-to-top-for-ev-maker-nio-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/cream-not-rising-to-top-for-ev-maker-nio-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175857733","content_text":"Story HighlightsWhile electric vehicles were all the rage, the sector recently came under fire, mainly due to economic reasons. However, for Chinese EV upstart Nio, consumer cultural factors could also impose a significant headwind on NIO stock.As the various consequences of climate change and the economic burden of rising gasoline prices coalesced, electric vehicles became attractive. Under this framework, relative EV upstarts like China-based Nio (NYSE:NIO) enjoyed substantial rewards. However, as the global consumer market enters a different paradigm, expensive vehicle brands without established pedigree may become a liability. I am bearish on NIO stock.Credit belongs to TipRanks contributor Steve Anderson for recognizing the signs of a sector slowdown. While the big Chinese EV manufacturers like Nio, Xpeng (NYSE:XPEV), and Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) disclosed delivery numbers, none of them stood out for providing substantively encouraging figures. While year-over-year comparisons pinged positively, regional economic data actually presented a dark cloud over the proceedings.Sure enough, when Nio released its financial disclosure for the second quarter of 2022, management raised some eyebrows. Nio incurred an earnings loss of $0.19 per share, in contrast to the loss of $0.06 in the year-ago quarter. Notably, the red ink expanded despite the EV maker improving deliveries.Still, NIO stock managed to swing higher following the Q2 report. In particular, market observers liked that the EV specialist managed to post revenue generated from vehicle sales of $1.43 billion, up 21% on a year-over-year basis.Additionally, management upgraded its outlook for Q3, expecting deliveries ranging between 31,000 to 33,000 vehicles. This would imply a year-over-year increase of between 26.8% and 35%. Also, total revenue could come in between $1.92 billion and $2.03 billion, representing a growth of 31% to 38.7%.Despite some solid performances in Q2, the underlying projections for NIO stock may be too optimistic, given current circumstances.Economic Woes Will Likely Impede NIO StockWhile many, if not most, market analysts love to tout the ambitious aphorism that electric vehicles are the future, the reality is this future depends on economic cooperation. If outside circumstances negatively affect consumer sentiment, it won’t matter how clean and efficient EVs are. Everything comes down to the bottom line. In that sense, China’s economic woes represent arguably the biggest concern for NIO stock.In June of this year, TipRanks reporter Amit Singhnoted a deceleration in China’s economy. More recently, a September article byBloombergwarned that the world’s second-largest economic power is bracing for a slowdown that could be even worse than 2020. Of course, that’s an alarming headline considering the catastrophic COVID-19 pandemic.If that wasn’t troubling enough for NIO stock, The Wall Street Journal reported in August that China’s central bank was no longer interested in implementing the aggressive measures it deployed in the past to bolster economic performances. Now, Beijing’s concerns about rising debt and diminishing returns from spending killed the appetite for dovish monetary policies.Therefore, the optimistic projections about NIO stock run into a credibility problem. If multiple high-level sources are sounding the alarm bells for China’s economic viability, the idea that EVs – which tend to be pricier than their combustion-powered counterparts – will somehow thrive seems unrealistic.Consumer Culture Differences Could Hurt Nio StockIn late July, I mentioned that in the casino industry, eastern and western gamblers approach the sector differently. If the east/west cultural divide imparts significant differences in revenue allocation for gambling centers, it stands to reason that such a divide can also impact other consumer segments. Specifically, Chinese EV investments like NIO stock can end up hurting because they command a premium but without a justifying heritage.Though some circumstances are changing, for the most part, Chinese consumers tend to gravitate toward American chain restaurants because of the status symbol effect. While getting a burger and fries is a nothing-burger in America, in China, such a practice was exotic for decades.Now, consider the elements involved in an EV purchase. In the U.S., the average price of a new EV stands at nearly $63,000. In relation to the median U.S. household income, an average EV represents about 90% of median earnings.Here, Chinese and American consumers may feel the same. If they’re going to fork over that much of their earnings for a vehicle, it should mean something. Otherwise, it might be better to simply get something cheaper.However, the problem for NIO stock is that the underlying company has not yet proven that it can sustainably deliver cheap EVs. With a retained earnings loss of over $8.7 billion at the end of 2021, Nio can’t sustainably deliver expensive EVs to market.What is a Good Price for NIO Stock?Turning to Wall Street, NIO stock has a Strong Buy consensus rating based on nine Buys assigned in the past three months. The average NIO price target is $31.84, implying 52.1% upside potential.Takeaway: Consumer Sentiment is Fading and Will Pressure EV SalesWhen NIO stock first materialized, the upside potential stemmed from the underlying massive consumer base and broader interest in EV integration. However, with the global economic paradigm shifting rapidly, consumer sentiment will likely fade, presenting significant challenges for Nio and many other EV manufacturers.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937089120,"gmtCreate":1663321522561,"gmtModify":1676537251901,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937089120","repostId":"1190095898","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190095898","pubTimestamp":1663317624,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190095898?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-16 16:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190095898","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li><b>Uber</b> slid over 5% in premarket trading, it has shut down internal Slack messaging as it investigates a cybersecurity breach by a hacker claiming to have accessed the company’s data.</li></ul><ul><li><b>FedEx Corp</b> issued preliminary results. The company said it now expects first-quarter revenue of approximately $23.2 billion and first-quarter adjusted earnings to be around $3.44 per share. FedEx has withdrawn its fiscal year 2023 earnings forecast. The company expects business conditions to weaken further in the second quarter. FedEx shares dipped nearly 20% in premarket trading.</li><li><b>Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</b> and <b>Tyme Technologies, Inc.</b> announced stockholder approval of the merger agreement. Syros also announced a 1-for-10 reverse stock split will be effective Sept. 16. </li></ul><ul><li><b>Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.</b> reported the sale of its Chinese manufacturing facilities to Yuhan Optoelectronic Technology for $150 million. </li><li><b>Texas Instruments Incorporated</b> announced plans to increase its quarterly dividend from $1.15 to $1.24 per share. The company’s board also authorized a repurchase of an additional $15 billion of its common stock.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-16 16:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/09/28893196/fedex-texas-instruments-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-friday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Uber slid over 5% in premarket trading, it has shut down internal Slack...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/09/28893196/fedex-texas-instruments-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-friday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SYRS":"Syros Pharmaceuticals Inc.","TYME":"Tyme Technologies, Inc.","AAOI":"Applied Optoelectronics Inc.","UBER":"优步","TXN":"德州仪器","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/09/28893196/fedex-texas-instruments-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-friday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190095898","content_text":"With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Uber slid over 5% in premarket trading, it has shut down internal Slack messaging as it investigates a cybersecurity breach by a hacker claiming to have accessed the company’s data.FedEx Corp issued preliminary results. The company said it now expects first-quarter revenue of approximately $23.2 billion and first-quarter adjusted earnings to be around $3.44 per share. FedEx has withdrawn its fiscal year 2023 earnings forecast. The company expects business conditions to weaken further in the second quarter. FedEx shares dipped nearly 20% in premarket trading.Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Tyme Technologies, Inc. announced stockholder approval of the merger agreement. Syros also announced a 1-for-10 reverse stock split will be effective Sept. 16. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. reported the sale of its Chinese manufacturing facilities to Yuhan Optoelectronic Technology for $150 million. Texas Instruments Incorporated announced plans to increase its quarterly dividend from $1.15 to $1.24 per share. The company’s board also authorized a repurchase of an additional $15 billion of its common stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9915117082,"gmtCreate":1664982161746,"gmtModify":1676537539179,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.&nbsp;","listText":"Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.&nbsp;","text":"Hope so. Job mkt still very strong.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915117082","repostId":"1137334453","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137334453","pubTimestamp":1664982019,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137334453?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137334453","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>The market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.</li><li>Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media&#39;s bearish calls.</li><li>We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.</li><li>We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.</li><li>This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac443e0ce1bd43b0a4d2729fe65b6d7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>24K-Production</span></p><p>Thesis</p><p>This is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.</p><p>Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June&#39;s lows, creating massive panic.</p><p>As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week&#39;s re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.</p><p>Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.</p><p>While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.</p><p>We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.</p><p>Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their Conviction</p><p>In our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:</p><blockquote>[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it&#39;s even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It&#39;s incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)</blockquote><p>Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been &#34;a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market&#39;s more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can&#39;t ignore.&#34; He highlighted:</p><blockquote>Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - Insider</blockquote><p>Even market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a &#34;rolling/growth recession&#34; instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been &#34;too optimistic.&#34; He articulated:</p><blockquote>The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn&#39;t currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&amp;P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)</blockquote><p>The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it&#39;s necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.</p><p>Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be Forming</p><p>Investors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.</p><p>But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don&#39;t think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let&#39;s see.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35c4858ac6a8891490febd96e54cbbd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.</p><p>We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May&#39;s highs. As a result, it created a &#34;higher-high&#34; structure, giving these investors&#39; confidence that June&#39;s bottom could have marked the market&#39;s ultimate lows.</p><p>Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20ea4352b6cd926d55d0a59dbcf6ad4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.</p><p>Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers&#39; resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.</p><p>Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.</p><p>However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.</p><p>Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate Bottom</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cafca6b8573804703e65bdffc2141e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market&#39;s bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet&#39;s famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:</p><blockquote>What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYT</blockquote><p>Actually, Buffett&#39;s timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/012ad6c1d1f14aef4b8fc52f68592736\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August&#39;s bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.</p><p>Takeaway</p><p>We have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.</p><p>Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.</p><p>The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.</p><p>We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we <i>reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.</i></p><p><i>This article was written by JR Research.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137334453","content_text":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media's bearish calls.We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.24K-ProductionThesisThis is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June's lows, creating massive panic.As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week's re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their ConvictionIn our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it's even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It's incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan's (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been \"a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market's more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can't ignore.\" He highlighted:Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - InsiderEven market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a \"rolling/growth recession\" instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been \"too optimistic.\" He articulated:The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn't currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it's necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be FormingInvestors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don't think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let's see.QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May's highs. As a result, it created a \"higher-high\" structure, giving these investors' confidence that June's bottom could have marked the market's ultimate lows.Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers' resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate BottomSPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market's bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet's famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYTActually, Buffett's timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August's bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.TakeawayWe have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.This article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982003582,"gmtCreate":1667030665846,"gmtModify":1676537852379,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha","listText":"Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha","text":"Maybe just buy Berkshire B shares. Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982003582","repostId":"2278507483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919124281,"gmtCreate":1663758267943,"gmtModify":1676537330491,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fed likely&nbsp;will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.","listText":"Fed likely&nbsp;will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.","text":"Fed likely will go 75bsp later as market predicted. But if the next inflation still bad, i wont be surprise it will be 100bsp in the next rate hike. Brace for impact.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919124281","repostId":"1189488149","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1189488149","pubTimestamp":1663773184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189488149?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189488149","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this afternoon as the central bank continues to try to tame multi-decade highs in inflation.</p><p>That would put the federal funds rate — the central bank’s benchmark borrowing rate — between 3.0% to 3.25%, up from the current range of 2.25% to 2.5%. This would bring the fed funds rate to its highest level since 2008.</p><p>Three 75-basis-point rate hikes in a row would be unprecedented in the era of the Fed explicitly targeting the federal funds rate to conduct monetary policy since the late 1980s. Before then, the Fed used a different mechanism for conducting monetary policy.</p><p>The Fed’s expected decision comes as inflation continues to surprise to the upside. A hot inflation report earlier this month showed consumer prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, increased in August from July even as the overall pace of inflation year-over-year slowed slightly. Overall, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 8.3% in August from the same month a year ago, down from 8.5% in July and from 9.1% in June, which was the highest level of inflation in 40 years.</p><p>The longer this period of high inflation continues, the greater the chances that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched, making it more difficult for the Fed to achieve price stability.</p><p>&#34;I think the August inflation report served as a wake-up call to investors that core inflation is not going to come down rapidly. It&#39;s going to be sticky for a while,&#34; Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citi U.S. Wealth Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. &#34;But I think the bigger question for investors right now is what is the terminal Fed funds rate? What is the rate at which they will go on pause?&#34;</p><p>The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.</p><p>Investors will be looking for clarity on a few key questions, including: How far and how quickly does the Fed intend to continue raising rates to quell inflation? How long does the Fed intend to keep rates at relatively high levels? And given that Fed Chair Powell has expressed that bringing down inflation would require some economic “pain,” how much pain is the Fed prepared to withstand — particularly if tightened financial conditions tilt the U.S. economy into a recession?</p><p>The market is still pricing in significant odds of rate cuts in 2023 despite Powell&#39;s remarks that history cautions against prematurely loosening policy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Expected to Raise Rates By 75 Basis Points for Third Time in a Row\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-meeting-rates-093718367.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this afternoon as the central bank continues to try to tame multi-decade highs in inflation.That would ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-meeting-rates-093718367.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-meeting-rates-093718367.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189488149","content_text":"The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third consecutive time this afternoon as the central bank continues to try to tame multi-decade highs in inflation.That would put the federal funds rate — the central bank’s benchmark borrowing rate — between 3.0% to 3.25%, up from the current range of 2.25% to 2.5%. This would bring the fed funds rate to its highest level since 2008.Three 75-basis-point rate hikes in a row would be unprecedented in the era of the Fed explicitly targeting the federal funds rate to conduct monetary policy since the late 1980s. Before then, the Fed used a different mechanism for conducting monetary policy.The Fed’s expected decision comes as inflation continues to surprise to the upside. A hot inflation report earlier this month showed consumer prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, increased in August from July even as the overall pace of inflation year-over-year slowed slightly. Overall, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 8.3% in August from the same month a year ago, down from 8.5% in July and from 9.1% in June, which was the highest level of inflation in 40 years.The longer this period of high inflation continues, the greater the chances that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched, making it more difficult for the Fed to achieve price stability.\"I think the August inflation report served as a wake-up call to investors that core inflation is not going to come down rapidly. It's going to be sticky for a while,\" Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citi U.S. Wealth Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. \"But I think the bigger question for investors right now is what is the terminal Fed funds rate? What is the rate at which they will go on pause?\"The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.Investors will be looking for clarity on a few key questions, including: How far and how quickly does the Fed intend to continue raising rates to quell inflation? How long does the Fed intend to keep rates at relatively high levels? And given that Fed Chair Powell has expressed that bringing down inflation would require some economic “pain,” how much pain is the Fed prepared to withstand — particularly if tightened financial conditions tilt the U.S. economy into a recession?The market is still pricing in significant odds of rate cuts in 2023 despite Powell's remarks that history cautions against prematurely loosening policy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4101545765383330","authorId":"4101545765383330","name":"Azerone.Kee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d39387dc5f4bc64e4716bd64e398a9e2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4101545765383330","authorIdStr":"4101545765383330"},"content":"as long as the conflicts among the nations still exist, the world trade will still be in trouble, and the economy problem surely will not disappear.","text":"as long as the conflicts among the nations still exist, the world trade will still be in trouble, and the economy problem surely will not disappear.","html":"as long as the conflicts among the nations still exist, the world trade will still be in trouble, and the economy problem surely will not disappear."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936360854,"gmtCreate":1662708061878,"gmtModify":1676537124217,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news. Cut unnecessary costs, poise for profitability. Can buy now.","listText":"Good news. Cut unnecessary costs, poise for profitability. Can buy now.","text":"Good news. Cut unnecessary costs, poise for profitability. Can buy now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936360854","repostId":"2266962648","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266962648","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1662706495,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266962648?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 14:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea’s Shopee Shuts Operations in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Mexico -Sources","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266962648","media":"Reuters","summary":"Sept 8 (Reuters) - Sea Ltd's e-commerce arm told employees on Thursday it was shutting local operati","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Sept 8 (Reuters) - Sea Ltd&#39;s e-commerce arm told employees on Thursday it was shutting local operations in Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and leaving Argentina entirely, according to three sources with direct knowledge of the matter and an internal email.</p><p>The Singapore-based company will maintain cross-border operations in the first three markets but will cut the majority of its teams in the countries, affecting dozens of employees, the sources said. Brazil, in which Shopee has become a dominant player, will not be affected.</p><p>In an internal email seen by Reuters, Shopee Chief Executive Chris Feng wrote to employees that “in light of the current elevated macro uncertainty,” the company needed to “focus resources on core operations&#34; and had decided to concentrate on a cross-border model in Mexico, Colombia and Chile.</p><p>Shopee confirmed later in a statement to Reuters it would operate a &#34;cross-border model in Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and close in Argentina.&#34;</p><p>Sea saw its market value soar to more than $200 billion last October as its gaming and e-commerce units surged in popularity during the pandemic, but its shares have tumbled since then and are now worth just $27 billion.</p><p>Sea’s leadership have given internal directives to Shopee managers to achieve profitability in its key markets in Southeast Asia by 2023, a separate source told Reuters.</p><p>&#34;Shopee has been around for seven to eight years ... so now they have to focus their effort on turning a profit at its core markets,&#34; said Ke Yan, lead analyst at Singapore-based DZT Research.</p><p>Shopee announced in March it was shutting down nascent operations in India and France.</p><p>In June, Shopee cut jobs across its e-commerce and food delivery divisions, according to sources, both in Southeast Asia and its Latin American operations. Shopee has also rescinded dozens of job offers in the past two weeks, Reuters reported earlier this week.</p><p>Staff at Sea’s gaming livestream app, which is part of Sea&#39;s gaming unit Garena, were told they would be let go, separate sources told Reuters, adding that projects at Sea&#39;s development unit were also shut down.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea’s Shopee Shuts Operations in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Mexico -Sources</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea’s Shopee Shuts Operations in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Mexico -Sources\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-09 14:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Sept 8 (Reuters) - Sea Ltd&#39;s e-commerce arm told employees on Thursday it was shutting local operations in Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and leaving Argentina entirely, according to three sources with direct knowledge of the matter and an internal email.</p><p>The Singapore-based company will maintain cross-border operations in the first three markets but will cut the majority of its teams in the countries, affecting dozens of employees, the sources said. Brazil, in which Shopee has become a dominant player, will not be affected.</p><p>In an internal email seen by Reuters, Shopee Chief Executive Chris Feng wrote to employees that “in light of the current elevated macro uncertainty,” the company needed to “focus resources on core operations&#34; and had decided to concentrate on a cross-border model in Mexico, Colombia and Chile.</p><p>Shopee confirmed later in a statement to Reuters it would operate a &#34;cross-border model in Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and close in Argentina.&#34;</p><p>Sea saw its market value soar to more than $200 billion last October as its gaming and e-commerce units surged in popularity during the pandemic, but its shares have tumbled since then and are now worth just $27 billion.</p><p>Sea’s leadership have given internal directives to Shopee managers to achieve profitability in its key markets in Southeast Asia by 2023, a separate source told Reuters.</p><p>&#34;Shopee has been around for seven to eight years ... so now they have to focus their effort on turning a profit at its core markets,&#34; said Ke Yan, lead analyst at Singapore-based DZT Research.</p><p>Shopee announced in March it was shutting down nascent operations in India and France.</p><p>In June, Shopee cut jobs across its e-commerce and food delivery divisions, according to sources, both in Southeast Asia and its Latin American operations. Shopee has also rescinded dozens of job offers in the past two weeks, Reuters reported earlier this week.</p><p>Staff at Sea’s gaming livestream app, which is part of Sea&#39;s gaming unit Garena, were told they would be let go, separate sources told Reuters, adding that projects at Sea&#39;s development unit were also shut down.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266962648","content_text":"Sept 8 (Reuters) - Sea Ltd's e-commerce arm told employees on Thursday it was shutting local operations in Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and leaving Argentina entirely, according to three sources with direct knowledge of the matter and an internal email.The Singapore-based company will maintain cross-border operations in the first three markets but will cut the majority of its teams in the countries, affecting dozens of employees, the sources said. Brazil, in which Shopee has become a dominant player, will not be affected.In an internal email seen by Reuters, Shopee Chief Executive Chris Feng wrote to employees that “in light of the current elevated macro uncertainty,” the company needed to “focus resources on core operations\" and had decided to concentrate on a cross-border model in Mexico, Colombia and Chile.Shopee confirmed later in a statement to Reuters it would operate a \"cross-border model in Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and close in Argentina.\"Sea saw its market value soar to more than $200 billion last October as its gaming and e-commerce units surged in popularity during the pandemic, but its shares have tumbled since then and are now worth just $27 billion.Sea’s leadership have given internal directives to Shopee managers to achieve profitability in its key markets in Southeast Asia by 2023, a separate source told Reuters.\"Shopee has been around for seven to eight years ... so now they have to focus their effort on turning a profit at its core markets,\" said Ke Yan, lead analyst at Singapore-based DZT Research.Shopee announced in March it was shutting down nascent operations in India and France.In June, Shopee cut jobs across its e-commerce and food delivery divisions, according to sources, both in Southeast Asia and its Latin American operations. Shopee has also rescinded dozens of job offers in the past two weeks, Reuters reported earlier this week.Staff at Sea’s gaming livestream app, which is part of Sea's gaming unit Garena, were told they would be let go, separate sources told Reuters, adding that projects at Sea's development unit were also shut down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913807853,"gmtCreate":1663947301073,"gmtModify":1676537369125,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.&nbsp;","listText":"Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.&nbsp;","text":"Good analysis. What a tumultuous time we are in now, nothing but bad news everywhere.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913807853","repostId":"1177261377","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177261377","pubTimestamp":1663946501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177261377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177261377","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is bas","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.</li><li>This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.</li><li>While history doesn&#39;t repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it &#34;rhyme&#34; with the past.</li><li>The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.</li><li>There&#39;s always a chance for a &#34;save&#34; - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.</li></ul><p>Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&amp;P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this &#34;new era&#34; of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&amp;P 500&#39;s ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.</p><p><b>Current Evidence</b></p><p>In this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I&#39;ve seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here&#39;s one to explain it to you.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea920e21231810c68359aaca3af08d36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>What you don&#39;t want to see if you are looking for &#34;the bottom&#34; (TC2000)</p><p>This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&amp;P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we&#39;ve come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.</p><p>What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a &#34;quick fix&#34; to the current stock market malaise.</p><p><b>That Stubborn Trendline</b></p><p>Since Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&amp;P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That&#39;s the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, &#34;failure.&#34; The S&amp;P 500&#39;s price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.</p><p>Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&amp;P 500&#39;s all-time high level around 4,800.</p><p><b>Those Darn Red Arrows</b></p><p>A more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we&#39;ve had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that &#34;the bottom was in.&#34;</p><p>Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That&#39;s a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&amp;P 500 is down - a lot.</p><p><b>Watch Out for the Cross</b></p><p>I&#39;ll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I&#39;ve seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market &#34;truth teller.&#34;</p><p>What the PPO on the S&amp;P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com Era</b></p><p>At this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&amp;P 500 in this bear cycle: &#34;No way - really?!&#34; Here&#39;s some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here&#39;s what that looked like.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dc0e2b19c0fdb9c7a513fddf091eff0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)</p><p>However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% &#34;flash crash.&#34; It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn&#39;t last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.</p><p>Here&#39;s what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&amp;P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn&#39;t really matter. Price rules.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e5b1c78e195588102f84a74a3bee661\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&amp;P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&amp;P 500&#39;s most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: Global Financial Crisis</b></p><p>If you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.</p><p>And then, it happened again. Here&#39;s the S&amp;P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dbb9483c84007e214ce0d1b40345d24\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)</p><p>Once again, there was the initial drop, the &#34;it&#39;s only a flesh wound&#34; (with apologies to &#34;Monty Python&#34;) phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78eee7337e28dd849990a96ddc9e04a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&amp;P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&amp;P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn&#39;t seem so unlikely.</p><p><b>Observations and Conclusions</b></p><p>Stock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.</p><p>Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.</p><p><b>The Good News for Bulls (for Now)</b></p><p>That doesn&#39;t mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed&#39;s magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&amp;P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.</p><p>But if you are &#34;counting&#34; on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&amp;P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.</p><p>Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&amp;P 500&#39;s chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.</p><p><b>What to Do if I&#39;m Right</b></p><p>As my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor&#39;s top priority.</p><p><b>The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in Portfolios</b></p><p>I truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don&#39;t know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds&#39; value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177261377","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While history doesn't repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it \"rhyme\" with the past.The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.There's always a chance for a \"save\" - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this \"new era\" of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&P 500's ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.Current EvidenceIn this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I've seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here's one to explain it to you.What you don't want to see if you are looking for \"the bottom\" (TC2000)This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we've come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a \"quick fix\" to the current stock market malaise.That Stubborn TrendlineSince Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That's the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, \"failure.\" The S&P 500's price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&P 500's all-time high level around 4,800.Those Darn Red ArrowsA more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we've had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that \"the bottom was in.\"Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That's a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&P 500 is down - a lot.Watch Out for the CrossI'll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I've seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market \"truth teller.\"What the PPO on the S&P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com EraAt this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&P 500 in this bear cycle: \"No way - really?!\" Here's some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.The S&P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here's what that looked like.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% \"flash crash.\" It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn't last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.Here's what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn't really matter. Price rules.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&P 500's most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.Historical Evidence: Global Financial CrisisIf you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.And then, it happened again. Here's the S&P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.S&P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)Once again, there was the initial drop, the \"it's only a flesh wound\" (with apologies to \"Monty Python\") phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.S&P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn't seem so unlikely.Observations and ConclusionsStock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.The Good News for Bulls (for Now)That doesn't mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed's magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.But if you are \"counting\" on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&P 500's chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.What to Do if I'm RightAs my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor's top priority.The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in PortfoliosI truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don't know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds' value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072652704,"gmtCreate":1658028448508,"gmtModify":1676536095921,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another too big to fail case study. 1 person manipulate the whole nickel market. Shrew and sly...","listText":"Another too big to fail case study. 1 person manipulate the whole nickel market. Shrew and sly...","text":"Another too big to fail case study. 1 person manipulate the whole nickel market. Shrew and sly...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072652704","repostId":"2249540083","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2249540083","pubTimestamp":1658021139,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249540083?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-17 09:25","market":"uk","language":"en","title":"Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249540083","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda&#39;s giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.</p><p>Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang&#39;s company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.</p><p>But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: &#34;I&#39;m confident that we will overcome this.&#34;</p><p>And he did.</p><p>Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.</p><p>Crucially: the man nicknamed &#39;Big Shot&#39; in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.</p><p>Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.</p><p>&#34;Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,&#34; Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. &#34;It&#39;s just heart warming.&#34;</p><p>This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.</p><h2>Massive short squeeze</h2><p>Mr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan&#39;s production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.</p><p>On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan&#39;s headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn&#39;t leave until early the next morning.</p><p>More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals &#39;visionary&#39; who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fears</p><p>The crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang&#39;s position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.</p><p>The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.</p><p>To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.</p><p>Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he&#39;d built Tsingshan into the world&#39;s largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China&#39;s east coast. Along the way, he&#39;d acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.</p><p>The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn&#39;t pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.</p><p>Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.</p><p>If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What&#39;s more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn&#39;t clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan&#39;s most valuable assets.</p><p>JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.</p><h2>Personal guarantee</h2><p>Mr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.</p><p>Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn&#39;t enough. They wouldn&#39;t be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn&#39;t seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.</p><p>So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn&#39;t pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.</p><p>More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market&#39;s darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continues</p><p>It wasn&#39;t much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.</p><p>When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.</p><p>The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange&#39;s regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME&#39;s decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange&#39;s six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.</p><p>Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.</p><p>It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn&#39;t.</p><p>Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China&#39;s lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.</p><p>By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.</p><p>By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.</p><p>People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan&#39;s losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn&#39;t concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.</p><p>Now &#39;Big Shot&#39; is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.</p><p>And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.</p><p>&#34;A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,&#34; he says. &#34;The market is still functioning, but it&#39;s struggling.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-17 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIC.AU":"Nickel Industries Ltd","JJN":"镍ETN-iPath","NICK.UK":"镍ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249540083","content_text":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang's company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: \"I'm confident that we will overcome this.\"And he did.Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.Crucially: the man nicknamed 'Big Shot' in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.\"Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,\" Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. \"It's just heart warming.\"This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.Massive short squeezeMr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan's production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia's invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan's headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn't leave until early the next morning.More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals 'visionary' who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fearsThe crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang's position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he'd built Tsingshan into the world's largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China's east coast. Along the way, he'd acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn't pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What's more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn't clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan's most valuable assets.JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.Personal guaranteeMr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn't enough. They wouldn't be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn't seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn't pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market's darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continuesIt wasn't much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange's regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME's decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange's six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn't.Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China's lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan's losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn't concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.Now 'Big Shot' is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.\"A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,\" he says. \"The market is still functioning, but it's struggling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909391406,"gmtCreate":1658805682805,"gmtModify":1676536210974,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>Lets hope tonight MSFT will report better than expected results.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>Lets hope tonight MSFT will report better than expected results.","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$Lets hope tonight MSFT will report better than expected results.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/86d1427217d0d8198c1591b5afdc3df9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909391406","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561508330885091","authorId":"3561508330885091","name":"杰力安心睡大觉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/479664bdd5087d57cfa715e187b1cc6d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561508330885091","authorIdStr":"3561508330885091"},"content":"Is the insight for next few quarters earningns That will move the Price","text":"Is the insight for next few quarters earningns That will move the Price","html":"Is the insight for next few quarters earningns That will move the Price"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911060959,"gmtCreate":1664088185972,"gmtModify":1676537389349,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?","listText":"Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?","text":"Mkt oversold. Likely next week is green green. Time to buy beaten down stocks?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911060959","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932972176,"gmtCreate":1662868027995,"gmtModify":1676537154745,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good move by AAPL by keeping the price the same but as mentioned by the article, the macro environment is not conducive for retail. Personally, don't think AAPL will score big sales this round.&nbsp;","listText":"Good move by AAPL by keeping the price the same but as mentioned by the article, the macro environment is not conducive for retail. Personally, don't think AAPL will score big sales this round.&nbsp;","text":"Good move by AAPL by keeping the price the same but as mentioned by the article, the macro environment is not conducive for retail. Personally, don't think AAPL will score big sales this round.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932972176","repostId":"2266965998","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2266965998","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662858023,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266965998?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-11 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the iPhone 14 Worth It? Apple CEO Tim Cook Made One \"Brilliant Move,\" but Our Verdict Might Surprise You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266965998","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The basic iPhone starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max sta","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The basic iPhone starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1,099</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fa99f8e8694582bade246d4fa136eb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>The face-off</h2><p>Apple&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> latest iPhone is out. The iPhone 14 comes in four models: the basic iPhone 14, a &#34;supersized&#34; (Apple&#39;s word) version called the iPhone 14 Plus, and the iPhone 14 Pro and the iPhone 14 Pro Max. The basic starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1,099.</p><p>All four models boast more advanced front and back cameras and safety features that can detect whether you&#39;ve been in a car crash and help you call 911, even if you&#39;re in an isolated area with limited cell service. The 6.7-inch iPhone 14 Plus has &#34;the best battery life ever in an iPhone,&#34; the company said.</p><p>All told, the iPhone 14 models &#34;have incredible new features that will help our users in meaningful ways,&#34; Apple chief executive Tim Cook said at Wednesday&#39;s unveiling.</p><p>How meaningful those upgrades really are remains to be seen. But there&#39;s no denying that the birth of the iPhone 15 years ago marked the beginning of a new, more intimate relationship between humans and their phones. Some might say that connection has morphed into codependency; people can&#39;t seem to function without their smartphones.</p><p>Is now the time to take that relationship to the next level and get a new iPhone?</p><h2>Why it matters</h2><p>&#34;I think keeping the price at $799 was a brilliant move on Apple&#39;s part,&#34; said Charles Lindsey, associate professor of Marketing, University at Buffalo School of Management a professor at the University at Buffalo. &#34;By not raising the price, they will not only capture early sales from the Apple innovators/early adopters (who typically buy new versions as soon as possible) but they will also pull in/convert your more mainstream users (who are typically slower to upgrade).&#34;</p><p>The iPhone 14 comes in &#34;stunning&#34; colors including deep purple and starlight. Those pretty hues contrast with some gloomy economic data in the U.S: Record-high inflation has pushed Americans&#39; cost of living way up, home prices and rents have soared, and credit card debt has piled up as pandemic-related government relief has receded. The labor market remains extremely tight, but some companies have been laying off employees or freezing hiring.</p><p>All of that may make consumers skittish about shelling out close to $1,000 on a phone. Which may explain Apple&#39;s decision to keep the base price of the iPhone 14 exactly the same as the starting price for the iPhone 13, unveiled in 2021.</p><p>The price isn&#39;t the only thing that didn&#39;t budge.</p><p>&#34;The base iPhone 14 model is actually almost identical to the 13,&#34; said Melanie Pinola, a senior writer and editor on the smartphone beat at Consumer Reports.</p><p>Based on what Pinola saw at Wednesday&#39;s unveiling, it appears that the iPhone 14 has the same display, processor, overall design and the same battery as the 13. &#34;If you have a 13, I don&#39;t know if I would switch to a 14 this year,&#34; Pinola said. &#34;There are small improvements with the 14, but I wouldn&#39;t say I would rush out right now.&#34;</p><p>The most notable change among the iPhone 14 models is the new larger version, the iPhone 14 Plus, with a 6.7-inch display, which is similar in size to the Samsung  Galaxy S22, Pinola said. &#34;This is the first time that Apple has ever made a large screen phone under $1,000, so it&#39;s more accessible for people who want a larger phone,&#34; Pinola told MarketWatch.</p><h2>The verdict</h2><p>Skip the iPhone 14, unless your existing phone is on life support. &#34;If you&#39;re not able to get security or software updates, it&#39;s definitely time to get a new phone,&#34; Pinola said.</p><h2>My reasons</h2><p>Tech companies have trained us to line up for new products on their schedule. But should Apple dictate when you spend money? Maybe that&#39;s how it became one of the world&#39;s most profitable companies. But blindly following Apple&#39;s marching orders is not how you will become the most profitable version of yourself.</p><h2>Is my verdict best for you?</h2><p>On the other hand, the fact that Apple kept the starting price the same on the iPhone 14 could make an upgrade easier to swallow, said Philip Michaels, U.S. managing editor at the product review site Tom&#39;s Guide.</p><p>&#34;People who bought the iPhone 13 last year are probably still very happy with their phones and will have little reason to upgrade,&#34; Michaels told MarketWatch. &#34;And given Apple&#39;s track record of lengthy software support -- iOS 16 works fine on phones released five years ago -- it&#39;s easy to hold onto your current iPhone for a long time.&#34;</p><p>&#34;That said, if you&#39;ve got an iPhone 11 or earlier, you will definitely notice an improvement in performance, even with the A15 Bionic chip on the iPhone 14 as opposed to the more advanced A16 Bionic powering the Pro models. Cameras figure to produce better results, too, though testing Apple&#39;s new phones will confirm that. Because Apple held the pricing at iPhone 13 levels despite the rumors of price hikes, an upgrade is even easier to justify,&#34; Michaels said.</p><p>Another possible incentive to upgrade: deals available through Apple can cut up to $800 off the price tag of the iPhone 14, and major mobile phone carriers including AT&amp;T <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a>, T-Mobile <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUS\">$(TMUS)$</a> and Verizon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, are offering discounts as well.</p><p>If you&#39;re trying to decide whether to upgrade, don&#39;t forget about the value of your existing phone, said Josh Lowitz co-founder of Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, publisher of the upcoming CIRP-Apple report on Substack.</p><p>&#34;Used iPhones have real value, as trade-ins or hand-me-downs to family or friends,&#34; Lowitz said. &#34;Our data shows that about half of new iPhone buyers trade-in or sell their old phone, and more than a third of those who monetize their old phone, report that it was worth more than $300.&#34;</p><p>Retail promotions, including enhanced trade-in offers, can reduce the cost of ownership further, he noted.</p><p>Another key point: mobile carriers are offering longer payment plans. In the past, phone purchases were generally broken up into 24 or even 18 or 20 payments. Now, 30 and 36 monthly payment plans are common, Lowitz said.</p><p>&#34;That reduces the monthly outlay, though it postpones the relief of making that final payment, and the new phone buyer needs to be confident that their phone will serve them that long. Even with the strong residual value of an iPhone, a buyer with 36 payments may have negative equity in their phone into their third year of ownership,&#34; Lowitz said.</p><p>Apple shares closed almost 1% up Wednesday after the iPhone 14 event, but they are down 12% year to date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 are down 13.5% and more than 16%, respectively, this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the iPhone 14 Worth It? Apple CEO Tim Cook Made One \"Brilliant Move,\" but Our Verdict Might Surprise You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the iPhone 14 Worth It? Apple CEO Tim Cook Made One \"Brilliant Move,\" but Our Verdict Might Surprise You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 09:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The basic iPhone starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1,099</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fa99f8e8694582bade246d4fa136eb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>The face-off</h2><p>Apple&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> latest iPhone is out. The iPhone 14 comes in four models: the basic iPhone 14, a &#34;supersized&#34; (Apple&#39;s word) version called the iPhone 14 Plus, and the iPhone 14 Pro and the iPhone 14 Pro Max. The basic starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1,099.</p><p>All four models boast more advanced front and back cameras and safety features that can detect whether you&#39;ve been in a car crash and help you call 911, even if you&#39;re in an isolated area with limited cell service. The 6.7-inch iPhone 14 Plus has &#34;the best battery life ever in an iPhone,&#34; the company said.</p><p>All told, the iPhone 14 models &#34;have incredible new features that will help our users in meaningful ways,&#34; Apple chief executive Tim Cook said at Wednesday&#39;s unveiling.</p><p>How meaningful those upgrades really are remains to be seen. But there&#39;s no denying that the birth of the iPhone 15 years ago marked the beginning of a new, more intimate relationship between humans and their phones. Some might say that connection has morphed into codependency; people can&#39;t seem to function without their smartphones.</p><p>Is now the time to take that relationship to the next level and get a new iPhone?</p><h2>Why it matters</h2><p>&#34;I think keeping the price at $799 was a brilliant move on Apple&#39;s part,&#34; said Charles Lindsey, associate professor of Marketing, University at Buffalo School of Management a professor at the University at Buffalo. &#34;By not raising the price, they will not only capture early sales from the Apple innovators/early adopters (who typically buy new versions as soon as possible) but they will also pull in/convert your more mainstream users (who are typically slower to upgrade).&#34;</p><p>The iPhone 14 comes in &#34;stunning&#34; colors including deep purple and starlight. Those pretty hues contrast with some gloomy economic data in the U.S: Record-high inflation has pushed Americans&#39; cost of living way up, home prices and rents have soared, and credit card debt has piled up as pandemic-related government relief has receded. The labor market remains extremely tight, but some companies have been laying off employees or freezing hiring.</p><p>All of that may make consumers skittish about shelling out close to $1,000 on a phone. Which may explain Apple&#39;s decision to keep the base price of the iPhone 14 exactly the same as the starting price for the iPhone 13, unveiled in 2021.</p><p>The price isn&#39;t the only thing that didn&#39;t budge.</p><p>&#34;The base iPhone 14 model is actually almost identical to the 13,&#34; said Melanie Pinola, a senior writer and editor on the smartphone beat at Consumer Reports.</p><p>Based on what Pinola saw at Wednesday&#39;s unveiling, it appears that the iPhone 14 has the same display, processor, overall design and the same battery as the 13. &#34;If you have a 13, I don&#39;t know if I would switch to a 14 this year,&#34; Pinola said. &#34;There are small improvements with the 14, but I wouldn&#39;t say I would rush out right now.&#34;</p><p>The most notable change among the iPhone 14 models is the new larger version, the iPhone 14 Plus, with a 6.7-inch display, which is similar in size to the Samsung  Galaxy S22, Pinola said. &#34;This is the first time that Apple has ever made a large screen phone under $1,000, so it&#39;s more accessible for people who want a larger phone,&#34; Pinola told MarketWatch.</p><h2>The verdict</h2><p>Skip the iPhone 14, unless your existing phone is on life support. &#34;If you&#39;re not able to get security or software updates, it&#39;s definitely time to get a new phone,&#34; Pinola said.</p><h2>My reasons</h2><p>Tech companies have trained us to line up for new products on their schedule. But should Apple dictate when you spend money? Maybe that&#39;s how it became one of the world&#39;s most profitable companies. But blindly following Apple&#39;s marching orders is not how you will become the most profitable version of yourself.</p><h2>Is my verdict best for you?</h2><p>On the other hand, the fact that Apple kept the starting price the same on the iPhone 14 could make an upgrade easier to swallow, said Philip Michaels, U.S. managing editor at the product review site Tom&#39;s Guide.</p><p>&#34;People who bought the iPhone 13 last year are probably still very happy with their phones and will have little reason to upgrade,&#34; Michaels told MarketWatch. &#34;And given Apple&#39;s track record of lengthy software support -- iOS 16 works fine on phones released five years ago -- it&#39;s easy to hold onto your current iPhone for a long time.&#34;</p><p>&#34;That said, if you&#39;ve got an iPhone 11 or earlier, you will definitely notice an improvement in performance, even with the A15 Bionic chip on the iPhone 14 as opposed to the more advanced A16 Bionic powering the Pro models. Cameras figure to produce better results, too, though testing Apple&#39;s new phones will confirm that. Because Apple held the pricing at iPhone 13 levels despite the rumors of price hikes, an upgrade is even easier to justify,&#34; Michaels said.</p><p>Another possible incentive to upgrade: deals available through Apple can cut up to $800 off the price tag of the iPhone 14, and major mobile phone carriers including AT&amp;T <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a>, T-Mobile <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUS\">$(TMUS)$</a> and Verizon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, are offering discounts as well.</p><p>If you&#39;re trying to decide whether to upgrade, don&#39;t forget about the value of your existing phone, said Josh Lowitz co-founder of Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, publisher of the upcoming CIRP-Apple report on Substack.</p><p>&#34;Used iPhones have real value, as trade-ins or hand-me-downs to family or friends,&#34; Lowitz said. &#34;Our data shows that about half of new iPhone buyers trade-in or sell their old phone, and more than a third of those who monetize their old phone, report that it was worth more than $300.&#34;</p><p>Retail promotions, including enhanced trade-in offers, can reduce the cost of ownership further, he noted.</p><p>Another key point: mobile carriers are offering longer payment plans. In the past, phone purchases were generally broken up into 24 or even 18 or 20 payments. Now, 30 and 36 monthly payment plans are common, Lowitz said.</p><p>&#34;That reduces the monthly outlay, though it postpones the relief of making that final payment, and the new phone buyer needs to be confident that their phone will serve them that long. Even with the strong residual value of an iPhone, a buyer with 36 payments may have negative equity in their phone into their third year of ownership,&#34; Lowitz said.</p><p>Apple shares closed almost 1% up Wednesday after the iPhone 14 event, but they are down 12% year to date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 are down 13.5% and more than 16%, respectively, this year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4574":"无人驾驶","AAPL":"苹果","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266965998","content_text":"The basic iPhone starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1,099The face-offApple's $(AAPL)$ latest iPhone is out. The iPhone 14 comes in four models: the basic iPhone 14, a \"supersized\" (Apple's word) version called the iPhone 14 Plus, and the iPhone 14 Pro and the iPhone 14 Pro Max. The basic starts at $799, the Plus starts at $899, the Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1,099.All four models boast more advanced front and back cameras and safety features that can detect whether you've been in a car crash and help you call 911, even if you're in an isolated area with limited cell service. The 6.7-inch iPhone 14 Plus has \"the best battery life ever in an iPhone,\" the company said.All told, the iPhone 14 models \"have incredible new features that will help our users in meaningful ways,\" Apple chief executive Tim Cook said at Wednesday's unveiling.How meaningful those upgrades really are remains to be seen. But there's no denying that the birth of the iPhone 15 years ago marked the beginning of a new, more intimate relationship between humans and their phones. Some might say that connection has morphed into codependency; people can't seem to function without their smartphones.Is now the time to take that relationship to the next level and get a new iPhone?Why it matters\"I think keeping the price at $799 was a brilliant move on Apple's part,\" said Charles Lindsey, associate professor of Marketing, University at Buffalo School of Management a professor at the University at Buffalo. \"By not raising the price, they will not only capture early sales from the Apple innovators/early adopters (who typically buy new versions as soon as possible) but they will also pull in/convert your more mainstream users (who are typically slower to upgrade).\"The iPhone 14 comes in \"stunning\" colors including deep purple and starlight. Those pretty hues contrast with some gloomy economic data in the U.S: Record-high inflation has pushed Americans' cost of living way up, home prices and rents have soared, and credit card debt has piled up as pandemic-related government relief has receded. The labor market remains extremely tight, but some companies have been laying off employees or freezing hiring.All of that may make consumers skittish about shelling out close to $1,000 on a phone. Which may explain Apple's decision to keep the base price of the iPhone 14 exactly the same as the starting price for the iPhone 13, unveiled in 2021.The price isn't the only thing that didn't budge.\"The base iPhone 14 model is actually almost identical to the 13,\" said Melanie Pinola, a senior writer and editor on the smartphone beat at Consumer Reports.Based on what Pinola saw at Wednesday's unveiling, it appears that the iPhone 14 has the same display, processor, overall design and the same battery as the 13. \"If you have a 13, I don't know if I would switch to a 14 this year,\" Pinola said. \"There are small improvements with the 14, but I wouldn't say I would rush out right now.\"The most notable change among the iPhone 14 models is the new larger version, the iPhone 14 Plus, with a 6.7-inch display, which is similar in size to the Samsung  Galaxy S22, Pinola said. \"This is the first time that Apple has ever made a large screen phone under $1,000, so it's more accessible for people who want a larger phone,\" Pinola told MarketWatch.The verdictSkip the iPhone 14, unless your existing phone is on life support. \"If you're not able to get security or software updates, it's definitely time to get a new phone,\" Pinola said.My reasonsTech companies have trained us to line up for new products on their schedule. But should Apple dictate when you spend money? Maybe that's how it became one of the world's most profitable companies. But blindly following Apple's marching orders is not how you will become the most profitable version of yourself.Is my verdict best for you?On the other hand, the fact that Apple kept the starting price the same on the iPhone 14 could make an upgrade easier to swallow, said Philip Michaels, U.S. managing editor at the product review site Tom's Guide.\"People who bought the iPhone 13 last year are probably still very happy with their phones and will have little reason to upgrade,\" Michaels told MarketWatch. \"And given Apple's track record of lengthy software support -- iOS 16 works fine on phones released five years ago -- it's easy to hold onto your current iPhone for a long time.\"\"That said, if you've got an iPhone 11 or earlier, you will definitely notice an improvement in performance, even with the A15 Bionic chip on the iPhone 14 as opposed to the more advanced A16 Bionic powering the Pro models. Cameras figure to produce better results, too, though testing Apple's new phones will confirm that. Because Apple held the pricing at iPhone 13 levels despite the rumors of price hikes, an upgrade is even easier to justify,\" Michaels said.Another possible incentive to upgrade: deals available through Apple can cut up to $800 off the price tag of the iPhone 14, and major mobile phone carriers including AT&T $(T)$, T-Mobile $(TMUS)$ and Verizon $(VZ)$, are offering discounts as well.If you're trying to decide whether to upgrade, don't forget about the value of your existing phone, said Josh Lowitz co-founder of Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, publisher of the upcoming CIRP-Apple report on Substack.\"Used iPhones have real value, as trade-ins or hand-me-downs to family or friends,\" Lowitz said. \"Our data shows that about half of new iPhone buyers trade-in or sell their old phone, and more than a third of those who monetize their old phone, report that it was worth more than $300.\"Retail promotions, including enhanced trade-in offers, can reduce the cost of ownership further, he noted.Another key point: mobile carriers are offering longer payment plans. In the past, phone purchases were generally broken up into 24 or even 18 or 20 payments. Now, 30 and 36 monthly payment plans are common, Lowitz said.\"That reduces the monthly outlay, though it postpones the relief of making that final payment, and the new phone buyer needs to be confident that their phone will serve them that long. Even with the strong residual value of an iPhone, a buyer with 36 payments may have negative equity in their phone into their third year of ownership,\" Lowitz said.Apple shares closed almost 1% up Wednesday after the iPhone 14 event, but they are down 12% year to date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 are down 13.5% and more than 16%, respectively, this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915244767,"gmtCreate":1665059701260,"gmtModify":1676537550696,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah... green green tonight","listText":"Yeah... green green tonight","text":"Yeah... green green tonight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915244767","repostId":"1126820922","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126820922","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665059591,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126820922?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 20:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126820922","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, but the labor market remains tight even as demand for labor is cooling amid higher interest rates.</p><p>Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended Oct. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 3,000 fewer applications filed than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 203,000 applications for the latest week.</p><p>The labor market has been largely resilient, though some cracks are emerging as the Federal Reserve ramps up its monetary policy tightening campaign. The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>A separate report on Thursday from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 job cuts in September, a 46.4% jump from August. Job cuts, which were led by retailers, were up 67.6% from a year ago. But layoffs so far this year are down 21% compared to the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Employers also announced plans to hire 380,014 workers last month, the smallest September total since 2011.</p><p>The government reported on Tuesday thatjob openingsdropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August. But economists do not expect widespread layoffs, saying companies were wary of releasing their workers after difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday showed a measure of services sector employment surged in September, with several industries reporting labor shortages.</p><p>Claims data could become volatile in the coming weeks in the aftermath of hurricane Ian, which cut a swath of destruction across Florida and the Carolinas at the end of September.</p><p>The claims report showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 15,000 to 1.361 million in the week ending Sept. 24.</p><p>The claims report has no bearing on September&#39;s employment report, scheduled for release on Friday, as it falls outside the survey period. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls increased by 250,000 jobs in September. The economy created 315,000 jobs in August.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures tracking the Nasdaq index turned positive on Thursday, after data showed an increase in weekly jobless claims, in a sign that could suggest the Federal Reserve may need to ease its aggressive monetary tightening cycle.</p><p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved lower following the report, supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks including Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc.</p><p>At 8:33 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 1 points, or 0%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.3%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Increase More Than Expected; Nasdaq Futures Turn Positive\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-06 20:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, but the labor market remains tight even as demand for labor is cooling amid higher interest rates.</p><p>Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended Oct. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 3,000 fewer applications filed than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 203,000 applications for the latest week.</p><p>The labor market has been largely resilient, though some cracks are emerging as the Federal Reserve ramps up its monetary policy tightening campaign. The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>A separate report on Thursday from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 job cuts in September, a 46.4% jump from August. Job cuts, which were led by retailers, were up 67.6% from a year ago. But layoffs so far this year are down 21% compared to the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Employers also announced plans to hire 380,014 workers last month, the smallest September total since 2011.</p><p>The government reported on Tuesday thatjob openingsdropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August. But economists do not expect widespread layoffs, saying companies were wary of releasing their workers after difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday showed a measure of services sector employment surged in September, with several industries reporting labor shortages.</p><p>Claims data could become volatile in the coming weeks in the aftermath of hurricane Ian, which cut a swath of destruction across Florida and the Carolinas at the end of September.</p><p>The claims report showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 15,000 to 1.361 million in the week ending Sept. 24.</p><p>The claims report has no bearing on September&#39;s employment report, scheduled for release on Friday, as it falls outside the survey period. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls increased by 250,000 jobs in September. The economy created 315,000 jobs in August.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures tracking the Nasdaq index turned positive on Thursday, after data showed an increase in weekly jobless claims, in a sign that could suggest the Federal Reserve may need to ease its aggressive monetary tightening cycle.</p><p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved lower following the report, supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks including Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc.</p><p>At 8:33 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 1 points, or 0%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.3%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126820922","content_text":"WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, but the labor market remains tight even as demand for labor is cooling amid higher interest rates.Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended Oct. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 3,000 fewer applications filed than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 203,000 applications for the latest week.The labor market has been largely resilient, though some cracks are emerging as the Federal Reserve ramps up its monetary policy tightening campaign. The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.A separate report on Thursday from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 job cuts in September, a 46.4% jump from August. Job cuts, which were led by retailers, were up 67.6% from a year ago. But layoffs so far this year are down 21% compared to the first nine months of 2021.Employers also announced plans to hire 380,014 workers last month, the smallest September total since 2011.The government reported on Tuesday thatjob openingsdropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August. But economists do not expect widespread layoffs, saying companies were wary of releasing their workers after difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday showed a measure of services sector employment surged in September, with several industries reporting labor shortages.Claims data could become volatile in the coming weeks in the aftermath of hurricane Ian, which cut a swath of destruction across Florida and the Carolinas at the end of September.The claims report showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 15,000 to 1.361 million in the week ending Sept. 24.The claims report has no bearing on September's employment report, scheduled for release on Friday, as it falls outside the survey period. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls increased by 250,000 jobs in September. The economy created 315,000 jobs in August.U.S. stock index futures tracking the Nasdaq index turned positive on Thursday, after data showed an increase in weekly jobless claims, in a sign that could suggest the Federal Reserve may need to ease its aggressive monetary tightening cycle.The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved lower following the report, supporting rate-sensitive growth stocks including Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc.At 8:33 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 1 points, or 0%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34.5 points, or 0.3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936440649,"gmtCreate":1662813963781,"gmtModify":1676537145147,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>Fed going to raise interest for this year, even till nnext year. Hard to see SEA profitable anytime soon. Long term bearish base on current marco environment.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>Fed going to raise interest for this year, even till nnext year. Hard to see SEA profitable anytime soon. Long term bearish base on current marco environment.","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$Fed going to raise interest for this year, even till nnext year. Hard to see SEA profitable anytime soon. Long term bearish base on current marco environment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936440649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000463","authorId":"9000000000000463","name":"MurrayBulwer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b11c256c9adb7debe80fba544b0e6b3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000463","authorIdStr":"9000000000000463"},"content":"Therefore, I think it is more appropriate to make short-term investment under the current circumstances. We can invest for a week or several weeks without considering the next few years.","text":"Therefore, I think it is more appropriate to make short-term investment under the current circumstances. We can invest for a week or several weeks without considering the next few years.","html":"Therefore, I think it is more appropriate to make short-term investment under the current circumstances. We can invest for a week or several weeks without considering the next few years."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994145992,"gmtCreate":1661582734519,"gmtModify":1676536546573,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy on dip to dca and wait for long term growth.","listText":"Buy on dip to dca and wait for long term growth.","text":"Buy on dip to dca and wait for long term growth.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994145992","repostId":"2262901563","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2262901563","pubTimestamp":1661571503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262901563?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-27 11:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Did the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262901563","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A big drop sent the Dow down more than a thousand points.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Market participants have been concerned for weeks about what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might say at the central bank&#39;s annual symposium in Jackson Hole. Apparently, they were quite discouraged by what they heard, as Powell restated the Fed&#39;s determination to push interest rates as high as they needed to go in order to ensure that inflationary pressures don&#39;t become permanently entrenched in the U.S. economy. For those who had hoped for a more dovish response, that was bad news, and the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average </b>ended the day down more than a thousand points. Percentage drops for the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> and <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> were also in the 3% to 4% range.</p><p>Among large-cap stocks, there were only a handful of gainers as most share prices followed the broader market lower. Some now fear that the rebound that the market saw from mid-June to about a week ago may well prove to have been only a bear market rally, with today&#39;s downward move reestablishing a bearish trend that could take market indexes far lower.</p><table><thead><tr></tr></thead></table><p>There&#39;s no way to predict short-term price movements in the stock market. However, efforts to fight inflation, if successful, should result in better long-term results for investors than if the Fed simply backed off and allowed higher price trends to become a permanent feature of the U.S. economy.</p><h2>Stubborn inflation</h2><p>The big question still facing investors is whether inflation has peaked. Many of those watching economic data were pleased to see the upward moves in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) start to moderate recently. However, just because inflation has stopped accelerating doesn&#39;t mean that it&#39;s under control.</p><p>The latest numbers from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on the PCE tell  the story well. The headline number that most people emphasized was that the price index fell 0.1% in July, with goods prices falling 0.4%.</p><p>However, looking more closely at what goes into the PCE price index gives a more complete picture. Much of the downward pressure on the index came from a 7.7% drop in the sub-index for gasoline and other energy goods. That by itself was enough to send nondurable goods prices down half a percent, even as food and beverage prices jumped 1.3% month over month.</p><p>Some other key components showed continued rises. Housing and utility costs were up 0.6% for the month, extending their gain over the past 12 months to 7%.</p><p>Perhaps most importantly, even larger declines in a single month wouldn&#39;t by themselves reverse adverse trends. Energy costs are still more than 45% higher than they were this time last year. Food and beverages are up nearly 12% year over year, and even when you exclude food and energy, core PCE prices are up 4.6% since July 2021 -- more than double the 2% target that the Fed pursues.</p><h2>Is a recession worth long-term prosperity?</h2><p>Investors worry that a prolonged set of interest-rate increases from the Fed will push the economy into recession and restrain business activity. If that view from the Fed was unexpectedly hawkish, then it could leave stock market participants facing downward revisions on earnings estimates that could send stock prices lower once again.</p><p>In the long run, though, the impact of inflation on stock prices historically has been more difficult to overcome than short-term business cycle fluctuations. When you look back at recent bouts of inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s, for instance, you&#39;ll notice significant volatility in stock markets that led to subpar returns. Only when inflationary pressures were resolved did solid bull markets result, and the long bull markets of the 1990s, mid-2000s, and 2010s all came in economic environments with little or no inflation.</p><p>It&#39;s indeed possible that a central bank with tight monetary policy might bring short-term pain to the stock market and an end to what might materialize as a bear market rally. However, I believe investors will be happier with this outcome in the long run than they would be with sustained inflation and the complications that come with it.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Did the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDid the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-27 11:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/26/did-the-fed-just-kill-the-bear-market-rally/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market participants have been concerned for weeks about what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might say at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole. Apparently, they were quite ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/26/did-the-fed-just-kill-the-bear-market-rally/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/26/did-the-fed-just-kill-the-bear-market-rally/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262901563","content_text":"Market participants have been concerned for weeks about what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might say at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole. Apparently, they were quite discouraged by what they heard, as Powell restated the Fed's determination to push interest rates as high as they needed to go in order to ensure that inflationary pressures don't become permanently entrenched in the U.S. economy. For those who had hoped for a more dovish response, that was bad news, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down more than a thousand points. Percentage drops for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were also in the 3% to 4% range.Among large-cap stocks, there were only a handful of gainers as most share prices followed the broader market lower. Some now fear that the rebound that the market saw from mid-June to about a week ago may well prove to have been only a bear market rally, with today's downward move reestablishing a bearish trend that could take market indexes far lower.There's no way to predict short-term price movements in the stock market. However, efforts to fight inflation, if successful, should result in better long-term results for investors than if the Fed simply backed off and allowed higher price trends to become a permanent feature of the U.S. economy.Stubborn inflationThe big question still facing investors is whether inflation has peaked. Many of those watching economic data were pleased to see the upward moves in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) start to moderate recently. However, just because inflation has stopped accelerating doesn't mean that it's under control.The latest numbers from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on the PCE tell  the story well. The headline number that most people emphasized was that the price index fell 0.1% in July, with goods prices falling 0.4%.However, looking more closely at what goes into the PCE price index gives a more complete picture. Much of the downward pressure on the index came from a 7.7% drop in the sub-index for gasoline and other energy goods. That by itself was enough to send nondurable goods prices down half a percent, even as food and beverage prices jumped 1.3% month over month.Some other key components showed continued rises. Housing and utility costs were up 0.6% for the month, extending their gain over the past 12 months to 7%.Perhaps most importantly, even larger declines in a single month wouldn't by themselves reverse adverse trends. Energy costs are still more than 45% higher than they were this time last year. Food and beverages are up nearly 12% year over year, and even when you exclude food and energy, core PCE prices are up 4.6% since July 2021 -- more than double the 2% target that the Fed pursues.Is a recession worth long-term prosperity?Investors worry that a prolonged set of interest-rate increases from the Fed will push the economy into recession and restrain business activity. If that view from the Fed was unexpectedly hawkish, then it could leave stock market participants facing downward revisions on earnings estimates that could send stock prices lower once again.In the long run, though, the impact of inflation on stock prices historically has been more difficult to overcome than short-term business cycle fluctuations. When you look back at recent bouts of inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s, for instance, you'll notice significant volatility in stock markets that led to subpar returns. Only when inflationary pressures were resolved did solid bull markets result, and the long bull markets of the 1990s, mid-2000s, and 2010s all came in economic environments with little or no inflation.It's indeed possible that a central bank with tight monetary policy might bring short-term pain to the stock market and an end to what might materialize as a bear market rally. However, I believe investors will be happier with this outcome in the long run than they would be with sustained inflation and the complications that come with it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990591656,"gmtCreate":1660363185177,"gmtModify":1676533459854,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.","listText":"I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.","text":"I am not an expert but I agree with this article. With the inflation still above 8% is more than 4 times the target of 2%. In my heart the recent rallies seems too good to be true. Maybe a correction is coming.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990591656","repostId":"2259720034","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980348455,"gmtCreate":1665664580678,"gmtModify":1676537644977,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tonight sea of red. No eye see","listText":"Tonight sea of red. No eye see","text":"Tonight sea of red. No eye see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980348455","repostId":"1174256425","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1174256425","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1665674838,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174256425?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-13 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174256425","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year highThe numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in Septembe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year high</p><p>The numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in September and pointed to high inflation persisting through the end of the year, reinforcing the view the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates aggressively to try to curb rampant price increases.</p><p>Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase.</p><p>The yearly rate of inflation slipped to 8.2 from 8.3%. Inflation peaked at a nearly 41-year high of 9.1% in June.</p><p>In another worrisome sign, the so-called core rate of inflation that omits food and energy prices jumped a sharp 0.6%. Wall Street had forecast a 0.4% gain.</p><p>The increase in the core rate over the past year climbed to a new peak of 6.6% from 6.3%, marking the biggest gain in 40 years.</p><p>The Fed views the core rate as a more accurate measure of future inflation trends.</p><p>The cost of staples such as food, rent, medical care and new cars all rose last month.</p><p>Inflation rose an average of less than 2% a year in the decade preceding the pandemic.</p><p>Still, the higher cost of borrowing is expected to weaken the economy over the next year and pull inflation lower. Prices tend to fall when consumers spend less and demand for goods and services dry up.</p><p>The Fed may have to raise rates so high to beat back inflation, however, that it could tip the economy into recession. The annual rate of inflation is more than quadruple the pre-pandemic levels of less than 2%.</p><p>Top officials signaled they will do what it takes to beat down inflation -- even at the cost of recession -- at the Fed&#39;s last big meeting in September.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember CPI Rises More Than Expected; Core CPI Rises to 40-Year High\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-13 23:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year high</p><p>The numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in September and pointed to high inflation persisting through the end of the year, reinforcing the view the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates aggressively to try to curb rampant price increases.</p><p>Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase.</p><p>The yearly rate of inflation slipped to 8.2 from 8.3%. Inflation peaked at a nearly 41-year high of 9.1% in June.</p><p>In another worrisome sign, the so-called core rate of inflation that omits food and energy prices jumped a sharp 0.6%. Wall Street had forecast a 0.4% gain.</p><p>The increase in the core rate over the past year climbed to a new peak of 6.6% from 6.3%, marking the biggest gain in 40 years.</p><p>The Fed views the core rate as a more accurate measure of future inflation trends.</p><p>The cost of staples such as food, rent, medical care and new cars all rose last month.</p><p>Inflation rose an average of less than 2% a year in the decade preceding the pandemic.</p><p>Still, the higher cost of borrowing is expected to weaken the economy over the next year and pull inflation lower. Prices tend to fall when consumers spend less and demand for goods and services dry up.</p><p>The Fed may have to raise rates so high to beat back inflation, however, that it could tip the economy into recession. The annual rate of inflation is more than quadruple the pre-pandemic levels of less than 2%.</p><p>Top officials signaled they will do what it takes to beat down inflation -- even at the cost of recession -- at the Fed&#39;s last big meeting in September.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174256425","content_text":"Core consumer price index jumps to 40-year highThe numbers: The cost of living rose 0.4% in September and pointed to high inflation persisting through the end of the year, reinforcing the view the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates aggressively to try to curb rampant price increases.Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase.The yearly rate of inflation slipped to 8.2 from 8.3%. Inflation peaked at a nearly 41-year high of 9.1% in June.In another worrisome sign, the so-called core rate of inflation that omits food and energy prices jumped a sharp 0.6%. Wall Street had forecast a 0.4% gain.The increase in the core rate over the past year climbed to a new peak of 6.6% from 6.3%, marking the biggest gain in 40 years.The Fed views the core rate as a more accurate measure of future inflation trends.The cost of staples such as food, rent, medical care and new cars all rose last month.Inflation rose an average of less than 2% a year in the decade preceding the pandemic.Still, the higher cost of borrowing is expected to weaken the economy over the next year and pull inflation lower. Prices tend to fall when consumers spend less and demand for goods and services dry up.The Fed may have to raise rates so high to beat back inflation, however, that it could tip the economy into recession. The annual rate of inflation is more than quadruple the pre-pandemic levels of less than 2%.Top officials signaled they will do what it takes to beat down inflation -- even at the cost of recession -- at the Fed's last big meeting in September.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914045343,"gmtCreate":1665146993182,"gmtModify":1676537564086,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify&nbsp;another 75 basis points.Good luck all.","listText":"Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify&nbsp;another 75 basis points.Good luck all.","text":"Another reason for Fed to raise interest. Next important number is CPI. Regardless, the overall sentiments seems to justify another 75 basis points.Good luck all.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914045343","repostId":"1123258066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123258066","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665147116,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123258066?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123258066","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, pointing to a tight labor market which keeps the Federal Reserve on its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign for a while.</p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Data for August was unrevised to show 315,000 jobs added as previously reported.</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 250,000 job gains, with estimates ranging from as low as 127,000 to as high as 375,000.</p><p>The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in August.</p><p>With the labor market still tight, wage gains remained solid. Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% after a similar rise in August. That lowered the annual increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.2% in August. The Atlanta Fed&#39;s wage tracker, which controls for compositional effects like skill level, occupation and geography, is running above 6%.</p><p>The labor market has largely been resilient to the higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions, with economists saying businesses are reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>While government data this week showed job openings dropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August, there are still 4 million more vacancies than there are unemployed Americans. An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday also showed several services industries reporting labor shortages in September.</p><p>But with the headwinds from higher borrowing costs and slowing demand rising, economists expect companies will significantly pull back on hiring, with negative payrolls likely next year. Economists say businesses have been backfilling open positions as they struggled to expand headcount to match increased demand for their products, driving up job gains.</p><p>The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>September&#39;s consumer price report next Thursday will also help policymakers to assess their progress in the battle against inflation ahead of their Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Financial markets have almost priced-in a fourth 75-basis points rate increase at that meeting, according to according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Friday, as data showed bigger-than-expected job additions last month and a drop in the unemployment rate, giving more room for the Federal Reserve to stick to aggressive interest-rate hikes.</p><p>At 08:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 320 points, or 1.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 52.25 points, or 1.39%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 214.75 points, or 1.86%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Job Growth Solid in September; Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%; U.S. Stock Futures Drop\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-07 20:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, pointing to a tight labor market which keeps the Federal Reserve on its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign for a while.</p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Data for August was unrevised to show 315,000 jobs added as previously reported.</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 250,000 job gains, with estimates ranging from as low as 127,000 to as high as 375,000.</p><p>The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in August.</p><p>With the labor market still tight, wage gains remained solid. Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% after a similar rise in August. That lowered the annual increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.2% in August. The Atlanta Fed&#39;s wage tracker, which controls for compositional effects like skill level, occupation and geography, is running above 6%.</p><p>The labor market has largely been resilient to the higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions, with economists saying businesses are reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.</p><p>While government data this week showed job openings dropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August, there are still 4 million more vacancies than there are unemployed Americans. An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday also showed several services industries reporting labor shortages in September.</p><p>But with the headwinds from higher borrowing costs and slowing demand rising, economists expect companies will significantly pull back on hiring, with negative payrolls likely next year. Economists say businesses have been backfilling open positions as they struggled to expand headcount to match increased demand for their products, driving up job gains.</p><p>The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.</p><p>September&#39;s consumer price report next Thursday will also help policymakers to assess their progress in the battle against inflation ahead of their Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Financial markets have almost priced-in a fourth 75-basis points rate increase at that meeting, according to according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Friday, as data showed bigger-than-expected job additions last month and a drop in the unemployment rate, giving more room for the Federal Reserve to stick to aggressive interest-rate hikes.</p><p>At 08:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 320 points, or 1.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 52.25 points, or 1.39%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 214.75 points, or 1.86%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123258066","content_text":"WASHINGTON, Oct 7(Reuters) - U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in September, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, pointing to a tight labor market which keeps the Federal Reserve on its aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign for a while.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Data for August was unrevised to show 315,000 jobs added as previously reported.Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 250,000 job gains, with estimates ranging from as low as 127,000 to as high as 375,000.The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in August.With the labor market still tight, wage gains remained solid. Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% after a similar rise in August. That lowered the annual increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.2% in August. The Atlanta Fed's wage tracker, which controls for compositional effects like skill level, occupation and geography, is running above 6%.The labor market has largely been resilient to the higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions, with economists saying businesses are reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties hiring in the past year as the COVID-19 pandemic forced some people out of the workforce, partly due to prolonged illness caused by the virus.While government data this week showed job openings dropped by 1.1 million, the largest decline since April 2020, to 10.1 million on the last day of August, there are still 4 million more vacancies than there are unemployed Americans. An Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday also showed several services industries reporting labor shortages in September.But with the headwinds from higher borrowing costs and slowing demand rising, economists expect companies will significantly pull back on hiring, with negative payrolls likely next year. Economists say businesses have been backfilling open positions as they struggled to expand headcount to match increased demand for their products, driving up job gains.The U.S. central bank has hiked its policy rate from near-zero at the beginning of this year to the current range of 3.00% to 3.25%, and last month signaled more large increases were on the way this year.September's consumer price report next Thursday will also help policymakers to assess their progress in the battle against inflation ahead of their Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.Financial markets have almost priced-in a fourth 75-basis points rate increase at that meeting, according to according to CME's FedWatch Tool.U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Friday, as data showed bigger-than-expected job additions last month and a drop in the unemployment rate, giving more room for the Federal Reserve to stick to aggressive interest-rate hikes.At 08:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 320 points, or 1.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 52.25 points, or 1.39%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 214.75 points, or 1.86%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995492981,"gmtCreate":1661491771645,"gmtModify":1676536530127,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to short?","listText":"Time to short?","text":"Time to short?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995492981","repostId":"1130817581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130817581","pubTimestamp":1661486292,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130817581?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-26 11:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Stock: Get Out Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130817581","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia reported horrible Q2 numbers and provided disappointing guidance for the next quarter.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia reported horrible Q2 numbers and provided disappointing guidance for the next quarter.</li><li>However, with cryptocurrency mining GPU demand in deep decline, Nvidia&#39;s problems could last longer than a few quarters.</li><li>Nvidia&#39;s valuation is still high, and earnings estimates should see more downward revisions.</li><li>I&#39;m comfortable about revisiting this stock in the $100-120 range, but for now, Nvidia is a sell.</li></ul><p>NVIDIA Corporation&#39;s (NASDAQ:NVDA) market cap reached an absurd high of more than $800 billion during the tech-top in November 2021. During this bubble phase, Nvidia&#39;s stock hit an all-time high of around $350, trading at more than 100 times TTM non-GAAP EPS (approximately 40 times TTM sales). Then, the Fed pricked the ultra-high multiple bubble, and many stocks, including Nvidia, crashed.</p><p>I warned about the &#34;Epic Drop&#34; in my late-November article, and one of my prime examples of the coming crash was Nvidia. However, despite being one of the most shockingly overvalued stocks of its time, Nvidia&#39;s problems run much deeper than the typical temporary overvalued company.</p><p>Nvidia reported earnings in line with its preannounced figures but well below prior guidance and analysts&#39; estimates. Moreover, the company&#39;s guidance was disappointing. Nvidia is not only suffering from overvaluation problems and a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. The company has entered a severe decline phase, and the market is probably underestimating how serious the situation is for Nvidia.</p><p>The company faces several challenging headwinds to its top line, and its bottom line may continue deteriorating in the coming quarters. Therefore, we will probably see earnings estimates and EPS decrease more than anticipated. Meanwhile, the stock should attempt to find a base, but a reasonable entry price may be around $100-120.</p><p><b>The Bubble Days Are Over - More Downside Ahead</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1f84840d4c1f577471f0d35df1f240\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>NVDA(StockCharts.com)</p><p>This is only a three-year chart of Nvidia. So, we see that before the recent decline phase Nvidia skyrocketed by nearly 10X in just around two years. So, what occurred in this time frame? Why did we see such remarkable demand for Nvidia stock?</p><p>We can point to several elements. Nvidia weathered the coronavirus slow down better than many other companies as much of its gaming business is related to gaming. Then, Nvidia received a post-coronavirus recovery boost as well. The company&#39;s revenues surged by 40-60% or more in many quarters in 2020/2021, and investors loved its performance and stock.</p><p>The insatiable demand pushed the stock to grossly overbought and ludicrously overvalued levels (roughly 40 times trailing sales). However, what was the true catalyst behind this move? The company claimed that it benefited from surging gaming-related revenues. However, earlier this year, Nvidia settled with the SECfor failing to disclose its cryptocurrency-related sales.</p><p>A significant portion of Nvidia&#39;s GPU sales went towards cryptocurrency mining. Unfortunately, we cannot know precisely how much of the GPU sales were cryptocurrency related as the company did not disclose the numbers. However, we know that Nvidia&#39;s GPUs were widely used in Ethereum and other cryptocurrency mining, but sadly for the company, these sales are ending.</p><p><b>The End Of An Era</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s revenues benefited greatly from surging Ethereum and other cryptocurrency-related sales. When we look at Nvidia&#39;s surging sales in 2020/2021, this time frame coincides with the significant bull market in Ethereum and other digital assets. However, now the company is reporting sharp drops in sales. Nvidia&#39;s cryptocurrency mining processor (&#34;CMP&#34;) sales were down by66% YoY to just $140 million last quarter. While the company has a CMP GPU line dedicated to cryptocurrency mining, some of its gaming GPUs also went to cryptocurrency miners.</p><p>The massive problem Nvidia faces now is Ethereum&#39;s pivot away from GPU mining. Ethereum has been the driver of cryptocurrency-related mining GPU sales in recent years. However, Ethereum is moving away from intensive GPU mining, and the switch from proof-of-work to the proof-of-stake protocol should be complete soon.</p><p>Proof-of-stake is far less intensive and requires nothing near the computing power of proof-of-work. Therefore, the Ethereum network will not need a growing number of GPUs. On the contrary, as we advance, there will probably be a remarkably high number of unneeded GPUs.</p><p>Another reason why Nvidia&#39;s revenues spiked so rapidly was the GPU shortage. You&#39;d be lucky to get a quality GPU at MSRPin 2020/2021. Due to the GPU shortage, Nvidia&#39;s graphic cards could sell for two times MSRP or higher in many cases throughout this time frame. Naturally, this phenomenon significantly contributed to the company&#39;s skyrocketing revenues. We can presume that this dynamic occurred partially due to the substantial demand from the cryptocurrency segment.</p><p><b>What We Are Left With Now</b></p><p>Ethereum is moving away from GPU mining. Bitcoin and other digital assets rely more on ASIC miners over GPUs. We see Nvidia&#39;s CMP GPU sales are crashing, and general &#34;gaming&#34; revenues have declined by 33%YoY. Therefore, Nvidia faces a severe problem. A substantial portion of the company&#39;s gains may be gone permanently.</p><p>Additionally, Nvidia will no longer benefit from the cryptocurrency segment&#39;s growth. Moreover, the company will no longer benefit from the surging GPU prices it saw in 2020/2021. Instead, Nvidia faces the problem of cheaper GPUs, lower margins, and worsening profitability as the company moves forward.</p><p><b>Nvidia RTX 3080 Price Decline</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c65b3c0628b532f5748f8d4c917726\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Nvidia RTX 3080(the verge.com )</p><p>We&#39;ve seen a price drop of about 65% for Nvidia&#39;s RTX 3080 GPU since the price peaked last year. This image captures Nvidia&#39;s GPU market and the company&#39;s problem. We will probably see prices stabilize and possibly move up marginally. However, we will not likely see significant price rises any time soon. After years of shortages, the market is oversaturated with Nvidia&#39;s GPUs. We are now seeing the opposite effect and probably have not yet seen the full impact of the oversupply. We must consider that unwanted mining GPUs could further flood the market, exacerbating the supply/demand issue.</p><p><b>We See It In The Results</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d7cfe94a82a2e7b2f943115d8e70bcc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Nvidia 8-K(investor.nvidia.com)</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s Q2 results were shockingly poor, and &#34;challenging macroeconomic conditions&#34; do not justify a 19% QoQ revenue drop. Less than one year ago, Nvidia was valued at more than 100 times trailing earnings and now sees YoY growth of just 3% YoY. Moreover, despite only a 3% revenue gain, the company&#39;s operating expenses surged by 36% YoY. Therefore, we see gross margins down substantially, operating income down by 80%, and net income down by 72%.</p><p><b>Now, Let&#39;s Check the Guidance</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886574b4a6331498106528a2834f5675\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Nvidia Q3 guidance(investor.nvidia.com)</p><p>The company guided to just $5.9 billion in revenues for Q3, 15% below the consensus forecast of$6.95 billion. $5.9 billion will be the company&#39;s second consecutive QoQ decline, equating to a YoY drop of 17%. Additionally, the company guided GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of 62.4% and 65%. However, such a substantial rebound in gross margin will be challenging to achieve, and the company may report gross margins closer to 45-50%, substantially worse than its forecasts. Nvidia&#39;s GPU segment may continue struggling, leading to lower profitability and a worsening long-term image for the company.</p><p><b>Valuation - Still Too High</b></p><p>Nvidia has gone through a severe repricing phase. While the stock is not trading near 100 times TTM earnings, it&#39;s still expensive. Also, we must consider that the market began revising Nvidia&#39;s earnings lower and may not be done.</p><p><b>EPS Revisions</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56bd255c30f267c1fc7d8825b330556\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>EPS revisions(SeekingAlpha.com )</p><p>We see that the EPS forecast trend is lower here. However, considering that Nvidia recently came out with a horrible preannouncement and even more recently provided disappointing guidance, estimates should still go lower. Furthermore, EPS estimates may be too optimistic, as it is unclear whether Nvidia will have such impressive EPS growth in future years.</p><p><b>EPS Estimates</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/699c23f05dea3cbeb873da0db62a239d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>EPS estimates(SeekingAlpha.com)</p><p>One factor seems clear. The stock is still too expensive here. With an expected EPS of $3.75 this year, Nvidia&#39;s P/E ratio is 45, still very high. EPS projections are for $5.46 next year. However, this figure seems too high, cannot be trusted, and will likely get revised lower. Nevertheless, even if we apply the $5.46 EPS estimates, we still arrive at a P/E of more than 30 for Nvidia. Over thirty times questionable projected earnings is a high price for a company facing significant top and bottom line pressures and will probably see more earnings estimate declines.</p><p>I anticipate that Nvidia could earn towards the lower end of current estimates, roughly $4 in EPS in fiscal 2024. Also, Nvidia deserves a lower P/E multiple due to poor performance and uncertainty. I&#39;m comfortable with a forward P/E of 25-30 on a projected EPS of $4 for next year. This dynamic brings us to a buy-in price target of $100-120. In this range, Nvidia becomes a buy, but now at $170, the stock is a sell in my view. I will revisit this stock in the $100-120 range. Until then, there are better stocks to buy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Stock: Get Out Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock: Get Out Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 11:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537078-nvidia-get-out-now?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A5><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia reported horrible Q2 numbers and provided disappointing guidance for the next quarter.However, with cryptocurrency mining GPU demand in deep decline, Nvidia's problems could last longer ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537078-nvidia-get-out-now?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537078-nvidia-get-out-now?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130817581","content_text":"SummaryNvidia reported horrible Q2 numbers and provided disappointing guidance for the next quarter.However, with cryptocurrency mining GPU demand in deep decline, Nvidia's problems could last longer than a few quarters.Nvidia's valuation is still high, and earnings estimates should see more downward revisions.I'm comfortable about revisiting this stock in the $100-120 range, but for now, Nvidia is a sell.NVIDIA Corporation's (NASDAQ:NVDA) market cap reached an absurd high of more than $800 billion during the tech-top in November 2021. During this bubble phase, Nvidia's stock hit an all-time high of around $350, trading at more than 100 times TTM non-GAAP EPS (approximately 40 times TTM sales). Then, the Fed pricked the ultra-high multiple bubble, and many stocks, including Nvidia, crashed.I warned about the \"Epic Drop\" in my late-November article, and one of my prime examples of the coming crash was Nvidia. However, despite being one of the most shockingly overvalued stocks of its time, Nvidia's problems run much deeper than the typical temporary overvalued company.Nvidia reported earnings in line with its preannounced figures but well below prior guidance and analysts' estimates. Moreover, the company's guidance was disappointing. Nvidia is not only suffering from overvaluation problems and a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. The company has entered a severe decline phase, and the market is probably underestimating how serious the situation is for Nvidia.The company faces several challenging headwinds to its top line, and its bottom line may continue deteriorating in the coming quarters. Therefore, we will probably see earnings estimates and EPS decrease more than anticipated. Meanwhile, the stock should attempt to find a base, but a reasonable entry price may be around $100-120.The Bubble Days Are Over - More Downside AheadNVDA(StockCharts.com)This is only a three-year chart of Nvidia. So, we see that before the recent decline phase Nvidia skyrocketed by nearly 10X in just around two years. So, what occurred in this time frame? Why did we see such remarkable demand for Nvidia stock?We can point to several elements. Nvidia weathered the coronavirus slow down better than many other companies as much of its gaming business is related to gaming. Then, Nvidia received a post-coronavirus recovery boost as well. The company's revenues surged by 40-60% or more in many quarters in 2020/2021, and investors loved its performance and stock.The insatiable demand pushed the stock to grossly overbought and ludicrously overvalued levels (roughly 40 times trailing sales). However, what was the true catalyst behind this move? The company claimed that it benefited from surging gaming-related revenues. However, earlier this year, Nvidia settled with the SECfor failing to disclose its cryptocurrency-related sales.A significant portion of Nvidia's GPU sales went towards cryptocurrency mining. Unfortunately, we cannot know precisely how much of the GPU sales were cryptocurrency related as the company did not disclose the numbers. However, we know that Nvidia's GPUs were widely used in Ethereum and other cryptocurrency mining, but sadly for the company, these sales are ending.The End Of An EraNvidia's revenues benefited greatly from surging Ethereum and other cryptocurrency-related sales. When we look at Nvidia's surging sales in 2020/2021, this time frame coincides with the significant bull market in Ethereum and other digital assets. However, now the company is reporting sharp drops in sales. Nvidia's cryptocurrency mining processor (\"CMP\") sales were down by66% YoY to just $140 million last quarter. While the company has a CMP GPU line dedicated to cryptocurrency mining, some of its gaming GPUs also went to cryptocurrency miners.The massive problem Nvidia faces now is Ethereum's pivot away from GPU mining. Ethereum has been the driver of cryptocurrency-related mining GPU sales in recent years. However, Ethereum is moving away from intensive GPU mining, and the switch from proof-of-work to the proof-of-stake protocol should be complete soon.Proof-of-stake is far less intensive and requires nothing near the computing power of proof-of-work. Therefore, the Ethereum network will not need a growing number of GPUs. On the contrary, as we advance, there will probably be a remarkably high number of unneeded GPUs.Another reason why Nvidia's revenues spiked so rapidly was the GPU shortage. You'd be lucky to get a quality GPU at MSRPin 2020/2021. Due to the GPU shortage, Nvidia's graphic cards could sell for two times MSRP or higher in many cases throughout this time frame. Naturally, this phenomenon significantly contributed to the company's skyrocketing revenues. We can presume that this dynamic occurred partially due to the substantial demand from the cryptocurrency segment.What We Are Left With NowEthereum is moving away from GPU mining. Bitcoin and other digital assets rely more on ASIC miners over GPUs. We see Nvidia's CMP GPU sales are crashing, and general \"gaming\" revenues have declined by 33%YoY. Therefore, Nvidia faces a severe problem. A substantial portion of the company's gains may be gone permanently.Additionally, Nvidia will no longer benefit from the cryptocurrency segment's growth. Moreover, the company will no longer benefit from the surging GPU prices it saw in 2020/2021. Instead, Nvidia faces the problem of cheaper GPUs, lower margins, and worsening profitability as the company moves forward.Nvidia RTX 3080 Price DeclineNvidia RTX 3080(the verge.com )We've seen a price drop of about 65% for Nvidia's RTX 3080 GPU since the price peaked last year. This image captures Nvidia's GPU market and the company's problem. We will probably see prices stabilize and possibly move up marginally. However, we will not likely see significant price rises any time soon. After years of shortages, the market is oversaturated with Nvidia's GPUs. We are now seeing the opposite effect and probably have not yet seen the full impact of the oversupply. We must consider that unwanted mining GPUs could further flood the market, exacerbating the supply/demand issue.We See It In The ResultsNvidia 8-K(investor.nvidia.com)Nvidia's Q2 results were shockingly poor, and \"challenging macroeconomic conditions\" do not justify a 19% QoQ revenue drop. Less than one year ago, Nvidia was valued at more than 100 times trailing earnings and now sees YoY growth of just 3% YoY. Moreover, despite only a 3% revenue gain, the company's operating expenses surged by 36% YoY. Therefore, we see gross margins down substantially, operating income down by 80%, and net income down by 72%.Now, Let's Check the GuidanceNvidia Q3 guidance(investor.nvidia.com)The company guided to just $5.9 billion in revenues for Q3, 15% below the consensus forecast of$6.95 billion. $5.9 billion will be the company's second consecutive QoQ decline, equating to a YoY drop of 17%. Additionally, the company guided GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of 62.4% and 65%. However, such a substantial rebound in gross margin will be challenging to achieve, and the company may report gross margins closer to 45-50%, substantially worse than its forecasts. Nvidia's GPU segment may continue struggling, leading to lower profitability and a worsening long-term image for the company.Valuation - Still Too HighNvidia has gone through a severe repricing phase. While the stock is not trading near 100 times TTM earnings, it's still expensive. Also, we must consider that the market began revising Nvidia's earnings lower and may not be done.EPS RevisionsEPS revisions(SeekingAlpha.com )We see that the EPS forecast trend is lower here. However, considering that Nvidia recently came out with a horrible preannouncement and even more recently provided disappointing guidance, estimates should still go lower. Furthermore, EPS estimates may be too optimistic, as it is unclear whether Nvidia will have such impressive EPS growth in future years.EPS EstimatesEPS estimates(SeekingAlpha.com)One factor seems clear. The stock is still too expensive here. With an expected EPS of $3.75 this year, Nvidia's P/E ratio is 45, still very high. EPS projections are for $5.46 next year. However, this figure seems too high, cannot be trusted, and will likely get revised lower. Nevertheless, even if we apply the $5.46 EPS estimates, we still arrive at a P/E of more than 30 for Nvidia. Over thirty times questionable projected earnings is a high price for a company facing significant top and bottom line pressures and will probably see more earnings estimate declines.I anticipate that Nvidia could earn towards the lower end of current estimates, roughly $4 in EPS in fiscal 2024. Also, Nvidia deserves a lower P/E multiple due to poor performance and uncertainty. I'm comfortable with a forward P/E of 25-30 on a projected EPS of $4 for next year. This dynamic brings us to a buy-in price target of $100-120. In this range, Nvidia becomes a buy, but now at $170, the stock is a sell in my view. I will revisit this stock in the $100-120 range. Until then, there are better stocks to buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915268607,"gmtCreate":1665049589709,"gmtModify":1676537549395,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.","listText":"Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.","text":"Oil price up cause inflation up and interest rate also up. Up Up and Away.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915268607","repostId":"2273878036","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273878036","pubTimestamp":1665048117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273878036?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273878036","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100RBC says actual reduction likely to be a","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100</li><li>RBC says actual reduction likely to be about 1 million barrels</li></ul><p>The OPEC+ alliance agreed to its biggest production cut since the start of the pandemic in Vienna on Wednesday, a move that drew a swift rebuke from the US and prompted Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to increase its price forecast for global benchmark Brent crude this quarter.</p><p>Here’s what leading analysts have to say about the oil market after the group pledged to slash daily output by 2 million barrels from November:</p><h2>Morgan Stanley</h2><p>“Brent will find its way to $100 a barrel quicker than we estimated before” after OPEC+’s move, Morgan Stanley analysts including Martijn Rats said in a note. The reduction risks tightening markets significantly, although much depends on how Russian oil output fares once the European Union’s embargo comes into force, they said. The bank increased its Brent forecast $5 to $100 for the first three months of 2023, while keeping its outlook unchanged for the next three quarters.</p><h2>Goldman Sachs</h2><p>“All the developments we have seen on the supply side at this point very much sets the stage for what we believe will be higher prices into the end of this year,” Damien Courvalin, head of energy research, told Bloomberg TV. The bank increased its fourth-quarter estimate for Brent by $10 to $110 a barrel.</p><h2>UBS Group AG</h2><p>The oil market is expected to tighten further and Brent will advance above $100 over the coming quarters, analysts including Giovanni Staunovo said in a note. The OPEC+ cut will combine with the European ban on Russian crude imports, the likely end of OECD releases of strategic oil reserves, and higher demand from gas-to-oil switching this winter to squeeze the market.</p><h2>ING Groep NV</h2><p>The move is enough to dramatically change the balance for next year, pushing the market into a deficit for the whole of 2023, Warren Patterson, Singapore-based head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV, said in an interview. There is clear upside to the bank’s Brent forecast of $97 a barrel for next year, he said. However, further releases from US strategic reserves are seen as possible, although they would probably have only limited impact.</p><h2>Citigroup Inc.</h2><p>While the reduction is large on paper, the effective cut will be much smaller because the group is already failing to reach their quotas, analysts including Francesco Martoccia and Ed Morse said in a note. The move could backfire on OPEC+ if it hits economic activity and oil demand further, they added.</p><h2>RBC Capital Markets</h2><p>The actual cut will likely be about 1 million barrels a day, with Saudi Arabia accounting for more than half, analysts including Helima Croft said in a note. While the White House signaled there could be further releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, there’s unlikely to be another blockbuster release in the near term, they said.</p><h2>SPI Asset Management</h2><p>“The oil complex is busy gauging the complexities of the actual cut while factoring in the misalignments between the production and quota,” Managing Partner Stephen Innes said in a note. Brent crude could push back above $100 in the next few quarters, he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What Goldman to UBS Say About Oil After Big OPEC+ Cut\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 17:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/here-s-what-goldman-to-ubs-say-about-oil-after-big-opec-cut?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100RBC says actual reduction likely to be about 1 million barrelsThe OPEC+ alliance agreed to its biggest production cut since the start of the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/here-s-what-goldman-to-ubs-say-about-oil-after-big-opec-cut?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/here-s-what-goldman-to-ubs-say-about-oil-after-big-opec-cut?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273878036","content_text":"Analysts see global benchmark Brent rallying back above $100RBC says actual reduction likely to be about 1 million barrelsThe OPEC+ alliance agreed to its biggest production cut since the start of the pandemic in Vienna on Wednesday, a move that drew a swift rebuke from the US and prompted Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to increase its price forecast for global benchmark Brent crude this quarter.Here’s what leading analysts have to say about the oil market after the group pledged to slash daily output by 2 million barrels from November:Morgan Stanley“Brent will find its way to $100 a barrel quicker than we estimated before” after OPEC+’s move, Morgan Stanley analysts including Martijn Rats said in a note. The reduction risks tightening markets significantly, although much depends on how Russian oil output fares once the European Union’s embargo comes into force, they said. The bank increased its Brent forecast $5 to $100 for the first three months of 2023, while keeping its outlook unchanged for the next three quarters.Goldman Sachs“All the developments we have seen on the supply side at this point very much sets the stage for what we believe will be higher prices into the end of this year,” Damien Courvalin, head of energy research, told Bloomberg TV. The bank increased its fourth-quarter estimate for Brent by $10 to $110 a barrel.UBS Group AGThe oil market is expected to tighten further and Brent will advance above $100 over the coming quarters, analysts including Giovanni Staunovo said in a note. The OPEC+ cut will combine with the European ban on Russian crude imports, the likely end of OECD releases of strategic oil reserves, and higher demand from gas-to-oil switching this winter to squeeze the market.ING Groep NVThe move is enough to dramatically change the balance for next year, pushing the market into a deficit for the whole of 2023, Warren Patterson, Singapore-based head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV, said in an interview. There is clear upside to the bank’s Brent forecast of $97 a barrel for next year, he said. However, further releases from US strategic reserves are seen as possible, although they would probably have only limited impact.Citigroup Inc.While the reduction is large on paper, the effective cut will be much smaller because the group is already failing to reach their quotas, analysts including Francesco Martoccia and Ed Morse said in a note. The move could backfire on OPEC+ if it hits economic activity and oil demand further, they added.RBC Capital MarketsThe actual cut will likely be about 1 million barrels a day, with Saudi Arabia accounting for more than half, analysts including Helima Croft said in a note. While the White House signaled there could be further releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, there’s unlikely to be another blockbuster release in the near term, they said.SPI Asset Management“The oil complex is busy gauging the complexities of the actual cut while factoring in the misalignments between the production and quota,” Managing Partner Stephen Innes said in a note. Brent crude could push back above $100 in the next few quarters, he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937089120,"gmtCreate":1663321522561,"gmtModify":1676537251901,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937089120","repostId":"1190095898","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190095898","pubTimestamp":1663317624,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190095898?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-16 16:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190095898","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li><b>Uber</b> slid over 5% in premarket trading, it has shut down internal Slack messaging as it investigates a cybersecurity breach by a hacker claiming to have accessed the company’s data.</li></ul><ul><li><b>FedEx Corp</b> issued preliminary results. The company said it now expects first-quarter revenue of approximately $23.2 billion and first-quarter adjusted earnings to be around $3.44 per share. FedEx has withdrawn its fiscal year 2023 earnings forecast. The company expects business conditions to weaken further in the second quarter. FedEx shares dipped nearly 20% in premarket trading.</li><li><b>Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</b> and <b>Tyme Technologies, Inc.</b> announced stockholder approval of the merger agreement. Syros also announced a 1-for-10 reverse stock split will be effective Sept. 16. </li></ul><ul><li><b>Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.</b> reported the sale of its Chinese manufacturing facilities to Yuhan Optoelectronic Technology for $150 million. </li><li><b>Texas Instruments Incorporated</b> announced plans to increase its quarterly dividend from $1.15 to $1.24 per share. The company’s board also authorized a repurchase of an additional $15 billion of its common stock.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, FedEx, Texas Instruments And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-16 16:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/09/28893196/fedex-texas-instruments-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-friday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Uber slid over 5% in premarket trading, it has shut down internal Slack...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/09/28893196/fedex-texas-instruments-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-friday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SYRS":"Syros Pharmaceuticals Inc.","TYME":"Tyme Technologies, Inc.","AAOI":"Applied Optoelectronics Inc.","UBER":"优步","TXN":"德州仪器","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/09/28893196/fedex-texas-instruments-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-friday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190095898","content_text":"With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Uber slid over 5% in premarket trading, it has shut down internal Slack messaging as it investigates a cybersecurity breach by a hacker claiming to have accessed the company’s data.FedEx Corp issued preliminary results. The company said it now expects first-quarter revenue of approximately $23.2 billion and first-quarter adjusted earnings to be around $3.44 per share. FedEx has withdrawn its fiscal year 2023 earnings forecast. The company expects business conditions to weaken further in the second quarter. FedEx shares dipped nearly 20% in premarket trading.Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Tyme Technologies, Inc. announced stockholder approval of the merger agreement. Syros also announced a 1-for-10 reverse stock split will be effective Sept. 16. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. reported the sale of its Chinese manufacturing facilities to Yuhan Optoelectronic Technology for $150 million. Texas Instruments Incorporated announced plans to increase its quarterly dividend from $1.15 to $1.24 per share. The company’s board also authorized a repurchase of an additional $15 billion of its common stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923205851,"gmtCreate":1670858774274,"gmtModify":1676538447561,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923205851","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919356323,"gmtCreate":1663737214162,"gmtModify":1676537326651,"author":{"id":"4109553842414360","authorId":"4109553842414360","name":"Tyk23","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27154973b2c57dc48ff0ce61f14b937f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109553842414360","authorIdStr":"4109553842414360"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope so. In the red now.","listText":"Hope so. In the red now.","text":"Hope so. In the red now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919356323","repostId":"2269909745","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2269909745","pubTimestamp":1663717151,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269909745?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269909745","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the F","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decision</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac59bb2b41ad9f787574330ce399463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>STEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>With the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are expected to announce a 0.75 percentage point rate hike, the Fed decision on Wednesday may once again be followed by stock-market gains, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.</p><p>According to Dow Jones Market Data, the previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 — March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 — the S&amp;P 500 rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, respectively.</p><p>“Wednesdays of Fed meeting weeks this year show the highest daily S&amp;P returns of 1.8 percent on average for the 5-day period, and the best win rate as well,” the Wall Street veteran wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p>“No guarantees that this will happen again this Wednesday, of course, but we would not be surprised to see traders front-run this fact tomorrow,” Colas noted.</p><p>Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&amp;P 500 mired in a bear market and down more than 19% for the year to date. Indeed, the Fed’s aggressive tightening pace as it attempts to rein in stubborn inflation gets much of the blame for the market’s 2022 downturn.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5339984a27d1eb5cdaf1c7f000c78dc6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SOURCE: RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p>U.S. stocks started the week higher with the S&amp;P 500 closing up by 0.7% on Monday. However, stocks came under pressure on Tuesday as investors held firm on expectation of another aggressive rate hike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 313 points lower, or 1%. The S&amp;P 500 shed 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.9%.</p><p>According to Colas, the phenomenon of a “Fed Drift”, which sees that equities have tended to rally into and through FOMC meetings and hold their gains the day after, no longer works.</p><p>The New York Federal Reserve Bank studied data from 1994 to 2011, which showed the S&amp;P 500 index normally rose 24 hours before the scheduled FOMC announcements. It then drifted sharply higher in the morning of the announcement, and was on average flat, both in the hours immediately after the decision and on the following day.</p><p>Markets are pricing in a hike of 75 basis points, with futures showing a 16% chance of a full percentage point increase, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Investors expect the Fed will not only set a new Fed funds rate but will give them a glimpse to how high it will go in the future.</p><p>According to Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, the company foresees an additional 75 basis points before year-end, which will be combined at the November and December meetings and bring the policy rate to 4%.</p><p>“First, the action taken thus far has already impacted the more interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy, especially the housing market,” Adam wrote in a client note dated Sept.16. “Second, although the easing of inflation has been more stubborn than expected, there are a number of real-time indicators that suggest it will cool further in the months ahead (e.g., promotional activity, declining ocean freight rates, lower commodity prices).”</p><p>That is why Adam contends that the worst of this bear market is “likely being behind us” as inflation will moderate over the next year, but the path is “unlikely to be quick or smooth”.</p><p>“Over the coming weeks, the bear market will likely take time to digest the inflationary data flow with back-and-forth trading,” Adam wrote. “With this in mind, we recommend not chasing rallies and using pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate favored stocks for the next bull market.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269909745","content_text":"Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are expected to announce a 0.75 percentage point rate hike, the Fed decision on Wednesday may once again be followed by stock-market gains, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.According to Dow Jones Market Data, the previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 — March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 — the S&P 500 rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, respectively.“Wednesdays of Fed meeting weeks this year show the highest daily S&P returns of 1.8 percent on average for the 5-day period, and the best win rate as well,” the Wall Street veteran wrote in a Tuesday note.“No guarantees that this will happen again this Wednesday, of course, but we would not be surprised to see traders front-run this fact tomorrow,” Colas noted.Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&P 500 mired in a bear market and down more than 19% for the year to date. Indeed, the Fed’s aggressive tightening pace as it attempts to rein in stubborn inflation gets much of the blame for the market’s 2022 downturn.SOURCE: RAYMOND JAMESU.S. stocks started the week higher with the S&P 500 closing up by 0.7% on Monday. However, stocks came under pressure on Tuesday as investors held firm on expectation of another aggressive rate hike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 313 points lower, or 1%. The S&P 500 shed 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.9%.According to Colas, the phenomenon of a “Fed Drift”, which sees that equities have tended to rally into and through FOMC meetings and hold their gains the day after, no longer works.The New York Federal Reserve Bank studied data from 1994 to 2011, which showed the S&P 500 index normally rose 24 hours before the scheduled FOMC announcements. It then drifted sharply higher in the morning of the announcement, and was on average flat, both in the hours immediately after the decision and on the following day.Markets are pricing in a hike of 75 basis points, with futures showing a 16% chance of a full percentage point increase, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Investors expect the Fed will not only set a new Fed funds rate but will give them a glimpse to how high it will go in the future.According to Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, the company foresees an additional 75 basis points before year-end, which will be combined at the November and December meetings and bring the policy rate to 4%.“First, the action taken thus far has already impacted the more interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy, especially the housing market,” Adam wrote in a client note dated Sept.16. “Second, although the easing of inflation has been more stubborn than expected, there are a number of real-time indicators that suggest it will cool further in the months ahead (e.g., promotional activity, declining ocean freight rates, lower commodity prices).”That is why Adam contends that the worst of this bear market is “likely being behind us” as inflation will moderate over the next year, but the path is “unlikely to be quick or smooth”.“Over the coming weeks, the bear market will likely take time to digest the inflationary data flow with back-and-forth trading,” Adam wrote. “With this in mind, we recommend not chasing rallies and using pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate favored stocks for the next bull market.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3553658931361428","authorId":"3553658931361428","name":"yaozong7","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db82c58fe151c6056334e54bf8ceeee","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553658931361428","authorIdStr":"3553658931361428"},"content":"don't fight the fed!","text":"don't fight the fed!","html":"don't fight the fed!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}