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2022-06-07

$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$Aurora Spine's Dexa Solo-L fusion device gets FDA nodseekingalpha2022-06-07 02:47Aurora Cannabis Inc-4.38%Grandbrothers/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesAurora Spine (OTCQB:ASAPF) said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted 510(k) clearance to its Dexa Solo-L spinal fusion system.The company said in a June 6 press release that the system, which is part of the DEXA Technology platform, is a standalone device for anterior and lateral lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF & LLIF) procedures and is the first of its kind device for lumbar spine in the world.The system is also the first color-coded, bone-mimicking structure implant in the marketplace, according to the company."We are thrilled to receive this new approval for

2023-11-29

$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$ buy all

2022-10-31

$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$uup upp up gogogo

2022-06-19

$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$time buy[Grin]

2022-04-27

Buy n hold

Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price

2022-05-27

$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$up

2022-11-09

Go republik

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-24

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$time is buy❤️up up up go go go....

2022-04-19

Buy n hold

Is Tesla Stock A Buy Or Sell Ahead Of Upcoming Earnings?

2022-11-25

Like

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-01

$GameStop(GME)$good buy🎉🚀

2022-10-28

$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$uup up up.buy buy buy😘

2022-10-07

$Agora, Inc.(API)$ttime is buy[Miser] [love you]

2022-06-24

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$go buy

2022-06-06

$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$buy

2022-04-25

Buy n hold

Will Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?

2022-04-25

Buy n hold

Twitter Is Said to Re-examine Musk Bid, May Be Open to Deal

2022-11-09

Up

Palantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing

2022-11-08

$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀

2022-11-07

Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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J.P. Morgan Says ‘Buy’","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289160682","media":"TipRanks","summary":"A strong jobs report these days runs counter to the Fed’s wishes. The line of thought is that if the","content":"<div>\n<p>A strong jobs report these days runs counter to the Fed’s wishes. The line of thought is that if the job market is still too hot, the Fed won’t be keen on loosening its tight monetary policy in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bottom-3-stocks-j-p-174743953.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Bottom Is in for These 3 Stocks? J.P. Morgan Says ‘Buy’</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Bottom Is in for These 3 Stocks? J.P. Morgan Says ‘Buy’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-06 01:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bottom-3-stocks-j-p-174743953.html><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A strong jobs report these days runs counter to the Fed’s wishes. The line of thought is that if the job market is still too hot, the Fed won’t be keen on loosening its tight monetary policy in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bottom-3-stocks-j-p-174743953.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/9nKvkFhEIo.6f.VU4sA97w--~B/aD00NjM7dz04NTI7YXBwaWQ9eXRhY2h5b24-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/tipranks_452/d690625fa1ea072071391e995409e346","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1989772840.SGD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc SGD-H","LU1989772923.USD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc USD-H","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","GWRE":"Guidewire Software","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc.","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bottom-3-stocks-j-p-174743953.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2289160682","content_text":"A strong jobs report these days runs counter to the Fed’s wishes. The line of thought is that if the job market is still too hot, the Fed won’t be keen on loosening its tight monetary policy in the ongoing efforts to tame inflation. And this is a scenario the market is keen to avoid after a series of 75 basis-point hikes this year.\nBut J.P. Morgan Asset Management chief strategist David Kelly thinks the latest numbers flatter to deceive and believes the way the data is reported distorts the reality, which beneath the surface hides “more weakness.” This is good news for those worried about more aggressive hikes.\n\"When I look at the overall mosaic of what's going on in the jobs market, I think it's still moderating here, and I think the Federal Reserve will ultimately have plenty of excuse to taper down the rate hikes and pause them in the first quarter of next year,\" Kelly explained.\nThat could signal that the bear maker might be reaching its apex and the bottom could be in sight for some beaten-down names.\nAgainst this backdrop, Kelly’s analyst colleagues at the banking giant are recommending investors lean into several names that fit a certain profile; down significantly recently but primed to push ahead. We ran these tickers through the TipRanks database to see what the rest of the Street makes of these choices. Let’s check the details.\nChargePoint (CHPT)\nOne of the biggest developments in the stock market over the past few years has been the rise of the electric vehicle (EV) segment. Led by Tesla, other companies have clocked an opportunity to ride this secular trend, but with increasing adoption, there’s also the attendant infrastructure needed to support this new industry. This is where ChargePoint enters the frame.\nThe company operates one of the biggest EV charging networks in the world, boasting a leading position in North America – 7x more market share than the nearest rival in networked level 2 charging - whilst continuing to make a big dent in Europe too. In total, there are over 211,000 ChargePoint charging spots in the U.S. and Europe.\nHowever, ChargePoint has been at the mercy of supply chain woes, and these impacted the company’s latest quarterly results – for the third quarter of fiscal 2023 (October quarter). While revenue climbed by 93% from the same period a year ago to $125.34 million, the figure missed Street expectations by $6.78 million. And with supply chain disruptions impacting both cost and supply availability, gross margins dropped year-over-year from 25% to 18% of sales. As such, EPS came in at -$0.25, worse than consensus at -$0.23.\nThe market was not happy with the display and sent shares down in the subsequent session, adding to the year’s losses, which now stand at 38%.\nHowever, while noting the current issues, J.P. Morgan’s Bill Peterson lays out the reasons to stay bullish.\n“While supply constraints are generally abating, the team is still facing cost headwinds such that full-year margins are now expected to come in below expectations (though directionally in-line with our preview),” the analyst explained. “Nevertheless, with opex coming in below expectations and ChargePoint delivering solid operating leverage, we are increasingly confident that ChargePoint can demonstrate further improvement to be on track to free cash flow positive by the end of CY24.”\n“We continue to think ChargePoint’s scale and leadership across verticals (fleet, commercial, and residential) is underappreciated, as are the software and service offerings, which, while lagging the hyper-growth seen in connected hardware sales, should accelerate in the coming years with an expanding share of repeat customers,” Peterson went on to add.\nAs such, Peterson rates CHPT an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating along with an $18 price target. This figure conveys his confidence in CHPT's ability to soar 53% in the next twelve months. (To watch Peterson’s track record, click here)\nMost analysts are thinking along the same lines; with 5 Buys vs. 1 Hold, the stock claims a Strong Buy consensus rating. There’s plenty of upside projected too; at $19.67, the average target makes room for 12-month gains of 68%. (See CHPT stock forecast on TipRanks)\n\n\n\nGuidewire (GWRE)\nThe digital transformation has been given a makeover for many segments, including the insurance industry. Stepping in to cater to the transition is Guidewire, a company that provides essential software systems for the Property and Casualty (P&C) insurance market and is considered a leader in the space. Its products cover everything from policy administration to claims, to underwriting and analytics and the company has been focusing on moving customers to its cloud platform. This is still an undeveloped area in the insurance industry, so there’s plenty of room for growth here.\nGuidewire will release its latest quarterly results on Tuesday (December 6), but we can look at the July quarter results to get a feel for the business’ standing. \nIn the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022, revenue increased by 7% year-over-year to $244.6 million, while beating the Street’s call by $14.97 million. Likewise on the bottom-line, adj. EPS of $0.03 beat the analysts’ forecast of -$0.01.\nHowever, concerns about softening demand given the troubled economic backdrop have weighed on the shares, which in total are down 48% year-to-date. \nNevertheless, J.P. Morgan’s Alexei Gogolev highlights the potential for growth ahead. He writes, “GWRE caters to the part of the insurance market that is less than one-third penetrated, implying a sustainable growth outlook... GWRE has established one of the leading competitive positions, which allows the company to 1) lead the on-premise software integration and 2) successfully transition into the leading provider of cloud solutions to the insurance carriers. The latter allowed GWRE to become the go-to vendor for both new and existing insurance carriers that wish to migrate their operations to the cloud. We estimate that GWRE could potentially more than double its existing revenue by migrating its existing customer base to the cloud.”\nThese comments underpin Gogolev's Overweight (i.e., Buy) rating on Guidewire shares. With a price tag of $78, the analyst believes shares could surge 34% in the next twelve months. (To watch Gogolev’s track record, click here)\nThe rest of the Street offers an array of opinions when considering Guidewire’s prospects; all told, the stock claims a Moderate Buy consensus rating, based on 7 Buys, 4 Holds and 1 Sell. The forecast calls for 12-month gains of ~44%, considering the average target clocks in at $83.80. (See GWRE stock forecast on TipRanks)\n\n\n\n\n\nFarfetch Limited (FTCH)\nThe last JPM-endorsed stock we come across is Farfetch, a company specializing in the sale of luxury fashion goods. These are sold via FTCH’s online platform, with the 1,400+ luxury brands on offer ranging from jewelry to high-end shoes, to fashion for men and women, and plenty of accessories in between. The British-Portuguese venture is headquartered in London, UK, but also has offices in major global hubs such as New York, LA, Tokyo and Shanghai, amongst others.\nLuxury goods are thought to be somewhat shielded from the inflationary environment, but that line of thought has not helped Farfetch overcome 2022’s bear. In fact, the shares are down by a miserable 83% this year, with the company’s Q3 report not helping matters. Specifically, adj. EPS of -$0.24 came in worse than the prognosticators’ call for -$0.20.\nThat disappointing event was followed by another. The company recently held an Investor Day in which it laid out its 3-year outlook but it failed to impress. The shares tumbled by 35% in the subsequent session, a sell-off J.P. Morgan’s Doug Anmuth calls “overdone” and one that creates an “attractive entry point.”\nAnmuth’s bull thesis for FTCH rests on several points: “1) FTCH’s position as the leading global marketplace in the $300B luxury market that is rapidly shifting online; 2) FTCH’s well-established e-concessions model that attracts more brands & inventory to the platform; 3) FTCH’s strong position in the high growth China luxury market through both the FTCH app & recently launched store on Alibaba’s Tmall Luxury Pavilion (TLP); & 4) FTCH’s several partnerships & growth drivers ahead including Richemont/YNAP, Reebok, Neiman Marcus, & Ferragamo.”\n“We recognize that FTCH is a show-me story,” the 5-star analyst summed up, “but we believe the company continues to become a more valuable partner to the global luxury industry.”\nTo this end, Anmuth reiterates an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating for the shares along with a $15 price target. The implication for investors? Upside of a hefty 174% from current levels. (To watch Anmuth’s track record, click here)\nLooking at the consensus breakdown, the analysts’ view is that this stock is a Moderate Buy, based on 9 Buys vs. 1 Hold and Sell, each. Most appear to think the shares have taken too much of a beating; at $13.74, the average target suggests they will climb 151% higher over the one-year timeframe. (See Farfetch stock forecast on TipRanks)\n\n\n\n\n\nTo find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.\nDisclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analyst. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966935749,"gmtCreate":1669374100582,"gmtModify":1676538190572,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966935749","repostId":"1192259531","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1192259531","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669370331,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1192259531?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-25 17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi Technologies: Tough Blow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192259531","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe US government just extended its Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium.As a result, I am","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The US government just extended its Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium.</li><li>As a result, I am updating my FY 2022 EBITDA forecast.</li><li>The student loan payment freeze is likely to weigh on SoFi’s valuation going forward.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/396551426d23970def6385a42a6f3c8a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"709\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan</span></p><p>The Biden administration just dealt SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) a major blow by unexpectedly extending the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium from December 2022 to June 2023 on Tuesday. The extension is set to push out SoFi&#39;s earnings fromits student loan business further out into the future and it limits new student loan refinancings. While I have to adjust my EBITDA outlook for next year, I still believe that SoFi has considerable potential to become a major player in the FinTech space over the long term. Because of the unexpected extension of the student loan moratorium, I am changing my rating on SoFi from buy to hold!</p><p><b>Another extension of the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium</b></p><p>The repayment of student loans was first frozen in FY 2020 in reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic and it was meant to provide financial relief for student loan borrowers at a time when the US economy was shut down. The US government subsequently extended the student loan payment pause multiple times. On Tuesday, the Biden administration announced that it was yet again extending the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium from December 2022 to June 2023, meaning SoFi will continue to see a delay in student loan repayments which limits the FinTech&#39;s earnings potential in FY 2023.</p><p>Because student loans are a big business for SoFi, the extension of the student loan moratorium in April of this year specifically resulted in SoFi massively down-grading its net revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook for FY 2022. The personal finance company at the time reduced its net revenue outlook from $1.57B to $1.47B and its adjusted EBITDA guidance from $180M to just $100M, showing a decrease of $80M. SoFi later raised its FY 2022 guidance to account for strong member and product growth as well as improving customer monetization.</p><p>Repeated extensions of the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium have resulted in a major decline in SoFi&#39;s student loan business. Originations of student loans were a key driver of growth for SoFi before the pandemic, but the current situation has not helped the business very much. In the third-quarter, SoFi&#39;s student loan originations dropped 53% year over year to just $457.2M as borrowers have no reason to do student loan refinancings. Student loans accounted for an origination share of just 13% in Q3&#39;22, down from more than twice this amount in the year-earlier period. Subsequent extensions of the student loan moratorium are set to suppress SoFi&#39;s origination business for even longer which could result in growing valuation pressure on SoFi&#39;s shares.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01bcebc950934ba5879ae16288435bb6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SoFi&#39;s Originations Business</span></p><p><b>Updated adjusted EBITDA guidance</b></p><p>Before the extension, I estimated that SoFi could generate $200M in adjusted EBITDA in FY 2023 which was based on the assumption that student loan payments would resume in January. This clearly is now no longer possible and I therefore have to take accountability and lower my estimate. I believe that SoFi may achieve adjusted EBITDA closer to $150M in FY 2023 as the moratorium will last at least through half of the next year.</p><p><b>SoFi&#39;s valuation remains attractive for long term investors</b></p><p>SoFi&#39; shares have revalued 71% to the down-side this year and the personal finance company is a major loser in my portfolio. However, I believe the FinTech&#39;s strong member and product growth help make a strong investment case for SoFi. Although growth is slowing, SoFi has no problems acquiring hundreds of thousands of new members a quarter.</p><p>SoFi is currently expected to generate $2.05B in revenues in FY 2023, implying 34% year over year top line growth. This year, SoFi is projected to grow its revenues by 50%. The FinTech is also expected to be profitable in FY 2024. Based off of revenues (since SoFi is not yet profitable), shares have a P/S ratio of 2.1 X which is 37% below the 1-year average P/S ratio.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9663839c3bc633e27b78be77943b64fd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Risks with SoFi</b></p><p>Although SoFi is adding a significant number of new members to its platform each quarter, it is also true that the FinTech&#39;s growth is decelerating, post-pandemic. The personal finance company added 424 thousand new members to its ecosystem just in the third-quarter, but Q3&#39;22 was also the fifth straight quarter of revenue deceleration. SoFi benefited from a wave of customer sign-ups during the pandemic, but this period of hyper-growth is clearly coming to an end. Slowing top line growth is as big a risk for SoFi as another extension of the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium in June 2023 which would be set to hurt SoFi&#39;s student loan origination business.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>The Biden administration really dealt a blow to SoFi this week and I didn&#39;t expect the extension of the student loan moratorium at all. As a result, SoFi&#39;s adjusted EBITDA may not be as high as I estimated recently. While SoFi&#39;s earnings are only going to be pushed out in the future, the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium extension is a net-negative for SoFi and I was clearly wrong assuming that payments would resume in January. While I still like SoFi due to its excellent (although decelerating) member growth rates and expanding product offerings, especially in financial services, I believe SoFi&#39;s shares may continue to struggle in the near term!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi Technologies: Tough Blow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi Technologies: Tough Blow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-25 17:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560450-sofi-technologies-tough-blow><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe US government just extended its Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium.As a result, I am updating my FY 2022 EBITDA forecast.The student loan payment freeze is likely to weigh on SoFi’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560450-sofi-technologies-tough-blow\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560450-sofi-technologies-tough-blow","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192259531","content_text":"SummaryThe US government just extended its Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium.As a result, I am updating my FY 2022 EBITDA forecast.The student loan payment freeze is likely to weigh on SoFi’s valuation going forward.Justin SullivanThe Biden administration just dealt SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) a major blow by unexpectedly extending the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium from December 2022 to June 2023 on Tuesday. The extension is set to push out SoFi's earnings fromits student loan business further out into the future and it limits new student loan refinancings. While I have to adjust my EBITDA outlook for next year, I still believe that SoFi has considerable potential to become a major player in the FinTech space over the long term. Because of the unexpected extension of the student loan moratorium, I am changing my rating on SoFi from buy to hold!Another extension of the Federal Student Loan Payment MoratoriumThe repayment of student loans was first frozen in FY 2020 in reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic and it was meant to provide financial relief for student loan borrowers at a time when the US economy was shut down. The US government subsequently extended the student loan payment pause multiple times. On Tuesday, the Biden administration announced that it was yet again extending the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium from December 2022 to June 2023, meaning SoFi will continue to see a delay in student loan repayments which limits the FinTech's earnings potential in FY 2023.Because student loans are a big business for SoFi, the extension of the student loan moratorium in April of this year specifically resulted in SoFi massively down-grading its net revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook for FY 2022. The personal finance company at the time reduced its net revenue outlook from $1.57B to $1.47B and its adjusted EBITDA guidance from $180M to just $100M, showing a decrease of $80M. SoFi later raised its FY 2022 guidance to account for strong member and product growth as well as improving customer monetization.Repeated extensions of the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium have resulted in a major decline in SoFi's student loan business. Originations of student loans were a key driver of growth for SoFi before the pandemic, but the current situation has not helped the business very much. In the third-quarter, SoFi's student loan originations dropped 53% year over year to just $457.2M as borrowers have no reason to do student loan refinancings. Student loans accounted for an origination share of just 13% in Q3'22, down from more than twice this amount in the year-earlier period. Subsequent extensions of the student loan moratorium are set to suppress SoFi's origination business for even longer which could result in growing valuation pressure on SoFi's shares.SoFi's Originations BusinessUpdated adjusted EBITDA guidanceBefore the extension, I estimated that SoFi could generate $200M in adjusted EBITDA in FY 2023 which was based on the assumption that student loan payments would resume in January. This clearly is now no longer possible and I therefore have to take accountability and lower my estimate. I believe that SoFi may achieve adjusted EBITDA closer to $150M in FY 2023 as the moratorium will last at least through half of the next year.SoFi's valuation remains attractive for long term investorsSoFi' shares have revalued 71% to the down-side this year and the personal finance company is a major loser in my portfolio. However, I believe the FinTech's strong member and product growth help make a strong investment case for SoFi. Although growth is slowing, SoFi has no problems acquiring hundreds of thousands of new members a quarter.SoFi is currently expected to generate $2.05B in revenues in FY 2023, implying 34% year over year top line growth. This year, SoFi is projected to grow its revenues by 50%. The FinTech is also expected to be profitable in FY 2024. Based off of revenues (since SoFi is not yet profitable), shares have a P/S ratio of 2.1 X which is 37% below the 1-year average P/S ratio.Data by YChartsRisks with SoFiAlthough SoFi is adding a significant number of new members to its platform each quarter, it is also true that the FinTech's growth is decelerating, post-pandemic. The personal finance company added 424 thousand new members to its ecosystem just in the third-quarter, but Q3'22 was also the fifth straight quarter of revenue deceleration. SoFi benefited from a wave of customer sign-ups during the pandemic, but this period of hyper-growth is clearly coming to an end. Slowing top line growth is as big a risk for SoFi as another extension of the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium in June 2023 which would be set to hurt SoFi's student loan origination business.Final thoughtsThe Biden administration really dealt a blow to SoFi this week and I didn't expect the extension of the student loan moratorium at all. As a result, SoFi's adjusted EBITDA may not be as high as I estimated recently. While SoFi's earnings are only going to be pushed out in the future, the Federal Student Loan Payment Moratorium extension is a net-negative for SoFi and I was clearly wrong assuming that payments would resume in January. While I still like SoFi due to its excellent (although decelerating) member growth rates and expanding product offerings, especially in financial services, I believe SoFi's shares may continue to struggle in the near term!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987798263,"gmtCreate":1667984734952,"gmtModify":1676537994509,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987798263","repostId":"1119565865","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119565865","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667970397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119565865?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 13:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119565865","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMy investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenu","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>My investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenue growth in 2022 will be 23.29% rather than 30%+ in 2022.</li><li>Palantir Technologies has significantly declining margins and it is generating less cash from operations off more revenue, which is concerning.</li><li>I plan on adding to my position and dollar cost averaging, as Palantir has increased its customer base by 134 YoY and now has other positives, such as an interesting valuation.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6cfa718e8398417ea21d2c4e2d8712\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Michael Vi</span></p><p>I was very critical of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) after their Q2 earnings call in August, which was reflected in my article, where I went from bullish to neutral inthe blink of an eye. I indicated that I was still bullish on the company&#39;s business prospects, but was disappointed with how Alex Karp&#39;s (Palantir CEO) commentary and how he conducted himself. After listening to the conference call and reading through the presentation, press release, and Alex Karp&#39;s letter to shareholders, I believed there were many things to like, but the original thesis he outlined was changing.</p><p>Since 2022 isn&#39;t playing out according to plan, I need to take a step back and recalculate my projections. Thankfully, the Q3 conference call on 7 November went much better than Q2&#39;s, but the results weren&#39;t overwhelmingly good. For all of the powerful slides of information embedded within the presentation, the bottom line is that Palantir&#39;s revenue growth won&#39;t hit Alek Karp&#39;s projections, and their margins are being impacted. This is causing the narrative to change. PLTR could still become a great long-term investment, but in the short term, I think shareholders will need to endure unwanted volatility.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bce4c6da47a33baf858c7b09566bba8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><h2>The ugly part of Q3 and how it is making my projections change</h2><p>In Q2 of 2021, PLTR reinforced their long-term outlook of 30%+ revenue growth for 2021 and the next 4 years, bringing them through 2025. PLTR had projected that its 2021 Adjusted FCF (free cash flow) would exceed $300 million in 2021, which would be a 100% increase from its previous outlook. I dislike adjusted numbers and would rather look at straight FCF, which is cash from operations minus CapEx or purchases of property and equipment. In 2021, PLTR ended the year generating $1.54 billion in revenue and $321.22 million of FCF for an FCF margin of 20.83%.</p><p>I built a model based on PLTR&#39;s commentary and their 2021 FCF margin. In my model, which is below, I had PLTR&#39;s revenue grow by 30% through 2025, then drop down to 25%, 22%, 19%, 17%, and 15% from years 2026 - 2030. Based on 2021&#39;s FCF margin of 20.83%, if these revenue growth numbers were in the ballpark, PLTR would have generated $2.53 billion of FCF in 2030 from $12.16 billion of revenue. Based on a 25x FCF multiple, PLTR would have a $63.30 billion market cap; at a 35x multiple, PLTR would have an $88.62 billion market; and at a 45x multiple, PLTR would have a $113.94 billion market cap. While Q2 made me switch my view because I was worried about how PLTR would be perceived by potential customers, the future looked interesting as there was a clear roadmap to a much larger market cap into 2030 than PLTR had today. All of this ended after the Q3 2022 conference call, and I now need to build a new model.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ae01fb83faa817f70110891f770c9b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"66\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d239d9dac695fda355bc570b6c2ea77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>I can no longer use the model I previously based my investment thesis around because PLTR&#39;s projections for revenue growth in 2022 have changed, and their margins have decreased significantly. PLTR is now guiding for $1.9 billion of revenue as its midpoint for the fiscal year of 2022. This is a YoY increase of $359.10 million, which is a 23.29% growth rate. The other issue is that PLTR&#39;s FCF margin has declined in the first 9-months of operations from 21.07% in 2021 to 7.86% in 2022. In the first 9 months of operations in 2021, PLTR generated $1.11 billion of revenue and $233.64 million of FCF for a 21.07% FCF margin. YTD over the first 9 months of 2022, PLR&#39;s revenue has increased by 25.99% YoY ($288.23 million) to $1.4 billion, but its cash from operations has declined by -$95.45 million (-39.70%), and their CapEx has increased by $28.33 million (417.60%), placing its FCF at $109.87 million. PLTR&#39;s FCF margin has declined by -13.20 percentage points to 7.86% from 21.07% YoY. As an investor, I need to readjust my investment thesis based on the new information and determine if 2022 is an anomaly or a new normal.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d97f8eea6c89e38d0b039fe76b44b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>I built 2 models to see where PLTR&#39;s numbers could go. My original cash flow projection called for $2.53 billion of FCF from $12.16 billion of revenue in 2030 based on 2021&#39;s FCF margin, and my revenue assumptions extrapolated past the 2025 projection from PLTR. In model 1, I chalked 2022 up to an anomaly. If I keep the revenue growth rate the same from 2023-2030 and the FCF margin the same as my previous figures, PLTR will generate $10.2 billion of revenue and $2.12 billion of FCF in 2030.</p><p>In model 2, I made the assumption that PLTR&#39;s revenue growth is downhill from here, and the entire thesis needs to change. 2022 is now projected to be a 23.29% YoY revenue growth rate for PLTR, so I projected accordingly. Instead of 30% growth rates for 2023 - 2025 ,I placed them at 20%, 20%, and 18%. Then I scaled down to 16%, 14%, 12%, 10%, and 8% for years 2026 - 2030. I completely speculated on the FCF margin and placed it at 10% for 2022, and looked at a 15% FCF margin for 2030. Based on these projections, PLTR would generate $5.68 billion of revenue in 2030 and produce $852.54 million of FCF.</p><p>I don&#39;t have a crystal ball, so I don&#39;t know which model is more accurate, but 2022 isn&#39;t what PLTR had hoped for, and it&#39;s certainly not what I had hoped for. PLTR is generating less cash from operations, and its margins are declining, especially its FCF margin. As an investor, I want to see as much cash and FCF generated from operations as possible, and if its revenue is increasing, I would hope that PLTR is generating additional cash from operations. There isn&#39;t enough data yet for me to lean in either direction, and I want to see how Q4 turns out and what the first half of 2023 looks like prior to making any decisions. While I still think PLTR has a lot of potential, its numbers have deflated my investment thesis, and I am not nearly as enthusiastic as I once was.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b01bc10374ca97fc6d7dd4f131c7aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c52c2f63ca61a261775c95bca20c753b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"871\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>The other aspect I am not thrilled about is PLTR&#39;s stock-based compensation (&#34;SBCU&#34;), but not for the reasons you may suspect. PLTR is a growth company and they are competing against Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), and the rest of Silicon Valley for software engineers, in addition to every other company for quality salespeople. I would much rather have PLTR tap the equity markets and issue stock-based compensation to fuel its growth instead of tapping the debt markets. I am willing to undergo some dilution for this as many other successful companies, including Tesla (TSLA), have operated in this fashion.</p><p>The problem is that there is no clear picture of how stock-based compensation is awarded to its employees. We see the line items of where it&#39;s expensed to, but we don&#39;t know how it&#39;s distributed. In the first 9 months of operations in 2022, stock-based comp has declined -$175.91 million (-28.78%) to $435.40 million YoY, and in Q3, it declined by -$44.53 million (-24.09%) to $140.31 million YoY. While PLTR is utilizing stock-based comp less and less, operationally, PLTR isn&#39;t hitting its metrics. Revenue growth is slowing and is projected to come in at 23.29% rather than 30% YoY in 2022, and net dollar retention is stalled at 119% for 2 quarters in a row.</p><p>As a shareholder, I am fine with PLTR as a growth company utilizing stock-based compensation if it&#39;s beneficial to the bottom line. In this case, I am not seeing PLTR deliver operationally, while shareholders are diluted and employees are rewarded with additional shares.</p><h2>By the numbers, 2022 isn&#39;t what I had hoped it would be, Q3 earnings weren&#39;t entirely bad, and Palantir still has tremendous potential, but the real question is, can they capitalize?</h2><p>Businesses look toward testimonials and customer feedback to provide validation for their product or service. When it comes to enterprise software, real-world use cases and an A-list of clients are critical for future growth. Palantir has changed up its marketing strategy and put together an entire conference called FoundryCon, which was tailored to the U.S commercial market and open to shareholders, global customers, the press, and the general public. Following the opening fireside talk between Alex Karp and Mike Allen (Co-Founder of Axios), presentations from the U.S. Space Systems Command and the National Cancer Institute were delivered, in addition to remarks from companies that included Jacobs, Morgan Stanley, Apache, and Tyson Foods.</p><p>Tyson Foods CTO Scott Spradley discussed the strategic outcomes that were achieved through transforming their business and generating $200 million in savings across 20 projects. John Rickerman from Jacobs highlighted that they are on track to save $300,000 annually at one of their sites, which was a 20% savings, and they have 300 sites where the same process can be replicated at. Colonel Jennifer Krolikowski stated that 15,000 people would not have been able to be evacuated from Afghanistan without utilizing PLTR&#39;s software.</p><p>PLTR is driving efficiencies and cost benefits for the largest companies and critical government agencies. PLTR is also one of three companies, which includes Amazon (AMZN) and MSFT, that have IL6 Provisional Authorization from the DOD. PLTR&#39;s testimonials are from the largest and most respected entities, and this certainly has an impact on future clients.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/871aee443bc3808cd89c5fc1e4ba2514\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>Once again, Alek Karp put one of the most bullish slides in the Q3 shareholder letter rather than the Q3 presentation. Quite frankly, this slide is something many investors are probably overlooking, and it is critical for the bull thesis. On a TTM basis in Q3 2020, PLTR&#39;s new customer base declined by -29.41%, as they only generated 12 new customers vs. 17 in the year prior. PLTR wasn&#39;t a well-known company in 2020, and for those who knew of PLTR, the common perception was that they were a black box company specializing in platforms for the military-industrial complex.</p><p>PLTR didn&#39;t go public until the fall of 2020, and after they did, their new customer base exploded as more information about PLTR was circulated, and companies saw successful use cases from their industry peers. In 2021 PLTR added 49 additional new customers on a TTM basis in Q3, up 408.33% YoY, as they finished with 61 new customers. In Q3 of 2022, PLTR experienced a huge increase in new customers. PLTR&#39;s new customer base in Q3 of 2022 on a TTM basis grew by 119.67% or 73 new customers YoY to 134.</p><p>I wasn&#39;t thrilled with the net dollar retention being stuck at 119% for 2 consecutive quarters, but seeing the cohort growth in new customers, there will be plenty of chances to upsell customers and add additional functionality to their contracts. Over the last 2 years, PLTR has added 195 new customers, and while new customer growth has decelerated on a percentage basis, it has increased in size YoY. Based on the previous 2 years, PLTR could end up having 450-500 customers by this time next year. If PLTR replicates its 134 new customer growth over the next 12 months, it will put them at 471 customers.</p><p>I was very critical of PLTR&#39;s revenue growth and margins due to the level of stock-based compensation that has been issued, but there is certainly a thesis that the growth hasn&#39;t materialized from their newest customers, and 2022 is an anomaly year from a revenue and margin standpoint.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40a0de766ef9082a731f07346df7c55b\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>No matter how I look at it, PLTR is growing, even though revenue growth will fall short of PLTR&#39;s previous projections. Q3 revenue is up 22% YoY, and the U.S. business is still exploding, as it&#39;s up 31% YoY. In Q3 PLTR&#39;s total contract value closed at $1.3 billion, while they closed 78 deals worth a minimum of $1 million. Of these 78 deals, 32 were at least worth $5 million, and 19 exceeded $10 million. PLTR ended Q3, having closed 273 deals YTD, which is up 63% YoY from 167 in 2021, which drove its total remaining deal value up 14% YoY to $4.1 billion.</p><p>For all of the shortcomings, there are many aspects to build a bullish thesis around. I am not closing the door on PLTR as I can argue a bullish case to myself in the same fashion I can create a doom and gloom scenario. At the end of the day, PLTR has $2.4 billion of cash on the balance sheet with $0 of debt and is well capitalized for the future. PLTR doesn&#39;t have a single concern with rising rates impacting their expenses, and there is a path to profitability and large amounts of FCF in the future. The only questions are, will PLTR continue growing in a similar fashion, and will its new customer base eventually drive additional net dollar retention levels?</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>As a reformed PLTR bull, I am currently neutral on the company. I would need to see revenue get back to the 30%+ projection, margins improve, and expenses either stay in-line or decrease to get bullish again.</p><p>That being said, I am not bearish and find Palantir&#39;s current valuation interesting. I plan on adding more shares and dollar cost averaging, as I am not ready to call it a loss and put this investment in the tax-loss harvesting bucket. I need 3 more quarters of data before making a final decision on PLTR, as there is still a path to billions of FCF in 2030, but the current revenue and margin declines are certainly concerning. As PLTR&#39;s numbers have changed, so has my investment thesis, and I will anxiously be awaiting the Q4 earnings report.</p><p><i>This article is written by Steven Fiorillo for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 13:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554710-palantir-minus-11-48-percent-after-earnings-and-my-investment-thesis-is-changing><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMy investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenue growth in 2022 will be 23.29% rather than 30%+ in 2022.Palantir Technologies has significantly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554710-palantir-minus-11-48-percent-after-earnings-and-my-investment-thesis-is-changing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554710-palantir-minus-11-48-percent-after-earnings-and-my-investment-thesis-is-changing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119565865","content_text":"SummaryMy investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenue growth in 2022 will be 23.29% rather than 30%+ in 2022.Palantir Technologies has significantly declining margins and it is generating less cash from operations off more revenue, which is concerning.I plan on adding to my position and dollar cost averaging, as Palantir has increased its customer base by 134 YoY and now has other positives, such as an interesting valuation.Michael ViI was very critical of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) after their Q2 earnings call in August, which was reflected in my article, where I went from bullish to neutral inthe blink of an eye. I indicated that I was still bullish on the company's business prospects, but was disappointed with how Alex Karp's (Palantir CEO) commentary and how he conducted himself. After listening to the conference call and reading through the presentation, press release, and Alex Karp's letter to shareholders, I believed there were many things to like, but the original thesis he outlined was changing.Since 2022 isn't playing out according to plan, I need to take a step back and recalculate my projections. Thankfully, the Q3 conference call on 7 November went much better than Q2's, but the results weren't overwhelmingly good. For all of the powerful slides of information embedded within the presentation, the bottom line is that Palantir's revenue growth won't hit Alek Karp's projections, and their margins are being impacted. This is causing the narrative to change. PLTR could still become a great long-term investment, but in the short term, I think shareholders will need to endure unwanted volatility.Seeking AlphaThe ugly part of Q3 and how it is making my projections changeIn Q2 of 2021, PLTR reinforced their long-term outlook of 30%+ revenue growth for 2021 and the next 4 years, bringing them through 2025. PLTR had projected that its 2021 Adjusted FCF (free cash flow) would exceed $300 million in 2021, which would be a 100% increase from its previous outlook. I dislike adjusted numbers and would rather look at straight FCF, which is cash from operations minus CapEx or purchases of property and equipment. In 2021, PLTR ended the year generating $1.54 billion in revenue and $321.22 million of FCF for an FCF margin of 20.83%.I built a model based on PLTR's commentary and their 2021 FCF margin. In my model, which is below, I had PLTR's revenue grow by 30% through 2025, then drop down to 25%, 22%, 19%, 17%, and 15% from years 2026 - 2030. Based on 2021's FCF margin of 20.83%, if these revenue growth numbers were in the ballpark, PLTR would have generated $2.53 billion of FCF in 2030 from $12.16 billion of revenue. Based on a 25x FCF multiple, PLTR would have a $63.30 billion market cap; at a 35x multiple, PLTR would have an $88.62 billion market; and at a 45x multiple, PLTR would have a $113.94 billion market cap. While Q2 made me switch my view because I was worried about how PLTR would be perceived by potential customers, the future looked interesting as there was a clear roadmap to a much larger market cap into 2030 than PLTR had today. All of this ended after the Q3 2022 conference call, and I now need to build a new model.Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking AlphaPalantirI can no longer use the model I previously based my investment thesis around because PLTR's projections for revenue growth in 2022 have changed, and their margins have decreased significantly. PLTR is now guiding for $1.9 billion of revenue as its midpoint for the fiscal year of 2022. This is a YoY increase of $359.10 million, which is a 23.29% growth rate. The other issue is that PLTR's FCF margin has declined in the first 9-months of operations from 21.07% in 2021 to 7.86% in 2022. In the first 9 months of operations in 2021, PLTR generated $1.11 billion of revenue and $233.64 million of FCF for a 21.07% FCF margin. YTD over the first 9 months of 2022, PLR's revenue has increased by 25.99% YoY ($288.23 million) to $1.4 billion, but its cash from operations has declined by -$95.45 million (-39.70%), and their CapEx has increased by $28.33 million (417.60%), placing its FCF at $109.87 million. PLTR's FCF margin has declined by -13.20 percentage points to 7.86% from 21.07% YoY. As an investor, I need to readjust my investment thesis based on the new information and determine if 2022 is an anomaly or a new normal.PalantirI built 2 models to see where PLTR's numbers could go. My original cash flow projection called for $2.53 billion of FCF from $12.16 billion of revenue in 2030 based on 2021's FCF margin, and my revenue assumptions extrapolated past the 2025 projection from PLTR. In model 1, I chalked 2022 up to an anomaly. If I keep the revenue growth rate the same from 2023-2030 and the FCF margin the same as my previous figures, PLTR will generate $10.2 billion of revenue and $2.12 billion of FCF in 2030.In model 2, I made the assumption that PLTR's revenue growth is downhill from here, and the entire thesis needs to change. 2022 is now projected to be a 23.29% YoY revenue growth rate for PLTR, so I projected accordingly. Instead of 30% growth rates for 2023 - 2025 ,I placed them at 20%, 20%, and 18%. Then I scaled down to 16%, 14%, 12%, 10%, and 8% for years 2026 - 2030. I completely speculated on the FCF margin and placed it at 10% for 2022, and looked at a 15% FCF margin for 2030. Based on these projections, PLTR would generate $5.68 billion of revenue in 2030 and produce $852.54 million of FCF.I don't have a crystal ball, so I don't know which model is more accurate, but 2022 isn't what PLTR had hoped for, and it's certainly not what I had hoped for. PLTR is generating less cash from operations, and its margins are declining, especially its FCF margin. As an investor, I want to see as much cash and FCF generated from operations as possible, and if its revenue is increasing, I would hope that PLTR is generating additional cash from operations. There isn't enough data yet for me to lean in either direction, and I want to see how Q4 turns out and what the first half of 2023 looks like prior to making any decisions. While I still think PLTR has a lot of potential, its numbers have deflated my investment thesis, and I am not nearly as enthusiastic as I once was.Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking AlphaPalantirThe other aspect I am not thrilled about is PLTR's stock-based compensation (\"SBCU\"), but not for the reasons you may suspect. PLTR is a growth company and they are competing against Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), and the rest of Silicon Valley for software engineers, in addition to every other company for quality salespeople. I would much rather have PLTR tap the equity markets and issue stock-based compensation to fuel its growth instead of tapping the debt markets. I am willing to undergo some dilution for this as many other successful companies, including Tesla (TSLA), have operated in this fashion.The problem is that there is no clear picture of how stock-based compensation is awarded to its employees. We see the line items of where it's expensed to, but we don't know how it's distributed. In the first 9 months of operations in 2022, stock-based comp has declined -$175.91 million (-28.78%) to $435.40 million YoY, and in Q3, it declined by -$44.53 million (-24.09%) to $140.31 million YoY. While PLTR is utilizing stock-based comp less and less, operationally, PLTR isn't hitting its metrics. Revenue growth is slowing and is projected to come in at 23.29% rather than 30% YoY in 2022, and net dollar retention is stalled at 119% for 2 quarters in a row.As a shareholder, I am fine with PLTR as a growth company utilizing stock-based compensation if it's beneficial to the bottom line. In this case, I am not seeing PLTR deliver operationally, while shareholders are diluted and employees are rewarded with additional shares.By the numbers, 2022 isn't what I had hoped it would be, Q3 earnings weren't entirely bad, and Palantir still has tremendous potential, but the real question is, can they capitalize?Businesses look toward testimonials and customer feedback to provide validation for their product or service. When it comes to enterprise software, real-world use cases and an A-list of clients are critical for future growth. Palantir has changed up its marketing strategy and put together an entire conference called FoundryCon, which was tailored to the U.S commercial market and open to shareholders, global customers, the press, and the general public. Following the opening fireside talk between Alex Karp and Mike Allen (Co-Founder of Axios), presentations from the U.S. Space Systems Command and the National Cancer Institute were delivered, in addition to remarks from companies that included Jacobs, Morgan Stanley, Apache, and Tyson Foods.Tyson Foods CTO Scott Spradley discussed the strategic outcomes that were achieved through transforming their business and generating $200 million in savings across 20 projects. John Rickerman from Jacobs highlighted that they are on track to save $300,000 annually at one of their sites, which was a 20% savings, and they have 300 sites where the same process can be replicated at. Colonel Jennifer Krolikowski stated that 15,000 people would not have been able to be evacuated from Afghanistan without utilizing PLTR's software.PLTR is driving efficiencies and cost benefits for the largest companies and critical government agencies. PLTR is also one of three companies, which includes Amazon (AMZN) and MSFT, that have IL6 Provisional Authorization from the DOD. PLTR's testimonials are from the largest and most respected entities, and this certainly has an impact on future clients.PalantirOnce again, Alek Karp put one of the most bullish slides in the Q3 shareholder letter rather than the Q3 presentation. Quite frankly, this slide is something many investors are probably overlooking, and it is critical for the bull thesis. On a TTM basis in Q3 2020, PLTR's new customer base declined by -29.41%, as they only generated 12 new customers vs. 17 in the year prior. PLTR wasn't a well-known company in 2020, and for those who knew of PLTR, the common perception was that they were a black box company specializing in platforms for the military-industrial complex.PLTR didn't go public until the fall of 2020, and after they did, their new customer base exploded as more information about PLTR was circulated, and companies saw successful use cases from their industry peers. In 2021 PLTR added 49 additional new customers on a TTM basis in Q3, up 408.33% YoY, as they finished with 61 new customers. In Q3 of 2022, PLTR experienced a huge increase in new customers. PLTR's new customer base in Q3 of 2022 on a TTM basis grew by 119.67% or 73 new customers YoY to 134.I wasn't thrilled with the net dollar retention being stuck at 119% for 2 consecutive quarters, but seeing the cohort growth in new customers, there will be plenty of chances to upsell customers and add additional functionality to their contracts. Over the last 2 years, PLTR has added 195 new customers, and while new customer growth has decelerated on a percentage basis, it has increased in size YoY. Based on the previous 2 years, PLTR could end up having 450-500 customers by this time next year. If PLTR replicates its 134 new customer growth over the next 12 months, it will put them at 471 customers.I was very critical of PLTR's revenue growth and margins due to the level of stock-based compensation that has been issued, but there is certainly a thesis that the growth hasn't materialized from their newest customers, and 2022 is an anomaly year from a revenue and margin standpoint.PalantirNo matter how I look at it, PLTR is growing, even though revenue growth will fall short of PLTR's previous projections. Q3 revenue is up 22% YoY, and the U.S. business is still exploding, as it's up 31% YoY. In Q3 PLTR's total contract value closed at $1.3 billion, while they closed 78 deals worth a minimum of $1 million. Of these 78 deals, 32 were at least worth $5 million, and 19 exceeded $10 million. PLTR ended Q3, having closed 273 deals YTD, which is up 63% YoY from 167 in 2021, which drove its total remaining deal value up 14% YoY to $4.1 billion.For all of the shortcomings, there are many aspects to build a bullish thesis around. I am not closing the door on PLTR as I can argue a bullish case to myself in the same fashion I can create a doom and gloom scenario. At the end of the day, PLTR has $2.4 billion of cash on the balance sheet with $0 of debt and is well capitalized for the future. PLTR doesn't have a single concern with rising rates impacting their expenses, and there is a path to profitability and large amounts of FCF in the future. The only questions are, will PLTR continue growing in a similar fashion, and will its new customer base eventually drive additional net dollar retention levels?ConclusionAs a reformed PLTR bull, I am currently neutral on the company. I would need to see revenue get back to the 30%+ projection, margins improve, and expenses either stay in-line or decrease to get bullish again.That being said, I am not bearish and find Palantir's current valuation interesting. I plan on adding more shares and dollar cost averaging, as I am not ready to call it a loss and put this investment in the tax-loss harvesting bucket. I need 3 more quarters of data before making a final decision on PLTR, as there is still a path to billions of FCF in 2030, but the current revenue and margin declines are certainly concerning. As PLTR's numbers have changed, so has my investment thesis, and I will anxiously be awaiting the Q4 earnings report.This article is written by Steven Fiorillo for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987428141,"gmtCreate":1667967853683,"gmtModify":1676537992204,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go republik","listText":"Go republik","text":"Go republik","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987428141","repostId":"2282537949","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2282537949","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667976199,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282537949?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 14:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What’s Next for the U.S. Stock Market As Midterm Election Results Roll in","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282537949","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Election unlikely to be a bear-market game changer: analystMarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphot","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Election unlikely to be a bear-market game changer: analyst</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa9f46f180d589da11fdce6543a2fde\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto</span></p><p>Many investors are talking about the potential for Tuesday’s midterm congressional elections to spark a stock-market bounce, arguing that the potential for a divided government if Republicans take control of one or both chambers would be positive news.</p><p>According to one market watcher, the bounce is already under way.</p><p>“At its recent high, the S&amp;P 500 was already up about 9% off of its mid-October low, exceeding the typical bounce of about 7%. We believe the October move was fueled in large part by the shift in momentum away from Democrats and back towards Republicans that we started to see in polling data and betting markets that was building in August and September,” said Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in a Monday note.</p><p>If so, the bounce, which comes after the bear market for equities took the S&amp;P 500 to its lowest close in nearly two years, is in keeping with market history that shows equities tend to see their best post-election performance in split-government scenarios, particularly when a Democratic president is paired with a congress in which either the House or Senate or both are controlled by Republicans (see chart below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead9f59539510e3a1baedc36b930a711\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>RBC CAPITAL MARKETS</span></p><p>More broadly, stocks have done well in the one-year period after a midterm election dating back to 1950, with nearly identical figures under Democratic and Republican presidents, LPL strategists Barry Gilbert and Jeffrey Buchbinder observed in a Monday note.</p><p>They acknowledge, however, that the sample size is nonetheless limited. And past results, of course, are no guarantee of future results.</p><p>Democrats hold a slim majority in the House and control a 50-50 Senate by virtue of Vice President Kamala Harris’s tiebreaking vote. Polls and prediction markets point to Republicans likely taking control of the House and holding a good chance of winning control of the Senate.</p><p>So what do the possible outcomes of the election mean for equities?</p><p>A split Congress, with Republicans winning the House but the Senate staying under Democratic control would likely result in a “mild rally,” said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a Tuesday note. A Republican sweep of both houses would likely produce the same result, he predicted.</p><p>“Markets in general prefer split governments as it reduces any policy risk from increases in taxes, but that’s especially true now as any increases in spending could also add to inflation and spike rates,” he wrote. “A split government eliminates that risk and markets will embrace that likely via a mild rally,” if the GOP takes the House but not the Senate.</p><p>“We’d expect stocks to rally broadly but not materially,” he said.</p><p>In that scenario, technology could outperform over the short term, bouncing back from oversold conditions. Treasury yields and the ICE U.S. Dollar Index should decline modestly, while commodities would likely be in for a small bounce.</p><p>RBC’s Calvasina argued that a Republican sweep of both the House and Senate would be more significant for the stock market since GOP chances of taking back the Senate have generally been viewed as lower than their chances of taking back the House.</p><p>“We also think that if Republicans take back control of both chambers, it will be viewed by equity market participants as pointing to good momentum for Republicans heading into the presidential race in 2024,” she said. “To the extent that 2022 turns out to be a wave election for Republicans, the bigger the wave, the more impactful we think it will be for U.S. equities in the short term and into next year.”</p><p>Essaye, however, argued that if Republicans win both the House and Senate, he would “expect almost the exact same market reaction as if the Republicans win just the House, because winning the Senate won’t result in any practical difference,” he said.</p><p>For a Republican sweep to make a material difference, the part would need a two-thirds veto-proof majority in both the House and Senate, “and there is literally 0% chance of that happening,” Essaye wrote.</p><p>If Democrats managed to hold off Republicans in both the House and Senate, the reaction is likely to be a “moderate decline,” he said. A broad fall for equities would likely be led by tech and high-growth sectors, while Treasury yields would likely see a modest rise and the dollar index would bounce, putting pressure on commodities.</p><p>There’s also the possibility that the full outcome of the election won’t be known soon. A close-fought Senate election in Georgia could go to a December runoff. It’s possible Senate control could hinge on the result.</p><p>The bottom line, Essaye wrote, is that the election is unlikely to be a bullish game-changer for stocks still mired in a bear market.</p><p>“The key to a real, sustainable rally in this market remains a decline in CPI (coming Thursday) and a Fed pivot (not coming anytime soon). So, any market bounce on this outcome should not be chased,” he wrote.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed with a gain of 0.6% on Tuesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 333.83 points, or 1%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What’s Next for the U.S. Stock Market As Midterm Election Results Roll in</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat’s Next for the U.S. Stock Market As Midterm Election Results Roll in\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 14:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-and-midterms-what-investors-expect-as-u-s-voters-go-to-the-polls-11667940801?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1667961865><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Election unlikely to be a bear-market game changer: analystMarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphotoMany investors are talking about the potential for Tuesday’s midterm congressional elections to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-and-midterms-what-investors-expect-as-u-s-voters-go-to-the-polls-11667940801?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1667961865\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-and-midterms-what-investors-expect-as-u-s-voters-go-to-the-polls-11667940801?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1667961865","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282537949","content_text":"Election unlikely to be a bear-market game changer: analystMarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphotoMany investors are talking about the potential for Tuesday’s midterm congressional elections to spark a stock-market bounce, arguing that the potential for a divided government if Republicans take control of one or both chambers would be positive news.According to one market watcher, the bounce is already under way.“At its recent high, the S&P 500 was already up about 9% off of its mid-October low, exceeding the typical bounce of about 7%. We believe the October move was fueled in large part by the shift in momentum away from Democrats and back towards Republicans that we started to see in polling data and betting markets that was building in August and September,” said Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in a Monday note.If so, the bounce, which comes after the bear market for equities took the S&P 500 to its lowest close in nearly two years, is in keeping with market history that shows equities tend to see their best post-election performance in split-government scenarios, particularly when a Democratic president is paired with a congress in which either the House or Senate or both are controlled by Republicans (see chart below).RBC CAPITAL MARKETSMore broadly, stocks have done well in the one-year period after a midterm election dating back to 1950, with nearly identical figures under Democratic and Republican presidents, LPL strategists Barry Gilbert and Jeffrey Buchbinder observed in a Monday note.They acknowledge, however, that the sample size is nonetheless limited. And past results, of course, are no guarantee of future results.Democrats hold a slim majority in the House and control a 50-50 Senate by virtue of Vice President Kamala Harris’s tiebreaking vote. Polls and prediction markets point to Republicans likely taking control of the House and holding a good chance of winning control of the Senate.So what do the possible outcomes of the election mean for equities?A split Congress, with Republicans winning the House but the Senate staying under Democratic control would likely result in a “mild rally,” said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a Tuesday note. A Republican sweep of both houses would likely produce the same result, he predicted.“Markets in general prefer split governments as it reduces any policy risk from increases in taxes, but that’s especially true now as any increases in spending could also add to inflation and spike rates,” he wrote. “A split government eliminates that risk and markets will embrace that likely via a mild rally,” if the GOP takes the House but not the Senate.“We’d expect stocks to rally broadly but not materially,” he said.In that scenario, technology could outperform over the short term, bouncing back from oversold conditions. Treasury yields and the ICE U.S. Dollar Index should decline modestly, while commodities would likely be in for a small bounce.RBC’s Calvasina argued that a Republican sweep of both the House and Senate would be more significant for the stock market since GOP chances of taking back the Senate have generally been viewed as lower than their chances of taking back the House.“We also think that if Republicans take back control of both chambers, it will be viewed by equity market participants as pointing to good momentum for Republicans heading into the presidential race in 2024,” she said. “To the extent that 2022 turns out to be a wave election for Republicans, the bigger the wave, the more impactful we think it will be for U.S. equities in the short term and into next year.”Essaye, however, argued that if Republicans win both the House and Senate, he would “expect almost the exact same market reaction as if the Republicans win just the House, because winning the Senate won’t result in any practical difference,” he said.For a Republican sweep to make a material difference, the part would need a two-thirds veto-proof majority in both the House and Senate, “and there is literally 0% chance of that happening,” Essaye wrote.If Democrats managed to hold off Republicans in both the House and Senate, the reaction is likely to be a “moderate decline,” he said. A broad fall for equities would likely be led by tech and high-growth sectors, while Treasury yields would likely see a modest rise and the dollar index would bounce, putting pressure on commodities.There’s also the possibility that the full outcome of the election won’t be known soon. A close-fought Senate election in Georgia could go to a December runoff. It’s possible Senate control could hinge on the result.The bottom line, Essaye wrote, is that the election is unlikely to be a bullish game-changer for stocks still mired in a bear market.“The key to a real, sustainable rally in this market remains a decline in CPI (coming Thursday) and a Fed pivot (not coming anytime soon). So, any market bounce on this outcome should not be chased,” he wrote.The S&P 500 closed with a gain of 0.6% on Tuesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 333.83 points, or 1%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987884470,"gmtCreate":1667869374991,"gmtModify":1676537976531,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀","text":"$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987884470","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987979393,"gmtCreate":1667805040912,"gmtModify":1676537966230,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","listText":"Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","text":"Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/36a6dbefc540a628fc8806547e021be5","width":"720","height":"816"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987979393","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985929869,"gmtCreate":1667297914352,"gmtModify":1676537893649,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985929869","repostId":"9985902506","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9985902506,"gmtCreate":1667282850705,"gmtModify":1676537890973,"author":{"id":"3479274799416327","authorId":"3479274799416327","name":"marketpre","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3479274799416327","authorIdStr":"3479274799416327"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why did GME go up? The answer is simple, last week, in the option chain, the amount of open interest on gme was insane for the $30 strike. An article pointed out that if gme went higher than $30 by last friday, it could go parabolic as a result. This was all true. However, on friday, gme closed below $30. The one requirement for gme to go parabolic was the close above $30 last friday; it did not. And therefore the open interest for the $30 did not happen. Today's action, is a Pump and Dump with a big sprinkle of FOMO. Right now, if you open the option chain, you would see that a lot of options have been sold in the money. Just as it was discussed in the wall street bets conversation this morning. This is a very clear indication that the gains will not be sustainable. You can also see whale","listText":"Why did GME go up? The answer is simple, last week, in the option chain, the amount of open interest on gme was insane for the $30 strike. An article pointed out that if gme went higher than $30 by last friday, it could go parabolic as a result. This was all true. However, on friday, gme closed below $30. The one requirement for gme to go parabolic was the close above $30 last friday; it did not. And therefore the open interest for the $30 did not happen. Today's action, is a Pump and Dump with a big sprinkle of FOMO. Right now, if you open the option chain, you would see that a lot of options have been sold in the money. Just as it was discussed in the wall street bets conversation this morning. This is a very clear indication that the gains will not be sustainable. You can also see whale","text":"Why did GME go up? The answer is simple, last week, in the option chain, the amount of open interest on gme was insane for the $30 strike. An article pointed out that if gme went higher than $30 by last friday, it could go parabolic as a result. This was all true. However, on friday, gme closed below $30. The one requirement for gme to go parabolic was the close above $30 last friday; it did not. And therefore the open interest for the $30 did not happen. Today's action, is a Pump and Dump with a big sprinkle of FOMO. Right now, if you open the option chain, you would see that a lot of options have been sold in the money. Just as it was discussed in the wall street bets conversation this morning. This is a very clear indication that the gains will not be sustainable. You can also see whale","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985902506","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985050270,"gmtCreate":1667273508690,"gmtModify":1676537889532,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"Up up up[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Up up up[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985050270","repostId":"2280733761","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2280733761","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667269519,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280733761?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-01 10:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop Stock Soared, Then Fell All the Way Back Down, in Biggest Price Reversal Since May. But Why?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280733761","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Something strange happened to GameStop Corp.GME,+0.50%stock on Monday. Minutes after the opening bel","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Something strange happened to GameStop Corp.GME,+0.50%stock on Monday. Minutes after the opening bell rang out on the New York Stock Exchange, both the price of the company’s shares and trading volume exploded.</p><p>Then, roughly five minutes after the market opened, GameStop shares were suddenly halted by the NYSE, which cited the “Limit Up Limit Down” rule.</p><p>When approached by MarketWatch with a request for comment, a representative for the NYSE referred MarketWatch to a section of the exchange’s website that explains the reasoning behind “LULD” halts.</p><p>According to the site, “every security has an upper and lower price band with the reference price as the mid-point. If an offer reaches the lower price band or a bid reaches the upper price band that stock will enter a limit state (a pause) for 15 seconds.”</p><p>Within the span of about 10 minutes, trading was briefly halted twice, according to data published by NYSE, which is owned by Intercontinental Exchange Inc.</p><p>After trading resumed for the second time, the price of GameStop shares started to tumble. Shares finished the session marginally higher at $28.31, with a gain of just 14 cents, or 0.5% on the day after rising more than 24% at their peak.</p><p>The immense intraday swing marked the largest bout of intraday reversal since May 26, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>During the first hour of Monday’s session, 12,696,871 shares changed hands. That’s nearly 1,200% higher than the average volume for that period over the past 30 trading sessions, according to DJMD.</p><p>So, what triggered Monday’s madness? Analysts who follow the stock aren’t sure.</p><p>Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter, who has covered GameStop for years, said he didn’t see any particular reason behind Monday’s action. Another Wall Street analyst didn’t return a request for comment from MarketWatch.</p><p>GameStop’s investor relations department didn’t return a request for comment from MarketWatch.</p><p>On a subreddit called “Superstonk,” which is dedicated to discussing GameStop, some denizens blamed the trading halt for sabotaging Monday’s rally in the stock.</p><p>To some it recalled a now-infamous incident that occurred during the original bout of “meme stock” trading mania in January 2021.</p><p>After shares reached a closing high of nearly $350 per share, Robinhood Markets and other discount electronic brokerages decided to restrict buying of GameStop shares by their customers, causing the price to dramatically decline.</p><p>Lawmakers became incensed that brokerages had seemingly deliberately saddled customers with losses. Congressional hearings were held, and ultimately a report about the incident revealed that Robinhood’s liquidity issues were more severe than the company had let on.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop Stock Soared, Then Fell All the Way Back Down, in Biggest Price Reversal Since May. But Why?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop Stock Soared, Then Fell All the Way Back Down, in Biggest Price Reversal Since May. But Why?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-01 10:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-stock-soared-then-fell-all-the-way-back-down-in-biggest-price-reversal-since-may-but-why-11667250287?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Something strange happened to GameStop Corp.GME,+0.50%stock on Monday. Minutes after the opening bell rang out on the New York Stock Exchange, both the price of the company’s shares and trading volume...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-stock-soared-then-fell-all-the-way-back-down-in-biggest-price-reversal-since-may-but-why-11667250287?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-stock-soared-then-fell-all-the-way-back-down-in-biggest-price-reversal-since-may-but-why-11667250287?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280733761","content_text":"Something strange happened to GameStop Corp.GME,+0.50%stock on Monday. Minutes after the opening bell rang out on the New York Stock Exchange, both the price of the company’s shares and trading volume exploded.Then, roughly five minutes after the market opened, GameStop shares were suddenly halted by the NYSE, which cited the “Limit Up Limit Down” rule.When approached by MarketWatch with a request for comment, a representative for the NYSE referred MarketWatch to a section of the exchange’s website that explains the reasoning behind “LULD” halts.According to the site, “every security has an upper and lower price band with the reference price as the mid-point. If an offer reaches the lower price band or a bid reaches the upper price band that stock will enter a limit state (a pause) for 15 seconds.”Within the span of about 10 minutes, trading was briefly halted twice, according to data published by NYSE, which is owned by Intercontinental Exchange Inc.After trading resumed for the second time, the price of GameStop shares started to tumble. Shares finished the session marginally higher at $28.31, with a gain of just 14 cents, or 0.5% on the day after rising more than 24% at their peak.The immense intraday swing marked the largest bout of intraday reversal since May 26, according to Dow Jones Market Data.During the first hour of Monday’s session, 12,696,871 shares changed hands. That’s nearly 1,200% higher than the average volume for that period over the past 30 trading sessions, according to DJMD.So, what triggered Monday’s madness? Analysts who follow the stock aren’t sure.Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter, who has covered GameStop for years, said he didn’t see any particular reason behind Monday’s action. Another Wall Street analyst didn’t return a request for comment from MarketWatch.GameStop’s investor relations department didn’t return a request for comment from MarketWatch.On a subreddit called “Superstonk,” which is dedicated to discussing GameStop, some denizens blamed the trading halt for sabotaging Monday’s rally in the stock.To some it recalled a now-infamous incident that occurred during the original bout of “meme stock” trading mania in January 2021.After shares reached a closing high of nearly $350 per share, Robinhood Markets and other discount electronic brokerages decided to restrict buying of GameStop shares by their customers, causing the price to dramatically decline.Lawmakers became incensed that brokerages had seemingly deliberately saddled customers with losses. Congressional hearings were held, and ultimately a report about the incident revealed that Robinhood’s liquidity issues were more severe than the company had let on.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982743315,"gmtCreate":1667261829138,"gmtModify":1676537886284,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>good buy🎉🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>good buy🎉🚀","text":"$GameStop(GME)$good buy🎉🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982743315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982555955,"gmtCreate":1667218131677,"gmtModify":1676537879223,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup upp up gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup upp up gogogo","text":"$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$uup upp up gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/042c07858981a80532fbf95d93527d12","width":"720","height":"1600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982555955","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986268876,"gmtCreate":1666965195295,"gmtModify":1676537841127,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup up up.buy buy buy😘","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup up up.buy buy buy😘","text":"$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$uup up up.buy buy buy😘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986268876","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981775352,"gmtCreate":1666612212376,"gmtModify":1676537777535,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>uup up up🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>uup up up🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$uup up up🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981775352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981772594,"gmtCreate":1666611984118,"gmtModify":1676537777472,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>time is buy❤️up up up go go go....","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>time is buy❤️up up up go go go....","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$time is buy❤️up up up go go go....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981772594","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980236875,"gmtCreate":1665734516797,"gmtModify":1676537657533,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time is buy, up up up","listText":"Time is buy, up up up","text":"Time is buy, up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980236875","repostId":"9980292841","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9980292841,"gmtCreate":1665731132283,"gmtModify":1676537656971,"author":{"id":"9000000000000657","authorId":"9000000000000657","name":"CatherineGunter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776235f8fbc22077e8df03b2522caf3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000657","authorIdStr":"9000000000000657"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a> GRAB's stock price is currently down 61% this year and in the last four weeks it has dropped by 10%. Could investors now be thinking that given its current low price, perhaps now is good time to buy before the stock goes up, as it heads towards profitability?&nbsp;I&nbsp;am bullish on Grab&nbsp;and have a &nbsp;target price of $4.74&nbsp;per share – indicating approximately 70% upside.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a> GRAB's stock price is currently down 61% this year and in the last four weeks it has dropped by 10%. Could investors now be thinking that given its current low price, perhaps now is good time to buy before the stock goes up, as it heads towards profitability?&nbsp;I&nbsp;am bullish on Grab&nbsp;and have a &nbsp;target price of $4.74&nbsp;per share – indicating approximately 70% upside.","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ GRAB's stock price is currently down 61% this year and in the last four weeks it has dropped by 10%. Could investors now be thinking that given its current low price, perhaps now is good time to buy before the stock goes up, as it heads towards profitability? I am bullish on Grab and have a target price of $4.74 per share – indicating approximately 70% upside.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980292841","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980327850,"gmtCreate":1665660201071,"gmtModify":1676537644371,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go up","listText":"Go go up","text":"Go go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980327850","repostId":"9980360863","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9980360863,"gmtCreate":1665654487252,"gmtModify":1676537643517,"author":{"id":"3583230105554843","authorId":"3583230105554843","name":"Keeley","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c720283f6ce0951b275b726005d199ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583230105554843","authorIdStr":"3583230105554843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>#GRAB 13 Oct 2022 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GRAB/uy3WsHCO-GRAB-Analysis/ Price did not play exactly as analyzed last week. I was expecting price to head towards the lows at 2.32. Instead, price went up to mitigate the bearish POI at 2.88 before coming down. My expectations remain unchanged and is expecting the lows at 2.32 to be taken.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>#GRAB 13 Oct 2022 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GRAB/uy3WsHCO-GRAB-Analysis/ Price did not play exactly as analyzed last week. I was expecting price to head towards the lows at 2.32. Instead, price went up to mitigate the bearish POI at 2.88 before coming down. My expectations remain unchanged and is expecting the lows at 2.32 to be taken.","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$#GRAB 13 Oct 2022 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GRAB/uy3WsHCO-GRAB-Analysis/ Price did not play exactly as analyzed last week. I was expecting price to head towards the lows at 2.32. Instead, price went up to mitigate the bearish POI at 2.88 before coming down. My expectations remain unchanged and is expecting the lows at 2.32 to be taken.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c2c8b533a6e3223e73c9ac0ff0dc120","width":"720","height":"1436"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980360863","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914960480,"gmtCreate":1665158041440,"gmtModify":1676537566300,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/API\">$Agora, Inc.(API)$</a>ttime is buy[Miser]&nbsp;[love you]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/API\">$Agora, Inc.(API)$</a>ttime is buy[Miser]&nbsp;[love you]&nbsp;","text":"$Agora, Inc.(API)$ttime is buy[Miser] [love you]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914960480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935836075,"gmtCreate":1663062611597,"gmtModify":1676537194351,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla Up","listText":"Tesla Up","text":"Tesla Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935836075","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932357504,"gmtCreate":1662880145008,"gmtModify":1676537157197,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"got the fed fall again 😂","listText":"got the fed fall again 😂","text":"got the fed fall again 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932357504","repostId":"1102881307","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1102881307","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662860442,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102881307?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-11 09:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Will Rebound in the Not-Too-Distant Future","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102881307","media":"investorplace","summary":"Lately, the market has hit the brakes with its enthusiasm for Tesla (TSLA) stock.Even as macro uncertainties persist, the slide may not last long.Tesla's prospects remain bright in both the U.S. and C","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Lately, the market has hit the brakes with its enthusiasm for Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>) stock.</li><li>Even as macro uncertainties persist, the slide may not last long.</li><li>Tesla&#39;s prospects remain bright in both the U.S. and Chinese EV markets, shares may be soon ready to leave the charging station.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bd223feb5855139451d775a05924b9f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Last month, excitement about its stock splits, and the expansion of U.S. electric vehicle (EV) tax credits, was enough to get investors fully charged up about<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b>TSLA</b>) stock.</p><p>But so far this month, a cooldown in excitement (which I anticipated back in August) has played out. External factors like interest rates, inflation and the risk of a recession are keeping shares in the EV maker rangebound. This may carry on in the near term.</p><p>This doesn’t mean you should take a hard pass on Tesla. While it may not make another big leap immediately, shares stand to do so down the road.</p><p>Macro worries notwithstanding, the rapid adoption of EVs point to continued strong prospects ahead for this company, and for the stock. It may be getting close to exit the charging station. Let’s dive in, and find out why.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>TSLA</b></td><td><b>Tesla</b></td><td>$295.90</td></tr></tbody></table><h2>A Closer Look at TSLA Stock</h2><p>Overall market sentiment explains why Tesla shares find themselves rangebound at present. While there’s still positive news coming out of the company (more below), it’s not enough to counter the above-mentioned concerns.</p><p>Again, this could continue for now with TSLA stock. More talk about a 2023 recession could result in it giving back some more of its August gains. So too, could further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.</p><p>Rising interest rates will make more investors skeptical about whether it’s justified for shares to sport such a high earnings multiple. Right now, it trades for 69x forward earnings.</p><p>Yet while this may make investing in Tesla frustrating at present, this frustration may not last long. Unlike growth stocks overall, which may take some time to begin their recovery, a rebound for high-quality EV plays like this one could arrive much sooner.</p><p>EV adoption in the U.S. and in China (the largest EV market) keeps accelerating. This may end up outweighing the fallout from a recession. It may not be certain but, digging into the data, it’s reasonable to believe that this scenario will play out.</p><h2>A Lot Points to Results Staying Strong</h2><p>Doom and gloom headlines may have you concerned about growth for TSLA stock in the coming year. However, a look at EV sales trends suggests otherwise. Now at5.3%of new car sales, U.S. EV adoption is occurring at afaster-than-anticipated rate.</p><p>This adoption rate is likely to continue climbing, as the expanded EV tax credit,courtesy of the Inflation Reduction Act, further bolsters demand.</p><p>The switch from buying gas-powered cars, to buying electric-powered ones, accelerated by the Federal Government’s financial incentives, may help counter the effect of belt-tightening among U.S. households.</p><p>Over in China, talk about a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy may have you concerned that growth in Tesla’s key international market will take a big hit.</p><p>Yet just last month, Tesla sawa significant increasein deliveries and sales from its Shanghai gigafactory. With things at this facility firing on all cylinders, the EV maker is now operating at maximum production capacity.</p><p>This leaves it well-positioned to sell into demand, robust due to thebig increase in EV penetration of the global auto market. All of this points to the company continuing to meet/beat expectations with its fiscal results.</p><h2>The TSLA Stock Takeaway</h2><p>Tesla stock continues to earn a B rating in my<i>Portfolio Grader</i>. It may not happen right this second, but a breakout may be around the corner for shares. One could occur within the next few months. Either when it next reports earnings in October, or when it reports full-year results in January.</p><p>Although this may not satisfy impatient investors, these are more promising prospects for other growth plays. Secular EV growth trends may enable it to deliver the results needed to sustain and grow its stock price.</p><p>Other high-fliers struggling right now may face a far longer timeline to a comeback. Instead of a mere few months,it could take a year, or even longer, to get out of rangebound mode, and back into high-flying mode.</p><p>TSLA stock remains an EV play worth holding onto, and a name to consider buying. Whether now or on further weakness.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Will Rebound in the Not-Too-Distant Future</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Will Rebound in the Not-Too-Distant Future\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-11 09:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/tsla-stock-will-rebound-in-the-not-too-distant-future/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Lately, the market has hit the brakes with its enthusiasm for Tesla (TSLA) stock.Even as macro uncertainties persist, the slide may not last long.Tesla's prospects remain bright in both the U.S. and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/tsla-stock-will-rebound-in-the-not-too-distant-future/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/tsla-stock-will-rebound-in-the-not-too-distant-future/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102881307","content_text":"Lately, the market has hit the brakes with its enthusiasm for Tesla (TSLA) stock.Even as macro uncertainties persist, the slide may not last long.Tesla's prospects remain bright in both the U.S. and Chinese EV markets, shares may be soon ready to leave the charging station.Last month, excitement about its stock splits, and the expansion of U.S. electric vehicle (EV) tax credits, was enough to get investors fully charged up aboutTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock.But so far this month, a cooldown in excitement (which I anticipated back in August) has played out. External factors like interest rates, inflation and the risk of a recession are keeping shares in the EV maker rangebound. This may carry on in the near term.This doesn’t mean you should take a hard pass on Tesla. While it may not make another big leap immediately, shares stand to do so down the road.Macro worries notwithstanding, the rapid adoption of EVs point to continued strong prospects ahead for this company, and for the stock. It may be getting close to exit the charging station. Let’s dive in, and find out why.TSLATesla$295.90A Closer Look at TSLA StockOverall market sentiment explains why Tesla shares find themselves rangebound at present. While there’s still positive news coming out of the company (more below), it’s not enough to counter the above-mentioned concerns.Again, this could continue for now with TSLA stock. More talk about a 2023 recession could result in it giving back some more of its August gains. So too, could further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.Rising interest rates will make more investors skeptical about whether it’s justified for shares to sport such a high earnings multiple. Right now, it trades for 69x forward earnings.Yet while this may make investing in Tesla frustrating at present, this frustration may not last long. Unlike growth stocks overall, which may take some time to begin their recovery, a rebound for high-quality EV plays like this one could arrive much sooner.EV adoption in the U.S. and in China (the largest EV market) keeps accelerating. This may end up outweighing the fallout from a recession. It may not be certain but, digging into the data, it’s reasonable to believe that this scenario will play out.A Lot Points to Results Staying StrongDoom and gloom headlines may have you concerned about growth for TSLA stock in the coming year. However, a look at EV sales trends suggests otherwise. Now at5.3%of new car sales, U.S. EV adoption is occurring at afaster-than-anticipated rate.This adoption rate is likely to continue climbing, as the expanded EV tax credit,courtesy of the Inflation Reduction Act, further bolsters demand.The switch from buying gas-powered cars, to buying electric-powered ones, accelerated by the Federal Government’s financial incentives, may help counter the effect of belt-tightening among U.S. households.Over in China, talk about a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy may have you concerned that growth in Tesla’s key international market will take a big hit.Yet just last month, Tesla sawa significant increasein deliveries and sales from its Shanghai gigafactory. With things at this facility firing on all cylinders, the EV maker is now operating at maximum production capacity.This leaves it well-positioned to sell into demand, robust due to thebig increase in EV penetration of the global auto market. All of this points to the company continuing to meet/beat expectations with its fiscal results.The TSLA Stock TakeawayTesla stock continues to earn a B rating in myPortfolio Grader. It may not happen right this second, but a breakout may be around the corner for shares. One could occur within the next few months. Either when it next reports earnings in October, or when it reports full-year results in January.Although this may not satisfy impatient investors, these are more promising prospects for other growth plays. Secular EV growth trends may enable it to deliver the results needed to sustain and grow its stock price.Other high-fliers struggling right now may face a far longer timeline to a comeback. Instead of a mere few months,it could take a year, or even longer, to get out of rangebound mode, and back into high-flying mode.TSLA stock remains an EV play worth holding onto, and a name to consider buying. Whether now or on further weakness.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904649178,"gmtCreate":1660043001097,"gmtModify":1703477266161,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy for Agustus","listText":"Buy for Agustus","text":"Buy for Agustus","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904649178","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9053652658,"gmtCreate":1654543282474,"gmtModify":1676535464286,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ACB\">$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$</a>Aurora Spine's Dexa Solo-L fusion device gets FDA nodseekingalpha2022-06-07 02:47Aurora Cannabis Inc-4.38%Grandbrothers/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesAurora Spine (OTCQB:ASAPF) said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted 510(k) clearance to its Dexa Solo-L spinal fusion system.The company said in a June 6 press release that the system, which is part of the DEXA Technology platform, is a standalone device for anterior and lateral lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF &amp; LLIF) procedures and is the first of its kind device for lumbar spine in the world.The system is also the first color-coded, bone-mimicking structure implant in the marketplace, according to the company.\"We are thrilled to receive this new approval for","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ACB\">$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$</a>Aurora Spine's Dexa Solo-L fusion device gets FDA nodseekingalpha2022-06-07 02:47Aurora Cannabis Inc-4.38%Grandbrothers/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesAurora Spine (OTCQB:ASAPF) said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted 510(k) clearance to its Dexa Solo-L spinal fusion system.The company said in a June 6 press release that the system, which is part of the DEXA Technology platform, is a standalone device for anterior and lateral lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF &amp; LLIF) procedures and is the first of its kind device for lumbar spine in the world.The system is also the first color-coded, bone-mimicking structure implant in the marketplace, according to the company.\"We are thrilled to receive this new approval for","text":"$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$Aurora Spine's Dexa Solo-L fusion device gets FDA nodseekingalpha2022-06-07 02:47Aurora Cannabis Inc-4.38%Grandbrothers/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesAurora Spine (OTCQB:ASAPF) said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted 510(k) clearance to its Dexa Solo-L spinal fusion system.The company said in a June 6 press release that the system, which is part of the DEXA Technology platform, is a standalone device for anterior and lateral lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF & LLIF) procedures and is the first of its kind device for lumbar spine in the world.The system is also the first color-coded, bone-mimicking structure implant in the marketplace, according to the company.\"We are thrilled to receive this new approval for","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053652658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":246499890053152,"gmtCreate":1701201927113,"gmtModify":1701201930013,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$ &nbsp;</a>buy all","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$ &nbsp;</a>buy all","text":"$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$ buy all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/246499890053152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982555955,"gmtCreate":1667218131677,"gmtModify":1676537879223,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup upp up gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup upp up gogogo","text":"$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$uup upp up gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/042c07858981a80532fbf95d93527d12","width":"720","height":"1600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982555955","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9040812307,"gmtCreate":1655637561209,"gmtModify":1676535676153,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NU\">$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$</a>time buy[Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NU\">$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$</a>time buy[Grin]&nbsp;","text":"$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$time buy[Grin]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aef9f3646b09876b26c5039124861395","width":"513","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9040812307","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"content":"[smile] [Happy]","text":"[smile] [Happy]","html":"[smile] [Happy]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087873213,"gmtCreate":1650997390336,"gmtModify":1676534829526,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy n hold","listText":"Buy n hold","text":"Buy n hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087873213","repostId":"1105612207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105612207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650962891,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105612207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-26 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105612207","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined it","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.</li><li>As it expands outside into China and Europe, we expect its growth to be supported by its expansion with a forecast automotive revenue growth rate of 47.6% in 2022.</li><li>Moreover, we believe its profitability could continue rising with its focus on China and in-house production to reach a net margin of 43% by 2026.</li><li>Despite its leading position, we believe Tesla stock is perfectly priced and already reflecting in its future growth.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12b5e22c9ea18c6aaafddb2ada330f9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the largest EV company in the world with a unit sales market share of 21% in 2021. We analyzed the EV market and Tesla&#39;s market positioning in theEV market in terms of its market share. We also looked into its technological capabilities and compared it against competitors in aspects such as the self-driving capability to determine its competitiveness in the EV market.</p><p>Moreover, we looked into its expansion overseas in Europe and Asia and analyzed the market growth outlook in these geographic regions compared to its home market in the US. Based on its expansions, we projected its automotive production and sales growth.</p><p>Lastly, we examined Tesla&#39;s supply chain and sourcing strategy as it increasingly moves to the in-house production of components. We analyzed its margins and estimated it going forward with the impact of its overseas production and internal production.</p><p><b>Leader In the Fast-Growing EV Industry</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f022e2a9bcb4c4b70c9a9c9fdcd00bf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Company Data, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>In 2021, Toyota (TM) held the title as the market leader of the automaker market with the highest share. This is followed by Volkswagen Group (OTCPK:VWAGY), Stellantis (STLA), General Motors (GM) and SAIC which made the top 5. The top 5 consisted of 2 automakers from the European and Asian geographic regions each with General Motors the only US company in the top 5. This is followed by the remaining 5 largest companies which are Honda (HMC), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Ford (F), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF) and Suzuki (OTCPK:SZKMF). Except for Ford (US-based), the rest of the automakers were based in Asia. Tesla did not break into the top 10 largest automakers in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eedeab2f43c53da019e1a86a7daf3f45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Notwithstanding, according to InsideEVs, Tesla was the market leader in the EV market with a share of 21% of EV unit sales. This is followed by SAIC and Volkswagen which are both the largest in their home markets of China and Europe, respectively, followed by BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) and Hyundai in the top 5 EV automakers worldwide. In the US specifically, Tesla had dominated the US EV market as it retained its title as the market leader over the past 5 years. However, its market share decreased in 2021 with increasing competition from other automakers such as Chevrolet, FIAT, and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), which gained market share. Globally, Tesla is the market leader in 2021 with the highest market share of unit sales.</p><p>To identify Tesla&#39;s market positioning and to compare it against competitors in the EV market, we compared it against competitors based on several factors including the number of EV model variants, range and average base price. According to data from InsideEVs, we compiled a total of 106 EV models from 18 different EV companies and calculated each of their number of EV model variants, average base prices and range. We plotted these data in the bubble chart below with the range and the number of models on both axes and the midpoints of each factor based on the median and the size of each bubble represented by their average base prices where we see the smaller the circle size, the stronger the advantage for the company.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c46432d3ae2f9d42035308a4425a0bd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><i>*Circle size represents average base price</i></p><p>Based on the chart, Tesla is placed in the top right quadrant with a higher number of EV model variants such as the Model 3, S and X, than the midpoint of 4 models. Its average range is also above the midpoint, which is around 260 miles. We believe this highlights Tesla&#39;s strengths with a wide variety and above-average range. Besides Tesla, the companies in the top right quadrant are Lucid (LCID) Air, Kia, Hyundai and Ford. Meanwhile, in the bottom right quadrant, Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Nissan are placed there with a high number of models but poor range. On the left side of the chart, most companies are in the top half (5 out of 9) and represented mostly by European-based automakers (6 out of 10) including Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Polestar, Jaguar, Volvo and Volkswagen.</p><p>Moreover, in terms of pricing, the company with the highest average price in the chart is Lucid Air, which is lifted by its expensive Air DreamEditionbut with one of the highest battery capacities and range. Tesla&#39;s average price is lower than Lucid Air, Mercedes and Porsche, but has a wider variety with a higher number of EV models at 16 which is the second-highest behind Ford. On the other hand, Chevrolet and Mazda both have the lowest average price with a low average battery capacity of 65kWh and 35kWh which are the lowest and below the average of 88 kWh.</p><p>All in all, based on our chart, we believe Tesla is placed as the best in the EV market due to its high number of models, which is only behind Ford. However, Tesla edges out over Ford with a higher average range, thus we place Ford as the second best. Although Lucid Air has a better range than Tesla, we believe its high price is a disadvantage to Tesla and we ranked it as the third-best company. In contrast, we believe Mazda is placed in the worst position with a low number of models and poor range with tough competition at its price point from other competitors.</p><p>While we find that Tesla&#39;s pricing is generally higher than competitors, we also note its technological innovation. The company&#39;s EVs are equipped with its Autopilot technology to provide driverless assist capabilities using vision-based sensors. According to its annual report, it is also developing its full self-driving (&#39;FSD&#39;) capabilities running on neural networks in its vehicles and is currently in beta testing. According to its latest earnings briefing, the company highlighted its FSD program having over 100,000 people and it expects to expand this year.</p><p>However, several of its competitors also provide similar capabilities such as adaptive cruise control and lane-centering steering including Audi, BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Nissan, Polestar, Porsche and Volkswagen. Besides that, Tesla also provides over-the-air updates to improve the vehicle functions of existing Tesla EVs. According to Munster, while other automakers also provide OTA updates, they are focused on infotainment features whereas Tesla extends these software updates for its EVs to improve range, power, braking, safety, and driver-assistance features.</p><p><b>Expansion into Europe and Other Countries</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63321f487202232316b5fc1f4622231e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Tesla&#39;s largest geographic region based on its annual report is the US, which accounts for nearly half of its revenues, while China is its second-largest region with the remaining categorized as its Others segment. The company&#39;s geographic revenue indicates its limited presence beyond these regions as most of the company&#39;s manufacturing bases are located in the US and China as seen in the table below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f2cd223d67e194e78ea166b59a6e8ab\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla</span></p><p>According to Tesla, the majority of its production sites are located in the US with a Gigafactory in Texas announced to be opened by April 2022 with an expected capacity of 500,000 for its Model Y. However, the company had been expanding its production facilities overseas with a Gigafactory in Germany which recentlyopenedwith a capacity of up to 500,000 vehicles. This is its second facility outside of the US besides its Gigafactory in Shanghai which opened in 2019.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bba7fb5c5f89d9b675d56cdf290e293\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"492\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: EV Volumes, Meticulous Research</span></p><p>From the table, the largest geographic regions for the EV market are China and Europe which combined accounted for 85% of total global unit sales in 2021. Meanwhile, North America where Tesla is based and derives 45% of revenue only represented 11% of the total market. Furthermore, both Europe and China have higher market forecast unit volume CAGR than North America and higher than the global average.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d10110c3aabbf8d7bf4bd6a09d8c71cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Based on InsideEVs, Tesla was the third largest EV company in China with a unit sales share of 10% in 2021 behind BYD and the SAIC-GM-Wuling joint venture which sells vehicles under the Wuling and Baojun brands. Besides Tesla and Volkswagen, the largest companies are from China which highlights their home-field advantage. For Volkswagen, its popularity is supported by consumer preference for the European automaker&#39;s vehicles and SUVs according to AutoCar. Also, it is the largest EV automaker in Europe and the second-largest automaker in the world behind Toyota.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f8a9a98c8f9eadce2400f8538bce7c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Furthermore, the largest EV companies by unit sales in Europe were Volkswagen, Stellantis, Daimler, BMW and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. Tesla had a smaller share than all of these competitors. Besides the Renault alliance, all of the companies were based in Europe which we believe highlights their home-field advantage. We believe the company&#39;s expansion overseas in China and Europe could bode well for the company to increase its presence in these regions through its new manufacturing sites to cater to demand and provide tailwinds as the two largest geographic markets for EV.</p><p>To forecast the company&#39;s automotive sales, we first forecasted its vehicle production growth based on its total capacity of 2,050 across its facilities in the US, Shanghai and Berlin. We assumed the company to reach this level by 2023 as it begins operations this year. Beyond 2023, we tapered down its growth to the market forecast volume CAGR of 21.7%. Our projections are close to management&#39;s guidance of more than 50% YoY growth for vehicle deliveries in 2022. Also, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the company&#39;s optimism about achieving this target in 2022 in its latest earnings briefing (Q1 2022).</p><blockquote>We remain confident of a 50% growth in vehicle production in 2022 versus ‘21. - Elon Musk, CEO</blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4bf0b4a36d296803bda9cbbec7410e0\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><b>Reduced Reliance on External Suppliers</b></p><p>According to Visual Capitalist, rechargeable Li-ion cells are the largest contributor to costs representing 77% of the total cost for the battery pack. According to Nikkei Asia, Lithium-ion batteries were estimated to account for 30% of EV costs. Back in 2019, CEO Elon Musk expected its Model 3 line&#39;s cost in China to be 50% lower than its US plants. As it expanded in the country which was ranked 5thin lowest manufacturing cost, it also expanded its local procurement such as through local battery supplier CATL (the largest EV battery maker in China with 48% share). In following its annual report, the company cited the decrease in cost per unit due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China.</p><blockquote>The average Model 3 and Model Y costs per unit have decreased significantly due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China despite rising raw material, commodity, logistics and expedite costs - Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>Based on its annual report, the company depends on a select few suppliers for its lithium-ion battery cells. These include companies such as Panasonic (OTCPK:PCRFY) (14.5%market share) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (31% global market share) which combined account for 45% of the market share. Thus, we believe this implies a risk to the company due to the high bargaining power of suppliers. Though, the company highlighted in its annual report its plan to shift to in-house production for its batteries and reduce its reliance on its suppliers. As the company increases in-house production, we believe this could reduce the risk of the company facing a margin squeeze by its battery suppliers.</p><blockquote>In the long term, we intend to supplement cells from our suppliers with cells manufactured by us, which we believe will be more efficient, manufacturable at greater volumes and more cost-effective than currently available cells. – Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>According to Tesla&#39;s CEO, the company was estimated to produce 100-gigawatt hours of its 4680 battery cells in 2022 which could support 1.3 mln vehicles and aimed to halve its costs. Moreover, the company recently also announced that it will be sourcing battery components such as graphite from Mozambique, the world&#39;s second-largest graphite producer (11%share) after China (59%) through an agreement with Syrah Resources (OTCPK:SYAAF) with plans to purchase 80% of its production from 2025. According to Argus, Syrah Resources&#39; graphite project is the world&#39;s largest integrated natural graphite mining and processing operation. Moreover, graphite price had surged by over 50% last year and Consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) expects the supply shortage for graphite to continue in 2022 with a 20,000-tonne graphite deficit. Thus, we view this move favourably for the company to secure long-term supply amid the industry shortage and potentially mitigate rising cost pressures.</p><p>Overall, we expect Tesla&#39;s shift towards in-house production to benefit the company and increase its bargaining power over suppliers. We projected its gross margins based on its COGS per vehicle as its COGS per vehicle had declined by -5.8% on a 5-year historical average and we expect the company to continue reducing its cost per vehicle as it increases its production in scale. We believe this is appropriate given the company&#39;s multiple drivers, which we highlighted were its expansion in China and in-house production of batteries. Based on its earnings briefing, management stated that their automotive gross margin has reached above 30% for the first time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae9c78f06d0689e9730a6f8c50d013a4\" tg-width=\"1181\" tg-height=\"327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69f8abca3d76a1754ec83f1b47cb4070\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><b>Risk: Product Reliability</b></p><p>The company&#39;s annual report highlighted product risks relating to its Autopilot and FSD features as well as batteries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0ff016b400ad258e513aa12290c46ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"158\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla</span></p><p>Furthermore, the company also stated that product recalls could account for significant costs for the company.</p><blockquote>Such recalls, whether voluntary or involuntary or caused by systems or components engineered or manufactured by us or our suppliers, could result in significant expense, supply chain complications and service burdens, and may harm our brand, business, prospects, financial condition and operating results. – Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>The company incurs warranty expenses and provisioning. In 2021, its accrued warranty balance was $2.1 bln, which represented 3.9% of its total revenue and a decrease from 4.7% in the prior year. We believe that future product recalls could increase its expenses and affect company profitability.</p><p>Tesla had recently announced a product recall for 579,000 vehicles, which we calculated to be around 26% of total Tesla deliveries since 2016 of 2.2 mln vehicles, in the US due to a violation of federal safety standards over its Boombox sound functions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the company shall disable the Boombox function when the vehicle is in drive, reverse or neutral over an over-the-air software update. Thus, we believe this could arise additional expenses for the company. Based on the company&#39;s warranty expense of $0.579 mln in 2021 and its total vehicle deliveries of 2.2 mln since 2016, we estimate the average warranty expense per vehicle to be $137. Assuming this as the expense incurred with the product recall for 579,000 vehicles, we derived an estimated cost impact of $53.8 mln, which is only 0.3% of revenue.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>To value the company, we used a comparable valuation based on the P/S of its automotive competitors. First, we compiled our revenue projections for the company in the table below with the automotive sales forecast summarized as discussed in the previous points above. We forecasted its Services and other as well as the Energy generation and storage segment based on its 4-year historical average growth tapered down by 5% per year as a conservative estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a46f1c3d1edab61af758a6a2ae1902\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"644\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>We derived our average ratios based on a tiered average with each bracket represented by their past 3-year revenue CAGR. However, a significant number of competitors had negative revenue growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0954b8834487ca3129907df195ac5b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352afe0c0e29ca19df3c7ce14111695\" tg-width=\"917\" tg-height=\"237\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Based on our model, we obtained a 12-month price target of $1,081, which is a Hold rating for us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5817cd57ab6f4614dcdf997a37b08cf3\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"494\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Furthermore, the price action of Tesla&#39;s stock seems to support our valuation calculation. Each time the share price reaches around 10% within our price target, the stock price consolidates.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fbfd43419151b961547d23df107da07\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Verdict</b></p><p>To conclude, as the market leader in the EV market with a 21% sales share, we analyzed its market positioning by examining 106 EV models and determined that it had relatively higher pricing in terms of average prices but also a higher number of EV model variants and better battery efficiency as measured by EV range, which places it in the top right quadrant of our EV comparison chart. Besides that, we also highlighted its advantage in terms of its software and self-driving capabilities and features which we believe could provide it with an edge over competitors. As Tesla expands overseas in Europe and China which combined account for over 85% of the EV market, we expect the company&#39;s expansion to support its growth with a projected sales growth of 47.6% in 2022. Additionally, we believe the company&#39;s expansion in China which its CEO previously stated to be 50% lower than the US and shift towards in-house could boost its margins going forward and we projected its gross and net margins to reach 43% and 23.5% respectively, assuming its COGS per vehicle continues to decrease by -5.8% through 2026. However, given the lofty stock price, we rate the company as a<i>Hold</i>with a target price of<i>$1,081.</i></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-26 16:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.As it expands outside into China and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105612207","content_text":"SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.As it expands outside into China and Europe, we expect its growth to be supported by its expansion with a forecast automotive revenue growth rate of 47.6% in 2022.Moreover, we believe its profitability could continue rising with its focus on China and in-house production to reach a net margin of 43% by 2026.Despite its leading position, we believe Tesla stock is perfectly priced and already reflecting in its future growth.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsTesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the largest EV company in the world with a unit sales market share of 21% in 2021. We analyzed the EV market and Tesla's market positioning in theEV market in terms of its market share. We also looked into its technological capabilities and compared it against competitors in aspects such as the self-driving capability to determine its competitiveness in the EV market.Moreover, we looked into its expansion overseas in Europe and Asia and analyzed the market growth outlook in these geographic regions compared to its home market in the US. Based on its expansions, we projected its automotive production and sales growth.Lastly, we examined Tesla's supply chain and sourcing strategy as it increasingly moves to the in-house production of components. We analyzed its margins and estimated it going forward with the impact of its overseas production and internal production.Leader In the Fast-Growing EV IndustryCompany Data, Khaveen InvestmentsIn 2021, Toyota (TM) held the title as the market leader of the automaker market with the highest share. This is followed by Volkswagen Group (OTCPK:VWAGY), Stellantis (STLA), General Motors (GM) and SAIC which made the top 5. The top 5 consisted of 2 automakers from the European and Asian geographic regions each with General Motors the only US company in the top 5. This is followed by the remaining 5 largest companies which are Honda (HMC), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Ford (F), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF) and Suzuki (OTCPK:SZKMF). Except for Ford (US-based), the rest of the automakers were based in Asia. Tesla did not break into the top 10 largest automakers in 2021.InsideEVsNotwithstanding, according to InsideEVs, Tesla was the market leader in the EV market with a share of 21% of EV unit sales. This is followed by SAIC and Volkswagen which are both the largest in their home markets of China and Europe, respectively, followed by BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) and Hyundai in the top 5 EV automakers worldwide. In the US specifically, Tesla had dominated the US EV market as it retained its title as the market leader over the past 5 years. However, its market share decreased in 2021 with increasing competition from other automakers such as Chevrolet, FIAT, and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), which gained market share. Globally, Tesla is the market leader in 2021 with the highest market share of unit sales.To identify Tesla's market positioning and to compare it against competitors in the EV market, we compared it against competitors based on several factors including the number of EV model variants, range and average base price. According to data from InsideEVs, we compiled a total of 106 EV models from 18 different EV companies and calculated each of their number of EV model variants, average base prices and range. We plotted these data in the bubble chart below with the range and the number of models on both axes and the midpoints of each factor based on the median and the size of each bubble represented by their average base prices where we see the smaller the circle size, the stronger the advantage for the company.InsideEVs, Khaveen Investments*Circle size represents average base priceBased on the chart, Tesla is placed in the top right quadrant with a higher number of EV model variants such as the Model 3, S and X, than the midpoint of 4 models. Its average range is also above the midpoint, which is around 260 miles. We believe this highlights Tesla's strengths with a wide variety and above-average range. Besides Tesla, the companies in the top right quadrant are Lucid (LCID) Air, Kia, Hyundai and Ford. Meanwhile, in the bottom right quadrant, Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Nissan are placed there with a high number of models but poor range. On the left side of the chart, most companies are in the top half (5 out of 9) and represented mostly by European-based automakers (6 out of 10) including Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Polestar, Jaguar, Volvo and Volkswagen.Moreover, in terms of pricing, the company with the highest average price in the chart is Lucid Air, which is lifted by its expensive Air DreamEditionbut with one of the highest battery capacities and range. Tesla's average price is lower than Lucid Air, Mercedes and Porsche, but has a wider variety with a higher number of EV models at 16 which is the second-highest behind Ford. On the other hand, Chevrolet and Mazda both have the lowest average price with a low average battery capacity of 65kWh and 35kWh which are the lowest and below the average of 88 kWh.All in all, based on our chart, we believe Tesla is placed as the best in the EV market due to its high number of models, which is only behind Ford. However, Tesla edges out over Ford with a higher average range, thus we place Ford as the second best. Although Lucid Air has a better range than Tesla, we believe its high price is a disadvantage to Tesla and we ranked it as the third-best company. In contrast, we believe Mazda is placed in the worst position with a low number of models and poor range with tough competition at its price point from other competitors.While we find that Tesla's pricing is generally higher than competitors, we also note its technological innovation. The company's EVs are equipped with its Autopilot technology to provide driverless assist capabilities using vision-based sensors. According to its annual report, it is also developing its full self-driving ('FSD') capabilities running on neural networks in its vehicles and is currently in beta testing. According to its latest earnings briefing, the company highlighted its FSD program having over 100,000 people and it expects to expand this year.However, several of its competitors also provide similar capabilities such as adaptive cruise control and lane-centering steering including Audi, BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Nissan, Polestar, Porsche and Volkswagen. Besides that, Tesla also provides over-the-air updates to improve the vehicle functions of existing Tesla EVs. According to Munster, while other automakers also provide OTA updates, they are focused on infotainment features whereas Tesla extends these software updates for its EVs to improve range, power, braking, safety, and driver-assistance features.Expansion into Europe and Other CountriesTesla, Khaveen InvestmentsTesla's largest geographic region based on its annual report is the US, which accounts for nearly half of its revenues, while China is its second-largest region with the remaining categorized as its Others segment. The company's geographic revenue indicates its limited presence beyond these regions as most of the company's manufacturing bases are located in the US and China as seen in the table below.TeslaAccording to Tesla, the majority of its production sites are located in the US with a Gigafactory in Texas announced to be opened by April 2022 with an expected capacity of 500,000 for its Model Y. However, the company had been expanding its production facilities overseas with a Gigafactory in Germany which recentlyopenedwith a capacity of up to 500,000 vehicles. This is its second facility outside of the US besides its Gigafactory in Shanghai which opened in 2019.Source: EV Volumes, Meticulous ResearchFrom the table, the largest geographic regions for the EV market are China and Europe which combined accounted for 85% of total global unit sales in 2021. Meanwhile, North America where Tesla is based and derives 45% of revenue only represented 11% of the total market. Furthermore, both Europe and China have higher market forecast unit volume CAGR than North America and higher than the global average.InsideEVsBased on InsideEVs, Tesla was the third largest EV company in China with a unit sales share of 10% in 2021 behind BYD and the SAIC-GM-Wuling joint venture which sells vehicles under the Wuling and Baojun brands. Besides Tesla and Volkswagen, the largest companies are from China which highlights their home-field advantage. For Volkswagen, its popularity is supported by consumer preference for the European automaker's vehicles and SUVs according to AutoCar. Also, it is the largest EV automaker in Europe and the second-largest automaker in the world behind Toyota.InsideEVsFurthermore, the largest EV companies by unit sales in Europe were Volkswagen, Stellantis, Daimler, BMW and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. Tesla had a smaller share than all of these competitors. Besides the Renault alliance, all of the companies were based in Europe which we believe highlights their home-field advantage. We believe the company's expansion overseas in China and Europe could bode well for the company to increase its presence in these regions through its new manufacturing sites to cater to demand and provide tailwinds as the two largest geographic markets for EV.To forecast the company's automotive sales, we first forecasted its vehicle production growth based on its total capacity of 2,050 across its facilities in the US, Shanghai and Berlin. We assumed the company to reach this level by 2023 as it begins operations this year. Beyond 2023, we tapered down its growth to the market forecast volume CAGR of 21.7%. Our projections are close to management's guidance of more than 50% YoY growth for vehicle deliveries in 2022. Also, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the company's optimism about achieving this target in 2022 in its latest earnings briefing (Q1 2022).We remain confident of a 50% growth in vehicle production in 2022 versus ‘21. - Elon Musk, CEOSource: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsReduced Reliance on External SuppliersAccording to Visual Capitalist, rechargeable Li-ion cells are the largest contributor to costs representing 77% of the total cost for the battery pack. According to Nikkei Asia, Lithium-ion batteries were estimated to account for 30% of EV costs. Back in 2019, CEO Elon Musk expected its Model 3 line's cost in China to be 50% lower than its US plants. As it expanded in the country which was ranked 5thin lowest manufacturing cost, it also expanded its local procurement such as through local battery supplier CATL (the largest EV battery maker in China with 48% share). In following its annual report, the company cited the decrease in cost per unit due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China.The average Model 3 and Model Y costs per unit have decreased significantly due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China despite rising raw material, commodity, logistics and expedite costs - Tesla Annual Report 2021Based on its annual report, the company depends on a select few suppliers for its lithium-ion battery cells. These include companies such as Panasonic (OTCPK:PCRFY) (14.5%market share) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (31% global market share) which combined account for 45% of the market share. Thus, we believe this implies a risk to the company due to the high bargaining power of suppliers. Though, the company highlighted in its annual report its plan to shift to in-house production for its batteries and reduce its reliance on its suppliers. As the company increases in-house production, we believe this could reduce the risk of the company facing a margin squeeze by its battery suppliers.In the long term, we intend to supplement cells from our suppliers with cells manufactured by us, which we believe will be more efficient, manufacturable at greater volumes and more cost-effective than currently available cells. – Tesla Annual Report 2021According to Tesla's CEO, the company was estimated to produce 100-gigawatt hours of its 4680 battery cells in 2022 which could support 1.3 mln vehicles and aimed to halve its costs. Moreover, the company recently also announced that it will be sourcing battery components such as graphite from Mozambique, the world's second-largest graphite producer (11%share) after China (59%) through an agreement with Syrah Resources (OTCPK:SYAAF) with plans to purchase 80% of its production from 2025. According to Argus, Syrah Resources' graphite project is the world's largest integrated natural graphite mining and processing operation. Moreover, graphite price had surged by over 50% last year and Consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) expects the supply shortage for graphite to continue in 2022 with a 20,000-tonne graphite deficit. Thus, we view this move favourably for the company to secure long-term supply amid the industry shortage and potentially mitigate rising cost pressures.Overall, we expect Tesla's shift towards in-house production to benefit the company and increase its bargaining power over suppliers. We projected its gross margins based on its COGS per vehicle as its COGS per vehicle had declined by -5.8% on a 5-year historical average and we expect the company to continue reducing its cost per vehicle as it increases its production in scale. We believe this is appropriate given the company's multiple drivers, which we highlighted were its expansion in China and in-house production of batteries. Based on its earnings briefing, management stated that their automotive gross margin has reached above 30% for the first time.Source: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsTesla, Khaveen InvestmentsRisk: Product ReliabilityThe company's annual report highlighted product risks relating to its Autopilot and FSD features as well as batteries.TeslaFurthermore, the company also stated that product recalls could account for significant costs for the company.Such recalls, whether voluntary or involuntary or caused by systems or components engineered or manufactured by us or our suppliers, could result in significant expense, supply chain complications and service burdens, and may harm our brand, business, prospects, financial condition and operating results. – Tesla Annual Report 2021The company incurs warranty expenses and provisioning. In 2021, its accrued warranty balance was $2.1 bln, which represented 3.9% of its total revenue and a decrease from 4.7% in the prior year. We believe that future product recalls could increase its expenses and affect company profitability.Tesla had recently announced a product recall for 579,000 vehicles, which we calculated to be around 26% of total Tesla deliveries since 2016 of 2.2 mln vehicles, in the US due to a violation of federal safety standards over its Boombox sound functions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the company shall disable the Boombox function when the vehicle is in drive, reverse or neutral over an over-the-air software update. Thus, we believe this could arise additional expenses for the company. Based on the company's warranty expense of $0.579 mln in 2021 and its total vehicle deliveries of 2.2 mln since 2016, we estimate the average warranty expense per vehicle to be $137. Assuming this as the expense incurred with the product recall for 579,000 vehicles, we derived an estimated cost impact of $53.8 mln, which is only 0.3% of revenue.ValuationTo value the company, we used a comparable valuation based on the P/S of its automotive competitors. First, we compiled our revenue projections for the company in the table below with the automotive sales forecast summarized as discussed in the previous points above. We forecasted its Services and other as well as the Energy generation and storage segment based on its 4-year historical average growth tapered down by 5% per year as a conservative estimate.Source: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsWe derived our average ratios based on a tiered average with each bracket represented by their past 3-year revenue CAGR. However, a significant number of competitors had negative revenue growth.Seeking Alpha, Khaveen InvestmentsSource: Seeking Alpha, Khaveen InvestmentsBased on our model, we obtained a 12-month price target of $1,081, which is a Hold rating for us.Source: Khaveen InvestmentsFurthermore, the price action of Tesla's stock seems to support our valuation calculation. Each time the share price reaches around 10% within our price target, the stock price consolidates.Data by YChartsVerdictTo conclude, as the market leader in the EV market with a 21% sales share, we analyzed its market positioning by examining 106 EV models and determined that it had relatively higher pricing in terms of average prices but also a higher number of EV model variants and better battery efficiency as measured by EV range, which places it in the top right quadrant of our EV comparison chart. Besides that, we also highlighted its advantage in terms of its software and self-driving capabilities and features which we believe could provide it with an edge over competitors. As Tesla expands overseas in Europe and China which combined account for over 85% of the EV market, we expect the company's expansion to support its growth with a projected sales growth of 47.6% in 2022. Additionally, we believe the company's expansion in China which its CEO previously stated to be 50% lower than the US and shift towards in-house could boost its margins going forward and we projected its gross and net margins to reach 43% and 23.5% respectively, assuming its COGS per vehicle continues to decrease by -5.8% through 2026. However, given the lofty stock price, we rate the company as aHoldwith a target price of$1,081.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9025130080,"gmtCreate":1653633925941,"gmtModify":1676535318719,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NU\">$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$</a>up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NU\">$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$</a>up","text":"$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a46da81eee4ca2bcfd2bb3a20842b5a1","width":"720","height":"1600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9025130080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987428141,"gmtCreate":1667967853683,"gmtModify":1676537992204,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go republik","listText":"Go republik","text":"Go republik","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987428141","repostId":"2282537949","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981772594,"gmtCreate":1666611984118,"gmtModify":1676537777472,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>time is buy❤️up up up go go go....","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>time is buy❤️up up up go go go....","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$time is buy❤️up up up go go go....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981772594","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9088620382,"gmtCreate":1650339427764,"gmtModify":1676534700660,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy n hold","listText":"Buy n hold","text":"Buy n hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9088620382","repostId":"1159339703","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159339703","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650338536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159339703?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-19 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Tesla Stock A Buy Or Sell Ahead Of Upcoming Earnings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159339703","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"\" section below, I touch on TSLA's new production facilities in Berlin and Austin, which might have contributed to the increase in daily production rate for the first quarter of 2022.In a later section of this article, I touch on how TSLA's Q1 2022 key operating metrics give us an indication of how the company could have performed in the quarter.When Does Tesla Report Earnings?Tesla is reporting the company's earnings for the first quarter of 2022 on April 20, 2022 after trading hours, as per it","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla&#39;s Q1 2022 deliveries amounting to 310,048 units came in marginally below what the market was expecting.</li><li>I expect TSLA&#39;s first-quarter earnings to meet market expectations, but I am less certain about the company&#39;s FY 2021 financial outlook.</li><li>I view Tesla stock as a Hold ahead of upcoming earnings, considering both the company&#39;s full-year prospects and its valuations.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0cb9c2d1a08ba46bbabbfd256c05c3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Elevator Pitch</b></p><p>I have a Hold rating for Tesla, Inc.&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares. I discussed about TSLA&#39;s above-expectations Q3 2021 deliveries in my earlier article published on October 15, 2021. In this current article, I look at how Tesla&#39;s Q1 2022 deliveries offer a preview of the company&#39;s upcoming quarterly earnings.</p><p>TSLA&#39;s first-quarter deliveries were only slightly below the market consensus&#39; estimates, and this supports my view that the company&#39;s upcoming Q1 2022 earnings will live up to the market&#39;s expectations. However, there is greater uncertainty over Tesla&#39;s full-year financial performance taking into account the current Shanghai lockdown and the potential drag of the new production facilities on its profitability. As such, I deem a Hold investment rating to be appropriate for TSLA&#39;s shares.</p><p><b>TSLA Stock Key Metrics</b></p><p>On April 2, 2022, TSLA issued a press release announcing the company&#39;s deliveries and production figures for Q1 2022.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s deliveries increased by +67.7% YoY and +0.5% QoQ to 310,048 units in the first quarter of this year. Specifically, deliveries for Model 3/Y grew +61.5% YoY to 295,324 units in Q1 2022, but declined marginally by -0.5% on a QoQ basis. The company&#39;s Model S/X deliveries expanded by +25.1% QoQ and +625.3% YoY to 14,724 units in the most recent quarter.</p><p>More significantly, TSLA&#39;s actual Q1 2022 deliveries fell slightly short of the sell-side&#39;s consensus forecast of312,000 units. I go into detail about the current lockdown in Shanghai, China which could have accounted for the deliveries miss in a subsequent section of the article titled &#34;What To Expect From Earnings&#34;.</p><p>On the positive side of things, Tesla&#39;s production numbers were roughly flat on a QoQ basis at 305,407 units in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to 305,840 units produced in the final quarter of the prior year. In fact, I estimate that TSLA&#39;s daily production rate improved by +2% QoQ in Q1 2022 vis-a-vis Q4 2021 (different numbers of days in two quarters). In the &#34;What Is Tesla&#39;s Forecast?&#34; section below, I touch on TSLA&#39;s new production facilities in Berlin and Austin, which might have contributed to the increase in daily production rate for the first quarter of 2022.</p><p>In a later section of this article, I touch on how TSLA&#39;s Q1 2022 key operating metrics give us an indication of how the company could have performed in the quarter.</p><p><b>When Does Tesla Report Earnings?</b></p><p>Tesla is reporting the company&#39;s earnings for the first quarter of 2022 on April 20, 2022 after trading hours, as per its media release dated April 2, 2022 which was referred to in the preceding section of this article.</p><p><b>What To Expect From Earnings?</b></p><p>The Wall Street&#39;s consensus financial estimates suggest that Tesla&#39;s revenue and non-GAAP normalized earnings per share will grow by +71% YoY and +144% YoY to$17.8 billion and $2.26, respectively in the first quarter.</p><p>Notably, there have been very marginal changes made to the Q1 2022 consensus numbers for TSLA in recent months, even after the disclosure of deliveries in early-April. Tesla&#39;s consensus Q1 top line and bottom line were raised by+0.6% and +0.9%, respectively in the past one months. In the last three months, TSLA&#39;s consensus first quarter revenue was revised upwards by +0.5%, while analysts increased the consensus Q1 EPS by +0.3%. This implies that the market has confidence in Tesla&#39;s ability to deliver the results in the first quarter of this year, and I think the analysts are right.</p><p>In terms of sales volume, Tesla is likely to have been negatively affected by the COVID-19 lockdown in Shanghai, China which began onMarch 28, 2022. But this should have a very limited impact on TSLA&#39;s Q1 revenue given that the lockdown only happened in the last week of March, and this is validated by the fact that the company&#39;s first-quarter deliveries only missed the consensus estimates marginally. But if the lockdown in Shanghai does not ease going forward, TSLA&#39;s operating and financial performance for Q2 2022 could also be adversely affected.</p><p>With respect to pricing, TSLA has sent a strong signal to investors that the company has the pricing power to pass on cost increases to its customers. An April 7, 2022<i>Seeking Alpha News</i> article mentioned that the company &#34;has raised the price of the Model 3 Long Range and Performance variants in the United States&#34; this month. In the news article, it is also highlighted that Tesla has previously raised prices in March as well. This should help to sustain TSLA&#39;s profitability at the gross margin level.</p><p>In a nutshell, I don&#39;t see any major surprises relating to Tesla&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings announcement on April 20, 2022, as I expect the company&#39;s financial performance in the first quarter to be in line with what Wall Street is forecasting.</p><p><b>Is TSLA Stock Overvalued Now?</b></p><p>It is natural to be concerned if TSLA&#39;s shares are overvalued now considering its good share price performance.</p><p><b>Tesla&#39;s Stock Price Performance For The Past One Year</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad935ce8636d8fa3617a0ef7ce0f18d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>TSLA&#39;s 2022 Year-to-date Share Price Performance</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22536e30336b72c2748f01484bf40f41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>As per the charts presented above, Tesla&#39;s shares have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 for both the one-year and year-to-date time periods.</p><p>But I assess Tesla&#39;s stock to be fairly valued.</p><p>My target price for TSLA is $1,026 based on a forward fiscal 2025 Enterprise Value-to-Revenue multiple of 12 times applied to the company&#39;s consensus FY 2025 top line estimate of $144 billion, and discounted back to the present. My price target is only +4% above Tesla&#39;s last traded share price of $985 as of April 14, 2022, and this supports my view that TSLA is currently at a fair valuation.</p><p><b>What Is Tesla&#39;s Forecast?</b></p><p>It is more important to evaluate the expectations for Tesla&#39;s full-year 2022 results rather than just focusing on the upcoming quarter.</p><p>TSLA is expected to expand the company&#39;s top line and bottom line by +54% and +57% to $82.8 billion and $10.67 per share, respectively for FY 2022. I have a mixed view of whether Tesla can achieve these numbers.</p><p>There has been a slight easing of pandemic restrictions in Shanghai, evidenced by the fact that &#34;some residents of Shanghai were allowed out of their houses and apartments following a two-week shutdown&#34;, according to a recent <i>Seeking Alpha News</i> article published on April 13, 2022. But as long as China sticks to its &#34;COVID-zero&#34; policy, there is always a risk that there could be tightening of COVID-19 restrictions or new lockdowns in Shanghai going forward assuming another spike in pandemic cases somewhere down the road. In other words, this poses downside risks to Tesla&#39;s full-year 2022 deliveries and revenue.</p><p>Separately, new production facilities in Berlin and Austin should be positive for Tesla in terms of increasing the company&#39;s production capacity to meet future demand. According to an April 8, 2022 sell-side report (not publicly available) published by <i>Wedbush</i> titled &#34;Giga Austin Rodeo Takeaways&#34;, Tesla is estimated to &#34;have the run rate capacity for overall ~2 million units annually (by end-2022) from roughly 1 million today&#34; thanks to the Austin and Berlin factories. But it is also inevitable that Tesla&#39;s profit margins will be hurt in the short-term, as the production facilities in Berlin and Austin will naturally be unable to run at their optimal capacities in the early stages of production ramp-up.</p><p>In summary, there are downside risks to TSLA&#39;s revenue and earnings which should warrant attention. It is necessary to watch the China/Shanghai COVID-19 situation and the progress of the Austin and Berlin factories closely to determine if Tesla can deliver a good financial performance for full-year 2022.</p><p>A wildcard for Tesla&#39;s future outlook is Elon Musk&#39;sproposed buyout of Twitter (TWTR). Assuming Elon Musk&#39;s acquisition of TWTR is successful, he could potentially leverage on the Twitter platform to build a stronger community of Tesla buyers and owners. However, as it stands now, Twitter&#39;s board does not seem receptive to the buyout offer, so the deal might not go through.</p><p><b>Is TSLA Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>Tesla stock remains a Hold. I see TSLA&#39;s delivering in-line earnings Q1 2022, implying that there won&#39;t be a substantial beat or miss for the quarter. Also, Tesla&#39;s valuations are deemed to be fair according to my price target; and I have a mixed view of Tesla&#39;s outlook for full-year 2022.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Tesla Stock A Buy Or Sell Ahead Of Upcoming Earnings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Tesla Stock A Buy Or Sell Ahead Of Upcoming Earnings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-19 11:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501597-tesla-stock-buy-sell-upcoming-earnings><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla's Q1 2022 deliveries amounting to 310,048 units came in marginally below what the market was expecting.I expect TSLA's first-quarter earnings to meet market expectations, but I am less ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501597-tesla-stock-buy-sell-upcoming-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501597-tesla-stock-buy-sell-upcoming-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159339703","content_text":"SummaryTesla's Q1 2022 deliveries amounting to 310,048 units came in marginally below what the market was expecting.I expect TSLA's first-quarter earnings to meet market expectations, but I am less certain about the company's FY 2021 financial outlook.I view Tesla stock as a Hold ahead of upcoming earnings, considering both the company's full-year prospects and its valuations.jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesElevator PitchI have a Hold rating for Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares. I discussed about TSLA's above-expectations Q3 2021 deliveries in my earlier article published on October 15, 2021. In this current article, I look at how Tesla's Q1 2022 deliveries offer a preview of the company's upcoming quarterly earnings.TSLA's first-quarter deliveries were only slightly below the market consensus' estimates, and this supports my view that the company's upcoming Q1 2022 earnings will live up to the market's expectations. However, there is greater uncertainty over Tesla's full-year financial performance taking into account the current Shanghai lockdown and the potential drag of the new production facilities on its profitability. As such, I deem a Hold investment rating to be appropriate for TSLA's shares.TSLA Stock Key MetricsOn April 2, 2022, TSLA issued a press release announcing the company's deliveries and production figures for Q1 2022.Tesla's deliveries increased by +67.7% YoY and +0.5% QoQ to 310,048 units in the first quarter of this year. Specifically, deliveries for Model 3/Y grew +61.5% YoY to 295,324 units in Q1 2022, but declined marginally by -0.5% on a QoQ basis. The company's Model S/X deliveries expanded by +25.1% QoQ and +625.3% YoY to 14,724 units in the most recent quarter.More significantly, TSLA's actual Q1 2022 deliveries fell slightly short of the sell-side's consensus forecast of312,000 units. I go into detail about the current lockdown in Shanghai, China which could have accounted for the deliveries miss in a subsequent section of the article titled \"What To Expect From Earnings\".On the positive side of things, Tesla's production numbers were roughly flat on a QoQ basis at 305,407 units in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to 305,840 units produced in the final quarter of the prior year. In fact, I estimate that TSLA's daily production rate improved by +2% QoQ in Q1 2022 vis-a-vis Q4 2021 (different numbers of days in two quarters). In the \"What Is Tesla's Forecast?\" section below, I touch on TSLA's new production facilities in Berlin and Austin, which might have contributed to the increase in daily production rate for the first quarter of 2022.In a later section of this article, I touch on how TSLA's Q1 2022 key operating metrics give us an indication of how the company could have performed in the quarter.When Does Tesla Report Earnings?Tesla is reporting the company's earnings for the first quarter of 2022 on April 20, 2022 after trading hours, as per its media release dated April 2, 2022 which was referred to in the preceding section of this article.What To Expect From Earnings?The Wall Street's consensus financial estimates suggest that Tesla's revenue and non-GAAP normalized earnings per share will grow by +71% YoY and +144% YoY to$17.8 billion and $2.26, respectively in the first quarter.Notably, there have been very marginal changes made to the Q1 2022 consensus numbers for TSLA in recent months, even after the disclosure of deliveries in early-April. Tesla's consensus Q1 top line and bottom line were raised by+0.6% and +0.9%, respectively in the past one months. In the last three months, TSLA's consensus first quarter revenue was revised upwards by +0.5%, while analysts increased the consensus Q1 EPS by +0.3%. This implies that the market has confidence in Tesla's ability to deliver the results in the first quarter of this year, and I think the analysts are right.In terms of sales volume, Tesla is likely to have been negatively affected by the COVID-19 lockdown in Shanghai, China which began onMarch 28, 2022. But this should have a very limited impact on TSLA's Q1 revenue given that the lockdown only happened in the last week of March, and this is validated by the fact that the company's first-quarter deliveries only missed the consensus estimates marginally. But if the lockdown in Shanghai does not ease going forward, TSLA's operating and financial performance for Q2 2022 could also be adversely affected.With respect to pricing, TSLA has sent a strong signal to investors that the company has the pricing power to pass on cost increases to its customers. An April 7, 2022Seeking Alpha News article mentioned that the company \"has raised the price of the Model 3 Long Range and Performance variants in the United States\" this month. In the news article, it is also highlighted that Tesla has previously raised prices in March as well. This should help to sustain TSLA's profitability at the gross margin level.In a nutshell, I don't see any major surprises relating to Tesla's Q1 2022 earnings announcement on April 20, 2022, as I expect the company's financial performance in the first quarter to be in line with what Wall Street is forecasting.Is TSLA Stock Overvalued Now?It is natural to be concerned if TSLA's shares are overvalued now considering its good share price performance.Tesla's Stock Price Performance For The Past One YearSeeking AlphaTSLA's 2022 Year-to-date Share Price PerformanceSeeking AlphaAs per the charts presented above, Tesla's shares have outperformed the S&P 500 for both the one-year and year-to-date time periods.But I assess Tesla's stock to be fairly valued.My target price for TSLA is $1,026 based on a forward fiscal 2025 Enterprise Value-to-Revenue multiple of 12 times applied to the company's consensus FY 2025 top line estimate of $144 billion, and discounted back to the present. My price target is only +4% above Tesla's last traded share price of $985 as of April 14, 2022, and this supports my view that TSLA is currently at a fair valuation.What Is Tesla's Forecast?It is more important to evaluate the expectations for Tesla's full-year 2022 results rather than just focusing on the upcoming quarter.TSLA is expected to expand the company's top line and bottom line by +54% and +57% to $82.8 billion and $10.67 per share, respectively for FY 2022. I have a mixed view of whether Tesla can achieve these numbers.There has been a slight easing of pandemic restrictions in Shanghai, evidenced by the fact that \"some residents of Shanghai were allowed out of their houses and apartments following a two-week shutdown\", according to a recent Seeking Alpha News article published on April 13, 2022. But as long as China sticks to its \"COVID-zero\" policy, there is always a risk that there could be tightening of COVID-19 restrictions or new lockdowns in Shanghai going forward assuming another spike in pandemic cases somewhere down the road. In other words, this poses downside risks to Tesla's full-year 2022 deliveries and revenue.Separately, new production facilities in Berlin and Austin should be positive for Tesla in terms of increasing the company's production capacity to meet future demand. According to an April 8, 2022 sell-side report (not publicly available) published by Wedbush titled \"Giga Austin Rodeo Takeaways\", Tesla is estimated to \"have the run rate capacity for overall ~2 million units annually (by end-2022) from roughly 1 million today\" thanks to the Austin and Berlin factories. But it is also inevitable that Tesla's profit margins will be hurt in the short-term, as the production facilities in Berlin and Austin will naturally be unable to run at their optimal capacities in the early stages of production ramp-up.In summary, there are downside risks to TSLA's revenue and earnings which should warrant attention. It is necessary to watch the China/Shanghai COVID-19 situation and the progress of the Austin and Berlin factories closely to determine if Tesla can deliver a good financial performance for full-year 2022.A wildcard for Tesla's future outlook is Elon Musk'sproposed buyout of Twitter (TWTR). Assuming Elon Musk's acquisition of TWTR is successful, he could potentially leverage on the Twitter platform to build a stronger community of Tesla buyers and owners. However, as it stands now, Twitter's board does not seem receptive to the buyout offer, so the deal might not go through.Is TSLA Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?Tesla stock remains a Hold. I see TSLA's delivering in-line earnings Q1 2022, implying that there won't be a substantial beat or miss for the quarter. Also, Tesla's valuations are deemed to be fair according to my price target; and I have a mixed view of Tesla's outlook for full-year 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966935749,"gmtCreate":1669374100582,"gmtModify":1676538190572,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966935749","repostId":"1192259531","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982743315,"gmtCreate":1667261829138,"gmtModify":1676537886284,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>good buy🎉🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>good buy🎉🚀","text":"$GameStop(GME)$good buy🎉🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982743315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986268876,"gmtCreate":1666965195295,"gmtModify":1676537841127,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup up up.buy buy buy😘","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>uup up up.buy buy buy😘","text":"$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$uup up up.buy buy buy😘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986268876","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914960480,"gmtCreate":1665158041440,"gmtModify":1676537566300,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/API\">$Agora, Inc.(API)$</a>ttime is buy[Miser]&nbsp;[love you]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/API\">$Agora, Inc.(API)$</a>ttime is buy[Miser]&nbsp;[love you]&nbsp;","text":"$Agora, Inc.(API)$ttime is buy[Miser] [love you]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914960480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041215448,"gmtCreate":1656054914984,"gmtModify":1676535760125,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>go buy","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>go buy","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$go buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041215448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053829286,"gmtCreate":1654520037145,"gmtModify":1676535461020,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ACB\">$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$</a>buy","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ACB\">$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$</a>buy","text":"$Aurora Cannabis Inc(ACB)$buy","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f7a1452d3c213f8cffef198c704e778","width":"720","height":"2342"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053829286","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084503339,"gmtCreate":1650884643254,"gmtModify":1676534808572,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy n hold","listText":"Buy n hold","text":"Buy n hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084503339","repostId":"2229070197","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2229070197","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650872847,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229070197?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-25 15:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229070197","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Don't get so caught up with stock split intentions that you fail to see the bigger picture.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Tesla plans to seek approval from shareholders to pursue a stock split.</li><li>If approved, a stock split will multiply the number of shares Tesla investors own.</li><li>It&#39;s important to understand how a stock split works before you go on a Tesla shopping spree.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> has garnered a lot of attention since its 5-for-1 stock split in 2020, and the light continues to shine on the electric vehicle maker. Last month, Tesla announced plans for a potential stock split, and the company&#39;s share price shot up.</p><p>If you&#39;re thinking about getting a slice of Tesla&#39;s stock, don&#39;t let the potential stock split be the only number that&#39;s driving your decision. There are more important factors to consider if you want a chance to profit from any stock you buy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5ebcdd6a8c79934bcdd9748f3f2447c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Tesla&#39;s big announcement</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s executive team always surprises the media with jaw-dropping news. Last month was no exception. On Monday, March 28, Tesla announced plans to pursue a stock split to provide shareholders with a stock dividend.</p><p>The stock split ratio and dates have not been released yet. Nothing is set in stone until shareholders vote at the upcoming shareholder meeting. Last year&#39;s meeting took place in October, so we are probably a few more months away from a final decision.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s last stock split occurred in August 2020. Investors received four additional shares for every one share held in their portfolio. From the time of the stock split announcement on Aug. 11 to the 5-for-1 stock split on Aug. 31, Tesla&#39;s stock price soared 80%. Although those returns were impressive, that doesn&#39;t necessarily mean the next potential stock split will yield the same results.</p><h2>Behind the scenes of a stock split</h2><p>Stock splits have been known to create excitement among investors, but they may not be worth all the hype. When a company announces a stock split, all shareholders on the books before the cutoff date will receive more shares of the company&#39;s stock. Although this may sound like a win for investors, it&#39;s only a cosmetic change. The company is just slicing every share in your portfolio into smaller pieces.</p><p>Let&#39;s say you buy two shares of Tesla stock for $1,000 per share. If the company pursues a 5-for-1 stock split again, you&#39;ll have 10 shares valued at $200 each if the stock price remains the same. If you sold half your shares, you&#39;d get $1,000 in your account.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s potential stock split won&#39;t guarantee your riches</h2><p>A stock split will make Tesla&#39;s four-figure stock price more affordable for the average investor. After the stock split, all investors can buy a whole share of Tesla for a cheaper price.</p><p>It isn&#39;t uncommon for a company&#39;s stock price to explode after a stock split. However, you can&#39;t guarantee that Tesla&#39;s stock will shoot up after the stock split. The best move you can make is to invest in a company based on the health of the underlying business. When you purchase stock in a company, you are essentially buying a piece of the business, so you want to make sure the business can attract profits in the future.</p><p>Here are a few metrics you want to keep tabs on if you want to unlock wealth in the stock market:</p><ul><li>Competitive advantage or economic moat</li><li>Production capabilities</li><li>Innovation</li><li>Management performance</li><li>Financial statement results</li><li>Industry trends</li></ul><h2>Don&#39;t lose sight of what really matters as an investor</h2><p>Although a stock split sounds fancy, it&#39;s not as glamorous as you may think. A stock split, in itself, won&#39;t lead to millions of dollars in your account overnight. If you were hoping to go from rags to riches overnight, a stock split won&#39;t do the trick.</p><p>That&#39;s not to say you shouldn&#39;t consider investing in Tesla stock. Pay attention to the key financial metrics, and then go beyond the numbers to determine if the company deserves a spot in your portfolio. If you do your research now, you can position yourself to attract market-beating returns that can get you one step closer to building wealth in the stock market over time.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-25 15:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla plans to seek approval from shareholders to pursue a stock split.If approved, a stock split will multiply the number of shares Tesla investors own.It's important to understand how a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229070197","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla plans to seek approval from shareholders to pursue a stock split.If approved, a stock split will multiply the number of shares Tesla investors own.It's important to understand how a stock split works before you go on a Tesla shopping spree.Tesla has garnered a lot of attention since its 5-for-1 stock split in 2020, and the light continues to shine on the electric vehicle maker. Last month, Tesla announced plans for a potential stock split, and the company's share price shot up.If you're thinking about getting a slice of Tesla's stock, don't let the potential stock split be the only number that's driving your decision. There are more important factors to consider if you want a chance to profit from any stock you buy.Image source: Getty Images.Tesla's big announcementTesla's executive team always surprises the media with jaw-dropping news. Last month was no exception. On Monday, March 28, Tesla announced plans to pursue a stock split to provide shareholders with a stock dividend.The stock split ratio and dates have not been released yet. Nothing is set in stone until shareholders vote at the upcoming shareholder meeting. Last year's meeting took place in October, so we are probably a few more months away from a final decision.Tesla's last stock split occurred in August 2020. Investors received four additional shares for every one share held in their portfolio. From the time of the stock split announcement on Aug. 11 to the 5-for-1 stock split on Aug. 31, Tesla's stock price soared 80%. Although those returns were impressive, that doesn't necessarily mean the next potential stock split will yield the same results.Behind the scenes of a stock splitStock splits have been known to create excitement among investors, but they may not be worth all the hype. When a company announces a stock split, all shareholders on the books before the cutoff date will receive more shares of the company's stock. Although this may sound like a win for investors, it's only a cosmetic change. The company is just slicing every share in your portfolio into smaller pieces.Let's say you buy two shares of Tesla stock for $1,000 per share. If the company pursues a 5-for-1 stock split again, you'll have 10 shares valued at $200 each if the stock price remains the same. If you sold half your shares, you'd get $1,000 in your account.Tesla's potential stock split won't guarantee your richesA stock split will make Tesla's four-figure stock price more affordable for the average investor. After the stock split, all investors can buy a whole share of Tesla for a cheaper price.It isn't uncommon for a company's stock price to explode after a stock split. However, you can't guarantee that Tesla's stock will shoot up after the stock split. The best move you can make is to invest in a company based on the health of the underlying business. When you purchase stock in a company, you are essentially buying a piece of the business, so you want to make sure the business can attract profits in the future.Here are a few metrics you want to keep tabs on if you want to unlock wealth in the stock market:Competitive advantage or economic moatProduction capabilitiesInnovationManagement performanceFinancial statement resultsIndustry trendsDon't lose sight of what really matters as an investorAlthough a stock split sounds fancy, it's not as glamorous as you may think. A stock split, in itself, won't lead to millions of dollars in your account overnight. If you were hoping to go from rags to riches overnight, a stock split won't do the trick.That's not to say you shouldn't consider investing in Tesla stock. Pay attention to the key financial metrics, and then go beyond the numbers to determine if the company deserves a spot in your portfolio. If you do your research now, you can position yourself to attract market-beating returns that can get you one step closer to building wealth in the stock market over time.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084635821,"gmtCreate":1650854212125,"gmtModify":1676534804021,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy n hold","listText":"Buy n hold","text":"Buy n hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084635821","repostId":"2230113510","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2230113510","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650852635,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230113510?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-25 10:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Twitter Is Said to Re-examine Musk Bid, May Be Open to Deal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230113510","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) is said to be re-examining Elon Musk's $43 billion offer after the Tesla founder","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eebc30f8ea7a6aec7bcddd1245b97cae\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (NYSE:TWTR) is said to be re-examining Elon Musk&#39;s $43 billion offer after the Tesla founder revealed his financing and social media firm may be more receptive to a deal.</p><p>Twitter is to meeting on Sunday to discuss the offer, according to a WSJ report, which cited people familiar. Twitter (TWTR) is still working to asses its own value, which needs to be close to Musk&#39;s bid. The social media company may ask for sweeteners such as breakup fees if the deal were to fall apart.</p><p>Twitter is expected to discuss the bid when it reports Q1 results on Thursday or possibly sooner, the WSJ said.</p><p>The latest report comes after Musk announced Thursday said he will explore a potential tender offer for Twitter (TWTR), having secured $46.5 billion committed financing for the deal.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twitter Is Said to Re-examine Musk Bid, May Be Open to Deal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwitter Is Said to Re-examine Musk Bid, May Be Open to Deal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-25 10:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3826009-twitter-is-said-to-re-examine-musk-bid-may-be-open-to-deal-report><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) is said to be re-examining Elon Musk's $43 billion offer after the Tesla founder revealed his financing and social media firm may be more receptive to a deal.Twitter is to meeting ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3826009-twitter-is-said-to-re-examine-musk-bid-may-be-open-to-deal-report\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4555":"新能源车","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TWTR":"Twitter","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3826009-twitter-is-said-to-re-examine-musk-bid-may-be-open-to-deal-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2230113510","content_text":"Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) is said to be re-examining Elon Musk's $43 billion offer after the Tesla founder revealed his financing and social media firm may be more receptive to a deal.Twitter is to meeting on Sunday to discuss the offer, according to a WSJ report, which cited people familiar. Twitter (TWTR) is still working to asses its own value, which needs to be close to Musk's bid. The social media company may ask for sweeteners such as breakup fees if the deal were to fall apart.Twitter is expected to discuss the bid when it reports Q1 results on Thursday or possibly sooner, the WSJ said.The latest report comes after Musk announced Thursday said he will explore a potential tender offer for Twitter (TWTR), having secured $46.5 billion committed financing for the deal.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987798263,"gmtCreate":1667984734952,"gmtModify":1676537994509,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987798263","repostId":"1119565865","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119565865","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667970397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119565865?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 13:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119565865","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMy investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenu","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>My investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenue growth in 2022 will be 23.29% rather than 30%+ in 2022.</li><li>Palantir Technologies has significantly declining margins and it is generating less cash from operations off more revenue, which is concerning.</li><li>I plan on adding to my position and dollar cost averaging, as Palantir has increased its customer base by 134 YoY and now has other positives, such as an interesting valuation.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6cfa718e8398417ea21d2c4e2d8712\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Michael Vi</span></p><p>I was very critical of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) after their Q2 earnings call in August, which was reflected in my article, where I went from bullish to neutral inthe blink of an eye. I indicated that I was still bullish on the company&#39;s business prospects, but was disappointed with how Alex Karp&#39;s (Palantir CEO) commentary and how he conducted himself. After listening to the conference call and reading through the presentation, press release, and Alex Karp&#39;s letter to shareholders, I believed there were many things to like, but the original thesis he outlined was changing.</p><p>Since 2022 isn&#39;t playing out according to plan, I need to take a step back and recalculate my projections. Thankfully, the Q3 conference call on 7 November went much better than Q2&#39;s, but the results weren&#39;t overwhelmingly good. For all of the powerful slides of information embedded within the presentation, the bottom line is that Palantir&#39;s revenue growth won&#39;t hit Alek Karp&#39;s projections, and their margins are being impacted. This is causing the narrative to change. PLTR could still become a great long-term investment, but in the short term, I think shareholders will need to endure unwanted volatility.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bce4c6da47a33baf858c7b09566bba8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><h2>The ugly part of Q3 and how it is making my projections change</h2><p>In Q2 of 2021, PLTR reinforced their long-term outlook of 30%+ revenue growth for 2021 and the next 4 years, bringing them through 2025. PLTR had projected that its 2021 Adjusted FCF (free cash flow) would exceed $300 million in 2021, which would be a 100% increase from its previous outlook. I dislike adjusted numbers and would rather look at straight FCF, which is cash from operations minus CapEx or purchases of property and equipment. In 2021, PLTR ended the year generating $1.54 billion in revenue and $321.22 million of FCF for an FCF margin of 20.83%.</p><p>I built a model based on PLTR&#39;s commentary and their 2021 FCF margin. In my model, which is below, I had PLTR&#39;s revenue grow by 30% through 2025, then drop down to 25%, 22%, 19%, 17%, and 15% from years 2026 - 2030. Based on 2021&#39;s FCF margin of 20.83%, if these revenue growth numbers were in the ballpark, PLTR would have generated $2.53 billion of FCF in 2030 from $12.16 billion of revenue. Based on a 25x FCF multiple, PLTR would have a $63.30 billion market cap; at a 35x multiple, PLTR would have an $88.62 billion market; and at a 45x multiple, PLTR would have a $113.94 billion market cap. While Q2 made me switch my view because I was worried about how PLTR would be perceived by potential customers, the future looked interesting as there was a clear roadmap to a much larger market cap into 2030 than PLTR had today. All of this ended after the Q3 2022 conference call, and I now need to build a new model.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ae01fb83faa817f70110891f770c9b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"66\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d239d9dac695fda355bc570b6c2ea77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>I can no longer use the model I previously based my investment thesis around because PLTR&#39;s projections for revenue growth in 2022 have changed, and their margins have decreased significantly. PLTR is now guiding for $1.9 billion of revenue as its midpoint for the fiscal year of 2022. This is a YoY increase of $359.10 million, which is a 23.29% growth rate. The other issue is that PLTR&#39;s FCF margin has declined in the first 9-months of operations from 21.07% in 2021 to 7.86% in 2022. In the first 9 months of operations in 2021, PLTR generated $1.11 billion of revenue and $233.64 million of FCF for a 21.07% FCF margin. YTD over the first 9 months of 2022, PLR&#39;s revenue has increased by 25.99% YoY ($288.23 million) to $1.4 billion, but its cash from operations has declined by -$95.45 million (-39.70%), and their CapEx has increased by $28.33 million (417.60%), placing its FCF at $109.87 million. PLTR&#39;s FCF margin has declined by -13.20 percentage points to 7.86% from 21.07% YoY. As an investor, I need to readjust my investment thesis based on the new information and determine if 2022 is an anomaly or a new normal.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d97f8eea6c89e38d0b039fe76b44b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>I built 2 models to see where PLTR&#39;s numbers could go. My original cash flow projection called for $2.53 billion of FCF from $12.16 billion of revenue in 2030 based on 2021&#39;s FCF margin, and my revenue assumptions extrapolated past the 2025 projection from PLTR. In model 1, I chalked 2022 up to an anomaly. If I keep the revenue growth rate the same from 2023-2030 and the FCF margin the same as my previous figures, PLTR will generate $10.2 billion of revenue and $2.12 billion of FCF in 2030.</p><p>In model 2, I made the assumption that PLTR&#39;s revenue growth is downhill from here, and the entire thesis needs to change. 2022 is now projected to be a 23.29% YoY revenue growth rate for PLTR, so I projected accordingly. Instead of 30% growth rates for 2023 - 2025 ,I placed them at 20%, 20%, and 18%. Then I scaled down to 16%, 14%, 12%, 10%, and 8% for years 2026 - 2030. I completely speculated on the FCF margin and placed it at 10% for 2022, and looked at a 15% FCF margin for 2030. Based on these projections, PLTR would generate $5.68 billion of revenue in 2030 and produce $852.54 million of FCF.</p><p>I don&#39;t have a crystal ball, so I don&#39;t know which model is more accurate, but 2022 isn&#39;t what PLTR had hoped for, and it&#39;s certainly not what I had hoped for. PLTR is generating less cash from operations, and its margins are declining, especially its FCF margin. As an investor, I want to see as much cash and FCF generated from operations as possible, and if its revenue is increasing, I would hope that PLTR is generating additional cash from operations. There isn&#39;t enough data yet for me to lean in either direction, and I want to see how Q4 turns out and what the first half of 2023 looks like prior to making any decisions. While I still think PLTR has a lot of potential, its numbers have deflated my investment thesis, and I am not nearly as enthusiastic as I once was.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b01bc10374ca97fc6d7dd4f131c7aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c52c2f63ca61a261775c95bca20c753b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"871\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>The other aspect I am not thrilled about is PLTR&#39;s stock-based compensation (&#34;SBCU&#34;), but not for the reasons you may suspect. PLTR is a growth company and they are competing against Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), and the rest of Silicon Valley for software engineers, in addition to every other company for quality salespeople. I would much rather have PLTR tap the equity markets and issue stock-based compensation to fuel its growth instead of tapping the debt markets. I am willing to undergo some dilution for this as many other successful companies, including Tesla (TSLA), have operated in this fashion.</p><p>The problem is that there is no clear picture of how stock-based compensation is awarded to its employees. We see the line items of where it&#39;s expensed to, but we don&#39;t know how it&#39;s distributed. In the first 9 months of operations in 2022, stock-based comp has declined -$175.91 million (-28.78%) to $435.40 million YoY, and in Q3, it declined by -$44.53 million (-24.09%) to $140.31 million YoY. While PLTR is utilizing stock-based comp less and less, operationally, PLTR isn&#39;t hitting its metrics. Revenue growth is slowing and is projected to come in at 23.29% rather than 30% YoY in 2022, and net dollar retention is stalled at 119% for 2 quarters in a row.</p><p>As a shareholder, I am fine with PLTR as a growth company utilizing stock-based compensation if it&#39;s beneficial to the bottom line. In this case, I am not seeing PLTR deliver operationally, while shareholders are diluted and employees are rewarded with additional shares.</p><h2>By the numbers, 2022 isn&#39;t what I had hoped it would be, Q3 earnings weren&#39;t entirely bad, and Palantir still has tremendous potential, but the real question is, can they capitalize?</h2><p>Businesses look toward testimonials and customer feedback to provide validation for their product or service. When it comes to enterprise software, real-world use cases and an A-list of clients are critical for future growth. Palantir has changed up its marketing strategy and put together an entire conference called FoundryCon, which was tailored to the U.S commercial market and open to shareholders, global customers, the press, and the general public. Following the opening fireside talk between Alex Karp and Mike Allen (Co-Founder of Axios), presentations from the U.S. Space Systems Command and the National Cancer Institute were delivered, in addition to remarks from companies that included Jacobs, Morgan Stanley, Apache, and Tyson Foods.</p><p>Tyson Foods CTO Scott Spradley discussed the strategic outcomes that were achieved through transforming their business and generating $200 million in savings across 20 projects. John Rickerman from Jacobs highlighted that they are on track to save $300,000 annually at one of their sites, which was a 20% savings, and they have 300 sites where the same process can be replicated at. Colonel Jennifer Krolikowski stated that 15,000 people would not have been able to be evacuated from Afghanistan without utilizing PLTR&#39;s software.</p><p>PLTR is driving efficiencies and cost benefits for the largest companies and critical government agencies. PLTR is also one of three companies, which includes Amazon (AMZN) and MSFT, that have IL6 Provisional Authorization from the DOD. PLTR&#39;s testimonials are from the largest and most respected entities, and this certainly has an impact on future clients.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/871aee443bc3808cd89c5fc1e4ba2514\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>Once again, Alek Karp put one of the most bullish slides in the Q3 shareholder letter rather than the Q3 presentation. Quite frankly, this slide is something many investors are probably overlooking, and it is critical for the bull thesis. On a TTM basis in Q3 2020, PLTR&#39;s new customer base declined by -29.41%, as they only generated 12 new customers vs. 17 in the year prior. PLTR wasn&#39;t a well-known company in 2020, and for those who knew of PLTR, the common perception was that they were a black box company specializing in platforms for the military-industrial complex.</p><p>PLTR didn&#39;t go public until the fall of 2020, and after they did, their new customer base exploded as more information about PLTR was circulated, and companies saw successful use cases from their industry peers. In 2021 PLTR added 49 additional new customers on a TTM basis in Q3, up 408.33% YoY, as they finished with 61 new customers. In Q3 of 2022, PLTR experienced a huge increase in new customers. PLTR&#39;s new customer base in Q3 of 2022 on a TTM basis grew by 119.67% or 73 new customers YoY to 134.</p><p>I wasn&#39;t thrilled with the net dollar retention being stuck at 119% for 2 consecutive quarters, but seeing the cohort growth in new customers, there will be plenty of chances to upsell customers and add additional functionality to their contracts. Over the last 2 years, PLTR has added 195 new customers, and while new customer growth has decelerated on a percentage basis, it has increased in size YoY. Based on the previous 2 years, PLTR could end up having 450-500 customers by this time next year. If PLTR replicates its 134 new customer growth over the next 12 months, it will put them at 471 customers.</p><p>I was very critical of PLTR&#39;s revenue growth and margins due to the level of stock-based compensation that has been issued, but there is certainly a thesis that the growth hasn&#39;t materialized from their newest customers, and 2022 is an anomaly year from a revenue and margin standpoint.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40a0de766ef9082a731f07346df7c55b\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir</span></p><p>No matter how I look at it, PLTR is growing, even though revenue growth will fall short of PLTR&#39;s previous projections. Q3 revenue is up 22% YoY, and the U.S. business is still exploding, as it&#39;s up 31% YoY. In Q3 PLTR&#39;s total contract value closed at $1.3 billion, while they closed 78 deals worth a minimum of $1 million. Of these 78 deals, 32 were at least worth $5 million, and 19 exceeded $10 million. PLTR ended Q3, having closed 273 deals YTD, which is up 63% YoY from 167 in 2021, which drove its total remaining deal value up 14% YoY to $4.1 billion.</p><p>For all of the shortcomings, there are many aspects to build a bullish thesis around. I am not closing the door on PLTR as I can argue a bullish case to myself in the same fashion I can create a doom and gloom scenario. At the end of the day, PLTR has $2.4 billion of cash on the balance sheet with $0 of debt and is well capitalized for the future. PLTR doesn&#39;t have a single concern with rising rates impacting their expenses, and there is a path to profitability and large amounts of FCF in the future. The only questions are, will PLTR continue growing in a similar fashion, and will its new customer base eventually drive additional net dollar retention levels?</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>As a reformed PLTR bull, I am currently neutral on the company. I would need to see revenue get back to the 30%+ projection, margins improve, and expenses either stay in-line or decrease to get bullish again.</p><p>That being said, I am not bearish and find Palantir&#39;s current valuation interesting. I plan on adding more shares and dollar cost averaging, as I am not ready to call it a loss and put this investment in the tax-loss harvesting bucket. I need 3 more quarters of data before making a final decision on PLTR, as there is still a path to billions of FCF in 2030, but the current revenue and margin declines are certainly concerning. As PLTR&#39;s numbers have changed, so has my investment thesis, and I will anxiously be awaiting the Q4 earnings report.</p><p><i>This article is written by Steven Fiorillo for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: -11.48% After Earnings, And My Investment Thesis Is Changing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 13:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554710-palantir-minus-11-48-percent-after-earnings-and-my-investment-thesis-is-changing><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMy investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenue growth in 2022 will be 23.29% rather than 30%+ in 2022.Palantir Technologies has significantly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554710-palantir-minus-11-48-percent-after-earnings-and-my-investment-thesis-is-changing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554710-palantir-minus-11-48-percent-after-earnings-and-my-investment-thesis-is-changing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119565865","content_text":"SummaryMy investment thesis has changed now that Palantir Technologies Inc. is projecting its revenue growth in 2022 will be 23.29% rather than 30%+ in 2022.Palantir Technologies has significantly declining margins and it is generating less cash from operations off more revenue, which is concerning.I plan on adding to my position and dollar cost averaging, as Palantir has increased its customer base by 134 YoY and now has other positives, such as an interesting valuation.Michael ViI was very critical of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) after their Q2 earnings call in August, which was reflected in my article, where I went from bullish to neutral inthe blink of an eye. I indicated that I was still bullish on the company's business prospects, but was disappointed with how Alex Karp's (Palantir CEO) commentary and how he conducted himself. After listening to the conference call and reading through the presentation, press release, and Alex Karp's letter to shareholders, I believed there were many things to like, but the original thesis he outlined was changing.Since 2022 isn't playing out according to plan, I need to take a step back and recalculate my projections. Thankfully, the Q3 conference call on 7 November went much better than Q2's, but the results weren't overwhelmingly good. For all of the powerful slides of information embedded within the presentation, the bottom line is that Palantir's revenue growth won't hit Alek Karp's projections, and their margins are being impacted. This is causing the narrative to change. PLTR could still become a great long-term investment, but in the short term, I think shareholders will need to endure unwanted volatility.Seeking AlphaThe ugly part of Q3 and how it is making my projections changeIn Q2 of 2021, PLTR reinforced their long-term outlook of 30%+ revenue growth for 2021 and the next 4 years, bringing them through 2025. PLTR had projected that its 2021 Adjusted FCF (free cash flow) would exceed $300 million in 2021, which would be a 100% increase from its previous outlook. I dislike adjusted numbers and would rather look at straight FCF, which is cash from operations minus CapEx or purchases of property and equipment. In 2021, PLTR ended the year generating $1.54 billion in revenue and $321.22 million of FCF for an FCF margin of 20.83%.I built a model based on PLTR's commentary and their 2021 FCF margin. In my model, which is below, I had PLTR's revenue grow by 30% through 2025, then drop down to 25%, 22%, 19%, 17%, and 15% from years 2026 - 2030. Based on 2021's FCF margin of 20.83%, if these revenue growth numbers were in the ballpark, PLTR would have generated $2.53 billion of FCF in 2030 from $12.16 billion of revenue. Based on a 25x FCF multiple, PLTR would have a $63.30 billion market cap; at a 35x multiple, PLTR would have an $88.62 billion market; and at a 45x multiple, PLTR would have a $113.94 billion market cap. While Q2 made me switch my view because I was worried about how PLTR would be perceived by potential customers, the future looked interesting as there was a clear roadmap to a much larger market cap into 2030 than PLTR had today. All of this ended after the Q3 2022 conference call, and I now need to build a new model.Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking AlphaPalantirI can no longer use the model I previously based my investment thesis around because PLTR's projections for revenue growth in 2022 have changed, and their margins have decreased significantly. PLTR is now guiding for $1.9 billion of revenue as its midpoint for the fiscal year of 2022. This is a YoY increase of $359.10 million, which is a 23.29% growth rate. The other issue is that PLTR's FCF margin has declined in the first 9-months of operations from 21.07% in 2021 to 7.86% in 2022. In the first 9 months of operations in 2021, PLTR generated $1.11 billion of revenue and $233.64 million of FCF for a 21.07% FCF margin. YTD over the first 9 months of 2022, PLR's revenue has increased by 25.99% YoY ($288.23 million) to $1.4 billion, but its cash from operations has declined by -$95.45 million (-39.70%), and their CapEx has increased by $28.33 million (417.60%), placing its FCF at $109.87 million. PLTR's FCF margin has declined by -13.20 percentage points to 7.86% from 21.07% YoY. As an investor, I need to readjust my investment thesis based on the new information and determine if 2022 is an anomaly or a new normal.PalantirI built 2 models to see where PLTR's numbers could go. My original cash flow projection called for $2.53 billion of FCF from $12.16 billion of revenue in 2030 based on 2021's FCF margin, and my revenue assumptions extrapolated past the 2025 projection from PLTR. In model 1, I chalked 2022 up to an anomaly. If I keep the revenue growth rate the same from 2023-2030 and the FCF margin the same as my previous figures, PLTR will generate $10.2 billion of revenue and $2.12 billion of FCF in 2030.In model 2, I made the assumption that PLTR's revenue growth is downhill from here, and the entire thesis needs to change. 2022 is now projected to be a 23.29% YoY revenue growth rate for PLTR, so I projected accordingly. Instead of 30% growth rates for 2023 - 2025 ,I placed them at 20%, 20%, and 18%. Then I scaled down to 16%, 14%, 12%, 10%, and 8% for years 2026 - 2030. I completely speculated on the FCF margin and placed it at 10% for 2022, and looked at a 15% FCF margin for 2030. Based on these projections, PLTR would generate $5.68 billion of revenue in 2030 and produce $852.54 million of FCF.I don't have a crystal ball, so I don't know which model is more accurate, but 2022 isn't what PLTR had hoped for, and it's certainly not what I had hoped for. PLTR is generating less cash from operations, and its margins are declining, especially its FCF margin. As an investor, I want to see as much cash and FCF generated from operations as possible, and if its revenue is increasing, I would hope that PLTR is generating additional cash from operations. There isn't enough data yet for me to lean in either direction, and I want to see how Q4 turns out and what the first half of 2023 looks like prior to making any decisions. While I still think PLTR has a lot of potential, its numbers have deflated my investment thesis, and I am not nearly as enthusiastic as I once was.Steven Fiorillo, Palantir, Seeking AlphaPalantirThe other aspect I am not thrilled about is PLTR's stock-based compensation (\"SBCU\"), but not for the reasons you may suspect. PLTR is a growth company and they are competing against Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), and the rest of Silicon Valley for software engineers, in addition to every other company for quality salespeople. I would much rather have PLTR tap the equity markets and issue stock-based compensation to fuel its growth instead of tapping the debt markets. I am willing to undergo some dilution for this as many other successful companies, including Tesla (TSLA), have operated in this fashion.The problem is that there is no clear picture of how stock-based compensation is awarded to its employees. We see the line items of where it's expensed to, but we don't know how it's distributed. In the first 9 months of operations in 2022, stock-based comp has declined -$175.91 million (-28.78%) to $435.40 million YoY, and in Q3, it declined by -$44.53 million (-24.09%) to $140.31 million YoY. While PLTR is utilizing stock-based comp less and less, operationally, PLTR isn't hitting its metrics. Revenue growth is slowing and is projected to come in at 23.29% rather than 30% YoY in 2022, and net dollar retention is stalled at 119% for 2 quarters in a row.As a shareholder, I am fine with PLTR as a growth company utilizing stock-based compensation if it's beneficial to the bottom line. In this case, I am not seeing PLTR deliver operationally, while shareholders are diluted and employees are rewarded with additional shares.By the numbers, 2022 isn't what I had hoped it would be, Q3 earnings weren't entirely bad, and Palantir still has tremendous potential, but the real question is, can they capitalize?Businesses look toward testimonials and customer feedback to provide validation for their product or service. When it comes to enterprise software, real-world use cases and an A-list of clients are critical for future growth. Palantir has changed up its marketing strategy and put together an entire conference called FoundryCon, which was tailored to the U.S commercial market and open to shareholders, global customers, the press, and the general public. Following the opening fireside talk between Alex Karp and Mike Allen (Co-Founder of Axios), presentations from the U.S. Space Systems Command and the National Cancer Institute were delivered, in addition to remarks from companies that included Jacobs, Morgan Stanley, Apache, and Tyson Foods.Tyson Foods CTO Scott Spradley discussed the strategic outcomes that were achieved through transforming their business and generating $200 million in savings across 20 projects. John Rickerman from Jacobs highlighted that they are on track to save $300,000 annually at one of their sites, which was a 20% savings, and they have 300 sites where the same process can be replicated at. Colonel Jennifer Krolikowski stated that 15,000 people would not have been able to be evacuated from Afghanistan without utilizing PLTR's software.PLTR is driving efficiencies and cost benefits for the largest companies and critical government agencies. PLTR is also one of three companies, which includes Amazon (AMZN) and MSFT, that have IL6 Provisional Authorization from the DOD. PLTR's testimonials are from the largest and most respected entities, and this certainly has an impact on future clients.PalantirOnce again, Alek Karp put one of the most bullish slides in the Q3 shareholder letter rather than the Q3 presentation. Quite frankly, this slide is something many investors are probably overlooking, and it is critical for the bull thesis. On a TTM basis in Q3 2020, PLTR's new customer base declined by -29.41%, as they only generated 12 new customers vs. 17 in the year prior. PLTR wasn't a well-known company in 2020, and for those who knew of PLTR, the common perception was that they were a black box company specializing in platforms for the military-industrial complex.PLTR didn't go public until the fall of 2020, and after they did, their new customer base exploded as more information about PLTR was circulated, and companies saw successful use cases from their industry peers. In 2021 PLTR added 49 additional new customers on a TTM basis in Q3, up 408.33% YoY, as they finished with 61 new customers. In Q3 of 2022, PLTR experienced a huge increase in new customers. PLTR's new customer base in Q3 of 2022 on a TTM basis grew by 119.67% or 73 new customers YoY to 134.I wasn't thrilled with the net dollar retention being stuck at 119% for 2 consecutive quarters, but seeing the cohort growth in new customers, there will be plenty of chances to upsell customers and add additional functionality to their contracts. Over the last 2 years, PLTR has added 195 new customers, and while new customer growth has decelerated on a percentage basis, it has increased in size YoY. Based on the previous 2 years, PLTR could end up having 450-500 customers by this time next year. If PLTR replicates its 134 new customer growth over the next 12 months, it will put them at 471 customers.I was very critical of PLTR's revenue growth and margins due to the level of stock-based compensation that has been issued, but there is certainly a thesis that the growth hasn't materialized from their newest customers, and 2022 is an anomaly year from a revenue and margin standpoint.PalantirNo matter how I look at it, PLTR is growing, even though revenue growth will fall short of PLTR's previous projections. Q3 revenue is up 22% YoY, and the U.S. business is still exploding, as it's up 31% YoY. In Q3 PLTR's total contract value closed at $1.3 billion, while they closed 78 deals worth a minimum of $1 million. Of these 78 deals, 32 were at least worth $5 million, and 19 exceeded $10 million. PLTR ended Q3, having closed 273 deals YTD, which is up 63% YoY from 167 in 2021, which drove its total remaining deal value up 14% YoY to $4.1 billion.For all of the shortcomings, there are many aspects to build a bullish thesis around. I am not closing the door on PLTR as I can argue a bullish case to myself in the same fashion I can create a doom and gloom scenario. At the end of the day, PLTR has $2.4 billion of cash on the balance sheet with $0 of debt and is well capitalized for the future. PLTR doesn't have a single concern with rising rates impacting their expenses, and there is a path to profitability and large amounts of FCF in the future. The only questions are, will PLTR continue growing in a similar fashion, and will its new customer base eventually drive additional net dollar retention levels?ConclusionAs a reformed PLTR bull, I am currently neutral on the company. I would need to see revenue get back to the 30%+ projection, margins improve, and expenses either stay in-line or decrease to get bullish again.That being said, I am not bearish and find Palantir's current valuation interesting. I plan on adding more shares and dollar cost averaging, as I am not ready to call it a loss and put this investment in the tax-loss harvesting bucket. I need 3 more quarters of data before making a final decision on PLTR, as there is still a path to billions of FCF in 2030, but the current revenue and margin declines are certainly concerning. As PLTR's numbers have changed, so has my investment thesis, and I will anxiously be awaiting the Q4 earnings report.This article is written by Steven Fiorillo for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987884470,"gmtCreate":1667869374991,"gmtModify":1676537976531,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀","text":"$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$bulliss is cooming🤣😂🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987884470","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987979393,"gmtCreate":1667805040912,"gmtModify":1676537966230,"author":{"id":"4110711526721282","authorId":"4110711526721282","name":"caklee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c02a41401176337dcebcf7eaafb3deb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110711526721282","authorIdStr":"4110711526721282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","listText":"Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","text":"Up up up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/36a6dbefc540a628fc8806547e021be5","width":"720","height":"816"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987979393","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}