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2022-08-04

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Alibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting

2022-07-24

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TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week

2022-09-05

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3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too

2022-08-22

Hope all

Alibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made

2022-07-19

Awaiting the dragon 🐉

Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon

2022-06-27

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Tesla Cut to $1,150; Coinbase Cut to $45 | Price Target Changes

2022-09-21

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Alibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence

2022-08-28

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2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation

2022-07-18

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Alibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap

2022-06-23

😍 amazing

Alibaba: Is the Worst Over?

2022-11-30

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Alibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks

2022-08-21

Wow

No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock

2022-08-08

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Alibaba: Same Stuff, Different Day

2022-07-11

T_T

U.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off

2022-07-11

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Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week

2022-06-09

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Is It Time to Buy Tesla Stock? This Analyst Thinks So

2022-08-23

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3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split

2022-08-25

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Alibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100

2022-08-22

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Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets

2022-08-16

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TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split

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23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173876241","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>While top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings per share, and free cash flow at a high pace.</li><li>Despite different risks continuing to exist for Alibaba, the growth potential for the different business segments remains high.</li><li>Alibaba is focusing on share buybacks, which is a good move considering its deeply undervalued share price.</li></ul><p>I must be honest. So far, my investment in as well as my articles about Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) have been nothing but a catastrophe. Since my last article, the stock price declined 31% and since the article in January 2022, the stock declined 37%. I built my position in Alibaba over time but so far, I didn’t make any money. I also must admit that I did not expect Alibaba to decline so steeply. At least when getting close to $100, I assumed we hit the bottom and could not imagine Alibaba declining lower.</p><p>However, my long-term investment thesis did not change. I am still long-term bullish about Alibaba and in my opinion the market is completely mispricing the stock and just focusing on the risks while completely ignoring the cash generating business and existing growth potential.</p><h3>Quarterly Results</h3><p>About two weeks ago, Alibaba reported second quarter results for fiscal 2022. And while it missed on revenue expectations by $490 million, it could beat earnings per ADS by $0.17. When looking at the quarterly results, I will report the numbers in Renminbi.</p><p>Although growth slowed down, Alibaba could still increase revenue from RMB 200,690 million in the same quarter last year to RMB 207,176 million this quarter resulting in 3.2% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased from RMB 34,840 million in Q2/21 to RMB 43,311 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 24.3% year-over-year growth. And finally, diluted earnings per share almost quadrupled from RMB 0.25 in the same quarter last year to RMB 0.97 this quarter. When looking at non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, we saw an increase of 15% YoY from RMB 1.40 in the same quarter last year to RMB 1.61 this quarter. And finally, free cash flow increased from RMB 22,239 million in Q2/21 to RMB 35,709 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 60.6% year-over-year growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78baaf1cc15acbf0419b0de8a14fb12b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When looking at the different segments, the biggest part of revenue is still stemming from China commerce, which generated RMB 135,431 million in revenue (a decline of 1% year-over-year). This segment is responsible for the biggest part of adjusted EBITDA (RMB 43,980 million). International Commerce could generate RMB 15,747 million in revenue, resulting in 4% YoY growth and Local Consumer Services generated revenue of RMB 13,073 million resulting in 21% YoY growth. However, both segments are still not profitable and generated negative EBITDA. Cloud could generate RMB 20,757 million in revenue (increasing 4% year-over-year growth) and adjusted EBITDA was RMB 434 million. Cainiao could generate revenue of RMB 13,367 million resulting in 36% year-over-year growth and after reporting a loss of in the same quarter last year the segment reported an adjusted EBITDA of RMB 125 million. And finally, Digital media and entertainment could generate RMB 8,392 million in revenue (resulting in 4% YoY growth). However, the segment was also not profitable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e016228f4be40a684f90dd4cc0d784a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Additionally, growth from its 11.11 Global Shopping Event slowed down as well and Alibaba could only report results in line with last year’s gross merchandise volume performance. During the last earnings call, Alibaba also commented on the last Singles Day:</p><p>During our recent 11.11 Global Shopping Festival, Taobao and Tmall&#39;s total GMV was in line with the performance last year during the same period. Initial fruits of the operation strategies outlined just now were seen during November 11. More than 600 million users engaged with our November 11 related contents, a single-digit growth year-on-year. Although, the total number of buyers declined compared to the same period last year, the average GMV per person increased.</p><p>Management also mentioned three factors which had a negative impact on the results. First, the warmer than usual temperature in China probably led to fewer people shopping online. Second, about 15% of delivery areas across China experienced abnormal or suspended logistic services, which had a negative effect. And finally, other merchants were also pushing hard on 11.11 and probably took away some market share from Alibaba.</p><h3>Headwinds</h3><p>While Alibaba is talking about a solid quarter, they are also acknowledging the difficulties for Alibaba during the last earnings call:</p><p>We delivered a solid quarter in a macro environment full of uncertainty. The ongoing resurgence of COVID-19, geopolitical tension, inflation, and currency depreciation, the convergence of all these forces that created considerable difficulties for business operations.</p><p>And one of the major problems in China is still COVID-19. Right now, numbers are increasing dramatically again – and we must assume this will have a negative impact on Alibaba in the current quarter as it creates huge challenges for logistics.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5809b3db2fbbe959366e7e5747713f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Long-Term Growth</h3><p>Growth for Alibaba is clearly slowing down right now - as it does for almost every technology company around the world. As we must assume the low growth rates (or even declining numbers) will last for several quarters (maybe even a few years) this is a temporary headwind due to the economy slowing down and the looming recession. Nevertheless, I remain confident that the long-term outlook should be bullish, and Alibaba’s management is also optimistic about the growth potential of the different business sectors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dbac2dcf4e4f48e3d631c3a9120bab3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The highest growth rates might be achieved by the cloud business, where Alibaba is clear market leader in China. In 2021, Alibaba had a market share of 37% ahead of competitors Huawei – which has a market share of 18% - and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) – which has a market share of 17%. And while I don’t think Alibaba will be able to gain market shares (as other, strong competitors are moving in the space), the public cloud market is expected to triple in the coming years – and Alibaba can achieve high growth rates by just keeping its market share stable. In a study about the Chinese cloud market, McKinsey writes:</p><p>To date, China’s cloud adoption has been led largely by consumer-facing companies, which need elastic, on-demand access to unlimited computing power to help them respond to huge fluctuations in customer demand. During China’s Singles’ Day shopping festival, for instance, e-commerce traffic, transactions, and gross merchandise volumes can reach up to 30 times normal daily levels. (…) Consumer-driven growth will remain an important driver of cloud adoption, but we believe the next wave of migration could be spearheaded by China’s critical industrial and manufacturing sectors.</p><p>But not only the cloud business of Alibaba can grow at a high pace. Its China commerce business, which is generating most of Alibaba’s revenue and responsible for its profitability, also has growth potential going forward – despite the declining Chinese population. While the population is declining, the share of Chinese population living in poverty is also declining. And I am already using the definitions of poverty adopted in upper-middle-income countries. In 2019, about 25% of population still lived in poverty in China (in urban areas only 16%). And with that percentage continuing to go down, the number of potential shoppers for Alibaba will increase.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baff5be28b9b9bfc4dfdd1e92c109996\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>In my last article about JD.com, Inc., I already mentioned that Chinese consumers are expected to shop more online in the years to come. According to an Accenture study about Chinese consumer insights, most people will either keep their personal frequency of online shopping unchanged (49%) or increase the frequency of online shopping (44%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92ae88cd63f9723d8ed8ec370eebccf7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And the same study is also showing that the per capita disposable income of urban residents is continuously increasing during the last decade. And even when per capita consumption expenditures declined slightly in 2020 (due to COVID-19), this number is also increasing with a steady pace.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f02c27b7c2c4f411e620779d9dfe359\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>International Commerce is also expected to grow with a high pace. Alibaba is focusing on the South Asia e-commerce market, which is expected to grow with a high pace. The market size will increase with a CAGR of 27% between 2020 and 2025 to $260 billion (according to Alibaba’s Investor Day 2021 presentation). And Lazada is not only well-positioned, but it also continued to improve monetization rate and was also enhancing operating efficiency. Additionally, during the last quarter, loss per order for Lazada narrowed by 25% compared to the same quarter last year. And the International commerce segment is close to being profitable.</p><p>And finally, we should not forget the economic moat Alibaba has built around its business. During the last earnings call, management made the following statement:</p><p>After many years of operation, Taobao, Tmall is now deeply entrenched in our users&#39; mind as the shopping destination. We are focused on user engagement on our platform by enhancing the customer journey across search, algorithm-driven discovery recommendations, live streaming and other engagement features (…)</p><p>Number two, we further consolidate the scale and the stickiness of our most valuable consumer group. For the 12 months ended December 30, 2022, the number of consumers who each spent over RMB 10,000 on top on Taobao and Tmall remain around 124 million with a retention rate of 98%. 88VIP membership population held steady at 25 million this quarter, with solid membership retention and growth in GMV contribution.</p><p>Number three, we improved consumer satisfaction by continually investing in customer service during and after services and the logistics service experiences, such as doorstep delivery of orders as required.</p><p>Alibaba clearly has a wide economic moat based on cost advantages – the company is one of the major e-commerce players in China and the cost advantages are hard to match by smaller competitors. Aside from cost advantages, Alibaba is also profiting from its brand name(s) and for its cloud business switching costs come into play. After choosing a cloud service it usually costs time and money (which businesses are not willing to spend) to move to a competitor – and this is creating a stickiness in favor of Alibaba.</p><h3>Share Repurchases</h3><p>In the last few quarters, Alibaba increased its share repurchase program, which was certainly a good move by Alibaba considering the steeply declining share price. Since June 2021 (15 months ago), the number of outstanding shares was decreased from 2,755 million to 2,646 million right now – resulting in a decline of 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af5c02ed6507d0f66fc07aaed807035\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And it is good that Alibaba is buying back shares and the remaining $7 billion share repurchase program was extended by another $15 billion. But in my opinion, they should be more aggressive and use the cash reserves for share buybacks – at least in parts. On September 30, 2022, the company had RMB 206.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 270.2 billion in short-term investments. At current share prices, the company could repurchase 32% of its outstanding shares and Alibaba should certainly not use all its liquid resources for share buybacks. But using cash to repurchase about 10% of outstanding shares would be a smart move in my opinion. Additionally, Alibaba is generating enough free cash flow annually to repurchase more than 10% of the outstanding shares (of course this will change with a higher share price).</p><h3>Intrinsic Value Calculation</h3><p>In every single one of my articles, I basically argued that Alibaba is undervalued. And I will stick to my guns – the company is undervalued and remains undervalued. Even when calculating with extremely cautious assumptions, Alibaba is clearly trading below its intrinsic value.</p><p>In the last two quarters, Alibaba generated a free cash flow of $8,137 million and in the last annual results the company reported a free cash flow of $15,597 million. As basis for our calculation, we therefore assume a free cash flow of $16 billion. And for the years to come, we assume 6% growth till perpetuity which leads to an intrinsic value of $151.23 for Alibaba.</p><p>And – like I said above – theses assumptions are extremely cautious. Not only did Alibaba report already much higher free cash flow numbers in the past (as high as $26 billion), it also reported much higher growth rates in the past. And for the years to come there are several growth drivers: First, Alibaba will be able to grow its top line again (see section above). Second, despite constantly declining margins in the past, the business will at some point be able to reduce the current high spendings on expansions and be more profitable again. And finally, Alibaba can use share buybacks (especially right now) and spend its cash on the balance sheet as well as the generated free cash flow to repurchase shares. This by itself is enough to lead to 6% growth right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66d4ee3047c7afdae4d9e6591ea506f8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And finally, we should not forget, that Alibaba is trading for a P/FCF ratio of 8.7 right now – although free cash flow declined almost 50% compared to previous levels. These are absurd valuation levels for a business as Alibaba – despite risks surrounding the business.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>I know I have been wrong about Alibaba in the last few quarters. But first of all, the horrible stock performance of the last few quarters does not mean my thesis – which is based on the fundamentals of the business – is wrong. And second, investing is a marathon and not a sprint. I remain extremely bullish about Alibaba.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-29 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561046-alibaba-candidate-for-the-record-book-of-mispriced-stocks><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings per share, and free cash flow at a high pace.Despite different risks continuing to exist for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561046-alibaba-candidate-for-the-record-book-of-mispriced-stocks\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561046-alibaba-candidate-for-the-record-book-of-mispriced-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1173876241","content_text":"SummaryWhile top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings per share, and free cash flow at a high pace.Despite different risks continuing to exist for Alibaba, the growth potential for the different business segments remains high.Alibaba is focusing on share buybacks, which is a good move considering its deeply undervalued share price.I must be honest. So far, my investment in as well as my articles about Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) have been nothing but a catastrophe. Since my last article, the stock price declined 31% and since the article in January 2022, the stock declined 37%. I built my position in Alibaba over time but so far, I didn’t make any money. I also must admit that I did not expect Alibaba to decline so steeply. At least when getting close to $100, I assumed we hit the bottom and could not imagine Alibaba declining lower.However, my long-term investment thesis did not change. I am still long-term bullish about Alibaba and in my opinion the market is completely mispricing the stock and just focusing on the risks while completely ignoring the cash generating business and existing growth potential.Quarterly ResultsAbout two weeks ago, Alibaba reported second quarter results for fiscal 2022. And while it missed on revenue expectations by $490 million, it could beat earnings per ADS by $0.17. When looking at the quarterly results, I will report the numbers in Renminbi.Although growth slowed down, Alibaba could still increase revenue from RMB 200,690 million in the same quarter last year to RMB 207,176 million this quarter resulting in 3.2% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased from RMB 34,840 million in Q2/21 to RMB 43,311 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 24.3% year-over-year growth. And finally, diluted earnings per share almost quadrupled from RMB 0.25 in the same quarter last year to RMB 0.97 this quarter. When looking at non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, we saw an increase of 15% YoY from RMB 1.40 in the same quarter last year to RMB 1.61 this quarter. And finally, free cash flow increased from RMB 22,239 million in Q2/21 to RMB 35,709 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 60.6% year-over-year growth.When looking at the different segments, the biggest part of revenue is still stemming from China commerce, which generated RMB 135,431 million in revenue (a decline of 1% year-over-year). This segment is responsible for the biggest part of adjusted EBITDA (RMB 43,980 million). International Commerce could generate RMB 15,747 million in revenue, resulting in 4% YoY growth and Local Consumer Services generated revenue of RMB 13,073 million resulting in 21% YoY growth. However, both segments are still not profitable and generated negative EBITDA. Cloud could generate RMB 20,757 million in revenue (increasing 4% year-over-year growth) and adjusted EBITDA was RMB 434 million. Cainiao could generate revenue of RMB 13,367 million resulting in 36% year-over-year growth and after reporting a loss of in the same quarter last year the segment reported an adjusted EBITDA of RMB 125 million. And finally, Digital media and entertainment could generate RMB 8,392 million in revenue (resulting in 4% YoY growth). However, the segment was also not profitable.Additionally, growth from its 11.11 Global Shopping Event slowed down as well and Alibaba could only report results in line with last year’s gross merchandise volume performance. During the last earnings call, Alibaba also commented on the last Singles Day:During our recent 11.11 Global Shopping Festival, Taobao and Tmall's total GMV was in line with the performance last year during the same period. Initial fruits of the operation strategies outlined just now were seen during November 11. More than 600 million users engaged with our November 11 related contents, a single-digit growth year-on-year. Although, the total number of buyers declined compared to the same period last year, the average GMV per person increased.Management also mentioned three factors which had a negative impact on the results. First, the warmer than usual temperature in China probably led to fewer people shopping online. Second, about 15% of delivery areas across China experienced abnormal or suspended logistic services, which had a negative effect. And finally, other merchants were also pushing hard on 11.11 and probably took away some market share from Alibaba.HeadwindsWhile Alibaba is talking about a solid quarter, they are also acknowledging the difficulties for Alibaba during the last earnings call:We delivered a solid quarter in a macro environment full of uncertainty. The ongoing resurgence of COVID-19, geopolitical tension, inflation, and currency depreciation, the convergence of all these forces that created considerable difficulties for business operations.And one of the major problems in China is still COVID-19. Right now, numbers are increasing dramatically again – and we must assume this will have a negative impact on Alibaba in the current quarter as it creates huge challenges for logistics.Long-Term GrowthGrowth for Alibaba is clearly slowing down right now - as it does for almost every technology company around the world. As we must assume the low growth rates (or even declining numbers) will last for several quarters (maybe even a few years) this is a temporary headwind due to the economy slowing down and the looming recession. Nevertheless, I remain confident that the long-term outlook should be bullish, and Alibaba’s management is also optimistic about the growth potential of the different business sectors.The highest growth rates might be achieved by the cloud business, where Alibaba is clear market leader in China. In 2021, Alibaba had a market share of 37% ahead of competitors Huawei – which has a market share of 18% - and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) – which has a market share of 17%. And while I don’t think Alibaba will be able to gain market shares (as other, strong competitors are moving in the space), the public cloud market is expected to triple in the coming years – and Alibaba can achieve high growth rates by just keeping its market share stable. In a study about the Chinese cloud market, McKinsey writes:To date, China’s cloud adoption has been led largely by consumer-facing companies, which need elastic, on-demand access to unlimited computing power to help them respond to huge fluctuations in customer demand. During China’s Singles’ Day shopping festival, for instance, e-commerce traffic, transactions, and gross merchandise volumes can reach up to 30 times normal daily levels. (…) Consumer-driven growth will remain an important driver of cloud adoption, but we believe the next wave of migration could be spearheaded by China’s critical industrial and manufacturing sectors.But not only the cloud business of Alibaba can grow at a high pace. Its China commerce business, which is generating most of Alibaba’s revenue and responsible for its profitability, also has growth potential going forward – despite the declining Chinese population. While the population is declining, the share of Chinese population living in poverty is also declining. And I am already using the definitions of poverty adopted in upper-middle-income countries. In 2019, about 25% of population still lived in poverty in China (in urban areas only 16%). And with that percentage continuing to go down, the number of potential shoppers for Alibaba will increase.In my last article about JD.com, Inc., I already mentioned that Chinese consumers are expected to shop more online in the years to come. According to an Accenture study about Chinese consumer insights, most people will either keep their personal frequency of online shopping unchanged (49%) or increase the frequency of online shopping (44%).And the same study is also showing that the per capita disposable income of urban residents is continuously increasing during the last decade. And even when per capita consumption expenditures declined slightly in 2020 (due to COVID-19), this number is also increasing with a steady pace.International Commerce is also expected to grow with a high pace. Alibaba is focusing on the South Asia e-commerce market, which is expected to grow with a high pace. The market size will increase with a CAGR of 27% between 2020 and 2025 to $260 billion (according to Alibaba’s Investor Day 2021 presentation). And Lazada is not only well-positioned, but it also continued to improve monetization rate and was also enhancing operating efficiency. Additionally, during the last quarter, loss per order for Lazada narrowed by 25% compared to the same quarter last year. And the International commerce segment is close to being profitable.And finally, we should not forget the economic moat Alibaba has built around its business. During the last earnings call, management made the following statement:After many years of operation, Taobao, Tmall is now deeply entrenched in our users' mind as the shopping destination. We are focused on user engagement on our platform by enhancing the customer journey across search, algorithm-driven discovery recommendations, live streaming and other engagement features (…)Number two, we further consolidate the scale and the stickiness of our most valuable consumer group. For the 12 months ended December 30, 2022, the number of consumers who each spent over RMB 10,000 on top on Taobao and Tmall remain around 124 million with a retention rate of 98%. 88VIP membership population held steady at 25 million this quarter, with solid membership retention and growth in GMV contribution.Number three, we improved consumer satisfaction by continually investing in customer service during and after services and the logistics service experiences, such as doorstep delivery of orders as required.Alibaba clearly has a wide economic moat based on cost advantages – the company is one of the major e-commerce players in China and the cost advantages are hard to match by smaller competitors. Aside from cost advantages, Alibaba is also profiting from its brand name(s) and for its cloud business switching costs come into play. After choosing a cloud service it usually costs time and money (which businesses are not willing to spend) to move to a competitor – and this is creating a stickiness in favor of Alibaba.Share RepurchasesIn the last few quarters, Alibaba increased its share repurchase program, which was certainly a good move by Alibaba considering the steeply declining share price. Since June 2021 (15 months ago), the number of outstanding shares was decreased from 2,755 million to 2,646 million right now – resulting in a decline of 4%.And it is good that Alibaba is buying back shares and the remaining $7 billion share repurchase program was extended by another $15 billion. But in my opinion, they should be more aggressive and use the cash reserves for share buybacks – at least in parts. On September 30, 2022, the company had RMB 206.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 270.2 billion in short-term investments. At current share prices, the company could repurchase 32% of its outstanding shares and Alibaba should certainly not use all its liquid resources for share buybacks. But using cash to repurchase about 10% of outstanding shares would be a smart move in my opinion. Additionally, Alibaba is generating enough free cash flow annually to repurchase more than 10% of the outstanding shares (of course this will change with a higher share price).Intrinsic Value CalculationIn every single one of my articles, I basically argued that Alibaba is undervalued. And I will stick to my guns – the company is undervalued and remains undervalued. Even when calculating with extremely cautious assumptions, Alibaba is clearly trading below its intrinsic value.In the last two quarters, Alibaba generated a free cash flow of $8,137 million and in the last annual results the company reported a free cash flow of $15,597 million. As basis for our calculation, we therefore assume a free cash flow of $16 billion. And for the years to come, we assume 6% growth till perpetuity which leads to an intrinsic value of $151.23 for Alibaba.And – like I said above – theses assumptions are extremely cautious. Not only did Alibaba report already much higher free cash flow numbers in the past (as high as $26 billion), it also reported much higher growth rates in the past. And for the years to come there are several growth drivers: First, Alibaba will be able to grow its top line again (see section above). Second, despite constantly declining margins in the past, the business will at some point be able to reduce the current high spendings on expansions and be more profitable again. And finally, Alibaba can use share buybacks (especially right now) and spend its cash on the balance sheet as well as the generated free cash flow to repurchase shares. This by itself is enough to lead to 6% growth right now.And finally, we should not forget, that Alibaba is trading for a P/FCF ratio of 8.7 right now – although free cash flow declined almost 50% compared to previous levels. These are absurd valuation levels for a business as Alibaba – despite risks surrounding the business.ConclusionI know I have been wrong about Alibaba in the last few quarters. But first of all, the horrible stock performance of the last few quarters does not mean my thesis – which is based on the fundamentals of the business – is wrong. And second, investing is a marathon and not a sprint. I remain extremely bullish about Alibaba.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919107840,"gmtCreate":1663744107780,"gmtModify":1676537328049,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"H","listText":"H","text":"H","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919107840","repostId":"2268917780","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2268917780","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663732800,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268917780?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 12:00","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268917780","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryGreat minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.Two of the mos","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Great minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.</li><li>Two of the most successful investors of our time, Charlie Munger and Li Lu, diverge starkly on Alibaba.</li><li>A comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the investment.</li><li>Risks commonly mentioned (VIE, delisting, etc.) are all symptoms to me, while Li Lu’s Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause.</li><li>Both bears and bulls can benefit from them and make more informed decisions.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0942ec404ebc02752e62408a90fefc89\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JuSun</span></p><h2>The investment thesis</h2><p>Charlie Munger needs no introduction, but some readers may need a bit more information on Li Lu. They have been close friends for almost 2 decades. Charlie Munger described Li Lu as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” And to Li Lu, Munger has been a &#34;mentor and good friend&#34; (in Li Lu&#39;s own words). The following brief bio taken from Wikipedia provides a bit more info on Li Lu (slightly edited by me):</p><blockquote>Li Lu (born April 6, 1966) is a Chinese-born American value investor, businessman, and philanthropist. In 1997, he founded Himalaya Capital Management, known for its disciplined and value-oriented approach to investing. Li met Charlie Munger on Thanksgiving 2003 and they have been friends since. With Munger&#39;s help, Li transformed his hedge fund into a long-only investment vehicle which is currently focused on global investment opportunities. Munger has stated that Li Lu is the only outside manager he’s ever invested with and he’s described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” Li Lu has been known as the man who introduced the Chinese battery and electric car maker BYD Company to Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett.</blockquote><p>It is interesting to observe that these two investors, who share both close friendship and also investing principles, diverge starkly on Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF). Munger has a large position in BABA, but Li Lu does not. And this leads us to the main topic of today. You will see a comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the BABA investment. On the one side, the current BABA situation presents an opportunity to buy a good business on the operation table, a hallmark investment strategy from Munger. On the other hand, this article will also dive into the view of Li Lu, especially his view on the civilization 2.5 status in China, as elaborated immediately below.</p><h2>Li Lu, BABA, and Civilization 2.5</h2><p>Li Lu’s current holdings in his Himalaya Capital Management are shown in the chart below. As mentioned above, Munger described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” But from his holdings, he is more Buffett than Buffett himself in terms of concentration. His portfolio consists of a total of 6 positions only and the largest position - Micron (MU) - represents almost 34% of the total portfolio size.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0cfbdc8a33a6b476b854ac581dd6f60\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: dataroma.com</span></p><p>You can also see that half of his picks overlap with Munger and Warren Buffett. All three of them like Bank of America (BAC), Apple (AAPL), and of course Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B).</p><p>However, BABA is where he and Munger diverge. As to be detailed in the next Section, Munger holds a sizeable BABA position, but Li Lu does not. So naturally, it triggers the question: Why? Seeking Alpha authors have detailed many risks such as VIE, delisting, et al. To me, these are symptoms. In my view, Li Lu’s following Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause. The theory was presented in a lecture he gave in 2015, and I think it is worth quoting in full (the emphases were added by me). And readers are highly encouraged to read the transcript in its entirety:</p><blockquote>I believe China is at interim stage between Civilization 2.0 and Civilization 3.0.<i>Let’s call it Civilization 2.5. China has come a long way but still has a long road ahead.</i>Therefore, <i>I think there is a high probability that China will continue on the main track of Civilization 3.0, as the cost of deviation is very high.</i>If you have a good understanding of China’s culture, people and history, you will agree that China will forge forward. This is particularly the case now that you have a better understanding of the essence of modern civilization. There is almost no chance of China leaving the common market, and the probability of China changing its market rules is also very small. Thus, it is highly probable that, in the next 2 to 3 decades, China will remain in the global market system, and adhere to free market principles, in addition to promoting science &amp; technology development.</blockquote><p>It will take time to go from Civilization 2.5 to 3.0. And surprises and setbacks like VIE and delisting are likely (plus a bunch more that we cannot even imagine today). So, given the timeframe and uncertainties, it is an understandable decision that some investors, Li Lu himself included, decided to stay on the sideline.</p><p>While Munger, apparently focused more on the opportunity side of the coin given that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” And we will elaborate on Munger&#39;s thinking and actions immediately below.</p><h2>Munger and BABA</h2><p>The following chart summarizes the key events that led to Munger’s actions. As you can see from the chart below, he started buying BABA shares in 2021 Q1, after a large correction in its share price caused by the cancellation of the highly anticipated Ant Group IPO. He then doubled down his stake in Alibaba twice: first in 2021 Q3, and then again in 2021 Q4.</p><p>There are certainly good reasons for Munger’s decision. In the near term, the market reacted too quickly to a series of short-term events based on perception (based on the information available at that time). And there is no lack of major events in the past 1 or 2 years as summarized in the chart (including a war, specifically the Russian/Ukraine war). As a result, even though BABA’s core business is intact, its valuation became too compressed when Munger pulled the trigger to double down his bets. It is a textbook reflection of his wisdom of buying a good business on the operating table. At the prices he bought into BABA, it was valued as a terminally cheap and stagnating business, while its core fundamentals not only remain intact but also well-positioned for growth.</p><p>In the longer term, as just mentioned, not only China will continue to upgrade to Civilization 3.0, but also other countries in the Asian Pacific region. And such an upgrade will present spectacular growth opportunities, and BABA is well-positioned to benefit from such an upgrade, as to be discussed next.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f64d51b9956d82d5a712c375aa004d1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author based on Yahoo data</span></p><h2>The upgrade to civilization 3.0 and BABA</h2><p>It is an unstopped trend that our world is moving toward e-commerce, and the epicenter of the remaining movement will be China and the Asian-Pacific region. Even though many of us are already impressed by the success of e-commerce giants like BABA and Amazon (AMZN), the movement toward e-commerce has just actually gotten started and the bulk of the growth is yet to come. The global e-commerce market size was valued at USD 9.09 trillion in 2019 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of 14.7% from 2020 to 2027. The secular support is even stronger for BABA as the Asia Pacific region is already dominating the market for e-commerce with a share of 55.3% in 2019. Furthermore, this region is expected to witness the fastest growth from 2020 to 2027 as seen below. Even by as early as 2023 – in about 2 years that is - retail e-commerce sales in Asia-Pacific are projected to be greater than the rest of the world combined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e1c49046f66ec88ec7e79914feb0658\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>And BABA stands best poised to benefit from this upgrade, especially from the Asian-Pacific momentum. As argued in my earlier article:</p><blockquote><i>Capitalizing on the continued e-commerce growth requires a combination of scale and reach, government support, and technology. And also, finally, geographical proximity and cultural compatibility certainly help. And BABA has all these stars aligned for its further expansion – especially in the Asian-Pacific region. The China government might be tightening its regulations on its domestic market, but it certainly encourages the overseas expansion of its tech giants like BABA. And BABA has already accomplished a substantial lead in capturing overseas markets, with its close neighbors such as Indonesia and Vietnam posting revenue growth of over 100% YoY recently.</i></blockquote><p>Risks and final thoughts</p><p>To recap, the current BABA situation is a textbook example of high-risk and high-return investment opportunities. There are plenty of risks in the near term and also in the long term. There has been no lack of major events in the past 1- or 2-years surrounding BABA (Ant IPO, fine, VEI, delisting, et al). In the near term, the China-U.S. trade tension and global geopolitical frictions will keep the stock prices in a highly volatile state. And I am sure there be more hiccups and surprises that investors have not thought about yet showing up in the near future.</p><p>In the long term, China is going through an upgrade from civilization 2.5 to 3.0. I agree with Li Lu’s view that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” But at the same time, the path of the upgrade will be long and full of setbacks. Independent thinkers like Munger and Li, despite their opposite actions, are essentially betting on the two sides of the same coin.</p><p>I am siding with Munger there and betting on the opportunity side. All the risks and opportunities mentioned above should apply equally to major China tech firms. However, I think the market now overly exaggerates the risk side for BABA and underestimates the opportunity side, creating an asymmetric opportunity. As you can see from the following chart, both the valuation of BABA and JD.com (JD) has been compressed substantially in the past two years. You can see that by the downward trend of the three-year medium of their price to CFO multiple. Despite the common risks/opportunities and also comparable (or even superior profitability as argued in our recent article), BABA was so much more compressed than JD. Its current P/CFO stands at only 10.55x, about 25% below JD’s 13,.98x, and a whopping 43% below its 3-year median of 18.44x.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c588d4b31a546d6b45775d98e8bd545b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>This article was written by</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541883-alibaba-the-charlie-munger-and-li-lu-divergence><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGreat minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.Two of the most successful investors of our time, Charlie Munger and Li Lu, diverge starkly on Alibaba.A ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541883-alibaba-the-charlie-munger-and-li-lu-divergence\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541883-alibaba-the-charlie-munger-and-li-lu-divergence","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268917780","content_text":"SummaryGreat minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.Two of the most successful investors of our time, Charlie Munger and Li Lu, diverge starkly on Alibaba.A comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the investment.Risks commonly mentioned (VIE, delisting, etc.) are all symptoms to me, while Li Lu’s Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause.Both bears and bulls can benefit from them and make more informed decisions.JuSunThe investment thesisCharlie Munger needs no introduction, but some readers may need a bit more information on Li Lu. They have been close friends for almost 2 decades. Charlie Munger described Li Lu as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” And to Li Lu, Munger has been a \"mentor and good friend\" (in Li Lu's own words). The following brief bio taken from Wikipedia provides a bit more info on Li Lu (slightly edited by me):Li Lu (born April 6, 1966) is a Chinese-born American value investor, businessman, and philanthropist. In 1997, he founded Himalaya Capital Management, known for its disciplined and value-oriented approach to investing. Li met Charlie Munger on Thanksgiving 2003 and they have been friends since. With Munger's help, Li transformed his hedge fund into a long-only investment vehicle which is currently focused on global investment opportunities. Munger has stated that Li Lu is the only outside manager he’s ever invested with and he’s described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” Li Lu has been known as the man who introduced the Chinese battery and electric car maker BYD Company to Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett.It is interesting to observe that these two investors, who share both close friendship and also investing principles, diverge starkly on Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF). Munger has a large position in BABA, but Li Lu does not. And this leads us to the main topic of today. You will see a comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the BABA investment. On the one side, the current BABA situation presents an opportunity to buy a good business on the operation table, a hallmark investment strategy from Munger. On the other hand, this article will also dive into the view of Li Lu, especially his view on the civilization 2.5 status in China, as elaborated immediately below.Li Lu, BABA, and Civilization 2.5Li Lu’s current holdings in his Himalaya Capital Management are shown in the chart below. As mentioned above, Munger described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” But from his holdings, he is more Buffett than Buffett himself in terms of concentration. His portfolio consists of a total of 6 positions only and the largest position - Micron (MU) - represents almost 34% of the total portfolio size.Source: dataroma.comYou can also see that half of his picks overlap with Munger and Warren Buffett. All three of them like Bank of America (BAC), Apple (AAPL), and of course Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B).However, BABA is where he and Munger diverge. As to be detailed in the next Section, Munger holds a sizeable BABA position, but Li Lu does not. So naturally, it triggers the question: Why? Seeking Alpha authors have detailed many risks such as VIE, delisting, et al. To me, these are symptoms. In my view, Li Lu’s following Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause. The theory was presented in a lecture he gave in 2015, and I think it is worth quoting in full (the emphases were added by me). And readers are highly encouraged to read the transcript in its entirety:I believe China is at interim stage between Civilization 2.0 and Civilization 3.0.Let’s call it Civilization 2.5. China has come a long way but still has a long road ahead.Therefore, I think there is a high probability that China will continue on the main track of Civilization 3.0, as the cost of deviation is very high.If you have a good understanding of China’s culture, people and history, you will agree that China will forge forward. This is particularly the case now that you have a better understanding of the essence of modern civilization. There is almost no chance of China leaving the common market, and the probability of China changing its market rules is also very small. Thus, it is highly probable that, in the next 2 to 3 decades, China will remain in the global market system, and adhere to free market principles, in addition to promoting science & technology development.It will take time to go from Civilization 2.5 to 3.0. And surprises and setbacks like VIE and delisting are likely (plus a bunch more that we cannot even imagine today). So, given the timeframe and uncertainties, it is an understandable decision that some investors, Li Lu himself included, decided to stay on the sideline.While Munger, apparently focused more on the opportunity side of the coin given that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” And we will elaborate on Munger's thinking and actions immediately below.Munger and BABAThe following chart summarizes the key events that led to Munger’s actions. As you can see from the chart below, he started buying BABA shares in 2021 Q1, after a large correction in its share price caused by the cancellation of the highly anticipated Ant Group IPO. He then doubled down his stake in Alibaba twice: first in 2021 Q3, and then again in 2021 Q4.There are certainly good reasons for Munger’s decision. In the near term, the market reacted too quickly to a series of short-term events based on perception (based on the information available at that time). And there is no lack of major events in the past 1 or 2 years as summarized in the chart (including a war, specifically the Russian/Ukraine war). As a result, even though BABA’s core business is intact, its valuation became too compressed when Munger pulled the trigger to double down his bets. It is a textbook reflection of his wisdom of buying a good business on the operating table. At the prices he bought into BABA, it was valued as a terminally cheap and stagnating business, while its core fundamentals not only remain intact but also well-positioned for growth.In the longer term, as just mentioned, not only China will continue to upgrade to Civilization 3.0, but also other countries in the Asian Pacific region. And such an upgrade will present spectacular growth opportunities, and BABA is well-positioned to benefit from such an upgrade, as to be discussed next.Source: Author based on Yahoo dataThe upgrade to civilization 3.0 and BABAIt is an unstopped trend that our world is moving toward e-commerce, and the epicenter of the remaining movement will be China and the Asian-Pacific region. Even though many of us are already impressed by the success of e-commerce giants like BABA and Amazon (AMZN), the movement toward e-commerce has just actually gotten started and the bulk of the growth is yet to come. The global e-commerce market size was valued at USD 9.09 trillion in 2019 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of 14.7% from 2020 to 2027. The secular support is even stronger for BABA as the Asia Pacific region is already dominating the market for e-commerce with a share of 55.3% in 2019. Furthermore, this region is expected to witness the fastest growth from 2020 to 2027 as seen below. Even by as early as 2023 – in about 2 years that is - retail e-commerce sales in Asia-Pacific are projected to be greater than the rest of the world combined.And BABA stands best poised to benefit from this upgrade, especially from the Asian-Pacific momentum. As argued in my earlier article:Capitalizing on the continued e-commerce growth requires a combination of scale and reach, government support, and technology. And also, finally, geographical proximity and cultural compatibility certainly help. And BABA has all these stars aligned for its further expansion – especially in the Asian-Pacific region. The China government might be tightening its regulations on its domestic market, but it certainly encourages the overseas expansion of its tech giants like BABA. And BABA has already accomplished a substantial lead in capturing overseas markets, with its close neighbors such as Indonesia and Vietnam posting revenue growth of over 100% YoY recently.Risks and final thoughtsTo recap, the current BABA situation is a textbook example of high-risk and high-return investment opportunities. There are plenty of risks in the near term and also in the long term. There has been no lack of major events in the past 1- or 2-years surrounding BABA (Ant IPO, fine, VEI, delisting, et al). In the near term, the China-U.S. trade tension and global geopolitical frictions will keep the stock prices in a highly volatile state. And I am sure there be more hiccups and surprises that investors have not thought about yet showing up in the near future.In the long term, China is going through an upgrade from civilization 2.5 to 3.0. I agree with Li Lu’s view that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” But at the same time, the path of the upgrade will be long and full of setbacks. Independent thinkers like Munger and Li, despite their opposite actions, are essentially betting on the two sides of the same coin.I am siding with Munger there and betting on the opportunity side. All the risks and opportunities mentioned above should apply equally to major China tech firms. However, I think the market now overly exaggerates the risk side for BABA and underestimates the opportunity side, creating an asymmetric opportunity. As you can see from the following chart, both the valuation of BABA and JD.com (JD) has been compressed substantially in the past two years. You can see that by the downward trend of the three-year medium of their price to CFO multiple. Despite the common risks/opportunities and also comparable (or even superior profitability as argued in our recent article), BABA was so much more compressed than JD. Its current P/CFO stands at only 10.55x, about 25% below JD’s 13,.98x, and a whopping 43% below its 3-year median of 18.44x.This article was written by","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931909675,"gmtCreate":1662374348198,"gmtModify":1676537047796,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931909675","repostId":"2264274049","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2264274049","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662364924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264274049?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264274049","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The ARK ETFs have clicked the buy button on these growth stocks recently, and they still look ripe for the plucking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people&#39;s shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</p><p>While I can&#39;t say that I agree with all of Wood&#39;s stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors&#39; portfolios. They include <b>Ginkgo Bioworks</b>, <b>Monday.com</b>, and <b>Trimble</b>. Let&#39;s find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.</p><h2>1. Ginkgo Bioworks</h2><p>A leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.</p><p>Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock&#39;s plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.</p><p>The company doesn&#39;t project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company&#39;s ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company&#39;s offerings are in consistently high demand.</p><h2>2. Monday.com</h2><p>Also appearing on Wood&#39;s shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.</p><p>The advantage of Monday.com&#39;s platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com&#39;s platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com&#39;s ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.</p><p>Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.</p><p>On the company&#39;s Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company&#39;s CFO, said that management expects &#34;to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive&#34; in the second half of 2023.</p><h2>3. Trimble</h2><p>Occupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the <b>ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b> picked up 25,073 shares, and the <b>ARK</b> <b>Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b> added 93,392 shares.</p><p>Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.</p><p>Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble&#39;s offerings will likely grow in demand as customers&#39; positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble&#39;s offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company&#39;s substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.</p><h2>A last look at Cathie Wood&#39;s shopping list</h2><p>On balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that&#39;s not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRMB":"天宝导航","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","DNA":"Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264274049","content_text":"Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).While I can't say that I agree with all of Wood's stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors' portfolios. They include Ginkgo Bioworks, Monday.com, and Trimble. Let's find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.1. Ginkgo BioworksA leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock's plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the ARK Innovation ETF has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.The company doesn't project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company's ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company's offerings are in consistently high demand.2. Monday.comAlso appearing on Wood's shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.The advantage of Monday.com's platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com's platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com's ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.On the company's Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company's CFO, said that management expects \"to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive\" in the second half of 2023.3. TrimbleOccupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF picked up 25,073 shares, and the ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF added 93,392 shares.Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble's offerings will likely grow in demand as customers' positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble's offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company's substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.A last look at Cathie Wood's shopping listOn balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that's not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994545863,"gmtCreate":1661662213155,"gmtModify":1676536557716,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994545863","repostId":"2262908721","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2262908721","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661646786,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262908721?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-28 08:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262908721","media":"Zacks","summary":"With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might want to buy stocks poised to outpace inflation heading into September and beyond.</p><p>Stocks tumbled through early afternoon trading Friday after Powell gave his highly anticipated speech from Jackson Hole. The Fed Chair’s comments shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise to the market, since Powell and many of his peers had remained steadfast in their commitment to raising rates to combat soaring prices.</p><p>Yet, the market appeared to be hoping for something far more dovish. Much of the stock market’s run off its mid-June lows came on the back of growing sentiment that inflation had finally peaked and the Fed could take a step back.  </p><p>Unfortunately, bets on peak inflation always seemed a bit premature and far too optimistic since inflation remained at 40-year highs in July, and gas prices, although down from their peaks, were still up 40% YoY. Plus, unemployment hit 50-year lows and a tight labor market pushed up wages.</p><p>Powell acknowledged once again Friday that the Fed understands it might have to cause some harm on the jobs and growth fronts if it hopes to tame inflation. “Those are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said during his Jackson Hole remarks. “But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”</p><p>Growth stocks that rallied off their mid-June lows could come under pressure. And changing consumer habits are quickly making their way through the economy. </p><p>Thankfully, there are still stocks poised to outperform the market during the ongoing bout of inflation.</p><p>The first stock that we dive into today is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil Corporation</a>. Exxon is coming off another blockbuster quarter where it generated roughly $17 billion in free cash flow. The U.S. oil titan’s earnings estimates continue to soar, driven by strong oil prices, streamlined business operations, and beyond. Plus, XOM’s valuation and dividend payout help make Exxon worth considering at the moment.</p><p>The next stock up is big box retail titan <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco Wholesale</a>. Costco is a one-stop shop and it’s able to keep its prices low because of its membership fees. Costco’s memberships also help foster very loyal customers. COST is set to post another year of double-digit earnings and revenue growth. Plus, Costco shares have held up well in 2022 and have crushed Target, its industry, and the market over the past decade. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-28 08:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1973072/2-top-stocks-to-buy-in-september-to-fight-inflation?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID01-txt-1973072><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might want to buy stocks poised to outpace inflation heading into September and beyond.Stocks tumbled ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1973072/2-top-stocks-to-buy-in-september-to-fight-inflation?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID01-txt-1973072\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","COST":"好市多","BK4201":"综合性石油与天然气企业","BK4155":"大卖场与超市","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1973072/2-top-stocks-to-buy-in-september-to-fight-inflation?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID01-txt-1973072","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262908721","content_text":"With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might want to buy stocks poised to outpace inflation heading into September and beyond.Stocks tumbled through early afternoon trading Friday after Powell gave his highly anticipated speech from Jackson Hole. The Fed Chair’s comments shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise to the market, since Powell and many of his peers had remained steadfast in their commitment to raising rates to combat soaring prices.Yet, the market appeared to be hoping for something far more dovish. Much of the stock market’s run off its mid-June lows came on the back of growing sentiment that inflation had finally peaked and the Fed could take a step back.  Unfortunately, bets on peak inflation always seemed a bit premature and far too optimistic since inflation remained at 40-year highs in July, and gas prices, although down from their peaks, were still up 40% YoY. Plus, unemployment hit 50-year lows and a tight labor market pushed up wages.Powell acknowledged once again Friday that the Fed understands it might have to cause some harm on the jobs and growth fronts if it hopes to tame inflation. “Those are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said during his Jackson Hole remarks. “But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”Growth stocks that rallied off their mid-June lows could come under pressure. And changing consumer habits are quickly making their way through the economy. Thankfully, there are still stocks poised to outperform the market during the ongoing bout of inflation.The first stock that we dive into today is Exxon Mobil Corporation. Exxon is coming off another blockbuster quarter where it generated roughly $17 billion in free cash flow. The U.S. oil titan’s earnings estimates continue to soar, driven by strong oil prices, streamlined business operations, and beyond. Plus, XOM’s valuation and dividend payout help make Exxon worth considering at the moment.The next stock up is big box retail titan Costco Wholesale. Costco is a one-stop shop and it’s able to keep its prices low because of its membership fees. Costco’s memberships also help foster very loyal customers. COST is set to post another year of double-digit earnings and revenue growth. Plus, Costco shares have held up well in 2022 and have crushed Target, its industry, and the market over the past decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995881395,"gmtCreate":1661441249119,"gmtModify":1676536519459,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogo","listText":"Gogo","text":"Gogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995881395","repostId":"1128297390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128297390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661439219,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128297390?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 22:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128297390","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e70f80001a651bf0f7eaae678f75e7e6\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-25 22:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e70f80001a651bf0f7eaae678f75e7e6\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128297390","content_text":"Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992321291,"gmtCreate":1661265917015,"gmtModify":1676536485504,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992321291","repostId":"2261819523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261819523","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661263959,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261819523?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-23 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261819523","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's stock split will take place after close of trading on Aug. 24. How will that impact your portfolio and taxes?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b>&#39;s 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders&#39; meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close of trading on Aug. 24. Shareholders of record on Aug. 17 will receive a stock dividend of two extra shares for every one share they currently own.</p><p>If you&#39;ve been wondering how stock splits work and what will happen to your Tesla shares, here are three quick items to jot down.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442bd00ec553e9dc5ae35b44257799f8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>1. You&#39;ll have more Tesla shares after the stock split</h2><p>A stock split increases the number of shares outstanding, giving investors more shares in their account for every one share they previously owned.</p><p>After a stock split, the value of each share will be reduced to a lower price. This makes it easy for more retail investors to get their hands on a whole share of stock, because the stock price appears more affordable. If you&#39;re already an investor, your shares will be split into bite-sized pieces, but the total value of your shares will not increase.</p><p>Let&#39;s say you have one share of Tesla&#39;s stock. On the day of the 3-for-1 stock split, the company will grant you two additional shares. Each share in your portfolio would be valued at one-third the price of the original share. If one Tesla share is trading at $900 before the stock split, you&#39;ll have three Tesla shares valued at $300 each after the stock split. As you can see, the total value of your shares is still $900.</p><p>Here&#39;s how many shares you will have after the stock split based on the number of shares you have on record as of Aug. 17. All you have to do is look at the number of shares you have now, and multiply the total by three. That&#39;s how many shares you&#39;ll have after a stock split.</p><ul><li>1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares</li><li>2 shares of Tesla stock = 6 shares</li><li>3 shares of Tesla stock = 9 shares</li><li>4 shares of Tesla stock = 12 shares</li><li>5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares</li></ul><h2>2. You won&#39;t have to report the stock split itself on your tax return</h2><p>A stock split doesn&#39;t increase a company&#39;s market capitalization or increase the value of your shares. You may have more shares in your account, but the original value of your shares remains the same. Therefore, a stock split in itself is not considered a taxable event. There are no IRS reporting requirements you need to adhere to during tax time.</p><h2>3. You may have to pay taxes if you sell your extra Tesla shares</h2><p>Although a stock split in itself is not taxable, selling stock for a profit after a stock split can lead to taxes. This is the case if you sell stock in a taxable brokerage account. Earning money in the stock market leads to capital gains taxes. You will be taxed at the short-term or long-term capital gains tax rate, depending on how long you had your Tesla stock before selling it. Your brokerage firm will send you the details of your transaction, so you can properly report the sale to the IRS during tax time.</p><p>Stock splits can be exciting and pain-free in the eyes of the investor. You wake up to more shares in your account after a stock split, and you don&#39;t have to worry about any tax obligations. But as soon as you decide to sell, you&#39;ll need to report your moves to the IRS. Before you make a move after a stock split, pay attention to the impact it will have on your portfolio and taxes, so you won&#39;t be surprised later.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 22:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders' meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261819523","content_text":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders' meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close of trading on Aug. 24. Shareholders of record on Aug. 17 will receive a stock dividend of two extra shares for every one share they currently own.If you've been wondering how stock splits work and what will happen to your Tesla shares, here are three quick items to jot down.Image source: Getty Images.1. You'll have more Tesla shares after the stock splitA stock split increases the number of shares outstanding, giving investors more shares in their account for every one share they previously owned.After a stock split, the value of each share will be reduced to a lower price. This makes it easy for more retail investors to get their hands on a whole share of stock, because the stock price appears more affordable. If you're already an investor, your shares will be split into bite-sized pieces, but the total value of your shares will not increase.Let's say you have one share of Tesla's stock. On the day of the 3-for-1 stock split, the company will grant you two additional shares. Each share in your portfolio would be valued at one-third the price of the original share. If one Tesla share is trading at $900 before the stock split, you'll have three Tesla shares valued at $300 each after the stock split. As you can see, the total value of your shares is still $900.Here's how many shares you will have after the stock split based on the number of shares you have on record as of Aug. 17. All you have to do is look at the number of shares you have now, and multiply the total by three. That's how many shares you'll have after a stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares2 shares of Tesla stock = 6 shares3 shares of Tesla stock = 9 shares4 shares of Tesla stock = 12 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares2. You won't have to report the stock split itself on your tax returnA stock split doesn't increase a company's market capitalization or increase the value of your shares. You may have more shares in your account, but the original value of your shares remains the same. Therefore, a stock split in itself is not considered a taxable event. There are no IRS reporting requirements you need to adhere to during tax time.3. You may have to pay taxes if you sell your extra Tesla sharesAlthough a stock split in itself is not taxable, selling stock for a profit after a stock split can lead to taxes. This is the case if you sell stock in a taxable brokerage account. Earning money in the stock market leads to capital gains taxes. You will be taxed at the short-term or long-term capital gains tax rate, depending on how long you had your Tesla stock before selling it. Your brokerage firm will send you the details of your transaction, so you can properly report the sale to the IRS during tax time.Stock splits can be exciting and pain-free in the eyes of the investor. You wake up to more shares in your account after a stock split, and you don't have to worry about any tax obligations. But as soon as you decide to sell, you'll need to report your moves to the IRS. Before you make a move after a stock split, pay attention to the impact it will have on your portfolio and taxes, so you won't be surprised later.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996813066,"gmtCreate":1661142363457,"gmtModify":1676536461204,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope all","listText":"Hope all","text":"Hope all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996813066","repostId":"1137992204","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1137992204","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661140750,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137992204?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137992204","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets and territories.</li><li>With Alibaba’s operating businesses currently trading at around 9 times at a time when margins are depressed, 30%+ annual compound returns over the next decade are possible.</li><li>The decision to invest or not ultimately depends on where investors land on the perceived risks of investing in China.</li><li>Whilst there are realistic risks, we think they are overblown and that long-term investors will do well by remaining rationally optimistic.</li><li>At the current price, we rate the stock as a “Buy.” Should the current risks reduce or be resolved, we would consider it a “Strong Buy” at the current level.</li></ul><p><b>Our view</b></p><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,BABAF) is one of the most controversial companies when it comes to investor opinion. Many believe it is a great business at a bargain price, whilst others believe the risks mean it is untouchable, even at a significant discount.</p><p>Putting the risks aside for a moment, there is a lot to love about Alibaba:</p><ul><li>the world&#39;s largest global e-commerce platform, bigger than Amazon (AMZN) and JD.com (JD) combined based on GMV;</li><li>a Cloud computing business in China which is a leader in a market which is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years;</li><li>a dominant position in China and an increasing presence across Southeast Asia meaning it is well placed to benefit from economic progress in the region; and</li><li>strong free cash flow and a solid balance sheet providing ample resources to continue to make strategic acquisitions and/or returns to shareholders.</li></ul><p>Alibaba&#39;s operating businesses currently trade at a multiple of around 9x owner earnings. And this is at a time when the company is in an investment phase, meaning margins are depressed and the true underlying earnings potential is underrepresented. Modest earnings growth combined with recovery in the valuation multiple could provide investors 30%+ annual returns over the next decade.</p><p>Based on these metrics, it is difficult to disagree that the current price represents an attractive valuation. However, the investment decision ultimately relies on the conclusion investors reach on the likelihood and impact of the various potential risks materializing.</p><p>When it comes to risks generally, investors can be guilty of ignoring them completely or assuming the worst-case scenario. In the case of Alibaba, we think the latter is true. Whilst there will inevitably be ongoing friction as the US learns to live in a world with a rising China, our view is that the world will ultimately continue to make progress and prosper over the long-term. We believe investors would do well by remaining rationally optimistic.</p><p>Even if we put our optimistic worldview aside, we feel that some of the risks are overblown. Only 10% of the company&#39;s external revenue is generated through the regulated businesses held within the VIE structures, and this will only reduce as the company continues to diversify and expand internationally.</p><p>As for the potential de-listing from the NYSE, we would hope that agreement can be reached to avert this eventually. However, in absence of cooperation on that issue, the company is pursuing a dual primary listing in Hong Kong which will provide investors with an alternative market in an internationally recognized financial center.</p><p>Overall, we feel that the strength of its businesses combined with the significantly discounted valuation compensate for the actual severity and likelihood of the risks materializing. We think it is a clear &#34;Buy&#34; at the current valuation. Should these risks reduce or a long-term resolution be reached, we see reason to upgrade our rating to &#34;Strong Buy.&#34;</p><p>With that being said, each investor must consider this in the context of their own investment objectives, risk tolerance and psychological resilience. Bargains are never found in times of comfort and stability. As value investors with a long-term horizon and a deeply contrarian nature, we believe will be handsomely rewarded for the long and potentially rocky journey ahead.</p><p><b>An overview of Alibaba</b></p><p><i>Note from author: This section provides a description of the major services and businesses which are within the Alibaba ecosystem. For those who are already familiar with the operations of Alibaba, we suggest that you skip to the following section.</i></p><p>Alibaba is an e-commerce giant which serves 1.31 billion annual active consumers across the many platforms and businesses in the Alibaba Ecosystem. Total Gross Merchandise Value (&#34;GMV&#34;) transacted in the Alibaba Ecosystem in FY22 was RMB 8.3 trillion ($1.3 trillion), making it the largest retail commerce business in the world, according to Analysys.</p><p>Alibaba reports its business across a number of segments: China commerce, International commerce; Local consumer services; Cainiao; Cloud; Digital media and entertainment; and Innovation initiatives and others. We provide an overview of each below.</p><p>China Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa56696fb04eb3546dc824af059ae17a\" tg-width=\"559\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Annual Report FY22</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s China Commerce segment is primarily Taobao and Tmall. Together, these constitute the world&#39;s largest digital retail business in terms of GMV for the twelve months ended 31 March 2022, according to Analysys.</p><p>Taobao</p><p>Taobao is the company&#39;s main commerce platform and is both the starting point and destination portal for many users&#39; shopping journey. It allows individuals and small businesses to create online storefronts and product listings for free. Alibaba generates revenue through add-ons sold to sellers, such as analytics and marketing. As well as being a shopping platform itself, it acts as a funnel for other platforms in the Alibaba ecosystem.</p><p>Tmall</p><p>Tmall is the partner of choice for both domestic and International brands. The platform is essentially a virtual mall, allowing brands and retailers to operate their own unique storefronts. The platform has a wide range of brands, with 320,000 brands and merchants on Tmall, including over 80% of the consumer brands ranked in the Forbes Top 100 World&#39;s Most Valuable Brands for 2021. It is the largest third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers in the world in terms of GMV, according to Analysys. The platform differs from Taobao in that it charges retailers and merchants fees for setting up stores and a share of ongoing GMV, in addition to offering value-add services.</p><p>Other</p><p>There are a host of other platforms and businesses which cater to various markets. These include</p><ul><li>Taobao Deals - like Taoboao, but with a focus on value-for-money products;</li><li>Taocaicai - a community marketplace that offers consumers next-day pick-up services for a wide range of groceries and fresh goods at neighborhood pick-up points;</li><li>Tmall Supermarket - offers daily necessities, FMCG and general merchandise through Taobao app with same-or-next-day delivery services;</li><li>Freshippo - a retail chain for groceries and fresh goods with over 200 stores offering 30-minute delivery to customers living within a three kilometer radius of the store; and</li><li>Sun Art - an online and physical hypermarket.</li></ul><p>Alimama</p><p>The company monetizes its broad user base and insights into customer behaviors through its Alimama platform. Alimama offers paid marketing services to merchants, retailers and promoters allowing them to advertise across its many platforms. This marketing is not confined to the Alibaba ecosystem, with affiliate programs allowing its users to directly market to consumers on other platforms outside of Alibaba&#39;s.</p><p>In addition to ads within the Alibaba ecosystem, the company offers wider distribution through the Taobao Ad Network and Exchange (&#34;TANX&#34;), one of the largest real-time online bidding marketing exchanges in China. TANX helps publishers to monetize their media inventories both on mobile apps and web properties, automating the buying and selling of tens of billions of marketing impressions on a daily basis.</p><p>1688.com</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s domestic wholesale business, 1688.com, is China&#39;s largest integrated domestic wholesale marketplace in 2021 by net revenue, according to Analysys. Wholesalers pay a fixed annual subscription to sell with no additional fees, but can pay for additional premium features such as data analytics and marketing etc. These additional services account for the vast majority of income from wholesaling.</p><p>International Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47677213623961a5cdaf220a0b03d11d\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Annual Report FY22</p><p>Lazada</p><p>Lazada is a leading and fast-growing e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and serves one of the largest user bases among the global e-commerce platforms. It caters to merchants of all sizes, from individuals to regional and global brands. Lazada also operates one of the leading e-commerce logistics networks in Southeast Asia, with the vast majority of Lazada&#39;s parcels going through its own facilities or first- and last-mile fleet.</p><p>AliExpress</p><p>AliExpress enables global consumers to buy directly from manufacturers and distributors in China and around the world. It is available in 18 languages and services consumers across many countries including the US and Europe.</p><p>Trendyol</p><p>Trendyol is a leading e-commerce platform in Turkey in terms of both GMV and order volume in 2021. It offers a large selection of products through e-commerce business as well as instant delivery services for food and groceries, as well as having its own fulfillment and logistics networks.</p><p>Alibaba.com</p><p>Alibaba.com is China&#39;s largest integrated international online wholesale marketplace in 2021 by revenue, according to Analysys, serving over 40 million buyers from over 190 countries in FY22. Like its domestic wholesaling counterpart, Alibaba generates the majority of the revenue through this platform for the additional value-add services it offers to merchants.</p><p>Local Consumer Services<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d186cd91743f67a748c9adfae3285f8\" tg-width=\"228\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Company Annual Report FY22</p><p>The company&#39;s local consumer services business is looking to expand its reach beyond products into consumer services, whether that is at home through its &#34;To Home&#34; businesses or on the go through its &#34;To Destination&#34; businesses.</p><p>To Home</p><ul><li><p>Ele.me- a leading local services and on-demand delivery platform which enables consumers to order food and beverages, groceries, FMCG, flowers and pharmaceutical products anytime and anywhere.</p></li><li><p>Fengniao Logistics - an on-demand delivery network which provides last-mile logistics services to orders placed through Ele.me as well as to other businesses in the Alibaba ecosystem including Freshippo, Sun Art, and Alibaba Health.</p></li><li><p>Taoxianda - an online-offline integration service solution for FMCG brands and third-party grocery retail partners, facilitates the digitalization of retailers&#39; operations.</p></li></ul><p>To-Destination</p><ul><li><p>Amap - a leading provider of mobile digital map navigation and one-stop access point to services such as navigation, local services and ride-hailing. Amap technology underlies a range of apps both inside and outside of the Alibaba ecosystem, and the company provides map data and navigation software to international and domestic automotive companies.</p></li><li><p>Fliggy - a leading online travel platform which provides comprehensive services to meet consumers&#39; travel needs for airline and train tickets, accommodation, car rental, package tours and local attractions.</p></li><li><p>Koubei - a restaurant and local services guide platform for in-store consumption, provides merchants with targeted marketing solutions, digital operation capabilities and analytics tools and allows consumers to discover local services content on the platform.</p></li></ul><p>Cainiao</p><p>Cainiao is a domestic and international one-stop shop for logistics services and supply chain management solutions, data insights and technology to digitalize the entire logistics process and enhance the capabilities of its logistics partners.</p><p>It offers parcel pick-up services through a neighborhood logistics solution that operates a network of neighborhood, campus and rural village stations and residential self pick-up lockers. Consumers can also enjoy parcel pick-up at the doorstep and time-guaranteed delivery service through Cainiao.</p><p>For merchants, Cainiao has built a full-fledged fulfillment network at provincial, city, and county levels in China, which offers customized fulfillment solutions to merchants across the Alibaba ecosystem. It has a network of assets and partners to support merchants on cross-border and international commerce retail platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada.</p><p>Cloud</p><p>Alibaba Group is the world&#39;s third largest and Asia Pacific&#39;s largest Infrastructure-as-a-service (&#34;IaaS&#34;) provider by revenue in 2021, according to Gartner&#39;s April 2022 report. It is also China&#39;s largest provider of public cloud services by revenue in 2021, including PaaS and IaaS services, according to IDC.</p><p>Alibaba Cloud</p><p>Alibaba Cloud offers a complete suite of cloud services, including proprietary servers, elastic computing, storage, network, security, database and big data, and IoT services, serving our ecosystem and beyond. Alibaba Cloud offers computing services in 27 regions globally and served more than 60% of A-share listed companies in China in FY22. As digital transformation accelerates, customers from non-Internet industries have increased their usage of cloud services, with such revenue accounting for half of cloud computing revenue in FY22.</p><p>DingTalk</p><p>DingTalk is a digital collaboration workplace and application development platform that offers new ways of working, sharing and collaboration for modern enterprises and organizations and is the largest business efficiency mobile app in China by monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile.</p><p>DingTalk provides a comprehensive suite of solutions for enterprise collaboration, including real-time communication, organizational management and various network collaboration tools such as data storage, calendars, workflow management and shared documents. Enterprises can also enjoy convenient access to a broad range of applications, including those offered by third-party service providers, that are seamlessly integrated with DingTalk&#39;s platform.</p><p>Digital Media and Entertainment<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c37c15470e609250e5e55f2ed8f181\" tg-width=\"229\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Company Annual Report FY22</p><p>In line with the continued expansion into areas beyond product consumption, the group is looking to benefit from media consumption through its delivery platforms as well as through the production and distribution of its own and third-party content.</p><p>The first of these platforms is Youku, the third largest online long-form video platform in China in terms of monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile. The second is Quark which helps young users gain access to a variety of digital content and information for learning and work purposes.</p><p>The company also produces, promotes and distributes content through Alibaba Pictures. In 2022, eight movies released by Alibaba Pictures were among the top ten domestic movies in terms of ticket sales. The company also provides ticketing services for live events - concerts, plays, and sporting events - through Damai, and develops and distributes mobile games through Lingxi Games.</p><p><b>Innovation</b></p><p>In 2019, Alibaba established the DAMO Academy, a global research program in cutting-edge technologies that aims to integrate and speed up knowledge exchange between science and industry. An example of the innovation is the proprietary L4 self-driving vehicle Xiaomanlv used by Cainiao, which has delivered over 10 million parcels within gated communities and university campuses.</p><p>Its Tmall Genie product range provides a selection of internet-enabled smart home appliances, including smart speakers, lights and remote controls. The Tmall Genie smart speaker is a leading smart speaker in China in terms of sales units, and provides an interactive interface for our customers to easily access services offered by the company.</p><p><b>Investments</b></p><p>In addition to its operating businesses, Alibaba has a portfolio of equity (listed and private) and debt investments with a total value of RMB 239 billion as of 30 June 2022. The company also has a number of investments in which it holds a minority stake (&#34;equity investees&#34;). The most significant of these is the group&#39;s 33% stake in the Ant Group, the parent company of Alipay which provides substantially all of the payment processing and all of the escrow services on Alibaba marketplaces.</p><p><b>Business review</b></p><p>The Alibaba Group<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf32e154e25cf9ca79847d923cd50e2\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Despite its many operating businesses and international expansion, Alibaba is still predominantly a domestic e-commerce business in China. In FY22, China commerce - which include the company&#39;s domestic retail and wholesale businesses - accounted for almost 80% of the group&#39;s revenue. The next largest segments are Cloud (8% of revenue) and International Commerce (7% of revenue). We consider the performance of these three key segments below.</p><p>China Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f01712c02388c2274d21a037b77e306e\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>The e-commerce businesses in China continue to grow albeit at a slower rate, with growth slowing from 45% in FY21 to 18% in FY22. The company&#39;s main ecommerce platforms in China - Taobao and Tmall - have seen their revenue growth slow to low-single digits in FY22, with the majority of revenue growth now being driven by the growth of the company&#39;s direct sales businesses - Tmall Supermarket and SunArt.</p><p>This expansion into direct sales (i.e. traditional retailing) is unlocking new areas for growth, but at the cost of significantly lower margins. The company has also increased investment in its platforms and increased spending for user growth and on merchant support, further depressing margins.</p><p>As a result, EBITA margin has declined from 50% in FY20 to around 30% in FY22, offsetting the impact of the growth in revenue. The company expects margins to continue to be affected by this trend as direct sales account for an increasing share of revenue.</p><p><i>Please note: The</i> <i>EBITA reported by management excludes share-based compensation expenses. While we understand that it can be a useful metric on this basis, we have adjusted it to include the share-based compensation expense as this is a true cost to the company. Any reference to EBITA throughout this article is on that basis.</i></p><p>Cloud<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1405b6c4f1226c547e7b52fbc28864e\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>The trend of slowing growth is not confined to ecommerce, with the Cloud segment also seeing growth slow to 25% in FY22. The slowing growth was due to the loss of a significant customer as well as slowing demand from customers in China&#39;s internet industry.</p><p>The slowdown in FY22 follows a year where revenue grew by a little over 50% and has grown by 85% since in the past 2 years. In addition, excluding the impact of the customer loss, the underlying business actually grew by 29%.</p><p>The continued top-line growth is contributing to improving operating margins, albeit the Cloud business remains loss making. If share awards are excluded, however, Cloud has actually grown beyond its break-even point generating an EBITA margin of 2% in FY22. Due to the operational leverage of these types of businesses, further top line growth should start to result in improving margins.</p><p>International Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfec3544f8ac5498ceeeb239868cd84b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from Company Annual Report.</p><p>The theme in International commerce is similar. Revenue growth slowed to 25% in FY22, following a strong FY21 which saw revenue grow by 44%. The slowdown has in part been due to various headwinds faced by AliExpress and Trendyol, which have been key growth drivers of growth in recent years.</p><p>Trendyol has been affected by high inflation in Turkey and the weakened Turkish Lira, whilst AliExpress sales have been affected by the removal of the EU VAT exemption for low value foreign imports. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has also resulted in supply chain and logistics disruptions.</p><p>The International commerce segment as a whole continues to be loss making, with the profits from the wholesaling business not enough to outweigh the losses from the retail side. The loss actually increased in FY22 due to increased promotional spend and user acquisition costs in respect of Lazada and the cost of investments in Trendyol at a time when it is suffering from the economic situation.</p><p>The &#34;ecosystem&#34;<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2fdfe85079b26520b0b049772b90c81\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Whilst Alibaba operates numerous individual platforms, they all combine to create the &#34;Alibaba ecosystem.&#34; At first glance, Alibaba operates a profitable e-commerce business in China which it uses to subsidize a host of other unprofitable ventures. However, it is too simplistic to look at Alibaba in this way.</p><p>Businesses which are currently loss-making, may still contribute positively to the overall strength and profitability of the wider ecosystem. The more services and platforms the company has, the greater the network effects and switching costs become for consumers and merchants.</p><p>Not providing such services could result in a loss of consumers and merchants to competitors, where the long-term impact would be greater than the cost of offering the service at a loss. On the other hand, if any loss-making business is not beneficial to the rest of the ecosystem, we would expect that it ultimately be wound down or disposed of.</p><p>Many of the loss-making businesses were also only acquired or started in recent years and have yet to reach a critical mass. Take the Cloud business, for example. This is a business which requires a lot of investment and has a largely fixed cost base, meaning it needs to reach a certain size to break-even. Any growth beyond that should be rewarded with very high margins.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bf0a8cfb2214f758e87dce71528968\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Looking at the Alibaba group as a whole, the theme of strong but slowing growth holds true. Again, it is important to view this in the context of the group growing its top line more than 5 times since 2017 - equivalent to a compound annual growth rate of 32%.</p><p>Since 2017, growth has come at the expense of profitability, with EBITA margins falling from almost 40% to less than 15% in FY22. If this decline in profitability had occurred whilst the operations of the group had remained constant, then we would see it as reason to be concerned. However, the key reason for the declining margins is the company&#39;s expansion which will form the basis for the company&#39;s future growth.</p><p>Whilst some of the decline in margin is structural as a result of expansion into lower margin business such as traditional retail and logistics, we do expect margins to improve as the company continues to grow and its businesses benefit from advantages of scale.</p><p>Any management team which is willing to put long-term success ahead of short-term profitability should be commended. The culture at Alibaba appears to be geared towards this. The legal structure - which essentially gives shareholders zero control over the management of the company - also means management is less likely to be concerned by the short-term demands of the market or shareholders.</p><p>The overall profitability of Alibaba is not solely dependent on its operating businesses. Significant fluctuations in the company&#39;s investment portfolio can also have a significant impact on net income. In both FY20 and FY21, the company recognized gains of over RMB 70 billion, equivalent to more than 90% of the company&#39;s operating income in each of those years. However, in FY22, the value of the company&#39;s listed portfolio declined by over RMB 15 billion - wiping out almost 25% of the company&#39;s operating income.</p><p>The performance of equity method investees - particularly Ant Group - can also materially impact overall profitability. Alibaba&#39;s share of profits from equity investees has improved from a loss of RMB 5 billion in FY20 to a gain of RMB 14 billion in FY22. Performance in FY22 was boosted by gains in investments recognized by Ant Group rather than improvements in the underlying business, meaning future profits may not be so high.</p><p>Overall, adjusted net income - which excludes changes in the value of investments described above, as well as certain one-off or non-cash costs - has been broadly flat in the three years through FY22 in the range of RMB 100 billion to RMB 120 billion.</p><p>Cash flow<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d77c5942124c46a9eacf378c77ef67\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"726\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Essentially all of the company&#39;s net income translates into free cash which can be used to fund acquisitions or returns to shareholders.</p><p>In the three years through FY22, the company has generated over RMB 400 million in free cash flows. The main use for this cash flow has been acquisitions, with the company investing around 50% of its cumulative free cash flow on new or additional investment in equities, business combinations or non-wholly owned subsidiaries.</p><p>The company does not and has never paid any dividend, but does have a share repurchase program of up to $25 billion (RMB 103 billion). As of 30 June 2022, there is a further $12 billion (RMB 81 billion) still to be completed by 2024, equivalent to around 5% of outstanding shares at the current price.</p><p>The strong cash generation of the business is reflected on its balance sheet, with a net cash position of RMB 378 billion as of 30 June 2022.</p><p><i>Note: TheFCF metric reported by management</i> <i>excludes the acquisition of land use rights and construction in progress relating to office campuses. Whilst these do not relate directly to the revenue-generating segments, they are still a true cash outflow from an investor&#39;s perspective. As such, we have adjusted management&#39;s FCF metric to include these outflows.</i></p><p>Q1 FY23 Trading Update<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6159fb931608db1e29590a5bf712b2d3\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from Q1 FY23 trading update.</p><p>On 4 August 2022, the company released their results for the first quarter of FY23. A further slowdown with revenue flat on the same period in the prior, albeit management reported that a slow April and May had been offset but a recovery in June.</p><p>China commerce revenue fell by 1% as GMV fell by a single-digit percentage and order cancellations increased as a result of the Covid-19 resurgence. This was partially offset by modest single digit growth in International commerce, Local consumer services and Cainiao. Cloud was the stand-out performer with revenue up 10% on the prior year. Despite stable revenues, earnings of the operating business were down by almost 20% as EBITA margins fell from 17% to 11%.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Regulation</p><p>The company operates a number of businesses in which foreign ownership or investment is restricted or prohibited. To ensure the company remains compliant, the businesses which are subject to these restrictions are carved out in separate legal entities which are not owned directly or indirectly by Alibaba, with control and economic benefit provided by way of contracts. Should the law (or interpretation thereof) change, there is a risk that Alibaba could be required to sell or cease operations in some of its businesses in China.</p><p>De-listing</p><p>There is a conflict between what the PCAOB in the US requires of auditors of US-listed companies and what auditors in China are allowed to disclose under Chinese law. Without cooperation on this issue, Alibaba may be prohibited from trading on the NYSE or other U.S. stock exchange by 2024 under current laws.</p><p>SEC investigation</p><p>In early 2016, the SEC initiated an investigation into whether the company has violated any federal securities laws in relation to its accounting practices. The investigation is ongoing and it is unclear what, if any, consequences the company could face.</p><p>Outlook</p><p>Management does not provide any medium-term guidance or targets in respect of the company&#39;s financial performance. However, its growth strategy revolves around the following three key trends.</p><p>Consumption</p><p>Consumption is a key driver of company performance. With the 1 billion active users on its e-commerce platforms in China, the company already has deep penetration of the domestic market. However, there is scope to grow through further penetration of less developed regions and capturing a larger proportion of existing users&#39; spending.</p><p>Digitalization</p><p>Digitalization of the economy, particularly through cloud computing, represents a huge area of new business opportunity. China&#39;s cloud computing industry is still at a nascent stage of development and is forecast to increase by 400% by 2025.</p><p>Globalization</p><p>The company also hopes to capitalize on globalization. The initial focus is on expansion in Southeast Asia, through localized and cross-border offerings. Alibaba is already the largest IaaS service provider in Asia Pacific, and it continues to expand its international cloud infrastructure, with data centers in 27 regions globally, including Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Alibaba has two major components to it: its operating businesses (including its subsidiaries, VIEs and equity method investees) and its investment portfolio.</p><p>As of 16 August 2022, the company&#39;s ADRs (equivalent to 8 ordinary shares) trade at around $92, giving a total market capitalization of c.$244 billion (RMB 1,653 billion). Excluding the company&#39;s significant net cash position (including short-term investments) of RMB 453 billion and its investment portfolio with a value of RMB 234 billion, this implies a valuation of RMB 966 billion for the operating business alone.</p><p>Our approach to valuing the operating businesses centers around determining the true underlying earnings power of the business or &#34;owner earnings.&#34; In the case of Alibaba, we will use Non-GAAP net income - which excludes amortization of intangibles, gains/losses in respect of investments and one-off non-recurring items such as fines - as our basis. Owner earnings in FY22 were around RMB 112 billion, equivalent to a price-to-earnings ratio of 9x for the operating businesses.</p><p>Due to the number of operating businesses and the limited information available in respect of each, we have not attempted to value each individually. Rather, we have applied high level assumptions at the group level to consider the implied potential returns under various hypothetical scenarios in reaching a conclusion on the attractiveness of the current valuation.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Assumptions</b></td><td><b>Lower</b></td><td><b>Mid</b></td><td><b>Upper</b></td></tr><tr><td>Net income growth</td><td>5%</td><td>7%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Price-to-earnings multiple</td><td>12x</td><td>15x</td><td>18x</td></tr></tbody></table><p>The assumed growth in earnings of 3% at the lower end and 7% at the upper end are low by historical standards, with historical growth in adjusted net income of 18% in the period FY17-FY22. We also assume that the company has to retain and reinvest 75% of its earnings to achieve this modest growth in net earnings, which is high by historical standards and may well be a lot lower in practice. We also make no allowance for any growth in the value of the company&#39;s investment portfolio.</p><p>Even under these scenarios, which we feel provide for a significant margin of safety, the implied 10-year compound annual return ranges from 22% on the lower end to 34% on the higher end - a total return of between 5x and 16x in 10 years.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>There are two equally string but conflicting components when it comes to Alibaba as a prospective investment: the strength and prospects of the company&#39;s operating businesses versus the inherent uncertainty of investing in businesses with significant operations in China.</p><p>Where you come out on the balance between those two will ultimately determine whether you see it as an absolute bargain or a complete no-go. As long-term contrarian value investors, we feel the business strengths, discounted value, and prospective returns on offer are too attractive to ignore. For that reason, we consider it a &#34;buy&#34; and have allocated a significant proportion of our portfolio to it at the current price.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535761-alibaba-fortunes-will-be-made><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets and territories.With Alibaba’s operating businesses currently trading at around 9 times at a time when...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535761-alibaba-fortunes-will-be-made\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535761-alibaba-fortunes-will-be-made","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137992204","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets and territories.With Alibaba’s operating businesses currently trading at around 9 times at a time when margins are depressed, 30%+ annual compound returns over the next decade are possible.The decision to invest or not ultimately depends on where investors land on the perceived risks of investing in China.Whilst there are realistic risks, we think they are overblown and that long-term investors will do well by remaining rationally optimistic.At the current price, we rate the stock as a “Buy.” Should the current risks reduce or be resolved, we would consider it a “Strong Buy” at the current level.Our viewAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,BABAF) is one of the most controversial companies when it comes to investor opinion. Many believe it is a great business at a bargain price, whilst others believe the risks mean it is untouchable, even at a significant discount.Putting the risks aside for a moment, there is a lot to love about Alibaba:the world's largest global e-commerce platform, bigger than Amazon (AMZN) and JD.com (JD) combined based on GMV;a Cloud computing business in China which is a leader in a market which is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years;a dominant position in China and an increasing presence across Southeast Asia meaning it is well placed to benefit from economic progress in the region; andstrong free cash flow and a solid balance sheet providing ample resources to continue to make strategic acquisitions and/or returns to shareholders.Alibaba's operating businesses currently trade at a multiple of around 9x owner earnings. And this is at a time when the company is in an investment phase, meaning margins are depressed and the true underlying earnings potential is underrepresented. Modest earnings growth combined with recovery in the valuation multiple could provide investors 30%+ annual returns over the next decade.Based on these metrics, it is difficult to disagree that the current price represents an attractive valuation. However, the investment decision ultimately relies on the conclusion investors reach on the likelihood and impact of the various potential risks materializing.When it comes to risks generally, investors can be guilty of ignoring them completely or assuming the worst-case scenario. In the case of Alibaba, we think the latter is true. Whilst there will inevitably be ongoing friction as the US learns to live in a world with a rising China, our view is that the world will ultimately continue to make progress and prosper over the long-term. We believe investors would do well by remaining rationally optimistic.Even if we put our optimistic worldview aside, we feel that some of the risks are overblown. Only 10% of the company's external revenue is generated through the regulated businesses held within the VIE structures, and this will only reduce as the company continues to diversify and expand internationally.As for the potential de-listing from the NYSE, we would hope that agreement can be reached to avert this eventually. However, in absence of cooperation on that issue, the company is pursuing a dual primary listing in Hong Kong which will provide investors with an alternative market in an internationally recognized financial center.Overall, we feel that the strength of its businesses combined with the significantly discounted valuation compensate for the actual severity and likelihood of the risks materializing. We think it is a clear \"Buy\" at the current valuation. Should these risks reduce or a long-term resolution be reached, we see reason to upgrade our rating to \"Strong Buy.\"With that being said, each investor must consider this in the context of their own investment objectives, risk tolerance and psychological resilience. Bargains are never found in times of comfort and stability. As value investors with a long-term horizon and a deeply contrarian nature, we believe will be handsomely rewarded for the long and potentially rocky journey ahead.An overview of AlibabaNote from author: This section provides a description of the major services and businesses which are within the Alibaba ecosystem. For those who are already familiar with the operations of Alibaba, we suggest that you skip to the following section.Alibaba is an e-commerce giant which serves 1.31 billion annual active consumers across the many platforms and businesses in the Alibaba Ecosystem. Total Gross Merchandise Value (\"GMV\") transacted in the Alibaba Ecosystem in FY22 was RMB 8.3 trillion ($1.3 trillion), making it the largest retail commerce business in the world, according to Analysys.Alibaba reports its business across a number of segments: China commerce, International commerce; Local consumer services; Cainiao; Cloud; Digital media and entertainment; and Innovation initiatives and others. We provide an overview of each below.China CommerceAlibaba Annual Report FY22Alibaba's China Commerce segment is primarily Taobao and Tmall. Together, these constitute the world's largest digital retail business in terms of GMV for the twelve months ended 31 March 2022, according to Analysys.TaobaoTaobao is the company's main commerce platform and is both the starting point and destination portal for many users' shopping journey. It allows individuals and small businesses to create online storefronts and product listings for free. Alibaba generates revenue through add-ons sold to sellers, such as analytics and marketing. As well as being a shopping platform itself, it acts as a funnel for other platforms in the Alibaba ecosystem.TmallTmall is the partner of choice for both domestic and International brands. The platform is essentially a virtual mall, allowing brands and retailers to operate their own unique storefronts. The platform has a wide range of brands, with 320,000 brands and merchants on Tmall, including over 80% of the consumer brands ranked in the Forbes Top 100 World's Most Valuable Brands for 2021. It is the largest third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers in the world in terms of GMV, according to Analysys. The platform differs from Taobao in that it charges retailers and merchants fees for setting up stores and a share of ongoing GMV, in addition to offering value-add services.OtherThere are a host of other platforms and businesses which cater to various markets. These includeTaobao Deals - like Taoboao, but with a focus on value-for-money products;Taocaicai - a community marketplace that offers consumers next-day pick-up services for a wide range of groceries and fresh goods at neighborhood pick-up points;Tmall Supermarket - offers daily necessities, FMCG and general merchandise through Taobao app with same-or-next-day delivery services;Freshippo - a retail chain for groceries and fresh goods with over 200 stores offering 30-minute delivery to customers living within a three kilometer radius of the store; andSun Art - an online and physical hypermarket.AlimamaThe company monetizes its broad user base and insights into customer behaviors through its Alimama platform. Alimama offers paid marketing services to merchants, retailers and promoters allowing them to advertise across its many platforms. This marketing is not confined to the Alibaba ecosystem, with affiliate programs allowing its users to directly market to consumers on other platforms outside of Alibaba's.In addition to ads within the Alibaba ecosystem, the company offers wider distribution through the Taobao Ad Network and Exchange (\"TANX\"), one of the largest real-time online bidding marketing exchanges in China. TANX helps publishers to monetize their media inventories both on mobile apps and web properties, automating the buying and selling of tens of billions of marketing impressions on a daily basis.1688.comAlibaba's domestic wholesale business, 1688.com, is China's largest integrated domestic wholesale marketplace in 2021 by net revenue, according to Analysys. Wholesalers pay a fixed annual subscription to sell with no additional fees, but can pay for additional premium features such as data analytics and marketing etc. These additional services account for the vast majority of income from wholesaling.International CommerceAlibaba Annual Report FY22LazadaLazada is a leading and fast-growing e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and serves one of the largest user bases among the global e-commerce platforms. It caters to merchants of all sizes, from individuals to regional and global brands. Lazada also operates one of the leading e-commerce logistics networks in Southeast Asia, with the vast majority of Lazada's parcels going through its own facilities or first- and last-mile fleet.AliExpressAliExpress enables global consumers to buy directly from manufacturers and distributors in China and around the world. It is available in 18 languages and services consumers across many countries including the US and Europe.TrendyolTrendyol is a leading e-commerce platform in Turkey in terms of both GMV and order volume in 2021. It offers a large selection of products through e-commerce business as well as instant delivery services for food and groceries, as well as having its own fulfillment and logistics networks.Alibaba.comAlibaba.com is China's largest integrated international online wholesale marketplace in 2021 by revenue, according to Analysys, serving over 40 million buyers from over 190 countries in FY22. Like its domestic wholesaling counterpart, Alibaba generates the majority of the revenue through this platform for the additional value-add services it offers to merchants.Local Consumer ServicesCompany Annual Report FY22The company's local consumer services business is looking to expand its reach beyond products into consumer services, whether that is at home through its \"To Home\" businesses or on the go through its \"To Destination\" businesses.To HomeEle.me- a leading local services and on-demand delivery platform which enables consumers to order food and beverages, groceries, FMCG, flowers and pharmaceutical products anytime and anywhere.Fengniao Logistics - an on-demand delivery network which provides last-mile logistics services to orders placed through Ele.me as well as to other businesses in the Alibaba ecosystem including Freshippo, Sun Art, and Alibaba Health.Taoxianda - an online-offline integration service solution for FMCG brands and third-party grocery retail partners, facilitates the digitalization of retailers' operations.To-DestinationAmap - a leading provider of mobile digital map navigation and one-stop access point to services such as navigation, local services and ride-hailing. Amap technology underlies a range of apps both inside and outside of the Alibaba ecosystem, and the company provides map data and navigation software to international and domestic automotive companies.Fliggy - a leading online travel platform which provides comprehensive services to meet consumers' travel needs for airline and train tickets, accommodation, car rental, package tours and local attractions.Koubei - a restaurant and local services guide platform for in-store consumption, provides merchants with targeted marketing solutions, digital operation capabilities and analytics tools and allows consumers to discover local services content on the platform.CainiaoCainiao is a domestic and international one-stop shop for logistics services and supply chain management solutions, data insights and technology to digitalize the entire logistics process and enhance the capabilities of its logistics partners.It offers parcel pick-up services through a neighborhood logistics solution that operates a network of neighborhood, campus and rural village stations and residential self pick-up lockers. Consumers can also enjoy parcel pick-up at the doorstep and time-guaranteed delivery service through Cainiao.For merchants, Cainiao has built a full-fledged fulfillment network at provincial, city, and county levels in China, which offers customized fulfillment solutions to merchants across the Alibaba ecosystem. It has a network of assets and partners to support merchants on cross-border and international commerce retail platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada.CloudAlibaba Group is the world's third largest and Asia Pacific's largest Infrastructure-as-a-service (\"IaaS\") provider by revenue in 2021, according to Gartner's April 2022 report. It is also China's largest provider of public cloud services by revenue in 2021, including PaaS and IaaS services, according to IDC.Alibaba CloudAlibaba Cloud offers a complete suite of cloud services, including proprietary servers, elastic computing, storage, network, security, database and big data, and IoT services, serving our ecosystem and beyond. Alibaba Cloud offers computing services in 27 regions globally and served more than 60% of A-share listed companies in China in FY22. As digital transformation accelerates, customers from non-Internet industries have increased their usage of cloud services, with such revenue accounting for half of cloud computing revenue in FY22.DingTalkDingTalk is a digital collaboration workplace and application development platform that offers new ways of working, sharing and collaboration for modern enterprises and organizations and is the largest business efficiency mobile app in China by monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile.DingTalk provides a comprehensive suite of solutions for enterprise collaboration, including real-time communication, organizational management and various network collaboration tools such as data storage, calendars, workflow management and shared documents. Enterprises can also enjoy convenient access to a broad range of applications, including those offered by third-party service providers, that are seamlessly integrated with DingTalk's platform.Digital Media and EntertainmentCompany Annual Report FY22In line with the continued expansion into areas beyond product consumption, the group is looking to benefit from media consumption through its delivery platforms as well as through the production and distribution of its own and third-party content.The first of these platforms is Youku, the third largest online long-form video platform in China in terms of monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile. The second is Quark which helps young users gain access to a variety of digital content and information for learning and work purposes.The company also produces, promotes and distributes content through Alibaba Pictures. In 2022, eight movies released by Alibaba Pictures were among the top ten domestic movies in terms of ticket sales. The company also provides ticketing services for live events - concerts, plays, and sporting events - through Damai, and develops and distributes mobile games through Lingxi Games.InnovationIn 2019, Alibaba established the DAMO Academy, a global research program in cutting-edge technologies that aims to integrate and speed up knowledge exchange between science and industry. An example of the innovation is the proprietary L4 self-driving vehicle Xiaomanlv used by Cainiao, which has delivered over 10 million parcels within gated communities and university campuses.Its Tmall Genie product range provides a selection of internet-enabled smart home appliances, including smart speakers, lights and remote controls. The Tmall Genie smart speaker is a leading smart speaker in China in terms of sales units, and provides an interactive interface for our customers to easily access services offered by the company.InvestmentsIn addition to its operating businesses, Alibaba has a portfolio of equity (listed and private) and debt investments with a total value of RMB 239 billion as of 30 June 2022. The company also has a number of investments in which it holds a minority stake (\"equity investees\"). The most significant of these is the group's 33% stake in the Ant Group, the parent company of Alipay which provides substantially all of the payment processing and all of the escrow services on Alibaba marketplaces.Business reviewThe Alibaba GroupPrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Despite its many operating businesses and international expansion, Alibaba is still predominantly a domestic e-commerce business in China. In FY22, China commerce - which include the company's domestic retail and wholesale businesses - accounted for almost 80% of the group's revenue. The next largest segments are Cloud (8% of revenue) and International Commerce (7% of revenue). We consider the performance of these three key segments below.China CommercePrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.The e-commerce businesses in China continue to grow albeit at a slower rate, with growth slowing from 45% in FY21 to 18% in FY22. The company's main ecommerce platforms in China - Taobao and Tmall - have seen their revenue growth slow to low-single digits in FY22, with the majority of revenue growth now being driven by the growth of the company's direct sales businesses - Tmall Supermarket and SunArt.This expansion into direct sales (i.e. traditional retailing) is unlocking new areas for growth, but at the cost of significantly lower margins. The company has also increased investment in its platforms and increased spending for user growth and on merchant support, further depressing margins.As a result, EBITA margin has declined from 50% in FY20 to around 30% in FY22, offsetting the impact of the growth in revenue. The company expects margins to continue to be affected by this trend as direct sales account for an increasing share of revenue.Please note: The EBITA reported by management excludes share-based compensation expenses. While we understand that it can be a useful metric on this basis, we have adjusted it to include the share-based compensation expense as this is a true cost to the company. Any reference to EBITA throughout this article is on that basis.CloudPrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.The trend of slowing growth is not confined to ecommerce, with the Cloud segment also seeing growth slow to 25% in FY22. The slowing growth was due to the loss of a significant customer as well as slowing demand from customers in China's internet industry.The slowdown in FY22 follows a year where revenue grew by a little over 50% and has grown by 85% since in the past 2 years. In addition, excluding the impact of the customer loss, the underlying business actually grew by 29%.The continued top-line growth is contributing to improving operating margins, albeit the Cloud business remains loss making. If share awards are excluded, however, Cloud has actually grown beyond its break-even point generating an EBITA margin of 2% in FY22. Due to the operational leverage of these types of businesses, further top line growth should start to result in improving margins.International CommercePrepared by author. Data from Company Annual Report.The theme in International commerce is similar. Revenue growth slowed to 25% in FY22, following a strong FY21 which saw revenue grow by 44%. The slowdown has in part been due to various headwinds faced by AliExpress and Trendyol, which have been key growth drivers of growth in recent years.Trendyol has been affected by high inflation in Turkey and the weakened Turkish Lira, whilst AliExpress sales have been affected by the removal of the EU VAT exemption for low value foreign imports. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has also resulted in supply chain and logistics disruptions.The International commerce segment as a whole continues to be loss making, with the profits from the wholesaling business not enough to outweigh the losses from the retail side. The loss actually increased in FY22 due to increased promotional spend and user acquisition costs in respect of Lazada and the cost of investments in Trendyol at a time when it is suffering from the economic situation.The \"ecosystem\"Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Whilst Alibaba operates numerous individual platforms, they all combine to create the \"Alibaba ecosystem.\" At first glance, Alibaba operates a profitable e-commerce business in China which it uses to subsidize a host of other unprofitable ventures. However, it is too simplistic to look at Alibaba in this way.Businesses which are currently loss-making, may still contribute positively to the overall strength and profitability of the wider ecosystem. The more services and platforms the company has, the greater the network effects and switching costs become for consumers and merchants.Not providing such services could result in a loss of consumers and merchants to competitors, where the long-term impact would be greater than the cost of offering the service at a loss. On the other hand, if any loss-making business is not beneficial to the rest of the ecosystem, we would expect that it ultimately be wound down or disposed of.Many of the loss-making businesses were also only acquired or started in recent years and have yet to reach a critical mass. Take the Cloud business, for example. This is a business which requires a lot of investment and has a largely fixed cost base, meaning it needs to reach a certain size to break-even. Any growth beyond that should be rewarded with very high margins.Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Looking at the Alibaba group as a whole, the theme of strong but slowing growth holds true. Again, it is important to view this in the context of the group growing its top line more than 5 times since 2017 - equivalent to a compound annual growth rate of 32%.Since 2017, growth has come at the expense of profitability, with EBITA margins falling from almost 40% to less than 15% in FY22. If this decline in profitability had occurred whilst the operations of the group had remained constant, then we would see it as reason to be concerned. However, the key reason for the declining margins is the company's expansion which will form the basis for the company's future growth.Whilst some of the decline in margin is structural as a result of expansion into lower margin business such as traditional retail and logistics, we do expect margins to improve as the company continues to grow and its businesses benefit from advantages of scale.Any management team which is willing to put long-term success ahead of short-term profitability should be commended. The culture at Alibaba appears to be geared towards this. The legal structure - which essentially gives shareholders zero control over the management of the company - also means management is less likely to be concerned by the short-term demands of the market or shareholders.The overall profitability of Alibaba is not solely dependent on its operating businesses. Significant fluctuations in the company's investment portfolio can also have a significant impact on net income. In both FY20 and FY21, the company recognized gains of over RMB 70 billion, equivalent to more than 90% of the company's operating income in each of those years. However, in FY22, the value of the company's listed portfolio declined by over RMB 15 billion - wiping out almost 25% of the company's operating income.The performance of equity method investees - particularly Ant Group - can also materially impact overall profitability. Alibaba's share of profits from equity investees has improved from a loss of RMB 5 billion in FY20 to a gain of RMB 14 billion in FY22. Performance in FY22 was boosted by gains in investments recognized by Ant Group rather than improvements in the underlying business, meaning future profits may not be so high.Overall, adjusted net income - which excludes changes in the value of investments described above, as well as certain one-off or non-cash costs - has been broadly flat in the three years through FY22 in the range of RMB 100 billion to RMB 120 billion.Cash flowPrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Essentially all of the company's net income translates into free cash which can be used to fund acquisitions or returns to shareholders.In the three years through FY22, the company has generated over RMB 400 million in free cash flows. The main use for this cash flow has been acquisitions, with the company investing around 50% of its cumulative free cash flow on new or additional investment in equities, business combinations or non-wholly owned subsidiaries.The company does not and has never paid any dividend, but does have a share repurchase program of up to $25 billion (RMB 103 billion). As of 30 June 2022, there is a further $12 billion (RMB 81 billion) still to be completed by 2024, equivalent to around 5% of outstanding shares at the current price.The strong cash generation of the business is reflected on its balance sheet, with a net cash position of RMB 378 billion as of 30 June 2022.Note: TheFCF metric reported by management excludes the acquisition of land use rights and construction in progress relating to office campuses. Whilst these do not relate directly to the revenue-generating segments, they are still a true cash outflow from an investor's perspective. As such, we have adjusted management's FCF metric to include these outflows.Q1 FY23 Trading UpdatePrepared by author. Data from Q1 FY23 trading update.On 4 August 2022, the company released their results for the first quarter of FY23. A further slowdown with revenue flat on the same period in the prior, albeit management reported that a slow April and May had been offset but a recovery in June.China commerce revenue fell by 1% as GMV fell by a single-digit percentage and order cancellations increased as a result of the Covid-19 resurgence. This was partially offset by modest single digit growth in International commerce, Local consumer services and Cainiao. Cloud was the stand-out performer with revenue up 10% on the prior year. Despite stable revenues, earnings of the operating business were down by almost 20% as EBITA margins fell from 17% to 11%.RisksRegulationThe company operates a number of businesses in which foreign ownership or investment is restricted or prohibited. To ensure the company remains compliant, the businesses which are subject to these restrictions are carved out in separate legal entities which are not owned directly or indirectly by Alibaba, with control and economic benefit provided by way of contracts. Should the law (or interpretation thereof) change, there is a risk that Alibaba could be required to sell or cease operations in some of its businesses in China.De-listingThere is a conflict between what the PCAOB in the US requires of auditors of US-listed companies and what auditors in China are allowed to disclose under Chinese law. Without cooperation on this issue, Alibaba may be prohibited from trading on the NYSE or other U.S. stock exchange by 2024 under current laws.SEC investigationIn early 2016, the SEC initiated an investigation into whether the company has violated any federal securities laws in relation to its accounting practices. The investigation is ongoing and it is unclear what, if any, consequences the company could face.OutlookManagement does not provide any medium-term guidance or targets in respect of the company's financial performance. However, its growth strategy revolves around the following three key trends.ConsumptionConsumption is a key driver of company performance. With the 1 billion active users on its e-commerce platforms in China, the company already has deep penetration of the domestic market. However, there is scope to grow through further penetration of less developed regions and capturing a larger proportion of existing users' spending.DigitalizationDigitalization of the economy, particularly through cloud computing, represents a huge area of new business opportunity. China's cloud computing industry is still at a nascent stage of development and is forecast to increase by 400% by 2025.GlobalizationThe company also hopes to capitalize on globalization. The initial focus is on expansion in Southeast Asia, through localized and cross-border offerings. Alibaba is already the largest IaaS service provider in Asia Pacific, and it continues to expand its international cloud infrastructure, with data centers in 27 regions globally, including Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand.ValuationAlibaba has two major components to it: its operating businesses (including its subsidiaries, VIEs and equity method investees) and its investment portfolio.As of 16 August 2022, the company's ADRs (equivalent to 8 ordinary shares) trade at around $92, giving a total market capitalization of c.$244 billion (RMB 1,653 billion). Excluding the company's significant net cash position (including short-term investments) of RMB 453 billion and its investment portfolio with a value of RMB 234 billion, this implies a valuation of RMB 966 billion for the operating business alone.Our approach to valuing the operating businesses centers around determining the true underlying earnings power of the business or \"owner earnings.\" In the case of Alibaba, we will use Non-GAAP net income - which excludes amortization of intangibles, gains/losses in respect of investments and one-off non-recurring items such as fines - as our basis. Owner earnings in FY22 were around RMB 112 billion, equivalent to a price-to-earnings ratio of 9x for the operating businesses.Due to the number of operating businesses and the limited information available in respect of each, we have not attempted to value each individually. Rather, we have applied high level assumptions at the group level to consider the implied potential returns under various hypothetical scenarios in reaching a conclusion on the attractiveness of the current valuation.AssumptionsLowerMidUpperNet income growth5%7%9%Price-to-earnings multiple12x15x18xThe assumed growth in earnings of 3% at the lower end and 7% at the upper end are low by historical standards, with historical growth in adjusted net income of 18% in the period FY17-FY22. We also assume that the company has to retain and reinvest 75% of its earnings to achieve this modest growth in net earnings, which is high by historical standards and may well be a lot lower in practice. We also make no allowance for any growth in the value of the company's investment portfolio.Even under these scenarios, which we feel provide for a significant margin of safety, the implied 10-year compound annual return ranges from 22% on the lower end to 34% on the higher end - a total return of between 5x and 16x in 10 years.ConclusionThere are two equally string but conflicting components when it comes to Alibaba as a prospective investment: the strength and prospects of the company's operating businesses versus the inherent uncertainty of investing in businesses with significant operations in China.Where you come out on the balance between those two will ultimately determine whether you see it as an absolute bargain or a complete no-go. As long-term contrarian value investors, we feel the business strengths, discounted value, and prospective returns on offer are too attractive to ignore. For that reason, we consider it a \"buy\" and have allocated a significant proportion of our portfolio to it at the current price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996304208,"gmtCreate":1661123520806,"gmtModify":1676536454508,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woah","listText":"Woah","text":"Woah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996304208","repostId":"1145254202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1145254202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661130354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145254202?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145254202","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Ka","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.</p><p>The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with Friday morning&#39;s speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected to highlight the proceedings as investors search for clues on the central bank&#39;s next move.</p><p>This year&#39;s symposium marks the first in-person Jackson Hole conference since 2019.</p><p>A close-reading of Powell&#39;s comments on Friday will boil down to whether investors see the Fed chair signaling another 0.75% interest rate hike from the Fed at its next policy announcement on September 21, or whether the Fed will ease its pace of rate hikes and increase benchmark rates by 0.50%.</p><p>In a note to clients Friday, Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote that recent economic events are likely to set the table for a 0.50% rate hike in September.</p><p>July inflation data showed a modest softening in inflation pressures, arguing for easing the pace of hikes. The July jobs report dispelled concerns from some Fed officials that the labor market is softening, perhaps making the case for continued aggression on raising rates.</p><p>&#34;To the extent that those developments cancel each other out, we still expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 [basis points] next month,&#34; Hunter wrote. &#34;There doesn’t appear to be much need for Chair Jerome Powell to adjust expectations when he speaks at Jackson Hole next Friday.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s speech will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, and for the first time the Fed chair&#39;s speech — seen as the most important central bank communication of the year — will stream live. Yahoo Finance&#39;sBrian Cheung will be on the ground in Wyoming to bring readers and viewers full coverage of the events.</p><p>In addition to Powell&#39;s speech, updates on service sector activity, inflation, and consumer sentiment will feature on the economic calendar. PCE inflation — the Fed&#39;s preferred measure — is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, just 90 minutes before Powell&#39;s speech. Powell&#39;s speech will begin simultaneously with the release of the University of Michigan&#39;s latest consumer sentiment index.</p><p>For Fed Watchers, the coming week will hardly offer a summer Friday.</p><p>Though earnings season has largely wrapped up, this week&#39;s trickle of results will still offer investors key updates, with reports out of Nvidia (NVDA), salesforce.com (CRM), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and dollar store operators Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) — the week&#39;s most notable releases.</p><p>Last week&#39;s results from Walmart(WMT) andTarget(TGT) helped allay some investor fears over the state of the consumer, with these results coming in better-than-feared. However, both companies&#39; reports signaled a more cautious approach from shoppers as inflation pressures bit during the summer months.</p><p>Walmart CFO John David Rainey told Yahoo Finance last week the company saw customers trade down — particularly in grocery — during the quarter. Rainey also told analysts on a conference call the company had canceled billions in orders.</p><p>Back in May, Dollar Tree and Dollar General offered some of the earliest indications that consumers were using their grocery runs as an opportunity to cut costs. Results from both retailers this week will be parsed for signs of any continued, modified, or accelerated behavioral shifts.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s latest report comes also comes at a crucial juncture for the semiconductor industry, often seen as a bellwether for global economic demand. Earlier this month, Nvidiawarned its quarterly results would miss estimates, and reports this week catalogued the growing concerns around demand in the chip space as global economic activity appears to soften.</p><p>Last week, markets snapped a four-week winning streak, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% and the S&amp;P 500 falling more than 1%.</p><p>This loss of momentum in the summer market rally came as the latest leg of the meme stock trade fizzled out, with Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) shares falling 40% on Friday, after GameStop (GME) chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed he&#39;d sold his entire 11.8% position in the struggling retailer.</p><p>Cohen&#39;s sale also came as Bloomberg reported late Thursday that Bed Bath &amp; Beyond has engaged Kirkland &amp; Ellis, a law firm known for its restructuring and bankruptcy work. After the close on Friday, Bloomberg reported some suppliers for Bed Bath &amp; Beyond had halted shipments due to unpaid bills by the retailer.</p><p>While the collapse in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares served as the splashiest move, last week also saw several of this summer&#39;s &#34;losers turned winners&#34; struggle, with names like Peloton (PTON), Robinhood (HOOD), and Coinbase (COIN) all falling more than 13% for the week.</p><p>—</p><p>Economic calendar</p><p>Monday: <b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index</b>, July (-0.19 previously)</p><p>Tuesday: <b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</b>, August preliminary (51.9 expected, 52.2 previously); <b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI</b>, August preliminary (50 expected, 47.3 previously); <b>Richmond Fed manufacturing index</b>, August (-5 expected, 0 previously); <b>New home sales</b>, July (-2.5% expected, -8.1% expected)</p><p>Wednesday: <b>MBA mortgage applications</b>; <b>Durable goods orders</b>, July (+0.8% expected, +2% previously);<b>Durable goods orders excluding transportation</b>, July (+0.2% expected; +0.4% previously); <b>Pending home sales</b>, July (-2% expected, -8.6% previously)</p><p>Thursday: <b>Initial jobless claims</b>(252,000 expected, 250,000 previously); <b>Second quarter GDP</b>, second estimate (-0.8% expected; -0.9% previously); <b>Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity</b>, August (13 previously)</p><p>Friday:<b>Personal income</b>, July (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously);<b>Personal spending</b>, July (+0.5% expected, +1.1% previously);<b>Whole inventories</b>, July (+1.4% expected, +1.8% previously);<b>Retail inventories</b>, July (+2% previously);<b>PCE, month-on-month</b>, July (+0.1% expected, 1% previously);<b>PCE, year-on-year</b>, July (+6.4% expected, +6.8% previously);<b>Core PCE, month-on-month</b>, July (+0.3% expected, +0.6% previously);<b>Core PCE, year-on-year</b>, July (+4.7% expected; +4.8% previously);<b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment</b>, August (55.3 expected, 55.1 previously)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings calendar</p><p>Monday:<b>Zoom</b>(ZM),<b>Nordson</b>(NDSN),<b>Palo Alto Networks</b>(PANW)</p><p>Tuesday:<b>Medtronic</b>(MDT),<b>J.M. Smucker</b>(SJM),<b>JD.com</b>(JD),<b>Intuit</b>(INTU),<b>Advance Auto Parts</b>(AAP)</p><p>Wednesday:<b>Splunk</b>(SPLK),<b>NetApp</b>(NTAP),<b>Autodesk</b>(ADSK),<b>salesforce.com</b>(CRM),<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA)</p><p>Thursday:<b>Dollar Tree</b>(DLTR),<b>Dollar General</b>(DG),<b>Workday</b>(WDAY),<b>MarvellTechnology</b>(MRVL),<b>UltaBeauty</b>(ULTA)</p><p>Friday: <i>No major earnings set for release.</i></p><p>—</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145254202","content_text":"The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with Friday morning's speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected to highlight the proceedings as investors search for clues on the central bank's next move.This year's symposium marks the first in-person Jackson Hole conference since 2019.A close-reading of Powell's comments on Friday will boil down to whether investors see the Fed chair signaling another 0.75% interest rate hike from the Fed at its next policy announcement on September 21, or whether the Fed will ease its pace of rate hikes and increase benchmark rates by 0.50%.In a note to clients Friday, Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote that recent economic events are likely to set the table for a 0.50% rate hike in September.July inflation data showed a modest softening in inflation pressures, arguing for easing the pace of hikes. The July jobs report dispelled concerns from some Fed officials that the labor market is softening, perhaps making the case for continued aggression on raising rates.\"To the extent that those developments cancel each other out, we still expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 [basis points] next month,\" Hunter wrote. \"There doesn’t appear to be much need for Chair Jerome Powell to adjust expectations when he speaks at Jackson Hole next Friday.\"Powell's speech will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, and for the first time the Fed chair's speech — seen as the most important central bank communication of the year — will stream live. Yahoo Finance'sBrian Cheung will be on the ground in Wyoming to bring readers and viewers full coverage of the events.In addition to Powell's speech, updates on service sector activity, inflation, and consumer sentiment will feature on the economic calendar. PCE inflation — the Fed's preferred measure — is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, just 90 minutes before Powell's speech. Powell's speech will begin simultaneously with the release of the University of Michigan's latest consumer sentiment index.For Fed Watchers, the coming week will hardly offer a summer Friday.Though earnings season has largely wrapped up, this week's trickle of results will still offer investors key updates, with reports out of Nvidia (NVDA), salesforce.com (CRM), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and dollar store operators Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) — the week's most notable releases.Last week's results from Walmart(WMT) andTarget(TGT) helped allay some investor fears over the state of the consumer, with these results coming in better-than-feared. However, both companies' reports signaled a more cautious approach from shoppers as inflation pressures bit during the summer months.Walmart CFO John David Rainey told Yahoo Finance last week the company saw customers trade down — particularly in grocery — during the quarter. Rainey also told analysts on a conference call the company had canceled billions in orders.Back in May, Dollar Tree and Dollar General offered some of the earliest indications that consumers were using their grocery runs as an opportunity to cut costs. Results from both retailers this week will be parsed for signs of any continued, modified, or accelerated behavioral shifts.Nvidia's latest report comes also comes at a crucial juncture for the semiconductor industry, often seen as a bellwether for global economic demand. Earlier this month, Nvidiawarned its quarterly results would miss estimates, and reports this week catalogued the growing concerns around demand in the chip space as global economic activity appears to soften.Last week, markets snapped a four-week winning streak, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% and the S&P 500 falling more than 1%.This loss of momentum in the summer market rally came as the latest leg of the meme stock trade fizzled out, with Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) shares falling 40% on Friday, after GameStop (GME) chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed he'd sold his entire 11.8% position in the struggling retailer.Cohen's sale also came as Bloomberg reported late Thursday that Bed Bath & Beyond has engaged Kirkland & Ellis, a law firm known for its restructuring and bankruptcy work. After the close on Friday, Bloomberg reported some suppliers for Bed Bath & Beyond had halted shipments due to unpaid bills by the retailer.While the collapse in Bed Bath & Beyond shares served as the splashiest move, last week also saw several of this summer's \"losers turned winners\" struggle, with names like Peloton (PTON), Robinhood (HOOD), and Coinbase (COIN) all falling more than 13% for the week.—Economic calendarMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (-0.19 previously)Tuesday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (51.9 expected, 52.2 previously); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (50 expected, 47.3 previously); Richmond Fed manufacturing index, August (-5 expected, 0 previously); New home sales, July (-2.5% expected, -8.1% expected)Wednesday: MBA mortgage applications; Durable goods orders, July (+0.8% expected, +2% previously);Durable goods orders excluding transportation, July (+0.2% expected; +0.4% previously); Pending home sales, July (-2% expected, -8.6% previously)Thursday: Initial jobless claims(252,000 expected, 250,000 previously); Second quarter GDP, second estimate (-0.8% expected; -0.9% previously); Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity, August (13 previously)Friday:Personal income, July (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously);Personal spending, July (+0.5% expected, +1.1% previously);Whole inventories, July (+1.4% expected, +1.8% previously);Retail inventories, July (+2% previously);PCE, month-on-month, July (+0.1% expected, 1% previously);PCE, year-on-year, July (+6.4% expected, +6.8% previously);Core PCE, month-on-month, July (+0.3% expected, +0.6% previously);Core PCE, year-on-year, July (+4.7% expected; +4.8% previously);University of Michigan consumer sentiment, August (55.3 expected, 55.1 previously)—Earnings calendarMonday:Zoom(ZM),Nordson(NDSN),Palo Alto Networks(PANW)Tuesday:Medtronic(MDT),J.M. Smucker(SJM),JD.com(JD),Intuit(INTU),Advance Auto Parts(AAP)Wednesday:Splunk(SPLK),NetApp(NTAP),Autodesk(ADSK),salesforce.com(CRM),Nvidia(NVDA)Thursday:Dollar Tree(DLTR),Dollar General(DG),Workday(WDAY),MarvellTechnology(MRVL),UltaBeauty(ULTA)Friday: No major earnings set for release.—","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996081362,"gmtCreate":1661079022774,"gmtModify":1676536449887,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996081362","repostId":"2260785313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260785313","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661045446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260785313?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260785313","media":"Barrons","summary":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.</p><p>A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.</p><p>A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.</p><p>But that isn&#39;t really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.</p><p>Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That&#39;s a long way from $4.3 billion.</p><p>It wouldn&#39;t be a good idea, though. There isn&#39;t high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.</p><p>(There isn&#39;t much trading volume in those contracts. It&#39;s just an example.)</p><p>Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron&#39;s the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn&#39;t all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn&#39;t get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.</p><p>Profits aren&#39;t hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.</p><p>Burg doesn&#39;t consider himself a big Tesla bear. He&#39;s says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.</p><p>The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.</p><p>Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.</p><p>What&#39;s more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn&#39;t pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It&#39;s a bearish bet.)</p><p>A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That&#39;s almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.</p><p>There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.</p><p>However, options don&#39;t indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260785313","content_text":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.But that isn't really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That's a long way from $4.3 billion.It wouldn't be a good idea, though. There isn't high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.(There isn't much trading volume in those contracts. It's just an example.)Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron's the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn't all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.That isn't a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn't get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.Profits aren't hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.Burg doesn't consider himself a big Tesla bear. He's says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.What's more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn't pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It's a bearish bet.)A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That's almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.However, options don't indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993810609,"gmtCreate":1660659762803,"gmtModify":1676536373797,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993810609","repostId":"2259839211","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259839211","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1660659198,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259839211?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259839211","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla(TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares pri","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Tesla</b> (<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.</li><li>Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.</li><li>Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.</p><p>Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p>For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.</p><p>Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.</p><p>Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><td><b><u>TSLA</u></b></td><td><b>Tesla</b></td><td>$927.96</td></tr></tbody></table><h2>What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?</h2><p>Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.</p><p>However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.</p><p>So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.</p><p>As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.</p><h2>Musk Teases <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> New Tesla Vehicle Models</h2><p>As I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”</p><p>This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.</p><p>Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.</p><h2>What You Can Do Now</h2><p>For all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.</p><p>Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259839211","content_text":"Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.TSLATesla$927.96What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.Musk Teases Two New Tesla Vehicle ModelsAs I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.What You Can Do NowFor all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905487824,"gmtCreate":1659925255201,"gmtModify":1703476051990,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woo","listText":"Woo","text":"Woo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905487824","repostId":"2257489740","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906769700,"gmtCreate":1659593380202,"gmtModify":1705982006193,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogo","listText":"Gogo","text":"Gogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906769700","repostId":"1126573166","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1126573166","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659590390,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126573166?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 13:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126573166","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candid","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates last week.</li><li>Investors are overreacting to the SEC announcement.</li><li>Alibaba’s shares, heading into earnings, remain considerably undervalued.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c734479100befddea1e6e6d9d50f31a2\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Shares of Chinese e-Commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF) skidded 11% last Friday after the Securities and Exchange Commission added the company to its list of potential delisting candidates and investors started to panic. One investor, however, doesnot seem to be disturbed by Alibaba’s delisting risk: Charlie Munger. In a recent 13-F holdings report, the Daily Journal Corporation (DJCO), which is overseen by Charlie Munger, hasn&#39;t sold a single share since its last report. Delisting risks are grossly and irresponsibly exaggerated and Alibaba represents great value on the sell-off!</p><h2><b>New threats from the SEC</b></h2><p>The Securities and Exchange CommissionaddedAlibaba to its list of potential delisting candidates last Friday, creating pressure on shares of Alibaba. Under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, U.S. stock exchanges can delist securities of (foreign) issuers if the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board cannot inspect the audit papers of companies located in a foreign jurisdiction. Foreign companies -- mostly Chinese companies with ADS listings on a U.S. stock exchange -- could potentially be delisted by the SEC if they fail to submit to a PCAOB audit for three consecutive years.</p><p>Alibaba had previously not been specifically mentioned by the SEC, but now has made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates. This does not mean that a delisting is imminent, however. It merely means that the SEC has identified Alibaba as one of many companies that could potentially be delisted if certain disclosure and transparency requirements are not met in the future.</p><h2><b>Why there is no reason to worry about a delisting</b></h2><p>Alibaba is pursuing a dual primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Alibaba expects to complete theprimary listing processin Hong Kong by the end of the year, at which point Alibaba will have transitioned from a secondary to a primary status. A primary listing status in Hong Kong comes with more stringent reporting rules, but also allows participation in Hong Kong’s “Stock Connect Program” which would allow Mainland Chinese investors to purchase Alibaba’s Hong Kong shares through their Mainland stock exchanges.</p><p>So, even in the worst case of a forced U.S. delisting, U.S. investors can still simply buy and sell their shares on the Hong Kong stock exchange. The inclusion in the Stock Connect Program potentially indicates growing investor demand for Alibaba’s shares from Mainland Chinese investors as well.</p><h2><b>Charlie Munger isn&#39;t worried about a delisting</b></h2><p>Charlie Munger, who is Chairman of The Daily Journal Corporation, is not affected by the possibility of a potential delisting of Alibaba’s ADS from the U.S. stock market. According to the latest 13-Fholding reportfor the company, the company hasn&#39;t sold a share since the previous report and still owned 300 thousand shares of Alibaba, now valued at $27.8M. The portfolio continued to include just five stocks: Bank of America (BAC), POSCO Holdings (PKX), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). The Alibaba holding represented about 20% of The Daily Journal Corporation’s portfolio and it was the third-largest position after Bank of America and Wells Fargo.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45cc7f05bba79e03501285f88b6a69b2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Alibaba’s e-Commerce value is enormous, but margins may see downward pressure in the short term</b></h2><p>With 1.4B Chinese making up Alibaba’s core market, Alibaba operates in the most attractive e-Commerce geography in the world. Alibaba had 1.3B customer accounts on its various platforms and added 28M new accounts just in FQ4’22. The scale and reach of Alibaba’s e-Commerce platforms, which include retail brands in Pakistan, Turkey and South-East Asia, are unparalleled and it makes up the core value of Alibaba’s growing e-Commerce enterprise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b01b0d48b72b264b071a3c770aa0eb7d\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Alibaba has suffered from a slowdown in the e-Commerce industry in the last two years. With COVID-19 being a drag on growth, the e-Commerce company generated only 9% revenue growth year-over-year in FQ4’22, which was the slowest growth for Alibaba since it became a public company in 2014.</p><p>Because of top line challenges, Alibaba will have to cut costs and double down on businesses that arecurrently doing wellfor the company such as direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale segment.</p><p>Faced with a more difficult macro environment and the very real prospect of revenue growth dipping into negative territory in FQ1’23, Alibaba may face calls to revamp its cost structure. Alibaba’s costs have been rising despite pressure on the firm’s top line, with cost of revenue increasing 5 PP year over year in FQ4’22 and sales and marketing expenses growing 3 PP.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c146620d16c6fcc2d34de0f776702ff\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"616\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>With costs going up and revenues trending down, Alibaba’s margins are potentially set to go through a longer period of contraction... at least until revenue growth rebounds. Alibaba’s profit margins have contracted over the last three years, a result of growing competition in the e-Commerce industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94404090577f24fc51738ab2be9dc993\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>What is Alibaba expected to report?</h2><p>Alibaba is expected to report earnings for FQ1’23 before the market open on August 4, and the estimate trend is highly negative. In the last 90 days, there were 7 EPS downward revisions and only 2 upward revision, meaning expectations regarding revenue growth and EPS are very low for the upcoming earnings card. Because China saw wide-spread COVID-19 lockdowns in the second-quarter -- which is Alibaba’s FQ1’23 -- investors may have to brace for a quarter with low single-digit, or even negative, revenue growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d46a9631950161addf61d301d9a967a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Massively discounted e-Commerce growth</b></h2><p>Alibaba’s top line growth is moderating and expectations are leaning toward the negative. In the worst case, China&#39;s COVID-19 lockdowns may have resulted in negative revenue growth for Alibaba in the last quarter. However, a rebound should be expected in the coming quarters as China’s COVID-19 restrictions have eased. Despite those challenges, Alibaba is expected to bounce back with 13% revenue growth in FY 2024.</p><p>Alibaba’s potential for growth was hugely discounted on Friday, and since the stock has not yet recovered, shares of Alibaba trade at a P/S ratio of 1.6 X and a P/E ratio of 10.6 X.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d889f1a4b621a6c761f3c1f70e8ff762\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>If Alibaba whiffs on FQ1’23 earnings and revenues on August 4, shares may revalue to the downside. Since I expect results to improve in the second half of the year due to easing COVID-19 lockdowns, however, I would be a buyer of any major dip that occurs after earnings.</p><h2>Risks with Alibaba</h2><p>Alibaba has many risks, but a delisting of its ADS is not one of them. The e-Commerce company will likely report a deceleration in top line growth in its domestic e-Commerce business and, for that reason, margins may come further under pressure. This may result in a lower valuation factor for Alibaba&#39;s shares in the short term, but any selloff would likely also create an attractive buying opportunity. What would change my mind about Alibaba is if the company saw a material decline in its free cash flow prospects and suspended its share buybacks.</p><h2>Final thoughts</h2><p>Charlie Munger is apparently not worried about a delisting of Alibaba&#39;s ADS and the reinvigorated delisting discussion is clouding investors’ perceptions: even if shares were delisted, investors could simply swap their shares and buy/sell Alibaba shares in Hong Kong.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-04 13:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529098-alibaba-charlie-munger-doesnt-worry-about-a-delisting><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates last week.Investors are overreacting to the SEC announcement.Alibaba’s shares, heading into ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529098-alibaba-charlie-munger-doesnt-worry-about-a-delisting\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529098-alibaba-charlie-munger-doesnt-worry-about-a-delisting","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1126573166","content_text":"Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates last week.Investors are overreacting to the SEC announcement.Alibaba’s shares, heading into earnings, remain considerably undervalued.Shares of Chinese e-Commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF) skidded 11% last Friday after the Securities and Exchange Commission added the company to its list of potential delisting candidates and investors started to panic. One investor, however, doesnot seem to be disturbed by Alibaba’s delisting risk: Charlie Munger. In a recent 13-F holdings report, the Daily Journal Corporation (DJCO), which is overseen by Charlie Munger, hasn't sold a single share since its last report. Delisting risks are grossly and irresponsibly exaggerated and Alibaba represents great value on the sell-off!New threats from the SECThe Securities and Exchange CommissionaddedAlibaba to its list of potential delisting candidates last Friday, creating pressure on shares of Alibaba. Under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, U.S. stock exchanges can delist securities of (foreign) issuers if the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board cannot inspect the audit papers of companies located in a foreign jurisdiction. Foreign companies -- mostly Chinese companies with ADS listings on a U.S. stock exchange -- could potentially be delisted by the SEC if they fail to submit to a PCAOB audit for three consecutive years.Alibaba had previously not been specifically mentioned by the SEC, but now has made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates. This does not mean that a delisting is imminent, however. It merely means that the SEC has identified Alibaba as one of many companies that could potentially be delisted if certain disclosure and transparency requirements are not met in the future.Why there is no reason to worry about a delistingAlibaba is pursuing a dual primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Alibaba expects to complete theprimary listing processin Hong Kong by the end of the year, at which point Alibaba will have transitioned from a secondary to a primary status. A primary listing status in Hong Kong comes with more stringent reporting rules, but also allows participation in Hong Kong’s “Stock Connect Program” which would allow Mainland Chinese investors to purchase Alibaba’s Hong Kong shares through their Mainland stock exchanges.So, even in the worst case of a forced U.S. delisting, U.S. investors can still simply buy and sell their shares on the Hong Kong stock exchange. The inclusion in the Stock Connect Program potentially indicates growing investor demand for Alibaba’s shares from Mainland Chinese investors as well.Charlie Munger isn't worried about a delistingCharlie Munger, who is Chairman of The Daily Journal Corporation, is not affected by the possibility of a potential delisting of Alibaba’s ADS from the U.S. stock market. According to the latest 13-Fholding reportfor the company, the company hasn't sold a share since the previous report and still owned 300 thousand shares of Alibaba, now valued at $27.8M. The portfolio continued to include just five stocks: Bank of America (BAC), POSCO Holdings (PKX), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). The Alibaba holding represented about 20% of The Daily Journal Corporation’s portfolio and it was the third-largest position after Bank of America and Wells Fargo.Alibaba’s e-Commerce value is enormous, but margins may see downward pressure in the short termWith 1.4B Chinese making up Alibaba’s core market, Alibaba operates in the most attractive e-Commerce geography in the world. Alibaba had 1.3B customer accounts on its various platforms and added 28M new accounts just in FQ4’22. The scale and reach of Alibaba’s e-Commerce platforms, which include retail brands in Pakistan, Turkey and South-East Asia, are unparalleled and it makes up the core value of Alibaba’s growing e-Commerce enterprise.Alibaba has suffered from a slowdown in the e-Commerce industry in the last two years. With COVID-19 being a drag on growth, the e-Commerce company generated only 9% revenue growth year-over-year in FQ4’22, which was the slowest growth for Alibaba since it became a public company in 2014.Because of top line challenges, Alibaba will have to cut costs and double down on businesses that arecurrently doing wellfor the company such as direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale segment.Faced with a more difficult macro environment and the very real prospect of revenue growth dipping into negative territory in FQ1’23, Alibaba may face calls to revamp its cost structure. Alibaba’s costs have been rising despite pressure on the firm’s top line, with cost of revenue increasing 5 PP year over year in FQ4’22 and sales and marketing expenses growing 3 PP.With costs going up and revenues trending down, Alibaba’s margins are potentially set to go through a longer period of contraction... at least until revenue growth rebounds. Alibaba’s profit margins have contracted over the last three years, a result of growing competition in the e-Commerce industry.What is Alibaba expected to report?Alibaba is expected to report earnings for FQ1’23 before the market open on August 4, and the estimate trend is highly negative. In the last 90 days, there were 7 EPS downward revisions and only 2 upward revision, meaning expectations regarding revenue growth and EPS are very low for the upcoming earnings card. Because China saw wide-spread COVID-19 lockdowns in the second-quarter -- which is Alibaba’s FQ1’23 -- investors may have to brace for a quarter with low single-digit, or even negative, revenue growth.Massively discounted e-Commerce growthAlibaba’s top line growth is moderating and expectations are leaning toward the negative. In the worst case, China's COVID-19 lockdowns may have resulted in negative revenue growth for Alibaba in the last quarter. However, a rebound should be expected in the coming quarters as China’s COVID-19 restrictions have eased. Despite those challenges, Alibaba is expected to bounce back with 13% revenue growth in FY 2024.Alibaba’s potential for growth was hugely discounted on Friday, and since the stock has not yet recovered, shares of Alibaba trade at a P/S ratio of 1.6 X and a P/E ratio of 10.6 X.If Alibaba whiffs on FQ1’23 earnings and revenues on August 4, shares may revalue to the downside. Since I expect results to improve in the second half of the year due to easing COVID-19 lockdowns, however, I would be a buyer of any major dip that occurs after earnings.Risks with AlibabaAlibaba has many risks, but a delisting of its ADS is not one of them. The e-Commerce company will likely report a deceleration in top line growth in its domestic e-Commerce business and, for that reason, margins may come further under pressure. This may result in a lower valuation factor for Alibaba's shares in the short term, but any selloff would likely also create an attractive buying opportunity. What would change my mind about Alibaba is if the company saw a material decline in its free cash flow prospects and suspended its share buybacks.Final thoughtsCharlie Munger is apparently not worried about a delisting of Alibaba's ADS and the reinvigorated delisting discussion is clouding investors’ perceptions: even if shares were delisted, investors could simply swap their shares and buy/sell Alibaba shares in Hong Kong.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900251325,"gmtCreate":1658717921367,"gmtModify":1676536197062,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900251325","repostId":"1196762475","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196762475","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658704904,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196762475?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-25 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Begins to Show Rare Vulnerability Ahead of Economic Slowdown","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196762475","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Apple is set to report earnings this week against the backdrop of an economic downturn and a plan to","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple is set to report earnings this week against the backdrop of an economic downturn and a plan to slow hiring. Also: The company pitches itself as a health tech leader, and we have more details on the upcoming high-end Apple Watch.</p><p>Last week in <i>Power On</i>: Apple’s new iPad Stage Manager multitasking feature doesn’t replace the need for a Mac-like approach.</p><p><b>The Starters</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c944d7db589aad808889dad65ca7d7\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>The Apple Park campus.Photographer: Sam Hall/Bloomberg</span></p><p>The economy is catching up with Apple Inc. For the first time in a while, the company seems to be vulnerable to outside factors like rising inflation, increasing interest rates, the surging US dollar and the threat of a recession.</p><p>I reported this past week that Apple plans to slow spending and hiring across some teams next year in anticipation of an economic slump. Later this week, the company will report its fiscal third-quarter sales, which most analysts anticipate will be roughly flat with last year. Apple also continues to see some kinks in its supply chain, which may limit availability of some of its next devices.</p><p>As part of the hiring slowdown, Apple won’t fill some roles when employees leave and will keep headcount flat for certain teams.</p><p>The company isn’t going as far as some tech peers, such as Tesla Inc., Meta Platforms Inc. and Microsoft Corp., which have announced job cuts. Apple is avoiding layoffs and, thus far, isn’t issuing a public statement on its plans. But I would anticipate that Apple will hint at the move during Thursday’s earnings call with analysts.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b2ce6e165b3ff1f072d126b9fba4c96\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Apple Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri (center).Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg</span></p><p>The results themselves are expected to show a major deceleration in sales growth. Analysts predict that revenue will climb by about 2% from a year earlier, the slowest pace since 2020. Compare that with the 36% jump that Apple saw in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p>Revenue is expected to come in around $82.7 billion. The iPhone will account for a little under half of that, analysts predict, with services generating nearly $20 billion.</p><p>Apple’s challenges go beyond the latest economic concerns:</p><ul><li>First, the company already said you can shave $4 billion to $8 billion off the top of last quarter because of supply problems stemming from Chinese lockdowns and the chip shortage.</li><li>Second, it’s a tough comparison. The third quarter of 2021 included a lot of pandemic-induced spending by people outfitting their home offices. That led to a nice jump in Mac and iPad sales.</li><li>Third, though the latest MacBook Air was announced during the third quarter, it wasn’t released until the fourth quarter. Many customers held off buying a MacBook Air—Apple’s most popular Mac—while they waited for the new model to arrive.</li><li>And, yes, there’s the economy. Given all the uncertainty, more people are probably holding on to their cash right now instead of spending on new Apple products. If they do splurge on technology, they may wait for the latest iPhone, AirPods Pro, Apple Watch and iPad to arrive this fall.</li></ul><p>If the economy does take a dive, it’s only going to get harder. These factors have already led Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and other banks to cut their stock price targets for Apple by about $10 a share.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/770c8277ba1d2ba91622acb9aabface6\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Apple retail store.Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg</span></p><p>I still think Apple will be able to bounce back fairly quickly, though.</p><p>For one, it has a flood of products on the way to tempt even recession-wary shoppers:</p><ul><li>Four iPhone 14 models</li><li>A new Apple Watch SE, Apple Watch Series 8 and high-end “Pro” Apple Watch</li><li>An updated HomePod</li><li>A new Apple TV</li><li>Updated iPad Pro models with an M2 chip and a new low-end iPad with a USB-C port</li><li>The revamped Mac Pro with an M2-based chip</li><li>The long-anticipated mixed-reality headset</li><li>A larger, 15-inch MacBook Air</li><li>New M2 and M2 Pro Mac minis</li><li>Upgraded AirPods Pro earbuds</li><li>New 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pros with M2 Pro and M2 Max chips</li></ul><p>With such a strong product pipeline in place for the next 12 months or so, it’s hard to be<i>that</i>concerned with Apple’s prospects.</p><p>You can catch full live coverage of the company’s results on Thursday starting at 1:30 p.m. Pacific time on the Bloomberg Terminal and Bloomberg.com.</p><p><b>The Bench</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6816a29b386aa1f2f1de9886268fdebe\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Apple’s iOS 15 Health app.Source: Apple</span></p><p><b>Apple issues 59-page report to proclaim its leadership in health technology.</b>This is a rare one for Apple. The company this past week put out an in-depth report detailing every health and fitness related feature it’s launched to date for the iPhone and Apple Watch. The underlying message: We’re a strong contributor in the health space, and anyone who says otherwise is wrong. I’ve never seen Apple put out a report like this, and it raises the question of who the audience is supposed to be.</p><p>In any case, the Apple Watch has a lot of potential as a health tool. The holy grail will be for the company to introduce a watch with a body-temperature sensor, glucose monitor and blood-pressure checker. That will take time. The temperature feature should appear in this year’s models, but the blood-pressure technology probably won’t arrive until 2025. And the glucose feature may not be ready until nearer to the end of the decade.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fff296a85d06de65e85a97bbadc932bf\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>The Apple Watch.Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg</span></p><p><b>Get ready for a fresh Apple Watch design with new high-end model.</b>Even without all those health features, the upcoming Apple Watch release is shaping up to be one of the company’s more exciting product launches this year. As I’ve written several times, the new high-end “Pro” watch will pack in a larger display, longer battery life (perhaps multiple days on one charge via the new low-power mode), and the body-temperature sensor. There’s more, though.</p><p>I’m told that the high-end model is going to be a good bit bigger than the standard Apple Watch—big enough that it might only appeal to a subset of customers. The screen will be about 7% larger, and the device will have a fresh look—the first time the company has introduced a new Apple Watch design since 2018. It will be an evolution of the current rectangular shape, and not circular. It also won’t have those rumored flat sides (for those who will undoubtedly ask). In terms of materials, the watch will have a more durable formulation of titanium to make it extra rugged.</p><p><b>The Schedule</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de4c753ca018e5cc86705c38cb40794\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>An Apple Store in Miami.Photographer: Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg</span></p><p><b>July 28: Apple announces fiscal third-quarter earnings.</b>The company warned back in April that the quarter would be a bumpy ride—with supply constraints hurting revenue by as much as $8 billion. Now we’ll get a chance to see how it turned out. Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook and Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri typically handle the conference call, where they provide additional color on the quarter and what to expect from the current period. They’ll have a lot to talk about this time around, including inflation’s impact on Apple’s sales, the ongoing chip shortage and manufacturing delays.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d97f9f19089ce6eb2c64acaddb137a9\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"571\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Samsung Unpacked invitation.Source: Samsung</span></p><p><b>Aug. 10: Samsung set to announce its next slate of devices.</b>Samsung Electronics Co. is set for its biggest launch event of the year—scheduled about a month before Apple’s iPhone 14 debut. Like Apple’s recent events, the Samsung launch will be held virtually. What should you expect? Updated versions of both the flagship Galaxy Z Fold and Galaxy Z Flip, new pro Galaxy Buds and fresh versions of Samsung’s smartwatches. Stay tuned for more coverage during the event.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Begins to Show Rare Vulnerability Ahead of Economic Slowdown</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Begins to Show Rare Vulnerability Ahead of Economic Slowdown\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-25 07:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-07-24/apple-aapl-q3-earnings-preview-iphone-maker-to-slow-hiring-and-spending-l5zdhcxc?srnd=technology-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple is set to report earnings this week against the backdrop of an economic downturn and a plan to slow hiring. Also: The company pitches itself as a health tech leader, and we have more details on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-07-24/apple-aapl-q3-earnings-preview-iphone-maker-to-slow-hiring-and-spending-l5zdhcxc?srnd=technology-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-07-24/apple-aapl-q3-earnings-preview-iphone-maker-to-slow-hiring-and-spending-l5zdhcxc?srnd=technology-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196762475","content_text":"Apple is set to report earnings this week against the backdrop of an economic downturn and a plan to slow hiring. Also: The company pitches itself as a health tech leader, and we have more details on the upcoming high-end Apple Watch.Last week in Power On: Apple’s new iPad Stage Manager multitasking feature doesn’t replace the need for a Mac-like approach.The StartersThe Apple Park campus.Photographer: Sam Hall/BloombergThe economy is catching up with Apple Inc. For the first time in a while, the company seems to be vulnerable to outside factors like rising inflation, increasing interest rates, the surging US dollar and the threat of a recession.I reported this past week that Apple plans to slow spending and hiring across some teams next year in anticipation of an economic slump. Later this week, the company will report its fiscal third-quarter sales, which most analysts anticipate will be roughly flat with last year. Apple also continues to see some kinks in its supply chain, which may limit availability of some of its next devices.As part of the hiring slowdown, Apple won’t fill some roles when employees leave and will keep headcount flat for certain teams.The company isn’t going as far as some tech peers, such as Tesla Inc., Meta Platforms Inc. and Microsoft Corp., which have announced job cuts. Apple is avoiding layoffs and, thus far, isn’t issuing a public statement on its plans. But I would anticipate that Apple will hint at the move during Thursday’s earnings call with analysts.Apple Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri (center).Photographer: David Paul Morris/BloombergThe results themselves are expected to show a major deceleration in sales growth. Analysts predict that revenue will climb by about 2% from a year earlier, the slowest pace since 2020. Compare that with the 36% jump that Apple saw in the third quarter of 2021.Revenue is expected to come in around $82.7 billion. The iPhone will account for a little under half of that, analysts predict, with services generating nearly $20 billion.Apple’s challenges go beyond the latest economic concerns:First, the company already said you can shave $4 billion to $8 billion off the top of last quarter because of supply problems stemming from Chinese lockdowns and the chip shortage.Second, it’s a tough comparison. The third quarter of 2021 included a lot of pandemic-induced spending by people outfitting their home offices. That led to a nice jump in Mac and iPad sales.Third, though the latest MacBook Air was announced during the third quarter, it wasn’t released until the fourth quarter. Many customers held off buying a MacBook Air—Apple’s most popular Mac—while they waited for the new model to arrive.And, yes, there’s the economy. Given all the uncertainty, more people are probably holding on to their cash right now instead of spending on new Apple products. If they do splurge on technology, they may wait for the latest iPhone, AirPods Pro, Apple Watch and iPad to arrive this fall.If the economy does take a dive, it’s only going to get harder. These factors have already led Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and other banks to cut their stock price targets for Apple by about $10 a share.Apple retail store.Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/BloombergI still think Apple will be able to bounce back fairly quickly, though.For one, it has a flood of products on the way to tempt even recession-wary shoppers:Four iPhone 14 modelsA new Apple Watch SE, Apple Watch Series 8 and high-end “Pro” Apple WatchAn updated HomePodA new Apple TVUpdated iPad Pro models with an M2 chip and a new low-end iPad with a USB-C portThe revamped Mac Pro with an M2-based chipThe long-anticipated mixed-reality headsetA larger, 15-inch MacBook AirNew M2 and M2 Pro Mac minisUpgraded AirPods Pro earbudsNew 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pros with M2 Pro and M2 Max chipsWith such a strong product pipeline in place for the next 12 months or so, it’s hard to bethatconcerned with Apple’s prospects.You can catch full live coverage of the company’s results on Thursday starting at 1:30 p.m. Pacific time on the Bloomberg Terminal and Bloomberg.com.The BenchApple’s iOS 15 Health app.Source: AppleApple issues 59-page report to proclaim its leadership in health technology.This is a rare one for Apple. The company this past week put out an in-depth report detailing every health and fitness related feature it’s launched to date for the iPhone and Apple Watch. The underlying message: We’re a strong contributor in the health space, and anyone who says otherwise is wrong. I’ve never seen Apple put out a report like this, and it raises the question of who the audience is supposed to be.In any case, the Apple Watch has a lot of potential as a health tool. The holy grail will be for the company to introduce a watch with a body-temperature sensor, glucose monitor and blood-pressure checker. That will take time. The temperature feature should appear in this year’s models, but the blood-pressure technology probably won’t arrive until 2025. And the glucose feature may not be ready until nearer to the end of the decade.The Apple Watch.Photographer: Brent Lewin/BloombergGet ready for a fresh Apple Watch design with new high-end model.Even without all those health features, the upcoming Apple Watch release is shaping up to be one of the company’s more exciting product launches this year. As I’ve written several times, the new high-end “Pro” watch will pack in a larger display, longer battery life (perhaps multiple days on one charge via the new low-power mode), and the body-temperature sensor. There’s more, though.I’m told that the high-end model is going to be a good bit bigger than the standard Apple Watch—big enough that it might only appeal to a subset of customers. The screen will be about 7% larger, and the device will have a fresh look—the first time the company has introduced a new Apple Watch design since 2018. It will be an evolution of the current rectangular shape, and not circular. It also won’t have those rumored flat sides (for those who will undoubtedly ask). In terms of materials, the watch will have a more durable formulation of titanium to make it extra rugged.The ScheduleAn Apple Store in Miami.Photographer: Eva Marie Uzcategui/BloombergJuly 28: Apple announces fiscal third-quarter earnings.The company warned back in April that the quarter would be a bumpy ride—with supply constraints hurting revenue by as much as $8 billion. Now we’ll get a chance to see how it turned out. Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook and Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri typically handle the conference call, where they provide additional color on the quarter and what to expect from the current period. They’ll have a lot to talk about this time around, including inflation’s impact on Apple’s sales, the ongoing chip shortage and manufacturing delays.Samsung Unpacked invitation.Source: SamsungAug. 10: Samsung set to announce its next slate of devices.Samsung Electronics Co. is set for its biggest launch event of the year—scheduled about a month before Apple’s iPhone 14 debut. Like Apple’s recent events, the Samsung launch will be held virtually. What should you expect? Updated versions of both the flagship Galaxy Z Fold and Galaxy Z Flip, new pro Galaxy Buds and fresh versions of Samsung’s smartwatches. Stay tuned for more coverage during the event.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900050853,"gmtCreate":1658621214672,"gmtModify":1676536182139,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likee","listText":"Likee","text":"Likee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900050853","repostId":"1190015955","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190015955","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658620629,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190015955?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-24 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190015955","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"As noted, it was primarily due to its Bitcoin fire sale. Some experts had expressed concern that plunging crypto prices would end up hurting TSLA stock. But Elon Musk saw an opportunity as the bearish energy spurred by the recent crypto crash started to clear. Tesla offloaded 75% of its BTC holdings, adding an additional $936 million to its balance sheet. However, it held onto its Dogecoin  assets, leading some experts to wonder if Musk has more faith in the meme token. The CEO did not say, but ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> has reported second-quarter earnings that were better than expected.</li><li>The decision to sell its Bitcoin (<b><u>BTC-USD</u></b>) holdings may have saved it.</li><li>But growing competition threatens to hinder the future progress of TSLA stock.</li></ul><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally moving forward after its 2022 second-quarter earnings report. After weeks of speculation that the difficult quarter would lead to poor earnings, the company surprised Wall Street. Despite revenue falling off from the previous quarter, Tesla met analyst expectations and added more than $900 million to its balance sheet after selling 75% of its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings.</p><p>“The electric automaker’s revenue took a significant quarter-over-quarter hit in Q2, falling from $18.76 billion in Q1 2022, but rose year-over-year from $11.95 billion,” reports Yahoo Finance. TSLA stock rose following the earnings release, and it’s poised to end the week in the green.</p><p>This has been a week of generally good news for the electric vehicle (EV) leader. With the earnings report safely in its rearview mirror, Tesla can focus on scaling production in the upcoming quarter.</p><p>But even as it gears up for what promises to be a better earnings period than the last, Tesla’s rivals are hard at work building new EVs. It is still uncertain how long Tesla can maintain its market share for. However, new data has shown in the subsector of luxury EVs, it remains the undisputed leader.</p><p>Let’s take a look at the week’s top TSLA stock stories investors should be reading.</p><h3><b>Top Headlines for TSLA Stock Investors</b></h3><p>1. Tesla shares jump on second-quarter report that was better than analysts feared</p><p>Many experts eyed Tesla with caution as the company prepared to report Q2 earnings. With the quarter marked by multiple factory shutdowns and grim statements from Elon Musk, it’s not hard to see why. But since Tesla topped Wall Street estimates in both revenue and earnings-per-share (EPS), many experts have reiterated their price targets. Dan Ives and John Katsingris of Wedbush noted, “The quarter was better than feared with healthy guidance for 2H by Musk &amp; Co. that look achievable with no margin for error.” TSLA stock has been rising steadily since yesterday, taking it to 12% gains for the week.</p><p>2. Tesla cashes out $936 million in Bitcoin, after a year of crypto turbulence</p><p>How did Tesla report positive earnings after such a turbulent quarter? As noted, it was primarily due to its Bitcoin fire sale. Some experts had expressed concern that plunging crypto prices would end up hurting TSLA stock. But Elon Musk saw an opportunity as the bearish energy spurred by the recent crypto crash started to clear. Tesla offloaded 75% of its BTC holdings, adding an additional $936 million to its balance sheet. However, it held onto its Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) assets, leading some experts to wonder if Musk has more faith in the meme token. The CEO did not say, but he did stress the sale should not be seen as a condemnation of Bitcoin.</p><p>3. GM Will Finally Have Rival to Tesla’s Model Y With Blazer EV</p><p>General Motors (NYSE:GM) has been working hard to cut into Tesla’s market share by producing a lower-cost EV. The legacy automaker has announced it plans to start selling its Chevrolet Blazer EV next year. This electric SUV is intended to directly rival Tesla’s Model Y, its current bestseller in the category in the U.S. The summer 2023 release will be followed by the launch of the Chevy Silverado EV and Equinox. One analyst predicts the range of mass market EVs will give GM a profit advantage over competitors like Ford (NYSE:F), implying it could also mean less sales for Tesla.</p><p>4. Tesla aims to start 4680 battery cell production at Gigafactory Texas this quarter</p><p>It isn’t just EV production that Tesla is focused on ramping up as Q3 takes shape. The company plans to start producing the 4680 battery cell before 2023 at Gigafactory Austin. There have been few updates provided in recent months regarding the battery pack and its innovative design. As Electrek reports, “This has been a concern for Tesla investors since the new battery technology is seen as critical to Tesla’s future vehicle programs.” However, the company’s senior vice president of powertrain and energy engineering has confirmed Tesla plans to begin production within the coming months.</p><p>5. New registration data shows how Tesla is doing among luxury cars and EVs; here’s what’s catching up</p><p>Tesla may be facing increasing competition from GM, but its hold over U.S. markets isn’t shrinking. Recent data from Experian indicates 179,574 new Teslas were registered in the U.S. in January through May, 66% more than that quarter from the previous year. As MarketWatch reports, “Those aren’t numbers for electric cars. They’re numbers for cars. Tesla became America’s best-selling luxury automaker in the fourth quarter of 2021. Its lead over the field appears to be growing.” Indeed, it does — Tesla’s Model Y SUV and Model 3 were the top most-registered EVs in the U.S. during that period, finishing comfortably above the Ford Mustang Mach-E.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-24 07:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/07/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-6/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla has reported second-quarter earnings that were better than expected.The decision to sell its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings may have saved it.But growing competition threatens to hinder the future ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-6/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-6/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190015955","content_text":"Tesla has reported second-quarter earnings that were better than expected.The decision to sell its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings may have saved it.But growing competition threatens to hinder the future progress of TSLA stock.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally moving forward after its 2022 second-quarter earnings report. After weeks of speculation that the difficult quarter would lead to poor earnings, the company surprised Wall Street. Despite revenue falling off from the previous quarter, Tesla met analyst expectations and added more than $900 million to its balance sheet after selling 75% of its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings.“The electric automaker’s revenue took a significant quarter-over-quarter hit in Q2, falling from $18.76 billion in Q1 2022, but rose year-over-year from $11.95 billion,” reports Yahoo Finance. TSLA stock rose following the earnings release, and it’s poised to end the week in the green.This has been a week of generally good news for the electric vehicle (EV) leader. With the earnings report safely in its rearview mirror, Tesla can focus on scaling production in the upcoming quarter.But even as it gears up for what promises to be a better earnings period than the last, Tesla’s rivals are hard at work building new EVs. It is still uncertain how long Tesla can maintain its market share for. However, new data has shown in the subsector of luxury EVs, it remains the undisputed leader.Let’s take a look at the week’s top TSLA stock stories investors should be reading.Top Headlines for TSLA Stock Investors1. Tesla shares jump on second-quarter report that was better than analysts fearedMany experts eyed Tesla with caution as the company prepared to report Q2 earnings. With the quarter marked by multiple factory shutdowns and grim statements from Elon Musk, it’s not hard to see why. But since Tesla topped Wall Street estimates in both revenue and earnings-per-share (EPS), many experts have reiterated their price targets. Dan Ives and John Katsingris of Wedbush noted, “The quarter was better than feared with healthy guidance for 2H by Musk & Co. that look achievable with no margin for error.” TSLA stock has been rising steadily since yesterday, taking it to 12% gains for the week.2. Tesla cashes out $936 million in Bitcoin, after a year of crypto turbulenceHow did Tesla report positive earnings after such a turbulent quarter? As noted, it was primarily due to its Bitcoin fire sale. Some experts had expressed concern that plunging crypto prices would end up hurting TSLA stock. But Elon Musk saw an opportunity as the bearish energy spurred by the recent crypto crash started to clear. Tesla offloaded 75% of its BTC holdings, adding an additional $936 million to its balance sheet. However, it held onto its Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) assets, leading some experts to wonder if Musk has more faith in the meme token. The CEO did not say, but he did stress the sale should not be seen as a condemnation of Bitcoin.3. GM Will Finally Have Rival to Tesla’s Model Y With Blazer EVGeneral Motors (NYSE:GM) has been working hard to cut into Tesla’s market share by producing a lower-cost EV. The legacy automaker has announced it plans to start selling its Chevrolet Blazer EV next year. This electric SUV is intended to directly rival Tesla’s Model Y, its current bestseller in the category in the U.S. The summer 2023 release will be followed by the launch of the Chevy Silverado EV and Equinox. One analyst predicts the range of mass market EVs will give GM a profit advantage over competitors like Ford (NYSE:F), implying it could also mean less sales for Tesla.4. Tesla aims to start 4680 battery cell production at Gigafactory Texas this quarterIt isn’t just EV production that Tesla is focused on ramping up as Q3 takes shape. The company plans to start producing the 4680 battery cell before 2023 at Gigafactory Austin. There have been few updates provided in recent months regarding the battery pack and its innovative design. As Electrek reports, “This has been a concern for Tesla investors since the new battery technology is seen as critical to Tesla’s future vehicle programs.” However, the company’s senior vice president of powertrain and energy engineering has confirmed Tesla plans to begin production within the coming months.5. New registration data shows how Tesla is doing among luxury cars and EVs; here’s what’s catching upTesla may be facing increasing competition from GM, but its hold over U.S. markets isn’t shrinking. Recent data from Experian indicates 179,574 new Teslas were registered in the U.S. in January through May, 66% more than that quarter from the previous year. As MarketWatch reports, “Those aren’t numbers for electric cars. They’re numbers for cars. Tesla became America’s best-selling luxury automaker in the fourth quarter of 2021. Its lead over the field appears to be growing.” Indeed, it does — Tesla’s Model Y SUV and Model 3 were the top most-registered EVs in the U.S. during that period, finishing comfortably above the Ford Mustang Mach-E.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075415294,"gmtCreate":1658240665618,"gmtModify":1676536126967,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awaiting the dragon 🐉","listText":"Awaiting the dragon 🐉","text":"Awaiting the dragon 🐉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075415294","repostId":"1128013391","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128013391","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658240028,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128013391?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128013391","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.</li><li>After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.</li><li>However, Alibaba&#39;s e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.</li><li>Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.</li><li>Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China&#39;s e-Commerce market.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b887b51b51f300ef64a42a227dcdff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Andrew Burton</span></p><p>It is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.</p><p>I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.</p><p><b>New round of fines for large Chinese tech companies</b></p><p>Last week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.</p><p>After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf26bb44feeb3e1ae51093c8b212e44\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.</p><p>Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9859ed387dc93ce5ea3521788e84f556\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>Why Alibaba&#39;s Commerce performance may be set to improve</b></p><p>China’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.</p><p>I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.</p><p>While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China&#39;s retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de51cc71edd3017cc209bc885f2f57d7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>eMarketer</span></p><p>E-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba&#39;s growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba&#39;s domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b75138e34865e1c34f0238048d5fb3\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p>But even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc81d5802b7f195078bf311072f6f7d0\" tg-width=\"937\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s valuation got another discount last week</b></p><p>It is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.</p><p>Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838ad34a6ddef0058d83ea7f46ee35ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risks with Alibaba</b></p><p>The real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China&#39;s anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.</p><p>Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba&#39;s recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>The Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.</p><p>But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1128013391","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.However, Alibaba's e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China's e-Commerce market.Andrew BurtonIt is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.New round of fines for large Chinese tech companiesLast week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.Seeking AlphaWhy Alibaba's Commerce performance may be set to improveChina’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China's retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.eMarketerE-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba's growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba's domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.AlibabaBut even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.AlibabaAlibaba's valuation got another discount last weekIt is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.Risks with AlibabaThe real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China's anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba's recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.Final thoughtsThe Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075299637,"gmtCreate":1658198781129,"gmtModify":1676536121288,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go Alibaba&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;","listText":"Let's go Alibaba&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;","text":"Let's go Alibaba [Anger]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075299637","repostId":"1189531059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189531059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658192461,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189531059?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Alibaba Stock Worth Buying?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189531059","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsAlibaba is finally able to breathe easier with Chinese regulators taking a step back","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsAlibaba is finally able to breathe easier with Chinese regulators taking a step back to revive growth in the tech sector. The company now has to deal with a different set of challenges...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-alibaba-stock-worth-buying/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Alibaba Stock Worth Buying?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Alibaba Stock Worth Buying?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-alibaba-stock-worth-buying/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsAlibaba is finally able to breathe easier with Chinese regulators taking a step back to revive growth in the tech sector. The company now has to deal with a different set of challenges...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-alibaba-stock-worth-buying/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/is-alibaba-stock-worth-buying/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189531059","content_text":"Story HighlightsAlibaba is finally able to breathe easier with Chinese regulators taking a step back to revive growth in the tech sector. The company now has to deal with a different set of challenges brought on by macroeconomic developments.Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA), the Chinese e-commerce juggernaut, has taken a massive hit over the past two years due to pandemic-related disruptions and the Chinese government’s crackdown on the tech industry. Alibaba’s stock dropped 51% over the last 12 months, compared to a 13% decline in the S&P 500 (SPX). Alibaba stock may be headed for a significant recovery in the long run given that Chinese regulators are now taking a more measured approach. However, the company continues to avoid making any predictions for the upcoming quarters due to the uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic conditions.Geopolitical tensions and the threat of U.S. regulators tightening their grip on Chinese stocks do not paint a promising picture for Alibaba.Although I am bullish about the long-term prospects of the company and the stock looks attractive at these depressed prices, things are likely to get worse before they get better.Regulatory Challenges Are Easing for BABAInvestors abandoned Alibaba for two primary reasons. First, Alibaba was charged with a record-breaking antitrust penalty by Chinese officials. The Chinese government has been cracking down on large technology companies for alleged monopolistic data security tactics and monopolistic business practices. Alibaba’s profitability was significantly impacted after it was fined $2.75 billion by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation in April 2021.Additionally, authorities imposed new restrictions on its e-commerce business and called off the Ant Group’s much-anticipated IPO. Chinese regulators have tightened their control over businesses trying to enter foreign financial markets ever since the $35 billion IPO of the Ant Group, the fintech division of Alibaba, was suspended by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) in November 2020.The Ant Group was scheduled to start trading in Hong Kong. However, this was suspended after Shanghai officials said that the listing would be halted as Alibaba was unable to meet the requirements due to changes in the regulatory environment.Many investors continue to avoid Chinese equities in general as a result of the possibility of mass delisting in the United States. Alibaba faces the possibility of delisting from U.S. exchanges even though the SEC has not yet identified it as a violator of the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA). That said, some institutional investors are already moving to Hong Kong to invest in Alibaba while dumping its American depositary receipts (ADRs). For example, BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) sold its Alibaba ADRs in the U.S. and purchased the stock in Hong Kong.Alibaba stock has gained some ground since March after Beijing and the U.S. announced that officials are in talks to allow American regulators to undertake on-site audits of Chinese companies listed in the United States. Chinese policymakers have also paused their regulatory pressure on the tech industry in an effort to stabilize the economy, which has dramatically improved the sentiment toward Alibaba. The focus of investors, therefore, is likely to shift to corporate earnings once again.BABA’s Recent Earnings Highlight New ChallengesAlibaba surpassed analyst estimates and posted revenue of RMB 204,052 billion ($32.18 billion) for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022. The China Commerce segment brought in RMB 140,330 million ($22.17 billion) in revenue, an increase of 8% from the previous year. Similarly, the Local Consumer Services segment reported RMB 10,445 million ($1.64 billion) in revenue, an increase of 29%. The all-important Cloud segment brought in RMB 18,971 million ($2.99 billion) in revenue, an increase of 12% from the previous year.For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2022, Alibaba Group’s global active consumers totaled approximately 1.31 billion. This includes over one billion Chinese consumers and 305 million international consumers, representing a quarterly net increase of approximately 24.6 million and 3.7 million customers, respectively, and an annual net increase of 113 million and 64 million customers, respectively.The company’s global gross merchandise value (GMV) for the fiscal year reached a record RMB 8,317 billion ($1,312 billion). However, the GMV growth in January and February was flat, and the overall GMV for the quarter had a low single-digit decline. This was due to logistics and supply chain pressures, coupled with a softening of demand due to challenging macroeconomic conditions such as inflation.Alibaba’s gross and operating margins declined significantly in the recent quarter due to severe margin pressures brought on by inflation. It has already hurt the company’s free cash flow, and a continuation of this trend will not be welcome news for investors.Alibaba reported a negative free cash flow exceeding $1 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022, which is not encouraging given that the company has always been able to generate positive free cash flow even under challenging circumstances. Macroeconomic challenges are already taking a toll on Alibaba’s earnings, and its stock price might come under pressure yet again due to the deterioration of investor sentiment toward China and Alibaba’s growth prospects.Wall Street Is Bullish about BABABased on the ratings of 23 Wall Street analysts, the average Alibaba price target is $153.68, which implies upside of 48% from the current market price.TakeawayAlibaba can finally breathe easy as regulators are taking a step back. Unfortunately, the company is now faced with macroeconomic challenges that threaten to eat into its profitability. Even on the back of a lackluster stock market performance in the last 12 months, Alibaba stock is still valued at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 29, suggesting investors are willing to pay a premium for expected growth. This premium, however, could quickly disappear if Alibaba fails to maintain the growth momentum in the coming quarters, which makes investing in Alibaba only suitable for investors with a long-term perspective.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075354917,"gmtCreate":1658153198639,"gmtModify":1676536113234,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075354917","repostId":"1176257132","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176257132","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658116148,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176257132?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-18 11:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176257132","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.This artic","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>BABA has lost two-thirds (&gt;$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.</li><li>This article will break down the lost $500 bn into qualitative components:(i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth, and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors.</li><li>Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity.</li><li>Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove temporary and could change with time.</li></ul><p>NYSE:BABA has lost two-thirds (&gt;$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020. This article will review the tangible economic effects of the SAMR’s anticompetition policies on BABA’s business performance, including: (i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity. Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove to be temporary and could change with time.</p><p><b>Lower profitability</b></p><p>A direct consequence of SAMR’s rules was to tilt the market landscape in favour of number two and smaller players relative to the incumbent. Indeed, management have repeatedly mentioned “increased competition” impacting the company’s core e-commerce segment on earnings calls since the regulatory shakeout.</p><p>To cope, (as well as to proactively portray the image of a good socially-responsible corporate citizen in front of government authorities), BABA is forced to:</p><ol><li>Provide more subsidies to merchants and partners (effectively discounted pricing)</li><li>Step up investment, either in the form of direct sales and marketing dollars or “strategic initiatives” investment</li></ol><p>This has resulted in EBITA margins dropping from 27% (average of 8 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2020 (3QFY21)) to 16% (average of 4 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2021 (3QFY22)).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec9f30c463d38d513f90511dd9539909\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Company filings</p><p>Looking back to early 2018, EBITA margins similarly dropped drastically from 40% to 30% when the company first launched its “new retail” initiative and remained at that lower level since. Similarly, BABA’s current investments in strategic initiatives reflect structural changes to the company’s business mix, and the most recent gap-down in margins may be here to stay.</p><p><b>Slower Growth</b></p><p>I include slowing growth as one of the economic effects resulting from SAMR’s anticompetition policies, but anticompetitive regulations drag on BABA’s growth only to the extent that they pressure BABA to reduce merchant fees (mentioned in point 1 under &#34;Lower Profitability&#34; above), which result in customer management revenue growing slower than GMV growth.</p><p>Given BABA’s 950 million annual active consumers covers two-thirds of the country’s 1.4 billion population, it is inevitable that the company’s growth trajectory will be affected by the macroeconomic picture, and this is regardless of what SAMR does and says. I review the latest macro indicators and then express my thoughts on how I view these levels of growth rates.</p><p>Beijing is targeting 5.5% annual GDP growth for 2022, but with first half growth at 2.5%, most analysts / economists do not expect that to be achieved. The marked deceleration was in 2Q when numerous cities implemented anti-virus curbs starting in March, in line with the country’s zero tolerance towards COVID. 2Q 2022 GDP growth was 0.4% YoY, barely escaping a contraction, and is below the 1.2% forecast by economists, and down from the 4.8% recorded in 1Q 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49500b570f0b72087f0d81447c59ab9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Financial Times</p><p>As far as BABA is concerned, a more relevant metric is perhaps retail sales growth. BABA’s growth in retail GMV and GTV (combined) have slowed from 20% to 30% before 2019 to an average of 14% in 2021 (average of 4 quarters from Mar 2021 (4QFY21) to Dec 2021 (3QFY22)). A rough graph plotting that against the index of YoY change in China Retail Sales Value suggests a certain degree of correlation between the two. Retail sales over 4Q 2021 was USD 1.9 trillion, a paltry 7% increase over 4Q 2020 (even with the Singles Day shopping festival in November). BABA is due to report 1Q 2023 results around August (so there is no company GMV / GTV datapoints yet for 2022) but I note that China retail sales growth was negative for 3 out of the first 6 months of 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0830e999c0b3c721cb9eace36437be38\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg, BABA company filings</p><p>Even though there is a lot of talk about China growth being “slowest in three decades” etc., I propose to frame the picture in another way. China population (1.4 billion) is slightly more than 4 times that of US (320 million). Intuitively, that implies that when the average Chinese is one-quarter as rich as the average American*, their consumption economy will be same size as that of US. In other words, there is a long runway for growth, provided that China is able to shift from “easy” growth (large-scale infrastructure projects) to quality growth (improved labour productivity, technological advancements, etc.). If so, then even after the Chinese consumption economy catches up with that of the US in terms of absolute size, there is still the differential between income per capita to bridge.</p><p><i>*The average Chinese is less than one-quarter as well off as the average American. As of 2021, China constant GDP per capita was$11,200vs US constant GDP per capita of$61,280according to data from the St Louis Fed.</i></p><p><b>Higher risk premiums / required rates of return</b></p><p>Most people are likely to agree that the stock is currently trading at an undervaluation, regardless of whether you are a BABA fan or not. Lower profitability and slower growth are two explaining factors, but they seem insufficient to fully account for such a large gap - $500 billion is <b>a lot</b>. The last component is higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. This is what people call the “unknowns”, “uncertainties”, or CCP wildcard risk, hanging over the stock, which should be thought of scientifically as risk premiums (multiple compression in some ways is the flip side of the same coin) instead of some elusive construct. Investors are spooked and they need higher required returns to compensate.</p><p><b>Closing Remarks</b></p><p>Companies can survive, and even thrive, following intense regulatory cycles. Take the Dodd-Frank Act as example, the introduction of close to 28,000 new rules and restrictions curtailed banks’ revenue pools, doubled their capital requirements and compliance costs. On the upside, in the years following the passage of Dodd-Frank, banks restructured, changed their business mix, became more efficient, learned to optimize capital, and developed new competitive edges in areas of technology and marketing. This regulatory adaptation separated the winners from the losers. Starting in 2013, a few large bank stocks went on to significantly beat the broader market over the rest of the decade. In BABA’s case, the market has reacted to the 2020-2021 developments as if they are killer blows to the company, when instead they are more catalysts for change.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-18 11:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523786-baba-a-qualitative-breakdown-of-500-billion-in-disappeared-market-cap><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.This article will break down the lost $500 bn into qualitative components:(i) lower profitability, (ii) slower...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523786-baba-a-qualitative-breakdown-of-500-billion-in-disappeared-market-cap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523786-baba-a-qualitative-breakdown-of-500-billion-in-disappeared-market-cap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176257132","content_text":"SummaryBABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.This article will break down the lost $500 bn into qualitative components:(i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth, and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors.Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity.Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove temporary and could change with time.NYSE:BABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020. This article will review the tangible economic effects of the SAMR’s anticompetition policies on BABA’s business performance, including: (i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity. Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove to be temporary and could change with time.Lower profitabilityA direct consequence of SAMR’s rules was to tilt the market landscape in favour of number two and smaller players relative to the incumbent. Indeed, management have repeatedly mentioned “increased competition” impacting the company’s core e-commerce segment on earnings calls since the regulatory shakeout.To cope, (as well as to proactively portray the image of a good socially-responsible corporate citizen in front of government authorities), BABA is forced to:Provide more subsidies to merchants and partners (effectively discounted pricing)Step up investment, either in the form of direct sales and marketing dollars or “strategic initiatives” investmentThis has resulted in EBITA margins dropping from 27% (average of 8 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2020 (3QFY21)) to 16% (average of 4 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2021 (3QFY22)).Company filingsLooking back to early 2018, EBITA margins similarly dropped drastically from 40% to 30% when the company first launched its “new retail” initiative and remained at that lower level since. Similarly, BABA’s current investments in strategic initiatives reflect structural changes to the company’s business mix, and the most recent gap-down in margins may be here to stay.Slower GrowthI include slowing growth as one of the economic effects resulting from SAMR’s anticompetition policies, but anticompetitive regulations drag on BABA’s growth only to the extent that they pressure BABA to reduce merchant fees (mentioned in point 1 under \"Lower Profitability\" above), which result in customer management revenue growing slower than GMV growth.Given BABA’s 950 million annual active consumers covers two-thirds of the country’s 1.4 billion population, it is inevitable that the company’s growth trajectory will be affected by the macroeconomic picture, and this is regardless of what SAMR does and says. I review the latest macro indicators and then express my thoughts on how I view these levels of growth rates.Beijing is targeting 5.5% annual GDP growth for 2022, but with first half growth at 2.5%, most analysts / economists do not expect that to be achieved. The marked deceleration was in 2Q when numerous cities implemented anti-virus curbs starting in March, in line with the country’s zero tolerance towards COVID. 2Q 2022 GDP growth was 0.4% YoY, barely escaping a contraction, and is below the 1.2% forecast by economists, and down from the 4.8% recorded in 1Q 2022.Financial TimesAs far as BABA is concerned, a more relevant metric is perhaps retail sales growth. BABA’s growth in retail GMV and GTV (combined) have slowed from 20% to 30% before 2019 to an average of 14% in 2021 (average of 4 quarters from Mar 2021 (4QFY21) to Dec 2021 (3QFY22)). A rough graph plotting that against the index of YoY change in China Retail Sales Value suggests a certain degree of correlation between the two. Retail sales over 4Q 2021 was USD 1.9 trillion, a paltry 7% increase over 4Q 2020 (even with the Singles Day shopping festival in November). BABA is due to report 1Q 2023 results around August (so there is no company GMV / GTV datapoints yet for 2022) but I note that China retail sales growth was negative for 3 out of the first 6 months of 2022.Bloomberg, BABA company filingsEven though there is a lot of talk about China growth being “slowest in three decades” etc., I propose to frame the picture in another way. China population (1.4 billion) is slightly more than 4 times that of US (320 million). Intuitively, that implies that when the average Chinese is one-quarter as rich as the average American*, their consumption economy will be same size as that of US. In other words, there is a long runway for growth, provided that China is able to shift from “easy” growth (large-scale infrastructure projects) to quality growth (improved labour productivity, technological advancements, etc.). If so, then even after the Chinese consumption economy catches up with that of the US in terms of absolute size, there is still the differential between income per capita to bridge.*The average Chinese is less than one-quarter as well off as the average American. As of 2021, China constant GDP per capita was$11,200vs US constant GDP per capita of$61,280according to data from the St Louis Fed.Higher risk premiums / required rates of returnMost people are likely to agree that the stock is currently trading at an undervaluation, regardless of whether you are a BABA fan or not. Lower profitability and slower growth are two explaining factors, but they seem insufficient to fully account for such a large gap - $500 billion is a lot. The last component is higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. This is what people call the “unknowns”, “uncertainties”, or CCP wildcard risk, hanging over the stock, which should be thought of scientifically as risk premiums (multiple compression in some ways is the flip side of the same coin) instead of some elusive construct. Investors are spooked and they need higher required returns to compensate.Closing RemarksCompanies can survive, and even thrive, following intense regulatory cycles. Take the Dodd-Frank Act as example, the introduction of close to 28,000 new rules and restrictions curtailed banks’ revenue pools, doubled their capital requirements and compliance costs. On the upside, in the years following the passage of Dodd-Frank, banks restructured, changed their business mix, became more efficient, learned to optimize capital, and developed new competitive edges in areas of technology and marketing. This regulatory adaptation separated the winners from the losers. Starting in 2013, a few large bank stocks went on to significantly beat the broader market over the rest of the decade. In BABA’s case, the market has reacted to the 2020-2021 developments as if they are killer blows to the company, when instead they are more catalysts for change.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071277854,"gmtCreate":1657548467078,"gmtModify":1676536023436,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"T_T","listText":"T_T","text":"T_T","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071277854","repostId":"1171662108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171662108","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657546383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171662108?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171662108","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings reports slated for later in the week.</p><p>Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped by 173 points, or 0.55%. S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.64%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.69%.</p><p>Twitter shares fell 5% in the premarket after Elon Muskterminated a deal worth $44 billion to buy the social media company. The billionaire took issue with the number of bots and fake accounts on the platform and said Twitter wasn’t being truthful about how authentic activity on the platform was. However, the company said it gave Musk the information he needed to assess the claims.</p><p>Monday’s moves lower come on the back of worsening Covid trends in China, with Shanghai detecting its first case of the BA.5 subvariant and Macau closing its casinos for a week.</p><p>“COVID headwinds aren’t just a Chinese phenomenon – cases are climbing globally, although the risk of lockdowns in the US and EU remains extremely low,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.</p><p>Wall Street is coming off a mixed session in which the Dow and S&amp;P 500 fell slightly, while the Nasdaq Compositerose for a fifth straight day. All of the major averages secured a winning week after astronger-than-expected jobs reportFriday showed that the economic downturn worrying investors has not yet arrived and added to positive sentiment.</p><p>Still, the 2-year Treasury yield hovered above its 10-year counterpart, an inversion many see as a recession indicator. The 2-year rate on Monday traded at 3.08%, roughly 2 basis points above the 10-year.</p><p>“While the markets ended in solid green for the week, investors should brace for continued volatility in July, with ongoing uncertainties looming with respect to inflation, Fed policy, recession concerns, the enduring Russia-Ukraine war, all as we also move into corporate earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.</p><p>The jobs report, while good for the economy, could embolden the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hikes in the coming months to fight persistently high inflation. It will betested this weekwith a slew of earnings from major banks and consumer inflation data this week on deck.</p><p>“With recessionary fears weighing on the markets, investors are hyper-focused on corporate earnings for greater clues about the health of corporate America and the broader U.S. economy,” Bassuk said.</p><p>“A sharper lens will be needed to dissect these earnings reports, as a strong second quarter might be accompanied by very conservative outlooks,” he added. “As commodity and other producer costs remain high, companies will be factoring in the extent to which those heightened prices can be passed on to consumers and, likewise, how to keep earnings vigorous amid economic, geopolitical and other key headwinds.</p><p>PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines are scheduled to report earnings Tuesday and Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are set to report at the end of the week.</p><p>Investors are also looking ahead to the release of June’s consumer price index on Wednesday, which is expected to show headline inflation, including food and energy,rising above May’s 8.6% level.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-11 21:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings reports slated for later in the week.</p><p>Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped by 173 points, or 0.55%. S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.64%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.69%.</p><p>Twitter shares fell 5% in the premarket after Elon Muskterminated a deal worth $44 billion to buy the social media company. The billionaire took issue with the number of bots and fake accounts on the platform and said Twitter wasn’t being truthful about how authentic activity on the platform was. However, the company said it gave Musk the information he needed to assess the claims.</p><p>Monday’s moves lower come on the back of worsening Covid trends in China, with Shanghai detecting its first case of the BA.5 subvariant and Macau closing its casinos for a week.</p><p>“COVID headwinds aren’t just a Chinese phenomenon – cases are climbing globally, although the risk of lockdowns in the US and EU remains extremely low,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.</p><p>Wall Street is coming off a mixed session in which the Dow and S&amp;P 500 fell slightly, while the Nasdaq Compositerose for a fifth straight day. All of the major averages secured a winning week after astronger-than-expected jobs reportFriday showed that the economic downturn worrying investors has not yet arrived and added to positive sentiment.</p><p>Still, the 2-year Treasury yield hovered above its 10-year counterpart, an inversion many see as a recession indicator. The 2-year rate on Monday traded at 3.08%, roughly 2 basis points above the 10-year.</p><p>“While the markets ended in solid green for the week, investors should brace for continued volatility in July, with ongoing uncertainties looming with respect to inflation, Fed policy, recession concerns, the enduring Russia-Ukraine war, all as we also move into corporate earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.</p><p>The jobs report, while good for the economy, could embolden the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hikes in the coming months to fight persistently high inflation. It will betested this weekwith a slew of earnings from major banks and consumer inflation data this week on deck.</p><p>“With recessionary fears weighing on the markets, investors are hyper-focused on corporate earnings for greater clues about the health of corporate America and the broader U.S. economy,” Bassuk said.</p><p>“A sharper lens will be needed to dissect these earnings reports, as a strong second quarter might be accompanied by very conservative outlooks,” he added. “As commodity and other producer costs remain high, companies will be factoring in the extent to which those heightened prices can be passed on to consumers and, likewise, how to keep earnings vigorous amid economic, geopolitical and other key headwinds.</p><p>PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines are scheduled to report earnings Tuesday and Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are set to report at the end of the week.</p><p>Investors are also looking ahead to the release of June’s consumer price index on Wednesday, which is expected to show headline inflation, including food and energy,rising above May’s 8.6% level.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171662108","content_text":"U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings reports slated for later in the week.Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped by 173 points, or 0.55%. S&P 500 futures fell 0.64%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.69%.Twitter shares fell 5% in the premarket after Elon Muskterminated a deal worth $44 billion to buy the social media company. The billionaire took issue with the number of bots and fake accounts on the platform and said Twitter wasn’t being truthful about how authentic activity on the platform was. However, the company said it gave Musk the information he needed to assess the claims.Monday’s moves lower come on the back of worsening Covid trends in China, with Shanghai detecting its first case of the BA.5 subvariant and Macau closing its casinos for a week.“COVID headwinds aren’t just a Chinese phenomenon – cases are climbing globally, although the risk of lockdowns in the US and EU remains extremely low,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.Wall Street is coming off a mixed session in which the Dow and S&P 500 fell slightly, while the Nasdaq Compositerose for a fifth straight day. All of the major averages secured a winning week after astronger-than-expected jobs reportFriday showed that the economic downturn worrying investors has not yet arrived and added to positive sentiment.Still, the 2-year Treasury yield hovered above its 10-year counterpart, an inversion many see as a recession indicator. The 2-year rate on Monday traded at 3.08%, roughly 2 basis points above the 10-year.“While the markets ended in solid green for the week, investors should brace for continued volatility in July, with ongoing uncertainties looming with respect to inflation, Fed policy, recession concerns, the enduring Russia-Ukraine war, all as we also move into corporate earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.The jobs report, while good for the economy, could embolden the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hikes in the coming months to fight persistently high inflation. It will betested this weekwith a slew of earnings from major banks and consumer inflation data this week on deck.“With recessionary fears weighing on the markets, investors are hyper-focused on corporate earnings for greater clues about the health of corporate America and the broader U.S. economy,” Bassuk said.“A sharper lens will be needed to dissect these earnings reports, as a strong second quarter might be accompanied by very conservative outlooks,” he added. “As commodity and other producer costs remain high, companies will be factoring in the extent to which those heightened prices can be passed on to consumers and, likewise, how to keep earnings vigorous amid economic, geopolitical and other key headwinds.PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines are scheduled to report earnings Tuesday and Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are set to report at the end of the week.Investors are also looking ahead to the release of June’s consumer price index on Wednesday, which is expected to show headline inflation, including food and energy,rising above May’s 8.6% level.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071357583,"gmtCreate":1657495779842,"gmtModify":1676536012643,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071357583","repostId":"2250672431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250672431","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657494031,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250672431?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250672431","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week wil","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.</p><p>The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.</p><p>Friday&#39;s June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.</p><p>&#34;The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,&#34; said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.</p><p>Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning&#39;s inflation data for more clarity on this issue.</p><p>Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.</p><p>This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.</p><p>Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.</p><p>Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is &#34;beside the point.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the &#39;recession&#39; question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,&#34; Harris wrote.</p><p>And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.</p><p>The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.</p><p>JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reuters</p><p>Investors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.</p><p>Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.</p><p>Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.</p><p>The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)</p><p>Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, &#34;technically, markets look to be at resistance.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,&#34; Newton wrote. &#34;While I remain a buyer on weakness, it&#39;s hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.&#34;</p><h3>Economic Calendar</h3><p><b>Monday: </b></p><p><b>Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June </b>(93.2 previously)</p><p><b>Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY </b>(+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, YoY </b>(+5.8% expected, +6% previously); <b>CPI, June, MoM </b>(+1.1% expected, +1% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, MoM </b>(+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); <b>Federal Reserve Beige Book</b></p><p><b>Thursday: Initial jobless claims </b>(235,000 previously)</p><p><b>Friday: Retail sales, June </b>(+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously);<b> Retail sales, control group, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Empire State manufacturing index, July </b>(-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously);<b> Producer price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); <b>Import price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously);<b> Industrial production, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Capacity utilization, June </b>(80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); <b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July </b>(49 expected, 50 previously)</p><h3>Earnings Calendar</h3><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/232bb95cad2c6ce3dda94e126cbae636\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1194\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h3><h3>Monday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.</p><p>After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.</p><h3>Tuesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>PepsiCo</b> (PEP)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report. </i></p><h3>Wednesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Fastenal</b> (FAST); <b>Delta Air Lines</b> (DAL)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p><h3>Thursday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>JPMorgan Chase</b> (JPM); <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a></b> (MS); <b>Conagra</b> (CAG), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a></b> (FRC); <b>Cintas</b> (CTAS)</p><p>After Market Close: <b>American Outdoor Brands</b> (AOUT)</p><h3>Friday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Wells Fargo</b> (WFC); <b>BlackRock</b> (BLK); <b>Citigroup</b> (C); <b>BNY Mellon</b> (BK); <b>UnitedHealth</b> (UNH); <b>Progressive</b> (PGR); <b>US Bancorp</b> (USB); <b>State Street</b> (STT); <b>PNC Financial</b> (PNC)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","JPM":"摩根大通","PEP":"百事可乐","DAL":"达美航空"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250672431","content_text":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.Friday's June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.\"The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,\" said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning's inflation data for more clarity on this issue.Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is \"beside the point.\"\"While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the 'recession' question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,\" Harris wrote.And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reutersInvestors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, \"technically, markets look to be at resistance.\"\"While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,\" Newton wrote. \"While I remain a buyer on weakness, it's hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.\"Economic CalendarMonday: Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June (93.2 previously)Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY (+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously); Core CPI, June, YoY (+5.8% expected, +6% previously); CPI, June, MoM (+1.1% expected, +1% previously); Core CPI, June, MoM (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); Federal Reserve Beige BookThursday: Initial jobless claims (235,000 previously)Friday: Retail sales, June (+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously); Retail sales, control group, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Empire State manufacturing index, July (-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously); Producer price index, June, MoM (+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); Import price index, June, MoM (+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously); Industrial production, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Capacity utilization, June (80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July (49 expected, 50 previously)Earnings CalendarMonday:Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Tuesday:Before Market Open: PepsiCo (PEP)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report. Wednesday:Before Market Open: Fastenal (FAST); Delta Air Lines (DAL)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Thursday:Before Market Open: JPMorgan Chase (JPM); Morgan Stanley (MS); Conagra (CAG), First Republic Bank (FRC); Cintas (CTAS)After Market Close: American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)Friday:Before Market Open: Wells Fargo (WFC); BlackRock (BLK); Citigroup (C); BNY Mellon (BK); UnitedHealth (UNH); Progressive (PGR); US Bancorp (USB); State Street (STT); PNC Financial (PNC)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045007246,"gmtCreate":1656544477285,"gmtModify":1676535848033,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yess","listText":"Yess","text":"Yess","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045007246","repostId":"2247335031","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2247335031","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656515616,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2247335031?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-29 23:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: 5 Reasons To Buy, 2 Reasons To Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2247335031","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"IntroductionAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is one of the most contentious holdings in my portfoli","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Introduction</h2><p>Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most contentious holdings in my portfolio. For starters, Alibaba is the only Chinese stock I own [having initiated a small position in mid-November 2021]. Secondly, I believe that Alibaba&#39;s stock is ridiculously cheap based on its business fundamentals. However, I am still not entirely convinced about this investment due to macroeconomic and regulatory headwinds in China. The consensus noise in broader investment media is very bearish for Chinese tech stocks, and I don&#39;t think the sentiment will improve anytime soon.</p><p>After analyzing Alibaba&#39;s Q4 numbers, I performed an exercise to nail down the bullish and bearish arguments for a long-term investment in Alibaba. In today&#39;s note, we will be discussing five reasons to buy and two reasons to sell Alibaba&#39;s stock at current levels. Here we go.</p><h2>5 Reasons To Buy Alibaba</h2><ul><li><b>Solid Business Fundamentals</b></li></ul><p>In Q4, Alibaba reported an earnings miss; however, revenue came in stronger-than-expected at $32.1B (vs. analyst estimates of ~$31B). As you may know, the Chinese economy is still suffering from draconian lockdowns, inflation, and slowing consumer demand. Despite all the noise around its business, Alibaba&#39;s fundamentals remain robust. After experiencing a pull forward in demand during the first wave of COVID, the fact that Alibaba is still growing its revenues is heartening. With inflation causing intense margin pressures, Alibaba&#39;s gross and operating margins declined considerably in Q4; however, these numbers are still very healthy. As the Chinese economy opens up and resumes growth, I think Alibaba&#39;s revenues and margins will start expanding once again.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35f832b08e66d361bbb5c51f7355f977\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>In recent quarters, Alibaba&#39;s margins have come under pressure, which in turn has led to compression in free cash flow generation. For Q4, Alibaba reported a negative free cash flow of -$1.18B; however, if you look at historical trends, Alibaba has burnt cash in Q4 for the last three years, and this year&#39;s burn is the smallest. At the end of the day, Alibaba is still a free cash flow machine.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b8f7d033c114324988b2dc1f3407c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>With roughly $50B of net cash, Alibaba has little to no liquidity or bankruptcy risk. Due to a violent valuation reset in its stock, Alibaba&#39;s management has adopted a more aggressive capital return program (upsizing its share buyback authorization to $25B in March 2022).</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52a65cd79cb85db43d377e4030d3f406\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>According to Alibaba&#39;s Deputy CFO, Toby Xu -</p><blockquote>The upsized share buyback underscores our confidence in Alibaba&#39;s long-term, sustainable growth potential and value creation. Alibaba&#39;s stock price does not fairly reflect the company&#39;s value given our robust financial health and expansion plans.</blockquote><p>I agree with Toby. Let&#39;s find out why.</p><ul><li><b>Dirt Cheap Valuations</b></li></ul><p>When I rated Alibaba a strong buy before its earnings report, the stock was trading at a ridiculously low P/FCF multiple of ~8.55x. I must reiterate that I had no clue as to what Alibaba would report in Q4 or how the stock would react to these numbers. However, the valuation made Alibaba a no-brainer, and it still is a no-brainer (despite the +40% move in Alibaba&#39;s stock). Today, Alibaba is trading at ~14x P/FCF (well below the 3-yr median P/FCF of ~21x).</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97154790c41df6813966a9c0226a5d43\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>Honestly, I don&#39;t think Alibaba&#39;s Q4 numbers justify the quick 40% bounce we have seen in its stock over the last few days; however, Alibaba&#39;s valuation remains depressed, and the upside move may continue in the near future (quantitative factor data and technical charts suggest so).</p><ul><li><b>Improving Quant Factor Grades</b></li></ul><p>After the recent run-up in Alibaba&#39;s stock, its momentum factor grade has improved from &#34;C-&#34; to &#34;B+&#34;. I previously highlighted the positive trend in Alibaba&#39;s momentum factor grade as a potential sign of a turnaround in the stock. While momentum may continue to carry the stock higher towards the $140-$150 range, Alibaba&#39;s factor grades for valuation and (earnings) revisions are getting weaker.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c7da606c3f053f0884d0de15d76984d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha Quant Rating</p><p>With profitability and growth factor grades holding up, Alibaba&#39;s stock could ride the momentum train higher. Furthermore, Alibaba&#39;s fundamentals are likely to rebound in the coming 4-8 quarters. Hence, I view the current quantitative factor grades for Alibaba favorably, despite an overall rating of &#39;Hold&#39; [3.30] on SA&#39;s Quant Rating System.</p><ul><li><b>A Trend Reversal On The Technical Charts</b></li></ul><p>Alibaba&#39;s technical chart is showing signs of a major trend reversal with a breakout from its downward falling wedge pattern. While I don&#39;t expect Alibaba&#39;s stock to go up in a straight line, I will be looking for the stock to recapture its 200-EMA of ~$130 to confirm the trend reversal.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da230de0660c27b79cb293f0e3a75813\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>On 25th May 2022, I wrote the following:</p><blockquote>As of today, Alibaba is still stuck in the downward wedge pattern; however, there are signs of RSI divergence, and the MACD is also moving up slowly as the stock hovers above a demand zone (shown on the chart). While I do not see a trend reversal just yet, I think the technical setup is improving. A breakout to the upside could send Alibaba back up to $140-$150 in quick order.</blockquote><p>Today, the RSI and MACD divergence that we observed a month ago is far more evident. While this bounce may yet fizzle out in the coming weeks and months, I think the technical setup is favorable for bulls (especially for ones with a long-term investment horizon).</p><ul><li><b>Signs of regulatory policy relaxation</b></li></ul><p>Over the past few months, the Chinese government has been seemingly easing up on its ongoing technology crackdown. Out of the five reasons I laid out in support of buying Alibaba, I think policy relaxation is probably the weakest one due to its abstract nature. However, if we do see a policy reversal from the Chinese government or even an easing of its technology crackdown, Alibaba could get rid of a major overhang on its stock, and if the negative sentiment abates, the stock could re-rate higher to a normalized valuation multiple.</p><h2>2 Reasons To Sell Alibaba</h2><p>Considering Alibaba&#39;s healthy fundamentals, dirt-cheap valuation, improving quant factor grades, and bullish technical setup, I don&#39;t think there is a straightforward, data-driven bear thesis against Alibaba. However, if I had to look for reasons to sell Alibaba at this throwaway price, they would have to be extrinsic reasons.</p><ul><li><b>Poor Macroeconomic Environment</b></li></ul><p>Like most businesses, Alibaba is exposed to macroeconomic factors. With most of its revenues coming from China, Alibaba&#39;s sales growth and margins could remain unimpressive for the foreseeable future. If Alibaba&#39;s free cash flows were to contract further in the event of a recession, the stock could go lower even if multiples were to return to normalized levels.</p><ul><li><b>Potential Delisting in the US</b></li></ul><p>While Alibaba has not been named as a (potential) violator of the HFCAA (Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act) by the US SEC, the risk of potential delisting from US exchanges is non-zero for Alibaba. Institutional investors like Blackrock have exited Alibaba&#39;s ADRs and invested in Alibaba directly on Hong Kong exchanges. In my view, a potential delisting of ADRs is not a significant risk for Alibaba, but if you wish to get ahead of this risk, you should look to sell Alibaba ADRs [and consider investing in Alibaba on Hong Kong exchanges].</p><h2>Bottom Line</h2><p>Even after a rapid 40%+ move off its lows, fundamental, quantitative, and technical data render Alibaba&#39;s stock a &#34;Buy&#34;. As we saw today, the good in Alibaba (reasons to buy) far outweighs the bad (reasons to sell). Hence, I continue to be bullish on Alibaba.</p><p><b>Key Takeaway:</b> I rate Alibaba a strong buy at $117.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: 5 Reasons To Buy, 2 Reasons To Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: 5 Reasons To Buy, 2 Reasons To Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-29 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520712-alibaba-stock-5-reasons-buy-2-reasons-sell><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IntroductionAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is one of the most contentious holdings in my portfolio. For starters, Alibaba is the only Chinese stock I own [having initiated a small position in mid-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520712-alibaba-stock-5-reasons-buy-2-reasons-sell\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520712-alibaba-stock-5-reasons-buy-2-reasons-sell","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2247335031","content_text":"IntroductionAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is one of the most contentious holdings in my portfolio. For starters, Alibaba is the only Chinese stock I own [having initiated a small position in mid-November 2021]. Secondly, I believe that Alibaba's stock is ridiculously cheap based on its business fundamentals. However, I am still not entirely convinced about this investment due to macroeconomic and regulatory headwinds in China. The consensus noise in broader investment media is very bearish for Chinese tech stocks, and I don't think the sentiment will improve anytime soon.After analyzing Alibaba's Q4 numbers, I performed an exercise to nail down the bullish and bearish arguments for a long-term investment in Alibaba. In today's note, we will be discussing five reasons to buy and two reasons to sell Alibaba's stock at current levels. Here we go.5 Reasons To Buy AlibabaSolid Business FundamentalsIn Q4, Alibaba reported an earnings miss; however, revenue came in stronger-than-expected at $32.1B (vs. analyst estimates of ~$31B). As you may know, the Chinese economy is still suffering from draconian lockdowns, inflation, and slowing consumer demand. Despite all the noise around its business, Alibaba's fundamentals remain robust. After experiencing a pull forward in demand during the first wave of COVID, the fact that Alibaba is still growing its revenues is heartening. With inflation causing intense margin pressures, Alibaba's gross and operating margins declined considerably in Q4; however, these numbers are still very healthy. As the Chinese economy opens up and resumes growth, I think Alibaba's revenues and margins will start expanding once again.YChartsIn recent quarters, Alibaba's margins have come under pressure, which in turn has led to compression in free cash flow generation. For Q4, Alibaba reported a negative free cash flow of -$1.18B; however, if you look at historical trends, Alibaba has burnt cash in Q4 for the last three years, and this year's burn is the smallest. At the end of the day, Alibaba is still a free cash flow machine.YChartsWith roughly $50B of net cash, Alibaba has little to no liquidity or bankruptcy risk. Due to a violent valuation reset in its stock, Alibaba's management has adopted a more aggressive capital return program (upsizing its share buyback authorization to $25B in March 2022).YChartsAccording to Alibaba's Deputy CFO, Toby Xu -The upsized share buyback underscores our confidence in Alibaba's long-term, sustainable growth potential and value creation. Alibaba's stock price does not fairly reflect the company's value given our robust financial health and expansion plans.I agree with Toby. Let's find out why.Dirt Cheap ValuationsWhen I rated Alibaba a strong buy before its earnings report, the stock was trading at a ridiculously low P/FCF multiple of ~8.55x. I must reiterate that I had no clue as to what Alibaba would report in Q4 or how the stock would react to these numbers. However, the valuation made Alibaba a no-brainer, and it still is a no-brainer (despite the +40% move in Alibaba's stock). Today, Alibaba is trading at ~14x P/FCF (well below the 3-yr median P/FCF of ~21x).YChartsHonestly, I don't think Alibaba's Q4 numbers justify the quick 40% bounce we have seen in its stock over the last few days; however, Alibaba's valuation remains depressed, and the upside move may continue in the near future (quantitative factor data and technical charts suggest so).Improving Quant Factor GradesAfter the recent run-up in Alibaba's stock, its momentum factor grade has improved from \"C-\" to \"B+\". I previously highlighted the positive trend in Alibaba's momentum factor grade as a potential sign of a turnaround in the stock. While momentum may continue to carry the stock higher towards the $140-$150 range, Alibaba's factor grades for valuation and (earnings) revisions are getting weaker.Seeking Alpha Quant RatingWith profitability and growth factor grades holding up, Alibaba's stock could ride the momentum train higher. Furthermore, Alibaba's fundamentals are likely to rebound in the coming 4-8 quarters. Hence, I view the current quantitative factor grades for Alibaba favorably, despite an overall rating of 'Hold' [3.30] on SA's Quant Rating System.A Trend Reversal On The Technical ChartsAlibaba's technical chart is showing signs of a major trend reversal with a breakout from its downward falling wedge pattern. While I don't expect Alibaba's stock to go up in a straight line, I will be looking for the stock to recapture its 200-EMA of ~$130 to confirm the trend reversal.On 25th May 2022, I wrote the following:As of today, Alibaba is still stuck in the downward wedge pattern; however, there are signs of RSI divergence, and the MACD is also moving up slowly as the stock hovers above a demand zone (shown on the chart). While I do not see a trend reversal just yet, I think the technical setup is improving. A breakout to the upside could send Alibaba back up to $140-$150 in quick order.Today, the RSI and MACD divergence that we observed a month ago is far more evident. While this bounce may yet fizzle out in the coming weeks and months, I think the technical setup is favorable for bulls (especially for ones with a long-term investment horizon).Signs of regulatory policy relaxationOver the past few months, the Chinese government has been seemingly easing up on its ongoing technology crackdown. Out of the five reasons I laid out in support of buying Alibaba, I think policy relaxation is probably the weakest one due to its abstract nature. However, if we do see a policy reversal from the Chinese government or even an easing of its technology crackdown, Alibaba could get rid of a major overhang on its stock, and if the negative sentiment abates, the stock could re-rate higher to a normalized valuation multiple.2 Reasons To Sell AlibabaConsidering Alibaba's healthy fundamentals, dirt-cheap valuation, improving quant factor grades, and bullish technical setup, I don't think there is a straightforward, data-driven bear thesis against Alibaba. However, if I had to look for reasons to sell Alibaba at this throwaway price, they would have to be extrinsic reasons.Poor Macroeconomic EnvironmentLike most businesses, Alibaba is exposed to macroeconomic factors. With most of its revenues coming from China, Alibaba's sales growth and margins could remain unimpressive for the foreseeable future. If Alibaba's free cash flows were to contract further in the event of a recession, the stock could go lower even if multiples were to return to normalized levels.Potential Delisting in the USWhile Alibaba has not been named as a (potential) violator of the HFCAA (Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act) by the US SEC, the risk of potential delisting from US exchanges is non-zero for Alibaba. Institutional investors like Blackrock have exited Alibaba's ADRs and invested in Alibaba directly on Hong Kong exchanges. In my view, a potential delisting of ADRs is not a significant risk for Alibaba, but if you wish to get ahead of this risk, you should look to sell Alibaba ADRs [and consider investing in Alibaba on Hong Kong exchanges].Bottom LineEven after a rapid 40%+ move off its lows, fundamental, quantitative, and technical data render Alibaba's stock a \"Buy\". As we saw today, the good in Alibaba (reasons to buy) far outweighs the bad (reasons to sell). Hence, I continue to be bullish on Alibaba.Key Takeaway: I rate Alibaba a strong buy at $117.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9906769700,"gmtCreate":1659593380202,"gmtModify":1705982006193,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogo","listText":"Gogo","text":"Gogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906769700","repostId":"1126573166","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1126573166","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659590390,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126573166?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 13:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126573166","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candid","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates last week.</li><li>Investors are overreacting to the SEC announcement.</li><li>Alibaba’s shares, heading into earnings, remain considerably undervalued.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c734479100befddea1e6e6d9d50f31a2\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Shares of Chinese e-Commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF) skidded 11% last Friday after the Securities and Exchange Commission added the company to its list of potential delisting candidates and investors started to panic. One investor, however, doesnot seem to be disturbed by Alibaba’s delisting risk: Charlie Munger. In a recent 13-F holdings report, the Daily Journal Corporation (DJCO), which is overseen by Charlie Munger, hasn&#39;t sold a single share since its last report. Delisting risks are grossly and irresponsibly exaggerated and Alibaba represents great value on the sell-off!</p><h2><b>New threats from the SEC</b></h2><p>The Securities and Exchange CommissionaddedAlibaba to its list of potential delisting candidates last Friday, creating pressure on shares of Alibaba. Under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, U.S. stock exchanges can delist securities of (foreign) issuers if the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board cannot inspect the audit papers of companies located in a foreign jurisdiction. Foreign companies -- mostly Chinese companies with ADS listings on a U.S. stock exchange -- could potentially be delisted by the SEC if they fail to submit to a PCAOB audit for three consecutive years.</p><p>Alibaba had previously not been specifically mentioned by the SEC, but now has made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates. This does not mean that a delisting is imminent, however. It merely means that the SEC has identified Alibaba as one of many companies that could potentially be delisted if certain disclosure and transparency requirements are not met in the future.</p><h2><b>Why there is no reason to worry about a delisting</b></h2><p>Alibaba is pursuing a dual primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Alibaba expects to complete theprimary listing processin Hong Kong by the end of the year, at which point Alibaba will have transitioned from a secondary to a primary status. A primary listing status in Hong Kong comes with more stringent reporting rules, but also allows participation in Hong Kong’s “Stock Connect Program” which would allow Mainland Chinese investors to purchase Alibaba’s Hong Kong shares through their Mainland stock exchanges.</p><p>So, even in the worst case of a forced U.S. delisting, U.S. investors can still simply buy and sell their shares on the Hong Kong stock exchange. The inclusion in the Stock Connect Program potentially indicates growing investor demand for Alibaba’s shares from Mainland Chinese investors as well.</p><h2><b>Charlie Munger isn&#39;t worried about a delisting</b></h2><p>Charlie Munger, who is Chairman of The Daily Journal Corporation, is not affected by the possibility of a potential delisting of Alibaba’s ADS from the U.S. stock market. According to the latest 13-Fholding reportfor the company, the company hasn&#39;t sold a share since the previous report and still owned 300 thousand shares of Alibaba, now valued at $27.8M. The portfolio continued to include just five stocks: Bank of America (BAC), POSCO Holdings (PKX), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). The Alibaba holding represented about 20% of The Daily Journal Corporation’s portfolio and it was the third-largest position after Bank of America and Wells Fargo.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45cc7f05bba79e03501285f88b6a69b2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Alibaba’s e-Commerce value is enormous, but margins may see downward pressure in the short term</b></h2><p>With 1.4B Chinese making up Alibaba’s core market, Alibaba operates in the most attractive e-Commerce geography in the world. Alibaba had 1.3B customer accounts on its various platforms and added 28M new accounts just in FQ4’22. The scale and reach of Alibaba’s e-Commerce platforms, which include retail brands in Pakistan, Turkey and South-East Asia, are unparalleled and it makes up the core value of Alibaba’s growing e-Commerce enterprise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b01b0d48b72b264b071a3c770aa0eb7d\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Alibaba has suffered from a slowdown in the e-Commerce industry in the last two years. With COVID-19 being a drag on growth, the e-Commerce company generated only 9% revenue growth year-over-year in FQ4’22, which was the slowest growth for Alibaba since it became a public company in 2014.</p><p>Because of top line challenges, Alibaba will have to cut costs and double down on businesses that arecurrently doing wellfor the company such as direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale segment.</p><p>Faced with a more difficult macro environment and the very real prospect of revenue growth dipping into negative territory in FQ1’23, Alibaba may face calls to revamp its cost structure. Alibaba’s costs have been rising despite pressure on the firm’s top line, with cost of revenue increasing 5 PP year over year in FQ4’22 and sales and marketing expenses growing 3 PP.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c146620d16c6fcc2d34de0f776702ff\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"616\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>With costs going up and revenues trending down, Alibaba’s margins are potentially set to go through a longer period of contraction... at least until revenue growth rebounds. Alibaba’s profit margins have contracted over the last three years, a result of growing competition in the e-Commerce industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94404090577f24fc51738ab2be9dc993\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>What is Alibaba expected to report?</h2><p>Alibaba is expected to report earnings for FQ1’23 before the market open on August 4, and the estimate trend is highly negative. In the last 90 days, there were 7 EPS downward revisions and only 2 upward revision, meaning expectations regarding revenue growth and EPS are very low for the upcoming earnings card. Because China saw wide-spread COVID-19 lockdowns in the second-quarter -- which is Alibaba’s FQ1’23 -- investors may have to brace for a quarter with low single-digit, or even negative, revenue growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d46a9631950161addf61d301d9a967a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Massively discounted e-Commerce growth</b></h2><p>Alibaba’s top line growth is moderating and expectations are leaning toward the negative. In the worst case, China&#39;s COVID-19 lockdowns may have resulted in negative revenue growth for Alibaba in the last quarter. However, a rebound should be expected in the coming quarters as China’s COVID-19 restrictions have eased. Despite those challenges, Alibaba is expected to bounce back with 13% revenue growth in FY 2024.</p><p>Alibaba’s potential for growth was hugely discounted on Friday, and since the stock has not yet recovered, shares of Alibaba trade at a P/S ratio of 1.6 X and a P/E ratio of 10.6 X.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d889f1a4b621a6c761f3c1f70e8ff762\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>If Alibaba whiffs on FQ1’23 earnings and revenues on August 4, shares may revalue to the downside. Since I expect results to improve in the second half of the year due to easing COVID-19 lockdowns, however, I would be a buyer of any major dip that occurs after earnings.</p><h2>Risks with Alibaba</h2><p>Alibaba has many risks, but a delisting of its ADS is not one of them. The e-Commerce company will likely report a deceleration in top line growth in its domestic e-Commerce business and, for that reason, margins may come further under pressure. This may result in a lower valuation factor for Alibaba&#39;s shares in the short term, but any selloff would likely also create an attractive buying opportunity. What would change my mind about Alibaba is if the company saw a material decline in its free cash flow prospects and suspended its share buybacks.</p><h2>Final thoughts</h2><p>Charlie Munger is apparently not worried about a delisting of Alibaba&#39;s ADS and the reinvigorated delisting discussion is clouding investors’ perceptions: even if shares were delisted, investors could simply swap their shares and buy/sell Alibaba shares in Hong Kong.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Charlie Munger Doesn't Worry About A Delisting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-04 13:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529098-alibaba-charlie-munger-doesnt-worry-about-a-delisting><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates last week.Investors are overreacting to the SEC announcement.Alibaba’s shares, heading into ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529098-alibaba-charlie-munger-doesnt-worry-about-a-delisting\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529098-alibaba-charlie-munger-doesnt-worry-about-a-delisting","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1126573166","content_text":"Alibaba’s shares crashed after the company made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates last week.Investors are overreacting to the SEC announcement.Alibaba’s shares, heading into earnings, remain considerably undervalued.Shares of Chinese e-Commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF) skidded 11% last Friday after the Securities and Exchange Commission added the company to its list of potential delisting candidates and investors started to panic. One investor, however, doesnot seem to be disturbed by Alibaba’s delisting risk: Charlie Munger. In a recent 13-F holdings report, the Daily Journal Corporation (DJCO), which is overseen by Charlie Munger, hasn't sold a single share since its last report. Delisting risks are grossly and irresponsibly exaggerated and Alibaba represents great value on the sell-off!New threats from the SECThe Securities and Exchange CommissionaddedAlibaba to its list of potential delisting candidates last Friday, creating pressure on shares of Alibaba. Under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, U.S. stock exchanges can delist securities of (foreign) issuers if the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board cannot inspect the audit papers of companies located in a foreign jurisdiction. Foreign companies -- mostly Chinese companies with ADS listings on a U.S. stock exchange -- could potentially be delisted by the SEC if they fail to submit to a PCAOB audit for three consecutive years.Alibaba had previously not been specifically mentioned by the SEC, but now has made it onto the SEC’s list of potential delisting candidates. This does not mean that a delisting is imminent, however. It merely means that the SEC has identified Alibaba as one of many companies that could potentially be delisted if certain disclosure and transparency requirements are not met in the future.Why there is no reason to worry about a delistingAlibaba is pursuing a dual primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Alibaba expects to complete theprimary listing processin Hong Kong by the end of the year, at which point Alibaba will have transitioned from a secondary to a primary status. A primary listing status in Hong Kong comes with more stringent reporting rules, but also allows participation in Hong Kong’s “Stock Connect Program” which would allow Mainland Chinese investors to purchase Alibaba’s Hong Kong shares through their Mainland stock exchanges.So, even in the worst case of a forced U.S. delisting, U.S. investors can still simply buy and sell their shares on the Hong Kong stock exchange. The inclusion in the Stock Connect Program potentially indicates growing investor demand for Alibaba’s shares from Mainland Chinese investors as well.Charlie Munger isn't worried about a delistingCharlie Munger, who is Chairman of The Daily Journal Corporation, is not affected by the possibility of a potential delisting of Alibaba’s ADS from the U.S. stock market. According to the latest 13-Fholding reportfor the company, the company hasn't sold a share since the previous report and still owned 300 thousand shares of Alibaba, now valued at $27.8M. The portfolio continued to include just five stocks: Bank of America (BAC), POSCO Holdings (PKX), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). The Alibaba holding represented about 20% of The Daily Journal Corporation’s portfolio and it was the third-largest position after Bank of America and Wells Fargo.Alibaba’s e-Commerce value is enormous, but margins may see downward pressure in the short termWith 1.4B Chinese making up Alibaba’s core market, Alibaba operates in the most attractive e-Commerce geography in the world. Alibaba had 1.3B customer accounts on its various platforms and added 28M new accounts just in FQ4’22. The scale and reach of Alibaba’s e-Commerce platforms, which include retail brands in Pakistan, Turkey and South-East Asia, are unparalleled and it makes up the core value of Alibaba’s growing e-Commerce enterprise.Alibaba has suffered from a slowdown in the e-Commerce industry in the last two years. With COVID-19 being a drag on growth, the e-Commerce company generated only 9% revenue growth year-over-year in FQ4’22, which was the slowest growth for Alibaba since it became a public company in 2014.Because of top line challenges, Alibaba will have to cut costs and double down on businesses that arecurrently doing wellfor the company such as direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale segment.Faced with a more difficult macro environment and the very real prospect of revenue growth dipping into negative territory in FQ1’23, Alibaba may face calls to revamp its cost structure. Alibaba’s costs have been rising despite pressure on the firm’s top line, with cost of revenue increasing 5 PP year over year in FQ4’22 and sales and marketing expenses growing 3 PP.With costs going up and revenues trending down, Alibaba’s margins are potentially set to go through a longer period of contraction... at least until revenue growth rebounds. Alibaba’s profit margins have contracted over the last three years, a result of growing competition in the e-Commerce industry.What is Alibaba expected to report?Alibaba is expected to report earnings for FQ1’23 before the market open on August 4, and the estimate trend is highly negative. In the last 90 days, there were 7 EPS downward revisions and only 2 upward revision, meaning expectations regarding revenue growth and EPS are very low for the upcoming earnings card. Because China saw wide-spread COVID-19 lockdowns in the second-quarter -- which is Alibaba’s FQ1’23 -- investors may have to brace for a quarter with low single-digit, or even negative, revenue growth.Massively discounted e-Commerce growthAlibaba’s top line growth is moderating and expectations are leaning toward the negative. In the worst case, China's COVID-19 lockdowns may have resulted in negative revenue growth for Alibaba in the last quarter. However, a rebound should be expected in the coming quarters as China’s COVID-19 restrictions have eased. Despite those challenges, Alibaba is expected to bounce back with 13% revenue growth in FY 2024.Alibaba’s potential for growth was hugely discounted on Friday, and since the stock has not yet recovered, shares of Alibaba trade at a P/S ratio of 1.6 X and a P/E ratio of 10.6 X.If Alibaba whiffs on FQ1’23 earnings and revenues on August 4, shares may revalue to the downside. Since I expect results to improve in the second half of the year due to easing COVID-19 lockdowns, however, I would be a buyer of any major dip that occurs after earnings.Risks with AlibabaAlibaba has many risks, but a delisting of its ADS is not one of them. The e-Commerce company will likely report a deceleration in top line growth in its domestic e-Commerce business and, for that reason, margins may come further under pressure. This may result in a lower valuation factor for Alibaba's shares in the short term, but any selloff would likely also create an attractive buying opportunity. What would change my mind about Alibaba is if the company saw a material decline in its free cash flow prospects and suspended its share buybacks.Final thoughtsCharlie Munger is apparently not worried about a delisting of Alibaba's ADS and the reinvigorated delisting discussion is clouding investors’ perceptions: even if shares were delisted, investors could simply swap their shares and buy/sell Alibaba shares in Hong Kong.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900050853,"gmtCreate":1658621214672,"gmtModify":1676536182139,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likee","listText":"Likee","text":"Likee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900050853","repostId":"1190015955","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190015955","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658620629,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190015955?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-24 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190015955","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"As noted, it was primarily due to its Bitcoin fire sale. Some experts had expressed concern that plunging crypto prices would end up hurting TSLA stock. But Elon Musk saw an opportunity as the bearish energy spurred by the recent crypto crash started to clear. Tesla offloaded 75% of its BTC holdings, adding an additional $936 million to its balance sheet. However, it held onto its Dogecoin  assets, leading some experts to wonder if Musk has more faith in the meme token. The CEO did not say, but ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> has reported second-quarter earnings that were better than expected.</li><li>The decision to sell its Bitcoin (<b><u>BTC-USD</u></b>) holdings may have saved it.</li><li>But growing competition threatens to hinder the future progress of TSLA stock.</li></ul><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally moving forward after its 2022 second-quarter earnings report. After weeks of speculation that the difficult quarter would lead to poor earnings, the company surprised Wall Street. Despite revenue falling off from the previous quarter, Tesla met analyst expectations and added more than $900 million to its balance sheet after selling 75% of its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings.</p><p>“The electric automaker’s revenue took a significant quarter-over-quarter hit in Q2, falling from $18.76 billion in Q1 2022, but rose year-over-year from $11.95 billion,” reports Yahoo Finance. TSLA stock rose following the earnings release, and it’s poised to end the week in the green.</p><p>This has been a week of generally good news for the electric vehicle (EV) leader. With the earnings report safely in its rearview mirror, Tesla can focus on scaling production in the upcoming quarter.</p><p>But even as it gears up for what promises to be a better earnings period than the last, Tesla’s rivals are hard at work building new EVs. It is still uncertain how long Tesla can maintain its market share for. However, new data has shown in the subsector of luxury EVs, it remains the undisputed leader.</p><p>Let’s take a look at the week’s top TSLA stock stories investors should be reading.</p><h3><b>Top Headlines for TSLA Stock Investors</b></h3><p>1. Tesla shares jump on second-quarter report that was better than analysts feared</p><p>Many experts eyed Tesla with caution as the company prepared to report Q2 earnings. With the quarter marked by multiple factory shutdowns and grim statements from Elon Musk, it’s not hard to see why. But since Tesla topped Wall Street estimates in both revenue and earnings-per-share (EPS), many experts have reiterated their price targets. Dan Ives and John Katsingris of Wedbush noted, “The quarter was better than feared with healthy guidance for 2H by Musk &amp; Co. that look achievable with no margin for error.” TSLA stock has been rising steadily since yesterday, taking it to 12% gains for the week.</p><p>2. Tesla cashes out $936 million in Bitcoin, after a year of crypto turbulence</p><p>How did Tesla report positive earnings after such a turbulent quarter? As noted, it was primarily due to its Bitcoin fire sale. Some experts had expressed concern that plunging crypto prices would end up hurting TSLA stock. But Elon Musk saw an opportunity as the bearish energy spurred by the recent crypto crash started to clear. Tesla offloaded 75% of its BTC holdings, adding an additional $936 million to its balance sheet. However, it held onto its Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) assets, leading some experts to wonder if Musk has more faith in the meme token. The CEO did not say, but he did stress the sale should not be seen as a condemnation of Bitcoin.</p><p>3. GM Will Finally Have Rival to Tesla’s Model Y With Blazer EV</p><p>General Motors (NYSE:GM) has been working hard to cut into Tesla’s market share by producing a lower-cost EV. The legacy automaker has announced it plans to start selling its Chevrolet Blazer EV next year. This electric SUV is intended to directly rival Tesla’s Model Y, its current bestseller in the category in the U.S. The summer 2023 release will be followed by the launch of the Chevy Silverado EV and Equinox. One analyst predicts the range of mass market EVs will give GM a profit advantage over competitors like Ford (NYSE:F), implying it could also mean less sales for Tesla.</p><p>4. Tesla aims to start 4680 battery cell production at Gigafactory Texas this quarter</p><p>It isn’t just EV production that Tesla is focused on ramping up as Q3 takes shape. The company plans to start producing the 4680 battery cell before 2023 at Gigafactory Austin. There have been few updates provided in recent months regarding the battery pack and its innovative design. As Electrek reports, “This has been a concern for Tesla investors since the new battery technology is seen as critical to Tesla’s future vehicle programs.” However, the company’s senior vice president of powertrain and energy engineering has confirmed Tesla plans to begin production within the coming months.</p><p>5. New registration data shows how Tesla is doing among luxury cars and EVs; here’s what’s catching up</p><p>Tesla may be facing increasing competition from GM, but its hold over U.S. markets isn’t shrinking. Recent data from Experian indicates 179,574 new Teslas were registered in the U.S. in January through May, 66% more than that quarter from the previous year. As MarketWatch reports, “Those aren’t numbers for electric cars. They’re numbers for cars. Tesla became America’s best-selling luxury automaker in the fourth quarter of 2021. Its lead over the field appears to be growing.” Indeed, it does — Tesla’s Model Y SUV and Model 3 were the top most-registered EVs in the U.S. during that period, finishing comfortably above the Ford Mustang Mach-E.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-24 07:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/07/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-6/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla has reported second-quarter earnings that were better than expected.The decision to sell its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings may have saved it.But growing competition threatens to hinder the future ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-6/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-6/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190015955","content_text":"Tesla has reported second-quarter earnings that were better than expected.The decision to sell its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings may have saved it.But growing competition threatens to hinder the future progress of TSLA stock.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally moving forward after its 2022 second-quarter earnings report. After weeks of speculation that the difficult quarter would lead to poor earnings, the company surprised Wall Street. Despite revenue falling off from the previous quarter, Tesla met analyst expectations and added more than $900 million to its balance sheet after selling 75% of its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) holdings.“The electric automaker’s revenue took a significant quarter-over-quarter hit in Q2, falling from $18.76 billion in Q1 2022, but rose year-over-year from $11.95 billion,” reports Yahoo Finance. TSLA stock rose following the earnings release, and it’s poised to end the week in the green.This has been a week of generally good news for the electric vehicle (EV) leader. With the earnings report safely in its rearview mirror, Tesla can focus on scaling production in the upcoming quarter.But even as it gears up for what promises to be a better earnings period than the last, Tesla’s rivals are hard at work building new EVs. It is still uncertain how long Tesla can maintain its market share for. However, new data has shown in the subsector of luxury EVs, it remains the undisputed leader.Let’s take a look at the week’s top TSLA stock stories investors should be reading.Top Headlines for TSLA Stock Investors1. Tesla shares jump on second-quarter report that was better than analysts fearedMany experts eyed Tesla with caution as the company prepared to report Q2 earnings. With the quarter marked by multiple factory shutdowns and grim statements from Elon Musk, it’s not hard to see why. But since Tesla topped Wall Street estimates in both revenue and earnings-per-share (EPS), many experts have reiterated their price targets. Dan Ives and John Katsingris of Wedbush noted, “The quarter was better than feared with healthy guidance for 2H by Musk & Co. that look achievable with no margin for error.” TSLA stock has been rising steadily since yesterday, taking it to 12% gains for the week.2. Tesla cashes out $936 million in Bitcoin, after a year of crypto turbulenceHow did Tesla report positive earnings after such a turbulent quarter? As noted, it was primarily due to its Bitcoin fire sale. Some experts had expressed concern that plunging crypto prices would end up hurting TSLA stock. But Elon Musk saw an opportunity as the bearish energy spurred by the recent crypto crash started to clear. Tesla offloaded 75% of its BTC holdings, adding an additional $936 million to its balance sheet. However, it held onto its Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) assets, leading some experts to wonder if Musk has more faith in the meme token. The CEO did not say, but he did stress the sale should not be seen as a condemnation of Bitcoin.3. GM Will Finally Have Rival to Tesla’s Model Y With Blazer EVGeneral Motors (NYSE:GM) has been working hard to cut into Tesla’s market share by producing a lower-cost EV. The legacy automaker has announced it plans to start selling its Chevrolet Blazer EV next year. This electric SUV is intended to directly rival Tesla’s Model Y, its current bestseller in the category in the U.S. The summer 2023 release will be followed by the launch of the Chevy Silverado EV and Equinox. One analyst predicts the range of mass market EVs will give GM a profit advantage over competitors like Ford (NYSE:F), implying it could also mean less sales for Tesla.4. Tesla aims to start 4680 battery cell production at Gigafactory Texas this quarterIt isn’t just EV production that Tesla is focused on ramping up as Q3 takes shape. The company plans to start producing the 4680 battery cell before 2023 at Gigafactory Austin. There have been few updates provided in recent months regarding the battery pack and its innovative design. As Electrek reports, “This has been a concern for Tesla investors since the new battery technology is seen as critical to Tesla’s future vehicle programs.” However, the company’s senior vice president of powertrain and energy engineering has confirmed Tesla plans to begin production within the coming months.5. New registration data shows how Tesla is doing among luxury cars and EVs; here’s what’s catching upTesla may be facing increasing competition from GM, but its hold over U.S. markets isn’t shrinking. Recent data from Experian indicates 179,574 new Teslas were registered in the U.S. in January through May, 66% more than that quarter from the previous year. As MarketWatch reports, “Those aren’t numbers for electric cars. They’re numbers for cars. Tesla became America’s best-selling luxury automaker in the fourth quarter of 2021. Its lead over the field appears to be growing.” Indeed, it does — Tesla’s Model Y SUV and Model 3 were the top most-registered EVs in the U.S. during that period, finishing comfortably above the Ford Mustang Mach-E.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931909675,"gmtCreate":1662374348198,"gmtModify":1676537047796,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931909675","repostId":"2264274049","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2264274049","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662364924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264274049?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264274049","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The ARK ETFs have clicked the buy button on these growth stocks recently, and they still look ripe for the plucking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people&#39;s shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</p><p>While I can&#39;t say that I agree with all of Wood&#39;s stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors&#39; portfolios. They include <b>Ginkgo Bioworks</b>, <b>Monday.com</b>, and <b>Trimble</b>. Let&#39;s find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.</p><h2>1. Ginkgo Bioworks</h2><p>A leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.</p><p>Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock&#39;s plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.</p><p>The company doesn&#39;t project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company&#39;s ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company&#39;s offerings are in consistently high demand.</p><h2>2. Monday.com</h2><p>Also appearing on Wood&#39;s shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.</p><p>The advantage of Monday.com&#39;s platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com&#39;s platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com&#39;s ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.</p><p>Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.</p><p>On the company&#39;s Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company&#39;s CFO, said that management expects &#34;to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive&#34; in the second half of 2023.</p><h2>3. Trimble</h2><p>Occupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the <b>ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b> picked up 25,073 shares, and the <b>ARK</b> <b>Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b> added 93,392 shares.</p><p>Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.</p><p>Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble&#39;s offerings will likely grow in demand as customers&#39; positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble&#39;s offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company&#39;s substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.</p><h2>A last look at Cathie Wood&#39;s shopping list</h2><p>On balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that&#39;s not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRMB":"天宝导航","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","DNA":"Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264274049","content_text":"Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).While I can't say that I agree with all of Wood's stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors' portfolios. They include Ginkgo Bioworks, Monday.com, and Trimble. Let's find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.1. Ginkgo BioworksA leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock's plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the ARK Innovation ETF has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.The company doesn't project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company's ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company's offerings are in consistently high demand.2. Monday.comAlso appearing on Wood's shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.The advantage of Monday.com's platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com's platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com's ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.On the company's Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company's CFO, said that management expects \"to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive\" in the second half of 2023.3. TrimbleOccupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF picked up 25,073 shares, and the ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF added 93,392 shares.Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble's offerings will likely grow in demand as customers' positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble's offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company's substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.A last look at Cathie Wood's shopping listOn balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that's not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996813066,"gmtCreate":1661142363457,"gmtModify":1676536461204,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope all","listText":"Hope all","text":"Hope all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996813066","repostId":"1137992204","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1137992204","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661140750,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137992204?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137992204","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets and territories.</li><li>With Alibaba’s operating businesses currently trading at around 9 times at a time when margins are depressed, 30%+ annual compound returns over the next decade are possible.</li><li>The decision to invest or not ultimately depends on where investors land on the perceived risks of investing in China.</li><li>Whilst there are realistic risks, we think they are overblown and that long-term investors will do well by remaining rationally optimistic.</li><li>At the current price, we rate the stock as a “Buy.” Should the current risks reduce or be resolved, we would consider it a “Strong Buy” at the current level.</li></ul><p><b>Our view</b></p><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,BABAF) is one of the most controversial companies when it comes to investor opinion. Many believe it is a great business at a bargain price, whilst others believe the risks mean it is untouchable, even at a significant discount.</p><p>Putting the risks aside for a moment, there is a lot to love about Alibaba:</p><ul><li>the world&#39;s largest global e-commerce platform, bigger than Amazon (AMZN) and JD.com (JD) combined based on GMV;</li><li>a Cloud computing business in China which is a leader in a market which is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years;</li><li>a dominant position in China and an increasing presence across Southeast Asia meaning it is well placed to benefit from economic progress in the region; and</li><li>strong free cash flow and a solid balance sheet providing ample resources to continue to make strategic acquisitions and/or returns to shareholders.</li></ul><p>Alibaba&#39;s operating businesses currently trade at a multiple of around 9x owner earnings. And this is at a time when the company is in an investment phase, meaning margins are depressed and the true underlying earnings potential is underrepresented. Modest earnings growth combined with recovery in the valuation multiple could provide investors 30%+ annual returns over the next decade.</p><p>Based on these metrics, it is difficult to disagree that the current price represents an attractive valuation. However, the investment decision ultimately relies on the conclusion investors reach on the likelihood and impact of the various potential risks materializing.</p><p>When it comes to risks generally, investors can be guilty of ignoring them completely or assuming the worst-case scenario. In the case of Alibaba, we think the latter is true. Whilst there will inevitably be ongoing friction as the US learns to live in a world with a rising China, our view is that the world will ultimately continue to make progress and prosper over the long-term. We believe investors would do well by remaining rationally optimistic.</p><p>Even if we put our optimistic worldview aside, we feel that some of the risks are overblown. Only 10% of the company&#39;s external revenue is generated through the regulated businesses held within the VIE structures, and this will only reduce as the company continues to diversify and expand internationally.</p><p>As for the potential de-listing from the NYSE, we would hope that agreement can be reached to avert this eventually. However, in absence of cooperation on that issue, the company is pursuing a dual primary listing in Hong Kong which will provide investors with an alternative market in an internationally recognized financial center.</p><p>Overall, we feel that the strength of its businesses combined with the significantly discounted valuation compensate for the actual severity and likelihood of the risks materializing. We think it is a clear &#34;Buy&#34; at the current valuation. Should these risks reduce or a long-term resolution be reached, we see reason to upgrade our rating to &#34;Strong Buy.&#34;</p><p>With that being said, each investor must consider this in the context of their own investment objectives, risk tolerance and psychological resilience. Bargains are never found in times of comfort and stability. As value investors with a long-term horizon and a deeply contrarian nature, we believe will be handsomely rewarded for the long and potentially rocky journey ahead.</p><p><b>An overview of Alibaba</b></p><p><i>Note from author: This section provides a description of the major services and businesses which are within the Alibaba ecosystem. For those who are already familiar with the operations of Alibaba, we suggest that you skip to the following section.</i></p><p>Alibaba is an e-commerce giant which serves 1.31 billion annual active consumers across the many platforms and businesses in the Alibaba Ecosystem. Total Gross Merchandise Value (&#34;GMV&#34;) transacted in the Alibaba Ecosystem in FY22 was RMB 8.3 trillion ($1.3 trillion), making it the largest retail commerce business in the world, according to Analysys.</p><p>Alibaba reports its business across a number of segments: China commerce, International commerce; Local consumer services; Cainiao; Cloud; Digital media and entertainment; and Innovation initiatives and others. We provide an overview of each below.</p><p>China Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa56696fb04eb3546dc824af059ae17a\" tg-width=\"559\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Annual Report FY22</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s China Commerce segment is primarily Taobao and Tmall. Together, these constitute the world&#39;s largest digital retail business in terms of GMV for the twelve months ended 31 March 2022, according to Analysys.</p><p>Taobao</p><p>Taobao is the company&#39;s main commerce platform and is both the starting point and destination portal for many users&#39; shopping journey. It allows individuals and small businesses to create online storefronts and product listings for free. Alibaba generates revenue through add-ons sold to sellers, such as analytics and marketing. As well as being a shopping platform itself, it acts as a funnel for other platforms in the Alibaba ecosystem.</p><p>Tmall</p><p>Tmall is the partner of choice for both domestic and International brands. The platform is essentially a virtual mall, allowing brands and retailers to operate their own unique storefronts. The platform has a wide range of brands, with 320,000 brands and merchants on Tmall, including over 80% of the consumer brands ranked in the Forbes Top 100 World&#39;s Most Valuable Brands for 2021. It is the largest third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers in the world in terms of GMV, according to Analysys. The platform differs from Taobao in that it charges retailers and merchants fees for setting up stores and a share of ongoing GMV, in addition to offering value-add services.</p><p>Other</p><p>There are a host of other platforms and businesses which cater to various markets. These include</p><ul><li>Taobao Deals - like Taoboao, but with a focus on value-for-money products;</li><li>Taocaicai - a community marketplace that offers consumers next-day pick-up services for a wide range of groceries and fresh goods at neighborhood pick-up points;</li><li>Tmall Supermarket - offers daily necessities, FMCG and general merchandise through Taobao app with same-or-next-day delivery services;</li><li>Freshippo - a retail chain for groceries and fresh goods with over 200 stores offering 30-minute delivery to customers living within a three kilometer radius of the store; and</li><li>Sun Art - an online and physical hypermarket.</li></ul><p>Alimama</p><p>The company monetizes its broad user base and insights into customer behaviors through its Alimama platform. Alimama offers paid marketing services to merchants, retailers and promoters allowing them to advertise across its many platforms. This marketing is not confined to the Alibaba ecosystem, with affiliate programs allowing its users to directly market to consumers on other platforms outside of Alibaba&#39;s.</p><p>In addition to ads within the Alibaba ecosystem, the company offers wider distribution through the Taobao Ad Network and Exchange (&#34;TANX&#34;), one of the largest real-time online bidding marketing exchanges in China. TANX helps publishers to monetize their media inventories both on mobile apps and web properties, automating the buying and selling of tens of billions of marketing impressions on a daily basis.</p><p>1688.com</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s domestic wholesale business, 1688.com, is China&#39;s largest integrated domestic wholesale marketplace in 2021 by net revenue, according to Analysys. Wholesalers pay a fixed annual subscription to sell with no additional fees, but can pay for additional premium features such as data analytics and marketing etc. These additional services account for the vast majority of income from wholesaling.</p><p>International Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47677213623961a5cdaf220a0b03d11d\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Annual Report FY22</p><p>Lazada</p><p>Lazada is a leading and fast-growing e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and serves one of the largest user bases among the global e-commerce platforms. It caters to merchants of all sizes, from individuals to regional and global brands. Lazada also operates one of the leading e-commerce logistics networks in Southeast Asia, with the vast majority of Lazada&#39;s parcels going through its own facilities or first- and last-mile fleet.</p><p>AliExpress</p><p>AliExpress enables global consumers to buy directly from manufacturers and distributors in China and around the world. It is available in 18 languages and services consumers across many countries including the US and Europe.</p><p>Trendyol</p><p>Trendyol is a leading e-commerce platform in Turkey in terms of both GMV and order volume in 2021. It offers a large selection of products through e-commerce business as well as instant delivery services for food and groceries, as well as having its own fulfillment and logistics networks.</p><p>Alibaba.com</p><p>Alibaba.com is China&#39;s largest integrated international online wholesale marketplace in 2021 by revenue, according to Analysys, serving over 40 million buyers from over 190 countries in FY22. Like its domestic wholesaling counterpart, Alibaba generates the majority of the revenue through this platform for the additional value-add services it offers to merchants.</p><p>Local Consumer Services<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d186cd91743f67a748c9adfae3285f8\" tg-width=\"228\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Company Annual Report FY22</p><p>The company&#39;s local consumer services business is looking to expand its reach beyond products into consumer services, whether that is at home through its &#34;To Home&#34; businesses or on the go through its &#34;To Destination&#34; businesses.</p><p>To Home</p><ul><li><p>Ele.me- a leading local services and on-demand delivery platform which enables consumers to order food and beverages, groceries, FMCG, flowers and pharmaceutical products anytime and anywhere.</p></li><li><p>Fengniao Logistics - an on-demand delivery network which provides last-mile logistics services to orders placed through Ele.me as well as to other businesses in the Alibaba ecosystem including Freshippo, Sun Art, and Alibaba Health.</p></li><li><p>Taoxianda - an online-offline integration service solution for FMCG brands and third-party grocery retail partners, facilitates the digitalization of retailers&#39; operations.</p></li></ul><p>To-Destination</p><ul><li><p>Amap - a leading provider of mobile digital map navigation and one-stop access point to services such as navigation, local services and ride-hailing. Amap technology underlies a range of apps both inside and outside of the Alibaba ecosystem, and the company provides map data and navigation software to international and domestic automotive companies.</p></li><li><p>Fliggy - a leading online travel platform which provides comprehensive services to meet consumers&#39; travel needs for airline and train tickets, accommodation, car rental, package tours and local attractions.</p></li><li><p>Koubei - a restaurant and local services guide platform for in-store consumption, provides merchants with targeted marketing solutions, digital operation capabilities and analytics tools and allows consumers to discover local services content on the platform.</p></li></ul><p>Cainiao</p><p>Cainiao is a domestic and international one-stop shop for logistics services and supply chain management solutions, data insights and technology to digitalize the entire logistics process and enhance the capabilities of its logistics partners.</p><p>It offers parcel pick-up services through a neighborhood logistics solution that operates a network of neighborhood, campus and rural village stations and residential self pick-up lockers. Consumers can also enjoy parcel pick-up at the doorstep and time-guaranteed delivery service through Cainiao.</p><p>For merchants, Cainiao has built a full-fledged fulfillment network at provincial, city, and county levels in China, which offers customized fulfillment solutions to merchants across the Alibaba ecosystem. It has a network of assets and partners to support merchants on cross-border and international commerce retail platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada.</p><p>Cloud</p><p>Alibaba Group is the world&#39;s third largest and Asia Pacific&#39;s largest Infrastructure-as-a-service (&#34;IaaS&#34;) provider by revenue in 2021, according to Gartner&#39;s April 2022 report. It is also China&#39;s largest provider of public cloud services by revenue in 2021, including PaaS and IaaS services, according to IDC.</p><p>Alibaba Cloud</p><p>Alibaba Cloud offers a complete suite of cloud services, including proprietary servers, elastic computing, storage, network, security, database and big data, and IoT services, serving our ecosystem and beyond. Alibaba Cloud offers computing services in 27 regions globally and served more than 60% of A-share listed companies in China in FY22. As digital transformation accelerates, customers from non-Internet industries have increased their usage of cloud services, with such revenue accounting for half of cloud computing revenue in FY22.</p><p>DingTalk</p><p>DingTalk is a digital collaboration workplace and application development platform that offers new ways of working, sharing and collaboration for modern enterprises and organizations and is the largest business efficiency mobile app in China by monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile.</p><p>DingTalk provides a comprehensive suite of solutions for enterprise collaboration, including real-time communication, organizational management and various network collaboration tools such as data storage, calendars, workflow management and shared documents. Enterprises can also enjoy convenient access to a broad range of applications, including those offered by third-party service providers, that are seamlessly integrated with DingTalk&#39;s platform.</p><p>Digital Media and Entertainment<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c37c15470e609250e5e55f2ed8f181\" tg-width=\"229\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Company Annual Report FY22</p><p>In line with the continued expansion into areas beyond product consumption, the group is looking to benefit from media consumption through its delivery platforms as well as through the production and distribution of its own and third-party content.</p><p>The first of these platforms is Youku, the third largest online long-form video platform in China in terms of monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile. The second is Quark which helps young users gain access to a variety of digital content and information for learning and work purposes.</p><p>The company also produces, promotes and distributes content through Alibaba Pictures. In 2022, eight movies released by Alibaba Pictures were among the top ten domestic movies in terms of ticket sales. The company also provides ticketing services for live events - concerts, plays, and sporting events - through Damai, and develops and distributes mobile games through Lingxi Games.</p><p><b>Innovation</b></p><p>In 2019, Alibaba established the DAMO Academy, a global research program in cutting-edge technologies that aims to integrate and speed up knowledge exchange between science and industry. An example of the innovation is the proprietary L4 self-driving vehicle Xiaomanlv used by Cainiao, which has delivered over 10 million parcels within gated communities and university campuses.</p><p>Its Tmall Genie product range provides a selection of internet-enabled smart home appliances, including smart speakers, lights and remote controls. The Tmall Genie smart speaker is a leading smart speaker in China in terms of sales units, and provides an interactive interface for our customers to easily access services offered by the company.</p><p><b>Investments</b></p><p>In addition to its operating businesses, Alibaba has a portfolio of equity (listed and private) and debt investments with a total value of RMB 239 billion as of 30 June 2022. The company also has a number of investments in which it holds a minority stake (&#34;equity investees&#34;). The most significant of these is the group&#39;s 33% stake in the Ant Group, the parent company of Alipay which provides substantially all of the payment processing and all of the escrow services on Alibaba marketplaces.</p><p><b>Business review</b></p><p>The Alibaba Group<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf32e154e25cf9ca79847d923cd50e2\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Despite its many operating businesses and international expansion, Alibaba is still predominantly a domestic e-commerce business in China. In FY22, China commerce - which include the company&#39;s domestic retail and wholesale businesses - accounted for almost 80% of the group&#39;s revenue. The next largest segments are Cloud (8% of revenue) and International Commerce (7% of revenue). We consider the performance of these three key segments below.</p><p>China Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f01712c02388c2274d21a037b77e306e\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>The e-commerce businesses in China continue to grow albeit at a slower rate, with growth slowing from 45% in FY21 to 18% in FY22. The company&#39;s main ecommerce platforms in China - Taobao and Tmall - have seen their revenue growth slow to low-single digits in FY22, with the majority of revenue growth now being driven by the growth of the company&#39;s direct sales businesses - Tmall Supermarket and SunArt.</p><p>This expansion into direct sales (i.e. traditional retailing) is unlocking new areas for growth, but at the cost of significantly lower margins. The company has also increased investment in its platforms and increased spending for user growth and on merchant support, further depressing margins.</p><p>As a result, EBITA margin has declined from 50% in FY20 to around 30% in FY22, offsetting the impact of the growth in revenue. The company expects margins to continue to be affected by this trend as direct sales account for an increasing share of revenue.</p><p><i>Please note: The</i> <i>EBITA reported by management excludes share-based compensation expenses. While we understand that it can be a useful metric on this basis, we have adjusted it to include the share-based compensation expense as this is a true cost to the company. Any reference to EBITA throughout this article is on that basis.</i></p><p>Cloud<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1405b6c4f1226c547e7b52fbc28864e\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>The trend of slowing growth is not confined to ecommerce, with the Cloud segment also seeing growth slow to 25% in FY22. The slowing growth was due to the loss of a significant customer as well as slowing demand from customers in China&#39;s internet industry.</p><p>The slowdown in FY22 follows a year where revenue grew by a little over 50% and has grown by 85% since in the past 2 years. In addition, excluding the impact of the customer loss, the underlying business actually grew by 29%.</p><p>The continued top-line growth is contributing to improving operating margins, albeit the Cloud business remains loss making. If share awards are excluded, however, Cloud has actually grown beyond its break-even point generating an EBITA margin of 2% in FY22. Due to the operational leverage of these types of businesses, further top line growth should start to result in improving margins.</p><p>International Commerce<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfec3544f8ac5498ceeeb239868cd84b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from Company Annual Report.</p><p>The theme in International commerce is similar. Revenue growth slowed to 25% in FY22, following a strong FY21 which saw revenue grow by 44%. The slowdown has in part been due to various headwinds faced by AliExpress and Trendyol, which have been key growth drivers of growth in recent years.</p><p>Trendyol has been affected by high inflation in Turkey and the weakened Turkish Lira, whilst AliExpress sales have been affected by the removal of the EU VAT exemption for low value foreign imports. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has also resulted in supply chain and logistics disruptions.</p><p>The International commerce segment as a whole continues to be loss making, with the profits from the wholesaling business not enough to outweigh the losses from the retail side. The loss actually increased in FY22 due to increased promotional spend and user acquisition costs in respect of Lazada and the cost of investments in Trendyol at a time when it is suffering from the economic situation.</p><p>The &#34;ecosystem&#34;<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2fdfe85079b26520b0b049772b90c81\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Whilst Alibaba operates numerous individual platforms, they all combine to create the &#34;Alibaba ecosystem.&#34; At first glance, Alibaba operates a profitable e-commerce business in China which it uses to subsidize a host of other unprofitable ventures. However, it is too simplistic to look at Alibaba in this way.</p><p>Businesses which are currently loss-making, may still contribute positively to the overall strength and profitability of the wider ecosystem. The more services and platforms the company has, the greater the network effects and switching costs become for consumers and merchants.</p><p>Not providing such services could result in a loss of consumers and merchants to competitors, where the long-term impact would be greater than the cost of offering the service at a loss. On the other hand, if any loss-making business is not beneficial to the rest of the ecosystem, we would expect that it ultimately be wound down or disposed of.</p><p>Many of the loss-making businesses were also only acquired or started in recent years and have yet to reach a critical mass. Take the Cloud business, for example. This is a business which requires a lot of investment and has a largely fixed cost base, meaning it needs to reach a certain size to break-even. Any growth beyond that should be rewarded with very high margins.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bf0a8cfb2214f758e87dce71528968\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Looking at the Alibaba group as a whole, the theme of strong but slowing growth holds true. Again, it is important to view this in the context of the group growing its top line more than 5 times since 2017 - equivalent to a compound annual growth rate of 32%.</p><p>Since 2017, growth has come at the expense of profitability, with EBITA margins falling from almost 40% to less than 15% in FY22. If this decline in profitability had occurred whilst the operations of the group had remained constant, then we would see it as reason to be concerned. However, the key reason for the declining margins is the company&#39;s expansion which will form the basis for the company&#39;s future growth.</p><p>Whilst some of the decline in margin is structural as a result of expansion into lower margin business such as traditional retail and logistics, we do expect margins to improve as the company continues to grow and its businesses benefit from advantages of scale.</p><p>Any management team which is willing to put long-term success ahead of short-term profitability should be commended. The culture at Alibaba appears to be geared towards this. The legal structure - which essentially gives shareholders zero control over the management of the company - also means management is less likely to be concerned by the short-term demands of the market or shareholders.</p><p>The overall profitability of Alibaba is not solely dependent on its operating businesses. Significant fluctuations in the company&#39;s investment portfolio can also have a significant impact on net income. In both FY20 and FY21, the company recognized gains of over RMB 70 billion, equivalent to more than 90% of the company&#39;s operating income in each of those years. However, in FY22, the value of the company&#39;s listed portfolio declined by over RMB 15 billion - wiping out almost 25% of the company&#39;s operating income.</p><p>The performance of equity method investees - particularly Ant Group - can also materially impact overall profitability. Alibaba&#39;s share of profits from equity investees has improved from a loss of RMB 5 billion in FY20 to a gain of RMB 14 billion in FY22. Performance in FY22 was boosted by gains in investments recognized by Ant Group rather than improvements in the underlying business, meaning future profits may not be so high.</p><p>Overall, adjusted net income - which excludes changes in the value of investments described above, as well as certain one-off or non-cash costs - has been broadly flat in the three years through FY22 in the range of RMB 100 billion to RMB 120 billion.</p><p>Cash flow<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d77c5942124c46a9eacf378c77ef67\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"726\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.</p><p>Essentially all of the company&#39;s net income translates into free cash which can be used to fund acquisitions or returns to shareholders.</p><p>In the three years through FY22, the company has generated over RMB 400 million in free cash flows. The main use for this cash flow has been acquisitions, with the company investing around 50% of its cumulative free cash flow on new or additional investment in equities, business combinations or non-wholly owned subsidiaries.</p><p>The company does not and has never paid any dividend, but does have a share repurchase program of up to $25 billion (RMB 103 billion). As of 30 June 2022, there is a further $12 billion (RMB 81 billion) still to be completed by 2024, equivalent to around 5% of outstanding shares at the current price.</p><p>The strong cash generation of the business is reflected on its balance sheet, with a net cash position of RMB 378 billion as of 30 June 2022.</p><p><i>Note: TheFCF metric reported by management</i> <i>excludes the acquisition of land use rights and construction in progress relating to office campuses. Whilst these do not relate directly to the revenue-generating segments, they are still a true cash outflow from an investor&#39;s perspective. As such, we have adjusted management&#39;s FCF metric to include these outflows.</i></p><p>Q1 FY23 Trading Update<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6159fb931608db1e29590a5bf712b2d3\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by author. Data from Q1 FY23 trading update.</p><p>On 4 August 2022, the company released their results for the first quarter of FY23. A further slowdown with revenue flat on the same period in the prior, albeit management reported that a slow April and May had been offset but a recovery in June.</p><p>China commerce revenue fell by 1% as GMV fell by a single-digit percentage and order cancellations increased as a result of the Covid-19 resurgence. This was partially offset by modest single digit growth in International commerce, Local consumer services and Cainiao. Cloud was the stand-out performer with revenue up 10% on the prior year. Despite stable revenues, earnings of the operating business were down by almost 20% as EBITA margins fell from 17% to 11%.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Regulation</p><p>The company operates a number of businesses in which foreign ownership or investment is restricted or prohibited. To ensure the company remains compliant, the businesses which are subject to these restrictions are carved out in separate legal entities which are not owned directly or indirectly by Alibaba, with control and economic benefit provided by way of contracts. Should the law (or interpretation thereof) change, there is a risk that Alibaba could be required to sell or cease operations in some of its businesses in China.</p><p>De-listing</p><p>There is a conflict between what the PCAOB in the US requires of auditors of US-listed companies and what auditors in China are allowed to disclose under Chinese law. Without cooperation on this issue, Alibaba may be prohibited from trading on the NYSE or other U.S. stock exchange by 2024 under current laws.</p><p>SEC investigation</p><p>In early 2016, the SEC initiated an investigation into whether the company has violated any federal securities laws in relation to its accounting practices. The investigation is ongoing and it is unclear what, if any, consequences the company could face.</p><p>Outlook</p><p>Management does not provide any medium-term guidance or targets in respect of the company&#39;s financial performance. However, its growth strategy revolves around the following three key trends.</p><p>Consumption</p><p>Consumption is a key driver of company performance. With the 1 billion active users on its e-commerce platforms in China, the company already has deep penetration of the domestic market. However, there is scope to grow through further penetration of less developed regions and capturing a larger proportion of existing users&#39; spending.</p><p>Digitalization</p><p>Digitalization of the economy, particularly through cloud computing, represents a huge area of new business opportunity. China&#39;s cloud computing industry is still at a nascent stage of development and is forecast to increase by 400% by 2025.</p><p>Globalization</p><p>The company also hopes to capitalize on globalization. The initial focus is on expansion in Southeast Asia, through localized and cross-border offerings. Alibaba is already the largest IaaS service provider in Asia Pacific, and it continues to expand its international cloud infrastructure, with data centers in 27 regions globally, including Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Alibaba has two major components to it: its operating businesses (including its subsidiaries, VIEs and equity method investees) and its investment portfolio.</p><p>As of 16 August 2022, the company&#39;s ADRs (equivalent to 8 ordinary shares) trade at around $92, giving a total market capitalization of c.$244 billion (RMB 1,653 billion). Excluding the company&#39;s significant net cash position (including short-term investments) of RMB 453 billion and its investment portfolio with a value of RMB 234 billion, this implies a valuation of RMB 966 billion for the operating business alone.</p><p>Our approach to valuing the operating businesses centers around determining the true underlying earnings power of the business or &#34;owner earnings.&#34; In the case of Alibaba, we will use Non-GAAP net income - which excludes amortization of intangibles, gains/losses in respect of investments and one-off non-recurring items such as fines - as our basis. Owner earnings in FY22 were around RMB 112 billion, equivalent to a price-to-earnings ratio of 9x for the operating businesses.</p><p>Due to the number of operating businesses and the limited information available in respect of each, we have not attempted to value each individually. Rather, we have applied high level assumptions at the group level to consider the implied potential returns under various hypothetical scenarios in reaching a conclusion on the attractiveness of the current valuation.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Assumptions</b></td><td><b>Lower</b></td><td><b>Mid</b></td><td><b>Upper</b></td></tr><tr><td>Net income growth</td><td>5%</td><td>7%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Price-to-earnings multiple</td><td>12x</td><td>15x</td><td>18x</td></tr></tbody></table><p>The assumed growth in earnings of 3% at the lower end and 7% at the upper end are low by historical standards, with historical growth in adjusted net income of 18% in the period FY17-FY22. We also assume that the company has to retain and reinvest 75% of its earnings to achieve this modest growth in net earnings, which is high by historical standards and may well be a lot lower in practice. We also make no allowance for any growth in the value of the company&#39;s investment portfolio.</p><p>Even under these scenarios, which we feel provide for a significant margin of safety, the implied 10-year compound annual return ranges from 22% on the lower end to 34% on the higher end - a total return of between 5x and 16x in 10 years.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>There are two equally string but conflicting components when it comes to Alibaba as a prospective investment: the strength and prospects of the company&#39;s operating businesses versus the inherent uncertainty of investing in businesses with significant operations in China.</p><p>Where you come out on the balance between those two will ultimately determine whether you see it as an absolute bargain or a complete no-go. As long-term contrarian value investors, we feel the business strengths, discounted value, and prospective returns on offer are too attractive to ignore. For that reason, we consider it a &#34;buy&#34; and have allocated a significant proportion of our portfolio to it at the current price.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Fortunes Will Be Made\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535761-alibaba-fortunes-will-be-made><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets and territories.With Alibaba’s operating businesses currently trading at around 9 times at a time when...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535761-alibaba-fortunes-will-be-made\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535761-alibaba-fortunes-will-be-made","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137992204","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba is the ecommerce market leader in China and is investing strongly into new markets and territories.With Alibaba’s operating businesses currently trading at around 9 times at a time when margins are depressed, 30%+ annual compound returns over the next decade are possible.The decision to invest or not ultimately depends on where investors land on the perceived risks of investing in China.Whilst there are realistic risks, we think they are overblown and that long-term investors will do well by remaining rationally optimistic.At the current price, we rate the stock as a “Buy.” Should the current risks reduce or be resolved, we would consider it a “Strong Buy” at the current level.Our viewAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,BABAF) is one of the most controversial companies when it comes to investor opinion. Many believe it is a great business at a bargain price, whilst others believe the risks mean it is untouchable, even at a significant discount.Putting the risks aside for a moment, there is a lot to love about Alibaba:the world's largest global e-commerce platform, bigger than Amazon (AMZN) and JD.com (JD) combined based on GMV;a Cloud computing business in China which is a leader in a market which is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years;a dominant position in China and an increasing presence across Southeast Asia meaning it is well placed to benefit from economic progress in the region; andstrong free cash flow and a solid balance sheet providing ample resources to continue to make strategic acquisitions and/or returns to shareholders.Alibaba's operating businesses currently trade at a multiple of around 9x owner earnings. And this is at a time when the company is in an investment phase, meaning margins are depressed and the true underlying earnings potential is underrepresented. Modest earnings growth combined with recovery in the valuation multiple could provide investors 30%+ annual returns over the next decade.Based on these metrics, it is difficult to disagree that the current price represents an attractive valuation. However, the investment decision ultimately relies on the conclusion investors reach on the likelihood and impact of the various potential risks materializing.When it comes to risks generally, investors can be guilty of ignoring them completely or assuming the worst-case scenario. In the case of Alibaba, we think the latter is true. Whilst there will inevitably be ongoing friction as the US learns to live in a world with a rising China, our view is that the world will ultimately continue to make progress and prosper over the long-term. We believe investors would do well by remaining rationally optimistic.Even if we put our optimistic worldview aside, we feel that some of the risks are overblown. Only 10% of the company's external revenue is generated through the regulated businesses held within the VIE structures, and this will only reduce as the company continues to diversify and expand internationally.As for the potential de-listing from the NYSE, we would hope that agreement can be reached to avert this eventually. However, in absence of cooperation on that issue, the company is pursuing a dual primary listing in Hong Kong which will provide investors with an alternative market in an internationally recognized financial center.Overall, we feel that the strength of its businesses combined with the significantly discounted valuation compensate for the actual severity and likelihood of the risks materializing. We think it is a clear \"Buy\" at the current valuation. Should these risks reduce or a long-term resolution be reached, we see reason to upgrade our rating to \"Strong Buy.\"With that being said, each investor must consider this in the context of their own investment objectives, risk tolerance and psychological resilience. Bargains are never found in times of comfort and stability. As value investors with a long-term horizon and a deeply contrarian nature, we believe will be handsomely rewarded for the long and potentially rocky journey ahead.An overview of AlibabaNote from author: This section provides a description of the major services and businesses which are within the Alibaba ecosystem. For those who are already familiar with the operations of Alibaba, we suggest that you skip to the following section.Alibaba is an e-commerce giant which serves 1.31 billion annual active consumers across the many platforms and businesses in the Alibaba Ecosystem. Total Gross Merchandise Value (\"GMV\") transacted in the Alibaba Ecosystem in FY22 was RMB 8.3 trillion ($1.3 trillion), making it the largest retail commerce business in the world, according to Analysys.Alibaba reports its business across a number of segments: China commerce, International commerce; Local consumer services; Cainiao; Cloud; Digital media and entertainment; and Innovation initiatives and others. We provide an overview of each below.China CommerceAlibaba Annual Report FY22Alibaba's China Commerce segment is primarily Taobao and Tmall. Together, these constitute the world's largest digital retail business in terms of GMV for the twelve months ended 31 March 2022, according to Analysys.TaobaoTaobao is the company's main commerce platform and is both the starting point and destination portal for many users' shopping journey. It allows individuals and small businesses to create online storefronts and product listings for free. Alibaba generates revenue through add-ons sold to sellers, such as analytics and marketing. As well as being a shopping platform itself, it acts as a funnel for other platforms in the Alibaba ecosystem.TmallTmall is the partner of choice for both domestic and International brands. The platform is essentially a virtual mall, allowing brands and retailers to operate their own unique storefronts. The platform has a wide range of brands, with 320,000 brands and merchants on Tmall, including over 80% of the consumer brands ranked in the Forbes Top 100 World's Most Valuable Brands for 2021. It is the largest third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers in the world in terms of GMV, according to Analysys. The platform differs from Taobao in that it charges retailers and merchants fees for setting up stores and a share of ongoing GMV, in addition to offering value-add services.OtherThere are a host of other platforms and businesses which cater to various markets. These includeTaobao Deals - like Taoboao, but with a focus on value-for-money products;Taocaicai - a community marketplace that offers consumers next-day pick-up services for a wide range of groceries and fresh goods at neighborhood pick-up points;Tmall Supermarket - offers daily necessities, FMCG and general merchandise through Taobao app with same-or-next-day delivery services;Freshippo - a retail chain for groceries and fresh goods with over 200 stores offering 30-minute delivery to customers living within a three kilometer radius of the store; andSun Art - an online and physical hypermarket.AlimamaThe company monetizes its broad user base and insights into customer behaviors through its Alimama platform. Alimama offers paid marketing services to merchants, retailers and promoters allowing them to advertise across its many platforms. This marketing is not confined to the Alibaba ecosystem, with affiliate programs allowing its users to directly market to consumers on other platforms outside of Alibaba's.In addition to ads within the Alibaba ecosystem, the company offers wider distribution through the Taobao Ad Network and Exchange (\"TANX\"), one of the largest real-time online bidding marketing exchanges in China. TANX helps publishers to monetize their media inventories both on mobile apps and web properties, automating the buying and selling of tens of billions of marketing impressions on a daily basis.1688.comAlibaba's domestic wholesale business, 1688.com, is China's largest integrated domestic wholesale marketplace in 2021 by net revenue, according to Analysys. Wholesalers pay a fixed annual subscription to sell with no additional fees, but can pay for additional premium features such as data analytics and marketing etc. These additional services account for the vast majority of income from wholesaling.International CommerceAlibaba Annual Report FY22LazadaLazada is a leading and fast-growing e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and serves one of the largest user bases among the global e-commerce platforms. It caters to merchants of all sizes, from individuals to regional and global brands. Lazada also operates one of the leading e-commerce logistics networks in Southeast Asia, with the vast majority of Lazada's parcels going through its own facilities or first- and last-mile fleet.AliExpressAliExpress enables global consumers to buy directly from manufacturers and distributors in China and around the world. It is available in 18 languages and services consumers across many countries including the US and Europe.TrendyolTrendyol is a leading e-commerce platform in Turkey in terms of both GMV and order volume in 2021. It offers a large selection of products through e-commerce business as well as instant delivery services for food and groceries, as well as having its own fulfillment and logistics networks.Alibaba.comAlibaba.com is China's largest integrated international online wholesale marketplace in 2021 by revenue, according to Analysys, serving over 40 million buyers from over 190 countries in FY22. Like its domestic wholesaling counterpart, Alibaba generates the majority of the revenue through this platform for the additional value-add services it offers to merchants.Local Consumer ServicesCompany Annual Report FY22The company's local consumer services business is looking to expand its reach beyond products into consumer services, whether that is at home through its \"To Home\" businesses or on the go through its \"To Destination\" businesses.To HomeEle.me- a leading local services and on-demand delivery platform which enables consumers to order food and beverages, groceries, FMCG, flowers and pharmaceutical products anytime and anywhere.Fengniao Logistics - an on-demand delivery network which provides last-mile logistics services to orders placed through Ele.me as well as to other businesses in the Alibaba ecosystem including Freshippo, Sun Art, and Alibaba Health.Taoxianda - an online-offline integration service solution for FMCG brands and third-party grocery retail partners, facilitates the digitalization of retailers' operations.To-DestinationAmap - a leading provider of mobile digital map navigation and one-stop access point to services such as navigation, local services and ride-hailing. Amap technology underlies a range of apps both inside and outside of the Alibaba ecosystem, and the company provides map data and navigation software to international and domestic automotive companies.Fliggy - a leading online travel platform which provides comprehensive services to meet consumers' travel needs for airline and train tickets, accommodation, car rental, package tours and local attractions.Koubei - a restaurant and local services guide platform for in-store consumption, provides merchants with targeted marketing solutions, digital operation capabilities and analytics tools and allows consumers to discover local services content on the platform.CainiaoCainiao is a domestic and international one-stop shop for logistics services and supply chain management solutions, data insights and technology to digitalize the entire logistics process and enhance the capabilities of its logistics partners.It offers parcel pick-up services through a neighborhood logistics solution that operates a network of neighborhood, campus and rural village stations and residential self pick-up lockers. Consumers can also enjoy parcel pick-up at the doorstep and time-guaranteed delivery service through Cainiao.For merchants, Cainiao has built a full-fledged fulfillment network at provincial, city, and county levels in China, which offers customized fulfillment solutions to merchants across the Alibaba ecosystem. It has a network of assets and partners to support merchants on cross-border and international commerce retail platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada.CloudAlibaba Group is the world's third largest and Asia Pacific's largest Infrastructure-as-a-service (\"IaaS\") provider by revenue in 2021, according to Gartner's April 2022 report. It is also China's largest provider of public cloud services by revenue in 2021, including PaaS and IaaS services, according to IDC.Alibaba CloudAlibaba Cloud offers a complete suite of cloud services, including proprietary servers, elastic computing, storage, network, security, database and big data, and IoT services, serving our ecosystem and beyond. Alibaba Cloud offers computing services in 27 regions globally and served more than 60% of A-share listed companies in China in FY22. As digital transformation accelerates, customers from non-Internet industries have increased their usage of cloud services, with such revenue accounting for half of cloud computing revenue in FY22.DingTalkDingTalk is a digital collaboration workplace and application development platform that offers new ways of working, sharing and collaboration for modern enterprises and organizations and is the largest business efficiency mobile app in China by monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile.DingTalk provides a comprehensive suite of solutions for enterprise collaboration, including real-time communication, organizational management and various network collaboration tools such as data storage, calendars, workflow management and shared documents. Enterprises can also enjoy convenient access to a broad range of applications, including those offered by third-party service providers, that are seamlessly integrated with DingTalk's platform.Digital Media and EntertainmentCompany Annual Report FY22In line with the continued expansion into areas beyond product consumption, the group is looking to benefit from media consumption through its delivery platforms as well as through the production and distribution of its own and third-party content.The first of these platforms is Youku, the third largest online long-form video platform in China in terms of monthly active users in March 2022, according to QuestMobile. The second is Quark which helps young users gain access to a variety of digital content and information for learning and work purposes.The company also produces, promotes and distributes content through Alibaba Pictures. In 2022, eight movies released by Alibaba Pictures were among the top ten domestic movies in terms of ticket sales. The company also provides ticketing services for live events - concerts, plays, and sporting events - through Damai, and develops and distributes mobile games through Lingxi Games.InnovationIn 2019, Alibaba established the DAMO Academy, a global research program in cutting-edge technologies that aims to integrate and speed up knowledge exchange between science and industry. An example of the innovation is the proprietary L4 self-driving vehicle Xiaomanlv used by Cainiao, which has delivered over 10 million parcels within gated communities and university campuses.Its Tmall Genie product range provides a selection of internet-enabled smart home appliances, including smart speakers, lights and remote controls. The Tmall Genie smart speaker is a leading smart speaker in China in terms of sales units, and provides an interactive interface for our customers to easily access services offered by the company.InvestmentsIn addition to its operating businesses, Alibaba has a portfolio of equity (listed and private) and debt investments with a total value of RMB 239 billion as of 30 June 2022. The company also has a number of investments in which it holds a minority stake (\"equity investees\"). The most significant of these is the group's 33% stake in the Ant Group, the parent company of Alipay which provides substantially all of the payment processing and all of the escrow services on Alibaba marketplaces.Business reviewThe Alibaba GroupPrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Despite its many operating businesses and international expansion, Alibaba is still predominantly a domestic e-commerce business in China. In FY22, China commerce - which include the company's domestic retail and wholesale businesses - accounted for almost 80% of the group's revenue. The next largest segments are Cloud (8% of revenue) and International Commerce (7% of revenue). We consider the performance of these three key segments below.China CommercePrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.The e-commerce businesses in China continue to grow albeit at a slower rate, with growth slowing from 45% in FY21 to 18% in FY22. The company's main ecommerce platforms in China - Taobao and Tmall - have seen their revenue growth slow to low-single digits in FY22, with the majority of revenue growth now being driven by the growth of the company's direct sales businesses - Tmall Supermarket and SunArt.This expansion into direct sales (i.e. traditional retailing) is unlocking new areas for growth, but at the cost of significantly lower margins. The company has also increased investment in its platforms and increased spending for user growth and on merchant support, further depressing margins.As a result, EBITA margin has declined from 50% in FY20 to around 30% in FY22, offsetting the impact of the growth in revenue. The company expects margins to continue to be affected by this trend as direct sales account for an increasing share of revenue.Please note: The EBITA reported by management excludes share-based compensation expenses. While we understand that it can be a useful metric on this basis, we have adjusted it to include the share-based compensation expense as this is a true cost to the company. Any reference to EBITA throughout this article is on that basis.CloudPrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.The trend of slowing growth is not confined to ecommerce, with the Cloud segment also seeing growth slow to 25% in FY22. The slowing growth was due to the loss of a significant customer as well as slowing demand from customers in China's internet industry.The slowdown in FY22 follows a year where revenue grew by a little over 50% and has grown by 85% since in the past 2 years. In addition, excluding the impact of the customer loss, the underlying business actually grew by 29%.The continued top-line growth is contributing to improving operating margins, albeit the Cloud business remains loss making. If share awards are excluded, however, Cloud has actually grown beyond its break-even point generating an EBITA margin of 2% in FY22. Due to the operational leverage of these types of businesses, further top line growth should start to result in improving margins.International CommercePrepared by author. Data from Company Annual Report.The theme in International commerce is similar. Revenue growth slowed to 25% in FY22, following a strong FY21 which saw revenue grow by 44%. The slowdown has in part been due to various headwinds faced by AliExpress and Trendyol, which have been key growth drivers of growth in recent years.Trendyol has been affected by high inflation in Turkey and the weakened Turkish Lira, whilst AliExpress sales have been affected by the removal of the EU VAT exemption for low value foreign imports. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has also resulted in supply chain and logistics disruptions.The International commerce segment as a whole continues to be loss making, with the profits from the wholesaling business not enough to outweigh the losses from the retail side. The loss actually increased in FY22 due to increased promotional spend and user acquisition costs in respect of Lazada and the cost of investments in Trendyol at a time when it is suffering from the economic situation.The \"ecosystem\"Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Whilst Alibaba operates numerous individual platforms, they all combine to create the \"Alibaba ecosystem.\" At first glance, Alibaba operates a profitable e-commerce business in China which it uses to subsidize a host of other unprofitable ventures. However, it is too simplistic to look at Alibaba in this way.Businesses which are currently loss-making, may still contribute positively to the overall strength and profitability of the wider ecosystem. The more services and platforms the company has, the greater the network effects and switching costs become for consumers and merchants.Not providing such services could result in a loss of consumers and merchants to competitors, where the long-term impact would be greater than the cost of offering the service at a loss. On the other hand, if any loss-making business is not beneficial to the rest of the ecosystem, we would expect that it ultimately be wound down or disposed of.Many of the loss-making businesses were also only acquired or started in recent years and have yet to reach a critical mass. Take the Cloud business, for example. This is a business which requires a lot of investment and has a largely fixed cost base, meaning it needs to reach a certain size to break-even. Any growth beyond that should be rewarded with very high margins.Prepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Looking at the Alibaba group as a whole, the theme of strong but slowing growth holds true. Again, it is important to view this in the context of the group growing its top line more than 5 times since 2017 - equivalent to a compound annual growth rate of 32%.Since 2017, growth has come at the expense of profitability, with EBITA margins falling from almost 40% to less than 15% in FY22. If this decline in profitability had occurred whilst the operations of the group had remained constant, then we would see it as reason to be concerned. However, the key reason for the declining margins is the company's expansion which will form the basis for the company's future growth.Whilst some of the decline in margin is structural as a result of expansion into lower margin business such as traditional retail and logistics, we do expect margins to improve as the company continues to grow and its businesses benefit from advantages of scale.Any management team which is willing to put long-term success ahead of short-term profitability should be commended. The culture at Alibaba appears to be geared towards this. The legal structure - which essentially gives shareholders zero control over the management of the company - also means management is less likely to be concerned by the short-term demands of the market or shareholders.The overall profitability of Alibaba is not solely dependent on its operating businesses. Significant fluctuations in the company's investment portfolio can also have a significant impact on net income. In both FY20 and FY21, the company recognized gains of over RMB 70 billion, equivalent to more than 90% of the company's operating income in each of those years. However, in FY22, the value of the company's listed portfolio declined by over RMB 15 billion - wiping out almost 25% of the company's operating income.The performance of equity method investees - particularly Ant Group - can also materially impact overall profitability. Alibaba's share of profits from equity investees has improved from a loss of RMB 5 billion in FY20 to a gain of RMB 14 billion in FY22. Performance in FY22 was boosted by gains in investments recognized by Ant Group rather than improvements in the underlying business, meaning future profits may not be so high.Overall, adjusted net income - which excludes changes in the value of investments described above, as well as certain one-off or non-cash costs - has been broadly flat in the three years through FY22 in the range of RMB 100 billion to RMB 120 billion.Cash flowPrepared by author. Data from company annual reports.Essentially all of the company's net income translates into free cash which can be used to fund acquisitions or returns to shareholders.In the three years through FY22, the company has generated over RMB 400 million in free cash flows. The main use for this cash flow has been acquisitions, with the company investing around 50% of its cumulative free cash flow on new or additional investment in equities, business combinations or non-wholly owned subsidiaries.The company does not and has never paid any dividend, but does have a share repurchase program of up to $25 billion (RMB 103 billion). As of 30 June 2022, there is a further $12 billion (RMB 81 billion) still to be completed by 2024, equivalent to around 5% of outstanding shares at the current price.The strong cash generation of the business is reflected on its balance sheet, with a net cash position of RMB 378 billion as of 30 June 2022.Note: TheFCF metric reported by management excludes the acquisition of land use rights and construction in progress relating to office campuses. Whilst these do not relate directly to the revenue-generating segments, they are still a true cash outflow from an investor's perspective. As such, we have adjusted management's FCF metric to include these outflows.Q1 FY23 Trading UpdatePrepared by author. Data from Q1 FY23 trading update.On 4 August 2022, the company released their results for the first quarter of FY23. A further slowdown with revenue flat on the same period in the prior, albeit management reported that a slow April and May had been offset but a recovery in June.China commerce revenue fell by 1% as GMV fell by a single-digit percentage and order cancellations increased as a result of the Covid-19 resurgence. This was partially offset by modest single digit growth in International commerce, Local consumer services and Cainiao. Cloud was the stand-out performer with revenue up 10% on the prior year. Despite stable revenues, earnings of the operating business were down by almost 20% as EBITA margins fell from 17% to 11%.RisksRegulationThe company operates a number of businesses in which foreign ownership or investment is restricted or prohibited. To ensure the company remains compliant, the businesses which are subject to these restrictions are carved out in separate legal entities which are not owned directly or indirectly by Alibaba, with control and economic benefit provided by way of contracts. Should the law (or interpretation thereof) change, there is a risk that Alibaba could be required to sell or cease operations in some of its businesses in China.De-listingThere is a conflict between what the PCAOB in the US requires of auditors of US-listed companies and what auditors in China are allowed to disclose under Chinese law. Without cooperation on this issue, Alibaba may be prohibited from trading on the NYSE or other U.S. stock exchange by 2024 under current laws.SEC investigationIn early 2016, the SEC initiated an investigation into whether the company has violated any federal securities laws in relation to its accounting practices. The investigation is ongoing and it is unclear what, if any, consequences the company could face.OutlookManagement does not provide any medium-term guidance or targets in respect of the company's financial performance. However, its growth strategy revolves around the following three key trends.ConsumptionConsumption is a key driver of company performance. With the 1 billion active users on its e-commerce platforms in China, the company already has deep penetration of the domestic market. However, there is scope to grow through further penetration of less developed regions and capturing a larger proportion of existing users' spending.DigitalizationDigitalization of the economy, particularly through cloud computing, represents a huge area of new business opportunity. China's cloud computing industry is still at a nascent stage of development and is forecast to increase by 400% by 2025.GlobalizationThe company also hopes to capitalize on globalization. The initial focus is on expansion in Southeast Asia, through localized and cross-border offerings. Alibaba is already the largest IaaS service provider in Asia Pacific, and it continues to expand its international cloud infrastructure, with data centers in 27 regions globally, including Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand.ValuationAlibaba has two major components to it: its operating businesses (including its subsidiaries, VIEs and equity method investees) and its investment portfolio.As of 16 August 2022, the company's ADRs (equivalent to 8 ordinary shares) trade at around $92, giving a total market capitalization of c.$244 billion (RMB 1,653 billion). Excluding the company's significant net cash position (including short-term investments) of RMB 453 billion and its investment portfolio with a value of RMB 234 billion, this implies a valuation of RMB 966 billion for the operating business alone.Our approach to valuing the operating businesses centers around determining the true underlying earnings power of the business or \"owner earnings.\" In the case of Alibaba, we will use Non-GAAP net income - which excludes amortization of intangibles, gains/losses in respect of investments and one-off non-recurring items such as fines - as our basis. Owner earnings in FY22 were around RMB 112 billion, equivalent to a price-to-earnings ratio of 9x for the operating businesses.Due to the number of operating businesses and the limited information available in respect of each, we have not attempted to value each individually. Rather, we have applied high level assumptions at the group level to consider the implied potential returns under various hypothetical scenarios in reaching a conclusion on the attractiveness of the current valuation.AssumptionsLowerMidUpperNet income growth5%7%9%Price-to-earnings multiple12x15x18xThe assumed growth in earnings of 3% at the lower end and 7% at the upper end are low by historical standards, with historical growth in adjusted net income of 18% in the period FY17-FY22. We also assume that the company has to retain and reinvest 75% of its earnings to achieve this modest growth in net earnings, which is high by historical standards and may well be a lot lower in practice. We also make no allowance for any growth in the value of the company's investment portfolio.Even under these scenarios, which we feel provide for a significant margin of safety, the implied 10-year compound annual return ranges from 22% on the lower end to 34% on the higher end - a total return of between 5x and 16x in 10 years.ConclusionThere are two equally string but conflicting components when it comes to Alibaba as a prospective investment: the strength and prospects of the company's operating businesses versus the inherent uncertainty of investing in businesses with significant operations in China.Where you come out on the balance between those two will ultimately determine whether you see it as an absolute bargain or a complete no-go. As long-term contrarian value investors, we feel the business strengths, discounted value, and prospective returns on offer are too attractive to ignore. For that reason, we consider it a \"buy\" and have allocated a significant proportion of our portfolio to it at the current price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075415294,"gmtCreate":1658240665618,"gmtModify":1676536126967,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awaiting the dragon 🐉","listText":"Awaiting the dragon 🐉","text":"Awaiting the dragon 🐉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075415294","repostId":"1128013391","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128013391","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658240028,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128013391?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128013391","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.</li><li>After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.</li><li>However, Alibaba&#39;s e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.</li><li>Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.</li><li>Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China&#39;s e-Commerce market.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b887b51b51f300ef64a42a227dcdff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Andrew Burton</span></p><p>It is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.</p><p>I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.</p><p><b>New round of fines for large Chinese tech companies</b></p><p>Last week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.</p><p>After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf26bb44feeb3e1ae51093c8b212e44\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.</p><p>Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9859ed387dc93ce5ea3521788e84f556\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>Why Alibaba&#39;s Commerce performance may be set to improve</b></p><p>China’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.</p><p>I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.</p><p>While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China&#39;s retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de51cc71edd3017cc209bc885f2f57d7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>eMarketer</span></p><p>E-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba&#39;s growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba&#39;s domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b75138e34865e1c34f0238048d5fb3\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p>But even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc81d5802b7f195078bf311072f6f7d0\" tg-width=\"937\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s valuation got another discount last week</b></p><p>It is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.</p><p>Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838ad34a6ddef0058d83ea7f46ee35ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risks with Alibaba</b></p><p>The real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China&#39;s anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.</p><p>Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba&#39;s recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>The Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.</p><p>But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1128013391","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.However, Alibaba's e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China's e-Commerce market.Andrew BurtonIt is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.New round of fines for large Chinese tech companiesLast week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.Seeking AlphaWhy Alibaba's Commerce performance may be set to improveChina’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China's retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.eMarketerE-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba's growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba's domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.AlibabaBut even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.AlibabaAlibaba's valuation got another discount last weekIt is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.Risks with AlibabaThe real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China's anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba's recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.Final thoughtsThe Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046684696,"gmtCreate":1656340330316,"gmtModify":1676535809407,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9046684696","repostId":"1190097673","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190097673","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1656338788,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190097673?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-27 22:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Cut to $1,150; Coinbase Cut to $45 | Price Target Changes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190097673","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Evercore ISI Group cut United Airlines Holdings, Inc. price target from $56 to $45. United Airlines ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfac6483d09d2f5726da948b02fc5697\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"664\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><ul><li>Evercore ISI Group cut <b>United Airlines Holdings, Inc.</b> price target from $56 to $45. United Airlines shares fell 0.8% to trade at $38.22 on Monday.</li></ul><ul><li>Baird lowered <b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc.</b> price target from $14 to $7. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares fell 1.9% to trade at $6.87 on Monday.</li><li>Cowen &amp; Co. raised the price target on <b>Merck &amp; Co., Inc.</b> from $95 to $102. Merck shares rose 1% to trade at $94.10 on Monday.</li><li>Goldman Sachs cut the price target on <b>Coinbase Global, Inc.</b> from $70 to $45. Coinbase shares dropped 7% to trade at $58.31 on Monday.</li><li>Mizuho cut <b>Tesla, Inc.</b> price target from $1,300 to $1,150. Tesla shares gained 2.3% to trade at $753.68 on Monday.</li></ul><ul><li>BMO Capital cut <b>Micron Technology, Inc.</b> price target from $115 to $85. FedEx shares rose 1.5% to trade at $59.32 on Monday.</li><li>Deutsche Bank raised <b>FedEx Corporation</b> price target from $298 to $320. FedEx shares rose 1.5% to trade at $246.84 on Monday.</li><li>Daiwa Capital cut the price target for <b>Oracle Corporation</b> from $87 to $70. Oracle shares fell 2.3% to trade at $69.16 on Monday.</li><li>RBC Capital lowered price target for <b>Citigroup Inc.</b> from $65 to $60. Citigroup shares rose 0.4% to trade at $48.03 on Monday.</li><li>Barclays cut the price target on <b>Accenture plc</b> from $455 to $370. Accenture shares fell 0.4% to trade at $48.03 on Monday.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Cut to $1,150; Coinbase Cut to $45 | Price Target Changes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Cut to $1,150; Coinbase Cut to $45 | Price Target Changes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-27 22:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfac6483d09d2f5726da948b02fc5697\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"664\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><ul><li>Evercore ISI Group cut <b>United Airlines Holdings, Inc.</b> price target from $56 to $45. United Airlines shares fell 0.8% to trade at $38.22 on Monday.</li></ul><ul><li>Baird lowered <b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc.</b> price target from $14 to $7. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares fell 1.9% to trade at $6.87 on Monday.</li><li>Cowen &amp; Co. raised the price target on <b>Merck &amp; Co., Inc.</b> from $95 to $102. Merck shares rose 1% to trade at $94.10 on Monday.</li><li>Goldman Sachs cut the price target on <b>Coinbase Global, Inc.</b> from $70 to $45. Coinbase shares dropped 7% to trade at $58.31 on Monday.</li><li>Mizuho cut <b>Tesla, Inc.</b> price target from $1,300 to $1,150. Tesla shares gained 2.3% to trade at $753.68 on Monday.</li></ul><ul><li>BMO Capital cut <b>Micron Technology, Inc.</b> price target from $115 to $85. FedEx shares rose 1.5% to trade at $59.32 on Monday.</li><li>Deutsche Bank raised <b>FedEx Corporation</b> price target from $298 to $320. FedEx shares rose 1.5% to trade at $246.84 on Monday.</li><li>Daiwa Capital cut the price target for <b>Oracle Corporation</b> from $87 to $70. Oracle shares fell 2.3% to trade at $69.16 on Monday.</li><li>RBC Capital lowered price target for <b>Citigroup Inc.</b> from $65 to $60. Citigroup shares rose 0.4% to trade at $48.03 on Monday.</li><li>Barclays cut the price target on <b>Accenture plc</b> from $455 to $370. Accenture shares fell 0.4% to trade at $48.03 on Monday.</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","MRK":"默沙东","UAL":"联合大陆航空","MU":"美光科技","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","FDX":"联邦快递","ORCL":"甲骨文","BBBY":"3B家居","ACN":"埃森哲"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190097673","content_text":"Evercore ISI Group cut United Airlines Holdings, Inc. price target from $56 to $45. United Airlines shares fell 0.8% to trade at $38.22 on Monday.Baird lowered Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. price target from $14 to $7. Bed Bath & Beyond shares fell 1.9% to trade at $6.87 on Monday.Cowen & Co. raised the price target on Merck & Co., Inc. from $95 to $102. Merck shares rose 1% to trade at $94.10 on Monday.Goldman Sachs cut the price target on Coinbase Global, Inc. from $70 to $45. Coinbase shares dropped 7% to trade at $58.31 on Monday.Mizuho cut Tesla, Inc. price target from $1,300 to $1,150. Tesla shares gained 2.3% to trade at $753.68 on Monday.BMO Capital cut Micron Technology, Inc. price target from $115 to $85. FedEx shares rose 1.5% to trade at $59.32 on Monday.Deutsche Bank raised FedEx Corporation price target from $298 to $320. FedEx shares rose 1.5% to trade at $246.84 on Monday.Daiwa Capital cut the price target for Oracle Corporation from $87 to $70. Oracle shares fell 2.3% to trade at $69.16 on Monday.RBC Capital lowered price target for Citigroup Inc. from $65 to $60. Citigroup shares rose 0.4% to trade at $48.03 on Monday.Barclays cut the price target on Accenture plc from $455 to $370. Accenture shares fell 0.4% to trade at $48.03 on Monday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919107840,"gmtCreate":1663744107780,"gmtModify":1676537328049,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"H","listText":"H","text":"H","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919107840","repostId":"2268917780","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2268917780","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663732800,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268917780?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 12:00","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268917780","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryGreat minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.Two of the mos","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Great minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.</li><li>Two of the most successful investors of our time, Charlie Munger and Li Lu, diverge starkly on Alibaba.</li><li>A comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the investment.</li><li>Risks commonly mentioned (VIE, delisting, etc.) are all symptoms to me, while Li Lu’s Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause.</li><li>Both bears and bulls can benefit from them and make more informed decisions.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0942ec404ebc02752e62408a90fefc89\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JuSun</span></p><h2>The investment thesis</h2><p>Charlie Munger needs no introduction, but some readers may need a bit more information on Li Lu. They have been close friends for almost 2 decades. Charlie Munger described Li Lu as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” And to Li Lu, Munger has been a &#34;mentor and good friend&#34; (in Li Lu&#39;s own words). The following brief bio taken from Wikipedia provides a bit more info on Li Lu (slightly edited by me):</p><blockquote>Li Lu (born April 6, 1966) is a Chinese-born American value investor, businessman, and philanthropist. In 1997, he founded Himalaya Capital Management, known for its disciplined and value-oriented approach to investing. Li met Charlie Munger on Thanksgiving 2003 and they have been friends since. With Munger&#39;s help, Li transformed his hedge fund into a long-only investment vehicle which is currently focused on global investment opportunities. Munger has stated that Li Lu is the only outside manager he’s ever invested with and he’s described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” Li Lu has been known as the man who introduced the Chinese battery and electric car maker BYD Company to Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett.</blockquote><p>It is interesting to observe that these two investors, who share both close friendship and also investing principles, diverge starkly on Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF). Munger has a large position in BABA, but Li Lu does not. And this leads us to the main topic of today. You will see a comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the BABA investment. On the one side, the current BABA situation presents an opportunity to buy a good business on the operation table, a hallmark investment strategy from Munger. On the other hand, this article will also dive into the view of Li Lu, especially his view on the civilization 2.5 status in China, as elaborated immediately below.</p><h2>Li Lu, BABA, and Civilization 2.5</h2><p>Li Lu’s current holdings in his Himalaya Capital Management are shown in the chart below. As mentioned above, Munger described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” But from his holdings, he is more Buffett than Buffett himself in terms of concentration. His portfolio consists of a total of 6 positions only and the largest position - Micron (MU) - represents almost 34% of the total portfolio size.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0cfbdc8a33a6b476b854ac581dd6f60\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: dataroma.com</span></p><p>You can also see that half of his picks overlap with Munger and Warren Buffett. All three of them like Bank of America (BAC), Apple (AAPL), and of course Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B).</p><p>However, BABA is where he and Munger diverge. As to be detailed in the next Section, Munger holds a sizeable BABA position, but Li Lu does not. So naturally, it triggers the question: Why? Seeking Alpha authors have detailed many risks such as VIE, delisting, et al. To me, these are symptoms. In my view, Li Lu’s following Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause. The theory was presented in a lecture he gave in 2015, and I think it is worth quoting in full (the emphases were added by me). And readers are highly encouraged to read the transcript in its entirety:</p><blockquote>I believe China is at interim stage between Civilization 2.0 and Civilization 3.0.<i>Let’s call it Civilization 2.5. China has come a long way but still has a long road ahead.</i>Therefore, <i>I think there is a high probability that China will continue on the main track of Civilization 3.0, as the cost of deviation is very high.</i>If you have a good understanding of China’s culture, people and history, you will agree that China will forge forward. This is particularly the case now that you have a better understanding of the essence of modern civilization. There is almost no chance of China leaving the common market, and the probability of China changing its market rules is also very small. Thus, it is highly probable that, in the next 2 to 3 decades, China will remain in the global market system, and adhere to free market principles, in addition to promoting science &amp; technology development.</blockquote><p>It will take time to go from Civilization 2.5 to 3.0. And surprises and setbacks like VIE and delisting are likely (plus a bunch more that we cannot even imagine today). So, given the timeframe and uncertainties, it is an understandable decision that some investors, Li Lu himself included, decided to stay on the sideline.</p><p>While Munger, apparently focused more on the opportunity side of the coin given that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” And we will elaborate on Munger&#39;s thinking and actions immediately below.</p><h2>Munger and BABA</h2><p>The following chart summarizes the key events that led to Munger’s actions. As you can see from the chart below, he started buying BABA shares in 2021 Q1, after a large correction in its share price caused by the cancellation of the highly anticipated Ant Group IPO. He then doubled down his stake in Alibaba twice: first in 2021 Q3, and then again in 2021 Q4.</p><p>There are certainly good reasons for Munger’s decision. In the near term, the market reacted too quickly to a series of short-term events based on perception (based on the information available at that time). And there is no lack of major events in the past 1 or 2 years as summarized in the chart (including a war, specifically the Russian/Ukraine war). As a result, even though BABA’s core business is intact, its valuation became too compressed when Munger pulled the trigger to double down his bets. It is a textbook reflection of his wisdom of buying a good business on the operating table. At the prices he bought into BABA, it was valued as a terminally cheap and stagnating business, while its core fundamentals not only remain intact but also well-positioned for growth.</p><p>In the longer term, as just mentioned, not only China will continue to upgrade to Civilization 3.0, but also other countries in the Asian Pacific region. And such an upgrade will present spectacular growth opportunities, and BABA is well-positioned to benefit from such an upgrade, as to be discussed next.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f64d51b9956d82d5a712c375aa004d1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author based on Yahoo data</span></p><h2>The upgrade to civilization 3.0 and BABA</h2><p>It is an unstopped trend that our world is moving toward e-commerce, and the epicenter of the remaining movement will be China and the Asian-Pacific region. Even though many of us are already impressed by the success of e-commerce giants like BABA and Amazon (AMZN), the movement toward e-commerce has just actually gotten started and the bulk of the growth is yet to come. The global e-commerce market size was valued at USD 9.09 trillion in 2019 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of 14.7% from 2020 to 2027. The secular support is even stronger for BABA as the Asia Pacific region is already dominating the market for e-commerce with a share of 55.3% in 2019. Furthermore, this region is expected to witness the fastest growth from 2020 to 2027 as seen below. Even by as early as 2023 – in about 2 years that is - retail e-commerce sales in Asia-Pacific are projected to be greater than the rest of the world combined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e1c49046f66ec88ec7e79914feb0658\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>And BABA stands best poised to benefit from this upgrade, especially from the Asian-Pacific momentum. As argued in my earlier article:</p><blockquote><i>Capitalizing on the continued e-commerce growth requires a combination of scale and reach, government support, and technology. And also, finally, geographical proximity and cultural compatibility certainly help. And BABA has all these stars aligned for its further expansion – especially in the Asian-Pacific region. The China government might be tightening its regulations on its domestic market, but it certainly encourages the overseas expansion of its tech giants like BABA. And BABA has already accomplished a substantial lead in capturing overseas markets, with its close neighbors such as Indonesia and Vietnam posting revenue growth of over 100% YoY recently.</i></blockquote><p>Risks and final thoughts</p><p>To recap, the current BABA situation is a textbook example of high-risk and high-return investment opportunities. There are plenty of risks in the near term and also in the long term. There has been no lack of major events in the past 1- or 2-years surrounding BABA (Ant IPO, fine, VEI, delisting, et al). In the near term, the China-U.S. trade tension and global geopolitical frictions will keep the stock prices in a highly volatile state. And I am sure there be more hiccups and surprises that investors have not thought about yet showing up in the near future.</p><p>In the long term, China is going through an upgrade from civilization 2.5 to 3.0. I agree with Li Lu’s view that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” But at the same time, the path of the upgrade will be long and full of setbacks. Independent thinkers like Munger and Li, despite their opposite actions, are essentially betting on the two sides of the same coin.</p><p>I am siding with Munger there and betting on the opportunity side. All the risks and opportunities mentioned above should apply equally to major China tech firms. However, I think the market now overly exaggerates the risk side for BABA and underestimates the opportunity side, creating an asymmetric opportunity. As you can see from the following chart, both the valuation of BABA and JD.com (JD) has been compressed substantially in the past two years. You can see that by the downward trend of the three-year medium of their price to CFO multiple. Despite the common risks/opportunities and also comparable (or even superior profitability as argued in our recent article), BABA was so much more compressed than JD. Its current P/CFO stands at only 10.55x, about 25% below JD’s 13,.98x, and a whopping 43% below its 3-year median of 18.44x.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c588d4b31a546d6b45775d98e8bd545b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>This article was written by</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Charlie Munger And Li Lu Divergence\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541883-alibaba-the-charlie-munger-and-li-lu-divergence><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGreat minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.Two of the most successful investors of our time, Charlie Munger and Li Lu, diverge starkly on Alibaba.A ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541883-alibaba-the-charlie-munger-and-li-lu-divergence\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541883-alibaba-the-charlie-munger-and-li-lu-divergence","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268917780","content_text":"SummaryGreat minds think alike. But what is even more interesting is when they do not.Two of the most successful investors of our time, Charlie Munger and Li Lu, diverge starkly on Alibaba.A comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the investment.Risks commonly mentioned (VIE, delisting, etc.) are all symptoms to me, while Li Lu’s Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause.Both bears and bulls can benefit from them and make more informed decisions.JuSunThe investment thesisCharlie Munger needs no introduction, but some readers may need a bit more information on Li Lu. They have been close friends for almost 2 decades. Charlie Munger described Li Lu as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” And to Li Lu, Munger has been a \"mentor and good friend\" (in Li Lu's own words). The following brief bio taken from Wikipedia provides a bit more info on Li Lu (slightly edited by me):Li Lu (born April 6, 1966) is a Chinese-born American value investor, businessman, and philanthropist. In 1997, he founded Himalaya Capital Management, known for its disciplined and value-oriented approach to investing. Li met Charlie Munger on Thanksgiving 2003 and they have been friends since. With Munger's help, Li transformed his hedge fund into a long-only investment vehicle which is currently focused on global investment opportunities. Munger has stated that Li Lu is the only outside manager he’s ever invested with and he’s described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” Li Lu has been known as the man who introduced the Chinese battery and electric car maker BYD Company to Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett.It is interesting to observe that these two investors, who share both close friendship and also investing principles, diverge starkly on Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF). Munger has a large position in BABA, but Li Lu does not. And this leads us to the main topic of today. You will see a comparison of their views and actions best illustrates the opportunities and risks associated with the BABA investment. On the one side, the current BABA situation presents an opportunity to buy a good business on the operation table, a hallmark investment strategy from Munger. On the other hand, this article will also dive into the view of Li Lu, especially his view on the civilization 2.5 status in China, as elaborated immediately below.Li Lu, BABA, and Civilization 2.5Li Lu’s current holdings in his Himalaya Capital Management are shown in the chart below. As mentioned above, Munger described him as the “Chinese Warren Buffett.” But from his holdings, he is more Buffett than Buffett himself in terms of concentration. His portfolio consists of a total of 6 positions only and the largest position - Micron (MU) - represents almost 34% of the total portfolio size.Source: dataroma.comYou can also see that half of his picks overlap with Munger and Warren Buffett. All three of them like Bank of America (BAC), Apple (AAPL), and of course Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B).However, BABA is where he and Munger diverge. As to be detailed in the next Section, Munger holds a sizeable BABA position, but Li Lu does not. So naturally, it triggers the question: Why? Seeking Alpha authors have detailed many risks such as VIE, delisting, et al. To me, these are symptoms. In my view, Li Lu’s following Civilization 2.5 theory offers a more fundamental explanation of the underlying cause. The theory was presented in a lecture he gave in 2015, and I think it is worth quoting in full (the emphases were added by me). And readers are highly encouraged to read the transcript in its entirety:I believe China is at interim stage between Civilization 2.0 and Civilization 3.0.Let’s call it Civilization 2.5. China has come a long way but still has a long road ahead.Therefore, I think there is a high probability that China will continue on the main track of Civilization 3.0, as the cost of deviation is very high.If you have a good understanding of China’s culture, people and history, you will agree that China will forge forward. This is particularly the case now that you have a better understanding of the essence of modern civilization. There is almost no chance of China leaving the common market, and the probability of China changing its market rules is also very small. Thus, it is highly probable that, in the next 2 to 3 decades, China will remain in the global market system, and adhere to free market principles, in addition to promoting science & technology development.It will take time to go from Civilization 2.5 to 3.0. And surprises and setbacks like VIE and delisting are likely (plus a bunch more that we cannot even imagine today). So, given the timeframe and uncertainties, it is an understandable decision that some investors, Li Lu himself included, decided to stay on the sideline.While Munger, apparently focused more on the opportunity side of the coin given that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” And we will elaborate on Munger's thinking and actions immediately below.Munger and BABAThe following chart summarizes the key events that led to Munger’s actions. As you can see from the chart below, he started buying BABA shares in 2021 Q1, after a large correction in its share price caused by the cancellation of the highly anticipated Ant Group IPO. He then doubled down his stake in Alibaba twice: first in 2021 Q3, and then again in 2021 Q4.There are certainly good reasons for Munger’s decision. In the near term, the market reacted too quickly to a series of short-term events based on perception (based on the information available at that time). And there is no lack of major events in the past 1 or 2 years as summarized in the chart (including a war, specifically the Russian/Ukraine war). As a result, even though BABA’s core business is intact, its valuation became too compressed when Munger pulled the trigger to double down his bets. It is a textbook reflection of his wisdom of buying a good business on the operating table. At the prices he bought into BABA, it was valued as a terminally cheap and stagnating business, while its core fundamentals not only remain intact but also well-positioned for growth.In the longer term, as just mentioned, not only China will continue to upgrade to Civilization 3.0, but also other countries in the Asian Pacific region. And such an upgrade will present spectacular growth opportunities, and BABA is well-positioned to benefit from such an upgrade, as to be discussed next.Source: Author based on Yahoo dataThe upgrade to civilization 3.0 and BABAIt is an unstopped trend that our world is moving toward e-commerce, and the epicenter of the remaining movement will be China and the Asian-Pacific region. Even though many of us are already impressed by the success of e-commerce giants like BABA and Amazon (AMZN), the movement toward e-commerce has just actually gotten started and the bulk of the growth is yet to come. The global e-commerce market size was valued at USD 9.09 trillion in 2019 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of 14.7% from 2020 to 2027. The secular support is even stronger for BABA as the Asia Pacific region is already dominating the market for e-commerce with a share of 55.3% in 2019. Furthermore, this region is expected to witness the fastest growth from 2020 to 2027 as seen below. Even by as early as 2023 – in about 2 years that is - retail e-commerce sales in Asia-Pacific are projected to be greater than the rest of the world combined.And BABA stands best poised to benefit from this upgrade, especially from the Asian-Pacific momentum. As argued in my earlier article:Capitalizing on the continued e-commerce growth requires a combination of scale and reach, government support, and technology. And also, finally, geographical proximity and cultural compatibility certainly help. And BABA has all these stars aligned for its further expansion – especially in the Asian-Pacific region. The China government might be tightening its regulations on its domestic market, but it certainly encourages the overseas expansion of its tech giants like BABA. And BABA has already accomplished a substantial lead in capturing overseas markets, with its close neighbors such as Indonesia and Vietnam posting revenue growth of over 100% YoY recently.Risks and final thoughtsTo recap, the current BABA situation is a textbook example of high-risk and high-return investment opportunities. There are plenty of risks in the near term and also in the long term. There has been no lack of major events in the past 1- or 2-years surrounding BABA (Ant IPO, fine, VEI, delisting, et al). In the near term, the China-U.S. trade tension and global geopolitical frictions will keep the stock prices in a highly volatile state. And I am sure there be more hiccups and surprises that investors have not thought about yet showing up in the near future.In the long term, China is going through an upgrade from civilization 2.5 to 3.0. I agree with Li Lu’s view that China will have no choice but to keep upgrading to 3.0 because “the cost of deviation is very high.” But at the same time, the path of the upgrade will be long and full of setbacks. Independent thinkers like Munger and Li, despite their opposite actions, are essentially betting on the two sides of the same coin.I am siding with Munger there and betting on the opportunity side. All the risks and opportunities mentioned above should apply equally to major China tech firms. However, I think the market now overly exaggerates the risk side for BABA and underestimates the opportunity side, creating an asymmetric opportunity. As you can see from the following chart, both the valuation of BABA and JD.com (JD) has been compressed substantially in the past two years. You can see that by the downward trend of the three-year medium of their price to CFO multiple. Despite the common risks/opportunities and also comparable (or even superior profitability as argued in our recent article), BABA was so much more compressed than JD. Its current P/CFO stands at only 10.55x, about 25% below JD’s 13,.98x, and a whopping 43% below its 3-year median of 18.44x.This article was written by","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994545863,"gmtCreate":1661662213155,"gmtModify":1676536557716,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994545863","repostId":"2262908721","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2262908721","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661646786,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262908721?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-28 08:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262908721","media":"Zacks","summary":"With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might want to buy stocks poised to outpace inflation heading into September and beyond.</p><p>Stocks tumbled through early afternoon trading Friday after Powell gave his highly anticipated speech from Jackson Hole. The Fed Chair’s comments shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise to the market, since Powell and many of his peers had remained steadfast in their commitment to raising rates to combat soaring prices.</p><p>Yet, the market appeared to be hoping for something far more dovish. Much of the stock market’s run off its mid-June lows came on the back of growing sentiment that inflation had finally peaked and the Fed could take a step back.  </p><p>Unfortunately, bets on peak inflation always seemed a bit premature and far too optimistic since inflation remained at 40-year highs in July, and gas prices, although down from their peaks, were still up 40% YoY. Plus, unemployment hit 50-year lows and a tight labor market pushed up wages.</p><p>Powell acknowledged once again Friday that the Fed understands it might have to cause some harm on the jobs and growth fronts if it hopes to tame inflation. “Those are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said during his Jackson Hole remarks. “But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”</p><p>Growth stocks that rallied off their mid-June lows could come under pressure. And changing consumer habits are quickly making their way through the economy. </p><p>Thankfully, there are still stocks poised to outperform the market during the ongoing bout of inflation.</p><p>The first stock that we dive into today is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil Corporation</a>. Exxon is coming off another blockbuster quarter where it generated roughly $17 billion in free cash flow. The U.S. oil titan’s earnings estimates continue to soar, driven by strong oil prices, streamlined business operations, and beyond. Plus, XOM’s valuation and dividend payout help make Exxon worth considering at the moment.</p><p>The next stock up is big box retail titan <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco Wholesale</a>. Costco is a one-stop shop and it’s able to keep its prices low because of its membership fees. Costco’s memberships also help foster very loyal customers. COST is set to post another year of double-digit earnings and revenue growth. Plus, Costco shares have held up well in 2022 and have crushed Target, its industry, and the market over the past decade. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Stocks to Buy in September to Fight Inflation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-28 08:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1973072/2-top-stocks-to-buy-in-september-to-fight-inflation?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID01-txt-1973072><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might want to buy stocks poised to outpace inflation heading into September and beyond.Stocks tumbled ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1973072/2-top-stocks-to-buy-in-september-to-fight-inflation?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID01-txt-1973072\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","COST":"好市多","BK4201":"综合性石油与天然气企业","BK4155":"大卖场与超市","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1973072/2-top-stocks-to-buy-in-september-to-fight-inflation?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID01-txt-1973072","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262908721","content_text":"With surging prices still a major issue and the Fed determined to keep up its fight, investors might want to buy stocks poised to outpace inflation heading into September and beyond.Stocks tumbled through early afternoon trading Friday after Powell gave his highly anticipated speech from Jackson Hole. The Fed Chair’s comments shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise to the market, since Powell and many of his peers had remained steadfast in their commitment to raising rates to combat soaring prices.Yet, the market appeared to be hoping for something far more dovish. Much of the stock market’s run off its mid-June lows came on the back of growing sentiment that inflation had finally peaked and the Fed could take a step back.  Unfortunately, bets on peak inflation always seemed a bit premature and far too optimistic since inflation remained at 40-year highs in July, and gas prices, although down from their peaks, were still up 40% YoY. Plus, unemployment hit 50-year lows and a tight labor market pushed up wages.Powell acknowledged once again Friday that the Fed understands it might have to cause some harm on the jobs and growth fronts if it hopes to tame inflation. “Those are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said during his Jackson Hole remarks. “But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”Growth stocks that rallied off their mid-June lows could come under pressure. And changing consumer habits are quickly making their way through the economy. Thankfully, there are still stocks poised to outperform the market during the ongoing bout of inflation.The first stock that we dive into today is Exxon Mobil Corporation. Exxon is coming off another blockbuster quarter where it generated roughly $17 billion in free cash flow. The U.S. oil titan’s earnings estimates continue to soar, driven by strong oil prices, streamlined business operations, and beyond. Plus, XOM’s valuation and dividend payout help make Exxon worth considering at the moment.The next stock up is big box retail titan Costco Wholesale. Costco is a one-stop shop and it’s able to keep its prices low because of its membership fees. Costco’s memberships also help foster very loyal customers. COST is set to post another year of double-digit earnings and revenue growth. Plus, Costco shares have held up well in 2022 and have crushed Target, its industry, and the market over the past decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075354917,"gmtCreate":1658153198639,"gmtModify":1676536113234,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075354917","repostId":"1176257132","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176257132","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658116148,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176257132?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-18 11:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176257132","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.This artic","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>BABA has lost two-thirds (&gt;$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.</li><li>This article will break down the lost $500 bn into qualitative components:(i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth, and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors.</li><li>Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity.</li><li>Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove temporary and could change with time.</li></ul><p>NYSE:BABA has lost two-thirds (&gt;$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020. This article will review the tangible economic effects of the SAMR’s anticompetition policies on BABA’s business performance, including: (i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity. Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove to be temporary and could change with time.</p><p><b>Lower profitability</b></p><p>A direct consequence of SAMR’s rules was to tilt the market landscape in favour of number two and smaller players relative to the incumbent. Indeed, management have repeatedly mentioned “increased competition” impacting the company’s core e-commerce segment on earnings calls since the regulatory shakeout.</p><p>To cope, (as well as to proactively portray the image of a good socially-responsible corporate citizen in front of government authorities), BABA is forced to:</p><ol><li>Provide more subsidies to merchants and partners (effectively discounted pricing)</li><li>Step up investment, either in the form of direct sales and marketing dollars or “strategic initiatives” investment</li></ol><p>This has resulted in EBITA margins dropping from 27% (average of 8 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2020 (3QFY21)) to 16% (average of 4 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2021 (3QFY22)).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec9f30c463d38d513f90511dd9539909\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Company filings</p><p>Looking back to early 2018, EBITA margins similarly dropped drastically from 40% to 30% when the company first launched its “new retail” initiative and remained at that lower level since. Similarly, BABA’s current investments in strategic initiatives reflect structural changes to the company’s business mix, and the most recent gap-down in margins may be here to stay.</p><p><b>Slower Growth</b></p><p>I include slowing growth as one of the economic effects resulting from SAMR’s anticompetition policies, but anticompetitive regulations drag on BABA’s growth only to the extent that they pressure BABA to reduce merchant fees (mentioned in point 1 under &#34;Lower Profitability&#34; above), which result in customer management revenue growing slower than GMV growth.</p><p>Given BABA’s 950 million annual active consumers covers two-thirds of the country’s 1.4 billion population, it is inevitable that the company’s growth trajectory will be affected by the macroeconomic picture, and this is regardless of what SAMR does and says. I review the latest macro indicators and then express my thoughts on how I view these levels of growth rates.</p><p>Beijing is targeting 5.5% annual GDP growth for 2022, but with first half growth at 2.5%, most analysts / economists do not expect that to be achieved. The marked deceleration was in 2Q when numerous cities implemented anti-virus curbs starting in March, in line with the country’s zero tolerance towards COVID. 2Q 2022 GDP growth was 0.4% YoY, barely escaping a contraction, and is below the 1.2% forecast by economists, and down from the 4.8% recorded in 1Q 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49500b570f0b72087f0d81447c59ab9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Financial Times</p><p>As far as BABA is concerned, a more relevant metric is perhaps retail sales growth. BABA’s growth in retail GMV and GTV (combined) have slowed from 20% to 30% before 2019 to an average of 14% in 2021 (average of 4 quarters from Mar 2021 (4QFY21) to Dec 2021 (3QFY22)). A rough graph plotting that against the index of YoY change in China Retail Sales Value suggests a certain degree of correlation between the two. Retail sales over 4Q 2021 was USD 1.9 trillion, a paltry 7% increase over 4Q 2020 (even with the Singles Day shopping festival in November). BABA is due to report 1Q 2023 results around August (so there is no company GMV / GTV datapoints yet for 2022) but I note that China retail sales growth was negative for 3 out of the first 6 months of 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0830e999c0b3c721cb9eace36437be38\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg, BABA company filings</p><p>Even though there is a lot of talk about China growth being “slowest in three decades” etc., I propose to frame the picture in another way. China population (1.4 billion) is slightly more than 4 times that of US (320 million). Intuitively, that implies that when the average Chinese is one-quarter as rich as the average American*, their consumption economy will be same size as that of US. In other words, there is a long runway for growth, provided that China is able to shift from “easy” growth (large-scale infrastructure projects) to quality growth (improved labour productivity, technological advancements, etc.). If so, then even after the Chinese consumption economy catches up with that of the US in terms of absolute size, there is still the differential between income per capita to bridge.</p><p><i>*The average Chinese is less than one-quarter as well off as the average American. As of 2021, China constant GDP per capita was$11,200vs US constant GDP per capita of$61,280according to data from the St Louis Fed.</i></p><p><b>Higher risk premiums / required rates of return</b></p><p>Most people are likely to agree that the stock is currently trading at an undervaluation, regardless of whether you are a BABA fan or not. Lower profitability and slower growth are two explaining factors, but they seem insufficient to fully account for such a large gap - $500 billion is <b>a lot</b>. The last component is higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. This is what people call the “unknowns”, “uncertainties”, or CCP wildcard risk, hanging over the stock, which should be thought of scientifically as risk premiums (multiple compression in some ways is the flip side of the same coin) instead of some elusive construct. Investors are spooked and they need higher required returns to compensate.</p><p><b>Closing Remarks</b></p><p>Companies can survive, and even thrive, following intense regulatory cycles. Take the Dodd-Frank Act as example, the introduction of close to 28,000 new rules and restrictions curtailed banks’ revenue pools, doubled their capital requirements and compliance costs. On the upside, in the years following the passage of Dodd-Frank, banks restructured, changed their business mix, became more efficient, learned to optimize capital, and developed new competitive edges in areas of technology and marketing. This regulatory adaptation separated the winners from the losers. Starting in 2013, a few large bank stocks went on to significantly beat the broader market over the rest of the decade. In BABA’s case, the market has reacted to the 2020-2021 developments as if they are killer blows to the company, when instead they are more catalysts for change.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: A Qualitative Breakdown Of $500 Billion In Disappeared Market Cap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-18 11:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523786-baba-a-qualitative-breakdown-of-500-billion-in-disappeared-market-cap><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.This article will break down the lost $500 bn into qualitative components:(i) lower profitability, (ii) slower...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523786-baba-a-qualitative-breakdown-of-500-billion-in-disappeared-market-cap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523786-baba-a-qualitative-breakdown-of-500-billion-in-disappeared-market-cap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176257132","content_text":"SummaryBABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020.This article will break down the lost $500 bn into qualitative components:(i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth, and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors.Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity.Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove temporary and could change with time.NYSE:BABA has lost two-thirds (>$500 billion) in market cap since its peak in late 2020. This article will review the tangible economic effects of the SAMR’s anticompetition policies on BABA’s business performance, including: (i) lower profitability, (ii) slower growth and (iii) higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. Current market valuations are effectively assuming these effects will persist into perpetuity. Out of the three, lower profitability is likely reflective of a structural shift, but the other two may prove to be temporary and could change with time.Lower profitabilityA direct consequence of SAMR’s rules was to tilt the market landscape in favour of number two and smaller players relative to the incumbent. Indeed, management have repeatedly mentioned “increased competition” impacting the company’s core e-commerce segment on earnings calls since the regulatory shakeout.To cope, (as well as to proactively portray the image of a good socially-responsible corporate citizen in front of government authorities), BABA is forced to:Provide more subsidies to merchants and partners (effectively discounted pricing)Step up investment, either in the form of direct sales and marketing dollars or “strategic initiatives” investmentThis has resulted in EBITA margins dropping from 27% (average of 8 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2020 (3QFY21)) to 16% (average of 4 quarters leading up to the quarter ending Dec 2021 (3QFY22)).Company filingsLooking back to early 2018, EBITA margins similarly dropped drastically from 40% to 30% when the company first launched its “new retail” initiative and remained at that lower level since. Similarly, BABA’s current investments in strategic initiatives reflect structural changes to the company’s business mix, and the most recent gap-down in margins may be here to stay.Slower GrowthI include slowing growth as one of the economic effects resulting from SAMR’s anticompetition policies, but anticompetitive regulations drag on BABA’s growth only to the extent that they pressure BABA to reduce merchant fees (mentioned in point 1 under \"Lower Profitability\" above), which result in customer management revenue growing slower than GMV growth.Given BABA’s 950 million annual active consumers covers two-thirds of the country’s 1.4 billion population, it is inevitable that the company’s growth trajectory will be affected by the macroeconomic picture, and this is regardless of what SAMR does and says. I review the latest macro indicators and then express my thoughts on how I view these levels of growth rates.Beijing is targeting 5.5% annual GDP growth for 2022, but with first half growth at 2.5%, most analysts / economists do not expect that to be achieved. The marked deceleration was in 2Q when numerous cities implemented anti-virus curbs starting in March, in line with the country’s zero tolerance towards COVID. 2Q 2022 GDP growth was 0.4% YoY, barely escaping a contraction, and is below the 1.2% forecast by economists, and down from the 4.8% recorded in 1Q 2022.Financial TimesAs far as BABA is concerned, a more relevant metric is perhaps retail sales growth. BABA’s growth in retail GMV and GTV (combined) have slowed from 20% to 30% before 2019 to an average of 14% in 2021 (average of 4 quarters from Mar 2021 (4QFY21) to Dec 2021 (3QFY22)). A rough graph plotting that against the index of YoY change in China Retail Sales Value suggests a certain degree of correlation between the two. Retail sales over 4Q 2021 was USD 1.9 trillion, a paltry 7% increase over 4Q 2020 (even with the Singles Day shopping festival in November). BABA is due to report 1Q 2023 results around August (so there is no company GMV / GTV datapoints yet for 2022) but I note that China retail sales growth was negative for 3 out of the first 6 months of 2022.Bloomberg, BABA company filingsEven though there is a lot of talk about China growth being “slowest in three decades” etc., I propose to frame the picture in another way. China population (1.4 billion) is slightly more than 4 times that of US (320 million). Intuitively, that implies that when the average Chinese is one-quarter as rich as the average American*, their consumption economy will be same size as that of US. In other words, there is a long runway for growth, provided that China is able to shift from “easy” growth (large-scale infrastructure projects) to quality growth (improved labour productivity, technological advancements, etc.). If so, then even after the Chinese consumption economy catches up with that of the US in terms of absolute size, there is still the differential between income per capita to bridge.*The average Chinese is less than one-quarter as well off as the average American. As of 2021, China constant GDP per capita was$11,200vs US constant GDP per capita of$61,280according to data from the St Louis Fed.Higher risk premiums / required rates of returnMost people are likely to agree that the stock is currently trading at an undervaluation, regardless of whether you are a BABA fan or not. Lower profitability and slower growth are two explaining factors, but they seem insufficient to fully account for such a large gap - $500 billion is a lot. The last component is higher risk premiums / required rates of returns by investors. This is what people call the “unknowns”, “uncertainties”, or CCP wildcard risk, hanging over the stock, which should be thought of scientifically as risk premiums (multiple compression in some ways is the flip side of the same coin) instead of some elusive construct. Investors are spooked and they need higher required returns to compensate.Closing RemarksCompanies can survive, and even thrive, following intense regulatory cycles. Take the Dodd-Frank Act as example, the introduction of close to 28,000 new rules and restrictions curtailed banks’ revenue pools, doubled their capital requirements and compliance costs. On the upside, in the years following the passage of Dodd-Frank, banks restructured, changed their business mix, became more efficient, learned to optimize capital, and developed new competitive edges in areas of technology and marketing. This regulatory adaptation separated the winners from the losers. Starting in 2013, a few large bank stocks went on to significantly beat the broader market over the rest of the decade. In BABA’s case, the market has reacted to the 2020-2021 developments as if they are killer blows to the company, when instead they are more catalysts for change.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9043629478,"gmtCreate":1655923404094,"gmtModify":1676535732002,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😍 amazing","listText":"😍 amazing","text":"😍 amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9043629478","repostId":"1115890604","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1115890604","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655908893,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115890604?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-22 22:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Is the Worst Over?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115890604","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsThe easing of regulatory headwinds and COVID-led restrictions will likely support Al","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsThe easing of regulatory headwinds and COVID-led restrictions will likely support Alibaba’s growth. However, macro uncertainty and softness in the cloud business are a drag.The macro ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-is-the-worst-over/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Is the Worst Over?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Is the Worst Over?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-22 22:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-is-the-worst-over/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsThe easing of regulatory headwinds and COVID-led restrictions will likely support Alibaba’s growth. However, macro uncertainty and softness in the cloud business are a drag.The macro ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-is-the-worst-over/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-is-the-worst-over/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115890604","content_text":"Story HighlightsThe easing of regulatory headwinds and COVID-led restrictions will likely support Alibaba’s growth. However, macro uncertainty and softness in the cloud business are a drag.The macro weakness in China, increased competitive activity, and COVID-led disruptions have weighed on the financial performance of internet giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). The company’s growth decelerated sequentially over the past several quarters.Given the challenges, Alibaba stock has dropped nearly 54% from its 52-week high. While the slowdown in growth dragged its share price lower, regulatory headwinds further contributed to its decline.What’s Next?Though BABA stock has decreased substantially, COVID-led uncertainty and the economic slowdown could restrict the recovery in the short term. However, favorable government policies and easing COVID restrictions could reaccelerate growth.During last quarter’s conference call, Alibaba’s CEO, Daniel Zhang, indicated supportive government policies. Zhang stated, “Chinese government has released important policy signals on its commitment to stabilize the economy.” Moreover, “They have also issued clear statements on promoting the development of internet platform economy through a healthy, regulatory environment.”As the operating environment shows signs of improvement, US Tiger Securities analyst Bo Pei upgraded BABA stock to Buy from Hold.Pei added, “Despite the more challenging June quarter, we are upgrading BABA to BUY as we believe both revenue and profitability will bottom out and hit a long-awaited inflection point in the quarter.”The analyst expects Alibaba’s growth to improve in the second half of this year, benefitting from easier year-over-year comparisons and government stimulus.Echoing similar sentiments, Bank of America Securities analyst Eddie Leung reiterated his Buy recommendation on BABA stock.Offering updates from its virtual Innovative Conference with Alibaba, Leung said supply bottlenecks are easing. Further, Alibaba is witnessing an improvement in demand in some product categories. However, for the cloud business, “Alibaba sees resumption of some projects delayed by the lockdowns but expects an economic slowdown and moderate traffic growth among Internet sector clients to weigh on the near-term growth.”Including Pei and Leung, Alibaba has received 16 Buy recommendations. Meanwhile, two analysts remain sidelined.Overall, it sports a Strong Buy consensus rating on TipRanks. Further, the average Alibaba price target of $161.01 implies 51.2% upside potential.Bottom LineThe easing of regulatory headwinds and COVID-led restrictions will likely support Alibaba’s growth. Moreover, easier year-over-year comparisons are positive. However, uncertainty related to the pandemic, an expected softness in the cloud business, and a tough macro environment pose challenges.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962805657,"gmtCreate":1669743576080,"gmtModify":1676538234975,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962805657","repostId":"1173876241","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1173876241","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669735462,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173876241?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-29 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173876241","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>While top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings per share, and free cash flow at a high pace.</li><li>Despite different risks continuing to exist for Alibaba, the growth potential for the different business segments remains high.</li><li>Alibaba is focusing on share buybacks, which is a good move considering its deeply undervalued share price.</li></ul><p>I must be honest. So far, my investment in as well as my articles about Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) have been nothing but a catastrophe. Since my last article, the stock price declined 31% and since the article in January 2022, the stock declined 37%. I built my position in Alibaba over time but so far, I didn’t make any money. I also must admit that I did not expect Alibaba to decline so steeply. At least when getting close to $100, I assumed we hit the bottom and could not imagine Alibaba declining lower.</p><p>However, my long-term investment thesis did not change. I am still long-term bullish about Alibaba and in my opinion the market is completely mispricing the stock and just focusing on the risks while completely ignoring the cash generating business and existing growth potential.</p><h3>Quarterly Results</h3><p>About two weeks ago, Alibaba reported second quarter results for fiscal 2022. And while it missed on revenue expectations by $490 million, it could beat earnings per ADS by $0.17. When looking at the quarterly results, I will report the numbers in Renminbi.</p><p>Although growth slowed down, Alibaba could still increase revenue from RMB 200,690 million in the same quarter last year to RMB 207,176 million this quarter resulting in 3.2% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased from RMB 34,840 million in Q2/21 to RMB 43,311 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 24.3% year-over-year growth. And finally, diluted earnings per share almost quadrupled from RMB 0.25 in the same quarter last year to RMB 0.97 this quarter. When looking at non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, we saw an increase of 15% YoY from RMB 1.40 in the same quarter last year to RMB 1.61 this quarter. And finally, free cash flow increased from RMB 22,239 million in Q2/21 to RMB 35,709 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 60.6% year-over-year growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78baaf1cc15acbf0419b0de8a14fb12b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When looking at the different segments, the biggest part of revenue is still stemming from China commerce, which generated RMB 135,431 million in revenue (a decline of 1% year-over-year). This segment is responsible for the biggest part of adjusted EBITDA (RMB 43,980 million). International Commerce could generate RMB 15,747 million in revenue, resulting in 4% YoY growth and Local Consumer Services generated revenue of RMB 13,073 million resulting in 21% YoY growth. However, both segments are still not profitable and generated negative EBITDA. Cloud could generate RMB 20,757 million in revenue (increasing 4% year-over-year growth) and adjusted EBITDA was RMB 434 million. Cainiao could generate revenue of RMB 13,367 million resulting in 36% year-over-year growth and after reporting a loss of in the same quarter last year the segment reported an adjusted EBITDA of RMB 125 million. And finally, Digital media and entertainment could generate RMB 8,392 million in revenue (resulting in 4% YoY growth). However, the segment was also not profitable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e016228f4be40a684f90dd4cc0d784a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Additionally, growth from its 11.11 Global Shopping Event slowed down as well and Alibaba could only report results in line with last year’s gross merchandise volume performance. During the last earnings call, Alibaba also commented on the last Singles Day:</p><p>During our recent 11.11 Global Shopping Festival, Taobao and Tmall&#39;s total GMV was in line with the performance last year during the same period. Initial fruits of the operation strategies outlined just now were seen during November 11. More than 600 million users engaged with our November 11 related contents, a single-digit growth year-on-year. Although, the total number of buyers declined compared to the same period last year, the average GMV per person increased.</p><p>Management also mentioned three factors which had a negative impact on the results. First, the warmer than usual temperature in China probably led to fewer people shopping online. Second, about 15% of delivery areas across China experienced abnormal or suspended logistic services, which had a negative effect. And finally, other merchants were also pushing hard on 11.11 and probably took away some market share from Alibaba.</p><h3>Headwinds</h3><p>While Alibaba is talking about a solid quarter, they are also acknowledging the difficulties for Alibaba during the last earnings call:</p><p>We delivered a solid quarter in a macro environment full of uncertainty. The ongoing resurgence of COVID-19, geopolitical tension, inflation, and currency depreciation, the convergence of all these forces that created considerable difficulties for business operations.</p><p>And one of the major problems in China is still COVID-19. Right now, numbers are increasing dramatically again – and we must assume this will have a negative impact on Alibaba in the current quarter as it creates huge challenges for logistics.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5809b3db2fbbe959366e7e5747713f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Long-Term Growth</h3><p>Growth for Alibaba is clearly slowing down right now - as it does for almost every technology company around the world. As we must assume the low growth rates (or even declining numbers) will last for several quarters (maybe even a few years) this is a temporary headwind due to the economy slowing down and the looming recession. Nevertheless, I remain confident that the long-term outlook should be bullish, and Alibaba’s management is also optimistic about the growth potential of the different business sectors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dbac2dcf4e4f48e3d631c3a9120bab3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The highest growth rates might be achieved by the cloud business, where Alibaba is clear market leader in China. In 2021, Alibaba had a market share of 37% ahead of competitors Huawei – which has a market share of 18% - and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) – which has a market share of 17%. And while I don’t think Alibaba will be able to gain market shares (as other, strong competitors are moving in the space), the public cloud market is expected to triple in the coming years – and Alibaba can achieve high growth rates by just keeping its market share stable. In a study about the Chinese cloud market, McKinsey writes:</p><p>To date, China’s cloud adoption has been led largely by consumer-facing companies, which need elastic, on-demand access to unlimited computing power to help them respond to huge fluctuations in customer demand. During China’s Singles’ Day shopping festival, for instance, e-commerce traffic, transactions, and gross merchandise volumes can reach up to 30 times normal daily levels. (…) Consumer-driven growth will remain an important driver of cloud adoption, but we believe the next wave of migration could be spearheaded by China’s critical industrial and manufacturing sectors.</p><p>But not only the cloud business of Alibaba can grow at a high pace. Its China commerce business, which is generating most of Alibaba’s revenue and responsible for its profitability, also has growth potential going forward – despite the declining Chinese population. While the population is declining, the share of Chinese population living in poverty is also declining. And I am already using the definitions of poverty adopted in upper-middle-income countries. In 2019, about 25% of population still lived in poverty in China (in urban areas only 16%). And with that percentage continuing to go down, the number of potential shoppers for Alibaba will increase.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baff5be28b9b9bfc4dfdd1e92c109996\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>In my last article about JD.com, Inc., I already mentioned that Chinese consumers are expected to shop more online in the years to come. According to an Accenture study about Chinese consumer insights, most people will either keep their personal frequency of online shopping unchanged (49%) or increase the frequency of online shopping (44%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92ae88cd63f9723d8ed8ec370eebccf7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And the same study is also showing that the per capita disposable income of urban residents is continuously increasing during the last decade. And even when per capita consumption expenditures declined slightly in 2020 (due to COVID-19), this number is also increasing with a steady pace.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f02c27b7c2c4f411e620779d9dfe359\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>International Commerce is also expected to grow with a high pace. Alibaba is focusing on the South Asia e-commerce market, which is expected to grow with a high pace. The market size will increase with a CAGR of 27% between 2020 and 2025 to $260 billion (according to Alibaba’s Investor Day 2021 presentation). And Lazada is not only well-positioned, but it also continued to improve monetization rate and was also enhancing operating efficiency. Additionally, during the last quarter, loss per order for Lazada narrowed by 25% compared to the same quarter last year. And the International commerce segment is close to being profitable.</p><p>And finally, we should not forget the economic moat Alibaba has built around its business. During the last earnings call, management made the following statement:</p><p>After many years of operation, Taobao, Tmall is now deeply entrenched in our users&#39; mind as the shopping destination. We are focused on user engagement on our platform by enhancing the customer journey across search, algorithm-driven discovery recommendations, live streaming and other engagement features (…)</p><p>Number two, we further consolidate the scale and the stickiness of our most valuable consumer group. For the 12 months ended December 30, 2022, the number of consumers who each spent over RMB 10,000 on top on Taobao and Tmall remain around 124 million with a retention rate of 98%. 88VIP membership population held steady at 25 million this quarter, with solid membership retention and growth in GMV contribution.</p><p>Number three, we improved consumer satisfaction by continually investing in customer service during and after services and the logistics service experiences, such as doorstep delivery of orders as required.</p><p>Alibaba clearly has a wide economic moat based on cost advantages – the company is one of the major e-commerce players in China and the cost advantages are hard to match by smaller competitors. Aside from cost advantages, Alibaba is also profiting from its brand name(s) and for its cloud business switching costs come into play. After choosing a cloud service it usually costs time and money (which businesses are not willing to spend) to move to a competitor – and this is creating a stickiness in favor of Alibaba.</p><h3>Share Repurchases</h3><p>In the last few quarters, Alibaba increased its share repurchase program, which was certainly a good move by Alibaba considering the steeply declining share price. Since June 2021 (15 months ago), the number of outstanding shares was decreased from 2,755 million to 2,646 million right now – resulting in a decline of 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af5c02ed6507d0f66fc07aaed807035\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And it is good that Alibaba is buying back shares and the remaining $7 billion share repurchase program was extended by another $15 billion. But in my opinion, they should be more aggressive and use the cash reserves for share buybacks – at least in parts. On September 30, 2022, the company had RMB 206.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 270.2 billion in short-term investments. At current share prices, the company could repurchase 32% of its outstanding shares and Alibaba should certainly not use all its liquid resources for share buybacks. But using cash to repurchase about 10% of outstanding shares would be a smart move in my opinion. Additionally, Alibaba is generating enough free cash flow annually to repurchase more than 10% of the outstanding shares (of course this will change with a higher share price).</p><h3>Intrinsic Value Calculation</h3><p>In every single one of my articles, I basically argued that Alibaba is undervalued. And I will stick to my guns – the company is undervalued and remains undervalued. Even when calculating with extremely cautious assumptions, Alibaba is clearly trading below its intrinsic value.</p><p>In the last two quarters, Alibaba generated a free cash flow of $8,137 million and in the last annual results the company reported a free cash flow of $15,597 million. As basis for our calculation, we therefore assume a free cash flow of $16 billion. And for the years to come, we assume 6% growth till perpetuity which leads to an intrinsic value of $151.23 for Alibaba.</p><p>And – like I said above – theses assumptions are extremely cautious. Not only did Alibaba report already much higher free cash flow numbers in the past (as high as $26 billion), it also reported much higher growth rates in the past. And for the years to come there are several growth drivers: First, Alibaba will be able to grow its top line again (see section above). Second, despite constantly declining margins in the past, the business will at some point be able to reduce the current high spendings on expansions and be more profitable again. And finally, Alibaba can use share buybacks (especially right now) and spend its cash on the balance sheet as well as the generated free cash flow to repurchase shares. This by itself is enough to lead to 6% growth right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66d4ee3047c7afdae4d9e6591ea506f8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>And finally, we should not forget, that Alibaba is trading for a P/FCF ratio of 8.7 right now – although free cash flow declined almost 50% compared to previous levels. These are absurd valuation levels for a business as Alibaba – despite risks surrounding the business.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>I know I have been wrong about Alibaba in the last few quarters. But first of all, the horrible stock performance of the last few quarters does not mean my thesis – which is based on the fundamentals of the business – is wrong. And second, investing is a marathon and not a sprint. I remain extremely bullish about Alibaba.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-29 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561046-alibaba-candidate-for-the-record-book-of-mispriced-stocks><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings per share, and free cash flow at a high pace.Despite different risks continuing to exist for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561046-alibaba-candidate-for-the-record-book-of-mispriced-stocks\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561046-alibaba-candidate-for-the-record-book-of-mispriced-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1173876241","content_text":"SummaryWhile top line growth is now close to zero, Alibaba could increase operating income, earnings per share, and free cash flow at a high pace.Despite different risks continuing to exist for Alibaba, the growth potential for the different business segments remains high.Alibaba is focusing on share buybacks, which is a good move considering its deeply undervalued share price.I must be honest. So far, my investment in as well as my articles about Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) have been nothing but a catastrophe. Since my last article, the stock price declined 31% and since the article in January 2022, the stock declined 37%. I built my position in Alibaba over time but so far, I didn’t make any money. I also must admit that I did not expect Alibaba to decline so steeply. At least when getting close to $100, I assumed we hit the bottom and could not imagine Alibaba declining lower.However, my long-term investment thesis did not change. I am still long-term bullish about Alibaba and in my opinion the market is completely mispricing the stock and just focusing on the risks while completely ignoring the cash generating business and existing growth potential.Quarterly ResultsAbout two weeks ago, Alibaba reported second quarter results for fiscal 2022. And while it missed on revenue expectations by $490 million, it could beat earnings per ADS by $0.17. When looking at the quarterly results, I will report the numbers in Renminbi.Although growth slowed down, Alibaba could still increase revenue from RMB 200,690 million in the same quarter last year to RMB 207,176 million this quarter resulting in 3.2% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased from RMB 34,840 million in Q2/21 to RMB 43,311 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 24.3% year-over-year growth. And finally, diluted earnings per share almost quadrupled from RMB 0.25 in the same quarter last year to RMB 0.97 this quarter. When looking at non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, we saw an increase of 15% YoY from RMB 1.40 in the same quarter last year to RMB 1.61 this quarter. And finally, free cash flow increased from RMB 22,239 million in Q2/21 to RMB 35,709 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 60.6% year-over-year growth.When looking at the different segments, the biggest part of revenue is still stemming from China commerce, which generated RMB 135,431 million in revenue (a decline of 1% year-over-year). This segment is responsible for the biggest part of adjusted EBITDA (RMB 43,980 million). International Commerce could generate RMB 15,747 million in revenue, resulting in 4% YoY growth and Local Consumer Services generated revenue of RMB 13,073 million resulting in 21% YoY growth. However, both segments are still not profitable and generated negative EBITDA. Cloud could generate RMB 20,757 million in revenue (increasing 4% year-over-year growth) and adjusted EBITDA was RMB 434 million. Cainiao could generate revenue of RMB 13,367 million resulting in 36% year-over-year growth and after reporting a loss of in the same quarter last year the segment reported an adjusted EBITDA of RMB 125 million. And finally, Digital media and entertainment could generate RMB 8,392 million in revenue (resulting in 4% YoY growth). However, the segment was also not profitable.Additionally, growth from its 11.11 Global Shopping Event slowed down as well and Alibaba could only report results in line with last year’s gross merchandise volume performance. During the last earnings call, Alibaba also commented on the last Singles Day:During our recent 11.11 Global Shopping Festival, Taobao and Tmall's total GMV was in line with the performance last year during the same period. Initial fruits of the operation strategies outlined just now were seen during November 11. More than 600 million users engaged with our November 11 related contents, a single-digit growth year-on-year. Although, the total number of buyers declined compared to the same period last year, the average GMV per person increased.Management also mentioned three factors which had a negative impact on the results. First, the warmer than usual temperature in China probably led to fewer people shopping online. Second, about 15% of delivery areas across China experienced abnormal or suspended logistic services, which had a negative effect. And finally, other merchants were also pushing hard on 11.11 and probably took away some market share from Alibaba.HeadwindsWhile Alibaba is talking about a solid quarter, they are also acknowledging the difficulties for Alibaba during the last earnings call:We delivered a solid quarter in a macro environment full of uncertainty. The ongoing resurgence of COVID-19, geopolitical tension, inflation, and currency depreciation, the convergence of all these forces that created considerable difficulties for business operations.And one of the major problems in China is still COVID-19. Right now, numbers are increasing dramatically again – and we must assume this will have a negative impact on Alibaba in the current quarter as it creates huge challenges for logistics.Long-Term GrowthGrowth for Alibaba is clearly slowing down right now - as it does for almost every technology company around the world. As we must assume the low growth rates (or even declining numbers) will last for several quarters (maybe even a few years) this is a temporary headwind due to the economy slowing down and the looming recession. Nevertheless, I remain confident that the long-term outlook should be bullish, and Alibaba’s management is also optimistic about the growth potential of the different business sectors.The highest growth rates might be achieved by the cloud business, where Alibaba is clear market leader in China. In 2021, Alibaba had a market share of 37% ahead of competitors Huawei – which has a market share of 18% - and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) – which has a market share of 17%. And while I don’t think Alibaba will be able to gain market shares (as other, strong competitors are moving in the space), the public cloud market is expected to triple in the coming years – and Alibaba can achieve high growth rates by just keeping its market share stable. In a study about the Chinese cloud market, McKinsey writes:To date, China’s cloud adoption has been led largely by consumer-facing companies, which need elastic, on-demand access to unlimited computing power to help them respond to huge fluctuations in customer demand. During China’s Singles’ Day shopping festival, for instance, e-commerce traffic, transactions, and gross merchandise volumes can reach up to 30 times normal daily levels. (…) Consumer-driven growth will remain an important driver of cloud adoption, but we believe the next wave of migration could be spearheaded by China’s critical industrial and manufacturing sectors.But not only the cloud business of Alibaba can grow at a high pace. Its China commerce business, which is generating most of Alibaba’s revenue and responsible for its profitability, also has growth potential going forward – despite the declining Chinese population. While the population is declining, the share of Chinese population living in poverty is also declining. And I am already using the definitions of poverty adopted in upper-middle-income countries. In 2019, about 25% of population still lived in poverty in China (in urban areas only 16%). And with that percentage continuing to go down, the number of potential shoppers for Alibaba will increase.In my last article about JD.com, Inc., I already mentioned that Chinese consumers are expected to shop more online in the years to come. According to an Accenture study about Chinese consumer insights, most people will either keep their personal frequency of online shopping unchanged (49%) or increase the frequency of online shopping (44%).And the same study is also showing that the per capita disposable income of urban residents is continuously increasing during the last decade. And even when per capita consumption expenditures declined slightly in 2020 (due to COVID-19), this number is also increasing with a steady pace.International Commerce is also expected to grow with a high pace. Alibaba is focusing on the South Asia e-commerce market, which is expected to grow with a high pace. The market size will increase with a CAGR of 27% between 2020 and 2025 to $260 billion (according to Alibaba’s Investor Day 2021 presentation). And Lazada is not only well-positioned, but it also continued to improve monetization rate and was also enhancing operating efficiency. Additionally, during the last quarter, loss per order for Lazada narrowed by 25% compared to the same quarter last year. And the International commerce segment is close to being profitable.And finally, we should not forget the economic moat Alibaba has built around its business. During the last earnings call, management made the following statement:After many years of operation, Taobao, Tmall is now deeply entrenched in our users' mind as the shopping destination. We are focused on user engagement on our platform by enhancing the customer journey across search, algorithm-driven discovery recommendations, live streaming and other engagement features (…)Number two, we further consolidate the scale and the stickiness of our most valuable consumer group. For the 12 months ended December 30, 2022, the number of consumers who each spent over RMB 10,000 on top on Taobao and Tmall remain around 124 million with a retention rate of 98%. 88VIP membership population held steady at 25 million this quarter, with solid membership retention and growth in GMV contribution.Number three, we improved consumer satisfaction by continually investing in customer service during and after services and the logistics service experiences, such as doorstep delivery of orders as required.Alibaba clearly has a wide economic moat based on cost advantages – the company is one of the major e-commerce players in China and the cost advantages are hard to match by smaller competitors. Aside from cost advantages, Alibaba is also profiting from its brand name(s) and for its cloud business switching costs come into play. After choosing a cloud service it usually costs time and money (which businesses are not willing to spend) to move to a competitor – and this is creating a stickiness in favor of Alibaba.Share RepurchasesIn the last few quarters, Alibaba increased its share repurchase program, which was certainly a good move by Alibaba considering the steeply declining share price. Since June 2021 (15 months ago), the number of outstanding shares was decreased from 2,755 million to 2,646 million right now – resulting in a decline of 4%.And it is good that Alibaba is buying back shares and the remaining $7 billion share repurchase program was extended by another $15 billion. But in my opinion, they should be more aggressive and use the cash reserves for share buybacks – at least in parts. On September 30, 2022, the company had RMB 206.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 270.2 billion in short-term investments. At current share prices, the company could repurchase 32% of its outstanding shares and Alibaba should certainly not use all its liquid resources for share buybacks. But using cash to repurchase about 10% of outstanding shares would be a smart move in my opinion. Additionally, Alibaba is generating enough free cash flow annually to repurchase more than 10% of the outstanding shares (of course this will change with a higher share price).Intrinsic Value CalculationIn every single one of my articles, I basically argued that Alibaba is undervalued. And I will stick to my guns – the company is undervalued and remains undervalued. Even when calculating with extremely cautious assumptions, Alibaba is clearly trading below its intrinsic value.In the last two quarters, Alibaba generated a free cash flow of $8,137 million and in the last annual results the company reported a free cash flow of $15,597 million. As basis for our calculation, we therefore assume a free cash flow of $16 billion. And for the years to come, we assume 6% growth till perpetuity which leads to an intrinsic value of $151.23 for Alibaba.And – like I said above – theses assumptions are extremely cautious. Not only did Alibaba report already much higher free cash flow numbers in the past (as high as $26 billion), it also reported much higher growth rates in the past. And for the years to come there are several growth drivers: First, Alibaba will be able to grow its top line again (see section above). Second, despite constantly declining margins in the past, the business will at some point be able to reduce the current high spendings on expansions and be more profitable again. And finally, Alibaba can use share buybacks (especially right now) and spend its cash on the balance sheet as well as the generated free cash flow to repurchase shares. This by itself is enough to lead to 6% growth right now.And finally, we should not forget, that Alibaba is trading for a P/FCF ratio of 8.7 right now – although free cash flow declined almost 50% compared to previous levels. These are absurd valuation levels for a business as Alibaba – despite risks surrounding the business.ConclusionI know I have been wrong about Alibaba in the last few quarters. But first of all, the horrible stock performance of the last few quarters does not mean my thesis – which is based on the fundamentals of the business – is wrong. And second, investing is a marathon and not a sprint. I remain extremely bullish about Alibaba.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996081362,"gmtCreate":1661079022774,"gmtModify":1676536449887,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996081362","repostId":"2260785313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260785313","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661045446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260785313?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260785313","media":"Barrons","summary":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.</p><p>A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.</p><p>A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.</p><p>But that isn&#39;t really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.</p><p>Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That&#39;s a long way from $4.3 billion.</p><p>It wouldn&#39;t be a good idea, though. There isn&#39;t high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.</p><p>(There isn&#39;t much trading volume in those contracts. It&#39;s just an example.)</p><p>Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron&#39;s the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn&#39;t all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn&#39;t get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.</p><p>Profits aren&#39;t hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.</p><p>Burg doesn&#39;t consider himself a big Tesla bear. He&#39;s says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.</p><p>The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.</p><p>Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.</p><p>What&#39;s more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn&#39;t pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It&#39;s a bearish bet.)</p><p>A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That&#39;s almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.</p><p>There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.</p><p>However, options don&#39;t indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260785313","content_text":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.But that isn't really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That's a long way from $4.3 billion.It wouldn't be a good idea, though. There isn't high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.(There isn't much trading volume in those contracts. It's just an example.)Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron's the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn't all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.That isn't a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn't get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.Profits aren't hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.Burg doesn't consider himself a big Tesla bear. He's says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.What's more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn't pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It's a bearish bet.)A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That's almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.However, options don't indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905487824,"gmtCreate":1659925255201,"gmtModify":1703476051990,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woo","listText":"Woo","text":"Woo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905487824","repostId":"2257489740","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2257489740","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659910843,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2257489740?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 06:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Same Stuff, Different Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2257489740","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was in the news again, this time because the SEC added the company to a list of Chine","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was in the news again, this time because the SEC added the company to a list of Chinese companies that could potentially be delisted.</li><li>The company reported mixed earnings on Thursday, with revenue basically flat and a decline in EPS.</li><li>The buybacks continued, with $3.5B in the quarter. The $25B authorization still has $12B remaining.</li><li>The company still has a large cash pile of $67.6B on its balance sheet.</li><li>At 12x earnings, the risk/reward is skewed to the upside with shares below $100.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349a5bf19a4fd08047fdb45cb2ec1bb8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Robert Way</span></p><p>I have written three times about the Chinese tech giant Alibaba (NYSE:BABA). Each time I wrote about the company and some of the more recent developments related to quarterly earnings or news headlines. The company recently reportedits Q1 2023 earnings and figured I would pitch in my two cents on where the company is right now.</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Alibaba is one of China’s largest companies and shares have had a rough couple of years. I was buying on the way down, and I still think shares are undervalued today. Shares trade at 12x earnings and the company bought back a large chunk of shares in the most recent quarter. Alibaba was in the news recently as the SEC added it to the list of companies that could potentially be delisted. I’m still very bullish on the company due to the cheap valuation, large buyback program, and the long-term growth potential of the business.</p><p><b>Earnings</b></p><p>On Thursday, Alibaba reported earnings for Q1 of 2023. While the revenue growth was slightly negative for the largest segment (China commerce), it’s not that surprising to me given the lockdowns that parts of China experienced during the quarter. The other notable segment, the Cloud segment, experienced 10% revenue growth YoY. I’m curious to see what happens in future quarters with the ecommerce segment, but I think the Cloud segment will be able to post sustained revenue growth.</p><p>A quick glance at the balance sheet shows that Alibaba still has a huge pile of cash and short-term investments ($67.6B), which is another reason I look at the valuation as so cheap. The other key piece I was looking for in the earnings report was the buyback numbers for the quarter. Alibaba repurchased 38.6M ADRs in the quarter for approximately $3.5B. The $25B repurchase program, which is set to expire in March 2024, has $12B remaining. Compared to Alibaba’s market cap of $253B, the buyback represents a huge return of capital to shareholders, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another buyback program after the current one is used up.</p><p><b>S.S.D.D.</b></p><p>The recent news headline I saw on Alibaba last week brings me to the title of the article. Alibaba was in the news last week when the SEC put the company on a list for potential delisting. I thought that it was a possibility when I was buying shares, but I don’t think it will come to that. The company has stated that they will try to keep the NYSE listing along with their Hong Kong listing.</p><blockquote>Alibaba will continue to monitor market developments, comply with applicable laws and regulations and strive to maintain its listing status on both the NYSE and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange,” the company said in an announcement filed to the Hong Kong stock exchange Monday.</blockquote><blockquote>The company said that the fiscal year that ended March 31, 2022, was its first “non-inspection” year under regulations that say a company that goes three years without complying with audit requirements will be forced to delist.</blockquote><p>Some have speculated that the potential delisting could be due to the company pursuing a primary listing on the Hong Kong exchange, which is expected to be finalized by the end of the year. While I have mentioned it before, I feel that it would be worth stating again that the Alibaba ADRs can be exchanged for shares on the Hong Kong exchange.</p><p>I have also started to hear rumblings the Ant Group IPO might be back on track as Alibaba founder Jack Ma has reportedly given up control of Ant. It’s not anything to change my current stance on the company, but I am curious to see how the next couple of years play out with Ant Group.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>While the balance sheet and Ant subsidiary should be factored into the valuation, Alibaba is still cheap even if you’re just looking at the core businesses. Alibaba currently sits at 12x earnings. I’m not saying we will run straight to the average multiple of 29.6x, but I think some degree of multiple expansion is more likely than not.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/360cff9a4b7e00f7a29148cabb61d3c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Price/Earnings (fastgraphs.com)</span></p><p>While it is hard to project how much a complex business with numerous operating segments will earn in the future, my base case is that Alibaba will earn more in fiscal 2024 and 2025 than it will this year. While it’s hard to measure sentiment, I think that sentiment could be a huge driver of returns moving forward. It led to the massive selloff, and I think it will lead to a rally once it turns.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>While the risk profile with Alibaba is complex, I still think the risk/reward is skewed to the upside. The company reported mixed earnings, where revenue was basically flat while profits were lower. The company bought back $3.5B of stock in the quarter and still have $12B on the buyback to use. However, the bad news continued as the SEC added the company to the list of Chinese companies that could be delisted. While I still view that outcome as highly unlikely, it is still a possibility that investors should consider.</p><p>While 12x earnings is too cheap in my view, I think sentiment will have to change before shares start to run. If sentiment turns, I think shares of Alibaba could see a massive rally. When you look at the actual business, Alibaba is well positioned with its core business segments of ecommerce and cloud, along with the Ant Group subsidiary and a mountain of cash on its balance sheet. While Alibaba is only suitable for risk tolerant investors, I still think the risk is worth it.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Same Stuff, Different Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Same Stuff, Different Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 06:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4530304-alibaba-same-stuff-different-day><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was in the news again, this time because the SEC added the company to a list of Chinese companies that could potentially be delisted.The company reported mixed earnings on Thursday, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4530304-alibaba-same-stuff-different-day\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4530304-alibaba-same-stuff-different-day","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2257489740","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was in the news again, this time because the SEC added the company to a list of Chinese companies that could potentially be delisted.The company reported mixed earnings on Thursday, with revenue basically flat and a decline in EPS.The buybacks continued, with $3.5B in the quarter. The $25B authorization still has $12B remaining.The company still has a large cash pile of $67.6B on its balance sheet.At 12x earnings, the risk/reward is skewed to the upside with shares below $100.Robert WayI have written three times about the Chinese tech giant Alibaba (NYSE:BABA). Each time I wrote about the company and some of the more recent developments related to quarterly earnings or news headlines. The company recently reportedits Q1 2023 earnings and figured I would pitch in my two cents on where the company is right now.Investment ThesisAlibaba is one of China’s largest companies and shares have had a rough couple of years. I was buying on the way down, and I still think shares are undervalued today. Shares trade at 12x earnings and the company bought back a large chunk of shares in the most recent quarter. Alibaba was in the news recently as the SEC added it to the list of companies that could potentially be delisted. I’m still very bullish on the company due to the cheap valuation, large buyback program, and the long-term growth potential of the business.EarningsOn Thursday, Alibaba reported earnings for Q1 of 2023. While the revenue growth was slightly negative for the largest segment (China commerce), it’s not that surprising to me given the lockdowns that parts of China experienced during the quarter. The other notable segment, the Cloud segment, experienced 10% revenue growth YoY. I’m curious to see what happens in future quarters with the ecommerce segment, but I think the Cloud segment will be able to post sustained revenue growth.A quick glance at the balance sheet shows that Alibaba still has a huge pile of cash and short-term investments ($67.6B), which is another reason I look at the valuation as so cheap. The other key piece I was looking for in the earnings report was the buyback numbers for the quarter. Alibaba repurchased 38.6M ADRs in the quarter for approximately $3.5B. The $25B repurchase program, which is set to expire in March 2024, has $12B remaining. Compared to Alibaba’s market cap of $253B, the buyback represents a huge return of capital to shareholders, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another buyback program after the current one is used up.S.S.D.D.The recent news headline I saw on Alibaba last week brings me to the title of the article. Alibaba was in the news last week when the SEC put the company on a list for potential delisting. I thought that it was a possibility when I was buying shares, but I don’t think it will come to that. The company has stated that they will try to keep the NYSE listing along with their Hong Kong listing.Alibaba will continue to monitor market developments, comply with applicable laws and regulations and strive to maintain its listing status on both the NYSE and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange,” the company said in an announcement filed to the Hong Kong stock exchange Monday.The company said that the fiscal year that ended March 31, 2022, was its first “non-inspection” year under regulations that say a company that goes three years without complying with audit requirements will be forced to delist.Some have speculated that the potential delisting could be due to the company pursuing a primary listing on the Hong Kong exchange, which is expected to be finalized by the end of the year. While I have mentioned it before, I feel that it would be worth stating again that the Alibaba ADRs can be exchanged for shares on the Hong Kong exchange.I have also started to hear rumblings the Ant Group IPO might be back on track as Alibaba founder Jack Ma has reportedly given up control of Ant. It’s not anything to change my current stance on the company, but I am curious to see how the next couple of years play out with Ant Group.ValuationWhile the balance sheet and Ant subsidiary should be factored into the valuation, Alibaba is still cheap even if you’re just looking at the core businesses. Alibaba currently sits at 12x earnings. I’m not saying we will run straight to the average multiple of 29.6x, but I think some degree of multiple expansion is more likely than not.Price/Earnings (fastgraphs.com)While it is hard to project how much a complex business with numerous operating segments will earn in the future, my base case is that Alibaba will earn more in fiscal 2024 and 2025 than it will this year. While it’s hard to measure sentiment, I think that sentiment could be a huge driver of returns moving forward. It led to the massive selloff, and I think it will lead to a rally once it turns.ConclusionWhile the risk profile with Alibaba is complex, I still think the risk/reward is skewed to the upside. The company reported mixed earnings, where revenue was basically flat while profits were lower. The company bought back $3.5B of stock in the quarter and still have $12B on the buyback to use. However, the bad news continued as the SEC added the company to the list of Chinese companies that could be delisted. While I still view that outcome as highly unlikely, it is still a possibility that investors should consider.While 12x earnings is too cheap in my view, I think sentiment will have to change before shares start to run. If sentiment turns, I think shares of Alibaba could see a massive rally. When you look at the actual business, Alibaba is well positioned with its core business segments of ecommerce and cloud, along with the Ant Group subsidiary and a mountain of cash on its balance sheet. While Alibaba is only suitable for risk tolerant investors, I still think the risk is worth it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071277854,"gmtCreate":1657548467078,"gmtModify":1676536023436,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"T_T","listText":"T_T","text":"T_T","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071277854","repostId":"1171662108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171662108","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657546383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171662108?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171662108","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings reports slated for later in the week.</p><p>Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped by 173 points, or 0.55%. S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.64%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.69%.</p><p>Twitter shares fell 5% in the premarket after Elon Muskterminated a deal worth $44 billion to buy the social media company. The billionaire took issue with the number of bots and fake accounts on the platform and said Twitter wasn’t being truthful about how authentic activity on the platform was. However, the company said it gave Musk the information he needed to assess the claims.</p><p>Monday’s moves lower come on the back of worsening Covid trends in China, with Shanghai detecting its first case of the BA.5 subvariant and Macau closing its casinos for a week.</p><p>“COVID headwinds aren’t just a Chinese phenomenon – cases are climbing globally, although the risk of lockdowns in the US and EU remains extremely low,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.</p><p>Wall Street is coming off a mixed session in which the Dow and S&amp;P 500 fell slightly, while the Nasdaq Compositerose for a fifth straight day. All of the major averages secured a winning week after astronger-than-expected jobs reportFriday showed that the economic downturn worrying investors has not yet arrived and added to positive sentiment.</p><p>Still, the 2-year Treasury yield hovered above its 10-year counterpart, an inversion many see as a recession indicator. The 2-year rate on Monday traded at 3.08%, roughly 2 basis points above the 10-year.</p><p>“While the markets ended in solid green for the week, investors should brace for continued volatility in July, with ongoing uncertainties looming with respect to inflation, Fed policy, recession concerns, the enduring Russia-Ukraine war, all as we also move into corporate earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.</p><p>The jobs report, while good for the economy, could embolden the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hikes in the coming months to fight persistently high inflation. It will betested this weekwith a slew of earnings from major banks and consumer inflation data this week on deck.</p><p>“With recessionary fears weighing on the markets, investors are hyper-focused on corporate earnings for greater clues about the health of corporate America and the broader U.S. economy,” Bassuk said.</p><p>“A sharper lens will be needed to dissect these earnings reports, as a strong second quarter might be accompanied by very conservative outlooks,” he added. “As commodity and other producer costs remain high, companies will be factoring in the extent to which those heightened prices can be passed on to consumers and, likewise, how to keep earnings vigorous amid economic, geopolitical and other key headwinds.</p><p>PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines are scheduled to report earnings Tuesday and Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are set to report at the end of the week.</p><p>Investors are also looking ahead to the release of June’s consumer price index on Wednesday, which is expected to show headline inflation, including food and energy,rising above May’s 8.6% level.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Slide to Start the Week As Wall Street Prepares for Earnings Season to Kick off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-11 21:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings reports slated for later in the week.</p><p>Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped by 173 points, or 0.55%. S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.64%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.69%.</p><p>Twitter shares fell 5% in the premarket after Elon Muskterminated a deal worth $44 billion to buy the social media company. The billionaire took issue with the number of bots and fake accounts on the platform and said Twitter wasn’t being truthful about how authentic activity on the platform was. However, the company said it gave Musk the information he needed to assess the claims.</p><p>Monday’s moves lower come on the back of worsening Covid trends in China, with Shanghai detecting its first case of the BA.5 subvariant and Macau closing its casinos for a week.</p><p>“COVID headwinds aren’t just a Chinese phenomenon – cases are climbing globally, although the risk of lockdowns in the US and EU remains extremely low,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.</p><p>Wall Street is coming off a mixed session in which the Dow and S&amp;P 500 fell slightly, while the Nasdaq Compositerose for a fifth straight day. All of the major averages secured a winning week after astronger-than-expected jobs reportFriday showed that the economic downturn worrying investors has not yet arrived and added to positive sentiment.</p><p>Still, the 2-year Treasury yield hovered above its 10-year counterpart, an inversion many see as a recession indicator. The 2-year rate on Monday traded at 3.08%, roughly 2 basis points above the 10-year.</p><p>“While the markets ended in solid green for the week, investors should brace for continued volatility in July, with ongoing uncertainties looming with respect to inflation, Fed policy, recession concerns, the enduring Russia-Ukraine war, all as we also move into corporate earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.</p><p>The jobs report, while good for the economy, could embolden the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hikes in the coming months to fight persistently high inflation. It will betested this weekwith a slew of earnings from major banks and consumer inflation data this week on deck.</p><p>“With recessionary fears weighing on the markets, investors are hyper-focused on corporate earnings for greater clues about the health of corporate America and the broader U.S. economy,” Bassuk said.</p><p>“A sharper lens will be needed to dissect these earnings reports, as a strong second quarter might be accompanied by very conservative outlooks,” he added. “As commodity and other producer costs remain high, companies will be factoring in the extent to which those heightened prices can be passed on to consumers and, likewise, how to keep earnings vigorous amid economic, geopolitical and other key headwinds.</p><p>PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines are scheduled to report earnings Tuesday and Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are set to report at the end of the week.</p><p>Investors are also looking ahead to the release of June’s consumer price index on Wednesday, which is expected to show headline inflation, including food and energy,rising above May’s 8.6% level.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171662108","content_text":"U.S. equities futures fell early Monday morning as Wall Street looked ahead to big company earnings reports slated for later in the week.Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped by 173 points, or 0.55%. S&P 500 futures fell 0.64%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.69%.Twitter shares fell 5% in the premarket after Elon Muskterminated a deal worth $44 billion to buy the social media company. The billionaire took issue with the number of bots and fake accounts on the platform and said Twitter wasn’t being truthful about how authentic activity on the platform was. However, the company said it gave Musk the information he needed to assess the claims.Monday’s moves lower come on the back of worsening Covid trends in China, with Shanghai detecting its first case of the BA.5 subvariant and Macau closing its casinos for a week.“COVID headwinds aren’t just a Chinese phenomenon – cases are climbing globally, although the risk of lockdowns in the US and EU remains extremely low,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.Wall Street is coming off a mixed session in which the Dow and S&P 500 fell slightly, while the Nasdaq Compositerose for a fifth straight day. All of the major averages secured a winning week after astronger-than-expected jobs reportFriday showed that the economic downturn worrying investors has not yet arrived and added to positive sentiment.Still, the 2-year Treasury yield hovered above its 10-year counterpart, an inversion many see as a recession indicator. The 2-year rate on Monday traded at 3.08%, roughly 2 basis points above the 10-year.“While the markets ended in solid green for the week, investors should brace for continued volatility in July, with ongoing uncertainties looming with respect to inflation, Fed policy, recession concerns, the enduring Russia-Ukraine war, all as we also move into corporate earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.The jobs report, while good for the economy, could embolden the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hikes in the coming months to fight persistently high inflation. It will betested this weekwith a slew of earnings from major banks and consumer inflation data this week on deck.“With recessionary fears weighing on the markets, investors are hyper-focused on corporate earnings for greater clues about the health of corporate America and the broader U.S. economy,” Bassuk said.“A sharper lens will be needed to dissect these earnings reports, as a strong second quarter might be accompanied by very conservative outlooks,” he added. “As commodity and other producer costs remain high, companies will be factoring in the extent to which those heightened prices can be passed on to consumers and, likewise, how to keep earnings vigorous amid economic, geopolitical and other key headwinds.PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines are scheduled to report earnings Tuesday and Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are set to report at the end of the week.Investors are also looking ahead to the release of June’s consumer price index on Wednesday, which is expected to show headline inflation, including food and energy,rising above May’s 8.6% level.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071357583,"gmtCreate":1657495779842,"gmtModify":1676536012643,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071357583","repostId":"2250672431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250672431","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657494031,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250672431?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250672431","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week wil","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.</p><p>The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.</p><p>Friday&#39;s June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.</p><p>&#34;The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,&#34; said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.</p><p>Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning&#39;s inflation data for more clarity on this issue.</p><p>Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.</p><p>This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.</p><p>Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.</p><p>Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is &#34;beside the point.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the &#39;recession&#39; question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,&#34; Harris wrote.</p><p>And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.</p><p>The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.</p><p>JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reuters</p><p>Investors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.</p><p>Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.</p><p>Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.</p><p>The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)</p><p>Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, &#34;technically, markets look to be at resistance.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,&#34; Newton wrote. &#34;While I remain a buyer on weakness, it&#39;s hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.&#34;</p><h3>Economic Calendar</h3><p><b>Monday: </b></p><p><b>Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June </b>(93.2 previously)</p><p><b>Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY </b>(+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, YoY </b>(+5.8% expected, +6% previously); <b>CPI, June, MoM </b>(+1.1% expected, +1% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, MoM </b>(+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); <b>Federal Reserve Beige Book</b></p><p><b>Thursday: Initial jobless claims </b>(235,000 previously)</p><p><b>Friday: Retail sales, June </b>(+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously);<b> Retail sales, control group, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Empire State manufacturing index, July </b>(-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously);<b> Producer price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); <b>Import price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously);<b> Industrial production, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Capacity utilization, June </b>(80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); <b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July </b>(49 expected, 50 previously)</p><h3>Earnings Calendar</h3><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/232bb95cad2c6ce3dda94e126cbae636\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1194\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h3><h3>Monday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.</p><p>After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.</p><h3>Tuesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>PepsiCo</b> (PEP)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report. </i></p><h3>Wednesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Fastenal</b> (FAST); <b>Delta Air Lines</b> (DAL)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p><h3>Thursday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>JPMorgan Chase</b> (JPM); <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a></b> (MS); <b>Conagra</b> (CAG), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a></b> (FRC); <b>Cintas</b> (CTAS)</p><p>After Market Close: <b>American Outdoor Brands</b> (AOUT)</p><h3>Friday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Wells Fargo</b> (WFC); <b>BlackRock</b> (BLK); <b>Citigroup</b> (C); <b>BNY Mellon</b> (BK); <b>UnitedHealth</b> (UNH); <b>Progressive</b> (PGR); <b>US Bancorp</b> (USB); <b>State Street</b> (STT); <b>PNC Financial</b> (PNC)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","JPM":"摩根大通","PEP":"百事可乐","DAL":"达美航空"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250672431","content_text":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.Friday's June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.\"The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,\" said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning's inflation data for more clarity on this issue.Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is \"beside the point.\"\"While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the 'recession' question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,\" Harris wrote.And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reutersInvestors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, \"technically, markets look to be at resistance.\"\"While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,\" Newton wrote. \"While I remain a buyer on weakness, it's hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.\"Economic CalendarMonday: Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June (93.2 previously)Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY (+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously); Core CPI, June, YoY (+5.8% expected, +6% previously); CPI, June, MoM (+1.1% expected, +1% previously); Core CPI, June, MoM (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); Federal Reserve Beige BookThursday: Initial jobless claims (235,000 previously)Friday: Retail sales, June (+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously); Retail sales, control group, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Empire State manufacturing index, July (-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously); Producer price index, June, MoM (+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); Import price index, June, MoM (+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously); Industrial production, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Capacity utilization, June (80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July (49 expected, 50 previously)Earnings CalendarMonday:Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Tuesday:Before Market Open: PepsiCo (PEP)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report. Wednesday:Before Market Open: Fastenal (FAST); Delta Air Lines (DAL)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Thursday:Before Market Open: JPMorgan Chase (JPM); Morgan Stanley (MS); Conagra (CAG), First Republic Bank (FRC); Cintas (CTAS)After Market Close: American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)Friday:Before Market Open: Wells Fargo (WFC); BlackRock (BLK); Citigroup (C); BNY Mellon (BK); UnitedHealth (UNH); Progressive (PGR); US Bancorp (USB); State Street (STT); PNC Financial (PNC)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058314851,"gmtCreate":1654786380573,"gmtModify":1676535510854,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058314851","repostId":"2242802365","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2242802365","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1654787892,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242802365?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-09 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is It Time to Buy Tesla Stock? This Analyst Thinks So","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242802365","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"UBS upgraded $Tesla(TSLA)$ to a Buy from Neutral while keeping its price target unchanged at $1,100.Record-high order backlogs, increasing margins and a competitive edge in the supply chains of the el","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>UBS upgraded <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> to a Buy from Neutral while keeping its price target unchanged at $1,100.</p><p>Record-high order backlogs, increasing margins and a competitive edge in the supply chains of the electric-vehicle maker are reasons to be bullish on the company, analysts led by Patrick Hummel wrote in a June 9 note.</p><p>After falling more than 30% this year, Tesla (ticker: TSLA) shares are up 3% in premarket trading Thursday at $747.63.</p><p>“The operational outlook is stronger than ever before,” the UBS analysts said in a note titled “Time to be bold.”</p><p>UBS lowered its estimate for 2022 earnings per share by 12% because of the lockdowns, but raised its predictions for the next three years by up to 40%.</p><p>Tesla will probably deliver 1.4 million units this year despite that setback, meeting its target for 50% growth, UBS said. The company should also be able to expand faster and more profitably than rivals because its supply chain for semiconductors, battery cells and raw materials is superior.</p><p>“The market still underestimates how much better Tesla will fare versus competitors,” they said.</p><p>In a separate report, the company tripled production in its Shanghai plan in May and sold more than 30,000 cars in China last month. The company has been plagued by strict lockdowns in the country that have hampered output.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Time to Buy Tesla Stock? This Analyst Thinks So</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Time to Buy Tesla Stock? This Analyst Thinks So\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-09 23:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>UBS upgraded <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> to a Buy from Neutral while keeping its price target unchanged at $1,100.</p><p>Record-high order backlogs, increasing margins and a competitive edge in the supply chains of the electric-vehicle maker are reasons to be bullish on the company, analysts led by Patrick Hummel wrote in a June 9 note.</p><p>After falling more than 30% this year, Tesla (ticker: TSLA) shares are up 3% in premarket trading Thursday at $747.63.</p><p>“The operational outlook is stronger than ever before,” the UBS analysts said in a note titled “Time to be bold.”</p><p>UBS lowered its estimate for 2022 earnings per share by 12% because of the lockdowns, but raised its predictions for the next three years by up to 40%.</p><p>Tesla will probably deliver 1.4 million units this year despite that setback, meeting its target for 50% growth, UBS said. The company should also be able to expand faster and more profitably than rivals because its supply chain for semiconductors, battery cells and raw materials is superior.</p><p>“The market still underestimates how much better Tesla will fare versus competitors,” they said.</p><p>In a separate report, the company tripled production in its Shanghai plan in May and sold more than 30,000 cars in China last month. The company has been plagued by strict lockdowns in the country that have hampered output.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242802365","content_text":"UBS upgraded Tesla to a Buy from Neutral while keeping its price target unchanged at $1,100.Record-high order backlogs, increasing margins and a competitive edge in the supply chains of the electric-vehicle maker are reasons to be bullish on the company, analysts led by Patrick Hummel wrote in a June 9 note.After falling more than 30% this year, Tesla (ticker: TSLA) shares are up 3% in premarket trading Thursday at $747.63.“The operational outlook is stronger than ever before,” the UBS analysts said in a note titled “Time to be bold.”UBS lowered its estimate for 2022 earnings per share by 12% because of the lockdowns, but raised its predictions for the next three years by up to 40%.Tesla will probably deliver 1.4 million units this year despite that setback, meeting its target for 50% growth, UBS said. The company should also be able to expand faster and more profitably than rivals because its supply chain for semiconductors, battery cells and raw materials is superior.“The market still underestimates how much better Tesla will fare versus competitors,” they said.In a separate report, the company tripled production in its Shanghai plan in May and sold more than 30,000 cars in China last month. The company has been plagued by strict lockdowns in the country that have hampered output.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992321291,"gmtCreate":1661265917015,"gmtModify":1676536485504,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992321291","repostId":"2261819523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261819523","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661263959,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261819523?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-23 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261819523","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's stock split will take place after close of trading on Aug. 24. How will that impact your portfolio and taxes?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b>&#39;s 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders&#39; meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close of trading on Aug. 24. Shareholders of record on Aug. 17 will receive a stock dividend of two extra shares for every one share they currently own.</p><p>If you&#39;ve been wondering how stock splits work and what will happen to your Tesla shares, here are three quick items to jot down.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442bd00ec553e9dc5ae35b44257799f8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>1. You&#39;ll have more Tesla shares after the stock split</h2><p>A stock split increases the number of shares outstanding, giving investors more shares in their account for every one share they previously owned.</p><p>After a stock split, the value of each share will be reduced to a lower price. This makes it easy for more retail investors to get their hands on a whole share of stock, because the stock price appears more affordable. If you&#39;re already an investor, your shares will be split into bite-sized pieces, but the total value of your shares will not increase.</p><p>Let&#39;s say you have one share of Tesla&#39;s stock. On the day of the 3-for-1 stock split, the company will grant you two additional shares. Each share in your portfolio would be valued at one-third the price of the original share. If one Tesla share is trading at $900 before the stock split, you&#39;ll have three Tesla shares valued at $300 each after the stock split. As you can see, the total value of your shares is still $900.</p><p>Here&#39;s how many shares you will have after the stock split based on the number of shares you have on record as of Aug. 17. All you have to do is look at the number of shares you have now, and multiply the total by three. That&#39;s how many shares you&#39;ll have after a stock split.</p><ul><li>1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares</li><li>2 shares of Tesla stock = 6 shares</li><li>3 shares of Tesla stock = 9 shares</li><li>4 shares of Tesla stock = 12 shares</li><li>5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares</li></ul><h2>2. You won&#39;t have to report the stock split itself on your tax return</h2><p>A stock split doesn&#39;t increase a company&#39;s market capitalization or increase the value of your shares. You may have more shares in your account, but the original value of your shares remains the same. Therefore, a stock split in itself is not considered a taxable event. There are no IRS reporting requirements you need to adhere to during tax time.</p><h2>3. You may have to pay taxes if you sell your extra Tesla shares</h2><p>Although a stock split in itself is not taxable, selling stock for a profit after a stock split can lead to taxes. This is the case if you sell stock in a taxable brokerage account. Earning money in the stock market leads to capital gains taxes. You will be taxed at the short-term or long-term capital gains tax rate, depending on how long you had your Tesla stock before selling it. Your brokerage firm will send you the details of your transaction, so you can properly report the sale to the IRS during tax time.</p><p>Stock splits can be exciting and pain-free in the eyes of the investor. You wake up to more shares in your account after a stock split, and you don&#39;t have to worry about any tax obligations. But as soon as you decide to sell, you&#39;ll need to report your moves to the IRS. Before you make a move after a stock split, pay attention to the impact it will have on your portfolio and taxes, so you won&#39;t be surprised later.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 22:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders' meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261819523","content_text":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders' meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close of trading on Aug. 24. Shareholders of record on Aug. 17 will receive a stock dividend of two extra shares for every one share they currently own.If you've been wondering how stock splits work and what will happen to your Tesla shares, here are three quick items to jot down.Image source: Getty Images.1. You'll have more Tesla shares after the stock splitA stock split increases the number of shares outstanding, giving investors more shares in their account for every one share they previously owned.After a stock split, the value of each share will be reduced to a lower price. This makes it easy for more retail investors to get their hands on a whole share of stock, because the stock price appears more affordable. If you're already an investor, your shares will be split into bite-sized pieces, but the total value of your shares will not increase.Let's say you have one share of Tesla's stock. On the day of the 3-for-1 stock split, the company will grant you two additional shares. Each share in your portfolio would be valued at one-third the price of the original share. If one Tesla share is trading at $900 before the stock split, you'll have three Tesla shares valued at $300 each after the stock split. As you can see, the total value of your shares is still $900.Here's how many shares you will have after the stock split based on the number of shares you have on record as of Aug. 17. All you have to do is look at the number of shares you have now, and multiply the total by three. That's how many shares you'll have after a stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares2 shares of Tesla stock = 6 shares3 shares of Tesla stock = 9 shares4 shares of Tesla stock = 12 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares2. You won't have to report the stock split itself on your tax returnA stock split doesn't increase a company's market capitalization or increase the value of your shares. You may have more shares in your account, but the original value of your shares remains the same. Therefore, a stock split in itself is not considered a taxable event. There are no IRS reporting requirements you need to adhere to during tax time.3. You may have to pay taxes if you sell your extra Tesla sharesAlthough a stock split in itself is not taxable, selling stock for a profit after a stock split can lead to taxes. This is the case if you sell stock in a taxable brokerage account. Earning money in the stock market leads to capital gains taxes. You will be taxed at the short-term or long-term capital gains tax rate, depending on how long you had your Tesla stock before selling it. Your brokerage firm will send you the details of your transaction, so you can properly report the sale to the IRS during tax time.Stock splits can be exciting and pain-free in the eyes of the investor. You wake up to more shares in your account after a stock split, and you don't have to worry about any tax obligations. But as soon as you decide to sell, you'll need to report your moves to the IRS. Before you make a move after a stock split, pay attention to the impact it will have on your portfolio and taxes, so you won't be surprised later.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995881395,"gmtCreate":1661441249119,"gmtModify":1676536519459,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogo","listText":"Gogo","text":"Gogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995881395","repostId":"1128297390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128297390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661439219,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128297390?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 22:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128297390","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e70f80001a651bf0f7eaae678f75e7e6\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Shares Rose More Than 8%, Returning to $100\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-25 22:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e70f80001a651bf0f7eaae678f75e7e6\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128297390","content_text":"Alibaba shares rose more than 8%, returning to $100.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996304208,"gmtCreate":1661123520806,"gmtModify":1676536454508,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woah","listText":"Woah","text":"Woah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996304208","repostId":"1145254202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1145254202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661130354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145254202?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145254202","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Ka","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.</p><p>The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with Friday morning&#39;s speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected to highlight the proceedings as investors search for clues on the central bank&#39;s next move.</p><p>This year&#39;s symposium marks the first in-person Jackson Hole conference since 2019.</p><p>A close-reading of Powell&#39;s comments on Friday will boil down to whether investors see the Fed chair signaling another 0.75% interest rate hike from the Fed at its next policy announcement on September 21, or whether the Fed will ease its pace of rate hikes and increase benchmark rates by 0.50%.</p><p>In a note to clients Friday, Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote that recent economic events are likely to set the table for a 0.50% rate hike in September.</p><p>July inflation data showed a modest softening in inflation pressures, arguing for easing the pace of hikes. The July jobs report dispelled concerns from some Fed officials that the labor market is softening, perhaps making the case for continued aggression on raising rates.</p><p>&#34;To the extent that those developments cancel each other out, we still expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 [basis points] next month,&#34; Hunter wrote. &#34;There doesn’t appear to be much need for Chair Jerome Powell to adjust expectations when he speaks at Jackson Hole next Friday.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s speech will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, and for the first time the Fed chair&#39;s speech — seen as the most important central bank communication of the year — will stream live. Yahoo Finance&#39;sBrian Cheung will be on the ground in Wyoming to bring readers and viewers full coverage of the events.</p><p>In addition to Powell&#39;s speech, updates on service sector activity, inflation, and consumer sentiment will feature on the economic calendar. PCE inflation — the Fed&#39;s preferred measure — is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, just 90 minutes before Powell&#39;s speech. Powell&#39;s speech will begin simultaneously with the release of the University of Michigan&#39;s latest consumer sentiment index.</p><p>For Fed Watchers, the coming week will hardly offer a summer Friday.</p><p>Though earnings season has largely wrapped up, this week&#39;s trickle of results will still offer investors key updates, with reports out of Nvidia (NVDA), salesforce.com (CRM), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and dollar store operators Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) — the week&#39;s most notable releases.</p><p>Last week&#39;s results from Walmart(WMT) andTarget(TGT) helped allay some investor fears over the state of the consumer, with these results coming in better-than-feared. However, both companies&#39; reports signaled a more cautious approach from shoppers as inflation pressures bit during the summer months.</p><p>Walmart CFO John David Rainey told Yahoo Finance last week the company saw customers trade down — particularly in grocery — during the quarter. Rainey also told analysts on a conference call the company had canceled billions in orders.</p><p>Back in May, Dollar Tree and Dollar General offered some of the earliest indications that consumers were using their grocery runs as an opportunity to cut costs. Results from both retailers this week will be parsed for signs of any continued, modified, or accelerated behavioral shifts.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s latest report comes also comes at a crucial juncture for the semiconductor industry, often seen as a bellwether for global economic demand. Earlier this month, Nvidiawarned its quarterly results would miss estimates, and reports this week catalogued the growing concerns around demand in the chip space as global economic activity appears to soften.</p><p>Last week, markets snapped a four-week winning streak, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% and the S&amp;P 500 falling more than 1%.</p><p>This loss of momentum in the summer market rally came as the latest leg of the meme stock trade fizzled out, with Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) shares falling 40% on Friday, after GameStop (GME) chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed he&#39;d sold his entire 11.8% position in the struggling retailer.</p><p>Cohen&#39;s sale also came as Bloomberg reported late Thursday that Bed Bath &amp; Beyond has engaged Kirkland &amp; Ellis, a law firm known for its restructuring and bankruptcy work. After the close on Friday, Bloomberg reported some suppliers for Bed Bath &amp; Beyond had halted shipments due to unpaid bills by the retailer.</p><p>While the collapse in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares served as the splashiest move, last week also saw several of this summer&#39;s &#34;losers turned winners&#34; struggle, with names like Peloton (PTON), Robinhood (HOOD), and Coinbase (COIN) all falling more than 13% for the week.</p><p>—</p><p>Economic calendar</p><p>Monday: <b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index</b>, July (-0.19 previously)</p><p>Tuesday: <b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</b>, August preliminary (51.9 expected, 52.2 previously); <b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI</b>, August preliminary (50 expected, 47.3 previously); <b>Richmond Fed manufacturing index</b>, August (-5 expected, 0 previously); <b>New home sales</b>, July (-2.5% expected, -8.1% expected)</p><p>Wednesday: <b>MBA mortgage applications</b>; <b>Durable goods orders</b>, July (+0.8% expected, +2% previously);<b>Durable goods orders excluding transportation</b>, July (+0.2% expected; +0.4% previously); <b>Pending home sales</b>, July (-2% expected, -8.6% previously)</p><p>Thursday: <b>Initial jobless claims</b>(252,000 expected, 250,000 previously); <b>Second quarter GDP</b>, second estimate (-0.8% expected; -0.9% previously); <b>Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity</b>, August (13 previously)</p><p>Friday:<b>Personal income</b>, July (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously);<b>Personal spending</b>, July (+0.5% expected, +1.1% previously);<b>Whole inventories</b>, July (+1.4% expected, +1.8% previously);<b>Retail inventories</b>, July (+2% previously);<b>PCE, month-on-month</b>, July (+0.1% expected, 1% previously);<b>PCE, year-on-year</b>, July (+6.4% expected, +6.8% previously);<b>Core PCE, month-on-month</b>, July (+0.3% expected, +0.6% previously);<b>Core PCE, year-on-year</b>, July (+4.7% expected; +4.8% previously);<b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment</b>, August (55.3 expected, 55.1 previously)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings calendar</p><p>Monday:<b>Zoom</b>(ZM),<b>Nordson</b>(NDSN),<b>Palo Alto Networks</b>(PANW)</p><p>Tuesday:<b>Medtronic</b>(MDT),<b>J.M. Smucker</b>(SJM),<b>JD.com</b>(JD),<b>Intuit</b>(INTU),<b>Advance Auto Parts</b>(AAP)</p><p>Wednesday:<b>Splunk</b>(SPLK),<b>NetApp</b>(NTAP),<b>Autodesk</b>(ADSK),<b>salesforce.com</b>(CRM),<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA)</p><p>Thursday:<b>Dollar Tree</b>(DLTR),<b>Dollar General</b>(DG),<b>Workday</b>(WDAY),<b>MarvellTechnology</b>(MRVL),<b>UltaBeauty</b>(ULTA)</p><p>Friday: <i>No major earnings set for release.</i></p><p>—</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145254202","content_text":"The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with Friday morning's speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected to highlight the proceedings as investors search for clues on the central bank's next move.This year's symposium marks the first in-person Jackson Hole conference since 2019.A close-reading of Powell's comments on Friday will boil down to whether investors see the Fed chair signaling another 0.75% interest rate hike from the Fed at its next policy announcement on September 21, or whether the Fed will ease its pace of rate hikes and increase benchmark rates by 0.50%.In a note to clients Friday, Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote that recent economic events are likely to set the table for a 0.50% rate hike in September.July inflation data showed a modest softening in inflation pressures, arguing for easing the pace of hikes. The July jobs report dispelled concerns from some Fed officials that the labor market is softening, perhaps making the case for continued aggression on raising rates.\"To the extent that those developments cancel each other out, we still expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 [basis points] next month,\" Hunter wrote. \"There doesn’t appear to be much need for Chair Jerome Powell to adjust expectations when he speaks at Jackson Hole next Friday.\"Powell's speech will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, and for the first time the Fed chair's speech — seen as the most important central bank communication of the year — will stream live. Yahoo Finance'sBrian Cheung will be on the ground in Wyoming to bring readers and viewers full coverage of the events.In addition to Powell's speech, updates on service sector activity, inflation, and consumer sentiment will feature on the economic calendar. PCE inflation — the Fed's preferred measure — is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, just 90 minutes before Powell's speech. Powell's speech will begin simultaneously with the release of the University of Michigan's latest consumer sentiment index.For Fed Watchers, the coming week will hardly offer a summer Friday.Though earnings season has largely wrapped up, this week's trickle of results will still offer investors key updates, with reports out of Nvidia (NVDA), salesforce.com (CRM), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and dollar store operators Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) — the week's most notable releases.Last week's results from Walmart(WMT) andTarget(TGT) helped allay some investor fears over the state of the consumer, with these results coming in better-than-feared. However, both companies' reports signaled a more cautious approach from shoppers as inflation pressures bit during the summer months.Walmart CFO John David Rainey told Yahoo Finance last week the company saw customers trade down — particularly in grocery — during the quarter. Rainey also told analysts on a conference call the company had canceled billions in orders.Back in May, Dollar Tree and Dollar General offered some of the earliest indications that consumers were using their grocery runs as an opportunity to cut costs. Results from both retailers this week will be parsed for signs of any continued, modified, or accelerated behavioral shifts.Nvidia's latest report comes also comes at a crucial juncture for the semiconductor industry, often seen as a bellwether for global economic demand. Earlier this month, Nvidiawarned its quarterly results would miss estimates, and reports this week catalogued the growing concerns around demand in the chip space as global economic activity appears to soften.Last week, markets snapped a four-week winning streak, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% and the S&P 500 falling more than 1%.This loss of momentum in the summer market rally came as the latest leg of the meme stock trade fizzled out, with Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) shares falling 40% on Friday, after GameStop (GME) chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed he'd sold his entire 11.8% position in the struggling retailer.Cohen's sale also came as Bloomberg reported late Thursday that Bed Bath & Beyond has engaged Kirkland & Ellis, a law firm known for its restructuring and bankruptcy work. After the close on Friday, Bloomberg reported some suppliers for Bed Bath & Beyond had halted shipments due to unpaid bills by the retailer.While the collapse in Bed Bath & Beyond shares served as the splashiest move, last week also saw several of this summer's \"losers turned winners\" struggle, with names like Peloton (PTON), Robinhood (HOOD), and Coinbase (COIN) all falling more than 13% for the week.—Economic calendarMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (-0.19 previously)Tuesday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (51.9 expected, 52.2 previously); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (50 expected, 47.3 previously); Richmond Fed manufacturing index, August (-5 expected, 0 previously); New home sales, July (-2.5% expected, -8.1% expected)Wednesday: MBA mortgage applications; Durable goods orders, July (+0.8% expected, +2% previously);Durable goods orders excluding transportation, July (+0.2% expected; +0.4% previously); Pending home sales, July (-2% expected, -8.6% previously)Thursday: Initial jobless claims(252,000 expected, 250,000 previously); Second quarter GDP, second estimate (-0.8% expected; -0.9% previously); Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity, August (13 previously)Friday:Personal income, July (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously);Personal spending, July (+0.5% expected, +1.1% previously);Whole inventories, July (+1.4% expected, +1.8% previously);Retail inventories, July (+2% previously);PCE, month-on-month, July (+0.1% expected, 1% previously);PCE, year-on-year, July (+6.4% expected, +6.8% previously);Core PCE, month-on-month, July (+0.3% expected, +0.6% previously);Core PCE, year-on-year, July (+4.7% expected; +4.8% previously);University of Michigan consumer sentiment, August (55.3 expected, 55.1 previously)—Earnings calendarMonday:Zoom(ZM),Nordson(NDSN),Palo Alto Networks(PANW)Tuesday:Medtronic(MDT),J.M. Smucker(SJM),JD.com(JD),Intuit(INTU),Advance Auto Parts(AAP)Wednesday:Splunk(SPLK),NetApp(NTAP),Autodesk(ADSK),salesforce.com(CRM),Nvidia(NVDA)Thursday:Dollar Tree(DLTR),Dollar General(DG),Workday(WDAY),MarvellTechnology(MRVL),UltaBeauty(ULTA)Friday: No major earnings set for release.—","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993810609,"gmtCreate":1660659762803,"gmtModify":1676536373797,"author":{"id":"4110834633749062","authorId":"4110834633749062","name":"tigerSam","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e3112b59b98afca520f16e54f61641e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110834633749062","authorIdStr":"4110834633749062"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993810609","repostId":"2259839211","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259839211","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1660659198,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259839211?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259839211","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla(TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares pri","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Tesla</b> (<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.</li><li>Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.</li><li>Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.</p><p>Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p>For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.</p><p>Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.</p><p>Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><td><b><u>TSLA</u></b></td><td><b>Tesla</b></td><td>$927.96</td></tr></tbody></table><h2>What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?</h2><p>Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.</p><p>However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.</p><p>So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.</p><p>As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.</p><h2>Musk Teases <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> New Tesla Vehicle Models</h2><p>As I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”</p><p>This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.</p><p>Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.</p><h2>What You Can Do Now</h2><p>For all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.</p><p>Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259839211","content_text":"Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.TSLATesla$927.96What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.Musk Teases Two New Tesla Vehicle ModelsAs I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.What You Can Do NowFor all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}