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2022-11-06

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2022-11-06

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2022-10-21

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Only green stockas it's free

2022-10-21

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Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Give up Gains After UK's Truss Says She Is Resigning As PM

2022-10-12

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Google: The Market Has Lost Its Mind

2022-10-08

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Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices

2022-10-08

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2022-09-29

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2022-09-20

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5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction

2022-08-08

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The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market

2022-07-14

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U.S. Stocks Erased Earlier Heavy Losses in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Rose Over 0.2% While Dow Jones and S&P500 Slid Less Than 0.5%

2022-06-25

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What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?

2022-06-25

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What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?

2022-06-10

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Inflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981

2022-06-03

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Google Investors Shoot down Racial-Equity Audit While Approving Stock Split

2022-05-31

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2022-05-31

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2022-05-24

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How To Invest In A Bear Market

2022-05-23

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$only green stock 😂

2022-05-21

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1666270948,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1108963922?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-20 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Give up Gains After UK's Truss Says She Is Resigning As PM","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108963922","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures tracking the S&P 500 index moved sharply lower on Thursday after Liz Truss said she was resi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Futures tracking the S&amp;P 500 index moved sharply lower on Thursday after Liz Truss said she was resigning as prime minister of the United Kingdom.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 9:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 8 points, or 0.03%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 63.5 points, or 0.57%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5838c4ed3ad5ff42cb252f7429f9bd9b\" tg-width=\"423\" tg-height=\"195\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>AT&amp;T(T) – AT&amp;T rose 2.4% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter. The company said wireless revenue rose 5.6%, the best quarterly improvement in more than a decade, and postpaid phone net additions came in higher than expected.</p><p>American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlines beat top and bottom line estimates for the third quarter as travel demand continued to surge despite economic worries. American stock jumped 2.6% in premarket trading.</p><p>Blackstone(BX) – Blackstone added 1% in premarket action following better-than-expected quarterly results. Distributable earnings fell 16% from a year ago, due in part to market declines.</p><p>Dow Inc.(DOW) – The chemical maker’s stock fell 2.5% in the premarket, despite a top and bottom line beat for the third quarter, with investors focusing on higher energy costs that hurt Dow’s profit margins.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla slid 5.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected quarterly revenue and cut its full-year delivery target. The electric vehicle maker reported a better-than-expected profit for the quarter.</p><p>IBM(IBM) – IBM rallied 3.3% in off-hours trading after reporting a top and bottom line beat for its latest quarter and raising its full-year revenue outlook. IBM saw improved results in multiple business segments, including software, consulting and infrastructure.</p><p>Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Las Vegas Sands reported a larger-than-expected loss for the third quarter, while revenue beat analyst forecasts. The casino operator’s results are still being impacted by China’s Covid-19 policies, which are crimping business In Macau. However, Las Vegas Sands shares rose 1% in premarket trading.</p><p>Allstate(ALL) – Allstate tumbled 10.3% in the premarket after the insurance company said it would report a third-quarter loss. Catastrophe losses will grow for the quarter, largely due to the impact of Hurricane Ian, which struck in September.</p><p>WD-40(WDFC) – WD-40 slid 6.3% in premarket action after saying inflation will affect the lubricant maker’s ability to hit its 55% gross margin target.</p><p>Alcoa(AA) – Alcoa shares slumped 10.7% in the premarket after the aluminum producer reported an unexpected third-quarter loss. A drop in aluminum prices and higher costs affected Alcoa’s results.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>American Airlines Group Q3 EPS $0.69 Beats $0.31 Estimate, Sales $13.50B Beat $13.25B Estimate</b></p><p>American Airlines Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.31 by 122.58 percent.</p><p>The company reported quarterly sales of $13.50 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $13.25 billion by 1.89 percent.</p><p><b>AT&amp;T rises as Q3 earnings top estimates, adds 964K total subscribers</b></p><p>AT&amp;T shares rose on Thursday as the telecom giant posted third-quarter results that topped expectations, adding 964,000 total subscribers and maintained its cash flow guidance for the rest of the year.</p><p>For the period ending September30, AT&amp;T (T) said it earned an adjusted 68 cents per share on $30B in revenue, topping estimates of 61 cents per share and $29.86B in sales. The company added 708,000 total postpaid phone subscribers during the period, bringing its total to 2.2M for the entire year. Wireless service revenue grew 5.6% year-over-year, the highest in over a decade.</p><p><b>Ericsson Earnings Miss Estimates As Costs Dent Margins</b></p><p>Ericsson on Thursday reported third-quarter core earnings that missed expectations for the second quarter in a row, as margins took a hit from higher component and logistics costs.</p><p>The company&#39;s quarterly adjusted operating earnings fell to 7.1 billion Swedish crowns ($633.05 million) from 8.8 billion crowns a year earlier, missing analysts&#39; mean forecast of 8.73 billion, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><b>Nokia Quarterly Operating Profit Lags Expectation</b></p><p>Nokia on Thursday reported quarterly operating profit below market expectations even as the Finnish telecom equipment maker continues to benefit from strong demand from phone companies as they roll out 5G.</p><p>Third-quarter comparable operating profit rose to 658 million euros ($643.3 million) from 633 million last year, lagging the 690.6 million euro mean forecast of 10 analysts polled by Refinitiv.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Give up Gains After UK's Truss Says She Is Resigning As PM</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Give up Gains After UK's Truss Says She Is Resigning As PM\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-20 21:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Futures tracking the S&amp;P 500 index moved sharply lower on Thursday after Liz Truss said she was resigning as prime minister of the United Kingdom.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 9:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 8 points, or 0.03%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 63.5 points, or 0.57%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5838c4ed3ad5ff42cb252f7429f9bd9b\" tg-width=\"423\" tg-height=\"195\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>AT&amp;T(T) – AT&amp;T rose 2.4% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter. The company said wireless revenue rose 5.6%, the best quarterly improvement in more than a decade, and postpaid phone net additions came in higher than expected.</p><p>American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlines beat top and bottom line estimates for the third quarter as travel demand continued to surge despite economic worries. American stock jumped 2.6% in premarket trading.</p><p>Blackstone(BX) – Blackstone added 1% in premarket action following better-than-expected quarterly results. Distributable earnings fell 16% from a year ago, due in part to market declines.</p><p>Dow Inc.(DOW) – The chemical maker’s stock fell 2.5% in the premarket, despite a top and bottom line beat for the third quarter, with investors focusing on higher energy costs that hurt Dow’s profit margins.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla slid 5.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected quarterly revenue and cut its full-year delivery target. The electric vehicle maker reported a better-than-expected profit for the quarter.</p><p>IBM(IBM) – IBM rallied 3.3% in off-hours trading after reporting a top and bottom line beat for its latest quarter and raising its full-year revenue outlook. IBM saw improved results in multiple business segments, including software, consulting and infrastructure.</p><p>Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Las Vegas Sands reported a larger-than-expected loss for the third quarter, while revenue beat analyst forecasts. The casino operator’s results are still being impacted by China’s Covid-19 policies, which are crimping business In Macau. However, Las Vegas Sands shares rose 1% in premarket trading.</p><p>Allstate(ALL) – Allstate tumbled 10.3% in the premarket after the insurance company said it would report a third-quarter loss. Catastrophe losses will grow for the quarter, largely due to the impact of Hurricane Ian, which struck in September.</p><p>WD-40(WDFC) – WD-40 slid 6.3% in premarket action after saying inflation will affect the lubricant maker’s ability to hit its 55% gross margin target.</p><p>Alcoa(AA) – Alcoa shares slumped 10.7% in the premarket after the aluminum producer reported an unexpected third-quarter loss. A drop in aluminum prices and higher costs affected Alcoa’s results.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>American Airlines Group Q3 EPS $0.69 Beats $0.31 Estimate, Sales $13.50B Beat $13.25B Estimate</b></p><p>American Airlines Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.31 by 122.58 percent.</p><p>The company reported quarterly sales of $13.50 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $13.25 billion by 1.89 percent.</p><p><b>AT&amp;T rises as Q3 earnings top estimates, adds 964K total subscribers</b></p><p>AT&amp;T shares rose on Thursday as the telecom giant posted third-quarter results that topped expectations, adding 964,000 total subscribers and maintained its cash flow guidance for the rest of the year.</p><p>For the period ending September30, AT&amp;T (T) said it earned an adjusted 68 cents per share on $30B in revenue, topping estimates of 61 cents per share and $29.86B in sales. The company added 708,000 total postpaid phone subscribers during the period, bringing its total to 2.2M for the entire year. Wireless service revenue grew 5.6% year-over-year, the highest in over a decade.</p><p><b>Ericsson Earnings Miss Estimates As Costs Dent Margins</b></p><p>Ericsson on Thursday reported third-quarter core earnings that missed expectations for the second quarter in a row, as margins took a hit from higher component and logistics costs.</p><p>The company&#39;s quarterly adjusted operating earnings fell to 7.1 billion Swedish crowns ($633.05 million) from 8.8 billion crowns a year earlier, missing analysts&#39; mean forecast of 8.73 billion, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><b>Nokia Quarterly Operating Profit Lags Expectation</b></p><p>Nokia on Thursday reported quarterly operating profit below market expectations even as the Finnish telecom equipment maker continues to benefit from strong demand from phone companies as they roll out 5G.</p><p>Third-quarter comparable operating profit rose to 658 million euros ($643.3 million) from 633 million last year, lagging the 690.6 million euro mean forecast of 10 analysts polled by Refinitiv.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108963922","content_text":"Futures tracking the S&P 500 index moved sharply lower on Thursday after Liz Truss said she was resigning as prime minister of the United Kingdom.Market SnapshotAt 9:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 8 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 63.5 points, or 0.57%.Pre-Market MoversAT&T(T) – AT&T rose 2.4% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter. The company said wireless revenue rose 5.6%, the best quarterly improvement in more than a decade, and postpaid phone net additions came in higher than expected.American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlines beat top and bottom line estimates for the third quarter as travel demand continued to surge despite economic worries. American stock jumped 2.6% in premarket trading.Blackstone(BX) – Blackstone added 1% in premarket action following better-than-expected quarterly results. Distributable earnings fell 16% from a year ago, due in part to market declines.Dow Inc.(DOW) – The chemical maker’s stock fell 2.5% in the premarket, despite a top and bottom line beat for the third quarter, with investors focusing on higher energy costs that hurt Dow’s profit margins.Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla slid 5.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected quarterly revenue and cut its full-year delivery target. The electric vehicle maker reported a better-than-expected profit for the quarter.IBM(IBM) – IBM rallied 3.3% in off-hours trading after reporting a top and bottom line beat for its latest quarter and raising its full-year revenue outlook. IBM saw improved results in multiple business segments, including software, consulting and infrastructure.Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Las Vegas Sands reported a larger-than-expected loss for the third quarter, while revenue beat analyst forecasts. The casino operator’s results are still being impacted by China’s Covid-19 policies, which are crimping business In Macau. However, Las Vegas Sands shares rose 1% in premarket trading.Allstate(ALL) – Allstate tumbled 10.3% in the premarket after the insurance company said it would report a third-quarter loss. Catastrophe losses will grow for the quarter, largely due to the impact of Hurricane Ian, which struck in September.WD-40(WDFC) – WD-40 slid 6.3% in premarket action after saying inflation will affect the lubricant maker’s ability to hit its 55% gross margin target.Alcoa(AA) – Alcoa shares slumped 10.7% in the premarket after the aluminum producer reported an unexpected third-quarter loss. A drop in aluminum prices and higher costs affected Alcoa’s results.Market NewsAmerican Airlines Group Q3 EPS $0.69 Beats $0.31 Estimate, Sales $13.50B Beat $13.25B EstimateAmerican Airlines Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.31 by 122.58 percent.The company reported quarterly sales of $13.50 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $13.25 billion by 1.89 percent.AT&T rises as Q3 earnings top estimates, adds 964K total subscribersAT&T shares rose on Thursday as the telecom giant posted third-quarter results that topped expectations, adding 964,000 total subscribers and maintained its cash flow guidance for the rest of the year.For the period ending September30, AT&T (T) said it earned an adjusted 68 cents per share on $30B in revenue, topping estimates of 61 cents per share and $29.86B in sales. The company added 708,000 total postpaid phone subscribers during the period, bringing its total to 2.2M for the entire year. Wireless service revenue grew 5.6% year-over-year, the highest in over a decade.Ericsson Earnings Miss Estimates As Costs Dent MarginsEricsson on Thursday reported third-quarter core earnings that missed expectations for the second quarter in a row, as margins took a hit from higher component and logistics costs.The company's quarterly adjusted operating earnings fell to 7.1 billion Swedish crowns ($633.05 million) from 8.8 billion crowns a year earlier, missing analysts' mean forecast of 8.73 billion, according to Refinitiv data.Nokia Quarterly Operating Profit Lags ExpectationNokia on Thursday reported quarterly operating profit below market expectations even as the Finnish telecom equipment maker continues to benefit from strong demand from phone companies as they roll out 5G.Third-quarter comparable operating profit rose to 658 million euros ($643.3 million) from 633 million last year, lagging the 690.6 million euro mean forecast of 10 analysts polled by Refinitiv.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917648922,"gmtCreate":1665518477866,"gmtModify":1676537618726,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917648922","repostId":"1153750551","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1153750551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665466819,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153750551?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-11 13:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google: The Market Has Lost Its Mind","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153750551","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryDespite the latest depreciation in its stock price, Google’s dominant position in the digital","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Despite the latest depreciation in its stock price, Google’s dominant position in the digital ads market should help the company to successfully weather the current uncertain economic environment.</li><li>In addition, the expansion into new mediums could help the business to thrive in a new global regulatory framework.</li><li>This article highlights the potential catalysts that could help Google’s stock to appreciate in the foreseeable future.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dd37b553ffb10c6fe59a1d889775718\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p>Currently, Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is one of the most resilient businesses in the world. Despite the macroeconomic uncertainty, the company has all the chances to continue to have a dominant position in the digitalads market, it has more than enough resources to weather a major crisis, and its latest initiatives could help it to continue to expand its business more even in the current turbulent environment.</p><p>While there&#39;s a high chance that the regulators from both sides of the Atlantic would be looking for ways to break the company&#39;s digital monopoly, there&#39;s a small possibility that major regulatory risks will materialize in the short to near-term. As a result, it&#39;s safe to assume that the market underestimates Google&#39;s ability to create shareholder value in the foreseeable future, since at the current levels the company&#39;s shares trade at a discount to fair value of as much as ~40% in the base-case scenario, creating an opportunity to profit from for investors.</p><h2>Cyclical Decline Creates New Opportunities</h2><p>It&#39;s safe to say that the digital advertising industry is currently in a cyclical decline due to the turbulent macroeconomic environment. After relatively weak performances in recent quarters, digital advertisers such as Meta Platforms(META) and Snap(SNAP) already publicly announced that they&#39;ll start laying off their people. At the same time, there&#39;s a risk that the current cyclical decline in the industry would be prolonged into 2023 due to geopolitical uncertainty and a more hawkish Fed policy, which in the end will likely result in a global recession. The latest forecasts already show that while digital advertising spending would continue to increase, the overall spending growth rate in the U.S. would decelerate in the second half of 2022 and 2023.</p><p>However, the good news is that despite all of this, it&#39;s safe to say that Google would be able to navigate through this turbulent period with relative ease thanks to its significant war chest and greater competitive advantages against others. The company wasn&#39;t affected as much by Apple&#39;s (AAPL) privacy policy change that is forecasted tocostMeta alone ~$10 billion in lost revenues, and in Q2 it performed mostly better against its peers as it only barely missed its expectations. On top of that, the company&#39;s search and video business continue to grow at an impressive rate, as the revenues for Google Search and YouTube in Q2 were up 13.5% Y/Y and 7.34% Y/Y to $40.7 billion and $7.34 billion, respectively.</p><p>As the company is about to report its Q3 earnings results later this month, there&#39;s an indication that despite all the troubles that the industry is currently experiencing, Google would be able to continue to expand its competitive edge along with its market share in the foreseeable future. In addition to the pledge to invest $690 billion in Japan by 2024 to improve its products and services, Google is also about to begin monetizing YouTube Shorts in order to gain additional market share in the short video format field.</p><p>As a digital advertiser myself, I believe that it makes sense for the company to explore new opportunities in the short video format for several reasons. First of all, thanks to the rise in popularity of ByteDance&#39;s (BDNCE) TikTok app in recent years, we know that a short video format is an engaging way for users to interact with each other. According to different reports, TikTok&#39;s revenue is about to surpass the revenues of Twitter (TWTR) and Snapchat combined later this year, which is a sign that there&#39;s an opportunity for monetization in the short video format, especially for a company like Google that already has a significant presence in video thanks to YouTube.</p><p>What&#39;s also important to mention is that despite significant growth in recent years, TikTok has a major problem that makes it exposed to competition. That problem is the lack of incentives for content creators to continue to create short-form videos, as they don&#39;t generate a lot of revenue from ads and instead rely almost entirely on sponsorship deals from which the app doesn&#39;t make any profits. While earlier this year TikTok announced a 50% ad revenue share program, that program is covering only a small portion of content creators.</p><p>Considering this, there&#39;s a high probability that the short format video creators at the very least would be interested in exploring what Google has them to offer with YouTube Shorts. From what we already know, Google plans to pay 45% of the ad revenue to those YouTube Shorts creators, who have over 1000 subscribers and 4000 watched hours, which could be considered a relatively low entry requirement. At the same time, the company&#39;s management in the latest Q2 earnings call said that the initial results of the YouTube Shorts monetization program were encouraging and that the program itself will be launched at the beginning of 2023. If Google manages to successfully launch the program and lure in a large portion of TikTok content creators, then the company would have new opportunities to accelerate the growth of its video advertising business, which should result in the creation of additional shareholder value in years to come.</p><p>In addition to all of this, while the advertising spending growth rate in comparison to the growth rate of recent years is expected to depreciate in the following quarters, there will come a time when this cyclical decline will reverse, and by that time, Google would have additional tools that should help it to benefit the most from this change. Some reports suggest that by 2027 the ad spending in the digital advertising market would reach over $1 trillion, with search and video advertising leading in the amount of spending in comparison to other segments.</p><p>Considering that it&#39;s unlikely that Google would lose its dominant position in the search segment due to the competitive edge that it built over the last couple of decades, it makes sense for the company to focus on the video segment, which has the potential to continue to grow at an aggressive rate in the following decade. If the company manages to successfully launch the YouTube Shorts monetization program and actively attract major content creators, then it&#39;ll likely be able to capture a significant portion of the video segment in years to come.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14607b2c95dfc6a1c595c6c7df7046b\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Ad Spending by Segment Forecast (Statista)</span></p><p>Considering all of this, it appears that the latest depreciation of Google&#39;s shares is nothing more than a market overreaction due to the worsening macroeconomic environment. Even when it becomes obvious that it&#39;s likely that we&#39;ll enter a global recession in the following quarters, the latest estimates still suggest that Google would be able to continue to grow its top-line at a double-digit growth rate, which is a sign that its business is as resilient as ever.</p><p>To figure out how much upside Google&#39;s shares offer at the current levels, I have recently updated my DCF model where the top-line growth is almost in-line with the street forecast, while all the other major metrics are either averages of recent years or close to the latest reported period. The WACC in the model is 7% while the terminal growth rate is 3%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2448ec9d68b1c73897a9666d8666e993\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Google&#39;s DCF Model (Historical Data: Seeking Alpha, Assumptions: Author)</span></p><p>My model shows that Google&#39;s fair value is $142.44 per share, which implies an upside of as much as 40% from the current levels. My price target is also close to the street consensus price target of $139.42 per share.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a3965ae6ea66e236eb248b2077aa1f\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"156\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Google&#39;s DCF Model (Historical Data: Seeking Alpha, Assumptions: Author)</span></p><p>Considering all of this, it makes sense to say that the market lost its mind when it punished Google&#39;s shares to the levels at which it trades today. However, the good news is that thanks to such an irrational depreciation, investors now have an opportunity to profit, as there&#39;s every reason to believe that the company would be able to successfully navigate through the current turbulent environment and even increase its presence in the video segment at the same time.</p><h2>Risks</h2><p>In the short to near-term, the only major risk to the company is a prolonged global recession. The latest decision of OPEC to cut its oil production along with the Fed&#39;s decision to continue to execute its hawkish policy and engage in quantitative tightening to tame inflation have already severely rocked the markets and there&#39;s a risk that most stocks will continue to depreciate in the foreseeable future. As a result, there&#39;s a possibility that Google&#39;s stock would continue to decline and trade at even more irrational levels until the macroeconomic situation, over which the company has no control, improves over time.</p><p>As for the long-term risks, I believe that a change in the regulatory environment and the constant prosecution from the antitrust watchdogs is the only major thing that can disrupt Google&#39;s business model in the following years. Back in June, I already wrote an article that explained how the regulators from both sides of the Atlantic are looking for ways to level the playing field, which includes stripping Google and its peers their monopoly status in the digital advertising space. In recent months, several major developments have occurred, which could potentially force Google to make some unpleasant changes to its business and lead to lower returns in years to come. However, those developments don&#39;t pose a major threat to the company in the short to the near term, as they&#39;re unlikely to materialize anytime soon, but I plan to write a separate article about this and highlight what Google investors should expect from the upcoming changes on the regulatory front.</p><h2>The Bottom Line</h2><p>While there are certain regulatory risks regarding Google, those risks are unlikely to severely affect the company&#39;s position in the digital ads market anytime soon. At the same time, with a nearly 40% upside, it appears that the company&#39;s stock is oversold and could be considered a bargain at the current levels.</p><p>Let&#39;s not forget that Google has more than enough resources to weather turbulent times, and at the same time, it has more than enough capabilities to continue to launch new products and services, which are able to create new monetization opportunities for the business and help it to further expand.</p><p>Considering this and the fact that there&#39;s an indication that the company will continue to generate double-digit returns despite the macroeconomic concerns, it appears that Google continues to be a solid stock to own for investors, especially at the current levels.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google: The Market Has Lost Its Mind</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle: The Market Has Lost Its Mind\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-11 13:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545439-google-market-lost-mind-potential-upside><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryDespite the latest depreciation in its stock price, Google’s dominant position in the digital ads market should help the company to successfully weather the current uncertain economic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545439-google-market-lost-mind-potential-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545439-google-market-lost-mind-potential-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153750551","content_text":"SummaryDespite the latest depreciation in its stock price, Google’s dominant position in the digital ads market should help the company to successfully weather the current uncertain economic environment.In addition, the expansion into new mediums could help the business to thrive in a new global regulatory framework.This article highlights the potential catalysts that could help Google’s stock to appreciate in the foreseeable future.400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesCurrently, Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is one of the most resilient businesses in the world. Despite the macroeconomic uncertainty, the company has all the chances to continue to have a dominant position in the digitalads market, it has more than enough resources to weather a major crisis, and its latest initiatives could help it to continue to expand its business more even in the current turbulent environment.While there's a high chance that the regulators from both sides of the Atlantic would be looking for ways to break the company's digital monopoly, there's a small possibility that major regulatory risks will materialize in the short to near-term. As a result, it's safe to assume that the market underestimates Google's ability to create shareholder value in the foreseeable future, since at the current levels the company's shares trade at a discount to fair value of as much as ~40% in the base-case scenario, creating an opportunity to profit from for investors.Cyclical Decline Creates New OpportunitiesIt's safe to say that the digital advertising industry is currently in a cyclical decline due to the turbulent macroeconomic environment. After relatively weak performances in recent quarters, digital advertisers such as Meta Platforms(META) and Snap(SNAP) already publicly announced that they'll start laying off their people. At the same time, there's a risk that the current cyclical decline in the industry would be prolonged into 2023 due to geopolitical uncertainty and a more hawkish Fed policy, which in the end will likely result in a global recession. The latest forecasts already show that while digital advertising spending would continue to increase, the overall spending growth rate in the U.S. would decelerate in the second half of 2022 and 2023.However, the good news is that despite all of this, it's safe to say that Google would be able to navigate through this turbulent period with relative ease thanks to its significant war chest and greater competitive advantages against others. The company wasn't affected as much by Apple's (AAPL) privacy policy change that is forecasted tocostMeta alone ~$10 billion in lost revenues, and in Q2 it performed mostly better against its peers as it only barely missed its expectations. On top of that, the company's search and video business continue to grow at an impressive rate, as the revenues for Google Search and YouTube in Q2 were up 13.5% Y/Y and 7.34% Y/Y to $40.7 billion and $7.34 billion, respectively.As the company is about to report its Q3 earnings results later this month, there's an indication that despite all the troubles that the industry is currently experiencing, Google would be able to continue to expand its competitive edge along with its market share in the foreseeable future. In addition to the pledge to invest $690 billion in Japan by 2024 to improve its products and services, Google is also about to begin monetizing YouTube Shorts in order to gain additional market share in the short video format field.As a digital advertiser myself, I believe that it makes sense for the company to explore new opportunities in the short video format for several reasons. First of all, thanks to the rise in popularity of ByteDance's (BDNCE) TikTok app in recent years, we know that a short video format is an engaging way for users to interact with each other. According to different reports, TikTok's revenue is about to surpass the revenues of Twitter (TWTR) and Snapchat combined later this year, which is a sign that there's an opportunity for monetization in the short video format, especially for a company like Google that already has a significant presence in video thanks to YouTube.What's also important to mention is that despite significant growth in recent years, TikTok has a major problem that makes it exposed to competition. That problem is the lack of incentives for content creators to continue to create short-form videos, as they don't generate a lot of revenue from ads and instead rely almost entirely on sponsorship deals from which the app doesn't make any profits. While earlier this year TikTok announced a 50% ad revenue share program, that program is covering only a small portion of content creators.Considering this, there's a high probability that the short format video creators at the very least would be interested in exploring what Google has them to offer with YouTube Shorts. From what we already know, Google plans to pay 45% of the ad revenue to those YouTube Shorts creators, who have over 1000 subscribers and 4000 watched hours, which could be considered a relatively low entry requirement. At the same time, the company's management in the latest Q2 earnings call said that the initial results of the YouTube Shorts monetization program were encouraging and that the program itself will be launched at the beginning of 2023. If Google manages to successfully launch the program and lure in a large portion of TikTok content creators, then the company would have new opportunities to accelerate the growth of its video advertising business, which should result in the creation of additional shareholder value in years to come.In addition to all of this, while the advertising spending growth rate in comparison to the growth rate of recent years is expected to depreciate in the following quarters, there will come a time when this cyclical decline will reverse, and by that time, Google would have additional tools that should help it to benefit the most from this change. Some reports suggest that by 2027 the ad spending in the digital advertising market would reach over $1 trillion, with search and video advertising leading in the amount of spending in comparison to other segments.Considering that it's unlikely that Google would lose its dominant position in the search segment due to the competitive edge that it built over the last couple of decades, it makes sense for the company to focus on the video segment, which has the potential to continue to grow at an aggressive rate in the following decade. If the company manages to successfully launch the YouTube Shorts monetization program and actively attract major content creators, then it'll likely be able to capture a significant portion of the video segment in years to come.Ad Spending by Segment Forecast (Statista)Considering all of this, it appears that the latest depreciation of Google's shares is nothing more than a market overreaction due to the worsening macroeconomic environment. Even when it becomes obvious that it's likely that we'll enter a global recession in the following quarters, the latest estimates still suggest that Google would be able to continue to grow its top-line at a double-digit growth rate, which is a sign that its business is as resilient as ever.To figure out how much upside Google's shares offer at the current levels, I have recently updated my DCF model where the top-line growth is almost in-line with the street forecast, while all the other major metrics are either averages of recent years or close to the latest reported period. The WACC in the model is 7% while the terminal growth rate is 3%.Google's DCF Model (Historical Data: Seeking Alpha, Assumptions: Author)My model shows that Google's fair value is $142.44 per share, which implies an upside of as much as 40% from the current levels. My price target is also close to the street consensus price target of $139.42 per share.Google's DCF Model (Historical Data: Seeking Alpha, Assumptions: Author)Considering all of this, it makes sense to say that the market lost its mind when it punished Google's shares to the levels at which it trades today. However, the good news is that thanks to such an irrational depreciation, investors now have an opportunity to profit, as there's every reason to believe that the company would be able to successfully navigate through the current turbulent environment and even increase its presence in the video segment at the same time.RisksIn the short to near-term, the only major risk to the company is a prolonged global recession. The latest decision of OPEC to cut its oil production along with the Fed's decision to continue to execute its hawkish policy and engage in quantitative tightening to tame inflation have already severely rocked the markets and there's a risk that most stocks will continue to depreciate in the foreseeable future. As a result, there's a possibility that Google's stock would continue to decline and trade at even more irrational levels until the macroeconomic situation, over which the company has no control, improves over time.As for the long-term risks, I believe that a change in the regulatory environment and the constant prosecution from the antitrust watchdogs is the only major thing that can disrupt Google's business model in the following years. Back in June, I already wrote an article that explained how the regulators from both sides of the Atlantic are looking for ways to level the playing field, which includes stripping Google and its peers their monopoly status in the digital advertising space. In recent months, several major developments have occurred, which could potentially force Google to make some unpleasant changes to its business and lead to lower returns in years to come. However, those developments don't pose a major threat to the company in the short to the near term, as they're unlikely to materialize anytime soon, but I plan to write a separate article about this and highlight what Google investors should expect from the upcoming changes on the regulatory front.The Bottom LineWhile there are certain regulatory risks regarding Google, those risks are unlikely to severely affect the company's position in the digital ads market anytime soon. At the same time, with a nearly 40% upside, it appears that the company's stock is oversold and could be considered a bargain at the current levels.Let's not forget that Google has more than enough resources to weather turbulent times, and at the same time, it has more than enough capabilities to continue to launch new products and services, which are able to create new monetization opportunities for the business and help it to further expand.Considering this and the fact that there's an indication that the company will continue to generate double-digit returns despite the macroeconomic concerns, it appears that Google continues to be a solid stock to own for investors, especially at the current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914398164,"gmtCreate":1665185335358,"gmtModify":1676537568283,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914398164","repostId":"1195734170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195734170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665156618,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195734170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195734170","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams says</li><li>Acknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is US</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a59ed39444dd9684062c2cb7f17fcd\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>John WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said interest rates need to rise to around 4.5% over time but the pace and ultimate peak of the tightening campaign will hinge on how the economy performs.</p><p>“The timing of that and how high do we have to raise interest rates is going to depend on the data,” Williams said Friday during a moderated discussion organized by SUNY Buffalo in western New York. “Right now the focus is getting inflation back down to 2%.”</p><p>Williams is vice chair of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and a key member of Chair Jerome Powell’s leadership team. His remarks follow a string of hawkish comments from other policymakers that has hardened bets that they will forge ahead with its aggressive tightening campaign to curb the hottest inflation in nearly 40 years.</p><p>Fed officials are raising interest rates at the fastest clip since the 1980s as they aim to squash the hottest inflation in a generation. Policymakers are anticipated to raise their benchmark rate by 75 basis points in early November for a fourth straight meeting following data Friday showing unemployment unexpectedly returned to a historic low of 3.5%.</p><p>That would bring the Fed’s main rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Median projections from Fed officials show they expect rates to rise to 4.4% by the end of this year and 4.6% in 2023. The US central bank is hoping higher borrowing costs will cool spending and reduce demand for workers, in turn slowing the growth of prices and wages.</p><p>Officials say they will incorporate a range of economic data at their next meeting on Nov. 1-2, including an update on consumer prices coming next week.</p><p>The Fed’s swift action, which has lifted rates by three percentage points since March, has roiled global financial markets and sent the dollar surging in value against other currencies.</p><p>Williams acknowledged that the Fed’s actions had international consequences and said he was in contact with his counterparts at foreign central banks, who also face high inflation. But he stressed that the Fed’s focus was its domestic goal to restore price stability.</p><p>“We’re all working on our own to make the decisions to bring the economy back into balance,” he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195734170","content_text":"Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said interest rates need to rise to around 4.5% over time but the pace and ultimate peak of the tightening campaign will hinge on how the economy performs.“The timing of that and how high do we have to raise interest rates is going to depend on the data,” Williams said Friday during a moderated discussion organized by SUNY Buffalo in western New York. “Right now the focus is getting inflation back down to 2%.”Williams is vice chair of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and a key member of Chair Jerome Powell’s leadership team. His remarks follow a string of hawkish comments from other policymakers that has hardened bets that they will forge ahead with its aggressive tightening campaign to curb the hottest inflation in nearly 40 years.Fed officials are raising interest rates at the fastest clip since the 1980s as they aim to squash the hottest inflation in a generation. Policymakers are anticipated to raise their benchmark rate by 75 basis points in early November for a fourth straight meeting following data Friday showing unemployment unexpectedly returned to a historic low of 3.5%.That would bring the Fed’s main rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Median projections from Fed officials show they expect rates to rise to 4.4% by the end of this year and 4.6% in 2023. The US central bank is hoping higher borrowing costs will cool spending and reduce demand for workers, in turn slowing the growth of prices and wages.Officials say they will incorporate a range of economic data at their next meeting on Nov. 1-2, including an update on consumer prices coming next week.The Fed’s swift action, which has lifted rates by three percentage points since March, has roiled global financial markets and sent the dollar surging in value against other currencies.Williams acknowledged that the Fed’s actions had international consequences and said he was in contact with his counterparts at foreign central banks, who also face high inflation. But he stressed that the Fed’s focus was its domestic goal to restore price stability.“We’re all working on our own to make the decisions to bring the economy back into balance,” he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914391687,"gmtCreate":1665185237249,"gmtModify":1676537568258,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914391687","repostId":"2273391757","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918756529,"gmtCreate":1664461321262,"gmtModify":1676537459951,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918756529","repostId":"1126963246","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910441514,"gmtCreate":1663673704238,"gmtModify":1676537312949,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Great sharing&nbsp;","text":"Great sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910441514","repostId":"1193461774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193461774","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663661566,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193461774?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 16:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193461774","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here are five stocks you can confidently buy and hold the next time the market crashes.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>These companies have strong market positions in their respective industries.</li><li>They continue to demonstrate healthy growth during tough times.</li><li>Their resilience allows them to get through short-term challenges to do well in the long run.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s useful to prepare a watchlist of stocks that you plan to accumulate. The markets are seeing heightened volatility in the past few months as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates to tackle runaway inflation. With the NASDAQ Composite Index and <b>S&amp;P 500</b> already in a bear market this year, stock prices may have room to fall further. You should see a market correction as a golden opportunity to either accumulate more shares of companies you already own or to start a new position in a company that&#39;s become much cheaper.</p><p>Of course, you&#39;ll need to ensure several attributes are in place before you pull the trigger. The business needs to demonstrate steady growth, be a dominant player within its industry, and enjoy tailwinds that will allow them to continue doing well. With these characteristics in place, a buy-and-hold strategy can ensure that you enjoy steady compounding to achieve your retirement goals.</p><p>Here are five stocks you can consider buying during the next market correction.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c29fc1d86cf50cea60b7596122ca8e11\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><h2>Starbucks</h2><p><b>Starbucks</b> is a global coffee chain with more than 34,000 stores around the world.  The company reported an encouraging set of earnings for its fiscal 2022&#39;s third quarter, with net revenue up 9% year over year to a record $8.2 billion. Comparable-store sales were up 3% globally, with the U.S. registering a 9% increase, and active Starbucks reward members climbed 13% year over year in the U.S. to 27.4 million members.</p><p>During its recent biennial Investor Day, Starbucks unveiled an ambitious three-year financial roadmap to deliver annual comparable store sales growth of 7% to 9%, revenue growth of 10% to 12%, and earnings-per-share (EPS) growth of 15% to 20%. Founder and interim CEO Howard Shultz also introduced incoming CEO Laxman Narasimhan, who will assume his new role on April 1 next year. With this plan, it seems the company is kicking into high gear to deliver steady earnings growth for investors.</p><h2>Lululemon</h2><p><b>Lululemon</b> is a market leader for athletic apparel and footwear for yoga, running, and training and provides innovative materials and interesting designs for its products. Results for its fiscal 2022&#39;s second quarter were impressive. Revenue increased 29% year over year to $1.9 billion, with comparable-store sales jumping 23% year over year. Net income surged by 39.1% year over year to $289.5 million, partially lifted by a $10.2 million one-off gain from the disposal of an administrative building.</p><p>Lululemon has reported that supply chain woes are easing, allowing the company to manufacture the products it needs to satisfy strong demand. The sports apparel company expects net revenue to grow at a three-year compound annual growth rate of around 26% and for 2022 to register sales of between $7.87 billion to $7.94 billion.</p><h2>Okta</h2><p><b>Okta</b> is a software-as-a-service business that offers identity management services to more than 16,400 customers to help their systems set up secure and convenient access. Okta&#39;s shares may have declined by nearly 72% year to date, but the company is still knocking the lights out with its latest Q2 2023 earnings. Revenue grew 43% year over year, with subscription revenue growing by 44% year over year. Subscription backlog improved by 25% year over year to 2.8 billion, while billings increased by 36% year over year.</p><p>Okta believes there is a significant opportunity for it to continue growing as the total addressable market for its business is around $80 billion. The company has identified various growth drivers and will be implementing them to drive its top and bottom lines. It will work on improving its platform and network and also use its successful &#34;land and expand&#34; strategy in large organizations. International expansion is also on the cards as U.S. revenue made up more than three quarters of total revenue for the quarter.</p><h2>DocuSign</h2><p>If you&#39;re looking for a quick, secure, and convenient way to digitally sign your business agreements, <b>DocuSign</b> has a cloud service that provides this service. The company boasts more than a billion users in 180 countries and also reported a solid  Q2 2023 report card. Subscription and total revenue continued climbing, up 23% and 22% year over year, respectively. Billings also saw an increase of 9% year over year.</p><p>DocuSign believes that its Agreement Cloud has a large market opportunity with a total addressable market of around $50 billion. The company is confident in driving new use-cases such as the notarization of documents and analytics. By expanding on these new uses, DocuSign can drive greater adoption throughout the organization.</p><h2>Chipotle Mexican Grill</h2><p><b>Chipotle Mexican Grill</b> offers a wide menu of food items using responsibly sourced ingredients that do not contain artificial colors, flavors, or preservatives. The Mexican food chain, which boasts 3,000 restaurants in the U.S. and parts of Europe, reported continued growth in its Q2 2022 earnings report. Total revenue rose 17% year over year to $2.2 billion, with comparable-store sales up 10.1% year over year. Digital sales made up nearly 40% of revenue, showcasing the success with which Chipotle had achieved by pivoting to online orders during the pandemic.</p><p>The company is pushing on with new store openings and expects to open between 235 and 250 new restaurants in 2022. The board of directors had also approved an additional $300 million to be used for share buybacks.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 16:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/19/5-high-conviction-stocks-to-buy-in-the-next-market/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThese companies have strong market positions in their respective industries.They continue to demonstrate healthy growth during tough times.Their resilience allows them to get through short-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/19/5-high-conviction-stocks-to-buy-in-the-next-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克","LULU":"lululemon athletica","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","CMG":"墨式烧烤","DOCU":"Docusign"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/19/5-high-conviction-stocks-to-buy-in-the-next-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193461774","content_text":"KEY POINTSThese companies have strong market positions in their respective industries.They continue to demonstrate healthy growth during tough times.Their resilience allows them to get through short-term challenges to do well in the long run.It's useful to prepare a watchlist of stocks that you plan to accumulate. The markets are seeing heightened volatility in the past few months as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates to tackle runaway inflation. With the NASDAQ Composite Index and S&P 500 already in a bear market this year, stock prices may have room to fall further. You should see a market correction as a golden opportunity to either accumulate more shares of companies you already own or to start a new position in a company that's become much cheaper.Of course, you'll need to ensure several attributes are in place before you pull the trigger. The business needs to demonstrate steady growth, be a dominant player within its industry, and enjoy tailwinds that will allow them to continue doing well. With these characteristics in place, a buy-and-hold strategy can ensure that you enjoy steady compounding to achieve your retirement goals.Here are five stocks you can consider buying during the next market correction.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.StarbucksStarbucks is a global coffee chain with more than 34,000 stores around the world.  The company reported an encouraging set of earnings for its fiscal 2022's third quarter, with net revenue up 9% year over year to a record $8.2 billion. Comparable-store sales were up 3% globally, with the U.S. registering a 9% increase, and active Starbucks reward members climbed 13% year over year in the U.S. to 27.4 million members.During its recent biennial Investor Day, Starbucks unveiled an ambitious three-year financial roadmap to deliver annual comparable store sales growth of 7% to 9%, revenue growth of 10% to 12%, and earnings-per-share (EPS) growth of 15% to 20%. Founder and interim CEO Howard Shultz also introduced incoming CEO Laxman Narasimhan, who will assume his new role on April 1 next year. With this plan, it seems the company is kicking into high gear to deliver steady earnings growth for investors.LululemonLululemon is a market leader for athletic apparel and footwear for yoga, running, and training and provides innovative materials and interesting designs for its products. Results for its fiscal 2022's second quarter were impressive. Revenue increased 29% year over year to $1.9 billion, with comparable-store sales jumping 23% year over year. Net income surged by 39.1% year over year to $289.5 million, partially lifted by a $10.2 million one-off gain from the disposal of an administrative building.Lululemon has reported that supply chain woes are easing, allowing the company to manufacture the products it needs to satisfy strong demand. The sports apparel company expects net revenue to grow at a three-year compound annual growth rate of around 26% and for 2022 to register sales of between $7.87 billion to $7.94 billion.OktaOkta is a software-as-a-service business that offers identity management services to more than 16,400 customers to help their systems set up secure and convenient access. Okta's shares may have declined by nearly 72% year to date, but the company is still knocking the lights out with its latest Q2 2023 earnings. Revenue grew 43% year over year, with subscription revenue growing by 44% year over year. Subscription backlog improved by 25% year over year to 2.8 billion, while billings increased by 36% year over year.Okta believes there is a significant opportunity for it to continue growing as the total addressable market for its business is around $80 billion. The company has identified various growth drivers and will be implementing them to drive its top and bottom lines. It will work on improving its platform and network and also use its successful \"land and expand\" strategy in large organizations. International expansion is also on the cards as U.S. revenue made up more than three quarters of total revenue for the quarter.DocuSignIf you're looking for a quick, secure, and convenient way to digitally sign your business agreements, DocuSign has a cloud service that provides this service. The company boasts more than a billion users in 180 countries and also reported a solid  Q2 2023 report card. Subscription and total revenue continued climbing, up 23% and 22% year over year, respectively. Billings also saw an increase of 9% year over year.DocuSign believes that its Agreement Cloud has a large market opportunity with a total addressable market of around $50 billion. The company is confident in driving new use-cases such as the notarization of documents and analytics. By expanding on these new uses, DocuSign can drive greater adoption throughout the organization.Chipotle Mexican GrillChipotle Mexican Grill offers a wide menu of food items using responsibly sourced ingredients that do not contain artificial colors, flavors, or preservatives. The Mexican food chain, which boasts 3,000 restaurants in the U.S. and parts of Europe, reported continued growth in its Q2 2022 earnings report. Total revenue rose 17% year over year to $2.2 billion, with comparable-store sales up 10.1% year over year. Digital sales made up nearly 40% of revenue, showcasing the success with which Chipotle had achieved by pivoting to online orders during the pandemic.The company is pushing on with new store openings and expects to open between 235 and 250 new restaurants in 2022. The board of directors had also approved an additional $300 million to be used for share buybacks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904010917,"gmtCreate":1659957269341,"gmtModify":1703476354914,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting!","listText":"Interesting!","text":"Interesting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904010917","repostId":"1111364601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111364601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659972720,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111364601?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111364601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 20","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.</li><li>The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.</li><li>If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.</li></ul><p>History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.</p><p>Similarities in today&#39;s stock market and S&amp;P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn&#39;t to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.</p><p><b>1937</b></p><p>After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&amp;P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&amp;P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.</p><p>Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&amp;P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&amp;P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&amp;P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&amp;P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9e75e86ede6d5127a530f868dcedf3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2000</b></p><p>The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&amp;P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&amp;P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&amp;P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.</p><p>Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&amp;P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67e3a7716980557c4c7d467f03d1b40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2008</b></p><p>Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&amp;P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&amp;P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&amp;P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d85ceaf1cd7900663bbf9dbbe300dee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Similarities</b></p><p>The declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn&#39;t the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03c254a06087baa45767c1b5a5d0c6aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Does this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34566ce27f9a5b7d5ac6c173ee363be9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What happens next for stocks is anyone&#39;s guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what <i>may</i> happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111364601","content_text":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.Similarities in today's stock market and S&P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn't to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.1937After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.Bloomberg2000The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.Bloomberg2008Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.BloombergSimilaritiesThe declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn't the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.BloombergDoes this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.BloombergWhat happens next for stocks is anyone's guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what may happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078738113,"gmtCreate":1657753678632,"gmtModify":1676536054565,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078738113","repostId":"1178157531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178157531","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657725527,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178157531?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Erased Earlier Heavy Losses in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Rose Over 0.2% While Dow Jones and S&P500 Slid Less Than 0.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178157531","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks erased earlier heavy losses in morning trading. Nasdaq rose 0.24%; Dow Jones fell 0.39% ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks erased earlier heavy losses in morning trading. Nasdaq rose 0.24%; Dow Jones fell 0.39% while S&amp;P500 slid 0.13%.</p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/348d865d1e00e6d38d68cae8ebc2ea5c\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"119\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Erased Earlier Heavy Losses in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Rose Over 0.2% While Dow Jones and S&P500 Slid Less Than 0.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Erased Earlier Heavy Losses in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Rose Over 0.2% While Dow Jones and S&P500 Slid Less Than 0.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-13 23:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks erased earlier heavy losses in morning trading. Nasdaq rose 0.24%; Dow Jones fell 0.39% while S&amp;P500 slid 0.13%.</p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/348d865d1e00e6d38d68cae8ebc2ea5c\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"119\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178157531","content_text":"U.S. stocks erased earlier heavy losses in morning trading. Nasdaq rose 0.24%; Dow Jones fell 0.39% while S&P500 slid 0.13%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048967217,"gmtCreate":1656127706439,"gmtModify":1676535773683,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048967217","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","BCS":"巴克莱银行","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4521":"英国银行股","UBS":"瑞银","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","C":"花旗","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","JPM":"摩根大通","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048967916,"gmtCreate":1656127667635,"gmtModify":1676535773668,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048967916","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","BCS":"巴克莱银行","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4521":"英国银行股","UBS":"瑞银","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","C":"花旗","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","JPM":"摩根大通","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058576488,"gmtCreate":1654870970044,"gmtModify":1676535526033,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058576488","repostId":"1111306345","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111306345","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1654864238,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111306345?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111306345","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"KEY POINTSThe consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since Dece","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>KEY POINTS</p><ul><li>The consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.</li><li>Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.</li><li>Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of the CPI, rose at the fastest 12-month pace in 31 years.</li><li>The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.</li></ul><p>Inflation accelerated further in May, with prices rising 8.6% from a year ago for the fastest increase since December 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.</p><p>The consumer price index, a wide-ranging measure of goods and services prices, increased even more than the 8.3% Dow Jones estimate. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate.</p><p>On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 1% while core rose 0.6%, compared to respective estimates of 0.7% and 0.5%.</p><p>Surging shelter, gasoline and food prices all contributed to the increase.</p><p>Energy prices broadly rose 3.9% from a month ago, bringing the annual gain to 34.6%. Within the category, fuel oil posted a 16.9% monthly gain, pushing the 12-month surge to 106.7%.</p><p>Shelter costs, which account for about a one-third weighting on the CPI, rose 0.6% for the month, the fastest one-month gain since March 2004. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991.</p><p>Finally, food costs climbed another 1.2% in May, bringing the year-over-year gain to 10.1%.</p><p>Those escalating prices meant workers took another pay cut during the month. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%.</p><p>Markets reacted negatively to the report, with stock futures indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street and government bond yields rising.</p><p>“It’s hard to look at May’s inflation data and not be disappointed,” said Morning Consult chief economist John Leer. “We’re just not yet seeing any signs that we’re in the clear.”</p><p>Some of the biggest increases came in airfares (up 12.6% on the month), used cars and trucks (1.8%), and dairy products (2.9%). The vehicle costs had been considered a bellwether of the inflation surge and had been falling for the past three months, so the increase is a potentially ominous sign, as used vehicle prices are now up 16.1% over the past year. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May.</p><p>Friday’s numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.</p><p>The inflation report comes with the Federal Reserve in the early stages of a rate-hiking campaign to slow growth and bring down prices. May’s report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead.</p><p>“Obviously, nothing is good in this report,” said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. “There is nothing in there that’s going to give the Fed any cheer. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off.”</p><p>With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. The central bank’s benchmark short-term borrowing rate is currently anchored around 0.75% -1% and is expected to rise to 2.75%-3% by the end of the year, according to CME Group estimates.</p><p>Inflation has been a political headache for the White House and President Joe Biden.</p><p>Administration officials pin most of the blame for the surge on supply chain issues related to the Covid pandemic, imbalances created by outsized demand for goods over services, and the Russian attack on Ukraine.</p><p>In a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, Biden said he will push for further improvements to supply chains and continue efforts to bring down the budget deficit.</p><p>However, he and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen both have emphasized that much of the responsibility for lowering inflation belongs to the Fed. The administration has largely denied that the trillions of dollars directed toward Covid aid played a major role.</p><p>How much the central bank will have to raise rates remains to be seen. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently released a white paper with a team of other economists that suggests the Fed will need to go further than many are anticipating. The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>KEY POINTS</p><ul><li>The consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.</li><li>Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.</li><li>Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of the CPI, rose at the fastest 12-month pace in 31 years.</li><li>The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.</li></ul><p>Inflation accelerated further in May, with prices rising 8.6% from a year ago for the fastest increase since December 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.</p><p>The consumer price index, a wide-ranging measure of goods and services prices, increased even more than the 8.3% Dow Jones estimate. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate.</p><p>On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 1% while core rose 0.6%, compared to respective estimates of 0.7% and 0.5%.</p><p>Surging shelter, gasoline and food prices all contributed to the increase.</p><p>Energy prices broadly rose 3.9% from a month ago, bringing the annual gain to 34.6%. Within the category, fuel oil posted a 16.9% monthly gain, pushing the 12-month surge to 106.7%.</p><p>Shelter costs, which account for about a one-third weighting on the CPI, rose 0.6% for the month, the fastest one-month gain since March 2004. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991.</p><p>Finally, food costs climbed another 1.2% in May, bringing the year-over-year gain to 10.1%.</p><p>Those escalating prices meant workers took another pay cut during the month. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%.</p><p>Markets reacted negatively to the report, with stock futures indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street and government bond yields rising.</p><p>“It’s hard to look at May’s inflation data and not be disappointed,” said Morning Consult chief economist John Leer. “We’re just not yet seeing any signs that we’re in the clear.”</p><p>Some of the biggest increases came in airfares (up 12.6% on the month), used cars and trucks (1.8%), and dairy products (2.9%). The vehicle costs had been considered a bellwether of the inflation surge and had been falling for the past three months, so the increase is a potentially ominous sign, as used vehicle prices are now up 16.1% over the past year. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May.</p><p>Friday’s numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.</p><p>The inflation report comes with the Federal Reserve in the early stages of a rate-hiking campaign to slow growth and bring down prices. May’s report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead.</p><p>“Obviously, nothing is good in this report,” said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. “There is nothing in there that’s going to give the Fed any cheer. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off.”</p><p>With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. The central bank’s benchmark short-term borrowing rate is currently anchored around 0.75% -1% and is expected to rise to 2.75%-3% by the end of the year, according to CME Group estimates.</p><p>Inflation has been a political headache for the White House and President Joe Biden.</p><p>Administration officials pin most of the blame for the surge on supply chain issues related to the Covid pandemic, imbalances created by outsized demand for goods over services, and the Russian attack on Ukraine.</p><p>In a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, Biden said he will push for further improvements to supply chains and continue efforts to bring down the budget deficit.</p><p>However, he and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen both have emphasized that much of the responsibility for lowering inflation belongs to the Fed. The administration has largely denied that the trillions of dollars directed toward Covid aid played a major role.</p><p>How much the central bank will have to raise rates remains to be seen. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently released a white paper with a team of other economists that suggests the Fed will need to go further than many are anticipating. The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111306345","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of the CPI, rose at the fastest 12-month pace in 31 years.The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.Inflation accelerated further in May, with prices rising 8.6% from a year ago for the fastest increase since December 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.The consumer price index, a wide-ranging measure of goods and services prices, increased even more than the 8.3% Dow Jones estimate. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate.On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 1% while core rose 0.6%, compared to respective estimates of 0.7% and 0.5%.Surging shelter, gasoline and food prices all contributed to the increase.Energy prices broadly rose 3.9% from a month ago, bringing the annual gain to 34.6%. Within the category, fuel oil posted a 16.9% monthly gain, pushing the 12-month surge to 106.7%.Shelter costs, which account for about a one-third weighting on the CPI, rose 0.6% for the month, the fastest one-month gain since March 2004. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991.Finally, food costs climbed another 1.2% in May, bringing the year-over-year gain to 10.1%.Those escalating prices meant workers took another pay cut during the month. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%.Markets reacted negatively to the report, with stock futures indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street and government bond yields rising.“It’s hard to look at May’s inflation data and not be disappointed,” said Morning Consult chief economist John Leer. “We’re just not yet seeing any signs that we’re in the clear.”Some of the biggest increases came in airfares (up 12.6% on the month), used cars and trucks (1.8%), and dairy products (2.9%). The vehicle costs had been considered a bellwether of the inflation surge and had been falling for the past three months, so the increase is a potentially ominous sign, as used vehicle prices are now up 16.1% over the past year. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May.Friday’s numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.The inflation report comes with the Federal Reserve in the early stages of a rate-hiking campaign to slow growth and bring down prices. May’s report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead.“Obviously, nothing is good in this report,” said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. “There is nothing in there that’s going to give the Fed any cheer. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off.”With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. The central bank’s benchmark short-term borrowing rate is currently anchored around 0.75% -1% and is expected to rise to 2.75%-3% by the end of the year, according to CME Group estimates.Inflation has been a political headache for the White House and President Joe Biden.Administration officials pin most of the blame for the surge on supply chain issues related to the Covid pandemic, imbalances created by outsized demand for goods over services, and the Russian attack on Ukraine.In a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, Biden said he will push for further improvements to supply chains and continue efforts to bring down the budget deficit.However, he and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen both have emphasized that much of the responsibility for lowering inflation belongs to the Fed. The administration has largely denied that the trillions of dollars directed toward Covid aid played a major role.How much the central bank will have to raise rates remains to be seen. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently released a white paper with a team of other economists that suggests the Fed will need to go further than many are anticipating. The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050208369,"gmtCreate":1654205922451,"gmtModify":1676535410018,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9050208369","repostId":"2240442708","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2240442708","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1654171999,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2240442708?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-02 20:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google Investors Shoot down Racial-Equity Audit While Approving Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2240442708","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Alphabet Inc. investors rejected 17 shareholder proposals at the Google parent company's annual meet","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Alphabet Inc. investors rejected 17 shareholder proposals at the Google parent company&#39;s annual meeting Wednesday, including a racial-equity audit, but approved a company proposal to increase the share count that will allow for a planned stock split.</p><p>At the end of a virtual meeting that lasted more than two hours and streamed on Alphabet&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL) YouTube video service, Alphabet Assistant Secretary Kathryn Hall announced that preliminary vote totals showed that all directors were re-elected and company proposals regarding the stock split were approved. She also said all shareholder proposals were rejected, without providing preliminary vote totals; final vote totals are supposed to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission within a few days.</p><p>Alphabet investors had put forth a variety of proposals, including requesting a racial-equity audit and pushing for a report on board diversity. Google was sued earlier this year by a Black employee who claims the company &#34;is engaged in a pattern and practice of race discrimination against its African-American and Black employees,&#34; and is seeking class-action status.</p><p>Several large tech companies have faced similar calls to prove their work to be more equitable to all races. Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> shareholders approved a similar proposal at their annual meeting earlier this year.</p><p>For more: Companies declared &#39;Black lives matter,&#39; and now they&#39;re being asked to prove it</p><p>Laura Campos, director of the corporate and political accountability program for lead filer The Nathan Cummings Foundation, said in a recorded statement supporting the proposal that &#34;we&#39;re concerned that Alphabet has some major blind spots when it comes to the adverse impacts of its operations and products on people of color.&#34;</p><p>&#34;The fundamental disconnects between Alphabet&#39;s perception of its own impacts, the conclusions of multiple pieces of research and, most importantly, the lived experiences of impacted communities highlight the need for a third-party audit to assess and clarify the company&#39;s impacts on racial equity,&#34; she concluded.</p><p>&#34;We share the proponent&#39;s overall goals of equity and inclusion, and we believe that it is important to understand systems and processes. However, we do not believe the proposal is the best way to accomplish our shared goals,&#34; Hall said in response.</p><p>Among the other shareholder proposals were calls for disclosing more about the algorithms Google uses in its services, reports on misinformation and disinformation, and disclosures on lobbying.</p><p>Alphabet announced plans for a 20-for-1 stock split in February, but had to obtain shareholder approval to increase the share count in order to execute the split. Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> investors approved a similar proposal at that company&#39;s May 25 annual meeting, and announced Friday that executives expect split-adjusted shares will begin trading on June 6.</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s two classes of shares were both trading less than 1% higher on Wednesday, as the S&amp;P 500 index and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index were both trading in the red.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google Investors Shoot down Racial-Equity Audit While Approving Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle Investors Shoot down Racial-Equity Audit While Approving Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-02 20:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Alphabet Inc. investors rejected 17 shareholder proposals at the Google parent company&#39;s annual meeting Wednesday, including a racial-equity audit, but approved a company proposal to increase the share count that will allow for a planned stock split.</p><p>At the end of a virtual meeting that lasted more than two hours and streamed on Alphabet&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL) YouTube video service, Alphabet Assistant Secretary Kathryn Hall announced that preliminary vote totals showed that all directors were re-elected and company proposals regarding the stock split were approved. She also said all shareholder proposals were rejected, without providing preliminary vote totals; final vote totals are supposed to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission within a few days.</p><p>Alphabet investors had put forth a variety of proposals, including requesting a racial-equity audit and pushing for a report on board diversity. Google was sued earlier this year by a Black employee who claims the company &#34;is engaged in a pattern and practice of race discrimination against its African-American and Black employees,&#34; and is seeking class-action status.</p><p>Several large tech companies have faced similar calls to prove their work to be more equitable to all races. Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> shareholders approved a similar proposal at their annual meeting earlier this year.</p><p>For more: Companies declared &#39;Black lives matter,&#39; and now they&#39;re being asked to prove it</p><p>Laura Campos, director of the corporate and political accountability program for lead filer The Nathan Cummings Foundation, said in a recorded statement supporting the proposal that &#34;we&#39;re concerned that Alphabet has some major blind spots when it comes to the adverse impacts of its operations and products on people of color.&#34;</p><p>&#34;The fundamental disconnects between Alphabet&#39;s perception of its own impacts, the conclusions of multiple pieces of research and, most importantly, the lived experiences of impacted communities highlight the need for a third-party audit to assess and clarify the company&#39;s impacts on racial equity,&#34; she concluded.</p><p>&#34;We share the proponent&#39;s overall goals of equity and inclusion, and we believe that it is important to understand systems and processes. However, we do not believe the proposal is the best way to accomplish our shared goals,&#34; Hall said in response.</p><p>Among the other shareholder proposals were calls for disclosing more about the algorithms Google uses in its services, reports on misinformation and disinformation, and disclosures on lobbying.</p><p>Alphabet announced plans for a 20-for-1 stock split in February, but had to obtain shareholder approval to increase the share count in order to execute the split. Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> investors approved a similar proposal at that company&#39;s May 25 annual meeting, and announced Friday that executives expect split-adjusted shares will begin trading on June 6.</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s two classes of shares were both trading less than 1% higher on Wednesday, as the S&amp;P 500 index and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index were both trading in the red.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","GOOG":"谷歌","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","HCTI":"Healthcare Triangle, Inc.","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4573":"虚拟现实","GOOGL":"谷歌A","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4209":"餐馆","BK4183":"个人用品","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4539":"次新股","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","OLPX":"Olaplex Holdings, Inc.","BK4191":"家用电器","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4007":"制药","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","FWRG":"First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.","BK4525":"远程办公概念","TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","BK4167":"医疗保健技术","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4538":"云计算","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2240442708","content_text":"Alphabet Inc. investors rejected 17 shareholder proposals at the Google parent company's annual meeting Wednesday, including a racial-equity audit, but approved a company proposal to increase the share count that will allow for a planned stock split.At the end of a virtual meeting that lasted more than two hours and streamed on Alphabet's $(GOOGL)$(GOOGL) YouTube video service, Alphabet Assistant Secretary Kathryn Hall announced that preliminary vote totals showed that all directors were re-elected and company proposals regarding the stock split were approved. She also said all shareholder proposals were rejected, without providing preliminary vote totals; final vote totals are supposed to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission within a few days.Alphabet investors had put forth a variety of proposals, including requesting a racial-equity audit and pushing for a report on board diversity. Google was sued earlier this year by a Black employee who claims the company \"is engaged in a pattern and practice of race discrimination against its African-American and Black employees,\" and is seeking class-action status.Several large tech companies have faced similar calls to prove their work to be more equitable to all races. Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$ shareholders approved a similar proposal at their annual meeting earlier this year.For more: Companies declared 'Black lives matter,' and now they're being asked to prove itLaura Campos, director of the corporate and political accountability program for lead filer The Nathan Cummings Foundation, said in a recorded statement supporting the proposal that \"we're concerned that Alphabet has some major blind spots when it comes to the adverse impacts of its operations and products on people of color.\"\"The fundamental disconnects between Alphabet's perception of its own impacts, the conclusions of multiple pieces of research and, most importantly, the lived experiences of impacted communities highlight the need for a third-party audit to assess and clarify the company's impacts on racial equity,\" she concluded.\"We share the proponent's overall goals of equity and inclusion, and we believe that it is important to understand systems and processes. However, we do not believe the proposal is the best way to accomplish our shared goals,\" Hall said in response.Among the other shareholder proposals were calls for disclosing more about the algorithms Google uses in its services, reports on misinformation and disinformation, and disclosures on lobbying.Alphabet announced plans for a 20-for-1 stock split in February, but had to obtain shareholder approval to increase the share count in order to execute the split. Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ investors approved a similar proposal at that company's May 25 annual meeting, and announced Friday that executives expect split-adjusted shares will begin trading on June 6.Alphabet's two classes of shares were both trading less than 1% higher on Wednesday, as the S&P 500 index and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index were both trading in the red.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027347968,"gmtCreate":1653979308454,"gmtModify":1676535373368,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027347968","repostId":"1121166851","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027347065,"gmtCreate":1653979285257,"gmtModify":1676535373365,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027347065","repostId":"1121166851","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026139595,"gmtCreate":1653347553117,"gmtModify":1676535263165,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026139595","repostId":"2237884509","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2237884509","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653291757,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2237884509?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-23 15:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How To Invest In A Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2237884509","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.Many high-quality businesses have their st","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.</li><li>Many high-quality businesses have their stock down more than 50%.</li><li>Bear markets feel like a risk as we go through them, but they appear as an opportunity in retrospect.</li><li>Emotions run high, but fortune favors the patient.</li><li>Let&#39;s review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/170860a23786e0a4eea90ff2945b8176\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"585\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>pictafolio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p>Being an optimist is a superpower.</p><p>That&#39;s particularly true in times like these.</p><p>After another week in the house of pain, the Nasdaq (QQQ) is down 30% from its previous high. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 5000 (SPY) is 20% off its peak, a threshold that would characterize a bear market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3413a72f37c75d776401480b027f03e\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>If this sell-off is a typical market correction like we&#39;ve seen in 2018 or 2020, we may be near the bottom. However, if this is the start of a prolonged bear market, watch below.</p><p>Ben Carlson shared on his blog (A Wealth Of Common Sense) the history of S&amp;P 500 bear markets since 1950:</p><blockquote><i>Over 15 bear markets, the average downturn is a loss of 30%, lasting just under a year to reach the bottom and taking a little more than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-and-a-half years to break even.</i></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5a634d10eb4b4e139377eb46ea1f56f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>S&amp;P Bear Markets Since 1950 (A Wealth Of Common Sense)</span></p><p>So if we are currently going through an average bear market, we&#39;ll reach the bottom toward the end of 2022, and we&#39;ll be back at the previous high by July 2023. It could be shorter, or it could be longer. There is no way to know.</p><p>It&#39;s important to note that only three bear markets took significantly longer to recover: 1973, 2000, and 2008. These were outliers (3 out of 15 bear markets). Each time, it took more than four years to get back to even. As a result, I would never invest money in stocks that I don&#39;t plan to keep invested for at least five years.</p><p>A temporary 20% or 30% sell-off doesn&#39;t sound bad on paper because the premise assumes it&#39;s temporary. But in the middle of a bear market, our brains tend to extrapolate and think it will get worse (which may or may not be true). Morgan Housel explained in a blog post:</p><blockquote><i>All past declines look like opportunities and all future declines look like risks. It’s one of the great ironies in investing. But it happens for a reason: When studying history you know how the story ends, and it’s impossible to un-remember what you know today when thinking about the past. So it’s hard to imagine alternative outcomes when looking backward, but when looking ahead you know there are a thousand different paths we could end up on.</i></blockquote><p>Today, chances are you care more about whether stocks will fall <i>another</i> 20% or start rebounding soon. However, many years from now, what will matter is probably to have been a net buyer of stocks throughout this entire period.</p><p>If you are in the wealth accumulation phase of your life, with a regular paycheck and monthly savings to invest, a bear market is something to celebrate. However, it certainly doesn&#39;t feel good, particularly when your existing portfolio shrinks by the day. Shelby Cullom Davis said:</p><blockquote><i>You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.</i></blockquote><p>The greatest challenge in moments like these is to stay the course and not blow up your brokerage account. To do so, being an optimist goes a long way.</p><p>You&#39;ll come across perma-bears who believe the stock market is about to enter the worst period ever seen. They&#39;ll say that earnings are about to fall, and we may enter a recession like no other. Peter Lynch explained:</p><blockquote><i>“This one is different,” is the doomsayer’s litany, and, in fact, every recession is different, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to ruin us.</i></blockquote><p>Ultimately, market downturns are a great time to buy stocks. Valuations have cooled off, and future returns look better today than in many years. So having a buyer&#39;s mentality in the face of a market meltdown is essential. Warren Buffett explained:</p><blockquote><i>A market downturn doesn’t bother us. It is an opportunity to increase our ownership of great companies with great management at good prices.</i></blockquote><p>Easier said than done?</p><p>Let&#39;s review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.</p><p><b>1) Zoom out.</b></p><p>Great long-term investing is 1% buying and 99% waiting.</p><p>Unfortunately, many investors feel lazy if they don&#39;t tinker with their portfolios regularly. Instead, a disciplined investor should look beyond the short-term concerns.</p><p>The past few decades had their fair share of inflation, rising interest rates, wars, and recessions. Yet, looking at the performance of the MSCI World Index in the past 50 years can help gain some perspective. One dollar invested in 1970 would have grown to $68 by 2018. And the journey to get there was filled with bear markets of all kinds. Yet, staying invested through thick and thin led to an excellent outcome.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ab81195eb2e3587a7819d6957fa36be\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Growth of $1 in the past 70 years (WealthSmart)</span></p><p>Many investors believe they can time in and out of the market based on macro factors. However, the market is forward-looking and tends to rebound long before an individual investor would feel ready to get back in. Peter Lynch explained:</p><blockquote><i>[...] every economic recovery since World War II has been preceded by a stock market rally. And these rallies often start when conditions are grim.</i></blockquote><p>On average, recessions last 11 months (vs. 67 months for economic expansions). The take-away from the chart below should be obvious. Why would you spend your time preparing for recessions? They are relatively short and unpredictable. And even with perfect information about the economy, you wouldn&#39;t be able to predict how the stock market will react.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c2ef9e05a6b3ae4e0c025e213670a60\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"735\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Recessions &amp; Expansions (Visual Capitalist)</span></p><p>Despite history telling us that trading in and out of stocks is a weapon of alpha destruction, some investors can&#39;t help themselves. Again, market timing is a lovely idea in concept. But nobody can predict market tops and bottoms repeatedly with accuracy.</p><p>As explained in my article about 5 Ways To Prepare for The Next Stock Market Crash, recognizing how often market crashes happen can give you a better idea of what you are getting into when investing in equities. Here is the historical frequency of pullbacks identified since 1928:</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Market drawdown</b></td><td><b>Historical Frequency</b></td></tr><tr><td>10%</td><td>Every 11 months</td></tr><tr><td>15%</td><td>Every 24 months</td></tr><tr><td>20%</td><td>Every four years</td></tr><tr><td>30%</td><td>Every decade</td></tr><tr><td>40%</td><td>Every few decades</td></tr><tr><td>50%</td><td>2-3 times per century</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Again, the S&amp;P 500 is already 20% off its peak. And it would be silly to expect all market sell-offs will turn into the Great Depression. We have already had two bear markets of epic proportion in the past two decades, and our instinct is to assume more of the same. History tells us that it&#39;s possible but also unlikely. We just don&#39;t know.</p><p>That&#39;s why great investing starts with humility. Once we accept that the future is uncertain and that trying to predict it is a fool&#39;s errand, we are more likely to adapt our strategy for <i>sustainability</i> and <i>survivability</i>.</p><p><b>2) Document your decisions.</b></p><p>In his book <i>The Money Game</i>, Adam Smith explained:</p><blockquote><i>If you don&#39;t know who you are, [the stock market] is an expensive place to find out.</i></blockquote><p>Despite our best intentions, we can still fail. That&#39;s true of most things in life. Being married or parenting are perfect examples. Many of us can fail when it matters the most to have everything under control. Investing is no different.</p><p>The biggest challenge in a market contraction is to manage our emotions. I shared with App Economy Portfolio members a version of the &#34;cycle of emotions&#34; that comes with the market&#39;s ups and downs. It feels like we are likely somewhere between panic and capitulation (though you could suggest I&#39;m in denial).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73d884d2790a7a799b1fbbb5aecbbd42\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"794\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Psychology of Market Cycle (Wall St. Cheat Sheet)</span></p><p>I covered before how your temperament is the single greatest factor in your portfolio&#39;s returns. There are many ways to fight our natural flaws and avoid the pitfalls we can easily fall for. I believe the most potent tool is journaling.</p><p>Journaling is the closest thing you&#39;ll ever have to a drill in investing. While NBA players can shoot free throws all day long, the only way you can practice is by writing down your strategy, goals, and rationale.</p><ul><li>Why do you invest?</li><li>What is your time horizon?</li><li>What is your investment philosophy?</li><li>Why are you bullish about this company?</li><li>Is there something that would break your thesis?</li><li>What will you do if the market falls and your portfolio along with it?</li></ul><p>Success comes with homework and preparation. These are not questions you want to answer after the fact. The more you set yourself up with the right mindset ingrained in your brain, the higher your chance of averting a crisis in the heat of the moment.</p><p>We are already in a downturn, so you don&#39;t have this luxury anymore. But it&#39;s not too late. If you feel the urge to tinker with your portfolio on a big red day, can you first write down what compels you to do so? Is there truly a call to action, or are you reacting to headlines and market movements?</p><p>In a down market, investors tend to trade too much. They buy too much too fast in the early phase of a downturn and end up with no dry powder when the market continues to fall. Or they put their entire investment process &#34;on hold&#34; because red days take a toll on them.</p><p>Documenting the reasoning behind your investment decisions and keeping score is a fantastic way to stay honest with yourself. To do so, keeping an investment log or trading journal is the easiest way. I use free apps like Google Keep and Google Sheet that sync between all my devices (desktop and mobile). It can help you identify a pattern, not only with what you&#39;re doing wrong, but also with what you&#39;re doing right.</p><p>Another instant benefit of journaling is to learn about yourself. You will see when you were wrong and why and will be more likely to accept blame for it. You are also more likely to see your performance for what it truly is, identifying luck and brilliance wherever they apply.</p><p>Relying on your feelings is a common investment mistake in a volatile market. And unless you are willing to identify it and address them, your emotions will eventually get in the way. We are influenced by fear and greed, often better described as <i>fear of joining in</i> or <i>missing out</i> (another topic I&#39;ve covered more in-depth here).</p><p>As someone managing an investment marketplace, I&#39;ve seen many members come to me and tell me that they had sold a position because they &#34;felt&#34; like there wasn&#39;t much upside to a stock. In investing, the less your feelings are involved, the better off you are. As perfectly put by Peter Lynch:</p><blockquote><i>The trick is not to learn to trust your gut feelings, but rather to discipline yourself to ignore them. Stand by your stocks as long as the fundamental story of the company hasn’t changed.</i></blockquote><p>If your decision to buy or sell cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. However, a great long-term investment decision should not require perfect timing. Unless you are in the business of day trading, you should always be able to &#34;sleep on it&#34; and let a day go by before you pull the trigger on your investment decision.</p><p>There is no rush to make investment decisions. A thesis should not depend on what could happen within hours or minutes. If bad news comes out and a stock you own is down 50%, you don&#39;t have to sell that day, even if your bullish thesis is broken. Instead, you might want to digest the news and make sure you grasp the ins and outs of a new situation. If your intentions are intact after a good night&#39;s sleep, your decision is more likely to be sensible and grounded as opposed to a knee-jerk reaction.</p><p><b>3) Automate and stick to your plan.</b></p><p>Your performance as an investor depends primarily on what you do during periods of high volatility. As a result, using a systematic investment strategy can be a powerful tool.</p><p>I use 4 Simple Rules to protect my portfolio:</p><ol><li>I invest a fixed amount monthly (consistency).</li><li>I don&#39;t add to losers (fighting prospect theory).</li><li>I don&#39;t sell winners (staying the course).</li><li>I invest for no less than five years (time horizon).</li></ol><p>I get to decide every month which stocks represent the best opportunities based on fundamentals and valuations. Still, the day I invest, and the amount I invest are already pre-determined based on my rules and process.</p><p>These safeguards make my investment journey incredibly easy to maintain in all market conditions. And it helps me maintain a balanced approach under all circumstances:</p><ul><li>It limits the maximum amount I can add to an individual stock (diversification over several positions).</li><li>It <i>forces me to invest</i> every month of the year, even when everyone else is in panic mode.</li><li>It limits the total amount I can invest in a single month, <i>easing my way</i> in the market (spreading investments over time).</li><li>It keeps me invested through the vicissitudes of the market.</li></ul><p>I tried to answer a simple question in a previous article: How many stocks should you own? I tried to explain that the right number is different for everyone.</p><p>In his book <i>The Psychology of Money</i>, Morgan Housel explained the difference between being <i>rational</i> vs. <i>reasonable</i>. A <i>rational</i> decision means making a decision strictly based on what the facts and the numbers say. It all sounds great in concept. The implication is that you let the data decide for you.</p><p>However, being rational is not always a realistic approach. We all have emotions at play that can get in the way of a sound plan. Sometimes, what would make the most sense for you will differ from the most rational decision. So, instead, you need to define what is <i>reasonable</i> for you.</p><p>The proper diversification is the one that keeps you in the game over multiple market cycles. That&#39;s why portfolio suitability is so essential.</p><p>Once you have defined a plan that suits you and have an automated system to keep it in place, you are unstoppable.</p><p>Not everyone has the luxury of having capital available to invest every month, so I want to touch on cash deployment strategies. Maybe you have cash on the sidelines, and you wonder when or how to put it to use. Unfortunately, many investors go all-in at first sight of a market pullback of a few percentage points, only to feel buyer&#39;s remorse when the market continues to fall.</p><p>I love this blog post from Morgan Housel covering his cash deployment strategy in the context of a market drawdown. He shows how much of a theoretical $1,000 in cash set aside for investing he would deploy based on how much the market has sold off.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4a94ee08348304e119c97815f86b055\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"195\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Morgan Housel Cash Deployment Strategy (The Motley Fool)</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is down 20%, so Morgan would invest ~60% of his cash reserve (keeping the remaining 40% in case of a more significant sell-off).</p><p>It doesn&#39;t matter what exact number you use. What matters is to define a plan and stick to it. In investing, consistency wins the game.</p><p><b>4) Be selective and focus on quality</b></p><p>A bear market is a perfect opportunity to invest in a stock you&#39;ve wanted to own for a long time but couldn&#39;t because of valuation concerns or because it was running away from you. I believe that&#39;s where your focus should be.</p><p>Again, I wouldn&#39;t bet the farm and invest all at once (as explained above), but it doesn&#39;t get better than slowly accumulating shares of great businesses while they are on sale.</p><p>Of course, we have to hold our noses. Stocks could have more to fall in a highly volatile and unpredictable environment. As a result, it wouldn&#39;t be shocking to see a stock fall <i>another</i> 30% right after you buy it. That&#39;s the cost of doing business. If you don&#39;t have the stomach for it, you are better off focusing exclusively on index funds or letting someone else manage it for you.</p><p>Since the market tends to sell indiscriminately during a bear market, it gives us a fantastic opportunity to invest in high-quality businesses.</p><p><b>What is a high-quality business, you ask?</b></p><p>I modernized Philip Fisher&#39;s Scuttlebutt common-stock checklist:</p><ol><li>Large addressable market.</li><li>Future growth initiatives.</li><li>Effective research and development.</li><li>Effective sales &amp; marketing.</li><li>Worthwhile profit margins.</li><li>Improving profit margins.</li><li>Strong culture.</li><li>High insider ownership.</li><li>Management team depth.</li><li>Consistent reporting.</li><li>Sustainable competitive advantages.</li><li>Long-term vision.</li><li>Financial fortitude.</li><li>Transparent management.</li><li>Ethical management.</li></ol><p>I would emphasize financial fortitude and cash flow in the current macro environment, given the potential for a liquidity crisis.</p><p>The largest companies driving the US indices higher in the past decade have been incredible cash-flow machines. Apple (AAPL) crossed $100B in free cash flow in the past 12 months. Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) are not far behind.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d506ce6743c74db3df117a557fac5019\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Our north star is finding the businesses that can follow a similar path in the decades ahead. And only companies that can survive and thrive in a crisis will be able to get there.</p><p>It&#39;s essential to understand what you invest in to stay invested when the inevitable setback occurs. Borrowing from Peter Lynch, I realized I had a clear advantage through my experience at PwC and my decade-long tenure as a financial executive in the gaming industry. That&#39;s why my focus has been on the App Economy in the past decade.</p><p>I recently shared on Seeking Alpha why I like companies like Airbnb (ABNB), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a> (SQ), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a> (DDOG), particularly after their massive sell-offs in the past few months. Of course, these are only examples, but they check most of the boxes listed above.</p><p>I believe this bear market is an excellent opportunity to reflect on what you&#39;ve had on your watch list for a very long time. However, I would be mindful of not falling for the &#34;flavor of the month.&#34; For example, I see many articles about investing in energy stocks these days, which are cyclical and represent a tiny portion of the economy. There is also a risk of investing in specific stocks because they are expected to do well &#34;now&#34; or in the next few weeks. If you invest in companies solely based on how they might perform in the here and now, you are likely shortening your time horizon, leading to overtrading and unnecessary tax inefficiencies.</p><p>Building up positions in your winners is also a sound investment philosophy during a downturn. I covered the art of adding to your winners when I explained why I was adding to my position in MongoDB (MDB) in 2019.</p><p>The great businesses that sit at the top of your portfolio are the same as before any market meltdown, and they will still be the same after the storm passes. In the short term, stock performance can be detached from the underlying business, both in up and down markets.</p><p>In my article about 7 Rules For An Antifragile Portfolio, I discuss the importance of seeking low-downside, high-upside payoffs. Borrowing from Peter Thiel in his book Zero to One, I discussed the idea of only investing in companies that have the potential to beat all of your other investments combined. While this idea may sound romantic at first, it can be very effective. By setting the expectation that your next pick needs to have the potential to beat the performance of all your other investments combined, you are setting the bar extremely high and challenging your own goal. Most stocks won&#39;t pass this filter. And that&#39;s a good thing.</p><p><b>5) Be patient. This too shall pass.</b></p><p>It&#39;s not fun to watch a portfolio collapse in real-time. Whenever a new sell-off occurs, we are all back in the grind, trying to get our accounts to all-time highs. While setbacks always feel painful, rising to the challenge is critical.</p><p>What prevents many investors from keeping a steady hand in a time of hardship is the daunting thought of waiting for years before the portfolio has a shot at hitting a new high again. But that&#39;s what investing is all about. As American economist Paul Samuelson wrote:</p><blockquote><i>Investing should be more like watching paint dry or grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.</i></blockquote><p>As Charlie Munger explained:</p><blockquote><i>It&#39;s waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can&#39;t stand to wait. If you didn&#39;t get the deferred-gratification gene, you&#39;ve got to work very hard to overcome that.</i></blockquote><p>So before you re-balance your portfolio or throw in the towel on what may become a significant missed opportunity, you want to ask yourself if you&#39;ve genuinely given enough time for your investments to flourish. Unless my bullish thesis is broken, I don&#39;t sell until I&#39;ve held a position for at least five years since my last purchase. It&#39;s an effective safeguard to ignore the noise of missed guidances, lower target prices from analysts, or negative headlines of the day.</p><p>Because emotions run high after a series of red days, the best course of action is often to sit on your hands. That&#39;s right, doing nothing at all.</p><p>Only with the discipline of staying invested through thick and thin will you benefit from the power of compounding over the years. Even the best-performing portfolios don&#39;t go up in a straight line. Investing is all about grinding through good and bad times with a mindset that remains onward and upward.</p><p>You&#39;ll often hear about how it took almost 16 years for Microsoft (MSFT) to regain its 1999 high. This stretch was the worst in the US stock market history (two of the longest bear markets ever, almost back to back). So I don&#39;t find it particularly insightful. It&#39;s the ultimate cherry-picking, if you will.</p><p>There <i>are</i> periods of 10 years with negative stock returns in the stock market. However, your portfolio wouldn&#39;t suffer from such misfortune unless you invested all of your life&#39;s savings at the market top in 2000.</p><p>Recognizing that there is no urgency to act is essential. As I pointed out in many articles, if your next trade cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. An investment should not depend on perfect timing or finding the exact bottom.</p><p><b>Final Word</b></p><p>A bear market is a unique opportunity to invest for the long term. The key is to give yourself the best chance to stay calm and make the best decisions:</p><ol><li><b>Zoom out</b>. Market sell-offs are part of the investing process.</li><li><b>Document your decisions</b>. Are you reacting to the news cycle? Journaling and keeping score can help you work through your emotions.</li><li><b>Automate and stick to your plan</b>. A rule-based approach can help. Consistency wins, particularly in challenging times.</li><li><b>Be selective</b>. Focus on high-quality companies that can sustain the test of time and rarely offer a decent entry point.</li><li><b>Be patient. This too shall pass</b>. Sell-offs are part of the grind, and we&#39;ll all come out stronger on the other side.</li></ol><p><b>What about you?</b></p><ul><li>How are you holding up in the recent sell-off?</li><li>Have you been watching your cash deployment with caution?</li><li>Are you focusing on the best-of-breed businesses or chasing bargains?</li></ul><p>Let me know in the comments!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How To Invest In A Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow To Invest In A Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-23 15:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513563-how-to-invest-in-a-bear-market><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.Many high-quality businesses have their stock down more than 50%.Bear markets feel like a risk as we go through them, but they appear as an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513563-how-to-invest-in-a-bear-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513563-how-to-invest-in-a-bear-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2237884509","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.Many high-quality businesses have their stock down more than 50%.Bear markets feel like a risk as we go through them, but they appear as an opportunity in retrospect.Emotions run high, but fortune favors the patient.Let's review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.pictafolio/E+ via Getty ImagesBeing an optimist is a superpower.That's particularly true in times like these.After another week in the house of pain, the Nasdaq (QQQ) is down 30% from its previous high. Meanwhile, the S&P 5000 (SPY) is 20% off its peak, a threshold that would characterize a bear market.Data by YChartsIf this sell-off is a typical market correction like we've seen in 2018 or 2020, we may be near the bottom. However, if this is the start of a prolonged bear market, watch below.Ben Carlson shared on his blog (A Wealth Of Common Sense) the history of S&P 500 bear markets since 1950:Over 15 bear markets, the average downturn is a loss of 30%, lasting just under a year to reach the bottom and taking a little more than one-and-a-half years to break even.S&P Bear Markets Since 1950 (A Wealth Of Common Sense)So if we are currently going through an average bear market, we'll reach the bottom toward the end of 2022, and we'll be back at the previous high by July 2023. It could be shorter, or it could be longer. There is no way to know.It's important to note that only three bear markets took significantly longer to recover: 1973, 2000, and 2008. These were outliers (3 out of 15 bear markets). Each time, it took more than four years to get back to even. As a result, I would never invest money in stocks that I don't plan to keep invested for at least five years.A temporary 20% or 30% sell-off doesn't sound bad on paper because the premise assumes it's temporary. But in the middle of a bear market, our brains tend to extrapolate and think it will get worse (which may or may not be true). Morgan Housel explained in a blog post:All past declines look like opportunities and all future declines look like risks. It’s one of the great ironies in investing. But it happens for a reason: When studying history you know how the story ends, and it’s impossible to un-remember what you know today when thinking about the past. So it’s hard to imagine alternative outcomes when looking backward, but when looking ahead you know there are a thousand different paths we could end up on.Today, chances are you care more about whether stocks will fall another 20% or start rebounding soon. However, many years from now, what will matter is probably to have been a net buyer of stocks throughout this entire period.If you are in the wealth accumulation phase of your life, with a regular paycheck and monthly savings to invest, a bear market is something to celebrate. However, it certainly doesn't feel good, particularly when your existing portfolio shrinks by the day. Shelby Cullom Davis said:You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.The greatest challenge in moments like these is to stay the course and not blow up your brokerage account. To do so, being an optimist goes a long way.You'll come across perma-bears who believe the stock market is about to enter the worst period ever seen. They'll say that earnings are about to fall, and we may enter a recession like no other. Peter Lynch explained:“This one is different,” is the doomsayer’s litany, and, in fact, every recession is different, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to ruin us.Ultimately, market downturns are a great time to buy stocks. Valuations have cooled off, and future returns look better today than in many years. So having a buyer's mentality in the face of a market meltdown is essential. Warren Buffett explained:A market downturn doesn’t bother us. It is an opportunity to increase our ownership of great companies with great management at good prices.Easier said than done?Let's review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.1) Zoom out.Great long-term investing is 1% buying and 99% waiting.Unfortunately, many investors feel lazy if they don't tinker with their portfolios regularly. Instead, a disciplined investor should look beyond the short-term concerns.The past few decades had their fair share of inflation, rising interest rates, wars, and recessions. Yet, looking at the performance of the MSCI World Index in the past 50 years can help gain some perspective. One dollar invested in 1970 would have grown to $68 by 2018. And the journey to get there was filled with bear markets of all kinds. Yet, staying invested through thick and thin led to an excellent outcome.Growth of $1 in the past 70 years (WealthSmart)Many investors believe they can time in and out of the market based on macro factors. However, the market is forward-looking and tends to rebound long before an individual investor would feel ready to get back in. Peter Lynch explained:[...] every economic recovery since World War II has been preceded by a stock market rally. And these rallies often start when conditions are grim.On average, recessions last 11 months (vs. 67 months for economic expansions). The take-away from the chart below should be obvious. Why would you spend your time preparing for recessions? They are relatively short and unpredictable. And even with perfect information about the economy, you wouldn't be able to predict how the stock market will react.Recessions & Expansions (Visual Capitalist)Despite history telling us that trading in and out of stocks is a weapon of alpha destruction, some investors can't help themselves. Again, market timing is a lovely idea in concept. But nobody can predict market tops and bottoms repeatedly with accuracy.As explained in my article about 5 Ways To Prepare for The Next Stock Market Crash, recognizing how often market crashes happen can give you a better idea of what you are getting into when investing in equities. Here is the historical frequency of pullbacks identified since 1928:Market drawdownHistorical Frequency10%Every 11 months15%Every 24 months20%Every four years30%Every decade40%Every few decades50%2-3 times per centuryAgain, the S&P 500 is already 20% off its peak. And it would be silly to expect all market sell-offs will turn into the Great Depression. We have already had two bear markets of epic proportion in the past two decades, and our instinct is to assume more of the same. History tells us that it's possible but also unlikely. We just don't know.That's why great investing starts with humility. Once we accept that the future is uncertain and that trying to predict it is a fool's errand, we are more likely to adapt our strategy for sustainability and survivability.2) Document your decisions.In his book The Money Game, Adam Smith explained:If you don't know who you are, [the stock market] is an expensive place to find out.Despite our best intentions, we can still fail. That's true of most things in life. Being married or parenting are perfect examples. Many of us can fail when it matters the most to have everything under control. Investing is no different.The biggest challenge in a market contraction is to manage our emotions. I shared with App Economy Portfolio members a version of the \"cycle of emotions\" that comes with the market's ups and downs. It feels like we are likely somewhere between panic and capitulation (though you could suggest I'm in denial).Psychology of Market Cycle (Wall St. Cheat Sheet)I covered before how your temperament is the single greatest factor in your portfolio's returns. There are many ways to fight our natural flaws and avoid the pitfalls we can easily fall for. I believe the most potent tool is journaling.Journaling is the closest thing you'll ever have to a drill in investing. While NBA players can shoot free throws all day long, the only way you can practice is by writing down your strategy, goals, and rationale.Why do you invest?What is your time horizon?What is your investment philosophy?Why are you bullish about this company?Is there something that would break your thesis?What will you do if the market falls and your portfolio along with it?Success comes with homework and preparation. These are not questions you want to answer after the fact. The more you set yourself up with the right mindset ingrained in your brain, the higher your chance of averting a crisis in the heat of the moment.We are already in a downturn, so you don't have this luxury anymore. But it's not too late. If you feel the urge to tinker with your portfolio on a big red day, can you first write down what compels you to do so? Is there truly a call to action, or are you reacting to headlines and market movements?In a down market, investors tend to trade too much. They buy too much too fast in the early phase of a downturn and end up with no dry powder when the market continues to fall. Or they put their entire investment process \"on hold\" because red days take a toll on them.Documenting the reasoning behind your investment decisions and keeping score is a fantastic way to stay honest with yourself. To do so, keeping an investment log or trading journal is the easiest way. I use free apps like Google Keep and Google Sheet that sync between all my devices (desktop and mobile). It can help you identify a pattern, not only with what you're doing wrong, but also with what you're doing right.Another instant benefit of journaling is to learn about yourself. You will see when you were wrong and why and will be more likely to accept blame for it. You are also more likely to see your performance for what it truly is, identifying luck and brilliance wherever they apply.Relying on your feelings is a common investment mistake in a volatile market. And unless you are willing to identify it and address them, your emotions will eventually get in the way. We are influenced by fear and greed, often better described as fear of joining in or missing out (another topic I've covered more in-depth here).As someone managing an investment marketplace, I've seen many members come to me and tell me that they had sold a position because they \"felt\" like there wasn't much upside to a stock. In investing, the less your feelings are involved, the better off you are. As perfectly put by Peter Lynch:The trick is not to learn to trust your gut feelings, but rather to discipline yourself to ignore them. Stand by your stocks as long as the fundamental story of the company hasn’t changed.If your decision to buy or sell cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. However, a great long-term investment decision should not require perfect timing. Unless you are in the business of day trading, you should always be able to \"sleep on it\" and let a day go by before you pull the trigger on your investment decision.There is no rush to make investment decisions. A thesis should not depend on what could happen within hours or minutes. If bad news comes out and a stock you own is down 50%, you don't have to sell that day, even if your bullish thesis is broken. Instead, you might want to digest the news and make sure you grasp the ins and outs of a new situation. If your intentions are intact after a good night's sleep, your decision is more likely to be sensible and grounded as opposed to a knee-jerk reaction.3) Automate and stick to your plan.Your performance as an investor depends primarily on what you do during periods of high volatility. As a result, using a systematic investment strategy can be a powerful tool.I use 4 Simple Rules to protect my portfolio:I invest a fixed amount monthly (consistency).I don't add to losers (fighting prospect theory).I don't sell winners (staying the course).I invest for no less than five years (time horizon).I get to decide every month which stocks represent the best opportunities based on fundamentals and valuations. Still, the day I invest, and the amount I invest are already pre-determined based on my rules and process.These safeguards make my investment journey incredibly easy to maintain in all market conditions. And it helps me maintain a balanced approach under all circumstances:It limits the maximum amount I can add to an individual stock (diversification over several positions).It forces me to invest every month of the year, even when everyone else is in panic mode.It limits the total amount I can invest in a single month, easing my way in the market (spreading investments over time).It keeps me invested through the vicissitudes of the market.I tried to answer a simple question in a previous article: How many stocks should you own? I tried to explain that the right number is different for everyone.In his book The Psychology of Money, Morgan Housel explained the difference between being rational vs. reasonable. A rational decision means making a decision strictly based on what the facts and the numbers say. It all sounds great in concept. The implication is that you let the data decide for you.However, being rational is not always a realistic approach. We all have emotions at play that can get in the way of a sound plan. Sometimes, what would make the most sense for you will differ from the most rational decision. So, instead, you need to define what is reasonable for you.The proper diversification is the one that keeps you in the game over multiple market cycles. That's why portfolio suitability is so essential.Once you have defined a plan that suits you and have an automated system to keep it in place, you are unstoppable.Not everyone has the luxury of having capital available to invest every month, so I want to touch on cash deployment strategies. Maybe you have cash on the sidelines, and you wonder when or how to put it to use. Unfortunately, many investors go all-in at first sight of a market pullback of a few percentage points, only to feel buyer's remorse when the market continues to fall.I love this blog post from Morgan Housel covering his cash deployment strategy in the context of a market drawdown. He shows how much of a theoretical $1,000 in cash set aside for investing he would deploy based on how much the market has sold off.Morgan Housel Cash Deployment Strategy (The Motley Fool)The S&P 500 is down 20%, so Morgan would invest ~60% of his cash reserve (keeping the remaining 40% in case of a more significant sell-off).It doesn't matter what exact number you use. What matters is to define a plan and stick to it. In investing, consistency wins the game.4) Be selective and focus on qualityA bear market is a perfect opportunity to invest in a stock you've wanted to own for a long time but couldn't because of valuation concerns or because it was running away from you. I believe that's where your focus should be.Again, I wouldn't bet the farm and invest all at once (as explained above), but it doesn't get better than slowly accumulating shares of great businesses while they are on sale.Of course, we have to hold our noses. Stocks could have more to fall in a highly volatile and unpredictable environment. As a result, it wouldn't be shocking to see a stock fall another 30% right after you buy it. That's the cost of doing business. If you don't have the stomach for it, you are better off focusing exclusively on index funds or letting someone else manage it for you.Since the market tends to sell indiscriminately during a bear market, it gives us a fantastic opportunity to invest in high-quality businesses.What is a high-quality business, you ask?I modernized Philip Fisher's Scuttlebutt common-stock checklist:Large addressable market.Future growth initiatives.Effective research and development.Effective sales & marketing.Worthwhile profit margins.Improving profit margins.Strong culture.High insider ownership.Management team depth.Consistent reporting.Sustainable competitive advantages.Long-term vision.Financial fortitude.Transparent management.Ethical management.I would emphasize financial fortitude and cash flow in the current macro environment, given the potential for a liquidity crisis.The largest companies driving the US indices higher in the past decade have been incredible cash-flow machines. Apple (AAPL) crossed $100B in free cash flow in the past 12 months. Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) are not far behind.Data by YChartsOur north star is finding the businesses that can follow a similar path in the decades ahead. And only companies that can survive and thrive in a crisis will be able to get there.It's essential to understand what you invest in to stay invested when the inevitable setback occurs. Borrowing from Peter Lynch, I realized I had a clear advantage through my experience at PwC and my decade-long tenure as a financial executive in the gaming industry. That's why my focus has been on the App Economy in the past decade.I recently shared on Seeking Alpha why I like companies like Airbnb (ABNB), Block (SQ), and Datadog (DDOG), particularly after their massive sell-offs in the past few months. Of course, these are only examples, but they check most of the boxes listed above.I believe this bear market is an excellent opportunity to reflect on what you've had on your watch list for a very long time. However, I would be mindful of not falling for the \"flavor of the month.\" For example, I see many articles about investing in energy stocks these days, which are cyclical and represent a tiny portion of the economy. There is also a risk of investing in specific stocks because they are expected to do well \"now\" or in the next few weeks. If you invest in companies solely based on how they might perform in the here and now, you are likely shortening your time horizon, leading to overtrading and unnecessary tax inefficiencies.Building up positions in your winners is also a sound investment philosophy during a downturn. I covered the art of adding to your winners when I explained why I was adding to my position in MongoDB (MDB) in 2019.The great businesses that sit at the top of your portfolio are the same as before any market meltdown, and they will still be the same after the storm passes. In the short term, stock performance can be detached from the underlying business, both in up and down markets.In my article about 7 Rules For An Antifragile Portfolio, I discuss the importance of seeking low-downside, high-upside payoffs. Borrowing from Peter Thiel in his book Zero to One, I discussed the idea of only investing in companies that have the potential to beat all of your other investments combined. While this idea may sound romantic at first, it can be very effective. By setting the expectation that your next pick needs to have the potential to beat the performance of all your other investments combined, you are setting the bar extremely high and challenging your own goal. Most stocks won't pass this filter. And that's a good thing.5) Be patient. This too shall pass.It's not fun to watch a portfolio collapse in real-time. Whenever a new sell-off occurs, we are all back in the grind, trying to get our accounts to all-time highs. While setbacks always feel painful, rising to the challenge is critical.What prevents many investors from keeping a steady hand in a time of hardship is the daunting thought of waiting for years before the portfolio has a shot at hitting a new high again. But that's what investing is all about. As American economist Paul Samuelson wrote:Investing should be more like watching paint dry or grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.As Charlie Munger explained:It's waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can't stand to wait. If you didn't get the deferred-gratification gene, you've got to work very hard to overcome that.So before you re-balance your portfolio or throw in the towel on what may become a significant missed opportunity, you want to ask yourself if you've genuinely given enough time for your investments to flourish. Unless my bullish thesis is broken, I don't sell until I've held a position for at least five years since my last purchase. It's an effective safeguard to ignore the noise of missed guidances, lower target prices from analysts, or negative headlines of the day.Because emotions run high after a series of red days, the best course of action is often to sit on your hands. That's right, doing nothing at all.Only with the discipline of staying invested through thick and thin will you benefit from the power of compounding over the years. Even the best-performing portfolios don't go up in a straight line. Investing is all about grinding through good and bad times with a mindset that remains onward and upward.You'll often hear about how it took almost 16 years for Microsoft (MSFT) to regain its 1999 high. This stretch was the worst in the US stock market history (two of the longest bear markets ever, almost back to back). So I don't find it particularly insightful. It's the ultimate cherry-picking, if you will.There are periods of 10 years with negative stock returns in the stock market. However, your portfolio wouldn't suffer from such misfortune unless you invested all of your life's savings at the market top in 2000.Recognizing that there is no urgency to act is essential. As I pointed out in many articles, if your next trade cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. An investment should not depend on perfect timing or finding the exact bottom.Final WordA bear market is a unique opportunity to invest for the long term. The key is to give yourself the best chance to stay calm and make the best decisions:Zoom out. Market sell-offs are part of the investing process.Document your decisions. Are you reacting to the news cycle? Journaling and keeping score can help you work through your emotions.Automate and stick to your plan. A rule-based approach can help. Consistency wins, particularly in challenging times.Be selective. Focus on high-quality companies that can sustain the test of time and rarely offer a decent entry point.Be patient. This too shall pass. Sell-offs are part of the grind, and we'll all come out stronger on the other side.What about you?How are you holding up in the recent sell-off?Have you been watching your cash deployment with caution?Are you focusing on the best-of-breed businesses or chasing bargains?Let me know in the comments!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026308479,"gmtCreate":1653319369891,"gmtModify":1676535260067,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>only green stock 😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>only green stock 😂","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$only green stock 😂","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d8a491ceb244c555034be7bc65db611","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026308479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021257898,"gmtCreate":1653063937414,"gmtModify":1676535217702,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021257898","repostId":"2236180099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9918756529,"gmtCreate":1664461321262,"gmtModify":1676537459951,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918756529","repostId":"1126963246","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1126963246","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664465003,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126963246?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Tumbles 500 Points and Erases Gains From Prior Day’s Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126963246","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. T","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 2.18% and 3.03%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f435d3c49e11b611977e5c8d5307e0a9\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"185\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A stronger-than-expected jobless claims report didn’t help sentiment, building on the notion that the Federal Reserve will keep doing aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation without concern it’s going to hurt the labor market.</p><p>The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to trade at about 3.79%. A day prior, it posted its biggest one-day drop since 2020 after briefly topping 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> shares fell 4.5% after Bank of America downgraded the tech stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target, citing a weak consumer.</p><p>The moves followed a broad rally for stocks Wednesday, as the Bank of England said it would purchase bonds in an effort to help steady its financial markets and the cratering British pound. Sterling has stooped to record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days.</p><p>It marked a stark shift from the aggressive tightening campaign many global central banks have undertaken to cope with surging inflation.</p><p>The Dow on Wednesday gained more than 500 points, or 1.9%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose nearly 2% after hitting a new bear market low on Tuesday. Both indexes snapped six-day losing streaks.</p><p>“We are skeptical that the calmer mood in markets on Wednesday marks an end to the recent period of elevated volatility or risk-off sentiment. For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish,” UBS’ Mark Haefele wrote in a Thursday note.</p><p>Wednesday’s rally put the major averages on pace for a losing week and their worst month since June. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the monthly losses, down about 8.4%, while the Dow and S&amp;P are on pace to close 7% and 7.5% lower, respectively.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Tumbles 500 Points and Erases Gains From Prior Day’s Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Tumbles 500 Points and Erases Gains From Prior Day’s Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-29 23:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 2.18% and 3.03%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f435d3c49e11b611977e5c8d5307e0a9\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"185\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A stronger-than-expected jobless claims report didn’t help sentiment, building on the notion that the Federal Reserve will keep doing aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation without concern it’s going to hurt the labor market.</p><p>The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to trade at about 3.79%. A day prior, it posted its biggest one-day drop since 2020 after briefly topping 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> shares fell 4.5% after Bank of America downgraded the tech stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target, citing a weak consumer.</p><p>The moves followed a broad rally for stocks Wednesday, as the Bank of England said it would purchase bonds in an effort to help steady its financial markets and the cratering British pound. Sterling has stooped to record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days.</p><p>It marked a stark shift from the aggressive tightening campaign many global central banks have undertaken to cope with surging inflation.</p><p>The Dow on Wednesday gained more than 500 points, or 1.9%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose nearly 2% after hitting a new bear market low on Tuesday. Both indexes snapped six-day losing streaks.</p><p>“We are skeptical that the calmer mood in markets on Wednesday marks an end to the recent period of elevated volatility or risk-off sentiment. For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish,” UBS’ Mark Haefele wrote in a Thursday note.</p><p>Wednesday’s rally put the major averages on pace for a losing week and their worst month since June. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the monthly losses, down about 8.4%, while the Dow and S&amp;P are on pace to close 7% and 7.5% lower, respectively.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126963246","content_text":"Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 2.18% and 3.03%, respectively.A stronger-than-expected jobless claims report didn’t help sentiment, building on the notion that the Federal Reserve will keep doing aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation without concern it’s going to hurt the labor market.The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to trade at about 3.79%. A day prior, it posted its biggest one-day drop since 2020 after briefly topping 4%.Apple shares fell 4.5% after Bank of America downgraded the tech stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target, citing a weak consumer.The moves followed a broad rally for stocks Wednesday, as the Bank of England said it would purchase bonds in an effort to help steady its financial markets and the cratering British pound. Sterling has stooped to record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days.It marked a stark shift from the aggressive tightening campaign many global central banks have undertaken to cope with surging inflation.The Dow on Wednesday gained more than 500 points, or 1.9%, while the S&P 500 rose nearly 2% after hitting a new bear market low on Tuesday. Both indexes snapped six-day losing streaks.“We are skeptical that the calmer mood in markets on Wednesday marks an end to the recent period of elevated volatility or risk-off sentiment. For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish,” UBS’ Mark Haefele wrote in a Thursday note.Wednesday’s rally put the major averages on pace for a losing week and their worst month since June. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the monthly losses, down about 8.4%, while the Dow and S&P are on pace to close 7% and 7.5% lower, respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910441514,"gmtCreate":1663673704238,"gmtModify":1676537312949,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Great sharing&nbsp;","text":"Great sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910441514","repostId":"1193461774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193461774","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663661566,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193461774?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 16:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193461774","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here are five stocks you can confidently buy and hold the next time the market crashes.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>These companies have strong market positions in their respective industries.</li><li>They continue to demonstrate healthy growth during tough times.</li><li>Their resilience allows them to get through short-term challenges to do well in the long run.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s useful to prepare a watchlist of stocks that you plan to accumulate. The markets are seeing heightened volatility in the past few months as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates to tackle runaway inflation. With the NASDAQ Composite Index and <b>S&amp;P 500</b> already in a bear market this year, stock prices may have room to fall further. You should see a market correction as a golden opportunity to either accumulate more shares of companies you already own or to start a new position in a company that&#39;s become much cheaper.</p><p>Of course, you&#39;ll need to ensure several attributes are in place before you pull the trigger. The business needs to demonstrate steady growth, be a dominant player within its industry, and enjoy tailwinds that will allow them to continue doing well. With these characteristics in place, a buy-and-hold strategy can ensure that you enjoy steady compounding to achieve your retirement goals.</p><p>Here are five stocks you can consider buying during the next market correction.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c29fc1d86cf50cea60b7596122ca8e11\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><h2>Starbucks</h2><p><b>Starbucks</b> is a global coffee chain with more than 34,000 stores around the world.  The company reported an encouraging set of earnings for its fiscal 2022&#39;s third quarter, with net revenue up 9% year over year to a record $8.2 billion. Comparable-store sales were up 3% globally, with the U.S. registering a 9% increase, and active Starbucks reward members climbed 13% year over year in the U.S. to 27.4 million members.</p><p>During its recent biennial Investor Day, Starbucks unveiled an ambitious three-year financial roadmap to deliver annual comparable store sales growth of 7% to 9%, revenue growth of 10% to 12%, and earnings-per-share (EPS) growth of 15% to 20%. Founder and interim CEO Howard Shultz also introduced incoming CEO Laxman Narasimhan, who will assume his new role on April 1 next year. With this plan, it seems the company is kicking into high gear to deliver steady earnings growth for investors.</p><h2>Lululemon</h2><p><b>Lululemon</b> is a market leader for athletic apparel and footwear for yoga, running, and training and provides innovative materials and interesting designs for its products. Results for its fiscal 2022&#39;s second quarter were impressive. Revenue increased 29% year over year to $1.9 billion, with comparable-store sales jumping 23% year over year. Net income surged by 39.1% year over year to $289.5 million, partially lifted by a $10.2 million one-off gain from the disposal of an administrative building.</p><p>Lululemon has reported that supply chain woes are easing, allowing the company to manufacture the products it needs to satisfy strong demand. The sports apparel company expects net revenue to grow at a three-year compound annual growth rate of around 26% and for 2022 to register sales of between $7.87 billion to $7.94 billion.</p><h2>Okta</h2><p><b>Okta</b> is a software-as-a-service business that offers identity management services to more than 16,400 customers to help their systems set up secure and convenient access. Okta&#39;s shares may have declined by nearly 72% year to date, but the company is still knocking the lights out with its latest Q2 2023 earnings. Revenue grew 43% year over year, with subscription revenue growing by 44% year over year. Subscription backlog improved by 25% year over year to 2.8 billion, while billings increased by 36% year over year.</p><p>Okta believes there is a significant opportunity for it to continue growing as the total addressable market for its business is around $80 billion. The company has identified various growth drivers and will be implementing them to drive its top and bottom lines. It will work on improving its platform and network and also use its successful &#34;land and expand&#34; strategy in large organizations. International expansion is also on the cards as U.S. revenue made up more than three quarters of total revenue for the quarter.</p><h2>DocuSign</h2><p>If you&#39;re looking for a quick, secure, and convenient way to digitally sign your business agreements, <b>DocuSign</b> has a cloud service that provides this service. The company boasts more than a billion users in 180 countries and also reported a solid  Q2 2023 report card. Subscription and total revenue continued climbing, up 23% and 22% year over year, respectively. Billings also saw an increase of 9% year over year.</p><p>DocuSign believes that its Agreement Cloud has a large market opportunity with a total addressable market of around $50 billion. The company is confident in driving new use-cases such as the notarization of documents and analytics. By expanding on these new uses, DocuSign can drive greater adoption throughout the organization.</p><h2>Chipotle Mexican Grill</h2><p><b>Chipotle Mexican Grill</b> offers a wide menu of food items using responsibly sourced ingredients that do not contain artificial colors, flavors, or preservatives. The Mexican food chain, which boasts 3,000 restaurants in the U.S. and parts of Europe, reported continued growth in its Q2 2022 earnings report. Total revenue rose 17% year over year to $2.2 billion, with comparable-store sales up 10.1% year over year. Digital sales made up nearly 40% of revenue, showcasing the success with which Chipotle had achieved by pivoting to online orders during the pandemic.</p><p>The company is pushing on with new store openings and expects to open between 235 and 250 new restaurants in 2022. The board of directors had also approved an additional $300 million to be used for share buybacks.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Correction\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 16:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/19/5-high-conviction-stocks-to-buy-in-the-next-market/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThese companies have strong market positions in their respective industries.They continue to demonstrate healthy growth during tough times.Their resilience allows them to get through short-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/19/5-high-conviction-stocks-to-buy-in-the-next-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克","LULU":"lululemon athletica","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","CMG":"墨式烧烤","DOCU":"Docusign"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/19/5-high-conviction-stocks-to-buy-in-the-next-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193461774","content_text":"KEY POINTSThese companies have strong market positions in their respective industries.They continue to demonstrate healthy growth during tough times.Their resilience allows them to get through short-term challenges to do well in the long run.It's useful to prepare a watchlist of stocks that you plan to accumulate. The markets are seeing heightened volatility in the past few months as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates to tackle runaway inflation. With the NASDAQ Composite Index and S&P 500 already in a bear market this year, stock prices may have room to fall further. You should see a market correction as a golden opportunity to either accumulate more shares of companies you already own or to start a new position in a company that's become much cheaper.Of course, you'll need to ensure several attributes are in place before you pull the trigger. The business needs to demonstrate steady growth, be a dominant player within its industry, and enjoy tailwinds that will allow them to continue doing well. With these characteristics in place, a buy-and-hold strategy can ensure that you enjoy steady compounding to achieve your retirement goals.Here are five stocks you can consider buying during the next market correction.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.StarbucksStarbucks is a global coffee chain with more than 34,000 stores around the world.  The company reported an encouraging set of earnings for its fiscal 2022's third quarter, with net revenue up 9% year over year to a record $8.2 billion. Comparable-store sales were up 3% globally, with the U.S. registering a 9% increase, and active Starbucks reward members climbed 13% year over year in the U.S. to 27.4 million members.During its recent biennial Investor Day, Starbucks unveiled an ambitious three-year financial roadmap to deliver annual comparable store sales growth of 7% to 9%, revenue growth of 10% to 12%, and earnings-per-share (EPS) growth of 15% to 20%. Founder and interim CEO Howard Shultz also introduced incoming CEO Laxman Narasimhan, who will assume his new role on April 1 next year. With this plan, it seems the company is kicking into high gear to deliver steady earnings growth for investors.LululemonLululemon is a market leader for athletic apparel and footwear for yoga, running, and training and provides innovative materials and interesting designs for its products. Results for its fiscal 2022's second quarter were impressive. Revenue increased 29% year over year to $1.9 billion, with comparable-store sales jumping 23% year over year. Net income surged by 39.1% year over year to $289.5 million, partially lifted by a $10.2 million one-off gain from the disposal of an administrative building.Lululemon has reported that supply chain woes are easing, allowing the company to manufacture the products it needs to satisfy strong demand. The sports apparel company expects net revenue to grow at a three-year compound annual growth rate of around 26% and for 2022 to register sales of between $7.87 billion to $7.94 billion.OktaOkta is a software-as-a-service business that offers identity management services to more than 16,400 customers to help their systems set up secure and convenient access. Okta's shares may have declined by nearly 72% year to date, but the company is still knocking the lights out with its latest Q2 2023 earnings. Revenue grew 43% year over year, with subscription revenue growing by 44% year over year. Subscription backlog improved by 25% year over year to 2.8 billion, while billings increased by 36% year over year.Okta believes there is a significant opportunity for it to continue growing as the total addressable market for its business is around $80 billion. The company has identified various growth drivers and will be implementing them to drive its top and bottom lines. It will work on improving its platform and network and also use its successful \"land and expand\" strategy in large organizations. International expansion is also on the cards as U.S. revenue made up more than three quarters of total revenue for the quarter.DocuSignIf you're looking for a quick, secure, and convenient way to digitally sign your business agreements, DocuSign has a cloud service that provides this service. The company boasts more than a billion users in 180 countries and also reported a solid  Q2 2023 report card. Subscription and total revenue continued climbing, up 23% and 22% year over year, respectively. Billings also saw an increase of 9% year over year.DocuSign believes that its Agreement Cloud has a large market opportunity with a total addressable market of around $50 billion. The company is confident in driving new use-cases such as the notarization of documents and analytics. By expanding on these new uses, DocuSign can drive greater adoption throughout the organization.Chipotle Mexican GrillChipotle Mexican Grill offers a wide menu of food items using responsibly sourced ingredients that do not contain artificial colors, flavors, or preservatives. The Mexican food chain, which boasts 3,000 restaurants in the U.S. and parts of Europe, reported continued growth in its Q2 2022 earnings report. Total revenue rose 17% year over year to $2.2 billion, with comparable-store sales up 10.1% year over year. Digital sales made up nearly 40% of revenue, showcasing the success with which Chipotle had achieved by pivoting to online orders during the pandemic.The company is pushing on with new store openings and expects to open between 235 and 250 new restaurants in 2022. The board of directors had also approved an additional $300 million to be used for share buybacks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048967217,"gmtCreate":1656127706439,"gmtModify":1676535773683,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048967217","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","BCS":"巴克莱银行","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4521":"英国银行股","UBS":"瑞银","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","C":"花旗","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","JPM":"摩根大通","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984701353,"gmtCreate":1667727531472,"gmtModify":1676537956541,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Ok","listText":"&nbsp;Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984701353","repostId":"1126084916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126084916","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1667649988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126084916?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-05 20:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire Hathaway Posts Quarterly Loss As Stock Holdings Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126084916","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insuran","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5123a6e2350392f040c0ac678a3ba3b5\" tg-width=\"6720\" tg-height=\"4480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insurance underwriting.</p><p>The net loss of $2.69 billion, or $1,832 per Class A share, compared with a profit of $10.34 billion, or $6,882 per share, a year earlier.</p><p>Operating profit rose 20% to $7.76 billion, or about $5,294 per Class A share, from $6.47 billion, or about $4,331 per share, a year earlier, helped by foreign currency gains and improvement in several businesses.</p><p>Berkshire also repurchased $1.05 billion of its own stock in the quarter, and has repurchased $5.25 billion this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire Hathaway Posts Quarterly Loss As Stock Holdings Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire Hathaway Posts Quarterly Loss As Stock Holdings Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-05 20:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5123a6e2350392f040c0ac678a3ba3b5\" tg-width=\"6720\" tg-height=\"4480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insurance underwriting.</p><p>The net loss of $2.69 billion, or $1,832 per Class A share, compared with a profit of $10.34 billion, or $6,882 per share, a year earlier.</p><p>Operating profit rose 20% to $7.76 billion, or about $5,294 per Class A share, from $6.47 billion, or about $4,331 per share, a year earlier, helped by foreign currency gains and improvement in several businesses.</p><p>Berkshire also repurchased $1.05 billion of its own stock in the quarter, and has repurchased $5.25 billion this year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126084916","content_text":"Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insurance underwriting.The net loss of $2.69 billion, or $1,832 per Class A share, compared with a profit of $10.34 billion, or $6,882 per share, a year earlier.Operating profit rose 20% to $7.76 billion, or about $5,294 per Class A share, from $6.47 billion, or about $4,331 per share, a year earlier, helped by foreign currency gains and improvement in several businesses.Berkshire also repurchased $1.05 billion of its own stock in the quarter, and has repurchased $5.25 billion this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048967916,"gmtCreate":1656127667635,"gmtModify":1676535773668,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048967916","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","BCS":"巴克莱银行","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4521":"英国银行股","UBS":"瑞银","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","C":"花旗","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","JPM":"摩根大通","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9082752285,"gmtCreate":1650607279701,"gmtModify":1676534763047,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"[Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9082752285","repostId":"2229180283","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229180283","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650583058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229180283?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-22 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Ends down as Powell Plops 50 Bps Rate Hike on Table","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229180283","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed's Powell says 50 bps rate hike 'on the table'United Airlines, American Airlines jump on earnings","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Fed&#39;s Powell says 50 bps rate hike &#39;on the table&#39;</li><li>United Airlines, American Airlines jump on earnings outlook</li><li>Tesla rises after first-quarter results top estimates</li><li>Markets give up early-day gains to end lower</li><li>Indexes down: Dow 1.05%, S&amp;P 1.48%, Nasdaq 2.07% (Adds closing prices, Alcoa)</li></ul><p>Wall Street&#39;s ended lower on Thursday, with the Nasdaq dropping more than 2%, as investors reacted to Federal Reserve officials including Chair Jerome Powell offering further signposting of aggressive interest rate hikes this year.</p><p>A half-point interest rate increase will be &#34;on the table&#34; when the U.S. central bank meets on May 3-4 to approve the next in what is expected to be a series of rate increases this year, Powell said.</p><p>With inflation running roughly three times the Fed&#39;s 2% target, &#34;it is appropriate to be moving a little more quickly,&#34; Powell added in a discussion of the global economy at the meetings of the International Monetary Fund.</p><p>&#34;The market is pricing in, at least, 50 basis points in May and June,&#34; said George Catrambone, head of trading at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWS.AU\">DWS</a> Group.</p><p>&#34;Powell, and many other Fed speakers, have been saying they want to get to control as quickly as possible, and that is saying to the market that they are going to go aggressively.&#34;</p><p>Earlier on Thursday, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said she supports raising the U.S. central bank&#39;s target for overnight borrowing costs to 2.5% by the end of this year, but whether or how much further it will need to rise will depend on what happens with inflation and labor markets.</p><p>The remarks by Fed officials hijacked initial momentum which the markets received from positive earnings. All three major indexes opened higher, boosted by strong results from heavyweight Tesla and airline operators.</p><p>However, gains were eroded through the morning session and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq had already reversed course by the time Powell spoke.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 368.03 points, or 1.05%, to 34,792.76, the S&amp;P 500 lost 65.79 points, or 1.48%, to 4,393.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 278.41 points, or 2.07%, to 13,174.65.</p><p>Bond yields also breached fresh multi-year peaks. Yields on the two-year U.S. Treasury, the most sensitive to interest changes, hit their highest in three years before coming off slightly.</p><p>High-growth stocks, including those of Alphabet Inc and Amazon.com Inc, fell as investors fretted about how the higher rate environment would impact their future growth potential. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc declined 6.2%, taking its losses in the last two days to 13.5%.</p><p>Netflix Inc slumped 3.5%, taking its market capitalization below the $100 billion mark for the first time since January 2018. It was the second day of declines for the streaming giant after its quarterly earnings revealed a first drop in subscriber numbers in a decade, with further falls likely.</p><p>The forecast prompted William Ackman to liquidate a $1.1 billion bet on Netflix, with the billionaire investor writing the firm&#39;s future was too uncertain to hold onto his position.</p><p>The 1.7% fall in the broader technology index was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the worst among the sectors, with all 11 major industries ending lower. Energy was hit the hardest, despite crude prices gaining.</p><p>Alcoa Corp was another to slide after posting results. The aluminum producer tumbled 16.9%, its biggest fall since March 2020, as the Russia-Ukraine conflict impacted its business.</p><p>There were some bright spots though. Tesla, the world&#39;s most valuable automaker, rose 3.2% after its results beat Wall Street expectations as higher prices helped it overcome supply-chain chaos and rising costs.</p><p>Airline stocks also maintained their recent momentum. United Airlines Holdings Inc and American Airlines Group Inc climbed 9.3% and 3.8%, respectively, after they predicted a return to profit in the current quarter due to booming travel demand.</p><p>The volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 11.65 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 78 new 52-week highs and 16 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 73 new highs and 367 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Ends down as Powell Plops 50 Bps Rate Hike on Table</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Ends down as Powell Plops 50 Bps Rate Hike on Table\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-22 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/futures-climb-after-strong-results-tesla-2022-04-21/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed's Powell says 50 bps rate hike 'on the table'United Airlines, American Airlines jump on earnings outlookTesla rises after first-quarter results top estimatesMarkets give up early-day gains to end ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/futures-climb-after-strong-results-tesla-2022-04-21/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NFLX":"奈飞","AA":"美国铝业",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/futures-climb-after-strong-results-tesla-2022-04-21/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229180283","content_text":"Fed's Powell says 50 bps rate hike 'on the table'United Airlines, American Airlines jump on earnings outlookTesla rises after first-quarter results top estimatesMarkets give up early-day gains to end lowerIndexes down: Dow 1.05%, S&P 1.48%, Nasdaq 2.07% (Adds closing prices, Alcoa)Wall Street's ended lower on Thursday, with the Nasdaq dropping more than 2%, as investors reacted to Federal Reserve officials including Chair Jerome Powell offering further signposting of aggressive interest rate hikes this year.A half-point interest rate increase will be \"on the table\" when the U.S. central bank meets on May 3-4 to approve the next in what is expected to be a series of rate increases this year, Powell said.With inflation running roughly three times the Fed's 2% target, \"it is appropriate to be moving a little more quickly,\" Powell added in a discussion of the global economy at the meetings of the International Monetary Fund.\"The market is pricing in, at least, 50 basis points in May and June,\" said George Catrambone, head of trading at DWS Group.\"Powell, and many other Fed speakers, have been saying they want to get to control as quickly as possible, and that is saying to the market that they are going to go aggressively.\"Earlier on Thursday, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said she supports raising the U.S. central bank's target for overnight borrowing costs to 2.5% by the end of this year, but whether or how much further it will need to rise will depend on what happens with inflation and labor markets.The remarks by Fed officials hijacked initial momentum which the markets received from positive earnings. All three major indexes opened higher, boosted by strong results from heavyweight Tesla and airline operators.However, gains were eroded through the morning session and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq had already reversed course by the time Powell spoke.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 368.03 points, or 1.05%, to 34,792.76, the S&P 500 lost 65.79 points, or 1.48%, to 4,393.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 278.41 points, or 2.07%, to 13,174.65.Bond yields also breached fresh multi-year peaks. Yields on the two-year U.S. Treasury, the most sensitive to interest changes, hit their highest in three years before coming off slightly.High-growth stocks, including those of Alphabet Inc and Amazon.com Inc, fell as investors fretted about how the higher rate environment would impact their future growth potential. Meta Platforms Inc declined 6.2%, taking its losses in the last two days to 13.5%.Netflix Inc slumped 3.5%, taking its market capitalization below the $100 billion mark for the first time since January 2018. It was the second day of declines for the streaming giant after its quarterly earnings revealed a first drop in subscriber numbers in a decade, with further falls likely.The forecast prompted William Ackman to liquidate a $1.1 billion bet on Netflix, with the billionaire investor writing the firm's future was too uncertain to hold onto his position.The 1.7% fall in the broader technology index was one of the worst among the sectors, with all 11 major industries ending lower. Energy was hit the hardest, despite crude prices gaining.Alcoa Corp was another to slide after posting results. The aluminum producer tumbled 16.9%, its biggest fall since March 2020, as the Russia-Ukraine conflict impacted its business.There were some bright spots though. Tesla, the world's most valuable automaker, rose 3.2% after its results beat Wall Street expectations as higher prices helped it overcome supply-chain chaos and rising costs.Airline stocks also maintained their recent momentum. United Airlines Holdings Inc and American Airlines Group Inc climbed 9.3% and 3.8%, respectively, after they predicted a return to profit in the current quarter due to booming travel demand.The volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 11.65 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted 78 new 52-week highs and 16 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 73 new highs and 367 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984701920,"gmtCreate":1667727498661,"gmtModify":1676537956538,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984701920","repostId":"1126084916","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914391687,"gmtCreate":1665185237249,"gmtModify":1676537568258,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914391687","repostId":"2273391757","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273391757","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665183845,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273391757?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-08 07:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply Lower As Jobs Report Cements Rate Hike Regime","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273391757","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%Technology leads sector declines on S&P 500AMD leads chipmakers ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%</li><li>Technology leads sector declines on S&amp;P 500</li><li>AMD leads chipmakers lower after revenue warning</li><li>FedEx drops on report of plans to reduce volume forecasts</li><li>Indexes fall: Dow down 2.1%, S&amp;P 500 2.8%, Nasdaq 3.8%</li></ul><p>Oct 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell sharply on Friday following a solid jobs report for September that increased the likelihood the Federal Reserve will barrel ahead with an interest rate hiking campaign many investors fear will push the U.S. economy into a recession.</p><p>The Labor Department reported the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, lower than expectations of 3.7%, in an economy that continues to show resilience despite the Fed&#39;s efforts to bring down high inflation by weakening growth.</p><p>Nonfarm payrolls rose by 263,000 jobs, more than the 250,000 figure economists polled by Reuters had forecast. Money markets raised to 92% the probability of a fourth straight 75 basis-point rate hike when Fed policymakers meet on Nov. 1-2, up from 83.4% before the data.</p><p>The job gains, lower unemployment rate and continued healthy wage growth point to a labor market Fed officials will likely still see as keeping inflation too high.</p><p>In the latest of a steady stream of hawkish messages by policymakers, New York Fed President John Williams said more rate hikes were needed to tackle inflation in a process that will likely increase the number of people without jobs.</p><p>The data cemented another jumbo-sized, 75 basis-point rate hike in November as &#34;the labor market is still way too hot for the Fed&#39;s comfort zone,&#34; said Bill Sterling, global strategist at GW&amp;K Investment Management.</p><p>&#34;This was a classic case of good news is bad news,&#34; he said. &#34;The market took the good news of the robust labor market report and turned it into an ever-more vigilant Fed and therefore potentially higher risks of a recession next year.&#34;</p><p>One economist said the Fed should not be reassured by the tight labor market because when the unemployment rate begins to rise, it does so quickly and is a leading indicator of a recession.</p><p>&#34;We haven&#39;t felt the full effects of the tightening,&#34; said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. &#34;They&#39;re going to keep going until eventually this thing turns over, and when it turns over you won&#39;t be able to slow the momentum.&#34;</p><p>Next week&#39;s consumer price index will provide a key snapshot of where inflation stands.</p><p>Despite Friday&#39;s nosedive, a hefty two-day rally earlier in the week pushed the S&amp;P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq to post their first week of gains after three straight weeks of losses.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 630.15 points, or 2.11%, at 29,296.79, the S&amp;P 500 lost 104.86 points, or 2.80%, to 3,639.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 420.91 points, or 3.8%, to 10,652.41.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.15 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the past 20 trading days.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.51%,the Dow added 1.99% and the Nasdaq gained 0.73%.</p><p>All 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, with technology falling the most, down 4.14%.</p><p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index fell 6.06% after a revenue warning from Advanced Micro Devices signaled a chip slump could be worse than expected. The index posted its biggest single-day percentage decline in more than three weeks.</p><p>AMD shares fell 13.9% as the company&#39;s third-quarter revenue estimates were about $1 billion lower than previously forecast. It was the largest declining stock on the Nasdaq 100.</p><p>FedEx Corp slid 0.5% after an internal memo seen by Reuters showed the division that handles most e-commerce deliveries expects to lower volume forecasts as its customers plan to ship fewer holiday packages.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.56-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 71 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 337 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply Lower As Jobs Report Cements Rate Hike Regime</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply Lower As Jobs Report Cements Rate Hike Regime\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-08 07:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%</li><li>Technology leads sector declines on S&amp;P 500</li><li>AMD leads chipmakers lower after revenue warning</li><li>FedEx drops on report of plans to reduce volume forecasts</li><li>Indexes fall: Dow down 2.1%, S&amp;P 500 2.8%, Nasdaq 3.8%</li></ul><p>Oct 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell sharply on Friday following a solid jobs report for September that increased the likelihood the Federal Reserve will barrel ahead with an interest rate hiking campaign many investors fear will push the U.S. economy into a recession.</p><p>The Labor Department reported the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, lower than expectations of 3.7%, in an economy that continues to show resilience despite the Fed&#39;s efforts to bring down high inflation by weakening growth.</p><p>Nonfarm payrolls rose by 263,000 jobs, more than the 250,000 figure economists polled by Reuters had forecast. Money markets raised to 92% the probability of a fourth straight 75 basis-point rate hike when Fed policymakers meet on Nov. 1-2, up from 83.4% before the data.</p><p>The job gains, lower unemployment rate and continued healthy wage growth point to a labor market Fed officials will likely still see as keeping inflation too high.</p><p>In the latest of a steady stream of hawkish messages by policymakers, New York Fed President John Williams said more rate hikes were needed to tackle inflation in a process that will likely increase the number of people without jobs.</p><p>The data cemented another jumbo-sized, 75 basis-point rate hike in November as &#34;the labor market is still way too hot for the Fed&#39;s comfort zone,&#34; said Bill Sterling, global strategist at GW&amp;K Investment Management.</p><p>&#34;This was a classic case of good news is bad news,&#34; he said. &#34;The market took the good news of the robust labor market report and turned it into an ever-more vigilant Fed and therefore potentially higher risks of a recession next year.&#34;</p><p>One economist said the Fed should not be reassured by the tight labor market because when the unemployment rate begins to rise, it does so quickly and is a leading indicator of a recession.</p><p>&#34;We haven&#39;t felt the full effects of the tightening,&#34; said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. &#34;They&#39;re going to keep going until eventually this thing turns over, and when it turns over you won&#39;t be able to slow the momentum.&#34;</p><p>Next week&#39;s consumer price index will provide a key snapshot of where inflation stands.</p><p>Despite Friday&#39;s nosedive, a hefty two-day rally earlier in the week pushed the S&amp;P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq to post their first week of gains after three straight weeks of losses.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 630.15 points, or 2.11%, at 29,296.79, the S&amp;P 500 lost 104.86 points, or 2.80%, to 3,639.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 420.91 points, or 3.8%, to 10,652.41.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.15 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the past 20 trading days.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.51%,the Dow added 1.99% and the Nasdaq gained 0.73%.</p><p>All 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, with technology falling the most, down 4.14%.</p><p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index fell 6.06% after a revenue warning from Advanced Micro Devices signaled a chip slump could be worse than expected. The index posted its biggest single-day percentage decline in more than three weeks.</p><p>AMD shares fell 13.9% as the company&#39;s third-quarter revenue estimates were about $1 billion lower than previously forecast. It was the largest declining stock on the Nasdaq 100.</p><p>FedEx Corp slid 0.5% after an internal memo seen by Reuters showed the division that handles most e-commerce deliveries expects to lower volume forecasts as its customers plan to ship fewer holiday packages.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.56-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 71 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 337 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273391757","content_text":"U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%Technology leads sector declines on S&P 500AMD leads chipmakers lower after revenue warningFedEx drops on report of plans to reduce volume forecastsIndexes fall: Dow down 2.1%, S&P 500 2.8%, Nasdaq 3.8%Oct 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell sharply on Friday following a solid jobs report for September that increased the likelihood the Federal Reserve will barrel ahead with an interest rate hiking campaign many investors fear will push the U.S. economy into a recession.The Labor Department reported the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, lower than expectations of 3.7%, in an economy that continues to show resilience despite the Fed's efforts to bring down high inflation by weakening growth.Nonfarm payrolls rose by 263,000 jobs, more than the 250,000 figure economists polled by Reuters had forecast. Money markets raised to 92% the probability of a fourth straight 75 basis-point rate hike when Fed policymakers meet on Nov. 1-2, up from 83.4% before the data.The job gains, lower unemployment rate and continued healthy wage growth point to a labor market Fed officials will likely still see as keeping inflation too high.In the latest of a steady stream of hawkish messages by policymakers, New York Fed President John Williams said more rate hikes were needed to tackle inflation in a process that will likely increase the number of people without jobs.The data cemented another jumbo-sized, 75 basis-point rate hike in November as \"the labor market is still way too hot for the Fed's comfort zone,\" said Bill Sterling, global strategist at GW&K Investment Management.\"This was a classic case of good news is bad news,\" he said. \"The market took the good news of the robust labor market report and turned it into an ever-more vigilant Fed and therefore potentially higher risks of a recession next year.\"One economist said the Fed should not be reassured by the tight labor market because when the unemployment rate begins to rise, it does so quickly and is a leading indicator of a recession.\"We haven't felt the full effects of the tightening,\" said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. \"They're going to keep going until eventually this thing turns over, and when it turns over you won't be able to slow the momentum.\"Next week's consumer price index will provide a key snapshot of where inflation stands.Despite Friday's nosedive, a hefty two-day rally earlier in the week pushed the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq to post their first week of gains after three straight weeks of losses.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 630.15 points, or 2.11%, at 29,296.79, the S&P 500 lost 104.86 points, or 2.80%, to 3,639.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 420.91 points, or 3.8%, to 10,652.41.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.15 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the past 20 trading days.For the week, the S&P 500 rose 1.51%,the Dow added 1.99% and the Nasdaq gained 0.73%.All 11 major S&P 500 sectors declined, with technology falling the most, down 4.14%.The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index fell 6.06% after a revenue warning from Advanced Micro Devices signaled a chip slump could be worse than expected. The index posted its biggest single-day percentage decline in more than three weeks.AMD shares fell 13.9% as the company's third-quarter revenue estimates were about $1 billion lower than previously forecast. It was the largest declining stock on the Nasdaq 100.FedEx Corp slid 0.5% after an internal memo seen by Reuters showed the division that handles most e-commerce deliveries expects to lower volume forecasts as its customers plan to ship fewer holiday packages.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.56-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 71 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 337 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904010917,"gmtCreate":1659957269341,"gmtModify":1703476354914,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting!","listText":"Interesting!","text":"Interesting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904010917","repostId":"1111364601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111364601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659972720,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111364601?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111364601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 20","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.</li><li>The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.</li><li>If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.</li></ul><p>History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.</p><p>Similarities in today&#39;s stock market and S&amp;P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn&#39;t to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.</p><p><b>1937</b></p><p>After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&amp;P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&amp;P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.</p><p>Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&amp;P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&amp;P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&amp;P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&amp;P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9e75e86ede6d5127a530f868dcedf3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2000</b></p><p>The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&amp;P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&amp;P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&amp;P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.</p><p>Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&amp;P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67e3a7716980557c4c7d467f03d1b40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2008</b></p><p>Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&amp;P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&amp;P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&amp;P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d85ceaf1cd7900663bbf9dbbe300dee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Similarities</b></p><p>The declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn&#39;t the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03c254a06087baa45767c1b5a5d0c6aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Does this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34566ce27f9a5b7d5ac6c173ee363be9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What happens next for stocks is anyone&#39;s guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what <i>may</i> happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111364601","content_text":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.Similarities in today's stock market and S&P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn't to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.1937After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.Bloomberg2000The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.Bloomberg2008Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.BloombergSimilaritiesThe declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn't the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.BloombergDoes this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.BloombergWhat happens next for stocks is anyone's guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what may happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983429930,"gmtCreate":1666310010021,"gmtModify":1676537737857,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Only green stockas it's free","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Only green stockas it's free","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Only green stockas it's free","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/388ee3ba36965a454ad792cc93b1f7c0","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983429930","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058576488,"gmtCreate":1654870970044,"gmtModify":1676535526033,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058576488","repostId":"1111306345","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111306345","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1654864238,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111306345?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111306345","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"KEY POINTSThe consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since Dece","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>KEY POINTS</p><ul><li>The consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.</li><li>Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.</li><li>Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of the CPI, rose at the fastest 12-month pace in 31 years.</li><li>The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.</li></ul><p>Inflation accelerated further in May, with prices rising 8.6% from a year ago for the fastest increase since December 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.</p><p>The consumer price index, a wide-ranging measure of goods and services prices, increased even more than the 8.3% Dow Jones estimate. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate.</p><p>On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 1% while core rose 0.6%, compared to respective estimates of 0.7% and 0.5%.</p><p>Surging shelter, gasoline and food prices all contributed to the increase.</p><p>Energy prices broadly rose 3.9% from a month ago, bringing the annual gain to 34.6%. Within the category, fuel oil posted a 16.9% monthly gain, pushing the 12-month surge to 106.7%.</p><p>Shelter costs, which account for about a one-third weighting on the CPI, rose 0.6% for the month, the fastest one-month gain since March 2004. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991.</p><p>Finally, food costs climbed another 1.2% in May, bringing the year-over-year gain to 10.1%.</p><p>Those escalating prices meant workers took another pay cut during the month. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%.</p><p>Markets reacted negatively to the report, with stock futures indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street and government bond yields rising.</p><p>“It’s hard to look at May’s inflation data and not be disappointed,” said Morning Consult chief economist John Leer. “We’re just not yet seeing any signs that we’re in the clear.”</p><p>Some of the biggest increases came in airfares (up 12.6% on the month), used cars and trucks (1.8%), and dairy products (2.9%). The vehicle costs had been considered a bellwether of the inflation surge and had been falling for the past three months, so the increase is a potentially ominous sign, as used vehicle prices are now up 16.1% over the past year. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May.</p><p>Friday’s numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.</p><p>The inflation report comes with the Federal Reserve in the early stages of a rate-hiking campaign to slow growth and bring down prices. May’s report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead.</p><p>“Obviously, nothing is good in this report,” said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. “There is nothing in there that’s going to give the Fed any cheer. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off.”</p><p>With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. The central bank’s benchmark short-term borrowing rate is currently anchored around 0.75% -1% and is expected to rise to 2.75%-3% by the end of the year, according to CME Group estimates.</p><p>Inflation has been a political headache for the White House and President Joe Biden.</p><p>Administration officials pin most of the blame for the surge on supply chain issues related to the Covid pandemic, imbalances created by outsized demand for goods over services, and the Russian attack on Ukraine.</p><p>In a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, Biden said he will push for further improvements to supply chains and continue efforts to bring down the budget deficit.</p><p>However, he and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen both have emphasized that much of the responsibility for lowering inflation belongs to the Fed. The administration has largely denied that the trillions of dollars directed toward Covid aid played a major role.</p><p>How much the central bank will have to raise rates remains to be seen. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently released a white paper with a team of other economists that suggests the Fed will need to go further than many are anticipating. The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Rose 8.6% in May, Highest Since 1981\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>KEY POINTS</p><ul><li>The consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.</li><li>Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.</li><li>Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of the CPI, rose at the fastest 12-month pace in 31 years.</li><li>The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.</li></ul><p>Inflation accelerated further in May, with prices rising 8.6% from a year ago for the fastest increase since December 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.</p><p>The consumer price index, a wide-ranging measure of goods and services prices, increased even more than the 8.3% Dow Jones estimate. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate.</p><p>On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 1% while core rose 0.6%, compared to respective estimates of 0.7% and 0.5%.</p><p>Surging shelter, gasoline and food prices all contributed to the increase.</p><p>Energy prices broadly rose 3.9% from a month ago, bringing the annual gain to 34.6%. Within the category, fuel oil posted a 16.9% monthly gain, pushing the 12-month surge to 106.7%.</p><p>Shelter costs, which account for about a one-third weighting on the CPI, rose 0.6% for the month, the fastest one-month gain since March 2004. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991.</p><p>Finally, food costs climbed another 1.2% in May, bringing the year-over-year gain to 10.1%.</p><p>Those escalating prices meant workers took another pay cut during the month. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%.</p><p>Markets reacted negatively to the report, with stock futures indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street and government bond yields rising.</p><p>“It’s hard to look at May’s inflation data and not be disappointed,” said Morning Consult chief economist John Leer. “We’re just not yet seeing any signs that we’re in the clear.”</p><p>Some of the biggest increases came in airfares (up 12.6% on the month), used cars and trucks (1.8%), and dairy products (2.9%). The vehicle costs had been considered a bellwether of the inflation surge and had been falling for the past three months, so the increase is a potentially ominous sign, as used vehicle prices are now up 16.1% over the past year. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May.</p><p>Friday’s numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.</p><p>The inflation report comes with the Federal Reserve in the early stages of a rate-hiking campaign to slow growth and bring down prices. May’s report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead.</p><p>“Obviously, nothing is good in this report,” said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. “There is nothing in there that’s going to give the Fed any cheer. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off.”</p><p>With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. The central bank’s benchmark short-term borrowing rate is currently anchored around 0.75% -1% and is expected to rise to 2.75%-3% by the end of the year, according to CME Group estimates.</p><p>Inflation has been a political headache for the White House and President Joe Biden.</p><p>Administration officials pin most of the blame for the surge on supply chain issues related to the Covid pandemic, imbalances created by outsized demand for goods over services, and the Russian attack on Ukraine.</p><p>In a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, Biden said he will push for further improvements to supply chains and continue efforts to bring down the budget deficit.</p><p>However, he and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen both have emphasized that much of the responsibility for lowering inflation belongs to the Fed. The administration has largely denied that the trillions of dollars directed toward Covid aid played a major role.</p><p>How much the central bank will have to raise rates remains to be seen. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently released a white paper with a team of other economists that suggests the Fed will need to go further than many are anticipating. The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111306345","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of the CPI, rose at the fastest 12-month pace in 31 years.The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.Inflation accelerated further in May, with prices rising 8.6% from a year ago for the fastest increase since December 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.The consumer price index, a wide-ranging measure of goods and services prices, increased even more than the 8.3% Dow Jones estimate. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate.On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 1% while core rose 0.6%, compared to respective estimates of 0.7% and 0.5%.Surging shelter, gasoline and food prices all contributed to the increase.Energy prices broadly rose 3.9% from a month ago, bringing the annual gain to 34.6%. Within the category, fuel oil posted a 16.9% monthly gain, pushing the 12-month surge to 106.7%.Shelter costs, which account for about a one-third weighting on the CPI, rose 0.6% for the month, the fastest one-month gain since March 2004. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991.Finally, food costs climbed another 1.2% in May, bringing the year-over-year gain to 10.1%.Those escalating prices meant workers took another pay cut during the month. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%.Markets reacted negatively to the report, with stock futures indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street and government bond yields rising.“It’s hard to look at May’s inflation data and not be disappointed,” said Morning Consult chief economist John Leer. “We’re just not yet seeing any signs that we’re in the clear.”Some of the biggest increases came in airfares (up 12.6% on the month), used cars and trucks (1.8%), and dairy products (2.9%). The vehicle costs had been considered a bellwether of the inflation surge and had been falling for the past three months, so the increase is a potentially ominous sign, as used vehicle prices are now up 16.1% over the past year. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May.Friday’s numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.The inflation report comes with the Federal Reserve in the early stages of a rate-hiking campaign to slow growth and bring down prices. May’s report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead.“Obviously, nothing is good in this report,” said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. “There is nothing in there that’s going to give the Fed any cheer. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off.”With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. The central bank’s benchmark short-term borrowing rate is currently anchored around 0.75% -1% and is expected to rise to 2.75%-3% by the end of the year, according to CME Group estimates.Inflation has been a political headache for the White House and President Joe Biden.Administration officials pin most of the blame for the surge on supply chain issues related to the Covid pandemic, imbalances created by outsized demand for goods over services, and the Russian attack on Ukraine.In a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, Biden said he will push for further improvements to supply chains and continue efforts to bring down the budget deficit.However, he and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen both have emphasized that much of the responsibility for lowering inflation belongs to the Fed. The administration has largely denied that the trillions of dollars directed toward Covid aid played a major role.How much the central bank will have to raise rates remains to be seen. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently released a white paper with a team of other economists that suggests the Fed will need to go further than many are anticipating. The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027347065,"gmtCreate":1653979285257,"gmtModify":1676535373365,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027347065","repostId":"1121166851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121166851","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1653979018,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121166851?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-31 14:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Strong Buy Reiterated - $160 Price Target","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121166851","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba's FQ4 earnings card surprised to the upside. But, the Street was too pessimistic, so ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Alibaba&#39;s FQ4 earnings card surprised to the upside. But, the Street was too pessimistic, so it was a relatively easy beat. However, management didn&#39;t guide for FY23.</li><li>Yet, it didn&#39;t bother the market as BABA stock surged post-earnings. We also indicated in our previous article that the stock had likely bottomed in March.</li><li>We reiterate our Strong Buy rating, with a medium-term price target of $160. Our PT implies an upside of 71%.</li></ul><p>Investment Thesis</p><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) recently delivered a better-than-estimated FQ4&#39;22 earnings release. We had anticipated a relatively easy beat in ourpre-earnings article (Strong Buy), as the Street turnedeven more pessimistic. Notwithstanding, management declined to provide its customary guidance for FY23, given the evolving situation surrounding China&#39;s COVID lockdowns.</p><p>However, BABA stock surged post-earnings, as our price action analysis suggested that the stock had already bottomed in March. Management is also sanguine about ongoing support from the Chinese government, lending credence to its potential recovery through FY23-24.</p><p>As such, we reiterate our Strong Buy rating on BABA stock. We also discuss the tactical price targets (PTs) to watch in the near and medium-term. Our medium-term PT of $160 suggests an implied upside of 71% from Friday&#39;s close (May 27).</p><p>The Lack Of FY23 Guidance Did Not Worry The Market<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/801f0c903e113743fc8aecce8d16b7bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba revenue change % and adjusted EBIT margins % consensus estimates(S&amp;P Cap IQ)</p><p>Alibaba reported revenue growth of 8.9% in FQ4, down from 9.7% in FQ3. Notably, investors should expect Alibaba to report a topline growth of just 0.7% in FQ1&#39;23 (ending June quarter), given the significant impact of the lockdowns in China. However, management emphasized that they have started to see marked improvements in May. It articulated (edited):</p><blockquote>The situation in May, with the resumption of express deliveries and with the beginning of the normalization of the situation in Shanghai, certainly, we see things improving. But it will take time for all of the outstanding parcels to be delivered and also for merchants to make their preparations for the upcoming 618 festival. But we certainly are seeing signs of improvement going into the month of May. (Alibaba&#39;s FQ4&#39;22 earnings call)</blockquote><p>However, management didn&#39;t provide data points for the Street analysts to model for FY23. But we think the base case is still bullish for its 0.7% revenue growth estimates (30 Buys out of 40 ratings). Still, we believe Alibaba could surprise to the upside again in FQ1. Note that the company has already commenced the pre-sales for its 618 shopping event before the first wave of buying starts on May 31. We think the 618 event would be a critical juncture to evaluate the recovery cadence of consumer discretionary spending, assuming the lockdowns in China don&#39;t get worse.</p><p>Furthermore, management remains optimistic about a favorable regulatory climate that could undergird Alibaba&#39;s recovery through FY23-24. CEO Daniel Zhang articulated (edited):</p><blockquote>We&#39;ve seen that the government has been coming out with various policies lately, aimed at stabilizing the economy, stabilizing employment, and ensuring the provision of essentials to people. The State Council also convened an important meeting to implement measures in six different areas, several of which are highly relevant to the business of Alibaba, including stimulating consumption, ensuring the provision of essentials, and achieving supply chain recovery. So that&#39;s all highly relevant to us. (Alibaba&#39;s earnings)</blockquote><p>Focus on Costs Optimization Could Lift EPS Markedly<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa185fd624ba510d1d06c0a85f5255aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba adjusted EPS and adjusted net margins % consensus estimates(S&amp;P Cap IQ)</p><p>With a much slower growth climate, investors should not expect the gangbusters growth of previous years. Alibaba&#39;s 10Y revenue CAGR of 45.5% and 10Y average EBIT margins of 26.4% are a thing of the past. Moving forward, investors must accept much slower growth and lower profitability. That should explain why BABA&#39;s stock has been battered significantly over the past 18 months. The market got it absolutely spot on. It priced in these headwinds astutely well ahead of time.</p><p>As a result, management will focus on optimizing costs and improving operational efficiencies. We believe it&#39;s critical to help lift Alibaba&#39;s EPS estimates and net margins from its nadir through FY23-24.</p><p>Notably, the consensus estimates suggest that the Street is confident that Alibaba&#39;s beaten down profitability could recover remarkably through FY23, despite slowing topline growth, as seen above. Its adjusted net margins are also expected to bottom out in FQ4&#39;22 before improving significantly through FY23-24.</p><p>Price Action Remains Highly Constructive Of A Bottom<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35aa87bc4a9214d9d9f6bcadc2362b9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BABA price chart(TradingView)</p><p>Investors are encouraged to refer to our previous article for a more detailed discussion of BABA stock&#39;s strategic price action analysis. This article will focus on a more tactical framework to help investors visualize the PTs moving forward.</p><p>Despite the recent headwinds, BABA stock has continued to hold its March capitulation signal. Furthermore, the US SEC&#39;s most recent warning about a lack of significant consensus around delisting didn&#39;t bother the market. Also, a lack of FY23 guidance has not worried investors.</p><p>Consequently, we are confident that its March bottom should hold. We also observed the March bottom in the price action of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) that we discussed in a recent article.</p><p>Our near-term PT of $120 sees the stock testing and breaking above its &#34;near term resistance 1&#34; before experiencing more significant selling pressure at the $130 resistance level. More conservative results can consider loosening some exposure at the near-term PT.</p><p>Our medium-term PT of $160 (implied upside of 71%) sees the stock re-testing its &#34;intermediate resistance&#34; level of $180. We expect the stock to face much more significant selling pressure at that level. Therefore, we encourage investors to cut more exposure to protect gains. Moving forward, we will have a clearer idea of the price action picture.</p><p>Consequently, <i>we reiterate our Strong Buy rating on BABA stock</i>, with a medium-term PT of $160.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Strong Buy Reiterated - $160 Price Target</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Strong Buy Reiterated - $160 Price Target\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-31 14:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4515146-alibaba-strong-buy-reiterated><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba's FQ4 earnings card surprised to the upside. But, the Street was too pessimistic, so it was a relatively easy beat. However, management didn't guide for FY23.Yet, it didn't bother the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4515146-alibaba-strong-buy-reiterated\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4515146-alibaba-strong-buy-reiterated","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121166851","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba's FQ4 earnings card surprised to the upside. But, the Street was too pessimistic, so it was a relatively easy beat. However, management didn't guide for FY23.Yet, it didn't bother the market as BABA stock surged post-earnings. We also indicated in our previous article that the stock had likely bottomed in March.We reiterate our Strong Buy rating, with a medium-term price target of $160. Our PT implies an upside of 71%.Investment ThesisAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) recently delivered a better-than-estimated FQ4'22 earnings release. We had anticipated a relatively easy beat in ourpre-earnings article (Strong Buy), as the Street turnedeven more pessimistic. Notwithstanding, management declined to provide its customary guidance for FY23, given the evolving situation surrounding China's COVID lockdowns.However, BABA stock surged post-earnings, as our price action analysis suggested that the stock had already bottomed in March. Management is also sanguine about ongoing support from the Chinese government, lending credence to its potential recovery through FY23-24.As such, we reiterate our Strong Buy rating on BABA stock. We also discuss the tactical price targets (PTs) to watch in the near and medium-term. Our medium-term PT of $160 suggests an implied upside of 71% from Friday's close (May 27).The Lack Of FY23 Guidance Did Not Worry The MarketAlibaba revenue change % and adjusted EBIT margins % consensus estimates(S&P Cap IQ)Alibaba reported revenue growth of 8.9% in FQ4, down from 9.7% in FQ3. Notably, investors should expect Alibaba to report a topline growth of just 0.7% in FQ1'23 (ending June quarter), given the significant impact of the lockdowns in China. However, management emphasized that they have started to see marked improvements in May. It articulated (edited):The situation in May, with the resumption of express deliveries and with the beginning of the normalization of the situation in Shanghai, certainly, we see things improving. But it will take time for all of the outstanding parcels to be delivered and also for merchants to make their preparations for the upcoming 618 festival. But we certainly are seeing signs of improvement going into the month of May. (Alibaba's FQ4'22 earnings call)However, management didn't provide data points for the Street analysts to model for FY23. But we think the base case is still bullish for its 0.7% revenue growth estimates (30 Buys out of 40 ratings). Still, we believe Alibaba could surprise to the upside again in FQ1. Note that the company has already commenced the pre-sales for its 618 shopping event before the first wave of buying starts on May 31. We think the 618 event would be a critical juncture to evaluate the recovery cadence of consumer discretionary spending, assuming the lockdowns in China don't get worse.Furthermore, management remains optimistic about a favorable regulatory climate that could undergird Alibaba's recovery through FY23-24. CEO Daniel Zhang articulated (edited):We've seen that the government has been coming out with various policies lately, aimed at stabilizing the economy, stabilizing employment, and ensuring the provision of essentials to people. The State Council also convened an important meeting to implement measures in six different areas, several of which are highly relevant to the business of Alibaba, including stimulating consumption, ensuring the provision of essentials, and achieving supply chain recovery. So that's all highly relevant to us. (Alibaba's earnings)Focus on Costs Optimization Could Lift EPS MarkedlyAlibaba adjusted EPS and adjusted net margins % consensus estimates(S&P Cap IQ)With a much slower growth climate, investors should not expect the gangbusters growth of previous years. Alibaba's 10Y revenue CAGR of 45.5% and 10Y average EBIT margins of 26.4% are a thing of the past. Moving forward, investors must accept much slower growth and lower profitability. That should explain why BABA's stock has been battered significantly over the past 18 months. The market got it absolutely spot on. It priced in these headwinds astutely well ahead of time.As a result, management will focus on optimizing costs and improving operational efficiencies. We believe it's critical to help lift Alibaba's EPS estimates and net margins from its nadir through FY23-24.Notably, the consensus estimates suggest that the Street is confident that Alibaba's beaten down profitability could recover remarkably through FY23, despite slowing topline growth, as seen above. Its adjusted net margins are also expected to bottom out in FQ4'22 before improving significantly through FY23-24.Price Action Remains Highly Constructive Of A BottomBABA price chart(TradingView)Investors are encouraged to refer to our previous article for a more detailed discussion of BABA stock's strategic price action analysis. This article will focus on a more tactical framework to help investors visualize the PTs moving forward.Despite the recent headwinds, BABA stock has continued to hold its March capitulation signal. Furthermore, the US SEC's most recent warning about a lack of significant consensus around delisting didn't bother the market. Also, a lack of FY23 guidance has not worried investors.Consequently, we are confident that its March bottom should hold. We also observed the March bottom in the price action of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) that we discussed in a recent article.Our near-term PT of $120 sees the stock testing and breaking above its \"near term resistance 1\" before experiencing more significant selling pressure at the $130 resistance level. More conservative results can consider loosening some exposure at the near-term PT.Our medium-term PT of $160 (implied upside of 71%) sees the stock re-testing its \"intermediate resistance\" level of $180. We expect the stock to face much more significant selling pressure at that level. Therefore, we encourage investors to cut more exposure to protect gains. Moving forward, we will have a clearer idea of the price action picture.Consequently, we reiterate our Strong Buy rating on BABA stock, with a medium-term PT of $160.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087800903,"gmtCreate":1650982359598,"gmtModify":1676534826982,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087800903","repostId":"2230462101","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230462101","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650958471,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230462101?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-26 15:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Bear Markets Can Help You Create Life-Changing Wealth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230462101","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There's a good chance a bear market helps you more than it hurts you.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Almost everyone loses in the short-term during a bear market.</li><li>But if you are patient enough to invest in the years following a bear market, you could benefit from buying stocks on sale.</li><li>Unemployment is low and real wages are rising for the lower class.</li></ul><p>Bear markets are periods of time when the stock market is down 20% or more from its all-time high. The <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> was briefly in a bear market earlier this year, while the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> entered a correction, which is a drawdown of 10% or more from the high. But the Nasdaq Composite and the S&amp;P 500 were both in a bear market in spring 2020, fall 2018, and, of course, during the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p>Bear markets can be stressful and nerve-racking. But over time, there&#39;s a very good chance that you could benefit from a bear market. Here&#39;s why.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78976243dc56a69873e740586860688a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><b>What does a bear market really mean?</b></p><p>Bear markets simply mean that equity values are plunging, so they only really hurt people with substantial assets. It&#39;s a simple concept -- so simple, in fact, that we often forget that bear markets impact wealthy people a lot more than the middle class or young investors. The stat that may really shock you is that the wealthiest 10% of Americans own -- wait for it -- 89% of the U.S. stock market.</p><p>The American middle class has most of their net worth in their homes. And if a middle-class family doesn&#39;t plan on moving anytime soon, then it&#39;s O.K. if the property value slips -- especially after the surge in home prices we&#39;ve seen over the last two years.</p><p>As a gross generalization, a bear market is going to negatively impact retirees, net spenders, and anyone in the asset distribution phase. However, a bear market could help first-time homebuyers, those looking to make big purchases (such as a new car), anyone that is a net saver, and anyone that is in the asset accumulation phase of their life.</p><p><b>But what about the real economy?</b></p><p>Granted, bear markets can also come during times of widespread economic hardship, such as rising unemployment. But according to the March 2022 Bureau of Labor Statistics report, the U.S. unemployment rate is currently 3.6%, which is tied with 2019 for the lowest level since 1969.</p><p>What&#39;s more, U.S. workers in the bottom 30% of income earners have seen their real wages rise, while those in the top 70% have seen rises in nominal wages but negative real wage changes due to inflation.</p><p>With income on the rise and unemployment near record lows, it seems as though the lower and middle class stand to benefit the most from a bear market.</p><p><b>Nerves of steel</b></p><p>It&#39;s no secret that bear markets have historically been some of the best times to buy assets. The Dot-com bubble in the early 2000s wiped trillions of dollars in equity value off the market. Those that could buy and hold stocks like <b>Amazon</b>,<b>Microsoft</b>, or <b>Google</b> after the crash would go on to unlock some of the best returns in stock market history. The same thing goes for the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p>Everyone knows in hindsight that stocks like Amazon were great buys. But what you may not know is that in November 2001 Amazon stock was, at its worst, down 93% from its all-time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2018f0b296637c68e2023c92e3fe6aed\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMZN DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p>Imagine a stock in your portfolio going down 93% and then becoming one of the most valuable companies in the world 20 years later. It&#39;s a level of volatility that most investors simply can&#39;t handle. And that&#39;s why buying and holding stocks over the long-term is an incredible strategy, but also one of the hardest to execute.</p><p><b>Years of benefits</b></p><p>The old saying is that no one has extra dry powder to buy during a bear market. And in the short-term, that&#39;s generally true. But instead of fixating on who was lucky enough to have spare cash to buy great stocks during the absolute bottom of a bear market, it&#39;s more helpful to ask who was able to buy stocks for the next five or 10 years after a bear market.</p><p>If we think back to the 2008 financial crisis, for example, the biggest beneficiaries were folks without a lot of savings who had yet to reach their highest income-earning years. Even better positioned were those who didn&#39;t own homes or have mortgages who could benefit from the collapse in housing prices. This cohort would be anyone who is between the ages of roughly 40 and 55 today. In 2008, there were young adults maybe in their low- to mid-30s. And for the next 13 years, they got to experience one of the greatest bull markets in history.</p><p>Now you may be thinking that the age group of adults that haven&#39;t yet reached their peak earning years, which is age 45 to 54, is a small number and not representative of the U.S. population. It may surprise you to learn that 109.8 million Americans are between the ages of 20 and 44, which is exactly one-third of the total population. But that&#39;s a misleading statistic, because it factors in kids. Of Americans aged 20 or older, 44.2% are between the ages of 20 and 44 -- which is surprising considering the Baby Boomer generation is above that age group.</p><p>However, many Americans above age 44 either don&#39;t own homes or don&#39;t have significant investments in the stock market. This is all to say that, according to the data, most Americans probably stand to benefit from a stock market sell-off.</p><p><b>Staying cautiously optimistic</b></p><p>Navigating a bear market is arguably one of the single hardest things to do as an investor. But it is also one of the most rewarding. The catch is that you must be invested in quality companies with solid fundamentals. All success stories have an element of luck to them. For every Amazon, Microsoft, or Google, there are hundreds of failed companies.</p><p>One of the simplest ways to outlast a bear market is to stick with industry-leading companies that have been through one, two, or maybe even several bear markets in the past. There are several companies out there right now that are down 30% or more from their highs that have done just that and could be worth a look.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Bear Markets Can Help You Create Life-Changing Wealth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Bear Markets Can Help You Create Life-Changing Wealth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-26 15:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/25/why-bear-markets-can-help-you-create-life-changing/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSAlmost everyone loses in the short-term during a bear market.But if you are patient enough to invest in the years following a bear market, you could benefit from buying stocks on sale....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/25/why-bear-markets-can-help-you-create-life-changing/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","GOOG":"谷歌","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4576":"AR","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","MSFT":"微软","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4503":"景林资产持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/25/why-bear-markets-can-help-you-create-life-changing/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230462101","content_text":"KEY POINTSAlmost everyone loses in the short-term during a bear market.But if you are patient enough to invest in the years following a bear market, you could benefit from buying stocks on sale.Unemployment is low and real wages are rising for the lower class.Bear markets are periods of time when the stock market is down 20% or more from its all-time high. The Nasdaq Composite was briefly in a bear market earlier this year, while the S&P 500 entered a correction, which is a drawdown of 10% or more from the high. But the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 were both in a bear market in spring 2020, fall 2018, and, of course, during the 2008 financial crisis.Bear markets can be stressful and nerve-racking. But over time, there's a very good chance that you could benefit from a bear market. Here's why.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.What does a bear market really mean?Bear markets simply mean that equity values are plunging, so they only really hurt people with substantial assets. It's a simple concept -- so simple, in fact, that we often forget that bear markets impact wealthy people a lot more than the middle class or young investors. The stat that may really shock you is that the wealthiest 10% of Americans own -- wait for it -- 89% of the U.S. stock market.The American middle class has most of their net worth in their homes. And if a middle-class family doesn't plan on moving anytime soon, then it's O.K. if the property value slips -- especially after the surge in home prices we've seen over the last two years.As a gross generalization, a bear market is going to negatively impact retirees, net spenders, and anyone in the asset distribution phase. However, a bear market could help first-time homebuyers, those looking to make big purchases (such as a new car), anyone that is a net saver, and anyone that is in the asset accumulation phase of their life.But what about the real economy?Granted, bear markets can also come during times of widespread economic hardship, such as rising unemployment. But according to the March 2022 Bureau of Labor Statistics report, the U.S. unemployment rate is currently 3.6%, which is tied with 2019 for the lowest level since 1969.What's more, U.S. workers in the bottom 30% of income earners have seen their real wages rise, while those in the top 70% have seen rises in nominal wages but negative real wage changes due to inflation.With income on the rise and unemployment near record lows, it seems as though the lower and middle class stand to benefit the most from a bear market.Nerves of steelIt's no secret that bear markets have historically been some of the best times to buy assets. The Dot-com bubble in the early 2000s wiped trillions of dollars in equity value off the market. Those that could buy and hold stocks like Amazon,Microsoft, or Google after the crash would go on to unlock some of the best returns in stock market history. The same thing goes for the 2008 financial crisis.Everyone knows in hindsight that stocks like Amazon were great buys. But what you may not know is that in November 2001 Amazon stock was, at its worst, down 93% from its all-time.AMZN DATA BY YCHARTSImagine a stock in your portfolio going down 93% and then becoming one of the most valuable companies in the world 20 years later. It's a level of volatility that most investors simply can't handle. And that's why buying and holding stocks over the long-term is an incredible strategy, but also one of the hardest to execute.Years of benefitsThe old saying is that no one has extra dry powder to buy during a bear market. And in the short-term, that's generally true. But instead of fixating on who was lucky enough to have spare cash to buy great stocks during the absolute bottom of a bear market, it's more helpful to ask who was able to buy stocks for the next five or 10 years after a bear market.If we think back to the 2008 financial crisis, for example, the biggest beneficiaries were folks without a lot of savings who had yet to reach their highest income-earning years. Even better positioned were those who didn't own homes or have mortgages who could benefit from the collapse in housing prices. This cohort would be anyone who is between the ages of roughly 40 and 55 today. In 2008, there were young adults maybe in their low- to mid-30s. And for the next 13 years, they got to experience one of the greatest bull markets in history.Now you may be thinking that the age group of adults that haven't yet reached their peak earning years, which is age 45 to 54, is a small number and not representative of the U.S. population. It may surprise you to learn that 109.8 million Americans are between the ages of 20 and 44, which is exactly one-third of the total population. But that's a misleading statistic, because it factors in kids. Of Americans aged 20 or older, 44.2% are between the ages of 20 and 44 -- which is surprising considering the Baby Boomer generation is above that age group.However, many Americans above age 44 either don't own homes or don't have significant investments in the stock market. This is all to say that, according to the data, most Americans probably stand to benefit from a stock market sell-off.Staying cautiously optimisticNavigating a bear market is arguably one of the single hardest things to do as an investor. But it is also one of the most rewarding. The catch is that you must be invested in quality companies with solid fundamentals. All success stories have an element of luck to them. For every Amazon, Microsoft, or Google, there are hundreds of failed companies.One of the simplest ways to outlast a bear market is to stick with industry-leading companies that have been through one, two, or maybe even several bear markets in the past. There are several companies out there right now that are down 30% or more from their highs that have done just that and could be worth a look.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914398164,"gmtCreate":1665185335358,"gmtModify":1676537568283,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914398164","repostId":"1195734170","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078738113,"gmtCreate":1657753678632,"gmtModify":1676536054565,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078738113","repostId":"1178157531","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068683478,"gmtCreate":1651762252194,"gmtModify":1676534964524,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068683478","repostId":"1126632432","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126632432","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651759767,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126632432?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-05 22:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Slides More Than 3%, Wiping out Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rally for Tech Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126632432","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks fell on Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session after the ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell on Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.78%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 2.19% and 3.12%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e57fe638d4ff4103945f93d5fee14a6\" tg-width=\"424\" tg-height=\"202\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.</p><p>The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.</p><p>Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.</p><p>“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”</p><p>The Treasury market saw a more dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning.</p><p>Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.</p><p>“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”</p><p>Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Slides More Than 3%, Wiping out Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rally for Tech Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Slides More Than 3%, Wiping out Wednesday’s Post-Fed Rally for Tech Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-05 22:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell on Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.78%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 2.19% and 3.12%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e57fe638d4ff4103945f93d5fee14a6\" tg-width=\"424\" tg-height=\"202\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.</p><p>The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.</p><p>Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.</p><p>“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”</p><p>The Treasury market saw a more dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning.</p><p>Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.</p><p>“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”</p><p>Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126632432","content_text":"Stocks fell on Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.78%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 2.19% and 3.12%, respectively.The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”The Treasury market saw a more dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning.Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917648922,"gmtCreate":1665518477866,"gmtModify":1676537618726,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917648922","repostId":"1153750551","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027347968,"gmtCreate":1653979308454,"gmtModify":1676535373368,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027347968","repostId":"1121166851","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026308479,"gmtCreate":1653319369891,"gmtModify":1676535260067,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>only green stock 😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>only green stock 😂","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$only green stock 😂","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d8a491ceb244c555034be7bc65db611","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026308479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021257898,"gmtCreate":1653063937414,"gmtModify":1676535217702,"author":{"id":"4112190918945712","authorId":"4112190918945712","name":"Tuba","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112190918945712","authorIdStr":"4112190918945712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021257898","repostId":"2236180099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236180099","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1653042379,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236180099?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 18:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Climb After China Rate Cut, As Dow Headed for Its Worst Losing Streak in History","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236180099","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"U.S. stock futures pointed to a strong bounce for Wall Street on Friday, with sentiment getting a li","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures pointed to a strong bounce for Wall Street on Friday, with sentiment getting a lift from a cut one of China&#39;s key lending rates. But investors are still facing yet another weekly loss.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5521eda6d9d4954d76aaa2f15fc13\" tg-width=\"383\" tg-height=\"185\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>VIX fell 2.7% and VIXmain rose 3.7% separately.</p><p>Gold rose 0.2% to $1845.1.</p><p><b>How are stock-index futures trading?</b></p><p>On Thursday, the Dow industrials and S&amp;P 500 booked their lowest closes since March 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow  fell 236.94 points, or 0.8%, ending at 31,253.13, after a 300 point gain at one point. The S&amp;P 500  fell 0.6% to 3,900.79, and the Nasdaq Composite  slipped 0.3% to 11,388.50.</p><p>Wednesday&#39;s dramatic selloff marked the worst day for the Dow and S&amp;P 500 since June 2020.</p><p><b>What&#39;s driving markets?</b></p><p>Wall Street stocks took their cue from a strong Asian session, where the Hong Kong Hang Seng  rallied 3.2% and the China CSI 300 index  gained 1.9%.</p><p>The People&#39;s Bank of China on Friday cut its rate on five-year loans, aimed at shoring up weak housing sales by cutting mortgage costs. The country has been battling COVID outbreaks, with lockdowns in industrial hubs such as Shanghai blamed for weak factory and consumer activity data in April.</p><p>The S&amp;P finished a step closer to bear-market territory on Thursday as the Russia-Ukraine war, a China slowdown, high inflation and rising interest rates have sparked concerns over corporate profits and economic growth.</p><p>Down 3% or more each, major indexes are likely facing yet another week of losses. The Dow industrials is set for its eight-straight loss, which mark its longest streak in history, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq are poised for their worst losing streaks since June 2011 and November, 2012, respectively. Losses have come amid concerns about whether soaring inflation can be brought under control by the Federal Reserve without derailing the economy.</p><p>Earnings from major retailers this week, such as Walmart and Target reported disappointing profits, against a backdrop of rising expenses and inflation.</p><p>The U.S. data calendar is empty for Friday, but next week will bring another round of inflation data, personal consumption expenditure prices excluding food and energy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Climb After China Rate Cut, As Dow Headed for Its Worst Losing Streak in History</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Climb After China Rate Cut, As Dow Headed for Its Worst Losing Streak in History\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-20 18:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures pointed to a strong bounce for Wall Street on Friday, with sentiment getting a lift from a cut one of China&#39;s key lending rates. But investors are still facing yet another weekly loss.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5521eda6d9d4954d76aaa2f15fc13\" tg-width=\"383\" tg-height=\"185\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>VIX fell 2.7% and VIXmain rose 3.7% separately.</p><p>Gold rose 0.2% to $1845.1.</p><p><b>How are stock-index futures trading?</b></p><p>On Thursday, the Dow industrials and S&amp;P 500 booked their lowest closes since March 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow  fell 236.94 points, or 0.8%, ending at 31,253.13, after a 300 point gain at one point. The S&amp;P 500  fell 0.6% to 3,900.79, and the Nasdaq Composite  slipped 0.3% to 11,388.50.</p><p>Wednesday&#39;s dramatic selloff marked the worst day for the Dow and S&amp;P 500 since June 2020.</p><p><b>What&#39;s driving markets?</b></p><p>Wall Street stocks took their cue from a strong Asian session, where the Hong Kong Hang Seng  rallied 3.2% and the China CSI 300 index  gained 1.9%.</p><p>The People&#39;s Bank of China on Friday cut its rate on five-year loans, aimed at shoring up weak housing sales by cutting mortgage costs. The country has been battling COVID outbreaks, with lockdowns in industrial hubs such as Shanghai blamed for weak factory and consumer activity data in April.</p><p>The S&amp;P finished a step closer to bear-market territory on Thursday as the Russia-Ukraine war, a China slowdown, high inflation and rising interest rates have sparked concerns over corporate profits and economic growth.</p><p>Down 3% or more each, major indexes are likely facing yet another week of losses. The Dow industrials is set for its eight-straight loss, which mark its longest streak in history, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq are poised for their worst losing streaks since June 2011 and November, 2012, respectively. Losses have come amid concerns about whether soaring inflation can be brought under control by the Federal Reserve without derailing the economy.</p><p>Earnings from major retailers this week, such as Walmart and Target reported disappointing profits, against a backdrop of rising expenses and inflation.</p><p>The U.S. data calendar is empty for Friday, but next week will bring another round of inflation data, personal consumption expenditure prices excluding food and energy.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236180099","content_text":"U.S. stock futures pointed to a strong bounce for Wall Street on Friday, with sentiment getting a lift from a cut one of China's key lending rates. But investors are still facing yet another weekly loss.VIX fell 2.7% and VIXmain rose 3.7% separately.Gold rose 0.2% to $1845.1.How are stock-index futures trading?On Thursday, the Dow industrials and S&P 500 booked their lowest closes since March 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow  fell 236.94 points, or 0.8%, ending at 31,253.13, after a 300 point gain at one point. The S&P 500  fell 0.6% to 3,900.79, and the Nasdaq Composite  slipped 0.3% to 11,388.50.Wednesday's dramatic selloff marked the worst day for the Dow and S&P 500 since June 2020.What's driving markets?Wall Street stocks took their cue from a strong Asian session, where the Hong Kong Hang Seng  rallied 3.2% and the China CSI 300 index  gained 1.9%.The People's Bank of China on Friday cut its rate on five-year loans, aimed at shoring up weak housing sales by cutting mortgage costs. The country has been battling COVID outbreaks, with lockdowns in industrial hubs such as Shanghai blamed for weak factory and consumer activity data in April.The S&P finished a step closer to bear-market territory on Thursday as the Russia-Ukraine war, a China slowdown, high inflation and rising interest rates have sparked concerns over corporate profits and economic growth.Down 3% or more each, major indexes are likely facing yet another week of losses. The Dow industrials is set for its eight-straight loss, which mark its longest streak in history, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are poised for their worst losing streaks since June 2011 and November, 2012, respectively. Losses have come amid concerns about whether soaring inflation can be brought under control by the Federal Reserve without derailing the economy.Earnings from major retailers this week, such as Walmart and Target reported disappointing profits, against a backdrop of rising expenses and inflation.The U.S. data calendar is empty for Friday, but next week will bring another round of inflation data, personal consumption expenditure prices excluding food and energy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}