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2022-05-26

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Fed Minutes Point to More Rate Hikes Quicker Than the Market Anticipates

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It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano","listText":"Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano","text":"Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1be4ad594d709020d91c8496e1f9e7c9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947287726","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947124768,"gmtCreate":1682693861855,"gmtModify":1682693864531,"author":{"id":"4113465354959822","authorId":"4113465354959822","authorIdStr":"4113465354959822","name":"yneymar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1639b17bc4a859e955aad4b472a08717","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113465354959822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947124768","repostId":"9947121986","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9947121986,"gmtCreate":1682691178945,"gmtModify":1682693163509,"author":{"id":"4120985713612402","authorId":"4120985713612402","authorIdStr":"4120985713612402","name":"Gary_Glover","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2d4977fca009f3c67fd23efac5e688c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120985713612402"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1653501924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149593751?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-26 02:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Minutes Point to More Rate Hikes Quicker Than the Market Anticipates","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149593751","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Fed minutes released Wednesday indicated that officials are prepared to move ahead with multiple 50 ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Fed minutes released Wednesday indicated that officials are prepared to move ahead with multiple 50 basis points interest rate increases.</li><li>In addition, the Federal Open Market Committee said policy may have to move past “neutral” and into “restrictive” territory.</li><li>The minutes indicate that members are hopeful they can bring down inflation, but also concerned about financial stability risks.</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials earlier this month stressed the need to raise interest rates quickly and possibly more than markets anticipate to tackle a burgeoning inflation problem, meeting minutes released Wednesday showed.</p><p>Not only did policymakers see the need to raise benchmark borrowing rates by 50 points, but they also said similar hikes likely would be necessary at the next several meetings.</p><p>They further noted that policy may have to move past a “neutral” stance where it is neither supportive nor restrictive of growth, an important consideration for central bankers that could echo through the economy.</p><p>“Most participants judged that 50 basis point increases in the target range would likely be appropriate at the next couple of meetings,” the minutes stated. In addition, Federal Open Market Committee members indicated that “a restrictive stance of policy may well become appropriate depending on the evolving economic outlook and the risks to the outlook.”</p><p>The May 3-4 session saw the rate-setting FOMC approve the half percentage point cut and lay out a plan, starting in June, to reduce the central bank’s $9 trillion balance sheet consisting mostly of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p>That was the biggest rate increase in 22 years and came as the Fed is trying to pull down inflation running at a 40-year high.</p><p>Market pricing currently sees the Fed moving to a policy rate around 2.5%-2.75% by the end of the year, which would be consistent with where many central bankers view a neutral rate. Statements in the minutes, though, indicate that the committee is prepared to go beyond there.</p><p>“All participants reaffirmed their strong commitment and determination to take the measures necessary to restore price stability,” the meeting summary stated.</p><p>“To this end, participants agreed that the Committee should expeditiously move the stance of monetary policy toward a neutral posture, through both increases in the target range for the federal funds rate and reductions in the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet,” it continued.</p><p>On the balance sheet issue, the plan will be to allow a capped level of proceeds to roll off each month, a number that will reach $95 billion by August, including $60 billion Treasurys and $35 billion for mortgages. The minutes further indicate that outright sale of MBS is possible, with notice of that happening well in advance.</p><p>The minutes mentioned inflation 60 times, with members expressing concern about rising prices even amid confidence that Fed policy and the easing of several contributing factors, such as supply-chain problems, combined with tighter monetary policy would help the situation. On the other hand, officials noted that the war in Ukraine and the Covid-associated lockdowns in China would exacerbate inflation.</p><p>At his post-meeting news conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell took the unusual step of addressing the American public directly to stress the central bank’s commitment to taming inflation. Last week, Powell said in a Wall Street Journal interview that it would take “clear and convincing evidence” that inflation was coming down to the Fed’s 2% target before the rate increases would stop.</p><p>Along with their resolve to bring down inflation came concerns about financial stability.</p><p>Officials expressed concern that tighter policy could cause instability in both the Treasury and commodities market. Specifically, the minutes cautioned about “the trading and risk-management practices of some key participants in commodities markets [that] were not fully visible to regulatory authorities.”</p><p>Risk-management issues “could give rise to significant liquidity demands for large banks, broker-dealers, and their clients.”</p><p>Still, officials remained committed to raising rates and reducing the balance sheet. The minutes stated that doing so would leave the Fed “well positioned later this year” to reevaluate the effect policy was having on inflation.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Minutes Point to More Rate Hikes Quicker Than the Market Anticipates</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Minutes Point to More Rate Hikes Quicker Than the Market Anticipates\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-26 02:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Fed minutes released Wednesday indicated that officials are prepared to move ahead with multiple 50 basis points interest rate increases.</li><li>In addition, the Federal Open Market Committee said policy may have to move past “neutral” and into “restrictive” territory.</li><li>The minutes indicate that members are hopeful they can bring down inflation, but also concerned about financial stability risks.</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials earlier this month stressed the need to raise interest rates quickly and possibly more than markets anticipate to tackle a burgeoning inflation problem, meeting minutes released Wednesday showed.</p><p>Not only did policymakers see the need to raise benchmark borrowing rates by 50 points, but they also said similar hikes likely would be necessary at the next several meetings.</p><p>They further noted that policy may have to move past a “neutral” stance where it is neither supportive nor restrictive of growth, an important consideration for central bankers that could echo through the economy.</p><p>“Most participants judged that 50 basis point increases in the target range would likely be appropriate at the next couple of meetings,” the minutes stated. In addition, Federal Open Market Committee members indicated that “a restrictive stance of policy may well become appropriate depending on the evolving economic outlook and the risks to the outlook.”</p><p>The May 3-4 session saw the rate-setting FOMC approve the half percentage point cut and lay out a plan, starting in June, to reduce the central bank’s $9 trillion balance sheet consisting mostly of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p>That was the biggest rate increase in 22 years and came as the Fed is trying to pull down inflation running at a 40-year high.</p><p>Market pricing currently sees the Fed moving to a policy rate around 2.5%-2.75% by the end of the year, which would be consistent with where many central bankers view a neutral rate. Statements in the minutes, though, indicate that the committee is prepared to go beyond there.</p><p>“All participants reaffirmed their strong commitment and determination to take the measures necessary to restore price stability,” the meeting summary stated.</p><p>“To this end, participants agreed that the Committee should expeditiously move the stance of monetary policy toward a neutral posture, through both increases in the target range for the federal funds rate and reductions in the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet,” it continued.</p><p>On the balance sheet issue, the plan will be to allow a capped level of proceeds to roll off each month, a number that will reach $95 billion by August, including $60 billion Treasurys and $35 billion for mortgages. The minutes further indicate that outright sale of MBS is possible, with notice of that happening well in advance.</p><p>The minutes mentioned inflation 60 times, with members expressing concern about rising prices even amid confidence that Fed policy and the easing of several contributing factors, such as supply-chain problems, combined with tighter monetary policy would help the situation. On the other hand, officials noted that the war in Ukraine and the Covid-associated lockdowns in China would exacerbate inflation.</p><p>At his post-meeting news conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell took the unusual step of addressing the American public directly to stress the central bank’s commitment to taming inflation. Last week, Powell said in a Wall Street Journal interview that it would take “clear and convincing evidence” that inflation was coming down to the Fed’s 2% target before the rate increases would stop.</p><p>Along with their resolve to bring down inflation came concerns about financial stability.</p><p>Officials expressed concern that tighter policy could cause instability in both the Treasury and commodities market. Specifically, the minutes cautioned about “the trading and risk-management practices of some key participants in commodities markets [that] were not fully visible to regulatory authorities.”</p><p>Risk-management issues “could give rise to significant liquidity demands for large banks, broker-dealers, and their clients.”</p><p>Still, officials remained committed to raising rates and reducing the balance sheet. The minutes stated that doing so would leave the Fed “well positioned later this year” to reevaluate the effect policy was having on inflation.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149593751","content_text":"Fed minutes released Wednesday indicated that officials are prepared to move ahead with multiple 50 basis points interest rate increases.In addition, the Federal Open Market Committee said policy may have to move past “neutral” and into “restrictive” territory.The minutes indicate that members are hopeful they can bring down inflation, but also concerned about financial stability risks.Federal Reserve officials earlier this month stressed the need to raise interest rates quickly and possibly more than markets anticipate to tackle a burgeoning inflation problem, meeting minutes released Wednesday showed.Not only did policymakers see the need to raise benchmark borrowing rates by 50 points, but they also said similar hikes likely would be necessary at the next several meetings.They further noted that policy may have to move past a “neutral” stance where it is neither supportive nor restrictive of growth, an important consideration for central bankers that could echo through the economy.“Most participants judged that 50 basis point increases in the target range would likely be appropriate at the next couple of meetings,” the minutes stated. In addition, Federal Open Market Committee members indicated that “a restrictive stance of policy may well become appropriate depending on the evolving economic outlook and the risks to the outlook.”The May 3-4 session saw the rate-setting FOMC approve the half percentage point cut and lay out a plan, starting in June, to reduce the central bank’s $9 trillion balance sheet consisting mostly of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.That was the biggest rate increase in 22 years and came as the Fed is trying to pull down inflation running at a 40-year high.Market pricing currently sees the Fed moving to a policy rate around 2.5%-2.75% by the end of the year, which would be consistent with where many central bankers view a neutral rate. Statements in the minutes, though, indicate that the committee is prepared to go beyond there.“All participants reaffirmed their strong commitment and determination to take the measures necessary to restore price stability,” the meeting summary stated.“To this end, participants agreed that the Committee should expeditiously move the stance of monetary policy toward a neutral posture, through both increases in the target range for the federal funds rate and reductions in the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet,” it continued.On the balance sheet issue, the plan will be to allow a capped level of proceeds to roll off each month, a number that will reach $95 billion by August, including $60 billion Treasurys and $35 billion for mortgages. The minutes further indicate that outright sale of MBS is possible, with notice of that happening well in advance.The minutes mentioned inflation 60 times, with members expressing concern about rising prices even amid confidence that Fed policy and the easing of several contributing factors, such as supply-chain problems, combined with tighter monetary policy would help the situation. On the other hand, officials noted that the war in Ukraine and the Covid-associated lockdowns in China would exacerbate inflation.At his post-meeting news conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell took the unusual step of addressing the American public directly to stress the central bank’s commitment to taming inflation. Last week, Powell said in a Wall Street Journal interview that it would take “clear and convincing evidence” that inflation was coming down to the Fed’s 2% target before the rate increases would stop.Along with their resolve to bring down inflation came concerns about financial stability.Officials expressed concern that tighter policy could cause instability in both the Treasury and commodities market. Specifically, the minutes cautioned about “the trading and risk-management practices of some key participants in commodities markets [that] were not fully visible to regulatory authorities.”Risk-management issues “could give rise to significant liquidity demands for large banks, broker-dealers, and their clients.”Still, officials remained committed to raising rates and reducing the balance sheet. The minutes stated that doing so would leave the Fed “well positioned later this year” to reevaluate the effect policy was having on 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22:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储会议纪要说了什么？更快行动，再来两次50个基点加息","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238879541","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"　　美东时间25日周三公布的会议纪要显示，本月初的美联储货币政策会议上，联储决策者强调需要为遏制通胀迅速加息，可能超出市场预期，认为需要今年6月和7月的最近两次会议都加息50个基点。联储上调近期重要通胀指标预期的行动还令外界猜测，可能今年内、下半年就结束这轮加息。　　在讨论美国经济前景时，纪要提到，美联储与会官员认为，货币政策可能不得不超过既不支持也不限制的中性水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要：美联储决策者认为，货币立场需要迅速转向更中性，超过中性水平的限制性政策可能变得适合。多数官员支持未来几次加息50个基点。多人认为，联储之前的沟通已助长金融环境收紧；可能适合未来抛售机构MBS，缩表可能影响金融市场环境。有评论称，纪要暗示加息有灵活性。</blockquote><p>美东时间25日周三公布的会议纪要显示，本月初的美联储货币政策会议上，联储决策者强调需要为遏制通胀迅速加息，可能超出市场预期，认为需要今年6月和7月的最近两次会议都加息50个基点。</p><p>在讨论美国经济前景时，纪要提到，美联储与会官员认为，货币政策可能不得不超过既不支持也不限制的中性水平。纪要称：</p><blockquote>“与会者一致认为，经济前景的不确定性高，决策应该视数据而定，着重于让通胀回到（美联储货币政策）委员会的目标2%，同时保持强劲的劳动力市场环境。<b>当前，与会者判定，关键是要迅速地转向更中性（more neutral）的货币政策立场。他们还指出，鉴于正在变化的经济前景及前景的风险，限制性的（restrictive）政策立场可能变得适合</b>。”</blockquote><p>在货币政策的决策方面，纪要提到</p><blockquote>与会者一致同意，美联储应通过加息和缩减资产负债表（缩表），“迅速地将货币政策立场转向中性。<b>大多数（most）与会者认定，未来几次（next couple of）会议可能适合都加息50个基点。</b>”</blockquote><blockquote>多名与会者认为，美联储“<b>之前的沟通已经有助于转变市场对政策前景的预期，让它更符合联储的评估，并已经助长金融环境收紧</b>。”</blockquote><p>有评论认为，本次纪要确认，美联储高官认为需要6月和7月都和本月一样加息50个基点。还有评论称，纪要暗示，美联储对重新考虑激进加息持开放态度。花旗全球市场的董事总经理Eric Merlis评论称，他从纪要中看到，联储承认，他们不会轻率地一条道走下去，他们承认情况可能变化。</p><p>而Charles Schwab的交易和衍生品董事总经理Randy Frederick认为，会议纪要几乎是一个月前的事了，市场这期间有很多时间变化，它不会真正影响任何未来的情况。</p><p>评论认为，上述预期调整意义重大。彭博的策略师Vincent Cignarella就认为，虽然大多数联储官员都认为，未来要继续几次加息50个基点，继续激进行动会让联储拥有需要时转向的灵活性，但紧缩可能根本持续不了很长时间。</p><p>Cignarell估计，<b>如果上述PCE预期准确，就暗示着，要是再来三次50个基点的加息，美联储就会结束当前的收紧货币周期，这为今年下半年一大风险反扑铺平道路</b>。</p><p>此外，针对本次纪要显示，联储工作人员上调今年上半年和明年PCE通胀预期，有评论称，如果接下来三次都加息50个基点，就结束加息周期了。</p><p>多人认为可能适合未来抛售机构MBS 缩表可能对金融市场环境有影响</p><p>本月初的美联储会议决定二十二年来首度一次加息50个基点，会后还披露了缩表的路线图，将从6月1日开始行动，最初每月最多合计缩减475亿美元、其中300亿美元美国国债、175亿美元机构抵押支持证券（MBS），三个月后，月度缩减上限提升一倍。</p><p>缩表计划显示，美联储并未选择主动抛售进行缩表，而是通过调整再投资系统公开市场账户（SOMA）所持证券的到期本金再投资规模。</p><p>本次会议纪要显示，全体美联储与会者都支持缩表计划。多名（A number of）与会者表示，在缩表完全走上正轨后，将适合美联储考虑出售机构MBS，以此让SOMA的投资组合长期内主要由美国国债构成。任何抛售机构MBS的计划都将提前公布。</p><p>在缩表相关的风险方面，多名（several）与会者指出，可能对金融市场环境有些意料之外的影响。</p><p>收紧货币可能影响金融稳定 大宗商品相关风险增加</p><p>纪要显示，谈及金融稳定的问题时，</p><blockquote>数名（several）与会者指出，美联储收紧货币政策可能和一些脆弱性相互作用，这些脆弱性有的和美国国债市场的流动性有关，有的和私人部门的金融中介能力有关。</blockquote><p>几名（A couple of）与会者指出，俄乌冲突爆发后，大宗商品相关的金融市场风险增加。冲突已导致多种能源、农产品和金属的价格上涨、并且全面波动。他们认为，对监管机构而言，一些大宗商品市场关键参与者的交易和风险管理行动不能充分可见，并指出，中央对手方（CCP）需要保持面对更高波动、以及更高保证金要求的风险管理能力。</p><p>俄乌冲突增加经济风险 迅速撤宽松对美联储有利</p><p>本月初的美联储会议声明重申，俄罗斯对乌克兰的行动“造成巨大的”经济困难，“美国经济经济所受到影响有很高的不确定性”，表示“侵袭及相关事件正在对通胀制造新的上行压力，可能也给经济活动施压。” 声明还首次提到，中国疫情“可能激化供应链干扰”。</p><p>本次纪要显示，与会者在会上指出，俄乌冲突和中国疫情让美国和全球经济的风险增加。</p><p>多名与会者认为，货币政策面临既要恢复价格稳定、又要保持劳动力市场强劲的挑战。鉴于经济前景相关的不确定性很高，与会者认定，在政策立场方面，考虑到风险管理是很重要的。多名与会者认定，迅速撤除货币宽松将让美联储今年晚些时候处于有利地位，能届时评估政策的影响，以及经济变化对政策调整有多大的保障。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储会议纪要说了什么？更快行动，再来两次50个基点加息</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储会议纪要说了什么？更快行动，再来两次50个基点加息\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-05-25 22:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要：美联储决策者认为，货币立场需要迅速转向更中性，超过中性水平的限制性政策可能变得适合。多数官员支持未来几次加息50个基点。多人认为，联储之前的沟通已助长金融环境收紧；可能适合未来抛售机构MBS，缩表可能影响金融市场环境。有评论称，纪要暗示加息有灵活性。美东时间25日周三公布的会议纪要显示，本月初的美联储货币政策会议上，联储决策者强调需要为遏制通胀迅速加息，可能超出市场预期，认为需要今年6月和7...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42d623bf2f962cffafc93d5db7d45f9c","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238879541","content_text":"摘要：美联储决策者认为，货币立场需要迅速转向更中性，超过中性水平的限制性政策可能变得适合。多数官员支持未来几次加息50个基点。多人认为，联储之前的沟通已助长金融环境收紧；可能适合未来抛售机构MBS，缩表可能影响金融市场环境。有评论称，纪要暗示加息有灵活性。美东时间25日周三公布的会议纪要显示，本月初的美联储货币政策会议上，联储决策者强调需要为遏制通胀迅速加息，可能超出市场预期，认为需要今年6月和7月的最近两次会议都加息50个基点。在讨论美国经济前景时，纪要提到，美联储与会官员认为，货币政策可能不得不超过既不支持也不限制的中性水平。纪要称：“与会者一致认为，经济前景的不确定性高，决策应该视数据而定，着重于让通胀回到（美联储货币政策）委员会的目标2%，同时保持强劲的劳动力市场环境。当前，与会者判定，关键是要迅速地转向更中性（more neutral）的货币政策立场。他们还指出，鉴于正在变化的经济前景及前景的风险，限制性的（restrictive）政策立场可能变得适合。”在货币政策的决策方面，纪要提到与会者一致同意，美联储应通过加息和缩减资产负债表（缩表），“迅速地将货币政策立场转向中性。大多数（most）与会者认定，未来几次（next couple of）会议可能适合都加息50个基点。”多名与会者认为，美联储“之前的沟通已经有助于转变市场对政策前景的预期，让它更符合联储的评估，并已经助长金融环境收紧。”有评论认为，本次纪要确认，美联储高官认为需要6月和7月都和本月一样加息50个基点。还有评论称，纪要暗示，美联储对重新考虑激进加息持开放态度。花旗全球市场的董事总经理Eric Merlis评论称，他从纪要中看到，联储承认，他们不会轻率地一条道走下去，他们承认情况可能变化。而Charles Schwab的交易和衍生品董事总经理Randy Frederick认为，会议纪要几乎是一个月前的事了，市场这期间有很多时间变化，它不会真正影响任何未来的情况。评论认为，上述预期调整意义重大。彭博的策略师Vincent Cignarella就认为，虽然大多数联储官员都认为，未来要继续几次加息50个基点，继续激进行动会让联储拥有需要时转向的灵活性，但紧缩可能根本持续不了很长时间。Cignarell估计，如果上述PCE预期准确，就暗示着，要是再来三次50个基点的加息，美联储就会结束当前的收紧货币周期，这为今年下半年一大风险反扑铺平道路。此外，针对本次纪要显示，联储工作人员上调今年上半年和明年PCE通胀预期，有评论称，如果接下来三次都加息50个基点，就结束加息周期了。多人认为可能适合未来抛售机构MBS 缩表可能对金融市场环境有影响本月初的美联储会议决定二十二年来首度一次加息50个基点，会后还披露了缩表的路线图，将从6月1日开始行动，最初每月最多合计缩减475亿美元、其中300亿美元美国国债、175亿美元机构抵押支持证券（MBS），三个月后，月度缩减上限提升一倍。缩表计划显示，美联储并未选择主动抛售进行缩表，而是通过调整再投资系统公开市场账户（SOMA）所持证券的到期本金再投资规模。本次会议纪要显示，全体美联储与会者都支持缩表计划。多名（A number of）与会者表示，在缩表完全走上正轨后，将适合美联储考虑出售机构MBS，以此让SOMA的投资组合长期内主要由美国国债构成。任何抛售机构MBS的计划都将提前公布。在缩表相关的风险方面，多名（several）与会者指出，可能对金融市场环境有些意料之外的影响。收紧货币可能影响金融稳定 大宗商品相关风险增加纪要显示，谈及金融稳定的问题时，数名（several）与会者指出，美联储收紧货币政策可能和一些脆弱性相互作用，这些脆弱性有的和美国国债市场的流动性有关，有的和私人部门的金融中介能力有关。几名（A couple of）与会者指出，俄乌冲突爆发后，大宗商品相关的金融市场风险增加。冲突已导致多种能源、农产品和金属的价格上涨、并且全面波动。他们认为，对监管机构而言，一些大宗商品市场关键参与者的交易和风险管理行动不能充分可见，并指出，中央对手方（CCP）需要保持面对更高波动、以及更高保证金要求的风险管理能力。俄乌冲突增加经济风险 迅速撤宽松对美联储有利本月初的美联储会议声明重申，俄罗斯对乌克兰的行动“造成巨大的”经济困难，“美国经济经济所受到影响有很高的不确定性”，表示“侵袭及相关事件正在对通胀制造新的上行压力，可能也给经济活动施压。” 声明还首次提到，中国疫情“可能激化供应链干扰”。本次纪要显示，与会者在会上指出，俄乌冲突和中国疫情让美国和全球经济的风险增加。多名与会者认为，货币政策面临既要恢复价格稳定、又要保持劳动力市场强劲的挑战。鉴于经济前景相关的不确定性很高，与会者认定，在政策立场方面，考虑到风险管理是很重要的。多名与会者认定，迅速撤除货币宽松将让美联储今年晚些时候处于有利地位，能届时评估政策的影响，以及经济变化对政策调整有多大的保障。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084631836,"gmtCreate":1650853645210,"gmtModify":1676534803918,"author":{"id":"4113465354959822","authorId":"4113465354959822","authorIdStr":"4113465354959822","name":"yneymar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1639b17bc4a859e955aad4b472a08717","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113465354959822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wao","listText":"Wao","text":"Wao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084631836","repostId":"1141585007","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084631955,"gmtCreate":1650853627472,"gmtModify":1676534803910,"author":{"id":"4113465354959822","authorId":"4113465354959822","authorIdStr":"4113465354959822","name":"yneymar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1639b17bc4a859e955aad4b472a08717","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113465354959822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wao","listText":"Wao","text":"Wao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084631955","repostId":"2230190141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230190141","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"关注中国基金报，即时获取深度理财资讯","home_visible":1,"media_name":"中国基金报","id":"1045836040","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1124f95a0404a8e98c2342c3c9c0de5"},"pubTimestamp":1650846238,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230190141?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-25 08:23","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"香港财政司司长陈茂波最新发声：疫情受控，经济逐步回稳","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230190141","media":"中国基金报","summary":"疫情受控 经济逐步回稳陈茂波指出，疫情防控态势向好，让香港有空间稍为放松，是中央支援、特区政府负起主体责任及社会各界团结合力所得的成果，香港必须尽全力保持这得来不易的势头。陈茂波指出，美国正面对高达约8%的通胀率，且美联储于上月中旬已加息0.25%，是三年多以来的首次。而加息对置业人士和按揭贷款质素等也将出现影响，但陈茂波表示，香港楼市借贷比率稳健。","content":"<div>\n<p>4月24日，香港财政司司长陈茂波撰写网志表示：疫情逐步受控，加上消费券效应，有助于支持香港本季经济稳步改善；但他同时提醒投资者，尽管香港本地通胀率相对温和，但仍应审慎管理潜在风险，特别需要时刻警惕“风高浪急的外围环境”。（来源：香港财政司司长办公室网页-司长随笔）疫情受控  经济逐步回稳陈茂波指出，疫情防控态势向好，让香港有空间稍为放松，是中央支援、特区政府负起主体责任及社会各界团结合力所得的成果...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n香港财政司司长陈茂波最新发声：疫情受控，经济逐步回稳\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-04-25 08:23 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>中国基金报</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>4月24日，香港财政司司长陈茂波撰写网志表示：疫情逐步受控，加上消费券效应，有助于支持香港本季经济稳步改善；但他同时提醒投资者，尽管香港本地通胀率相对温和，但仍应审慎管理潜在风险，特别需要时刻警惕“风高浪急的外围环境”。（来源：香港财政司司长办公室网页-司长随笔）疫情受控  经济逐步回稳陈茂波指出，疫情防控态势向好，让香港有空间稍为放松，是中央支援、特区政府负起主体责任及社会各界团结合力所得的成果...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93cd9a1b7ca235b465c66943d1cfe6c9","relate_stocks":{"HSCEI":"国企指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSI":"恒生指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230190141","content_text":"4月24日，香港财政司司长陈茂波撰写网志表示：疫情逐步受控，加上消费券效应，有助于支持香港本季经济稳步改善；但他同时提醒投资者，尽管香港本地通胀率相对温和，但仍应审慎管理潜在风险，特别需要时刻警惕“风高浪急的外围环境”。（来源：香港财政司司长办公室网页-司长随笔）疫情受控  经济逐步回稳陈茂波指出，疫情防控态势向好，让香港有空间稍为放松，是中央支援、特区政府负起主体责任及社会各界团结合力所得的成果，香港必须尽全力保持这得来不易的势头。他进一步表示，部分经济指标的改善仍需要时间，因为不少企业及人员仍承受着过去疫情造成的经济压力和打击，他们实际面对的生活压力仍需要持续稳定的环境和足够的时间才能逐步缓解。根据香港特区政府统计处于4月21日公布的数据显示，香港2022年1月至3月经季节性调整的失业率为5%，较2021年12月至2022年2月显著上升0.5个百分点，失业人数增加逾2.7万人，总失业人数增加到18.8万人；分行业来看，餐饮业失业率升高2.6个百分点至11%；零售业失业率则升至7.7%，上升了1.4个百分点；就业不足率上升0.8个百分点至3.1%。针对以上数字，陈茂波表示，虽然现在经济势头开始好转，但下月中发表的2至4月份失业率，仍然将反映第五波疫情的困难情况，因此失业率还需要时间才会掉头回落。事实上，随着香港本地新增病例数字不断下降，香港实施了数个月的严厉社交距离措施正在开始分阶段逐步放宽。根据香港特区政府此前公布的解封路线图，香港于4月21日开始首阶段放宽社交距离措施，餐厅晚市恢复堂食，健身房、美容院、主题公园等一系列场所重新开放。主要放宽具体措施包括：食肆堂食延至晚上10时，每桌最多4人；重开大部分表列处所；限聚令建议放宽至4人；取消限制两户以上在私人地方聚会；恢复不超过30人本地游；维持口罩令。（来源：添马台Tamar Talk）香港特区政府劳工及福利局局长罗致光此前也表示，劳工市场短期内将继续受压，但近期本地疫情缓和，加上新一轮消费券发放，消费相关行业的业务应会逐步改善，从而帮助就业。此外，特区政府推出多项纾缓措施支援企业和保障员工就业，包括即将展开的“2022年保就业”计划。他呼吁社会各界齐心合力支持抗疫，以期令本地疫情尽快受控。美国进入加息周期不会影响香港的金融和货币稳定审慎管理外围潜在风险陈茂波表示，虽然目前香港经济逐步回稳，本地通胀率仍属于相对温和，但仍必须时刻警惕风高浪急的外围环境，特别是地缘政治局势和息率的走势。根据香港特区政府统计处4月22日公布数据显示，3月综合消费物价指数按年升1.7%，较2月1.6%的升幅为高；剔除政府单次纾困措施影响，基本通胀率同为1.7%，高于1、2月份的1.5%合计平均升幅。陈茂波指出，美国正面对高达约8%的通胀率，且美联储于上月中旬已加息0.25%，是三年多以来的首次。而根据美联储官员最近的言论，市场普遍预计美国今年内可能会进一步大幅加息以应对高企的通胀，投资市场正密切关注各经济体的息率调整及货币之间的息差变化，以及其对全球经济、资金流向、资产价格变化及金融市场波动的影响。陈茂波称，在联系汇率制度下，美国加息将传导至本港，息率难免跟随向上，但港息实际上调的速度也会受本地资金存量所影响。他指出，从2008年全球金融危机至2015年期间流入香港的合共1万亿元的资金，大部份仍留在本港。他强调，美国进入加息周期不会影响香港的金融和货币稳定。联系汇率制度实施接近四十年来经历过多次经济及利息周期，一直行之有效。陈茂波说，可以预期，随着美元加息，港美息差扩阔，触发套戥活动，港元汇率会触及7.85弱方兑换保证，资金会从港元市场流出，而港元息率亦可能按市场情况上调，这是联汇制度的设计，是正常现象。而香港有庞大的货币基础（2.2万亿）作资金流出的缓冲。而加息对置业人士和按揭贷款质素等也将出现影响，但陈茂波表示，香港楼市借贷比率稳健。他援引香港金管局的资料称，目前香港过半数住宅物业业主没有按揭贷款，而银行按揭贷款人的平均供款与入息比率在八轮宏观审慎措施下处于36%的低水平，按揭贷款人亦经过压力测试，有抵御利率上升的能力。至于资产价格方面，陈茂波说，无论股市或楼市，除了息率变化，其他如供求因素、市场对宏观经济前景的预期及投资情绪等，都会左右其发展，在通胀升温及息率掉头回升之际，投资者还是以审慎管理潜在风险为上策。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187673305337984,"gmtCreate":1686846492295,"gmtModify":1686846496068,"author":{"id":"4113465354959822","authorId":"4113465354959822","authorIdStr":"4113465354959822","name":"yneymar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1639b17bc4a859e955aad4b472a08717","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113465354959822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dndmdmsmmddmdmcmdmmddmdm","listText":"Dndmdmsmmddmdmcmdmmddmdm","text":"Dndmdmsmmddmdmcmdmmddmdm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187673305337984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927102985,"gmtCreate":1672412645249,"gmtModify":1676538687847,"author":{"id":"4113465354959822","authorId":"4113465354959822","authorIdStr":"4113465354959822","name":"yneymar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1639b17bc4a859e955aad4b472a08717","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113465354959822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rnrndndndkd","listText":"Rnrndndndkd","text":"Rnrndndndkd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927102985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}