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2023-03-05

The Tesla Story Goes On

Investment ThesisOn the recent investor day, Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) reaffirmed its long-term goal to sell 20 million vehicles annually, which justifiably many analysts still question. Moreover, the ability of Tesla to scale should result in stronger long-term free cashflow generation, which was my key lesson learned from the event. Therefore, with a stronger FCF and less debt, we might see the initiation of a share repurchase program.Close to the 2022 year-end, we opened a long position for TSLA in the model portfolio, handsomely returning nearly 64% in two months. Even though it might be a good trimming point, TSLA has more upside. I maintain the long position for the short term, as several catalysts, such as a repurchase program announcement, a margin expansion, or a delivery vol
The Tesla Story Goes On
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2023-04-06

Tesla Vs. NIO: An Electrified Battle

SummaryEV leaders NIO Inc. and Tesla, Inc. are concentrating on product portfolios and operational efficiencies to drive long-term success and edge out EV competition.Tesla's investor day unveiled a next-generation platform to cut costs and support various vehicle types for an annual production of 20 million units with improved operator density and simplified manufacturing.NIO gears up for H1 2023 with five new models, while soft gross margin challenges persist due to rising operating expenses and promotional activities.Tesla's buy rating is reaffirmed on substantial operational efficiencies through its Next-Gen Platform and positive delivery outlook.Since the start of 2023, NIO has been down 5.5%, and its suppressed valuation and positive outlook offer a more attractive risk/reward profil
Tesla Vs. NIO: An Electrified Battle
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2023-04-28

Tencent Vs. Baidu: Bet Big On AI

SummaryTencent eyes AI investment, and Baidu expects an online ad rebound with AI-powered chatbots and cloud services.Tencent sees AI as a growth multiplier, with recent industry breakthroughs enhancing product innovation and expanding into new opportunities. Splitting up the company may lead to greater efficiencies.Baidu expects a rebound in online advertising with AI-powered chatbots and cloud services. ERNIE Bot has the potential to reshape information presentation and enhance monetization opportunities for advertisers.TCEHY earns a strong buy rating as it sets up for a positive P/E multiple rerating in the near future, while BIDU earns a buy rating in light of a continuing recovery in the second half of 2023.da-kuk/E+ via Getty ImagesInvestment ThesisChina's tech giants are bettin
Tencent Vs. Baidu: Bet Big On AI
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2023-03-09

BlackBerry's Reversal Of Fortune

Investment ThesisBlackBerry Limited (NYSE:BB) is enduring cyclic adversities in its financial performance and market valuations. As a result of a negative forecast for the fiscal fourth-quarter performance, BB shares plunged13%. However, its long-term fundamentals suggest anupside potential over the coming years.Indeed, the cybersecurity business is having a terrible year, exposing the firm's challenges, while the auto segment remains the growth catalyst for BlackBerry's business. Nevertheless, the pullback has created an attractive entry point, and BB is a speculative buy for the short term.BlackBerry's Financial Performance & OutlookBlackBerry's revenue isexpected to declineby around 16% in the fiscal year 2023 compared to theprevious year, based on a preliminary
BlackBerry's Reversal Of Fortune
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2023-03-14

JPMorgan: Why I Think It Can Weather The Storm

Investment ThesisLast week, bank shares significantly dropped when SVB Financial Group (SIVB) announced they must take several "strategic initiatives". As a result, SVB is one of the first banks since the financial crisis of 2008 that has actually experienced a liquidity shortage, forcing it to reorganize the balance sheet and recognize losses on its securities portfolios aside from crypto-related meltdowns.Unless you have a crystal ball, it is impossible to predict when these risks will materialize and the extent of the impact. Investors are now worried that other banks might experience problems similar to those at SVB, causing a contagion effect. Following the global financial crisis, larger banks' regulations have been much tighter, and banks must undergo annual stress tests to dem
JPMorgan: Why I Think It Can Weather The Storm
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2022-09-14

AMD: Building Resilience Amidst Economic Uncertainty

· Despite the semiconductor headwinds, AMD's acquisitions of Xilinx and Pensando can lead to best-in-class growth, offsetting the projected weakness in gaming over the next year. · AMD remains on track on its new product roadmap, and the upcoming 4nm-based Zen 5 launch in 2024 targets more performance gains with further optimization for AI workloads. · AMD is improving its competitiveness across CPU and GPU products with Ryzen, EPYC, and Radeon Vega platforms, expanding its market share. · Despite the worsening macroeconomic environment and the escalating US-China tensions, AMD is a strong buy at current levels. Investment ThesisAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. $AMD(AMD)$ , it's a stock I always avoided due to the hype and overvaluatio
AMD: Building Resilience Amidst Economic Uncertainty
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2022-10-02

Intel: Why I Remain Invested

Launching on October 20th, Intel's 13th-gen "Raptor Lake" CPU line-up enhances the company's competitiveness in the market. Intel's enhanced competitive position in cloud computing increases the likelihood of raising its average selling prices without significant share loss. The recent $30 billion joint investment partnership supports the company's "smart capital" strategy. While I don't expect any big jump for INTC in the near term, the current environment offers an excellent opportunity for patient long-term investors to accumulate shares. Investment ThesisIt is hard to stomach a value investment such as Intel$Intel(INTC)$ that keeps falling to all-time lows; the big question is, where does it end? The company's stock has crashed, underperf
Intel: Why I Remain Invested
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2022-10-05

Meta: The Negative Outlook And Why I Stay Long

META's growth stays challenging as advertising budgets shrink amidst a slowing economy. Lower monetization of Reels to weigh on the company's profitability in the near term. The company's paid features could become significant revenue contributors in the long term. Apple's advertising platform's competition poses a high risk to META's ad revenues. META at current levels offers a fair margin of safety which will prove fruitful over the next 1-2 years. Investment ThesisMeta Platforms, Inc.$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ has been going through a brutal sell-off since the start of the year, and the never-ending challenges will likely move the stock sideways for the foreseeable future. Undoubtedly, the cyclical nature of the advertising business will weig
Meta: The Negative Outlook And Why I Stay Long
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2022-09-27

A Dive Into The Housing Market: Lennar Is One Of My Top Picks

On a short-term view (1-2 years), the housing market is still undergoing a reset that should persist throughout 2023; however, a crash scenario is remote. Inevitably, high mortgage rates, supply chain constraints, and falling affordability ultimately drive home prices down. Nevertheless, housing demand is high, and accounting for the historically low house inventory levels that cause a significant demand and supply imbalance, the long-term housing outlook is bright. Favorable demographic trends include an influx of first-time homeowners which will deter a significant correction in housing prices. Lennar Corp has solid incentives and pricing structures to ride out the turbulent market environment, earning the buy rating. Research ThesisWe have analyzed the state of the housin
A Dive Into The Housing Market: Lennar Is One Of My Top Picks
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2022-10-08

GoPro: A Transformational Play

The high-growth rate of the subscriber base continues to be an incremental positive for the company's gross margins. Even though churn rates are not publicly available, we can make a reasonable expectation for the success of the $49.99/year subscription by performing a cost-and-benefit analysis; the results are encouraging. The company continues to offset stock-based compensations through the buy-back of outstanding shares. GPRO's positive developments and the effectiveness of its new strategy are evident, supporting the strong buy rating.Investment ThesisEven though GoPro, Inc.$GoPro(GPRO)$ has shown considerable progress lately, the market waits for more validation before sending the stock to new highs. Despite being a bit early to declare
GoPro: A Transformational Play
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2023-06-06

Palantir: Profit Booking

SummaryPalantir has experienced significant growth, with a return of around 114% since the portfolio doubled down on the company, but the stock now trades around its fair value.The AI hype, driven by companies like Nvidia, has lifted the market's valuations of AI stocks contributing to PLTR's outperformance.Palantir has ambitious plans to release its AIP, emphasizing its potential in commercial and military applications.The Fed's monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rates, could affect the value of the AI sector, making it vital for investors to monitor the following actions.Artificial Intelligence. ConceptInvestment ThesisSince I doubled down on Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) in November for the personal and Yiazou model portfolios, PLTR has skyrocketed to new 52-week
Palantir: Profit Booking
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2023-04-04

Alibaba: Road To $160

Alibaba Group is undergoing organizational reform, establishing six major divisions under the company.The restructuring plan, coupled with the reappearance of Jack Ma, suggests that the Chinese government is ready to ease pressure on tech firms.The Chinese e-commerce market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12% between 2023 and 2027 with a return to post-COVID normalcy, increased adoption of digital technologies, and spending.Based on the Sum Of The Parts Valuation Model, Alibaba Group remains undervalued by ~$159 billion, suggesting a target price of ~$160.Jack Ma Awards Rural Teachers In Western ChinaInvestment Thesis & UpdatesThe plan to divide Alibaba Group Holding Limited $Alibaba(BABA)$ $
Alibaba: Road To $160
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2022-09-05

Alibaba could come out stronger than ever

China is in the middle of a pivotal change for its international capital markets through the stock market connection mechanism. The odds of a delisting scenario have been improved in favor of BABA. There is light at the end of the tunnel, and we are getting closer to a new pivotal phase for the international markets, where Alibaba could come out stronger than ever. The relatively low implied volatility for Chinese companies listed in the US indicates that most risks are already factored into BABA's stock. I remain very bullish on Alibaba$Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ shares on the Hong Kong Exchange (9988), making it the largest position in my highly concentrated portfolio. This is an investment I p
Alibaba could come out stronger than ever
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2023-03-10

Nvidia Vs. AMD: A Clear Choice

Market Outlook & Investment ThesisIn October 2022, the Biden administration introduced export sanctionson specific technologies, including integrated circuits and wafer fabrication equipment for semiconductor chips. The impact of these export sanctions was significant in the integrated circuits and wafer fabrication equipment industries. NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) estimated that its quarterly revenue could dip by $400 million if Chinese buyers were excluded, which caused its stock price to plummet. The new regulations will be phased in before full implementation in September 2023, so Nvidia will have time to adjust to the new regulatory environment.Shortly before the announcement in October, all semiconductor stocks were declining, but NVDA has suffered the most wi
Nvidia Vs. AMD: A Clear Choice
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2023-03-22

Intel: Buying At The Point Of Maximum Pessimism

SummaryIn the middle of a cyclical downturn, it's always darkest before dawn, and we might have reached the optimum pessimism levels for Intel.The cost reduction efforts to prove effective over the long run support the company in achieving its master plan to regain its leadership or at least catch up with the competition.Moreover, the stock has shown strong support levels slightly above its book value per share of $24.50, signaling a bottom.I'm staying invested in INTC, with a possible exit in the next cyclical uptrend around 2025-2026.jiefeng jiangInvestment Thesis   $Intel(INTC)$ On the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index, Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) has the highest percentage of sell ratings, and its stock remains on a downward trajectory
Intel: Buying At The Point Of Maximum Pessimism
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2022-05-04

Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting 2022 - Key Takeaways 📈

On Saturday, Berkshire Hathaway concluded its first in-person annual meeting since 2019 as the pandemic forced the company to conduct its last two annual meetings online. Warren Buffett and his long-time partner and friend, Charlie Munger, spoke for hours, answering shareholders' queries and commenting on wide-ranging topics ranging from their views on the current macro-environment to their skepticism of bitcoin.The duo also discussed its performance and revealed Berkshire's significant investments during the first quarter while adding their characteristic folksy anecdotes on investing and life. In today's article, I summarize some of the key takeaways from the meeting.Source: Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger at press conference during the Berkshire Hathaway Share
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting 2022 - Key Takeaways 📈
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2023-03-16

Vale Vs. Rio: Time To Get Out

Investment ThesisVale S.A. (NYSE:VALE) and Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO) enjoyed strong returns in January due to China's reopening, but the bull run was short-lived. As a result, I have booked profits for VALE and disposed of all my position after hitting my target price of $17. I consider that both stocks have reached their fair value with little upside potential from current levels.Data byYChartsRecovery In China To Boost Iron Ore DemandThe Chinese economy is poised to recover after the Government's recent initiatives, and there is clear room for Chinese base metals demand to rebound from the depressed level of 2022. I expect the combination of a more pro-growth policy stance from the Chinese authority and a quick rollback of COVID Zero measures to trigger a rebound in Chinese demand
Vale Vs. Rio: Time To Get Out
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2023-09-19

Palantir: Leading The Game

Kevin Dietsch Investment Thesis Despite Palantir Technologies' (NYSE:PLTR) revenue growth of 13% year-over-year in Q2 and management's forecast of 16% in Q3, the market expects more for a company seen as a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) space, especially compared to its stronger growth rates in prior years. The deceleration in growth can be partly attributed to the high cost of Palantir's software, coupled with a relatively small customer base of just 421 clients. I am also concerned about why Palantir did not disclose the breakdown in commercial and government segments for its customer count in Q2, as they used to do until now. Nevertheless, following my last
Palantir: Leading The Game
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2023-03-28

Bank of America: A Safe Haven Amidst Banking Turbulence

SummaryBank of America is perceived as a safe haven for depositors amid the instability of the banking industry.Bank of America is performing well, focusing on innovation and technology, but faces challenges such as bond portfolio losses and legal and regulatory issues.The current crisis is less complex than the 2008 crisis, with stricter rules for healthier banks.Nevertheless, the crisis could prompt a lasting change, leading to market consolidation with some regional lenders shutting down.Brandon Bell/Getty Images NewsInvestment ThesisAmid the instability and contagion fears currently roiling the banking industry, Bank of America Corporation (NYSE:BAC) is emerging as a safe haven for investors seeking stability. In today's analysis, we explore the factors that canset Bank of America back
Bank of America: A Safe Haven Amidst Banking Turbulence
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2022-09-22

Apple: A Wonderful Company At A Fair Price

· Apple's unchanged pricing suggests steady profit margins, but amidst the current uncertain environment, it will provide strong support for maintaining or exceeding its sales targets. · Apple Services remains the key to high single-digit margin and sales expansion, pushing operating margins closer to the 30% mark. · Despite the expected flat unit shipments, AAPL's attractive valuation and strong brand moat support the buy rating to navigate the current bear market.  Investment ThesisDespite the gloomy macroeconomic outlook and the ongoing bear market, Apple Inc. $Apple(AAPL)$ has remained relatively flat YTD, proving its resiliency in the market. The hotter-than-expected inflation, with more aggressive rate hikes, has create
Apple: A Wonderful Company At A Fair Price

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