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2022-08-17

Finally! Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this

Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split

2022-08-16

Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.

SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning

2022-07-28

Thanks! Totally worth it!

U.S. Consumers Are "Trading Down." How to Play It With Options

2022-07-26

Thanks. This worth the time reading it.

Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this&nbsp;","listText":"Finally! Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this&nbsp;","text":"Finally! Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993448360","repostId":"1194186485","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194186485","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660717100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194186485?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-17 14:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194186485","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Dow and S&P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from $Walmart(WMT)$ and $Home Depot(HD)$ bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.</p><p>There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><h3>1、Communication Services Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">NFLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">ASTS</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">RBLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">GOOGL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">ROKU</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTN\">GTN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">VZ</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdd14dca0b7eda0758aff0ce04e3b8d6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><ul><li>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.</li></ul><ul><li>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.</li></ul><p><b>Related News</b></p><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FuboTV</a>: The watchword of the company&#39;s various presentations was its plans for a &#34;path to profitability,&#34; which culminated in a late setup from the company&#39;s chief financial officer.&#34;We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,&#34; said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd.</a> posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</li></ul><h3>2、Information Technology Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\"></b>NVDA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">PAYX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">MSFT</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">MARA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">ORCL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">AAPL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">RGTI</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">CRM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PYPL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaffbec980ebd419260074773b37aa56\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVDA</a>, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would &#34;prefer to move to the sidelines&#34; given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.</p><h3>3、Consumer Discretionary Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">AMZN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLAR\">CLAR</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">CURV</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">F</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">CVNA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">PTON</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">LOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">CCL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cddf50dff9e6d9887831a1f9c677a1\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath &amp; Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Option traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4f0f5965054fe24d44c68b931b43481\" tg-width=\"1870\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.</p><h2>High Call/Put Volume</h2><p><b>High Call Pct</b></p><p>There are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d35aea043806c382796f205f76125467\" tg-width=\"1569\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p><b>High Put Pct</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e95c8163c42552a59500f204e34dd8d\" tg-width=\"1877\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.</p><h2>Option Implied Volatility Rankings</h2><p>Implied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8ee32aa8a49dc28f1e41348c38af6e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.</p><p>Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-17 14:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.</p><p>There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><h3>1、Communication Services Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">NFLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">ASTS</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">RBLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">GOOGL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">ROKU</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTN\">GTN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">VZ</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdd14dca0b7eda0758aff0ce04e3b8d6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><ul><li>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.</li></ul><ul><li>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.</li></ul><p><b>Related News</b></p><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FuboTV</a>: The watchword of the company&#39;s various presentations was its plans for a &#34;path to profitability,&#34; which culminated in a late setup from the company&#39;s chief financial officer.&#34;We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,&#34; said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd.</a> posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</li></ul><h3>2、Information Technology Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\"></b>NVDA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">PAYX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">MSFT</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">MARA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">ORCL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">AAPL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">RGTI</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">CRM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PYPL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaffbec980ebd419260074773b37aa56\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVDA</a>, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would &#34;prefer to move to the sidelines&#34; given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.</p><h3>3、Consumer Discretionary Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">AMZN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLAR\">CLAR</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">CURV</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">F</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">CVNA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">PTON</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">LOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">CCL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cddf50dff9e6d9887831a1f9c677a1\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath &amp; Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Option traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4f0f5965054fe24d44c68b931b43481\" tg-width=\"1870\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.</p><h2>High Call/Put Volume</h2><p><b>High Call Pct</b></p><p>There are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d35aea043806c382796f205f76125467\" tg-width=\"1569\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p><b>High Put Pct</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e95c8163c42552a59500f204e34dd8d\" tg-width=\"1877\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.</p><h2>Option Implied Volatility Rankings</h2><p>Implied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8ee32aa8a49dc28f1e41348c38af6e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.</p><p>Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","FUBO":"fuboTV Inc.","NFLX":"奈飞","NVDA":"英伟达","TSLA":"特斯拉","SE":"Sea Ltd","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194186485","content_text":"The Dow and S&P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from Walmart and Home Depot bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.Unusual Options Activity1、Communication Services StocksTop 10: META, FUBO, SE, NFLX, ASTS, RBLX, GOOGL, ROKU, GTN, VZSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityRegarding META, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.For FUBO, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.Related NewsFuboTV: The watchword of the company's various presentations was its plans for a \"path to profitability,\" which culminated in a late setup from the company's chief financial officer.\"We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,\" said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.Sea Ltd. posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.2、Information Technology StocksTop 10: NVDA, PAYX, SNOW, MSFT, MARA, ORCL, AAPL, RGTI, CRM, PYPLSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityRegarding NVDA, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.Regarding SNOW, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.Related NewsSNOW: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would \"prefer to move to the sidelines\" given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.3、Consumer Discretionary StocksTop 10: BBBY, TSLA, AMZN, CLAR, CURV, F, CVNA, PTON, LOW, CCLSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityFor BBBY, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.Regarding TSLA, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.Related NewsTesla: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.BBBY: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath & Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.Top 10 Option VolumesOption traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.Source: MarketchameleonNote: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.High Call/Put VolumeHigh Call PctThere are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.Source: MarketchameleonHigh Put PctSource: MarketchameleonNote: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.Option Implied Volatility RankingsImplied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.Source: MarketchameleonNote: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993318420,"gmtCreate":1660624100862,"gmtModify":1676536368158,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.","listText":"Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.","text":"Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993318420","repostId":"2259709390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259709390","pubTimestamp":1660625893,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259709390?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 12:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259709390","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but decl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Stocks have retraced a little over half of this year&#39;s decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.</li><li>However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks were nearly 15% cheaper. Prices are increasingly disconnected from fundamentals.</li><li>Common sense strategies to protect your portfolio when stocks are overvalued.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb16b223a109633d0598125e71850484\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"739\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TonyBaggett/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has rallied sharply since mid-June, driven by better-than-feared earnings and the price of gasoline falling. Market bulls like BMO&#39;s Brian Belski have called for stocks to surge to all-time highs, while bears like Michael Burry and Jamie Dimon have sounded the alarm to expect a futile bear market rally. Interestingly, the stock market and the bond market are in increasing disagreement over the path of the economy. Stocks have rallied sharply, indicating investor optimism in the economy, while Treasury yields have plunged as massive bets come in on a deepening U.S. and global recession. And bad news has been good news as weak economic data has the market betting that the Fed will be forced to cut rates and do more QE in an attempt to jack up stock prices. So is it time to go on offense or to use the current rally to find shelter?</p><p>In the long run, it&#39;s a bull&#39;s world. If you look at how wealth is created, by and large, people who get rich do so from owning businesses or getting hefty stock grants in public companies. Nobody is buying $5-$10 million beachfront homes by investing in CDs! But history also shows that simply sitting and buying index funds has failed in a lot of countries&#39; stock markets over the last 25 years. There are clear warning signs in the economy right now that suggest that buy-and-hold regardless of price, may not be a very effective strategy going forward.</p><p><b>Structural Problems With The U.S. Economy</b></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has rallied sharply over the past five years while growth has slowed below trend and wage growth has stalled. Wages are actually trailing inflation by about 3.6% annually over the last year. Despite a bit of month-over-month improvement, this is a red flag for index earnings going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b0543002164941d875dcfa71f132c03\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY data by YCharts</span></p><p>How could this be? Tax cuts, stimulus, and QE have more than made up the difference for consumers facing stagnant wages. But the problem is that none of this is sustainable. During this time, government debt went from a little unsustainable for the US to a major problem, with debt now around 125% of GDP. Borrowing more is showing that will result in the classic economic problems of &#34;crowding out,&#34; while trying to monetize the debt by forcing the Fed to buy it causes runaway inflation. It&#39;s a lose-lose.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d9865a046c2bfebf7f0722c6cb8cb6\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Budget Deficit (Wikipedia)</span></p><p>To this point, the government debt situation is actually even worse than it looks because they&#39;re on the hook for a massive amount of underfunded entitlement spending that&#39;s tied to inflation. Birth rates have continued their grinding downtrend–and as America rapidly ages, it&#39;s going to be really hard to avoid ending up in the same boat as Japan and Europe, which have seen 20 years of sideways stock markets. In any case, taxes need to go up and spending needs to go down, taking away the secret sauce from index fund investors.</p><p>If you have a great business, your tax rate going from say, 30% to 50% will slow you down, but won&#39;t block your path to getting rich. However, debt and demographics are going to be a huge headwind for the overall market trading at a high valuation. If stocks are going to go up, they&#39;re going to have to do it the old-fashioned way-by increasing productivity. Technology does continue to improve, allowing us to do more with fewer workers. The stock market boom was driven by stimulus, QE, and tax cuts, all of which are dead and gone. On the other hand, increasing productivity is actually a very incremental process with no shortcuts, but it creates sustainable growth. In the long run, I think things will be okay. But all of this points to stock returns being much lower over the next 10 years than they were over the last 10. And while Europe and Japan still face this same demographic/debt problem, the difference between their markets and ours is that ours is a lot more expensive!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f63b573d3d9c7983ae258907103d65f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Vs. World Valuation (Yardeni Research)</span></p><p>A quick glance at the top 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 reveals just how expensive mega caps are. Paying huge multiples on earnings for tech companies has never really worked before-not in the Go-Go 1960s, nor in thedot-com boomin the late 1990s. Will the third time be the charm, or is this yet another widely ignored warning sign? Of these stocks, the only ones trading close to fair value in my opinion are Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are discounting rates of return that have historically been impossible for large companies, and Apple (AAPL) is trading for nearly triple the multiple it did 5-7 years ago.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16b8d00ddaac26cb964ff7f263285137\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY PE Ratios (E-Trade)</span></p><p>My hope here is that investors can see that nothing that has happened since June has structurally fixed the long-term economic problems that we face, and mega-cap stocks remain very expensive on a historical basis. With rising taxes and higher rates, they&#39;re not going to be able to grow their after-tax earnings nearly as fast as exuberant investors believe. Therefore, my base case is very low returns over the next decade unless stocks fall to levels where you&#39;re getting a more reasonable compensation for your risk (roughly a ~20-25% lower price on the S&amp;P 500). Otherwise, you&#39;re almost taking this long-term risk for free, because if tax cuts and stimulus can&#39;t drive the market anymore, the price is not anywhere near where the fundamentals need it to be.</p><p><b>Will The Fed Bail Out Stocks?</b></p><p>Markets have rallied sharply since June. There are two main reasons that this is so. One reason is earnings being a bit better than feared, but the main reason is that investors have begun to price a more friendly Fed.</p><p>This graph from Bridgewater shows the situation through Mid-June- roughly when markets bottomed.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28c01ee451b82575665b882f22ca23f6\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Earnings Vs. Multiples (Bridgewater)</span></p><p>Nearly all of the move down in stocks was driven by a decrease in the multiple of the S&amp;P 500, and not by earnings estimates being revised down. The market generally leads earnings estimates down, but it&#39;s really rare for there to be as big of a gap between what analysts think businesses are capable of earning and the price the market assigns to stocks. Similarly, there&#39;s a huge gap in what the bond market sees (big recession bets) and what stocks see (nirvana). For what it&#39;s worth, I don&#39;t think earnings will hold up with the underlying fuel of stimulus removed, and the realization that earnings aren&#39;t invincible will push multiples lower as well. Far more of consumers&#39; incomes in 2021 was stimulus than is commonly appreciated. Cutting spending to adjust to what they actually earn is going to be an issue. This doesn&#39;t really jibe with earnings estimates for this Christmas expected to top last year, which crushed 2019&#39;s record. Wages are trailing inflation. Without stimulus, it&#39;s not clear where people will get the money to make this the strongest holiday season ever as Wall Street is betting on.</p><p>The Fed has repeatedly said that it&#39;s not willing to cut rates to bail out stocks. On a near-daily basis, someone from the Fed will be on TV saying they want financial conditions to tighten. However, since June, financial conditions have done nothing but loosen. The markets insist on fighting the Fed, emboldened by the 2010s experience of the Fed rescuing the market every time it stubbed a toe. The trouble for the Fed is that financial conditions are how they steer the economy. The more the market bets on rate cuts and bids up stock prices, the less likely the Fed is to actually do it. The Fed is likely going to have to call the market&#39;s bluff. There&#39;s no evidence that the Biden administration is going to pressure the Fed to cut rates, and the entire country is pretty much in agreement that money needs to be tighter. Yet the bets continue to pour in on steep rate cuts that no one wants the Fed to do. Crazy!</p><p>July CPI wasn&#39;t as bad as feared, but a large part of why it wasn&#39;t was because the market actually was taking the Fed seriously in June, and financial conditions had tightened. Higher mortgage rates, higher credit spreads, and lower stock prices all worked in concert to help bring inflation down. Now with the market defying the Fed, the Fed has to find a way to get financial conditions to tighten again, and none of this points to a bailout of stocks, a resumption of QE, or cutting rates back to zero.</p><p>In the 1970s, the Fed cut rates as soon as the data got a bit better, and every time they did, inflation roared back stronger than before. Getting inflation down this time is not going to take two months, and people betting on the Fed to pivot need to realize that if they&#39;re right, the recession will be deep enough that their stocks will be far lower than the prices they&#39;re paying now.</p><p><b>How To Invest When Stocks Are Overvalued</b></p><p>I&#39;ve recently written that US stocks are 20-25% overvalued at current prices and that the bottom likely isn&#39;t in. However, scaring you isn&#39;t useful unless you can actually do something productive with it. Instead, I&#39;d like to give you strategies that you can use in a falling market so you&#39;re staking everything on US stocks bucking the trend of structural weakness seen in Europe and Japan after their debt gets big and their population starts to get old.</p><p><b>1. Take inventory of other asset classes and see what could be undervalued.</b></p><p>After taking inventory, you have a roadmap to diversify across asset classes and tilt towards what you think offers better compensation. During the dot-com bubble, bonds were severely undervalued, and cash offered nearly the same return as stocks. Moreover, small caps and non-tech stocks had better valuations than the stupid prices that mega-cap tech had at the time. In 2007, bonds and cash saved the day again. Late 2021 was a little trickier because stocks and bonds were both objectively overvalued, and cash paid zero. Similarly, real estate was at its most overvalued level ever early this year and is now starting to correct.</p><p>To take a basic inventory here, the S&amp;P 500 is 20-25% overvalued, but small caps (IJR) areabout at fair value. Similarly, most real estate markets in the US areovervalued by 10% to 40%. Treasury bonds (TLT) are overvalued by about 15% (without the Fed manipulating it,the fair yieldon the 30-year should be about 4%, or ~2% real yield and 2% long-term inflation compensation for Treasuries broadly). Preferred stocks (PFFD) are roughly at fair value. International stocks (VEA) might be a tad below their fair value with heightened uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. How I&#39;m getting these numbers is a topic for another article, but I&#39;m basing stock valuations on earnings yields and guessing profit growth numbers, and basing bond yields on inflation and credit risk. The main point here is to get the heck away from concentrating all of your money on mega-cap tech names. Not a lot is undervalued at the moment, but some areas of the market are priced rather fairly, while others are badly overpriced.</p><p><b>2. Consider whether holding cash is worth it for you.</b></p><p>3-month T-bills are now paying 2.6% with rock-solid liquidity. You can buy them through your broker. And in three months, you can roll into more T-bills at a higher rate. I think they&#39;ll be paying 4% with no risk by year-end as the Fed tries to slow down the party. Given the structural problems present with the US economy, I&#39;d think about taking this until valuations make more sense. The Fed is only going to keep hiking until inflation is under control. For reference, stocks are priced to return maybe 8.5% annually, so getting half the return for none of the risk with the upside of getting even more if the Fed is forced to slam on the brakes appeals to me. I bonds can fill in here too, if you&#39;re married you can toss $20,000 in for the year and get a 9.62% risk-free return. TINA was the theme of 2021, but now TINA has been replaced by TIA. There is an alternative, and anyone who thinks the market is dicey can cash all or part of their stash in and be earning around 2.6% annualized now and likely 4% annualized by year-end. This isn&#39;t all or nothing- taking 25-35% of your portfolio and investing in cash equivalents if it&#39;s going to be paying 4% seems like a no-brainer to me.</p><p><b>3. Consider using options to bet against overvalued companies.</b></p><p>Being long only severely limits the opportunities you can take, and leaves you dependent on the economy growing over time. Short selling outright can get you short squeezed and doesn&#39;t work very well unless you have institutional access (short interest rebate, etc), but buying puts can give you a lot of bang for your buck. The upshot of higher interest rates is that it makes buying puts cheaper and calls more expensive. You can take advantage of this by selling overpriced calls on companies you own through index funds and buying puts cheaply to hedge your downside. For example, you might use this strategy to sell calls on Apple and Tesla, and then use the money to buy puts against weak companies like Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). Done right, this can allow you to reduce your concentration to expensive mega-cap names and bet against the companies most vulnerable to recession. So many companies are running on business models where they are completely reliant on the Fed having rates at zero to stay in business. Dozens of companies that have more liabilities than assets and negative earnings will likely be gone by 2024. I&#39;ll likely offer a few plays soon for my readers.</p><p>A sample allocation to this strategy might be to spend 50-100 bps of your portfolio annually betting against junk stocks, depending on how bearish you are. You can largely finance this by selling calls on big index holdings if you think they&#39;re overvalued.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>Stocks have rallied to erase most of the year&#39;s decline, but as long as the structural issues facing stocks remain, the rally is likely to break down and fail in the end.</li><li>History shows that the US is in a similar position now to countries with stock markets that have had negative returns for decades due to debt and changing demographics. At the very least, this will drag down future returns.</li><li>Fortunately, investors are far from helpless against the stock market being overvalued.</li><li>Good strategies available to you include tilting away from mega-caps into profitable small caps (IJR), profitable mid-caps (IJH), and international stocks (VEA), investing in T-Bills, and I Bonds, and using options to bet against weak companies.</li><li>Don&#39;t stress about the stock market keeping up the blistering pace of returns of the past 5-10 years. One way or another, it&#39;s not going to happen. Instead, expand your horizons and focus on what you can do to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. This will reduce your stress over uncontrollable trends and increase your long-run chances of reaching your goals.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Logan Kane.</i> <i>This article is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 12:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2259709390","content_text":"SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks were nearly 15% cheaper. Prices are increasingly disconnected from fundamentals.Common sense strategies to protect your portfolio when stocks are overvalued.TonyBaggett/iStock via Getty ImagesThe S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has rallied sharply since mid-June, driven by better-than-feared earnings and the price of gasoline falling. Market bulls like BMO's Brian Belski have called for stocks to surge to all-time highs, while bears like Michael Burry and Jamie Dimon have sounded the alarm to expect a futile bear market rally. Interestingly, the stock market and the bond market are in increasing disagreement over the path of the economy. Stocks have rallied sharply, indicating investor optimism in the economy, while Treasury yields have plunged as massive bets come in on a deepening U.S. and global recession. And bad news has been good news as weak economic data has the market betting that the Fed will be forced to cut rates and do more QE in an attempt to jack up stock prices. So is it time to go on offense or to use the current rally to find shelter?In the long run, it's a bull's world. If you look at how wealth is created, by and large, people who get rich do so from owning businesses or getting hefty stock grants in public companies. Nobody is buying $5-$10 million beachfront homes by investing in CDs! But history also shows that simply sitting and buying index funds has failed in a lot of countries' stock markets over the last 25 years. There are clear warning signs in the economy right now that suggest that buy-and-hold regardless of price, may not be a very effective strategy going forward.Structural Problems With The U.S. EconomyThe S&P 500 has rallied sharply over the past five years while growth has slowed below trend and wage growth has stalled. Wages are actually trailing inflation by about 3.6% annually over the last year. Despite a bit of month-over-month improvement, this is a red flag for index earnings going forward.SPY data by YChartsHow could this be? Tax cuts, stimulus, and QE have more than made up the difference for consumers facing stagnant wages. But the problem is that none of this is sustainable. During this time, government debt went from a little unsustainable for the US to a major problem, with debt now around 125% of GDP. Borrowing more is showing that will result in the classic economic problems of \"crowding out,\" while trying to monetize the debt by forcing the Fed to buy it causes runaway inflation. It's a lose-lose.US Budget Deficit (Wikipedia)To this point, the government debt situation is actually even worse than it looks because they're on the hook for a massive amount of underfunded entitlement spending that's tied to inflation. Birth rates have continued their grinding downtrend–and as America rapidly ages, it's going to be really hard to avoid ending up in the same boat as Japan and Europe, which have seen 20 years of sideways stock markets. In any case, taxes need to go up and spending needs to go down, taking away the secret sauce from index fund investors.If you have a great business, your tax rate going from say, 30% to 50% will slow you down, but won't block your path to getting rich. However, debt and demographics are going to be a huge headwind for the overall market trading at a high valuation. If stocks are going to go up, they're going to have to do it the old-fashioned way-by increasing productivity. Technology does continue to improve, allowing us to do more with fewer workers. The stock market boom was driven by stimulus, QE, and tax cuts, all of which are dead and gone. On the other hand, increasing productivity is actually a very incremental process with no shortcuts, but it creates sustainable growth. In the long run, I think things will be okay. But all of this points to stock returns being much lower over the next 10 years than they were over the last 10. And while Europe and Japan still face this same demographic/debt problem, the difference between their markets and ours is that ours is a lot more expensive!US Vs. World Valuation (Yardeni Research)A quick glance at the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 reveals just how expensive mega caps are. Paying huge multiples on earnings for tech companies has never really worked before-not in the Go-Go 1960s, nor in thedot-com boomin the late 1990s. Will the third time be the charm, or is this yet another widely ignored warning sign? Of these stocks, the only ones trading close to fair value in my opinion are Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are discounting rates of return that have historically been impossible for large companies, and Apple (AAPL) is trading for nearly triple the multiple it did 5-7 years ago.SPY PE Ratios (E-Trade)My hope here is that investors can see that nothing that has happened since June has structurally fixed the long-term economic problems that we face, and mega-cap stocks remain very expensive on a historical basis. With rising taxes and higher rates, they're not going to be able to grow their after-tax earnings nearly as fast as exuberant investors believe. Therefore, my base case is very low returns over the next decade unless stocks fall to levels where you're getting a more reasonable compensation for your risk (roughly a ~20-25% lower price on the S&P 500). Otherwise, you're almost taking this long-term risk for free, because if tax cuts and stimulus can't drive the market anymore, the price is not anywhere near where the fundamentals need it to be.Will The Fed Bail Out Stocks?Markets have rallied sharply since June. There are two main reasons that this is so. One reason is earnings being a bit better than feared, but the main reason is that investors have begun to price a more friendly Fed.This graph from Bridgewater shows the situation through Mid-June- roughly when markets bottomed.Earnings Vs. Multiples (Bridgewater)Nearly all of the move down in stocks was driven by a decrease in the multiple of the S&P 500, and not by earnings estimates being revised down. The market generally leads earnings estimates down, but it's really rare for there to be as big of a gap between what analysts think businesses are capable of earning and the price the market assigns to stocks. Similarly, there's a huge gap in what the bond market sees (big recession bets) and what stocks see (nirvana). For what it's worth, I don't think earnings will hold up with the underlying fuel of stimulus removed, and the realization that earnings aren't invincible will push multiples lower as well. Far more of consumers' incomes in 2021 was stimulus than is commonly appreciated. Cutting spending to adjust to what they actually earn is going to be an issue. This doesn't really jibe with earnings estimates for this Christmas expected to top last year, which crushed 2019's record. Wages are trailing inflation. Without stimulus, it's not clear where people will get the money to make this the strongest holiday season ever as Wall Street is betting on.The Fed has repeatedly said that it's not willing to cut rates to bail out stocks. On a near-daily basis, someone from the Fed will be on TV saying they want financial conditions to tighten. However, since June, financial conditions have done nothing but loosen. The markets insist on fighting the Fed, emboldened by the 2010s experience of the Fed rescuing the market every time it stubbed a toe. The trouble for the Fed is that financial conditions are how they steer the economy. The more the market bets on rate cuts and bids up stock prices, the less likely the Fed is to actually do it. The Fed is likely going to have to call the market's bluff. There's no evidence that the Biden administration is going to pressure the Fed to cut rates, and the entire country is pretty much in agreement that money needs to be tighter. Yet the bets continue to pour in on steep rate cuts that no one wants the Fed to do. Crazy!July CPI wasn't as bad as feared, but a large part of why it wasn't was because the market actually was taking the Fed seriously in June, and financial conditions had tightened. Higher mortgage rates, higher credit spreads, and lower stock prices all worked in concert to help bring inflation down. Now with the market defying the Fed, the Fed has to find a way to get financial conditions to tighten again, and none of this points to a bailout of stocks, a resumption of QE, or cutting rates back to zero.In the 1970s, the Fed cut rates as soon as the data got a bit better, and every time they did, inflation roared back stronger than before. Getting inflation down this time is not going to take two months, and people betting on the Fed to pivot need to realize that if they're right, the recession will be deep enough that their stocks will be far lower than the prices they're paying now.How To Invest When Stocks Are OvervaluedI've recently written that US stocks are 20-25% overvalued at current prices and that the bottom likely isn't in. However, scaring you isn't useful unless you can actually do something productive with it. Instead, I'd like to give you strategies that you can use in a falling market so you're staking everything on US stocks bucking the trend of structural weakness seen in Europe and Japan after their debt gets big and their population starts to get old.1. Take inventory of other asset classes and see what could be undervalued.After taking inventory, you have a roadmap to diversify across asset classes and tilt towards what you think offers better compensation. During the dot-com bubble, bonds were severely undervalued, and cash offered nearly the same return as stocks. Moreover, small caps and non-tech stocks had better valuations than the stupid prices that mega-cap tech had at the time. In 2007, bonds and cash saved the day again. Late 2021 was a little trickier because stocks and bonds were both objectively overvalued, and cash paid zero. Similarly, real estate was at its most overvalued level ever early this year and is now starting to correct.To take a basic inventory here, the S&P 500 is 20-25% overvalued, but small caps (IJR) areabout at fair value. Similarly, most real estate markets in the US areovervalued by 10% to 40%. Treasury bonds (TLT) are overvalued by about 15% (without the Fed manipulating it,the fair yieldon the 30-year should be about 4%, or ~2% real yield and 2% long-term inflation compensation for Treasuries broadly). Preferred stocks (PFFD) are roughly at fair value. International stocks (VEA) might be a tad below their fair value with heightened uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. How I'm getting these numbers is a topic for another article, but I'm basing stock valuations on earnings yields and guessing profit growth numbers, and basing bond yields on inflation and credit risk. The main point here is to get the heck away from concentrating all of your money on mega-cap tech names. Not a lot is undervalued at the moment, but some areas of the market are priced rather fairly, while others are badly overpriced.2. Consider whether holding cash is worth it for you.3-month T-bills are now paying 2.6% with rock-solid liquidity. You can buy them through your broker. And in three months, you can roll into more T-bills at a higher rate. I think they'll be paying 4% with no risk by year-end as the Fed tries to slow down the party. Given the structural problems present with the US economy, I'd think about taking this until valuations make more sense. The Fed is only going to keep hiking until inflation is under control. For reference, stocks are priced to return maybe 8.5% annually, so getting half the return for none of the risk with the upside of getting even more if the Fed is forced to slam on the brakes appeals to me. I bonds can fill in here too, if you're married you can toss $20,000 in for the year and get a 9.62% risk-free return. TINA was the theme of 2021, but now TINA has been replaced by TIA. There is an alternative, and anyone who thinks the market is dicey can cash all or part of their stash in and be earning around 2.6% annualized now and likely 4% annualized by year-end. This isn't all or nothing- taking 25-35% of your portfolio and investing in cash equivalents if it's going to be paying 4% seems like a no-brainer to me.3. Consider using options to bet against overvalued companies.Being long only severely limits the opportunities you can take, and leaves you dependent on the economy growing over time. Short selling outright can get you short squeezed and doesn't work very well unless you have institutional access (short interest rebate, etc), but buying puts can give you a lot of bang for your buck. The upshot of higher interest rates is that it makes buying puts cheaper and calls more expensive. You can take advantage of this by selling overpriced calls on companies you own through index funds and buying puts cheaply to hedge your downside. For example, you might use this strategy to sell calls on Apple and Tesla, and then use the money to buy puts against weak companies like Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). Done right, this can allow you to reduce your concentration to expensive mega-cap names and bet against the companies most vulnerable to recession. So many companies are running on business models where they are completely reliant on the Fed having rates at zero to stay in business. Dozens of companies that have more liabilities than assets and negative earnings will likely be gone by 2024. I'll likely offer a few plays soon for my readers.A sample allocation to this strategy might be to spend 50-100 bps of your portfolio annually betting against junk stocks, depending on how bearish you are. You can largely finance this by selling calls on big index holdings if you think they're overvalued.Key TakeawaysStocks have rallied to erase most of the year's decline, but as long as the structural issues facing stocks remain, the rally is likely to break down and fail in the end.History shows that the US is in a similar position now to countries with stock markets that have had negative returns for decades due to debt and changing demographics. At the very least, this will drag down future returns.Fortunately, investors are far from helpless against the stock market being overvalued.Good strategies available to you include tilting away from mega-caps into profitable small caps (IJR), profitable mid-caps (IJH), and international stocks (VEA), investing in T-Bills, and I Bonds, and using options to bet against weak companies.Don't stress about the stock market keeping up the blistering pace of returns of the past 5-10 years. One way or another, it's not going to happen. Instead, expand your horizons and focus on what you can do to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. This will reduce your stress over uncontrollable trends and increase your long-run chances of reaching your goals.This article was written by Logan Kane. This article is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903167712,"gmtCreate":1658986510037,"gmtModify":1676536240156,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks! Totally worth it!&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks! Totally worth it!&nbsp;","text":"Thanks! Totally worth it!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903167712","repostId":"2254385381","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2254385381","pubTimestamp":1658980821,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2254385381?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-28 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Consumers Are \"Trading Down.\" How to Play It With Options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254385381","media":"Barrons","summary":"American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.Inv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.</p><p>Investors may be debating whether the economy will fall into a recession as the Federal Reserve normalizes interest rates, but consumers aren’t waiting for an answer. They are changing buying behaviors and trying to save money.</p><p>At the grocery store—a place where inflation is pushing prices sharply higher for everything—store-brand goods are suddenly popular. The same is true for off-brand booze and tobacco.</p><p>This behavioral shift was last seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis. Back then, the “trading down” phenomenon was first spotted when people stopped going to restaurants. They ate at home to save money. Rather than buying rib-eye steaks, they bought skirt steak or chicken to save money. When white-meat chicken became expensive, they shifted to dark meat.</p><p>It is unclear how much of this nascent shift in consumer behavior is priced into stocks or even recognized by investors.</p><p>Many retail stocks are vulnerable and weak. While most everyone knows it’s a great time to get a great deal on outdoor patio furniture, it’s not exactly clear how demand destruction might be rippling through the economy. High gasoline prices are painful in a country that relies on cars and trucks for transportation.</p><p>To get ahead of the trading-down phenomenon, investors could consider a “put-spread collar”— that is,buying a put option and selling another put with the same expiration but a lower strike price, as well as selling a call option—on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund (ticker: XLY). The ETF comprises a mishmash of companies—including Lowe’s (LOW) and Tesla (TSLA)—that make their money selling stuff people want but don’t always need.</p><p>The ETF’s performance this year has been abysmal. After rallying for the past few weeks, it seems to be struggling to find support. The technical chart shows the stock is curling lower and preparing to give back some, or all, of the 16% rally it has enjoyed since mid-June.</p><p>Aggressive investors are trying to profit off the bearish trading pattern, but it’s worth considering a longer view, too. Should the U.S. economy slow as the Fed raises rates—some companies are warning that they might have to right-size workforces like retailers have right-sized inventory—retail spending could suffer.</p><p>With the ETF at $148.48, investors could consider buying the January $145 put and selling the January $135 put, as well as selling the January $170 call option.</p><p>The put-spread collar is a bearish bet that benefits if the ETF declines to $135. The call sale offsets the cost of the put spread, but if the ETF rallies rather than declines—say, because gas prices sharply decline or consumers will let nothing interfere with their consumption—the call will increase in value. In that event, investors will wish they had not sold it to finance the trade.</p><p>The strategy generates a credit of $1.20. The put-spread collar is worth a maximum of $11.20 if the ETF is at $135 at expiration. During the past 52 weeks, it has ranged from $133.04 to $215.06.</p><p>The January expiration covers the important back-to-school and Christmas shopping seasons, three meetings of the Fed’s rate-setting committee, and countless economic reports. Investors are increasingly using economic data to refine decisions, and it will figure prominently into determinations if the U.S. economy is down and out or just trading down.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Consumers Are \"Trading Down.\" How to Play It With Options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Consumers Are \"Trading Down.\" How to Play It With Options\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-28 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/us-consumers-economy-stock-options-51658890005><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.Investors may be debating whether the economy will fall into a recession as the Federal Reserve ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/us-consumers-economy-stock-options-51658890005\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"M":"梅西百货","BBY":"百思买","TSLA":"特斯拉","ROST":"罗斯百货有限公司","TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛","COST":"好市多","XLY":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR可选消费品","LOW":"劳氏","HD":"家得宝"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/us-consumers-economy-stock-options-51658890005","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2254385381","content_text":"American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.Investors may be debating whether the economy will fall into a recession as the Federal Reserve normalizes interest rates, but consumers aren’t waiting for an answer. They are changing buying behaviors and trying to save money.At the grocery store—a place where inflation is pushing prices sharply higher for everything—store-brand goods are suddenly popular. The same is true for off-brand booze and tobacco.This behavioral shift was last seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis. Back then, the “trading down” phenomenon was first spotted when people stopped going to restaurants. They ate at home to save money. Rather than buying rib-eye steaks, they bought skirt steak or chicken to save money. When white-meat chicken became expensive, they shifted to dark meat.It is unclear how much of this nascent shift in consumer behavior is priced into stocks or even recognized by investors.Many retail stocks are vulnerable and weak. While most everyone knows it’s a great time to get a great deal on outdoor patio furniture, it’s not exactly clear how demand destruction might be rippling through the economy. High gasoline prices are painful in a country that relies on cars and trucks for transportation.To get ahead of the trading-down phenomenon, investors could consider a “put-spread collar”— that is,buying a put option and selling another put with the same expiration but a lower strike price, as well as selling a call option—on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund (ticker: XLY). The ETF comprises a mishmash of companies—including Lowe’s (LOW) and Tesla (TSLA)—that make their money selling stuff people want but don’t always need.The ETF’s performance this year has been abysmal. After rallying for the past few weeks, it seems to be struggling to find support. The technical chart shows the stock is curling lower and preparing to give back some, or all, of the 16% rally it has enjoyed since mid-June.Aggressive investors are trying to profit off the bearish trading pattern, but it’s worth considering a longer view, too. Should the U.S. economy slow as the Fed raises rates—some companies are warning that they might have to right-size workforces like retailers have right-sized inventory—retail spending could suffer.With the ETF at $148.48, investors could consider buying the January $145 put and selling the January $135 put, as well as selling the January $170 call option.The put-spread collar is a bearish bet that benefits if the ETF declines to $135. The call sale offsets the cost of the put spread, but if the ETF rallies rather than declines—say, because gas prices sharply decline or consumers will let nothing interfere with their consumption—the call will increase in value. In that event, investors will wish they had not sold it to finance the trade.The strategy generates a credit of $1.20. The put-spread collar is worth a maximum of $11.20 if the ETF is at $135 at expiration. During the past 52 weeks, it has ranged from $133.04 to $215.06.The January expiration covers the important back-to-school and Christmas shopping seasons, three meetings of the Fed’s rate-setting committee, and countless economic reports. Investors are increasingly using economic data to refine decisions, and it will figure prominently into determinations if the U.S. economy is down and out or just trading down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900781288,"gmtCreate":1658774187444,"gmtModify":1676536204162,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks. This worth the time reading it.&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks. This worth the time reading it.&nbsp;","text":"Thanks. This worth the time reading it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900781288","repostId":"1129159259","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129159259","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658751021,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129159259?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-25 20:10","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129159259","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeting during the week and earning reports from some of the biggest companies to gauge the impact of a strong dollar and soaring inflation.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:08 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 144 points, or 0.45%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 17.25 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 49.25 points, or 0.40%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43bd227cdf3aa2a6026d53bed8cfe70\" tg-width=\"431\" tg-height=\"187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>Newmont(NEM) – The mining company’s stock slid 3.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Profit was down nearly 41% from a year ago, hurt by a drop in gold prices.</p><p>Squarespace(SQSP) – The e-commerce platform provider tumbled 14.4% in the premarket after its full-year revenue guidance fell short of Street forecasts. Squarespace reported better-than-expected results for its latest quarter but said revenue is taking a hit from currency headwinds.</p><p>Philips(PHG) – Philips tumbled 10.4% in premarket trading after the Dutch medical equipment maker’s quarterly earnings fell short of analyst forecasts. Philips was affected by lockdowns in China and supply chain issues.</p><p>Public Storage(PSA) – Public Storage added 1.5% premarket action after the operator of self-storage facilities declared a special dividend of $13.15 per share. The distribution is related to the sale of PS Business Parks to affiliates ofBlackstone(BX) for $7.6 billion. Public Storage had been the largest shareholder in PS Business Parks, whose sale transaction closed last week.</p><p>JD.com(JD) – Morgan Stanley calls the Chinese e-commerce company a “catalyst driven idea”, helping its stock rise 2% in premarket trading. The firm thinks the catalyst could be better than expected revenue growth guidance when JD.com next reports earnings in August.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla rose 1.3% in premarket action following its latest 10-Q filing, which included an update on the value of its bitcoin holdings. Tesla said it took a $170 million impairment charge related to the carrying value of its bitcoin holdings during the first six months of 2022, but saw a $64 million gain from bitcoin sales during that period.</p><p>Ryanair(RYAAY) – Ryanair jumped 5.7% in the premarket after the airline reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Ryanair cautioned that a return to pre-Covid levels of profitability this year was not certain.</p><p>Farfetch(FTCH) – Farfetch shares gained 2.5% in premarket trading following reports that the online luxury fashion seller was close to a deal with Switzerland’s Richemont that would see it absorb Richemont-owned fashion retailer YNAP.</p><p>Uber Technologies(UBER) – The ride-hailing company admitted to not reporting a 2016 data breach that impacted 57 million drivers and passengers as part of a settlement agreement to avoid criminal prosecution. Uber added 1% in premarket trading.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Tesla Gets Second Subpoena over Musk&#39;s 2018 Go-Private Tweets</h3><p>Tesla Inc has received a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over its Chief Executive Elon Musk&#39;s tweets in 2018 about taking the company private, the electric automaker disclosed in a regulatory filing on Monday.</p><p>The company said it received the subpoena on June 13 and will cooperate with the government authorities. The regulator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.</p><h3>WHO Declares Monkeypox a Global Health Emergency</h3><p>The World Health Organization has declared that monkeypox is a public-health emergency of international concern, despite divisions among members of the committee of experts who advise the agency, as global case numbers surpass 16,000.</p><p>This is the first time the WHO has declared a global health emergency since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in January 2020. In an unusual move, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, went against the majority view of the emergency committee in making the declaration.</p><h3>Philips Misses Q2 Forecasts, Cites Supply Chain Issues and China Lockdowns</h3><p>Dutch medical equipment maker Philips on Monday reported a worse-than-expected drop in second-quarter core earnings to 216 million euros ($220 million), citing supply shortages and lockdowns in China.</p><p>Analysts had forecast adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) of 324 million on sales of 4.23 billion for the three months ended June 30, according to a company-compiled poll.</p><h3>Kremlin Says Gas Flows Depend on Nord Stream Turbine Turnover</h3><p>Flows of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream link will depend on how quickly the pipeline equipment is repaired and returned toGazprom PJSC, a Kremlin spokesman said, as governments and businesses watch for any signals on the future of supplies.</p><p>Nord Stream, a key gas route between Russia and the European Union, has been operating at roughly 40% of its capacity, with Gazprom blaming the West for the capped flows. Only two out of six turbines at the Russian end of the pipeline are operating as western sanctions have limited maintenance options for the equipment, according to the Russian gas producer.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-25 20:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeting during the week and earning reports from some of the biggest companies to gauge the impact of a strong dollar and soaring inflation.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:08 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 144 points, or 0.45%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 17.25 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 49.25 points, or 0.40%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43bd227cdf3aa2a6026d53bed8cfe70\" tg-width=\"431\" tg-height=\"187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>Newmont(NEM) – The mining company’s stock slid 3.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Profit was down nearly 41% from a year ago, hurt by a drop in gold prices.</p><p>Squarespace(SQSP) – The e-commerce platform provider tumbled 14.4% in the premarket after its full-year revenue guidance fell short of Street forecasts. Squarespace reported better-than-expected results for its latest quarter but said revenue is taking a hit from currency headwinds.</p><p>Philips(PHG) – Philips tumbled 10.4% in premarket trading after the Dutch medical equipment maker’s quarterly earnings fell short of analyst forecasts. Philips was affected by lockdowns in China and supply chain issues.</p><p>Public Storage(PSA) – Public Storage added 1.5% premarket action after the operator of self-storage facilities declared a special dividend of $13.15 per share. The distribution is related to the sale of PS Business Parks to affiliates ofBlackstone(BX) for $7.6 billion. Public Storage had been the largest shareholder in PS Business Parks, whose sale transaction closed last week.</p><p>JD.com(JD) – Morgan Stanley calls the Chinese e-commerce company a “catalyst driven idea”, helping its stock rise 2% in premarket trading. The firm thinks the catalyst could be better than expected revenue growth guidance when JD.com next reports earnings in August.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla rose 1.3% in premarket action following its latest 10-Q filing, which included an update on the value of its bitcoin holdings. Tesla said it took a $170 million impairment charge related to the carrying value of its bitcoin holdings during the first six months of 2022, but saw a $64 million gain from bitcoin sales during that period.</p><p>Ryanair(RYAAY) – Ryanair jumped 5.7% in the premarket after the airline reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Ryanair cautioned that a return to pre-Covid levels of profitability this year was not certain.</p><p>Farfetch(FTCH) – Farfetch shares gained 2.5% in premarket trading following reports that the online luxury fashion seller was close to a deal with Switzerland’s Richemont that would see it absorb Richemont-owned fashion retailer YNAP.</p><p>Uber Technologies(UBER) – The ride-hailing company admitted to not reporting a 2016 data breach that impacted 57 million drivers and passengers as part of a settlement agreement to avoid criminal prosecution. Uber added 1% in premarket trading.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Tesla Gets Second Subpoena over Musk&#39;s 2018 Go-Private Tweets</h3><p>Tesla Inc has received a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over its Chief Executive Elon Musk&#39;s tweets in 2018 about taking the company private, the electric automaker disclosed in a regulatory filing on Monday.</p><p>The company said it received the subpoena on June 13 and will cooperate with the government authorities. The regulator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.</p><h3>WHO Declares Monkeypox a Global Health Emergency</h3><p>The World Health Organization has declared that monkeypox is a public-health emergency of international concern, despite divisions among members of the committee of experts who advise the agency, as global case numbers surpass 16,000.</p><p>This is the first time the WHO has declared a global health emergency since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in January 2020. In an unusual move, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, went against the majority view of the emergency committee in making the declaration.</p><h3>Philips Misses Q2 Forecasts, Cites Supply Chain Issues and China Lockdowns</h3><p>Dutch medical equipment maker Philips on Monday reported a worse-than-expected drop in second-quarter core earnings to 216 million euros ($220 million), citing supply shortages and lockdowns in China.</p><p>Analysts had forecast adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) of 324 million on sales of 4.23 billion for the three months ended June 30, according to a company-compiled poll.</p><h3>Kremlin Says Gas Flows Depend on Nord Stream Turbine Turnover</h3><p>Flows of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream link will depend on how quickly the pipeline equipment is repaired and returned toGazprom PJSC, a Kremlin spokesman said, as governments and businesses watch for any signals on the future of supplies.</p><p>Nord Stream, a key gas route between Russia and the European Union, has been operating at roughly 40% of its capacity, with Gazprom blaming the West for the capped flows. Only two out of six turbines at the Russian end of the pipeline are operating as western sanctions have limited maintenance options for the equipment, according to the Russian gas producer.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129159259","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeting during the week and earning reports from some of the biggest companies to gauge the impact of a strong dollar and soaring inflation.Market SnapshotAt 8:08 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 144 points, or 0.45%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 17.25 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 49.25 points, or 0.40%.Pre-Market MoversNewmont(NEM) – The mining company’s stock slid 3.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Profit was down nearly 41% from a year ago, hurt by a drop in gold prices.Squarespace(SQSP) – The e-commerce platform provider tumbled 14.4% in the premarket after its full-year revenue guidance fell short of Street forecasts. Squarespace reported better-than-expected results for its latest quarter but said revenue is taking a hit from currency headwinds.Philips(PHG) – Philips tumbled 10.4% in premarket trading after the Dutch medical equipment maker’s quarterly earnings fell short of analyst forecasts. Philips was affected by lockdowns in China and supply chain issues.Public Storage(PSA) – Public Storage added 1.5% premarket action after the operator of self-storage facilities declared a special dividend of $13.15 per share. The distribution is related to the sale of PS Business Parks to affiliates ofBlackstone(BX) for $7.6 billion. Public Storage had been the largest shareholder in PS Business Parks, whose sale transaction closed last week.JD.com(JD) – Morgan Stanley calls the Chinese e-commerce company a “catalyst driven idea”, helping its stock rise 2% in premarket trading. The firm thinks the catalyst could be better than expected revenue growth guidance when JD.com next reports earnings in August.Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla rose 1.3% in premarket action following its latest 10-Q filing, which included an update on the value of its bitcoin holdings. Tesla said it took a $170 million impairment charge related to the carrying value of its bitcoin holdings during the first six months of 2022, but saw a $64 million gain from bitcoin sales during that period.Ryanair(RYAAY) – Ryanair jumped 5.7% in the premarket after the airline reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Ryanair cautioned that a return to pre-Covid levels of profitability this year was not certain.Farfetch(FTCH) – Farfetch shares gained 2.5% in premarket trading following reports that the online luxury fashion seller was close to a deal with Switzerland’s Richemont that would see it absorb Richemont-owned fashion retailer YNAP.Uber Technologies(UBER) – The ride-hailing company admitted to not reporting a 2016 data breach that impacted 57 million drivers and passengers as part of a settlement agreement to avoid criminal prosecution. Uber added 1% in premarket trading.Market NewsTesla Gets Second Subpoena over Musk's 2018 Go-Private TweetsTesla Inc has received a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over its Chief Executive Elon Musk's tweets in 2018 about taking the company private, the electric automaker disclosed in a regulatory filing on Monday.The company said it received the subpoena on June 13 and will cooperate with the government authorities. The regulator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.WHO Declares Monkeypox a Global Health EmergencyThe World Health Organization has declared that monkeypox is a public-health emergency of international concern, despite divisions among members of the committee of experts who advise the agency, as global case numbers surpass 16,000.This is the first time the WHO has declared a global health emergency since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in January 2020. In an unusual move, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, went against the majority view of the emergency committee in making the declaration.Philips Misses Q2 Forecasts, Cites Supply Chain Issues and China LockdownsDutch medical equipment maker Philips on Monday reported a worse-than-expected drop in second-quarter core earnings to 216 million euros ($220 million), citing supply shortages and lockdowns in China.Analysts had forecast adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) of 324 million on sales of 4.23 billion for the three months ended June 30, according to a company-compiled poll.Kremlin Says Gas Flows Depend on Nord Stream Turbine TurnoverFlows of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream link will depend on how quickly the pipeline equipment is repaired and returned toGazprom PJSC, a Kremlin spokesman said, as governments and businesses watch for any signals on the future of supplies.Nord Stream, a key gas route between Russia and the European Union, has been operating at roughly 40% of its capacity, with Gazprom blaming the West for the capped flows. Only two out of six turbines at the Russian end of the pipeline are operating as western sanctions have limited maintenance options for the equipment, according to the Russian gas producer.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9900781288,"gmtCreate":1658774187444,"gmtModify":1676536204162,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks. This worth the time reading it.&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks. This worth the time reading it.&nbsp;","text":"Thanks. This worth the time reading it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900781288","repostId":"1129159259","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129159259","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658751021,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129159259?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-25 20:10","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129159259","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeting during the week and earning reports from some of the biggest companies to gauge the impact of a strong dollar and soaring inflation.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:08 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 144 points, or 0.45%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 17.25 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 49.25 points, or 0.40%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43bd227cdf3aa2a6026d53bed8cfe70\" tg-width=\"431\" tg-height=\"187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>Newmont(NEM) – The mining company’s stock slid 3.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Profit was down nearly 41% from a year ago, hurt by a drop in gold prices.</p><p>Squarespace(SQSP) – The e-commerce platform provider tumbled 14.4% in the premarket after its full-year revenue guidance fell short of Street forecasts. Squarespace reported better-than-expected results for its latest quarter but said revenue is taking a hit from currency headwinds.</p><p>Philips(PHG) – Philips tumbled 10.4% in premarket trading after the Dutch medical equipment maker’s quarterly earnings fell short of analyst forecasts. Philips was affected by lockdowns in China and supply chain issues.</p><p>Public Storage(PSA) – Public Storage added 1.5% premarket action after the operator of self-storage facilities declared a special dividend of $13.15 per share. The distribution is related to the sale of PS Business Parks to affiliates ofBlackstone(BX) for $7.6 billion. Public Storage had been the largest shareholder in PS Business Parks, whose sale transaction closed last week.</p><p>JD.com(JD) – Morgan Stanley calls the Chinese e-commerce company a “catalyst driven idea”, helping its stock rise 2% in premarket trading. The firm thinks the catalyst could be better than expected revenue growth guidance when JD.com next reports earnings in August.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla rose 1.3% in premarket action following its latest 10-Q filing, which included an update on the value of its bitcoin holdings. Tesla said it took a $170 million impairment charge related to the carrying value of its bitcoin holdings during the first six months of 2022, but saw a $64 million gain from bitcoin sales during that period.</p><p>Ryanair(RYAAY) – Ryanair jumped 5.7% in the premarket after the airline reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Ryanair cautioned that a return to pre-Covid levels of profitability this year was not certain.</p><p>Farfetch(FTCH) – Farfetch shares gained 2.5% in premarket trading following reports that the online luxury fashion seller was close to a deal with Switzerland’s Richemont that would see it absorb Richemont-owned fashion retailer YNAP.</p><p>Uber Technologies(UBER) – The ride-hailing company admitted to not reporting a 2016 data breach that impacted 57 million drivers and passengers as part of a settlement agreement to avoid criminal prosecution. Uber added 1% in premarket trading.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Tesla Gets Second Subpoena over Musk&#39;s 2018 Go-Private Tweets</h3><p>Tesla Inc has received a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over its Chief Executive Elon Musk&#39;s tweets in 2018 about taking the company private, the electric automaker disclosed in a regulatory filing on Monday.</p><p>The company said it received the subpoena on June 13 and will cooperate with the government authorities. The regulator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.</p><h3>WHO Declares Monkeypox a Global Health Emergency</h3><p>The World Health Organization has declared that monkeypox is a public-health emergency of international concern, despite divisions among members of the committee of experts who advise the agency, as global case numbers surpass 16,000.</p><p>This is the first time the WHO has declared a global health emergency since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in January 2020. In an unusual move, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, went against the majority view of the emergency committee in making the declaration.</p><h3>Philips Misses Q2 Forecasts, Cites Supply Chain Issues and China Lockdowns</h3><p>Dutch medical equipment maker Philips on Monday reported a worse-than-expected drop in second-quarter core earnings to 216 million euros ($220 million), citing supply shortages and lockdowns in China.</p><p>Analysts had forecast adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) of 324 million on sales of 4.23 billion for the three months ended June 30, according to a company-compiled poll.</p><h3>Kremlin Says Gas Flows Depend on Nord Stream Turbine Turnover</h3><p>Flows of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream link will depend on how quickly the pipeline equipment is repaired and returned toGazprom PJSC, a Kremlin spokesman said, as governments and businesses watch for any signals on the future of supplies.</p><p>Nord Stream, a key gas route between Russia and the European Union, has been operating at roughly 40% of its capacity, with Gazprom blaming the West for the capped flows. Only two out of six turbines at the Russian end of the pipeline are operating as western sanctions have limited maintenance options for the equipment, according to the Russian gas producer.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Edged Higher; Philips Tumbled 10.4%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-25 20:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeting during the week and earning reports from some of the biggest companies to gauge the impact of a strong dollar and soaring inflation.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:08 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 144 points, or 0.45%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 17.25 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 49.25 points, or 0.40%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43bd227cdf3aa2a6026d53bed8cfe70\" tg-width=\"431\" tg-height=\"187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>Newmont(NEM) – The mining company’s stock slid 3.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Profit was down nearly 41% from a year ago, hurt by a drop in gold prices.</p><p>Squarespace(SQSP) – The e-commerce platform provider tumbled 14.4% in the premarket after its full-year revenue guidance fell short of Street forecasts. Squarespace reported better-than-expected results for its latest quarter but said revenue is taking a hit from currency headwinds.</p><p>Philips(PHG) – Philips tumbled 10.4% in premarket trading after the Dutch medical equipment maker’s quarterly earnings fell short of analyst forecasts. Philips was affected by lockdowns in China and supply chain issues.</p><p>Public Storage(PSA) – Public Storage added 1.5% premarket action after the operator of self-storage facilities declared a special dividend of $13.15 per share. The distribution is related to the sale of PS Business Parks to affiliates ofBlackstone(BX) for $7.6 billion. Public Storage had been the largest shareholder in PS Business Parks, whose sale transaction closed last week.</p><p>JD.com(JD) – Morgan Stanley calls the Chinese e-commerce company a “catalyst driven idea”, helping its stock rise 2% in premarket trading. The firm thinks the catalyst could be better than expected revenue growth guidance when JD.com next reports earnings in August.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla rose 1.3% in premarket action following its latest 10-Q filing, which included an update on the value of its bitcoin holdings. Tesla said it took a $170 million impairment charge related to the carrying value of its bitcoin holdings during the first six months of 2022, but saw a $64 million gain from bitcoin sales during that period.</p><p>Ryanair(RYAAY) – Ryanair jumped 5.7% in the premarket after the airline reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Ryanair cautioned that a return to pre-Covid levels of profitability this year was not certain.</p><p>Farfetch(FTCH) – Farfetch shares gained 2.5% in premarket trading following reports that the online luxury fashion seller was close to a deal with Switzerland’s Richemont that would see it absorb Richemont-owned fashion retailer YNAP.</p><p>Uber Technologies(UBER) – The ride-hailing company admitted to not reporting a 2016 data breach that impacted 57 million drivers and passengers as part of a settlement agreement to avoid criminal prosecution. Uber added 1% in premarket trading.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Tesla Gets Second Subpoena over Musk&#39;s 2018 Go-Private Tweets</h3><p>Tesla Inc has received a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over its Chief Executive Elon Musk&#39;s tweets in 2018 about taking the company private, the electric automaker disclosed in a regulatory filing on Monday.</p><p>The company said it received the subpoena on June 13 and will cooperate with the government authorities. The regulator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.</p><h3>WHO Declares Monkeypox a Global Health Emergency</h3><p>The World Health Organization has declared that monkeypox is a public-health emergency of international concern, despite divisions among members of the committee of experts who advise the agency, as global case numbers surpass 16,000.</p><p>This is the first time the WHO has declared a global health emergency since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in January 2020. In an unusual move, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, went against the majority view of the emergency committee in making the declaration.</p><h3>Philips Misses Q2 Forecasts, Cites Supply Chain Issues and China Lockdowns</h3><p>Dutch medical equipment maker Philips on Monday reported a worse-than-expected drop in second-quarter core earnings to 216 million euros ($220 million), citing supply shortages and lockdowns in China.</p><p>Analysts had forecast adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) of 324 million on sales of 4.23 billion for the three months ended June 30, according to a company-compiled poll.</p><h3>Kremlin Says Gas Flows Depend on Nord Stream Turbine Turnover</h3><p>Flows of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream link will depend on how quickly the pipeline equipment is repaired and returned toGazprom PJSC, a Kremlin spokesman said, as governments and businesses watch for any signals on the future of supplies.</p><p>Nord Stream, a key gas route between Russia and the European Union, has been operating at roughly 40% of its capacity, with Gazprom blaming the West for the capped flows. Only two out of six turbines at the Russian end of the pipeline are operating as western sanctions have limited maintenance options for the equipment, according to the Russian gas producer.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129159259","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as markets braced for a Federal Reserve policy meeting during the week and earning reports from some of the biggest companies to gauge the impact of a strong dollar and soaring inflation.Market SnapshotAt 8:08 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 144 points, or 0.45%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 17.25 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 49.25 points, or 0.40%.Pre-Market MoversNewmont(NEM) – The mining company’s stock slid 3.3% in premarket trading after it reported lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Profit was down nearly 41% from a year ago, hurt by a drop in gold prices.Squarespace(SQSP) – The e-commerce platform provider tumbled 14.4% in the premarket after its full-year revenue guidance fell short of Street forecasts. Squarespace reported better-than-expected results for its latest quarter but said revenue is taking a hit from currency headwinds.Philips(PHG) – Philips tumbled 10.4% in premarket trading after the Dutch medical equipment maker’s quarterly earnings fell short of analyst forecasts. Philips was affected by lockdowns in China and supply chain issues.Public Storage(PSA) – Public Storage added 1.5% premarket action after the operator of self-storage facilities declared a special dividend of $13.15 per share. The distribution is related to the sale of PS Business Parks to affiliates ofBlackstone(BX) for $7.6 billion. Public Storage had been the largest shareholder in PS Business Parks, whose sale transaction closed last week.JD.com(JD) – Morgan Stanley calls the Chinese e-commerce company a “catalyst driven idea”, helping its stock rise 2% in premarket trading. The firm thinks the catalyst could be better than expected revenue growth guidance when JD.com next reports earnings in August.Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla rose 1.3% in premarket action following its latest 10-Q filing, which included an update on the value of its bitcoin holdings. Tesla said it took a $170 million impairment charge related to the carrying value of its bitcoin holdings during the first six months of 2022, but saw a $64 million gain from bitcoin sales during that period.Ryanair(RYAAY) – Ryanair jumped 5.7% in the premarket after the airline reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Ryanair cautioned that a return to pre-Covid levels of profitability this year was not certain.Farfetch(FTCH) – Farfetch shares gained 2.5% in premarket trading following reports that the online luxury fashion seller was close to a deal with Switzerland’s Richemont that would see it absorb Richemont-owned fashion retailer YNAP.Uber Technologies(UBER) – The ride-hailing company admitted to not reporting a 2016 data breach that impacted 57 million drivers and passengers as part of a settlement agreement to avoid criminal prosecution. Uber added 1% in premarket trading.Market NewsTesla Gets Second Subpoena over Musk's 2018 Go-Private TweetsTesla Inc has received a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over its Chief Executive Elon Musk's tweets in 2018 about taking the company private, the electric automaker disclosed in a regulatory filing on Monday.The company said it received the subpoena on June 13 and will cooperate with the government authorities. The regulator did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.WHO Declares Monkeypox a Global Health EmergencyThe World Health Organization has declared that monkeypox is a public-health emergency of international concern, despite divisions among members of the committee of experts who advise the agency, as global case numbers surpass 16,000.This is the first time the WHO has declared a global health emergency since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in January 2020. In an unusual move, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, went against the majority view of the emergency committee in making the declaration.Philips Misses Q2 Forecasts, Cites Supply Chain Issues and China LockdownsDutch medical equipment maker Philips on Monday reported a worse-than-expected drop in second-quarter core earnings to 216 million euros ($220 million), citing supply shortages and lockdowns in China.Analysts had forecast adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) of 324 million on sales of 4.23 billion for the three months ended June 30, according to a company-compiled poll.Kremlin Says Gas Flows Depend on Nord Stream Turbine TurnoverFlows of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Nord Stream link will depend on how quickly the pipeline equipment is repaired and returned toGazprom PJSC, a Kremlin spokesman said, as governments and businesses watch for any signals on the future of supplies.Nord Stream, a key gas route between Russia and the European Union, has been operating at roughly 40% of its capacity, with Gazprom blaming the West for the capped flows. Only two out of six turbines at the Russian end of the pipeline are operating as western sanctions have limited maintenance options for the equipment, according to the Russian gas producer.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993448360,"gmtCreate":1660722689252,"gmtModify":1676536386996,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally! Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this&nbsp;","listText":"Finally! Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this&nbsp;","text":"Finally! Something that's worth knowing.Thanks for sharing this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993448360","repostId":"1194186485","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194186485","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660717100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194186485?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-17 14:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194186485","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Dow and S&P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from $Walmart(WMT)$ and $Home Depot(HD)$ bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.</p><p>There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><h3>1、Communication Services Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">NFLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">ASTS</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">RBLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">GOOGL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">ROKU</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTN\">GTN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">VZ</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdd14dca0b7eda0758aff0ce04e3b8d6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><ul><li>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.</li></ul><ul><li>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.</li></ul><p><b>Related News</b></p><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FuboTV</a>: The watchword of the company&#39;s various presentations was its plans for a &#34;path to profitability,&#34; which culminated in a late setup from the company&#39;s chief financial officer.&#34;We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,&#34; said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd.</a> posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</li></ul><h3>2、Information Technology Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\"></b>NVDA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">PAYX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">MSFT</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">MARA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">ORCL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">AAPL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">RGTI</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">CRM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PYPL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaffbec980ebd419260074773b37aa56\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVDA</a>, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would &#34;prefer to move to the sidelines&#34; given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.</p><h3>3、Consumer Discretionary Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">AMZN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLAR\">CLAR</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">CURV</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">F</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">CVNA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">PTON</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">LOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">CCL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cddf50dff9e6d9887831a1f9c677a1\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath &amp; Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Option traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4f0f5965054fe24d44c68b931b43481\" tg-width=\"1870\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.</p><h2>High Call/Put Volume</h2><p><b>High Call Pct</b></p><p>There are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d35aea043806c382796f205f76125467\" tg-width=\"1569\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p><b>High Put Pct</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e95c8163c42552a59500f204e34dd8d\" tg-width=\"1877\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.</p><h2>Option Implied Volatility Rankings</h2><p>Implied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8ee32aa8a49dc28f1e41348c38af6e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.</p><p>Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-17 14:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.</p><p>There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><h3>1、Communication Services Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">NFLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">ASTS</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">RBLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">GOOGL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">ROKU</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTN\">GTN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">VZ</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdd14dca0b7eda0758aff0ce04e3b8d6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><ul><li>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.</li></ul><ul><li>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.</li></ul><p><b>Related News</b></p><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FuboTV</a>: The watchword of the company&#39;s various presentations was its plans for a &#34;path to profitability,&#34; which culminated in a late setup from the company&#39;s chief financial officer.&#34;We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,&#34; said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd.</a> posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</li></ul><h3>2、Information Technology Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\"></b>NVDA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">PAYX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">MSFT</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">MARA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">ORCL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">AAPL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">RGTI</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">CRM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PYPL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaffbec980ebd419260074773b37aa56\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVDA</a>, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would &#34;prefer to move to the sidelines&#34; given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.</p><h3>3、Consumer Discretionary Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">AMZN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLAR\">CLAR</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">CURV</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">F</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">CVNA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">PTON</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">LOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">CCL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cddf50dff9e6d9887831a1f9c677a1\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath &amp; Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Option traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4f0f5965054fe24d44c68b931b43481\" tg-width=\"1870\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.</p><h2>High Call/Put Volume</h2><p><b>High Call Pct</b></p><p>There are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d35aea043806c382796f205f76125467\" tg-width=\"1569\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p><b>High Put Pct</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e95c8163c42552a59500f204e34dd8d\" tg-width=\"1877\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.</p><h2>Option Implied Volatility Rankings</h2><p>Implied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8ee32aa8a49dc28f1e41348c38af6e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.</p><p>Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","FUBO":"fuboTV Inc.","NFLX":"奈飞","NVDA":"英伟达","TSLA":"特斯拉","SE":"Sea Ltd","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194186485","content_text":"The Dow and S&P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from Walmart and Home Depot bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.Unusual Options Activity1、Communication Services StocksTop 10: META, FUBO, SE, NFLX, ASTS, RBLX, GOOGL, ROKU, GTN, VZSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityRegarding META, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.For FUBO, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.Related NewsFuboTV: The watchword of the company's various presentations was its plans for a \"path to profitability,\" which culminated in a late setup from the company's chief financial officer.\"We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,\" said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.Sea Ltd. posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.2、Information Technology StocksTop 10: NVDA, PAYX, SNOW, MSFT, MARA, ORCL, AAPL, RGTI, CRM, PYPLSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityRegarding NVDA, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.Regarding SNOW, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.Related NewsSNOW: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would \"prefer to move to the sidelines\" given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.3、Consumer Discretionary StocksTop 10: BBBY, TSLA, AMZN, CLAR, CURV, F, CVNA, PTON, LOW, CCLSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityFor BBBY, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.Regarding TSLA, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.Related NewsTesla: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.BBBY: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath & Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.Top 10 Option VolumesOption traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.Source: MarketchameleonNote: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.High Call/Put VolumeHigh Call PctThere are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.Source: MarketchameleonHigh Put PctSource: MarketchameleonNote: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.Option Implied Volatility RankingsImplied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.Source: MarketchameleonNote: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993318420,"gmtCreate":1660624100862,"gmtModify":1676536368158,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.","listText":"Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.","text":"Thanks for sharing your views. This will help out a lot.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993318420","repostId":"2259709390","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259709390","pubTimestamp":1660625893,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259709390?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 12:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259709390","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but decl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Stocks have retraced a little over half of this year&#39;s decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.</li><li>However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks were nearly 15% cheaper. Prices are increasingly disconnected from fundamentals.</li><li>Common sense strategies to protect your portfolio when stocks are overvalued.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb16b223a109633d0598125e71850484\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"739\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TonyBaggett/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has rallied sharply since mid-June, driven by better-than-feared earnings and the price of gasoline falling. Market bulls like BMO&#39;s Brian Belski have called for stocks to surge to all-time highs, while bears like Michael Burry and Jamie Dimon have sounded the alarm to expect a futile bear market rally. Interestingly, the stock market and the bond market are in increasing disagreement over the path of the economy. Stocks have rallied sharply, indicating investor optimism in the economy, while Treasury yields have plunged as massive bets come in on a deepening U.S. and global recession. And bad news has been good news as weak economic data has the market betting that the Fed will be forced to cut rates and do more QE in an attempt to jack up stock prices. So is it time to go on offense or to use the current rally to find shelter?</p><p>In the long run, it&#39;s a bull&#39;s world. If you look at how wealth is created, by and large, people who get rich do so from owning businesses or getting hefty stock grants in public companies. Nobody is buying $5-$10 million beachfront homes by investing in CDs! But history also shows that simply sitting and buying index funds has failed in a lot of countries&#39; stock markets over the last 25 years. There are clear warning signs in the economy right now that suggest that buy-and-hold regardless of price, may not be a very effective strategy going forward.</p><p><b>Structural Problems With The U.S. Economy</b></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has rallied sharply over the past five years while growth has slowed below trend and wage growth has stalled. Wages are actually trailing inflation by about 3.6% annually over the last year. Despite a bit of month-over-month improvement, this is a red flag for index earnings going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b0543002164941d875dcfa71f132c03\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY data by YCharts</span></p><p>How could this be? Tax cuts, stimulus, and QE have more than made up the difference for consumers facing stagnant wages. But the problem is that none of this is sustainable. During this time, government debt went from a little unsustainable for the US to a major problem, with debt now around 125% of GDP. Borrowing more is showing that will result in the classic economic problems of &#34;crowding out,&#34; while trying to monetize the debt by forcing the Fed to buy it causes runaway inflation. It&#39;s a lose-lose.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d9865a046c2bfebf7f0722c6cb8cb6\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Budget Deficit (Wikipedia)</span></p><p>To this point, the government debt situation is actually even worse than it looks because they&#39;re on the hook for a massive amount of underfunded entitlement spending that&#39;s tied to inflation. Birth rates have continued their grinding downtrend–and as America rapidly ages, it&#39;s going to be really hard to avoid ending up in the same boat as Japan and Europe, which have seen 20 years of sideways stock markets. In any case, taxes need to go up and spending needs to go down, taking away the secret sauce from index fund investors.</p><p>If you have a great business, your tax rate going from say, 30% to 50% will slow you down, but won&#39;t block your path to getting rich. However, debt and demographics are going to be a huge headwind for the overall market trading at a high valuation. If stocks are going to go up, they&#39;re going to have to do it the old-fashioned way-by increasing productivity. Technology does continue to improve, allowing us to do more with fewer workers. The stock market boom was driven by stimulus, QE, and tax cuts, all of which are dead and gone. On the other hand, increasing productivity is actually a very incremental process with no shortcuts, but it creates sustainable growth. In the long run, I think things will be okay. But all of this points to stock returns being much lower over the next 10 years than they were over the last 10. And while Europe and Japan still face this same demographic/debt problem, the difference between their markets and ours is that ours is a lot more expensive!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f63b573d3d9c7983ae258907103d65f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US Vs. World Valuation (Yardeni Research)</span></p><p>A quick glance at the top 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 reveals just how expensive mega caps are. Paying huge multiples on earnings for tech companies has never really worked before-not in the Go-Go 1960s, nor in thedot-com boomin the late 1990s. Will the third time be the charm, or is this yet another widely ignored warning sign? Of these stocks, the only ones trading close to fair value in my opinion are Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are discounting rates of return that have historically been impossible for large companies, and Apple (AAPL) is trading for nearly triple the multiple it did 5-7 years ago.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16b8d00ddaac26cb964ff7f263285137\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY PE Ratios (E-Trade)</span></p><p>My hope here is that investors can see that nothing that has happened since June has structurally fixed the long-term economic problems that we face, and mega-cap stocks remain very expensive on a historical basis. With rising taxes and higher rates, they&#39;re not going to be able to grow their after-tax earnings nearly as fast as exuberant investors believe. Therefore, my base case is very low returns over the next decade unless stocks fall to levels where you&#39;re getting a more reasonable compensation for your risk (roughly a ~20-25% lower price on the S&amp;P 500). Otherwise, you&#39;re almost taking this long-term risk for free, because if tax cuts and stimulus can&#39;t drive the market anymore, the price is not anywhere near where the fundamentals need it to be.</p><p><b>Will The Fed Bail Out Stocks?</b></p><p>Markets have rallied sharply since June. There are two main reasons that this is so. One reason is earnings being a bit better than feared, but the main reason is that investors have begun to price a more friendly Fed.</p><p>This graph from Bridgewater shows the situation through Mid-June- roughly when markets bottomed.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28c01ee451b82575665b882f22ca23f6\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Earnings Vs. Multiples (Bridgewater)</span></p><p>Nearly all of the move down in stocks was driven by a decrease in the multiple of the S&amp;P 500, and not by earnings estimates being revised down. The market generally leads earnings estimates down, but it&#39;s really rare for there to be as big of a gap between what analysts think businesses are capable of earning and the price the market assigns to stocks. Similarly, there&#39;s a huge gap in what the bond market sees (big recession bets) and what stocks see (nirvana). For what it&#39;s worth, I don&#39;t think earnings will hold up with the underlying fuel of stimulus removed, and the realization that earnings aren&#39;t invincible will push multiples lower as well. Far more of consumers&#39; incomes in 2021 was stimulus than is commonly appreciated. Cutting spending to adjust to what they actually earn is going to be an issue. This doesn&#39;t really jibe with earnings estimates for this Christmas expected to top last year, which crushed 2019&#39;s record. Wages are trailing inflation. Without stimulus, it&#39;s not clear where people will get the money to make this the strongest holiday season ever as Wall Street is betting on.</p><p>The Fed has repeatedly said that it&#39;s not willing to cut rates to bail out stocks. On a near-daily basis, someone from the Fed will be on TV saying they want financial conditions to tighten. However, since June, financial conditions have done nothing but loosen. The markets insist on fighting the Fed, emboldened by the 2010s experience of the Fed rescuing the market every time it stubbed a toe. The trouble for the Fed is that financial conditions are how they steer the economy. The more the market bets on rate cuts and bids up stock prices, the less likely the Fed is to actually do it. The Fed is likely going to have to call the market&#39;s bluff. There&#39;s no evidence that the Biden administration is going to pressure the Fed to cut rates, and the entire country is pretty much in agreement that money needs to be tighter. Yet the bets continue to pour in on steep rate cuts that no one wants the Fed to do. Crazy!</p><p>July CPI wasn&#39;t as bad as feared, but a large part of why it wasn&#39;t was because the market actually was taking the Fed seriously in June, and financial conditions had tightened. Higher mortgage rates, higher credit spreads, and lower stock prices all worked in concert to help bring inflation down. Now with the market defying the Fed, the Fed has to find a way to get financial conditions to tighten again, and none of this points to a bailout of stocks, a resumption of QE, or cutting rates back to zero.</p><p>In the 1970s, the Fed cut rates as soon as the data got a bit better, and every time they did, inflation roared back stronger than before. Getting inflation down this time is not going to take two months, and people betting on the Fed to pivot need to realize that if they&#39;re right, the recession will be deep enough that their stocks will be far lower than the prices they&#39;re paying now.</p><p><b>How To Invest When Stocks Are Overvalued</b></p><p>I&#39;ve recently written that US stocks are 20-25% overvalued at current prices and that the bottom likely isn&#39;t in. However, scaring you isn&#39;t useful unless you can actually do something productive with it. Instead, I&#39;d like to give you strategies that you can use in a falling market so you&#39;re staking everything on US stocks bucking the trend of structural weakness seen in Europe and Japan after their debt gets big and their population starts to get old.</p><p><b>1. Take inventory of other asset classes and see what could be undervalued.</b></p><p>After taking inventory, you have a roadmap to diversify across asset classes and tilt towards what you think offers better compensation. During the dot-com bubble, bonds were severely undervalued, and cash offered nearly the same return as stocks. Moreover, small caps and non-tech stocks had better valuations than the stupid prices that mega-cap tech had at the time. In 2007, bonds and cash saved the day again. Late 2021 was a little trickier because stocks and bonds were both objectively overvalued, and cash paid zero. Similarly, real estate was at its most overvalued level ever early this year and is now starting to correct.</p><p>To take a basic inventory here, the S&amp;P 500 is 20-25% overvalued, but small caps (IJR) areabout at fair value. Similarly, most real estate markets in the US areovervalued by 10% to 40%. Treasury bonds (TLT) are overvalued by about 15% (without the Fed manipulating it,the fair yieldon the 30-year should be about 4%, or ~2% real yield and 2% long-term inflation compensation for Treasuries broadly). Preferred stocks (PFFD) are roughly at fair value. International stocks (VEA) might be a tad below their fair value with heightened uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. How I&#39;m getting these numbers is a topic for another article, but I&#39;m basing stock valuations on earnings yields and guessing profit growth numbers, and basing bond yields on inflation and credit risk. The main point here is to get the heck away from concentrating all of your money on mega-cap tech names. Not a lot is undervalued at the moment, but some areas of the market are priced rather fairly, while others are badly overpriced.</p><p><b>2. Consider whether holding cash is worth it for you.</b></p><p>3-month T-bills are now paying 2.6% with rock-solid liquidity. You can buy them through your broker. And in three months, you can roll into more T-bills at a higher rate. I think they&#39;ll be paying 4% with no risk by year-end as the Fed tries to slow down the party. Given the structural problems present with the US economy, I&#39;d think about taking this until valuations make more sense. The Fed is only going to keep hiking until inflation is under control. For reference, stocks are priced to return maybe 8.5% annually, so getting half the return for none of the risk with the upside of getting even more if the Fed is forced to slam on the brakes appeals to me. I bonds can fill in here too, if you&#39;re married you can toss $20,000 in for the year and get a 9.62% risk-free return. TINA was the theme of 2021, but now TINA has been replaced by TIA. There is an alternative, and anyone who thinks the market is dicey can cash all or part of their stash in and be earning around 2.6% annualized now and likely 4% annualized by year-end. This isn&#39;t all or nothing- taking 25-35% of your portfolio and investing in cash equivalents if it&#39;s going to be paying 4% seems like a no-brainer to me.</p><p><b>3. Consider using options to bet against overvalued companies.</b></p><p>Being long only severely limits the opportunities you can take, and leaves you dependent on the economy growing over time. Short selling outright can get you short squeezed and doesn&#39;t work very well unless you have institutional access (short interest rebate, etc), but buying puts can give you a lot of bang for your buck. The upshot of higher interest rates is that it makes buying puts cheaper and calls more expensive. You can take advantage of this by selling overpriced calls on companies you own through index funds and buying puts cheaply to hedge your downside. For example, you might use this strategy to sell calls on Apple and Tesla, and then use the money to buy puts against weak companies like Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). Done right, this can allow you to reduce your concentration to expensive mega-cap names and bet against the companies most vulnerable to recession. So many companies are running on business models where they are completely reliant on the Fed having rates at zero to stay in business. Dozens of companies that have more liabilities than assets and negative earnings will likely be gone by 2024. I&#39;ll likely offer a few plays soon for my readers.</p><p>A sample allocation to this strategy might be to spend 50-100 bps of your portfolio annually betting against junk stocks, depending on how bearish you are. You can largely finance this by selling calls on big index holdings if you think they&#39;re overvalued.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>Stocks have rallied to erase most of the year&#39;s decline, but as long as the structural issues facing stocks remain, the rally is likely to break down and fail in the end.</li><li>History shows that the US is in a similar position now to countries with stock markets that have had negative returns for decades due to debt and changing demographics. At the very least, this will drag down future returns.</li><li>Fortunately, investors are far from helpless against the stock market being overvalued.</li><li>Good strategies available to you include tilting away from mega-caps into profitable small caps (IJR), profitable mid-caps (IJH), and international stocks (VEA), investing in T-Bills, and I Bonds, and using options to bet against weak companies.</li><li>Don&#39;t stress about the stock market keeping up the blistering pace of returns of the past 5-10 years. One way or another, it&#39;s not going to happen. Instead, expand your horizons and focus on what you can do to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. This will reduce your stress over uncontrollable trends and increase your long-run chances of reaching your goals.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Logan Kane.</i> <i>This article is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Red Sky In The Morning, Sailor's Warning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 12:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4534567-spy-red-sky-in-the-morning-sailors-warning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2259709390","content_text":"SummaryStocks have retraced a little over half of this year's decline, leading bulls to all but declare victory.However, the global economy has the same structural problems it had in June when stocks were nearly 15% cheaper. Prices are increasingly disconnected from fundamentals.Common sense strategies to protect your portfolio when stocks are overvalued.TonyBaggett/iStock via Getty ImagesThe S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has rallied sharply since mid-June, driven by better-than-feared earnings and the price of gasoline falling. Market bulls like BMO's Brian Belski have called for stocks to surge to all-time highs, while bears like Michael Burry and Jamie Dimon have sounded the alarm to expect a futile bear market rally. Interestingly, the stock market and the bond market are in increasing disagreement over the path of the economy. Stocks have rallied sharply, indicating investor optimism in the economy, while Treasury yields have plunged as massive bets come in on a deepening U.S. and global recession. And bad news has been good news as weak economic data has the market betting that the Fed will be forced to cut rates and do more QE in an attempt to jack up stock prices. So is it time to go on offense or to use the current rally to find shelter?In the long run, it's a bull's world. If you look at how wealth is created, by and large, people who get rich do so from owning businesses or getting hefty stock grants in public companies. Nobody is buying $5-$10 million beachfront homes by investing in CDs! But history also shows that simply sitting and buying index funds has failed in a lot of countries' stock markets over the last 25 years. There are clear warning signs in the economy right now that suggest that buy-and-hold regardless of price, may not be a very effective strategy going forward.Structural Problems With The U.S. EconomyThe S&P 500 has rallied sharply over the past five years while growth has slowed below trend and wage growth has stalled. Wages are actually trailing inflation by about 3.6% annually over the last year. Despite a bit of month-over-month improvement, this is a red flag for index earnings going forward.SPY data by YChartsHow could this be? Tax cuts, stimulus, and QE have more than made up the difference for consumers facing stagnant wages. But the problem is that none of this is sustainable. During this time, government debt went from a little unsustainable for the US to a major problem, with debt now around 125% of GDP. Borrowing more is showing that will result in the classic economic problems of \"crowding out,\" while trying to monetize the debt by forcing the Fed to buy it causes runaway inflation. It's a lose-lose.US Budget Deficit (Wikipedia)To this point, the government debt situation is actually even worse than it looks because they're on the hook for a massive amount of underfunded entitlement spending that's tied to inflation. Birth rates have continued their grinding downtrend–and as America rapidly ages, it's going to be really hard to avoid ending up in the same boat as Japan and Europe, which have seen 20 years of sideways stock markets. In any case, taxes need to go up and spending needs to go down, taking away the secret sauce from index fund investors.If you have a great business, your tax rate going from say, 30% to 50% will slow you down, but won't block your path to getting rich. However, debt and demographics are going to be a huge headwind for the overall market trading at a high valuation. If stocks are going to go up, they're going to have to do it the old-fashioned way-by increasing productivity. Technology does continue to improve, allowing us to do more with fewer workers. The stock market boom was driven by stimulus, QE, and tax cuts, all of which are dead and gone. On the other hand, increasing productivity is actually a very incremental process with no shortcuts, but it creates sustainable growth. In the long run, I think things will be okay. But all of this points to stock returns being much lower over the next 10 years than they were over the last 10. And while Europe and Japan still face this same demographic/debt problem, the difference between their markets and ours is that ours is a lot more expensive!US Vs. World Valuation (Yardeni Research)A quick glance at the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 reveals just how expensive mega caps are. Paying huge multiples on earnings for tech companies has never really worked before-not in the Go-Go 1960s, nor in thedot-com boomin the late 1990s. Will the third time be the charm, or is this yet another widely ignored warning sign? Of these stocks, the only ones trading close to fair value in my opinion are Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are discounting rates of return that have historically been impossible for large companies, and Apple (AAPL) is trading for nearly triple the multiple it did 5-7 years ago.SPY PE Ratios (E-Trade)My hope here is that investors can see that nothing that has happened since June has structurally fixed the long-term economic problems that we face, and mega-cap stocks remain very expensive on a historical basis. With rising taxes and higher rates, they're not going to be able to grow their after-tax earnings nearly as fast as exuberant investors believe. Therefore, my base case is very low returns over the next decade unless stocks fall to levels where you're getting a more reasonable compensation for your risk (roughly a ~20-25% lower price on the S&P 500). Otherwise, you're almost taking this long-term risk for free, because if tax cuts and stimulus can't drive the market anymore, the price is not anywhere near where the fundamentals need it to be.Will The Fed Bail Out Stocks?Markets have rallied sharply since June. There are two main reasons that this is so. One reason is earnings being a bit better than feared, but the main reason is that investors have begun to price a more friendly Fed.This graph from Bridgewater shows the situation through Mid-June- roughly when markets bottomed.Earnings Vs. Multiples (Bridgewater)Nearly all of the move down in stocks was driven by a decrease in the multiple of the S&P 500, and not by earnings estimates being revised down. The market generally leads earnings estimates down, but it's really rare for there to be as big of a gap between what analysts think businesses are capable of earning and the price the market assigns to stocks. Similarly, there's a huge gap in what the bond market sees (big recession bets) and what stocks see (nirvana). For what it's worth, I don't think earnings will hold up with the underlying fuel of stimulus removed, and the realization that earnings aren't invincible will push multiples lower as well. Far more of consumers' incomes in 2021 was stimulus than is commonly appreciated. Cutting spending to adjust to what they actually earn is going to be an issue. This doesn't really jibe with earnings estimates for this Christmas expected to top last year, which crushed 2019's record. Wages are trailing inflation. Without stimulus, it's not clear where people will get the money to make this the strongest holiday season ever as Wall Street is betting on.The Fed has repeatedly said that it's not willing to cut rates to bail out stocks. On a near-daily basis, someone from the Fed will be on TV saying they want financial conditions to tighten. However, since June, financial conditions have done nothing but loosen. The markets insist on fighting the Fed, emboldened by the 2010s experience of the Fed rescuing the market every time it stubbed a toe. The trouble for the Fed is that financial conditions are how they steer the economy. The more the market bets on rate cuts and bids up stock prices, the less likely the Fed is to actually do it. The Fed is likely going to have to call the market's bluff. There's no evidence that the Biden administration is going to pressure the Fed to cut rates, and the entire country is pretty much in agreement that money needs to be tighter. Yet the bets continue to pour in on steep rate cuts that no one wants the Fed to do. Crazy!July CPI wasn't as bad as feared, but a large part of why it wasn't was because the market actually was taking the Fed seriously in June, and financial conditions had tightened. Higher mortgage rates, higher credit spreads, and lower stock prices all worked in concert to help bring inflation down. Now with the market defying the Fed, the Fed has to find a way to get financial conditions to tighten again, and none of this points to a bailout of stocks, a resumption of QE, or cutting rates back to zero.In the 1970s, the Fed cut rates as soon as the data got a bit better, and every time they did, inflation roared back stronger than before. Getting inflation down this time is not going to take two months, and people betting on the Fed to pivot need to realize that if they're right, the recession will be deep enough that their stocks will be far lower than the prices they're paying now.How To Invest When Stocks Are OvervaluedI've recently written that US stocks are 20-25% overvalued at current prices and that the bottom likely isn't in. However, scaring you isn't useful unless you can actually do something productive with it. Instead, I'd like to give you strategies that you can use in a falling market so you're staking everything on US stocks bucking the trend of structural weakness seen in Europe and Japan after their debt gets big and their population starts to get old.1. Take inventory of other asset classes and see what could be undervalued.After taking inventory, you have a roadmap to diversify across asset classes and tilt towards what you think offers better compensation. During the dot-com bubble, bonds were severely undervalued, and cash offered nearly the same return as stocks. Moreover, small caps and non-tech stocks had better valuations than the stupid prices that mega-cap tech had at the time. In 2007, bonds and cash saved the day again. Late 2021 was a little trickier because stocks and bonds were both objectively overvalued, and cash paid zero. Similarly, real estate was at its most overvalued level ever early this year and is now starting to correct.To take a basic inventory here, the S&P 500 is 20-25% overvalued, but small caps (IJR) areabout at fair value. Similarly, most real estate markets in the US areovervalued by 10% to 40%. Treasury bonds (TLT) are overvalued by about 15% (without the Fed manipulating it,the fair yieldon the 30-year should be about 4%, or ~2% real yield and 2% long-term inflation compensation for Treasuries broadly). Preferred stocks (PFFD) are roughly at fair value. International stocks (VEA) might be a tad below their fair value with heightened uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. How I'm getting these numbers is a topic for another article, but I'm basing stock valuations on earnings yields and guessing profit growth numbers, and basing bond yields on inflation and credit risk. The main point here is to get the heck away from concentrating all of your money on mega-cap tech names. Not a lot is undervalued at the moment, but some areas of the market are priced rather fairly, while others are badly overpriced.2. Consider whether holding cash is worth it for you.3-month T-bills are now paying 2.6% with rock-solid liquidity. You can buy them through your broker. And in three months, you can roll into more T-bills at a higher rate. I think they'll be paying 4% with no risk by year-end as the Fed tries to slow down the party. Given the structural problems present with the US economy, I'd think about taking this until valuations make more sense. The Fed is only going to keep hiking until inflation is under control. For reference, stocks are priced to return maybe 8.5% annually, so getting half the return for none of the risk with the upside of getting even more if the Fed is forced to slam on the brakes appeals to me. I bonds can fill in here too, if you're married you can toss $20,000 in for the year and get a 9.62% risk-free return. TINA was the theme of 2021, but now TINA has been replaced by TIA. There is an alternative, and anyone who thinks the market is dicey can cash all or part of their stash in and be earning around 2.6% annualized now and likely 4% annualized by year-end. This isn't all or nothing- taking 25-35% of your portfolio and investing in cash equivalents if it's going to be paying 4% seems like a no-brainer to me.3. Consider using options to bet against overvalued companies.Being long only severely limits the opportunities you can take, and leaves you dependent on the economy growing over time. Short selling outright can get you short squeezed and doesn't work very well unless you have institutional access (short interest rebate, etc), but buying puts can give you a lot of bang for your buck. The upshot of higher interest rates is that it makes buying puts cheaper and calls more expensive. You can take advantage of this by selling overpriced calls on companies you own through index funds and buying puts cheaply to hedge your downside. For example, you might use this strategy to sell calls on Apple and Tesla, and then use the money to buy puts against weak companies like Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) and AMC Entertainment (AMC). Done right, this can allow you to reduce your concentration to expensive mega-cap names and bet against the companies most vulnerable to recession. So many companies are running on business models where they are completely reliant on the Fed having rates at zero to stay in business. Dozens of companies that have more liabilities than assets and negative earnings will likely be gone by 2024. I'll likely offer a few plays soon for my readers.A sample allocation to this strategy might be to spend 50-100 bps of your portfolio annually betting against junk stocks, depending on how bearish you are. You can largely finance this by selling calls on big index holdings if you think they're overvalued.Key TakeawaysStocks have rallied to erase most of the year's decline, but as long as the structural issues facing stocks remain, the rally is likely to break down and fail in the end.History shows that the US is in a similar position now to countries with stock markets that have had negative returns for decades due to debt and changing demographics. At the very least, this will drag down future returns.Fortunately, investors are far from helpless against the stock market being overvalued.Good strategies available to you include tilting away from mega-caps into profitable small caps (IJR), profitable mid-caps (IJH), and international stocks (VEA), investing in T-Bills, and I Bonds, and using options to bet against weak companies.Don't stress about the stock market keeping up the blistering pace of returns of the past 5-10 years. One way or another, it's not going to happen. Instead, expand your horizons and focus on what you can do to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. This will reduce your stress over uncontrollable trends and increase your long-run chances of reaching your goals.This article was written by Logan Kane. This article is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903167712,"gmtCreate":1658986510037,"gmtModify":1676536240156,"author":{"id":"4119738246371792","authorId":"4119738246371792","name":"edwink","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4119738246371792","authorIdStr":"4119738246371792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks! Totally worth it!&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks! Totally worth it!&nbsp;","text":"Thanks! Totally worth it!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903167712","repostId":"2254385381","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2254385381","pubTimestamp":1658980821,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2254385381?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-28 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Consumers Are \"Trading Down.\" How to Play It With Options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254385381","media":"Barrons","summary":"American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.Inv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.</p><p>Investors may be debating whether the economy will fall into a recession as the Federal Reserve normalizes interest rates, but consumers aren’t waiting for an answer. They are changing buying behaviors and trying to save money.</p><p>At the grocery store—a place where inflation is pushing prices sharply higher for everything—store-brand goods are suddenly popular. The same is true for off-brand booze and tobacco.</p><p>This behavioral shift was last seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis. Back then, the “trading down” phenomenon was first spotted when people stopped going to restaurants. They ate at home to save money. Rather than buying rib-eye steaks, they bought skirt steak or chicken to save money. When white-meat chicken became expensive, they shifted to dark meat.</p><p>It is unclear how much of this nascent shift in consumer behavior is priced into stocks or even recognized by investors.</p><p>Many retail stocks are vulnerable and weak. While most everyone knows it’s a great time to get a great deal on outdoor patio furniture, it’s not exactly clear how demand destruction might be rippling through the economy. High gasoline prices are painful in a country that relies on cars and trucks for transportation.</p><p>To get ahead of the trading-down phenomenon, investors could consider a “put-spread collar”— that is,buying a put option and selling another put with the same expiration but a lower strike price, as well as selling a call option—on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund (ticker: XLY). The ETF comprises a mishmash of companies—including Lowe’s (LOW) and Tesla (TSLA)—that make their money selling stuff people want but don’t always need.</p><p>The ETF’s performance this year has been abysmal. After rallying for the past few weeks, it seems to be struggling to find support. The technical chart shows the stock is curling lower and preparing to give back some, or all, of the 16% rally it has enjoyed since mid-June.</p><p>Aggressive investors are trying to profit off the bearish trading pattern, but it’s worth considering a longer view, too. Should the U.S. economy slow as the Fed raises rates—some companies are warning that they might have to right-size workforces like retailers have right-sized inventory—retail spending could suffer.</p><p>With the ETF at $148.48, investors could consider buying the January $145 put and selling the January $135 put, as well as selling the January $170 call option.</p><p>The put-spread collar is a bearish bet that benefits if the ETF declines to $135. The call sale offsets the cost of the put spread, but if the ETF rallies rather than declines—say, because gas prices sharply decline or consumers will let nothing interfere with their consumption—the call will increase in value. In that event, investors will wish they had not sold it to finance the trade.</p><p>The strategy generates a credit of $1.20. The put-spread collar is worth a maximum of $11.20 if the ETF is at $135 at expiration. During the past 52 weeks, it has ranged from $133.04 to $215.06.</p><p>The January expiration covers the important back-to-school and Christmas shopping seasons, three meetings of the Fed’s rate-setting committee, and countless economic reports. Investors are increasingly using economic data to refine decisions, and it will figure prominently into determinations if the U.S. economy is down and out or just trading down.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Consumers Are \"Trading Down.\" How to Play It With Options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Consumers Are \"Trading Down.\" How to Play It With Options\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-28 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/us-consumers-economy-stock-options-51658890005><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.Investors may be debating whether the economy will fall into a recession as the Federal Reserve ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/us-consumers-economy-stock-options-51658890005\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"M":"梅西百货","BBY":"百思买","TSLA":"特斯拉","ROST":"罗斯百货有限公司","TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛","COST":"好市多","XLY":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR可选消费品","LOW":"劳氏","HD":"家得宝"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/us-consumers-economy-stock-options-51658890005","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2254385381","content_text":"American consumers, one of the greatest economic forces in the history of the world, are nervous.Investors may be debating whether the economy will fall into a recession as the Federal Reserve normalizes interest rates, but consumers aren’t waiting for an answer. They are changing buying behaviors and trying to save money.At the grocery store—a place where inflation is pushing prices sharply higher for everything—store-brand goods are suddenly popular. The same is true for off-brand booze and tobacco.This behavioral shift was last seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis. Back then, the “trading down” phenomenon was first spotted when people stopped going to restaurants. They ate at home to save money. Rather than buying rib-eye steaks, they bought skirt steak or chicken to save money. When white-meat chicken became expensive, they shifted to dark meat.It is unclear how much of this nascent shift in consumer behavior is priced into stocks or even recognized by investors.Many retail stocks are vulnerable and weak. While most everyone knows it’s a great time to get a great deal on outdoor patio furniture, it’s not exactly clear how demand destruction might be rippling through the economy. High gasoline prices are painful in a country that relies on cars and trucks for transportation.To get ahead of the trading-down phenomenon, investors could consider a “put-spread collar”— that is,buying a put option and selling another put with the same expiration but a lower strike price, as well as selling a call option—on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund (ticker: XLY). The ETF comprises a mishmash of companies—including Lowe’s (LOW) and Tesla (TSLA)—that make their money selling stuff people want but don’t always need.The ETF’s performance this year has been abysmal. After rallying for the past few weeks, it seems to be struggling to find support. The technical chart shows the stock is curling lower and preparing to give back some, or all, of the 16% rally it has enjoyed since mid-June.Aggressive investors are trying to profit off the bearish trading pattern, but it’s worth considering a longer view, too. Should the U.S. economy slow as the Fed raises rates—some companies are warning that they might have to right-size workforces like retailers have right-sized inventory—retail spending could suffer.With the ETF at $148.48, investors could consider buying the January $145 put and selling the January $135 put, as well as selling the January $170 call option.The put-spread collar is a bearish bet that benefits if the ETF declines to $135. The call sale offsets the cost of the put spread, but if the ETF rallies rather than declines—say, because gas prices sharply decline or consumers will let nothing interfere with their consumption—the call will increase in value. In that event, investors will wish they had not sold it to finance the trade.The strategy generates a credit of $1.20. The put-spread collar is worth a maximum of $11.20 if the ETF is at $135 at expiration. During the past 52 weeks, it has ranged from $133.04 to $215.06.The January expiration covers the important back-to-school and Christmas shopping seasons, three meetings of the Fed’s rate-setting committee, and countless economic reports. Investors are increasingly using economic data to refine decisions, and it will figure prominently into determinations if the U.S. economy is down and out or just trading down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}