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Ais18castle

Ais18castle

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2023-02-24

Fed vs Inflation is a failure

2023-02-10

For reentry? Hahahaha

It's Time To Lower My Rating On Arbor Realty

2023-02-04

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$

2023-02-02

25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.

Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point, Expects "Ongoing" Increases

2023-01-27

$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ 30 more to 100%

2023-01-26

$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$

2023-01-26

2023-01-09

Ok

Inflation Data, Banks Kick off Earnings Season: What to Know This Week

2022-12-30

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ The only red in my portfolio

2022-12-30

$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$ Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share

2022-12-30

$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ Go ABSI more please

2022-12-10

Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024

5 Things to Watch When the Fed Makes Its Interest-Rate Decision

2022-11-25

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ more please

2022-11-25

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ 10 will become major resistance[LOL] [LOL] [LOL]

2022-11-25

[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-11

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$

2022-11-11

Good

Sorry, the original content has been removed

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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vs Inflation is a failure","listText":"Fed vs Inflation is a failure","text":"Fed vs Inflation is a failure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957649402","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954351757,"gmtCreate":1676022680780,"gmtModify":1676022685837,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For reentry? Hahahaha","listText":"For reentry? Hahahaha","text":"For reentry? Hahahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954351757","repostId":"2309517080","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2309517080","pubTimestamp":1675840629,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2309517080?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-08 15:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Time To Lower My Rating On Arbor Realty","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2309517080","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"alexsl/iStock via Getty Images At this point, you have already read the title of this article. So, b","content":"<html><body><p><figure><picture><img height=\"1152px\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 36px), (max-width: 1024px) calc(100vw - 132px), (max-width: 1200px) calc(66.6vw - 72px), 600px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/></picture><figcaption><p>alexsl/iStock via Getty Images</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>At this point, you have already read the title of this article. So, before anyone starts calling their broker and telling them to sell their Arbor Realty (<span>NYSE:ABR</span>) shares, consider the following - although I am lowering my<span> rating on Arbor, I continue to believe this stock is still an above-average investment. It's just not quite as attractive as it was when I rated it a Strong Buy on December 15th in an article titled </span><em>Arbor Realty Trust Common Stock: My 'Perfect 10' Dividend Idea</em><span>. At that time the share price was $13.72 and the $1.60 annual dividend was yielding 11.7%. The Strong Buy was based on the attractive dividend yield and my expectation of the share price appreciating 15%-20% over the subsequent one year period.</span></p> <p>To be clear, as far as I know, Seeking Alpha has not<span> given any specific numerical guidance as to what constitutes Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Sell or Strong Sell ratings. I would have preferred to have specific designations for price movements and total return, something one might have expected from someone that chose Crunching Numbers as a pseudonym. Regardless...</span></p> <h2>Background</h2> <p>The dividend was the primary reason I had first purchased this stock, and it was the reason I have been writing positive articles about this equity for the past several years. Obviously, ten consecutive quarterly increases of that dividend and a low payout ratio have also been contributing factors. The CEO, Ivan Kaufman, noted the following early in the Q3 earnings conference call:</p> <blockquote><p>We have a premium operating platform, with multiple products that generate many diverse income streams, allowing us to consistently produce earnings that are well in excess of a dividend. This has allowed us to once again increase our dividend to $0.40 a share, representing our 10th consecutive quarterly dividend increase with 33% growth over that time period, all while maintaining the lowest payout ratio in the industry. We've also strategically built a platform to succeed in all cycles, and as a result, we believe we are extremely well positioned to thrive in this economic downturn.</p></blockquote> <p>So, with all of these positives, why am I lowering my rating? The main reason is the current price, and its rise to $15.12. At that price, the forward yield drops to 10.58%, and 10% should be an important yardstick for investors. Over the past decade, we have seen outsized gains and losses in the market as measured by the S&amp;P 500. Last year, the S&amp;P 500 returned a negative 18%, although the gains for the past three, five, and ten year periods were all quite positive. Most important, however, is that over the past century the long term average annual total return for the S&amp;P 500 (including reinvested dividends) is just a bit below 10%.</p> <p>The current Arbor dividend alone is more than 10%, and that should be enough to earn the equity a hold. To earn a Buy rating I would like my recommendation to beat the long term average total return for the S&amp;P 500 by five to ten percentage points over the following year. For a Strong Buy, I would want to see a total return of 20%-25%. Clearly, Arbor has essentially met the Strong Buy criteria made in the December of 2022 based on price appreciation of more than ten percent in addition to its 10% dividend.</p> <p>Then, consider that the dividend represents \"the lowest payout ratio in the industry\" and that Arbor's income streams \"produce earnings that are well in excess of a dividend\". These factors should indicate that further increases to the dividend will be on the way to shareholders. And, of course, all things being equal, the share price should show significant gains based on the expectation of rising earnings and dividends.</p> <p>For me, these factors alone would be enough to justify a buy rating at the current price. To justify a Strong Buy, I would want to see the share price appreciate at least 15% from the recent $15.12 price. Can it get above $17.38 over the next year? It's possible, but in a rising interest rate environment I believe it will be difficult to achieve. For these reasons I am lowering my rating from \"Strong Buy\" to \"Buy\".</p> <h4>Additional Disclosures</h4> <p>We are currently overweight Arbor, with the equity representing approximately 8.8% of our investment accounts. This includes one large trading position where I was caught holding a block of shares not too far off its 2021 high. The large dividend makes holding the shares tolerable, but should I get the opportunity to liquidate the position at a gain - or even a reasonable loss, I could sell that position at any time. I would like to think that I am able to write about Arbor without letting my personal holdings and the gains and losses unduly bias my assessment.</p> <h4>Recent News</h4> <p>The company is scheduled to release its Q4 results before the market opens on Friday, February 17, and subsequently hold its Q4 conference call at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. I expect more good news from the company, and would not be at all surprised to see an eleventh consecutive quarterly increase in the dividend that morning.</p> <p>Less clear was Arbor's December news release about co-funding New York based Emerald Empire's acquisition of Pangea Properties' Chicago Portfolio, where details of the transaction were not fully disclosed.</p> <h2>Summary</h2> <div></div> <p>Arbor is currently a solid investment opportunity, and despite its recent price appreciation, is still worthy of a Buy rating. It's just not quite worthy of a Strong Buy rating from this particularly picky author.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Time To Lower My Rating On Arbor Realty</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Time To Lower My Rating On Arbor Realty\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-08 15:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4576215-its-time-to-lower-my-rating-on-arbor-realty><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>alexsl/iStock via Getty Images At this point, you have already read the title of this article. So, before anyone starts calling their broker and telling them to sell their Arbor Realty (NYSE:ABR) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4576215-its-time-to-lower-my-rating-on-arbor-realty\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1316650700/image_1316650700.jpg","relate_stocks":{"BK4110":"抵押房地产投资信托","ABR":"阿伯房地产信托"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4576215-its-time-to-lower-my-rating-on-arbor-realty","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2309517080","content_text":"alexsl/iStock via Getty Images At this point, you have already read the title of this article. So, before anyone starts calling their broker and telling them to sell their Arbor Realty (NYSE:ABR) shares, consider the following - although I am lowering my rating on Arbor, I continue to believe this stock is still an above-average investment. It's just not quite as attractive as it was when I rated it a Strong Buy on December 15th in an article titled Arbor Realty Trust Common Stock: My 'Perfect 10' Dividend Idea. At that time the share price was $13.72 and the $1.60 annual dividend was yielding 11.7%. The Strong Buy was based on the attractive dividend yield and my expectation of the share price appreciating 15%-20% over the subsequent one year period. To be clear, as far as I know, Seeking Alpha has not given any specific numerical guidance as to what constitutes Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Sell or Strong Sell ratings. I would have preferred to have specific designations for price movements and total return, something one might have expected from someone that chose Crunching Numbers as a pseudonym. Regardless... Background The dividend was the primary reason I had first purchased this stock, and it was the reason I have been writing positive articles about this equity for the past several years. Obviously, ten consecutive quarterly increases of that dividend and a low payout ratio have also been contributing factors. The CEO, Ivan Kaufman, noted the following early in the Q3 earnings conference call: We have a premium operating platform, with multiple products that generate many diverse income streams, allowing us to consistently produce earnings that are well in excess of a dividend. This has allowed us to once again increase our dividend to $0.40 a share, representing our 10th consecutive quarterly dividend increase with 33% growth over that time period, all while maintaining the lowest payout ratio in the industry. We've also strategically built a platform to succeed in all cycles, and as a result, we believe we are extremely well positioned to thrive in this economic downturn. So, with all of these positives, why am I lowering my rating? The main reason is the current price, and its rise to $15.12. At that price, the forward yield drops to 10.58%, and 10% should be an important yardstick for investors. Over the past decade, we have seen outsized gains and losses in the market as measured by the S&P 500. Last year, the S&P 500 returned a negative 18%, although the gains for the past three, five, and ten year periods were all quite positive. Most important, however, is that over the past century the long term average annual total return for the S&P 500 (including reinvested dividends) is just a bit below 10%. The current Arbor dividend alone is more than 10%, and that should be enough to earn the equity a hold. To earn a Buy rating I would like my recommendation to beat the long term average total return for the S&P 500 by five to ten percentage points over the following year. For a Strong Buy, I would want to see a total return of 20%-25%. Clearly, Arbor has essentially met the Strong Buy criteria made in the December of 2022 based on price appreciation of more than ten percent in addition to its 10% dividend. Then, consider that the dividend represents \"the lowest payout ratio in the industry\" and that Arbor's income streams \"produce earnings that are well in excess of a dividend\". These factors should indicate that further increases to the dividend will be on the way to shareholders. And, of course, all things being equal, the share price should show significant gains based on the expectation of rising earnings and dividends. For me, these factors alone would be enough to justify a buy rating at the current price. To justify a Strong Buy, I would want to see the share price appreciate at least 15% from the recent $15.12 price. Can it get above $17.38 over the next year? It's possible, but in a rising interest rate environment I believe it will be difficult to achieve. For these reasons I am lowering my rating from \"Strong Buy\" to \"Buy\". Additional Disclosures We are currently overweight Arbor, with the equity representing approximately 8.8% of our investment accounts. This includes one large trading position where I was caught holding a block of shares not too far off its 2021 high. The large dividend makes holding the shares tolerable, but should I get the opportunity to liquidate the position at a gain - or even a reasonable loss, I could sell that position at any time. I would like to think that I am able to write about Arbor without letting my personal holdings and the gains and losses unduly bias my assessment. Recent News The company is scheduled to release its Q4 results before the market opens on Friday, February 17, and subsequently hold its Q4 conference call at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. I expect more good news from the company, and would not be at all surprised to see an eleventh consecutive quarterly increase in the dividend that morning. Less clear was Arbor's December news release about co-funding New York based Emerald Empire's acquisition of Pangea Properties' Chicago Portfolio, where details of the transaction were not fully disclosed. Summary  Arbor is currently a solid investment opportunity, and despite its recent price appreciation, is still worthy of a Buy rating. It's just not quite worthy of a Strong Buy rating from this particularly picky author.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955217753,"gmtCreate":1675445645973,"gmtModify":1676539003843,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf97a13acb7acdec24c8611fd0d0bc85","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955217753","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955187473,"gmtCreate":1675280604692,"gmtModify":1676538989341,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.","listText":"25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.","text":"25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955187473","repostId":"1177494341","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177494341","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1675278030,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177494341?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-02 03:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point, Expects \"Ongoing\" Increases","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177494341","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point and gave little indication that it is nearing the end of this hiking cycle.</b></p><p>Aligning with market expectations, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee boosted the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage point. That takes it to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%, the highest since October 2007.</p><p>The move marked the eighth increase in a process that began in March 2022. By itself, the funds rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight borrowing, but it also spills through to many consumer debt products.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained on Wednesday in an intraday turnaround as investors shook off a quarter-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.09% after falling nearly 1% earlier. The Nasdaq Composite added 1.97%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5be56c95aff518a3007ec6d340392e9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Fed is targeting the hikes to bring down inflation that, despite recent signs of slowing, is still running near its highest level since the early 1980s.</p><p>The post-meeting statement noted that inflation &#34;has eased somewhat but remains elevated,&#34; a tweak on previous language.</p><p>Markets, however, were looking to this week&#39;s meeting for signs that the Fed would be ending the rate increases soon. But the statement provided no such signals.</p><p><b>The document included language noting that the FOMC still sees the need for &#34;ongoing increases in the target range.&#34;</b> Market participants had been hoping for some softening of the phrase, but the statement, approved unanimously, kept it intact.</p><p>The statement did alter one part when describing what will determine the future policy path.</p><p>Officials said they would determine the &#34;extent&#34; of future rate increases based on factors such as the effects so far of the rate hikes, the lags in which policy has an impact, and developments in financial conditions and the economy. Previously, the statement said it would use those factors to determine the &#34;pace&#34; of future hikes, a possible nod that the committee sees an end to the increases somewhere, or at least a continuation of smaller moves ahead.</p><p>In 2022, the Fed approved four consecutive 0.75 percentage point moves before going to a smaller 0.5 percentage point increase in December. In recent public statements, multiple officials said they think the Fed at least can scale back on the size of the increases, without signaling when they could end.</p><p>While it was raising its benchmark rate, the committee characterized economic growth as &#34;modest&#34; though it noted only that unemployment &#34;has remained low.&#34; The latest job market assessment omitted previous language that employment gains have been &#34;robust.&#34;</p><p>Otherwise, the statement remained intact from previous messages as the Fed continues its efforts to arrest inflation.</p><p>Fed policy is thought to work on a lag – when the central bank raises rates, it takes time for the economy to adjust to tighter controls on money.</p><p>This particular round of inflation started due to Covid-related factors such as clogged supply chains and surging demand for goods over services. The war in Ukraine aggravated rising gas prices, while unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus fueled rising costs across a variety of goods and services.</p><p>Food prices have risen more than 10% over the past year. Egg prices alone have soared 60%, butter is up more than 31% and lettuce has jumped 25%, according to Labor Department data through December. Gas prices were ticking lower towards the end of 2022 but have popped higher in recent days, hitting $3.50 a gallon nationally for an increase of about 30 cents over the past month, according to AAA.</p><p>Fed officials have remained resolute about tackling inflation, though they have said recent numbers show pressures could be easing. The consumer price index declined 0.1% in December on a monthly basis and is up 6.4% from a year ago – down from the peak of 9% last summer but still well above where the Fed feels comfortable.</p><p>Along with the rate hikes, the Fed has been reducing the holdings in its bond portfolio. That has resulted in a reduction of about $445 billion since June, as the Fed has targeted a capped level of $95 billion in maturing bonds it is allowing to roll off each month rather than reinvest.</p><p>The balance sheet reduction has been the equivalent of about 2 percentage points of additional rate hikes, according to the San Francisco Fed. The balance sheet is still at more than $8.4 trillion.</p><p>Markets are watching for where the Fed will finally end the increases.</p><p>At the December FOMC meeting, committee members indicated they see the &#34;terminal rate,&#34; or point where the Fed thinks policy is sufficiently restrictive, as 5.1%. Markets are betting that number is closer to 4.75%, and they expect the Fed to start cutting rates later this year, after one more quarter-point increase in March.</p><p>Stocks rallied to start 2023 as investors anticipated a less restrictive Fed.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point, Expects \"Ongoing\" Increases</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Raises Rates a Quarter Point, Expects \"Ongoing\" Increases\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-02 03:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point and gave little indication that it is nearing the end of this hiking cycle.</b></p><p>Aligning with market expectations, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee boosted the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage point. That takes it to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%, the highest since October 2007.</p><p>The move marked the eighth increase in a process that began in March 2022. By itself, the funds rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight borrowing, but it also spills through to many consumer debt products.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained on Wednesday in an intraday turnaround as investors shook off a quarter-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.09% after falling nearly 1% earlier. The Nasdaq Composite added 1.97%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5be56c95aff518a3007ec6d340392e9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Fed is targeting the hikes to bring down inflation that, despite recent signs of slowing, is still running near its highest level since the early 1980s.</p><p>The post-meeting statement noted that inflation &#34;has eased somewhat but remains elevated,&#34; a tweak on previous language.</p><p>Markets, however, were looking to this week&#39;s meeting for signs that the Fed would be ending the rate increases soon. But the statement provided no such signals.</p><p><b>The document included language noting that the FOMC still sees the need for &#34;ongoing increases in the target range.&#34;</b> Market participants had been hoping for some softening of the phrase, but the statement, approved unanimously, kept it intact.</p><p>The statement did alter one part when describing what will determine the future policy path.</p><p>Officials said they would determine the &#34;extent&#34; of future rate increases based on factors such as the effects so far of the rate hikes, the lags in which policy has an impact, and developments in financial conditions and the economy. Previously, the statement said it would use those factors to determine the &#34;pace&#34; of future hikes, a possible nod that the committee sees an end to the increases somewhere, or at least a continuation of smaller moves ahead.</p><p>In 2022, the Fed approved four consecutive 0.75 percentage point moves before going to a smaller 0.5 percentage point increase in December. In recent public statements, multiple officials said they think the Fed at least can scale back on the size of the increases, without signaling when they could end.</p><p>While it was raising its benchmark rate, the committee characterized economic growth as &#34;modest&#34; though it noted only that unemployment &#34;has remained low.&#34; The latest job market assessment omitted previous language that employment gains have been &#34;robust.&#34;</p><p>Otherwise, the statement remained intact from previous messages as the Fed continues its efforts to arrest inflation.</p><p>Fed policy is thought to work on a lag – when the central bank raises rates, it takes time for the economy to adjust to tighter controls on money.</p><p>This particular round of inflation started due to Covid-related factors such as clogged supply chains and surging demand for goods over services. The war in Ukraine aggravated rising gas prices, while unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus fueled rising costs across a variety of goods and services.</p><p>Food prices have risen more than 10% over the past year. Egg prices alone have soared 60%, butter is up more than 31% and lettuce has jumped 25%, according to Labor Department data through December. Gas prices were ticking lower towards the end of 2022 but have popped higher in recent days, hitting $3.50 a gallon nationally for an increase of about 30 cents over the past month, according to AAA.</p><p>Fed officials have remained resolute about tackling inflation, though they have said recent numbers show pressures could be easing. The consumer price index declined 0.1% in December on a monthly basis and is up 6.4% from a year ago – down from the peak of 9% last summer but still well above where the Fed feels comfortable.</p><p>Along with the rate hikes, the Fed has been reducing the holdings in its bond portfolio. That has resulted in a reduction of about $445 billion since June, as the Fed has targeted a capped level of $95 billion in maturing bonds it is allowing to roll off each month rather than reinvest.</p><p>The balance sheet reduction has been the equivalent of about 2 percentage points of additional rate hikes, according to the San Francisco Fed. The balance sheet is still at more than $8.4 trillion.</p><p>Markets are watching for where the Fed will finally end the increases.</p><p>At the December FOMC meeting, committee members indicated they see the &#34;terminal rate,&#34; or point where the Fed thinks policy is sufficiently restrictive, as 5.1%. Markets are betting that number is closer to 4.75%, and they expect the Fed to start cutting rates later this year, after one more quarter-point increase in March.</p><p>Stocks rallied to start 2023 as investors anticipated a less restrictive Fed.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177494341","content_text":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point and gave little indication that it is nearing the end of this hiking cycle.Aligning with market expectations, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee boosted the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage point. That takes it to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%, the highest since October 2007.The move marked the eighth increase in a process that began in March 2022. By itself, the funds rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight borrowing, but it also spills through to many consumer debt products.The S&P 500 gained on Wednesday in an intraday turnaround as investors shook off a quarter-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 gained 1.09% after falling nearly 1% earlier. The Nasdaq Composite added 1.97%.The Fed is targeting the hikes to bring down inflation that, despite recent signs of slowing, is still running near its highest level since the early 1980s.The post-meeting statement noted that inflation \"has eased somewhat but remains elevated,\" a tweak on previous language.Markets, however, were looking to this week's meeting for signs that the Fed would be ending the rate increases soon. But the statement provided no such signals.The document included language noting that the FOMC still sees the need for \"ongoing increases in the target range.\" Market participants had been hoping for some softening of the phrase, but the statement, approved unanimously, kept it intact.The statement did alter one part when describing what will determine the future policy path.Officials said they would determine the \"extent\" of future rate increases based on factors such as the effects so far of the rate hikes, the lags in which policy has an impact, and developments in financial conditions and the economy. Previously, the statement said it would use those factors to determine the \"pace\" of future hikes, a possible nod that the committee sees an end to the increases somewhere, or at least a continuation of smaller moves ahead.In 2022, the Fed approved four consecutive 0.75 percentage point moves before going to a smaller 0.5 percentage point increase in December. In recent public statements, multiple officials said they think the Fed at least can scale back on the size of the increases, without signaling when they could end.While it was raising its benchmark rate, the committee characterized economic growth as \"modest\" though it noted only that unemployment \"has remained low.\" The latest job market assessment omitted previous language that employment gains have been \"robust.\"Otherwise, the statement remained intact from previous messages as the Fed continues its efforts to arrest inflation.Fed policy is thought to work on a lag – when the central bank raises rates, it takes time for the economy to adjust to tighter controls on money.This particular round of inflation started due to Covid-related factors such as clogged supply chains and surging demand for goods over services. The war in Ukraine aggravated rising gas prices, while unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus fueled rising costs across a variety of goods and services.Food prices have risen more than 10% over the past year. Egg prices alone have soared 60%, butter is up more than 31% and lettuce has jumped 25%, according to Labor Department data through December. Gas prices were ticking lower towards the end of 2022 but have popped higher in recent days, hitting $3.50 a gallon nationally for an increase of about 30 cents over the past month, according to AAA.Fed officials have remained resolute about tackling inflation, though they have said recent numbers show pressures could be easing. The consumer price index declined 0.1% in December on a monthly basis and is up 6.4% from a year ago – down from the peak of 9% last summer but still well above where the Fed feels comfortable.Along with the rate hikes, the Fed has been reducing the holdings in its bond portfolio. That has resulted in a reduction of about $445 billion since June, as the Fed has targeted a capped level of $95 billion in maturing bonds it is allowing to roll off each month rather than reinvest.The balance sheet reduction has been the equivalent of about 2 percentage points of additional rate hikes, according to the San Francisco Fed. The balance sheet is still at more than $8.4 trillion.Markets are watching for where the Fed will finally end the increases.At the December FOMC meeting, committee members indicated they see the \"terminal rate,\" or point where the Fed thinks policy is sufficiently restrictive, as 5.1%. Markets are betting that number is closer to 4.75%, and they expect the Fed to start cutting rates later this year, after one more quarter-point increase in March.Stocks rallied to start 2023 as investors anticipated a less restrictive Fed.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952502429,"gmtCreate":1674791881661,"gmtModify":1676538959042,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> 30 more to 100%","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> 30 more to 100%","text":"$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ 30 more to 100%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c952b455f1a80f6f99e256109304e239","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952502429","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952697565,"gmtCreate":1674674091057,"gmtModify":1676538951984,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/898df3a9620a5f8ce37e0a308fe75112","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952697565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952697246,"gmtCreate":1674674057986,"gmtModify":1676538951984,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OMF\">$OneMain(OMF)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OMF\">$OneMain(OMF)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$OneMain(OMF)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85f57f3054ac1d206d3dde9566c0b7a9","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952697246","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953612098,"gmtCreate":1673234262514,"gmtModify":1676538803390,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953612098","repostId":"2302713787","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2302713787","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1673217587,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2302713787?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-09 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Data, Banks Kick off Earnings Season: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302713787","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     The holidays are over and it will be a busy week for investors: the sta","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     The holidays are over and it will be a busy week for investors: the start of fourth-quarter earnings season and the latest inflation data will be the highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Earning season kicks off on Friday, with results from several big banks and other notable companies. Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all report before the market opens, as will BlackRock, Delta Air Lines, and UnitedHealth Group. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for December. On average, economists are predicting no change in the index in the last month of 2022. That would mean a 6.6% year-over-year increase, after a 7.1% rise in November. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to have risen 0.3% in December, for a one-year gain of 5.7%. That would be down from the 6% annual rate of growth through November. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic-data releases on the calendar include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for December. On Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for January. Both are expected to be up at least slightly from the prior month. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 1/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for November. In October, total consumer debt increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.9% to a record $4.73 trillion. Revolving credit, which is mostly credit-card debt, jumped 10.4% as more consumers tap credit to pay for living expenses. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 1/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for December. Consensus estimate is for a 91.5 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index remains mired near eight-year lows from last summer as small-business owners continue to cite inflation as their No. 1 issue. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 1/11 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, for the week ending on Jan. 6. Mortgage activity declined sharply in the second half of last year as interest rates surged. In October, mortgage activity hit a 25-year low. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 1/12 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Jan. 7. In December, jobless claims averaged 217,500, still low historically. Despite the many announcements of layoffs in the tech and real estate sectors, the job market remains tight, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics this past week reported the unemployment rate edging down to 3.5%, near a half-century low. The U.S. economy added 4.5 million jobs last year, or about 375,000 a month on average. The second half of 2022 did see a slowing of job growth from the first half's blistering pace but nothing that portends a recession in 2023, which the majority of economists are forecasting. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the consumer price index for December. Economists forecast a 6.5% year-over-year increase, after a 7.1% jump in November. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 5.7%, slightly slower than the 6% rate of growth previously. The CPI peaked at 9.1% in June of 2022, while the core CPI hit its top at 6.6% in September. The past two CPI reports have seen a sharp deceleration in inflation, but the Federal Open Market Committee has stressed that it needs to see many months of data before even considering an end to its interest-rate hiking campaign. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 1/13 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Earnings season kicks off with the four largest U.S. banks announcing quarterly results. Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo all report before the market open. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, Delta Air Lines, $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$, and UnitedHealth Group release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for January. The consensus call is for a 60.5 reading, about one point more than previously. In December, consumer expectations for the year-ahead inflation hit an 18-month low of 4.4%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 08, 2023 18:26 ET (23:26 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Data, Banks Kick off Earnings Season: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Data, Banks Kick off Earnings Season: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-09 06:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     The holidays are over and it will be a busy week for investors: the start of fourth-quarter earnings season and the latest inflation data will be the highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Earning season kicks off on Friday, with results from several big banks and other notable companies. Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all report before the market opens, as will BlackRock, Delta Air Lines, and UnitedHealth Group. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for December. On average, economists are predicting no change in the index in the last month of 2022. That would mean a 6.6% year-over-year increase, after a 7.1% rise in November. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to have risen 0.3% in December, for a one-year gain of 5.7%. That would be down from the 6% annual rate of growth through November. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic-data releases on the calendar include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for December. On Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for January. Both are expected to be up at least slightly from the prior month. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 1/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for November. In October, total consumer debt increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.9% to a record $4.73 trillion. Revolving credit, which is mostly credit-card debt, jumped 10.4% as more consumers tap credit to pay for living expenses. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 1/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for December. Consensus estimate is for a 91.5 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index remains mired near eight-year lows from last summer as small-business owners continue to cite inflation as their No. 1 issue. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 1/11 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, for the week ending on Jan. 6. Mortgage activity declined sharply in the second half of last year as interest rates surged. In October, mortgage activity hit a 25-year low. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 1/12 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Jan. 7. In December, jobless claims averaged 217,500, still low historically. Despite the many announcements of layoffs in the tech and real estate sectors, the job market remains tight, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics this past week reported the unemployment rate edging down to 3.5%, near a half-century low. The U.S. economy added 4.5 million jobs last year, or about 375,000 a month on average. The second half of 2022 did see a slowing of job growth from the first half's blistering pace but nothing that portends a recession in 2023, which the majority of economists are forecasting. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the consumer price index for December. Economists forecast a 6.5% year-over-year increase, after a 7.1% jump in November. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 5.7%, slightly slower than the 6% rate of growth previously. The CPI peaked at 9.1% in June of 2022, while the core CPI hit its top at 6.6% in September. The past two CPI reports have seen a sharp deceleration in inflation, but the Federal Open Market Committee has stressed that it needs to see many months of data before even considering an end to its interest-rate hiking campaign. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 1/13 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Earnings season kicks off with the four largest U.S. banks announcing quarterly results. Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo all report before the market open. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, Delta Air Lines, $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$, and UnitedHealth Group release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for January. The consensus call is for a 60.5 reading, about one point more than previously. In December, consumer expectations for the year-ahead inflation hit an 18-month low of 4.4%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 08, 2023 18:26 ET (23:26 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","WFC":"富国银行","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","BK4154":"管理型保健护理","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","LU0158827948.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"A\" (USD) INC","BLK":"贝莱德","DAL":"达美航空","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE0002141913.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL LIFE SCIENCES \"I2\" (USD) ACC","BK4207":"综合性银行","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET  INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","UNH":"联合健康","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1718418525.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Select Equity A (acc) SGD","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","JPM":"摩根大通","LU0557290698.USD":"施罗德环球可持续增长基金","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","BAC":"美国银行","IE0009355771.USD":"骏利亨德森环球生命科技A Acc",".DJI":"道琼斯","IE00B2B36J28.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL LIFE SCIENCES \"I1\" (USD) INC","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","C":"花旗",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00BJT1NW94.SGD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL LIFE SCIENCES \"A2\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0310800379.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global A Acc SGD","BK4008":"航空公司",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2302713787","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     The holidays are over and it will be a busy week for investors: the start of fourth-quarter earnings season and the latest inflation data will be the highlights. \n\n\n     Earning season kicks off on Friday, with results from several big banks and other notable companies. Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all report before the market opens, as will BlackRock, Delta Air Lines, and UnitedHealth Group. \n\n\n     On Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for December. On average, economists are predicting no change in the index in the last month of 2022. That would mean a 6.6% year-over-year increase, after a 7.1% rise in November. \n\n\n     The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to have risen 0.3% in December, for a one-year gain of 5.7%. That would be down from the 6% annual rate of growth through November. \n\n\n     Other economic-data releases on the calendar include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for December. On Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for January. Both are expected to be up at least slightly from the prior month. \n\n\n     Monday 1/9 \n\n\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for November. In October, total consumer debt increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.9% to a record $4.73 trillion. Revolving credit, which is mostly credit-card debt, jumped 10.4% as more consumers tap credit to pay for living expenses. \n\n\n     Tuesday 1/10 \n\n\n     The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for December. Consensus estimate is for a 91.5 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index remains mired near eight-year lows from last summer as small-business owners continue to cite inflation as their No. 1 issue. \n\n\n     Wednesday 1/11 \n\n\n     The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, for the week ending on Jan. 6. Mortgage activity declined sharply in the second half of last year as interest rates surged. In October, mortgage activity hit a 25-year low. \n\n\n     Thursday 1/12 \n\n\n     The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Jan. 7. In December, jobless claims averaged 217,500, still low historically. Despite the many announcements of layoffs in the tech and real estate sectors, the job market remains tight, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics this past week reported the unemployment rate edging down to 3.5%, near a half-century low. The U.S. economy added 4.5 million jobs last year, or about 375,000 a month on average. The second half of 2022 did see a slowing of job growth from the first half's blistering pace but nothing that portends a recession in 2023, which the majority of economists are forecasting. \n\n\n     The BLS releases the consumer price index for December. Economists forecast a 6.5% year-over-year increase, after a 7.1% jump in November. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 5.7%, slightly slower than the 6% rate of growth previously. The CPI peaked at 9.1% in June of 2022, while the core CPI hit its top at 6.6% in September. The past two CPI reports have seen a sharp deceleration in inflation, but the Federal Open Market Committee has stressed that it needs to see many months of data before even considering an end to its interest-rate hiking campaign. \n\n\n     Friday 1/13 \n\n\n     Earnings season kicks off with the four largest U.S. banks announcing quarterly results. Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo all report before the market open. \n\n\n     Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, Delta Air Lines, $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$, and UnitedHealth Group release earnings. \n\n\n     The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for January. The consensus call is for a 60.5 reading, about one point more than previously. In December, consumer expectations for the year-ahead inflation hit an 18-month low of 4.4%. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  January 08, 2023 18:26 ET (23:26 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924744357,"gmtCreate":1672335423980,"gmtModify":1676538675121,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a> The only red in my portfolio","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a> The only red in my portfolio","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ The only red in my portfolio","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aeaa3619ffe292df29119708b96a61a2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924744357","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924745725,"gmtCreate":1672335359268,"gmtModify":1676538675112,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$&nbsp;&nbsp; Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share ","listText":"$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$&nbsp;&nbsp; Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share ","text":"$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$ Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share ","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ea2b3da92bde16b15dd6687df5d3e0e9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924745725","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924751558,"gmtCreate":1672332100875,"gmtModify":1676538674677,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> Go ABSI more please","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> Go ABSI more please","text":"$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ Go ABSI more please","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/612fc50876860392bb3c5983a0fe6b94","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924751558","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929683922,"gmtCreate":1670648675766,"gmtModify":1676538412469,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024","listText":"Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024","text":"Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929683922","repostId":"2290225643","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2290225643","pubTimestamp":1670625045,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2290225643?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-10 06:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Things to Watch When the Fed Makes Its Interest-Rate Decision","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290225643","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Press conference 'should be a doozy'Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell participates in a questio","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Press conference &#39;should be a doozy&#39;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aad22a8da050c6b90f85a45e5aaeff1f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell participates in a question-and-answer session after speaking at the Brookings Institute on Nov. 30.</span></p><p>During the Federal Reserve&#39;s last battle with high inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, Fed officials didn&#39;t talk much at all publicly. When pressed for information on Capitol Hill about the outlook for the economy and interest rates, former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker would disappear behind a thickening cloud of cigar smoke. (Smoking was allowed at hearings in those days.)</p><p>Forty years later, there will be no ashtrays in sight when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell holds a post-meeting news conference. And investors and economists are going to get a slew of information, not just smoke, from the central bank.</p><p>&#34;After the Fed meeting, it&#39;s going to be like information overload,&#34; said Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, in an interview.</p><p>In general, economists expect a hawkish Powell Wednesday.</p><p>Financial conditions have eased since the Fed&#39;s November meeting, which doesn&#39;t help dampen inflation.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year Treasury note  has fallen sharply to 3.49% from 4.21% just after the Fed&#39;s previous policy meeting. The S&amp;P 500 stock-market index  also has gained ground.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dbe91cc028bcb156663a9fa874ebf40\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"669\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>&#34;This has been a struggle for this FOMC the whole year,&#34; said Jan Groen, chief U.S. macro strategist at TD Securities, in an interview.</p><p>&#34;Powell had to come out at Jackson Hole with a big speech and we had this super hawkish press conference in November. And then again, they lost control of it. So I think, again, he has to do something similar,&#34; Groen said.</p><p>Here&#39;s a look at what experts will be watching for when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting on Wednesday.</p><h2>Slowing down the pace of rate hikes</h2><p>The Fed is widely expected to slow to to raise its benchmark rate by a half percentage point, a slower pace than the four 0.75 point rate hikes seen since June. This will bring the Fed&#39;s benchmark rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>While some economists argued that the strong November jobs report put a 0.75 point hike back on the table, most don&#39;t agree. &#34;For all intents and purposes, that ship sailed at the November FOMC meeting ,&#34; said Tim Duy, economist at SGH Macro Advisors. &#34;A June-like adjustment isn&#39;t happening here,&#34; he added, referring to the Fed&#39;s surprising last-minute decision to engineer the first 0.75 percentage point hike.</p><h2>Signaling more hikes to come</h2><p>To keep from sounding dovish with the slower rate hikes, Powell and the Fed will highlight again that rates need to go higher.</p><p>Economists said the Fed will retain a key phrase from the November statement that the central bankers expected &#34;ongoing increases&#34; in the benchmark interest rate.</p><p>Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, argued the Fed might change the wording to &#34;some further increase&#34; in the benchmark rate will be appropriate in order to give the Fed flexibility.</p><p>Avery Shenfeld, chief economist of CIBC World Markets, thinks that it is premature for the Fed to soften the wording.</p><p>&#34;When you still have another 50 basis points to go that you&#39;re pretty sure you&#39;re going to do and you might have to do more than that, you&#39;re not going to change the wording,&#34; said Shenfeld, in an interview.</p><p>Shenfeld thinks the Fed can stop hiking at 5% and hold until 2024.</p><h2>How high will rates go and how long will they stay there?</h2><p>In the last &#34;dot plot&#34; in September, the Fed forecast that the top end of its benchmark rate would have a top out at 4.75%.  Groen of TD Securities says the Fed&#39;s new dot plot will push up the terminal rate up, but only slightly to 5%.</p><p>In order to move the median higher, there has to be a really big move in the distribution of the dots, Groen said.</p><p>The key for markets is how many Fed officials pencil in their dot above 5%, Groen said.  In September, no Fed officials projected the terminal rate above 5%.</p><p>Some economists think the Fed might push up the high end of the terminal range to 5.25%.</p><p>In order to try to underline that it intends to hold rates at a high level, the Fed will project no rate cuts in 2023, economists said.</p><h2>More pain on the table</h2><p>With the Fed projecting higher interest rates, economists expect the Fed forecast to reflect more pain for the economy.</p><p>&#34;From 2023-2025, we expect that GDP growth will be revised lower, the unemployment rate will be revised higher and inflation will also be revised lower,&#34; said economists at Bank of America, in a note to clients.</p><p>In September, the Fed projected the unemployment rate would rise to 4.4% in 2023 before slowly coming down. The unemployment rate was 3.7% in November.</p><p>The market needs to see a forecast of softer inflation but not a deep recession, Shenfeld said.</p><p>The market is thinking that inflation is going to come down quickly and that growth will also thinking that the economy will be so weak the Fed will have to come to the rescue, Shenfeld said.</p><h2>Press conference</h2><p>With so many uncertainties facing the Fed, &#34;the press conference is likely to be a doozy,&#34; said Dan North, senior economist at trade credit insurer Allianz Trade North America.</p><p>&#34;The statement is carefully prepared, carefully worded. In the press conference, it is where Powell might reveal more about what the thinking is and therefore might  reveal more about the future path of tightening might be and when there might eventually be a stop and a pivot.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re at the precipice now,&#34; with the Fed perhaps not far from stopping, he added.</p><p>One way to measure Powell&#39;s hawkishness is how he talks about the risk of overtightening.</p><p>At his press conference in November,  Powell said that if the Fed were to overtighten, &#34;we could use our tools to support the economy.&#34;</p><p>Then markets took a dovish signal from Powell&#39;s comment a week ago that the central bank didn&#39;t want to overtighten.</p><p>&#34;We should expect a more austere tone in December,&#34; said Krishna Guha, vice chairman of Evercore ISI, in a note to clients.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Things to Watch When the Fed Makes Its Interest-Rate Decision\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-10 06:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-to-watch-when-the-fed-makes-its-interest-rate-decision-11670573115?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Press conference 'should be a doozy'Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell participates in a question-and-answer session after speaking at the Brookings Institute on Nov. 30.During the Federal Reserve...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-to-watch-when-the-fed-makes-its-interest-rate-decision-11670573115?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-to-watch-when-the-fed-makes-its-interest-rate-decision-11670573115?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290225643","content_text":"Press conference 'should be a doozy'Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell participates in a question-and-answer session after speaking at the Brookings Institute on Nov. 30.During the Federal Reserve's last battle with high inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, Fed officials didn't talk much at all publicly. When pressed for information on Capitol Hill about the outlook for the economy and interest rates, former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker would disappear behind a thickening cloud of cigar smoke. (Smoking was allowed at hearings in those days.)Forty years later, there will be no ashtrays in sight when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell holds a post-meeting news conference. And investors and economists are going to get a slew of information, not just smoke, from the central bank.\"After the Fed meeting, it's going to be like information overload,\" said Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, in an interview.In general, economists expect a hawkish Powell Wednesday.Financial conditions have eased since the Fed's November meeting, which doesn't help dampen inflation.The yield on the 10-year Treasury note  has fallen sharply to 3.49% from 4.21% just after the Fed's previous policy meeting. The S&P 500 stock-market index  also has gained ground.\"This has been a struggle for this FOMC the whole year,\" said Jan Groen, chief U.S. macro strategist at TD Securities, in an interview.\"Powell had to come out at Jackson Hole with a big speech and we had this super hawkish press conference in November. And then again, they lost control of it. So I think, again, he has to do something similar,\" Groen said.Here's a look at what experts will be watching for when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting on Wednesday.Slowing down the pace of rate hikesThe Fed is widely expected to slow to to raise its benchmark rate by a half percentage point, a slower pace than the four 0.75 point rate hikes seen since June. This will bring the Fed's benchmark rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%.While some economists argued that the strong November jobs report put a 0.75 point hike back on the table, most don't agree. \"For all intents and purposes, that ship sailed at the November FOMC meeting ,\" said Tim Duy, economist at SGH Macro Advisors. \"A June-like adjustment isn't happening here,\" he added, referring to the Fed's surprising last-minute decision to engineer the first 0.75 percentage point hike.Signaling more hikes to comeTo keep from sounding dovish with the slower rate hikes, Powell and the Fed will highlight again that rates need to go higher.Economists said the Fed will retain a key phrase from the November statement that the central bankers expected \"ongoing increases\" in the benchmark interest rate.Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, argued the Fed might change the wording to \"some further increase\" in the benchmark rate will be appropriate in order to give the Fed flexibility.Avery Shenfeld, chief economist of CIBC World Markets, thinks that it is premature for the Fed to soften the wording.\"When you still have another 50 basis points to go that you're pretty sure you're going to do and you might have to do more than that, you're not going to change the wording,\" said Shenfeld, in an interview.Shenfeld thinks the Fed can stop hiking at 5% and hold until 2024.How high will rates go and how long will they stay there?In the last \"dot plot\" in September, the Fed forecast that the top end of its benchmark rate would have a top out at 4.75%.  Groen of TD Securities says the Fed's new dot plot will push up the terminal rate up, but only slightly to 5%.In order to move the median higher, there has to be a really big move in the distribution of the dots, Groen said.The key for markets is how many Fed officials pencil in their dot above 5%, Groen said.  In September, no Fed officials projected the terminal rate above 5%.Some economists think the Fed might push up the high end of the terminal range to 5.25%.In order to try to underline that it intends to hold rates at a high level, the Fed will project no rate cuts in 2023, economists said.More pain on the tableWith the Fed projecting higher interest rates, economists expect the Fed forecast to reflect more pain for the economy.\"From 2023-2025, we expect that GDP growth will be revised lower, the unemployment rate will be revised higher and inflation will also be revised lower,\" said economists at Bank of America, in a note to clients.In September, the Fed projected the unemployment rate would rise to 4.4% in 2023 before slowly coming down. The unemployment rate was 3.7% in November.The market needs to see a forecast of softer inflation but not a deep recession, Shenfeld said.The market is thinking that inflation is going to come down quickly and that growth will also thinking that the economy will be so weak the Fed will have to come to the rescue, Shenfeld said.Press conferenceWith so many uncertainties facing the Fed, \"the press conference is likely to be a doozy,\" said Dan North, senior economist at trade credit insurer Allianz Trade North America.\"The statement is carefully prepared, carefully worded. In the press conference, it is where Powell might reveal more about what the thinking is and therefore might  reveal more about the future path of tightening might be and when there might eventually be a stop and a pivot.\"\"We're at the precipice now,\" with the Fed perhaps not far from stopping, he added.One way to measure Powell's hawkishness is how he talks about the risk of overtightening.At his press conference in November,  Powell said that if the Fed were to overtighten, \"we could use our tools to support the economy.\"Then markets took a dovish signal from Powell's comment a week ago that the central bank didn't want to overtighten.\"We should expect a more austere tone in December,\" said Krishna Guha, vice chairman of Evercore ISI, in a note to clients.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966927400,"gmtCreate":1669389082201,"gmtModify":1676538192300,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>more please","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>more please","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ more please","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e64d89a3a5e9d7114569ea08d603d67f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966927400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966922058,"gmtCreate":1669388093974,"gmtModify":1676538192168,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>10 will become major resistance[LOL]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>10 will become major resistance[LOL]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ 10 will become major resistance[LOL] [LOL] [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966922058","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966926972,"gmtCreate":1669387863896,"gmtModify":1676538192137,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966926972","repostId":"2286362236","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960227106,"gmtCreate":1668180394605,"gmtModify":1676538025506,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53606b21ebd7c05be96cb56540ca0f6f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960227106","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960652468,"gmtCreate":1668148656654,"gmtModify":1676538020938,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960652468","repostId":"1178544119","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9953612098,"gmtCreate":1673234262514,"gmtModify":1676538803390,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953612098","repostId":"2302713787","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955187473,"gmtCreate":1675280604692,"gmtModify":1676538989341,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.","listText":"25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.","text":"25bps is already priced-in, now stock prices will go up.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955187473","repostId":"1177494341","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966926972,"gmtCreate":1669387863896,"gmtModify":1676538192137,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966926972","repostId":"2286362236","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2286362236","pubTimestamp":1669383007,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2286362236?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-25 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Lucid: Buy The Bottom This Black Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286362236","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLucid is an undervalued hypergrowth company in the lucrative EV segment.The company has enorm","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Lucid is an undervalued hypergrowth company in the lucrative EV segment.</li><li>The company has enormous revenue growth potential and should eventually become highly profitable.</li><li>Lucid has illustrated the ability to mass-produce vehicles, and deliveries should surge in the coming years.</li><li>Moreover, the company has a new SUV scheduled to go into production next year.</li><li>Lucid&#39;s revenues should increase substantially, driving its stock price significantly higher.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cb72f3ff62733413715c58d7ec132a9\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>hapabapa</span></p><p>Lucid&#39;s (NASDAQ:LCID) Air is a remarkable vehicle, notably the Dream Edition. The performance version delivers 1,111 horsepower, nearly 500 miles of range, and a relatively inexpensive $169,000. Where else can you buy a fantastic EV with a supercar-like performance below $200K? The only company coming to mind is Tesla (TSLA), with its high-end Model S models. The exciting thing about Lucid is that you can get the Air vehicle in very different configurations that range widely in price. This model diversification is an excellent managerial decision, as consumers can choose what Lucid car fills their needs best.</p><p>Take Your Pick:</p><ul><li>Air Pure: From $87,400 / 480 hp / 410 mi range</li><li>Air Touring: From $107,400 / 620 hp / 425 mi range</li><li>Air Grand Touring: From $154,000 / 1,050 hp / 516 mi range</li><li>Air Dream Edition (performance version): From $169,000 / 1,100 hp / 471 mi range</li><li>Air Sapphire: From $249,000 / 1,200 hp / 200+ mph</li></ul><p>The price range of Lucid&#39;s vehicles is exceptionally versatile, almost like offering five individual models simultaneously. The Air Sapphire can hit zero to sixty in just 1.89 seconds, putting it performance-wise right up with the Tesla Model S Plaid. However, despite the slightly higher price tag, the Air has a more modern design than the outdated Models S. Therefore, Lucid&#39;s versatile Air segment should draw substantial demand in the coming years. Lucid has an impressive SUV coming that should compete directly with Tesla&#39;s Model X.</p><p>Moreover, Lucid is also planning to launch a midsize luxury sedan in 2025. This new product could eventually mean the introduction of a crossover from the company as well. Lucid&#39;s strategy seems like it&#39;s coming right out of Tesla&#39;s playbook, and the company may pull it off. A midsize luxury sedan would make Lucid a direct competitor to Tesla&#39;s Model 3 and other top EVs in the space. EV sales are exploding, and if Lucid eats into some of the Model 3&#39;s market share, its revenues could skyrocket in future years.</p><p>Lucid 2-Year Chart</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec1bbf3e3f35d21d72f217dcaaafc3ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>LCID (StockCharts.com)</span></p><p>Lucid has been on a wild ride over the last two years. The stock hit a post-SPAC deal high of around $65. We see Lucid trading around its pre-SPAC IPO price of ten bucks, a whopping 85% below the company&#39;s ATH. However, despite the poor price action, now is the time you want to buy this stock. Investors were greedy at $50-60, and they are fearful now when the stock is at $10. The downside potential is minimal now, and Lucid&#39;s stock price should recover soon. Lucid is a unique company with hyper-growth potential in the lucrative EV space. The company is already producing thousands of vehicles and should expand operations significantly in future years. Lucid&#39;s stock is dramatically oversold. Lucid should increase revenues substantially, illustrating solid profitability potential and driving its stock price considerably higher in the coming years.</p><p>Lucid&#39;s Valuation: Not So LudicrousRevenue Estimates</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15ee6283b84854e73bf8bc85e06c84a2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )</span></p><p>In 2021, Lucid had around $27 million in revenues. This year the company could have about $750 million. Next year&#39;s revenues are set to surge to approximately $2.6 billion, roughly a 250% YoY gain. Moreover, we should see substantial 50-100% YoY growth for several years with Lucid. The company could rake in $12-15 billion in revenues by 2026 (higher-end estimates). If the company pulls off this performance, Lucid&#39;s stock may be trading at around 1.2-1.5 times 2026 expected sales, which is more than affordable.</p><p>Moreover, the company has extraordinary potential to continue growing revenues for many years while continuously improving its profitability potential. It&#39;s critical to remember that Lucid is a young company, and like Tesla and other top start-up EV manufacturers, Lucid will need to go through an unprofitable stage. Nevertheless, as the company&#39;s economies of scale capabilities improve, Lucid should become increasingly profitable in future years.</p><p>What Lucid&#39;s stock price could look like in future years:</p><table><tbody><tr><td>Year</td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025</td><td>2026</td><td>2027</td><td>2028</td><td>2029</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue Bs</td><td>$.75</td><td>$2.6</td><td>$5.2</td><td>$10</td><td>$17</td><td>$25</td><td>$36</td><td>$51</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>2,700%</td><td>250%</td><td>100%</td><td>92%</td><td>70%</td><td>50%</td><td>45%</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td>Forward P/S</td><td>6.5</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>7</td></tr><tr><td>Market cap Bs</td><td>$17</td><td>$36</td><td>$80</td><td>$136</td><td>$200</td><td>$288</td><td>$357</td><td>$400</td></tr><tr><td>Stock price</td><td>$10</td><td>$21</td><td>$47</td><td>$80</td><td>$118</td><td>$170</td><td>$210</td><td>$236</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Financial Prophet</p><p>Provided that Lucid can produce 400,000 vehicles annually, the car company should achieve massive revenues in future years. If we use a modest $75,000 ASP, 400,000 cars could amount to around $30 billion in annual revenues. Along with its new factory in Saudi Arabia, Lucid plans to have a production capacity of approximately 500,000 vehicles annually by mid-defaced. Combined, the two factories should enable Lucid to achieve around $35-40 billion in revenues annually. Therefore, Lucid could expand revenues more rapidly than projections imply. Lucid&#39;s stock can move substantially higher, increasing by tenfold or more by the end of the decade.</p><h2>Risks to Lucid</h2><p>While I am bullish on Lucid, risks exist. Lucid may run into production issues slowing the trajectory of its revenue growth. Moreover, the company can remain profitless for longer than expected, leading to lower multiples. Additionally, there is increased competition from Tesla and other automakers. Therefore, Lucid may run into demand issues due to the relatively high cost of its vehicles. The downturn could also impact sales, and the stock could be in for more volatility in the short term. Investors should examine these and other risks before committing an investment in Lucid.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lucid: Buy The Bottom This Black Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLucid: Buy The Bottom This Black Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-25 21:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560425-lucid-stock-buy-bottom-this-black-friday><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLucid is an undervalued hypergrowth company in the lucrative EV segment.The company has enormous revenue growth potential and should eventually become highly profitable.Lucid has illustrated ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560425-lucid-stock-buy-bottom-this-black-friday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560425-lucid-stock-buy-bottom-this-black-friday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286362236","content_text":"SummaryLucid is an undervalued hypergrowth company in the lucrative EV segment.The company has enormous revenue growth potential and should eventually become highly profitable.Lucid has illustrated the ability to mass-produce vehicles, and deliveries should surge in the coming years.Moreover, the company has a new SUV scheduled to go into production next year.Lucid's revenues should increase substantially, driving its stock price significantly higher.hapabapaLucid's (NASDAQ:LCID) Air is a remarkable vehicle, notably the Dream Edition. The performance version delivers 1,111 horsepower, nearly 500 miles of range, and a relatively inexpensive $169,000. Where else can you buy a fantastic EV with a supercar-like performance below $200K? The only company coming to mind is Tesla (TSLA), with its high-end Model S models. The exciting thing about Lucid is that you can get the Air vehicle in very different configurations that range widely in price. This model diversification is an excellent managerial decision, as consumers can choose what Lucid car fills their needs best.Take Your Pick:Air Pure: From $87,400 / 480 hp / 410 mi rangeAir Touring: From $107,400 / 620 hp / 425 mi rangeAir Grand Touring: From $154,000 / 1,050 hp / 516 mi rangeAir Dream Edition (performance version): From $169,000 / 1,100 hp / 471 mi rangeAir Sapphire: From $249,000 / 1,200 hp / 200+ mphThe price range of Lucid's vehicles is exceptionally versatile, almost like offering five individual models simultaneously. The Air Sapphire can hit zero to sixty in just 1.89 seconds, putting it performance-wise right up with the Tesla Model S Plaid. However, despite the slightly higher price tag, the Air has a more modern design than the outdated Models S. Therefore, Lucid's versatile Air segment should draw substantial demand in the coming years. Lucid has an impressive SUV coming that should compete directly with Tesla's Model X.Moreover, Lucid is also planning to launch a midsize luxury sedan in 2025. This new product could eventually mean the introduction of a crossover from the company as well. Lucid's strategy seems like it's coming right out of Tesla's playbook, and the company may pull it off. A midsize luxury sedan would make Lucid a direct competitor to Tesla's Model 3 and other top EVs in the space. EV sales are exploding, and if Lucid eats into some of the Model 3's market share, its revenues could skyrocket in future years.Lucid 2-Year ChartLCID (StockCharts.com)Lucid has been on a wild ride over the last two years. The stock hit a post-SPAC deal high of around $65. We see Lucid trading around its pre-SPAC IPO price of ten bucks, a whopping 85% below the company's ATH. However, despite the poor price action, now is the time you want to buy this stock. Investors were greedy at $50-60, and they are fearful now when the stock is at $10. The downside potential is minimal now, and Lucid's stock price should recover soon. Lucid is a unique company with hyper-growth potential in the lucrative EV space. The company is already producing thousands of vehicles and should expand operations significantly in future years. Lucid's stock is dramatically oversold. Lucid should increase revenues substantially, illustrating solid profitability potential and driving its stock price considerably higher in the coming years.Lucid's Valuation: Not So LudicrousRevenue EstimatesRevenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )In 2021, Lucid had around $27 million in revenues. This year the company could have about $750 million. Next year's revenues are set to surge to approximately $2.6 billion, roughly a 250% YoY gain. Moreover, we should see substantial 50-100% YoY growth for several years with Lucid. The company could rake in $12-15 billion in revenues by 2026 (higher-end estimates). If the company pulls off this performance, Lucid's stock may be trading at around 1.2-1.5 times 2026 expected sales, which is more than affordable.Moreover, the company has extraordinary potential to continue growing revenues for many years while continuously improving its profitability potential. It's critical to remember that Lucid is a young company, and like Tesla and other top start-up EV manufacturers, Lucid will need to go through an unprofitable stage. Nevertheless, as the company's economies of scale capabilities improve, Lucid should become increasingly profitable in future years.What Lucid's stock price could look like in future years:Year20222023202420252026202720282029Revenue Bs$.75$2.6$5.2$10$17$25$36$51Revenue growth2,700%250%100%92%70%50%45%40%Forward P/S6.57888877Market cap Bs$17$36$80$136$200$288$357$400Stock price$10$21$47$80$118$170$210$236Source: The Financial ProphetProvided that Lucid can produce 400,000 vehicles annually, the car company should achieve massive revenues in future years. If we use a modest $75,000 ASP, 400,000 cars could amount to around $30 billion in annual revenues. Along with its new factory in Saudi Arabia, Lucid plans to have a production capacity of approximately 500,000 vehicles annually by mid-defaced. Combined, the two factories should enable Lucid to achieve around $35-40 billion in revenues annually. Therefore, Lucid could expand revenues more rapidly than projections imply. Lucid's stock can move substantially higher, increasing by tenfold or more by the end of the decade.Risks to LucidWhile I am bullish on Lucid, risks exist. Lucid may run into production issues slowing the trajectory of its revenue growth. Moreover, the company can remain profitless for longer than expected, leading to lower multiples. Additionally, there is increased competition from Tesla and other automakers. Therefore, Lucid may run into demand issues due to the relatively high cost of its vehicles. The downturn could also impact sales, and the stock could be in for more volatility in the short term. Investors should examine these and other risks before committing an investment in Lucid.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955217753,"gmtCreate":1675445645973,"gmtModify":1676539003843,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf97a13acb7acdec24c8611fd0d0bc85","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955217753","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929683922,"gmtCreate":1670648675766,"gmtModify":1676538412469,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024","listText":"Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024","text":"Another 75 bps then no changes in 2023 and 2024","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929683922","repostId":"2290225643","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960652468,"gmtCreate":1668148656654,"gmtModify":1676538020938,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960652468","repostId":"1178544119","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966927400,"gmtCreate":1669389082201,"gmtModify":1676538192300,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Inflation is a failure","listText":"Fed vs Inflation is a failure","text":"Fed vs Inflation is a failure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957649402","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954351757,"gmtCreate":1676022680780,"gmtModify":1676022685837,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For reentry? Hahahaha","listText":"For reentry? Hahahaha","text":"For reentry? Hahahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954351757","repostId":"2309517080","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952502429,"gmtCreate":1674791881661,"gmtModify":1676538959042,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> 30 more to 100%","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> 30 more to 100%","text":"$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ 30 more to 100%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c952b455f1a80f6f99e256109304e239","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952502429","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952697565,"gmtCreate":1674674091057,"gmtModify":1676538951984,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/898df3a9620a5f8ce37e0a308fe75112","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952697565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952697246,"gmtCreate":1674674057986,"gmtModify":1676538951984,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OMF\">$OneMain(OMF)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OMF\">$OneMain(OMF)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$OneMain(OMF)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85f57f3054ac1d206d3dde9566c0b7a9","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952697246","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924744357,"gmtCreate":1672335423980,"gmtModify":1676538675121,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a> The only red in my portfolio","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a> The only red in my portfolio","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ The only red in my portfolio","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aeaa3619ffe292df29119708b96a61a2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924744357","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924745725,"gmtCreate":1672335359268,"gmtModify":1676538675112,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$&nbsp;&nbsp; Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share ","listText":"$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$&nbsp;&nbsp; Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share ","text":"$TFS Financial Corp(TFSL)$ Go $TFSL Last dividend reinvested at 13.77 per share ","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ea2b3da92bde16b15dd6687df5d3e0e9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924745725","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924751558,"gmtCreate":1672332100875,"gmtModify":1676538674677,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> Go ABSI more please","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABSI\">$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ &nbsp;</a> Go ABSI more please","text":"$Absci Corporation.(ABSI)$ Go ABSI more please","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/612fc50876860392bb3c5983a0fe6b94","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924751558","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960227106,"gmtCreate":1668180394605,"gmtModify":1676538025506,"author":{"id":"4120346416991642","authorId":"4120346416991642","name":"Ais18castle","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/835ee5d7548e86785c7d9003f979716b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53606b21ebd7c05be96cb56540ca0f6f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960227106","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}