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Grg Nirmal

Grg Nirmal

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2022-09-12

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2022-09-12

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2022-08-26

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@Jasoncgs:$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Tesla(TSLA.US)$'s cumulative free cash flow could amount to $500 billion by roughly the end of the decade, an unprecedented amount in the auto industry -- or any other, for that matter.That's what was on the mind of one Tesla bull Tuesday. Analyst Pierre Ferragu also weighed in with his idea of what the electric vehicle maker should do with all that cash.Investors were feeling good Tuesday, too. Shares of Tesla were up 1.7%. The S&P 500 was flat and Nasdaq Composite was up 0.2%.Being a bull, Ferragu rates Tesla Buy. And he projects big numbers. His $1,580 price target is the highest tracked by Bloomberg by almost $100 and he values the company at about $1.6 trillion, more valuable than all U.S. co

2022-08-26

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Want $1,000 in Passive Income? Invest $4,626 in These 3 Stocks and Wait 5 Years

2022-08-23

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@MuddyWatersre_Bot:The comparisons between CS and DB just don’t stop. https://t.co/ab6ttYjCTZ From Twitter: https://twitter.com/laohu8/status/1562064680222433281

2022-08-21

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Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split

2022-08-20

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Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking

2022-08-18

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The Pros And Cons Of Investing In Tesla Stock

2022-08-17

Nice

Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split

2022-08-16

Fantastic...

Meme Stocks Show a Resurgence, Be Wary of Impulse Buying

2022-08-15

fantastic

@Lionel8383:Apple is just 8.3% from $3 trillion market cap

2022-08-14

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Inflation Surge Cools in July. Should You Still Play Defense with Your Portfolio?

2022-08-11

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Apple Inches Closer to Erasing 2022 Losses as Inflation Cools

2022-08-08

Yaa

Winners and Losers in U.S. Democrats’ Signature Tax and Energy Bill

2022-08-07

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@Stock Trends: The Stock Market Is Setting Up…

2022-08-03

okay

@MontagueWatt:Always had faith in this company as i only saw their presence increasing everywhere. As volume already crossed 21M in 10 Minutes considering average 34M clearly tell both Short coverings and new investment taking place. Continue holding for $500. a company that went bankrupt because it couldn’t service its debt is taking out another huge loan at onerous terms, and that’s good? I should go get a Discover card and transfer my Visa balances, I guess.$Revlon(REV)$

2022-08-03

Hello

Rally May Stall For Singapore Stock Market

2022-08-01

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2022-08-01

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2022-07-31

Hello

What if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932291390","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932293473,"gmtCreate":1662943328292,"gmtModify":1676537167425,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg 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Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995402778","repostId":"9995552053","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9995552053,"gmtCreate":1661485794375,"gmtModify":1676536528984,"author":{"id":"3561084656165923","authorId":"3561084656165923","name":"Jasoncgs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1622d5cfadd1fed439627266676535c8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>$Tesla(TSLA.US)$'s cumulative free cash flow could amount to $500 billion by roughly the end of the decade, an unprecedented amount in the auto industry -- or any other, for that matter.That's what was on the mind of one Tesla bull Tuesday. Analyst Pierre Ferragu also weighed in with his idea of what the electric vehicle maker should do with all that cash.Investors were feeling good Tuesday, too. Shares of Tesla were up 1.7%. The S&amp;P 500 was flat and Nasdaq Composite was up 0.2%.Being a bull, Ferragu rates Tesla Buy. And he projects big numbers. His $1,580 price target is the highest tracked by Bloomberg by almost $100 and he values the company at about $1.6 trillion, more valuable than all U.S. co","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>$Tesla(TSLA.US)$'s cumulative free cash flow could amount to $500 billion by roughly the end of the decade, an unprecedented amount in the auto industry -- or any other, for that matter.That's what was on the mind of one Tesla bull Tuesday. Analyst Pierre Ferragu also weighed in with his idea of what the electric vehicle maker should do with all that cash.Investors were feeling good Tuesday, too. Shares of Tesla were up 1.7%. The S&amp;P 500 was flat and Nasdaq Composite was up 0.2%.Being a bull, Ferragu rates Tesla Buy. And he projects big numbers. His $1,580 price target is the highest tracked by Bloomberg by almost $100 and he values the company at about $1.6 trillion, more valuable than all U.S. co","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Tesla(TSLA.US)$'s cumulative free cash flow could amount to $500 billion by roughly the end of the decade, an unprecedented amount in the auto industry -- or any other, for that matter.That's what was on the mind of one Tesla bull Tuesday. Analyst Pierre Ferragu also weighed in with his idea of what the electric vehicle maker should do with all that cash.Investors were feeling good Tuesday, too. Shares of Tesla were up 1.7%. The S&P 500 was flat and Nasdaq Composite was up 0.2%.Being a bull, Ferragu rates Tesla Buy. And he projects big numbers. 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Invest $4,626 in These 3 Stocks and Wait 5 Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262812935","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three companies are conservative and have a history of dividend increases.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Building an income portfolio is a function of a couple of things. First, look at your financial goal and then work backward. In this case, let&#39;s say an investor wants to generate $1,000 in passive income from three stocks in five years. The next step is to find three good stocks and then calculate how many shares to buy to generate that income. Theoretically it would take a smaller investment if we used a dividend reinvestment plan, but that complicates the math.</p><p>The three stocks are <b>Realty Income</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STOR\">STORE Capital</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy</b>. I&#39;ll work through the math when discussing each one. Note that I am also choosing conservative names, which would be appropriate for an income investor.</p><h2>Triple-net lease REITs are highly stable income-generating businesses</h2><p>Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on single-tenant real estate properties. It is a Dividend Aristocrat, and has been a stalwart performer through thick and thin. It leases properties to tenants under long-term triple-net lease contracts. These contracts generally last a long time and push most of the operational costs on to the tenant. The stock is currently trading at about $70.60 and pays an annual dividend of $2.97. Over five years, the stock should pay a total of $14.85 in dividends, assuming no cuts or increases. To generate $333 in income you would need 22.5 shares, which would cost $1,589.</p><p>As a Dividend Aristocrat, the company has a long history of dividend increases, so chances are that the stock will generate more than $14.85 in dividends over the next five years.   During the COVID-19 pandemic, most REITs cut their dividends. Realty Income hiked its dividend three times in 2020. It should be a core holding in an income investor&#39;s portfolio.</p><p>STORE Capital has a similar business model to Realty Income. It is a major holding of Warren Buffett&#39;s <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. Like Realty Income, it largely focuses on tenants that are somewhat more insulated from the business cycle than most. STORE&#39;s typical tenants include fast-food and casual dining restaurants, child education centers, supermarkets, retail, and some manufacturing. Like Realty Income, the company was able to raise its dividend during the COVID-19 pandemic. Its business model is highly conservative, and it does a deep dive into the financials of its tenants. The stock is trading at about $27.50 and pays $1.54 in annual dividends. Assuming no cuts or increases, that should build to $7.70 in dividends over the next five years. To get $333 in income you would need 43.3 shares at a cost of $1,195.</p><h2>Regulated utilities are protected by the government</h2><p>Duke Energy is a regulated utility, which is another favorite for income investors. Duke provides electricity and natural gas service to the Southeast and parts of the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MDWT\">Midwest</a>. Regulated utilities are often granted monopoly rights for a territory in exchange for letting the regulators determine what they are permitted to charge. This prevents the utility from price gouging, and it also ensures that it can earn a return without getting into financial distress. Utilities have historically been considered some of the safest stocks given that demand is pretty constant and they face little competition. Duke is currently trading at about $110.50 per share. Duke pays an annual dividend of $4.02, which would amount to $20.10 over five years. To generate $333 in income you would need 16.6 shares which would cost about $1,843</p><p>So, overall if you bought these three stocks, it would cost $4,626 to buy enough shares to generate $1,000 in income over the next five years. Given that these stocks have a history of dividend increases even during tough times, chances are the income would be more than $1,000.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want $1,000 in Passive Income? Invest $4,626 in These 3 Stocks and Wait 5 Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant $1,000 in Passive Income? Invest $4,626 in These 3 Stocks and Wait 5 Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/want-1000-in-passive-income-invest-21700-in-these/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Building an income portfolio is a function of a couple of things. First, look at your financial goal and then work backward. In this case, let's say an investor wants to generate $1,000 in passive ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/want-1000-in-passive-income-invest-21700-in-these/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DUK":"杜克能源","O":"Realty Income Corp","STOR":"STORE Capital"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/want-1000-in-passive-income-invest-21700-in-these/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262812935","content_text":"Building an income portfolio is a function of a couple of things. First, look at your financial goal and then work backward. In this case, let's say an investor wants to generate $1,000 in passive income from three stocks in five years. The next step is to find three good stocks and then calculate how many shares to buy to generate that income. Theoretically it would take a smaller investment if we used a dividend reinvestment plan, but that complicates the math.The three stocks are Realty Income, STORE Capital and Duke Energy. I'll work through the math when discussing each one. Note that I am also choosing conservative names, which would be appropriate for an income investor.Triple-net lease REITs are highly stable income-generating businessesRealty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on single-tenant real estate properties. It is a Dividend Aristocrat, and has been a stalwart performer through thick and thin. It leases properties to tenants under long-term triple-net lease contracts. These contracts generally last a long time and push most of the operational costs on to the tenant. The stock is currently trading at about $70.60 and pays an annual dividend of $2.97. Over five years, the stock should pay a total of $14.85 in dividends, assuming no cuts or increases. To generate $333 in income you would need 22.5 shares, which would cost $1,589.As a Dividend Aristocrat, the company has a long history of dividend increases, so chances are that the stock will generate more than $14.85 in dividends over the next five years.   During the COVID-19 pandemic, most REITs cut their dividends. Realty Income hiked its dividend three times in 2020. It should be a core holding in an income investor's portfolio.STORE Capital has a similar business model to Realty Income. It is a major holding of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway. Like Realty Income, it largely focuses on tenants that are somewhat more insulated from the business cycle than most. STORE's typical tenants include fast-food and casual dining restaurants, child education centers, supermarkets, retail, and some manufacturing. Like Realty Income, the company was able to raise its dividend during the COVID-19 pandemic. Its business model is highly conservative, and it does a deep dive into the financials of its tenants. The stock is trading at about $27.50 and pays $1.54 in annual dividends. Assuming no cuts or increases, that should build to $7.70 in dividends over the next five years. To get $333 in income you would need 43.3 shares at a cost of $1,195.Regulated utilities are protected by the governmentDuke Energy is a regulated utility, which is another favorite for income investors. Duke provides electricity and natural gas service to the Southeast and parts of the Midwest. Regulated utilities are often granted monopoly rights for a territory in exchange for letting the regulators determine what they are permitted to charge. This prevents the utility from price gouging, and it also ensures that it can earn a return without getting into financial distress. Utilities have historically been considered some of the safest stocks given that demand is pretty constant and they face little competition. Duke is currently trading at about $110.50 per share. Duke pays an annual dividend of $4.02, which would amount to $20.10 over five years. To generate $333 in income you would need 16.6 shares which would cost about $1,843So, overall if you bought these three stocks, it would cost $4,626 to buy enough shares to generate $1,000 in income over the next five years. Given that these stocks have a history of dividend increases even during tough times, chances are the income would be more than $1,000.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992339828,"gmtCreate":1661261433466,"gmtModify":1676536484300,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992339828","repostId":"9992396630","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9992396630,"gmtCreate":1661260509940,"gmtModify":1676536484108,"author":{"id":"3527667595441260","authorId":"3527667595441260","name":"MuddyWatersre_Bot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da52630723075c0bcb2ad498ecbd5755","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The comparisons between CS and DB just don’t stop. https://t.co/ab6ttYjCTZ From Twitter: https://twitter.com/laohu8/status/1562064680222433281","listText":"The comparisons between CS and DB just don’t stop. https://t.co/ab6ttYjCTZ From Twitter: https://twitter.com/laohu8/status/1562064680222433281","text":"The comparisons between CS and DB just don’t stop. https://t.co/ab6ttYjCTZ From Twitter: https://twitter.com/laohu8/status/1562064680222433281","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dd04197d4a91c898ffeee43c04376","width":"680","height":"310"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992396630","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998730477,"gmtCreate":1661054713301,"gmtModify":1676536446286,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998730477","repostId":"2260345221","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2260345221","pubTimestamp":1661043639,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2260345221?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260345221","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split will take place at the close of trading on August 24, but you don't have to wait to determine how many shares you'll have in your account after the big day.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b> is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.</p><p>If this is the first stock split you&#39;re participating in, we&#39;ll give you the scoop on how stock splits work and how many shares you can expect to have in your account.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21f5974b9fb9775a06b2ede4da1d47a3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Welcome to the world of stock splits</h2><p>Tesla isn&#39;t the first company to do a stock split in 2022 and probably won&#39;t be the last. Amazon and Google&#39;s parent Alphabet both completed 20-for-1 stock splits this year, pulling down the price of each individual share from a 4-figure price tag to 3-figures.</p><p>A stock split multiplies the number of shares that a company has outstanding. It does this by dividing a company&#39;s shares into additional shares. This lowers a company&#39;s share price and makes shares prices more affordable for the average investor.</p><p>You can think of a stock split like exchanging a $50 bill for five 10-dollar bills. Although the switch leaves you with more bills in your hand, the total value of your money adds up to the same amount. That&#39;s how a stock split works. You won&#39;t have more money in your account after the stock split, just more shares. If Tesla&#39;s stock is trading at $900 before the stock split, each share will be worth $300 after a 3-for-1 stock split. It all adds up to $900 worth of Tesla stock.</p><h2>How many shares of Tesla will you own after the stock split?</h2><p>You don&#39;t have to wait until the day of Tesla&#39;s stock split to figure out how many shares of stock you will own. Since the shareholders approved a 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 annual shareholders meeting, you can run the numbers to figure out how many shares you will receive.</p><p>Below, we use Tesla&#39;s 3-for-1 ratio to calculate how many shares you&#39;ll own after August 24. The numbers on the left represent the number of shares you might have had on record as of August 17. The numbers on the right show how your shares will multiply after the stock split.</p><ul><li>1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares</li><li>5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares</li><li>10 shares of Tesla stock = 30 shares</li><li>15 shares of Tesla stock = 45 shares</li><li>20 shares of Tesla stock = 60 shares</li></ul><p>If you never purchased a whole share of Tesla, that&#39;s not a problem. Shareholders with fractional shares will also see a difference in their account. You just need to calculate how many whole shares or partial shares you&#39;ll have after a 3-for-1 stock split based on your current fractional shares.</p><p>But if you participated in Tesla&#39;s last stock split in August 2020, you probably know how it all works. Let&#39;s say you had one share of Tesla before the 5-for-1 stock split. That one share would have turned into five shares in 2020. Now those five shares will turn into 15 shares after the stock split this month.</p><h2>More shares doesn&#39;t mean more profits</h2><p>The thought of more shares flowing into your account can be exciting. But don&#39;t confuse the number of shares with the value of your stocks. A stock split doesn&#39;t alter a company&#39;s total market capitalization or value. It divides shares into bite-sized pieces so that shares can trade at a lower price. The overall value of your shares will remain the same after a stock split.</p><p>So, if you&#39;re searching for long-term profits, make sure you do your research, focus on the fundamentals, and keep your eyes on high-quality businesses. Knowing that you have a good business in your portfolio can make a stock split a bit sweeter.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOwn Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260345221","content_text":"Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split you're participating in, we'll give you the scoop on how stock splits work and how many shares you can expect to have in your account.Image source: Getty Images.Welcome to the world of stock splitsTesla isn't the first company to do a stock split in 2022 and probably won't be the last. Amazon and Google's parent Alphabet both completed 20-for-1 stock splits this year, pulling down the price of each individual share from a 4-figure price tag to 3-figures.A stock split multiplies the number of shares that a company has outstanding. It does this by dividing a company's shares into additional shares. This lowers a company's share price and makes shares prices more affordable for the average investor.You can think of a stock split like exchanging a $50 bill for five 10-dollar bills. Although the switch leaves you with more bills in your hand, the total value of your money adds up to the same amount. That's how a stock split works. You won't have more money in your account after the stock split, just more shares. If Tesla's stock is trading at $900 before the stock split, each share will be worth $300 after a 3-for-1 stock split. It all adds up to $900 worth of Tesla stock.How many shares of Tesla will you own after the stock split?You don't have to wait until the day of Tesla's stock split to figure out how many shares of stock you will own. Since the shareholders approved a 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 annual shareholders meeting, you can run the numbers to figure out how many shares you will receive.Below, we use Tesla's 3-for-1 ratio to calculate how many shares you'll own after August 24. The numbers on the left represent the number of shares you might have had on record as of August 17. The numbers on the right show how your shares will multiply after the stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares10 shares of Tesla stock = 30 shares15 shares of Tesla stock = 45 shares20 shares of Tesla stock = 60 sharesIf you never purchased a whole share of Tesla, that's not a problem. Shareholders with fractional shares will also see a difference in their account. You just need to calculate how many whole shares or partial shares you'll have after a 3-for-1 stock split based on your current fractional shares.But if you participated in Tesla's last stock split in August 2020, you probably know how it all works. Let's say you had one share of Tesla before the 5-for-1 stock split. That one share would have turned into five shares in 2020. Now those five shares will turn into 15 shares after the stock split this month.More shares doesn't mean more profitsThe thought of more shares flowing into your account can be exciting. But don't confuse the number of shares with the value of your stocks. A stock split doesn't alter a company's total market capitalization or value. It divides shares into bite-sized pieces so that shares can trade at a lower price. The overall value of your shares will remain the same after a stock split.So, if you're searching for long-term profits, make sure you do your research, focus on the fundamentals, and keep your eyes on high-quality businesses. Knowing that you have a good business in your portfolio can make a stock split a bit sweeter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998643662,"gmtCreate":1660990416259,"gmtModify":1676536436108,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998643662","repostId":"1161973648","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161973648","pubTimestamp":1660961604,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161973648?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-20 10:13","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161973648","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the &#34;return to normal&#34; stage of a bubble.</li><li>We anticipate Bitcoin is entering &#34;phase 2&#34; of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.</li><li>Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06049fcdc1faaaf8e98c02d34d25e737\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>rayisa</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin: This Time Is Different!</b></p><p>As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin&#39;s (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad60d9dee720c7827a97c38a6feb675\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>With Bitcoin&#39;s unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:</p><ol><li>Bitcoin&#39;s unsustainable growth rate,</li><li>Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,</li><li>The crypto market&#39;s <i>over-reliance</i> on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.</li></ol><p>After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin&#39;s all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I&#39;ve ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop of<i>favorable financial conditions</i>has characterized Bitcoin&#39;s entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.</p><p>Now, when faced with a<i>bearish</i>stock market and<i>high</i>rates, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s price will plummet.</p><p><b>Bitcoin All-Time Price Chart</b></p><p>The chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbbc9b759a44f7933564ded412fb9314\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>Amidst such <i>extensively beneficial</i> market conditions, Bitcoin&#39;s price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.</p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).</li></ul><p>Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin&#39;s growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (<i>Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren&#39;t kidding. If there is another &#34;cryptocurrency cycle,&#34; it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation</i>).</p><p>As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin&#39;s previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to <i>at least</i> $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.</p><ul><li>Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.</li><li>We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.</li><li>We&#39;re also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.</li></ul><p><b>Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% Decline</b></p><p>Technically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shifted<i>bearish,</i>prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:</p><ul><li>A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,</li><li>the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,</li><li>the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/761c7bbe9eaa8132d4fbcd6b8fa72ed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)</span></p><p>In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a <i>reflexive rally</i> powered by<i>less bad</i>economic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b89df931566e267cc18e520965fb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)</span></p><p>The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin&#39;s speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin&#39;s current price!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13a0514bb05bd64ce0bcc045a3283170\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider&#39;s weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin&#39;s <i>real</i> logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a &#34;bowling ball thrown out a window&#34; until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796db43ff5d73d88d492a35e626ae320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Hence, Bitcoin&#39;s technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we&#39;re planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin&#39;s bottom:</p><ol><li>The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.</li><li>Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.</li><li>Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.</li></ol><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4449d83f87efa2a1cd3cfb2cb066f6f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin&#39;s First True Bear Market</b></p><p>By observing Bitcoin&#39;s lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin&#39;s long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds <i>in anticipation</i> of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facing<i>the opposite</i>of each of these dynamics.</p><p>In our view, Bitcoin&#39;s recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents &#39;phase 1&#39; of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever <i>real</i> bear market.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin &#39;bear markets&#39; <i>weren&#39;t actually bear markets.</i> Instead, they were bull market corrections!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db68ad989673aafb983acbfdf6ef8dc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its <i>true</i> bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin&#39;s first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.</p><p>While Bitcoin&#39;s stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ed4a896fd6b61d52a0f24867a6da507\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Incoming Black Swan Events</b></p><p>So far, we&#39;ve covered Bitcoin&#39;s bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin&#39;s<i>worst ever</i>. Going forward, we&#39;re anticipating the following &#39;Black Swan&#39; events will power a violent downturn:</p><p><b>1) Stock Market Collapse</b></p><p>Despite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is still<i>overvalued</i>relative to its long-term base-level trendline:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d58fcfab0b93b5fbc217eca0329f8f91\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)</span></p><p>As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq&#39;s current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.</p><p><b>2) Cryptocurrency Regulation</b></p><p>As previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application &#39;Tornado Cash&#39; on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one of<i>many</i>attacks soon to come.</p><p>Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.</p><p>Therefore, we expect <i>increasing regulation</i> and the <i>relinquishment of previously held beliefs</i> will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.</p><blockquote>Laura Shin&#39;s &#39;Unchained&#39; podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I&#39;ve found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.</blockquote><p><b>3) Tether Collapse</b></p><p>The Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin&#39;s price during the 2017 rally.</p><p>Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market&#39;s largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it&#39;s reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.</p><p><b>4) Exchange Insolvencies</b></p><p>&#34;Phase 1&#34; of Bitcoin&#39;s bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.</p><p>Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager&#39;s pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn&#39;t<i>prove</i>anything, it&#39;s objectively not a good sign.</p><p><b>5) Monkeypox</b></p><p>Lastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant &#39;black swan&#39; event that markets aren&#39;t pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c26dd7ca82e31f91a6c9b4f244da256\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)</span></p><p>Although it&#39;s unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51042d06277e56a3fa14ecf273febd78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)</span></p><p>We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.</p><p><b>Short Trades</b></p><p>Currently, we&#39;re margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we&#39;re short Ethereum at $1902. We&#39;re also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Trends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include any<i>hint</i>of dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.</p><p>Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month&#39;s inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>After 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its first<i>real</i>bear market).</li><li>We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.</li><li>Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market&#39;s surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. </i><i>This document is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-20 10:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161973648","content_text":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.rayisaBitcoin: This Time Is Different!As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)With Bitcoin's unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:Bitcoin's unsustainable growth rate,Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,The crypto market's over-reliance on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin's all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I've ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop offavorable financial conditionshas characterized Bitcoin's entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.Now, when faced with abearishstock market andhighrates, we expect Bitcoin's price will plummet.Bitcoin All-Time Price ChartThe chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Amidst such extensively beneficial market conditions, Bitcoin's price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.Bitcoin's hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin's growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren't kidding. If there is another \"cryptocurrency cycle,\" it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation).As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin's previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to at least $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.We're also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% DeclineTechnically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shiftedbearish,prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a reflexive rally powered byless badeconomic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin's speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin's current price!BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider's weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin's real logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a \"bowling ball thrown out a window\" until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)Hence, Bitcoin's technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we're planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin's bottom:The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Bitcoin's First True Bear MarketBy observing Bitcoin's lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin's long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds in anticipation of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facingthe oppositeof each of these dynamics.In our view, Bitcoin's recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents 'phase 1' of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever real bear market.As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin 'bear markets' weren't actually bear markets. Instead, they were bull market corrections!BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its true bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin's first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.While Bitcoin's stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin's Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Incoming Black Swan EventsSo far, we've covered Bitcoin's bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin'sworst ever. Going forward, we're anticipating the following 'Black Swan' events will power a violent downturn:1) Stock Market CollapseDespite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is stillovervaluedrelative to its long-term base-level trendline:NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq's current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.2) Cryptocurrency RegulationAs previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application 'Tornado Cash' on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one ofmanyattacks soon to come.Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.Therefore, we expect increasing regulation and the relinquishment of previously held beliefs will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.Laura Shin's 'Unchained' podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I've found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.3) Tether CollapseThe Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin's price during the 2017 rally.Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market's largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it's reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.4) Exchange Insolvencies\"Phase 1\" of Bitcoin's bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager's pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn'tproveanything, it's objectively not a good sign.5) MonkeypoxLastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant 'black swan' event that markets aren't pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)Although it's unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.Short TradesCurrently, we're margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we're short Ethereum at $1902. We're also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.RisksTrends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include anyhintof dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month's inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.Key TakeawaysAfter 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its firstrealbear market).We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market's surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. This document is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991890192,"gmtCreate":1660799314718,"gmtModify":1676536402202,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991890192","repostId":"2260828546","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2260828546","pubTimestamp":1660789962,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2260828546?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-18 10:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pros And Cons Of Investing In Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260828546","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla is unique in its ability to foster tribal loyalty and opposition amongst the investor community.We simply assess it as we would any other stock - consider the financial fundamentals of th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla is unique in its ability to foster tribal loyalty and opposition amongst the investor community.</li><li>We simply assess it as we would any other stock - consider the financial fundamentals of the company, and consider the emotional behavior of the stock.</li><li>We remain of the view that Tesla can move up strongly from here, and we rate the stock at Accumulate accordingly.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd646daa99c5f24b2cfbb7b48ae2d49e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>MF3d</span></p><p>Forget That It&#39;s Called Tesla, Just Look At The Numbers And The Chart - Then Decide</p><p>A blessing and a curse has accompanied Tesla stock since knowledge of the name migrated beyond the tonier parts of Atherton and into the wider American investor community. And that blessing, that curse, is hoopla. Never a dull moment it seems. New products announced<i>way</i>before they can be manufactured at any kind of scale, new features announced before the underlying technology is viable, Twitter feuds, a feud<i>with</i>Twitter, it&#39;s exhausting.</p><p>Fortunately help is at hand. Want to get to grips with owning Tesla stock and working out whether that is a good idea for your capital or not? Just ignore all the hyperbole. Ignore all the Musk sideshows and ignore all the Musk fanbois and Musk haters. Because none of it matters. What matters is the same as matters for all stocks. In no particular order, one, the fundamental financial performance of the underlying company and, two, the emotive chart performance of the stock.</p><p>Let&#39;s first turn to Tesla&#39;s fundamental financial performance.</p><p><b>TSLA Financials - Key Metrics</b></p><p>Here are the numbers up to and including its Q2 report.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8250693e10d20012fb7ff39dfecb3ded\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Financials (TSLA SEC Filings, YCharts.com, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>Growth slowed in Q2 due to some combination of China Covid lockdowns, component supply shortages, and no doubt a modest demand hiatus influenced by inflation and recession fears in the US. In Q3 we want to see the company evidence no worsening of growth, but for now, those are the numbers. So you have a business with $67bn of revenue growing that revenue base in the 60-70% pa. range, whilst achieving a low double-digit unlevered pretax free cashflow margin. That is a rare achievement indeed. That it is achieved by a company with a heavy manufacturing base is still more remarkable. The balance sheet is a fortress, with $14.5bn net cash keeping the wolf from the door.</p><p><b>Tesla Valuation</b></p><p>The market is asking you to pay 14x TTM revenue, 59x TTM EBITDA or 123x TTM unlevered pretax FCF for Tesla. It&#39;s hard to argue that on pure financial fundamentals that&#39;s a bargain. It&#39;s not. If it&#39;s free cashflow yield you are looking for, look elsewhere. But if it&#39;s a valuation that is threshold acceptable as support for the technical opportunity the chart affords you? Different story.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30d528946a8f1b720fabad7236a73837\" tg-width=\"247\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Valuation (YCharts.com, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p><b>Tesla Stock Chart</b></p><p>This is where things get really interesting from our perspective. Specifically<i>because</i>the company inspires such visceral reactions is what makes it an attractive stock. Whether you like to play it long or short, what you can count on with TSLA is volatility. Speaking for ourselves - both our professional ratings and our staff personal account holdings - we prefer to play TSLA long though we have dabbled with the occasional short position. Yes, it&#39;s true. You can in fact be emotion-neutral with TSLA if you don a lead helmet, ignore all opinions, switch off Twitter, and just deal with the facts and the chart in front of you.</p><p>Let&#39;s take a look at the chart in the larger degree.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dee51e98999fe94fafb5c07e41c0b44f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>Here&#39;s how we see the TSLA chart and its prospects.</p><p>From the 2019 lows, the stock puts in a 5-wave up sequence that peaks with the other growth names, and indeed the market at large, in late 2021. This 5-wave sequence tracked rather well to key Fibonacci levels. Let&#39;s zoom in for a moment just to show that. (Full page version of this chart).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9157ed0a3de97357cd57a68b5845c6be\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"280\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Chart II (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>The Wave 1 up retreats into a Wave 2 down troughing at the 0.786 retrace; textbook Wave 2. Then the Wave 3 - whilst a<i>huge</i>version thereof - peaks at precisely the 5.618 extension of the Wave 1. And so on. Now, the reason to show this is because it is evidence of the highly emotive nature of TSLA stock. Stocks don&#39;t move up to 5.618 extensions because the underlying company is growing quickly. They move up that far because they inspire all kinds of emotions to run high. And if a stock has generated that much investor emotion in the recent past, there&#39;s a good chance it does so in the near future, in our view. Which means we think that TSLA can trade well to Fibonacci levels going forward too.</p><p><b>Pros Of Buying Tesla Stock</b></p><p>The pros of buying Tesla stock are in our view:</p><p>1 - the stock trades unrestrained by fundamentals, unconstrained by the news, and instead moves purely with sentiment. This means that the level-headed investor or trader can take advantage of the crowd - and also,</p><p>2 - whilst it is true that other EVs are also available, Tesla&#39;s brand advantage and penchant for viral marketing means that the underlying fundamentals of the company do remain strong. That may change in the future; it may be that in the end Ford or GM swallow the beast as they did niche manufacturers a century back; but for now, Tesla remains the one to beat in EVs, and EVs remain the segment with the most consumer pull and government push.</p><p>Let&#39;s take a look at the pro case. Back to the charts in order to do so.</p><p>That 5-wave up sequence forms a larger-degree Wave One in our first chart above. Wave One starts in 2019 at around $45 (adjusted for the stock splits that have taken place since that time) and peaks late in 2021 at around $1,240. The larger-degree Wave Two that follows has bottomed out at a relatively shallow 0.5 retracement of that Wave One up. At first blush one could be forgiven for expecting a further drop - after all stock after stock has already put in 0.618 or 0.786 retracements of similar moves up. But that&#39;s rather the point. To our eye it looks like the 2022 bottom may well be in, because so many big-name stocks have bottomed out at those deep retracement levels. And we take that as evidence that maybe, <i>maybe</i>- TSLA has bottomed too.</p><p>If that&#39;s the case, and we&#39;re now in a larger-degree Wave Three up, then as a function of that nuts Wave One, technically - which is to say<i>emotionally -</i>we may reasonably expect the stock to run up from here to at least the top of the Wave 1 high, and more likely to the 100% extension of that Wave One. That means a bull target of $1,245 (minimum, if we&#39;re right) and a crazy ol&#39; bullrider target of $1,805 (that&#39;s the 100% extension). We don&#39;t need to talk about the fact that most likely a Wave Three terminates at the 1.618 extension of Wave One, because that would suggest a meth-addled crack-snorting bull target of $2,534, and, honestly? We don&#39;t have the time to handle all the comments if we slapped a $2,534 stock price target on the name. But, between us? The stock is perfectly capable of achieving that target, and the only reason to disbelieve the potential is if you have yet to free your mind, and you still think that stock prices are driven primarily by fundamentals or by the news. (If you want to apply some reverse neurolinguistic programming to that mental block, take a look at a post of ours from March this year.)</p><p><b>Cons Of Buying Tesla Stock</b></p><p>Well, this one is easy. Here&#39;s a bunch of reasons to not buy Tesla stock.</p><p>1 - The valuation. 122x unlevered pretax free cashflow. Give your grandparents a quick call and ask them whether they think you should buy a stock valued at 122x cashflow. (It will be a quick call).</p><p>2 - The hoopla. If you can&#39;t ignore the hoopla, if you are compelled to watch the Elon Musk show play out live on every media forum near you, well, that&#39;s exhausting, because if you&#39;re watching it then you can&#39;t help but wonder whether the latest move will undermine your investment in Tesla stock or not.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27c40bee112220ca265e7260ecc25af6\" tg-width=\"543\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Latest (Twitter)</span></p><p>Is that good for TSLA stock? Bad for TSLA stock? Will it make no difference? You already spent too much time thinking about it. You see the problem with hoopla.</p><p>3 - The competition. It&#39;s not like Ford and VW and everyone gave up. They are behind, but spending like crazy and nobody likes a show-off, so, assume they have Tesla well in their sights.</p><p>4 - The share sales by Elon Musk. Whatever the logic, they don&#39;t build investor confidence.</p><p>The bear opinion on Tesla is mainly emotional and we think that is all best ignored. If you want to read a well-reasoned bear take on the name, read this Seeking Alpha article. The author vomited all over our last bull piece on Tesla and then wrote this, which is good work. We don&#39;t agree with the conclusions - but it&#39;s good work. Take a look.</p><p><b>Is Tesla Stock Worth Investing In?</b></p><p>In our long-run investment work we adopt the Wyckoff Cycle model. We aim to slowly accumulate a position in a stock when it is beaten down, stop buying once a certain price is reached, sit back in anticipation of the markup cycle then lifting the stock, and then distributing once a high is reached. We can&#39;t claim to do this perfectly of course, but it has worked pretty well for us through the recent Covid lows, 2020-2021 markup period and then into the 2021 highs. We sold a bunch of high beta names as their 5-wave cycles topped late last year, both in our <i>Growth Investor Pro</i>service and in staff personal accounts. Right now we have been through a period of &#39;accumulate&#39; ratings in many high beta names and we seem to be moving into a markup period. Tesla has yet to move up and out of our accumulation price zone. If you go back to that first chart above, we think a viable way to invest in Tesla without taking on undue risk is:</p><p>Accumulate - meaning build up slowly over time - a position in that green &#39;Accumulation Zone&#39; box - let&#39;s call it between $624-$902 (yes those numbers are odd boundaries to pick - they represent the Fibonacci levels that define the zone for us). If the stock does move up then you can either just wait for a Wave Three to play out and sell as it nears those targets, and/or set a trailing stop on the way up. If the stock flames out, we believe that stops set in the region below say $610 (that&#39;s a little below the recent lows) are protective without being likely to get executed on a whim. The stock remains inside our Accumulation zone so we rate the stock at, er, Accumulate.</p><p>We have invested in the stock in staff personal accounts; we rate the stock at Accumulate on a professional basis; and we think the risk-reward balance is good if you take an approach similar to the above. So for us? Yes, Tesla is worth investing in. But then we don&#39;t watch the hoopla and we wear lead helmets to work every day. You&#39;ll make the right decision for you, as always.</p><p><i>This article was written by Cestrian Capital Research. </i><i>This article is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pros And Cons Of Investing In Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pros And Cons Of Investing In Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-18 10:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535187-pros-cons-investing-tesla-stock><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla is unique in its ability to foster tribal loyalty and opposition amongst the investor community.We simply assess it as we would any other stock - consider the financial fundamentals of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535187-pros-cons-investing-tesla-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535187-pros-cons-investing-tesla-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260828546","content_text":"SummaryTesla is unique in its ability to foster tribal loyalty and opposition amongst the investor community.We simply assess it as we would any other stock - consider the financial fundamentals of the company, and consider the emotional behavior of the stock.We remain of the view that Tesla can move up strongly from here, and we rate the stock at Accumulate accordingly.MF3dForget That It's Called Tesla, Just Look At The Numbers And The Chart - Then DecideA blessing and a curse has accompanied Tesla stock since knowledge of the name migrated beyond the tonier parts of Atherton and into the wider American investor community. And that blessing, that curse, is hoopla. Never a dull moment it seems. New products announcedwaybefore they can be manufactured at any kind of scale, new features announced before the underlying technology is viable, Twitter feuds, a feudwithTwitter, it's exhausting.Fortunately help is at hand. Want to get to grips with owning Tesla stock and working out whether that is a good idea for your capital or not? Just ignore all the hyperbole. Ignore all the Musk sideshows and ignore all the Musk fanbois and Musk haters. Because none of it matters. What matters is the same as matters for all stocks. In no particular order, one, the fundamental financial performance of the underlying company and, two, the emotive chart performance of the stock.Let's first turn to Tesla's fundamental financial performance.TSLA Financials - Key MetricsHere are the numbers up to and including its Q2 report.TSLA Financials (TSLA SEC Filings, YCharts.com, Cestrian Analysis)Growth slowed in Q2 due to some combination of China Covid lockdowns, component supply shortages, and no doubt a modest demand hiatus influenced by inflation and recession fears in the US. In Q3 we want to see the company evidence no worsening of growth, but for now, those are the numbers. So you have a business with $67bn of revenue growing that revenue base in the 60-70% pa. range, whilst achieving a low double-digit unlevered pretax free cashflow margin. That is a rare achievement indeed. That it is achieved by a company with a heavy manufacturing base is still more remarkable. The balance sheet is a fortress, with $14.5bn net cash keeping the wolf from the door.Tesla ValuationThe market is asking you to pay 14x TTM revenue, 59x TTM EBITDA or 123x TTM unlevered pretax FCF for Tesla. It's hard to argue that on pure financial fundamentals that's a bargain. It's not. If it's free cashflow yield you are looking for, look elsewhere. But if it's a valuation that is threshold acceptable as support for the technical opportunity the chart affords you? Different story.TSLA Valuation (YCharts.com, Cestrian Analysis)Tesla Stock ChartThis is where things get really interesting from our perspective. Specificallybecausethe company inspires such visceral reactions is what makes it an attractive stock. Whether you like to play it long or short, what you can count on with TSLA is volatility. Speaking for ourselves - both our professional ratings and our staff personal account holdings - we prefer to play TSLA long though we have dabbled with the occasional short position. Yes, it's true. You can in fact be emotion-neutral with TSLA if you don a lead helmet, ignore all opinions, switch off Twitter, and just deal with the facts and the chart in front of you.Let's take a look at the chart in the larger degree.TSLA Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Here's how we see the TSLA chart and its prospects.From the 2019 lows, the stock puts in a 5-wave up sequence that peaks with the other growth names, and indeed the market at large, in late 2021. This 5-wave sequence tracked rather well to key Fibonacci levels. Let's zoom in for a moment just to show that. (Full page version of this chart).TSLA Chart II (TrendSpider)The Wave 1 up retreats into a Wave 2 down troughing at the 0.786 retrace; textbook Wave 2. Then the Wave 3 - whilst ahugeversion thereof - peaks at precisely the 5.618 extension of the Wave 1. And so on. Now, the reason to show this is because it is evidence of the highly emotive nature of TSLA stock. Stocks don't move up to 5.618 extensions because the underlying company is growing quickly. They move up that far because they inspire all kinds of emotions to run high. And if a stock has generated that much investor emotion in the recent past, there's a good chance it does so in the near future, in our view. Which means we think that TSLA can trade well to Fibonacci levels going forward too.Pros Of Buying Tesla StockThe pros of buying Tesla stock are in our view:1 - the stock trades unrestrained by fundamentals, unconstrained by the news, and instead moves purely with sentiment. This means that the level-headed investor or trader can take advantage of the crowd - and also,2 - whilst it is true that other EVs are also available, Tesla's brand advantage and penchant for viral marketing means that the underlying fundamentals of the company do remain strong. That may change in the future; it may be that in the end Ford or GM swallow the beast as they did niche manufacturers a century back; but for now, Tesla remains the one to beat in EVs, and EVs remain the segment with the most consumer pull and government push.Let's take a look at the pro case. Back to the charts in order to do so.That 5-wave up sequence forms a larger-degree Wave One in our first chart above. Wave One starts in 2019 at around $45 (adjusted for the stock splits that have taken place since that time) and peaks late in 2021 at around $1,240. The larger-degree Wave Two that follows has bottomed out at a relatively shallow 0.5 retracement of that Wave One up. At first blush one could be forgiven for expecting a further drop - after all stock after stock has already put in 0.618 or 0.786 retracements of similar moves up. But that's rather the point. To our eye it looks like the 2022 bottom may well be in, because so many big-name stocks have bottomed out at those deep retracement levels. And we take that as evidence that maybe, maybe- TSLA has bottomed too.If that's the case, and we're now in a larger-degree Wave Three up, then as a function of that nuts Wave One, technically - which is to sayemotionally -we may reasonably expect the stock to run up from here to at least the top of the Wave 1 high, and more likely to the 100% extension of that Wave One. That means a bull target of $1,245 (minimum, if we're right) and a crazy ol' bullrider target of $1,805 (that's the 100% extension). We don't need to talk about the fact that most likely a Wave Three terminates at the 1.618 extension of Wave One, because that would suggest a meth-addled crack-snorting bull target of $2,534, and, honestly? We don't have the time to handle all the comments if we slapped a $2,534 stock price target on the name. But, between us? The stock is perfectly capable of achieving that target, and the only reason to disbelieve the potential is if you have yet to free your mind, and you still think that stock prices are driven primarily by fundamentals or by the news. (If you want to apply some reverse neurolinguistic programming to that mental block, take a look at a post of ours from March this year.)Cons Of Buying Tesla StockWell, this one is easy. Here's a bunch of reasons to not buy Tesla stock.1 - The valuation. 122x unlevered pretax free cashflow. Give your grandparents a quick call and ask them whether they think you should buy a stock valued at 122x cashflow. (It will be a quick call).2 - The hoopla. If you can't ignore the hoopla, if you are compelled to watch the Elon Musk show play out live on every media forum near you, well, that's exhausting, because if you're watching it then you can't help but wonder whether the latest move will undermine your investment in Tesla stock or not.The Latest (Twitter)Is that good for TSLA stock? Bad for TSLA stock? Will it make no difference? You already spent too much time thinking about it. You see the problem with hoopla.3 - The competition. It's not like Ford and VW and everyone gave up. They are behind, but spending like crazy and nobody likes a show-off, so, assume they have Tesla well in their sights.4 - The share sales by Elon Musk. Whatever the logic, they don't build investor confidence.The bear opinion on Tesla is mainly emotional and we think that is all best ignored. If you want to read a well-reasoned bear take on the name, read this Seeking Alpha article. The author vomited all over our last bull piece on Tesla and then wrote this, which is good work. We don't agree with the conclusions - but it's good work. Take a look.Is Tesla Stock Worth Investing In?In our long-run investment work we adopt the Wyckoff Cycle model. We aim to slowly accumulate a position in a stock when it is beaten down, stop buying once a certain price is reached, sit back in anticipation of the markup cycle then lifting the stock, and then distributing once a high is reached. We can't claim to do this perfectly of course, but it has worked pretty well for us through the recent Covid lows, 2020-2021 markup period and then into the 2021 highs. We sold a bunch of high beta names as their 5-wave cycles topped late last year, both in our Growth Investor Proservice and in staff personal accounts. Right now we have been through a period of 'accumulate' ratings in many high beta names and we seem to be moving into a markup period. Tesla has yet to move up and out of our accumulation price zone. If you go back to that first chart above, we think a viable way to invest in Tesla without taking on undue risk is:Accumulate - meaning build up slowly over time - a position in that green 'Accumulation Zone' box - let's call it between $624-$902 (yes those numbers are odd boundaries to pick - they represent the Fibonacci levels that define the zone for us). If the stock does move up then you can either just wait for a Wave Three to play out and sell as it nears those targets, and/or set a trailing stop on the way up. If the stock flames out, we believe that stops set in the region below say $610 (that's a little below the recent lows) are protective without being likely to get executed on a whim. The stock remains inside our Accumulation zone so we rate the stock at, er, Accumulate.We have invested in the stock in staff personal accounts; we rate the stock at Accumulate on a professional basis; and we think the risk-reward balance is good if you take an approach similar to the above. So for us? Yes, Tesla is worth investing in. But then we don't watch the hoopla and we wear lead helmets to work every day. You'll make the right decision for you, as always.This article was written by Cestrian Capital Research. This article is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993451483,"gmtCreate":1660720116744,"gmtModify":1676536386657,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993451483","repostId":"1194186485","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194186485","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660717100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194186485?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-17 14:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194186485","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Dow and S&P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from $Walmart(WMT)$ and $Home Depot(HD)$ bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.</p><p>There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><h3>1、Communication Services Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">NFLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">ASTS</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">RBLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">GOOGL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">ROKU</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTN\">GTN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">VZ</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdd14dca0b7eda0758aff0ce04e3b8d6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><ul><li>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.</li></ul><ul><li>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.</li></ul><p><b>Related News</b></p><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FuboTV</a>: The watchword of the company&#39;s various presentations was its plans for a &#34;path to profitability,&#34; which culminated in a late setup from the company&#39;s chief financial officer.&#34;We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,&#34; said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd.</a> posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</li></ul><h3>2、Information Technology Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\"></b>NVDA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">PAYX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">MSFT</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">MARA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">ORCL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">AAPL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">RGTI</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">CRM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PYPL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaffbec980ebd419260074773b37aa56\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVDA</a>, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would &#34;prefer to move to the sidelines&#34; given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.</p><h3>3、Consumer Discretionary Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">AMZN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLAR\">CLAR</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">CURV</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">F</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">CVNA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">PTON</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">LOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">CCL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cddf50dff9e6d9887831a1f9c677a1\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath &amp; Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Option traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4f0f5965054fe24d44c68b931b43481\" tg-width=\"1870\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.</p><h2>High Call/Put Volume</h2><p><b>High Call Pct</b></p><p>There are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d35aea043806c382796f205f76125467\" tg-width=\"1569\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p><b>High Put Pct</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e95c8163c42552a59500f204e34dd8d\" tg-width=\"1877\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.</p><h2>Option Implied Volatility Rankings</h2><p>Implied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8ee32aa8a49dc28f1e41348c38af6e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.</p><p>Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Traders Turn to Tesla CALL Before Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-17 14:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow and S&amp;P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.</p><p>There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><h3>1、Communication Services Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">NFLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">ASTS</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">RBLX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">GOOGL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">ROKU</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTN\">GTN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">VZ</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdd14dca0b7eda0758aff0ce04e3b8d6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><ul><li>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">META</a>, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.</li></ul><ul><li>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FUBO</a>, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.</li></ul><p><b>Related News</b></p><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">FuboTV</a>: The watchword of the company&#39;s various presentations was its plans for a &#34;path to profitability,&#34; which culminated in a late setup from the company&#39;s chief financial officer.&#34;We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,&#34; said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd.</a> posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.</li></ul><h3>2、Information Technology Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\"></b>NVDA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">PAYX</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">MSFT</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">MARA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">ORCL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">AAPL</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">RGTI</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">CRM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PYPL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaffbec980ebd419260074773b37aa56\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVDA</a>, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">SNOW</a>: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would &#34;prefer to move to the sidelines&#34; given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.</p><h3>3、Consumer Discretionary Stocks</h3><p><b>Top 10:</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">AMZN</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLAR\">CLAR</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">CURV</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">F</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">CVNA</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">PTON</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">LOW</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">CCL</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cddf50dff9e6d9887831a1f9c677a1\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Benzinga</span></p><p><b>Noteworthy Activity</b></p><p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p>Regarding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">TSLA</a>, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.</p><p><b>Related News</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">BBBY</a>: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath &amp; Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Option traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4f0f5965054fe24d44c68b931b43481\" tg-width=\"1870\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.</p><h2>High Call/Put Volume</h2><p><b>High Call Pct</b></p><p>There are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d35aea043806c382796f205f76125467\" tg-width=\"1569\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p><b>High Put Pct</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e95c8163c42552a59500f204e34dd8d\" tg-width=\"1877\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.</p><h2>Option Implied Volatility Rankings</h2><p>Implied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8ee32aa8a49dc28f1e41348c38af6e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Marketchameleon</span></p><p>Note: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.</p><p>Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","NFLX":"奈飞","AMZN":"亚马逊","META":"Meta Platforms","NVDA":"英伟达","SE":"Sea Ltd","TSLA":"特斯拉","FUBO":"fuboTV Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194186485","content_text":"The Dow and S&P 500 rose on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected results and outlooks from Walmart and Home Depot bolstered views on the health of consumers, while technology shares declined and weighed on the Nasdaq.There is also noteworthy activity in the options market, where a total volume of 37,128,981 contracts was traded on Tuesday. From the overall options trades, 41% are puts, and 59% are calls.Unusual Options Activity1、Communication Services StocksTop 10: META, FUBO, SE, NFLX, ASTS, RBLX, GOOGL, ROKU, GTN, VZSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityRegarding META, there is a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 179 contracts at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $46.5K.For FUBO, observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 292 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.9K.Related NewsFuboTV: The watchword of the company's various presentations was its plans for a \"path to profitability,\" which culminated in a late setup from the company's chief financial officer.\"We continue to work towards long-term targets of adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow in 2025, and the Fubo flywheel will help us track towards that goal, as we execute a plan of controlled growth, alongside margin expansion,\" said Chief Financial Officer John Janedis.Sea Ltd. posted a bigger loss than expected and withdrew its 2022 e-commerce forecast, joining other online giants struggling to gauge an increasingly uncertain global economic outlook.2、Information Technology StocksTop 10: NVDA, PAYX, SNOW, MSFT, MARA, ORCL, AAPL, RGTI, CRM, PYPLSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityRegarding NVDA, there is a call option sweep with neutral sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 204 contracts at a $195.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party was $33.4K.Regarding SNOW, there is a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 123 contract(s) at a $160.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $32.5K.Related NewsSNOW: UBS analyst Karl Keirstead downgraded the software stock to neutral from buy Tuesday, writing that he would \"prefer to move to the sidelines\" given some more cautious signals in his latest round of conversations with partners and customers.3、Consumer Discretionary StocksTop 10: BBBY, TSLA, AMZN, CLAR, CURV, F, CVNA, PTON, LOW, CCLSource: BenzingaNoteworthy ActivityFor BBBY, there is a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on August 19, 2022. This event was a transfer of 97 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.0K, with a price of $320.0 per contract. There were 14663 open contracts at this strike prior to Tuesday, and 69934 contract(s) were bought and sold on Tuesday.Regarding TSLA, there is a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 3 days on August 19, 2022. Parties traded 25 contracts at a $930.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party was $44.6K, with a price of $1786.0 per contract. There were 33644 contracts were bought and sold on Tuesday.Related NewsTesla: The company revealed that the electric vehicle manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.BBBY: Cohen just loaded up on Bed Bath & Beyond call options. Via a regulatory filing yesterday, Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures made a big bet on BBBY stock hitting very high price targets. These targets range from the $60 to $80 level, meaning Cohen could lose the entirety of his bet if shares fail to trade at these levels by the January 2023 expiry.Top 10 Option VolumesOption traders turn to Tesla before a three-for-one share split, where a total volume of 417,082 contracts has been traded on Tuesday.Source: MarketchameleonNote: High option volumes provide clues as to investor interest or sentiment. Symbols with high volumes relative to recent historical averages indicate unusual investor activity, backed up with a commitment to trade based on their sentiment.High Call/Put VolumeHigh Call PctThere are 18 stocks with a call volume pct of 100%, of which 7 have a turnover of over 1,000, of which the data services company AvidXchange has a turnover of 2,344.Source: MarketchameleonHigh Put PctSource: MarketchameleonNote: High Call Pct/High Put Pct refers to the current call/put ratio of the relevant option underlying. The higher the ratio, the higher the call/put contract ratio of the option underlying.Option Implied Volatility RankingsImplied volatility of WSB concept 3B home reached 312.3. The stock price has fluctuated greatly recently, and it has been on the list for several days.Source: MarketchameleonNote: The level of the implied volatility of an option signals how traders may be anticipating future stock movements. By comparing implied volatility to historical averages, investors find insights into which equities may be facing higher or lower future volatility in the future.Options with elevated implied volatility are an indication that investors are anticipating the underlying equity to experience higher than normal price swings relative to its historical range.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993820865,"gmtCreate":1660663511560,"gmtModify":1676536374634,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fantastic...","listText":"Fantastic...","text":"Fantastic...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993820865","repostId":"2259832442","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259832442","pubTimestamp":1660663483,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259832442?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-16 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stocks Show a Resurgence, Be Wary of Impulse Buying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259832442","media":"Zacks","summary":"Wall Street is yet to recover from the 2022 mayhem in spite of rallying from July. Year to date, all three major stock indexes — the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite — have dropped 6.7%, 9.8%","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street is yet to recover from the 2022 mayhem in spite of rallying from July. Year to date, all three major stock indexes — the Dow, the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite — have dropped 6.7%, 9.8% and 16.1%, respectively.</p><p>Despite a marginal decline in July, various measures of inflation remained highly elevated. The Fed is set to continue its rigorous interest rate hike strategy from September. Yet a handful of stocks — widely known as meme stocks — skyrocketed recently.</p><p>The meme stock frenzy was a notable feature last year. A few meme stocks railed more than 200% in 2021 when the global economy, especially, the U.S. economy, was still to recover from pandemic-led restrictions fully. The craze for meme stocks was not visible in the first half of 2022. However, as U.S. stock markets showed initial signs of bottoming out, the meme stock mania regained momentum.</p><h2>Meme Stocks Skyrocket</h2><p>Meme stocks are those gaining massive popularity in a short period of time buoyed by a strong social media platform. This is a typical trading practice in which a few stocks heavily shorted by hedge fund giants were favored by a group of individual investors organized via Reddit’s wallstreetbets forum and similar other social media platforms.</p><p>Retail investors take a contra view on these stocks as their prices are at a trough due to heavy shorting. Lump sum buying of these cheap stocks by retail investors raises their share price to a great extent. As prices of these stocks start moving northward, institutional investors, especially hedge funds, start short covering in order to maintain the balance of their portfolios. Consequently, the prices of these stocks skyrocket.</p><p>Month to date, meme stocks like AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. (AMC), GameStop Corp. (GME) and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc. (BBBY) have jumped 66.3%, 16.7% and 218.1%, respectively. AMC Entertainment carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see <b>the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here</b>.</p><h2>Highly Risky Investment</h2><p>Investment in meme stocks is highly risky. In fact, these companies do not have stable fundamentals. Most of these stocks have either a negative revenue growth estimate or a negative earnings growth estimate for 2022. Moreover, these stocks are likely to remain unprofitable this year.</p><p>These are some of the primary reasons why institutional investors have heavily shorted these stocks. However, taking a contra view of these basic financial features indicates speculation or gambling. The investment value of these stocks in the mid to long-term is practically zero.</p><p>Even as a short-term investor, you have to be very careful and may need to settle your position on a daily basis. That means one has to become an intraday trader to gain a good return from these stocks.</p><h2>A Brief Discussion 5 Meme Stocks</h2><p>Social media giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>.</b> SNAP, the developer of the Snapchat platform, reported a highly disappointing second-quarter 2022 results. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2022 earnings per share (EPS) growth is negative.</p><p>Our current projection indicates that the company will incur losses in 2022. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). Yet the stock price of SNAP has appreciated 23.9% month to date.</p><p>Leisure tour cruse operator <b>Carnival Corp. &amp; plc </b>CCL failed to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS and revenues for the seventh straight quarter. The company’s operations were affected by COVID-19 pandemic, inflationary pressures and higher fuel prices.</p><p>Our current projection i suggests that the company will continue to incur losses in 2022. Further, the earnings estimate for 2022 has declined in the last 30 days, depicting analysts&#39; concern over the stock’s growth potential. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4. However, the stock price of CCL has advanced 18.3% month to date.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital Holdings Inc</a>.</b> MARA reported disappointing results for second-quarter 2022 wherein the top and bottom lines came in below the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Following the results, most of the analysts downgraded the stocks and the consensus EPS for 2022 is currently pegged at  a loss of $2.06 per share compared with earnings of $0.03 just 7 days ago.</p><p>The EPS for 2022 is currently estimated to plunge 221.2% year over year. Despite these negatives, the stock price of MARA has climbed 35.9% month to date. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4.</p><p>The struggling fitness product developer <b>Peloton Interactive Inc.</b> PTON has decided to layoff nearly 800 jobs, raising prices for its Bike+ and Tread machines, and outsourcing functions such as equipment deliveries and customer service.</p><p>Our current projection indicates that the company to remain a loss-making one in 2022. Further, the earnings estimate for 2022 has declined in the last 30 days, depicting analysts&#39; concern over the stock’s growth potential. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4. However, the stock price of PTON has jumped 42.6% month to date.</p><p>Leading worldwide provider of business intelligence software <b>MicroStrategy Inc.</b> MSTR reported a loss of $1.062 billion in the second quarter mostly due to impairment charges of $917 million related to its Bitcoin holdings.</p><p>Our current projection indicates that the company continue to incur losses in 2022. Further, the earnings estimate for 2022 has declined in the last 30 days, depicting analysts&#39; concern over the stock’s growth potential. Despite headwinds, the stock price of MSTR has surged 22.1% month to date. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4.</p><p>The chart below shows the price performance of five above-mentioned stocks month to date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5569c4f0ef7db6a785c78eebcf7613d\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"236\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Image Source: Zacks Investment Research</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stocks Show a Resurgence, Be Wary of Impulse Buying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stocks Show a Resurgence, Be Wary of Impulse Buying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meme-stocks-show-resurgence-wary-120812091.html><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street is yet to recover from the 2022 mayhem in spite of rallying from July. Year to date, all three major stock indexes — the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite — have dropped 6.7%, 9.8%...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meme-stocks-show-resurgence-wary-120812091.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","MARA":"Marathon Digital Holdings Inc","BK4076":"电脑与电子产品零售","BK4517":"邮轮概念","GME":"游戏驿站","BOLT":"Bolt Biotherapeutics, Inc.","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BBBY":"3B家居","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","SNAP":"Snap Inc","AMC":"AMC院线","BK4142":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK4539":"次新股","BK4023":"应用软件","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","BK4178":"家庭装饰零售","BK4191":"家用电器","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4576":"AR","BK4139":"生物科技","MSTR":"MicroStrategy Incorporated","BK4007":"制药","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4577":"网络游戏"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meme-stocks-show-resurgence-wary-120812091.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2259832442","content_text":"Wall Street is yet to recover from the 2022 mayhem in spite of rallying from July. Year to date, all three major stock indexes — the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite — have dropped 6.7%, 9.8% and 16.1%, respectively.Despite a marginal decline in July, various measures of inflation remained highly elevated. The Fed is set to continue its rigorous interest rate hike strategy from September. Yet a handful of stocks — widely known as meme stocks — skyrocketed recently.The meme stock frenzy was a notable feature last year. A few meme stocks railed more than 200% in 2021 when the global economy, especially, the U.S. economy, was still to recover from pandemic-led restrictions fully. The craze for meme stocks was not visible in the first half of 2022. However, as U.S. stock markets showed initial signs of bottoming out, the meme stock mania regained momentum.Meme Stocks SkyrocketMeme stocks are those gaining massive popularity in a short period of time buoyed by a strong social media platform. This is a typical trading practice in which a few stocks heavily shorted by hedge fund giants were favored by a group of individual investors organized via Reddit’s wallstreetbets forum and similar other social media platforms.Retail investors take a contra view on these stocks as their prices are at a trough due to heavy shorting. Lump sum buying of these cheap stocks by retail investors raises their share price to a great extent. As prices of these stocks start moving northward, institutional investors, especially hedge funds, start short covering in order to maintain the balance of their portfolios. Consequently, the prices of these stocks skyrocket.Month to date, meme stocks like AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. (AMC), GameStop Corp. (GME) and Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) have jumped 66.3%, 16.7% and 218.1%, respectively. AMC Entertainment carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.Highly Risky InvestmentInvestment in meme stocks is highly risky. In fact, these companies do not have stable fundamentals. Most of these stocks have either a negative revenue growth estimate or a negative earnings growth estimate for 2022. Moreover, these stocks are likely to remain unprofitable this year.These are some of the primary reasons why institutional investors have heavily shorted these stocks. However, taking a contra view of these basic financial features indicates speculation or gambling. The investment value of these stocks in the mid to long-term is practically zero.Even as a short-term investor, you have to be very careful and may need to settle your position on a daily basis. That means one has to become an intraday trader to gain a good return from these stocks.A Brief Discussion 5 Meme StocksSocial media giant Snap Inc. SNAP, the developer of the Snapchat platform, reported a highly disappointing second-quarter 2022 results. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2022 earnings per share (EPS) growth is negative.Our current projection indicates that the company will incur losses in 2022. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). Yet the stock price of SNAP has appreciated 23.9% month to date.Leisure tour cruse operator Carnival Corp. & plc CCL failed to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS and revenues for the seventh straight quarter. The company’s operations were affected by COVID-19 pandemic, inflationary pressures and higher fuel prices.Our current projection i suggests that the company will continue to incur losses in 2022. Further, the earnings estimate for 2022 has declined in the last 30 days, depicting analysts' concern over the stock’s growth potential. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4. However, the stock price of CCL has advanced 18.3% month to date.Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. MARA reported disappointing results for second-quarter 2022 wherein the top and bottom lines came in below the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Following the results, most of the analysts downgraded the stocks and the consensus EPS for 2022 is currently pegged at  a loss of $2.06 per share compared with earnings of $0.03 just 7 days ago.The EPS for 2022 is currently estimated to plunge 221.2% year over year. Despite these negatives, the stock price of MARA has climbed 35.9% month to date. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4.The struggling fitness product developer Peloton Interactive Inc. PTON has decided to layoff nearly 800 jobs, raising prices for its Bike+ and Tread machines, and outsourcing functions such as equipment deliveries and customer service.Our current projection indicates that the company to remain a loss-making one in 2022. Further, the earnings estimate for 2022 has declined in the last 30 days, depicting analysts' concern over the stock’s growth potential. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4. However, the stock price of PTON has jumped 42.6% month to date.Leading worldwide provider of business intelligence software MicroStrategy Inc. MSTR reported a loss of $1.062 billion in the second quarter mostly due to impairment charges of $917 million related to its Bitcoin holdings.Our current projection indicates that the company continue to incur losses in 2022. Further, the earnings estimate for 2022 has declined in the last 30 days, depicting analysts' concern over the stock’s growth potential. Despite headwinds, the stock price of MSTR has surged 22.1% month to date. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #4.The chart below shows the price performance of five above-mentioned stocks month to date.Image Source: Zacks Investment Research","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999653013,"gmtCreate":1660527139833,"gmtModify":1676533486289,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fantastic","listText":"fantastic","text":"fantastic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999653013","repostId":"9999355203","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9999355203,"gmtCreate":1660475028906,"gmtModify":1676533477258,"author":{"id":"4113824102564902","authorId":"4113824102564902","name":"Lionel8383","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/816b168172cfedf6cec338c52322f186","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"title":"Apple is just 8.3% from $3 trillion market cap","htmlText":"Apple&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>became the world's first$3 trillion company for a brief time during intraday trading on Jan 3 this year. Due to the bear market in 2022, Apple has fallen to a 52-week low of $129.04 but has recovered most ofits losses in the last 2 months, and now is valued at $2.77 trillion market cap. That's just another 8.3% to the $3 trillion market cap. It is now 6.3% away from its 52-week and all time high of $182.94.AAPL YTD -5.44%Recent news have been quite bullish for Apple, as it is just about a month away from iPhoneseason, where it is rumoured that Apple askedits suppliers to increase production for its next iPhone, and the iPhone 14 is expected to seeas much as 15% increase in prices. Some analysts have also said that Apple may","listText":"Apple&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>became the world's first$3 trillion company for a brief time during intraday trading on Jan 3 this year. Due to the bear market in 2022, Apple has fallen to a 52-week low of $129.04 but has recovered most ofits losses in the last 2 months, and now is valued at $2.77 trillion market cap. That's just another 8.3% to the $3 trillion market cap. It is now 6.3% away from its 52-week and all time high of $182.94.AAPL YTD -5.44%Recent news have been quite bullish for Apple, as it is just about a month away from iPhoneseason, where it is rumoured that Apple askedits suppliers to increase production for its next iPhone, and the iPhone 14 is expected to seeas much as 15% increase in prices. Some analysts have also said that Apple may","text":"Apple $Apple(AAPL)$became the world's first$3 trillion company for a brief time during intraday trading on Jan 3 this year. Due to the bear market in 2022, Apple has fallen to a 52-week low of $129.04 but has recovered most ofits losses in the last 2 months, and now is valued at $2.77 trillion market cap. That's just another 8.3% to the $3 trillion market cap. It is now 6.3% away from its 52-week and all time high of $182.94.AAPL YTD -5.44%Recent news have been quite bullish for Apple, as it is just about a month away from iPhoneseason, where it is rumoured that Apple askedits suppliers to increase production for its next iPhone, and the iPhone 14 is expected to seeas much as 15% increase in prices. Some analysts have also said that Apple may","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc40403b15ea4d659102d696e0a5d47c","width":"1300","height":"450"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aed8e68137d86830dca5bb9b130b913d","width":"1494","height":"1138"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7188f33041a3235533fcc5a2d7ef2c","width":"1493","height":"1138"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999355203","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999046134,"gmtCreate":1660443705729,"gmtModify":1676533471439,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999046134","repostId":"2259349706","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259349706","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1660440324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259349706?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-14 09:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Surge Cools in July. Should You Still Play Defense with Your Portfolio?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259349706","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Investors hopeful about a potential retreat in U.S. inflation from its highest levels in decades hav","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors hopeful about a potential retreat in U.S. inflation from its highest levels in decades have been piling into stocks, even as several high-profile investors warn the rally may be a mirage.</p><p>The latest surge in stocks helped lift the Nasdaq Composite out of bear-market territory on Wednesday and the Dow Jones Industrial Average  to exit correction territory. But the sharp upswing also prompted debate about if investors should adjust their portfolios, pivoting away from defense plays.</p><p>For the past month, growth stocks in general outperformed their value counterparts. The Russell 1000 Growth Index  advanced 13%, while the Russell 1000 Value Index  gained 9.5%, according  to Dow Jones Market data. Cathie Wood&#39;s tech-heavy <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> (ARKK) rose 10% in the past month, topping the 8.3% gain of Warren Buffett&#39;s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) shares for the same period.</p><p>Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, said investors should consider being in the market and out of cash by the end of summer, though she remains skeptical of the quick rise of stocks since mid-June. &#34;In the case of the Fed&#39;s current goal, markets are starting to believe in the possibility of a soft landing,&#34; Young wrote in a Thursday note.</p><p>However, that&#39;s not what the bond market has been signaling, said Nancy Davis, portfolio manager of the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Exchange-Traded Fund <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVOL\">$(IVOL)$</a>. The yield of 2-year Treasury note remains higher than that of the 10-year treasury bond.  &#34;It&#39;s a substantial inversion,&#34; Davis noted. &#34;It&#39;s really the market pricing the low- growth kind of bad scenario.&#34;</p><p>Helping to fuel risk appetite, the U.S. consumer-price index was unchanged in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, compared with the 1.3% gain in the prior month. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had estimated a 0.2% advance in July.</p><p>A day later, the U.S. producer-price index fell 0.5% in July, the first negative monthly print since April 2020. That&#39;s compared with a 1% jump in June. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.2% advance.</p><h2>A diversified portfolio?</h2><p>Mark Heppenstall, president and chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, said that as long as inflation continues to trend lower, the classic 60/40 portfolio, with 60% invested in stocks and 40% in bonds, will continue to provide reasonable returns.</p><p>&#34;In most market environments, it&#39;s helpful to have broad and balanced exposure,&#34; said Brian Storey, senior portfolio manager at Brinker Capital Investments.</p><p>Storey suggested that investors consider adding high-quality stocks to their portfolio. For investors with a risk posture that&#39;s a little more conservative, Storey encourages them to look outside of equity markets. &#34;Some investment-grade fixed-income corporate bonds, or even some noncore fixed-income, like high-yield bonds, bank loans or emerging-market debt -- those are areas [where] spreads widened a lot,&#34; Storey said.</p><p>&#34;Given that there doesn&#39;t seem to be any extreme areas of stress in financial markets over the next six-to-12 months, those are areas that should see some fairly attractive returns, particularly compared to US Treasurys,&#34; Storey said.</p><h2>Growth vs. Value Stocks</h2><p>Still, Storey has been skeptical about whether the recent rally led by growth stocks is sustainable, given that it has been partly driven by the fall in the 10-year treasury yield.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury  advanced modestly for the week to 2.848% on Friday, still below its 3.482% high in June.</p><p>&#34;I think now that we&#39;re gonna see treasury yields a little bit more range bound,&#34; said Storey. &#34;So I think that the decline in yields that has been a catalyst for those Nasdaq stocks is probably not going to be as much of a tailwind in the future.&#34;</p><p>Even if the stock rally continues, &#34;I don&#39;t think that people are going to be going back to the same kind of leadership names,&#34; said Stephen Hoedt, managing director at equity and fixed income research at Key Private Bank. While the rally since June has been led by some &#34;unprofitable technology companies,&#34; the market is likely to gravitate for leadership of high quality growth companies, such as some in healthcare and consumer discretionary, Hoedt noted.</p><p>&#34;You just can&#39;t put money to work in technology willy-nilly right now. Because there still are significant valuation concerns,&#34; Hoedt said. &#34;And the fact that we&#39;re in a higher interest rate environment is a headwind for companies that do not have earnings or have more difficult profitability than others.&#34;</p><h2>More rate hikes</h2><p>Next week, investors will be focused on initial jobless claims data and existing home sales number.</p><p>Later this month, the Fed will hold its Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, which could be the next major catalyst for market movements, analysts said.</p><p>&#34;There are a lot of hawkish expectations from the forward guidance,&#34; Quadratic&#39;s Davis said. While the Fed has raised interest rates by 225 basis points already this year, the market is pricing in an additional 117 basis points of hikes to come for the rest of the year, Davis noted.</p><p>She will be tuned into the Jackson Hole summit for any talk about how the Fed officials plan to use the central bank&#39;s balance sheet as a monetary policy tool to fight inflation.</p><p>For the past week, the Dow added 2.9% to around 33,761.05. The S&amp;P 500  gained 3.3% to 4,280.15, and the Nasdaq rose 3.1% to 13,047.19.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Surge Cools in July. Should You Still Play Defense with Your Portfolio?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Surge Cools in July. Should You Still Play Defense with Your Portfolio?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-14 09:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Investors hopeful about a potential retreat in U.S. inflation from its highest levels in decades have been piling into stocks, even as several high-profile investors warn the rally may be a mirage.</p><p>The latest surge in stocks helped lift the Nasdaq Composite out of bear-market territory on Wednesday and the Dow Jones Industrial Average  to exit correction territory. But the sharp upswing also prompted debate about if investors should adjust their portfolios, pivoting away from defense plays.</p><p>For the past month, growth stocks in general outperformed their value counterparts. The Russell 1000 Growth Index  advanced 13%, while the Russell 1000 Value Index  gained 9.5%, according  to Dow Jones Market data. Cathie Wood&#39;s tech-heavy <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> (ARKK) rose 10% in the past month, topping the 8.3% gain of Warren Buffett&#39;s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) shares for the same period.</p><p>Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, said investors should consider being in the market and out of cash by the end of summer, though she remains skeptical of the quick rise of stocks since mid-June. &#34;In the case of the Fed&#39;s current goal, markets are starting to believe in the possibility of a soft landing,&#34; Young wrote in a Thursday note.</p><p>However, that&#39;s not what the bond market has been signaling, said Nancy Davis, portfolio manager of the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Exchange-Traded Fund <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVOL\">$(IVOL)$</a>. The yield of 2-year Treasury note remains higher than that of the 10-year treasury bond.  &#34;It&#39;s a substantial inversion,&#34; Davis noted. &#34;It&#39;s really the market pricing the low- growth kind of bad scenario.&#34;</p><p>Helping to fuel risk appetite, the U.S. consumer-price index was unchanged in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, compared with the 1.3% gain in the prior month. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had estimated a 0.2% advance in July.</p><p>A day later, the U.S. producer-price index fell 0.5% in July, the first negative monthly print since April 2020. That&#39;s compared with a 1% jump in June. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.2% advance.</p><h2>A diversified portfolio?</h2><p>Mark Heppenstall, president and chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, said that as long as inflation continues to trend lower, the classic 60/40 portfolio, with 60% invested in stocks and 40% in bonds, will continue to provide reasonable returns.</p><p>&#34;In most market environments, it&#39;s helpful to have broad and balanced exposure,&#34; said Brian Storey, senior portfolio manager at Brinker Capital Investments.</p><p>Storey suggested that investors consider adding high-quality stocks to their portfolio. For investors with a risk posture that&#39;s a little more conservative, Storey encourages them to look outside of equity markets. &#34;Some investment-grade fixed-income corporate bonds, or even some noncore fixed-income, like high-yield bonds, bank loans or emerging-market debt -- those are areas [where] spreads widened a lot,&#34; Storey said.</p><p>&#34;Given that there doesn&#39;t seem to be any extreme areas of stress in financial markets over the next six-to-12 months, those are areas that should see some fairly attractive returns, particularly compared to US Treasurys,&#34; Storey said.</p><h2>Growth vs. Value Stocks</h2><p>Still, Storey has been skeptical about whether the recent rally led by growth stocks is sustainable, given that it has been partly driven by the fall in the 10-year treasury yield.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury  advanced modestly for the week to 2.848% on Friday, still below its 3.482% high in June.</p><p>&#34;I think now that we&#39;re gonna see treasury yields a little bit more range bound,&#34; said Storey. &#34;So I think that the decline in yields that has been a catalyst for those Nasdaq stocks is probably not going to be as much of a tailwind in the future.&#34;</p><p>Even if the stock rally continues, &#34;I don&#39;t think that people are going to be going back to the same kind of leadership names,&#34; said Stephen Hoedt, managing director at equity and fixed income research at Key Private Bank. While the rally since June has been led by some &#34;unprofitable technology companies,&#34; the market is likely to gravitate for leadership of high quality growth companies, such as some in healthcare and consumer discretionary, Hoedt noted.</p><p>&#34;You just can&#39;t put money to work in technology willy-nilly right now. Because there still are significant valuation concerns,&#34; Hoedt said. &#34;And the fact that we&#39;re in a higher interest rate environment is a headwind for companies that do not have earnings or have more difficult profitability than others.&#34;</p><h2>More rate hikes</h2><p>Next week, investors will be focused on initial jobless claims data and existing home sales number.</p><p>Later this month, the Fed will hold its Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, which could be the next major catalyst for market movements, analysts said.</p><p>&#34;There are a lot of hawkish expectations from the forward guidance,&#34; Quadratic&#39;s Davis said. While the Fed has raised interest rates by 225 basis points already this year, the market is pricing in an additional 117 basis points of hikes to come for the rest of the year, Davis noted.</p><p>She will be tuned into the Jackson Hole summit for any talk about how the Fed officials plan to use the central bank&#39;s balance sheet as a monetary policy tool to fight inflation.</p><p>For the past week, the Dow added 2.9% to around 33,761.05. The S&amp;P 500  gained 3.3% to 4,280.15, and the Nasdaq rose 3.1% to 13,047.19.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4176":"多领域控股","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集","IVOL":"Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259349706","content_text":"Investors hopeful about a potential retreat in U.S. inflation from its highest levels in decades have been piling into stocks, even as several high-profile investors warn the rally may be a mirage.The latest surge in stocks helped lift the Nasdaq Composite out of bear-market territory on Wednesday and the Dow Jones Industrial Average  to exit correction territory. But the sharp upswing also prompted debate about if investors should adjust their portfolios, pivoting away from defense plays.For the past month, growth stocks in general outperformed their value counterparts. The Russell 1000 Growth Index  advanced 13%, while the Russell 1000 Value Index  gained 9.5%, according  to Dow Jones Market data. Cathie Wood's tech-heavy ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) rose 10% in the past month, topping the 8.3% gain of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) shares for the same period.Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, said investors should consider being in the market and out of cash by the end of summer, though she remains skeptical of the quick rise of stocks since mid-June. \"In the case of the Fed's current goal, markets are starting to believe in the possibility of a soft landing,\" Young wrote in a Thursday note.However, that's not what the bond market has been signaling, said Nancy Davis, portfolio manager of the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Exchange-Traded Fund $(IVOL)$. The yield of 2-year Treasury note remains higher than that of the 10-year treasury bond.  \"It's a substantial inversion,\" Davis noted. \"It's really the market pricing the low- growth kind of bad scenario.\"Helping to fuel risk appetite, the U.S. consumer-price index was unchanged in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, compared with the 1.3% gain in the prior month. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had estimated a 0.2% advance in July.A day later, the U.S. producer-price index fell 0.5% in July, the first negative monthly print since April 2020. That's compared with a 1% jump in June. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.2% advance.A diversified portfolio?Mark Heppenstall, president and chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, said that as long as inflation continues to trend lower, the classic 60/40 portfolio, with 60% invested in stocks and 40% in bonds, will continue to provide reasonable returns.\"In most market environments, it's helpful to have broad and balanced exposure,\" said Brian Storey, senior portfolio manager at Brinker Capital Investments.Storey suggested that investors consider adding high-quality stocks to their portfolio. For investors with a risk posture that's a little more conservative, Storey encourages them to look outside of equity markets. \"Some investment-grade fixed-income corporate bonds, or even some noncore fixed-income, like high-yield bonds, bank loans or emerging-market debt -- those are areas [where] spreads widened a lot,\" Storey said.\"Given that there doesn't seem to be any extreme areas of stress in financial markets over the next six-to-12 months, those are areas that should see some fairly attractive returns, particularly compared to US Treasurys,\" Storey said.Growth vs. Value StocksStill, Storey has been skeptical about whether the recent rally led by growth stocks is sustainable, given that it has been partly driven by the fall in the 10-year treasury yield.The 10-year Treasury  advanced modestly for the week to 2.848% on Friday, still below its 3.482% high in June.\"I think now that we're gonna see treasury yields a little bit more range bound,\" said Storey. \"So I think that the decline in yields that has been a catalyst for those Nasdaq stocks is probably not going to be as much of a tailwind in the future.\"Even if the stock rally continues, \"I don't think that people are going to be going back to the same kind of leadership names,\" said Stephen Hoedt, managing director at equity and fixed income research at Key Private Bank. While the rally since June has been led by some \"unprofitable technology companies,\" the market is likely to gravitate for leadership of high quality growth companies, such as some in healthcare and consumer discretionary, Hoedt noted.\"You just can't put money to work in technology willy-nilly right now. Because there still are significant valuation concerns,\" Hoedt said. \"And the fact that we're in a higher interest rate environment is a headwind for companies that do not have earnings or have more difficult profitability than others.\"More rate hikesNext week, investors will be focused on initial jobless claims data and existing home sales number.Later this month, the Fed will hold its Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, which could be the next major catalyst for market movements, analysts said.\"There are a lot of hawkish expectations from the forward guidance,\" Quadratic's Davis said. While the Fed has raised interest rates by 225 basis points already this year, the market is pricing in an additional 117 basis points of hikes to come for the rest of the year, Davis noted.She will be tuned into the Jackson Hole summit for any talk about how the Fed officials plan to use the central bank's balance sheet as a monetary policy tool to fight inflation.For the past week, the Dow added 2.9% to around 33,761.05. The S&P 500  gained 3.3% to 4,280.15, and the Nasdaq rose 3.1% to 13,047.19.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907665740,"gmtCreate":1660184131482,"gmtModify":1703478871126,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907665740","repostId":"2258624237","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2258624237","pubTimestamp":1660183518,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2258624237?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-11 10:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Inches Closer to Erasing 2022 Losses as Inflation Cools","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2258624237","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The iPhone maker’s shares have surged 30% from a June lowTech stocks rallied Wednesday as July infla","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>The iPhone maker’s shares have surged 30% from a June low</li><li>Tech stocks rallied Wednesday as July inflation decelerated</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e46ead1d0702e1f435a760a7bd05d05\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>A customer views an Apple iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max at the company’s flagship store in New York.Photographer: Gabby Jones/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Apple Inc. is close to erasing its losses for the year as softer-than-expected inflation data fueled a risk-on rally in the stock market Wednesday.</p><p>The iPhone-maker edged 2.6% higher to $169.24 as investors piled back into stocks on bets the Federal Reserve could dial back the size of future interest-rate hikes, after the July consumer price index showed a deceleration in growth from the prior month. Megacap tech stocks all rallied with Meta Platforms Inc. and Netflix Inc. leading the pack on a more than 5.8% gain each, while the Nasdaq 100 Index advanced 2.9%. The tech-heavy benchmark closed 20% higher from its June low.</p><p>Since bottoming in mid-June, Apple’s shares have surged about 30%, outpacing the S&amp;P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100. That’s put the tech giant back on top as the world’s most valuable company and within reach of turning positive for the year. It is now down just 4.7% in 2022, compared with a drop of 18% for the Nasdaq 100.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ad0129aeda5386ad137465d7203cd05\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The furious rally comes after the company posted quarterly earnings that were better-than-feared, and also reflects Wall Street’s confidence in its ability to continue churning out big profits. Individual investors, who recently helped ignite rallies in speculative corners of the market, have also flocked to the stock.</p><p>Apple, which has a market value of about $2.7 trillion, surpassed oil giant Saudi Aramco again in July to become the world’s largest company.</p><p>The recent surge puts its shares back in the expensive camp, trading at 26.4 times profits projected over the next 12 months, well above its 10-year average at 16.7 times. That compares with the Nasdaq 100 which is priced at 23 times earnings and the S&amp;P 500 at 17.8.</p><p>About 96% of analysts covering the stock recommend investors buy or hold on to their positions, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, with an average forecast of a 6.9% gain in its shares over the next 12 months.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Inches Closer to Erasing 2022 Losses as Inflation Cools</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Inches Closer to Erasing 2022 Losses as Inflation Cools\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-11 10:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-10/apple-inches-closer-to-erasing-2022-losses-as-inflation-cools?srnd=technology-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The iPhone maker’s shares have surged 30% from a June lowTech stocks rallied Wednesday as July inflation deceleratedA customer views an Apple iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max at the company’s flagship store ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-10/apple-inches-closer-to-erasing-2022-losses-as-inflation-cools?srnd=technology-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-10/apple-inches-closer-to-erasing-2022-losses-as-inflation-cools?srnd=technology-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2258624237","content_text":"The iPhone maker’s shares have surged 30% from a June lowTech stocks rallied Wednesday as July inflation deceleratedA customer views an Apple iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max at the company’s flagship store in New York.Photographer: Gabby Jones/BloombergApple Inc. is close to erasing its losses for the year as softer-than-expected inflation data fueled a risk-on rally in the stock market Wednesday.The iPhone-maker edged 2.6% higher to $169.24 as investors piled back into stocks on bets the Federal Reserve could dial back the size of future interest-rate hikes, after the July consumer price index showed a deceleration in growth from the prior month. Megacap tech stocks all rallied with Meta Platforms Inc. and Netflix Inc. leading the pack on a more than 5.8% gain each, while the Nasdaq 100 Index advanced 2.9%. The tech-heavy benchmark closed 20% higher from its June low.Since bottoming in mid-June, Apple’s shares have surged about 30%, outpacing the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100. That’s put the tech giant back on top as the world’s most valuable company and within reach of turning positive for the year. It is now down just 4.7% in 2022, compared with a drop of 18% for the Nasdaq 100.The furious rally comes after the company posted quarterly earnings that were better-than-feared, and also reflects Wall Street’s confidence in its ability to continue churning out big profits. Individual investors, who recently helped ignite rallies in speculative corners of the market, have also flocked to the stock.Apple, which has a market value of about $2.7 trillion, surpassed oil giant Saudi Aramco again in July to become the world’s largest company.The recent surge puts its shares back in the expensive camp, trading at 26.4 times profits projected over the next 12 months, well above its 10-year average at 16.7 times. That compares with the Nasdaq 100 which is priced at 23 times earnings and the S&P 500 at 17.8.About 96% of analysts covering the stock recommend investors buy or hold on to their positions, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, with an average forecast of a 6.9% gain in its shares over the next 12 months.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905514692,"gmtCreate":1659917301219,"gmtModify":1703475864722,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yaa","listText":"Yaa","text":"Yaa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905514692","repostId":"2257742436","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2257742436","pubTimestamp":1659909510,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2257742436?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-08 05:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Winners and Losers in U.S. Democrats’ Signature Tax and Energy Bill","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2257742436","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Electric cars, fossil fuels and renewables scored big benefitsTech and pharmaceutical companies bear","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Electric cars, fossil fuels and renewables scored big benefits</li><li>Tech and pharmaceutical companies bear much of the cost</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d34706ec6fdbfbdf41a1ab2e3b97d7b3\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US President Joe Biden Photographer: Ting Shen/Bloomberg</span></p><p>President Joe Biden and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer are the biggest winners now that a huge piece of Democrats’ economic agenda is hurtling toward enactment.</p><p>The tax and energy bill passed Sunday after a year and half of rocky negotiations that divided the party. It gives Democrats tangible progress on key issues to show voters in the midterm elections this November.</p><p>Biden’s popularity nose-dived a year ago in the wake of the haphazard Afghanistan pullout and rising inflation -- and a year of infighting among Democrats over the domestic agenda. That squabbling is in the past and Biden can say a cornerstone of his agenda will become law.</p><p>Schumer was slammed last year for failing to unite his caucus behind Biden’s Build Back Better plan. He managed to revive a slimmed version of the deal, navigate last-minute holdups and blindside Republicans hours after they gave up leverage by allowing a bipartisan semiconductor bill to pass.</p><p>Here’s who else comes out on top and who takes a hit from the landmark bill:</p><p><b>WINNERS:</b></p><p><b>The Wealthy</b></p><p>None of the billions of dollars in tax increases Democrats floated a year ago on high-earning Americans made it into the final version of the bill, including proposals to double the capital gains rate, increase taxes on inheritances and levy a surcharge on millionaires. Despite rhetoric from Democrats that they wanted the richest Americans to pay much more, there wasn’t consensus within the party to pass a bill that raises levies on the 1%.</p><p><b>Private Equity</b></p><p>Private equity fund managers were able to dodge a tax increase that Senator Joe Manchin wanted, but fellow moderate Democrat Senator Kyrsten Sinema insisted be taken out of the bill. Manchin had wanted to narrow a tax break known as carried interest, that allows fund managers to pay lower capital gains rates on their earnings.  The private equity industry was able to gain an additional win shortly before the final passage of the bill when a handful of Democrats broke with their party to vote on a Republican amendment that created a carveout for private equity-owned companies in the corporate minimum tax.</p><p><b>Manchin, Sinema</b></p><p>The entire contents of the bill were essentially cherry-picked by Manchin and then tweaked to fit Sinema’s preferences. The two moderates amassed huge leverage with their willingness to accept no bill at all -- and attacks from progressives -- rather than a bill with provisions they opposed. The pair were also able to score some direct benefits for their states as part of the negotiations: Manchin secured and agreement to permit the completion of the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETRN\">Equitrans Midstream Corp</a>.’s Mountain Valley Pipeline, and Sinema was able to get $4 billion for drought relief in western states.</p><p><b>Electric Carmakers</b></p><p>The deal extends a popular $7,500 per vehicle consumer tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles, a win for EV makers like General Motors Co., Tesla Inc. and Toyota Motor Co. But to win the backing of Manchin, companies will have to comply with tough new battery and critical minerals sourcing requirements that could render the credits useless for years for many manufacturers. Not all manufacturers stand to benefit from the credit. New cars that cost more than $55,000 and $80,000 for pickups and SUVs won’t qualify for the credits.</p><p><b>Renewable Energy</b></p><p>Solar company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RUN\">Sunrun Inc.</a>, energy storage and software provider <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STEM\">Stem Inc.</a>, and hydrogen and fuel cell company Plug Power Inc. stand to benefit from generous tax credits in the bill. Nuclear reactor operators such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOJA\">Southern Co</a>., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CEG\">Constellation Energy Corp</a>., Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. and Energy Harbor Corp. also could see a boon from a $30 billion production tax credit for nuclear power providers.</p><p><b>Oil Companies</b></p><p>Oil and gas got a boost alongside newer energy sources. The bill, which could mandate more federal oil and gas lease sales and boosts an existing tax credit for carbon capture, won praise from companies such as Exxon Mobil Corp. and Occidental Petroleum Corp. The legislation creates a new 10-year product tax credit for hydrogen production that rises to as much as $3 per kilogram depending on carbon intensity.</p><p><b>Medicare, Obamacare Enrollees</b></p><p>The final bill caps out-of-pocket costs for seniors’ prescription drugs at $2,000 a year and allows Medicare to negotiate the prices on 10 medications four years from now. The bill avoids a large January increase in Obamacare premiums for many middle income people by extending subsidies for three years.</p><p><b>Deficit Hawks</b></p><p>Manchin negotiated $300 billion in deficit reduction into the bill, the first major effort by Congress in 11 years to reduce the difference between how much the country spends versus how much tax revenue it takes in. The deficit cuts are minor compared to the $24 trillion national debt but hawks say it’s a start.</p><p><b>The IRS</b></p><p>The Internal Revenue Service will get an influx of $80 billion over the next decade to expand its audit capability and upgrade technology systems after years of being underfunded.</p><p><b>LOSERS:</b></p><p><b>Republicans</b></p><p>The GOP was confident they had beaten back Biden’s tax and climate agenda and were stunned in late July when Schumer and Manchin announced a deal. While still the favorites to gain seats in the midterm elections, passage of the bill is a major setback for the GOP’s policy aims. It does, however, give them a new issue to campaign on in the fall campaigns.</p><p><b>Pharmaceutical Companies</b></p><p>The bill allows Medicare for the first time to negotiate with pharmaceutical companies on drug prices, a change that Congress has been discussing for decades with limited success, in part because of the drug lobby’s power. The pharmaceutical industry was able to score a partial victory after the Senate parliamentarian blocked a portion of the bill that would have capped price increases for drugs in the commercial market. Drug-makers will likely offset some of their reduced revenue from Medicare negotiations with higher prices for patients with private insurance.</p><p><b>Tech Companies</b></p><p>Technology companies are set to bear the brunt of the two major tax increases in the proposal -- a 15% minimum tax on financial statement profits and a new levy on stock buybacks. Corporations like Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Meta Inc.’s Facebook have both been able to deftly use the tax code to cut down on the taxes they owe, while still being profitable. The minimum tax is designed to increase levies on companies that report large profits to shareholders, but can claim many deductions and credits to cut their IRS bills.</p><p><b>The SALT Caucus</b></p><p>The legislation does not include an expansion of the $10,000 cap on the state and local tax deduction, or SALT. The omission is a blow to residents of high-tax states in the Northeast and West Coast, and Representatives Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey and Tom Suozzi of New York, who led the effort to increase the size of the write-off.</p><p><b>Bernie Sanders</b></p><p>The $437 billion in spending is a far cry from the $6 trillion that progressives, led by Senator Bernie Sanders, envisioned at the start of Biden’s presidency. The bill excludes all proposals for new social programs, including child care, tuition-free college, housing spending and an expanded-child monthly child tax credit.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Winners and Losers in U.S. Democrats’ Signature Tax and Energy Bill</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWinners and Losers in U.S. Democrats’ Signature Tax and Energy Bill\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 05:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-07/winners-and-losers-in-democrats-signature-tax-and-energy-bill?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Electric cars, fossil fuels and renewables scored big benefitsTech and pharmaceutical companies bear much of the costUS President Joe Biden Photographer: Ting Shen/BloombergPresident Joe Biden and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-07/winners-and-losers-in-democrats-signature-tax-and-energy-bill?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4525":"远程办公概念","SOLN":"SOUTHERN ORD","BK4566":"资本集团","TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","BK4527":"明星科技股","PLUG":"普拉格能源","BK4579":"人工智能","XOM":"埃克森美孚","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","EQTNP":"Equitrans Midstream Corporation","TM":"丰田汽车","SO":"美国南方公司","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4581":"高盛持仓","GOOG":"谷歌","GM":"通用汽车","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4514":"搜索引擎","GOOGL":"谷歌A","CEG":"Constellation Energy Corp","PEG":"公务集团","BOLT":"Bolt Biotherapeutics, Inc.","OXY":"西方石油","BK4539":"次新股",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4144":"石油与天然气的储存和运输",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4191":"家用电器","ETRN":"Equitrans Midstream Corp","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","STEM":"Stem Inc.","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","RUN":"Sunrun Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-07/winners-and-losers-in-democrats-signature-tax-and-energy-bill?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2257742436","content_text":"Electric cars, fossil fuels and renewables scored big benefitsTech and pharmaceutical companies bear much of the costUS President Joe Biden Photographer: Ting Shen/BloombergPresident Joe Biden and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer are the biggest winners now that a huge piece of Democrats’ economic agenda is hurtling toward enactment.The tax and energy bill passed Sunday after a year and half of rocky negotiations that divided the party. It gives Democrats tangible progress on key issues to show voters in the midterm elections this November.Biden’s popularity nose-dived a year ago in the wake of the haphazard Afghanistan pullout and rising inflation -- and a year of infighting among Democrats over the domestic agenda. That squabbling is in the past and Biden can say a cornerstone of his agenda will become law.Schumer was slammed last year for failing to unite his caucus behind Biden’s Build Back Better plan. He managed to revive a slimmed version of the deal, navigate last-minute holdups and blindside Republicans hours after they gave up leverage by allowing a bipartisan semiconductor bill to pass.Here’s who else comes out on top and who takes a hit from the landmark bill:WINNERS:The WealthyNone of the billions of dollars in tax increases Democrats floated a year ago on high-earning Americans made it into the final version of the bill, including proposals to double the capital gains rate, increase taxes on inheritances and levy a surcharge on millionaires. Despite rhetoric from Democrats that they wanted the richest Americans to pay much more, there wasn’t consensus within the party to pass a bill that raises levies on the 1%.Private EquityPrivate equity fund managers were able to dodge a tax increase that Senator Joe Manchin wanted, but fellow moderate Democrat Senator Kyrsten Sinema insisted be taken out of the bill. Manchin had wanted to narrow a tax break known as carried interest, that allows fund managers to pay lower capital gains rates on their earnings.  The private equity industry was able to gain an additional win shortly before the final passage of the bill when a handful of Democrats broke with their party to vote on a Republican amendment that created a carveout for private equity-owned companies in the corporate minimum tax.Manchin, SinemaThe entire contents of the bill were essentially cherry-picked by Manchin and then tweaked to fit Sinema’s preferences. The two moderates amassed huge leverage with their willingness to accept no bill at all -- and attacks from progressives -- rather than a bill with provisions they opposed. The pair were also able to score some direct benefits for their states as part of the negotiations: Manchin secured and agreement to permit the completion of the Equitrans Midstream Corp.’s Mountain Valley Pipeline, and Sinema was able to get $4 billion for drought relief in western states.Electric CarmakersThe deal extends a popular $7,500 per vehicle consumer tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles, a win for EV makers like General Motors Co., Tesla Inc. and Toyota Motor Co. But to win the backing of Manchin, companies will have to comply with tough new battery and critical minerals sourcing requirements that could render the credits useless for years for many manufacturers. Not all manufacturers stand to benefit from the credit. New cars that cost more than $55,000 and $80,000 for pickups and SUVs won’t qualify for the credits.Renewable EnergySolar company Sunrun Inc., energy storage and software provider Stem Inc., and hydrogen and fuel cell company Plug Power Inc. stand to benefit from generous tax credits in the bill. Nuclear reactor operators such as Southern Co., Constellation Energy Corp., Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. and Energy Harbor Corp. also could see a boon from a $30 billion production tax credit for nuclear power providers.Oil CompaniesOil and gas got a boost alongside newer energy sources. The bill, which could mandate more federal oil and gas lease sales and boosts an existing tax credit for carbon capture, won praise from companies such as Exxon Mobil Corp. and Occidental Petroleum Corp. The legislation creates a new 10-year product tax credit for hydrogen production that rises to as much as $3 per kilogram depending on carbon intensity.Medicare, Obamacare EnrolleesThe final bill caps out-of-pocket costs for seniors’ prescription drugs at $2,000 a year and allows Medicare to negotiate the prices on 10 medications four years from now. The bill avoids a large January increase in Obamacare premiums for many middle income people by extending subsidies for three years.Deficit HawksManchin negotiated $300 billion in deficit reduction into the bill, the first major effort by Congress in 11 years to reduce the difference between how much the country spends versus how much tax revenue it takes in. The deficit cuts are minor compared to the $24 trillion national debt but hawks say it’s a start.The IRSThe Internal Revenue Service will get an influx of $80 billion over the next decade to expand its audit capability and upgrade technology systems after years of being underfunded.LOSERS:RepublicansThe GOP was confident they had beaten back Biden’s tax and climate agenda and were stunned in late July when Schumer and Manchin announced a deal. While still the favorites to gain seats in the midterm elections, passage of the bill is a major setback for the GOP’s policy aims. It does, however, give them a new issue to campaign on in the fall campaigns.Pharmaceutical CompaniesThe bill allows Medicare for the first time to negotiate with pharmaceutical companies on drug prices, a change that Congress has been discussing for decades with limited success, in part because of the drug lobby’s power. The pharmaceutical industry was able to score a partial victory after the Senate parliamentarian blocked a portion of the bill that would have capped price increases for drugs in the commercial market. Drug-makers will likely offset some of their reduced revenue from Medicare negotiations with higher prices for patients with private insurance.Tech CompaniesTechnology companies are set to bear the brunt of the two major tax increases in the proposal -- a 15% minimum tax on financial statement profits and a new levy on stock buybacks. Corporations like Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Meta Inc.’s Facebook have both been able to deftly use the tax code to cut down on the taxes they owe, while still being profitable. The minimum tax is designed to increase levies on companies that report large profits to shareholders, but can claim many deductions and credits to cut their IRS bills.The SALT CaucusThe legislation does not include an expansion of the $10,000 cap on the state and local tax deduction, or SALT. The omission is a blow to residents of high-tax states in the Northeast and West Coast, and Representatives Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey and Tom Suozzi of New York, who led the effort to increase the size of the write-off.Bernie SandersThe $437 billion in spending is a far cry from the $6 trillion that progressives, led by Senator Bernie Sanders, envisioned at the start of Biden’s presidency. The bill excludes all proposals for new social programs, including child care, tuition-free college, housing spending and an expanded-child monthly child tax credit.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905352778,"gmtCreate":1659834126895,"gmtModify":1703766823459,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905352778","repostId":"685496674","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":685496674,"gmtCreate":1659802262600,"gmtModify":1676533421541,"author":{"id":"3479274781024327","authorId":"3479274781024327","name":"Stock Trends","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad22f2267382e9b51ff063015d195c2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"\n \n \n  The Stock Market Is Setting Up…\n \n","listText":"The Stock Market Is Setting Up…","text":"The Stock Market Is Setting Up…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/685496674","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"c8ef2c1e88ae4cf0945d7513bb3fd570","tweetId":"685496674","title":"The Stock Market Is Setting Up…","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1659802257125db44deb4ffdee07865365203804049ab.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2350afe2749ba94a93aec0efa76a1f09","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1659802257125db44deb4ffdee07865365203804049ab.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906189602,"gmtCreate":1659495721226,"gmtModify":1705981008394,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906189602","repostId":"9906119452","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9906119452,"gmtCreate":1659494478777,"gmtModify":1705980992766,"author":{"id":"9000000000000472","authorId":"9000000000000472","name":"MontagueWatt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c54e3226473cdc391bbdd50a761e370e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Always had faith in this company as i only saw their presence increasing everywhere. As volume already crossed 21M in 10 Minutes considering average 34M clearly tell both Short coverings and new investment taking place. Continue holding for $500.&nbsp;a company that went bankrupt because it couldn’t service its debt is taking out another huge loan at onerous terms, and that’s good? I should go get a Discover card and transfer my Visa balances, I guess.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REV\">$Revlon(REV)$</a>","listText":"Always had faith in this company as i only saw their presence increasing everywhere. As volume already crossed 21M in 10 Minutes considering average 34M clearly tell both Short coverings and new investment taking place. Continue holding for $500.&nbsp;a company that went bankrupt because it couldn’t service its debt is taking out another huge loan at onerous terms, and that’s good? I should go get a Discover card and transfer my Visa balances, I guess.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REV\">$Revlon(REV)$</a>","text":"Always had faith in this company as i only saw their presence increasing everywhere. As volume already crossed 21M in 10 Minutes considering average 34M clearly tell both Short coverings and new investment taking place. Continue holding for $500. a company that went bankrupt because it couldn’t service its debt is taking out another huge loan at onerous terms, and that’s good? I should go get a Discover card and transfer my Visa balances, I guess.$Revlon(REV)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906119452","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906383684,"gmtCreate":1659486812851,"gmtModify":1705980846316,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello","listText":"Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906383684","repostId":"1194391597","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194391597","pubTimestamp":1659486663,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194391597?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-03 08:31","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Rally May Stall For Singapore Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194391597","media":"rtt news","summary":"The Singapore stock market has moved higher in back-to-back sessions, collecting almost 30 points or","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has moved higher in back-to-back sessions, collecting almost 30 points or 0.9 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now rests just beneath the 3,240-point plateau although it&#39;s due for consolidation on Wednesday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asianmarketsis soft on rising geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, and concerns that theeconomyis slowing. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian bourses are expected to follow that lead.</p><p>The STI finished barely higher on Tuesday following mixed performances from the financials, properties and industrials.</p><p>For the day, the index rose 0.40 points or 0.01 percent to finish at 3239.15 after trading between 3,227.37 and 3,244.06. Volume was 1.4 billion shares worth 911.6 million Singapore dollars. There were 297 decliners and 193 gainers.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT fell 0.34 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dropped 0.46 percent, CapitaLand Investment tanked 1.50 percent, City Developments slumped 0.64 percent, DBS Group eased 0.06 percent, Genting Singapore declined 1.23 percent, Hongkong Land slid 0.19 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust plunged 1.55 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust lost 0.37 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation collected 0.68 percent, SATS sank 0.50 percent, SembCorp Industries retreated 0.67 percent, Singapore Exchange gained 0.50 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering advanced 0.74 percent, SingTel shed 0.38 percent, Thai Beverage climbed 0.77 percent, United Overseas Bank skidded 0.57 percent, Wilmar International rose 0.49 percent, Yangzijiang Financial tumbled 1.25 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding plummeted 1.60 percent and Comfort DelGro, Keppel Corp and Mapletree Logistics Trust were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened deep in the red on Tuesday, pared some of the losses but still closed well in negative territory.</p><p>The Dow plummeted 402.23 points or 1.23 percent to finish at 32,396.17, while the NASDAQ dipped 20.22 points or 0.16 percent to close at 12,348.76 and the S&amp;P 500 sank 27.44 points or 0.67 percent to end at 4,091.19.</p><p>The weakness that emerged on Wall Street came as tensions climbed the U.S. and China due to U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi&#39;s visit to Taiwan.</p><p>In economic news, the Labor Department said the number of job openings in the United States fell by 605,000 from a month earlier to 10.7 million in June, the lowest in nine months and below market expectations of 11 million.</p><p>Crude oil futures settled higher Tuesday, with traders weighing demand and supply prospects and looking ahead to this week&#39;s OPEC+ meeting. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for September ended higher by $0.53 or 0.6 percent at $94.42 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1637539882596","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rally May Stall For Singapore Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRally May Stall For Singapore Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-03 08:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3301865/rally-may-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom><strong>rtt news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has moved higher in back-to-back sessions, collecting almost 30 points or 0.9 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now rests just beneath the 3,240-point plateau ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3301865/rally-may-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3301865/rally-may-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194391597","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has moved higher in back-to-back sessions, collecting almost 30 points or 0.9 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now rests just beneath the 3,240-point plateau although it's due for consolidation on Wednesday.The global forecast for the Asianmarketsis soft on rising geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, and concerns that theeconomyis slowing. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian bourses are expected to follow that lead.The STI finished barely higher on Tuesday following mixed performances from the financials, properties and industrials.For the day, the index rose 0.40 points or 0.01 percent to finish at 3239.15 after trading between 3,227.37 and 3,244.06. Volume was 1.4 billion shares worth 911.6 million Singapore dollars. There were 297 decliners and 193 gainers.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT fell 0.34 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust dropped 0.46 percent, CapitaLand Investment tanked 1.50 percent, City Developments slumped 0.64 percent, DBS Group eased 0.06 percent, Genting Singapore declined 1.23 percent, Hongkong Land slid 0.19 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust plunged 1.55 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust lost 0.37 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation collected 0.68 percent, SATS sank 0.50 percent, SembCorp Industries retreated 0.67 percent, Singapore Exchange gained 0.50 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering advanced 0.74 percent, SingTel shed 0.38 percent, Thai Beverage climbed 0.77 percent, United Overseas Bank skidded 0.57 percent, Wilmar International rose 0.49 percent, Yangzijiang Financial tumbled 1.25 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding plummeted 1.60 percent and Comfort DelGro, Keppel Corp and Mapletree Logistics Trust were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened deep in the red on Tuesday, pared some of the losses but still closed well in negative territory.The Dow plummeted 402.23 points or 1.23 percent to finish at 32,396.17, while the NASDAQ dipped 20.22 points or 0.16 percent to close at 12,348.76 and the S&P 500 sank 27.44 points or 0.67 percent to end at 4,091.19.The weakness that emerged on Wall Street came as tensions climbed the U.S. and China due to U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.In economic news, the Labor Department said the number of job openings in the United States fell by 605,000 from a month earlier to 10.7 million in June, the lowest in nine months and below market expectations of 11 million.Crude oil futures settled higher Tuesday, with traders weighing demand and supply prospects and looking ahead to this week's OPEC+ meeting. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for September ended higher by $0.53 or 0.6 percent at $94.42 a barrel.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908381623,"gmtCreate":1659320689862,"gmtModify":1676536286866,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908381623","repostId":"1110560377","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908985710,"gmtCreate":1659312661530,"gmtModify":1676536284447,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908985710","repostId":"1143504703","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901724655,"gmtCreate":1659275754277,"gmtModify":1676536280016,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello","listText":"Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901724655","repostId":"1179563419","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179563419","pubTimestamp":1659233714,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179563419?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-31 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179563419","media":"Barrons","summary":"While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird for the possibility of failure—potentially on both fronts.</p><p>The central bank raised interest rates by 0.75 percentage point on Wednesday for the second time in a row in policy makers’ effort to cool demand and slow price growth, but so far inflation remains near 40-year highs. And now investors are increasingly worried that the Fed will be unable to achieve a “soft landing,” and that rate hikes will tip the economy into a recession instead.</p><p>In a press conference accompanying the rate hike announcement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged both the risk of doing too little and failing to contain inflation, and the risk of doing too much and forcing an economic slowdown. “We’re trying not to make a mistake,” he said, noting that the path for threading the needle had narrowed.</p><p>That means that investors should look to add a recession page to their inflation playbook, even though those two scenarios usually involve opposing strategies, financial pros say. The rare combination of high inflation and slowing growth is called stagflation. While many economists don’t expect the U.S. to see the kind of prolonged stagflation that it experienced during the 1970s, elevated inflation and a burgeoning recession could very well overlap, financial pros say.</p><p>“The evidence is stacking up to suggest that the recession might happen before they bring inflation under control,” said Jason Pride, chief investment officer for private wealth at Glenmede, an investment and wealth management firm in Philadelphia.</p><p>Here are some stock-and-bond strategies for investors in these uncertain times.</p><p><b>Stay the Course</b></p><p>The first half of the year was brutal for both stocks and bonds, and investors are anxious. While the S&amp;P 500 has edged up off its lows of mid-June,  stocks have probably not reached a bottom yet, market watchers say. A bottom would represent “peak fear” in the market, and right now fear is elevated, said Rob Arnott, founding chairman of Research Affiliates in Newport Beach, Calif.</p><p>The best time to invest is at peak fear, when assets are cheapest, Arnott said. Because it’s hard to time the precise bottom, investors with strong stomachs can start dollar-cost averaging into the market now, Arnott said.</p><p>Emerging market stocks are “stealth inflation fighters” that are particularly attractive right now, he said. Many emerging-market economies are commodity exporters, so they offer investors exposure to the sector without the need to invest directly in commodities, which are expensive right now. A general rule of thumb is investors should allocate about a third of their stock portfolio to non-U.S. equities, and about a third of that international allocation should go toward emerging markets, Arnott said.</p><p>Another term for peak fear is capitulation, when everyday investors want nothing to do with stocks. However tempting, that’s not the time to exit the market and lock in your losses. If you need to sell a little to raise cash to tide you through a recession, then that’s OK, said Yiming Ma, assistant professor of finance at Columbia Business School. Just keep most of your assets invested, so you’ll participate in the recovery as soon as it starts. (Investors might be surprised to learn that the market’s best days tend to fall within two weeks of its worst days over a 20-year period, according to research from J.P. Morgan Asset Management).</p><p><b>Embrace Bridge Strategies</b></p><p>Some corners of the stock market are well positioned to weather both inflation and a possible recession. Pride says real estate investment trusts are relatively attractive right now. REITs have a natural tie to inflation through rent escalation and price appreciation of owned real estate, he said. Rent increases tends to trail inflation, but this lag should help REITs outperform other risk assets, like traditional equities, as economic growth declines and inflation moderates, he noted.</p><p>Healthcare stocks are also well positioned for high inflation and slow growth. Pharmaceutical companies and healthcare providers are particularly able to pass along price increases, said Gargi Chaudhuri, head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas at BlackRock. Two ETFs that offer exposure to these sub-sectors are the iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (ticker: IHE) and the iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF (IHF), Chaudhuri said. What’s more, demand for healthcare doesn’t decline as much during a recession as demand for discretionary purchases.</p><p>On the bond side,Treasury Series I savings bonds are a good bet for both inflation and a possible recession. The initial interest rate on new Series I savings bonds is 9.62%, and you can buy bonds at that rate through October 2022.</p><p>There are some important caveats to remember with I bonds, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. For starters, they’re not income instruments. Interest each bond earns is added to its principal value, and you get access to it when you cash out the bond. Second, they’re not very liquid. You can’t cash them in the first year, and if you redeem them within the first five years, you’ll lose your last three months’ interest. Lastly, consumers can only buy up to $10,000 of electronic I bonds each calendar year (couples can buy $20,000 between them).</p><p>So they’re a good fit for longer-term savings. “When you can get 9%-plus risk-free, there’s nothing else like them,” said Eric Diton, president and managing director of the Wealth Alliance in Boca Raton, Fla. “That’s the biggest no-brainer in the world right now.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-31 10:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-recession-inflation-rate-hike-investing-portfolio-51658865820><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird for the possibility of failure—potentially on both fronts.The central bank raised interest rates by...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-recession-inflation-rate-hike-investing-portfolio-51658865820\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-recession-inflation-rate-hike-investing-portfolio-51658865820","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179563419","content_text":"While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird for the possibility of failure—potentially on both fronts.The central bank raised interest rates by 0.75 percentage point on Wednesday for the second time in a row in policy makers’ effort to cool demand and slow price growth, but so far inflation remains near 40-year highs. And now investors are increasingly worried that the Fed will be unable to achieve a “soft landing,” and that rate hikes will tip the economy into a recession instead.In a press conference accompanying the rate hike announcement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged both the risk of doing too little and failing to contain inflation, and the risk of doing too much and forcing an economic slowdown. “We’re trying not to make a mistake,” he said, noting that the path for threading the needle had narrowed.That means that investors should look to add a recession page to their inflation playbook, even though those two scenarios usually involve opposing strategies, financial pros say. The rare combination of high inflation and slowing growth is called stagflation. While many economists don’t expect the U.S. to see the kind of prolonged stagflation that it experienced during the 1970s, elevated inflation and a burgeoning recession could very well overlap, financial pros say.“The evidence is stacking up to suggest that the recession might happen before they bring inflation under control,” said Jason Pride, chief investment officer for private wealth at Glenmede, an investment and wealth management firm in Philadelphia.Here are some stock-and-bond strategies for investors in these uncertain times.Stay the CourseThe first half of the year was brutal for both stocks and bonds, and investors are anxious. While the S&P 500 has edged up off its lows of mid-June,  stocks have probably not reached a bottom yet, market watchers say. A bottom would represent “peak fear” in the market, and right now fear is elevated, said Rob Arnott, founding chairman of Research Affiliates in Newport Beach, Calif.The best time to invest is at peak fear, when assets are cheapest, Arnott said. Because it’s hard to time the precise bottom, investors with strong stomachs can start dollar-cost averaging into the market now, Arnott said.Emerging market stocks are “stealth inflation fighters” that are particularly attractive right now, he said. Many emerging-market economies are commodity exporters, so they offer investors exposure to the sector without the need to invest directly in commodities, which are expensive right now. A general rule of thumb is investors should allocate about a third of their stock portfolio to non-U.S. equities, and about a third of that international allocation should go toward emerging markets, Arnott said.Another term for peak fear is capitulation, when everyday investors want nothing to do with stocks. However tempting, that’s not the time to exit the market and lock in your losses. If you need to sell a little to raise cash to tide you through a recession, then that’s OK, said Yiming Ma, assistant professor of finance at Columbia Business School. Just keep most of your assets invested, so you’ll participate in the recovery as soon as it starts. (Investors might be surprised to learn that the market’s best days tend to fall within two weeks of its worst days over a 20-year period, according to research from J.P. Morgan Asset Management).Embrace Bridge StrategiesSome corners of the stock market are well positioned to weather both inflation and a possible recession. Pride says real estate investment trusts are relatively attractive right now. REITs have a natural tie to inflation through rent escalation and price appreciation of owned real estate, he said. Rent increases tends to trail inflation, but this lag should help REITs outperform other risk assets, like traditional equities, as economic growth declines and inflation moderates, he noted.Healthcare stocks are also well positioned for high inflation and slow growth. Pharmaceutical companies and healthcare providers are particularly able to pass along price increases, said Gargi Chaudhuri, head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas at BlackRock. Two ETFs that offer exposure to these sub-sectors are the iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (ticker: IHE) and the iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF (IHF), Chaudhuri said. What’s more, demand for healthcare doesn’t decline as much during a recession as demand for discretionary purchases.On the bond side,Treasury Series I savings bonds are a good bet for both inflation and a possible recession. The initial interest rate on new Series I savings bonds is 9.62%, and you can buy bonds at that rate through October 2022.There are some important caveats to remember with I bonds, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. For starters, they’re not income instruments. Interest each bond earns is added to its principal value, and you get access to it when you cash out the bond. Second, they’re not very liquid. You can’t cash them in the first year, and if you redeem them within the first five years, you’ll lose your last three months’ interest. Lastly, consumers can only buy up to $10,000 of electronic I bonds each calendar year (couples can buy $20,000 between them).So they’re a good fit for longer-term savings. “When you can get 9%-plus risk-free, there’s nothing else like them,” said Eric Diton, president and managing director of the Wealth Alliance in Boca Raton, Fla. “That’s the biggest no-brainer in the world right now.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9995570003,"gmtCreate":1661487846004,"gmtModify":1676536529378,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995570003","repostId":"2262812935","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993451483,"gmtCreate":1660720116744,"gmtModify":1676536386657,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993451483","repostId":"1194186485","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908985710,"gmtCreate":1659312661530,"gmtModify":1676536284447,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908985710","repostId":"1143504703","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1143504703","pubTimestamp":1659312356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143504703?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-01 08:05","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Rebound Predicted For Singapore Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143504703","media":"rtt news","summary":"The Singapore stock market on Friday wrote a finish to the three-day winning streak in which it had gathered almost 40 points or 1.2 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,210-poi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market on Friday wrote a finish to the three-day winning streak in which it had gathered almost 40 points or 1.2 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,210-point plateau although it&#39;s expected to bounce higher again on Monday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asian markets is upbeat on optimism over corporate earnings, plus support from the energy and technology sectors. The European and U.S. markets were solidly higher and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p>The STI finished slightly lower on Friday following losses from the financials and mixed performances from the properties and industrials.</p><p>For the day, the index slipped 9.09 points or 0.28 percent to finish at 3,211.56 after trading between 3,199.96 and 3,244.29. Volume was 1.29 billion shares worth 1.35 billion Singapore dollars. There were 258 decliners and 230 gainers.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.34 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust surged 2.35 percent, City Developments slumped 0.64 percent, Comfort DelGro tumbled 1.39 percent, DBS Group declined 1.10 percent, Genting Singapore dropped 0.62 percent, Hongkong Land skyrocketed 6.79 percent, Keppel Corp soared 1.62 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust climbed 1,06 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust added 0.57 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and SembCorp Industries both lost 0.34 percent, SATS spiked 1.28 percent, Singapore Exchange gained 0.41 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering sank 0.50 percent, SingTel fell 0.38 percent, Thai Beverage rallied 0.78 percent, United Overseas Bank tanked 2.51 percent, Wilmar International retreated 0.74 percent, Yangzijiang Financial plunged 3.66 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding plummeted 4.62 percent and CapitaLand Investment and Mapletree Industrial Trust were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is positive as the major averages opened higher on Friday and accelerated as the day progressed, ending near session highs.</p><p>The Dow spiked 315.53 points or 0.97 percent to finish at 32,845.13, while the NASDAQ jumped 228.09 points or 1.88 percent to end at 12,390.69 and the S&amp;P 500 gained 57.86 points or 1.42 percent to close at 4,130.29.</p><p>For the week, the NASDAQ spiked 4.7 percent, the S&amp;P climbed 4.3 percent and the Dow gained 3.0 percent. The three-day rally also capped off a strong month for stocks, with the major averages recording their best monthly gains since 2020.</p><p>The continued strength on Wall Street reflected a positive reaction to the latest batch of earnings news from big-name companies like Amazon (AMZN) and tech giant Apple (AAPL) - although others like Intel (INTC) and Proctor &amp; Gamble (PG) disappointed.</p><p>Crude oil prices rose sharply after the Energy Information Administration said U.S. crude inventories tumbled last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for September ended higher by $2.20 or 2.3 percent at $98.62 a barrel. WTI crude futures gained 4.1 percent in the week but fell 6.8 percent in the month.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1637539882596","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rebound Predicted For Singapore Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRebound Predicted For Singapore Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-01 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3301011/rebound-predicted-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom><strong>rtt news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market on Friday wrote a finish to the three-day winning streak in which it had gathered almost 40 points or 1.2 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,210-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3301011/rebound-predicted-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3301011/rebound-predicted-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143504703","content_text":"The Singapore stock market on Friday wrote a finish to the three-day winning streak in which it had gathered almost 40 points or 1.2 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,210-point plateau although it's expected to bounce higher again on Monday.The global forecast for the Asian markets is upbeat on optimism over corporate earnings, plus support from the energy and technology sectors. The European and U.S. markets were solidly higher and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.The STI finished slightly lower on Friday following losses from the financials and mixed performances from the properties and industrials.For the day, the index slipped 9.09 points or 0.28 percent to finish at 3,211.56 after trading between 3,199.96 and 3,244.29. Volume was 1.29 billion shares worth 1.35 billion Singapore dollars. There were 258 decliners and 230 gainers.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.34 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust surged 2.35 percent, City Developments slumped 0.64 percent, Comfort DelGro tumbled 1.39 percent, DBS Group declined 1.10 percent, Genting Singapore dropped 0.62 percent, Hongkong Land skyrocketed 6.79 percent, Keppel Corp soared 1.62 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust climbed 1,06 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust added 0.57 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and SembCorp Industries both lost 0.34 percent, SATS spiked 1.28 percent, Singapore Exchange gained 0.41 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering sank 0.50 percent, SingTel fell 0.38 percent, Thai Beverage rallied 0.78 percent, United Overseas Bank tanked 2.51 percent, Wilmar International retreated 0.74 percent, Yangzijiang Financial plunged 3.66 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding plummeted 4.62 percent and CapitaLand Investment and Mapletree Industrial Trust were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is positive as the major averages opened higher on Friday and accelerated as the day progressed, ending near session highs.The Dow spiked 315.53 points or 0.97 percent to finish at 32,845.13, while the NASDAQ jumped 228.09 points or 1.88 percent to end at 12,390.69 and the S&P 500 gained 57.86 points or 1.42 percent to close at 4,130.29.For the week, the NASDAQ spiked 4.7 percent, the S&P climbed 4.3 percent and the Dow gained 3.0 percent. The three-day rally also capped off a strong month for stocks, with the major averages recording their best monthly gains since 2020.The continued strength on Wall Street reflected a positive reaction to the latest batch of earnings news from big-name companies like Amazon (AMZN) and tech giant Apple (AAPL) - although others like Intel (INTC) and Proctor & Gamble (PG) disappointed.Crude oil prices rose sharply after the Energy Information Administration said U.S. crude inventories tumbled last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for September ended higher by $2.20 or 2.3 percent at $98.62 a barrel. WTI crude futures gained 4.1 percent in the week but fell 6.8 percent in the month.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905514692,"gmtCreate":1659917301219,"gmtModify":1703475864722,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yaa","listText":"Yaa","text":"Yaa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905514692","repostId":"2257742436","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908381623,"gmtCreate":1659320689862,"gmtModify":1676536286866,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908381623","repostId":"1110560377","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1110560377","pubTimestamp":1659320372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110560377?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-01 10:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Reaching For The Stars, Reversal Ahead (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110560377","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThis is a technical analysis article. The Fed rocket booster kicked in, taking this technical","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>This is a technical analysis article. The Fed rocket booster kicked in, taking this technical bounce up to the price levels of a previous bounce high ~$412.</li><li>This is the highest level we thought this bounce would reach, before the surprisingly dovish comments by the Fed and no hint of a 75 basis point hike in September.</li><li>Meanwhile the market expects a recession and sees the Fed backing down on 75 basis point increases in interest rates. We agree about the recession, but not lower rates.</li><li>Without the Fed boost, this technical bounce was ready to top out, as bear market, technical bounces usually do. Warning: Fed is committed to raising rates, targeting 2% inflation.</li><li>As it is, this bounce is testing the limits, to find out when the buyers are exhausted and the sellers return in this bear market still looking for a bottom.</li></ul><p>The Fed announcement gives a rocket booster to this bear market (NYSEARCA:SPY) technical bounce, as it dreams about reaching for the stars. Monster stocks missing earnings expectations, like Alphabet (GOOGL), and the stock goes up, when everyone knows ad revenues fall during a recession. GDP down for two quarters flashes &#34;recession&#34;, but high employment flashes &#34;no recession.&#34;</p><p><b>Recession Narrative</b></p><p>The SPY is believing the recession narrative and that this narrative will force the Fed to back down from a 75 basis point increase in September. However, not so fast, because the Fed says it will not ease until it sees its targeted inflation rate of 2% coming down the pike. That is nowhere in sight.</p><p>No matter what the narrative, we don&#39;t fight the tape, nor this surprising move up in the SPY. We follow the existing buy signals until they turn down. You can see these buy signals on both the daily and weekly charts shown below. That&#39;s a win/win.</p><p>When this move up hits a wall of resistance, as it must, we will see the first signals on the daily chart. Then, when the weekly chart Sell signals appear, we will know the market is heading down to retest $364. We think this happens in September, and expect to see the market bottom in October. A recession will take us to a bottom well below $364.</p><p><b>Enjoy This Move Up</b></p><p>Meanwhile let&#39;s enjoy the ride, reaching for the stars, until it comes to an end. After all, that is the way to make money in the market. We have to go with the buy signals on both the daily and the weekly charts shown below. That one-two punch accounts for the big gain in the SPY for the month of July.</p><p>The bounce to the stars ends as earnings season ends. Then the market starts thinking about the rising dollar, the falling GDP, earnings only beating lowered expectations, analysts dropping earnings estimates, the war, the recession in Europe, rising prices on everything, etc. All this without the benefit of positive earnings rolling in everyday.</p><p><b>The Next Reality Check</b></p><p>The September rate hike by the Fed will be the reality check. Any announcement of increasing inflation will take the market down. We expect this because you can&#39;t turn inflation down immediately. This is like turning an aircraft carrier, not a destroyer.</p><p>Plus it is well known that increasing interest rates is a very slow, working cure for inflation. You can massage gasoline prices lower quickly, but not the whole CPI. Besides, sticker shock on cars, restaurant prices and food bills will continue to kill consumer demand except for the basics. Watch out Alphabet and Amazon (AMZN). Meta Platforms (META) is already crashing.</p><p>Apple (AAPL) is proving iPhones are a necessity. Chipotle (CMG) is proving its food addicts ignore higher prices. That may change when unemployment increases. Increasing unemployment will trigger the Fed to stop raising rates. That is next year, not this September.</p><p>Here is our daily chart showing all its buy signals that will make you money as they did in July:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa9660eeb74c26ac194ec918d504c4a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SPY Buy Signals Take Price Higher (StockCharts.com)</p><p><b>NOTE</b>: <i>The last high before the big drop to $362 was at $415.64. Price has moved up to retest that important resistance level. The bounce up was very strong because of the price gaps on the way down, providing little resistance on the bounce up. We are looking for a reversal ~$416. The long term, bear market downtrend is shown by the 200-day moving average now at $430 on the chart. That is the big hurdle this market has to overcome. The end of the war would do it. The end of inflation would also do it. Until then, the bear market continues.</i></p><p>Below is the lagging, weekly chart. The Sell signals will appear, lagging the Sell signals on the daily chart, but the signals will be more reliable. Notice that the current buy signals are in sync with the daily chart and that provides a win/win combination in both leading and lagging signals. It explains why this bounce is so strong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90567786a03ff8d2f5793bbca544d01f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SPY Improves to Weak Hold Rating (StocksInDemand.com)</p><p><b>NOTE</b>: <i>All the signals are short term bullish, but still long term bearish. You can see price reaching to test the long term, bearish, downtrend red arrow. We believe this is the &#34;reversal ahead&#34;. Notice at the top of the chart is our proprietary Buy/Hold/Sell signal. It has improved to a &#34;Weak Hold&#34; rating with a score of 58 out of a possible 100. There is no bottom formation in place and that is why we expect a reversal to retest the bottom. (The blue, vertical line, bullish, is triggered by the signal at the bottom of the chart.)</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Reaching For The Stars, Reversal Ahead (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Reaching For The Stars, Reversal Ahead (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-01 10:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528069-spy-reaching-for-stars-reversal-ahead-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThis is a technical analysis article. The Fed rocket booster kicked in, taking this technical bounce up to the price levels of a previous bounce high ~$412.This is the highest level we thought ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528069-spy-reaching-for-stars-reversal-ahead-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528069-spy-reaching-for-stars-reversal-ahead-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110560377","content_text":"SummaryThis is a technical analysis article. The Fed rocket booster kicked in, taking this technical bounce up to the price levels of a previous bounce high ~$412.This is the highest level we thought this bounce would reach, before the surprisingly dovish comments by the Fed and no hint of a 75 basis point hike in September.Meanwhile the market expects a recession and sees the Fed backing down on 75 basis point increases in interest rates. We agree about the recession, but not lower rates.Without the Fed boost, this technical bounce was ready to top out, as bear market, technical bounces usually do. Warning: Fed is committed to raising rates, targeting 2% inflation.As it is, this bounce is testing the limits, to find out when the buyers are exhausted and the sellers return in this bear market still looking for a bottom.The Fed announcement gives a rocket booster to this bear market (NYSEARCA:SPY) technical bounce, as it dreams about reaching for the stars. Monster stocks missing earnings expectations, like Alphabet (GOOGL), and the stock goes up, when everyone knows ad revenues fall during a recession. GDP down for two quarters flashes \"recession\", but high employment flashes \"no recession.\"Recession NarrativeThe SPY is believing the recession narrative and that this narrative will force the Fed to back down from a 75 basis point increase in September. However, not so fast, because the Fed says it will not ease until it sees its targeted inflation rate of 2% coming down the pike. That is nowhere in sight.No matter what the narrative, we don't fight the tape, nor this surprising move up in the SPY. We follow the existing buy signals until they turn down. You can see these buy signals on both the daily and weekly charts shown below. That's a win/win.When this move up hits a wall of resistance, as it must, we will see the first signals on the daily chart. Then, when the weekly chart Sell signals appear, we will know the market is heading down to retest $364. We think this happens in September, and expect to see the market bottom in October. A recession will take us to a bottom well below $364.Enjoy This Move UpMeanwhile let's enjoy the ride, reaching for the stars, until it comes to an end. After all, that is the way to make money in the market. We have to go with the buy signals on both the daily and the weekly charts shown below. That one-two punch accounts for the big gain in the SPY for the month of July.The bounce to the stars ends as earnings season ends. Then the market starts thinking about the rising dollar, the falling GDP, earnings only beating lowered expectations, analysts dropping earnings estimates, the war, the recession in Europe, rising prices on everything, etc. All this without the benefit of positive earnings rolling in everyday.The Next Reality CheckThe September rate hike by the Fed will be the reality check. Any announcement of increasing inflation will take the market down. We expect this because you can't turn inflation down immediately. This is like turning an aircraft carrier, not a destroyer.Plus it is well known that increasing interest rates is a very slow, working cure for inflation. You can massage gasoline prices lower quickly, but not the whole CPI. Besides, sticker shock on cars, restaurant prices and food bills will continue to kill consumer demand except for the basics. Watch out Alphabet and Amazon (AMZN). Meta Platforms (META) is already crashing.Apple (AAPL) is proving iPhones are a necessity. Chipotle (CMG) is proving its food addicts ignore higher prices. That may change when unemployment increases. Increasing unemployment will trigger the Fed to stop raising rates. That is next year, not this September.Here is our daily chart showing all its buy signals that will make you money as they did in July:SPY Buy Signals Take Price Higher (StockCharts.com)NOTE: The last high before the big drop to $362 was at $415.64. Price has moved up to retest that important resistance level. The bounce up was very strong because of the price gaps on the way down, providing little resistance on the bounce up. We are looking for a reversal ~$416. The long term, bear market downtrend is shown by the 200-day moving average now at $430 on the chart. That is the big hurdle this market has to overcome. The end of the war would do it. The end of inflation would also do it. Until then, the bear market continues.Below is the lagging, weekly chart. The Sell signals will appear, lagging the Sell signals on the daily chart, but the signals will be more reliable. Notice that the current buy signals are in sync with the daily chart and that provides a win/win combination in both leading and lagging signals. It explains why this bounce is so strong.SPY Improves to Weak Hold Rating (StocksInDemand.com)NOTE: All the signals are short term bullish, but still long term bearish. You can see price reaching to test the long term, bearish, downtrend red arrow. We believe this is the \"reversal ahead\". Notice at the top of the chart is our proprietary Buy/Hold/Sell signal. It has improved to a \"Weak Hold\" rating with a score of 58 out of a possible 100. There is no bottom formation in place and that is why we expect a reversal to retest the bottom. (The blue, vertical line, bullish, is triggered by the signal at the bottom of the chart.)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901521888,"gmtCreate":1659234846744,"gmtModify":1676536275178,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901521888","repostId":"2255412085","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2255412085","pubTimestamp":1659224690,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2255412085?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-31 07:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What’s in Store for Commodities After Losses in July?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2255412085","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Wheat, oil prices decline for the month, but natural gas stages a rallyA farmer watches his burning ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wheat, oil prices decline for the month, but natural gas stages a rally</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5e00e650419351dfff625afe0881051\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A farmer watches his burning wheat field caused by the fighting at the front line in the Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine, Monday, July 4, 2022.</span></p><p>The pullback in most commodity prices in July, with wheat and oil among the decliners, might be an indication that inflation will soon reach its peak, and some commodities could be in store for further losses for the rest of this year.</p><p>Commodities look to post a second straight monthly loss following six consecutive months of gains. The S&amp;P Goldman Sachs Commodity index has lost nearly 4% this month as of July 28, but remains nearly 21% higher this year.</p><p>High inflation and monetary policy tightening by central banks are finally hitting consumer and industrial demand, which is “resulting in some demand destruction for most commodities and alleviating some of the upward pressure on prices,” says Matthew Sherwood, senior lead commodities analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit. Most commodities prices are likely to “ease gradually for the rest of this year and next.”</p><blockquote>Most commodities prices are likely to “ease gradually for the rest of this year and next.”</blockquote><blockquote>— Matthew Sherwood, EIU</blockquote><p>Among the decliners, the S&amp;P GSCI Industrial Metals index lost more than 2% in July, with Comex copper off more than 6% and iron ore down nearly 18%.Iron oreand copper have been depressed due to weak economic activity associated with China’s zero-Covid strategy, says Shawn Reynolds, portfolio manager for VanEck’s active Natural Resources Equity Strategy.</p><p>Still, Reynolds says China’s economy and these metals prices are like a “coiled spring.” China has been providing “extensive stimulus measures on both the fiscal and monetary side.” That suggests a potential rise in demand for the metals.</p><p>The S&amp;P GSCI Agricultural index has lost nearly 4% month to date, with wheat futures down almost 8%.</p><p>Wheat prices hit decade-high levels after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February, coinciding with poor weather during the early part of the U.S. planting season, says Reynolds. A recent export agreement comes just as weather has turned positive for crops, he says.</p><p>Russia and Ukraine signed deals with Turkey and the United Nations that may clear the way for agricultural exports from both nations.</p><p>Still, “we see [Russian President Vladimir] Putin treating wheat and other ag products similarly to the way he is toying with Europe on the natural-gas front,” says Reynolds. Some of the big concerns include higher costs driven by natural gas and smaller fertilizer applications, which “could have a major impact on crop yields for the upcoming harvest season.” Russia is a major fertilizer producer, and the war in Ukraine disrupted global supplies.</p><p>Meanwhile, the S&amp;P GSCI Energy indexSPGSEN,+1.49%has also fallen by more than 4% in July, with global Brent crude down by nearly 7%. U.S. natural gas,however, trades roughly 50% higher for the month as hot weather boosts demand and Russia has cut supply to Europe.</p><p>There’s a disconnect between oil futures and physical oil markets. Futures investors are worried about the global economic slowdown and its demand impact, while those trading physical volumes face a very tight supply market, says Sherwood. He sees “extreme volatility,” but largely within a forecast range of $100 to $120 a barrel.</p><p>The physical market could fall back into a deficit over the rest of the summer, pulling prices higher, but a global economic slowdown would see prices begin to fall more significantly in 2023, he says. Sherwood expects most commodities prices to ease from current levels.</p><p>Reynolds, meanwhile, acknowledges demand risks associated with a potential recession, but believes that supply will continue to moderate as “recession risks encourage further capital discipline.”</p><p>Gold will strengthen as “concern over prolonged mild inflation sends investors looking for a store of value.” Natural gas, crude oil, and diesel are likely to perform well for the rest of this year and 2023, says Reynolds.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What’s in Store for Commodities After Losses in July?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat’s in Store for Commodities After Losses in July?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-31 07:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-in-store-for-commodities-after-losses-in-july-11659106178?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D11518004689257970023958560605767773727%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1659227790><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wheat, oil prices decline for the month, but natural gas stages a rallyA farmer watches his burning wheat field caused by the fighting at the front line in the Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine, Monday, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-in-store-for-commodities-after-losses-in-july-11659106178?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D11518004689257970023958560605767773727%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1659227790\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-in-store-for-commodities-after-losses-in-july-11659106178?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D11518004689257970023958560605767773727%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1659227790","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2255412085","content_text":"Wheat, oil prices decline for the month, but natural gas stages a rallyA farmer watches his burning wheat field caused by the fighting at the front line in the Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine, Monday, July 4, 2022.The pullback in most commodity prices in July, with wheat and oil among the decliners, might be an indication that inflation will soon reach its peak, and some commodities could be in store for further losses for the rest of this year.Commodities look to post a second straight monthly loss following six consecutive months of gains. The S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity index has lost nearly 4% this month as of July 28, but remains nearly 21% higher this year.High inflation and monetary policy tightening by central banks are finally hitting consumer and industrial demand, which is “resulting in some demand destruction for most commodities and alleviating some of the upward pressure on prices,” says Matthew Sherwood, senior lead commodities analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit. Most commodities prices are likely to “ease gradually for the rest of this year and next.”Most commodities prices are likely to “ease gradually for the rest of this year and next.”— Matthew Sherwood, EIUAmong the decliners, the S&P GSCI Industrial Metals index lost more than 2% in July, with Comex copper off more than 6% and iron ore down nearly 18%.Iron oreand copper have been depressed due to weak economic activity associated with China’s zero-Covid strategy, says Shawn Reynolds, portfolio manager for VanEck’s active Natural Resources Equity Strategy.Still, Reynolds says China’s economy and these metals prices are like a “coiled spring.” China has been providing “extensive stimulus measures on both the fiscal and monetary side.” That suggests a potential rise in demand for the metals.The S&P GSCI Agricultural index has lost nearly 4% month to date, with wheat futures down almost 8%.Wheat prices hit decade-high levels after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February, coinciding with poor weather during the early part of the U.S. planting season, says Reynolds. A recent export agreement comes just as weather has turned positive for crops, he says.Russia and Ukraine signed deals with Turkey and the United Nations that may clear the way for agricultural exports from both nations.Still, “we see [Russian President Vladimir] Putin treating wheat and other ag products similarly to the way he is toying with Europe on the natural-gas front,” says Reynolds. Some of the big concerns include higher costs driven by natural gas and smaller fertilizer applications, which “could have a major impact on crop yields for the upcoming harvest season.” Russia is a major fertilizer producer, and the war in Ukraine disrupted global supplies.Meanwhile, the S&P GSCI Energy indexSPGSEN,+1.49%has also fallen by more than 4% in July, with global Brent crude down by nearly 7%. U.S. natural gas,however, trades roughly 50% higher for the month as hot weather boosts demand and Russia has cut supply to Europe.There’s a disconnect between oil futures and physical oil markets. Futures investors are worried about the global economic slowdown and its demand impact, while those trading physical volumes face a very tight supply market, says Sherwood. He sees “extreme volatility,” but largely within a forecast range of $100 to $120 a barrel.The physical market could fall back into a deficit over the rest of the summer, pulling prices higher, but a global economic slowdown would see prices begin to fall more significantly in 2023, he says. Sherwood expects most commodities prices to ease from current levels.Reynolds, meanwhile, acknowledges demand risks associated with a potential recession, but believes that supply will continue to moderate as “recession risks encourage further capital discipline.”Gold will strengthen as “concern over prolonged mild inflation sends investors looking for a store of value.” Natural gas, crude oil, and diesel are likely to perform well for the rest of this year and 2023, says Reynolds.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999046134,"gmtCreate":1660443705729,"gmtModify":1676533471439,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999046134","repostId":"2259349706","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903464381,"gmtCreate":1659061775143,"gmtModify":1676536252454,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome&nbsp;","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903464381","repostId":"1123184166","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123184166","pubTimestamp":1659060743,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123184166?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-29 10:12","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"4 Singapore REITs That Increased Their DPU in July","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123184166","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"It’s a great feeling when you receive a dividend that fattens your bank account.But the occasion bec","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It’s a great feeling when you receive a dividend that fattens your bank account.</p><p>But the occasion becomes even more joyous when that dividend is growing.</p><p>REITs are well-known for being reliable, dividend-paying investments that churn out a steady flow of passive income.</p><p>Income-driven investors are drawn towards REITs as a way to grow their dividend stream to better prepare themselves for retirement.</p><p>But not all REITs rank the same.</p><p>It’s important to select those with a strong track record of increasing their distribution per unit (DPU) so that your portfolio can tide over tough economic times.</p><p>Here are four Singapore REITs that upped their DPU this month.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/M44U.SI\">Mapletree Logistics Trust </a></p><p>Mapletree Logistics Trust, or MLT, is a logistics-focused REIT that owns a portfolio of 185 properties worth S$13 billion as of 30 June 2022.</p><p>These properties are spread out across Singapore, Australia, China, Hong Kong SAR, Japan, India, Malaysia, South Korea, and Vietnam.</p><p>For its fiscal 2023’s first quarter (1Q2023) ended 30 June 2022, gross revenue rose 14.6% year on year to S$187.7 million while net property income increased by 13.2% year on year to S$163.2 million.</p><p>DPU inched up 5% year on year to S$0.02268, bringing annualised DPU for MLT to S$0.09072.</p><p>At a unit price of S$1.76, the REIT sported a forward distribution yield of 5.2%.</p><p>MLT also reported healthy operating and debt metrics.</p><p>Portfolio occupancy stood at a healthy 96.8% with a positive average rental reversion of 3.4% for the quarter.</p><p>Aggregate leverage for the REIT stood at 37.2% with a low cost of debt of 2.3%.</p><p>80% of MLT’s debt is hedged or has fixed rates locked in, and a 0.25 per cent increase in interest rates will only cause DPU to decline by S$0.0001 per quarter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/M1GU.SI\">Sabana Industrial REIT </a></p><p>Sabana Industrial REIT owns a diversified portfolio of 18 industrial properties in Singapore worth more than S$900 million as of 31 December 2021.</p><p>For its fiscal 2022’s first half (1H2022) ended 30 June 2022, gross revenue jumped by 14.7% year on year to S$44.9 million, aided by higher portfolio occupancy and the securing of a new 10-year master lease for one of its properties.</p><p>NPI edged up 5.2% year on year to S$27 million while DPU improved by 7.4% year on year to S$0.0159.</p><p>Sabana’s annualised DPU stands at S$0.0318 and its units provide a forward distribution yield of 7.1%.</p><p>The portfolio’s occupancy stood high at 88.2% and the REIT reported a positive rental reversion of 17.4% for the second quarter of 2022, chalking up nine quarters of positive reversion in the last 10 quarters.</p><p>Aggregate leverage was at 33.4% with an all-in financing cost of 3.35%.</p><p>Around three-quarters of Sabana’s debt is on fixed rates, thus providing a buffer against rising finance costs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AJBU.SI\">Keppel DC REIT</a></p><p>Keppel DC REIT is a data centre REIT that owns a portfolio of 21 data centres across nine countries valued at S$3.5 billion as of 30 June 2022.</p><p>For 1H2022, gross revenue inched up 0.3% year on year to S$135.5 million.</p><p>NPI dipped by 0.5% year on year to S$123.2 million but DPU edged up 2.5% year on year to S$0.05049.</p><p>With an annualised DPU of S$0.10098, Keppel DC REIT’s units provide a prospective distribution yield of 5%.</p><p>The REIT had just announced the purchase of two data centres in Guangdong, China that will boost DPU by 2.7%.</p><p>Portfolio occupancy remained high at 98.2% and the REIT’s gearing stood at 35.3%, a level that allows the REIT to tap on more debt for acquisitions.</p><p>The average cost of debt remained low at 1.9% while the interest cover ratio stood healthy at 9.2 times.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/O5RU.SI\">AIMS APAC REIT </a></p><p>AIMS APAC REIT, or AAREIT, is an industrial REIT that owns 29 properties, of which 26 are in Singapore and three in Australia.</p><p>The properties comprise a mix of light industrial buildings, Hi-Tech buildings, and logistics warehouses.</p><p>For 1Q2023, AAREIT saw gross revenue surge 29.8% year on year to S$41.3 million, lifted by higher rental income from existing properties and the completion of an Australian development (Woolworths Headquarters).</p><p>NPI climbed 34.3% year on year to S$31 million and DPU inched up 1.3% year on year to S$0.0228.</p><p>AAREIT’s units offer a prospective distribution yield of 6.6% based on the annualised DPU of S$0.0912.</p><p>The portfolio enjoyed high occupancy of 97.9% with a strong rental reversion of 9.5% for the quarter.</p><p>Aggregate leverage stood at 37% with 65% of borrowings on fixed rates.</p><p>The cost of debt was also low at 2.7%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602567310727","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Singapore REITs That Increased Their DPU in July</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Singapore REITs That Increased Their DPU in July\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 10:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-singapore-reits-that-increased-their-dpu-in-july/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s a great feeling when you receive a dividend that fattens your bank account.But the occasion becomes even more joyous when that dividend is growing.REITs are well-known for being reliable, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-singapore-reits-that-increased-their-dpu-in-july/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"O5RU.SI":"宝泽安保资本工业房地产信托","M1GU.SI":"胜宝工业信托","AJBU.SI":"吉宝数据中心房地产信托","M44U.SI":"丰树物流信托"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-singapore-reits-that-increased-their-dpu-in-july/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123184166","content_text":"It’s a great feeling when you receive a dividend that fattens your bank account.But the occasion becomes even more joyous when that dividend is growing.REITs are well-known for being reliable, dividend-paying investments that churn out a steady flow of passive income.Income-driven investors are drawn towards REITs as a way to grow their dividend stream to better prepare themselves for retirement.But not all REITs rank the same.It’s important to select those with a strong track record of increasing their distribution per unit (DPU) so that your portfolio can tide over tough economic times.Here are four Singapore REITs that upped their DPU this month.Mapletree Logistics Trust Mapletree Logistics Trust, or MLT, is a logistics-focused REIT that owns a portfolio of 185 properties worth S$13 billion as of 30 June 2022.These properties are spread out across Singapore, Australia, China, Hong Kong SAR, Japan, India, Malaysia, South Korea, and Vietnam.For its fiscal 2023’s first quarter (1Q2023) ended 30 June 2022, gross revenue rose 14.6% year on year to S$187.7 million while net property income increased by 13.2% year on year to S$163.2 million.DPU inched up 5% year on year to S$0.02268, bringing annualised DPU for MLT to S$0.09072.At a unit price of S$1.76, the REIT sported a forward distribution yield of 5.2%.MLT also reported healthy operating and debt metrics.Portfolio occupancy stood at a healthy 96.8% with a positive average rental reversion of 3.4% for the quarter.Aggregate leverage for the REIT stood at 37.2% with a low cost of debt of 2.3%.80% of MLT’s debt is hedged or has fixed rates locked in, and a 0.25 per cent increase in interest rates will only cause DPU to decline by S$0.0001 per quarter.Sabana Industrial REIT Sabana Industrial REIT owns a diversified portfolio of 18 industrial properties in Singapore worth more than S$900 million as of 31 December 2021.For its fiscal 2022’s first half (1H2022) ended 30 June 2022, gross revenue jumped by 14.7% year on year to S$44.9 million, aided by higher portfolio occupancy and the securing of a new 10-year master lease for one of its properties.NPI edged up 5.2% year on year to S$27 million while DPU improved by 7.4% year on year to S$0.0159.Sabana’s annualised DPU stands at S$0.0318 and its units provide a forward distribution yield of 7.1%.The portfolio’s occupancy stood high at 88.2% and the REIT reported a positive rental reversion of 17.4% for the second quarter of 2022, chalking up nine quarters of positive reversion in the last 10 quarters.Aggregate leverage was at 33.4% with an all-in financing cost of 3.35%.Around three-quarters of Sabana’s debt is on fixed rates, thus providing a buffer against rising finance costs.Keppel DC REITKeppel DC REIT is a data centre REIT that owns a portfolio of 21 data centres across nine countries valued at S$3.5 billion as of 30 June 2022.For 1H2022, gross revenue inched up 0.3% year on year to S$135.5 million.NPI dipped by 0.5% year on year to S$123.2 million but DPU edged up 2.5% year on year to S$0.05049.With an annualised DPU of S$0.10098, Keppel DC REIT’s units provide a prospective distribution yield of 5%.The REIT had just announced the purchase of two data centres in Guangdong, China that will boost DPU by 2.7%.Portfolio occupancy remained high at 98.2% and the REIT’s gearing stood at 35.3%, a level that allows the REIT to tap on more debt for acquisitions.The average cost of debt remained low at 1.9% while the interest cover ratio stood healthy at 9.2 times.AIMS APAC REIT AIMS APAC REIT, or AAREIT, is an industrial REIT that owns 29 properties, of which 26 are in Singapore and three in Australia.The properties comprise a mix of light industrial buildings, Hi-Tech buildings, and logistics warehouses.For 1Q2023, AAREIT saw gross revenue surge 29.8% year on year to S$41.3 million, lifted by higher rental income from existing properties and the completion of an Australian development (Woolworths Headquarters).NPI climbed 34.3% year on year to S$31 million and DPU inched up 1.3% year on year to S$0.0228.AAREIT’s units offer a prospective distribution yield of 6.6% based on the annualised DPU of S$0.0912.The portfolio enjoyed high occupancy of 97.9% with a strong rental reversion of 9.5% for the quarter.Aggregate leverage stood at 37% with 65% of borrowings on fixed rates.The cost of debt was also low at 2.7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998730477,"gmtCreate":1661054713301,"gmtModify":1676536446286,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg 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Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fantastic...","listText":"Fantastic...","text":"Fantastic...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993820865","repostId":"2259832442","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907665740,"gmtCreate":1660184131482,"gmtModify":1703478871126,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg 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Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello","listText":"Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906383684","repostId":"1194391597","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075342472,"gmtCreate":1658154067296,"gmtModify":1676536113509,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hyyy","listText":"Hyyy","text":"Hyyy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075342472","repostId":"1165817190","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1165817190","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658153734,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165817190?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-18 22:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Shares Jumped 10% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165817190","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holding","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holdings to Overweight from Neutral with a $3 price target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d18e5315f88e0fee548e9af571cb956d\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Shares Jumped 10% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Shares Jumped 10% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-18 22:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holdings to Overweight from Neutral with a $3 price target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d18e5315f88e0fee548e9af571cb956d\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165817190","content_text":"Grab shares jumped 10% in morning trading after JPMorgan analyst Ranjan Sharma upgraded Grab Holdings to Overweight from Neutral with a $3 price target.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998643662,"gmtCreate":1660990416259,"gmtModify":1676536436108,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998643662","repostId":"1161973648","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161973648","pubTimestamp":1660961604,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161973648?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-20 10:13","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161973648","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the &#34;return to normal&#34; stage of a bubble.</li><li>We anticipate Bitcoin is entering &#34;phase 2&#34; of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.</li><li>Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06049fcdc1faaaf8e98c02d34d25e737\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>rayisa</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin: This Time Is Different!</b></p><p>As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin&#39;s (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad60d9dee720c7827a97c38a6feb675\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>With Bitcoin&#39;s unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:</p><ol><li>Bitcoin&#39;s unsustainable growth rate,</li><li>Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,</li><li>The crypto market&#39;s <i>over-reliance</i> on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.</li></ol><p>After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin&#39;s all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I&#39;ve ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop of<i>favorable financial conditions</i>has characterized Bitcoin&#39;s entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.</p><p>Now, when faced with a<i>bearish</i>stock market and<i>high</i>rates, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s price will plummet.</p><p><b>Bitcoin All-Time Price Chart</b></p><p>The chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbbc9b759a44f7933564ded412fb9314\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>Amidst such <i>extensively beneficial</i> market conditions, Bitcoin&#39;s price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.</p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).</li></ul><p>Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin&#39;s growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (<i>Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren&#39;t kidding. If there is another &#34;cryptocurrency cycle,&#34; it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation</i>).</p><p>As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin&#39;s previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to <i>at least</i> $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.</p><ul><li>Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.</li><li>We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.</li><li>We&#39;re also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.</li></ul><p><b>Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% Decline</b></p><p>Technically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shifted<i>bearish,</i>prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:</p><ul><li>A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,</li><li>the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,</li><li>the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/761c7bbe9eaa8132d4fbcd6b8fa72ed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)</span></p><p>In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a <i>reflexive rally</i> powered by<i>less bad</i>economic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b89df931566e267cc18e520965fb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)</span></p><p>The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin&#39;s speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin&#39;s current price!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13a0514bb05bd64ce0bcc045a3283170\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider&#39;s weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin&#39;s <i>real</i> logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a &#34;bowling ball thrown out a window&#34; until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796db43ff5d73d88d492a35e626ae320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Hence, Bitcoin&#39;s technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we&#39;re planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin&#39;s bottom:</p><ol><li>The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.</li><li>Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.</li><li>Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.</li></ol><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4449d83f87efa2a1cd3cfb2cb066f6f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin&#39;s First True Bear Market</b></p><p>By observing Bitcoin&#39;s lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin&#39;s long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds <i>in anticipation</i> of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facing<i>the opposite</i>of each of these dynamics.</p><p>In our view, Bitcoin&#39;s recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents &#39;phase 1&#39; of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever <i>real</i> bear market.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin &#39;bear markets&#39; <i>weren&#39;t actually bear markets.</i> Instead, they were bull market corrections!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db68ad989673aafb983acbfdf6ef8dc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its <i>true</i> bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin&#39;s first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.</p><p>While Bitcoin&#39;s stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ed4a896fd6b61d52a0f24867a6da507\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Incoming Black Swan Events</b></p><p>So far, we&#39;ve covered Bitcoin&#39;s bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin&#39;s<i>worst ever</i>. Going forward, we&#39;re anticipating the following &#39;Black Swan&#39; events will power a violent downturn:</p><p><b>1) Stock Market Collapse</b></p><p>Despite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is still<i>overvalued</i>relative to its long-term base-level trendline:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d58fcfab0b93b5fbc217eca0329f8f91\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)</span></p><p>As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq&#39;s current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.</p><p><b>2) Cryptocurrency Regulation</b></p><p>As previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application &#39;Tornado Cash&#39; on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one of<i>many</i>attacks soon to come.</p><p>Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.</p><p>Therefore, we expect <i>increasing regulation</i> and the <i>relinquishment of previously held beliefs</i> will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.</p><blockquote>Laura Shin&#39;s &#39;Unchained&#39; podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I&#39;ve found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.</blockquote><p><b>3) Tether Collapse</b></p><p>The Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin&#39;s price during the 2017 rally.</p><p>Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market&#39;s largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it&#39;s reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.</p><p><b>4) Exchange Insolvencies</b></p><p>&#34;Phase 1&#34; of Bitcoin&#39;s bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.</p><p>Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager&#39;s pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn&#39;t<i>prove</i>anything, it&#39;s objectively not a good sign.</p><p><b>5) Monkeypox</b></p><p>Lastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant &#39;black swan&#39; event that markets aren&#39;t pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c26dd7ca82e31f91a6c9b4f244da256\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)</span></p><p>Although it&#39;s unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51042d06277e56a3fa14ecf273febd78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)</span></p><p>We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.</p><p><b>Short Trades</b></p><p>Currently, we&#39;re margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we&#39;re short Ethereum at $1902. We&#39;re also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Trends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include any<i>hint</i>of dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.</p><p>Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month&#39;s inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>After 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its first<i>real</i>bear market).</li><li>We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.</li><li>Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market&#39;s surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. </i><i>This document is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-20 10:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161973648","content_text":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.rayisaBitcoin: This Time Is Different!As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)With Bitcoin's unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:Bitcoin's unsustainable growth rate,Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,The crypto market's over-reliance on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin's all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I've ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop offavorable financial conditionshas characterized Bitcoin's entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.Now, when faced with abearishstock market andhighrates, we expect Bitcoin's price will plummet.Bitcoin All-Time Price ChartThe chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Amidst such extensively beneficial market conditions, Bitcoin's price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.Bitcoin's hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin's growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren't kidding. If there is another \"cryptocurrency cycle,\" it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation).As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin's previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to at least $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.We're also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% DeclineTechnically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shiftedbearish,prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a reflexive rally powered byless badeconomic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin's speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin's current price!BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider's weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin's real logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a \"bowling ball thrown out a window\" until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)Hence, Bitcoin's technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we're planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin's bottom:The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Bitcoin's First True Bear MarketBy observing Bitcoin's lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin's long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds in anticipation of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facingthe oppositeof each of these dynamics.In our view, Bitcoin's recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents 'phase 1' of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever real bear market.As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin 'bear markets' weren't actually bear markets. Instead, they were bull market corrections!BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its true bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin's first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.While Bitcoin's stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin's Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Incoming Black Swan EventsSo far, we've covered Bitcoin's bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin'sworst ever. Going forward, we're anticipating the following 'Black Swan' events will power a violent downturn:1) Stock Market CollapseDespite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is stillovervaluedrelative to its long-term base-level trendline:NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq's current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.2) Cryptocurrency RegulationAs previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application 'Tornado Cash' on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one ofmanyattacks soon to come.Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.Therefore, we expect increasing regulation and the relinquishment of previously held beliefs will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.Laura Shin's 'Unchained' podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I've found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.3) Tether CollapseThe Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin's price during the 2017 rally.Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market's largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it's reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.4) Exchange Insolvencies\"Phase 1\" of Bitcoin's bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager's pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn'tproveanything, it's objectively not a good sign.5) MonkeypoxLastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant 'black swan' event that markets aren't pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)Although it's unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.Short TradesCurrently, we're margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we're short Ethereum at $1902. We're also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.RisksTrends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include anyhintof dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month's inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.Key TakeawaysAfter 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its firstrealbear market).We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market's surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. This document is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932291390,"gmtCreate":1662943354710,"gmtModify":1676537167439,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932291390","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901724655,"gmtCreate":1659275754277,"gmtModify":1676536280016,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello","listText":"Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901724655","repostId":"1179563419","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179563419","pubTimestamp":1659233714,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179563419?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-31 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179563419","media":"Barrons","summary":"While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird for the possibility of failure—potentially on both fronts.</p><p>The central bank raised interest rates by 0.75 percentage point on Wednesday for the second time in a row in policy makers’ effort to cool demand and slow price growth, but so far inflation remains near 40-year highs. And now investors are increasingly worried that the Fed will be unable to achieve a “soft landing,” and that rate hikes will tip the economy into a recession instead.</p><p>In a press conference accompanying the rate hike announcement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged both the risk of doing too little and failing to contain inflation, and the risk of doing too much and forcing an economic slowdown. “We’re trying not to make a mistake,” he said, noting that the path for threading the needle had narrowed.</p><p>That means that investors should look to add a recession page to their inflation playbook, even though those two scenarios usually involve opposing strategies, financial pros say. The rare combination of high inflation and slowing growth is called stagflation. While many economists don’t expect the U.S. to see the kind of prolonged stagflation that it experienced during the 1970s, elevated inflation and a burgeoning recession could very well overlap, financial pros say.</p><p>“The evidence is stacking up to suggest that the recession might happen before they bring inflation under control,” said Jason Pride, chief investment officer for private wealth at Glenmede, an investment and wealth management firm in Philadelphia.</p><p>Here are some stock-and-bond strategies for investors in these uncertain times.</p><p><b>Stay the Course</b></p><p>The first half of the year was brutal for both stocks and bonds, and investors are anxious. While the S&amp;P 500 has edged up off its lows of mid-June,  stocks have probably not reached a bottom yet, market watchers say. A bottom would represent “peak fear” in the market, and right now fear is elevated, said Rob Arnott, founding chairman of Research Affiliates in Newport Beach, Calif.</p><p>The best time to invest is at peak fear, when assets are cheapest, Arnott said. Because it’s hard to time the precise bottom, investors with strong stomachs can start dollar-cost averaging into the market now, Arnott said.</p><p>Emerging market stocks are “stealth inflation fighters” that are particularly attractive right now, he said. Many emerging-market economies are commodity exporters, so they offer investors exposure to the sector without the need to invest directly in commodities, which are expensive right now. A general rule of thumb is investors should allocate about a third of their stock portfolio to non-U.S. equities, and about a third of that international allocation should go toward emerging markets, Arnott said.</p><p>Another term for peak fear is capitulation, when everyday investors want nothing to do with stocks. However tempting, that’s not the time to exit the market and lock in your losses. If you need to sell a little to raise cash to tide you through a recession, then that’s OK, said Yiming Ma, assistant professor of finance at Columbia Business School. Just keep most of your assets invested, so you’ll participate in the recovery as soon as it starts. (Investors might be surprised to learn that the market’s best days tend to fall within two weeks of its worst days over a 20-year period, according to research from J.P. Morgan Asset Management).</p><p><b>Embrace Bridge Strategies</b></p><p>Some corners of the stock market are well positioned to weather both inflation and a possible recession. Pride says real estate investment trusts are relatively attractive right now. REITs have a natural tie to inflation through rent escalation and price appreciation of owned real estate, he said. Rent increases tends to trail inflation, but this lag should help REITs outperform other risk assets, like traditional equities, as economic growth declines and inflation moderates, he noted.</p><p>Healthcare stocks are also well positioned for high inflation and slow growth. Pharmaceutical companies and healthcare providers are particularly able to pass along price increases, said Gargi Chaudhuri, head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas at BlackRock. Two ETFs that offer exposure to these sub-sectors are the iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (ticker: IHE) and the iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF (IHF), Chaudhuri said. What’s more, demand for healthcare doesn’t decline as much during a recession as demand for discretionary purchases.</p><p>On the bond side,Treasury Series I savings bonds are a good bet for both inflation and a possible recession. The initial interest rate on new Series I savings bonds is 9.62%, and you can buy bonds at that rate through October 2022.</p><p>There are some important caveats to remember with I bonds, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. For starters, they’re not income instruments. Interest each bond earns is added to its principal value, and you get access to it when you cash out the bond. Second, they’re not very liquid. You can’t cash them in the first year, and if you redeem them within the first five years, you’ll lose your last three months’ interest. Lastly, consumers can only buy up to $10,000 of electronic I bonds each calendar year (couples can buy $20,000 between them).</p><p>So they’re a good fit for longer-term savings. “When you can get 9%-plus risk-free, there’s nothing else like them,” said Eric Diton, president and managing director of the Wealth Alliance in Boca Raton, Fla. “That’s the biggest no-brainer in the world right now.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat if the Fed Messes Up? Here's How to Prepare\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-31 10:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-recession-inflation-rate-hike-investing-portfolio-51658865820><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird for the possibility of failure—potentially on both fronts.The central bank raised interest rates by...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-recession-inflation-rate-hike-investing-portfolio-51658865820\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-recession-inflation-rate-hike-investing-portfolio-51658865820","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179563419","content_text":"While the Federal Reserve tries to tame inflation without causing a recession, investors should gird for the possibility of failure—potentially on both fronts.The central bank raised interest rates by 0.75 percentage point on Wednesday for the second time in a row in policy makers’ effort to cool demand and slow price growth, but so far inflation remains near 40-year highs. And now investors are increasingly worried that the Fed will be unable to achieve a “soft landing,” and that rate hikes will tip the economy into a recession instead.In a press conference accompanying the rate hike announcement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged both the risk of doing too little and failing to contain inflation, and the risk of doing too much and forcing an economic slowdown. “We’re trying not to make a mistake,” he said, noting that the path for threading the needle had narrowed.That means that investors should look to add a recession page to their inflation playbook, even though those two scenarios usually involve opposing strategies, financial pros say. The rare combination of high inflation and slowing growth is called stagflation. While many economists don’t expect the U.S. to see the kind of prolonged stagflation that it experienced during the 1970s, elevated inflation and a burgeoning recession could very well overlap, financial pros say.“The evidence is stacking up to suggest that the recession might happen before they bring inflation under control,” said Jason Pride, chief investment officer for private wealth at Glenmede, an investment and wealth management firm in Philadelphia.Here are some stock-and-bond strategies for investors in these uncertain times.Stay the CourseThe first half of the year was brutal for both stocks and bonds, and investors are anxious. While the S&P 500 has edged up off its lows of mid-June,  stocks have probably not reached a bottom yet, market watchers say. A bottom would represent “peak fear” in the market, and right now fear is elevated, said Rob Arnott, founding chairman of Research Affiliates in Newport Beach, Calif.The best time to invest is at peak fear, when assets are cheapest, Arnott said. Because it’s hard to time the precise bottom, investors with strong stomachs can start dollar-cost averaging into the market now, Arnott said.Emerging market stocks are “stealth inflation fighters” that are particularly attractive right now, he said. Many emerging-market economies are commodity exporters, so they offer investors exposure to the sector without the need to invest directly in commodities, which are expensive right now. A general rule of thumb is investors should allocate about a third of their stock portfolio to non-U.S. equities, and about a third of that international allocation should go toward emerging markets, Arnott said.Another term for peak fear is capitulation, when everyday investors want nothing to do with stocks. However tempting, that’s not the time to exit the market and lock in your losses. If you need to sell a little to raise cash to tide you through a recession, then that’s OK, said Yiming Ma, assistant professor of finance at Columbia Business School. Just keep most of your assets invested, so you’ll participate in the recovery as soon as it starts. (Investors might be surprised to learn that the market’s best days tend to fall within two weeks of its worst days over a 20-year period, according to research from J.P. Morgan Asset Management).Embrace Bridge StrategiesSome corners of the stock market are well positioned to weather both inflation and a possible recession. Pride says real estate investment trusts are relatively attractive right now. REITs have a natural tie to inflation through rent escalation and price appreciation of owned real estate, he said. Rent increases tends to trail inflation, but this lag should help REITs outperform other risk assets, like traditional equities, as economic growth declines and inflation moderates, he noted.Healthcare stocks are also well positioned for high inflation and slow growth. Pharmaceutical companies and healthcare providers are particularly able to pass along price increases, said Gargi Chaudhuri, head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas at BlackRock. Two ETFs that offer exposure to these sub-sectors are the iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (ticker: IHE) and the iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF (IHF), Chaudhuri said. What’s more, demand for healthcare doesn’t decline as much during a recession as demand for discretionary purchases.On the bond side,Treasury Series I savings bonds are a good bet for both inflation and a possible recession. The initial interest rate on new Series I savings bonds is 9.62%, and you can buy bonds at that rate through October 2022.There are some important caveats to remember with I bonds, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. For starters, they’re not income instruments. Interest each bond earns is added to its principal value, and you get access to it when you cash out the bond. Second, they’re not very liquid. You can’t cash them in the first year, and if you redeem them within the first five years, you’ll lose your last three months’ interest. Lastly, consumers can only buy up to $10,000 of electronic I bonds each calendar year (couples can buy $20,000 between them).So they’re a good fit for longer-term savings. “When you can get 9%-plus risk-free, there’s nothing else like them,” said Eric Diton, president and managing director of the Wealth Alliance in Boca Raton, Fla. “That’s the biggest no-brainer in the world right now.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072303849,"gmtCreate":1657946328781,"gmtModify":1676536086820,"author":{"id":"4120786289401982","authorId":"4120786289401982","name":"Grg Nirmal","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6eae3b4d3c5c320b9cebbaa7c5ac30e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072303849","repostId":"1144090895","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1144090895","pubTimestamp":1657936858,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144090895?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-16 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bearish ETF Strategies for a Pessimistic Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144090895","media":"VettaFi","summary":"After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets ag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets against equities. Exchange traded fund investors can also hedge against further market risks with bearish or inverse strategies.</p><p>According to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.’s analysis of futures tracking major stock indexes, asset managers and hedge funds raised bets against U.S. stocks to the highest level since 2016 on fears over a global slowdown, theWall Street Journalreported.</p><p>Additionally, according to a survey by the National Association of Active Investment Managers, the average active investor pared back stock exposure this year and reduced equity allocations to the lowest levels since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>“Everybody’s focused on recession risk,” Parag Thatte, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, told the WSJ.</p><p>Adding to bets of a recession, the bond market’s recession indicator, an inverted yield curve, recently reached its widest level in two decades—the majority of past recessions were preceded by an inverted yield curve or when yields on later-dated bonds dip below yields of short-term debt.</p><p>Meanwhile, many market observers have raised bets that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by a full percentage point at the next meeting, something that hasn’t happened in decades, which further added to the belief that policymakers would drag the economy into a slowdown.</p><p>According to Deutsche Bank estimates, investors have now steadily diminished their exposure to stocks to some of the lowest levels of the past 12 years. In addition, bullish bets in the options market among traders slipped to the lowest level since April 2020.</p><p>“We’ve now determined that it’s better to be slightly short rather than long,” Martin Bergin, president at Dunn Capital Management, told the WSJ. “If there’s a bounce, we’ll start to take on more long exposure.”</p><p>ETF traders who are looking to protect their portfolios from potential pullbacks ahead may consider some exposure to bearish or inverse ETFs to hedge against further falls.</p><p>For example, the <b>ProShares Short S&amp;P500 (SH)</b> takes a simple inverse or -100% daily performance of the S&amp;P 500 index. Alternatively, for the more aggressive trader, leveraged options include the<b>ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P500 ETF (SDS)</b>, which tries to reflect -2x or -200% of the daily performance of the S&amp;P 500, the<b>Direxion Daily S&amp;P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS)</b>, which takes -3x or -300% of the daily performance of the S&amp;P 500, and the<b>ProShares UltraPro Short S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPXU)</b>, which also takes -300% of the daily performance of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Those who want to hedge against risk in the Dow Jones Industrial Average can use inverse ETFs to bolster their long equities positions. The <b>ProShares Short Dow 30 ETF(DOG)</b> tries to reflect -100% of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. For more aggressive traders, the <b>ProShares UltraShort Dow 30 ETF (DXD)</b> takes the -200% of the Dow Jones, and the <b>ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30 (SDOW)</b> reflects the -300% of the Dow.</p><p>Lastly, investors can also hedge against a dipping Nasdaq through bearish options as well. For instance, the <b>ProShares Short QQQ ETF (PSQ)</b> takes the inverse or -100% daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index. For the aggressive trader, the <b>ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID)</b> tracks the double inverse or -200% performance of the Nasdaq-100, and the <b>ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ)</b> reflects the triple inverse or -300% of the Nasdaq-100.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1657246608114","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bearish ETF Strategies for a Pessimistic Outlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBearish ETF Strategies for a Pessimistic Outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-16 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.etftrends.com/bearish-etf-strategies-for-a-pessimistic-outlook/><strong>VettaFi</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets against equities. Exchange traded fund investors can also hedge against further market risks with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.etftrends.com/bearish-etf-strategies-for-a-pessimistic-outlook/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SPXS":"Direxion每日三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.etftrends.com/bearish-etf-strategies-for-a-pessimistic-outlook/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144090895","content_text":"After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets against equities. Exchange traded fund investors can also hedge against further market risks with bearish or inverse strategies.According to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s analysis of futures tracking major stock indexes, asset managers and hedge funds raised bets against U.S. stocks to the highest level since 2016 on fears over a global slowdown, theWall Street Journalreported.Additionally, according to a survey by the National Association of Active Investment Managers, the average active investor pared back stock exposure this year and reduced equity allocations to the lowest levels since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.“Everybody’s focused on recession risk,” Parag Thatte, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, told the WSJ.Adding to bets of a recession, the bond market’s recession indicator, an inverted yield curve, recently reached its widest level in two decades—the majority of past recessions were preceded by an inverted yield curve or when yields on later-dated bonds dip below yields of short-term debt.Meanwhile, many market observers have raised bets that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by a full percentage point at the next meeting, something that hasn’t happened in decades, which further added to the belief that policymakers would drag the economy into a slowdown.According to Deutsche Bank estimates, investors have now steadily diminished their exposure to stocks to some of the lowest levels of the past 12 years. In addition, bullish bets in the options market among traders slipped to the lowest level since April 2020.“We’ve now determined that it’s better to be slightly short rather than long,” Martin Bergin, president at Dunn Capital Management, told the WSJ. “If there’s a bounce, we’ll start to take on more long exposure.”ETF traders who are looking to protect their portfolios from potential pullbacks ahead may consider some exposure to bearish or inverse ETFs to hedge against further falls.For example, the ProShares Short S&P500 (SH) takes a simple inverse or -100% daily performance of the S&P 500 index. Alternatively, for the more aggressive trader, leveraged options include theProShares UltraShort S&P500 ETF (SDS), which tries to reflect -2x or -200% of the daily performance of the S&P 500, theDirexion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS), which takes -3x or -300% of the daily performance of the S&P 500, and theProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 ETF (SPXU), which also takes -300% of the daily performance of the S&P 500.Those who want to hedge against risk in the Dow Jones Industrial Average can use inverse ETFs to bolster their long equities positions. The ProShares Short Dow 30 ETF(DOG) tries to reflect -100% of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. For more aggressive traders, the ProShares UltraShort Dow 30 ETF (DXD) takes the -200% of the Dow Jones, and the ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30 (SDOW) reflects the -300% of the Dow.Lastly, investors can also hedge against a dipping Nasdaq through bearish options as well. For instance, the ProShares Short QQQ ETF (PSQ) takes the inverse or -100% daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index. For the aggressive trader, the ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID) tracks the double inverse or -200% performance of the Nasdaq-100, and the ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ) reflects the triple inverse or -300% of the Nasdaq-100.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}