Strategy 1
Strategy 1
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avatarStrategy 1
2022-08-26
I believe nvidia stock is overvalued now. As a company and their products its still solid. Previous inflated gpu pricing due to crypto bolstered overall revenues and this is gone now leaving Nvidia between a rock and a hard place now (how to clear current gpu stocks at reasonable prices versus release of the new 40xx gpu series..). What disturbs me is the company trying not to be transparent previously on how much crypto bolstered gpu sales...well thats Karma 
I don't think Nvidia will drop below 800, yesterday dip was partially Caused by hotter than expected cpi data and almost every stock dipped but it recovered partially during trading hours.  Intel in my view is in a similar situation compared to amd being late and trying to break into the market. Both will have their place but it will be important if they compete mainly on performance or cost.  Both will undercut pricing as much as they can to gain market share with likely faster availability due to shorter order backlog and can be attractive for smaller companies in comparison to hyperscalers Nvidia will still be the performance leader plus their strong software support will always sway buyers to go with them. For hyperscalers building large AI data centers the cost of high
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  Long term bullish and overall solid company but need to face reality. Palantir amongst others has run high but along with that expectation run high likewise.  Looking at earnings and growth government sector is still declining and for commercial although growing by 30% the previous qtr growth of 70% set the bar too high.  For me this is expected after many boot camps there is going to be an initial rush with new customers on boarding but this will level after some time. Given current sentiment palantir joins several others who's Stock have run high and only flawless earnings would have guaranteed no partial sell off (aka smci, amd, sofi,...) especially given high valuati
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ I have Sofi as part of my portfolio and what a bumpy ride it has been so far...earnings in jan jump but shorted and not able to hold, tank after convertible note offering, slowly climbing up again only to be dumped massively after last earnings.  Overall earnings were not bad but sofi needs a catalyst. Since management do their own cautious approach to lending that leaves only the fintech portion and they need a win by larger banks stepping on board. If that happens it will be one such catalyst. Until then I believe it will hover where it is now. 
avatarStrategy 1
2022-08-10
I just started to invest and work in the semicon industry so naturally part of my portfolio went into it. Istill believe long term will gain but It seems volatile.None of my shares are on intel, micron or Nvidia. Intel doesn't seem to be able to get their act together (ARC as one example) , micron to specific on dram market and Nvidia impacted by crypto crunch and move to different algorithms. I am betting on amd, asml and apple (their ARM transition is going well and with M2 pro/max, VR new products on the horizon outlook seems good). 
I am not sure the reason to invest in this stock except maybe to ride the hype when it shoot up. I made mistakes in the past where I invested in a stock because it was sky rocketing but once reality took hold it dropped. Now I only invest in companies which are on solid ground and although there are ups and downs I feel more at ease. There is no reason to put money into this stock. No plan and very bad financial cannot be offset by being a presidential candidate.
Trump Media & Technology Group: Hype Is Over, Pain Is Not
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  I shared before in another thread on the impact of the robotaxi tweet.  In general I don't have confidence but I withhold further judgement waiting for the upcoming earnings call.  I want to see what is their plan for FSD licensing, clarify on model2 wether its a go or no-go, more concrete information on robotaxis and hopefully some plan on improving battery tech which is a key component of EVs.  I am working in the semiconductor industry building the key components for EV and orders are being reduced  whereas chinese EV manufacturers are ramping up.  I am disappointed in using tweets to create hype, it's unprofessional and does not add to my confidence. In order to turn
avatarStrategy 1
2022-08-26
Agree, I was mulling over whether to buy nvidia shares but held back. I agree that they are to pricey now and will monitor over the next months. As a company and their products I believe they are still solid But there was too much boost in their previous revenue due to crypto and inflated gpu pricing.
Nvidia Stock: Get Out Now
I think TSMC should do well and added some shares during the recent days market pull back.  With Nvidia, AMD and now also Intel relying on TSMC for their HPC chips only concern remains on Apple with reports of reduced demand for iPhones in China. I think key point for upcoming earnings call will be the forward guidance which will determine if the share price will go up further or not. Second will be forecast on Capex to expend their manufacturing. The recent US grants should help in that regard. 
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  One tweet and the stock went up several percent. No I don't think it will help Tesla stock in the mid term and instead it is hype to keep it from sinking further.  Yes once actually rolled out it will significantly support the stock but it will be a long process to get there, besides completing FSD , building the car there are also regulations to meet and approvals to get.  Elon Musk needs to stop tweeting (either to create hype or at least to not damage the company image) and instead share a clear plan on the roll-out, FSD progress and lisencing and clarify on Model 2 release.  The competition is getting stronger and stronger, one item which I think is important are recent news
Interesting article. Key is when that regret may happen and if the rate of AI market expansion is slower than AI competitors taking away market share from Nvidia. This is not likely to happen soon. I am holding Nvidia shares, am watching developments and hopefully will already have either changed or diversified my portfolio by then. 
History Says You'll Regret Buying Nvidia Stock
avatarStrategy 1
2022-10-19
Thanks for sharing. The article set me thinking about apple's product portfolio although the article didnot mention potential forays into serious gaming with metal3 (ventura release) which would make MacBook more attractive and of course VR...
Apple Earnings Are Likely To Bomb Going Forward
avatarStrategy 1
2022-08-04
Its a buy for me...they have a much clearer and reliable roadmap for upcoming products. New 7000 series, Navi and not to forget push into handhelds with much better APU's
It's like a bloodbath...sheeps led to the slaughter house. Anything not above expectations or amiss and...cut! Today Roblox, airbnb, Duolingo joined the club.  On the other hand it's an opportunity to buy the dip amongst all the profit taking and panic selling 
avatarStrategy 1
2023-11-17
I do agree broadly with the analysis. Cypertruck may cause a temporary spike up but as musk said it won't be profitable for a while. If Tesla can release the cybertruck together with releasing FSD 12 that would be best. And then wait & see the FSD reviews whether its really class leading, if yes it could push the stock up  
Tesla Stock: Prepare for a Drop Before the Next Leg Up
avatarStrategy 1
2022-09-27
Great article. I am buying more shares..especially now where its so low 
AMD: A $200+ Stock When The Market Wakes Up
avatarStrategy 1
2023-12-15
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Yesterday movement is interesting. On one hand bad news for 2mil vehicle recall on FSD safety and on the other is the grant for the new mexico Giga factory. Personally I was expecting it nor to go up, the grant is good but unless EV demand increase it still won't make sense to accelerate the mexico plant for tesla bottom line. 
avatarStrategy 1
2022-09-16
Great article!
Apple: Don't Panic, Hold On Like Warren Buffett
avatarStrategy 1
2023-12-05
Nothing new in this article. Why there are so many just rehashing and repeating what has been said already. 
Here’s Why Investors Should Be Cautious About Nvidia Stock
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Palantir Technologies Q1 2024 GAAP EPS $0.08, Inline, Sales $634.000M Beat $625.431M Estimate

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