cctv1 personal page - To The Moon

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02-13

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2022-11-04

Gd

Alphabet Stock: Stop Demanding Perfection and Look at the Value

2022-11-02

Good

How the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits

2022-12-11

Ok

Alibaba: Go Hibernate Now, Bears - China Reopening Is Already Upon Us

2022-11-27

Good

3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market

2022-12-03

Ok

11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall

2022-11-19

Ooo

Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday

2022-11-14

Good

Largest U.S. Pension Buys Up Apple, Intel, and 2 More Big Stocks

2022-11-12

Ooo

US STOCKS-Nasdaq and S&P 500 End Higher, Fueled By Inflation Optimism

2022-11-11

Gd

CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish

2022-12-04

Goood ne

11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall

2022-11-17

Ooo

Republicans Win Control of the US House With Narrow Margin

2022-11-13

Be

SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?

2022-11-06

Ok

Chaos, Confusion at Twitter in Elon Musk’s First Week

2022-12-11

Good

A Look Back at Cathie Wood's Disastrous Year

2022-11-23

Good

Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says

2022-10-18

Ok

Oppenheimer Says Most Stocks Have Likely Bottomed, Market Could Rally Before Year End

2022-12-10

Goood

Elon Musk’s Tweeting Is Problematic for Tesla Stock. Here’s Proof

2022-12-01

Good

Elon Musk Needs to Buy GameStop Next. Seriously

2022-11-07

Oo

CPI; U.S. Midterm Elections; NIO, Palantir, Disney, AMC Earnings: What to Know This Week

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to 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Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3d811aa7938160a35c5aabbb701d250c","width":"882","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/273450039377984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984104675,"gmtCreate":1667552928597,"gmtModify":1676537936757,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gd","listText":"Gd","text":"Gd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984104675","repostId":"1147664484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147664484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667552240,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147664484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-04 16:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Stock: Stop Demanding Perfection and Look at the Value","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147664484","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Probably not, and many traders would have jumped at the chance to buy GOOGL stock at such a valuation. Yet, here we are, and people are afraid to accept this gift from Wall Street.Again, the culprit is overblown expectations. During 2022’s third quarter, Alphabet’s revenue grew “only” 6% year-over-year. In the year-earlier quarter, the company’s revenue increased a whopping 41% year-over-year.Financial traders shouldn’t have assumed th","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsAfter a tech-market rout, seeing Alphabet stock’s contrarian appeal should be as easy as A-B-C. With investors expecting too much from Big Tech, however, they could miss this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-stock-nasdaqgoogl-stop-demanding-perfection-and-look-at-the-value\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Stock: Stop Demanding Perfection and Look at the Value</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Stock: Stop Demanding Perfection and Look at the Value\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-04 16:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-stock-nasdaqgoogl-stop-demanding-perfection-and-look-at-the-value><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsAfter a tech-market rout, seeing Alphabet stock’s contrarian appeal should be as easy as A-B-C. With investors expecting too much from Big Tech, however, they could miss this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-stock-nasdaqgoogl-stop-demanding-perfection-and-look-at-the-value\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-stock-nasdaqgoogl-stop-demanding-perfection-and-look-at-the-value","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147664484","content_text":"Story HighlightsAfter a tech-market rout, seeing Alphabet stock’s contrarian appeal should be as easy as A-B-C. With investors expecting too much from Big Tech, however, they could miss this generational opportunity with an Internet and cloud giant.Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG) is a tech titan, but it’s in the doghouse right now. I am bullish on Alphabet stock, however, and so should any dyed-in-the-wool value hunter. Unfortunately, today’s investors are so anxiety-driven – and frankly, spoiled by years of robust corporate growth – that they refuse to see the terrific value that’s right in front of them.Perhaps I shouldn’t say, “unfortunately,” though, as there’s a huge opportunity here. Alphabet is still an American search engine, tech gadget, and cloud computing pioneer. Nothing has fundamentally changed about the company, but a recent rout in so-called growth stocks has put short-term traders on edge.They can stay on that edge if they’d like to, but chances are, the fearful skeptics will only end up buying Alphabet stock at higher prices. Instead of waiting for “confirmation” or an all-clear signal that everything’s going to be all right, I encourage you to check the data and decide for yourself whether Alphabet stock deserves an autopsy or a re-rating to the upside.Investors Should be More Realistic in Their ExpectationsThere’s no denying it: Alphabet stock tanked after the company released its third-quarter 2022 earnings results. However, this also happened to shares of Amazon, Meta Platforms, and to a lesser extent, Microsoft. It was a rough earnings season for Big Tech, and this suggests that perhaps investors have raised their expectations to unrealistic heights.Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik seems to raise this possibility, suggesting that Big Tech’s “disastrous” results may be a result of “investor expectations, demanding perfection across complicated conglomerates.” Bernstein cited other problematic factors, but Shmulik did observe a “betting parlay-like effect going on” with large-cap tech names, “where if even one metric misses, the stock sells off.”As an individual investor, you can’t control the market’s overly-ambitious earnings expectations for companies like Alphabet and its Google business. However, you can control your own expectations and, just as importantly, let the data drive your decisions rather than your emotions.Post-Earnings, GOOGL Stock is CompellingFive years ago, did you imagine that Alphabet would carry a trailing 12-month P/E ratio of around 16.4x? Probably not, and many traders would have jumped at the chance to buy GOOGL stock at such a valuation. Yet, here we are, and people are afraid to accept this gift from Wall Street.Again, the culprit is overblown expectations. During 2022’s third quarter, Alphabet’s revenue grew “only” 6% year-over-year. In the year-earlier quarter, the company’s revenue increased a whopping 41% year-over-year.Financial traders shouldn’t have assumed that Alphabet’s revenue growth would maintain its pace from last year. No company in the real world can just keep growing like that. Meanwhile, Alphabet earned $1.06 per diluted share in Q3 2022, which is perfectly respectable even if it’s not as euphoria-inducing as the year-earlier quarter’s $1.40 per share.Furthermore, Alphabet demonstrated year-over-year revenue increases from Google advertising and from total Google Services. The skeptics should also observe that Alphabet’s Google Cloud revenue improved significantly on a year-over-year basis.Besides, Alphabet achieved all of this during a time when the economy is weak and inflation is high. Advertisers aren’t likely to spend as much as usual amid this challenging financial backdrop. Hence, Alphabet deserves credit for exhibiting growth in key areas, even if many investors will only focus on the negative and dismiss the positive.Analysts All Like GOOGL Stock NowTurning to Wall Street, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. Now, there’s something you probably don’t see every day: financial experts all agree on something! By the way, the average Alphabet price target is $129.90, implying 55.7% upside potential.Conclusion: Should You Consider Alphabet Stock?Clearly, Wall Street’s experts are bullish on Alphabet stock even while some investors are panic-selling their shares. For instance, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) analyst Eric Sheridan assigned a Buy rating to Alphabet stock, and he reportedly sees $135 as the stock’s fair value. Even if the amateur commentators on social media won’t acknowledge it, Alphabet showed growth in multiple categories of revenue, including Google advertising and Google Cloud. It’s possible that some traders imagined that Alphabet would continue to grow this year as it did in 2021.You don’t have to worry about other people’s too-high expectations, though. Instead, you’re invited to take advantage of the rare value-investing opportunity in GOOGL stock and consider a long position today.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985605275,"gmtCreate":1667363619598,"gmtModify":1676537905623,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985605275","repostId":"2280931319","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2280931319","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667355767,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280931319?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 10:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280931319","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"End of one-party economic policy seen after midtermsUS House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Repub","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>End of one-party economic policy seen after midterms</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b606eb83fc2517176c9d70f090f70e1c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, center, during the America First Policy Institute&#39;s America First Agenda Summit in Washington.Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg</span></p><p>A Republican takeover of Congress would reshape the fiscal and regulatory landscape for a wide range of businesses that have grappled for nearly two years with Democratic efforts to boost taxes and tighten rules.</p><p>Next week’s midterm elections are expected to usher in a new era of divided government, with polls showing Democrats losing control of the House and possibly the Senate. That would spell the end of President Joe Biden’s agenda.</p><p>For businesses, the biggest impact of a GOP ascent would be the end of one-party economic policy. Democrats would no longer be able to use the partisan budget maneuvers to ram through tax increases, change Medicare drug policies, and pass pandemic relief spending that many economists say helped fuel inflation.</p><p>Even in a divided government, though, there may be room for compromises on border security and legal immigration that could address the labor shortages vexing US industries, along with possible agreements to streamline permitting and leasing for energy projects. Yet, GOP lawmakers are vowing to investigate Biden’s administration, reject his appointees to key jobs and wage a fight over the US debt limit that risks rattling markets — politically charged moves that could interfere with any bipartisan deal-making.</p><p>With a week until Election Day, here’s a look at what’s at stake for business:</p><h2>Republican Congress Would Put Brakes on Business Tax Increase</h2><p>Democrats came within one Senate vote of raising the corporate tax rate to 25% and imposing a global minimum profits tax. The risk of that being resurrected goes away if the GOP takes the House as expected, along with the chances of a windfall profit tax for oil companies. The midterm outcome will also likely shape December talks on renewing research and development tax breaks.</p><p>Republicans have said that in the majority they will push to extend expiring provisions of the 2017 tax cuts signed by former President Donald Trump tax cuts. Two provisions of that law are especially valuable to businesses: the 20% deduction on qualified income for many pass-through entities that expires in 2025 and bonus depreciation for qualified business purchases that phases down fully in 2027.</p><p>Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist predicts a GOP Congress would negotiate with the White House a two-year extension of those provisions before the end of 2024.</p><p>Former top Senate GOP aide Rohit Kumar, now at PWC, predicts the GOP would force tough votes on a reconciliation bill extending the Trump tax law to pressure moderate Democrats to agree to small business relief. “That would set the table for a final negotiation in 2025,” he said.</p><h2>Energy Production Could Get Boost, Climate Measures Pared</h2><p>Republicans plan to push for expanded domestic energy production if they take the majority and will try to use voter frustration over high gasoline prices to get the Biden administration to go along. The House Energy and Commerce Committee will look to boost development of hydrogen projects, streamline permitting and development of nuclear power plants, and accelerate approval for liquefied natural gas export facilities, Representative Bill Johnson, an Ohio Republican who serves on the committee, said.</p><p>Those measures, if enacted, would benefit companies such as nuclear operator Southern Co., small modular reactor maker NuScale Power Corp., and liquefied natural gas exporter Cheniere Energy, Inc. They could benefit drillers like Halliburton Co. and oil producers such as Exxon Mobil Corp. Johnson also plans to target a Biden administration rule phasing out some natural gas furnaces that drew the ire of the American Gas Association, which represents utilities such as Dominion Energy, Inc. and DTE Energy Co.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20f8410c8c7d0df16077f5b79746f01\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Wind turbines at the San Gorgonio Pass wind farm Palm Springs, Calif.Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Republicans are already vowing strict oversight over hundreds of billions of dollars in lending authority that Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act gave to the Energy Department. Meanwhile, carmakers’ desire for an additional $7 billion in spending on electric-vehicle charging stations, favored by companies like General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co., is likely to go ignored by GOP lawmakers. Biden cut his request for $15 billion in EV charger money in half to win GOP support for his bipartisan infrastructure bill and a second Democrats-only climate bill focused on extending EV tax credits for consumers.</p><p>US Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley said he doesn’t see the GOP being able to claw back money for renewable energy or reverse Biden’s past tax increases given the legislative hurdles in the Senate. “You are not un-ringing that bell in divided government,” he said.</p><h2>Financial Regulations Could be Delayed or Thwarted</h2><p>Trading firms including Robinhood Markets Inc. would benefit from a takeover by Republicans, who have sought to thwart planned regulations from the Securities and Exchange Commission under Gary Gensler. GOP lawmakers can delay rule-making with information requests to the SEC and language in annual funding bills directing the agency to hold off on regulating.</p><p>Meanwhile, one of the biggest targets for corporations is an SEC plan to require companies to disclose their greenhouse-gas emissions and in some cases from their suppliers and customers. Proposed in March, the rule has drawn the ire of industries from oil to farming. Exxon Mobil, Meta Platforms Inc. and Walmart Inc. have weighed in.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9fc48138aeac12603f4322e9333b15\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The SEC is also looking to add regulation on the crypto-currency industry.</p><p>Private equity firms and hedge funds could also benefit from any slowdown in SEC rulemaking. Gensler has proposed forcing them to disclose more about their fees and putting in place new restrictions, all of which have drawn the industry’s ire.</p><h2>Antitrust Bill Opposed by Tech Companies Unlikely to Pass</h2><p>Silicon Valley would likely be spared in a Republican Congress from sweeping legislation aimed at anti-competitive behavior by tech companies such as Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google. The bill has sponsors in both parties and has been cleared by key House and Senate committees, yet the tech industry has helped to stall the measure’s progress with lobbying campaign that has topped $100 million.</p><p>House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy and likely House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan oppose the antitrust bill, which would have to be reintroduced if it doesn’t get a vote in the current Congress by the end of the year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1eab8268ab3bcfbf3676453c804408\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Representative Jim Jordan, a Republican from Ohio, speaks during a House Judiciary Committee hearing in Washington.Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPA</span></p><p>GOP lawmakers plan instead to focus on ending what they see as censorship of conservative voices on social media platforms, including by removing legal liability protections under Section 230, giving users an avenue to appeal when their content is removed and requiring more transparency from tech companies. None of these content-focused proposals is likely to become law, owing to insufficient support in the Senate and the strong odds of a Biden veto.</p><h2>Tougher Regulations For Hospitals, Insurers</h2><p>Hospitals, insurers and pharmaceutical benefit managers face the prospect of tough new regulations pushed by a Republican Congress, with the possible support from Democrats and the Biden administration. GOP lawmakers have promised to beef up requirements that hospitals post their prices online and lower drug costs by targeting drug industry middlemen known as pharmaceutical benefit managers. Party leaders have tried to shift away from promises to tear down the Affordable Care Act — also known as Obamacare — or restrict abortion rights, focusing instead on Americans’ rising medical bills.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379f713489b433cd5b7609b13da5de8b\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A CVS pharmacy store in San Francisco.Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Cathy McMorris Rodgers, the top Republican on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, ran ads in her home state of Washington vowing to require hospitals, insurers and doctors to disclose prices so consumers can shop around. Three pharmaceutical managers make up more than two-thirds of the total US market: Express Scripts Inc., CVS Health Corp. and OptumRx Inc., HCA Healthcare Inc., Ascension Health and Tenet Healthcare Corp. are hospital companies that may be affected.</p><p>Many Democrats remain frustrated by the limited nature of the drug price negotiation provisions for Medicare in the Inflation Reduction Act, with just 10 drugs coming under negotiation in 2026. Expanding that power is unlikely under GOP control. Johnson &amp; Johnson, Merck &amp; Co. Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Eli Lilly &amp; Co. have products that Medicare spends heavily on.</p><h2>Five-Year, $428 Billion Farm Bill Up for Renewal</h2><p>The next Congress will need to pass another five-year Farm Bill governing direct agricultural subsidies, crop insurance, food stamps and conservation programs. The 2018 farm bill authorized $428 billion in spending over five years, with about three-quarters devoted to food assistance and a quarter to farm supports.</p><p>Renewing the farm bill, a pillar of domestic agribusiness, could be more difficult under GOP control. Some conservatives want to see farm subsidies cut, though there is broad support in both parties to maintain spending. The bigger issue will likely come on nutrition programs that the GOP has previously targeted over eligibility requirements and conservation programs. Food stamps help boost sales of groceries at retail chains such as Walmart and Kroger Co. by providing low-income recipients a way of buying more food.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14d6bdab7767cbc4686de9832f6562e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A tree shaker removes walnuts from trees at Barton Ranch in Escalon, Calif. The state is the biggest global shipper of walnuts and second-largest grower after China.Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Direct federal government payments are a significant contributor to farm profits, accounting for between 18% and 48% of annual net US farm income since 2018, according to the US Agriculture Department. The extra income for farmers helps boost sales for seed, pesticide, fertilizer and equipment providers such as The Mosaic Co. and Deere &amp; Co. It also reduces costs for major grain buyers such as Cargill Inc. and Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. and meat and poultry processors such as Tyson Foods Inc. that purchase animal feed.</p><h2>Weapons Makers Could See Boost in Contracting</h2><p>A GOP-led Congress offers both opportunities and peril for he biggest US defense contractors including Lockheed Martin Corp., Raytheon Co., General Dynamics Corp. and Boeing Co.</p><p>Republicans have complained that the Biden administration under-funds weapons systems, and the party will be under pressure to ensure that the military’s budget keeps pace with inflation. Texas Representative  Kay Granger, the likely next chair of the House Appropriations Committee, said in an interview she will prioritize increased defense spending.</p><p>Yet the defense industry also risks getting caught in GOP brinkmanship on spending to force Biden to cut social programs and boost border security. Protracted battles over spending could force lawmakers to rely more on interim bills to fund the government that don’t allow for new contracts. It’s likely oversight of the Pentagon’s contracting processes for expediting arms contracts awards for Ukraine will likely receive more scrutiny in a Republican-controlled Congress.</p><p>Also Read: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1118726091\" target=\"_blank\">What Midterms Mean for the Stock Market’s &#34;Best 6 Months&#34; As Favorable Calendar Stretch Gets Under Way</a></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 10:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-01/midterm-elections-2022-how-businesses-are-affected-by-who-controls-congress?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>End of one-party economic policy seen after midtermsUS House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, center, during the America First Policy Institute's America First Agenda ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-01/midterm-elections-2022-how-businesses-are-affected-by-who-controls-congress?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-01/midterm-elections-2022-how-businesses-are-affected-by-who-controls-congress?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280931319","content_text":"End of one-party economic policy seen after midtermsUS House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, center, during the America First Policy Institute's America First Agenda Summit in Washington.Photographer: Al Drago/BloombergA Republican takeover of Congress would reshape the fiscal and regulatory landscape for a wide range of businesses that have grappled for nearly two years with Democratic efforts to boost taxes and tighten rules.Next week’s midterm elections are expected to usher in a new era of divided government, with polls showing Democrats losing control of the House and possibly the Senate. That would spell the end of President Joe Biden’s agenda.For businesses, the biggest impact of a GOP ascent would be the end of one-party economic policy. Democrats would no longer be able to use the partisan budget maneuvers to ram through tax increases, change Medicare drug policies, and pass pandemic relief spending that many economists say helped fuel inflation.Even in a divided government, though, there may be room for compromises on border security and legal immigration that could address the labor shortages vexing US industries, along with possible agreements to streamline permitting and leasing for energy projects. Yet, GOP lawmakers are vowing to investigate Biden’s administration, reject his appointees to key jobs and wage a fight over the US debt limit that risks rattling markets — politically charged moves that could interfere with any bipartisan deal-making.With a week until Election Day, here’s a look at what’s at stake for business:Republican Congress Would Put Brakes on Business Tax IncreaseDemocrats came within one Senate vote of raising the corporate tax rate to 25% and imposing a global minimum profits tax. The risk of that being resurrected goes away if the GOP takes the House as expected, along with the chances of a windfall profit tax for oil companies. The midterm outcome will also likely shape December talks on renewing research and development tax breaks.Republicans have said that in the majority they will push to extend expiring provisions of the 2017 tax cuts signed by former President Donald Trump tax cuts. Two provisions of that law are especially valuable to businesses: the 20% deduction on qualified income for many pass-through entities that expires in 2025 and bonus depreciation for qualified business purchases that phases down fully in 2027.Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist predicts a GOP Congress would negotiate with the White House a two-year extension of those provisions before the end of 2024.Former top Senate GOP aide Rohit Kumar, now at PWC, predicts the GOP would force tough votes on a reconciliation bill extending the Trump tax law to pressure moderate Democrats to agree to small business relief. “That would set the table for a final negotiation in 2025,” he said.Energy Production Could Get Boost, Climate Measures ParedRepublicans plan to push for expanded domestic energy production if they take the majority and will try to use voter frustration over high gasoline prices to get the Biden administration to go along. The House Energy and Commerce Committee will look to boost development of hydrogen projects, streamline permitting and development of nuclear power plants, and accelerate approval for liquefied natural gas export facilities, Representative Bill Johnson, an Ohio Republican who serves on the committee, said.Those measures, if enacted, would benefit companies such as nuclear operator Southern Co., small modular reactor maker NuScale Power Corp., and liquefied natural gas exporter Cheniere Energy, Inc. They could benefit drillers like Halliburton Co. and oil producers such as Exxon Mobil Corp. Johnson also plans to target a Biden administration rule phasing out some natural gas furnaces that drew the ire of the American Gas Association, which represents utilities such as Dominion Energy, Inc. and DTE Energy Co.Wind turbines at the San Gorgonio Pass wind farm Palm Springs, Calif.Photographer: Bing Guan/BloombergRepublicans are already vowing strict oversight over hundreds of billions of dollars in lending authority that Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act gave to the Energy Department. Meanwhile, carmakers’ desire for an additional $7 billion in spending on electric-vehicle charging stations, favored by companies like General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co., is likely to go ignored by GOP lawmakers. Biden cut his request for $15 billion in EV charger money in half to win GOP support for his bipartisan infrastructure bill and a second Democrats-only climate bill focused on extending EV tax credits for consumers.US Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley said he doesn’t see the GOP being able to claw back money for renewable energy or reverse Biden’s past tax increases given the legislative hurdles in the Senate. “You are not un-ringing that bell in divided government,” he said.Financial Regulations Could be Delayed or ThwartedTrading firms including Robinhood Markets Inc. would benefit from a takeover by Republicans, who have sought to thwart planned regulations from the Securities and Exchange Commission under Gary Gensler. GOP lawmakers can delay rule-making with information requests to the SEC and language in annual funding bills directing the agency to hold off on regulating.Meanwhile, one of the biggest targets for corporations is an SEC plan to require companies to disclose their greenhouse-gas emissions and in some cases from their suppliers and customers. Proposed in March, the rule has drawn the ire of industries from oil to farming. Exxon Mobil, Meta Platforms Inc. and Walmart Inc. have weighed in.The SEC is also looking to add regulation on the crypto-currency industry.Private equity firms and hedge funds could also benefit from any slowdown in SEC rulemaking. Gensler has proposed forcing them to disclose more about their fees and putting in place new restrictions, all of which have drawn the industry’s ire.Antitrust Bill Opposed by Tech Companies Unlikely to PassSilicon Valley would likely be spared in a Republican Congress from sweeping legislation aimed at anti-competitive behavior by tech companies such as Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google. The bill has sponsors in both parties and has been cleared by key House and Senate committees, yet the tech industry has helped to stall the measure’s progress with lobbying campaign that has topped $100 million.House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy and likely House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan oppose the antitrust bill, which would have to be reintroduced if it doesn’t get a vote in the current Congress by the end of the year.Representative Jim Jordan, a Republican from Ohio, speaks during a House Judiciary Committee hearing in Washington.Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPAGOP lawmakers plan instead to focus on ending what they see as censorship of conservative voices on social media platforms, including by removing legal liability protections under Section 230, giving users an avenue to appeal when their content is removed and requiring more transparency from tech companies. None of these content-focused proposals is likely to become law, owing to insufficient support in the Senate and the strong odds of a Biden veto.Tougher Regulations For Hospitals, InsurersHospitals, insurers and pharmaceutical benefit managers face the prospect of tough new regulations pushed by a Republican Congress, with the possible support from Democrats and the Biden administration. GOP lawmakers have promised to beef up requirements that hospitals post their prices online and lower drug costs by targeting drug industry middlemen known as pharmaceutical benefit managers. Party leaders have tried to shift away from promises to tear down the Affordable Care Act — also known as Obamacare — or restrict abortion rights, focusing instead on Americans’ rising medical bills.A CVS pharmacy store in San Francisco.Photographer: David Paul Morris/BloombergCathy McMorris Rodgers, the top Republican on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, ran ads in her home state of Washington vowing to require hospitals, insurers and doctors to disclose prices so consumers can shop around. Three pharmaceutical managers make up more than two-thirds of the total US market: Express Scripts Inc., CVS Health Corp. and OptumRx Inc., HCA Healthcare Inc., Ascension Health and Tenet Healthcare Corp. are hospital companies that may be affected.Many Democrats remain frustrated by the limited nature of the drug price negotiation provisions for Medicare in the Inflation Reduction Act, with just 10 drugs coming under negotiation in 2026. Expanding that power is unlikely under GOP control. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co. Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Eli Lilly & Co. have products that Medicare spends heavily on.Five-Year, $428 Billion Farm Bill Up for RenewalThe next Congress will need to pass another five-year Farm Bill governing direct agricultural subsidies, crop insurance, food stamps and conservation programs. The 2018 farm bill authorized $428 billion in spending over five years, with about three-quarters devoted to food assistance and a quarter to farm supports.Renewing the farm bill, a pillar of domestic agribusiness, could be more difficult under GOP control. Some conservatives want to see farm subsidies cut, though there is broad support in both parties to maintain spending. The bigger issue will likely come on nutrition programs that the GOP has previously targeted over eligibility requirements and conservation programs. Food stamps help boost sales of groceries at retail chains such as Walmart and Kroger Co. by providing low-income recipients a way of buying more food.A tree shaker removes walnuts from trees at Barton Ranch in Escalon, Calif. The state is the biggest global shipper of walnuts and second-largest grower after China.Photographer: David Paul Morris/BloombergDirect federal government payments are a significant contributor to farm profits, accounting for between 18% and 48% of annual net US farm income since 2018, according to the US Agriculture Department. The extra income for farmers helps boost sales for seed, pesticide, fertilizer and equipment providers such as The Mosaic Co. and Deere & Co. It also reduces costs for major grain buyers such as Cargill Inc. and Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. and meat and poultry processors such as Tyson Foods Inc. that purchase animal feed.Weapons Makers Could See Boost in ContractingA GOP-led Congress offers both opportunities and peril for he biggest US defense contractors including Lockheed Martin Corp., Raytheon Co., General Dynamics Corp. and Boeing Co.Republicans have complained that the Biden administration under-funds weapons systems, and the party will be under pressure to ensure that the military’s budget keeps pace with inflation. Texas Representative  Kay Granger, the likely next chair of the House Appropriations Committee, said in an interview she will prioritize increased defense spending.Yet the defense industry also risks getting caught in GOP brinkmanship on spending to force Biden to cut social programs and boost border security. Protracted battles over spending could force lawmakers to rely more on interim bills to fund the government that don’t allow for new contracts. It’s likely oversight of the Pentagon’s contracting processes for expediting arms contracts awards for Ukraine will likely receive more scrutiny in a Republican-controlled Congress.Also Read: What Midterms Mean for the Stock Market’s \"Best 6 Months\" As Favorable Calendar Stretch Gets Under Way","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929459117,"gmtCreate":1670723384139,"gmtModify":1676538422993,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929459117","repostId":"2290229531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290229531","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1670721187,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290229531?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-11 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Go Hibernate Now, Bears - China Reopening Is Already Upon Us","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290229531","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIt is time for the bears to go into winter hibernation mode as Beijing finally embarks on its","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>It is time for the bears to go into winter hibernation mode as Beijing finally embarks on its reopening cadence with some semblance of pre-pandemic normality.</li><li>The BABA stock has also enjoyed an excellent 52.26% rally from its October lows of $58.01, though its P/E valuations remain depressed at 11.27x.</li><li>With our ambitious price target of $166.60, the 300B Yuan stimulus package, and the projected GDP growth of over 5% in 2023, the worst may be behind us indeed.</li><li>Nighty night bears.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8678dbf08e5336933022d39c54e6c8b\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>adogslifephoto/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Alibaba Group&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) recovery remains a big question for many investors&#39; and traders&#39; minds. As characterized by Daniel Schönberger, BABA is indeed A Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks, especially due to Jack Ma&#39;s previous misstep and Beijing Crackdown. The stock has undoubtedly suffered a -72.14% plunge since the peak level of $317.14 in November 2020. Naturally, the risks went beyond skin deep, due to the country&#39;s ongoing Zero Covid Policy, the slowing Chinese GDP growth, the property market crisis, the Marxist government policy, and the ongoing US-China trade war in multiple sectors.</p><p>BABA stock remains highly sensitive to market and geopolitical news, which makes our rating of a speculative buy - the understatement of the year indeed. Naturally, the stock is only suitable for investors with lead-lined stomachs and unduly patient investing trajectories.</p><p>However, we are already starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel, or as BBC puts it, &#34;The government appears to have quietly dumped Zero Covid as a goal.&#34; With the rhetorics gradually shifting towards some semblance of pre-pandemic life, we may witness a slow, but steady reopening cadence as Beijing carefully calibrates between COVID infection levels and public sentiment over the next few months. Combined with the 300B Yuan stimulus package, China&#39;s economic recovery may surprise the worst of bears, with some analysts projecting an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023. Only time will tell, though we choose to be quietly confident that the worst may be over.</p><p><b>BABA&#39;s Declining Margins Warrants A Discount IndeedBABA Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, and EPS</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1eec9c084d2b7831e720cc1b3da567a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>It is evident that market analysts are quietly optimistic about BABA&#39;s upcoming FQ3&#39;23 earnings call. This is due to the notable inline performance of 1.7% YoY revenue growth and a minimal -5.3% decline in EPS, despite the tougher YoY comparison and persistent lockdowns. Furthermore, with the aggressive cost-cutting strategies and layoffs thus far, the company has been recording improved operating efficiencies by -9.13% YoY in the latest quarter. Therefore, it is not surprising to see improved EBIT margins of 13.3% and net income margins of 17.2% by the next quarter, though still significantly below pre-pandemic levels of 24.5% and 30.1%.</p><p><b>BABA Cash/ Equivalents, FCF (in billion Yuan) %, Debt, and Assets</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a7ee9529c515d7a38d83b24df9f315e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>Even though there is a $1B fine ANT Group overhang from the government, we are not worried at all, since BABA continues to boast excellent cash and equivalents of 246.85B Yuan or the equivalent of $34.7B in FQ2&#39;23. Furthermore, market analysts expect the company to record a more than decent Free Cash Flow [FCF] generation of 62.29B Yuan and margins of 25.3% by the next quarter, indicating its sustained profitability indeed.</p><p>One will quickly realize that the Chinese markets are clearly not uninvestable, in comparison to their peers in the US stock market. Naturally, after removing the lens of geopolitical bias. Amazon (AMZN) similarly faces an $865M fine from the EU, Alphabet (GOOG) with an $8.68B fine from the EU, Meta (META) with a $277M fine from the EU, and Microsoft (MSFT) with a total of $1.6B of fine from the EU through the past decade. In spite so, AMZN still enjoys an excellent NTM P/E valuation of 63.07x, GOOG 20.24X, META 16.96x, and MSFT 25.34x, while BABA remains depressed at 11.24x. Thereby, pointing to the latter&#39;s geopolitical misfortune.</p><p><b>BABA Projected Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, EPS,FCF %, and Debt</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/add7eaab5465003ab8708bf8139aac99\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>On the one hand, investors will be disappointed if they are looking for pre-pandemic top and bottom CAGRs of 47.6%/ 31.2%, since BABA&#39;s growth will decelerate further due to the uncertain reopening cadence and slower economic growth. On the other hand, while its margins are not expected to recover to pre-pandemic levels, market analysts are projecting optimistic EBIT/ net income/ FCF margins of 12.7%/ 17.1%/ 15.5% by FY2025. These numbers are notably expanded from 8.2%/16.8%/11.6% in FY2022. We are also looking at an excellent forward EPS of 68.26 Yuan by FY2025, against 52.98 Yuan in FY2020 and 52.69 Yuan in FY2022.</p><p>In addition, keen investors must be informed about BABA&#39;s fortress-like balance sheet, due to the stellar projected -503.46B Yuan or the equivalent of -$72.32B in net debts by FY2025 against -$30.48B in FY2020 and -$43.92B in FY2022. Impressive indeed, since its book value per share may also grow tremendously to $71.50 by FY2025, compared to $40.33 in FY2020 and $51.69 in FY2022.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>Alibaba: The Black Sheep In A Bear Market</li><li>Alibaba: The Purge Is Finally Here - Jack Ma Says Goodbye To ANT</li></ul><p><b>So, Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?BABA 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77125729c3d256af656a88b93ca03014\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"256\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>BABA is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 1.66x and NTM P/E of 11.27x, lower than its 5Y mean of 5.34x and 22.97x, respectively. Otherwise, still relatively under-valued based on its YTD mean of 1.69x and 12.22x, respectively. Then again, we expect a certain discount on the previously rich 5Y mean P/E valuations, due to the notable contraction in its margins and growth moving forward. However, these current levels are also admittedly over-pessimistic, due to the worsening world events and China&#39;s chaotic Zero Covid Policy.</p><p><b>BABA YTD Stock Price</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626913db9425f1e9e2fc1f56ad48ade9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>The BABA stock is trading at $88.33, down -36.31% from its 52 weeks high of $138.70. Despite the 52.26% rally from its 52 weeks low of $58.01 in October 2022, consensus estimates remain bullish about its prospects, given their price target of $140.50 and a 55.21% upside from current prices.</p><p>Combined with its relatively stellar EPS expansion and potential reopening cadence in China, there is no reason why BABA will not return to its previous glory indeed. Based on the forward EPS of $9.80 in FY2025 and moderate P/E valuations of 17x, we could be looking at an ambitious price target of $166.60.</p><p>Therefore, we continue to rate BABA stock as a speculative Buy. The road to China&#39;s pre-pandemic economic levels remains fraught with uphill challenges, further complicated by its supposed &#34;Russian partnership with no limits.&#34; However, no pain lasts forever, and we reckon the same logic applies to China&#39;s geopolitical risk and the Russian-Ukraine war.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Go Hibernate Now, Bears - China Reopening Is Already Upon Us</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Go Hibernate Now, Bears - China Reopening Is Already Upon Us\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-11 09:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563129-alibaba-stock-china-reopening-already-upon-us><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIt is time for the bears to go into winter hibernation mode as Beijing finally embarks on its reopening cadence with some semblance of pre-pandemic normality.The BABA stock has also enjoyed an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563129-alibaba-stock-china-reopening-already-upon-us\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563129-alibaba-stock-china-reopening-already-upon-us","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290229531","content_text":"SummaryIt is time for the bears to go into winter hibernation mode as Beijing finally embarks on its reopening cadence with some semblance of pre-pandemic normality.The BABA stock has also enjoyed an excellent 52.26% rally from its October lows of $58.01, though its P/E valuations remain depressed at 11.27x.With our ambitious price target of $166.60, the 300B Yuan stimulus package, and the projected GDP growth of over 5% in 2023, the worst may be behind us indeed.Nighty night bears.adogslifephoto/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment ThesisAlibaba Group's (NYSE:BABA) recovery remains a big question for many investors' and traders' minds. As characterized by Daniel Schönberger, BABA is indeed A Candidate For The Record Book Of Mispriced Stocks, especially due to Jack Ma's previous misstep and Beijing Crackdown. The stock has undoubtedly suffered a -72.14% plunge since the peak level of $317.14 in November 2020. Naturally, the risks went beyond skin deep, due to the country's ongoing Zero Covid Policy, the slowing Chinese GDP growth, the property market crisis, the Marxist government policy, and the ongoing US-China trade war in multiple sectors.BABA stock remains highly sensitive to market and geopolitical news, which makes our rating of a speculative buy - the understatement of the year indeed. Naturally, the stock is only suitable for investors with lead-lined stomachs and unduly patient investing trajectories.However, we are already starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel, or as BBC puts it, \"The government appears to have quietly dumped Zero Covid as a goal.\" With the rhetorics gradually shifting towards some semblance of pre-pandemic life, we may witness a slow, but steady reopening cadence as Beijing carefully calibrates between COVID infection levels and public sentiment over the next few months. Combined with the 300B Yuan stimulus package, China's economic recovery may surprise the worst of bears, with some analysts projecting an optimistic 5% GDP growth in 2023. Only time will tell, though we choose to be quietly confident that the worst may be over.BABA's Declining Margins Warrants A Discount IndeedBABA Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, and EPSS&P Capital IQIt is evident that market analysts are quietly optimistic about BABA's upcoming FQ3'23 earnings call. This is due to the notable inline performance of 1.7% YoY revenue growth and a minimal -5.3% decline in EPS, despite the tougher YoY comparison and persistent lockdowns. Furthermore, with the aggressive cost-cutting strategies and layoffs thus far, the company has been recording improved operating efficiencies by -9.13% YoY in the latest quarter. Therefore, it is not surprising to see improved EBIT margins of 13.3% and net income margins of 17.2% by the next quarter, though still significantly below pre-pandemic levels of 24.5% and 30.1%.BABA Cash/ Equivalents, FCF (in billion Yuan) %, Debt, and AssetsS&P Capital IQEven though there is a $1B fine ANT Group overhang from the government, we are not worried at all, since BABA continues to boast excellent cash and equivalents of 246.85B Yuan or the equivalent of $34.7B in FQ2'23. Furthermore, market analysts expect the company to record a more than decent Free Cash Flow [FCF] generation of 62.29B Yuan and margins of 25.3% by the next quarter, indicating its sustained profitability indeed.One will quickly realize that the Chinese markets are clearly not uninvestable, in comparison to their peers in the US stock market. Naturally, after removing the lens of geopolitical bias. Amazon (AMZN) similarly faces an $865M fine from the EU, Alphabet (GOOG) with an $8.68B fine from the EU, Meta (META) with a $277M fine from the EU, and Microsoft (MSFT) with a total of $1.6B of fine from the EU through the past decade. In spite so, AMZN still enjoys an excellent NTM P/E valuation of 63.07x, GOOG 20.24X, META 16.96x, and MSFT 25.34x, while BABA remains depressed at 11.24x. Thereby, pointing to the latter's geopolitical misfortune.BABA Projected Revenue, Net Income (in billion Yuan) %, EBIT %, EPS,FCF %, and DebtS&P Capital IQOn the one hand, investors will be disappointed if they are looking for pre-pandemic top and bottom CAGRs of 47.6%/ 31.2%, since BABA's growth will decelerate further due to the uncertain reopening cadence and slower economic growth. On the other hand, while its margins are not expected to recover to pre-pandemic levels, market analysts are projecting optimistic EBIT/ net income/ FCF margins of 12.7%/ 17.1%/ 15.5% by FY2025. These numbers are notably expanded from 8.2%/16.8%/11.6% in FY2022. We are also looking at an excellent forward EPS of 68.26 Yuan by FY2025, against 52.98 Yuan in FY2020 and 52.69 Yuan in FY2022.In addition, keen investors must be informed about BABA's fortress-like balance sheet, due to the stellar projected -503.46B Yuan or the equivalent of -$72.32B in net debts by FY2025 against -$30.48B in FY2020 and -$43.92B in FY2022. Impressive indeed, since its book value per share may also grow tremendously to $71.50 by FY2025, compared to $40.33 in FY2020 and $51.69 in FY2022.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.Alibaba: The Black Sheep In A Bear MarketAlibaba: The Purge Is Finally Here - Jack Ma Says Goodbye To ANTSo, Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?BABA 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQBABA is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 1.66x and NTM P/E of 11.27x, lower than its 5Y mean of 5.34x and 22.97x, respectively. Otherwise, still relatively under-valued based on its YTD mean of 1.69x and 12.22x, respectively. Then again, we expect a certain discount on the previously rich 5Y mean P/E valuations, due to the notable contraction in its margins and growth moving forward. However, these current levels are also admittedly over-pessimistic, due to the worsening world events and China's chaotic Zero Covid Policy.BABA YTD Stock PriceSeeking AlphaThe BABA stock is trading at $88.33, down -36.31% from its 52 weeks high of $138.70. Despite the 52.26% rally from its 52 weeks low of $58.01 in October 2022, consensus estimates remain bullish about its prospects, given their price target of $140.50 and a 55.21% upside from current prices.Combined with its relatively stellar EPS expansion and potential reopening cadence in China, there is no reason why BABA will not return to its previous glory indeed. Based on the forward EPS of $9.80 in FY2025 and moderate P/E valuations of 17x, we could be looking at an ambitious price target of $166.60.Therefore, we continue to rate BABA stock as a speculative Buy. The road to China's pre-pandemic economic levels remains fraught with uphill challenges, further complicated by its supposed \"Russian partnership with no limits.\" However, no pain lasts forever, and we reckon the same logic applies to China's geopolitical risk and the Russian-Ukraine war.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966266702,"gmtCreate":1669560151807,"gmtModify":1676538207388,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966266702","repostId":"1170146184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170146184","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669522674,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170146184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170146184","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren B","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.</li><li><b>Apple</b>(<b>AAPL</b>): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.</li><li><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(<b>AMD</b>): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b>(<b>NVDA</b>): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.</li></ul><p>2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.</p><p>In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.</p><p><b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p>With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:<b>AAPL</b>) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.</p><p>In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.</p><p>The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.</p><p>Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)</b></p><p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ: <b>AMD</b>) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.</p><p>Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.</p><p>Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p>While <b>Nvidia</b> (NASDAQ:<b>NVDA</b>) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.</p><p>Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like <b>Lowe’s</b> (NYSE:LOW), <b>BMW</b>(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), <b>Siemens</b>(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and <b>Lockheed Martin</b> (NYSE:LMT).</p><p>Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170146184","content_text":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.Nvidia(NVDA): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.Apple (AAPL)With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)While Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW), BMW(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), Siemens(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT).Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964948672,"gmtCreate":1670062325096,"gmtModify":1676538297429,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964948672","repostId":"1152464265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152464265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670022054,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152464265?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152464265","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8b5a354d9d687bd95cdff74dddc508\" tg-width=\"1214\" tg-height=\"811\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.</p><p>“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.</p><p>This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’s<i>Charging Bull</i>statue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.</p><p>Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)</p><p>“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”</p><p>But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at a<i>New York Times</i>conference and an interview on<i>Good Morning America</i>. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b2ba9ef6da8454146f200cdc460f6e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Bankman-Fried after an interview on<i>Bloomberg Wealth With David Rubenstein</i>on Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg</p><p>He doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.</p><p>It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith a<i>Vox</i>reporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” the<i>Vox</i>reporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.</p><p>I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.</p><p>To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messaged<i>Vox</i>, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.</p><p>I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”</p><p>“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”</p><p>That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he got<i>un</i>lucky, or miscalculated the odds.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end of<i>Scarface</i>, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.</p><p>Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.</p><p>The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.</p><p>Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.</p><p>“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”</p><p>The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)</p><p>The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.</p><p>The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”</p><p>“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.</p><p>Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.</p><p>That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.</p><p>As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,<i>Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.</i>Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.</p><p>The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.</p><p>Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.</p><p>But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”</p><p>“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”</p><p>Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.</p><p>The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.</p><p>There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)</p><p>When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.</p><p>“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)</p><p>“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”</p><p>“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.</p><p>“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”</p><p>I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.</p><p>“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”</p><p>“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.</p><p>“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.</p><p>“So what’s the problem, then?”</p><p>Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.</p><p>“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.</p><p>“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.</p><p>“That’s correct. Yes.”</p><p>“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.</p><p>“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.</p><p>That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.</p><p>To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.</p><p>Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.</p><p>It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”</p><p>“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.</p><p>With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.</p><p>The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this big<i>Wolf of Wall Street</i>thing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87535c118f069e782e80762398d0a9c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg Businessweek</p><p>By the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.</p><p>I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.</p><p>“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”</p><p>I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.</p><p>I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.</p><p>“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”</p><p>“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”</p><p>To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”</p><p>“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”</p><p>“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.</p><p>By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152464265","content_text":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’sCharging Bullstatue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at aNew York Timesconference and an interview onGood Morning America. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?Bankman-Fried after an interview onBloomberg Wealth With David Rubensteinon Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/BloombergHe doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith aVoxreporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” theVoxreporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messagedVox, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he gotunlucky, or miscalculated the odds.Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end ofScarface, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.“So what’s the problem, then?”Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.“That’s correct. Yes.”“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this bigWolf of Wall Streetthing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg BusinessweekBy the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961191181,"gmtCreate":1668869123443,"gmtModify":1676538123085,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961191181","repostId":"2284770337","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284770337","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1668823624,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284770337?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-19 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284770337","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency exchange is sinking again after another analyst chimed in about its potential downsides.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>What happened</h2><p>Amid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator <b>Coinbase</b> will perform from here. This week has been a mixed bag. Coinbase stock initially surged on the expectation that the bankruptcy of a key competitor could lead to the U.S.-focused crypto exchange gaining market share. But over the course of  Wednesday and Thursday, the company&#39;s shares sank by more than 12%. The declines continued Friday morning, with Coinbase stock plunging by another 7.1% as of 11:58 a.m. ET.</p><p>Friday&#39;s decline appears to have been spurred by a bearish analyst note from <b>Bank of America</b>. Analyst Jason Kupferberg slashed the price target on Coinbase from $77 per share to $50 per share, and cut its rating from buy to neutral. Last week, <b>Goldman Sachs</b> slashed its price target on Coinbase to $41 per share from $49 per share, and maintained its sell rating.</p><h2>So what</h2><p>It&#39;s clear that analysts have reason to be bearish about Coinbase. While it&#39;s one of the most prominent centralized crypto exchanges, contagion fears have put investors and analysts in a difficult position. On the one hand, FTX&#39;s implosion offers the potential for Coinbase to capture more market share and trading volume. On the other, declining aggregate trading activity and systemic risks may lead to further valuation compression, at least in the near term.</p><p>Interestingly, neither the Bank of America nor the Goldman Sachs analysts are worried that Coinbase will be the next FTX, and they generally took the view that it&#39;s relatively well-insulated from the FTX fallout. However, the Bank of America note succinctly summarized three risks for those holding Coinbase stock right now: &#34;Dampened trading activity thanks to weaker confidence in crypto, delayed regulatory clarity and the possibility that contagion leads to an even wider fallout for the industry.&#34;</p><h2>Now what</h2><p>Coinbase&#39;s stock price has been under pressure throughout the year due primarily to its underwhelming earnings results and concerns around potential margin degradation. In that sense, the fallout from the FTX collapse could be seen as a net positive, as that exchange was among the lowest-fee options for traders, and therefore put downward pressure on its peers&#39; trading fees.</p><p>That said, this year&#39;s underperformance has led Coinbase management to undertake multiple rounds of layoffs. It has cut more than 18% of its workforce so far. Like many other tech companies, Coinbase appears to have built an infrastructure that&#39;s too big for the current market. With crypto valuations remaining on a bearish trajectory, it&#39;s unclear whether trading volumes will eventually recover, or whether they will remain permanently stunted.</p><p>In this market, investors appear to be taking a similar view to Wall Street analysts. Trading at roughly $46 per share, Coinbase is now within spitting distance of its all-time low.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-19 10:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happenedAmid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator Coinbase will perform from here. This week has been a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284770337","content_text":"What happenedAmid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator Coinbase will perform from here. This week has been a mixed bag. Coinbase stock initially surged on the expectation that the bankruptcy of a key competitor could lead to the U.S.-focused crypto exchange gaining market share. But over the course of  Wednesday and Thursday, the company's shares sank by more than 12%. The declines continued Friday morning, with Coinbase stock plunging by another 7.1% as of 11:58 a.m. ET.Friday's decline appears to have been spurred by a bearish analyst note from Bank of America. Analyst Jason Kupferberg slashed the price target on Coinbase from $77 per share to $50 per share, and cut its rating from buy to neutral. Last week, Goldman Sachs slashed its price target on Coinbase to $41 per share from $49 per share, and maintained its sell rating.So whatIt's clear that analysts have reason to be bearish about Coinbase. While it's one of the most prominent centralized crypto exchanges, contagion fears have put investors and analysts in a difficult position. On the one hand, FTX's implosion offers the potential for Coinbase to capture more market share and trading volume. On the other, declining aggregate trading activity and systemic risks may lead to further valuation compression, at least in the near term.Interestingly, neither the Bank of America nor the Goldman Sachs analysts are worried that Coinbase will be the next FTX, and they generally took the view that it's relatively well-insulated from the FTX fallout. However, the Bank of America note succinctly summarized three risks for those holding Coinbase stock right now: \"Dampened trading activity thanks to weaker confidence in crypto, delayed regulatory clarity and the possibility that contagion leads to an even wider fallout for the industry.\"Now whatCoinbase's stock price has been under pressure throughout the year due primarily to its underwhelming earnings results and concerns around potential margin degradation. In that sense, the fallout from the FTX collapse could be seen as a net positive, as that exchange was among the lowest-fee options for traders, and therefore put downward pressure on its peers' trading fees.That said, this year's underperformance has led Coinbase management to undertake multiple rounds of layoffs. It has cut more than 18% of its workforce so far. Like many other tech companies, Coinbase appears to have built an infrastructure that's too big for the current market. With crypto valuations remaining on a bearish trajectory, it's unclear whether trading volumes will eventually recover, or whether they will remain permanently stunted.In this market, investors appear to be taking a similar view to Wall Street analysts. Trading at roughly $46 per share, Coinbase is now within spitting distance of its all-time low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969848758,"gmtCreate":1668410448075,"gmtModify":1676538052244,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969848758","repostId":"2283146254","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283146254","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1668408518,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283146254?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Largest U.S. Pension Buys Up Apple, Intel, and 2 More Big Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283146254","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"America's largest public pension fund by assets increased positions in some of its largest stock inv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>America&#39;s largest public pension fund by assets increased positions in some of its largest stock investments in the third quarter.</p><p>California Public Employees&#39; Retirement System bought more shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>, Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, and $General Electric(GE)4 stock. Calpers, as the pension is known, disclosed the stock trades, among others, in a form it filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p>Calpers declined to comment on the investment changes. The pension managed $440 billion in assets as of June 30, the end of its fiscal year. At that time, Calpers estimated that its funded status was 72% -- meaning it had 72 cents on hand for every dollar of obligation. That&#39;s actually better than average. A study by the Pew Charitable Trusts using 2020 data showed that state pensions were 69.5% funded, on average.</p><p>The pension bought 5.4 million more Apple shares to end the third quarter with 35.3 million shares of the iPhone maker. Apple stock slid 22% in the first nine months of the year, compared with a 25% drop in the S&amp;P 500 index. So far in the fourth quarter, shares are up 8.3% compared with an 11% rise in the index.</p><p>Apple&#39;s results for the quarter ended in September, disclosed in late October, were slightly better than expected. The company also stepped up stock repurchases to a record. But earlier this month, Apple warned that iPhone production was being disrupted by Covid-19 restrictions in China, sending shares sliding.</p><p>Meanwhile, Intel has been hurt by the winding down of the pandemic because a a surge in demand for better computers triggered by the shift to working from home has faded away, cutting into demand for semiconductors. Management issued a disappointing financial forecast late in October, overshadowing the chip giant&#39;s third-quarter report. Also late last month, Intel spun off its autonomous-car unit Mobileye <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MBLY\">$(MBLY)$</a>.</p><p>Calpers bought 1.7 million additional Intel shares to end the third quarter with 11.1 million shares. Intel stock plunged 50% in the first nine months of 2022, and so far in the fourth quarter shares are up 18%.</p><p>The pension also bought 2.3 million more Microsoft shares in the quarter to lift its investment to 18.9 million shares of the software giant. Microsoft stock tumbled 31% in the first nine months of the year, and so far in the fourth quarter shares are up 6.1%.</p><p>Microsoft shares slipped in late October after it reported quarterly growth in its cloud segment that disappointed analysts and investors. Management&#39;s financial guidance also fell short. Earlier this month, a trade group filed an antitrust suit against Microsoft with the European Commission, alleging anticompetitive behavior. Its pending acquisition of game publisher Activision Blizzard <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$(ATVI)$</a> continues to await antitrust approvals.</p><p>GE, on the other hand, is pursuing a strategy to split into three, a process set to start next year. One segment will be dedicated to aviation, another to power generation, and a third to healthcare. The conglomerate&#39;s third-quarter earnings, reported at the end of October, included one-time items, and reduced forecasts, but analysts were pleased by what they saw.</p><p>Calpers bought 396,145 more GE shares to end the third quarter with 2.5 million. GE stock slid 34% in the first nine months of the year. So far in the fourth quarter, the stock is up 39%, propelled by a favorable climate for so-called cyclical stocks, those that perform well when the economy is gaining strength. A reading of lower-than-expected inflation last week might mean the Federal Reserve can ease off on interest-rate hikes.</p><p>Inside Scoop is a regular Barron&#39;s feature covering stock transactions by corporate executives and board members -- so-called insiders -- as well as large shareholders, politicians, and other prominent figures. Due to their insider status, these investors are required to disclose stock trades with the Securities and Exchange Commission or other regulatory groups.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Largest U.S. Pension Buys Up Apple, Intel, and 2 More Big Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLargest U.S. Pension Buys Up Apple, Intel, and 2 More Big Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 14:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>America&#39;s largest public pension fund by assets increased positions in some of its largest stock investments in the third quarter.</p><p>California Public Employees&#39; Retirement System bought more shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>, Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, and $General Electric(GE)4 stock. Calpers, as the pension is known, disclosed the stock trades, among others, in a form it filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p>Calpers declined to comment on the investment changes. The pension managed $440 billion in assets as of June 30, the end of its fiscal year. At that time, Calpers estimated that its funded status was 72% -- meaning it had 72 cents on hand for every dollar of obligation. That&#39;s actually better than average. A study by the Pew Charitable Trusts using 2020 data showed that state pensions were 69.5% funded, on average.</p><p>The pension bought 5.4 million more Apple shares to end the third quarter with 35.3 million shares of the iPhone maker. Apple stock slid 22% in the first nine months of the year, compared with a 25% drop in the S&amp;P 500 index. So far in the fourth quarter, shares are up 8.3% compared with an 11% rise in the index.</p><p>Apple&#39;s results for the quarter ended in September, disclosed in late October, were slightly better than expected. The company also stepped up stock repurchases to a record. But earlier this month, Apple warned that iPhone production was being disrupted by Covid-19 restrictions in China, sending shares sliding.</p><p>Meanwhile, Intel has been hurt by the winding down of the pandemic because a a surge in demand for better computers triggered by the shift to working from home has faded away, cutting into demand for semiconductors. Management issued a disappointing financial forecast late in October, overshadowing the chip giant&#39;s third-quarter report. Also late last month, Intel spun off its autonomous-car unit Mobileye <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MBLY\">$(MBLY)$</a>.</p><p>Calpers bought 1.7 million additional Intel shares to end the third quarter with 11.1 million shares. Intel stock plunged 50% in the first nine months of 2022, and so far in the fourth quarter shares are up 18%.</p><p>The pension also bought 2.3 million more Microsoft shares in the quarter to lift its investment to 18.9 million shares of the software giant. Microsoft stock tumbled 31% in the first nine months of the year, and so far in the fourth quarter shares are up 6.1%.</p><p>Microsoft shares slipped in late October after it reported quarterly growth in its cloud segment that disappointed analysts and investors. Management&#39;s financial guidance also fell short. Earlier this month, a trade group filed an antitrust suit against Microsoft with the European Commission, alleging anticompetitive behavior. Its pending acquisition of game publisher Activision Blizzard <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$(ATVI)$</a> continues to await antitrust approvals.</p><p>GE, on the other hand, is pursuing a strategy to split into three, a process set to start next year. One segment will be dedicated to aviation, another to power generation, and a third to healthcare. The conglomerate&#39;s third-quarter earnings, reported at the end of October, included one-time items, and reduced forecasts, but analysts were pleased by what they saw.</p><p>Calpers bought 396,145 more GE shares to end the third quarter with 2.5 million. GE stock slid 34% in the first nine months of the year. So far in the fourth quarter, the stock is up 39%, propelled by a favorable climate for so-called cyclical stocks, those that perform well when the economy is gaining strength. A reading of lower-than-expected inflation last week might mean the Federal Reserve can ease off on interest-rate hikes.</p><p>Inside Scoop is a regular Barron&#39;s feature covering stock transactions by corporate executives and board members -- so-called insiders -- as well as large shareholders, politicians, and other prominent figures. Due to their insider status, these investors are required to disclose stock trades with the Securities and Exchange Commission or other regulatory groups.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283146254","content_text":"America's largest public pension fund by assets increased positions in some of its largest stock investments in the third quarter.California Public Employees' Retirement System bought more shares of Apple, Intel, Microsoft $(MSFT)$, and $General Electric(GE)4 stock. Calpers, as the pension is known, disclosed the stock trades, among others, in a form it filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.Calpers declined to comment on the investment changes. The pension managed $440 billion in assets as of June 30, the end of its fiscal year. At that time, Calpers estimated that its funded status was 72% -- meaning it had 72 cents on hand for every dollar of obligation. That's actually better than average. A study by the Pew Charitable Trusts using 2020 data showed that state pensions were 69.5% funded, on average.The pension bought 5.4 million more Apple shares to end the third quarter with 35.3 million shares of the iPhone maker. Apple stock slid 22% in the first nine months of the year, compared with a 25% drop in the S&P 500 index. So far in the fourth quarter, shares are up 8.3% compared with an 11% rise in the index.Apple's results for the quarter ended in September, disclosed in late October, were slightly better than expected. The company also stepped up stock repurchases to a record. But earlier this month, Apple warned that iPhone production was being disrupted by Covid-19 restrictions in China, sending shares sliding.Meanwhile, Intel has been hurt by the winding down of the pandemic because a a surge in demand for better computers triggered by the shift to working from home has faded away, cutting into demand for semiconductors. Management issued a disappointing financial forecast late in October, overshadowing the chip giant's third-quarter report. Also late last month, Intel spun off its autonomous-car unit Mobileye $(MBLY)$.Calpers bought 1.7 million additional Intel shares to end the third quarter with 11.1 million shares. Intel stock plunged 50% in the first nine months of 2022, and so far in the fourth quarter shares are up 18%.The pension also bought 2.3 million more Microsoft shares in the quarter to lift its investment to 18.9 million shares of the software giant. Microsoft stock tumbled 31% in the first nine months of the year, and so far in the fourth quarter shares are up 6.1%.Microsoft shares slipped in late October after it reported quarterly growth in its cloud segment that disappointed analysts and investors. Management's financial guidance also fell short. Earlier this month, a trade group filed an antitrust suit against Microsoft with the European Commission, alleging anticompetitive behavior. Its pending acquisition of game publisher Activision Blizzard $(ATVI)$ continues to await antitrust approvals.GE, on the other hand, is pursuing a strategy to split into three, a process set to start next year. One segment will be dedicated to aviation, another to power generation, and a third to healthcare. The conglomerate's third-quarter earnings, reported at the end of October, included one-time items, and reduced forecasts, but analysts were pleased by what they saw.Calpers bought 396,145 more GE shares to end the third quarter with 2.5 million. GE stock slid 34% in the first nine months of the year. So far in the fourth quarter, the stock is up 39%, propelled by a favorable climate for so-called cyclical stocks, those that perform well when the economy is gaining strength. A reading of lower-than-expected inflation last week might mean the Federal Reserve can ease off on interest-rate hikes.Inside Scoop is a regular Barron's feature covering stock transactions by corporate executives and board members -- so-called insiders -- as well as large shareholders, politicians, and other prominent figures. Due to their insider status, these investors are required to disclose stock trades with the Securities and Exchange Commission or other regulatory groups.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960479541,"gmtCreate":1668235786984,"gmtModify":1676538032989,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960479541","repostId":"2282487043","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282487043","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668213163,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282487043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-12 08:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Nasdaq and S&P 500 End Higher, Fueled By Inflation Optimism","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282487043","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Growth stocks lead value, Nasdaq rallies* Nasdaq and S&P 500 gain for second dayNov 11 (Reuters) -","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Growth stocks lead value, Nasdaq rallies</p><p>* Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 gain for second day</p><p>Nov 11 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading raised hopes the Federal Reserve would get less aggressive with U.S. interest rate hikes.</p><p>Amazon jumped, with Apple and Microsoft also making gains and contributing to the Nasdaq&#39;s strong gain.</p><p>On Thursday, the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq racked up their biggest daily percentage gains in more than 2-1/2 years as annual inflation slipped below 8% for the first time in eight months.</p><p>Declines in healthcare stocks weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, with UnitedHealth Group down for the day.</p><p>&#34;What we&#39;re really seeing today is simply a follow-through on yesterday. There&#39;s a lot of cash sitting on the sidelines that is being put to work,&#34; said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls &amp; Snyder in New York.</p><p>&#34;Perhaps it signals some type of bottom being put in the market, some type of line drawn in the sand. But even if we put in a bottom, we&#39;re a long way away from setting new highs,” Ghriskey said.</p><p>Investors see an 81% chance of a 50-basis point rate hike in December and a 19% chance of a 75-basis point hike, according to CME Fedwatch tool.</p><p>Adding some nervousness on Wall Street, crypto exchange FTX said it would start U.S. bankruptcy proceedings and that CEO Sam Bankman-Fried resigned due to a liquidity crisis that prompted intervention from regulators around the world.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 36.56 points, or 0.92%, to end at 3,992.93 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 209.18 points, or 1.88%, to 11,323.33. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 32.49 points, or 0.1%, to 33,747.86.</p><p>Worries about an economic downturn have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500 remains down about 16% year to date, on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies rose, with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd gaining after China eased some of its strict COVID-19 rules.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Nasdaq and S&P 500 End Higher, Fueled By Inflation Optimism</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Nasdaq and S&P 500 End Higher, Fueled By Inflation Optimism\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-12 08:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Growth stocks lead value, Nasdaq rallies</p><p>* Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 gain for second day</p><p>Nov 11 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading raised hopes the Federal Reserve would get less aggressive with U.S. interest rate hikes.</p><p>Amazon jumped, with Apple and Microsoft also making gains and contributing to the Nasdaq&#39;s strong gain.</p><p>On Thursday, the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq racked up their biggest daily percentage gains in more than 2-1/2 years as annual inflation slipped below 8% for the first time in eight months.</p><p>Declines in healthcare stocks weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, with UnitedHealth Group down for the day.</p><p>&#34;What we&#39;re really seeing today is simply a follow-through on yesterday. There&#39;s a lot of cash sitting on the sidelines that is being put to work,&#34; said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls &amp; Snyder in New York.</p><p>&#34;Perhaps it signals some type of bottom being put in the market, some type of line drawn in the sand. But even if we put in a bottom, we&#39;re a long way away from setting new highs,” Ghriskey said.</p><p>Investors see an 81% chance of a 50-basis point rate hike in December and a 19% chance of a 75-basis point hike, according to CME Fedwatch tool.</p><p>Adding some nervousness on Wall Street, crypto exchange FTX said it would start U.S. bankruptcy proceedings and that CEO Sam Bankman-Fried resigned due to a liquidity crisis that prompted intervention from regulators around the world.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 36.56 points, or 0.92%, to end at 3,992.93 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 209.18 points, or 1.88%, to 11,323.33. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 32.49 points, or 0.1%, to 33,747.86.</p><p>Worries about an economic downturn have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500 remains down about 16% year to date, on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies rose, with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd gaining after China eased some of its strict COVID-19 rules.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UNH":"联合健康","BABA":"阿里巴巴","AAPL":"苹果",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MSFT":"微软","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282487043","content_text":"* Growth stocks lead value, Nasdaq rallies* Nasdaq and S&P 500 gain for second dayNov 11 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading raised hopes the Federal Reserve would get less aggressive with U.S. interest rate hikes.Amazon jumped, with Apple and Microsoft also making gains and contributing to the Nasdaq's strong gain.On Thursday, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq racked up their biggest daily percentage gains in more than 2-1/2 years as annual inflation slipped below 8% for the first time in eight months.Declines in healthcare stocks weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, with UnitedHealth Group down for the day.\"What we're really seeing today is simply a follow-through on yesterday. There's a lot of cash sitting on the sidelines that is being put to work,\" said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder in New York.\"Perhaps it signals some type of bottom being put in the market, some type of line drawn in the sand. But even if we put in a bottom, we're a long way away from setting new highs,” Ghriskey said.Investors see an 81% chance of a 50-basis point rate hike in December and a 19% chance of a 75-basis point hike, according to CME Fedwatch tool.Adding some nervousness on Wall Street, crypto exchange FTX said it would start U.S. bankruptcy proceedings and that CEO Sam Bankman-Fried resigned due to a liquidity crisis that prompted intervention from regulators around the world.The S&P 500 gained 36.56 points, or 0.92%, to end at 3,992.93 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 209.18 points, or 1.88%, to 11,323.33. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 32.49 points, or 0.1%, to 33,747.86.Worries about an economic downturn have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 remains down about 16% year to date, on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies rose, with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd gaining after China eased some of its strict COVID-19 rules.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960202360,"gmtCreate":1668159014450,"gmtModify":1676538022542,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gd","listText":"Gd","text":"Gd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960202360","repostId":"1129448010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129448010","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668180841,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129448010?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 23:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129448010","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI)","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).</li><li>All Items and Core CPI inflation were significantly below expectations.</li><li>Results were significantly impacted by &#34;one-off&#34; results in a few volatile items.</li><li>Overall, the report should be received with &#34;relief&#34; by bond and equity markets.  This month’s CPI should provide a &#34;window of opportunity&#34; - all other factors remaining equal - for bond and stock markets to rally between now and the next CPI report.</li></ul><p><b>Summary Data and Analysis</b></p><p>Figure 1 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s All Items CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 1: All Items: Change, Acceleration, Expectations &amp; Surprise</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac944013c561cbd51419e48b3b0191d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>All Items CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>As can be seen above, All-Items CPI decelerated significantly and significantly surprised to the downside.</p><p>Figure 2 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s Core CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 2: Core: Change, Acceleration, Expectations &amp; Surprise</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f264b104d5a955d3fb515054f5dece2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Core CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>As can be seen above, Core CPI also decelerated significantly, providing a significant downside surprise.</p><p><b>Analysis of Contributions of Key Aggregate Components of CPI</b></p><p>In Figure 3, we display the contributions to CPI inflation of five major aggregate components to the MoM (month-over-month) change in CPI and the MoM acceleration of CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 3: Analysis of Key Aggregate Components of CPI</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c424208ff68f6001105ee86af25625a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"231\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Aggregate CPI Component Analysis(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>We will briefly review how to interpret the table above (as well as other tables in this report), describing each column from left to right. The first column contains the MoM percent change for the current month. The second column contains the MoM percent change in the prior month. The third column contains the MoM acceleration – i.e. the difference between the percent change this month minus the percent change last month. The fourth column contains the Cumulative Contribution to the percent MoM change of CPI. This describes exactly how much each component contributed to the cumulative All Items MoM percent change in CPI. The sum of the values in this column will yield the MoM percent change of All Items CPI (with minor discrepancy due to rounding). Finally, the rightmost column contains the Cumulative Contribution to MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. The sum of the contributions in this column adds up to the MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. Although all five columns provide important information, we recommend that readers pay special attention to the rightmost column (Cumulative Contribution to Acceleration) as it reveals exactly what drove the MoM acceleration/deceleration in CPI during the current month compared to the prior month.</p><p>As can be seen in the table above, Core Services ex Housing and Core Goods decelerated very significantly, accounting for most of the overall deceleration in CPI. More details will be provided below.</p><p><b>Analysis of CPI Components that Contributed Most to Change &amp; Acceleration of CPI</b></p><p>In the following section, we perform the same contribution analysis as above, but at a more granular level of detail. In Figure 4 below, we list the top 10 CPI components (most granular level) that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM percent change in All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM change in each component as well as the weight of each component in All Items CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 4: Top Contributors to MoM Percent Change</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c5eb11c7ef16be2432eb9d0345e7896\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Top CPI Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>One thing that emerges from this analysis is that a significant share of the deceleration of core CPI this month came from relatively volatile items, that might be considered &#34;one-offs&#34;. For example, the significant decline in new and used car prices and health insurance may not be representative of core inflationary dynamics.</p><p>In Figure 5 below, we list the top 10 CPI components, at the most granular level, that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM acceleration (expressed in percent change) of All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM accelerations in the components as well as the weight of each component All Items CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 5: Top Contributors to MoM Acceleration</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12530cb431b76e29e34a948288b58b42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Top CPI Acceleration Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>As can be seen above, new and used cars, utilities and health insurance accounted for 0.26% of CPI deceleration -- the lion-share of deceleration and &#34;surprise&#34; for the month.</p><p>Also, somewhat notable, was the deceleration in Owner&#39;s Equivalent rent as well as Rent of Primary Residence -- both decelerating by 0.1% relative to last month. This indicates that housing inflation may possibly have peaked for this cycle and could be headed in a downward direction.</p><p>It is worthwhile to examine tables 4 and 5 above carefully as they are likely to include most or all of the items which surprised forecasters during the month.</p><p><b>Top Movers</b></p><p>In Figure 6 below, for general interest purposes, we show the components with the largest positive and negative MoM change (%). The YoY change in these particular components is to the right.</p><p><b>Figure 6: Top Movers MoM Percent Change</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d770ddfdf887ba1577ae1e942d27d45e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Top CPI Movers(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p><b>Implications for Policy and Economic Performance</b></p><p>In this section, we review the potential implications of this month’s CPI report on policy (monetary &amp; or fiscal) and the overall outlook for the US economy.</p><p><b>Impact on Policy.</b> On the margin, this month’s deceleration of All-Items and Core CPI incrementally decreases pressure on the Fed to tighten overall financial conditions more than markets have expected. In fact, today’s numbers may tend to lower market expectations regarding how much (“terminal rate”), how fast and for how long the Fed may increase the Federal Funds interest rate.</p><p><b>Impact on Economic Performance.</b> On the margin, the numbers may lead to speculation that inflation has peaked and is heading down in the intermediate term. This will take pressure off of interest rates across the economy such as mortgage interest rates. This could alleviate some of the headwinds that the economy has recently been experiencing, particularly in interest rate sensitive sectors.</p><p><b>Potential Financial Markets’ Impact</b></p><p>The CPI report, on the margin, will likely decrease risk perceptions regarding the probability of the Fed being forced to tighten monetary policy to a degree that would induce recession. In particular, market expectations of the Fed’s so-called “terminal rate” may decrease. This would cause the cost of financing across the economy to decrease and overall financial conditions to ease somewhat. This should provide a positive boost for both bond and equity markets.</p><p>This month&#39;s report may provide a “window of opportunity” for bonds and stocks to rise during the next month, until the next CPI report comes out.</p><p>I would caution that the internal details of this report, although generally positive, may not be quite as bullish as they appear on the surface. Much of the deceleration in both All-Items CPI and Core CPI was due to a few volatile components, which may not be representative of underlying inflationary trends. Still, this is the best news on inflation that the market has had in quite a while, and a significant relief rally in stocks and bonds can probably be expected.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-11 23:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555901-cpi-relief-for-markets-but-only-moderately-bullish><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).All Items and Core CPI inflation were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555901-cpi-relief-for-markets-but-only-moderately-bullish\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555901-cpi-relief-for-markets-but-only-moderately-bullish","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129448010","content_text":"SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).All Items and Core CPI inflation were significantly below expectations.Results were significantly impacted by \"one-off\" results in a few volatile items.Overall, the report should be received with \"relief\" by bond and equity markets.  This month’s CPI should provide a \"window of opportunity\" - all other factors remaining equal - for bond and stock markets to rally between now and the next CPI report.Summary Data and AnalysisFigure 1 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s All Items CPI.Figure 1: All Items: Change, Acceleration, Expectations & SurpriseAll Items CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor AcumenAs can be seen above, All-Items CPI decelerated significantly and significantly surprised to the downside.Figure 2 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s Core CPI.Figure 2: Core: Change, Acceleration, Expectations & SurpriseCore CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor AcumenAs can be seen above, Core CPI also decelerated significantly, providing a significant downside surprise.Analysis of Contributions of Key Aggregate Components of CPIIn Figure 3, we display the contributions to CPI inflation of five major aggregate components to the MoM (month-over-month) change in CPI and the MoM acceleration of CPI.Figure 3: Analysis of Key Aggregate Components of CPIAggregate CPI Component Analysis(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenWe will briefly review how to interpret the table above (as well as other tables in this report), describing each column from left to right. The first column contains the MoM percent change for the current month. The second column contains the MoM percent change in the prior month. The third column contains the MoM acceleration – i.e. the difference between the percent change this month minus the percent change last month. The fourth column contains the Cumulative Contribution to the percent MoM change of CPI. This describes exactly how much each component contributed to the cumulative All Items MoM percent change in CPI. The sum of the values in this column will yield the MoM percent change of All Items CPI (with minor discrepancy due to rounding). Finally, the rightmost column contains the Cumulative Contribution to MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. The sum of the contributions in this column adds up to the MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. Although all five columns provide important information, we recommend that readers pay special attention to the rightmost column (Cumulative Contribution to Acceleration) as it reveals exactly what drove the MoM acceleration/deceleration in CPI during the current month compared to the prior month.As can be seen in the table above, Core Services ex Housing and Core Goods decelerated very significantly, accounting for most of the overall deceleration in CPI. More details will be provided below.Analysis of CPI Components that Contributed Most to Change & Acceleration of CPIIn the following section, we perform the same contribution analysis as above, but at a more granular level of detail. In Figure 4 below, we list the top 10 CPI components (most granular level) that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM percent change in All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM change in each component as well as the weight of each component in All Items CPI.Figure 4: Top Contributors to MoM Percent ChangeTop CPI Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenOne thing that emerges from this analysis is that a significant share of the deceleration of core CPI this month came from relatively volatile items, that might be considered \"one-offs\". For example, the significant decline in new and used car prices and health insurance may not be representative of core inflationary dynamics.In Figure 5 below, we list the top 10 CPI components, at the most granular level, that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM acceleration (expressed in percent change) of All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM accelerations in the components as well as the weight of each component All Items CPI.Figure 5: Top Contributors to MoM AccelerationTop CPI Acceleration Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenAs can be seen above, new and used cars, utilities and health insurance accounted for 0.26% of CPI deceleration -- the lion-share of deceleration and \"surprise\" for the month.Also, somewhat notable, was the deceleration in Owner's Equivalent rent as well as Rent of Primary Residence -- both decelerating by 0.1% relative to last month. This indicates that housing inflation may possibly have peaked for this cycle and could be headed in a downward direction.It is worthwhile to examine tables 4 and 5 above carefully as they are likely to include most or all of the items which surprised forecasters during the month.Top MoversIn Figure 6 below, for general interest purposes, we show the components with the largest positive and negative MoM change (%). The YoY change in these particular components is to the right.Figure 6: Top Movers MoM Percent ChangeTop CPI Movers(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenImplications for Policy and Economic PerformanceIn this section, we review the potential implications of this month’s CPI report on policy (monetary & or fiscal) and the overall outlook for the US economy.Impact on Policy. On the margin, this month’s deceleration of All-Items and Core CPI incrementally decreases pressure on the Fed to tighten overall financial conditions more than markets have expected. In fact, today’s numbers may tend to lower market expectations regarding how much (“terminal rate”), how fast and for how long the Fed may increase the Federal Funds interest rate.Impact on Economic Performance. On the margin, the numbers may lead to speculation that inflation has peaked and is heading down in the intermediate term. This will take pressure off of interest rates across the economy such as mortgage interest rates. This could alleviate some of the headwinds that the economy has recently been experiencing, particularly in interest rate sensitive sectors.Potential Financial Markets’ ImpactThe CPI report, on the margin, will likely decrease risk perceptions regarding the probability of the Fed being forced to tighten monetary policy to a degree that would induce recession. In particular, market expectations of the Fed’s so-called “terminal rate” may decrease. This would cause the cost of financing across the economy to decrease and overall financial conditions to ease somewhat. This should provide a positive boost for both bond and equity markets.This month's report may provide a “window of opportunity” for bonds and stocks to rise during the next month, until the next CPI report comes out.I would caution that the internal details of this report, although generally positive, may not be quite as bullish as they appear on the surface. Much of the deceleration in both All-Items CPI and Core CPI was due to a few volatile components, which may not be representative of underlying inflationary trends. Still, this is the best news on inflation that the market has had in quite a while, and a significant relief rally in stocks and bonds can probably be expected.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964125390,"gmtCreate":1670113050810,"gmtModify":1676538303053,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goood ne","listText":"Goood ne","text":"Goood ne","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964125390","repostId":"1152464265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152464265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670022054,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152464265?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152464265","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8b5a354d9d687bd95cdff74dddc508\" tg-width=\"1214\" tg-height=\"811\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.</p><p>“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.</p><p>This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’s<i>Charging Bull</i>statue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.</p><p>Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)</p><p>“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”</p><p>But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at a<i>New York Times</i>conference and an interview on<i>Good Morning America</i>. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b2ba9ef6da8454146f200cdc460f6e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Bankman-Fried after an interview on<i>Bloomberg Wealth With David Rubenstein</i>on Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg</p><p>He doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.</p><p>It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith a<i>Vox</i>reporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” the<i>Vox</i>reporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.</p><p>I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.</p><p>To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messaged<i>Vox</i>, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.</p><p>I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”</p><p>“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”</p><p>That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he got<i>un</i>lucky, or miscalculated the odds.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end of<i>Scarface</i>, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.</p><p>Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.</p><p>The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.</p><p>Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.</p><p>“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”</p><p>The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)</p><p>The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.</p><p>The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”</p><p>“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.</p><p>Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.</p><p>That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.</p><p>As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,<i>Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.</i>Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.</p><p>The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.</p><p>Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.</p><p>But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”</p><p>“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”</p><p>Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.</p><p>The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.</p><p>There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)</p><p>When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.</p><p>“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)</p><p>“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”</p><p>“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.</p><p>“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”</p><p>I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.</p><p>“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”</p><p>“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.</p><p>“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.</p><p>“So what’s the problem, then?”</p><p>Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.</p><p>“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.</p><p>“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.</p><p>“That’s correct. Yes.”</p><p>“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.</p><p>“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.</p><p>That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.</p><p>To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.</p><p>Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.</p><p>It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”</p><p>“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.</p><p>With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.</p><p>The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this big<i>Wolf of Wall Street</i>thing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87535c118f069e782e80762398d0a9c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg Businessweek</p><p>By the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.</p><p>I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.</p><p>“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”</p><p>I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.</p><p>I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.</p><p>“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”</p><p>“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”</p><p>To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”</p><p>“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”</p><p>“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.</p><p>By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152464265","content_text":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’sCharging Bullstatue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at aNew York Timesconference and an interview onGood Morning America. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?Bankman-Fried after an interview onBloomberg Wealth With David Rubensteinon Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/BloombergHe doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith aVoxreporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” theVoxreporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messagedVox, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he gotunlucky, or miscalculated the odds.Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end ofScarface, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.“So what’s the problem, then?”Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.“That’s correct. Yes.”“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this bigWolf of Wall Streetthing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg BusinessweekBy the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963857980,"gmtCreate":1668649691941,"gmtModify":1676538090526,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963857980","repostId":"1126477238","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126477238","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668642961,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126477238?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-17 07:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Republicans Win Control of the US House With Narrow Margin","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126477238","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Republicans won back control of the US House but by a far narrower margin than they predicted, a sig","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Republicans won back control of the US House but by a far narrower margin than they predicted, a significant disappointment for a party that for weeks had been anticipating a major victory that would lay the groundwork for the 2024 presidential election.</p><p>More than a week after Election Day and with several seats still not called, the party gained the 218 seats needed to control the chamber, the Associated Press reported on Wednesday night.</p><p>Despite concerns about President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy and the prospects of the country tipping into a recession, voters delivered a split verdict in the Nov. 8 midterm elections on who was to blame and how much weight to put on other issues, such as abortion rights and threats to democracy.</p><p>The slender majority nonetheless gives the GOP power over the House investigative committees with subpoena authority to investigate Biden’s cabinet and his relatives as well as Silicon Valley businesses that conservatives have claimed are biased against them.</p><p>Republicans also have promised to slash government spending, expand fossil fuel production and extend Trump-era tax cuts on the wealthy. Much of that agenda, however, will be left to wither in the Democratic-controlled Senate.</p><p>The Senate remained in Democratic hands after John Fetterman won what had been a Republican seat in Pennsylvania and incumbents Mark Kelly and Catherine Cortez Masto were declared the winners in Arizona and Nevada in the days after the election.</p><p>The Senate race in Georgia between Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent, and Herschel Walker, the Republican, will be decided in a Dec. 6 runoff.</p><p>The GOP House majority will stall much of Biden’s remaining agenda, but their advantage was one of the smallest gained by either party in a midterm election in modern times.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Republicans Win Control of the US House With Narrow Margin</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRepublicans Win Control of the US House With Narrow Margin\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-17 07:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-16/republicans-win-control-of-the-us-house-with-narrow-margin><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Republicans won back control of the US House but by a far narrower margin than they predicted, a significant disappointment for a party that for weeks had been anticipating a major victory that would ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-16/republicans-win-control-of-the-us-house-with-narrow-margin\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-16/republicans-win-control-of-the-us-house-with-narrow-margin","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126477238","content_text":"Republicans won back control of the US House but by a far narrower margin than they predicted, a significant disappointment for a party that for weeks had been anticipating a major victory that would lay the groundwork for the 2024 presidential election.More than a week after Election Day and with several seats still not called, the party gained the 218 seats needed to control the chamber, the Associated Press reported on Wednesday night.Despite concerns about President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy and the prospects of the country tipping into a recession, voters delivered a split verdict in the Nov. 8 midterm elections on who was to blame and how much weight to put on other issues, such as abortion rights and threats to democracy.The slender majority nonetheless gives the GOP power over the House investigative committees with subpoena authority to investigate Biden’s cabinet and his relatives as well as Silicon Valley businesses that conservatives have claimed are biased against them.Republicans also have promised to slash government spending, expand fossil fuel production and extend Trump-era tax cuts on the wealthy. Much of that agenda, however, will be left to wither in the Democratic-controlled Senate.The Senate remained in Democratic hands after John Fetterman won what had been a Republican seat in Pennsylvania and incumbents Mark Kelly and Catherine Cortez Masto were declared the winners in Arizona and Nevada in the days after the election.The Senate race in Georgia between Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent, and Herschel Walker, the Republican, will be decided in a Dec. 6 runoff.The GOP House majority will stall much of Biden’s remaining agenda, but their advantage was one of the smallest gained by either party in a midterm election in modern times.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969398863,"gmtCreate":1668344361753,"gmtModify":1676538043367,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be","listText":"Be","text":"Be","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969398863","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF  that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday  - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&amp;P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&amp;P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&amp;P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let&#39;s first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&amp;P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&amp;P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed&#39;s monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed&#39;s tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It&#39;s true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether &#34;something will break&#34; during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&amp;P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don&#39;t count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don&#39;t expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It&#39;s a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of &#34;things breaking&#34; like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the &#34;in-between periods&#34;, so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don&#39;t think anybody expects this over the near term. Don&#39;t fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984768175,"gmtCreate":1667747491398,"gmtModify":1676537958312,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984768175","repostId":"1179650981","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179650981","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667698820,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179650981?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-06 09:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chaos, Confusion at Twitter in Elon Musk’s First Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179650981","media":"wall street journal","summary":"He said he gave a copy of the cartoon to Mr. Musk.On Monday, Mr. Cornet said he was summoned to work on new projects. Two days later, he received an email that read, in part: “We regret to inform you that your employment is terminated effective immediately. Your recent behavior has violated multiple policies.”He said he wasn’t sure which policies he had violated. He added that he had recently created a browser extension for downloading work emails, which he believed would help colleagues save im","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf6c671c81ce0cff97e0f1328b85621\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Inside Twitter Inc. in the week after Elon Musk took it over, almost no one seemed to know for sure what was going on.</p><p>As Mr. Musk opined and joked on the platform about possible product changes, the mood among many inside the company was anxious and grim, according to interviews with employees. The one thing that seemed certain to employees was thatmany of them would soon lose their jobs, they said.</p><p>Late Thursday,the ax started falling, as the company hacked away large parts of the workforce of roughly 7,500 people, aiming to reduce costs and reshape Twitter to align with Mr. Musk’s vision. Befitting a platform built for real-time reaction, staffers tweeted as they lost access to company Slack and email accounts, not knowing for sure if that meant they were fired until official termination notices were sent on Friday morning.</p><p>The mass layoffs were the culmination of a dizzying week under Mr. Musk’s leadership, in which employees tried to adjust to his frenetic working style as their own futures at the company were in doubt. In internal messages and public posts, workers confronted the chaos with a mixture of anguish and wry jokes.</p><p>One programmer,Sheon Han, tweeted a picture of the Twitter logo next to a head of lettuce, in a spoof on theU.K. tabloid stuntto see if an unrefrigerated head of lettuce would last longer than Prime MinisterLiz Truss. In the case of Ms. Truss, the lettuce won.</p><p>“My employee login @Twitter vs. Lettuce,” Mr. Han tweeted on Wednesday night, adding, “Let’s goooooooooo.”</p><p>Mr. Han declined to provide comment about his employment status Friday.</p><p>Manu Cornet, a 41-year-old software engineer, said he was among the employees who met Mr. Musk at Twitter’s San Francisco headquarters in the billionaire’s first days as the self-styled “Chief Twit.”</p><p>Mr. Cornet, also an artist, had drawn a cartoon of a man who had accidentally broken a figurine of a bird resembling the Twitter logo, with another man saying: “You break it, you buy it!” He said he gave a copy of the cartoon to Mr. Musk.</p><p>On Monday, Mr. Cornet said he was summoned to work on new projects. Two days later, he received an email that read, in part: “We regret to inform you that your employment is terminated effective immediately. Your recent behavior has violated multiple policies.”</p><p>He said he wasn’t sure which policies he had violated. He added that he had recently created a browser extension for downloading work emails, which he believed would help colleagues save important documents in case they got laid off.</p><p>Mr. Cornet is among agroup of employees who filed a lawsuit against Twitterin San Francisco federal court accusing the company of violating federal and state law by not providing the legally required warning in advance of mass layoffs.</p><p>Twitter representatives didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In an email late Thursday telling employees that they would be informed the following morning if they were fired, the company said the layoffs were “an effort to place Twitter on a healthy path.”</p><p>Mr. Musk, in a tweet late Friday, said: “Regarding Twitter’s reduction in force, unfortunately there is no choice when the company is losing over $4M/day.” He said affected employees were offered three months of severance.</p><p>On Saturday, Twitter co-founderJack Dorsey, who stepped down as CEO last year and who supported Mr. Musk’s acquisition, tweeted saying he took responsibility for growing the company too quickly. “I apologize for that,” he wrote.</p><p>Employees trickled out of Twitter steadily in the months after Mr. Musk’s $44 billion deal in April to buy the company, anxious about how things would play out. As Mr. Musk began to get cold feet, helashed out publicly at Twitter leadersincluding then-CEOParag Agrawal, fueling tension among many employees. Mr. Musk waged a monthslong legal battle to escape the deal before finally agreeing, again, to buy the platform last month.</p><p>As the billionaire completed the takeoveron Oct. 27, Mr. Agrawal and several other top executives were fired immediately. That was followed by media reports ofplanning for broad layoffs. Fears grew among many employees that Mr. Musk could try to cut jobs before a Nov. 1 stock vesting date, employees said. In a tweet after taking over, Mr. Musk denied that he would do so.</p><p>That meant employees’ grants were expected to be paid as cash at $54.20 a share, the price Mr. Musk paid for the company, according to SEC filings. The price represented a healthy premium over what Twitter had been valued at before the acquisition, creating a substantial windfall for employees with equity holdings.</p><p>Shortly after Mr. Musk’s takeover, Twitter managers were told to draw up lists evaluating staffers—essentially deciding who might stay and who might get fired, according to people familiar with the matter. Some employees referred to Mr. Musk’s allies as “goons,” they said.</p><p>The frustration among some employees was amplified, some of them said, byTesla engineers being brought into examine Twitter employees’ coding work. The Twitter employees believed those evaluations were being factored into the layoff plans, the people said.</p><p>The specifics of when the layoffs would come, and on what scale, were closely guarded.</p><p>One senior employee said that even information communicated to the inner circle was unreliable and contradictory. “The chaos level is so high,” the employee said.</p><p>Mr. Musk gathered acircle of advisers to help him reshape Twitter, including venture-capitalistsJason CalacanisandSriram Krishnan, also a former Twitter product leader. Meanwhile, Mr. Musk fired off tweets about various business possibilities. Employees were given days to develop new products, and plans appeared to change.</p><p>This rapid-fire approach to product development was a radical departure from the development style at the old Twitter, where any new products were closely studied to gauge how they would affect usage rates and other potential impacts.</p><p>Mr. Musk’s plan includes changing the platform byexpanding user verificationand improvingthe subscription offeringsto become less reliant on advertisers. He also discussed adding ways for content creators to make money on the platform so that they could earn a living on it, the way creators do on TikTok and YouTube.</p><p>Mr. Musk at one point tweeted a poll asking whether he should bring back Vine, the short-video service that Twitter shut down in 2016. The company has discussed relaunching a version of Vine by the end of the year, according to one employee.</p><p>Soon after the email to all employees went out Thursday, a staffer posted to the company’s internal Slack channel wishing everyone well and concluding with the “saluting face” emoji, according to employees.</p><p>That kicked off an hourslong series of such salutes from hundreds of Twitter employees. It eventually spilled into public tweets, with the saluting emoji becoming a symbol of the end of the pre-Musk version of the company. “There was this weird sense of celebration,” one employee said. “We were all together marking the ending of this thing.”</p></body></html>","source":"wsj_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chaos, Confusion at Twitter in Elon Musk’s First Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChaos, Confusion at Twitter in Elon Musk’s First Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-06 09:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/first-week-of-elon-musks-twitter-was-chaos-and-confusion-for-employees-11667670558?mod=hp_lead_pos1><strong>wall street journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Inside Twitter Inc. in the week after Elon Musk took it over, almost no one seemed to know for sure what was going on.As Mr. Musk opined and joked on the platform about possible product changes, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/first-week-of-elon-musks-twitter-was-chaos-and-confusion-for-employees-11667670558?mod=hp_lead_pos1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/first-week-of-elon-musks-twitter-was-chaos-and-confusion-for-employees-11667670558?mod=hp_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179650981","content_text":"Inside Twitter Inc. in the week after Elon Musk took it over, almost no one seemed to know for sure what was going on.As Mr. Musk opined and joked on the platform about possible product changes, the mood among many inside the company was anxious and grim, according to interviews with employees. The one thing that seemed certain to employees was thatmany of them would soon lose their jobs, they said.Late Thursday,the ax started falling, as the company hacked away large parts of the workforce of roughly 7,500 people, aiming to reduce costs and reshape Twitter to align with Mr. Musk’s vision. Befitting a platform built for real-time reaction, staffers tweeted as they lost access to company Slack and email accounts, not knowing for sure if that meant they were fired until official termination notices were sent on Friday morning.The mass layoffs were the culmination of a dizzying week under Mr. Musk’s leadership, in which employees tried to adjust to his frenetic working style as their own futures at the company were in doubt. In internal messages and public posts, workers confronted the chaos with a mixture of anguish and wry jokes.One programmer,Sheon Han, tweeted a picture of the Twitter logo next to a head of lettuce, in a spoof on theU.K. tabloid stuntto see if an unrefrigerated head of lettuce would last longer than Prime MinisterLiz Truss. In the case of Ms. Truss, the lettuce won.“My employee login @Twitter vs. Lettuce,” Mr. Han tweeted on Wednesday night, adding, “Let’s goooooooooo.”Mr. Han declined to provide comment about his employment status Friday.Manu Cornet, a 41-year-old software engineer, said he was among the employees who met Mr. Musk at Twitter’s San Francisco headquarters in the billionaire’s first days as the self-styled “Chief Twit.”Mr. Cornet, also an artist, had drawn a cartoon of a man who had accidentally broken a figurine of a bird resembling the Twitter logo, with another man saying: “You break it, you buy it!” He said he gave a copy of the cartoon to Mr. Musk.On Monday, Mr. Cornet said he was summoned to work on new projects. Two days later, he received an email that read, in part: “We regret to inform you that your employment is terminated effective immediately. Your recent behavior has violated multiple policies.”He said he wasn’t sure which policies he had violated. He added that he had recently created a browser extension for downloading work emails, which he believed would help colleagues save important documents in case they got laid off.Mr. Cornet is among agroup of employees who filed a lawsuit against Twitterin San Francisco federal court accusing the company of violating federal and state law by not providing the legally required warning in advance of mass layoffs.Twitter representatives didn’t respond to requests for comment.In an email late Thursday telling employees that they would be informed the following morning if they were fired, the company said the layoffs were “an effort to place Twitter on a healthy path.”Mr. Musk, in a tweet late Friday, said: “Regarding Twitter’s reduction in force, unfortunately there is no choice when the company is losing over $4M/day.” He said affected employees were offered three months of severance.On Saturday, Twitter co-founderJack Dorsey, who stepped down as CEO last year and who supported Mr. Musk’s acquisition, tweeted saying he took responsibility for growing the company too quickly. “I apologize for that,” he wrote.Employees trickled out of Twitter steadily in the months after Mr. Musk’s $44 billion deal in April to buy the company, anxious about how things would play out. As Mr. Musk began to get cold feet, helashed out publicly at Twitter leadersincluding then-CEOParag Agrawal, fueling tension among many employees. Mr. Musk waged a monthslong legal battle to escape the deal before finally agreeing, again, to buy the platform last month.As the billionaire completed the takeoveron Oct. 27, Mr. Agrawal and several other top executives were fired immediately. That was followed by media reports ofplanning for broad layoffs. Fears grew among many employees that Mr. Musk could try to cut jobs before a Nov. 1 stock vesting date, employees said. In a tweet after taking over, Mr. Musk denied that he would do so.That meant employees’ grants were expected to be paid as cash at $54.20 a share, the price Mr. Musk paid for the company, according to SEC filings. The price represented a healthy premium over what Twitter had been valued at before the acquisition, creating a substantial windfall for employees with equity holdings.Shortly after Mr. Musk’s takeover, Twitter managers were told to draw up lists evaluating staffers—essentially deciding who might stay and who might get fired, according to people familiar with the matter. Some employees referred to Mr. Musk’s allies as “goons,” they said.The frustration among some employees was amplified, some of them said, byTesla engineers being brought into examine Twitter employees’ coding work. The Twitter employees believed those evaluations were being factored into the layoff plans, the people said.The specifics of when the layoffs would come, and on what scale, were closely guarded.One senior employee said that even information communicated to the inner circle was unreliable and contradictory. “The chaos level is so high,” the employee said.Mr. Musk gathered acircle of advisers to help him reshape Twitter, including venture-capitalistsJason CalacanisandSriram Krishnan, also a former Twitter product leader. Meanwhile, Mr. Musk fired off tweets about various business possibilities. Employees were given days to develop new products, and plans appeared to change.This rapid-fire approach to product development was a radical departure from the development style at the old Twitter, where any new products were closely studied to gauge how they would affect usage rates and other potential impacts.Mr. Musk’s plan includes changing the platform byexpanding user verificationand improvingthe subscription offeringsto become less reliant on advertisers. He also discussed adding ways for content creators to make money on the platform so that they could earn a living on it, the way creators do on TikTok and YouTube.Mr. Musk at one point tweeted a poll asking whether he should bring back Vine, the short-video service that Twitter shut down in 2016. The company has discussed relaunching a version of Vine by the end of the year, according to one employee.Soon after the email to all employees went out Thursday, a staffer posted to the company’s internal Slack channel wishing everyone well and concluding with the “saluting face” emoji, according to employees.That kicked off an hourslong series of such salutes from hundreds of Twitter employees. It eventually spilled into public tweets, with the saluting emoji becoming a symbol of the end of the pre-Musk version of the company. “There was this weird sense of celebration,” one employee said. “We were all together marking the ending of this thing.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929450257,"gmtCreate":1670723356680,"gmtModify":1676538422971,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929450257","repostId":"1151053281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151053281","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670721680,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151053281?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-11 09:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Look Back at Cathie Wood's Disastrous Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151053281","media":"TheStreet","summary":"What went right and what (mostly) went wrong for the prominent asset manager Cathie Wood at Ark Investment.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Celebrity money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Management, has offered plenty of interesting ideas about the economy and stock market this year.</p><p>But for her clients, Mama Cathie, as her fans call her, hasn’t delivered much in the way of returns. Indeed Ark’s exchange-traded funds have generated sharp losses in 2022.</p><p>Wood argues that the drops in price of her young, disruptive technology stocks merely provide buying opportunities.</p><p>Surely she’s right that many tech stocks will eventually rebound. How much they rise and whether the rebound includes her holdings are open questions.</p><p>The five biggest positions in Wood’s flagship Ark Innovation ETF, starting at the top, are</p><ul><li>Zoom Video Communications ZM</li><li>Tesla TSLA</li><li>Exact Sciences EXAS</li><li>Roku ROKU</li><li>Block SQ.</li></ul><p>As for her musings in 2022, Wood said in January that bitcoin is headed to $1 million by 2030. That represents a factor of more than 600 from the recent price of $1,640.</p><p>Wood could be right. Nobody knows what will happen in the next eight years. But given that bitcoin has dropped 65% year to date, it’s not exactly rushing toward Wood’s target.</p><h2>Recession and Deflation</h2><p>She has argued throughout the year that we’re already in a recession and that we’re suffering from deflation rather than the inflation shown by government indicators.</p><p>Excess inventories at retailers, contracting fiscal and monetary policyand an inverted yield curve point to an economic downturn, she says. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term Treasury yields exceed long-term yields, which is the opposite of normal.</p><p>Looking at inflation, the government reported that consumer prices jumped 7.7% in the 12 months through October. That’s a lagging indicator, Wood says. She says commodity prices are the best indicator of inflation, particularly gold. The precious metal has slid 10% since March 11.</p><p>Given her view that we’re experiencing a recession and deflation, it’s not surprising that Wood thinks the Federal Reserve is overdoing it on interest-rate increases.</p><p>The Fed seems focused on two lagging indicators: inflation and employment, Wood said. “Both have been sending conflicting signals and should be calling into question the Fed’s unanimous call for higher interest rates.”</p><p>Wood’s view on the Fed is outside the mainstream consensus. But at least one prominent figure agrees with her. That’s Tesla and Twitter Chief Executive Elon Musk, who says the Fed should be cutting interest rates.</p><h2>Weak Returns</h2><p>Whether her views on these issues are right or wrong, Wood’s investment performance has been subpar this year.</p><p>Ark Innovation ETF has dropped 63% so far in 2022, and is down 78% from its February 2021 peak. Wood has defended her strategy by noting that she has a five-year investment horizon.</p><p>Up to May 9 the fund’s five-year return beat that of the S&amp;P 500. But the five-year annualized return of Ark Innovation totaled only 0.01% through Dec. 7, off from 10.26% for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>The fund’s performance also doesn’t come close to Wood’s goal for annualized returns of 15% over five-year periods.</p><p>But the $6.8 billion fund’s subpar returns haven’t pushed investors away. Ark Innovation has registered a net inflow of $1.5 billion from investors year to date, according to ETF research firm VettaFi.</p><p>You might wonder why so many investors have stuck with Wood, despite her mediocre returns. The fact that she had one spectacular year certainly helps. Ark Innovation ETF more than doubled (up 153%) in 2020.</p><p>Also, Wood has become something of a rock star in the investment world, appearing frequently in the media. She explains financial concepts in ways that even novice investors can understand.</p><p>Still, Wood has her detractors. On March 29, Morningstar analyst Robby Greengold issued a scathing critique of Ark Innovation.</p><p>“ARKK shows few signs of improving its risk management or ability to successfully navigate the challenging territory it explores,” he wrote.</p><p>Wood countered Greengold’s points in an interview with Magnifi Media by Tifin. “I do know there are companies like that one [Morningstar] that do not understand what we&#39;re doing,” she said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Look Back at Cathie Wood's Disastrous Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Look Back at Cathie Wood's Disastrous Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-11 09:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/cathie-wood-ideas-big-losses><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Celebrity money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Management, has offered plenty of interesting ideas about the economy and stock market this year.But for her clients, Mama Cathie...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/cathie-wood-ideas-big-losses\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internation ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/cathie-wood-ideas-big-losses","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151053281","content_text":"Celebrity money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Management, has offered plenty of interesting ideas about the economy and stock market this year.But for her clients, Mama Cathie, as her fans call her, hasn’t delivered much in the way of returns. Indeed Ark’s exchange-traded funds have generated sharp losses in 2022.Wood argues that the drops in price of her young, disruptive technology stocks merely provide buying opportunities.Surely she’s right that many tech stocks will eventually rebound. How much they rise and whether the rebound includes her holdings are open questions.The five biggest positions in Wood’s flagship Ark Innovation ETF, starting at the top, areZoom Video Communications ZMTesla TSLAExact Sciences EXASRoku ROKUBlock SQ.As for her musings in 2022, Wood said in January that bitcoin is headed to $1 million by 2030. That represents a factor of more than 600 from the recent price of $1,640.Wood could be right. Nobody knows what will happen in the next eight years. But given that bitcoin has dropped 65% year to date, it’s not exactly rushing toward Wood’s target.Recession and DeflationShe has argued throughout the year that we’re already in a recession and that we’re suffering from deflation rather than the inflation shown by government indicators.Excess inventories at retailers, contracting fiscal and monetary policyand an inverted yield curve point to an economic downturn, she says. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term Treasury yields exceed long-term yields, which is the opposite of normal.Looking at inflation, the government reported that consumer prices jumped 7.7% in the 12 months through October. That’s a lagging indicator, Wood says. She says commodity prices are the best indicator of inflation, particularly gold. The precious metal has slid 10% since March 11.Given her view that we’re experiencing a recession and deflation, it’s not surprising that Wood thinks the Federal Reserve is overdoing it on interest-rate increases.The Fed seems focused on two lagging indicators: inflation and employment, Wood said. “Both have been sending conflicting signals and should be calling into question the Fed’s unanimous call for higher interest rates.”Wood’s view on the Fed is outside the mainstream consensus. But at least one prominent figure agrees with her. That’s Tesla and Twitter Chief Executive Elon Musk, who says the Fed should be cutting interest rates.Weak ReturnsWhether her views on these issues are right or wrong, Wood’s investment performance has been subpar this year.Ark Innovation ETF has dropped 63% so far in 2022, and is down 78% from its February 2021 peak. Wood has defended her strategy by noting that she has a five-year investment horizon.Up to May 9 the fund’s five-year return beat that of the S&P 500. But the five-year annualized return of Ark Innovation totaled only 0.01% through Dec. 7, off from 10.26% for the S&P 500.The fund’s performance also doesn’t come close to Wood’s goal for annualized returns of 15% over five-year periods.But the $6.8 billion fund’s subpar returns haven’t pushed investors away. Ark Innovation has registered a net inflow of $1.5 billion from investors year to date, according to ETF research firm VettaFi.You might wonder why so many investors have stuck with Wood, despite her mediocre returns. The fact that she had one spectacular year certainly helps. Ark Innovation ETF more than doubled (up 153%) in 2020.Also, Wood has become something of a rock star in the investment world, appearing frequently in the media. She explains financial concepts in ways that even novice investors can understand.Still, Wood has her detractors. On March 29, Morningstar analyst Robby Greengold issued a scathing critique of Ark Innovation.“ARKK shows few signs of improving its risk management or ability to successfully navigate the challenging territory it explores,” he wrote.Wood countered Greengold’s points in an interview with Magnifi Media by Tifin. “I do know there are companies like that one [Morningstar] that do not understand what we're doing,” she said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968641931,"gmtCreate":1669218528523,"gmtModify":1676538169216,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968641931","repostId":"1168042484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168042484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669207575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168042484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-23 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168042484","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in mar","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two months</li><li>Morgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgrades</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76d786e2fc285c0e8faa9755ba109fa5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Elon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFP</span></p><p>After losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”</p><p>Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.</p><p>Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28418b2c1e10b82bdeec4788d9133a29\" tg-width=\"1235\" tg-height=\"695\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.</p><p>Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.</p><p>Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-23 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168042484","content_text":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989484170,"gmtCreate":1666061014390,"gmtModify":1676537699371,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989484170","repostId":"2276133333","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276133333","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666050512,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276133333?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-18 07:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oppenheimer Says Most Stocks Have Likely Bottomed, Market Could Rally Before Year End","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276133333","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer, cut the year-end target for the S&P 500 following to 4000, although he remains bullish on stocks.The new price target is based on the S&P 50","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer, cut the year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 following to 4000, although he remains bullish on stocks.</p><p>The new price target is based on the S&amp;P 500 earnings estimates of $230, implying a P/E multiple of 17.4x,</p><p>“We believe US economic fundamentals remain remarkably resilient though challenged in a highly transitional environment by persistent high levels of inflation, increasingly restrictive monetary policy to address the inflation, and supply chain problems that remain as well,” Stoltzfus said in a client note.</p><p>Stoltzfus remains positive on equities as some “solid companies” are “grossly oversold.” Given these conditions, Stoltzfus says stocks could stage a “modest” rally before the year’s end.</p><p>“We look to the potential for a rally in a number of places including: positive surprises in Q3 earnings season, any reduction in inflation; positive outcomes (perceived or otherwise) from the midterm election in November as well as any progress that develops in addressing Europe&#39;s fiscal and energy challenges. In addition some weakening in the dollar could provide a lift to the US market,” the strategist added.</p><p>In a separate note, Oppenheimer’s Ari H. Wald argues that the “textbook criteria” has emerged for a market bottom.</p><p>“Our feel is that the breadth of stocks has likely bottomed, particularly those with less rate sensitivity,” Wald wrote.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oppenheimer Says Most Stocks Have Likely Bottomed, Market Could Rally Before Year End</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOppenheimer Says Most Stocks Have Likely Bottomed, Market Could Rally Before Year End\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-18 07:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20707578><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer, cut the year-end target for the S&P 500 following to 4000, although he remains bullish on stocks.The new price target is based on the S&P ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20707578\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20707578","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276133333","content_text":"John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer, cut the year-end target for the S&P 500 following to 4000, although he remains bullish on stocks.The new price target is based on the S&P 500 earnings estimates of $230, implying a P/E multiple of 17.4x,“We believe US economic fundamentals remain remarkably resilient though challenged in a highly transitional environment by persistent high levels of inflation, increasingly restrictive monetary policy to address the inflation, and supply chain problems that remain as well,” Stoltzfus said in a client note.Stoltzfus remains positive on equities as some “solid companies” are “grossly oversold.” Given these conditions, Stoltzfus says stocks could stage a “modest” rally before the year’s end.“We look to the potential for a rally in a number of places including: positive surprises in Q3 earnings season, any reduction in inflation; positive outcomes (perceived or otherwise) from the midterm election in November as well as any progress that develops in addressing Europe's fiscal and energy challenges. In addition some weakening in the dollar could provide a lift to the US market,” the strategist added.In a separate note, Oppenheimer’s Ari H. Wald argues that the “textbook criteria” has emerged for a market bottom.“Our feel is that the breadth of stocks has likely bottomed, particularly those with less rate sensitivity,” Wald wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929211801,"gmtCreate":1670675889803,"gmtModify":1676538415541,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goood","listText":"Goood","text":"Goood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929211801","repostId":"1181869151","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181869151","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670636698,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181869151?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-10 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk’s Tweeting Is Problematic for Tesla Stock. Here’s Proof","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181869151","media":"Barron's","summary":"Twitteris an undeniable overhang forTeslastock. Investors feel it, Wall Street believes it, and now the data say so. What no one knows is how long the overhang will last—or if it will get worse.New St","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Twitter is an undeniable overhang for Tesla stock. Investors feel it, Wall Street believes it, and now the data say so. What no one knows is how long the overhang will last—or if it will get worse.</p><p>New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu took to Twitter on Friday to explain what’s going on with Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA), which was off 49% so far this year as of the close on Friday.</p><p>He attributed the bulk of the decline to what’s happened to the market, which seems sensible. The Nasdaq Composite is off about 30% year to date, and most car-related stocks have been hit hard by rising interest rates and inflation. General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are off about 35% and 36%, respectively, so far this year.</p><p>Twitter is also a factor for Ferragu, who noted that perceptions of Tesla’s brand are sliding. Tesla’s net brand favorability score, which is positive opinions minus negative opinions, is down about six to 10 percentage points, hovering around 20%. That tops the the U.S. government’s score, which is less than zero, according to Ferragu’s data.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e818e41d57a14c6cac9cab049bb3f61\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"884\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ferragu rates Tesla stock at Buy with a Street-high price target of $530, according to FactSet.</p><p>“Impact on brand perception in the general public is visible and material, but it is very unlikely to affect materially buying behaviors in the near term,” Ferragu tells<i>Barron’s</i>in an emailed statement, adding “it will turn fast.”</p><p>Just how long a temporary impact will last is anyone’s guess. The Twitter overhang led Wedbush analyst Dan Ives to cut $50 off his price target for Tesla stock in November, leaving it at $250. He has called Twitter an albatross for Tesla stock, but still rates shares at Buy.</p><p>“Tweet by tweet, Musk creates more of an overhang on Tesla,” Ives told<i>Barron’s</i>Friday by email. “The Musk Twitter fiasco a darkening black cloud over the story. Perception is reality for the Street for now on Tesla.”</p><p>Tesla CEO Elon Musk ‘s recent tweets include shots at competitors, discussions of election interference by Twitter, disapproval of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate policy, and claims of media bias. Those tweets were all this week.</p><p>Tesla investors still get tidbits about the car company from Musk’s tweeting. He responded to Ferragu’s thread, commenting that margin loans of Tesla stock don’t make sense in this weakening economic environment.</p><p>That’s a bit of good news for Tesla shareholders who don’t like Musk selling Tesla stock, and don’t want any sales tied to margin calls. Still, the possibility of Musk selling stock to help fund Twitter remains part of the overall overhang. Ferragu dismissed Musk selling Tesla stock as a long-term risk, though, writing that the sales would be “negligible to the market cap and trading volumes of [Tesla].”</p><p>If Musk’s stock sales aren’t the main cause of the overhang on the Tesla brand and shares, then that leaves the toll that Twitter takes on Musk’s full attention. Whatever the source, the impact is real.</p><p>Coming into Thursday, Tesla shares had declined about 23% since Musk completed the purchase of the social medial platform. The Nasdaq Composite has risen about 3% over the same span.</p><p>The spread is growing. It was negligible until early November, when Musk sold more Tesla stock after the deal close—a surprise to investors. After the sale, the spread was about 20 percentage points. It moved as high as 26 points this week, but had slipped back to 22 points as of the close of trading on Friday.</p><p>Tesla stock has been cut almost in half year to date. If Tesla stock were at the level it sold for before Musk completed the Twitter purchase, it would be off about 34% year to date, in line with GM and Ford stock.</p><p>The performance gap between Tesla and the rest of the car industry is the gain that investors can expect from Tesla stock if the Twitter overhang ever lifts.</p><p>That would put Tesla stock at roughly $225 a share. Investors hope for that rally soon.</p><p>Tesla stock closed 3.2% higher on Friday. TheS&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both lost 0.7%.</p><p>The stock snapped a four-day losing streak that cost investors about 11%. Tesla stock is now down about 8% for the week.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk’s Tweeting Is Problematic for Tesla Stock. Here’s Proof</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk’s Tweeting Is Problematic for Tesla Stock. Here’s Proof\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-10 09:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-stock-51670602565?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Twitter is an undeniable overhang for Tesla stock. Investors feel it, Wall Street believes it, and now the data say so. What no one knows is how long the overhang will last—or if it will get worse.New...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-stock-51670602565?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-stock-51670602565?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181869151","content_text":"Twitter is an undeniable overhang for Tesla stock. Investors feel it, Wall Street believes it, and now the data say so. What no one knows is how long the overhang will last—or if it will get worse.New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu took to Twitter on Friday to explain what’s going on with Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA), which was off 49% so far this year as of the close on Friday.He attributed the bulk of the decline to what’s happened to the market, which seems sensible. The Nasdaq Composite is off about 30% year to date, and most car-related stocks have been hit hard by rising interest rates and inflation. General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are off about 35% and 36%, respectively, so far this year.Twitter is also a factor for Ferragu, who noted that perceptions of Tesla’s brand are sliding. Tesla’s net brand favorability score, which is positive opinions minus negative opinions, is down about six to 10 percentage points, hovering around 20%. That tops the the U.S. government’s score, which is less than zero, according to Ferragu’s data.Ferragu rates Tesla stock at Buy with a Street-high price target of $530, according to FactSet.“Impact on brand perception in the general public is visible and material, but it is very unlikely to affect materially buying behaviors in the near term,” Ferragu tellsBarron’sin an emailed statement, adding “it will turn fast.”Just how long a temporary impact will last is anyone’s guess. The Twitter overhang led Wedbush analyst Dan Ives to cut $50 off his price target for Tesla stock in November, leaving it at $250. He has called Twitter an albatross for Tesla stock, but still rates shares at Buy.“Tweet by tweet, Musk creates more of an overhang on Tesla,” Ives toldBarron’sFriday by email. “The Musk Twitter fiasco a darkening black cloud over the story. Perception is reality for the Street for now on Tesla.”Tesla CEO Elon Musk ‘s recent tweets include shots at competitors, discussions of election interference by Twitter, disapproval of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate policy, and claims of media bias. Those tweets were all this week.Tesla investors still get tidbits about the car company from Musk’s tweeting. He responded to Ferragu’s thread, commenting that margin loans of Tesla stock don’t make sense in this weakening economic environment.That’s a bit of good news for Tesla shareholders who don’t like Musk selling Tesla stock, and don’t want any sales tied to margin calls. Still, the possibility of Musk selling stock to help fund Twitter remains part of the overall overhang. Ferragu dismissed Musk selling Tesla stock as a long-term risk, though, writing that the sales would be “negligible to the market cap and trading volumes of [Tesla].”If Musk’s stock sales aren’t the main cause of the overhang on the Tesla brand and shares, then that leaves the toll that Twitter takes on Musk’s full attention. Whatever the source, the impact is real.Coming into Thursday, Tesla shares had declined about 23% since Musk completed the purchase of the social medial platform. The Nasdaq Composite has risen about 3% over the same span.The spread is growing. It was negligible until early November, when Musk sold more Tesla stock after the deal close—a surprise to investors. After the sale, the spread was about 20 percentage points. It moved as high as 26 points this week, but had slipped back to 22 points as of the close of trading on Friday.Tesla stock has been cut almost in half year to date. If Tesla stock were at the level it sold for before Musk completed the Twitter purchase, it would be off about 34% year to date, in line with GM and Ford stock.The performance gap between Tesla and the rest of the car industry is the gain that investors can expect from Tesla stock if the Twitter overhang ever lifts.That would put Tesla stock at roughly $225 a share. Investors hope for that rally soon.Tesla stock closed 3.2% higher on Friday. TheS&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both lost 0.7%.The stock snapped a four-day losing streak that cost investors about 11%. Tesla stock is now down about 8% for the week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965926965,"gmtCreate":1669877342457,"gmtModify":1676538261930,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965926965","repostId":"2288256694","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288256694","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669872524,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2288256694?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-01 13:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Needs to Buy GameStop Next. Seriously","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288256694","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Source: Kathy Hutchins / Shutterstock.comWhen was the last time you visited a GameStop (NYSE:GME)? I","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d92931ce7abc5b532d1556791adf3e2\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Kathy Hutchins / Shutterstock.com</p><p>When was the last time you visited a <b>GameStop</b> (NYSE:<b>GME</b>)? Its management team apparently rather you didn’t know; the firm stopped reporting same-store sales in 2021. E-commerce sales are also no longer reported separately, an ominous sign for a firm whose chairman once promised to build “a powerful e-commerce platform that provides competitive pricing, broad gaming selection,” etcetera.</p><p>Yet, no amount of hand-waving can hide an increasingly clear fact:</p><p><i>GameStop’s core business remains in terminal decline</i>.</p><p>The Texas-based firm is now on track to lose $418 million in 2023, three times more than it burned through in 2021. Its NFT business has come six months too late, and its forays into e-commerce seem to have hit a brick (and mortar) wall. For all of Chairman Ryan Cohen’s efforts, his handpicked management team has failed to deliver the goods, despite the herculean efforts of GameStop shareholders to prop up its stock price.</p><p>So, perhaps it’s time to stop asking when the next GameStop short squeeze might happen, and consider this:</p><p><i>What if Elon Musk bought GameStop stock?</i></p><h2>GameStop Needs an Elon Musk</h2><p>First, let’s be clear: I wouldn’t wish the wrath of the world’s wealthiest man onto my worst enemy. The <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b>TSLA</b>) billionaire has a long history of taking fights to extremes and even his well-intentioned actions can have damaging results. When your bank account is the size of a cruise ship, your wake can unintentionally sink passing boats.</p><p>Yet, Mr. Musk’s hard-driving style has also single-handedly transformed the carmaking business. <b>Berkshire Hathaway’s</b> (NYSE:<b><u>BRK-A</u></b>, NYSE:<b><u>BRK-B</u></b>) Charlie Munger has called Tesla a “minor miracle” and even online critic and author Stephen King grudgingly calls Mr. Musk a “visionary.” Love him or hate him, Elon Musk is the “chaos monkey” that stagnant industries often need.</p><p>Nowhere is this clearer than his overzealous takeover of Twitter’s operations. Why hire fancy management consultants to right-size your firm when you can fire half of the staff by tweet? And though Twitter’s rollout of its verified checkmark system was entirely botched, one has to marvel that it took less than two weeks to launch.</p><p>These are same “kick-in-the-pants” actions that GameStop now desperately needs.</p><h2>GameStop on the Brink</h2><p>GameStop’s new problem is the same old one:</p><p><i>Shiny plastic discs are a dying business</i>.</p><p>In the pre-Cohen days, GameStop’s management was essentially tasked with winding down the retailer while extracting as much value as possible for investors. Between 2017-2020, GameStop returned around $800 million to shareholders while reducing store count by almost 30%. The company would also cut its capital expenditures by 55% and lower costs at the corporate level. All these are signs of a retailer getting ready to cross the rainbow bridge.</p><p>Its new management has failed to grasp this reality. Under CEO Matt Furlong, the firm has managed to burn through $811 million in a year by increasing corporate overheads without any meaningful plan to revamp its business. Walk into any GameStop retail location, and it will also become apparent that the company’s $60 million in capital expenditure is barely enough to keep the lights on.</p><p><img src=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/plugins/lazy-load/images/1x1.trans.gif\" tg-width=\"1\" tg-height=\"1\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: 1take1shot / Shutterstock.com</p><p>Mr. Furlong’s new projects have also been duds. The company spent almost a year readying its NFT marketplace, only to launch in the middle of a massive crypto winter. And Web 3.0 gaming has essentially flatlined. GameStop’s Kira Genesis Collection posted only 28 trades on Nov. 28, down from 2,670 less than a month before. Only 2,475 unique owners are listed on its blockchain.</p><p>A return to “managed decline” has also become unattractive, given GameStop’s now-$7.7 billion enterprise value. No financial wizard could possibly squeeze that amount from the retailer’s remaining assets.</p><h2>Can Elon Musk Save GameStop?</h2><p>That leaves only one clear option for GameStop as a firm:</p><p><i>An Edgelord Shakeup</i>.</p><p>GameStop essentially needs to turn around its brick-and-mortar business, expand into online gaming, get its mobile gaming strategy right…</p><p>… all while facing the prospect of running out of cash by Christmas 2023.</p><p>On the positive side, the firm has a legion of loyal financial backers. Almost 30% of the company’s shares are now directly held by transfer agents, and GME stock has the highest valuation of retailers that make no money, according to data from Thompson Reuters. It’s a situation that Elon Musk would have enjoyed as Tesla’s CEO.</p><p>GameStop also retains a loyal fanbase of consumers who insist on buying games in person.</p><p>But time is quickly running out for the videogame retailer. Shoppers are increasingly buying goods online, and they’re not doing it through GameStop’s site. According to data from TipRanks, traffic to GameStop.com has fallen 24% in the past month. Online rivals like <b>Valve’s</b> Steam have become what GameStop once hoped to be.</p><p>An Edgelord takeover, of course, will be anything <i>but</i> smooth. Corporate layoffs will increase, and golden parachutes deployed. And there’s no telling what someone like Elon Musk will do to the thousands of GameStop retail workers toiling away in its physical stores.</p><p>But it will be for the best. In 2015, writers at the <i>Financial Times</i> joked that the bankrupt RadioShack might have survived by selling fruit baskets or turning its stores into Zumba studios. If GameStop wants to avoid becoming that same punchline, its board should consider calling up Mr. Musk and asking if he’s available for another CEO role.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Needs to Buy GameStop Next. Seriously</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Needs to Buy GameStop Next. Seriously\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-01 13:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/11/elon-musk-needs-to-buy-gamestop-next-seriously/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Source: Kathy Hutchins / Shutterstock.comWhen was the last time you visited a GameStop (NYSE:GME)? Its management team apparently rather you didn’t know; the firm stopped reporting same-store sales in...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/elon-musk-needs-to-buy-gamestop-next-seriously/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/elon-musk-needs-to-buy-gamestop-next-seriously/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288256694","content_text":"Source: Kathy Hutchins / Shutterstock.comWhen was the last time you visited a GameStop (NYSE:GME)? Its management team apparently rather you didn’t know; the firm stopped reporting same-store sales in 2021. E-commerce sales are also no longer reported separately, an ominous sign for a firm whose chairman once promised to build “a powerful e-commerce platform that provides competitive pricing, broad gaming selection,” etcetera.Yet, no amount of hand-waving can hide an increasingly clear fact:GameStop’s core business remains in terminal decline.The Texas-based firm is now on track to lose $418 million in 2023, three times more than it burned through in 2021. Its NFT business has come six months too late, and its forays into e-commerce seem to have hit a brick (and mortar) wall. For all of Chairman Ryan Cohen’s efforts, his handpicked management team has failed to deliver the goods, despite the herculean efforts of GameStop shareholders to prop up its stock price.So, perhaps it’s time to stop asking when the next GameStop short squeeze might happen, and consider this:What if Elon Musk bought GameStop stock?GameStop Needs an Elon MuskFirst, let’s be clear: I wouldn’t wish the wrath of the world’s wealthiest man onto my worst enemy. The Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) billionaire has a long history of taking fights to extremes and even his well-intentioned actions can have damaging results. When your bank account is the size of a cruise ship, your wake can unintentionally sink passing boats.Yet, Mr. Musk’s hard-driving style has also single-handedly transformed the carmaking business. Berkshire Hathaway’s (NYSE:BRK-A, NYSE:BRK-B) Charlie Munger has called Tesla a “minor miracle” and even online critic and author Stephen King grudgingly calls Mr. Musk a “visionary.” Love him or hate him, Elon Musk is the “chaos monkey” that stagnant industries often need.Nowhere is this clearer than his overzealous takeover of Twitter’s operations. Why hire fancy management consultants to right-size your firm when you can fire half of the staff by tweet? And though Twitter’s rollout of its verified checkmark system was entirely botched, one has to marvel that it took less than two weeks to launch.These are same “kick-in-the-pants” actions that GameStop now desperately needs.GameStop on the BrinkGameStop’s new problem is the same old one:Shiny plastic discs are a dying business.In the pre-Cohen days, GameStop’s management was essentially tasked with winding down the retailer while extracting as much value as possible for investors. Between 2017-2020, GameStop returned around $800 million to shareholders while reducing store count by almost 30%. The company would also cut its capital expenditures by 55% and lower costs at the corporate level. All these are signs of a retailer getting ready to cross the rainbow bridge.Its new management has failed to grasp this reality. Under CEO Matt Furlong, the firm has managed to burn through $811 million in a year by increasing corporate overheads without any meaningful plan to revamp its business. Walk into any GameStop retail location, and it will also become apparent that the company’s $60 million in capital expenditure is barely enough to keep the lights on.Source: 1take1shot / Shutterstock.comMr. Furlong’s new projects have also been duds. The company spent almost a year readying its NFT marketplace, only to launch in the middle of a massive crypto winter. And Web 3.0 gaming has essentially flatlined. GameStop’s Kira Genesis Collection posted only 28 trades on Nov. 28, down from 2,670 less than a month before. Only 2,475 unique owners are listed on its blockchain.A return to “managed decline” has also become unattractive, given GameStop’s now-$7.7 billion enterprise value. No financial wizard could possibly squeeze that amount from the retailer’s remaining assets.Can Elon Musk Save GameStop?That leaves only one clear option for GameStop as a firm:An Edgelord Shakeup.GameStop essentially needs to turn around its brick-and-mortar business, expand into online gaming, get its mobile gaming strategy right…… all while facing the prospect of running out of cash by Christmas 2023.On the positive side, the firm has a legion of loyal financial backers. Almost 30% of the company’s shares are now directly held by transfer agents, and GME stock has the highest valuation of retailers that make no money, according to data from Thompson Reuters. It’s a situation that Elon Musk would have enjoyed as Tesla’s CEO.GameStop also retains a loyal fanbase of consumers who insist on buying games in person.But time is quickly running out for the videogame retailer. Shoppers are increasingly buying goods online, and they’re not doing it through GameStop’s site. According to data from TipRanks, traffic to GameStop.com has fallen 24% in the past month. Online rivals like Valve’s Steam have become what GameStop once hoped to be.An Edgelord takeover, of course, will be anything but smooth. Corporate layoffs will increase, and golden parachutes deployed. And there’s no telling what someone like Elon Musk will do to the thousands of GameStop retail workers toiling away in its physical stores.But it will be for the best. In 2015, writers at the Financial Times joked that the bankrupt RadioShack might have survived by selling fruit baskets or turning its stores into Zumba studios. If GameStop wants to avoid becoming that same punchline, its board should consider calling up Mr. Musk and asking if he’s available for another CEO role.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987973351,"gmtCreate":1667805621274,"gmtModify":1676537966305,"author":{"id":"4122358078997842","authorId":"4122358078997842","name":"cctv1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6c0d83746551578ac9624686119d76a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122358078997842","authorIdStr":"4122358078997842"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oo","listText":"Oo","text":"Oo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987973351","repostId":"2281644509","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281644509","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1667778768,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281644509?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-07 07:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CPI; U.S. Midterm Elections; NIO, Palantir, Disney, AMC Earnings: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281644509","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It's another busy week for investors: the U.S. midterm elections, the latest inflation data, and a continued parade of third-quarter results will be the highlights.Activision Blizzard, NRG Energy, and the Mosaic Company will report on Monday, followed by Walt Disney, Occidental Petroleum, and DuPont on Tuesday. Wednesday will bring results from D.R. Horton, then  Becton Dickinson, Ralph Lauren, and Tapestry report on Thursday.Voting on Tuesday will determine control of Congress for the next two ","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It's another busy week for investors: the U.S. midterm elections, the latest inflation data, and a continued parade of third-quarter results will be the highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Activision Blizzard, NRG Energy, and the Mosaic Company will report on Monday, followed by Walt Disney, Occidental Petroleum, and DuPont on Tuesday. Wednesday will bring results from D.R. Horton, then  Becton Dickinson, Ralph Lauren, and Tapestry report on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Voting on Tuesday will determine control of Congress for the next two years, with Republicans favored to win the House of Representatives and polling suggesting a close race in the Senate. Results may take days to become clear in several states. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The economic-data highlight of the week will be Thursday's release of the October Consumer Price Index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus estimate is for a 0.7% rise in the month, to stretch the headline index's annual gain to 8.0%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is seen rising 0.5% in October and 6.6% from a year earlier. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business' Small Business Optimism Index for October on Tuesday. That's forecast to be roughly flat from September. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index for November will be out on Friday, and is expected to also be about even with the previous month's reading. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 11/7 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Activision Blizzard, BioNTech, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">Diamondback Energy</a>, SolarEdge Technologies, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two Interactive Software</a> release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for September. In August, total consumer debt rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.3%, to a record $4.68 trillion. Revolving debt -- primarily credit cards -- jumped 18.1%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 11/8 \n</p>\n<p>\n     It's Election Day. The midterms will determine which party controls Congress for the next two years. Polling suggests that Republicans will retake the House of Representatives, while the Senate looks like a toss-up. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Constellation Energy, DuPont, GlobalFoundries, Occidental Petroleum, and Walt Disney report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Nasdaq and Nucor hold their 2022 investor days. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 92 reading, roughly even with September's. The index has had readings below its 48-year average of 98 for nine consecutive months, as inflation and labor shortages continue to challenge small-business owners. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 11/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     D.R. Horton, Rivian Automotive, Roblox, and Trade Desk announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a> host their annual investor days. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 11/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     AstraZeneca, Becton Dickinson, Brookfield Asset Management, Ralph Lauren, Steris, and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Moderna hosts its first ESG day. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for October. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 8%, year over year, following an 8.2% jump in September. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.5%, a tenth of a percentage point less than previously. While the CPI is down nearly a full percentage from its recent June peak, the core CPI hit a four-decade high in September. The S&amp;P 500 index fell 3.3% this past week as the Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal-funds rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for the fourth consecutive meeting and reiterated that taming inflation was its No. 1 priority. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 11/11 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The bond market is closed in observance of Veterans Day. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange keep regular trading hours. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for November. The consensus call is for a 59.7 reading, about even with the previous data. In October, consumers' one-year expectation for inflation was 5%, while longer-run expectations were 2.9%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  November 06, 2022 17:55 ET (22:55 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI; U.S. Midterm Elections; NIO, Palantir, Disney, AMC Earnings: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI; U.S. Midterm Elections; NIO, Palantir, Disney, AMC Earnings: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-07 07:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It's another busy week for investors: the U.S. midterm elections, the latest inflation data, and a continued parade of third-quarter results will be the highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Activision Blizzard, NRG Energy, and the Mosaic Company will report on Monday, followed by Walt Disney, Occidental Petroleum, and DuPont on Tuesday. Wednesday will bring results from D.R. Horton, then  Becton Dickinson, Ralph Lauren, and Tapestry report on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Voting on Tuesday will determine control of Congress for the next two years, with Republicans favored to win the House of Representatives and polling suggesting a close race in the Senate. Results may take days to become clear in several states. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The economic-data highlight of the week will be Thursday's release of the October Consumer Price Index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus estimate is for a 0.7% rise in the month, to stretch the headline index's annual gain to 8.0%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is seen rising 0.5% in October and 6.6% from a year earlier. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business' Small Business Optimism Index for October on Tuesday. That's forecast to be roughly flat from September. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index for November will be out on Friday, and is expected to also be about even with the previous month's reading. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 11/7 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Activision Blizzard, BioNTech, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">Diamondback Energy</a>, SolarEdge Technologies, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two Interactive Software</a> release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for September. In August, total consumer debt rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.3%, to a record $4.68 trillion. Revolving debt -- primarily credit cards -- jumped 18.1%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 11/8 \n</p>\n<p>\n     It's Election Day. The midterms will determine which party controls Congress for the next two years. Polling suggests that Republicans will retake the House of Representatives, while the Senate looks like a toss-up. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Constellation Energy, DuPont, GlobalFoundries, Occidental Petroleum, and Walt Disney report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Nasdaq and Nucor hold their 2022 investor days. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 92 reading, roughly even with September's. The index has had readings below its 48-year average of 98 for nine consecutive months, as inflation and labor shortages continue to challenge small-business owners. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 11/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     D.R. Horton, Rivian Automotive, Roblox, and Trade Desk announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a> host their annual investor days. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 11/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     AstraZeneca, Becton Dickinson, Brookfield Asset Management, Ralph Lauren, Steris, and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Moderna hosts its first ESG day. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for October. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 8%, year over year, following an 8.2% jump in September. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.5%, a tenth of a percentage point less than previously. While the CPI is down nearly a full percentage from its recent June peak, the core CPI hit a four-decade high in September. The S&amp;P 500 index fell 3.3% this past week as the Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal-funds rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for the fourth consecutive meeting and reiterated that taming inflation was its No. 1 priority. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 11/11 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The bond market is closed in observance of Veterans Day. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange keep regular trading hours. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for November. The consensus call is for a 59.7 reading, about even with the previous data. In October, consumers' one-year expectation for inflation was 5%, while longer-run expectations were 2.9%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  November 06, 2022 17:55 ET (22:55 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTWO":"Take-Two Interactive Software","ACB":"奥罗拉大麻公司","U":"Unity Software Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","ATVI":"动视暴雪","NIO":"蔚来","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","AMC":"AMC院线","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","AZN":"阿斯利康","OXY":"西方石油","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","DIS":"迪士尼","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc.","SEDG":"SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","RBLX":"Roblox Corporation",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OCGN":"Ocugen"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281644509","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It's another busy week for investors: the U.S. midterm elections, the latest inflation data, and a continued parade of third-quarter results will be the highlights. \n\n\n     Activision Blizzard, NRG Energy, and the Mosaic Company will report on Monday, followed by Walt Disney, Occidental Petroleum, and DuPont on Tuesday. Wednesday will bring results from D.R. Horton, then  Becton Dickinson, Ralph Lauren, and Tapestry report on Thursday. \n\n\n     Voting on Tuesday will determine control of Congress for the next two years, with Republicans favored to win the House of Representatives and polling suggesting a close race in the Senate. Results may take days to become clear in several states. \n\n\n     The economic-data highlight of the week will be Thursday's release of the October Consumer Price Index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus estimate is for a 0.7% rise in the month, to stretch the headline index's annual gain to 8.0%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is seen rising 0.5% in October and 6.6% from a year earlier. \n\n\n     Other economic data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business' Small Business Optimism Index for October on Tuesday. That's forecast to be roughly flat from September. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index for November will be out on Friday, and is expected to also be about even with the previous month's reading. \n\n\n     Monday 11/7 \n\n\n     Activision Blizzard, BioNTech, Diamondback Energy, SolarEdge Technologies, and Take-Two Interactive Software release earnings. \n\n\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for September. In August, total consumer debt rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.3%, to a record $4.68 trillion. Revolving debt -- primarily credit cards -- jumped 18.1%. \n\n\n     Tuesday 11/8 \n\n\n     It's Election Day. The midterms will determine which party controls Congress for the next two years. Polling suggests that Republicans will retake the House of Representatives, while the Senate looks like a toss-up. \n\n\n     Constellation Energy, DuPont, GlobalFoundries, Occidental Petroleum, and Walt Disney report quarterly results. \n\n\n     Nasdaq and Nucor hold their 2022 investor days. \n\n\n     The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 92 reading, roughly even with September's. The index has had readings below its 48-year average of 98 for nine consecutive months, as inflation and labor shortages continue to challenge small-business owners. \n\n\n     Wednesday 11/9 \n\n\n     D.R. Horton, Rivian Automotive, Roblox, and Trade Desk announce earnings. \n\n\n     $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ and Phillips 66 host their annual investor days. \n\n\n     Thursday 11/10 \n\n\n     AstraZeneca, Becton Dickinson, Brookfield Asset Management, Ralph Lauren, Steris, and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n\n\n     Moderna hosts its first ESG day. \n\n\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for October. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 8%, year over year, following an 8.2% jump in September. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.5%, a tenth of a percentage point less than previously. While the CPI is down nearly a full percentage from its recent June peak, the core CPI hit a four-decade high in September. The S&P 500 index fell 3.3% this past week as the Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal-funds rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for the fourth consecutive meeting and reiterated that taming inflation was its No. 1 priority. \n\n\n     Friday 11/11 \n\n\n     The bond market is closed in observance of Veterans Day. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange keep regular trading hours. \n\n\n     The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for November. The consensus call is for a 59.7 reading, about even with the previous data. In October, consumers' one-year expectation for inflation was 5%, while longer-run expectations were 2.9%. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  November 06, 2022 17:55 ET (22:55 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}