aureliapy personal page - To The Moon

aureliapy

aureliapy

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01-15

2022-09-11

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A Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease

2022-08-20

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US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Yields Rise; Indexes Post Weekly Losses

2022-08-14

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Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-11

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ARKK: Cathie Wood Now Playing Both Sides

2022-09-06

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U.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak

2022-08-16

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2022-08-13

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Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231

2022-08-25

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Pre-Bell｜Tesla Shares in the Limelight; Nvidia Stock Underperforms

2022-08-21

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GME vs. BBBY: Which Meme Stock is Less Risky?

01-12

Come and play together

2022-09-10

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Tesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It

2022-09-01

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3 Incredibly Cheap Dividend Stocks

2022-08-30

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Twitter Calls Musk's Latest Deal Termination Letter “Invalid and Wrongful”

2022-08-19

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A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls

2022-08-10

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Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst

2022-12-03

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Why Blackstone’s $69 Billion Property Fund Is Signaling Pain Ahead for Real Estate Industry

2022-09-06

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U.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak

2022-08-28

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Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer

2022-08-27

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Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News

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together","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257846676320304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":263321622192152,"gmtCreate":1705322042210,"gmtModify":1705322047252,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2a17a62c2393d041b0d266852a92191f","width":"912","height":"1368"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/263321622192152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932996782,"gmtCreate":1662861378746,"gmtModify":1676537152237,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932996782","repostId":"2266398293","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266398293","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662857059,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266398293?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-11 08:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266398293","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an important low right around Election Day in November.</p><p>That should give some hope to beleaguered investors whose stock holdings have suffered double-digit losses so far this year. A meaningful rally could be just a few weeks away.</p><p>I&#39;m referring to the historical pattern in the stock market of pre-midterm weakness and post-midterm strength. This pattern is plotted in the chart below, which is based on the average July-December performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average  in the last 17 midterm election years (since 1954).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db8dce7f85a1b3a6cc790f3a79ff21a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Though the date of the average in this chart is in October, the actual lows in the historical record can come earlier or later. Much depends on when the stock market begins to anticipate the outcome of the midterms and therefore discounts it. A good guess is that the low this year will be later, given the uncertainty about the election outcome -- especially in the U.S. Senate.</p><p>It&#39;s always possible that the pre-midterm low will occur in advance of Election Day. It wouldn&#39;t be inconsistent with the historical record for this year&#39;s low to have occurred the day after Labor Day, in fact. As of Sept. 9, the S&amp;P 500   was more than 4% higher than that low.</p><p>It&#39;s worth noting how remarkable it is for any pattern to emerge when averaging together many years worth of stock market gyrations. Though each year carves out a unique path, the highs and lows usually cancel each other out, leaving the average to be a gradual upward-sloping line. A pattern has to be quite pronounced in the historical data for a deviation to appear that is as stark as the one in the accompanying chart.</p><p>This pre- and post-midterm pattern is so pronounced that it is the source of the famous seasonal pattern known as the &#34;Halloween Indicator,&#34; according to which the stock market is strongest between Oct. 31 and May 1 and weakest the other six months of the year. Yet take away the six months before- and after mid-term elections and the Halloween Indicator disappears.</p><p>The underlying data appear in the table below. The cell marked with a single asterisk (*) refers to the current six-month period, while the cell marked with a double asterisk (**) corresponds to the six-month period that begins at the end of October 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/200d68de48ef106579622d3fc32df9ff\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>So if you are tempted to bet on the Halloween Indicator, your time is fast approaching. If you miss it, you won&#39;t have another chance until the 2026 midterms.</p><p>Credit for discovering that the Halloween Indicator traces to the months prior to and subsequent to the midterms goes to Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International, and Kam Fong Chan, a senior lecturer in finance at the University of Queensland in Australia. Their research into this pattern appeared in July 2021 in the Journal of Financial Economics.</p><p>The likely source of the pattern, according to the researchers, is the uncertainty that exists prior to the midterms and the resolution of that uncertainty after the election. They note that it appears not to matter which party dominates Congress prior to the midterms and which becomes the majority party afterwards. The pattern exists, they believe, because the stock market craves certainty, even when the source of that certainty may not be in accord with every investor&#39;s political preferences.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 08:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an important low right around Election Day in November.</p><p>That should give some hope to beleaguered investors whose stock holdings have suffered double-digit losses so far this year. A meaningful rally could be just a few weeks away.</p><p>I&#39;m referring to the historical pattern in the stock market of pre-midterm weakness and post-midterm strength. This pattern is plotted in the chart below, which is based on the average July-December performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average  in the last 17 midterm election years (since 1954).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db8dce7f85a1b3a6cc790f3a79ff21a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Though the date of the average in this chart is in October, the actual lows in the historical record can come earlier or later. Much depends on when the stock market begins to anticipate the outcome of the midterms and therefore discounts it. A good guess is that the low this year will be later, given the uncertainty about the election outcome -- especially in the U.S. Senate.</p><p>It&#39;s always possible that the pre-midterm low will occur in advance of Election Day. It wouldn&#39;t be inconsistent with the historical record for this year&#39;s low to have occurred the day after Labor Day, in fact. As of Sept. 9, the S&amp;P 500   was more than 4% higher than that low.</p><p>It&#39;s worth noting how remarkable it is for any pattern to emerge when averaging together many years worth of stock market gyrations. Though each year carves out a unique path, the highs and lows usually cancel each other out, leaving the average to be a gradual upward-sloping line. A pattern has to be quite pronounced in the historical data for a deviation to appear that is as stark as the one in the accompanying chart.</p><p>This pre- and post-midterm pattern is so pronounced that it is the source of the famous seasonal pattern known as the &#34;Halloween Indicator,&#34; according to which the stock market is strongest between Oct. 31 and May 1 and weakest the other six months of the year. Yet take away the six months before- and after mid-term elections and the Halloween Indicator disappears.</p><p>The underlying data appear in the table below. The cell marked with a single asterisk (*) refers to the current six-month period, while the cell marked with a double asterisk (**) corresponds to the six-month period that begins at the end of October 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/200d68de48ef106579622d3fc32df9ff\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>So if you are tempted to bet on the Halloween Indicator, your time is fast approaching. If you miss it, you won&#39;t have another chance until the 2026 midterms.</p><p>Credit for discovering that the Halloween Indicator traces to the months prior to and subsequent to the midterms goes to Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International, and Kam Fong Chan, a senior lecturer in finance at the University of Queensland in Australia. Their research into this pattern appeared in July 2021 in the Journal of Financial Economics.</p><p>The likely source of the pattern, according to the researchers, is the uncertainty that exists prior to the midterms and the resolution of that uncertainty after the election. They note that it appears not to matter which party dominates Congress prior to the midterms and which becomes the majority party afterwards. The pattern exists, they believe, because the stock market craves certainty, even when the source of that certainty may not be in accord with every investor&#39;s political preferences.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266398293","content_text":"If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an important low right around Election Day in November.That should give some hope to beleaguered investors whose stock holdings have suffered double-digit losses so far this year. A meaningful rally could be just a few weeks away.I'm referring to the historical pattern in the stock market of pre-midterm weakness and post-midterm strength. This pattern is plotted in the chart below, which is based on the average July-December performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average  in the last 17 midterm election years (since 1954).Though the date of the average in this chart is in October, the actual lows in the historical record can come earlier or later. Much depends on when the stock market begins to anticipate the outcome of the midterms and therefore discounts it. A good guess is that the low this year will be later, given the uncertainty about the election outcome -- especially in the U.S. Senate.It's always possible that the pre-midterm low will occur in advance of Election Day. It wouldn't be inconsistent with the historical record for this year's low to have occurred the day after Labor Day, in fact. As of Sept. 9, the S&P 500   was more than 4% higher than that low.It's worth noting how remarkable it is for any pattern to emerge when averaging together many years worth of stock market gyrations. Though each year carves out a unique path, the highs and lows usually cancel each other out, leaving the average to be a gradual upward-sloping line. A pattern has to be quite pronounced in the historical data for a deviation to appear that is as stark as the one in the accompanying chart.This pre- and post-midterm pattern is so pronounced that it is the source of the famous seasonal pattern known as the \"Halloween Indicator,\" according to which the stock market is strongest between Oct. 31 and May 1 and weakest the other six months of the year. Yet take away the six months before- and after mid-term elections and the Halloween Indicator disappears.The underlying data appear in the table below. The cell marked with a single asterisk (*) refers to the current six-month period, while the cell marked with a double asterisk (**) corresponds to the six-month period that begins at the end of October 2022.So if you are tempted to bet on the Halloween Indicator, your time is fast approaching. If you miss it, you won't have another chance until the 2026 midterms.Credit for discovering that the Halloween Indicator traces to the months prior to and subsequent to the midterms goes to Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International, and Kam Fong Chan, a senior lecturer in finance at the University of Queensland in Australia. Their research into this pattern appeared in July 2021 in the Journal of Financial Economics.The likely source of the pattern, according to the researchers, is the uncertainty that exists prior to the midterms and the resolution of that uncertainty after the election. They note that it appears not to matter which party dominates Congress prior to the midterms and which becomes the majority party afterwards. The pattern exists, they believe, because the stock market craves certainty, even when the source of that certainty may not be in accord with every investor's political preferences.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998150465,"gmtCreate":1660958501159,"gmtModify":1676536429894,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998150465","repostId":"2260373492","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260373492","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1660953025,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260373492?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-20 07:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Yields Rise; Indexes Post Weekly Losses","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260373492","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Investors await Jackson Hole conference next week* 10-year U.S. Treasury yield nears 3%* Indexes: ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Investors await Jackson Hole conference next week</p><p>* 10-year U.S. Treasury yield nears 3%</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 0.9%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.3%, Nasdaq down 2%</p><p>NEW YORK, Aug 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Friday in a broad selloff led by megacaps as U.S. bond yields rose, with the S&amp;P 500 posting losses for the week after four straight weeks of gains.</p><p>Amazon.com, Apple and Microsoft all fell and were the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq. Higher rates tend to be a negative for tech and growth stocks, whose valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.</p><p>U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the benchmark 10-year note nearly hitting 3%, after Germany reported record-high increases in monthly producer prices.</p><p>Investors have been weighing how aggressive the Federal Reserve may need to be as it raises interest rates to battle inflation.</p><p>Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said on Friday that U.S. central bank officials have &#34;a lot of time still&#34; before they need to decide how large an interest rate increase to approve at their Sept. 20-21 policy meeting.</p><p>&#34;The rise in rates around the globe and tough talk from central bankers are being used as an excuse to push stocks lower in very light volume on an August Friday session,&#34; said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.3 points, or 0.86%, to 33,706.74, the S&amp;P 500 lost 55.26 points, or 1.29%, to 4,228.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 260.13 points, or 2.01%, to 12,705.22.</p><p>All three major indexes registered losses for the week. The S&amp;P 500 fell about 1.2% and the Nasdaq slid 2.6% in their first weekly declines after four weeks of gains. The Dow lost about 0.2% for the week.</p><p>After notching its worst first half since 1970, the S&amp;P 500 has bounced some 16% from its mid-June low, fueled by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and hopes the economy can avoid a recession even as the Fed hikes rates.</p><p>Friday&#39;s monthly options expiration should also make way for greater near-term stock market moves as options positions expire, said Brent Kochuba, founder of options-focused financial insights company SpotGamma.</p><p>The U.S. central bank needs to keep raising borrowing costs to tame decades-high inflation, a string of U.S. central bank officials said on Thursday, even as they debated how fast and how high to lift them.</p><p>The Fed has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 225 basis points since March to fight inflation at a four decade-high.</p><p>Focus next week may be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s speech on the economic outlook at the annual global central bankers&#39; conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>Meme stock Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc plunged 40.5% as billionaire investor Ryan Cohen exited the struggling home goods retailer by selling his stake.</p><p>The S&amp;P banking index fell 2.1% after recent gains.</p><p>Shares of Deere &amp; Co ended slightly higher, even after it lowered its full-year profit outlook and said it has sold out of large tractors as it grapples with parts shortages and high costs.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was last at 10.01 billion shares in one of the lowest volume days of the year.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 6.06-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 43 new highs and 93 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Yields Rise; Indexes Post Weekly Losses</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Yields Rise; Indexes Post Weekly Losses\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-20 07:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Investors await Jackson Hole conference next week</p><p>* 10-year U.S. Treasury yield nears 3%</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 0.9%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.3%, Nasdaq down 2%</p><p>NEW YORK, Aug 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Friday in a broad selloff led by megacaps as U.S. bond yields rose, with the S&amp;P 500 posting losses for the week after four straight weeks of gains.</p><p>Amazon.com, Apple and Microsoft all fell and were the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq. Higher rates tend to be a negative for tech and growth stocks, whose valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.</p><p>U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the benchmark 10-year note nearly hitting 3%, after Germany reported record-high increases in monthly producer prices.</p><p>Investors have been weighing how aggressive the Federal Reserve may need to be as it raises interest rates to battle inflation.</p><p>Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said on Friday that U.S. central bank officials have &#34;a lot of time still&#34; before they need to decide how large an interest rate increase to approve at their Sept. 20-21 policy meeting.</p><p>&#34;The rise in rates around the globe and tough talk from central bankers are being used as an excuse to push stocks lower in very light volume on an August Friday session,&#34; said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.3 points, or 0.86%, to 33,706.74, the S&amp;P 500 lost 55.26 points, or 1.29%, to 4,228.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 260.13 points, or 2.01%, to 12,705.22.</p><p>All three major indexes registered losses for the week. The S&amp;P 500 fell about 1.2% and the Nasdaq slid 2.6% in their first weekly declines after four weeks of gains. The Dow lost about 0.2% for the week.</p><p>After notching its worst first half since 1970, the S&amp;P 500 has bounced some 16% from its mid-June low, fueled by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and hopes the economy can avoid a recession even as the Fed hikes rates.</p><p>Friday&#39;s monthly options expiration should also make way for greater near-term stock market moves as options positions expire, said Brent Kochuba, founder of options-focused financial insights company SpotGamma.</p><p>The U.S. central bank needs to keep raising borrowing costs to tame decades-high inflation, a string of U.S. central bank officials said on Thursday, even as they debated how fast and how high to lift them.</p><p>The Fed has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 225 basis points since March to fight inflation at a four decade-high.</p><p>Focus next week may be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s speech on the economic outlook at the annual global central bankers&#39; conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>Meme stock Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc plunged 40.5% as billionaire investor Ryan Cohen exited the struggling home goods retailer by selling his stake.</p><p>The S&amp;P banking index fell 2.1% after recent gains.</p><p>Shares of Deere &amp; Co ended slightly higher, even after it lowered its full-year profit outlook and said it has sold out of large tractors as it grapples with parts shortages and high costs.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was last at 10.01 billion shares in one of the lowest volume days of the year.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 6.06-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 43 new highs and 93 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BBBY":"3B家居","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","AAPL":"苹果","BK4581":"高盛持仓","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","MSFT":"微软","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4539":"次新股","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260373492","content_text":"* Investors await Jackson Hole conference next week* 10-year U.S. Treasury yield nears 3%* Indexes: Dow down 0.9%, S&P 500 down 1.3%, Nasdaq down 2%NEW YORK, Aug 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Friday in a broad selloff led by megacaps as U.S. bond yields rose, with the S&P 500 posting losses for the week after four straight weeks of gains.Amazon.com, Apple and Microsoft all fell and were the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Higher rates tend to be a negative for tech and growth stocks, whose valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the benchmark 10-year note nearly hitting 3%, after Germany reported record-high increases in monthly producer prices.Investors have been weighing how aggressive the Federal Reserve may need to be as it raises interest rates to battle inflation.Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said on Friday that U.S. central bank officials have \"a lot of time still\" before they need to decide how large an interest rate increase to approve at their Sept. 20-21 policy meeting.\"The rise in rates around the globe and tough talk from central bankers are being used as an excuse to push stocks lower in very light volume on an August Friday session,\" said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.3 points, or 0.86%, to 33,706.74, the S&P 500 lost 55.26 points, or 1.29%, to 4,228.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 260.13 points, or 2.01%, to 12,705.22.All three major indexes registered losses for the week. The S&P 500 fell about 1.2% and the Nasdaq slid 2.6% in their first weekly declines after four weeks of gains. The Dow lost about 0.2% for the week.After notching its worst first half since 1970, the S&P 500 has bounced some 16% from its mid-June low, fueled by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and hopes the economy can avoid a recession even as the Fed hikes rates.Friday's monthly options expiration should also make way for greater near-term stock market moves as options positions expire, said Brent Kochuba, founder of options-focused financial insights company SpotGamma.The U.S. central bank needs to keep raising borrowing costs to tame decades-high inflation, a string of U.S. central bank officials said on Thursday, even as they debated how fast and how high to lift them.The Fed has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 225 basis points since March to fight inflation at a four decade-high.Focus next week may be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on the economic outlook at the annual global central bankers' conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.Meme stock Bed Bath & Beyond Inc plunged 40.5% as billionaire investor Ryan Cohen exited the struggling home goods retailer by selling his stake.The S&P banking index fell 2.1% after recent gains.Shares of Deere & Co ended slightly higher, even after it lowered its full-year profit outlook and said it has sold out of large tractors as it grapples with parts shortages and high costs.Volume on U.S. exchanges was last at 10.01 billion shares in one of the lowest volume days of the year.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 6.06-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 43 new highs and 93 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999068507,"gmtCreate":1660441432611,"gmtModify":1676533470570,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999068507","repostId":"2259349706","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907550774,"gmtCreate":1660223416200,"gmtModify":1703482263217,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907550774","repostId":"1141311315","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141311315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660231805,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141311315?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-11 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARKK: Cathie Wood Now Playing Both Sides","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141311315","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBehind the scenes movements continue in multiple ETFs.Flagship fund ARKK is now essentially b","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Behind the scenes movements continue in multiple ETFs.</li><li>Flagship fund ARKK is now essentially buying and selling in the same day.</li><li>Transparency is a key as ARKK ETF&#39;s performance continues to deteriorate.</li></ul><p>Back in late March, I detailed how there was some unusual activity going onwith the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood&#39;s flagship fund was making more moves with some of its components than investors could see in the firm&#39;s daily trades e-mail. A number of months later, these behind the scenes moves have continued, but they just took another step further that really brings into question the firm&#39;s supposed transparency.</p><p>As a reminder, the ARKK ETF was effectively selling certain names behind the scenes. On a daily basis back then, 7 names were being underweighted when it came to inflows or redemptions. For example, if ARKK experienced an inflow equal to say 1% of its assets, these stocks might only get an inflow equal to say 0.3% of their previous day&#39;s position, or they might not have an increase at all. On days where there were redemptions, these select names would see a larger decrease in their positions, on a percentage basis, than the rest of the fund&#39;s holdings.</p><p>These unusual moves weren&#39;t just happening in the flagship fund, however. I also saw it happening in the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) that had some similar components to ARKK. Teladoc (TDOC) and CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) saw this underweighting happen in both ETFs, for example, and we&#39;re talking about quite significant share amounts that accumulated over time. It was hard to listen to Cathie Wood be so positive on Teladoc when she was effectively trying to reduce her firm&#39;s holding of the name without anyone really knowing unless you tracked every position on a daily basis.</p><p>Since I started tracking these occurrences earlier this year, I estimate about $300 million worth of stock has been impacted by these behind the scenes moves. That number is likely a bit low considering I&#39;ve only followed ARKK&#39;s daily changes in depth, with just a small focus on ARKG for a couple of weeks. If this situation is also happening in any of the firm&#39;s other four active ETFs, we could be talking about half a billion dollars or more of unusual activity. This is just what I&#39;ve seen so far in 2022, as this also happened last year as well, and we know the ARK ETFs have been around for several years now.</p><p>Cathie Wood and ARK Invest like to boast how transparent they are, but this activity would seem to go against that notion to quite a degree. Unfortunately, it seems the team there has taken this situation to another level this week. In the graphic below, you can see position changes for ARKK on Monday for a chunk of the ETF&#39;s holdings. The rest of the names not seen also showed a redemption equal to 0.40% of their Friday holding size.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e26fb195da40a81edfa5b79bd72607d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ARKK Changes August 8th(ARK Invest)</p><p>You will notice that Invitae (NVTA) shows a redemption of 70 basis points for the day, unlike the rest of the ETF&#39;s components that were down on Monday by 40 basis points. The genetics company has seen its shares drop in recent weeks after a major revenue warning put its growth story in question for the next couple of years. Cathie Wood has been a major supporter of Invitae in the past couple of years, accumulating a position from the double digits down to the low single digits where shares currently trade.</p><p>This small genetics firm is one of a handful of names where ARK Invest owns more than 10% of the entire company through its 8 total active and index ETFs. Invitae was one of the original 7 names back in March and April that saw this unusual inflow or redemption activity, and this pattern has continued with the stock for a number of months now. Monday, however, was different as you may have noticed above in the daily e-mail column. If you missed it, here&#39;s what ARK Invest detailed for its ARKK trades on Monday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/661bbd8e399c1fa687a1fbd5e9405969\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"386\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ARKK August 8th Trades(ARK Invest)</p><p>So to recap what happened here - on Monday, the ARKK ETF increased its allocation to Invitae by more than 626,000 shares. On the same day, Cathie Wood and her team reduced the Invitae allocation by 30 basis points of its prior trading day&#39;s position by underweighting it in the redemption basket. Thus, it appears that ARKK is trying to be positive on Invitae by showcasing it in the daily trades e-mail, but reducing the position behind the scenes a bit more due to redemptions than the rest of the ETF&#39;s holdings.</p><p>I should note that during these three major activities of unusual activity, the behind the scenes activity for Invitae has roughly equaled 3.6 million shares. This means that had the inflow or redemption amount on a percentage basis been the same for Invitae as the rest of the ETF&#39;s holdings on a daily basis, the ARKK position in Invitae would be nearly 20% more than its current roughly 18.4 million shares. That&#39;s quite a significant difference that most investors may not be aware of.</p><p>The idea of transparency here gains greater importance as Cathie Wood&#39;s active ETFs have performed terribly over the past 18 months or so. As pointed out on Twitter, 21 of the flagship fund&#39;s holdings have already reported a revenue, EPS, or subscriber miss during this earnings season so far, or they issued lower than expected revenue guidance for their current fiscal quarter and or year. With the dramatic pullback in ARKK shares from its nearly $160 peak to the high $40s currently, the ETF is now trailing the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) by more than 75 percentage points since inception as seen below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72f30fda7cff25e20ea7640267b73147\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ARKK vs. QQQ Performance (Yahoo! Finance)</p><p>In the end, the behind the scenes activity in ARKK has continued, but the fund took an extra step forward on Monday. The active ETF firm detailed that it increased its allocation by over 626 thousand shares of genetics company Invitae during the day, but also meaningfully underweighted the name for its redemption basket on Monday. This essentially makes it seem like Cathie Wood and her team are buying and selling the name at the same time, but really only highlighting the purchase activity in a more public way (the daily trades e-mail). In total, we&#39;re now talking about hundreds of millions of dollars&#39; worth of stock that has been impacted in less than six months. It&#39;s not a good look for a firm that continues to talk about its tremendous transparency, especially at a time when its performance is very disappointing.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARKK: Cathie Wood Now Playing Both Sides</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARKK: Cathie Wood Now Playing Both Sides\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-11 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532392-arkk-cathie-wood-now-playing-both-sides><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBehind the scenes movements continue in multiple ETFs.Flagship fund ARKK is now essentially buying and selling in the same day.Transparency is a key as ARKK ETF's performance continues to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532392-arkk-cathie-wood-now-playing-both-sides\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532392-arkk-cathie-wood-now-playing-both-sides","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141311315","content_text":"SummaryBehind the scenes movements continue in multiple ETFs.Flagship fund ARKK is now essentially buying and selling in the same day.Transparency is a key as ARKK ETF's performance continues to deteriorate.Back in late March, I detailed how there was some unusual activity going onwith the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's flagship fund was making more moves with some of its components than investors could see in the firm's daily trades e-mail. A number of months later, these behind the scenes moves have continued, but they just took another step further that really brings into question the firm's supposed transparency.As a reminder, the ARKK ETF was effectively selling certain names behind the scenes. On a daily basis back then, 7 names were being underweighted when it came to inflows or redemptions. For example, if ARKK experienced an inflow equal to say 1% of its assets, these stocks might only get an inflow equal to say 0.3% of their previous day's position, or they might not have an increase at all. On days where there were redemptions, these select names would see a larger decrease in their positions, on a percentage basis, than the rest of the fund's holdings.These unusual moves weren't just happening in the flagship fund, however. I also saw it happening in the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) that had some similar components to ARKK. Teladoc (TDOC) and CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) saw this underweighting happen in both ETFs, for example, and we're talking about quite significant share amounts that accumulated over time. It was hard to listen to Cathie Wood be so positive on Teladoc when she was effectively trying to reduce her firm's holding of the name without anyone really knowing unless you tracked every position on a daily basis.Since I started tracking these occurrences earlier this year, I estimate about $300 million worth of stock has been impacted by these behind the scenes moves. That number is likely a bit low considering I've only followed ARKK's daily changes in depth, with just a small focus on ARKG for a couple of weeks. If this situation is also happening in any of the firm's other four active ETFs, we could be talking about half a billion dollars or more of unusual activity. This is just what I've seen so far in 2022, as this also happened last year as well, and we know the ARK ETFs have been around for several years now.Cathie Wood and ARK Invest like to boast how transparent they are, but this activity would seem to go against that notion to quite a degree. Unfortunately, it seems the team there has taken this situation to another level this week. In the graphic below, you can see position changes for ARKK on Monday for a chunk of the ETF's holdings. The rest of the names not seen also showed a redemption equal to 0.40% of their Friday holding size.ARKK Changes August 8th(ARK Invest)You will notice that Invitae (NVTA) shows a redemption of 70 basis points for the day, unlike the rest of the ETF's components that were down on Monday by 40 basis points. The genetics company has seen its shares drop in recent weeks after a major revenue warning put its growth story in question for the next couple of years. Cathie Wood has been a major supporter of Invitae in the past couple of years, accumulating a position from the double digits down to the low single digits where shares currently trade.This small genetics firm is one of a handful of names where ARK Invest owns more than 10% of the entire company through its 8 total active and index ETFs. Invitae was one of the original 7 names back in March and April that saw this unusual inflow or redemption activity, and this pattern has continued with the stock for a number of months now. Monday, however, was different as you may have noticed above in the daily e-mail column. If you missed it, here's what ARK Invest detailed for its ARKK trades on Monday.ARKK August 8th Trades(ARK Invest)So to recap what happened here - on Monday, the ARKK ETF increased its allocation to Invitae by more than 626,000 shares. On the same day, Cathie Wood and her team reduced the Invitae allocation by 30 basis points of its prior trading day's position by underweighting it in the redemption basket. Thus, it appears that ARKK is trying to be positive on Invitae by showcasing it in the daily trades e-mail, but reducing the position behind the scenes a bit more due to redemptions than the rest of the ETF's holdings.I should note that during these three major activities of unusual activity, the behind the scenes activity for Invitae has roughly equaled 3.6 million shares. This means that had the inflow or redemption amount on a percentage basis been the same for Invitae as the rest of the ETF's holdings on a daily basis, the ARKK position in Invitae would be nearly 20% more than its current roughly 18.4 million shares. That's quite a significant difference that most investors may not be aware of.The idea of transparency here gains greater importance as Cathie Wood's active ETFs have performed terribly over the past 18 months or so. As pointed out on Twitter, 21 of the flagship fund's holdings have already reported a revenue, EPS, or subscriber miss during this earnings season so far, or they issued lower than expected revenue guidance for their current fiscal quarter and or year. With the dramatic pullback in ARKK shares from its nearly $160 peak to the high $40s currently, the ETF is now trailing the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) by more than 75 percentage points since inception as seen below.ARKK vs. QQQ Performance (Yahoo! Finance)In the end, the behind the scenes activity in ARKK has continued, but the fund took an extra step forward on Monday. The active ETF firm detailed that it increased its allocation by over 626 thousand shares of genetics company Invitae during the day, but also meaningfully underweighted the name for its redemption basket on Monday. This essentially makes it seem like Cathie Wood and her team are buying and selling the name at the same time, but really only highlighting the purchase activity in a more public way (the daily trades e-mail). In total, we're now talking about hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of stock that has been impacted in less than six months. It's not a good look for a firm that continues to talk about its tremendous transparency, especially at a time when its performance is very disappointing.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931258981,"gmtCreate":1662471588544,"gmtModify":1676537067525,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931258981","repostId":"1120803157","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120803157","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662471156,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120803157?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120803157","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.The Dow Jon","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 136 points, or 0.44%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.39% and 0.31% respectively. U.S. markets were closed Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.</p><p>CVS Health said Monday it’s buying Signify Health for roughly $8 billion, while Volkswagen shared its plan to float Porsche for an initial public offering.</p><p>On Friday, the major averages closed out their third negative week in a row. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first six-day losing streak since 2019, ending the session 1.3% lower, while the Dow erased a 370-point gain on Friday to close about 1.1% lower. The S&amp;P shed 1.1% to its lowest close since July.</p><p>In the holiday-shortened week, investors are looking ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve presidents and a fresh rate hike decision from the European Central bank due out later this week. August PMI services and ISM services data are slated for Tuesday, giving more important information about the state of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“This is the week where everyone’s back,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Everyone’s back to school, back to trading, a lot of people are back into the office. There’s still a lot of pessimism here that we could continue to see inflation rear its ugly head and that should warrant more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-06 21:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 136 points, or 0.44%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.39% and 0.31% respectively. U.S. markets were closed Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.</p><p>CVS Health said Monday it’s buying Signify Health for roughly $8 billion, while Volkswagen shared its plan to float Porsche for an initial public offering.</p><p>On Friday, the major averages closed out their third negative week in a row. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first six-day losing streak since 2019, ending the session 1.3% lower, while the Dow erased a 370-point gain on Friday to close about 1.1% lower. The S&amp;P shed 1.1% to its lowest close since July.</p><p>In the holiday-shortened week, investors are looking ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve presidents and a fresh rate hike decision from the European Central bank due out later this week. August PMI services and ISM services data are slated for Tuesday, giving more important information about the state of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“This is the week where everyone’s back,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Everyone’s back to school, back to trading, a lot of people are back into the office. There’s still a lot of pessimism here that we could continue to see inflation rear its ugly head and that should warrant more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120803157","content_text":"Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 136 points, or 0.44%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.39% and 0.31% respectively. U.S. markets were closed Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.CVS Health said Monday it’s buying Signify Health for roughly $8 billion, while Volkswagen shared its plan to float Porsche for an initial public offering.On Friday, the major averages closed out their third negative week in a row. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first six-day losing streak since 2019, ending the session 1.3% lower, while the Dow erased a 370-point gain on Friday to close about 1.1% lower. The S&P shed 1.1% to its lowest close since July.In the holiday-shortened week, investors are looking ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve presidents and a fresh rate hike decision from the European Central bank due out later this week. August PMI services and ISM services data are slated for Tuesday, giving more important information about the state of the U.S. economy.“This is the week where everyone’s back,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Everyone’s back to school, back to trading, a lot of people are back into the office. There’s still a lot of pessimism here that we could continue to see inflation rear its ugly head and that should warrant more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993178094,"gmtCreate":1660655309321,"gmtModify":1676536372762,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993178094","repostId":"1138006464","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990674490,"gmtCreate":1660353349912,"gmtModify":1676533456419,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990674490","repostId":"1129150866","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129150866","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660352614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129150866?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-13 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129150866","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e150d7de731c2e2e0ebee4395029900d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The S&amp;P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned that it might not be a signal to go all in on equities.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 on Friday rose 1.7% to close at 4,280.15. The finish above 4,231 would mean the large-cap benchmark has recovered — or retraced — more than 50% of its fall from a Jan. 3 record finish at 4796.56.</p><p>“Since 1950 there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, in a note earlier this month.</p><p>Stocks rose across the board Friday, with the S&amp;P 500 booking a fourth straight weekly gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced more than 420 points, or 1.3%, on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 attempted to complete the retracement in Thursday’s session, when it traded as high as 4,257.91, but gave up gains to end at 4,207.27.</p><p>Krinsky, in a Thursday update, had noted that an intraday breach of the level doesn’t cut it, but had cautioned that a close above 4,231 would still leave him cautious about the near-term outlook.</p><p>“Because the retracement is based on a closing basis, we would want to see a close above 4,231 to trigger that signal. Whether or not that happens, however, the tactical risk/reward looks poor to us here,” he wrote.</p><p>What’s so special about a 50% retracement? Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…).</p><p>If a number in the sequence is divided by the next number, for example 8 divided by 13, the result is near 0.618, a ratio that’s been dubbed the Golden Mean due to its prevalence in nature in everything from seashells to ocean waves to proportions of the human body. Back on Wall Street, technical analysts see key retracement targets for a rally from a significant low to a significant peak at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, while retracements of 23.6% and 76.4% are seen as secondary targets.</p><p>The push above the 50% retracement level during Thursday’s recession may have contributed to a round of selling itself, said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Friday note.</p><p>He observed that the retracement corresponded to a 65-day high for the S&amp;P 500, offering another indication of an improving trend in a bear market as it represents the highest level of the last rolling quarter. A 65-day high is often seen as a default signal for commodity trading advisers, not just in the S&amp;P 500 but in commodity, bond and forex markets as well.</p><p>“That level coincidentally corresponded with the 50% retracement level of the bear market,” he wrote. “In essence, it forced the hand of one group to cover shorts (CTAs) while simultaneously giving another group (Fibonacci followers) an excuse to sell” on Thursday.</p><p>Krinsky, meanwhile, cautioned that previous 50% retracements in 1974, 2004, and 2009 all saw decent shakeouts shortly after clearing that threshold.</p><p>“Further, as the market has cheered ‘peak inflation’, we are now seeing a quiet resurgence in many commodities, and bonds continue to weaken,” he wrote Thursday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-13 09:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129150866","content_text":"The S&P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned that it might not be a signal to go all in on equities.The S&P 500 on Friday rose 1.7% to close at 4,280.15. The finish above 4,231 would mean the large-cap benchmark has recovered — or retraced — more than 50% of its fall from a Jan. 3 record finish at 4796.56.“Since 1950 there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, in a note earlier this month.Stocks rose across the board Friday, with the S&P 500 booking a fourth straight weekly gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced more than 420 points, or 1.3%, on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.1%. The S&P 500 attempted to complete the retracement in Thursday’s session, when it traded as high as 4,257.91, but gave up gains to end at 4,207.27.Krinsky, in a Thursday update, had noted that an intraday breach of the level doesn’t cut it, but had cautioned that a close above 4,231 would still leave him cautious about the near-term outlook.“Because the retracement is based on a closing basis, we would want to see a close above 4,231 to trigger that signal. Whether or not that happens, however, the tactical risk/reward looks poor to us here,” he wrote.What’s so special about a 50% retracement? Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…).If a number in the sequence is divided by the next number, for example 8 divided by 13, the result is near 0.618, a ratio that’s been dubbed the Golden Mean due to its prevalence in nature in everything from seashells to ocean waves to proportions of the human body. Back on Wall Street, technical analysts see key retracement targets for a rally from a significant low to a significant peak at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, while retracements of 23.6% and 76.4% are seen as secondary targets.The push above the 50% retracement level during Thursday’s recession may have contributed to a round of selling itself, said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Friday note.He observed that the retracement corresponded to a 65-day high for the S&P 500, offering another indication of an improving trend in a bear market as it represents the highest level of the last rolling quarter. A 65-day high is often seen as a default signal for commodity trading advisers, not just in the S&P 500 but in commodity, bond and forex markets as well.“That level coincidentally corresponded with the 50% retracement level of the bear market,” he wrote. “In essence, it forced the hand of one group to cover shorts (CTAs) while simultaneously giving another group (Fibonacci followers) an excuse to sell” on Thursday.Krinsky, meanwhile, cautioned that previous 50% retracements in 1974, 2004, and 2009 all saw decent shakeouts shortly after clearing that threshold.“Further, as the market has cheered ‘peak inflation’, we are now seeing a quiet resurgence in many commodities, and bonds continue to weaken,” he wrote Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995163467,"gmtCreate":1661431016861,"gmtModify":1676536516936,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995163467","repostId":"1198167069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198167069","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661429492,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198167069?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Tesla Shares in the Limelight; Nvidia Stock Underperforms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198167069","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Thursday, supported by megacap growth stocks as Treasury bond yield","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Thursday, supported by megacap growth stocks as Treasury bond yields dipped, while focus turned to the Federal Reserve&#39;s annual Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the central bank&#39;s monetary policy outlook.</p><p>Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s speech due on Friday will be scrutinized for any indication that an economic slowdown might alter the Fed&#39;s strategy and if the central bank can achieve a &#34;soft landing&#34; for the economy.</p><p>Electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc rose 2.1% after its 3-for-1 stock split came into effect.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:53 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 99 points, or 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.56%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 90.5 points, or 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd1b04c8517b1ba18468e085d83775af\" tg-width=\"423\" tg-height=\"180\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b> – Nvidia fell 3.2% in the premarket after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines with its quarterly results. The graphics chipmaker also issued a tepid forecast, as its gaming business continues to deal with weakening demand.</p><p><b>Grab</b> <b>(GRAB) </b>– Grab Holdings Ltd. reported a better-than-expected 79% revenue increase, buoyed by resilient demand from consumers who continued to hail rides and order food despite rising inflation. Grab shares jumped 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Snowflake (SNOW)</b> – Snowflake shares soared 19% off-hours trading after the data software company reported better than expected quarterly revenue. CEO Frank Slootman said the company’s consumption-based model – which lets customers adjust how much they use Snowflake’s services after signing a contract – is proving to be an advantage.</p><p><b>Peloton (PTON)</b> – Peloton tumbled 15.7% in premarket trading after reporting a larger than expected loss and revenue that fell well short of Street forecasts. Peloton also said its connected fitness business would remain challenging into 2023.</p><p><b>Salesforce (CRM)</b> – Salesforce slid 7.6% in premarket trading after the business software giant cut its full year guidance, as economic uncertainty slows the pace of customer deals. Salesforce posted better than expected sales and profit for its most recent quarter.</p><p><b>Dollar Tree (DLTR)</b> – The discount retailer&#39;s stock slid 7.4% in the premarket after cutting its full-year earnings forecast, due to the impact of pricing-related investments at its Family Dollar stores. Dollar Tree reported better than expected profit for its latest quarter, with revenue in line with Wall Street estimates.</p><p><b>Dollar General (DG)</b> – Dollar General reported better than expected quarterly results, as well as same-store sales that rose more than analysts had anticipated. The discount retailer also increased its share repurchase authorization. The stock had been higher in the premarket but dipped negative after rival Dollar Tree cut its full-year forecast.</p><p><b>Telehealth stocks</b> – Shares of telehealth companies jumped following news that <b>Amazon.com (AMZN)</b> is shutting down its in-house telehealth service for employees. <b>Teladoc Health (TDOC)</b> gained 6.4%, <b>Hims &amp; Hers Health (HIMS) </b>added 4.2% and <b>Amwell (AMWL)</b> jumped 5.2%.</p><p><b>Victoria&#39;s Secret (VSCO)</b> – Victoria&#39;s Secret lost 3.8% in premarket trading after the women&#39;s intimate apparel maker cut its full year outlook. The company said it expected its customers to be impacted by inflation and other financial challenges.</p><p><b>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch (ANF)</b> – Abercrombie shares took a 14.2% hit in the premarket after the apparel retailer reported an unexpected quarterly loss and lower than expected revenue numbers. It also cut its full year sales forecast, citing the impact of inflation.</p><p><b>Autodesk (ADSK)</b> – The design software maker’s stock surged 8.7% in premarket action after it gave an upbeat financial forecast and called demand “robust.”  It also reported better than expected results for its latest quarter.</p><p><b>Callaway Golf (ELY)</b> – Callaway Golf rose 0.1% in the premarket after announcing plans to change its name to Topgolf Callaway Brands, to reflect a lifestyle approach to its golf equipment and apparel offerings. The name change will be effective on or about September 6.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Tesla Shares in the Limelight As 3-1 Stock Split Kicks in</b></p><p>Tesla Inc&#39;s shares take center stage on Thursday after the world&#39;s most valuable automaker split its stock for the second time in as many years to woo more retail investors.</p><p>The shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on Aug. 25.</p><p>The stock closed at $891.29 on Wednesday before the three-for-one split took effect.</p><p><b>Biden to Cancel Student Debt for Millions</b></p><p>President Biden will forgive up to $20,000 in federal student loan debt for tens of millions of Americans, a move that will provide unprecedented relief for borrowers but is certain to draw legal challenges and political pushback.</p><p>Following more than a year of internal debate, the president said Wednesday that he will cancel $10,000 in federal student loan debt for borrowers making under $125,000 a year or couples making less than $250,000 a year. In addition, those who receive federal Pell Grants and make less than $125,000 a year would be eligible for total forgiveness of $20,000, Mr. Biden said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Tesla Shares in the Limelight; Nvidia Stock Underperforms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Tesla Shares in the Limelight; Nvidia Stock Underperforms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-25 20:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Thursday, supported by megacap growth stocks as Treasury bond yields dipped, while focus turned to the Federal Reserve&#39;s annual Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the central bank&#39;s monetary policy outlook.</p><p>Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s speech due on Friday will be scrutinized for any indication that an economic slowdown might alter the Fed&#39;s strategy and if the central bank can achieve a &#34;soft landing&#34; for the economy.</p><p>Electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc rose 2.1% after its 3-for-1 stock split came into effect.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:53 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 99 points, or 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.56%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 90.5 points, or 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd1b04c8517b1ba18468e085d83775af\" tg-width=\"423\" tg-height=\"180\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b> – Nvidia fell 3.2% in the premarket after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines with its quarterly results. The graphics chipmaker also issued a tepid forecast, as its gaming business continues to deal with weakening demand.</p><p><b>Grab</b> <b>(GRAB) </b>– Grab Holdings Ltd. reported a better-than-expected 79% revenue increase, buoyed by resilient demand from consumers who continued to hail rides and order food despite rising inflation. Grab shares jumped 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Snowflake (SNOW)</b> – Snowflake shares soared 19% off-hours trading after the data software company reported better than expected quarterly revenue. CEO Frank Slootman said the company’s consumption-based model – which lets customers adjust how much they use Snowflake’s services after signing a contract – is proving to be an advantage.</p><p><b>Peloton (PTON)</b> – Peloton tumbled 15.7% in premarket trading after reporting a larger than expected loss and revenue that fell well short of Street forecasts. Peloton also said its connected fitness business would remain challenging into 2023.</p><p><b>Salesforce (CRM)</b> – Salesforce slid 7.6% in premarket trading after the business software giant cut its full year guidance, as economic uncertainty slows the pace of customer deals. Salesforce posted better than expected sales and profit for its most recent quarter.</p><p><b>Dollar Tree (DLTR)</b> – The discount retailer&#39;s stock slid 7.4% in the premarket after cutting its full-year earnings forecast, due to the impact of pricing-related investments at its Family Dollar stores. Dollar Tree reported better than expected profit for its latest quarter, with revenue in line with Wall Street estimates.</p><p><b>Dollar General (DG)</b> – Dollar General reported better than expected quarterly results, as well as same-store sales that rose more than analysts had anticipated. The discount retailer also increased its share repurchase authorization. The stock had been higher in the premarket but dipped negative after rival Dollar Tree cut its full-year forecast.</p><p><b>Telehealth stocks</b> – Shares of telehealth companies jumped following news that <b>Amazon.com (AMZN)</b> is shutting down its in-house telehealth service for employees. <b>Teladoc Health (TDOC)</b> gained 6.4%, <b>Hims &amp; Hers Health (HIMS) </b>added 4.2% and <b>Amwell (AMWL)</b> jumped 5.2%.</p><p><b>Victoria&#39;s Secret (VSCO)</b> – Victoria&#39;s Secret lost 3.8% in premarket trading after the women&#39;s intimate apparel maker cut its full year outlook. The company said it expected its customers to be impacted by inflation and other financial challenges.</p><p><b>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch (ANF)</b> – Abercrombie shares took a 14.2% hit in the premarket after the apparel retailer reported an unexpected quarterly loss and lower than expected revenue numbers. It also cut its full year sales forecast, citing the impact of inflation.</p><p><b>Autodesk (ADSK)</b> – The design software maker’s stock surged 8.7% in premarket action after it gave an upbeat financial forecast and called demand “robust.”  It also reported better than expected results for its latest quarter.</p><p><b>Callaway Golf (ELY)</b> – Callaway Golf rose 0.1% in the premarket after announcing plans to change its name to Topgolf Callaway Brands, to reflect a lifestyle approach to its golf equipment and apparel offerings. The name change will be effective on or about September 6.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Tesla Shares in the Limelight As 3-1 Stock Split Kicks in</b></p><p>Tesla Inc&#39;s shares take center stage on Thursday after the world&#39;s most valuable automaker split its stock for the second time in as many years to woo more retail investors.</p><p>The shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on Aug. 25.</p><p>The stock closed at $891.29 on Wednesday before the three-for-one split took effect.</p><p><b>Biden to Cancel Student Debt for Millions</b></p><p>President Biden will forgive up to $20,000 in federal student loan debt for tens of millions of Americans, a move that will provide unprecedented relief for borrowers but is certain to draw legal challenges and political pushback.</p><p>Following more than a year of internal debate, the president said Wednesday that he will cancel $10,000 in federal student loan debt for borrowers making under $125,000 a year or couples making less than $250,000 a year. In addition, those who receive federal Pell Grants and make less than $125,000 a year would be eligible for total forgiveness of $20,000, Mr. Biden said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","SNOW":"Snowflake","NVDA":"英伟达","MODG":"Topgolf Callaway Brands Ord Shs","ANF":"爱芬奇","DLTR":"美元树公司","ADSK":"欧特克","DG":"美国达乐公司","AMWL":"American Well Corp","GRAB":"Grab Holdings",".DJI":"道琼斯","TSLA":"特斯拉",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CRM":"赛富时",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","HIMS":"Hims & Hers Health Inc.","VSCO":"维多利亚的秘密"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198167069","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Thursday, supported by megacap growth stocks as Treasury bond yields dipped, while focus turned to the Federal Reserve's annual Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the central bank's monetary policy outlook.Chair Jerome Powell's speech due on Friday will be scrutinized for any indication that an economic slowdown might alter the Fed's strategy and if the central bank can achieve a \"soft landing\" for the economy.Electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc rose 2.1% after its 3-for-1 stock split came into effect.Market SnapshotAt 7:53 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 99 points, or 0.3%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.56%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 90.5 points, or 0.7%.Pre-Market MoversNvidia (NVDA) – Nvidia fell 3.2% in the premarket after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines with its quarterly results. The graphics chipmaker also issued a tepid forecast, as its gaming business continues to deal with weakening demand.Grab (GRAB) – Grab Holdings Ltd. reported a better-than-expected 79% revenue increase, buoyed by resilient demand from consumers who continued to hail rides and order food despite rising inflation. Grab shares jumped 6.1% in premarket trading.Snowflake (SNOW) – Snowflake shares soared 19% off-hours trading after the data software company reported better than expected quarterly revenue. CEO Frank Slootman said the company’s consumption-based model – which lets customers adjust how much they use Snowflake’s services after signing a contract – is proving to be an advantage.Peloton (PTON) – Peloton tumbled 15.7% in premarket trading after reporting a larger than expected loss and revenue that fell well short of Street forecasts. Peloton also said its connected fitness business would remain challenging into 2023.Salesforce (CRM) – Salesforce slid 7.6% in premarket trading after the business software giant cut its full year guidance, as economic uncertainty slows the pace of customer deals. Salesforce posted better than expected sales and profit for its most recent quarter.Dollar Tree (DLTR) – The discount retailer's stock slid 7.4% in the premarket after cutting its full-year earnings forecast, due to the impact of pricing-related investments at its Family Dollar stores. Dollar Tree reported better than expected profit for its latest quarter, with revenue in line with Wall Street estimates.Dollar General (DG) – Dollar General reported better than expected quarterly results, as well as same-store sales that rose more than analysts had anticipated. The discount retailer also increased its share repurchase authorization. The stock had been higher in the premarket but dipped negative after rival Dollar Tree cut its full-year forecast.Telehealth stocks – Shares of telehealth companies jumped following news that Amazon.com (AMZN) is shutting down its in-house telehealth service for employees. Teladoc Health (TDOC) gained 6.4%, Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) added 4.2% and Amwell (AMWL) jumped 5.2%.Victoria's Secret (VSCO) – Victoria's Secret lost 3.8% in premarket trading after the women's intimate apparel maker cut its full year outlook. The company said it expected its customers to be impacted by inflation and other financial challenges.Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) – Abercrombie shares took a 14.2% hit in the premarket after the apparel retailer reported an unexpected quarterly loss and lower than expected revenue numbers. It also cut its full year sales forecast, citing the impact of inflation.Autodesk (ADSK) – The design software maker’s stock surged 8.7% in premarket action after it gave an upbeat financial forecast and called demand “robust.”  It also reported better than expected results for its latest quarter.Callaway Golf (ELY) – Callaway Golf rose 0.1% in the premarket after announcing plans to change its name to Topgolf Callaway Brands, to reflect a lifestyle approach to its golf equipment and apparel offerings. The name change will be effective on or about September 6.Market NewsTesla Shares in the Limelight As 3-1 Stock Split Kicks inTesla Inc's shares take center stage on Thursday after the world's most valuable automaker split its stock for the second time in as many years to woo more retail investors.The shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on Aug. 25.The stock closed at $891.29 on Wednesday before the three-for-one split took effect.Biden to Cancel Student Debt for MillionsPresident Biden will forgive up to $20,000 in federal student loan debt for tens of millions of Americans, a move that will provide unprecedented relief for borrowers but is certain to draw legal challenges and political pushback.Following more than a year of internal debate, the president said Wednesday that he will cancel $10,000 in federal student loan debt for borrowers making under $125,000 a year or couples making less than $250,000 a year. In addition, those who receive federal Pell Grants and make less than $125,000 a year would be eligible for total forgiveness of $20,000, Mr. Biden said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998757969,"gmtCreate":1661062813354,"gmtModify":1676536448062,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998757969","repostId":"1136360990","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136360990","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661049046,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136360990?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-21 10:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GME vs. BBBY: Which Meme Stock is Less Risky?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136360990","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsMeme stocks get plenty of attention from both retail investors and the media alike, ","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsMeme stocks get plenty of attention from both retail investors and the media alike, but they generally aren’t worth investing in. The fundamentals of the following two stocks show why ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/gme-vs-bbby-which-meme-stock-is-less-risky\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GME vs. BBBY: Which Meme Stock is Less Risky?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGME vs. BBBY: Which Meme Stock is Less Risky?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 10:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/gme-vs-bbby-which-meme-stock-is-less-risky><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsMeme stocks get plenty of attention from both retail investors and the media alike, but they generally aren’t worth investing in. The fundamentals of the following two stocks show why ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/gme-vs-bbby-which-meme-stock-is-less-risky\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BBBY":"3B家居"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/gme-vs-bbby-which-meme-stock-is-less-risky","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136360990","content_text":"Story HighlightsMeme stocks get plenty of attention from both retail investors and the media alike, but they generally aren’t worth investing in. The fundamentals of the following two stocks show why investors may be advised to steer clear of all meme names.The investing world has gone through significant changes over the last two or three years. One of the most significant changes has been the addition of meme stocks. In this piece, we used TipRanks’ Comparison Tool to evaluate two meme stocks — GME and BBBY. The two companies share many similarities. However, there is one critical difference between these two that makes BBBY look shakier than GME.Investors should do their due diligence carefully before diving into such highly-volatile names. Unfortunately, many less experienced investors jump on the bandwagon when they see these meme names skyrocket, often too late to earn any money.The extreme volatility of meme stocks can be a double-edged sword. On the one hand, investors can make millions of dollars in a single day by investing in these stocks, but on the other, attempting to capture such gains can be like trying to catch a falling knife.A Brief History of Meme StocksMeme stocks are so volatile because of their cult-like followings, generally consisting of retail investors who coordinate their purchases of these shares on social media. Such steep rises and falls may seem like a pump and dump scheme, but these movements lack the influence of a professional promoter who is paid to pump up the price of a stock.The stock prices aren’t pumped up with the goal of defrauding other investors. Instead, retail investors appear to want to see how high they can get the stock to go.Virtually any stock can be classified as a meme stock simply because chatter on an online forum suddenly picks up. In GameStop’s case, chatter about it on the well-known (and notorious, some would say) Reddit forum WallStreetBets started abruptly in August 2020.Investors on the forum started gobbling up its shares, egging each other on in the process and ultimately triggering a short squeeze in January 2021.Many or even most of the companies that capture the attention of the masses lack the fundamentals to back up the sudden surges in their prices. For example, GameStop shares soared despite the retailer announcing plans to shutter 1,000 stores by March 2021. Another common trait of meme stocks is high short interest.In addition to triggering a short squeeze, the mob that pumped up GameStop’s stock also delighted in causing pain for hedge funds. In a David-versus-Goliath narrative, several hedge funds ran into serious trouble due to their sizable short positions in the video game retailer. At least one hedge fund required a bailout to avoid collapse due to the size of its short position.GameStopAs is typical with meme stocks, GameStop enjoys positive sentiment among retail investors but negative news sentiment and bearish blogger sentiment. The retailer’s P/E stands at -23.4x.A negative P/E ratio indicates that GameStop is losing money, which should be the first clue that it’s in financial hot water. However, given Wall Street’s euphoric behavior in recent years, money-losing companies often have high stock prices, so a deeper analysis is required.GameStop surged suddenly on August 16, climbing from about $39 to almost $45 a share in less than an hour. However, the stock started to reverse course the same day, and it now finds itself in the $36 range.It should be noted that GameStop management took advantage of the hype by performing a four-for-one split on July 21. In its most recently completed quarter,the retailer reported losses of $0.52 per share, or $157.9 million, on $1.38 billion in revenue.The consensus had suggested per-share losses of $0.36 on $1.32 billion in sales, so the losses were significantly worse than expected. GameStop even lost money during the all-important holiday shopping quarter, reporting $147.5 million ($0.49 per share) in losses on $2.25 billion in revenue.Ultimately, it’s hard to find anything to like about GameStop. While bankruptcy may not look as imminent as it did before it gained meme-stock status, the company is losing money at such a rapid clip that it’s hard to imagine that it has many more years left without a major overhaul of its business model.The only good news for GameStop is its balance sheet, which shows $1.035 billion in cash and equivalents with $617 million in debt (when including lease obligations) and $1.67 billion in total liabilities. Retail investors have given the company so much money over the last couple of years that it was able to raise $1.68 billion by selling more shares to shore up its balance sheet.GameStop has been trying to reinvent itself, starting with the addition of Chewy (CHWY) co-founder Ryan Cohen as chairman of its board in June 2021. However, the retailer’s future is far from a sure thing, so at this point, its valuation hinges on the whims of the masses, making it impossible to predict its price movement.On Wall Street, GameStop has a Moderate Sell consensus rating based on zero Buys, one Hold, and one Sell rating assigned over the last three months. At $17.50, the average GameStop price target implies downside potential of 52%.Bed Bath & BeyondBed Bath & Beyond shares plunged over 40% on August 19, erasing some of the gains they’ve enjoyed over the last month. The stock has more than doubled over the last 30 days, and like GameStop, it has a negative P/E ratio, coming in at -1.0x.Bed Bath & Beyond is also bleeding money, posting losses of $357.67 million or $2.83 per share on $1.46 billion in sales for the most recently completed quarter. The consensus had called for losses of $1.39 per share on $1.51 billion in revenue.Like GameStop, Bed Bath & Beyond didn’t even report a positive holiday quarter, as its February earnings report revealed losses of $159.1 million or $1.79 per share on $2.05 billion in sales. Also, like GameStop, there isn’t much to like about Bed Bath & Beyond either.However, the video game retailer is actually in a better cash position. Bed Bath & Beyond’s balance sheet is anemic, with $107.5 million in cash and equivalents versus nearly $3.3 billion in debt and total liabilities of $5.17 billion.The retailer reportedly tapped law firm Kirkland & Ellis, which specializes in bankruptcies and restructuring, to deal with its debt problem. Additionally, it hasn’t taken any steps to try to rectify its situation like GameStop has in its intended transformation.Unsurprisingly, Bed Bath & Beyond has a Strong Sell consensus rating based on zero Buys, one Hold, and 12 Sell ratings over the last three months. At $3.84, the average Bed Bath & Beyond price forecast implies downside potential of 65.2%.Conclusion: Meme Stocks Should Probably be Avoided AltogetherIf comparing the original meme stock with the mob’s new favorite reveals anything, it should be that stocks that earn meme status generally should be avoided. It can be exciting to hitch a ride to the clouds, but investors who weren’t the ones driving the original rise via social media should be wary. The bottom can fall out at any time, and if there’s no cash to cushion the company’s fall, investors will go down with it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262283783499888,"gmtCreate":1705068298216,"gmtModify":1705068302809,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and play together&nbsp;","listText":"Come and play together&nbsp;","text":"Come and play together","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262283783499888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583011761877766","authorId":"3583011761877766","name":"Doris11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3358aeedff213df7d1787b8f5e7a99ec","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583011761877766","authorIdStr":"3583011761877766"},"content":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","html":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936876200,"gmtCreate":1662763130401,"gmtModify":1676537133361,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936876200","repostId":"1121193410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121193410","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662736920,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121193410?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121193410","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al.Howev","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.</li><li>It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al.</li><li>However, its June-quarter results topped expectations largely driven by a healthy ramp-up of total deliveries despite all the challenges.</li><li>It also demonstrated its pricing muscle and showed that its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale.</li><li>Going forward, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis and Background</b></p><p>Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) essentially took a stress test in the past two quarters. And to investors’ relief, it passed the test. Although we look more closely (which we will in the next section), there are still some lingering issues in its scorecard. But overall, its June-quarter results topped expectations despite the multitude of challenges it faced in the first half of the year, including limited production and shutdowns at its factory in Shanghai for most of the quarter, ongoing supply-chain disruptions, and rising labor and raw materials cost. Despite all these challenges, revenues for the June quarter went up 42% YoY and the total deliveries reached almost 255K (a 27% increase YoY). Looking forward, management is targeting record production in the second half of the year.</p><p>At the same time, TSLA has also demonstrated its pricing muscle amid soaring inflation. Later in the article, you will see that the average unit sale price went up by almost 10% compared to the previous quarter and by more than 16% compared to the 4thquarter of 2021. Yet, customers are still flocking to buy its cars as quickly as it can make them.</p><p>Such pricing and the resilience of its integrated production system form a powerful combination. Moreover, its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale. As the Gigafactories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree as elaborated on next immediately.</p><p><b>TSLA’s stress test</b></p><p>The following chart illustrates the nature of the stress test that Tesla just took in the past two quarters. This chart shows the average CFO (cash from operations) per vehicle and also the average unit price per vehicle since 2015. To set the background, you can see very clearly that Tesla has passed the pivot point of critical scale around 2018. Since 2015, it was able to make an improving profit per vehicle while the unit price (i.e., the price tag on each vehicle) has actually been DECLINING. The average price tag for a TSLA vehicle was around $80.9K back in 2015 (when one of my friends joked that it was like driving a piece of jewelry with limited range). The average price declined to $57.5K in 2021, while the net profits soared during the same period, as you can see. And the net profit turned positive in 2018, a clear indicator of passing the breakeven point.</p><p>Then came the stress test in 2022. Due to all of the above-mentioned challenges, the business had to increase the unit price from an average of $57.5K per vehicle in 2021 to $66.5K in Q2 of 2022, a price increase of 15.6%. It is undoubtedly good news that the business has the pricing power to increase the price at such a substantial magnitude. However, the bad news is that the price increase itself is not sufficient to overcome the inflation cost, raw materials, et al. As a result, the net profit per vehicle actually decreased as seen. The average CFO per vehicle reached a peak of $12.2K in 2021 and declined to $9.23K in Q2 2022, a decline of more than 25%.</p><p>So overall, it turned in a good scorecard with some lingering issues, and we will examine these issues more next.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e7881b443d2c420626b971f109ca311\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</p><p><b>TSLA’s fixed cost and variable cost</b></p><p>For a production business like TSLA, the basic economics are well-understood and shown in the following chart taken from <i>A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing</i> by Thomas P. Au. As also explained in the book,</p><blockquote><i>Profit is a function of volume, price, and cost, as shown in the next figure. Costs come in two varieties, fixed costs and the variable cost (shown as F and M * V in the figure, where M is the marginal cost of producing an additional unit and V is the production volume). Fix costs include things like plant and equipment (especially the depreciation thereon) and also most capital costs (such as interest expenses). Fixed costs were incurred upfront and do not vary with the level of output. A production business has to first pass the breakeven point to make a profit. After it breaks the critical volume of sales, the fixed costs are spread out on more and more units and profit margins will improve.</i></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5c669923352cb292c185f41f4ea4fd9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing by Thomas P. Au</p><p>The next chart shows how these dynamics are playing out at TSLA. The chart shows my estimates of TSLA’s fixed cost and variable costs. The plot is made in double-logarithmic scales. The blue line shows its total revenue and the orange line shows my best fit to the model above based on its actual data.</p><p>You can see again that the break-even point occurred somewhere close to 100K vehicles (where the blue line and orange intersect). And in reality, its total vehicle deliveries exceeded 100K for the first time in 2017, corroborating the validity of the fit. By calculating the slope of the orange line, we can also determine the variable cost to be about $42,000 per vehicle for TSLA. By extrapolating the orange line to the left, you could see that the fixed cost is about $2 billion. Moreover, by extrapolating the orange line all the way to 1M vehicle delivery (which it aims to reach this year), we can project the fixed cost, the variable cost, and also the profit (i.e., the difference between the blue and orange lines).</p><p>Under a double-log scale, the difference is hard to see. So, in the next section, I will tabulate these numbers and project them into the next few years also.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5520e0e03cd80a27fd4c847f92439068\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p><b>TSLA Stock’s profit and return projections</b></p><p>This next table repeats the same information that I obtained from the fitting (especially, the average fixed cost, variable cost, and net profit per vehicle) shown in the chart above. Except it is presented in a tabular form this time.</p><p>Based on these parameters, we can also make projections about the TSLA’s revenues and profits going forward. To summarize, the key parameters are: A) the variable cost per vehicle is $42,000; and B) a fixed cost of $2B. Finally, I also made the assumption that: A) the operating expenses are 13% of total sales, which is consistent with its current levels; B) it can maintain the current average vehicle price tag of $66,000; and C) its annual production would grow at 30% CAGR.</p><p>As can be seen, based on these projections. Its total revenues are projected to reach about $188B. The projection is quite close to the consensus estimate of $191B in 2026 as shown below. Assuming the consensus estimates are reached by other independent methods, such agreement serves as another good sign of the validity of the above model and fitting. And a fundamental understanding of its variable cost and fixed cost can provide us with powerful insights into its profit drivers and understand future returns.</p><p>For example, right now, there is no doubt that the business is expensively valued. However, with the above fixed cost and variable cost, the table shows that it can benefit from the scale of production to a further degree going forward. Total revenues are projected to reach $188B in 2026 and EBITDA earnings are projected to reach $45B by 2026. Under the current price, price to sales ratio would be about 5.1x in 2026, the EV/sales ratio about 5.2x, and the EV/EBITDA ratio about 21x. The P/S and EV/S ratios would not be that different from the overall market by then.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98d10ac6399c754be5f519058eac954f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author: TSLA’s profit and return projections</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcc4fe07e1d74f5be8ebf212d915aeb0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"236\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Final thoughts and risks</b></p><p>To recap, I see the past two quarters as a stress test on Tesla and I further see it passed the test. There should no longer be any doubt about its profitability, production resilience, and pricing power after this test. Going forward, a few catalysts could further boost its profitability in the near future. As the Shanghai Gigafactory resumes operation and factories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree. Its recent advancements in full self-driving software add further optionality and upward potential for shareholders.</p><p>However, there are a few lingering issues on its scorecard. The price increase itself was not sufficient to overcome the rising costs. Profit per vehicle actually decreased by more than 25% despite an almost 16% increase in the average sales price tag per vehicle. Going forward, I see such cost control (raw materials, labor, and general inflation) challenges to persist. And finally, it is just in general difficult to predict things that grow at fast rates, which is an inherent risk with nonlinear stocks like TSLA. TSLA management repeatedly mentioned its goal and confidence of growing deliveries at 50% annual rates, while other sources’ estimates are all over the place. For example, Morning Star analysis assumes Tesla only delivers around 5.7 million vehicles by 2030, well below management’s target. While Cathie Wood believes (or believed) that Tesla can sell 20m vehicles a year by 2025. You can see such variance (and hence risks) by the huge difference in the low and high ends of the consensus estimates below. The variance is more than 2x by 2024, more than 3x by 2025, and almost 4x by 2026.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3880cc09103624085d81075fe424881e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"131\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-09 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539874-tesla-stock-stress-test-passed?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539874-tesla-stock-stress-test-passed?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539874-tesla-stock-stress-test-passed?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121193410","content_text":"SummaryThe past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al.However, its June-quarter results topped expectations largely driven by a healthy ramp-up of total deliveries despite all the challenges.It also demonstrated its pricing muscle and showed that its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale.Going forward, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree.Thesis and BackgroundTesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) essentially took a stress test in the past two quarters. And to investors’ relief, it passed the test. Although we look more closely (which we will in the next section), there are still some lingering issues in its scorecard. But overall, its June-quarter results topped expectations despite the multitude of challenges it faced in the first half of the year, including limited production and shutdowns at its factory in Shanghai for most of the quarter, ongoing supply-chain disruptions, and rising labor and raw materials cost. Despite all these challenges, revenues for the June quarter went up 42% YoY and the total deliveries reached almost 255K (a 27% increase YoY). Looking forward, management is targeting record production in the second half of the year.At the same time, TSLA has also demonstrated its pricing muscle amid soaring inflation. Later in the article, you will see that the average unit sale price went up by almost 10% compared to the previous quarter and by more than 16% compared to the 4thquarter of 2021. Yet, customers are still flocking to buy its cars as quickly as it can make them.Such pricing and the resilience of its integrated production system form a powerful combination. Moreover, its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale. As the Gigafactories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree as elaborated on next immediately.TSLA’s stress testThe following chart illustrates the nature of the stress test that Tesla just took in the past two quarters. This chart shows the average CFO (cash from operations) per vehicle and also the average unit price per vehicle since 2015. To set the background, you can see very clearly that Tesla has passed the pivot point of critical scale around 2018. Since 2015, it was able to make an improving profit per vehicle while the unit price (i.e., the price tag on each vehicle) has actually been DECLINING. The average price tag for a TSLA vehicle was around $80.9K back in 2015 (when one of my friends joked that it was like driving a piece of jewelry with limited range). The average price declined to $57.5K in 2021, while the net profits soared during the same period, as you can see. And the net profit turned positive in 2018, a clear indicator of passing the breakeven point.Then came the stress test in 2022. Due to all of the above-mentioned challenges, the business had to increase the unit price from an average of $57.5K per vehicle in 2021 to $66.5K in Q2 of 2022, a price increase of 15.6%. It is undoubtedly good news that the business has the pricing power to increase the price at such a substantial magnitude. However, the bad news is that the price increase itself is not sufficient to overcome the inflation cost, raw materials, et al. As a result, the net profit per vehicle actually decreased as seen. The average CFO per vehicle reached a peak of $12.2K in 2021 and declined to $9.23K in Q2 2022, a decline of more than 25%.So overall, it turned in a good scorecard with some lingering issues, and we will examine these issues more next.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataTSLA’s fixed cost and variable costFor a production business like TSLA, the basic economics are well-understood and shown in the following chart taken from A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing by Thomas P. Au. As also explained in the book,Profit is a function of volume, price, and cost, as shown in the next figure. Costs come in two varieties, fixed costs and the variable cost (shown as F and M * V in the figure, where M is the marginal cost of producing an additional unit and V is the production volume). Fix costs include things like plant and equipment (especially the depreciation thereon) and also most capital costs (such as interest expenses). Fixed costs were incurred upfront and do not vary with the level of output. A production business has to first pass the breakeven point to make a profit. After it breaks the critical volume of sales, the fixed costs are spread out on more and more units and profit margins will improve.A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing by Thomas P. AuThe next chart shows how these dynamics are playing out at TSLA. The chart shows my estimates of TSLA’s fixed cost and variable costs. The plot is made in double-logarithmic scales. The blue line shows its total revenue and the orange line shows my best fit to the model above based on its actual data.You can see again that the break-even point occurred somewhere close to 100K vehicles (where the blue line and orange intersect). And in reality, its total vehicle deliveries exceeded 100K for the first time in 2017, corroborating the validity of the fit. By calculating the slope of the orange line, we can also determine the variable cost to be about $42,000 per vehicle for TSLA. By extrapolating the orange line to the left, you could see that the fixed cost is about $2 billion. Moreover, by extrapolating the orange line all the way to 1M vehicle delivery (which it aims to reach this year), we can project the fixed cost, the variable cost, and also the profit (i.e., the difference between the blue and orange lines).Under a double-log scale, the difference is hard to see. So, in the next section, I will tabulate these numbers and project them into the next few years also.AuthorTSLA Stock’s profit and return projectionsThis next table repeats the same information that I obtained from the fitting (especially, the average fixed cost, variable cost, and net profit per vehicle) shown in the chart above. Except it is presented in a tabular form this time.Based on these parameters, we can also make projections about the TSLA’s revenues and profits going forward. To summarize, the key parameters are: A) the variable cost per vehicle is $42,000; and B) a fixed cost of $2B. Finally, I also made the assumption that: A) the operating expenses are 13% of total sales, which is consistent with its current levels; B) it can maintain the current average vehicle price tag of $66,000; and C) its annual production would grow at 30% CAGR.As can be seen, based on these projections. Its total revenues are projected to reach about $188B. The projection is quite close to the consensus estimate of $191B in 2026 as shown below. Assuming the consensus estimates are reached by other independent methods, such agreement serves as another good sign of the validity of the above model and fitting. And a fundamental understanding of its variable cost and fixed cost can provide us with powerful insights into its profit drivers and understand future returns.For example, right now, there is no doubt that the business is expensively valued. However, with the above fixed cost and variable cost, the table shows that it can benefit from the scale of production to a further degree going forward. Total revenues are projected to reach $188B in 2026 and EBITDA earnings are projected to reach $45B by 2026. Under the current price, price to sales ratio would be about 5.1x in 2026, the EV/sales ratio about 5.2x, and the EV/EBITDA ratio about 21x. The P/S and EV/S ratios would not be that different from the overall market by then.Author: TSLA’s profit and return projectionsSeeking AlphaFinal thoughts and risksTo recap, I see the past two quarters as a stress test on Tesla and I further see it passed the test. There should no longer be any doubt about its profitability, production resilience, and pricing power after this test. Going forward, a few catalysts could further boost its profitability in the near future. As the Shanghai Gigafactory resumes operation and factories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree. Its recent advancements in full self-driving software add further optionality and upward potential for shareholders.However, there are a few lingering issues on its scorecard. The price increase itself was not sufficient to overcome the rising costs. Profit per vehicle actually decreased by more than 25% despite an almost 16% increase in the average sales price tag per vehicle. Going forward, I see such cost control (raw materials, labor, and general inflation) challenges to persist. And finally, it is just in general difficult to predict things that grow at fast rates, which is an inherent risk with nonlinear stocks like TSLA. TSLA management repeatedly mentioned its goal and confidence of growing deliveries at 50% annual rates, while other sources’ estimates are all over the place. For example, Morning Star analysis assumes Tesla only delivers around 5.7 million vehicles by 2030, well below management’s target. While Cathie Wood believes (or believed) that Tesla can sell 20m vehicles a year by 2025. You can see such variance (and hence risks) by the huge difference in the low and high ends of the consensus estimates below. The variance is more than 2x by 2024, more than 3x by 2025, and almost 4x by 2026.Seeking Alpha","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930232196,"gmtCreate":1661962236818,"gmtModify":1676536613160,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930232196","repostId":"2263494535","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263494535","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661957794,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263494535?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-31 22:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Incredibly Cheap Dividend Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263494535","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"End-of-summer sales are happening now, and they're coming from all sorts of sectors.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Comments from the Fed and geopolitical tensions are just two catalysts that have roiled the markets recently, leaving investors to find a lot of red in their portfolios. All&#39;s not lost, though. Fortifying your holdings with reliable dividend stocks can provide streams of passive income to strengthen your finances during these tumultuous times.</p><p>But grabbing dividend darlings that are also on sale -- that&#39;s a win-win. Income investors also looking to save a buck, therefore, will want to take a look at three dividend darlings on sale right now: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel Service</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TXN\">Texas Instruments </a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a>.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel Service</a></h2><p>With a forward dividend yield of 3.1%, UPS is one stock that can deliver steady passive income to investors&#39; portfolios. While its history stretches back to 1907, the company has been an investment option since 1999, when it debuted in the public markets. During the last 23 years, UPS has maintained or increased its dividend every year, demonstrating a commitment to rewarding shareholders. Over the last five years, in particular, the company has taken a more conservative approach to its distribution, averaging a payout ratio of 67%.</p><p>The fear of an economic downturn has contributed to UPS shares sliding about 7% since the start of the year. More recently, the company reported it expects a decrease in revenue from <b>Amazon</b>, its largest customer. On the surface, this may sound alarming, but management has reported volume growth (about 65% from its top 20 customers) to make up for it and has plans in place to ensure that growth continues.</p><p>Investors can pick up shares of Big Brown at a big discount right now. Shares are trading at 11.8 times operating cash flow, a discount to its five-year average cash flow multiple of 14.8.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TXN\">Texas Instruments </a></h2><p>The semiconductor shortage -- One of the major news events of 2022 -- has emerged as a major concern for investors, leading them to considersemiconductor stocksas growth opportunities. President Biden&#39;s signing of the Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors for America (CHIPS) Act has renewed that interest as many companies, like Texas Instruments, stand to benefit from the legislation.</p><p>On the company&#39;s second-quarter 2022 earnings call, management recognized the grant opportunities and tax incentives the CHIPS Act affords as potential benefits. Still, investors should also appreciate that thecompany&#39;s growth potential was apparent before the passage of the act.</p><p>Offering a forward dividend yield of 2.7%, shares of Texas Instruments can be scooped up on the cheap right now. The stock is trading at about 16% below its 52-week high and at 18.4 times forward earnings, representing a bargain compared to its five-year average ratio of 22.6.</p><p>From 2004 to 2021, Texas Instruments increased its payout by an impressive 25% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). There&#39;s no guarantee that comparable increases will continue, but it&#39;s surely an encouraging sign.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a></h2><p>With energy prices soaring in 2022, many investors may speculate that oil and gas stocks have likewise skyrocketed. This is hardly the case. Many energy stocks still sport attractive valuations.</p><p>Phillips 66, for example, is currently trading at about 6.3 times forward earnings, representing a steep discount to its five-year average multiple of 17.2. Consequently, investors can grease the wheels of their passive income generation with a compelling 4.2% forward-dividend yield for which they don&#39;t have to pay an arm and a leg.</p><p>Operating both midstream and downstream assets, Phillips 66 has exposure to several links in the energy supply chain, providing an option for a diversified energy investment opportunity. In its relatively short time on the public markets -- it was spun off from ConocoPhillips in 2021 -- Phillips 66 has demonstrated a steadfast commitment to returning capital to shareholders, hiking its dividend at an 18% CAGR.</p><p>Whether that rate continues in the future remains to be seen. But cautious investors who question the company&#39;s long-term commitment to the dividend can take comfort in management&#39;s consistently reaffirmed approach to rewarding shareholders. Mark Lashier, the company&#39;s COO, echoed this approach on the Q2 2022 conference call, stating: &#34;We continue to target a long-term capital allocation framework of 60% reinvestment in the business and 40% cash returned to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases.&#34;</p><h2>The bargain-bin bottom line</h2><p>It&#39;s not just one sector that&#39;s featuring summer sales right now. Investors can find deals with logistics, tech, and energy stocks alike. For those seeking a more conservative approach overall, UPS is a good choice with its conservative payout ratio. Texas Instruments looks like a good value too. Others seeking a higher yield and willing to take on a bit more risk, though, might be more interested in Phillips 66.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Incredibly Cheap Dividend Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Incredibly Cheap Dividend Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-31 22:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/30/3-incredibly-cheap-dividend-stocks/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Comments from the Fed and geopolitical tensions are just two catalysts that have roiled the markets recently, leaving investors to find a lot of red in their portfolios. All's not lost, though. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/30/3-incredibly-cheap-dividend-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TXN":"德州仪器","UPS":"联合包裹"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/30/3-incredibly-cheap-dividend-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263494535","content_text":"Comments from the Fed and geopolitical tensions are just two catalysts that have roiled the markets recently, leaving investors to find a lot of red in their portfolios. All's not lost, though. Fortifying your holdings with reliable dividend stocks can provide streams of passive income to strengthen your finances during these tumultuous times.But grabbing dividend darlings that are also on sale -- that's a win-win. Income investors also looking to save a buck, therefore, will want to take a look at three dividend darlings on sale right now: United Parcel Service, Texas Instruments , and Phillips 66.United Parcel ServiceWith a forward dividend yield of 3.1%, UPS is one stock that can deliver steady passive income to investors' portfolios. While its history stretches back to 1907, the company has been an investment option since 1999, when it debuted in the public markets. During the last 23 years, UPS has maintained or increased its dividend every year, demonstrating a commitment to rewarding shareholders. Over the last five years, in particular, the company has taken a more conservative approach to its distribution, averaging a payout ratio of 67%.The fear of an economic downturn has contributed to UPS shares sliding about 7% since the start of the year. More recently, the company reported it expects a decrease in revenue from Amazon, its largest customer. On the surface, this may sound alarming, but management has reported volume growth (about 65% from its top 20 customers) to make up for it and has plans in place to ensure that growth continues.Investors can pick up shares of Big Brown at a big discount right now. Shares are trading at 11.8 times operating cash flow, a discount to its five-year average cash flow multiple of 14.8.Texas Instruments The semiconductor shortage -- One of the major news events of 2022 -- has emerged as a major concern for investors, leading them to considersemiconductor stocksas growth opportunities. President Biden's signing of the Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors for America (CHIPS) Act has renewed that interest as many companies, like Texas Instruments, stand to benefit from the legislation.On the company's second-quarter 2022 earnings call, management recognized the grant opportunities and tax incentives the CHIPS Act affords as potential benefits. Still, investors should also appreciate that thecompany's growth potential was apparent before the passage of the act.Offering a forward dividend yield of 2.7%, shares of Texas Instruments can be scooped up on the cheap right now. The stock is trading at about 16% below its 52-week high and at 18.4 times forward earnings, representing a bargain compared to its five-year average ratio of 22.6.From 2004 to 2021, Texas Instruments increased its payout by an impressive 25% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). There's no guarantee that comparable increases will continue, but it's surely an encouraging sign.Phillips 66With energy prices soaring in 2022, many investors may speculate that oil and gas stocks have likewise skyrocketed. This is hardly the case. Many energy stocks still sport attractive valuations.Phillips 66, for example, is currently trading at about 6.3 times forward earnings, representing a steep discount to its five-year average multiple of 17.2. Consequently, investors can grease the wheels of their passive income generation with a compelling 4.2% forward-dividend yield for which they don't have to pay an arm and a leg.Operating both midstream and downstream assets, Phillips 66 has exposure to several links in the energy supply chain, providing an option for a diversified energy investment opportunity. In its relatively short time on the public markets -- it was spun off from ConocoPhillips in 2021 -- Phillips 66 has demonstrated a steadfast commitment to returning capital to shareholders, hiking its dividend at an 18% CAGR.Whether that rate continues in the future remains to be seen. But cautious investors who question the company's long-term commitment to the dividend can take comfort in management's consistently reaffirmed approach to rewarding shareholders. Mark Lashier, the company's COO, echoed this approach on the Q2 2022 conference call, stating: \"We continue to target a long-term capital allocation framework of 60% reinvestment in the business and 40% cash returned to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases.\"The bargain-bin bottom lineIt's not just one sector that's featuring summer sales right now. Investors can find deals with logistics, tech, and energy stocks alike. For those seeking a more conservative approach overall, UPS is a good choice with its conservative payout ratio. Texas Instruments looks like a good value too. Others seeking a higher yield and willing to take on a bit more risk, though, might be more interested in Phillips 66.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997743329,"gmtCreate":1661864343563,"gmtModify":1676536592456,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997743329","repostId":"2263346042","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263346042","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661862660,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263346042?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Twitter Calls Musk's Latest Deal Termination Letter “Invalid and Wrongful”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263346042","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Twitter Inc. responded Tuesday to Elon Musk's latest letter saying he was terminating the deal to bu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter Inc.</a> responded Tuesday to Elon Musk&#39;s latest letter saying he was terminating the deal to buy the social media company, saying it is &#34;invalid and wrongful.&#34; </p><p>Twitter&#39;s stock was down 1.1% in premarket trading, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a>&#39;s stock rose 1.7%; Musk is Tesla&#39;s chief executive officer. </p><p>Musk&#39;s letter, sent late Monday, gave another reason than the one given in a July 8 letter looking to terminate the deal. Musk&#39;s latest letter followed a whistleblower report published by the Washington Post that alleged &#34;far-reaching misconduct&#34; at Twitter that Musk said is likely to have &#34;severe consequences&#34; for Twitter&#39;s business. </p><p>This was Twitter&#39;s response on Tuesday: &#34;As was the case with your July 8, 2022 purported notice of termination, the purported termination set forth in your August 29, 2022 letter is invalid and wrongful under the Agreement, including under Section 8.1(d) thereof.&#34; </p><p>Twitter shares have shed 7.4% year to date through Monday, while Tesla shares have tumbled 19.1% and the S&amp;P 500  has dropped 15.4%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twitter Calls Musk's Latest Deal Termination Letter “Invalid and Wrongful”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwitter Calls Musk's Latest Deal Termination Letter “Invalid and Wrongful”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-30 20:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter Inc.</a> responded Tuesday to Elon Musk&#39;s latest letter saying he was terminating the deal to buy the social media company, saying it is &#34;invalid and wrongful.&#34; </p><p>Twitter&#39;s stock was down 1.1% in premarket trading, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a>&#39;s stock rose 1.7%; Musk is Tesla&#39;s chief executive officer. </p><p>Musk&#39;s letter, sent late Monday, gave another reason than the one given in a July 8 letter looking to terminate the deal. Musk&#39;s latest letter followed a whistleblower report published by the Washington Post that alleged &#34;far-reaching misconduct&#34; at Twitter that Musk said is likely to have &#34;severe consequences&#34; for Twitter&#39;s business. </p><p>This was Twitter&#39;s response on Tuesday: &#34;As was the case with your July 8, 2022 purported notice of termination, the purported termination set forth in your August 29, 2022 letter is invalid and wrongful under the Agreement, including under Section 8.1(d) thereof.&#34; </p><p>Twitter shares have shed 7.4% year to date through Monday, while Tesla shares have tumbled 19.1% and the S&amp;P 500  has dropped 15.4%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263346042","content_text":"Twitter Inc. responded Tuesday to Elon Musk's latest letter saying he was terminating the deal to buy the social media company, saying it is \"invalid and wrongful.\" Twitter's stock was down 1.1% in premarket trading, while Tesla Inc.'s stock rose 1.7%; Musk is Tesla's chief executive officer. Musk's letter, sent late Monday, gave another reason than the one given in a July 8 letter looking to terminate the deal. Musk's latest letter followed a whistleblower report published by the Washington Post that alleged \"far-reaching misconduct\" at Twitter that Musk said is likely to have \"severe consequences\" for Twitter's business. This was Twitter's response on Tuesday: \"As was the case with your July 8, 2022 purported notice of termination, the purported termination set forth in your August 29, 2022 letter is invalid and wrongful under the Agreement, including under Section 8.1(d) thereof.\" Twitter shares have shed 7.4% year to date through Monday, while Tesla shares have tumbled 19.1% and the S&P 500  has dropped 15.4%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998078143,"gmtCreate":1660910340485,"gmtModify":1676536421923,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998078143","repostId":"1102999640","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102999640","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660865795,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102999640?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-19 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102999640","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatility</li><li>Brace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategist</li></ul><p>With August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders are closely watching Friday’s $2 trillion options expiration for hints whether the tranquility will last.</p><p>At issue is the belief that derivatives markets have somehow played a key role in suppressing volatility, thereby compelling rules-basedquant tradersto buy shares and in turn luring a broader group of investors back into the market in order tochase gains.</p><p>After likely spurring an equity rebound during the summer lull, some strategists warn that this benign activity in the options market -- typically fueled by Wall Street dealers -- could disappear at a critical time.</p><p>From central bankers’ annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to pending data on inflation and employment, and theFederal Reserve’s policy announcement, the next few weeks are full of potential catalysts for market chaos.</p><p>“There are some technical reasons why as we go into the expiration this Friday, volatility could stay dampened and you could continue to see the market relatively supported,” Amy Wu Silverman, an equity derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Bloomberg TV. “As people return back from vacation with eyes on the ball, you can see what the real volumes are telling you about the volatility pickup.”</p><p>About $2 trillion of options are set to expire, obliging holders to either roll over existing positions or start new ones. The monthly event includes $975 billion of S&amp;P 500-linked contracts and $430 billion of derivatives across single stocks scheduled to run out, according to estimates by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Rocky Fishman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d7ed781d0bf50152207dcbc89ae0db3\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"528\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Stocks have restored roughly $7 trillion in values since mid-June, as what began as a short squeeze cascaded into a buying spree by those who exited equities during the first-half carnage amid fears that the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign could tip the economy into a recession. Shares have since recovered as data showed a robust labor market and cooler-than-expected inflation.</p><p>Along the way, traders flocked to call options to catch up with the surprising rebound. In balancing their books, options dealers were stuck in “long gamma” positions that left them needing to go against the prevailing equity trend to maintain a neutral market exposure. Thanks in part to the process, peace returned in the market. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, has averaged 21 in August, on course for its lowest level since November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a72b5ee48aed2efd4d309073c4ef802\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Broadly speaking, bullish contracts have been changing hands faster than bearish ones. The Cboe equity put-call ratio’s 10-day average hovered near a four-month low, a sign of growing interest in upside wagers.</p><p>Traders will try to push the S&amp;P 500 toward 4,300 in order to get their options contracts to pay off, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of analytic service SpotGamma. Any failure to hit this threshold would suggest the latest rally is losing momentum, potentially inviting sellers. The index added 0.2% to close at 4,283.74 Thursday.</p><p>“Everyone is on the ‘call side’ of the boat,” said Kochuba.</p><p>Charlie McElligott, a cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities International, expects Friday’s OpEx to open the door for bigger price swings after the buffer from dealer hedging is reduced. He sees potential for the market to move in either direction.</p><p>Should inflation come in hotter than expected and Fed policy makers ratchet up their hawkish rhetoric, that’d trigger turmoil across assets, he says. On the other hand, barring any negative macro shocks, money managers are under pressure to keep chasing the rally given their relatively low equity positioning.</p><p>“My daily communications with clients continues to ‘hate’ this rally who remain wrong-sided and a source of ‘buyers higher,’” he wrote in a note Wednesday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-19 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102999640","content_text":"Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders are closely watching Friday’s $2 trillion options expiration for hints whether the tranquility will last.At issue is the belief that derivatives markets have somehow played a key role in suppressing volatility, thereby compelling rules-basedquant tradersto buy shares and in turn luring a broader group of investors back into the market in order tochase gains.After likely spurring an equity rebound during the summer lull, some strategists warn that this benign activity in the options market -- typically fueled by Wall Street dealers -- could disappear at a critical time.From central bankers’ annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to pending data on inflation and employment, and theFederal Reserve’s policy announcement, the next few weeks are full of potential catalysts for market chaos.“There are some technical reasons why as we go into the expiration this Friday, volatility could stay dampened and you could continue to see the market relatively supported,” Amy Wu Silverman, an equity derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Bloomberg TV. “As people return back from vacation with eyes on the ball, you can see what the real volumes are telling you about the volatility pickup.”About $2 trillion of options are set to expire, obliging holders to either roll over existing positions or start new ones. The monthly event includes $975 billion of S&P 500-linked contracts and $430 billion of derivatives across single stocks scheduled to run out, according to estimates by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Rocky Fishman.Stocks have restored roughly $7 trillion in values since mid-June, as what began as a short squeeze cascaded into a buying spree by those who exited equities during the first-half carnage amid fears that the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign could tip the economy into a recession. Shares have since recovered as data showed a robust labor market and cooler-than-expected inflation.Along the way, traders flocked to call options to catch up with the surprising rebound. In balancing their books, options dealers were stuck in “long gamma” positions that left them needing to go against the prevailing equity trend to maintain a neutral market exposure. Thanks in part to the process, peace returned in the market. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, has averaged 21 in August, on course for its lowest level since November.Broadly speaking, bullish contracts have been changing hands faster than bearish ones. The Cboe equity put-call ratio’s 10-day average hovered near a four-month low, a sign of growing interest in upside wagers.Traders will try to push the S&P 500 toward 4,300 in order to get their options contracts to pay off, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of analytic service SpotGamma. Any failure to hit this threshold would suggest the latest rally is losing momentum, potentially inviting sellers. The index added 0.2% to close at 4,283.74 Thursday.“Everyone is on the ‘call side’ of the boat,” said Kochuba.Charlie McElligott, a cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities International, expects Friday’s OpEx to open the door for bigger price swings after the buffer from dealer hedging is reduced. He sees potential for the market to move in either direction.Should inflation come in hotter than expected and Fed policy makers ratchet up their hawkish rhetoric, that’d trigger turmoil across assets, he says. On the other hand, barring any negative macro shocks, money managers are under pressure to keep chasing the rally given their relatively low equity positioning.“My daily communications with clients continues to ‘hate’ this rally who remain wrong-sided and a source of ‘buyers higher,’” he wrote in a note Wednesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907926650,"gmtCreate":1660132155373,"gmtModify":1703478219950,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907926650","repostId":"1157330995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157330995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660145407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157330995?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-10 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157330995","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Recently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.</li><li>The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle &#34;EV&#34; tax credits.</li><li>The act still has to be passed by the House of Representatives to become law.</li><li>If it passes, it will be a huge catalyst for Tesla, which will once again be eligible for Federal tax credits.</li><li>Many Tesla models meet the Act&#39;s strict U.S. sourcing requirements; most competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t.</li></ul><p>This past Sunday, the U.S. Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, a spending bill containing a variety of climate change related measures. Among the most discussed measures in the bill is a change to the electric vehicle (“EV”)tax credit. Under previous rules, a company would lose its eligibility for EV credits after selling its 200,000th car. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) crossed the 200,000 car threshold in 2018, and its tax credits were phased out over three years. By early 2022, Teslas were no longer eligible for the tax credit.</p><p>With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, that has changed. The current version of the act, which will be debated by the House of Representatives this week, removes the 200,000 car limit for credit eligibility. Now, buyers of some Tesla models can enjoy the full $7,500 credit toward the purchase of their vehicles. There are some limits to this – the credit applies to sedans up to $55,000 and SUVs up to $80,000– but many Teslas will be eligible. The EV tax credit notably requires that the vehicle&#39;s battery be40% sourced from the U.S. or allies- Tesla&#39;s Model S meets this standard, most competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4475ae62d8d2254828c81b2e64dc19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla Model 3 meets the standard, most don&#39;t(roadandtrack.com)</p><p>This is great news for a company that some say was built on government subsidies. Many of Elon Musk’s critics allege that Tesla has been taking enormous amounts of government assistance over the years. When we dig into the details, we see that Tesla did benefit from the EV tax credit in its early days. Furthermore, it benefits from similar credits in other countries today. The point about Tesla’s reliance on tax breaks can be overstated, but there’s no doubt that when a consumer gets a tax break for buying an EV, they’re more likely to buy one.</p><p>Given that Tesla has the most brand awareness of all the major EV companies, it benefits from consumers being incentivized to buy EVs. According to a 2018 Energy Policy article, every $1,000 in EV credits leads to a 2.6% increase in EV sales. With Tesla having a large share of the U.S. EV market, it’s likely to gain revenue from the revamped tax credit. This credit could therefore serve as a catalyst improving Tesla’s business performance in the second half. However, as I’ll demonstrate shortly, this catalyst alone doesn’t automatically make the stock a great value.</p><p><b>How the EV Tax Credit Works</b></p><p>To understand how the revamped EV tax credit helps Tesla, we need to know how the credit works. The EV tax credit has been around in some form since 2009, having been announced in 2008’s Energy Improvement and Extension Act. The way credit works has changed since it was first introduced.</p><p>The way the credit originally worked was like this:</p><p>Every electric vehicle got a base credit of $2,500. A person buying any EV would get $2,500 plus an extra $417 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity. For passenger cars, this increase in credits continued up until $7,500 worth of tax credits were earned. Any American who bought an EV would get to claim this credit on their taxes and deduct the appropriate percentage of $7,500 from their income.</p><p>The EV tax credit also had a cap on how many cars a manufacturer could sell and still be eligible for the credit. Once a manufacturer surpassed 200,000 cars sold in the United States, their tax credits would be phased out over three years. Tesla hit the 200,000 car milestone in 2008. Its tax credits were phased out on the schedule shown below:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61a30d4a86130928bc8262cb7df92850\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla&#39;s EV credit phase out(Tesla)</p><p>As the table above shows, all of the credits on Tesla models S, X and 3 were phased out by the end of 2019. This was where things stood for most of the last two years: Teslas weren’t eligible for the credit. Technically, this is still the case, but the Inflation Reduction Act looks quite likely to pass. The Act passed 51-50 in the Senate, and is heading to the House of Representatives for review this week. If it passes, then Teslas will be eligible for the EV tax credit once more. The version of the Act that passed in the Senate puts no cap on how many EVs a manufacturer can sell, so not only will Tesla buyers get the credit again, they’ll continue to get it indefinitely. To top it off: there are Tesla models that meet the act&#39;s strict sourcing requirements, while many competitors&#39; offerings don&#39;t make the grade.</p><p><b>Business Implications</b></p><p>Tesla regaining the EV tax credit has important business implications. Academic research suggests that every $1,000 worth of EV tax credits drives a2.6% increase in EV sales. As an example, if we have a country where 100,000 EVs are being sold per year, then adding a $1,000 credit increases sales to 102,600. The higher the dollar value of the credit, the more the sales increase. The research I’m citing doesn’t say whether the effect increases linearly or compounds with the size of the credit. If the effect is linear, then a $7,500 credit would increase the number of vehicles sold by 19,500. If it compounds, then it adds 21,228 extra sales. Either way, we should see a significant boost in sales from a $7,500 tax credit.</p><p>Furthermore, we would expect Tesla to gain from this disproportionately. Many of Tesla’s competitors haven’t shipped 200,000 cars yet, but Tesla has.<b>Lucid</b>(LCID) is aiming for14,000 cumulative deliveries by year’s end, <b>Ford</b>(F) has sold 37,000 or so, <b>Rivian</b>(RIVN) has only delivered a handful of cars to employees. None of these companies are anywhere near the 200,000 deliveries threshold, so they’re getting the credit already. Tesla, on the other hand, passed the threshold in 2018, so it will be eligible for the credit again. Therefore, we’d expect the Inflation Reduction Act to boost Tesla’s sales while leaving its competitors’ sales unchanged.</p><p><b>Tesla’s Valuation</b></p><p>Valuing a company like Tesla is always tough. The company has historically had high growth, which makes estimating its future cash flows difficult. Nevertheless, we can safely assume that, with its tax credits back, Tesla will grow faster than it would have without them. So, we can start by making a projection of Tesla’s revenue and build a discounted cash flow model from there.</p><p>According to Seeking Alpha Quant, Tesla’s five year CAGR revenue growth rate is 46%. The rate in the most recent quarter was 43%. We have indications that the growth rate will slow down. First, the most recent quarterly growth rate is lower than the five year rate. Second, the five year growth rate is only half the 10 year growth rate. It wouldn’t be conservative to assume that TSLA can keep up 43% growth forever. So, I’ll use Valuates Report’s 18.2% CAGR EV industry forecast as my revenue growth estimate. However, to account for the bullish impact of the EV tax credits Tesla is about to get, I’ll add an extra 19.5% on to the first year’s growth. So the first year will see 41.2% growth (1.182 times 1.195), followed by 18.2% growth thereafter. Tesla’s revenue for the trailing 12 month period is $67.1 billion, so we get:</p><ul><li><p>Base year: $67.1B.</p></li><li><p>Year 1: $94.74B.</p></li><li><p>Year 2: $112B.</p></li><li><p>Year 3: $132B.</p></li><li><p>Year 4: $156B.</p></li><li><p>Year 5: $185B.</p></li></ul><p>This gives us an overall CAGR growth rate of 22%. With that established, we can look at costs. Tesla had $48 billion in cost of goods sold (“COGS”) in the last 12 months. COGS scales up directly with revenue so I’ll assume that this portion of costs rises at 22%. Tesla’s operating costs have risen at 20% CAGR over the last five years, so I’ll assume they continue growing at that rate. Tesla’s tax rate in the trailing 12 month period was 10%, but I’ll up that to 15% to account for the new minimum tax included in the Inflation Reduction Act. Finally, I’ll add in non-cash costs at 6% of revenue (the percentage in the trailing 12 month period) to get a model that approximates cash from operations (“CFO”).</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Year 1</p></td><td><p>Year 2</p></td><td><p>Year 3</p></td><td><p>Year 4</p></td><td><p>Year 5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$94.74B</p></td><td><p>$112B</p></td><td><p>$132B</p></td><td><p>$156B</p></td><td><p>$185B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>COGS</p></td><td><p>$69B</p></td><td><p>$81.6B</p></td><td><p>$96.5B</p></td><td><p>$114B</p></td><td><p>$135B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Operating costs</p></td><td><p>$8.76B</p></td><td><p>$10.5B</p></td><td><p>$12.6B</p></td><td><p>$15B</p></td><td><p>$18B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBIT</p></td><td><p>$16.98</p></td><td><p>$19.9B</p></td><td><p>$22.9B</p></td><td><p>$27B</p></td><td><p>$32B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>After tax</p></td><td><p>$14.43B</p></td><td><p>$16.9B</p></td><td><p>$19.46B</p></td><td><p>$22.95B</p></td><td><p>$27.2B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Non-cash costs (added back in)</p></td><td><p>$5.7B</p></td><td><p>$6.72B</p></td><td><p>$7.9B</p></td><td><p>$9.36B</p></td><td><p>$11.1B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>CFO</p></td><td><p>$20.13B</p></td><td><p>$23.62B</p></td><td><p>$27.36B</p></td><td><p>$32.31B</p></td><td><p>$38.3B</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Tesla has 1.155 billion shares outstanding, so these CFO figures on a per share basis add up to:</p><ul><li><p>TTM: $12.18.</p></li><li><p>Year 1: $17.42.</p></li><li><p>Year 2: $20.45</p></li><li><p>Year 3: $23.68.</p></li><li><p>Year 4: $27.97.</p></li><li><p>Year 5: $33.16.</p></li></ul><p>So, we get a 22% growth rate in cash flows per share. Using 8% as the discount rate and assuming a 5% perpetual growth rate after five years, we get a fair value of $879. This is only a 3.4% upside to the price at the time of writing ($850), so I conclude that Tesla is fully valued.</p><p><b>The Big Risk to Watch Out For</b></p><p>As I’ve shown in this article, Tesla’s EV tax credit could create a sales spike in the year ahead that gives the stock slight upside to today’s price. Without the sales spike caused by tax credits, my model would have yielded about $825, suggesting slight overvaluation. This stock is trading very close to conservative estimates of fair value, even when you account for the EV tax credit causing sales to spike. The credit is a catalyst, but not a big one, adding only a very slight amount of upside.</p><p>For this reason, Tesla investors are going to want to be on the lookout for one big risk:</p><p><i>Revenue deceleration.</i></p><p>Most industry forecasts have EVs growing at 18 to 22% for the next five years. If Tesla simply grows at that rate then its stock is not worth what it trades for today. You have to assume at least one more year of 40%+ growth to get an intrinsic value estimate for this stock that exceeds its current value. It’s so expensive already that if it grows at 18% for the next five years–a fantastic growth rate in absolute terms–it’s overvalued. The EV tax credit, or a similar catalyst, is needed for the stock to have just a little upside.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The EV Tax Credit Is A Huge Catalyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-10 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle \"EV\" tax credits.The act still has to be passed by the House of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532368-tesla-stock-ev-tax-credit-huge-catalyst?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157330995","content_text":"SummaryRecently the U.S. Senate Passed the Inflation Reduction Act.The act removes the 200,000 unit sales cap for electric vehicle \"EV\" tax credits.The act still has to be passed by the House of Representatives to become law.If it passes, it will be a huge catalyst for Tesla, which will once again be eligible for Federal tax credits.Many Tesla models meet the Act's strict U.S. sourcing requirements; most competitors' offerings don't.This past Sunday, the U.S. Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act, a spending bill containing a variety of climate change related measures. Among the most discussed measures in the bill is a change to the electric vehicle (“EV”)tax credit. Under previous rules, a company would lose its eligibility for EV credits after selling its 200,000th car. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) crossed the 200,000 car threshold in 2018, and its tax credits were phased out over three years. By early 2022, Teslas were no longer eligible for the tax credit.With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, that has changed. The current version of the act, which will be debated by the House of Representatives this week, removes the 200,000 car limit for credit eligibility. Now, buyers of some Tesla models can enjoy the full $7,500 credit toward the purchase of their vehicles. There are some limits to this – the credit applies to sedans up to $55,000 and SUVs up to $80,000– but many Teslas will be eligible. The EV tax credit notably requires that the vehicle's battery be40% sourced from the U.S. or allies- Tesla's Model S meets this standard, most competitors' offerings don't.Tesla Model 3 meets the standard, most don't(roadandtrack.com)This is great news for a company that some say was built on government subsidies. Many of Elon Musk’s critics allege that Tesla has been taking enormous amounts of government assistance over the years. When we dig into the details, we see that Tesla did benefit from the EV tax credit in its early days. Furthermore, it benefits from similar credits in other countries today. The point about Tesla’s reliance on tax breaks can be overstated, but there’s no doubt that when a consumer gets a tax break for buying an EV, they’re more likely to buy one.Given that Tesla has the most brand awareness of all the major EV companies, it benefits from consumers being incentivized to buy EVs. According to a 2018 Energy Policy article, every $1,000 in EV credits leads to a 2.6% increase in EV sales. With Tesla having a large share of the U.S. EV market, it’s likely to gain revenue from the revamped tax credit. This credit could therefore serve as a catalyst improving Tesla’s business performance in the second half. However, as I’ll demonstrate shortly, this catalyst alone doesn’t automatically make the stock a great value.How the EV Tax Credit WorksTo understand how the revamped EV tax credit helps Tesla, we need to know how the credit works. The EV tax credit has been around in some form since 2009, having been announced in 2008’s Energy Improvement and Extension Act. The way credit works has changed since it was first introduced.The way the credit originally worked was like this:Every electric vehicle got a base credit of $2,500. A person buying any EV would get $2,500 plus an extra $417 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity. For passenger cars, this increase in credits continued up until $7,500 worth of tax credits were earned. Any American who bought an EV would get to claim this credit on their taxes and deduct the appropriate percentage of $7,500 from their income.The EV tax credit also had a cap on how many cars a manufacturer could sell and still be eligible for the credit. Once a manufacturer surpassed 200,000 cars sold in the United States, their tax credits would be phased out over three years. Tesla hit the 200,000 car milestone in 2008. Its tax credits were phased out on the schedule shown below:Tesla's EV credit phase out(Tesla)As the table above shows, all of the credits on Tesla models S, X and 3 were phased out by the end of 2019. This was where things stood for most of the last two years: Teslas weren’t eligible for the credit. Technically, this is still the case, but the Inflation Reduction Act looks quite likely to pass. The Act passed 51-50 in the Senate, and is heading to the House of Representatives for review this week. If it passes, then Teslas will be eligible for the EV tax credit once more. The version of the Act that passed in the Senate puts no cap on how many EVs a manufacturer can sell, so not only will Tesla buyers get the credit again, they’ll continue to get it indefinitely. To top it off: there are Tesla models that meet the act's strict sourcing requirements, while many competitors' offerings don't make the grade.Business ImplicationsTesla regaining the EV tax credit has important business implications. Academic research suggests that every $1,000 worth of EV tax credits drives a2.6% increase in EV sales. As an example, if we have a country where 100,000 EVs are being sold per year, then adding a $1,000 credit increases sales to 102,600. The higher the dollar value of the credit, the more the sales increase. The research I’m citing doesn’t say whether the effect increases linearly or compounds with the size of the credit. If the effect is linear, then a $7,500 credit would increase the number of vehicles sold by 19,500. If it compounds, then it adds 21,228 extra sales. Either way, we should see a significant boost in sales from a $7,500 tax credit.Furthermore, we would expect Tesla to gain from this disproportionately. Many of Tesla’s competitors haven’t shipped 200,000 cars yet, but Tesla has.Lucid(LCID) is aiming for14,000 cumulative deliveries by year’s end, Ford(F) has sold 37,000 or so, Rivian(RIVN) has only delivered a handful of cars to employees. None of these companies are anywhere near the 200,000 deliveries threshold, so they’re getting the credit already. Tesla, on the other hand, passed the threshold in 2018, so it will be eligible for the credit again. Therefore, we’d expect the Inflation Reduction Act to boost Tesla’s sales while leaving its competitors’ sales unchanged.Tesla’s ValuationValuing a company like Tesla is always tough. The company has historically had high growth, which makes estimating its future cash flows difficult. Nevertheless, we can safely assume that, with its tax credits back, Tesla will grow faster than it would have without them. So, we can start by making a projection of Tesla’s revenue and build a discounted cash flow model from there.According to Seeking Alpha Quant, Tesla’s five year CAGR revenue growth rate is 46%. The rate in the most recent quarter was 43%. We have indications that the growth rate will slow down. First, the most recent quarterly growth rate is lower than the five year rate. Second, the five year growth rate is only half the 10 year growth rate. It wouldn’t be conservative to assume that TSLA can keep up 43% growth forever. So, I’ll use Valuates Report’s 18.2% CAGR EV industry forecast as my revenue growth estimate. However, to account for the bullish impact of the EV tax credits Tesla is about to get, I’ll add an extra 19.5% on to the first year’s growth. So the first year will see 41.2% growth (1.182 times 1.195), followed by 18.2% growth thereafter. Tesla’s revenue for the trailing 12 month period is $67.1 billion, so we get:Base year: $67.1B.Year 1: $94.74B.Year 2: $112B.Year 3: $132B.Year 4: $156B.Year 5: $185B.This gives us an overall CAGR growth rate of 22%. With that established, we can look at costs. Tesla had $48 billion in cost of goods sold (“COGS”) in the last 12 months. COGS scales up directly with revenue so I’ll assume that this portion of costs rises at 22%. Tesla’s operating costs have risen at 20% CAGR over the last five years, so I’ll assume they continue growing at that rate. Tesla’s tax rate in the trailing 12 month period was 10%, but I’ll up that to 15% to account for the new minimum tax included in the Inflation Reduction Act. Finally, I’ll add in non-cash costs at 6% of revenue (the percentage in the trailing 12 month period) to get a model that approximates cash from operations (“CFO”).Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Revenue$94.74B$112B$132B$156B$185BCOGS$69B$81.6B$96.5B$114B$135BOperating costs$8.76B$10.5B$12.6B$15B$18BEBIT$16.98$19.9B$22.9B$27B$32BAfter tax$14.43B$16.9B$19.46B$22.95B$27.2BNon-cash costs (added back in)$5.7B$6.72B$7.9B$9.36B$11.1BCFO$20.13B$23.62B$27.36B$32.31B$38.3BTesla has 1.155 billion shares outstanding, so these CFO figures on a per share basis add up to:TTM: $12.18.Year 1: $17.42.Year 2: $20.45Year 3: $23.68.Year 4: $27.97.Year 5: $33.16.So, we get a 22% growth rate in cash flows per share. Using 8% as the discount rate and assuming a 5% perpetual growth rate after five years, we get a fair value of $879. This is only a 3.4% upside to the price at the time of writing ($850), so I conclude that Tesla is fully valued.The Big Risk to Watch Out ForAs I’ve shown in this article, Tesla’s EV tax credit could create a sales spike in the year ahead that gives the stock slight upside to today’s price. Without the sales spike caused by tax credits, my model would have yielded about $825, suggesting slight overvaluation. This stock is trading very close to conservative estimates of fair value, even when you account for the EV tax credit causing sales to spike. The credit is a catalyst, but not a big one, adding only a very slight amount of upside.For this reason, Tesla investors are going to want to be on the lookout for one big risk:Revenue deceleration.Most industry forecasts have EVs growing at 18 to 22% for the next five years. If Tesla simply grows at that rate then its stock is not worth what it trades for today. You have to assume at least one more year of 40%+ growth to get an intrinsic value estimate for this stock that exceeds its current value. It’s so expensive already that if it grows at 18% for the next five years–a fantastic growth rate in absolute terms–it’s overvalued. The EV tax credit, or a similar catalyst, is needed for the stock to have just a little upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964012271,"gmtCreate":1670033870593,"gmtModify":1676538292660,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964012271","repostId":"1121458158","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121458158","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670026613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121458158?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 08:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Blackstone’s $69 Billion Property Fund Is Signaling Pain Ahead for Real Estate Industry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121458158","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Pain is deepening across the US real estate industry.Two of the biggest players — Blackstone Inc. an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb45c2382372c7e146989481fd97fcf6\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Pain is deepening across the US real estate industry.</p><p>Two of the biggest players — Blackstone Inc. and Wells Fargo &amp; Co. — took steps this week to contend with weaker demand as the industry faces a rapidly cooling property market, rising interest rates and waning investor appetite.</p><p>The well-heeled investors in the $69 billion Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust Inc. learnedThursday the fund will limit withdrawals as people seek to pull money from what’s been a cash magnet for one of the largest owners of real estate globally. Also Thursday, Wells Fargo, the biggest home loan originator among US banks, confirmedit’s cutting hundreds more mortgage employees as soaring borrowing costs crush demand.</p><p>The $69 billion BREIT will be limiting withdrawals as headwinds hold back the real estate market.Photographer: Angus Mordant/Bloomberg</p><p>“It’s a one-two punch,” Susan Wachter, real estate professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, said in an interview. “Both are realistic pullback responses to the overall economic weakness we’re seeing now as well as the spike in interest rates.”</p><p>In the past decade, the real estate industry reaped the benefits of the Federal Reserve’s policy of low rates. Homebuyers, taking advantage of record-low borrowing costs, went on a spree that fueled double-digit price gains. Ultra-low rates also drove a refinancing boom that put more money in homeowners’ pockets and spurred the creation of jobs for mortgage brokers, title insurance agents and appraisers.</p><p>Now, real estate has been among the hardest-hit sectors of the Fed’s campaign to quash inflation by boosting interest rates at the fastest pace in decades.</p><p>In the housing market, mortgage rates that have doubled this year are sidelining potential buyers and causing sellers to pull back on new listings. A measure of prices hasdroppedfor the last three months, while pending home sales havefallenfor five months in a row. The volume of mortgages with rate locks plunged 61% in October from 2021 levels, according to Black Knight Inc.</p><p>Commercial real estate is also feeling the sting. Property prices have slumped 13% from a peak this year, according to Green Street’s October price index. The financing environment has become trickier as some big lenders have scaled back, leading property owners such as a Brookfield Asset Management Inc. unit to warn that it might struggle to refinance certain debt.</p><h2>Industry Fallout</h2><p>The industry fallout has been wide-ranging. Reverse Mortgage Funding, a home lender backed by Starwood Capital Group,filedfor Chapter 11 bankruptcy this week.</p><p>Layoffs have been widespread. Opendoor Technologies Inc., which pioneered a data-driven spin on home-flipping known as iBuying,laid offabout 18% of its workforce and wrote down the value of its property holdings by $573 million. Brokerage Redfin Corp. went through two rounds of layoffs and shuttered its iBuying business, while competitor Compass Inc. also made deep cuts to its technology teams in a quest for profitability.</p><p>Layoffs only tell part of the story of the pain. While mortgage firms and real estate technology companies cut costs by firing workers, real estate agents make up a large share of the industry’s workforce. They’re usually considered independent contractors and depend on commissions for a living. They don’t show up in layoff tallies but are also exposed to slowing home sales.</p><p>“There are hundreds of thousands of real estate agents who are not going to be practicing because people are buying and selling fewer homes,” said Mike DelPrete, a scholar-in-residence at the University of Colorado Boulder. “It’s like a silent culling of the ranks.”</p><h2>Search for Yield</h2><p>When interest rates were ultra low, investors turned to commercial real estate as a source for higher yields than they could get by owning Treasuries and other low-risk bonds.</p><p>That was part of BREIT’s appeal, drawing in high-net-worth clients lured by the 13% annualized returns in one major share class through October. BREIT raked in money to buy apartments and industrial buildings, properties that the private equity firm bet would keep growing in value because demand outstripped supply. People who couldn’t afford to buy a house needed to rent, the reasoning went, and shoppers increasingly buying online drove up the need for warehouse space.</p><p>“Our business is built on performance, not fund flows, and performance is rock solid,” a Blackstone spokesperson said Thursday after the firm announced the redemption limits.</p><p>Much of the money withdrawn from BREIT was from overseas, with offshore investors redeeming at eight times the rate of US ones in the past year. Blackstone shares dropped 2.7% Friday to $82.76 at 10:47 a.m., after tumbling 7.1% the day before.</p><p>Read more about the pressures facing Blackstone’s giant real estate fund for wealthy investors.</p><p>Commercial-property owners are getting hit with financing challenges after years of paying for deals with cheap loans. Expensive debt haspushedsome borrowers into negative leverage, which means that debt costs are outpacing expected returns. Dealmaking has also frozen, with transaction volume plunging 43% in October from a year earlier, according to MSCI Real Assets.</p><p>“With the benefits of leverage severely limited and owners who are not being forced to sell, the price expectations gap between sellers and potential buyers has been wide enough to limit deal closings,” Jim Costello, an MSCI economist, wrote in a Nov. 16 report.</p><p>Despite all the pain points, the housing and commercial real estate industries are in better shape than in some previous downturns, with more tightly underwritten loans and less of a risk of markets being oversupplied.</p><p>With BREIT, the fund is still outperforming the S&amp;P 500 Index, even as investors increasingly want out. And Thursday’s announced sale of a stake in two Las Vegas hotels is expected to generate roughly $730 million in profit for BREIT shareholders, Bloomberg previously reported.</p><h2>Relative Value</h2><p>What’s changing most drastically across the industry is the relative value of real estate to other investments.</p><p>Thanks in part to the Federal Reserve’s hiking campaign, investors have other places to earn money that could generate more yield than in years past and tend to be more liquid than commercial real estate, including Treasuries, investment-grade bonds, and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p>“Real estate is quite cyclical,” Wharton’s Wachter said. “It’s bad for real estate when rates go up and you can get higher yields from Treasuries and other assets.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Blackstone’s $69 Billion Property Fund Is Signaling Pain Ahead for Real Estate Industry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Blackstone’s $69 Billion Property Fund Is Signaling Pain Ahead for Real Estate Industry\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 08:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-02/blackstone-fund-hitting-limit-signals-broader-real-estate-pain?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Pain is deepening across the US real estate industry.Two of the biggest players — Blackstone Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. — took steps this week to contend with weaker demand as the industry faces a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-02/blackstone-fund-hitting-limit-signals-broader-real-estate-pain?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-02/blackstone-fund-hitting-limit-signals-broader-real-estate-pain?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121458158","content_text":"Pain is deepening across the US real estate industry.Two of the biggest players — Blackstone Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. — took steps this week to contend with weaker demand as the industry faces a rapidly cooling property market, rising interest rates and waning investor appetite.The well-heeled investors in the $69 billion Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust Inc. learnedThursday the fund will limit withdrawals as people seek to pull money from what’s been a cash magnet for one of the largest owners of real estate globally. Also Thursday, Wells Fargo, the biggest home loan originator among US banks, confirmedit’s cutting hundreds more mortgage employees as soaring borrowing costs crush demand.The $69 billion BREIT will be limiting withdrawals as headwinds hold back the real estate market.Photographer: Angus Mordant/Bloomberg“It’s a one-two punch,” Susan Wachter, real estate professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, said in an interview. “Both are realistic pullback responses to the overall economic weakness we’re seeing now as well as the spike in interest rates.”In the past decade, the real estate industry reaped the benefits of the Federal Reserve’s policy of low rates. Homebuyers, taking advantage of record-low borrowing costs, went on a spree that fueled double-digit price gains. Ultra-low rates also drove a refinancing boom that put more money in homeowners’ pockets and spurred the creation of jobs for mortgage brokers, title insurance agents and appraisers.Now, real estate has been among the hardest-hit sectors of the Fed’s campaign to quash inflation by boosting interest rates at the fastest pace in decades.In the housing market, mortgage rates that have doubled this year are sidelining potential buyers and causing sellers to pull back on new listings. A measure of prices hasdroppedfor the last three months, while pending home sales havefallenfor five months in a row. The volume of mortgages with rate locks plunged 61% in October from 2021 levels, according to Black Knight Inc.Commercial real estate is also feeling the sting. Property prices have slumped 13% from a peak this year, according to Green Street’s October price index. The financing environment has become trickier as some big lenders have scaled back, leading property owners such as a Brookfield Asset Management Inc. unit to warn that it might struggle to refinance certain debt.Industry FalloutThe industry fallout has been wide-ranging. Reverse Mortgage Funding, a home lender backed by Starwood Capital Group,filedfor Chapter 11 bankruptcy this week.Layoffs have been widespread. Opendoor Technologies Inc., which pioneered a data-driven spin on home-flipping known as iBuying,laid offabout 18% of its workforce and wrote down the value of its property holdings by $573 million. Brokerage Redfin Corp. went through two rounds of layoffs and shuttered its iBuying business, while competitor Compass Inc. also made deep cuts to its technology teams in a quest for profitability.Layoffs only tell part of the story of the pain. While mortgage firms and real estate technology companies cut costs by firing workers, real estate agents make up a large share of the industry’s workforce. They’re usually considered independent contractors and depend on commissions for a living. They don’t show up in layoff tallies but are also exposed to slowing home sales.“There are hundreds of thousands of real estate agents who are not going to be practicing because people are buying and selling fewer homes,” said Mike DelPrete, a scholar-in-residence at the University of Colorado Boulder. “It’s like a silent culling of the ranks.”Search for YieldWhen interest rates were ultra low, investors turned to commercial real estate as a source for higher yields than they could get by owning Treasuries and other low-risk bonds.That was part of BREIT’s appeal, drawing in high-net-worth clients lured by the 13% annualized returns in one major share class through October. BREIT raked in money to buy apartments and industrial buildings, properties that the private equity firm bet would keep growing in value because demand outstripped supply. People who couldn’t afford to buy a house needed to rent, the reasoning went, and shoppers increasingly buying online drove up the need for warehouse space.“Our business is built on performance, not fund flows, and performance is rock solid,” a Blackstone spokesperson said Thursday after the firm announced the redemption limits.Much of the money withdrawn from BREIT was from overseas, with offshore investors redeeming at eight times the rate of US ones in the past year. Blackstone shares dropped 2.7% Friday to $82.76 at 10:47 a.m., after tumbling 7.1% the day before.Read more about the pressures facing Blackstone’s giant real estate fund for wealthy investors.Commercial-property owners are getting hit with financing challenges after years of paying for deals with cheap loans. Expensive debt haspushedsome borrowers into negative leverage, which means that debt costs are outpacing expected returns. Dealmaking has also frozen, with transaction volume plunging 43% in October from a year earlier, according to MSCI Real Assets.“With the benefits of leverage severely limited and owners who are not being forced to sell, the price expectations gap between sellers and potential buyers has been wide enough to limit deal closings,” Jim Costello, an MSCI economist, wrote in a Nov. 16 report.Despite all the pain points, the housing and commercial real estate industries are in better shape than in some previous downturns, with more tightly underwritten loans and less of a risk of markets being oversupplied.With BREIT, the fund is still outperforming the S&P 500 Index, even as investors increasingly want out. And Thursday’s announced sale of a stake in two Las Vegas hotels is expected to generate roughly $730 million in profit for BREIT shareholders, Bloomberg previously reported.Relative ValueWhat’s changing most drastically across the industry is the relative value of real estate to other investments.Thanks in part to the Federal Reserve’s hiking campaign, investors have other places to earn money that could generate more yield than in years past and tend to be more liquid than commercial real estate, including Treasuries, investment-grade bonds, and mortgage-backed securities.“Real estate is quite cyclical,” Wharton’s Wachter said. “It’s bad for real estate when rates go up and you can get higher yields from Treasuries and other assets.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931258049,"gmtCreate":1662471580581,"gmtModify":1676537067518,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931258049","repostId":"1120803157","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120803157","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662471156,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120803157?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120803157","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.The Dow Jon","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 136 points, or 0.44%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.39% and 0.31% respectively. U.S. markets were closed Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.</p><p>CVS Health said Monday it’s buying Signify Health for roughly $8 billion, while Volkswagen shared its plan to float Porsche for an initial public offering.</p><p>On Friday, the major averages closed out their third negative week in a row. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first six-day losing streak since 2019, ending the session 1.3% lower, while the Dow erased a 370-point gain on Friday to close about 1.1% lower. The S&amp;P shed 1.1% to its lowest close since July.</p><p>In the holiday-shortened week, investors are looking ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve presidents and a fresh rate hike decision from the European Central bank due out later this week. August PMI services and ISM services data are slated for Tuesday, giving more important information about the state of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“This is the week where everyone’s back,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Everyone’s back to school, back to trading, a lot of people are back into the office. There’s still a lot of pessimism here that we could continue to see inflation rear its ugly head and that should warrant more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Rise As Wall Street Looks to Reverse 3-Week Losing Streak\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-06 21:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 136 points, or 0.44%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.39% and 0.31% respectively. U.S. markets were closed Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.</p><p>CVS Health said Monday it’s buying Signify Health for roughly $8 billion, while Volkswagen shared its plan to float Porsche for an initial public offering.</p><p>On Friday, the major averages closed out their third negative week in a row. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first six-day losing streak since 2019, ending the session 1.3% lower, while the Dow erased a 370-point gain on Friday to close about 1.1% lower. The S&amp;P shed 1.1% to its lowest close since July.</p><p>In the holiday-shortened week, investors are looking ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve presidents and a fresh rate hike decision from the European Central bank due out later this week. August PMI services and ISM services data are slated for Tuesday, giving more important information about the state of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“This is the week where everyone’s back,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Everyone’s back to school, back to trading, a lot of people are back into the office. There’s still a lot of pessimism here that we could continue to see inflation rear its ugly head and that should warrant more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120803157","content_text":"Stock rose Tuesday as traders aimed to start the holiday-shortened week on a strong note.The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 136 points, or 0.44%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.39% and 0.31% respectively. U.S. markets were closed Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.CVS Health said Monday it’s buying Signify Health for roughly $8 billion, while Volkswagen shared its plan to float Porsche for an initial public offering.On Friday, the major averages closed out their third negative week in a row. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first six-day losing streak since 2019, ending the session 1.3% lower, while the Dow erased a 370-point gain on Friday to close about 1.1% lower. The S&P shed 1.1% to its lowest close since July.In the holiday-shortened week, investors are looking ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve presidents and a fresh rate hike decision from the European Central bank due out later this week. August PMI services and ISM services data are slated for Tuesday, giving more important information about the state of the U.S. economy.“This is the week where everyone’s back,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Everyone’s back to school, back to trading, a lot of people are back into the office. There’s still a lot of pessimism here that we could continue to see inflation rear its ugly head and that should warrant more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994596166,"gmtCreate":1661654712456,"gmtModify":1676536555721,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994596166","repostId":"1161837457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161837457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661645647,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161837457?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-28 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161837457","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guida","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Massive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.</li><li>Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.</li><li>Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.</li></ul><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia&#39;s third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker&#39;s results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3&#39;23, Nvidia&#39;s shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 earnings card was as expected</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia&#39;s gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia&#39;s graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9690c900cda9585b16d72361723e11ca\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Final FQ2&#39;23 Results</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia&#39;s computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia&#39;s Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.</p><p>While Nvidia&#39;s Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm&#39;s &#39;OEM and Other&#39; business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia&#39;s CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).</p><p>Nvidia doesn&#39;t break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don&#39;t see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021fa94ce8462c4eecb6cdfc173dd154\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Segment Revenue Trends</p><p><b>Nightmarish guidance</b></p><p>The most important piece of new information in Nvidia&#39;s release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia&#39;s business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia&#39;s revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.</p><p>I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.</p><h3>My expectations for Nvidia going forward</h3><p>I expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.</p><p>Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia&#39;s revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA&#39;s GeForce RTX 30 and AMD&#39;s Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer&#39;s suggested retail price possible. Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia&#39;s flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.</p><p>Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/297c23d10b4798c94de6cfa3ff793b91\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts</p><p><b>Estimate and valuation risk</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia&#39;s FQ3&#39;23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia&#39;s generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia&#39;s shares.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92263effbea15a27a9d0154ceff211d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YCharts</p><p><b>Other risks/considerations with Nvidia</b></p><p>I see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia&#39;s GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3&#39;23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia&#39;s shares into a new down-leg.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Shares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia&#39;s period of hyper-growth is ending.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s outlook for FQ3&#39;23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia&#39;s valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia&#39;s valuation is set to experience more pressure!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-28 08:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161837457","content_text":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia's third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker's results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3'23, Nvidia's shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!Nvidia's FQ2'23 earnings card was as expectedNvidia's second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia's FQ2'23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia's gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia's graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.Nvidia: Final FQ2'23 ResultsNvidia's Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia's computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia's Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia's Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.While Nvidia's Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm's 'OEM and Other' business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia's CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).Nvidia doesn't break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don't see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.Nvidia: Segment Revenue TrendsNightmarish guidanceThe most important piece of new information in Nvidia's release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia's business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia's revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.My expectations for Nvidia going forwardI expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia's revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 30 and AMD's Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer's suggested retail price possible. Nvidia's RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia's flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YChartsEstimate and valuation riskNvidia's revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia's FQ3'23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia's generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia's shares.Nvidia's shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YChartsOther risks/considerations with NvidiaI see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia's GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3'23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia's shares into a new down-leg.Final thoughtsShares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia's period of hyper-growth is ending.Nvidia's outlook for FQ3'23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia's valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia's valuation is set to experience more pressure!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994311209,"gmtCreate":1661564294002,"gmtModify":1676536542074,"author":{"id":"4122870748721992","authorId":"4122870748721992","name":"aureliapy","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d697489b07375cc120656938029c9069","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122870748721992","authorIdStr":"4122870748721992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994311209","repostId":"2262977847","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262977847","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661561509,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262977847?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-27 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262977847","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless they don&#39;t because people expected worse or assume that the news was already priced into the market.</p><p>It&#39;s an inexact science where people make reactionary moves that send markets up or down based on some sort of prevailing wisdom. Basically, people take short-term news and conflate it to have long-term meaning.</p><p>The media -- of which I have been a member for roughly 30 years -- do not generally help calm the short-term hysteria.</p><p>People don&#39;t get paid to go on cable-news channels to express<b> </b>reasoned long-term opinions. They&#39;re supposed to fire off hot takes, which make it seem as if the Fed&#39;s rate move or the monthly jobs number has a huge<b> </b>impact on the stock market.</p><p>In reality, broader economic conditions clearly have an impact on individual stocks, but that&#39;s not nearly as simple as people would have you believe.</p><p>For example, a weakening economy might be worse for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>  because people might be wary of buying expensive new phones. Or the same economy could benefit Apple because consumers will hold back on vacations, new cars, and other expensive purchases and spend on more-affordable luxuries like streaming TV, music, and fitness, or maybe even a new phone, which is a lot cheaper than many vacations.</p><h2>Short-Term Stock Market Moves Don&#39;t Much Matter</h2><p>A lot of people day-trade and try to guess how the market might perform day-to-day or even hour-to-hour. Long-term investors buy good companies and hold them for years. That&#39;s how the average person can build wealth, and it&#39;s a strategy that does not depend on you trying to figure out what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#39;s comment or any Fed move means at a micro level.</p><p>Instead, every news report is a piece of a bigger puzzle. Yes, the country&#39;s long-term financial health tells you things about how various companies will perform, but isolated data points generally mean very little.</p><p>If we go back to looking at Apple, for example, the company&#39;s quarterly earnings reports often show double-digit growth in every category -- and the stock price falls after the report. Sometimes that&#39;s because investors expected more or analysts didn&#39;t like the outlook management described. But you can&#39;t judge companies based on one quarter.</p><p>When you assess an earnings report, you have to compare it with the company&#39;s long-term road map. Did Apple, for example, grow service revenue, something the tech giant has been working on for years? Are long-term sales goals being met even if they&#39;re not happening in exactly the way the company thought they might?</p><p>For example, when Apple introduces the new iPhone, in September, sales may be front-loaded or people may wait a few weeks, until the holiday season, before they buy. In a broader sense, many customers may wait until their current phone gets paid off. It&#39;s a 12-month cycle where the destination, not how you get there, matters.</p><h2>So Much Noise, So Little News</h2><p>It&#39;s a 24-hour/7-day-a-week news cycle, and media outlets tied to that wheel can&#39;t tell you that what&#39;s happening in the moment is one data point of many, not a meaningful, actionable item on its own.</p><p>Higher interest rates, for example, mean higher mortgage rates, which in turn could slow the housing market and bring prices down (or at least slow their growth).</p><p>That&#39;s not a simple equation. Cheaper sale prices with higher mortgage rates might increase affordability for buyers but they also slow wealth creation for sellers.</p><p>Both are interesting data points when you look at lots of different stocks, but evaluating a company&#39;s prospects is much more about how its management executes a plan while adjusting for economic conditions.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">Peloton</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>, for example, have taken very different approaches to the end of the pandemic-driven boom.</p><p>Netflix always talked about how it was pulling growth forward, warning that at some point there would be quarters with slight drops. The company explained how it would get more efficient with its content spending and focus on new areas like video games to drive growth.</p><p>You can believe that strategy will work -- I&#39;m bullish on more focused content spending and I think games are lighting money on fire. But how the company executes on its clearly explained strategy means a lot more to its future than an interest rate move or whether <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Disney</a> has an Avengers movie in theaters at this exact moment.</p><p>Peloton, for its part, has never really articulated a plan for a return to growth after the pandemic pushed forward its customer acquisition. Yes, the broader economy matters more to Peloton than it does to Netflix, but you should buy, sell, or ignore the company&#39;s stock based on whether you believe in its long-term business plan, not because the cost of financing a bike just got marginally more expensive.</p><p>The media want to keep things simple. That&#39;s why the weatherperson tells you it&#39;s going to snow, how much may fall, and what the temperature will be, not the underlying science that leads to those things happening.</p><p>It&#39;s easy to conflate single data points to stock market moves because when we get data, the market moves, but those moves don&#39;t actually speak to long-term performance.</p><p>When you consider investing in a company or selling a stock you own, look at as many data points as you can, and don&#39;t make blanket assumptions that higher interest rates or a weaker economy are bad (or good) for that company.</p><p>Remember that charts, numbers, expert opinions, and everything else are tools to help you understand the bigger picture. No one of them is the last word.</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-27 08:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262977847","content_text":"The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless they don't because people expected worse or assume that the news was already priced into the market.It's an inexact science where people make reactionary moves that send markets up or down based on some sort of prevailing wisdom. Basically, people take short-term news and conflate it to have long-term meaning.The media -- of which I have been a member for roughly 30 years -- do not generally help calm the short-term hysteria.People don't get paid to go on cable-news channels to express reasoned long-term opinions. They're supposed to fire off hot takes, which make it seem as if the Fed's rate move or the monthly jobs number has a huge impact on the stock market.In reality, broader economic conditions clearly have an impact on individual stocks, but that's not nearly as simple as people would have you believe.For example, a weakening economy might be worse for Apple  because people might be wary of buying expensive new phones. Or the same economy could benefit Apple because consumers will hold back on vacations, new cars, and other expensive purchases and spend on more-affordable luxuries like streaming TV, music, and fitness, or maybe even a new phone, which is a lot cheaper than many vacations.Short-Term Stock Market Moves Don't Much MatterA lot of people day-trade and try to guess how the market might perform day-to-day or even hour-to-hour. Long-term investors buy good companies and hold them for years. That's how the average person can build wealth, and it's a strategy that does not depend on you trying to figure out what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comment or any Fed move means at a micro level.Instead, every news report is a piece of a bigger puzzle. Yes, the country's long-term financial health tells you things about how various companies will perform, but isolated data points generally mean very little.If we go back to looking at Apple, for example, the company's quarterly earnings reports often show double-digit growth in every category -- and the stock price falls after the report. Sometimes that's because investors expected more or analysts didn't like the outlook management described. But you can't judge companies based on one quarter.When you assess an earnings report, you have to compare it with the company's long-term road map. Did Apple, for example, grow service revenue, something the tech giant has been working on for years? Are long-term sales goals being met even if they're not happening in exactly the way the company thought they might?For example, when Apple introduces the new iPhone, in September, sales may be front-loaded or people may wait a few weeks, until the holiday season, before they buy. In a broader sense, many customers may wait until their current phone gets paid off. It's a 12-month cycle where the destination, not how you get there, matters.So Much Noise, So Little NewsIt's a 24-hour/7-day-a-week news cycle, and media outlets tied to that wheel can't tell you that what's happening in the moment is one data point of many, not a meaningful, actionable item on its own.Higher interest rates, for example, mean higher mortgage rates, which in turn could slow the housing market and bring prices down (or at least slow their growth).That's not a simple equation. Cheaper sale prices with higher mortgage rates might increase affordability for buyers but they also slow wealth creation for sellers.Both are interesting data points when you look at lots of different stocks, but evaluating a company's prospects is much more about how its management executes a plan while adjusting for economic conditions.Peloton and Netflix, for example, have taken very different approaches to the end of the pandemic-driven boom.Netflix always talked about how it was pulling growth forward, warning that at some point there would be quarters with slight drops. The company explained how it would get more efficient with its content spending and focus on new areas like video games to drive growth.You can believe that strategy will work -- I'm bullish on more focused content spending and I think games are lighting money on fire. But how the company executes on its clearly explained strategy means a lot more to its future than an interest rate move or whether Disney has an Avengers movie in theaters at this exact moment.Peloton, for its part, has never really articulated a plan for a return to growth after the pandemic pushed forward its customer acquisition. Yes, the broader economy matters more to Peloton than it does to Netflix, but you should buy, sell, or ignore the company's stock based on whether you believe in its long-term business plan, not because the cost of financing a bike just got marginally more expensive.The media want to keep things simple. That's why the weatherperson tells you it's going to snow, how much may fall, and what the temperature will be, not the underlying science that leads to those things happening.It's easy to conflate single data points to stock market moves because when we get data, the market moves, but those moves don't actually speak to long-term performance.When you consider investing in a company or selling a stock you own, look at as many data points as you can, and don't make blanket assumptions that higher interest rates or a weaker economy are bad (or good) for that company.Remember that charts, numbers, expert opinions, and everything else are tools to help you understand the bigger picture. No one of them is the last word.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}