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2023-10-12

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@寇健:Oil Price Has peaked This Year,The Israeli-Palestinian conflict can hardly change it.

2022-11-15

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student","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤣","listText":"🤣","text":"🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/229644326703360","repostId":"229667864354880","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":229667864354880,"gmtCreate":1697097737057,"gmtModify":1697097757877,"author":{"id":"3580807725993787","authorId":"3580807725993787","name":"寇健","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89441ad4219daeab85f6c707819e1dc6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"Oil Price Has peaked This Year,The Israeli-Palestinian conflict can hardly change it.","htmlText":"CME group special commentator Kou JianA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine on October 7, local time, which gave a short-term boost to crude oil prices, which was quite different from the previous trend in less than 10 days from September 27 to October 6. At that time, the price of American oil (WTI) dropped sharply from the highest point of 95 US dollars this year to 81 US dollars, which shocked the world.What caused the sharp drop in crude oil prices this time, and what will happen to crude oil prices next?On September 27th, the price of US crude oil reached US $95, and the inflation in the United States remained high. The Federal Reserve went all out to raise interest rates, and claimed that the whole rate hike operation would not be completed until the","listText":"CME group special commentator Kou JianA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine on October 7, local time, which gave a short-term boost to crude oil prices, which was quite different from the previous trend in less than 10 days from September 27 to October 6. At that time, the price of American oil (WTI) dropped sharply from the highest point of 95 US dollars this year to 81 US dollars, which shocked the world.What caused the sharp drop in crude oil prices this time, and what will happen to crude oil prices next?On September 27th, the price of US crude oil reached US $95, and the inflation in the United States remained high. The Federal Reserve went all out to raise interest rates, and claimed that the whole rate hike operation would not be completed until the","text":"CME group special commentator Kou JianA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine on October 7, local time, which gave a short-term boost to crude oil prices, which was quite different from the previous trend in less than 10 days from September 27 to October 6. At that time, the price of American oil (WTI) dropped sharply from the highest point of 95 US dollars this year to 81 US dollars, which shocked the world.What caused the sharp drop in crude oil prices this time, and what will happen to crude oil prices next?On September 27th, the price of US crude oil reached US $95, and the inflation in the United States remained high. The Federal Reserve went all out to raise interest rates, and claimed that the whole rate hike operation would not be completed until the","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2180ce0abcf1b51a6869bb35a5587d7","width":"478","height":"295"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/229667864354880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969439495,"gmtCreate":1668487598217,"gmtModify":1676538064929,"author":{"id":"4124246100214532","authorId":"4124246100214532","name":"Win student","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a href=\"\">[微笑]&nbsp;</a>‌","listText":"‌<a href=\"\">[微笑]&nbsp;</a>‌","text":"‌[微笑] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969439495","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9969439495,"gmtCreate":1668487598217,"gmtModify":1676538064929,"author":{"id":"4124246100214532","authorId":"4124246100214532","name":"Win student","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a href=\"\">[微笑]&nbsp;</a>‌","listText":"‌<a href=\"\">[微笑]&nbsp;</a>‌","text":"‌[微笑] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969439495","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":275685898391672,"gmtCreate":1708328980850,"gmtModify":1708332380162,"author":{"id":"4124246100214532","authorId":"4124246100214532","name":"Win student","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDCNY.FOREX\">$USD/CNY(USDCNY.FOREX)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDCNY.FOREX\">$USD/CNY(USDCNY.FOREX)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$USD/CNY(USDCNY.FOREX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/275685898391672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":229644326703360,"gmtCreate":1697107398131,"gmtModify":1697107701477,"author":{"id":"4124246100214532","authorId":"4124246100214532","name":"Win student","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤣","listText":"🤣","text":"🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/229644326703360","repostId":"229667864354880","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":229667864354880,"gmtCreate":1697097737057,"gmtModify":1697097757877,"author":{"id":"3580807725993787","authorId":"3580807725993787","name":"寇健","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89441ad4219daeab85f6c707819e1dc6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"Oil Price Has peaked This Year,The Israeli-Palestinian conflict can hardly change it.","htmlText":"CME group special commentator Kou JianA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine on October 7, local time, which gave a short-term boost to crude oil prices, which was quite different from the previous trend in less than 10 days from September 27 to October 6. At that time, the price of American oil (WTI) dropped sharply from the highest point of 95 US dollars this year to 81 US dollars, which shocked the world.What caused the sharp drop in crude oil prices this time, and what will happen to crude oil prices next?On September 27th, the price of US crude oil reached US $95, and the inflation in the United States remained high. The Federal Reserve went all out to raise interest rates, and claimed that the whole rate hike operation would not be completed until the","listText":"CME group special commentator Kou JianA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine on October 7, local time, which gave a short-term boost to crude oil prices, which was quite different from the previous trend in less than 10 days from September 27 to October 6. At that time, the price of American oil (WTI) dropped sharply from the highest point of 95 US dollars this year to 81 US dollars, which shocked the world.What caused the sharp drop in crude oil prices this time, and what will happen to crude oil prices next?On September 27th, the price of US crude oil reached US $95, and the inflation in the United States remained high. The Federal Reserve went all out to raise interest rates, and claimed that the whole rate hike operation would not be completed until the","text":"CME group special commentator Kou JianA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine on October 7, local time, which gave a short-term boost to crude oil prices, which was quite different from the previous trend in less than 10 days from September 27 to October 6. At that time, the price of American oil (WTI) dropped sharply from the highest point of 95 US dollars this year to 81 US dollars, which shocked the world.What caused the sharp drop in crude oil prices this time, and what will happen to crude oil prices next?On September 27th, the price of US crude oil reached US $95, and the inflation in the United States remained high. The Federal Reserve went all out to raise interest rates, and claimed that the whole rate hike operation would not be completed until the","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2180ce0abcf1b51a6869bb35a5587d7","width":"478","height":"295"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/229667864354880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}