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Chopper0905

Chopper0905

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2022-12-15

Higher for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,

U.S. Equities Tumble as Fed Shock Halts Global Rally

2022-12-15

actually good for a change

U.S. SEC Votes to Advance Stock Market Overhaul Proposals

2022-12-12

good

Google: Ignore Fear-Mongering Headlines About ChatGPT's Disruption

2022-12-11

ok

US Probes FTX Founder for Fraud, Examines Cash Flows to Bahamas

2022-12-11

ok

3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond

2022-12-07

Very nice

2022-12-05

Thanks for sharing

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-12-04

good

Elon Musk Says Apple Is "Fully" Advertising on Twitter Again

2022-11-29

Nice.

2022-11-29

ok

JD.com Jumps Over 7%, Alibaba Rises Over 6%: Hong Kong Stocks Firm

2022-11-25

omg I wish they could correctly convey these recalls,it's not like 80k vehicles have to go back to the factory,it a fucking software upgrade over the air....it's infuriating the misrepresentation of these types of news!!!!!!!

Tesla Recalls More Than 80,000 Local-Made, Imported Cars in China

2022-11-25

good

U.S. Stock Futures Rise on Signs of Fed Slowdown

2022-11-24

Nice

2022-11-22

Crypto winter?more like crypto Ice age.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Fall: Analyst Says More Blood Yet To Come As Genesis Crisis Adds To Crypto Carnage

2022-11-21

Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.

2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?

2022-11-19

Did Coinbase have any exposure to FTX?loans? Investments?would be interesting to know.

Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday

2022-11-19

good

Top Calls on Wall Street: Amazon, HP, DraftKings, Applied Materials and More

2022-11-19

ok

S&P, Dow, Nasdaq Lose Steam After Weaker Homes Data

2022-11-19

ok

More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001

2022-11-18

ok

Record Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion "OpEx“

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,","listText":"Higher for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,","text":"Higher for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921573832","repostId":"1152990574","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152990574","pubTimestamp":1671101246,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152990574?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-15 18:47","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"U.S. Equities Tumble as Fed Shock Halts Global Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152990574","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations for a dovish tilt and said interest rates will go higher for longer.</p><p>Contracts on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gauges fell at least 1.1% each. Demand for haven assets sent the dollar and Swiss franc higher amid a wave of rate hikes from Taiwan to Norway. The euro halted a two-day advance as traders awaited policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. Oil slid on signs of increasing supply. Tesla Inc. dropped in premarket New York trading after Elon Musk sold $3.6 billion of shares.</p><p>A global rally sparked by softer-than-forecast US inflation came to an abrupt halt on Wednesday after policymakers signaled a peak rate that was far above market expectations and sought to dispel hopes for a rate cut next year. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank won’t back away from its fight against inflation despite mounting fears of job losses and a recession.</p><p>“The Fed was more hawkish than markets had expected,” Jack McIntyre, a money manager at Brandywine Global Investment Management, wrote in a note. “They seemingly still want financial markets to tighten further, which essentially means they want lower equity prices.”</p><p>An index of the dollar’s strength headed for the biggest gain since Dec. 5. The euro fell from a six-month high, while Britain’s pound declined for the first time in seven days. The ECB and BOE are expected to follow the Fed with half-point hikes.</p><p>The Swiss franc held its gain after the nation’s central bank doubled the policy rate to 1% as forecast. China’s yuan fell.</p><p>Europe’s equity benchmark, the Stoxx 600, tumbled the most since Nov. 3, dragged by consumer and retail shares. Tesla dropped 2.6% in early New York trading after Chief Executive Officer Musk sold almost 22 million shares of the electric-car maker for $3.58 billion. Western Digital Corp. lost 4.1% as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended selling the stock.</p><p>Shorter-dated Treasury yields edged higher, with the two-year rate adding 3 basis points. The 10-year rate was little changed as investors weighed the economic impact of Fed’s hawkishness.</p><p>Oil slipped after rallying almost 9% over the previous three sessions as TC Energy Corp. restarted a section of the Keystone pipeline, allowing for some flows to resume on the major conduit.</p><p>Key events this week:</p><ul><li>ECB rate decision and ECB President Lagarde briefing, Thursday</li><li>Rate decisions for UK BOE, Mexico, Norway, Philippines, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thursday</li><li>US cross-border investment, business inventories, empire manufacturing, retail sales, initial jobless claims, industrial production, Thursday</li><li>Eurozone S&amp;P Global PMI, CPI, Friday</li></ul><p>Some of the main moves in markets:</p><p>Stocks</p><ul><li>The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.2% as of 10:09 a.m. London time</li><li>Futures on the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.1%</li><li>Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.3%</li><li>Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%</li><li>The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.5%</li><li>The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1.3%</li></ul><p>Currencies</p><ul><li>The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%</li><li>The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0621</li><li>The Japanese yen fell 0.8% to 136.62 per dollar</li><li>The offshore yuan fell 0.5% to 6.9770 per dollar</li><li>The British pound fell 0.7% to $1.2338</li></ul><p>Cryptocurrencies</p><ul><li>Bitcoin fell 0.8% to $17,691.21</li><li>Ether fell 1.7% to $1,287.85</li></ul><p>Bonds</p><ul><li>The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.48%</li><li>Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.92%</li><li>Britain’s 10-year yield declined eight basis points to 3.24%</li></ul><p>Commodities</p><ul><li>Brent crude fell 0.1% to $82.58 a barrel</li><li>Spot gold fell 1.6% to $1,778.12 an ounce</li></ul><p>Volatility</p><ul><li>VIX rose 2.74% to 21.72</li><li>VIXmain rose 1.29% to 23.5</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Equities Tumble as Fed Shock Halts Global Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-15 18:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/asian-stocks-to-open-lower-after-hawkish-fed-view-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations for a dovish tilt and said interest rates will go higher for longer.Contracts on the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/asian-stocks-to-open-lower-after-hawkish-fed-view-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/asian-stocks-to-open-lower-after-hawkish-fed-view-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152990574","content_text":"US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations for a dovish tilt and said interest rates will go higher for longer.Contracts on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gauges fell at least 1.1% each. Demand for haven assets sent the dollar and Swiss franc higher amid a wave of rate hikes from Taiwan to Norway. The euro halted a two-day advance as traders awaited policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. Oil slid on signs of increasing supply. Tesla Inc. dropped in premarket New York trading after Elon Musk sold $3.6 billion of shares.A global rally sparked by softer-than-forecast US inflation came to an abrupt halt on Wednesday after policymakers signaled a peak rate that was far above market expectations and sought to dispel hopes for a rate cut next year. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank won’t back away from its fight against inflation despite mounting fears of job losses and a recession.“The Fed was more hawkish than markets had expected,” Jack McIntyre, a money manager at Brandywine Global Investment Management, wrote in a note. “They seemingly still want financial markets to tighten further, which essentially means they want lower equity prices.”An index of the dollar’s strength headed for the biggest gain since Dec. 5. The euro fell from a six-month high, while Britain’s pound declined for the first time in seven days. The ECB and BOE are expected to follow the Fed with half-point hikes.The Swiss franc held its gain after the nation’s central bank doubled the policy rate to 1% as forecast. China’s yuan fell.Europe’s equity benchmark, the Stoxx 600, tumbled the most since Nov. 3, dragged by consumer and retail shares. Tesla dropped 2.6% in early New York trading after Chief Executive Officer Musk sold almost 22 million shares of the electric-car maker for $3.58 billion. Western Digital Corp. lost 4.1% as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended selling the stock.Shorter-dated Treasury yields edged higher, with the two-year rate adding 3 basis points. The 10-year rate was little changed as investors weighed the economic impact of Fed’s hawkishness.Oil slipped after rallying almost 9% over the previous three sessions as TC Energy Corp. restarted a section of the Keystone pipeline, allowing for some flows to resume on the major conduit.Key events this week:ECB rate decision and ECB President Lagarde briefing, ThursdayRate decisions for UK BOE, Mexico, Norway, Philippines, Switzerland, Taiwan, ThursdayUS cross-border investment, business inventories, empire manufacturing, retail sales, initial jobless claims, industrial production, ThursdayEurozone S&P Global PMI, CPI, FridaySome of the main moves in markets:StocksThe Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.2% as of 10:09 a.m. London timeFutures on the S&P 500 fell 1.1%Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.3%Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.5%The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1.3%CurrenciesThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0621The Japanese yen fell 0.8% to 136.62 per dollarThe offshore yuan fell 0.5% to 6.9770 per dollarThe British pound fell 0.7% to $1.2338CryptocurrenciesBitcoin fell 0.8% to $17,691.21Ether fell 1.7% to $1,287.85BondsThe yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.48%Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.92%Britain’s 10-year yield declined eight basis points to 3.24%CommoditiesBrent crude fell 0.1% to $82.58 a barrelSpot gold fell 1.6% to $1,778.12 an ounceVolatilityVIX rose 2.74% to 21.72VIXmain rose 1.29% to 23.5","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921283597,"gmtCreate":1671067459619,"gmtModify":1676538483999,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"actually good for a change","listText":"actually good for a change","text":"actually good for a change","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921283597","repostId":"2291084603","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2291084603","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1671059389,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2291084603?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-15 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. SEC Votes to Advance Stock Market Overhaul Proposals","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291084603","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday voted to propo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday voted to propose some of the biggest changes to American equity market structure in nearly two decades, aimed at boosting transparency and fairness while increasing competition for individual investors&#39; stock orders.</p><p>The proposals include requiring marketable retail stock orders to be sent to auctions before they are executed, a new standard for brokers to show they get the best possible executions for client orders, and lower trading increments and access fees on exchanges, the SEC said.</p><p>Opening up individual investor orders that can be immediately executed to competitive auctions could lead to &#34;significantly&#34; better prices for investors, the SEC said. Under current practice, retail brokers send most such orders to wholesale brokers, sometimes for a fee.</p><p>&#34;The competitive shortfall could be worth about $1.5 billion annually, compared with current practice — money that could go back into retail investors&#39; pockets,&#34; said SEC Chair Gary Gensler.</p><p>The changes, if adopted, would represent the biggest shakeup to stock market rules since the SEC introduced Regulation National Market System in 2005, which was aimed at modernizing and enhancing an increasingly fragmented and largely electronic marketplace.</p><p>Ronan Ryan, president and co-founder of IEX Group Inc said the reforms were a &#34;constructive and positive effort to improve transparency, increase competition, and ensure that investors can access the best prices available in the market.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It has been 17 years since the existing equity rules were adopted, and since that time, the stock market has seen significant change – including the advent of high-frequency trading, a dramatic decline in displayed liquidity on exchange, and a substantial rise in off-exchange trading,&#34; said Ryan.</p><p>&#34;Modernizing regulation ensures that market competition among brokers, market makers, and exchanges continues to benefit investors.”</p><p>The order competition rule, which would require marketable retail orders to be sent to auctions, could lead to more such orders being matched on exchanges, like the Nasdaq or Intercontinental Exchange Inc&#39;s New York Stock Exchange, rather than by wholesale brokers, like Citadel Securities and Virtu Financial VIRT.O.</p><p>Citadel Securities said in a statement that &#34;any proposed changes must provide demonstrable solutions to real problems while avoiding unintended consequences that will hurt American investors.&#34;</p><p>The regulator also voted to propose requiring brokers to provide more information on the quality of their customer trades, while also expanding the number of firms that must file the order execution reports.</p><p>The proposed changes will be put up for public comment until at least March 31 before the regulator moves to finalize the rules, which will also be voted on.</p><p>The regulator also voted to expand disclosures around the trading of company shares by insiders, such as executives and directors, that have received equity-based compensation.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. SEC Votes to Advance Stock Market Overhaul Proposals</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. SEC Votes to Advance Stock Market Overhaul Proposals\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-15 07:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday voted to propose some of the biggest changes to American equity market structure in nearly two decades, aimed at boosting transparency and fairness while increasing competition for individual investors&#39; stock orders.</p><p>The proposals include requiring marketable retail stock orders to be sent to auctions before they are executed, a new standard for brokers to show they get the best possible executions for client orders, and lower trading increments and access fees on exchanges, the SEC said.</p><p>Opening up individual investor orders that can be immediately executed to competitive auctions could lead to &#34;significantly&#34; better prices for investors, the SEC said. Under current practice, retail brokers send most such orders to wholesale brokers, sometimes for a fee.</p><p>&#34;The competitive shortfall could be worth about $1.5 billion annually, compared with current practice — money that could go back into retail investors&#39; pockets,&#34; said SEC Chair Gary Gensler.</p><p>The changes, if adopted, would represent the biggest shakeup to stock market rules since the SEC introduced Regulation National Market System in 2005, which was aimed at modernizing and enhancing an increasingly fragmented and largely electronic marketplace.</p><p>Ronan Ryan, president and co-founder of IEX Group Inc said the reforms were a &#34;constructive and positive effort to improve transparency, increase competition, and ensure that investors can access the best prices available in the market.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It has been 17 years since the existing equity rules were adopted, and since that time, the stock market has seen significant change – including the advent of high-frequency trading, a dramatic decline in displayed liquidity on exchange, and a substantial rise in off-exchange trading,&#34; said Ryan.</p><p>&#34;Modernizing regulation ensures that market competition among brokers, market makers, and exchanges continues to benefit investors.”</p><p>The order competition rule, which would require marketable retail orders to be sent to auctions, could lead to more such orders being matched on exchanges, like the Nasdaq or Intercontinental Exchange Inc&#39;s New York Stock Exchange, rather than by wholesale brokers, like Citadel Securities and Virtu Financial VIRT.O.</p><p>Citadel Securities said in a statement that &#34;any proposed changes must provide demonstrable solutions to real problems while avoiding unintended consequences that will hurt American investors.&#34;</p><p>The regulator also voted to propose requiring brokers to provide more information on the quality of their customer trades, while also expanding the number of firms that must file the order execution reports.</p><p>The proposed changes will be put up for public comment until at least March 31 before the regulator moves to finalize the rules, which will also be voted on.</p><p>The regulator also voted to expand disclosures around the trading of company shares by insiders, such as executives and directors, that have received equity-based compensation.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291084603","content_text":"NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday voted to propose some of the biggest changes to American equity market structure in nearly two decades, aimed at boosting transparency and fairness while increasing competition for individual investors' stock orders.The proposals include requiring marketable retail stock orders to be sent to auctions before they are executed, a new standard for brokers to show they get the best possible executions for client orders, and lower trading increments and access fees on exchanges, the SEC said.Opening up individual investor orders that can be immediately executed to competitive auctions could lead to \"significantly\" better prices for investors, the SEC said. Under current practice, retail brokers send most such orders to wholesale brokers, sometimes for a fee.\"The competitive shortfall could be worth about $1.5 billion annually, compared with current practice — money that could go back into retail investors' pockets,\" said SEC Chair Gary Gensler.The changes, if adopted, would represent the biggest shakeup to stock market rules since the SEC introduced Regulation National Market System in 2005, which was aimed at modernizing and enhancing an increasingly fragmented and largely electronic marketplace.Ronan Ryan, president and co-founder of IEX Group Inc said the reforms were a \"constructive and positive effort to improve transparency, increase competition, and ensure that investors can access the best prices available in the market.\"\"It has been 17 years since the existing equity rules were adopted, and since that time, the stock market has seen significant change – including the advent of high-frequency trading, a dramatic decline in displayed liquidity on exchange, and a substantial rise in off-exchange trading,\" said Ryan.\"Modernizing regulation ensures that market competition among brokers, market makers, and exchanges continues to benefit investors.”The order competition rule, which would require marketable retail orders to be sent to auctions, could lead to more such orders being matched on exchanges, like the Nasdaq or Intercontinental Exchange Inc's New York Stock Exchange, rather than by wholesale brokers, like Citadel Securities and Virtu Financial VIRT.O.Citadel Securities said in a statement that \"any proposed changes must provide demonstrable solutions to real problems while avoiding unintended consequences that will hurt American investors.\"The regulator also voted to propose requiring brokers to provide more information on the quality of their customer trades, while also expanding the number of firms that must file the order execution reports.The proposed changes will be put up for public comment until at least March 31 before the regulator moves to finalize the rules, which will also be voted on.The regulator also voted to expand disclosures around the trading of company shares by insiders, such as executives and directors, that have received equity-based compensation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923861437,"gmtCreate":1670826668129,"gmtModify":1676538441561,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923861437","repostId":"2290471862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290471862","pubTimestamp":1670825204,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2290471862?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-12 14:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google: Ignore Fear-Mongering Headlines About ChatGPT's Disruption","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290471862","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe introduction of ChatGPT has led to unnecessary \"fear-mongering\" in the media, as writers ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The introduction of ChatGPT has led to unnecessary &#34;fear-mongering&#34; in the media, as writers fanned the flame of disruption on Google Search&#39;s business model.</li><li>We discuss why investors should be cautious about falling for these headlines, as Google AI has a strong foundation.</li><li>Also, we discuss why ChatGPT is far from supplanting Google AI. Why? Because AI output is probabilistic, not deterministic. AGI is likely not even close to reality.</li><li>But our children&#39;s homework could be ripe for disruption by having ChatGPT churn out the &#34;incorrect&#34; answers to test their knowledge and editing skills.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e73fc6b7a961de53c1bf9a0e18801108\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JHVEPhoto</span></p><h2>Don&#39;t Fall For The ChatGPT &#34;Fear Mongering&#34;</h2><p>In October last year, one of the largest companies headquartered in Menlo Park dazzled us with its interpretation of the metaverse. It even changed its name from Facebook to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> (META) subsequently, seeing its future firmly established in the VR world.</p><p>This December, a company called OpenAI, backed by notable luminaries such as Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> (PYPL) Co-Founder Peter Thiel, LinkedIn (MSFT) Co-Founder Reid Hoffman, and led by ex-President of Y Combinator Sam Altman, unveiled its Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT) language model called ChatGPT to the public for free (for now).</p><p>Based on the two-year old GPT-3 model, OpenAI&#39;s ChatGPT has created massive hype, as it amassed 1M users in record fashion.</p><p>We have seen analyses and unnecessary &#34;fear-mongering&#34; in the media, suggesting that Google&#39;s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) most-prized and critical revenue driver: Google Search is ripe for disruption.</p><p>However, before anyone arrives at any conclusion, we urge investors to consider what Google has been doing all this while with AI. In addition, Google investors should be keenly aware that AI is critical to Google CEO Sundar Pichai&#39;s focus.</p><p>Among Pichai&#39;s 17 direct reports includes Google SVP Jeff Dean of Google Research and AI. Core to Google AI&#39;s mission is &#34;to use AI to augment the abilities of people, to enable us to accomplish more and to allow us to spend more time on our creative endeavors.&#34;</p><p>Let me take a pause. Dean&#39;s choice of words is essential. He uses &#34;augment,&#34; seeing AI as a complementary tool to strengthen Google&#39;s value proposition to its merchants, consumers, and users. It&#39;s not meant to replace or supplant. Why? Remember, AI output, including ChatGPT&#39;s underlying model, is based on probabilistic assumptions instead of deterministic ones. Stratechery articulated in a recent piece:</p><blockquote>AI output, on the other hand, is probabilistic: ChatGPT doesn&#39;t have any internal record of right and wrong, but rather a statistical model about what bits of language go together under different contexts. The base of that context is the overall corpus of data that GPT-3 is trained on, along with additional context from ChatGPT&#39;s RLHF training, as well as the prompt and previous conversations, and, soon enough, feedback from this week&#39;s release. - <i>Stratechery</i></blockquote><p>As a result, it is amiss for users to assume that ChatGPT is the &#34;arbiter of truth.&#34; On the contrary, it has proved to deliver incorrect/inaccurate information in a highly confident manner. So confident that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUBS\">HubSpot</a> (HUBS) Co-Founder and CTO Dharmesh Shah articulated:</p><blockquote>The biggest issue with GPT-3 (ChatGPT) is not that it sometimes gets things wrong. It&#39;s that its answers don&#39;t indicate the confidence level it has in the response. It says everything with 100% confidence. Still impressive, though. - <i>Dharmesh Shah&#39;s LinkedIn</i></blockquote><p>We believe Shah&#39;s message is pretty nuanced here. Think about it. If some probabilistic device/software delivers incorrect/inaccurate information with 100% confidence, doesn&#39;t it sound like &#34;misinformation?&#34;</p><p>Google has never intended AI to replace its business model or processes because the underlying model does not yet have the capability.</p><p>Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is the core mission of OpenAI. Yet, even Elon Musk highlighted that ChatGPT is not even close as he responded to a tweet about how &#34;scaling ChatGPT&#34; would not lead us to AGI. Musk accentuated:</p><blockquote>To be called AGI, it needs to invent amazing things or discover deeper physics - many humans have done so. I&#39;m not seeing that potential yet. - Elon Musk Twitter</blockquote><p>Enough said.</p><h2>Google Has Always Been About Using AI Effectively</h2><p>Pichai has often laced his prepared remarks in earnings commentary or keynote speeches that he participated in with AI as a focus. As such, it has helped embed the application of Google AI into its respective business models, from Cloud to Search, YouTube, Other Bets, and Hardware.</p><p>Therefore, Google has always been about AI and has taken significant steps to further enhance the experience, effectiveness, and monetization. Pichai articulated the application of AI for its Search business:</p><blockquote>Over a decade ago, focusing the company&#39;s efforts on mobile helped us to build and grow our business for the shift to mobile computing. We are at a similar point now with AI, another transformational technology. Our investments in AI and deep computer science mean that we can deliver a wide range of breakthroughs across our products and services to help people, businesses and communities. At our Search On event, we shared how we are using AI advances to deliver a more natural and intuitive search experience. (<i>Google FQ3&#39;22 earnings call</i>)</blockquote><p>At Google Cloud Next &#39;22, Pichai also gave the keynote by highlighting how Google Cloud has embraced AI in its offerings. He accentuated:</p><blockquote>AI is another really important area for Google Cloud. Google has long been an AI-first company. We&#39;ve made progress in some of the most challenging areas of research, including translation, computer vision and natural language processing. These advances are powering helpful product innovations, from enabling people to search using video and tech simultaneously, to summarizing long documents and highlighting what matters. - <i>Google Cloud Next &#39;22 Keynote</i></blockquote><p>More importantly, Google uses AI &#34;responsibly,&#34; recognizing its limitations and leveraging its effectiveness. Therefore, Google Cloud deploys its Generative AI to enhance its customers&#39; workflow, not replace/supplant the human endeavor. GM of Google Workspace Aparna Pappu highlighted:</p><blockquote>Generative AI unleashes people&#39;s creativity and unlocks new workflows. Let&#39;s look at an example of how we might see this come to life here in Workspace. Amanda is a marketer at a running shoe company, a footwear company. And she&#39;s been tasked with creating a video to introduce their brand-new, zero-carbon, high-performance running shoe. To get started, she collects relevant data and assets. Then she might type something like this, create a 90-second video for a campaign, but using our brand guidelines of people running, make it outdoorsy, and maybe add some upbeat music. With the power of Google AI, Workspace takes all of this in and suggest several different creative directions for her to choose from. She likes the look of the mountain concept, and that&#39;s the one she picks. She begins to refine the idea. With the help of intelligent suggestions and iterations, she makes a few changes until she finally lands on something she loves. - <i>Google Cloud Next &#39;22</i></blockquote><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>No surprise that at its recent all-hands meeting, Pichai was peppered with questions about the recent changes to its performance grading. Of course, employees were more concerned about whether their jobs could be cut, given the recent tech layoffs.</p><p>However, we also believe that Google and its employees know that the company has a strong lead and foundation in AI and can monetize its product and services with AI that its customers, users, and merchants can rely on.</p><p>Ultimately, OpenAI needs to find a way on how it intends to monetize ChatGPT (given the &#34;eye-watering&#34; compute costs) before Google investors should start to ponder about &#34;disruption.&#34;</p><p>Stratechery&#39;s Ben Thompson aptly highlighted that he thinks our children&#39;s homework seems ripe for disruption. Not that it would churn out the output of the &#34;correct&#34; answers for our children. But, for it to churn out the &#34;incorrect&#34; responses that can only be corrected if our children &#34;have done their homework.&#34; He articulated:</p><blockquote>Here&#39;s an example of what homework might look like under this new paradigm. Imagine that a school acquires an AI software suite that students are expected to use for their answers about Hobbes or anything else; every answer that is generated is recorded so that teachers can instantly ascertain that students didn&#39;t use a different system. Moreover, instead of futilely demanding that students write essays themselves, teachers insist on AI. Here&#39;s the thing, though: the system will frequently give the wrong answers (and not just on accident - wrong answers will be often pushed out on purpose); the real skill in the homework assignment will be in verifying the answers the system churns out: learning how to be a verifier and an editor, instead of a regurgitator. - <i>Stratechery</i></blockquote><p>With GOOGL likely bottoming out, as we highlighted in our previous article, we maintain a Buy rating, and ignore the fear-mongering.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google: Ignore Fear-Mongering Headlines About ChatGPT's Disruption</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle: Ignore Fear-Mongering Headlines About ChatGPT's Disruption\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-12 14:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563785-google-ignore-fear-mongering-headlines-chatgpt-disruption><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe introduction of ChatGPT has led to unnecessary \"fear-mongering\" in the media, as writers fanned the flame of disruption on Google Search's business model.We discuss why investors should be ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563785-google-ignore-fear-mongering-headlines-chatgpt-disruption\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563785-google-ignore-fear-mongering-headlines-chatgpt-disruption","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290471862","content_text":"SummaryThe introduction of ChatGPT has led to unnecessary \"fear-mongering\" in the media, as writers fanned the flame of disruption on Google Search's business model.We discuss why investors should be cautious about falling for these headlines, as Google AI has a strong foundation.Also, we discuss why ChatGPT is far from supplanting Google AI. Why? Because AI output is probabilistic, not deterministic. AGI is likely not even close to reality.But our children's homework could be ripe for disruption by having ChatGPT churn out the \"incorrect\" answers to test their knowledge and editing skills.JHVEPhotoDon't Fall For The ChatGPT \"Fear Mongering\"In October last year, one of the largest companies headquartered in Menlo Park dazzled us with its interpretation of the metaverse. It even changed its name from Facebook to Meta Platforms (META) subsequently, seeing its future firmly established in the VR world.This December, a company called OpenAI, backed by notable luminaries such as Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, PayPal (PYPL) Co-Founder Peter Thiel, LinkedIn (MSFT) Co-Founder Reid Hoffman, and led by ex-President of Y Combinator Sam Altman, unveiled its Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT) language model called ChatGPT to the public for free (for now).Based on the two-year old GPT-3 model, OpenAI's ChatGPT has created massive hype, as it amassed 1M users in record fashion.We have seen analyses and unnecessary \"fear-mongering\" in the media, suggesting that Google's (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) most-prized and critical revenue driver: Google Search is ripe for disruption.However, before anyone arrives at any conclusion, we urge investors to consider what Google has been doing all this while with AI. In addition, Google investors should be keenly aware that AI is critical to Google CEO Sundar Pichai's focus.Among Pichai's 17 direct reports includes Google SVP Jeff Dean of Google Research and AI. Core to Google AI's mission is \"to use AI to augment the abilities of people, to enable us to accomplish more and to allow us to spend more time on our creative endeavors.\"Let me take a pause. Dean's choice of words is essential. He uses \"augment,\" seeing AI as a complementary tool to strengthen Google's value proposition to its merchants, consumers, and users. It's not meant to replace or supplant. Why? Remember, AI output, including ChatGPT's underlying model, is based on probabilistic assumptions instead of deterministic ones. Stratechery articulated in a recent piece:AI output, on the other hand, is probabilistic: ChatGPT doesn't have any internal record of right and wrong, but rather a statistical model about what bits of language go together under different contexts. The base of that context is the overall corpus of data that GPT-3 is trained on, along with additional context from ChatGPT's RLHF training, as well as the prompt and previous conversations, and, soon enough, feedback from this week's release. - StratecheryAs a result, it is amiss for users to assume that ChatGPT is the \"arbiter of truth.\" On the contrary, it has proved to deliver incorrect/inaccurate information in a highly confident manner. So confident that HubSpot (HUBS) Co-Founder and CTO Dharmesh Shah articulated:The biggest issue with GPT-3 (ChatGPT) is not that it sometimes gets things wrong. It's that its answers don't indicate the confidence level it has in the response. It says everything with 100% confidence. Still impressive, though. - Dharmesh Shah's LinkedInWe believe Shah's message is pretty nuanced here. Think about it. If some probabilistic device/software delivers incorrect/inaccurate information with 100% confidence, doesn't it sound like \"misinformation?\"Google has never intended AI to replace its business model or processes because the underlying model does not yet have the capability.Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is the core mission of OpenAI. Yet, even Elon Musk highlighted that ChatGPT is not even close as he responded to a tweet about how \"scaling ChatGPT\" would not lead us to AGI. Musk accentuated:To be called AGI, it needs to invent amazing things or discover deeper physics - many humans have done so. I'm not seeing that potential yet. - Elon Musk TwitterEnough said.Google Has Always Been About Using AI EffectivelyPichai has often laced his prepared remarks in earnings commentary or keynote speeches that he participated in with AI as a focus. As such, it has helped embed the application of Google AI into its respective business models, from Cloud to Search, YouTube, Other Bets, and Hardware.Therefore, Google has always been about AI and has taken significant steps to further enhance the experience, effectiveness, and monetization. Pichai articulated the application of AI for its Search business:Over a decade ago, focusing the company's efforts on mobile helped us to build and grow our business for the shift to mobile computing. We are at a similar point now with AI, another transformational technology. Our investments in AI and deep computer science mean that we can deliver a wide range of breakthroughs across our products and services to help people, businesses and communities. At our Search On event, we shared how we are using AI advances to deliver a more natural and intuitive search experience. (Google FQ3'22 earnings call)At Google Cloud Next '22, Pichai also gave the keynote by highlighting how Google Cloud has embraced AI in its offerings. He accentuated:AI is another really important area for Google Cloud. Google has long been an AI-first company. We've made progress in some of the most challenging areas of research, including translation, computer vision and natural language processing. These advances are powering helpful product innovations, from enabling people to search using video and tech simultaneously, to summarizing long documents and highlighting what matters. - Google Cloud Next '22 KeynoteMore importantly, Google uses AI \"responsibly,\" recognizing its limitations and leveraging its effectiveness. Therefore, Google Cloud deploys its Generative AI to enhance its customers' workflow, not replace/supplant the human endeavor. GM of Google Workspace Aparna Pappu highlighted:Generative AI unleashes people's creativity and unlocks new workflows. Let's look at an example of how we might see this come to life here in Workspace. Amanda is a marketer at a running shoe company, a footwear company. And she's been tasked with creating a video to introduce their brand-new, zero-carbon, high-performance running shoe. To get started, she collects relevant data and assets. Then she might type something like this, create a 90-second video for a campaign, but using our brand guidelines of people running, make it outdoorsy, and maybe add some upbeat music. With the power of Google AI, Workspace takes all of this in and suggest several different creative directions for her to choose from. She likes the look of the mountain concept, and that's the one she picks. She begins to refine the idea. With the help of intelligent suggestions and iterations, she makes a few changes until she finally lands on something she loves. - Google Cloud Next '22TakeawayNo surprise that at its recent all-hands meeting, Pichai was peppered with questions about the recent changes to its performance grading. Of course, employees were more concerned about whether their jobs could be cut, given the recent tech layoffs.However, we also believe that Google and its employees know that the company has a strong lead and foundation in AI and can monetize its product and services with AI that its customers, users, and merchants can rely on.Ultimately, OpenAI needs to find a way on how it intends to monetize ChatGPT (given the \"eye-watering\" compute costs) before Google investors should start to ponder about \"disruption.\"Stratechery's Ben Thompson aptly highlighted that he thinks our children's homework seems ripe for disruption. Not that it would churn out the output of the \"correct\" answers for our children. But, for it to churn out the \"incorrect\" responses that can only be corrected if our children \"have done their homework.\" He articulated:Here's an example of what homework might look like under this new paradigm. Imagine that a school acquires an AI software suite that students are expected to use for their answers about Hobbes or anything else; every answer that is generated is recorded so that teachers can instantly ascertain that students didn't use a different system. Moreover, instead of futilely demanding that students write essays themselves, teachers insist on AI. Here's the thing, though: the system will frequently give the wrong answers (and not just on accident - wrong answers will be often pushed out on purpose); the real skill in the homework assignment will be in verifying the answers the system churns out: learning how to be a verifier and an editor, instead of a regurgitator. - StratecheryWith GOOGL likely bottoming out, as we highlighted in our previous article, we maintain a Buy rating, and ignore the fear-mongering.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929589258,"gmtCreate":1670703070174,"gmtModify":1676538419075,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929589258","repostId":"1162956047","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162956047","pubTimestamp":1670641810,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162956047?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-10 11:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Probes FTX Founder for Fraud, Examines Cash Flows to Bahamas","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162956047","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Scope of inquiry includes transfers around time of bankruptcyIt’s part of broad effort by prosecutor","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Scope of inquiry includes transfers around time of bankruptcy</li><li>It’s part of broad effort by prosecutors to track client funds</li></ul><p>US prosecutors, laying the groundwork for a potential fraud case against Sam Bankman-Fried and others involved in the collapse of cryptocurrency giant FTX, are scrutinizing how funds held by the exchange operator moved outside the US as it was hurtling toward bankruptcy, according to a person familiar with the matter.</p><p>Prosecutors are closely examining whether hundreds of millions of dollars were improperly transferred to the Bahamas around the time of FTX’s Nov. 11 bankruptcy filing in Delaware, the person said, asking not to be named without authorization to discuss the case publicly.</p><p>As Justice Department officials embark on a sweeping investigation into how FTX handled customers’ cash and assets, they met this week with FTX’s court-appointed overseers to discuss materials they aim to gather, the person said. They’re also digging into whether FTX broke the law by transferring funds to Alameda Research, the bankrupt investment firm also founded by Bankman-Fried, an area of inquiry that has been reported previously.</p><p>Bankman-Fried, who’s in the Bahamas and hasn’t been charged with any crimes, has admitted to grievous managerial errors at FTX but steadfastly denied that he ever knowingly misused customers’ funds. A spokesperson for Bankman-Fried declined to comment on Friday.</p><p>The <i>New York Times</i> reported this week that federal prosecutors are also examining whether Bankman-Fried engaged in market manipulation by orchestrating trades that led to the collapse of the TerraUSD ecosystem earlier this year.</p><p>Prosecutors in the Southern District of New York, including Assistant US Attorney Nicolas Roos, met for about two hours this week in a conference room in lower Manhattan with dozens of people investigating FTX’s collapse. Potential charges were not discussed at the organizational meeting. A spokesperson for the Southern District declined to comment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/661e84b000f8b6c98785f5dde1ac1991\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>John Ray arrives at bankruptcy court in Wilmington, Delaware, on Nov. 22.Photographer: Sarah Silbiger/Bloomberg</span></p><p>The meeting included officials from that office and the Justice Department in Washington, agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and the bankruptcy team led by John J. Ray III, who was appointed FTX’s chief executive officer last month. Lawyers for FTX from Sullivan &amp; Cromwell, including former Securities and Exchange Commission enforcement director Steve Peikin and former Manhattan federal prosecutor Nicole Friedlander, were also present, the people said.</p><p>Roos helped prosecute Nikola Corp. founder Trevor Milton, who was convicted in October of misleading investors in the electric truck company.</p><p>Bankman-Fried has given a series of media interviews in the past month describing accounting mistakes that obscured the extent of FTX’s ties with Alameda and the risks that created. On Friday, he said on Twitter that he’s willing to testify at a Dec. 13 hearing before the US House Financial Services Committee about the disintegration of his crypto empire.</p><p>Bahamas-based FTX and more than 100 related entities, including the company’s US arm, sent shock waves across the crypto ecosystem with their bankruptcy filing last month. The group and its founder now face scrutiny from regulators and prosecutors in the US and overseas.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Probes FTX Founder for Fraud, Examines Cash Flows to Bahamas</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Probes FTX Founder for Fraud, Examines Cash Flows to Bahamas\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-10 11:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-10/us-probes-ftx-founder-for-fraud-examines-cash-flows-to-bahamas><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Scope of inquiry includes transfers around time of bankruptcyIt’s part of broad effort by prosecutors to track client fundsUS prosecutors, laying the groundwork for a potential fraud case against Sam ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-10/us-probes-ftx-founder-for-fraud-examines-cash-flows-to-bahamas\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-10/us-probes-ftx-founder-for-fraud-examines-cash-flows-to-bahamas","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162956047","content_text":"Scope of inquiry includes transfers around time of bankruptcyIt’s part of broad effort by prosecutors to track client fundsUS prosecutors, laying the groundwork for a potential fraud case against Sam Bankman-Fried and others involved in the collapse of cryptocurrency giant FTX, are scrutinizing how funds held by the exchange operator moved outside the US as it was hurtling toward bankruptcy, according to a person familiar with the matter.Prosecutors are closely examining whether hundreds of millions of dollars were improperly transferred to the Bahamas around the time of FTX’s Nov. 11 bankruptcy filing in Delaware, the person said, asking not to be named without authorization to discuss the case publicly.As Justice Department officials embark on a sweeping investigation into how FTX handled customers’ cash and assets, they met this week with FTX’s court-appointed overseers to discuss materials they aim to gather, the person said. They’re also digging into whether FTX broke the law by transferring funds to Alameda Research, the bankrupt investment firm also founded by Bankman-Fried, an area of inquiry that has been reported previously.Bankman-Fried, who’s in the Bahamas and hasn’t been charged with any crimes, has admitted to grievous managerial errors at FTX but steadfastly denied that he ever knowingly misused customers’ funds. A spokesperson for Bankman-Fried declined to comment on Friday.The New York Times reported this week that federal prosecutors are also examining whether Bankman-Fried engaged in market manipulation by orchestrating trades that led to the collapse of the TerraUSD ecosystem earlier this year.Prosecutors in the Southern District of New York, including Assistant US Attorney Nicolas Roos, met for about two hours this week in a conference room in lower Manhattan with dozens of people investigating FTX’s collapse. Potential charges were not discussed at the organizational meeting. A spokesperson for the Southern District declined to comment.John Ray arrives at bankruptcy court in Wilmington, Delaware, on Nov. 22.Photographer: Sarah Silbiger/BloombergThe meeting included officials from that office and the Justice Department in Washington, agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and the bankruptcy team led by John J. Ray III, who was appointed FTX’s chief executive officer last month. Lawyers for FTX from Sullivan & Cromwell, including former Securities and Exchange Commission enforcement director Steve Peikin and former Manhattan federal prosecutor Nicole Friedlander, were also present, the people said.Roos helped prosecute Nikola Corp. founder Trevor Milton, who was convicted in October of misleading investors in the electric truck company.Bankman-Fried has given a series of media interviews in the past month describing accounting mistakes that obscured the extent of FTX’s ties with Alameda and the risks that created. On Friday, he said on Twitter that he’s willing to testify at a Dec. 13 hearing before the US House Financial Services Committee about the disintegration of his crypto empire.Bahamas-based FTX and more than 100 related entities, including the company’s US arm, sent shock waves across the crypto ecosystem with their bankruptcy filing last month. The group and its founder now face scrutiny from regulators and prosecutors in the US and overseas.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929589847,"gmtCreate":1670703011690,"gmtModify":1676538419075,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929589847","repostId":"2290255966","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290255966","pubTimestamp":1670623235,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2290255966?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-10 06:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290255966","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The future for Shopify, Roku, and Nvidia is bright.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It has been a tough year for investors, but the last thing you want to do now is panic. Investing is a long-term game played out over decades. Growth stocks have been hit especially hard this year, but their long-term investment thesis hasn&#39;t changed.</p><p><b>Shopify</b>, <b>Roku</b>, and <b>Nvidia</b> are three downtrodden companies that look like excellent buying opportunities for investors willing to hold them for the next decade and beyond. What makes these companies appealing is their position in industries due for explosive growth in the coming years.</p><p>Here&#39;s what you should know about each of these growth stocks.</p><h2>1. Shopify&#39;s long-term prospects remain bright</h2><p>Shopify provides people with the tools they need to run their online stores (along with brick-and-mortar operations), handling everything from payment processing to inventory management and website hosting.</p><p>The company was a huge winner during the pandemic, which shifted consumer trends online in record fashion. From 2019 to 2021, Shopify&#39;s revenue grew 192%, and the optimism around online shopping trends was higher than ever.</p><p>Shopify management expected strong trends to continue and racked up expenses in a big way this year. Revenue growth was a solid 22%, but expenses ballooned by 69% -- resulting in $2.8 billion in losses this year. The company is working to reel in costs and laid off 10% of its workforce in July.</p><p>Management may have overshot the growth of online shopping, but the company continues to grow steadily. Shopify Payments, its payment processing solution, makes it easy for merchants to accept and process payment cards. This product accounted for 54% of Shopify&#39;s total gross merchandise volume through its platform, showing room for growth.</p><p>According to eMarketer, e-commerce sales are expected to grow from $5.2 billion in 2021 to $8.1 billion in 2026, a growth rate of roughly 9% annually. One way Shopify looks to build on its position is through its Shopify Fulfillment Network (SFN). This service simplifies logistics across the supply chain, from freight to distribution to delivery, and is expected to reach scale sometime in 2023 or 2024.</p><p>While Shopify stock may be down 71% this year, it is in an excellent position to keep scaling up and taking a share of the e-commerce market.</p><h2>2. Roku sits at the top of the streaming services world</h2><p>Roku provides customers with a streaming platform through its various products, including Roku Stick, smart TVs, and other streaming devices. According to Conviva, a provider of video analytics services, Roku is the world&#39;s top streaming platform, with its devices streaming 30.5% of users&#39; total viewing time. <b>Amazon</b> Fire TV and Samsung TV were the next closest, with 16% and 13.7%, respectively, of users&#39; total streaming time.</p><p>Roku&#39;s platform is free to use, making most of its money from ads and revenue-sharing deals when users engage with different apps. The company was a big winner during the pandemic and put together six consecutive profitable quarters. However, it hasn&#39;t had a profitable quarter this year, and its third-quarter loss of $122 million was the largest quarterly loss in its history.</p><p>Roku faces headwinds in the short term as ad spending softens amid an uncertain economic backdrop. Many companies are concerned about the health of the economy and consumer spending and have cut back on advertising expenses in response. Roku expects its net loss to balloon to $245 million in the fourth quarter.</p><p>Roku will face volatility in the short term, but the company is in a solid position for the long haul. It has done a stellar job of growing its user base and average revenue per user. In the third quarter, its user base grew 16% to 65.4 million, while the average revenue per user was up 10% to $44.25.</p><p>Its position as the top streaming platform will be crucial to Roku as connected TV ad spending grows. According to data from Statista, connected advertising spending in the U.S. will go from $18.9 billion this year to $38.8 billion in 2026, representing an annual growth rate of 20%.</p><p>While Roku faces short-term headwinds from softening ad spending, it still sees solid growth in its customer base. The company is well positioned to ride the tailwinds as more digital ad spending shifts to connected TV -- making Roku a company that could be a huge winner over the next decade.</p><h2>3. Nvidia&#39;s hardware powers lucrative innovations</h2><p>Nvidia produces crucial hardware that helps push the boundaries of what is possible. Its graphic processing units (GPUs) are behind some of the most innovative technological trends, including cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, autonomous vehicles, cryptocurrency, and the metaverse. According to Jon Peddie Research, Nvidia recently increased its discrete GPU market share to 88% in the third quarter.</p><p>Like others, Nvidia has faced headwinds this year. Inflation has dampened consumer spending on video cards for gaming, and its inventory levels have risen rapidly. Falling cryptocurrency prices have also weighed on consumer demand. Its third-quarter (ended Oct. 30) revenue fell 12% from the prior quarter and 17% from the same quarter last year. The company predicts weakness in the fourth quarter to continue, with revenue expected to fall around 21%.</p><p>Slowing demand has weighed on the stock, which is down 43% this year. However, when you zoom out and look at the long game, Nvidia is in an excellent position to grow. The company has leveraged its technology to build platforms enabling developers to deploy AI applications or build 3D worlds and avatars for the metaverse (Omniverse platform).</p><p>Overall, Nvidia believes its total addressable markets (TAM) is $1 trillion among its multiple products. Its largest TAMs are in chips and systems and automotive technology, each estimated to be at $300 billion. These markets are followed by its AI software and the Omniverse platform products, which it marks at $150 billion each.</p><p>Nvidia stock trades at a lofty price of 37 times forward earnings and will likely face some volatility in the coming quarters. However, it&#39;s in an excellent position to capitalize on some of the most innovative technologies of our day -- making it another stellar stock that could be a huge winner over the next decade and beyond.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-10 06:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/09/3-growth-stocks-that-could-be-huge-winners-in-the/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a tough year for investors, but the last thing you want to do now is panic. Investing is a long-term game played out over decades. Growth stocks have been hit especially hard this year, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/09/3-growth-stocks-that-could-be-huge-winners-in-the/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","ROKU":"Roku Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/09/3-growth-stocks-that-could-be-huge-winners-in-the/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290255966","content_text":"It has been a tough year for investors, but the last thing you want to do now is panic. Investing is a long-term game played out over decades. Growth stocks have been hit especially hard this year, but their long-term investment thesis hasn't changed.Shopify, Roku, and Nvidia are three downtrodden companies that look like excellent buying opportunities for investors willing to hold them for the next decade and beyond. What makes these companies appealing is their position in industries due for explosive growth in the coming years.Here's what you should know about each of these growth stocks.1. Shopify's long-term prospects remain brightShopify provides people with the tools they need to run their online stores (along with brick-and-mortar operations), handling everything from payment processing to inventory management and website hosting.The company was a huge winner during the pandemic, which shifted consumer trends online in record fashion. From 2019 to 2021, Shopify's revenue grew 192%, and the optimism around online shopping trends was higher than ever.Shopify management expected strong trends to continue and racked up expenses in a big way this year. Revenue growth was a solid 22%, but expenses ballooned by 69% -- resulting in $2.8 billion in losses this year. The company is working to reel in costs and laid off 10% of its workforce in July.Management may have overshot the growth of online shopping, but the company continues to grow steadily. Shopify Payments, its payment processing solution, makes it easy for merchants to accept and process payment cards. This product accounted for 54% of Shopify's total gross merchandise volume through its platform, showing room for growth.According to eMarketer, e-commerce sales are expected to grow from $5.2 billion in 2021 to $8.1 billion in 2026, a growth rate of roughly 9% annually. One way Shopify looks to build on its position is through its Shopify Fulfillment Network (SFN). This service simplifies logistics across the supply chain, from freight to distribution to delivery, and is expected to reach scale sometime in 2023 or 2024.While Shopify stock may be down 71% this year, it is in an excellent position to keep scaling up and taking a share of the e-commerce market.2. Roku sits at the top of the streaming services worldRoku provides customers with a streaming platform through its various products, including Roku Stick, smart TVs, and other streaming devices. According to Conviva, a provider of video analytics services, Roku is the world's top streaming platform, with its devices streaming 30.5% of users' total viewing time. Amazon Fire TV and Samsung TV were the next closest, with 16% and 13.7%, respectively, of users' total streaming time.Roku's platform is free to use, making most of its money from ads and revenue-sharing deals when users engage with different apps. The company was a big winner during the pandemic and put together six consecutive profitable quarters. However, it hasn't had a profitable quarter this year, and its third-quarter loss of $122 million was the largest quarterly loss in its history.Roku faces headwinds in the short term as ad spending softens amid an uncertain economic backdrop. Many companies are concerned about the health of the economy and consumer spending and have cut back on advertising expenses in response. Roku expects its net loss to balloon to $245 million in the fourth quarter.Roku will face volatility in the short term, but the company is in a solid position for the long haul. It has done a stellar job of growing its user base and average revenue per user. In the third quarter, its user base grew 16% to 65.4 million, while the average revenue per user was up 10% to $44.25.Its position as the top streaming platform will be crucial to Roku as connected TV ad spending grows. According to data from Statista, connected advertising spending in the U.S. will go from $18.9 billion this year to $38.8 billion in 2026, representing an annual growth rate of 20%.While Roku faces short-term headwinds from softening ad spending, it still sees solid growth in its customer base. The company is well positioned to ride the tailwinds as more digital ad spending shifts to connected TV -- making Roku a company that could be a huge winner over the next decade.3. Nvidia's hardware powers lucrative innovationsNvidia produces crucial hardware that helps push the boundaries of what is possible. Its graphic processing units (GPUs) are behind some of the most innovative technological trends, including cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, autonomous vehicles, cryptocurrency, and the metaverse. According to Jon Peddie Research, Nvidia recently increased its discrete GPU market share to 88% in the third quarter.Like others, Nvidia has faced headwinds this year. Inflation has dampened consumer spending on video cards for gaming, and its inventory levels have risen rapidly. Falling cryptocurrency prices have also weighed on consumer demand. Its third-quarter (ended Oct. 30) revenue fell 12% from the prior quarter and 17% from the same quarter last year. The company predicts weakness in the fourth quarter to continue, with revenue expected to fall around 21%.Slowing demand has weighed on the stock, which is down 43% this year. However, when you zoom out and look at the long game, Nvidia is in an excellent position to grow. The company has leveraged its technology to build platforms enabling developers to deploy AI applications or build 3D worlds and avatars for the metaverse (Omniverse platform).Overall, Nvidia believes its total addressable markets (TAM) is $1 trillion among its multiple products. Its largest TAMs are in chips and systems and automotive technology, each estimated to be at $300 billion. These markets are followed by its AI software and the Omniverse platform products, which it marks at $150 billion each.Nvidia stock trades at a lofty price of 37 times forward earnings and will likely face some volatility in the coming quarters. However, it's in an excellent position to capitalize on some of the most innovative technologies of our day -- making it another stellar stock that could be a huge winner over the next decade and beyond.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967560546,"gmtCreate":1670352620786,"gmtModify":1676538350088,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very nice","listText":"Very nice","text":"Very nice","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5524efd7e0d5fc8da3edfcd73fbd88fb","width":"1080","height":"1571"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967560546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964421125,"gmtCreate":1670200464168,"gmtModify":1676538318083,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964421125","repostId":"2288985176","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964843721,"gmtCreate":1670123307264,"gmtModify":1676538306748,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964843721","repostId":"1190743720","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190743720","pubTimestamp":1670117956,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190743720?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-04 09:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Says Apple Is \"Fully\" Advertising on Twitter Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190743720","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Elon Musk said Apple Inc. has “fully resumed” advertising on Twitter Inc., further de-escalating a b","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Elon Musk said Apple Inc. has “fully resumed” advertising on Twitter Inc., further de-escalating a brewing war between two of the world’s most influential tech companies.</p><p>Musk made the comments during a Twitter Spaces conversation on Saturday, adding that Apple is the largest advertiser on the social media network. The billionaire, who didn’t elaborate further on Apple, spoke for more than two hours from his private plane during the chat, which had more than 90,000 listeners.</p><p>Apple didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p><p>Musk blasted Apple last week, accusing the maker of iPhones and Mac computers of mostly stopping advertising on Twitter and threatening to withhold the site from its App Store. In taking aim at Apple, Musk risked a war with the world’s most valuable company and a top advertisers at a time when other companies were pulling their marketing from Twitter.</p><p>Following his barrage of attacks on Apple, Muskmetwith Apple Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook and said the two had a “good conversation” and “resolved the misunderstanding about Twitter potentially being removed from the App Store.” Musk said Cook was “clear that Apple never considered doing so.”</p><p>Since Musk’s takeover, a string of companies have suspended advertising on Twitter, including General Mills Inc. and Pfizer Inc., following uncertainty over whether the platform will revise its policies to combat hate speech and misinformation. On Saturday, Musk posted a tweet thanking advertisers for returning to Twitter.</p><blockquote>Just a note to thank advertisers for returning to Twitter</blockquote><p>Twitter’s new approach for verifying accounts had also allowed trolls to impersonate major brands. Musk said that he hopes to revive the company’s verification program in the next week after it had been paused to deal with imposters.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Says Apple Is \"Fully\" Advertising on Twitter Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Says Apple Is \"Fully\" Advertising on Twitter Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-04 09:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-04/apple-aapl-has-fully-resumed-advertising-on-twitter-elon-musk-says><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk said Apple Inc. has “fully resumed” advertising on Twitter Inc., further de-escalating a brewing war between two of the world’s most influential tech companies.Musk made the comments during ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-04/apple-aapl-has-fully-resumed-advertising-on-twitter-elon-musk-says\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-04/apple-aapl-has-fully-resumed-advertising-on-twitter-elon-musk-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190743720","content_text":"Elon Musk said Apple Inc. has “fully resumed” advertising on Twitter Inc., further de-escalating a brewing war between two of the world’s most influential tech companies.Musk made the comments during a Twitter Spaces conversation on Saturday, adding that Apple is the largest advertiser on the social media network. The billionaire, who didn’t elaborate further on Apple, spoke for more than two hours from his private plane during the chat, which had more than 90,000 listeners.Apple didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.Musk blasted Apple last week, accusing the maker of iPhones and Mac computers of mostly stopping advertising on Twitter and threatening to withhold the site from its App Store. In taking aim at Apple, Musk risked a war with the world’s most valuable company and a top advertisers at a time when other companies were pulling their marketing from Twitter.Following his barrage of attacks on Apple, Muskmetwith Apple Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook and said the two had a “good conversation” and “resolved the misunderstanding about Twitter potentially being removed from the App Store.” Musk said Cook was “clear that Apple never considered doing so.”Since Musk’s takeover, a string of companies have suspended advertising on Twitter, including General Mills Inc. and Pfizer Inc., following uncertainty over whether the platform will revise its policies to combat hate speech and misinformation. On Saturday, Musk posted a tweet thanking advertisers for returning to Twitter.Just a note to thank advertisers for returning to TwitterTwitter’s new approach for verifying accounts had also allowed trolls to impersonate major brands. Musk said that he hopes to revive the company’s verification program in the next week after it had been paused to deal with imposters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962955638,"gmtCreate":1669705323824,"gmtModify":1676538226205,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice.","listText":"Nice.","text":"Nice.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff011d27224ab28b94d21f84a0eccdca","width":"1080","height":"1556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962955638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962919192,"gmtCreate":1669692463616,"gmtModify":1676538224290,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962919192","repostId":"1100655493","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100655493","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1669691492,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100655493?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-29 11:11","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"JD.com Jumps Over 7%, Alibaba Rises Over 6%: Hong Kong Stocks Firm","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100655493","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Hong Kong stocks traded higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng rising 3% in morning trade. ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hong Kong stocks traded higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng rising 3% in morning trade. Investors and traders weighed in some good news on the Chinese regulatory front that intends to support the property sector. Market participants are keenly eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday.</p><p>“Our rule-based estimates for the US federal funds rate (FFR) indicate this year’s aggressive rate hikes have brought policy rates into line with neutrality, but further hikes are needed to bring inflation back to target,” ANZ Research said in a note.</p><p>Shares of JD.com and Li Auto jumped over 7% in morning trade. Alibaba and Meituan rose over 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb4bfaff2e5a85c6d125e9e8dce46f40\" tg-width=\"395\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Macro News:</b> China’s finance ministry said on Monday it will extend tariff exemptions on some imported products from the United States until May 31, 2023, reported Reuters.</p><p><b>China Securities Regulatory Commission</b> has said some multi-year restrictions on stock sales by developers will be removed to support the “stable and healthy” development of the sector, reported Bloomberg.</p><p><b>Company News: Pinduoduo Inc</b> reported third-quarter revenue growth of 65% year-on-year at $4.99 billion, beating the consensus of $4.31 billion.</p><p>NIO&#39;s next-generation models will enter the U.S., reported CnEVPost citing local media outlet LatePost.</p><p><b>Top Gainers and Losers:Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited</b> and <b>Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited</b> are the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents. <b>Hengan International Group Company Limited</b> and <b>CLP Holdings Limited</b> are among the top losers.</p><p><b>Global News:</b> U.S. futures traded in the green on Tuesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures were up 0.03% while the Nasdaq futures gained 0.18%. The S&amp;P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.14%.</p><p>Elsewhere in Asia Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up 0.11%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.47% lower while China’s Shanghai Composite index gained 1.27%. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.34%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD.com Jumps Over 7%, Alibaba Rises Over 6%: Hong Kong Stocks Firm</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD.com Jumps Over 7%, Alibaba Rises Over 6%: Hong Kong Stocks Firm\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-29 11:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hong Kong stocks traded higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng rising 3% in morning trade. Investors and traders weighed in some good news on the Chinese regulatory front that intends to support the property sector. Market participants are keenly eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday.</p><p>“Our rule-based estimates for the US federal funds rate (FFR) indicate this year’s aggressive rate hikes have brought policy rates into line with neutrality, but further hikes are needed to bring inflation back to target,” ANZ Research said in a note.</p><p>Shares of JD.com and Li Auto jumped over 7% in morning trade. Alibaba and Meituan rose over 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb4bfaff2e5a85c6d125e9e8dce46f40\" tg-width=\"395\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Macro News:</b> China’s finance ministry said on Monday it will extend tariff exemptions on some imported products from the United States until May 31, 2023, reported Reuters.</p><p><b>China Securities Regulatory Commission</b> has said some multi-year restrictions on stock sales by developers will be removed to support the “stable and healthy” development of the sector, reported Bloomberg.</p><p><b>Company News: Pinduoduo Inc</b> reported third-quarter revenue growth of 65% year-on-year at $4.99 billion, beating the consensus of $4.31 billion.</p><p>NIO&#39;s next-generation models will enter the U.S., reported CnEVPost citing local media outlet LatePost.</p><p><b>Top Gainers and Losers:Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited</b> and <b>Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited</b> are the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents. <b>Hengan International Group Company Limited</b> and <b>CLP Holdings Limited</b> are among the top losers.</p><p><b>Global News:</b> U.S. futures traded in the green on Tuesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures were up 0.03% while the Nasdaq futures gained 0.18%. The S&amp;P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.14%.</p><p>Elsewhere in Asia Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up 0.11%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.47% lower while China’s Shanghai Composite index gained 1.27%. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.34%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-SW","09618":"京东集团-SW","HSI":"恒生指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100655493","content_text":"Hong Kong stocks traded higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng rising 3% in morning trade. Investors and traders weighed in some good news on the Chinese regulatory front that intends to support the property sector. Market participants are keenly eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday.“Our rule-based estimates for the US federal funds rate (FFR) indicate this year’s aggressive rate hikes have brought policy rates into line with neutrality, but further hikes are needed to bring inflation back to target,” ANZ Research said in a note.Shares of JD.com and Li Auto jumped over 7% in morning trade. Alibaba and Meituan rose over 6%.Macro News: China’s finance ministry said on Monday it will extend tariff exemptions on some imported products from the United States until May 31, 2023, reported Reuters.China Securities Regulatory Commission has said some multi-year restrictions on stock sales by developers will be removed to support the “stable and healthy” development of the sector, reported Bloomberg.Company News: Pinduoduo Inc reported third-quarter revenue growth of 65% year-on-year at $4.99 billion, beating the consensus of $4.31 billion.NIO's next-generation models will enter the U.S., reported CnEVPost citing local media outlet LatePost.Top Gainers and Losers:Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited and Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited are the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents. Hengan International Group Company Limited and CLP Holdings Limited are among the top losers.Global News: U.S. futures traded in the green on Tuesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures were up 0.03% while the Nasdaq futures gained 0.18%. The S&P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.14%.Elsewhere in Asia Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up 0.11%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.47% lower while China’s Shanghai Composite index gained 1.27%. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.34%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966062638,"gmtCreate":1669350057025,"gmtModify":1676538187436,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"omg I wish they could correctly convey these recalls,it's not like 80k vehicles have to go back to the factory,it a fucking software upgrade over the air....it's infuriating the misrepresentation of these types of news!!!!!!!","listText":"omg I wish they could correctly convey these recalls,it's not like 80k vehicles have to go back to the factory,it a fucking software upgrade over the air....it's infuriating the misrepresentation of these types of news!!!!!!!","text":"omg I wish they could correctly convey these recalls,it's not like 80k vehicles have to go back to the factory,it a fucking software upgrade over the air....it's infuriating the misrepresentation of these types of news!!!!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966062638","repostId":"2286368829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286368829","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1669348884,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2286368829?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-25 12:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Recalls More Than 80,000 Local-Made, Imported Cars in China","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286368829","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Tesla Inc is recalling more than 80,000 China-made and imported cars produced from as ea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Tesla Inc is recalling more than 80,000 China-made and imported cars produced from as early as 2013, for software and seat belt issues, a statement by the Chinese market regulator revealed on Friday.</p><p>The U.S.-based electric car maker has recalled 67,698 Model S and Model X cars imported to China between Sept. 25, 2013 and Nov. 21, 2020, due to software problems affecting the battery management system in the vehicles.</p><p>Tesla also recalled 2,736 imported Model 3 cars manufactured between January and November 2019, and 10,127 China-made ones of the same model produced between Oct. 14, 2019 and Sept. 26, 2022. This was due to potentially faulty seat belt installation which Tesla will check and reinstall, it said.</p><p>In April, Tesla recalled a total of 127,785 units of Model 3 cars in China, citing potential faults in semiconductor components that might lead to collisions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Recalls More Than 80,000 Local-Made, Imported Cars in China</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Recalls More Than 80,000 Local-Made, Imported Cars in China\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-25 12:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Tesla Inc is recalling more than 80,000 China-made and imported cars produced from as early as 2013, for software and seat belt issues, a statement by the Chinese market regulator revealed on Friday.</p><p>The U.S.-based electric car maker has recalled 67,698 Model S and Model X cars imported to China between Sept. 25, 2013 and Nov. 21, 2020, due to software problems affecting the battery management system in the vehicles.</p><p>Tesla also recalled 2,736 imported Model 3 cars manufactured between January and November 2019, and 10,127 China-made ones of the same model produced between Oct. 14, 2019 and Sept. 26, 2022. This was due to potentially faulty seat belt installation which Tesla will check and reinstall, it said.</p><p>In April, Tesla recalled a total of 127,785 units of Model 3 cars in China, citing potential faults in semiconductor components that might lead to collisions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286368829","content_text":"(Reuters) - Tesla Inc is recalling more than 80,000 China-made and imported cars produced from as early as 2013, for software and seat belt issues, a statement by the Chinese market regulator revealed on Friday.The U.S.-based electric car maker has recalled 67,698 Model S and Model X cars imported to China between Sept. 25, 2013 and Nov. 21, 2020, due to software problems affecting the battery management system in the vehicles.Tesla also recalled 2,736 imported Model 3 cars manufactured between January and November 2019, and 10,127 China-made ones of the same model produced between Oct. 14, 2019 and Sept. 26, 2022. This was due to potentially faulty seat belt installation which Tesla will check and reinstall, it said.In April, Tesla recalled a total of 127,785 units of Model 3 cars in China, citing potential faults in semiconductor components that might lead to collisions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968716348,"gmtCreate":1669331826285,"gmtModify":1676538182879,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968716348","repostId":"1161832886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161832886","pubTimestamp":1669285724,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161832886?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-24 18:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Rise on Signs of Fed Slowdown","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161832886","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Traders weigh more moderate Fed increases after dovish minutesBofA says private clients turning to b","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Traders weigh more moderate Fed increases after dovish minutes</li><li>BofA says private clients turning to bonds on recession fears</li></ul><p>European stocks gained and the dollar fell after Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed support for more moderate interest-rate increases.</p><p>The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.3% as the real estate sector outperformed, boosted by the prospects of slower rate hikes and analyst upgrades. Dr. Martens Plc shares plunged the most on record after the bootmaker’s sales and earnings missed expectations.</p><p>Trading volumes are expected to be lower due to the Thanksgiving holiday, which will mean no cash US equity market trading. Wall Street futures were up after the S&amp;P 500 closed at a two-month high Wednesday. Asia’s equities benchmark climbed.</p><p>Minutes from the Fed gathering earlier this month indicated several officials backed the need to moderate the pace of rate hikes, even as some underscored the need for a higher terminal rate. This adds weight to expectations the central bank will raise rates by 50 basis points next month, ending a run of jumbo 75 basis point increases.</p><p>“It was the start of a more different and dovish narrative from the Fed,” said Sunaina Sinha Haldea, global head of private capital advisory at Raymond James. “Is it a pivot? No, but are we seeing a slowdown in rate hikes and that path downwards towards rate cuts coming through? Yes. I think we will look back and say this was the peak of it.”</p><p>Data Wednesday also showed US business activitycontractedand unemployment applications rose as the economy cools.</p><p>A gauge of dollar strength fell further Thursday, taking declines into a third day. There is no trading in Treasuries due to the US holiday.</p><p>Oil slipped as the European Union considered a higher-than-expected price cap on Russian crude and signs of a global slowdown increased.</p><p>Meanwhile, Bank of America Corp. said its private clients are flocking to bonds and out of stocks amid fears of a looming recession. Bond funds attracted inflows for a 39th straight week, strategists led by Michael Hartnett wrote in a note. The strategists favor holding bonds in the first half of 2023, with stocks becoming more attractive in the last six months of next year.</p><p>“We stay bearish risk assets in the first half, set to turn bullish in the second half as narrative shifts from inflation and rate ‘shocks’ of 2022 to recession and credit ‘shocks’ in the first half 2023,” the strategists wrote.</p><p>Gold rose for a third day on the Fed minutes. The precious metal has been hurt by the US central bank’s aggressive monetary-tightening policy to curb inflation, which has pushed up bond yields and the dollar and in turn sent bullion tumbling about 16% from its March peak.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4656d8cd02fd7b06901179da8c593f\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Key events this week:</p><ul><li>ECB publishes account of its October policy meeting, Thursday</li><li>US stock and bond markets are closed for the Thanksgiving holiday, Thursday</li><li>US stock and bond markets close early, Friday</li></ul><p></p><p>Some of the main moves in markets:</p><p>Stocks</p><ul><li>The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.4% as of 9:59 a.m. London time</li><li>Futures on the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4%</li><li>Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%</li><li>The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 1.5%</li><li>The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 1.2%</li></ul><p>Currencies</p><ul><li>The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%</li><li>The euro rose 0.2% to $1.0420</li><li>The Japanese yen rose 0.7% to 138.57 per dollar</li><li>The offshore yuan rose 0.2% to 7.1425 per dollar</li><li>The British pound rose 0.3% to $1.2093</li></ul><p>Cryptocurrencies</p><ul><li>Bitcoin rose 0.7% to $16,585.16</li><li>Ether rose 2.7% to $1,200.7</li></ul><p>Bonds</p><ul><li>The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.69%</li><li>Germany’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 1.84%</li><li>Britain’s 10-year yield declined 10 basis points to 2.91%</li></ul><p>Commodities</p><ul><li>Brent crude fell 0.3% to $85.15 a barrel</li><li>Spot gold rose 0.4% to $1,756.15 an ounce</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Rise on Signs of Fed Slowdown</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Rise on Signs of Fed Slowdown\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-24 18:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/asia-stocks-to-climb-amid-federal-reserve-optimism-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders weigh more moderate Fed increases after dovish minutesBofA says private clients turning to bonds on recession fearsEuropean stocks gained and the dollar fell after Federal Reserve meeting ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/asia-stocks-to-climb-amid-federal-reserve-optimism-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/asia-stocks-to-climb-amid-federal-reserve-optimism-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161832886","content_text":"Traders weigh more moderate Fed increases after dovish minutesBofA says private clients turning to bonds on recession fearsEuropean stocks gained and the dollar fell after Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed support for more moderate interest-rate increases.The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.3% as the real estate sector outperformed, boosted by the prospects of slower rate hikes and analyst upgrades. Dr. Martens Plc shares plunged the most on record after the bootmaker’s sales and earnings missed expectations.Trading volumes are expected to be lower due to the Thanksgiving holiday, which will mean no cash US equity market trading. Wall Street futures were up after the S&P 500 closed at a two-month high Wednesday. Asia’s equities benchmark climbed.Minutes from the Fed gathering earlier this month indicated several officials backed the need to moderate the pace of rate hikes, even as some underscored the need for a higher terminal rate. This adds weight to expectations the central bank will raise rates by 50 basis points next month, ending a run of jumbo 75 basis point increases.“It was the start of a more different and dovish narrative from the Fed,” said Sunaina Sinha Haldea, global head of private capital advisory at Raymond James. “Is it a pivot? No, but are we seeing a slowdown in rate hikes and that path downwards towards rate cuts coming through? Yes. I think we will look back and say this was the peak of it.”Data Wednesday also showed US business activitycontractedand unemployment applications rose as the economy cools.A gauge of dollar strength fell further Thursday, taking declines into a third day. There is no trading in Treasuries due to the US holiday.Oil slipped as the European Union considered a higher-than-expected price cap on Russian crude and signs of a global slowdown increased.Meanwhile, Bank of America Corp. said its private clients are flocking to bonds and out of stocks amid fears of a looming recession. Bond funds attracted inflows for a 39th straight week, strategists led by Michael Hartnett wrote in a note. The strategists favor holding bonds in the first half of 2023, with stocks becoming more attractive in the last six months of next year.“We stay bearish risk assets in the first half, set to turn bullish in the second half as narrative shifts from inflation and rate ‘shocks’ of 2022 to recession and credit ‘shocks’ in the first half 2023,” the strategists wrote.Gold rose for a third day on the Fed minutes. The precious metal has been hurt by the US central bank’s aggressive monetary-tightening policy to curb inflation, which has pushed up bond yields and the dollar and in turn sent bullion tumbling about 16% from its March peak.Key events this week:ECB publishes account of its October policy meeting, ThursdayUS stock and bond markets are closed for the Thanksgiving holiday, ThursdayUS stock and bond markets close early, FridaySome of the main moves in markets:StocksThe Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.4% as of 9:59 a.m. London timeFutures on the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4%Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 1.5%The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 1.2%CurrenciesThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%The euro rose 0.2% to $1.0420The Japanese yen rose 0.7% to 138.57 per dollarThe offshore yuan rose 0.2% to 7.1425 per dollarThe British pound rose 0.3% to $1.2093CryptocurrenciesBitcoin rose 0.7% to $16,585.16Ether rose 2.7% to $1,200.7BondsThe yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.69%Germany’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 1.84%Britain’s 10-year yield declined 10 basis points to 2.91%CommoditiesBrent crude fell 0.3% to $85.15 a barrelSpot gold rose 0.4% to $1,756.15 an ounce","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968287796,"gmtCreate":1669245986415,"gmtModify":1676538171681,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f400f31028f3dbe5d3ea4487f16fb7f","width":"1080","height":"1556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968287796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968994624,"gmtCreate":1669090168869,"gmtModify":1676538150516,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crypto winter?more like crypto Ice age.","listText":"Crypto winter?more like crypto Ice age.","text":"Crypto winter?more like crypto Ice age.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968994624","repostId":"1160827780","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160827780","pubTimestamp":1669086687,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160827780?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-22 11:11","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Fall: Analyst Says More Blood Yet To Come As Genesis Crisis Adds To Crypto Carnage","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160827780","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The two largest cryptocurrencies,Bitcoin and Ethereum, declined on Monday evening as the global cryp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The two largest cryptocurrencies,<b>Bitcoin</b> and <b>Ethereum</b>, declined on Monday evening as the global cryptocurrency market cap shrunk by 1.91% to $788.67 billion at 8:45 p.m. EST.</p><p><b>What Happened</b>: Investors were frayed following news that cryptocurrency exchange <b>Genesis</b>&#39; warned about filing for bankruptcy.</p><p><b>Dogecoin</b> slid 1.80% in the last 24 hours, trading at $0.07498, according to CoinMarketCap.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks</b> traded mostly lower, with the <b>Nasdaq Composite Index</b> dropping more than 100 points. The <b>Dow Jones Index</b> fell over 70 points.</p><p>Bonds issued by <b>Coinbase Global</b> and <b>MicroStrategy</b> have slumped as investors&#39; confidence crashed in the wake of the FTX collapse. According to data from Finra-Morningstar, Coinbase’s bond 203 dropped 15% to 50 cents. MSTR took a similar beating as the price dropped to a record 72.5 cents.</p><p>This comes as <b>Cathie Wood</b>’s <b>Ark Invest</b> bought 1.3 million shares of Coinbase worth $56 million just this month.</p><p>Crypto analyst <b>PlanB</b> compared three different dates: the price of BTC in November 2020 was $16,000, in November 2021 was $64,000 and in November 2022 was again to $16,000.</p><p>“So Bitcoin can 4x in a year and /4 in the year after,” the analyst tweeted, adding that there are no “high returns without high volatility.”</p><p>Pseudonymous crypto analyst <b>Capo</b> said, “more blood yet to come” and predicted that BTC will hover around the $12,000 to $14,000 range, ETH to $600 and $650, <b>Cardano</b> between $0.16 to $0.20, and <b>Litecoin</b> somewhere between $29 to $32.</p><p></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Fall: Analyst Says More Blood Yet To Come As Genesis Crisis Adds To Crypto Carnage</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Fall: Analyst Says More Blood Yet To Come As Genesis Crisis Adds To Crypto Carnage\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-22 11:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/11/29815791/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-fall-analyst-says-more-blood-yet-to-come-as-genesis-crisis-adds-><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The two largest cryptocurrencies,Bitcoin and Ethereum, declined on Monday evening as the global cryptocurrency market cap shrunk by 1.91% to $788.67 billion at 8:45 p.m. EST.What Happened: Investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/11/29815791/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-fall-analyst-says-more-blood-yet-to-come-as-genesis-crisis-adds-\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/11/29815791/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-fall-analyst-says-more-blood-yet-to-come-as-genesis-crisis-adds-","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160827780","content_text":"The two largest cryptocurrencies,Bitcoin and Ethereum, declined on Monday evening as the global cryptocurrency market cap shrunk by 1.91% to $788.67 billion at 8:45 p.m. EST.What Happened: Investors were frayed following news that cryptocurrency exchange Genesis' warned about filing for bankruptcy.Dogecoin slid 1.80% in the last 24 hours, trading at $0.07498, according to CoinMarketCap.U.S. stocks traded mostly lower, with the Nasdaq Composite Index dropping more than 100 points. The Dow Jones Index fell over 70 points.Bonds issued by Coinbase Global and MicroStrategy have slumped as investors' confidence crashed in the wake of the FTX collapse. According to data from Finra-Morningstar, Coinbase’s bond 203 dropped 15% to 50 cents. MSTR took a similar beating as the price dropped to a record 72.5 cents.This comes as Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest bought 1.3 million shares of Coinbase worth $56 million just this month.Crypto analyst PlanB compared three different dates: the price of BTC in November 2020 was $16,000, in November 2021 was $64,000 and in November 2022 was again to $16,000.“So Bitcoin can 4x in a year and /4 in the year after,” the analyst tweeted, adding that there are no “high returns without high volatility.”Pseudonymous crypto analyst Capo said, “more blood yet to come” and predicted that BTC will hover around the $12,000 to $14,000 range, ETH to $600 and $650, Cardano between $0.16 to $0.20, and Litecoin somewhere between $29 to $32.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961435169,"gmtCreate":1669014449851,"gmtModify":1676538139565,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.","listText":"Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.","text":"Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961435169","repostId":"2284949061","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284949061","pubTimestamp":1669013952,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2284949061?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-21 14:59","market":"other","language":"en","title":"2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284949061","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Buying one Bitcoin per day might just be the ultimate dollar-cost averaging strategy for crypto.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his country would be buying one <b>Bitcoin</b> per day, every day, starting on Nov. 17. Almost immediately afterward, crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun announced he would adopt the same Bitcoin strategy.</p><p>This Bitcoin strategy is, quite frankly, the ultimate way to dollar-cost average into crypto. Both investors are committed to buying Bitcoin every day, at approximately the same dollar amount, regardless of market conditions. And both are adding to already massive Bitcoin positions. El Salvador, for example, has already invested more than $100 million into Bitcoin. So is a similar type of strategy right for the average investor?</p><h2>Benefits of dollar-cost averaging</h2><p>Dollar-cost averaging has already proven to be a successful strategy with equity investors, and growing evidence suggests a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be successful for Bitcoin investors. In a standard dollar-cost averaging strategy, you invest the same preset amount on a regular basis (such as weekly or monthly), regardless of market conditions. This removes the emotion from investing and eliminates the perils of trying to time the market. Instead of worrying about daily moves upward or downward, investors continue to buy on a regular schedule.</p><p>Another advantage to dollar-cost averaging is that you end up paying less for an investment (in dollar terms) over the long term because you are buying when prices are both rising and falling. You can see this immediately with El Salvador and its Bitcoin strategy. Heading into its new dollar-cost averaging strategy, for example, El Salvador had purchased a total of 2,381 Bitcoins at an average price of $43,357.</p><p>The average price is so high because El Salvador began buying Bitcoin in September 2021, just about the time Bitcoin was hitting all-time highs. Now that El Salvador is buying Bitcoin at a price below $20,000, this average cost will continue to decline over time until Bitcoin regains previous all-time highs.</p><h2>How to dollar-cost average into Bitcoin</h2><p>While most retail investors can&#39;t buy $20,000 worth of Bitcoin every day, they can certainly adopt a modified strategy, such as $50 per week or $200 per month. With dollar-cost averaging, there are numerous ways to adjust the parameters. For example, one could argue that both Bukele and Sun are adopting a &#34;modified&#34; dollar-cost averaging strategy. Instead of committing to a fixed daily amount, they are committing to an amount that will enable them to buy a full Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is currently trading around $16,500, some days they might invest $16,000 and on other days, they might invest $17,000.</p><p>Obviously, you will need to tailor your strategy to your specific investment and financial goals. As a general rule of thumb, the most popular dollar-cost averaging strategies are monthly rather than weekly or daily. This helps reduce trading fees and also eliminates any temptation to time the market. Dollar-cost averaging can very quickly become a &#34;set it and forget&#34; strategy, especially if you automate the monthly investment allocation.</p><h2>Dollar-cost averaging in action</h2><p>Using widely available websites, you can see how any dollar-cost averaging strategy for Bitcoin would have played out over any specific time interval. On many sites, you can adjust parameters such as how much you are investing, the regularity of your investment, and the time frame of your dollar-cost averaging strategy.</p><p>For the sake of argument, let&#39;s assume you started investing $100 per month in Bitcoin one year ago, at about the same time that El Salvador started buying Bitcoin in the marketplace. Your $1,200 investment would now be worth $1,150, a 4.17% drop in market value. That might be depressing to some, but it&#39;s certainly better than the 62% drop El Salvador has reported on its Bitcoin position. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee you will make money on your investment, only that the pain will be much less palpable if the market does crater.</p><h2>Should I dollar-cost average into Bitcoin?</h2><p>Keeping in mind the enormous volatility and risk involved in investing in crypto, a dollar-cost averaging strategy can be a successful way to get exposure to Bitcoin without taking on excessive risk. As seen in the example above, if you had dollar-cost averaged into Bitcoin over the past year, you&#39;d basically be even right now. You wouldn&#39;t be panicking about the market, and you would know that your long-term gains are going to look very impressive if Bitcoin rallies again. That might explain why two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are now dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 14:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284949061","content_text":"Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his country would be buying one Bitcoin per day, every day, starting on Nov. 17. Almost immediately afterward, crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun announced he would adopt the same Bitcoin strategy.This Bitcoin strategy is, quite frankly, the ultimate way to dollar-cost average into crypto. Both investors are committed to buying Bitcoin every day, at approximately the same dollar amount, regardless of market conditions. And both are adding to already massive Bitcoin positions. El Salvador, for example, has already invested more than $100 million into Bitcoin. So is a similar type of strategy right for the average investor?Benefits of dollar-cost averagingDollar-cost averaging has already proven to be a successful strategy with equity investors, and growing evidence suggests a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be successful for Bitcoin investors. In a standard dollar-cost averaging strategy, you invest the same preset amount on a regular basis (such as weekly or monthly), regardless of market conditions. This removes the emotion from investing and eliminates the perils of trying to time the market. Instead of worrying about daily moves upward or downward, investors continue to buy on a regular schedule.Another advantage to dollar-cost averaging is that you end up paying less for an investment (in dollar terms) over the long term because you are buying when prices are both rising and falling. You can see this immediately with El Salvador and its Bitcoin strategy. Heading into its new dollar-cost averaging strategy, for example, El Salvador had purchased a total of 2,381 Bitcoins at an average price of $43,357.The average price is so high because El Salvador began buying Bitcoin in September 2021, just about the time Bitcoin was hitting all-time highs. Now that El Salvador is buying Bitcoin at a price below $20,000, this average cost will continue to decline over time until Bitcoin regains previous all-time highs.How to dollar-cost average into BitcoinWhile most retail investors can't buy $20,000 worth of Bitcoin every day, they can certainly adopt a modified strategy, such as $50 per week or $200 per month. With dollar-cost averaging, there are numerous ways to adjust the parameters. For example, one could argue that both Bukele and Sun are adopting a \"modified\" dollar-cost averaging strategy. Instead of committing to a fixed daily amount, they are committing to an amount that will enable them to buy a full Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is currently trading around $16,500, some days they might invest $16,000 and on other days, they might invest $17,000.Obviously, you will need to tailor your strategy to your specific investment and financial goals. As a general rule of thumb, the most popular dollar-cost averaging strategies are monthly rather than weekly or daily. This helps reduce trading fees and also eliminates any temptation to time the market. Dollar-cost averaging can very quickly become a \"set it and forget\" strategy, especially if you automate the monthly investment allocation.Dollar-cost averaging in actionUsing widely available websites, you can see how any dollar-cost averaging strategy for Bitcoin would have played out over any specific time interval. On many sites, you can adjust parameters such as how much you are investing, the regularity of your investment, and the time frame of your dollar-cost averaging strategy.For the sake of argument, let's assume you started investing $100 per month in Bitcoin one year ago, at about the same time that El Salvador started buying Bitcoin in the marketplace. Your $1,200 investment would now be worth $1,150, a 4.17% drop in market value. That might be depressing to some, but it's certainly better than the 62% drop El Salvador has reported on its Bitcoin position. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee you will make money on your investment, only that the pain will be much less palpable if the market does crater.Should I dollar-cost average into Bitcoin?Keeping in mind the enormous volatility and risk involved in investing in crypto, a dollar-cost averaging strategy can be a successful way to get exposure to Bitcoin without taking on excessive risk. As seen in the example above, if you had dollar-cost averaged into Bitcoin over the past year, you'd basically be even right now. You wouldn't be panicking about the market, and you would know that your long-term gains are going to look very impressive if Bitcoin rallies again. That might explain why two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are now dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961335065,"gmtCreate":1668833045657,"gmtModify":1676538120177,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Did Coinbase have any exposure to FTX?loans? Investments?would be interesting to know.","listText":"Did Coinbase have any exposure to FTX?loans? Investments?would be interesting to know.","text":"Did Coinbase have any exposure to FTX?loans? Investments?would be interesting to know.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961335065","repostId":"2284770337","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284770337","pubTimestamp":1668823624,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2284770337?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-19 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284770337","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency exchange is sinking again after another analyst chimed in about its potential downsides.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>What happened</h2><p>Amid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator <b>Coinbase</b> will perform from here. This week has been a mixed bag. Coinbase stock initially surged on the expectation that the bankruptcy of a key competitor could lead to the U.S.-focused crypto exchange gaining market share. But over the course of  Wednesday and Thursday, the company&#39;s shares sank by more than 12%. The declines continued Friday morning, with Coinbase stock plunging by another 7.1% as of 11:58 a.m. ET.</p><p>Friday&#39;s decline appears to have been spurred by a bearish analyst note from <b>Bank of America</b>. Analyst Jason Kupferberg slashed the price target on Coinbase from $77 per share to $50 per share, and cut its rating from buy to neutral. Last week, <b>Goldman Sachs</b> slashed its price target on Coinbase to $41 per share from $49 per share, and maintained its sell rating.</p><h2>So what</h2><p>It&#39;s clear that analysts have reason to be bearish about Coinbase. While it&#39;s one of the most prominent centralized crypto exchanges, contagion fears have put investors and analysts in a difficult position. On the one hand, FTX&#39;s implosion offers the potential for Coinbase to capture more market share and trading volume. On the other, declining aggregate trading activity and systemic risks may lead to further valuation compression, at least in the near term.</p><p>Interestingly, neither the Bank of America nor the Goldman Sachs analysts are worried that Coinbase will be the next FTX, and they generally took the view that it&#39;s relatively well-insulated from the FTX fallout. However, the Bank of America note succinctly summarized three risks for those holding Coinbase stock right now: &#34;Dampened trading activity thanks to weaker confidence in crypto, delayed regulatory clarity and the possibility that contagion leads to an even wider fallout for the industry.&#34;</p><h2>Now what</h2><p>Coinbase&#39;s stock price has been under pressure throughout the year due primarily to its underwhelming earnings results and concerns around potential margin degradation. In that sense, the fallout from the FTX collapse could be seen as a net positive, as that exchange was among the lowest-fee options for traders, and therefore put downward pressure on its peers&#39; trading fees.</p><p>That said, this year&#39;s underperformance has led Coinbase management to undertake multiple rounds of layoffs. It has cut more than 18% of its workforce so far. Like many other tech companies, Coinbase appears to have built an infrastructure that&#39;s too big for the current market. With crypto valuations remaining on a bearish trajectory, it&#39;s unclear whether trading volumes will eventually recover, or whether they will remain permanently stunted.</p><p>In this market, investors appear to be taking a similar view to Wall Street analysts. Trading at roughly $46 per share, Coinbase is now within spitting distance of its all-time low.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Coinbase Stock Is Down Another 7% on Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-19 10:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happenedAmid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator Coinbase will perform from here. This week has been a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/why-coinbase-stock-is-down-another-7-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284770337","content_text":"What happenedAmid the crypto market turmoil generated by the collapse of FTX, many investors are worried about how its fellow exchange operator Coinbase will perform from here. This week has been a mixed bag. Coinbase stock initially surged on the expectation that the bankruptcy of a key competitor could lead to the U.S.-focused crypto exchange gaining market share. But over the course of  Wednesday and Thursday, the company's shares sank by more than 12%. The declines continued Friday morning, with Coinbase stock plunging by another 7.1% as of 11:58 a.m. ET.Friday's decline appears to have been spurred by a bearish analyst note from Bank of America. Analyst Jason Kupferberg slashed the price target on Coinbase from $77 per share to $50 per share, and cut its rating from buy to neutral. Last week, Goldman Sachs slashed its price target on Coinbase to $41 per share from $49 per share, and maintained its sell rating.So whatIt's clear that analysts have reason to be bearish about Coinbase. While it's one of the most prominent centralized crypto exchanges, contagion fears have put investors and analysts in a difficult position. On the one hand, FTX's implosion offers the potential for Coinbase to capture more market share and trading volume. On the other, declining aggregate trading activity and systemic risks may lead to further valuation compression, at least in the near term.Interestingly, neither the Bank of America nor the Goldman Sachs analysts are worried that Coinbase will be the next FTX, and they generally took the view that it's relatively well-insulated from the FTX fallout. However, the Bank of America note succinctly summarized three risks for those holding Coinbase stock right now: \"Dampened trading activity thanks to weaker confidence in crypto, delayed regulatory clarity and the possibility that contagion leads to an even wider fallout for the industry.\"Now whatCoinbase's stock price has been under pressure throughout the year due primarily to its underwhelming earnings results and concerns around potential margin degradation. In that sense, the fallout from the FTX collapse could be seen as a net positive, as that exchange was among the lowest-fee options for traders, and therefore put downward pressure on its peers' trading fees.That said, this year's underperformance has led Coinbase management to undertake multiple rounds of layoffs. It has cut more than 18% of its workforce so far. Like many other tech companies, Coinbase appears to have built an infrastructure that's too big for the current market. With crypto valuations remaining on a bearish trajectory, it's unclear whether trading volumes will eventually recover, or whether they will remain permanently stunted.In this market, investors appear to be taking a similar view to Wall Street analysts. Trading at roughly $46 per share, Coinbase is now within spitting distance of its all-time low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961040876,"gmtCreate":1668809911895,"gmtModify":1676538115404,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961040876","repostId":"1180793927","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180793927","pubTimestamp":1668783664,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180793927?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-18 23:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top Calls on Wall Street: Amazon, HP, DraftKings, Applied Materials and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180793927","media":"The Fly","summary":"Top 5 Upgrades:JPMorgan analyst Lisa Gill upgraded Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA) to Overweight from ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Top 5 Upgrades:</b></h2><ul><li>JPMorgan analyst Lisa Gill upgraded <b>Walgreens Boots Alliance</b>(WBA) to Overweight from Neutral with a $42 price target. The company has &#34;significantly invested in its transformational consumer-centric healthcare strategy,&#34; the centerpiece of which is the launch of Walgreens Healthcare, Gill tells investors.</li><li>Summit Insights analyst Kinngai Chan upgraded <b>Applied Materials</b>(AMAT) to Buy from Hold post the October quarter results. The analyst now believes the 2023 wafer dab spending cuts are priced into the stock.</li><li>Gordon Haskett analyst Chuck Grom upgraded <b>Ross Stores</b>(ROST) to Buy from Hold with a $130 price target. He had turned incrementally more positive on the off-price retail space last week when he&#39;d upgraded TJX (TJX) to Buy, but the results from Ross and across the space with over 10 companies under coverage reporting Q3 results this week lead him to see more &#34;evidence&#34; that middle-income shoppers would begin to trade down into the off-price space.</li><li>Guggenheim analyst Shahriar Pourreza upgraded <b>Pinnacle West</b>(PNW) to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $70, up from $54. The regulatory construct in Arizona has improved following the election loss of Commissioner Sandra Kennedy and the victories of two Republican commissioners, Pourreza tells investors.</li><li>Northcoast analyst Jim Sanderson upgraded <b>Domino&#39;s Pizza</b>(DPZ) to Buy from Neutral with a $460 price target.</li></ul><h2><b>Top 5 Downgrades:</b></h2><ul><li>Credit Suisse analyst Shannon Cross downgraded <b>HP Inc.</b>(HPQ) to Neutral from Outperform with an unchanged price target of $33. The analyst believes the company&#39;s revenue and margins will be &#34;challenged near term&#34; by weakening consumer sentiment, pressure on selling prices as a result of lower demand and better supply, slower enterprise demand near term for PCs and printing as IT budgets prioritize hybrid cloud, security and software solutions, and macroeconomic uncertainty.</li><li>Oppenheimer analyst Jay Olson downgraded <b>Editas Medicine</b>(EDIT) to Perform from Outperform with a price target of $12, down from $28. The downgrade follows the announcement that the Phase 1/2 BRILLIANCE trial of EDIT-101 for Leber congenital amaurosis 10 is pausing enrollment following preliminary efficacy data that showed only three of the 14 patients met the responder threshold of clinically meaningful improvement in best corrected visual acuity, Olson tells investors in a research note. Credit Suisse analyst Tiago Fauth also downgraded Editas Medicine to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $13, down from $25, after removing the contribution from EDIT-101 and other ocular indications from his model following the company&#39;s update from the BRILLIANCE trial.</li><li>Morgan Stanley analyst Lauren Schenk downgraded <b>Rent The Runway</b>(RENT) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $2.50, down from $10. Recent web traffic data suggests a &#34;meaningful October slowdown&#34; and a Q3 subscriber miss after an encouraging September, Schenk tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Wedbush analyst Seth Basham downgraded <b>RH</b>(RH) to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $270, down from $274. RH has been steadfast in protecting its brand without discounting, but this has contributed to mounting market share losses, Basham tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Erste Group analyst Hans Engel downgraded <b>Amazon.com</b>(AMZN) to Hold from Buy. The &#34;outlook for earnings development has deteriorated in recent weeks,&#34; Engel tells investors.</li></ul><h2><b>Top 5 Initiations:</b></h2><ul><li>Piper Sandler analyst Matt Farrell initiated coverage of <b>DraftKings</b>(DKNG) with an Overweight rating and $21 price target. DraftKings is a leader in the online sports betting market with a growing presence in internet gaming, which combined represent an $80B total addressable market between the United States and Canada, Farrell tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Credit Suisse analyst Trung Huynh initiated coverage of <b>Merck</b>(MRK) with an Outperform rating and $120 price target, calling it one of his two top ideas based on a relative basis among the U.S. large-cap biopharma peer group. He sees Merck having &#34;low-risk and high short-term growth&#34; as he sees Keytruda growing at over 20% year-over-year, giving the company &#34;ample time&#34; to fill its loss-of-exclusivity cliff by end-2028.</li><li>Raymond James analyst Andrew Cooper initiated coverage of <b>Fulgent Genetics</b>(FLGT) with an Outperform rating and $45 price target. The company capitalized on COVID-19 testing capabilities and has now deployed part of its &#34;substantial cash hoard&#34; to emerge from the pandemic with the full breadth of oncology testing capabilities, Cooper tells investors in a research note.</li><li>BofA analyst Jason Zemansky initiated coverage of <b>Insmed</b>(INSM) with a Buy rating and $39 price target. The company&#39;s differentiated pipeline and strong underlying fundamentals place it apart from its peers, presenting a &#34;compelling&#34; risk-reward, the analyst tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Morgan Stanley analyst Alex Straton assumed coverage of <b>Ross Stores</b> with an Overweight rating with a price target of $127, up from $119, following the company&#39;s Q3 report. The magnitude of the Q3 beat &#34;surprised to the upside&#34; and revenue re-acceleration &#34;makes for a compelling set-up&#34; into Q4 and 2023, said Straton, who thinks &#34;things only get better from here.&#34;</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1649979459173","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top Calls on Wall Street: Amazon, HP, DraftKings, Applied Materials and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop Calls on Wall Street: Amazon, HP, DraftKings, Applied Materials and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 23:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3621141&headline=HPQ;DKNG;EDIT;RENT;MRK;RH;FLGT;WBA;AMAT;ROST;TJX;PNW;DPZ;AMZN;INSM-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations><strong>The Fly</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Top 5 Upgrades:JPMorgan analyst Lisa Gill upgraded Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA) to Overweight from Neutral with a $42 price target. The company has \"significantly invested in its transformational ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3621141&headline=HPQ;DKNG;EDIT;RENT;MRK;RH;FLGT;WBA;AMAT;ROST;TJX;PNW;DPZ;AMZN;INSM-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HPQ":"惠普","AMZN":"亚马逊","AMAT":"应用材料","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"source_url":"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3621141&headline=HPQ;DKNG;EDIT;RENT;MRK;RH;FLGT;WBA;AMAT;ROST;TJX;PNW;DPZ;AMZN;INSM-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180793927","content_text":"Top 5 Upgrades:JPMorgan analyst Lisa Gill upgraded Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA) to Overweight from Neutral with a $42 price target. The company has \"significantly invested in its transformational consumer-centric healthcare strategy,\" the centerpiece of which is the launch of Walgreens Healthcare, Gill tells investors.Summit Insights analyst Kinngai Chan upgraded Applied Materials(AMAT) to Buy from Hold post the October quarter results. The analyst now believes the 2023 wafer dab spending cuts are priced into the stock.Gordon Haskett analyst Chuck Grom upgraded Ross Stores(ROST) to Buy from Hold with a $130 price target. He had turned incrementally more positive on the off-price retail space last week when he'd upgraded TJX (TJX) to Buy, but the results from Ross and across the space with over 10 companies under coverage reporting Q3 results this week lead him to see more \"evidence\" that middle-income shoppers would begin to trade down into the off-price space.Guggenheim analyst Shahriar Pourreza upgraded Pinnacle West(PNW) to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $70, up from $54. The regulatory construct in Arizona has improved following the election loss of Commissioner Sandra Kennedy and the victories of two Republican commissioners, Pourreza tells investors.Northcoast analyst Jim Sanderson upgraded Domino's Pizza(DPZ) to Buy from Neutral with a $460 price target.Top 5 Downgrades:Credit Suisse analyst Shannon Cross downgraded HP Inc.(HPQ) to Neutral from Outperform with an unchanged price target of $33. The analyst believes the company's revenue and margins will be \"challenged near term\" by weakening consumer sentiment, pressure on selling prices as a result of lower demand and better supply, slower enterprise demand near term for PCs and printing as IT budgets prioritize hybrid cloud, security and software solutions, and macroeconomic uncertainty.Oppenheimer analyst Jay Olson downgraded Editas Medicine(EDIT) to Perform from Outperform with a price target of $12, down from $28. The downgrade follows the announcement that the Phase 1/2 BRILLIANCE trial of EDIT-101 for Leber congenital amaurosis 10 is pausing enrollment following preliminary efficacy data that showed only three of the 14 patients met the responder threshold of clinically meaningful improvement in best corrected visual acuity, Olson tells investors in a research note. Credit Suisse analyst Tiago Fauth also downgraded Editas Medicine to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $13, down from $25, after removing the contribution from EDIT-101 and other ocular indications from his model following the company's update from the BRILLIANCE trial.Morgan Stanley analyst Lauren Schenk downgraded Rent The Runway(RENT) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $2.50, down from $10. Recent web traffic data suggests a \"meaningful October slowdown\" and a Q3 subscriber miss after an encouraging September, Schenk tells investors in a research note.Wedbush analyst Seth Basham downgraded RH(RH) to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $270, down from $274. RH has been steadfast in protecting its brand without discounting, but this has contributed to mounting market share losses, Basham tells investors in a research note.Erste Group analyst Hans Engel downgraded Amazon.com(AMZN) to Hold from Buy. The \"outlook for earnings development has deteriorated in recent weeks,\" Engel tells investors.Top 5 Initiations:Piper Sandler analyst Matt Farrell initiated coverage of DraftKings(DKNG) with an Overweight rating and $21 price target. DraftKings is a leader in the online sports betting market with a growing presence in internet gaming, which combined represent an $80B total addressable market between the United States and Canada, Farrell tells investors in a research note.Credit Suisse analyst Trung Huynh initiated coverage of Merck(MRK) with an Outperform rating and $120 price target, calling it one of his two top ideas based on a relative basis among the U.S. large-cap biopharma peer group. He sees Merck having \"low-risk and high short-term growth\" as he sees Keytruda growing at over 20% year-over-year, giving the company \"ample time\" to fill its loss-of-exclusivity cliff by end-2028.Raymond James analyst Andrew Cooper initiated coverage of Fulgent Genetics(FLGT) with an Outperform rating and $45 price target. The company capitalized on COVID-19 testing capabilities and has now deployed part of its \"substantial cash hoard\" to emerge from the pandemic with the full breadth of oncology testing capabilities, Cooper tells investors in a research note.BofA analyst Jason Zemansky initiated coverage of Insmed(INSM) with a Buy rating and $39 price target. The company's differentiated pipeline and strong underlying fundamentals place it apart from its peers, presenting a \"compelling\" risk-reward, the analyst tells investors in a research note.Morgan Stanley analyst Alex Straton assumed coverage of Ross Stores with an Overweight rating with a price target of $127, up from $119, following the company's Q3 report. The magnitude of the Q3 beat \"surprised to the upside\" and revenue re-acceleration \"makes for a compelling set-up\" into Q4 and 2023, said Straton, who thinks \"things only get better from here.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961057387,"gmtCreate":1668809680950,"gmtModify":1676538115374,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961057387","repostId":"1148178779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148178779","pubTimestamp":1668784414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148178779?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-18 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P, Dow, Nasdaq Lose Steam After Weaker Homes Data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148178779","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Major market averages opened Friday's trading session in the green as buying interest picked up but ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e77363bf00497d08385ca3a79dc47ea\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Major market averages opened Friday&#39;s trading session in the green as buying interest picked up but have since trimmed some of their gains.</p><p>Early on and the tech focused Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.04%, the S&amp;P 500 moved higher by 0.18%, and the Dow advanced by 0.29%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a185f1327481a8f53c0327aba9e9ed19\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"150\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Those long the market could make a stand for a second-straight winning week today, but volume could be lighter with many getting a head start on Thanksgiving travel.</p><p>On the data front,October existing home salesdropped more than expected to 4.43M versus the consensus figure of 4.38M.</p><p>&#34;This is not directly growth related (the homes are already constructed), but affects things like demand for furniture,&#34; UBS&#39; Paul Donovan said. &#34;Falling house prices might create a negative wealth effect - that would matter to leverage.&#34;</p><p>Among the 11 S&amp;P sectors led by the Utilities and Health Care, while Energy has suffered the most as oil declined by 3.5% in the early part of trading.</p><p>Rates are a little higher after Fed chatter on Thursday indicated that members are looking for a higher terminal rate than the market is pricing in.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) is up 1 basis point to 3.77% and the 2-year yield (US2Y) is up 2 basis points to 4.47%.</p><p>&#34;Bear in mind that just after the CPI report when the latest round of speculation about a Fed pivot was at its height, the intraday low for terminal rate pricing fell back to 4.83%,&#34; Deutsche Bank&#39;s Jim Reid said. &#34;And since then, terminal rate pricing has come back by about halfway to its intraday peak of 5.2% earlier in the month. We settled at 4.99% last night.&#34;</p><p>Among active stocks, Farfetch is slumping after cutting forecasts.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P, Dow, Nasdaq Lose Steam After Weaker Homes Data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P, Dow, Nasdaq Lose Steam After Weaker Homes Data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3909567-sp-500-dow-jones-nasdaq-stock-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Major market averages opened Friday's trading session in the green as buying interest picked up but have since trimmed some of their gains.Early on and the tech focused Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.04%, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3909567-sp-500-dow-jones-nasdaq-stock-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3909567-sp-500-dow-jones-nasdaq-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148178779","content_text":"Major market averages opened Friday's trading session in the green as buying interest picked up but have since trimmed some of their gains.Early on and the tech focused Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.04%, the S&P 500 moved higher by 0.18%, and the Dow advanced by 0.29%.Those long the market could make a stand for a second-straight winning week today, but volume could be lighter with many getting a head start on Thanksgiving travel.On the data front,October existing home salesdropped more than expected to 4.43M versus the consensus figure of 4.38M.\"This is not directly growth related (the homes are already constructed), but affects things like demand for furniture,\" UBS' Paul Donovan said. \"Falling house prices might create a negative wealth effect - that would matter to leverage.\"Among the 11 S&P sectors led by the Utilities and Health Care, while Energy has suffered the most as oil declined by 3.5% in the early part of trading.Rates are a little higher after Fed chatter on Thursday indicated that members are looking for a higher terminal rate than the market is pricing in.The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) is up 1 basis point to 3.77% and the 2-year yield (US2Y) is up 2 basis points to 4.47%.\"Bear in mind that just after the CPI report when the latest round of speculation about a Fed pivot was at its height, the intraday low for terminal rate pricing fell back to 4.83%,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said. \"And since then, terminal rate pricing has come back by about halfway to its intraday peak of 5.2% earlier in the month. We settled at 4.99% last night.\"Among active stocks, Farfetch is slumping after cutting forecasts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961067479,"gmtCreate":1668793707792,"gmtModify":1676538114735,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961067479","repostId":"1156523931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156523931","pubTimestamp":1668782470,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156523931?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-18 22:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156523931","media":"Market Watch","summary":"Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest month","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8dc787dcc3d9f01b78bad669dcbff58\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded funds expire, risking an explosion of volatility across markets.</p><p>Every month, a team of analysts from Goldman Sachs publishes a breakdown of the options that are expiring. And one of the most notable details from this month’s report is a chart showing how much trading has shifted to options contracts with 24 hours or less left before they expire.</p><p>Trading in these types of options now represents 44% of all trading in options linked to the S&amp;P 500 index. They now trade an average of $470 billion in notional value per day, according to Goldman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03093a53400808d597fb19b7f7fe18df\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Options directly linked to the S&amp;P 500 make up a plurality of all equity options expiring in the U.S. on Friday, as Goldman illustrated in the chart below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5ee3ea7c5480a4e90bab11f5bc68ac0\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Another notable trend in equity-derivatives trading this year has been increasing trading in options linked to indexes and exchange-traded funds. Previously, investors had favored options linked to individual stocks. But trading volume in these options has declined this year, although it remains elevated compared to its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fc707025c18b4c27a4534f19475112f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors will be paying particularly close attention to Friday’s options expiration after the equity put-call ratio — which measures trading volume of certain equity-linked options compared with trading volume in equity-linked calls —  exploded to levels unseen since 2001 earlier this week.</p><p>Most equity-linked options expire after the close of the trading day, but some index-linked options expire in the morning, according to CME Group.</p><p>One month ago, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott told clients that professional traders are increasingly buying options with one day to expiration or less, a trading strategy that he said first gained notoriety on the popular subreddit “Wall Street Bets.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMore Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 22:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>Market Watch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156523931","content_text":"Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded funds expire, risking an explosion of volatility across markets.Every month, a team of analysts from Goldman Sachs publishes a breakdown of the options that are expiring. And one of the most notable details from this month’s report is a chart showing how much trading has shifted to options contracts with 24 hours or less left before they expire.Trading in these types of options now represents 44% of all trading in options linked to the S&P 500 index. They now trade an average of $470 billion in notional value per day, according to Goldman.Options directly linked to the S&P 500 make up a plurality of all equity options expiring in the U.S. on Friday, as Goldman illustrated in the chart below.Another notable trend in equity-derivatives trading this year has been increasing trading in options linked to indexes and exchange-traded funds. Previously, investors had favored options linked to individual stocks. But trading volume in these options has declined this year, although it remains elevated compared to its pre-pandemic level.Investors will be paying particularly close attention to Friday’s options expiration after the equity put-call ratio — which measures trading volume of certain equity-linked options compared with trading volume in equity-linked calls —  exploded to levels unseen since 2001 earlier this week.Most equity-linked options expire after the close of the trading day, but some index-linked options expire in the morning, according to CME Group.One month ago, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott told clients that professional traders are increasingly buying options with one day to expiration or less, a trading strategy that he said first gained notoriety on the popular subreddit “Wall Street Bets.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963486626,"gmtCreate":1668736599465,"gmtModify":1676538105030,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963486626","repostId":"1128815375","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128815375","pubTimestamp":1668727967,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128815375?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-18 07:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Record Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion \"OpEx“","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128815375","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The 4,000 level for S&P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bearsCboe put-call ratio for single stocks r","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>The 4,000 level for S&amp;P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bears</li><li>Cboe put-call ratio for single stocks reaches a 25-year high</li></ul><p>Nowhere better illustrates Wall Street’s febrile sentiment than the stock-derivatives market, where trading volumes are breaking records heading into Friday’s $2.1 trillion options expiration.</p><p>The monthly event, known as OpEx, has a reputation for stoking volatility as traders and dealers rebalance their big exposures en masse. Now, with demand for both bullish and bearish index contracts booming while hedging in single stocks explodes in popularity, OpEx comes at a precarious time.</p><p>Twice this week, the S&amp;P 500 has briefly surpassed 4,000 -- a battleground threshold for traders that has garnering the highest open interest among contracts set to roll out on Friday. The benchmark gauge has fallen in three of the past four sessions, after jumping more than 5% last Thursday on promising inflation data that sparked a wave of short covering and call buying. The index fell 0.3% to close at 3,947 Thursday.</p><p>Amateurs and professionals have been flocking to short-dated contracts to cope with the market whiplash of late, an activity that has exerted outsize impact on the underlying equities. That suggests Friday’s options runoff may expose stocks to further price swings.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/160542b850a7090e1ce7b0b8f9fae3bc\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Not everyone buys into the idea that derivatives wield this kind of power. But to some market watchers, it’s no coincidence that the OpEx week has seen stocks falling in eight out of the last 10 months.</p><p>“Option prices and tails have dropped sharply and present a good opportunity” to add protective hedges, said RBC Capital Markets’ strategist Amy Wu Silverman, citing the possibility that entrenched inflation renews pressure on equities.</p><p>Federal Reserve-induced market gyrations are encouraging investors to go all-in on options to place bullish and bearish bets alike. About 46 million options contracts have changed hands each day in November, poised for the busiest month on record, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s up 12% from last month.</p><p>The boom was in part driven by derivatives maturing within 24 hours. Such contracts made up a whopping 44% of S&amp;P 500 options trading in the past month, according to an estimate by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists including Rocky Fishman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379b3b566ab08485d9233abd788c18fc\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>At the same time hedging activity in single stocks just exploded. The Cboe equity put-call ratio on Wednesday soared to the highest level since 1997. From earnings blowups at tech giants to the uncertain path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, volatility has been the only certainty in the market.</p><p>Still, nothing is ever simple in this corner of Wall Street given mixed signals on investor positioning to glean sentiment. For example, judging by the S&amp;P 500’s skew -- the relative cost of puts versus calls that has hovered near multiyear lows -- traders appear more sanguine.</p><p>And thanks to the short shelf-life of options that are currently in demand, open interest in S&amp;P 500 contracts has increased at a much slower pace, rising only 4% from the day before the last OpEx. Though with 20 million contracts outstanding, the open interest was the highest since March 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f29c76793e533f55cc96511de2aa922\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“We did see a lot of recent interest by call buyers and short-covering,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers LLC. “One can argue that leaves us a bit more exposed to a down move, but the mood generally remains hopeful. That’s why Fed governors feel the need to continually remind us of their resolve to fight inflation.”</p><p>While it’s not easy to get a clear picture about investor positioning in options, dislocations create opportunities for traders.</p><p>Easing interest rate volatility will help the equity market stay contained, according to Goldman’s Fishman. He recommends buying puts on Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, to bet on potential calm into the yearend. The Cboe VVIX Index, a measure of the cost of VIX options, sat below its 20th percentile of a range in the last decade, an indication of attractive pricing, per Fishman.</p><p>“Low skew and vol-of-vol point to diminished concern about tail risk,” he wrote in a note.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Record Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion \"OpEx“</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecord Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion \"OpEx“\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 07:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/record-options-trading-shows-jitters-before-2-trillion-opex?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The 4,000 level for S&P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bearsCboe put-call ratio for single stocks reaches a 25-year highNowhere better illustrates Wall Street’s febrile sentiment than the stock-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/record-options-trading-shows-jitters-before-2-trillion-opex?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/record-options-trading-shows-jitters-before-2-trillion-opex?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128815375","content_text":"The 4,000 level for S&P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bearsCboe put-call ratio for single stocks reaches a 25-year highNowhere better illustrates Wall Street’s febrile sentiment than the stock-derivatives market, where trading volumes are breaking records heading into Friday’s $2.1 trillion options expiration.The monthly event, known as OpEx, has a reputation for stoking volatility as traders and dealers rebalance their big exposures en masse. Now, with demand for both bullish and bearish index contracts booming while hedging in single stocks explodes in popularity, OpEx comes at a precarious time.Twice this week, the S&P 500 has briefly surpassed 4,000 -- a battleground threshold for traders that has garnering the highest open interest among contracts set to roll out on Friday. The benchmark gauge has fallen in three of the past four sessions, after jumping more than 5% last Thursday on promising inflation data that sparked a wave of short covering and call buying. The index fell 0.3% to close at 3,947 Thursday.Amateurs and professionals have been flocking to short-dated contracts to cope with the market whiplash of late, an activity that has exerted outsize impact on the underlying equities. That suggests Friday’s options runoff may expose stocks to further price swings.Not everyone buys into the idea that derivatives wield this kind of power. But to some market watchers, it’s no coincidence that the OpEx week has seen stocks falling in eight out of the last 10 months.“Option prices and tails have dropped sharply and present a good opportunity” to add protective hedges, said RBC Capital Markets’ strategist Amy Wu Silverman, citing the possibility that entrenched inflation renews pressure on equities.Federal Reserve-induced market gyrations are encouraging investors to go all-in on options to place bullish and bearish bets alike. About 46 million options contracts have changed hands each day in November, poised for the busiest month on record, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s up 12% from last month.The boom was in part driven by derivatives maturing within 24 hours. Such contracts made up a whopping 44% of S&P 500 options trading in the past month, according to an estimate by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists including Rocky Fishman.At the same time hedging activity in single stocks just exploded. The Cboe equity put-call ratio on Wednesday soared to the highest level since 1997. From earnings blowups at tech giants to the uncertain path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, volatility has been the only certainty in the market.Still, nothing is ever simple in this corner of Wall Street given mixed signals on investor positioning to glean sentiment. For example, judging by the S&P 500’s skew -- the relative cost of puts versus calls that has hovered near multiyear lows -- traders appear more sanguine.And thanks to the short shelf-life of options that are currently in demand, open interest in S&P 500 contracts has increased at a much slower pace, rising only 4% from the day before the last OpEx. Though with 20 million contracts outstanding, the open interest was the highest since March 2020.“We did see a lot of recent interest by call buyers and short-covering,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers LLC. “One can argue that leaves us a bit more exposed to a down move, but the mood generally remains hopeful. That’s why Fed governors feel the need to continually remind us of their resolve to fight inflation.”While it’s not easy to get a clear picture about investor positioning in options, dislocations create opportunities for traders.Easing interest rate volatility will help the equity market stay contained, according to Goldman’s Fishman. He recommends buying puts on Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, to bet on potential calm into the yearend. The Cboe VVIX Index, a measure of the cost of VIX options, sat below its 20th percentile of a range in the last decade, an indication of attractive pricing, per Fishman.“Low skew and vol-of-vol point to diminished concern about tail risk,” he wrote in a note.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9982151634,"gmtCreate":1667125786128,"gmtModify":1676537864631,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"JPow will not deviate from his prior comments,November will be 75 bps hike,what is more important is his speech as to forward guidance,in regards to future hikes,that will determine the markets movement.For now the markets seems to think the Fed will pivot and are acting accordingly,my take is more pain to come,","listText":"JPow will not deviate from his prior comments,November will be 75 bps hike,what is more important is his speech as to forward guidance,in regards to future hikes,that will determine the markets movement.For now the markets seems to think the Fed will pivot and are acting accordingly,my take is more pain to come,","text":"JPow will not deviate from his prior comments,November will be 75 bps hike,what is more important is his speech as to forward guidance,in regards to future hikes,that will determine the markets movement.For now the markets seems to think the Fed will pivot and are acting accordingly,my take is more pain to come,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":23,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982151634","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969691006,"gmtCreate":1668420029106,"gmtModify":1676538053852,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No matter how many times JPow already said \"higher for longer\" still we have the market participants frontrunning the expectations,by raising less than 75bps,the Fed is still raising and will continue to raise,do not get pulled into these bear market rallies,if you do,get in and out quickly,always,always be closing.This is still a bear market until the Fed stop raising rates,and even then,when they stop raising,it will stay high for some time.Please be careful.out there,use proper risk management.","listText":"No matter how many times JPow already said \"higher for longer\" still we have the market participants frontrunning the expectations,by raising less than 75bps,the Fed is still raising and will continue to raise,do not get pulled into these bear market rallies,if you do,get in and out quickly,always,always be closing.This is still a bear market until the Fed stop raising rates,and even then,when they stop raising,it will stay high for some time.Please be careful.out there,use proper risk management.","text":"No matter how many times JPow already said \"higher for longer\" still we have the market participants frontrunning the expectations,by raising less than 75bps,the Fed is still raising and will continue to raise,do not get pulled into these bear market rallies,if you do,get in and out quickly,always,always be closing.This is still a bear market until the Fed stop raising rates,and even then,when they stop raising,it will stay high for some time.Please be careful.out there,use proper risk management.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":25,"commentSize":20,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969691006","repostId":"1169965387","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169965387","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668383005,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169965387?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-14 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed May Cut Size of Rate Increases, but Is Not \"Softening\" Inflation Fight, Waller Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169965387","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve may consider slowing the pace of rate increases at its n","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve may consider slowing the pace of rate increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a &#34;softening&#34; in its commitment to lower inflation, Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said on Sunday.</p><p>Markets should now pay attention to the &#34;endpoint&#34; of rate increases, not the pace of each move, and that endpoint is likely still &#34;a ways off,&#34; Waller said in response to a series of questions on monetary policy at an economic conference organized by UBS in Australia. &#34;It depends on inflation.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re at a point we can start thinking maybe of going to a slower pace,&#34; Waller said, but &#34;we&#39;re not softening...Quit paying attention to the pace and start paying attention to where the endpoint is going to be. Until we get inflation down, that endpoint is still a ways out there.&#34;</p><p>A report released last week showing slower than expected inflation in October was &#34;good news,&#34; but was &#34;just one data point&#34; that would have to be followed with other similar readings to show convincingly that inflation is slowing, he said.</p><p>The 7.7% annualized increase in inflation recorded in October is still &#34;enormous,&#34; Waller said, noting that even if the Fed scaled back from three quarter point increases to a half point increase at its next meeting, &#34;you&#39;re still going up.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re going to need to see a continued run of this kind of behavior and inflation slowly starting to come down before we really start thinking about taking our foot off the brakes,&#34; Waller said, adding that he has been further convinced the Fed is on the right path because its rates increases so far have not &#34;broken anything.&#34;</p><p>The Fed has raised rates a total of 3.75 percentage points this year beginning in March, including four three quarter point increases, a rapid shift in monetary policy aimed to cool the worst surge of inflation since the 1980s.</p><p>&#34;For all the talk of crashing the economy and breaking the financial markets. It hasn&#39;t done that,&#34; Waller said.</p><p>Analysts and economists have warned that the monetary tightening will further the risk of recession, impacting employment.</p><p>U.S. Senate Banking Committee Chair Sherrod Brown last month urged the Federal Reserve to be careful about tightening monetary policy so much that millions of Americans already suffering from high inflation also lose their jobs.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed May Cut Size of Rate Increases, but Is Not \"Softening\" Inflation Fight, Waller Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed May Cut Size of Rate Increases, but Is Not \"Softening\" Inflation Fight, Waller Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 07:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve may consider slowing the pace of rate increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a &#34;softening&#34; in its commitment to lower inflation, Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said on Sunday.</p><p>Markets should now pay attention to the &#34;endpoint&#34; of rate increases, not the pace of each move, and that endpoint is likely still &#34;a ways off,&#34; Waller said in response to a series of questions on monetary policy at an economic conference organized by UBS in Australia. &#34;It depends on inflation.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re at a point we can start thinking maybe of going to a slower pace,&#34; Waller said, but &#34;we&#39;re not softening...Quit paying attention to the pace and start paying attention to where the endpoint is going to be. Until we get inflation down, that endpoint is still a ways out there.&#34;</p><p>A report released last week showing slower than expected inflation in October was &#34;good news,&#34; but was &#34;just one data point&#34; that would have to be followed with other similar readings to show convincingly that inflation is slowing, he said.</p><p>The 7.7% annualized increase in inflation recorded in October is still &#34;enormous,&#34; Waller said, noting that even if the Fed scaled back from three quarter point increases to a half point increase at its next meeting, &#34;you&#39;re still going up.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re going to need to see a continued run of this kind of behavior and inflation slowly starting to come down before we really start thinking about taking our foot off the brakes,&#34; Waller said, adding that he has been further convinced the Fed is on the right path because its rates increases so far have not &#34;broken anything.&#34;</p><p>The Fed has raised rates a total of 3.75 percentage points this year beginning in March, including four three quarter point increases, a rapid shift in monetary policy aimed to cool the worst surge of inflation since the 1980s.</p><p>&#34;For all the talk of crashing the economy and breaking the financial markets. It hasn&#39;t done that,&#34; Waller said.</p><p>Analysts and economists have warned that the monetary tightening will further the risk of recession, impacting employment.</p><p>U.S. Senate Banking Committee Chair Sherrod Brown last month urged the Federal Reserve to be careful about tightening monetary policy so much that millions of Americans already suffering from high inflation also lose their jobs.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169965387","content_text":"Nov 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve may consider slowing the pace of rate increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a \"softening\" in its commitment to lower inflation, Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said on Sunday.Markets should now pay attention to the \"endpoint\" of rate increases, not the pace of each move, and that endpoint is likely still \"a ways off,\" Waller said in response to a series of questions on monetary policy at an economic conference organized by UBS in Australia. \"It depends on inflation.\"\"We're at a point we can start thinking maybe of going to a slower pace,\" Waller said, but \"we're not softening...Quit paying attention to the pace and start paying attention to where the endpoint is going to be. Until we get inflation down, that endpoint is still a ways out there.\"A report released last week showing slower than expected inflation in October was \"good news,\" but was \"just one data point\" that would have to be followed with other similar readings to show convincingly that inflation is slowing, he said.The 7.7% annualized increase in inflation recorded in October is still \"enormous,\" Waller said, noting that even if the Fed scaled back from three quarter point increases to a half point increase at its next meeting, \"you're still going up.\"\"We're going to need to see a continued run of this kind of behavior and inflation slowly starting to come down before we really start thinking about taking our foot off the brakes,\" Waller said, adding that he has been further convinced the Fed is on the right path because its rates increases so far have not \"broken anything.\"The Fed has raised rates a total of 3.75 percentage points this year beginning in March, including four three quarter point increases, a rapid shift in monetary policy aimed to cool the worst surge of inflation since the 1980s.\"For all the talk of crashing the economy and breaking the financial markets. It hasn't done that,\" Waller said.Analysts and economists have warned that the monetary tightening will further the risk of recession, impacting employment.U.S. Senate Banking Committee Chair Sherrod Brown last month urged the Federal Reserve to be careful about tightening monetary policy so much that millions of Americans already suffering from high inflation also lose their jobs.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988251362,"gmtCreate":1666766206556,"gmtModify":1676537803173,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TTFNF\">$TotalEnergies SE(TTFNF)$</a>Bullish on energy stocks,and this is one of my favorites,EV vehicles have a great future,but limited natural resources,and with so many geo politics going on,my take is energy stocks can hold up well in the market.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TTFNF\">$TotalEnergies SE(TTFNF)$</a>Bullish on energy stocks,and this is one of my favorites,EV vehicles have a great future,but limited natural resources,and with so many geo politics going on,my take is energy stocks can hold up well in the market.","text":"$TotalEnergies SE(TTFNF)$Bullish on energy stocks,and this is one of my favorites,EV vehicles have a great future,but limited natural resources,and with so many geo politics going on,my take is energy stocks can hold up well in the market.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0620127b296694109b90295a748a30b8","width":"1080","height":"1969"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988251362","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4093000606743040","authorId":"4093000606743040","name":"Michelle Ong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8a2c49f4c3e66700e24774bbbaa8e5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Like back thanks","text":"Like back thanks","html":"Like back thanks"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988834203,"gmtCreate":1666715070902,"gmtModify":1676537794784,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That would be a no from me.","listText":"That would be a no from me.","text":"That would be a no from me.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988834203","repostId":"1160702607","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969661042,"gmtCreate":1668432799687,"gmtModify":1676538055610,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yeah agree with the sentiment here.","listText":"yeah agree with the sentiment here.","text":"yeah agree with the sentiment here.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969661042","repostId":"1165111854","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1165111854","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1668430865,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165111854?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-14 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Futures Decline on Cautious Fed Tone on Inflation; Oatly Tumble 11.8%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165111854","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Monday as hawkish comments from a U.S. Federal Reserve offic","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Monday as hawkish comments from a U.S. Federal Reserve official tempered hopes of a less aggressive pace of monetary policy tightening.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 7:45 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 62 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 11.5 points, or 0.29%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 54 points, or 0.46%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba4f8d4ed0bf714056fa40cb239afb6b\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"202\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>Hasbro(HAS) – The toy maker’s stock slid 5.2% in the premarket following a double-downgrade to “underperform” from “buy” at Bank of America. The move comes after BofA conducted what it calls a “deep dive” on Hasbro’s “Magic: The Gathering” trading card game business. BofA said Hasbro has been overprinting cards and destroying the long-term value of the business.</p><p>Oatly(OTLY) – The maker of oat-based drinks saw its stock tumble 11.8% in the premarket after it reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that fell short of consensus. Oatly said its results were hurt by a number of factors including China Covid restrictions, production challenges and a stronger US dollar.</p><p>Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) – The chip maker’s stock rose 3.2% in the premarket after receiving upgrades at both Baird and UBS. The firms cited positive industry cyclical trends as well as strong demand by data center equipment manufacturers for AMD’s Genoa chip.</p><p>Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon fell 1.7% in premarket trading after Bank of America removed the stock from its “US 1” list, although it maintained a “buy” rating.</p><p>Teva Pharmaceutical(TEVA) – Teva was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at J.P. Morgan Securities, which cited continuing growth challenges for the drugmaker. Teva fell 2.3% in premarket action.</p><p>Eli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB) – Rival Roche’s experimental Alzheimer’s treatment did not meet its primary goal in studies. Both Lilly and Biogen also have Alzheimer’s drugs in their pipelines, and Biogen had said in September that its experimental treatment had slowed the progress of the disease by 27%. Lilly added 1.5% in premarket trading, while Biogen rallied 5.8%.</p><p>Tyson Foods(TSN) – The beef and poultry producer reported quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, missing consensus estimates by 10 cents a share. Revenue came in above Street forecasts. Tyson added 1% in premarket action.</p><p>Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – In a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Virgin said a court is giving plaintiffs until Nov. 28 to file an amended class action suit against the company. The original suit filed in May 2021 alleged current and former officers and directors made misleading statements about Virgin’s commercial space flight program, charges which Virgin says are without merit. Virgin shares lost 1% in the premarket.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>Jeff Bezos Says He Will Give Most of His Money to Charity</b></p><p>Amazon founder Jeff Bezos plans to give away the majority of his $124 billion net worth during his lifetime, telling CNN in an exclusive interview he will devote the bulk of his wealth to fighting climate change and supporting people who can unify humanity in the face of deep social and political divisions.</p><p>Though Bezos’ vow was light on specifics, this marks the first time he has announced that he plans to give away most of his money. Critics have chided Bezos for not signing theGiving Pledge, a promise by hundreds of the world’s richest people to donate the majority of their wealth to charitable causes.</p><p><b>Elon Musk Says &#34;I Have Too Much Work on My Plate&#34;</b></p><p>Billionaire Elon Musk said on Monday he was working &#34;at the absolute most amount...from morning til night, seven days a week&#34; when asked about his recent acquisition of Twitter and his leadership of automaker Tesla Inc(TSLA.O).</p><p>&#34;I have too much work on my plate that is for sure,&#34; Musk said by videolink to a business conference on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali.</p><p><b>OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Outlook as It Starts to Curb Production</b></p><p>OPEC reduced its forecasts for global oil demand again as the group implements production cutbacks aimed at keeping markets in balance.</p><p>Due to a weaker economic backdrop and China’s strict anti-Covid measures, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries lowered estimates for the amount of crude it will need to pump this quarter by 520,000 barrels a day, following a similar-sized downgrade a month ago.</p><p><b>Binance CEO Tweets Regret at Not Shorting FTX Token</b></p><p>The chief executive of Binance said he regretted not betting against the token tied to the failed FTX cryptocurrency exchange.</p><p>Changpeng Zhao, the co-founder and CEO of Binance who is known by initials CZ, tweeted the regret in response to a satirical tweet about there being a sequel to the movie, The Big Short.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Futures Decline on Cautious Fed Tone on Inflation; Oatly Tumble 11.8%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Futures Decline on Cautious Fed Tone on Inflation; Oatly Tumble 11.8%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 21:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Monday as hawkish comments from a U.S. Federal Reserve official tempered hopes of a less aggressive pace of monetary policy tightening.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 7:45 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 62 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 11.5 points, or 0.29%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 54 points, or 0.46%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba4f8d4ed0bf714056fa40cb239afb6b\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"202\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p>Hasbro(HAS) – The toy maker’s stock slid 5.2% in the premarket following a double-downgrade to “underperform” from “buy” at Bank of America. The move comes after BofA conducted what it calls a “deep dive” on Hasbro’s “Magic: The Gathering” trading card game business. BofA said Hasbro has been overprinting cards and destroying the long-term value of the business.</p><p>Oatly(OTLY) – The maker of oat-based drinks saw its stock tumble 11.8% in the premarket after it reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that fell short of consensus. Oatly said its results were hurt by a number of factors including China Covid restrictions, production challenges and a stronger US dollar.</p><p>Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) – The chip maker’s stock rose 3.2% in the premarket after receiving upgrades at both Baird and UBS. The firms cited positive industry cyclical trends as well as strong demand by data center equipment manufacturers for AMD’s Genoa chip.</p><p>Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon fell 1.7% in premarket trading after Bank of America removed the stock from its “US 1” list, although it maintained a “buy” rating.</p><p>Teva Pharmaceutical(TEVA) – Teva was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at J.P. Morgan Securities, which cited continuing growth challenges for the drugmaker. Teva fell 2.3% in premarket action.</p><p>Eli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB) – Rival Roche’s experimental Alzheimer’s treatment did not meet its primary goal in studies. Both Lilly and Biogen also have Alzheimer’s drugs in their pipelines, and Biogen had said in September that its experimental treatment had slowed the progress of the disease by 27%. Lilly added 1.5% in premarket trading, while Biogen rallied 5.8%.</p><p>Tyson Foods(TSN) – The beef and poultry producer reported quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, missing consensus estimates by 10 cents a share. Revenue came in above Street forecasts. Tyson added 1% in premarket action.</p><p>Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – In a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Virgin said a court is giving plaintiffs until Nov. 28 to file an amended class action suit against the company. The original suit filed in May 2021 alleged current and former officers and directors made misleading statements about Virgin’s commercial space flight program, charges which Virgin says are without merit. Virgin shares lost 1% in the premarket.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>Jeff Bezos Says He Will Give Most of His Money to Charity</b></p><p>Amazon founder Jeff Bezos plans to give away the majority of his $124 billion net worth during his lifetime, telling CNN in an exclusive interview he will devote the bulk of his wealth to fighting climate change and supporting people who can unify humanity in the face of deep social and political divisions.</p><p>Though Bezos’ vow was light on specifics, this marks the first time he has announced that he plans to give away most of his money. Critics have chided Bezos for not signing theGiving Pledge, a promise by hundreds of the world’s richest people to donate the majority of their wealth to charitable causes.</p><p><b>Elon Musk Says &#34;I Have Too Much Work on My Plate&#34;</b></p><p>Billionaire Elon Musk said on Monday he was working &#34;at the absolute most amount...from morning til night, seven days a week&#34; when asked about his recent acquisition of Twitter and his leadership of automaker Tesla Inc(TSLA.O).</p><p>&#34;I have too much work on my plate that is for sure,&#34; Musk said by videolink to a business conference on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali.</p><p><b>OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Outlook as It Starts to Curb Production</b></p><p>OPEC reduced its forecasts for global oil demand again as the group implements production cutbacks aimed at keeping markets in balance.</p><p>Due to a weaker economic backdrop and China’s strict anti-Covid measures, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries lowered estimates for the amount of crude it will need to pump this quarter by 520,000 barrels a day, following a similar-sized downgrade a month ago.</p><p><b>Binance CEO Tweets Regret at Not Shorting FTX Token</b></p><p>The chief executive of Binance said he regretted not betting against the token tied to the failed FTX cryptocurrency exchange.</p><p>Changpeng Zhao, the co-founder and CEO of Binance who is known by initials CZ, tweeted the regret in response to a satirical tweet about there being a sequel to the movie, The Big Short.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165111854","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Monday as hawkish comments from a U.S. Federal Reserve official tempered hopes of a less aggressive pace of monetary policy tightening.Market SnapshotAt 7:45 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 62 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 11.5 points, or 0.29%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 54 points, or 0.46%.Pre-Market MoversHasbro(HAS) – The toy maker’s stock slid 5.2% in the premarket following a double-downgrade to “underperform” from “buy” at Bank of America. The move comes after BofA conducted what it calls a “deep dive” on Hasbro’s “Magic: The Gathering” trading card game business. BofA said Hasbro has been overprinting cards and destroying the long-term value of the business.Oatly(OTLY) – The maker of oat-based drinks saw its stock tumble 11.8% in the premarket after it reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that fell short of consensus. Oatly said its results were hurt by a number of factors including China Covid restrictions, production challenges and a stronger US dollar.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) – The chip maker’s stock rose 3.2% in the premarket after receiving upgrades at both Baird and UBS. The firms cited positive industry cyclical trends as well as strong demand by data center equipment manufacturers for AMD’s Genoa chip.Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon fell 1.7% in premarket trading after Bank of America removed the stock from its “US 1” list, although it maintained a “buy” rating.Teva Pharmaceutical(TEVA) – Teva was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at J.P. Morgan Securities, which cited continuing growth challenges for the drugmaker. Teva fell 2.3% in premarket action.Eli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB) – Rival Roche’s experimental Alzheimer’s treatment did not meet its primary goal in studies. Both Lilly and Biogen also have Alzheimer’s drugs in their pipelines, and Biogen had said in September that its experimental treatment had slowed the progress of the disease by 27%. Lilly added 1.5% in premarket trading, while Biogen rallied 5.8%.Tyson Foods(TSN) – The beef and poultry producer reported quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, missing consensus estimates by 10 cents a share. Revenue came in above Street forecasts. Tyson added 1% in premarket action.Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – In a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Virgin said a court is giving plaintiffs until Nov. 28 to file an amended class action suit against the company. The original suit filed in May 2021 alleged current and former officers and directors made misleading statements about Virgin’s commercial space flight program, charges which Virgin says are without merit. Virgin shares lost 1% in the premarket.Market NewsJeff Bezos Says He Will Give Most of His Money to CharityAmazon founder Jeff Bezos plans to give away the majority of his $124 billion net worth during his lifetime, telling CNN in an exclusive interview he will devote the bulk of his wealth to fighting climate change and supporting people who can unify humanity in the face of deep social and political divisions.Though Bezos’ vow was light on specifics, this marks the first time he has announced that he plans to give away most of his money. Critics have chided Bezos for not signing theGiving Pledge, a promise by hundreds of the world’s richest people to donate the majority of their wealth to charitable causes.Elon Musk Says \"I Have Too Much Work on My Plate\"Billionaire Elon Musk said on Monday he was working \"at the absolute most amount...from morning til night, seven days a week\" when asked about his recent acquisition of Twitter and his leadership of automaker Tesla Inc(TSLA.O).\"I have too much work on my plate that is for sure,\" Musk said by videolink to a business conference on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali.OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Outlook as It Starts to Curb ProductionOPEC reduced its forecasts for global oil demand again as the group implements production cutbacks aimed at keeping markets in balance.Due to a weaker economic backdrop and China’s strict anti-Covid measures, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries lowered estimates for the amount of crude it will need to pump this quarter by 520,000 barrels a day, following a similar-sized downgrade a month ago.Binance CEO Tweets Regret at Not Shorting FTX TokenThe chief executive of Binance said he regretted not betting against the token tied to the failed FTX cryptocurrency exchange.Changpeng Zhao, the co-founder and CEO of Binance who is known by initials CZ, tweeted the regret in response to a satirical tweet about there being a sequel to the movie, The Big Short.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988554395,"gmtCreate":1666795073118,"gmtModify":1676537807632,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"agree","listText":"agree","text":"agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988554395","repostId":"2278672309","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2278672309","pubTimestamp":1666778473,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2278672309?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-26 18:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Has An Elon Musk Problem","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278672309","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla's growth is astonishing and it continued to hold significant market share in the United States and around the world in the all-electric vehicle industry.But with their currently-high valu","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Tesla&#39;s growth is astonishing and it continued to hold significant market share in the United States and around the world in the all-electric vehicle industry.</li><li>But with their currently-high valuation relative to peers directly tied, I believe, to Elon Musk&#39;s involvement with the company - recent events may change that.</li><li>As a result, I evaluate the company&#39;s current fair value and believe it is lower enough to avoid the company altogether until it reaches more realistic levels.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/036a30b7377f20abe9dceec9a63d51f5\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan</span></p><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is an interesting growth story and one for the ages. After staring bankruptcy straight in the eyes several times, according to CEO Elon Musk, they ended up as one of the biggest success stories in earlymarket penetration and scaling up capacity around the globe in record time.</p><p>Just like other once-startups in an emerging new industry, however, there are always issues with how to value a company like Tesla. And going one step forward - what influence does the presence of a revolutionary mind like that of Elon Musk have on the stocks share price and subsequent valuation.</p><p>While the company is the only current all-electric vehicle manufacturer with the capacity to meet the demand around the globe, I still believe that there is significant premium to the company&#39;s valuation due to its association with Mr. Musk and that if you take him out of the equation - while the company will still do remarkably well and continue to grow, their valuation may be excessive.</p><p>Let&#39;s dissect what I mean by excessive and the implications of such.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s Advantage Is Clear</h2><p>While the company is facing increasing competitive pressures from nearly all automobile manufacturers around the globe, they still remain the only company which currently has the capacity to manufacture and deliver hundreds of thousands of all-electric vehicles. While there are some exceptions to this with Chinese-based companies, I&#39;ll discuss that later.</p><p>This means that when a company like Hertz (HTZ) wants to cut their maintenance and fuel consumption surcharges and puts in an order for 100,000 all-electric cars - they really only have one option if they want them delivered within a year or two. And that&#39;s exactly what they did.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/607f7a5839ed63281b20fe46d8365acd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>US EV Sales - 2022 YTD (Electrek US EV Sales Tracker)</span></p><p>Even while other companies like Ford (F), General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor (TM) have ramped up production of their all-electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, they still remain well behind in their capacity for delivery.</p><p>Furthermore, even though most other companies are catching up on this as time goes by, Tesla still has built-in technological advantages like automated driving capabilities, vehicle control technologies, supercharging stations and others. These aren&#39;t only just for tech geeks who want to make an investment in the company&#39;s current lead in the race for autonomous driving, the vehicle mileage and performance is on the top of consumers&#39; minds as they think of which all-electric vehicle they want to purchase.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s Growth Is Astonishing</h2><p>It&#39;s not just that the company has an advantage in their ability to deliver more than their competitors - it&#39;s that they&#39;re actually increasing deliveries almost every quarter, on average, and they&#39;re expected to maintain this growth for quite some time.</p><p>They&#39;re doing this by opening manufacturing plants outside of the United States in fast growing markets in the Asia-Pacific region and the European Union and the United Kingdom. While the full capacity of their Shanghai and Germany plants were slightly hindered by the COVID-19 pandemic closures, they&#39;re on tap to make record deliveries once more this year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdab1ca78acffae7370633d386137363\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Vehicle Sales by Quarter (Statista - Sales Visualization)</span></p><p>As we can see, the company has made nearly as many deliveries of their new all-electric vehicles, mostly the Model 3 and Model Y, in the first 3 quarters of this year as they did in the entirety of last year and are set to deliver well over one million vehicles in 2022.</p><p>While they&#39;re growing these figures with new plants, other companies are struggling to increase capacity and convert existing manufacturing facilities in the United States to manufacture their own versions of all-electric vehicles.</p><p>That&#39;s why I believe Tesla&#39;s growth story is far from over, and we can see that in the company&#39;s current projections for the coming years.</p><h2>Future Growth Is Strong, But...</h2><p>While the company is projected to deliver almost 2 million vehicles in 2023, there are some negative factors which stand in the way of future growth for the company, even if they seem to be minor in the grand scheme of things.</p><p>Firstly, there&#39;s increased competition. While this may not mean much for Tesla in the near term, it certainly will mean a lot in the longer term. There are hundreds of new all-electric and plug-in hybrid models hitting the streets (pun intended) in the coming years and while that may not do much for a few years, it&#39;s bound to cut into their market share.</p><p>In fact, that&#39;s already been happening. While their cars are not sold in the United States or in major markets (in significant numbers, in any case) outside of the People&#39;s Republic of China, BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) has seen their market share double in the global all-electric vehicle sales and now stand at 11% while Tesla has decreased to about 19% in the latest report of YTD figures in 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec9fdb84e4e48b98991d0625bdc2217a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"233\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>H1 2022 EV Sales by Company (InsideEVs EV Sales)</span></p><p>Even with these global sales and market share figures, the company is still projected to do very well, as you can see by the company&#39;s current projections for sales and earnings.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7244826e2217edac067e967d0999422f\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla Sales Growth Projections (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>But there&#39;s still this issue.</p><h2>The Elon Musk Problem</h2><p>I know, I know, I bore you with details about the company before getting to the issue at hand. But context here is very important.</p><p>The company does have things it can do, which don&#39;t require some magical solution by the contrarian-thinking Elon Musk - things like lowering their prices to outmaneuver other companies introducing high-end (ish) all-electric vehicles and things of that nature. But there&#39;s still an issue.</p><p>The issue is Elon Musk. While most of the world was struggling with updating the technology in regular automobiles, he was 10 steps ahead with battery technology advancements, technological advancements, EV range increases, charging station expansions and many other things.</p><p>This forward-thinking vision is exactly what made Tesla the hype (rightfully so, not in a bad way) which it is today and I don&#39;t believe the company will be where it is today without him. But for how long is he going to stay?</p><h3>Twitter Is Hardly The Only Issue</h3><p>As we&#39;ve seen with Jack Dorsey when he operated both Square (SQ) and Twitter (TWTR), it&#39;s nearly impossible to run multiple companies at once and do a great job at all of them, even if you&#39;re Elon Musk.</p><p>While Mr. Musk runs Tesla&#39;s as its chief-product-officer, as he dubs himself, he also runs SpaceX (SPACE), The Boring Company, SolarCity (part of Tesla) and other AI (artificial intelligence) companies and he now picked up Twitter.</p><p>While he did sell a significant portion of his Tesla stock to do so, diluting his ownership, it&#39;s the hands-off approach I think is coming to Tesla which can hurt valuation. Not only is there a board which can hold this work ethic accountable for the time spent elsewhere, it&#39;s about where he spends most of his time.</p><p>During the company&#39;s near-bankruptcy times a few years back, Elon Musk notoriously slept on the factory floor to make sure production headwinds were dealt with and it was undoubtedly one of the reasons employees, officers and other mangers managed to get the job done and get vehicles out for delivery.</p><p>Can Elon Must continue to do that now?</p><h3>Eventually He Has To Make A Choice</h3><p>Right now, I believe that Tesla is no longer a priority for Mr. Musk, and that the following companies will take precedent:</p><p>1 -<b>Twitter</b>: With Elon Musk&#39;s personal crusade and fortune tied into this acquisition, it&#39;s hardly a stretch to think that he&#39;ll need to spend a lot of time building the company into something which can potentially be profitable. Since 2021, a lot of the folks who he presumably wants to bring back to Twitter (I won&#39;t mention names since I don&#39;t want the article to turn political, but unless you&#39;ve been living in a cave for the past 3 years - you know who I mean) have found other platforms and have since gravitated away.</p><p>Especially since he plans to fire 75% of the company&#39;s employees, he&#39;ll need to have a hands-on approach if he wants to steer this mega tech company to a place where it can generate meaningful growth or profits in the years to come.</p><p>2 -<b>SpaceX</b>: With the world of space exploration just beginning, and the company&#39;s recent advancements in rocket technologies, the company has been experiencing increased demand and this too requires a hands on approach to work with the engineers to solve the seemingly endless headwinds they face trying to colonize other planets, set up the Starlink network and more.</p><p>This means, I believe, that outside of the near full-time job of running Twitter, that Mr. Musk will be spending a near full-time job equivalent of time at SpaceX in order to make these futuristic technologies and products work.</p><p>3 -<b>The Boring Company &amp; Neuralink</b>: While these companies have not been as high profile as Mr. Musk&#39;s other ones, recent news that the company is battling deadlines and postponing show-and-tell events further eludes or confirms that the companies are facing some difficulties taking off.</p><p>Since Mr. Musk has been actively taking part in these companies and their issues, it&#39;s apparent to me that he&#39;s going to continue to spend time with these companies, which will further take time away from Tesla.</p><h2>So What&#39;s The Problem Exactly?</h2><p>The problem is the company&#39;s valuation.</p><p>As we&#39;ve seen with sales, growth is projected to slow over the next decade since competitive pressures are mounting and that&#39;s true for net income as well, especially if the company will need to lower prices in order to compete.</p><h3>Earnings Per Share Multiples - Comparison</h3><p>Tesla is currently trading at 30x to 50x forward earnings per share projections while they&#39;re expected to report slowing growth and a decline by 2027 due to certain estimates that tax credits end and various other factors coming in.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0433a7fa8724b7ec3a9274292ecd618d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>EPS Projections &amp; FWD P/E Ratio (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>While these may not seem excessive, companies like Ford with a projected 25% increase in EPS this year are trading at around 7x forward earnings. Toyota Motors with a longer term EPS growth projection of 5-6% are trading at around 9x forward earnings.</p><h3>Sales Multiples - Comparison</h3><p>If we want to look at sales as an indication, things get even more interesting. Comparing Tesla&#39;s sales growth to that of BYD&#39;s, the company&#39;s closest competitor by unit sales volume, there&#39;s a stark difference in valuation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3fb74c2c9e703771131b2ac31a12050\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"111\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BYD Sales Growth / Multiples (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb5de69f4748bc2763641db7f4589d7a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>TSLA Sales Growth / Multiples (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The difference here is quite astonishing. With nearly identical growth, Tesla is trading at 4.5x to 8x sales multiples while BYD is trading at 0.7x to 1.3x.</p><p>This is due in part to the enthusiasm and trust around Elon Musk&#39;s ability to solve issues and come up with product improvements, as his title so suggests. Without him at the helm, I have no doubt that the company can succeed, but can they do so at a valuation 3-4 times as high as other companies with somewhat similar growth projection? I&#39;m just not sure.</p><h2>Conclusion, If There Is One</h2><p>Is Tesla a good company which currently has a near monopoly on US all-electric vehicle sales with ramping up production in the Asia-Pacific and European Union and United Kingdom regions? Absolutely yes.</p><p>Will they continue to grow their long-term sales at low to mid double digits over the next decade? Most likely.</p><p>But with increasing competitive pressures from existing companies, near-certain Model 3 and Model Y pricing cuts and a sluggish sales prospect in China due to increasing competitive pressures from geopolitical forces, the company is going to need the ingenuity of the person who made them what they are today.</p><p>As Mr. Musk continued to take on more and more impossible projects, I don&#39;t believe that dedication is sustainable for Tesla and I believe that the company will see him having a more and more hands-off approach as he focused on the other monumental tasks ahead with Twitter, SpaceX, The Boring Company and Neuralink.</p><p>This doesn&#39;t mean that the company&#39;s growth is in question - but it does mean that if we treat Tesla as a generic company growing at the pace they are, they may be valued quite significantly lower than they are right now. This also means that, historically, during period where the market underperforms, like during recessions or market slowdowns, these types of companies tend to underperform the broader market.</p><p>While the company&#39;s growth is not in question, their valuation is. And as a result, I believe that their fair value lies lower than their current valuation. So while I do believe in their future, I&#39;m avoiding the stock altogether.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Pinxter Analytics</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Has An Elon Musk Problem</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Has An Elon Musk Problem\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-26 18:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4549186-tesla-has-an-elon-musk-problem><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla's growth is astonishing and it continued to hold significant market share in the United States and around the world in the all-electric vehicle industry.But with their currently-high ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4549186-tesla-has-an-elon-musk-problem\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4549186-tesla-has-an-elon-musk-problem","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278672309","content_text":"SummaryTesla's growth is astonishing and it continued to hold significant market share in the United States and around the world in the all-electric vehicle industry.But with their currently-high valuation relative to peers directly tied, I believe, to Elon Musk's involvement with the company - recent events may change that.As a result, I evaluate the company's current fair value and believe it is lower enough to avoid the company altogether until it reaches more realistic levels.Justin SullivanTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is an interesting growth story and one for the ages. After staring bankruptcy straight in the eyes several times, according to CEO Elon Musk, they ended up as one of the biggest success stories in earlymarket penetration and scaling up capacity around the globe in record time.Just like other once-startups in an emerging new industry, however, there are always issues with how to value a company like Tesla. And going one step forward - what influence does the presence of a revolutionary mind like that of Elon Musk have on the stocks share price and subsequent valuation.While the company is the only current all-electric vehicle manufacturer with the capacity to meet the demand around the globe, I still believe that there is significant premium to the company's valuation due to its association with Mr. Musk and that if you take him out of the equation - while the company will still do remarkably well and continue to grow, their valuation may be excessive.Let's dissect what I mean by excessive and the implications of such.Tesla's Advantage Is ClearWhile the company is facing increasing competitive pressures from nearly all automobile manufacturers around the globe, they still remain the only company which currently has the capacity to manufacture and deliver hundreds of thousands of all-electric vehicles. While there are some exceptions to this with Chinese-based companies, I'll discuss that later.This means that when a company like Hertz (HTZ) wants to cut their maintenance and fuel consumption surcharges and puts in an order for 100,000 all-electric cars - they really only have one option if they want them delivered within a year or two. And that's exactly what they did.US EV Sales - 2022 YTD (Electrek US EV Sales Tracker)Even while other companies like Ford (F), General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor (TM) have ramped up production of their all-electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, they still remain well behind in their capacity for delivery.Furthermore, even though most other companies are catching up on this as time goes by, Tesla still has built-in technological advantages like automated driving capabilities, vehicle control technologies, supercharging stations and others. These aren't only just for tech geeks who want to make an investment in the company's current lead in the race for autonomous driving, the vehicle mileage and performance is on the top of consumers' minds as they think of which all-electric vehicle they want to purchase.Tesla's Growth Is AstonishingIt's not just that the company has an advantage in their ability to deliver more than their competitors - it's that they're actually increasing deliveries almost every quarter, on average, and they're expected to maintain this growth for quite some time.They're doing this by opening manufacturing plants outside of the United States in fast growing markets in the Asia-Pacific region and the European Union and the United Kingdom. While the full capacity of their Shanghai and Germany plants were slightly hindered by the COVID-19 pandemic closures, they're on tap to make record deliveries once more this year.Tesla Vehicle Sales by Quarter (Statista - Sales Visualization)As we can see, the company has made nearly as many deliveries of their new all-electric vehicles, mostly the Model 3 and Model Y, in the first 3 quarters of this year as they did in the entirety of last year and are set to deliver well over one million vehicles in 2022.While they're growing these figures with new plants, other companies are struggling to increase capacity and convert existing manufacturing facilities in the United States to manufacture their own versions of all-electric vehicles.That's why I believe Tesla's growth story is far from over, and we can see that in the company's current projections for the coming years.Future Growth Is Strong, But...While the company is projected to deliver almost 2 million vehicles in 2023, there are some negative factors which stand in the way of future growth for the company, even if they seem to be minor in the grand scheme of things.Firstly, there's increased competition. While this may not mean much for Tesla in the near term, it certainly will mean a lot in the longer term. There are hundreds of new all-electric and plug-in hybrid models hitting the streets (pun intended) in the coming years and while that may not do much for a few years, it's bound to cut into their market share.In fact, that's already been happening. While their cars are not sold in the United States or in major markets (in significant numbers, in any case) outside of the People's Republic of China, BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) has seen their market share double in the global all-electric vehicle sales and now stand at 11% while Tesla has decreased to about 19% in the latest report of YTD figures in 2022.H1 2022 EV Sales by Company (InsideEVs EV Sales)Even with these global sales and market share figures, the company is still projected to do very well, as you can see by the company's current projections for sales and earnings.Tesla Sales Growth Projections (Seeking Alpha)But there's still this issue.The Elon Musk ProblemI know, I know, I bore you with details about the company before getting to the issue at hand. But context here is very important.The company does have things it can do, which don't require some magical solution by the contrarian-thinking Elon Musk - things like lowering their prices to outmaneuver other companies introducing high-end (ish) all-electric vehicles and things of that nature. But there's still an issue.The issue is Elon Musk. While most of the world was struggling with updating the technology in regular automobiles, he was 10 steps ahead with battery technology advancements, technological advancements, EV range increases, charging station expansions and many other things.This forward-thinking vision is exactly what made Tesla the hype (rightfully so, not in a bad way) which it is today and I don't believe the company will be where it is today without him. But for how long is he going to stay?Twitter Is Hardly The Only IssueAs we've seen with Jack Dorsey when he operated both Square (SQ) and Twitter (TWTR), it's nearly impossible to run multiple companies at once and do a great job at all of them, even if you're Elon Musk.While Mr. Musk runs Tesla's as its chief-product-officer, as he dubs himself, he also runs SpaceX (SPACE), The Boring Company, SolarCity (part of Tesla) and other AI (artificial intelligence) companies and he now picked up Twitter.While he did sell a significant portion of his Tesla stock to do so, diluting his ownership, it's the hands-off approach I think is coming to Tesla which can hurt valuation. Not only is there a board which can hold this work ethic accountable for the time spent elsewhere, it's about where he spends most of his time.During the company's near-bankruptcy times a few years back, Elon Musk notoriously slept on the factory floor to make sure production headwinds were dealt with and it was undoubtedly one of the reasons employees, officers and other mangers managed to get the job done and get vehicles out for delivery.Can Elon Must continue to do that now?Eventually He Has To Make A ChoiceRight now, I believe that Tesla is no longer a priority for Mr. Musk, and that the following companies will take precedent:1 -Twitter: With Elon Musk's personal crusade and fortune tied into this acquisition, it's hardly a stretch to think that he'll need to spend a lot of time building the company into something which can potentially be profitable. Since 2021, a lot of the folks who he presumably wants to bring back to Twitter (I won't mention names since I don't want the article to turn political, but unless you've been living in a cave for the past 3 years - you know who I mean) have found other platforms and have since gravitated away.Especially since he plans to fire 75% of the company's employees, he'll need to have a hands-on approach if he wants to steer this mega tech company to a place where it can generate meaningful growth or profits in the years to come.2 -SpaceX: With the world of space exploration just beginning, and the company's recent advancements in rocket technologies, the company has been experiencing increased demand and this too requires a hands on approach to work with the engineers to solve the seemingly endless headwinds they face trying to colonize other planets, set up the Starlink network and more.This means, I believe, that outside of the near full-time job of running Twitter, that Mr. Musk will be spending a near full-time job equivalent of time at SpaceX in order to make these futuristic technologies and products work.3 -The Boring Company & Neuralink: While these companies have not been as high profile as Mr. Musk's other ones, recent news that the company is battling deadlines and postponing show-and-tell events further eludes or confirms that the companies are facing some difficulties taking off.Since Mr. Musk has been actively taking part in these companies and their issues, it's apparent to me that he's going to continue to spend time with these companies, which will further take time away from Tesla.So What's The Problem Exactly?The problem is the company's valuation.As we've seen with sales, growth is projected to slow over the next decade since competitive pressures are mounting and that's true for net income as well, especially if the company will need to lower prices in order to compete.Earnings Per Share Multiples - ComparisonTesla is currently trading at 30x to 50x forward earnings per share projections while they're expected to report slowing growth and a decline by 2027 due to certain estimates that tax credits end and various other factors coming in.EPS Projections & FWD P/E Ratio (Seeking Alpha)While these may not seem excessive, companies like Ford with a projected 25% increase in EPS this year are trading at around 7x forward earnings. Toyota Motors with a longer term EPS growth projection of 5-6% are trading at around 9x forward earnings.Sales Multiples - ComparisonIf we want to look at sales as an indication, things get even more interesting. Comparing Tesla's sales growth to that of BYD's, the company's closest competitor by unit sales volume, there's a stark difference in valuation.BYD Sales Growth / Multiples (Seeking Alpha)TSLA Sales Growth / Multiples (Seeking Alpha)The difference here is quite astonishing. With nearly identical growth, Tesla is trading at 4.5x to 8x sales multiples while BYD is trading at 0.7x to 1.3x.This is due in part to the enthusiasm and trust around Elon Musk's ability to solve issues and come up with product improvements, as his title so suggests. Without him at the helm, I have no doubt that the company can succeed, but can they do so at a valuation 3-4 times as high as other companies with somewhat similar growth projection? I'm just not sure.Conclusion, If There Is OneIs Tesla a good company which currently has a near monopoly on US all-electric vehicle sales with ramping up production in the Asia-Pacific and European Union and United Kingdom regions? Absolutely yes.Will they continue to grow their long-term sales at low to mid double digits over the next decade? Most likely.But with increasing competitive pressures from existing companies, near-certain Model 3 and Model Y pricing cuts and a sluggish sales prospect in China due to increasing competitive pressures from geopolitical forces, the company is going to need the ingenuity of the person who made them what they are today.As Mr. Musk continued to take on more and more impossible projects, I don't believe that dedication is sustainable for Tesla and I believe that the company will see him having a more and more hands-off approach as he focused on the other monumental tasks ahead with Twitter, SpaceX, The Boring Company and Neuralink.This doesn't mean that the company's growth is in question - but it does mean that if we treat Tesla as a generic company growing at the pace they are, they may be valued quite significantly lower than they are right now. This also means that, historically, during period where the market underperforms, like during recessions or market slowdowns, these types of companies tend to underperform the broader market.While the company's growth is not in question, their valuation is. And as a result, I believe that their fair value lies lower than their current valuation. So while I do believe in their future, I'm avoiding the stock altogether.This article is written by Pinxter Analytics for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963486626,"gmtCreate":1668736599465,"gmtModify":1676538105030,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963486626","repostId":"1128815375","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128815375","pubTimestamp":1668727967,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128815375?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-18 07:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Record Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion \"OpEx“","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128815375","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The 4,000 level for S&P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bearsCboe put-call ratio for single stocks r","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>The 4,000 level for S&amp;P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bears</li><li>Cboe put-call ratio for single stocks reaches a 25-year high</li></ul><p>Nowhere better illustrates Wall Street’s febrile sentiment than the stock-derivatives market, where trading volumes are breaking records heading into Friday’s $2.1 trillion options expiration.</p><p>The monthly event, known as OpEx, has a reputation for stoking volatility as traders and dealers rebalance their big exposures en masse. Now, with demand for both bullish and bearish index contracts booming while hedging in single stocks explodes in popularity, OpEx comes at a precarious time.</p><p>Twice this week, the S&amp;P 500 has briefly surpassed 4,000 -- a battleground threshold for traders that has garnering the highest open interest among contracts set to roll out on Friday. The benchmark gauge has fallen in three of the past four sessions, after jumping more than 5% last Thursday on promising inflation data that sparked a wave of short covering and call buying. The index fell 0.3% to close at 3,947 Thursday.</p><p>Amateurs and professionals have been flocking to short-dated contracts to cope with the market whiplash of late, an activity that has exerted outsize impact on the underlying equities. That suggests Friday’s options runoff may expose stocks to further price swings.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/160542b850a7090e1ce7b0b8f9fae3bc\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Not everyone buys into the idea that derivatives wield this kind of power. But to some market watchers, it’s no coincidence that the OpEx week has seen stocks falling in eight out of the last 10 months.</p><p>“Option prices and tails have dropped sharply and present a good opportunity” to add protective hedges, said RBC Capital Markets’ strategist Amy Wu Silverman, citing the possibility that entrenched inflation renews pressure on equities.</p><p>Federal Reserve-induced market gyrations are encouraging investors to go all-in on options to place bullish and bearish bets alike. About 46 million options contracts have changed hands each day in November, poised for the busiest month on record, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s up 12% from last month.</p><p>The boom was in part driven by derivatives maturing within 24 hours. Such contracts made up a whopping 44% of S&amp;P 500 options trading in the past month, according to an estimate by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists including Rocky Fishman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379b3b566ab08485d9233abd788c18fc\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>At the same time hedging activity in single stocks just exploded. The Cboe equity put-call ratio on Wednesday soared to the highest level since 1997. From earnings blowups at tech giants to the uncertain path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, volatility has been the only certainty in the market.</p><p>Still, nothing is ever simple in this corner of Wall Street given mixed signals on investor positioning to glean sentiment. For example, judging by the S&amp;P 500’s skew -- the relative cost of puts versus calls that has hovered near multiyear lows -- traders appear more sanguine.</p><p>And thanks to the short shelf-life of options that are currently in demand, open interest in S&amp;P 500 contracts has increased at a much slower pace, rising only 4% from the day before the last OpEx. Though with 20 million contracts outstanding, the open interest was the highest since March 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f29c76793e533f55cc96511de2aa922\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“We did see a lot of recent interest by call buyers and short-covering,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers LLC. “One can argue that leaves us a bit more exposed to a down move, but the mood generally remains hopeful. That’s why Fed governors feel the need to continually remind us of their resolve to fight inflation.”</p><p>While it’s not easy to get a clear picture about investor positioning in options, dislocations create opportunities for traders.</p><p>Easing interest rate volatility will help the equity market stay contained, according to Goldman’s Fishman. He recommends buying puts on Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, to bet on potential calm into the yearend. The Cboe VVIX Index, a measure of the cost of VIX options, sat below its 20th percentile of a range in the last decade, an indication of attractive pricing, per Fishman.</p><p>“Low skew and vol-of-vol point to diminished concern about tail risk,” he wrote in a note.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Record Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion \"OpEx“</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecord Options Trading Shows Jitters Before $2 Trillion \"OpEx“\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 07:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/record-options-trading-shows-jitters-before-2-trillion-opex?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The 4,000 level for S&P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bearsCboe put-call ratio for single stocks reaches a 25-year highNowhere better illustrates Wall Street’s febrile sentiment than the stock-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/record-options-trading-shows-jitters-before-2-trillion-opex?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/record-options-trading-shows-jitters-before-2-trillion-opex?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128815375","content_text":"The 4,000 level for S&P 500 is a battlefield for bulls, bearsCboe put-call ratio for single stocks reaches a 25-year highNowhere better illustrates Wall Street’s febrile sentiment than the stock-derivatives market, where trading volumes are breaking records heading into Friday’s $2.1 trillion options expiration.The monthly event, known as OpEx, has a reputation for stoking volatility as traders and dealers rebalance their big exposures en masse. Now, with demand for both bullish and bearish index contracts booming while hedging in single stocks explodes in popularity, OpEx comes at a precarious time.Twice this week, the S&P 500 has briefly surpassed 4,000 -- a battleground threshold for traders that has garnering the highest open interest among contracts set to roll out on Friday. The benchmark gauge has fallen in three of the past four sessions, after jumping more than 5% last Thursday on promising inflation data that sparked a wave of short covering and call buying. The index fell 0.3% to close at 3,947 Thursday.Amateurs and professionals have been flocking to short-dated contracts to cope with the market whiplash of late, an activity that has exerted outsize impact on the underlying equities. That suggests Friday’s options runoff may expose stocks to further price swings.Not everyone buys into the idea that derivatives wield this kind of power. But to some market watchers, it’s no coincidence that the OpEx week has seen stocks falling in eight out of the last 10 months.“Option prices and tails have dropped sharply and present a good opportunity” to add protective hedges, said RBC Capital Markets’ strategist Amy Wu Silverman, citing the possibility that entrenched inflation renews pressure on equities.Federal Reserve-induced market gyrations are encouraging investors to go all-in on options to place bullish and bearish bets alike. About 46 million options contracts have changed hands each day in November, poised for the busiest month on record, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s up 12% from last month.The boom was in part driven by derivatives maturing within 24 hours. Such contracts made up a whopping 44% of S&P 500 options trading in the past month, according to an estimate by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists including Rocky Fishman.At the same time hedging activity in single stocks just exploded. The Cboe equity put-call ratio on Wednesday soared to the highest level since 1997. From earnings blowups at tech giants to the uncertain path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, volatility has been the only certainty in the market.Still, nothing is ever simple in this corner of Wall Street given mixed signals on investor positioning to glean sentiment. For example, judging by the S&P 500’s skew -- the relative cost of puts versus calls that has hovered near multiyear lows -- traders appear more sanguine.And thanks to the short shelf-life of options that are currently in demand, open interest in S&P 500 contracts has increased at a much slower pace, rising only 4% from the day before the last OpEx. Though with 20 million contracts outstanding, the open interest was the highest since March 2020.“We did see a lot of recent interest by call buyers and short-covering,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers LLC. “One can argue that leaves us a bit more exposed to a down move, but the mood generally remains hopeful. That’s why Fed governors feel the need to continually remind us of their resolve to fight inflation.”While it’s not easy to get a clear picture about investor positioning in options, dislocations create opportunities for traders.Easing interest rate volatility will help the equity market stay contained, according to Goldman’s Fishman. He recommends buying puts on Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, to bet on potential calm into the yearend. The Cboe VVIX Index, a measure of the cost of VIX options, sat below its 20th percentile of a range in the last decade, an indication of attractive pricing, per Fishman.“Low skew and vol-of-vol point to diminished concern about tail risk,” he wrote in a note.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969581021,"gmtCreate":1668474381564,"gmtModify":1676538061851,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969581021","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969936954,"gmtCreate":1668312225478,"gmtModify":1676538040312,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"agree","listText":"agree","text":"agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969936954","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF  that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday  - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&amp;P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&amp;P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&amp;P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let&#39;s first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&amp;P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&amp;P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed&#39;s monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed&#39;s tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It&#39;s true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether &#34;something will break&#34; during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&amp;P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don&#39;t count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don&#39;t expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It&#39;s a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of &#34;things breaking&#34; like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the &#34;in-between periods&#34;, so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don&#39;t think anybody expects this over the near term. Don&#39;t fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988165737,"gmtCreate":1666698653029,"gmtModify":1676537791825,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988165737","repostId":"1131328574","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131328574","pubTimestamp":1666685072,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131328574?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-25 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131328574","media":"Barron's","summary":"Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and Intel, with special guest appearances from SAP, Shopify, Spotify, Seagate, ServiceNow, and Corning. Every one of these companies reports results in a three-day span, from Tuesday to Thursday. At least 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s market value will be reporting during the stretch.</p><p>It will be the last full read on the sector’s fundamental performance before the end of the year, and the wave of reports could determine the next swing in stock prices. The tech sector continues to face fierce headwinds from the strong dollar, softening consumer spending, rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a potential recession. The market is yearning for some hint that the worst is over, but don’t hold your breath.</p><p>Paul Meeks, portfolio manager with Independent Solutions Wealth Management, has a long list of tech stocks he’d like to buy, but he’s not yet ready. He’s sitting on a pile of cash, waiting for lower lows. Meeks thinks earnings season could be grisly and is particularly worried about chip stocks, which he’s historically loved but is now shunning. Meeks sees downward revisions ahead and worries that conditions in the March and June quarters could be even worse than the last two quarters of 2022.</p><p>This past week, though, there were some glimmers of hope. Netflix shares (ticker: NFLX) spiked 13% on Wednesday after the streaming-video pioneer posted better-than-expected subscriber growth and sounded generally bullish about the coming launch of its ad-supported membership tier. One day later,IBMshares (IBM) gained 4.7% after posting revenue that was $500 million above Wall Street estimates, thanks to strong demand in all three of its primary business segments—mainframes, software, and consulting.</p><p>Neither report seemed to improve the market’s dour mood, though. And that was before Snap’s(SNAP) disappointing report late Thursday.</p><p>Here are five key questions investors will be asking in the days ahead:</p><p><b>Will the recession slow cloud computing?</b> Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) own the three largest players in the public cloud—Amazon Web Services, Azure, and Google Cloud. In the June quarter, all three showed strong growth but modest deceleration from the March quarter. The public clouds use consumption-based business models, like utilities—the more computing resources you use, the more you pay. As the economy softens, it’s not unreasonable to expect that customers with weakening business won’t need quite as much computing power as they have in the past. Consensus Wall Street estimates forecast that growth for all three cloud giants will slow further this quarter: Misses from any—or worse, all three—would not be well received.</p><p><b>How bad is the online advertising outlook?</b> In recessions, ad spending erodes—and with two-thirds of ad dollars now spent on digital channels, there are considerable risks ahead for ad-supported tech businesses, in particular Alphabet, which owns Google and YouTube, and Meta Platforms (META), parent of Facebook and Instagram. Alphabet shares are down 30% this year, while Meta is off 60%—the disparity in part reflects the view that search ads should prove more resilient than display and direct-response ads. Meanwhile, there’s increasing competition. TikTok gets most of the attention, but both Amazon and Apple (AAPL) are building substantial ad businesses, while Netflix and Walt Disney (DIS) are adding ad-supported subscription streaming tiers. Even Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are building ad businesses.</p><p><b>When will PC demand rebound?</b> Personal computer demand is crashing. Gartner reports that PC shipments fell 19.5% in the third quarter, the sharpest decline ever and the fourth straight quarterly drop. That is bad for PC companies like Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP Inc. (HPQ), but the weakness has also triggered earnings warnings from PC-centric chip makers like Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia (NVDA), and Micron Technology (MU). We’ll get fresh insights on the PC market’s future this week from Microsoft, Intel, and Apple.</p><p><b>Will the holiday shopping season be a bust?</b> Adobe projects online holiday spending will grow just 2.5%, the smallest increase ever. Amazon shares are down 31% this year, pressured by weakness in the company’s flagship online retailing arm, which has reported year-over-year declines in each of the past two quarters. Wall Street estimates call for a rebound to 9% growth in the September quarter, with 8% growth in the holiday quarter. But that might be optimistic—analysts think the company’s recent two-day sales event was a dud. Shopify’s (SHOP) results should provide additional color on the state of online shopping—and the outlook for the holidays.</p><p><b>Are enterprise IT budgets about to shrink?</b> IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said this past week that conditions remain strong in the U.S. and Asia, but he sees customers in Western Europe growing more cautious. A sharp falloff in PC sales at Dell, which has only modest exposure to the consumer market, points to budget tightening. Krishna says that technology tends to boost productivity—offsetting inflationary pressures on labor and the supply chain. Microsoft and SAP (SAP) will both provide clues on where IT spending goes from here.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 16:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊","INTC":"英特尔","MSFT":"微软","META":"Meta Platforms"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131328574","content_text":"Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and Intel, with special guest appearances from SAP, Shopify, Spotify, Seagate, ServiceNow, and Corning. Every one of these companies reports results in a three-day span, from Tuesday to Thursday. At least 25% of the S&P 500’s market value will be reporting during the stretch.It will be the last full read on the sector’s fundamental performance before the end of the year, and the wave of reports could determine the next swing in stock prices. The tech sector continues to face fierce headwinds from the strong dollar, softening consumer spending, rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a potential recession. The market is yearning for some hint that the worst is over, but don’t hold your breath.Paul Meeks, portfolio manager with Independent Solutions Wealth Management, has a long list of tech stocks he’d like to buy, but he’s not yet ready. He’s sitting on a pile of cash, waiting for lower lows. Meeks thinks earnings season could be grisly and is particularly worried about chip stocks, which he’s historically loved but is now shunning. Meeks sees downward revisions ahead and worries that conditions in the March and June quarters could be even worse than the last two quarters of 2022.This past week, though, there were some glimmers of hope. Netflix shares (ticker: NFLX) spiked 13% on Wednesday after the streaming-video pioneer posted better-than-expected subscriber growth and sounded generally bullish about the coming launch of its ad-supported membership tier. One day later,IBMshares (IBM) gained 4.7% after posting revenue that was $500 million above Wall Street estimates, thanks to strong demand in all three of its primary business segments—mainframes, software, and consulting.Neither report seemed to improve the market’s dour mood, though. And that was before Snap’s(SNAP) disappointing report late Thursday.Here are five key questions investors will be asking in the days ahead:Will the recession slow cloud computing? Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) own the three largest players in the public cloud—Amazon Web Services, Azure, and Google Cloud. In the June quarter, all three showed strong growth but modest deceleration from the March quarter. The public clouds use consumption-based business models, like utilities—the more computing resources you use, the more you pay. As the economy softens, it’s not unreasonable to expect that customers with weakening business won’t need quite as much computing power as they have in the past. Consensus Wall Street estimates forecast that growth for all three cloud giants will slow further this quarter: Misses from any—or worse, all three—would not be well received.How bad is the online advertising outlook? In recessions, ad spending erodes—and with two-thirds of ad dollars now spent on digital channels, there are considerable risks ahead for ad-supported tech businesses, in particular Alphabet, which owns Google and YouTube, and Meta Platforms (META), parent of Facebook and Instagram. Alphabet shares are down 30% this year, while Meta is off 60%—the disparity in part reflects the view that search ads should prove more resilient than display and direct-response ads. Meanwhile, there’s increasing competition. TikTok gets most of the attention, but both Amazon and Apple (AAPL) are building substantial ad businesses, while Netflix and Walt Disney (DIS) are adding ad-supported subscription streaming tiers. Even Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are building ad businesses.When will PC demand rebound? Personal computer demand is crashing. Gartner reports that PC shipments fell 19.5% in the third quarter, the sharpest decline ever and the fourth straight quarterly drop. That is bad for PC companies like Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP Inc. (HPQ), but the weakness has also triggered earnings warnings from PC-centric chip makers like Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia (NVDA), and Micron Technology (MU). We’ll get fresh insights on the PC market’s future this week from Microsoft, Intel, and Apple.Will the holiday shopping season be a bust? Adobe projects online holiday spending will grow just 2.5%, the smallest increase ever. Amazon shares are down 31% this year, pressured by weakness in the company’s flagship online retailing arm, which has reported year-over-year declines in each of the past two quarters. Wall Street estimates call for a rebound to 9% growth in the September quarter, with 8% growth in the holiday quarter. But that might be optimistic—analysts think the company’s recent two-day sales event was a dud. Shopify’s (SHOP) results should provide additional color on the state of online shopping—and the outlook for the holidays.Are enterprise IT budgets about to shrink? IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said this past week that conditions remain strong in the U.S. and Asia, but he sees customers in Western Europe growing more cautious. A sharp falloff in PC sales at Dell, which has only modest exposure to the consumer market, points to budget tightening. Krishna says that technology tends to boost productivity—offsetting inflationary pressures on labor and the supply chain. Microsoft and SAP (SAP) will both provide clues on where IT spending goes from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917054996,"gmtCreate":1665397240515,"gmtModify":1676537599097,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good analysis&nbsp;","listText":"Good analysis&nbsp;","text":"Good analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917054996","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129204631","pubTimestamp":1665415321,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129204631?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-10 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129204631","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.</li><li>However, that doesn&#39;t mean it will be the bottom.</li><li>Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.</li></ul><p>The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.</p><p>The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&amp;P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a5b3b87d56cd4bd4441ffe78d7917b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>An October New Low?</b></p><p>From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.</p><p>It&#39;s All About Rates</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn&#39;t see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe9b42330ab57d8cb7fcad9ad287b66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Since 2014, the average spread between the S&amp;P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&amp;P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716b902ff03171d3d6501fc54cd5e4ff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Another 9% Decline?</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&amp;P 500 back to a historically average fair value.</p><p>With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&amp;P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e039fb8224601f45af66fa8d842e51\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&amp;P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.</p><p>Rate Cuts?</p><p>Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446920a17ef8c631f042c4e6c66a83c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebdd77840eddc274c550c53a8b6d962\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37e7dfd2cd888c6f32ea805482bc8b2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>In this case, Friday&#39;s job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.</p><p>If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren&#39;t finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129204631","content_text":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.BloombergAn October New Low?From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.It's All About RatesThe S&P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn't see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.BloombergSince 2014, the average spread between the S&P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.BloombergAnother 9% Decline?The S&P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&P 500 back to a historically average fair value.With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.BloombergWhat will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.Rate Cuts?Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.BloombergAs the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.BloombergMeanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.BloombergIn this case, Friday's job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren't finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988259719,"gmtCreate":1666765711032,"gmtModify":1676537803075,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"agree","listText":"agree","text":"agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988259719","repostId":"1172016777","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172016777","pubTimestamp":1666763683,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172016777?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-26 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: This Could Get Ugly","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172016777","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia's channel partners have reported a sales slump in recent months, with the downturn acc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia&#39;s channel partners have reported a sales slump in recent months, with the downturn accelerating in September.</li><li>It&#39;s likely that Nvidia will post muted results for the next quarter or two at the very least.</li><li>Risk averse investors may want to consider exiting the stock on rallies.</li></ul><p>NVIDIA Corporation’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares are down nearly 60% year to date, and many hopeful investors believe the stock is forming a bottom. Where some feel the chipmaker will post a strong set of quarterly results to drive its shares higher, others are of the opinion that the stock is undervalued and is due for a major rally. But that doesn’t seem to be the ground reality. Latest channel sales data reveals that Nvidia’s Q3CY22 is shaping up to be an ugly quarter, which means its shares can potentially fall further in coming weeks and months. In this article, I&#39;ll attempt to explain why this might not yet be the best time for bottom fishing. Let&#39;s take a closer look at it all.</p><p><b>Monthly Sales Data</b></p><p>I’d like to start by saying that Nvidia is practically a chip designer today. Its engineers design chip circuitry, which are sent to Taiwan Semiconductors or Samsung for fabrication on actual silicon wafers. Then, these chips are packaged and assembled in the form of usable products and later distributed to end-markets by Nvidia’s board partners such as Gigabyte, ASRock and Micro Star International. Some of these companies also manufacture and distribute computing peripherals around Nvidia’s ecosystem of products. With so many channel partners involved, we can monitor their monthly sales data and get an idea of how Nvidia’s ongoing quarter is shaping out to be.</p><p>We, at Business Quant, have developed a tool to serve exactly this purpose. It tracks and monitors monthly sales data for over 1200 Taiwanese suppliers, so we can get insights about the state of supply chains across different industries. Note in the chart below that sales of Gigabyte, Micro Star International, Biostar Microtech and Tul Corporation shrank significantly from July through September. These firms manufacture Nvidia-branded GPUs, motherboards and/or other computing peripherals. Also note that for a few companies, the sales decline accelerated in September. This suggests that financials for Nvidia’s channel partners are deteriorating quickly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d16dc13b6705d73e57a4ff7180dab4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>If Nvidia’s SKUs were selling like hotcakes and preserving their average selling prices (or ASPs), then its channel partners would have seen their sales grow or at least plateau for the time being. But sales decline to the tune of 30% to 80% across channel partners suggests that Nvidia is struggling to sell its SKUs for the time being at least. This signals weak consumer demand muted consumer spending power, despite plummeting GPU prices.</p><p>It’s evident from the table above that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), which is a fabrication partner for the chipmaker, registered elevated sales growth during September on a year-on-year basis. This is counterintuitive – if chip designers and their channel partners are struggling to make sales, then how can a chip fabrication company thrive at the same time?</p><p>There’s one probable explanation for this – chip designers such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia, and Qualcomm (QCOM) are yet to cancel their orders with Taiwan Semiconductors. We’ve already heard rumors of AMD planning to cut production in light of slowing consumer demand but there hasn’t been an official confirmation on this. But this data suggests that chip designers like Nvidia and AMD will have to cut production in order to avoid inventory build-up.</p><p>To have a better understanding of the situation, I pulled the industry-wise sales numbers for September. As it turns out, sales are down for computing and some of the other closely associated industries, but still up for others. So, it seems the slowdown is either limited or not yet proliferated to the broad swath of other industries.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fce11a7937dd6cc1f135a28a467eb9a\" tg-width=\"514\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>But this begs the question – what does it all mean for Nvidia’s shareholders?</p><p><b>Impact for Investors</b></p><p>I’d like to clarify that most of the companies mentioned in the table above, have diversified product portfolios and have non-exclusive manufacturing arrangements with Nvidia. For instance, Gigabyte, MSI and ASRock, manufacture GPUs, motherboards and other computing peripherals for Nvidia as well as its competitors, that is, Intel (INTC) and AMD. So, we have to take note that these monthly sales figures are indicative of the state of personal computing industry sell throughs, rather than specifically being limited to Nvidia’s ecosystem of products.</p><p>But having said that, if Nvidia, AMD and Intel, in general, had a strong sales momentum, then these partner firms would have also reported strong sales figures. Their sales slump only shows that Nvidia and its peers are going through a sales downturn and investors need to brace for impact in the upcoming earnings season. AMD has already reported weakpreliminaryQ3 results, and I contend that Nvidia and Intel will follow suit in the coming days.</p><p>Although Nvidia has released its next-generation RTX 4090 GPU, I don’t think one SKU alone will make much of a difference on the company’s overall financials and its blended ASPs. It would have to release more SKUs in the coming months under its RTX 40-series banner, whilst carefully depleting its RTX 30-series channel inventory, to be able to tackle this sales slump. So, I believe that Nvidia is set for a quarter or two of sales slowdown at least.</p><p>There is one way where the company might be able to trump this sales slump quickly -- bear in mind that this is pure speculation on my part. Last month, U.S. regulators imposed an export ban on Nvidia and AMD-branded datacenter GPUs to Chinese customers. The affected Chinese datacenter clients must be frantic and would be looking to stock up on these enterprise-grade GPUs before the ban comes into full effect. If Nvidia can prioritize production of its datacenter GPUs on a short notice (like it’s being rumored here) then it might very well be able to sell volume quantities to desperate customers at a premium, and stabilize its sales along the way.</p><p><b>Investors Takeaway</b></p><p>The takeaway here is that Nvidia is likely going to post dismal sales numbers for the next quarter or two at the very least. Risk averse investors who don’t have the appetite for portfolio drawdowns and volatility, may want to exit the stock on rallies.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3ece8562db2222cc54387ef95ca16da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>However, investors with a multi-year time horizon and have the appetite for portfolio drawdowns, may want to wait for potential price corrections before calling it a bottom. The stock is trading at a steep premium compare to many of the other rapidly growing semiconductor stocks, and there are going to be more attractive entry points especially now that we’re in a recessionary environment. Good Luck!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: This Could Get Ugly</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: This Could Get Ugly\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-26 13:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548929-nvidia-this-could-get-ugly><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia's channel partners have reported a sales slump in recent months, with the downturn accelerating in September.It's likely that Nvidia will post muted results for the next quarter or two ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548929-nvidia-this-could-get-ugly\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548929-nvidia-this-could-get-ugly","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172016777","content_text":"SummaryNvidia's channel partners have reported a sales slump in recent months, with the downturn accelerating in September.It's likely that Nvidia will post muted results for the next quarter or two at the very least.Risk averse investors may want to consider exiting the stock on rallies.NVIDIA Corporation’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares are down nearly 60% year to date, and many hopeful investors believe the stock is forming a bottom. Where some feel the chipmaker will post a strong set of quarterly results to drive its shares higher, others are of the opinion that the stock is undervalued and is due for a major rally. But that doesn’t seem to be the ground reality. Latest channel sales data reveals that Nvidia’s Q3CY22 is shaping up to be an ugly quarter, which means its shares can potentially fall further in coming weeks and months. In this article, I'll attempt to explain why this might not yet be the best time for bottom fishing. Let's take a closer look at it all.Monthly Sales DataI’d like to start by saying that Nvidia is practically a chip designer today. Its engineers design chip circuitry, which are sent to Taiwan Semiconductors or Samsung for fabrication on actual silicon wafers. Then, these chips are packaged and assembled in the form of usable products and later distributed to end-markets by Nvidia’s board partners such as Gigabyte, ASRock and Micro Star International. Some of these companies also manufacture and distribute computing peripherals around Nvidia’s ecosystem of products. With so many channel partners involved, we can monitor their monthly sales data and get an idea of how Nvidia’s ongoing quarter is shaping out to be.We, at Business Quant, have developed a tool to serve exactly this purpose. It tracks and monitors monthly sales data for over 1200 Taiwanese suppliers, so we can get insights about the state of supply chains across different industries. Note in the chart below that sales of Gigabyte, Micro Star International, Biostar Microtech and Tul Corporation shrank significantly from July through September. These firms manufacture Nvidia-branded GPUs, motherboards and/or other computing peripherals. Also note that for a few companies, the sales decline accelerated in September. This suggests that financials for Nvidia’s channel partners are deteriorating quickly.BusinessQuant.comIf Nvidia’s SKUs were selling like hotcakes and preserving their average selling prices (or ASPs), then its channel partners would have seen their sales grow or at least plateau for the time being. But sales decline to the tune of 30% to 80% across channel partners suggests that Nvidia is struggling to sell its SKUs for the time being at least. This signals weak consumer demand muted consumer spending power, despite plummeting GPU prices.It’s evident from the table above that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), which is a fabrication partner for the chipmaker, registered elevated sales growth during September on a year-on-year basis. This is counterintuitive – if chip designers and their channel partners are struggling to make sales, then how can a chip fabrication company thrive at the same time?There’s one probable explanation for this – chip designers such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia, and Qualcomm (QCOM) are yet to cancel their orders with Taiwan Semiconductors. We’ve already heard rumors of AMD planning to cut production in light of slowing consumer demand but there hasn’t been an official confirmation on this. But this data suggests that chip designers like Nvidia and AMD will have to cut production in order to avoid inventory build-up.To have a better understanding of the situation, I pulled the industry-wise sales numbers for September. As it turns out, sales are down for computing and some of the other closely associated industries, but still up for others. So, it seems the slowdown is either limited or not yet proliferated to the broad swath of other industries.BusinessQuant.comBut this begs the question – what does it all mean for Nvidia’s shareholders?Impact for InvestorsI’d like to clarify that most of the companies mentioned in the table above, have diversified product portfolios and have non-exclusive manufacturing arrangements with Nvidia. For instance, Gigabyte, MSI and ASRock, manufacture GPUs, motherboards and other computing peripherals for Nvidia as well as its competitors, that is, Intel (INTC) and AMD. So, we have to take note that these monthly sales figures are indicative of the state of personal computing industry sell throughs, rather than specifically being limited to Nvidia’s ecosystem of products.But having said that, if Nvidia, AMD and Intel, in general, had a strong sales momentum, then these partner firms would have also reported strong sales figures. Their sales slump only shows that Nvidia and its peers are going through a sales downturn and investors need to brace for impact in the upcoming earnings season. AMD has already reported weakpreliminaryQ3 results, and I contend that Nvidia and Intel will follow suit in the coming days.Although Nvidia has released its next-generation RTX 4090 GPU, I don’t think one SKU alone will make much of a difference on the company’s overall financials and its blended ASPs. It would have to release more SKUs in the coming months under its RTX 40-series banner, whilst carefully depleting its RTX 30-series channel inventory, to be able to tackle this sales slump. So, I believe that Nvidia is set for a quarter or two of sales slowdown at least.There is one way where the company might be able to trump this sales slump quickly -- bear in mind that this is pure speculation on my part. Last month, U.S. regulators imposed an export ban on Nvidia and AMD-branded datacenter GPUs to Chinese customers. The affected Chinese datacenter clients must be frantic and would be looking to stock up on these enterprise-grade GPUs before the ban comes into full effect. If Nvidia can prioritize production of its datacenter GPUs on a short notice (like it’s being rumored here) then it might very well be able to sell volume quantities to desperate customers at a premium, and stabilize its sales along the way.Investors TakeawayThe takeaway here is that Nvidia is likely going to post dismal sales numbers for the next quarter or two at the very least. Risk averse investors who don’t have the appetite for portfolio drawdowns and volatility, may want to exit the stock on rallies.BusinessQuant.comHowever, investors with a multi-year time horizon and have the appetite for portfolio drawdowns, may want to wait for potential price corrections before calling it a bottom. The stock is trading at a steep premium compare to many of the other rapidly growing semiconductor stocks, and there are going to be more attractive entry points especially now that we’re in a recessionary environment. Good Luck!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989701283,"gmtCreate":1666073448243,"gmtModify":1676537701772,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good analysis&nbsp;","listText":"good analysis&nbsp;","text":"good analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989701283","repostId":"1148534626","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148534626","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1666071333,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148534626?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-18 13:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Watch Out, Tesla. Berkshire Hathaway’s Market Cap Surges","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148534626","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Watch out, Elon. Warren is gaining on you.With the sharp drop in shares of Tesla this year, the mark","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Watch out, Elon. Warren is gaining on you.</p><p>With the sharp drop in shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> this year, the market value of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) is approaching that of the leader in electric vehicles.</p><p>Berkshire, led by longtime CEO Warren Buffett, is demonstrating its defensive attributes in a bear market with its class A share down about 7% this year to $419,000—against a nearly 25% decline in the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p>Tesla stock is off 37.7% to $219.35 this year, reflecting some recent disappointment on vehicle deliveries and the sharp pullback in growth stocks. CEO Elon Musk’s pursuit of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter </a> hasn’t helped. Berkshire sits on what Buffett, 92, calls a Fort Knox balance sheet with over $100 billion in cash and equivalents, mostly U.S. Treasury bills. Investors will be eager to see how much of that cash Buffett deployed in the second quarter when Berkshire reports financial results in early November.</p><p>Tesla closed at $219.35 on Monday, up 7.01% for the day, while Berkshire’s A shares closed at $419,100.8, up 1.54%.</p><p>Berkshire now has a market value of about $615 billion, against Tesla at $687 billion. At the start of 2022, Tesla was valued at $1.1 trillion, $450 billion more than Berkshire.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc9770946eb0a11a079ea273c93ef002\" tg-width=\"957\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Berkshire already has blown past flagging <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a> this year to rank sixth in the S&amp;P 500 by market value. Berkshire is behind <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>. Shares of Meta and Nvidia, which outranked Berkshire in the S&amp;P 500 at the beginning of 2022, are both down about 60% this year.</p><p>If it can get past Tesla, Berkshire will be hard pressed to catch the No. 4 company, Amazon, which is valued at more than $1 trillion.</p><p>Berkshire’s resilience this year shows the benefits of Buffett’s methodical approach to building value over more than a half-century while providing sleep-at-night comfort to shareholders.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Watch Out, Tesla. Berkshire Hathaway’s Market Cap Surges</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWatch Out, Tesla. Berkshire Hathaway’s Market Cap Surges\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-18 13:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Watch out, Elon. Warren is gaining on you.</p><p>With the sharp drop in shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> this year, the market value of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) is approaching that of the leader in electric vehicles.</p><p>Berkshire, led by longtime CEO Warren Buffett, is demonstrating its defensive attributes in a bear market with its class A share down about 7% this year to $419,000—against a nearly 25% decline in the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p>Tesla stock is off 37.7% to $219.35 this year, reflecting some recent disappointment on vehicle deliveries and the sharp pullback in growth stocks. CEO Elon Musk’s pursuit of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter </a> hasn’t helped. Berkshire sits on what Buffett, 92, calls a Fort Knox balance sheet with over $100 billion in cash and equivalents, mostly U.S. Treasury bills. Investors will be eager to see how much of that cash Buffett deployed in the second quarter when Berkshire reports financial results in early November.</p><p>Tesla closed at $219.35 on Monday, up 7.01% for the day, while Berkshire’s A shares closed at $419,100.8, up 1.54%.</p><p>Berkshire now has a market value of about $615 billion, against Tesla at $687 billion. At the start of 2022, Tesla was valued at $1.1 trillion, $450 billion more than Berkshire.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc9770946eb0a11a079ea273c93ef002\" tg-width=\"957\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Berkshire already has blown past flagging <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a> this year to rank sixth in the S&amp;P 500 by market value. Berkshire is behind <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>. Shares of Meta and Nvidia, which outranked Berkshire in the S&amp;P 500 at the beginning of 2022, are both down about 60% this year.</p><p>If it can get past Tesla, Berkshire will be hard pressed to catch the No. 4 company, Amazon, which is valued at more than $1 trillion.</p><p>Berkshire’s resilience this year shows the benefits of Buffett’s methodical approach to building value over more than a half-century while providing sleep-at-night comfort to shareholders.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148534626","content_text":"Watch out, Elon. Warren is gaining on you.With the sharp drop in shares of Tesla this year, the market value of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) is approaching that of the leader in electric vehicles.Berkshire, led by longtime CEO Warren Buffett, is demonstrating its defensive attributes in a bear market with its class A share down about 7% this year to $419,000—against a nearly 25% decline in the S&P 500 index.Tesla stock is off 37.7% to $219.35 this year, reflecting some recent disappointment on vehicle deliveries and the sharp pullback in growth stocks. CEO Elon Musk’s pursuit of Twitter  hasn’t helped. Berkshire sits on what Buffett, 92, calls a Fort Knox balance sheet with over $100 billion in cash and equivalents, mostly U.S. Treasury bills. Investors will be eager to see how much of that cash Buffett deployed in the second quarter when Berkshire reports financial results in early November.Tesla closed at $219.35 on Monday, up 7.01% for the day, while Berkshire’s A shares closed at $419,100.8, up 1.54%.Berkshire now has a market value of about $615 billion, against Tesla at $687 billion. At the start of 2022, Tesla was valued at $1.1 trillion, $450 billion more than Berkshire.Berkshire already has blown past flagging Meta Platforms and Nvidia this year to rank sixth in the S&P 500 by market value. Berkshire is behind Apple , Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon.com, and Tesla. Shares of Meta and Nvidia, which outranked Berkshire in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2022, are both down about 60% this year.If it can get past Tesla, Berkshire will be hard pressed to catch the No. 4 company, Amazon, which is valued at more than $1 trillion.Berkshire’s resilience this year shows the benefits of Buffett’s methodical approach to building value over more than a half-century while providing sleep-at-night comfort to shareholders.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969119670,"gmtCreate":1668384441291,"gmtModify":1676538046836,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969119670","repostId":"2283144175","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283144175","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668383535,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2283144175?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-14 07:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"At Least $1 Billion of Client Funds Missing at Failed Crypto Firm FTX","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283144175","media":"Reuters","summary":"FTX founder Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion in funds to trading firm Alameda - sourcesBankm","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>FTX founder Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion in funds to trading firm Alameda - sources</li><li>Bankman-Fried showed spreadsheets to colleagues that revealed shift in funds to Alameda - sources</li><li>Spreadsheets indicated between $1 billion and $2 billion in client money is unaccounted for – sources</li><li>Executives set up book-keeping &#34;back door&#34; that thwarted red flags - sources</li><li>Whereabouts of missing funds is unknown - sources</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - At least $1 billion of customer funds have vanished from collapsed crypto exchange FTX, according to two people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The exchange&#39;s founder Sam Bankman-Fried secretly transferred $10 billion of customer funds from FTX to Bankman-Fried&#39;s trading company Alameda Research, the people told Reuters.</p><p>A large portion of that total has since disappeared, they said. One source put the missing amount at about $1.7 billion. The other said the gap was between $1 billion and $2 billion.</p><p>While it is known that FTX moved customer funds to Alameda, the missing funds are reported here for the first time.</p><p>The financial hole was revealed in records that Bankman-Fried shared with other senior executives last Sunday, according to the two sources. The records provided an up-to-date account of the situation at the time, they said. Both sources held senior FTX positions until this week and said they were briefed on the company&#39;s finances by top staff.</p><p>Bahamas-based FTX filed for bankruptcy on Friday after a rush of customer withdrawals earlier this week. A rescue deal with rival exchange Binance fell through, precipitating crypto’s highest-profile collapse in recent years.</p><p>In text messages to Reuters, Bankman-Fried said he &#34;disagreed with the characterization&#34; of the $10 billion transfer.</p><p>&#34;We didn&#39;t secretly transfer,&#34; he said. &#34;We had confusing internal labeling and misread it,&#34; he added, without elaborating.</p><p>Asked about the missing funds, Bankman-Fried responded: &#34;???&#34;</p><p>FTX and Alameda did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In a tweet on Friday, Bankman-Fried said he was &#34;piecing together&#34; what had happened at FTX. &#34;I was shocked to see things unravel the way they did earlier this week,&#34; he wrote. &#34;I will, soon, write up a more complete post on the play by play.&#34;</p><p>At the heart of FTX&#39;s problems were losses at Alameda that most FTX executives did not know about, Reuters has previously reported.</p><p>Customer withdrawals had surged last Sunday after Changpeng Zhao, CEO of giant crypto exchange Binance, said Binance would sell its entire stake in FTX&#39;s digital token, worth at least $580 million, &#34;due to recent revelations.&#34; Four days before, news outlet CoinDesk reported that much of Alameda&#39;s $14.6 billion in assets were held in the token.</p><p>That Sunday, Bankman-Fried held a meeting with several executives in the Bahamas capital Nassau to calculate how much outside funding he needed to cover FTX&#39;s shortfall, the two people with knowledge of FTX&#39;s finances said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried confirmed to Reuters that the meeting took place.</p><p>Bankman-Fried showed several spreadsheets to the heads of the company&#39;s regulatory and legal teams that revealed FTX had moved around $10 billion in client funds from FTX to Alameda, the two people said. The spreadsheets displayed how much money FTX loaned to Alameda and what it was used for, they said.</p><p>The documents showed that between $1 billion and $2 billion of these funds were not accounted for among Alameda&#39;s assets, the sources said. The spreadsheets did not indicate where this money was moved, and the sources said they don&#39;t know what became of it.</p><p>In a subsequent examination, FTX legal and finance teams also learned that Bankman-Fried implemented what the two people described as a &#34;backdoor&#34; in FTX&#39;s book-keeping system, which was built using bespoke software.</p><p>They said the &#34;backdoor&#34; allowed Bankman-Fried to execute commands that could alter the company&#39;s financial records without alerting other people, including external auditors. This set-up meant that the movement of the $10 billion in funds to Alameda did not trigger internal compliance or accounting red flags at FTX, they said.</p><p>In his text message to Reuters, Bankman-Fried denied implementing a &#34;backdoor&#34;.</p><p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating FTX.com&#39;s handling of customer funds, as well its crypto-lending activities, a source with knowledge of the inquiry told Reuters on Wednesday. The Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are also investigating, the source said.</p><p>FTX&#39;s bankruptcy marked a stunning reversal for Bankman-Fried. The 30-year-old had set up FTX in 2019 and led it to become <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the largest crypto exchanges, accumulating a personal fortune estimated at nearly $17 billion. FTX was valued in January at $32 billion, with investors including SoftBank and BlackRock.</p><p>The crisis has sent reverberations through the crypto world, with the price of major coins plummeting. And FTX&#39;s collapse is drawing comparisons to earlier major business meltdowns.</p><p>On Friday, FTX said it had turned over control of the company to John J. Ray III, the restructuring specialist who handled the liquidation of Enron Corp – one of the largest bankruptcies in history.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>At Least $1 Billion of Client Funds Missing at Failed Crypto Firm FTX</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAt Least $1 Billion of Client Funds Missing at Failed Crypto Firm FTX\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 07:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>FTX founder Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion in funds to trading firm Alameda - sources</li><li>Bankman-Fried showed spreadsheets to colleagues that revealed shift in funds to Alameda - sources</li><li>Spreadsheets indicated between $1 billion and $2 billion in client money is unaccounted for – sources</li><li>Executives set up book-keeping &#34;back door&#34; that thwarted red flags - sources</li><li>Whereabouts of missing funds is unknown - sources</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - At least $1 billion of customer funds have vanished from collapsed crypto exchange FTX, according to two people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The exchange&#39;s founder Sam Bankman-Fried secretly transferred $10 billion of customer funds from FTX to Bankman-Fried&#39;s trading company Alameda Research, the people told Reuters.</p><p>A large portion of that total has since disappeared, they said. One source put the missing amount at about $1.7 billion. The other said the gap was between $1 billion and $2 billion.</p><p>While it is known that FTX moved customer funds to Alameda, the missing funds are reported here for the first time.</p><p>The financial hole was revealed in records that Bankman-Fried shared with other senior executives last Sunday, according to the two sources. The records provided an up-to-date account of the situation at the time, they said. Both sources held senior FTX positions until this week and said they were briefed on the company&#39;s finances by top staff.</p><p>Bahamas-based FTX filed for bankruptcy on Friday after a rush of customer withdrawals earlier this week. A rescue deal with rival exchange Binance fell through, precipitating crypto’s highest-profile collapse in recent years.</p><p>In text messages to Reuters, Bankman-Fried said he &#34;disagreed with the characterization&#34; of the $10 billion transfer.</p><p>&#34;We didn&#39;t secretly transfer,&#34; he said. &#34;We had confusing internal labeling and misread it,&#34; he added, without elaborating.</p><p>Asked about the missing funds, Bankman-Fried responded: &#34;???&#34;</p><p>FTX and Alameda did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In a tweet on Friday, Bankman-Fried said he was &#34;piecing together&#34; what had happened at FTX. &#34;I was shocked to see things unravel the way they did earlier this week,&#34; he wrote. &#34;I will, soon, write up a more complete post on the play by play.&#34;</p><p>At the heart of FTX&#39;s problems were losses at Alameda that most FTX executives did not know about, Reuters has previously reported.</p><p>Customer withdrawals had surged last Sunday after Changpeng Zhao, CEO of giant crypto exchange Binance, said Binance would sell its entire stake in FTX&#39;s digital token, worth at least $580 million, &#34;due to recent revelations.&#34; Four days before, news outlet CoinDesk reported that much of Alameda&#39;s $14.6 billion in assets were held in the token.</p><p>That Sunday, Bankman-Fried held a meeting with several executives in the Bahamas capital Nassau to calculate how much outside funding he needed to cover FTX&#39;s shortfall, the two people with knowledge of FTX&#39;s finances said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried confirmed to Reuters that the meeting took place.</p><p>Bankman-Fried showed several spreadsheets to the heads of the company&#39;s regulatory and legal teams that revealed FTX had moved around $10 billion in client funds from FTX to Alameda, the two people said. The spreadsheets displayed how much money FTX loaned to Alameda and what it was used for, they said.</p><p>The documents showed that between $1 billion and $2 billion of these funds were not accounted for among Alameda&#39;s assets, the sources said. The spreadsheets did not indicate where this money was moved, and the sources said they don&#39;t know what became of it.</p><p>In a subsequent examination, FTX legal and finance teams also learned that Bankman-Fried implemented what the two people described as a &#34;backdoor&#34; in FTX&#39;s book-keeping system, which was built using bespoke software.</p><p>They said the &#34;backdoor&#34; allowed Bankman-Fried to execute commands that could alter the company&#39;s financial records without alerting other people, including external auditors. This set-up meant that the movement of the $10 billion in funds to Alameda did not trigger internal compliance or accounting red flags at FTX, they said.</p><p>In his text message to Reuters, Bankman-Fried denied implementing a &#34;backdoor&#34;.</p><p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating FTX.com&#39;s handling of customer funds, as well its crypto-lending activities, a source with knowledge of the inquiry told Reuters on Wednesday. The Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are also investigating, the source said.</p><p>FTX&#39;s bankruptcy marked a stunning reversal for Bankman-Fried. The 30-year-old had set up FTX in 2019 and led it to become <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the largest crypto exchanges, accumulating a personal fortune estimated at nearly $17 billion. FTX was valued in January at $32 billion, with investors including SoftBank and BlackRock.</p><p>The crisis has sent reverberations through the crypto world, with the price of major coins plummeting. And FTX&#39;s collapse is drawing comparisons to earlier major business meltdowns.</p><p>On Friday, FTX said it had turned over control of the company to John J. Ray III, the restructuring specialist who handled the liquidation of Enron Corp – one of the largest bankruptcies in history.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283144175","content_text":"FTX founder Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion in funds to trading firm Alameda - sourcesBankman-Fried showed spreadsheets to colleagues that revealed shift in funds to Alameda - sourcesSpreadsheets indicated between $1 billion and $2 billion in client money is unaccounted for – sourcesExecutives set up book-keeping \"back door\" that thwarted red flags - sourcesWhereabouts of missing funds is unknown - sources(Reuters) - At least $1 billion of customer funds have vanished from collapsed crypto exchange FTX, according to two people familiar with the matter.The exchange's founder Sam Bankman-Fried secretly transferred $10 billion of customer funds from FTX to Bankman-Fried's trading company Alameda Research, the people told Reuters.A large portion of that total has since disappeared, they said. One source put the missing amount at about $1.7 billion. The other said the gap was between $1 billion and $2 billion.While it is known that FTX moved customer funds to Alameda, the missing funds are reported here for the first time.The financial hole was revealed in records that Bankman-Fried shared with other senior executives last Sunday, according to the two sources. The records provided an up-to-date account of the situation at the time, they said. Both sources held senior FTX positions until this week and said they were briefed on the company's finances by top staff.Bahamas-based FTX filed for bankruptcy on Friday after a rush of customer withdrawals earlier this week. A rescue deal with rival exchange Binance fell through, precipitating crypto’s highest-profile collapse in recent years.In text messages to Reuters, Bankman-Fried said he \"disagreed with the characterization\" of the $10 billion transfer.\"We didn't secretly transfer,\" he said. \"We had confusing internal labeling and misread it,\" he added, without elaborating.Asked about the missing funds, Bankman-Fried responded: \"???\"FTX and Alameda did not respond to requests for comment.In a tweet on Friday, Bankman-Fried said he was \"piecing together\" what had happened at FTX. \"I was shocked to see things unravel the way they did earlier this week,\" he wrote. \"I will, soon, write up a more complete post on the play by play.\"At the heart of FTX's problems were losses at Alameda that most FTX executives did not know about, Reuters has previously reported.Customer withdrawals had surged last Sunday after Changpeng Zhao, CEO of giant crypto exchange Binance, said Binance would sell its entire stake in FTX's digital token, worth at least $580 million, \"due to recent revelations.\" Four days before, news outlet CoinDesk reported that much of Alameda's $14.6 billion in assets were held in the token.That Sunday, Bankman-Fried held a meeting with several executives in the Bahamas capital Nassau to calculate how much outside funding he needed to cover FTX's shortfall, the two people with knowledge of FTX's finances said.Bankman-Fried confirmed to Reuters that the meeting took place.Bankman-Fried showed several spreadsheets to the heads of the company's regulatory and legal teams that revealed FTX had moved around $10 billion in client funds from FTX to Alameda, the two people said. The spreadsheets displayed how much money FTX loaned to Alameda and what it was used for, they said.The documents showed that between $1 billion and $2 billion of these funds were not accounted for among Alameda's assets, the sources said. The spreadsheets did not indicate where this money was moved, and the sources said they don't know what became of it.In a subsequent examination, FTX legal and finance teams also learned that Bankman-Fried implemented what the two people described as a \"backdoor\" in FTX's book-keeping system, which was built using bespoke software.They said the \"backdoor\" allowed Bankman-Fried to execute commands that could alter the company's financial records without alerting other people, including external auditors. This set-up meant that the movement of the $10 billion in funds to Alameda did not trigger internal compliance or accounting red flags at FTX, they said.In his text message to Reuters, Bankman-Fried denied implementing a \"backdoor\".The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating FTX.com's handling of customer funds, as well its crypto-lending activities, a source with knowledge of the inquiry told Reuters on Wednesday. The Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are also investigating, the source said.FTX's bankruptcy marked a stunning reversal for Bankman-Fried. The 30-year-old had set up FTX in 2019 and led it to become one of the largest crypto exchanges, accumulating a personal fortune estimated at nearly $17 billion. FTX was valued in January at $32 billion, with investors including SoftBank and BlackRock.The crisis has sent reverberations through the crypto world, with the price of major coins plummeting. And FTX's collapse is drawing comparisons to earlier major business meltdowns.On Friday, FTX said it had turned over control of the company to John J. Ray III, the restructuring specialist who handled the liquidation of Enron Corp – one of the largest bankruptcies in history.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982272895,"gmtCreate":1667198115518,"gmtModify":1676537875505,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree,the 75bps is priced in,what will be in focus is forward guidance","listText":"Agree,the 75bps is priced in,what will be in focus is forward guidance","text":"Agree,the 75bps is priced in,what will be in focus is forward guidance","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982272895","repostId":"1182142847","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182142847","pubTimestamp":1667195282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182142847?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-31 13:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Another Jumbo Fed Rate Hike Is Expected This Week — and Then Life Gets Difficult for Powell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182142847","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"First the easy part.Economists widely expect Federal Reserve monetary-policy makers to approve a fou","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb2d2ebd0cc0e252f0ed3f9a0d7fb2ea\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>First the easy part.</p><p>Economists widely expect Federal Reserve monetary-policy makers to approve a fourth straight jumbo interest-rate rise at its meeting this week. A hike of three-quarters of a percentage point would bring the central bank’s benchmark rate to a level of 3.75%- 4%.</p><p>“The November decision is a lock. Well, I would be floored if they didn’t go 75 basis points,” said Jonathan Pingle, chief U.S. economist at UBS.</p><p>The Fed decision will come at 2 p.m. on Wednesday after two days of talks among members of the Federal Open Market Committee.</p><p>What happens at Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference a half-hour later will be more fraught.</p><p>The focus will be on whether Powell gives a signal to the market about plans for a smaller rise in its benchmark interest rate in December.</p><p>The Fed’s “dot plot” projection of interest rates, released in September, already penciled in a slowdown to a half-point rate hike in December, followed by a quarter-point hike early in 2023.</p><p>The market is expecting signals about a change in policy, and many think Powell will use his press conference to hint that a slower pace of interest-rate rises is indeed coming.</p><p>A Wall Street Journal story last week reported that some Fed officials are not keen to keep hiking rates by 75 basis  points per meeting. That, alongside San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly’s comment that the Fed needs to start talking about slowing down the pace of hikes, were taken as a sign of a slowdown to come by the stock and bond markets.</p><p>“No one wants to be late for the pivot party, so the hint was enough,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.</p><p>Luke Tilley, chief economist at Wilmington Trust, said he thinks Powell will signal a smaller rate hike in December by focusing on some of the good wage-inflation news that was published earlier Friday.</p><p>There was a clear slowdown in private-sector wage growth, Tilley said.</p><p>But the problem with Powell signaling he has found an exit ramp from the jumbo rate hikes this year is that his committee members might not be ready to signal a downshift, Pingle of UBS said. He argued that the inflation data writ large in September won’t give Fed officials any confidence that a cooling in price pressures is in the offing.</p><p>Another worry for Powell is that future data might not cooperate.</p><p>There are two employment reports and two consumer-price-inflation reports before the next Fed policy meeting on Dec. 13–14.</p><p>So Powell might have to reverse course.</p><p>“If you pre-commit and the data slaps you in the head — then you can’t follow through,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities.</p><p>This has been the Fed’s pattern all year, Stanley noted. It was only in March that the Fed thought its terminal rate, or the peak benchmark rate, wouldn’t rise above 3%.</p><p>While the Fed may want to slow down the pace of rate hikes, it doesn’t want the market to take a downshift in the size of rate rises as a signal that a rate cut is in the offing. But some analysts believe that the first cut in fact will come soon after the Fed reduces the size of its rate rises.</p><p>In general terms, the Fed wants financial conditions to stay restrictive in order to squeeze the life out of inflation.</p><p>Pingle said he expects Kansas City Fed President Esther George to formally dissent in favor of a slower pace of rate hikes.</p><p>There is growing disagreement among economists about the “peak” or “terminal rate” of this hiking cycle. The Fed has penciled in a terminal rate in the range of 4.5%–4.75%. Some economists think the terminal rate could be lower than that. Others think that rates will go above 5%.</p><p>Those who think the Fed will stop short of 5% tend to talk about a recession, with the fast pace of Fed hikes “breaking something.” Those who see rates above 5% think that inflation will be much more persistent.</p><p>Ultimately, Amherst Pierpont’s Stanley is of the view that the data aren’t going to be the deciding factor. “The answer to the question of what either forces or allows the Fed to stop is probably not going to come from the data. The answer is going to be that the Fed has a number in mind to pause,” he said.</p><p>The Fed “is careening toward this moment of truth where it has very tight labor markets and very high inflation, and the Fed is going to come out and say, ‘OK, we’re ready to pause here.’ “</p><p>“That strikes me that is going to be a very volatile period for the market,” he added.</p><p>Fed fund futures markets are already volatile, with traders penciling in a terminal rate above 5% two weeks ago and now seeing a 4.85% terminal rate.</p><p>Over the month of October, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose steadily above 4.2% before softening to 4% in recent days.</p><p>“When you get close to the end, every move really counts,” Stanley said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Another Jumbo Fed Rate Hike Is Expected This Week — and Then Life Gets Difficult for Powell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnother Jumbo Fed Rate Hike Is Expected This Week — and Then Life Gets Difficult for Powell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-31 13:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/another-fed-jumbo-rate-hike-is-expected-next-week-and-then-life-gets-difficult-for-powell-11666982034?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>First the easy part.Economists widely expect Federal Reserve monetary-policy makers to approve a fourth straight jumbo interest-rate rise at its meeting this week. A hike of three-quarters of a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/another-fed-jumbo-rate-hike-is-expected-next-week-and-then-life-gets-difficult-for-powell-11666982034?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/another-fed-jumbo-rate-hike-is-expected-next-week-and-then-life-gets-difficult-for-powell-11666982034?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182142847","content_text":"First the easy part.Economists widely expect Federal Reserve monetary-policy makers to approve a fourth straight jumbo interest-rate rise at its meeting this week. A hike of three-quarters of a percentage point would bring the central bank’s benchmark rate to a level of 3.75%- 4%.“The November decision is a lock. Well, I would be floored if they didn’t go 75 basis points,” said Jonathan Pingle, chief U.S. economist at UBS.The Fed decision will come at 2 p.m. on Wednesday after two days of talks among members of the Federal Open Market Committee.What happens at Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference a half-hour later will be more fraught.The focus will be on whether Powell gives a signal to the market about plans for a smaller rise in its benchmark interest rate in December.The Fed’s “dot plot” projection of interest rates, released in September, already penciled in a slowdown to a half-point rate hike in December, followed by a quarter-point hike early in 2023.The market is expecting signals about a change in policy, and many think Powell will use his press conference to hint that a slower pace of interest-rate rises is indeed coming.A Wall Street Journal story last week reported that some Fed officials are not keen to keep hiking rates by 75 basis  points per meeting. That, alongside San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly’s comment that the Fed needs to start talking about slowing down the pace of hikes, were taken as a sign of a slowdown to come by the stock and bond markets.“No one wants to be late for the pivot party, so the hint was enough,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.Luke Tilley, chief economist at Wilmington Trust, said he thinks Powell will signal a smaller rate hike in December by focusing on some of the good wage-inflation news that was published earlier Friday.There was a clear slowdown in private-sector wage growth, Tilley said.But the problem with Powell signaling he has found an exit ramp from the jumbo rate hikes this year is that his committee members might not be ready to signal a downshift, Pingle of UBS said. He argued that the inflation data writ large in September won’t give Fed officials any confidence that a cooling in price pressures is in the offing.Another worry for Powell is that future data might not cooperate.There are two employment reports and two consumer-price-inflation reports before the next Fed policy meeting on Dec. 13–14.So Powell might have to reverse course.“If you pre-commit and the data slaps you in the head — then you can’t follow through,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities.This has been the Fed’s pattern all year, Stanley noted. It was only in March that the Fed thought its terminal rate, or the peak benchmark rate, wouldn’t rise above 3%.While the Fed may want to slow down the pace of rate hikes, it doesn’t want the market to take a downshift in the size of rate rises as a signal that a rate cut is in the offing. But some analysts believe that the first cut in fact will come soon after the Fed reduces the size of its rate rises.In general terms, the Fed wants financial conditions to stay restrictive in order to squeeze the life out of inflation.Pingle said he expects Kansas City Fed President Esther George to formally dissent in favor of a slower pace of rate hikes.There is growing disagreement among economists about the “peak” or “terminal rate” of this hiking cycle. The Fed has penciled in a terminal rate in the range of 4.5%–4.75%. Some economists think the terminal rate could be lower than that. Others think that rates will go above 5%.Those who think the Fed will stop short of 5% tend to talk about a recession, with the fast pace of Fed hikes “breaking something.” Those who see rates above 5% think that inflation will be much more persistent.Ultimately, Amherst Pierpont’s Stanley is of the view that the data aren’t going to be the deciding factor. “The answer to the question of what either forces or allows the Fed to stop is probably not going to come from the data. The answer is going to be that the Fed has a number in mind to pause,” he said.The Fed “is careening toward this moment of truth where it has very tight labor markets and very high inflation, and the Fed is going to come out and say, ‘OK, we’re ready to pause here.’ ““That strikes me that is going to be a very volatile period for the market,” he added.Fed fund futures markets are already volatile, with traders penciling in a terminal rate above 5% two weeks ago and now seeing a 4.85% terminal rate.Over the month of October, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose steadily above 4.2% before softening to 4% in recent days.“When you get close to the end, every move really counts,” Stanley said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914505865,"gmtCreate":1665299818557,"gmtModify":1676537585059,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914505865","repostId":"2274280347","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2274280347","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1665281908,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2274280347?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-09 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed \"Pivot\" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2274280347","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Should you buy stocks now, or wait?Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Should you buy stocks now, or wait?</p><p>Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since stocks began their decline by roughly 25% in January of this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Federal Reserve follows through with plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% or higher, as market-based indicators and the Fed&#39;s latest batch of projections anticipate.</p><p>Global markets are on edge about the possibility of an emerging-markets crisis resulting from higher interest rates and a U.S. dollar at a 20 year high, or a slump in the housing market due to rising mortgage rates, or the collapse of a financial institution due to the worst bond market chaos in a generation.</p><p>Fears that the Fed could cause something in the global economy or financial system to &#34;break&#34; have inspired some to question whether the Fed can successfully whip inflation by hiking interest rates by the most aggressive pace in decades without causing collateral damage.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s efforts are already whipsawing markets almost on a daily basis.</p><p>Ongoing volatility in markets makes it difficult to ascertain when buying opportunities might arrive, said Bill Sterling, the global strategist at GW&amp;K Investment Management.</p><h2>The peak in interest rates matters for stocks</h2><p>A look back at how the Fed has managed monetary policy compared with its own projections offers good reason to be skeptical of expectations surrounding when the Fed will shift back toward a policy of monetary easing.</p><p>It&#39;s important to remember that stocks have often reacted positively when the Fed has shifted back to cutting interest rates. Dating back to August 1984, the S&amp;P 500 indexhas risen on average more than 17% in the 12 months (see chart) that followed a peak in the fed-funds rate range, according toSterling at GW&amp;Kand Fed data.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e8a987c0e4f62de3ba0cd8d5759ac7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"478\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The chart also shows the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply in the year after the Fed&#39;s brought interest rates to their peak levels in prior monetary policy tightening cycles over roughly the past 40 years.</p><p>The same holds true for bonds, which have historically outperformed after the Fed&#39;s interest rate hiking-cycle reached its apex. Sterling said yields historically retreated by, on average, one-fifth of their value, in the 12 months after Fed benchmark rates peaked.</p><p>Still a factor that differentiates modern times from the persistent inflation of the 1980s is the elevated level of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. As Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, said, the weakening U.S. economy, plus fears of a crisis breaking out somewhere in global markets, are complicating the outlook for monetary policy.</p><p>But as investors watch markets and economic data, Sterling said that &#34;backward-looking&#34; measures like the U.S. consumer-price index and the personal-consumption expenditures index, aren&#39;t nearly as helpful as &#34;forward looking&#34; gauges, like the breakeven spreads generated by Treasury inflation-protected securities, or survey data like the University of Michigan inflation expectations indicator.</p><p>&#34;The market is caught between these forward looking and encouraging signs that inflation could come off in the next year as seen in the [Treasury inflation-protected securities] yields,&#34; Sterling said.</p><p>Stocks kicked off the past week and fourth quarter with a two-day rally after major indexes ended Sept. 30 at their lowest since 2020. Those gains faded over the course of the week as Fed officials and economic data undercut investor expectations around a potential Fed &#34;pivot&#34; away from its program of aggressive interest-rate increases. Stocks ended the week higher, but with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  up just 2% from its Sept. 30 low, while the S&amp;P 500  trimmed its weekly rise to 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite  advanced just 0.7%.</p><p>Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Fed Governor Christopher Waller have said that policy makers have no intention of abandoning their interest-rate hiking plan, in what were only the latest round of hawkish comments made by senior Federal Reserve officials.</p><p>However, some on Wall Street are paying less attention to what senior Fed officials are saying and more attention to market-based indicators like Treasury spreads, relative moves in sovereign bond yields, and credit-default spreads, including those of Credit Suisse Inc. (CSGN.EB).</p><p>Costa at Crescat Capital said he sees a growing &#34;disconnect&#34; between the state of markets and the Fed&#39;s aggressive rhetoric, with the odds of a crash growing by the day.</p><p>Because of this, he&#39;s waiting for &#34;the other shoe to drop,&#34; which could be an important turning point for markets.</p><p>He anticipates a blowup will finally force the Fed and other global central banks to back off their policy-tightening agenda, like the Bank of England briefly did last month when it decided to inject billions of dollars of liquidity into the gilts market -- although the BoE is preparing to continue raising interest rates to battle inflation</p><p>But before that happens, he expects trading in fixed-income to become as disorderly as it was during the spring of 2020, when the Fed was forced to intervene to avert a bond market collapse at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p>&#34;Just look at the differential between Treasury yields compared with junk-bond yields. We have yet to see that spike driven by default risk, which is a sign of a totally dysfunctional market,&#34; Costa said.</p><p>See: Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitable</p><p>A simple look in the rearview mirror shows that the Fed&#39;s plans for interest-rate hikes rarely pan out like the central bank expects. Take the last year for example.</p><p>The median projection for the level of the fed-funds rate in September 2021 was just 30 basis points one year ago, according to the Fed&#39;s survey of projections. Turns out, those projections were off by nearly three whole percentage points.</p><p>&#34;Don&#39;t take the Federal Reserve at its word when trying to anticipate the direction of Fed policy over the next year,&#34; Sterling said.</p><h2>Looking ahead to next week</h2><p>Looking ahead to next week, investors will receive some more insight into the state of the U.S. economy, and, by extension, the Fed&#39;s thinking.</p><p>U.S. inflation data will be front and center for markets, with the September consumer-price index due on Thursday. On Friday investors will receive an update from the University of Michigan&#39;s on consumer sentiment survey and its inflation expectations survey.</p><p>The inflation data will be scrutinized especially closely as investors grapple with signs that the U.S. labor market may indeed be starting to weaken, according to Krishna Guha and Peter Williams, two U.S. economists at Evercore ISI.</p><p>The September jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 263,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.55 to 3.7%, but job growth slowed from 537,000 in July, and 315, 000 in August.</p><p>But will inflation show signs of peaking or slowing its rise? Many fear that the crude oil production-quota cuts imposed by OPEC+ earlier this week could push prices higher later in the year.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed funds futures market, which allows investors to place bets on the pace of Fed interest rate hikes, anticipates another 75 basis-point rate hike on Nov. 3.</p><p>Beyond that, traders expect the fed-funds rate will top out in February or March at 4.75%, according to the Fed&#39;s FedWatch tool.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed \"Pivot\" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock-Market Bulls Keep Falling for Fed \"Pivot\" Feints -- and What It Will Take to Put in a Bottom\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-09 10:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Should you buy stocks now, or wait?</p><p>Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since stocks began their decline by roughly 25% in January of this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Federal Reserve follows through with plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% or higher, as market-based indicators and the Fed&#39;s latest batch of projections anticipate.</p><p>Global markets are on edge about the possibility of an emerging-markets crisis resulting from higher interest rates and a U.S. dollar at a 20 year high, or a slump in the housing market due to rising mortgage rates, or the collapse of a financial institution due to the worst bond market chaos in a generation.</p><p>Fears that the Fed could cause something in the global economy or financial system to &#34;break&#34; have inspired some to question whether the Fed can successfully whip inflation by hiking interest rates by the most aggressive pace in decades without causing collateral damage.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s efforts are already whipsawing markets almost on a daily basis.</p><p>Ongoing volatility in markets makes it difficult to ascertain when buying opportunities might arrive, said Bill Sterling, the global strategist at GW&amp;K Investment Management.</p><h2>The peak in interest rates matters for stocks</h2><p>A look back at how the Fed has managed monetary policy compared with its own projections offers good reason to be skeptical of expectations surrounding when the Fed will shift back toward a policy of monetary easing.</p><p>It&#39;s important to remember that stocks have often reacted positively when the Fed has shifted back to cutting interest rates. Dating back to August 1984, the S&amp;P 500 indexhas risen on average more than 17% in the 12 months (see chart) that followed a peak in the fed-funds rate range, according toSterling at GW&amp;Kand Fed data.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e8a987c0e4f62de3ba0cd8d5759ac7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"478\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The chart also shows the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply in the year after the Fed&#39;s brought interest rates to their peak levels in prior monetary policy tightening cycles over roughly the past 40 years.</p><p>The same holds true for bonds, which have historically outperformed after the Fed&#39;s interest rate hiking-cycle reached its apex. Sterling said yields historically retreated by, on average, one-fifth of their value, in the 12 months after Fed benchmark rates peaked.</p><p>Still a factor that differentiates modern times from the persistent inflation of the 1980s is the elevated level of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. As Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, said, the weakening U.S. economy, plus fears of a crisis breaking out somewhere in global markets, are complicating the outlook for monetary policy.</p><p>But as investors watch markets and economic data, Sterling said that &#34;backward-looking&#34; measures like the U.S. consumer-price index and the personal-consumption expenditures index, aren&#39;t nearly as helpful as &#34;forward looking&#34; gauges, like the breakeven spreads generated by Treasury inflation-protected securities, or survey data like the University of Michigan inflation expectations indicator.</p><p>&#34;The market is caught between these forward looking and encouraging signs that inflation could come off in the next year as seen in the [Treasury inflation-protected securities] yields,&#34; Sterling said.</p><p>Stocks kicked off the past week and fourth quarter with a two-day rally after major indexes ended Sept. 30 at their lowest since 2020. Those gains faded over the course of the week as Fed officials and economic data undercut investor expectations around a potential Fed &#34;pivot&#34; away from its program of aggressive interest-rate increases. Stocks ended the week higher, but with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  up just 2% from its Sept. 30 low, while the S&amp;P 500  trimmed its weekly rise to 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite  advanced just 0.7%.</p><p>Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Fed Governor Christopher Waller have said that policy makers have no intention of abandoning their interest-rate hiking plan, in what were only the latest round of hawkish comments made by senior Federal Reserve officials.</p><p>However, some on Wall Street are paying less attention to what senior Fed officials are saying and more attention to market-based indicators like Treasury spreads, relative moves in sovereign bond yields, and credit-default spreads, including those of Credit Suisse Inc. (CSGN.EB).</p><p>Costa at Crescat Capital said he sees a growing &#34;disconnect&#34; between the state of markets and the Fed&#39;s aggressive rhetoric, with the odds of a crash growing by the day.</p><p>Because of this, he&#39;s waiting for &#34;the other shoe to drop,&#34; which could be an important turning point for markets.</p><p>He anticipates a blowup will finally force the Fed and other global central banks to back off their policy-tightening agenda, like the Bank of England briefly did last month when it decided to inject billions of dollars of liquidity into the gilts market -- although the BoE is preparing to continue raising interest rates to battle inflation</p><p>But before that happens, he expects trading in fixed-income to become as disorderly as it was during the spring of 2020, when the Fed was forced to intervene to avert a bond market collapse at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p>&#34;Just look at the differential between Treasury yields compared with junk-bond yields. We have yet to see that spike driven by default risk, which is a sign of a totally dysfunctional market,&#34; Costa said.</p><p>See: Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitable</p><p>A simple look in the rearview mirror shows that the Fed&#39;s plans for interest-rate hikes rarely pan out like the central bank expects. Take the last year for example.</p><p>The median projection for the level of the fed-funds rate in September 2021 was just 30 basis points one year ago, according to the Fed&#39;s survey of projections. Turns out, those projections were off by nearly three whole percentage points.</p><p>&#34;Don&#39;t take the Federal Reserve at its word when trying to anticipate the direction of Fed policy over the next year,&#34; Sterling said.</p><h2>Looking ahead to next week</h2><p>Looking ahead to next week, investors will receive some more insight into the state of the U.S. economy, and, by extension, the Fed&#39;s thinking.</p><p>U.S. inflation data will be front and center for markets, with the September consumer-price index due on Thursday. On Friday investors will receive an update from the University of Michigan&#39;s on consumer sentiment survey and its inflation expectations survey.</p><p>The inflation data will be scrutinized especially closely as investors grapple with signs that the U.S. labor market may indeed be starting to weaken, according to Krishna Guha and Peter Williams, two U.S. economists at Evercore ISI.</p><p>The September jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 263,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.55 to 3.7%, but job growth slowed from 537,000 in July, and 315, 000 in August.</p><p>But will inflation show signs of peaking or slowing its rise? Many fear that the crude oil production-quota cuts imposed by OPEC+ earlier this week could push prices higher later in the year.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed funds futures market, which allows investors to place bets on the pace of Fed interest rate hikes, anticipates another 75 basis-point rate hike on Nov. 3.</p><p>Beyond that, traders expect the fed-funds rate will top out in February or March at 4.75%, according to the Fed&#39;s FedWatch tool.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2274280347","content_text":"Should you buy stocks now, or wait?Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since stocks began their decline by roughly 25% in January of this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Federal Reserve follows through with plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% or higher, as market-based indicators and the Fed's latest batch of projections anticipate.Global markets are on edge about the possibility of an emerging-markets crisis resulting from higher interest rates and a U.S. dollar at a 20 year high, or a slump in the housing market due to rising mortgage rates, or the collapse of a financial institution due to the worst bond market chaos in a generation.Fears that the Fed could cause something in the global economy or financial system to \"break\" have inspired some to question whether the Fed can successfully whip inflation by hiking interest rates by the most aggressive pace in decades without causing collateral damage.The Fed's efforts are already whipsawing markets almost on a daily basis.Ongoing volatility in markets makes it difficult to ascertain when buying opportunities might arrive, said Bill Sterling, the global strategist at GW&K Investment Management.The peak in interest rates matters for stocksA look back at how the Fed has managed monetary policy compared with its own projections offers good reason to be skeptical of expectations surrounding when the Fed will shift back toward a policy of monetary easing.It's important to remember that stocks have often reacted positively when the Fed has shifted back to cutting interest rates. Dating back to August 1984, the S&P 500 indexhas risen on average more than 17% in the 12 months (see chart) that followed a peak in the fed-funds rate range, according toSterling at GW&Kand Fed data.The chart also shows the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply in the year after the Fed's brought interest rates to their peak levels in prior monetary policy tightening cycles over roughly the past 40 years.The same holds true for bonds, which have historically outperformed after the Fed's interest rate hiking-cycle reached its apex. Sterling said yields historically retreated by, on average, one-fifth of their value, in the 12 months after Fed benchmark rates peaked.Still a factor that differentiates modern times from the persistent inflation of the 1980s is the elevated level of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. As Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, said, the weakening U.S. economy, plus fears of a crisis breaking out somewhere in global markets, are complicating the outlook for monetary policy.But as investors watch markets and economic data, Sterling said that \"backward-looking\" measures like the U.S. consumer-price index and the personal-consumption expenditures index, aren't nearly as helpful as \"forward looking\" gauges, like the breakeven spreads generated by Treasury inflation-protected securities, or survey data like the University of Michigan inflation expectations indicator.\"The market is caught between these forward looking and encouraging signs that inflation could come off in the next year as seen in the [Treasury inflation-protected securities] yields,\" Sterling said.Stocks kicked off the past week and fourth quarter with a two-day rally after major indexes ended Sept. 30 at their lowest since 2020. Those gains faded over the course of the week as Fed officials and economic data undercut investor expectations around a potential Fed \"pivot\" away from its program of aggressive interest-rate increases. Stocks ended the week higher, but with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  up just 2% from its Sept. 30 low, while the S&P 500  trimmed its weekly rise to 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite  advanced just 0.7%.Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Fed Governor Christopher Waller have said that policy makers have no intention of abandoning their interest-rate hiking plan, in what were only the latest round of hawkish comments made by senior Federal Reserve officials.However, some on Wall Street are paying less attention to what senior Fed officials are saying and more attention to market-based indicators like Treasury spreads, relative moves in sovereign bond yields, and credit-default spreads, including those of Credit Suisse Inc. (CSGN.EB).Costa at Crescat Capital said he sees a growing \"disconnect\" between the state of markets and the Fed's aggressive rhetoric, with the odds of a crash growing by the day.Because of this, he's waiting for \"the other shoe to drop,\" which could be an important turning point for markets.He anticipates a blowup will finally force the Fed and other global central banks to back off their policy-tightening agenda, like the Bank of England briefly did last month when it decided to inject billions of dollars of liquidity into the gilts market -- although the BoE is preparing to continue raising interest rates to battle inflationBut before that happens, he expects trading in fixed-income to become as disorderly as it was during the spring of 2020, when the Fed was forced to intervene to avert a bond market collapse at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.\"Just look at the differential between Treasury yields compared with junk-bond yields. We have yet to see that spike driven by default risk, which is a sign of a totally dysfunctional market,\" Costa said.See: Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitableA simple look in the rearview mirror shows that the Fed's plans for interest-rate hikes rarely pan out like the central bank expects. Take the last year for example.The median projection for the level of the fed-funds rate in September 2021 was just 30 basis points one year ago, according to the Fed's survey of projections. Turns out, those projections were off by nearly three whole percentage points.\"Don't take the Federal Reserve at its word when trying to anticipate the direction of Fed policy over the next year,\" Sterling said.Looking ahead to next weekLooking ahead to next week, investors will receive some more insight into the state of the U.S. economy, and, by extension, the Fed's thinking.U.S. inflation data will be front and center for markets, with the September consumer-price index due on Thursday. On Friday investors will receive an update from the University of Michigan's on consumer sentiment survey and its inflation expectations survey.The inflation data will be scrutinized especially closely as investors grapple with signs that the U.S. labor market may indeed be starting to weaken, according to Krishna Guha and Peter Williams, two U.S. economists at Evercore ISI.The September jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 263,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.55 to 3.7%, but job growth slowed from 537,000 in July, and 315, 000 in August.But will inflation show signs of peaking or slowing its rise? Many fear that the crude oil production-quota cuts imposed by OPEC+ earlier this week could push prices higher later in the year.Meanwhile, the Fed funds futures market, which allows investors to place bets on the pace of Fed interest rate hikes, anticipates another 75 basis-point rate hike on Nov. 3.Beyond that, traders expect the fed-funds rate will top out in February or March at 4.75%, according to the Fed's FedWatch tool.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921573832,"gmtCreate":1671102542226,"gmtModify":1676538490386,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Higher for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,","listText":"Higher for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,","text":"Higher for longer basically what JP said is stop buying and chasing the sp500 up,,,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921573832","repostId":"1152990574","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152990574","pubTimestamp":1671101246,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152990574?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-15 18:47","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"U.S. Equities Tumble as Fed Shock Halts Global Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152990574","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations for a dovish tilt and said interest rates will go higher for longer.</p><p>Contracts on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gauges fell at least 1.1% each. Demand for haven assets sent the dollar and Swiss franc higher amid a wave of rate hikes from Taiwan to Norway. The euro halted a two-day advance as traders awaited policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. Oil slid on signs of increasing supply. Tesla Inc. dropped in premarket New York trading after Elon Musk sold $3.6 billion of shares.</p><p>A global rally sparked by softer-than-forecast US inflation came to an abrupt halt on Wednesday after policymakers signaled a peak rate that was far above market expectations and sought to dispel hopes for a rate cut next year. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank won’t back away from its fight against inflation despite mounting fears of job losses and a recession.</p><p>“The Fed was more hawkish than markets had expected,” Jack McIntyre, a money manager at Brandywine Global Investment Management, wrote in a note. “They seemingly still want financial markets to tighten further, which essentially means they want lower equity prices.”</p><p>An index of the dollar’s strength headed for the biggest gain since Dec. 5. The euro fell from a six-month high, while Britain’s pound declined for the first time in seven days. The ECB and BOE are expected to follow the Fed with half-point hikes.</p><p>The Swiss franc held its gain after the nation’s central bank doubled the policy rate to 1% as forecast. China’s yuan fell.</p><p>Europe’s equity benchmark, the Stoxx 600, tumbled the most since Nov. 3, dragged by consumer and retail shares. Tesla dropped 2.6% in early New York trading after Chief Executive Officer Musk sold almost 22 million shares of the electric-car maker for $3.58 billion. Western Digital Corp. lost 4.1% as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended selling the stock.</p><p>Shorter-dated Treasury yields edged higher, with the two-year rate adding 3 basis points. The 10-year rate was little changed as investors weighed the economic impact of Fed’s hawkishness.</p><p>Oil slipped after rallying almost 9% over the previous three sessions as TC Energy Corp. restarted a section of the Keystone pipeline, allowing for some flows to resume on the major conduit.</p><p>Key events this week:</p><ul><li>ECB rate decision and ECB President Lagarde briefing, Thursday</li><li>Rate decisions for UK BOE, Mexico, Norway, Philippines, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thursday</li><li>US cross-border investment, business inventories, empire manufacturing, retail sales, initial jobless claims, industrial production, Thursday</li><li>Eurozone S&amp;P Global PMI, CPI, Friday</li></ul><p>Some of the main moves in markets:</p><p>Stocks</p><ul><li>The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.2% as of 10:09 a.m. London time</li><li>Futures on the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.1%</li><li>Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.3%</li><li>Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%</li><li>The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.5%</li><li>The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1.3%</li></ul><p>Currencies</p><ul><li>The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%</li><li>The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0621</li><li>The Japanese yen fell 0.8% to 136.62 per dollar</li><li>The offshore yuan fell 0.5% to 6.9770 per dollar</li><li>The British pound fell 0.7% to $1.2338</li></ul><p>Cryptocurrencies</p><ul><li>Bitcoin fell 0.8% to $17,691.21</li><li>Ether fell 1.7% to $1,287.85</li></ul><p>Bonds</p><ul><li>The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.48%</li><li>Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.92%</li><li>Britain’s 10-year yield declined eight basis points to 3.24%</li></ul><p>Commodities</p><ul><li>Brent crude fell 0.1% to $82.58 a barrel</li><li>Spot gold fell 1.6% to $1,778.12 an ounce</li></ul><p>Volatility</p><ul><li>VIX rose 2.74% to 21.72</li><li>VIXmain rose 1.29% to 23.5</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Equities Tumble as Fed Shock Halts Global Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Equities Tumble as Fed Shock Halts Global Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-15 18:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/asian-stocks-to-open-lower-after-hawkish-fed-view-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations for a dovish tilt and said interest rates will go higher for longer.Contracts on the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/asian-stocks-to-open-lower-after-hawkish-fed-view-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/asian-stocks-to-open-lower-after-hawkish-fed-view-markets-wrap?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152990574","content_text":"US equity-index futures and European stocks declined after the Federal Reserve rebuffed expectations for a dovish tilt and said interest rates will go higher for longer.Contracts on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gauges fell at least 1.1% each. Demand for haven assets sent the dollar and Swiss franc higher amid a wave of rate hikes from Taiwan to Norway. The euro halted a two-day advance as traders awaited policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. Oil slid on signs of increasing supply. Tesla Inc. dropped in premarket New York trading after Elon Musk sold $3.6 billion of shares.A global rally sparked by softer-than-forecast US inflation came to an abrupt halt on Wednesday after policymakers signaled a peak rate that was far above market expectations and sought to dispel hopes for a rate cut next year. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank won’t back away from its fight against inflation despite mounting fears of job losses and a recession.“The Fed was more hawkish than markets had expected,” Jack McIntyre, a money manager at Brandywine Global Investment Management, wrote in a note. “They seemingly still want financial markets to tighten further, which essentially means they want lower equity prices.”An index of the dollar’s strength headed for the biggest gain since Dec. 5. The euro fell from a six-month high, while Britain’s pound declined for the first time in seven days. The ECB and BOE are expected to follow the Fed with half-point hikes.The Swiss franc held its gain after the nation’s central bank doubled the policy rate to 1% as forecast. China’s yuan fell.Europe’s equity benchmark, the Stoxx 600, tumbled the most since Nov. 3, dragged by consumer and retail shares. Tesla dropped 2.6% in early New York trading after Chief Executive Officer Musk sold almost 22 million shares of the electric-car maker for $3.58 billion. Western Digital Corp. lost 4.1% as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended selling the stock.Shorter-dated Treasury yields edged higher, with the two-year rate adding 3 basis points. The 10-year rate was little changed as investors weighed the economic impact of Fed’s hawkishness.Oil slipped after rallying almost 9% over the previous three sessions as TC Energy Corp. restarted a section of the Keystone pipeline, allowing for some flows to resume on the major conduit.Key events this week:ECB rate decision and ECB President Lagarde briefing, ThursdayRate decisions for UK BOE, Mexico, Norway, Philippines, Switzerland, Taiwan, ThursdayUS cross-border investment, business inventories, empire manufacturing, retail sales, initial jobless claims, industrial production, ThursdayEurozone S&P Global PMI, CPI, FridaySome of the main moves in markets:StocksThe Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.2% as of 10:09 a.m. London timeFutures on the S&P 500 fell 1.1%Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.3%Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.5%The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1.3%CurrenciesThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0621The Japanese yen fell 0.8% to 136.62 per dollarThe offshore yuan fell 0.5% to 6.9770 per dollarThe British pound fell 0.7% to $1.2338CryptocurrenciesBitcoin fell 0.8% to $17,691.21Ether fell 1.7% to $1,287.85BondsThe yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.48%Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.92%Britain’s 10-year yield declined eight basis points to 3.24%CommoditiesBrent crude fell 0.1% to $82.58 a barrelSpot gold fell 1.6% to $1,778.12 an ounceVolatilityVIX rose 2.74% to 21.72VIXmain rose 1.29% to 23.5","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961435169,"gmtCreate":1669014449851,"gmtModify":1676538139565,"author":{"id":"4126236089551342","authorId":"4126236089551342","name":"Chopper0905","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a52c68e0b84d7f61c9d9ccf225bb2bb8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.","listText":"Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.","text":"Agree with this strategy especially now in bear market,have faith and trust in the product you invest in,if the fundamentals haven't changed,there is no need for your investment strategy to change either.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961435169","repostId":"2284949061","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284949061","pubTimestamp":1669013952,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2284949061?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-21 14:59","market":"other","language":"en","title":"2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284949061","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Buying one Bitcoin per day might just be the ultimate dollar-cost averaging strategy for crypto.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his country would be buying one <b>Bitcoin</b> per day, every day, starting on Nov. 17. Almost immediately afterward, crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun announced he would adopt the same Bitcoin strategy.</p><p>This Bitcoin strategy is, quite frankly, the ultimate way to dollar-cost average into crypto. Both investors are committed to buying Bitcoin every day, at approximately the same dollar amount, regardless of market conditions. And both are adding to already massive Bitcoin positions. El Salvador, for example, has already invested more than $100 million into Bitcoin. So is a similar type of strategy right for the average investor?</p><h2>Benefits of dollar-cost averaging</h2><p>Dollar-cost averaging has already proven to be a successful strategy with equity investors, and growing evidence suggests a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be successful for Bitcoin investors. In a standard dollar-cost averaging strategy, you invest the same preset amount on a regular basis (such as weekly or monthly), regardless of market conditions. This removes the emotion from investing and eliminates the perils of trying to time the market. Instead of worrying about daily moves upward or downward, investors continue to buy on a regular schedule.</p><p>Another advantage to dollar-cost averaging is that you end up paying less for an investment (in dollar terms) over the long term because you are buying when prices are both rising and falling. You can see this immediately with El Salvador and its Bitcoin strategy. Heading into its new dollar-cost averaging strategy, for example, El Salvador had purchased a total of 2,381 Bitcoins at an average price of $43,357.</p><p>The average price is so high because El Salvador began buying Bitcoin in September 2021, just about the time Bitcoin was hitting all-time highs. Now that El Salvador is buying Bitcoin at a price below $20,000, this average cost will continue to decline over time until Bitcoin regains previous all-time highs.</p><h2>How to dollar-cost average into Bitcoin</h2><p>While most retail investors can&#39;t buy $20,000 worth of Bitcoin every day, they can certainly adopt a modified strategy, such as $50 per week or $200 per month. With dollar-cost averaging, there are numerous ways to adjust the parameters. For example, one could argue that both Bukele and Sun are adopting a &#34;modified&#34; dollar-cost averaging strategy. Instead of committing to a fixed daily amount, they are committing to an amount that will enable them to buy a full Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is currently trading around $16,500, some days they might invest $16,000 and on other days, they might invest $17,000.</p><p>Obviously, you will need to tailor your strategy to your specific investment and financial goals. As a general rule of thumb, the most popular dollar-cost averaging strategies are monthly rather than weekly or daily. This helps reduce trading fees and also eliminates any temptation to time the market. Dollar-cost averaging can very quickly become a &#34;set it and forget&#34; strategy, especially if you automate the monthly investment allocation.</p><h2>Dollar-cost averaging in action</h2><p>Using widely available websites, you can see how any dollar-cost averaging strategy for Bitcoin would have played out over any specific time interval. On many sites, you can adjust parameters such as how much you are investing, the regularity of your investment, and the time frame of your dollar-cost averaging strategy.</p><p>For the sake of argument, let&#39;s assume you started investing $100 per month in Bitcoin one year ago, at about the same time that El Salvador started buying Bitcoin in the marketplace. Your $1,200 investment would now be worth $1,150, a 4.17% drop in market value. That might be depressing to some, but it&#39;s certainly better than the 62% drop El Salvador has reported on its Bitcoin position. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee you will make money on your investment, only that the pain will be much less palpable if the market does crater.</p><h2>Should I dollar-cost average into Bitcoin?</h2><p>Keeping in mind the enormous volatility and risk involved in investing in crypto, a dollar-cost averaging strategy can be a successful way to get exposure to Bitcoin without taking on excessive risk. As seen in the example above, if you had dollar-cost averaged into Bitcoin over the past year, you&#39;d basically be even right now. You wouldn&#39;t be panicking about the market, and you would know that your long-term gains are going to look very impressive if Bitcoin rallies again. That might explain why two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are now dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 14:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284949061","content_text":"Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his country would be buying one Bitcoin per day, every day, starting on Nov. 17. Almost immediately afterward, crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun announced he would adopt the same Bitcoin strategy.This Bitcoin strategy is, quite frankly, the ultimate way to dollar-cost average into crypto. Both investors are committed to buying Bitcoin every day, at approximately the same dollar amount, regardless of market conditions. And both are adding to already massive Bitcoin positions. El Salvador, for example, has already invested more than $100 million into Bitcoin. So is a similar type of strategy right for the average investor?Benefits of dollar-cost averagingDollar-cost averaging has already proven to be a successful strategy with equity investors, and growing evidence suggests a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be successful for Bitcoin investors. In a standard dollar-cost averaging strategy, you invest the same preset amount on a regular basis (such as weekly or monthly), regardless of market conditions. This removes the emotion from investing and eliminates the perils of trying to time the market. Instead of worrying about daily moves upward or downward, investors continue to buy on a regular schedule.Another advantage to dollar-cost averaging is that you end up paying less for an investment (in dollar terms) over the long term because you are buying when prices are both rising and falling. You can see this immediately with El Salvador and its Bitcoin strategy. Heading into its new dollar-cost averaging strategy, for example, El Salvador had purchased a total of 2,381 Bitcoins at an average price of $43,357.The average price is so high because El Salvador began buying Bitcoin in September 2021, just about the time Bitcoin was hitting all-time highs. Now that El Salvador is buying Bitcoin at a price below $20,000, this average cost will continue to decline over time until Bitcoin regains previous all-time highs.How to dollar-cost average into BitcoinWhile most retail investors can't buy $20,000 worth of Bitcoin every day, they can certainly adopt a modified strategy, such as $50 per week or $200 per month. With dollar-cost averaging, there are numerous ways to adjust the parameters. For example, one could argue that both Bukele and Sun are adopting a \"modified\" dollar-cost averaging strategy. Instead of committing to a fixed daily amount, they are committing to an amount that will enable them to buy a full Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is currently trading around $16,500, some days they might invest $16,000 and on other days, they might invest $17,000.Obviously, you will need to tailor your strategy to your specific investment and financial goals. As a general rule of thumb, the most popular dollar-cost averaging strategies are monthly rather than weekly or daily. This helps reduce trading fees and also eliminates any temptation to time the market. Dollar-cost averaging can very quickly become a \"set it and forget\" strategy, especially if you automate the monthly investment allocation.Dollar-cost averaging in actionUsing widely available websites, you can see how any dollar-cost averaging strategy for Bitcoin would have played out over any specific time interval. On many sites, you can adjust parameters such as how much you are investing, the regularity of your investment, and the time frame of your dollar-cost averaging strategy.For the sake of argument, let's assume you started investing $100 per month in Bitcoin one year ago, at about the same time that El Salvador started buying Bitcoin in the marketplace. Your $1,200 investment would now be worth $1,150, a 4.17% drop in market value. That might be depressing to some, but it's certainly better than the 62% drop El Salvador has reported on its Bitcoin position. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee you will make money on your investment, only that the pain will be much less palpable if the market does crater.Should I dollar-cost average into Bitcoin?Keeping in mind the enormous volatility and risk involved in investing in crypto, a dollar-cost averaging strategy can be a successful way to get exposure to Bitcoin without taking on excessive risk. As seen in the example above, if you had dollar-cost averaged into Bitcoin over the past year, you'd basically be even right now. You wouldn't be panicking about the market, and you would know that your long-term gains are going to look very impressive if Bitcoin rallies again. That might explain why two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are now dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}