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phoebepurplegirl

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phoebepurplegirl

2022-12-06

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-10-22

Oh no...

Fed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down

phoebepurplegirl

2022-10-06

Honestly I‘ve never heard of anyone say bad things about ETFs yet!

@PortfolioHub:What is an ETF? 5 Reasons Why They Beat Mutual Funds

phoebepurplegirl

2022-10-17

🥲🥲

Microsoft: Don't Lose Your Money

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-19

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-12

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-12-04

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-10-19

Nice

US STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street

phoebepurplegirl

2022-12-02

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-12-01

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-30

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-10-25

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-12-11

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-12-08

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-27

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-26

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-25

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-23

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-16

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

phoebepurplegirl

2022-11-14

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

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ETF(VOO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967849638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981352939,"gmtCreate":1666404778022,"gmtModify":1676537752925,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no...","listText":"Oh no...","text":"Oh no...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981352939","repostId":"2277025934","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2277025934","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1666400250,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2277025934?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-22 08:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2277025934","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next mont","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next month, is shifting to a debate over how much higher it can safely push borrowing costs and how and when to slow the pace of future increases.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is likely to provide a signal at its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting as officials weigh what some see as growing risks to economic growth against a lack of obvious progress in lowering inflation from its pandemic-related surge.</p><p>&#34;This debate about exactly where we should go, and then become more data-dependent, is going to heat up in the last part of the year here,&#34; St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a Reuters interview last week.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added her voice to that debate on Friday during an event in Monterey, California. While acknowledging that high inflation made it &#34;really challenging&#34; for the central bank to step down from its rate hikes, Daly said &#34;the time is now to start talking about stepping down. The time is now to start planning for stepping down.&#34;</p><p>Investors widely expect the Fed next month to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth consecutive time, lifting it to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%.</p><p>Yet even as markets point to another large increase at the final policy meeting of the year in December, sentiment is building within the Fed to take a breather. While the process of raising interest rates is not yet finished, policymakers feel they may be at the point where further increases can be smaller in size, and are close to where they can pause altogether in order to take stock as the economy adjusts to the rapid change in credit conditions the central bank has set in motion.</p><p>That advice has been subtle: In a speech earlier this month, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard offered a list of reasons to be cautious about further tightening without overtly calling for a slowdown or pause.</p><p>It also has been blunt: In comments this week in Virginia, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans warned of outsized &#34;nonlinear&#34; risks to the economy if the federal funds rate is lifted much beyond the 4.6% level officials projected in September that they would reach next year.</p><p>&#34;It really does begin to weigh on the economy,&#34; Evans said. Even with the existing rate outlook, it was a &#34;closer call than normal&#34; whether recession can be avoided.</p><p>With that view becoming more full-throated, and more economists saying a U.S. recession is likely next year, the November meeting may well be when the Fed signals it is time to slow down - a moment Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a Sept. 21 news conference would be approaching &#34;at some point.&#34;</p><p>Powell has not spoken publicly about monetary policy since then.</p><p><b>INFLATION SURPRISES</b></p><p>Data on inflation has offered little relief to the Fed. Headline consumer prices rose in September at an 8.2% annual rate. The U.S. central bank uses a different inflation measure for its 2% inflation target, but that remains roughly three times the target.</p><p>Job growth continues to be strong, with a still-outsized number of vacancies compared to the number of jobseekers. Employers say it remains difficult to find workers.</p><p>Yet even some of the Fed&#39;s most hawkish voices appear ready to let the economy have time to catch up with the monetary tightening already underway.</p><p>Bullard told Reuters he also sees a federal funds rate of around 4.6% as a point to pause and take stock, though he&#39;d prefer to get there by the end of this year with two more 75-basis-point increases and then let policy evolve in 2023 based on how inflation behaves.</p><p>Expectations at the Fed about inflation have begun to settle around three key points that both buttress the calls for caution on further rate hikes, but also leave policymakers wanting to keep their options open.</p><p>Inflation, officials acknowledge, has become broader and more persistent than anticipated, and may be slow to decline. Consumer prices are weighted towards rents, which are slow to change, and much of the current inflation is coming from service industries where price changes are harder to influence.</p><p>In economic projections released by the Fed in September, a version of policymakers&#39; preferred measure of inflation was seen ending 2023 above 3%. Recent staff estimates, recounted in the minutes of the last Fed meeting, indicated the economy may be much &#34;tighter&#34; than anticipated as high demand strains against potential output that may be more limited than thought.</p><p>But policymakers also agree the full impact of their rate hikes may not become clear for months, even as data is starting to show the seeds of an inflation slowdown taking root. Vehicle prices that drove the inflation surge in the early part of the pandemic are falling, and industry executives expect more; month-to-month data show rents are coming down and the housing industry, a barometer of other household spending, is slowing rapidly as the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage nears 7%.</p><p>Yet, in another point of agreement, risk sentiment among Fed officials is almost uniformly tilted towards the likelihood of more inflation surprises to come, putting the group on what some have described as a hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst footing. In September, 17 of 19 officials saw inflation risks as &#34;weighted to the upside.&#34;</p><p>In that situation, even if policymakers are ready to be done with the 75-basis-point rate increases, they won&#39;t want the public to equate smaller future hikes with a true policy &#34;pivot&#34; or a softened stance on inflation - a tricky point to communicate.</p><p>Even more dovish officials like Evans agree monetary policy needs to hit a more restrictive level and stay there until the back of inflation is broken. Others agree even if the Fed slows to half-percentage-point increases after next month&#39;s meeting, that remains fast by recent standards and could quickly push the federal funds rate to a level of 5% or higher, more in line with rate-hiking cycles since the 1990s and a level some economists see as needed before the Fed&#39;s work is done.</p><p>&#34;How do you step down without giving external observers, financial markets, the wrong impression?&#34; Evans said. &#34;I think that puts a premium on explaining where we think we are, what we&#39;re expecting inflation to be doing, and when you&#39;re going to be willing to say &#39;I think I&#39;ve got the level of the funds rate that is adequately restrictive in order to be consistent with inflation coming down.&#39; It&#39;s hard. That&#39;s a hard discussion.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-22 08:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next month, is shifting to a debate over how much higher it can safely push borrowing costs and how and when to slow the pace of future increases.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is likely to provide a signal at its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting as officials weigh what some see as growing risks to economic growth against a lack of obvious progress in lowering inflation from its pandemic-related surge.</p><p>&#34;This debate about exactly where we should go, and then become more data-dependent, is going to heat up in the last part of the year here,&#34; St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a Reuters interview last week.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added her voice to that debate on Friday during an event in Monterey, California. While acknowledging that high inflation made it &#34;really challenging&#34; for the central bank to step down from its rate hikes, Daly said &#34;the time is now to start talking about stepping down. The time is now to start planning for stepping down.&#34;</p><p>Investors widely expect the Fed next month to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth consecutive time, lifting it to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%.</p><p>Yet even as markets point to another large increase at the final policy meeting of the year in December, sentiment is building within the Fed to take a breather. While the process of raising interest rates is not yet finished, policymakers feel they may be at the point where further increases can be smaller in size, and are close to where they can pause altogether in order to take stock as the economy adjusts to the rapid change in credit conditions the central bank has set in motion.</p><p>That advice has been subtle: In a speech earlier this month, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard offered a list of reasons to be cautious about further tightening without overtly calling for a slowdown or pause.</p><p>It also has been blunt: In comments this week in Virginia, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans warned of outsized &#34;nonlinear&#34; risks to the economy if the federal funds rate is lifted much beyond the 4.6% level officials projected in September that they would reach next year.</p><p>&#34;It really does begin to weigh on the economy,&#34; Evans said. Even with the existing rate outlook, it was a &#34;closer call than normal&#34; whether recession can be avoided.</p><p>With that view becoming more full-throated, and more economists saying a U.S. recession is likely next year, the November meeting may well be when the Fed signals it is time to slow down - a moment Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a Sept. 21 news conference would be approaching &#34;at some point.&#34;</p><p>Powell has not spoken publicly about monetary policy since then.</p><p><b>INFLATION SURPRISES</b></p><p>Data on inflation has offered little relief to the Fed. Headline consumer prices rose in September at an 8.2% annual rate. The U.S. central bank uses a different inflation measure for its 2% inflation target, but that remains roughly three times the target.</p><p>Job growth continues to be strong, with a still-outsized number of vacancies compared to the number of jobseekers. Employers say it remains difficult to find workers.</p><p>Yet even some of the Fed&#39;s most hawkish voices appear ready to let the economy have time to catch up with the monetary tightening already underway.</p><p>Bullard told Reuters he also sees a federal funds rate of around 4.6% as a point to pause and take stock, though he&#39;d prefer to get there by the end of this year with two more 75-basis-point increases and then let policy evolve in 2023 based on how inflation behaves.</p><p>Expectations at the Fed about inflation have begun to settle around three key points that both buttress the calls for caution on further rate hikes, but also leave policymakers wanting to keep their options open.</p><p>Inflation, officials acknowledge, has become broader and more persistent than anticipated, and may be slow to decline. Consumer prices are weighted towards rents, which are slow to change, and much of the current inflation is coming from service industries where price changes are harder to influence.</p><p>In economic projections released by the Fed in September, a version of policymakers&#39; preferred measure of inflation was seen ending 2023 above 3%. Recent staff estimates, recounted in the minutes of the last Fed meeting, indicated the economy may be much &#34;tighter&#34; than anticipated as high demand strains against potential output that may be more limited than thought.</p><p>But policymakers also agree the full impact of their rate hikes may not become clear for months, even as data is starting to show the seeds of an inflation slowdown taking root. Vehicle prices that drove the inflation surge in the early part of the pandemic are falling, and industry executives expect more; month-to-month data show rents are coming down and the housing industry, a barometer of other household spending, is slowing rapidly as the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage nears 7%.</p><p>Yet, in another point of agreement, risk sentiment among Fed officials is almost uniformly tilted towards the likelihood of more inflation surprises to come, putting the group on what some have described as a hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst footing. In September, 17 of 19 officials saw inflation risks as &#34;weighted to the upside.&#34;</p><p>In that situation, even if policymakers are ready to be done with the 75-basis-point rate increases, they won&#39;t want the public to equate smaller future hikes with a true policy &#34;pivot&#34; or a softened stance on inflation - a tricky point to communicate.</p><p>Even more dovish officials like Evans agree monetary policy needs to hit a more restrictive level and stay there until the back of inflation is broken. Others agree even if the Fed slows to half-percentage-point increases after next month&#39;s meeting, that remains fast by recent standards and could quickly push the federal funds rate to a level of 5% or higher, more in line with rate-hiking cycles since the 1990s and a level some economists see as needed before the Fed&#39;s work is done.</p><p>&#34;How do you step down without giving external observers, financial markets, the wrong impression?&#34; Evans said. &#34;I think that puts a premium on explaining where we think we are, what we&#39;re expecting inflation to be doing, and when you&#39;re going to be willing to say &#39;I think I&#39;ve got the level of the funds rate that is adequately restrictive in order to be consistent with inflation coming down.&#39; It&#39;s hard. That&#39;s a hard discussion.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2277025934","content_text":"(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next month, is shifting to a debate over how much higher it can safely push borrowing costs and how and when to slow the pace of future increases.The U.S. central bank is likely to provide a signal at its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting as officials weigh what some see as growing risks to economic growth against a lack of obvious progress in lowering inflation from its pandemic-related surge.\"This debate about exactly where we should go, and then become more data-dependent, is going to heat up in the last part of the year here,\" St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a Reuters interview last week.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added her voice to that debate on Friday during an event in Monterey, California. While acknowledging that high inflation made it \"really challenging\" for the central bank to step down from its rate hikes, Daly said \"the time is now to start talking about stepping down. The time is now to start planning for stepping down.\"Investors widely expect the Fed next month to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth consecutive time, lifting it to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%.Yet even as markets point to another large increase at the final policy meeting of the year in December, sentiment is building within the Fed to take a breather. While the process of raising interest rates is not yet finished, policymakers feel they may be at the point where further increases can be smaller in size, and are close to where they can pause altogether in order to take stock as the economy adjusts to the rapid change in credit conditions the central bank has set in motion.That advice has been subtle: In a speech earlier this month, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard offered a list of reasons to be cautious about further tightening without overtly calling for a slowdown or pause.It also has been blunt: In comments this week in Virginia, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans warned of outsized \"nonlinear\" risks to the economy if the federal funds rate is lifted much beyond the 4.6% level officials projected in September that they would reach next year.\"It really does begin to weigh on the economy,\" Evans said. Even with the existing rate outlook, it was a \"closer call than normal\" whether recession can be avoided.With that view becoming more full-throated, and more economists saying a U.S. recession is likely next year, the November meeting may well be when the Fed signals it is time to slow down - a moment Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a Sept. 21 news conference would be approaching \"at some point.\"Powell has not spoken publicly about monetary policy since then.INFLATION SURPRISESData on inflation has offered little relief to the Fed. Headline consumer prices rose in September at an 8.2% annual rate. The U.S. central bank uses a different inflation measure for its 2% inflation target, but that remains roughly three times the target.Job growth continues to be strong, with a still-outsized number of vacancies compared to the number of jobseekers. Employers say it remains difficult to find workers.Yet even some of the Fed's most hawkish voices appear ready to let the economy have time to catch up with the monetary tightening already underway.Bullard told Reuters he also sees a federal funds rate of around 4.6% as a point to pause and take stock, though he'd prefer to get there by the end of this year with two more 75-basis-point increases and then let policy evolve in 2023 based on how inflation behaves.Expectations at the Fed about inflation have begun to settle around three key points that both buttress the calls for caution on further rate hikes, but also leave policymakers wanting to keep their options open.Inflation, officials acknowledge, has become broader and more persistent than anticipated, and may be slow to decline. Consumer prices are weighted towards rents, which are slow to change, and much of the current inflation is coming from service industries where price changes are harder to influence.In economic projections released by the Fed in September, a version of policymakers' preferred measure of inflation was seen ending 2023 above 3%. Recent staff estimates, recounted in the minutes of the last Fed meeting, indicated the economy may be much \"tighter\" than anticipated as high demand strains against potential output that may be more limited than thought.But policymakers also agree the full impact of their rate hikes may not become clear for months, even as data is starting to show the seeds of an inflation slowdown taking root. Vehicle prices that drove the inflation surge in the early part of the pandemic are falling, and industry executives expect more; month-to-month data show rents are coming down and the housing industry, a barometer of other household spending, is slowing rapidly as the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage nears 7%.Yet, in another point of agreement, risk sentiment among Fed officials is almost uniformly tilted towards the likelihood of more inflation surprises to come, putting the group on what some have described as a hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst footing. In September, 17 of 19 officials saw inflation risks as \"weighted to the upside.\"In that situation, even if policymakers are ready to be done with the 75-basis-point rate increases, they won't want the public to equate smaller future hikes with a true policy \"pivot\" or a softened stance on inflation - a tricky point to communicate.Even more dovish officials like Evans agree monetary policy needs to hit a more restrictive level and stay there until the back of inflation is broken. Others agree even if the Fed slows to half-percentage-point increases after next month's meeting, that remains fast by recent standards and could quickly push the federal funds rate to a level of 5% or higher, more in line with rate-hiking cycles since the 1990s and a level some economists see as needed before the Fed's work is done.\"How do you step down without giving external observers, financial markets, the wrong impression?\" Evans said. \"I think that puts a premium on explaining where we think we are, what we're expecting inflation to be doing, and when you're going to be willing to say 'I think I've got the level of the funds rate that is adequately restrictive in order to be consistent with inflation coming down.' It's hard. That's a hard discussion.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915659303,"gmtCreate":1665025381402,"gmtModify":1676537546533,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Honestly I‘ve never heard of anyone say bad things about ETFs yet!","listText":"Honestly I‘ve never heard of anyone say bad things about ETFs yet!","text":"Honestly I‘ve never heard of anyone say bad things about ETFs yet!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915659303","repostId":"9915353786","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9915353786,"gmtCreate":1664967484405,"gmtModify":1676537536857,"author":{"id":"4117019249845262","authorId":"4117019249845262","name":"PortfolioHub","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf76d90ff16225a39ec63efe71cec9db","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4117019249845262","authorIdStr":"4117019249845262"},"themes":[],"title":"What is an ETF? 5 Reasons Why They Beat Mutual Funds","htmlText":"ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) is a type of investment fund that tracks an index or group of securities. The main advantage of investing in ETFs over mutual funds is their low cost. This means investors get access to diversified portfolios at lower costs.Photo byPrecondo CAonUnsplashThere are several advantages of using ETFs instead of mutual funds. In today’s post I will be discussing the benefits of investing in ETFs and how they can help you achieve your financial goals.What Is an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF)?An exchange traded fund is a collection of securities that track an index — such as the S&amp;P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, or the Euro STOXX 50 — and trade like individual stocks. They are popular because they offer diversification benefits a","listText":"ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) is a type of investment fund that tracks an index or group of securities. The main advantage of investing in ETFs over mutual funds is their low cost. This means investors get access to diversified portfolios at lower costs.Photo byPrecondo CAonUnsplashThere are several advantages of using ETFs instead of mutual funds. In today’s post I will be discussing the benefits of investing in ETFs and how they can help you achieve your financial goals.What Is an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF)?An exchange traded fund is a collection of securities that track an index — such as the S&amp;P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, or the Euro STOXX 50 — and trade like individual stocks. They are popular because they offer diversification benefits a","text":"ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) is a type of investment fund that tracks an index or group of securities. The main advantage of investing in ETFs over mutual funds is their low cost. This means investors get access to diversified portfolios at lower costs.Photo byPrecondo CAonUnsplashThere are several advantages of using ETFs instead of mutual funds. In today’s post I will be discussing the benefits of investing in ETFs and how they can help you achieve your financial goals.What Is an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF)?An exchange traded fund is a collection of securities that track an index — such as the S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, or the Euro STOXX 50 — and trade like individual stocks. They are popular because they offer diversification benefits a","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9fbdd8748db7a6f1cc9ec464d61db6ce","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915353786","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000583","authorId":"9000000000000583","name":"FrankRebecca","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d5adf454a12436f689bf03957e56db7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000583","authorIdStr":"9000000000000583"},"content":"ETF may have lower earning than stocks if it's in bullish trend.","text":"ETF may have lower earning than stocks if it's in bullish trend.","html":"ETF may have lower earning than stocks if it's in bullish trend."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989815212,"gmtCreate":1665968064836,"gmtModify":1676537684295,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🥲🥲","listText":"🥲🥲","text":"🥲🥲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989815212","repostId":"2275997619","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275997619","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665965377,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275997619?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-17 08:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft: Don't Lose Your Money","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275997619","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Article ThesisMicrosoft is a very high-quality company with growth tailwinds that seems poised for c","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Article Thesis</h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> is a very high-quality company with growth tailwinds that seems poised for compelling total returns in the long run from the current level. And yet, famous short seller Hedgeye recently recommended Microsoft as a compelling short idea. I do not believe that MSFT is a great short pick at current valuations, as I will lay out in this article, and I do believe that shorting Microsoft could be a money-losing idea. Both from a valuation perspective and from a business-quality perspective, there are way better short ideas available for those that are interested in shorting individual stocks.</p><h2>One Of The Highest-Quality Companies In The World</h2><p>I do believe that Microsoft can be described as a company of excellent quality. This belief is based on several factors. The first one is Microsoft&#39;s excellent balance sheet. As one of just two companies in the world, it holds an AAA credit rating, the other one being Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ). In other words, rating agencies believe that a Microsoft default is less likely than a US government default, showcasing the exceptionally low financial risks for Microsoft.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8867c1fbb4246270415a1cd091cbbf3\" tg-width=\"621\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Microsoft 10-K</span></p><p>The company holds a net cash position of $58 billion, as we can see in the above excerpt from Microsoft&#39;s most recent 10-K. That is equal to about 4% of the company&#39;s current market capitalization, which is a much stronger cash balance compared to what most other companies operate with.</p><p>Microsoft has many other strengths on top of that, however. Its returns on capital and margins are excellent, for example:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a7aff828b3a71aec73673706888c66a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Microsoft&#39;s net profit margin stands at a very high level of 37%, which has several advantages. First, it means that Microsoft will earn a large amount of money on incremental sales, meaning that business growth is highly profitable for investors over time. On top of that, the very high profit margin protects Microsoft from downturns. If inflation (e.g., for employee compensation) were to hurt Microsoft&#39;s profit margins by a couple hundred of base points, the company could easily stomach that. A company operating with low profit margins would see its net profits get devastated in the same scenario.</p><p>Microsoft&#39;s quality is also showcased by its recession resilience. Many of the company&#39;s products are essential for business and how we live our lives, such as the Windows operating system and the Microsoft Office suite. Not surprisingly, MSFT has seen its revenue remain very resilient versus past crises:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d61ed5cee2c7605de079a25d05558c6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Since the company went public around 40 years ago, there was barely any revenue decline. During the Great Recession and in 2016 revenues dropped marginally, but that was by far not enough to threaten the company&#39;s profitability meaningfully. The company thus also didn&#39;t have to cut its dividend in those times, although it should be noted that its dividend yield is rather low, making MSFT far from a great income pick. Still, the resilience versus recessions and other types of macro issues such as the pandemic is great for long-term holders, especially for those that are looking for a sleep-well-at-night pick.</p><p>Last but not least, Microsoft also has strong management in place. Its current CEO Satya Nadella has guided the company very well for years and has identified clear growth trends such as mobile and cloud computing.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfefa57d6b64416d48801e928cca287\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Insiders own a little more than 6% of the company, and that amount has been growing over the years. That amounts to around $100 billion that insiders have invested in the company, leading to strong alignment with other shareholders -- there&#39;s thus little risk that the company&#39;s executives will pursue strategies that will not create value for the company&#39;s owners.</p><p>Microsoft thus is a company of great quality, but there are two other reasons on top of that why I believe that shorting MSFT is far from a great idea here.</p><h2>Microsoft Has A Compelling Growth Outlook</h2><p>First, the company should experience considerable business growth and even stronger earnings per share growth over the coming years. As we have seen earlier, recessions have barely any impact on Microsoft, thus the current economic downturn does not seem like a reason to worry too much. In the long run, several macro trends are poised to lead to significant revenue gains for the company. With Azure, Microsoft is one of the leading cloud computing companies in the world. The cloud computing market is forecasted to grow at an annual rate of 16% between 2022 and 2028 according to this study. As one of the leading players in this space, Microsoft should get a sizeable portion of the to-be-created market opportunity.</p><p>Its legacy businesses Windows and Office will be growing less, but will deliver some growth nevertheless. Price increases and some additions of new customers, e.g., due to digitalization in developing countries, should allow for a meaningful growth rate, even though double-digit revenue gains are unlikely in those segments in the long run. Microsoft&#39;s gaming business is not overly large yet, relative to the company&#39;s size overall, but keeps growing, and its pending acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) should accelerate Microsoft&#39;s growth potential in that space further, due to MSFT getting access to strong IP and ATVI&#39;s talent.</p><p>Between these growth drivers, Microsoft is forecasted to see its revenue grow by double-digits every year through 2030:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf181a8ec76d71463172fe8fbd9b386c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>Of course, forecasting revenues 5 or 8 years from now comes with considerable uncertainties. So let&#39;s assume that actual growth will be just half as high as expected, even though Microsoft has a history of outperforming expectations -- it has beaten revenue estimates in 9 out of the last 10 quarters. If revenue growth is just half as high as expected, that would pencil out to an annual growth rate of around 6%. That would still be far from bad. Earnings per share growth should be higher, due to the impact of share repurchases. With Microsoft trading at a low 20s earnings multiple today, it can repurchase shares at a pretty meaningful pace.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d51d10a185ef2b1dc2550e9e1af574a5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Buybacks have totaled $31 billion over the last year, equal to around 2% of the company&#39;s market capitalization. The buyback amount has been steadily growing, however, which is why I believe that future buybacks will be higher. But even with 2% of its shares being bought back per year, Microsoft&#39;s earnings per share would likely grow at a pace of 8% in the 6% revenue growth scenario.</p><p>Thus, when we expect that MSFT will massively underperform expectations and grow just half as much as forecasted, even though MSFT has a history of performing <i>better</i> than expected, Microsoft still should deliver a high-single-digit earnings per share growth rate. Shorting unprofitable companies, or those with declining profits, seems like a better idea to me compared to shorting highly profitable companies with good earnings growth outlooks that can buy back shares at a hefty pace.</p><h2>Microsoft: Valuation Is Undemanding</h2><p>Last but not least, there&#39;s a final reason why I believe that Microsoft is far from a great short today. In fact, I believe that MSFT is suitable for a long investment at current prices.</p><p>The company&#39;s valuation was pretty high a year ago, but has come down to a very reasonable level in the recent past:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a51094907a3d1bd7cf5fb0cc2b99110\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>At current prices, Microsoft trades for a low-20s earnings multiple, while next year&#39;s earnings multiple is even lower, at just 19. That is, I believe, an inexpensive valuation for a company of great quality that has a compelling growth outlook. Also, very telling, it represents a clear discount compared to how Microsoft was valued over the last three and five years. In fact, its valuation could expand by close to 50% for the company to trade in line with the averages over the last 3 and 5 years. The 10-year median earnings multiple is lower, but still around 20% higher than the company&#39;s current valuation. This suggests that right now is a relatively opportune time to add shares of Microsoft. At the same time, with MSFT trading below the historic valuation norm today, it looks like a rather bad time to enter a short position. Microsoft was trading at a historically high earnings multiple of 36 at the beginning of the year -- it would have been a much better short back then. But shares have dropped more than 30% since then, and now they don&#39;t look like a good short at all, I believe.</p><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>Microsoft is a great company with a compelling long-term growth outlook. At the same time, its current valuation is below the historically normal range today. I thus believe that right now is a bad time to enter a short position in Microsoft stock, especially as it has proven to be very resilient versus recessions in the past.</p><p>Of course, every stock could decline during an ongoing market downturn. But if one wants to speculate on that, shorting the indices could be a better idea. Alternatively, shorting non-profitable or highly leveraged companies could be a solid way to play an ongoing market downturn. But shorting one of the highest-quality companies in the world while it is trading at a clear discount compared to how it used to be valued does not seem like a good strategy to me -- it could lose short sellers a lot of money.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft: Don't Lose Your Money</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft: Don't Lose Your Money\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-17 08:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546707-microsoft-dont-lose-your-money><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Article ThesisMicrosoft is a very high-quality company with growth tailwinds that seems poised for compelling total returns in the long run from the current level. And yet, famous short seller Hedgeye...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546707-microsoft-dont-lose-your-money\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546707-microsoft-dont-lose-your-money","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2275997619","content_text":"Article ThesisMicrosoft is a very high-quality company with growth tailwinds that seems poised for compelling total returns in the long run from the current level. And yet, famous short seller Hedgeye recently recommended Microsoft as a compelling short idea. I do not believe that MSFT is a great short pick at current valuations, as I will lay out in this article, and I do believe that shorting Microsoft could be a money-losing idea. Both from a valuation perspective and from a business-quality perspective, there are way better short ideas available for those that are interested in shorting individual stocks.One Of The Highest-Quality Companies In The WorldI do believe that Microsoft can be described as a company of excellent quality. This belief is based on several factors. The first one is Microsoft's excellent balance sheet. As one of just two companies in the world, it holds an AAA credit rating, the other one being Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). In other words, rating agencies believe that a Microsoft default is less likely than a US government default, showcasing the exceptionally low financial risks for Microsoft.Microsoft 10-KThe company holds a net cash position of $58 billion, as we can see in the above excerpt from Microsoft's most recent 10-K. That is equal to about 4% of the company's current market capitalization, which is a much stronger cash balance compared to what most other companies operate with.Microsoft has many other strengths on top of that, however. Its returns on capital and margins are excellent, for example:Data by YChartsMicrosoft's net profit margin stands at a very high level of 37%, which has several advantages. First, it means that Microsoft will earn a large amount of money on incremental sales, meaning that business growth is highly profitable for investors over time. On top of that, the very high profit margin protects Microsoft from downturns. If inflation (e.g., for employee compensation) were to hurt Microsoft's profit margins by a couple hundred of base points, the company could easily stomach that. A company operating with low profit margins would see its net profits get devastated in the same scenario.Microsoft's quality is also showcased by its recession resilience. Many of the company's products are essential for business and how we live our lives, such as the Windows operating system and the Microsoft Office suite. Not surprisingly, MSFT has seen its revenue remain very resilient versus past crises:Data by YChartsSince the company went public around 40 years ago, there was barely any revenue decline. During the Great Recession and in 2016 revenues dropped marginally, but that was by far not enough to threaten the company's profitability meaningfully. The company thus also didn't have to cut its dividend in those times, although it should be noted that its dividend yield is rather low, making MSFT far from a great income pick. Still, the resilience versus recessions and other types of macro issues such as the pandemic is great for long-term holders, especially for those that are looking for a sleep-well-at-night pick.Last but not least, Microsoft also has strong management in place. Its current CEO Satya Nadella has guided the company very well for years and has identified clear growth trends such as mobile and cloud computing.Data by YChartsInsiders own a little more than 6% of the company, and that amount has been growing over the years. That amounts to around $100 billion that insiders have invested in the company, leading to strong alignment with other shareholders -- there's thus little risk that the company's executives will pursue strategies that will not create value for the company's owners.Microsoft thus is a company of great quality, but there are two other reasons on top of that why I believe that shorting MSFT is far from a great idea here.Microsoft Has A Compelling Growth OutlookFirst, the company should experience considerable business growth and even stronger earnings per share growth over the coming years. As we have seen earlier, recessions have barely any impact on Microsoft, thus the current economic downturn does not seem like a reason to worry too much. In the long run, several macro trends are poised to lead to significant revenue gains for the company. With Azure, Microsoft is one of the leading cloud computing companies in the world. The cloud computing market is forecasted to grow at an annual rate of 16% between 2022 and 2028 according to this study. As one of the leading players in this space, Microsoft should get a sizeable portion of the to-be-created market opportunity.Its legacy businesses Windows and Office will be growing less, but will deliver some growth nevertheless. Price increases and some additions of new customers, e.g., due to digitalization in developing countries, should allow for a meaningful growth rate, even though double-digit revenue gains are unlikely in those segments in the long run. Microsoft's gaming business is not overly large yet, relative to the company's size overall, but keeps growing, and its pending acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) should accelerate Microsoft's growth potential in that space further, due to MSFT getting access to strong IP and ATVI's talent.Between these growth drivers, Microsoft is forecasted to see its revenue grow by double-digits every year through 2030:Seeking AlphaOf course, forecasting revenues 5 or 8 years from now comes with considerable uncertainties. So let's assume that actual growth will be just half as high as expected, even though Microsoft has a history of outperforming expectations -- it has beaten revenue estimates in 9 out of the last 10 quarters. If revenue growth is just half as high as expected, that would pencil out to an annual growth rate of around 6%. That would still be far from bad. Earnings per share growth should be higher, due to the impact of share repurchases. With Microsoft trading at a low 20s earnings multiple today, it can repurchase shares at a pretty meaningful pace.Data by YChartsBuybacks have totaled $31 billion over the last year, equal to around 2% of the company's market capitalization. The buyback amount has been steadily growing, however, which is why I believe that future buybacks will be higher. But even with 2% of its shares being bought back per year, Microsoft's earnings per share would likely grow at a pace of 8% in the 6% revenue growth scenario.Thus, when we expect that MSFT will massively underperform expectations and grow just half as much as forecasted, even though MSFT has a history of performing better than expected, Microsoft still should deliver a high-single-digit earnings per share growth rate. Shorting unprofitable companies, or those with declining profits, seems like a better idea to me compared to shorting highly profitable companies with good earnings growth outlooks that can buy back shares at a hefty pace.Microsoft: Valuation Is UndemandingLast but not least, there's a final reason why I believe that Microsoft is far from a great short today. In fact, I believe that MSFT is suitable for a long investment at current prices.The company's valuation was pretty high a year ago, but has come down to a very reasonable level in the recent past:Data by YChartsAt current prices, Microsoft trades for a low-20s earnings multiple, while next year's earnings multiple is even lower, at just 19. That is, I believe, an inexpensive valuation for a company of great quality that has a compelling growth outlook. Also, very telling, it represents a clear discount compared to how Microsoft was valued over the last three and five years. In fact, its valuation could expand by close to 50% for the company to trade in line with the averages over the last 3 and 5 years. The 10-year median earnings multiple is lower, but still around 20% higher than the company's current valuation. This suggests that right now is a relatively opportune time to add shares of Microsoft. At the same time, with MSFT trading below the historic valuation norm today, it looks like a rather bad time to enter a short position. Microsoft was trading at a historically high earnings multiple of 36 at the beginning of the year -- it would have been a much better short back then. But shares have dropped more than 30% since then, and now they don't look like a good short at all, I believe.TakeawayMicrosoft is a great company with a compelling long-term growth outlook. At the same time, its current valuation is below the historically normal range today. I thus believe that right now is a bad time to enter a short position in Microsoft stock, especially as it has proven to be very resilient versus recessions in the past.Of course, every stock could decline during an ongoing market downturn. But if one wants to speculate on that, shorting the indices could be a better idea. Alternatively, shorting non-profitable or highly leveraged companies could be a solid way to play an ongoing market downturn. But shorting one of the highest-quality companies in the world while it is trading at a clear discount compared to how it used to be valued does not seem like a good strategy to me -- it could lose short sellers a lot of money.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961940582,"gmtCreate":1668824422246,"gmtModify":1676538118534,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961940582","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960438469,"gmtCreate":1668220178751,"gmtModify":1676538030549,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960438469","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964691992,"gmtCreate":1670127083916,"gmtModify":1676538307631,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964691992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983974180,"gmtCreate":1666143963540,"gmtModify":1676537712898,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983974180","repostId":"2276398140","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276398140","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1666130431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276398140?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-19 06:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276398140","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.Goldman Sachs Gr","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.</p><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc gained 2.33% after reporting a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit as a boost in net interest income cushioned the blow from a slowdown in investment banking.</p><p>The investment bank, which is reorganizing its business into three units, largely closed out earnings from major financial firms on a largely positive note, even though several lenders raised the loan loss provisions in anticipation of troubled times ahead.</p><p>Lockheed Martin shot up 8.69% after the weapons maker posted stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and maintained its 2022 revenue view. The gains helped lift the S&amp;P industrials index as the best performing of the 11 major sectors.</p><p>&#34;The banks were good... we’ll see if some of the other ones, more of the consumer sensitive ones, can they pass through their cost increases, have they stopped passing them though, but yeah people are hoping for better,&#34; said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;We need to see more of the earnings data, we need to see more of the data that will knock down inflation and then you can maybe get your rally going, until then I think everybody would say treat all rallies as suspect.&#34;</p><p>Analysts now expect quarterly earnings growth for S&amp;P 500 companies of just 2.8% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 337.98 points, or 1.12%, to 30,523.8, the S&amp;P 500 gained 42.03 points, or 1.14%, to 3,719.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 96.60 points, or 0.9%, to 10,772.40.</p><p>Also providing a boost was a 4.31% rise in Salesforce Inc shares after a media report that activist investor Starboard Value LP has picked up stake in the enterprise software firm.</p><p>Stocks briefly pared gains late in the session after a report that Apple was cutting production of its iPhone 14 Plus just weeks after starting shipments, before shares of the tech giant recovered and ended the session up 0.94%.</p><p>Signs the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive rate hike path may be starting to crimp the labor market were beginning to appear. Microsoft Corp, was little changed after a report it was laying off under 1,000 employees this week, becoming the latest U.S. technology company to cut jobs or slow hiring amid a global economic slowdown.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s path has left many investors worried it could tilt the economy into a recession by making a policy mistake and raising rates too much. Fed officials have largely been in sync in comments about the need for the central bank to tamp down inflation.</p><p>A report said ratings agency Fitch has slashed U.S. growth forecasts for this year and next and was set to warn that the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes and inflation will drive the economy into a 1990-style recession.</p><p>But economic data on Tuesday indicated the manufacturing sector remains on reasonable footing despite the Fed&#39;s efforts, although they appear to be sharply weighing on the housing market.</p><p>Netflix lost 1.73% ahead of its earnings report after the market close, with all eyes on the video-streaming company&#39;s subscriber growth, which is seen falling in the third quarter. But its shares surged 14.49% after the closing bell as it reversed subscriber declines.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.67 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.70-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 102 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-19 06:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.</p><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc gained 2.33% after reporting a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit as a boost in net interest income cushioned the blow from a slowdown in investment banking.</p><p>The investment bank, which is reorganizing its business into three units, largely closed out earnings from major financial firms on a largely positive note, even though several lenders raised the loan loss provisions in anticipation of troubled times ahead.</p><p>Lockheed Martin shot up 8.69% after the weapons maker posted stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and maintained its 2022 revenue view. The gains helped lift the S&amp;P industrials index as the best performing of the 11 major sectors.</p><p>&#34;The banks were good... we’ll see if some of the other ones, more of the consumer sensitive ones, can they pass through their cost increases, have they stopped passing them though, but yeah people are hoping for better,&#34; said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;We need to see more of the earnings data, we need to see more of the data that will knock down inflation and then you can maybe get your rally going, until then I think everybody would say treat all rallies as suspect.&#34;</p><p>Analysts now expect quarterly earnings growth for S&amp;P 500 companies of just 2.8% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 337.98 points, or 1.12%, to 30,523.8, the S&amp;P 500 gained 42.03 points, or 1.14%, to 3,719.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 96.60 points, or 0.9%, to 10,772.40.</p><p>Also providing a boost was a 4.31% rise in Salesforce Inc shares after a media report that activist investor Starboard Value LP has picked up stake in the enterprise software firm.</p><p>Stocks briefly pared gains late in the session after a report that Apple was cutting production of its iPhone 14 Plus just weeks after starting shipments, before shares of the tech giant recovered and ended the session up 0.94%.</p><p>Signs the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive rate hike path may be starting to crimp the labor market were beginning to appear. Microsoft Corp, was little changed after a report it was laying off under 1,000 employees this week, becoming the latest U.S. technology company to cut jobs or slow hiring amid a global economic slowdown.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s path has left many investors worried it could tilt the economy into a recession by making a policy mistake and raising rates too much. Fed officials have largely been in sync in comments about the need for the central bank to tamp down inflation.</p><p>A report said ratings agency Fitch has slashed U.S. growth forecasts for this year and next and was set to warn that the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes and inflation will drive the economy into a 1990-style recession.</p><p>But economic data on Tuesday indicated the manufacturing sector remains on reasonable footing despite the Fed&#39;s efforts, although they appear to be sharply weighing on the housing market.</p><p>Netflix lost 1.73% ahead of its earnings report after the market close, with all eyes on the video-streaming company&#39;s subscriber growth, which is seen falling in the third quarter. But its shares surged 14.49% after the closing bell as it reversed subscriber declines.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.67 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.70-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 102 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276398140","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.Goldman Sachs Group Inc gained 2.33% after reporting a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit as a boost in net interest income cushioned the blow from a slowdown in investment banking.The investment bank, which is reorganizing its business into three units, largely closed out earnings from major financial firms on a largely positive note, even though several lenders raised the loan loss provisions in anticipation of troubled times ahead.Lockheed Martin shot up 8.69% after the weapons maker posted stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and maintained its 2022 revenue view. The gains helped lift the S&P industrials index as the best performing of the 11 major sectors.\"The banks were good... we’ll see if some of the other ones, more of the consumer sensitive ones, can they pass through their cost increases, have they stopped passing them though, but yeah people are hoping for better,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.\"We need to see more of the earnings data, we need to see more of the data that will knock down inflation and then you can maybe get your rally going, until then I think everybody would say treat all rallies as suspect.\"Analysts now expect quarterly earnings growth for S&P 500 companies of just 2.8% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 337.98 points, or 1.12%, to 30,523.8, the S&P 500 gained 42.03 points, or 1.14%, to 3,719.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 96.60 points, or 0.9%, to 10,772.40.Also providing a boost was a 4.31% rise in Salesforce Inc shares after a media report that activist investor Starboard Value LP has picked up stake in the enterprise software firm.Stocks briefly pared gains late in the session after a report that Apple was cutting production of its iPhone 14 Plus just weeks after starting shipments, before shares of the tech giant recovered and ended the session up 0.94%.Signs the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike path may be starting to crimp the labor market were beginning to appear. Microsoft Corp, was little changed after a report it was laying off under 1,000 employees this week, becoming the latest U.S. technology company to cut jobs or slow hiring amid a global economic slowdown.The Fed's path has left many investors worried it could tilt the economy into a recession by making a policy mistake and raising rates too much. Fed officials have largely been in sync in comments about the need for the central bank to tamp down inflation.A report said ratings agency Fitch has slashed U.S. growth forecasts for this year and next and was set to warn that the Fed's interest rate hikes and inflation will drive the economy into a 1990-style recession.But economic data on Tuesday indicated the manufacturing sector remains on reasonable footing despite the Fed's efforts, although they appear to be sharply weighing on the housing market.Netflix lost 1.73% ahead of its earnings report after the market close, with all eyes on the video-streaming company's subscriber growth, which is seen falling in the third quarter. But its shares surged 14.49% after the closing bell as it reversed subscriber declines.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.67 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.70-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 102 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965657893,"gmtCreate":1669948678013,"gmtModify":1676538276262,"author":{"id":"4127957143022882","authorId":"4127957143022882","name":"phoebepurplegirl","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1a8c550120d6cebe5e344ebaf1373ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127957143022882","authorIdStr":"4127957143022882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 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