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2023-01-16

Valuable knowledge

Take Warren Buffett's Advice: Buy Stocks With These 3 Attributes

2023-01-12

Ok

American Companies Face Pressure on the Margins

2023-01-12

Worth monitoring the trend

These 3 Singapore Stocks’ Share Prices Are Breaking New 52-Week Highs: Can Their Rise Continue?

2023-01-11

Wow.. another breakthrough

US Inks $25 Million Deal to Fight Ebola With Moderna Technology

2023-01-11

EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?

EV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%

2023-01-10

Is the rise sustainable?

These Stocks Are Moving the Most Monday: Tesla, Zillow, Regeneron, Macy’s, and More

2023-01-09

Interesting forecast

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-12-30

Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen

Why These 10 Financial Stocks Could Soar in 2023

2022-12-30

Interesting analysis

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-12-15

This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due to this hike [Smug]

Wall Street Ends Lower After Latest Fed Rate Hike

2022-12-14

The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]

Alibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today

2022-12-13

Assess the market risk and act prudently

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-12-11

Interesting view point [Surprised]

Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a "Santa Claus" Rally This Year

2022-12-10

Agree with this assessment

Sorry, the original content has been removed

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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knowledge","listText":"Valuable knowledge","text":"Valuable knowledge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956992250","repostId":"2303469523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2303469523","pubTimestamp":1673870004,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2303469523?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-16 19:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Take Warren Buffett's Advice: Buy Stocks With These 3 Attributes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2303469523","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Warren Buffett's company Berkshire Hathaway has greatly outperformed the stock market since 1965.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If you are an active investor, then you&#39;ve likely heard the name Warren Buffett once or twice, given that he&#39;s one of the greatest investors of all time.</p><p>His company <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> has beaten the broader market handily since Buffett took over the firm in 1965. A big part of Berkshire&#39;s outperformance is thanks to its large equities portfolio now valued at more than $322 billion, where Buffett and his investing team buy and sell individual stocks.</p><p>When choosing individual stocks, retail investors can learn a lot from the Oracle of Omaha&#39;s investing strategy. They should take Warren Buffett&#39;s advice and buy stocks with these three attributes.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf4cfd62150fe71eaf74e63fe8dad0b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p><h2>1. 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Valuation</h2><p>Buffett has been a great value investor over the years; he purchases stocks trading below their intrinsic value that the market has either ignored or perhaps doesn&#39;t understand, but that will trade up to or above their intrinsic value over time.</p><p>Now, there is a method to the madness, and Buffett and Berkshire do not simply look for stocks trading at bargain valuations. As Buffett once wrote in a letter to shareholders, &#34;It&#39;s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.&#34;</p><p>That means don&#39;t let valuation blind you. If something is trading at a huge discount to its book value, there is likely a good reason for the discount. Instead, it&#39;s a better idea to find a company that is great and that you can buy at a fair valuation, which will serve you better long term.</p><p>One example is <b>Bank of America</b>, the second-largest holding in Berkshire&#39;s portfolio. Bank of America currently trades at about 160% of its tangible book value, which is hardly a discounted bank stock valuation, especially in today&#39;s market. But Bank of America is now the second-largest bank by assets in the U.S., is highly profitable, and has developed a strong moat with its deposit and lending franchise. Long term, Buffett believes this is still a very fair valuation at which to own the stock.</p><h2>3. An impenetrable brand</h2><p>Another theme you will see among many of Berkshire&#39;s holdings is incredibly strong brand power. Think Apple and <b>Coca-Cola</b>. Now, why does Buffett like strong brands? It&#39;s not because of the funny commercials.</p><p>The real reason is that strong brands provide these companies with a tremendous amount of pricing power. This comes in handy in times of high inflation like the one we are in today. 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Companies with this kind of branding power can be great long-term stocks to own.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Take Warren Buffett's Advice: Buy Stocks With These 3 Attributes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTake Warren Buffett's Advice: Buy Stocks With These 3 Attributes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-16 19:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/15/take-warren-buffetts-advice-buy-stocks-with-these/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are an active investor, then you've likely heard the name Warren Buffett once or twice, given that he's one of the greatest investors of all time.His company Berkshire Hathaway has beaten the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/15/take-warren-buffetts-advice-buy-stocks-with-these/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","SG9999003800.SGD":"Nikko AM Global Dividend Equity Acc SGD-H","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4515":"5G概念","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","PEP":"百事可乐","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BAC":"美国银行","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","BK4507":"流媒体概念","AXP":"美国运通","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc USD","BK4575":"芯片概念","SG9999011175.SGD":"Nikko AM Global Dividend Equity Dis SGD-H","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","SG9999004303.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Global Opportunities SGD","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SG9999014542.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Acc SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","AAPL":"苹果","BK4574":"无人驾驶","SG9999014567.USD":"UOB UNITED INCOME FOCUS TRUST FUND (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4573":"虚拟现实","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","SG9999015358.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Dis SGD-H","KO":"可口可乐","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/15/take-warren-buffetts-advice-buy-stocks-with-these/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2303469523","content_text":"If you are an active investor, then you've likely heard the name Warren Buffett once or twice, given that he's one of the greatest investors of all time.His company Berkshire Hathaway has beaten the broader market handily since Buffett took over the firm in 1965. A big part of Berkshire's outperformance is thanks to its large equities portfolio now valued at more than $322 billion, where Buffett and his investing team buy and sell individual stocks.When choosing individual stocks, retail investors can learn a lot from the Oracle of Omaha's investing strategy. They should take Warren Buffett's advice and buy stocks with these three attributes.Image source: The Motley Fool.1. Consistent performanceThe first thing Buffett looks for is whether or not the company he is interested in has a solid track record when it comes to financial performance.One of the ways Buffett evaluates this is through return on shareholder equity (ROE), which is defined as net income divided by equity, and profit margins, which looks at how much of a company's revenue becomes profit. The goal is not to find a company that can generate a strong ROE or profit margin once, but one that can do it over and over and through a variety of different economic environments.For instance, one of Berkshire Hathaway's largest holdings, the credit card and payments firm American Express, has generated above a 12% ROE for the last decade, and many times that ROE was 25% or above. Meanwhile, Apple, which is by far Berkshire's largest holding in its portfolio, has had over a 20% profit margin since 2010.2. ValuationBuffett has been a great value investor over the years; he purchases stocks trading below their intrinsic value that the market has either ignored or perhaps doesn't understand, but that will trade up to or above their intrinsic value over time.Now, there is a method to the madness, and Buffett and Berkshire do not simply look for stocks trading at bargain valuations. As Buffett once wrote in a letter to shareholders, \"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.\"That means don't let valuation blind you. If something is trading at a huge discount to its book value, there is likely a good reason for the discount. Instead, it's a better idea to find a company that is great and that you can buy at a fair valuation, which will serve you better long term.One example is Bank of America, the second-largest holding in Berkshire's portfolio. Bank of America currently trades at about 160% of its tangible book value, which is hardly a discounted bank stock valuation, especially in today's market. But Bank of America is now the second-largest bank by assets in the U.S., is highly profitable, and has developed a strong moat with its deposit and lending franchise. Long term, Buffett believes this is still a very fair valuation at which to own the stock.3. An impenetrable brandAnother theme you will see among many of Berkshire's holdings is incredibly strong brand power. Think Apple and Coca-Cola. Now, why does Buffett like strong brands? It's not because of the funny commercials.The real reason is that strong brands provide these companies with a tremendous amount of pricing power. This comes in handy in times of high inflation like the one we are in today. Even though Apple's or Coca-Cola's cost of doing business has gone up, their strong brands allow them to raise the prices of their products without too much pushback from consumers.Think about the iPhone and what a big part of people's lives it has become. If the price of an iPhone goes up $100, most consumers are still going to buy it anyway, especially if they've been with the brand for a while. And how many times have you heard somebody say they will never drink Pepsi over Coke?Even if Pepsi happens to be cheaper, odds are that if a person has a choice between the two, they are still likely going to pick Coke. Companies with this kind of branding power can be great long-term stocks to own.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951497244,"gmtCreate":1673535678289,"gmtModify":1676538852726,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951497244","repostId":"2302860984","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2302860984","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1673525718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2302860984?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-12 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"American Companies Face Pressure on the Margins","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302860984","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Earnings at big public companies haven't been growing all that much lately. Which isn't to say that ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Earnings at big public companies haven&#39;t been growing all that much lately. Which isn&#39;t to say that companies haven&#39;t been extremely profitable.</p><p>Earnings season is getting under way, and results for the final quarter of last year look to be underwhelming. Analysts&#39; latest estimates are for earnings per share for members of the S&amp;P 500 to have shrunk by 2.2% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier -- a figure that is flattered by an expected 65% gain in energy-sector earnings. Exclude those, and analysts estimate earnings fell by 6.7%.</p><p>Actual results likely won&#39;t be quite so bad, since by the time companies start reporting analysts have typically lowered estimates to the point that most companies easily exceed them. But they will probably still count as a deep disappointment based on where expectations stood a year ago, when analysts thought that fourth-quarter 2022 S&amp;P 500 earnings would register a 14.3% gain.</p><p>Two things hit companies at once in the past year. First, sales growth weakened as economies around the world struggled. Second, costs rose faster than sales, cutting into bottom lines. S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices estimates that S&amp;P 500 operating margins fell to 12.1% in the fourth quarter from 13.4% a year earlier. But 12.1% is still very high: In the prepandemic fourth quarter of 2019, S&amp;P 500 operating margins stood at 10.6%.</p><p>This is a reflection of how much margins benefited from the Covid crisis: Sales, buoyed by heady demand and the higher prices that companies were able to charge, ran ahead of costs. Remarkably, analysts expect profit margins to widen again, with Refinitiv showing that they expect S&amp;P 500 earnings will be 10.9% higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 from a year earlier, versus sales growth of just 3.9%.</p><p>Yet it seems more likely that profit margins will narrow in the year ahead. At the very least, one might expect them to slip back to where they were before the pandemic as the economy continues to normalize. That on its own could drag S&amp;P 500 earnings down by over 10% relative to where they would be if margins held steady.</p><p>The recession that many economists are forecasting this year could make the profit picture even worse, since in downturns companies&#39; sales typically deteriorate more quickly than they can lower their costs. Over the past 75 years, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic product -- a proxy for profit margins -- have slipped during nearly every recession.</p><p>The best outcome for earnings probably would be for both the U.S. and overseas economies to start growing at faster clips, generating the sales growth companies need to more easily absorb costs. With the Federal Reserve and other central banks still raising interest rates, however, a rebound in profit growth looks less like a story for 2023 than one for 2024.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>American Companies Face Pressure on the Margins</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmerican Companies Face Pressure on the Margins\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-12 20:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Earnings at big public companies haven&#39;t been growing all that much lately. Which isn&#39;t to say that companies haven&#39;t been extremely profitable.</p><p>Earnings season is getting under way, and results for the final quarter of last year look to be underwhelming. Analysts&#39; latest estimates are for earnings per share for members of the S&amp;P 500 to have shrunk by 2.2% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier -- a figure that is flattered by an expected 65% gain in energy-sector earnings. Exclude those, and analysts estimate earnings fell by 6.7%.</p><p>Actual results likely won&#39;t be quite so bad, since by the time companies start reporting analysts have typically lowered estimates to the point that most companies easily exceed them. But they will probably still count as a deep disappointment based on where expectations stood a year ago, when analysts thought that fourth-quarter 2022 S&amp;P 500 earnings would register a 14.3% gain.</p><p>Two things hit companies at once in the past year. First, sales growth weakened as economies around the world struggled. Second, costs rose faster than sales, cutting into bottom lines. S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices estimates that S&amp;P 500 operating margins fell to 12.1% in the fourth quarter from 13.4% a year earlier. But 12.1% is still very high: In the prepandemic fourth quarter of 2019, S&amp;P 500 operating margins stood at 10.6%.</p><p>This is a reflection of how much margins benefited from the Covid crisis: Sales, buoyed by heady demand and the higher prices that companies were able to charge, ran ahead of costs. Remarkably, analysts expect profit margins to widen again, with Refinitiv showing that they expect S&amp;P 500 earnings will be 10.9% higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 from a year earlier, versus sales growth of just 3.9%.</p><p>Yet it seems more likely that profit margins will narrow in the year ahead. At the very least, one might expect them to slip back to where they were before the pandemic as the economy continues to normalize. That on its own could drag S&amp;P 500 earnings down by over 10% relative to where they would be if margins held steady.</p><p>The recession that many economists are forecasting this year could make the profit picture even worse, since in downturns companies&#39; sales typically deteriorate more quickly than they can lower their costs. Over the past 75 years, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic product -- a proxy for profit margins -- have slipped during nearly every recession.</p><p>The best outcome for earnings probably would be for both the U.S. and overseas economies to start growing at faster clips, generating the sales growth companies need to more easily absorb costs. With the Federal Reserve and other central banks still raising interest rates, however, a rebound in profit growth looks less like a story for 2023 than one for 2024.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2302860984","content_text":"Earnings at big public companies haven't been growing all that much lately. Which isn't to say that companies haven't been extremely profitable.Earnings season is getting under way, and results for the final quarter of last year look to be underwhelming. Analysts' latest estimates are for earnings per share for members of the S&P 500 to have shrunk by 2.2% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier -- a figure that is flattered by an expected 65% gain in energy-sector earnings. Exclude those, and analysts estimate earnings fell by 6.7%.Actual results likely won't be quite so bad, since by the time companies start reporting analysts have typically lowered estimates to the point that most companies easily exceed them. But they will probably still count as a deep disappointment based on where expectations stood a year ago, when analysts thought that fourth-quarter 2022 S&P 500 earnings would register a 14.3% gain.Two things hit companies at once in the past year. First, sales growth weakened as economies around the world struggled. Second, costs rose faster than sales, cutting into bottom lines. S&P Dow Jones Indices estimates that S&P 500 operating margins fell to 12.1% in the fourth quarter from 13.4% a year earlier. But 12.1% is still very high: In the prepandemic fourth quarter of 2019, S&P 500 operating margins stood at 10.6%.This is a reflection of how much margins benefited from the Covid crisis: Sales, buoyed by heady demand and the higher prices that companies were able to charge, ran ahead of costs. Remarkably, analysts expect profit margins to widen again, with Refinitiv showing that they expect S&P 500 earnings will be 10.9% higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 from a year earlier, versus sales growth of just 3.9%.Yet it seems more likely that profit margins will narrow in the year ahead. At the very least, one might expect them to slip back to where they were before the pandemic as the economy continues to normalize. That on its own could drag S&P 500 earnings down by over 10% relative to where they would be if margins held steady.The recession that many economists are forecasting this year could make the profit picture even worse, since in downturns companies' sales typically deteriorate more quickly than they can lower their costs. Over the past 75 years, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic product -- a proxy for profit margins -- have slipped during nearly every recession.The best outcome for earnings probably would be for both the U.S. and overseas economies to start growing at faster clips, generating the sales growth companies need to more easily absorb costs. With the Federal Reserve and other central banks still raising interest rates, however, a rebound in profit growth looks less like a story for 2023 than one for 2024.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951269895,"gmtCreate":1673492570918,"gmtModify":1676538845797,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Worth monitoring the trend","listText":"Worth monitoring the trend","text":"Worth monitoring the trend","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951269895","repostId":"1133863768","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133863768","pubTimestamp":1673488798,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133863768?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-12 09:59","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"These 3 Singapore Stocks’ Share Prices Are Breaking New 52-Week Highs: Can Their Rise Continue?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133863768","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"It’s been a turbulent year in 2022 and investors are all too glad to bid last year farewell.Growth i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It’s been a turbulent year in 2022 and investors are all too glad to bid last year farewell.</p><p>Growth investors took it on the chin last year as the bellwether NASDAQ Composite Index lost a third of its value.</p><p>For Singapore, however, the blue-chip stocks managed to keep the <b>Straits Times Index</b>(SGX: ^STI) in positive territory last year.</p><p>Meanwhile, a handful of stocks are also breaking their 52-week highs, buoyed by news of pent-up air travel demand and border reopenings.</p><p>We dig deeper to see if these stocks’ business performance can sustain their run into 2023.</p><p><b>Genting Singapore Limited (SGX: G13)</b></p><p>Genting Singapore is the owner and operator of Resorts World Singapore (RWS), an integrated resort (IR) in Sentosa spanning 49 hectares.</p><p>RWS features six hotels with around 1,600 hotel rooms, a casino, an adventure water park, and a Universal Studios theme park as well as numerous retail and dining outlets.</p><p>The group’s share price recently hit a 52-week high of S$0.97, up 26% year on year.</p><p>Genting Singapore reported a sparkling set of earnings for its fiscal 2022’s third quarter (3Q2022).</p><p>Revenue more than doubled year on year from S$251.5 million to S$519.7 million.</p><p>Net profit soared 123.6% year on year to S$135.8 million.</p><p>There is a wave of optimism sweeping over the tourism industry as China just reopened its borders to international travellers for the first time since March 2020.</p><p>Looking back at the fourth quarter of 2019 (before the pandemic hit), China was the top country for tourism receipts, bringing in S$900 million out of a total of S$5.5 billion.</p><p>Investors are probably hoping that the influx of Chinese tourists can further boost the IR and lead to higher revenue and profits.</p><p>Meanwhile, RWS is also proceeding with its expansion project plans titled “RWS 2.0”.</p><p>The construction of a new attraction, Minion Land, is proceeding well and the S.E.A aquarium has also been rebranded to the Singapore Oceanarium.</p><p>The remake of Festive Hotel should be completed by 1Q2023 and boost its number of rooms to 389, and the makeover will also attract more affluent customers.</p><p><b>Straco Corporation Limited (SGX: S85)</b></p><p>Straco is a developer and operator of tourism-related attractions in Singapore and China.</p><p>The group’s main assets include Shanghai Ocean Aquarium (SOA) in Pudong, Shanghai, and Underwater World Xiamen as well as a cable car service in Lintong, Shaanxi province.</p><p>In Singapore, Straco owns the iconic Singapore Flyer attraction.</p><p>The tourism attraction operator saw its shares hit a 52-week high of S$0.49 recently, up 9.1% in the past year.</p><p>Straco’s 3Q2022 business update saw the continued adverse impact of China’s strict COVID-zero policy.</p><p>Revenue fell by 14.2% year on year to S$11.7 million while net profit plunged by 96% year on year to just S$175,000.</p><p>Its flagship SOA attraction saw a significant fall in business during China’s summer holidays due to the strict pandemic measures in place.</p><p>Things may be looking up, though.</p><p>With China’s reopening and the easing of restrictions within the country, investors are looking forward to better visitor numbers at SOA and other Chinese attractions.</p><p>Visitors from China should also boost Singapore Flyer’s visitor numbers in Singapore, giving Straco’s financials a further fillip.</p><p><b>DFI Retail Group (SGX: D01)</b></p><p>DFI is a pan-Asian retailer operating more than 10,300 outlets comprising supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, health and beauty stores, and restaurants.</p><p>The group employed over 220,000 people.</p><p>DFI’s share price hit a 52-week high of US$3.20 recently and is up 10.4% from a year ago.</p><p>The retailer released an interim management statement for 3Q2022, announcing that underlying profitability improved during the quarter compared with 1H2022.</p><p>Mannings’ sales in Hong Kong recorded a strong performance driven by good execution and a gain in market share.</p><p>DFI’s Home Furnishings division also benefitted from strong sales momentum in 3Q2022.</p><p>Investors can rejoice as China has reopened its borders to international tourists.</p><p>Hence, DFI could report significantly better results this year as human traffic starts flowing through its stores again.</p><p>Cathay Pacific has also increased flights, benefitting retailers.</p><p>With the Lunar New Year coming up and people allowed to move freely, DFI should enjoy a welcome boost to its sales figures across all its different retail formats.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602567310727","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Singapore Stocks’ Share Prices Are Breaking New 52-Week Highs: Can Their Rise Continue?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Singapore Stocks’ Share Prices Are Breaking New 52-Week Highs: Can Their Rise Continue?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-12 09:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/these-3-singapore-stocks-share-prices-are-breaking-new-52-week-highs-can-their-rise-continue/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s been a turbulent year in 2022 and investors are all too glad to bid last year farewell.Growth investors took it on the chin last year as the bellwether NASDAQ Composite Index lost a third of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/these-3-singapore-stocks-share-prices-are-breaking-new-52-week-highs-can-their-rise-continue/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"G13.SI":"云顶新加坡","S85.SI":"星雅集团","D01.SI":"牛奶国际控股有限公司"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/these-3-singapore-stocks-share-prices-are-breaking-new-52-week-highs-can-their-rise-continue/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133863768","content_text":"It’s been a turbulent year in 2022 and investors are all too glad to bid last year farewell.Growth investors took it on the chin last year as the bellwether NASDAQ Composite Index lost a third of its value.For Singapore, however, the blue-chip stocks managed to keep the Straits Times Index(SGX: ^STI) in positive territory last year.Meanwhile, a handful of stocks are also breaking their 52-week highs, buoyed by news of pent-up air travel demand and border reopenings.We dig deeper to see if these stocks’ business performance can sustain their run into 2023.Genting Singapore Limited (SGX: G13)Genting Singapore is the owner and operator of Resorts World Singapore (RWS), an integrated resort (IR) in Sentosa spanning 49 hectares.RWS features six hotels with around 1,600 hotel rooms, a casino, an adventure water park, and a Universal Studios theme park as well as numerous retail and dining outlets.The group’s share price recently hit a 52-week high of S$0.97, up 26% year on year.Genting Singapore reported a sparkling set of earnings for its fiscal 2022’s third quarter (3Q2022).Revenue more than doubled year on year from S$251.5 million to S$519.7 million.Net profit soared 123.6% year on year to S$135.8 million.There is a wave of optimism sweeping over the tourism industry as China just reopened its borders to international travellers for the first time since March 2020.Looking back at the fourth quarter of 2019 (before the pandemic hit), China was the top country for tourism receipts, bringing in S$900 million out of a total of S$5.5 billion.Investors are probably hoping that the influx of Chinese tourists can further boost the IR and lead to higher revenue and profits.Meanwhile, RWS is also proceeding with its expansion project plans titled “RWS 2.0”.The construction of a new attraction, Minion Land, is proceeding well and the S.E.A aquarium has also been rebranded to the Singapore Oceanarium.The remake of Festive Hotel should be completed by 1Q2023 and boost its number of rooms to 389, and the makeover will also attract more affluent customers.Straco Corporation Limited (SGX: S85)Straco is a developer and operator of tourism-related attractions in Singapore and China.The group’s main assets include Shanghai Ocean Aquarium (SOA) in Pudong, Shanghai, and Underwater World Xiamen as well as a cable car service in Lintong, Shaanxi province.In Singapore, Straco owns the iconic Singapore Flyer attraction.The tourism attraction operator saw its shares hit a 52-week high of S$0.49 recently, up 9.1% in the past year.Straco’s 3Q2022 business update saw the continued adverse impact of China’s strict COVID-zero policy.Revenue fell by 14.2% year on year to S$11.7 million while net profit plunged by 96% year on year to just S$175,000.Its flagship SOA attraction saw a significant fall in business during China’s summer holidays due to the strict pandemic measures in place.Things may be looking up, though.With China’s reopening and the easing of restrictions within the country, investors are looking forward to better visitor numbers at SOA and other Chinese attractions.Visitors from China should also boost Singapore Flyer’s visitor numbers in Singapore, giving Straco’s financials a further fillip.DFI Retail Group (SGX: D01)DFI is a pan-Asian retailer operating more than 10,300 outlets comprising supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, health and beauty stores, and restaurants.The group employed over 220,000 people.DFI’s share price hit a 52-week high of US$3.20 recently and is up 10.4% from a year ago.The retailer released an interim management statement for 3Q2022, announcing that underlying profitability improved during the quarter compared with 1H2022.Mannings’ sales in Hong Kong recorded a strong performance driven by good execution and a gain in market share.DFI’s Home Furnishings division also benefitted from strong sales momentum in 3Q2022.Investors can rejoice as China has reopened its borders to international tourists.Hence, DFI could report significantly better results this year as human traffic starts flowing through its stores again.Cathay Pacific has also increased flights, benefitting retailers.With the Lunar New Year coming up and people allowed to move freely, DFI should enjoy a welcome boost to its sales figures across all its different retail formats.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951378529,"gmtCreate":1673408405061,"gmtModify":1676538832152,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow.. another breakthrough&nbsp;","listText":"Wow.. another breakthrough&nbsp;","text":"Wow.. another breakthrough","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951378529","repostId":"1138355693","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1138355693","pubTimestamp":1673407870,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138355693?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-11 11:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Inks $25 Million Deal to Fight Ebola With Moderna Technology","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138355693","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Texas scientists to study vaccines for several deadly virusesUS is seeking out greater protection fr","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Texas scientists to study vaccines for several deadly viruses</li><li>US is seeking out greater protection from biological threats</li></ul><p>University of Texas researchers have clinched a US Department of Defense contract worth up to $25 million to develop vaccines using Moderna Inc.’s messenger RNA technology.</p><p>Scientists at University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, in partnership with Moderna, were awarded $13.5 million over three years to design, manufacture and test mRNA vaccines for Ebola and other lethal pathogens. The project covers the shots’ development through Phase 1 clinical trials and UTMB could receive an additional $11.1 million to study alternative ways of administering the vaccines.</p><p>The contract is part of a broader push by the US to protect military personnel using technology that enabled the quick development of Covid-19 vaccines early in the pandemic.</p><p>“The high mortality rate and the potential use of these viruses as an agent of bioterrorism remains a risk that necessitates an urgent development of a vaccine,” the UTMB said in a statement Tuesday.</p><p>Bloomberg first reported details of the US government contract in October.</p><p>Funding for the UTMB-Moderna project will come from offices within the Department of Defense and Department of Health and Human Services, both of which have strategic investments in technology that could enhance US preparedness against biological threats. The work will be carried out at the UTMB’s Sealy Institute of Vaccine Sciences.</p><p>The scientists will focus on a family of pathogens that includes Ebola, Sudan and Marburg, as well as Lassa viruses, all of which have long topped the list of vaccine priorities for the US government. The viruses cause sporadic outbreaks throughout the world — most recently in Uganda — and typically have a high death toll.</p><p>There are currently no vaccines approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for Sudan virus, Marburg or Lassa fever. There is only one vaccine in the US that is licensed to protect against Ebola.</p><p>Representatives from the Defense Department and Moderna didn’t immediately respond to request for comment.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Inks $25 Million Deal to Fight Ebola With Moderna Technology</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Inks $25 Million Deal to Fight Ebola With Moderna Technology\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-11 11:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-10/us-inks-25-million-deal-to-fight-ebola-with-moderna-technology?srnd=technology-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Texas scientists to study vaccines for several deadly virusesUS is seeking out greater protection from biological threatsUniversity of Texas researchers have clinched a US Department of Defense ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-10/us-inks-25-million-deal-to-fight-ebola-with-moderna-technology?srnd=technology-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-10/us-inks-25-million-deal-to-fight-ebola-with-moderna-technology?srnd=technology-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138355693","content_text":"Texas scientists to study vaccines for several deadly virusesUS is seeking out greater protection from biological threatsUniversity of Texas researchers have clinched a US Department of Defense contract worth up to $25 million to develop vaccines using Moderna Inc.’s messenger RNA technology.Scientists at University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, in partnership with Moderna, were awarded $13.5 million over three years to design, manufacture and test mRNA vaccines for Ebola and other lethal pathogens. The project covers the shots’ development through Phase 1 clinical trials and UTMB could receive an additional $11.1 million to study alternative ways of administering the vaccines.The contract is part of a broader push by the US to protect military personnel using technology that enabled the quick development of Covid-19 vaccines early in the pandemic.“The high mortality rate and the potential use of these viruses as an agent of bioterrorism remains a risk that necessitates an urgent development of a vaccine,” the UTMB said in a statement Tuesday.Bloomberg first reported details of the US government contract in October.Funding for the UTMB-Moderna project will come from offices within the Department of Defense and Department of Health and Human Services, both of which have strategic investments in technology that could enhance US preparedness against biological threats. The work will be carried out at the UTMB’s Sealy Institute of Vaccine Sciences.The scientists will focus on a family of pathogens that includes Ebola, Sudan and Marburg, as well as Lassa viruses, all of which have long topped the list of vaccine priorities for the US government. The viruses cause sporadic outbreaks throughout the world — most recently in Uganda — and typically have a high death toll.There are currently no vaccines approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for Sudan virus, Marburg or Lassa fever. There is only one vaccine in the US that is licensed to protect against Ebola.Representatives from the Defense Department and Moderna didn’t immediately respond to request for comment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951394700,"gmtCreate":1673395245301,"gmtModify":1676538829412,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?","listText":"EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?","text":"EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951394700","repostId":"1195462506","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195462506","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673361507,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195462506?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-10 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195462506","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fdeb4b3f67aa42c3801cfc5b5760371\" tg-width=\"249\" tg-height=\"447\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-10 22:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fdeb4b3f67aa42c3801cfc5b5760371\" tg-width=\"249\" tg-height=\"447\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195462506","content_text":"EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953483928,"gmtCreate":1673309272064,"gmtModify":1676538815319,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is the rise sustainable?","listText":"Is the rise sustainable?","text":"Is the rise sustainable?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953483928","repostId":"1182576862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182576862","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1673306828,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182576862?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-10 07:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These Stocks Are Moving the Most Monday: Tesla, Zillow, Regeneron, Macy’s, and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182576862","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stocks were mixed Monday at market close, losing some of the momentum from a rally last Friday to st","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks were mixed Monday at market close, losing some of the momentum from a rally last Friday to start a new week of trading.</p><p>These stocks made moves Monday:</p><p>Tesla (ticker:TSLA) stock continued its rally Monday, up 5.9%, despite continuing concerns with falling car demand and prices in the industry. 22V Research senior managing director and head of technical stock trading strategy, John Roque, told <i>Barron’s</i> that this rally could be an oversold bounce, meaning investors might believe that the stock could have fallen too quickly.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) hasn&#39;t filed for bankruptcy (yet), which looks to be keeping hopes alive among the few remaining bulls on the stock. Shares of the near-death retailer once shot up as much as 42% to $1.87 on Monday before giving back some of its gains to be up about 23.66% as of closing.</p><p>CinCor Pharma surged 144% to $28.74 after agreeing to be acquired by AstraZeneca (AZN) in a deal valued at about $1.8 billion. The offer price of $26 a share represents a 121% premium to CinCor’s closing price on Friday.</p><p>Albireo Pharma (ALBO) soared 92.2% to $43.85 after the rare disease company reached an agreement to be bought by French biopharmaceutical company Ipsen for $42 a share cash plus a contingent value right of $10 a share.</p><p>Duck Creek Technologies (DCT) agreed to be acquired by Vista Equity Partners for $19 a share in cash or $2.6 billion. The stock jumped 46.5% to $19.03.</p><p>Exact Sciences (EXAS) surged 24.7% after the cancer screening company announced preliminary fourth quarter financial results that were ahead of Wall Street expectations.</p><p>Paya Holdings (PAYA) soared 24.4% after Canadian fintech company Nuvei (NVEI) agreed to buy the payments company in an all-cash transaction for $9.75 a share, or about $1.3 billion. Nuvei shares were up 3.3%.</p><p>Crypto-related stocks climbedas the price of Bitcoin advanced to more than $17,000. Riot Platforms (RIOT) jumped 14.3%, Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) climbed 19.8%, Coinbase Global (COIN) rose 15.1% and MicroStrategy (MSTR) was up 9.1%.</p><p>Lululemon Athletica (LULU) shares fell 9.3% after the athleisure-apparel retailer lowered its margin guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter.</p><p>Zillow (Z) rose 8% after shares of the online housing company were upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA.</p><p>Macy’s (M) dropped 7.7% Monday after the department store said fourth-quarter sales would come in at the low to middle end of its previously issued range from $8.16 billion to $8.4 billion, and warned that consumers will be pressured in 2023.</p><p>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) dropped 7.7% after the medicine maker reported sales of its Eylea vaccine that were below what Wall Street was anticipating for the fourth quarter.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Stocks Are Moving the Most Monday: Tesla, Zillow, Regeneron, Macy’s, and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Stocks Are Moving the Most Monday: Tesla, Zillow, Regeneron, Macy’s, and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-10 07:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks were mixed Monday at market close, losing some of the momentum from a rally last Friday to start a new week of trading.</p><p>These stocks made moves Monday:</p><p>Tesla (ticker:TSLA) stock continued its rally Monday, up 5.9%, despite continuing concerns with falling car demand and prices in the industry. 22V Research senior managing director and head of technical stock trading strategy, John Roque, told <i>Barron’s</i> that this rally could be an oversold bounce, meaning investors might believe that the stock could have fallen too quickly.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) hasn&#39;t filed for bankruptcy (yet), which looks to be keeping hopes alive among the few remaining bulls on the stock. Shares of the near-death retailer once shot up as much as 42% to $1.87 on Monday before giving back some of its gains to be up about 23.66% as of closing.</p><p>CinCor Pharma surged 144% to $28.74 after agreeing to be acquired by AstraZeneca (AZN) in a deal valued at about $1.8 billion. The offer price of $26 a share represents a 121% premium to CinCor’s closing price on Friday.</p><p>Albireo Pharma (ALBO) soared 92.2% to $43.85 after the rare disease company reached an agreement to be bought by French biopharmaceutical company Ipsen for $42 a share cash plus a contingent value right of $10 a share.</p><p>Duck Creek Technologies (DCT) agreed to be acquired by Vista Equity Partners for $19 a share in cash or $2.6 billion. The stock jumped 46.5% to $19.03.</p><p>Exact Sciences (EXAS) surged 24.7% after the cancer screening company announced preliminary fourth quarter financial results that were ahead of Wall Street expectations.</p><p>Paya Holdings (PAYA) soared 24.4% after Canadian fintech company Nuvei (NVEI) agreed to buy the payments company in an all-cash transaction for $9.75 a share, or about $1.3 billion. Nuvei shares were up 3.3%.</p><p>Crypto-related stocks climbedas the price of Bitcoin advanced to more than $17,000. Riot Platforms (RIOT) jumped 14.3%, Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) climbed 19.8%, Coinbase Global (COIN) rose 15.1% and MicroStrategy (MSTR) was up 9.1%.</p><p>Lululemon Athletica (LULU) shares fell 9.3% after the athleisure-apparel retailer lowered its margin guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter.</p><p>Zillow (Z) rose 8% after shares of the online housing company were upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA.</p><p>Macy’s (M) dropped 7.7% Monday after the department store said fourth-quarter sales would come in at the low to middle end of its previously issued range from $8.16 billion to $8.4 billion, and warned that consumers will be pressured in 2023.</p><p>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) dropped 7.7% after the medicine maker reported sales of its Eylea vaccine that were below what Wall Street was anticipating for the fourth quarter.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","AZN":"阿斯利康","CINC":"CinCor Pharma, Inc.","MSTR":"MicroStrategy Incorporated","ALBO":"Albireo Pharma, Inc.","NVEI":"Nuvei Corp","M":"梅西百货","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","LULU":"lululemon athletica","EXAS":"精密科学","Z":"Zillow","REGN":"再生元制药公司","PAYA":"Paya Holdings Inc.","MARA":"Marathon Digital Holdings Inc"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182576862","content_text":"Stocks were mixed Monday at market close, losing some of the momentum from a rally last Friday to start a new week of trading.These stocks made moves Monday:Tesla (ticker:TSLA) stock continued its rally Monday, up 5.9%, despite continuing concerns with falling car demand and prices in the industry. 22V Research senior managing director and head of technical stock trading strategy, John Roque, told Barron’s that this rally could be an oversold bounce, meaning investors might believe that the stock could have fallen too quickly.Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) hasn't filed for bankruptcy (yet), which looks to be keeping hopes alive among the few remaining bulls on the stock. Shares of the near-death retailer once shot up as much as 42% to $1.87 on Monday before giving back some of its gains to be up about 23.66% as of closing.CinCor Pharma surged 144% to $28.74 after agreeing to be acquired by AstraZeneca (AZN) in a deal valued at about $1.8 billion. The offer price of $26 a share represents a 121% premium to CinCor’s closing price on Friday.Albireo Pharma (ALBO) soared 92.2% to $43.85 after the rare disease company reached an agreement to be bought by French biopharmaceutical company Ipsen for $42 a share cash plus a contingent value right of $10 a share.Duck Creek Technologies (DCT) agreed to be acquired by Vista Equity Partners for $19 a share in cash or $2.6 billion. The stock jumped 46.5% to $19.03.Exact Sciences (EXAS) surged 24.7% after the cancer screening company announced preliminary fourth quarter financial results that were ahead of Wall Street expectations.Paya Holdings (PAYA) soared 24.4% after Canadian fintech company Nuvei (NVEI) agreed to buy the payments company in an all-cash transaction for $9.75 a share, or about $1.3 billion. Nuvei shares were up 3.3%.Crypto-related stocks climbedas the price of Bitcoin advanced to more than $17,000. Riot Platforms (RIOT) jumped 14.3%, Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) climbed 19.8%, Coinbase Global (COIN) rose 15.1% and MicroStrategy (MSTR) was up 9.1%.Lululemon Athletica (LULU) shares fell 9.3% after the athleisure-apparel retailer lowered its margin guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter.Zillow (Z) rose 8% after shares of the online housing company were upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA.Macy’s (M) dropped 7.7% Monday after the department store said fourth-quarter sales would come in at the low to middle end of its previously issued range from $8.16 billion to $8.4 billion, and warned that consumers will be pressured in 2023.Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) dropped 7.7% after the medicine maker reported sales of its Eylea vaccine that were below what Wall Street was anticipating for the fourth quarter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953823315,"gmtCreate":1673222062238,"gmtModify":1676538800544,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting forecast","listText":"Interesting forecast","text":"Interesting forecast","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953823315","repostId":"1105915908","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927975169,"gmtCreate":1672384208051,"gmtModify":1676538682844,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen&nbsp;","listText":"Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen&nbsp;","text":"Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927975169","repostId":"2294988737","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2294988737","pubTimestamp":1672379473,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2294988737?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-30 13:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why These 10 Financial Stocks Could Soar in 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2294988737","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Most of the broader markets have taken a hit in recent years, but there’s a lot of potential for the","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Most of the broader markets have taken a hit in recent years, but there’s a lot of potential for them to turn around. This is your chance to buy financial stocks before they mount a comeback and become overvalued.</li><li><b>Toast</b> (<b>TOST</b>): Now that the pandemic is over and people are dining out again, it is time to give this recovery play a chance.</li><li><b>SoFi Technologies</b> (<b>SOFI</b>): SoFi can now issue loans and provide deposit services without relying on third parties, making it a legitimate bank.</li><li><b>Intuit</b> (<b>INTU</b>): Intuit doesn’t rely on the economic health of certain market segments for its success.</li><li><b>Lemonade</b> (<b>LMND</b>): This AI-focused insurance company is inching closer to profitability.</li><li><b>Wells Fargo</b> (<b>WFC</b>): As cost cutting is a key part of the Wells Fargo strategy for 2023, it is a good investment prospect for the next year.</li><li><b>Citigroup</b> (<b><u>C</u></b>): Despite a strong bearish market sentiment, now may be the time to take advantage of Citigroup’s underdog status.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FITBO\">Fifth Third Bancorp</a></b> (<b>FITB</b>): The wide geographic reach is a key advantage of this bank with impressive reach, finances and products</li><li><b>$First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$</b> (<b>FRC</b>): First Republic might be a little pricey for some in the banking world, but considering their 10-year performance, long-term investors are likely to be rewarded.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNYW\">Signature Bank</a></b> (<b>SBNY</b>): For those ready to get past the recent debacles in the crypto space, the fintech innovations here might be worth a look.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> </b>(<b>V</b>): Visa’s stock price will only get better from here because of a strong outlook for 2023.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c25f1f7a40ec3ef45677c00ea697fd7\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: FabrikaSimf / Shutterstock</p><p>Investing in financial stocks can be extremely lucrative if you know which financial stocks to buy. With artful research and creative financial strategies, many investors can find stocks that will bring impressive returns and provide plenty of financial security.</p><p>Take the time to understand a company’s financial statements, management decisions and goals before investing if you want maximum bang for your buck. It is vital to do so at this time, considering the bear market we experienced this year.</p><p>Bank stocks took a hard hit after an encouraging 2021. One issue is that banks are closely tied to the conflict in Ukraine. In response to the crisis, loan growth has slowed down. Additionally, stock prices overall have been on a free fall since the start of 2022. Although the markets may seem unpredictable, bank stocks remain undervalued. The Federal Reserve is set to increase interest rates to meet its inflation goal of 2%, which sets up banks for increased earnings.</p><p>To help you stay informed and prepared, we have a hand-selected mix of the best financial stocks to buy in 2023 that should not be overlooked. By thoroughly researching these options, you can play it safe while potentially earning impressive returns in an uncertain future market. Below is our list of the ten best financial stocks to buy in 2023.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><td><b>TOST</b></td><td>Toast</td><td>$17.15</td></tr><tr><td><b>SOFI</b></td><td>SoFi Technologies</td><td>$4.39</td></tr><tr><td><b>INTU</b></td><td>Intuit</td><td>$383.11</td></tr><tr><td><b>LMND</b></td><td>Lemonade</td><td>$13.41</td></tr><tr><td><b>WFC</b></td><td>Wells Fargo</td><td>$41.04</td></tr><tr><td><b>C</b></td><td>Citigroup</td><td>$44.39</td></tr><tr><td><b>FITB</b></td><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FITBP\">Fifth Third Bancorp</a></td><td>$32.80</td></tr><tr><td><b>FRC</b></td><td>First Republic Bank</td><td>$119.68</td></tr><tr><td><b>SBNY</b></td><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a></td><td>$113.98</td></tr><tr><td><b>V</b></td><td>Visa</td><td>$206.29</td></tr></tbody></table><h2></h2><h2>Toast (TOST)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87c4cb95e4750664e6d9a2ae372ab17d\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: TonelsonProductions / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>Toast</b> (NYSE:<b><u>TOST</u></b>) has developed a cloud solution for restaurants that helps them run their business smoothly. Due to the pandemic, it suffered through some of its worst years in 2020 and 2021. However, now things are getting back to normal, and recent financial results confirm this.</p><p>The company’s numbers look promising, with a 55% rise in revenues year-over-year after Q3, and adjusted losses going down to $98 million from $254 million last year. The company also upgraded its outlook for the fourth quarter. Now, revenue is expected to be between $730 million and $760 million against a consensus analyst forecast of $725 million.</p><p>However, this solid performance is not reflected in the markets. The stock is down over 50% in the year thus far. Investors are still cautious concerning the recovery of the restaurant market, which is reflected in Toast’s share price. However, in many countries, things are pretty normal. So, the stock can come back next year, making it one of the best financial stocks to buy. Shares are now being traded at a favorable price. If you’re thinking of investing in the next comeback story, now might be the right time to do so.</p><h2>SoFi Technologies (SOFI)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48292c92091b1f82f856c6471de9b640\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock</p><p>This year, <b>SoFi’s</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>SOFI</u></b>) stock price has taken a plunge. Shares are down more than 70% despite it being a great year for the fintech company. It completed the purchase of <b>Golden Pacific Bancorp</b> earlier this year, which means SoFi Technologies is now well and truly a bank. It no longer relies on third-party financial institutions to issue loans and provide deposit services. That puts it in a different league from other fintech players.</p><p>In addition, SoFi’s personal loan business is increasingly profitable. According to recent reports, the success of that sector has allowed the firm to beat consensus expectations consistently. It also allows the online bank to circumvent the broader macroeconomic environment, despite mixed performance in other areas of its portfolio. This is great news for SoFi’s many customers and employees, who eagerly await the end of the student loan repayment pause to end.</p><p>With its strong overall performance, SoFi appears to be on its way to a bright future. Furthermore, when the moratorium on student loan payments ends, SoFi will have back one of its best-performing segments. For these reasons, SoFi is one of the best financial stocks to buy.</p><h2>Intuit (INTU)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f455115235b57d5df5424361f48837\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: T. Schneider / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>Intuit</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>INTU</u></b>) experienced impressive growth in the last fiscal year, with total revenue increasing by 32%, excluding the acquisition of email marketing provider MailChimp. It’s a testament to their business chops and financial acumen that they’ve come out on top in this difficult economic climate. Along with that comes premium stock prices. However, it’s for a good reason. Intuit remains competitive even when times are tough for its customers – small businesses and consumers who have been especially hard hit by current events.</p><p>Intuit’s software tools have become indispensable resources, especially as belts are tightened amid an economic downturn. As a leader in tax software (Turbo Tax) and small business management solutions (QuickBooks, MailChimp), Intuit has been able to continue the positive trajectory of its small business segment. The performance comes despite budget cuts – with CFO Michelle Clatterbuck recently sharing the expectation that this sector will grow by an impressive 20% in fiscal 2023.</p><p>From DIY-ers filing their taxes using Turbo Tax to businesses taking advantage of industry-leading fiscal solutions through QuickBooks and marketing assistance with MailChimp, Intuit possesses a robust operating model. Many of the segments are recession resistant. People need to manage their finances and file their returns. Growth in subscriber numbers might slow down for a couple of quarters. But the existing consumer base is incredibly sticky. The latest quarterly numbers show that revenue shot up 29%, despite a tough operating environment. That kind of performance is rare to find in the current market.</p><h2>Lemonade (LMND)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14e096937bf1431331d06ce166f1a42\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Stephanie L Sanchez / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>Lemonade’s</b> (NYSE:<b><u>LMND</u></b>) entry into the insurance market is a major disruption to the industry – and with it comes great advantages for its technology and customers. Its use of machine learning provides the potential for a more accurate assessment of underwriting policies. It allows Lemonade to be competitive in pricing compared to traditional systems. Furthermore, the innovative approach has won them fans in the form of customers who enjoy their product and rave about their customer service. It is an advantage that takes time, investment and dedication to acquire. With these elements combined, Lemonade has placed itself as a major player in the market, ready for whatever may come next.</p><p>Lemonade is proving its value by focusing on the in-force premium (IFP) as its top-line metric instead of revenue alone. The success in achieving high growth goals has resulted in a 76% increase in IFP since last year, with a 35% boost in premium per customer and a 30% jump in customer count. Moving forward, the company is committed to focusing on profitability. Despite the risk of utilizing machine learning to price policies, Lemonade is certain to offer an improved product. At the same time, it is consistently growing its market share.</p><p>Lemonade has taken a similar turn as much of the tech industry, seeing a big fall in market cap this year. It’s trading at very attractive valuations and is worth keeping an eye on. Although it is a bit risky, it deserves a place on this list of financial stocks to buy because of its disruptive quality.</p><h2>Wells Fargo (WFC)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ee9ecd1e4c83ba30234b786608d565b\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Kristi Blokhin / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>Wells Fargo</b> (NYSE:<b><u>WFC</u></b>) is one of the largest and most impressive banks in the United States. It offers an attractive risk-reward prospect for investors, making it an enticing option for those with high returns in mind.</p><p>Wells Fargo has plans to make cost cutting a key focus area going into 2023 – this could be a major source of competitive differentiation between them and others. On top of this, the eventual abolition of its asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve presents another significant positive development. It can help attract more attention to the company come 2023.</p><p>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. is slightly more attractive than other megabanks because it relies more on its consumer banking and lending arm than the investment banking business. It might not be by design, but the operating model for WFC is ideal in the current environment. In a turbulent economic climate, consumer banking has emerged as the saving grace for banks. While investment banking activity falters and markets continue to be bearish, people remain willing to take out loans with rising interest rates that generate much-needed income for financial institutions. Therefore, heading into 2023, Wells Fargo &amp; Co. is in a great position.</p><h2>Citigroup (C)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8be6f39724ff165859679d70eb45fc4\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Willy Barton / Shutterstock.com</p><p>Despite a strong bearish market sentiment, now may be the time to take advantage of <b>Citigroup’s</b> (NYSE:<b><u>C</u></b>) underdog status. The current price offers significant upside potential regardless of what happens with Citi’s planned divestitures. The execution risk shouldn’t stop sophisticated investors willing to give them a chance and look past the recent roadblocks. It’s up to Citigroup to prove they have what it takes to get back on track, but the big payoff could be well worth it.</p><p>Citigroup’s difficulties in 2022 reflect a challenging year of business operations. Unfortunately, its stock has plummeted close to 30%. Its value at the present low point has become a cause for further concern. The banking giant unveiled a multi-year transformation plan to improve its fortunes, yet the results were impaired due to several unforeseen obstacles encountered along the way. These delays were costly, allowing write-downs that affected contract invoicing and other financials. Moreover, Citigroup is contending with certain regulatory issues, while still operating under the looming threat of higher capital requirements.</p><p>On the bright side, the investment bank is undergoing a major revamp of its consumer banking operations, setting the stage for an increasingly streamlined and profitable institution. By winding down or selling 14 international units – including Citibanamex in Mexico with remarkable returns – the bank will be able to hone in on core strengths such as investment banking, corporate banking and wealth management services. Making the business model more nimble is ideal, especially in a volatile market. It sets up Citigroup nicely for 2023 and beyond, sealing its fate among financial stocks to buy.</p><h2>Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5924259b53a5f1c3b737f7041510ef8d\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Susan Montgomery / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>Fifth Third Bancorp</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>FITB</u></b>) is an impressive regional bank with increasing reach, strong finances and impressive products. Their expanding presence in the Southeast region ensures more customers can access their high-quality banking services, which include retail and commercial banking, consumer lending and asset management. The bank’s solid footing also provides a great foundation for outperformance when market conditions become turbulent – as they always do.</p><p>Furthermore, Fifth Third has seen improving credit quality over the past few years, which will protect them during an economic recession. The pandemic’s dramatic economic downturn left banks facing a critical test: evaluating and preparing for the heightened risk of loan defaults. At Fifth Third Bancorp, management shone under pressure. It did exceedingly well by accurately predicting potential losses while prudently setting aside reserves to cover them. The accomplishment is worthy of praise in uncertain times. That performance is carrying through even after the pandemic. Moreover, their technological advancements have not been appreciated by the market yet.</p><p>All these factors make Fifth Third Bancorp a great choice for investors looking to buy financial stocks for long-term growth potential.</p><h2>First Republic Bank (FRC)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767ae57902974e7f0b2a7eff4ca4b93a\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>First Republic Bank</b> (NYSE:<b><u>FRC</u></b>) is a great example of how excellent customer service can build strong and lasting relationships. Having been in operation for the past four decades, their commitment to providing private consumer and business banking and private wealth management in New York and California has resulted in hard-earned customer loyalty.</p><p>First Republic Bank did not do well this year like other financial stocks. Part of the reason is the wider economic downturn. However, Co-CEO James Herbert taking a leave also played a part. However, the company recently reported a revenue increase of 16.9% YoY, and net income rose 21%. Therefore, there is a feeling abound that the stock has been harshly treated.</p><p>Over the last four quarters, First Republic Bank has consistently posted healthy earnings. They far exceeded even the most optimistic of analysts’ predictions. This extraordinary performance should not be taken lightly – it is a testimony to the incredible management, leadership and competent staff that has enabled this financial institution to stand out as a leader in its field. With this consistent success over such an extended period, First Republic Bank will reap greater rewards. Investors are sure to take notice and respond accordingly.</p><h2>Signature Bank (SBNY)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf5fe8cabcc4399985777866c3318ed1\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: PL Gould / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNYP\">Signature Bank</a></b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>SBNY</u></b>) is a prominent commercial banking institution with assets valued at $114.47 billion in the third quarter of 2022. Despite recent market turbulence caused by FTX bankruptcy and cryptocurrency contagion anxiety among some investors, shares are attractive as experts anticipate a Federal Reserve rate increase to factor in future conditions.</p><p>Signature Bank is certainly conscious of the FTX debacle. (If you want to take a deep dive into the collapse, here is a great piece from Luke Lango that gives a great blow-by-blow account. Louis Navellier has you covered if you want to know how to navigate the future of crypto investing, particularly in the case of tokens.) It decided to end digital asset-associated deposits, as they only had a deposit relationship with FTX, citing volatility due to recent events. This news sent ripples through the marketplace, leaving executives and enthusiasts alike wondering what’s next for digital assets.</p><p>Signature Bank has long been at the forefront of fintech innovation. It offers a revolutionary payments platform tailored specifically to crypto exchanges and clients. Operating 24/7, Signet – as it’s called- provides users with real-time payment solutions, allowing instantaneous transactions within their portfolios. As an added benefit of using this service, customers can place large non-interest-bearing deposits into Signature bank accounts, further driving global financial developments.</p><p>In 2021, Signature had an impressive year following its foray into crypto services. Unfortunately, market developments have since caused the company to scale back operations and reassess its situation. Most notably, the collapse of FTX sent ripples throughout the industry as it spread contagion to other prominent players in this sector. However, despite suffering losses along with many others, Signature escaped relatively unscathed. It did not possess substantial deposits connected with FTX, and further streamlining the business certainly can’t hurt.</p><h2>Visa (V)</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ff9693d6e50be02e315086b79aa71f7\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock.com</p><p><b>Visa</b> (NYSE:<b><u>V</u></b>) has undergone a remarkable transformation; From its humble beginnings as an ordinary payments network, it is now a powerful force in the rapidly growing field of financial technology. Fintech’s development and adoption have surged during these challenging times – indeed, Visa stands at the heart of this revolution.</p><p>Unlike several other financial stocks investors are looking to buy, Visa did well this year. The stock is down close to 5%. This news will not stop the presses. However, the price movement becomes notable when you compare it to the S&amp;P 500, which is down almost 20% this year.</p><p>Visa helps to power commerce around the world with its innovative payment network. In 2022, it propelled over $14 trillion in global sales. In addition, the payment processing company facilitated more than 250 billion transactions across over 80 million merchants worldwide. Boasting an impressive 3.9 billion cardholders, Visa continues to lead the way in digital payments processing networks on a grand scale. Despite a tough 2022, it still managed top-line growth of 19% in its latest quarter. In addition, Visa’s earnings outlook assumes ‘no recession’ and relieved investors spooked by the markets. Heading into 2023 puts Visa in a great position.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why These 10 Financial Stocks Could Soar in 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy These 10 Financial Stocks Could Soar in 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-30 13:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/12/why-these-10-financial-stocks-could-soar-in-2023-tost-sofi-intu-lmnd-wfc-c-fitb-frc-sbny-v/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Most of the broader markets have taken a hit in recent years, but there’s a lot of potential for them to turn around. This is your chance to buy financial stocks before they mount a comeback and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/why-these-10-financial-stocks-could-soar-in-2023-tost-sofi-intu-lmnd-wfc-c-fitb-frc-sbny-v/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1712237335.SGD":"Natixis Mirova Global Sustainable Equity H-R-NPF/A SGD","LU2210150020.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD","LMND":"Lemonade, Inc.","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","SBNY":"签字银行","LU0052756011.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\" (USD) INC","WFC":"富国银行","LU2023251221.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"AM\" (USD) INC","INTU":"财捷","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4166":"消费信贷","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","SG9999014898.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fund Dis SGD","C":"花旗","LU1691799644.USD":"Amundi Funds Polen Capital Global Growth A2 (C) USD","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU2089283258.USD":"安联环球可持续基金Cl AM Dis","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0289961442.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (SGD) ACC","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","LU1642822529.SGD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","FITB":"五三银行","SG9999014880.SGD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc SGD","SG9999014906.USD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc USD","LU0289960550.SGD":"AB FCP I - GLOBAL EQUITY BLEND PORTFOLIO 'A' (SGD) ACC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","SG9999014914.USD":"UNITED GLOBAL QUALITY GROWTH (USDHDG) INC","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","SG9999018865.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Dist SGD-H","TOST":"Toast, Inc.","BK4107":"财产与意外伤害保险","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc.","V":"Visa","LU0390134368.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930227.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"AS\" (SGD) ACC A"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/why-these-10-financial-stocks-could-soar-in-2023-tost-sofi-intu-lmnd-wfc-c-fitb-frc-sbny-v/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2294988737","content_text":"Most of the broader markets have taken a hit in recent years, but there’s a lot of potential for them to turn around. This is your chance to buy financial stocks before they mount a comeback and become overvalued.Toast (TOST): Now that the pandemic is over and people are dining out again, it is time to give this recovery play a chance.SoFi Technologies (SOFI): SoFi can now issue loans and provide deposit services without relying on third parties, making it a legitimate bank.Intuit (INTU): Intuit doesn’t rely on the economic health of certain market segments for its success.Lemonade (LMND): This AI-focused insurance company is inching closer to profitability.Wells Fargo (WFC): As cost cutting is a key part of the Wells Fargo strategy for 2023, it is a good investment prospect for the next year.Citigroup (C): Despite a strong bearish market sentiment, now may be the time to take advantage of Citigroup’s underdog status.Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): The wide geographic reach is a key advantage of this bank with impressive reach, finances and products$First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ (FRC): First Republic might be a little pricey for some in the banking world, but considering their 10-year performance, long-term investors are likely to be rewarded.Signature Bank (SBNY): For those ready to get past the recent debacles in the crypto space, the fintech innovations here might be worth a look.Visa (V): Visa’s stock price will only get better from here because of a strong outlook for 2023.Source: FabrikaSimf / ShutterstockInvesting in financial stocks can be extremely lucrative if you know which financial stocks to buy. With artful research and creative financial strategies, many investors can find stocks that will bring impressive returns and provide plenty of financial security.Take the time to understand a company’s financial statements, management decisions and goals before investing if you want maximum bang for your buck. It is vital to do so at this time, considering the bear market we experienced this year.Bank stocks took a hard hit after an encouraging 2021. One issue is that banks are closely tied to the conflict in Ukraine. In response to the crisis, loan growth has slowed down. Additionally, stock prices overall have been on a free fall since the start of 2022. Although the markets may seem unpredictable, bank stocks remain undervalued. The Federal Reserve is set to increase interest rates to meet its inflation goal of 2%, which sets up banks for increased earnings.To help you stay informed and prepared, we have a hand-selected mix of the best financial stocks to buy in 2023 that should not be overlooked. By thoroughly researching these options, you can play it safe while potentially earning impressive returns in an uncertain future market. Below is our list of the ten best financial stocks to buy in 2023.TOSTToast$17.15SOFISoFi Technologies$4.39INTUIntuit$383.11LMNDLemonade$13.41WFCWells Fargo$41.04CCitigroup$44.39FITBFifth Third Bancorp$32.80FRCFirst Republic Bank$119.68SBNYSignature Bank$113.98VVisa$206.29Toast (TOST)Source: TonelsonProductions / Shutterstock.comToast (NYSE:TOST) has developed a cloud solution for restaurants that helps them run their business smoothly. Due to the pandemic, it suffered through some of its worst years in 2020 and 2021. However, now things are getting back to normal, and recent financial results confirm this.The company’s numbers look promising, with a 55% rise in revenues year-over-year after Q3, and adjusted losses going down to $98 million from $254 million last year. The company also upgraded its outlook for the fourth quarter. Now, revenue is expected to be between $730 million and $760 million against a consensus analyst forecast of $725 million.However, this solid performance is not reflected in the markets. The stock is down over 50% in the year thus far. Investors are still cautious concerning the recovery of the restaurant market, which is reflected in Toast’s share price. However, in many countries, things are pretty normal. So, the stock can come back next year, making it one of the best financial stocks to buy. Shares are now being traded at a favorable price. If you’re thinking of investing in the next comeback story, now might be the right time to do so.SoFi Technologies (SOFI)Source: Michael Vi / ShutterstockThis year, SoFi’s (NASDAQ:SOFI) stock price has taken a plunge. Shares are down more than 70% despite it being a great year for the fintech company. It completed the purchase of Golden Pacific Bancorp earlier this year, which means SoFi Technologies is now well and truly a bank. It no longer relies on third-party financial institutions to issue loans and provide deposit services. That puts it in a different league from other fintech players.In addition, SoFi’s personal loan business is increasingly profitable. According to recent reports, the success of that sector has allowed the firm to beat consensus expectations consistently. It also allows the online bank to circumvent the broader macroeconomic environment, despite mixed performance in other areas of its portfolio. This is great news for SoFi’s many customers and employees, who eagerly await the end of the student loan repayment pause to end.With its strong overall performance, SoFi appears to be on its way to a bright future. Furthermore, when the moratorium on student loan payments ends, SoFi will have back one of its best-performing segments. For these reasons, SoFi is one of the best financial stocks to buy.Intuit (INTU)Source: T. Schneider / Shutterstock.comIntuit (NASDAQ:INTU) experienced impressive growth in the last fiscal year, with total revenue increasing by 32%, excluding the acquisition of email marketing provider MailChimp. It’s a testament to their business chops and financial acumen that they’ve come out on top in this difficult economic climate. Along with that comes premium stock prices. However, it’s for a good reason. Intuit remains competitive even when times are tough for its customers – small businesses and consumers who have been especially hard hit by current events.Intuit’s software tools have become indispensable resources, especially as belts are tightened amid an economic downturn. As a leader in tax software (Turbo Tax) and small business management solutions (QuickBooks, MailChimp), Intuit has been able to continue the positive trajectory of its small business segment. The performance comes despite budget cuts – with CFO Michelle Clatterbuck recently sharing the expectation that this sector will grow by an impressive 20% in fiscal 2023.From DIY-ers filing their taxes using Turbo Tax to businesses taking advantage of industry-leading fiscal solutions through QuickBooks and marketing assistance with MailChimp, Intuit possesses a robust operating model. Many of the segments are recession resistant. People need to manage their finances and file their returns. Growth in subscriber numbers might slow down for a couple of quarters. But the existing consumer base is incredibly sticky. The latest quarterly numbers show that revenue shot up 29%, despite a tough operating environment. That kind of performance is rare to find in the current market.Lemonade (LMND)Source: Stephanie L Sanchez / Shutterstock.comLemonade’s (NYSE:LMND) entry into the insurance market is a major disruption to the industry – and with it comes great advantages for its technology and customers. Its use of machine learning provides the potential for a more accurate assessment of underwriting policies. It allows Lemonade to be competitive in pricing compared to traditional systems. Furthermore, the innovative approach has won them fans in the form of customers who enjoy their product and rave about their customer service. It is an advantage that takes time, investment and dedication to acquire. With these elements combined, Lemonade has placed itself as a major player in the market, ready for whatever may come next.Lemonade is proving its value by focusing on the in-force premium (IFP) as its top-line metric instead of revenue alone. The success in achieving high growth goals has resulted in a 76% increase in IFP since last year, with a 35% boost in premium per customer and a 30% jump in customer count. Moving forward, the company is committed to focusing on profitability. Despite the risk of utilizing machine learning to price policies, Lemonade is certain to offer an improved product. At the same time, it is consistently growing its market share.Lemonade has taken a similar turn as much of the tech industry, seeing a big fall in market cap this year. It’s trading at very attractive valuations and is worth keeping an eye on. Although it is a bit risky, it deserves a place on this list of financial stocks to buy because of its disruptive quality.Wells Fargo (WFC)Source: Kristi Blokhin / Shutterstock.comWells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) is one of the largest and most impressive banks in the United States. It offers an attractive risk-reward prospect for investors, making it an enticing option for those with high returns in mind.Wells Fargo has plans to make cost cutting a key focus area going into 2023 – this could be a major source of competitive differentiation between them and others. On top of this, the eventual abolition of its asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve presents another significant positive development. It can help attract more attention to the company come 2023.Wells Fargo & Co. is slightly more attractive than other megabanks because it relies more on its consumer banking and lending arm than the investment banking business. It might not be by design, but the operating model for WFC is ideal in the current environment. In a turbulent economic climate, consumer banking has emerged as the saving grace for banks. While investment banking activity falters and markets continue to be bearish, people remain willing to take out loans with rising interest rates that generate much-needed income for financial institutions. Therefore, heading into 2023, Wells Fargo & Co. is in a great position.Citigroup (C)Source: Willy Barton / Shutterstock.comDespite a strong bearish market sentiment, now may be the time to take advantage of Citigroup’s (NYSE:C) underdog status. The current price offers significant upside potential regardless of what happens with Citi’s planned divestitures. The execution risk shouldn’t stop sophisticated investors willing to give them a chance and look past the recent roadblocks. It’s up to Citigroup to prove they have what it takes to get back on track, but the big payoff could be well worth it.Citigroup’s difficulties in 2022 reflect a challenging year of business operations. Unfortunately, its stock has plummeted close to 30%. Its value at the present low point has become a cause for further concern. The banking giant unveiled a multi-year transformation plan to improve its fortunes, yet the results were impaired due to several unforeseen obstacles encountered along the way. These delays were costly, allowing write-downs that affected contract invoicing and other financials. Moreover, Citigroup is contending with certain regulatory issues, while still operating under the looming threat of higher capital requirements.On the bright side, the investment bank is undergoing a major revamp of its consumer banking operations, setting the stage for an increasingly streamlined and profitable institution. By winding down or selling 14 international units – including Citibanamex in Mexico with remarkable returns – the bank will be able to hone in on core strengths such as investment banking, corporate banking and wealth management services. Making the business model more nimble is ideal, especially in a volatile market. It sets up Citigroup nicely for 2023 and beyond, sealing its fate among financial stocks to buy.Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)Source: Susan Montgomery / Shutterstock.comFifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB) is an impressive regional bank with increasing reach, strong finances and impressive products. Their expanding presence in the Southeast region ensures more customers can access their high-quality banking services, which include retail and commercial banking, consumer lending and asset management. The bank’s solid footing also provides a great foundation for outperformance when market conditions become turbulent – as they always do.Furthermore, Fifth Third has seen improving credit quality over the past few years, which will protect them during an economic recession. The pandemic’s dramatic economic downturn left banks facing a critical test: evaluating and preparing for the heightened risk of loan defaults. At Fifth Third Bancorp, management shone under pressure. It did exceedingly well by accurately predicting potential losses while prudently setting aside reserves to cover them. The accomplishment is worthy of praise in uncertain times. That performance is carrying through even after the pandemic. Moreover, their technological advancements have not been appreciated by the market yet.All these factors make Fifth Third Bancorp a great choice for investors looking to buy financial stocks for long-term growth potential.First Republic Bank (FRC)Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock.comFirst Republic Bank (NYSE:FRC) is a great example of how excellent customer service can build strong and lasting relationships. Having been in operation for the past four decades, their commitment to providing private consumer and business banking and private wealth management in New York and California has resulted in hard-earned customer loyalty.First Republic Bank did not do well this year like other financial stocks. Part of the reason is the wider economic downturn. However, Co-CEO James Herbert taking a leave also played a part. However, the company recently reported a revenue increase of 16.9% YoY, and net income rose 21%. Therefore, there is a feeling abound that the stock has been harshly treated.Over the last four quarters, First Republic Bank has consistently posted healthy earnings. They far exceeded even the most optimistic of analysts’ predictions. This extraordinary performance should not be taken lightly – it is a testimony to the incredible management, leadership and competent staff that has enabled this financial institution to stand out as a leader in its field. With this consistent success over such an extended period, First Republic Bank will reap greater rewards. Investors are sure to take notice and respond accordingly.Signature Bank (SBNY)Source: PL Gould / Shutterstock.comSignature Bank (NASDAQ:SBNY) is a prominent commercial banking institution with assets valued at $114.47 billion in the third quarter of 2022. Despite recent market turbulence caused by FTX bankruptcy and cryptocurrency contagion anxiety among some investors, shares are attractive as experts anticipate a Federal Reserve rate increase to factor in future conditions.Signature Bank is certainly conscious of the FTX debacle. (If you want to take a deep dive into the collapse, here is a great piece from Luke Lango that gives a great blow-by-blow account. Louis Navellier has you covered if you want to know how to navigate the future of crypto investing, particularly in the case of tokens.) It decided to end digital asset-associated deposits, as they only had a deposit relationship with FTX, citing volatility due to recent events. This news sent ripples through the marketplace, leaving executives and enthusiasts alike wondering what’s next for digital assets.Signature Bank has long been at the forefront of fintech innovation. It offers a revolutionary payments platform tailored specifically to crypto exchanges and clients. Operating 24/7, Signet – as it’s called- provides users with real-time payment solutions, allowing instantaneous transactions within their portfolios. As an added benefit of using this service, customers can place large non-interest-bearing deposits into Signature bank accounts, further driving global financial developments.In 2021, Signature had an impressive year following its foray into crypto services. Unfortunately, market developments have since caused the company to scale back operations and reassess its situation. Most notably, the collapse of FTX sent ripples throughout the industry as it spread contagion to other prominent players in this sector. However, despite suffering losses along with many others, Signature escaped relatively unscathed. It did not possess substantial deposits connected with FTX, and further streamlining the business certainly can’t hurt.Visa (V)Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock.comVisa (NYSE:V) has undergone a remarkable transformation; From its humble beginnings as an ordinary payments network, it is now a powerful force in the rapidly growing field of financial technology. Fintech’s development and adoption have surged during these challenging times – indeed, Visa stands at the heart of this revolution.Unlike several other financial stocks investors are looking to buy, Visa did well this year. The stock is down close to 5%. This news will not stop the presses. However, the price movement becomes notable when you compare it to the S&P 500, which is down almost 20% this year.Visa helps to power commerce around the world with its innovative payment network. In 2022, it propelled over $14 trillion in global sales. In addition, the payment processing company facilitated more than 250 billion transactions across over 80 million merchants worldwide. Boasting an impressive 3.9 billion cardholders, Visa continues to lead the way in digital payments processing networks on a grand scale. Despite a tough 2022, it still managed top-line growth of 19% in its latest quarter. In addition, Visa’s earnings outlook assumes ‘no recession’ and relieved investors spooked by the markets. Heading into 2023 puts Visa in a great position.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927976970,"gmtCreate":1672383544290,"gmtModify":1676538682723,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting analysis","listText":"Interesting analysis","text":"Interesting analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927976970","repostId":"1143531577","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921647178,"gmtCreate":1671061264794,"gmtModify":1676538482472,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due&nbsp;to this hike&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due&nbsp;to this hike&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","text":"This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due to this hike [Smug]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921647178","repostId":"2291844850","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2291844850","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1671058684,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2291844850?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-15 06:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Ends Lower After Latest Fed Rate Hike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291844850","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Fed raises interest rates by 50 basis points* Summary of economic projections sees higher policy r","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed raises interest rates by 50 basis points</p><p>* Summary of economic projections sees higher policy rate</p><p>* Tesla falls after Goldman cuts price target</p><p>* Dow down 0.42%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.61%, Nasdaq down 0.76%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/605a67e74e73b0af686fc3093f27837c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower in volatile trading on Wednesday following a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates by an expected 50 basis points, but its economic projections see higher rates for a longer period.</p><p>The central bank raised interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday and projected at least an additional 75 basis points of increases in borrowing costs by the end of 2023, as well as a rise in unemployment and a near-stalling of economic growth.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s latest quarterly summary of economic projections shows U.S. central bankers see the policy rate - now in the 4.25%-to-4.5% range - at 5.1% by the end of next year, according to the median estimate of all 19 Fed policymakers, up from the 4.6% view at the end of September.</p><p>In comments after the statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it was too soon to talk about cutting rates as the focus is on making the central bank&#39;s policy stance restrictive enough to push inflation down to its 2% goal.</p><p>Economic data on Tuesday, which showed cooling consumer inflation for November, had heightened expectations a move by the Fed to halt rate hikes might be on the horizon next year.</p><p>“They may be using these sort of very aggressive dot plot forecasts to take any steam out of the easing that has gone on in the last couple of months,&#34; said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania, said of Feb policymakers.</p><p>&#34;Conditions have eased, and that is their way of jawboning they are not going to let any easing really happen until they see unemployment go up.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.29 points, or 0.42%, to 33,966.35, the S&amp;P 500 lost 24.33 points, or 0.61%, to 3,995.32 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.93 points, or 0.76%, to 11,170.89.</p><p>Nearly all of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors ended the session in negative territory, with healthcare the sole advancer. Financials, down 1.29%, were the worst performing sector.</p><p>Despite the Fed statement, U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower after initially jumping in the wake of the announcement.</p><p>The strategy of aggressive interest rate increases by major central banks around the world this year has increased worries the global economy could be pushed into a recession and weighed heavily on riskier assets such as equities this year.</p><p>Each of the three major averages on Wall Street are on track for their first yearly decline since 2018, and their biggest yearly percentage decline since the financial crisis of 2008.</p><p>Tesla Inc slipped 2.58% after a Goldman Sachs analyst trimmed the price target for the electric-vehicle maker&#39;s stock.</p><p>Charter Communications Inc tumbled 16.38% as brokerages cut their price targets following the telecom services firm&#39;s mega-spending plans for a higher-speed internet upgrade.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.15 billion shares, compared with the 10.55 billion-share average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.39-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 223 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Ends Lower After Latest Fed Rate Hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Ends Lower After Latest Fed Rate Hike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-15 06:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed raises interest rates by 50 basis points</p><p>* Summary of economic projections sees higher policy rate</p><p>* Tesla falls after Goldman cuts price target</p><p>* Dow down 0.42%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.61%, Nasdaq down 0.76%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/605a67e74e73b0af686fc3093f27837c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower in volatile trading on Wednesday following a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates by an expected 50 basis points, but its economic projections see higher rates for a longer period.</p><p>The central bank raised interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday and projected at least an additional 75 basis points of increases in borrowing costs by the end of 2023, as well as a rise in unemployment and a near-stalling of economic growth.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s latest quarterly summary of economic projections shows U.S. central bankers see the policy rate - now in the 4.25%-to-4.5% range - at 5.1% by the end of next year, according to the median estimate of all 19 Fed policymakers, up from the 4.6% view at the end of September.</p><p>In comments after the statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it was too soon to talk about cutting rates as the focus is on making the central bank&#39;s policy stance restrictive enough to push inflation down to its 2% goal.</p><p>Economic data on Tuesday, which showed cooling consumer inflation for November, had heightened expectations a move by the Fed to halt rate hikes might be on the horizon next year.</p><p>“They may be using these sort of very aggressive dot plot forecasts to take any steam out of the easing that has gone on in the last couple of months,&#34; said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania, said of Feb policymakers.</p><p>&#34;Conditions have eased, and that is their way of jawboning they are not going to let any easing really happen until they see unemployment go up.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.29 points, or 0.42%, to 33,966.35, the S&amp;P 500 lost 24.33 points, or 0.61%, to 3,995.32 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.93 points, or 0.76%, to 11,170.89.</p><p>Nearly all of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors ended the session in negative territory, with healthcare the sole advancer. Financials, down 1.29%, were the worst performing sector.</p><p>Despite the Fed statement, U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower after initially jumping in the wake of the announcement.</p><p>The strategy of aggressive interest rate increases by major central banks around the world this year has increased worries the global economy could be pushed into a recession and weighed heavily on riskier assets such as equities this year.</p><p>Each of the three major averages on Wall Street are on track for their first yearly decline since 2018, and their biggest yearly percentage decline since the financial crisis of 2008.</p><p>Tesla Inc slipped 2.58% after a Goldman Sachs analyst trimmed the price target for the electric-vehicle maker&#39;s stock.</p><p>Charter Communications Inc tumbled 16.38% as brokerages cut their price targets following the telecom services firm&#39;s mega-spending plans for a higher-speed internet upgrade.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.15 billion shares, compared with the 10.55 billion-share average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.39-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 223 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COMP":"Compass, Inc.","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4079":"房地产服务","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4539":"次新股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","CHTR":"特许通讯","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291844850","content_text":"* Fed raises interest rates by 50 basis points* Summary of economic projections sees higher policy rate* Tesla falls after Goldman cuts price target* Dow down 0.42%, S&P 500 down 0.61%, Nasdaq down 0.76%NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower in volatile trading on Wednesday following a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates by an expected 50 basis points, but its economic projections see higher rates for a longer period.The central bank raised interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday and projected at least an additional 75 basis points of increases in borrowing costs by the end of 2023, as well as a rise in unemployment and a near-stalling of economic growth.The Fed's latest quarterly summary of economic projections shows U.S. central bankers see the policy rate - now in the 4.25%-to-4.5% range - at 5.1% by the end of next year, according to the median estimate of all 19 Fed policymakers, up from the 4.6% view at the end of September.In comments after the statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it was too soon to talk about cutting rates as the focus is on making the central bank's policy stance restrictive enough to push inflation down to its 2% goal.Economic data on Tuesday, which showed cooling consumer inflation for November, had heightened expectations a move by the Fed to halt rate hikes might be on the horizon next year.“They may be using these sort of very aggressive dot plot forecasts to take any steam out of the easing that has gone on in the last couple of months,\" said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania, said of Feb policymakers.\"Conditions have eased, and that is their way of jawboning they are not going to let any easing really happen until they see unemployment go up.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.29 points, or 0.42%, to 33,966.35, the S&P 500 lost 24.33 points, or 0.61%, to 3,995.32 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.93 points, or 0.76%, to 11,170.89.Nearly all of the 11 major S&P sectors ended the session in negative territory, with healthcare the sole advancer. Financials, down 1.29%, were the worst performing sector.Despite the Fed statement, U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower after initially jumping in the wake of the announcement.The strategy of aggressive interest rate increases by major central banks around the world this year has increased worries the global economy could be pushed into a recession and weighed heavily on riskier assets such as equities this year.Each of the three major averages on Wall Street are on track for their first yearly decline since 2018, and their biggest yearly percentage decline since the financial crisis of 2008.Tesla Inc slipped 2.58% after a Goldman Sachs analyst trimmed the price target for the electric-vehicle maker's stock.Charter Communications Inc tumbled 16.38% as brokerages cut their price targets following the telecom services firm's mega-spending plans for a higher-speed internet upgrade.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.15 billion shares, compared with the 10.55 billion-share average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.39-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 223 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921185246,"gmtCreate":1670996748685,"gmtModify":1676538473591,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]&nbsp;","listText":"The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]&nbsp;","text":"The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921185246","repostId":"1112255359","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112255359","pubTimestamp":1670985895,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112255359?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-14 10:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112255359","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-exp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.S. took major Wall Street indices higher. EV shares traded in the red, with <b>Nio</b> and <b>Li Auto</b> losing over 3%. <b>Alibaba</b> and <b>Tencent</b> gained nearly 1% each.</p><p>Investors and traders are now bracing for the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. “Even before the release of the CPI data the market was expecting the Fed will increase rates by 50 bps, and this data confirms that a slower rate is now appropriate. The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go? We forecast a 50 bps rise this week followed by two 25 bps lifts in February and March,”<b>ANZ Research</b> said in a note.</p><p><b>Company News:</b> Warren Buffett’s <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> sold 1.33 million Hong Kong-listed shares of electric vehicle maker <b>BYD Co.</b>. The divestment reduced Warren Buffett-owned investment company&#39;s holdings in BYD&#39;s total issued H-shares to 14.95% on December 8.</p><p><b>NIO</b> is working on an ultra-luxury sedan to compete with <b>Mercedes-Maybach S-Class</b>,reported CnEVPost, citing local media.</p><p><b>Top Gainers and Losers:</b> <b>Longfor Group Holdings Limited</b> and <b>Techtronic Industries Company Limited</b> are among the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents, having risen over 4% and 3%, respectively. <b>Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited</b> and <b>Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited</b> are the top losers, having shed over 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.</p><p><b>Global News:</b> U.S. futures traded in the green on Wednesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures gained 0.19% while the Nasdaq futures rose 0.26%. The S&amp;P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.23%.</p><p>Elsewhere in Asia-Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up by 0.37%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.61% higher while China’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.13%. South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.78%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-14 10:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/22/12/30070214/alibaba-up-nearly-2-nio-down-1-whats-weighing-on-hong-kong-stocks-today><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.S. took major Wall Street indices higher. EV shares traded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/22/12/30070214/alibaba-up-nearly-2-nio-down-1-whats-weighing-on-hong-kong-stocks-today\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09866":"蔚来-SW","09988":"阿里巴巴-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/22/12/30070214/alibaba-up-nearly-2-nio-down-1-whats-weighing-on-hong-kong-stocks-today","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112255359","content_text":"Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.S. took major Wall Street indices higher. EV shares traded in the red, with Nio and Li Auto losing over 3%. Alibaba and Tencent gained nearly 1% each.Investors and traders are now bracing for the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. “Even before the release of the CPI data the market was expecting the Fed will increase rates by 50 bps, and this data confirms that a slower rate is now appropriate. The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go? We forecast a 50 bps rise this week followed by two 25 bps lifts in February and March,”ANZ Research said in a note.Company News: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway sold 1.33 million Hong Kong-listed shares of electric vehicle maker BYD Co.. The divestment reduced Warren Buffett-owned investment company's holdings in BYD's total issued H-shares to 14.95% on December 8.NIO is working on an ultra-luxury sedan to compete with Mercedes-Maybach S-Class,reported CnEVPost, citing local media.Top Gainers and Losers: Longfor Group Holdings Limited and Techtronic Industries Company Limited are among the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents, having risen over 4% and 3%, respectively. Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited and Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited are the top losers, having shed over 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.Global News: U.S. futures traded in the green on Wednesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures gained 0.19% while the Nasdaq futures rose 0.26%. The S&P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.23%.Elsewhere in Asia-Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up by 0.37%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.61% higher while China’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.13%. South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.78%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923725066,"gmtCreate":1670916939755,"gmtModify":1676538459526,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Assess the market&nbsp;risk and act prudently","listText":"Assess the market&nbsp;risk and act prudently","text":"Assess the market risk and act prudently","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923725066","repostId":"2291311557","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929769350,"gmtCreate":1670732926671,"gmtModify":1676538425458,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting view point&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting view point&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"Interesting view point [Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929769350","repostId":"2290213223","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2290213223","pubTimestamp":1670723606,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2290213223?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-11 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290213223","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economist</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a959345916d49ecfb90abc84cc5b97\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>U.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.</span></p><p>Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.</p><p>This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.</p><p>“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”</p><p>U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.</p><p>Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&amp;P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p>“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”</p><p><b>Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?</b></p><p>A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.</p><p>“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.</p><p>That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.</p><p>The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.</p><p>“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.</p><p>John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”</p><p>“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”</p><p><b>Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?</b></p><p>For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.</p><p>“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.</p><p>“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”</p><p><b>Relief rally’s big tests</b></p><p>While the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&amp;P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.</p><p>So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.</p><p>U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&amp;P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&amp;P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&amp;P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-11 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290213223","content_text":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”Relief rally’s big testsWhile the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929207240,"gmtCreate":1670666602481,"gmtModify":1676538414641,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree with this assessment&nbsp;","listText":"Agree with this assessment&nbsp;","text":"Agree with this assessment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929207240","repostId":"2290255966","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9956992250,"gmtCreate":1673874496170,"gmtModify":1676538897186,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Valuable knowledge","listText":"Valuable knowledge","text":"Valuable knowledge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956992250","repostId":"2303469523","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953483928,"gmtCreate":1673309272064,"gmtModify":1676538815319,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is the rise sustainable?","listText":"Is the rise sustainable?","text":"Is the rise sustainable?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953483928","repostId":"1182576862","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929207240,"gmtCreate":1670666602481,"gmtModify":1676538414641,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree with this assessment&nbsp;","listText":"Agree with this assessment&nbsp;","text":"Agree with this assessment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929207240","repostId":"2290255966","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2290255966","pubTimestamp":1670623235,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2290255966?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-10 06:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290255966","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The future for Shopify, Roku, and Nvidia is bright.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It has been a tough year for investors, but the last thing you want to do now is panic. Investing is a long-term game played out over decades. Growth stocks have been hit especially hard this year, but their long-term investment thesis hasn&#39;t changed.</p><p><b>Shopify</b>, <b>Roku</b>, and <b>Nvidia</b> are three downtrodden companies that look like excellent buying opportunities for investors willing to hold them for the next decade and beyond. What makes these companies appealing is their position in industries due for explosive growth in the coming years.</p><p>Here&#39;s what you should know about each of these growth stocks.</p><h2>1. Shopify&#39;s long-term prospects remain bright</h2><p>Shopify provides people with the tools they need to run their online stores (along with brick-and-mortar operations), handling everything from payment processing to inventory management and website hosting.</p><p>The company was a huge winner during the pandemic, which shifted consumer trends online in record fashion. From 2019 to 2021, Shopify&#39;s revenue grew 192%, and the optimism around online shopping trends was higher than ever.</p><p>Shopify management expected strong trends to continue and racked up expenses in a big way this year. Revenue growth was a solid 22%, but expenses ballooned by 69% -- resulting in $2.8 billion in losses this year. The company is working to reel in costs and laid off 10% of its workforce in July.</p><p>Management may have overshot the growth of online shopping, but the company continues to grow steadily. Shopify Payments, its payment processing solution, makes it easy for merchants to accept and process payment cards. This product accounted for 54% of Shopify&#39;s total gross merchandise volume through its platform, showing room for growth.</p><p>According to eMarketer, e-commerce sales are expected to grow from $5.2 billion in 2021 to $8.1 billion in 2026, a growth rate of roughly 9% annually. One way Shopify looks to build on its position is through its Shopify Fulfillment Network (SFN). This service simplifies logistics across the supply chain, from freight to distribution to delivery, and is expected to reach scale sometime in 2023 or 2024.</p><p>While Shopify stock may be down 71% this year, it is in an excellent position to keep scaling up and taking a share of the e-commerce market.</p><h2>2. Roku sits at the top of the streaming services world</h2><p>Roku provides customers with a streaming platform through its various products, including Roku Stick, smart TVs, and other streaming devices. According to Conviva, a provider of video analytics services, Roku is the world&#39;s top streaming platform, with its devices streaming 30.5% of users&#39; total viewing time. <b>Amazon</b> Fire TV and Samsung TV were the next closest, with 16% and 13.7%, respectively, of users&#39; total streaming time.</p><p>Roku&#39;s platform is free to use, making most of its money from ads and revenue-sharing deals when users engage with different apps. The company was a big winner during the pandemic and put together six consecutive profitable quarters. However, it hasn&#39;t had a profitable quarter this year, and its third-quarter loss of $122 million was the largest quarterly loss in its history.</p><p>Roku faces headwinds in the short term as ad spending softens amid an uncertain economic backdrop. Many companies are concerned about the health of the economy and consumer spending and have cut back on advertising expenses in response. Roku expects its net loss to balloon to $245 million in the fourth quarter.</p><p>Roku will face volatility in the short term, but the company is in a solid position for the long haul. It has done a stellar job of growing its user base and average revenue per user. In the third quarter, its user base grew 16% to 65.4 million, while the average revenue per user was up 10% to $44.25.</p><p>Its position as the top streaming platform will be crucial to Roku as connected TV ad spending grows. According to data from Statista, connected advertising spending in the U.S. will go from $18.9 billion this year to $38.8 billion in 2026, representing an annual growth rate of 20%.</p><p>While Roku faces short-term headwinds from softening ad spending, it still sees solid growth in its customer base. The company is well positioned to ride the tailwinds as more digital ad spending shifts to connected TV -- making Roku a company that could be a huge winner over the next decade.</p><h2>3. Nvidia&#39;s hardware powers lucrative innovations</h2><p>Nvidia produces crucial hardware that helps push the boundaries of what is possible. Its graphic processing units (GPUs) are behind some of the most innovative technological trends, including cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, autonomous vehicles, cryptocurrency, and the metaverse. According to Jon Peddie Research, Nvidia recently increased its discrete GPU market share to 88% in the third quarter.</p><p>Like others, Nvidia has faced headwinds this year. Inflation has dampened consumer spending on video cards for gaming, and its inventory levels have risen rapidly. Falling cryptocurrency prices have also weighed on consumer demand. Its third-quarter (ended Oct. 30) revenue fell 12% from the prior quarter and 17% from the same quarter last year. The company predicts weakness in the fourth quarter to continue, with revenue expected to fall around 21%.</p><p>Slowing demand has weighed on the stock, which is down 43% this year. However, when you zoom out and look at the long game, Nvidia is in an excellent position to grow. The company has leveraged its technology to build platforms enabling developers to deploy AI applications or build 3D worlds and avatars for the metaverse (Omniverse platform).</p><p>Overall, Nvidia believes its total addressable markets (TAM) is $1 trillion among its multiple products. Its largest TAMs are in chips and systems and automotive technology, each estimated to be at $300 billion. These markets are followed by its AI software and the Omniverse platform products, which it marks at $150 billion each.</p><p>Nvidia stock trades at a lofty price of 37 times forward earnings and will likely face some volatility in the coming quarters. However, it&#39;s in an excellent position to capitalize on some of the most innovative technologies of our day -- making it another stellar stock that could be a huge winner over the next decade and beyond.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-10 06:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/09/3-growth-stocks-that-could-be-huge-winners-in-the/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It has been a tough year for investors, but the last thing you want to do now is panic. Investing is a long-term game played out over decades. Growth stocks have been hit especially hard this year, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/09/3-growth-stocks-that-could-be-huge-winners-in-the/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","ROKU":"Roku Inc","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/09/3-growth-stocks-that-could-be-huge-winners-in-the/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290255966","content_text":"It has been a tough year for investors, but the last thing you want to do now is panic. Investing is a long-term game played out over decades. Growth stocks have been hit especially hard this year, but their long-term investment thesis hasn't changed.Shopify, Roku, and Nvidia are three downtrodden companies that look like excellent buying opportunities for investors willing to hold them for the next decade and beyond. What makes these companies appealing is their position in industries due for explosive growth in the coming years.Here's what you should know about each of these growth stocks.1. Shopify's long-term prospects remain brightShopify provides people with the tools they need to run their online stores (along with brick-and-mortar operations), handling everything from payment processing to inventory management and website hosting.The company was a huge winner during the pandemic, which shifted consumer trends online in record fashion. From 2019 to 2021, Shopify's revenue grew 192%, and the optimism around online shopping trends was higher than ever.Shopify management expected strong trends to continue and racked up expenses in a big way this year. Revenue growth was a solid 22%, but expenses ballooned by 69% -- resulting in $2.8 billion in losses this year. The company is working to reel in costs and laid off 10% of its workforce in July.Management may have overshot the growth of online shopping, but the company continues to grow steadily. Shopify Payments, its payment processing solution, makes it easy for merchants to accept and process payment cards. This product accounted for 54% of Shopify's total gross merchandise volume through its platform, showing room for growth.According to eMarketer, e-commerce sales are expected to grow from $5.2 billion in 2021 to $8.1 billion in 2026, a growth rate of roughly 9% annually. One way Shopify looks to build on its position is through its Shopify Fulfillment Network (SFN). This service simplifies logistics across the supply chain, from freight to distribution to delivery, and is expected to reach scale sometime in 2023 or 2024.While Shopify stock may be down 71% this year, it is in an excellent position to keep scaling up and taking a share of the e-commerce market.2. Roku sits at the top of the streaming services worldRoku provides customers with a streaming platform through its various products, including Roku Stick, smart TVs, and other streaming devices. According to Conviva, a provider of video analytics services, Roku is the world's top streaming platform, with its devices streaming 30.5% of users' total viewing time. Amazon Fire TV and Samsung TV were the next closest, with 16% and 13.7%, respectively, of users' total streaming time.Roku's platform is free to use, making most of its money from ads and revenue-sharing deals when users engage with different apps. The company was a big winner during the pandemic and put together six consecutive profitable quarters. However, it hasn't had a profitable quarter this year, and its third-quarter loss of $122 million was the largest quarterly loss in its history.Roku faces headwinds in the short term as ad spending softens amid an uncertain economic backdrop. Many companies are concerned about the health of the economy and consumer spending and have cut back on advertising expenses in response. Roku expects its net loss to balloon to $245 million in the fourth quarter.Roku will face volatility in the short term, but the company is in a solid position for the long haul. It has done a stellar job of growing its user base and average revenue per user. In the third quarter, its user base grew 16% to 65.4 million, while the average revenue per user was up 10% to $44.25.Its position as the top streaming platform will be crucial to Roku as connected TV ad spending grows. According to data from Statista, connected advertising spending in the U.S. will go from $18.9 billion this year to $38.8 billion in 2026, representing an annual growth rate of 20%.While Roku faces short-term headwinds from softening ad spending, it still sees solid growth in its customer base. The company is well positioned to ride the tailwinds as more digital ad spending shifts to connected TV -- making Roku a company that could be a huge winner over the next decade.3. Nvidia's hardware powers lucrative innovationsNvidia produces crucial hardware that helps push the boundaries of what is possible. Its graphic processing units (GPUs) are behind some of the most innovative technological trends, including cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, autonomous vehicles, cryptocurrency, and the metaverse. According to Jon Peddie Research, Nvidia recently increased its discrete GPU market share to 88% in the third quarter.Like others, Nvidia has faced headwinds this year. Inflation has dampened consumer spending on video cards for gaming, and its inventory levels have risen rapidly. Falling cryptocurrency prices have also weighed on consumer demand. Its third-quarter (ended Oct. 30) revenue fell 12% from the prior quarter and 17% from the same quarter last year. The company predicts weakness in the fourth quarter to continue, with revenue expected to fall around 21%.Slowing demand has weighed on the stock, which is down 43% this year. However, when you zoom out and look at the long game, Nvidia is in an excellent position to grow. The company has leveraged its technology to build platforms enabling developers to deploy AI applications or build 3D worlds and avatars for the metaverse (Omniverse platform).Overall, Nvidia believes its total addressable markets (TAM) is $1 trillion among its multiple products. Its largest TAMs are in chips and systems and automotive technology, each estimated to be at $300 billion. These markets are followed by its AI software and the Omniverse platform products, which it marks at $150 billion each.Nvidia stock trades at a lofty price of 37 times forward earnings and will likely face some volatility in the coming quarters. However, it's in an excellent position to capitalize on some of the most innovative technologies of our day -- making it another stellar stock that could be a huge winner over the next decade and beyond.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921647178,"gmtCreate":1671061264794,"gmtModify":1676538482472,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due&nbsp;to this hike&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due&nbsp;to this hike&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","text":"This was expected. Let's see the market reaction due to this hike [Smug]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921647178","repostId":"2291844850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927975169,"gmtCreate":1672384208051,"gmtModify":1676538682844,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen&nbsp;","listText":"Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen&nbsp;","text":"Shall wait and see how these perform once the market reopen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927975169","repostId":"2294988737","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951378529,"gmtCreate":1673408405061,"gmtModify":1676538832152,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow.. another breakthrough&nbsp;","listText":"Wow.. another breakthrough&nbsp;","text":"Wow.. another breakthrough","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951378529","repostId":"1138355693","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921185246,"gmtCreate":1670996748685,"gmtModify":1676538473591,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]&nbsp;","listText":"The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]&nbsp;","text":"The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go?[Glance]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921185246","repostId":"1112255359","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112255359","pubTimestamp":1670985895,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112255359?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-14 10:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112255359","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-exp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.S. took major Wall Street indices higher. EV shares traded in the red, with <b>Nio</b> and <b>Li Auto</b> losing over 3%. <b>Alibaba</b> and <b>Tencent</b> gained nearly 1% each.</p><p>Investors and traders are now bracing for the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. “Even before the release of the CPI data the market was expecting the Fed will increase rates by 50 bps, and this data confirms that a slower rate is now appropriate. The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go? We forecast a 50 bps rise this week followed by two 25 bps lifts in February and March,”<b>ANZ Research</b> said in a note.</p><p><b>Company News:</b> Warren Buffett’s <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> sold 1.33 million Hong Kong-listed shares of electric vehicle maker <b>BYD Co.</b>. The divestment reduced Warren Buffett-owned investment company&#39;s holdings in BYD&#39;s total issued H-shares to 14.95% on December 8.</p><p><b>NIO</b> is working on an ultra-luxury sedan to compete with <b>Mercedes-Maybach S-Class</b>,reported CnEVPost, citing local media.</p><p><b>Top Gainers and Losers:</b> <b>Longfor Group Holdings Limited</b> and <b>Techtronic Industries Company Limited</b> are among the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents, having risen over 4% and 3%, respectively. <b>Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited</b> and <b>Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited</b> are the top losers, having shed over 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.</p><p><b>Global News:</b> U.S. futures traded in the green on Wednesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures gained 0.19% while the Nasdaq futures rose 0.26%. The S&amp;P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.23%.</p><p>Elsewhere in Asia-Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up by 0.37%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.61% higher while China’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.13%. South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.78%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Up Slightly, Nio Down Over 3%: What's Weighing On Hong Kong Stocks Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-14 10:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/22/12/30070214/alibaba-up-nearly-2-nio-down-1-whats-weighing-on-hong-kong-stocks-today><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.S. took major Wall Street indices higher. EV shares traded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/22/12/30070214/alibaba-up-nearly-2-nio-down-1-whats-weighing-on-hong-kong-stocks-today\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09866":"蔚来-SW","09988":"阿里巴巴-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/22/12/30070214/alibaba-up-nearly-2-nio-down-1-whats-weighing-on-hong-kong-stocks-today","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112255359","content_text":"Hong Kong stocks mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark Hang Seng losing 0.13% after softer-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.S. took major Wall Street indices higher. EV shares traded in the red, with Nio and Li Auto losing over 3%. Alibaba and Tencent gained nearly 1% each.Investors and traders are now bracing for the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. “Even before the release of the CPI data the market was expecting the Fed will increase rates by 50 bps, and this data confirms that a slower rate is now appropriate. The question now is how much further will the Fed need to go? We forecast a 50 bps rise this week followed by two 25 bps lifts in February and March,”ANZ Research said in a note.Company News: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway sold 1.33 million Hong Kong-listed shares of electric vehicle maker BYD Co.. The divestment reduced Warren Buffett-owned investment company's holdings in BYD's total issued H-shares to 14.95% on December 8.NIO is working on an ultra-luxury sedan to compete with Mercedes-Maybach S-Class,reported CnEVPost, citing local media.Top Gainers and Losers: Longfor Group Holdings Limited and Techtronic Industries Company Limited are among the top gainers among Hang Seng constituents, having risen over 4% and 3%, respectively. Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited and Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited are the top losers, having shed over 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.Global News: U.S. futures traded in the green on Wednesday morning Asia session. The Dow Jones futures gained 0.19% while the Nasdaq futures rose 0.26%. The S&P 500 futures were trading higher by 0.23%.Elsewhere in Asia-Pacific, Australia’s ASX 200 was up by 0.37%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 0.61% higher while China’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.13%. South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.78%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923725066,"gmtCreate":1670916939755,"gmtModify":1676538459526,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Assess the market&nbsp;risk and act prudently","listText":"Assess the market&nbsp;risk and act prudently","text":"Assess the market risk and act prudently","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923725066","repostId":"2291311557","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2291311557","pubTimestamp":1670897810,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2291311557?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-13 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291311557","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryStocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Stocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that inflation has been defeated and that the Fed will soon pivot and dramatically cut rates.</li><li>This led stocks to trade for an improbably high 19x 2023 earnings estimates at the peak of the rally. With T-bills paying nearly 5%, that&#39;s excessive!</li><li>Having put Jerome Powell and the Fed on a pedestal, the market looks complacent here against the risk of yet another hot inflation print.</li><li>Runaway-spending consumers are in no mood to slow down or save. If core CPI does indeed come in hot, the algos will go berserk and stocks could retest the October lows within weeks.</li><li>Historical evidence (the 1970s!), econometric models, and countries that report inflation before the US are flashing a warning signal that executing an economic soft landing and whipping inflation won&#39;t be a cakewalk for the Fed.</li></ul><p>In the 1970s, inflation proved to be much more stubborn than policymakers anticipated. By and large, they kept policy rates too low for too long, engaged in dubious legislative gambits, and were forced to face the reality of shortages of energy,food, andqualified labor willing to work after blowing out the money supply. Does this sound familiar at all? We&#39;re about to get some clues as to whether history is repeating itself. This week brings two huge economic events, the first being the November CPI on Tuesday at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, and the second being the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday at 2 PM. The FOMC decision will be followed by Jerome Powell&#39;s all-important press conference afterward. CPI reports and FOMC meetings inthe past few months have seen daily swings of as much as 5% for the benchmark S&amp;P 500 Index (NYSEARCA:SPY). To top it off, Friday is expiration day for monthly stock options, index options, and futures, known on Wall Street as &#34;Triple Witching Hour&#34;. All signs point to potential trouble.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610ee702b7e5f8e14fb750783698880f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><h2>Is The Market Too Complacent?</h2><p>Since the October lows were set after a wild reversal from the ugly September CPI report, the market is up about 10%. The S&amp;P 500 rallied all the way to 4100, which seriously clashed with softening expectations for earnings. 19x is historically a very high multiple for stocks in the current environment, and index buyers at 4100 in my view got very poor compensation for the risk they&#39;re taking with risk-free returns near 5% in Treasury bills. This isn&#39;t a total bubble price, but it&#39;s on the very high range of normal.</p><p>Put another way, you can earn about the yield from simply parking your money in cash that you can earn by investing in businesses, so you want to be exceedingly careful about what stocks you buy. There&#39;s an old rule of thumb in the stock market called the &#34;rule of 20&#34; that states that the P/E ratio of the market plus the inflation rate should sum to about 20. Celebrity fund manager Peter Lynch was known to be a big proponent of this rule of thumb. In its original form, the rule of 20 would imply a valuation for the S&amp;P 500 of about 2700 index points. The S&amp;P 500 may not drop that low, but the insight here is that the rate of return over cash for the market is far below what investors historically can expect. To justify its current valuation, the market needs inflation to go down quickly and needs unemployment to stay low so corporate earnings don&#39;t tank along with it. That&#39;s a tall order.</p><p>Last month&#39;s inflation report that lifted the Dow by 1200 points in one day was quirky too. My modeling suggested a higher number, but the core CPI figures last month were helped a surprising amount by a technical data adjustment on the price of health insurance. The Fed prefers to use PCE data for policy because there are fewer quirks like this.</p><p>Interestingly, at roughly 24 as of my writing this, the VIX is much lower than it has been in previous months before CPI.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ae9efe3eaa1621d404e8b4b88b35d3c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Using the square root rule as a rough guide, you can divide the VIX by 7 to get the expected move in the S&amp;P 500 for a week. That implies a weekly move in the S&amp;P 500 of about 3.4%. The one-day swings alone on Fed and CPI days have been more than that in previous months. I&#39;d argue this is irrationally priced given the history of explosive moves in either direction from CPI, Fed, and options expirations, of which we have a trifecta this week. The algos will be locked and loaded for this week. And of course, more on my forecast for CPI below.</p><h2>Historically, Inflation Doesn&#39;t Just Go Away</h2><p>The lesson from the 1970s and early 1980s is that policymakers would get a few good CPI reports and then cut rates, and then inflation would come roaring back. Now we&#39;re potentially back in that kind of environment if we&#39;re not careful. We now have an inverted yield curve, a stubbornly high CPI, and all kinds of media calls for more government handouts to &#34;ease&#34; the burden of inflation. <i>Bloomberg</i> columnist Aaron Brown did a great piece recently on decoding the yield curve, posing the question to readers of whether the economy will be allowed to wash out unproductive companies or whether the government will continue to exert more and more influence on the economy, leading to years more of 1970s-style economic chaos. Disco may be dead, but the idea that millions of voters have that they can get something for nothing has endured.</p><p>Brown is fairly optimistic that lessons were learned from the 1970s. At least publicly, Powell seems to be showing some semblance of backbone. In Jackson Hole this summer, Powell acknowledged the 1970s-era trap of cutting rates too soon (leading to the dollar falling, speculative demand surging, and inflation roaring back). At the Brookings Institute in November, Powell admitted that the US had a national housing bubble and that the Fed would help fix it. Beating inflation likely won&#39;t just happen on its own. Social Security is about to increase by 8.7% in 2023, and millions of employees are currently negotiating their 2023 pay increases, which will be far in excess of numbers consistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation target. Implicit in these wage negotiations are threats of either going on strike or quitting and leaving for other employers, which at an unemployment rate of 3.7% is a credible and effective threat to employers. Unions representing pilots (30% pay increase) and railroad workers (24% increase) scored big concessions from Corporate America, while West Coast dockworkers are next in line for grabbing big pay increases. With voter focus squarely on inflation and shortages, unions have a lot of leverage over the Biden administration, the most high-profile example being the extraction of a $36 billion payout to the Teamsters union from federal COVID-relief funds to keep the peace.</p><p>And then, you have the Fed&#39;s nightmare, which is the fact that consumer savings rates are near the lowest levels ever. Personal savings hit 2.3% in the last month, and this is with student loans paused. The only other time savings rates have been this low was in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. Consumers are starting with more savings than they had then, but given enough time, these trends imply a serious day of reckoning for consumers. Saving 2.3% is not enough to cover the long-term obligations of consumers. 8% to 10% is considered healthy, and if personal savings go negative, it&#39;s a huge red flag.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f930918bfc4ac46e0e2e7db4a3ec8ae5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Fed&#39;s Nightmare? (Bloomberg)</span></p><p>As a result of this YOLO-driven economy, real incomes from wages continue to relentlessly fall for consumers, while spending continues to climb. The Fed has published reports on this to help shed light on where the money is coming from and where it&#39;s going– they&#39;re worth a read. The consensus here is that pent-up savings from pandemic stimulus are continuing to fuel the economy and that this money will soon run dry. The Fed&#39;s data that they&#39;ve published on consumer savings is mostly indirect– you can&#39;t tell from their PCE estimates just how much consumers have in reserves or how long it will last. Bank CEOs can fill the gaps. JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) Jamie Dimon has suggested that the excess savings will run out around mid-year 2023. BofA (BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan often plays the optimistic foil to Dimon, but he&#39;s called for GDP contraction in 2023, albeit mild. Capital One (COF) is a key lender for subprime borrowers, and they&#39;ve struck a cautious tone, limiting some new accounts for borrowers with lower credit scores.</p><p>Consumers still have some pent-up savings from the pandemic, but rather than use them to shore up their retirement or follow the Fed&#39;s lead and put the money on deposit to earn 5%, they&#39;re spending with reckless enthusiasm. The <i>WSJ</i> recently published a report, &#34;The $42 Billion Question&#34;, asking why so few consumers are moving their money to earn more than the 0% interest that big banks pay. Thousands of dollars per year are up for grabs for millions of affluent households, and most of them effectively refuse to pick it up off of the sidewalk. Maybe they&#39;d rather spend it all.</p><p>As long as consumers have this cash pile, they&#39;re going to spend it (YOLO), rather than see their neighbors having all of the fun (FOMO). These personal savings rates are mind-blowing when you consider:</p><ul><li>The general level of affluence in the US vs. other countries. The US is by no means the only economy with speculative excess, but if anybody should be putting money away, it&#39;s Americans.</li><li>That most American households own a home bought at non-bubble prices with sub-4% mortgages (or none at all).</li><li>And that those who don&#39;t are often benefitting from the student loan pause (which is going to get axed by the conservative Supreme Court in late winter or spring).</li></ul><p>There&#39;s still way too much demand out there given the level of people willing and able to work– and too much (mainly borrowed) money chasing too few goods. This leads me to believe that we&#39;re still at least a good six months or so from inflation being pushed down to levels that are consistent with anywhere near the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation target. Another hint about whether inflation is defeated comes from the Mannheim used car index– it was falling steadily but now has leveled off. Why might this be? Of course, pent-up demand.</p><h2>Where Will November CPI Come In?</h2><p>It&#39;s now time for us to handicap the CPI figures. Economists expect 0.5% CPI inflation for November and 0.3% core CPI inflation. Last month, October CPI came in at 0.4% and core came in at 0.3%.</p><p>The preponderance of the evidence suggests that inflation is a bigger problem still than economists realize.</p><ol><li>The dollar is down about 10% off of its October highs. The US imported $3.4 trillion in goods and services in 2021. The move upward in the dollar previously had served to mask the true amount of inflation in the US and make inflation appear worse in places like the EU. Now, with the dollar coming back down, these same goods and services will cost about 10% more than they would have a month ago. This alone is enough to increase CPI by between 1% and 2% over the next year.</li><li>Stocks are back up and yields are down, encouraging people to borrow and spend. The Fed often speaks of &#34;financial conditions&#34; with respect to its monetary policy. What this means in the real world is that people see their accounts back up from where they were in October, so they go right back to spending, losing any caution they may have developed from the market rout earlier in the fall.</li><li>To this point, markets are reflexive. October&#39;s CPI print came about in large part because of a stronger dollar, lower stocks, and higher yields leading up to the report. This made the inflation number come in lower and made the market believe that the Fed would soon pivot. The last time this happened, it set the conditions for the next CPI report to come in hot, dashing any hopes of a Fed pivot and sending stocks to new lows and yields to new highs. Now since November, we&#39;ve seen a weaker dollar, higher stocks, and lower yields, all setting the conditions for another hot report and crazy swing in stocks. The paradox here is that the more traders get excited about lower inflation and a Fed pivot, the less likely it is to happen.</li></ol><p>The Cleveland Fed econometric model generally outperforms professional economists in forecasting inflation. The model predicts a core CPI of 0.51% for November, far higher than the 0.3% projected by economists. I think this is about the right number for November. CPI is projected to increase another 0.5% in December by the model, which I also agree with. If the Cleveland Fed model is correct, then equity markets will get a slap in the face as their hopes of a Fed pivot are filed away for the next six months.</p><p>Another approach is to look at other countries that report CPI before the US does in the month. My unscientific sample shows that core November CPI in Mexico was higher than expected, core CPI in South Korea was higher than expected, and core CPI in Hungary also surprised to the upside. In each case, the countries had seen a decrease in energy costs coupled with an increase in demand-driven core CPI. My forecast is therefore 0.5% for core CPI in the US for November for the reasons above. If this is so, the market won&#39;t like it.</p><h2>What Will the Fed Do This Week?</h2><p>The day after CPI we will get the Fed. My guess is that the Fed has boxed itself into a corner regarding a 50 basis point hike and that they won&#39;t backtrack to 75 bps if the inflation report comes in hot. Similarly, if inflation comes in as expected, raising by 25 bps would send the wrong message to the market and fuel round after round of technical, speculative buying. Therefore, almost regardless of where inflation comes in, I&#39;d expect a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Funds rate, followed by a hawkish press conference. But the key question is where the Fed funds rate is likely to top out, and how long they&#39;ll keep it there. I believe the rate will have to go higher than most people think and stay there for longer as well as a result of the unprecedented level of free government money and the wrecking ball effect it had on the real economy in 2021.</p><p>But let&#39;s get back to some econometrics.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e828ac964db149440a7bcd0af12fd575\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)</span></p><p>Under most assumptions for where Fed policy should be, the recommended interest rate is around 5%. Key to my assumption here is that roughly 50% of core inflation is supply driven and 50% is demand-driven. If you believe that two-thirds of core inflation is demand-driven, then you get this.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b51071560e7ae0a6f8653bc3d392114\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)</span></p><p>These figures are in line with some vocal policy hawks like Larry Summers. The approach has some minority support inside the Fed as well from more hawkish members like St. Louis Fed president James Bullard. 6% rates would have some serious implications for stocks, as you&#39;d be silly to park much money in high-multiple growth stocks when you could get 6% for doing nothing. The Fed is likely to go 50 bps this week, but credible arguments are being made for bringing in the big guns later on if this week&#39;s inflation report shows a lack of progress on core inflation.</p><h2>Bottom Line</h2><p>Should you make any portfolio moves off of the Fed this week? Perhaps, or perhaps not. I understand the sentiment of not wanting to make short-term moves or trying to time the market. But even so, investors have discretion with when to deploy new money into the market or raise cash for sales. And the expected rate of return on cash, bonds, and stocks should absolutely color your asset allocation decisions. In this case, the message is that you want more cash and fewer stocks as part of your asset allocation mix. There are still good businesses you can buy at reasonable valuations, but it&#39;s a macro minefield out there for index investors with high valuations, an on/off recession on the horizon, and a Fed that is forced to hike rates into a weakening economy to wrest back control over inflation. However CPI and the Fed shake out this week, expect some fireworks from a heavily technicals-driven market going into triple witching on Friday. The preponderance of the evidence suggests that stocks will fall this week, possibly sharply. But in a market ruled by the algos, I wouldn&#39;t rule out a monster rally on at least one day of this week. In any case, the short-term risk/reward looks bad!</p><p><i>This article is written by Logan Kane for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-13 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563948-spy-the-market-will-go-berserk-if-core-cpi-surprises-to-the-upside><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that inflation has been defeated and that the Fed will soon pivot and dramatically cut rates.This led ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563948-spy-the-market-will-go-berserk-if-core-cpi-surprises-to-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563948-spy-the-market-will-go-berserk-if-core-cpi-surprises-to-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291311557","content_text":"SummaryStocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that inflation has been defeated and that the Fed will soon pivot and dramatically cut rates.This led stocks to trade for an improbably high 19x 2023 earnings estimates at the peak of the rally. With T-bills paying nearly 5%, that's excessive!Having put Jerome Powell and the Fed on a pedestal, the market looks complacent here against the risk of yet another hot inflation print.Runaway-spending consumers are in no mood to slow down or save. If core CPI does indeed come in hot, the algos will go berserk and stocks could retest the October lows within weeks.Historical evidence (the 1970s!), econometric models, and countries that report inflation before the US are flashing a warning signal that executing an economic soft landing and whipping inflation won't be a cakewalk for the Fed.In the 1970s, inflation proved to be much more stubborn than policymakers anticipated. By and large, they kept policy rates too low for too long, engaged in dubious legislative gambits, and were forced to face the reality of shortages of energy,food, andqualified labor willing to work after blowing out the money supply. Does this sound familiar at all? We're about to get some clues as to whether history is repeating itself. This week brings two huge economic events, the first being the November CPI on Tuesday at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, and the second being the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday at 2 PM. The FOMC decision will be followed by Jerome Powell's all-important press conference afterward. CPI reports and FOMC meetings inthe past few months have seen daily swings of as much as 5% for the benchmark S&P 500 Index (NYSEARCA:SPY). To top it off, Friday is expiration day for monthly stock options, index options, and futures, known on Wall Street as \"Triple Witching Hour\". All signs point to potential trouble.Data by YChartsIs The Market Too Complacent?Since the October lows were set after a wild reversal from the ugly September CPI report, the market is up about 10%. The S&P 500 rallied all the way to 4100, which seriously clashed with softening expectations for earnings. 19x is historically a very high multiple for stocks in the current environment, and index buyers at 4100 in my view got very poor compensation for the risk they're taking with risk-free returns near 5% in Treasury bills. This isn't a total bubble price, but it's on the very high range of normal.Put another way, you can earn about the yield from simply parking your money in cash that you can earn by investing in businesses, so you want to be exceedingly careful about what stocks you buy. There's an old rule of thumb in the stock market called the \"rule of 20\" that states that the P/E ratio of the market plus the inflation rate should sum to about 20. Celebrity fund manager Peter Lynch was known to be a big proponent of this rule of thumb. In its original form, the rule of 20 would imply a valuation for the S&P 500 of about 2700 index points. The S&P 500 may not drop that low, but the insight here is that the rate of return over cash for the market is far below what investors historically can expect. To justify its current valuation, the market needs inflation to go down quickly and needs unemployment to stay low so corporate earnings don't tank along with it. That's a tall order.Last month's inflation report that lifted the Dow by 1200 points in one day was quirky too. My modeling suggested a higher number, but the core CPI figures last month were helped a surprising amount by a technical data adjustment on the price of health insurance. The Fed prefers to use PCE data for policy because there are fewer quirks like this.Interestingly, at roughly 24 as of my writing this, the VIX is much lower than it has been in previous months before CPI.Data by YChartsUsing the square root rule as a rough guide, you can divide the VIX by 7 to get the expected move in the S&P 500 for a week. That implies a weekly move in the S&P 500 of about 3.4%. The one-day swings alone on Fed and CPI days have been more than that in previous months. I'd argue this is irrationally priced given the history of explosive moves in either direction from CPI, Fed, and options expirations, of which we have a trifecta this week. The algos will be locked and loaded for this week. And of course, more on my forecast for CPI below.Historically, Inflation Doesn't Just Go AwayThe lesson from the 1970s and early 1980s is that policymakers would get a few good CPI reports and then cut rates, and then inflation would come roaring back. Now we're potentially back in that kind of environment if we're not careful. We now have an inverted yield curve, a stubbornly high CPI, and all kinds of media calls for more government handouts to \"ease\" the burden of inflation. Bloomberg columnist Aaron Brown did a great piece recently on decoding the yield curve, posing the question to readers of whether the economy will be allowed to wash out unproductive companies or whether the government will continue to exert more and more influence on the economy, leading to years more of 1970s-style economic chaos. Disco may be dead, but the idea that millions of voters have that they can get something for nothing has endured.Brown is fairly optimistic that lessons were learned from the 1970s. At least publicly, Powell seems to be showing some semblance of backbone. In Jackson Hole this summer, Powell acknowledged the 1970s-era trap of cutting rates too soon (leading to the dollar falling, speculative demand surging, and inflation roaring back). At the Brookings Institute in November, Powell admitted that the US had a national housing bubble and that the Fed would help fix it. Beating inflation likely won't just happen on its own. Social Security is about to increase by 8.7% in 2023, and millions of employees are currently negotiating their 2023 pay increases, which will be far in excess of numbers consistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target. Implicit in these wage negotiations are threats of either going on strike or quitting and leaving for other employers, which at an unemployment rate of 3.7% is a credible and effective threat to employers. Unions representing pilots (30% pay increase) and railroad workers (24% increase) scored big concessions from Corporate America, while West Coast dockworkers are next in line for grabbing big pay increases. With voter focus squarely on inflation and shortages, unions have a lot of leverage over the Biden administration, the most high-profile example being the extraction of a $36 billion payout to the Teamsters union from federal COVID-relief funds to keep the peace.And then, you have the Fed's nightmare, which is the fact that consumer savings rates are near the lowest levels ever. Personal savings hit 2.3% in the last month, and this is with student loans paused. The only other time savings rates have been this low was in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. Consumers are starting with more savings than they had then, but given enough time, these trends imply a serious day of reckoning for consumers. Saving 2.3% is not enough to cover the long-term obligations of consumers. 8% to 10% is considered healthy, and if personal savings go negative, it's a huge red flag.The Fed's Nightmare? (Bloomberg)As a result of this YOLO-driven economy, real incomes from wages continue to relentlessly fall for consumers, while spending continues to climb. The Fed has published reports on this to help shed light on where the money is coming from and where it's going– they're worth a read. The consensus here is that pent-up savings from pandemic stimulus are continuing to fuel the economy and that this money will soon run dry. The Fed's data that they've published on consumer savings is mostly indirect– you can't tell from their PCE estimates just how much consumers have in reserves or how long it will last. Bank CEOs can fill the gaps. JPMorgan's (JPM) Jamie Dimon has suggested that the excess savings will run out around mid-year 2023. BofA (BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan often plays the optimistic foil to Dimon, but he's called for GDP contraction in 2023, albeit mild. Capital One (COF) is a key lender for subprime borrowers, and they've struck a cautious tone, limiting some new accounts for borrowers with lower credit scores.Consumers still have some pent-up savings from the pandemic, but rather than use them to shore up their retirement or follow the Fed's lead and put the money on deposit to earn 5%, they're spending with reckless enthusiasm. The WSJ recently published a report, \"The $42 Billion Question\", asking why so few consumers are moving their money to earn more than the 0% interest that big banks pay. Thousands of dollars per year are up for grabs for millions of affluent households, and most of them effectively refuse to pick it up off of the sidewalk. Maybe they'd rather spend it all.As long as consumers have this cash pile, they're going to spend it (YOLO), rather than see their neighbors having all of the fun (FOMO). These personal savings rates are mind-blowing when you consider:The general level of affluence in the US vs. other countries. The US is by no means the only economy with speculative excess, but if anybody should be putting money away, it's Americans.That most American households own a home bought at non-bubble prices with sub-4% mortgages (or none at all).And that those who don't are often benefitting from the student loan pause (which is going to get axed by the conservative Supreme Court in late winter or spring).There's still way too much demand out there given the level of people willing and able to work– and too much (mainly borrowed) money chasing too few goods. This leads me to believe that we're still at least a good six months or so from inflation being pushed down to levels that are consistent with anywhere near the Fed's 2% inflation target. Another hint about whether inflation is defeated comes from the Mannheim used car index– it was falling steadily but now has leveled off. Why might this be? Of course, pent-up demand.Where Will November CPI Come In?It's now time for us to handicap the CPI figures. Economists expect 0.5% CPI inflation for November and 0.3% core CPI inflation. Last month, October CPI came in at 0.4% and core came in at 0.3%.The preponderance of the evidence suggests that inflation is a bigger problem still than economists realize.The dollar is down about 10% off of its October highs. The US imported $3.4 trillion in goods and services in 2021. The move upward in the dollar previously had served to mask the true amount of inflation in the US and make inflation appear worse in places like the EU. Now, with the dollar coming back down, these same goods and services will cost about 10% more than they would have a month ago. This alone is enough to increase CPI by between 1% and 2% over the next year.Stocks are back up and yields are down, encouraging people to borrow and spend. The Fed often speaks of \"financial conditions\" with respect to its monetary policy. What this means in the real world is that people see their accounts back up from where they were in October, so they go right back to spending, losing any caution they may have developed from the market rout earlier in the fall.To this point, markets are reflexive. October's CPI print came about in large part because of a stronger dollar, lower stocks, and higher yields leading up to the report. This made the inflation number come in lower and made the market believe that the Fed would soon pivot. The last time this happened, it set the conditions for the next CPI report to come in hot, dashing any hopes of a Fed pivot and sending stocks to new lows and yields to new highs. Now since November, we've seen a weaker dollar, higher stocks, and lower yields, all setting the conditions for another hot report and crazy swing in stocks. The paradox here is that the more traders get excited about lower inflation and a Fed pivot, the less likely it is to happen.The Cleveland Fed econometric model generally outperforms professional economists in forecasting inflation. The model predicts a core CPI of 0.51% for November, far higher than the 0.3% projected by economists. I think this is about the right number for November. CPI is projected to increase another 0.5% in December by the model, which I also agree with. If the Cleveland Fed model is correct, then equity markets will get a slap in the face as their hopes of a Fed pivot are filed away for the next six months.Another approach is to look at other countries that report CPI before the US does in the month. My unscientific sample shows that core November CPI in Mexico was higher than expected, core CPI in South Korea was higher than expected, and core CPI in Hungary also surprised to the upside. In each case, the countries had seen a decrease in energy costs coupled with an increase in demand-driven core CPI. My forecast is therefore 0.5% for core CPI in the US for November for the reasons above. If this is so, the market won't like it.What Will the Fed Do This Week?The day after CPI we will get the Fed. My guess is that the Fed has boxed itself into a corner regarding a 50 basis point hike and that they won't backtrack to 75 bps if the inflation report comes in hot. Similarly, if inflation comes in as expected, raising by 25 bps would send the wrong message to the market and fuel round after round of technical, speculative buying. Therefore, almost regardless of where inflation comes in, I'd expect a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Funds rate, followed by a hawkish press conference. But the key question is where the Fed funds rate is likely to top out, and how long they'll keep it there. I believe the rate will have to go higher than most people think and stay there for longer as well as a result of the unprecedented level of free government money and the wrecking ball effect it had on the real economy in 2021.But let's get back to some econometrics.Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)Under most assumptions for where Fed policy should be, the recommended interest rate is around 5%. Key to my assumption here is that roughly 50% of core inflation is supply driven and 50% is demand-driven. If you believe that two-thirds of core inflation is demand-driven, then you get this.Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)These figures are in line with some vocal policy hawks like Larry Summers. The approach has some minority support inside the Fed as well from more hawkish members like St. Louis Fed president James Bullard. 6% rates would have some serious implications for stocks, as you'd be silly to park much money in high-multiple growth stocks when you could get 6% for doing nothing. The Fed is likely to go 50 bps this week, but credible arguments are being made for bringing in the big guns later on if this week's inflation report shows a lack of progress on core inflation.Bottom LineShould you make any portfolio moves off of the Fed this week? Perhaps, or perhaps not. I understand the sentiment of not wanting to make short-term moves or trying to time the market. But even so, investors have discretion with when to deploy new money into the market or raise cash for sales. And the expected rate of return on cash, bonds, and stocks should absolutely color your asset allocation decisions. In this case, the message is that you want more cash and fewer stocks as part of your asset allocation mix. There are still good businesses you can buy at reasonable valuations, but it's a macro minefield out there for index investors with high valuations, an on/off recession on the horizon, and a Fed that is forced to hike rates into a weakening economy to wrest back control over inflation. However CPI and the Fed shake out this week, expect some fireworks from a heavily technicals-driven market going into triple witching on Friday. The preponderance of the evidence suggests that stocks will fall this week, possibly sharply. But in a market ruled by the algos, I wouldn't rule out a monster rally on at least one day of this week. In any case, the short-term risk/reward looks bad!This article is written by Logan Kane for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927976970,"gmtCreate":1672383544290,"gmtModify":1676538682723,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting analysis","listText":"Interesting analysis","text":"Interesting analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927976970","repostId":"1143531577","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1143531577","pubTimestamp":1672378998,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143531577?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-30 13:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire Hathaway: The Apple Risk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143531577","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBerkshire Hathaway is a financial fortress, but BRK.B still comes with risk. One of those is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Berkshire Hathaway is a financial fortress, but BRK.B still comes with risk. One of those is what I like to call, &#34;The Apple Risk.&#34;</li><li>I&#39;ll explain why I sold my BRK.B shares, taking a deep dive into Berkshire&#39;s stock portfolio.</li><li>Berkshire trades at 16x my estimate of normalized earnings. In the decade ahead, I&#39;m estimating returns of 7% per annum.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/721470e4eb41b5f55839fdebde304370\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>Intro</h2><p>Buffett&#39;s often said Berkshire won&#39;t be one of the best performing stocks in the market, nor will it be one of the worst. I&#39;d generally agree with this statement, and maintain a &#34;hold&#34; rating on BRK.B. We&#39;ll dig into Berkshire&#39;s normalized earnings and expected returns, aswell as &#34;The Apple Risk.&#34; In the decade ahead, I estimate returns of 7% per annum for Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A).</p><h2>Berkshire&#39;s Normalized Earnings</h2><p>Berkshire has two main arms, its investments, and its operating businesses. As of last quarter, the company had a $296 billion stock portfolio. Here are its top holdings:</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Company:</b></td><td><b>% of Portfolio</b></td><td><b>% of Company Owned</b></td><td><b>Berkshire&#39;s Share of Earnings</b></td></tr><tr><td>Apple (AAPL)</td><td>42%</td><td>5.5%</td><td>$5.5 Billion</td></tr><tr><td>Bank of America (BAC)</td><td>10%</td><td>12.5%</td><td>$3.4 Billion</td></tr><tr><td><p>Chevron Corporation (CVX)</p></td><td>8%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>$2.9 Billion</td></tr><tr><td>Coca-Cola (KO)</td><td>8%</td><td>9.2%</td><td>$0.9 Billion</td></tr><tr><td>American Express Co. (AXP)</td><td>7%</td><td>20%</td><td>$1.5 Billion</td></tr><tr><td>Occidental Petroleum (OXY)</td><td>4%</td><td>20.7%</td><td>$2.5 Billion</td></tr><tr><td>Kraft Heinz (KHC)</td><td>4%</td><td>26.6%</td><td>$0.3 Billion</td></tr></tbody></table><p>These stocks make up 83% of Berkshire&#39;s equity portfolio, and account for $17 Billion of earnings attributable to Berkshire. I&#39;ve estimated Berkshire&#39;s share of earnings from the entire portfolio to be around <i><b>$20.5 billion</b></i>.</p><p>As for the operating businesses, they&#39;ve averaged about$26.5 billionof operating earnings over the past three years. This figure excludes gains and losses in Berkshire&#39;s stock portfolio, but includes dividends. If we subtract the roughly $5 billion of dividends Berkshire tends to receive from Apple, Bank of America, and the like, you can see that the wholly owned businesses, BNSF, BHE, and others earned an average of <i><b>$21.5 billion</b></i> over the past three years.</p><p>Now, add the two bolded numbers together, and you get <b>$42 billion</b> of normalized earnings power. This gives Berkshire at normalized PE of 16.</p><h2>Is Now A Good Time To Buy?</h2><p>Over the past five years, this is about as expensive as Berkshire&#39;s been on a price to book basis. But, zoom out a little further, and you&#39;ll see a different story:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03c8f74c026ba45cf79f1c591166e360\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Financial companies, like Berkshire&#39;s insurance arm, traded at much higher valuations from 1995 to 2005. Interest rates remained moderately higher throughout this period, especially when compared to the past 10 years. If the U.S. economy can maintain interest rates around 4-5% again, there could be a bull market in financials (Banks, insurance companies, etc. would benefit).</p><p>I believe now is neither a favorable time to buy, nor a favorable time to sell Berkshire stock. In my base-case scenario, I&#39;m seeing returns of 7% per annum for long-term shareholders.</p><h2><b>The Mechanics Of A 7% Annual Return</b></h2><p>My 2033 price target for BRK.B is $590 per share.</p><ul><li>If we divide Berkshire&#39;s $42 billion of normalized earnings by itsshares outstanding, we get EPS of $19.12.</li><li>Berkshire grows its earnings through buybacks, acquisitions, insurance float, and the growth of its many subsidiaries and investees. The company is a giant compounding machine. Berkshire is so large at this point, that it nearly embodies the U.S. economy. After buybacks, I expect Berkshire to grow its normalized EPS at 7.5% per annum, effectively doubling EPS by 2033 and earning $39.40 per share.</li><li>I&#39;ve applied a terminal multiple of 15 (Themedian PEof the S&amp;P 500 over the past 150 years).</li></ul><p>Note that if Berkshire grows its book value per share at 7% per annum and trades at a price to book of 1.5x in 10 years&#39; time, you&#39;d get a nearly identical result.</p><h2>Why I Sold My Shares - The Apple Risk</h2><p>I purchased Berkshire shares in 2020 and early 2021 for an average price of $234 per share. At the time, Berkshire was very out of favor. High-flying tech was the place to be, and Warren Buffett was &#34;washed up.&#34; He sold banks and airlines at a loss in 2020 after-all, and didn&#39;t own Tesla (TSLA). I still believe Buffett made the right moves divesting from the airlines, which now have terrible balance sheets. And, it&#39;s obvious he did the right thing in avoiding the tech bubble.</p><p>So why did I sell? First of all, Berkshire&#39;s share price and valuation ran up a great deal in a short period of time. I was seeinglower returns ahead. Also, I was not a fan of Berkshire&#39;s enormous Apple position. The position is now 42% of Berkshire&#39;s stock portfolio and accounts for 27% of Berkshire&#39;s book value. That&#39;s an enormous chunk of change. I wrote a bearisharticleon Apple a few months ago, its stock&#39;s been plummeting since. Apple has cyclical profits, and appeared to me to be at a peak in the cycle. This may continue to weigh on Berkshire&#39;s book value going forward. Apple is definitely not a Graham and Dodd type stock, it trades at a price to book of 39x:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8784864d98fdcc4df090b234bc8a96b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Apple isn&#39;t the only low return stock Buffett owns either, stocks like Chevron (CVX) and Coca-Cola (KO) have become very popular of late. It&#39;s difficult to pencil out a decent return from here for these equity positions.</p><p>The other issues are Berkshire&#39;s heavy exposure to the U.S. economy, which has been on fire over the past five years, as well as Berkshire&#39;s cumbersome ability to move capital around, due to its size.</p><h2>In Conclusion</h2><p>Berkshire Hathaway is a very respectable investment, and it has a decent chance to outperform the S&amp;P 500 in the decade ahead. But, the days of an automatic 10% per annum may be in the rearview mirror. Since selling down to book value in 2020, Berkshire has gained in popularity. The company&#39;s capital allocation is not as agile as it once was. Bill Ackman&#39;s team at Pershing Square (OTCPK:PSHZF) has discussed thisat length. This makes it difficult for Buffett to exit his Apple stake, which accounted for 27% of Berkshire&#39;s book value last quarter. Apple&#39;s been selling off of late, after a tremendous run-up in 2020 and 2021. This may continue to be a drag on Berkshire’s book value. With an expected return of 7% per annum, I maintain a &#34;hold&#34; rating on BRK.B.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire Hathaway: The Apple Risk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire Hathaway: The Apple Risk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-30 13:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566841-berkshire-hathaway-the-apple-risk><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBerkshire Hathaway is a financial fortress, but BRK.B still comes with risk. One of those is what I like to call, \"The Apple Risk.\"I'll explain why I sold my BRK.B shares, taking a deep dive ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566841-berkshire-hathaway-the-apple-risk\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566841-berkshire-hathaway-the-apple-risk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143531577","content_text":"SummaryBerkshire Hathaway is a financial fortress, but BRK.B still comes with risk. One of those is what I like to call, \"The Apple Risk.\"I'll explain why I sold my BRK.B shares, taking a deep dive into Berkshire's stock portfolio.Berkshire trades at 16x my estimate of normalized earnings. In the decade ahead, I'm estimating returns of 7% per annum.IntroBuffett's often said Berkshire won't be one of the best performing stocks in the market, nor will it be one of the worst. I'd generally agree with this statement, and maintain a \"hold\" rating on BRK.B. We'll dig into Berkshire's normalized earnings and expected returns, aswell as \"The Apple Risk.\" In the decade ahead, I estimate returns of 7% per annum for Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A).Berkshire's Normalized EarningsBerkshire has two main arms, its investments, and its operating businesses. As of last quarter, the company had a $296 billion stock portfolio. Here are its top holdings:Company:% of Portfolio% of Company OwnedBerkshire's Share of EarningsApple (AAPL)42%5.5%$5.5 BillionBank of America (BAC)10%12.5%$3.4 BillionChevron Corporation (CVX)8%8.5%$2.9 BillionCoca-Cola (KO)8%9.2%$0.9 BillionAmerican Express Co. (AXP)7%20%$1.5 BillionOccidental Petroleum (OXY)4%20.7%$2.5 BillionKraft Heinz (KHC)4%26.6%$0.3 BillionThese stocks make up 83% of Berkshire's equity portfolio, and account for $17 Billion of earnings attributable to Berkshire. I've estimated Berkshire's share of earnings from the entire portfolio to be around $20.5 billion.As for the operating businesses, they've averaged about$26.5 billionof operating earnings over the past three years. This figure excludes gains and losses in Berkshire's stock portfolio, but includes dividends. If we subtract the roughly $5 billion of dividends Berkshire tends to receive from Apple, Bank of America, and the like, you can see that the wholly owned businesses, BNSF, BHE, and others earned an average of $21.5 billion over the past three years.Now, add the two bolded numbers together, and you get $42 billion of normalized earnings power. This gives Berkshire at normalized PE of 16.Is Now A Good Time To Buy?Over the past five years, this is about as expensive as Berkshire's been on a price to book basis. But, zoom out a little further, and you'll see a different story:Data byYChartsFinancial companies, like Berkshire's insurance arm, traded at much higher valuations from 1995 to 2005. Interest rates remained moderately higher throughout this period, especially when compared to the past 10 years. If the U.S. economy can maintain interest rates around 4-5% again, there could be a bull market in financials (Banks, insurance companies, etc. would benefit).I believe now is neither a favorable time to buy, nor a favorable time to sell Berkshire stock. In my base-case scenario, I'm seeing returns of 7% per annum for long-term shareholders.The Mechanics Of A 7% Annual ReturnMy 2033 price target for BRK.B is $590 per share.If we divide Berkshire's $42 billion of normalized earnings by itsshares outstanding, we get EPS of $19.12.Berkshire grows its earnings through buybacks, acquisitions, insurance float, and the growth of its many subsidiaries and investees. The company is a giant compounding machine. Berkshire is so large at this point, that it nearly embodies the U.S. economy. After buybacks, I expect Berkshire to grow its normalized EPS at 7.5% per annum, effectively doubling EPS by 2033 and earning $39.40 per share.I've applied a terminal multiple of 15 (Themedian PEof the S&P 500 over the past 150 years).Note that if Berkshire grows its book value per share at 7% per annum and trades at a price to book of 1.5x in 10 years' time, you'd get a nearly identical result.Why I Sold My Shares - The Apple RiskI purchased Berkshire shares in 2020 and early 2021 for an average price of $234 per share. At the time, Berkshire was very out of favor. High-flying tech was the place to be, and Warren Buffett was \"washed up.\" He sold banks and airlines at a loss in 2020 after-all, and didn't own Tesla (TSLA). I still believe Buffett made the right moves divesting from the airlines, which now have terrible balance sheets. And, it's obvious he did the right thing in avoiding the tech bubble.So why did I sell? First of all, Berkshire's share price and valuation ran up a great deal in a short period of time. I was seeinglower returns ahead. Also, I was not a fan of Berkshire's enormous Apple position. The position is now 42% of Berkshire's stock portfolio and accounts for 27% of Berkshire's book value. That's an enormous chunk of change. I wrote a bearisharticleon Apple a few months ago, its stock's been plummeting since. Apple has cyclical profits, and appeared to me to be at a peak in the cycle. This may continue to weigh on Berkshire's book value going forward. Apple is definitely not a Graham and Dodd type stock, it trades at a price to book of 39x:Data byYChartsApple isn't the only low return stock Buffett owns either, stocks like Chevron (CVX) and Coca-Cola (KO) have become very popular of late. It's difficult to pencil out a decent return from here for these equity positions.The other issues are Berkshire's heavy exposure to the U.S. economy, which has been on fire over the past five years, as well as Berkshire's cumbersome ability to move capital around, due to its size.In ConclusionBerkshire Hathaway is a very respectable investment, and it has a decent chance to outperform the S&P 500 in the decade ahead. But, the days of an automatic 10% per annum may be in the rearview mirror. Since selling down to book value in 2020, Berkshire has gained in popularity. The company's capital allocation is not as agile as it once was. Bill Ackman's team at Pershing Square (OTCPK:PSHZF) has discussed thisat length. This makes it difficult for Buffett to exit his Apple stake, which accounted for 27% of Berkshire's book value last quarter. Apple's been selling off of late, after a tremendous run-up in 2020 and 2021. This may continue to be a drag on Berkshire’s book value. With an expected return of 7% per annum, I maintain a \"hold\" rating on BRK.B.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951394700,"gmtCreate":1673395245301,"gmtModify":1676538829412,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?","listText":"EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?","text":"EV stocks performance is erratic recently. Will these jumps sustainable?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951394700","repostId":"1195462506","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195462506","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673361507,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195462506?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-10 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195462506","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fdeb4b3f67aa42c3801cfc5b5760371\" tg-width=\"249\" tg-height=\"447\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Gained in Morning Trading with Nio Jumping 4.6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-10 22:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fdeb4b3f67aa42c3801cfc5b5760371\" tg-width=\"249\" tg-height=\"447\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195462506","content_text":"EV stocks gained in morning trading with Nio jumping 4.6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929769350,"gmtCreate":1670732926671,"gmtModify":1676538425458,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting view point&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting view point&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"Interesting view point [Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929769350","repostId":"2290213223","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951497244,"gmtCreate":1673535678289,"gmtModify":1676538852726,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951497244","repostId":"2302860984","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2302860984","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1673525718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2302860984?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-12 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"American Companies Face Pressure on the Margins","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302860984","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Earnings at big public companies haven't been growing all that much lately. Which isn't to say that ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Earnings at big public companies haven&#39;t been growing all that much lately. Which isn&#39;t to say that companies haven&#39;t been extremely profitable.</p><p>Earnings season is getting under way, and results for the final quarter of last year look to be underwhelming. Analysts&#39; latest estimates are for earnings per share for members of the S&amp;P 500 to have shrunk by 2.2% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier -- a figure that is flattered by an expected 65% gain in energy-sector earnings. Exclude those, and analysts estimate earnings fell by 6.7%.</p><p>Actual results likely won&#39;t be quite so bad, since by the time companies start reporting analysts have typically lowered estimates to the point that most companies easily exceed them. But they will probably still count as a deep disappointment based on where expectations stood a year ago, when analysts thought that fourth-quarter 2022 S&amp;P 500 earnings would register a 14.3% gain.</p><p>Two things hit companies at once in the past year. First, sales growth weakened as economies around the world struggled. Second, costs rose faster than sales, cutting into bottom lines. S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices estimates that S&amp;P 500 operating margins fell to 12.1% in the fourth quarter from 13.4% a year earlier. But 12.1% is still very high: In the prepandemic fourth quarter of 2019, S&amp;P 500 operating margins stood at 10.6%.</p><p>This is a reflection of how much margins benefited from the Covid crisis: Sales, buoyed by heady demand and the higher prices that companies were able to charge, ran ahead of costs. Remarkably, analysts expect profit margins to widen again, with Refinitiv showing that they expect S&amp;P 500 earnings will be 10.9% higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 from a year earlier, versus sales growth of just 3.9%.</p><p>Yet it seems more likely that profit margins will narrow in the year ahead. At the very least, one might expect them to slip back to where they were before the pandemic as the economy continues to normalize. That on its own could drag S&amp;P 500 earnings down by over 10% relative to where they would be if margins held steady.</p><p>The recession that many economists are forecasting this year could make the profit picture even worse, since in downturns companies&#39; sales typically deteriorate more quickly than they can lower their costs. Over the past 75 years, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic product -- a proxy for profit margins -- have slipped during nearly every recession.</p><p>The best outcome for earnings probably would be for both the U.S. and overseas economies to start growing at faster clips, generating the sales growth companies need to more easily absorb costs. With the Federal Reserve and other central banks still raising interest rates, however, a rebound in profit growth looks less like a story for 2023 than one for 2024.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>American Companies Face Pressure on the Margins</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmerican Companies Face Pressure on the Margins\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-12 20:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Earnings at big public companies haven&#39;t been growing all that much lately. Which isn&#39;t to say that companies haven&#39;t been extremely profitable.</p><p>Earnings season is getting under way, and results for the final quarter of last year look to be underwhelming. Analysts&#39; latest estimates are for earnings per share for members of the S&amp;P 500 to have shrunk by 2.2% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier -- a figure that is flattered by an expected 65% gain in energy-sector earnings. Exclude those, and analysts estimate earnings fell by 6.7%.</p><p>Actual results likely won&#39;t be quite so bad, since by the time companies start reporting analysts have typically lowered estimates to the point that most companies easily exceed them. But they will probably still count as a deep disappointment based on where expectations stood a year ago, when analysts thought that fourth-quarter 2022 S&amp;P 500 earnings would register a 14.3% gain.</p><p>Two things hit companies at once in the past year. First, sales growth weakened as economies around the world struggled. Second, costs rose faster than sales, cutting into bottom lines. S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices estimates that S&amp;P 500 operating margins fell to 12.1% in the fourth quarter from 13.4% a year earlier. But 12.1% is still very high: In the prepandemic fourth quarter of 2019, S&amp;P 500 operating margins stood at 10.6%.</p><p>This is a reflection of how much margins benefited from the Covid crisis: Sales, buoyed by heady demand and the higher prices that companies were able to charge, ran ahead of costs. Remarkably, analysts expect profit margins to widen again, with Refinitiv showing that they expect S&amp;P 500 earnings will be 10.9% higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 from a year earlier, versus sales growth of just 3.9%.</p><p>Yet it seems more likely that profit margins will narrow in the year ahead. At the very least, one might expect them to slip back to where they were before the pandemic as the economy continues to normalize. That on its own could drag S&amp;P 500 earnings down by over 10% relative to where they would be if margins held steady.</p><p>The recession that many economists are forecasting this year could make the profit picture even worse, since in downturns companies&#39; sales typically deteriorate more quickly than they can lower their costs. Over the past 75 years, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic product -- a proxy for profit margins -- have slipped during nearly every recession.</p><p>The best outcome for earnings probably would be for both the U.S. and overseas economies to start growing at faster clips, generating the sales growth companies need to more easily absorb costs. With the Federal Reserve and other central banks still raising interest rates, however, a rebound in profit growth looks less like a story for 2023 than one for 2024.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2302860984","content_text":"Earnings at big public companies haven't been growing all that much lately. Which isn't to say that companies haven't been extremely profitable.Earnings season is getting under way, and results for the final quarter of last year look to be underwhelming. Analysts' latest estimates are for earnings per share for members of the S&P 500 to have shrunk by 2.2% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier -- a figure that is flattered by an expected 65% gain in energy-sector earnings. Exclude those, and analysts estimate earnings fell by 6.7%.Actual results likely won't be quite so bad, since by the time companies start reporting analysts have typically lowered estimates to the point that most companies easily exceed them. But they will probably still count as a deep disappointment based on where expectations stood a year ago, when analysts thought that fourth-quarter 2022 S&P 500 earnings would register a 14.3% gain.Two things hit companies at once in the past year. First, sales growth weakened as economies around the world struggled. Second, costs rose faster than sales, cutting into bottom lines. S&P Dow Jones Indices estimates that S&P 500 operating margins fell to 12.1% in the fourth quarter from 13.4% a year earlier. But 12.1% is still very high: In the prepandemic fourth quarter of 2019, S&P 500 operating margins stood at 10.6%.This is a reflection of how much margins benefited from the Covid crisis: Sales, buoyed by heady demand and the higher prices that companies were able to charge, ran ahead of costs. Remarkably, analysts expect profit margins to widen again, with Refinitiv showing that they expect S&P 500 earnings will be 10.9% higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 from a year earlier, versus sales growth of just 3.9%.Yet it seems more likely that profit margins will narrow in the year ahead. At the very least, one might expect them to slip back to where they were before the pandemic as the economy continues to normalize. That on its own could drag S&P 500 earnings down by over 10% relative to where they would be if margins held steady.The recession that many economists are forecasting this year could make the profit picture even worse, since in downturns companies' sales typically deteriorate more quickly than they can lower their costs. Over the past 75 years, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic product -- a proxy for profit margins -- have slipped during nearly every recession.The best outcome for earnings probably would be for both the U.S. and overseas economies to start growing at faster clips, generating the sales growth companies need to more easily absorb costs. With the Federal Reserve and other central banks still raising interest rates, however, a rebound in profit growth looks less like a story for 2023 than one for 2024.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951269895,"gmtCreate":1673492570918,"gmtModify":1676538845797,"author":{"id":"4133006287772432","authorId":"4133006287772432","name":"mm13","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Worth monitoring the trend","listText":"Worth monitoring the trend","text":"Worth monitoring the trend","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951269895","repostId":"1133863768","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}