Kelly Kan personal page - To The Moon

Kelly Kan

Kelly Kan

😂😂😂😂😂😂

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2024-05-06

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@Seven8:巴菲特股東大會啓發：那些風險很小卻能賺錢的事

2024-05-06

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@Seven8:巴菲特股東大會啓發：那些風險很小卻能賺錢的事

2023-11-04

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@期貨茄哩虎:【✨期貨小故事】從呢幾個寓言故事中，你學會了點樣交易期貨了咩？

2023-11-04

😁😁😁😁

@Fenger1188:美聯儲暫停加息，華爾街又嗨了

2023-05-15

$债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空(TBT)$

@小左第一视角: 美股美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。

2023-03-31

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The core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302907857260760","repostId":"302422882582536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":302422882582536,"gmtCreate":1714868342715,"gmtModify":1714892402087,"author":{"id":"20703384576125","authorId":"20703384576125","name":"Seven8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5325d49ab0fd75150e915a280d214","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"20703384576125","idStr":"20703384576125"},"themes":[],"title":"巴菲特股東大會啓發：那些風險很小卻能賺錢的事","htmlText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 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[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302907661652032","repostId":"302422882582536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":302422882582536,"gmtCreate":1714868342715,"gmtModify":1714892402087,"author":{"id":"20703384576125","authorId":"20703384576125","name":"Seven8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5325d49ab0fd75150e915a280d214","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"20703384576125","idStr":"20703384576125"},"themes":[],"title":"巴菲特股東大會啓發：那些風險很小卻能賺錢的事","htmlText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","listText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","text":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307ecdb406b34f17f5ab961f96d998ef","width":"1159","height":"2126"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b63b9947f215645fe8a8d9997cd7c2","width":"878","height":"1354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d7c69c5b14af0db3d65c45d1e2aa781","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302422882582536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237594564882464,"gmtCreate":1699042167584,"gmtModify":1699042171790,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4141022797096392","idStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237594564882464","repostId":"237438974337096","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":237438974337096,"gmtCreate":1699005397285,"gmtModify":1699005475444,"author":{"id":"4151580619366202","authorId":"4151580619366202","name":"期貨茄哩虎","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/863aa604a275b440856f87fa5deadb8c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4151580619366202","idStr":"4151580619366202"},"themes":[],"title":"【✨期貨小故事】從呢幾個寓言故事中，你學會了點樣交易期貨了咩？","htmlText":"小虎們好呀！期貨小故事又來啦！幾周不見，不知道大家有沒有想念期貨小故事呢？前面幾期的小故事，期貨茄哩虎都是以各位大神的傳奇經歷與經驗，來給大家展現他們是如何在期貨市場中如何一步一步成為投資大佬的。而今天，茄哩虎想換一個角度，通過寓言故事，帶大家看看如何交易期貨~~~[Grin]釣魚篇一個人在水庫邊上散步，看到水裏很多魚在遊，於是他產生了吃魚的念頭。他可以跳到水庫裏面撈魚，也可以做一張網去打魚，也可以準備一根魚竿去釣魚。採用的方法完全不一樣，效果也就完全不一樣：第一種方法是幾乎吃不到魚，還有可能被魚吃。第二種方法雖然比較慢，但是起碼能吃到魚。蘊意期貨市場相當於一個水庫，裏面的人都想吃魚。在這個市場裏，我們首先一定要有經營模式，網或者魚竿就是我們的工具或經營模式。如果什麼都沒有而盲目入市，後果不堪設想。[Surprised]寶馬篇茄哩虎和一位大哥坐在車上聊天。茄哩虎問道：“大哥，你的寶馬最高時速是多少？”大哥回答道：“280碼”[Surprised]“你開過幾次呢？”茄哩虎反問道大哥說：“從來沒有開過！”[Facepalm]茄哩虎又問：“那你最快的開過多少碼？”大哥很自豪地說：“我最快開過230碼！，開過一次，在一條沒有任何車的路上感受了一下！”[Sly]茄哩虎又好奇地問道：“那你通常開多少碼呢？”大哥說：“一般都是120到140碼吧。”蘊意這個短短的小故事能告訴我們什麼道理呢？其實在期貨交易市場中，資金管理和風險管理是相當重要的，小虎們都知道，之所以很多人“談期色變”，是因為期貨有保證金和槓桿的雙Buff，風險比其他金融產品要大的多。所以我們期貨的資金管理跟開車的速度是一模一樣的，如果你把資金放大10被進行滿倉交易的話，就相當於你把你的寶馬開到了280碼，這樣的速度可能只有舒馬赫能做到。[OMG]如果你把資金放大5到6倍，也就相當於寶馬開到了230碼，那樣子固然很爽，看也很“","listText":"小虎們好呀！期貨小故事又來啦！幾周不見，不知道大家有沒有想念期貨小故事呢？前面幾期的小故事，期貨茄哩虎都是以各位大神的傳奇經歷與經驗，來給大家展現他們是如何在期貨市場中如何一步一步成為投資大佬的。而今天，茄哩虎想換一個角度，通過寓言故事，帶大家看看如何交易期貨~~~[Grin]釣魚篇一個人在水庫邊上散步，看到水裏很多魚在遊，於是他產生了吃魚的念頭。他可以跳到水庫裏面撈魚，也可以做一張網去打魚，也可以準備一根魚竿去釣魚。採用的方法完全不一樣，效果也就完全不一樣：第一種方法是幾乎吃不到魚，還有可能被魚吃。第二種方法雖然比較慢，但是起碼能吃到魚。蘊意期貨市場相當於一個水庫，裏面的人都想吃魚。在這個市場裏，我們首先一定要有經營模式，網或者魚竿就是我們的工具或經營模式。如果什麼都沒有而盲目入市，後果不堪設想。[Surprised]寶馬篇茄哩虎和一位大哥坐在車上聊天。茄哩虎問道：“大哥，你的寶馬最高時速是多少？”大哥回答道：“280碼”[Surprised]“你開過幾次呢？”茄哩虎反問道大哥說：“從來沒有開過！”[Facepalm]茄哩虎又問：“那你最快的開過多少碼？”大哥很自豪地說：“我最快開過230碼！，開過一次，在一條沒有任何車的路上感受了一下！”[Sly]茄哩虎又好奇地問道：“那你通常開多少碼呢？”大哥說：“一般都是120到140碼吧。”蘊意這個短短的小故事能告訴我們什麼道理呢？其實在期貨交易市場中，資金管理和風險管理是相當重要的，小虎們都知道，之所以很多人“談期色變”，是因為期貨有保證金和槓桿的雙Buff，風險比其他金融產品要大的多。所以我們期貨的資金管理跟開車的速度是一模一樣的，如果你把資金放大10被進行滿倉交易的話，就相當於你把你的寶馬開到了280碼，這樣的速度可能只有舒馬赫能做到。[OMG]如果你把資金放大5到6倍，也就相當於寶馬開到了230碼，那樣子固然很爽，看也很“","text":"小虎們好呀！期貨小故事又來啦！幾周不見，不知道大家有沒有想念期貨小故事呢？前面幾期的小故事，期貨茄哩虎都是以各位大神的傳奇經歷與經驗，來給大家展現他們是如何在期貨市場中如何一步一步成為投資大佬的。而今天，茄哩虎想換一個角度，通過寓言故事，帶大家看看如何交易期貨~~~[Grin]釣魚篇一個人在水庫邊上散步，看到水裏很多魚在遊，於是他產生了吃魚的念頭。他可以跳到水庫裏面撈魚，也可以做一張網去打魚，也可以準備一根魚竿去釣魚。採用的方法完全不一樣，效果也就完全不一樣：第一種方法是幾乎吃不到魚，還有可能被魚吃。第二種方法雖然比較慢，但是起碼能吃到魚。蘊意期貨市場相當於一個水庫，裏面的人都想吃魚。在這個市場裏，我們首先一定要有經營模式，網或者魚竿就是我們的工具或經營模式。如果什麼都沒有而盲目入市，後果不堪設想。[Surprised]寶馬篇茄哩虎和一位大哥坐在車上聊天。茄哩虎問道：“大哥，你的寶馬最高時速是多少？”大哥回答道：“280碼”[Surprised]“你開過幾次呢？”茄哩虎反問道大哥說：“從來沒有開過！”[Facepalm]茄哩虎又問：“那你最快的開過多少碼？”大哥很自豪地說：“我最快開過230碼！，開過一次，在一條沒有任何車的路上感受了一下！”[Sly]茄哩虎又好奇地問道：“那你通常開多少碼呢？”大哥說：“一般都是120到140碼吧。”蘊意這個短短的小故事能告訴我們什麼道理呢？其實在期貨交易市場中，資金管理和風險管理是相當重要的，小虎們都知道，之所以很多人“談期色變”，是因為期貨有保證金和槓桿的雙Buff，風險比其他金融產品要大的多。所以我們期貨的資金管理跟開車的速度是一模一樣的，如果你把資金放大10被進行滿倉交易的話，就相當於你把你的寶馬開到了280碼，這樣的速度可能只有舒馬赫能做到。[OMG]如果你把資金放大5到6倍，也就相當於寶馬開到了230碼，那樣子固然很爽，看也很“","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad80aae38a11e5095c9af6dd2a5bb010","width":"818","height":"460"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf97c42608543be81c4424096c10931d","width":"825","height":"429"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aae26f44ee4613fcb208aee2d72e185d","width":"890","height":"594"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237438974337096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237594236231680,"gmtCreate":1699042064468,"gmtModify":1699042068884,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4141022797096392","idStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁😁😁😁","listText":"😁😁😁😁","text":"😁😁😁😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237594236231680","repostId":"237449852477496","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":237449852477496,"gmtCreate":1699006705011,"gmtModify":1699006886910,"author":{"id":"4088149090977750","authorId":"4088149090977750","name":"Fenger1188","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/184410bf08b3311824fc2e583144b220","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088149090977750","idStr":"4088149090977750"},"themes":[],"title":"美聯儲暫停加息，華爾街又嗨了","htmlText":"要轉牛市了嗎？ 美聯儲毫無懸念地依然按下加息暫停鍵。當地時間11月1日下午，美聯儲公佈了最新的利率決議，宣佈維持基準利率不變，將聯邦基金利率目標區間繼續維持在5.25%至5.50%之間。這也是美聯儲自去年3月開啓本輪加息週期以來，連續第二次暫停加息。 美聯儲未來3個月可能還有1次25個基點的加息，並會將高利率維持一段時間。不過市場預計美聯儲12月會議不再加息的可能性較大。但是如果近期通脹大幅超預期，特別是核心通脹和通脹預期明顯回升，美聯儲再加息的可能性或上升。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）聲明重申堅決致力於將通脹率恢復至2%的目標。 我認爲美聯儲這輪加息應該結束了，在過去的一段時間裏，美聯儲連續加息導致市場利率上升，許多投資者將資金投入到更安全的債券等固定收益產品中，從而降低了股市的吸引力。隨着美聯儲停止加息，這種狀況可能會發生變化，因爲資本可以重新迴歸權益市場。 當資金重新流入股市時，企業可以更容易地獲得融資，投資者可以獲得更高的投資回報，這將進一步推動市場的繁榮和發展。此外，停止加息也可能導致投資者對風險更高的資產更加樂觀，這將有助於推動股市上漲。 現在是進入市場的良好時機。但請記住，投資股市需要耐心和理性。好股票並不是一定會馬上上漲，甚至它還會在低位給你很大的考驗和磨練，就看你信心是否堅定，記住只有耐心的人才能夠贏得財富! 美股全線爆發，三大指數四連陽漲近2%，道瓊斯工商指數升高565點或1.7%，報3萬3839點；標準與普爾500指數起80點或1.9%，報4318點；反映科技股走勢的納斯達克指數漲233點或1.8%，報1萬3294點。 科技股多數上漲，蘋果漲2.07%，亞馬遜漲0.78%，奈飛漲1.08%，谷歌漲0.82%，臉書跌0.31%，微軟漲0.65%。 銀行股集體上漲，摩根大通漲1.77%，高盛漲2.16%，花旗漲4.42%，摩根士丹利漲3.55%，美國銀行","listText":"要轉牛市了嗎？ 美聯儲毫無懸念地依然按下加息暫停鍵。當地時間11月1日下午，美聯儲公佈了最新的利率決議，宣佈維持基準利率不變，將聯邦基金利率目標區間繼續維持在5.25%至5.50%之間。這也是美聯儲自去年3月開啓本輪加息週期以來，連續第二次暫停加息。 美聯儲未來3個月可能還有1次25個基點的加息，並會將高利率維持一段時間。不過市場預計美聯儲12月會議不再加息的可能性較大。但是如果近期通脹大幅超預期，特別是核心通脹和通脹預期明顯回升，美聯儲再加息的可能性或上升。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）聲明重申堅決致力於將通脹率恢復至2%的目標。 我認爲美聯儲這輪加息應該結束了，在過去的一段時間裏，美聯儲連續加息導致市場利率上升，許多投資者將資金投入到更安全的債券等固定收益產品中，從而降低了股市的吸引力。隨着美聯儲停止加息，這種狀況可能會發生變化，因爲資本可以重新迴歸權益市場。 當資金重新流入股市時，企業可以更容易地獲得融資，投資者可以獲得更高的投資回報，這將進一步推動市場的繁榮和發展。此外，停止加息也可能導致投資者對風險更高的資產更加樂觀，這將有助於推動股市上漲。 現在是進入市場的良好時機。但請記住，投資股市需要耐心和理性。好股票並不是一定會馬上上漲，甚至它還會在低位給你很大的考驗和磨練，就看你信心是否堅定，記住只有耐心的人才能夠贏得財富! 美股全線爆發，三大指數四連陽漲近2%，道瓊斯工商指數升高565點或1.7%，報3萬3839點；標準與普爾500指數起80點或1.9%，報4318點；反映科技股走勢的納斯達克指數漲233點或1.8%，報1萬3294點。 科技股多數上漲，蘋果漲2.07%，亞馬遜漲0.78%，奈飛漲1.08%，谷歌漲0.82%，臉書跌0.31%，微軟漲0.65%。 銀行股集體上漲，摩根大通漲1.77%，高盛漲2.16%，花旗漲4.42%，摩根士丹利漲3.55%，美國銀行","text":"要轉牛市了嗎？ 美聯儲毫無懸念地依然按下加息暫停鍵。當地時間11月1日下午，美聯儲公佈了最新的利率決議，宣佈維持基準利率不變，將聯邦基金利率目標區間繼續維持在5.25%至5.50%之間。這也是美聯儲自去年3月開啓本輪加息週期以來，連續第二次暫停加息。 美聯儲未來3個月可能還有1次25個基點的加息，並會將高利率維持一段時間。不過市場預計美聯儲12月會議不再加息的可能性較大。但是如果近期通脹大幅超預期，特別是核心通脹和通脹預期明顯回升，美聯儲再加息的可能性或上升。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）聲明重申堅決致力於將通脹率恢復至2%的目標。 我認爲美聯儲這輪加息應該結束了，在過去的一段時間裏，美聯儲連續加息導致市場利率上升，許多投資者將資金投入到更安全的債券等固定收益產品中，從而降低了股市的吸引力。隨着美聯儲停止加息，這種狀況可能會發生變化，因爲資本可以重新迴歸權益市場。 當資金重新流入股市時，企業可以更容易地獲得融資，投資者可以獲得更高的投資回報，這將進一步推動市場的繁榮和發展。此外，停止加息也可能導致投資者對風險更高的資產更加樂觀，這將有助於推動股市上漲。 現在是進入市場的良好時機。但請記住，投資股市需要耐心和理性。好股票並不是一定會馬上上漲，甚至它還會在低位給你很大的考驗和磨練，就看你信心是否堅定，記住只有耐心的人才能夠贏得財富! 美股全線爆發，三大指數四連陽漲近2%，道瓊斯工商指數升高565點或1.7%，報3萬3839點；標準與普爾500指數起80點或1.9%，報4318點；反映科技股走勢的納斯達克指數漲233點或1.8%，報1萬3294點。 科技股多數上漲，蘋果漲2.07%，亞馬遜漲0.78%，奈飛漲1.08%，谷歌漲0.82%，臉書跌0.31%，微軟漲0.65%。 銀行股集體上漲，摩根大通漲1.77%，高盛漲2.16%，花旗漲4.42%，摩根士丹利漲3.55%，美國銀行","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d438e81903d737fd75088b465a5124f8","width":"800","height":"484"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de6c26af7e5a5cf094f2ccf774b24e22","width":"600","height":"333"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c3c7c522a63439b921b90128b05545d","width":"1000","height":"571"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237449852477496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970376497,"gmtCreate":1684090645320,"gmtModify":1684090647915,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4141022797096392","idStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TBT\">$债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空(TBT)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TBT\">$债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空(TBT)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空(TBT)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970376497","repostId":"656763333","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":656763333,"gmtCreate":1684068150624,"gmtModify":1684073582330,"author":{"id":"9000000000000104","authorId":"9000000000000104","name":"小左第一视角","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000104","idStr":"9000000000000104"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"\n \n \n  美股 美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。\n \n","listText":"美股 美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。","text":"美股 美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/656763333","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"a402e5c96a0d45be9e3cc7ac0bcc33d9","tweetId":"656763333","title":"美股 美联储可能重启QE？市场资金都投到哪里了？NVDA如何应对可能的顶部？AMZN、NFLX如何预期？TQQQ怎么看？耶伦：债务危机有一个重要影响因素。","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168406814592082dfefe5964b2139c830be1ccd4538a7.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0960b0b08494eb5bc80cf3c9fe9ec4d4","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168406814592082dfefe5964b2139c830be1ccd4538a7.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941282270,"gmtCreate":1680276983890,"gmtModify":1680278437900,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4141022797096392","idStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941282270","repostId":"1172791802","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172791802","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680265876,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172791802?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-31 20:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172791802","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月31日，美国2月PCE物价指数年率5%，预期5.1%，前值5.4%；美国2月核心PCE物价指数年率4.6%，预期4.7%，前值4.7%；美国2月PCE物价指数月率0.3%，预期0.3%，前值0.6","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 31, the annual rate of the PCE price index in February in the United States was 5%, expected to be 5.1%, and the previous value was 5.4%; The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in February was 4.6%, expected to be 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.7%;</p><p>The monthly rate of the PCE price index in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.4%, and the previous value was 0.6%.</p><p>The monthly rate of personal spending in the United States in February was 0.2%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 1.8%; The monthly rate of personal income in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The monthly rate of real personal consumption expenditures in the United States in February was-0.1%, expected to be-0.1%, and the previous value was 1.1%.</p><p>After the PCE data was released, the three major U.S. stock index futures rose in the short term, with Dow futures rising 0.43% and Nasdaq futures rising 0.32%; The S&P 500 rose 0.42%; U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in May and no rate hike are now roughly equal.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716d7801d54539a2e72049f90cead945\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"202\"/></p><p><strong>Agency comments on US PCE data:</strong></p><p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: start;\">These numbers released today should give the Fed more confidence that they were correct to rate hike 25 basis points at their last meeting. There is also a personal consumption expenditures report ahead of the May 3 FOMC meeting, and the market now expects a 55% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in May.</p><p></li><li>The core PCE price index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation, fell slightly to 4.6% annually, however, cyclical core inflation continues to move higher despite a slide in non-cyclical core inflation, which is a bigger problem for the Fed. Cyclical core personal consumption expenditures inflation, which is mainly used to track inflationary pressures related to the current economic cycle, is currently at its highest level since 1985. Finally, we note that although the market's inflation expectation declined in March, it is still well above the Fed's target level. So, given that last night's Fed data may indicate a slowdown in deposit outflows, today's data further suggests that the Fed may do more than hopeful doves in the stock market think.</p><p></li><li>Institutional analysis pointed out that the overall and core PCE of the United States in February were slightly lower than expected. The core PCE continues the pullback trend in inflation that has been roughly maintained for 12 months (albeit with occasional hiccups). The overall PCE is at its lowest level since September 2021, at least moving in the right direction. Nominal personal spending increased by 0.2% month-on-month, while real personal spending decreased by 0.1% month-on-month. January's personal spending data was very strong, so its slight downward revision from 2% to 1.8% is not surprising. Spending on services continued to expand, up 0.2% month-on-month. Spending on goods is flat with durable goods (there are generally differences between the two). Non-durable goods increased 0.9% month-over-month. Personal savings rose to 4.6%, the highest level since early 2022. Personal income increased by 0.3% month-on-month, down from 0.6% last month. All of this is consistent with the narrative that inflation has peaked and spending will expand in the first quarter. March data will provide better evidence of spending trends.</p><p></li><li>The U.S. core PCE price index recorded a monthly rate of 0.3% in February, lower than market expectations, which may indicate that the Federal Reserve is beginning to make more progress in fighting high inflation. The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States also recorded a good performance in February, but it is far from certain whether the Federal Reserve can persist in another rate hike. As we all know, the Fed's goal is always to bring inflation back to its 2% target, but without causing a serious economic reaction. While today's PCE data has some in the market thinking that the Fed may stop its rate hike, if inflation remains high, it is expected that the Fed will have to continue its rate hike, even at the risk of causing a recession. In fact, the vast majority of economists believe that a recession is imminent.</p><p></li></ul></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-31 20:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 31, the annual rate of the PCE price index in February in the United States was 5%, expected to be 5.1%, and the previous value was 5.4%; The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in February was 4.6%, expected to be 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.7%;</p><p>The monthly rate of the PCE price index in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.4%, and the previous value was 0.6%.</p><p>The monthly rate of personal spending in the United States in February was 0.2%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 1.8%; The monthly rate of personal income in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The monthly rate of real personal consumption expenditures in the United States in February was-0.1%, expected to be-0.1%, and the previous value was 1.1%.</p><p>After the PCE data was released, the three major U.S. stock index futures rose in the short term, with Dow futures rising 0.43% and Nasdaq futures rising 0.32%; The S&P 500 rose 0.42%; U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in May and no rate hike are now roughly equal.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716d7801d54539a2e72049f90cead945\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"202\"/></p><p><strong>Agency comments on US PCE data:</strong></p><p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: start;\">These numbers released today should give the Fed more confidence that they were correct to rate hike 25 basis points at their last meeting. There is also a personal consumption expenditures report ahead of the May 3 FOMC meeting, and the market now expects a 55% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in May.</p><p></li><li>The core PCE price index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation, fell slightly to 4.6% annually, however, cyclical core inflation continues to move higher despite a slide in non-cyclical core inflation, which is a bigger problem for the Fed. Cyclical core personal consumption expenditures inflation, which is mainly used to track inflationary pressures related to the current economic cycle, is currently at its highest level since 1985. Finally, we note that although the market's inflation expectation declined in March, it is still well above the Fed's target level. So, given that last night's Fed data may indicate a slowdown in deposit outflows, today's data further suggests that the Fed may do more than hopeful doves in the stock market think.</p><p></li><li>Institutional analysis pointed out that the overall and core PCE of the United States in February were slightly lower than expected. The core PCE continues the pullback trend in inflation that has been roughly maintained for 12 months (albeit with occasional hiccups). The overall PCE is at its lowest level since September 2021, at least moving in the right direction. Nominal personal spending increased by 0.2% month-on-month, while real personal spending decreased by 0.1% month-on-month. January's personal spending data was very strong, so its slight downward revision from 2% to 1.8% is not surprising. Spending on services continued to expand, up 0.2% month-on-month. Spending on goods is flat with durable goods (there are generally differences between the two). Non-durable goods increased 0.9% month-over-month. Personal savings rose to 4.6%, the highest level since early 2022. Personal income increased by 0.3% month-on-month, down from 0.6% last month. All of this is consistent with the narrative that inflation has peaked and spending will expand in the first quarter. March data will provide better evidence of spending trends.</p><p></li><li>The U.S. core PCE price index recorded a monthly rate of 0.3% in February, lower than market expectations, which may indicate that the Federal Reserve is beginning to make more progress in fighting high inflation. The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States also recorded a good performance in February, but it is far from certain whether the Federal Reserve can persist in another rate hike. As we all know, the Fed's goal is always to bring inflation back to its 2% target, but without causing a serious economic reaction. While today's PCE data has some in the market thinking that the Fed may stop its rate hike, if inflation remains high, it is expected that the Fed will have to continue its rate hike, even at the risk of causing a recession. In fact, the vast majority of economists believe that a recession is imminent.</p><p></li></ul></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8642475395bb363eacb86148917e7b","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172791802","content_text":"3月31日，美国2月PCE物价指数年率5%，预期5.1%，前值5.4%；美国2月核心PCE物价指数年率4.6%，预期4.7%，前值4.7%；美国2月PCE物价指数月率0.3%，预期0.3%，前值0.6%；美国2月核心PCE物价指数月率0.3%，预期0.4%，前值0.6%。美国2月个人支出月率0.2%，预期0.3%，前值1.8%；美国2月个人收入月率0.3%，预期0.2%，前值0.6%；美国2月实际个人消费支出月率-0.1%，预期-0.1%，前值1.1%。PCE数据公布后，美股三大股指期货短线拉升，道指期货涨0.43%，纳指期货涨0.32%；标普500指数涨0.42%；美国短期利率期货显示，5月美联储加息25个基点和不加息的可能性目前大致相等。机构评美国PCE数据：今天公布的这些数据应该会让美联储更有信心，认为他们在上次会议上加息25个基点是正确的。在5月3日FOMC会议之前，还有一份个人消费支出报告，目前市场预期5月份加息25个基点的可能性为55%。美联储最喜欢的通胀指标—核心PCE物价指数年率小幅下降至4.6%，然而，尽管非周期性核心通胀下滑，但周期性核心通胀继续走高，这对美联储来说是一个更大的问题。目前周期性核心个人消费支出通胀（主要用于追踪与当前经济周期相关的通胀压力）正处于1985年以来的最高水平。最后，我们注意到，尽管市场的通胀预期在3月份有所下降，但它仍远高于美联储的目标水平。所以，鉴于昨晚美联储的数据可能预示着存款外流放缓，今天的数据进一步表明，美联储要做的可能比股市上充满希望的鸽派人士认为的要更多。机构分析指出，美国2月份的总体和核心PCE都略低于预期。核心PCE延续了大致维持了12个月的通胀回落趋势（尽管偶尔会出现一些小插曲）。整体PCE为自2021年9月以来的最低水平，至少是在朝着正确的方向发展。名义个人支出环比增长0.2%，实际个人支出环比下降0.1%。1月份个人支出数据非常强劲，因此其从2%小幅下修至1.8%并不让人意外。服务业支出继续扩张，环比增长0.2%。商品支出与耐用品持平（两者一般都会出现差异）。非耐用品环比增长0.9%。个人储蓄上升至4.6%，是自2022年初以来的最高水平。个人收入环比上升0.3%，相较上月的0.6%回落。所有这些都与通胀见顶的说法一致，支出将在第一季度扩张。3月份的数据将为支出趋势提供更好的证据。美国2月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.3%，低于市场预期，这或许表明美联储在对抗高通胀方面开始取得更多进展。美国2月核心PCE物价指数年率也录得良好表现，但美联储是否能够坚持再加息一次还远未确定。众所周知，美联储的目标始终是将通胀率回落至2%的目标，但不会引起严重的经济反应。虽然今天的这份PCE数据让市场上的某些人认为美联储可能会停止加息，但如果通胀始终居高不下，预计美联储将不得不继续加息，即使是冒着引起经济衰退的风险。事实上，绝大多数经济学家相信经济衰退早已迫在眉睫。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":237594564882464,"gmtCreate":1699042167584,"gmtModify":1699042171790,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141022797096392","authorIdStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237594564882464","repostId":"237438974337096","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":237438974337096,"gmtCreate":1699005397285,"gmtModify":1699005475444,"author":{"id":"4151580619366202","authorId":"4151580619366202","name":"期貨茄哩虎","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/863aa604a275b440856f87fa5deadb8c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4151580619366202","authorIdStr":"4151580619366202"},"themes":[],"title":"【✨期貨小故事】從呢幾個寓言故事中，你學會了點樣交易期貨了咩？","htmlText":"小虎們好呀！期貨小故事又來啦！幾周不見，不知道大家有沒有想念期貨小故事呢？前面幾期的小故事，期貨茄哩虎都是以各位大神的傳奇經歷與經驗，來給大家展現他們是如何在期貨市場中如何一步一步成為投資大佬的。而今天，茄哩虎想換一個角度，通過寓言故事，帶大家看看如何交易期貨~~~[Grin]釣魚篇一個人在水庫邊上散步，看到水裏很多魚在遊，於是他產生了吃魚的念頭。他可以跳到水庫裏面撈魚，也可以做一張網去打魚，也可以準備一根魚竿去釣魚。採用的方法完全不一樣，效果也就完全不一樣：第一種方法是幾乎吃不到魚，還有可能被魚吃。第二種方法雖然比較慢，但是起碼能吃到魚。蘊意期貨市場相當於一個水庫，裏面的人都想吃魚。在這個市場裏，我們首先一定要有經營模式，網或者魚竿就是我們的工具或經營模式。如果什麼都沒有而盲目入市，後果不堪設想。[Surprised]寶馬篇茄哩虎和一位大哥坐在車上聊天。茄哩虎問道：“大哥，你的寶馬最高時速是多少？”大哥回答道：“280碼”[Surprised]“你開過幾次呢？”茄哩虎反問道大哥說：“從來沒有開過！”[Facepalm]茄哩虎又問：“那你最快的開過多少碼？”大哥很自豪地說：“我最快開過230碼！，開過一次，在一條沒有任何車的路上感受了一下！”[Sly]茄哩虎又好奇地問道：“那你通常開多少碼呢？”大哥說：“一般都是120到140碼吧。”蘊意這個短短的小故事能告訴我們什麼道理呢？其實在期貨交易市場中，資金管理和風險管理是相當重要的，小虎們都知道，之所以很多人“談期色變”，是因為期貨有保證金和槓桿的雙Buff，風險比其他金融產品要大的多。所以我們期貨的資金管理跟開車的速度是一模一樣的，如果你把資金放大10被進行滿倉交易的話，就相當於你把你的寶馬開到了280碼，這樣的速度可能只有舒馬赫能做到。[OMG]如果你把資金放大5到6倍，也就相當於寶馬開到了230碼，那樣子固然很爽，看也很“","listText":"小虎們好呀！期貨小故事又來啦！幾周不見，不知道大家有沒有想念期貨小故事呢？前面幾期的小故事，期貨茄哩虎都是以各位大神的傳奇經歷與經驗，來給大家展現他們是如何在期貨市場中如何一步一步成為投資大佬的。而今天，茄哩虎想換一個角度，通過寓言故事，帶大家看看如何交易期貨~~~[Grin]釣魚篇一個人在水庫邊上散步，看到水裏很多魚在遊，於是他產生了吃魚的念頭。他可以跳到水庫裏面撈魚，也可以做一張網去打魚，也可以準備一根魚竿去釣魚。採用的方法完全不一樣，效果也就完全不一樣：第一種方法是幾乎吃不到魚，還有可能被魚吃。第二種方法雖然比較慢，但是起碼能吃到魚。蘊意期貨市場相當於一個水庫，裏面的人都想吃魚。在這個市場裏，我們首先一定要有經營模式，網或者魚竿就是我們的工具或經營模式。如果什麼都沒有而盲目入市，後果不堪設想。[Surprised]寶馬篇茄哩虎和一位大哥坐在車上聊天。茄哩虎問道：“大哥，你的寶馬最高時速是多少？”大哥回答道：“280碼”[Surprised]“你開過幾次呢？”茄哩虎反問道大哥說：“從來沒有開過！”[Facepalm]茄哩虎又問：“那你最快的開過多少碼？”大哥很自豪地說：“我最快開過230碼！，開過一次，在一條沒有任何車的路上感受了一下！”[Sly]茄哩虎又好奇地問道：“那你通常開多少碼呢？”大哥說：“一般都是120到140碼吧。”蘊意這個短短的小故事能告訴我們什麼道理呢？其實在期貨交易市場中，資金管理和風險管理是相當重要的，小虎們都知道，之所以很多人“談期色變”，是因為期貨有保證金和槓桿的雙Buff，風險比其他金融產品要大的多。所以我們期貨的資金管理跟開車的速度是一模一樣的，如果你把資金放大10被進行滿倉交易的話，就相當於你把你的寶馬開到了280碼，這樣的速度可能只有舒馬赫能做到。[OMG]如果你把資金放大5到6倍，也就相當於寶馬開到了230碼，那樣子固然很爽，看也很“","text":"小虎們好呀！期貨小故事又來啦！幾周不見，不知道大家有沒有想念期貨小故事呢？前面幾期的小故事，期貨茄哩虎都是以各位大神的傳奇經歷與經驗，來給大家展現他們是如何在期貨市場中如何一步一步成為投資大佬的。而今天，茄哩虎想換一個角度，通過寓言故事，帶大家看看如何交易期貨~~~[Grin]釣魚篇一個人在水庫邊上散步，看到水裏很多魚在遊，於是他產生了吃魚的念頭。他可以跳到水庫裏面撈魚，也可以做一張網去打魚，也可以準備一根魚竿去釣魚。採用的方法完全不一樣，效果也就完全不一樣：第一種方法是幾乎吃不到魚，還有可能被魚吃。第二種方法雖然比較慢，但是起碼能吃到魚。蘊意期貨市場相當於一個水庫，裏面的人都想吃魚。在這個市場裏，我們首先一定要有經營模式，網或者魚竿就是我們的工具或經營模式。如果什麼都沒有而盲目入市，後果不堪設想。[Surprised]寶馬篇茄哩虎和一位大哥坐在車上聊天。茄哩虎問道：“大哥，你的寶馬最高時速是多少？”大哥回答道：“280碼”[Surprised]“你開過幾次呢？”茄哩虎反問道大哥說：“從來沒有開過！”[Facepalm]茄哩虎又問：“那你最快的開過多少碼？”大哥很自豪地說：“我最快開過230碼！，開過一次，在一條沒有任何車的路上感受了一下！”[Sly]茄哩虎又好奇地問道：“那你通常開多少碼呢？”大哥說：“一般都是120到140碼吧。”蘊意這個短短的小故事能告訴我們什麼道理呢？其實在期貨交易市場中，資金管理和風險管理是相當重要的，小虎們都知道，之所以很多人“談期色變”，是因為期貨有保證金和槓桿的雙Buff，風險比其他金融產品要大的多。所以我們期貨的資金管理跟開車的速度是一模一樣的，如果你把資金放大10被進行滿倉交易的話，就相當於你把你的寶馬開到了280碼，這樣的速度可能只有舒馬赫能做到。[OMG]如果你把資金放大5到6倍，也就相當於寶馬開到了230碼，那樣子固然很爽，看也很“","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad80aae38a11e5095c9af6dd2a5bb010","width":"818","height":"460"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf97c42608543be81c4424096c10931d","width":"825","height":"429"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aae26f44ee4613fcb208aee2d72e185d","width":"890","height":"594"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237438974337096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237594236231680,"gmtCreate":1699042064468,"gmtModify":1699042068884,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141022797096392","authorIdStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁😁😁😁","listText":"😁😁😁😁","text":"😁😁😁😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237594236231680","repostId":"237449852477496","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":237449852477496,"gmtCreate":1699006705011,"gmtModify":1699006886910,"author":{"id":"4088149090977750","authorId":"4088149090977750","name":"Fenger1188","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/184410bf08b3311824fc2e583144b220","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088149090977750","authorIdStr":"4088149090977750"},"themes":[],"title":"美聯儲暫停加息，華爾街又嗨了","htmlText":"要轉牛市了嗎？ 美聯儲毫無懸念地依然按下加息暫停鍵。當地時間11月1日下午，美聯儲公佈了最新的利率決議，宣佈維持基準利率不變，將聯邦基金利率目標區間繼續維持在5.25%至5.50%之間。這也是美聯儲自去年3月開啓本輪加息週期以來，連續第二次暫停加息。 美聯儲未來3個月可能還有1次25個基點的加息，並會將高利率維持一段時間。不過市場預計美聯儲12月會議不再加息的可能性較大。但是如果近期通脹大幅超預期，特別是核心通脹和通脹預期明顯回升，美聯儲再加息的可能性或上升。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）聲明重申堅決致力於將通脹率恢復至2%的目標。 我認爲美聯儲這輪加息應該結束了，在過去的一段時間裏，美聯儲連續加息導致市場利率上升，許多投資者將資金投入到更安全的債券等固定收益產品中，從而降低了股市的吸引力。隨着美聯儲停止加息，這種狀況可能會發生變化，因爲資本可以重新迴歸權益市場。 當資金重新流入股市時，企業可以更容易地獲得融資，投資者可以獲得更高的投資回報，這將進一步推動市場的繁榮和發展。此外，停止加息也可能導致投資者對風險更高的資產更加樂觀，這將有助於推動股市上漲。 現在是進入市場的良好時機。但請記住，投資股市需要耐心和理性。好股票並不是一定會馬上上漲，甚至它還會在低位給你很大的考驗和磨練，就看你信心是否堅定，記住只有耐心的人才能夠贏得財富! 美股全線爆發，三大指數四連陽漲近2%，道瓊斯工商指數升高565點或1.7%，報3萬3839點；標準與普爾500指數起80點或1.9%，報4318點；反映科技股走勢的納斯達克指數漲233點或1.8%，報1萬3294點。 科技股多數上漲，蘋果漲2.07%，亞馬遜漲0.78%，奈飛漲1.08%，谷歌漲0.82%，臉書跌0.31%，微軟漲0.65%。 銀行股集體上漲，摩根大通漲1.77%，高盛漲2.16%，花旗漲4.42%，摩根士丹利漲3.55%，美國銀行","listText":"要轉牛市了嗎？ 美聯儲毫無懸念地依然按下加息暫停鍵。當地時間11月1日下午，美聯儲公佈了最新的利率決議，宣佈維持基準利率不變，將聯邦基金利率目標區間繼續維持在5.25%至5.50%之間。這也是美聯儲自去年3月開啓本輪加息週期以來，連續第二次暫停加息。 美聯儲未來3個月可能還有1次25個基點的加息，並會將高利率維持一段時間。不過市場預計美聯儲12月會議不再加息的可能性較大。但是如果近期通脹大幅超預期，特別是核心通脹和通脹預期明顯回升，美聯儲再加息的可能性或上升。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）聲明重申堅決致力於將通脹率恢復至2%的目標。 我認爲美聯儲這輪加息應該結束了，在過去的一段時間裏，美聯儲連續加息導致市場利率上升，許多投資者將資金投入到更安全的債券等固定收益產品中，從而降低了股市的吸引力。隨着美聯儲停止加息，這種狀況可能會發生變化，因爲資本可以重新迴歸權益市場。 當資金重新流入股市時，企業可以更容易地獲得融資，投資者可以獲得更高的投資回報，這將進一步推動市場的繁榮和發展。此外，停止加息也可能導致投資者對風險更高的資產更加樂觀，這將有助於推動股市上漲。 現在是進入市場的良好時機。但請記住，投資股市需要耐心和理性。好股票並不是一定會馬上上漲，甚至它還會在低位給你很大的考驗和磨練，就看你信心是否堅定，記住只有耐心的人才能夠贏得財富! 美股全線爆發，三大指數四連陽漲近2%，道瓊斯工商指數升高565點或1.7%，報3萬3839點；標準與普爾500指數起80點或1.9%，報4318點；反映科技股走勢的納斯達克指數漲233點或1.8%，報1萬3294點。 科技股多數上漲，蘋果漲2.07%，亞馬遜漲0.78%，奈飛漲1.08%，谷歌漲0.82%，臉書跌0.31%，微軟漲0.65%。 銀行股集體上漲，摩根大通漲1.77%，高盛漲2.16%，花旗漲4.42%，摩根士丹利漲3.55%，美國銀行","text":"要轉牛市了嗎？ 美聯儲毫無懸念地依然按下加息暫停鍵。當地時間11月1日下午，美聯儲公佈了最新的利率決議，宣佈維持基準利率不變，將聯邦基金利率目標區間繼續維持在5.25%至5.50%之間。這也是美聯儲自去年3月開啓本輪加息週期以來，連續第二次暫停加息。 美聯儲未來3個月可能還有1次25個基點的加息，並會將高利率維持一段時間。不過市場預計美聯儲12月會議不再加息的可能性較大。但是如果近期通脹大幅超預期，特別是核心通脹和通脹預期明顯回升，美聯儲再加息的可能性或上升。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）聲明重申堅決致力於將通脹率恢復至2%的目標。 我認爲美聯儲這輪加息應該結束了，在過去的一段時間裏，美聯儲連續加息導致市場利率上升，許多投資者將資金投入到更安全的債券等固定收益產品中，從而降低了股市的吸引力。隨着美聯儲停止加息，這種狀況可能會發生變化，因爲資本可以重新迴歸權益市場。 當資金重新流入股市時，企業可以更容易地獲得融資，投資者可以獲得更高的投資回報，這將進一步推動市場的繁榮和發展。此外，停止加息也可能導致投資者對風險更高的資產更加樂觀，這將有助於推動股市上漲。 現在是進入市場的良好時機。但請記住，投資股市需要耐心和理性。好股票並不是一定會馬上上漲，甚至它還會在低位給你很大的考驗和磨練，就看你信心是否堅定，記住只有耐心的人才能夠贏得財富! 美股全線爆發，三大指數四連陽漲近2%，道瓊斯工商指數升高565點或1.7%，報3萬3839點；標準與普爾500指數起80點或1.9%，報4318點；反映科技股走勢的納斯達克指數漲233點或1.8%，報1萬3294點。 科技股多數上漲，蘋果漲2.07%，亞馬遜漲0.78%，奈飛漲1.08%，谷歌漲0.82%，臉書跌0.31%，微軟漲0.65%。 銀行股集體上漲，摩根大通漲1.77%，高盛漲2.16%，花旗漲4.42%，摩根士丹利漲3.55%，美國銀行","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d438e81903d737fd75088b465a5124f8","width":"800","height":"484"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de6c26af7e5a5cf094f2ccf774b24e22","width":"600","height":"333"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c3c7c522a63439b921b90128b05545d","width":"1000","height":"571"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237449852477496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":302907857260760,"gmtCreate":1714971628528,"gmtModify":1714971632096,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141022797096392","authorIdStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302907857260760","repostId":"302422882582536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":302422882582536,"gmtCreate":1714868342715,"gmtModify":1714892402087,"author":{"id":"20703384576125","authorId":"20703384576125","name":"Seven8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5325d49ab0fd75150e915a280d214","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"20703384576125","authorIdStr":"20703384576125"},"themes":[],"title":"巴菲特股東大會啓發：那些風險很小卻能賺錢的事","htmlText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","listText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","text":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307ecdb406b34f17f5ab961f96d998ef","width":"1159","height":"2126"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b63b9947f215645fe8a8d9997cd7c2","width":"878","height":"1354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d7c69c5b14af0db3d65c45d1e2aa781","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302422882582536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":302907661652032,"gmtCreate":1714971588961,"gmtModify":1714971592413,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly 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[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302907661652032","repostId":"302422882582536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":302422882582536,"gmtCreate":1714868342715,"gmtModify":1714892402087,"author":{"id":"20703384576125","authorId":"20703384576125","name":"Seven8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5325d49ab0fd75150e915a280d214","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"20703384576125","authorIdStr":"20703384576125"},"themes":[],"title":"巴菲特股東大會啓發：那些風險很小卻能賺錢的事","htmlText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","listText":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","text":"又一年巴菲特股東大會結束，看到庫克和蓋茨都坐在臺下。聽到巴菲特誤喊“Charlie”的一刻，多少有點傷感。落單的老人在整場會中無數次提及芒格和他的智慧，無時無刻感受到對智者的緬懷。在最新的伯克希爾Q1的持倉中，其投資組合約75%的公允價值仍集中於美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、雪佛龍和可口可樂。值得注意的是，伯克希爾Q1仍是淨賣家，且現金儲備持續新高。Q1伯克希爾賣出了近200億美元的股票，只買入了27億美元，使其持倉市值從去年底的3540 億美元下滑至3360億美元。雖然，蘋果仍是伯克希爾的最大持倉，但持股價值從去年底的1740億美元降至1354億美元。截至Q1，伯克希爾的現金和等價物增長至1890億美元的歷史新高，其中淨現金355.5億美元，短期美債從去年Q4的1296億美元增至1534.4億美元。無法抗拒的現金吸引力巴菲在股東大會上提及到了Q2末，公司現金等價物可能達到2000億美元。但關於現金的管理上，他表示，不會在利率高達5.4%的時候去用這個錢，我們只在正確的時候在揮杆。隨着美聯儲首次降息的預期推遲到Q4，當前5.25-5.5%的高息至少維持到9月。假設如現在市場預期今年降息兩次50bp，則到了明年利息仍然可以維持在4.75%-5%。相對於很多投資，老虎錢袋子的美元貨基產品在未來半年仍然是非常可觀的無風險現金配置。另一方面，巴菲特Q1淨買入美國短債238億美元，巴菲特此前曾透露，他每週一都會購買3個月和6個月的國債。從老虎APP看了一下目前3-6個月短期美債的到期收益基本在5.4%，正是巴菲特口中，風險很小並且可以賺很多錢的事情。減持蘋果自去年Q4減持1000萬股蘋果，Q1再度減持蘋果，Q1數據顯示，截至今年3月底，伯克希爾總持有1354億美元蘋果，鑑於蘋果股價Q1下跌了約10%，則截至3月末持有的蘋果股數量降至約7900萬股，Q1減持大概13%，約1160萬股。巴菲","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307ecdb406b34f17f5ab961f96d998ef","width":"1159","height":"2126"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b63b9947f215645fe8a8d9997cd7c2","width":"878","height":"1354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d7c69c5b14af0db3d65c45d1e2aa781","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302422882582536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970376497,"gmtCreate":1684090645320,"gmtModify":1684090647915,"author":{"id":"4141022797096392","authorId":"4141022797096392","name":"Kelly 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&nbsp;</a>","text":"$债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空(TBT)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970376497","repostId":"656763333","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":656763333,"gmtCreate":1684068150624,"gmtModify":1684073582330,"author":{"id":"9000000000000104","authorId":"9000000000000104","name":"小左第一视角","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000104","authorIdStr":"9000000000000104"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"\n \n \n  美股 美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。\n \n","listText":"美股 美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。","text":"美股 美聯儲可能重啓QE？市場資金都投到哪裏了？NVDA如何應對可能的頂部？AMZN、NFLX如何預期？TQQQ怎麼看？耶倫：債務危機有一個重要影響因素。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/656763333","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"a402e5c96a0d45be9e3cc7ac0bcc33d9","tweetId":"656763333","title":"美股 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Kan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6768cea4e2b6c63a3af1a90e3d2fb00d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141022797096392","authorIdStr":"4141022797096392"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941282270","repostId":"1172791802","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172791802","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680265876,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172791802?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-31 20:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172791802","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月31日，美国2月PCE物价指数年率5%，预期5.1%，前值5.4%；美国2月核心PCE物价指数年率4.6%，预期4.7%，前值4.7%；美国2月PCE物价指数月率0.3%，预期0.3%，前值0.6","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 31, the annual rate of the PCE price index in February in the United States was 5%, expected to be 5.1%, and the previous value was 5.4%; The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in February was 4.6%, expected to be 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.7%;</p><p>The monthly rate of the PCE price index in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.4%, and the previous value was 0.6%.</p><p>The monthly rate of personal spending in the United States in February was 0.2%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 1.8%; The monthly rate of personal income in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The monthly rate of real personal consumption expenditures in the United States in February was-0.1%, expected to be-0.1%, and the previous value was 1.1%.</p><p>After the PCE data was released, the three major U.S. stock index futures rose in the short term, with Dow futures rising 0.43% and Nasdaq futures rising 0.32%; The S&P 500 rose 0.42%; U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in May and no rate hike are now roughly equal.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716d7801d54539a2e72049f90cead945\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"202\"/></p><p><strong>Agency comments on US PCE data:</strong></p><p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: start;\">These numbers released today should give the Fed more confidence that they were correct to rate hike 25 basis points at their last meeting. There is also a personal consumption expenditures report ahead of the May 3 FOMC meeting, and the market now expects a 55% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in May.</p><p></li><li>The core PCE price index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation, fell slightly to 4.6% annually, however, cyclical core inflation continues to move higher despite a slide in non-cyclical core inflation, which is a bigger problem for the Fed. Cyclical core personal consumption expenditures inflation, which is mainly used to track inflationary pressures related to the current economic cycle, is currently at its highest level since 1985. Finally, we note that although the market's inflation expectation declined in March, it is still well above the Fed's target level. So, given that last night's Fed data may indicate a slowdown in deposit outflows, today's data further suggests that the Fed may do more than hopeful doves in the stock market think.</p><p></li><li>Institutional analysis pointed out that the overall and core PCE of the United States in February were slightly lower than expected. The core PCE continues the pullback trend in inflation that has been roughly maintained for 12 months (albeit with occasional hiccups). The overall PCE is at its lowest level since September 2021, at least moving in the right direction. Nominal personal spending increased by 0.2% month-on-month, while real personal spending decreased by 0.1% month-on-month. January's personal spending data was very strong, so its slight downward revision from 2% to 1.8% is not surprising. Spending on services continued to expand, up 0.2% month-on-month. Spending on goods is flat with durable goods (there are generally differences between the two). Non-durable goods increased 0.9% month-over-month. Personal savings rose to 4.6%, the highest level since early 2022. Personal income increased by 0.3% month-on-month, down from 0.6% last month. All of this is consistent with the narrative that inflation has peaked and spending will expand in the first quarter. March data will provide better evidence of spending trends.</p><p></li><li>The U.S. core PCE price index recorded a monthly rate of 0.3% in February, lower than market expectations, which may indicate that the Federal Reserve is beginning to make more progress in fighting high inflation. The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States also recorded a good performance in February, but it is far from certain whether the Federal Reserve can persist in another rate hike. As we all know, the Fed's goal is always to bring inflation back to its 2% target, but without causing a serious economic reaction. While today's PCE data has some in the market thinking that the Fed may stop its rate hike, if inflation remains high, it is expected that the Fed will have to continue its rate hike, even at the risk of causing a recession. In fact, the vast majority of economists believe that a recession is imminent.</p><p></li></ul></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe core PCE price index in the United States increased by 4.6% year-on-year in February! U.S. stock index futures expand gains\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-31 20:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 31, the annual rate of the PCE price index in February in the United States was 5%, expected to be 5.1%, and the previous value was 5.4%; The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in February was 4.6%, expected to be 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.7%;</p><p>The monthly rate of the PCE price index in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.4%, and the previous value was 0.6%.</p><p>The monthly rate of personal spending in the United States in February was 0.2%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 1.8%; The monthly rate of personal income in the United States in February was 0.3%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.6%; The monthly rate of real personal consumption expenditures in the United States in February was-0.1%, expected to be-0.1%, and the previous value was 1.1%.</p><p>After the PCE data was released, the three major U.S. stock index futures rose in the short term, with Dow futures rising 0.43% and Nasdaq futures rising 0.32%; The S&P 500 rose 0.42%; U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in May and no rate hike are now roughly equal.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716d7801d54539a2e72049f90cead945\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"202\"/></p><p><strong>Agency comments on US PCE data:</strong></p><p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: start;\">These numbers released today should give the Fed more confidence that they were correct to rate hike 25 basis points at their last meeting. There is also a personal consumption expenditures report ahead of the May 3 FOMC meeting, and the market now expects a 55% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in May.</p><p></li><li>The core PCE price index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation, fell slightly to 4.6% annually, however, cyclical core inflation continues to move higher despite a slide in non-cyclical core inflation, which is a bigger problem for the Fed. Cyclical core personal consumption expenditures inflation, which is mainly used to track inflationary pressures related to the current economic cycle, is currently at its highest level since 1985. Finally, we note that although the market's inflation expectation declined in March, it is still well above the Fed's target level. So, given that last night's Fed data may indicate a slowdown in deposit outflows, today's data further suggests that the Fed may do more than hopeful doves in the stock market think.</p><p></li><li>Institutional analysis pointed out that the overall and core PCE of the United States in February were slightly lower than expected. The core PCE continues the pullback trend in inflation that has been roughly maintained for 12 months (albeit with occasional hiccups). The overall PCE is at its lowest level since September 2021, at least moving in the right direction. Nominal personal spending increased by 0.2% month-on-month, while real personal spending decreased by 0.1% month-on-month. January's personal spending data was very strong, so its slight downward revision from 2% to 1.8% is not surprising. Spending on services continued to expand, up 0.2% month-on-month. Spending on goods is flat with durable goods (there are generally differences between the two). Non-durable goods increased 0.9% month-over-month. Personal savings rose to 4.6%, the highest level since early 2022. Personal income increased by 0.3% month-on-month, down from 0.6% last month. All of this is consistent with the narrative that inflation has peaked and spending will expand in the first quarter. March data will provide better evidence of spending trends.</p><p></li><li>The U.S. core PCE price index recorded a monthly rate of 0.3% in February, lower than market expectations, which may indicate that the Federal Reserve is beginning to make more progress in fighting high inflation. The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States also recorded a good performance in February, but it is far from certain whether the Federal Reserve can persist in another rate hike. As we all know, the Fed's goal is always to bring inflation back to its 2% target, but without causing a serious economic reaction. While today's PCE data has some in the market thinking that the Fed may stop its rate hike, if inflation remains high, it is expected that the Fed will have to continue its rate hike, even at the risk of causing a recession. In fact, the vast majority of economists believe that a recession is imminent.</p><p></li></ul></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8642475395bb363eacb86148917e7b","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172791802","content_text":"3月31日，美国2月PCE物价指数年率5%，预期5.1%，前值5.4%；美国2月核心PCE物价指数年率4.6%，预期4.7%，前值4.7%；美国2月PCE物价指数月率0.3%，预期0.3%，前值0.6%；美国2月核心PCE物价指数月率0.3%，预期0.4%，前值0.6%。美国2月个人支出月率0.2%，预期0.3%，前值1.8%；美国2月个人收入月率0.3%，预期0.2%，前值0.6%；美国2月实际个人消费支出月率-0.1%，预期-0.1%，前值1.1%。PCE数据公布后，美股三大股指期货短线拉升，道指期货涨0.43%，纳指期货涨0.32%；标普500指数涨0.42%；美国短期利率期货显示，5月美联储加息25个基点和不加息的可能性目前大致相等。机构评美国PCE数据：今天公布的这些数据应该会让美联储更有信心，认为他们在上次会议上加息25个基点是正确的。在5月3日FOMC会议之前，还有一份个人消费支出报告，目前市场预期5月份加息25个基点的可能性为55%。美联储最喜欢的通胀指标—核心PCE物价指数年率小幅下降至4.6%，然而，尽管非周期性核心通胀下滑，但周期性核心通胀继续走高，这对美联储来说是一个更大的问题。目前周期性核心个人消费支出通胀（主要用于追踪与当前经济周期相关的通胀压力）正处于1985年以来的最高水平。最后，我们注意到，尽管市场的通胀预期在3月份有所下降，但它仍远高于美联储的目标水平。所以，鉴于昨晚美联储的数据可能预示着存款外流放缓，今天的数据进一步表明，美联储要做的可能比股市上充满希望的鸽派人士认为的要更多。机构分析指出，美国2月份的总体和核心PCE都略低于预期。核心PCE延续了大致维持了12个月的通胀回落趋势（尽管偶尔会出现一些小插曲）。整体PCE为自2021年9月以来的最低水平，至少是在朝着正确的方向发展。名义个人支出环比增长0.2%，实际个人支出环比下降0.1%。1月份个人支出数据非常强劲，因此其从2%小幅下修至1.8%并不让人意外。服务业支出继续扩张，环比增长0.2%。商品支出与耐用品持平（两者一般都会出现差异）。非耐用品环比增长0.9%。个人储蓄上升至4.6%，是自2022年初以来的最高水平。个人收入环比上升0.3%，相较上月的0.6%回落。所有这些都与通胀见顶的说法一致，支出将在第一季度扩张。3月份的数据将为支出趋势提供更好的证据。美国2月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.3%，低于市场预期，这或许表明美联储在对抗高通胀方面开始取得更多进展。美国2月核心PCE物价指数年率也录得良好表现，但美联储是否能够坚持再加息一次还远未确定。众所周知，美联储的目标始终是将通胀率回落至2%的目标，但不会引起严重的经济反应。虽然今天的这份PCE数据让市场上的某些人认为美联储可能会停止加息，但如果通胀始终居高不下，预计美联储将不得不继续加息，即使是冒着引起经济衰退的风险。事实上，绝大多数经济学家相信经济衰退早已迫在眉睫。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}