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2023-04-18

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@TigerObserver:Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming

2023-04-18

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@KYHBKO:My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI

2023-04-18

Yes great work

@KYHBKO:Preview of the week starting 17 April 2023 - Tesla's Q1/2023 earnings is coming

2023-04-18

Gréât 👍🏻

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2023-04-18

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2023-04-18

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@Value_investing:Buy LV Stock and Enjoy the Profits with Richest Men in the World!

2023-04-18

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@OptionsTutor:[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed

2023-04-18

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@OptionsTutor:[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed

2023-04-18

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@OptionsTutor:[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed

2023-04-18

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@Tiger_Academy:Financial Terminology 100 | Taking investing tips one day at a time

2023-04-18

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@Tiger_Academy:Financial Terminology 100 | Taking investing tips one day at a time

2023-04-18

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TigerObserver:Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming

2023-04-18

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TigerObserver:Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming

2023-04-18

Check out

@KYHBKO:Preview of the week starting 17 April 2023 - Tesla's Q1/2023 earnings is coming

2023-04-12

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It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla

2023-04-12

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It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","listText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","text":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3b5c7a1b09d8383fda9e8760e15c885","width":"1256","height":"697"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7431f3f58ee3ac55a468805f8fde963b","width":"745","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1a2f540814c1f1fc4fd80fd0f5fff6f","width":"943","height":"467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944989536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944603948,"gmtCreate":1681811490584,"gmtModify":1681811493662,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944603948","repostId":"9944046447","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944046447,"gmtCreate":1681647615290,"gmtModify":1681652495795,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI","htmlText":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank &amp; Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l","listText":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank &amp; Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l","text":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank & Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944046447","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944609584,"gmtCreate":1681811427549,"gmtModify":1681811430989,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes great work&nbsp;","listText":"Yes great work&nbsp;","text":"Yes great work","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944609584","repostId":"9944048761","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944048761,"gmtCreate":1681647220555,"gmtModify":1681647288219,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Preview of the week starting 17 April 2023 - Tesla's Q1/2023 earnings is coming","htmlText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","listText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","text":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9ba776a89be0fb53e3e656abe636a34","width":"680","height":"625"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e25330c89c081a7abd269f6c769b9806","width":"1048","height":"682"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4cf6f9a677fdbcd2cfd0a92b2b1d5ac1","width":"1054","height":"1088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944048761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944609328,"gmtCreate":1681811260565,"gmtModify":1681811264385,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gréât 👍🏻","listText":"Gréât 👍🏻","text":"Gréât 👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944609328","repostId":"1157801261","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944609964,"gmtCreate":1681811231358,"gmtModify":1681811233809,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944609964","repostId":"1157801261","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944600833,"gmtCreate":1681810616822,"gmtModify":1681810620122,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944600833","repostId":"9944340632","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944340632,"gmtCreate":1681722196227,"gmtModify":1681722535273,"author":{"id":"3527667626267411","authorId":"3527667626267411","name":"Value_investing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Buy LV Stock and Enjoy the Profits with Richest Men in the World!","htmlText":"On April 12th, Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton&nbsp;(LVMH), the&nbsp;luxury giant and LV's parent company, reported a 16.8% jump in revenue for the first quarter of 2023, far beating&nbsp;analysts' expectations of 9.5%.The day after the earnings report, LVMH shares soared&nbsp;5.7% to a record high, with a market value of more than 440 billion euros. As the result of it, the wealth&nbsp;of the Arnault&nbsp;family, the beneficial owner, soared to $210 billion&nbsp;and solidified&nbsp;its position as the world's richest man, far exceeding Musk($180 billion worth of Tesla founder)!Although LVMH is listed in France, the U.S. Pink Sheets can also be traded under the symbols LVMUY and LVMHF respectively.The chart below shows the trends of LVMH's share price since 1989, which has risen 39 times in ne","listText":"On April 12th, Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton&nbsp;(LVMH), the&nbsp;luxury giant and LV's parent company, reported a 16.8% jump in revenue for the first quarter of 2023, far beating&nbsp;analysts' expectations of 9.5%.The day after the earnings report, LVMH shares soared&nbsp;5.7% to a record high, with a market value of more than 440 billion euros. As the result of it, the wealth&nbsp;of the Arnault&nbsp;family, the beneficial owner, soared to $210 billion&nbsp;and solidified&nbsp;its position as the world's richest man, far exceeding Musk($180 billion worth of Tesla founder)!Although LVMH is listed in France, the U.S. Pink Sheets can also be traded under the symbols LVMUY and LVMHF respectively.The chart below shows the trends of LVMH's share price since 1989, which has risen 39 times in ne","text":"On April 12th, Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMH), the luxury giant and LV's parent company, reported a 16.8% jump in revenue for the first quarter of 2023, far beating analysts' expectations of 9.5%.The day after the earnings report, LVMH shares soared 5.7% to a record high, with a market value of more than 440 billion euros. As the result of it, the wealth of the Arnault family, the beneficial owner, soared to $210 billion and solidified its position as the world's richest man, far exceeding Musk($180 billion worth of Tesla founder)!Although LVMH is listed in France, the U.S. Pink Sheets can also be traded under the symbols LVMUY and LVMHF respectively.The chart below shows the trends of LVMH's share price since 1989, which has risen 39 times in ne","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0a882435252cf6103fad7d8261291616","width":"692","height":"316"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/473d854d7629563f1fd8728db26f13e6","width":"693","height":"359"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4e42b08659af1536485212b35efe0083","width":"693","height":"374"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944340632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944600165,"gmtCreate":1681810586758,"gmtModify":1681810589883,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944600165","repostId":"9944142887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944142887,"gmtCreate":1681761160849,"gmtModify":1682367613763,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed","htmlText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","listText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","text":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c45afc4448f18e3e7a2d4295847c319e","width":"2214","height":"1166"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0564eab5b1309a4f37f65d3576ce381f","width":"2218","height":"1168"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb903f766d4e261f4f9209a610e4119d","width":"2214","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944142887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944600306,"gmtCreate":1681810573106,"gmtModify":1681810575515,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944600306","repostId":"9944142887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944142887,"gmtCreate":1681761160849,"gmtModify":1682367613763,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed","htmlText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","listText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","text":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c45afc4448f18e3e7a2d4295847c319e","width":"2214","height":"1166"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0564eab5b1309a4f37f65d3576ce381f","width":"2218","height":"1168"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb903f766d4e261f4f9209a610e4119d","width":"2214","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944142887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877556,"gmtCreate":1681810505975,"gmtModify":1681810509289,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877556","repostId":"9944142887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944142887,"gmtCreate":1681761160849,"gmtModify":1682367613763,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed","htmlText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","listText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","text":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c45afc4448f18e3e7a2d4295847c319e","width":"2214","height":"1166"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0564eab5b1309a4f37f65d3576ce381f","width":"2218","height":"1168"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb903f766d4e261f4f9209a610e4119d","width":"2214","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944142887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877213,"gmtCreate":1681810468032,"gmtModify":1681810469731,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877213","repostId":"9944345161","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944345161,"gmtCreate":1681725226454,"gmtModify":1703746843108,"author":{"id":"4104455119105420","authorId":"4104455119105420","name":"Tiger_Academy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776fe550cd7a945e43d68c025988ed8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Financial Terminology 100 | Taking investing tips one day at a time","htmlText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","listText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","text":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5fffbde6298369979f996ef53dced1b0","width":"1280","height":"720"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fa88d1072d1704ceb76f8f2dc56d3195","width":"1242","height":"2208"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e9a6ecfb49b7e589eab81f583d640d86","width":"739","height":"420"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944345161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877875,"gmtCreate":1681810448397,"gmtModify":1681810451781,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877875","repostId":"9944345161","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944345161,"gmtCreate":1681725226454,"gmtModify":1703746843108,"author":{"id":"4104455119105420","authorId":"4104455119105420","name":"Tiger_Academy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776fe550cd7a945e43d68c025988ed8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Financial Terminology 100 | Taking investing tips one day at a time","htmlText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","listText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","text":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5fffbde6298369979f996ef53dced1b0","width":"1280","height":"720"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fa88d1072d1704ceb76f8f2dc56d3195","width":"1242","height":"2208"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e9a6ecfb49b7e589eab81f583d640d86","width":"739","height":"420"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944345161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877163,"gmtCreate":1681810403552,"gmtModify":1681811418894,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877163","repostId":"9944989536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944989536,"gmtCreate":1681664853126,"gmtModify":1681697465542,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming","htmlText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","listText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","text":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3b5c7a1b09d8383fda9e8760e15c885","width":"1256","height":"697"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7431f3f58ee3ac55a468805f8fde963b","width":"745","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1a2f540814c1f1fc4fd80fd0f5fff6f","width":"943","height":"467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944989536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877311,"gmtCreate":1681810397533,"gmtModify":1681811418855,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877311","repostId":"9944989536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944989536,"gmtCreate":1681664853126,"gmtModify":1681697465542,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming","htmlText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","listText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","text":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3b5c7a1b09d8383fda9e8760e15c885","width":"1256","height":"697"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7431f3f58ee3ac55a468805f8fde963b","width":"745","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1a2f540814c1f1fc4fd80fd0f5fff6f","width":"943","height":"467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944989536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877903,"gmtCreate":1681810329402,"gmtModify":1681811418819,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Check out","listText":"Check out","text":"Check out","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877903","repostId":"9944048761","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944048761,"gmtCreate":1681647220555,"gmtModify":1681647288219,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Preview of the week starting 17 April 2023 - Tesla's Q1/2023 earnings is coming","htmlText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","listText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","text":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9ba776a89be0fb53e3e656abe636a34","width":"680","height":"625"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e25330c89c081a7abd269f6c769b9806","width":"1048","height":"682"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4cf6f9a677fdbcd2cfd0a92b2b1d5ac1","width":"1054","height":"1088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944048761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942464399,"gmtCreate":1681281389611,"gmtModify":1681281943099,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942464399","repostId":"1116529806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116529806","pubTimestamp":1681216371,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116529806?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-11 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116529806","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s massive rally has consolidated for months now.</p></li><li><p>I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.</p></li><li><p>Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.</p></li></ul><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e94c2a45c7301b8ea00c807d826e5dd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p>Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.<p></p><p>Perhaps the most followed growth stock is <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly <em>doubled</em> off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.</p><p>The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.</p><h2>Charting the course</h2><p>We’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd969b308166473c523851a9fe245ed\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>We have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which <em>has </em>to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.</p><p>I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.</p><p>The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.</p><p>To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.</p><p>The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df23caaa9d1b39024f979a6cda4535bb\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>The 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.</p><h2>Fundamentals a mixed bag</h2><p>We all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.</p><p>It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6db56943296955b720ccc22605349e2\" alt=\"vehicle deliveries\" title=\"vehicle deliveries\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"663\"/><span>vehicle deliveries</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>Tesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3aa5e5e33f385e932756392920212de\" alt=\"market share\" title=\"market share\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/><span>market share</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>So long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd8229ac2f452d6c4265fab68ea84bb9\" alt=\"revenue revisions\" title=\"revenue revisions\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\"/><span>revenue revisions</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>That being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.</p><p>I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.</p><p>Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/16a5716422a4230b2d626cd03ab40b35\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\"/></p>Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, <em>despite declining gross margins</em>. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.<p></p><p>Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.</p><h2>Cash is king</h2><p>One problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c719393fec512ae018e4c836fbc4def\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"184\"/></p>Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.<p></p><p>How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;).</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d1a3f6a321d63b4d9ce1cf8d2a4cce6\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p>TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.<p></p><p>Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/996a5c22b8f9ff33f0550deb49ce1a5b\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/></p>EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.<p></p><h2>A look at valuations</h2><p>Let’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769ab0ae3f0e5ce9168c55cbb27da5e1\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"215\"/></p>Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.<p></p><p>Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfed176bb7172af777a5dd39de6d86b9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\"/></p>I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.<p></p><p>Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.</p><p>I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-11 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116529806","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.Perhaps the most followed growth stock is Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly doubled off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.Charting the courseWe’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.ChartStockChartsWe have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which has to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.ChartStockChartsThe 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.Fundamentals a mixed bagWe all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.vehicle deliveriesInvestor presentationTesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.market shareInvestor presentationSo long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.revenue revisionsSeeking AlphaThat being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, despite declining gross margins. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.Cash is kingOne problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (\"FCF\").TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.A look at valuationsLet’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942465764,"gmtCreate":1681281382958,"gmtModify":1681281942945,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942465764","repostId":"1116529806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116529806","pubTimestamp":1681216371,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116529806?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-11 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116529806","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s massive rally has consolidated for months now.</p></li><li><p>I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.</p></li><li><p>Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.</p></li></ul><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e94c2a45c7301b8ea00c807d826e5dd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p>Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.<p></p><p>Perhaps the most followed growth stock is <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly <em>doubled</em> off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.</p><p>The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.</p><h2>Charting the course</h2><p>We’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd969b308166473c523851a9fe245ed\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>We have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which <em>has </em>to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.</p><p>I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.</p><p>The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.</p><p>To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.</p><p>The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df23caaa9d1b39024f979a6cda4535bb\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>The 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.</p><h2>Fundamentals a mixed bag</h2><p>We all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.</p><p>It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6db56943296955b720ccc22605349e2\" alt=\"vehicle deliveries\" title=\"vehicle deliveries\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"663\"/><span>vehicle deliveries</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>Tesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3aa5e5e33f385e932756392920212de\" alt=\"market share\" title=\"market share\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/><span>market share</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>So long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd8229ac2f452d6c4265fab68ea84bb9\" alt=\"revenue revisions\" title=\"revenue revisions\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\"/><span>revenue revisions</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>That being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.</p><p>I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.</p><p>Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/16a5716422a4230b2d626cd03ab40b35\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\"/></p>Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, <em>despite declining gross margins</em>. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.<p></p><p>Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.</p><h2>Cash is king</h2><p>One problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c719393fec512ae018e4c836fbc4def\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"184\"/></p>Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.<p></p><p>How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;).</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d1a3f6a321d63b4d9ce1cf8d2a4cce6\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p>TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.<p></p><p>Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/996a5c22b8f9ff33f0550deb49ce1a5b\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/></p>EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.<p></p><h2>A look at valuations</h2><p>Let’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769ab0ae3f0e5ce9168c55cbb27da5e1\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"215\"/></p>Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.<p></p><p>Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfed176bb7172af777a5dd39de6d86b9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\"/></p>I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.<p></p><p>Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.</p><p>I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-11 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116529806","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.Perhaps the most followed growth stock is Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly doubled off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.Charting the courseWe’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.ChartStockChartsWe have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which has to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.ChartStockChartsThe 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.Fundamentals a mixed bagWe all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.vehicle deliveriesInvestor presentationTesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.market shareInvestor presentationSo long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.revenue revisionsSeeking AlphaThat being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, despite declining gross margins. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.Cash is kingOne problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (\"FCF\").TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.A look at valuationsLet’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9944609328,"gmtCreate":1681811260565,"gmtModify":1681811264385,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gréât 👍🏻","listText":"Gréât 👍🏻","text":"Gréât 👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944609328","repostId":"1157801261","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157801261","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1681807953,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157801261?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-18 16:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Netflix, And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157801261","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stock futures pointed mostly higher Tuesday with earnings reports coming from the likes of Bank of A","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock futures pointed mostly higher Tuesday with earnings reports coming from the likes of Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Johnson &amp; Johnson, and as China’s economy rebounded at a faster-than-expected pace in the first quarter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">These stocks were poised to make moves Tuesday: </p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America </a> is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the stock market opens. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect BofA to report earnings of 81 cents a share vs. 80 cents a year earlier. Like other banks, the company is forecast to see a surge in net interest income thanks to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hikes over the past year. The stock rose 0.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs </a> also is expected to report first-quarter earnings before Wall Street opens for trading. The results from both Bank of America and Goldman will be scrutinized by investors for what they say about dynamics in the embattled banking sector as well as the health of the wider U.S. economy. Goldman Sachs was up 1.1%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson </a> also will report quarterly earnings before the opening bell. Ahead of the report, which could bring news about Kenvue, the soon-to-be split off consumer health division, and on talc litigation, the stock rose slightly.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">Lockheed Martin </a> and Bank of New York Mellon (BK) also are scheduled to report earnings before trading begins Tuesday.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix </a> remains the clear leader in the streaming video market. But Netflix has been struggling to show meaningful growth. Wall Street will get an update from Netflix when it reports first-quarter earnings after the stock market closes. Netflix was up 0.6%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">United Airlines </a> reports first-quarter earnings after Wall Street closes Tuesday. United’s reports follows last week’s update from fellow carrier Delta Air Lines (DAL), which reported first-quarter adjusted earnings that missed analysts’ estimates but said its outlook for the second quarter was “strong.”</p><p>American depositary receipts of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ERIC\">Ericsson </a> fell 4% in premarket trading after the Swedish telecommunications company said it expects the operating environment in 2023 to remain “choppy” this year following first-quarter earnings that fell from a year earlier.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBHT\">J.B. Hunt Transport Services </a> reported first-quarter earnings that missed Wall Street estimates as revenue declined 7% on weaker freight volumes.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Netflix, And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Netflix, And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-04-18 16:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock futures pointed mostly higher Tuesday with earnings reports coming from the likes of Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Johnson &amp; Johnson, and as China’s economy rebounded at a faster-than-expected pace in the first quarter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">These stocks were poised to make moves Tuesday: </p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America </a> is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the stock market opens. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect BofA to report earnings of 81 cents a share vs. 80 cents a year earlier. Like other banks, the company is forecast to see a surge in net interest income thanks to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hikes over the past year. The stock rose 0.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs </a> also is expected to report first-quarter earnings before Wall Street opens for trading. The results from both Bank of America and Goldman will be scrutinized by investors for what they say about dynamics in the embattled banking sector as well as the health of the wider U.S. economy. Goldman Sachs was up 1.1%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson </a> also will report quarterly earnings before the opening bell. Ahead of the report, which could bring news about Kenvue, the soon-to-be split off consumer health division, and on talc litigation, the stock rose slightly.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">Lockheed Martin </a> and Bank of New York Mellon (BK) also are scheduled to report earnings before trading begins Tuesday.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix </a> remains the clear leader in the streaming video market. But Netflix has been struggling to show meaningful growth. Wall Street will get an update from Netflix when it reports first-quarter earnings after the stock market closes. Netflix was up 0.6%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">United Airlines </a> reports first-quarter earnings after Wall Street closes Tuesday. United’s reports follows last week’s update from fellow carrier Delta Air Lines (DAL), which reported first-quarter adjusted earnings that missed analysts’ estimates but said its outlook for the second quarter was “strong.”</p><p>American depositary receipts of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ERIC\">Ericsson </a> fell 4% in premarket trading after the Swedish telecommunications company said it expects the operating environment in 2023 to remain “choppy” this year following first-quarter earnings that fell from a year earlier.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBHT\">J.B. Hunt Transport Services </a> reported first-quarter earnings that missed Wall Street estimates as revenue declined 7% on weaker freight volumes.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","GS":"高盛","BAC":"美国银行","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157801261","content_text":"Stock futures pointed mostly higher Tuesday with earnings reports coming from the likes of Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Johnson & Johnson, and as China’s economy rebounded at a faster-than-expected pace in the first quarter.These stocks were poised to make moves Tuesday: Bank of America  is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the stock market opens. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect BofA to report earnings of 81 cents a share vs. 80 cents a year earlier. Like other banks, the company is forecast to see a surge in net interest income thanks to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hikes over the past year. The stock rose 0.8% in premarket trading.Goldman Sachs  also is expected to report first-quarter earnings before Wall Street opens for trading. The results from both Bank of America and Goldman will be scrutinized by investors for what they say about dynamics in the embattled banking sector as well as the health of the wider U.S. economy. Goldman Sachs was up 1.1%.Johnson & Johnson  also will report quarterly earnings before the opening bell. Ahead of the report, which could bring news about Kenvue, the soon-to-be split off consumer health division, and on talc litigation, the stock rose slightly.Lockheed Martin  and Bank of New York Mellon (BK) also are scheduled to report earnings before trading begins Tuesday.Netflix  remains the clear leader in the streaming video market. But Netflix has been struggling to show meaningful growth. Wall Street will get an update from Netflix when it reports first-quarter earnings after the stock market closes. Netflix was up 0.6%.United Airlines  reports first-quarter earnings after Wall Street closes Tuesday. United’s reports follows last week’s update from fellow carrier Delta Air Lines (DAL), which reported first-quarter adjusted earnings that missed analysts’ estimates but said its outlook for the second quarter was “strong.”American depositary receipts of Ericsson  fell 4% in premarket trading after the Swedish telecommunications company said it expects the operating environment in 2023 to remain “choppy” this year following first-quarter earnings that fell from a year earlier.J.B. Hunt Transport Services  reported first-quarter earnings that missed Wall Street estimates as revenue declined 7% on weaker freight volumes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944600833,"gmtCreate":1681810616822,"gmtModify":1681810620122,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944600833","repostId":"9944340632","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944340632,"gmtCreate":1681722196227,"gmtModify":1681722535273,"author":{"id":"3527667626267411","authorId":"3527667626267411","name":"Value_investing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Buy LV Stock and Enjoy the Profits with Richest Men in the World!","htmlText":"On April 12th, Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton&nbsp;(LVMH), the&nbsp;luxury giant and LV's parent company, reported a 16.8% jump in revenue for the first quarter of 2023, far beating&nbsp;analysts' expectations of 9.5%.The day after the earnings report, LVMH shares soared&nbsp;5.7% to a record high, with a market value of more than 440 billion euros. As the result of it, the wealth&nbsp;of the Arnault&nbsp;family, the beneficial owner, soared to $210 billion&nbsp;and solidified&nbsp;its position as the world's richest man, far exceeding Musk($180 billion worth of Tesla founder)!Although LVMH is listed in France, the U.S. Pink Sheets can also be traded under the symbols LVMUY and LVMHF respectively.The chart below shows the trends of LVMH's share price since 1989, which has risen 39 times in ne","listText":"On April 12th, Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton&nbsp;(LVMH), the&nbsp;luxury giant and LV's parent company, reported a 16.8% jump in revenue for the first quarter of 2023, far beating&nbsp;analysts' expectations of 9.5%.The day after the earnings report, LVMH shares soared&nbsp;5.7% to a record high, with a market value of more than 440 billion euros. As the result of it, the wealth&nbsp;of the Arnault&nbsp;family, the beneficial owner, soared to $210 billion&nbsp;and solidified&nbsp;its position as the world's richest man, far exceeding Musk($180 billion worth of Tesla founder)!Although LVMH is listed in France, the U.S. Pink Sheets can also be traded under the symbols LVMUY and LVMHF respectively.The chart below shows the trends of LVMH's share price since 1989, which has risen 39 times in ne","text":"On April 12th, Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMH), the luxury giant and LV's parent company, reported a 16.8% jump in revenue for the first quarter of 2023, far beating analysts' expectations of 9.5%.The day after the earnings report, LVMH shares soared 5.7% to a record high, with a market value of more than 440 billion euros. As the result of it, the wealth of the Arnault family, the beneficial owner, soared to $210 billion and solidified its position as the world's richest man, far exceeding Musk($180 billion worth of Tesla founder)!Although LVMH is listed in France, the U.S. Pink Sheets can also be traded under the symbols LVMUY and LVMHF respectively.The chart below shows the trends of LVMH's share price since 1989, which has risen 39 times in ne","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0a882435252cf6103fad7d8261291616","width":"692","height":"316"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/473d854d7629563f1fd8728db26f13e6","width":"693","height":"359"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4e42b08659af1536485212b35efe0083","width":"693","height":"374"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944340632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944600165,"gmtCreate":1681810586758,"gmtModify":1681810589883,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944600165","repostId":"9944142887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944142887,"gmtCreate":1681761160849,"gmtModify":1682367613763,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed","htmlText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","listText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","text":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c45afc4448f18e3e7a2d4295847c319e","width":"2214","height":"1166"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0564eab5b1309a4f37f65d3576ce381f","width":"2218","height":"1168"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb903f766d4e261f4f9209a610e4119d","width":"2214","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944142887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944600306,"gmtCreate":1681810573106,"gmtModify":1681810575515,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944600306","repostId":"9944142887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944142887,"gmtCreate":1681761160849,"gmtModify":1682367613763,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed","htmlText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","listText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","text":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c45afc4448f18e3e7a2d4295847c319e","width":"2214","height":"1166"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0564eab5b1309a4f37f65d3576ce381f","width":"2218","height":"1168"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb903f766d4e261f4f9209a610e4119d","width":"2214","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944142887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877556,"gmtCreate":1681810505975,"gmtModify":1681810509289,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877556","repostId":"9944142887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944142887,"gmtCreate":1681761160849,"gmtModify":1682367613763,"author":{"id":"3527667670880462","authorId":"3527667670880462","name":"OptionsTutor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5496ca83f1c81b8c311afcb3ea30bc8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Earnings season options strategy] Winning Big with Tech Earnings: Insider Strategies Revealed","htmlText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","listText":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&amp;P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","text":"This week, tech stocks will start reporting their earnings and things don't look good. According to data compiled by FactSet, S&P 500 companies are expected to have a 6.8% drop in earnings from the same time last year - the biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit.As of April 4, e-mini futures contracts on the S&P 500, which bet on a decline in stocks, had grown to 321,459 contracts, the highest level since October 2011.Still, equity strategists often view futures market positioning as a counter-indicator, meaning that stocks often move in the opposite direction from what futures traders expect, especially when positioning is clearly concentrated in one direction or the other. Of course, the past is no guarantee of future performance.In terms of opt","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c45afc4448f18e3e7a2d4295847c319e","width":"2214","height":"1166"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0564eab5b1309a4f37f65d3576ce381f","width":"2218","height":"1168"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb903f766d4e261f4f9209a610e4119d","width":"2214","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944142887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877213,"gmtCreate":1681810468032,"gmtModify":1681810469731,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877213","repostId":"9944345161","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944345161,"gmtCreate":1681725226454,"gmtModify":1703746843108,"author":{"id":"4104455119105420","authorId":"4104455119105420","name":"Tiger_Academy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776fe550cd7a945e43d68c025988ed8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Financial Terminology 100 | Taking investing tips one day at a time","htmlText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","listText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","text":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5fffbde6298369979f996ef53dced1b0","width":"1280","height":"720"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fa88d1072d1704ceb76f8f2dc56d3195","width":"1242","height":"2208"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e9a6ecfb49b7e589eab81f583d640d86","width":"739","height":"420"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944345161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877875,"gmtCreate":1681810448397,"gmtModify":1681810451781,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877875","repostId":"9944345161","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944345161,"gmtCreate":1681725226454,"gmtModify":1703746843108,"author":{"id":"4104455119105420","authorId":"4104455119105420","name":"Tiger_Academy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776fe550cd7a945e43d68c025988ed8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Financial Terminology 100 | Taking investing tips one day at a time","htmlText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","listText":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","text":"Hello, tigers!Today, I will bring you a new knowledge learning module: Financial Terminology 100!In investing, the masters often emphasize the importance of learning financial knowledge. As Warren Buffett once said, \"The best investment asset is your own wisdom.\"Learning financial terminology is like building your own treasure trove of financial vocabulary, allowing you to navigate the investment stage with ease, discern market trends, and seize investment opportunities.In Financial Terminology 100, I will compile the top 100 most frequent and important financial terms in the market for you to learn. These 100 financial terms will be divided into 5 sessions, with 20 terms presented in each session.Currently, in the first session of Financial Terminology, we have:Some of you may think that","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5fffbde6298369979f996ef53dced1b0","width":"1280","height":"720"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fa88d1072d1704ceb76f8f2dc56d3195","width":"1242","height":"2208"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e9a6ecfb49b7e589eab81f583d640d86","width":"739","height":"420"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944345161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877163,"gmtCreate":1681810403552,"gmtModify":1681811418894,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877163","repostId":"9944989536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944989536,"gmtCreate":1681664853126,"gmtModify":1681697465542,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming","htmlText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","listText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","text":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3b5c7a1b09d8383fda9e8760e15c885","width":"1256","height":"697"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7431f3f58ee3ac55a468805f8fde963b","width":"745","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1a2f540814c1f1fc4fd80fd0f5fff6f","width":"943","height":"467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944989536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877311,"gmtCreate":1681810397533,"gmtModify":1681811418855,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877311","repostId":"9944989536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944989536,"gmtCreate":1681664853126,"gmtModify":1681697465542,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming","htmlText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","listText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","text":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3b5c7a1b09d8383fda9e8760e15c885","width":"1256","height":"697"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7431f3f58ee3ac55a468805f8fde963b","width":"745","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1a2f540814c1f1fc4fd80fd0f5fff6f","width":"943","height":"467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944989536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944877903,"gmtCreate":1681810329402,"gmtModify":1681811418819,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Check out","listText":"Check out","text":"Check out","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944877903","repostId":"9944048761","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944048761,"gmtCreate":1681647220555,"gmtModify":1681647288219,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Preview of the week starting 17 April 2023 - Tesla's Q1/2023 earnings is coming","htmlText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","listText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","text":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9ba776a89be0fb53e3e656abe636a34","width":"680","height":"625"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e25330c89c081a7abd269f6c769b9806","width":"1048","height":"682"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4cf6f9a677fdbcd2cfd0a92b2b1d5ac1","width":"1054","height":"1088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944048761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942464399,"gmtCreate":1681281389611,"gmtModify":1681281943099,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942464399","repostId":"1116529806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116529806","pubTimestamp":1681216371,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116529806?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-11 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116529806","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s massive rally has consolidated for months now.</p></li><li><p>I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.</p></li><li><p>Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.</p></li></ul><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e94c2a45c7301b8ea00c807d826e5dd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p>Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.<p></p><p>Perhaps the most followed growth stock is <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly <em>doubled</em> off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.</p><p>The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.</p><h2>Charting the course</h2><p>We’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd969b308166473c523851a9fe245ed\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>We have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which <em>has </em>to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.</p><p>I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.</p><p>The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.</p><p>To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.</p><p>The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df23caaa9d1b39024f979a6cda4535bb\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>The 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.</p><h2>Fundamentals a mixed bag</h2><p>We all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.</p><p>It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6db56943296955b720ccc22605349e2\" alt=\"vehicle deliveries\" title=\"vehicle deliveries\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"663\"/><span>vehicle deliveries</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>Tesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3aa5e5e33f385e932756392920212de\" alt=\"market share\" title=\"market share\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/><span>market share</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>So long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd8229ac2f452d6c4265fab68ea84bb9\" alt=\"revenue revisions\" title=\"revenue revisions\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\"/><span>revenue revisions</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>That being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.</p><p>I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.</p><p>Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/16a5716422a4230b2d626cd03ab40b35\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\"/></p>Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, <em>despite declining gross margins</em>. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.<p></p><p>Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.</p><h2>Cash is king</h2><p>One problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c719393fec512ae018e4c836fbc4def\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"184\"/></p>Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.<p></p><p>How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;).</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d1a3f6a321d63b4d9ce1cf8d2a4cce6\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p>TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.<p></p><p>Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/996a5c22b8f9ff33f0550deb49ce1a5b\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/></p>EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.<p></p><h2>A look at valuations</h2><p>Let’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769ab0ae3f0e5ce9168c55cbb27da5e1\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"215\"/></p>Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.<p></p><p>Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfed176bb7172af777a5dd39de6d86b9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\"/></p>I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.<p></p><p>Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.</p><p>I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-11 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116529806","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.Perhaps the most followed growth stock is Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly doubled off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.Charting the courseWe’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.ChartStockChartsWe have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which has to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.ChartStockChartsThe 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.Fundamentals a mixed bagWe all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.vehicle deliveriesInvestor presentationTesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.market shareInvestor presentationSo long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.revenue revisionsSeeking AlphaThat being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, despite declining gross margins. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.Cash is kingOne problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (\"FCF\").TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.A look at valuationsLet’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942465764,"gmtCreate":1681281382958,"gmtModify":1681281942945,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942465764","repostId":"1116529806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116529806","pubTimestamp":1681216371,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116529806?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-11 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116529806","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s massive rally has consolidated for months now.</p></li><li><p>I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.</p></li><li><p>Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.</p></li></ul><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e94c2a45c7301b8ea00c807d826e5dd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p>Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.<p></p><p>Perhaps the most followed growth stock is <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly <em>doubled</em> off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.</p><p>The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.</p><h2>Charting the course</h2><p>We’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd969b308166473c523851a9fe245ed\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>We have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which <em>has </em>to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.</p><p>I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.</p><p>The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.</p><p>To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.</p><p>The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df23caaa9d1b39024f979a6cda4535bb\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>The 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.</p><h2>Fundamentals a mixed bag</h2><p>We all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.</p><p>It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6db56943296955b720ccc22605349e2\" alt=\"vehicle deliveries\" title=\"vehicle deliveries\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"663\"/><span>vehicle deliveries</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>Tesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3aa5e5e33f385e932756392920212de\" alt=\"market share\" title=\"market share\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/><span>market share</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>So long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd8229ac2f452d6c4265fab68ea84bb9\" alt=\"revenue revisions\" title=\"revenue revisions\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\"/><span>revenue revisions</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>That being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.</p><p>I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.</p><p>Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/16a5716422a4230b2d626cd03ab40b35\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\"/></p>Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, <em>despite declining gross margins</em>. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.<p></p><p>Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.</p><h2>Cash is king</h2><p>One problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c719393fec512ae018e4c836fbc4def\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"184\"/></p>Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.<p></p><p>How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;).</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d1a3f6a321d63b4d9ce1cf8d2a4cce6\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p>TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.<p></p><p>Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/996a5c22b8f9ff33f0550deb49ce1a5b\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/></p>EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.<p></p><h2>A look at valuations</h2><p>Let’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769ab0ae3f0e5ce9168c55cbb27da5e1\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"215\"/></p>Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.<p></p><p>Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfed176bb7172af777a5dd39de6d86b9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\"/></p>I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.<p></p><p>Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.</p><p>I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-11 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116529806","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.Perhaps the most followed growth stock is Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly doubled off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.Charting the courseWe’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.ChartStockChartsWe have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which has to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.ChartStockChartsThe 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.Fundamentals a mixed bagWe all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.vehicle deliveriesInvestor presentationTesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.market shareInvestor presentationSo long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.revenue revisionsSeeking AlphaThat being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, despite declining gross margins. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.Cash is kingOne problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (\"FCF\").TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.A look at valuationsLet’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944603386,"gmtCreate":1681811558345,"gmtModify":1681811561587,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944603386","repostId":"9944989536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944989536,"gmtCreate":1681664853126,"gmtModify":1681697465542,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: After Banks Positive Results, Tech Giants Earnings Coming","htmlText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","listText":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> generated a fractional gain.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of&nbsp;last&nbsp;Friday,&nbsp;the<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> gained&nbsp;1.28%&nbsp;last&nbsp;week&nbsp;and","text":"1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3b5c7a1b09d8383fda9e8760e15c885","width":"1256","height":"697"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7431f3f58ee3ac55a468805f8fde963b","width":"745","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a1a2f540814c1f1fc4fd80fd0f5fff6f","width":"943","height":"467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944989536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944603948,"gmtCreate":1681811490584,"gmtModify":1681811493662,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944603948","repostId":"9944046447","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944046447,"gmtCreate":1681647615290,"gmtModify":1681652495795,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI","htmlText":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank &amp; Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l","listText":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank &amp; Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l","text":"My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank & Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944046447","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944609584,"gmtCreate":1681811427549,"gmtModify":1681811430989,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes great work&nbsp;","listText":"Yes great work&nbsp;","text":"Yes great work","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944609584","repostId":"9944048761","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944048761,"gmtCreate":1681647220555,"gmtModify":1681647288219,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Preview of the week starting 17 April 2023 - Tesla's Q1/2023 earnings is coming","htmlText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","listText":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","text":"Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9ba776a89be0fb53e3e656abe636a34","width":"680","height":"625"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e25330c89c081a7abd269f6c769b9806","width":"1048","height":"682"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4cf6f9a677fdbcd2cfd0a92b2b1d5ac1","width":"1054","height":"1088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944048761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944609964,"gmtCreate":1681811231358,"gmtModify":1681811233809,"author":{"id":"4143099259544152","authorId":"4143099259544152","name":"Joewealth","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/735a4be3fff6a73410c8ae6f737d4d9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944609964","repostId":"1157801261","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}