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11-05 16:40

Has concerns about the AI trade. Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.

Most Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One

2024-03-09

[Happy]

2023-05-29

Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI

AI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.","listText":"Has concerns about the AI trade. Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.","text":"Has concerns about the AI trade. Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/626000578511248","repostId":"2681043091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2681043091","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1793866983,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2681043091?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-11-05 16:23","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Most Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2681043091","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"\"His \"Awesome Portfolio\" only needs to be rebalanced once a year and \"that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,\" he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable \"the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.\"Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&P 500's SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.He believes investors who can't live without that extra 1% return are","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That big market meltdown is out there, even if investors these days don&#39;t want to see it in a stock market that is now on year four of a bull run.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">So says, Wall Street veteran Jared Dillian whose latest book - &#34;The Awesome Portfolio: A Simple, Stress-Free Approach to Investing&#34; - carries the not-so-popular message that investors need diversification. His message is to do that through equal-parts stocks, bonds, cash, gold and real estate.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;The average investor sees no need to diversify,&#34; he told MarketWatch in a recent interview. &#34;If we were in the middle of a crash, the &#39;Awesome Portfolio&#39; would probably be selling a lot more.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian, founder and principal of commodity trading adviser Armington Capital and editor of The Daily Dirtnap newsletter, said investors haven&#39;t really experienced big drawdowns that would make them think about risk, even as they seem these days to be loading up.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;Excessive risk-taking is usually prevalent close to the top of the market, and we have more risk-taking than ever, and by the way, not just in the financial markets but also in things like sports betting and prediction markets,&#34; he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Those with 40-year investing careers will have witnessed a drawdown of 50% or more during that time, said Dillian, who spent seven years running the exchange-traded fund trading desk at Lehman Brothers before its demise in 2008. His 2011 book, &#34;Street Freak: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers,&#34; was based on that experience.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I started investing in 1998, I had two in the first 10 years, which really kind of calibrates your thinking about risk. The typical person out there doesn&#39;t think about risk. They don&#39;t have to, they haven&#39;t had to.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While early 2020 delivered the fastest bear market in history, the S&amp;P 500 SPX recovered, and even a 20% drop for the index in 2022 doesn&#39;t stack up historically as that bad, he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What kind of pullback might wake up some investors? &#34;I think once you get to 30%, if you have $500,000 in a 401(k) and that becomes $350,000, then you start to do some soul-searching. Because you say, what if it goes to $300,000, what if it goes to $250,000?&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">His &#34;Awesome Portfolio&#34; only needs to be rebalanced once a year and &#34;that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,&#34; he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable &#34;the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&amp;P 500&#39;s SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">He believes investors who can&#39;t live without that extra 1% return are too focused on the returns when they should be thinking first about the risk they&#39;ll accept to get that.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian recommends ETFs for that portfolio starting with the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF VTI, which also gives investors exposure to underperforming small caps, which he thinks could turn around. The bond portion is Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND, which includes Treasurys, credit, mortgages, the F/m US Treasury 3 Month Bill Fund TBIL for cash, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Gold Trust IAU and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF VNQ.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian said he recently put a chunk of his own money into long-term bonds, acknowledging it&#39;s a bit of an unloved asset, to which he quoted from his book: &#34;If you do not have something in your portfolio that you hate, you are not diversified.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bond aversion, he said, is being driven by an &#34;irrational fear&#34; of inflation, which has been above the Fed&#39;s target for six years, but not by much, and a $2 trillion deficit that he doesn&#39;t think will be a forever problem.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I look at a 30-year Treasury bond at 5.33%, that looks pretty attractive to me,&#34; he said. Getting 5% for 10 years through a 10-year Treasury also has been historically pretty good, he added.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5356da4c49223600df38c922948abcb5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"525\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Like others, he harbors concerns about the artificial intelligence trade, notably big tech companies funding tech build-outs with billions in debt that will be hanging around for decades, to pay for chips that could be obsolete in three years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;So that doesn&#39;t make a lot of sense, and that&#39;s been the one thing that scares me about this particular cycle is that a lot of it is debt-financed, and the funny thing about the dot-com bubble is that it because it was equity-financed there really weren&#39;t any consequences to the economy.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While the recession that followed the dot-com bust was mild, he&#39;s &#34;much more worried this time around&#34; about a possible debt crisis.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What investors need is a bit more imagination around what could go wrong. &#34;I sit around and think of ways for things to go wrong, so I&#39;m not fully invested in stocks, and I missed out on this big bull market in stocks. I&#39;ve done pretty well over the past 10 or 15 years with the Awesome Portfolio or some variation of it, and there hasn&#39;t been a point where I&#39;ve said to myself I&#39;m scared about what&#39;s going to happen.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Most Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMost Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-11-05 16:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That big market meltdown is out there, even if investors these days don&#39;t want to see it in a stock market that is now on year four of a bull run.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">So says, Wall Street veteran Jared Dillian whose latest book - &#34;The Awesome Portfolio: A Simple, Stress-Free Approach to Investing&#34; - carries the not-so-popular message that investors need diversification. His message is to do that through equal-parts stocks, bonds, cash, gold and real estate.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;The average investor sees no need to diversify,&#34; he told MarketWatch in a recent interview. &#34;If we were in the middle of a crash, the &#39;Awesome Portfolio&#39; would probably be selling a lot more.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian, founder and principal of commodity trading adviser Armington Capital and editor of The Daily Dirtnap newsletter, said investors haven&#39;t really experienced big drawdowns that would make them think about risk, even as they seem these days to be loading up.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;Excessive risk-taking is usually prevalent close to the top of the market, and we have more risk-taking than ever, and by the way, not just in the financial markets but also in things like sports betting and prediction markets,&#34; he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Those with 40-year investing careers will have witnessed a drawdown of 50% or more during that time, said Dillian, who spent seven years running the exchange-traded fund trading desk at Lehman Brothers before its demise in 2008. His 2011 book, &#34;Street Freak: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers,&#34; was based on that experience.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I started investing in 1998, I had two in the first 10 years, which really kind of calibrates your thinking about risk. The typical person out there doesn&#39;t think about risk. They don&#39;t have to, they haven&#39;t had to.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While early 2020 delivered the fastest bear market in history, the S&amp;P 500 SPX recovered, and even a 20% drop for the index in 2022 doesn&#39;t stack up historically as that bad, he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What kind of pullback might wake up some investors? &#34;I think once you get to 30%, if you have $500,000 in a 401(k) and that becomes $350,000, then you start to do some soul-searching. Because you say, what if it goes to $300,000, what if it goes to $250,000?&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">His &#34;Awesome Portfolio&#34; only needs to be rebalanced once a year and &#34;that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,&#34; he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable &#34;the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&amp;P 500&#39;s SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">He believes investors who can&#39;t live without that extra 1% return are too focused on the returns when they should be thinking first about the risk they&#39;ll accept to get that.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian recommends ETFs for that portfolio starting with the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF VTI, which also gives investors exposure to underperforming small caps, which he thinks could turn around. The bond portion is Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND, which includes Treasurys, credit, mortgages, the F/m US Treasury 3 Month Bill Fund TBIL for cash, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Gold Trust IAU and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF VNQ.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian said he recently put a chunk of his own money into long-term bonds, acknowledging it&#39;s a bit of an unloved asset, to which he quoted from his book: &#34;If you do not have something in your portfolio that you hate, you are not diversified.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bond aversion, he said, is being driven by an &#34;irrational fear&#34; of inflation, which has been above the Fed&#39;s target for six years, but not by much, and a $2 trillion deficit that he doesn&#39;t think will be a forever problem.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I look at a 30-year Treasury bond at 5.33%, that looks pretty attractive to me,&#34; he said. Getting 5% for 10 years through a 10-year Treasury also has been historically pretty good, he added.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5356da4c49223600df38c922948abcb5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"525\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Like others, he harbors concerns about the artificial intelligence trade, notably big tech companies funding tech build-outs with billions in debt that will be hanging around for decades, to pay for chips that could be obsolete in three years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;So that doesn&#39;t make a lot of sense, and that&#39;s been the one thing that scares me about this particular cycle is that a lot of it is debt-financed, and the funny thing about the dot-com bubble is that it because it was equity-financed there really weren&#39;t any consequences to the economy.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While the recession that followed the dot-com bust was mild, he&#39;s &#34;much more worried this time around&#34; about a possible debt crisis.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What investors need is a bit more imagination around what could go wrong. &#34;I sit around and think of ways for things to go wrong, so I&#39;m not fully invested in stocks, and I missed out on this big bull market in stocks. I&#39;ve done pretty well over the past 10 or 15 years with the Awesome Portfolio or some variation of it, and there hasn&#39;t been a point where I&#39;ve said to myself I&#39;m scared about what&#39;s going to happen.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","BK4211":"区域性银行","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion",".DJI":"道琼斯","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF","DIA":"道琼斯ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2681043091","content_text":"That big market meltdown is out there, even if investors these days don't want to see it in a stock market that is now on year four of a bull run.So says, Wall Street veteran Jared Dillian whose latest book - \"The Awesome Portfolio: A Simple, Stress-Free Approach to Investing\" - carries the not-so-popular message that investors need diversification. His message is to do that through equal-parts stocks, bonds, cash, gold and real estate.\"The average investor sees no need to diversify,\" he told MarketWatch in a recent interview. \"If we were in the middle of a crash, the 'Awesome Portfolio' would probably be selling a lot more.\"Dillian, founder and principal of commodity trading adviser Armington Capital and editor of The Daily Dirtnap newsletter, said investors haven't really experienced big drawdowns that would make them think about risk, even as they seem these days to be loading up.\"Excessive risk-taking is usually prevalent close to the top of the market, and we have more risk-taking than ever, and by the way, not just in the financial markets but also in things like sports betting and prediction markets,\" he said.Those with 40-year investing careers will have witnessed a drawdown of 50% or more during that time, said Dillian, who spent seven years running the exchange-traded fund trading desk at Lehman Brothers before its demise in 2008. His 2011 book, \"Street Freak: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers,\" was based on that experience.\"When I started investing in 1998, I had two in the first 10 years, which really kind of calibrates your thinking about risk. The typical person out there doesn't think about risk. They don't have to, they haven't had to.\"While early 2020 delivered the fastest bear market in history, the S&P 500 SPX recovered, and even a 20% drop for the index in 2022 doesn't stack up historically as that bad, he said.What kind of pullback might wake up some investors? \"I think once you get to 30%, if you have $500,000 in a 401(k) and that becomes $350,000, then you start to do some soul-searching. Because you say, what if it goes to $300,000, what if it goes to $250,000?\"His \"Awesome Portfolio\" only needs to be rebalanced once a year and \"that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,\" he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable \"the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.\"Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&P 500's SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.He believes investors who can't live without that extra 1% return are too focused on the returns when they should be thinking first about the risk they'll accept to get that.Dillian recommends ETFs for that portfolio starting with the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF VTI, which also gives investors exposure to underperforming small caps, which he thinks could turn around. The bond portion is Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND, which includes Treasurys, credit, mortgages, the F/m US Treasury 3 Month Bill Fund TBIL for cash, the iShares Gold Trust IAU and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF VNQ.Dillian said he recently put a chunk of his own money into long-term bonds, acknowledging it's a bit of an unloved asset, to which he quoted from his book: \"If you do not have something in your portfolio that you hate, you are not diversified.\"Bond aversion, he said, is being driven by an \"irrational fear\" of inflation, which has been above the Fed's target for six years, but not by much, and a $2 trillion deficit that he doesn't think will be a forever problem.\"When I look at a 30-year Treasury bond at 5.33%, that looks pretty attractive to me,\" he said. Getting 5% for 10 years through a 10-year Treasury also has been historically pretty good, he added.Like others, he harbors concerns about the artificial intelligence trade, notably big tech companies funding tech build-outs with billions in debt that will be hanging around for decades, to pay for chips that could be obsolete in three years.\"So that doesn't make a lot of sense, and that's been the one thing that scares me about this particular cycle is that a lot of it is debt-financed, and the funny thing about the dot-com bubble is that it because it was equity-financed there really weren't any consequences to the economy.\"While the recession that followed the dot-com bust was mild, he's \"much more worried this time around\" about a possible debt crisis.What investors need is a bit more imagination around what could go wrong. \"I sit around and think of ways for things to go wrong, so I'm not fully invested in stocks, and I missed out on this big bull market in stocks. I've done pretty well over the past 10 or 15 years with the Awesome Portfolio or some variation of it, and there hasn't been a point where I've said to myself I'm scared about what's going to happen.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DOG":0.6,"VOO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,".IXIC":2,"YSPY":0.6,".SPX":2,"SDS":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"DMAX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"SPY":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DIA":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"SPXL":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"SPYQ":0.6,".DJI":2,"SPYU":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SMAX":0.6,"SPUU":0.6,"SH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":282375021346960,"gmtCreate":1709947879184,"gmtModify":1709951887919,"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4148183624662802","idStr":"4148183624662802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Happy]","listText":"[Happy]","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/282375021346960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9979042091,"gmtCreate":1685351999914,"gmtModify":1685352224063,"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4148183624662802","idStr":"4148183624662802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI","listText":"Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI","text":"Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9979042091","repostId":"2339416438","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2339416438","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1685347869,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2339416438?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-29 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2339416438","media":"CNA","summary":"Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is sp","content":"<div>\n<p>Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is speak to the computer, Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang said on Monday, hailing the end of the \"digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"can_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-29 16:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926><strong>CNA</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is speak to the computer, Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang said on Monday, hailing the end of the \"digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2339416438","content_text":"Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is speak to the computer, Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang said on Monday, hailing the end of the \"digital divide\".Nvidia has surged to become the world's most valuable listed semiconductor company as a major supplier of chips and computing systems for artificial intelligence.The company last week forecast second-quarter revenue more than 50 percent above Wall Street estimates and said it was boosting supply to meet surging demand for its artificial-intelligence chips, which are used to power ChatGPT and many similar services.Speaking to thousands of people at the Computex forum in Taipei, Huang, who was born in southern Taiwan before his family emigrated to the United States when he was a child, said AI was leading a computing revolution.\"There's no question we're in a new computing era,\" he said in a speech, occasionally dropping in words of Mandarin or Taiwanese to the delight of the crowd.\"Every single computing era you could do different things that weren't possible before, and artificial intelligence certainly qualifies,\" Huang added.\"The programming barrier is incredibly low. We have closed the digital divide. Everyone is a programmer now - you just have to say something to the computer,\" he said.\"The rate of progress, because it's so easy to use, is the reason why it's growing so fast. This is going to touch literally every single industry.\"Nvidia's chips have helped companies such as Microsoft Corp add human-like chat features to search engines such as Bing.Huang demonstrated what AI could do, including getting a programme to write a short pop song praising Nvidia with only a few words of instruction.He unveiled several new applications, including a partnership with the world's largest advertising group WPP for generative AI-enabled content for digital advertising.Nvidia has strained to meet demand for its AI chips, with Tesla Inc TSLA.O CEO Elon Musk, who is reportedly building out an artificial-intelligence startup, last week telling an interviewer that the graphics processing units (GPUs) are \"considerably harder to get than drugs\".","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4148183624662802","idStr":"4148183624662802"},"content":"Also anyone could be the CEO of Nvidia too","text":"Also anyone could be the CEO of Nvidia too","html":"Also anyone could be the CEO of Nvidia too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":626000578511248,"gmtCreate":1793868028998,"gmtModify":1793869400822,"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148183624662802","authorIdStr":"4148183624662802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Has concerns about the AI trade. Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.","listText":"Has concerns about the AI trade. Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.","text":"Has concerns about the AI trade. Don't buy chips, don't innovate, we don't need AI. We don't need progress.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/626000578511248","repostId":"2681043091","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2681043091","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1793866983,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2681043091?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-11-05 16:23","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Most Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2681043091","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"\"His \"Awesome Portfolio\" only needs to be rebalanced once a year and \"that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,\" he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable \"the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.\"Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&P 500's SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.He believes investors who can't live without that extra 1% return are","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That big market meltdown is out there, even if investors these days don&#39;t want to see it in a stock market that is now on year four of a bull run.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">So says, Wall Street veteran Jared Dillian whose latest book - &#34;The Awesome Portfolio: A Simple, Stress-Free Approach to Investing&#34; - carries the not-so-popular message that investors need diversification. His message is to do that through equal-parts stocks, bonds, cash, gold and real estate.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;The average investor sees no need to diversify,&#34; he told MarketWatch in a recent interview. &#34;If we were in the middle of a crash, the &#39;Awesome Portfolio&#39; would probably be selling a lot more.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian, founder and principal of commodity trading adviser Armington Capital and editor of The Daily Dirtnap newsletter, said investors haven&#39;t really experienced big drawdowns that would make them think about risk, even as they seem these days to be loading up.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;Excessive risk-taking is usually prevalent close to the top of the market, and we have more risk-taking than ever, and by the way, not just in the financial markets but also in things like sports betting and prediction markets,&#34; he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Those with 40-year investing careers will have witnessed a drawdown of 50% or more during that time, said Dillian, who spent seven years running the exchange-traded fund trading desk at Lehman Brothers before its demise in 2008. His 2011 book, &#34;Street Freak: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers,&#34; was based on that experience.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I started investing in 1998, I had two in the first 10 years, which really kind of calibrates your thinking about risk. The typical person out there doesn&#39;t think about risk. They don&#39;t have to, they haven&#39;t had to.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While early 2020 delivered the fastest bear market in history, the S&amp;P 500 SPX recovered, and even a 20% drop for the index in 2022 doesn&#39;t stack up historically as that bad, he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What kind of pullback might wake up some investors? &#34;I think once you get to 30%, if you have $500,000 in a 401(k) and that becomes $350,000, then you start to do some soul-searching. Because you say, what if it goes to $300,000, what if it goes to $250,000?&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">His &#34;Awesome Portfolio&#34; only needs to be rebalanced once a year and &#34;that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,&#34; he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable &#34;the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&amp;P 500&#39;s SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">He believes investors who can&#39;t live without that extra 1% return are too focused on the returns when they should be thinking first about the risk they&#39;ll accept to get that.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian recommends ETFs for that portfolio starting with the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF VTI, which also gives investors exposure to underperforming small caps, which he thinks could turn around. The bond portion is Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND, which includes Treasurys, credit, mortgages, the F/m US Treasury 3 Month Bill Fund TBIL for cash, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Gold Trust IAU and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF VNQ.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian said he recently put a chunk of his own money into long-term bonds, acknowledging it&#39;s a bit of an unloved asset, to which he quoted from his book: &#34;If you do not have something in your portfolio that you hate, you are not diversified.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bond aversion, he said, is being driven by an &#34;irrational fear&#34; of inflation, which has been above the Fed&#39;s target for six years, but not by much, and a $2 trillion deficit that he doesn&#39;t think will be a forever problem.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I look at a 30-year Treasury bond at 5.33%, that looks pretty attractive to me,&#34; he said. Getting 5% for 10 years through a 10-year Treasury also has been historically pretty good, he added.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5356da4c49223600df38c922948abcb5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"525\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Like others, he harbors concerns about the artificial intelligence trade, notably big tech companies funding tech build-outs with billions in debt that will be hanging around for decades, to pay for chips that could be obsolete in three years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;So that doesn&#39;t make a lot of sense, and that&#39;s been the one thing that scares me about this particular cycle is that a lot of it is debt-financed, and the funny thing about the dot-com bubble is that it because it was equity-financed there really weren&#39;t any consequences to the economy.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While the recession that followed the dot-com bust was mild, he&#39;s &#34;much more worried this time around&#34; about a possible debt crisis.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What investors need is a bit more imagination around what could go wrong. &#34;I sit around and think of ways for things to go wrong, so I&#39;m not fully invested in stocks, and I missed out on this big bull market in stocks. I&#39;ve done pretty well over the past 10 or 15 years with the Awesome Portfolio or some variation of it, and there hasn&#39;t been a point where I&#39;ve said to myself I&#39;m scared about what&#39;s going to happen.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Most Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMost Investors are Blind to the Possibility of a Market Crash. Here is the Five-Part Strategy to Survive One\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-11-05 16:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That big market meltdown is out there, even if investors these days don&#39;t want to see it in a stock market that is now on year four of a bull run.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">So says, Wall Street veteran Jared Dillian whose latest book - &#34;The Awesome Portfolio: A Simple, Stress-Free Approach to Investing&#34; - carries the not-so-popular message that investors need diversification. His message is to do that through equal-parts stocks, bonds, cash, gold and real estate.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;The average investor sees no need to diversify,&#34; he told MarketWatch in a recent interview. &#34;If we were in the middle of a crash, the &#39;Awesome Portfolio&#39; would probably be selling a lot more.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian, founder and principal of commodity trading adviser Armington Capital and editor of The Daily Dirtnap newsletter, said investors haven&#39;t really experienced big drawdowns that would make them think about risk, even as they seem these days to be loading up.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;Excessive risk-taking is usually prevalent close to the top of the market, and we have more risk-taking than ever, and by the way, not just in the financial markets but also in things like sports betting and prediction markets,&#34; he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Those with 40-year investing careers will have witnessed a drawdown of 50% or more during that time, said Dillian, who spent seven years running the exchange-traded fund trading desk at Lehman Brothers before its demise in 2008. His 2011 book, &#34;Street Freak: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers,&#34; was based on that experience.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I started investing in 1998, I had two in the first 10 years, which really kind of calibrates your thinking about risk. The typical person out there doesn&#39;t think about risk. They don&#39;t have to, they haven&#39;t had to.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While early 2020 delivered the fastest bear market in history, the S&amp;P 500 SPX recovered, and even a 20% drop for the index in 2022 doesn&#39;t stack up historically as that bad, he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What kind of pullback might wake up some investors? &#34;I think once you get to 30%, if you have $500,000 in a 401(k) and that becomes $350,000, then you start to do some soul-searching. Because you say, what if it goes to $300,000, what if it goes to $250,000?&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">His &#34;Awesome Portfolio&#34; only needs to be rebalanced once a year and &#34;that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,&#34; he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable &#34;the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&amp;P 500&#39;s SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">He believes investors who can&#39;t live without that extra 1% return are too focused on the returns when they should be thinking first about the risk they&#39;ll accept to get that.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian recommends ETFs for that portfolio starting with the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF VTI, which also gives investors exposure to underperforming small caps, which he thinks could turn around. The bond portion is Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND, which includes Treasurys, credit, mortgages, the F/m US Treasury 3 Month Bill Fund TBIL for cash, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Gold Trust IAU and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF VNQ.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dillian said he recently put a chunk of his own money into long-term bonds, acknowledging it&#39;s a bit of an unloved asset, to which he quoted from his book: &#34;If you do not have something in your portfolio that you hate, you are not diversified.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bond aversion, he said, is being driven by an &#34;irrational fear&#34; of inflation, which has been above the Fed&#39;s target for six years, but not by much, and a $2 trillion deficit that he doesn&#39;t think will be a forever problem.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When I look at a 30-year Treasury bond at 5.33%, that looks pretty attractive to me,&#34; he said. Getting 5% for 10 years through a 10-year Treasury also has been historically pretty good, he added.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5356da4c49223600df38c922948abcb5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"525\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Like others, he harbors concerns about the artificial intelligence trade, notably big tech companies funding tech build-outs with billions in debt that will be hanging around for decades, to pay for chips that could be obsolete in three years.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;So that doesn&#39;t make a lot of sense, and that&#39;s been the one thing that scares me about this particular cycle is that a lot of it is debt-financed, and the funny thing about the dot-com bubble is that it because it was equity-financed there really weren&#39;t any consequences to the economy.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">While the recession that followed the dot-com bust was mild, he&#39;s &#34;much more worried this time around&#34; about a possible debt crisis.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What investors need is a bit more imagination around what could go wrong. &#34;I sit around and think of ways for things to go wrong, so I&#39;m not fully invested in stocks, and I missed out on this big bull market in stocks. I&#39;ve done pretty well over the past 10 or 15 years with the Awesome Portfolio or some variation of it, and there hasn&#39;t been a point where I&#39;ve said to myself I&#39;m scared about what&#39;s going to happen.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","BK4211":"区域性银行","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion",".DJI":"道琼斯","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF","DIA":"道琼斯ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2681043091","content_text":"That big market meltdown is out there, even if investors these days don't want to see it in a stock market that is now on year four of a bull run.So says, Wall Street veteran Jared Dillian whose latest book - \"The Awesome Portfolio: A Simple, Stress-Free Approach to Investing\" - carries the not-so-popular message that investors need diversification. His message is to do that through equal-parts stocks, bonds, cash, gold and real estate.\"The average investor sees no need to diversify,\" he told MarketWatch in a recent interview. \"If we were in the middle of a crash, the 'Awesome Portfolio' would probably be selling a lot more.\"Dillian, founder and principal of commodity trading adviser Armington Capital and editor of The Daily Dirtnap newsletter, said investors haven't really experienced big drawdowns that would make them think about risk, even as they seem these days to be loading up.\"Excessive risk-taking is usually prevalent close to the top of the market, and we have more risk-taking than ever, and by the way, not just in the financial markets but also in things like sports betting and prediction markets,\" he said.Those with 40-year investing careers will have witnessed a drawdown of 50% or more during that time, said Dillian, who spent seven years running the exchange-traded fund trading desk at Lehman Brothers before its demise in 2008. His 2011 book, \"Street Freak: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers,\" was based on that experience.\"When I started investing in 1998, I had two in the first 10 years, which really kind of calibrates your thinking about risk. The typical person out there doesn't think about risk. They don't have to, they haven't had to.\"While early 2020 delivered the fastest bear market in history, the S&P 500 SPX recovered, and even a 20% drop for the index in 2022 doesn't stack up historically as that bad, he said.What kind of pullback might wake up some investors? \"I think once you get to 30%, if you have $500,000 in a 401(k) and that becomes $350,000, then you start to do some soul-searching. Because you say, what if it goes to $300,000, what if it goes to $250,000?\"His \"Awesome Portfolio\" only needs to be rebalanced once a year and \"that cuts your volatility in half and eliminates your drawdowns,\" he says. Dillian added that even an investor who think they can take the stress of a bear market, will be unhappy and miserable \"the whole time until you get back to the high-water mark.\"Over the last 10 years, his Awesome Portfolio - 20% in equal parts to bonds, cash, gold, stock and real estate- has returned 9% a year, which he compares to the S&P 500's SPX 10% annual return over 100 years, 11% return over the past 54 years, and around 15% or more for the past 10 years.He believes investors who can't live without that extra 1% return are too focused on the returns when they should be thinking first about the risk they'll accept to get that.Dillian recommends ETFs for that portfolio starting with the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF VTI, which also gives investors exposure to underperforming small caps, which he thinks could turn around. The bond portion is Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND, which includes Treasurys, credit, mortgages, the F/m US Treasury 3 Month Bill Fund TBIL for cash, the iShares Gold Trust IAU and the Vanguard Real Estate ETF VNQ.Dillian said he recently put a chunk of his own money into long-term bonds, acknowledging it's a bit of an unloved asset, to which he quoted from his book: \"If you do not have something in your portfolio that you hate, you are not diversified.\"Bond aversion, he said, is being driven by an \"irrational fear\" of inflation, which has been above the Fed's target for six years, but not by much, and a $2 trillion deficit that he doesn't think will be a forever problem.\"When I look at a 30-year Treasury bond at 5.33%, that looks pretty attractive to me,\" he said. Getting 5% for 10 years through a 10-year Treasury also has been historically pretty good, he added.Like others, he harbors concerns about the artificial intelligence trade, notably big tech companies funding tech build-outs with billions in debt that will be hanging around for decades, to pay for chips that could be obsolete in three years.\"So that doesn't make a lot of sense, and that's been the one thing that scares me about this particular cycle is that a lot of it is debt-financed, and the funny thing about the dot-com bubble is that it because it was equity-financed there really weren't any consequences to the economy.\"While the recession that followed the dot-com bust was mild, he's \"much more worried this time around\" about a possible debt crisis.What investors need is a bit more imagination around what could go wrong. \"I sit around and think of ways for things to go wrong, so I'm not fully invested in stocks, and I missed out on this big bull market in stocks. I've done pretty well over the past 10 or 15 years with the Awesome Portfolio or some variation of it, and there hasn't been a point where I've said to myself I'm scared about what's going to happen.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DOG":0.6,"VOO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,".IXIC":2,"YSPY":0.6,".SPX":2,"SDS":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"DMAX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"SPY":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DIA":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"SPXL":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"SPYQ":0.6,".DJI":2,"SPYU":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SMAX":0.6,"SPUU":0.6,"SH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9979042091,"gmtCreate":1685351999914,"gmtModify":1685352224063,"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148183624662802","authorIdStr":"4148183624662802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI","listText":"Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI","text":"Anyone could become a programmer, if they wanted to be, regardless of AI","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9979042091","repostId":"2339416438","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2339416438","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1685347869,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2339416438?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-29 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2339416438","media":"CNA","summary":"Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is sp","content":"<div>\n<p>Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is speak to the computer, Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang said on Monday, hailing the end of the \"digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"can_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAI Means Everyone Can Now Be a Programmer, Nvidia Chief Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-29 16:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926><strong>CNA</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is speak to the computer, Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang said on Monday, hailing the end of the \"digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/ai-means-everyone-can-now-be-programmer-nvidia-chief-says-3522926","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2339416438","content_text":"Artificial intelligence means everyone can now be a computer programmer as all they need to do is speak to the computer, Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang said on Monday, hailing the end of the \"digital divide\".Nvidia has surged to become the world's most valuable listed semiconductor company as a major supplier of chips and computing systems for artificial intelligence.The company last week forecast second-quarter revenue more than 50 percent above Wall Street estimates and said it was boosting supply to meet surging demand for its artificial-intelligence chips, which are used to power ChatGPT and many similar services.Speaking to thousands of people at the Computex forum in Taipei, Huang, who was born in southern Taiwan before his family emigrated to the United States when he was a child, said AI was leading a computing revolution.\"There's no question we're in a new computing era,\" he said in a speech, occasionally dropping in words of Mandarin or Taiwanese to the delight of the crowd.\"Every single computing era you could do different things that weren't possible before, and artificial intelligence certainly qualifies,\" Huang added.\"The programming barrier is incredibly low. We have closed the digital divide. Everyone is a programmer now - you just have to say something to the computer,\" he said.\"The rate of progress, because it's so easy to use, is the reason why it's growing so fast. This is going to touch literally every single industry.\"Nvidia's chips have helped companies such as Microsoft Corp add human-like chat features to search engines such as Bing.Huang demonstrated what AI could do, including getting a programme to write a short pop song praising Nvidia with only a few words of instruction.He unveiled several new applications, including a partnership with the world's largest advertising group WPP for generative AI-enabled content for digital advertising.Nvidia has strained to meet demand for its AI chips, with Tesla Inc TSLA.O CEO Elon Musk, who is reportedly building out an artificial-intelligence startup, last week telling an interviewer that the graphics processing units (GPUs) are \"considerably harder to get than drugs\".","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4148183624662802","authorIdStr":"4148183624662802"},"content":"Also anyone could be the CEO of Nvidia too","text":"Also anyone could be the CEO of Nvidia too","html":"Also anyone could be the CEO of Nvidia too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":282375021346960,"gmtCreate":1709947879184,"gmtModify":1709951887919,"author":{"id":"4148183624662802","authorId":"4148183624662802","name":"vakit","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148183624662802","authorIdStr":"4148183624662802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Happy]","listText":"[Happy]","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/282375021346960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}