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2023-07-05

Mmmm time to sell ?

Cathie Wood's Bold Prediction: Is a 500% Increase Possible for Tesla?

2023-06-06

$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$ Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence

2023-06-06

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@JC888:14 Jun, Doomsday Or Happy Day For Which US Banks?

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Known for its focus on innovative companies capable of disrupting established business models, Ark Invest holds Tesla as a substantial portion of its portfolio, accounting for over 8% of its total holdings, the most of any company. </p><p>Confidence in Tesla&#39;s-long term success stems from its prowess in the electric vehicle (EV) industry as well as its embrace of artificial intelligence (AI). </p><p>But just how high does Wood think Tesla can soar? Well, the answer lies in the results of Ark&#39;s Monte Carlo simulation conducted last year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28e3487e08769079438016f2590a9c65\" alt=\"Image source: Getty Images.\" title=\"Image source: Getty Images.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"385\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Necessary background</h2><p>A Monte Carlo simulation is a modeling technique used to forecast various outcomes by running multiple simulations based on different inputs. In the case of Tesla, Ark Invest conducted 1 million simulations, considering 38 inputs to create a comprehensive picture of the company&#39;s future performance by 2026. This simulation approach allows for a range of scenarios to be analyzed, including bullish, bearish, and expected valuations of Tesla shares.</p><p>It should also be noted that the simulation was conducted before Tesla&#39;s 3-for-1 stock split in August 2022 and the following breakdown adjusts the prices and results of Ark&#39;s Monte Carlo simulation to account for this stock split. </p><h2>Breaking down the results</h2><p>Ark Invest derived three main scenarios for Tesla&#39;s potential stock price from the simulation. The bull case projected a price of $1,900, representing the upper 75th percentile of all outcomes. On the other hand, the bear case predicted a price of $966, reflecting the lower 25th percentile. The expected scenario took the average of all outcomes and settled at a price of $1,533 per share, representing a percent change of more than 500% from today&#39;s price of about $260, which would result in a market cap of about $5 trillion.</p><p>One of the significant drivers identified across all scenarios is Tesla&#39;s prospective autonomous robotaxi business. Although not released yet, this branch of business is expected to contribute 62% of the company&#39;s value, 34% of its revenue, and more than half of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in the expected scenario. </p><p>According to the simulation, the successful development and launch of the robotaxi service is crucial for Tesla&#39;s profitability and pace of growth. The timing of this launch plays a pivotal role in determining the company&#39;s success over the next five years, with earlier commercialization yielding more favorable outcomes. Results suggest commercialization of the robotaxi service is most likely to occur in 2024 or 2025.</p><p>While an autonomous robotaxi business holds vast potential, the simulation still predicts that EV production will remain a significant driver of Tesla&#39;s success. Thanks to years of continuous profitability, the simulation predicted that capital will no longer remain a bottleneck for EV manufacturing, a crucial step to mass production.</p><p>The best-case scenario envisions an astounding 1,100% increase from 2022&#39;s total sales, resulting in 17 million cars sold worldwide. The bear case for EV production, while not as high, is still encouraging as it expects Tesla to reach 10 million units, an increase of more than sevenfold based on last year&#39;s production.</p><h2>Added profit drivers not included</h2><p>It is worth mentioning that while not directly factored into the simulation, Ark Invest acknowledges the significant potential of Tesla&#39;s energy storage business and its advancements in AI. Tesla&#39;s energy business holds the potential to generate substantial value through its renewable energy solutions for both residential and commercial applications. However, the true profitability lies in Tesla&#39;s AI initiatives, which present even greater opportunities for the company.</p><p>Ark Invest believes that the recently unveiled AI as a service, powered by Tesla&#39;s Dojo supercomputer, which will allow companies to train their own AI models, could generate as much as $20 trillion in value by 2030. Additionally, Tesla&#39;s humanoid robot project, Optimus, has the potential to revolutionize various industries by replacing humans operating repetitive or dangerous tasks.</p><p>It is essential to note that the Monte Carlo simulations are speculative and clearly have limitations. However, the simulations provide valuable insights into the significant growth possibilities for Tesla. Considering the advancements in artificial intelligence and Tesla&#39;s position as the only profitable EV manufacturer, the company has substantial room for growth.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood's Bold Prediction: Is a 500% Increase Possible for Tesla?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood's Bold Prediction: Is a 500% Increase Possible for Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-05 16:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/03/cathie-woods-bold-prediction-is-a-500-increase-pos/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSArk Invest conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast Tesla's future performance by 2026.Although speculative, results suggest that Tesla could undergo rapid growth in the coming years....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/03/cathie-woods-bold-prediction-is-a-500-increase-pos/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/03/cathie-woods-bold-prediction-is-a-500-increase-pos/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2348859518","content_text":"KEY POINTSArk Invest conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast Tesla's future performance by 2026.Although speculative, results suggest that Tesla could undergo rapid growth in the coming years.The introduction of AI-based business models will help bolster Tesla's profits.With its position at the frontier of cutting-edge technology, Tesla naturally aligns with the investment philosophy of Cathie Wood and her firm, Ark Invest. Known for its focus on innovative companies capable of disrupting established business models, Ark Invest holds Tesla as a substantial portion of its portfolio, accounting for over 8% of its total holdings, the most of any company. Confidence in Tesla's-long term success stems from its prowess in the electric vehicle (EV) industry as well as its embrace of artificial intelligence (AI). But just how high does Wood think Tesla can soar? Well, the answer lies in the results of Ark's Monte Carlo simulation conducted last year. Image source: Getty Images.Necessary backgroundA Monte Carlo simulation is a modeling technique used to forecast various outcomes by running multiple simulations based on different inputs. In the case of Tesla, Ark Invest conducted 1 million simulations, considering 38 inputs to create a comprehensive picture of the company's future performance by 2026. This simulation approach allows for a range of scenarios to be analyzed, including bullish, bearish, and expected valuations of Tesla shares.It should also be noted that the simulation was conducted before Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split in August 2022 and the following breakdown adjusts the prices and results of Ark's Monte Carlo simulation to account for this stock split. Breaking down the resultsArk Invest derived three main scenarios for Tesla's potential stock price from the simulation. The bull case projected a price of $1,900, representing the upper 75th percentile of all outcomes. On the other hand, the bear case predicted a price of $966, reflecting the lower 25th percentile. The expected scenario took the average of all outcomes and settled at a price of $1,533 per share, representing a percent change of more than 500% from today's price of about $260, which would result in a market cap of about $5 trillion.One of the significant drivers identified across all scenarios is Tesla's prospective autonomous robotaxi business. Although not released yet, this branch of business is expected to contribute 62% of the company's value, 34% of its revenue, and more than half of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in the expected scenario. According to the simulation, the successful development and launch of the robotaxi service is crucial for Tesla's profitability and pace of growth. The timing of this launch plays a pivotal role in determining the company's success over the next five years, with earlier commercialization yielding more favorable outcomes. Results suggest commercialization of the robotaxi service is most likely to occur in 2024 or 2025.While an autonomous robotaxi business holds vast potential, the simulation still predicts that EV production will remain a significant driver of Tesla's success. Thanks to years of continuous profitability, the simulation predicted that capital will no longer remain a bottleneck for EV manufacturing, a crucial step to mass production.The best-case scenario envisions an astounding 1,100% increase from 2022's total sales, resulting in 17 million cars sold worldwide. The bear case for EV production, while not as high, is still encouraging as it expects Tesla to reach 10 million units, an increase of more than sevenfold based on last year's production.Added profit drivers not includedIt is worth mentioning that while not directly factored into the simulation, Ark Invest acknowledges the significant potential of Tesla's energy storage business and its advancements in AI. Tesla's energy business holds the potential to generate substantial value through its renewable energy solutions for both residential and commercial applications. However, the true profitability lies in Tesla's AI initiatives, which present even greater opportunities for the company.Ark Invest believes that the recently unveiled AI as a service, powered by Tesla's Dojo supercomputer, which will allow companies to train their own AI models, could generate as much as $20 trillion in value by 2030. Additionally, Tesla's humanoid robot project, Optimus, has the potential to revolutionize various industries by replacing humans operating repetitive or dangerous tasks.It is essential to note that the Monte Carlo simulations are speculative and clearly have limitations. However, the simulations provide valuable insights into the significant growth possibilities for Tesla. Considering the advancements in artificial intelligence and Tesla's position as the only profitable EV manufacturer, the company has substantial room for growth.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184402940129360,"gmtCreate":1686044814444,"gmtModify":1686045091167,"author":{"id":"4148939097326192","authorId":"4148939097326192","name":"JPR","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148939097326192","authorIdStr":"4148939097326192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BOQ.AU\">$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$&nbsp;</a> Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BOQ.AU\">$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$&nbsp;</a> Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence&nbsp;","text":"$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$ Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9199bafc36658aa831e5e104b03634a8","width":"1284","height":"1725"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184402940129360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184402197065808,"gmtCreate":1686044633032,"gmtModify":1686044679721,"author":{"id":"4148939097326192","authorId":"4148939097326192","name":"JPR","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148939097326192","authorIdStr":"4148939097326192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting view","listText":"Interesting view","text":"Interesting view","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184402197065808","repostId":"184078727548944","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":184078727548944,"gmtCreate":1685964914689,"gmtModify":1703659812999,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"title":"14 Jun, Doomsday Or Happy Day For Which US Banks?","htmlText":"US banks in the spotlight once again! I have shared 3 posts about the Fed, US interest rates, next FOMC meeting and US banks: 29 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/9979056857\" target=\"_blank\">US Debt, Stock Market, Interest Hike In Coming Week/s</a>. 31 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/182241843552288\" target=\"_blank\">US Fed's Interest Hike In June ? 3 Factors To Decide.</a>. 02 Jun - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/183036253327424\" target=\"_blank\">US Banks Not Out Of Woods Yet. Not By A Long Shot.</a> To read, click on the post’s title. Please give a “Like”, “Share” or “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks! As June, 13 - 14 draws closer by the day - the market is rift with a lot of uncertainties on whether the Fed will blindside it with a 0.25% interest hike. The concerns","listText":"US banks in the spotlight once again! I have shared 3 posts about the Fed, US interest rates, next FOMC meeting and US banks: 29 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/9979056857\" target=\"_blank\">US Debt, Stock Market, Interest Hike In Coming Week/s</a>. 31 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/182241843552288\" target=\"_blank\">US Fed's Interest Hike In June ? 3 Factors To Decide.</a>. 02 Jun - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/183036253327424\" target=\"_blank\">US Banks Not Out Of Woods Yet. Not By A Long Shot.</a> To read, click on the post’s title. Please give a “Like”, “Share” or “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks! As June, 13 - 14 draws closer by the day - the market is rift with a lot of uncertainties on whether the Fed will blindside it with a 0.25% interest hike. The concerns","text":"US banks in the spotlight once again! I have shared 3 posts about the Fed, US interest rates, next FOMC meeting and US banks: 29 May - US Debt, Stock Market, Interest Hike In Coming Week/s. 31 May - US Fed's Interest Hike In June ? 3 Factors To Decide.. 02 Jun - US Banks Not Out Of Woods Yet. Not By A Long Shot. To read, click on the post’s title. Please give a “Like”, “Share” or “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks! As June, 13 - 14 draws closer by the day - the market is rift with a lot of uncertainties on whether the Fed will blindside it with a 0.25% interest hike. The concerns","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6840291ec7b42effb6ec41a556337338","width":"1875","height":"883"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/957d9b6efd2783da79035b8ef2cbc7ba","width":"1052","height":"294"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd5775bde7bc09902a126406de3eaa83","width":"1026","height":"281"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184078727548944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"content":"Hi tks for reading my post. Would you consider \"Follow me\" so that you get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Tks. Nxt post this evening around 8pm...heehee","text":"Hi tks for reading my post. Would you consider \"Follow me\" so that you get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Tks. Nxt post this evening around 8pm...heehee","html":"Hi tks for reading my post. Would you consider \"Follow me\" so that you get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Tks. Nxt post this evening around 8pm...heehee"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":194676617179256,"gmtCreate":1688548395107,"gmtModify":1688548827850,"author":{"id":"4148939097326192","authorId":"4148939097326192","name":"JPR","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148939097326192","authorIdStr":"4148939097326192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmmm time to sell ?","listText":"Mmmm time to sell ?","text":"Mmmm time to sell ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194676617179256","repostId":"2348859518","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2348859518","pubTimestamp":1688544000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2348859518?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-05 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood's Bold Prediction: Is a 500% Increase Possible for Tesla?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2348859518","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"As one of Tesla's biggest fans, Cathie Wood and her firm think Tesla has plenty of room to run.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li><p>Ark Invest conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast Tesla&#39;s future performance by 2026.</p></li><li><p>Although speculative, results suggest that Tesla could undergo rapid growth in the coming years.</p></li><li><p>The introduction of AI-based business models will help bolster Tesla&#39;s profits.</p></li></ul><p>With its position at the frontier of cutting-edge technology, <strong>Tesla </strong>naturally aligns with the investment philosophy of Cathie Wood and her firm, Ark Invest. Known for its focus on innovative companies capable of disrupting established business models, Ark Invest holds Tesla as a substantial portion of its portfolio, accounting for over 8% of its total holdings, the most of any company. </p><p>Confidence in Tesla&#39;s-long term success stems from its prowess in the electric vehicle (EV) industry as well as its embrace of artificial intelligence (AI). </p><p>But just how high does Wood think Tesla can soar? Well, the answer lies in the results of Ark&#39;s Monte Carlo simulation conducted last year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28e3487e08769079438016f2590a9c65\" alt=\"Image source: Getty Images.\" title=\"Image source: Getty Images.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"385\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Necessary background</h2><p>A Monte Carlo simulation is a modeling technique used to forecast various outcomes by running multiple simulations based on different inputs. In the case of Tesla, Ark Invest conducted 1 million simulations, considering 38 inputs to create a comprehensive picture of the company&#39;s future performance by 2026. This simulation approach allows for a range of scenarios to be analyzed, including bullish, bearish, and expected valuations of Tesla shares.</p><p>It should also be noted that the simulation was conducted before Tesla&#39;s 3-for-1 stock split in August 2022 and the following breakdown adjusts the prices and results of Ark&#39;s Monte Carlo simulation to account for this stock split. </p><h2>Breaking down the results</h2><p>Ark Invest derived three main scenarios for Tesla&#39;s potential stock price from the simulation. The bull case projected a price of $1,900, representing the upper 75th percentile of all outcomes. On the other hand, the bear case predicted a price of $966, reflecting the lower 25th percentile. The expected scenario took the average of all outcomes and settled at a price of $1,533 per share, representing a percent change of more than 500% from today&#39;s price of about $260, which would result in a market cap of about $5 trillion.</p><p>One of the significant drivers identified across all scenarios is Tesla&#39;s prospective autonomous robotaxi business. Although not released yet, this branch of business is expected to contribute 62% of the company&#39;s value, 34% of its revenue, and more than half of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in the expected scenario. </p><p>According to the simulation, the successful development and launch of the robotaxi service is crucial for Tesla&#39;s profitability and pace of growth. The timing of this launch plays a pivotal role in determining the company&#39;s success over the next five years, with earlier commercialization yielding more favorable outcomes. Results suggest commercialization of the robotaxi service is most likely to occur in 2024 or 2025.</p><p>While an autonomous robotaxi business holds vast potential, the simulation still predicts that EV production will remain a significant driver of Tesla&#39;s success. Thanks to years of continuous profitability, the simulation predicted that capital will no longer remain a bottleneck for EV manufacturing, a crucial step to mass production.</p><p>The best-case scenario envisions an astounding 1,100% increase from 2022&#39;s total sales, resulting in 17 million cars sold worldwide. The bear case for EV production, while not as high, is still encouraging as it expects Tesla to reach 10 million units, an increase of more than sevenfold based on last year&#39;s production.</p><h2>Added profit drivers not included</h2><p>It is worth mentioning that while not directly factored into the simulation, Ark Invest acknowledges the significant potential of Tesla&#39;s energy storage business and its advancements in AI. Tesla&#39;s energy business holds the potential to generate substantial value through its renewable energy solutions for both residential and commercial applications. However, the true profitability lies in Tesla&#39;s AI initiatives, which present even greater opportunities for the company.</p><p>Ark Invest believes that the recently unveiled AI as a service, powered by Tesla&#39;s Dojo supercomputer, which will allow companies to train their own AI models, could generate as much as $20 trillion in value by 2030. Additionally, Tesla&#39;s humanoid robot project, Optimus, has the potential to revolutionize various industries by replacing humans operating repetitive or dangerous tasks.</p><p>It is essential to note that the Monte Carlo simulations are speculative and clearly have limitations. However, the simulations provide valuable insights into the significant growth possibilities for Tesla. Considering the advancements in artificial intelligence and Tesla&#39;s position as the only profitable EV manufacturer, the company has substantial room for growth.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood's Bold Prediction: Is a 500% Increase Possible for Tesla?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood's Bold Prediction: Is a 500% Increase Possible for Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-05 16:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/03/cathie-woods-bold-prediction-is-a-500-increase-pos/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSArk Invest conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast Tesla's future performance by 2026.Although speculative, results suggest that Tesla could undergo rapid growth in the coming years....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/03/cathie-woods-bold-prediction-is-a-500-increase-pos/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/03/cathie-woods-bold-prediction-is-a-500-increase-pos/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2348859518","content_text":"KEY POINTSArk Invest conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast Tesla's future performance by 2026.Although speculative, results suggest that Tesla could undergo rapid growth in the coming years.The introduction of AI-based business models will help bolster Tesla's profits.With its position at the frontier of cutting-edge technology, Tesla naturally aligns with the investment philosophy of Cathie Wood and her firm, Ark Invest. Known for its focus on innovative companies capable of disrupting established business models, Ark Invest holds Tesla as a substantial portion of its portfolio, accounting for over 8% of its total holdings, the most of any company. Confidence in Tesla's-long term success stems from its prowess in the electric vehicle (EV) industry as well as its embrace of artificial intelligence (AI). But just how high does Wood think Tesla can soar? Well, the answer lies in the results of Ark's Monte Carlo simulation conducted last year. Image source: Getty Images.Necessary backgroundA Monte Carlo simulation is a modeling technique used to forecast various outcomes by running multiple simulations based on different inputs. In the case of Tesla, Ark Invest conducted 1 million simulations, considering 38 inputs to create a comprehensive picture of the company's future performance by 2026. This simulation approach allows for a range of scenarios to be analyzed, including bullish, bearish, and expected valuations of Tesla shares.It should also be noted that the simulation was conducted before Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split in August 2022 and the following breakdown adjusts the prices and results of Ark's Monte Carlo simulation to account for this stock split. Breaking down the resultsArk Invest derived three main scenarios for Tesla's potential stock price from the simulation. The bull case projected a price of $1,900, representing the upper 75th percentile of all outcomes. On the other hand, the bear case predicted a price of $966, reflecting the lower 25th percentile. The expected scenario took the average of all outcomes and settled at a price of $1,533 per share, representing a percent change of more than 500% from today's price of about $260, which would result in a market cap of about $5 trillion.One of the significant drivers identified across all scenarios is Tesla's prospective autonomous robotaxi business. Although not released yet, this branch of business is expected to contribute 62% of the company's value, 34% of its revenue, and more than half of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in the expected scenario. According to the simulation, the successful development and launch of the robotaxi service is crucial for Tesla's profitability and pace of growth. The timing of this launch plays a pivotal role in determining the company's success over the next five years, with earlier commercialization yielding more favorable outcomes. Results suggest commercialization of the robotaxi service is most likely to occur in 2024 or 2025.While an autonomous robotaxi business holds vast potential, the simulation still predicts that EV production will remain a significant driver of Tesla's success. Thanks to years of continuous profitability, the simulation predicted that capital will no longer remain a bottleneck for EV manufacturing, a crucial step to mass production.The best-case scenario envisions an astounding 1,100% increase from 2022's total sales, resulting in 17 million cars sold worldwide. The bear case for EV production, while not as high, is still encouraging as it expects Tesla to reach 10 million units, an increase of more than sevenfold based on last year's production.Added profit drivers not includedIt is worth mentioning that while not directly factored into the simulation, Ark Invest acknowledges the significant potential of Tesla's energy storage business and its advancements in AI. Tesla's energy business holds the potential to generate substantial value through its renewable energy solutions for both residential and commercial applications. However, the true profitability lies in Tesla's AI initiatives, which present even greater opportunities for the company.Ark Invest believes that the recently unveiled AI as a service, powered by Tesla's Dojo supercomputer, which will allow companies to train their own AI models, could generate as much as $20 trillion in value by 2030. Additionally, Tesla's humanoid robot project, Optimus, has the potential to revolutionize various industries by replacing humans operating repetitive or dangerous tasks.It is essential to note that the Monte Carlo simulations are speculative and clearly have limitations. However, the simulations provide valuable insights into the significant growth possibilities for Tesla. Considering the advancements in artificial intelligence and Tesla's position as the only profitable EV manufacturer, the company has substantial room for growth.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184402197065808,"gmtCreate":1686044633032,"gmtModify":1686044679721,"author":{"id":"4148939097326192","authorId":"4148939097326192","name":"JPR","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148939097326192","authorIdStr":"4148939097326192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting view","listText":"Interesting view","text":"Interesting view","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184402197065808","repostId":"184078727548944","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":184078727548944,"gmtCreate":1685964914689,"gmtModify":1703659812999,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"title":"14 Jun, Doomsday Or Happy Day For Which US Banks?","htmlText":"US banks in the spotlight once again! I have shared 3 posts about the Fed, US interest rates, next FOMC meeting and US banks: 29 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/9979056857\" target=\"_blank\">US Debt, Stock Market, Interest Hike In Coming Week/s</a>. 31 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/182241843552288\" target=\"_blank\">US Fed's Interest Hike In June ? 3 Factors To Decide.</a>. 02 Jun - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/183036253327424\" target=\"_blank\">US Banks Not Out Of Woods Yet. Not By A Long Shot.</a> To read, click on the post’s title. Please give a “Like”, “Share” or “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks! As June, 13 - 14 draws closer by the day - the market is rift with a lot of uncertainties on whether the Fed will blindside it with a 0.25% interest hike. The concerns","listText":"US banks in the spotlight once again! I have shared 3 posts about the Fed, US interest rates, next FOMC meeting and US banks: 29 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/9979056857\" target=\"_blank\">US Debt, Stock Market, Interest Hike In Coming Week/s</a>. 31 May - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/182241843552288\" target=\"_blank\">US Fed's Interest Hike In June ? 3 Factors To Decide.</a>. 02 Jun - <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/183036253327424\" target=\"_blank\">US Banks Not Out Of Woods Yet. Not By A Long Shot.</a> To read, click on the post’s title. Please give a “Like”, “Share” or “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks! As June, 13 - 14 draws closer by the day - the market is rift with a lot of uncertainties on whether the Fed will blindside it with a 0.25% interest hike. The concerns","text":"US banks in the spotlight once again! I have shared 3 posts about the Fed, US interest rates, next FOMC meeting and US banks: 29 May - US Debt, Stock Market, Interest Hike In Coming Week/s. 31 May - US Fed's Interest Hike In June ? 3 Factors To Decide.. 02 Jun - US Banks Not Out Of Woods Yet. Not By A Long Shot. To read, click on the post’s title. Please give a “Like”, “Share” or “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks! As June, 13 - 14 draws closer by the day - the market is rift with a lot of uncertainties on whether the Fed will blindside it with a 0.25% interest hike. The concerns","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6840291ec7b42effb6ec41a556337338","width":"1875","height":"883"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/957d9b6efd2783da79035b8ef2cbc7ba","width":"1052","height":"294"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd5775bde7bc09902a126406de3eaa83","width":"1026","height":"281"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184078727548944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"content":"Hi tks for reading my post. Would you consider \"Follow me\" so that you get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Tks. Nxt post this evening around 8pm...heehee","text":"Hi tks for reading my post. Would you consider \"Follow me\" so that you get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Tks. Nxt post this evening around 8pm...heehee","html":"Hi tks for reading my post. Would you consider \"Follow me\" so that you get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Tks. Nxt post this evening around 8pm...heehee"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184402940129360,"gmtCreate":1686044814444,"gmtModify":1686045091167,"author":{"id":"4148939097326192","authorId":"4148939097326192","name":"JPR","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4148939097326192","authorIdStr":"4148939097326192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BOQ.AU\">$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$&nbsp;</a> Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BOQ.AU\">$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$&nbsp;</a> Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence&nbsp;","text":"$BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED.(BOQ.AU)$ Potential Bottom after management agrees with regulator on risk control Not a trade advise, only educational purposes, do your own diligence","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9199bafc36658aa831e5e104b03634a8","width":"1284","height":"1725"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184402940129360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}