Emotional Investor
Hi I’m Andy, investing based on intelligence, and bad emotional decisions of the market
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$RKLB 20260116 2.0 CALL$ Ok so this was the very first options trade I wrote, over a month ago. As you can see I went long, jan 2026, and paid $2.50 for a $2 Right to buy. I have a huge amount of confidence in rocket lab going forward and my intention for this call is to hold it and excise it. Well that was my original intention. But woot, it's now officially in the money today. I'm clearly a bunny when it comes to options. And loving the comments I get from you guys that help me to expand my knowledge. I'm thinking and have actually since this first option trade... looked to cheaper and shorter term trades, but I'm pleased to see the first one, and actually all of my calls so far being in positive territory now. But this trade
Yes I'll be looking to buy more, but not the stock more likely calls. The other item that has come to my attention is that nvidias new AI chips are apparently very very greedy on power, so maybe another long term play is power stocks. Look at where data centres are concentrated and buy into power companies that support those areas. This is going to take some research but I think it's worth it. @Tiger_chat @TigerPM @Daily_Discussion @TigerPicks
So, i believe the biggest issue fundamental investors have is the information they rely on. Often, more often than you think, it's actually wrong, or sometimes it's just calculated in a way you didn't realise. I will use two cases to illustrate, from one investor class... the dividend investor. I look at data every day, and dividend investors are looking for consistent and growing company dividend over time. Personally I want a dividend stock to be doing both. At least once a week, information about the stock I invest in is actually wrong. #arcc last week for eg on one site told me it paid a dividend of only 3 cents per share during 2 quarters of last year, totally wrong. Checking other sources quickly confirmed it to be totally wrong. Moral of the story... don't trust one source of data,
$Venture Global, Inc.(VG)$ Forgot oil, go LNG
$Canadian Natural Resources(CNQ)$ A new position, record profits, nice increase in dividend plus buybacks looming worth a look
I think you guys like me trolling a little bit. Not really trolling though just teaching ppl that words must be backed with experience and fact. Happy reading
@Emotional Investor:Seriously! Using the term dead cat bounce to describe what mite be coming shows you have no idea what a dead cat bounce is. So let me educate you. In 1986, I started my investment journey in stocks. In 1987, I survived a real dead cat bounce... barely. But by the end of 1988, I was still in the red. The aftermath of the dead cat bounce was companies I owned going bankrupt or being brought out for pennies on the dollar. so the pain didn't just last a few days. It lasted over a year. In around august of 1987, the market peaked at all time highs, the s&p almost hit 340. the weeks that followed were a "normal" retraction, until on a Friday in October the s&p lost 10% in a day. Not just a few stocks, the entire market. Then the following Monday... black Monday, stocks across the board d
Sadly, I brought some bitcoin recently. It's speculative nonsense using jargon to hide it's worthlessness. I know fanboys love it, but they probably also watch you tube shorts of silly girls showing off as much skin as they can to promote their only fans channel. So why did I bother buying it? Simple. I own a lot of $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ it's a data center, and power infrastructure company. fantastic management, awesome products with a serious moat going forward. But it was a bitcoin miner. it kinda still is short term, but they used the return on bitcoin mining to build out their infrastructure to supply Ai compute. Bitcoin is like 0.000001% of my portfolio. I am the emotional investor. I love it when people are lazy and or stup
Seriously! Using the term dead cat bounce to describe what mite be coming shows you have no idea what a dead cat bounce is. So let me educate you. In 1986, I started my investment journey in stocks. In 1987, I survived a real dead cat bounce... barely. But by the end of 1988, I was still in the red. The aftermath of the dead cat bounce was companies I owned going bankrupt or being brought out for pennies on the dollar. so the pain didn't just last a few days. It lasted over a year. In around august of 1987, the market peaked at all time highs, the s&p almost hit 340. the weeks that followed were a "normal" retraction, until on a Friday in October the s&p lost 10% in a day. Not just a few stocks, the entire market. Then the following Monday... black Monday, stocks across the board d
Well, in my humble opinion J.P. Morgan is lies. Don't trust their words, trust their actions. And silver compared to gold is a tiny market, so it's way easier to manipulate, if you have a few billion to throw at the silver market easy to manipulate. If you want to play silver, expect major manipulation going forward. If like me you don't have billions but hundreds. Well you are a peasant. To understand that is very important. Understand that silver is an industrial commodity. Gold is not a commodity, it's actually currency. Gold is a hedge against dollars that get printed, and get devalued by inflation also. The future of money is not the American dollar, it's buggered. What is happening right now is not bitcoin, an interesting idea but nonsense. Gold is the new currency, actually th
Thoughts on oil and gas
@Emotional Investor:I would be very cautious investing in oil and gas at present. Having said this, I recently put money on $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ , $Chevron(CVX)$ and a few Canadian oil and gas stocks. I've also been in $Venture Global, Inc.(VG)$ for a while now, but for different reasons... massive growth potential there. So I've been getting into oil and gas stocks because I saw a nice cyclical play there. Over time I saw it as a smoothing hedge to my more volatile stocks. I had a plan to just DCA into them over the next year. The over the weekend missles started flying. This could cause oil shortages short term. That mite put pressure on oil prices short
I would be very cautious investing in oil and gas at present. Having said this, I recently put money on $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ , $Chevron(CVX)$ and a few Canadian oil and gas stocks. I've also been in $Venture Global, Inc.(VG)$ for a while now, but for different reasons... massive growth potential there. So I've been getting into oil and gas stocks because I saw a nice cyclical play there. Over time I saw it as a smoothing hedge to my more volatile stocks. I had a plan to just DCA into them over the next year. The over the weekend missles started flying. This could cause oil shortages short term. That mite put pressure on oil prices short
My take on gold and silver
@Emotional Investor:So I've been blathering on about gold and silver since the beginning of this year. So I am in $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ which is a silver mining company, it mines silver and gold and pays a dividend. Last year I also brought $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ and $SILVER MINES LTD(SVL.AU)$ these are both pre mining companies. The former is a gold miner in New Zealand, the latter is silver miner in Australia. Both are yet to obtain the permits to mine, but are well down the track. Plus both Countries are very stable. Not sure I'd buy a mining company based in Mexico atm by comparison. Ok so all their proven gold and silver reserve
So I've been blathering on about gold and silver since the beginning of this year. So I am in $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ which is a silver mining company, it mines silver and gold and pays a dividend. Last year I also brought $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ and $SILVER MINES LTD(SVL.AU)$ these are both pre mining companies. The former is a gold miner in New Zealand, the latter is silver miner in Australia. Both are yet to obtain the permits to mine, but are well down the track. Plus both Countries are very stable. Not sure I'd buy a mining company based in Mexico atm by comparison. Ok so all their proven gold and silver reserve
Forgot to pin this to all my tiger friends yesterday
@Emotional Investor:So yesterday I sent a message only to people that follow me about $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ their earnings call was after market today, so I wanted to give my opinion on what would likely occur to my friends in tiger. I also shared the returns I have made on the stock. Over US$ 30k on the stock from an initial investment of about US$3k. So a 10x on the stock basically. But that excludes the profits I also made buying, excising and selling long calls. About another US$10k. So my prediction was correct. I expected rocket lab to announce a delay in the launch of their new neutron rocket which would cause the price to drop. And after market it did, about 5%. Tomorrow I expect it mite recover a little or just flatline. But next week
So yesterday I sent a message only to people that follow me about $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ their earnings call was after market today, so I wanted to give my opinion on what would likely occur to my friends in tiger. I also shared the returns I have made on the stock. Over US$ 30k on the stock from an initial investment of about US$3k. So a 10x on the stock basically. But that excludes the profits I also made buying, excising and selling long calls. About another US$10k. So my prediction was correct. I expected rocket lab to announce a delay in the launch of their new neutron rocket which would cause the price to drop. And after market it did, about 5%. Tomorrow I expect it mite recover a little or just flatline. But next week
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Ok an update going into earnings tomorrow tiger friends. Do I want bad news or good news? Well given that I have harved my position now, not because I wanted to, I had too. My DCA on rocket lab is still approximately $4.50. Made a ton on the stock, and also trading call options. From a way less significant initial investment. If their earning call tomorrow suggests that their new neutron rocket could be delayed into 2027, I'm sure the stock will dive. And sadly I will have no choice. I will sell out other stocks to buy more rocket lab. If the news is good to great, I will just hold. Short term news means nothing. Here is the biggest investment lesson I have ever learned. Know the stocks you choose to invest
In my humble opinion. Based on a lot of research and understanding the emotions of investors trump has zero impact on the price of precious metals. The banks control the prices and more importantly the narrative. But this week paper silver (spot price) @TigerTrade is going to be tested, while china sleeps. The spot price of silver I'm my opinion will become meaningless. COMEX will fail massively. Or not. Money talks after all. But everyone in the know, knows paper silver is screwed this week. Gold, no. I hope companies like $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ take a dive. I'll buy more cause well they don't trade paper silver. They mine silver, and I'd encourage you all to look at their
About two years ago, I wrote this article about $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$. Since then has gone as high as 30x. I said it would 10x. Sorry I was so wrong. At today's price I expect rklb to 2x this year minimum. There are two other companies I believe easily 5x in the next 12 months though. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ and $Venture Global, Inc.(VG)$. Why? Because they are completely misunderstood. so rklb was completely misunderstood. Now there's these two. As always don't listen to me, do your own DD. I'm also bullish on mining stocks and oil and gas. Let's see how that all pans out. No pun intended. I'm only sending this message to people that follow me. Happy t
@Emotional Investor:Why will this stock 10x in the next two years $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Ok so here we go, my evidence to support why Rklb stock price is going to the moon... 1. The company recently announced the appointment to the board of Lt. general Armagno who retired from the DOD recently and was in charge of space forces. Hmmm I wonder if she knows people who make the big decisions about DOD space contracts going forward? But more on that in a bit. 2. New Zealand has recently been added to US military trade laws. What's that about? well America can buy foreign military technology but it won't share strategicly important information with other countries. Now a lot of the rocket lab development happens in the USA but a lot also occurs in NZ, the
First up, it's very sad to see one you will notice I brought a few shares in Amazon recently too, but sold quickly afterwards.of the all time masters of investing leave the helm at $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ . Warren buffet has and will remain one of the largest influencers regarding my investment approach. he has of course not left completely, but his final shot (selling down 77% of $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ) is interesting, to say the least. Clearly the graph I show below illustrates the sell down. you will also see I brought in recently, but quickly sold for a tiny profit. Now I can't tell you why Mr buffet sold. But I can explain why I brought then sold quickly once I understood
Stock whisperer: part two Please read part one first, or this won't make sense. So the second pic below is very different to the 2024 pic. Not up over 1000%, only up 86%. That's not bad actually. But look at the volatility. In 2024, $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ just went up. In 2025 it definitely went up massively as well, but it also dropped, same for other stocks. It was not uncommon for me to wake up in the morning and see my portfolio up or down up to $5000 IN A DAY! Buying calls were also less attractive because they were all then becoming very expensive. And are even more expensive in 2026. in 2024 I traded on margin an that was fine. In 2025 that same margin, with the considerable volatility resulted in about 5 small
Stock whisperer: part one. So as you can see by chart below 2024 was a very good year with just over 1000% return. Can't complain really. But how did I do so well? Thing is I concentrated. I had a broad portfolio for sure, lots of dividend stocks that did fine, averaging 15%. But I bet heavily on one horse called $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ . And to a lessor extent $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ all of which went crazy. Over 90% of my portfolio was in these 3 stocks. Pure madness right? Well the results say otherwise. So I guess, the lesson learned was sometimes it better not to follow c
I don't usually blow my own trumpet, but I think this article is worth a read
@Emotional Investor:$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ riding the horse for me in 2026 will be about a lot of things. But in this article I will just focus on one concept, misconception. So I call myself the emotional investor. Does that mean I get emotional about stocks? Quite the contrary. I watch the emotional decisions of others, and act, based on their misconceptions. Here's a few examples... Capital raises cause shareholder dilution, therefore it's a bad thing. Well it can be if it's because the company is bleeding money and their prospects going forward are poor. But more often than not companies raise new capital to buy new stuff that will ultimately add significant upside to revenue, margins, etc. so while the stock price tends to suffer negatively short term, long
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ riding the horse for me in 2026 will be about a lot of things. But in this article I will just focus on one concept, misconception. So I call myself the emotional investor. Does that mean I get emotional about stocks? Quite the contrary. I watch the emotional decisions of others, and act, based on their misconceptions. Here's a few examples... Capital raises cause shareholder dilution, therefore it's a bad thing. Well it can be if it's because the company is bleeding money and their prospects going forward are poor. But more often than not companies raise new capital to buy new stuff that will ultimately add significant upside to revenue, margins, etc. so while the stock price tends to suffer negatively short term, long
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