Emotional Investor
Hi I’m Andy, investing based on intelligence, and bad emotional decisions of the market
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$RKLB 20260116 2.0 CALL$ Ok so this was the very first options trade I wrote, over a month ago. As you can see I went long, jan 2026, and paid $2.50 for a $2 Right to buy. I have a huge amount of confidence in rocket lab going forward and my intention for this call is to hold it and excise it. Well that was my original intention. But woot, it's now officially in the money today. I'm clearly a bunny when it comes to options. And loving the comments I get from you guys that help me to expand my knowledge. I'm thinking and have actually since this first option trade... looked to cheaper and shorter term trades, but I'm pleased to see the first one, and actually all of my calls so far being in positive territory now. But this trade
Yes I'll be looking to buy more, but not the stock more likely calls. The other item that has come to my attention is that nvidias new AI chips are apparently very very greedy on power, so maybe another long term play is power stocks. Look at where data centres are concentrated and buy into power companies that support those areas. This is going to take some research but I think it's worth it. @Tiger_chat @TigerPM @Daily_Discussion @TigerPicks
So, i believe the biggest issue fundamental investors have is the information they rely on. Often, more often than you think, it's actually wrong, or sometimes it's just calculated in a way you didn't realise. I will use two cases to illustrate, from one investor class... the dividend investor. I look at data every day, and dividend investors are looking for consistent and growing company dividend over time. Personally I want a dividend stock to be doing both. At least once a week, information about the stock I invest in is actually wrong. #arcc last week for eg on one site told me it paid a dividend of only 3 cents per share during 2 quarters of last year, totally wrong. Checking other sources quickly confirmed it to be totally wrong. Moral of the story... don't trust one source of data,
$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ So I really do understand this stock. Every single time I believe the stock is seriously overpriced. It hits me like a two by four in the face and just skyrockets even further. it's well over $100 now. My DCA is like $25 ish. And I brought more at around $80. Cause here's the thing. Pretty much all of the largest global telcos have skin in the ASTS game. Why? Because they have no choice. ASTS is their lifeline. Without it they all die Slowly but horribly. Let me explain... So I live in a house that has no cell coverage. I have a very old copper line connected but it's so old, it just doesn't work at all. So no cell, no broadband, not even a landline. So I have no choice. I must use starlink and also must pay a telco t
I own a lot of bank and investment bank stocks plus Amex, visa and sofi. All have have an annualized return of over 50% and a third over 100%. Well by all, I mean all but one. Visa has sucked, oh wait if I lump PayPal in there to, it’s very suckie. My annualized return on visa is -1% give or take. PayPal is like -20%. But pretty insignificant compared to overall gains. But as I looks through my investment notes, it clear. $Citigroup(C)$ was a no brainer. And old fashioned value stock when I brought it. David Dodd would be proud. It was trading at around half of its break up value when I brought it. You never find stocks like that these days. But find it I did. I brought ALOt of different bank stocks during the “banking crisis” around two years ago.
Silver is far from done. There is a global shortage that cannot be resolved in the medium term. So I'll be buying the dips. But while everyone is frothing over gold and silver prices. They are not focused on the bigger picture. That my tiger friends is copper. So the future reality in the short to medium term is the massive requirement for new data centers and thus also new power generation infrastructure. So while the gold and silver resources required for data centers can be measured in 10s of kilograms, the copper requirements are measured in the 1000s of kilograms. For a single data center. More and more I get questions from my fellow tigers asking how am I increasing my wealth so quickly. copper is a clear example. It's obvious to me, but clearly not that obvious to others.
$Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ stock price has surged in the last few days. But I can't find any material information that would support this sudden surge. Well tomorrow they have a presentation with updates on their progress. It's at 3am my time so I guess there might be some color when I wake up. Definitely a stock to watch though. Still a lot of negativity and misinformation surrounding this stock. But I like it. My research indicates that it old school battery technology with a lot of modern improvements. It has clear advantages over lithium technology for some applications, like longer term storage solutions for solar and wind farm generation. No fire risk, or cooling issues that lithium has either. And the supply chain is wi
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Probably why I keep going on about this stock
So as we leave Christmas and the new year behind, the biggest question on my mind and I'm picking a lot of other tigers minds is... what am I going to invest in this year. With that addressed let's get into it. I'll paraphrase a bit but the mighty Warren buffet is on record saying that amazing management will look bad with a terrible product, and terrible management will turn a great product into rubbish. So stocks to invest in today and this year, need to have great products and great management. Obviously if you follow me you know the holly grail of this for me is $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ the management, the products and the execution defies the laws of physics. I believe one of the first articles I wrote here in tiger a cou
As you travel along you investment path, there is one book that is absolutely Epic. arguably the holly grail of investment books. It's not the first book you should read. it was first publishes in 1943, and its 725 pages of pure hell. It's dry, it goes into minute detail but it's about understanding value. A much easier read would be "the intelligent investor" by Ben graham. I'd read that first. it teaches you the what but not the how. "Securities analysis" by Ben graham and David Dodd Is the book I speak of. It teaches you the how. The discipline it must have taken to write is insane. But the discipline it will take you to read it... crazy. If you know nothing about interpreting financial statements, you will know everything. Yes it was written in 1943, irrelevant? Certai
$Apple(AAPL)$ well, buy the dip or investment trap? Let me think. To buy a dip, it must be a dip. And to understand if it's a dip, I think you need to do ALOT of DD to find out. So let's go there with apple, from a personal users perspective. Buckle up tiger friends cause it's story time. So in 1988, I started my journey towards a university degree in business. One of the first papers I did was called computer systems. three quarters of the course was learning on an IBM (no compatibles then, just IBM). The last quarter was learning apples. After I completed the course, it was like black and white. Dos, Edlin and Joe spreadsheet and the green screen absolutely sucked. Apple on the other hand, grey and white screen, an operating syst
So I'm really not concerned if silver sells of. I don't own silver directly. I don't trade it as a commodity either. I just own shares in $SILVER MINES LTD(SVL.AU)$ . They are a silver mining company based in Australia predominantly with the rights to arguably the largest silver mine deposits in Australia. They have proven out their reserves. But only expect to secure government approval to start mining as early as mid 2026. In an earlier article I wrote incorrectly that the licensing was in place, but it's not yet. Realistically I don't think they will start mining til 2027/2028. But they also have mining businesses in California and a few other spots that mite start production sooner. This does not concern me though, it wasn't
$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ a crypto stock!!!! Yes it generates around a billion a year selling crypto as it mines it. Arguably the most efficient crypto miner out there. But it holds no crypto, it sells it all. And last year it signed a $9 billion deal with Microsoft allowing Microsoft to use its Ai data centers. Just under $3 billion has already been prepaid by Microsoft so in 2026 crypto will be about 25% of its income. Stock Track once again you are wrong and providing misleading information
Stock Track | IREN Ltd Plummets 5.01% Intraday as Crypto Stocks Slide Amid Bitcoin Decline
Great questions. I believe stock market "rebels" are rebels because the look outside the square. I wouldn't consider myself a rebel. Instead I'd like to suggest I notice stuff that most don't. On that note I've shared 3 screenshots below. These screenshots are of my youngest son and my two grandchildren's Portfolios, that I set up. I started them all out with $100, and put $5 In every week, plus a bit more on birthdays and Christmas. Started the sons one later, that's why his portfolio is smaller. But as you look at the pics below you will quickly note that some investments in the same stocks have significantly different returns. You will probably also get brain freeze over the diversity of stocks I have them in. But that's another story. So getting to the point. I manage my po
I would sum up my 2025 investment journey as the year of Chuck Norris. The wide monthly swings ment I had to have balls of steel. I'm ok with this, a number of my investments are growth stocks with crazy betas. So I'm 55, if I had an investment advisor they would call me crazy. That's why I don't have an investment advisor. 2 years ago I had approximately $30k in retirement savings and $10k available to invest via tiger trade. My thinking back then was do I do what I should do and just invest in "safe" low yield stuff. Problem with that strategy was that at retirement age I'd be lucky to have $100k. No way was that going to be enough. So I needed to go against the norm. But also needed to mitigate the risk somehow. So I've done just that. My total portfolio is now approac
$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ so this stock hit a new high for me. My DCA is around $25, so it's basically tripled since I started investing in it. So what to do now? It's quite a volatile stock, so I could swing trade. Sell now on highs, hope it drops and buy it back. No, it's a long term investment for me. Even though it's way overpriced in my opinion, in the long term it's cheap comparatively. I do hope it drops, I'll just buy more
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ So to sum up my investments in 2025, well as the memes below illustrate, I'm not bothered. So I call myself the emotional investor. I don't often explain my principles behind emotional investment. Usually it's very subtle. so today in this post I'll explain one rule of emotional investment that has more than 10x my portfolio. And I will be on point regarding the topic... which is about volatility and uncertainty. For an emotional investor, uncertainty creates opportunity. The street hates uncertainty, basically a stock with high levels of uncertainty gets taken out back and gets shot in the head. On the other side is certainly. Stocks like $Realty Income(O)$ that have paid and
Iy really means nothing if the S&P fell on Monday. Days are irrelevant, so are weeks, even months. And let's face it, most are on holiday atm so everything that happens will be based on low volumes. So don't worry bout a thing. I invest in companies with a 1 to 3 year outlook Minimum. to make meaningful predictions beyond that timeframe is pure conjecture. Example, 10 years from now will $McDonald's(MCD)$ still be the world's biggest burger maker? Well actually McDonalds doesn't make burgers. It owns property and collects franchise fees from franchises that make burgers. So will they be doing that in ten years from now, or will they bulldoze all their restaurants and build high rise apartments and hotels. I know I'm being
Wow, pretty happy with my performance. I got 3 outa 5. In on the NVDA, AMD and the gold and silver surges. My picks for next year are space stocks, data centers, and battery storage. Maybe also power companies
Great analysis
@WeChats:Rocket Lab Target Raised to $90: Is This the "Nvidia Moment" for Space? 🚀 The new price target is out, and the message is clear: The market is finally pricing Rocket Lab ($RKLB) as a space infrastructure prime, not just a speculative startup. Needham analyst Ryan Koontz just reiterated a Buy rating and aggressively raised the price target from $63 to $90. With the stock currently trading at $76.68, we are standing at a critical juncture. The chart is hot, the narrative is expanding, and investors are asking: Is the easy money already made, or is the run to triple digits inevitable? Here is the deep dive on why this upgrade changes the thesis and how to trade the setup. 1️⃣ The "Plan B" Premium: Why Funds Are Chasing To understand the valuation, you have to look beyond the rockets. The prim
So I got into gold in January this year. Brought into $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$. I actually didn't buy it because I thought gold was going To sky rocket. I brought it because I saw the long term potential for it to provide excellent returns. To be fair Santana (an Australian company) is not profitable yet, it has proven reserves of gold and the license to mine in the otago gold fields of New Zealand. While it's yet to start production, there is plenty of cash on hand to build the necessary infrastructure to start mining next year. And their business case when I purchased stock was based on a gold price of $3,500 to $3,800 an ounce. add to that serious management experience and the company is a no brainer for me. If you look at the graphs be
American Equities will hit new highs in 226. one factor that will Drive this is if trump follows through on income tax and small business tax cuts
Great analysis
@AfraSimon:10 AI Stocks for 2026!
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