Market risks are highly elevated as institutional and tech insiders are distributing, with four climax top signals flashing warnings of a potential correction or bear market fomenting. Despite overvaluation reminiscent of the dot-com era, I maintain high equity exposure but am keen to rotate into higher quality, including strong moat companies similar to BRK.B and META. Speculative, weak-moat stocks show early signs of a bubble implosion; now is the time to avoid frothy plays and focus on high quality with solid cash flows and proven moat. Stay vigilant, avoid leverage, and prioritize portfolio resilience as multiple risk signals align and consumer sentiment remains surprisingly weak despite the ongoing bull market.

The S&P 500 notched two new highs last week, continuing a strong uptrend since October 2022, despite macroeconomic uncertainties. Tech and high-beta stocks led the rally, while defensive sectors like Consumer Staples and Utilities lagged; growth outperformed value. Investors rotated out of foreign markets, REITs, and gold, favoring NASDAQ, blockchain, crude oil, and cyclical equities over the past two weeks. Valuations are approaching 1999 levels, raising caution about future returns as richly valued stocks may not sustain recent performance highs.

Gold has surged, breaking above $4,000 per ounce and elevating the precious metal into an incredible $30 trillion asset class. The relationship between gold and inflation held up well in the 1970s and 1980s, but much less so in the 2000s. Gold once made up a much larger share of global FX reserves. Today, there’s a sharp divide.

The reality as I see it now is that TSLA's robotaxi rollout is on track, with public launches and regulatory approvals. Short-term regulatory and competitive hiccups in the robotaxi business are rather immaterial so long as TSLA progresses toward the end goal of unlocking this trillion dollar opportunity. The Q3 print may have automotive margins pressure which is likely to continue into Q4 as EV credits fall off. But again, don't focus too much on the automotive business. TSLA stock's valuations make sense if we look at the value potential in robotaxis and humanoid robots. The technicals also align bullish.

Gold trades around $4,100 as Fed rate cut bets offset easing trade risks. Investors await U.S. CPI data for clues on the Fed’s policy path. Support seen near $4,000, with resistance around $4,380.

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ for new investors I recommend safe ETFs like QQQI / SMH/ QQQM or GLD

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ First, it's possible that investors are buying gold as a hedge against the risk of a speculative AI bubble in stocks. The equity market is expensive and top-heavy, dominated by a handful of mega-cap tech stocks—in some ways, resembling the dot.com bubble in 1999-2000.

Some relationships are special. Ties that are rooted in deep cultural affinity and richly interweaved with the glorious Indian tradition of festive celebrations, worship of Divinity and ushering in prosperity. Bonds that have stood the test of time. True, we are talking about the close relation between gold and Diwali. A bond that dates back to ancient times and has grown stronger with each passing year. Let’s explore the significance of buying gold during Diwali and how digital gold is a novel way to own gold during the festive season #Long Gold!

Gold fundamentals remain positive, but recent price action appears speculative and highly correlated with meme stocks. Alternatively, gold could be pricing a doomsday scenario, an imminent global crisis, in which situation the US would likely prevail, making USD a safe haven. Given the recent parabolic trend, gold is vulnerable to a deep correction once the broad asset bubble bursts

Market volatility has surged due to President Trump's tariff threats against China, reviving fears of a renewed trade war and market correction. Despite elevated valuations and AI bubble concerns, I believe we are in the early stages of a multi-year AI infrastructure buildout, not an imminent bust. Recent fear indicators and price action suggest we are not near a market bottom, but growth stocks could break out unless trade tensions escalate much further. I am prepared to revise more stocks into the Buy zone and become more aggressive with Buy ratings if a steeper selloff presents attractive opportunities.

Renewing all-time highs earlier today, around ~$4,218, gold (XAU/USD) has extended gains further so far in this week’s trading. Benefiting from a perfect storm of macroeconomic themes, it would seem that there is no shortage of tailwind for the current gold rally. From a classical technical standpoint, the market is confirming a sustained long-term bullish move, with the 20, 50, 100, and 200-period SMAs all offering support below current price action.

Strong Q3 earnings from major banks and robust consumer data support continued S&P 500 gains, despite trade tensions and market volatility. Chairman Powell's comments signal imminent Fed rate cuts and an end to quantitative tightening, providing further monetary stimulus for risk assets. Yield curve steepening, driven by falling short-term rates, is a bullish sign distinct from past cycles that ended in recession. With double-digit earnings growth likely and a resilient consumer, the bull market appears set to continue into next year, favoring buy-the-dip strategies.

Broadcom secured a $10 billion XPU order, driving a record $110 billion backlog and providing strong topline visibility. AI semiconductor revenue surged 63% YoY in Q3 to $5.2 billion, with Q4 forecasted at 66% growth. EBITDA margins remain robust at 65%+, delivering $10.7 billion in adjusted EBITDA and $7 billion in Q3 free cash flow. Valuation trades at ~50x forward P/E and 26x EV/Sales, significantly above sector medians and historical averages. Extreme client concentration with top five customers contributing ~40% of revenue creates potential single-point failure risks

GLD and gold in general have surged higher in recent weeks. But gold is cyclical. I prefer to express my gold position through options alone, or via an option collar. I provide timely insight on those here. The "golden collar" involves buying puts and selling covered calls on GLD to set profit and loss boundaries after the recent rally. This is as good a time as I've seen for investors to learn how to use options responsibly and with confidence, given these unique market conditions.

The S&P 500 faced a sharp pullback after President Trump's China tariff threats, sparking profit-taking and heightened volatility. Tariff concerns center on China's rare earth dominance and potential impacts, including on key sectors like semiconductors and technology. Despite elevated valuations, strong earnings and robust fundamentals - especially from the Magnificent Seven - support the ongoing rally beyond mere multiple expansion. Investors should avoid capitulating to bearish sentiment, add positions gradually, and watch the S&P 500's 20-period moving average as a key support level.

The S&P 500 notched two new record highs this week before experiencing its largest daily loss in six months. The index sank -2.7% on Friday, ultimately leading to a weekly loss of -2.4%. The S&P 500 is currently up 11.65% year-to-date, while the S&P Equal Weight is up 5.96% year-to-date.

The market swings come after Trump said China has "become very hostile" sending letters to other countries wanting to "impose export controls." He threated "massive" tariff increases on goods from China, citing export controls that China imposed on rare-earth minerals from that country. Stocks, in turn, reversed earlier gains

Gold slipped 1.62% to close at $3,976.24, while silver managed to finish up 1.05% at $49.39, though still well below its earlier intraday high of $51.24. Looking at the daily chart to see how silver behaved today at that critical $50 resistance level, early in the New York session, it made a sharp attempt to test that level but failed to close above it and then pulled back. Just a couple of days ago, everyone was celebrating gold’s move above the critical $4,000 psychological resistance level. But with today’s pullback, it slipped back below that level in both COMEX futures and spot.

Alibaba is rated a buy, driven by strong AI ambitions and expanding leadership in China's cloud and semiconductor sectors. Alibaba's June quarter showed 10% of comparable revenue growth, indicating a clear business turnaround. Cloud Intelligence Group revenues surged 26% YoY, with AI-related product revenue maintaining triple-digit growth for the eighth consecutive quarter. Despite short-term profitability declines due to investments, Alibaba's technicals and valuation suggest further upside as it positions itself as an AI superpower.

Equities continue to hit all-time highs despite dismal consumer sentiment, rising loan delinquencies, and a faltering jobs market. Headline GDP growth is robust, but is primarily being driven by the surge in tech spending due to the AI revolution and large fiscal deficit spending. However, there is considerable weakness in many other core parts of the economy, including residential and commercial real estate.