$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ no. Trump is having too much fun. He's getting his revenge on the establishment. And playing golf. He's going to amp up in the coming months. Buckle up for the ride
Tesla yesterday was an object lesson on market chasing mirage. First down six percent, some correction. Then up five percent because musk is leaving doge. Not. So down five percent again. Nothing has changed about the company dudes!!
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ watch the bond market. The strongest signals will come from there for the foreseeable future. The actions of sovereign buyers and large institutional investors in participating will set prices and yields. if bond prices continue to fall, be prepared for a break in the yield curve. And that could trigger a bloodbath in equities. Unless of course, the current tariff chaos is swiftly shut down.
"This year, Americans boosted by a record-high stock market and low unemployment have kept shopping." Does the author seriously believe that the stock market has helped middle class families keep shopping? This is a very poorly written article which makes no sense.
Trump is pushing Powell to reduce rates. But international buyers of US Treasuries want a higher risk premium. Maybe 5 percent may be higher say 10. And if these yields aren't available? Well they'll retreat from Treasuries which will then become overwhelmingly owned by domestic institutions! Banks may end up holding large chunks of low yield bonds. It's happened before could happen again. Unless Trump manages to do a crypto switcher . Now that would be something!!
Gold at $4k is not unreasonable. As USD dilutes its reserve currency status, US Treasuries lose safe haven status and so what's the obvious solution? Yup. Gold
China needs a better narrative. Recently China warned nations that it would retaliate if they struck trade deals that went against its interests. China needs to understand that selling to the US made many countries rich and served as the tide that lifted all boats in an economic sense. China's contribution has been low cost goods which enables consumers to have a decent standard of living, but which results in large trade deficits for most countries. If US purchases decrease, exporter countries will become poorer. Hence, countries may end up forming coalitions to protect their fund outflows. China imports will be one such target. Hence, China stocks are not the safe haven, next great thing that people assume them to be.