Today's ATH is another lower point in the future. That said, I'm cautious about a pullback due to the macro and geopolitical backdrop of the Iran conflict, mid-term elections and the first 100 days of the new Fed chair. As we can't time the market, I'll add on red days and then add more aggressively if a crash happens. I'm still long on AI but due to my limited knowledge, would continue on S&P500 ETF, NVDA, MSFT and APPL - an index, a hardware, a software and a consumer product rep. Energy could be something to look at since nothing works without it. @mr_cashcow @Soyabean89 come join for points.
Nvidia's $500B AI financing deal is a clever sales booster, but it carries sneaky financial risks. Why it’s a smart move: * Boosts Sales Fast: Helps cash-strapped AI startups buy Nvidia chips now without waiting for cash flow. * Keeps Main Books Clean: Private credit funds (like BlackRock) supply the loan money, keeping massive debt off Nvidia’s core balance sheet. * Locks in Dominance: Ensures Nvidia stays the default hardware standard for the AI boom. Why it’s a risky move: * Nvidia’s Hidden Promise: Nvidia agrees to cover up to 25% of losses if borrowers default, putting real money back on the line. * Tech Gets Old Fast: Chips lose value quickly as newer models arrive. Long 5–7 year loans might outlast the hardware’s actual usefulness. * Pricey Loans: Borrowers pay high interest
I chose B as the profit taking and de-leveraging of the Korean positions should be ending. The demand for both HBM and NAND is still strong and both Samsung and SK Hynix will rally again.
I choose B: "The policy is delayed, causing the optical-stock rally to reverse" as I believe it is another negotiation chip used by the Trump administration on China and there are chances of TACO which we see repeatedly. What say you @mr_cashcow
I would not buy the dip blindly, but would be selective in the companies id invest in. Additionally, I would only touch those which I have knowledge on and not FOMO into narratives and news. E.g. I have added to my Microsoft position when SaaSpocalypse happened and confidently held it to this earnings which saw it's sharp reversal once the result proves the market wrong.