JimmyTurner
JimmyTurner
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avatarJimmyTurner
2022-07-14

Ignore The Temptation To Buy Apple

The recent action we've seen in the stock market has been enormously telling, in my view. I said a couple of weeks ago I think thebottom is in, and as such, I've been trading growthstocks pretty heavily. After all, when the market makes a tradable bottom, you want exposure to growth, not value, as the former will outperform in such a scenario.So far this year, value has trounced growth, as we can see below with the growth-to-value relationship in stocks.StockChartsThis breakdown in growth versus value is why the Nasdaq has greatly underperformed the S&P 500, why consumer staples have outperformed consumer discretionary, etc. However, since the middle of May, growth is beating value, which is one of the reasons why I think we've bottomed.Given this view, and the significance of App
Ignore The Temptation To Buy Apple
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-08-31

AMD: Is This The Next Nvidia?

SummaryAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s entrance into the generative AI industry with its new GPUs could lead to significant sales growth and capture a portion of the expanding market.The company's upcoming MI300 series GPUs have advanced features that can accommodate larger AI models than competitors like Nvidia Corporation.Potential headwinds include competition from Intel Corporation in 2025 and the impact of worsening Sino-American relations on AMD's business in China.Las Vegas Hosts Annual CES Trade ShowDavid BeckerAfter the impressive performance of Nvidia Corporation (NVDA $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ ) in Q2, questions are being asked about whether Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(
AMD: Is This The Next Nvidia?
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-03-20

Microsoft: Resiliency Amidst Turmoil Will Be Rewarded

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT$Microsoft(MSFT)$ ) is often considered a bellwether for the tech sector and that is evident in its resilient stock price amidst the tech crash. Despite its latest quarter showing decelerating growth and guiding for more of thesame, investors have remained loyal - why? It appears that investors are willing to overlook modest growth expectations in the near term on account of the diversified product portfolio, robust cash flows, and generous return of cash to shareholders. MSFT stock may not look obviously cheap, but I expect the ongoing share repurchases and growing dividends to lead to multiple expansion over the long term as the company works through a tough macro environment.MSFT Stock PriceMSFT stock has fallen slightly f
Microsoft: Resiliency Amidst Turmoil Will Be Rewarded
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-03-07
For its fiscal FY23, analysts expect Broadcom$博通(AVGO)$ to report revenue of $35.54 billion, up 7% YoY. EPS is expected to be $41.28, up close to 10% YoY. These show a significant deceleration from the last couple of years but reflect the difficult operating environment. I believe these expectations look fair, but it would also be safe to assume Broadcom to slightly outperform these expectations. In addition, the growth rates for the years until 2026 look somewhat conservative by analysts with revenue growth rates of mid-single digits and EPS growth of between 6% to 9% which, considering the tailwinds I see for this business, seem rather disappointing. I believe EPS and revenue growth should be much closer to 10% in the period until 2026. This is
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-03-14

Upstart Stock: An Unhyped And Derisked Bet On Artificial Intelligence

IntroductionIn recent months, the wildly successful launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT has created a buying fervor among investors for AI-related stocks. However, Upstart's (NASDAQ:UPST$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ ) stock has largely sat out this wild rally despite being a derisked AIplay.While the memes - "What does Upstart do?" - continue to float around the internet, most market participants seem to have forgotten about Upstart's AI lending marketplace. Now, we are not going to talk about the validity of this rally in AI stocks today, as the focus of our discussion is Upstart.Upstart Q4 2022 Earnings PresentationIn this note, we will assess Upstart's Q4 2022 report. Furthermore, I will share three positive developments for Upstart. Lastly, we will ro
Upstart Stock: An Unhyped And Derisked Bet On Artificial Intelligence
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-07-14

Palantir's New Announcements And How This Stock Is Scaling For Long-Term Growth

SummaryPalantir Technologies has expanded its collaboration with Carahsoft Technology, allowing U.S. government agencies, state and local governments, educational entities, and Canadian Government and Defense Industrial Base organizations to leverage its Apollo Platform.PLTR has also partnered with AirMatrix, integrating its Foundry for Builders into AirMatrix's operations to enhance airspace security, including threat detection and risk mitigation.Despite its high valuation, Palantir's financial health is robust, with $0 debt, almost 80% gross margins, a cash reserve of $2.9 billion, and projected earnings growth of 55.4%.Palantir FedStart Product will help commercial customers get FedRamp IL5 certified much faster and manage the authorization to operate.The Company will continue to creat
Palantir's New Announcements And How This Stock Is Scaling For Long-Term Growth
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-07-29

Coinbase: Cathie Wood Now Selling

When looking at US markets on Tuesday, one of the biggest losers ended up being Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN). The cryptocurrency firm lost more than 21% after it was reported that the company isunder investigation by the SECregardingits digital asset listing process. While investors are feeling plenty of pain already, it might not help short term sentiment that one of the firm's biggest backers sold a chunk of its stake during Tuesday's trading.The probe apparently involves whether or not Coinbase improperly let Americans trade digital assets that should have been registered as securities. Last week, Bloomberg reported that a former employee violated insider trading rules by leaking information to help his brother and a friend buy tokens just before they were listed on the platform. Coinbase is
Coinbase: Cathie Wood Now Selling
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-08-01

Virax Biolabs: After the U.S. IPO

A Quick Take On Virax Biolabs GroupVirax Biolabs Group Limited (NASDAQ:VRAX) is seeking to commercialize profiling, diagnosis, and prevention products for viral diseases.Virax is still a tiny firm with substantial execution risk ahead of it as well as regulatory risks and uncertainties in the markets in which it operates.Virax Biolabs OverviewLondon, UK-based Virax was founded to develop a range of viral disease prevention, detection, diagnosis, and risk management products.Management is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO James Foster, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously co-founder of Natural Source Group, a nutraceutical precursor firm to Virax.The company’s primary offerings include: Virax Immune - IVD profiling platform for future launch ViraxClear - diagno
Virax Biolabs: After the U.S. IPO
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-03-16

Palantir: Karp Really Messed It Up For 2023

Palantir (NYSE:PLTR$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ) exited its tough operating environment in 2022 with a few key takeaways that included an ambitious guide from management (nothing new here) for both its top- and bottom-line.Specifically, the company anticipates GAAP-based net income achieved in thefourth quarter to sustain through the current year and beyond - a milestone realized two years earlier than Palantir's "original goal of GAAP profitability in 2025". The guidance on anticipated sales was equally as ambitious, with management expecting full year 2023 revenue between $2.18 billion and $2.23 billion, which would represent y/y growth of as much as 17%. Although the target deviates far from Palantir's previous aspirations to achieve 30%
Palantir: Karp Really Messed It Up For 2023
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-03-23

Are Bank Stocks Safe? The Pros and Cons

Bank stocks can be excellent long-term investment opportunities, but they aren't right for all investors.Bank stocks are near the middle of the risk spectrum. They can berecession-proneand are sensitive to interest rate fluctuations, just to name two major risk factors. But, like most other types of businesses, the risk associated with bank stocks can vary tremendously between companies. With that in mind, here's an overview of what investors should know about assessing the risks of potentialbank stock investments.Image source: Getty Images.Risks of bank stocksThe three most prevalent risks banks face are cyclicality, loan losses, and interest rate risk. Let's take these one at a time.1. CyclicalityBanks arecyclical businesses, meaning they are sensitive to recessions. Think of it this way
Are Bank Stocks Safe? The Pros and Cons
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-09-14
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is best of breed in the chip manufacturing space, in our view.We view Taiwan Semiconductor's capital appreciation and dividend growth upside potential quite favorably, aided by robust demand growth for its offerings and its ample pricing power.However, we caution that there are substantial foreign currency movement and geopolitical risks that are associated with Taiwan Semiconductor that readers should be aware of.
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-10-11
Elon Musk should leverage Twitter to create a media company similar to Disney or any of the conglomerates.Disney at one time wanted to purchase Twitter, so it makes sense.Musk could use the success of Tesla over time to invest in original content and create streaming services, not unlike Berkshire Hathaway investing its insurance profits in other businesses.
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-03-16

Citigroup Is A Winner From The SVB Financial Collapse, Buy The Selloff

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, part of SVB Financial Group (SIVB), has dented market confidence in the global banking system. In my last article, I explained that they were two key reasons forthis utterly avoidable debacle:1) Colossal risk management failures by SIVB management2) Failures of regulatory design and oversight.The culprit in this crisis has not been (so far) credit risk (but this may come later). Rather, it is due to the rapidly rising interest rates in 2022, where the banks have accumulated large unrealized losses on their securities portfolio (comprising predominantly of "safe" U.S. Treasuries and Agency MBS). The problem is that these unrealized losses due to accounting treatment (or manipulation by management at times) were not reflected in the capital ratios of
Citigroup Is A Winner From The SVB Financial Collapse, Buy The Selloff
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-10-28

SoFi Technologies: Hope Always Dies Last

SoFi Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SOFI)will report earnings next week Tuesday, and the stock could fall into another down channel.SoFi Technologies is not profitable and most likely did not profit in the third quarter. Furthermore, my previousstock pricetargetof $3.50 per share remains unchanged, implying a 32% correction potential.With profits out of reach for at least the next few years and valuation multiples that remain unjustifiably high, investors are relying almost entirely on hope.What Does The Market Expect For 3Q22?According toTipranks, the market expects a loss of $0.11 per share in the third quarter.SoFi Technologies beat consensus earnings by 9 cents in the third quarter of 2021, but the financial technology company still lost $0.05 per share.SoFi Technologies has also been cons
SoFi Technologies: Hope Always Dies Last
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-06-17

Sea Limited: We Remain Optimistic On Its Long-Term Trajectory

OverviewSea Ltd (NYSE:SE) is an internet platform company that consists of three main business segments – Garena (digital entertainment), Shopee (e-commerce), and SeaMoney (digital financial services).Sea has suffered yet another relentless 20% drawdown since our last coverage (do read it before you proceed), making it one of the heaviest punished stocks of the year, down 78% from its ATH back in Oct 2021.We reckon that most of the headwinds have been priced in by the market – the possibility of a recession happening, Shopee’s “poor” unit economics and profitability, and the downward spiral of Garena’s growth. At today’s valuation, the market has written off all of Sea’s accomplishments and it seems like the consensus is that Sea’s management is not capable of coming out of the woods.Is th
Sea Limited: We Remain Optimistic On Its Long-Term Trajectory
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-06-16

Micron: Demand And Pricing Declines On The Way

We downgrade Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) to hold after our buy rating in early April. MU is a giant memory company in the global semiconductor industry. Our job as technology analysts is to understand the marketand the company's business. In the case of MU, we love the company, but the stock might not work in the near term.We believe MU is overexposed to the declining consumer markets: PC and smartphones. We expect significant demand headwinds in consumer markets and believe MU will feel the negative repercussions from demand declines in coming quarters. We will revisit the stock when the demand normalizes or improves.MU is on thin ice if consumer demand continues to decline.Currently, MU revenue can be broken down into 15% from Automotive, Industrial, and networking segments, 30%
Micron: Demand And Pricing Declines On The Way
avatarJimmyTurner
2023-11-24
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Why Bezos selling a few shares?To give to Charity for Thanksgiving running the Soup Kitchen for Bankrupt Amazon Shorts, who lost all their money shorting Amazon.Bezos does not want Jed, Wolf, Peter, Patrick, and Shorties to be eating Roaches and Rats for Thanksgiving. There's your answer. Bezos wishes you all a nice Thanksgiving. Bulls win big. $150.jeff bezos news GIF
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-08-16
The lead candidate, VRDN-001, is an insulin-like growth factor-1 receptor (IGF-1R) monoclonal antibody (MAB) Miragen is developing and intends to commercialize for the potential treatment for patients with thyroid eye disease (TED), a debilitating condition that significantly impacts quality of life and can cause proptosis (“bulging eyes”), double vision and potential blindness.
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-10-24

Palantir: My Top Stock For The Next Decade

Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is one of the most controversial companies in America. Either you love it, hate it, or have no idea what the company does. I love Palantir, and I'll tell you why. Palantir is a unique, dominant, market-leading company with excellent growth prospects andremarkable long-term profitability potential. Additionally, many investors may view Palantir as a government contractor, but the company's immense growth and profitability potential are in the private sector.Moreover, Palantir's technical image looks increasingly bullish, and sentiment should improve soon. Palantir is releasing its Q3 earningson November 7th,and while the company missed estimates slightly in the Q2 quarter, I believe the Q3 quarter will be much better. Therefore, we could see Palantir's share price rise
Palantir: My Top Stock For The Next Decade
avatarJimmyTurner
2022-08-09

Long-Term Value: Netflix Poised To Accelerate Hot CTV Advertising Market

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) execs have vehemently denied the incorporation of ads into the Netflix user experience for years, saying the company had "zero interest" as recent as last year. That narrative is over, as Reed Hastings indicated during the company's last earnings call that Netflix is open to entering the advertising business in a major way.Why the pivot? Advertisers are salivating over CTV (connected TV) inventory, and it's a clear opportunity to increase Netflix's total addressable market (TAM) to include more price-sensitive households. There's no doubt that Netflix's subscriber growth trajectory has made them into a darling on Wall Street for the past decade. However, last quarter is really the first sign of slowing growth that struck fear into some investors (NFLX has been trading
Long-Term Value: Netflix Poised To Accelerate Hot CTV Advertising Market

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