RoyRoberts
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avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-25

OCBC plans to increase the dividend on its shares

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited (SGX:O39) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 20th of May to S$0.28. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 4.3%. Oversea-Chinese Banking's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Before making this announcement, Oversea-Chinese Banking was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure. Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 12.4% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues
OCBC plans to increase the dividend on its shares
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-06-26

Carvana: Don't Be Fooled By The Recent Profit Forecast

SummaryCarvana's stock price surged by over 50% after a press release and presentation at the William Blair Annual Growth Stock Conference, but the forecasted 20% boost in gross profit is likely a one-time event due to a timing issue in loan sales.Despite impressive growth, Carvana has never been profitable, accumulating total losses of over $2.2 billion and carrying a debt of over $8 billion with negative shareholder's equity.The company's debt trades at prices well below nominal value, indicating a risk of bankruptcy, and it is unlikely that Carvana can generate enough cash to redeem $500 million of bonds due in 2025.Joe RaedleOn the morning of June 8th, before the market opened, Carvana $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ issued a press release and an 8-K form
Carvana: Don't Be Fooled By The Recent Profit Forecast
avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-28

Why Tencent Could Bounce Back in the Second Half of 2022

KEY POINTS Tencent stock recently sold off after earnings, even as other Chinese tech stocks bounced back. Tencent's fourth quarter felt the full sting of regulations implemented over the summer. However, assuming those mark a one-time "reset," Tencent should begin growing strongly again in the second half of 2022, making its stock a bargain today. Investors are fleeing the stock on a big slowdown in growth, but there is a path to a rebound. Perhaps the highest-quality Chinese tech stock is Tencent which sold off after its recent earnings report. Revenue growth slowed to just 8% last quarter, its first single-digit quarterly growth figure in its history as a public company. Uncertainty across Tencent's businesses, from gaming to social media to fintech, is causing investors to
Why Tencent Could Bounce Back in the Second Half of 2022
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-07-07
Bullish on Huya $Huya Inc.(HUYA)$!As you can see, we have a nice cup and handle chart pattern. The cup base looks pretty strong at 12 weeks of formation. I'm expecting an entry at $3.89 if the vol is greater than 4M. I predict this stock will run up within the next couple of weeks. I'm expecting to take profits around $4.75 but I wouldn't be shocked if price runs up to 5.10 on really strong vol. My stop loss will be set at $3.59 (last support level) to manage a 8% loss if trend breaks. What do you guys think about this idea?
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-03-30
Very nice Making new March high at the end of March. $Shopify Inc(SHOP)$ Love seeing the shorts going broke on all fronts!Going to $66 and next $71 and last $76 . After back to $55.00. let go Shop 💹If Shopify Stock Hits 55, This Option Trade Will Pay Off Big TimeLots of money still on the sidelines waiting to come into the market 👍Buy high > sell low. Story of my life
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-08-09

Taiwan Semiconductor: I Remain Hesitantly Bullish Even After A 50% Runup

SummaryGrowth prospects for Taiwan Semiconductor remain strong due to its position of industry leadership.The company has a strong balance sheet and cash position, which is important for a cyclical company to weather potential downturns.Current growth opportunities allow for the company to grow into its valuation.A unique risk setting should make investors seek sufficient precaution in terms of allocation and exposure to limit downside potential.Olivier Le MoalIntroductionI covered Taiwan Semiconductor $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ back in October 2022 under the headline of “Taiwan Semiconductor: I’m Buying And Here Is Why”. At the time, the stock was trading at its lowest valuation since 2016 and appeared to be a sensible opportun
Taiwan Semiconductor: I Remain Hesitantly Bullish Even After A 50% Runup
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-04-11
Tomshardware.com has an insightful analysis of Intel’s foundry plans. They state Intel aspires to be #2 foundry device by 2030, beating out Samsung for that rank behind TMSC. Imho, to do so would require a huge culture shift away from being totally focused on their own CPU products, to being focused on making their customers successful at getting to market with products profitable for the customer. Not currently in their corporate DNA! Would like to see it happen though. $Intel(INTC)$ Some eye-opening facts: In the last 12 months there were zero insiders selling INTC shares. In the last 12 months there were 3 insiders buying INTC for a total of $2.94 million Patrick Gelsinger, the CEO, is the single biggest shareholder with almost a half million s
avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-10

Palantir: Growth Targets Are Achievable, Says Top Analyst

Palantir (PLTR)is a divisive name on Wall Street. The bull-case rests on the big data specialist’s ability to expand its offerings beyond large government/enterprise contracts which have historically generated the bulk of the company’s revenue. The bear case is driven by an argument its high-end offerings are generally unsuitable for smaller companies who are already well served and that ultimately with government contracts slowing down, the company won’t be able to meet its growth objectives. Evaluating the company’s prospects, Piper Sandler’s Weston Twigg belongs in the former camp. “We view PLTR as a high-growth company with a rapidly expanding customer base,” said the 5-star analyst. “While controversial, we believe growth targets are achievable.” So, what are those growth targets? Thr
Palantir: Growth Targets Are Achievable, Says Top Analyst
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-06-02

Nvidia Bubble: Sell The Rip

SummaryAs Nvidia has skyrocketed towards $1T market cap, investors appear to have started ignoring the fundamentals. As I see no further upside, I am repeating my 2021 Peak Nvidia call.Nvidia's growth sustainability, moat, and valuation are exaggerated, making the stock overvalued and potentially a bubble.Comparing Nvidia to Zoom's temporary pandemic surge, the current demand for AI hardware (and therefore Nvidia's growth) may not be sustainable in the long term.With competition from Intel and other chip vendors being unjustifiably minimized, Nvidia's 98% production gross margin seems unsustainable. Nvidia has no clear AI leadership/moat.The valuation is actually not defensible, as a surge to something on the order of $100B revenue is now being priced in. Sell your shares at the current pe
Nvidia Bubble: Sell The Rip
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-05-19

Airbnb: Weak Guide Provides Compelling Opportunity

SummaryAirbnb has been sold down after management announced that marketing spend would be brought forward from 2H23 to 1H23.The fundamentals of the business and growth outlook are unchanged, providing an attractive opportunity for the long term investor.Travel demand is remaining resilient and is forecast to grow beyond 2022 levels.Valuation of $121.56 means ABNB is attractively valued compared to the current share price.Jeremy PolandAirbnb's $Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ weak 2Q22 guidance provides the patient investor a great opportunity to buy a great company at a reasonable price. Airbnb has all the characteristics of a quality company including high margins, high returns on capital, a fortress balance sheet, a founder CEO, and solid long-term gro
Airbnb: Weak Guide Provides Compelling Opportunity
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-05-22

Taiwan Semiconductor: Buffett Overhang Is A Gift

SummaryTSMC has traded weak over the last several months on news that Warren Buffett unloaded shares after making an initial investment last year.The chip manufacturing giant is set to ride the AI chip boom, with the TAM set to surge in the years ahead.The stock remains incredibly cheap at 13.5x forward EPS targets, a 50% discount to Apple with similar geopolitical risks from China.Sundry PhotographyIn no huge surprise, Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ sold out of a remaining small position in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$. Buffett had seco
Taiwan Semiconductor: Buffett Overhang Is A Gift
avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-24

2 Top Stock Trades: AMD & AMC

U.S. equities are quietly working on two-straight weeks of notable gains and progress on the long side, as stocks continue to stay above key levels following last week’s rally. With that in mind, here are a few top stock trades we’re watching now. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Traders I have spoken to recently can’t stop pecking at Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD). They sawthe powerful move in Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA) and are wondering if AMD can generate something similar. AMD stock has done a great job breaking out of its downward channel (blue lines). However, it continues to struggle with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. At the same time, it’s holding the 10-day and 21-day. It’s a mixed picture and we need some resolution. A break of Wednesday’s low puts $110 in play and p
2 Top Stock Trades: AMD & AMC
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-07-12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Will Likely Remain Unrivaled For Years To Come

SummaryTSMC is expected to maintain its unrivaled position as it addresses the competition posed by Integrated Device Manufacturers like Intel, which TSMC was established to counter in my view.Since 2013, TSMC has significantly improved its profitability ratios, with the latest figures in 2023 approaching record highs.TSMC has been actively increasing its capital expenditures, indicating a likelihood that this trend will continue in the future.Utilizing a DCF model, I valued TSMC by considering the impact of high capital expenditures and potential reductions in net income margin. If TSMC manages to sustain its current net income margin, the valuation could be even higher.BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesThesisTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
Taiwan Semiconductor: Will Likely Remain Unrivaled For Years To Come
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-07-27

Amazon: Up Substantially This Year, The Rally Isn't Over

SummaryAmazon's shares have increased by about 50% since the start of the year.It has maintained leading market share in e-commerce and cloud, two secular growth trends with plenty of tread left.Shares are attractively valued for continued accumulation, though one can never know what the market will do as earnings approach.HJBCShares of cloud and e-commerce leader Amazon $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ have soared more than 50% since the beginning of the year.Such large price swings, especially for a stock as large as Amazon, aren't common, but many stocks are emerging from an uncommonly brutal bear market for growth and technology stocks in 2022.But we're here to look forward. I wouldn't blame investors who bought low for selling and taking a nice profit
Amazon: Up Substantially This Year, The Rally Isn't Over
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-05-30

#Nasdaq #US100 Action Areas For The Trading Week Ahead

In this update we review the recent price action in the emini Nasdaq futures contract and identify the next high probability action areas for the trading week ahead. $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2306(NQmain)$ Enjoy the video and good luck!
#Nasdaq #US100 Action Areas For The Trading Week Ahead
avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-25

CICT(C38U) stock's Fundamentals Looks Decent. Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.0%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. At first glance, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 5.4% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the decent growth of 5.2% seen over the past five years by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefor
CICT(C38U) stock's Fundamentals Looks Decent. Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?
avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-21

What Is The Ownership Structure Like For Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust?

Every investor in Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (SGX:A17U) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. Generally speaking, as a company grows, institutions will increase their ownership. Conversely, insiders often decrease their ownership over time. We also tend to see lower insider ownership in companies that were previously publicly owned. Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust is a pretty big company. It has a market capitalization of S$12b. Normally institutions would own a significant portion of a company this size. Taking a look at our data on the ownership groups (below), it seems that institutions are noticeable on the share registry. Let's delve deeper into each type of owner, to discover more about Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust. SGX:A17U Ownership Brea
What Is The Ownership Structure Like For Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust?
avatarRoyRoberts
2022-03-04

Rivian Stock Remains a Long-Term Story, Says RBC

Nothing comes easy, right? A sentimentRivian (RIVN)– and its investors – can relate to right now. As RBC’s Joseph Spak notes, the EV maker is “highly vertically integrated and is launching 3 new products (off two platforms) at the same time, in a new plant.” As such, the company has plenty to deal with. “The production ramp was always one of the biggest near-term risks to the story, and we expected there would be some hiccups along the way,” the analyst went on to say. And that has turned out to be true. Spak’s comments come in the wake of what has been a testing period. To make tweaks to the vehicle lines, Rivian shut down its plant in January. Additionally, according to CEO RJ Scaringe, more than 800 plant workers were out for a few weeks with Omicron. Getting hold of semiconductors rema
Rivian Stock Remains a Long-Term Story, Says RBC
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-07-24

Bank of America: A $106 Billion Hole Isn't A Problem Until The Fed Says It Is

SummaryWhile BAC may still report $106B of unrealized losses, it is apparent that the Fed is not overly worried for now, thanks to the robust liquidity and depositors' confidence.Due to the rate hikes, the bank reported expanded NII and NIY, attributed to the increase in its interest-bearing deposits to $1.27T.The higher treasury yields may also herald the return of trading and investing activities in H2'23, with FQ2'23 only temporarily impacted by the US debt ceiling uncertainties.While credit card losses may seem elevated, investors need not fret yet, since the ratio remains well below pre-pandemic averages.With a stable ROTCE performance of 15.5% (-1.9 QoQ/ inline YoY) in FQ2'23, compared to FY2019 levels of 15.8%, we remain confident about BAC's prospects during the uncertain macroecon
Bank of America: A $106 Billion Hole Isn't A Problem Until The Fed Says It Is
avatarRoyRoberts
2023-06-16

Baidu: From Apollo To Ernie - Fueling Growth With Innovative Ventures

SummaryBaidu is focusing on two strong growth catalysts: Apollo Go, a fully driverless robotaxi service, and Ernie Bot, an AI-driven chatbot.The company's Q1 2023 results showed strong growth, with Apollo Go delivering 660k rides and Baidu Core revenues rising 8% to 23 billion yuan.Despite skepticism about the growth prospects of these initiatives, Baidu's stock appears undervalued, and analysts predict a 15% increase in adjusted earnings per share for this year.Kevin FrayerIntroductionBaidu $Baidu(BIDU)$ is one of the companies I invested in between 2018 and 2019. At the time, Baidu experienced difficulties because the health ads Baidu displayed sometimes had unpleasant consequences. For example, a student died after an experimental cancer treatm
Baidu: From Apollo To Ernie - Fueling Growth With Innovative Ventures

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