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avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-29

XPeng: Deteriorating Margin Trend Is A Concern (Rating Downgrade)

SummaryXPeng reported a decline in vehicle margins and a significant loss for Q2, leading me to downgrade shares of the EV maker to hold.XPeng saw its second consecutive quarter of negative vehicle margins.Slowing demand and a price war in China have negatively impacted XPeng's operating metrics and margin situation.XPeng is still the highest-valued EV company in the industry group.Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesAlthough I recently commented on the game-changing relationship between German car brand Volkswagen $Volkswagen AG(VWAGY)$ and XPeng $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ and rated the Chinese electric vehicle company as a buy, I am down-grading XPeng back to hold after the firm's Q2 ear
XPeng: Deteriorating Margin Trend Is A Concern (Rating Downgrade)
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-23

Red day for NIO stock

The NIO $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ stock price fell by -1.46% on Tuesday, 22nd Aug 2023 from $10.95 to $10.79. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.59% from a day low at $10.53 to a day high of $11.33. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -23.31% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -12 million shares and in total, 42 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $453.77 million.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 62.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.52 and $27.30 at the end of this 3-month period.NIO
Red day for NIO stock
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-22

Nvidia Q2: Party May Be Over

SummaryNvidia is scheduled to report Q2 results after market close this Wednesday.Pay close attention to its purchase obligations, segment revenue and its management's guidance.The stock seems ripe for a significant pullback from its current levels.kynnyAfter the bell next Wednesday, we'll receive Q2 FY24 results from Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$. The chipmaker has been one of the very few names in the semiconductor space that has reported burgeoning sales amidst the global macroeconomic slowdown, so, investors will be keenly watching how its revenue fares in Q2. But in addition to tracking its headline sales figure, investors may also want to monitor its purchase obligations, segment revenue and management's outlook for the quarter a
Nvidia Q2: Party May Be Over
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-18

Marathon Patent Stock Forecast

The Marathon Patent $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ stock price fell by -9.26% on Thursday, 17th Aug 2023 from $13.50 to $12.25. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.36% from a day low at $12.20 to a day high of $13.22. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -26.03% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 12 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 34 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $414.00 million.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 60.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a
Marathon Patent Stock Forecast
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-11

Fortinet Stock Forecast

The Fortinet $Fortinet(FTNT)$ stock price gained 1.30% on Thursday, 10th Aug 2023, rising from $59.78 to $60.56. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.56% from a day low at $60.07 to a day high of $62.21. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days but is still down by -20.92% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -2 million shares and in total, 11 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $665.16 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of
Fortinet Stock Forecast
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-10

Tango Stock Surges On Peer Data Merits Excitement And Perspective

SummaryTango Therapeutics is advancing in cancer treatment with Phase 1/2 clinical trials for TNG908 and TNG462, targeting MTAP-deleted tumors.Tango's stock soared by over 100% following Mirati's announcement on their unique PRMT5 inhibitor, emphasizing potential in MTAP-deleted cancer treatment.Tango's financial position shows $310.7 million in assets, adequate until 2026, though a careful look at cash runway is needed.Investment recommendation for TNGX stock is a "Hold" due to optimism in clinical prospects, yet perspective is advised for early-stage trials and financial support needs.Klaus VedfeltIntroductionTango Therapeutics $Tango Therapeutics Inc.(TNGX)$ focuses on the discovery and development of next-generation precision medicines to
Tango Stock Surges On Peer Data Merits Excitement And Perspective
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-09

PayPal: An Arbitrage Play After Earnings

SummaryPayPal's Q2 earnings report led to a sell-off, despite in-line EPS, a revenue beat, and strong guidance.Concerns about declining active accounts and negative free cash flow contributed to the sell-off.The market undervalues PayPal stock compared to similar companies like Shopify, presenting a potential buying opportunity.Justin SullivanPayPal $PayPal(PYPL)$ just reported its Q2 2023 earnings, and shares plunged after the bell on August 2. When I look at PYPL, it has a lot of resemblance to Meta Platforms $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ regarding its chart prior to META's move upward. In just over two years, PYPL has declined from its highs of $308.58 by -79.66% (-$245.83), and over the past year, PYPL
PayPal: An Arbitrage Play After Earnings
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-08

Unity Software Earnings: A Cautionary Outlook On Near-Term Prospects (Upgrade)

SummaryI decided to withdraw my sell rating on Unity Software after their recent results exceeded my expectations.While there are still concerns about near-term prospects, the stabilization of dollar-based net expansion rates is a positive sign.Unity's revenue growth rates need careful interpretation due to the impact of the IronSource acquisition, suggesting it's no longer a high-growth company.Although Unity projects significant EBITDA by 2024, a substantial portion comprises non-negotiable costs, limiting the stock's attractiveness.Михаил Руденко/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment ThesisUnity Software $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ delivered a set of results that were not as bad as I predicted. Consequently, I no longer believe it makes sense t
Unity Software Earnings: A Cautionary Outlook On Near-Term Prospects (Upgrade)
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-07

SE stock analysis

The Sea Group $Sea Ltd(SE)$ stock price fell by -3.76% on Friday, 4th Aug 2023 from $61.76 to $59.44. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.54% from a day low at $59.01 to a day high of $62.28. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.84% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $284.88 million.The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -20.08% durin
SE stock analysis
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-07
The SoFi $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ stock price fell by -5.47% on Friday, 4th Aug 2023 from $10.05 to $9.50. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.65% from a day low at $9.47 to a day high of $10.10. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.74% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 42 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $395.71 million.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 88.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-04
ttoo $T2 Biosystems(TTOO)$, according to fintel, is 56% shorted in off exchange (dark pool) trading. this could be a dampner on the price they also show 5.5M shares available for short trading now, down from 7M 3 hours ago. short fee borrow rate is at 15.24% today, was 17.24% on aug. 1st.
avatarPhilipJones
2023-08-03

The Race For The Auto Cockpit: Nvidia, Qualcomm, Or Mobileye?

SummaryThe semiconductor auto segment is being overlooked amidst the hype around AI and ChatGPT, despite its potential for significant growth.Nvidia Corporation, Qualcomm Incorporated, and Mobileye Global Inc. are the leading companies with the scale to succeed in this sector.Each company has solid strengths to satisfy the fast-evolving landscape of this sector, which is a hybrid between auto and technology.Reaching full autonomy will require a lot of AI and this sector could see more investment than ChatGPT and datacenter.This is still a fragmented and evolving industry and should give excellent returns for the next decade.metamorworksSecular Semiconductor Auto Sales GrowthAmid the ChatGPT and "Artificial Intelligence" AI excitement and hype, the semiconductor auto segment seems to have b
The Race For The Auto Cockpit: Nvidia, Qualcomm, Or Mobileye?
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-27

PDD analysis Jul 27

The Pinduoduo stock price gained 1.35% on Wednesday, 26th Jul 2023, rising from $82.99 to $84.11. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.96% from a day low at $82.26 to a day high of $85.52. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 11.64% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -7 million shares and in total, 8 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $704.67 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.The stock lies in the middle of a wi
PDD analysis Jul 27
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-26

Carvana Stock Forecast

The Carvana $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ stock price fell by -4.61% on Tuesday, 25th Jul 2023 from $46.24 to $44.11. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.23% from a day low at $43.91 to a day high of $48.40. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 24.01% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 21 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $909.41 million.The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend,
Carvana Stock Forecast
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-24

Nikola: Rays Of Hope?

SummaryNikola, the electric vehicle manufacturer, has seen a recent rally in its stock price.Despite positive developments, the company still faces significant challenges.NKLA's future is uncertain, especially after shareholders rejected a proposal to issue more stock to raise needed capital.TraminoBackgroundOver the last decade, the investing public has seen many electric car and truck makers come and go. In the veritable gold rush that the government subsidized industry of electric vehicle and battery manufacturing has become, there are no shortages of sky-high promises and underwhelming deliveries.Enter Nikola $Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$. Founded in 2014, the company was one of the most hyped companies in the EV space. Its main product
Nikola: Rays Of Hope?
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-21
Summer time in Southeast Asia, service industry currently have increased, use of the services of Grab $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ are also increasing. The era post-COVID will be a new fresh start for the company that have shown in the last report a cut in there expenses and debt management improvement. The company will grow steadily over the next 5 years. DO NOT EXPECT HUGE GROWTH IN SHORT TIME.
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-20
It's like emergency room doctors wo will never ever buy a trampoline. They are smart, experienced, and removing that pile of risk from their kives.But, there are still millions of other people who keep buying trampolines, and the manufacturers and sellers are making money.Buying with just a PayPal $PayPal(PYPL)$ transaction is impossible or difficult and risky to reverse with companies who aren't full onboard with the method. I was just pointing out that PayPal built a method around that, which increased use of their services, even at businesses that said "We won't do PayPal."From my point of view, you're part of the smart 1% who doesn't want the risk and bad experience. I'm looking at the 99% who will keep making transactions.If I start to eat he
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-18

Alibaba: Exceptional Opportunity Won't Last Forever

SummaryAlibaba Group is undergoing significant restructuring, with close associates of co-founder Jack Ma returning to leadership roles and Daniel Zhang leading the cloud intelligence division.Alibaba needs to leverage its momentum in generative AI to bolster its cloud offerings and compete against China AI leader Baidu.Despite regulatory fines and economic setbacks, investors are returning to Alibaba, anticipating further stimulus measures by the Chinese government and the potential for growth in the company's cloud division.I gleaned that dip-buying sentiments in BABA have been constructive over the past two months, suggesting that momentum investors could return moving ahead.ABA remains attractive and well below its critical resistance zone of $125. Act fast before the rest of the buyer
Alibaba: Exceptional Opportunity Won't Last Forever
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-14

Roblox: Q2 2023 Bookings Hold Key To Investor Confidence

SummaryRoblox has shown stable revenue growth rates, with a potential 20% CAGR, attracting investor interest.Bookings growth of 23% YoY in Q1 2023 indicates the platform's ability to sustain its growth trajectory.Profitability concerns arise due to the significant portion of revenue attributed to stock-based compensation.Ivan PanticInvestment ThesisI argue that Roblox $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ is growing more stably than it may appear at first.But I'm quick to note that the bull case is not without blemishes. Indeed, its underlying profitability leaves investors wanting more.Nevertheless, I make the argument that if Roblox can convince investors that the business is still growing at 20% CAGR, investors will be keen to back this stock and this wou
Roblox: Q2 2023 Bookings Hold Key To Investor Confidence
avatarPhilipJones
2023-07-13

Activision Blizzard Surges To New 52-Week High On Deal Optimism

SummaryActivision Blizzard stock has reached a new 52-week high following a federal court ruling that Microsoft can continue with its planned acquisition.The court ruling dismissed the FTC's claim that the merger could lessen competition, suggesting instead that it could increase consumer access to Activision content.While the Microsoft deal is likely to close, it is not guaranteed, and the remaining takeover spread is slim, suggesting that locking in gains could be a sensible move for investors.Rich PolkArticle ThesisActivision Blizzard, Inc. $Activision Blizzard(ATVI)$, which Microsoft Corporation $Microsoft(MSFT)$ seeks to acquire, has jumped to a new 52-week high in the low $90s following news that a
Activision Blizzard Surges To New 52-Week High On Deal Optimism

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