NewmanGray
NewmanGray
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avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-22

Why I am bullish on Alibaba?

Alibaba($Alibaba(BABA)$ ), the largest e-commerce and cloud infrastructure company in China, went public on Sept. 19, 2014 at $68 per share. The stock opened at $92.70, ended the first trading day at $93.89, then rallied over the following six years to an all-time high of $317.14 on Oct. 27, 2020. But as of this writing, Alibaba's stock has dropped to the low $70s, and it could retest its IPO price. Let's review the bear and bull cases again to see if Alibaba is becoming a value trap or a value stock. Why I am bullish on $Alibaba(BABA)$? The company's stock is too cheap to be ignored. Alibaba's growth might be decelerating, but it still controlled
Why I am bullish on Alibaba?
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-17

5 Reasons Google's Growth Phase Isn't Over

Summary Earnings sentiment analysis shows Alphabet ($(GOOG)$) to likely rebound upward in the coming quarter. Advertising revenue just keeps growing, but this does not mean the peak is in; I give five reasons to support this idea. Seasonality shows that GOOG tends to underperform in February and March. Overall, GOOG is a strong long-term investment, but seasonality says to hold off for a month or two. Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Timing the Market.Learn More » metamorworks/iStock via Getty Images I was recently asked whether Alphabet ($(GOOG)$) is in our Timing the Market seasonal portfolio, given the company recently blew through its earnings estimates. The quick answ
5 Reasons Google's Growth Phase Isn't Over
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ I wouldn't expect much above 105. TLT is long term rates. Even if short term rates are low, long term will probably stay 3-4%, which is what it is now.To see 120, you'd need a complete collapse in the economy and fed funds at 0 again. Can't see the happening
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-10

Does Singapore Airlines Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see thatSingapore Airlines Limited($(SGX:C6L)$) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt? When Is Debt A Problem? Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that i
Does Singapore Airlines Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-21
$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ Don't trade this. Hold for a year. Get the lower tax rate and watch this company grow. Covid is a catalyst to enable MRNA to become a revolutionary and prolific company. This time next year they will have CMV and RSV vaccines on the market and a Zika vaccine hitting end stage 3 trials.
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-24

Is Tilray Stock A Buy After Deal With Struggling Rival?

Canadian cannabis producerTilray($(TLRY)$) on March 3 announced an alliance with struggling rivalHexo($(HEXO)$), a move that could give Tilray a big stake in Hexo and help Hexo untangle its debt amid intense competition. So is there any reason to buy TLRY stock now? The move is Tilray's latest pact with a cannabis operator trying to turn itself around, after the industry in Canada and in the U.S. racked up losses and overexpanded. Tilray last year also worked out a deal that could eventually hand it a stake in MedMen, a California-based cannabis retailer that has also been trying to get its finances in order. Hexo is trying to shrink or restructure its debt load, cut production costs and align cultivation with
Is Tilray Stock A Buy After Deal With Struggling Rival?
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-18
$Netflix(NFLX)$ I remember them saying streaming was going to render this small DVD rental company obsolete, but it was this small DVD rental company that became the leader in streaming. Netflix has grown into a major media company since and don’t think for one minute they are going to stop there.
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-14
$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ will crash and burn out within the next 12 months due to rising cost from everything, slow production, etc...Message from Elon Musk:"I hope they’re able to achieve high production & breakeven cash flow. That is the true test.There have been hundreds of automotive startups, both electric & combustion, but Tesla is only American carmaker to reach high volume production & positive cash flow in past 100 years."
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $300 is the new current target. Perhaps before our oct reveal? sales on the mend, competitors often have to use Tesla chargers to be reminded of the leader. Well, I have calls that are nicely in the money to see what the brightest mind and businessman and people-person can do: Elon Musk. Who has Tesla at the cusp of the AI Revolution, Robot Revolution, Solar Revolution, not to mention the EV revolution he has led the entire world into. These, of course, are just Tesla feats. Reaching for $300 soon would not be surprising at all to me. But you have to ride the bumps for the big money- with Elon
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-23
$TENCENT(00700)$ 30% of Tencent equity is in investments like TSLA, SNAP etc which most of them are high risk equity.They are losing market shares almost in every front including Gaming, Cloud, Music and now Payment.Tencent should focus in their core businesses. I will buy when they have their priority straight.Still good and top company nonetheless.
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Nvda $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ chip maker dropped 13.9% last week, and shed $406 billion from its market capitalization. It was the largest weekly market cap loss for any company on recordTime to buy AMD
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-25
$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$ After what has been a brutal year for Chinese stocks listed on U.S. exchanges, things looked as if they were getting worse when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission named five Crypto that could possibly get delisted. And it so obvious everyone needs a good manager for proper advice in times like this
avatarNewmanGray
2022-03-25
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$ Singtel will hit $3 to $4 one day... but by the time it does so... probably all my US holdings would hit 1000%. S A D
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ They missed heavily on the EPS in the last earnings - like 11% vs 18%. They have also failed to provide support on why their guidance for the next year should increase that much. They simply “believe” they would be able to cut operational expenses and increase margins, this sounded week af. And we have a stock split on top of failed EPS which could be speculated to be done just to attract liquidity while company underperform.
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ It may be getting harder for Nio to be profitable if they keep selling 5 series that has a low profit margin which allows 5 series owners to get into the Nio ecosystem which is a high cost to burden for Nio. They may want to look into downgrading these cars to Onvo for a win-win. they can be sold for a cheaper price and Nio doesn't have to cover eco system after sales cost.
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Nobody knows Palantir in Europe. They just started their US comercial market ramp. It will be a shame if you have to sell it now. This is a company to hold for compounding growth and generational wealth. Might be expensive but it will growth to it’s current market cap in the near future.
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Dont be so down the stock will recover. TSM is more important to the chip market than any other stock. Just hang on and in a year you will be completely happy. Im in at $165ish average and am not worried.
$United Continental(UAL)$ Did well on United earnings. It pushed up other airlines but I have positions in American and southwest that expire after earnings next week.Logic for trades? Simple. No way these company’s can be fucking consumers so badly and not making money.Anyone else playing LUV or AAL next week?
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amzn is one of the few companies that can directly monetize their ai spend and also has more than enough excess capital to invest. most revenue is still from the retail business. And they can use their own AI to a great extent.
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Been holding it for 4 years. Love the stock. A steady riser with a very respectable dividend (for a tech manufacturer). TSM isn’t design, they’re manufacturing and have 70+% market share. Of the top 5 foundries in the world, TSM outproduces all of them hand over fist. They're building in the US, they're building in Germany and in Japan. Best run business of them all. Once the fabs in AZ, Germany, and the two new ones in Japan are complete and debt is paid, they’re going to be raking it in.The joint venture fab plant mostly owned by tsmc with 70% and 10% each for the other 3 companies. I also considered the distribution and the unforeseen expansion or demand. TSMC is basically a pen

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